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	<title>Chaotic Flow by Joel York</title>
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	<link>http://chaotic-flow.com</link>
	<description>Streamlined angles on turbulent technologies</description>
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		<title>Cloud Channel Disruption &#8211; Little APIs, Big Transformations</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/cloud-channel-disruption-little-apis-big-transformations/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/cloud-channel-disruption-little-apis-big-transformations/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Jul 2010 13:44:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cloud Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[channel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[channel economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[channels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud channel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud channels]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud computing economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=3550</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
It&#8217;s old news that the Internet has disrupted channel structure across numerous industries.   So why go on about the channel now?  Because, cloud computing is transforming the Internet as a channel.  The evolution from Internet applications that service people (SaaS) to Internet applications that service other applications (cloud computing) transforms the [...]]]></description>
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<p>It&#8217;s old news that the Internet has disrupted channel structure across numerous industries.   So why <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/hey-saas-experts-whats-your-cloud-computing-iq/" target="_blank">go on about the channel</a> now?  Because, cloud computing is transforming the Internet as a channel.  The evolution from <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/obscured-by-clouds-meaning-vs-marketing/" target="_blank">Internet applications that service people (SaaS) to Internet applications that service other applications (cloud computing)</a> transforms the Internet from a direct website channel to an indirect cloud channel and fundamentally alters the economics of the Web. This evolution has already transformed consumer advertising with the rise of syndication and social media, but the impact will not be limited to B2C communication channels. It will deepen and spread through online B2B channels with the rise of cloud computing and platform-as-a-service (PaaS).</p>
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Twitter is not a micro-blogging website;<br />Twitter is a micro-blogging PaaS.<br />Individual tweets are just not all that interesting,<br />but when you mash them up with friends, colleagues,<br />groups, search, and related Web content,<br />they become a conversation.
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<p>In this post, I&#8217;ll provide some concrete examples of how the new cloud channel, or more specifically how cloud computing in the form of Web service APIs and PaaS, is driving a fresh wave of channel disruption that leaves new entrepreneurial opportunities in its wake.</p>
<p><span id="more-3550"></span></p>
<h3>Marketing Channels 101 &#8211; A Quick Review</h3>
<p>Marketing channels accelerate revenue by streamlining the communications and logistics required to connect buyers and sellers.  As such, disruptive improvements in channel cost, velocity and structure can transform industries.  Basic channel functions can be categorized as follows:</p>
<ul>
<li>Promotion &#8211; Communicating the availability and value of a product or service</li>
<li>Purchase &#8211; Facilitating and negotiating the actual sale of a product or service</li>
<li>Distribution &#8211; Cost effectively transporting the product or service from seller to buyer</li>
<li>Sorting &#038; Packaging &#8211; Transforming a raw product or service into a more attractive one</li>
<li>Risk &#8211; Shifting risk from buyers and sellers to channel vendors</li>
</ul>
<p>Most channels provide more than one of these functions, and on the Internet it can be difficult to tell one from the other as content and applications are fluidly mixed and remixed as they cross the Web.  In fact, it is the ability of cloud computing and PaaS to facilitate and accelerate this mixing process that is opening the new cloud channel.  Instead of a single threaded link from buyer to seller through the browser, the cloud channel allows sellers to promote through, purchase through, distribute through, resort &#038; repackage through, and shift risk through the network from application to application to application before reaching the final browser destination in front of the buyer.</p>
<h3>Cloud Channel Disruption &#8211; Promotion</h3>
<p>Communication, particularly advertising, is the mainstay of the consumer Web, and the impact of cloud computing on this channel can hardly be overstated.  The most obvious example is the role of the RSS standard in transforming content distribution from a direct channel ruled by websites and portals to a cloud channel ruled by syndication and sharing.  The combination of this standard data exchange format with Web service standards has created the penultimate &#8220;promote through&#8221; cloud channel as content is passed from blog to news site to friend to tweet and so on.   It is the technical underpinnings of cloud computing as machine-to-machine interaction that enables the far reaching content syndication and person-to-person interactions of social media.  Web service APIs create the conduit of the cloud channel, while the RSS standard makes the cloud channel indeterminate, organic and viral.</p>
<h3>Cloud Channel Disruption &#8211; Purchase</h3>
<p>Unlike blog posts and tweets, financial market data like real-time stock quotes is content of such high value that it still costs real money.  In fact, according to <a href="http://www.burton-taylor.com/consulting/research-full.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Burton-Taylor</a> the market for financial information and analysis is a $23 billion market.  Unfortunately, market data is also incredibly difficult to buy.  Mirroring the enterprise software model, market data is mostly purchased offline through third party data providers in the form of bulk, complex <a href="http://www.xignite.com/Products/" target="_blank">data feeds</a> that require lots of on-premise data management software, hardware and professional services to parse, scrub, store and serve it to final applications and invariably force customers to buy and manage more market data than they actually consume.</p>
<p>Delivering market data over the Internet using standard Web service APIs, Xignite transforms the way market data is both bought and sold.  Market data powers financial applications like electricity powers kitchen appliances.  The Xignite <a href="http://www.xignite.com" target="_blank">market data cloud channel</a> creates a power grid that connects the generators of market data: stock exchanges, trading networks, major brokers, etc., directly to financial applications using a Web service API as the standard socket.  Immediate online access allows prospects to evaluate data fit and quality before they buy.  Transparent, usage-based pricing facilitates online purchase.  Web service delivery enables real-time sorting and packaging of the data to meet specific customer needs in a fashion unavailable to bulk data feeds, allowing customers to consume and purchase only the data they need.  By simplifying and accelerating purchase, data providers like <a href="http://ir.nasdaq.com/releasedetail.cfm?ReleaseID=481369" target="_blank">NASDAQ</a> and <a href="http://www.wallstreetandtech.com/data-management/showArticle.jhtml?articleID=224700646" target="_blank">CME Group</a> can reach a wider global audience, including customers that can&#8217;t afford the time, effort and cost of buying a traditional data feed product.</p>
<h3>Cloud Channel Disruption &#8211; Distribution</h3>
<p>Application adoption and customer on-boarding is a primary challenge of every SaaS startup.  While shuffling snippets of content around the Internet may satisfy the monetization needs of many a B2C Web business model, B2B SaaS companies need to move product to make money.  Without APIs, the distribution channel of a SaaS application is limited to a single URL and adoption is constrained by the manual processes available from UI tools and professional services.  For data-integration-intensive SaaS applications, such as BI and ERP, the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101c-saas-adoption-and-switching-costs-the-double-edged-sword-of-data/" target="_blank">adoption cost challenge</a> seems almost insurmountable as highlighted IMHO by the failure of LucidEra and elusive profitability of NetSuite.</p>
<p>Frankly, I&#8217;d almost given up on these SaaS categories until I recently put the question to Roman Stanek, CEO of GoodData, and he coolly pointed out that the solution was right in front of my face: <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-channels-cloud-channels-will-follow-the-moneythe-emerging-paas-channel-opportunity/" target="_blank">the cloud is the channel</a>. The GoodData <a href="http://www.gooddata.com/" target="_blank">BI PaaS platform</a>, <em>puts APIs ahead of BI</em> and cheats the adoption cost barrier outright by leveraging the cloud channel.   While most SaaS BI startups sell direct, relying on low TCO and enterprise sales prowess to motivate customers over high adoption costs, GoodData plans to drive distribution through the cloud channel with a ground-up PaaS architecture, <a href="http://www.zendesk.com/partners/gooddata" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">canned integration to major SaaS applications</a>, cloud solution partners and strong support of its developer network.  The SaaS BI space is crowded, competitive and unpredictable, but pure-play PaaS is the strongest and most disruptive strategy I&#8217;ve seen to date, because it focuses like a laser on eliminating the biggest obstacle to SaaS BI adoption, data integration.</p>
<h3>Cloud Channel Disruption &#8211; Sorting and Packaging</h3>
<p>If you use Twitter, chances are you don&#8217;t really use Twitter.com, because <a href="http://blog.programmableweb.com/2010/04/15/twitter-reveals-75-of-our-traffic-is-via-api-3-billion-calls-per-day/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">seventy-five percent of Twitter traffic flows through its APIs</a>.  That means that most people are using Twitter just about everywhere else, like their mobile phones, Facebook, LinkedIn, TweetDeck, and Seesmic just to name a few.  <em>Twitter is not a micro-blogging website; Twitter is a micro-blogging PaaS</em>.  Individual tweets are just not all that interesting, but when you mash them up with friends, colleagues, interest groups, search, and related Web content, they become a conversation.  Had Twitter taken on a portal strategy common to social networks like Facebook, chances are it would have failed miserably.  By allowing developers to easily repackage Twitter to meet the divergent needs of a myriad of market segments, Twitter leverages the cloud channel to drive adoption and use, while remaining focused on the core value of it&#8217;s service.</p>
<h3>Cloud Channel Disruption &#8211; Risk</h3>
<p>A common objection is that the cloud is just too risky.   This despite the fact that only the largest IT organizations can come close to internally matching the dedicated expertise, SLAs and security of established SaaS and cloud companies.  However, it is important to remember that the role of the channel is to <em>absorb risk</em> not shirk it, particularly inventory risk.  On the cloud channel, inventory is measured in IT workloads, and the more unpredictable the workload, the higher the risk of managing it in-house, and the greater the value in shifting it to the cloud.  I especially like this slide that the Windows Azure folks put together to illuminate this concept.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://www.microsoftpdc.com/2009/SVC54" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><br />
<img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/cloud-channel-risk-IT-workloads.png" alt="cloud channel risk" /><br />
</a></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>The cloud channel absorbs the risk of fluctuating IT workloads through shared infrastructure just like a wholesaler absorbs the inventory risk of fluctuating demand for physical goods.</em></p>
<p>As the cloud channel matures, I believe it will become more effective at absorbing risk of all kinds.  While there are certainly applications where privacy, security and compliance concerns may permanently preclude moving them to the cloud, the vast majority of applications will succumb as the technology advances.  Ten years ago, many businesses would have balked at putting their customer databases on the cloud.  Now it is a common practice that Salesforce.com has turned into a billion dollar business.</p>
<p>The most common fallacy of the cloud channel is the illusion that control reduces risk, when in reality it is simply a reaction to fear.  But, fear of flying doesn&#8217;t make you a pilot, and you probably aren&#8217;t safer flying the plane yourself.</p>
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		<title>Hey SaaS Experts &#8211; What&#8217;s Your Cloud Computing IQ?</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/hey-saas-experts-whats-your-cloud-computing-iq/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/hey-saas-experts-whats-your-cloud-computing-iq/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 May 2010 14:37:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cloud Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[api]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[paas channel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas channel]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=3502</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
I&#8217;ll say it again: SaaS is NOT cloud computing.  As the industry rushes to embrace cloud computing, too many SaaS experts and vendors are simply updating their marketing messages with cloud buzzwords. This is not enough.
When I started this blog, the biggest challenge faced by SaaS vendors was getting our heads around the new [...]]]></description>
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<p>I&#8217;ll say it again: <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/obscured-by-clouds-meaning-vs-marketing/" target="_blank">SaaS is NOT cloud computing</a>.  As the industry rushes to embrace cloud computing, too many SaaS experts and vendors are simply updating their marketing messages with cloud buzzwords. This is not enough.</p>
<p>When I started this blog, the biggest challenge faced by SaaS vendors was getting our heads around the new lightweight paradigm for marketing and selling an on-demand Web application versus the heavy-handed direct sales approach of traditional enterprise software.</p>
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SaaS vendors with high cloud computing IQ&#8217;s<br />recognize the cloud as the new channel.
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<p>Today, a new challenge is arising.  However, this time the threat comes not from the past, but from the future.  Just as SaaS vendors have found their Internet footing, cloud computing is destabilizing the very ground beneath our feet.  Depending on your SaaS business, cloud computing could impact everything from application architecture to channel strategy.  Or, it may not affect you at all.  Either way you should know.  What is your cloud computing IQ?</p>
<h3>The Cloud is the Computer</h3>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Gage" target=_blank" rel="nofollow">John Gage&#8217;s prophetic remark</a> &#8220;The Network is the Computer&#8221; beautifully highlights the difference between SaaS and cloud computing.  While SaaS applications provide on-demand services to millions of users across the Internet, cloud applications provide on-demand services to millions of other applications across the Internet. The network really is the computer.</p>
<p>Why should this matter to SaaS experts and vendors?  Two reasons. <span id="more-3502"></span>First, because most SaaS applications today exist as silos that only solve a piece of a customer&#8217;s puzzle.  Second, because cloud computing enables new economies of scale through shared infrastructure that properly designed SaaS applications can leverage to further drive down <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank">total cost of service</a>.</p>
<p><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-competitive-advantage-saas-economics-101-e-book/" target="_blank">SaaS Model Economics 101</a> states that SaaS competitive advantage comes in two Internet-enabled flavors:  network-based differentiation and lower cost from economies of scale.  Cloud computing creates new opportunities for SaaS vendors to extend their competitive advantage by opening their applications to the cloud through Web services and further driving down costs by running on shared cloud infrastructure.</p>
<h3>SaaS Silos vs. Cloud Platforms</h3>
<p><a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Open-Up-to-the-Cloud.php#read" target="_blank">SaaS Do #9 &#8211; Open Up to The Cloud</a> encourages SaaS vendors to reach out to complementary applications on the Web through open, standards-based APIs.  But opening up to the cloud is not just about easy integration.  Comprehensive Web service access will transform your SaaS application into a cloud computing platform.  Virtually everyone today knows about Facebook. But, what not everyone in the SaaS community knows is that the fundamental reason Facebook kicked the crap out of Myspace and all the other wannabees vying for social network dominance was the introduction of the <a href="http://techcrunch.com/2007/05/24/facebook-launches-facebook-platform-they-are-the-anti-myspace/" target=_blank" >Facebook platform</a> that allowed independent developers to create Facebook applications.  Platform-as-a-service (Paas) opportunities are not limited to pure play PaaS companies making cloud development and deployment toolkits, PaaS opportunities are open to every SaaS vendor that thinks beyond the browser and  is willing to expand its definition of &#8220;user&#8221; to include not only people, but other applications as well.</p>
<h3>Have SaaS, Will Travel</h3>
<p>It&#8217;s hard to believe, but we already have a &#8220;traditional model&#8221; for SaaS application architecture based on database multi-tenancy and a vertically integrated delivery infrastructure.  This architectural model is the foundation of the SaaS cost advantage.  However, it originated in a pre-cloud computing world based on the pre-cloud computing assumption that the SaaS application would run on a static host infrastructure.</p>
<p>To fully realize the cost advantages available on the Internet, the <a href="http://www.gluecon.com/2010/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">next generation of SaaS applications</a> will not only be multi-tenant, but <a href="http://www.saasblogs.com/2010/05/11/a-future-of-cloud-stacks-or-cloud-silos/" target="_blank">will be multiple tenants in their own right on shared cloud infrastructure</a>.  Monolithlic, vertically integrated SaaS applications will be broken up into loosely coupled, multi-layered Web service components that can be dynamically deployed to multiple cloud platforms in order to meet production requirements.  This trend is so visible to the VC community, that the folks at Bessemer promoted it to the #1 spot of their recently revised <a href="http://www.sandhill.com/opinion/editorial.php?id=278" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">10 Laws of Cloud Computing and SaaS</a>.</p>
<h3>Blooming Channels</h3>
<p>The inadequate grasp of cloud computing in the SaaS community was highlighted for me by some of the reactions of my fellow SaaS evangelists to this recent post of the emerging <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-channels-cloud-channels-will-follow-the-moneythe-emerging-paas-channel-opportunity/" target="_blank">PaaS channel opportunity</a>.  As if the emergence of the PaaS channel somehow devalues the &#8220;pure&#8221; SaaS channel.  This is not the case.  There are fewer &#8220;pure&#8221; SaaS channel partners simply because SaaS vendors are doing a good job of making their applications easy for people to deploy and use.  This is a good thing! </p>
<p>The fact that there are fewer &#8220;pure&#8221; SaaS channel partners does not in any way discount their value.  SaaS channel partners have naturally gravitated to very high value services such as business strategy, process design, requirements definition, vendor selection, and training.  However, from the SaaS vendor&#8217;s perspective these types of channel partners are gatekeepers.  They don&#8217;t move product.  And, anyone who has spent any amount of time in consulting will tell you that while a strategy project may net you $100K in services revenue, a development project can net you $1M.  So, I&#8217;ll say it again.  <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-channels-cloud-channels-will-follow-the-moneythe-emerging-paas-channel-opportunity/" target="_blank">Cloud channels will follow the money</a>.</p>
<p>This is not to say that we&#8217;re going back in time with the PaaS channel reliving the custom development glory days of enterprise software VARs.  PaaS channel partners will be leading the charge into a new paradigm of cloud-based application development, <a href="http://www.itbusinessedge.com/cm/blogs/vizard/ibms-rapidly-evolving-cloud-computing-strategy/?cs=41386" target=_blank" rel="nofollow">sewing SaaS applications and Web services together into flexible mash-up cloud applications and application suites</a> that are dynamically deployed across the Internet.   The retooling required of traditional software VARs to deliver these services is no less daunting than the shift required of enterprise software companies to deliver SaaS. (How long did it take SAP and Oracle to get with the program?)</p>
<p>SaaS vendors with high cloud computing IQs recognize the <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/cloud/2010/05/how-darwins-finches-and-apis-a.php" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">cloud as the new channel</a>.  They will transform their applications into cloud computing platforms and will see their PaaS channel opportunities bloom.  Whereas today&#8217;s &#8220;pure&#8221; SaaS channel opportunities are largely limited to marketing referrals from trusted advisers and affiliates, tomorrows PaaS channel partners will redistribute SaaS applications over the cloud as components, complements and containers of other applications.  They will extend both the market reach and product capabilities of SaaS vendors that embrace PaaS the same way they <a href="http://www.readwriteweb.com/cloud/2010/05/pen-api-madness-the-party-has.php" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">have already done this for Salesforce, Facebook, Google and Twitter</a>.  The network is the channel.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Channels &#8211; Cloud Channels Will Follow the MoneyThe emerging PaaS channel opportunity</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-channels-cloud-channels-will-follow-the-moneythe-emerging-paas-channel-opportunity/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-channels-cloud-channels-will-follow-the-moneythe-emerging-paas-channel-opportunity/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 10 May 2010 16:15:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud channel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[pass channel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas channel]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=3423</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
SaaS channel partners have definitely received the short end of the stick compared to their software channel counterparts.  With a few  notable exceptions like Salesforce.com, Netsuite (and largest, but least recognized as SaaS, Google AdWords) there simply have not been enough customers or enough work to engender a thriving ecosystem of SaaS channel [...]]]></description>
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<p>SaaS channel partners have definitely received the short end of the stick compared to their software channel counterparts.  With a few  notable exceptions like Salesforce.com, Netsuite (and largest, but least recognized as SaaS, Google AdWords) there simply have not been enough customers or enough work to engender a thriving ecosystem of SaaS channel partners, at least not when compared to the sprawling extent of enterprise software channels.   I think this is about to change.</p>
<h3>Channels Always Follow the Money</h3>
<p>There is one universal law that governs all channel management:  CHANNEL PARTNERS MUST MAKE MONEY.  The biggest channel mistake made by many a SaaS start-up CEO is to fall into the <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-dont-SaaS-Invest-in-Channel-Partners-too-Early.php#read" target="_blank" >fantasy that SaaS channel partners are there to help your business</a>.  They are not. They are there to help themselves.  And, how much money they can make boils down to a very simple formula.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>SaaS channel money = SaaS channel value-add x SaaS application customers</em></p>
<p>And right here is the rub.  <span id="more-3423"></span>The self-serviceability of many SaaS applications from customer acquisition through deployment significantly reduces the value-add for SaaS channel partners.  In fact, if all SaaS vendors embraced <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Accelerate-Organic-Growth.php#read" target="_blank">SaaS Top Ten Do #3 &#8211; Accelerate Organic Growth</a>, then the SaaS channel situation might be even more dire.  Moreover, the number of SaaS applications with enough customers to drive SaaS channel development can be counted on your fingers and toes.</p>
<h3>Unfinished Business is the Business of Channels</h3>
<p>The work required to realize the benefit of your product is the same whether you do it, your customer does it, or a channel partner does it.  Channel partners add value by finishing the unfinished work that you and your customer start, but for business reasons can&#8217;t complete.  They simplify and speed adoption by shouldering tasks that they can do better, cheaper and faster.  The greater the gap between your service and your customers&#8217; ultimate needs, the greater the value delivered by the SaaS channel partner and the greater the SaaS channel opportunity.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-channel.jpg" alt="saas channel" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>SaaS Total Cost of Service &#8211; Visualizing the SaaS Channel Slice of the Pie</em></p>
<p>I like to visualize this as the cloud channel partner&#8217;s contribution to <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank">total cost of service (TCS)</a>, because the success of your cloud channel strategy will always hinge on a) your cloud channel partners&#8217; ability to make money and b) your customers ability to realize value that exceeds total cost of service, including the money made by your cloud channel partner.</p>
<h3>Developing in the Cloud: The Emerging PaaS Channel Opportunity</h3>
<p>The problem with SaaS channels to date is that there simply has not been enough for them to do.  I think this is about to change, but I also think it will happen one layer down in the cloud technology stack.  If you examine the raison d&#8217;etre for the vast array of enterprise software channels it comes down to the fact that <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/contrasting-software-as-a-service-and-enterprise-software-business-models-2/" target="_blank" >enterprise software is delivered in an unfinished state</a>, leaving plenty for enterprise software channel partners to do and lots of it requiring very specialized technical knowledge with which customers simply don&#8217;t want to bother.</p>
<p>These attributes are also present in the emerging <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Platform_as_a_service" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">platform-as-a-service space (PaaS)</a>.  Whether it is building, deploying and managing a new application on Amazon AWS or simply extending and integrating existing SaaS applications using the ever <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/obscured-by-clouds-meaning-vs-marketing/" target="_blank">expanding pool of Web services APIs</a>, the number of opportunities for pure cloud-based development is increasing and is sure to grow to a scale that rivals enterprise software.   Unlike SaaS applications that are designed with the business user in mind, PaaS and IaaS offerings are designed for developers.  They are by their very nature <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/cloud-computing-vs-saas-mass-customization-in-the-cloud/" target="_blank">brimming with potential value</a>, unfinished and highly technical&#8211;making them ripe for channels.</p>
<p>Whereas SaaS providers have struggled to develop the interest of potential SaaS channel partners, IaaS, PaaS, and PaaS tool vendors are likely to find their businesses increasingly dependent on cloud channel partners focused on pure-cloud application development and deployment. Moreover, you can expect these cloud channels to spark a proliferation of home-grown development, deployment and monitoring tools that will ignite and accelerate the already <a href="http://www.computerworld.com/s/article/9176462/15_cloud_companies_to_watch" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">hot PaaS tools sector</a> as cloud channel partners product-ize their home-grown systems and take them to market.</p>
<p>So, if you are an enterprise software channel partner and have been scratching your head for the last few years trying to figure out how to jump on the cloud channel bandwagon, then think PaaS channel not SaaS channel.  And, get started already or you may miss the boat.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Summit &#8211; Are You Going to San Francisco?</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-summit-are-you-going-to-san-francisco/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-summit-are-you-going-to-san-francisco/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 06 May 2010 16:07:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas conference]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas summit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas trade shows]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
The annual SaaS Summit is next week in San Francisco, so if you are going and would like to meet up, send me a note at joelyork [at] chaotic-flow.com.  The program is All About the Cloud and while I&#8217;m a little bummed there isn&#8217;t more SaaS-specific content, you gotta roll with the times and [...]]]></description>
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<p>The annual <a href="http://www.allaboutthecloud.net" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">SaaS Summit</a> is next week in San Francisco, so if you are going and would like to meet up, send me a note at joelyork [at] chaotic-flow.com.  The <a href="http://www.siia.net/aatc/2010/schedule.asp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">program</a> is <em>All About the Cloud</em> and while I&#8217;m a little bummed there isn&#8217;t more SaaS-specific content, you gotta roll with the times and this year is definitely all about the cloud.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://www.allaboutthecloud.net" target="_blank" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-summit.jpg" alt="saas summit" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>This year the SIIA has stepped up to the plate<br />and is clearly taking  the SaaS Summit to the next level.</em></p>
<p>I&#8217;m particularly looking forward to the <a href="http://www.siia.net/aatc/2010/schedule.asp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Public Cloud vs. Private Cloud debate</a> to be queued up by Phil Wainewright and Jeff Kaplan and will likely weigh in with my own view afterward.   I expect this debate will not go away anytime soon and we&#8217;ll see a proliferation of private cloud software vendors and services, but in the end there is no escaping the reality that private clouds are to public clouds as your intranet is to the Internet.  Big difference.</p>
<p>You can also follow the conference chatter on Twitter under the tag #aatc</p>
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		<title>SaaS Business Model &#8211; On the Cloud, the Customer is King</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-business-model-on-the-cloud-the-customer-is-king/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-business-model-on-the-cloud-the-customer-is-king/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Apr 2010 17:32:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recurring service cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[total cost of service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=3045</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
This may sound like evangelical cloud mumbo jumbo, but I&#8217;m actually alluding to the central importance of the ongoing customer relationship in the SaaS business model and its ]]></description>
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<p>This may sound like evangelical cloud mumbo jumbo, but I&#8217;m actually alluding to the central importance of the ongoing customer relationship in the SaaS business model and its <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value/" target=_blank">direct linkage to the financial success of a SaaS business</a>.  In the SaaS business model, the ongoing customer relationship is a continuous source of revenue, cost, business activity and risk.   This contrasts sharply with traditional software where the short-term sales transaction has always taken center stage.</p>
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The fundamental shift in value from copies to customers<br />turns the economics of licensed software upside down,<br /> and is still an elusive financial concept for the industry<br />when evaluating SaaS business value, profitability<br /> and capital efficiency.
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<p>A traditional software vendor makes and sells perpetual license copies, whereas a SaaS business makes and sells ongoing service subscriptions. Each new SaaS customer brings a new thread of recurring revenue and cost <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/" target="_blank">which are woven into the larger tapestry of customers</a> to create the total SaaS recurring revenue stream and associated SaaS cost of service. This fundamental shift in the unit of value from copies to customers turns the economics of licensed software upside down, and is still an elusive financial concept for the industry when evaluating SaaS costs, profitability, business valuation and capital efficiency.</></p>
<h3>Customers vs. Copies</h3>
<p>In traditional licensed software, value is equated to the intellectual property of the code, and is monetized using copyrights in a fashion similar to books, music, and movies.  Volume is measured in licensed copies and value is measured by the price of a license.   But in the SaaS business model, volume is measured by the number of customer subscriptions and value is measured by recurring revenue.  <span id="more-3045"></span>A software vendor invests in developing code, and then operates a sales and marketing infrastructure that scales to sell more licensed copies.  A SaaS business invests in acquiring customers, and then operates a service delivery operation that scales to service customer subscriptions. Mathematically&#8230;.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">software profit =  ( license price &#8211; transaction cost ) x copies &#8211; R&amp;D costs</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">SaaS profit = ( recurring revenue &#8211; recurring service cost ) x customers &#8211; acquisition cost</p>
<p>Operational costs that are fixed relative to the number of license copies sold in the software business model are now variable relative to the total number of customers in the SaaS business model, such as product development which in SaaS becomes part of the recurring service cost and extends far beyond the initial source code investment to the entire business infrastructure (see note below: <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/on-the-cloud-the-customer-is-king/#note" >Breaking Down Total  SaaS Cost of Service</a> and <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Build-the-Business-into-the-Product.php#read" target="_blank">SaaS Do #5 &#8211; Build the Business into the Product</a>).  Alternatively, sales and marketing costs that are variable relative to the number of license transactions in the software business model are suddenly fixed customer acquisition costs relative to the total number of customers in the SaaS business model, variable instead with the number of <em>new customers</em>.</p>
<h3>Happy Customers Drive SaaS Business Model ROI</h3>
<p>Capital efficiency is about achieving the highest possible return on investment (ROI).  High ROI in turn is achieved by minimizing the up front fixed costs of a business and then maximizing margin by scaling revenue well in excess of variable costs.  Like putting a down payment on a rental property, and then making sure the the rental income covers the operating expenses and interest payments. In the license software model, capital efficiency is measured by <em>product ROI</em>, but in the SaaS business model the best measure of capital efficiency is <em>customer ROI</em>, or the average customer rate of return (aka <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a>).</p>
<table style="margin: auto; vertical-align: center; horizontal-align: center; text-align: center; border-spacing: 0px; padding-bottom: 10px;">
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<td rowspan="2">SaaS Customer ROI</td>
<td style="padding-right: 30px; padding-left: 30px;" rowspan="2">=</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid 1px black;">ARR &#8211; ACS</td>
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<td>CAC</td>
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<p>Where &#8220;ARR&#8221; is the average recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS&#8221; is the average recurring cost of service per customer, and &#8220;CAC&#8221; is the average customer acquisition cost. Software ROI is achieved by selling more copies to cover your R&amp;D investment.  SaaS ROI is achieved by <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">acquiring more customers</a> and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value/" target="_blank">maximizing customer lifetime value</a> through <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">upselling</a> and retention to <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/" target="_blank">cover your customer acquisition cost</a>.</p>
<p>In the end, it all has to add up to happy customers.  Service subscriptions are perishable.  They can&#8217;t be copied and stored like a book or a movie or a software CD. A SaaS business without customers simply doesn&#8217;t exist&#8212;like the sound of a tree falling in the woods with no one around to hear it.  In the SaaS business model, the customer really is king.</p>
<div class="note" id="note">
<h3>Breaking Down Total SaaS Cost of Service</h3>
<p><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank">Total SaaS cost of service</a> is comprised of recurring service cost and customer acquisition cost.  Both of these SaaS cost categories are variable in nature, because the SaaS business model has two primary drivers of variable costs (total customers and new customers) as opposed to the single primary driver of the licensed software model (transactions).  Albeit both variable, customer acquisition costs are fixed relative to recurring service costs.  And, it is worth noting that a very mature software business starts to take on this dual cost driver characteristic of the SaaS business model when maintenance revenue begins to dominate new license revenue.  However, this duality is present in the SaaS business model from the very first customer subscription.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Costs &#8211; Variable vs. Fixed</strong><br />
I am of the opinion that there are very few fixed SaaS costs, at least in the long run.  Most all operational SaaS costs can be included in either recurring service cost or customer acquisition cost.  Once a SaaS business has launched the initial 1.0 version of its product and approaches a nominal efficient scale in terms of customers, you will be hard pressed to find a cost that does not scale roughly with either the total number of customers (recurring service cost) or the number of new customers (customer acquisition cost).</p>
<p>Customer acquisition costs are easily identified as direct sales and marketing expenses, but recurring service costs are often hidden in ostensibly fixed categories like product development and administration.  While these costs are arguably fixed in the software license model, they scale quite consistently with the number of customers in the SaaS business model. For example, accounts receivable costs scale with renewals and accounts payable scale with operational expenses, all of which in turn scale largely with the number of customers.</p>
<p>After the 1.0 release, product development will spend most of its time adding features for upselling, enabling customer self-service, increasing system performance, expanding infrastructure and fixing bugs, all of which are costs incurred in the service of customers.  In fact, once the nominal efficient scale of the operation is reached, they are likely to scale more or less linearly with the number of customers. Only in the case of creating and introducing a new SaaS product for an entirely new market are any operational SaaS costs likely to be fixed relative to the total number of customers, simply because there are no customers as yet.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Costs &#8211; Accounting vs. Economic</strong><br />
Variable recurring service cost is often equated with the accounting measure for cost of goods sold (COGS), which usually includes the most direct product delivery costs, such as infrastructure hardware and software, network fees, etc.  However, there are two problems with this:  1) COGS accounting rules were designed with manufactured goods in mind and there is wide variability in what SaaS companies include or don&#8217;t include in it and 2) pretty much no matter what is included, the COGS measure is not wide enough to equate it to the variable SaaS costs for recurring service.</p>
<p>There is only one question you have to ask to determine where to place each component of total SaaS cost of service.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>In the long run, does the cost scale with total customers (recurring service cost),<br /> new customers (customer acquisition cost), or neither (fixed SaaS costs).</em></p>
<p> Fixed SaaS costs should be determined by what is left over after all recurring service costs and customer acquisition costs are identified. And, accounting costs are well, just accounting costs.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Best Practices Community Blog &#8211; Open Current is Live!</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-best-practices-community-blog-open-current-is-live/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-best-practices-community-blog-open-current-is-live/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 12 Apr 2010 17:31:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cloud Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud computing best practice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas best practice]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas best practices]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=3287</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
From time to time, I come across what IMHO are really fantastic and enlightening blog posts and SaaS best practice guides that truly stand out above the rest&#8230;.by authors other than Chaotic Flow  . To me the value of these gems is immeasurable, because I generally have to read through a lot of crap [...]]]></description>
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<p>From time to time, I come across what IMHO are really fantastic and enlightening blog posts and SaaS best practice guides that truly stand out above the rest&#8230;.by authors other than Chaotic Flow <img src='http://chaotic-flow.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /> . To me the value of these gems is immeasurable, because I generally have to read through a lot of crap to get to them.  It&#8217;s a big Internet.</p>
<p>In the hope of adding more value than I alone can muster for my loyal Chaotic Flow readers and in the spirit of supporting the authors of these high quality gems by spreading their words to my small corner of the SaaS and cloud computing business community, I&#8217;m launching a new <a href="http://www.open-current.com" target="_blank">SaaS best practices community blog</a> companion to Chaotic Flow dubbed <a href="http://www.open-current.com" target="_blank">Open Current</a> (cute right?).</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/hiroshige-open-current.jpg" /></p>
<p>Open Current is an open repository of SaaS best practice insights and tools for executives charged with building SaaS and Cloud Computing businesses&#8230;moderated by yours truly, so ONLY THE BEST will be make it through the rigorous evaluation process (basically, I have to read it and think it&#8217;s earth-shatteringly good&#8230;but, please don&#8217;t let that deter you&#8230;.help wanted, <a href="http://www.open-current.com/submit/" target="_blank">submit your favorite SaaS and cloud related posts!</a>) </p>
<p>ANYONE CAN POST to Open Current and I need your help!  Please comment on this post, email  info[at]open-current.com, or directly <a href="http://www.open-current.com/submit/" target="_blank">submit your favorite SaaS and Cloud Computing blog posts</a>, SaaS best practice guides, and industry research and reports for inclusion.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Apr 2010 17:05:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer lifetime value]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas company valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas company value]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[vc]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[venture capital]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=2149</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
For the life of me, I still can&#8217;t fathom how VCs value early stage startups.  I think it is one part business logic and five parts voodoo (no offense to my VC friends, but you know what I mean).  However, I&#8217;m guessing most SaaS-focused VCs know this SaaS company valuation principle in their [...]]]></description>
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<p>For the life of me, I still can&#8217;t fathom how VCs value early stage startups.  I think it is one part business logic and five parts voodoo (no offense to my VC friends, but you know what I mean).  However, I&#8217;m guessing most SaaS-focused VCs know this SaaS company valuation principle in their gut even if they can&#8217;t reduce it to a financial projection:  SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value.  For what is a company if not the sum of its customers?</p>
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The link between SaaS CLTV and SaaS company valuation<br />arises naturally from the SaaS subscription model<br />where topline company revenue emerges<br />as the sum of individual customer revenue streams.
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<p>This is the final post in a series that aims to uncover the mysteries of SaaS financial metrics from a new angle, a little mathematics.  In this installment, I&#8217;ll explore the important SaaS metric of customer lifetime value (CLTV) and introduce a new SaaS financial metrics rule-of-thumb that relates SaaS CLTV to SaaS company value.</p>
<p><em>Buyer Beware: The ideas presented in this installment of the SaaS metrics series are not meant to offer methods or models for evaluating the value of any particular SaaS company, but rather to offer credence to the gut reaction above.  Use the formulas herein at your own discretion.  Chaotic Flow, i.e., me, accepts no liability thereof.</em></p>
<h3>SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10<br />
SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</h3>
<p>The financially accepted method for estimating the value of company is the calculation of the discounted value of its future cash flows, or <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Net_present_value" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">net present value</a>.  Now, I&#8217;m not saying that anyone in InternetWorld actually uses this method, but for the sake of this series on SaaS financial metrics, this is the only approach that lends itself to mathematical analysis. So, I am stuck with it.</p>
<p>The exact mathematical statement of SaaS Metric Rule-of-Thumb #10 above is expressed as follows (see SaaS Metrics Math Notes below for the derivation):</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS Company NPV = CLTV x NEW<sub>LTV</sub></p>
<p>Where CLTV is the average SaaS customer lifetime value and NEW<sub>LTV</sub> is an analogous measure for the <em>lifetime value number of customers</em> that represents<span id="more-2149"></span> the discounted number of new customers acquired by our SaaS company during its lifetime, using the standard NPV formula.</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">NEW<sub>LTV</sub> = NEW<sub>1</sub>/( 1 + i ) + NEW<sub>2</sub>/( 1 + i )<sup>2</sup> +&#8230;+ NEW<sub>N</sub>/( 1 + i )<sup>N</sup></p>
<p>Here NEW<sub>n</sub> is the number of new customers acquired during the period n.  NEW<sub>LTV</sub> is the present value of all the new customers that the company will ever acquire discounted by how long it takes to acquire them.   If market penetration is slow, then NEW<sub>LTV</sub> might be less than 10% of the total number of customers at maturity.  Whereas, if market penetration is fast and absolute, then NEW<sub>LTV</sub> will be closer to the total number of potential customers.</p>
<p>The formula above elegantly encompasses three critical questions asked by SaaS VCs:</p>
<ul>
<li>What is the value to the customer? (CLTV)</li>
<li>How big is the market? (NEW<sub>N</sub>)</li>
<li>How fast can you get there? (NEW<sub>LTV</sub>)</li>
</ul>
<p>The link between SaaS CLTV and SaaS company valuation arises naturally from the SaaS subscription model where topline company revenue emerges as the sum of individual customer revenue streams.  In this regard, this new SaaS metrics rule-of-thumb linking customer value to company value is really a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Corollary" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">corollary</a> of <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a>, which had I been more esoteric (as if this SaaS metrics series isn&#8217;t already esoteric enough!), I might have stated as <em>SaaS company cash flow follows SaaS customer cash flow</em> (most SaaS CEOs can validate this version of the principle without any need for advanced mathematics).</p>
<p>While CLTV can be calculated for each individual customer, it is more commonly quoted as a generalized metric that describes the average SaaS customer as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">CLTV = ARR<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; CAC</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">CLTV = (ARR<sub>1</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>1</sub>)/( 1 + i ) + (ARR<sub>2</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>2</sub>)/( 1 + i )<sup>2</sup> +&#8230;+ (ARR<sub>N</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>N</sub>)/( 1 + i )<sup>N</sup> &#8211; CAC</p>
<p>Where &#8220;ARR<sub>LTV</sub>&#8221; is average lifetime recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS<sub>LTV</sub>&#8221;  is the average lifetime recurring cost of service per customer, and &#8220;CAC&#8221; is the average customer acquisition cost. ARR<sub>n</sub> and ACS<sub>n</sub> are the average customer recurring revenue and cost of service for the period n, and &#8220;i&#8221; is the cost of capital, which for VC funded startups is 30%+.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve explicitly separated revenue from costs, because costs are variously omitted from CLTV depending on the application.  For example, if I want to compare the &#8220;lifetime value&#8221; of a customer in terms of net contribution vs. the cost of acquiring a customer, then I omit the acquisition cost from the CLTV calculation.   Or, if I wan&#8217;t to measure the &#8220;lifetime value&#8221; as the money a customer pays during its lifetime, then I&#8217;d only keep ARR<sub>LTV</sub>.  The formula as written is the total net present value of all cash flows related to acquiring and servicing the average SaaS customer.</p>
<p>Using this &#8220;fully loaded&#8221; CLTV, we can also give a useful variation to the formula for total SaaS company value when the company already has current customers, C<sub>old</sub>, as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">NPV = CLTV x NEW<sub>LTV</sub> + ( CLTV + CAC ) x C<sub>old</sub></p>
<p style="text-align:center">or</p>
<p style="text-align:center">NPV = CLTV x NEW<sub>LTV</sub> + ( ARR<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>LTV</sub> ) x C<sub>old</sub></p>
<p>Where in this case NEW<sub>LTV</sub> represents all the future customers still yet to be acquired and C<sub>old</sub> represents the number of current customers.  Notice that using our &#8220;fully loaded&#8221; CLTV we must add CAC back for current customers, because it is a sunk cost.  If new customers are somehow different from old customers, or CLTV changes over the customer lifetime, then the old customer CLTV / CAC values would also be different from the new.</p>
<p>In the simple case of constant recurring payments and costs per period, CLTV for the average customer is calculated as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">CLTV = (ARR &#8211; ACS)/( 1 + i ) + (ARR &#8211; ACS)/( 1 + i )<sup>2</sup> +&#8230;+ (ARR &#8211; ACS)/( 1 + i )<sup>N</sup> &#8211; CAC</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">CLTV =  ( ARR &#8211; ACS )/i x ( 1 – ( 1 + i )<sup>-N</sup> ) &#8211; CAC </p>
<p style="text-align:center;">When there is no limit placed on the number of payments (an annuity).</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">CLTV = (ARR &#8211; ACS )/i &#8211; CAC</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">And, if we throw churn and viral growth into the mix CLTV becomes.</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">CLTV = ( ARR &#8211; ACS &#8211; gCAC )/( i + a &#8211; g ) &#8211; CAC</p>
<p style="text-align:center;">with the constraint g < i + a</p>
<p>Where &#8220;ARR&#8221; is the average recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS&#8221; is the average recurring cost of service per customer, &#8220;a&#8221; is percentage churn rate, &#8220;g&#8221; is the viral growth rate.   This last formula should be used with extreme caution in high growth, big g scenarios as <a href="http://20bits.com/articles/three-myths-of-viral-growth/" target="_blank" rel="no follow">treating viral growth as something that extends indefinitely is unrealistic</a>.  Sooner or later you hit the market limit and growth slows.  Which is why the formula blows up when g =  i + a.</p>
<div class="note" id="note">
<strong>SaaS Financial Metrics Math Notes</strong></p>
<p>The idea that the character of a SaaS company is determined in large part by its average customer is a theme played out in many of the SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb.  The underlying cause of this general principle is the recurring revenue subscription model.  Unlike customers of licensed software, SaaS customers ease into their relationships with SaaS vendors through many repeat purchases.  Each new SaaS customer brings a new thread of recurring revenue, which is woven into the larger tapestry of customers to create the total SaaS company recurring revenue stream.  Using the continuous SaaS metric model, the formula for total recurring revenue is as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Total Recurring Revenue = TRR(t) = <span style="font-size:1.5em">&int;</span><sub>0</sub><sup>t</sup> New(&tau;)ARR(t &#8211; &tau;)d&tau;</em></p>
<p>Where New(t) is the number of new customers acquired by the SaaS company over time, and ARR(t) is the recurring revenue of the single average customer over time.  The integral sum adds up the recurring revenue from each new customer acquired from the beginning to today (0 to t), starting each new customer on its own recurring revenue path beginning at the time it was acquired, &tau;.  For the math heads, it&#8217;s a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convolution" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">convolution</a> of New(t) and ARR(t).</p>
<p>In the continuous model, the net present value of company recurring revenue is given by the following formula:</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>NPV Total Recurring Revenue = TRR<sub>LTV</sub> = <span style="font-size:1.5em">&int;</span><sub>0</sub><sup>&infin;</sup> TRR(t)e<sup>-it</sup>dt</em></p>
<p>Where &#8220;i&#8221; is the cost of capital.  Again, for the math heads in the audience (and I can&#8217;t much imagine there is anyone else left at this point), this is a standard <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Laplace_transform" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Laplace Transform</a>. Using a known property of Laplace Transforms that the transform of a convolution equals the product of the two individual transforms, we can simplify the expression for TRR<sub>LTV</sub> as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>TRR<sub>LTV</sub> = <span style="font-size:1.5em">&int;</span><sub>0</sub><sup>&infin;</sup>NEW(t)e<sup>-it</sup>dt  x  <span style="font-size:1.5em">&int;</span><sub>0</sub><sup>&infin;</sup>ARR(t)e<sup>-it</sup>dt</em></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>TRR<sub>LTV</sub> = NEW<sub>LTV</sub> x ARR<sub>LTV</sub></em></p>
<p>Which is starting to look a lot like SaaS Metrics Rule of Thumb #10 above.  Had we started with ARR &#8211; ACS and thrown in CAC from the start, we would have had the following:</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>TRR<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; TCS<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; TCAC = NEW<sub>LTV</sub> x ( ARR<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; CAC )</em></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>SaaS Company NPV = NEW<sub>LTV</sub> x ( ARR<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>LTV</sub> &#8211; CAC )</em></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>SaaS Company NPV = NEW<sub>LTV</sub> x CLTV</em></p>
<p>Voila!  SaaS Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value.</p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>SaaS Sales Compensation Made Easy</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-compensation-made-easy/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-compensation-made-easy/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 26 Mar 2010 23:56:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas sales compensation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sales compensation]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1700</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
I just have to say it.  SaaS sales compensation is not nearly as complex and mysterious as it has been made out to be.  I’ve read so many discussions on SaaS sales compensation that claim you should do this in one case and that in another case, such that by the time you [...]]]></description>
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<p>I just have to say it.  SaaS sales compensation is not nearly as complex and mysterious as it has been made out to be.  I’ve read so many discussions on SaaS sales compensation that claim you should do this in one case and that in another case, such that by the time you finish you can’t see the forest for the trees. Since I’m in the middle of this series on SaaS metrics, it seems high time I got around to addressing this topic (which I’ve been avoiding simply because I did not want to plant yet another tree).<br />So, here is the scoop….</p>
<table style="margin-left:30px;margin-right:30px;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;text-align:center; border:ridge 2px #12752D;background-color:#F9FFFD;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td  style="font-size:20px;font-family:Times;font-style:italic; color:#072875;line-height:130%;padding:10px;">The ONLY difference between SaaS sales compensation and sales compensation for software<br />or other products is that you should pay based on the LIFETIME VALUE of THE DEAL<br />instead of the unit price of the product<br /> (there being no unit price).</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Wait!  Relax.  Although at first glance, lifetime value may appear to be an overly complex metric to use for sales compensation, it is always proportionate to recurring revenue. So, you simply have to replace &#8220;price&#8221; with MRR or QRR or ARR in your favorite sales compensation model and you are fine. That’s it!  Now you can apply any of the various sales compensation models that you already know and love.  Your particular choice should match the specific goals, products, pricing and culture of your specific business, as with any other sales compensation design challenge.</p>
<p>The primary principle of sales compensation is to pay the sales rep <em>in proportion</em> to the value of the deal, usually measured by the price of the product. The value of the deal in turn<span id="more-1700"></span>  is wrapped up in the sales commission percentage, which is calculated by dividing the target commission at quota by the sales rep quota:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">commission % = target commission at quota / quota</p>
<p>The quota in turn is determined by what is achievable for such a sales rep in terms of number of deals and the average deal value.</p>
<p style="text-align:center">quota = target # of deals x average deal value</p>
<p>And, the actual sales compensation is calculated by multiplying the commission percentage by the actual sales.</p>
<p style="text-align:center">sales compensation = commission % x actual sales</p>
<p>The target commission is determined by the labor market rate for the type of sales rep you need to fulfill the sales role.  This is important, because it is at this point in the sales compensation plan design that we clearly see that sales compensation is NOT about paying the sales rep a percentage of revenue, it is about <em>allocating a target commission payout based on a measure of performance (quota)</em>.  The measure we use for performance (license revenue, recurring revenue, margin, etc.) is <em>completely arbitrary</em>.  We consciously choose a measure that scales with deal value, so that sales compensation aligns sales rep performance with company performance.</p>
<p>You can get really fancy with tiers, spiffs, margin vs. revenue, etc., but these basic formulas are the cornerstone of any sales compensation plan, and this does not change for SaaS.  <em>What does change is how you measure deal value, and thus the relevant measure of sales performance.</em></p>
<p>In a subscription business with a recurring revenue stream, the value of the deal is not as clear cut as the price of a software license. As any MBA or bond trader will gladly tell you, the true value of a subscription deal is the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Present_value" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">present value of the future cash flows</a>, which amounts to summing up all the recurring revenue over time, taking into account churn, and discounting it by your cost of capital. For a simple subscription with constant recurring revenue, “RR”, this is given by the following formula:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS Subscription LTV = RR + RR (1 &#8211; a)/(1 + i)  + RR [(1 - a)/(1 + i)]^2 &#8230; RR [(1 - a)/(1 + i)]^N</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS Subscription LTV = RR ( 1 + i ) / ( i + a )</p>
<p>Where “i” (for interest) is the cost of capital and “a” (for attrition) is the churn rate, and N is the number of payments made over the customer&#8217;s lifetime.  If the customer follows the normal churn rate, the top LTV formula simplifies to the bottom LTV formula. Again, the MBA’s in the audience will recognize this as the formula for the present value of an <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Annuity_%28finance_theory%29" target="blank" rel="nofollow">annuity</a>.</p>
<p>I say again&#8230;.do not fear!  As previously mentioned, the LTV of the deal is always proportionate to recurring revenue of the deal.  The salient word here being “proportionate.” When it comes to designing our SaaS sales compensation plan, we can use ANY measure of recurring revenue (MRR, QRR, ARR) that is <em>proportionate</em> to lifetime deal value. We do not need to calculate the absolute LTV for the deal, because the commission percentage will scale up or down as needed to make sure we payout the target sales compensation.  Thus for SaaS, we simply change the calculation to the following:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS commission % = target commission at quota / quota in recurring revenue</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS quota = target # of deals x average deal value in recurring revenue</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales compensation = commission % x actual sales in recurring revenue</p>
<p>Recurring revenue can be measured monthly, quarterly, or annually, because the sales commission percentage scales accordingly.  But, <em>once a time-frame for recurring revenue is chosen for calculating the sales commission percentage, it is critical to stick with the same recurring revenue time-frame throughout your SaaS sales compensation plan, i.e., if you calculate average deal value and quota in ARR, then you must measure actual sales in ARR as well to get the correct actual sales commission payout</em>.</p>
<p>Failing to stick with the same recurring revenue time-frame throughout creates an expensive bait-and-switch problem that is the root cause of SaaS Sales Compensation Mistakes 1 &#038; 2 below.  Psychologically it is often best to base your SaaS sales compensation plan on a recurring revenue time-frame (monthly, quarterly, or annually) that equals your most common contract renewal term, e.g., if you mostly sign annual renewal contracts, then base your sales compensation plan on ARR, if most renewal contracts are monthly, then use MRR.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-sales-compensation.png" alt="saas sales compensation" /></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>To recap…replace unit price with MRR/QRR/ARR…done.</em></p>
<p>The picture above shows a quick visualization for two sales compensation plans for two sales reps with similar skill sets and market labor rates: one at a software company, and another at a SaaS company.  In both cases, the sales rep has a base salary of $50K.  On the left, the goal is to motivate the software sales rep to bring in $2M in license revenue.  The software sales compensation plan has an accelerator such that payout is $100K at $1.5M and $150K at $2M, and unlimited upside if the sales rep can blow it out of the water.</p>
<p>On the right is a SaaS sales compensation plan where the goal is to motivate the SaaS sales rep to bring in $1M in annual recurring revenue.  The plans are IDENTICAL except for the scale of the performance measure on the x-axis (swapping license price with ARR).  The SaaS sales compensation plan has a base pay of $50K and an accelerator such that the payout is $100K at $750K ARR and $150K at $1M ARR, and again with unlimited upside to motivate your top sales performers.  If we want to recast the SaaS sales compensation plan from ARR to MRR or QRR, we simply change the scale of the x-axis by calculating average deal value, target quota and actual sales in MRR or QRR, 1/12 or 1/4 of ARR respectively.</p>
<p>OK.  Visual, but maybe not so easy.  Below is a simple numerical example that walks you through the calculation.</p>
<div class="note" >
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Compensation Plan &#8211; Easy Example</strong></p>
<p>Consider a SaaS sales job that requires a skilled sales rep in the $100K range. Say $50K commission + $50K base. What quota can the sales rep carry?  Say 5 deals/month at an average deal value of $1000 MRR (equivalent to $12,000 ARR). Using the SaaS sales compensation formulas above with MRR as the measure, the quota in MRR is calculated as follows.</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales quota = 60K MRR per year =  5 x 12 x $1000 MRR</p>
<p>The SaaS sales commission percentage is then&#8230;</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales commission percentage = 83.33% = $50K ÷ $60K MRR</p>
<p>Now, lets see what happens when our SaaS sales rep closes three deals.  A monthly renewal contract with a $1000 recurring payment, an annual renewal contract with a $12,000  recurring payment, and a two year renewal contract with a $24,000  recurring payment. All three deals have an IDENTICAL deal value of $1000 MRR, so our SaaS sales compensation plan will pay them all at an IDENTICAL sales commission.
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales compensation payout =  $833.33 = 83.33%  x $1000 MRR</p>
<p>This SaaS sales compensation math is straightforward and really easy for the sales rep to track&#8230;no spreadsheet required. For example, here is the list price <a href="http://www.salesforce.com/crm/editions-pricing.jsp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">MRR for all sf.com editions</a>.</p>
<p>For comparison, here is the EXACT same SaaS sales compensation plan and sales commission payout for the deals above recast in ARR.</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales quota = 720K ARR = 5 x 12 x $12,000 ARR</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales commission percentage = 6.944% = $50K ÷ $720K ARR</p>
<p style="text-align:center">SaaS sales commission payout = $833.33 = 6.944% x $12,000 ARR</p>
<p>This example should make it clear that the choice of MRR, QRR or ARR is completely arbitrary, because the SaaS sales commission percentage scales accordingly to pay the same actual sales commission for the same actual deal value, regardless of which recurring revenue time-frame you choose.  The only important rule is that you must use the same recurring revenue time-frame throughout all your SaaS sales compensation plan calculations.</a></p>
<p>This is where SaaS Sales Compensation Mistakes #1 &#038; #2 below rear their ugly heads.  When it comes to payout, there is a tendency to want to swap out the correct recurring revenue measure for the explicit contract renewal payment.  For example, in the ARR plan above to plug in $24,000 for the 2 yr deal and pay out $1666.67 instead of $833.33.  Don&#8217;t do it!</p>
<p>The reason the monthly, annual and 2 year renewal contracts all pay the same commission amount is that they all have roughly the same lifetime values, and are therefore of equal value to the SaaS company.  The difference between the three is only the cost of capital.  But, the rep and sales manager never see this. That is the point of using MRR/QRR/ARR as surrogates for LTV&#8230;to remove all the complexity.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s say we have a churn rate of 10% and a cost of capital of 20% (typical for equity investment). The LTV of the three deals can be calculated using the second LTV formula above.</p>
<ul>
<li>1 mo renewal contract LTV = $37,490</li>
<li>1 yr renewal contract LTV = $48,000</li>
<li>2 yr renewal contract LTV = $59,346</li>
</ul>
<p>These actual lifetime deal values differ by about +/- 20%, or rather by our cost of capital.  They do not differ by 1/12X , 1X and 2X respectively.  Hence, if we want to add an incentive to our SaaS sales compensation plan for signing longer renewal term contracts it should be determined by how much we value cash up front, i.e., the cost of capital.  In this example, you might penalize monthly contracts by 25% while placing a 25% premium on longer 2 yr contract, paying $650 for the monthly renewal contract and $1100 for the 2 year renewal contract. You would not pay 1/12X and 2X respectively.</p>
<p>Note: This also assumes that the monthly customers don&#8217;t drop off like flies relative to the 1yr and 2yr customers, but stick around just as long and simply don&#8217;t like paying all up front. If you have customers with dramatically different churn profiles, you should segment these deals and prorate them relative to the norm.  Another common approach is to sign annual contracts, but with a monthly payment plan, similar to your standard health club contract.  The main point being that you should manage your cash flow by offering contracts with which you are comfortable, not through your SaaS sales compensation plan. </p>
<p><strong>In Summary</strong><br />
Basing your SaaS sales compensation plan on MRR/QRR/ARR is not about cutting commissions off at one month/quarter/year.  MRR/QRR/ARR are used because they are all equally good, simplified measures of LTV.  Paying on MRR/QRR/ARR ensures that <em>the sales rep is paid in-full, up-front for the full lifetime value of the deal that has been closed</em>, regardless of the payment plan chosen by the customer. Not some underpayment or overpayment spuriously based on the contract renewal term, and not in dribbles over the life of the contract to match cash flow. Good for the SaaS sales rep. Good for the SaaS business. Good SaaS sales compensation plan design. </p>
</div>
<p>How much easier could it be? Well&#8230;here are some very common mistakes to avoid.</p>
<h3>SaaS Sales Compensation Mistake #1<br/>Paying SaaS sales compensation on explicit total contract value</h3>
<p>Happy customers renew their contracts. Unhappy customers don&#8217;t.  Unhappy customers cancel early, and ask for refunds.  If your customers are happy, then the primary benefit of a long term contract is up-front cash payment, not lock-in.  Happiness = Lock in.  Your SaaS sales compensation plan should reflect this reality.  Consider a service that costs $100/month.  A monthly renewal contract appears to be worth $100, while a 1 yr renewal contract appears to be worth $1200, and a 2 yr renewal contract appears to be worth $2400.  In reality, all three contracts have the same recurring revenue ($100 MRR or $1200 ARR), and should therefore pay the same baseline commission.  This is the essence of <a href="http://www.sandhill.com/opinion/editorial.php?id=176" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Bessemer Law for being SaaS-y #1</a>, which states that &#8220;bookings are for suckers.&#8221;</p>
<p>Longer term contracts are worth more, but the difference in value is your cost of capital which is typically in the 5-30% range depending on your source of funding.  The financially sound SaaS sales compensation approach is to pay a baseline commission on the recurring revenue of the deal, then provide an accelerated payment incentive for longer contracts in the 5-30% range that reflects your own cost of capital. (See the numerical example above for a more  detailed explanation).  If you base your SaaS sales compensation plan on ARR, then sign a 2 yr contract and foolishly plug the explicit contract value of $2400 into your SaaS sales compensation payout formula because the deal FEELS like it is worth $2400, then you are paying as if the deal was worth twice as much. It isn&#8217;t. </p>
<h3>SaaS Sales Compensation Mistake #2<br/>Trying to manage cashflow through your SaaS sales compensation plan</h3>
<p>This is the reverse bait-and-switch of SaaS Sales Compensation Mistake #1 above, arising when you sign contracts with short subscription terms, e.g., monthly.  In this case, there is a tendency to not what to pay out sales compensation in advance of receiving payment.  Tough!  It isn&#8217;t the sales rep&#8217;s job to manage cash flow.  It&#8217;s the sales rep&#8217;s job to bring in the deal.  If your customers are happy, then a monthly payment plan is just as valuable as an annual plan, minus a small percentage for the time value of the money. The best approach is to pay the sales rep in-full, up-front based on the recurring revenue, then tack on a 5-30% penalty for short term contracts as described in SaaS Sales Compensation Mistake #1 above.</p>
<p>If you are one of those lucky SaaS companies that has high early churn and then things settle down, you might want to break the payment up into two, e.g., 50% now and 50% when things settle down.  But, you should NOT leave the sales rep waiting and waiting to get paid over time in an attempt to match cash flow to sales compensation.  If your churn rate is very very high, say 50%, then you might ask yourself if you are in a recurring revenue business in the first place and simply revert back to paying on actual contract value.</p>
<h3>SaaS Sales Compensation Mistake #3<br/>Not including fully loaded sales compensation in customer acquisition cost</h3>
<p>Customer acquisition cost should include all the labor it takes to get a new customer signed, not just out of pocket sales and marketing costs.   Generally, adding up all sales and marketing expenses is the best way to calculate your customer acquisition cost.  This way you don’t miss anything.  When you do this, you will almost certainly find that fully loaded sales compensation costs are a dominant contributor to total customer acquisition cost.  As indicated in the SaaS metrics series, controlling acquisition costs is a critical factor in reaching profitability.  Therefore, it is important to set a target  for the ratio of fully loaded annual sales compensation to new annual recurring revenue that gives a sales contribution sufficient to support overall business profitability (i.e., sales contribution  =  1 &#8211; sales expense ratio).</p>
<h3>SaaS Sales Compensation Mistake #4<br/>Not scaling sales compensation with sales productivity</h3>
<p>Some good benchmarks to plug into the commission formula above are $100K in total sales compensation for $1M ARR.  On a 50:50 split, this gives a commission percentage of 5%.  But, what if you are a start-up and a quota of $1M ARR is just plain unachievable? For example, if your current average deal size is $1000, your sales rep would need to close 1000 deals/year!  In this case, you might need to pay 20% on a quota of $250K ARR just to get your business off the ground.  However, a sales contribution of 60% is unlikely to be profitable in the long run, because you are paying $100K in sales compensation for a measly $250K ARR  (i.e., 60% = 1 &#8211;  100K/250K).  In this scenario, you should work hard to increase both your average deal value and your achievable quota.  As you grow, it is important to scale your commission percentage in lockstep with your increasing achievable quota, otherwise you will get locked into a low sales contribution percentage that will sink your long term profitability.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Metrics &#8211; Joel&#8217;s Magic Number for SaaS Companies</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 14:15:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[magic number]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas lose money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas metric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profitability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas recurring revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-costs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=2348</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
One of the mysteries I hoped to solve when I embarked upon this little SaaS metrics mathematical journey was the reality behind &#8220;The SaaS Company Magic Number&#8221; introduced by then Omniture CEO, Josh James, and immemorialized by my pal Lars Leckie over at Hummer Winblad.  In principal, this number tells you how aggressively you [...]]]></description>
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<p>One of the mysteries I hoped to solve when I embarked upon this little SaaS metrics mathematical journey was the reality behind &#8220;<a href="http://larsleckie.blogspot.com/2008/03/magic-number-for-saas-companies.html" target="_blank">The SaaS Company Magic Number</a>&#8221; introduced by then Omniture CEO, Josh James, and immemorialized by my pal Lars Leckie over at Hummer Winblad.  In principal, this number tells you how aggressively you should be spending to build up your customer base: <em>&#8220;the key insight is that if you are below 0.75 then step back and look at your business, if you are above 0.75 then start pouring on the gas for growth because your business is primed to leverage spend into growth. If you are anywhere above 1.5 call me immediately.&#8221;-Lars Leckie&#8217;s Blog</em></p>
<p>In this installment of the SaaS metrics series, I will show why this benchmark works, and introduce what <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>IMHO is the single most important SaaS financial metric for measuring the overall health of a SaaS business</strong></span>. Now, being as Josh and Lars have already laid claim to &#8220;The&#8221; SaaS Magic Number, I really have no alternative but to put all humility aside and dub my latecomer SaaS metric as &#8220;Joel&#8217;s&#8221; SaaS Magic Number (After all, I did similarly snag &#8220;The&#8221; Top Ten Do&#8217;s and Don&#8217;ts of SaaS, so it&#8217;s all good.)</p>
<h3>SaaS Metrics Rule of Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</h3>
<p>The truth be told I feel a bit guilty about the name, because Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number is neither magic, nor mine really. It&#8217;s simply the the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/#saas_customer_rate_of_return" target="_blank">average customer rate of return</a>, or rather the inverse of the average customer baseline break-even, 1/BE<sub>0</sub>, that has so consistently popped up as a driver and a constraint in the SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb.</p>
<table style="margin: auto; vertical-align: center; horizontal-align: center; text-align: center; border-spacing: 0px;padding-bottom:10px">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2">J</td>
<td style="padding-right: 30px; padding-left: 30px;" rowspan="2">=</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid 1px black" >ARR &#8211; ACS</td>
<tr>
<td >CAC</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table style="margin: auto; vertical-align: center; horizontal-align: center; text-align: center; border-spacing: 0px;padding-bottom:10px">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</td>
<td style="padding-right: 30px; padding-left: 30px;">=</td>
<td>Average Customer Rate of Return</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Where &#8220;ARR&#8221; is the average recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS&#8221; is the average recurring cost of service per customer, and &#8220;CAC&#8221; is the average customer acquisition cost.  Customer rate of return is powerful, because it measures the economics that make a SaaS business work (or not), whereas the individual revenue and cost metrics are simply accounting figures that in isolation say little about the health of the business.  Let&#8217;s recap some of the things we know about this nifty magic number from earlier SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb.</p>
<table style="margin-left:auto; margin-right:auto; margin-top:auto; margin-bottom:15px; text-align:center; border:ridge 4px #12752D;border-spacing:0px;">
<tbody style="color:#072875;background-color:#F7FFFB;">
<tr>
<th colspan=3; style="padding:15px;background-color:#12752D;border-bottom:ridge 2px #12752D;color:#FF8533;font-weight:bold;font-size:23px;">Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number Rules-of-Thumb</th>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width:100px;padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">J</td>
<td style="width:150px;padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">[ ARR - ACS ] ÷ CAC</td>
<td style="width:300px;padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">average SaaS customer rate of return</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">1/J</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;"><em>best case</em> SaaS company time to profit</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">limiting</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">g  =  a  =  J</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">maximum, profitable rate of growth g or churn a</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">approaching</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">g &rArr; J  or  a &rArr; J</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">dramatically delays SaaS time to profit</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">exceeding</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">g  ≥  J   or   a  ≥  J </td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">SaaS company will <em>never</em> be profitable</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">increasing</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">&uArr;J    by    &uArr;ARR  or  &dArr;TCS</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">upselling &#038; lower TCS accelerate profitability</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">recommended</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">J  &gt;  g  +  a</td>
<td style="padding:5px;border-bottom:dotted 1px #12752D;">in high growth &#038; churn scenarios</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="padding:5px;">benchmark</td>
<td style="padding:5px;">J  ≥  50%</td>
<td style="padding:5px;">per year is generally very healthy</td>
</tr>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Intuitively, the long run profitability of SaaS companies requires<br />the recurring contribution of current customers to cover the acquisition cost of new customers,<br />therefore the average customer rate of return for SaaS companies<br />must exceed both the current customer churn rate and the new customer growth rate.</em></p>
<p>So, what is a good value for Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number?  Well, I don&#8217;t think anyone could argue with 1, a valiant goal, but rather optimistic. <span id="more-2348"></span> If your average customer rate of return is 100%, chances are you don&#8217;t need VC money, because you can bootstrap your way to the top given that your customers pay for themselves within the first year.  Personally, I&#8217;m prejudiced toward profitable growth in the long run, not just growth (call me old fashioned).  In which case, I&#8217;d recommend shooting for something in the J ≥ 50% per year  range, implying a minimum time to profit of 2 years (probably more like 4 years with growth and churn) and the ability to grow annually at upwards of 50%.</p>
<table style="margin-left:30px;margin-right:30px;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;text-align:center; border:ridge 2px #12752D;background-color:#F9FFFD;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td  style="font-size:20px;font-family:Times;font-style:italic; color:#072875;line-height:130%;padding:10px;">
Customer rate of return is powerful, because it measures<br />the economics that make a SaaS business work (or not),<br />whereas the individual revenue and cost metrics<br />are simply accounting figures that in isolation<br />say little about the health of the business.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>At the very least, you should set a goal for average customer rate of return that significantly exceeds your combined churn and target growth rates, J > a + g, unless you are prepared to burn cash for a very, very long time and build up a <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/" target="_blank">very, very large accumulated loss deficit on your balance sheet</a>.  But, focusing exclusively on growth to the detriment of profit is a dangerous game in SaaS.  Most SaaS markets are not as wide-open as enterprise software markets were twenty years ago.  Personally, I believe there is very little a weak executive team can do for $110M in expense at a $10M loss, that a strong executive team can&#8217;t do better for $90M in expense at a $10M profit.  To each his own.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll let the interested reader refer to <a href="http://larsleckie.blogspot.com/2008/03/magic-number-for-saas-companies.html" target="_blank">Lars&#8217; original blog post</a> for the specifics, but after a little comparison I&#8217;ve concluded that &#8220;The&#8221; SaaS Company Magic Number is roughly equivalent to following ratio in my SaaS metrics model.</p>
<p style="text-align:center">The SaaS Company Magic Number = ARR ÷ CAC</p>
<p style="text-align:center">(for newly acquired customers with ARR measured annually)</p>
<p>Thus, the difference between Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number and The SaaS Magic Number is the explicit inclusion of recurring cost of service, giving IMHO a stronger metric for the financial health of SaaS companies that includes the full measure of both recurring revenue and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank">total cost of service</a>.  In relation to The SaaS Magic Number we have the following:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number = [ ARR - ACS ] ÷ ARR x The SaaS Magic Number</p>
<p style="text-align:center">Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number = Contribution Margin x The SaaS Magic Number</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s plug in some numbers and see what we get.  If we want a quick and dirty comparison of The SaaS Magic Number to Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number, then the easiest approach is to assume a contribution margin of 50%.  This isn&#8217;t so outrageous given the cost structure of many SaaS/software companies that even in the early stages tend to spend about 50% on sales and marketing (CAC) and 50% on everything else (ACS).
<p style="text-align:center">When Contribution Margin = 50%</p>
<p style="text-align:center">Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number = The SaaS Magic Number / 2</p>
<p>Aha!  Now we have a rhyme to the reason of why Lars just might want to talk to you if The SaaS Magic Number is > 1.5, because you are primed for a profitable, annual viral growth rate of up to 75%, something VCs like very much.  However, I have to take issue with &#8220;pouring on the gas&#8221; if your The SaaS Magic Number is simply above .75 .  In this example, your average customer rate of return is about 38%., giving you a <em>best case</em> time to profit of 2.7 years.  In reality, if your annual growth is approaching 38% (which your investors will very much desire) and your contribution margin is anything less than 50% (very likely in the early stages), then your real time to profit is probably double or triple that (8 years!), because you aren&#8217;t even covering your acquisition costs let alone your total cost of service.  Depending on your actual contribution margin, you may very well be burning through wads of cash by stepping on the gas. Personally, I&#8217;d up this requirement to a clean The SaaS Magic Number of > 1.0 with the added requirement that ARR ≥ 2 x ACS, so that your contribution margin can quickly recover acquisition costs.  This is consistent with the prevalent SaaS metrics conventional wisdom that you&#8217;d like to recover your customer acquisition cost in the first 12 months, but with the added requirement that you need to pay for your ongoing service costs as well.</p>
<p>Almost done!  There is one more post in this SaaS metrics series, because clearly we can&#8217;t stop until we reach SaaS Metrics Rule of Thumb #10 and have a complete SaaS metrics top ten list.  The next and final post in the SaaS metrics series entitled <em>SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</em> will take things up a level to examine the highest level SaaS financial metric of company valuation, and it has some fun, no-holds-barred extra credit math notes for the math heads.  Stay tuned!</p>
<div id="magic number" class="note">
<p><strong>SaaS Metrics Math Notes: <span style="color:#FF0000;">What&#8217;s YOUR SaaS Average Customer Rate of Return?</span></strong><br />
The theory is only useful if we put it into practice, so today&#8217;s SaaS Metrics Math Note includes the homework assignment to calculate the average customer rate of return for your SaaS business (your very own SaaS magic number!).  In practice, calculating average customer rate of return requires a few decisions about how you&#8217;re going to measure recurring revenue and costs, but the basic formula for calculation is as follows.</p>
<table style="margin: auto; vertical-align: center; horizontal-align: center; text-align: center; border-spacing: 0px;padding-bottom:10px">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="border-bottom: solid 1px black" >[ Total Recurring Revenue - Total Recurring Costs ] ÷ Total Number of Customers</td>
<tr>
<td >Total Acquisition Costs ÷ Number of New Customers</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Total Acquisition Costs should include all sales, marketing and overhead expenses directed at new customer acquisition within a given period, and Total Recurring Costs should include just about everything that is left over in the same period, including everything that enables you to service your customers from rent to support staff, even accounting because you gotta send out the bill.  You can dance around the idea of fixed vs. variable costs, but in most SaaS companies pretty much all costs are variable in a roughly 3+ month time-frame.  Also, note that the average customer rate of return time-frame will be the same one that you choose for your recurring costs, i.e., percent per month/quarter/year respectively.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/average-customer-rate-of-return.png" alt="joel's saas magic number" /></p>
<p>I recommend making two charts, one with the average customer rate of return (you can also include the other two relevant SaaS metrics of growth and churn for comparison) and a second with the component values of ARR, ACS and CAC.  This example highlights the positive impact of both lowering total cost of service (decreasing ACS/CAC) and upselling (increasing ARR) on average customer rate of return as implied in SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb 6, 7 &#038; 8.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/recurring-revenue-acquisition-cost.png" alt="saas recurring revenue cost" /></p>
<p>Whether you choose GAAP, cash or any number of other variations as your SaaS metrics basis for calculation is probably fine as long as you are consistent throughout.  Personally, I prefer cash.</p>
<p>Plus, you&#8217;ll want to pick a measurement period that will highlight the long term trend over short term random fluctuation, because these profitability and growth SaaS metrics are mid-to-long term measures.  One month is probably too short and one year is probably too long.  So, some sort of moving average around 3-6 months is probably best for most SaaS companies.  You can also get fancy with things like customer segmentation to see how the average customer recurring rate of return varies by segment. Consider that extra credit!</p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<item>
		<title>SaaS Revenue &#8211; The Beauty of Upselling and Upgrades</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Mar 2010 16:00:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recurring-revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas lose money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas metric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profitability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-costs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=2072</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Too much churn, you lose money.  Grow too fast, you lose money. Customer acquisition cost too high, you lose money.  Recurring cost of service too high, you lose money. Just shoot me now!  How on earth do you make money in SaaS?
If you&#8217;ve been following this series on SaaS metrics, then you&#8217;ve [...]]]></description>
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<p>Too much churn, you lose money.  Grow too fast, you lose money. Customer acquisition cost too high, you lose money.  Recurring cost of service too high, you lose money. Just shoot me now!  How on earth do you make money in SaaS?</p>
<p>If you&#8217;ve been following this series on SaaS metrics, then you&#8217;ve probably worked your way up to just such a level of frustration.  Because, that pretty much sums up the last four SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb on SaaS profitability:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
</ul>
<p>It just can&#8217;t be! This is high tech.  This is the Internet!  Software, not hardware.  SaaS can&#8217;t just be a <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/software-on-demand-is-a-commodity-business/" target="_blank">low-cost commodity business</a>.  There must be a value-based approach.  A SaaS revenue solution!</p>
<p>There is.  But, it doesn&#8217;t mean you can ignore the fundamentals.  Driving down total cost of service through automation and economies-of-scale is fundamental.  SaaS executives that ignore this put the long term profitability of their SaaS businesses in peril.  But, enough on lowering SaaS costs.  Let&#8217;s talk increasing SaaS revenue!</p>
<p>The previous post in this SaaS metrics series entitled <em><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/" target="_blank">Growing Up Poor – How Foolish SaaS Companies Lose Money</a></em> was a bold attempt to once and for all solve the mystery of why seemingly successful SaaS companies lose money&#8230;in excruciating detail (sorry for that).  The cornerstones of the analysis were the relationships established between the values of churn, &#8220;a&#8221;, growth, &#8220;g&#8221;, and the baseline average customer break-even time, &#8220;BE<sub>0</sub>&#8221; as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">BE<sub>0</sub> = CAC ÷ [ ARR - ACS ]</p>
<table style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: auto; margin-bottom: 15px; text-align: center;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">Higher</td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 150px;">gBE<sub>0</sub>  or  aBE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 300px;">means longer time to profit.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>When</td>
<td>gBE<sub>0</sub>  ≥  1   or   aBE<sub>0</sub>  ≥  1 </td>
<td>the SaaS company will <em>never</em> be profitable.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hence</td>
<td>g  =  a  =  1/BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td>is the maximum, profitable rate of growth or churn.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>In the formula above, &#8220;CAC&#8221; is the average acquisition cost per customer,  &#8220;ARR&#8221; is the average recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS&#8221; is the average recurring cost of service per customer, and the 0 attached to the BE is intended to indicate the absence of churn, i.e., the baseline break-even.</p>
<p>These constraints were the basis of <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/" target="_blank">SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb #6 and #7</a> which claim that both growth and churn, respectively, increase pressure to reduce total cost of service (CAC and ACS) in order to accelerate profitability (reduce
<td>BE<sub>0</sub>) and to ensure that profitability is even possible (gBE<sub>0</sub>,aBE<sub>0</sub> < 1). However, the viable SaaS revenue strategy of increasing average recurring revenue (ARR) without increasing total cost of service was carefully set aside for later examination.  Leading us to...</p>
<h3>SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8<br />
Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</h3>
<p>What exactly does it mean to increase average recurring revenue without increasing average customer acquisition cost or average recurring cost of service?  First, no additional customer acquisition cost means that we must increase recurring revenue from <em>current customers</em>.  Second, no increase in average recurring cost of service means that we must do so in the normal course of business with very little extra effort, preferably through customer self-service (self-selling!). In other words, <em>SaaS companies can accelerate time to profit by upselling and upgrading current customers, but only if it follows an exceptionally low cost purchase process distinct from the new customer acquisition process</em>. The chart below depicts the impact of upselling and upgrades on SaaS time to profit.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-upsell-profitability.png" alt="saas upsell profitability" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Upselling and upgrades leverage the initial investment of customer acquisition cost<br />to accelerate SaaS time to profit by countering the delays of both growth and churn.</em></p>
<p>The chart above depicts the effect of upselling on the two uglier examples presented <span id="more-2072"></span>in the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/" target="_blank">last SaaS metrics series installment</a> where times to profit where 8 years and never, respectively.  These are determined by the intersections of the blue line, which depicts the recurring contribution (recurring revenue minus recurring cost of service) of a SaaS company with a growth rate of 20%, zero churn, and an average recurring contribution per customer of $1000 &#8211; $500 = $500 per year, with the two red lines representing average customer acquisition costs of $2000 and $2,750 respectively.</p>
<p>The green line depicts the impact of increasing SaaS revenue over time through upselling and upgrades.  With upselling, the 8 year time to profit scenario is accelerated to just under 5 years, and never has been magically transformed to about 7.5 years as represented by the intersection of the green line with the same red CAC lines.  The green line represents the recurring contribution of the same SaaS company, but with an upselling strategy that increases contribution margin, (ARR &#8211; ACS),  without incurring any one-time acquisition costs by $75 each year, or an upsell percentage of 15%.  (see SaaS Metrics Math Notes below)</p>
<p>Finally, some light at the end of the tunnel!  Pure upselling as defined here, reduces BE<sub>0</sub> by increasing recurring revenue without significantly increasing total cost of service, i.e., money for nothing.  What could be more strategic!</p>
<div class="note" id="saas_customer_rate_of_return" >
<p><strong>Average SaaS Customer Rate of Return</strong><br />
It&#8217;s enlightening to rewrite the second formula above which restricts the percentage rates of both churn and growth to provide a clearer focus on SaaS recurring revenue:</p>
<table style="margin: auto; vertical-align: center; horizontal-align: center; text-align: center; border-spacing: 0px;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td rowspan="2">1/BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td style="padding-right: 30px; padding-left: 30px;" rowspan="2">=</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid 1px black" >ARR &#8211; ACS</td>
<td style="padding-right: 30px; padding-left: 30px;" rowspan="2">≥</td>
<td rowspan="2">a , g</td>
<tr>
<td >CAC</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>In this format, we can see that increasing average recurring revenue per customer, ARR, to reduce baseline break-even, BE<sub>0</sub>, is equivalent to increasing the average rate of return return on our investment of customer acquisition cost.  That is, the average recurring contribution, ARR &#8211; ACS, can be interpreted as the interest earned on the investment of customer acquisition cost, CAC. Since the SaaS recurring revenue model implies that contribution from current customers must cover the cost of acquiring new customers, then the rate of return on current customers must exceed both the percentage growth and churn rates, otherwise the old can&#8217;t fund the new.  Upselling and upgrades increase the average rate of return on current customers, accelerating SaaS time to profit and enabling a SaaS company to absorb higher percentage rates of growth and churn.</p>
</div>
<p>Two great examples of upselling and upgrades in practice are <a href="http://www.salesforce.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Salesforce.com</a> and <a href="http://www.xignite.com" target="_blank">Xignite</a>.  Salesforce.com has standard user-based subscription pricing, but then breaks its subscriptions into <a href="http://www.salesforce.com/crm/editions-pricing.jsp" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">carefully designed modules of increasing functionality</a>.  If you&#8217;ve ever been a salesforce.com customer, then you know that 90% of the upgrade process consists of you, as the customer, repeatedly bumping into the limits of your current subscription. When you need more users, or you need the capabilities of enterprise over professional, then you go online or pick up the phone and order them.  The cost to salesforce.com is <em>minuscule</em> compared to the original customer acquisition cost (which includes not only customers, but all the prospects that didn&#8217;t buy).  Salesforce.com is a master of <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101c-saas-adoption-and-switching-costs-the-double-edged-sword-of-data/" target="_blank">application discovery</a>, which is the process of letting less experienced customers discover for themselves the value of more advanced product capabilities.</p>
<p>Xignite is a cloud services provider of <a href="http://www.xignite.com/Products/Default.aspx" target="_blank">on-demand market data</a> <em>(Who was that guy?!)</em>.  Unlike monolithic end-user applcations such as Salesforce.com, Xignite&#8217;s Web services can be <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/cloud-computing-vs-saas-mass-customization-in-the-cloud/" target="_blank">purchased separately and mixed and matched at will</a>.  The company offers a <a href="http://www.xignite.com/Products/Catalog.aspx" target="_blank">market data catalog</a> of more than 50 services with usage-based subscription plans, all of which can be <a href="https://www.xignite.com/Shop/ProductConfig.aspx?product=webservices&#038;service=XigniteQuotes" target="_blank">easily purchased online</a>.  The range of potential recurring revenue from the lowest plan for a single service to the largest plan for all services gives an upsell potential for each customer of around 1000:1 or total potential upsell of 100,000%!</p>
<p>This post concludes the mini-series on SaaS profitability, but it is not the end of the SaaS metrics series.  Surely, we&#8217;re only up to SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 and we can&#8217;t possibly stop until we round it off to #10.  The next post in the series entitled <em>Joel&#8217;s Magic Number for SaaS Companies</em> will focus more deeply on what IMHO is the most important SaaS metric of all: average customer rate of return, and will go beyond the math to provide some simple benchmarks to help your SaaS business grow up healthy and profitable.</p>
<div class="note">
<p><strong>SaaS Metrics Math Notes</strong><br />
The approach used to model upselling and upgrades is considerably more conservative than that used to model customer growth.  In particular, no viral market mechanism exists to promote exponential growth of ARR as with customer acquisition growth or churn.  Moreover, upselling is severely limited by the size of the customer and breadth of the product offering.  Therefore, a linear growth model based on the original subscription ARR was used.</p>
<p>In addition, the example assumes an increase in recurring contribution with no improvement in margin, i.e., the add-on business incurs recurring costs proportionate with its recurring revenue, only new acquisition costs are avoided. A more aggressive model might have simply increased recurring revenue and avoided additional recurring costs of service.  Specifically, the formula for upselling used above is as follows:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">ARR(t) &#8211; ACS(t) = (ARR<sub>0</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>0</sub>) x ( 1 + ut )</em></p>
<p>Where &#8220;u&#8221; is the percentage upsell rate.  Integrating the above contribution over time and setting the resulting profit equal to zero gives the upsell accelerated time to break-even:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">(ARR<sub>0</sub> &#8211; ACS<sub>0</sub>) x ( BE<sub>u</sub>+ uBE<sub>u</sub><sup>2</sup>/2 ) &#8211;  CAC = 0</p>
<p style="text-align:center">uBE<sub>u</sub><sup>2</sup>/2 + BE<sub>u</sub> &#8211; BE<sub>0</sub>  = 0</p>
<p>Using the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quadratic_equation#Quadratic_formula" target="_blank">quadratic formula</a> (which I honestly can&#8217;t remember using in the past 20 years) this gives the formula for break-even under upselling:</p>
<p style="text-align:center">BE<sub>u</sub> = [  -1 + ( 1  + 2uBE<sub>0</sub> )<sup>1/2</sup> ] / u</p>
<p>In the example above BE<sub>0</sub> = 4 years and 5.5 years, respectively.  With u = 15%, the impact of upselling is to accelerate break-even to BE<sub>u</sub> = 3.2 years and 4.2 years, respectively.  Thereby increasing the respective tolerable rates of growth and churn from 25% = 1/4 and 18% = 1/5.5 to 31% = 1/3.3 and 24% = 1/4.2.  Since the growth rate in the example is 20%, we can see that upselling takes the latter scenario from unprofitable to profitable as indicated in the chart.</p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Growing Up Poor &#8211; How Foolish SaaS Companies Lose Money</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 23 Feb 2010 13:48:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[acquisition cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recurring-revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas lose money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas metric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profitability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-costs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1939</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Over and over again, I see exciting headlines for SaaS companies like this&#8230;

That when I dig a little deeper, I end up having my bubble burst by a dismal financial statement that looks something like this&#8230;

Where is all the money going?  Why do so many successful SaaS companies, startup and public alike, have such [...]]]></description>
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<p>Over and over again, I see exciting headlines for SaaS companies like this&#8230;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-profit-release.png" alt="saas growth PR" /></p>
<p>That when I dig a little deeper, I end up having my bubble burst by a dismal financial statement that looks something like this&#8230;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/10-K.png" alt="saas 10-K" /></p>
<p>Where is all the money going?  Why do so many successful SaaS companies, startup and public alike, have such a difficult time turning a profit?</p>
<p>This is the fourth post in a series on SaaS metrics that will <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>once and for all solve the mystery of why seemingly successful SaaS companies lose money</strong></span> by using a little mathematics.  But, before I jump into the technical details, here is the short answer:  foolish SaaS companies don&#8217;t seriously tackle the problem of <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank">reducing Total Cost of Service</a> through automation and economies-of-scale, and they foolheartedly chase after the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-failures-the-recurring-revenue-mirage/" target="_blank">Recurring Revenue Mirage</a>.</p>
<p>In the last installment in this series, I introduced the following two SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
</ul>
<p>Which in concert make the claim that the time to profit for a growing SaaS company will always be greater than the baseline <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Break-even" target="_blank">break-even</a> time for the average SaaS customer.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">t<sub>profit</sub> ≥ BE<sub>0</sub></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">BE<sub>0</sub> = CAC ÷ [ ARR - ACS ]</p>
<p>Where &#8220;CAC&#8221; is the average acquisition cost per customer,  &#8220;ARR&#8221; is the average recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS&#8221; is the average recurring cost of service per customer, and the 0 attached to the BE is intended to indicate the absence of churn, i.e., the baseline break-even.</p>
<p>In this post, we&#8217;ll zero in on the interplay of growth and profitability with customer acquisition cost and recurring cost of service (collectively total cost of service), starting with&#8230;</p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-6">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6<br />Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</h3>
<p>We know from the earlier <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 – New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a>, that successful SaaS companies must strive to grow new customer acquisition at a percentage growth rate, &#8220;g&#8221;, that exceeds the churn rate.  This growth model is quite general. It applies equally well when growth is slow and plodding with a <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/#viral-growth-1" target="_blank">small value of g</a> and when growth is rapid and extremely viral with a <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/#viral-growth-3">high value of g</a>.   The only requirement is that our successful SaaS company grow <em>consistently</em> from year to year, which is of course what we all want. In this case, the relationship above between SaaS company profitability and SaaS customer break-even can be made much more exact (see math notes below):</p>
<table style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: auto; margin-bottom: 15px; text-align: center;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">Higher</td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">g x BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 250px;">means longer time to profit.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>When</td>
<td>g x BE<sub>0</sub> ≥ 1</td>
<td>the company will <em>never</em> be profitable.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hence</td>
<td>g = 1/BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td>is the maximum, profitable rate of growth.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>Since no SaaS company in this universe will throttle back on growth, the only acceptable strategy is to reduce the value of BE<sub>0</sub> such that g x BE<sub>0</sub> is significantly less than 1, otherwise it may be a looooooong time to profit, perhaps well after the company stops growing altogether (gasp!).</p>
<p>This creates pressure to reduce total cost of service by lowering the average customer acquisition cost, CAC, and lowering the recurring cost of service, ACS. <span style="color: #ff0000;"><strong>Since growth is the culprit, the surest and most effective defense is to fight fire with fire by reducing total cost of service through automation that provides cost-lowering economies-of-scale.</strong></span> (The one other viable solution, increasing ARR without increasing CAC or ACS will be the topic of the next post in the series entitled <em>SaaS Revenue &#8211; The Beauty of Upselling and Upgrades</em>) This latest SaaS metric rule-of-thumb is visually depicted in the chart below.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-profitability-growth.png" alt="saas profitability growth" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>New customer acquisition costs are paid with the recurring contribution of current customers.<br />If a SaaS company grows rapidly, growing acquisition costs can outpace<br />the build-up of recurring contribution, such that profitability is impossible.</em></p>
<p>As outlined in the previous post on SaaS profitability, time to profit occurs when<span id="more-1939"></span> the rate of profit is zero:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">[ ARR - ACS ] C(t<sub>profit</sub>)  &#8211; CAC ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>) = 0</p>
<p>Or, when recurring contribution, [ ARR - ACS ] x C, equals new customer acquisition costs CAC x ΔC<sub>new</sub>. The blue line in the chart above shows the recurring contribution for a SaaS company with a customer acquisition growth rate of 20%, zero churn, and a recurring contribution per customer of $1000 &#8211; $500 = $500 per year.  The three red lines represent CAC values of $1250, $2000 and $2,750 respectively.  In these three scenarios, the baseline break-even values are 2.5 years, 4 years and 5.5 years, giving values for g x BE<sub>0</sub> of .5, .8 and 1.1 respectively.  We can see that in each case the actual time to profit values of 3.5 years, 8 years and never significantly exceed the respective baseline break-even values.  And, in the case of g x BE<sub>0</sub> = 1.1 profitability is unattainable.  If we add a churn rate of 25% to the mix, such that our growth is drowned out by churn, then we end up paying a hefty bill on both ends of the customer lifecycle, and profitability becomes even more difficult to attain as depicted in the chart below.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-profitability-growth-churn.png" alt="saas profitability growth with churn" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>New customer acquisition costs must be paid for by current customers.<br />While growth drives up total acquisition cost,<br />churn erodes the revenue base available to cover it,<br />pushing time to profit out even further.</em></p>
<p>Perhaps not so surprisingly, given the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">mirror image relationship between viral growth and churn</a> explored in the second post in this series, the impact of churn on profitability mirrors that of growth.</p>
<table style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: auto; margin-bottom: 15px; text-align: center;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">Higher</td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">a x BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 250px;">means longer time to profit.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>When</td>
<td>a x BE<sub>0</sub> ≥ 1</td>
<td>the company will <em>never</em> be profitable.</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Hence</td>
<td>a = 1/BE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td>is the maximum, profitable rate of churn.</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>In the example depicted in the chart above, churn has pushed our growth delayed times to profit of 3.5 years, 8 years and never, out to 5.8 years, never and of course still never, respectively.  Leading to the mirror image SaaS metrics rule-of-thumb for churn.</p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-7">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7<br />Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</h3>
<p>New customer acquisition costs must be paid for by current customers. While growth drives up total acquisition cost, churn erodes the revenue base available to cover it, pushing time to profit out even further.  Therefore, churn generates the same pressure to reduce total cost of service as does growth</p>
<p>The harsh judgment of this unbiased, objective SaaS metric math seems pretty clear all around.   If you want your SaaS company to ever be profitable, then <em><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/" target="_blank">lower your total cost of service already!</a></em> These new SaaS metric rules-of-thumb provide the basis of the original claim at the beginning of this post.  Only fool-hearty SaaS companies believe that they can grow their way to profitability, it is the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-failures-the-recurring-revenue-mirage/" target="_blank">recurring revenue mirage</a> that can never be reached, because profitability will only be achieved as growth slows or stops entirely.  The combination of growth and profitability requires an extreme discipline of lowering total cost of service through economies-of-scale.</p>
<p>If you are now as bummed as I was when I first fully digested this dilemma, then do not fear!  It is always darkest before the dawn.  Earlier, we set aside one other viable strategy for accelerating profitability:  upselling, or rather increasing recurring revenue <em>without</em> increasing customer acquisition cost or average recurring cost of service. The next post in this series entitled <em>SaaS Recurring Revenue &#8211; The Beauty of the Upsell</em> will explore the importance of upselling and upgrades as an essential SaaS strategy to accelerate profitability.</p>
<div class="note" id="note">
<p><strong>SaaS Metrics Math Notes</strong><br />
The profitability constraints placed on growth and churn by the value of baseline average customer break-even, BE<sub>0</sub>, presented above are derived using the previously described <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/#note" target="_blank">continuous SaaS metrics model</a>:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C&#8217;(t) = b &#8211; aC(t) + gC(t)</p>
<p>With the solution&#8230;</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C(t) = [ b⁄(g-a) ] x ( e<sup>(g-a)t</sup> &#8211; 1 )</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t) = b + gC(t)</p>
<p>Time to profit is then calculated by substituting these into the zero profit equation:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">[ ARR - ACS ] C(t<sub>profit</sub>)  &#8211; CAC ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>) = 0</p>
<p>Giving the following formula for time to profit:</p>
<table style="margin: auto; vertical-align: center; horizontal-align: center; text-align: center; border-spacing: 0px;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td rowspan="3">t<sub>profit</sub></td>
<td style="padding-right: 30px; padding-left: 30px;" rowspan="3">=</td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid 1px black; padding-right: 10px;" rowspan="2">log [</td>
<td style="padding: 5px;">1 - aBE<sub>0</sub></td>
<td style="border-bottom: solid 1px black; padding-left: 10px;" rowspan="2">]</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="border-top: solid 1px black; border-bottom: solid 1px black; padding: 5px;">1 &#8211; gBE<sub>0</sub></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td colspan="2">g &#8211; a</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The mathematically inclined can verify that this result satisfies all the principles established in SaaS metrics rules-of-thumb 4 through 7.   t<sub>profit</sub> increases with both growth and churn commensurate with increasing values of  gBE<sub>0</sub> and aBE<sub>0</sub>.   When gBE<sub>0</sub> ≥ 1 or gBE<sub>0</sub> ≥ 1 no solution exists, diverging to an infinite time to profit as either of these values approaches 1.  t<sub>profit</sub> ≥ BE<sub>0</sub> always and reduces to t<sub>profit</sub> = BE<sub>0</sub> in the limit where a = g = 0.</p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Viral Growth vs Followers &#8211; Is Seth Godin Reading My Blog?</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/is-seth-godin-reading-my-blog-viral-growth-vs-followers-2/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/is-seth-godin-reading-my-blog-viral-growth-vs-followers-2/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Feb 2010 20:28:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Web 2.0 Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[seth godin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[viral growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[viral marketing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=2535</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Well, I can&#8217;t be sure beyond a reasonable doubt, so you be the judge.  On Feb 2, I published this post entitled Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn, which makes the simple case that the best way to fight churn (exponential decay) is with virality (exponential growth).  About two weeks later on Feb 15, [...]]]></description>
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<p>Well, I can&#8217;t be sure beyond a reasonable doubt, so you be the judge.  On Feb 2, I published this post entitled <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="blank">Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a>, which makes the simple case that the best way to fight churn (exponential decay) is with virality (exponential growth).  About two weeks later on Feb 15, Seth Godin published this strikingly similar post on viral growth entitled <a href="http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2010/02/viral-growth-trumps-lots-of-faux-followers.html" target="_blank">Viral Growth Trumps Lots of Faux Followers</a>, which makes the simple case that the best way to fight faux followers (exponential decay) is with a viral idea (exponential growth).</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2010/02/viral-growth-trumps-lots-of-faux-followers.html" target="_blank" rel="no follow"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/seth-godin-viral-growth-blog-post.png" alt="seth godin viral growth blog post" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Hmmmm&#8230;great minds must really think alike!</em></p>
<p>First I should say, I love Seth Godin&#8217;s stuff.  I&#8217;ve snagged way more of Seth&#8217;s stuff than vice versa, for example <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Craft-a-Compelling-Story.php#read" target="_blank">SaaS Do #4 Craft a Compelling Story</a> is completely Seth Godin&#8217;s and is the main topic of his book <em>All Marketers Are Liars</em> (and, is listed in the Chaotic Flow Worthy Reads blogroll).  Believe it or not, my wife <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/about-me/" target="_blank">Christy</a> is currently reading Seth Godin&#8217;s latest book <em>Linchpin</em> as I write this (and highly recommends it).  But, IF Seth Godin really is reading Chaotic Flow, I think at the very least a pingback or comment is in order.  C&#8217;mon Seth, share the love.</p>
<p>As an avid admirer of all things ironic and self referential (like&#8230;uh&#8230;viral growth), I couldn&#8217;t pass on the opportunity to examine this particular case study in light of itself.  So, I am proposing a second order derivative viral growth vs. big followers principal of Seth Godin&#8217;s first order derivative viral growth vs. faux followers principle of the original viral growth vs. churn  principle.</p>
<h3>Highly Connected Followers Trump Viral Growth</h3>
<p>Seth&#8217;s principle that Viral Growth Trumps Faux Followers claims that it is better to spread a good idea to a small group and rely on the strength of the idea to move it along through viral growth than it is to spread a mediocre idea to a big group of faux followers by brute force, because their interest will soon wane and your idea will eventually die out.   I&#8217;ve recast Seth&#8217;s depiction of this principle in the chart below.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://sethgodin.typepad.com/seths_blog/2010/02/viral-growth-trumps-lots-of-faux-followers.html" target="_blank" rel="no follow"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/viral-growth-trumps-faux-followers.png" alt="seth godin viral growth" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Seth&#8217;s viral growth vs. faux followers chart shows how many people are talking about your idea at any given time. This version, which is more in line with the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="blank">original viral growth vs. SaaS churn post</a> shows the total number of people who have heard of your idea.</em></p>
<p>There is an underlying assumption in Seth Godin&#8217;s viral growth model that when removed is the source of this new principle.  Seth assumes <span id="more-2535"></span>that all your followers are created equal, such the viral growth rate at which the idea spreads is constant.  That is, I tell two friends, then they tell two friends, and so on.  But, what happens when just one of your followers is an outlier that taps into another huge group of followers. Say, like&#8230;uh&#8230;Seth Godin.  Or, Oprah.  Let&#8217;s call this the Oprah Chain Reaction, as a recurring case of the <a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/29961298/" target="_blank" rel="no follow">Oprah Effect</a>.  Here I tell two friends, but one of them happens to be Oprah Winfrey.  And, one of her friends happens to be Seth Godin, and so on.  This principle is shown in the chart below.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/connectors-trump-viral-growth.png" alt="seth godin viral growth 2" /></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Even if your idea is kinda stupid, influential followers may pass it along wider and faster <br />than a good idea that is waiting around for the hockey stick takeoff of viral growth.</em></p>
<p>In all fairness, I should note that this &#8220;new&#8221; viral growth vs. BIG followers idea is itself highly derivative.  This Oprah Chain Reaction is really just a new name for a very old idea.  It&#8217;s not what you know; its who you know.  Or, recast for the fast paced world of social media&#8230;</p>
<p style="text-align:center; color:#FF0000; font-size:1.2em;"><strong>It&#8217;s not what you tweet; it&#8217;s who&#8217;s following you!</strong></p>
<p>For example, the original principle of viral growth trumping churn is an OK idea, but realistically the math is over 200 years old, and it isn&#8217;t like viral growth is going to improve your sex life or cure baldness<em> (in which case Seth Godin and I would both be all over it!</em>).  Unfortunately, Chaotic Flow&#8217;s number of followers is much closer to 1,000 than 100,000, so viral growth appears to be the only option to widely spread an idea, even if it is just OK.  Wait a minute!  Seth Godin on the other hand is a VERY connected guy with lots of followers.  So, let&#8217;s take a look at what happened when this just OK idea made it into his network of followers.  Whereas the original viral growth vs. churn post has a measly 19 retweets at current count, Seth&#8217;s viral growth vs. faux followers post has a whopping 1,392 retweets (and climbing)!  As another measure, let&#8217;s take a look at the results for the Google searches on <em>viral growth</em> and <em>viral growth trumps</em>.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/seth-godin-viral-growth-google.png" alt="seth godin viral growth 3" /></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Because Seth&#8217;s Blog has so many more backlinks than Chaotic Flow<br />he has more Google juice to spread the word with or without viral growth.<br />Hence, his post goes straight to the top of search results for viral growth.</em></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/seth-godin-viral-growth-trumps.png" alt="seth godin viral growth 4" /></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>Seth Godin&#8217;s followers retweet his posts to Google ubiquity.<br />So, search results for viral growth trumps are swamped with syndicated retweets and refeeds.<br />It is so cool that Google cut that deal with Twitter!<br />Chaotic Flow readers&#8230;GET WITH THE PROGRAM<br />and retweet those posts!</em></p>
<div class="note">
<p><strong>PS</strong><br />
This is all in FUN with the primary intent being to get a giggle or two (especially from Seth Godin).  Chaotic Flow is written to be read, used and reused in any way my much appreciated readers see fit.  My only goal is to help Internet executives build better companies.  The more cool Internet marketing ideas I help push along the better, original or otherwise.    So Seth, and all you Internet marketing pundits out there, keep doing what your doing, but you gotta ask yourself this:  <a href="http://www.foodnetwork.com/throwdown-with-bobby-flay/index.html" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Are you ready for a throwdown</a>?<br />
Cheers,<br />
JY</p>
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		<title>SaaS Profitability &#8211; SaaS Company is as SaaS Customer Does</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Feb 2010 02:05:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas acquistion cost]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financial]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas lose money]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas metric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas profitability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas recurring revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-costs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1811</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Profitability, one would think, should come quite naturally to a successful, growing SaaS company.  But, SaaS startups have consistently struggled to reach profitability.  Unprofitable SaaS companies have gone public and remained unprofitable for years after their IPOs, even as they grow revenues into the hundreds of millions of dollars.  SaaS companies have eschewed economic convention, [...]]]></description>
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<p>Profitability, one would think, should come quite naturally to a successful, growing SaaS company.  But, SaaS startups have consistently struggled to reach profitability.  Unprofitable SaaS companies have gone public and remained unprofitable for years after their IPOs, even as they grow revenues into the hundreds of millions of dollars.  SaaS companies have eschewed economic convention, with management and investors alike calmly shrugging off the passe&#8217; advice of their obsolete microeconomics professors who cry out in vain from their blackboards that <em>&#8220;the role of the firm is to maximize profit.&#8221;</em>  Many authors have tried to make sense of this morass, two of the more interesting attempts are Bob Warfield&#8217;s post entitled <em><a href="http://smoothspan.wordpress.com/2009/05/19/why-do-saas-companies-lose-money-hand-over-fist/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">Why do SaaS Companies Lose Money Hand Over Fist</a></em>, and this really cool analysis by Christian Chabot of tech IPOs comparing software <a href="http://www.ipo-dashboards.com/wordpress/2009/09/does-profitability-matter-for-ipos/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">companies that were profitable to those that were not profitable at the time of their IPO</a>.  And, I&#8217;ve certainly made no secret of my own opinion in posts like this one entitled <em><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-failures-the-recurring-revenue-mirage/" target="_blank">SaaS Failures &#8211; The Recurring Revenue Mirage</a></em>.</p>
<p>This is the third post in a series on SaaS metrics that will unravel the mystery of  SaaS profitability (and the lack thereof) from a different angle, a little mathematics.  <span style="color:#FF0000"><strong>Once and for all we&#8217;ll solve the puzzle of why seemingly successful SaaS companies lose money.</strong></span> So, even if you&#8217;re not a math junkie like me, please be patient and plough your way through the technical mumbo jumbo.  I&#8217;ll guarantee some of these results will surprise you!</p>
<p>SaaS profitability is such an important topic that I&#8217;m breaking it up into three separate posts (this being the first) that will build on each other by examining three increasingly complex scenarios: 1) <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/" target="_blank">stable growth with churn</a>, 2) <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">viral growth</a>, and 3) growth through upselling and upgrades.  Along the way, I&#8217;ll also introduce a number of new SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb that highlight the impact of customer acquisition costs and recurring cost of service on long term SaaS profitability. <br />So, let&#8217;s get going&#8230;</p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-4">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4<br />Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</h3>
<p>This subtle, strikingly simple rule will reverberate through all that comes to follow on SaaS profitability.  And, it provides a simple sanity check for predicting when, if ever, your SaaS business will reach profitability.  The gist of the rule is that your SaaS recurring revenue over time is nothing more than the sum of its parts.  Therefore, the sooner you break even on a single customer, the sooner you will reach profitability as a company.</p>
<p>The chart below visually shows this principle for a SaaS company with a constant rate of <a rel="nofollow" href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/" target="_blank">customer acquisition eroded by churn</a> which was closely examined in the first post in this SaaS metrics series.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-breakeven-churn.png" alt="saas break-even" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>The accumulated recurring contribution of a SaaS company at any time</em><br /><em>mirrors the lifetime accumulation of the typical SaaS customer</em><br />
<em>directly linking company time to profit with customer break-even time.</em></p>
<p>The average <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Break-even" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">break-even point</a> for an individual customer without churn, &#8220;BE<sub>0</sub>&#8221; is given by the following formula:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">BE<sub>0</sub> = CAC ÷ [ ARR - ACS ]</p>
<p>Where &#8220;CAC&#8221; is the average acquisition cost per customer,  &#8220;ARR&#8221; is the average recurring revenue per customer, &#8220;ACS&#8221; is the average recurring cost of service per customer, and the 0 attached to  the BE is intended to indicate the absence of churn, i.e., the baseline break-even.</p>
<p>Now let&#8217;s compare this simple individual customer SaaS metric with the more complex SaaS metric of company time to profit.<span id="more-1811"></span>  At any given time, the rate at which a SaaS company generates profit is given by the following formula:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">Profit = P(t) =  [ ARR - ACS ] C (t) &#8211; CAC ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t)</p>
<p>Where C is the number of customers and ΔC<sub>new</sub> is the new customer acquisition rate. Time to profit occurs when this expression changes from a negative loss to a positive profit, or when profit is equal to zero.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">P(t<sub>profit</sub>) = [ ARR - ACS ] C(t<sub>profit</sub>)  &#8211; CAC ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>) = 0</p>
<p>If we consider the simplest case scenario of a constant new customer acquisition rate with no churn, &#8220;b&#8221;,  then after time t, we will have b x t total customers, giving the following equation for time to profit:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">P(t<sub>profit</sub>) = [ ARR - ACS ] x bt<sub>profit</sub>  &#8211; CAC x b = 0</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">t<sub>profit</sub> = CAC ÷ [ ARR - ACS ] = BE<sub>0</sub></p>
<p>In this simplest of cases, time to profit not only follows break-even, it <em>equals</em> break-even.  This relationship between company time to profit and break-even time for the single average customer is a completely general principle for SaaS (or any recurring revenue subscription business).  Unfortunately, the simple case scenario above is also the best case scenario as spelled out in the next SaaS metrics rule-of-thumb.</p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-5">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5<br />Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</h3>
<p><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a> states that if you want to break free of the churn limit, then you must increase new customer acquisition to compensate.   Unfortunately, this mandate places you neatly between a rock and a hard place with respect to profitability.  On the one hand, your customer acquisition costs increase each year, while on the other hand churn is eating away at your ability to break-even on every new customer you bring the door.  The net result is that <em>both churn and growth push SaaS profitability out beyond the single customer break-even point in direct relation to their intensity.</em>  The higher your churn, the longer it takes to reach profitability.  The higher your growth rate, the longer it takes to reach profitability.  And, if either your percentage churn rate or growth rate are too high given your customer acquisition cost and recurring contribution, your SaaS business will <em>never reach profitability</em>. The chart below shows this general principle for the simple case of a constant new acquisition rate subject to churn.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-profitability.png" alt="saas profitability" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>For a growing SaaS company subject to churn,<br />
the best case time to profit is the average break-even time for a single customer.<br />
If churn is too high, profitability becomes impossible to achieve.</em></p>
<p>In the next installment in this series entitled <em>Growing Up Poor &#8211; How Foolish SaaS Companies Lose Money</em>, I plan to zero in on the root causes that lead seemingly successful SaaS companies to lose money.  And, then move on to the solutions to this obstinate problem.  Some of the concepts presented in this post as well as earlier SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb were developed in previous installments in this SaaS Metrics series:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics – Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics – SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Growth</a></li>
</ul>
<div class="note" id="note">
<p><strong>SaaS Metrics Math Notes</strong><br />
SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 – Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even can be shown using a little math trick.  After I show it, I&#8217;ll try to explain in plain English to provide a little more insight into its cause (hint: if you don&#8217;t like the math, skip to the end).  Taking the formula above for time to profit:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">P(t<sub>profit</sub>) = [ ARR - ACS ] C(t<sub>profit</sub>)  &#8211; CAC ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>) = 0</p>
<p>and rewriting it in terms of the baseline break-even time, BE<sub>0</sub> = CAC ÷ [ ARR - ACS ], gives the following:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C(t<sub>profit</sub>) = BE<sub>0</sub> x  ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>)</p>
<p>Because we are following <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 – New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a>, the new customer acquisition rate, ΔC<sub>new</sub>, is always increasing.  Since C is just the sum of all the customers acquired at the lower acquisition rates from earlier times, then had we acquired customers at the current acquisition rate the whole time, we would clearly have acquired more customers.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">t x  ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t) &#8805; C(t)</p>
<p>Substituting this little trick formula into the above gives the following:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">t<sub>profit</sub> x  ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>) &#8805; C(t<sub>profit</sub>) = BE<sub>0</sub> x  ΔC<sub>new</sub>(t<sub>profit</sub>)</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">t<sub>profit</sub> &#8805; BE<sub>0</sub></p>
<p>What does it mean?  In a subscription business, you reach profitability when the contribution from current customers covers the acquisition cost of new customers.  This is the essence of SaaS Metric Rule #4 – Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even.  In the base case, everything is constant and customer break-even = company time to profit.  But, if you lose customers to churn on the revenue side, while you acquire new customers at a faster rate each year on the cost side, then it takes more current customers to cover your new customers, so the faster you grow, the longer it takes to stack up enough customers to cover your new ones.  If you grow too fast, you can never catch up, and you&#8217;ll never be profitable&#8230;unless you stop growing!  Or, you take action to reduce costs.  This is the topic of the next installment in the series: <em>Growing Up Poor &#8211; How Foolish SaaS Companies Lose Money.</em></p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>SaaS Metrics &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 02 Feb 2010 16:42:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer-acquisition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financial model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financials]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas metric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas viral]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[viral growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[virality]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1734</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Everybody wants their Internet startup to go viral.  But, just what does going viral mean?  In his book, The Tipping Point, Malcolm Gladwell spells out the mechanics of how ideas spread virally by modeling the roles of key individuals that he calls connectors, mavens and salesmen (highly recommended on the Chaotic Flow blogroll [...]]]></description>
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<p>Everybody wants their Internet startup to go viral.  But, just what does going viral mean?  In his book, <em><a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.amazon.com/Tipping-Point-Little-Things-Difference/dp/0316346624/" target="_blank">The Tipping Point</a></em>, Malcolm Gladwell spells out the mechanics of how ideas spread virally by modeling the roles of key individuals that he calls <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Tipping_Point#The_three_rules_of_epidemics" target="_blank">connectors, mavens and salesmen</a> (highly recommended on the Chaotic Flow blogroll Worthy Reads).  When it comes to the Internet, Josh Kopelman eruditely points out that <a rel="nofollow" href="http://redeye.firstround.com/2009/11/lets-just-add-in-a-little-virality.html" target="_blank">you can’t go viral by bolting it on as a last minute marketing program</a>.  You must apply <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Build-the-Business-into-the-Product.php#read" target="_blank">SaaS Top Ten Do #5</a> and build viral growth into the product.</p>
<p>The aspiration of this post is not to add to the complexity of these theories of viral growth, but to uncover the simplicity of viral growth through a little mathematics.  This is the second post in a series on SaaS metrics that explores the impact of viral growth in SaaS using a simple heuristic model with the goal of extending the list of SaaS Metrics Rules of Thumb started in the first post in the series regarding <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/" target="_blank">SaaS churn</a>.</p>
<p>The mechanics of viral growth vary greatly by product, customer, market, and even culture.  But, the mathematics pretty much boil down to the singular idea expressed so well in the kitschy <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcskckuosxQ" target="_blank">Faberge shampoo commercial</a> from the 70’s and 80’s.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Viral growth is customer growth that is proportionate to the number of customers.</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C<sub>n + 1</sub> = ( 1 + g ) x C<sub>n</sub></p>
<p>All the connectors, mavens, salesmen and friends are rolled into the little “g” (for growth rate) in the formula above,  which states that the number of customers in the time period n + 1 is equal to the number of customers in the time period n, plus a multiple of those same customers.  You can think of g as the percentage of friends who actually told two friends who actually then went out and bought some shampoo divided by the amount of time it took them all to complete this circuit.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-viral-growth.png" alt="saas viral growth" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Like churn, viral growth scales with the number of customers.<br />
When the viral growth rate exceeds the churn rate,<br />
growth explodes through the churn limit.</em></p>
<p>If you read the previous <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/" target="_blank">SaaS metrics post on SaaS churn</a>, you might recognize this formula, because it is identical to the churn formula only the negative churn rate -a has been replaced with the positive viral growth rate g.  Thankfully, we can skip over the algebra this time and jump to the solution, simply by replacing -a with (g-a).  This quick slight-of-hand gives us the formula for the number of customers in the time period n, C<sub>n</sub>, that incorporates viral growth as well as churn.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C<sub>n</sub> = b⁄(g-a)   x  ( ( 1 + g -a )<sup>n</sup> -1)</p>
<p>In this formula, ”b” is the baseline constant customer acquisition rate prior to either viral growth or SaaS churn kicking in.  The mirror-like relationship between viral growth and SaaS churn in the formula above leads us to our next SaaS metrics rule of thumb.</p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-3">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 – Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</h3>
<p>The previous <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2</a> claimed that in order to break through the churn limit, new customer acquisition growth must outpace churn. Because churn increases in direct proportion to the number of customers, the surest approach is to drive growth at a higher rate that also increases in proportion to the number of customers, i.e., viraly.  Moreover, investors generally expect companies to increase revenue on a percentage basis year over year.  Holding products and prices constant, this again requires viral growth of your customer base.  Viral growth can come from many sources, but I like to classify it into the following three distinct stages.</p>
<h3 id="viral-growth-1">Stage 1 Viral Growth &#8211; Brute Force Sales and Marketing  (small g)</h3>
<p>In any given industry, most companies will spend a rather fixed percentage of revenue on sales and marketing, regardless of the size of the company.  When the effectiveness of these efforts scales <span id="more-1734"></span>in proportion to the level of spending (which is clearly not always the case), they will drive growth at a rate proportionate to revenue.  In a SaaS business, this will also be proportionate to the number of customers.  Hence, it is possible to drive growth in proportion to the number of customers simply through nuts and bolts sales and marketing.  This stage is arguably not viral growth in the usual marketing sense of the words, but it does meet the strict mathematical definition where customer growth is proportionate to the number of customers.  This in fact is the beautiful irony of the Faberge shampoo ad, which was a very effective nuts and bolts marketing campaign, but was probably less successful at getting even one friend to tell one friend about the product, let alone two.</p>
<h3 id="viral-growth-2">Stage 2 Viral Growth &#8211; Customer Advocacy (modest g)</h3>
<p>When you are successful at driving word-of-mouth and getting your customers to recommend purchasing your product to new prospects you reach stage 2, the most commonly understood variation of viral growth made famous by the Faberge ad.  SaaS customers hold great potential to be advocates, because they confirm their commitment day after day as they continue to use your product and month after month after month as they send in their renewal payments.  Driving viral growth through active customer engagement that turns customers into advocates and advocates into evangelists should be high on the agenda of every SaaS marketing plan.</p>
<h3 id="viral-growth-3">Stage 3 Viral Growth &#8211; Ecosystem Buzz  (BIG g)</h3>
<p>The ecosystem for your product extends beyond your customer base to include all potentially interested parties such as press, analysts, bloggers, social media hounds, partners, vendors, investors, employees, and perhaps even the general public. Most SaaS compaines engage in public relations, tracking down and pitching Mr. Gladwell&#8217;s mavens and connectors in the hopes that they will pass the word on to their respective audiences and networks.  But, true and lasting stage 3 ecosystem buzz is invariably built upon strong stage 2 customer advocacy.  Twitter is a great curent example.  If it weren&#8217;t for the dedicated and comparatively small group of Silicon Valley Web 2.0 junkies that were the early adopters of Twitter, you would not be able to follow CNN tweets today.</p>
<p>As previously mentioned, this is the second post in this series on SaaS metrics.  In the next post, I&#8217;ll start adding revenue and costs to the model to explore the impact of viral growth and SaaS churn on <em>SaaS profitability</em> over time.</p>
<div class="note" id="note">
<p><strong>SaaS Metric Math Notes</strong><br />
The discrete model presented above can also be treated as a continuous model represented by the linear first order differential equation: C&#8217;(t) = b &#8211; a C(t) + gC(t) with the solution: C(t) = b⁄(g-a) ( e<sup>(g-a)t</sup> &#8211; 1 ). The graph above is plotted using this continuous solution.  In the discrete model, the factors for viral growth and SaaS churn represent change over a specified constant period of time, e.g., a month or year, whereas in the continuous approach they represent <em>instantaneous change.</em></p>
<p>For a rapidly growing SaaS business, where year over year growth hides the change from quarter to quarter or even month to month, the continuous model is better suited for estimating actual SaaS metrics.  From a practical point of view, you just have to be careful not to put overly averaged growth or churn percentages into the formulas, e.g., for the SaaS churn limit b/a. The distinction really only matters for rates of 30% or more, in which case the continuous rate is given by the formula of g<sub>cont</sub> = -log(1+g<sub>avg</sub>).</p>
<p>Going forward, I&#8217;ll be dropping the discrete model entirely and will present only graphical solutions to the continuous model, because the continuous metric model is easier to manage and produces more elegant solutions.  But, I will not be presenting the calculus required, so as not to put my loyal readers to sleep.  Happy to share it with anyone who asks for it by email.</p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<item>
		<title>SaaS Metrics &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Growth</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2010 20:09:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[customer-acquisition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas attrition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas churn]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financial model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas financials]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas metric]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1560</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
This is the first post in a series on SaaS metrics where I plan to develop a variety of SaaS financial metric models using simple mathematical heuristics. In the process, I hope to highlight important relationships between key SaaS metrics and develop a short list of valuable SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb.
SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS [...]]]></description>
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<p>This is the first post in a series on SaaS metrics where I plan to develop a variety of SaaS financial metric models using simple mathematical heuristics. In the process, I hope to highlight important relationships between key SaaS metrics and develop a short list of valuable SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb.</p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-1">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</h3>
<p>Consider a SaaS company that acquires new customers at the <em>constant</em> rate of &#8220;b&#8221; (for bookings), and has a percentage churn rate of &#8220;a&#8221; (for attrition). The number of customers after n periods of time &#8220;C<sub>n</sub>&#8221; is given by the following formula:</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C<sub>n+1</sub> = b + ( 1 &#8211; a ) x C<sub>n</sub></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C<sub>n</sub> =  b + b (1-a) + b (1-a)<sup>2</sup> + b (1-a)<sup>3</sup> &#8230; + b(1-a)<sup>n-2</sup> + b(1-a)<sup>n-1</sup></p>
<p style="text-align: center;">C<sub>n</sub> = b⁄a   x  ( 1 &#8211; ( 1 -a )<sup>n</sup> )</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">This formula can be approximated at the two extremes of early growth and maturity.</p>
<table style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; margin-top: auto; margin-bottom: 15px; text-align: center;">
<tbody>
<tr>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">Early Growth</td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">C<sub>n</sub> = b x n</td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 175px;">acquisition rate x time</td>
<td style="padding: 2px; width: 100px;">(n x a &lt;&lt; 1)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Maturity Limit</td>
<td>C<sub>limit</sub> = b ÷ a</td>
<td>acquisition rate ÷ % churn rate</td>
<td>(n x a &gt;&gt; 1)</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>These two boundaries are shown in the chart below along with the blue curve representing total customers over time.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-churn.png" alt="saas churn" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>As a SaaS company grows, absolute churn increases with the total number of existing customers and will limit growth if new customers are not added at a faster and faster rate.</em></p>
<p>In the early days, churn is small and the customer base grows unimpeded at the customer acquisition rate.  As the customer base grows, the absolute value of churn increases and soon overwhelms new customer acquistion.  When the customer acquisition rate, b, equals churn, a x C, then the number of customers coming in the door is exactly equal to the number leaving.  At this point further growth is impossible, limiting the total customer base size to the new customer acquisition rate divided by the percentage churn rate.  This limit might be more than satisfying if you run a bootstrapped, private SaaS business as your primary means of personal income.  But, it is unlikely to satisfy investors if you are a VC-backed SaaS startup, bringing us to&#8230;</p>
<p><span id="more-1560"></span></p>
<h3 id="saas-metric-2">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</h3>
<p>The bad news is that if you want to grow your SaaS company without limits, you can&#8217;t just sit back and book a hundred new customers per year and expect recurring revenue to accumulate, because sooner or later churn catches up with you.   You must not only acquire new customers, but <em>you must acquire them at an increasing rate</em> that outpaces your increasing churn. The good news is that the lower your percentage churn rate, the longer you have to figure it out, because your growth won&#8217;t slow unless your new customer acquisition rate remains constant for a time equal to  one divided by the percentage churn rate.  But, who wants to acquire customers at a flat rate anyway?</p>
<p>In the next post in  this SaaS Metrics series, I&#8217;ll explore how <em>viral growth</em> is the surest path (albeit not the only path) to achieve the goal of SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 above and break the chains of SaaS churn.</p>
<div class="note" id="note">
<p><strong>SaaS Metrics Math Notes</strong><br />
This relationship between SaaS churn and SaaS growth can also be derived (somewhat more cleanly) using a continuous model as a function of time, &#8220;t&#8221;, rather than a discrete model as a function of the number of periods, n.  For those that remember their college calculus, the model is represented by the linear first order differential equation: C&#8217;(t) = b &#8211; a C(t) with the solution:  C(t) = b⁄a ( 1 &#8211; e<sup>-at</sup> ). The graph above is plotted using this continuous solution.  It is also worth mentioning that this SaaS financial metrics model and the future metrics models that will be presented apply not only to SaaS, but to any subscription-based business.</p>
</div>
<h3>Check out the rest of the SaaS Metrics Rules-of-Thumb</h3>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-1" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #1 &#8211; SaaS Churn Kills SaaS Company Growth</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-saas-churn-kills-saas-growth/#saas-metric-2" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #2 &#8211; New Customer Acquisition Growth Must Outpace Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-viral-growth-trumps-saas-churn/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #3 &#8211; Viral Growth Trumps SaaS Churn</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-4" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #4 &#8211; Company Time to Profit Follows Customer Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-profitability-saas-company-is-as-saas-customer-does/#saas-metric-5" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #5 &#8211; Best Case Time to Profit is Simple Break-Even</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-6" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #6 &#8211; Growth Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/growing-up-poor-how-foolish-saas-companies-lose-money/#saas-metric-7" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #7 &#8211; Churn Creates Pressure to Reduce Total Cost of Service</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-revenue-the-beauty-of-upselling-and-upgrades/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #8 &#8211; Upselling and Upgrades Accelerate SaaS Profitability</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-metrics-joels-magic-number-for-saas-companies/" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #9 &#8211; Joel&#8217;s SaaS Magic Number</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-customer-lifetime-value-cltv-drives-saas-company-value" target="_blank">SaaS Metrics Rule-of-Thumb #10 &#8211; SaaS Customer Lifetime Value Drives SaaS Company Value</a></li>
</ul>
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		<item>
		<title>Cloud Computing vs. SaaS &#8211; Mass Customization in the Cloud</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/cloud-computing-vs-saas-mass-customization-in-the-cloud/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/cloud-computing-vs-saas-mass-customization-in-the-cloud/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 16:14:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cloud Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mass customization]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[web service]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[web-services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[xignite]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1508</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
SaaS Do #8 Enable Mass Customization is a core principle for building SaaS applications.  Salesforce.com, for example, has taken it to new heights with offerings such as the Force.com platform.  However, do SaaS-based development platforms such as Force.com represent a fundamental shift in application development, or are they simply the SaaS equivalent of [...]]]></description>
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<p><a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Enable-Mass-Customization.php#read" target="_blank">SaaS Do #8 Enable Mass Customization </a>is a core principle for building SaaS applications.  Salesforce.com, for example, has taken it to new heights with offerings such as the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.salesforce.com/platform/" target="_blank">Force.com platform</a>.  However, do SaaS-based development platforms such as Force.com represent a fundamental shift in application development, or are they simply the SaaS equivalent of Microsoft Visual Basic for Access?  How do they stack up against cloud computing platforms like <a rel="nofollow" href="http://aws.amazon.com/" target="_blank">Amazon Web services</a>?    This post examines the potential for competitive advantage through mass customization in cloud computing vs. SaaS.</p>
<p><strong>The short answer is this&#8230;</strong><br />
Mass customization in cloud computing is more natural, more flexible, and offers more potential for competitive advantage than in the wildest dreams of SaaS, because cloud computing is built on Web services that are a) inherently abstracted, b) independent components and c) accessible at every layer of the technology stack.</p>
<p><em>Note: In a previous post, I claimed that the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/obscured-by-clouds-meaning-vs-marketing/" target="_blank">salient difference between SaaS and cloud computing</a> is that SaaS has largely been about Internet applications used by people, whereas cloud computing is about Internet application components used by other computers.  More succinctly, Websites vs. <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_service" target="_blank">Web Services</a>.  Although everyone seems to have their own definition of all the cloud buzzwords, I&#8217;m going to be rather specific and equate them as such:  Cloud = Internet, SaaS = Websites for human users, Cloud Computing = Web services for computer users. My intent is not to debate or define the industry terminology, but simply to keep track of what the heck I&#8217;m talking about here at Chaotic Flow.</em></p>
<p><strong>The Role of Meta-data in Mass Customization</strong><br />
Mass customization in SaaS is achieved by converting hard-coded application functions into meta data configuration settings.  For example, multi-tenancy converts hard-coded deployments of multiple customer databases into a single database infrastructure where each customer deployment is identified by a unique customer ID. All the technical miracles that distinguish one customer&#8217;s data from another customer&#8217;s data are abstracted to this single piece of meta-data to enable data-driven functionality like Customer[1].Name = &#8220;Company X&#8221; and &#8220;Customer[2].Name = Company Y&#8221;.  Voila!  Mass customization = meta data abstraction of functional capability.</p>
<p><strong>More Natural &#8211; The Inherent Abstraction of Web Services</strong><br />
Mass customization is more natural to cloud computing vs. SaaS for one simple reason: meta-data abstraction is inherent to Web services, but it is optional for websites.  SaaS applications must be carefully architected to enable mass customization at all, i.e., it is a matter of good SaaS application design discipline to employ a multi-tenant database, configurable security settings, customizable page views, etc. In contrast, every function of a Web service is inherently abstracted to meta-data in the XML inputs and outputs of the API.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.xignite.com/xquotes.asmx" target="_blank"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/stock-quote-web-service.png" alt="stock quote web service" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>The Xignite <a href="http://www.xignite.com/xquotes.asmx" target="_blank">stock quote Web service</a> can return a wide variety of information<br />
such as the current stock price, an intraday stock chart, and financial news<br />
that varies by the stock symbol (meta-data) supplied to it.</em></p>
<p>For example, given a particular stock symbol (meta data), the <a href="http://www.xignite.com/xquotes.asmx" target="_blank">stock quote Web service</a> above can return a wide variety of information about a company such as the current stock price, an intraday stock chart, and financial news. Let&#8217;s say Company X above is a manufacturer that uses this Web service to create a website with detailed, current financial information about the company for potential investors.   <span id="more-1508"></span> Now let&#8217;s say Company Y is a Web publisher that uses this Web service to create a widget that provides in-line stock quotes for companies discussed in its news stories.  Here we have two completely different applications built from  a single Web service.  Imagine trying to architect this degree of mass customization into an end user SaaS application, i.e., a single Web application that can present anything from a detailed company financial profile Web page to a single stock quote widget simply by changing application configuration settings.  Sounds like <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.google.com/ig" target="_blank">iGoogle</a> to me.  Not easy.</p>
<p><strong>More Flexible &#8211; Independent Components vs. Monolithic Applications</strong><br />
The stock quote example above also demonstrates the flexibility of enabling mass customization through independent components over that of a monolithic application.  Changing a single feature from hard-coded to configurable in a SaaS application can require modification and refactoring at every layer of the software stack from the database structure to the user interface, e.g., adding user-defined custom fields.  Moreover, the introduction of  new configuration settings can have a multitude of known and unknown impacts on existing and seemingly unrelated features, e.g., changing an address format from a standard US postal structure to a configurable structure that better supports international clients.  The result is that even the simplest modifications to a SaaS application must be carefully considered and become more difficult the more complex the application.</p>
<p>Web services are relatively independent, <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Loose_coupling" target="_blank">loosely coupled</a> components.  New functions can be added to current Web services, and entirely new Web services introduced with minimal impact on other Web services.  For example, I use <a rel="nofollow" href="http://code.google.com/apis/chart/" target="_blank">Google&#8217;s chart Web service</a> to generate the charts on the <a href="http://saas-model.chaotic-flow.com" target="_blank">SaaS Model Scorecard</a>.  If Google wants to add new chart types to this Web service, it simply creates new values for the &#8220;cht&#8221; parameter and any other relevant options.  However, a SaaS charting application would require changes to the UI to select the new chart type, select the new chart type options, visually edit the new chart type and display examples of the new chart type. Depending on the architecture of the application, this could be a modest change or a monumental change.</p>
<p>Moreover, independence allows customers to assemble solutions from best-of-breed components more easily.  The stock quote web service above supplies the data and charts, but the UI can be constructed using the customer&#8217;s tool of choice, including any SaaS application that supports Web services.  Application integration across functional silos has proven to be a consistent challenge for SaaS companies.   Most have turned to open APIs, i.e., Web services to address this challenge.  The more a SaaS application opens itself through Web services, the more it acquires the flexibility for mass  customization available to native  cloud computing solutions. Pushed to the limit, it can become difficult to tell the website from the Web service.</p>
<p><strong>Wildest Dreams &#8211; Morphing Applications and Infrastructure, not Just Features</strong><br />
Imagine building a SaaS application that could magically morph from CRM to ERP through configuration settings. The complexity of building such an application is staggering, not to mention the subsequent configuration. Again the Force.com platform comes to mind.  Now consider cloud computing.  Let&#8217;s say I store the respective CRM and ERP application executables on <a rel="nofollow" href="http://aws.amazon.com/s3/" target="_blank">Amazon S3</a>.  And, I create a Web service with two calls:  gimme CRM and gimme ERP. When I log in, I select ERP or CRM.  This Web service automatically downloads the specified application and instantiates it on a farm of <a rel="nofollow" href="http://aws.amazon.com/ec2/" target="_blank">Amazon EC2</a> virtual server instances, where it can be accessed from the URL www.elastic_crm_or_erp.com.  This neat trick is possible, because Web services allow mass customization at every layer of the software stack.  In this particular case, the configuration reached down below the application layer itself to the O/S and swapped out the entire application. From the user point of view, I just magically see my website change from ERP to CRM.  This approach is really overkill for this simple example, but it makes clear the ability of cloud computing to handle meta data driven, ad-hoc modification at any layer in the technology stack.  It could just as well be accomplished at a much higher level in the stack using two SaaS applications and a single sign-on&#8230;uh, Web service.</p>
<p><strong>Mass Customization and Competitive Advantage in Cloud Computing</strong><br />
Although cloud computing offers greater potential for mass customization than SaaS, cloud computing does not really compete with SaaS. Amazon AWS and Force.com are unlikely competitiors, because they segment the market into the high-end and low-end of mass customization respectively, and customers will choose one or the other according to their requirements.</p>
<p>Like SaaS, cloud computing competes against on-premise software, offering many of the same benefits such as lower TCO and mass customization.  But unlike SaaS, cloud computing does not compete head-to-head for a final end-user applications.  It competes for components at every layer of the technology stack from storage to user interface.  As a result, the competition centers around architecture as much as outsourcing.  While SaaS adoption is usually driven by functional executives, cloud computing adoption is driven by IT executives.  Adopters of cloud computing must rethink how they build applications, employing interchangeable components that may or may not exist within their own firewall.  In order to overcome this barrier, cloud computing vendors should leverage mass customization to offer their customers orders of magnitude improvements in functional versatility, deployment flexibility and infrastructure elasticity in addition to lower TCO.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; The Truth Shall Set You Free</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-the-truth-shall-set-you-free/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-the-truth-shall-set-you-free/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jan 2010 14:18:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[B2B Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[B2C Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software marketing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=1204</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In SaaS, it's virtually impossible to sell someone a lemon, because SaaS customers typically get to try before they buy, and they can walk at any time simply by canceling their subscription...The best SaaS marketing strategy for building trust is complete and total transparency.]]></description>
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<p>In SaaS, it&#8217;s virtually impossible to sell someone a lemon, because SaaS customers typically get to try before they buy, and they can walk at any time simply by canceling their subscription.  In contrast, traditional enterprise software vendors are notorious for obscure product capabilities and pricing, because up-front purchase creates a short term financial incentive to avoid  disclosing any more information than the minimum necessary to close the deal. The enterprise customer thus enters a long and intricate dance with the enterprise sales rep in order to develop the trust required to overcome the risk of signing that fat license check. When combined with the uncertainty of buying a business critical application over the Web, most SaaS startups quickly find themselves between a rock and a hard place by the need to engender an even higher level of trust than their enterprise competitor, while simultaneously having nowhere to hide their shortcomings.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-marketing-open.png" alt="saas marketing open" /><br />
<em>A SaaS marketing strategy of complete and total business transparency<br />
removes constraints to unleash the volume and deal size of online transactions.</em></p>
<p>So don&#8217;t!  The best SaaS marketing strategy for building trust is complete and total transparency. With the right attitude, this apparent weakness can be deftly turned into a competitive strength that <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-acceleration-7-strategies-to-increase-velocity/" target="_blank">accelerates growth by streamlining SaaS adoption costs and risks</a>.  When you apply the SaaS marketing tactic of public online disclosure of your product capabilities, pricing, terms, service level agreements, support process, performance metrics, platform security, privacy policy, company history, customer satisfaction ratings, etc., you remove constraints to unleash the volume and deal size of online transactions by simplifying the buying process, preempting risk-related objections, and building a reputation of the highest integrity.   Moreover, you ensure high rates of customer satisfaction and success by avoiding the project failures that have historically characterized enterprise software by only signing customers that are a good fit for your service.</p>
<p>Ask yourself how much you spend right now on Google AdWords without ever having spoken to a sales rep. How does this compare to your own average selling price for online transactions?  Now, ask yourself why.  The answer is transparency, from company reputation to cost-per-click.</p>
<p><em><strong>PS</strong>  Trish Bertuzzi from Bridgegroup asked for specific examples, so please <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-the-truth-shall-set-you-free/?show=comments#comments">see the comments</a> if you are interested in the response.  And, feel free to add your own examples of SaaS vendors that are doing a good job at transparency.</em></p>
<p>More posts in the SaaS Marketing Tips Series:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-metrics-that-make-a-difference/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Metrics that Make a Difference</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-dont-be-crud-on-the-cloud/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Don&#8217;t Be CRUD on the Cloud</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-search-is-about-people-not-engines/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Search is About People, Not Engines</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>SaaS Sales Acceleration: 7 Strategies to Increase Velocity</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-acceleration-7-strategies-to-increase-velocity/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-acceleration-7-strategies-to-increase-velocity/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 Dec 2009 17:31:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[B2B Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-adoption]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=999</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Here are seven proven strategies for increasing SaaS sales velocity by reducing the adoption costs and risks...]]></description>
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<p>The growth challenge of most SaaS vendors can be boiled down to the following simple formula:</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>revenue growth = price x volume  = average MRR x new sales velocity</em></p>
<p>Delivering on the promise of low total cost of ownership, the price of SaaS is often an order of magnitude lower than the price of licensed enterprise software. This low price point creates enormous <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/software-on-demand-is-a-commodity-business/" target="_blank">pressure on volume</a>. Reaching profitability may require a new customer every week, every day or even every minute! Increasing sales velocity is the essence of the SaaS business challenge.</p>
<p>At each stage of the buying process, your SaaS prospect will encounter <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101c-saas-adoption-and-switching-costs-the-double-edged-sword-of-data/" target="_blank">adoption costs</a> and risks that reduce your sales velocity. I like to compare this to scaling a cliff where adoption costs are measured by the height of the cliff and adoption risks are measured by the difficulty of the climb.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://www.sandhill.com/opinion/daily_blog.php?id=7&#038;post=580" target="_blank"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-adoption-costs-risks.jpg" alt="saas adoption costs" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><em>How high are the adoption costs and risks that your SaaS prospects must surmount?</em></p>
<p>&#8230;Here are seven proven strategies for increasing SaaS sales velocity by reducing the adoption costs and risks <a href="http://www.sandhill.com/opinion/daily_blog.php?id=7&#038;post=580" target="_blank">more >>></a></p>
<p><em>The preceding is an excerpt from a <a href="http://www.sandhill.com/opinion/daily_blog.php?id=7&#038;post=580" target="_blank">guest blog post by Chaotic Flow at Sandhill.com</a><br />Just click through for the complete post.  Cheers!  JY</em></p>
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		<title>Calling All SaaS-Cloud Blogs</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/calling-all-saas-cloud-blogs/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/calling-all-saas-cloud-blogs/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 Dec 2009 20:18:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-blogs]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=994</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I'm in the process of updating my blogroll, and I'd like to expand the SaaS-Cloud section. If you write a SaaS, Cloud, Startup, Sales or Marketing blog, or have some favorites that you read, besides Chaotic Flow of course, please leave a comment or send me an email.  Looking for active blogs with loyal readers that deliver consistent, well thought out original content, and I'm happy to do a link exchange if your blog meets these criteria.

Cheers,
JY]]></description>
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<p>I&#8217;m in the process of updating my blogroll, and I&#8217;d like to expand the SaaS-Cloud section. If you write a SaaS, Cloud, Startup, Sales or Marketing blog, or have some favorites that you read, besides Chaotic Flow of course, please leave a comment or send me an email.  Looking for active blogs with loyal readers that deliver consistent, well thought out original content, and I&#8217;m happy to do a link exchange if your blog meets these criteria. (blogroll located at the lower right sidebar)</p>
<p>Cheers,<br />
JY</p>
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		<title>Obscured by Clouds &#8211; Meaning vs. Marketing in the Cloud</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/obscured-by-clouds-meaning-vs-marketing/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/obscured-by-clouds-meaning-vs-marketing/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Dec 2009 23:43:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Cloud Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cloud Computing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[amazon-web-services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cloud-service]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[salesforce.com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[xignite]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=961</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It seems that everyone is jumping on the cloud bandwagon.  Cloud this, cloud that, everything cloud.  But, I am concerned that all this unbridled rebranding and repositioning is obscuring the underlying technological and economic shifts which characterize this next stage of Internet evolution.]]></description>
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<p>It seems that everyone is jumping on the cloud bandwagon.  Cloud this, cloud that, everything cloud.  Salesforce.com has all but <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.salesforce.com" target="_blank">rebranded its entire business as cloud</a>.  Instead of sales force automation, we now have “Sales Cloud 2” (and “Service Cloud” and “Custom Cloud” and “Collaboration Cloud” with nice little TM’s attached, so if you were thinking of using them for yourself, you can forget it!).  I suppose it might be a good thing.  Personally, I was getting pretty tired of Salesforce.com trying to “force” this brand, “force” that brand on me.  I really don’t have a problem with the cloud buzz per se.  I think it is good for the industry, because it creates excitement, momentum and funding for B2B Internet companies.  But, I am concerned that all this unbridled rebranding and repositioning is obscuring the underlying technological and economic shifts which characterize this next stage of Internet evolution.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Obscured_by_Clouds" target="_blank"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/pink-floyd.jpg" alt="pink floyd obscured by clouds" /></a><br />
<em>Cover from the Pink Floyd album Obscured by Clouds.<br />
Not really relevant, but I needed a picture.<br />
Retweet if you&#8217;re a Pink Floyd fan!</em></p>
<p>The Web 1.0 Internet revolution, of which classic software-as-a-service is a part, arose as a result of the universal interface offered by the Web browser.  Suddenly, anyone could access any global computing resource over the Internet as long as they had this one, standard client application.  It didn’t really matter what happened on the back end, because everyone was plugging into the same application on the front end.  I like to think of this as application – user interoperability.  The economic implication of this paradigm shift was that you could now <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-model-economics-101a-aggregating-customers-for-low-cost-advantage/" target="_blank">aggregate customers</a> around the globe onto a single Internet application.  Say for example, ordering books or sales force automation.</p>
<p>The shift we are seeing now is driven by increased interoperability on the server side, or rather application – application interoperability.  <span id="more-961"></span> And, because it is on the back end, it is occurring at every layer of the software stack from the virtual machines of cloud computing to the really simple syndication (RSS) of personal blogs.  Not only have underlying <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Web_service" target="_blank&quot;">Web service</a> standards like XML, SOAP and JSON gained broad acceptance, but general openness, public APIs, and application development frameworks are becoming the cultural norm for Internet applications.</p>
<p>Let’s be clear on the magnitude of this technology shift.  The current Web 2.0 boom, call it the social Internet revolution, is realistically 95% new product ingenuity and 5% new technology.  A little AJAX, a little RSS, and voila!  Facebook.  Twitter.   The application-application interoperability of the cloud is a fundamental technology shift that has the potential to unleash the same kinds of disruptive economies-of-scale and disintermediation of legacy business models by aggregating computing resources in the same fashion that Web 1.0 did by aggregating users.  But, this time the war won’t be fought at the user level between brick-and-mortar businesses and Web businesses.  It will be fought at the application level between traditional closed, proprietary on-premise software and open, standards-based cloud offerings.</p>
<p>For example, this is the essential value proposition of <a href="http://www.xignite.com" target="_blank">Xignite</a>.  Xignite supplies <a href="http://www.xignite.com/Products/">on-demand market data</a> via Web services.  As Salesforce.com “Sales Cloud 2” is to Oracle-Siebel, Xignite is to legacy data feed application vendors like Thomson-Reuters and Bloomberg.  But, instead of serving a multitude of users from a single application infrastructure to create economies of scale and reduce TCO, Xignite creates new economies of scale and reduces TCO by servicing a <em>multitude of applications</em>, such as WorlframAlpha, NetSuite, Forbes.com, corporate financial apps at GE and iPhone apps at startups like Palantir.</p>
<p>For me, this giant leap forward in application-application interoperability is the essence of this revolution we call The Cloud.   The rest is window dressing.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Sales &#8211; Tough Choices that Can Make or Break You</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tough-choices-that-can-make-or-break-you/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tough-choices-that-can-make-or-break-you/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2009 14:05:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=872</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[these strategic decisions can make or break the growth and profitability of the business, because more than any others they determine the balance between maximizing revenue and minimizing acquisition cost.  They are some of the toughest choices a SaaS Sales VP or CEO has to make.]]></description>
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<p>If you read my <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-sales-management-tips.pdf" target="_blank">SaaS Sales Management Tips</a> series, then you may have noticed a glaring absence of detail with respect to specific <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/" target="_blank">SaaS sales organization strategies</a>.  The reason for this conscious omission is that there is no one right strategy.  There are only the strategies that are right for your specific SaaS business at a specific point in time with your specific situation, i.e., customers, products, growth, maturity, etc.  However, these strategic decisions can make or break the growth and profitability of the business, because more than any others they determine the balance between maximizing revenue and minimizing acquisition cost.  They are some of the toughest choices a SaaS Sales VP or CEO has to make.</p>
<p><strong>The SaaS Adoption Dilemma</strong><br />
The <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/" target="_blank">third post in the SaaS Sales Tips series</a> discusses strategies for <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Accelerate-Organic-Growth.php#read" target="_blank">accelerating organic growth</a> (SaaS Success Do #3) by making it possible for your customers to buy from you even if you don’t show up for work.    But, what do you do when you need revenue today and your under-educated customers and your overly-complex SaaS product just can’t seem get it together on this approach?  You’ve just encountered the SaaS Adoption Dilemma, a situation that arises when your <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101c-saas-adoption-and-switching-costs-the-double-edged-sword-of-data/">adoption costs</a> are way too high and you must choose a strategy for lowering them.   Your very unpleasant short term choices are a) forego revenue until your online marketing and support reach maturity or b) <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-dont-Cover-up-Shortcomings-with-People.php#read" target="_blank">cover up the problem with people</a> and wreck your acquisition costs (SaaS Don’t #4).    If you’re measured on revenue as opposed to margin and you earned your sales stripes in enterprise software, then you will probably choose option b) without a second thought.  But, you may have just made your quarterly commission while sinking your company, your stock options and your job when the business runs out of cash.</p>
<p>The organizational strategies of option b) typically come in two flavors: pre-sale lead reps to find, educate and qualify prospects and pre/post-sale technical services reps to ensure successful on-boarding and ongoing use of the product.  While the vision should be for these activities to be 100% automated, the reality is that they rarely are in the early days and that there is a limit at maturity to the achievable degree of automation set by the inherent complexity of your product and self-serviceability of your customer.  These constraints imply a steady state organization at maturity&#8211;for example a ratio of 3 sales reps to one lead rep and one technical services rep&#8211;that you are sure to overstaff in the early stages before you have fully automated adoption through online marketing and support.  The danger is that you lock into this bloated, early stage organization model and create excuses for not simplifying adoption through automation, thus killing your long term profitability.  A great way to stay on top of this threat is to include all ancillary staff in your calculation of sales productivity:  revenue per rep, where rep includes everyone required to acquire and keep a customer, not just the sale rep.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-sales-organization-choices.png" alt="saas sales organization" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>SaaS Sales Organization Options Arranged by the Strategic Dimensions They Address</em></p>
<p><strong>Hunting, Farming, and Other Pastimes </strong><br />
Conventional wisdom holds that SaaS sales organizations should be split into separate sales and account management groups that are responsible for new business and recurring business, hunters and farmers respectfully.  While this is a good rule of thumb, it is not always the case.  <span id="more-872"></span> I’ve seen plenty of SaaS sales organizations that do not follow this model and they usually have good solid reasons for doing otherwise.  So, it’s worth reviewing the rationale for this split in the first place: churn.  Churn is the rate at which customers cancel their subscriptions.  If it is greater than your new business bookings rate, then you are shrinking instead of growing!  Many SaaS businesses target a churn rate of less than 5% annually, which is no small feat&#8211;it requires very, very satisfied customers, hence the account management function.  In addition to lowering churn, a strong account management organization will also drive upgrades by increasing use of the product through continuing education and support.  The overarching goal of this organizational strategy is to <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/">maximize lifetime customer value</a>, the topic of SaaS Sales Tip #9.</p>
<p>If your SaaS application follows the monetization model of end user-based pricing broken out by  functional level such as base, professional and enterprise versions and it is frequently adopted by a smaller group within a larger organization, then there is a very good chance that the tried-and-true hunting vs. farming split will work for you.  In this scenario, revenue from existing customers is maximized by deepening and broadening each customer’s use of your application.  But what if greater product use is NOT the primary driver of revenue from current customers?  What if you sell a large portfolio of relatively straightforward products, like <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.zoho.com" target="_blank">Zoho</a> or <a href="http://www.xignite.com" target="_blank">Xignite</a>?  In this case, revenue from current customers is just as likely to come in the form of up-selling additional products.  What if you are a B2B2C platform, where the growth rate of your customer’s customers is the primary driver of future revenue?   And, how important is the continuity of interpersonal relationships between the customer’s decision makers and your sales team?  Given all the organizational choices presented here, the worst case scenario is that your strategic relationships are continually shuffled from lead rep to sales rep to technical services rep to account manager and back again.  In addition, the split between new sales and account management is time-dependent on market maturity, i.e., prospects vs. customers, so it will change as the business grows.</p>
<p><strong>What’s Your Magic Number?</strong><br />
I’ve mentioned several times already that the root cause of these tough SaaS sales choices is the trade-off between revenue generation and acquisition costs.  In theory, there is an optimal strategy for growth that doesn&#8217;t sacrifice long term profitability.  When it comes to <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-metrics-that-make-a-difference/" target="_blank">measuring</a> the impact of sales organization strategy on both growth and profitability, the magic number to watch is revenue per rep.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>revenue per rep = average deal value x close rate x qualification rate x leads / reps</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>And, its close financial cousin sales margin.</em></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>sales margin = 1 &#8211; cost per rep / revenue per rep</strong></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Where revenue and deal value are valid SaaS measures for recurring revenue<br />
for a given time period, i.e., monthly (MRR), annual (ARR), or lifetime (LTV), and reps are the staff<br />
responsible for producing said revenue and costs during that time.<br />
Broader measures that explicitly include churn, upgrades, etc. and all relevant staff<br />
are best for avoiding the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-failures-the-recurring-revenue-mirage/" target="_blank">recurring revenue mirage</a>.</em></p>
<p>Most SaaS companies follow an inbound sales model where the sales capacity must be matched to the inbound lead flow, otherwise adding reps causes revenue per rep to decline (note the ratio of leads/reps in the formula).  Simply put, if marketing delivers 100 leads and you have 2 reps, then they each get 50.  If you have 4, then they each get 25. And, so on.   This is in contrast to an outbound sales model where leads per rep is a constant and the number of leads scales automatically with the number of reps, i.e., more reps, more sales calls, more leads. Adding reps in an inbound sales model when you don’t have the leads to support them is the proverbial pushing on a string.</p>
<p>Therefore, the labor-intensive sales organization strategies above should only be applied when the <em>investment demonstrably increases revenue per rep in the form of higher qualification rates, higher close rates, higher deal values, and shorter sales cycles (less time per deal)</em>.  A sales organization that generates $2M ARR per rep and has an annual cost per rep of $100K will be far more profitable than one that generates $200K ARR per rep.  If you are at $200K ARR today, can you increase the efficiency of your sales organization and accelerate organic growth to reach $2M tomorrow?<br />
What’s your magic number?</p>
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		<title>Startup Musing &#8211; Getting $#!t Done on a Shoestring</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/startup-musing-getting-stuff-done-on-a-shoestring/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/startup-musing-getting-stuff-done-on-a-shoestring/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2009 16:54:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Startup Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chaotic flow]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[startup-tips]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=790</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is the second post in a series entitled Startup Musings that discusses managerial challenges unique to the statup executive.  This post covers a few handy tips on how to make the most of the few resources you've got. ]]></description>
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<p>There is always more work to do in a startup than there are people in the company or hours in the day to do it.  Everyone has heard horror stories about endless twelve hour days, all nighters and death marches.  Some startups fail not because the idea is bad, but because they just can&#8217;t seem to focus effectively on turning the idea into a profitable business.  This is the second post in a <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/startup-business-musings-one-hat-is-not-enough/" target="_blank">series entitled <em>Startup Musings</em></a> that discusses managerial challenges unique to the startup executive.  This post covers a few handy tips on how to make the most of the few resources you&#8217;ve got.</p>
<p><strong>Choose What NOT To Do</strong><br />
When you&#8217;re small, and looking to get noticed in a much larger crowd, it is far better to do one thing exceptionally well, than to do a lot of things mediocrely. In a startup, this simple rule of thumb applies to the highest level of strategy all the way down to the lowest level of day-to-day activities.  In a word, FOCUS! Given that there is always more to do than you possibly can, the most important organizational skill of the startup executive is the ability to look an idea square in the eye and say, &#8220;We don&#8217;t need to do that, because it won&#8217;t impact revenue, save money, or make us more competitive.&#8221;  You&#8217;ll be surprised how quickly this little acid test will shorten your to-do list.</p>
<p><strong>Sounds Like a Volunteer!</strong><br />
Getting focused is hard, but staying focused throughout the organization is even more difficult.  Bringing a good idea to fruition is something like 5% strategy and 95% execution.  <span id="more-790"></span> In a big organization, that might be more like 5% strategy, 45% execution and 50% waste, but you can&#8217;t afford that in a startup. Keeping the organization focused on your short list is crucial to success. Unfortunately, many startup executives fall back on micro-management when they see their staff straying from the important goals.  But, I think the better solution is to show your staff how to choose what NOT to do for themselves.</p>
<p>The first step is to make sure everyone knows how their  individual goals tie to the big picture through regular company meetings and the like.  But, I will guaranteed that before these goals are achieved, you and yours will be be assailed by a multitude of new ideas for new projects and recurring ideas for projects you have already passed on as things NOT to do.  Often these competing non-goals show up in subtle little complaints like these:  &#8220;I don&#8217;t know why we don&#8217;t do <strong>X</strong> and get rid of this headache?&#8221; and &#8220;Yeah, the right way to do this would be <strong>Y</strong>, but we&#8217;re always taking shortcuts, so it never gets done right.&#8221; I&#8217;ve found that the best way to stay focused on the priorities at hand, while maintaining the flexibility to jump on a valuable new idea is to reply &#8220;Great, sounds like a volunteer! Still think we should do it?&#8221;  If you complain, you volunteer.  Works like a charm.</p>
<p><strong>Size Matters&#8230;.Keep It Small</strong><br />
Startups are big, risky financial bets.  The best way to manage this risk is to break it up into lots of little bets that allow you to reap immediate results, and quickly adapt to opportunities and threats.  Flexibiliy is key.  You should aways be focused on goals that will yield immediate value, however you measure it: revenue, users, network partners, etc.  And, you should break projects up into smaller and smaller increments, so that you don&#8217;t commit all your resources to monolithic endeavors with long time-lines and uncertain results.  Stay nimble, be opportunistic and evolve through continuous learning and improvement.</p>
<p><strong>Be Different. Be Creative. Get Leverage.</strong><br />
It&#8217;s not enough to have a great product, there are far too many great products and people have far too little time to try them all. You&#8217;ve got to get noticed, you&#8217;ve got to be remembered and you&#8217;ve got to be something worth talking about, Seth Godin&#8217;s so-called purple cow. Unfortunately, you&#8217;re always outnumbered by the competition in a startup, so you can&#8217;t compete on muscle.  You&#8217;ve got to work smarter, not harder.  While your left brain is focused on squeezing the highest possible ROI out of 90% of your limited resources, your right brain should take some creative risks with the remaining 10%.  If you don&#8217;t buy the ticket, you can&#8217;t win the lottery.  You never know what will work and what won&#8217;t, so its good to experiment and place a few bets that have potentially huge payoffs throughout the business.</p>
<p>For example, at Xignite we sell market data via Web services.  <em>Nine out of ten readers probably read right over that last sentence and didn&#8217;t get it.</em> Don&#8217;t be upset if you were one of them.  Web services are not well known to anyone but software developers and their benefits are NOT easy to describe.  It requires education and trial to really get the value proposition.  Once customers get it, they really get it, but we need them to pay attention first. We considered the usual approach to this problem, whitepapers, webinars, flash presentations, etc., but it all seem so&#8230;.frankly boring&#8230;for anything but the most interested prospects who are probably registering anyway.  So, <a href="http://xignite.web-services-blog.com/2009/10/xignite-goes-green/" target="_blank">we&#8217;ve decided to place one of our bets on in-house video capabilities</a>.  Our competitors Web presence is rather old school, so we are going all out to stand out.   Not just a demo video&#8230;we&#8217;re converting the core of our website communications to video, and we&#8217;re doing it in-house&#8230;on a shoestring.</p>
<p><strong>Resourcefulness is Golden </strong><br />
I have in mind a future post in this series on hiring tips for startup executives, but I couldn&#8217;t complete this list without at least touching on this topic.  In a startup, everything is fuzzy.  Rarely is there an established process to reinforce focus and ensure productivity.  Constant hand-holding can be an excruciating drain on resources. There is nothing more comforting than people who can get $#!t done.  And, I don&#8217;t mean simply completing well defined assignments on time.  I mean given the basic business problem with no idea what the ultimate solution is and no idea where the resources are going to come from, they take the initiative, stay focused, get creative and deliver unexpected value to the organization.  They find solutions, not problems.  There are lots of qualities you can look for when hiring for a startup, but for me, good old resourcefulness is always at the top of my list.</p>
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		<title>Attention CMOs! CMO Club Dinners &amp; Bay Area Summit</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/attention-startup-cmos/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/attention-startup-cmos/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 10 Oct 2009 22:28:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Startup Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[chief-marketing-officer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cmo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cmo-club]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[startup-cmo]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=804</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The CMO Club is simply one of the best marketing executive groups I've encountered, so I thought I would pass along the tip.]]></description>
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<p>For the past couple of years I&#8217;ve been active in an up-and-coming CMO-only professional group called <a href="http://www.thecmoclub.com" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">The CMO Club</a>.  It&#8217;s simply one of the best marketing executive groups I&#8217;ve encountered, so I thought I would pass along the tip.  It was started by <a href="http://www.linkedin.com/in/petekrainik" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">Pete Krainik</a>, a former CMO himself of M&#038;M Mars, Avaya, and DoubleClick, with the intent of keeping it CMO-centric, vendor free and focused on high-value peer-to-peer sharing.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><b>CMO Opinions on The CMO Club</b><br />
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<p>Pete treks around the country hosting local <a href="http://www.thecmoclub.com/events" rel="noollow" target="_blank">CMO-only dinners</a> with great conversations and guest speakers.  There is a social networking site with increasingly good content and the <a href="http://www.thecmoclub.com/events" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">dinner schedule</a>, but the real action is interpersonal at the dinners and <a href="http://www.thecmoclubsummit.com/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">bi-annual leadership summits</a>.<br />
<span id="more-804"></span><br />
The next <a href="http://www.thecmoclubsummit.com/" rel="nofollow" target="_blank">CMO Leadership Summit is coming up in San Francisco on November 13th and 14th</a> and yours truly will be orchestrating a breakout session focused on the unique challenges of the Startup CMO (had to be a plug right?)  The summit is an investment at $995, but for nearby CMOs there are upcoming dinners right before in Orange County 10/19, San Diego 10/20, and Bay Area 10/21, so you can decide for yourself if it is for you (dinners are a more modest investment&#8230;about $100).</p>
<p>Here is the session description&#8230;.anyone following my <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/2009/08/02/startup-business-musings-one-hat-is-not-enough/" target="_blank"><em>Startup Musings</em></a> series will find the angle familiar.  Hope to see you there!</p>
<p style="margin:20px;text-align:center;"<strong>So You&#8217;re a Startup CMO, Now What?</strong><br />
<em>Whether by choice or by chance, CMOs find themselves in startups for many reasons: to follow a dream, to strike it rich, career change or simply as the victim of economic circumstances. Whether you are coming into it from a fortune 500 company or right out of B-School the creative, managerial and leadership challenges are unique and if you&#8217;ve never done it before, there are lot&#8217;s of ways to fail.  This session will tackle trials and tribulation of the startup CMO and provide a open forum to share experiences from the trenches, lessons learned and secrets of success.  Topics covered will include gaining leverage through creativity, getting stuff done on a shoestring, building something from nothing, managing rapid growth, budgeting when cash is king, overcoming a technical handicap, making yourself essential, developing  relationships with the board, how to choose the right startup, and managing career transitions.</em></p>
<p style="text-align:center"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/CMOCLUBSUMMIT2009v21.jpg" alt="CMO Club 2009 NYC Summit"><br /><em>Lots of Smiling CMOs at the last CMO Summit in NYC May 2009</em></p>
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		<title>SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Metrics that Make a Difference</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-metrics-that-make-a-difference/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-metrics-that-make-a-difference/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2009 15:31:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Add new tag]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Metrics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-process]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=737</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In this post, I’m going to present a general approach that will help you develop the right metrics for your particular business by presenting a simple, process-centric methodology that can be applied anywhere. ]]></description>
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<p>Most marketers are obsessed with metrics, and this is particularly the case for online marketers.  Metrics not only demonstrate performance, they often form the basis for decision making, creating buy-in and defusing politics.  But, for the life of me I can’t recall ever seeing a decent presentation on metrics in any marketing book or course. In this post, I’m going to present a simple, process-centric approach to metrics that will help you develop the <em>specific metrics that are right for your particular business</em> and provide insight on where and when each metric makes a difference.  This approach to metrics owes more to <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_process_control" target="_blank">statistical process control (total quality)</a> and <a rel="nofollow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Activity-based_costing" target="_blank">activity-based costing</a> than to marketing, but the the concepts are considerably (over)simplified.  The goal is to achieve a comprehensive, integrated, insightful process view with as little math as possible.</p>
<p>Three simple concepts to master for developing great metrics</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Process</strong><br />
A process is a stable, repeatable set of dependent activities<br />
Process = Activity 1 &gt; Activity 2 &gt; Activity 3 &gt; … &gt; Activity N</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Activities</strong><br />
Activities consistently turn inputs into outputs at a certain efficiency and speed<br />
Output = Input &gt; Activity<br />
Efficiency = Output Volume / Input Volume<br />
Speed = 1 / Cycle Time</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><strong>Resources</strong><br />
Activities are produced by resources that have a certain cost and capacity.<br />
The bottleneck resource constrains overall output, therefore maximizing output<br />
and minimizing costs amounts to improving throughput at bottleneck resources.<br />
Total Cost of Output N = Resource1 Cost +&#8230;+ ResourceX Cost + … + ResourceN Cost<br />
Unit Cost = Total Cost / Output Volume<br />
Max Output N == Max Activity X == Capacity of Bottleneck ResouceX</p>
<p>Kinda theoretical right?  OK, so here is a concrete example that I think will be useful to many readers.  Below is an inbound new purchase process model for a typical B2B SaaS company.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-metrics.png" alt="saas metrics" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>General process metric model applied to a top-level B2B purchase process.<br />
For a lower level process example, click here to see the model applied to <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-metrics-that-make-a-difference/?show=comments#comments" target="_blank">email marketing metrics</a>.</em></p>
<p>Chances are you’ve heard or seen most of these metrics before, but they were probably jumbled around on a spreadsheet in random order with a few critical metrics missing and few irrelevant ones thrown in for…uh…good measure.  However, when you see them laid out as they relate to the purchase process, their meaning and inter-relationships become much clearer.</p>
<p><strong>Tips for Defining and Using Great Metrics</strong></p>
<p><em>Keep it simple</em></p>
<p>So, the reality is that since we are talking about sales and marketing, and not manufacturing nuts and bolts, our processes are never as clean and predictable as this little model appears.  It will at best be an approximation to reality.  But, you have control over that approximation.  <span id="more-737"></span> Since each process can be broken into smaller processes, and each activity can be broken into smaller activities, you get to choose the level of granularity.  And, you get to choose the activities to include or not include.  For example, the selling part of the process above is often broken down into excruciating detail, creating a lot of overhead reporting of sales activities that is never used to make a single decision.  Define your process at a level that maximizes your understanding and control over your business, without weighing you down with meaningless reports.   And, focus on the activities that have the biggest impact on output.</p>
<p><em>Focus on the bottlenecks</em></p>
<p>Most of the time there will be over-capacity or slack in one part of the process and under-capacity or a bottleneck in another part of the process.  Continuous improvement is great, but it doesn’t do a bit of good to improve non-bottleneck activities, because you will always get stuck behind the bottleneck.  For example, it won’t help to add more salespeople or shorten your sales cycle in an inbound sales model if you don’t have the leads to support the new capacity.  You must increase the leads first.  The right approach is to identify your current bottleneck, remove it, and then see where the next bottleneck appears, then remove it, and so on.  If you&#8217;re interested in developing a better understanding bottlenecks, or going deeper on many of the ideas in this post, check out <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.amazon.com/Goal-Process-Ongoing-Improvement/dp/0884271781/" target="_blank">The Goal</a>, a well known and easy-to-read novel (yes novel) on business process improvement.</p>
<p><em>Simplify by combining multiple metrics</em></p>
<p>Often there are many activities that combine to produce an output.  Lead nurturing provides great example of this.  You often don’t know which activities will work for which prospect, the optimal order of the activities or even which activities have actually happened.  One way to keep your process and metrics simple and manageable is to roll up complex sets of activities into a single super-activity and create a metric for it that is a combination of the lower level metrics.  This is the essence of lead scoring.</p>
<p><em>Visualize and measure the process from end-to-end</em></p>
<p>As they say, if you don’t know where you are going, then you can’t get lost.  And, if all you have is a hammer, then everything looks like a nail.  Well, you can easily get lost in a technology startup.  And, if you waste your time hammering nails when you should be sawing wood, you can burn through a lot of funding before getting it right.  Defining and measuring your sales and marketing process are simply a means to an end: making money!  The real goal is to optimize it for maximum throughput. The process and metrics you have today can always improve. So, don’t settle for piecemeal metrics that don’t get you all the way to the finish line, measure the process from end-to-end.  Moreover, don&#8217;t just use your process model to measure what is happening today.  Know what you want it to look like a year from now, and use it to visualize the future and drive toward your goals.</p>
<p><strong>Common Metric Mistakes to Avoid</strong></p>
<p><em>No process</em></p>
<p>If you don’t know your process, or don’t have a process, the first step is to define it and <em>get it under control</em>.  You might not get it exactly right at first, but if you don’t have a repeatable stable process, then you won’t know what to measure, you won’t know what to do with the metrics you do measure, and you can’t consistently improve.</p>
<p><em>Forgetting the customer</em></p>
<p>In the final analysis, your sales and marketing activities will always be an incomplete set of the total set of activities that go into a sale.  At best they play a supporting role to your customer’s purchase process activities. In an ideal world, you would define your entire process and metrics in terms of your customer, but in the real world you must usually settle for you own internally-focused approximations.  As such, it is easy to start mistaking your own internal sales process for the real external purchase process, creating an illusion of control that does not exist.  For example, in the process above an internal prospect record called a registration is used as an approximate measure of customer interest.  But, just how interested is the prospect that registers on your website?  Remembering will guide you as you make decisions about how to structure your registration process.  How much work and information will you require of your prospect?  Well, how interested do you want your prospects to be before you decide to spend more time and resources in the next step of the process?</p>
<p><em>Defining a fantasy process that ignores reality</em></p>
<p>A great example of this often occurs in enterprise sales.  The marketing department will draw up a nice little process like the one above, where marketing leads turn smoothly into opportunities for sales.  But, in reality 90% of sales opportunities are generated by sales activities such as cold calling, referrals and networking, not marketing leads.  In this case, the overall process is driven by the number of sales reps, not the marketing spend.</p>
<p><em>There really is more than one process</em></p>
<p>Counter to my suggestions to keep things simple and combine multiple metrics etc., it is a mistake to combine truly independent processes into one.   For example, it is usually the case that acquiring new customers is a distinctively different process from up-selling current customers.  Some SaaS companies go so far as to separate the people doing the selling into sales reps and account managers.  But, even if this approach is not right for your business, it is almost certainly the case that you should measure renewals, upgrades and up-sells separately from new business.</p>
<p><em>Choosing poor metrics</em></p>
<p>A good metric must correlate strongly to the real world idea you are trying to measure.  And, it must be easily measurable.  I mean, that is the reason you are using the metric instead of measuring the real thing.  If the real thing were measurable, you would simply make that your metric, i.e., if you could really measure customer interest directly, then why bother counting registrations.  You count registrations because You can.  Alternatively, suppose you can also measure usage of a trial account too.  It might be that you have lots of people signing up, but very few actually trying out your service.  It might be that you can’t afford to spend time and money on look-y-loos and still turn a profit.  In this case, you might be better off tracking trial usage instead of registration as your primary measure of interest.</p>
<p><em>Overlooking costs</em></p>
<p>When you calculate a unit cost, it is important to include ALL the costs of ALL the prior inputs and activities that went into creating that output.  For example, the “cost per lead” generated by an email campaign to your nurturing database is not the cost of that campaign only.  It is also all the costs that went into acquiring and maintaining the database all the way back to the original pay-per-click ad.  And, your total acquisition cost should include all fully loaded sales and marketing costs.  The easiest way to calculate total acquisition cost is to go straight to your accounting books, add up ALL sales and marketing costs including management, benefits, admin, etc., and divide it by the number of orders.</p>
<p>More posts in the SaaS Marketing Tips Series:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-search-is-about-people-not-engines/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Search is About People, Not Engines</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-dont-be-crud-on-the-cloud/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Don&#8217;t Be CRUD on the Cloud</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-the-truth-shall-set-you-free/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; The Truth Shall Set You Fee</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Don&#8217;t Be CRUD on the Cloud</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-dont-be-crud-on-the-cloud/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-dont-be-crud-on-the-cloud/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 11 Aug 2009 16:09:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=695</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
In this post, I will offer up two SaaS marketing tips to help you achieve Do #3 Accelerate Organic Growth of the Top Ten Dos and Don’ts of SaaS Success where organic growth is defined as revenue generated with zero marginal acquisition cost. In other words, customer self-service. The first marketing tip is to map [...]]]></description>
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<p>In this post, I will offer up two SaaS marketing tips to help you achieve Do #3 <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/saas-top-ten-do-Accelerate-Organic-Growth.php#read" target="_blank">Accelerate Organic Growth</a> of the <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/" target="_blank">Top Ten Dos and Don’ts of SaaS Success</a> where organic growth is defined as revenue generated with zero marginal acquisition cost. In other words, customer self-service. The first marketing tip is to map out the purchase experience from the customer&#8217;s point of view from beginning to end: awareness to trial to purchase to use. The second is to let go of any pre-conceptions you may have about the separateness of your SaaS product from other Internet content, yours or otherwise. It’s a mashup world! My reason for combining these two SaaS marketing tips into a single post is that much, if not most of your customers’ online experience related to your product happens outside your product, and even off your website.</p>
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<p><strong>SaaS Marketing Tip: Map Out the Purchase Process from Your Customer&#8217;s Point of View</strong><br />
In most online businesses, marketers focus on impressions, click-through rates, registrations and leads, while the sales team organizes itself around a pipeline. Each of these metrics provides an important snapshot at a particular stage in the customer lifecycle. However, functional divisions within the company often prevent a integrated view of the entire process. And, metrics are often seen as a measure of business efficiency as opposed to customer success, i.e., marketing converts a visitor to a registered user as opposed to a customer consciously decides that in order to get closer to solving a problem it is worth giving up personal information in exchange for the value received on the other side of the registration form. Create a table that depicts the detailed stages your customers go through before, during and after purchase with particular attention paid to their likely <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-search-is-about-people-not-engines/" target="_blank">online location and intent</a> at each stage. Then, map out the information they require to progress successfully to the next stage and get closer to achieving their intended goals. Finally, put in place metrics to track end-to-end progress that can be portrayed in a single, integrated view.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Marketing Tip: Create a Seamless Internet-Product Experience</strong><br />
At its core, the Internet doesn’t really care if you are distributing a Google Ad or an ERP application, it is all just information. <span id="more-695"></span> In a sense, the same can be said for your customers. They are going about their business, looking for solutions to their problems, and they don’t really care if the answers come in the form of a tweet or a transaction. The imagined lines between content and application and between your website and the rest of the Internet do not exist. Your customers simply surf along, mostly for free, until they reach a point where it is worth their while to shell out something of value (i.e., time, personal information, cash, etc.) to get closer to a solution to the problem at hand. This dynamic is equally true for both B2C and B2B customers. It only varies by the types of problems being solved.</p>
<p>If you’ve done a good job of mapping out your customer&#8217;s purchase process, then the next step is to provide exactly the information they need to take each step where and when they need it. Understand that in the earliest stages of awareness, your customers&#8217; goals may only be tangentially related to anything resembling your product and the content you must serve up must be directed at these goals, e.g., entertainment, exploration, general education, etc., and not the much later stage goal of buying your product.  Think of your total solution as beginning with that first social media video through your core SaaS offering and onto your support portal. And, align your <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/software-as-a-service-success-monetize-creatively/" target="_blank">monetization</a> with the value you deliver along the way, i.e., capture value for value created, where value is broadly defined as what you are demanding of your customers, whether it is time, information or money. Seen in this way, there is little difference between designing a social media video, a registration form, a free trial or a subscription plan. It all amounts to what your customer is willing to fork over for what you are delivering at that stage of the relationship.</p>
<p><strong>Example: Don’t be CRUD on the Cloud</strong><br />
In this example I’m going to show what NOT to do in the hope that a depiction of the worst case scenario will provide as much enlightenment as a positive example.  I created the fun little animation above to help visualize the point.</p>
<p>CRUD is an old-school database acronym that stands for Create, Read, Update, and Delete. This term epitomizes the worst possible approach to SaaS user experience design, i.e., a technology-centric view where the application is completely isolated from the rest of the Internet. Or more plainly, an enterprise client-server application shoved through a browser. In the early days of software, databases  represented a huge leap in efficiency over paper records. But in today’s fast-moving, connected world it just doesn’t add enough value for the customer before, during or after purchase. And, isolation creates unnecessary <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101c-saas-adoption-and-switching-costs-the-double-edged-sword-of-data/" target="_blank">adoption, training and integration costs</a>. Follow the two SaaS marketing tips above and don’t let this happen to you!</p>
<p>The is the second post in the SaaS Marketing Tips series. Previous posts include the following:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-search-is-about-people-not-engines/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Search Is About People, Not Engines</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Search Is About People, Not Engines</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-search-is-about-people-not-engines/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-search-is-about-people-not-engines/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 03 Aug 2009 15:28:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Marketing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[search-marketing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=660</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Ninety-nine percent of what you read about search are tips on how to work the system, attract the engines and increase rankings. Alot of it is good information, but it doesn't provide solid direction to your marketing programs, because without your customer a search engine is simply a mindless algorithmic tool. ]]></description>
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<p>You have to understand why and how your customer uses search if you want to be successful at search marketing. Unfortunately, ninety-nine percent of what you read about search are tips on how to work the system, attract the engines and increase rankings. Alot of it is good information, but it doesn&#8217;t provide solid direction to your marketing programs, because without your customer a search engine is simply a mindless algorithmic tool.  You will often see this shortcoming with PPC firms that focus exclusively on trial and error to develop your programs, the proverbial throwing of the spaghetti at the wall to see what sticks.  Experimentation is fundamental in exploring and optimizing alternate search strategies, but without a firm grounding in customer buying needs and behavior, this approach is simply garbage in, garbage out.  The SaaS marketing tips below are designed to help you turn your thinking about search inside-out by considering the experience from customers&#8217; perspective.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Marketing Tip: Honor Customer Intent</strong><br />
One of the most interesting descriptions of search fundamentals can be found in Jon Battelle&#8217;s book, <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.amazon.com/Search-Rewrote-Business-Transformed-Culture/dp/B000QRIHXE" target="_blank">Search</a>.  In it he describes the sum total of keywords and click streams captured on the Internet as the &#8220;<a rel="nofollow" href="http://battellemedia.com/archives/000063.php" target="_blank">Database of Intentions</a>.&#8221;  I really like this word: intent, and I recommend to every search marketer to stop thinking about keywords and start thinking about intent. Or, more specifically to think of keywords as a shorthand for intent.  How do you use search?  How do you select keywords?   If you think about it,you&#8217;ll quickly see that the process goes something like this:  I have a problem that I need information to resolve.  To get that information, I need to clarify my intent in my own mind and distill it down to the simplest possible set of keywords, otherwise I don&#8217;t get the results I want.  Your potential customers may sit down in front of a search engine with a wide range of problems and associated intentions: exploring entertainment options, looking for a job, or finding your product.  If you don&#8217;t honor their intent and provide help with the specific problem they are trying to solve, then your ad is no better than a billboard.  Sometimes they may very well be looking for exactly the product you offer, these are the highest value intentions(keywords) to capture, and identifying them should be your first order of business, i.e., your first set of keywords should always be those that prospects type into a search engine when they are specifically looking for your product category.  To identify them, at a minimum you have to think like your customer and at a maximum do some market research.  Throwing spaghetti is weak. Beyond this set of keywords, you cannot offer your product in your search ad.  You must offer alternative content that is useful to solving the searchers problem at hand, but establishes a relationship that you can nurture to a future purchase.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Marketing Tip: Every Website Page is a Landing Page</strong><br />
In software, we like to create these things called use cases.  A use case describes how a user will use as system to accomplish a specific task.  Most people design their websites for the use case of someone arriving at their home page with the intent of learning about their product, and then navigating around to learn all they need to know before making a purchase decision.    However, if you&#8217;re even remotely successful at SEO you will quickly find that many of your visitors are arriving at keyword optimized internal pages after finding them in their search results. <span id="more-660"></span> Taken to it&#8217;s natural limit, this use case turns traditional website design upside down. In this scenario, your website is no longer a nicely categorized, top-to-bottom hierarchy of information, but a bottom-up collection of landing pages that must satisfy a wide variety of intentions, or your visitors will bounce. Reconciling these two use cases can be a real challenge.  If you&#8217;re SEO firm is not top notch, chances are that your keyword rich, optimized pages are doing a great job of achieving visibility on Google, but doing a lousy job of satisfying your visitors&#8217; intentions.  Stop thinking information architecture and keyword density.  Start thinking intentions. Every visitor comes with an intent, perhaps multiple intents.  And, every page should satisfy one. If you take this approach, SEO is built in from the start, and you won&#8217;t need a consultant to optimize your site after the fact.</p>
<p><strong>Example: LinkedIn</strong><br />
Lot&#8217;s of people search the Internet for business contacts, past, present and future. They might be researching the background of a job candidate, looking for sales prospects or simply networking.  However, they might also be searching for personal reasons.  Take all these potential intentions and multiply it by seven billion names and you get a feel for the challenge a company like LinkedIn has reeling in prospects. Clearly SEO is the only way to go, because PPC would be cost prohibitive. So, let&#8217;s take a look at my own vanity search and see how LinkedIn fares for folks that for whatever reason might be looking for Joel York.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/linkedin-joelyork.gif" alt="" /></p>
<p>Fourth is pretty good in terms of mechanical ranking (although not quite as good as Chaotic Flow <img src='http://chaotic-flow.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';)' class='wp-smiley' /> ) But, what about intent?  LinkedIn needs to separate the business intent from the personal intent. A quick read of the search result text qualifies out anything other than business: title, company, largest professional network, etc.  Now, let&#8217;s say the user clicks through.  Then what?  It is a pretty good assumption that anyone typing a specific person&#8217;s name into Google intends to learn more about that person, get in contact with that person, and perhaps find other people as well. I&#8217;ve highlighted primary content and call to action, and this is exactly what LinkedIn offers up. Great!  That&#8217;s what the user wants.  But, LinkedIn wants the user to sign up for LinkedIn.  To accomplish this, the solution to the problem is made contingent upon registration.  If you click on any of the highlighted calls to action, you will be presented with the registration page above.</p>
<p>Lastly, consider how subtlely the LinkedIn brand is presented.  And, notice the complete absence of anything resembling traditional marketing messages extolling the benefits of LinkedIn.  The benefits are implicit in the intent, LinkedIn simply has to help the user find a solution to the problem in question.  Brand associations are completely experiential.  You help me solve my problem, therefore I like your brand.  A+ LinkedIn.</p>
<p>More posts in the SaaS Marketing Tips Series:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-metrics-that-make-a-difference/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Metrics that Make a Difference</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-dont-be-crud-on-the-cloud/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; Don&#8217;t Be CRUD on the Cloud</a></li>
<li><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-marketing-tips-the-truth-shall-set-you-free/" target="_blank">SaaS Marketing Tips &#8211; The Truth Shall Set You Fee</a></li>
</ul>
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		<title>Startup Business Musings &#8211; One Hat is Not Enough</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/startup-business-musings-one-hat-is-not-enough/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/startup-business-musings-one-hat-is-not-enough/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 Aug 2009 16:32:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Startup Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-startup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[startup-companies]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=649</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The aspiration of most technology startups is to grow from virtually nothing to a billion dollar company. But, if you examine the typical billion dollar company you find something that looks very much like a factory.  In other words: NOT a startup.]]></description>
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<p>The aspiration of most technology startups is to grow from virtually nothing to a billion dollar company. But, if you examine the typical billion dollar company you find something that looks very much like a factory. People are divided up into divisions, departments and job descriptions.  And, crossing these boundaries are well defined processes and support systems that sew up the pieces into a business value chain that drives revenue. Lot&#8217;s of round pegs and round holes for them to fit into that in the best companies provide a vehicle for talented individuals to drive superior organizational performance and a safety net for weaker performers to ensure that things keep humming along no matter what. In other words: NOT a startup.</p>
<p>Getting from here to there is like growing a fully functioning human being with a brain, a heart, lungs, legs, arms, and fingers from a single, blank zygote.  In nature, this miracle is accomplished through <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stem_cell" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">stem cells</a>. Which according to Wikipedia are &#8220;characterized by the ability to renew themselves&#8230;differentiating into a diverse range of specialized cell types.&#8221; I think I would be hard pressed to come up with a better analogy of what it takes to be a successful startup executive. I say this for two reasons.  First, it is the job of executive management to build the organization, processes, and jobs that will be the billion dollar company.  Second, until you achieve the revenue growth that will allow you to pay for all these offices, people, and systems&#8212;-you must do it yourself.</p>
<p>One hat is not enough for successful startup executives.  Startup executives must demonstrate breadth across functions and depth within roles. <span id="more-649"></span> In it&#8217;s simplest form, breadth across functions means understanding the basics of the functions adjacent to yours, so that you can work with other managers to define the organization, processes and systems that will enable the business to scale. In the extreme, you may find yourself managing multiple areas, simply because there is more work to be done than there are people to do it.  Depth within roles means being able to actually do the work, not just manage it.  I like to call this the McDonald&#8217;s requirement.  If the employee doesn&#8217;t show up, the manager works the counter..or the fryer &#8230;or the drive-thru&#8230;or whatever it takes to keep the doors open.  And, you won&#8217;t always have the luxury of hiring highly paid, senior staff. So, you must be an effective mentor to grow them from more junior staff. I always look for these characteristics when hiring executives.  In addition to the primary functional skills, I assign extra credit for multi-functional, general management and entrepreneurial experience.</p>
<p>Note:<br />
As this post implies, when you work at a startup you often find your attention pulled back and forth between the highest levels of company vision and business strategy to the lowest levels of operational detail and execution.  On occasion, I&#8217;ve even found that the mental gymnastics can actually give you a headache. So, in deference to this fundamental challenge of startup management, I am kicking off two new series of posts with distinctively different flavors.<br />
Startup Business Musings which will focus on the principles that help shape a successful startup business and successful startup executives&#8230;of which this is the first. And, SaaS Marketing Tips where I&#8217;ll attempt to expand upon the SaaS Success Top Ten Do&#8217;s and Don&#8217;ts by exploring concrete, actionable ideas and examples (first post tomorrow).</p>
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		<title>The SaaS Hybrid Dilemma &#8211; Don&#8217;t Get Stuck in the Middle</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/the-saas-hybrid-dillema-dont-get-stuck-in-the-middle/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/the-saas-hybrid-dillema-dont-get-stuck-in-the-middle/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Jun 2009 14:53:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-failure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-hybrid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-software]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-success]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=619</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Pure on-demand software-as-a-service businesses are difficult to build.  It is the rare B2B SaaS startup that masters all the Dos and Don&#8217;ts of SaaS Success from the beginning.  When the going gets tough, many find themselves falling back on traditional enterprise software approaches to product delivery and business operations.  However, there is a big difference [...]]]></description>
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<p>Pure on-demand software-as-a-service businesses are difficult to build.  It is the rare B2B SaaS startup that masters all the <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/" target="_blank">Dos and Don&#8217;ts of SaaS Success</a> from the beginning.  When the going gets tough, many find themselves falling back on traditional enterprise software approaches to product delivery and business operations.  However, there is a big difference between making the strategic decision to deliver your product in a hybrid model and stumbling into a hybrid model through tactical mistakes. In the first instance the market requirements demand a hybrid approach, in the second executive management is simply not disciplined and creative enough to avoid it.</p>
<p>In an earlier post, I presented the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/the-saas-hybrid-question-demystifying-business-models/" target="_blank">relationship between pure on-demand SaaS and it&#8217;s closest hybrid cousins: managed services, packaged software, and enterprise software.</a> The four models differ along the dimensions of pure commodity product (SaaS and packaged software) and pure online delivery (SaaS and managed services).  When a business travels down the hybrid path, it is making a choice to deviate from pure on-demand along one or both of these dimensions.  The farthest deviation being enterprise software. Seems straightforward enough.  So, why avoid a hybrid approach?  Let me state up-front that there are markets that absolutely demand a hybrid model&#8212;-a great example is anti-virus software, which requires a fat client for rapid response (packaged software), Internet delivery of virus definitions, software updates and threat alerts (SaaS) and a semi-automated, labor-intensive process for collecting, analyzing and categorizing threats (managed service). However, it is much more often the case that complex market requirements provide the rationalization for poor management rather than the rationale for good business strategy.</p>
<p><strong>The Perils of Hybrid Models</strong><br />
<a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-competitive-advantage-saas-economics-101-e-book/" target="_blank">Competitive advantage in SaaS</a> is built by leveraging the Internet to lower costs through economies of scale or to develop differentiation through network-native capabilities. Moving away from a pure commodity product (toward managed services) breaks economies-of-scale, while moving away from pure online delivery (toward packaged software) breaks network-native capabilities.  Deviation due to a lack of discipline without compelling market requirements results in the textbook failure of competitive strategy:  getting stuck in the middle.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/stuck-in-the-middle.jpg" alt="" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>&#8220;The firm stuck in the middle&#8230;is almost guaranteed low profitability<br />
&#8230;probably suffers from a blurred corporate culture.&#8221;</em></p>
<p>Sound familiar?  This is the primary reason that some of today&#8217;s most well known SaaS companies have yet to attain profitability.  It has nothing to do with the so-called up front investment costs of building a SaaS business (seriously&#8230;do NetSuite, Omniture and Success Factors ever plan to stop posting losses?).  They have given up too much competitive advantage in pursuit of revenue from markets where they are not competitive or from customers that they cannot serve profitably (as evidenced by this <a rel="no follow" href="http://smoothspan.wordpress.com/2009/05/19/why-do-saas-companies-lose-money-hand-over-fist/" target="_blank">nice little financial analysis by Bob Warfield</a>).</p>
<p><strong>The Right Way to Go Hybrid</strong><br />
Many markets present challenges along both the dimensions of product uniformity and online delivery.  Unique customer processes,  complex technologies and heavy integration requirements for example can all create serious strategic hurdles.  To overcome them successfully, it is essential to be clear about exactly the business you want to be in and exactly where your competitive advantage truly lies.  <span id="more-619"></span> If your competitive advantage comes from Internet-based innovation, but you have very unique and demanding customers that require you to customize your product or services, then mixing SaaS with a managed services approach might be the right choice, because the premium you can charge will cover the hit to your cost structure. If you are a low cost, commodity SaaS player, buy our product requires lots of configuration and integration to be useful, then having some offline software components and on-site professional services for on-boarding and account management might be the preferred solution as long as they are highly standardized and don&#8217;t undermine your fundamental cost advantage by breaking the uniformity of your primary SaaS infrastructure.  But, don&#8217;t get stuck in the middle by chasing revenue that forces you to give up your core competitive advantage and results in the loss of long-term business profitability.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Competitive Advantage &#8211; SaaS Economics 101 e-Book</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-competitive-advantage-saas-economics-101-e-book/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-competitive-advantage-saas-economics-101-e-book/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 04 May 2009 17:17:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-advantages]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-competition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-competitive-advantage]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-costs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-differentiation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-tco]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=610</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If your SaaS business is confronted with issues such as the following:
<ul >
	<li>Why is my SaaS business losing money?</li>
	<li>How do I grow my SaaS business faster?</li>
	<li> How does a SaaS vendor create a long term competitive advantage?</li>
	<li>When does it make sense to take a “SaaS hybrid” approach?</li>
	<li> Will SaaS displace on-premise software entirely?</li>
	<li>Are there applications for which the SaaS is simply not the right choice?</li>
</ul>
Then, there is a good chance you will find the principles laid out in this e-book of significant value in your decision making.]]></description>
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<p>If your SaaS business is confronted with issues such as the following:</p>
<ul >
<li>Why is my SaaS business losing money?</li>
<li>How do I grow my SaaS business faster?</li>
<li> How does a SaaS vendor create a long term competitive advantage?</li>
<li>When does it make sense to take a “SaaS hybrid” approach?</li>
<li> Will SaaS displace on-premise software entirely?</li>
<li>Are there applications for which the SaaS is simply not the right choice?</li>
</ul>
<p>Then, there is a good chance you will find the principles laid out in this e-book on how to develop <a href="http://www.chaotic-flow.com/media/SaaS%20Competitive%20Advantage.pdf" target="blank">competitive advantage in SaaS</a> of significant value in your decision making.</p>
<p style="text-align:center"><a href="http://www.chaotic-flow.com/media/SaaS%20Competitive%20Advantage.pdf" target="blank"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://www.chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-competitive-advantage.jpg" alt="SaaS Competitive Advantage" /></a></p>
<p>It provides a comprehensive overview of SaaS model economics and how to develop competitive advantage in software-as-a-service. The PDF consists of compiled and augmented posts from the last six months, so it should make a handy archive reference or pass-along for those that have read the original posts, and a fresh look for those who missed them.  Enjoy.</p>
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		<title>SaaS TCO &#8211; The Mirror Image of Total Cost of Service</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-tco-the-mirror-image-of-total-cost-of-service/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Apr 2009 16:02:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tco]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[total cost of ownership]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[total cost of service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=567</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Much has been written about how software-as-a-service can lower a customer&#8217;s total cost of ownership (TCO) by eliminating the high up-front investment and ongoing maintenance costs of in-house software and hardware infrastructure.  Most SaaS vendors deliver on this promise with a bargain basement subscription price, putting their faith in the miracle of multi-tenant architecture, and [...]]]></description>
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<p>Much has been written about how software-as-a-service can lower a customer&#8217;s total cost of ownership (TCO) by eliminating the high up-front investment and ongoing maintenance costs of in-house software and hardware infrastructure.  Most SaaS vendors deliver on this promise with a bargain basement subscription price, putting their faith in the miracle of multi-tenant architecture, and working to build enough volume to make the theory a reality.  Meanwhile, they bleed cash.</p>
<p>Multi-tenant architecture simply is not enough.  In fact, it can distract you from the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-model-economics-101a-aggregating-customers-for-low-cost-advantage/" target="_blank">real economic challenge of achieving economies-of-scale</a> and driving out costs across the entire value chain.  You&#8217;ve lowered TCO for your customer, now it&#8217;s time to think about lowering Total Cost of Service (TCS) for your business.  TCS is the total cost of delivering your service to a customer, and if you expect to run a profitable, cash-positive business it can only happen if your lifetime customer value exceeds TCS.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Life Time Customer Value  &gt; Total Cost of Service</em></p>
<p>Total cost of service is the the mirror image of total cost of ownership. If you think of the value that your customer realizes from your product as resulting from the sum of all the work that you do (TCS) <em>and</em> all the work that your customer does (TCO) from raw idea through product delivery to realized benefit, then it becomes clear that creating a disruptive technology is really about taking costs out of the value chain, regardless of which side of the fence they sit on, because you pass your cost savings on to your customer in the form of lower prices.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/software-value-chain.jpg" alt="software value chain" /><br />
<em>The Mirror Image of Total Cost of Ownership : Total Cost of Service</em></p>
<p>In my recent series on <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-scale-profitably/" target="_blank">SaaS Sales Tips</a>, I suggest that the margin delivered by the sales operation, or the difference between revenue and fully loaded sales costs, is actually more important to the SaaS vendor than revenue alone.  <span id="more-567"></span> This tip is a special case of the more general objective of lowering TCS. SaaS vendors should look to drive costs out of the value chain and out of their operations across every function, not just through multi-tenant architecture.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/saas-total-cost-of-service.jpg" alt="SaaS total cost of owership - total cost of service" /><br />
<em>SaaS vendors should lower TCS by driving costs out across the value chain</em></p>
<p>Every business activity should be examined for the potential to apply the following cost-eliminating techniques:</p>
<ul>
<li>Standardization</li>
<li>Mass Customization</li>
<li>Process Automation (internal and external leveraging the Internet)</li>
<li>Customer Self-service</li>
</ul>
<p>Standardization and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/mass-customization-and-on-demand-software/" target="_blank">mass customization</a> are essential to a true multi-tenant SaaS product, but these concepts can be applied to achieve economies-of-scale across the entire value chain.  <!--more--> For example, mass customization can be applied to customer acquisition through website personalization and automated nurturing programs that serve up content to prospects based on their history with your company, i.e., if the prospect spent 5 minutes on the widget page, then send that prospect an invite to watch a video on your widget capabilities.  Or, apply <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101b-differentitate-via-the-internet/" target="_blank">Internet-based automation</a> to your external support processes by offering a portal, knowledgebase, forums and online chat.</p>
<p>Customer self-service has the double benefit of automating tasks to drive out costs, but also shifting the cost back to the customer.  This may sound like bad business, but the truth is that sometimes your customers would simply rather do things themselves, particularly if it means saving money.  When was the last time you paid for full service at the gas station?  I&#8217;m probably dating myself, because I honestly can&#8217;t remember the last time I pulled into a gas station that  even offered full service.  It used to be the standard, but it was eliminated by disruptive technologies for pumping and payment that eliminated and shifted costs within the value chain.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Sales Tips &#8211; Scale Profitably</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-scale-profitably/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-scale-profitably/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Apr 2009 15:51:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=517</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
Revenue is the fuel that powers the engine of any business. It enables movement, acceleration and maneuverability.  Without revenue, there is no profit and eventually you run out of gas. While venture funding may provide a startup with a temporary reprieve from this harsh reality, confusing revenue with cash will only result in failure [...]]]></description>
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<p>Revenue is the fuel that powers the engine of any business. It enables movement, acceleration and maneuverability.  Without revenue, there is no profit and eventually you run out of gas. While venture funding may provide a startup with a temporary reprieve from this harsh reality, confusing revenue with cash will only result in failure and loss of what might be your lifelong dream.   You can borrow cash, but you cannot borrow revenue.</p>
<p>So, it would seem like building a sales operation that generates sufficient revenue to cover costs and scale profitably would be axiomatic and there would be no need to include it in a list of tips for SaaS sales executives.  Unfortunately, the characteristics of the software-as-a-service rental model&#8211;vertical integration requiring more up-front capital investment combined with low pay-as-you-go subscriptions&#8211;have conspired to obscure this unavoidable economic fact.  The challenge of the SaaS sales executive is more subtle than that of the traditional enterprise counterpart.  While large up-front enterprise license deals support an expenses-be-damned all out attack on revenue, the SaaS model requires a more measured approach that maintains a lock on acquisition expenses, high capital efficiency and a relentless drive toward profitability.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #10 &#8211; Match Supply to Demand</strong><br />
Selling enterprise software in 1995 was like expanding into a vacuum. Innovation was everywhere, business productivity leaps were huge, and new product categories were emerging everyday. If you sold well and could demonstrate immediate ROI, then you could close the deal.  In many sectors, the sales rep could show up cold and single-handedly unleash latent demand.  This is rarely the case today with SaaS.  Most SaaS businesses are built on the premise of expanding to underserved market segments, e.g., SMBs out to the long tail, or replacing traditional enterprise systems for lower TCO.  Either way, the sales hurdles are higher and they create scenarios where acquisition costs can overwhelm revenue potential.  The secret to SaaS sales success is not selling harder, it is selling smarter.</p>
<p>Selling smarter entails distinguishing between where you can profitably create demand versus where you can only profitably service it. Then, matching that demand with the nominal sales investment required to close. For example, if you go to a trade show where there are too few prospects too early in the purchase process, then you may be pushing on a string. However, if your website brings in highly qualified prospects, then your sales investment should be well worth the return.  Similarly, cold calling to a purchased list may return nothing, but calling to a targeted group of current customers or registered prospects with a specific offer might just work.  Every SaaS business has a unique and complex mix of target prospects that vary by revenue potential, pain level, product understanding, reachability, etc. Knowing where to push and where to pull is not easy, but it is essential.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #11 &#8211; Consistently Increase Contribution</strong><br />
Assuming that you have mastered the art of knowing where to push and where to pull in  your market, you still have the challenge of applying the exact amount of force required to close each individual deal.  <span id="more-517"></span> Apply too much, say too many reps or too much experience for the job at hand, and your acquisition cost exceeds the deal value.  Apply too little, and you miss opportunities or lose deals that could have been won with just a little more effort. Stray too far too often in either direction and you cannot scale profitably.</p>
<p>This tip is your CFO&#8217;s perspective of the previous <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/" target="_blank">SaaS Sales Tip # 6 Qualify Ruthlessly, Convert Proficiently.</a> When you are knee deep in the sales strategy for a specific deal or the details of your latest improvement to your pipeline management process, you should never lose sight of the fact that these activities are only the various means to a single financial end.  The ultimate goal is to maximize sales contribution, i.e., revenue &#8211; selling cost. It is impossible to scale profitably if the operation that supplies the fuel for the business burns more than it provides.  As the SaaS sales executive, you must show the same ownership of contribution that you show for revenue.  Otherwise, your short term success can spell long term failure for the business.  And, don&#8217;t fall victim to the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-failures-the-recurring-revenue-mirage/" target="_blank">recurring revenue mirage.</a> Keep it simple and be accountable.  Increase revenue while <em>consistently increasing revenue per rep and lowering fully loaded sales acquisition cost</em>, and profitability will take care of itself.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #12 &#8211; Fearlessly Face the Risk</strong><br />
<em>Don&#8217;t think you can control it.</em> This is the claim of Dont #8 of the <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/" target="_blank">Top Ten Dos and Don&#8217;ts of SaaS Success</a>.   It is as much personal counsel for SaaS executives as it is strategic advice for the business.  It is also perhaps the most difficult tenet of all for the SaaS sales executive to digest, especially when <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/b2b-saas-flies-in-the-ointment-%e2%80%93-old-enterprise-habits-die-hard/" target="_blank">coming out of a traditional enterprise software background</a> where the sales rep has maximum, albeit never complete, control over the deal.  In SaaS, as much or more control lies in the sales process, and the boundaries of that control are defined by your market&#8211;it is a numbers game.  But, managing by numbers and process metrics often feels like gambling. Kaizen does not offer the same level of managerial comfort as putting your top rep on a plane to bring in that million dollar deal before the end of the quarter.</p>
<p>Nonetheless, it is your job to bring in those numbers.  Whether or not the company has fuel for growth, <em>profitable growth</em>, depends on your performance.   Foolish attempts to eliminate risk by exercising control beyond the natural limits that your market, your sales process or any individual deal allows will cause you to over invest in unqualified demand, over spend on customer acquisition and spiral into long term unprofitability.  You cannot buy control with cash.  And, there is no room for doubt or hesitation.  You must motivate your team, maximize their chances of success, and fearlessly face the uncertainty that remains.</p>
<p>This is the fourth and final post in a series of tips for SaaS sales executives. The first three posts focused on designing an effective <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/" target="_blank">SaaS sales organization</a>, SaaS <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/" target="_blank">sales process efficiency</a>, and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/" target="_blank">accelerating revenue growth.</a></p>
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		<title>SaaS Sales Tips &#8211; Accelerating Revenue Growth</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Mar 2009 16:06:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=488</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Accelerating revenue growth amounts to increasing volume and increasing price.  For most software-as-a-service businesses, volume equals the number of paying customers that are using the product and price equals the lifetime value of each customer's subscription.]]></description>
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<p>This is the third post in a series of tips for SaaS sales executives. The first two posts focused on designing an effective <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/" target="_blank">SaaS sales organization</a> and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/" target="_blank">sales process efficiency</a>, respectively. This post is concerned with accelerating revenue growth.  The final post will discuss scaling the sales operation profitably in a high growth environment.  Enjoy!</p>
<p>In its simplest mathematical form, revenue is equal to quantity of units sold times unit price.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>revenue = volume x price</em></p>
<p>Strangely enough, this basic formula captures the essence of the SaaS sales challenge.  Accelerating revenue growth amounts to increasing volume and increasing price.  For most software-as-a-service businesses, volume equals the number of paying customers that are using the product and price equals the lifetime value of each customer&#8217;s subscription.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #7 &#8211; Lever-up through Marketing</strong><br />
In SaaS, particularly in a SaaS startup, it is very difficult and expensive to drive revenue by sales reps working alone.  Outbound calling and offline meetings explode acquisition costs by applying too much sales investment where there is too little prospect commitment (see <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/" target="_blank">SaaS Sales Tip #6</a>).  The price point and complexity of the typical SaaS deal imply an extremely <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/the-software-as-a-service-sales-and-marketing-machine/" target="_blank">tight integration between sales and marketing</a>.  As a SaaS sales executive, you should never go it alone.</p>
<p>Marketing activities provide leverage to your sales investment, because they move customers through the purchase process many at a time, whereas sales moves them though one at a time.  You should work closely with the marketing organziation to provide the feedback and direction necessary to create programs and content that bring in high quality leads, automatically nurture less committed prospects and accelerate active opportunities through to close.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #8 &#8211; Simplify, Standardize and Automate</strong><br />
In the <a href="http://saas-top-ten-10.chaotic-flow.com/" target="_blank">Top Ten Dos and Don&#8217;ts of SaaS Success</a>, I claim that you should accelerate organic growth by encouraging and enabling your customers to buy from you even if no one shows up for work. In this context, organic growth is defined as revenue aquired with zero marginal cost, now that is leverage!    When you have achieved this level of marketing proficiency, then the SaaS sales executive can take a step back and apply precious sales resources to only the highest value activities for highly qualified prospects&#8211;those places where your prospects and your pipeline benefit the most from a personal touch to move a deal along or increase its value.<br />
<span id="more-488"></span><br />
However, the principles of simplification, standardization and automation that enable your customers to serve themselves should also be used to empower your sales team. Accelerating and scaling sales volume requires streamlining the entire purchase process from click to close, regardless of who is performing the activities: the customer, the sales rep, marketing, pre-sales services or support. Simple pricing and contracts, standard qualification criteria, opportunity scoring togther with automated tools for pipeline management, forecasting, ROI calculation,  competitor intelligence, etc. will make your team more efficient and effective, allowing them to focus their precious time and energy on the most critical aspects of the most critical deals.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #9 &#8211; Maximize Customer Lifetime Value</strong><br />
One of the great benefits of the SaaS subscription model over licensed software is that you don&#8217;t have to re-book every dollar you made last quarter before you can grow revenue this quarter.  Every new booking leads to increased revenue, because it is layered on top of renewal dollars.  That is, if you maintain a low rate of attrition.  For the SaaS sales executive, responsibility for revenue does not end once a deal is closed.  It has only just begun.  Don&#8217;t expect your customers to hang around if they suffer from poor ongoing customer service, technical support or product quality.  While you may not have responsibilities for all these areas, you definitely have an interest and you should cooperate with the rest of the executive team to ensure that your customers receive the ongoing care that they need after the initial deal is done.</p>
<p>It is always easier to sell to an established customer than to a new prospect.  Therefore, you should put in place programs for up-selling and cross selling to your current customer base.  Targeting specific market segments with enticing discounts, bundles and upgrade programs can double and triple the lifetime value of your customers, depending on your product line.  But, if you don&#8217;t put in place the right process, tools and training for your sales team, they will just wing it and are unlikely to realize more than a fraction of the potential.  In addition, it is important to provide feedback to marketing and product development about where these opportunities lie.  No one knows better than the sales rep speaking with a loyal customer with budget who is looking to buy something that you just don&#8217;t have to sell.</p>
<p><em>Note: The other three posts in this series are now available and focus on  SaaS <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/" target="_blank">organization strategy</a>, <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/" target="_blank">accelerating revenue growth</a>, and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-scale-profitably/" target="_blank">scaling profitably</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Cool SaaS Companies &#8211; Blog Reader Opinion Poll</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/cool-saas-companies-opinion-poll/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/cool-saas-companies-opinion-poll/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Mar 2009 16:36:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Companies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cool-saas-startups]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-slam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-startups]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=481</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Looking for nominations of seriously Internet-cool SaaS companies.
I'll be presenting on "Future Opportunities in SaaS" at the upcoming SaaS &#038; Slam
event in Boston at the end of April, and I plan to highlight some case studies.]]></description>
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<p>This is an open call for nominations of seriously Internet-cool SaaS companies. I&#8217;ll be giving a keynote presentation on <em>Future Opportunities in SaaS</em> at the upcoming <a rel="no follow" href="http://www.softwarebusinessonline.com/conf2009/SaaS_SLAM/conf2009_program.php" target="_blank">SaaS &amp; Slam</a> event in Boston at the end of April, and I plan to highlight some case studies. (read:  free PR for cool SaaS startups)</p>
<p>In previous posts I&#8217;ve claimed that the path to <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101b-differentitate-via-the-internet/" target="_blank">differentiation in SaaS</a> is to be a true Internet-play, not just a <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/the-saas-creativity-crisis-a-slumdog-millionaire-lesson/" target="_blank">low TCO client-server application shoved through a browser</a>.  So, I&#8217;m putting together a list of software-as-a-service companies that think like Internet businesses and leverage the Web for all its worth.</p>
<p>Suggestions welcome&#8230;leave a blog comment or send me a note.</p>
<p>Cheers,<br />
JY</p>
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		<title>SaaS Sales Management Tips &#8211; Sales Process Efficiency</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 16 Mar 2009 04:04:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=442</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is the second post in a series of tips for SaaS sales executives. The first post focused designing an effective sales organization. This post is concerned with creating and managing an effective, efficient sales process. The last two posts will provide tips for accelerating revenue growth and scaling the sales operation profitably in a high growth environment.]]></description>
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<p>This is the second post in a series of tips for SaaS sales executives. The first post addressed the challenge of <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/" target="_blank">designing an effective SaaS sales organization</a>. This post is concerned with creating and managing an effective, efficient sales process. The last two posts will provide tips for accelerating revenue growth and scaling the sales operation profitably in a high growth environment.</p>
<p>In the first post in this series, I claimed that the essence of the SaaS sales operation is volume and speed, and that depending on average deal size each sales rep may need to close on the order of 100 opportunities to make quota.  As such, a close ratio of 10% vs. 70% means the difference between having to manage 1000 opportunities vs. 150.  The efficiency with which the sales process is orchestrated impacts the business from top to bottom.  Strategically, it determines the sales expense contribution to acquisition cost, while its practical impact is personally felt on a daily basis by the sales team with a direct correlation to rep motivation, burnout and turnover.   These tips address the challenge of getting the SaaS sales process under control, so that you can set proper expectations for your management and your team, increase sales performance through continuous improvement, and lay the foundation for accelerated, profitable growth.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #4 &#8211; Set Clear, Objective Sales Goals</strong><br />
Setting clear goals is good practice for any sales organization, but software-as-a-service sales managers don&#8217;t have it quite as easy as their software counterparts, because of the subscription model.  The value of a deal is more difficult to measure.  It depends on time, renewal rates, and future events beyond the initial salesperson&#8217;s control making it difficult to define exactly the dollar value of the salesperson&#8217;s contribution.  However, this murkiness makes it all the more important to clarify sales goals and remove uncertainty around compensation by having objective, clear measures of goal achievement. Having a simple, objective formula that defines the value of a deal based on recurring revenue is the easiest approach.  But, you should also have a solid model of lifetime customer value and the contribution of sales to total acquisition costs, so that you can design goals and commission plans that will scale profitably.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #5 &#8211; Measure, Measure, Measure</strong><br />
The old maxim that you can&#8217;t manage what you can&#8217;t measure is especially true in software-as-a-service sales.  Once you achieve traction in your market your sales pipeline and database will quickly swell to an unmanageable number of opportunities and prospects with a wide range of revenue potential, qualification, and complexity.  <span id="more-442"></span> While each deal requires individual handling, you must divide and conquer to allocate your organization&#8217;s time and money to the highest value opportunities with the greatest likelihood of closing.  This requires a macro view of the sales process, objective qualification criteria for every sales cycle stage, and fact-based heuristic models of pipeline movement and bookings forecasting. But before you can reach this level of sophisticated modeling and decision making, you have to put the appropriate measures and reporting in place.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #6 &#8211; Qualify Ruthlessly, Convert Proficiently</strong><br />
With a solid sales process model and objective measures in place, your focus can shift to increasing sales effectiveness through continuous improvement, <a rel="no follow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaizen" target="_blank">Kaizen</a>. Each stage in the purchase process from click to close offers opportunity for improvement. All else being equal, an increase in the conversion rate at any stage goes straight to top line revenue. Improving conversion ratios requires both ad hoc sales rep feedback and numerical measures at each sales cycle stage about the prospect&#8217;s level of commitment, the qualification of the opportunity, and the sales activities that you apply to the deal.  Sound complicated?  It isn&#8217;t. These are the same idea viewed through three different lenses: the prospects&#8217;s, the sales process, and the sales rep&#8217;s.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>prospect commitment = opportunity qualification = sales investment</em></p>
<p>When you have balanced this equation, you have efficiently allocated your sales team and maximized your sales investment at a deal-by-deal level. Spending too much time on deals that won&#8217;t close or missing out on deals that should close can ruin your acquisition cost, team morale, and overall business profitability. In a high volume sales operation, there is no time to waste on window shoppers, unique complex custom requirements, or losing competitive scenarios.  For each investment of a salesperson&#8217;s time that is made to help a prospect take the next step toward purchase, the sales rep should look for signs of equal commitment from the prospect. Developing objective criteria to qualify customers that fit your business, qualify out customers that don&#8217;t, and providing sales tools and training to move qualified prospects rapidly through to purchase is the name of the game.</p>
<p><em>Note:   The other three posts in this series are now available and focus on  SaaS </em><a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/" target="_blank">organization strategy</a>, <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/" target="_blank">accelerating revenue growth</a>, and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-scale-profitably/ " target="_blank">scaling profitably</a>.</p>
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		<title>SaaS Sales Management Tips &#8211; Organization Strategy</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-organization-strategy/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Mar 2009 13:55:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[joel york]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=396</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is the first post in a series of <em>10 Tips for the SaaS Sales Executive</em> tasked with growing revenue and building the sales capabilities at an ambitious software-as-a-service startup.  This posts will cover sales organization strategy. Future posts will cover accellerating revenue growth, sales process efficiency, and scaling profitably.]]></description>
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<p>The essence of the software-as-a-service sales model is volume and speed. It is a reflection of the larger <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-model-economics-101a-aggregating-customers-for-low-cost-advantage/">SaaS business model that assumes large economies-of-scale</a> and low subscription-based pricing. The result is that the SaaS sales operation needs to be managed as a tightly integrated service delivery system, like an airline or a luxury hotel, with each functional group working in tandem to deliver a coherent customer experience. It requires a motivated sales team on the front line that is backed by a strong process infrastructure and a service-oriented culture, as contrasted with the lone-wolf road-warrior approach of traditional enterprise software.</p>
<p>This is the first post in a series of <em>10 Tips for the SaaS Sales Executive</em> tasked with growing revenue and building the sales capabilities at an ambitious software-as-a-service startup.  This post will discuss key aspects of sales organization strategy. Future posts will provide additional tips for accelerating revenue growth, improving  sales process efficiency, and finally scaling the sales operation profitably in a high growth environment.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #1 &#8211; Instill Customer Service Excellence</strong><br />
Customer focus is not a new idea, but the difference between theory and practice can be striking from one business to another.  Achieving customer service excellence begins with values and culture, but in a high-volume business it must also be ingrained in process.  The best values in the world will not help if your salesperson fails to satisfy your customer due to faulty systems or information. In fact, over time faulty service processes will erode even the strongest cultural values, because everyone will lose faith as they see the hypocrisy between what you promise and what you can actually deliver.  Moreover, if your business is going after the SMB market or some other under-served segment, then service can be a critical differentiator.  It is more likely than not that your high-end enterprise software competitor qualifies out and ignores your sweet spot prospects, because it cannot service them profitably. This creates frustration that you can turn to your advantage by outperforming the competition in good old fashioned customer service. However, this advantage will be forfeited if you fail to establish a strong service culture and back it up with the right sales support systems, including your web site, communications infrastructure, sales automation, selling tools, training and interdepartmental cooperation, so that your sales team can deliver the goods.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #2 &#8211; Build the Right Team for the Job and Keep it Motivated</strong><br />
Sales is a tough job in any industry, but it is particularly so in SaaS. The skills required to bring in a $1M quota when the average deal value is $10K are distinctively different from those required when the average deal value is $1M.  That&#8217;s 100 deals vs. 1 deal, and that can easily translate into 100 times the activity level and 100 times the frustration if sales staff are not supported by the right management, process and culture. SaaS sales reps are a unique breed and must possess a personality with an extremely high level of energy and enthusiasm that thrives on human interaction and constant activity. <span id="more-396"></span> But, even the most energetic sales rep will need frequent encouragement and regular breaks in the action to maintain the level of motivation necessary to succeed over the long haul. Therefore, it is essential to maintain a work environment that is as motivating as it is intense.  How this is accomplished will vary by organization but public celebration of individual success, ongoing coaching and mentoring,  team building activities and a few fun perks are good places to start. Beyond that, it is a matter of hiring the right people, because hiring the wrong salesperson can be a very expensive mistake in terms of lost revenue and costs.   To balance sales performance against acquisition cost, it is important to find candidates with just the right skill fit for the job.  Over-hiring and under-hiring are both easy mistakes to make.  You should develop a clear understanding of the ideal candidate profile required for success in your specific business before conducting a single phone screen.</p>
<p><strong>SaaS Sales Tip #3 &#8211; Kaizen</strong><br />
<a rel="no follow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kaizen" target="_blank">Kaizen</a> is the Japanese concept of continuous improvement popularized in the <a rel="no follow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_Quality_Management" target="_blank">Total Quality</a> movement that originated in Japan and was exported to American manufacturing and service organizations throughout the 1980s and 90s.  The SaaS sales organization should strive for continuous improvement that drives up sales efficiency and squeezes out unnecessary acquisition costs without degrading quality of service.  In a rapidly growing business, continuous improvement can take on many different flavors.  Although essential, it is not only a matter of increasing efficiency by automating routine tasks, such as online purchase or pipeline reporting. When your business is growing, your sales organization and process must not only improve, it must also adapt, which means maintaining a high degree of flexibility and tolerance for change as you increase efficiency. For example, you will frequently hear that you should separate sales and account management, hunters from gatherers.  But, this is only one organizational variation that you may need to evolve into as you grow.  Reps may wear multiple hats for months or years, and then need to have their responsibilities redefined as the organization grows.  Have a long term organizational vision, watch the trends, and consciously decide when to take on new organizational complexity or to eliminate a manual task through automation.  Keep your team in the loop, because the best improvements often come from the ground up.  And, nothing kills motivation like missed expectations. One day your best rep is both a hunter and a gatherer. The next day this rep is only one. And, the day after that your best rep quits&#8211;unless you have managed the change effectively.</p>
<p>To be continued&#8230;</p>
<p><em>Note:   The other three posts in this series are now available and focus on  SaaS <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-management-tips-sales-process-efficiency/" target="_blank">sales process efficiency</a>, <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-accelerating-revenue-growth/" target="_blank">accelerating revenue growth</a>, and <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-sales-tips-scale-profitably/" target="_blank">scaling profitably</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>The SaaS Creativity Crisis &#8211; A Slumdog Millionaire Story</title>
		<link>http://chaotic-flow.com/the-saas-creativity-crisis-a-slumdog-millionaire-lesson/</link>
		<comments>http://chaotic-flow.com/the-saas-creativity-crisis-a-slumdog-millionaire-lesson/?show=comments#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Feb 2009 04:55:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joel York</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[SaaS Blog]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[SaaS Model]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[saas-strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[slumdog-millionaire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[software as a service]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://chaotic-flow.com/?p=357</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
			
				
			
		
I consistently find myself lamenting the dearth of creativity in the SaaS community. Too many SaaS applications that could be as exciting as the Internet itself are offered up as enterprise software pushed through a browser, simply cheaper (and slower) than their otherwise indistinguishable client-server predecessors.
However, creativity is not easy to come by in any [...]]]></description>
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<p>I consistently find myself lamenting the dearth of creativity in the SaaS community. Too many SaaS applications that could be as exciting as the Internet itself are offered up as enterprise software pushed through a browser, simply cheaper (and slower) than their otherwise indistinguishable client-server predecessors.</p>
<p>However, creativity is not easy to come by in any profession.  Several years back, I found myself working in Delhi for about a month.  In addition to work, my wife Christy and I set out to experience as much<a rel="no follow" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/21271945@N06/sets/72157614232204155/show/" target="_blank"> Indian culture as the trip would allow</a>, visiting all manner of villages, markets, museums, shrines and the like.  <img style="margin: 0px 5px 0px 0px;" src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/slumdog-millionaire.jpg" alt="" align="left" /> Christy, who is an artist, spent a great deal of time being driven around by the local Delhi taxi drivers in search of Indian miniature paintings, and never failed to bring back an interesting cabbie story as a bonus&#8211;mostly about wrestling with the driver in order to go where she wanted to go as opposed to where he wanted to take her&#8230;always a very special shop.  While out on one of these adventures, she decided to go see a real Bollywood film at a local Delhi movie heater. The driver (who preferred to take her to a shop) said &#8220;Why would you want to do that?  Have you seen one before? There are much more interesting things to do while you are here. Those films are all the same.  If you have seen one, you&#8217;ve seen them all. There is a good brother and a bad brother. And, a pretty girl. In the end, the good brother gets the girl. Then, dancing! The end.&#8221;</p>
<p>Several weeks ago, Christy and I enjoyed seeing the film <a rel="no follow" href="http://www.foxsearchlight.com/slumdogmillionaire/" target="_blank">Slumdog Millionaire,</a> <img style="margin: 0px 0px 5px 0px;" src="http://chaotic-flow.com/media/slumdog-movie.jpg" alt="" align="right" />which last night won Oscars for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Screenplay, etc. To our unbridled amusement, this was exactly the plot of the film.  In truth, the film not only appears to lack originality, it is also highly derivative.  <a rel="no follow" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Slumdog_Millionaire" target="_blank">Produced out of the UK,</a> it incorporates a wide array of European and Hollywood tricks. So, what makes it a great movie? The real creativity lies in its synthesis, not its originality.  The decision to reuse this worn out Bollywood motif right down to the dancing that evidently even the Delhi drivers know as well as any film critic was clearly done with intent, perhaps for irony or humor or formulaic box office success or for all of the above. But, the film also weaves together a wealth of authentic India modernity from slum children and organized crime to reality TV and the indeterminate values of the new Indian middle class, while simultaneously staying true to its traditional genre.</p>
<p>It seems to me <span id="more-357"></span> that if a little creativity can transform a mundane plot line into an award-winning film (and book), and for that matter if a kid from a Mumbai slum today can dream of being a millionaire, then software-as-a-service can aspire to be more than a cheap client-server application delivered through a browser.  If a software entrepreneur is willing to risk savings and security in pursuit of a vision, then that vision should be well worth the risk.    What makes software-as-a-service exciting is not the ability to deliver a tired old business application at a lower total cost of ownership, but the <a href="http://chaotic-flow.com/saas-economics-101b-differentitate-via-the-internet/">power to tap into the 