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	<title type="text">Ever onward</title>
	<subtitle type="text">The life and times of Mikhail Seregine</subtitle>

	<updated>2008-11-13T09:16:18Z</updated>
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	<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" />
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		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Next step: Productive recovery]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/uzk53Yn3tGc/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=17</id>
		<updated>2008-11-13T09:16:18Z</updated>
		<published>2008-11-13T08:20:01Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[What does one do after failing to build a successful business? I&#8217;d been trying to figure that out. After several weeks and almost 40 meetings, it was Decision Day. On the morning of November 4, I cast my vote in the U.S. election and made a career choice.

I wanted to make the right decision quickly. [...]]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2008/11/13/next-step-productive-recovery/"><![CDATA[<p>What does one do after failing to build a successful business? I&#8217;d been trying to figure that out. After several weeks and almost 40 meetings, it was Decision Day. On the morning of November 4, I cast my vote in the U.S. election and made a career choice.</p>
<p><span id="more-17"></span></p>
<p>I wanted to make the right decision quickly. Once ClayValet was done, my mind was a mess of conflicting impulses. It took some thought, but I sorted it out: I really want to start another company, develop a great product, and turn it into a profitable business.</p>
<p><strong>Start up again?</strong></p>
<p>Startup #2 seemed like the natural next step. My experience and momentum were on my side: I wouldn&#8217;t make the same mistakes next time. The timing could be right: I found three potential cofounders, ready for something new. It had a good ring to it: &#8220;undaunted by defeat and hardened by experience, the heroic entrepreneur gets up to fight again&#8221;. Meanwhile, blogs told me that &#8220;the downturn is the best time to start a business&#8221; and lauded the virtues of serial entrepreneurs.</p>
<p>I didn&#8217;t do it. One of my potential cofounders is in the Bay Area, and I&#8217;m tied to Seattle for a year. Two others are local, but they&#8217;re not really ready to start. Frankly, neither am I. I don&#8217;t yet have a killer plan, I am tired and out of shape and the market&#8217;s had its way with my savings. And, most of all, I feel humbled by the ClayValet experience. I&#8217;m more aware of what I don&#8217;t know, and I should fill some of those gaps before trying again.</p>
<p>So, I decided to wait and build up my strength. I will get to spend time with my lovely girlfriend, who supported me for more than a year through long hours and swinging moods. I&#8217;ll go home to Malaysia with her in December, and we&#8217;ve been talking about more trips in the near future: maybe Japan, maybe Spain. I owe some stories to my writing group. I want to get organized (more on that later). I want to sleep.</p>
<p>This is not retirement. I need to be objectively productive: creating value and getting paid for it. One way or another, I need to stay in business. One way is software consulting; another is a job at a small startup.</p>
<p><strong>Consulting?</strong></p>
<p>Consulting would keep me self-employed, teach me some valuable sales/business skills, and pave the way for bootstrapping a product business, like 37 Signals and many others. I spoke with several local consultants: my most marketable skills, Ruby/Rails/AWS development, seemed in demand, and the rates sound fine.</p>
<p>I ruled out consulting for three reasons. First, I want longer-term ownership of my work, the ability to do it right. Second, the short-term timing didn&#8217;t fit: I wanted to make money and travel before the end of the year. Third, I decided that in my next project, I will be a technical cofounder. Gaining business experience by consulting is a lower priority than hands-on product development experience.</p>
<p><strong>Joining forces</strong></p>
<p>A startup job would give me a chance to focus on product development, to work with a growing team, and to experience the stages of a business that I haven&#8217;t seen firsthand. I spoke with several startups: all under 5 people, recently funded, and working on interesting projects with impressive business potential. It&#8217;s reassuring to know that even in these conditions, Seattle is home to several promising new projects.</p>
<p>In the end, I couldn&#8217;t resist the chance to work with a good chunk of my &#8220;dream colleagues&#8221; wishlist. I&#8217;m joining <a href="http://blog.jambool.com">Jambool</a>, a team of four ex-Amazon friends working on a &#8220;virtual economy platform&#8221;. Our office is next door to the Metropolitan Grill in downtown Seattle, and this Monday was my first day. I&#8217;m very happy with my choice, and I look forward to telling you more about it someday.</p>
]]></content>
		<link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2008/11/13/next-step-productive-recovery/#comments" thr:count="11" />
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	<feedburner:origLink>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2008/11/13/next-step-productive-recovery/</feedburner:origLink></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[ClayValet in hindsight]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/QcQ2UrSxACg/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=13</id>
		<updated>2008-10-27T21:59:02Z</updated>
		<published>2008-10-27T21:42:50Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" /><category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="business" /><category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="startup" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[I just shut down my startup, 22 months after I started it in January &#8216;07. I want to tell you how I decided to close the company, what problems we encountered, and what I&#8217;ll change next time.

WHAT HAPPENED

ClayValet was an attempt to build a shopping recommendations business on top of Amazon&#8217;s Mechanical Turk, funded with [...]]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2008/10/27/clayvalet-in-hindsight/"><![CDATA[<p>I just shut down my startup, 22 months after I started it in January &#8216;07. I want to tell you how I decided to close the company, what problems we encountered, and what I&#8217;ll change next time.<br />
<span id="more-13"></span><br />
<strong>WHAT HAPPENED<br />
</strong></p>
<p>ClayValet was an attempt to build a shopping recommendations business on top of Amazon&#8217;s Mechanical Turk, funded with seed capital from one angel investor. We created a website for shoppers to ask for and browse recommendations. Unlike search engines, our service was powered by real people, so we could answer ambiguous and detailed questions (within a day), and we could filter out useless answers.</p>
<p>Our website did not get much traffic. After several revisions aimed at improving usability and adding content, the metrics improved, but growth was still too slow. We tried to convert our recommendation service to a white-label product and sell it to online retailers, as a way to engage their customers and convert more sales. I didn&#8217;t close any sales. I explored the possibility of raising another round of funding to hire a sales team and develop this product, but our lack of traction was a problem for investors.</p>
<p>With a few months left in our runway, I focused on finding a potential acquirer for ClayValet. I contacted a couple dozen companies, and ended up having substantial conversations with three of them. In the space of a week, two of them went from lukewarm to actively interested. At the end of that week, all three told us that they would be happy to hire us, but &#8220;can&#8217;t structure the deal as an acquisition at this time.&#8221;</p>
<p>We could have continued to find acquirers, sell our service, or fundraise. At this point I&#8217;d tried all of the above, and didn&#8217;t think we had a good chance of success. Rather than burning through the rest of our funding, I decided to close the company and return the remaining cash to our investor.</p>
<p><strong>MAJOR OBSTACLES<br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>Overlapping learning curves</strong><br />
We were doing too many things for the first time. Before ClayValet, none of us had built a consumer website, promoted a consumer website, attempted enterprise sales, or run a company. It&#8217;s possible to learn everything, but learning is not instantaneous, and it detracts from focus and momentum. I found it hard to plan for a process I didn&#8217;t understand and to hire for positions I didn&#8217;t understand. One of the best bits of advice I&#8217;ve heard lately is &#8220;do mostly what you know, and change as few things as possible&#8221;.</p>
<p><strong>The cold start problem</strong><br />
I drastically underestimated the difficulty of creating an audience for a new shopping site. Our recommendation service was new and often impressive, but it was in the end a feature and not a full shopping experience. Websites are easier to build today, but expectations are higher. Early user feedback slammed us for not having features that people had come to expect: conversations, profiles, a wider catalog, instant search. Shoppers wanted us to email them more. Shoppers wanted us to provide a more interactive service. Even worse, shoppers forgot about us because they didn&#8217;t often have the problem we offered to solve.</p>
<p><strong>The process of enterprise sales</strong><br />
You want to have an &#8220;in&#8221; with your customers and a clear benefit, and even then the sales cycle takes months and a lot of engagement with the customer.  We were pitching an interesting but unproven feature that didn&#8217;t obviously solve a problem they cared about. We figured that out and adjusted the pitch, but we still didn&#8217;t have a credible track record to back it up.</p>
<p><strong>TO DO NEXT TIME<br />
</strong></p>
<p><strong>Cofounder</strong><br />
Running a new company is a lot of work for one person, and having a great cofounder can drastically reduce risk. I would look for someone intelligent, trustworthy, pragmatic, and responsible, with experience that complements mine.  I believe that the choice of cofounder will be the most important decision in my next business, followed by the choice of market.</p>
<p><strong>Advisors</strong><br />
In doing ClayValet, I met many experienced businesspeople: entrepreneurs, investors, domain experts, and more. I sought out their help, and when I ran into difficulties I&#8217;d ask a couple of people for their advice. This was much better than no guidance, but it was too sporadic: the people I spoke with only knew about my immediate questions, and they couldn&#8217;t help with &#8220;big picture&#8221; decisions because they weren&#8217;t observing the company regularly. Next time I&#8217;ll form a board of advisors who review our progress every month.</p>
<p><strong>Planning</strong><br />
After doing so much for the first time at ClayValet, I can plan with more confidence. For example, I&#8217;m still no expert on enterprise sales, but I know roughly how long it takes, how buying decisions are usually made, and the kind of people I would need to help me. As always, there&#8217;s a balance: excessive planning impairs flexibility, lack of planning magnifies risk. I&#8217;ll be closer to the right balance next time.</p>
<p><strong>Specific revenue model</strong><br />
In my initial business plan, I will have a specific target customer for our first sale. Waving my hands about markets and demand won&#8217;t cut it.</p>
<p><strong>Distribution channel</strong><br />
In my initial business plan, I will have a specific distribution channel for reaching the next group of customers after the first sale. The distribution channel will not be &#8220;cold calling&#8221;, &#8220;word of mouth&#8221;, &#8220;organic traffic&#8221;, or TechCrunch.</p>
<p><strong>ONWARD</strong></p>
<p>I&#8217;m wrapping up some ClayValet business and deciding what to do next. I&#8217;m considering starting a new project, joining a local startup, or taking on some consulting projects.</p>
]]></content>
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	<feedburner:origLink>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2008/10/27/clayvalet-in-hindsight/</feedburner:origLink></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[ClayValet launches]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/FdgPBIcr7KE/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=12</id>
		<updated>2007-11-24T02:01:17Z</updated>
		<published>2007-11-24T02:01:17Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[
I&#8217;m very proud to announce that the first version of ClayValet went public today. This is the startup I&#8217;ve been working on since January; we&#8217;re now four people working in Capitol Hill. ClayValet is a new kind of personal shopping service:
You come to our site and tell us what you&#8217;re looking for, in plain English. [...]]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2007/11/23/clayvalet-launches/"><![CDATA[<p><a title="ClayValet: We shop for you" href="http://clayvalet.com"><img id="image11" alt="ClayValet banner" src="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/wp-content/uploads/2007/11/banner-preview.thumbnail.gif" /></a></p>
<p>I&#8217;m very proud to announce that the first version of ClayValet went public today. This is the startup I&#8217;ve been working on since January; we&#8217;re now four people working in Capitol Hill. ClayValet is a new kind of personal shopping service:<br />
You come to our site and tell us what you&#8217;re looking for, in plain English. Real people will read your request, so you can use a single phrase or write a whole paragraph.</p>
<p>Our shoppers then scour the Internet on your behalf. They read customer reviews, compare prices and find expert opinions to decide which products would best fit your needs. We put their findings in a clear report and send it to you within 24 hours of your request.</p>
<p>Please check it out and tell me what you think:</p>
<p><a title="ClayValet: We shop for you" href="http://clayvalet.com">ClayValet: We shop for you.</a></p>
]]></content>
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	<feedburner:origLink>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2007/11/23/clayvalet-launches/</feedburner:origLink></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[ClayValet, Inc.]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/OPwD6_yhiYE/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=9</id>
		<updated>2007-02-01T19:11:47Z</updated>
		<published>2007-02-01T19:11:47Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Work ramped up quickly this year. Our startup is now incorporated as ClayValet Inc., and we have substantial seed funding.
My top priority now is finding one or two awesome engineers to help me build the first release. If you&#8217;re interested (or know someone who might be), shoot me an email and we&#8217;ll meet up for [...]]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2007/02/01/clayvalet-inc/"><![CDATA[<p>Work ramped up quickly this year. Our startup is now incorporated as <a href="http://www.clayvalet.com">ClayValet Inc.</a>, and we have substantial seed funding.</p>
<p>My top priority now is finding one or two awesome engineers to help me build the first release. If you&#8217;re interested (or know someone who might be), <a href="mailto:mikhail@clayvalet.com">shoot me an email</a> and we&#8217;ll meet up for coffee.</p>
]]></content>
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	<feedburner:origLink>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2007/02/01/clayvalet-inc/</feedburner:origLink></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Happy New Year]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/bWMFOwvnAGo/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=8</id>
		<updated>2007-01-04T01:48:58Z</updated>
		<published>2007-01-04T01:40:57Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[I celebrated twice: first in Iowa with my family, then in Seattle with friends. Since I had abandoned my book blog, I decided to make a quick list of all the books that I could remember reading last year.
]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2007/01/03/happy-new-year/"><![CDATA[<p>I celebrated twice: first <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/seregine/sets/72157594445889590/">in Iowa with my family</a>, then <a href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/seregine/sets/72157594453026767/">in Seattle with friends</a>. Since I had abandoned my book blog, I decided to make a quick <a href="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?page_id=7">list of all the books</a> that I could remember reading last year.</p>
]]></content>
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		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Burning Man]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/Z1c2JHf3PWw/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=6</id>
		<updated>2006-09-05T09:29:05Z</updated>
		<published>2006-09-05T09:29:05Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Andrew, Isaac, and I just got back from Burning Man. I&#8217;ve been vaguely intending to go since 2000. Someone mentioned it a few weeks ago and I suddenly realized that this year would be ideal. The preparations were hectic, but it was an awesome experience that will take some time to sink in. My sole [...]]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2006/09/05/burning-man/"><![CDATA[<p>Andrew, Isaac, and I just got back from <a href="http://www.burningman.com">Burning Man</a>. I&#8217;ve been vaguely intending to go since 2000. Someone mentioned it a few weeks ago and I suddenly realized that this year would be ideal. The preparations were hectic, but it was an awesome experience that will take some time to sink in. My sole regret is that we only spent half of the week there.</p>
]]></content>
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		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Last day at Amazon]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/wouM3Ws_EOw/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=4</id>
		<updated>2006-05-09T17:26:02Z</updated>
		<published>2006-05-09T17:26:02Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[Today is my last day at Amazon.com; I&#8217;m leaving after 3.7 years to work on a personal project - an idea for a website that I recently came up with. I can&#8217;t really talk about it too much, but I trust you so I&#8217;ll let you in on the secret: it&#8217;s mySpace for dogs.
]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2006/05/09/last-day-at-amazon/"><![CDATA[<p>Today is my last day at Amazon.com; I&#8217;m leaving after 3.7 years to work on a personal project - an idea for a website that I recently came up with. I can&#8217;t really talk about it too much, but I trust you so I&#8217;ll let you in on the secret: it&#8217;s mySpace for dogs.</p>
]]></content>
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	<feedburner:origLink>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2006/05/09/last-day-at-amazon/</feedburner:origLink></entry>
		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[2006 world tour]]></title>
		<link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/EverOnward/~3/l7lnqUZsxso/" />
		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=3</id>
		<updated>2006-05-09T18:53:24Z</updated>
		<published>2006-05-01T17:17:16Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[I took a 3-month leave of absence from Amazon.com, February 1 through April 30, and spent most of the time traveling. Some notes and a few photos from the trip are in my travel journal
]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2006/05/01/2006-world-tour/"><![CDATA[<p>I took a 3-month leave of absence from Amazon.com, February 1 through April 30, and spent most of the time traveling. Some notes and a few photos from the trip are in my <a href="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2006worldtour">travel journal</a></p>
]]></content>
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		<entry>
		<author>
			<name>Mikhail Seregine</name>
					</author>
		<title type="html"><![CDATA[Mechanical Turk launches]]></title>
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		<id>http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/?p=5</id>
		<updated>2006-05-09T18:07:21Z</updated>
		<published>2005-11-02T18:06:53Z</published>
		<category scheme="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail" term="General" />		<summary type="html"><![CDATA[For the last two years (almost), I&#8217;ve been working in Amazon Web Services on a new and secretive project. Well, it finally launched: check out Amazon Mechanical Turk.
]]></summary>
		<content type="html" xml:base="http://www.seregine.com/mikhail/2005/11/02/mechanical-turk-launches/"><![CDATA[<p>For the last two years (almost), I&#8217;ve been working in Amazon Web Services on a new and secretive project. Well, it finally launched: check out <a href="http://www.mturk.com">Amazon Mechanical Turk</a>.</p>
]]></content>
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