American Soccer Analysis

ASA Acast Feed

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 19 Mar 2025 02:59:20 +0000

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 1 Power Rankings

Evan Davis — Tue, 18 Mar 2025 06:00:00 +0000

One down, 25 to go! The first round of NWSL matches is in the books for 2025, and it was a morass of beatdowns and 1-1 draws. Who's up and who's down relative to our preseason rankings? The guys look at all seven games and figure out who has shifted since they made their initial picks.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Gotham FC, with Jenna Tonelli

Evan Davis — Fri, 14 Mar 2025 06:01:00 +0000

The Bats took flight across the regular season, but were felled in penalties to Washington in the NWSL playoffs. Then the rumors of behind-the-scenes discord kicked up. Then a dozen players departed. Amid all of this upheaval, do they still have the goods to be one of the best teams in the league? Jenna Tonelli of Sports Illustrated dropped by to pitch herself as Gotham's goalie, with Evan as the no. 9 in a pinch.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — North Carolina Courage, with Kim McCauley

Evan Davis — Fri, 14 Mar 2025 06:00:00 +0000

Jaedyn Shaw is here! Can the Courage now win their first playoff game in six years, please? Kim McCauley of The Guardian returns to figure out whether Shaw and Ashley Sanchez can work together, who could possibly be the main goalscoring threat, and if the backline is due for some regression. Also, who is actually running recruitment right now?

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Kansas City Current, with Thom Bomb of Shea Butter FC

Evan Davis — Thu, 13 Mar 2025 22:16:11 +0000

The Kansas City Current were the best team on paper last year. They rostered the league's MVP and producer of one of the greatest seasons in league history, Temwa Chawinga. But they fell to budding rivals Orlando Pride in the semifinal. Are they read to take the next step and win a trophy? Thom Bomb of Shea Butter FC and Shades of Blue walked the guys through the (few) roster changes the club made, and how they can improve upon last year's historic performance.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Portland Thorns, with Kim McCauley

Evan Davis — Thu, 13 Mar 2025 10:54:23 +0000

Who is going to play for the Portland Thorns? With Sophia Wilson gone for the year, and Morgan Weaver on the bench for potentially all season, their attack feels thin. Their defense is getting a hard reboot, too. Portland may. have never had more questions around them than right now. Kim McCauley of the Guardian tries to find some silver lining in the dark clouds, with varying degrees of success.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Bay FC, with Anna Daccache

Evan Davis — Wed, 12 Mar 2025 11:01:13 +0000

Bay FC made the playoffs in their first season, and are rolling out a solid lineup with some high-upside college signings this year. But an investigation into allegations of bullying and harassment by head coach Albertin Montoya—along with the resignation of scout Graeme Abel over an earlier such report before he joined the club—has changed the complexion of the entire organization. Anna Daccache of Everything Bay Goals tries to parse her feelings on these recent stories, and what the team itself could accomplish on the field in 2025.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Chicago Stars FC, with Lesley Ryder

Evan Davis — Wed, 12 Mar 2025 08:12:17 +0000

The Chicago (Red) Stars squeaked into the playoffs on the backs of a completely new regime, from the owners to the GM to the head coach. Very little was done in the offseason, and with Mallory Swanson MIA, their 2025 playoff prospects seem remote. Lesley Ryder of Gal Pal Sports came on to find the gold in the silt, and how Chicago can still offer some joy to its fans this year.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Angel City FC, with Michelle Chavez & Mark Parsons

Evan Davis — Wed, 12 Mar 2025 01:11:18 +0000

Angel City became the first club in NWSL history to be docked points for violations of the league's policies—namely, violations of the salary cap. They now have a new controlling owner, a new sporting director, and will have a new permanent head coach soon. Can the team on the field match the team off it? Michelle Chavez of the Sporting Tribune came on to hash it all out. (1:39) Then, the guys spoke to Angel City's new sporting director, Mark Parsons, about his first few weeks on the job and what people can expect in year one of this new regime in Los Angeles. (33:04)

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Racing Louisville, with Bekki Morgan

Evan Davis — Tue, 11 Mar 2025 07:00:58 +0000

Four straight ninth-place finishes. A roster that has more or less stayed the same from the end of last season. What can we make of Racing Louisville's on-field stagnation. Bekki Morgan of NWSL This Week comes on to give the Kentuckian's perspective on what Louisville's ownership group has done to get the team to this point, and what can be done to get them over the playoff line once and for all.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Utah Royals, with Kieran Doyle-Davis

Evan Davis — Tue, 11 Mar 2025 06:01:00 +0000

Kieran returns to share his pitch to NWSL front offices about some partnership opportunities with American Soccer Analysis! Then we dive into the ins and outs of the Utah Royals. They've brought in some very enticing players. Is it enough to make them playoff contenders? Will standouts like Ally Sentnor and Mandy McGlynn level up or regress? And how many ways can three people proncounce Jimmy Coenraets's last name?

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Seattle Reign, with Sylvs of Shea Butter FC

Evan Davis — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 09:27:32 +0000

The Seattle Reign were old, slow, and boring last year. This year, they're slightly young, a bit faster, and potentially more exciting. Lynn Biyendolo will pep up the attack, and Madison Curry will stabilize and energize the backline. But can this group actually click? Sylvs of Shea Butter FC joined the guys to figure out what head coach Laura Harvey can do to get the Reign back on the right track.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Houston Dash, with Theo Lloyd-Hughes

Evan Davis — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 07:16:12 +0000

Is Lucy going to pull the football? Will this time really be different? The Houston Dash have a new GM, a new head coach, and a slew of promising signings. It could really change the course of the franchise. Right? Sports Illustrated's Theo Lloyd-Hughes joins the guys to sift through the wreckage of the Fran Alonso era, and what Angela Hucles Mangano and Fabrice Gautrat may have in store for a team that now boasts Yazmeen Ryan and Delanie Sheehan among its ranks.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — San Diego Wave, with Kieran Doyle-Davis

Evan Davis — Mon, 10 Mar 2025 06:00:00 +0000

Out NWSL season previews keep on a'truckin' with a team whose fall from the mountaintop has been quick and precipitous. The Wave shipped Jaedyn Shaw and Naomi Girma at their requests; the legal action around allegations of a toxic workplace still hangs heavy; and new head coach Jonas Eidevall has to whip multiple kids into professional shape. ASA's own Kieran Doyle-Davis dropped by to sort out what the hell San Diego can do to have a respectable 2025. (1:02) Stick around for a small bonus track! (22:57)

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Washington Spirit, with Ella Brockway

Evan Davis — Fri, 07 Mar 2025 08:07:17 +0000

The Washington Spirit may have the best roster on paper heading into the 2025 season. Can they be title contenders? Ella Brockway of the Washington Post and the Hey Spirits! podcast joins the guys to talk about the Spirit's run to the NWSL Championship game last season, and what they've done since to get even better.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Song

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Preview Week — Orlando Pride, with Bridie O'Toole

Evan Davis — Thu, 06 Mar 2025 14:05:43 +0000

Welcome to NWSL Season Preview Week! We'll be bringing you previews of all 14 NWSL teams with some outstanding guests to help us break down each and every club, leading up to the start of the NWSL regular season.

First up, last year's Shield and Championship winners, the Orlando Pride! They're keeping most of their roster in place, with key additions like Grace Chanda and Oihane Hernández. Can big purp run it back? Bridie O'Toole of Busy Watching Women's Soccer takes the guys through head coach Seb Hines's tactical plan for one of the best-run organizations in the league.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: USWNT Recap — Don't Stop SheBelievin'

Evan Davis — Fri, 28 Feb 2025 07:00:00 +0000

The USWNT has put three more friendlies in the books, and Emma Hayes earns her first loss of her tenure as head coach. After the guys sort through the NWSL jersey drop and injury report (1:41), they dive into all the ins and outs of the SheBelieves Cup, with special attention paid to the 2-1 loss to Japan. (7:47) What was the U.S. hoping to achieve with these three friendlies? Did the heavy rotation of inexperienced players work as intended? Is Japan actually a better team? No need to panic yet!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Season Previews Part 3, The Inner Circle Contenders

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 20 Feb 2025 05:40:49 +0000

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Breaking Down the USWNT SheBelieves Roster

Evan Davis — Tue, 18 Feb 2025 19:44:04 +0000

The guys make note of new signings Carissa Boeckmann to the Portland Thorns and Oihane Hernández to the Orlando Pride, and what Hernández's signing might add to the NWSL-vs.-Europe debate. Then, they turn over Emma Hayes's SheBelieves roster. This is the least experienced USWNT roster in the tournament's history! What does Hayes want to do with these three games? How frustrating is it that certain players were left at home? Which players will rise to the top? Find out today!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Season Previews Part 2, Stuck in the Middle with You

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Tue, 18 Feb 2025 03:09:29 +0000

ASA Show - Season Previews, the Bottom 10

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 13 Feb 2025 05:21:18 +0000

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: College Week, Pt. 1 with Chris Henderson

Evan Davis — Tue, 11 Feb 2025 08:54:41 +0000

The guys touch on the Savy King transfer to Angel City (00:47) and the Hannah Bebar signing with Bay FC (13:00) before offering some thoughts on the NWSL's $5 million restitution fund for players affected by abuse and harassment, as well as the horrifying news surrounding Mapi León in Spain (17:33). Then they bring on Chris Henderson (23:05) to kick off Part I of College Week! Chris takes us through signings he has been impressed by, and what all of the player movement without a draft may mean for both players and college programs in the big picture.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Live in Houston, with Arielle Dror & Jen Cooper!

Evan Davis — Tue, 04 Feb 2025 18:57:15 +0000

RECORDED BEFORE THE TRANSFER OF SAVY KING TO ANGEL CITY FC

It's xOG's first ever live pod! The guys chat about Crystal Dunn's move to PSG and the other stray transactions of the last week, before launching into their live conversation from the inaugural American Soccer Insights Summit in Houston, Texas. Bay FC director of data and analytics Arielle Dror and women's soccer researcher/historian/NWSL information director Jen "The Keeper" Cooper to talk about the past, present and future of statistics and analytics in the women's game. This was the most fun.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs (chopped n screwed remix by Evan Davis)

ASA Show - Arman Kafai and How to Get Into Soccer Analytics

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 30 Jan 2025 05:09:49 +0000

Arman Kafai, formerly the lead analytics consultant for FC Dallas stops by to talk about his analytics journey and drop some takes on the craziness of this MLS offseason.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Jenna Nighswonger is a Gunner. What's going on with Gotham?

Evan Davis — Tue, 28 Jan 2025 09:06:15 +0000

Breaking news all over the place! Jenna Nighswonger is moving to north London. Where does this leave Gotham's offseason? (00:30) San Diego has made a flurry of moves, including losing Naomi Girma and gaining Kenza Dali. Yikes. (15:14) The Houston Dash picked up Danielle Colaprico and Messiah Bright. Are all of these parts adding up to something? (21:44) Angel City got another 30-year-old center back in Alanna Kennedy. Oh dear. (32:05) The Portland Thorns added Deyna Castellanos in a "blockbuster" deal. Is there room for her? (35:25) The North Carolina Courage signed a young Japanese midfielder to replace their other Japanese midfielder. (44:50). And we wrap things up with a not-so-scintillating London derby between Chelsea and Arsenal, which probably wraps up the WSL title for the Blues. (49:00) Packed show this week!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: When Will San Diego and Louisville Catch the Big Fish?

Evan Davis — Tue, 21 Jan 2025 22:33:14 +0000

RECORDED BEFORE THE SIGNINGS OF SHINOMI KOYAMA, SINTIA CABEZAS, DIDI HARAČIĆ, AND FAVOUR EMMANUEL

It's been a busy-but-not-busy period of the NWSL offseason. The North Carolina Courage released the financial details of the Jaedyn Shaw trade (1:38). The San Diego Wave brought in some young talent, and can't shake the rumors of Naomi Girma's impending transfer (8:00). Angel City hired Mark Parsons as sporting director (good!) and announced Christen Press had re-signed (less good!), to our confusion (18:16). Racing Louisville maxed out their roster spots with three college players, and noone else (29:00). the Houston Dash and Chicago Stars FC each signed a player who may or may not have an impact in 2025 (39:34). And the guys close the show mourning the loss of filmmaker, artist, musician, and pop culture icon David Lynch (44:40).

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

Read Corpses, Fools & Monsters
Read Laura Dern's birthday message to David Lynch
Read Kyle MacLachlan's remembrance of David Lynch
Read Naomi Watts's remembrance of David Lynch
Read Vera Drew's tribute to David Lynch

ASA Show - Matt Pfeffer, Colorado Rapids Director of Analytics

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Mon, 20 Jan 2025 17:51:33 +0000

Ben and Kieran spoke to Matt Pfeffer about his origin in soccer analytics, the constructions of MLS from the viewpoint of financial markets, and a whole lot of hockey.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: New Year, New US(WNT)

Evan Davis — Tue, 14 Jan 2025 17:03:17 +0000

We're back! The guys return from their brief, fire-filled hiatus to unpack all the news of the first weeks of the new year. They chat about the senior USWNT roster for the January camp, then dive into some of the major signings and trades in the NWSL, with Jaedyn Shaw's move to the North Carolina Courage carrying the headlines. Back in the saddle, folks!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Roster Rules Changes, Squad Building in MLS vs Europe with Nikos Overheul

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 08 Jan 2025 04:40:11 +0000

We were lucky enough to have former Vancouver Whitecaps Direct of Recruitment Nikos Overheul join us again to talk some of the rules changes (and impending rules changes) in MLS since he left Vancouver, the differences squad building in MLS vs Europe, and we even got a story about driving with Vanni Sartini.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The Biggest Own Goals of the Year

Evan Davis — Tue, 31 Dec 2024 14:52:46 +0000

It's the last episode of 2024! No better time for the guys to look back on the previous year and all the things they and teams were wrong about, from Orlando's final table position to who would be Rookie of the Year. (You'll never believe who Evan picked for that particular trophy all the way back in March.)

Happy New Year, everyone! We'll be back on main feed on January 13th!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The NWSL Holiday Transactions Roundup

Evan Davis — Tue, 24 Dec 2024 07:00:00 +0000

Becky Sauerbrunn retiring! Jonas Eidevall to the San Diego Wave! Lynn Williams to the Seattle Reign! Jaelin Howell to Gotham FC! Rocky Rodríguez and Lorena to the Kansas City Current! Julie Dufour to Angel City! The NWSL offseason is cooking with gas, and the guys break down all the major moves.

00:47 - Becky Sauerbrunn's retirement announcement
05:58 - Jonas Eidevall hired as Wave head coach
11:28 - Lynn Williams and Jaelin Howell trade
23:24 - Alex Loera trade to the Utah Royals
31:14 - Narumi Miura signs with the Washington Spirit
34:45 - Brazilian goalkeeper Lorena signs with Kansas City
38:20 - Rocky Rodríguez traded to Kansas City
43:05 - French attacker Julie Dufour transfers to Angel City
48:24 - College signings

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Art by Eli Elbogen

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The xOG Top 10 Players of 2024

Evan Davis — Tue, 17 Dec 2024 21:18:24 +0000

It's that time of year! The Best FIFA awards were announced on Tuesday, the final release of several end-of-year accountings of the year's best players. The guys merged all of these lists together and evaluated who really were the best of the bunch, and release their official top 10 of 2024.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Rosters Locked and the GM Carousel Continues

Evan Davis — Wed, 11 Dec 2024 19:19:23 +0000

NWSL teams locked in their end-of-season rosters, traded some players, saw some others sign with new teams, and a whole bunch of free agents hit the open market when their 2024 clubs didn’t re-sign them. Ryan Dell moved from Louisville to Kansas City, while Angela Hucles Mangano hopped from Angel City to Houston. What does it all mean? The guys break it all down.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka’s Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - MLS Cup, Expansion Draft, Fake Awards, and Potpourri

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 11 Dec 2024 05:54:42 +0000

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: USWNT Recap, plus Kicking Off The NWSL Offseason with Taylor Vincent!

Evan Davis — Thu, 05 Dec 2024 06:26:12 +0000

The USWNT wraps up 2024 with a draw and a win overseas. How did the Triple Espresso-less attack acquit themselves? Was that scary first half against the Netherlands real, or just growing pains? The guys peel back all the layers. (1:05) They also sing a brief requiem for Alyssa Naeher's international career. (22:34)

Then, they light up the hot stove with Spotrac's Taylor Vincent, explaining all the rules and weird tics that drive transactions in the NWSL. This was a blast. (26:55)

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Best 11, Riqui Puig, and MLS Cup Preview

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 04 Dec 2024 05:18:32 +0000

ASA Show - USL Championship and MLS Conference Finals Preview

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Fri, 29 Nov 2024 02:01:21 +0000

You never saw the original of this

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Championship Recap—The Spirit Taken Down by the Pride, but Not Without a Fight

Evan Davis — Tue, 26 Nov 2024 02:45:12 +0000

What. A. Game. The Orlando Pride are your NWSL champions, the first Shield-Championship winners in five years. Their 1-0 victory over the Washington Spirit at CPKC Stadium was a grubby, terse affair, with fouls galore and a controversial bit of magic from Barbra Banda. Marta finally claims her first U.S. trophy, and despite coming out on the losing side, Washington has a lot to look forward to. The guys break it all down from every angle.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Championship Preview, Part 2: Our Podcast with André (Carlisle)

Evan Davis — Sat, 23 Nov 2024 09:51:05 +0000

The Washington Spirit have made it to the NWSL Championship, despite massive injuries to key players in the back end of the season. Can they keep this momentum going, or will the Orlando Pride stop them in their tracks? André Carlisle of Hey Spirits, Diaspora United and Beyond the Vaudevillian Cane returns to reflect on the Spirit season that was, and what lies in store for Trinity Rodman & co. in Kansas City on Saturday.

Follow André on Bluesky

P.S. We kept the audio a little bit raw so y'all can hear the Orlando Pride ballin' out during their afternoon practice session.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The NWSL Championship Deep Dive, with Orlando Pride GM Haley Carter

Evan Davis — Thu, 21 Nov 2024 22:11:50 +0000

The Orlando Pride are preparing to play the biggest game club history on Saturday, the culmination of a process that began more than two years ago. Team vice president and GM Haley Carter came on to talk about the journey the team has taken under her and Seb Hines's leadership, what philosophy they apply to every decision, and what the 2024 Pride represent, win or lose on Saturday. This was a good'un!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show: Tata is Out and Previewing the MLS Conference Semi Finals

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 21 Nov 2024 05:14:31 +0000

This isn’t a tabloid

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The NWSL Semifinals Delivered the Goods

Evan Davis — Tue, 19 Nov 2024 09:50:45 +0000

Well there you have it! The Washington Spirit will play the Orlando Pride at CPKC Stadium in Kansas City on Saturday for the NWSL Championship. Each semifinal that got them there were scintillating contests, filled with drama, individual heroics, and masterful team play. How did the Spirit and Pride get past Gotham and the Current?

We will be in Kansas City for the NWSL Championship! Come join us at Johnny's Tavern P&L in Kansas City on Friday night and have a drink with us.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Playoffs Recap -- The Quarterfinals Were Etched in Chalk

Evan Davis — Tue, 12 Nov 2024 22:04:19 +0000

The top four go in as favorites, and the top four leave as semifinalists. There were no upsets in the NWSL quarterfinals, as Orlando, Washington, Gotham, and Kansas City all moved on. Some games were unprecedented blowouts, like the Pride's demolition of the Red Stars (0:57). Others were tighter affair than anticipated, as the Current's defeat of the Courage proved to be (12:49). The final two match-ups were dreary, attritional affairs until they very much weren't, as the Spirit got past a resilient Bay FC (22:42) and Gotham pipped the Thorns at the death (34:49).

What will the semifinals between Orlando-KC (46:09) and Washington-Gotham (56:46) be like? Is each match really a coin flip? The Guys get into all of it.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Playoffs Preview, Part II

Evan Davis — Wed, 06 Nov 2024 14:16:10 +0000

In Part 2 of our NWSL quarterfinals preview, we take a look at Sunday's doubleheader. According to one projection model, Bay FC actually have a decent chance to upset the Washington Spirit. Will their new-look midfield and Racheal Kundananji's heroics puncture Washington's injury-riddled squad?

The Portland Thorns are all good vibes right now, having won two of their final three games, including an emphatic victory in Christine Sinclair's final game at Providence Park. But are those vibes enough to take down the Gotham T-1000? Gotham has been relentless, but Portland has a 1-in-5 shot of clapping back on last year's extra-time humiliation. Things could get spicy!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Checking in on the Best of 3

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 06 Nov 2024 04:53:43 +0000

Donald Trump would ban the best of 3

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Playoffs Preview, Part I

Evan Davis — Tue, 05 Nov 2024 18:36:07 +0000

The playoffs are set! The top four finished the season strong and look like they'll make it to the semifinals with ease. Or will they? The guys preview all four quarterfinal matchups, and wonder where we could see upsets. Do Bay FC have what it takes to get past an injury- and suspension-rattled Washington Spirit? Could the Portland Thorns put some payback on Gotham FC after last year's playoff defeat? Do the Chicago Red Stars have any hope at all? And is the Kansas City Current's match against the North Carolina Courage really as close as the seeding would suggest?

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: A USWNT Round-Up, and Our NWSL Awards Ballots!

Evan Davis — Tue, 29 Oct 2024 07:03:21 +0000

Then, they break down their picks for the NWSL awards slate. Most of these are no-brainers, but they make a case for some down-ballot candidates, followed by an in-depth discussion of how to approach Defender of the Year.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Previewing the Best of 3 Round in the MLS Playoffs

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 24 Oct 2024 03:53:06 +0000

Playoffs, they’re here!

NWSL Week 25: Louisville, Portland, and all the Playoff Scenarios Fit to Print

Evan Davis — Tue, 22 Oct 2024 09:03:58 +0000

Racing Louisville grabbed all three points against the Portland Thorns thanks to a late corner header from Taylor Flint. Their playoff hopes are still alive, but is it too little too late? The guys cap off the episode with this playoff six-pointer (41:20). Before that, they run through playoff scenarios for the top four (1:01), ruminate on the two dead rubber matches between Angel City and the Utah Royals (20:40), as well as the Seattle Reign and Houston Dash (27:48). Some quick lamentations for the San Diego Wave in their pasting by the Kansas City Current (26:16) and some chuckles about the Washington Spirit-Chicago Red Stars grudge match (32:53). Bay FC are now the dark horse of the playoff field after their convincing defeat of the North Carolina Courage (35:01). And we close with everything that has to happen for Portland, Louisville, and Bay FC to get into the postseason (46:48).

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

NWSL Week 24: "Stop Laughing, The Chicago Red Stars Suck!!!" And Other Ravings of a Madman

Evan Davis — Tue, 15 Oct 2024 17:05:44 +0000

The Chicago Red Stars own one of the worst xG differentials in league history. Only the Utah Royals have played worse in total this season. But Chicago just clinched a playoff berth, and look poised to finish the year in sixth place on a mere 1.3 points per game. Only four other teams have ever finished sixth or higher with that points total.

Can it really just be luck? Is their low-volume, high-efficiency attack and defense sustainable once they face better teams in the postseason? The guys dissect the Red Stars' 2-0 defeat to Gotham, and whether that result--combined with horrible recent performances against San Diego and Houston--can be overcome once November rolls around.

Click here to vote on what Evan has to do if the Red Stars win their quarterfinal match!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - End of Season Awards and the First Ever ASA Brown Liquor Special

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 09 Oct 2024 13:48:04 +0000

The boys poured out the good stuff and got into awards voting as they decide the actual ASA awards ballot in real time.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 23 -- The Portland Thorns, Racing Louisville, and the Dangling Thread of the Playoff Line

Evan Davis — Tue, 08 Oct 2024 09:34:37 +0000

We have got some things to cover, here! The guys get into the news of Angel City's fines and suspensions for salary cap violations, the firing of former Houston Dash head coach Fran Alonso, the absurdity of the Chicago Red Stars conceding at least three xG for the second time in three weeks, Bay FC's four-minute meltdown, and the Orlando Pride's historic Shield win.

Then, it's on to the main events. Portland has been one of the worst teams in the NWSL since the end of the Olympics break. Racing Louisville has been fighting to get over the playoff line. Neither team did themselves any favors with two very different losses. Which team has the edge to go to the quarterfinals in November?

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 22 -- Bay FC are Doing the Damn Thing

Evan Davis — Tue, 01 Oct 2024 21:10:31 +0000

A scrappy 1-0 victory on the road to the Seattle Reign may not look like much, but Bay FC are creeping closer and closer to a playoff berth, only a few months removed from looking like one of the worst teams in the NWSL. The guys dig into all of the ways the team has managed to improve since early June, from trusting new players to Albertin Montoya reimagining the team's tactical vision. It's wild.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - New Playoff Simulation Odds, and 22 Under 22

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Fri, 27 Sep 2024 01:22:39 +0000

Ben, Harrison, and Kieran talk the latest MLS playoff odds to descend from the Heavens above (Matthias’ laptop), and some unsung heroes from the 22U22 nominee pool.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 21 -- Kansas City Current Remind Everyone Who They Are

Evan Davis — Wed, 25 Sep 2024 19:07:06 +0000

Oh, did you forget that the Current can gut your favorite team like a fish? After a few games of sputtering defensive performance, KC's new back line is locked in and Temwa Chawinga is, well, Temwa Chawinga. Their 3-0 battering of the Washington Spirit was a bit lucky, but was also a scary proposition for any team that will face Kansas City in the playoffs. The guys break it all down.

Plus, xG shenanigans with the San Diego Wave! Officiating questions with Angel City and the Portland Thorns! The stretch run is officially here, gang!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 20 -- The Orlando-KC Staredown, and Portland's Continued Implosion

Evan Davis — Wed, 18 Sep 2024 08:05:34 +0000

We've got two games to cover this week! One was the matchup of the weekend on paper, but fizzled out to a 0-0 draw between the Pride and Current. The other ended up with significant playoff implications, as the Red Stars snatched a 1-0 road win against the Thorns and shored up their postseason odds, while Portland continued their freefall. What can they do to right the ship? Is Chicago's season-long overperformance about to pay off?

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - The End of Carlos Bocanegra, The Beginning of ASAtlanta

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 11 Sep 2024 03:58:14 +0000

Ben, Harrison, and Kieran talk about the Boca era in Atlanta and how they would go about rebuilding the team who invented soccer. No trivia, but we hear from Caleb Porter.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 19 -- Au Revoir Alex Morgan, Bonjour Bay FC!

Evan Davis — Wed, 11 Sep 2024 00:06:42 +0000

Alex Morgan has retired. As yet another titan of the sport walks into the sunset, the guys reflect on what Morgan's career truly meant beyond the goals and trophies.

Then, after rounding up NWSL results across the weekend, they dive into Bay's 1-0 defeat of Racing Louisville. Have Abby Dahlkemper and Penelope Hocking helped Bay find the answers? Is Albertin Montoya finally getting the team to play like he envisioned? How much does this result and performance portend for Louisville's playoff hopes?

If you haven't yet, be sure to sign up for our Patreon for only $6/month. We will be doing a livestream commentary for Orlando-Kansas City on Friday for our members!

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 18 -- A Walk through Gotham with Jenna Tonelli!

Evan Davis — Tue, 03 Sep 2024 09:00:48 +0000

The Orlando Pride continued their unbeaten streak on Sunday, taking down Gotham FC 2-0 after a monsoon nearly flooded Inter&Co Stadium. Gotham was unable to gain any separation from its peers in the top 4. But does it portend anything serious? Eric and Evan talk to Gotham reporter Jenna Tonelli about Gotham's performance, the magic of Ella Stevens, and how dangerous Gotham will be come playoff time.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - A Draftless MLS and Does Leagues Cup = MLS Cup?

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 28 Aug 2024 04:59:09 +0000

Harrison gets fired up about the MLSPA, Ben thinks Columbus is the best MLS team of all time, and Kieran asks some trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 17 -- Your Spirit Has a Powerful Current Running from Washington to Kansas City

Evan Davis — Tue, 27 Aug 2024 20:46:16 +0000

Jonatan Giráldez has officially entered the NWSL chat. The Washington Spirit took down the Kansas City Current 4-1, and for a brief second, one had to wonder if the wheels were coming off of the most dominant squad in the league. This game had everything. Six defenders to handle Debinha and Chawinga! Otherworldly finishing from Trinity Rodman! A new center back pairing falling out of a clown car! Adrianna Franch living up to her new reputation! It's all here, and the guys break it all down. Welcome back to the NWSL!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Emergency Pod -- The NWSL's Historic New Labor Agreement

Evan Davis — Thu, 22 Aug 2024 19:57:06 +0000

The NWSL Players Association has just signed a new collective bargaining agreement, which may be one of the most historically significant labor deals in sports history. The elimination of the draft, universal guaranteed contracts and free agency, player consent for trades, and massive increases in minimum salaries without corresponding max salaries all give serious power to the players. What did that they have to give up to ownership, and what might that mean come 2028 when a new media rights deal is signed? Eric and Evan unpack what we know so far about this seismic moment in women’s sports labor.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka’s Bell Dance Songs

The Big Midseason NWSL Transfer Round-Up!

Evan Davis — Tue, 20 Aug 2024 08:53:44 +0000

The NWSL is back, baby!!! After six agonizing weeks away, the stretch run kicks off on Friday. A massive amount of transfer activity has gone down in that time. Eric and Evan highlight some of their faves and not-so-faves.

Could Delphine Cascarino help push the San Diego Wave into playoff contention? How does Carson Pickett fit into the Orlando Pride lineup? Are the Chicago Red Stars playoff locks thanks to Ludmila and Julia Grosso? Can Jess Carter adapt to the league's pace? Will Alana Cook keep things tight at the back amid the Kansas City Current's defensive injury crisis? Is Katie Zelem really an improvement for Angel City? How does one make sense of Jaelin Howell and Ana-Maria Crnogorčević at the Seattle Reign and Bethany Balcer at Racing Louisville? Are the Washington Spirit's signings an embarrassment of riches? Is Cortnee Vine the final missing piece in the North Carolina Courage attack? Listen and find out!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show: Secondary Transfer Window Whip Around

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 14 Aug 2024 03:35:14 +0000

Harrison, Ben, and Kieran drop off a transfer they love, a transfer they hate, and a transfer they really wish happened. And, trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Olympics Recap -- The USWNT Paved the Parisian Streets with Gold

Evan Davis — Mon, 12 Aug 2024 01:36:44 +0000

369 days after the USWNT crashed out of the World Cup Round of 16, they put those demons to bed, winning the gold medal at the 2024 Summer Olympics. The team managed to weather the worst half of football they had played all tournament to wear down Brazil until Mallory Swanson took Korbin Albert's through ball and ripped the Brazilian defense to pieces. Some heroics from Alyssa Naeher and the usual shutdown defense from Naomi Girma helped the US grab their first gold medal in 12 years. Now, the real work begins. Eric and Evan analyze the US performance, praise Brazil's savvy gameplan, and argue why nobody should get too high about this victory--or too low.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Olympics Recap -- The USWNT are Exhausted, but are On to the Gold Medal Game

Evan Davis — Wed, 07 Aug 2024 20:05:37 +0000

The players were dead on their feet. Lindsey Horan could barely ping a pass toward the German goal. But Naomi Girma led the defense to another sterling performance, Sophia Smith threaded a wonder goal past Ann-Katrin Berger, and the USWNT will face Brazil for the gold medal on Saturday. Was there anything besides heat and fatigue that slowed the US attack down? Can they avoid Spain's fate against Brazil in the semifinal? Is Girma the undisputed best center back in the world? Eric and Evan ponder yet another 120-minute slog of a match that still had a happy ending for the Americans.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Olympics Recap -- The USWNT Struggles but Moves On to the Semifinals

Evan Davis — Sun, 04 Aug 2024 20:57:18 +0000

It was brutal, but perhaps it was necessary. The USWNT scraped past Japan in the Olympics quarterfinals thanks to an extra-time wonder strike from Trinity Rodman, setting up a semifinal rematch with Germany. Were the players just too tired? Is Emma Hayes's focus on chemistry over fresh legs about to blow up in her face? Was the Japanese defense just too good for the US? Thankfully, the US's defense was even better. Eric and Evan get into all of it and preview the semifinal via Germany's penalty-shootout win against Canada!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Olympics Recap--The USWNT Win Group B, Face Japan in the Quarterfinals

Evan Davis — Thu, 01 Aug 2024 14:41:04 +0000

The USWNT beat Australia 2-1 in the final round of the Olympics group stage, topping the group and heading to the quarterfinals to play Japan on Saturday. Despite all the hand-wringing about the US heading into the tournament, they finished group play with the best goal differential the best non-penalty xG differential, the most shots taken in the box, and the most touches in the box. (There's also the small matter of Spain as the only other team to win all three of their group games.)

How did the US look against Australia? What might it portend for the knockout stage? And what dangers--and opportunities--do Japan offer? Eric & Evan tackle it all!

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Olympics Recap -- The USWNT Fly Through Germany in the Balmy Marseille Air

Evan Davis — Mon, 29 Jul 2024 06:29:47 +0000

Bang! The USWNT rained goals on Germany in a 4-1 victory, their biggest result against a FIFA top-10 side in six years. A Sophia Smith brace, a Mallory Swanson tap-in, and a Lynn Williams dagger made Germany look far worse than their world ranking would indicate. But was it all bread and circuses for Emma Hayes's side? Eric and Evan examine the tactical imbalance that allowed the Germans to find seams on the counter--and the ways the US exploited their opponent's resulting gaps in the other direction.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Olympics Recap: The USWNT Opens its Account With a Dazzling Win over Zambia

Evan Davis — Fri, 26 Jul 2024 08:10:15 +0000

There were a couple of emphatic 3-0 wins in Group B as the Olympics tournament kicked off on Thursday. The USWNT contained Barbra Banda and put Zambia to the sword with some dazzling goals from Trinity Rodman and Mallory Swanson. What did the US do right? What can they carry over to their match against Germany on Sunday, a team that looked stout and strong against a naïve Australia? Eric and Evan leave no stone unturned.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The Big USWNT Olympics Preview! Plus Zambia, Germany, & Australia

eric mallory morgan — Mon, 22 Jul 2024 12:29:22 +0000

Here we go again! One year to the week that xOG launched, we find ourselves on the precipice of yet another major international tournament. The USWNT are in the Olympics Group of Death; how will they manage opposition as varied as Zambia, Germany, and Australia? Eric and Evan plunge into the US lineup, head coach Emma Hayes's tactical plans, and what tests each of their group B opponents offer.

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Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Jesse Marsch, Gregg Berhalter, and International Analytics

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 18 Jul 2024 03:52:24 +0000

The resident Canadian drops in to discuss the comparisons between Jesse Marsch and triple G, while Ben and Harrison have an astute conversation about how they think about international play analytically.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: The USWNT Preps for the Olympics by Beating Mexico. Plus, A BIG ANNOUNCEMENT!

Evan Davis — Mon, 15 Jul 2024 08:06:29 +0000

The USWNT offered a lot in their 1-0 victory over Mexico on a hot and muggy day in New Jersey. Was their lack of finishing something to be concerned over? Can Rose Lavelle be counted on in the absence of an injured Catarina Macario? Will Korbin Albert ever do what it takes to stop being booed?

Plus, we have a big announcement about something we can't wait to debut when the Olympics starts! Stay tuned for more info!

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

Expected Own Goals: NWSL Week 16: Kansas City Current vs. Orlando Pride Was the Game of the Season

eric mallory morgan — Tue, 09 Jul 2024 18:48:24 +0000

The two best teams in the NWSL had to wait until the final matchweek before the Olympics break to square off, and dear lord was it worth the wait. Brain-busting goals from Barbra Banda and Temwa Chawinga, a game-changing second yellow card for Carrie Lawrence, and a feisty, physical encounter all made this fixture an instant classic. Eric and Evan analyze what Seb Hines and Orlando did right, and maybe what Vlatko Andonovski and Kansas City did wrong.

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

Expected Own Goals: NWSL Midseason Check-In, Pt. 2: Firings, Awards and time to Buckle Up, San Diego?!

eric mallory morgan — Tue, 02 Jul 2024 16:10:25 +0000

Eric and Evan debate another notable NWSL head coach sacking, hand out some Midseason Awards and go deep on Chicago's 3-0 "rout" of San Diego... was it a rout? What is even is a rout?

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Peter Vermes and the Hallmarks of Winning Organizations

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 27 Jun 2024 01:33:25 +0000

The boys get existential about what drives winning and how you build your organization when you have a generational coach. And, trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: Midseason Check-In, Pt. I: The State of the League

Evan Davis — Tue, 25 Jun 2024 12:30:32 +0000

We're now (just over) halfway through the 2024 NWSL regular season, and trends are emerging! Eric and Evan uncover a host of interesting nuggets about how teams are playing this year compared to past seasons.

Why on earth did the San Diego Wave "part ways" with Casey Stoney? (00:16)
Where did parity go? Is it simply a byproduct of expansion? (08:37)
Does the increase in goalscoring come down to Barbra Banda, Temwa Chawinga, et al.? (18:00)
The league still loves transition tactics, but how have they morphed in 2024? (20:36)
How do the Chicago Red Stars, Racing Louisville, and Orlando Pride buck current tactical trends? (25:17)
Are the Pride or the Kansas City Current the tactical future of the NWSL? (29:16)
How has money influenced both tactics and the development of players to fit those tactics? (35:21)
Whose first-half results have been real or not real? (42:55)

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Anonymous MLS Analytics Survey and the State of Analytics in MLS

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 19 Jun 2024 13:42:38 +0000

ASA recently dropped the anonymous MLS analytics survey, as well as the Analytics Tier List for MLS and the guys get into who is where and how that lined up with expectation, as well as where the league is heading analytically.

NWSL Week 12: The Bats Take Flight as Gotham FC Start Dominating

Evan Davis — Tue, 18 Jun 2024 18:31:25 +0000

Gotham FC's 2-0 victory on the road against Racing Louisville was about as ugly as 2-0 victories get, but dig under the hood and you see that the preseason Shield favorites are finally coming into their own. The galacticos of Dunn, Lavelle, Davidson and Sonnett started their second game in a row together. Ella Stevens can't stop scoring. Ann-Katrin Berger might be the best keeper in the whole league right now. Is it all finally coming together for Juan Carlos Amorós's squad? Eric and Evan debate the finer points of Gotham's resurgence.

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

NWSL Week 11: Rappelling Down the Seattle Reign Cavern, with Sylvs of Shea Butter FC!

eric mallory morgan — Tue, 11 Jun 2024 15:01:38 +0000

The Seattle Reign got smoked by the Kansas City Current over the weekend. That such a result would be par for the course shows what kind of season Laura Harvey's crew have had. Sylvs of Shea Butter FC hopped on to talk about Reign history, the struggles of the team in the void of the team sale yet to close, and what glimmers of hope Jordyn Huitema's two goals could represent.

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: USWNT Recap -- The Emma Hayes Era Kicks Off With Goals Goals Goals!

Evan Davis — Thu, 06 Jun 2024 10:27:51 +0000

The day has come: Emma Hayes is now the head coach of the U.S. Women's National Team. The side demolished South Korea for a combined scoreline of 7-0. Sam Staab and Lily Yohannes each earned their first caps. The law firm of Smith, Swanson, and Rodman served papers to their opponents over and over again. Alex Morgan--well, she was present.

What did we learn about how Hayes wants the team to play? Eric and Evan uncover all the tactical nuggets across the two friendlies, then project the USWNT's likely 18-player Olympics roster. The takes get spicy.

Need a pick-me-up? Four out of five doctors recommend SoMalloTrin!

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

NWSL Week 10: Destiny's Children? (H-Town Screwed Mix)

eric mallory morgan — Tue, 28 May 2024 14:32:59 +0000

Week 10! Two teams. Two massive victories. Two bright futures ahead? Eric and Evan ponder the meaning of Houston's staggering 3-0 home win over North Carolina and examine the implications of Racing Louisville's 1-0 away result in Chicago. H-town madness? Kentucky fried conquest? We're curious too.

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - In Tribute of Om Arvind

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Wed, 22 May 2024 02:59:15 +0000

Kieran remembers Om Arvind, whose fundraiser you can donate to here: https://gofund.me/78b2bf97 . The boys join to discuss US Open Cup and MLS’ place in the larger US Soccer pyramid, Toronto FC, and Seattle. As always, trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 9 -- The Utah Royals Stare into the Void

Evan Davis — Tue, 21 May 2024 11:36:03 +0000

Another week, another brutal Utah Royals loss. Though the scoreline was a mere 1-0 defeat on the road to the North Carolina Courage, the expansion side was under siege pretty much from minute one. Eric and Evan use the Royals' performance to figure out just how badly the season has gone for the club, and what bright spots may be on the horizon.

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL VIBE CHECK, PT. II -- DOUBLE THE OWN GOALS, DOUBLE THE FUN!?!?

eric mallory morgan — Fri, 17 May 2024 10:36:51 +0000

More transparency! More accountability! More Own Goals! Kieran guest stars as the Grim Reaper in Evan and Eric's Own Goal Bogus Journey!

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Messi the Magical Assister

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Fri, 17 May 2024 04:36:02 +0000

Harrison, Ben, and Kieran talk Inter Miami and the Lazarus pit driven powers of Messi and friends. Messi, good or not? Important questions. And, trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Vibe Check, Pt. I -- xOG's Biggest Own Goals of the Season!

Evan Davis — Tue, 14 May 2024 10:59:28 +0000

We here at Expected Own Goals are about transparency and accountability. That's why, at the point in the season when xG stabilizes and becomes sticky, we've decided to go back and cop to our best and worst own goals from our preseason predictions. Kieran's back to face the music along with Eric and Evan. Be sure to tune in later this week for Part II, where the gang digs into the players that have surprised and disappointed them the most!

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: What We Talk About When We Talk About The Red Stars, with Gal Pal Sports!

Evan Davis — Tue, 07 May 2024 09:02:16 +0000

We've been putting it off all season, but after a tough loss to the Washington Spirit and an emphatic win against Bay FC, we can put it off no longer: we must discuss the fourth-place Chicago Red Stars. Eric and Evan were joined by Lesley Ryder of Gal Pal Sports to dissect the Laura Ricketts-Lorne Donaldson era of the team, if their early-season success is sticky or a mirage, and who will step up to score besides Mallory Swanson. Rep the 3-1-2, or the 7-7-3, or the 4-6-4, or whatever else people tear up about on The Bear!

Listen to Football is Wife, hosted by Lesley Ryder and Emily Anderson

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Stuck in El Trafico

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 02 May 2024 03:27:40 +0000

Ben, Harrison, and Kieran get in the weeds about Dejan Joveljic’s career progression and how LAFC are always good even when they aren’t that good. And, trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS--NWSL Week 6--Spirit: Pride of the Cimarron

Evan Davis — Tue, 30 Apr 2024 09:00:55 +0000

Is Orlando the best team in the NWSL right now? They just might be. An emphatic 3-2 victory over the Washington Spirit on the road cemented what could be a hyper-organized defense with Barbra Banda as the tip of the spear. Other teams attack at your own peril.

Evan and Eric dig into what made Banda so special, as well as what the future might hold for the Spirit--and Ashley Hatch--once Leicy Santos and Jonatan Giráldez arrive in June.

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

NWSL Week 5: Angel Cities with Filthy Soles, NC Courage Cursed by the Soccer Gods

Evan Davis — Tue, 23 Apr 2024 12:03:11 +0000

The NWSL spring trade deadline has come and gone, and somehow, both the Houston Dash and Angel City made some significant moves. Eric and Evan brought Kieran Doyle-Davis on to get into all of the gobsmacking behavior by both teams in moving some major players. Then, they dig into Angel City's victory over the North Carolina Courage, and how a team with 62% possession and who topped the home side on xG 2.1 - 0.5 managed to still leave Los Angeles without a result. Plus, we'll hear from Angel City head coach Becki Tweed with her tactical analysis of the match!

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 4: Gotham Gets Weird, and the Kansas City Current Put the "Fly" in "Chawinga"

Evan Davis — Tue, 16 Apr 2024 08:38:22 +0000

We last checked in on the Kansas City Current in Week 1. What a difference a month makes! They're sitting atop the table on 10 points, have a potential superstar in Temwa Chawinga, and got a road point against Evan and Eric's preseason title favorite, Gotham FC. But is Chawinga the real deal? Were Juan Carlos Amorós's tactics too clever by half? Who looks like the better bet to keep succeeding in the weeks to come? Dive in, baby!

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: USWNT Recap: Does SheBelieve?

Evan Davis — Thu, 11 Apr 2024 09:49:00 +0000

The USWNT is SheBelieves Cup champion once again. Woo...hoo? The Twila Kilgore era comes to a close on a second penalty shootout win over Canada in a month, and leaves us wondering: what did Kilgore do well? What did she miss on? Is the team in better shape now than it was back in August? Furthermore, who is in pole position for each Olympics roster spot? Eric and Evan answer all these questions and more! (Evan may or may not sing at the end of the episode. Fair warning.)

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Colorado Rapids and do soccer analytics practitioners grow on trees?

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 11 Apr 2024 07:24:00 +0000

Ben went to the Rapids game and hits us with some in person reporting, and the guys answer some listener questions including: how do we make more soccer analysts?

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Late-Game Deciders: A Breakdown of San Diego-Seattle, Portland-Louisville, and Bay-Houston!

Evan Davis — Tue, 02 Apr 2024 09:23:14 +0000

No fewer than three NWSL games were decided in the final moments of stoppage time last weekend, but each were decided in different ways. San Diego survived its battle of attrition through well timed bravery, while Portland's overwhelming attacking talent finally breached Louisville's walls. Bay FC and the Houston Dash fully embraced their stubborn, attack-loving identities and the Dash tripped into victory. Eric and Evan ponder how these teams all managed a late result, hear from Bay FC head coach Albertin Montoya on his side's approach, and parse what it means for these teams' talents more broadly.

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

ASA Show - Small Sample Size Suppositions 2024

Kieran Doyle-Davis — Thu, 28 Mar 2024 09:00:00 +0000

Harrison returns from his Kraken based absence and the crew talk about some early season things that may or may not continue as the sample size fairy visits us every week. Also, trivia.

EXPECTED OWN GOALS: NWSL Week 2: The Spirit in the Bay is Strong!

eric mallory morgan — Tue, 26 Mar 2024 15:54:19 +0000

A jam-packed, wackadoo weekend unfolded in the NWSL, with golazos and refereeing madness and everything in between. Eric, Evan and Arianna drill down on the Washington Spirit's 2-1 victory over Bay FC. Are Bay's tactics naïve? Has their depth been exposed? Is Croix Bethune the resurrection and the light? 1) Maybe 2) Probably 3) Get on your knees and pray.

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

Expected Own Goals: The NWSL is BACK, BABY! Breaking Down the Loony Nine-Goal Chaos Show at Kansas City

eric mallory morgan — Tue, 19 Mar 2024 22:04:17 +0000

The greatest league in the world has returned, and boy was it a doozy! From first-minute penalties in Seattle, to the Naeher-aissance denying Utah their first-ever win in front of a "sold out" crowd, to 17-year-old Kennedy Fuller making as many headlines as Bay FC goalscorer Asisat Oshoala, there were narratives galore.

But Eric, Evan, and Arianna can only focus on one thing: the Kansas City Current and Portland Thorns opening CPKC Stadium with nine goals, tying the NWSL single-game record. Did Mike Norris make a wise decision rolling out an entirely new backline? Did Vlatko Andonovski properly adjust to Janine Beckie's arrival in the second half? What on earth was Christine Sinclair doing starting the game at right wing? They get into all of it and more.

Art by Eli Elbogen

Music byDevin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS - NWSL Preview Week Concludes with the San Diego Wave + Gotham FC

eric mallory morgan — Fri, 15 Mar 2024 11:08:07 +0000

We did it. NWSL Season Preview Week concludes with last year’s champions and Shield winners, who square off tonight in the NWSL Challenge Cup. The Wave added a genuine playmaker in Savannah McCaskill, but otherwise remain largely unchanged from their table-topping campaign. Will McCaskill and USWNT phenom Jaedyn Shaw be enough to keep Casey Stoney’s offense sparking? Meanwhile, Gotham signed four gálacticos and maintained a remarkable amount of depth. They’re the favorites to win it all again, but can Juan Carlos Amorós make this group start gelling quickly together?

Click here to read ASA's written preview of today's teams.

Art byEli Elbogen
Music byDevin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs

EXPECTED OWN GOALS - NWSL Preview Week: Portland Thorns + North Carolina Courage, with Arianna Cascone

eric mallory morgan — Thu, 14 Mar 2024 11:31:46 +0000

The day has arrived! Arianna “Doc” Cascone makes her xOG début as we head into the homestretch of NWSL Season Preview Week. First up, Eric and Evan consider another team whose offseason was influenced by ownership transition. The Thorns replaced Crystal Dunn with Jessie Fleming (lol) and blended veteran re-signings with some young and untested internationals on the backline (hmmm). Even if they’re a touch leaky, will they score enough goals to still win? Then, Arianna comes on to break down the Courage, and whether Ashley Sanchez is a bright enough spark to help them score goals in Kerolin’s absence.

Click here to read ASA's written preview of today's teams, one of which was written by Arianna herself!

Check out Arianna’s work at Backheeled

Art by Eli Elbogen
Music by Devin Drobka's Bell Dance Songs