<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<?xml-stylesheet type="text/xsl" media="screen" href="/~d/styles/rss2full.xsl"?><?xml-stylesheet type="text/css" media="screen" href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~d/styles/itemcontent.css"?><rss xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/" xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/" xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/" xmlns:feedburner="http://rssnamespace.org/feedburner/ext/1.0" version="2.0">

<channel>
	<title>Critical Thinking Applied</title>
	
	<link>http://critical-thinker.net</link>
	<description>Towards a more reasoned and civil discourse</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Sun, 13 May 2012 17:31:01 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.1</generator>
		<atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/CriticalThinkingApplied" /><feedburner:info uri="criticalthinkingapplied" /><atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="hub" href="http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/" /><item>
		<title>Keynes and Austerity</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/62IR7bOUPwM/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1305#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 May 2012 17:30:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1305</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I believe Lorenzo did and excellent job is his essay pointing out the complex fiscal picture in Greece.  He does seem to be a bit at odds with Jeff&#8217;s comments in his recent post when he writes this:
</p>
<p>As Greece is suffering worst, it becomes the focal point of the crisis. But the Greek austerity measures are cutting so deep, some people may end up paying to have a job. As the Melbourne Weekly reports:
</p>

<p>Amid deep <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1305">Keynes and Austerity</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=0f0baa61ce120f30c65770c1c71a0f95&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>I believe Lorenzo did and excellent job is <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?paged=2">his</a> essay pointing out the complex fiscal picture in Greece.  He does seem to be a bit at odds with Jeff&#8217;s comments in his recent <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1289">post</a> when he writes this:
</p>
<blockquote><p>As Greece is suffering worst, it becomes the focal point of the crisis. But the Greek austerity measures are cutting so deep, some people may end up paying to have a job. As the Melbourne Weekly reports:
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:9pt">Amid deep humiliation and great uncertainty about what it means to be Greek and, more particularly, European, enraged Athenians are lashing out as the weight of five grinding years of recession and the promise of perhaps decades of crippling reform and restructuring crushes the living breath from them.<br />
</span></p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>And the bailout terms are stark:
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p><span style="font-size:9pt">The conditions insisted upon by Europe and barely delivered on by Athens, include the axing of 150,000 jobs from an 800,000-strong public sector by 2016 and a 22 per cent slice off the minimum wage – in a country in which average wages have dropped 15 per cent since 2009. The retirement age is to be lifted from 58 to 65 and restrictive closed shops that control the professions and services are to be busted.<br />
</span></p>
</blockquote>
<p>However, the austere, tight money policy of the European Central Bank (ECB) seems to be the largest factor for the issues in Europe.
</p>
<p>I think that the conservative mantra of Keynesian economics is a bit of a red herring.  The assumption they impute to Keynes is that he advocated perpetual government spending and debt to stimulate the economy.  This is not accurate and a vast oversimplification.  I submit these articles as evidence: <a href="http://topics.nytimes.com/topics/reference/timestopics/people/k/john_maynard_keynes/index.html">New York Times</a>, <a href="http://www.econlib.org/library/Enc/KeynesianEconomics.html">The Concise Encyclopedia of Economics</a>,  and <a href="http://www.adamsmith.org/research/articles/review-keynes-hayek-the-clash-that-defined-modern-economics">AdamSmith.org</a>
	</p>
<p>I would also like to highlight a quote from <a href="http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2011/06/paul-krugman-mr-keynes-and-the-moderns.html">this</a> article:
</p>
<blockquote><p>When does the need for deficit spending end?
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>There&#8217;s something else worth pointing out about an analysis that stresses the role of debtors forced into rapid deleveraging. It helps solve a problem Keynes never addressed, namely, when does the need for deficit spending end?
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The reason this is relevant is concern about rising public debt. I constantly encounter the argument that our crisis was brought on by too much debt – which is largely my view as well – followed by the insistence that the solution can&#8217;t possibly involve even more debt.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Once you think about this argument, however, you realize that it implicitly assumes that debt is debt – that it doesn&#8217;t matter who owes the money. Yet that can&#8217;t be right; if it were, we wouldn&#8217;t have a problem in the first place. After all, the overall level of debt makes no difference to aggregate net worth – one person&#8217;s liability is another person&#8217;s asset.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>It follows that the level of debt matters only if the distribution of net worth matters, if highly indebted players face different constraints from players with low debt. And this means that all debt isn&#8217;t created equal – which is why borrowing by some actors now can help cure problems created by excess borrowing by other actors in the past.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Suppose, in particular, that the government can borrow for a while, using the borrowed money to buy useful things like infrastructure. The true social cost of these things will be very low, because the spending will be putting resources that would otherwise be unemployed to work. And government spending will also make it easier for highly indebted players to pay down their debt. If the spending is sufficiently sustained, it can bring the debtors to the point where they&#8217;re no longer so severely balance-sheet constrained, and further deficit spending is no longer required to achieve full employment.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Yes, private debt will in part have been replaced by public debt – but the point is that debt will have been shifted away from severely balance-sheet-constrained players, so that the economy&#8217;s problems will have been reduced even if the overall level of debt hasn&#8217;t fallen.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The bottom line, then, is that the plausible-sounding argument that debt can&#8217;t cure debt is just wrong. On the contrary, it can – and the alternative is a prolonged period of economic weakness that actually makes the debt problem harder to resolve.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>And it seems to me that thinking explicitly about the role of debt, not just with regard to the usefulness or lack thereof of wage flexibility, but as a key causal factor behind slumps, improves Keynes&#8217;s argument. In the long run we are, indeed, all dead, but it&#8217;s helpful to have a story about why expansionary fiscal policy need not be maintained forever.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I think it would be more accurate to assert that Keynes was an advocate of stimulus rather than debt, growth rather than austerity.  Keynes would prefer the stimulus to come from the private sector but as a witness to the Great Depression he saw that severe austerity leads to severe depression.
</p>
<p>From a personal finance point of view austerity makes perfect sense; the less one spends and acquires debt the faster one can quite paying interest and start to save.  However, from a macroscopic economic point when the entire economy is austere no one is hiring, the economy is not growing but shutting down.  Private debt and public debt increase under severe austerity.
</p>
<p><a href="http://mixermuse.com/blog/2012/02/03/down-the-rabbit-hole-2/">The 5.1 trillion dollars worth of debt attributed directly to Bush as opposed to 983 billion attribute directly to Obama</a> was in large part due to Bush tax cuts and the vast rate of decline of the economy under Bush.  When GDP goes down, debt goes up for both the private and the public sector.
</p>
<p>One example of this is how the Republican and Democratic decades old food stamp program which was not changed by President Obama went up dramatically due to the Bush recession from the same link just quoted.
</p>
<blockquote><p>Food stamps have been tied to poverty levels for decades. President Obama has nothing to do with the automatic levels that kicked in due to the recession that started in the Bush administration.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.cbpp.org/cms/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;id=2226">Eligibility for food stamps</a> did not change under Obama.  More folks qualified for food stamps under the guidelines many Republicans helped to establish.  In any case, the food stamp program is clearly an example of how the slowdown in growth of the economy leads to debt.
</p>
<p>Republicans have often sided with the idea of government stimulus.  Even Bush cut checks during his administration for individuals up to $600 and couples up to $1,200.  This is no different of a stimulus that what Obama did with infrastructure.  The idea is that the more money that is available and accessible in the economy, the more likely growth will take place.  Keynes did not believe in running public debt forever.  He thought it was necessary when austerity prevailed on a macroeconomic level since the private sector was incapable of stimulating itself out of its predicament and continued decline would very likely and historically, demonstrably end in severe depression or recession.  When the private sector was growing Keynes was conservative and believed in paying down debt contrary to certain popular beliefs about him.
</p>
<p>One more point with regard to austerity, the consumer makes up 2/3 of the US economy.  Republicans, Bush and chiefly conservative business folks have vigorously advocated consumer spending NOT austerity to stimulate growth.  This is clearly evidence that the notion that Keynes had that stimulus, whether public or private, leads to economic growth.  When the economy tanks, private debt grows and the economy slows dramatically.  Monetary policy has been created to offset and counter the situation and keep it from worsening.  You will also find that the idea that inflation increases with public debt is not historically accurate as <a href="http://economistsview.typepad.com/economistsview/2011/06/paul-krugman-mr-keynes-and-the-moderns.html">this</a> article demonstrates:
</p>
<blockquote><p>What anyone who understood Keynes should realize is that as long as output is depressed, there is no reason increased government borrowing need drive rates up; it&#8217;s just making use of some of those excess potential savings – and it therefore helps the economy recover. To be sure, sufficiently large government borrowing could use up all the excess savings, and push rates up – but to do that the government borrowing would have to be large enough to restore full employment!
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Keynes would be the idiot Republican&#8217;s think he is if what they were parroting was accurate of his thought: eternal, increasing debt whether private or public is the death of a vibrant economy but so is eternal austerity.  As is almost always the case, the devil is in the details &#8211; oversimplification may make for good emotive politics but tends toward perpetuating mistakes of the past and endlessly repeating histories that we once learned from.</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/62IR7bOUPwM" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1305</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1305</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Austerity measures? Where?</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/SIY0IskgbkY/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1289#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 09 May 2012 12:00:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeffrey Ellis</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Critical Thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[austerity]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[critical thinking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stimulus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1289</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Keynesian crowd has made much ado lately about how European &#8220;austerity measures&#8221; have tanked their economies. For example, here&#8217;s what Paul Krugman had to say:</p>
<p>What’s wrong with the prescription of spending cuts as the remedy for Europe’s ills? One answer is that the confidence fairy doesn’t exist — that is, claims that slashing government spending would somehow encourage consumers and businesses to spend more have been overwhelmingly refuted by the experience of the past two <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1289">Austerity measures? Where?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=457f4680427a2ef79dc4631f94ec3b8b&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>The Keynesian crowd has made much ado lately about how European &#8220;austerity measures&#8221; have tanked their economies. For example, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/07/opinion/krugman-those-revolting-europeans.html?_r=2">here&#8217;s what Paul Krugman had to say</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>What’s wrong with the prescription of spending cuts as the remedy for Europe’s ills? One answer is that the confidence fairy doesn’t exist — that is, claims that slashing government spending would somehow encourage consumers and businesses to spend more have been overwhelmingly refuted by the experience of the past two years. So spending cuts in a depressed economy just make the depression deeper.</p></blockquote>
<p>These recent posts are liberally (no pun intended) sprinkled with words like &#8220;austerity&#8221; and &#8220;slashed&#8221; to describe how the budgets of European governments have been reigned in just when, according to the Keynesians, stimulus spending was most needed.</p>
<p>The only problem is, it isn&#8217;t true.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.qando.net/?p=12992"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-1294" title="fiscal_austerity_europe" src="http://critical-thinker.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/fiscal_austerity_europe1.jpg" alt="Fiscal austerity in Europe" width="475" height="356" /></a></p>
<p>To the extent any cutting is going on there, it&#8217;s hardly undoing the preceding two years of spending increases. It certainly doesn&#8217;t qualify as &#8220;slashing.&#8221;</p>
<p>If you want to see what happens when a European country <em>really </em>implements austerity measures, <a href="http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2012/05/anti-keynesian-supply-side-tax-and.html">look no further than Sweden</a>. Three years ago they implemented a permanent tax cut and trimmed welfare to pay for it, and cut property taxes to attract wealthy entrepreneurs. The result: the fastest growing economy in Europe, and a retired deficit.</p>
<p>(<strong>UPDATE</strong>: As commenter Steve Ruble has pointed out, Sweden&#8217;s government spending went from 54.9% of GDP in 2009 to 51.3% of GDP in 2011. This hardly counts as &#8220;austerity&#8221; and &#8220;slashing&#8221; as the article I cited claimed. Consequently we still don&#8217;t have an example of a European country that has really implemented austerity measures, so we still can&#8217;t see what the result of true European austerity would be.)</p>
<p>And if you want to see how countries compare for government spending as a percentage of GDP, <a href="http://cafehayek.com/2012/05/20174.html">here&#8217;s the data</a> (albeit from 2009):</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><strong>2009 Central Govt expenses as % of GDP</strong><br />
Greece 50.7<br />
France 47.6<br />
UK 46.4<br />
Netherlands 45.6<br />
Italy 44.0<br />
Czech Republic 37.3<br />
Estonia 36.8<br />
Norway 35.9<br />
Poland 35.8<br />
Finland 35.0<br />
Germany 31.7<br />
Russia 30.9<br />
Spain 30.7<br />
Turkey 27.3<br />
Australia 26.6<br />
<strong>US 26.3</strong><br />
Brazil 25.6<br />
Malaysia 22.7<br />
Chile 22.6<br />
South Korea 21.9<br />
Thailand 19.6<br />
Canada 19.2<br />
India 16.2<br />
Indonesia 15.7<br />
Switzerland 17.0</p>
<p>But we already know there is a <a href="http://thethinkerblog.com/?p=1404">strong correlation between the size of government and rate of economic growth of the country</a>, so it should not be a surprise that the countries struggling the most are, generally speaking, the ones with the largest governments.</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/SIY0IskgbkY" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1289</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>6</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1289</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Don’t mention the A-word</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/GZKYrgdpras/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1283#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 May 2012 01:50:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lorenzo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[central banking]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[monetary policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RBA]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1283</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The Eurozone, the US, Japan and the UK are all suffering prolonged economic stagnation. [You can see how serious it is in the US here.]  It is sensible to suggest that they are doing something (or perhaps many things) wrong and need to change policy.</p>
<p>What is not sensible is ignoring a developed world economy that has conspicuously not suffered any of the economic stagnation problems that have hit the major developed economies. Indeed, has not <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1283">Don&#8217;t mention the A-word</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=668751016e54cb9081950a237307ccd1&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>The Eurozone, the US, Japan and the UK are all suffering prolonged economic stagnation. [You can see how serious it is in the US <a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2012/05/april-employment-report-115000-jobs-81.html" target="_blank">here</a>.]  It is sensible to suggest that they are doing something (or perhaps many things) wrong and need to change policy.</p>
<p>What is not sensible is ignoring a developed world economy that has conspicuously not suffered any of the economic stagnation problems that have hit the major developed economies. Indeed, has not had a recession (in the sense of two quarters of economic contraction) since 1991. That sailed through the Great Recession and Global Financial Crisis (aka GFC) with barely a ripple. Whose current problems are not of economic stagnation but of maintaining economic balance when one part of the economy is doing much better than another.</p>
<p>That country is Australia. Yes, it is true that the surge in commodity demand (centred on China) has been <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2011/images/sp-ag-090311-graph1.gif" target="_blank">a boon</a> to the Australian economy (well, to the commodity exporting States; the resultant surge in the value of the $A has been a problem for the tourism-and-goods exporting States—the commodity boom has been a distinctly mixed blessing). But Australia had also managed to avoid recession even when its <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terms_of_trade" target="_blank">terms of trade</a> (the ratio of the price of what it sells to the price of what it buys) were in <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2010/sp-gov-291110.html" target="_blank">long-term decline</a> and when commodity prices dropped dramatically at the onset of the Great Recession. Indeed, the fall in Australia’s exports as a % of GDP <a href="http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=12985" target="_blank">was worse than</a> the US’s.</p>
<p>Yet the Australian success gets mostly ignored. A classic example is Raghuram Rajan’s <a href="http://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/134863/raghuram-g-rajan/the-true-lessons-of-the-recession" target="_blank">recent piece</a> in <em>Foreign Affairs</em>. (Non-gated version <a href="http://faculty.chicagobooth.edu/raghuram.rajan/research/papers/FA%20May%202012.pdf" target="_blank">here</a> [pdf].) Much of what he has to say about the desirability for supply-side reforms is sensible. Indeed, much of what he advocates Australia has already done; which makes the failure to mention what <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Australia" target="_blank">should be</a> the <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2011/sp-ag-090311.html" target="_blank">poster-polity</a> for what he is advocating all the more of a glaring failure.</p>
<p>The problem with mentioning Australia is that it does not conform to the stories that Rajan and others want to tell about what went wrong. Rajan essentially ignores monetary policy, both in the commonly offered solutions to economic stagnation (fiscal stimulus and even-lower interest rates: interest rates are a very limited way of looking at monetary policy) and in diagnosing why the economic stagnation descended. So Rajan writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>today’s economic troubles are not simply the result of inadequate demand but the result, equally, of a distorted supply side.</p></blockquote>
<p>Australia has done a lot of supply-side reforms, so perhaps it can be ignored.  Except Rajan goes on to say:</p>
<blockquote><p>For decades before the financial crisis in 2008, advanced economies were losing their ability to grow by making useful things. But they needed to somehow replace the jobs that had been lost to technology and foreign competition and to pay for the pensions and health care of their aging populations. So in an effort to pump up growth, governments spent more than they could afford and promoted easy credit to get households to do the same. The growth that these countries engineered, with its dependence on borrowing, proved unsustainable.</p></blockquote>
<p>Does anyone really think Australia just magically averted such structural problems, that its economy is somehow profoundly different from other developed countries? Given its per capita GDP growth <a href="http://i.imgur.com/S8Ztg.png" target="_blank">has been respectable</a> but not outstanding. In particular, while its public finances were <a href="http://www.indexmundi.com/g/r.aspx?c=as&amp;v=143">much sounder</a>, with public debt reduced to <a href="http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?c=as&amp;v=143">very low levels</a>, enthusiastic embrace of private debt meant that the total level of indebtedness was and is <a href="http://shewingthefly.com/2012/04/28/yet-more-on-the-uk/">comparable to</a> other developed countries.</p>
<p>The story that Rajan wants to tell is that:</p>
<blockquote><p>the common thread was that debt-fueled growth was unsustainable.</p></blockquote>
<p>Except, apparently, in Australia.  Australia ran a mildly higher inflation rate than the US during the “<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Moderation">Great Moderation</a>”, so its monetary policy was more “lax” than “easy money-easy credit” US.</p>
<p>Rajan is claiming that low interest rates are an “easy credit” policy: but credit is a supply-and-demand process. Yes, low interest rates make credit cheap to buy but it also reduces the return on providing it. Something is missing in this story; that a lot of capital was looking for safe havens. Many developing economies might be vigorously growing, but they have also been significantly failing to satisfy the demand for safer assets. Said demand therefore flowed into developed countries: including Australia, which continues to run the substantial current account deficits it has for 50 years (i.e. be a net importer of capital). So, the “too much debt/easy credit” story of sin Rajan (and others) want to tell just does not work if you include Australia.</p>
<p>It is true that Australian financial institutions were not much affected by the GFC and that Australian housing prices have not crashed (yet). The former is, in part, because of superior prudential regulation. This includes the Australian banking trade-off where the “four pillars” (NAB, Westpac, ANZ, CBA) have some level of protection in return for strong prudential oversight. Conversely, the American banking sector is far more fragmented, due to regulatory blocks on inter-state branching. Comparison with the performance of both the Canadian and the Australian banking sectors suggests that this regulated fragmentation has not been a social positive. (The much-discussed separation of investment and deposit banking is much less important.) But the GFC does not explain the Great Recession. On the contrary, a <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/yglesias/2011/08/09/291607/price-expectations/">failure of monetary policy</a> both aggravated the GFC and created the Great Recession; as was also true <a href="http://www.dartmouth.edu/~dirwin/Did%20France%20Cause%20the%20Great%20Depression.pdf">for the Great Depression</a> [pdf].</p>
<p>So, despite “lax” monetary policy, fairly standard levels of indebtedness and a considerable export shock, Australian demand (and so income) did not collapse. Which meant debt remained manageable. Why?</p>
<p>The simple answer is: because our central bank is not mad (unlike <a href="http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=14199">other central banks</a>). The RBA looks like a standard inflation-targeting central bank. Except it does not have a fixed inflation target, it has an <a href="http://www.rba.gov.au/monetary-policy/inflation-target.html">explicit average-over-the-business-cycle</a> target. Which means that, if output falls, the money supply does not have to follow output down. On the contrary, counteracting monetary stimulus “smooths out the bumps”. The effect is not merely to anchor price expectations, but to anchor income expectations <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2012/04/simplest-argument-for-central-banks-to.html">as well</a>. We did not end up in the situation where people are nervous about their income expectations but confident in their price expectations (i.e. the future-<a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2012/03/money-is-transaction-good-so.html">swap-value</a>-of-money), which then encourages people to hold onto their money, which leads to less transactions and so less income (income being someone else’s spending; i.e. price x transactions), which increases concerns about income, leading to a downward spiral in transactions. Low interest rates are not a sign of “easy” money; they are generally a sign of “tight” money; of money being expected to retain—or even increase—its average swap values. (Inflation expectations in the US are currently <a href="http://www.clevelandfed.org/research/data/inflation_expectations/index.cfm" target="_blank">very low</a> while cash flow uncertainty can have, unsurprisingly, a <a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1923829">significantly negative impact</a> on corporate investment and employment.)</p>
<p>The RBA is also an example of the Australian ability to “do” bureaucracy. It has a clear policy focus, set out in a public letter of agreement between the Governor and the Treasurer, and a strong organisational identity that extends to <a href="http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=13454#comment-142177">deliberately investing</a> in developing the skills and experience of its staff.</p>
<p>Rajan wants to tell a structural story for an economic downturn. Certainly, one understands the temptation of a crisis: “oh look, a crisis!, now I can get my favourite reforms through”. But that does not make it sound economics. On the contrary, there simply is <a href="http://esoltas.blogspot.com.au/2012/05/your-arguments-structural-problems.html">no necessary trade-off</a> between dealing with short-run level-of-economic-activity problems and fixing long-term structural problems. (And something that is clear enough to a high school student, however scarily smart, should probably be clear to a full professor.)</p>
<p>If income collapses, debt becomes much harder to manage. If your income does not collapse, you are much less likely to have a debt-management problem. Yes, lots of developed countries are having debt-management problems. But that is not because they were strikingly more indebted than Australia (even if their public debt levels are higher). It is because spending, and so income, did collapse.</p>
<p>Rajan’s penchant for false dichotomies does not just manifest in short-term/long-term trade-off claims, it also extends to excluding policy possibilities:</p>
<blockquote><p>The way out of the crisis cannot be still more borrowing and spending, especially if the spending does not build lasting assets that will help future generations pay off the debts that they will be saddled with.</p></blockquote>
<p>Someone’s future liabilities are also someone else’s future income (which is why debt defaults worry folk so; yes, it eliminates someone’s liabilities but it also eliminates someone else’s assets: this also increases your risk premium for any future borrowing). But, leaving that aside, there can be spending without borrowing: that is the joy of monetary stimulus. Yes, the fiscal multiplier is <a href="http://www.themoneyillusion.com/?p=13715">a measure of</a> central bank incompetence. Yes, the monetary authority “moves last”. But, if it is competent, it chooses to move in ways that do not create catastrophic collapses in spending and so income. If people have more confidence in their future income prospects, they will spend. And, if they spend, income goes up and debt becomes much more manageable.</p>
<p>Yes, it would be a good idea if developed countries reformed their public sectors, if they abolished regulations that protect incumbents and retard economic activity, if they got their debt levels under control. All things Australia has done (but, in some areas—notably its land use <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Permit_raj">permit raj</a>’s—not enough). But neither the Great Recession nor the Global Financial Crisis would have been anywhere near as severe if the US, the UK and the Eurozone had had central banks as competent and accountable as the RBA. If they now became as competent and accountable as the RBA, economic recovery would occur much quicker and unemployment would fall much faster. The alleviation of utterly unnecessary human misery would be worth it all on its own. And structural reform could be sold as providing benefits, not simply sharing pain. Pain that, moreover, will not get folk spending again: for that, you have to change their expectations in positive ways. Which central banks can do more thoroughly, and far more cheaply, than anyone else. All it takes is to be as competent, and as accountable, as the RBA.</p>
<p>It is very, very necessary that folk start using the A-word, and considering the example it provides, a lot more.</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/GZKYrgdpras" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1283</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1283</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>About Austrian economics</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/hd7khHdr5Uw/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1246#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 24 Apr 2012 09:11:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lorenzo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[civility]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Austrian school]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1246</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I find Steve Horwitz, along with George Selgin (prominent advocate of free banking and supporter of a productivity norm [pdf] for monetary policy), the most accessible of contemporary Austrian school economists as they are both clear writers who seek to engage with those who are not of their school and are refreshingly free of the nastiness that so many Austrian school commentators seem prone to. (Little, if any, of what I have to say in the <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1246">About Austrian economics</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=668751016e54cb9081950a237307ccd1&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>I find <a href="http://www.freebanking.org/author/horwitz/">Steve Horwitz</a>, along with <a href="http://www.freebanking.org/author/selgin/">George Selgin</a> (prominent advocate of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Free_banking">free banking</a> and supporter of <a href="http://mises.org/books/less_than_zero_selgin.pdf">a productivity norm</a> [pdf] for monetary policy), the most accessible of contemporary <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austrian_School">Austrian school</a> economists as they are both clear writers who seek to engage with those who are not of their school and are refreshingly free of the nastiness that so many Austrian school commentators seem prone to. (Little, if any, of what I have to say in the following applies to Selgin and some applies to general tendencies in Austrian commentary rather than Horwitz.)*</p>
<p>Horwitz has written a <a href="http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1801532">very useful paper</a> on <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Friedrich_Hayek">Hayek</a> and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynes">Keynes</a>’ different understanding of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Capital_(economics)">capital</a>. Points that strike me reading the paper, and particularly Horwitz’s presentation of the Hayekian/Austrian concept of capital, include:</p>
<p>(1) The Austrian view of capital is over-impressed by differentiation, as when Horwitz writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>What is central for the Austrian theory is that capital is not homogenous;  capital goods are not perfect substitutes for one another.  Any given good can only serve in a limited number of production plans, and it is not possible to create any given production plan out of any capital goods.  Goods are not infinitely substitutable, and not all goods have the requisite complementarity necessary to be part of any particular production plan.   This emphasis on the “heterogeneity” of capital distinguishes Austrian capital theory from many of its predecessors, especially those, most obviously <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frank_Knight">Knight</a>&#8216;s “Crusonia plant” or <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_Solow">Solow</a>s “shmoo,” that viewed capital as a homogenous fund of resources from which equally useful “ladles” could be applied to any production process</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes, once resources are allocated to specific capital, they are difficult to shift to other uses. Nevertheless, the ongoing process of allocating resources to creating capital is important in its own right. Capital is not homogeneous (neither is labour; something which seems to figure rather less in Austrian analysis) but there is enough flow of resources in an economy that heterogeneity is not all there is to grapple with.</p>
<p>(2) Thus, there is, in the Austrian approach, a somewhat “frozen” view of capital: that it can be difficult to reallocate, does not make it impossible. As Horwitz notes later in the paper, the loss of value in capital no longer allocated to its original use measures how difficult but not impossible it is. Conversely, heterogeneity of labour would suggest that labour markets also have adjustment delays and constraints, which sits rather poorly with Austrian confidence in fully flexible wages if there were no regulatory interventions.</p>
<p>(3) At the same time, there is a perfectionist view of markets, that there is a “correct” arrangement of capital. As when Horwitz writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>&#8230; the capital structure and the process of monetary calculation that drives it is the fundamental coordinating process of the market economy.  Fitting those pieces together as correctly as possible, in response to knowledge and incentives produced by the pleasurable and unpleasureable beeps of profit and loss, is what ensures ongoing economic coordination and growth.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes, profit and loss direct resources to more valuable uses, but the notion of a single “correct” outcome glides over a whole lot of issues about incentives, constraints, information flows, etc. Yes, the “pieces” have to fit together, but they are constantly being created and replaced, with a fair bit of “good enough” going on because of various constraints, varied incentives, information asymmetries, etc.</p>
<p>(4) The emphasis on the role of money in economic calculation is somewhat one-sided, as when Horwitz writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>What guides this process of plan formation, deconstruction, and reconstruction is monetary calculation.  In a market economy where capital goods have money prices, those prices enable entrepreneurs to prospectively formulate budgets and retrospectively calculate profits and losses.  Budgets based on those prices are what enable entrepreneurs to decide which capital goods will effectively serve as complements in an integrated production plan.  After that plan has been executed, profits and losses signal owners of capital whether or not the plan was successful, which enables them to decide whether the uses of capital were, in fact, sufficiently complementary to continue.  If not, then the money prices of other capital goods provide the information necessary to engage in another round of calculation and budgeting to see what sorts of capital goods might serve as substitutes for pieces of the failed plan.</p></blockquote>
<p>Yes, the various “<a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2012/03/money-is-transaction-good-so.html">swap values</a>” of money (for goods and services) matter, but what entrepreneurs are really interested in is expected income; that is, price x transactions. It is not that there is no concept of demand/expected income in the Austrian analysis, it is that, at crucial points in the argument, price is emphasized to the extent that transaction levels, and so income expectations, disappear from view. (David Beckworth has <a href="http://macromarketmusings.blogspot.com.au/2012/04/is-there-really-aggregate-demand.html">a nice post</a> connecting collapsing transaction levels, and so income expectations, as reported by business survey respondents, with the economic downturn in the US; or, to put it another way, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/It's_the_economy,_stupid">it’s the level of transactions,&#8230;</a> .) Price is not a perfectly flexible lever; particularly given the different time scales between stages of production, to use Austrian language, and constraints in labour markets.</p>
<p>(5) Following on from (4), the fundamental role of money in an economy is to facilitate transactions, including across time. The typical Austrian emphasis on money-for-calculation, and presumption of state monopolies as over-suppliers of money, leads to an obsession with inflation and the risk of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hyperinflation">hyperinflation</a>. (Hence my comment that an internet Austrian is someone who has <a href="http://marketmonetarist.com/2012/04/02/how-can-you-tell-an-internet-austrian/">predicted 10 of the last 0 bouts of hyperinflation</a>.) As a matter of historical fact, <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deflation">deflation</a> (and <a href="http://thinkprogress.org/yglesias/2011/08/09/291607/price-expectations/">unexpected disinflation</a>) can be much more destructive of economic activity than inflation. Both inflation and deflation interfere with money as a means of economic calculation, but deflation (and unexpected disinflation) also drives down income/economic activity, which makes is much more destructive. But the Austrian view of business cycles is so focused on finding reasons for busts in the previous booms (those money over-supplying central banks) that it, in effect, blames the effects of deflation on previous inflation. Yet inflation and deflation are <i>equally</i> monetary phenomena, one is not causally dominant over the other.</p>
<p>(6) The Austrian theory operates in terms of saving preferences, conceived as <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_preference">time preferences</a>, as when Horwitz writes:</p>
<blockquote><p>Hayek and the Austrians were working from a classical loanable funds theory of the interest rate. On this view, the interest rate was the price of time, emerging from the supply of loanable funds from savers and the demand for loanable funds by investors.</p></blockquote>
<p>If interest rates are the price of time, where is risk? It is true that time preferences vary between people and periods of life. But so does risk aversion and assessments of risk. Shifts in risk assessments (and income expectations) seem generally a much more plausible reason for changes in interest rates (and asset prices generally) than some unexplained (what economists call ‘endogenous’) shift in time preference (which can be expected to be much more stable than risk assessments). Saying that risk assessments are subsumed into time preferences would be hand-waving to excuse the downplaying of risk assessments.</p>
<p>It is not that the Austrian picture denies risk, it is that, at a crucial point in the argument, the argument is mounted in terms of time preferences, which gives the prices-will-coordinate-so-well-there-can-be-no-general-glut-of-goods-and-services story more plausibility than it otherwise would have. Put things in terms of risk and then the possibility of a precipitous decline in spending which prices <a href="http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2010/06/is-macroeconomics-hard.html?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+BradDelongsSemi-dailyJournal+%28Brad+DeLong%27s+Semi-Daily+Journal%2">will not successfully compensate for</a> becomes much more plausible. Particularly as <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sticky_prices">sticky prices</a> are typically a form of risk-management. </p>
<p>(7) Horwitz puts the Austrian business cycle theory on its best construction when he writes that Austrians:</p>
<blockquote><p>look for explanations of recessions or “busts” by asking if the bust was preceded by a boom.  A boom is not a necessary condition for a recession but it is sufficient, and Austrians argue that a preceding boom is the most frequent cause of a bust.  Key to understanding that boom-bust cycle is how the capital structure gets distorted in the boom, which also helps to understand how Austrians view the bust.</p></blockquote>
<p>Alas, there is no reliable correlation between the level of inflation in any boom and the scale of the subsequent bust. Despite claims to the contrary at the time, the 1920s was <a href="http://uneasymoney.com/2011/09/06/keynes-v-hayek-advantage-hawtrey/">not particularly inflationary</a>: certainly nowhere near enough to explain the depth of the 1930s crash. As George Selgin writes in his productivity norm essay (p.58):</p>
<blockquote><p>Indeed, the relative inflation of the previous decade is only likely to have played a relatively minor part in explaining the length and severity of the depression, in contrast to its major role in causing the stock-market boom and crash.</p></blockquote>
<p>Similarly, the contemporary Great Recession, the worst recession in the postwar era, has followed the least inflationary boom in the postwar era. There is simply no correlation between the level of preceding inflation and the level of the consequent bust. As noted above at (5), deflation is a monetary phenomenon in its own right. But if state monetary monopolies fail in specific, predictable ways (propensity to oversupply money), the argument for their abolition is easier than if their failures are far more erratic (sometimes oversupplying, sometimes undersupplying, implying that sometimes they get it right, a habit it might be possible to expand; there still is an argument for free banking, but it becomes more grounded in general supply-and-demand arguments applied to money which sit much less well with Austrian business cycle theory).</p>
<p>(8) Following on from (7), there seems to be such a strong wish to see the market system as naturally self-correcting—or, more precisely, as strongly <i>systematic</i>: in economist-speak, strongly equilibrating—that flaws in the boom have to be invoked to explain the level of the bust. Yet why cannot the bust be a result of something that has little or nothing to do with the pre-existing boom? This being more plausible if shifts in risk assessments drive actions more than shifts in time preferences, as the former are likely to be much less stable than the latter and much more susceptible to shifts in information (and so expectations).</p>
<p>(9) This also gets back to the unbalanced focus on money-as-value-calculation as against money-as-transaction-facilitator. There is too much focus on the “price” story of money and not enough on the “supply and demand” story (that is, the level of transactions, so level of income story—income as measured by the medium in which existing obligations, notably debt, are set). For if the demand for money rises when the supply does not, transactions, and so income, will fall. (And there is nothing like heightened risk assessment and/or income pessimism to encourage folk to hang on to money, or use it to liquidate debt; particularly if they expect money to retain, or even increase, its “swap values”.) But, in keeping with the Austrian approach being overly systematic, there is too strong a presumption that a monopoly provider of money will oversupply. (Noting that monopoly providers in other markets are presumptively <i>under</i>-providers; even given that the supply of paper money, at a certain level of technology, is not cost-constrained makes applying normal monopoly theory problematic.)</p>
<p>(10) The Austrian overly systematic story, particularly the downplaying of the role of risk in action across time and risk management in constraining prices, lead naturally to being on the “no general glut” side of macroeconomics, as outlined in Brad DeLong’s <a href="http://delong.typepad.com/sdj/2010/06/is-macroeconomics-hard.html?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+BradDelongsSemi-dailyJournal+%28Brad+DeLong%27s+Semi-Daily+Journal%2">nice post about</a> macroeconomics. The downplaying of risk fits in with the over-systematising. (Risk being inherently &#8220;messy&#8221;, even somewhat chaotic.) This in turn naturally flows from the <i>a priori</i> analytical approach of the Austrian school. </p>
<p>(12) An unfortunate tendency from the last feature is that internet “Austrians” (though not Horwitz or Selgin) are often abusive, indifferent to evidence and discount experience. No contrary evidence is permitted, as it is all redefined so it is not contrary. (A technique I am familiar with from <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Natural_law#Christian_natural_law">natural law analysis</a>, where contrary evidence is just defined as perverse and so does not count: the conclusion gets to choose the ambit of its premises—what philosopher Anthony Flew called “<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/No_true_Scotsman">the no true Scotsman” fallacy</a>.)  The analysis thus subsumes all evidence into its <i>a prior</i> analysis. (Again, anyone who has had to deal with the natural law “marriage is by definition between a man and a woman” assertion parading as an argument is familiar with the pattern.) The analysis is therefore so “self-evident” that only stupidity or malice is left to explain disagreement.</p>
<p>Ironically, Catholic natural law philosopher Ed Feser has posted a <a href="http://edwardfeser.blogspot.com/2009/08/rothbard-as-philosopher.html">critique of</a> noted Austrian school economist <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Murray_Rothbard">Murray Rothbard</a>, and <a href="http://edwardfeser.blogspot.com/2009/08/rothbard-revisited.html">a response</a> to an attempted defense thereof, that targets nicely the “I have the answers, because I can just deduce them” outlook that is a persistent feature of Austrian commentary and is not an impressive, persuasive or encouraging feature thereof.  I was, at first, terribly excited by the “reasoning from first principles” at the beginning of of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludwig_von_Mises">Ludwig von Mises</a>&#8216; <em>magnum opus</em> <i><a href="http://www.amazon.com/Human-Action-Ludwig-von-Mises/dp/0865976317/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&#038;qid=1317334859&#038;sr=8-1">Human Action</a></i>. Alas, experience and reflection since has made me much more sceptical about this sort of approach. </p>
<p>For example, the single most useful analytical tool developed in C20th economics was <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ronald_Coase">Ronald Coase</a>’s identification of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transaction_cost">transaction costs</a>. How did he do this? By asking a great question (<i>why do firms exist?</i>) and then finding the answer by asking people in business how they make the decision whether to produce in-house or buy on the open market. Using an analytical framework is not a matter of “looking for footnotes” because you already have the answers. It is a matter of intelligent engagement with reality so that part of what <i>developing understanding</i> means is the slow development of an appropriate analytical framework. In that sense, a good analytical framework represents, not merely a work in progress, but distilled continuing engagement with reality; as with Ronald Coase and transaction costs.</p>
<p>So this is not an objection to analytical frameworks <i>per se</i>: far from it. The analytical frameworks of economics and of law provide powerful advantages in examining events. Not because they are deduced from first principles but because they have been built up by an interactive engagement with reality. </p>
<p>(13) The Austrian downplaying of risk and the unbalanced focus on money-as-price-calculation, as against the level of transactions, as well as the notion that there is a “correct” allocation of capital, leads to one of my pet dislikes, the concept of <i><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Malinvestment">malinvestment</a></i>. A concept I strongly disagree with, for reasons I explain <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com/2011/02/economics-defines-life.html">here</a> and <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com/2011/08/against-notion-of-malinvestment.html">here</a>. There is not any useful general concept of malinvestment that is independent of the level of economic activity. Sure, businesses fail but they do so all the time, even in the height of booms, and this discovery process is much more about exploring boundaries of what is or is not profitable (boundaries which shift as the level of economic activity shifts) than displaying some inherent characteristic. </p>
<p>Yes, one can get inappropriate construction (e.g. empty housing estates in post-bust Ireland or various US cities) but they were the result of <a href="http://www.quadrant.org.au/magazine/issue/2011/3/why-our-major-cities-are-in-decay">very specific forms</a> of perverse incentives, not indicative of some general phenomenon, <a href="http://modeledbehavior.com/2011/03/19/are-there-too-many-houses-in-america/">even in housing construction</a> (even if you add in <a href="http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2010/04/housing-impact-of-changes-in-household.html">various complications</a>). </p>
<p>Expectations about future income obviously will affect what people invest in, but a monetary authority that drives such expectations up is less dangerous than one that drives them down. (See previous comment about deflation and unexpected disinflation being worse than inflation.)</p>
<p><b>In conclusion</b><br />
That I am critical of the Hayekian-Austrian view Horwitz is presenting does not mean accepting Keynes’s position. I agree with David Glasner, both <a href="http://uneasymoney.com/2011/12/12/keynes-v-hayek-enough-already/">were wrong</a> on <a href="http://uneasymoney.com/2012/03/07/kuehn-keynes-and-hawtrey-2/">crucial points</a>. Keynes’ “animal spirits” for example, is much more usefully thought of as <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2011/01/risk-and-uncertainty-revisited.html">how people frame</a> (Knightian) uncertainty. And, while monetary policy can certainly be incompetent, it is never impotent. Reviewing a recent book on the Hayek-Keynes debate, economist Tyler Cowen provides <a href="http://thefaintofheart.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/the-eternal-struggle-tyler-cowen.pdf">an excellent survey</a> (pdf) of errors by Hayek and Keynes. (Though David Glasner <a href="http://uneasymoney.com/2011/12/12/keynes-v-hayek-enough-already/">demurs</a> on Cowen’s characterization of what <a href="http://www.themoneyillusion.com/">Scott Sumner</a> is doing.)</p>
<p>In a monetary exchange economy, recessions (and depressions) <a href="http://worthwhile.typepad.com/worthwhile_canadian_initi/2011/08/recessions-are-always-and-everywhere-a-monetary-phenomena.html">are always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon</a> but not, <i>contra</i> Austrian analysis, a <i>particular pattern</i> of monetary phenomena. For example, it was the <a href="http://www.dartmouth.edu/~dirwin/Did%20France%20Cause%20the%20Great%20Depression.pdf">deflationary policies of</a> (pdf) the Fed and the Bank of France that caused the 1929-32 Depression not <a href="http://uneasymoney.com/2011/09/06/keynes-v-hayek-advantage-hawtrey/">some mythic</a> inflationary boom. Just as the European Central Bank has caused the current euro crisis and the Fed turned a financial crisis into a Great Recessions: on all these occasions, the sin being the under-provision of money by monopoly providers, not its over-provision.</p>
<p>Steve Horwitz has written an admirably clear paper that has enabled me to identify and clarify my disagreements with the Austrian school. Such clarity is especially useful for those of us using downloadable papers and blogs as an ongoing economics education. He is to be commended for his care and clarity in exposition. Especially since risk aversion encourages many an academic to be obscurely indeterminate, a temptation he nobly resists. </p>
<p>* <a href="http://marketmonetarist.com/">Lars Christensen</a> tells me that George Selgin may nowadays object to being called an Austrian; that would account for much.</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/hd7khHdr5Uw" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1246</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1246</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Critical Thinking?</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/TshoseA4w5A/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1226#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2012 17:57:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Critical Thinking]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1226</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Here is an anonymous comment in response to this essay I wrote:
</p>
<p>You have an interesting spin on this study. The truth however is that &#8220;anterior cingulate cortex&#8221; Is why liberals are much more malleable and easier to manipulate. This is why its nearly impossible to find a self made successful liberal&#8221;statist&#8221;. Also the anterior cingulate cortex isn&#8217;t exactly &#8220;Higher intelligence&#8221; that would be the frontal lobe which the anterior cingulate cortex is only partially related. You <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1226">Critical Thinking?</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=0f0baa61ce120f30c65770c1c71a0f95&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>Here is an anonymous comment in response to <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1074">this</a> essay I wrote:
</p>
<blockquote><p>You have an interesting spin on this study. The truth however is that &#8220;anterior cingulate cortex&#8221; Is why liberals are much more malleable and easier to manipulate. This is why its nearly impossible to find a self made successful liberal&#8221;statist&#8221;. Also the anterior cingulate cortex isn&#8217;t exactly &#8220;Higher intelligence&#8221; that would be the frontal lobe which the anterior cingulate cortex is only partially related. You also don&#8217;t seem to grasp from your article that the amygdala is also involved in connect both the right and left hemispheres of the brain combining emotions with logic. example: my dog is emotional not analytical. This is why liberals accept utopian arguments and seemingly disregard reality.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I find this spin not as much interesting as it is perplexing.  I bring this up as an example of what I find typical and empty about internet comments in general.  I come from an environment where signing your name and referencing your argument to notable sources is essential.  A convincing argument must have a real author and real sources to justify its claims.  A real author designates the seriousness of the claim and legitimate sources (not mired in mere apologetics) gives substance to the claims.  I am not saying I always do this well but I do understand the need for it and make an attempt to do it.  I always appreciate when others make me aware of my failing in this regard.  In any case, here is a bit of my specific perplexities with this comment.
</p>
<p>A <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statism">statist</a> is the idea that &#8220;a government should control either economic or social policy or both to some degree&#8221;.  It is espoused by fascists in particular.  This commenter appears to be conservative to me.  Conservatives have mock posters of President Obama to make him look like Hitler.  They are also constantly ragging him about using the government to control their lives.  On the other hand, the commenter states that this, &#8220;is why its nearly impossible to find a self made successful liberal&#8221;statist&#8221;".  Does the commenter want it both ways?   Are we to believe that President Obama is one of those &#8220;impossible to find a self made successful liberal&#8221;statist&#8221;" AND &#8220;malleable and easier to manipulate&#8221;.  This is a logical contradiction which is a hallmark of over-emotionality.  Additionally, would the commenter suggest that the folks that voted for President Obama are &#8220;malleable and easier to manipulate&#8221;?  If this is so, why is it that the successful conservative &#8220;statist&#8221; could not manipulate them into voting Republican?  Are they not malleable to conservative devices only to liberal devices?  The commenter&#8217;s statement does not account for the &#8220;statist&#8217;s&#8221; inability to manipulate liberals as they would like.  This also appears logically inconsistent as the liberals &#8216;malleability&#8217; appears not so malleable when it comes to the successful &#8220;statist&#8221; or the conservative pundit.
</p>
<p>Additionally, the QUOTE &#8220;Higher intelligence&#8221; cannot be found anywhere in the essay I wrote.  A quote is always meant to be verbatim.  Perhaps the commenter has a private language that defines the quote differently.  In any case, to the contrary, in the original comments I stated:
</p>
<blockquote><p>Oh, also, I did not think of these studies as giving any indication of intelligence. I think that was a leap on your part. I think the whole topic of intelligence is a can of worms (emotional, IQ, analytic, logical, poetic/artistic, folksy wisdom, etc.). I personally do not feel like these studies had anything to say about the intelligence of liberals or conservatives merely how they typically, in our particular present situation, handle making sense of their environment. There certainly is no claim to greater or lesser intelligence in the studies themselves…
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The fact that the commenter read this article as a statement of &#8216;intelligence&#8217; means the commenter really did not &#8216;grasp&#8217; the article but only used it to give an occasion for some emotional issue the commenter must have with liberals.
</p>
<p>I did state:
</p>
<blockquote><p>It [ACC] is responsible for higher cognitive learning – error correction is a big function of the anterior cingulate cortex.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>It is backed up by this statement from the study:
</p>
<blockquote><p>The ACC has a variety of functions in the brain, including error detection, conflict monitoring1, and evaluating or weighing different competing choices. It&#8217;s also very important for both emotion regulation and cognitive control (often referred to as &#8216;executive functioning&#8217;)—controlling the level of emotional arousal or response to an emotional event (keeping it in check), as to allow your cognitive processes to work most effectively. (the source is in the article)
</p>
</blockquote>
<p><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anterior_cingulate">This</a> Wiki link states:
</p>
<blockquote><p>Reward-based learning theory
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p> A more comprehensive and recent theory describes the ACC as a more active component and poses that it detects and monitors errors, evaluates the degree of the error, and then suggests an appropriate form of action to be implemented by the motor system. Earlier evidence from electrical studies indicate the ACC has an evaluative component, which is indeed confirmed by fMRI studies. The dorsal and rostral areas of the ACC both seem to be affected by rewards and losses associated with errors. During one study, participants received monetary rewards and losses for correct and incorrect responses respectively.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Note: I always check WIKI sources for accuracy before I quote it.
</p>
<p>I also made the point that the amygdale plays a vital role in long term memory with these quotes from the original sources (cited in my essay):
</p>
<blockquote><p>Although the amygdala is critical for fear conditioning, it also plays a broader, noncritical role in other types of learning and memory. The amygdala can modulate the function of other memory systems, particularly the hippocampal memory system necessary for declarative or episodic memory.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Investigations into the neural systems of fear conditioning have mapped the pathways for learning from stimulus input to response output. One finding that has emerged from this research is that information about the identity of a stimulus can reach the amygdala by more than one pathway. Romanski and LeDoux (1992) have shown that there are separate cortical and subcortical pathways to convey perceptual information to the amygdala. If one pathway is damaged, the other is sufficient to signal the presence of a conditioned stimulus and elicit a conditioned response. It has been suggested that these dual pathways may be adaptive (LeDoux, 1996). The amygdala responds to stimuli in the environment that represent potential threat. The amygdala then sends signals to other brain regions and the autonomic nervous system, preparing the animal to respond quickly. The subcortical pathway to the amygdala can provide only a crude estimation of the perceptual details of the stimulus, but it is very fast. The cortical pathway allows the stimulus to be fully processed, but it is somewhat slower. This crude, fast subcortical pathway may prepare the animal to respond more quickly if, when the stimulus is fully processed and identified by the cortical pathway, the threat turns out to be real.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>More recent research with nonhuman animals has emphasized the amygdala&#8217;s role in emotional learning and memory. Work by Davis (1992), Kapp, Pascoe, and Bixler (1984), and LeDoux (1992) has shown that while the amygdala is not critical to express an emotional reaction to stimuli that are inherently aversive, it is critical for learned fear responses.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The amygdala is part of the limbic system, the area of the brain associated with emotions. The amygdala is important for formation of emotional memories and learning, such as fear conditioning, as well as memory consolidation. Emotions significantly impact how we process events; when we encounter something and have a strong emotional reaction—either positive or negative—that memory is strengthened.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The sources further states:
</p>
<blockquote><p>Too much emotion gets in the way of logical thinking, and disrupts cognitive processing. This is why in times of crisis, we learn to set aside our emotions in order to problem-solve our way out of a dangerous situation. Those with the ability to maintain low emotional arousal and have high cognitive control are generally better at handling conflict in the moment, plus tend to be the least permanently affected by trauma in the long term2. They tend to be more adaptable to changing situations (or have a higher tolerance for complexity), and have what we call cognitive flexibility.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The amygdala has many functions, including fear processing [11]. Individuals with a large amygdala are more sensitive to fear [12], which, taken together with our findings, might suggest the testable hypothesis that individuals with larger amygdala are more inclined to integrate conservative views into their belief system. Similarly, it is striking that conservatives are more sensitive to disgust [13, 14], and the insula is involved in the feeling of disgust [15]. On the other hand, our finding of an association between anterior cingulate cortex volume and political attitudes may be linked with tolerance to uncertainty. One of the functions of the anterior cingulate cortex is to monitor uncertainty [16, 17] and conflicts [18]. Thus, it is conceivable that individuals with a larger ACC have a higher capacity to tolerate uncertainty and conflicts, allowing them to accept more liberal views.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The commenter further states:
</p>
<blockquote><p>You also don&#8217;t seem to grasp from your article that the amygdala is also involved in connect both the right and left hemispheres of the brain combining emotions with logic.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>A further source for the description of the amygdale is given <a href="http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2064941/">here</a> (many different sources are cited at the bottom of this link).  There is nothing here suggesting &#8220;the amygdala is also involved in connect both the right and left hemispheres of the brain combining emotions with logic&#8221;.  Perhaps the commenter is thinking about the corpus callosum in a different more evolved part of the brain that does connect the right and left hemispheres.  There is also no mention of &#8220;combining emotions with logic&#8221; with regard to the amygdale.  However, this is a primary function of the corpus callosum.  I think the commenter may not have &#8220;grasped&#8221; this.  Additionally, since the amygdale is 500 million years old it should suggest something about the &#8220;higher intelligence&#8221; and &#8220;logic&#8221; as the commenter writes in this part of the brain.  All the sources I have seen suggest it has much more to do with long term recollection and emotion, especially of fear, which are related.
</p>
<p>From these wrong premises the commenter concludes with, &#8220;This is why liberals accept utopian arguments and seemingly disregard reality&#8221;.  I would suggest that wrong premises lead to wrong conclusions but this conclusion seems to stand apart from any previous premise and thereby, gives credence to the fact that if the commenter is conservative as it appears, is using the amygdale portion of the brain more than the ACC.
</p>
<p>I must admit that I have seen these types of anonymous, un-sourced comments by both the left and right on the internet.  Apparently, folks do not seem to realize that making things up off the top of their head is not the same as making a real and serious argument by a real and serious person.  This type of behavior confuses readers.  I think it is really primarily emotional.  I have gone into this detail to highlight what I think is &#8216;critical thinking&#8217;.   &#8216;Critical thinking&#8217; means you lay down a personal, non-anonymous stake in the game and back it up with something outside of personal emotions.  Emotion of this type may have a pretense to knowledge but, in the last analysis, is really only wishful and imaginary self-delusion.  Additionally, I think an argument must have logical consistency such that conclusions follow from or are reinforced by premises and contradictory statements are avoided.  I will grant that reading syllogisms can be really dull so the argument cannot be too formulaic to make it more palatable.  I think it is also important to avoid informal fallacies which may be easier said than done.  Informal fallacies may make the argument more fun for sympathetic readers but really take away from the formal credence of the argument.</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/TshoseA4w5A" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1226</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1226</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Suffer the little children: the burden of God</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/jvMuWKXS7NY/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1238#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 15 Apr 2012 02:05:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lorenzo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ethics/Morality]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Islam]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Law]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jihad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[jihadi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1238</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Just when I thought I had a full grasp of the moral depravity that is suicide bombing, another level of horror is revealed. Al Qaeda’s preferred target group for recruiting suicide bomber is—orphans. </p>
<p>As one Pakistani political activist writes:</p>
<p>We have observed that most of the suicides bombers are orphans who are less than 17 years old. These vulnerable children are being used as the main tool for terrorism.</p>
<p> Meanwhile, the Iraqi Interior Ministry has announced that:</p>
<p>Al-Qaeda <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1238">Suffer the little children: the burden of God</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=668751016e54cb9081950a237307ccd1&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>Just when I thought I had a full grasp of the moral depravity that is suicide bombing, another level of horror is revealed. Al Qaeda’s preferred target group for recruiting suicide bomber is—orphans. </p>
<p>As one Pakistani political activist <a href="http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/default.asp?page=2011%5C11%5C16%5Cstory_16-11-2011_pg7_8">writes</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>We have observed that most of the suicides bombers are orphans who are less than 17 years old. These vulnerable children are being used as the main tool for terrorism.</p></blockquote>
<p> Meanwhile, the Iraqi Interior Ministry <a href="http://www.adnkronos.com/AKI/English/Security/?id=3.0.2527067244">has announced that</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Al-Qaeda has over the past two years used 24 children to carry out suicide bombings in Iraq, the director of military operations for the Interior Ministry, Abdelaziz Mohammed Jasim, told pan-Arab daily al-Sharq al-Awsat.</p></blockquote>
<p> In Somalia, a 13 year old orphan <a href="http://articles.latimes.com/2011/nov/11/world/la-fg-somalia-bomber-20111112">reports on</a> how he was recruited to be a suicide bomber.</p>
<p><b>Adoption vacuum</b><br />
<i>Sharia</i> increases the opportunity for <i>jihadis</i> to recruit orphans because it has usually been interpreted <a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/03/31/anti-adoption-traditions-in-the-muslim-world-benefit-al-qaeda-recruiters.html?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+thedailybeast%2Farticles+%28The+Daily+Beast+-+Latest+Articles%29">to bar adoptions</a> (though a form of guardianship, or <i>khalat</i>, is permitted). Without adoption as an alternative in most Muslim countries, there is a larger pool of vulnerable recruitment targets in orphanages for al Qaeda and its ilk to recruit as self-activating bombs.</p>
<p>It is not surprising that <i>Sharia</i> should be resistant to adoption. <i>Sharia</i> arose in a society where lineage was crucial: the role of daughters was to breed sons for the lineage (hence the propensity for cousin marriage, so they “breed in”). If there is no living parent, a child’s status as “asset” for the lineage is much weakened. And permitting adoption would open up the risk that they become “assets” to another lineage. (As ever, <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2009/02/culture-and-conflict-in-middle-east-i.html">Philip Carl Salzman’s analysis</a> is a necessary starting point for understanding the social dynamics of Islam’s home region.)</p>
<p>There is <a href="http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/03/31/anti-adoption-traditions-in-the-muslim-world-benefit-al-qaeda-recruiters.html?utm_source=feedburner&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+thedailybeast%2Farticles+%28The+Daily+Beast+-+Latest+Articles%29">a push to re-interpret</a> <i>Sharia</i> to permit adoption, part of the general tension between Islam and modernity which has done so much to shape the contemporary <i>jihadi</i> outlook. (Which is not to say that <i>jihadis</i> are merely some modern phenomenon; it has been a recurring feature of Islam that it produces violent “purification” movements—after all, what was the Prophet himself after he took over Medina if not the leader of a violent religious purification movement?)</p>
<p>Use of orphans as a potential political asset is not unique to al-Qaeda. It was <a href="http://www.securitate.org/books.htm">widely rumoured</a> that the Romanian Ceaușescu tyranny sought to recruit orphans as loyal secret police operatives. Though not strictly orphans, the Kim dynasty <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2009/08/property-is-always-with-us.html">that owns</a> North Korea uses its illegitimate progeny <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2009/04/owning-country.html">in a similar fashion</a>.</p>
<p>To use orphans as suicidal military assets is, however, rather more distinctively a <i>jihadi</i> activity. Iran used children <i>en masse</i> during its war with Iraq (which makes the regime’s <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/nasim-novin/is-ahmadinejad-instigatin_b_666040.html">current public angst</a> about plummeting fertility grimly ironic). Child fighters have been a feature in Africa’s horrors and the Tamil Tigers used both child fighters and suicide bombers. But to specifically target orphans for recruitment—indeed, as your <i>preferred</i> source of suicide-bombers—seems a new, vile twist.</p>
<p>But we come back to the point about lineage. Orphans are cut off from family: this makes them both more vulnerable to recruitment and means they come with fewer entanglements. Being no lineage’s “asset”, their loss has fewer social resonances. </p>
<p><b>Loving death</b><br />
Of course, part of the horror of using orphans is precisely their vulnerability. The Somali lad telling of how his <i>jihadi</i> recruiter/mentor offered him purpose and love missing from his life is repellent reading.  The horror from so using children comes from the violation of innocence and the sense of life thrown away so early. But that assumes one loves and reveres life. This is not a feature of the <i>jihadis</i>.</p>
<p>That the <i>jihadis</i> are death-obsessed is a recurring observation. But it is one that the jihadis themselves celebrate. In <a href="http://slake.la/features/lost-city">the words of</a> the leader of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hezbollah">Hezbollah, the Party of God</a>, that so poisons Lebanese politics:</p>
<blockquote><p>“The Jews love life, so that is what we shall take away from them. We are going to win because they love life and we love death.”</p></blockquote>
<p> In a similar vein, a Lebanese Shia <a href="http://www.tnr.com/article/the-year-the-elephant">reacts to</a> a 2009 speech by Hezbollah’s leader:</p>
<blockquote><p> He was talking about death. He was asking, ‘Have you ever heard of the last moments before death? You have no idea how terrible these moments are.’ He was describing the very precise nature of this pain. His point was that the only way to die is as a martyr. He said, ‘As you know, everyone dies. So why not choose to die as a martyr, and save yourself the pain of these awful moments between life and death?’<br />
… I am driving my 2009 car, and this guy is telling me how to die better. </p></blockquote>
<p> The glory of a death in the service of Allah, that brings one to Allah’s paradise, is a commonplace of <i>jihadi</i> rhetoric. Certainly, it offers a transcendent sense of purpose and rejecting refuge from the unsettling confusions of modernity. Or from a solitary and uncertain life cut off from kin-connections in societies so profoundly based on them.</p>
<p>To glory in death is to reject this world. Such discounting of the world is the <i><a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contemptus_mundi">contemptus mundi</a></i> tradition that is such a recurring feature of monotheism. Somehow, conceiving of the world as His creation is not enough. True devotion to God is shown by rejecting what He has created in favour of an existence imaged to be closer to Him; indeed, to partake of His direct Presence. </p>
<p>Aspects of this world-rejecting hunger for God keep peaking out from under monotheism. The recurring notion that sex—apart from procreation—separates us from the divine is a particularly powerful, and persistent, manifestation of it.</p>
<p><b>Wide morality</b><br />
There is a recurring claim that morality is dependant on religion. This is arrant nonsense, up there with monotheism having created, or being in some special possession of, marriage. Morality is a pervasive feature of human society; indeed, it is clear that human nature has a significant (if varied) predisposition to being moral. Hence the lack of such predisposition is an aberration, a pathology (currently labelled as various forms of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antisocial_personality_disorder">anti-social personality disorder</a>). We can see the importance of this predisposition to be moral by looking at the disproportionately destructive impact of those who lack it.</p>
<p>We can also see its importance by comparing <i>homo sapiens</i> to other animals. It is not that what we might call a <i>moral sense</i> is entirely absent from other animals, it is just that it is clearly much less developed than in humans. Chimpanzees, for example, do not seem to develop in nature <a href="http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2008/01/080130092136.htm">any sense of property, of rightful control</a>. (Which hugely reduces their social possibilities: the notion of rightful control pervades human society—socialism is as much built on notions of rightful control as capitalism, just different structures and processes of such control. Philosopher John Locke’s notion that we move things into an economy by “mixing our labour with it” is completely wrong-headed, any animal does that; exchange starts with a notion of rightful control, for that is what is being exchanged, rightful control over particular things.)</p>
<p>So, can morality exist without any particular religion? Of course it can. Can it exist without any religion? Yes, though religion can clearly give morality extra emotional power. A more interesting question is how much a civilisation can move away from its origins and maintain its coherence. How much can it shift what moral psychologist Jonathan Haidt would call its <i>moral matrix</i> without a debilitating loss of social capital?</p>
<p>Either way, attempts to rest morality on divine command fail. Commands have to be communicated, so the divine command theory only makes sense within the context of a particular tradition of revelation and human morality obviously operates much widely than any particular such tradition. Moreover, as John Stuart Mill pointed out, no set of revelations is sufficiently complete as to leave moral principles fully defined: indeed, <i>Sharia</i> itself is the fruit of centuries-long attempts to “fill in the gaps”. Morality is broader than revelation, in every sense. As for the notion that God speaks to us through our moral sense, our inner moral voice, that falls into the category “<a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pierre-Simon_Laplace#Religious_beliefs">I have no need for that hypothesis</a>”.</p>
<p><b>Hi-jacking morality</b><br />
It is true that monotheism, through its notion of a single ultimate authority, who is also the creator of all—so we are all children of God—spreads moral universalism (which is <i>not</i> a universal characteristic of human societies). But it is also true that monotheism, precisely by having God as ultimate authority who trumps anything else, also has a ready-made device for overriding and subverting morality. <i><a href="http://www.biblegateway.com/quicksearch/?quicksearch=Deuteronomy+13&#038;qs_version=NIV">Deuteronomy 13</a></i> provides the ur-text for this, commanding an obedient follower of Yahweh to kill their own sibling if they turn to the worship of another God. God matters so much that the most basic moral precepts are to be overridden.</p>
<p>The attenuation of moral universalism is particularly strong in Islam, with its layered concept of status depending on how complete one’s submission to God is and therefore how close to Allah one is. Male believers outrank female believers; those who engage in the full submission to Allah outrank the People of the Book, those who accept the One God but not His Prophet; they outrank those who do not even accept the One God. Within the People of the Book, those who have accepted Muslim rule outrank those who do not. Islam systematically subordinates morality and moral standing to submission to God.</p>
<p>This attenuation of moral universalism shows up in all sorts of ways beyond the concept of <i>jihad</i>, its most blatant manifestation. Simple misrepresentation, <a href="http://www.tnr.com/article/world/102413/muslim-brotherhood-egypt-arab-spring-election">as engaged in</a> by a recent Muslim Brotherhood delegation to Washington, is often a winning strategy to Westerners who want to believe nice things and lack the background information to critically examine congenial claims. If it promotes Islam, promotes extending the ambit of submission to God, deception is fine. The combination of the <a href="http://www.meforum.org/2095/islams-doctrines-of-deception">doctrine of deception</a>, and that one is not supposed to bring Islam into disrepute, make having an honest public debate across the boundaries of Islam difficult.</p>
<p>I can remember asking an expatriate Iranian academic, who had given an excellent presentation on why jihadism was an orders-of-magnitude bigger problem among migrant communities in Europe than in the US, a question about <i>jihad</i> and having him tell me and the audience that, apart from the early years of Islam, <i>jihad</i> had fallen into abeyance until revived in opposition to Western imperialism. A claim that is just flatly false. From Muhammad’s flight to Medina in 622 to the death of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aurangzeb">Aurangzeb</a> in 1707, it would have been hard to find a single year in which there was not a frontier of Islam where activity sanctified by Sharia as <i>jihad</i> was being carried on. The relentless advance of Ottoman rule into the centre of Europe from c.1350 to <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Battle_of_Vienna">1683</a> was profoundly <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2010/10/krajina-chronicle-history-of-serbs-in.html">and systematically</a> based on it. The often remarkably savage Muslim incursions into Buddhist and Hindu India were constantly justified by it. It was a pervasive feature of North African Islam except for after Western rule was consolidated (and returned after the European rulers departed). Far from provoking an upsurge in <i>jihad</i> activity, the heyday of Western imperialism was the longest period of respite from it.</p>
<p>The aforementioned undermining of public debate is just one example of the profound problem with any principle that seeks to trump, and thus subvert, morality. It poisons and narrows social possibilities when morality—precisely by mutually constraining actions towards each other—greatly extends them. (That the constraints of morality do so broaden social possibilities is presumably why the cognitive foundations for morality were selected for.) The recurring difficulties between Muslim and non-Muslim owe a great deal to the internal logic and dynamics of Islam itself.</p>
<p>But, then, monotheism has a long history of difficulty in playing nicely with others.</p>
<p>Deciding that orphans make good recruitment targets for self-activating bombs is the extreme version of a type of moral depravity that any outlook that decides some principle or principles trump morality engages in. And God is the ultimate trumping principle. Christ’s <a href="http://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matthew%2022:37-40%20&#038;version=NIV">preaching</a> that one is not to use God to strip people of moral protections retains its moral power. </p>
<p>We can tell, because so few Christians churches actually follow it and so much Christian theology is about subverting <a href="http://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=Matthew%2022:37-40%20&#038;version=NIV">the second principle</a> of Christianity, of defining people as not one’s moral neighbours, so folk <i>can</i> use God to strip people of moral protections and moral standing. But the simplest path to priestly or clerical power is to offer and withhold God.</p>
<p>Offering and withholding God being a path to religious power that the Prophet used avidly and systematically. He would, almost certainly, have drawn the line at recruiting orphans to kill indiscriminately: al-Qaeda’s attempt to ground suicide bombing in <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2009/03/al-qaeda-in-its-own-words.html">a solitary parable of a single <i>hadith</i></a> is tenuous in the extreme. (Enslaving women and children and murdering poets who were rude about him was, however, just fine as far as the Prophet was concerned.) But much of his preaching, once he became ruler of Medina, was all about the primacy of submission to God in setting one’s moral standing. And he established the Islamic concept of martyrdom; that the direct path to God is dying while fighting to extend submission to Allah. Recruiting orphans as self-activating bombs extends the continuum of his preaching, it does not go in a contrary direction. </p>
<p>But no one is compelled to extend that continuum in such a way. Those I linked to denouncing al-Qaeda’s moral depravity in so recruiting and using orphans are Muslims themselves. The cognitive foundations of moral behaviour remain part of human nature; hence the efforts so many put into hijacking and subverting them. So vilely using the vulnerable in a profound assault on moral restraints in the name of God is a horrid example of a much wider phenomenon.</p>
<p>[Cross posted <a href="http://skepticlawyer.com.au/2012/04/15/suffer-the-little-children-the-burden-of-god/">at Skepticlawyer</a>.]</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/jvMuWKXS7NY" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1238</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1238</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Apple: Price Fixing and Collusion</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/8hprcKUOJ5o/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1220#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Apr 2012 15:55:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Apple]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[capitalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[price fixing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1220</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>In this essay I discussed how price fixing and collusion occurs regularly in the &#8216;free market&#8217;.  Here is another recent example of what I discussed.
</p>
<p>Here are some lowlights from the article in the Wall Street Journal:
</p>
<p>The U.S. accused Apple Inc. AAPL +0.41%and five of the nation&#8217;s largest publishers Wednesday of conspiring to raise e-book prices, in a case that could radically reorder the fast-growing business.
</p>

<p>In a civil antitrust lawsuit, the Justice Department alleged that CEOs <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1220">Apple: Price Fixing and Collusion</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=0f0baa61ce120f30c65770c1c71a0f95&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>In <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1186">this</a> essay I discussed how price fixing and collusion occurs regularly in the &#8216;free market&#8217;.  Here is another recent example of what I discussed.
</p>
<p>Here are some lowlights from the <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304444604577337573054615152.html">article</a> in the Wall Street Journal:
</p>
<blockquote><p>The U.S. accused Apple Inc. AAPL +0.41%and five of the nation&#8217;s largest publishers Wednesday of conspiring to raise e-book prices, in a case that could radically reorder the fast-growing business.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>In a civil antitrust lawsuit, the Justice Department alleged that CEOs of the publishing companies met regularly in private dining rooms of upscale Manhattan restaurants to discuss how to respond to steep discounting of their e-books by Amazon.com Inc., AMZN +1.40%a practice they disliked. The executives also called and emailed each other to craft a solution to what one of them called &#8220;the wretched $9.99 price point,&#8221; the suit said.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>The five publishers and Apple hatched an arrangement that lifted the price of many best-selling e-books to $12.99 or $14.99, according to the suit. The publishers then banded together to impose that model on Amazon, the government alleged.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>As a result of this alleged conspiracy, we believe that consumers paid millions of dollars more for some of the most popular titles,&#8221; said Attorney General Eric Holder.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>Three of the publishers settled with the Justice Department, agreeing to let Amazon and other retailers resume discounting of e-books. Settlement of a separate suit filed by 16 states and U.S. territories could lead to tens of millions of dollars in restitution to consumers who bought e-books at the higher prices.
</p>
</blockquote>
<blockquote><p>A group of 16 states, led by Connecticut and Texas, filed their own suit Wednesday against Apple, Macmillan, Penguin and Simon &amp; Schuster. The states said they have reached tentative settlement agreements with HarperCollins and Hachette. Those two publishers have agreed in principle to provide more than $51 million in restitution to e-book buyers, Connecticut Attorney General George Jepsen said.
</p>
</blockquote>
<p>My working conclusion is that this happens much more often than many folks think that it does.  I base this on my own anecdotal experience of decades in business and management and on cases already mentioned in which I cited specific examples.  It may sound trite and clique but I know from personal experience that these guys at the top have huge, inflated egos and they do work out these types of situations in their country clubs and on their golf courses.   The Justice Department only pursues a small percentage of these types of activities.
</p>
<p>As per Jeff&#8217;s recent comment, pure capitalism or socialism does not exist.  I have pointed this out in <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1054">this</a> essay.  To think of them as polar opposites in practice is a bit naïve in my opinion.  We are individuals and collectivities and as such incorporate both of these components in our politics and economics.
</p>
<p>I have no problem per se with selfishness or self-interest.  If selfishness or self-interest is given carte blanche in economics the rich and powerful will always make sure that they stay that way at the expense of those that are not.  If capitalism is the unregulated or nominally regulated practice of selfishness then what is the practical difference between it and oligarchy, dictatorship, fascism (statist), communism or any system that rules from the top by the powerful?
</p>
<p>If practical capitalism is to have a form of democracy (as in the ideal of competition) then the best real hope for impartial rules on how the game is played can only be made by government.  To the degree that the rules allow the process to be more competitive is the same degree that capitalism approximates its ideal.  As Jeff points out, to the degree that corporatism (crony capitalism) determine the rules is, in my opinion, one factor in turning capitalism into simply another name for the powerful consolidating their hold on power.  I have also pointed out that this happens with or without government involvement.
</p>
<p>The idea that the government is solely or primarily the culprit may have emotional appeal to some but as far as I can tell is not factual.  In a democracy we get the government we deserve.  If we prohibit government from intervening in the market with regulation we are effectively handing the market over to the rich and powerful.  As Jeff points out they will try to use the government to protect their power but as I have pointed out they will not stop there.  They have many tactics for staying in power (as I previously illustrated) and are not above using them.
</p>
<p>Those that would have the government stay out of market regulation are effectively playing into the hands of the rich and powerful and doing exactly what they claim the government is doing in crony capitalism – making it easier for the rich and powerful to maintain their hold on power.  To &#8216;hope&#8217; that competition will reign in unregulated or nominally regulated capitalism appears to me to be more like a religious ideal than a realistic practicality.  Government should be in the active business of making competition in capitalism real and effective, offering constraints to the monopolizing tendencies of power.  Our job as voters is to elect politicians that produce results toward this end and fire those that make big business the real constituents that they serve.  If we put the fox in charge of the hen house we should not be surprised when all the hens get <a href="http://www.mixermuse.com/blog/2012/01/06/the-fox-and-the-hen-house/">eaten</a>.   </p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/8hprcKUOJ5o" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1220</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1220</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Not a free speech issue</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/b7HUBHgHvCI/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1205#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Apr 2012 00:53:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Lorenzo</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1205</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>If a private publication sacks a writer because they do not wish to be associated with his declared opinions, this is not a free speech issue. It is a branding issue, it is an employment issue, but it is not a free speech issue.</p>
<p>This is particularly true of a publication that is explicitly ideological in its role. (Using ‘ideological’ in its most general sense of having an explicit normative view of the world.)</p>
<p>The publication in question <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1205">Not a free speech issue</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=668751016e54cb9081950a237307ccd1&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>If a private publication sacks a writer because they do not wish to be associated with his declared opinions, this is not a free speech issue. It is a branding issue, it is an employment issue, but it is not a free speech issue.</p>
<p>This is particularly true of a publication that is explicitly ideological in its role. (Using ‘ideological’ in its most general sense of having an explicit normative view of the world.)</p>
<p>The publication in question is the <i><a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/">National Review</a></i>, the premier magazine of American conservatism founded by the doyen of postwar conservative movement writers and activists <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/William_F._Buckley,_Jr.">William F. Buckley Jnr</a>. </p>
<p>The author who was <a href="http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/295514/parting-ways-rich-lowry">sacked</a> was expatriate British journalist and writer <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Derbyshire">John Derbyshire</a>. He was sacked for <a href="http://takimag.com/article/the_talk_nonblack_version_john_derbyshire/print#axzz1rRSxV59L">this article</a> in <i>Taki’s Magazine</i>. </p>
<p>If Derbyshire were to be prosecuted for publishing the article, that would indeed be a free speech issue. But <i>National Review</i> deciding that it does not wish to be associated with particular opinions, that is a matter of branding, of ideological identity, not free speech (as is, for example, being claimed <a href="http://motls.blogspot.com.au/2012/04/freedom-of-speech-in-us-is-fantasy.html">here</a>).</p>
<p><b>Colour awkward</b><br />
The politics of race are endlessly fraught in the US and deciding that American conservatives are <i>ipso facto</i> racist is a common conceit among American liberals (using &#8216;liberal&#8217; in its <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2012/03/american-political-labels.html">peculiar American usage</a>) and folk further left. (That sometimes reaches the level of deciding that conservative support for black figures, such as Condi Rice, Justice Thomas or Herman Cain, is itself <a href="http://themonkeycage.org/blog/2011/10/26/gop-insiders-seemingly-confident-in-herman-cains-viability/#comment-20691">a manifestation of racism</a>.) Without getting into the history of American conservatism and race, there are certainly historical reasons why the <i>National Review</i> might have some sensitivity on such matters.</p>
<p>There are also generational shifts. Younger conservative activists are post-civil rights folk. They accept civil rights as a positive feature of American history and a usually very against revisiting opposition to civil rights: young conservtive bloggers actively campaigned against Senate Majority leader Trent Lott after his implicit endorsement of Strom Thurmond’s opposition to civil rights, which led to Sen. Lott’s <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trent_Lott#Resignation_from_Senate_leadership">resignation as Senate Majority Leader</a>. </p>
<p>Either way, the <i>National Review</i>’s decision makes perfect sense. Particularly when leading the ideological assault on a serving black President.</p>
<p><b>Probability wrong</b><br />
So, what’s wrong with Derbyshire’s article?</p>
<p>A pretty standard thing: a statistical tendency is not a defining characteristic. It is perfectly true that the homicide rate among black Americans <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_and_crime_in_the_United_States">is much higher</a> than it is among other Americans. This is primarily a problem for other black Americans.</p>
<p>It is true that more American whites are murdered by blacks than blacks are murdered by whites. But if a minority group has a much higher homicide rate than a much larger group, it is to be expected that more members of the majority will be murdered by members of the minority than vice versa.</p>
<p>So, Derbyshire has a point then? No, Derbyshire is a statistical illiterate. The chances of any particular black person being a perpetrator of homicide is extremely low. A propensity to violence is not a defining, or even a likely, characteristic of any given black person; particularly a black person who is not young and male. But even a young male black is far more likely to be no risk than high risk. (Their high incarceration rate has everything to do with the insane war on drugs—the systematic, and grievously failed, <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2009/12/property-rights-self-ownership.html">attempt to deny</a> people dominion over their own bodies—very little to do with any tendency to violence.) Indeed, young black males are <a href="http://californiawatch.org/dailyreport/young-black-males-far-more-likely-be-murder-victims-8405">far more likely to be</a> the victim of homicide than <s>a perpetrator</s> any <a href="http://www.trinity.edu/mkearl/death06/BMH2.swf">white person is</a>.</p>
<p>Even if one accepts <a href="http://lagriffedulion.f2s.com/fuzzy.htm">a genetic explanation</a> for higher rates of hyper-aggressiveness in African and African-migrant populations, it is still not a <i>likely</i> characteristic of any given African or person of African descent. (Yes, I know we are all ultimately of African descent; I mean descended from folk who were not part of the prehistoric out-of-Africa diasporas.) It is Derbyshire citing averages, when the issue is likelihoods, that demonstrates his statistical malfeasance. </p>
<p>Focusing on someone’s blackness is not focusing on a risky characteristic. It is actually very bad advice to give a young person. </p>
<p>Which is another reason for <i>National Review</i> to sack Derbyshire. </p>
<p>[Cross-posted <a href="http://skepticlawyer.com.au/2012/04/09/not-a-free-speech-issue/">at Skepticlawyer</a> and <a href="http://lorenzo-thinkingoutaloud.blogspot.com.au/2012/04/not-free-speech-issue.html">at Thinking Out Aloud</a>.]</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/b7HUBHgHvCI" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1205</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>0</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1205</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>The Free Market Ideal</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/iF098jsWt9E/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1186#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 06 Apr 2012 18:53:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[free market idealism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1186</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Thank you Jeff for your thoughtful comments…here are some of my observations.
</p>
<p>First, I do think we have some agreement on many of your points.  Here are some of the differences that I would highlight.
</p>
<p>Regulation is not just something that happens in government.  Here are some observations from my own experience.  At U.S. Robotics one of the engineering groups I managed was responsible for getting regulatory approval not just for the US but for <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1186">The Free Market Ideal</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=0f0baa61ce120f30c65770c1c71a0f95&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>Thank you Jeff for your thoughtful <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1140">comments</a>…here are some of my observations.
</p>
<p>First, I do think we have some agreement on many of your points.  Here are some of the differences that I would highlight.
</p>
<p>Regulation is not just something that happens in government.  Here are some observations from my own experience.  At U.S. Robotics one of the engineering groups I managed was responsible for getting regulatory approval not just for the US but for many countries in the world.  We called this homologation.  In the US we had to get Underwriters Lab (UL) and FCC approvals to sell in the US.  We also sold modems into hundreds of other countries and they all had their own similar approval requirements.  These requirements were for consumer safety and radio interference issues.
</p>
<p>In the 90s Microsoft decided they would implement a hardware certification process.  It was practically impossible to sell modems without the Microsoft certification approval.  It was also practically impossible to get all our modems every quarter through the huge bureaucracy of Microsoft.  They certainly stifled our competitive efforts based on their regulatory approval.
</p>
<p>Microsoft has also required a software vendor like myself to pay private regulatory companies a yearly fee which can be very pricey to &#8220;digitally sign&#8221; our software.  They claim this is to keep hackers from infecting software products.  However, there are many very good products available for software vendors like &#8216;obfuscators&#8217; (which I use) that keep hackers out of code.  The actual incidents that Microsoft rationalizes its &#8216;code signing&#8217; process for is statistically very minimal.  However, they do get kick backs from their &#8216;approved&#8217; code signing companies.
</p>
<p>Now, with the release of Windows 7, Microsoft has taken another regulatory step by reporting software that does not have a &#8216;reputation&#8217;.  This has nothing to do with the code signing.  A company may have their code digitally signed and still run into the &#8216;reputation virus&#8217;.  Microsoft reports it as a virus.  However, if you read what the &#8216;reputation virus&#8217; is; it only means that Microsoft has never heard of you.  Norton and other virus programs take the Microsoft virus alert and automatically delete the downloaded trial software we produce.  They report it as a virus.  Microsoft readily admits that 90% of the folks that see the virus alert will not install the product.  This means software vendors like myself are not permitted to compete in the &#8216;free market&#8217; of the software business.  I have two products for download on the internet.  Both are exactly the same code.  The only difference is one byte in a text, configuration file that allows the product to come up as either product.  One of my software downloads is allowed by Microsoft and Norton, the other is not.  It is reported as a virus and automatically deleted.  This affects 90% of my new and upcoming business on the Windows 7 platform.  I have talked to literally hundreds of other software vendors on the web who are in total agreement with my contention of Microsoft&#8217;s market monopolizing practices.
</p>
<p>There are many other cases of &#8216;private market&#8217; regulation that I could cite but this can probably suffice.  The idea is that the corrosive effect of regulation is not just a charge that can be levied against the government.  It happens all the time in the &#8216;free market&#8217; as well.  Does this effect competition adversely?  Absolutely.  Is there perhaps some need for regulation by both the government and big corporations?  Probably, but as Jeff suggests it is also used as an excuse to kill competition.  However, not as a component of government but of the private market itself.  I think most folks agree that there is some need for market regulation by an <strong>impartial</strong> regulatory agency.  However, effective regulatory restrictions by large corporations with vested interests are a market distortion that happens often and distorts the &#8216;free market&#8217; ideal based on competition.  When the government becomes a vehicle for the capitalists that do not want competition as Jeff suggest, it is certainly corporatism which is one of the hallmarks of historical fascism.
</p>
<p>It is not a matter of is there corporatism or crony capitalism but to what degree it happens not just by government but by big corporations as well.  To the degree that this happens, it is not the ideal of the &#8216;free market&#8217; but a hybrid practical reality of how it actually works.  The Bush administration was a perfect example of what happens when regulatory agencies rubber stamp big business.  Oil and gas regulation, toy regulations, financial market regulations and more were thrown out the window and companies were given free reign over regulators.  Corporations were even discovered to be wining, dining and giving the regulators luxurious trips.  This was not the government interfering with the market but giving it carte blanche to do whatever it wanted.   The ideal of small footprint regulation, as Jeff espouses, was realized by the Bush administration and it ultimately resulted in the recession.  The housing crisis was not caused by too much regulation but the absolute lack of regulation in the derivatives market.  One <a href="http://www.medlibrary.org/medwiki/Credit_rating_agencies_and_the_subprime_crisis">email</a> at Standard and Poor&#8217;s stated, &#8220;Rating agencies continue to create and [sic] even bigger monster&#8211;the CDO [Collateralized debt obligations ] market. Let&#8217;s hope we are all wealthy and retired by the time this house of cards falters.&#8221;  Moody&#8217;s and Standard and Poor&#8217;s, both private companies, are considered to have elevated ratings on CDO&#8217;s which are mortgage backed securities to minimize the risk and, in so doing, increase the profits for investors.  See <a href="http://www.mixermuse.com/blog/2012/01/31/the-housing-crisis-%e2%80%93-research-revisted/">this</a>, <a href="http://rjrnewsonline.com/business/moodys-standard-and-poors-blamed-global-financial-crisis">this</a> and <a href="http://www.mixermuse.com/blog/2012/01/31/latest-conclusions-on-the-housing-and-economic-crisis/">this</a> for more data.
</p>
<p>Another tactic of the &#8216;free market&#8217; is price collusion and price fixing.  Individual multinational corporations and conglomerations of individual market segment corporations have often been accused of doing this.  The diamond market is notorious for this as well as Oil and Gas (remember Standard Oil, Rockefeller) and railroad industries.  While this kind of activity in normally associated with monopolies it is still a reality of the practical workings of the free market.  It seems to me that thinking of this kind of activity as a rare monopoly situation allows a sort of effective monopolizing in the actual market.  Jeff states that, &#8220;Thus, monopolies don&#8217;t stay monopolies for long unless they are making consumers happy&#8221; but how does this measure up?  Remember AT&amp;T, officially deemed a monopoly by the courts, -they monopolized the market for decades…is this a short time?    In any case, the kind of activity that goes on daily in the market by Microsoft and others has not acquired the label of &#8216;monopoly&#8217; but shows that monopolizing activity is not a rare court decided phenomenon of the market; it is an analog, practical reality of the market.  Microsoft has been brought to court and found guilty at least once that I know of for market monopolizing practices.  This kind of activity has to get extremely severe before a public, official pronouncement is made.
</p>
<p>Jeff quotes Smith here, &#8220;They often propose new laws and regulations, as Smith points out, that are to the benefit of their companies, but not to the benefit of society as a whole (i.e., to consumers).&#8221;  However, Adam Smith himself, proposed over one hundred pages of financial industry regulations in the &#8220;Wealth of Nations&#8221; which have largely been neglected by the modern market place.  I suppose Adam Smith himself was one the &#8220;they&#8221;s that Jeff refers to.
</p>
<p>My contention is that it is extremely idealistic to think that the &#8216;free market&#8217; is, in practice, all about competition.  Yes, that is a positive aspect of the real market place but it is still an ideal and does not reflect a large part of how the market works.  I also agree that government can become the problem when it effectively acts as a monopolist in the market, corporatism.  However, as I have shown this is not just an essential evil of the government but occurs in the private market as well.  My contention has always been that the free market works best for the public interest when government and big corporations collide.  While the David and Goliath story may be cute, two Goliaths tend to do more damage to each other.  The government in a democracy is ideally supposed to be the public defender and not the corporate defender although this ideal too has shown itself to be different from the reality.  The answer is not to throw in the governmental towel as we did in the Bush administration but to make sure that we elect politicians that will oppose corporatism and government collusion with capitalists.
</p>
<p>I find it interesting that Jeff thinks capitalists are capitalism&#8217;s biggest detractors.  To me, this is like suggesting that churches are Christianities biggest problem.  Capitalists vote Republican for the most part.  If they wanted more government it seems to me like they would vote Democrat as the Republicans are fond of laying this charge on the Democrats.  Republicans publicly state, almost daily, that they are on the side of business and the capitalists.  Therefore, they publicly acknowledge that either they welcome the interference with the market that Jeff denounces or they want to return to the lassie faire capitalism of the Bush administration.  While the Democrats may be complicitous in Jeff&#8217;s charge as well, they are not so bold proclaiming it which might account for something positive (or not).  Are we to believe that the best proponents of a philosophy are intent on its destruction?  This certainly may add some credence to some of Nietzsche&#8217;s discussion and post modernism but it also is a living demonstration of the inability of the system to rationalize itself based on its members.  If major and important members are bent on the destruction of the market, are we suggesting that the only way to redeem the &#8216;free market&#8217; is by the ideal that it proposes?  If the reality has anything to do with some of the practicalities that I have suggested and seen, then &#8216;free market&#8217; capitalism seems like it gets its validation based on an &#8216;otherworldly&#8217; idealism not unlike Christianity.  Are we supposed to believe that the &#8216;free market&#8217; liberties in the Bush administration were problems of too much government <strong>still</strong> and therefore salvage the validity of the &#8216;free market&#8217; ideal?  I think this is a bit much to swallow.  It is like continually suggesting that historical Christianity is not the &#8216;true&#8217; Christianity in order to preserve an ideal Christianity that may appear dubious in practice.  At some point, even the best metaphysician must live and breathe and have their existence in the world.  Dreams are nice but realties are necessary.  I do not advocate overthrowing capitalism but simply dealing with the reality of it without using its ideal as a pretense to justify its inadequacies.  I think simple answers that make the government the scapegoat for the failures of capitalism are there to reinforce that idealism of a flawed system and enable us to overlook fundamental issues that need to be addressed.  I prefer to address the issues directly and smartly while making the market more of a level playing field and less rigged against the interests of the public; a primary concern for Adam Smith and Karl Marx as well.
</p>
<p>For me, the problem is better framed not in terms of government versus the private market but big versus small.  Is the ideal of the free market demonstrated in TBTF (too big to fail)?  What does competition have to do with propping up a business because it is too big?  If competition always produces a better value for the consumer how is it that a &#8216;big&#8217;, that is too big to let the competition kill it can come from the ideal Jeff defends (remember Bush and Paulson)?  If the ideal of the &#8216;free market&#8217; is actually realized in practice, is this yet another glitch in the system that we have to rationalize away?  How many times can we look the other way and still pronounce the &#8216;free market&#8217; holy?  What interest is served in &#8216;free market&#8217; apologetics?  My point is that &#8216;big&#8217; is another name for effective monopoly in many cases.  I would also apply this to the government with this caveat…the ideal of the government should be efficiency not small.  If we make the government a David I would wager that Goliath will win the battle 99 out of 100 times.  We need to make the big of the government our friend and defender because if we give that up we will have the mercy of the &#8216;free market&#8217; and the legacy of George Bush as our BFFs.
</p></p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/iF098jsWt9E" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1186</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1186</feedburner:origLink></item>
		<item>
		<title>Morality and its Shadow</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~3/SnGyi4KlyQ4/</link>
		<comments>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1181#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Apr 2012 18:42:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Mark</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Philosophy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[morality]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1181</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>The funny thing about &#8220;political correctness&#8221; is that those that would criticize it do so under the banner of political correctness. Morality is a bit like the Tar-Baby. The more we try to &#8220;neutralize&#8221; ourselves from it, the more we fall prey to our own &#8216;bad faith&#8217;. From Lorenzo&#8217;s argument, we can certainly see the hypocrisy of a double standard with regard to Christianity and Islam. However, how real is the double standard for progressives? Certainly, <span style="color:#777"> . . . &#8594; Read More: <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1181">Morality and its Shadow</a></span>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<img style='float: left; margin-right: 10px; border: none;' src='http://www.gravatar.com/avatar.php?gravatar_id=0f0baa61ce120f30c65770c1c71a0f95&amp;default=http://use.perl.org/images/pix.gif' alt='No Gravatar' width=80 height=80/><p>The funny thing about &#8220;political correctness&#8221; is that those that would criticize it do so under the banner of political correctness. Morality is a bit like the Tar-Baby. The more we try to &#8220;neutralize&#8221; ourselves from it, the more we fall prey to our own &#8216;bad faith&#8217;. From Lorenzo&#8217;s <a href="http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1175">argument</a>, we can certainly see the hypocrisy of a double standard with regard to Christianity and Islam. However, how real is the double standard for progressives? Certainly, I have no doubt there are progressives that fall under Lorenzo&#8217;s snare but how much of that is a stereotype habitually repeated by the right and how much can empirically be proven true of a majority of progressives? I did not see any reputable polls in the essay but there may be some in his source material. I do not know if I would qualify as &#8216;progressive&#8217; since I am left of liberal but the Lorenzo box would not apply to me as I acknowledge the logic of his argument and agree that it certainly demonstrates the &#8216;bad faith&#8217; of morality. Surely, we can suggest that the set of all &#8220;moral mascots&#8221; is not equivalent to the set of all progressives as that would be the apodictic example of the fallacy of equivocation. So I suppose we must content ourselves with suggesting that some unknown amount of progressives certainly fall under his indictment.</p>
<p>However, I would also suggest that under the guise of this kind of progressive critique there is also another political correctness, -the political correctness of conservatism. After all, painting progressives with the broad brush of hypocrisy is in the implicit interest of conservatism. It would seem that the &#8216;elitist&#8217; moralists on the left are not the first on the historical stage of moral hypocrisy or perhaps at least the most dominant player in the present drama. If we take a step back from such righteous pontifications we may have to concede that Christianity has certainly had a lead role in the moral passion play and its hypocritical production. A few things come immediately to mind such as the crusades, priests and altar boys, dark age executions for heresy and witchcraft, anti-abortion (&#8216;pro-life&#8217;), Republican Christians support of just wars like Iraq and Afghanistan and capital punishment, etc. It seems that shifting the argument to revolve around the lesser case of progressives from the greater case of historical Christianity is a conservative tactic to expunge their own predominate role in the power play of morality. However, I am willing to admit that political disposition may certainly have much to do with the sense of proportionality and number that typically lies dormant in pontificating.</p>
<p>The sort of Tar-Baby circularity I am highlighting really calls for a deeper look at the quagmire. One argument that can be made, Nietzsche made it elegantly, is that morality is really about power. In his view individuals and more importantly religions, politics, cultures preserve and maintain domination on the basis of the moral imperative. All despicable forms of human behavior can be dressed up with the garb of truth, morality and universality. However, the naked truth of the emperor with no cloths is that morality is used to advance and justify the unabashed use of power and domination. While I am not entirely on board with this cynical perspective of morality I certainly cannot deny the legitimacy of such an argument. Historically, we have desperately tried to authenticate our anthromorphic, myopic narcissism on the basis of the &#8216;eternal&#8217;, the &#8216;true&#8217; and the &#8216;good&#8217;. I believe Foucault provides a rich empirical study for this case. When it comes to morality everyone and every culture thinks their morality is the &#8216;true&#8217; morality and the &#8216;others&#8217; demonstrate &#8216;bad faith&#8217; morality. The logic of this power mongering morality has been proven over and over again and the only escape from contradictory cynicism appears to be neutrality. However, before I get into that I would like to cite one other avenue with regard to the topic of morality.</p>
<p>One way that folks try to escape the quandary of morality is to be a-moral. If we have no morality but only self-interest we can try to justify that on the basis of the best interest of every self or the morality of a-morality but that comes off as mere pretense. Why would a true a-moralist care if others take their ideology as serving the interest of morality as that would be a contradiction of terms; sort of like an atheist needing to assume the existence of God in some fashion in order to disprove it. Perhaps Nietzsche was given a pass to some extent by the mere force of his insights but his tinny sounding disciples remind me of what Nietzsche said about Christianity; there was only one Christian and he died two thousand years ago. The post-Rand era, Darwinian capitalist drum pounding may be cute and dramatic but it has certainly become cliché and over done. I suppose you could admire the pure self-aggrandizing of a Hitler, a Stalin, a Gingus Kahn, etc. but that cannot help but set up the most despicable and &#8216;bad faith&#8217; form of morality, the morality of might makes right, -the butt of Nietzsche&#8217;s problem with (and admiration of) Christianity. He decried Christianity as descendent and decadent but he also credited it with the ingenious invention of eternal Hell and the inferior parishioner&#8217;s fear of reprisals for not listening to priests admonitions of how to avoid it. While he may have romanticized the nobility of the Greeks and the warrior he himself lived in a moat by the castle (as Kierkegaard criticized Hegel). Sorry, but I find the chest beating neocon to be a caricature of himself.</p>
<p>On the surface arguments against neutrality could bring up the fascist science of Aryan Nazism or the scientific Stalinism of communism. Ah, but the retort would be that those political sciences were not &#8216;true&#8217; science. This is reminiscent of the claim that the Crusaders were not &#8216;true&#8217; Christians. At all costs we must preserve the possibility for truth even if it maintains the necessity for untruth to establish it. Perhaps true science can only maintain a kind of quietism on questions of politics and social science. We could also bring up the argument that for every science there is a scientist, a human with morals and biases. Even if neutrality does offer refuge it appears to not offer refuge for living humans that still must moralize and have personal judgments or biases. As the existentialists were fully aware we must act and make judgments, even scientists. We must intervene against the unjust exercise of totalitarian perceptions, of the morality of power, and yet we can lay no claim to the absolute impartiality of our own judgments. Neutrality at best can only stifle and ignore the need for action when we are not the ones on the adverse receiving ends of the morality of power. I believe the French call the neutral justification for inaction the bourgeoisie. I am afraid that the refuge of neutrality is really only an empty abstraction for those that can afford one, those ordained by the gifts of power and morality. By this I mean that neutrality does not place us above the fray of having to act and make decisions based on our own flawed judgments and moral inconsistencies. If neutrality is used to justify inaction when faced with the need to act it is really only a pretense for conserving one&#8217;s own moral ascendency when faced with our inability to establish morality on anything other than, more &#8216;true&#8217; than, ourselves. The latest cliché for moral hypocrisy may be &#8216;political correctness&#8217; but its reality was perfected long before progressives came on the scene.</p>
<p>One caveat to this discussion on neutrality is that I do not want to reduce all neutrality to &#8216;bad conscious&#8217; or bourgeois morality. I do believe that emotions may equally taint and break down the need to act based on our own moral ambivalences; clear thinking is in no way excused from our existential dilemma. The point is that we are offered no refuge from which we can gain a &#8216;Gods-eye&#8217; perspective and therefore escape bad morality. I propose that instead of the one-upmanship game of establishing our morality on higher divine grounds or morally excusing ourselves from our moral selves perhaps we should look at morality as the small and individual way in which we are, -as having to make judgments, act and have unfounded and inferior opinions.</p>
<p>As humans we have to the possibility of learning and changing as long as we live. We cannot deny that we have morality and that we can and do use it in bad faith but we also have the possibility to learn and grow, to change. We are not utterly and always reduced to the necessity for wrong actions and hypocrisy. We must be politically correct even if we are conservatives in our uniquely conservative fashion but we do not have to universalize and absolutely justify our moral certainties. We are allowed tentative judgments. We must also recognize our clay feet and &#8216;bad faith&#8217; morality without making it a virtue or ignoring it. To some extent, we are responsible for the plight of others. Each of us has to make a judgment call about where that responsibility lies. Perhaps as Levinas would have it, the other continually faces us and reminds us of our abnegation to their call of our responsibility. We may as well fess up and do what we can in the face of our own hypocrisy. Neutrality never succeeds completely as permanent oblivion is not an option in the face of human tragedy; our indolence always comes back to us in one way or another. I suppose we can justify, rationalize, divine and demon but it also requires constant effort to keep form and chaos in their perspective corners. Perhaps the best we can do is accept the burden of our morality, forge ahead in the need to act and try to listen for the still, small voice that affords us the opportunity to learn.</p>
<img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/CriticalThinkingApplied/~4/SnGyi4KlyQ4" height="1" width="1"/>]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://critical-thinker.net/?feed=rss2&amp;p=1181</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		<feedburner:origLink>http://critical-thinker.net/?p=1181</feedburner:origLink></item>
	</channel>
</rss>

