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<?xml-stylesheet type="text/xsl" media="screen" href="/~d/styles/atom10full.xsl"?><?xml-stylesheet type="text/css" media="screen" href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~d/styles/itemcontent.css"?><feed xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" xmlns:openSearch="http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearch/1.1/" xmlns:blogger="http://schemas.google.com/blogger/2008" xmlns:georss="http://www.georss.org/georss" xmlns:gd="http://schemas.google.com/g/2005" xmlns:thr="http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0" xmlns:feedburner="http://rssnamespace.org/feedburner/ext/1.0" gd:etag="W/&quot;CEYFRn8zfSp7ImA9WhBaEUk.&quot;"><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157642664105941702</id><updated>2013-05-21T08:15:17.185-05:00</updated><category term="Website" /><category term="Mailbox" /><category term="Holiday" /><category term="Wave Analysis" /><category term="Technical Analysis" /><category term="Comments" /><category term="Counts" /><category term="Donations" /><category term="COT Analysis" /><category term="Economic Analysis" /><category term="Poll" /><category term="Seasonality" /><category term="Statistical Analysis" /><category term="Advertisement" /><category term="Group" /><category term="Long Term Analysis" /><category term="Audio" /><category term="Editorial" /><category term="Intermarket Analysis" /><category term="History" /><category term="Humor" /><category term="Video" /><category term="Cycles" /><category term="Facebook" /><category term="News" /><title>Eric De Groot</title><subtitle type="html" /><link rel="http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default" /><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/" /><link rel="next" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8157642664105941702/posts/default?start-index=26&amp;max-results=25&amp;redirect=false&amp;v=2" /><author><name>Eric De Groot</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel="http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail" width="16" height="16" src="http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif" /></author><generator version="7.00" uri="http://www.blogger.com">Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>3926</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://feeds.feedburner.com/EricDeGrootsInsights" /><feedburner:info uri="ericdegrootsinsights" /><atom10:link xmlns:atom10="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" rel="hub" href="http://pubsubhubbub.appspot.com/" /><link rel="license" type="text/html" href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nd/3.0/" /><logo>http://creativecommons.org/images/public/somerights20.gif</logo><feedburner:emailServiceId>EricDeGrootsInsights</feedburner:emailServiceId><feedburner:feedburnerHostname>http://feedburner.google.com</feedburner:feedburnerHostname><entry gd:etag="W/&quot;CEcNQXs9eyp7ImA9WhBaEUk.&quot;"><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157642664105941702.post-8367369225933950496</id><published>2013-05-21T08:14:00.006-05:00</published><updated>2013-05-21T08:14:50.563-05:00</updated><app:edited xmlns:app="http://www.w3.org/2007/app">2013-05-21T08:14:50.563-05:00</app:edited><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="News" /><title>‘The EU should not be meddling in our democracies’</title><content type="html">---&gt;
The attempt to seize control of the rule of law in Europe will carry dramatic social consequences.  The more the Commission attempts to control the voice of the people, the louder it becomes.




Headline:  ‘The EU should not be meddling in our democracies’





The idea of giving the European Commission the role of “watchdog” is simply “chutzpah”, believes Dutch political scientist Alfred...&lt;br/&gt;
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It's extremely common for high volume bottoms to be tested at least once.  In other words, probability favors that the high volume bottom on 4/16 will be tested (blue circle).




Investment Discipline Without Bias (04/28/2013)



What cannot break support with force (volume) will reverse and attempt to break resistance with force.



Chart 1:  Gold ETF...&lt;br/&gt;
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IMF warns against the relaxation of capital controls, because it knows that capital will flee if given a chance. &amp;nbsp;The flight of capital, whether it be Russia in 1998 or Cyprus today, is often the precursor to financial panics and crashes.





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Trend is up (green/blue) chart 1
Intermarket analysis confirms the highs chart 2



Chart1:  SP 500






Chart2:  Mid term to Short Term VIX






Further Analysis




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&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/EricDeGrootsInsights/~4/p2FA3wB500Q" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</content><link rel="replies" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/feeds/4480504847018023128/comments/default" title="Post Comments" /><link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/2013/05/the-stock-market-rally-that-wont-quit.html#comment-form" title="0 Comments" /><link rel="edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8157642664105941702/posts/default/4480504847018023128?v=2" /><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8157642664105941702/posts/default/4480504847018023128?v=2" /><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EricDeGrootsInsights/~3/p2FA3wB500Q/the-stock-market-rally-that-wont-quit.html" title="The Stock Market Rally That Won't Quit" /><author><name>Eric De Groot</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel="http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail" width="16" height="16" src="http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif" /></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-8ny8bfHQW24/UZoOqzAuCBI/AAAAAAAATM8/5mdN0N-E-Xs/s72-c/SPY.PNG" height="72" width="72" /><thr:total>0</thr:total><feedburner:origLink>http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/2013/05/the-stock-market-rally-that-wont-quit.html</feedburner:origLink></entry><entry gd:etag="W/&quot;DUIASXc-fCp7ImA9WhBbGEU.&quot;"><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157642664105941702.post-2554781377497542904</id><published>2013-05-18T09:32:00.002-05:00</published><updated>2013-05-18T09:32:28.954-05:00</updated><app:edited xmlns:app="http://www.w3.org/2007/app">2013-05-18T09:32:28.954-05:00</app:edited><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="COT Analysis" /><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Technical Analysis" /><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Long Term Analysis" /><title>COT Review of Corn</title><content type="html">Corn bulls are waiting for an entry point.




Chart 1:  Corn ETN (CORN)






Don't fall asleep in the process...behind the scenes money flows are beginning to reveal concentration and polarization.





Show







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Chart:  Tiffany to Wal-Mart Ratio






Headline: Wal-Mart Sales Go Cold, and Its Shares Feel the Chill





Despite several quarters of controversy over bribery allegations in Mexico, Wal-Mart Stores’ profitable earnings and strong sales in recent quarters...&lt;br/&gt;
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No significant changes in the trends below.




Chart:  SP 500 (SP500AVG), Average Weekly Initial Jobless Claims (AWIC) and AWIC Cycle Z Scores (AWICC1and2)






Headline:  U.S. jobless claims jump to six-week high





WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — The number of people who applied last week for new unemployment benefits surged to the highest level in a month and a half, indicating the U.S....&lt;br/&gt;
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Capital adapts to changes in policies or tactics.  This means deposits less than 100,000, deemed sacrosanct today, are more likely to be touchable at the next major bank failure.  The public, however, remains generally oblivious to the deposit risks unfolding across the globe.




Headline:  EU sets master plan to: expropriation of savers




At the meeting of EU finance ministers on Tuesday...&lt;br/&gt;
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Sentiment is one aspect of market timing that consists of simultaneous analysis of economic data, leveraged money flows, Intermarket trends, and TIME.



I have been singling out sentiment lately, because it explains why most investors will be sitting in group therapy as the stock market rallies. &amp;nbsp;Sentiment&amp;nbsp;towards fell from 1.07 to 0.71, a bearish decline, even as stocks recorded...&lt;br/&gt;
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The Canadian dollar's DI has dropped as it rallied from 97.82 to 99.01 as of 5/7.  As long as the loonie's DI remains above 60%, it maintains the bullish setup.




Chart:  Canadian Dollar (FXC) And Canadian Dollar Diffusion Index (DI)






Technical Review




Show







-------------------------------------




As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional,...&lt;br/&gt;
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Capital, seeking safety amid the growing economic turmoil, has been flowing into the dollar.  But for how long?  




Headline: France Slips Into Recession, Germany...&lt;br/&gt;
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Chart: &amp;nbsp;GasRBOB (UGA) And GasRBOB Diffusion Index (DI)






Conservative investors, however, never act without technical confirmation.



Is gasoline (RBOB) ready?




Show





-------------------------------------




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Gold stocks money flows: &amp;nbsp;Juniors to majors money flows used to set bull/bear phase in gold.
A study of BullBearPower(E).




 Show





-------------------------------------




As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2013.  This analysis will be revealed by...&lt;br/&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/EricDeGrootsInsights/~4/uaSDxGV1NWk" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</content><link rel="replies" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/feeds/864373276318724069/comments/default" title="Post Comments" /><link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/2013/05/technical-review-of-gold-shares.html#comment-form" title="0 Comments" /><link rel="edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8157642664105941702/posts/default/864373276318724069?v=2" /><link rel="self" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8157642664105941702/posts/default/864373276318724069?v=2" /><link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EricDeGrootsInsights/~3/uaSDxGV1NWk/technical-review-of-gold-shares.html" title="Technical Review of the Gold Shares" /><author><name>Eric De Groot</name><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel="http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail" width="16" height="16" src="http://img2.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif" /></author><thr:total>0</thr:total><feedburner:origLink>http://edegrootinsights.blogspot.com/2013/05/technical-review-of-gold-shares.html</feedburner:origLink></entry><entry gd:etag="W/&quot;Dk8DQH46eCp7ImA9WhBbF00.&quot;"><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8157642664105941702.post-2674564738954232395</id><published>2013-05-15T07:00:00.000-05:00</published><updated>2013-05-16T06:47:51.010-05:00</updated><app:edited xmlns:app="http://www.w3.org/2007/app">2013-05-16T06:47:51.010-05:00</app:edited><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Cycles" /><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Technical Analysis" /><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Intermarket Analysis" /><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Long Term Analysis" /><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Statistical Analysis" /><title>Shorts Likely Attending Group Therapy Now</title><content type="html">Forget the Fed, this rally is controlled by global capital flows.  It will likely continue to the point of extreme concentration (chart 1)* and bullish sentiment (chart 2).



Chart 1: Large Cap Stocks Capital Appreciation Index (LCSCAI), LCSCAI to Gold Ratio (LCSCAIGOLDR) and LCSCAI Cycle Z Scores (LCSCAIC3 and LCSCAIRC4)






* &amp;nbsp;SP 500 would have to trade above 1850 to generate sigma...&lt;br/&gt;
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While today's decline doesn't quite pronounce the bond rally as dead, it certainly places a couple of nails into its coffin. &amp;nbsp;A decisive break of 115.87 or neckline of ominous head and shoulders top would attract even more chasers and&amp;nbsp;accelerate&amp;nbsp;the down trend. &amp;nbsp;Rising yields in the US could become an unexpected wrench dropped into the gears of the global financial...&lt;br/&gt;
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Selling stocks based on retail sales trends and cycles can be a frustrating exercise. &amp;nbsp;Retail sales growth deteriorates slowly usually two to four years ahead of equity bear markets that vary in intensity. &amp;nbsp;This is why market timing requires&amp;nbsp;simultaneous&amp;nbsp;study of economic, Intermarket, and global capital flow relationships.



Retail sales strength is helping time bull...&lt;br/&gt;
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-------------------------------------




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Chart Observations:





Show







-------------------------------------




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But then, snooping is a double edge sword as smart money adapts. If terminals requiring biometric access are used to collect information,...&lt;br/&gt;
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Chart Observations:





Retail stocks represent a key leadership group for stocks and consumption driven economies. &amp;nbsp;Private consumption accounts for 71% of US Gross Domestic Product (GDP).
The stock market rally remains 'in gear' as long as retail stocks lead and/or confirm its relative or all-time highs. &amp;nbsp;Dangerous equity phases develop when higher highs in stocks are not...&lt;br/&gt;
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