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	<title>Accelerating Future</title>
	
	<link>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog</link>
	<description>Transhumanism, AI, nanotechnology, and extinction risk.</description>
	<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 23:51:12 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>Singularity Quotes Page</title>
		<link>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/singularity-quotes-page/</link>
		<comments>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/singularity-quotes-page/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 23:51:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Anissimov</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[singularity]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/?p=1444</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A while back, I created a large page of Singularity, nanotechnology, and life extension-related quotes from various scientists, futurists, politicians, and other blowhards.  It currently has 110 quotes.  Now, with this public posting, you and your family can enjoy this quotes page in the privacy and comfort of your own home, or, be [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A while back, I created a large page of Singularity, nanotechnology, and life extension-related <a href="http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/singularityquotes.html">quotes</a> from various scientists, futurists, politicians, and other blowhards.  It currently has 110 quotes.  Now, with this public posting, you and your family can enjoy this quotes page in the privacy and comfort of your own home, or, be as it may, surfing the Internet at work on company time.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>6 Insane Laws We’ll Need in the Future at Cracked.com</title>
		<link>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/6-insane-laws-well-need-in-the-future-at-crackedcom/</link>
		<comments>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/6-insane-laws-well-need-in-the-future-at-crackedcom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 02:37:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Anissimov</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[transhumanism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/?p=1443</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Transhumanist issues are obscenely mainstream nowadays, who even cares.  We&#8217;re not even edgy anymore.  The excitement is over.  It&#8217;s time to start racing towards a safe intelligence explosion so we can end the Human-only Era once and for all.  Let&#8217;s just get it over with.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Transhumanist issues are <a href="http://www.cracked.com/article/192_6-insane-laws-well-need-in-future/">obscenely mainstream</a> nowadays, who even cares.  We&#8217;re not even edgy anymore.  The excitement is over.  It&#8217;s time to start racing towards a safe intelligence explosion so we can end the Human-only Era once and for all.  Let&#8217;s just get it over with.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>AGI vs. Whole Brain Emulation — Give Me Your Probability Distributions and Statements</title>
		<link>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/agi-vs-whole-brain-emulation-give-me-your-probability-distributions-and-statements/</link>
		<comments>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/agi-vs-whole-brain-emulation-give-me-your-probability-distributions-and-statements/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 02:24:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Anissimov</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[AI]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[uploading]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/?p=1442</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[There is still a great amount of disagreement in the community over whether uploads or AGI are more likely to occur first.  I would like to solicit probability distributions and statements from interested parties on the relative likelihood of either route reaching human-equivalent intelligence first.  Please send your probability distribution values, including mean [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There is still a great amount of disagreement in the community over whether uploads or AGI are more likely to occur first.  I would like to solicit probability distributions and statements from interested parties on the relative likelihood of either route reaching human-equivalent intelligence first.  Please send your probability distribution values, including mean and standard deviations, to michaelanissimov at g mail dot com, coupled with a well-written, well-edited statement of 400 or more words, and a short official bio and link to your CV (if applicable).  Please include at least 3-5 citations in your argument, and please make it as academic as possible.  The final results will be published on a web page at AcceleratingFuture.com, and may make it into a journal if the results are good enough.   </p>
<p>The operating definition of intelligence to be used during this exercise is that given by Shane Legg in his PhD thesis <em><a href="http://www.vetta.org/documents/Machine_Super_Intelligence.pdf">Machine Superintelligence</a></em>:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>Intelligence measures an agent’s ability to achieve goals in a wide range of environments.</em></p></blockquote>
<p>Good luck!  By the <a href="http://hanson.gmu.edu/prior.pdf">power of Aumann</a>, may our probability estimates converge closer to the truth as a result of this exercise.  </p>
<p>The academic philosophers who are reading &#8212; you know who you are &#8212; if you only make one comment on <em>Accelerating Future</em> all year, make it a contribution to this exercise.  Thank you for your time.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Atheism Done Right</title>
		<link>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/atheism-done-right/</link>
		<comments>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/atheism-done-right/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Nov 2009 01:19:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Anissimov</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/?p=1441</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Russell Blackford, an atheist activist and transhumanist, and Udo Schuklenk, who is Joint editor-in-chief of Bioethics, the journal of the International Association of Bioethics, and released the October 2009 anthology &#8216;50 Voices of Disbelief: Why We are Atheists&#8217; with Russell, have published an article in The Guardian, &#8220;Stand up, stand up, against Jesus&#8221;.  It [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Russell Blackford, an atheist activist and transhumanist, and Udo Schuklenk, who is Joint editor-in-chief of <em>Bioethics</em>, the journal of the International Association of Bioethics, and released the October 2009 anthology &#8216;50 Voices of Disbelief: Why We are Atheists&#8217; with Russell, have published an article in <em>The Guardian</em>, <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/belief/2009/nov/06/religion-atheism">&#8220;Stand up, stand up, against Jesus&#8221;</a>.  It describes the unfortunate schism in atheism between the &#8220;accommodationists&#8221; and the people who say it like it is.  Here is an excerpt:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>Religious teachings promise us much — eternal life, spiritual salvation, moral direction, and a deeper understanding of reality. It all sounds good, but these teachings are also onerous in their demands. If they can&#8217;t deliver on what they promise, it would be well to clear that up. Put bluntly, are the teachings of any religion actually true or not? Do they have any rational support? It&#8217;s hard to see what questions could be more important. Surely the claims of religion — of all religions — merit scrutiny from every angle, whether historical, philosophical, scientific, or any other.</em></p>
<p><em>Contrary to many expectations in the 1970s, or even the 1990s, religion has not faded away, even in the Western democracies, and we still see intense activism from religious lobbies. Even now, one religion or another opposes abortion rights, most contraceptive technologies, and therapeutic cloning research. Various churches and sects condemn many harmless, pleasurable sexual activities that adults can reasonably enjoy. As a result, these are frowned upon, if not prohibited outright, in many parts of the world, indeed people lose their lives because of them. Most religious organisations reject dying patients&#8217; requests to end their lives as they see fit. Even in relatively secular countries, such as the UK, Canada, and Australia, governments pander blatantly to Christian moral concerns as the protection of religiously motivated refusals to provide medical professional services demonstrates. </em></p></blockquote>
<p>Homosexuals are demonized thanks to religion.  The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/God_of_the_gaps">God of the Gaps</a> serves as the most notorious <a href="http://lesswrong.com/lw/it/semantic_stopsigns/">curiosity-stopper</a> there is.  Homosexuals are <a href="http://worldblog.msnbc.msn.com/archive/2009/05/04/1921277.aspx">routinely murdered</a> in places like Iraq.  According to the predominant interpretation of the Bible, it says that homosexuality is evil, but how do we even know that &#8220;lying with&#8221; a man means sexing them up?  Christianity is the fuel in the engine of the fantastically <a href="http://www.moreintelligentlife.com/blog/emily-bobrow/dept-grim-statistics">evil and wasteful</a> Drug War.  More Christians <a href="http://ac360.blogs.cnn.com/2009/04/30/churchgoers-more-likely-to-back-torture-survey-finds/">back torture</a>.</p>
<p>More subtly, religion, especially Christianity where I come from, discourages counterculture and brash intellectualism in general.  If the Bible is immune from <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Higher_criticism">higher criticism</a>, then the notion of erecting other curiosity-stoppers elsewhere comes naturally.  </p>
<p>I am quite interested in Christianity for the large, convoluted memetic complex that it is.  I have over <a href="http://delicious.com/anissimov/christianity">173 bookmarks for Christianity</a> on my del.ic.ious account.  If there are any atheist transhumanists out there with as much interest in Christianity as I have, people step forward, and we can discuss the authorship of the Pauline epistles together over wine and bread.  </p>
<p>As Russell points out, it is our right to make mockery of religion.  If you are religious, it is my right to disrespect you all day long if I feel like it.  In America, a free country, I can do any damn thing I want as long as I don&#8217;t break the law (and sometimes even then).  You can feel free to disrespect me back.  But I see Christianity unraveling, and it&#8217;s our obligation to pull on the threads.  </p>
<p>Most transhumanists are afraid of Christianity and want to be buddy-buddy.  Not me.  I respect some theists, like Lincoln Cannon and the Mormon Transhumanists, but I think that Mormon theology is extremely unusual in its flexibility and apparent relatedness to transhumanism.  Mormonism is one of the most exotically unusual Christian sects anyhow, so when I am speaking against Christianity in general you can assume I am not talking about Mormonism.  Most mainstream Christians consider Mormonism to be <a href="http://www.biblebelievers.com/jmelton/Mormons.html">heresy</a> anyway.  My priest in the Russian Orthodox Church made fun of Mormonism to me when I was an altar boy.  It seems like Mormonism can almost be <a href="http://pc2009.confreaks.com/07-mar-2009-14-00-transfiguration-parallels-and-complements-between-mormonism-and-transhumanism-carl-youngblood.html">twisted and pulled and warped</a> into something that makes sense, but not quite.  </p>
<p>I am part of what you&#8217;d call the Penn &#038; Teller <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8RV46fsmx6E">school of atheism</a>.  Except that I don&#8217;t think that people should use quotes from Michael Shermer.  Michael Shermer is played out.  </p>
<p>However, I think Jesus was pretty fricking interesting.  He was damn smart and confident.  He reminds me of others sometimes.</p>
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		<title>Aerogel is Awesome</title>
		<link>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/aerogel-is-awesome/</link>
		<comments>http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/2009/11/aerogel-is-awesome/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2009 21:25:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Michael Anissimov</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[technology]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.acceleratingfuture.com/michael/blog/?p=1440</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Thought of the hour: if you were wearing an aerogel bodysuit, you could roll around in the snow or ice without getting cold.
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			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Thought of the hour: if you were wearing an aerogel bodysuit, you could roll around in the snow or ice without getting cold.</p>
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