AbsolutePigskin Times

National Championship Prediction

Tom Loker — Mon, 07 Jan 2013 06:53:00 GMT

It comes with great sadness that the season finally comes to an end. The results for the AbsolutePigskin.com score predictor were promising. I have a few more tweaks to make in the off season to really make this a powerful tool to bet college football.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Alabama	289	262	551	42
Notre Dame	189	273	462	29
Differences	101	-11	89	13
Confidence	91.67%
*WIN*	*Alabama -9.5*

Bowl Season Week #5: Sunday

Tom Loker — Sun, 06 Jan 2013 16:29:00 GMT

I want to start by first apologizing to Pitt fans. It seems every time I bet on Pitt they completely lay an egg so I feel partially responsible for their loss yesterday.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Kent St.	217	254	471	35
Arkansas St.	235	299	534	40
Differences	-17	-45	-63	-5
Confidence	82.95%
*WIN*	*Arkansas St. -3*

Bowl Season Week #5: Saturday

Tom Loker — Sat, 05 Jan 2013 17:37:00 GMT

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Ole Miss	170	242	412	26
Pittsburgh	147	273	420	28
Differences	23	-31	-8	-2
Confidence	80.45%
*LOSS*	*Pittsburgh +4*

Bowl Season Week #4: Friday

Tom Loker — Fri, 04 Jan 2013 04:11:00 GMT

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Oklahoma	96	259	356	26
Texas A&M	273	394	667	49
Differences	-177	-134	-311	-23
Confidence	90.00%
Pick	Texas A&M -3

Bowl Season Week #4: Wednesday

Tom Loker — Thu, 03 Jan 2013 00:05:00 GMT

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Louisville	92	234	325	18
Florida	141	175	317	22
Differences	-49	58	9	-4
Confidence	72.73%
WIN	Louisville +14

Bowl Season Week #4: Tuesday, New Years Day Bowls

Tom Loker — Mon, 31 Dec 2012 21:12:00 GMT

These final games of the year make me sad as simply put I don't like to bet on sports other than college football.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Northwestern	246	244	489	40
Mississippi St.	120	232	351	26
Differences	126	12	138	14
Confidence	90.91%
*WIN*	*Northwestern -2*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Oklahoma St.	227	363	590	45
Purdue	217	260	477	36
Differences	10	103	113	9
Confidence	77.27%
Adjusted Diff.	Oklahoma St. 20 pts better, computer underestimated Ok. State in similar situations previously this year.
WIN	*Oklahoma St. -17*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Georgia	190	292	481	39
Nebraska	264	286	550	36
Differences	-74	6	-68	3
Confidence	70.83%
*LOSS*	*Nebraska +8*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Michigan	130	270	400	28
South Carolina	157	239	396	29
Differences	-27	31	4	-1
Confidence	87.12%
*LOSS*	*Michigan +4.5*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Wisconsin	177	275	452	29
Stanford	162	230	392	27
Differences	15	45	60	2
Confidence	63.46%
*LOSS*	*Wisconsin +6*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Florida St.	127	205	332	20
Northern Ill.	333	249	582	47
Differences	-206	-44	-250	-27
Confidence	82.58%
*WIN*	*Florida St. -13.5*

Bowl Season Week #4: Monday

Tom Loker — Mon, 31 Dec 2012 16:44:00 GMT

Let's keep it going! Best of luck!

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
North Carolina St.	142	241	384	25
Vanderbilt	161	249	410	30
Differences	-18	-8	-26	-5
Confidence	86.36%
*Pick*	*NC State +7*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Georgia Tech	315	221	536	34
Southern California	88	212	300	15
Differences	228	9	236	19
Confidence	66.67%
*Pick*	*Georgia Tech +7.5*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Tulsa	175	300	475	35
Iowa St.	101	201	302	21
Differences	74	98	173	14
Confidence	60.98%
*Pick*	*Tulsa +1*

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Clemson	123	257	381	26
LSU	155	300	454	34
Differences	-31	-42	-73	-8
Confidence	90.91%
*Pick*	*LSU -6*

Bowl Season Week #4: Saturday

Tom Loker — Sat, 29 Dec 2012 07:29:00 GMT

We are going to keep the winning ways going here. Good luck!

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Rice	251	225	476	34
Air Force	281	193	474	31
Differences	-30	32	2	3
Confidence	74.24%
WIN	Rice +2

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Arizona St.	216	320	536	40
Navy	315	206	521	37
Differences	-99	114	15	3
Confidence	68.18%
LOSS	Navy +14

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
West Virginia	196	331	527	42
Syracuse	230	320	550	38
Differences	-34	11	-23	4
Confidence	68.18%
WIN	Syracuse +3.5

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
TCU	169	163	331	22
Michigan St.	161	194	355	22
Differences	8	-31	-23	0
Confidence	65.15%
WIN	Michigan St. +2.5

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Oregon St.	156	274	430	33
Texas	123	241	364	25
Differences	33	33	65	8
Confidence	60.61%
LOSS	Oregon St. -3.5

Bowl Season: Week #3 Friday

Tom Loker — Fri, 28 Dec 2012 18:52:00 GMT

Sorry for yesterdays picks... the AbsolutePigskin.com computer is still getting tweaks here and there and I unfortunately screwed something up. Things should be back to normal now and we hope to get back on the winning track!

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
La.-Monroe	123	254	377	30
Ohio	150	300	450	28
Differences	-27	-46	-73	2
Confidence	78.03%
WIN	OHIO +7

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Rutgers	117	169	286	19
Virginia Tech	149	201	350	25
Differences	-32	-32	-64	-6
Confidence	68.18%
WIN	VIRGINIA TECH +1

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Texas Tech	152	327	479	36
Minnesota	83	157	240	15
Differences	69	170	239	21
Confidence	72.73%
LOSS	TEXAS TECH -13

Bowl Season: Week #3 Thursday

Tom Loker — Thu, 27 Dec 2012 04:51:00 GMT

All I have to say about last nights outcome is damn you Western Kentucky, damn you. Picks, Bowling Green +7.5, Cincinnati -10, UCLA -3

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Bowling Green	107	194	301	18	Pred. Spread	Bowling Green	0
San Jose St.	88	192	280	18	Actual Spread	San Jose St.	-7.5
Differences	19	2	21	0
Confidence	77.27%				PICK	Bowling Green	+7.5

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Duke	114	236	351	20	Pred. Spread	Cincinnati	-22
Cincinnati	263	300	563	42	Actual Spread	Cincinnati	-10
Differences	-149	-64	-213	-22
Confidence	66.82%				PICK	Cincinnati	-10

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Baylor	214	338	552	38	Pred. Spread	UCLA	-10
UCLA	241	397	638	48	Actual Spread	UCLA	-3
Differences	-27	-59	-85	-10
Confidence	61.89%				PICK	UCLA	-3

Bowl Season: Week #3 Wednesday

Tom Loker — Wed, 26 Dec 2012 20:39:00 GMT

After I made the mistake of betting against June Jones in a bowl game it's time to get back on the winning track. Whether you are betting with me or against me I hope you are a winner.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Central Mich.	94	207	301	22	Pred. Spread	Western Ky.	-12
Western Ky.	230	234	465	34	Actual Spread	Western Ky.	-6.5
Differences	-137	-27	-164	-12
Confidence	72.73%				LOSS	Western Ky.	-6.5

Bowl Season: Week #3 Monday

Tom Loker — Mon, 24 Dec 2012 08:00:00 GMT

So far so good for the AbsolutePigskin.com score predictor. Once the quirk in the programming for the late season games was discovered and corrected it seems we are back on the winning track here in the bowl season. Boise State didn't cover like we thought but that is the lone blemish thus far for all the predictions. Let's keep things rolling with a pick for Monday nights match up between SMU and Fresno St. As always whether you are betting with me or against me I hope you are a winner.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
SMU	157	132	289	21	Pred. Spread	Fresno St.	-14
Fresno St.	114	321	435	34	Actual Spread	Fresno St.	-11
Differences	42	-189	-146	-14
Confidence	81.82%				LOSS	Fresno St.	-11

Bowl Season: Week #3 Saturday

Tom Loker — Sat, 22 Dec 2012 06:56:00 GMT

So far the bowl betting gods have been good to us so hopefully we can keep things going here. As always whether you are betting with me or against me I hope you are a winner.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
La.-Lafayette	177	298	475	36	Pred. Spread	La.-Lafayette	-8
East Carolina	117	279	396	28	Actual Spread	La.-Lafayette	-6
Differences	60	20	79	8
Confidence	81.82%				Pick	La.-Lafayette	-6

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Washington	125	131	256	14	Pred. Spread	Boise St.	-11
Boise St.	153	193	346	25	Actual Spread	Boise St.	-5
Differences	-28	-62	-91	-11
Confidence	69.32%				Pick	Boise St.	-5

Bowl Season: Week #2 Friday

Tom Loker — Fri, 21 Dec 2012 04:49:00 GMT

Let's keep the hot streak going and remember kids whether you are betting with me or against me I hope you are a winner.

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
Ball St.	181	248	429	28	Pred. Spread	UCF	-10
UCF	245	246	490	38	Actual Spread	UCF	-7
Differences	-64	3	-62	-10
Confidence	79.81%				WIN	UCF	-7

Bowl Season: Week #2 Thursday Night

Tom Loker — Thu, 20 Dec 2012 04:38:00 GMT

We had a good start to the bowl season so lets keep it going here. The computer isn't as high on this game as others but it doesn't mean that it doesn't have an opinion on the game. Without further ado here is the pick for Thursday nights game.

Whether you are betting with me or against me I hope you are a winner!

Teams	Rush	Pass	Total	Pts
San Diego St.	90	201	291	20	Pred. Spread	BYU	-6
BYU	159	222	381	25	Actual Spread	BYU	-3.5
Differences	-69	-21	-90	-6
Confidence	63.64%				WIN	BYU	-3.5