tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-192556402024-01-31T03:24:55.084-06:00Doing Lines - The Sports Gambling BlogThis is a blog dedicated to the world of sports gambling. Our purpose is to provide a forum to not only discuss sports gambling lines, over / unders, and the like, but to also recap great wins and tough losses. You know that meaningless touchdown that the sports highlight shows did not cover, but that killed your parlay? We'll discuss that.
We want your input on great bets / losses that you had as well.Doing Lineshttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.comBlogger128125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1139766551766518722006-02-12T11:46:00.000-06:002006-02-12T11:49:11.790-06:00Gambling On the Pro BowlHello all. For today's Sunday pick, I take the following Pro Bowl bet:<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">NFC at AFC <span style="font-weight: bold;">OVER 69</span></span><br />YEah, I had the over a couple years ago, when it the total was at 50, and the final score was 55-52 in OT. I like this line - I think they'll bust all through it.<br /><br />I also have a big college hoops pick over at <a href="http://www.sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/">the Sedge Court Journal contest - check it out here</a>.<br /><br />-DLAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com140tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1139353796985948072006-02-07T16:17:00.000-06:002006-02-07T17:09:57.086-06:00Duke - North Carolina matchup and pickI'm not even sure which way I want to go on this one. Currently, the Dookies are favored by 5 points over UNC.<br /><br />Anyways, I think the pick of the day (outside of my pick over at <a href="http://www.sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/">Sedge Court Journal</a>), is this:<br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Duke at North Carolina Over 155</span><br />These teams have been scoring a lot recently. So I think this is the way to go, but I could be wrong. <br /><br />I guess that my ideal result is a Duke-sideline explosion, with Dick Vitale in the middle of it.<br /><br />Speaking of which, did you see <a href="http://www.deadspin.com/sports/college-basketball/when-one-force-of-evil-meets-another-force-of-evil-152921.php">this picture</a>? Duke & Arod together. Thank you <a href="http://deadspin.com">Deadspin</a>.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com21tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138659648695176962006-02-02T10:12:00.000-06:002006-02-02T06:20:27.010-06:00Sports Gambling Site Review and Recommendation - Pinnacle Sports BookIf you are new to sports gambling, and are perhaps interested in putting a bet or two down on the Super Bowl, I think you should read this post. I've now got an official partnership with the good ladies and gents over at <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines"><strong>Pinnacle Sports</strong></a>. In this post I talk a little about all the reasons why <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">Pinnacle </a>has got to be the best sports book out there (it's now my most-preferred sports book), and why I agreed to partner with them.<br /><br />Why Pinnacle? <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">Pinnacle Sports </a>is generally known as the place for real gamblers to go play. The reason is actually pretty simple – Pinnacle consistently offers the best house edge for any players. So what does that really mean? Most sports books (online, in Vegas, or from your local bookie) offer their lines at <strong>-110</strong>. What this means is that, lets say for the upcoming Super Bowl, you bet the Pittsburgh Steelers -4 -110. That means that you think the Steelers will win by at least 4 points, and if you're right, you will win your bet at a -110 pace. Which means that you need to bet $110 to win $100 (or bet $1.10 to win $1.00). This is a universal spread, and is generally referred to as the "house edge" or the "vig."<br /><br /><a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">Pinnacle Sports Book</a>, however, currently has this line as Steelers -4 <strong>-107</strong>. Which means that you still are giving the same number of points (4), but now, you only have to bet $107 to win $100 (or $1.07 to win $1.00). This is closer to real odds, though you are still giving a little house edge. On other games, Pinnacle may have the odds as low as -103. I know, I know, you plan on winning all your bets, so it doesn't matter. Well, unless you are the next coming of <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nostradamus">Nostradamus</a>, trust me, you're going to want to go with Pinnacle. Over time, this difference can add up significantly.<br /><br />A great source to check this out is <a href="http://www.sportsbookreview.com">www.sportsbookreview.com</a> which is universally acknowledged as the number one sports book review and ratings site. They are very stringent in their requirements, so it seems (though who knows how much they actually make directly from each of the books they praise). Check out their recommended list <a href="www.sportsbookreview.com/Recommended+List/default.aspx">HERE</a>.<br /><br />Pinnacle also offers some other random bonuses, including a 10% signup bonus, and a 0.3% Cash Back program for Casino games (for all of you who play online blackjack). So, I highly recommend that you <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">sign up for Pinnacle </a>if you are new to the sports betting world. Your cash will last much longer. Just click <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">HERE </a>to sign up.<br /><br />-----------------------------<br />Note - I have used <a href="http://www.bet365.com/home/default.asp?affiliate=grm_13533"><strong>bet365</strong> </a>for a long time, and I will continue to do so (along with Pinnacle), because it has some features which are pretty fun (like any-way-adjustable lines, and parlay bonuses). I will detail what these are, and how they benefit a gambler, in a later post (If you are interested, you can check out bet365 <a href="http://www.bet365.com/home/default.asp?affiliate=grm_13533">HERE</a>). But for now, and if you're a basic bettor and want to get into the game with paying a reduced house edge on standard bets (with lines, over/unders, and moneylines), then <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">Pinnacle </a>is where I recommend you start.<br />-----------------------------<br />FYI, this <strong>was not</strong> a writeup generated by the Pinnacle Sports marketing team or anything - I wrote it myself. I really believe that <a href="http://www.pinnaclesports.com/?refer=xdolines">Pinnacle </a>is the best sports book to go to if you're going to start online gambling.<br /><br />-DLAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com29tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138850417544094422006-02-01T21:18:00.000-06:002006-02-01T21:20:17.556-06:00Gay, Gay....Gay, Gay...I'm waiting for JJ to bring my six banger home. <br /><br />There's no better moment in sports gambling when you're rooting home the final leg of your six-banger. I'll even get behind Gay-Gay for that (pardon the pun).Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09536289912734000795noreply@blogger.com10tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138828952259731072006-02-01T15:11:00.000-06:002006-02-01T15:22:32.283-06:00Tonight, TonightPiston -8.5 v. T-pups<br />Angry Pistons team comes home to feast on T-pups. Ricky Davis? Kevin McHales is prepared for an episode of "This could've been your life".....as he watches Chauncy dominate. <br /><br />Suns -4.5 v. Celtics<br />Suns will be interested in this affair as they can head home with a winning road trip by closing out the C-minuses. Celtics are carrying Wally Weight and can't score enough points to keep up with the Nashinator and Boris Diaw. <br /><br />Notre Dame +8 at the WV<br />The Irish have to have some good luck sooner or later, and I'm guessing its tonite. WV doesn't have the athletes that usually give the Domers trouble, so they can hang tough or potentially win this game. <br /><br />Kentucky -5 at Mississippi State<br />The toughest part of writing about this pick is spelling Missis....What does concern me, though, is UK lack of spread closing ability. At Auburn, they let a 15 pt lead with 2 minutes remaining dwindle to 9, although still managed to cover. At home against Arkansas, they had leads of 8 with 1:35 and 46 seconds left and managed to win by only 2 and not carry my water. I expect their cushion to be big enough to avoid a slip fatal to the spread. <br /><br />Marquette -4.5 v. St. Johns<br />Of course the Johnnies have had some notable wins (Pitt Louisville) but they pushed on road against UCONN and Marquette is the only show in Milwaukee. I like the Warriors, oops, the Golden Eagles<br /><br />Duke -5 v. BC <br />This game gives me concern b/c Sheldon is a paper tiger inside and BC has good size at the 3-5 spots, but the Dukies love to win these games big. (For example, they've covered their last 4 ACC road games-- Georgetown was non-conference).Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138813519660222152006-02-01T10:55:00.000-06:002006-02-01T11:05:19.660-06:00Is Kammron Taylorthe offspring of Chris Rock? <br />What I want to see during half-time of the Minny at Wisco match-up is the backwoods battle both teams' lumberjack big men. We'll use a "World's Strongest Man" type set-up.<br /><br />Wisconsin: <br />Brian Butch<br />Greg Steisma<br />Jason Chappell <br /><br />Minnesota:<br />Dan Coleman<br />Spencer Tollackson<br />Jonathon Williams<br /><br />We'd see shit like keg toss, car lift, etc.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138812904696058762006-02-01T10:46:00.000-06:002006-02-01T10:55:04.696-06:00Back to BasicsRemember when you were a kid? You grabbed the rock, went out to the backyard and started hoisting long-range jumpers? Well, if you played organized hoop, unless you were Jimmy Chitwood, Coach Norman Dale would make you back to the charity stripe and work on your fundamentals. If you're an NBA gambler and your crystal ball is a bit cloudly, I suggest that you go back to those unequivocable rules of NBA gambling that are as certain as certain as a White Sox repeat:<br /><br />1. The Pistons at home ATS. If you get early money, they are a perfect 21-0 at home ATS. And look, they're at home tonite against the Ricky Davis (Is he Spre's stunt double?)-led T-Pupps after a loss. <br /><br />2. The Atlanta Hawks are an equally "perfect" 0-21 on the road ATS. Even horrible home teams like the Bulls have found a way to cover large number against this team. Where have you gone Boris Diaw, Atlanta turns its lonely eyes to you.... <br />Sweet Jesus, this disastrous road team is now a favorite on the road against Charlotte. Somewhere, Bobcat Baz is cashing out his 401kAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138812385846335592006-02-01T10:38:00.000-06:002006-02-01T10:46:25.866-06:00The 30pt NBA RuleHere's what I've learned in the last week of NBA watching. <br /><br />In an NBA game when a favorite has a 30 pt 3rd quarter point differential, you would much rather have your greenbacks on the team getting 9+ points than the team leaving them on the floor.<br /><br />The defense presents the following two examples:<br /><br />1. Lakers at Pistons. Pistons up by 31 early in the 3rd quarter and end up with only a 9 pt win, leaving folks like myself who got late money at -9.5 on the losing end. Now, those non-believers probably invoke the Kobe Bryant excpetion. For you, I offer:<br /><br />2. Bulls at Mavs: Bulls down 69-39 in the 3rd quarter then charge back to easily win my wager.<br /><br />The moral of this story, is if you're team is down in the 3rd quarter, you want them to be done big (assuming you don't bet the Knicks or an equivalent team that loves to quit). <br />I raise this issue to combat an alarming trend of "hail mary" bets that may not be needed. As you know, the "Hail Mary" bet is the, "oh shit, my team is down 30 with no chance of winning with number, I look to the West and gamble on a St. Mary's, Portland or Hawaii team that I've never seen." Union Jack ?Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138742018916848712006-01-31T14:51:00.000-06:002006-01-31T15:23:50.676-06:00Big Ten ActionIllini at Badgers - a battle between 2 of the better teams in the Big Ten.<br /><br />Here's what I like in this game...<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">***Illinois at Wisconsin UNDER 129.5***</span><br />Most people who follow the Big Ten know how well Wisconsin defends the Kohl Center. The Badger <a href="http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/matchups/g6_homeaway_7.html">defense has been phenomenal this year(56ppg)</a>. The Illini defense, however, is vastly under-appreciated <a href="http://kenpom.com/stats.php?y=2006&s=16">(#3 team in the nation, adjusted for competition</a>) in my book.<br /><br />The number of possessions will be very important in this game as well. Wisco averages 69 poss/per game (2nd in Big10), whereas Illinois averages just over 63 (10th in Big10). With Illinois's tenacious D, Bo Ryan will instruct his team to slow down and value the basketball.<br /><br />Finally, Brown has struggled away from Assembly Hall (averaging 10.8 points on 29.4 percent shooting in the Illini's four road games this season).<br /><br />Good luck.<br /><br />-uj<br /><br /><em>Jan Record:</em><br />NFL 2-2-0<br />CBB 4-3-0<br />NBA 1-1-0<br />Overall 7-6-0Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138730621304283222006-01-31T11:56:00.000-06:002006-01-31T13:06:48.586-06:00Recap - Texas Tech Red Raiders at Kansas JayhawksFor those of us who had the <strong>under</strong> in this game, which was set at <strong>140.0</strong>, this was a great gambling ending to a lopsided game.<br /><br />When looking at the recent games, you could tell that Texas Tech wasn't going to bring anything. They had consistently been outscored by a lot on the road (but I didn't want to touch the line, b/c Kansas was giving 14 when I checked it). So I figured it would be a one-sided game, with limited end-of-game fouling (and increased totals).<br /><br />I was looking good through most of the first half, with limited Texas Tech points (20 pts with just over 1 minute left). But they went on a crazy run - they scored 5 points in the last minute, with Jarrius Jackson hitting a 3-ball with one second on the clock. This made it 43-25 at half, on pace for a total of 136, just under my total.<br /><br />But in the second half, the teams scored at a quicker pace. With 3 minutes left, the score was 82-52, and I had a bad feeling. With a total of 134, I was only 6 points away from my under losing. After a couple layups, with 1:54 on the clock, the total was 138. I was doomed.<br /><br />But then, like a god-given miracle, I was gifted with a house of bricks. 5 missed shots later (and no fouls at all), the game clock was a 00:00, and the game was 86-52. No points scored in the last almost 2 minutes. I don't think I've ever said this before: Thank you, Bobby Knight, for the futility of your Red Raiders.<br /><br />-DL<br /><br />--------------------------------------------<br />As a reminder, I've got picks up over on the <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/">Sedge Court Journal hoops contest</a>. I'm trying to claw my way back in it. Still under water, but I'll get out.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138655699263268032006-01-30T15:08:00.000-06:002006-01-30T15:14:59.323-06:00MediocrityMediocrity - I will be happy if I can achieve it. .500 is all I want. I got there on Sat (see below), so I'm feeling ok. Of course, with the house edge, I'll be done with my cash in no time at all. <br /><br />Today's Mediocre NBA pick of the day is <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/contest-week-2-doing-lines-rebound.html">posted here</a>.<br /><br />In the college ranks, I also like:<br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><strong>Louisville Cardinals +10.5</strong> at Villanova Wildcats</span><br />The Nova squad is not that great when favored as 10pt favorite or more (<a href="http://covers.jsonline.com/data/ncb/game/g6_ats_1.html">2-4 ATS</a>). Louisville has not been playing well at all, but Taquan Dean will be finally up to speed in this game. Take the points that they are giving, and throw it down on the Cards....<br /><br />-DLAnonymousnoreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138465671695712282006-01-28T10:08:00.000-06:002006-01-28T10:27:57.820-06:00Saturday sprinklingA variety of hoops picks today, see below:<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-size:180%;">NCAA:</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span>Well, time to get back on this pony. What do you think of these picks here?<br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span><br /></span><span style="font-size:130%;">Cincy at Georgetown Hoyas -5.5</span><br />The Hoyas have been on a little roll, and they're playing at home against a relatively weak Cincy team.<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Marquette +10 at Pittsburgh</span><br />The Eagles have some momentum going, and they will be covering this number in Pitt.<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Arizona Wildcats at North Carolina Tarheels Under 150</span><br />This game will be slower than what we have seen from these teams recently. I also think Zona is a good pick getting the points, but take the undies here.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"><span style="font-size:180%;">NBA:</span><br /><br /><span style="font-weight: bold;"></span></span><span style="font-size:130%;">New Orleans Hornets at Memphis Grizzlies -6.5</span><br />I really like the Grizz this year, and I have lost too much betting against them. The hornets have promise, no doubt, but memphis should take this one at home. Memphis is decent on one day of rest as well (7-4 ATS). Also, <a href="http://www.on-hoops.com/images/andersen_chris-051005.jpg">Chris Andersen</a> (aka "Birdman" or "<a href="http://www.uvasportsfanatic.com/chris%20andersen.jpg">White Flight</a>"), who was on the Hornets, was just tossed from the NBA for <span style="font-style: italic;"><span style="font-weight: bold;">2 years</span></span>. Yes 2 freaking years. Does this surprise anyone else? How is it that he's the only guy to ever have been caught doing these types of drugs in the last 5 years? I don't believe it. (Good quote from the article: "He is best known for his performance in the NBA's dunk contest last year when he needed eight tries to finish his first dunk.")<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">New Jersey Nets at Seattle Supersonics (or is it just the Sonics?) Under 196.5</span><br />The Nets generally have been playing very slow recently, and big Vince is listed as questionable. Which means that he's out, as VC does not play through pain. I cannot see these guys putting up the number, so put your underoos on for this puppy.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138307812051107662006-01-26T14:18:00.000-06:002006-01-26T14:36:52.066-06:00NCAA Picks for ThursdayGents,<br /><br />I'm making a little comeback in January. Let's see if we can keep this thing rolling. Couple of picks I like for tonight.<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">--UCLA vs Oregon OVER 128.5--</span><br />Both teams play with a <a href="http://kenpom.com/stats.php?y=2006&s=17">very slow tempo </a>(both in the bottom third of all teams in the NCAA). Upon further review, however, in the same link, you will find evidence that both teams are offensively efficient (not particularly efficient on defense). I think Afflalo will bounce back from his rare 1-9 outing against WV. Take the over.<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">--Blue Devils -11 vs Virginia Tech--</span><br />Not much to write about in this game. Duke bounces back -- refocused after losing at Georgetown -- and beats up on the Hokies by double-digits.<br /><br /><em>Jan results:</em><br /><em>NFL 2-2-0</em><br /><em>CBB 3-2-0</em><br /><em>NBA 1-1-0</em>Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com7tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138233186744668822006-01-25T17:47:00.000-06:002006-01-25T17:53:06.756-06:00Michigan vs Michigan StateLadies, the pick of the night is...<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Spartans vs Wolverines UNDER 140.5</span><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"></span><br />Surprisingly, both teams play with a <a href="http://bigtenwonk.blogspot.com/2006/01/possessions-per-40-min_24.html">slow tempo</a>. Only NU and the Illini average less possessions per 40 mins.<br /><br />Look at their <a href="http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/ncb/matchups/g6_last5_54.html">recent results</a>. The line should be somewhere around 135.<br /><br />DL - good luck with your bet. I think the Spartys pull out it off, but I'm more confident in the under.<br /><br /><em>Jan results </em><br />NFL 2-2-0<br />CBB 2-2-0<br />NBA 1-1-0Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07948042620286753535noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138224836947946742006-01-25T15:14:00.000-06:002006-01-25T15:33:57.006-06:00Jacked Up Line of the NightMy friends, we have yet again a jacked up line of the night, this time in the NBA:<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><strong>San Antonio Spurs -4.5 </strong>at New Orleans Hornets</span><br />The Spurs, granted, are a much better home than road team. And granted, both Manu (or is it "<a href="http://www.interbasket.net/players/ginobili.htm">El Contusione</a>"?) and <a href="http://proxy.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=simmons/050620">Big Shot Bob </a>are on the shelf for this contest. Yes, the Spurs played last night. However, it's the damn spurs against the weak hornets. Take the Spurs.<br />-----------------------------------------<br /><br />Another NBA pick I like:<br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><strong>Denver Nuggets -5 </strong>at Portland Trailblazers</span><br />These Nuggets are perplexing, yes. But they have been on fire recently, winning their last 6 in a row. The T-blazers haven't been so bad, but I see them as a streaky team, and they just had their 4-game winning run snapped. Bet it on the Nuggs.<br />----------------------------------------<br /><br />Another pick that I like tonight is in the NCAA - <strong>the Michigan State Spartans</strong> visiting the Wolverines. I give a little more detail over at the Sedge Court contest (where I made this <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/dont-be-gurly-man-pick-of-week.html"><strong>the Don't-Be-A-Gurly-Man pick of the week</strong></a>), but I think the Spartans are on a big-time roll.<br /><br /><br />There's a theme, here, taking the road favorites. What do you think?<br /><br />DLAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138138155964972512006-01-24T14:47:00.000-06:002006-01-24T15:34:48.220-06:00Hoosiers vs Hawkeyes<span style="font-size:130%;">-- Indiana Hoosiers vs Iowa Hawkeyes - Over 129</span><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"></span><br />I think IU bounces back from back-to-back 62 pt showings and puts big points on the board. Mike Davis drives me crazy. An example -- his 2nd-half near collapse vs Illinois earlier this year (IU did collapse ATS in that game. <a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/more-college-basketball.html">Guess where my money was</a>?). But he is considering inserting Wilmont back into the starting lineup which should provide a spark.<br /><br />I know that IU has missed the over in 5 of their 6 road games this year, but IU's offense has scored approximately 70 pts a game over the past 5 and Iowa's defense that has given up 69 over the same period.<br /><br />I tend to agree with JoeJackson. Iowa is not good. Really, if you look at their results. They have 1 solid win (over Illinois) and two OK wins (against <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/ncaab/recap?gid=200511300276">NC State in a horrible shooting performance </a>and against an 'at-the-time-was-overrated' Kentucky).<br /><br />So, IU starts the night off right with an early lead. Then, Iowa gets back in the game after IU serves up free shots of 1 part Mike-Davis-stupidity / 1 part Killingsworth back-pain. I really don't know how this party ends. (I do want to take the IU moneyline (+135) in this game, but I'm still rehydrating from my last <a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/getting-jacked-in-big-10.html">Mike Davis hangover</a>).<br /><br />-uj<br /><br /><em>Jan results</em><br />NFL 2-2-0<br />CBB 1-2-0<br />NBA 1-1-0Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07948042620286753535noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138117558359071332006-01-24T09:27:00.000-06:002006-01-24T09:45:58.376-06:00Hot or Not?as we know, good gambling is about catching teams on runs or rolls. with college, you never know who joined the century club the nite before (i'm not talkin' wilt here) or, in the nba, who put their hot poker in the backside of some hotel's hired help. you just never know. but, here's what we do know and teams i expect to ride through the week: <br /><br />Who's Not Hot:<br /><br />'Cuse: Time to pick a new way to get your vitamin C. the orange has been squeezed, flopping at home against UCONN and then tumbling at 'Nova and Pitt. We're talking 0-3 ATS ugly. The hottest thing in Syracuse is still Jimmy Boeheim's wife. Not bad for a guy who looks like the mechanical mouse that just stepped off the Chuckee Cheese stage.<br /><br />The 'Cuse has bottomed out. BUT, look for them to get healthy at home the same way MSU did after going 0-2 ATS on the road against IL and WI<br /><br />Iowa: Steve Alford is not a good coach. The only thing worse is his skin. Can you say Pro-Activ? They're 0-3 ATS in their last three, not covering at home against Minny, and then failing miserably at PSU and MSU. Look for their slide to continue. Their starting five of 28 year-old white boys are tired.<br /><br />Louisville: They'll need more than Taquaen Dean to get started back up. After Louie Carneseca and Marc Jackons willed the Johnnies to a home floor win over the Red-birds, they failed to parlay gimmick Gameday mojo into competitiveness against UCONN.<br /><br /><br />Who's Hot<br /><br />MSU: Looked like Coach Izzo took his team of heartless lions to see the wonderful wizard and came away with some heart. MSU may have turned the corner against the BuckNuts (thank you, Mr. Moneyline) and then played well against MSU. If you get a number of less than three at Ann Arbor tomorrow nite, jump on it. They need another road win.<br /><br />Texas: Don't look now, but the team that looked like Mack Brown was on the bench against Duke and Tennessee must have put Vince at the point alongside Tucker. Texas is rolling ATS. Look for that to continue. Especially at home. I'm not sold on the Longhorns on the road. Not yet. Unless they face a Gary Barnett coached team. <br /><br />The WV. Have to give the Big East some love. The mounties looked like Moses on Mr. Jinx (meet the parents 2) in los angeles and throttled a solid marquette team at home. I like them giving numbers this week, especially when they host teams in the backwoods.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09536289912734000795noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138059659680333532006-01-23T17:24:00.000-06:002006-01-23T17:40:59.710-06:00Extra Free Basketball Picks for TonightOK, so I've already posted about one of these, but I'll throw another here too:<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Syracuse Orange at <strong>Pittsburgh Panthers -4</strong></span><br />I think you have to take Pitt in this game. I know that Pitt just <a href="http://www.sportyblog.com/2006/01/pittsburgh_is_undefeated_no_mo.html">lost to the Johnnies</a>, but the 'Cuse has not been playing well at all. Did anyone else see Gerry-Mac crying on the bench at the end of the <a href="http://sports.yahoo.com/ncaab/recap?gid=200601210617">Villanova game</a>? What was the deal with that? Anyways, the Orange have talent, but not enough to hang with Pitt's big bodies inside. I've already posted this as one of my picks over at the <a href="http://www.sedgecourtjournal.com">Sedge Court </a>contest. <br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><strong>New Jersey Nets Pick'em</strong> at Utah Jazz</span><br />The Jazz have been playing poorly as of late, and in particular their defense has been sub-par, allowing <a href="http://covers.jsonline.com/data/nba/game/g5_last5_13.html">104 over the last 5</a> (season average of 92.9). While the have not been playing particularly spectacularly against the spread (3-7 in their last 10), they have won 6 of those games, as well as 3 of the last 4. I do not think the Jazz can run like the Nets will be able to, and there is good value in this line. Take the New Jersey Nets. And the <a href="http://www.youtube.com/w/Vince-Carter?v=EU8yzUP73Xc&search=vince">Damn Vince can Dunk Act </a>(aka the DVDA).<br /><br />-DL<br />---------------------<br />Check some other sites here:<br /><a href="http://jtsneaks.blogspot.com/">JT Sneaks </a>is on Pitt, but disagrees with my NBA play.<br /><a href="http://thewagerking.com/">WagerKing </a>is on Pitt too, as is <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/its-tip-off-time.html">Sedge Court poster Shadow</a>.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1138038138209260722006-01-23T11:40:00.000-06:002006-01-23T11:42:18.346-06:00Hoops Picks Contest at Sedge CourtJust a reminder that I'm participating in the <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/">Sedge Court Journal </a>handicapping contest, and it starts off today. I'll keep you updated with when I throw a pick over there, so you can know what to bet against.... The official rules are <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/tip-off-sedge-court-basketball.html">right here</a>.<br /><br />I'm working on a pick or two for tonight, but I've got some other stuff going on. Check back later.<br /><br />-DLAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1137951185010851392006-01-22T11:05:00.000-06:002006-01-22T11:33:05.060-06:00College Hoops Pick - On Championship Sunday?Yes, that's right. I'm looking into some college hoops on this glorious Sunday, and I've found some good value betting against Bobby Huggins' old squad of <a href="http://www.bswanky.com/ebay/uclosing.jpg">Bearcats</a>:<br /><span style="font-size:130%;"><br />Rutgers Scarlet Knights +8.5 at Cincinnati Bearcats</span><br />I fully believe that Rutgers has a good chance to actually win this game, but I'll still take the points. Cincy has not been playing well at all, and Rutgers actually played Pitt fairly tough (before having the lead extended late and losing ATS). Cincy has not been playing well at all, with losses to Xavier and the 'Cuse (as well as an excusable loss to the UConn Huskies). Take the <a href="http://www.nj.com/weblogs/rutgersbasketball/index.ssf?/mtlogs/njo_rubasketball/archives/2006_01.html#106868">Scarlet Knights</a>, folks. <br /><br />-Doing LinesAnonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1137948080962720632006-01-22T10:18:00.000-06:002006-01-22T10:41:20.983-06:00NFL - AFC Championship Game<span style="font-size:130%;">Pittsburgh Steelers at Denver Broncos</span><br /><br />What will happen in this mighty match of two running offenses against two run-stopping defenses? This has gotten a lot of hype, but as you'll see here, while the Broncos and Steelers are ranked <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/statistics?stat=teamrush&sort=ypg&pos=def&league=nfl&season=2&year=2005">2nd and 3rd in rushing yards per game</a>, the Broncos actually allow 4.0 yards per rush which is <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/statistics?stat=teamrush&sort=avg&pos=def&league=nfl&season=2&year=2005">15th in the league</a>. Pittsburgh is first at 3.4 YPR. So why do teams rush fewer number of times against the Broncos? Maybe because they have the 29th rated passing defense (in yards per game) at 227.7, which means that overall, the Broncos have the 15th rated defense in <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/statistics?stat=team&sort=ypg&pos=def&league=nfl&season=2&year=2005">yards per game</a>. The Steelers are fourth.<br /><br />So, what is the number one prediction for this game? The line, as of right now, is Steelers +3 with at least +100 on the back end. I think that you need to take the Steelers money line. According to <a href="http://moneyliners.blogspot.com/2006/01/bait.html">Moneyliners</a>, during these playoffs, the straight up winners are 8-0 ATS. Or another way to put it - if you bet on the underdog and you won your bet, they won the game. Which means that if you're considering any underdog, you might as well throw it down on the Moneyline. As Moneyliner is doing, for <a href="http://moneyliners.blogspot.com/2006/01/what-more-to-say.html">both games</a>. I think I'll ride with him on this one too.<br /><br />But, with greater weight, I will throw down on the Over 41.0 in this game. I believe that these teams will bust through this, especially with the Steelers able to throw the ball (just not towards <a href="http://shmooth.blogspot.com/2006/01/champ-baileys-lesson-run-it-out_15.html">Champ</a>).<br /><br /><br />----------------------------------------------------<br /><br />Check other NFL free picks, besides <a href="http://www.moneyliners.blogspot.com/">Moneyliners</a>, at our buddies <a href="http://onlinesportsbettor.blogspot.com/">Online Sports Bettor</a>, <a href="http://jtsneaks.blogspot.com/">JT Sneaks</a>, and a couple by the <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/aldawgs-free-nfl-divisional-playoff.html">Sedge</a> <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/straight-from-mattys-mouth.html">Court</a> <a href="http://sedgecourtjournalfootball.blogspot.com/2006/01/shadow-knows.html">Journal </a>crew.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com34tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1137867135239784722006-01-21T11:53:00.000-06:002006-01-21T12:18:51.623-06:00A plethora of Saturday college hoops picksAfter Union Jack and I threw up <a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/back-on-horse.html">that </a>O<a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/friday-night-lights-big-east-matchup.html">-fer</a> <a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/nba-streak.html">yesterday</a>, we need some comeback picks. I've got the following smattering of lines that I like today (well, beginning with the afternoon games, due to my late rising time), in the NCAA:<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">West Virginia Mountaineers +2.5 at UCLA Bruins</span><br />Gotta love the Mountaineers with their array of game. And with Pittsnogle (even though his wife can apparently <a href="http://www.dailymail.com/news/Sports/2006012022/">drop into labor at any second</a>). I like WV to take this game down, even if it is in Pauley.<br /><a href="http://dailymail.com/news/Sports/2006012015/display_story.php?sid=2006012015&format=prn"><span style="font-style: italic;">preview</span></a><br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">UConn Huskies at Louisville Cardinal Under 144.5</span><br />I just don't think the Cardinal can score without Taquan Dean on the team. They have averaged 64.5 in the three games without him (including a 81 pt game against UC Davis).<br /><a href="http://uconn.blogs.com/huskyblog/2006/01/mighty_uconn_co.html"><span style="font-style: italic;">preview</span></a><br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Cal Bears +7.5 at Arizona Wildcats</span><br />I just think that the Bears have been underachieving throughout the Pac-10 season, and they have the ability to pound it inside with Leon Powe. Look for the moneyline on this one as well.<br /><a href="http://insidebayarea.com/sports/ci_3424258"><span style="font-style: italic;">preview</span></a><br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Syracuse <a href="http://www.cbc.ca/sports/columns/top10/gfx/syracuse_orange.jpg">Orange </a>+8 at Villanova Wildcats</span><br />Villanova has yet to show that they can blow anyone in the Big East out. Their closest was a 9 pointer at Louisville (who is clearly overrated). Take the Orange (and the <a href="http://sumagazine.syr.edu/summer03/features/ncaainsert/images/13a.gif">Irishman</a>), but you may want to tease it a bit. Also, pray that Billy Raftery is doing the game.<br /><a href="http://www.syracuse.com/orangebasketball/poststandard/index.ssf?/base/sports-0/1137750103239470.xml&coll=1"><span style="font-style: italic;">preview</span></a><br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Oregon State at Washington State Over 119.5</span><br />The Beavers are playing better than people think, even without Lamar Hurd (starting pg). You may want to take them getting the 7+ the hook as well, up north. There will be offense in this game.<br /><a href="http://www.gazettetimes.com/articles/2006/01/21/sports/osu_beavers/osu03txt.txt"><span style="font-style: italic;">preview</span></a><br /><br />What do you think?Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1137801158941709102006-01-20T17:38:00.000-06:002006-01-20T17:59:13.946-06:00The NBA StreakAlright, now as I've stated before, the NBA isn't my cup-of-tea. <a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/bit-knicked-up.html">But I'm undefeated</a>. I'm perfect. Let's see how long this can last...<br /><br /><span style="font-size:130%;">--Memphis -3.0 at Philadelphia--</span><br /><span style="font-size:130%;"></span><br /><a href="http://www.vanisleadventures.com/images/funnybear.jpg">Grizzly-Bears </a>are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two squads. Philly has been playing pretty piss-poor as of late, losers of their last four ATS and 2-8 ATS in the past 10.<br /><br />DL, FYI, I will join my Memphis pick with your Nets and Golden Eagle (<a href="http://thewagerking.com/">Wager King likes Marquette</a> as well) selections for my first ever <a href="http://www.online-betting-guide.co.uk/guides/betting.php">patent bet</a>.<br /><br />Come bet with us. Heck, it's better than the <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=%5EGSPC">market</a> these days.<br /><br /><em>Jan results:</em><br /><br />NFL 2-2-0<br />CBB 1-2-0<br />NBA 1-0-0Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07948042620286753535noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1137796431353151102006-01-20T16:20:00.000-06:002006-01-20T16:41:40.223-06:00Friday Night Lights - Big East MatchupBig (and only) <a href="http://marquettebasketball.blogspot.com/2006/01/marquette-hosts-notre-dame.html">matchup in the Grande-East </a>tonight, as the non-Charlie Weis-led Notre Dame Fighting Irish (yes, I miss <a href="http://www.nd.edu/~mingelsb/nd-m-baskbl-body.html">John Macleod </a>too) visit the Marquette Golden Eagles for a fun three-bombing. The Irish are coming off a big win over <a href="http://notredame.rivals.com/content.asp?CID=501335">Providence </a>(ooooooooh). Apparently <a href="http://sokpuppet.blogspot.com/2006/01/laura-quinn-fiesta-bowl-ohio-state.html">Brady and Laura's </a>long lost nephew Chris Quinn went off, and Colin Falls dropped some bombs on the Friars (apparently that's all he does - <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/player/profile?playerId=15411">127 of his 165 field goal attempts </a>are from distance). ND shot 61% from behind the arc in that game.<br /><br />The Golden Eagles, meanwhile, just handled the <a href="http://bigeastball.blogspot.com/2006/01/louisville-in-trouble.html">DePaul Demons in Chicago </a>(well, <a href="http://www.allstatearena.com/index.asp">Rosemont </a>actually), with Steve Novak dropping 24 and a <a href="http://sports.espn.go.com/ncb/player/profile?playerId=26967">solid contribution </a>from Dominic James.<br /><br />I have see ND play at home, I've seen them play on the road. They are not a good basketball team - they have lost some serious in-conference games. I believe in Marquette in this game. Pick is:<br /><span style="font-size:130%;">Notre Dame at Marquette -3.5</span><br /><br />As <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al_McGuire"><strong>Al McGuire</strong> </a>said, "<a href="http://brainyquotes.com/quotes/quotes/a/almcguire138174.html">When I was losing, they called me nuts. When I was winning, called me eccentric</a>." <br /><br />Call me <em>eccentric</em>, baby.Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-19255640.post-1137786232238173422006-01-20T13:23:00.000-06:002006-01-20T13:43:52.266-06:00Back on the HorseSo, after <a href="http://doinglines.blogspot.com/2006/01/screwed-by-lakers.html">getting tossed around </a>for a while, much like <a href="http://skinnercentral.blogspot.com/2006/01/wow-kim-mathers-actually-looks.html">Eminem and Kim Mathers</a>, I'm jumping right back on the horse. That's right, my Doing Lines friends, I'm going back to the NBA. I must be some kind of glutton for punishment....<br /><br />------------------------------<br /><span style="font-size:130%;">New Jersey Nets -1.5 at Boston Celtics</span><br />I know the Celtics are on a roll against the spread right now (6 in a row), and the Nets have not been doing well (2-6 in their last 8, ATS). But over those 8 games, the Nets are actually 5-3 straight up. The Celts, in their 6 ATS wins are actually 2-4 SU. With a line as low as 1.5, I believe that you always have to bet on the team that is playing better overall. I'm hooking this horse up to the run-and-gun Nets. Here's a <a href="http://celticsblog.net/cheapseats/?p=169">preview</a>.<br /><br />Giddy Up. Or Whinny. Neigh? OK, <a href="http://www.georgetown.edu/faculty/ballc/animals/horse.html">Susim tsohalim</a>.......Anonymoushttp://www.blogger.com/profile/17450290768033233842noreply@blogger.com14