Value selections - Rosehill 29th July

2017-07-28T17:27:00.003-07:00

Cadogan - Race 2 - 12:15pm

Sitting at $15 currently this winner at Scone in May represents great value. He beat both Ghostly and Suncraze that day and we have seen both winning since Suncraze in the HIghway last week. He was a dual acceptor today in Gosford as well where he was a certain winner in a $30,000 race. He moves up to a $100,000 event here and still looks strong.

He has poor wet form and struggled but back on top of the ground in a small field this is likely to be his day. He carried 60kg in Scone running 33.920 for the last 600m and a strong run carrying 59.5kg gaining ground into a 34.37 sectional at Warwick Farm last start before the freshen into this race.

Only carrying 55kg from barrier 6 with Jason Collett aboard and with Bjorn Baker being in form this looks great each way value.

Vienna Romance - Race 5 - 2pm

Vienna Romance represents some great value indeed I think this little filly will pick up a nice little race and today looks like a nice stepping stone to that goal.

What can you say with her the form surrounding her is great. First up at Gosford carrying 59kg she was beaten 1.5 by Test the World carrying 57.5kg and who as we know went on to win 4 races straight. New Universe a horse on course to collect some Group silverware in the was nearly caught napping by Vienna Romance and only managed to beat her by 0.3 of a length at Rosehill 20th May with a sectional of 34.42s. We can also see that she also beat Memes that day who has gone on to win in town in Saturday class twice now.

Maybe she is a bridesmmaid but at the $10 currently on offer for her its amazing value. Consider also the favourites in this field Faith's Encore and Slumber Party have never run with the weights they have today. Faith's Encore won on the 21st September 2016 at warwick farm with 56kg she is up 5kg to 61kg will be an incredibly strong effort for her to win. Slumber Party won with 56.5kg at Beaumont in November 2016 at ran a good second with 58kg at Warwick Farm the 17th May, its a far less jump to the 60kg for her up 2kg on a good run however it still poses a big risk to her chances.

The main threat as I see it to Vienna Romance isn't the favourites today its Feirin from the Anthony and Edward Cumings stable with only 1 start for 1 win at Gosford over 1200m in a slow time its hard to assess the hidden potential here.

Also a neat little option here a box Trifecta 2,4,6,9.

Aussie Punter

Value selections - Rosehill 29th July