tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-37168485887226326092011-11-27T19:28:35.650-06:00Aurora WeatherInformation and Discussion about the Weather in the Aurora, Missouri area.ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comBlogger2885125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-26878588039736283082011-04-19T13:18:00.000-05:002011-04-19T13:18:16.638-05:002011-04-19T13:18:16.638-05:00Tornado WatchThe Weather Service has issued a Tornado Watch til 9pm for a big section of southern Missouri and central Illinois. Lawrence and Barry counties are on the 'front end' of this watch area. Thunderstorms are beginning to develop in the Joplin area. They should form a line, and move through the area in the next few hours. Stay Informed!<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-2687858803973628308?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_GeeAEzjs0Q-27l9EWfRnhfBwBo/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_GeeAEzjs0Q-27l9EWfRnhfBwBo/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_GeeAEzjs0Q-27l9EWfRnhfBwBo/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_GeeAEzjs0Q-27l9EWfRnhfBwBo/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/fGQdCo2dsmc" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/tornado-watch.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-42166990794393805072011-04-17T09:00:00.000-05:002011-04-17T09:02:08.315-05:002011-04-17T09:02:08.315-05:00More severe weather possible this week<span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; font-size: medium;"> <pre style="word-wrap: break-word; white-space: pre-wrap;"> THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP ON MONDAY. A MUCH BETTER CHANCE FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL DEVELOP TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY NIGHT. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT ALL MODES OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.</pre> </span> <div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-4216699079439380507?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FDUyrZWk8HzYpBMIZQZU5KCilyg/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FDUyrZWk8HzYpBMIZQZU5KCilyg/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FDUyrZWk8HzYpBMIZQZU5KCilyg/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FDUyrZWk8HzYpBMIZQZU5KCilyg/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/wIU0pxqkuzU" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2011/04/more-severe-weather-possible-this-week.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-86470068169447985822011-02-27T17:38:00.001-06:002011-02-27T17:38:07.652-06:002011-02-27T17:38:07.652-06:00Still Watching for Severe Weather<span class="Apple-style-span" style="border-collapse: separate; color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-family: 'Times New Roman'; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: 2; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; font-size: medium;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 'lucida grande',tahoma,verdana,arial,sans-serif; font-size: 11px; line-height: 14px; text-align: left;">NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a Mesoscale Discussion advising that there may be a Tornado Watch issued for the area in the next couple of hours. Citizens are encouraged to monitor weather conditions in anticipation of severe weather this evening and overnight. We will attempt to update our Facebook as available.</span></span> <div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-8647006816944798582?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_9YslvgTuESkqHpK4SRFoylj9VE/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_9YslvgTuESkqHpK4SRFoylj9VE/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_9YslvgTuESkqHpK4SRFoylj9VE/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/_9YslvgTuESkqHpK4SRFoylj9VE/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/mVYiQhqeJjU" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2011/02/still-watching-for-severe-weather.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-71969843214790735682011-02-27T08:48:00.000-06:002011-02-27T08:49:43.088-06:002011-02-27T08:49:43.088-06:00Severe Weather possible todayHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>610 AM CST SUN FEB 27 2011<p>KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281215-<br>BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-<br>ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-<br>LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-<br>LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-<br>TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-<br>610 AM CST SUN FEB 27 2011<p>THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI<br>OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.<p>.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.<p> THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...SIGNIFICANT.<p>WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...<p> SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR DENSE FOG.<br> ELEVATED RISK FOR TORNADOES.<br> ELEVATED RISK FOR<br> LARGE HAIL.<br> SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS.<br> SIGNIFICANT RISK FOR LIGHTNING.<p>DISCUSSION...<p> AN EPISODE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECASTED TO<br> OCCUR OVER THE OZARKS REGION THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. LARGE<br> HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE<br> THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...THERE IS A<br> RISK THAT AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO COULD OCCUR...MOST LIKELY<br> OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.<p> AREAS OF DENSE FOG WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING OVER SOUTHEAST<br> KANSAS AND PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI. VISIBILITIES WILL<br> FALL TO BELOW A QUARTER OF A MILE AT TIMES.<p>.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.<p> NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.<p>.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...<p> SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.<div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-7196984321479073568?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uGlEDizHnYcq3pdJeMgc3nVU7V8/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uGlEDizHnYcq3pdJeMgc3nVU7V8/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uGlEDizHnYcq3pdJeMgc3nVU7V8/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uGlEDizHnYcq3pdJeMgc3nVU7V8/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/9A2ZETDQbKU" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2011/02/severe-weather-possible-today.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-77751413895937038682010-11-29T20:24:00.001-06:002010-11-29T20:24:39.397-06:002010-11-29T20:24:39.397-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 300219<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>819 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>MOZ071-082-083-096>098-105-106-300400-<br>PHELPS-TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROLLA...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...<br>AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...<br>THAYER...ALTON<br>819 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<br>AREAS OF LIGHT DRIZZLE AND FOG...WITH VISIBILITIES A MILE OR LESS<br>AT TIMES...WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND EAST OF AN AVA TO ROLLA LINE<br>THIS EVENING. THIS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL<br>MOVE TO THE EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE<br>VISIBILITIES FALL BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL<br>IMPROVE AFTER THE FRONT PASSES.<p>$$<br>HATCH<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-7775141389593703868?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ITQ8gyLx86532CvQhUQycdmqcDc/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ITQ8gyLx86532CvQhUQycdmqcDc/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ITQ8gyLx86532CvQhUQycdmqcDc/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ITQ8gyLx86532CvQhUQycdmqcDc/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/ay_y-ugH_Yo" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_3200.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-41906889571149707862010-11-29T19:07:00.001-06:002010-11-29T19:07:45.332-06:002010-11-29T19:07:45.332-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 300106<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>706 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>MOZ058-070-071-082-083-092-096>098-105-106-300300-<br>MARIES-PULASKI-PHELPS-TEXAS-DENT-WRIGHT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-<br>OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VIENNA...FORT LEONARD WOOD...<br>WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...MOUNTAIN GROVE...<br>MANSFIELD...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...<br>THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON<br>706 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<br>AREAS OF LIGHT DRIZZLE AND FOG WITH VISIBILITIES A MILE OR LESS AT<br>TIMES WILL CONTINUE ALONG AND EAST OF AN AVA TO ROLLA LINE THIS<br>EVENING. THIS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE<br>TO THE EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE VISIBILITIES<br>FALL BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER<br>THE FRONT PASSES.<p>$$<br>HATCH<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-4190688957114970786?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/8We40DhNKiN4uOlhXcH_jWk5fRA/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/8We40DhNKiN4uOlhXcH_jWk5fRA/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/8We40DhNKiN4uOlhXcH_jWk5fRA/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/8We40DhNKiN4uOlhXcH_jWk5fRA/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/e6cgeI-3v6I" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_4244.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-33039345296522933242010-11-29T17:58:00.001-06:002010-11-29T17:58:24.627-06:002010-11-29T17:58:24.627-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 292355<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>555 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>..UPDATE TO AVIATION...<p>UPDATE...<p>A COLD FRONT STRETCHED NORTH TO SOUTH ACROSS MISSOURI AT SUNSET<br>AND EXTENDED FROM NEAR THE LAKE OF THE OZARKS TO BRANSON. CLEARING<br>ALONG WITH RAPIDLY COOLING TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS FOLLOWED THE<br>FRONTAL PASSAGE. AREAS OF FOG WERE REPORTED AHEAD OF THE FRONT<br>ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. SHOWERS LINGERING ACROSS THE<br>EASTERN OZARKS WILL END BY 8 PM. AFTER BRIEF CLEARING BEHIND<br>FRONT...POST FRONTAL STRATUS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE AREA<br>OVERNIGHT. FORECAST GRIDS HAVE BEEN UPDATED TO REFLECT THE LATEST<br>TRENDS.<p>FOSTER<p>&&<p>DISCUSSION...<p>IT WAS A DARK AND DREARY DAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE <br>MISSOURI OZARKS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS <br>SPREAD OVER THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. <br>THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND <br>EVENING...ALLOWING A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS TO FILTER IN BEHIND IT. <br>THIS AIRMASS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH OVERNIGHT <br>LOWS LIKELY TO FALL WELL INTO 20S. <p>COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL PERSIST INTO TOMORROW. DESPITE MOSTLY SUNNY <br>SKIES...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO WARM OUT OF THE MIDDLE AND <br>UPPER 30S. THE LACK OF WARMTH ON TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO EVEN COLDER <br>TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY NIGHT / WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE FORECAST <br>TEMPERATURES BELOW GUIDANCE FOR THIS PERIOD AS WELL...WITH UPPER <br>TEENS LIKELY IN SOME OF THE VALLEYS AND SHELTERED AREAS OF THE OZARK <br>TERRAIN. WITH THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE...NO PRECIPITATION IS <br>EXPECTED.<p>SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRIEFLY RETURN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO <br>THURSDAY...SETTING UP A SUNNY AND WARMER THURSDAY AFTERNOON <br>PERIOD...WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE 50S. YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL <br>SURGE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY EVENING...CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO <br>COOL BACK INTO THE 20S. THE TEMPERATURE ROLLER COASTER WILL <br>CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A COUPLE OF NICE DAYS ON FRIDAY AND <br>SATURDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CAUSE <br>SOUTHERLY FLOW TO RESUME...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER FRONTAL PASSAGE <br>SATURDAY EVENING. <p>SATURDAY EVENINGS FRONT COULD PROVIDE THE REGION WITH OUR NEXT <br>CHANCES FOR RAIN. MODELS INDICATE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ADVECTION IN <br>ADVANCE OF THIS COLD FRONT FOR AT LEAST SOME SHOWERS. NOT MUCH IN <br>THE WAY OF INSTABILITY WILL UNFOLD...THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN JUST <br>SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR <br>WILL FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK.<p>CRAMER<p>&&<p>AVIATION...<p>FOR THE 00Z TAFS...IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE<br>REGION...IFR CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING. THIS WILL CHANGE VERY EARLY<br>IN THE TAF PERIOD AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE TERMINALS<br>AND SKIES CLEAR. THIS PERIOD OF CLEARING WILL BE SHORT LIVED<br>HOWEVER AS COLD SIR STRATUS DEVELOPS AND MOVED FROM WEST TO EAST<br>ACROSS THE REGION. AREA AERODROMES WILL SEE CEILINGS RETURN TO IFR<br>CONDITIONS AS COLD AIR FILTERS INTO THE OZARKS. THIS WILL REMAIN<br>THROUGH AROUND 16Z AS DEEPER DRY AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION WITH<br>CEILINGS BECOMING MVFR AND FINALLY VFR AROUND 21Z TUESDAY. <br> <br>HATCH<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...NONE.<br>KS...NONE.<br>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-3303934529652293324?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Azq2eWndN0Cu9YcqoctUuaIG8A8/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Azq2eWndN0Cu9YcqoctUuaIG8A8/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Azq2eWndN0Cu9YcqoctUuaIG8A8/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Azq2eWndN0Cu9YcqoctUuaIG8A8/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/-eXuAj9yPaY" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_7122.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-56699750224923518192010-11-29T17:48:00.001-06:002010-11-29T17:48:35.562-06:002010-11-29T17:48:35.562-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 292344<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>544 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>MOZ082-083-097-098-106-300100-<br>TEXAS-DENT-HOWELL-SHANNON-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...<br>WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...THAYER...ALTON<br>544 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<br>AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN MISSOURI<br>OZARKS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THROUGH 7 PM...THE BULK OF THE<br>RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST OF A WEST PLAINS TO SALEM LINE. RAINFALL<br>AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN<br>INCH. MOVEMENT OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND<br>40 MPH.<p>$$<p>MOZ057-058-069>071-080-081-091-092-095-096-104-105-300100-<br>MILLER-MARIES-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-DALLAS-LACLEDE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-<br>CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-TANEY-OZARK-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...<br>OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...WAYNESVILLE...<br>ROLLA...BUFFALO...LEBANON...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...<br>MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NIXA...OZARK...AVA...BRANSON...<br>FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA<br>544 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<br>AREAS OF FOG WITH VISIBILITIES A MILE OR LESS AT TIMES WILL<br>DEVELOP AND AFFECT AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 65 THIS<br>EVENING. THIS WILL OCCUR IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE<br>TO THE EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE VISIBILITIES<br>FALL BELOW A QUARTER MILE AT TIMES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE AFTER<br>THE FRONT PASSES.<p>$$<br>HATCH<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-5669975022492351819?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/UTy_3ZBYtTa3E004h_oGwOACJko/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/UTy_3ZBYtTa3E004h_oGwOACJko/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/UTy_3ZBYtTa3E004h_oGwOACJko/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/UTy_3ZBYtTa3E004h_oGwOACJko/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/J7g0eszXx8s" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_5642.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-39404173850294638662010-11-29T17:27:00.001-06:002010-11-29T17:27:42.624-06:002010-11-29T17:27:42.624-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 292324<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>524 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>MOZ082-083-097-098-106-300030-<br>TEXAS-DENT-HOWELL-SHANNON-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...<br>WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...THAYER...ALTON<br>524 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<br>AN AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN MISSOURI<br>OZARKS THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING. THROUGH 7 PM...THE BULK OF THE<br>RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST OF A WEST PLAINS TO SALEM LINE. RAINFALL<br>AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN<br>INCH. MOVEMENT OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND<br>40 MPH.<p>$$<br>HATCH<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-3940417385029463866?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fzpIlUYHUUusQ4Gddc_OTQs8j0g/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fzpIlUYHUUusQ4Gddc_OTQs8j0g/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fzpIlUYHUUusQ4Gddc_OTQs8j0g/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fzpIlUYHUUusQ4Gddc_OTQs8j0g/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/TgMbg1IPDas" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_6898.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-10711347579590765352010-11-29T16:23:00.000-06:002010-11-29T16:22:55.249-06:002010-11-29T16:22:55.249-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 292218<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>418 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>MOZ058-071-082-083-096>098-105-106-292330-<br>MARIES-PHELPS-TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VIENNA...ROLLA...HOUSTON...CABOOL...<br>SALEM...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...<br>THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON<br>418 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<br>A LARGE AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS<br>WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS THROUGH LATE<br>AFTERNOON. THROUGH 6 PM...THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST<br>OF AN AVA TO ROLLA LINE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW<br>HUNDREDTHS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER A<br>QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. MOVEMENT OF<br>THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 50 MPH.<p>$$<br>HATCH<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-1071134757959076535?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/halOoVJCGNFG7OPoPm1dDPUYzjQ/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/halOoVJCGNFG7OPoPm1dDPUYzjQ/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/halOoVJCGNFG7OPoPm1dDPUYzjQ/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/halOoVJCGNFG7OPoPm1dDPUYzjQ/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/XszElmUzh5c" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_2270.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-6924124421071281342010-11-29T15:02:00.000-06:002010-11-29T15:01:56.653-06:002010-11-29T15:01:56.653-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 292058<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>300 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>DISCUSSION...<p>IT WAS A DARK AND DREARY DAY OVER EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE <br>MISSOURI OZARKS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS <br>SPREAD OVER THE REGION IN ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. <br>THIS FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL PASS OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND <br>EVENING...ALLOWING A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS TO FILTER IN BEHIND IT. <br>THIS AIRMASS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A CHILLY NIGHT...WITH OVERNIGHT <br>LOWS LIKELY TO FALL WELL INTO 20S. <p>COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL PERSIST INTO TOMORROW. DESPITE MOSTLY SUNNY <br>SKIES...TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO WARM OUT OF THE MIDDLE AND <br>UPPER 30S. THE LACK OF WARMTH ON TUESDAY WILL LEAD TO EVEN COLDER <br>TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY NIGHT / WEDNESDAY MORNING. HAVE FORECASTED <br>TEMPERATURES BELOW GUIDANCE FOR THIS PERIOD AS WELL...WITH UPPER <br>TEENS LIKELY IN SOME OF THE VALLEYS AND SHELTERED AREAS OF THE OZARK <br>TERRAIN. WITH THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE...NO PRECIPITATION IS <br>EXPECTED.<p>SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRIEFLY RETURN LATE WEDNESDAY INTO <br>THURSDAY...SETTING UP A SUNNY AND WARMER THURSDAY AFTERNOON <br>PERIOD...WITH HIGHS BACK INTO THE 50S. YET ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL <br>SURGE THROUGH THE REGION THURSDAY EVENING...CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO <br>COOL BACK INTO THE 20S. THE TEMPERATURE ROLLER COASTER WILL <br>CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND WITH A COUPLE OF NICE DAYS ON FRIDAY AND <br>SATURDAY. A BRIEF PERIOD OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL CAUSE <br>SOUTHERLY FLOW TO RESUME...FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER FRONTAL PASSAGE <br>SATURDAY EVENING. <p>SATURDAY EVENINGS FRONT COULD PROVIDE THE REGION WITH OUR NEXT <br>CHANCES FOR RAIN. MODELS INDICATE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE ADVECTION IN <br>ADVANCE OF THIS COLD FRONT FOR AT LEAST SOME SHOWERS. NOT MUCH IN <br>THE WAY OF INSTABILITY WILL UNFOLD...THEREFORE WILL MAINTAIN JUST <br>SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR NOW. ANOTHER SURGE OF COLD CANADIAN AIR <br>WILL FOLLOW FOR SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WORK WEEK.<p>CRAMER<p>&&<p>AVIATION...<br>/ISSUED 517 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010/<p>FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS THE<br>MORNING PROGRESSES. STIFF SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE LOW LEVELS HAVE<br>LABORED TO MOISTEN THE AIR IN THE 2K TO 5K LAYER. FIRST SIGNS OF<br>-SHRA AND A FEW -TSRA APPEARING OVER SE OK AT THIS HOUR AND THIS<br>TREND WILL CONTINUE. SHORT RANGE MODELS INDICATED SCATTERED TO<br>NUMEROUS -SHRA AND A FEW EMBEDDED -TSRA EXPANDING INTO THE AREA<br>DURING THE MID/LATE MORNING HOURS. THIS WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE<br>EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. CIGS ARE IN THE MVFR CAT WITH<br>DEVELOPING STRATUS AND LOWER END MVFR IS CERTAINLY IN THE OFFING<br>WITH RAINFALL. STILL SOME QUESTIONS AS TO WHETHER OR NOT IFR IS<br>POSSIBLE IN THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW. MORE THAN LIKELY ANY IFR WILL BE<br>BRIEF AND ASSOCIATED WITH HEAVIER POCKETS OF RAIN. SOME BRIEF<br>CLEARING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.<br>HOWEVER...AFTER A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING...NORTHWEST FLOW<br>WILL LEAD TO INCREASING UPSLOPE AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN MVFR<br>DECK WHICH SHOULD PERSIST INTO TUESDAY.<p>GAGAN<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...NONE.<br>KS...NONE.<br>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-692412442107128134?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Q8PNxYdeWgAA-b7RYUE0zhL1gTo/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Q8PNxYdeWgAA-b7RYUE0zhL1gTo/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Q8PNxYdeWgAA-b7RYUE0zhL1gTo/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/Q8PNxYdeWgAA-b7RYUE0zhL1gTo/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/y60AThf9fcA" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_8284.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-57347857722057473502010-11-29T13:31:00.000-06:002010-11-29T13:30:49.437-06:002010-11-29T13:30:49.437-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 291928<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>128 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>MOZ057-058-069>071-081>083-091-092-096>098-104>106-292215-<br>MILLER-MARIES-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-WEBSTER-<br>WRIGHT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...<br>OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...WAYNESVILLE...<br>ROLLA...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...MARSHFIELD...<br>ROGERSVILLE...MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...AVA...WEST PLAINS...<br>WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...<br>THAYER...ALTON<br>128 PM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<p>A LARGE AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS<br>WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS THROUGH MID<br>AFTERNOON. THROUGH 4 PM...THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST<br>OF THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW<br>HUNDREDTHS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER A<br>QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. MOVEMENT OF<br>THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 50 MPH.<p>$$<p>SCHAUMANN<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-5734785772205747350?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/LnFmrI1Zqq05B_O3lWUHvIEpH1M/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/LnFmrI1Zqq05B_O3lWUHvIEpH1M/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/LnFmrI1Zqq05B_O3lWUHvIEpH1M/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/LnFmrI1Zqq05B_O3lWUHvIEpH1M/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/vCn3VchyU28" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_1192.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-48641868949868263412010-11-29T11:36:00.000-06:002010-11-29T11:35:56.032-06:002010-11-29T11:35:56.032-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 291730<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>1130 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>..UPDATE TO AVIATION...<p>DISCUSSION...<p>FIRST ITEM OF MENTION THIS MORNING IS CONTINUED GUSTINESS AT THE <br>SURFACE ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE CWA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A <br>STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY <br>STRETCHING FROM NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS TO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. GUSTS <br>THIS MORNING HAVE GENERALLY BEEN BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KTS...THOUGH A <br>FEW HIGHER GUSTS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING AT SGF...WHERE TERRAIN-INDUCED <br>FUNNELING EFFECTS ARE ENHANCING WIND SPEEDS. THINK THAT THE <br>GUSTINESS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED <br>IN THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE GRADIENT. <p>AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OMAHA BY <br>MIDDAY TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING SOUTH TOWARD WICHITA. <br>ALOFT...A 120 KT JET SHOULD BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA BY MID <br>MORNING. MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE THE BIG QUESTION WITH THIS <br>SYSTEM. SUITE OF 00Z RAOBS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...AND STRATUS <br>OBSERVATIONS ARE ALL SUGGESTIVE OF A RETURN OF SHALLOW <br>MOISTURE...BUT DEEP DRY LAYER IN THE 750-450 MB LAYER EVIDENT ON THE <br>00Z SGF AND LZK SOUNDINGS INDICATES THAT THERE IS STILL SOME <br>SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR THAT WILL NEED TO BE OVERCOME THIS MORNING. <br>WHILE PERHAPS AN OBVIOUS STATEMENT...THIS MORNING'S 12Z SOUNDING <br>WILL BE QUITE TELLING. <p>COMBINATION OF AT LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AND DIVERGENCE/LARGE <br>SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER JET IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A <br>GRADUAL INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...WITH AN <br>ADDITIONAL EXPANSION EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN 2/3 OR <br>SO OF THE CWA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF SOME WEAK MUCAPE <br>OVER THE AREA...SO HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING MENTION OF ISOLATED <br>THUNDER FOR THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. <p>COLD FRONT SHOULD BE WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE CWA LATE THIS <br>AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITH POPS DECREASING THROUGH THE <br>EVENING AS THE FRONT PASSES AND COOLER AND DRY AIR ADVECTS IN BEHIND <br>IT. STILL WOULDN'T BE TOO SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW FLURRIES MIX IN ON <br>THE TAIL END OF THINGS TONIGHT...BUT CHANCES ARE REALLY EVEN TOO LOW <br>FOR MENTION AT THIS TIME FOR LATE TONIGHT. ON <br>TUESDAY...HOWEVER...DO THINK THAT FLURRY CHANCES WILL BE A LITTLE <br>BETTER...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-44 AND EAST OF U.S. 65 WHERE A BIT OF <br>ADDITIONAL MOISTURE MAY DIG SOUTH ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE MAIN <br>TROUGH. OTHER STORY FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE RAPID RETURN TO <br>WINTER-LIKE TEMPS...WITH HIGHS IN 30S AND LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE <br>LOW TO MID 20S. <p>HEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...LOW AMPLITUDE <br>NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT TO <br>SEE A WEAK SHORTWAVE MAKE ITS WAY SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA ON <br>WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE PRETTY TOUGH TO COME <br>BY WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO CURRENTLY DON'T EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF <br>ANYTHING OTHER THAN AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER. <p>BEYOND FRIDAY...GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE DIVERGE SOMEWHAT WITH <br>FORECAST DETAILS...THOUGH THERE DOES SEEM TO BE BROAD CONSENSUS IN A <br>RETURN TO SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. COULDN'T RULE OUT SOME RAIN <br>CHANCES FOR THIS WEEKEND...BUT WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST UNTIL <br>GUIDANCE BECOMES A BIT MORE CLEAR.<p>BOXELL <p>&&<p>AVIATION...<p>GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AS THE DAY<br>PROGRESSES. STRONG LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE MOISTENED UP THE<br>LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT MOVING IN<br>FROM KANSAS AND OKLAHOMA. THIS GENERATED RAINSHOWERS AND A FEW<br>WEAK THUNDERSTORMS ALONG WITH MVFR AND AN FEW BRIEF PERIODS OF VFR<br>CEILINGS OVER SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND FAR SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS<br>THIS MORNING. AS GRADUAL CLEARING PROGRESSES SLOWLY EASTWARD WITH<br>FRONTAL PASSAGE EXPECT GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE<br>THIS AFTERNOON WITH SOME PERIODS OF VFR POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER<br>SHOWERS AT SGF AND BBG. OVERNIGHT EXPECT THE EXTENSIVE STRATUS<br>DECK OVER KANSAS AND NEBRASKA TO MIGRATE SOUTHEASTWARD. THIS WILL<br>LIKELY BRING A RETURN TO MVFR CONDITIONS DUE TO CEILINGS FOR MOST<br>OF TOMORROW AS STRATUS IS NOT LIKELY TO DISSIPATE BEFORE LATE<br>AFTERNOON DUE TO MINIMAL SURFACE HEATING.<p>COLUCCI/KARDELL<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...NONE.<br>KS...NONE.<br>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-4864186894986826341?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uFOtWcHcBxH-1CaZ6QAvEvyadxY/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uFOtWcHcBxH-1CaZ6QAvEvyadxY/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uFOtWcHcBxH-1CaZ6QAvEvyadxY/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/uFOtWcHcBxH-1CaZ6QAvEvyadxY/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/SKDp6MlXkVc" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_7052.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-37443325855936014272010-11-29T10:30:00.002-06:002010-11-29T10:31:21.266-06:002010-11-29T10:31:21.266-06:00Short Term ForecastFPUS73 KSGF 291627<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>1027 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-291915-<br>BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-<br>ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-<br>LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-<br>LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-<br>TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...<br>BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...<br>ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...<br>HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...<br>WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...<br>BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...<br>CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...<br>MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...<br>NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...<br>PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...<br>BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON<br>1027 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<p>A LARGE AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS<br>WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS INTO EARLY THIS<br>AFTERNOON. THROUGH 1 PM...THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST<br>OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW<br>HUNDREDTHS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER A<br>QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. MOVEMENT OF<br>THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 50 MPH.<p>$$<p>SCHAUMANN<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-3744332585593601427?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/MAIQlYI45so0N08bZrqATk5DTaQ/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/MAIQlYI45so0N08bZrqATk5DTaQ/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/MAIQlYI45so0N08bZrqATk5DTaQ/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/MAIQlYI45so0N08bZrqATk5DTaQ/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/83dgA3W7idQ" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast_1482.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-5307191753759124882010-11-29T10:30:00.001-06:002010-11-29T10:30:42.359-06:002010-11-29T10:30:42.359-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 291627<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>1027 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-291915-<br>BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-<br>ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-<br>LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-<br>LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-<br>TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...<br>BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...WARSAW...COLE CAMP...VERSAILLES...<br>ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VIENNA...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...<br>HERMITAGE...OSAGE BEACH...CAMDENTON...FORT LEONARD WOOD...<br>WAYNESVILLE...ROLLA...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...<br>BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...JOPLIN...<br>CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...<br>MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...<br>NIXA...OZARK...AVA...WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...ANDERSON...<br>PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...<br>BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON<br>1027 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<p>A LARGE AREA OF RAIN SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS<br>WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS INTO EARLY THIS<br>AFTERNOON. THROUGH 1 PM...THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL WILL OCCUR EAST<br>OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM A FEW<br>HUNDREDTHS UP TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH. LOCALIZED AMOUNTS OVER A<br>QUARTER INCH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS. MOVEMENT OF<br>THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 50 MPH.<p>$$<p>SCHAUMANN<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-530719175375912488?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/QFXtGKdkQ6WC_GGmz9LNoxyxorU/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/QFXtGKdkQ6WC_GGmz9LNoxyxorU/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/QFXtGKdkQ6WC_GGmz9LNoxyxorU/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/QFXtGKdkQ6WC_GGmz9LNoxyxorU/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/swdHhQ47x5A" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_6019.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-6141292732065829902010-11-29T08:29:00.001-06:002010-11-29T08:29:41.911-06:002010-11-29T08:29:41.911-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 291423<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>823 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066>068-077>080-088>091-093>096-101>105-291715-<br>BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-BARTON-CEDAR-<br>POLK-DALLAS-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-NEWTON-LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-<br>DOUGLAS-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-TANEY-OZARK-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...<br>BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...<br>HERMITAGE...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...BOLIVAR...<br>BUFFALO...JOPLIN...CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...<br>MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...<br>NIXA...OZARK...AVA...ANDERSON...PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...<br>KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...<br>THEODOSIA<br>823 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<p>AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL IMPACT EXTREME SOUTHEAST<br>KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS MORNING. ONE AREA OF RAIN WILL<br>SPREAD INTO THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR FROM BRANSON TO SPRINGFIELD BY<br>11 AM. OTHER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL AFFECT AREAS<br>ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL<br>GENERALLY RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO A QUARTER INCH THROUGH 11<br>AM. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY<br>PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A HALF INCH. MOVEMENT OF<br>THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE NORTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.<p>$$<p>SCHAUMANN<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-614129273206582990?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/V9nOtNjVVpIttLLYsCR9XwmQKxY/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/V9nOtNjVVpIttLLYsCR9XwmQKxY/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/V9nOtNjVVpIttLLYsCR9XwmQKxY/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/V9nOtNjVVpIttLLYsCR9XwmQKxY/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/pBsDjTEGTXQ" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_29.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-36426137134135966972010-11-29T08:26:00.001-06:002010-11-29T08:26:46.826-06:002010-11-29T08:26:46.826-06:00Short Term ForecastFPUS73 KSGF 291423<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>823 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>KSZ073-097-101-MOZ066>068-077>080-088>091-093>096-101>105-291715-<br>BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-VERNON-ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-BARTON-CEDAR-<br>POLK-DALLAS-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-NEWTON-LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-<br>DOUGLAS-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-TANEY-OZARK-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT SCOTT...PITTSBURG...<br>BAXTER SPRINGS...COLUMBUS...NEVADA...APPLETON CITY...OSCEOLA...<br>HERMITAGE...LAMAR...EL DORADO SPRINGS...STOCKTON...BOLIVAR...<br>BUFFALO...JOPLIN...CARTHAGE...GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...<br>MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...NEOSHO...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...<br>NIXA...OZARK...AVA...ANDERSON...PINEVILLE...MONETT...CASSVILLE...<br>KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA...BRANSON...FORSYTH...GAINESVILLE...<br>THEODOSIA<br>823 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>NOW...<p>AREAS OF LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WILL IMPACT EXTREME SOUTHEAST<br>KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THIS MORNING. ONE AREA OF RAIN WILL<br>SPREAD INTO THE HIGHWAY 65 CORRIDOR FROM BRANSON TO SPRINGFIELD BY<br>11 AM. OTHER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL AFFECT AREAS<br>ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL<br>GENERALLY RANGE FROM A FEW HUNDREDTHS TO A QUARTER INCH THROUGH 11<br>AM. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY<br>PRODUCE LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO A HALF INCH. MOVEMENT OF<br>THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE NORTHEAST AROUND 35 MPH.<p>$$<p>SCHAUMANN<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-3642613713413596697?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ZiAgBHEweeVH_ZyNzaEzf11ElwE/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ZiAgBHEweeVH_ZyNzaEzf11ElwE/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ZiAgBHEweeVH_ZyNzaEzf11ElwE/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/ZiAgBHEweeVH_ZyNzaEzf11ElwE/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/-Xhd1eEZopw" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast_29.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-7892523792266394202010-11-29T05:19:00.000-06:002010-11-29T05:18:51.910-06:002010-11-29T05:18:51.910-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 291117<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>517 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>..UPDATE TO AVIATION...<p>DISCUSSION...<p>FIRST ITEM OF MENTION THIS MORNING IS CONTINUED GUSTINESS AT THE <br>SURFACE ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE CWA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A <br>STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY <br>STRETCHING FROM NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS TO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. GUSTS <br>THIS MORNING HAVE GENERALLY BEEN BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KTS...THOUGH A <br>FEW HIGHER GUSTS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING AT SGF...WHERE TERRAIN-INDUCED <br>FUNNELING EFFECTS ARE ENHANCING WIND SPEEDS. THINK THAT THE <br>GUSTINESS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED <br>IN THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE GRADIENT. <p>AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OMAHA BY <br>MIDDAY TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING SOUTH TOWARD WICHITA. <br>ALOFT...A 120 KT JET SHOULD BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA BY MID <br>MORNING. MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE THE BIG QUESTION WITH THIS <br>SYSTEM. SUITE OF 00Z RAOBS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...AND STRATUS <br>OBSERVATIONS ARE ALL SUGGESTIVE OF A RETURN OF SHALLOW <br>MOISTURE...BUT DEEP DRY LAYER IN THE 750-450 MB LAYER EVIDENT ON THE <br>00Z SGF AND LZK SOUNDINGS INDICATES THAT THERE IS STILL SOME <br>SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR THAT WILL NEED TO BE OVERCOME THIS MORNING. <br>WHILE PERHAPS AN OBVIOUS STATEMENT...THIS MORNING'S 12Z SOUNDING <br>WILL BE QUITE TELLING. <p>COMBINATION OF AT LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AND DIVERGENCE/LARGE <br>SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER JET IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A <br>GRADUAL INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...WITH AN <br>ADDITIONAL EXPANSION EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN 2/3 OR <br>SO OF THE CWA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF SOME WEAK MUCAPE <br>OVER THE AREA...SO HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING MENTION OF ISOLATED <br>THUNDER FOR THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. <p>COLD FRONT SHOULD BE WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE CWA LATE THIS <br>AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITH POPS DECREASING THROUGH THE <br>EVENING AS THE FRONT PASSES AND COOLER AND DRY AIR ADVECTS IN BEHIND <br>IT. STILL WOULDN'T BE TOO SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW FLURRIES MIX IN ON <br>THE TAIL END OF THINGS TONIGHT...BUT CHANCES ARE REALLY EVEN TOO LOW <br>FOR MENTION AT THIS TIME FOR LATE TONIGHT. ON <br>TUESDAY...HOWEVER...DO THINK THAT FLURRY CHANCES WILL BE A LITTLE <br>BETTER...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-44 AND EAST OF U.S. 65 WHERE A BIT OF <br>ADDITIONAL MOISTURE MAY DIG SOUTH ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE MAIN <br>TROUGH. OTHER STORY FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE RAPID RETURN TO <br>WINTER-LIKE TEMPS...WITH HIGHS IN 30S AND LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE <br>LOW TO MID 20S. <p>HEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...LOW AMPLITUDE <br>NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT TO <br>SEE A WEAK SHORTWAVE MAKE ITS WAY SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA ON <br>WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE PRETTY TOUGH TO COME <br>BY WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO CURRENTLY DON'T EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF <br>ANYTHING OTHER THAN AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER. <p>BEYOND FRIDAY...GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE DIVERGE SOMEWHAT WITH <br>FORECAST DETAILS...THOUGH THERE DOES SEEM TO BE BROAD CONSENSUS IN A <br>RETURN TO SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. COULDN'T RULE OUT SOME RAIN <br>CHANCES FOR THIS WEEKEND...BUT WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST UNTIL <br>GUIDANCE BECOMES A BIT MORE CLEAR.<p>BOXELL <p>&&<p>AVIATION...<br>/ISSUED 517 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010/<p>FOR THE 12Z TAF PACKAGE...DETERIORATING CONDITIONS EXPECTED AS THE<br>MORNING PROGRESSES. STIFF SOUTHERLY WINDS IN THE LOW LEVELS HAVE<br>LABORED TO MOISTEN THE AIR IN THE 2K TO 5K LAYER. FIRST SIGNS OF<br>-SHRA AND A FEW -TSRA APPEARING OVER SE OK AT THIS HOUR AND THIS<br>TREND WILL CONTINUE. SHORT RANGE MODELS INDICATED SCATTERED TO<br>NUMEROUS -SHRA AND A FEW EMBEDDED -TSRA EXPANDING INTO THE AREA<br>DURING THE MID/LATE MORNING HOURS. THIS WILL TAPER OFF DURING THE<br>EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS. CIGS ARE IN THE MVFR CAT WITH<br>DEVELOPING STRATUS AND LOWER END MVFR IS CERTAINLY IN THE OFFING<br>WITH RAINFALL. STILL SOME QUESTIONS AS TO WHETHER OR NOT IFR IS<br>POSSIBLE IN THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW. MORE THAN LIKELY ANY IFR WILL BE<br>BRIEF AND ASSOCIATED WITH HEAVIER POCKETS OF RAIN. SOME BRIEF<br>CLEARING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.<br>HOWEVER...AFTER A FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS EVENING...NORTHWEST FLOW<br>WILL LEAD TO INCREASING UPSLOPE AND THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN MVFR<br>DECK WHICH SHOULD PERSIST INTO TUESDAY.<p>GAGAN<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...NONE.<br>KS...NONE.<br>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-789252379226639420?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FaJ9abCqqteZ1ABRsYhhCRwz1i0/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FaJ9abCqqteZ1ABRsYhhCRwz1i0/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FaJ9abCqqteZ1ABRsYhhCRwz1i0/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/FaJ9abCqqteZ1ABRsYhhCRwz1i0/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/Ehiky5jxZzk" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_7221.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-76792984706188922132010-11-29T02:47:00.001-06:002010-11-29T02:47:07.816-06:002010-11-29T02:47:07.816-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 290844<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>244 AM CST MON NOV 29 2010<p>DISCUSSION...<p>FIRST ITEM OF MENTION THIS MORNING IS CONTINUED GUSTINESS AT THE <br>SURFACE ACROSS THE AREA...AS THE CWA REMAINS UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A <br>STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AHEAD OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY <br>STRETCHING FROM NORTH-CENTRAL KANSAS TO EASTERN SOUTH DAKOTA. GUSTS <br>THIS MORNING HAVE GENERALLY BEEN BETWEEN 20 AND 25 KTS...THOUGH A <br>FEW HIGHER GUSTS HAVE BEEN OCCURRING AT SGF...WHERE TERRAIN-INDUCED <br>FUNNELING EFFECTS ARE ENHANCING WIND SPEEDS. THINK THAT THE <br>GUSTINESS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING...WITH LITTLE CHANGE EXPECTED <br>IN THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE GRADIENT. <p>AFOREMENTIONED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR OMAHA BY <br>MIDDAY TODAY...WITH A COLD FRONT STRETCHING SOUTH TOWARD WICHITA. <br>ALOFT...A 120 KT JET SHOULD BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA BY MID <br>MORNING. MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE THE BIG QUESTION WITH THIS <br>SYSTEM. SUITE OF 00Z RAOBS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY...AND STRATUS <br>OBSERVATIONS ARE ALL SUGGESTIVE OF A RETURN OF SHALLOW <br>MOISTURE...BUT DEEP DRY LAYER IN THE 750-450 MB LAYER EVIDENT ON THE <br>00Z SGF AND LZK SOUNDINGS INDICATES THAT THERE IS STILL SOME <br>SIGNIFICANT DRY AIR THAT WILL NEED TO BE OVERCOME THIS MORNING. <br>WHILE PERHAPS AN OBVIOUS STATEMENT...THIS MORNING'S 12Z SOUNDING <br>WILL BE QUITE TELLING. <p>COMBINATION OF AT LEAST MODEST MOISTURE RETURN AND DIVERGENCE/LARGE <br>SCALE LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER JET IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN A <br>GRADUAL INCREASE IN SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS MORNING...WITH AN <br>ADDITIONAL EXPANSION EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE EASTERN 2/3 OR <br>SO OF THE CWA. FORECAST SOUNDINGS ARE SUGGESTIVE OF SOME WEAK MUCAPE <br>OVER THE AREA...SO HAVE MAINTAINED THE GOING MENTION OF ISOLATED <br>THUNDER FOR THE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING. <p>COLD FRONT SHOULD BE WORKING ITS WAY ACROSS THE CWA LATE THIS <br>AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING...WITH POPS DECREASING THROUGH THE <br>EVENING AS THE FRONT PASSES AND COOLER AND DRY AIR ADVECTS IN BEHIND <br>IT. STILL WOULDN'T BE TOO SURPRISED TO SEE A FEW FLURRIES MIX IN ON <br>THE TAIL END OF THINGS TONIGHT...BUT CHANCES ARE REALLY EVEN TOO LOW <br>FOR MENTION AT THIS TIME FOR LATE TONIGHT. ON <br>TUESDAY...HOWEVER...DO THINK THAT FLURRY CHANCES WILL BE A LITTLE <br>BETTER...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF I-44 AND EAST OF U.S. 65 WHERE A BIT OF <br>ADDITIONAL MOISTURE MAY DIG SOUTH ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE MAIN <br>TROUGH. OTHER STORY FOR TUESDAY WILL BE THE RAPID RETURN TO <br>WINTER-LIKE TEMPS...WITH HIGHS IN 30S AND LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT IN THE <br>LOW TO MID 20S. <p>HEADING INTO THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST...LOW AMPLITUDE <br>NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. EXPECT TO <br>SEE A WEAK SHORTWAVE MAKE ITS WAY SOUTHEAST OVER THE AREA ON <br>WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MOISTURE IS GOING TO BE PRETTY TOUGH TO COME <br>BY WITH THIS SYSTEM...SO CURRENTLY DON'T EXPECT MUCH IN THE WAY OF <br>ANYTHING OTHER THAN AN INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER. <p>BEYOND FRIDAY...GFS AND ECMWF GUIDANCE DIVERGE SOMEWHAT WITH <br>FORECAST DETAILS...THOUGH THERE DOES SEEM TO BE BROAD CONSENSUS IN A <br>RETURN TO SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES. COULDN'T RULE OUT SOME RAIN <br>CHANCES FOR THIS WEEKEND...BUT WILL MAINTAIN A DRY FORECAST UNTIL <br>GUIDANCE BECOMES A BIT MORE CLEAR.<p>BOXELL <p>&&<p>AVIATION...<br>/ISSUED 1130 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010/<p>4-5 KFT CEILINGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA OVERNIGHT BUT VFR<br>CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AT AREA<br>TERMINALS BEFORE FLIGHT CONDITIONS GRADUALLY DETERIORATE IN<br>ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT.<br>LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT AS STRONG<br>LOW LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MVFR CEILINGS WILL<br>DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTH TOWARD SUNRISE MONDAY AS MOISTURE SURGES<br>NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER DURING<br>THE DAY WITH AREAS OF IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON.<br>SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY FROM SPRINGFIELD<br>EASTWARD DURING THE DAY MONDAY.<p>FOSTER<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...NONE.<br>KS...NONE.<br>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-7679298470618892213?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/iva__C_7ZUaGstBPay3GJ_VBbR4/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/iva__C_7ZUaGstBPay3GJ_VBbR4/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/iva__C_7ZUaGstBPay3GJ_VBbR4/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/iva__C_7ZUaGstBPay3GJ_VBbR4/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/2QpOwDAJTQY" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_29.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-3902401590857044752010-11-28T23:41:00.001-06:002010-11-28T23:41:30.614-06:002010-11-28T23:41:30.614-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 290538<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>1138 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010<p>..UPDATE TO AVIATION...<p>UPDATE...<br>/ISSUED 1130 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010/ <br>STRATUS WAS STREAMING NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION LATE THIS EVENING<br>AS MOISTURE TRANSPORT STRENGTHENED IN ADVANCE OF A STORM SYSTEM<br>COMING OUT OF THE ROCKIES. CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE FORECAST<br>AREA OVERNIGHT. MEANWHILE GUSTY SOUTH-SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL<br>PERSIST OVERNIGHT PARTICULARLY OVER FAVORED AREAS OF THE OZARK<br>PLATEAU. FORECAST GRIDS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED FOR OVERNIGHT TO<br>REFLECT MORE CLOUD COVER AND SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES.<p>FOSTER<p>&&<p>DISCUSSION...<p>MAIN FOCUS WILL BE WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES MONDAY AND MONDAY<br>NIGHT AS ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.<p>CURRENTLY...FAIRLY GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OCCURRING OVER THE<br>CWA...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN CWA WHERE GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH<br>HAVE OCCURRED SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON. WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS (SFC<br>DWPTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S) CREATING RH VALUES IN THE 20S AND<br>30S...SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING IN THE<br>WESTERN CWA. CURRENTLY HAVE RED FLAG WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR<br>WESTERN 2 TIERS OF COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM AND WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6<br>PM FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS COUNTIES.<p>INCREASED WIND IS A RESULT OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE<br>LEE OF THE ROCKIES STRENGTHENING OUT AHEAD OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER<br>THE ROCKIES. <p>THE STORM SYSTEM WILL SHIFT EAST AND SWING THROUGH THE REGION<br>MONDAY AND TUESDAY. FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE<br>ADVECTION WILL BEGIN TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN CWA AND CONTINUE<br>INTO MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA.<br>TONIGHT...NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION AS IT WILL TAKE SOME<br>TIME TO SATURATE THE VERY DRY LOW LEVELS CURRENTLY IN PLACE.<br>HOWEVER...SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH<br>FAIRLY STRONG FORCING MOVING INTO THE AREA. NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF<br>A TEMPERATURE RISE ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN CWA WHERE<br>THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. <p>SURFACE FRONT SHOULD MAKE IT THROUGH THE CWA MONDAY EVENING WITH<br>MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION ENDING WITH THE FROPA. WILL PROBABLY SEE<br>STRATUS BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY<br>WITH CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.<br>WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT ON TUESDAY AND<br>STRATUS...NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A WARMUP...AND HIGHS MAY ONLY<br>REACH THE MID 30S IN MOST LOCATIONS.<p>REMAINDER OF WEEK EXPECTING TO BE DRY WITH LITTLE MOISTURE<br>RETURNING TO THE AREA AND MAINLY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW SETTING UP<br>OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROUGH TUESDAY. <p>LINDENBERG<p>&&<p>AVIATION...<br>/ISSUED 1130 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010/<p>4-5 KFT CEILINGS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA OVERNIGHT BUT VFR<br>CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AT AREA<br>TERMINALS BEFORE FLIGHT CONDITIONS GRADUALLY DETERIORATE IN<br>ADVANCE OF AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT.<br>LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT AS STRONG<br>LOW LEVEL WINDS CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. MVFR CEILINGS WILL<br>DEVELOP FROM THE SOUTH TOWARD SUNRISE MONDAY AS MOISTURE SURGES<br>NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION. CEILINGS WILL CONTINUE TO LOWER DURING<br>THE DAY WITH AREAS OF IFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING BY THE AFTERNOON.<br>SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL AFFECT AREAS MAINLY FROM SPRINGFIELD<br>EASTWARD DURING THE DAY MONDAY.<p>FOSTER<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...NONE.<br>KS...NONE.<br>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-390240159085704475?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/RfxBKvjlV5DbPigLwq6FQeH0Kis/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/RfxBKvjlV5DbPigLwq6FQeH0Kis/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/RfxBKvjlV5DbPigLwq6FQeH0Kis/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/RfxBKvjlV5DbPigLwq6FQeH0Kis/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/gL5dkcmGnOw" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_7905.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-18746547683232178952010-11-28T21:36:00.001-06:002010-11-28T21:36:15.868-06:002010-11-28T21:36:15.868-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 290332<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>932 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010<p>MOZ079>081-089>092-094-095-290530-<br>POLK-DALLAS-LACLEDE-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...<br>GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...<br>MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...NIXA...OZARK<br>929 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010<p>NOW...<br>GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS<br>WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE OZARK PLATEAU THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS<br>AROUND 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS MAINLY IN GREENE<br>COUNTY AS A RESULT OF LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS. THOSE DRIVING HIGH<br>PROFILE VEHICLES INCLUDING ALONG INTERSTATE 44 AND HIGHWAY 60<br>SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR GUSTY WINDS.<p>$$ <p>FOSTER<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-1874654768323217895?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fP1LMvLzOqXBTMFV7UufQTRCTbM/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fP1LMvLzOqXBTMFV7UufQTRCTbM/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fP1LMvLzOqXBTMFV7UufQTRCTbM/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/fP1LMvLzOqXBTMFV7UufQTRCTbM/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/sXFzwRGibO0" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_6405.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-651871995354878852010-11-28T21:34:00.000-06:002010-11-28T21:33:50.912-06:002010-11-28T21:33:50.912-06:00Short Term ForecastFPUS73 KSGF 290332<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>932 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010<p>MOZ079>081-089>092-094-095-290530-<br>POLK-DALLAS-LACLEDE-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BOLIVAR...BUFFALO...LEBANON...<br>GREENFIELD...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...ROGERSVILLE...<br>MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...AURORA...MOUNT VERNON...NIXA...OZARK<br>929 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010<p>NOW...<br>GUSTY SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 30 MPH WITH LOCALLY HIGHER GUSTS<br>WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF THE OZARK PLATEAU THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS<br>AROUND 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN LOCALIZED AREAS MAINLY IN GREENE<br>COUNTY AS A RESULT OF LOCAL TERRAIN EFFECTS. THOSE DRIVING HIGH<br>PROFILE VEHICLES INCLUDING ALONG INTERSTATE 44 AND HIGHWAY 60<br>SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR GUSTY WINDS.<p>$$ <p>FOSTER<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-65187199535487885?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/968fPAPC5-BRumT15KV5yaEK0SU/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/968fPAPC5-BRumT15KV5yaEK0SU/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/968fPAPC5-BRumT15KV5yaEK0SU/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/968fPAPC5-BRumT15KV5yaEK0SU/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/wrOwWEt-ylM" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast_28.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-77549580772158992902010-11-28T19:56:00.003-06:002010-11-28T19:56:43.954-06:002010-11-28T19:56:43.954-06:00Area Forecast Discussion - South Central/Southwest MissouriFXUS63 KSGF 281943<br>AFDSGF<p>AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>143 PM CST SUN NOV 28 2010<p>DISCUSSION...<p>MAIN FOCUS WILL BE WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES MONDAY AND MONDAY<br>NIGHT AS ANOTHER STRONG STORM SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.<p>CURRENTLY...FAIRLY GUSTY SOUTH WINDS OCCURRING OVER THE<br>CWA...ESPECIALLY OVER THE WESTERN CWA WHERE GUSTS OF 35 TO 40 MPH<br>HAVE OCCURRED SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON. WITH VERY DRY LOW LEVELS (SFC<br>DWPTS IN THE TEENS AND 20S) CREATING RH VALUES IN THE 20S AND<br>30S...SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WERE OCCURRING IN THE<br>WESTERN CWA. CURRENTLY HAVE RED FLAG WARNINGS IN EFFECT FOR<br>WESTERN 2 TIERS OF COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM AND WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6<br>PM FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS COUNTIES.<p>INCREASED WIND IS A RESULT OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE<br>LEE OF THE ROCKIES STRENGTHING OUT AHEAD OF A LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER<br>THE ROCKIES. <p>THE STORM SYSTEM WILL SHIFT EAST AND SWING THROUGH THE REGION<br>MONDAY AND TUESDAY. FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE<br>ADVECTION WILL BEGIN TONIGHT OVER THE WESTERN CWA AND CONTINUE<br>INTO MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE CWA.<br>TONIGHT...NOT EXPECTING ANY PRECIPITATION AS IT WILL TAKE SOME<br>TIME TO SATURATE THE VERY DRY LOW LEVELS CURRENTLY IN PLACE.<br>HOWEVER...SHOULD SEE PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH<br>FAIRLY STRONG FORCING MOVING INTO THE AREA. NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF<br>A TEMPERATURE RISE ON MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE EASTERN CWA WHERE<br>THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR. <p>SURFACE FRONT SHOULD MAKE IT THROUGH THE CWA MONDAY EVENING WITH<br>MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION ENDING WITH THE FROPA. WILL PROBABLY SEE<br>STRATUS BUILDING IN BEHIND THE FRONT MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY<br>WITH CLEARING FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.<br>WITH COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT ON TUESDAY AND<br>STRATUS...NOT EXPECTING MUCH OF A WARMUP...AND HIGHS MAY ONLY<br>REACH THE MID 30S IN MOST LOCATIONS.<p>REMAINDER OF WEEK EXPECTING TO BE DRY WITH LITTLE MOISTURE<br>RETURNING TO THE AREA AND MAINLY WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW SETTING UP<br>OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE DEPARTING TROUGH TUESDAY. <p>LINDENBERG<p>&&<p>AVIATION...<br>PILOTS FLYING IN AND OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AIRPORTS WILL <br>NEED TO MONITOR FOR STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR. AS A MATTER OF <br>FACT...SPEEDS UP TO 55 KNOTS CAN NOT BE RULED OUT AT AROUND 2000 <br>FEET AT TIMES. <p>OTHERWISE...NO OTHER AVIATION HAZARDS ARE FORECASTED ACROSS THE <br>REGION. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH TODAY AND MOST OF TONIGHT. <br>HOWEVER...THERE COULD BE SOME MVFR STRATUS SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA <br>BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING.<p>CRAMER<p>&&<p>SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...<br>MO...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MOZ066-067-077-<br> 078-088-089-093-094-101-102.<p>KS...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ073-097-101.<p> WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR KSZ073-097-101.<p>&&<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-7754958077215899290?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/mD0s_Pd9W3P-QSZtFpwzcC7uiJM/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/mD0s_Pd9W3P-QSZtFpwzcC7uiJM/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/mD0s_Pd9W3P-QSZtFpwzcC7uiJM/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/mD0s_Pd9W3P-QSZtFpwzcC7uiJM/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/1h3ydGWY-QA" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/area-forecast-discussion-south_28.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-15928673811758431442010-11-28T19:56:00.001-06:002010-11-28T19:56:42.489-06:002010-11-28T19:56:42.489-06:00Short Term Forecast - South Central/Southwest MissouriFPUS73 KSGF 251154<br>NOWSGF<p>SHORT TERM FORECAST<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>554 AM CST THU NOV 25 2010<p>MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-251400-<br>TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA...<br>WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH...<br>GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON<br>554 AM CST THU NOV 25 2010<p>NOW...<br>THROUGH 8 AM...SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST AND AND AFFECT<br>AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF A LINE FROM SALEM...TO AVA...TO BRANSON.<br>RAINFALL RATES OF ONE TENTH TO ONE QUARTER OF AN INCH PER HOUR<br>WILL BE POSSIBLE...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER SOUTH CENTRAL<br>MISSOURI.<p>$$<p>MOZ070-071-080-081-090>095-101>103-251400-<br>PULASKI-PHELPS-DALLAS-LACLEDE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-<br>LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-<br>INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FORT LEONARD WOOD...WAYNESVILLE...<br>ROLLA...BUFFALO...LEBANON...SPRINGFIELD...MARSHFIELD...<br>ROGERSVILLE...MOUNTAIN GROVE...MANSFIELD...NEOSHO...AURORA...<br>MOUNT VERNON...NIXA...OZARK...ANDERSON...PINEVILLE...MONETT...<br>CASSVILLE...KIMBERLING CITY...GALENA<br>554 AM CST THU NOV 25 2010<p>NOW...<br>THROUGH 8 AM...AREAS OF DRIZZLE ARE EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST<br>OF A LINE FROM NEOSHO...TO SPRINGFIELD...TO ROLLA. IN ADDITION TO<br>DRIZZLE...LIGHT FOG IS EXPECTED WHICH WILL LIMIT VISIBILITY TO<br>LESS THAN ONE MILE AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL<br>INTO THE MIDDLE 30S ACROSS THE AREA...WITH READINGS NEAR FREEZING<br>BY 8 AM. THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING DRIZZLE AND LIGHT FREEZING<br>RAIN WILL INCREASE AFTER 8 AM...AS COLDER TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO<br>FILTER INTO THE AREA.<p>$$<br>GAGAN<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-1592867381175843144?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/vMDU7LyYRlfSO_UtSzH8QTnris8/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/vMDU7LyYRlfSO_UtSzH8QTnris8/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/vMDU7LyYRlfSO_UtSzH8QTnris8/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/vMDU7LyYRlfSO_UtSzH8QTnris8/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/5OE-jPSQIWQ" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/short-term-forecast-south_28.htmltag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3716848588722632609.post-91351535523856149102010-11-24T14:30:00.001-06:002010-11-24T14:30:38.195-06:002010-11-24T14:30:38.195-06:00Tornado WatchWWUS63 KSGF 242028<br>WCNSGF<p>WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 750<br>NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO<br>228 PM CST WED NOV 24 2010<p>KSC011-021-037-MOC009-011-015-029-039-043-057-059-067-077-085-097-<br>105-109-119-131-141-145-153-167-169-185-209-213-217-225-229-<br>250400-<br>/O.NEW.KSGF.TO.A.0750.101124T2028Z-101125T0400Z/<p>THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH 750 IN<br>EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS<p>IN KANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES<p>IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS<p>BOURBON CHEROKEE CRAWFORD <p>IN MISSOURI THIS WATCH INCLUDES 27 COUNTIES<p>IN CENTRAL MISSOURI<p>BENTON CAMDEN HICKORY <br>MILLER MORGAN PULASKI <br>ST. CLAIR <p>IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI<p>BARRY BARTON CEDAR <br>CHRISTIAN DADE DALLAS <br>DOUGLAS GREENE JASPER <br>LACLEDE LAWRENCE MCDONALD <br>NEWTON OZARK POLK <br>STONE TANEY VERNON <br>WEBSTER WRIGHT <p>THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...ANDERSON...APPLETON CITY...AURORA...<br>AVA...BAXTER SPRINGS...BOLIVAR...BRANSON...BUFFALO...CAMDENTON...<br>CARTHAGE...CASSVILLE...COLE CAMP...COLUMBUS...EL DORADO SPRINGS...<br>ELDON...FORSYTH...FORT LEONARD WOOD...FORT SCOTT...GAINESVILLE...<br>GALENA...GREENFIELD...HERMITAGE...JOPLIN...KIMBERLING CITY...<br>LAKE OZARK...LAMAR...LEBANON...MANSFIELD...MARSHFIELD...MONETT...<br>MOUNT VERNON...MOUNTAIN GROVE...NEOSHO...NEVADA...NIXA...<br>OSAGE BEACH...OSCEOLA...OZARK...PINEVILLE...PITTSBURG...<br>REPUBLIC...ROGERSVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...STOCKTON...THEODOSIA...<br>VERSAILLES...WARSAW AND WAYNESVILLE.<p>$$<p><p>Weather Information from <a href="http://www.artmorris.com">www.artmorris.com</a><div class="blogger-post-footer"><img width='1' height='1' src='https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/tracker/3716848588722632609-9135153552385614910?l=auroraweather.blogspot.com' alt='' /></div>
<p><a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/L3th7mbYJUTeR5NU0_xFSy1QHxk/0/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/L3th7mbYJUTeR5NU0_xFSy1QHxk/0/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a><br/>
<a href="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/L3th7mbYJUTeR5NU0_xFSy1QHxk/1/da"><img src="http://feedads.g.doubleclick.net/~a/L3th7mbYJUTeR5NU0_xFSy1QHxk/1/di" border="0" ismap="true"></img></a></p><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/AuroraWeather/~4/Q1i1kHuv820" height="1" width="1"/>ArtMorris.comhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14684912887731044473noreply@blogger.comhttp://auroraweather.blogspot.com/2010/11/tornado-watch_24.html