Doppler Dale's Weather Posts

Winter Returns to the Mid-Section and Southeast

2012-02-11T15:46:00.000-06:00

Definitely a change has returned with temperatures struggling to climb above freezing in the TN Valley and stuck into the 20s up into the mid-Mississippi Valley. The next change will be the return of winter precipitation Monday-Tuesday.

Along and north of the Ohio River, the precipitation will be in the form of snow. Further south, a wintry mix and finally just cold rain is anticipated. Could be a bit interesting for a period of time in portions of the TN Valley, Monday night into Tuesday morning, as precipitation could begin as snow transitioning to all rain with some icing possible, too. At this point, still too far out to nail down the specifics but something to monitor.

Right now, appears the heaviest snowfall will streak out from the Ozarks into western Kentucky with 2" to 4" possible. Further north, up to the I-70 corridor, the snowfall will be lighter, generally 1" to 2"

Follow me on Facebook for the latest details and thoughts on this event.

Groundhog Day 2012 Outcomes

2012-02-02T14:14:00.001-06:00

It has been a mild winter for many of us this year. This has gone against my prediction for the winter season and now I am beginning putting together my Spring/Summer and Hurricane Outlook but several furry prognosticators have beaten me to the punch with their outlook for the next 6 weeks.

So will Spring be springing up early this year where you live, already feels like Spring here in the Tennessee Valley with daffodils and some trees in bloom, or will winter hold on? Here are the predictions our groundhog forecasters have made:

2012 6 more weeks of winter Punxsutawney Phil Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania
2012 6 more weeks of winter Malverne Mel Malverne, New York
2012 6 more weeks of winter Balzac Billy Balzac, Alberta
2012 Early Spring Lawrenceville Lucy Lawrenceville, Pennsylvania
2012 Early spring Jimmy the Groundhog Sun Prairie, Wisconsin
2012 Early Spring Smith Lake Jake Graysville, Alabama
2012 Early spring Dover Doug Dover, Pennsylvania
2012 Early spring Susquehanna Sherman Mount Wolf, Pennsylvania
2012 Early spring Poor Richard York, Pennsylvania
2012 Early Spring Sir Thomas Hastings Hastings, Nebraska
2012 Early spring Gus Athens, Georgia
2012 Early spring Octoraro Orphie Quarryville, Pennsylvania
2012 Early spring Dunkirk Dave Dunkirk, New York
2012 Early spring General Beauregard Lee Lilburn, Georgia
2012 Early spring Holtsville Hal Holtsville, New York
2012 Early spring Wynter the Groundhog Milwaukee, Wisconsin
2012 Early spring Chuckles Manchester, Connecticut
2012 Early spring Staten Island Chuck Staten Island (New York City)
2012 Early spring Buckeye Chuck Marion, Ohio

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Tonight/Monday AM:Severe Storms Possible from Great Lakes to the Gulf Coast -Tornado Threat Exist

2012-01-22T10:41:00.003-06:00
A potent storm system will be rolling out of the Plains as we head through Sunday. The storm system is clearly identifiable on water vapor imagery with a large swirl noted near the Panhandles of Texas/Oklahoma. This storm system will be drawing warm, moisture rich air northward through the Mississippi Valley and into the Southeast, Tennessee and Ohio Valleys, too.

While temperatures are still cool this morning, they will be continually rising through the evening hours and for many east of the Mississippi river into the early morning hours, Monday. Temperatures will make it close to 60 degrees as far north as the Ohio river before the storm system passes with a cold front dropping temperatures behind it. Further south, temperatures will climb into the mid 70s from Louisiana across the southern half of Mississippi and into southern Alabama. While north of I-80 it will continue to feel like winter with temperatures in 20s and 30s.

This sets up a perfect, ripe environment for thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms to develop. Development will likely be slow to occur and likely won't begin until 6-8 pm from St. Louis southward through eastern Arkansas and southwestward into extreme northeastern Texas. While the development make take a while to begin, once it does I anticipate storms to build rapidly. Storms will have the threat of become severe from the south tip of Lake Michigan all the way to the Gulf Coast with a "Moderate" risk of severe thunderstorms from southern Illinois southward through the Mid-South and into northern Mississippi and northwestern Alabama.

The "Moderate" risk area will also be the most likely area that tornadoes could develop with highest risk for tornadoes occurring from eastern Arkansas through northern Mississippi and the Mid-South and into northwest Alabama. The movie below shows the highest potential shaded in orange.

Here is the general thought on a timeline for this event:

8 PM (St. Louis, Jonesboro, Pinebluff)
Midnight (Chicago, Paducah, Jackson, TN, Tupelo)
3 AM (Louisville, Nashville, Huntsville)
6 AM (Cleveland, Lexington, Chattanooga, Birmingham)

Be prepared for any potential severe weather. Make sure you have ways to be notified of impending severe weather. I highly recommend WeatherCall as the source you should depend on for your weather alerts and warnings. For a minimal fee it will contact you only when a warning is issued for your location so you don't have to worry about being awoken or alarmed by the weather radio for storms miles away. As a meteorologist, I would not recommend a weather safety product unless I was convinced it is a life saver. After the tornadoes of 2011 it became evident on just how life saving WeatherCall is. (Learn more about WeatherCall)

GET WEATHERCALL!

Additionally, after living through the tornadoes that impacted northern Alabama last Spring and left us in the dark for days, I recommend an emergency crank radio that will keep you informed even with the power is out. This is the one I purchased for my family and recommend to you. It is manufactured by Midland who is the name to buy for weather radios.

Severe Storms Likely Mid-South, TN Valley & the Heart of Dixie Sunday PM/Monday AM

2012-01-21T21:32:00.000-06:00
The severe weather threat for Sunday evening through Monday morning continues to increase into a likely status and I anticipate the SPC to update their convective outlook for DAY 1, early Sunday, to include an area of "Moderate Risk" for severe thunderstorms. This area will likely encompass much of northern Mississippi and the state of Alabama.

SPC Outlook for 6am SUN-6am MON (as of 9pm Sat)
Hatched area likely will be updated to an area of Moderate Risk

The set up will be similar to the one that took place just 24 hours ago but a bit more intense. Storms will likely begin firing along a cold front from far southeast Missouri into eastern Arkansas around 5-7 pm Sunday evening. Storms will then roll through Memphis the Mid-South and crossing northern Mississippi late evening. Storms will likely begin impacting the Tennessee Valley between Midnight and 4 am, Monday.

My current thinking is that winds and hail will be definite threats but so will isolated tornadoes. The highest risk for tornadoes will set up from Memphis through northern Mississippi and into northwestern Alabama and southeastward into central Alabama.

Forecast Tornado Threat Sunday PM/Monday AM

I will provide another update tomorrow.

Be prepared for any potential severe weather. Make sure you have ways to be notified of impending severe weather. I highly recommend WeatherCall as the source you should depend on for your weather alerts and warnings. For a minimal fee it will contact you only when a warning is issued for your location so you don't have to worry about being awoken or alarmed by the weather radio for storms miles away. As a meteorologist, I would not recommend a weather safety product unless I was convinced it is a life saver. After the tornadoes of 2011 it became evident on just how life saving WeatherCall is. (Learn more about WeatherCall)

GET WEATHERCALL!

Additionally, after living through the tornadoes that impacted northern Alabama last Spring and left us in the dark for days, I recommend an emergency crank radio that will keep you informed even with the power is out. This is the one I purchased for my family and recommend to you. It is manufactured by Midland who is the name to buy for weather radios.

Severe Weather Threat Moves Southeast, Today/Another Round Possible Sunday Night

2012-01-21T09:06:00.000-06:00
The first round of severe weather has exited the Mid-South and Tennessee Valleys but is not progressing southeastward into Georgia and central/southern Alabama. A tornado watch remains in effect for much of northern Georgia and Alabama through noon CT. Gusty winds, heavy rains and isolated tornadoes are the main concern with these storms.

9am CT

This is not the end of the severe weather threat completely. A new round of storms will arrive with yet another cold front Sunday night through Monday morning. Right now the timing looks similar to this event. Conditions will be similar, too, providing for a threat of damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Be prepared for any potential severe weather. Make sure you have ways to be notified of impending severe weather. I highly recommend WeatherCall as the source you should depend on for your weather alerts and warnings. For a minimal fee it will contact you only when a warning is issued for your location so you don't have to worry about being awoken or alarmed by the weather radio for storms miles away. As a meteorologist, I would not recommend a weather safety product unless I was convinced it is a life saver. After the tornadoes of 2011 it became evident on just how life saving WeatherCall is. (Learn more about WeatherCall)

GET WEATHERCALL!

Additionally, after living through the tornadoes that impacted northern Alabama last Spring and left us in the dark for days, I recommend an emergency crank radio that will keep you informed even with the power is out. This is the one I purchased for my family and recommend to you. It is manufactured by Midland who is the name to buy for weather radios.

Strong to Severe Storms Possible Early Saturday Mid-South/TN Valley

2012-01-20T21:23:00.000-06:00
A warm front is lifting northward through MS/AL with very warm/moist conditions for mid-January with temperatures into the mid 60s to near 70 degrees. Already noticing some heavier downpours and isolated storms associated with the warm front; however, this is not the main feature of concern for tonight.

A cold front stretches from near Evansville, IN-West Memphis, AR, Pinebluff, AR. This front will continue to progress east-southeast through the overnight and early morning hours. As it approaches and interacts with the warm/moist air ahead of it thunderstorms will become more likely with some of the thunderstorms potentially becoming severe with damaging winds the main threat.

Stay weather aware but get your sleep, too. I highly recommend WeatherCall as the source you should depend on for your weather alerts and warnings. For a minimal fee it will contact you only when a warning is issued for your location so you don't have to worry about being awoken by the weather radio for storms miles away. As a meteorologist, I would not recommend a weather safety product unless I was convinced it is a life saver. After the tornadoes of 2011 it became evident on just how life saving WeatherCall is. (Learn more about WeatherCall)

GET WEATHERCALL!

The severe weather risk will continue to push south and east through Alabama and Georgia and into the Carolinas through the day, Saturday.

Weather Briefing

2011-12-28T20:09:00.002-06:00

Change Is Still Expected for the Start of the Year

2011-12-28T08:25:00.000-06:00

I begin to mention that it looks like a true feel of winter is finally in the works for the first of 2012 as the weather pattern does a shift. Took a look at some new information this morning and my thought of a change coming continues on track. In fact, the American long-range model is now beginning to show signs of allowing a shot of cold that was indicated yesterday by the European. I am going to go over specifics and provide a look at the very latest data later this evening during a live weather briefing, here on this site, at 8:30 pm CT. Please join me!

Winter May Finally Be Coming to the Eastern U.S.

2011-12-27T19:56:00.000-06:00

It has been on the mild side for much of November and December along and east of the Mississippi river but some signs of possible change could lead to a burst of cold that may hold for a bit during the first week or January. One of these factors is the NAO (North Atlantic Oscilation) which is forecast to finally go negative. If that holds true it would be the first negative tilt in the NAO since mid October.

NAO Forecast

What this means is that a better opportunity for a trough to develop in the Eastern U.S. ad that would allow for cold to sink out of the Polar region. In fact, the ECMWF (European) model is picking up on this and its possible ramification. Below is an image of its forecast for the morning of Tuesday, January 3, 2012. Notice in the upper left quadrant of the image that a deep trough develops behind a strong upper level piece of energy across the center of the nation.

ECMWF Forecast (obtained from Penn State Ewall)

Additional forecasts for the next several following days show this trough translating east and recharging through January 6. This would bring the season's coldest shot of air into the populated east. It also would likely bring the winter's first widespread snow event.

I will take a closer look at this on Wednesday evenings live weather briefing at 8:30 pm, here at dopplerdale.com

Live Weather Briefing

2011-12-12T20:21:00.001-06:00
Will be going live around 8:30 pm CT

Main Action Plains into the Intermountain-West, Could Begin Shifting East Around Christmas

2011-12-11T20:38:00.000-06:00
I am watching the weather pattern set up for the next week to two and it looks like most of the action will be in the Intermountain West and Southwest. Currently, a trough is ready to swing into the western U.S. and as it does it will bring widespread rainfall from southern California to New Mexico.

Not seeing a whole lot of cold air with the system so only the high peaks (elevation >5,000') of mountainous areas will see any snow.

By Wednesday, the associated surface system with this trough will begin lifting out of the southwest and into the Plains. This will spread rainfall into the "Heartland" with some snow possible across the northern tier of Minnesota and Wisconsin. Again, not much cold around to be entrained into the system and to allow for snowfall. Also, on Wednesday, a second piece of energy will be diving into northern California.

This second piece of energy looks as if it could be a deeper and stronger system. By the first of the weekend, the system will be cutting off across southern California. By cutting off, it allows the northern branch of the jet stream to bend with a trough over the Mississippi Valley and this will allow for a brief shot of cold to sink southward. The two systems will work in tandem to help draw rains into the Southern Plains and much of Texas with some southern Rockies snow becoming possible.

This will be the system of interest for the week before Christmas and could be am impact towards Christmas itself. I will go into more details on Monday (12/12) in the evening at 8:30 pm during my live weather video briefing. Please join me here for that.

Track Santa Right Here

2011-12-07T19:04:00.000-06:00

As I continue to add content that I hope is valuable to you I have now added NORAD's Santa Tracker. While Santa is putting the finishing touches on everything and double checking those lists you can still have fun with children on this site. Right now there are new surprises in the Kids Countdown Village. Here you will find a new holiday game to enjoy until December 24th.

Then on Christmas Eve all the action comes to life. You will be able to watch, with your children, Santa's journey around the world. A real treat for your kids.

Click here or the Santa Tracker tab above and watch the video from last year's journey to get a preview.

Merry Christmas!

Doppler Dale's Weather Daily: December 7, 2011

2011-12-07T14:20:00.000-06:00

System that delivered snow that accumulated in the grassy surfaces from Arkansas into northern Mississippi is quickly lifting northeastward and will continue to do so through this evening and tonight. That means the back-edge of the precipitation will lift northeast quickly, too. The change over to snow line won't move much the next few hours generally running southwest to northeast from northeast Alabama along the spine of the Appalachians and up into northern Vermont. This will confine the heaviest snowfall with this system from northern West Virginia through western Pennsylvania and upto into south-central New York and continuing into Vermont (includes Morgantown, Johnstown and Binghamton and Albany)where total snowfall accumulation of 6" to 12" is possible.

I-95 Corridor Snowfall (Washington DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York and Boston)
Plenty of rain is occurring east of the heavier snow across the I-95 corridor but this area will also get into a bit of snowfall as the system lifts northeastward and allows a rapid intrusion of cold air to flow in changing rain over to a brief period of snow. Where the snow comes down moderately to heavy for a brief period of time accumulation will be possible. Here are some specifics of when I expect the change over to occur and how much accumulation is possible:

Washington DC: (10PM TO MIDNIGHT, ENDING BY 3 AM, UP TO 1/2")
Baltimore, MD: (10PM TO MDINIGHT, ENDING BY 3 AM, UP TO 1/2")
Philadelphia, PA: (May briefly mix with or change to a brief period of snow, Midnight to 2 AM before ending with NO ACCUMULATION)
New York, NY: (May briefly change over to a period of snow between 3AM to 5AM before ending with NO ACCUMULATION)
Boston, MA: (Brief change over possible between 6 AM and 8 AM with minor accumulation possible, under an inch)

Note: More significant accumulation with a band of 1" to 3" will set up to the west-northwest of these cities by only around 20 to 30 miles and accumulations will continue to rise further north and west one travels.

Plains-MidWest-Ohio Valley Snow Chances
A reinforcing shot of chilly air and some upper level support is helping to produce a band of some light snow across portions of eastern Montana into the Dakotas and this will streak into Nebraska and western Iowa tonight and then into Missouri, Illinois Indiana and Ohio on Thursday. Little if any accumulation is expected; however, the best chances of seeing any accumulation will be along and north of I-80 from Chicago to Cleveland where 1" to 2" could fall in spots.

Longer Range
Looking out into the Day 5 through Day 10 period the pattern will try to shift west a bit with the core of the cold and activity closer to the spine of the Rockies while ridging will try to build in the Southeast and that would allow for some mild conditions from the Southeast to the Mid-Atlantic while cold and snowy from the Intermountain West through the Rockies.

Video Weather Briefing
I will conduct a video weather briefing to discuss the weather pattern and update on the snow in the East and the quick moving system in the Plains tonight, at 9pm CT. Please join me here to catch it.

Thanks for reading,

"Doppler" Dale

Doppler Dale's Weather Daily: December 6, 2011

2011-12-06T14:25:00.002-06:00

Cold air continues to filter into the East and Southeast as a strong cold front continues its eastward progression. Still seeing two pieces of energy in the upper levels of the atmosphere with the one in the northern branch of the jet stream producing some light snow through the Mid-Mississippi Valley, including St. Louis. The second wave was beginning to round the bend in southern New Mexico and is poised to head east-northeast through the next few days.

Memphis Snow
As it moves into the Lower Mississippi Valley, Wednesday morning, a new area of light precipitation will begin to break out across the Mid-South. This precipitation will likely begin as drizzle and light rain and then mix with sleet and snow and transition to all snow as cold air continues to filter into the region. The precipitation will begin in the Memphis metro area 10 pm to Midnight and begin mixing with frozen precipitation between 1am and 3am and to all snow by 6 am and ending by 10 am. Minor accumulation of upto 1/2" in grass is possible but just wet pavement is forecast due to pavement temperatures remaining warm.

Nashville, Huntsville Snow
This area of precipitation will continue to track eastward along the I-40 corridor through Tennessee and through northern Mississippi and Alabama towards the metros of Nashville and Huntsville. The upper level energy pieces will actually be merging into one stronger system over Mississippi and Alabama, Wednesday. Add in a bit more deeper moisture and the precipitation should intensify some. Again, the precipitation will likely begin as drizzle and light rain for these areas (around midnight) and transition to a wintry mix towards the morning rush hour and then eventually to all snow by mid morning. Minor, mainly grassy accumulation of up to 1/2" is possible in heavier bursts of snow/sleet, mainly closer to I-40 and along the Cumberland Plateau, but again roads stay warm enough to keep them wet.

Appalachia and I-95 Corridor Snow
The winners with this snow even will be locations along the Appalachians from northeast Georgia to into southern New York. The merged and stronger piece of upper level energy will spin up a strong surface low that will lift up along the Eastern Seaboard. This allows for abundant moisture to be thrown into arriving cold air. 6" to 12" of snow will be possible along the spine of the Appalachians, especially from West Virginia into Northeast Pennsylvania The southern Appalachians from northeast Georgia into West Virginia will be hit tonight and Wednesday with the northern Appalachians being hit Wednesday night into Thursday. I do anticipate the rain to turn over to snow in Washington DC, Baltimore, Philadelphia, New York City and Boston. How much, you ask? Here you go:

Washington DC: 2"-4" (Changes Over 9pm-11pm Wednesday)
Baltimore: 2"-4" (Changes Over 9pm-11pm Wednesday)
Philadelphia: 2"-4" (Changes Over 11pm-1am Wednesday Night)
New York: 1"-3" (Changes Over 1am-3am Thursday)
Boston: 3"-6" (Changes Over 2am-4am Thursday)

Late Work Week Snow
We will watch yet another piece of energy dive southeastward in the northern branch of the jet through the northern Plains and towards the Mid-Mississippi Valley. This piece of energy could also bring a band of light snow with it for Thursday into Friday, especially across South Dakota into Nebraska. I will hit on this more tomorrow.

I will also be watching for the potential of a northern branch piece of energy and southern branch piece of energy merging again into a bigger system late next week.

Doppler Dale's Weather Daily: December 5, 2011

2011-12-05T11:37:00.000-06:00
The weather pattern over the next week to ten days and likely continuing close towards Christmas will turn colder and more wintry for much of the nation east of the Rockies, especially the Northern Rockies, Upper Midwest and Great Lakes as a general ridge will hold up into Alaska allowing for troughing over central Canada into the central U.S. However, there will be some occasional swings of moderation from time-to-time.

Currently, a two part system is helping to push a strong cold front eastward out of the center of the nation. The first piece of energy has already brought snow to portions of the southwestern U.S. such as northern Arizona and into New Mexico while the second piece will be diving southeast out of the Norther Plains over the next couple of days. The two will merge into a stronger, single piece of energy over the Lower Mississippi Valley, midweek, prior to lifting northeastward. Following in behind this system will be a piece of northern energy that will help to deepen a developing trough over the center of the nation for the late week and into the weekned.

First, the current front has a tale of seasons associated with it. In its advance, it is windy and quite mild with temperatures likely making it into the 70s in the Tennessee Valley to the 80s in southern Alabama and southern Georgia southward into Florida. Behind it, it feels like December with temperatures only topping out into the 20s and 30s through the Plains and creeping into the Great Lakes and Mid-Mississippi Valley. The front and overall set up with the slow moving piece of energy out of the southwest is allowing for abundant rainfall to occur from Lower Mississippi Valley into the Ohio Valley. The rains will spread east into the Tennessee Valley, New England and Mid-Atlantic this evening and tonight. Snow, though, will be hard to find as most of the precipitation will exit prior to the cold air arriving for most locations. Some rain mixed with snow or brief light snow could occur across portions of the Ohio Valley, mainly northwest Ohio, Tuesday. A few snow showers could also occur across Missouri, Tuesday, as the two above mentioned pieces of energy begin uniting. NO Snow accumulation is expected, however. Some snow will also be possible Wednesday night into Thursday across the Appalachians from east Tennessee into Pennsylvania as the combined energy lifts northeatward and some minor accumulations are possible. Better chances for some accumulating snow will arrive with the northern stream energy across the Great Lakes and into Ohio Friday into Saturday.

Snow Heads Into Kansas City

2011-11-02T13:21:00.000-05:00

Another foot of snow has fallen across portions of the Denver Metro area, earlier today. The storm is now winding down but here are some of the snowfall totals as of Noon MT:
Conifer, Colorado (Jefferson County) 13.0”
Strasburg, Colorado (Adams County) 12.5”
Parker, Colorado (Arapahoe County): 12.2”
Ft. Collins, Colorado (Larimer County): 11.5”
Aurora, Colorado (Arapahoe County): 9.0”

The storm system is clearly visible on this afternoon’s satellite with a marked difference from the warmer air, nearly clear sky conditions, to the much chillier, precipitation filled air, with the snow, under the cloudiness.

Snow was already falling across much of the western half of Kansas with Winter Weather Advisories stretching from far northeast New Mexico to south-central Nebraska.

I anticipate the winter weather advisories to be extended a bit further east to encompass portions of northwest Missouri for tonight as rain will likely change over to snow. The Kansas City Metro area will likely see snow tonight, especially across the Kansas Suburbs and accumulations of 1” to 3” will be possible, heaviest remaining on the Kansas side of the region.

One thing with this system is as it moves east the punch of cold will become less and while the system will still bring a quick shot of chill it won’t be extreme cold to change over the rainfall to snow.

Looking further out beyond the next 36 to 48 hours, the weather pattern will be generally fast paced with several pieces of energy dipping into the Rockies and lifting out as it heads eastward. None in the next 5 to 7 days appears overall that cold and snow chances look low except for the higher elevations of the Rockies. Into the 7 to 10 day period, there is the potential for yet another strong storm kicking out of the Rockies and it could bring more Rockies snow and could be a player into the Plains, Midwest and Southeast with storms.

So now is a great time to be ready to remove that snow as it looks like winter wants to hit early this season. Thanks to a blogger friend of mine, The Coupon Centsation, for alerting me to this deal on a coupon to save on Morton Ice Melt. Make sure to get yours before they are gone and have your ice melt on hand and ready for any snow or ice that heads your way.

St. Louis Metro Area Forecast (November 1, 2011)

2011-11-01T15:09:00.002-05:00

BIG storm will be ejecting out of the Rockies and into the Plains and Midwest on Wednesday. Appears it may not be able to keep the core of cold with it into eastern Missouri as discussed on Monday but snow will still be possible for portions of the Show Me State. I have provided some details on snow expectations with this system here.

The track the storm is likely to take is along I-44 from southwest Missouri to right over the St. Louis Metro area Wednesday night into Thursday. This keeps the coldest air associated with this system west and north. Additionally, it appears the system will be a bit slower . This means the chances for seeing snowflakes in St. Louis with this storm has become unlikely to non-existent.

Wednesday
Clouds Increasing
Rain Developing Late Evening (40%)
Becoming Windy
Low: 48 High: 70 Wind: S 15-25 (Gusty)

Thursday
Cloudy with early morning Rain Tapering to Scattered Showers
Chance for Precipitation (100%)
Windy and Colder with Temperatures Holding Steady or Slowly Falling
Low: 51 High: 46 Wind: S-N 15-30 (Gusty)

Friday
Sunny
Low: 35 High: 59 Wind: SE 4-8

Saturday
Increasing Clouds
Low:43 High: 66 Wind: S-SW 10-20

Sunday
Mostly Cloudy with Showers (40%)
Low:49 High: 60 Wind: S-W 10-15

Heavy Snow to Hit Colorado and Spread East into the Midwest

2011-11-01T14:12:00.000-05:00

Winter Storm & Blizzard Warnings In Effect for Eastern Colorado, Winter Storm Watch Extended into Kansas

The season’s next big snow storm for the Rockies is already ramping up with heavy snow falling in southern Wyoming.

I-80 Rocksprings, WY

It is falling behind another powerful cold front that is sinking southward along the Front Range and will spread southward into Colorado this evening and through tonight. The snow will be heavy at times with accumulations in the Denver Metro Area to once again top 6” in most locations with a general 6” to 10” expected across the region.

Like last week, as you head into the Foothills and begin increasing in elevation amounts will increase to 1 to 3 feet. The heaviest snowfall will fall between 2 am and 8 am MT. As a result of the heavy snow expected plus gusty winds that will blow Winter Storm and Blizzard Warnings are in effect.

As Wednesday morning wears on, the snow will spread into Nebraska and western Kansas and possibly even stretching into the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma once again. Snow will be heavy at times from southwest Kansas through central Kansas and into southeastern Nebraska into Wednesday evening. The snow will then continue to spread east, Wednesday night, into northwest and western Missouri including the Kansas City Metro Area. I expect a large swath of 4” to 8” to spread out of southwest Kansas into southeast Nebraska with a max band of 8” to 12” possible in southeastern Nebraska into far southwest Iowa.

This band of accumulating snow can move north or south a bit dependent on the exact track the storm system decides to take but confidence is high on a travel impacting storm system with widespread early snow along the I-70 corridor from Denver to Kansas City and along the I-80 corridor from Wyoming to Omaha, Nebraska.

So now is a great time to be ready to remove that snow as it looks like winter wants to hit early this season. Thanks to a blogger friend of mine, The Coupon Centsation, for alerting me to this deal on a coupon to save on Morton Ice Melt. Make sure to get yours before they are gone and have your ice melt on hand and ready for any snow or ice that heads your way.

St. Louis Metro Area Forecast (October 31, 2011)

2011-10-31T15:55:00.000-05:00
Mother Nature May Play a Trick or Treat A Few Days Late By Bringing the Region SNOW

A gradual warming trend will continue over the next couple of days but then a BIG change arrives and this could be a REAL BIG change. How about SNOW? Well, snow will be possible relatively close to the St. Louis Metro area. Here are some more thoughts concerning the BIG picture of this storm in an earlier post from today.

The storm system will roll into eastern Missouri Wednesday evening and continue into Illinois trough Wednesday night. As it approaches clouds will increase and it will turn windy. Once it arrives, rain will overspread the region and as it begins to pass temperatures will quickly fall. Just to the north-northwest the rain will be quickly turning over to wet, slushy snow with some accumulation possible. For the metro area it is possible, in fact becoming more likely, that the rain will mix with and change over to a period of snow early Thursday morning. For now, though, believe accumulations will be just north of the Metro area but this will be monitored closely over the next couple of days.

\

12z Monday NAM Model Snowfall Prediction for Thursday AM

The good news is this is a very QUICK shot of chill as by Friday temperatures will quickly turn warmer, again.

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low:44 High: 71 Wind: S 5-10

Wednesday
Clouds Increasing
Rain Becoming Likely Late (80%)
Becoming Windy
Low: 48 High: 70 Wind: S-NW 15-25 (Gusty)

Thursday
Cloudy with early morning Rain mixing with and possibly changing to Wet Snow
Some Minor Slushy Accumulation Possible
Chance for Precipitation (90%)
Decreasing PM Clouds
Windy and Colder
Low: 37 High: 49 Wind: NW 15-30 (Gusty)

Friday
Sunny
Low: 35 High: 62 Wind: NE-SE 4-8

Saturday
Mostly Cloudy & Breezy
Few Scattered Showers Possible (30%)
Low:43 High: 66 Wind: S-SW 10-20

North Alabama, Southern-Middle Tennessee Forecast (10/31/2011)

2011-10-31T15:37:00.000-05:00

Turning gradually warmer for the next few days before yet another powerful storm pulls out of the Rockies and through Plains into the Ohio Valley for the later part of the week. This storm will deliver more snow to Colorado but will also streak it to the east into the Midwest. You can learn more in this post from earlier today.

The storm system will roll into the center of the nation, Wednesday evening/night. It will arrive into the Tennessee Valley around sunrise, Thursday. It will likely rain during the morning hours, Thursday and then clear by evening. Temperatures will likely hold nearly steady or slowly fall through the day, Thursday.

Tuesday
Sunny
Low:37 High: 69 Wind: E Light

Wednesday
Sunny, Breezy and Warm
Low:40 High: 70 Wind: SE-S 10-15

Thursday
Cloudy with Rain Likely (90%) through the Morning Hours
Decreasing Clouds in the Afternoon Hours.
Windy and Turning Colder with Potential Falling Temperatures.
Low:50 High: 56 Wind: W-NW 15-20

Friday
Some AM Clouds
Sunny PM
Low:38 High: 65 Wind: N-NE 5

Saturday
Mostly Sunny & Breezy
Low:40 High: 71 Wind: SE 10-15

Kentucky Lake Region Forecast (October 31, 2011)

2011-10-31T15:33:00.000-05:00

A gradual warming trend for the next couple of days but then another BIG change with SNOW not too far off to our north and northeast. Details on the snow potential with this upcoming storm can be read here. The storm will come rolling into the Quad States late on Wednesday. As it begins to near, clouds will begin to increase and it will turn windy. The system will pass Wednesday night and rainfall will become likely and it will turn sharply colder, again.

Windy and chilly conditions with scattered showers are expected for Thursday. Due to the forecast wind on Wednesday and Thursday it is not advised to be on the area lakes either Wednesday or Thursday and I expect Lake Wind Advisories or Warnings to be issued by the National Weather Service over the next 24 to 36 hours.

This will be a quick hit of chill as warmer air flows back into the region within a day or so.

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low:34 High: 70 Wind: S 5-10

Wednesday
Gradual Increase in Clouds
Becoming Breezy
Rain Arriving Late Evening (40%)
Low:40 High: 73 Wind: S-SW 15-25 (Gusty)

Thursday
Early Morning Rain Likely (90%)
Scattered Showers Possible into the Afternoon (40%)
Windy with Nearly Steady Temperatures
Low: 40 High: 48 Wind: W-NW 20-30 (Gusty)

Friday
Sunny
Low:38 High: 62 Wind: NE-SE 5

Saturday
Clouds Increasing & Breezy
Low:43 High: 70 Wind: S 10-15

Here We Go Again, More Colorado Snow But the Midwest, Too?

2011-10-31T14:12:00.000-05:00

Two pieces of upper level energy, one currently approaching the Pacific NW coast and another in northern British Columbia, Canada, will come together as one strong system over Colorado, Tuesday evening/night. At the same time a powerful cold front will be drifting southward along the front range of the Rockies allowing cold air to follow. The upper level support plus the frontal boundary will allow for a surface low to develop over southeastern Colorado and move into the Panhandles of Texas. This combined with the approaching area of high pressure over the Northern Rockies and the set up returns for widespread upsloping snow from southern Wyoming into Colorado, especially the I-25 corridor. The snow will begin to fly across Wyoming on Tuesday and spread southward into Tuesday evening and through the overnight hours. Pockets of heavy snow are likely.

Additionally, this system has the potential for snow to spread further eastward into the Plains than the storm system a week earlier. Snow is likely to spread into the Blackhills of South Dakota on Tuesday and spread southeastward into Nebraska through Tuesday night and through Wednesday. Heavy snow will be possible.

Snow is even becoming more likely into Iowa through the day, Wednesday and could make it as far east as northern Missouri and Illinois.along and north of I-72, Wednesday night and Thursday morning. Snow showers may even be able to continue into eastern Ohio and Kentucky by Thursday evening.

So how much snow can be expected? Here is a first look forecast through Thursday evening:

And a closer, more detailed look for eastern Colorado:

So now is a great time to be ready to remove that snow as it looks like winter wants to hit early this season. Thanks to a blogger friend of mine, The Coupon Centsation, for alerting me to this deal on a coupon to save on Morton Ice Melt. Make sure to get yours before they are gone and have your ice melt on hand and ready for any snow or ice that heads your way.

North Alabama/Southern Tennessee Forecast (October 30, 2011)

2011-10-30T19:57:00.000-05:00

A fast moving upper level wave will pass through the Tennessee Valley Monday morning. As it does a few clouds will be possible but overall a sun filled and dry Halloween is expected. For all of those Trick-or-Treaters, here is what you can expect during the evening hours:

By midweek, another powerful storm system will be impacting the central Rockies and eying moving to the east with briefly colder air to follow. In its advance a couple of warmer days with temperatures rising into the upper 60s and low 70s are likely in the Tennessee Valley.

Monday
Mostly Sunny
Low:35 High: 64 Wind: S-NW 4-7

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low:37 High: 68 Wind: E Light

Wednesday
Sunny, Breezy and Warm
Low:40 High: 69 Wind: SE 10-15

Thursday
Becoming Cloudy with Rain Becoming Likely (80%)
Turning Colder with Potential Falling Temperatures.
Low:50 High: 60 Wind: SW-NW 10-15

Friday
Some AM Clouds
Sunny PM
Low:44 High: 65 Wind: N-NE 5

St. Louis Metro Area Forecast (October 30, 2011)

2011-10-30T19:55:00.000-05:00

A fast paced upper level wave has brought clouds and spotty light rain to the Metro area this Sunday but it will exit to the east overnight and we will be left with a very nice Halloween. For those Trick-or-Treaters here is your forecast for Monday evening:

Midweek, another powerful storm system will be spinning up. It will affect the central Rockies with more snow on Tuesday and deliver more rain and colder conditions to the Mid-Mississippi Valley on Thursday.

Monday
Sunny
Low: 42 High: 61 Wind: WNW 5-10

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low:44 High: 71 Wind: S-SW 5-10

Wednesday
Clouds Increasing
Rain Becoming Possible Late (40%)
Becoming Windy
Low: 48 High: 70 Wind: S-SW 10-20

Thursday
Cloudy with Rain Likely (90%)
Colder, Nearly Steady Temperatures
Low: 44 High: 49 Wind: NE-N 10-20

Friday
Some AM Clouds
Sunny PM
Low:40 High: 62 Wind: NE-E 5

Kentucky Lake Region Forecast (October 30, 2011)

2011-10-30T19:53:00.000-05:00

A fast paced storm system will be passing through the Quad States, Monday. It will deliver some morning cloudiness that will dissipate through the afternoon hours and by the time the Trick-or-Treaters head out the door it should be clear. Here is a detailed look for Halloween Evening:

Another midweek powerful storm system will be spinning up over the central Rockies and it will move into the Quad States region on Thursday delivering rainfall and colder temperatures, once again.

Monday
Decreasing Clouds
Low: 40 High: 63 Wind: W 5-10

Tuesday
Mostly Sunny
Low:36 High: 68 Wind: S-SW 5-10

Wednesday
Gradual Increase in Clouds
Becoming Breezy
Low:40 High: 70 Wind: S 5-15

Thursday
Rain Likely (90%)
Nearly Steady Temperatures
Low: 48 High: 52 Wind: SW-W 10-20

Friday
Some AM Clouds
Sunny PM
Low:44 High: 62 Wind: NE 5