EARTH TO WALL STREET

TARGET AREAS TO WATCH

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Wed, 11 Nov 2009 03:04:00 +0000

I have been buying since August in my ROTH retirement account. Yes I waited too long to begin buying, about five months too long. I have not felt a very strong urge to pick stocks since March and so many readers are leaving this blog. After all dollar cost averaging is boring, investing for a long term pattern is boring but it works better than anything else I have ever tried.

Speaking of my own long term pattern I will be pulling everything off the table as the DOW approaches 11,722 and the SPX approaches 1300. I see this area correlating to a demise in corporate earnings around Q1 of 2010. I see January through February as tough months in the markets if you are long. I think these months could be the start of the next huge wave of selling that will see us going below the old lows quicker than anyone can imagine.

I see a continued erosion of confidence in corporate expansion leading to less job creation, not more. The markets may love high unemployment now, but it will grow tired of less consumer spending.

The markets will grow tired of higher taxes, it will grow tired of buying stocks up as more unwinding takes hold in a whole new round of foreclosures and profit taking will ensue. It will grow tired of banks too scared to loan, and big and small business to scared to borrow.

This market will crush shorts for the next 15 to 20% move upward on heavier and increasing volume and by the time it does this most people will think the market will never crash again and the all clear signals abound. Then it will hit so quick and it will kill all hope and trust in our government to bail us out. This time down we lose it all, all hope.

There are too many people paying off debt, too many business' doing the same thing, and not enough risk taking for growth to take hold in a big enough fashion to put 8 million people back to work. Most of all we can not run fast enough to pay off the debt this administration has brought us.

The only thing that has taken place in 2009 is the averting of the coming Great Depression. They stalled it, they printed money and Gold flew, but they can not hide the unwinding that will take place. They can spend trillions behind our back and not account for it, they can lie, they can play with numbers, but they can not heal what is coming, only time will do that.

We have a long hard road coming in this country.

Anyone sounding the all clear now...they are fools, they know nothing.

Greg Ruffin

Weekly ETF Pick with Market Meter

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Thu, 05 Nov 2009 12:18:00 +0000

Pan: SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE)

Research:
KBE is linked to the performance and yield of the KBW Bank Index which consists of 26 large U.S. banking stocks. Top holdings include the usual suspects like Bank of America (8.70%), JP Morgan (7.82%) and taxpayer owned misfit Citigroup (7.57%).  The FDIC reported the banking industry lost $3.7 billion during the second quarter on bad loans made to homebuilders, commercial real estate developers and struggling businesses. Meanwhile, banks are embroiled in a political and public relations mess because of their insistence on paying exorbitant sums to incompetent executives, many of whom are guilty of gross financial negligence. The first phase of the banking crisis began with the collapse of the U.S. housing market. And the next phase of the crisis has already begun to take root; the commercial real estate bust. More financial nonsense and greater financial regulation are sure to come. And none of it will be good. No amount of government intervention or earnings manipulation will be able to stop another reckoning day for this disease stricken sector.

Opinion:
As banking goes (and by extension financials) so goes the market. The banking sector, represented by the SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE), was the first to bottom and rally in March. It is no surprise that KBE topped several months before the broad market indexes in 2007. Now again, KBE is leading the way lower. Since its October 14th recovery high of $24.44, KBE has fallen 15.38%, compared to 4.65% for the S&P 500 and 2.87% for the DJIA. Major market tops often see the very sectors that provided leadership earlier, peel away from the major indexes and head south sooner and faster. KBE's magnified decline since October 14th corresponds well to its inflated 168% rally from the March 6th lows. While KBE might spike a little higher over the next several days, it appears that KBE has peaked and started a painful journey that will see prices fall significantly below its March 6th low of $9.12. There is no short ETFs linked specifically to the banking sector. Shorting KBE or buying put options is the only way to profit directly from a decline in banking stocks. Financial short ETFs (FAZ and SKF) provide an indirect way to profit from falling banking/financial shares.

Snapshot:      KBE Specs

Expense Ratio: 0.35%

Volume: 6,201,910

Inception: 11-08-2007

Net Assets: $968.90 million

1-Year Range $9.31 - $30.66

Benchmark: KBW Bank Index

                 KBE 12-month chart

Prior ETF Pick Review:
GLL: Gold has been the story of the week. India announced it will buy 200 metric tons or $6.7 billion worth of gold. Goldbugs got excited and gold rallied to new highs, just shy of $1,100/oz. In the 10-13-09 Pick we mentioned that GLL below $10.50 would be a good buy. The 10-22-09 Pick mentioned that: "GLL may drop below $11. Our 6-12 month target for GLL is around $15/share if the fund is able to deliver the 2x inverse performance." Today (11-4-09) GLL closed right in the middle at $10.66. It seems like a top for gold and a bottom for GLL is imminent. GLL below $11 would be a great opportunity to initiate a position or increase on a current position to lower the overall cost basis. We expressed via the last few Pick Reviews that silver and gold were either near or at a market top while the U.S. dollar was either near or at a market bottom. Based on the sharp sell-off in silver and gold prices, and sharp rally in the U.S. Dollar index, it appears as if silver and gold have topped while the dollar has bottomed. Eventually prices should come below $8/oz for silver and below $700/oz for gold while the U.S. Dollar Index should come close to par with the Euro.
ZSL: While gold pushed to new highs, silver prices remained behind and is still 4.55% below it's October high. Silver failed to touch the upper end of the trend-channel created by the rally from the October lows. Even though it looked like silver's fate towards the down-side had been sealed, perhaps silver will attempt to spike to $18.5/oz to take care of this unfinished business. This would provide an opportunity to double up on ZSL at around $4.30/share with a 10% stop-loss protection.
Short ETFs: The market seems to be in the early stages of a major decline. Aggressive investors may buy short ETFs at current prices. Cautious investors may want to wait until the S&P closes below 1,040 (9,500 for the Dow).
Cash: Cash continues to be the preferred choice for investors who don't trust the market at this time. Page 5 of the August newsletter highlights the benefits of cash.

Market Meter:



Up-down, up-down and up-down was the exact route the market took since last week's ETF Pick. S&P 1,040 was broken several times, albeit not convincingly. Today's (11-4-09) close was within four S&P points of last Wednesday's (10-28-09) close. Many indicators - some of which are discussed in last week's ETF Pick - are in favor of October 19th marking the end of the rally from the March lows. A interesting Fibonacci correlation can be found between the market top on September 3rd 1929 and October 19th 2009. October 20th occurred exactly 4181 weeks after the 1929 top. 4181 is the 20th Fibonacci number (0, 1, 1 2 , 3, 5, 8, 13, 21 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987, 1597, 2584, 4181). Even though the correlation between gold, silver, the U.S. dollar and equities has become a bit messy, thanks to gold's spike, our focus has changed from trying to pick a market top to profiting on the next leg down. Aggressive investors may use current prices and any further rallies, if we get them, to add short ETFs. Cautious investors may add short ETFs once the S&P breaks and stays below 1,040. Both aggressive and conservative investors should use sell-stops to protect against the outside chance that stocks may rally to new highs beyond S&P 1,100.

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NOVEMBER HIDDEM GEM, Labopharm Inc. (NasdaqGM: DDSS)

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 01:55:00 +0000

This months HIDDEN GEM IS Labopharm Inc. (NasdaqGM: DDSS)

HIDDEN GEM FOR NOVEMBER (DDSS - Labopharm Inc. Price: $1.55) a defensive biotech company with 100%+ potential and limited downside risk due to a recent FDA ruling on 10/07/09. Three research houses raised guidance per FDA ruling 10/08/09.

FDA found no efficacy or safety issues in July letter to DDSS.

http://www.labopharm.com/Default.aspx?id=83&reqId=1309052

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/Labopharm-announces-that-its-prnews-1174529232.html?x=0&.v=57

Sales potential from new drug: 550M

Three Broker upgrades: after FDA approved manufacturing plant.

Labopharm Tgt Raised To C$3 From C$2 By Versant - 10/8/2009

Labopharm Inc. Tgt Raised To C$2.50 From C$1.45 By Dundee - 10/8/2009

Labopharm Tgt Raised To C$2.80 From C$2.60 By Canaccord - 10/08/2009

Key to drug is huge market 19.9B.......DDSS drug has a decided advantage in that no weight gain seen and no sleep problems.

Article link on weight gain problems http://www.webmd.com/depression/features/antidepressants-weight-gain

Stock had bottomed as price started to advance late week as an 8 month trendline held in mid 1.40's. Stock was strong Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday even though major indexs were plunging.

Important Note:
"...One-half of patients being treated with antidepressants discontinue therapy within a year for reasons related to efficacy and/or tolerability, including delayed onset of therapeutic response, insomnia or sleep disturbance, agitation, exacerbation of anxiety, sexual dysfunction, weight gain and somnolence. Labopharm has developed a novel once-daily formulation of 150 mg and 300 mg of trazodone hydrochloride, a serotonin antagonist reuptake inhibitor (SARI), for the treatment of major depressive disorder (MDD) to address patient needs in the current depression landscape, providing an effective and convenient treatment option. In a Phase III placebo controlled study of patients with MDD, Labopharm's novel trazodone formulation demonstrated antidepressant efficacy, including rapid onset of therapeutic response, improved overall quality of sleep, a well tolerated adverse event profile, a very low rate of sexual dysfunction and no weight gain compared to placebo...."

http://www.news-medical.net/news/2008/11/24/43336.aspx

http://www.emedexpert.com/facts/trazodone-facts.shtml

http://www.emedexpert.com/compare-meds/trazodone.shtml

http://www.pharmafocus.com/cda/focusH/1,2109,21-0-0-OCT_2009-focus_news_detail-0-493264,00.html

AMZN NOW A SHORT PLAY

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Tue, 27 Oct 2009 00:46:00 +0000

The group has picked AMZN to be a short play today.

They picked BIDU about two weeks ago, now paying out.

The group is very good.

The next hiddem gem is coming soon.

FAZ is still in play.

Greg Ruffin

THE IMPACT OF THE UNEMPLOYED, NOT YET FELT

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Fri, 23 Oct 2009 23:36:00 +0000

By Greg Ruffin
It began as an email this morning to a friend, now I want to share my thoughts with you as well on this subject. It concerns the real impact of the unemployed that has yet to come to the real economy.

We are living on borrowed money and time once again, a great portion of the 8 to 10 million people are that is for sure. What will the impact on our real economy be in 6 to 18 months if those out of work find no work?

http://money.cnn.com/2009/10/22/news/economy/unemployment_benefits_extension/index.htm?postversion=2009102203

1.3 million will lose there benefits by years end and 200,000 people will lose them at the end of this month. This number will only grow for now.

So read on.

I was thinking about something this morning concerning our economy.
Do you think there is a point somewhere close where a lot of people close to retirement who lost a bundle in the latest decline will sell out of the markets just to have their nest egg somewhat in tact soon? Let's say you are in your 60's, you just saw your retirement account go down 40 to 50% over the last 2 years, now you see it gain back almost everything or say 60 to 75% of what it was. Do you sell and get the hell out of this crazy thing or do you let it ride thinking some how a country with over 8 million out of work is going to generate further growth.

That is question one.

The next thing. Of all the unemployed, enough to fill over 100 stadiums of 80,000 seats with people out of work, visualise that for a moment, how are they going to find work, in what, doing what? I still have not heard how banks are going to fund a growth spurt in mass and in what industries. It's all about laying people off right now and cost cutting. I think we have only seen the beginning of cost cutting.

The biggest test of our generation is before us and it's the main reason the market so far has not been aloud to collapse. Think of the trillions of dollars in the market and what part of that is held by retirement accounts that will fund so many peoples retirement. The government has done a great job back stopping our faith in the markets or there would have been none. Now the biggest question of all, will the millions of people stay in the markets or will they pull their money out of retirement funds or may I say equities to cash only. The baby boomers like me and you who have money will have to draw out money to live on.

Big questions beyond today. How many will get the hell out of the markets soon as they see they have recouped much of what they have lost. Why would they stay for future gains when things look so bleak after such a quick rise? Will this trigger a selling wave that test the lows eventually, I don't know. I think this rallies greatest test is how big will the selling wave be when it comes and it will come. Does the market climb another 25% first, perhaps. Will the majority be happy with getting back 75% of their losses when and if they bail for good never to return to this shell game and gambling house?

If a huge selling wave does come our generation will lose hope in the markets for decades to come. I really do not think people understand the scope of this test in faith in this rally. Beyond charts lie us. Do we as a collective have faith long term in our markets anymore?????

I think the real test is now, don't you, within the next 6 months to a year. How bad will things really get or will we see a real growth spurt?

One other thing, of all the unemployed we know this, not only are they out of work many are playing the markets. The base of 8 to 10 million people has NOT had time to effect the bigger picture yet. When their savings are depleted and they are homeless and their credit cards maxed out what will happen then. Those people need work within one year to 18 months or sooner.

There exists a growing pool of people if you will of have nots who is spending and gambling every last dime they have in hopes of making it back without a job. I too would be left with nothing but trading and an unemployment check if I had no job.

I shared this earlier this morning in an email, just wandering about more input?

MY POINT.

The markets have not seen the full effect of 8 to 10 million people without work yet. Savings, unemployment checks, welfare, gambling the markets, and credit cards so far have covered the harshness that is to come if no real jobs are created for those people.

OH....unless BTW most of those people can trade their way to wealth in these markets....NOT.

I am short term in FAZ right now.

SCO is in play IMHO.

GLD is getting top heavy and ready for a pull back. GLL worth buying in the 10's.

I am still long dollar cost averaging for now long term in big caps and real estate via a mutual fund vehicle through my ROTH account at work.

Have a great weekend

Greg Ruffin

INTHEMONEYSTOCKS.COM

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Wed, 21 Oct 2009 23:36:00 +0000

I do not know how many of you have joined INTHEMONEYSTOCKS.COM since I began posting about their amazing accuracy. Today they nailed their SPY call at $110.31. They have been telling the group for over three weeks that the SPY would hit major resistance at $110.34. Today it hit $110.31.

Today the market hit that major resistance level and late in the session sold off hard. We saw a huge swing in the markets on the Wells Fargo downgrade as well.

The only kick back I am getting from INTHEMONEYSTOCKS.COM is the profits I make following their pure technical skills. I am impressed with their discipline and their calls on their hidden gems.

The SKBI was posted here for all to play in the $14 to $15 range, today it hit $21.50.

I would not suggest playing it now but the fact is this stock moved huge.

They are batting 100% on their calls since April.

I am in FAZ and bought more today about 90 minutes after the SPY topped out at $110.31. I doubled down on FAZ at $18.84.

This is the only position I am in currently.

I am looking for oil to retreat and so SCO is in play as well as GLL in the $10 range to short a pull back in gold.

Oil will not go much higher right now, the market is too soft for a spike any higher. There is a pull back coming in oil and the markets IMHO.

I think profits off the long side would be a very wise thing to do right now.

Greg Ruffin

EARTHTOWALLSTREETS NEW 100% PROFIT MACHINE

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Sat, 10 Oct 2009 01:15:00 +0000

I am proud to bring some new information to this blog that has not only helped me but will help you as well concerning hidden gems as well as all other aspects of trading. When this blog began I used all sources of information possible including advice from the experts, real trading pros and investors. I have discovered a hidden gem that finds hidden gems. To find a hidden gem you must find a group that finds hidden gems, a team of REAL PROS.

That worked for me in the past, using all sources of information possible. I have seen a lot of trading groups in my time trading over the last 5 years but none compare to the one I want to share now. I am proud to present INTHEMONEYSTOCKS.COM.

http://www.inthemoneystocks.com/

WHO ARE THESE GUYS???

Click on the below link

http://www.inthemoneystocks.com/about_us.php

I was impressed so I joined, then I tracked their progress, and most of all their professional manner.

THE REAL MEAT OF THE STORY IS THEIR PROVEN TRACK RECORD.

Take a look with me back to April 2009. I want you to keep one important FACT in mind as you look at the charts below. If you had bought their hidden gems and simply waited for these to pop, they would have, another words, give them time and they will work out 100% of the time. I am only talking months here. Some produced pops sooner, some later but all have given some great returns 100% of the time had you sold for profit and not been greedy. So in each case, study the volume as well as it picks up on each as they garnered attention.

These are their hidden gems for each month dating back to April 2009.

HDSN....4/2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=HDSN#chart2:symbol=hdsn;range=1y;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

VG....5/2009.......a huge wow factor

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=VG#chart1:symbol=vg;range=6m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

KOOL....6/2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=KOOL#chart1:symbol=kool;range=6m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

ORS...7/2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=ORS#chart1:symbol=ors;range=6m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

USEG....8/2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=USEG#chart1:symbol=useg;range=3m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

NIV....9/2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=NIV#chart3:symbol=niv;range=3m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

SKBI...10/2009

http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=SKBI#chart2:symbol=skbi;range=1m;indicator=volume;charttype=line;crosshair=on;ohlcvalues=0;logscale=on;source=undefined

IMPRESSIVE AND REAL

I was awed by the performance. I have never seen such performance and then I also studied what they did back during 2007. They went short the markets as I did, they made a killing.

They are true pros.

Of course the only way for you to see if this is the truth you would need to join the group and look at the records for yourself and then trade as I have making 30% profit on their SKBI in four days to make you realize it's for real and not some scam or pump and dump group.

Their picks are solid with solid technicals backing them up as well as a huge following. If you are a trader you know the more exposure to others the more your move will be especially when you back it up with technicals, a market that is trending higher, and volume...the following, the support behind your hidden gem pick. Look at VG, a major mover with huge exposure. These guys were on VG way before the herd.

They play both long and short.

Their membership is cheap for what you get. You can pay for five years or more with one trades profits as I have on SKBI and still have a great profit to show for.

I was skeptical as well when I began tracking this group and then I was blown away by facts. No one is perfect but the daily chart calls are awesome.

THEY CALLED THE TBT AND THE UUP movement days ago before it ever happened. That really got my attention along with the SKBI 30% move.

They called each and every single day this week perfectly. I knew being in my FAZ trade this week what to expect and how to phase into it for the markets coming sell off.

I hope you enjoy what you are about to see from these guys as well as the profits you are going to make as well. Remember this when looking at the charts once more at their past performance. You have to be patient and wait for the move. The move comes as the market does its magic and the herd follows volume and price action.

Greg Ruffin

SKBI STOCK ALERT, HIDDEN GEM AND NIV

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Fri, 09 Oct 2009 02:33:00 +0000

It's time to take a look at Skystar Bio-Pharmaceutical Comp(NasdaqCM: SKBI)

Skystar Bio-Pharmaceutical Company engages in the development, manufacture, and distribution of medicines, vaccines, and other health care and medical care products for poultry, livestock, and domestic pets in the People's Republic of China. The company is headquartered in Xian, the People's Republic of China.

The float is 2.85M

Market Cap is 55.33M

P/E of 4.96

EPS is 3.208

Let's do our DD on this one. I am told by some expert traders and advisors this is a hidden gem.

http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&source=hp&q=Skystar+Bio+Pharmaceutical+Company+%28SKBI%29&btnG=Google+Search&aq=f&oq=&aqi=

http://www.skystarbio-pharmaceutical.com/txpress.asp?id=89

http://www.skystarbio-pharmaceutical.com/txpresslist.asp

http://seekingalpha.com/instablog/94532-super-trades-com/23309-why-i-think-skystar-can-earn-3-eps-in-2009-and-3-in-2010

Take your time and see what you come up with on this.

ALSO UP TO BAT.

NIVS IntelliMedia Technology Group, Inc. (NIV)

NIVS IntelliMedia Technology Group, Inc. and its subsidiaries engage in the design, manufacture, marketing, and sale of audio and video consumer products. Its products include audio and video equipment, such as home theater systems; tower, stand-alone, and on-wall speaker systems; powered subwoofers used for stereo and home theater applications; personal shelf-stereo systems; LCD televisions; DVD players, including portable DVD players, DVD recorders, and combination DVD/audio players; DVB set-top boxes and DVB satellite receivers; hi-fi multi-media speakers; portable digital players, which include MP3/MP4 players; and related peripheral and accessory electronic products comprising remote controls, headphone sets, and lighting solutions. The company also offers a line of intelligent audio and video products, which include various products with integrated speech-controlled interface technology, including speech-controlled home theater systems, televisions, DVD players, set-top boxes, and shelf stereo systems. In addition, it provides speech-controlled professional stage acoustics for use in gymnasiums, plazas, and performance venues. NIVS IntelliMedia Technology Group sells its products to wholesalers, distributors, and resellers of electronic products primarily in the People's Republic of China, Europe, southeast Asia, and North America. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Huizhou City, the People's Republic of China.

http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=NIV

Let me know what you think of these two.

VFRTXN

Taking pfofits now on SRZ

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Thu, 08 Oct 2009 16:36:00 +0000

Gave it to you at $2.68, got tired of waiting for news on German asset sale so selling today at $3.25, just looked too good to chance giving it back. Next play coming soon .... Mushroom

ROLLING STONE GATHERS NO GOLDMAN MEN YET

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Sun, 04 Oct 2009 21:43:00 +0000

I just read the latest article by Matt Taibbi in this months issue of Rolling Stone.

You should read his article, Wall Street's Naked Swindle in the October 15, 2009 issue of Rolling Stone. You decide how rampant corruption is in our government. You decide if our S.E.C. is looking the other way.

http://messages.finance.yahoo.com/Stocks_%28A_to_Z%29/Stocks_D/threadview?m=tm&bn=87811&tid=401187&mid=401187&tof=4&frt=2

Maybe there will be an open investigation with all SEC information open to public view concerning the events discussed in Matts article.

I doubt it. For the damage caused by opening up the corruption at the highest levels of our government would do more harm our country does not need right now. Maybe that is why it's best to let things be as they are.

BORING BUT PROFITABLE

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Fri, 02 Oct 2009 02:16:00 +0000

I know, I know I have been boring this year and well stupid for missing the greatest rally in history. Just goes to show I am human but I have gone back to one true and tried practice of investing, dollar cost averaging. It is not exciting, it's not sexy, it's not going to make one rich over night but it's the one practice I have used since 1995 and it works IF you can do one thing.

That one thing for me has been to recognize when to get out of the markets on the long side. I did it in 1999 and I then began buying again in 2003. I then began pumping my doom and gloom theme and how we were living way beyond our means long before this blog on the Yahoo message boards because I knew I was right and I use to really get people going with the future that was to come. I sold out 100% of stocks in October of 2007.

Most people and I mean like 99% of the people thought I was an extremist with my take on what is now called a major recession.

I am not perfect and I missed staying long off the March lows after buying FAS. I got out just as the first week of this rally really got going.

I save 15% every single week out of my pay check. That does not include another 10 to 20% I save to a checking account every week. I save and then I save some more. From October 2007 through last month I saved a lot of money. Since filing BK in 2005 I have made back about 90% of what I lost.

I did this by learning from my prior mistakes in trading. Most of you who know me know that I went crazy with greed when I first began trading in 2004. I thought nothing of trading $300,000 on a single trade. I would make $35,000 then lose $33,000 in one day, I call that insane looking back. Enough was never enough.

After filling BK I found my old self again, the conservative ultra saver, yet I set aside money I could lose without going all in, without crashing the house of cards. I learned how to make more with less.

THE POINT I WANT TO MAKE

IS this. I have come full circle and this time I am standing with money to save, trade and invest. SAVE, INVEST, AND TRADE I should put them in that order. First I save yearly via ROTH contributions, $5,000 a year, I trade this and invest with this account. I save via a ROTH retirement account at work, 15% at this time. I save on top of that in a checking account, call it a rainy day fund. I also trade in a day trading account with money saved for that. DIVERSITY in strategy.

I am long big caps and long real estate in my dollar cost average strategy. I am short FAZ in my day trading account. I am not long any individual stocks at the moment. I do much better buying long term by investing it in a ROTH at work. I can not get emotional and trade in and out of this vehicle, it's perfect for me. It takes the emotion out YET it allows me to dodge the big bullets like what has happened since October of 2007.

I have been perfect, yes perfect since 1995 in dodging the big ones. I can not get emotional with these dynamic moves. I simply sell and get the hell out of the way of the bear. I read a lot and right now I see a need to begin buying yet on the conservative side right now. I see no need to worry about buying in a dollar cost average mode long term.

WHICH BRINGS ME TO NOW

People ask all the time how I feel about this market right now. I say here to them there is no better time to begin DOLLAR COST AVERAGING on the long side. I do not care if we test the lows. I am buying LONG term this cycle. I have NOT moved that huge base which I protected back in October of 07. It is still CASH. Yet I am now saving and buying.

Why have I not moved that base over into stocks? Because short term I see this market going lower. If I am wrong, then so be it. I will let it unfold before I move that cash into the markets again. I missed March of 09, so I will wait.

I think there is one more horrendous splash, crash before the dust settles. I know I know, the experts do not agree with this take. Most experts say the worse is over BUY BUY BUY, yeah...right. Just like those same experts saved me from losing during this down turn....wrong, only I saved my bacon when I was preaching on here long ago to take profits and go short the markets.

Those same experts are NOT going to tell people on national TV to sell and go short the markets. Those same experts are only going to keep pumping even as record insider selling is going on. I trust my instinct to stay clear right now and short these markets for the short term trade.

My strategy might be boring right now but I am saving money the old fashioned way, slow and steady. I don't care for those $300,000 trades any more. Give me slow and boring, I sleep better these days.

TIME FOR YOU TO POST HERE

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Fri, 02 Oct 2009 00:03:00 +0000

I think it's time that this blog give this person a chance to post here. I would like the person who wrote this post below to email me at vfrtxn@yahoo.com so I can give you full access to post here, to contribute your picks in order to help others. You seem to know a lot because you are always right and if so you must be making a killing in the markets and if so why not write here on the front page.

So here is one of your many posts, they are easy to spot because you have such passion in bashing any one here who posts. You have been a poster here for a long time. Will you contribute something positive for others. It's easy to judge others but I want you to post your picks here. I want to see if you have the courage and class to step up and share since you seem to be a great trader.

September 30, 2009 9:42 AM

Anonymous said...

What a joke. You post your winners, as if you can pick great stocks, but the fact remains, just about every stock has been flying. And all mine did much better than your picks. LoL. Your penny pick, which lost 90% will live with you forever.

October 1, 2009 5:23 PM

So I welcome you to post here, the blog is yours just email me so I can arrange it.

I have been trading in and out of FAZ of course. I did in fact go back to weekly dollar cost averaging contributions to my retirement account at work for the long term.

I am currently in FAZ.

Bashers Anonymous

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Wed, 30 Sep 2009 04:19:00 +0000

I cannot find one stock that is not being called a "POS" a "pump & dump" or is not being bashed in some way in blogs, message boards, etc. This is not just penny stocks and small caps, the biggest corporations are equally corrupt, just read the news every day. We all know the market is being manipulated. Hedge funds buy up the float, turn on a dime and leave the retail investors holding the bag.

We know it's a game and we play it anyway. I am happy to buy the "pump" and sell before the "dump". As long as I am making money I win the game. Volatility is my friend. It is long term holdings that should be mistrusted in this new economy. Whether you agree or disagree with my philosophy is irrelevant. I am making profits and I post occasionally to give others ideas that, after due diligence, may lead them to profits as well. I have posted many winners here in the past,(BID, ATVI, AUY, SLW, DXO, SRZ) and will continue to do so in the future, good will my only motivation. ...Mushroom

Sun will rise on SRZ by Mushroom

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Mon, 28 Sep 2009 01:41:00 +0000

I apologize for my last pick not working out. Nobody hits a 100%. Today I am playing SRZ, Sunrise Senior Living. A news release about German assets is imminent. I would load up on this one now and watch for a trade sometime later this week.

Currently $2.69, I think it 's good for a 40% profit near term. ...Mushroom

OUT FAZ AT $20.70

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Mon, 21 Sep 2009 20:01:00 +0000

Out FAZ at $20.70

IN FAZ AT $20.76

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Mon, 21 Sep 2009 17:19:00 +0000

I just bought a little FAZ at $20.76.

Still long PCS, sold everything else.

I am still bullish long term. I did go back to buying weekly for my ROTH retirement account at work.

NATURAL GAS PRICE HAS REVERSED.

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Sat, 19 Sep 2009 01:05:00 +0000

I began posting about Natural Gas bottoming back on August 24 posting a bottom was close. I posted that when I picked MEE, Massey Energy back in October of 2007 to begin a big run, it did. I posted here during the last days of August recently that I saw natural gas hitting a bottom and setting in place a reversal just as I did in coal.

I believe NG has bottomed. I did not try to pick a bottom like so many have over the last year concerning Natural Gas, guessing over and over again, I came within a couple of weeks of the bottom at this time in the markets, close enough for me.

I will go back into UNG soon as I was spooked out by what others have said about UNG and when this happens I usually lose out on my original idea.

I think NG stocks will do well in coming months. I like UPL, RRC, and XTO as my best of breed. I gave up on UNG and I am getting ready to buy it again.

I really like the shipper TGP and TK it's parent company. These guys ship 10% of our worlds crude with a fairly new fleet. TGP is an LNG shipper. I like LNG as it will increase in demand dramatically in coming years and TK and TGP will be huge palyers in getting LNG to market. I have known this since I began tracking TK back in late 2003.

I like these shippers because it's the worst of times for the industry and I like the way they have kept going without falling apart. They will not sink, they will only grow because of their great reputation. I like them because day rates or so low and when they climb so will their bottom lines. Any disruption and their bottom line goes up. I like them because the market for shipping rates stinks right now, they are so cheap and their profit margins are slim.

If one believes in buying blood in the water it's time to buy shippers like DRYS as well.

BTW, it is a rumor that RRC will get bought out and will fetch $75 a share, just a rumor from a friend who knows RRC, works around the fellas and hears things. Who knows, it's just a rumor.

I do not know how many of you are looking at PCS, (NYSE:PCS) Metro PCS, climb but my target on it is $25.

I like ERIC as well. That is LM Ericsson Telephone Company, ( NasdaqGS: ERIC)

http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2009/09/18/5-cold-stocks-heating-up.aspx

Natural Gas and Telecom, I like them both.

Oh that AMR, what a monster run. I watched it go up and up and up and many of you did too but you didn't buy it. Don't feel bad I didn't either.

Have a great weekend all.

MY TAKE NOW ON THESE MARKETS AND SELF REFLECTION

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Thu, 17 Sep 2009 00:04:00 +0000

I would like to share my opinions on the market as I see them.

IT'S HARD BEING WRONG

It's so very hard when you are wrong to get over being wrong but life goes on. I have been terrible this year and it makes me sick how bad I have become at reading the markets. There is a lesson in this humility. I needed it and I will learn from my mistakes.

I spent so much time prior to this down turn researching in depth back in 2005 up to the decline in 2007. I was ready for it, studied for it, began this blog before it got bad, warned people like some crazy preacher of the impending doom and some people shared with me how it saved their life savings to have gotten out of stocks well before the decline.

Those days are long gone, that is the past.

THE MOST PAINFUL TO LOOK BACK UPON.

http://www.earthtowallstreet.com/2009_03_04_archive.html

http://www.earthtowallstreet.com/2009_03_01_archive.html

READ THIS ONE...WHERE DID I GO WRONG?????

http://www.earthtowallstreet.com/2009_03_21_archive.html

The market then went off on the greatest rally of all time and yet where did I go? I had focus on these markets up to this point and then self destructed with my sight gone, blind and lost from the wiser course I set out in this post. I lost me.

This very week I posted above was the beginning of a huge pivot point, inflection point, the great turning really began then, it became solid and it grew and yet with all my thoughts I fell off a cliff into darkness and I became what I was admonishing in this very post.

A RAY OF SUNSHINE NOW

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601087&sid=aIJNSdNHByG8

NOW WHAT I AM GOING TO DO????

After I send this post out I am going to begin my weekly dollar cost averaging program I left in October of 2007. I see no other thing to do but become bullish long term on a dollar cost average basis. In the long run it will not matter if my dollars invested become worth nothing. If things become that bad it won't matter will it?

There are three major things that made me post today. The first one are those people who post here and want me to post my thoughts, both those who are tough on me and those who are not. The second reason is Warren Buffett.

Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks advanced for the seventh time in eight days after growth in retail sales and New York manufacturing topped economists' estimates and billionaire investor Warren Buffett said his company is buying equities.

THE THIRD REASON

The third reason is as follows. I was wondering what bad news is really lurking that could take this market down 50 to 60% or more to break the lows set in March. I can think of none that would take us that low, not now. What could wipe out these last 6 months of gains so quickly, I can think of nothing that would do that now. The chances are extremely low now with so much priced in. So I asked myself if I can not see anything that would take our markets to new lows then why am I not at the very least dollar cost averaging?

Yes we may see a sell off of some 20% maybe more but dollar cost averaging over an extended time is safe right now with such a huge blow off our market highs of 2007. We are still a long way from DOW 14,279. A long long way. We have only gained back 3351 points of a total loss of 7839 points from the intra day high of 14,279 on October 11,, 2007.

We bounced off that intra day low on March 9, 2009, the DOW hit 6440 that day.

We have bounced about 52% off that 6440 low in only 6 months. It leaves us 4488 points from that intra day high. So we lost 54.89% or so from the high.

What is the down side risk right now of buying long term especially if one was to dollar cost average on a weekly bases?

Lets look at it like this if we begin buying now. If the market was to sell off to say DOW 4500 and we began buying that dip we buy cheaper each week averaging down so our total short term loss would NOT be 54% if we began buying now and increased our buying power as shares become cheaper. Over the long term our average loss becomes smaller especially if we compound our buying IF the market goes lower.

I should have never wavered from this practice and when March came I should have began this practice. Is it ever too late to become a dollar cost investor?

I think the time has come being half way back from where dropped to begin buying again, for me anyway.

I currently own DRYS, VG, PCS AND UNG.

Here is a neat link I wanted to share.

http://www.joc.com/taxonomy/term/9/1

DOLLAR COST AVERAGING for me is back in play.

UPDATE ON TRADES

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Mon, 14 Sep 2009 17:25:00 +0000

I bought VG at $1.49 and PCS at $9.62 last week.

I like DRYS and I will buy it tomorrow. I like it because it's so beaten up and appears ready for a break out run above $7. I think DRYS will have a good run now as the world economies begin a sustained recovery.

TAKE A LOOK AT VG, PCS, and DRYS

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Fri, 11 Sep 2009 22:21:00 +0000

I own both VG, (NYSE:VG) and PCS, (NYSE:PCS).

I also am very bullish on DRYS as well.

I am glad I sold UNG. I was wrong on UNG and I admit it.

SELL THE UNG NOW

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Thu, 10 Sep 2009 22:32:00 +0000

I am out the UNG at $11.03.

There has been too much bad info produced on this one.

I have received information from a friend who is a financial adviser. He said sell this one.

Cramer doesn't like it either.

I have been warned about this one.

I am not trusting this one now.

Out of UNG.

some quick easy money on a penny stock by Mushroom

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Wed, 09 Sep 2009 23:39:00 +0000

Some of you think penny stocks are worthless. That's OK, this is not for you then, don't trade it. For those of you with a more open mind and a quicker trigger finger, I have a sweet spot to share with you. EWRC. They are not only fundamentally sound with a new mobile phone app, they have just recieved a buy out offer for .019 (one point nine cents) for all outstanding shares. Now the good part. Their closing price today was .002. Do the math and go make some money. ..Mushroom

DID YOU BUY SOME UNG YET?

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Tue, 08 Sep 2009 22:03:00 +0000

UNG has reversed and all I see here are posts cutting it down. Ok, I will keep buying UNG.

UNG is now $10.35 in A.H.

It's not too late to own UNG.

IN UNG AT $9.18

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Thu, 03 Sep 2009 16:46:00 +0000

I just bought UNG at $9.18

WHY I LIKE NATURAL GAS.

contact@earthtowallstreet.com (EarthtoWallStreet.com) — Sat, 29 Aug 2009 19:20:00 +0000

Listen to Pickens in the below link concerning what is coming to the NG industry.

http://w3.newsmax.com/a/pickens/

http://www.govtrack.us/congress/billtext.xpd?bill=h111-1835

http://humboldtdems.wordpress.com/2009/07/26/bill-to-watch-hr-1835-nat-gas-act/

http://www.greencarcongress.com/2009/04/bill-in-us-congress-to-boost-natural-gas-vehicles.html

There are many articles concerning where natural gas is headed. You decide after your own DD where you think NG is headed in our future.

Our country will be using more NG in the coming years and demand will increase.

When HR-1835 passes before the end of this year NG will have already moved off these lows we are seeing right now.

I saw the same thing in coal several years ago when I predicted Massey, MEE to go up big and in fact it did, running from $16 to $95 quickly.

This time though with natural gas I see this law passing because it will be popular and it makes sense.

http://www.pickensplan.com/theplan/

Keep your eye on NG, it will play a key roll in coming months as our country becomes more dependent on it.

Natural gas demand is months away from increasing and the bills that are about to be voted upon in the coming months will change Americas need for foreign oil for decades to come. The bigger picture is about to change big time.

I am posting this message about natural gas because the main stream media is not covering it, NG is out of favor and there is a reason for it. This is the time to be looking at the natural gas industry.

I currently own UNG at $11.15. I sold UNG earlier and bought it back cheaper on Friday in A.H.

I also own FAZ now at $23.05 selling it was well and buying it lower.

VFRTXN