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      <title>Andrew Jaffe: Leaves on the Line</title>
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         <title>Andrew Lange, Huan Tran</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;The cosmology community has had a terrible few months.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I am saddened to report the passing of Andrew Lange, a physicist from CalTech and one of the world's preeminent experimental cosmologists. Among many other accomplishments, Andrew was one of the leaders of the &lt;a href="http://cmb.phys.cwru.edu/boomerang/"&gt;Boomerang&lt;/a&gt; experiment, which made the first large-scale map of the Cosmic Microwave Background radiation with a resolution of less than one degree, sufficient to see the opposing action of gravity and pressure in the gas of the early Universe, and to use that to measure the overall density of matter, among many other cosmological properties. He has since been an important leader in a number of other experiments, notably the &lt;a href="http://www.esa.int/esaMI/Planck/index.html"&gt;Planck Surveyor&lt;/a&gt; satellite and the &lt;a href="http://www.astro.caltech.edu/~lgg/spider_front.htm"&gt;Spider&lt;/a&gt; balloon-borne telescope, currently being developed to become one of the most sensitive CMB experiments ever built.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I learned about this tragedy on the same day that people are &lt;a href="http://www.facebook.com/event.php?eid=271314007845&amp;index=1"&gt;gathering&lt;/a&gt; in Berkeley, California, to mourn the passing of another experimental cosmologist, Huan Tran of Berkeley. Huan was an excellent young scientist, most recently deeply involved in the development of &lt;a href="http://bolo.berkeley.edu/polarbear/index.html"&gt;PolarBear&lt;/a&gt;, another one of the current generation of ultra-sensitive CMB experiments. Huan lead the development of the PolarBear telescope itself, currently being tested in the mountains of California, but to be deployed for real science on the Atacama plane in Chile. We on the PolarBear team are proud to name the PolarBear telescope after Huan Tran, a token of our esteem for him, and a small tribute to his memory.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;My thoughts go out to the friends and family of both Huan and Andrew. I, and many others, will miss them both.&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Andrew%20Lange" rel="tag"&gt;Andrew Lange&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/CMB" rel="tag"&gt;CMB&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/cosmology" rel="tag"&gt;cosmology&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Huan%20Tran" rel="tag"&gt;Huan Tran&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Planck" rel="tag"&gt;Planck&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/PolarBear" rel="tag"&gt;PolarBear&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Spider" rel="tag"&gt;Spider&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/mUZa5kzj9wc/000441.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Andrew Lange</category>
        
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">cosmology</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Huan Tran</category>
        
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         <pubDate>Sat, 23 Jan 2010 08:43:24 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Bayes and Blake at Bunhill</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;One of my &lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/andrewjaffe/sets/72157623130218082/"&gt; holiday treks this year was across town&lt;/a&gt; to visit &lt;a href="http://www.cityoflondon.gov.uk/Corporation/LGNL_Services/Environment_and_planning/Parks_and_open_spaces/City_Gardens/bunhill.htm"&gt;Bunhill Fields&lt;/a&gt;, final resting place of two of my favorite Londoners: &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_Blake"&gt;William Blake&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_Bayes"&gt;Thomas Bayes&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Blake is of course one of the most famous poets in the English language, but most people know him only from short poems like &lt;em&gt;The Tiger&lt;/em&gt; [&lt;em&gt;sic&lt;/em&gt;] ("Tyger, Tyger burning bright/ In the forests of the night/ What immortal hand or eye/ Could frame thy fearful symmetry") and &lt;em&gt;Jerusalem&lt;/em&gt;, sung in Anglican churches each week. But most of Blake's work is much too weird to make it into church. It is peopled by gods and monsters, illuminated by Blake's own wonderful over-the-top illustrations. (For example, &lt;em&gt;America: A Prophecy&lt;/em&gt;, his poetic interpretation of the American Revolutionary War, begins "The shadowy Daughter of Urthona stood before red Orc/When fourteen suns had faintly journey'd o'er his dark abode" -- George Washington and Thomas Jefferson don't make Blake's version.)&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Blake's gravestone sits right on the pavement in the middle of Bunhill Fields, and as such unfortunately has been slightly damaged.
&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/34758141@N00/4241171537" title="View 'William Blake - 3' on Flickr.com"&gt;&lt;img border="0" width="373" alt="William Blake - 3" src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2725/4241171537_498d24736c.jpg" height="500" vspace="10"/&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;p&gt;I don't read Blake every day or even every week, but I probably do use Bayes's famous theorem at least that often. As I and other bloggers &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/MT4/mt-search.cgi?blog_id=1&amp;tag=Bayes&amp;limit=40"&gt;have gone on and on about&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem"&gt;Bayes's theorem&lt;/a&gt; is the mathematical statement of how we ought to rigorously and consistently incorporate new information into our model of the world. Bayes himself wrote down only a version appropriate for a restricted version of this problem, and used words, rather than mathematica symbols. Nowadays, we usually write it mathematically, and in a completely general form, as
&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/images/77084E03-AE0A-46FA-9062-E9468E59B409.jpg" alt="77084E03-AE0A-46FA-9062-E9468E59B409.jpg" border="0" width="200" height="44" vspace="5"/&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
Which means, very roughly, that the so-called posterior probability, &lt;em&gt;P(H|D) &lt;/em&gt;--  the probability of some hypothesis, &lt;em&gt;H&lt;/em&gt;, given data, &lt;em&gt;D&lt;/em&gt; -- is equal to &lt;em&gt;P(H)&lt;/em&gt; -- the prior probability of the hypothesis, &lt;em&gt;H&lt;/em&gt; -- times the likelihood, P(D|H) --  the probability of observing the actual data  that we obtained given that hypothesis; finally, all of this needs to be normalized by the quantity &lt;em&gt;P(D)&lt;/em&gt;. This seems pretty obscure, but it really is a model for learning: the prior represents our knowledge in the absence of the new data, and the theorem tells us how to update this in the face of new data. And it really is a &lt;em&gt;theorem&lt;/em&gt;: a statement of mathematical fact. So this statement really is the foundation for the use of probability in reasoning about the world, which is the science of statistics (despite the internecine wars within the statistics community about exactly how one ought to make sense of the concept of "probability" itself), or more broadly, science itself. So Bayes is a man whose life is well worth celebrating by all of us interested in and affected by science. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;
&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/34758141@N00/4241773436" title="View 'Bayes's family tomb - 9' on Flickr.com"&gt;&lt;img border="0" width="500" alt="Bayes's family tomb - 9" src="http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4020/4241773436_c105dd6760.jpg" height="333" vspace="10"/&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;Bayes is buried in his family tomb, now bearing the moss-covered &lt;a href="http://www.bayesian.org/archives/photos/tomb/Inscrip1.JPG"&gt;Inscription&lt;/a&gt;: "Rev. Thomas Bayes, son of the said Joshua and Ann Bayes, 7 April 1761. In recognition of Thomas Bayes's important work in probability this vault was restored in 1960 with contributions received from statisticians throughout the world." (With restoration and upkeep since by Bayesian Efficient Strategic Trading of Hoboken, NJ, USA --across the Hudson River from New York City-- and &lt;a href="http://www.bayesian.org/"&gt;ISBA, the International Society for Bayesian Analysis&lt;/a&gt;.)
&lt;/p&gt;

            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Bayes" rel="tag"&gt;Bayes&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Bayesian" rel="tag"&gt;Bayesian&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Blake" rel="tag"&gt;Blake&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/London" rel="tag"&gt;London&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/IJz2g7I4TUc/000440.html</link>
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         <pubDate>Sun, 03 Jan 2010 19:51:41 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Doctors, Deep Fields and Dark Matter</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;Luckily, not all the astrophysics news this week was &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000438.html"&gt;so bad&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;First, and most important, two of our &lt;a href="http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/astrophysics/"&gt;Imperial College Astrophysics&lt;/a&gt; postgraduate students, Stuart Sale and Paniez Paykari, passed their PhD viva exams, and so are on their ways to officially being Doctors of Philosophy. Congratulations to both, especially (if I may say so) to Dr Paykari, who I had the pleasure and fortune to supervise and collaborate with. Both are on their way to continue their careers as postdocs in far-flung lands.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Second, the first major &lt;a href="http://herschel.cf.ac.uk/node/167"&gt;results from the Herschel Space Telescope&lt;/a&gt;, Planck's sister satellite, were released. There are impressive pictures dwarf planets in the outer regions of our solar system, of star-forming regions in the Milky Way galaxy, of the vary massive Virgo Cluster of galaxies, and of the so-called "GOODS" (Great Observatory Origins Deep Survey) field, one of the most well-studied areas of sky. All of these open new windows into these areas of astrophysics, with Herschel's amazing sensitivity.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Finally, tantalisingly, the &lt;a href="http://cdms.berkeley.edu/"&gt;Cryogenic Dark Matter Search (CDMS)&lt;/a&gt; released the results of its latest (and final) effort to search for the Dark Matter that seems to make up most of the matter in the Universe, but doesn't seem to be the same stuff as the normal atoms that we're made of. Under some theories, the dark matter would interact weakly with normal matter, and in such a way that it could possibly be distinguished from all the possible sources of background. These experiments are therefore done deep underground -- to shield from cosmic rays which stream through us all the time -- and with the cleanest and purest possible materials -- to avoid contamination with both both naturally-occurring radioactivity and the man-made kind which has plagued us since the late 1940s. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;With all of these precautions, CDMS expected to see a background rate of about 0.8 events during the time they were observing. And they saw (wait for it) &lt;em&gt;two&lt;/em&gt; events! This is on the one hand more than a factor of two greater than the expected number, but on the other is only one extra count. To put this in perspective, I've made a couple of graphs where I try to approximate their results (for aficionados, these are just simple plots of the &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Poisson_distribution"&gt;Poisson distribution&lt;/a&gt;). The first shows the expected number of counts from the background alone:&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/images/cdms-expectedcounts.png" alt="cdms-expectedcounts.png" border="0" width="360" height="232" /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
So even if there is no signal above the background, seeing two counts is not terribly unlikely. Now, here's the likelihood function for the signal rate, given their background measurement:
&lt;p&gt;&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/images/cdms-likelihood.png" alt="cdms-likelihood.png" border="0" width="360" height="230" /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;It peaks away from zero, so the &lt;em&gt;most likely&lt;/em&gt; interpretation of their experiment is that they see a signal, but it's far from conclusive. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;(I should point out a few caveats in my micro-analysis of their data. First, I don't take into account the uncertainty in their background rate, which they say is really 0.8&amp;plusmn;0.1&amp;plusmn;0.2, where the first uncertainty, &amp;plusmn;0.1 is "statistical", because they only had a limited number of background measurements, and the second, &amp;plusmn;0.2, is "systematic", due to the way they collect and analyse their data. Eventually, one could take this into account via &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000436.html"&gt;Bayesian&lt;/a&gt; marginalization, although ideally we'd need some more information about their experimental setup. Second, I've only plotted the likelihood above, but true &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000436.html"&gt;Bayesians&lt;/a&gt; will want to apply a &lt;em&gt;prior probability&lt;/em&gt; and plot the posterior distribution. The most sensible choice (the so-called &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeffreys_prior"&gt;Jeffreys prior&lt;/a&gt;) for this case would in fact make the probability peak at zero signal. Finally, one would really like to formally compare the no-signal model with a signal-greater-than-zero model, and the best way to do this would be using the tool of &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_factor"&gt;Bayesian model comparison&lt;/a&gt;.)&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;p&gt;Nonetheless, in &lt;a href="http://cdms.berkeley.edu/0912.3592v1.pdf"&gt;their paper&lt;/a&gt; they go on to interpret these results in the context of particle physics, which can eventually be used to put &lt;a href="http://www.ft.uam.es/personal/rruiz/superbayes/"&gt;limits on the parameters of supersymmetric theories&lt;/a&gt; which may be tested further at the LHC accelerator over the next couple of years.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I should bring this back to the &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000438.html"&gt;aforementioned bad news&lt;/a&gt;. The UK has its own dark matter direct detection experiments as well. In particular, Imperial leads the &lt;a href="http://www.hep.ph.ic.ac.uk/ZEPLIN-III-Project/"&gt;ZEPLIN-III&lt;/a&gt; experiment which has, at times, had the world's best limits on dark matter, and is poised to possibly confirm this possible detection -- this will be funded for the next couple of years. Unfortunately, STFC has decided that the next generation of dark matter experiments, &lt;a href="http://www.eureca.ox.ac.uk/"&gt;EURECA&lt;/a&gt; and LUX-ZEPLIN, needed to make convincing statements about these results, weren't possible to fund.&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Bayes" rel="tag"&gt;Bayes&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/CDMS" rel="tag"&gt;CDMS&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/dark%20matter" rel="tag"&gt;dark matter&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Herschel" rel="tag"&gt;Herschel&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/PhD" rel="tag"&gt;PhD&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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         <pubDate>Sat, 19 Dec 2009 11:39:35 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Cuts</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;I presume that anyone reading this blog knows that today is the day when the great unwashed masses of UK Astronomers heard about our financial &lt;a href="http://www.stfc.ac.uk/PMC/PRel/STFC/CouncilNews161209.aspx"&gt;fate&lt;/a&gt; from the &lt;a href="http://www.scitech.ac.uk"&gt;STFC&lt;/a&gt;, the small arm of the UK government responsible for Astrophysics, Particle Physics and Nuclear Physics. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;For various reasons, some clear and others manifestly not, STFC is something like &amp;pound;70 million in the red. When all this started about two years ago, one of the main criticisms of the STFC management (beyond wondering how they could have got themselves -- and us -- into this predicament to begin with) was that they started to impose solutions that seemed to bear little resemblance to what the scientists themselves wanted. Trying to either genuinely ameliorate this, or at least give themselves good cover, they've spent much of the last year gathering input from various groups of physicists and astronomers, through a series of reports produced by &lt;a href="http://www.scitech.ac.uk/About/Strat/Council/AdCom/tor.aspx"&gt;scientist-led panels&lt;/a&gt;. These panels released their results this autumn, and STFC has supposedly used them to make decisions about the next five or so years of funding.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I was selfishly relieved to see that our work with the Planck Surveyor Satellite is rated "alpha 5", and that our other local grants don't appear directly affected (i.e., we weren't drastically cut). However, STFC has "requested" (not sure what that means in this context) that even these projects reduce their costs by 15%. Other programs were not even this lucky -- &lt;a href="http://www.stfc.ac.uk/pmc/prel/stfc/CouncilNews161209.aspx"&gt;a not-quite-complete list of the cuts is on the STFC site&lt;/a&gt;. The cuts (a.k.a. "managed withdrawal") include the UKIRT telescope, the LOFAR array, future work at the low-background facility at the Boulby mine, and future science exploitation of the XMM and Cassini missions (among many others). Alongside this, there will be a 25% cut in studentships and fellowships, although the details of this have not been revealed.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;In his &lt;a href="http://nds.coi.gov.uk/content/detail.aspx?ReleaseID=409672&amp;NewsAreaID=2&amp;HUserID=895,777,895,856,776,870,710,705,765,674,677,767,684,762,718,674,708,683,706,718,674&amp;ClientID=-1"&gt;independent response&lt;/a&gt;, the Science Minister, Lord Drayson, says "we are investing record amounts into scientific research, but it is absolutely right that it is the scientists themselves, through the Research Councils, that decide how best to spend this money." Of course we scientists don't necessarily feel that our voices have been heard. The &lt;a href="http://www.scitech.ac.uk/resources/pdf/PPANNews161209.pdf"&gt;prioritized list of projects is available from STFC&lt;/a&gt;, and although it generally correlates with both the inputs from the various sub-panels and the financial outcome (in particular, many of us were pleased and relieved to see the much-criticised MoonLITE project at the bottom of the heap), there are some striking differences from at least my understanding of the panel recommendations, such as the "alpha 4" grade given to the &lt;a href="http://www.esa.int/esaMI/Aurora/"&gt;Aurora&lt;/a&gt; human spaceflight  program.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;However, Drayson does seem to understand some of the issues: "...there are real tensions in having international science projects, large scientific facilities and UK grant giving roles within a single Research Council. It leads to grants being squeezed by increases in costs of the large international projects which are not solely within their control.   I will work urgently with Professor Sterling, the STFC and the wider research community to find a better solution by the end of February 2010." Not sure what this means, but even if we are grasping at straws, it's the only promising news of the day.&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;p&gt;I've got 11 browser tabs open just to get myself up-to-date. Here are some of them:
&lt;ul&gt;&lt;li&gt;An excellent summary of the situation before the announcement is at &lt;a href="http://totheleftofcentre.wordpress.com/2009/12/15/stfc-investing-in-the-future/"&gt;To the Left of Centre&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/li&gt; 
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://go2.wordpress.com/?id=725X1342&amp;site=telescoper.wordpress.com&amp;url=http%3A%2F%2Fpacrowther.staff.shef.ac.uk%2Fstfc.html%23faq20"&gt;Paul Crowther's page&lt;/a&gt; has become the canonical clearing-house for information on the astronomy side of the "STFC Funding Crisis".
&lt;li&gt;Blogs from &lt;a href="http://andyxl.wordpress.com/2009/12/14/the-axeman-cometh"&gt;Andy Lawrence&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href="http://telescoper.wordpress.com/2009/12/16/day-of-reckoning/"&gt;Peter Coles&lt;/a&gt; are both well-wrought and likely feature commentary from the opinionated luminaries of UK astronomy.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;The &lt;a href="http://www.iop.org/News/news_38540.html"&gt;Institute of Physics&lt;/a&gt; and the &lt;a href="http://www.ras.org.uk/index.php?option=com_content&amp;task=view&amp;id=1687&amp;Itemid=2"&gt;Royal Astronomical Society&lt;/a&gt; respond. 
&lt;li&gt;The &lt;a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/sci/tech/8417365.stm"&gt;BBC talks about the cuts with Lord Drayson&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;&lt;a href="http://physicsworld.com/cws/article/news/41257"&gt;Physics World&lt;/a&gt; summarizes the situation as "savage cuts".&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;Our US counterparts get in on the &lt;a href="http://blogs.sciencemag.org/scienceinsider/2009/12/british-science.html"&gt;commentary at Science&lt;/a&gt; magazine.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li&gt;There's a web campaign to help &lt;a href="http://www.saveastronomy.org.uk/"&gt;save astronomy&lt;/a&gt; in the UK.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ul&gt;
FInally, the &lt;a href="http://twitter.com/#search?q=%23STFC"&gt;#stfc twitter hashtag&lt;/a&gt; has been a great source of commentary, rage, and information, trending high today.
&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/STFC" rel="tag"&gt;STFC&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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         <pubDate>Thu, 17 Dec 2009 00:17:39 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Physics vs Poetry</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;When I'm traveling I try to read the &lt;a href="http://www.newyorker.com" title="The New Yorker"&gt;New Yorker&lt;/a&gt; -- a transatlantic flight usually gets me through most of an issue.  I was even more interested than usual when I picked up the issue at Heathrow and found the front-cover blurb, "Physics vs Poetry: New fiction by Ian McEwan". McEwan is thought of as a "science-friendly" writer and has often populated his fiction with scientists and scientific ideas (usually doctors and medicine, as in &lt;em&gt;Enduring Love&lt;/em&gt; and &lt;em&gt;Saturday&lt;/em&gt;). His new story is called "&lt;a href="http://www.newyorker.com/fiction/features/2009/12/07/091207fi_fiction_mcewan" title="The Use of Poetry : The New Yorker"&gt;The Use of Poetry&lt;/a&gt;", but doesn't quite manage to escape stereotyping his protagonist, the made-up physics Nobelist Michael Beard.  McEwan's Beard doesn't really get poetry for its own sake; for him, "The Use of Poetry" is mostly for seducing his wife-to-be. At least McEwan is smart enough, and a good enough writer, that his stereotype isn't quite so simple: his Beard is so smart that he can fake his way into smart opinions about Milton. He doesn't really get it, it seems, but he can mouth the words at least as well as the supposed literary scholars (who, needless to say, neither try nor succeed at understanding his physics).&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;And -- I'm not sure if this is to McEwan's credit or otherwise -- he stereotypes Beard's counterpart, his future wife Maisie Farmer, studying English at Oxford when Beard is doing Physics, even more. After University, she becomes a hackneyed post-sixties feminist figure, attending "a group run by a collective Californian women.... Her consciousness was raised."&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;McEwan, I think, prefers rationalists to literary types, but draws the divide too sharply. As Peter Coles has been talking about lately, that &lt;a href="http://telescoper.wordpress.com/?p=4237"&gt;stereotypical distinction is just wrong&lt;/a&gt;. Most of my physicist friends love art, novels, poetry, music -- and quite a few of them make it themselves, usually quite proudly if with varying degrees of emotional and aesthetic success.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;What makes McEwan's portrayal of Beard so unappealing is the backhandedness of the compliment behind it: yes, he's smarter than everyone around him. But somehow even he doesn't quite get the poetry, even if that's almost a distinction that doesn't make much of a difference.&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/McEwan" rel="tag"&gt;McEwan&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/New%20Yorker" rel="tag"&gt;New Yorker&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/physics" rel="tag"&gt;physics&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/poetry" rel="tag"&gt;poetry&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=2dUST4UpjaA:2O3gUntSX0E:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=2dUST4UpjaA:2O3gUntSX0E:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=2dUST4UpjaA:2O3gUntSX0E:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=2dUST4UpjaA:2O3gUntSX0E:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">McEwan</category>
        
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">physics</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">poetry</category>
        
         <pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 21:56:07 +0000</pubDate>
      <feedburner:origLink>http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/art/000437.html</feedburner:origLink></item>
      
      <item>
         <title>Bayesian Methods in Cosmology</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;The perfect stocking-stuffer for that would-be Bayesian cosmologist you've been shopping for:
&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/34758141@N00/4176703653" title="View 'Bayesian Methods in Cosmology' on Flickr.com"&gt;&lt;img border="0" width="333" alt="Bayesian Methods in Cosmology" src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2666/4176703653_f4a47f00dd.jpg" height="500"/&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000393.html"&gt;As readers&lt;/a&gt; here &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000385.html"&gt;will know&lt;/a&gt;, the &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000265.html"&gt;Bayesian&lt;/a&gt; view of probability is just that probabilities are statements about our knowledge of the world, and thus eminently suited to use in scientific inquiry (indeed, this is really the only consistent way to make probabilistic statements of any sort!). Over the last couple of decades, cosmologists have turned to Bayesian ideas and methods as tools to understand our data. This book is a collection of specially-commissioned articles, intended as both a primer for astrophysicists new to this sort of data analysis and as a resource for advanced topics throughout the field.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Our back-cover blurb:&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;p&gt;In recent years cosmologists have advanced from largely qualitative models of the Universe to precision modelling using Bayesian methods, in order to determine the properties of the Universe to high accuracy. This timely book is the only comprehensive introduction to the use of Bayesian methods in cosmological studies, and is an essential reference for graduate students and researchers in cosmology, astrophysics and applied statistics. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;The first part of the book focuses on methodology, setting the basic foundations and giving a detailed description of techniques. It covers topics including the estimation of parameters, Bayesian model comparison, and separation of signals. The second part explores a diverse range of applications, from the detection of astronomical sources (including through gravitational waves), to cosmic microwave background analysis and the quantification and classification of galaxy properties. Contributions from 24 highly regarded cosmologists and statisticians make this an authoritative guide to the subject.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;

&lt;p&gt;You can order it now from &lt;a href="http://www.amazon.co.uk/Bayesian-Methods-Cosmology-Mukherjee-Parkinson/dp/0521887941/"&gt;Amazon UK&lt;/a&gt; or &lt;a href="http://www.amazon.com/Bayesian-Methods-Cosmology-Mukherjee-Parkinson/dp/0521887941/"&gt;Amazon USA&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Bayes" rel="tag"&gt;Bayes&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/book" rel="tag"&gt;book&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/cosmology" rel="tag"&gt;cosmology&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/probability" rel="tag"&gt;probability&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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         <pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 20:46:01 +0000</pubDate>
      <feedburner:origLink>http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000436.html</feedburner:origLink></item>
      
      <item>
         <title>Obligatory post on climate change</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.iop.org"&gt;The Institute of Physics&lt;/a&gt; is &lt;a href="http://www.iop.org"&gt;weighing in&lt;/a&gt; on the issue of climate change, so I thought I would take the opportunity to try to dumb things down as much as possible. The basic science behind climate change is well-understood:
&lt;ol&gt;
&lt;li&gt;The &lt;a href="http://graphics8.nytimes.com/images/2009/12/07/science/07climateg/popup.jpg"&gt;mean temperature is increasing&lt;/a&gt;, with significant variation superposed from place to place and year to year.&lt;/li&gt;

&lt;li&gt;This is caused largely by the anthropogenic increase in carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, due to the &lt;a href="http://www.iop.org/News/file_38336.pdf"&gt;very well-understood and uncontroversial physics&lt;/a&gt; of the carbon-dioxide molecule.&lt;/li&gt;

&lt;li&gt;Significant further increase would be societally &lt;a href="http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2009/12/05/world/climate-graphic-background.html#tab=2"&gt;bad for many people&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/li&gt;

&lt;li&gt;Lowering our greenhouse-gas emissions can slow or halt the increasing temperatures.&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;/ol&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;At this coarse level, both the data and the theory underlying these conclusions are almost incontrovertible and ought to be uncontroversial, although each of these has been questioned by the &lt;strike&gt;politically-motivated or ignorant deniers&lt;/strike&gt; sceptics. Significant questions remain at a more detailed level, of course: what is the precise correlation between greenhouse-gas emissions and temperature? How much of the increase is due to emissions, and how much to other effects (e.g., solar irradiance variations)? Most importantly, what will the temperature increase be in the future, for various amounts of future carbon emission. These are important details, but the main point -- the earth is warming due to our activities -- is &lt;a href="http://blog.richmond.edu/physicsbunn"&gt;settled&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;(Scientific American has &lt;a href="http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=seven-answers-to-climate-contrarian-nonsense"&gt;an excellent rebuttal&lt;/a&gt; of the main points raised by the so-called sceptics.)&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;What I've never quite understood is the politics of climate change. It is an observational fact that climate change deniers tend to be from the (mainstream and &lt;a href="http://www.samizdata.net/blog/"&gt;libertarian&lt;/a&gt;) right. I can certainly understand political differences regarding the solution to climate change -- a true free-marketeer wouldn't want a carbon tax or even a cap-and-trade system (although, of course, either of these attempt to estimate the &lt;em&gt;true&lt;/em&gt; cost of future emissions, rather than their purely short-term economic benefit). But why do politics trace our opinion of the science? The only explanation for this I can come up with is the right's longstanding association with big business -- in particular the oil business -- which, even today, retains a vested interest in denying the simple truth of climate change.&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/carbon" rel="tag"&gt;carbon&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/climate" rel="tag"&gt;climate&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/warming" rel="tag"&gt;warming&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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         <pubDate>Mon, 07 Dec 2009 22:51:56 +0000</pubDate>
      <feedburner:origLink>http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/politics/000435.html</feedburner:origLink></item>
      
      <item>
         <title>Lev Kofman</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;I was saddened to hear this morning that Lev Kofman, a friend and fellow-cosmologist, died yesterday. Lev has been at CITA in Toronto for a decade, and has had a huge impact on the field, scientifically and personally. He will be missed. He is already.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I'm sure there will be more remembrances to come, but here is just the first, from his family and colleagues in Toronto. Our thoughts are with them.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog//DSCN4979 copy___lev_toasting_LR.JPG" alt="DSCN4979 copy___lev_toasting_LR.JPG" border="0" width="283" height="447" /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;h4&gt;Lev Kofman: June 17, 1957 - November 12, 2009&lt;/h4&gt;&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;We are deeply saddened  to inform you that the fabulous Lev Kofman, husband of Anna, father of Sergei 13 and Maria 15, brother of Svetlana, and our great friend, died in the early morning of November 12 from cancer. Many of you were able to commune with Lev as the situation deteriorated over the past weeks, by visits, phone calls, and emails read to him. We are deeply grateful for that: and it provided some solace for Lev to know the tremendous impact he has had on the lives of so many of you. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;He bravely kept the physics going strong throughout his illness, characteristic of Lev. His scientific outpourings and influence  will transcend this passage. As you know, he made fundamental contributions to Lambda cosmology and dark energy, structure in the cosmic web, inflationary theory, its Gaussian and non-Gaussian aspects, and gravitational waves. He initiated and developed the theory of preheating, showing how all matter could arise from a coherent vacuum energy at the end of inflation, his cosmic baby. And much more besides. He was the quintessential leader, for CITA and CIFAR as a whole, and for the vibrant early universe group he established, providing inspirational guidance to a generation of young researchers. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;He felt the physics to his very core. Beyond this, it is the indomitable, fun-loving, deeply philosophical spirit, a gourmand of life in all its manifestations, that we will miss so much. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;With our best wishes in these sad times, &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Anna Chandarina (Kofman)&lt;br /&gt;
Svetlana Kofman&lt;br /&gt;
Dick Bond&lt;br /&gt;
Andrei Linde&lt;br /&gt;
Renata Kallosh&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=v6Epv9Kmr4U:fp6c8nPgG-E:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=v6Epv9Kmr4U:fp6c8nPgG-E:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=v6Epv9Kmr4U:fp6c8nPgG-E:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=v6Epv9Kmr4U:fp6c8nPgG-E:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~4/v6Epv9Kmr4U" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/v6Epv9Kmr4U/000434.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Miscellanea</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Science</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 13 Nov 2009 12:24:37 +0000</pubDate>
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         <title>Big Questions: Spaceflight</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;In one of my earliest memories, I'm about four years old, at &lt;a href="http://www.hookslaneschool.com/"&gt;nursery school&lt;/a&gt;, sitting on the floor looking up at what must have been a small black and white television sitting on a table. The teachers were all terribly excited, and we little kids were always happy to watch television. But this wasn't Sesame Street. This was a rocket launch, a rocket to the moon. (I suspect it was &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Apollo_14"&gt;Apollo 14&lt;/a&gt;.)&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;I was hooked immediately, and although I wasn't well-suited to becoming an astronaut, I've managed to channel that impulse into science (and of course I finally got to see a rocket launch up close).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;So without human spaceflight I probably wouldn't be who I am, doing what I do. &lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;But does space travel help us answer any of the "&lt;a href="http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/portal/page?_pageid=69,167794819&amp;_dad=portallive&amp;_schema=PORTALLIVE&amp;eventid=76741"&gt;Big Questions&lt;/a&gt;"? Whither humanity in the long run? Will we stick to our crowded but beautiful planet or eventually spread our metaphorical wings and move on up?&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Unfortunately spaceflight nowadays isn't about the long-term future of humanity, but aerospace contracts, cool pictures, and good PR (except, of course, when something goes wrong). As I've said, that PR is certainly important, but it is very hard to know what exactly we're getting for that considerable investment.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;If you'd like to hear -- or say -- more about this, that's exactly the question being asked at the latest instalment of Imperial's "Big Questions" debates -- &lt;a href="http://www3.imperial.ac.uk/portal/page?_pageid=69,167794819&amp;_dad=portallive&amp;_schema=PORTALLIVE&amp;eventid=76741"&gt;Human Spaceflight: Science or Spectacle?&lt;/a&gt; Please come over to Imperial on Thursday night (but &lt;a href="mailto:BigQuestions@imperial.ac.uk"&gt;register in advance&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Big%20Questions" rel="tag"&gt;Big Questions&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Imperial" rel="tag"&gt;Imperial&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/space%20travel" rel="tag"&gt;space travel&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/spaceflight" rel="tag"&gt;spaceflight&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=E6lWFXEvpjk:hMDTJr_yd8Y:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=E6lWFXEvpjk:hMDTJr_yd8Y:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=E6lWFXEvpjk:hMDTJr_yd8Y:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=E6lWFXEvpjk:hMDTJr_yd8Y:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~4/E6lWFXEvpjk" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Politics</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Science</category>
        
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Big Questions</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Imperial</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">space travel</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">spaceflight</category>
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 21:29:12 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>On not being able to talk about science</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;This week I was in the truly wonderful city of Bologna, home of possibly the oldest university in Europe. Nowadays, Bologna is also the home of &lt;a href="http://www.iasfbo.inaf.it/"&gt;IASF-BO, the Italian Istituto di Astrofisica Spaziale e Fisica Cosmica&lt;/a&gt;, and was hosting this year's &lt;a href="http://www.iasfbo.inaf.it/events/planck-comeet/"&gt;Planck Satellite Consortium meeting&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Of course I can't talk about anything that was actually presented at the meeting -- &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000402.html"&gt;as I've mentioned before&lt;/a&gt;, there are strong restrictions on what is allowed to be discussed before the data become public in about three years. Indeed, that communication policy was itself the topic of considerable discussion  -- it turns out that at least a couple of Planck's "highest ranking" scientists had recently been deemed to be in "non-compliance" with the policy (which may be different from actually violating the policy, but no one is quite sure...).&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Luckily, there was plenty to talk about amongst ourselves between the political discussions. I reported on &lt;a href="http://acronyms.thefreedictionary.com/London+Planck+Analysis+Centre"&gt;our efforts in London&lt;/a&gt; to recover Planck's "pointing solution" -- that is, to figure out where, exactly, each of Planck's fifty or so detectors are actually looking on the sky at any given moment. This is obviously crucial to getting good science out of Planck -- indeed, even though the instrument smears the sky with a resolution of about four arcminutes (about 1/15 of a degree), we want to know the pointing to roughly 10 arcseconds (about 1/360 of a degree)! But there were several hundred scientists at the meeting, so plenty to discuss, besides, over the course of the week, from Planck's electronics to the eventual scientific results on the earliest instants of the Universe. The first hints of this science, but not much more, are present in the pictures we showed from &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/science/000425.html"&gt;Planck's first-light survey&lt;/a&gt;. And I should point out that, despite at least one &lt;a href="http://uk.arxiv.org/abs/0910.5102"&gt;attempt&lt;/a&gt; -- which I hesitate to even link to -- there is really no science to be had in any analysis of what we've presented. We're not taking three years to analyze the data just to be selfish -- at least not entirely. It will take that long before we can understand the instrument well enough to interpret the data that comes out of it.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Luckily, Bologna is also known for its food, and aside from the excellent conference snacks and lunches (and a blow-out dinner at a local &lt;a href="http://www.isolani.it/MEETING/GB/PALAZZO/PalazzoHomeGB.html"&gt;Palazzo&lt;/a&gt; from which I mostly recall the giant parmigiana wheel and the copious grappa), it was pretty easy to find excellent food at pretty much any local Trattoria (like &lt;a href="http://maps.google.com/places/it/bologna/via-augusto-righi/15/-trattoria-la-montanara"&gt;La Montanara&lt;/a&gt; and the strangely-named &lt;a href="http://maps.google.com/places/it/bologna/via-piella/12/-trattoria-serghei"&gt;Serghei&lt;/a&gt;). So now I am back, fat, happy, and with plenty of Planck work to do in the next few weeks, months and years.&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Bologna" rel="tag"&gt;Bologna&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Planck" rel="tag"&gt;Planck&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=SH0eH7nXvwg:FSoyJn7vXIk:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=SH0eH7nXvwg:FSoyJn7vXIk:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=SH0eH7nXvwg:FSoyJn7vXIk:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=SH0eH7nXvwg:FSoyJn7vXIk:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~4/SH0eH7nXvwg" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Science</category>
        
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Bologna</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Planck</category>
        
         <pubDate>Sat, 07 Nov 2009 20:33:51 +0000</pubDate>
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         <title>Sorry...</title>
         <description>I'll be back online soon, promise.&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=d5bMCUG0m2Y:qgMimi73QxE:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=d5bMCUG0m2Y:qgMimi73QxE:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=d5bMCUG0m2Y:qgMimi73QxE:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=d5bMCUG0m2Y:qgMimi73QxE:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
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         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/d5bMCUG0m2Y/000431.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Miscellanea</category>
        
        
         <pubDate>Sat, 07 Nov 2009 19:50:31 +0000</pubDate>
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         <title>Born to Run (for donations)</title>
         <description>I feel a bit guilty about using the blog for this sort of thing, but... if you're one of the lucky people feeling flush this season, and not otherwise philosophically opposed, you might want to consider &lt;a href="http://www.justgiving.com/Andrew-Jaffe/"&gt;donating to the UK Blue Cross&lt;/a&gt; ("Britain's Pet Charity") in support of my attempt to run the &lt;a href="http://www.royalparkshalf.com/"&gt;London Royal Parks Half Marathon&lt;/a&gt; this weekend. Be nice to teh kittehs...
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Blue%20Cross" rel="tag"&gt;Blue Cross&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/charity" rel="tag"&gt;charity&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/half-marathon" rel="tag"&gt;half-marathon&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/London%20Royal%20Parks" rel="tag"&gt;London Royal Parks&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/running" rel="tag"&gt;running&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=bS3OwjOBtQ0:Gu8COcsZX_U:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=bS3OwjOBtQ0:Gu8COcsZX_U:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=bS3OwjOBtQ0:Gu8COcsZX_U:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=bS3OwjOBtQ0:Gu8COcsZX_U:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
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         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/bS3OwjOBtQ0/000430.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Miscellanea</category>
        
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Blue Cross</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">charity</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">half-marathon</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">London Royal Parks</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">running</category>
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 19:39:57 +0000</pubDate>
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         <title>Back to Life, Back to Reality</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;While I've been galavanting across Europe and the USA, the ongoing UK science-funding crisis has entered a new, possibly even grimmer, phase. The &lt;a href="http://stfc.ac.uk/Grants/stfcgrants.aspx"&gt;STFC itself is so strapped for cash it will only be issuing grants lasting until October 2010&lt;/a&gt;, instead of the usual two or three years. This is rumored to be engendered by a new &amp;pound;40 million shortfall and related to the ongoing &lt;a href="http://www.stfc.ac.uk/About/Stats/Rev/intro.aspx"&gt;reviews of STFC science and facilities&lt;/a&gt; such as big telescopes and membership in international collaborations like CERN and the European Space Agency. The results of these reviews and consultations have started to come in, and they will be digested in a likely mysterious and political process to give the STFC executive &lt;strike&gt;cover for its decisions&lt;/strike&gt; input from the scientific community as it forms its strategy for the coming years.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Meanwhile, even those applying for these underfunded grants are being increasingly pressed to prove their economic worth, possibly over and above the scientific merit of their proposals. The &lt;a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2009/oct/02/search-for-stephen-hawkings-successor"&gt;Guardian discusses this in the context of the search for the next Lucasian Professor at Cambridge&lt;/a&gt; (a lineage which stretches from Isaac Newton to Stephen Hawking) and asks whether the UK can continue to maintain its leadership in blue-skies (but perhaps manifestly "useless") science like cosmology and general relativity. My colleague &lt;a href="http://telescoper.wordpress.com/2009/10/05/the-very-big-stupid/"&gt;Peter Coles reminds us&lt;/a&gt; that this is exactly the sort of things that Universities should be doing, of course.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Looking towards next year's election, &lt;a href="http://www.nature.com"&gt;Nature&lt;/a&gt; Magazine examines &lt;a href="http://www.nature.com/news/2009/091002/full/news.2009.973.html"&gt;the science policies of the likely Conservative Government&lt;/a&gt;, which would unsurprisingly take this economic stance even further.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Trying to digest all of this, &lt;a href="http://andyxl.wordpress.com/2009/09/30/dont-panic-yet/"&gt;Andy Lawrence&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href="http://telescoper.wordpress.com/2009/09/30/alarm-bells-at-stfc/"&gt;Peter Coles&lt;/a&gt; -- with lots of input from informed commenters -- have decided that it may, in fact, be time to panic.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;Still, I suppose it might be better than being at the University of California, where &lt;a href="http://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/news/article/21511"&gt;academics are being furloughed to save money&lt;/a&gt; -- although grants from the Federal government are still flowing (and can often be used to top-up salaries cut by the furloughs). Things, as they say, are tough all over. (And yes, of course, we supposedly but not certainly employed-for-life academics have it pretty good despite these cuts.)&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/STFC" rel="tag"&gt;STFC&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=Qj8nXu9Xskc:3DFUEFY1q1g:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=Qj8nXu9Xskc:3DFUEFY1q1g:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=Qj8nXu9Xskc:3DFUEFY1q1g:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=Qj8nXu9Xskc:3DFUEFY1q1g:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
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         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/Qj8nXu9Xskc/000429.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Miscellanea</category>
        
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">STFC</category>
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 18:07:28 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Born to Run</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;Finishing off my summer of aging-but-still-strong &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/music/000411.html"&gt;rock&lt;/a&gt; &amp;rsquo;n&amp;rsquo; &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/music/000426.html"&gt;rollers&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/music/000410.html"&gt;jazzmen&lt;/a&gt;, I pilgrimaged to New Jersey, the state of my childhood and adolescence, to see &lt;a href="http://www.brucespringsteen.net"&gt;Bruce Springsteen&lt;/a&gt; play Giants Stadium at the Meadowlands, one last gig before they tear the place down. I've seen Springsteen a few times before: my very first concert back in 1980, and a couple of times in the mid-1980s for the "Born in the USA" tour. In fact, the last time I saw him was in Giants Stadium itself, just about (and scarily) 25 years ago. This time, we -- thanks especially to my wonderful father who has come relatively late to Springsteen's rock &amp;rsquo;n&amp;rsquo; roll -- had great seats (but I only had a terrible phone-camera, as you can see from the photos -- does anyone have any pointers to better photos from that night, September 30, 2009?).&lt;/p&gt;


&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/34758141@N00/3972326777" title="View 'Springsteen at the Meadowlands - 10' on Flickr.com"&gt;&lt;img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2497/3972326777_cbe91dac61_m.jpg" alt="Springsteen at the Meadowlands - 10" border="0" width="240" height="190" align="right" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;In memoriam of its coming demolition, Springsteen opened the show with the new "Wrecking Ball" written just for the occasion, and &lt;a href="http://www.brucespringsteen.net/live/2009setlists.html#20090930"&gt;followed&lt;/a&gt; with several of his concert standards from throughout his career. He then got to the centerpiece of the show: all of "Born to Run" in order, from "Thunder Road" through "Jungleland". This was the record that started the hype in the 70s -- Jon Landaus's infamous quote "I have seen the future of rock &amp;rsquo;n&amp;rsquo; roll, and its name is Bruce Springsteen" (although perhaps &lt;a href="http://1heckofaguy.com/2008/03/11/notes-on-the-2008-hall-of-fame-induction-ceremony/"&gt;this version&lt;/a&gt; is apropos given my &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/music/000426.html"&gt;previous concertgoing experience&lt;/a&gt;) -- and it still holds up as a rock &amp;rsquo;n&amp;rsquo; roll masterpiece, showcasing Springsteen's ability to craft epics out of quiet desperation, managing to be anthemic but not pretentious. With rave-ups like "She's the One" alternating with the slow "Meeting Across the River", we got a few chances to catch our breath, although Bruce and the E Street band hardly let up.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;&lt;a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/34758141@N00/3972327359" title="View 'Springsteen at the Meadowlands - 11' on Flickr.com"&gt;&lt;img src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2427/3972327359_919d920e2c_m.jpg" alt="Springsteen at the Meadowlands - 11" border="0" width="240" height="87" align="left" hspace="5" /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;For most performers, a full album would be the bulk of a concert, but given Springsteen's reputation for marathon shows, we also heard plenty more, from some of his earliest music -- "Growin' Up", "The E Street Shuffle" and "Rosalita" -- through quite a bit of his amazing post-9/11 record "The Rising" and beyond, including his recent stomper "American Land" and Stephen Foster's "Hard Times", which brought out obscure New York rocker &lt;a href="http://willienile.com"&gt;Willie Nile&lt;/a&gt; and was prefaced with a much-needed and I hope well-received reminder of the perhaps naive but worthwhile sentiment that "nobody wins unless everybody wins" (although I did get the impression that some of the people around me didn't share these political sentiments). Still, he spent most of the night receiving something between adulation and worship from the tens of thousands in the audience. The rest of us can only wonder what it's like to feel that on such a scale, night after night, year after year. Does he get used to it? Is it addictive? Or just a job?&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Born%20to%20Run" rel="tag"&gt;Born to Run&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Giants%20Stadium" rel="tag"&gt;Giants Stadium&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Meadowlands" rel="tag"&gt;Meadowlands&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Springsteen" rel="tag"&gt;Springsteen&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
&lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=B3LX4o63Vgg:7SqNY0kASZA:yIl2AUoC8zA"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=yIl2AUoC8zA" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=B3LX4o63Vgg:7SqNY0kASZA:dnMXMwOfBR0"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?d=dnMXMwOfBR0" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?a=B3LX4o63Vgg:7SqNY0kASZA:F7zBnMyn0Lo"&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~ff/AJaffeMews?i=B3LX4o63Vgg:7SqNY0kASZA:F7zBnMyn0Lo" border="0"&gt;&lt;/img&gt;&lt;/a&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~4/B3LX4o63Vgg" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/B3LX4o63Vgg/000428.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Music</category>
        
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Born to Run</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Giants Stadium</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Meadowlands</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Springsteen</category>
        
         <pubDate>Fri, 02 Oct 2009 13:37:58 +0000</pubDate>
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      <item>
         <title>Festschrift: Turner in Chicago</title>
         <description>&lt;p&gt;Since &lt;a href="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/music/000426.html"&gt;Barcelona&lt;/a&gt;, I've also travelled to Chicago to attend a meeting in honor of the 60th birthday of &lt;a href="http://astro.uchicago.edu/people/michael-s-turner.shtml"&gt;Michael Turner&lt;/a&gt;, Professor at the University of Chicago, and a former head of the Mathematical and Physical Sciences Directorate of the US &lt;a href="http://www.nsf.gov"&gt;National Science Foundation&lt;/a&gt;.  Mike was one of my Ph.D. Supervisors, along with &lt;a href="http://astro.uchicago.edu/people/joshua-a-frieman.shtml"&gt;Josh Frieman&lt;/a&gt;, and it was a pleasure to return to Chicago to see so many old friends, teachers and mentors, many of whom I hadn't seen -- at least in one place together -- since I left Chicago in 1993.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;There is a longstanding academic tradition of such birthday symposia, often called a festschrift (although &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Festschrift"&gt;technically the term refers to a volume of essays&lt;/a&gt; in honor of an academic; the ubiquity of the web has made those less common). We heard (amusing, of course) reminiscences from Josh Frieman (who was himself Mike's first Ph.D. student), and Mike's longtime Chicago colleague &lt;a href="http://astro.uchicago.edu/~rocky/"&gt;Rocky Kolb&lt;/a&gt;, a thank-you from writer &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dennis_Overbye"&gt;Dennis Overbye&lt;/a&gt;, as well as more scientifically-oriented talks from &lt;a href="http://www.its.caltech.edu/~kamion/"&gt;Marc Kamionkowski&lt;/a&gt; (another former Turner student), &lt;a href="http://www.physics.ohio-state.edu/graduate_brochure/people/steigman.html"&gt;Gary Steigman&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://web.mit.edu/physics/facultyandstaff/faculty/alan_guth.html"&gt;Alan Guth&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.ociw.edu/research/wfreedman/"&gt;Wendy Freedman&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.physics.ox.ac.uk/astro/people/JoeSilk.htm"&gt;Joe Silk&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href="http://www.stanford.edu/dept/physics/people/faculty/blandford_roger.html"&gt;Roger Blandford&lt;/a&gt;. The evening was capped off by tapas in downtown Chicago and an after-dinner encomium of sorts from &lt;a href="http://www.cfa.harvard.edu/~rkirshner/"&gt;Robert Kirshner&lt;/a&gt;. (Along the way, their were plenty of embarrassing stories and pictures, but you'll have to &lt;a href="http://images.google.com/images?q=michael+turner+cosmology"&gt;search for the latter&lt;/a&gt; -- and wade through the several other famous Mike Turners out there...)&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;p&gt;This incredibly impressive roster is testament to Mike's influence throughout astrophysics and cosmology, from Guth's discussion of the early Universe and the Multiverse to Freedman's discussion of present-day observations of the expansion of the Universe. Mike was among the first to realize that Guth's idea of &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation_(cosmology)"&gt;inflation&lt;/a&gt; not only created a flat, homogeneous universe, but also, through the rapid expansion of quantum-mechanical fluctuations, could seed the formation of structure observed in the present-day Universe, also observed at an earlier time in the &lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cosmic_microwave_background_radiation"&gt;Cosmic Microwave Background&lt;/a&gt;. At Chicago, he championed the &lt;a href="http://www.sdss.org/"&gt;Sloan Digital Sky Survey&lt;/a&gt;, the largest probe of the large-scale distribution of galaxies to date. Mike is also famous for inventing the term "&lt;a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dark_energy"&gt;Dark Energy&lt;/a&gt;" referring to whatever is causing the observed acceleration of the expansion rate of the Universe. And for years, he was known for producing the most colorful transparencies in cosmology (a skill largely lost now that we're all using PowerPoint and such):
&lt;br /&gt;&lt;div style="text-align:center;"&gt;&lt;img src="http://www.andrewjaffe.net/blog/images/MST_Slide.jpg" alt="MST Slide" border="0" width="400" height="300" /&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
And of course, he he has supported dozens of students and postdocs many of whom have gone on to make their own contributions (and send our own students out into the cosmological field).&lt;/p&gt;
            
              &lt;p&gt;Tags: &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Chicago" rel="tag"&gt;Chicago&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/festschrift" rel="tag"&gt;festschrift&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href="http://www.technorati.com/tag/Mike%20Turner" rel="tag"&gt;Mike Turner&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;&lt;div class="feedflare"&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~4/6WAh3kpDJhg" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</description>
         <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/AJaffeMews/~3/6WAh3kpDJhg/000427.html</link>
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          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category">Science</category>
        
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Chicago</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">festschrift</category>
        
          <category domain="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#tag">Mike Turner</category>
        
         <pubDate>Mon, 28 Sep 2009 17:15:32 +0000</pubDate>
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