dan ryan

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Wed, 27 Jul 2022 20:00:00 +0000

100 days of War in Ukraine

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 03 Jun 2022 04:19:00 +0000

Devastation and defiance in Ukraine: 100 days of a war that is reshaping Europe

I’ve been afraid

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Mon, 30 May 2022 12:27:00 +0000

I’m getting older.

Have my love.

DanRyan.love

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 17 Sep 2021 05:21:00 +0000

I can’t believe the 🗞 today

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Wed, 02 Jun 2021 12:19:00 +0000

A night of thanks - 300 judges

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Wed, 30 Sep 2020 03:51:00 +0000

Good Evening -

A mess, a mess

Rebuild our economy

This American Life - On the Border

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 29 May 2020 22:22:00 +0000

Listen here.

Derek Chauvin and the United States are co-murderers

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 29 May 2020 19:45:00 +0000

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/05/29/george-floyd-minneapolis-protests-live-updates/

I will try not to sleep on what is

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 29 May 2020 19:35:00 +0000

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/29/us/george-floyd-minneapolis-protests.html?referringSource=articleShare

https://www.washingtonpost.com/nation/2020/05/26/minneapolis-police-death-custody-fbi/?itid=lk_inline_manual_2&itid=lk_inline_manual_61

Outrage

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 29 May 2020 17:29:00 +0000

I am appalled by the over the murder of George Floyd and the subsequent actions by the state. I don’t know much yet I want to state that this is wrong regardless of the particulars.

Took the opportunity

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sat, 23 May 2020 02:21:00 +0000

From the W.H.O.

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Fri, 22 May 2020 14:22:00 +0000

Take a moment to hope.

Enjoy

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Thu, 21 May 2020 13:09:00 +0000

What to make of President Trump’s re-election probability

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Wed, 20 May 2020 15:08:00 +0000

As I alluded to yesterday, many of us are reading the tea leaves, including me, rather than the data. This is followed by why the data is not be trusted, at least not yet.

Why is the data not to be trusted?

Amy Walter, of The Cook Political Report, conjectures we can’t see the data, at least in part, due to the lingering effects of the 2016 election. She opens,

President Trump's job approval rating are stuck in the mid-40s, even as the nation's governors see their own approval ratings rise. Of the six high-quality battleground state polls we've seen since April, Trump is trailing in five of them. The RealClearPolitics average of national polls finds Biden leading Trump by 4.7 points — a lead twice as big as Hillary Clinton's final margin.

And yet, as Harry Enten writes on CNN.com, "an average of recent polls finds that a majority of voters (55%), believe Trump will defeat Biden in this election. Trump's edge on this question has been fairly consistent over time." So, what gives?

The Expectations Game?

The ‘inconceivable’ result may be causing distrust of unfavorable data on the probability of the President’s reelection in November.

In managing expectations, we prepare for a repeat of the ‘inconceivable’ to diminish its sting.

Fool me once, shame on you (pollsters and pundits)

Fool me twice, shame on me

Amy’s full article on cookpolitical.com

Note: It is behind a paywall. I affirm paying for what I use as I am able.

Is President Trump ‘honest’ in his understanding we don’t want change?

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Tue, 19 May 2020 12:02:00 +0000

Are Older Voters Turning Away From Trump?

I take it.

I have the same problem of embedded certainty which I can intellectually understand is unwarranted yet it still shapes my behaviors.

While they’re are many who want this not to be, it has shown to have been. This November, I anticipate it will be again. Nostalgia and certainty may be the opiate that Mar

A glimpse of hope

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Mon, 11 May 2020 14:13:00 +0000

A welcome downward step on the curve.

Toll falls below 100 for 1st time in 5 days

The Boss

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sun, 03 May 2020 13:37:00 +0000

Sarah.

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Wed, 22 Apr 2020 02:53:00 +0000

Corona virus symptoms

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Mon, 16 Mar 2020 21:12:00 +0000

How to understand the severity of symptoms

February

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sat, 22 Feb 2020 02:49:00 +0000

The day began

brisk...

it proceeded

sun, words, steps, teeth, smoke...

glistening

hardening

darkness descended

brisk...

Fullness saturated

Sarah.

Dave and Busters

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sun, 29 Dec 2019 20:27:00 +0000

A day of kinship with my loves, K and J. What a blessing!

Let it rain ☔️

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sun, 22 Dec 2019 22:14:00 +0000

The Fabulous Puppa

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sun, 22 Dec 2019 00:47:00 +0000

Family

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sat, 21 Dec 2019 23:58:00 +0000

We depart to Star Wars. A month of movement and moments. Family rolls on.

Life rolls

noreply@blogger.com (Dan Ryan) — Sun, 29 Sep 2019 14:00:00 +0000

Days come and days go.