earthquake prediction

Cebu philipines quake.and prediction for February 2012

2012-02-06T22:06:00.000-08:00

hi
As mentioned earlier, some how found some time over night and now posting the probable dates for February 2012
Saturn is stationed this week and changing direction, any aspect of Moon with planets changing the direction may induce quakes. Thus we have philipines quakes
Now ,the probable dates rae
1)12th Feb 2012-----6.5
2)16th Feb ----------6.3
3)21st Feb ----------6.2
4)24th Feb----------6.4
Place not known
window period + or - one day
magnitude window + or - 0.3
Amit

Earthquake prediction for February 2012

2012-02-04T22:08:00.000-08:00

hi
Election commission have schedulded election on 16th of February 2012 for Municipal corporation of Greater Mumbai .Hence , there is heavy work load at ward level. working as a head of the ward ( as Assistant commissioner) it has become very difficult for me to find some time and work on my caculations for my February 2012 prediction. It is essential for me to work on all Saturadys and Sundays as well as on public holidays.
Nevertheless ,if Ican find some time during night hours, I will try to do some calculations,and post my probable dates
Amit

Earthquake prediction for January 2012

2011-12-24T08:37:00.000-08:00

hi
This year ,it may be difficult for me to post very often ,due to my official duty.It is quite likely that,my official responsibilities will increase due to promotion.very soon.
Nevertheless,my monthly prediction posts and replies to readers views will continue
The probable dates for quakes for the next month will be like this

1)2 nd January 2012-----------------6.2

2)9th January 2012------------------6.5

3)18th/19th January 2012-----------6.6

4)23rd January 2012----------------6.3

window period is + or - one day

Amit

Study links tropical cyclones to Earthquakes- A study

2011-12-09T05:41:00.000-08:00

hi
Please see at the right side of this blog -Study links tropical cyclones to earthquakes- or see link

http://www.dawn.com/2011/12/09/study-links-tropical-cyclones-to-earthquakes.html

Now the study have shown relation between cyclones and major earthquakes (in certain cases)
It says,the land slides and mud creates imbalance of load on the fault line and quakes occurs.

This relationship was earlier shown by me on this blog.
I believe ,what research have found is not correct. Only the load imbalance can not create quakes.
The real reason ( as I believe)is like this

The tidal forces and momentum change forces apply to all levels ie

1)When it applied to molten magma /lava it creates /produce quakes (if the crust is broken partially)

2) When the pull coincides with /.comes directly under mouth of volcano,it break open the mouth and eruption occurs (volcanic eruption occurs at high tide zones only)

3)When applied to oceans it creates high tides and low tides (which we are aware)

4) Over solid crust ,it deforms the upper crust by few inches (this is also proved )

5) When the same pull apply to cloud layers ,it creates concentration of moist clouds at high tide zone and may result in cloud brusts (un usal cloud bursts)

6)Now, when there is high tide zone at one side a low tide zone is created at 90 degree apart .
   When there is greater high tide pulls ,the low tides are also maximum.
    when ,the place comes out of low tide zone (which has created low pressure zone there) ,air rushes to fill the low pressure zone. When such air ( rushing towards) low tide zone pass over Ocean waters at 26 to 28 degrees,it gathers momentum from latent heat of water and may induce tropical cyclones

This shows, the force behind all ,this is tidal pull (high tid and low tides ) as well as momentum change ( due to planets changing the direction0
Time and again ,it is noticed that ,whenever ,there is major quake ,it is either preceded or followed by cloud bursts and land slides

The load changes ,due to mud slides ,creates quake may not be correct( to the best of my knowledge)
A few meter of mud have very less weight comparing 100 kms of earth crust

These are my views and my theory of - The General theory of natural disasters

Amit

Earthquake prediction for Decembar 2011

2011-11-30T02:57:00.000-08:00

hi
Following dates and time are prone to major quakes as mentioned .(location of quakes not predicted)

1)6th December 2011-------------------0815 UTC--------6.3

2)10th December 2011-----------------1515 UTC--------6.5

3)20th December 2011-----------------1115 UTC-------6.6

4)24th December 2011----------------1715 UTC--------6.9

Amit

Bolivia Earthquake of 6.6 on 22nd November 2011

2011-11-22T23:16:00.001-08:00

hi

Watch the first quake of 6.6 at Bolivia on 22nd November 1848Hrs.

and accuracy of prediction

One question to pro plate tectonic theory members

Question- The quake at Bolivia was very deep ie 533 kms below .The earth crust is mostly 50to 60 km thick

Ref-http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Earth_crust

How this quake could originate as below as 533 kms. and what short of crust failure this quake could be?

Watch till 26th November ,the dates and times

(place not predicted)

Amit

Results of Year 2011 Earthquake prediction ,till October 2011

2011-11-09T01:32:00.000-08:00

hi
Here are the actaul quakes (7+) as against predicted dates for the year 2011 ,till October 2011
1) January
Prediction date -------------actual dates and quake
   4th------------------2nd at 2020Hrs UTC----7.2
2)April
     8th-----------------7th at 1432 Hrs--7.1
3)July
   9th------------------6th at 1903 Hrs---7.6
                                   10th---------------7.0
4)August
22nd----------------20th at 1819 Hrs-----7.1

5)September
   5th-------------------3rd at 2255 Hrs UTC---7.0
   16th-----------------15th -----7.3
6)October
   22/23rd-------------21st--------7.4
                                   23rd--------7.2
Thus there are 9 Hits of 7+ quakes
If you do not consider little inaccurcy of 2/3 Hrs ,there are 5 dot hits (+ or - one day window and 7+)

There are 19 quakes of 7+ during January to October 2011(incluning clusters)
The average number of 7+ quakes per year are 15
thus odds are 15/120----120 because ,total days 360/ 3 day window period
                       ie 1/8   ie one in eight or 0.125
Now 9 hits out of 19 is 9/19 0.473
Even if we consider 5 hit out of 19 it comes to
              5/19 ie 0.263
Both way it is above random date selection or average occurances(even after taking in to account cluster of quakes)

Amit

Earthquake prediction for November 2011

2011-11-02T05:17:00.000-07:00

hi
The probable dates for major earthquakes in November 2011 are

1) 10th November 2011-------6.3

2) 13th November 2011------6.5

3) 24/25th November 2011---6.7

location not predicted

Amit

7.3 Earthquake at Eastern Turkey killing hundreads of people

2011-10-23T23:02:00.000-07:00

hi

7.3 quake at eastern turkey on 23rd October 2011 , killing hundreads of people

Moon never goes station, also the Sun. Both remain always direct.They do not have any apperent backward motion

Oct 21 to 23 rd were specifically selecte for several reason

Jupiter is closest- 3.9 AU ( Astronomical Units ie average distance of Earth to Sun)

Moon Closest 57.5 ER ( Earth Radious)

Moon at Equater on 22/23 rd Oct

Moon Squaring Jupiter and Sun besides Squaring Saturn and Venus

But the main point is closenes of Jupiter and Moon to Earth

I have some questions to all those who think my dates are no good than radom dates given by any body

What are the odds of having 7+ quakes (more than one ) on random dtaes/window period of date?
What are the chances of two dufferent tectonic plates developing rupture on the same day?
Are some dates prone to major quakes?
How do plate tectonic explain intra plate quakes? like one of 5.3 at Gujarat recentely
Are we not ready to look at any theory other than plate tectonics?
Are scientist , geologist and seismologist not wasting tax payers money ,on a theory, which they themself believe can not predict quakes?

If some one is skeptical, let us observe the dates given by anybody any comare them with my dates as well as actual quakes

Amit

7.4 earthquake at Kermadec , near NZ on predicted date

2011-10-22T04:40:00.000-07:00

Hi
yet another 7.4 at Kermadec Island near NZ on predicted date.ie 21st October 2011
How long we can keep our eyes close and say all these quakes are by chance? Time amd again the accuracy of date has been proved.
I have also requested New Zealand Govt to look in to the matter
Amit

6.1 Earthquake at Japan , quake at Gujarat 5.3 and at San Francisco

2011-10-21T08:50:00.000-07:00

hi
Several earthquakes reported on predicted date ie 21st October 2011

1) japan ---6.1

2) Gujarat---5.3

3)San Francisco--4

Though, it is right on target, the magnitude predicted was 6.6. Thus ,strictly speaking (+ or - one day--correct and + or - 0.3 magnitude is out of window

Nonetheless, it can be stated that , major quakes can be predicted

Amt

Earthquake prediction get more accurate

2011-10-10T08:39:00.001-07:00

Earthquake prediction get more accurate

Please see the link below ,which states that,the prediction of quakes ,by various methods is 10 times more accurate than random dates.
The competition results announced by National Academy of science in September 26th issue,stated that ULCA researcher Agnnes Helmstetter was considered the winner with highest probability

http://www.dailydemocrat.com/news/ci_19003677

The question is -

HOW CAN WE SAY IT IS IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT THE EARTHQUAKES?
OR
IT IS NOT POSSIBLE TO GO BEYOND RANDOM DATES ,AS FAR AS EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION IS CONCERNED?

Amit

Earthquake prediction for October 2011

2011-10-03T22:51:00.000-07:00

hi
Earthquake prediction for the month October 2011 are as follows( locations not specified)
1)12th/13th October 2011------6.2 ( ie time- 12th Noon to 13th Noon UTC)
2)21st October 2011-----------6.6
3)26th/27th OCtober 2011----6.9
Window period + or - one day
Magnitude window + or - 0.3
Also, these dates are prone to volcanic eruptions and cyclones
Amit

6.8 Eathquake at North East of India,Nepal,sikkim

2011-09-18T08:20:00.000-07:00

hi
Today we have a 6.8 quake at NE India and Nepal. ( at least 5 people dead)It was felt almost for half of India ,including Delhi and NCR
please see my September 2011 prediction on this blog or see popular blogs at the right side of this blog

Also see my web site and g to calender for detail

http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/

amit

6.4 earthquake at Vancouver on 9th September 2011 , as predicted

2011-09-09T20:35:00.001-07:00

hi
6.4 earthquake at Vancouver as expected and predicted
watch dates till September 2011 end
Amit

Delhi earthquake,4.3 on 7th September 2011

2011-09-07T23:54:00.000-07:00

hi
A morderate earthquake of magnitude 4.3 occured near Delhi-Hariyana Border yesterday.
Though this is smaller quake ,it is surprising .
Watch the dates till September 2011 end.Place can not be predicted and hence no body should
be anxious
Dates are posted on this blog as well as on web page
http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/ and see calender

Amit

6.6 Earthquake at Northen Sumatra,Indonesia on 5th September 2011, A date hit prediction

2011-09-06T00:48:00.000-07:00

hi
Please see my September 2011 prediction on this blog as well as my web page
http://earthquakeprediction.webs.com/
we have 6.6 quake at Northen Sumatra, killing several people
Do we call it a 6.5+ date hit prediction?
Since 1st September 2011,we have several 6.5+ quakes,sometimes two or more in a day.
Are these quakes a co incidence or just by chance?
Time and again I ahve noticed that, when Jupiter changes the direction from direct to retro gate or from retro gate to direct and it is nearer to Earth (4.5AU-Astronomical Units-average distance of Earth from Sun), the frequency of major quake increases
Moon plays a major trigger ,once the above condition is full filled
Given the condition mentioned above , when Moon Joins,squares or opposes Sun (ie phaeses ) and /or with Jupiter ,major quakes occurs( The day is fixed with Moon movements)
The magnitude ,then ,depends on proximity of Moon to Earth and declination of Moon
The closer the Moon Greater the magnitude
The day when Moon acquires maximum decliantion (north or South), the day is prone
Several other aspects are taken in to account for fine tuneing the magnitude like
Aspeccts of other planets
Distance of Earth to Sun
Sun declination
Any other planet changing the direction with in a span of 2/3 days
Moon at Eqautor
These dates are also prone to Volacnic eruption and cyclones
Now find out the dates for yourself
Amit

6.4 eathquake at Santiago on 2nd September 2011

2011-09-02T07:18:00.000-07:00

hi
One more quake
6.4 at Santiago on predicted date ie 2nd September 2011
How many date hit proofs are required?
Amit

7.1 earthquake at Fox Island,Alaska ,a date hit prediction

2011-09-02T05:55:00.000-07:00

hi
Please note 7+ date hit prediction for 2nd September 2011. A Tsunami warning was issued after the quake at Fox Island ( which was later lifted)

http://news.yahoo.com/7-1-magnitude-quake-strikes-off-alaska-usgs-113023925.html

There are 151 quakes ( 7+ quakes ) between 1st January 2001 to 31st December 2010 .
Thus ,there are 15 7+ quakes per year

Now odds for date hit are 15/360 ie 0.0416 ie 5% chances of quakes,if you give a random date
Amit

Prediction of major quake at Tokyo by scientists

2011-09-01T09:37:00.000-07:00

hi
Scientists have warned that,Tokyo can be hit by major quakes (7+) any time now.The seismic activities have increased

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/international/tokyo_told_to_prepare_for_massive_FuU2W6YsiTWQKNqu4dlpQM

Now, such predictions are not good for people at large and may create panic
Seismologist and Government can keep a close watch on prone dates mentioned here with(Though place can not be predicted )
It can be very well stated that,the chances of major quakes (7+) occurring on prone dates is very high
I wish Government of Japan and Seismologist all over the Globe watch such dates and find solution to save some lives,instead of creating panic among people at large with such news. Even if ,it is necessary ,the work should be done without such publication of news ( with place predictions)
Amit

Earthquake predicion for September 2011

2011-08-31T01:05:00.000-07:00

Earthquake prediction for September

With little modification to my Annual prediction for september ,here are the probable dates

1)2nd September 2011-------6.8

2)5th September 2011-------6.5

3)12th September 2011-----7.0

4) 27th/28th Sept 2011-----7.2

9th and 16th are under observation for 6+ quake

PLACES ARE NOT KNOWN

Amit

Hurricane Irene at East coast of USA

2011-08-28T01:38:00.000-07:00

hi
Hurricane Irene strikes east coast of US.
The dates predicted are prone for quake/volcanic eruption or Hurricanes(tropical cyclones
1)when the tidal pull is high and breaks the earth crust patially , a quake occurs
2) When the pull is directly under volcano mouth, and strong enough to open up the mouth of dormant volcano , an eruption occurs
3) When the high tide pull is more the low tides are also more ( 90 degrees apart on earth)
When the place comes out of low tide effect due to low pressure created ,air rushes to fill the place. If such air passes through ocean waters having specific temperature (26/27 degrees) ,the air gathers momentum from latent heat of ocean waters. Thus ,a tropical cyclone is created
Thus dates predicted here are prone to all these Natural disasters.
4) A cloud burst of unusual nature is also due to high tide pull
AMit

Virginia,Colorado and San Fransisco earthquakes on 22nd /23 rd August 2011

2011-08-24T02:43:00.000-07:00

hi
Please see some of the unusual quakes at Virginia of magnitude 5.9.
Roger,the colarodo quake must be felt by you also .The unusual thing is ,the area (Virginia) is supposed to be a green zone (not prone to quake)
To day,CNN news showed USGS official saying this.It is also not understood ,how it was felt in so much wide area.Do we not have details of fault lines here.More surprisingly ,the official from USGS was seen plotting numorous fault lines accross the area
Can anybody explain this?
OR
It has proved that ,quakes occurs anywhere other than major fault lines? Are we upgarding area to prone area after such quakes occur? or is there any other criteria?
Whatch the date hit predictions
Watch 27th And 29/30th August 2011 (PLACE NOT KNOWN)
THINK OUT OF THE BOX. EARTHQUAKES CAN BE PREDICTED
Amit

Vanuatu earthquakes 7.1 and 7.0 as predicted

2011-08-20T22:03:00.000-07:00

hi
Here are two major quakes
7.1 at Vanuatu on 20th August 1655
7.0 at Vanuatu on 20th August 1819

What do you think ,it is hit (7+) date or miss?The predicted date time and magnitude are as follows

22nd August at 0130 UTC and 7.0 magnitude

Your opinions are requested
While writing this ,I am aware that my predictions are for + or - one day window period( which are very stringent for 7.0 quake prediction and also that these quakes are just outside (6Hrs) window period
Amit

Earthquake prediction for August 2011

2011-08-02T09:42:00.000-07:00

Earthquakes prediction for August 2011

With slight modification of my Annual earthquake prediction given on this blog,following dates are given

1)6th August 2011----- 6.5

2)13th August 2011---- 6.8

3)22nd August 2011---- 7.0

4)28/29th August 2011-- 7.1

Window period for date is + or - one day

please note that ,all predicted quakes are 6.5+

Place not known

Amit