The Endowment's latest publications. http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm en-us Copyright 2007 Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. All Rights Reserved. Wed, 07 May 2008 20:30:05 GMT http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss Kuwait's parliamentary election on May 17 is more likely to continue political stalemate than move the country toward much needed political and economic reforms, argues Nathan J. Brown. Kuwait's looming tensions between the ruling family and parliament may have serious implications for democracy promotion in the broader Middle East as "other countries in the region are coming to see Kuwait as a negative model of what democracy can result in. http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20098&prog=zgp&proj=zdrl,zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20098&prog=zgp&proj=zdrl,zme Tue, 06 May 2008 00:00:00 -0400 Kuwait has the most democratic political system in the Gulf; its parliament is arguably one of the most sustained democratic experiments in the Arab world. The Sabah family rules Kuwait under the terms of a 1963 constitution that allows for a freely elected parliament that has real legislative and oversight authority. The parliament's willingness and ability to assert independence has varied over time, but in recent years it has been increasingly assertive. And the ruling family—which has ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20098&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20098&prog=zgp&proj=zme Tue, 06 May 2008 00:00:00 -0400 It is customary for a French President to devote an entire speech to issues of nuclear deterrence – something his US or British counterparts have seldom done since the end of the Cold war, and which testifies to the importance that nuclear weapons still have for Paris. But the speech given by President Nicolas Sarkozy on March 21 was noteworthy in at least two respects. It signaled that even though Sarkozy is often keen on making “clean breaks” with past practices, continuity would prevail as ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20090&prog=zgp&proj=znpp http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20090&prog=zgp&proj=znpp Wed, 30 Apr 2008 00:00:00 -0400 “Important, timely, and superbly-written ... This book is a wake-up call and should be read by policymakers, politicians, pundits and all who want a guide to the dangerous waters of 21st century geopolitics.”—Senator John McCain “Provocative, thoughtful, and vitally important ... a must-read for anyone interested in the future of American foreign policy–and a reminder of why Robert Kagan is one of our nation's most indispensable strategists.”—Senator Joseph Lieberman “An eloquent, powerful, ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20089&prog=zgp&proj=zusr http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20089&prog=zgp&proj=zusr Wed, 30 Apr 2008 00:00:00 -0400 The Egyptian government's crackdown on the Muslim Brotherhood in advance of the April 8 local elections was motivated by its determination to exclude the Brotherhood from the 2011 presidential election and is likely to persist until the matter of presidential succession is settled, argue two Carnegie experts. In Egypt's Local Elections Farce: Causes and Consequences, Carnegie's Amr Hamzawy and Mohammed Herzallah argue that Egypt's controversial April 8 elections underscore the present backward ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20045&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20045&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 14 Apr 2008 00:00:00 -0400 Despite Algeria's recent economic growth and domestic stability, the government's refusal to address the legacy of its violent civil war threatens its long-term stability, argues a new paper from the Carnegie Endowment. President Abdelaziz Bouteflika's decision to push forward his “Charter for Peace and National Reconciliation” without public input or dialogue has undermined the prospect for true reconciliation. In Algeria Under Bouteflika: Civil Strife and National Reconciliation, Algerian ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19976&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19976&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 10 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 The common idea that every regional contest is succinctly played out in Lebanon is false, writes Amr Hamzawy*"Is it safe to go to Lebanon in the next few days?" an American colleague at the Carnegie Endowment asked me. I didn't know what to tell him. For one thing, I'm not a specialist in Lebanese affairs. Also, I hate to speculate on a situation that remains, in my view, too fluid. Still, as I started to pay more attention to Lebanon, going over dozens of reports and commentary, I formulated ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20018&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20018&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 31 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 The United States and China must make accommodations to curb greenhouse gas emissions if both countries are to break their “suicide pact” of self-destructive, energy-using behavior. Together they produce 40 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions, yet both countries demand that the other take responsibility for climate change, meanwhile the threat of environmental disaster grows. For the first time, China is considering an emissions target while half of U.S. states have set their own ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19991&prog=zch,zgp&proj=zusr http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19991&prog=zch,zgp&proj=zusr Wed, 19 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 INSIDE THE NETWORK OF BUSINESS, GOVERNMENT, MILITARY, AND CULTURAL ELITES WHO ARE REDEFINING POWER IN THE GLOBAL ERA. Each one of them is one in a million. They number six thousand on a planet of six billion. They run our governments, our largest corporations, the powerhouses of international ?nance, the media, world religions, and, from the shadows, the world's most dangerous criminal and terrorist organizations. They are the global superclass, and they are shaping the history of our time.... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20002&prog=zgp&proj=zusr http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=20002&prog=zgp&proj=zusr Mon, 24 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 The Group of Eight (G8) Summit will be held on July 7 to 9, 2008, in the Lake Toya area of Hokkaido, Japan. The Government of Japan, as chair, has presented the major themes of the Summit: (1) Environment and Climate Change; (2) Development and Africa, (3) World Economy; and (4) Political Issues, including nuclear nonproliferation. While climate change is a top priority, nonproliferation and the ongoing nuclear challenges of North Korea and Iran continue to be urgent tasks for the G8. There ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19993&prog=zgp&proj=znpp http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19993&prog=zgp&proj=znpp Thu, 20 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 There is perhaps no leader in the world more important to current world affairs but less known and understood than Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Supreme Leader of Iran. In a unique and timely new study Carnegie's Karim Sadjadpour presents an in-depth political profile of Khamenei based on a careful reading of three decades' worth of his writings and speeches. Sadjadpour argues that “Iran's Islamic government is more powerful than it has ever been vis-à-vis the United States, Khamenei is more ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19975&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19975&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 10 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 India would be six times better off under a multilateral trade agreement in the WTO's Doha Round than from individual free trade agreements with the EU, United States, or China, contends a new report from the Carnegie Endowment. However, by lifting agricultural tariffs under a Doha agreement, India could lose more than it gained if prices of key commodities such as rice and wheat continue to swing sharply as they have in the past. In India's Trade Policy Choices, Carnegie Senior ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19871&prog=zgp&proj=zted http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19871&prog=zgp&proj=zted Tue, 29 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500 In August 2007 Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) agreed to a work plan (INFCIRC/711) for resolving all outstanding questions concerning Iran's past nuclear activities. We illustrated in a past Proliferation Analysis, entitled "Iran'sPlan for Nuclear Compliance",that the timeline proposed by the Iran-IAEA deal would allow Iran abouteight months of continued centrifuge installation and operations, but thatit failed to appropriately address certain ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19967&prog=zgp&proj=znpp http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19967&prog=zgp&proj=znpp Wed, 05 Mar 2008 00:00:00 -0500 New research challenges conventional wisdom in Washington on China's economy—the importance of its trade surplus, the size of its GDP, and the scale of its poverty. A newly updated Carnegie report by Senior Associate Albert Keidel confirms that China's growth and inflation risks are not trade-related but are instead driven by domestic forces. A recent World Bank announcement also confirmed Keidel's findings that China's economy and GDP per capita are 40 percent smaller than earlier analysis had ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19828&prog=zch http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19828&prog=zch Fri, 11 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500 Confrontational U.S. policy that tried to create a “New Middle East,” but ignored the realities of the region has instead exasperated existing conflicts and created new problems, argues a new report from the Carnegie Endowment. To restore its credibility and promote positive transformation, the United States needs to abandon the illusion that it can reshape the region to suit its interests. In The New Middle East, Carnegie Middle East experts Marina Ottaway, Nathan J. Brown, Amr Hamzawy, ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19928&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19928&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 25 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500 While the world consumption of electricity rises, the share of total electricity produced by nuclear power plants worldwide will, until 2030, likely remain at its present level of about 15 percent, given the time it takes to build new reactors and the number of aging reactors that will be decommissioned. Yet, as competition for oil and gas supplies increase over the next two decades, more countries will need to meet their electricity needs through alternative means. While not a panacea, nuclear ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19920&prog=zgp&proj=znpp http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19920&prog=zgp&proj=znpp Wed, 20 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500 This is a web-only publication. About the AuthorNathan J. Brown is a nonresident senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment and is also professor of political science and international affairs and director of the Middle East Studies Program at the George Washington University. His past work has focused on Palestinian politics and on the rule of law and constitutionalism in the Arab world. http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19911&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19911&prog=zgp&proj=zme Thu, 14 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500 Click on icon above for the full text of this Carnegie Paper. A limited number of print copies of this Carnegie Paper are available. Request a copy About the AuthorGerald (Jerry) Hyman serves as both a CSIS senior adviser and as president of CSIS's Hills Program on Governance. He also serves on the Advisory Council to the Center for International Media Assistance of the National Endowment for Democracy. http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19906&prog=zgp&proj=zdrl http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19906&prog=zgp&proj=zdrl Mon, 11 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500 The growing influence of Sunni Islamists in Lebanon is fueled by rising anti-?American and sectarian sentiments resulting from the U.S.-led occupation of Iraq, Lebanon's ongoing political stalemate, the assassination of former prime minister Rafiq al-Hariri, and the summer 2006 war in which Israel devastated large parts of Lebanon. While mainstream Islamist groups continue to dominate the political and social environment in Lebanon, radical elements within the Islamist movements are further ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19882&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19882&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 04 Feb 2008 00:00:00 -0500 As India engages more deeply with the global economy, its policy makers face the challenge of devising trade policies that take into account the stunning diversity of its economy and people. While taking advantage of opportunities offered by increased economic integration, they must manage the challenges that a more open economy will pose for the majority of Indian workers and farmers. The country's current commitments on trade policy through institutions such as the World Trade Organization ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19871&prog=zgp&proj=zted http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19871&prog=zgp&proj=zted Tue, 29 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500 In this conference paper, Senior Associate Albert Keidel analyzes the cause and impact of China's regional economic inequalities. He presented this draft at a September 2007 conference in Beijing jointly hosted by the China National Bureau of Statistics and the International Association for Research in Income and Wealth. He is currently revising the paper for possible inclusion in a special issue of the Review of Income and Wealth, scheduled to come out in the second half of 2008. Comments are ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19685 http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19685 Thu, 01 Nov 2007 00:00:00 -0500 The United States must shift its counterterrorism policy towards Pakistan away from a reciprocal approach—requiring Islamabad to perform desirable actions to receive support—towards one encouraging Pakistan to enact effective counterterrorism policies, not for an immediate payoff, but to strengthen institutionalized trust with the U.S. over time, according to a new report from the Carnegie Endowment. In Pakistan and the War on Terror: Conflicted Goals, Compromised Performance, Carnegie Senior ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19848&prog=zgp&proj=zsa http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19848&prog=zgp&proj=zsa Fri, 18 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500 New research challenges conventional wisdom in Washington on China's economy—the importance of its trade surplus, the size of its GDP, and the scale of its poverty. A newly updated Carnegie report by Senior Associate Albert Keidel confirms that China's growth and inflation risks are not trade-related but are instead driven by domestic forces. A recent World Bank announcement also confirmed Keidel's findings that China's economy and GDP per capita are 40 percent smaller than earlier analysis had ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19828&prog=zch http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19828&prog=zch Fri, 11 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500 Click on icon above for the full text of this Carnegie Paper. A limited number of print copies of this Carnegie Paper are available. Request a copy About the AuthorsNathan J. Brown, a nonresident senior associate at the Carnegie Endowment, is a professor of political science and international affairs at George Washington University, where he directs the Institute for Middle East Studies. Brown is a distinguished scholar and author of four well-received books on Arab politics. Brown's ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19835&prog=zgp&proj=zme http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19835&prog=zgp&proj=zme Mon, 14 Jan 2008 00:00:00 -0500 The surge the president of the United States launched last January has failed. By tacitly conceding that there has been no political progress in Iraq since then, Mr. Bush admits as much, but asks for more time. He raises some important fears (and some wildly exaggerated ones) of the consequences of withdrawal. What he has said nothing about are the positive reasons to keep on trying. That is what the upcoming debate must address: more time to achieve what? The purpose of the surge was an ... http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19568&prog=zgp&proj=zme,zusr http://www.carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&id=19568&prog=zgp&proj=zme,zusr Tue, 11 Sep 2007 00:00:00 -0400