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	<channel>
		<title>Dutch Dreams</title>
		<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net</link>
		<description>Dreaming of a changing world</description>
		<language>en</language>
		<managingEditor>r_swets@hotmail.com</managingEditor>
                <copyright>Copyright 2009</copyright>
		<generator>Pivot Pivot - 1.40.7: 'Dreadwind'</generator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Apr 2009 21:31:11 +0200</pubDate>
		<ttl>60</ttl>
		
		
		
		
		<item>
			<title>Heisenberg Society</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=168&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=168&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ One of the most important characteristics of the 21st century is <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=change&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: change">change</a>. The world we live in is changing so fast that it is almost impossible to keep track of what is under way. Some, like <a target="_blank" href="http://www.kurzweilai.net/articles/art0134.html?printable=1" title="">Ray Kurzweil</a><a target="_blank" href="http://fpc.org.uk/fsblob/244.pdf" title=""></a>, argue the rate of change in society is accelerating exponentially. This situation drives the need for a new physics for civilisation. It has led <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vernor_Vinge" title="">Vernor Vinge</a> to propose a technological <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=singularity&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: singularity">singularity</a>. This has been a great concept for science fiction writers and has produced some good reading. I am not a science fiction writer though. In physics, when the rate of change starts to interfere with measurement we turn to <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Werner_Heisenberg" title="">Heisenberg</a>. So did Joshua Cooper Ramo of the <a target="_blank" href="http://fpc.org.uk/" title="">Foreign Policy Centre</a> in his article "<a target="_blank" href="http://fpc.org.uk/fsblob/244.pdf" title="">The Beijing consensus</a>". This is where I first encountered the notion of "<a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=heisenberg_society&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: Heisenberg society">Heisenberg society</a>". The article is long but well worth a read if you are into <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=geopolitics&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: geopolitics">geopolitics</a>.A lot of things in a society depend on its <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=information&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: information">information</a> <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=systems&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: systems">systems</a>; the way in which information is disseminated, who are able to spread what information and who can access it. With the advent of the <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=internet&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: internet">internet</a>, <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=mobile_phones&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: mobile phones">mobile phones</a> and other information technologies, our communication networks have reached a <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=tipping_point&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: tipping point">tipping point</a>. Human society is rapidly becoming a globalised interconnected whole. We are the first society in <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=history&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: history">history</a> with the ability to learn from societies remote from us in space and time. But also the first in which changes on the other side of the world can have a big influence in real time. Though many people say the world has gotten smaller, I think it fair to say the world of today's individuals has become a whole lot bigger.<br />
Since so much in our lives depends on <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=communication&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: communication">communication</a>, changes in the very basis of our communications structures have a large impact on society. For example the invention of the scientific method and modern representative democracy depended critically on the invention of the printing press. In a similar way, <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=network&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: network">network</a> science is evolving hand in hand with computers and the internet in strange, symbiotic relationship. In the terms of network science, the networks giant connected component is starting to encompass the entire population. The network is undergoing a phase change, becoming less localised (though still highly clustered) and more connected. With ever fewer degrees of node separation, it now has a "small world" topology. <br />
Most likely what we think we know about civilisation is wrong or over-simplified to the point of irrelevance, blasted away by the shock of the new. The pace of change means that the world is not what it seems; The world "<a target="_blank" href="http://fpc.org.uk/fsblob/244.pdf" title="">... cannot be reduced to generalities, because it is not today what it appeared to be yesterday. It is, to pick up on an idea of Heisenberg, a place where engagement inherently changes the outcome, where speed interferes with measurement.</a>" So with contemporary society. The longer you stop to look at one aspect, the more certain you can be that when you lift your head society will have moved on to other things.There is no ceteris paribus any more, and that destroys traditional analysis. We must content ourselves with frameworks inside of which we allow pieces to move around with some unpredictability. The statistical physics used in the developing field of <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=network_science&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: network science">network science</a> lends just the kind of flexibility required. So does <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=167" title="Tagged external link: interparism">interparism</a>. I believe the rise of both is no coincidence. Both fields are driving a lot of the changes going on, and thrive by them. ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">168@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Dreaming</category>
			<pubDate>Thu, 05 Jan 2006 00:03:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>The Rise of Interparism</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=167&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=167&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ A new philosophy of organisation is emerging; a new way of solving problems, of getting things done. It goes by names such as <a target="_blank" href="http://www.yale.edu/yalelj/112/BenklerWEB.pdf" title="">peer production</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://integralvisioning.org/article.php?story=p2ptheory1" title="">peer to peer</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.demos.co.uk/catalogue/proameconomy/" title="">the pro-am revolution</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.tidec.org/geovisions/Castells.html" title="">the network society</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.extremedemocracy.com/" title="">extreme</a> or <a target="_blank" href="http://www.demos.co.uk/catalogue/everydaydemocracy/" title="">everyday democracy</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2004/05/4gw_fourth_gene.html" title="">fourth generation warfare</a>, etc. depending on your sphere of interest. I have come to call it <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=interparism&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: Interparism">Interparism</a> ("inter pares" is Latin for "among peers"). Interparism is based on the simple notion that problems are best solved by those affected by them, action is best taken by those who care. Though still fragmented and unarticulated, I think it is the organisational model of choice for the twenty first century. This is much to big a subject to cover in a single entry, the following can be considered an introduction.<b></b><b>Tipping point</b><br />
With the spread of modern information technologies like the Internet and mobile phones, our social information and communication networks have reached a tipping point. The new infrastructure allows us to leapfrog to a new organizational form that is more survivable, inclusive, and innovative than traditional hierarchies. Interparism is a truly Smithsonian model in which modern network theory explains the <a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invisible_hand" title="">invisible hand</a>. Leadership is not monopolised through positions of formal authority. Power flows to the edges of organisations, creating a free market in which leadership can emerge through the interplay of its participants. This kind of leadership is a common good, through which a wider community is mobilized to collaborate as equals to meet a challenge or solve a problem. The resulting leaders are able to focus efforts on problems that they do not know how to solve, and mobilize people to generate long-term solutions. They choose an approach based on the values that matter in developing the solution, rather than the exercise of command or the certainty of conviction. <br />
<br />
<b>Organising for change</b><br />
The interparist model is a source of inspiration and creativity in organizations by distributing power, responsibility and initiative widely across different people and communities. It provides possibilities to compete, collaborate and share information over a wide range of problems and possible solutions. It is a robust organisational model, equipped to face a wide diversity of desired (or feared) futures, but does not claim to bring utopia. It embraces diversity of cultures with communities loosely joined, a society prone to evolve with our rapidly changing environment. Interparism amounts to a radical democratization of all facets of life and a revival of political democracy. Rather than just having elections every few years, its proponents aim for a permanent meaningful connection with government. It creates new possibilities to influence our own social and physical environment. <br />
The new model is about putting into practice an old adagium: if you want something done right, do it yourself. Averse to hierarchy and formal organisations, ordinary people like you and me, enabled by technology, are pulling resources to perform extraordinary feats. Through interest based communities we freely lend our time, expertise and resources to causes dear to us. We try to make up for our institutions' failings by influencing our environment in previously unimagined ways, because we enjoy it or because we care.<br />
<br />
<b>Outsourcing or Open Sourcing?</b><br />
Companies are starting to understand the logic; if they can get people to help them design and create products, these people will probably end up customers. Maybe they will even sell the product to their friends. So instead of outsourcing to save cost, businesses are engaging potential customers and enthusiasts to improve everything from research and development to marketing. If employees work for the fun of it they will be better motivated and more productive then if they are simply bribed into being at their post during office hours. So successful companies really involve their workers. Management no longer directs the activities of the work floor, but enables workers' initiatives. Employees are probably the best placed people to improve business practices. By empowering them to do so, smart companies are becoming more innovative and efficient. <br />
The era of using people as production tools or walking wallets appears to be at an end. Participation may be vastly more complex to practice than conventional corporate unilateralism, just as democracy is much more cumbersome than dictatorship. More cumbersome perhaps, but Semco, Google, Amazon, eBay and so many other companies prove it can be very productive and innovative.<br />
<br />
<b>Conclusion</b><br />
A lot is changing on the technological level and the social sphere is following suit. I think interparism is part of a new pattern for life. I'm not exactly sure what this new society will or should look like, I am not a seer after all. But I think people and communities are figuring it out on an empirical bases. In the same spirit I put these ideas out here, for you to improve upon. I plan to write some more on this subject at a later date. Leave any thoughts or questions you may have in the comment section, I always enjoy the feedback. ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">167@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Dreaming</category>
			<pubDate>Sat, 10 Dec 2005 21:54:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>French riots in a wider perspective</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=166&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=166&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ <p>John Robb of <a href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/" target="_blank">global guerilla's</a> <a target="_blank" href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2005/11/journal_open_so.html#more">framed</a> <a target="_blank" href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2005/11/journal_guerre_.html#more">ongoing</a> <a target="_blank" href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2005/11/journal_the_tro.html#more">riots</a> in <a target="_blank" href="http://globalguerrillas.typepad.com/globalguerrillas/2005/11/scenario_a_quic.html#more">France</a> as a struggle between participants of the formal versus the informal economy, triggered by a crackdown on the informal economy launched  by the French interior minister. This frame of reference resonates with my own experiences when I visited Rouen last year; most economic opportunities in the suburbs are outside the formal economy. I did not encounter a single business hiring employees (I saw plenty in Brugge a day earlier). This is not a war between faiths or convictions, but between economies. And I do not think it is unique to <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="/pivot/tags.php?tag=france&amp;w=bilingual_dreams" title="Tagged external link: France">France</a>; it has a lot of different incarnations, for example we saw a glimpse in The Netherlands last year. Whenever the  formal economy excludes  a population  segment to the point  where most economic opportunities are outside the legal realm, the seeds are sown and a crackdown on the illegal economy can spark just this kind of disorder. This whole affair reminds me of the analisys of <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hernando_de_Soto_%28economist%29" title="Tagged external link: Hernando de Soto">Hernando de Soto</a> on <a target="_blank" rel="tag" class="taglink" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Informal_economy" title="Tagged external link: informal economies">informal economies</a>.</p><p>Thinking within this frame of reference, it seems obvious the way to de-escalation would be to involve the rioters in France's formal economy. The trouble is that such involvement takes time to establish, time the French appear to lack at the moment. <br />While the current French strategy of trying to raise the transaction costs in the informal economy is probably part of the solution it cannot solve this conflict by itself. Among other things, the price of detaining thousands of rioters is simply to high. Lessons can be learned here from the American and Afghan &quot;war on drugs&quot;. Despite detaining thousands of people the US hasn't even made a dent in the drugs economy. The suppliers of the stuff simply have to big an economic incentive, in a large part because they lack other economic opportunities. Most poppy and coca farmers would rather have legitimate produce, if only it could support their families.<br />An offensive approach must be accompanied by a (long overdue) push to crack down on discrimination and include potential rioters (or drug dealers, etc.) in the formal economy by opening up economic opportunities. Such an approach could be inspired by successful development strategies in the third world, since it must deal with a lot of the same problems. And owing to the limited timeframe, a distributed, inclusive, &quot;open source&quot; strategy seems the only way to acquire the  leverage needed to counter the positive feedback loop the rioters are trying to establish. If successful in disrupting the French economy the rioters are feeding their own recruiting grounds of unemployed youth. The challenge for the French government is to have jobs waiting in the morning for their disenfranchised youth, to prevent them rioting at night.</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">166@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Blogging</category>
			<pubDate>Fri, 11 Nov 2005 22:54:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Dutch sistersite</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=165&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=165&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ I've started <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dietsedromen.nl" title="">Dietse Dromen</a>, a Dutch language weblog, with my friend Marc, check it out some day! ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">165@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Thu, 10 Nov 2005 15:42:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Example linkdump..</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=4&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=4&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ This is an entry in the linkdump category. Most people use this to
quickly post links to interesting sites or resources. If you write a
new entry, and select 'linkdump' as the category, the entry will
automagically be published in this section of your weblog.</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">4@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Wed, 18 May 2005 23:01:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Identiteit in een veranderende wereld</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=162&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=162&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Langs verschillende wegen is de laatste tijd mijn interesse gewekt voor het begrip identiteit. Ook in ons project lijkt voor dit begrip een belangrijke rol te zijn weggelegd. In de eerste PNC sessie (over normen en waarden) speelde het begrip mijns inziens een sleutelrol, evenals in de tweede sessie; Lange termijn denken impliceert denken over identiteit. De derde sessie over groepen en groepsvorming was wederom doordrenkt van vragen rondom de identiteit van groepen en personen.<br /> Vanwege de vele raakvlakken die het begrip identiteit lijkt te hebben met PNC stel ik voor dit begrip eens gezamelijk aan een onderzoek te onderwerpen.</p>Vragen die zich bij mij opwerpen zijn onder andere:<br /> Wat is identiteit?<br /> Hoe vormt zij zich?<br /> Is identiteit iets statisch of dynamisch, hoe verandert identiteit?<br /> Wat is de invloed van de maatschappij (organisaties) op de individuele identiteit?<br /> Wat is de invloed van een individu op de identiteit van de maatschappij (organisaties)?<br /> Is met de komst van allerlei nieuwe vormen van expressie het begrip identiteit zelf aan verandering onderhevig?</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">162@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Fri, 22 Apr 2005 15:27:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Plaatsen om te intervenieren in een systeem</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=161&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=161&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Afgelopen vrijdag had ik een zeer interessante discussie met Marijn en Marc naar aanleiding van het artikel <a target="_blank" href="http://www.sustainer.org/pubs/Leverage_Points.pdf">Leverage Points, Places to Intervene in a System</a> van Donella Meadows (<a target="_blank" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Leverage_points">hier</a> vind je een korte samenvatting, maar het hele artiekel is een aanrader). Het artikel vormt tegelijkertijd een introductie in systeem theorie, een begrippenkader dat een brug slaat tussen de onderwerpen waarover wij ons doorgaans in discussies buigen en de resultaten uit de theorie van complexe systemen en netwerken waarin momenteel relevante vorderingen worden gemaakt. Het biedt een analyse en begrippenkader dat vruchtbaar is om de achterliggende visie van dit project te begrijpen, om in de loop van het project in diverse vormen toe te passen en om te verbeteren en evolueren (en natuurlijk ook te relativeren).</p>Terugkijkend op vrijdag zie ik verschillende functies die dit begrippenkader kan vervullen (in willekeurige volgorde): <br /> a) Het slaan van een brug tussen de verschillende denk- en belevingswerelden die wij allen vanuit onze verschillende competenties meebrengen<br /> b) Startpunt voor discussie op diverse gebieden<br /> c) Analysekader in allerlei situaties<br /> d) Als onderdeel (basis) voor een te ontwikkelen overkoepelende analysemethode<br /> Wellicht dat we hier in de toekomst op bijeenkomsten nog verder op zullen doorgaan, het lijkt mij echter zinvol om deze discussie zoveel mogelijk ook hier online te voeren, dat kan dan in de toekomst ter referentie dienen. Wat zijn jullie gedachten over het artikel en over de relatie ervan met PNC?</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">161@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Sun, 10 Apr 2005 18:41:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Kabinetscrisis?</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=160&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=160&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Nadat de PvdA fractie gister de gekozen burgemeester heeft verprutst is D66 (waarvan ik nog steeds lid ben) vandaag aan de gang. Triest hoe onvoorbereid men daar was en vooral treist dat men nu zoveel stampij in het kabinet aan het schoppen is. Het had mijns inziens veel verstandiger geweest als De Graaf zich niet had uitgelaten over de vernieuwing van het kiesstelsel en de resterende D66 kabinetsleden (en hun partijgenoten) niet zo opelijk met hun portefeuille zwaaiden. <br /> D66 had altijd binnenskamers met het mes op tafel kunnen onderhandelen. Door in het openbaar het spel zo hoog te spelen ondergraaft D66 de eigen positie. Nu de crisis in de lucht hangt zijn VVD en CDA vermoed ik een stuk minder toeschietelijk geworden.</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">160@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Thu, 24 Mar 2005 02:14:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Geen gekozen burgemeester dankzij PvdA</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=159&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=159&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ De senaatsfractie van de PvdA heeft zojuist de grondwetswijziging die een gekozen burgemeester mogelijk moest maken getorpedeerd. Dank jullie wel jongens. Het voorliggende voorstel verdiende dan wel niet de schoonheidprijs, nu zitten we dus nog jaren met die zinloze discussie opgescheept in plaats van dat we het over belangrijke zaken kunnen gaan hebben. En dat terwijl er inmiddels kamerbreed steun is voor de gekozen burgemeester.</p>De beweegredenen van de PvdA-fractie in dezen zijn mij een raadsel. De PvdA is geen voorstander van de thans in de grondwet verankerde benoemde burgemeester. Het komt mij voor dat partijpolitieke redenen een rol spelen in de onsmakelijke gang van zaken. Ik vrees ook dat dit de PvdA in de toekomst nog wel eens zou kunnen achtervolgen, hiermee zijn geen politieke vrienden gemaakt. Andere partijen zullen zich deze affaire na de volgende verkiezingen nog herinneren...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">159@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Wed, 23 Mar 2005 01:17:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Deelnemers postcodeloterij bestolen door Justitie</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=158&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=158&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Vandaag in het vragenuur van de Tweede Kamer: De postcodeloterij heeft het wonderbaarlijke idee opgevat haar deelnemers te bestelen om een cadootje voor ons staatshoofd te kopen. Zonder daarvoor toestemming te vragen zal de loterij geld afschrijven van haar deelnemers voor een cadeau voor het 25 jarig jubileum van Beatrix. Via een &quot;opt-out&quot; regeling kanmen zich hier nog aan onttrekken, maar slechts tegen betaling (het telefoonnummer waar men zich kan afmelden kost geld(update: wordt nu gratis)) en alleen vooraf. Wie op vakantie is en bij thuiskomst ontdekt bestolen te zijjn door de postcodeloterij kan volgens Donner naar zijn geld fluiten. Daar de loterij valt onder het ministerie van Justitie heeft minister Donner hier toestemming voor moeten geven.<br /> Geld afnemen zonder toestemming, minister Donner zal het wel beter weten, maar ik noem dat diefstal. Heeft er al iemand aangifte gedaan?</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">158@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Tue, 22 Mar 2005 14:21:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Mapping the global future</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=156&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=156&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ The <a target="_blank" href="http://www.cia.gov/nic/NIC_home.html">National Intelligence Counsel</a> of the US dreamed up the likely world in 2020. Read the results <a target="_blank" href="http://www.foia.cia.gov/2020/2020.pdf">here</a> (bulky pdf), over a hundred pages worth of scenarios for the future...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">156@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Fri, 28 Jan 2005 00:41:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>ComTech review</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=155&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=155&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ The new Community Tech review is <a target="_blank" href="http://www.comtechreview.org/article.php?issue_id=12">online</a>. Lots of interesting stuff...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">155@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Wed, 26 Jan 2005 16:26:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Automotive Dreams</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=154&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=154&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Tim Leuliette made an interesting <a target="_blank" href="http://www.metaldyne.com/metaldyne/sections/news/documents/World%20Congress%202005%20Speech.pdf">speech</a> on the future of the automobile industry, oil and the hydrogen economy.</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">154@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Mon, 24 Jan 2005 00:43:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>A brief history of DutchDreams.net</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=150&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=150&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ As this website celebrates its first anniversary by moving out of "beta", let me use this opportunity to write a brief history of DutchDreams.net and the ideas behind it.</p>DutchDreams.net started out in February 2004 mainly because I wanted a kind of "internet-playground" and perhaps practice my writing skills a little as I joined the global conversation on the World Wide Web. I had some rudimentary ideas of what I wanted domain to grow into, but these were mostly inarticulate. Kind of like the fancies mentioned by the quote in the header. For the most part, DutchDreams.net was place for me to play and experiment with all those wonderful new publishing tools that have become available in recent times. Consequently DutchDreams.net has served as "just another weblog" during its first year of existence, mainly featuring my comments on day-to-day affairs of the world. Suffice it to say during this time I made all the mistakes one can make in writing a weblog, mainly due to a lack of focus. I have banished these articles to the "old stuff" section and have disabled comments to combat comment spam. As time went by, a clearer picture emerged of what DutchDreams.net should be. <br /> So much of media content (both old and new) and public discourse is focussed on the very short term. Issues are framed as binary, one-dimensional and all too often centred around some cure-all plan. This restricts our thinking, allows a mentality to prevail that is out of touch with reality and deprives us of a positive vision for our future. Founded on the premise that <a target="_blank" href="../pivot/entry.php?id=148">a dream can change the world</a>, DutchDreams.net hopes to extend the temporal horizon and spatial formation of our thinking about society. To take up the challenge to dream up a world in which people, cities, cultures and the environment can blossom in the twenty-first century and beyond.<br /> Lastly, but perhaps most importantly, DutchDreams.net is not supposed to be a one man show, but a conversation of sorts. I welcome not just feedback, but active participation and debate. Feel free to join the discussion by leaving a comment to any of the articles, suggest new routes of inquiry in one of the open threads, or better yet, share your dreams! Please be civil and consider the wider aims of DutchDreams.net when contributing.</p>
<p> "Progress lies not in enhancing what is, but in advancing toward what will be."<br /> Kahlil Gibrand</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">150@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Blogging</category>
			<pubDate>Fri, 21 Jan 2005 16:12:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Upgrading</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=149&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=149&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ I'll be upgrading the Pivot software later today. This should hardly be noticeble but there may be some complications...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">149@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Blogging</category>
			<pubDate>Thu, 20 Jan 2005 18:14:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>The power of dreams</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=148&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=148&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ &ldquo;I have a dream&rdquo; where the words. Spoken by someone rebelling against the existing social order. Someone who saw the inherent contradictions within the paradigms of his society and the suffering they created. He saw these contradictions were not being addressed effectively, so shared with the world his dream. A dream so powerful and put into words so eloquently, that while it may not yet be fulfilled completely, it resonated throughout Western civilisation and changed it beyond recognition. It&rsquo;s impact so enormous, you know exactly what I am talking about, though I have only quoted four words of a speech.</p>Again we have reached an episode where the inherent contradictions within the Western paradigms are slowly but surely unravelling its civilisation. Like the dreamer in the previous paragraph I believe these contradictions aren&rsquo;t being addressed in an effective manner. Public and political discourse on almost every issue is one dimensional, binary and focussed on the very short term. Discussion rarely supersedes day to day news and worries, is generally centred around a plan and framed &ldquo;pro/contra&rdquo;. The restricted spatial formation of political discourse allows a mentality to prevail, and to be taken for granted, that is out of touch with reality. It also deprives us of a positive, credible and powerful vision for the future.</p>
<p> While we overemphasize and overestimate the short term possibilities of a plan, we tend to underestimate the long term potential of a paradigm shift. And though paradigm shifts seem hard to bring about, history is riddled with them. Just ponder for a moment the aggregate effect on behaviour and decision making of that famous dream I quoted. Sometimes, envisioning the way things ought to be can inspire people to work at making it that way.</p>
<p> Our civilisation is in a state of flux. During such times, uncertainty is high and control is weakened, thus forming a friendly environment for reorganisation and innovation. It is at times like this that individual cells, individual people have the greatest chance of influencing events. At times like this, dreams can have their greatest impact. I hope this site will be a place for dreams. A place where dreamers learn to dream effectively, a place to explore the power of dreams and to dream up the future. So I invite you to share your dreams and nightmares, to envision the world you want to live in in a couple of decades time and share that vision. Together we can learn to wield the power of dreams and who knows, maybe we will even change the world&hellip;</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">148@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Dreaming</category>
			<pubDate>Thu, 20 Jan 2005 17:22:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Revamping the site</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=147&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=147&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Yes, posting has been very light to say the least. This will not
improve for at least a month. Since the start of this weblog, I have
been experimenting with this new medium and learning how to use it. In
the process I've made a lot of mistakes and have strayed quite a bit
from the original path I had in mind for DutchDreams.net. To sum things
up, this site has been a "beta release" for the real thing, meant to
allow me to experiment and to do things right only after a while.<br  />
So now I think the time has come for me to implement what I've learned.
Next February this site will celebrate it's first birthday. I plan to
have a "version 1.0" up and running somewhere that month.<br  />
What will change? The main part of this site will be dedicated to what
I call dreams. Read the quote in the header or remember the famous
speech by Martin Luther King. More mundane, day-to-day thoughts will
probably find their place in a separate weblog. I'll also be changing
the site design and maybe add some features. It's all very much a work
in progress though, so I'm not yet sure how it will all turn out in the
end. Suggestions on how to improve the site are of course very
welcome...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">147@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Sun, 02 Jan 2005 16:45:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Iraq, Iran again</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=145&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=145&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ USNews.com has a <a target="_blank" href="http://www.usnews.com/usnews/issue/041122/usnews/22iran.htm">lengthy piece</a> on Iranian involvement in Iraq, focussing on the post-war period (pity, post-war involvement isn&#8217;t that surprising, I'm <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=76">mainly interested</a> in the <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=81">extent of pre-war involvement</a>).
USNews claims: "&#8230; a review of thousands of pages of intelligence
reports by U.S. News reveals the critical role Iran has played in
aiding some elements of the anti-American insurgency after Baghdad
fell--and raises important questions about whether Iran will continue
to try to destabilize Iraq after elections are held. The classified
intelligence reports, covering the period July 2003 through early 2004,
were prepared by the CIA; the Defense Intelligence Agency; the Iraq
Survey Group, the 1,400-person outfit President Bush sent to Iraq to
find weapons of mass destruction; the Coalition Provisional Authority;
and various military commands and units in the field, including the V
Corps and the Pentagon's Combined Joint Special Operations Task Force.
The reports are based on information gathered from Iraqis, Iranian
dissidents, and other sources inside Iraq. U.S. News also reviewed
British intelligence assessments of the postwar phase in Iraq."</p>As I read it, USNews obtained raw data from intelligence agencies and
have analysed this uncorroborated data. Furthermore, the actual source
of the documents remains unmentioned. I have no reason to believe
USNews has taken any effort at all to investigate the accuracy of the
information they obtained. We've seen in the run-up to the Iraq war
what can happen if we base ourselves on information like this and it's
not pretty.<br  />
<br  />
Having said that, it is very plausible Iran is extensively and directly
involved in Iraq. As I have written before, Iran simply has too much to
gain in making sure the US fails in Iraq. If the US is bogged down in
Iraq it cannot mount a significant response to any actions Iran might
choose to take, which gives Iran considerable leverage. Furthermore,
the Iraq war has provided the Iranian Mullahs with an external enemy
they used to rally the country behind them. The internal pressure on
the Mullahs, strong during the last "<a target="_blank" href="http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=26">elections</a>" is fading. The war also inflated oil prices, making sure the Mullahs are doing very well financially.<br  />
<br  />
The only pressure Iran faces today comes from the EU (and to a lesser
degree Russia). Europe still has significant economic and diplomatic
ties to Iran and has recently stepped up its efforts to use these to
influence Iran, mainly on the issue of <a target="_blank" href="http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=85">nuclear proliferation</a>.
Although in can be argued Europe's success up to now has been limited,
some progress has been made. Considering the strength of the Iranian
military relative to the available capacity of the international
community, we currently have only the diplomatic option. It would be
helpful if the US and other countries would join the EU in its policy
towards Iran.</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">145@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Tue, 16 Nov 2004 16:42:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Apology accepted</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=144&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=144&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ <p>Somehow <a target="_blank" href="http://www.sorryeverybody.com/">this</a> makes me feel better...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">144@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>Old Stuff</category>
			<pubDate>Fri, 05 Nov 2004 21:23:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Changing Opinions in a Changing World: A new perspective in Sociophysics</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=138&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=138&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ I found <a target="_blank" href="http://arxiv.org/PS_cache/cond-mat/pdf/0410/0410217.pdf">this article</a> in the <a target="_blank" href="http://arxiv.org">ArXiv</a> today. In it, some applications and implications of recent advances in the reletively new field of sociophysics are discussed. This piece reminds me of a quote I once read of James Trefil:</p><blockquote>"I often wonder, when reading descriptions of the scientific process by sociologists, if this is how an atom would feel if it could read a quantum mechanics textbook."<br  /> </blockquote>

Perhaps it won't be long before we learn about the behaviour of both atoms and people from the same book...<br  />

Here's what the authors have to say for themselves:<br  />
<blockquote>"We propose a new model of opinion formation, the Opinion Changing Rate (OCR)
model. Instead of investigating the conditions that allow consensus in a world
of agents with different opinions, we study under which conditions a group of
agents with a different natural tendency (rate) to change opinion can find
agreement. The OCR is a modified version of the Kuramoto model, one of the
simplest models for synchronization in biological systems, here adapted to a
social context. By means of several numerical simulations we illustrate the
richness of the OCR model dynamics and its social implications."</blockquote></p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">138@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Wed, 27 Oct 2004 15:34:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Conference: ICT, Knoledge society and changes in work</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=137&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=137&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ Perhaps readers will find <a target="_blank" href="http://www.nwo.nl/nwohome.nsf/pages/NWOP_64PB8P">this</a> interesting: <blockquote> </blockquote></p>&quot;The 1st Bi-annual European Conference on ICT, the Knowledge Society and Changes in Work will be held in The Hague, The Netherlands 9 &amp; 10 June 2005. The conference is organized by <a target="new" href="http://www.siswo.uva.nl/angloam/index1.html">SISWO/ Social  Policy Research</a> in close co-operation with (and funded by) <a target="_blank" href="http://www.nwo.nl/nwohome.nsf/pages/NWOP_5V6M2M_Eng">NWO-MES</a> (The Dutch 'Society and  the Electronic Highway' research funding programme) and the <a target="new" href="http://www.scp.nl/english/index.shtml">Dutch Cultural Planning  Office</a> (SCP).&quot; ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">137@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Tue, 26 Oct 2004 14:30:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>&quot;Sociophysics&quot; or complex network theory</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=136&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=136&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ <a target="_blank" href="http://www.rednova.com">RedNova</a> has been so kind to <a target="_blank" href="http://www.rednova.com/news/stories/2/2004/06/08/story101.html">write the post I was working on</a>,
introducing complex network theory or "sociophysics" to the readers of
this blog. Not much depth, but a nice intro to those of you new to the
subject. (via <a target="_blank" href="http://novaspivack.typepad.com/nova_spivacks_weblog/">Minding the Planet</a>)</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">136@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Thu, 21 Oct 2004 15:16:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>Organisational hierarchy in intelligence analysis</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=134&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=134&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ <a target="_blank" href="http://www.orgnet.com">Orgnet.com</a> has a <a target="_blank" href="http://www.orgnet.com/orgchart.html">short piece applying some of the lessons of complexity theory to organising the intelligence community</a>.</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">134@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Wed, 20 Oct 2004 17:57:00 +0200</pubDate>
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			<title>&quot;Hacking democracy in the UK&quot;</title>
			<link>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=133&amp;w=bilingual_dreams</link>
			<comments>http://www.dutchdreams.net/pivot/entry.php?id=133&amp;w=bilingual_dreams#comm</comments>
                        <description><![CDATA[ <a target="_blank" href="http://scalefree.net">Scalefree.net</a> <a target="_blank" href="http://scalefree.net/archives/000141.html">points to</a> some <a target="_blank" href="http://www.consultations.gov.uk/oee/consultationindex.nsf/Content/FC66DC200035074A80256E52003E94A1?opendocument">interesting developments in the UK</a>, <a target="_blank" href="http://www.perfect.co.uk/2004/06/hacking-the-consultation-process">explained at perfect.co.uk</a>. This may get interesting...</p> ]]></description>
			<guid isPermaLink="false">133@http://www.dutchdreams.net/index.php</guid>
			<category>linkdump</category>
			<pubDate>Wed, 20 Oct 2004 17:39:00 +0200</pubDate>
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