Australian Betfair Revolution

Arsenal To Win The Premiership

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Wed, 17 Mar 2010 07:11:00 +0000

Haven't received any mail yet for tonights action at Cheltenham.

Instead we will turn our attention to a medium range bet and have a look at the Winner of the English Premier League. Arsenal currently paying $3.90 look the best value. They have an easy run in, whereas United have to play Chelsea, Liverpool and Mancester City, so offer no value at $2.68. Chelsea at $2.70 should have had it all wrap up by now - but haven't!!!

Cheltenham (UK) Carnival Day 1

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Tue, 16 Mar 2010 08:55:00 +0000

Khyber Kim, in the Champions hurdle will be hard to beat if it lives up to its best form. Available around $10 (9-1) . Won at Cheltenham earlier this season. Good each way chance.

Monday Night EPL

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Mon, 15 Mar 2010 06:41:00 +0000

Have to be very cautious betting on the sinking ship which is Liverpool, but they have to win every game to be a chance to qualify for the Champions League next year. Playing at home, against a bankrupt Portsmouth is enough reason to give them one last chance for the season.

Hong Kong Derby Day

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Sat, 13 Mar 2010 23:11:00 +0000

Big race in HK this weekend is the HK Derby and it is a hot race and if the price is right we fancy one called Fair Trade, anything bigger than $5 (4-1) would be good. Unbeaten twice in Oz, unbeaten in HK at 1400m, stepping up to 2000m, big chance.

Flemington Australian Cup Day Take 2

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 12 Mar 2010 20:15:00 +0000

Will again follow the horses from last week that didn't get to run because of the weather. Estee in Race 5 at Flemington should be around 10's or better, and Sirmione in the Australian Cup should be around 8's.

In addition will have a bet on Fordee, riden by Peter Mertens, in Race 2

Adelaide Cup

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Mon, 08 Mar 2010 01:16:00 +0000

In today's Adelaide Cup would of backed Montahlia but it has been scratched. Will instead back the Patrick Payne trained duo of Capecover and Kerdem.

Super Saturday Flemington

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 05 Mar 2010 20:21:00 +0000

Will back Duporth each way in the Newmarket, Sirmione in the Australian Cup and Estee in the last on Super Saturday.

The Honda Clasic

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Thu, 04 Mar 2010 08:52:00 +0000

We should have the winner amongst the following, a small wager on each should get you a good little profit come Monday morning:

Lee Westwood @ 21’s
Ernie Els @ 25’s
Padraig Harrington @ 30’s
Y.E. Yang @ 32’s
Sergio Garcia @ 38’s
Tim Clark @ 42’s
Charles Howell III @ 60’s
Mark Wilson @ 80’s
Tim Wilkinson @ 530’s

Australian PGA

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Wed, 09 Dec 2009 05:13:00 +0000

Been awhile since the last post but back for some summer action here at the revolution

Fancy kiwi golfer Tim Wilkinson in tomorrows Australian PGA. He currently is at $65's on betfair to win outright, and $5.60 to finish top 10 - he finished equal 14th last year at the same course

He plies his trade on the US tour but had an injury interrupted season this year but finished equal 12th last week in the Open after shooting a disappointing 74 in the final round

He also had a reasonable finish in the Australian Masters a few weeks back

But get on early as he tee's off at 7:00am on the Thursday - in hopefully perfect conditions

AFL - Round 17

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Sat, 01 Aug 2009 03:11:00 +0000

It's hard to go past all the favourites this weekend in the AFL.

It's hard to go past Geelong when they are playing in Geelong. Saying that they are playing a pretty good team in Adelaide today. But interstate teams playing at Skilled stadium generally fall to pieces so to add some value into the Cats we will back Geelong at $1.98 on betfair to win by more than 25.5 points.

Must say though the Western Bulldogs at $1.05 certainly doesn't offer any value. Although they should win easy today there is no point backing them at that price. If you were planing a bet in this match why not take Fremantle at $1.80 on betfair with a 54.5 point start - this would make watching this game more interesting.

The value bet of the round could be Brisbane to win at $3.55 on betfair to defeat Collingwood.

StKilda should be too good for Sydney in Sydney but this game could be closer than most people think so we will have a go at Sydney at $1.88 on betfair with a 35.5 point start.

Don't think Melbourne are too keen on winning too many more matches this year, and still with a game against Fremantle coming up, think they will be happy to use this game as a re-building game for the future. On the other hand Richmond look keen to win as much as they can so backing Richmond to win at $1.27 looks a safe bet.

The last two matches look dangerous with Victorian based teams playing interstate - against opposition who's form fluctuates widely so we will give these games a miss.

I Like Tarts!!!

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Sat, 25 Jul 2009 01:27:00 +0000

For one reason or another have not been able to post for awhile, but some action tonight from Ascot in the UK.

Tartan Bearer to win the big race tonight in the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes. Nothing between it and Conduit. Conduit hasn't won right handed, all it's big wins have come left handed so that is the difference, so Tartan Bearer it is as it has won right handed.

It's around $6 on betfair so a good each way bet

July Cup

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 10:06:00 +0000

On tonight a little after midnight I think. Looks a very competitive race. Like Paco Boy but with it dropping back in distance I will give it a miss. Scenic Blast favourite on betfair at $2.76, while Takeover Target is at $17's.

AFL - Round 15

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 01:36:00 +0000

Predicting a couple of upsets this weekend in AFL.

Western Bulldogs, at $1.63 on betfair, deserve to be favourites for tonight's clash against Collingwood and we expect them to be too good for the magpies - so we will get on at this price.

Carlton at $1.30 are very short, even though they are playing Richmond. Carlton have been too up and down this season to lump on at short odds. Had a look at Richmond with a 24.5 point start paying $1.92 but don't fancy that either - so we will skip this game.

Was looking to back Essendon this week but they are no value at $2.30 on betfair. Have done a turn-around and will in fact have a small bet on the Sydney with a minus 8.5 point start at $2.02.

After watching the bruising encounter last Sunday between St Kilda and Geelong, we thought Brisbane may have been a chance against the Cats this week. When we heard that 4 Cats were out injured last night only made us a feel more confident. So we will back Brisbane at $3.15 to win. And then when we heard Travis Johnstone was dropped by the Lions we decided to double our wager!!!

Adeliade should beat Fremantle but at $1.15 don't offer value.

While I'm not sure if anyone would feel comfortable taking the $1.54 on offer for Hawthorn in their match. If we were to bet in this match then the $2.78 on offer for North Melbourne looks attractive - but again we will watch on.

We were expecting Melbourne to be longer odds than $3.05 to beat Port Adelaide. But we will take some of the $2 being offered for Melbourne with a 17.5 point start.

In the final game we will have a small wager on the home team West Coast with a 32.5 point start against St Kilda.

Happy Punting

Golf - The Open Championship Early Thoughts

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Tue, 07 Jul 2009 05:43:00 +0000

Fancy taking on some of the English players in the open, so Casey, Donald, Westwood, Poulter (twat!) won't win but I do think Oliver Wilson could go well at a big price.

Early punts:

When betfair offer the Swedes as one bet; get on -why back 1 fool when ya can back 10 at once! 8-1 would be a fair price.

Woods if his price goes above $3.50, currently best priced at $3 but sometimes the market drifts the day before tee off.

Oliver Wilson at 125-1 goes about his business nicely. Ogilvy at 40-1 is also worth a bet.

Tim Wilkinson, from New Zealand, is a favourite of the revolution and at $990 we have had a dollar each way

Cricket - The Ashes 1st Test

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Tue, 07 Jul 2009 05:33:00 +0000

Fancy taking on Australia in the first test starting this week in Cardiff. You could of layed the Aussies at $2.70 yesterday, but that has drifted out to $3 after Brett Lee announced he would not be playing. It's meant to rain during the week in Wales - and I'm not sure if they will have the roof open or closed at millennium stadium.

Will back Australia to win the series 2-1 which is paying $8.60 on betfair

EDIT: They are not playing at the Millennium stadium at all so the weather will come into play - watch out for that welsh weather.

Cardiff Oulook:

You must have a browser that supports iframes to view the BBC weather forecast

Tennis - Wimbledon Men's Semi Finals

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 03 Jul 2009 07:24:00 +0000

Andy Roddick at $3.90 looks very good value tonight in his clash with Andy Murray. There will be enourmos amount of pressure on Murray and he did have a marathon five seter in his last match.

We hope Tommy Haas wins and he too looks good value at over $11 on betfair. But for anyone to beat Federer is a tall order. We will have a small bet on Tommy Haas at $11.50, but we will probably go loooking at other angles for action on this game - maybe set betting. Federer to win 3 sets to 2 is paying over $10's...

AFL - Round 14 Update

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 03 Jul 2009 05:32:00 +0000

A very profitable round last week, with all but one of our selections getting home... for this round:

A little surprised that Collingwood are $1.50 favourites for tonight's clash. Although they probably deserve to be favourites there is not much difference between the teams. We will back Essendon at $2.82.

On Saturday we have selected Melbourne at $2.06 to defeat West Coast, hoping the Dee's will rise to the occasion for Jimmy, but with the demons record over the last two years punters should be cautious backing a team that has only won a handful of games.

Brisbane at $1.64 should win away against Port Adelaide if it considers itself as a genuine contender this year. Same goes for Adelaide at $1.31 against Richmond, but at $1.31 there is not much value - so we will miss this game.

We are just waiting for Hawthorn to come good, which may or may not happen - but for this reason we will avoid the Western Bulldogs v Hawthorn clash.

On Sunday Sydney are $1.39 but playing at the SCG deserve to be short, and should be too strong for North Melbourne.

While in much anticipated "match of the year" Geelong's class will start to rise to the top, while there are still question marks about whether St Kilda are a true genuine team. For these reason we will get on Geelong at $1.62.

Finally we will miss the Fremantle v Carlton match for 2 reasons, 1. too hard and 2. don't care

Happy punting

AFL - Round 14

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Thu, 02 Jul 2009 10:55:00 +0000

Essendon, Melbourne, Brisbane, Western Bulldogs, Adelaide, Sydney, Geelong and Carlton should all win - no time for more precise analysis

Tennis - Wimbledon Day 9

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Thu, 02 Jul 2009 10:52:00 +0000

Ok big call but will be backing against both Williams sisters tonight. No multi's but will back both ladies palying both Serena and Venus - if either win big odds!!!

Eclipse Stakes

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Thu, 02 Jul 2009 10:49:00 +0000

Eclipse on Saturday and Sea the Stars is around 10/11. Winning the 2000Guineas and Derby (it only really raced for about 200 meters in the Derby) one would think that racing at 2000 meters should be ideal. Yes, winners of the Derby stepping back in trip have been beaten in the Eclipse but that should not be a problem.

Rip Van Winkle is 7-2 which is no value given it was beaten by Sea The Stars on both runs this season. 3 years ago Oratorio won the Eclipse after being beat in the derby and 2000 guineas beating Motivator who had stuffed it in the Derby but Oratorio won at 10-1, so how anyone can recommend Rip at 7-2 is beyond me.

YOUMZAIN beat at odds on last weekend in France. Keeps coming 2/3/4 with excuses. Aviod.

Tartan Bearer 8-1 for the King George tasty!

Tennis - Wimbledon Day 6

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Sat, 27 Jun 2009 09:49:00 +0000

Tonights big 7 - Ana Ivanovic, Venus Williams, Svetlana Kuznetsova, Dinara Safina, Jelena Jankovic, Andy Roddick, David Ferrer

Don't get fooled that the aussie will beat Ivanovic

Tennis - Wimbledon Day 5

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 26 Jun 2009 03:07:00 +0000

Missed last night but we have tipped 18 out of 21 winners so far in the tournament.

In tonight's action we will overlook both Federer and Williams, who should both win easy, as both are at less than $1.10 as we go searching for some slightly better value.

The lucky seven for tonight are Novak Djokovic at $1.28, Elena Dementieva at $1.11, Robin Solderling at $1.21, Nadia Petrova at $1.40, Marion Bartoli at $1.48, Daniela Hantuchova at $1.45 and Tommy Robredo at $1.76

We will include them in a number of multi's tonight, made up of a combinations of four, five and six folds, along with all seven

AFL - Round 13

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Fri, 26 Jun 2009 02:25:00 +0000

Start the weekend off by backing Essendon at $2.84 with betfair in tonight's match, which is good value.

Collingwood at $1.16 will be too good for Fremantle Saturday, while we will back Sydney with a 24.5 point start at $1.95 against Adelaide.

Don't be surprised if the demons give Brisbane a scare Saturday night in Brisbane. We will back Melbourne with a 44.5 point start at $1.95.

Hawthorn should win tomorrow night, but at $1.42 don't offer much value considering their recent form, and they are playing away - so we will give this game a miss.

Finally Geelong at $1.07, Western Bulldogs at $1.17 and StKilda at $1.12 will all be too good on Sunday and these make a perfect little multi - but at present this combination is only been offered at $1.35 through the AFL Accumulators markets on betfair.

Tennis - Wimbledon Day 3

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Wed, 24 Jun 2009 06:05:00 +0000

Tommy Haas won his first match last night so that made 7 out of 7 from the Day 1 selections, while we manged 5 out of 7 last night.

For Day 3 we have choosen these lucky seven, again in a combination of multi's using betfair mutliples - Marin Cilic, Novak Djokovic, Victoria Azarenka, Fernando Verdasco, Sania Mirza, Tommy Haas and Vera Zvonareva

Tennis - Wimbledon Day 2

anthony@australianbetfairrevolution.com (Anthony) — Tue, 23 Jun 2009 08:15:00 +0000

Had six winners and the final game to be completed today from day 1, so a profitable night.

Tonight will again combine seven players in a series of multi bets, using betfair multiples - Jelena Dokic, Nikolay Davydenko, Juan Martin Del Potro, Venus Williams, Benjamin Becker, Jurgen Melzer, Nicole Vaidisova

Wish Channel 9 coverage didn't start so late though