Daily horse racing selections from #teamform ratings

selections for 5/7/2016

2016-07-04T11:55:00.002-07:00

bloody crossbar was pounded today but it didn't give us that elusive winner unfortunately. both the jim goldie runners ran respectable races finishing second and as thought the third selection was withdrawn following her exploits the previous day. small profit on the e/w trixie but it's winners that pay the bills so tomorrow we head to wolverhampton in search of some value!! pontefract looks a very difficult card with the ratings not really throwing up anything thats clear so it's off to the tapeta we go!! i wouldn't be going daft stake wise tomorrow as there isn't a lot of room on the figures with 3lb & 2lb only separating the top four in each race but there big enough prices to make them count if something lands. i'd probably go with a small stakes e/w patent to be honest.

whipphound 2.25 (16/1 widely available)

steel stockholder 3.55 (16/1 widely available)

major muscari 4.25 (14/1 widely available)

there's plenty of unexposed types lurking in each race that could easily step up on what they've done so far but these should give us a decent run for our money.

best of luck if you follow.

selections for 4/7/2016

2016-07-03T12:23:00.001-07:00

Well i'm bored so i thought i'd put my time to some use this evening!! it's been a while but i thought i'd throw a small blog together for tomorrows racing!! bet to what you can afford & feel free to abuse me, i'll happily tell you to jog on!!

Goninodaethat 2.45 Ayr (5/1 widely available)

comes here on the back of two stiff tasks in 0-75 company and this drop in grade will be most welcome for jim goldie's charge. there doesn't look a lot of competition for pace in the race and he can tack over from his draw of 6 and grab the rail and make all off what is a now very tempting handicap mark & has won in july for the last three years so clearly comes to himself around now.

Classy Anne 4.25 Ayr (6/1 widely available)

another from big jim's yard north of the border she will relish the give underfoot & comes here 2lb below her last winning mark. she showed she still possesses plenty of ability when touched off in a similar grade by anonymous lady over C&D in may of this year and this looks there for the taking.

Dark crystal 5.30 Ayr (7/1 widely available)

was second behind beautiful stranger today so not guaranteed to be running but if she does will hold every chance. that was in a 0-75 so she should relish conditions here in a 0-65 and the drop back a furlong hold's no fears & this doesn't look a strong race in depth to be honest.

Win singles & an e/w trixie look the way to go, best of luck if you follow.

Jockeys

2015-06-11T06:15:00.000-07:00

its been a while but i thought i'd throw something together on a subject that seems to be on every punters lips & thats jockeys. now its obviously very easy to criticise jockeys from an armchair when you have no clue about how the job should be done in the first place and the first thing you hear when a bad ride happens are claims of skulduggery. firstly this is a job for these people, like others do day in day out. can anyone hold there hands up say they've never made a mistake at work? i cant i know that much. how many have actually sat on a horse? a fraction of a percent i'd guess. now there is obviously the side to it that these people are doing this day in day out so will obviously be better at it than those that have never sat on a horse, we know that. but when people sit there ripping apprentices apart you have to question these people. obviously nine times out of ten its pocket talk but if your lumping on an inexperienced jockey you should really have a long look in the mirror as thing game clearly isn't for you. if these young future stars of our game aren't given a chance how will they learn? or do people think that as soon as they get in a saddle they become lester piggot overnight? of course they don't and now i'll tell you a story. i have been in this game seriously for the best part of 20 years and as it got more serious i thought to myself "if these beasts are carrying my money day in day out i want to know how they work" so off i took myself down to a local riding school and booked a block of 15 lessons (instructor was attractive but that was bye the bye!) on my first lesson i arrived full of gusto thinking lets get this done & as they wheeled the horses out i thought yep that one will do.. no.. ok then this one.. no.. and on it went..now i'm a biggish chap, 6' 4" quite well built but jesus christ on a bike you should of seen this thing they brought out for me dear lord it made a shire horse look like a show pony!!! couldn't get on with a leg up had to use a step ladder i shit you not!! in fact this thing wouldn't have looked out of place on the set of jurrasic park! off we went nice steady walk thought whats all the fuss about to be honest.. the following week came about so off i trundled for lesson two, bit of trotting today ian? no bother i got this.. YEAH RIGHT! trying to be clever i accidentally gave him a kick in the belly trying to turn & holy bollox ive never shit myself so much in my entire life!!! reared like tonto the thing did dumping me in the shit that he'd deposited not two minutes earlier! right then we'll see about this i thought get me that ladder i'm back on! that was mistake number two... so this time i just sat for a minute trying to get the measure of this beast between my legs (hubba hubba!! ;-) that clearly didn't have plans to become my best friend. off we walked again this time my feet where not moving..in fact my whole body was pretty frozen with fear i wont lie. after dismounting i really did feel a bit shaky but was determined to get a handle on this. lesson three came around & off we went again this time we raised a trot..probably around 3 miles an hour if that. this was enough for me game over the horse had won & got the better of me. i think back to this when i see jockeys flying round at over 30mph risking life & limb and quite simply i find it very difficult to criticise. one minute there a hero thirty minutes later there lying face down in the turf, really is a tough game. when race riding if a gap closes on you at 30mph sometimes you just have to suck it and see..it doesn't make it a bad ride its just how things pan out during a race. having the door closed on me at 3mph was more than enough to make me change my pants so give them a break.. there trying to earn a living like the rest of us.

greenham preview

2015-04-17T12:05:00.002-07:00

looks by far the strongest of the trials so far with dual group one & multiple group winners in the field. belardo is a G1 winner but he was beaten by both estidhkaar & ivawood last year & will have to have improved over the winter as although he had estidhkaar behind him in the dewhurst the hannon runner looked below par that day & could well have gone over the top. being by lope de vega he is interesting as a 3yo & i will be watching his offspring closely as i have them down as improving with time. toocoolforschool brings a fair level of form to the table but soft ground may see him improve as he did seem to relish it last time out. muhaarar has it to find with favourite ivawood on there 2yo form & it was a sub standard gimcrack he won & looked a cheap G2. then we have the favourite ivawood & whilst hes obviously decent i'm still not sure he's beaten much & there has to be a massive doubt about him staying this trip on his pedigree as these zebedees dont seem to want to go a yard further than 6f which leaves us with flaming spear. i'm not sure his maiden win will amount to much but he could only beat what was there & he did it well. hes by lope de vega out of a zafonic mare so the step up in trip should more than suit & he was backed as though defeat was out of the question on debut so is clearly held in high regard & with nine runners playing three places he would be my e/w play at around 8/1.

regards

teamform

newmarket day two

2015-04-15T10:12:00.002-07:00

not a bad day on the blog today getting the o'brien fav beat & also osaila winning at 4/1 meant a profitable day. three G3 races at HQ tomorrow & tidy stuff to be fair so hopefully we can give you a few pointers.

4.05 newmarket 1m craven stakes G3

classic trials come thick & fast over the next couple of weeks & this looks a half decent race. the top horse kool kompany well connections of that whoever the kool kompany partnership is must be sweating on the big money they paid for this fella, in fact previous connections take a bow as you knew! i'm not a fan of the sire & he throws up doubtful stayers & the money that this exchanged hands for considering at the time he was a winner of a weak G2 contest is baffling to me. in fact it will be the ultimate piss take when the middleham park runner finishes in front of it & does it out of some prize money! aces could be a player depending on how hes progressed over the winter whilst moheet beat nothing on debut (calling them trees would be unfair to trees!) war envoy gets a BHA rating of 111 yet has only won a maiden & war fronts another sire who i have issues with stamina wise so i've a line put through him. nafaqa on the other hand beat subsequent G2 winner toocoolforschool in a listed contest before being outpointed himself in a G2 by subsequent racing post trophy winner elm park so the form is rock solid. he'll bounce off this ground & with what is arguably the best form in the book should take all the beating here.

4.40 newmarket 1m 1f earl of sefton stakes G3

another cracking little contest this one & it looks to me a straight shoot out between french navy & grandeur.educate looks a handicapper maybe a listed contender at best but he'll need to find improvement at the age of six which is unlikely. glory awaits could go better on the firmer ground but he carries a 5lb penalty for winning a mickey mouse G2 race in outer mongolia or somewhere like that & the form equates to about a C3 conditions race in this country so you have to feel he'll struggle in the grade. if you take arods run in the dante literally he'd have to be in the mix but his fourth in the derby is a bit dodgy as he ran on past beaten horses & if you look in behind him that day there are horses like red galileo (been dropped into conditions grade since & still cant win) true story (listed race winner at best) & fascinating rock (clearly didnt stay) so the form is dubious to say the least. since then hes won a three runner race at leicester that i probably could of won then beat just the pacemaker home in the juddmonte, doesn't help that hes with a trainer that cant train ivy up a wall either & i couldnt have him here.mondialiste could be anything but the ground may be a bit on the quick side for him looking at his french form. the same comments have to apply to french navy as well so our selection has to be grandeur who with solid form in the book & will relish the surface the G1 winner over in the states is taken to show his class here.

we would go for..

nafaqa 4.05 & grandeur 4.40 level stakes win bets & a smaller stake win double.

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regards
teamform

newmarket day one

2015-04-13T12:33:00.003-07:00

A cracking card for the first day of newmarkets meet with a couple of listed races & a group 3 contest. the turf season really starts to get going now the nationals out the way & this meeting is always a good one to have the notebook handy and ideally you'd want to be paddock side on days like this but unfortunately we cant have everything. the one thing i will say though is with most of the races confined to 3yo's an air of caution needs to be taken as if a horse hasn't trained on from two to three then it won't win another race it really is as simple as that. i've seen some horses have decent 2yo careers then not be able to win a claimer, either they just don't progress physically or sometimes mentally but either way before putting strong money down you'd either want an in at a stable & know it was going well or for it to have had at least a decent run as a 3yo in the bag.

here's our thoughts anyway..

2.55 newmarket 6f conditions race

i think theres alot of horses in this with false official ratings to start with as all the horses rated in triple figures all ran in sales races last term & whilst there competitive theres an awful lot of dead wood in them at times & its interesting to note that the horse which seems to hold all the form lines secret brief of godolphins finished last when stepped out of sales race company & into group class (admittedly a G1 though) which tells me the formmay well not be all that. the horse i'd want to take on would be the forecast favourite of ballydoyle's & how he gets a rating of 106 i have no idea. he was behind both bossy guest & ballymore castle here at newmarket back in october & its even more of a mystery how he's favourite as well. the only real thing he does have going for him is a fitness edge over his rivals but i can't see them being left that short of work they won't be able to do themselves justice & the facts are he's had two stabs at this rowley mile course & was beaten ten lengths on the first attempt & was then last of six not beating a rival home in the middle park so it could well be that he either doesn'y like newmarket or just may not like travelling. theres not even alot to take from his recent maiden victory with the third horse being beaten in a weak maiden & the fourth horse home has been beaten off a mark off 74 in a handicap since so he would only have had to run to around 80 to win his maiden, at least 15lb below what will be needed to win this so a big step up is required. the problem with laying a horse is you have to have something to beat it & the sales race form apart i think this could go to the filly at the bottom with the weight allowance. she struggled in the lowther but that race is littered with pattern races winners & looks strong G2 form, some way above what would be required to win this. she also had a couple of decent performers in behind including a subsequent winner when second at salisbury & i may be tempted to lay the fav & back the filly but leave it so if the fav is beaten its a winning race for me.

3.30 newmarket 6f free handicap (listed)

a race that could well get tactical & the favourite is priced up more on what the horse he beat has done since taking the G3 acomb stakes & then running third in a G1 over in ireland but he treated him like a petulant child that day & just brushed him aside so could well be anything. jungle cat however could well get the run of the race on the front & if william buick can get the fractions right (which is debatable at times) he could kick on from the front & get these at it. there is always the chance the horse has been "godolphinised" with the switch from mark johnstons to charlie appleby but that seems to happen more when they send them over to meydan for whatever reason but alot of horses are never the same again. if you were desperate for a bet then maybe a small e/w on jacobs cats & possibly look at backing him in the without fav market but i'd want some value as theres as much chance of buick setting the wrong fractions & him tailing off but he did look a resolute type last year & surely even godolphin cant have put petrol in a diesel engine which they tend to have a habit of doing.

4.05 newmarket 7f nell gwyn stakes (Group 3)

dear lord 3yo fillies & not one of them has had a run as a 3yo!! we really are in bandit country here the two i have it between though are hugo palmers new providence & the richard hannon trained osaila. both have wins in G3 company to there name & only muraaqaba can boast the same so theres plenty in here with something to prove least of all the gosden filly lady correspondent who with an official rating of 77 looks to be up against it & whilst the second horse from its maiden landed a weak maiden the third horse has been beat twice since in the same grade & the next best perromance from the also rans that day is a fourth place in a wolverhampton handicap off a mark of 59 so the OR of 77 is generous in fact!! obviously theres always the chance that she will improve massively from that run bur she will need to..to the tune of around two stone!! personally i think osaila has the strongest form in the book with that third in the breeders cup a stand out but the stable form of hannons this past week has been sketchy to say the least which whilst off putting i dont think is alot to worry about but i'd be happier to see them have a winner. hugo palmers filly beat marsh hawk at salisbury with no excuses for the hannon runner that day so i see no reason why thats shorter in the betting apart from its connections (hughes rides). the godolphin filly beautiful romance had an eye catching debut but i've a feeling time will tell that she beat trees that day as theres nothing that has come out of the race with any significance so far. i'm tempted to stick with the C&D form of osaila & whilst not the most original selection she has the form in the book which is hard to go against.

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teamform

cheltenham day three 2015

2015-03-11T14:14:00.000-07:00

quiet day today for me after the roller coaster of day one but don poli again made me a meagre profit on the day after simply ned ran a respectable race in the champion in fifth but no more than that. two days in though & two days with a shade of profit after pretty much not getting an awful lot right i'll take all day but i've got three e/w fancies tomorrow so hopefully some decent profit.

BALDER SUCCESS 2.40 (nap) 8/1 paddy power

insane springs to mind considering his bare form at cheltenham is FUF but if you judge the race on bare form he has to be in there with a major chance over what i consider his best trip. fourth in the tingle creek behind the one two in todays champion chase then finishing second to special tiara, third in todays champion chase. in behind on both occasions was third intention who since came out & beat arkle thjird jossies hill, as you can see this is serious form in the book. he then effortlessly beat fox appeal when stepped up in trip who again backed up on his next run with a solid run off a mark of 149 in a handicap. then he got his chase G1 in the book last time with a solid run in the betfair chase & hes now three from three over 2m4f+ over fences. the course form has to be a worry but for me he has the form in & looks good.

BLUE FASHION 3.20 (nb) 14/1 paddy power

again the form this one has in the book is standout for me. was two lengths behind current title holder more of that trying to give him 6lb which we now know was a near impossible task & tyen runner up behind subsequent champion hurdle winner faugheen, ok he was never going to trouble him bu the the fact is in this country hes only ever been beaten by proven G1 championship winning horses. the trip is an obvious concern & also the drying ground but at the prices i think he looks a cracking e/w bet as on pedigree hes got every chance of getting it.

EDGARDO SOL 4.00 (iwac) 25/1 paddy power

quite simply im convinced theres a big handicap in this lad & hes knocked on the door on more than one occasion this season. im hoping the drying ground will be just what he needs after a couple of runs on soft the last twice and out runs his price into a place at the very least.

hopefully all three give a good account & if balder had some course form i'd be over him like a tramp on chips but i'd just play the three at level stakes e/w & an e/w trixie to be honest & best of luck if you follow. again these are just my thoughts & in no way am i recommending you follow or invest.

cheltenham day two 2015

2015-03-10T15:33:00.001-07:00

well it can't get any worse than today that much i do know! mullins hot pot after hot pot going in & a new pair of pants where needed after UDS demolished the arkle field after laying the first two jollys & things had to pick up. the druids nephew was a welcome winner & then it was back to the lay plan.. only to watch faugheen play with them in the champion & bound up the hill in effortless fashion & it was time to dispense with the underpants & just replace them with a nappy at this stage!! so what to do..lay annie for the sweep as planned? it was a case of in for a penny in for a pound & rounding the home turn the nappy was pretty much full to bursting until the gambling gods intervened and what happened at the last well we all know the answer to that. i believe though over a season your luck will even itself out & theres plenty ive backed that have fell at the last with the race at there mercy as annie had today. i'm the first to hold my hands up & admit i got the day completely wrong though & with both ruby & annie getting up safely to fight another day i was quite happy to count my minimal profit on the day & count myself a very lucky boy. onto tomorrow & its champion chase day so thats where we'll kick off..

3.20 cheltenham 2m Queen mother champion chase (Grade 1)

this is basically the clash that we wanted to see last year the sire against the sprinter when both at the peak of there powers but alas it never happened. both had questions to answer after reappearances and sire de grugy sort of went some way to repairing his reputation when winning a mediocre handicap which i find amazing that timeform rate as probably the best 2m run by a chaser this season i seen one of theres people say on at the races recently. he beat two pretty exposed nine & ten year olds last time & whilst he ran off a mark of 172 that day thats all well and good provided the horses he ran against also ran to there marks which i very much doubt considering grey golds penultimate run was when stone last behind dodging bullets & sprinter sacre in the clarence house. so onto dodging bullets whos form in the spring (march/april) reads 4-6-9-7 & after three tries at the festival is yet to register a place, cant have him at all. next up is the mullins festival specialist champagne fever who strangely i see people say should have won the arkle..why? was beaten by a better horse on the day for me, ok that horse is a lunatic but fever jumped fine, had the run of the race so not really sure what else could have gone in his favour to be honest & wether you like it or not the stat is there that hes had four stabs at G1 company over fences on his dancecard & has yet to win but has a couple of comfortable victories in G2 company which tends me to swing towards he might be just short of taking a seat at the top table. now onto probably the horse that has excited me as near to how frankel made me feel in his pomp in the shape of sprinter sacre. i see alot of what i class as good judges saying he's finished after one comeback run & it surprises me to be honest. one thing that i will conceed is that being a french bred he isn't going to get better with age thats for sure, they tend to peak early & finish early where as english & irish bred horses tend to get better with age so thats one negative, but not a game changing one. now you have to bare in mind that this is a horse that they basically had to re-write the handicap for because he was that good & an official BHA rating of 188 is something we wont see for a very long time. back in his heyday this horse had muscles on his earlobes & muscles on top of his muscles he looked that well on every occasion & simply on his come back he didnt but after a year off he wasn't ever going to be knocked about & bazza G was far from hard on him & quite simply racing needs champions & i hope & prey he comes there swinging off the bridle round the bend & the crowd gasp at one of his athletic leaps at the second last as he puts the peasants to the sword but alas thats a dream at the moment but the 3/1 may look massive around half past three tomorrow. mr mole is a handicapper trying to make the step up & his G2 win doesn't read great taking into the sire de grugy factor & him not running his race. its taken a while but my fancy for the race is the nicky richards trained simply ned. never out of the first three in nine completed chase starts he ran a cracker in a Grade one over in ireland on unsuitable ground last time out & will be seen to far better effect tomorrows quicker surface. on his penultimate start he had dodging bullets a head behind in third in the shloer chase here at cheltenham so the course should have no fears & hes also been given a short break to freshen him up as hes won three from four completed starts on the back of a 60+ day break. with alot of this field with far more questions than answers against there name he looks to be the value play to me.

simply ned e/w @ 20/1 available with paddy power

cheltenham day one 2015

2015-03-09T08:32:00.001-07:00

well it's finally here! pretty much what the whole NH season revolves around is the next four days in the cotswolds. thousands will make the pilgrimage.. there will be tears, laughter and the odd pint of guiness sunk i'd imagine from our friends across the irish sea but as long as they all come home safe & sound to battle another day i think every race fan will settle for that outcome. i'm going to concentrate on the four Grade one's tomorrow & quite simply..i'm getting after these supposed mullins "good things" like a sniper in the trees!! here are my thoughts..

1.30 cheltenham Supreme Novices hurdle 2m 110y (Grade 1)

ok straight off the bat this douvan i have to take on simply for a horse that has beaten trees hes a ridiculous price. fair enough he has been visually impressive like all these hot pots have & thats why they've been backed accordingly but if i ran round the block against an 85 year old man the chances are i'd look pretty impressive...let me run against a man whos semi fit & i'll be blowing like that poxy at the races express we keep seeing on those annoying adverts! all hes won is a G2 so far & the horse in third that day has come out & been spanked nearly 20 lengths in a mickey mouse non graded event. the one thing backers can cling to is that on debut he beat sizing john who came out & won a G1 but the favourite fell & the other mullins horse was pulled up which meant he beat sub lieutenant of sandra hughes' who was subsequently spanked 30 lengths by nichols canyon who was the favourite that fell in that race. the form just isnt very good in my opinion so that then brings us to what to back. i'll be laying douvan for the sweep as my main play as theres plenty running for me. the one i'm taken by is qewy of john fergusons. he was a decent tool on the flat rated 107 at peak following a listed race success for john oxx & whilst hes the most inexperienced over timber in the field he was very impressive beating a decent tool last time & looks fair e/w value to me.

2.05 cheltenham Arkle challenge trophy chase 2m (Grade 1)

now this favourite i will be laying purely as i dont think any horse should be odds on in a championship novice event at cheltenham on his first attempt there but that said of the four mullins hot pots this is probably the most likely winner of the four. there are plenty of reasons to get him beat though as his race comments all read "made all" and pretty much hes had an uncontested lead in every race, thats not going to happen tomorrow. i was in a similiar camp with this one as i was with douvan..that was until his last run when he slammed clarcam giving him weight..and he did it very effortlessly as well. he may well be the best horse in the race but a small lay none the less. so onto what to back and with UDS being so short it does open up some e/w value & again i think it could well be the ferguson horse this time three kingdoms. vibrato valtat is the second favourite & on recent runs you'd have to say he deserves his place there. three kingdoms however gave vibrato 10lb's & beat him over hurdles (completely different sphere i know) and only has half a length to find on there running in the wayward lad at kempton at christmas yet is four times the price? what i did like though is his last run. he made a complete hash of three out yet battled back like a lion to get the better of solar impulse with tony mccoy in the saddle for the first time & it could well be that he suits the horse & replacing brian hughes is mccoy worth half a length at the prices? i'd say yes & he'll be my e/w play in the race.

3.20 cheltenham Champion hurdle 2m 110y (Grade 1)

right then now it gets juicy!! right i'll ask you a very simple & straight forward question.. what price would the best horse faugheen has beaten be in tomorrows champion market? around 33's at shortest i reckon but again we're back to the being visually impressive scenario & unless your visually impared you would have to say hes been very impressive. my issue with him is i dont think 2m is his best trip, he can get away with it quality horses always will but at championship pace its a different ball game & he goes against some real battle hardened sorts here. add into that his best piece of form is arguably in last seasons neptune (over 2m 5f) where the runner up has yet to reappear the third has again yet to come out & the fourth horse has since managed a mind blowing second place off a mark of 141 in a novices handicap chase... not exactly earth shattering form and even his most ardent supporters have to agree with that. then theres the record of christmas hurdle winners in the champion, certainly not great by any stretch of the imagination and all of a sudden the case against him is growing. i know a few bookies that have the new one as a big loser in there books and thats a tough call now for me i must admit. last years winner jezki i'd of been all over if geraghty was on board & maybe switched the headgear around & dropped a pair of blinkers on him as the first time hood worked a treat in last years race & horses can get used to them. last years favourite hurricane fly & twice winner of the race in the past in 2011 & 2013 is quite literally an enigma & would bring the house down if he actually got home in front & when you consider the only time hes been out of the first three is when fourth in last years champion it just goes to show how strong a race this is. the old boy will get found out i'm sure but if there is a downpour of biblical proportions i wouldn't discount him running a place. all told its a difficult race for e/w betting with the three main protagonists all under 5/1 in the market so i'll just lay faugheen for the sweep..let battle commence!!!

4.00 cheltenham Mares hurdle 2m 4f (Grade 1)

i'm dubious as to how good a run annie's was in last years world hurdle but back against her own sex its hard to see past her. she has had an injury though & i'd be a layer rather than a backer. the one thing annie does do though is open up a bit of e/w value & i'd be tempted to have a small e/w play on the bottom mare the pirates queen. shes looked far better since stepped up in trip & theres a few here that have close form lines including bitofapuzzle & caroles spirit but again i liked the way this one battled to the line last time.

well my day revolves around getting the big four beat, douvan being the main one followed by faugheen & if i can get them beat then it will be pound seat johnny on day one & i'll take that. i'll play a small e/w patent on the following & see if the gods are looking down on me..

qewy 1.30 @ 12/1 bet365

three kingdoms 2.05 @ 25/1 bet365

the pirates queen 4.00 @ 20/1 bet365

please remember these are just my thoughts & my thoughts alone on tomorrows racing i'm not recommending you follow me or back/lay anything i've stated. you are all grown men/women & are more than capable of making your own decisions.

regards
ian

10/9/2014

2014-09-10T14:39:00.002-07:00

Evening sportsfans!! tomorrow sees the start of the leger festival so hopefully i can dig out a few winners for us. firstly i have to say keep stakes to a minimum, looks a decent quality card but with the two main races being confined to fillies & mares they really are the quickest way to the poor house & you'll have to walk a long way to find a wealthy man that ever trusted a woman with his cash!!

2.10 doncaster (sceptre stakes G3 7f)

braggings the obvious starting point having hacked up in a handicap last time but this is a different ball game altogether although there are far more with questions against there names than answers here to be really honest. lucky kristale is a dual G2 winner but there has to be a serious question as to.. 1) wether shes trained on & 2) does she stay further than 6f without the aid of a jet plane? i think the answer to both is no so i wouldnt bother with that one & theres also frankels little sister whos pretty much in the same boat regards the trip although she does get a 3lb pull woth j wonder for just over a length on there running at newbury so discounted, but not as easily. plenty of others that would be worthy of a mention but my lucky pin has fallen on KIYOSHI of charlie hills. looked a superstar last year when winning the albany but went via ascot high street in the final furlong that day so clearly can have her own ideas about the game but the key could well be the application of cheekpieces for the first time tomorrow & she really has been highly tried with half of her eight lifetime start being in G1 company & even when dropped into listed company she bumped into no other than euro charlene who went on to win the G1 beverley D stakes in america, hows your luck!! she has valid excuses this term with the ground being against her in the falmouth & last time out in france & i'm not convinced she truly stays a mile so 7f on a decent surface should suit her down to the ground & looks a solid e/w play at around 10/1 with most firms.

2.40 doncaster (park hill stakes G2 1m 6f)

you'll have to go along way to find a a cheaper G2 than this i know that much & someones going to grab some cheap black type thats for sure. most have it to prove at the trip but seal of approval heads the market & is a G1 winner but dear lord that fillies & mares race on champions day that day was as bad as a G1 gets & connections might rue not whisking her straight off to the paddocks & cashing in. venus de milo could be the one to improve most from the step up in trip but the run last time in the yorkshire oaks was far to bad to be true so has it all to prove here. groovejet wouldn't be the worst e/w bet in the world at a daft price as she will be plodding on when the others are doing there nails & looking in the mirror when they've had enough in the final couple of furlongs but i'm going to take a chance on MOMENT IN TIME. she was very progressive last year winning a G3 & culminating in a third placing in the G1 E.P. taylor stakes at woodbine before heading off to meydan in the early part of the year but it didnt really work out for her & came back with a bit of a hangover from there & wasn't the same horse on her return which isn't unusual for some horses as they just dont take to the change in climate & it takes them time to recover. she has looked like shes been coming back to herself on her last couple of runs though & was certainly not disgraced when fourth last time out in the american st leger. its a speculative punt but at around 14/1 one which i think worth it.

kiyoshi e/w (10/1 widely available)

moment in time e/w (14's available in places but plenty of 12/1)

best of luck if you play.

regards
ian

3/9/2014

2014-09-03T14:21:00.001-07:00

Evening sportsfans!! well what a return to blogging we made on sunday evening with the sole selection generalyse obliging at a tasty 7/1. had a bit of time spare this evening with the england game being about as interesting as listening to the ex-wife droan on about..well i dont really know as i switch off after a couple of seconds..seems to be my default setting!lol lets see if we can find a couple of winners tomorrow...

7.10 wolves

a tricky race at first glance but bogsnog could be the value here, this is his grade & his C&D (two from two in 7f C5 races here) & comes here a well handicapped horse. the key to him is wether he gets an easy lead & he could well do that here. the other obvious pace in the race is wotalad but hes drawn on the outside of bogsnog so with a half decent break all the bog needs to do is hold his position early to force the other wide enough to force him to drop in unless the jockey on him completely loses his head & tries to take us on round the outside of the first bend but i really cant see it as it would be tactical suicide. at around 16/1 currently he looks excellent value to add to his impressive course record. on this new tapeta surface you ideally want horses that have form on southwells fibresand & whilst he hasn't raced there his sire moss vale has a decent record there so he should be ok.

8.40 wolves

another trappy contest with some old favourites but red cape looks to have a decent shout to me. he falls to his last winning mark over C&D when beating tyfos who has won & run with great credit since so the form has a very solid look about it. whilst he has run with credit recently on turf hes far better on an artificial surface & even his last run on the a/w since his win behind come on dave has been franked since with that one rattling up a couple of victories recently & this really isn't a strong race by any means.

e/w bogsnog 16/1 paddy power

e/w red cape 10/1 paddy power

e/w double

remember you can find my selections daily by following @teamformratings & getting involved in there e-mail service.

many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow.

regards
ian

31/8/2014

2014-08-31T09:52:00.000-07:00

Evenings sportsfans!! its been a while but certainly good to be back! as most of you will know for the last 6 months or so i have been tipping via nialls blog at niallers123.com which i have thoroughly enjoyed & had some good laughs with the lads on there but nialls now going off to do his masters degree & i wish him well in all his future endeavours. i am also the man behind @teamformratings along with @ptmahon & selections will be on there daily when time doesn't permit me to blog & the email service consists of the days handicap ratings from our private handicap along with both system & advised bets so be sure to give them a follow. onto pressing matters & firstly i think its about time the #stealingaliving league made a long awaited return, plenty out there at it so lets start capturing them again!! also no doubt many are reading looking for a winner or two & hopefully we can find a couple of those as well. not the greatest days racing tomorrow i must admit although part of me is glad the evening racing is now slowing down as when theres five & six meetings a day of mediocre stuff its perilous to say the least. like i say theres not alot to get excited about tomorrow but i would be tempted to have an each way play on..

GENERALYSE 5.40 leicester

who drops to a winning mark and has C&D form which is useful at a track like leicester as its alot more undulating than people think. top offer could be a danger depending on how much ability he retains & for a horse that ran in camelots guineas it really is a case of how far the mighty have fallen. smokethatthunders is another one that could come under consideration but i cant help but feel hes a better horse on an artificial surface but at around 7/1 generalyse looks a solid e/w punt & also comes out top on the #teamform ratings. hopefully we can return with a winner!!

onto the #stealingaliving league & some old favourites mixed with a few new entries but as always any suggestions you may have fire them in during the week for next sundays edition!

10. my dustbin men

seriously lads you've not been for two & a half weeks..words will be had upon your return.

9. remy

how do you fail a medical at one club then fly through one at another? not to sure how that works & i dont like the bellend anyway..

8. anyone with the title "director of football"

what do these people actually do? most of them couldnt direct f**king traffic in all honesty..

7. epsoms flagman

well..he may as well be stealing a living as clearly no one takes any notice of him!

6. rishi persad

well it just wouldnt be the #stealingaliving league without the royalty that is rishi!

5. winker watson

whisked off to stud at the end of his 2yo career..and so far hes managed to sire the winner of a seller..absolutely awful sire who should be banned from inpreganting any more mares instantly.

4. harry herbert

highclere cock..simple as that. how do you get off the list harry? run that boat telescope over the right trip!

3. clare balding

still flits from channel to channel as she pleases & her channel 4 racing contract must have more holes than a culinder to be honest.

2. ashley young

goes down more often than a kings cross hooker.

1. LOUIS VAN GAAL

arise sir louis! came in as the saviour of manchester united & the new "chosen one"..however united are still yet to claim a win & with being dumped out of the egg cup in midweek unfortunatley louis you are.. STEALING A LIVING my friend!!

i fully anticipate an all out assault so when ive posted this on twitter i think i'll take cover for the evening!!lol many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & have a good end to your weekend.

regards
ian

30/4/2014

2014-04-30T11:22:00.000-07:00

#teamform daily handicap ratings are

available via email

along with both system & advised bets.

it also features

the best bets of the day from

@ptmahon & @ianmallard

included.

email: ianmallard123@gmail.com

for further details

23/4/2014

2014-03-23T02:19:00.003-07:00

anyone wishing to recieve the days full rated

a/w & turf flat cards along

with full write up

please contact

ianmallard123@gmail.com

for further details

19/3/2014

2014-03-19T14:41:00.001-07:00

Tomorrows Selections:

ocean legend 7.25 kempton (nap) 9/2

bold ring 5.55 kempton (nb) 20/1

*prices correct as of 5pm when this evenings email was sent*

anyone wishing to join the email service & recieve the full days rated cards along with full write up & advisory service please email ianmallard123@gmail.com for further details.

18/3/2014

2014-03-18T12:53:00.000-07:00

Evening sportsfans!! awful racing today so a quiet one blog wise but hopefully we can find a few winners tomorrow. as i'm watching the chelsea game i won't be doing a full write up this evening but here are tomorrows selections..

TIME SQUARE 7.40 (nap) 8/1 bet365

INDIAN VIOLET 2.00 (nb) 12/1 bet365

WEST LEAKE 2.30 (iwac) 10/1 bet365

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

16/3/2014

2014-03-16T13:12:00.001-07:00

Evening sportsfans!! well after todays goings on it would of been rude not to pull the #stealingaliving league out of the woodwork now wouldn't it! the one person who won't be making an appearance this week is channel 4 racings very own sir rishi persad. whilst he remains a firm favourite with #stealingaliving fans his exploits this week in the charity race at cheltenham where superb to be fair to the lad who raised alot of money for a very good cause so this week rishi gets a week off & a cap doff from us all at #teamchoochoo :-)

tomorrows selections..

1pt e/w YEEOOW 4.20 kempton (nap) 5/1 bet365

will have blown the cobwebs away last time out after a break & falls to his last winning turf mark. his C&D record reads 1-2-1-2 & martin harley has 3 wins & 4 places on him from 10 rides.

1pt e/w ISLAND LEGEND 2.20 kempton (nb) 14/1 bet365

another multiple C&D winner that is now a very well handicapped horse.

1pt e/w MAISON BRILLET 3.20 kempton (iwac) 8/1 bet365

showed a bit more last time out & is on a winning mark here.

*prices correct as of 5pm when this evenings email was sent out*

anyone wishing to join the email service & recieve the full days rated a/w cards along with full write up & email advisory service please send an email to ianmallard123@gmail.com for further details.

now onto what i'm sure your all after & its this weeks #stealingaliving top ten!!!

10. wayne rooney (moaning twat)
300k a week!! seriously??

9. robin van persie (out of form striker)
robin needs to find his batman.. and quick!!!

8. marouane fellaini (man without a barber)
28m...LOL!!

7. ole gunnar solskjaer (man with a very strange accent)
oh ole.. you should never have got involved with vincent.. it was only ever going to end in tears!!

6. sue the cleaner (my cleaning lady!)
shes back! phoned in sick today though.. hmmm.. strange how you where spotted in yates' break dancing after ireland won the rugby.. we'll discuss this tomorrow.. oh wait.. its st patricks day.. see you tuesday then!!! (yes, shes irish!)

5. steve bruce (proper ugly bastard)
just don't like the man..

4. clare balding (rug muncher)
whilst everyone was getting there homework for cheltenham in our favourite rug muncher was... ponsing around at crufts! i really dont know how she does it but her contract must be amazing!!

3. santa claus (man with a beard)
works one night a week.. dont know how hes escaped us for so long!!

2. fernando torres (used to play for a great club)
i had the misfortune of watching him against villa & looks a shadow of the player he was when he played for the greatest club in the land. "there was something in the air that night, the stars are bright FERNANDO!!!!!"

1. david moyes (inept fool)
if you gave this man a brand new cunt he'd fuck it up i'm sure!! words actually fail me now where the footballing genius is concerned..

many thanks for taking the time to read my blog & as always good luck with whatever you decide for your money tomorrow!!

regards
ian

12/3/2014

2014-03-12T13:55:00.000-07:00

tomorrows cheltenham selections..

1pt e/w oscar whiskey 1.30 6/1 bet365 (nap)

1pt e/w zarkander 3.20 14/1 skybet (nb)

1pt e/w third intention 4.00 14/1 bet365 (iwac)

*prices correct at time of this evenings email*

anyone wishing to recieve the days fully rated flat a/w & turf cards via email please contact ianmallard123@gmail.com for further details..

11/3/2014

2014-03-11T13:54:00.001-07:00

well cheltenham was very kind to us today, all lays landing to go with wins for vautour on the blog & those that follow my twitter timeline will also have found holywell hidden in there at a tasty 10/1. our a/w selections grabbed a couple of places at 12/1 & 7/1 advised but it was a case of pounding the crossbar on that front to be honest & i'll settle for needing a wheelbarrow for my money rather than a skip today!!!lol

tomorrows advices:

1pt e/w sizing europe 3.20 (nap) 14/1 bet victor

never out of the first two in four championship races over fences here at prestbury park. he has to be the value play here & this drying ground won't bother him at all.

1pt e/w get me out of here 2.40 (nb) 20/1 bet victor

another one that won't mind the ground, goes well fresh & now looks to be on a workable mark. first time cheekpieces may well spark him back to life & he was second in this two years back off a 7lb higher mark. he was an eyecatcher last time out when claimer ridden but his will be a different ball game with mccoy throwing the kitchen sink,pots & pans & the shithouse at him.

LAY sire de grugy 3.20

5 times hes contested C1 contests going left handed.. FIVE TIMES HES BEEN BEATEN.. has twice tried to conquer the cheltenham hill.. TWICE HES FAILED.. come on then backers lets be having ya money!! :-)

*prices correct as of 6.30pm when this evenings email was sent*

anyone wishing to recieve the daily email with the days full rated flat cards (aw & turf) please email ianmallard123@gmail.com for further details

many thanks for following

regards

ian

10/3/2014

2014-03-10T14:03:00.001-07:00

Tomorrows selections..

1pt e/w lucky dan 5.45 (nap) 16/1 bet365

1pt e/w final delivery 7.15 (nb) 7/1 bet365

1pt e/w baltic prince 8.15 (iwac) 12/1 bet365

cheltenham plays..

1.30 supreme novices hurdle

LAY: irving

BACK: vautour

2.05 arkle challenge trophy

BACK: rock on ruby

3.20 champion hurdle

LAY: hurricane fly

BACK: mytentoryours

*prices correct as of 5.00pm when this evenings email was sent out

anyone wishing to recieve the full days rated flat a/w cards via email please contact ianmallard123@gmail.com

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

5/3/2014

2014-03-05T11:27:00.001-08:00

Evening sportsfans!! well i think frustrating has to be the word used to describe things since i returned to blogging this month.. 3 advised naps finishing 2nd, 3rd & 3rd after being backed off the boards although advised at 13/2, 6/1 & 6/1 each way its been far from a disaster so hopefully we can nail one tomorrow..

1pt e/w MASKED DANCE 4.55 southwell (nap) 5/1 paddy power

i think scott dixons charge bumped into a very well handicapped horse in masai moon the other day & this looks a shrewd bit of placing from the local trainer to find a weaker race. he also puts young matthew hopkins up on top for the first time & his 7lb claim is for free as the lad can certainly ride & this looks there for the taking.

0.5pt e/w POWERFUL WIND 4.25 south'll (nb) 9/1 paddy power

ron harris' charge gets a decent weight pull with sleepy blue ocean & moorhouse lad on there running back in january & i think hes another one whos jockeys claim can make all the difference. he goes well on the fibresand surface & could well be up to this.

anyone wishing to join the email service & recieve the days full rated a/w racecards & write up along with the back up advisory service please click on the blog archive post of 2/3/2014 for full details.

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

4/3/2014

2014-03-04T13:21:00.002-08:00

Eveing sportsfans!! well if we thought monday was a marker then we couldn't of got much closer with the follow up arrow as todays nap was beaten on the bob in a photo a nose which whilst frustrating it is warming to know we're in the right area!! with a bit of luck tomorrow can see us back to winning ways..

1pt e/w ALNOOMAS 7.00 kempton (nap) 6/1 bet365

this looks a plot all over it, down into a C6, first time headgear & after looking well handicapped for a while now he drops in here 4lb below his last winning mark. add to that his phenominal C&D record of 1-1-1-2 & he looks primed & ready to go here.

0.5pts e/w GYPSY RIDER 2.30 lingfield (nb) 14/1 paddy power

after looking long & hard at the usual suspects black truffle & perfect pastime who both look like they can threaten off there current marks i have been slowly swayed to this fella. he falls onto his last winning turf mark & on a line of form with perfect pastime on 27/11/2013 including young ned curtis' claim he gets a 10lb pull in the weights for a head & a neck beating so there has to be every chance of him turning that form around here & he looks the value to me.

anyone wishing to recieve the email service with full rated cards for the days a/w racing along with a full write up & the advisory service please click on the archive section to the right of the blog & have a look at the blog post on 2/3//2014 for full details. email ianmallard123@gmail.com

many thanks for following..

regards
ian

3/3/2014

2014-03-03T13:09:00.000-08:00

Evening sportsfans!! well i think we'll call today a marker on our return to the blog, a slight loss with the nap netting us some place money after being absolutely smashed all day into 9/4 from 13/2 but hopefully we can build on it tomorrow with a day at the beach.

tomorrows advised bets:

1pt e/w VERY FIRST BLADE 4.10 southwell (nap) 6/1 bet365

has been running with credit recently & i think he may have been a tad unlucky bumping into a few well handicapped types on the day. hes a handy 3lb below his last winning mark still & i think he may well be better suited by this 7f nowadays as things seem to happen a bit to quickly for him over the sprint trips & joe fanning knows how to get a decent tune out of him.

0.5pt e/w MONZINO 3.10 southwell (nb) 20/1 bet365

has slipped to a decent mark & it will be a case of sooner rather than later now for him surely. loves the fibresand is 2lb below his last winning mark & in a weaker race.. what are you waiting for..
grab the value!!!

anyone interested in joining the upcoming email service which starts on THURSDAY evening with the full cards for the following days a/w racing rated with full write up please register your interest by sending an email to ianmallard123@gmail.com
there is also a full advisory service available as well so be sure to get involved, more details are available on yesterdays blog post if you click on the archive.

many thanks for following

regards
ian

2/3/2014

2014-03-02T08:48:00.002-08:00

Evening sportsfans!! it's been a while but certainly good to be back!! seems like its been a long winter to me but i can now smell the spring air which means the turf flat season is just around the corner & it can't come soon enough for me!! to coincide with this i am starting a new email service, full details can be found below tomorrows selections.

1pt e/w PEACE SEAKER 5.15 kempton (nap) 13/2 bet victor

at first sight he doesn't look that overly well treated being 5lb above his last winning mark but if you have a look at his recent placed form theres some serious tools in there. his second behind forest edge (off this mark) now sticks out like a sore thumb as that has since won twice including a handicap off 99 & is now rated 104. he backed that up with a close up run behind addictive dream (winner again since) then was placed behind lancelot du lac whos a very progressive 3yo now rated 103. he then looked a bit jaded on his final couple of starts but may well have had some hard races in quick succession to be fair. he drops back in grade to a C4 for the first time since his last win & from a decent stall he can nip out & grab the rail run. the lack of a recent run is a slight concern but the stable are shrewd & if he wasn't ready i think they may have sent him over the wrong trip not have a pop where he's a C&D winner.

1pt e/w HONOURABLE KNIGHT 4.15 kempton (nb) 25/1 bet vic

previous C&D winner who's shown nothing since returning from a break but he drops in here on his last winning mark which we don't have to go very far back to find. he does have a chequered profile but he has a habit of backing a bad run up with a good one & a good one up with a bad one but on the 3 times hes dropped to a mark of 68 on the a/w in the last 12 months he's returned figures of 2-1-1 so it would be no surprise to see him in the mix here.

now onto the new email service that i am starting. as many of you are well aware i have my own private handicap ratings which have served me well for the last 12 years & now for the first time these figures will be available to the general public but as #teamchoochoo shareholders will verify when i do something i put my own "twist" on it so to speak & thats what i've done here. alongside the ratings i want to run an "advisory" service so to speak. during my time on twitter & blog writing it has become blatantly clear to me that there are plenty of mug punters about so i asked myself the question.. why?? we all work hard for our money so why would you want to just chuck it about on hopeless nags losing wedge after wedge? is it because they are just simply gambling addicts looking for a quick fix in which case no amount of training would repair them or is it because some people just simply don't know what there doing? what surprised me most is the answer to this is the later of the two. one person i asked didn't even know what a handicap mark was! now i don't claim to be albert einstein but come on! how in gods name can you not know this!?!? he then pointed out that he seen people tweet about "marks" and wether he thought they meant the ex-german currency i really don't know but that then moves me onto my next point.. surely if you don't know something the clever person is the one that asks the question & the stupid person is the one that keeps stum & says nowt! this is where the advisiory service will come in & help novice punters to improve there game, being spoon fed selections daily & winning a few quid is all well & good but the satisfaction must surely come from turning a losing punter into a winning one & then watch them fleece the bookies for years to come using there new found knowledge!! :-) i'm not saying i can tell you anything you can't find out for yourselves but do you have the 10 hours a day spare to dig the information out yourself? thought not..
so basically the new email service has something for everyone. all the days flat cards (handicaps) will be rated with a top 3 alongside what bets are advised. the service also includes comparing any selections you may fancy yourself against my figures to see how they come out & also the novices are more than welcome & hopefully we can turn a few of you into winners!! i will set aside a couple of hours every evening for a question & answer session with members where you can ask all the questions you are basically scared to ask on twitter but dont want to for fear of looking stupid!! sounds harsh but its true.. all the people asked why they didnt ask for help came out with the same answer.. "because i didn't want to look stupid" let me assure you i'd rather look stupid than be skint, thats a fact!! spaces on the new venture are limited for obvious reasons mainly making sure i have the time to spend on members helping them & also for liquidity purposes as it would be chaos advising a lay then emailing it out to a 1000 people who then all try & get on the exchange. along with the days ratings you will also recieve a full write up for every race so we can identify pace angles etc. for those of you who like to get in & get out on a trade angle. the write ups will hopefully get you to see how i look at a race & how i come to my conclusions & in time theres no reason why you won't be able to do it for yourself. i've been looking at providing a service for a while more by people asking if i'd do something so its time the demand outstripped the supply & hopefully it goes well. anyone interested in the email service to recieve the daily rated racecards along with write up & full advisory service please send an email to ianmallard123@gmail.com for full & further details.

regards
ian

10/2/2014

2014-02-10T07:19:00.000-08:00

I am currently taking a mid winter break

the blog will return on the 1st of march 2014

if you would like to see my daily selections

you can find them at..

niallers123.wordpress.com

many thanks for following