Carnegie Endowment for International Peace: China Program

Think Again: Asia's Rise

Wed, 01 Jul 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Don't believe the hype about the decline of America and the dawn of a new Asian age. It will be many decades before China, India, and the rest of the region take over the world, if they ever do.

Fixing the Odds

Thu, 25 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Reviewing past cases of rigged elections in authoritarian and transition countries can illuminate the prospects for Iran's opposition.

Daddy Dearest

Fri, 19 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Kim Jong Un, the youngest son of Kim Jong Il, looks to be the next ruler of North Korea. Will he usher in a period of perestroika? Or are we to expect more of the same provocation we've witnessed in the past two months?

China's Prospects In The Current Global Climate

Wed, 17 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

China’s economic growth remains high in spite of the global recession. The Chinese government has already spent a great deal of stimulus money, but should strengthen its social safety net to protect manufacturing workers who lose their jobs as exports collapse.

The Rise of China: Essays on the Future Competition

Fri, 29 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Chinese leaders view the international community as fundamentally defined by antagonism; an outlook that is unlikely to change until and unless the regime changes.

How Beijing Kept Its Grip on Power

Tue, 02 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

When the Chinese Communist party toasts its post-Tiananmen success, it should be under no illusion that the good times are here to stay.

A Nuclear Test of China

Tue, 02 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Pyongyang's latest nuclear test makes the potential for cooperation between China and North Korea poorer than ever, and from Washington's perspective, that's progress.

The Political Impact of the Economic Crisis on China

Fri, 29 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Fears that the global financial crisis will generate political turmoil or cause the CCP to lose its grip on power are overblown.

China's Modern Authoritarianism

Sat, 02 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

The Chinese Communist Party's top priority remains what it has always been: the maintenance of absolute political power.

Bigger than Ever

Mon, 01 Jun 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Today's global economic meltdown will increase the importance of New York and London in the coming decade. It's possible that another financial center will rise in prominence, but the current crisis is likely to make this process slower.

North Korea Poses No Real Threat to the World

Tue, 26 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Successive American administrations have failed to understand that the North Korea is not prepared to give up its nuclear weapons. The only hope for a shift in North Korea's behavior seems to be an eventual successor to Kim Jong Il.

North Korea's Move Tests International Will on Nuclear Issues

Mon, 25 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

North Korea's recent nuclear test seems to erase any progress in six years of multilateral negotiations. The United States can still pressure North Korea, but it will neeed China's cooperation.

Asia Needs to Ditch Its Growth Model

Tue, 19 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Asian countries are responding to the economic crisis with policies that may temporarily boost growth but that are likely to make the transition from a development model that emphasizes personal savings and increasing production more difficult.

China's Consumption Conundrum

Tue, 12 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

To rebalance an economy with excess capacity and to continue growing, China needs domestic consumption to grow much faster than domestic production for many years to come.

The G20 Meetings: No Common Framework, No Consensus

Tue, 05 May 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Until the U.S., China, and the EU reach consensus about the roots of the global economic crisis and coordinate recovery policy, the world economy is likely to get worse before it gets better.

The New Situation of Cross-Strait Relations

Fri, 10 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

The improved relations between China and Taiwan over the last year is important not only for the Taiwan Strait but also for the common prosperity and development of the whole Asia-Pacific region.

The Outlook for Cross-Strait Relations

Tue, 20 Jan 2009 00:00:00 -0500

Since the new Taiwanese administration took office on May 20 last year, cross-strait relations have reached a hard-to-come-by point of historic opportunity. Taiwan can no longer treat the Mainland as simply a threat but should also regard a source of potential opportunity.

A Freer China Would Stimulate Spending

Tue, 07 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

To rekindle growth, Beijing needs more than just an economic stimulus; it must give its people a voice so that they are free to consume.

The Decline of U.S. Hegemony: Regaining International Consent

Sun, 15 Mar 2009 00:00:00 -0400

Through various policies of the Bush administration, the United States lost a considerable amount of international authority. Amidst a system of rising powers, this could have grave consequences for global stability. However, the future depends on the Obama administration’s efforts to regain American authority.

North Korea: Time for Strategy

Fri, 03 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

The Obama administration would do well to take time out and think through its longer term approach to Pyongyang.

A Long Hard Restructuring Road Ahead in China

Wed, 01 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

China’s transition from an economy fueled by exports to one that relies on domestic consumption will require a transformation of its most basic economic institutions and the creation of a much larger social safety net — a process that will take many years.

G20 Leaders to Tout Competing Ideas on Recovery

Wed, 01 Apr 2009 00:00:00 -0400

China wants to look like a leader at the G20 summit by highlighting the extent of its stimulus package ($586 billion) as well as the relative health of its financial system.

Will the Chinese Communist Party Survive the Crisis?

Thu, 12 Mar 2009 00:00:00 -0400

China's faltering economic growth is posing the hardest test yet to the resilience of the Chinese Communist Party.

The U.S.-China Spat at Sea

Wed, 11 Mar 2009 00:00:00 -0400

The apparent willingness of Chinese leaders to tolerate its Navy's dangerous maneuvers against U.S. vessels suggests a lack of regard for international laws governing ship and air contacts, raising broader concerns about Beijing's willingness to accept international norms.

Averting Crisis: A Path Forward for China's Healthcare System

Mon, 09 Mar 2009 00:00:00 -0400

An examination of the current structure of China's healthcare system, the obstacles that the regime must overcome to achieve universal healthcare, and the competing proposals for improving it.