Financial Markets Astral Guide

28th Jan

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 28 Jan 2014 18:18:00 +0000

1763-1876 01/27 /02/03 If you look at these numbers you can get the right Numerical by a few thoughts. INTRADAY 28th Jan - Key Hour 2.08 PM / 3.01 PM EST
Fascinating futures from late evening till pre-EU open

Without malice to none
At times I offer a gold nugget for free and except few perceptive traders others disbelieve and thus the idea that even if you give NEXT DAY's WSJ to morons they will still lose.

Week of 27th - 31st Jan - Markets Turbulence

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Mon, 27 Jan 2014 17:52:00 +0000

When we look from energy around Earth - we are in the weakest period or rather most volatile period just like Sept/Oct. Aqu/Pisc Sun till 20th March can create havoc and will surely make a big bottom around last week of Feb.

Since we focus on micro term as traders we overlook larger frames. I am for sure a micro trader and have been hooked for ignoring larger frames. This entire market rally was supported by Fed and now things will melt. Problem is we reach a very shaky period since few weeks ago when we had SUN JUPITER opposition on Jan 5th evening that influences market after about 2 to 3 weeks.

To worsen we had on 22nd Jan evening Sun squaring with Moon's Node that is like a sharp turn of energy at the elliptic wheel. It is like turning a motor car at 500 miles per hour on a narrow turn. This can kill most markets. Another negative on 25th Morning braked Mercury when it squared with Saturn.

On 26th and 29th.30th evenings Mercury does 45 deg with Ura, Plu & Ven, that can create more imbalance. THIS whole energy will explode begining tonight to 31st Jan when massive Jupiter opposes Plu that meet in polarity of cancer and capri. and this energy is extremely fear producing darkness, its impact is very long term for next decade, as Moon at perigee in Aqu will be at 0 deg with Aqu sun and same time Mer ingress Pisces and Ven goes direct and all this is extremely big energy exploding that can cause accidents, havoc and also meetings. resolutions and great shifts in mood, feelings and our view point to each other and to the economic turbulence. THIS PERIOD also has something to do with Govt's economic policies, taxation and their oppressive conduct worldwide more specially in the US for now while Jup is around Cancer.

Immediate Short term: As I wrote last week Monday's night slight change in mood and most like a bit of reversal or some shock. Then another change on Jan 29th night onwards till 31st Morning. So we have to watch Tue/Wed, then Thur and Fri.

My system shows 29, 30 as positive and then coming Mon at least.

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Thu, 23 Jan 2014 21:39:00 +0000

Interesting day today. You recall I wrote Monday that it was a very mutable timing and anything can happen. In fact the decline should hv started on 21st or 22nd. Mini cycle of 29 days that I watch shows that we will reach to an inflection point tonight when Sun Moon make a square and moon and Neptune make a triangle. In addition Sun Neptune make a favorable 30 deg conjunct at 620 so likely is the futures change their direction. If nothing there could be a solid rally in the morning as mars and mercury trine at 8.57 am Central. This could also propel another sell off so be watchful. Daily chart looks bearish but one cant trust anything of this market. So my point is most likely outcome a tumultous timing till Tuesday. If the trend seems to be declining [45% chance] it may stop aroumd 28th/.29th sometime and a rally should begin on 29th that may extend till 30/31st. BUT it may all be treacherous and may e we see super down days till 29th n then a day or two of rally. If we hv some sort of crest next week expect 3 weeks of Feb shaky. This market is good for day trading for now.

Turn Weekend is coming

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 19 Apr 2013 20:27:00 +0000

I see that Sunday could be fascinating as extremely TURN events are about to occur from NOW to MONDAY early hours.

Wish it was a trading day. SO EXPECT major turns in all assets.

Likely Indices will be crushed for a quick move n then rally hard n then crush n rally. SO interesting time TILL TUE morning!!

Commodities: After a fascinating turn on Mon, another move from 24th WED n indices may also still remain strong till wed morning SO dont precipitate. Our forecasting worked for some fast traders making them 10M+

Unending rally March 8 - 15

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 08 Mar 2013 20:29:00 +0000

The Fed is pumping so much money to sustain this rally.

I had a down day today by many systems but it dint work unfortunately.

There was this Saturn 60 Pluto 8th early morning, which happened also on 26th Dec around that time it had caused a small crash.

THIS aspect was after 22 years and as they are 3, next one will be 21 Sept. They dont hv much importance on short term usually.

Sunday begins the New moon period as Moon will also be in Pisces. But it seems the opex week may turn out to be volatile but still in favor of bulls but I am not sure. I think we should see a dip on Monday even tho it may bounce again.

14th Thur could be very positive so if that is a high day, may be 11, 12, 13 are down days.

Usually new moon in Pisces, peaking at 251 pm cst monday, is bullish but that may not work necessarily as last Full Moon on 4th was supposed to mean negative but it turned out positive. Obviously when human intervention astro fails.

More important is Mars turn into Aries at early hour of 12th March Tuesday. That is critical as Mars rules Aries and same day morning moon goes into Aries which MAY create some down time for 12/13. If 14 is an up day we can be sure we are heading into a high around 19th.

Bull Market's Change of direction ? Unanswered questions

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 13 Mar 2012 15:56:00 +0000

14th March should be a key date for anyone expecting a major Market direction change. 14th to 22nd March period should form a top in major markets.

This being quarterly options expiry week is very crucial for traders.
Expect huge volatility from 13th Afternoon to 16th March specially.

The market should make new highs during the period of 13th and 14th March.
However watch the EU open on 14th March to 14th Evening for extreme moves.
The current trend, one of the longest running bull show, should see some turns from 14th to 21st March.
If nature's cycles are counted the markets should collapse for long, however there are so many interests to keep the market indices in some particular numbers which may keep the market flat or crippled for sure. Bigger the trend, bigger the trend changing time.

You may get a few good opportunities during next 3 days for covering any positions you may have.
Not writing on any specific index, commodity or market for now.

Metals: We could expect massive turns on some metals from early Next week.
Agri commodities: From 21st March big turns may be expected.
Currencies: Big changes from next week.

If you are interested in any specific commodities or assets let us discuss them.

PS: After Hour 13th March: Market as expected rallied in last one hour. As per the various factors, the markets should remain in the same direction for another day.
Situation may begin to change either at Europe open or around early NY hours of March 14th. The week being the expiry week may present even more volatility and sudden gyrations. The key hours should be 13th Mar, 930 PM EST / Asia open -/+ and then at around 2AM EST and 4 AM EST, 14th Mar.
This option month/week/quarter should prove to be very gloomy for expiring short positions unless there is a turn on 14th that appears unlikely due to so many man made manipulations that have become part of Financial news that appear to be crafted and timed deliberately to create an illusion. But then most of the financial markets are smoke and mirror game of illusion that shroud more mystery than religious frauds.

Short term and long term

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Thu, 10 Nov 2011 20:12:00 +0000

Hello

This blog was started as an experiment to work on micro minute day trading timing. We never meant to analyse medium or longer term view.

After stopping work on this blog we tested all time frames and all key commodities and sub-sectors.
I do not think it is worthy to provide trade forecast or indicators on a public blog.
Yet at times to give the reader a helping hand, will add KEY directional changes for swing or short term traders. Sometimes these trend changes can work for 3 days to 3 weeks.

The blog would be published time to time when the trend is about to change. So if you would like to put intelligent comments that make sense do that if not you could also share your views if any.
Major changes are waiting to happen on medium to long term but its pointless to waste time for nowas our main target is short term real time trading.

Timing starting from Nov 11th

Trend will begin to change at EU open on 11th Morning for equities and Euro.

Gold : Trend will change Monday 14th.

Critical week for the market

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 07 Dec 2010 20:14:00 +0000

It is too early to short and too late to go long.

Most every asset is over bought.
This week the market will turn either side, subject to so many variables.
Whatever the scene there may be a final turn or reversal around 10th of Dec.

For now going short unless clear indicators on a particular asset can be risky.
For going long its even riskier. Stay cash and wait.
Do you have any thing to share?

Last 6 weeks of the year Extreme volatility

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Wed, 24 Nov 2010 01:49:00 +0000

As we stated already and we all already know that from Sept 1st the market has not been the regular market because there is an excess amount of unnatural "market" of which it is pointless to discuss anymore or speculate. The best one can do is follow the trend, ride the wave, even though the waves may be pretty short or rather broken waves.

It is hard to predict for now but we can talk about periodic or minor trends of day or the week. The ideal is to follow the daily or 60m charts and program very short term trading.
Some days can be so treacherous that it is even harder for a day trader to sustain any successful setups. So best is to remain on sidelines or just do some speculatory overnight or day trades.

For now just quick glance. We see 29th, 1st Dec, 6th and 7th Very volatile or subject to previous days. Rest of the days for now are shaky or some what positive. Frankly it would be wiser to close any longs on Friday high of the day.
Then be watchful one Dec 1st. It can be slightly treacherous. Overall on a very wider view It will be wise to be careful on your long positions from 29th Nov till 8th Dec. From 9th Dec we expect a more stable wave.

Obviously Equities, indexes, Silver and some other commodities are running inverse to USD but not all and Gold may have its own path. Will try to post more specific closer look at the coming days on this blog which will be added as addendum. Kindly post any comment if any or your questions, answers or suggestions for other passing traders.

In all above we are factoring the coming shocking news around FIRST week of DEC. Unless some timely intervention major trouble may come from the UK and EU and also from China. Keep a watch on News on BANKS in EU from next week.

Will try to add some more later

Dec 2

Astral factors show the same trend to continue till 22nd Dec except 4 or 5 down days but the down could be steep if any. Since there are so many State interventions these markets are not following natural patterns so reversals can be sudden. If it was a natural market the market would reverse around Dec 9th.

A study of EUR shows the trend reversal imminent for next 3 weeks.

Gold : Reaching at a critical level. Any new moves would be very related to news.

Dec 3

Added new comment system enabling any users, from Disqus, yahoo, open id , twitter but also any other unsigned users. When you post without account you could automatically sign up for disqus when posting just by choosing a pass.

The advantage of using your signature or login is that you can own your comments and may delete or amend if needed. All are welcome.

I hope to give for some days some not fuzzy clear signals. PLEASE focus on being very nimble in trading and not hold very long term. Short term positions just in time are only way to survive. Of course you can follow the trend that began on Sept 1 but being an unnatural trend its demise or reversal can not be foreseen by anyone. If you are losing money close or reverse your positions.

If you are merely wasting your time thinking and talking of market without focusing on your own performance, your chance of success is dimmer.

If you want to make money let us discuss and do not follow too many ideas or people. Focus and concentrate on a few set of ideas and indicators and you will succeed. Hey I am not saying it to you only but to me myself, Reza and all my friends. Stop LOSING YOUR MONEY!! Will you?

Is October going to be different than September?

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 08 Oct 2010 20:50:00 +0000

There were as any regular market watcher could see, signs in last few days of Aug. for a change of action and the rally of first few days of Sept was justified.

After running a continual study for quite some time we can say that it is very easy to detect when there is excessive manipulation in the regular natural flow of markets. It is like healing naturally or forcing the body to ingest chemicals that body may not even digest or react to. The healing will still be done naturally but inducing of chemicals sends a positive note to patient's mind and he probably responds to the chemicals too as a reaction.

Markets are a collective effort and despite all all collective ideas or projects be they peaceful or bringing fanatic ideas about, follow a natural course. When the course is deviated, there is always a sequence that must follow the natural course too, albeit at a cost at times higher if the natural course was adapted.

We can call it quantitative easing, remedial actions or whatever fancy names. Most predictive sciences and including fundamental or technical analysis fails when there is an un-natural action for a consistently long period of time.
Most of us know well the causes and circumstances. We are passing through a slightly delicate time of consolidation as the economy transits from one level to another. While China and a few other players are doing great the longer term, US will prevail by all means. Despite the gloomiest aspects and news all around us, and despite the potential of some critical period ahead, the USA will once again dominate as new technologies will change the scene completely. That is on a slightly longer term period.

Reverting to the stock market and commodities and the USD and several key currencies all moves are related to a few actions that are calculated and they become catalyst to change the course of market.

This is the reason I did not post any blog during these days for it is not worth. Sept was one of the most bullish months by now we all know. October is not going to be very different even though there has to be 2 corrections but they may be minor or steep it will depend on many factors.

The best course of action is to play as per the technicals. I can tell you that I only see a reversal in USD course around after 3rd week of Oct.
Some commodities may change or reverse their course from Monday Oct 11 but the key changes may be expected around between 21st and 25th.
If there are any traders reading we can discuss the course of next 3/4 weeks.
The momentum of Sept for now should follow for coming weeks. Now what happens from 2nd week of Nov may be something wild about which we could talk in a short while.

Hope you can follow the technical charts and keep stop losses on any positions. Going short only makes sense when the indicators are absolutely certain.
Few good people I know who trade regularly are engaged in day trades or very brief swing trades. I am not trading for past few months for now.
If there is need or demand I can post at times day's key hours for day traders.

Read analytical articles of current market scene at
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Are these markets really run by humans?

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 07 Sep 2010 16:26:00 +0000

Dear Friends

Apologize for the long delay in posting back. I will be posting or rather editing and adding some stuff later on on this blog. Hope you were able to follow the markets and ride the waves. As you could see Aug was more or less sluggish. But in July and early Sept there was a heavy technical trading momentum which is strengthened by following:
A. High Frequency advanced trading run by computing scripts
B. Heavy institutional buying for longer or shorter term terms
C. Short covering
D. Day trading community doing short swings

Will be back shortly with some projections.

+ SEPT 21 2010

The amazing but a real rally planted for Sept. has been successful. Whether it is plotted, planted or twisted the reality is that markets have been turned around. Obviously there were clear signs of a bearish Sept but if you notice the last week of August despite very little volume was not THAT weak. Then the clear formation of signs arose on last 2 days of Aug. How far the current rally could extend?
Expect a TURN AROUND of the trend for short term between today and 23rd September. The down trend will be sharp, steep, sudden and quick.
Just another preparation for another coming new trend. If you are holding longs cover them NOW. Today at about 12 CST sharp there could be some move that may continue. Wednesday may be a tricky day but expect some changes from today. I wont suggest anyone to go long from today. If you do and confident of certain issue go ahead but overall trend may change from today to Thursday.

+
Dear Greg

Sorry to get back late my friend. I am glad you dint trade cos markets were not really friendly. You are quite right. Please wait for the coming dip and then we could have a stage set for coming bigger rally. Sept rally was bit planted and planned and despite going contra nature trends, it succeeded by sheer volume of large institutional driven moves.

Yes, Astrology when done properly and seriously is a precise science and does work. However Indian astrology's main problem is that it focuses on individual and it is quite good but there is no innovation or research in past years as even Indians look down at it with disdain. That happens because there are lot of charlatan or fake astrologers that cause damage to astrology a pure and high discipline. Once it was considered a divine discipline as it goes beyond the material and goes much further.
I have studied astrology and continue doing it and I use it to scan health of my subject and can diagnose, see causes of any illness and using some natural healing methods we can undo any disease of body and mind. I also use astrology to look at world events and can focus or pin point any geo-economic area including financial instruments but it all requires lot of discipline, hard work, research and focus. There is absolutely no interest in today's fake material surface world in deeper sciences that go beyond the physical so all good works and research never come to light. That shows that all our human misery, suffering is self created and we are not able to fix all issues because we self create our injuries on individual and macro country level collectives.
Solutions to all problems do exist but vested interests and established "industries" wont ever let anyone expose their crooked ways hence the human suffering will continue. See for example the American and to some extent other Western medical practices which is now totally engulfed and controlled by the vast pharmaceutical companies. They will play with genetics and destroy ultimately the human race by extreme stupidity, selfishness and crude materialism and you can see the United States is the sickest country in the world today. Almost 1 in 3 persons at any given time is mentally weak, depressed and suffering in anguish, over 70% are carrying huge wastes on their bodies and literally speaking this is all staged, planned and systematically done. This is the sad karma of USA. The western world is paying for excess greed, lack of love and seeing dollar in every situation of life.
It happens because we deviate from nature.

Serious astral studies guide us to adapt the natural path and course but human in the name of growth is choosing plastic and artificial.
We can not only predict but know fully well what will happen to an individual, a company, a business, a city, country and this planet!!

Welcome to a Hot August - Caution ahead

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Mon, 02 Aug 2010 06:22:00 +0000

Dear Friends

While most of Europe goes on vacations from this weekend and today, we enter into a really volatile month. Focus has been to study the world events which I hate to publish but I decided to write a quick and dirty analysis on 9th July for the other blog at http://astral-guide.blogspot.com

Unfortunately many of the cities and areas have had expected events specially in Pakistan, China, Congo Zaire, Iraq, Afghanistan and few other areas like Kabul, Islamabad, Baghdad and Los Angeles mostly related to physical disasters and many related to water and fire.
I clearly indicated about North Pakistan and Islamabad. North Pakistan has had sudden and massive flooding and more than a million people have lost homes. Its government is doing nothing nor will do because it worries more about its illicit military activity and plotting terror around the world than managing its own territorry. This is a type of predictive projection that I hate and do not like to come to reality but when it does I feel pity that we will never advance because of our cynicism we do not believe that future can be read like our palm. Cant help but to lament.
The only benefit really for writing about future is to make use of these projections in a wise way. Unfortunately our media is only interested in publishing about the past but what is the use of writing what happened already. The idea is that we could write about future as close to reality as possible and people who could be affected could benefit and prepare in advance or to mitigate the losses and escape from the big disasters. I can pinpoint more and more if concerned people, cities or geo-economic areas write. I have done that in past a few times but most people and our media is ridiculously interested in sensation only.

The same goes for financial markets. The entire media talks about what happened already. Based on these stories traders and investors take decisions but that does not prepare them for future.

Now coming to the markets please know that it is not that it is a manipulative action but when the market action is diverging from the natural flows of energies, it becomes like a climbing ride to an unknown height which could also turn into a sudden slide. It becomes a bit unreliable. In these unknown unchartered waters either just follow the technicals as best as possible or use stop losses tightly or simply go cash to avoid any potential disasters.

The First ten days of August are one such period. There is an extreme energy not necessarily positive or negative but nervous one.
Like you may have read dozens of analyses from veteran market forecasters, there is indeed very hot or rather overheated time coming in this first fortnight. What could be expected? Anything.
Frankly there could be some natural catastrophe of great proportions, a danger to a key leader and a potential of a major terror attack or a big military action. If nothing happens it would be much better and wonderful but this is what natural energies are indicating for now.

I see some trouble around Persian Gulf/ Afghan hills, South China Seas and then around Koreas. North Korea may enter into a very awkward and unexpected action but if the sanity pervails and its leader is all right we may pass this time peacefully.

I was writing a brief forecast for August for North Korea to post on other blog. I find it so unusual that I post it here, even though it may not at all become relevant after all but you can never know.
NORTH KOREA Pyongyang :"The period of Aug 1 to 14th specially around 3rd Aug will be very important to watch.
This can bring about changes and impulsive actions.
Things can start happening suddenly that increase the tensions--possibly seemingly unrelated incidents and even accidents. Relationships with Neighbours can become difficult during this period as the tensions affect behavior. It is important to keep open, honest communication with significant opponents. Some impulsive action may happen which if not avoided could bring about some painful experience."

We should expect some extra ordinary event between 2nd to 22 August but more specially around 3rd to 9th and later from 15 to 24th Aug. We hope nothing really happens that can alter ways of the world but in this tumultous times any thing is possible.
Frankly during next coming periods I am expecting some economy related news from France and Germany but I have not been able to pin point its timing but whenever that happens it will impact the markets big time.

For now 2nd August could begin with an upbeat mood and could fizzle after 2/3 hours. 3rd August technically should be very negative but since 4th Aug has some extra ordinary hyper active day anything is possible on these days. For now I see 3rd Aug very negative and 4th very positive but on 4th anything is possible [and this same energy could create either a rally or sell off on 3rd], and so is on 5th and 6th.

Whatever the case overall I see it may not be good to go long from today till 9th August. If you are engaged in day trading short and quick action you could feel safer.
After 10th there is a very interesting period that could be worth working and on this one I will write shortly. So it would be wiser to save energies till 9th.

Specific Commodities : I think there could be some reversal on Soybeans futures shortly.
Will try to post on metals in next few hours additional notes.

Currencies: Despite EUR being very bullish currently I see that there is a potential that EUR and SF should reverse their current course. US Dollar Index may also reverse.

More later. Be safe and try not to risk if possible!

+ Outlook for 3rd August and 4th August Asia/Europe

Whatever the case today Asia and Europe should open negatively. It will weigh on the US markets. For now it is all very uncertain due to great confusion in low volume markets being peak of summer and Europe having very little volume.

+ Just added a comment:

Well after much research I find that there are some factors which show that markets have diverged from fundamentals or any other basis. So this being an unnatural flow nothing can be sure nor reliable. Hereon the best can be rely on some technicals.

If the markets were behaving naturally we would have a slightly difference course but this divergence leaves us in a territory where we can not project on very short term scale.

As I had commented few weeks ago that after the settlement of GS "some big" entities will play some work to recuperate their losses. This is part of that deal.
We can not call it manipulation perhaps but since it is driven by a few key market forces and there is no broad market participation we can not rely on this market. Either stay in cash or go for a few selected stocks or segments that appear to make sense.

AUG 6 2010 Energy of the Trading hours

A fairly interesting day for day traders with clear setups.
Overnight/Overweekend long not a very good idea
Expect a very hyper active day, fast moves, activity of both directions.
Timing here is based on Central Time. For NY EST time add +1 hour.
This timing is about 6 to 12 Minutes -+

Aug 6, 2010     9:05 AM        CST
Aug 6, 2010     9:15 AM        CST
Aug 6, 2010    10:57 AM       CST
Aug 6, 2010    11:31 AM       CST
Aug 6, 2010    11:46 AM       CST
Aug 6, 2010    12:51 PM        CST   important to watch
Aug 6, 2010     2:27 PM         CST

Dear Glen : Thank you for asking.

new WORLD EVENTS PREDICTIONS FOR AUGUST 2010
A New post on world events with emphasis on
+ Impact of solar flares activity
+ Coming 12/13th meteoric showers impact
+ Prognosis for North Korea and few other areas which could be flash points in next few days and weeks.
+Your questions, views or comments are welcome.
http://astral-guide.blogspot.com

+ Aug 11

Hello guys hope all is ok. Markets moved from 10th as expected after a sluggish past week.

We posted few weeks ago not to go long after 9th Aug. It will still be good to remain short or cash at least till next week.

Trading with red numbers

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 16 Jul 2010 14:05:00 +0000

July 16 Trading Day

We already projected and you knew it well what was in store. You can see the markets have fallen badly. Overall a very negative day for any asset except just a few commodities, stocks and currencies.

Now if the decline is steep then Monday could open high initially.

Some key hours that may have minor reversals
10.15 am CST
11.30 am CST
12.05 am CST
11.30 am CST
12.50 am CST

+ We already informed much in advance and discussed it yet skeptics do not believe it. At times when we speak of past we believe it all cos we think it may have happened but when someone speaks of future people ridicule or think this is impossible. That is the wonder of future.
Future looks always impossible and we do not believe till we literally see it.
The markets only favor those who can follow the FUTURE and not the past.
Past is all dead beat data, charts of no value. Past patterns repeat but most market watchers do not know how to fit those patterns with present or future times hence they lose and end up merely speculating.
However if we engage in multi discipline and multi dimension studies and research we can enter into future right now. It is a different realm beyond belief. BUT remember that belief is nothing but a temporary idea of things. There is no permanent belief of any kind any where. Markets are as temporary and unstable like mind, material world and its mirrors and smokes. All the illusory yet visible scene we call belief is because of the past evidence. Yet past is not the answer to "next PAST" we call future.

+ Market JUL 20 - 21

As expected the move of 20th may continue till 21st. If long be alert about 2 hours after open.

+ Many Asian markets should open with a good up gap and may remain strong.
+ European Markets may open green on July 21 too.

COMMODITIES: Some wild reversals may be seen on some metals and Agri/soft commodities from Jul 22. Will specify later.

+ July 30

Dear Friends

Thank you for your posts. I am really sorry for not being able to connect with you through this blog for certain obstacles I have had. Life is not very easy at times.
From today we do enter into a very delicate period for all world issues specially the markets for next 12/13 days literally. Hope the events of next weeks are not harsh but please do take care.

+ Expect some reversals on USD and EUR currency and a few commodities from coming trading days.

Market 14 July to 19 July

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Wed, 14 Jul 2010 19:04:00 +0000

At 2 pm CST or 3 PM EST there could be a last move of today which could be significant if at all.
The market move that was to happen on 14th did occur on 13th.

WHY? Please know that the move that we project for a day can happen during Frankfurt and London open and thus futures already factor that day with all or major move. Or many times the futures at EU close or just few hours before open, make all move. Pinpointing a day thus can have a slip. E.g. on the move of 11th may happened on 10th because major move happened on 9th Sunday Futures. Same way 13th carried most move during EU market. That is why day traders or over night traders can lose a lot if they do not factor this potential.

Hence I prefer a short term or swing trade based on a 2 to 4 days move. At times it is smarter to do an overnight move when very sure. In any case without risking something it is hard to gain much.

If there is no move at the close there could be some move on 15th even though 15th should be a very weak day apparently and whatever happens may not be very stable.

What I observe carefully is that the some stocks have or will reach their peak for now. 15th to 19th one could find some good shorts.

There would be a last move on 20th and 21st July which may propel the markets bit up however if you can find some shorts technically ready you could do so on 15th.

If you are very conservative and do not want to risk short around 21/22 July.
UNLESS there is a miracle or heavy duty manipulation you can short and sleep.
If you short on 15th check out on 16th before close. 19th would be a day of certain great boom and then bust perhaps but we can never know so be careful that day.

I will add more details on specific assets later.

Please see addendum and comments on all blogs as this is just an initial comment.

Countries Markets: There are many countries markets peaking and about to tumble. If you want to discuss any particular ETFs comment.

Metals: Metals are at a critical point and one must be careful before any direction entry.

Currencies : The turn around time is coming and it should happen next week. I expect USD to make a move shortly but I do not see it right now.

Shipping/Freight : As you can see Freight and shipping indices are losing their remaining support. Comment to discuss further.

INSIDERS / Manipulations: Obviously each market and each floor has some manipulation. If you think computers only run the business you are living in a paradise of fantasy.

There are interests that move certain key assets to direct the market. But we can see when there is a divergence between natural energy patterns and man made patterns. I always can detect so easily on any day or week. I get alarmed when I see manipulation and stop all.
At times a totally dead market will suddenly revive. The News is not the real factor but that is used as a mile stone or excuse.
Obviously technical charts do factor all that but there are many many factors which are not shown on technical charts and whatever may be your fundamental views, some things always appear as hidden or unseen.

What is done behind the scenes can be responded with not trying to guess tops or bottoms. I suggest and you already know that. It is futile to try to be panicking and entering a market thinking the first morning or evening star is the way to enter. It can be a treachery and it is wiser to wait and see.
You will notice that we always have sufficient time and absolute clear clue when we should take a train.

+ JULY 15

As you saw we had a very weak open. As projected in past few blogs 15th still has some steam and things can happen.

The key hours for day trading CST

July 15, 2010    9:37 AM
July 15, 2010   10:02 AM
July 15, 2010   10:36 AM

July 15, 2010    1:18 PM and 2.04 PM

+ As you see market did move at last hours. Friday will be a volatile day and if you have any longs close them within one hour or so after open following technicals.
If short just stay on.
I think market still has some more secrets left and the early next part is still left as there are two days and half somewhat positive but it can change. It is not wise to go long right now unless you know an asset.

EUR : Eur made a huge turn today perhaps one of the best in months.
If you are in a position overnight you may like to watch Fri. Euro continues to be strong for few more days and it may diverge from the broader market to which it has followed at times.

+ When you suggest any stock or asset on comments. Please know that any indications that are suggested are for short term and it is very important that you follow through technicals or your own analysis and to get an idea for more days please repost a comment.

I dont mind receiving many mail requests which I usually answer but you could easily post here on the blog. At times I dont check mail and thus miss mail requests. You dont need to divulge your identity or name if you dont wish. Please know I do not charge anything and you can see that any ideas given so far have proven to be mostly correct. You can not find any public site that offers such information for free. Yet since it is without cost some people think it should be worthless info.

Nobody can guarantee any thing but I do lots of hard work, research and only then I write a line.
I do not have this blog for fun, entertainment or my pleasure etc.
I try my best to offer the best I can even though at times there is no feedback from readers. Please know that all this work or plain hints that are provided have enormous research volume invested. It is not using a crystal ball and read:) This is a very serious work and I always share and want you to make use of my work. I just want you to make some gains and if you let me know I will feel my work was worthy enough. I just want some feedback and request that people join this blog or at least comment time to time. Any good feedback and suggestions or contribution in form of any ideas helps all of us. I am grateful to all my friends who take time to comment.
It is a humble yet very serious attempt to help independent, self sufficient traders and small fund managers to get a clue on the markets in clear no-nonsense way without many illustrations or piles of unending info.

If you notice all our broad market indicators are so clear, obvious and plane simple that any one can understand as we have friends from many countries. Despite the simplicity and valuable information many people can never believe and trust:). Despite our best efforts on this or any blog we must verify and confirm with our own system too always. Never ever follow anyone blindly or you will pay a heavy cost. I started this blog because some free and very expensive services that are all over advertising and well known are nothing but scams and fraudulent for they deceive. I decided to offer quality info for no cost to all hard working traders.

July 16 Trading Day

We already projected and you knew it well what was in store. You can see the markets have fallen badly. Overall a very negative day for any asset except just a few commodities, stocks and currencies.

Now if the decline is steep then Monday could open high initially.

Some key hours that may have minor reversals
10.15 am CST
11.30 am CST
12.05 am CST
11.30 am CST
12.50 am CST

Market gyrations for day traders on 12th July

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Mon, 12 Jul 2010 13:46:00 +0000

Expect a fast move today at/after 9.50 AM EST / 8.50 AM CST
This move could run for about half hour.

Overall a choppy day. Positive but not to expect much gain.
Market would perhaps change at about 2 PM EST / 1 PM CST

Other Key hours CST - Expect very sudden moves today.
Gold will keep gyrating in a range. Watch for an intra day move around 2 PM est / 1 pm cst

July 12, 2010    9:21 AM
July 12, 2010   11:55 AM
July 12, 2010   12:50 PM
July 12, 2010    1:05 PM
July 12, 2010    1:50 PM

Agri / Soft Futures: Sugar, Wheat and Rough Rice may make some moves.

It is not a very good idea to go short on long term as yet on broad market.

T-Bonds : Move began today instead of Fri. May continue till 13th vigorously.

+ Gold to gyrate in a range. Watch for an intra day move around 2 PM est / 1 pm cst

+ First two days of this week bad for day trading.

Expect Tuesday, a worse day than today so handle with care. In this environment it is naive to decide a direction.
If you want to position search for a few longs Tuesday some time.

T-Bonds may make a better move tomorrow.

JULY 13

Well there was powerful strength for day 14th but it advanced one day. 14th continues to be a very hot day for bulls. Some stocks will surely reach their top on Wednesday.
You could search for good short positions on 14th. If you want the best hour I could suggest.

HOWEVER do not yet consider this final as yet. The bull run will continue after a short interval but we are very close to the peak and big fall will be imminent shortly. Many people who do not understand timing will lose all they have.

More later ..

July 9 trading day View

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 09 Jul 2010 13:52:00 +0000

+ Who will win the world cup football? A probability study
http://astral-guide.blogspot.com/2010/07/who-will-win-world-cup-football-and-eu.html

+ The solar eclipse this weekend is an extremely important KEY timing event and what happens beyond this will be a totally new scene for the Economies of the world. Read forthcoming brief on its potential outcome at http://astral-guide.blogspot.com

Another great trading day for nimble traders. Great volatility today.

Good setups since 6th as projected earlier. Protect any longs about 11 AM EST / 10 cst

Gold : If long keep a watch. Rally may continue Monday. A stop loss around 1205 should be ok.

T-Bonds : look for opportunity after / around 11am est or earlier

Sugar Oct : Stop loss for today. Look again Tues

CD AD continue

CL Stop loss. Can be treacherous today n Monday.

Metals : good setups

Agri and soft : v interesting

KEY hours ALL TIMES CST 12 Minutes -/+

Most important Pivot hour : 9 am cst and 10.10 cst

July 9, 2010   12:21 PM
July 9, 2010    1:32 PM
July 9, 2010    1:41 PM
July 9, 2010    2:24 PM
July 9, 2010    2:48 PM

Additional comments:
If your longs get stopped out it would be better to not re-enter for now and wait for Monday. Today is a good day for day trading but expect very choppy and some extreme moves. Look at your technicals carefully before risks.

For next week some sectors/sub-sectors/stocks will boom and some others will fizzle out or lose great deal. Position carefully. Shorting broader market is not suggested.

+ The readings here are only for extremely nimble and experienced traders with a conservative approach who can understand the risks but must mitigate losses. Any bleed control of any position is actually real factor.
The hints or indicators are only for very short term and do not offer long term views.

+ Real effective traders do not let opinionated or biased news or views affect their decisions. Sites, Media, Blogs that write frustrations, negativity or reactive notes do not help real traders. Just focus on real time facts of the CURRENT market scene and do not be affected by what "others say". Do what you feel is right and get feeds from a few credible sources, digest them, analyze them but BELIEVE ONLY what you think is right and follow your instinct. When in doubt, question, comment and share.

+ Please share your views, comments, thoughts without hesitation. You may post without any sign ups.

+ Who will win the world cup football? A probability study
http://astral-guide.blogspot.com/2010/07/who-will-win-world-cup-football-and-eu.html

+ The solar eclipse this weekend is an extremely important KEY timing event and what happens beyond this will be a totally new scene for the Economies of the world. Read forthcoming brief on its potential outcome at http://astral-guide.blogspot.com

The week of 28 june July 2 and beyond

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 29 Jun 2010 18:18:00 +0000

If you have followed this blog in past you can see nothing literally has changed as per our view and as depicted last week the period of 18 to 29this is horribly negative.
Today is a real negative day with literally no positive aspect of any kind anywhere in sight. Does that mean that once this is over we are in for a better time!
Well unfortunately what I see is that this week may still be weak while June is almost over we still have June the 30th. It should be just slightly less negative and since it is a weak day with low volume something may lift up the market or may be there could be some consolidation.

July 1st may bring in some hope element and some confidence should return possibly forming a doji kind of day. July 2nd will lift up European and Asian markets to some extent with some hopeful event and the day could be just another consolidation day with more positive results. Next week 5th will be more eventful offering some interesting changes and confidence should be returning.

If all goes fine the next week should end up positive and higher than previous 2 weeks.
Will add more later.

+ If you hold any shorts it will be important to watch the period of 30th to 1st July.
From 5th/6th July there could be a real turn. Some sectors will have major turn.

+ If you trade Gold, look for signals on 2nd July and 5th July. I will provide a good clue in next days.

June 30

+ If you study tech analysis the H&S formation appears to be a reality now. What do you think and whats your opinion. In my careful studies I find that H&S formation is on its way and absolutely right to the point.
I will suggest extreme care with buying. To cover short in some stocks could be a good idea between today and tomorrow as per the technicals.

If you have any particular stock please comment and we can discuss. I did some studies recent IPOs and some random companies.
Many companies show their strength despite the weakness in broader market. And others just get strength when the broad market is bullish.
You see the difference. The stocks with their own particular strength always perform irrespective of the general trends.

+ As suggested yesterday 29th be careful today and it will most probably be another weak day.

+ TESLA IPO: As you see heavy volume big time speculatory move. Read analysis brief in comments.

Days ahead n next week

+ Expect hot moves on 1st but more on 2nd. Please do cover any shorts unless fundamental or technicals showing exceptions by 1st.

+ Expect huge and major turn around next week. I see some assets making real big moves. Obviously this has its timing.

+ Best would be as I had suggested in early June to find some assets that you know. You could comment here and we could discuss. I am analyzing some particular assets for now. Some will move only next week and some will keep moving for 2 weeks.
Interesting opportunity for short term / swing traders.

July 1

As you can say markets have entered into a red alert zone because there is literally no positive energy left. It will take a weekend and more to get back.
Currently it is mostly automated trading whereby the stop losses are being hit and we are in a free fall.
This correction as we discussed on 18th and earlier continues till today.
It is probable that after mid day session the mood may alter.
As projected earlier later tonight I have a feeling that Asia may open somewhat positive and perhaps later Europe, which may impact the local markets too.
Today the worst we already see but the best if there could be a minor gain forming a morning star type of signal.

+ Longer term view: July could be a very shaky month the market indicators will be confusing and many fake setups. So handle with care.

+ Silver : It is not going to run parallel to Gold most probably but its own course. Pl see comments section.
+ Gold : I see a huge burst of Gold price next week but I cant confirm it as yet as it can be in any direction. It is possible that there is a bounce and then bust.

+ Pl see comments section for latest input or ideas. Will be posting a fresh blog later on this weekend. This weekend will be very important time for markets and its watchers.

+ FUTURES trading hours for coming holiday
http://worldmarketpulse.blogspot.com/2010/06/futures-trading-hours-for-coming.html

Week June 21 - 25 - how to decipher and what to trade

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 18 Jun 2010 19:34:00 +0000

If you are an active trader or position investor you must very carefully focus on the coming week and the week after. The week after start 28 June to 2nd July may have slightly different tone and we can analyze it probably next week. Just keep in mind that during that week I see 2/3 slightly positive days but it possible that in a bigger picture they may be minor spikes.

Reading this week :
If you see the daily SPX is giving confusion signals in other words dont know which direction to go. It is however sitting on a certain good support or momentum but this can turn to any side any time. If you see weekly spx shows rising and with upward moment for past 2 weeks.
Technically if SPX crosses 1120 area it can have a bigger potential.

Having said that looking at non-traditional analysis, I clearly see much weakness mostly that will not give much direction except 21st and 23/24th show some weak strength but from past experience such strength is very temporary or rather momentary and dont aggregate to any new momentum.

The eclipse of 26th falls on a Saturday but its impact may not be very solid on the markets as much as the next one of July.

In brief the overall market may be quite weak and one may choose a direction either today or on 21st Monday with some selective assets going with a credit or debit spread put perhaps or some other strategy with more negative bias.

From historical perspective there is a signal that broad market may go up from later part of Monday and rally till Tuesday and or Wednesday and then drop. If you are not interested in extreme risk you could wait for early next week.

If you are seeking a long term plan you could go short on some assets that you follow either today, next week 23rd or on 2nd July. There is going to be pretty negative environment overall. But there are always miracles and sudden shocks so there could be some rally day but overall picture for now is not very bright. I usually have a very upward and positive approach but despite all my optimism when I see negativity or gray areas more or rather lesser light I usually see that markets do not go to any direction. A weak market can be slightly dangerous to work.
We are talking here broader market perspective.

If you have some particular stocks or key stocks of any particular sub-sector/sector please post or comment and I can review them. Usually my reading on individual asset is closer to reality, upon which I am constantly working trying to find correlations.

There are no real crystal balls or ways to see into future except genuine research and non stop comparative studies of past patterns which are necessary to project future.
Yes through certain psychic means we can visualize certain hint of future but in market analysis we can not rely on those kind of faint hints. I do not believe in all that as its a waste.
We need real time clear indicators and these indicators work well on intermediate terms.
The only thing one can do is real research and constantly improving upon the methods and techniques. That is what I have been doing and I find amazing possibilities.

Many commodities are going to reverse coming Monday so be watchful on agri commodities.

+ JUNE 21 2010

Please see comments section for vital comments on trading day/s at the bottom of this blog.

+ Today is going as expected and I wonder how many people will be trapped by the Bullish sentiment. Today evening later things will begin to change and those who buy will be reconsidering their positions but would wait till Tuesday.

+ As suggested if you would like to search for key assets that you know it will be a good day to do so but suggest that you go for downward direction that has more chances. If not wait till 23rd. or July first week. It is wiser not to go long in this period on broad markets.

+ Pl do not hesitate to write on specific assets as things change every day. Since I write mainly on broader markets unless we discuss a specific market, asset or commodity it is hard to pinpoint.
The objective of this blog is that we share quality info that makes sense for all of us. If you win we all win. I just wish to contribute positively and please remind me always as I am stuck with so many things always.

+ JUNE 22 2010

There is absolutely nothing that has changed since last reading.
Please do not risk your portfolio. Read the blog and comments carefully.

This time entail great risks even for day trades.

Markets potential for the remaining month and years

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Thu, 17 Jun 2010 18:52:00 +0000

June : If you see my blog of June 15 I suggested to cover any longs before 17th/18th. The market non the less was supposed to do slightly well this morning and then go into hybernation but it is possible that todays misactions or actions can have a retarded effect Friday or later at close. From 18th to 29th the markets will behave very strange. The major reversal can happen between 21st and 23th. July and August may pose a totally unexpected scenario!

I am going to study on micro level and will post if anyone interested.
I am also studying major components or key assets to get a mean or average instead of just studying broader indexes. Because the drivers of indexes are these key assets or stocks.
It is important to not focus on broader indexes except to keep a watch on the trends. To make any real profits it is important to focus on individual assets. You will notice I repeated this many times lately but it has a deep meaning.

Long term impact
Jupiter the most important planet that favors traders, investors and all banking & finance related professionals will be extremely affected for a time to come as Jupiter had a massive explosion on 3rd June, whereby a huge meteor like object plunged on its surface. It is a major impact on the planet. If it was on Earth it will shatter massive parts of our planet. Jupiter is like a super planet whereby our poor planet is just a little babe.

Our planet could not even sustain a minor blow that hit million year ago where we have now Grand canyon range from North Mountain going to North Mexico.
Jupiter has extremely large sphere of energy and more moons than all close planets that affect our Earthial ring. The great activity at Jupiterian sphere will cause major setbacks and changes for our world. These moons are extremely active, friendly and very very beneficial to Jupiter and all planets of our galaxy. A few of them are also being in major transition.

Major changes

You will notice extreme changes in Financial and all markets from now on not only for months to come but forever. Some major changes that are coming will change the way we live, think and work but that would be seen gradually over the coming months and next 3 years. To start with we have entered a period of massive change and anything will happen.

It is a time when many fortunes will be made and many existing fortunes will be shattered forever or lost into oblivion. People who amassed wealth by crooked means or with sins will lose it. People with good and noble karmic past will see better results. In brief, wealth or whatever we call to the liquid energy will change hands as always but this pattern is shifting after 12600 years literally. The motors of change have just ignited. The change on our planet has begun. The literal impact on our trade, industry, financial markets, money or capital fluid and all our human activities will have extreme changes over next 3 years from this and coming few week.

You can mark these words and keep them for future reference. Besides the extreme activity at Jupiter there are some interactions that will cause major and subtle changes which will be sudden, shocking yet perhaps necessary for our evolution.

NASA / ESA / Jupiter Impact Science Team
A comparison of Jupiter's disk from July 23, 2009, and May 9, 2010, shows how the planet's stripes have changed. The earlier image also highlights a "Great Black Spot" left behind in the far southern hemisphere.

See few of the Moons of Jupiter:

I have been busy in a few projects and dint have time post a blog. I am thinking to write blogs in advance and time them to post automatically.

+ Please read carefully the comments section to learn more about the Markets this month.
Your views are most welcome.

16th June the day after - Trading in challenging times

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Wed, 16 Jun 2010 14:50:00 +0000

I noted yesterday that to project this month one could compare with second half of April. Today is a difficult day for any one as projected, why because after too much of optimism or pessimism a reaction is obvious.

How to go in a difficult environment?
Any asset, commodity or stock require some knowledge of broad markets direction.
Once we know that more or less for one week, it is then good to select just one day to decide the direction for a swing trade. Then follow through that. When markets do not have much of a trend, volatility is caused by uncertainty the best approach is to go cash or if have some time to focus, decide the direction and go for max 2 days. I have found that an overnight or two days swing trade makes more sense.
If we know the direction of one whole month and more or less know where the markets are heading it is good to go with a week to two swing trade and keep a watch.

Going on long term that is 2 to 3 months is only good in exceptional cases where we know the seasonality, trend or some particular reason. If you notice the experienced traders are recommending not to go long term. When you are an institutional and you have other objectives you could have a different approach but lately you will notice even larger players are careful in speculating.

Please write your experience and ideas on the best way to trade.

Stocks, Options/Leaps or ETFs

Whether we do futures, index or any sector or stocks there are many options obviously.
In current environment choosing the mode or instrument is another challenge.
As per my experience and few other traders going mid term to long term options makes more sense.
If we do options some people only do calendar spreads and other do credit/debit spreads.
Whatever we decide if we do not know the timing or our direction or bias is wrong we could lose in any way. I have noticed that one could even lose in so called safe bets like iron condors if your timing is wrong.

After thinking and experiencing a great deal I concluded few months ago that the KEY to success in trading is timing and then secondary is choosing the right mechanism.

Please share your experience and opinion.

15th June Trading day for day traders

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 15 Jun 2010 13:25:00 +0000

Today could present a good opportunity to go on long side in some cases but only for the day.

General market reading

One vital factor one must keep in mind while making a bias for the day is that many times or most of the times the news, factors, events that were initiated day before but whose effect was not felt at that particular moment may appear as a retarded effect. This factor can cause an otherwise perfect direction day to turn to other side and when that happens you should know if the trend continues after lunch.

To give you a clue on longer term in brief consider these days of June as of April of this year. Even though we do not seem to have any direction there are more possibilities of a bullish side as many people are expecting it. Yes there would be few bullish days during next few days but focusing only on general market indexes can be risky. There are opportunities but good for day trades.
If you must go overnight keep a watch on positions on 17th and 18th and possibly a stop loss or tighter control. In my personal reading 18th can be a very volatile and risky day. We should reach a peak around that time or between 21 to 23 June.
There is an element of unexpected or anything-can-happen time from 18th to 25 June so go with caution and focus on a few assets that are familiar to you.

Frankly for a day trader focusing on day's energy is very important.

Key hours that could trigger reversals or some worthy moves

June 15, 2010 9:05 AM CST 10.05 est
June 15, 2010 9:52 AM CST 10.52 est
June 15, 2010 10:45 AM CST 11.45 est
June 15, 2010 1:14 PM CST 2.14 est
June 15, 2010 2:48 PM CST 3.48 est

How to make real profits
Stocks: I am now studying selected individual stocks and focusing on them is much more interesting than just gambling or putting all your time on predicting general indexes trends. Real profits are not always possible by only doing indexes unless you are doing micro timing futures. To make it really consistent profits it is vital to specialize on a few stocks or sub-sectors that make sense to you.
I can help as I said before in giving an analysis that you wont ever find anywhere else. My analysis factors in some technical analysis too but if by your own tech
and or fundamental/basic analysis you have some assets post here and we could find key pivot dates in concrete. Of course general markets direction is important but real profits are made when we focus on few commodities that we specialize or sectors/sub-sectors of stocks that we understand.

Communication and feedback
I know blog writing is a passive business but some interactivity is essential or necessary as this blog is shared between us to exchange some views too. I do not believe in reading too much or too many channels, media, sites. I will even suggest to avoid reading common or very popular trading sites specially the views as they always confuse real traders mind.
Focus on methods that always give you consistent results. Read others just to clarify any doubts.
I believe in looking at news, views and bla bla to see what others think but all this must be filtered and keep the junk away to form a real pure opinion.
It is also important to plan in advance to succeed including for day trades.

I invite you to post your views, ideas or suggestions on specific assets and we will analyze them. My view can give you 70 to 90% of more probability thus adding some value. If I see confusion or doubts I say so.

Wishing the best for your success in trading. It is most important to keep your portfolio alive and in balance. Some losses are at times good because we prepare ourselves better. Idea is to not over trade but trade wisely.

BP: I still dont see much chance but 23rd June to 25th June can produce some change so watch out just before that.

Gold: Not yet.

Comments: Thank you Mbeider, Gin, Yushan and Reza for your positive thinking and good vibrations. Thank you for your encouragement and feedback.

+ Please ask inquire suggest or answer specific questions on the general aspects or specific assets. It will help you and a few others. When a few other people benefit from your suggestion you get a vibratory credit somewhere that ultimately helps you.

+ You may like to read comments for Forecasting and analysis on many key commodities or assets/stocks.

+ If you want to quote this blog on any forum please kindly quite the whole URL http://astralguide.blogspot.com

June 4th Friday Ride day and a view of the month

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Fri, 04 Jun 2010 13:41:00 +0000

Please know this month and coming months will be very connected to global events on geo-political scene involving critical time for some heads of states, countries and areas with great political upheaval, military action, violence and natural catastrophes. The markets will be mimicking to some extent these events which may keep popping up. the events will be focused on some particular areas but will be prominent in the areas where the troubles began on 7th of April. This is a very bad and negative period of the countries in trouble and crisis. Around 7th a few surprising events can decide the flow of markets.

If you read blog of past 3 days you see that we had talked about 4th being a very volatile day that will offer good intra day lows to hunt for bargains.

Yet for very short term trend June offers highly volatile but less volatile than May opportunities with risk. The best is to go with particular assets that one follows.

IN MOST CASES however going long on intermediate term poses extreme risks and one must as I said consider thinking of assessing particular assets or sectors that one has grip on. Best is to consult and check its technicals and then consider working on it.

DAY TRADING:

Trade with great caution. Intra day volatility will remain there.

+ There is an intra day trade opport on Silver at 1030 am EST and for Gold at 11 AM EST. Make a note and see your futures.

+ Gold did move as above at 11 PM EST and made a full 13 point move. This shows that somethings work.

+ Please know that micro moves are usually for very short duration and must be confirmed by technicals.

SHORT TERM SWINGS

Considering the hyper volatility that I see on a longer scale June may still pose risks so I will not be recommending any long positions for now for the overall market conditions are very risky.

THE reason I say that is that when you study individuals assets they have their own volatility but some assets and sectors always show better results than wider markets. When we study general market or major indicators like S&P or DJIA the indicators are not very encouraging. There are two kind of studies overall universal planetary conditions which is like fundamental analysis and then focused on some key assets which is highly focused analysis and then one can get a mean out of that. In brief June continues to be bad even though it wont be as sharp as May. Considering all above I suggest studying individual assets and go with the direction that is more likely irrespective of general markets. Hope this makes sense.

However we can study some individual assets which will do well in some brief time frames. It will be wiser to focus only on those.
Keep the above in mind before committing any longer swing trades.
Very short term swing trades on some sectors like High tech, Technology, defense, Metals, Steel, Clothing, Trading, selective retail may work for this month specially from 8th June onwards.

+ If you see my blogs of 1st June 2nd June you can see what I wrote. It has happened exactly as I mentioned. Two up days and two down days.
I also wrote on 1st when the market was drowning to COVER any longs on 2nd JUNE.
Because I foretold that 3rd was volatile n 4th was down.
If anyone had covered their longs on 2nd intra day high, today at this hour could be a great time again to reenter.

+ If you buy Gold or related stocks today for short term, stop loss on 8th and cover them or protect by 9th.

Critical trading days volatility

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Thu, 03 Jun 2010 13:15:00 +0000

Today, Friday and Monday are slightly critical and volatile days.
The market today may do well but there could be obstacles in the early hours.
As wrote yesterday it could be a huge spike or slide down or just very volatile.

Friday could be an interesting and volatile day to look for good buys.
Going long from this week could prove to be beneficial if you go with the right assets.
If there is no major event happening during the next days Monday onwards markets could lift up vigorously. 7th looked very negative initially but factoring the weekend it could be a great day.

Eur: Euro and few other currencies could turn around between 7th and 8th June.

+ As you can see the market is extremely volatile. But what I see is an up market from next week and unless there is an extreme case nothing could stop that. However this up trend will have a limited duration.

Questions, answers or opinions are welcome.

How to trade this week and the coming one - day trading on 2nd June 2010

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Wed, 02 Jun 2010 14:12:00 +0000

The rally that started in second week of February had no correction for literally till 4th week of April. In my unholy grail track I found that twice there was strong manipulation to jack up the markets. If they had let the Feb first week fall continue a very good natural energy would have lifted the stocks anyway by early March.
Whenever there is manipulation technical indicators will also defy the logic.
In March there were few days when there was hardly any move and it was all done by a few very large players. When we try to build a house without solid foundations it sustains only for a while. Now we are paying the consequences. Too much of rush and bullishness followed by excessive fear and panic.

The question many people are asking when this fear will mitigate or when the fresh enthusiasm will reappear?
Seeing the natural energy patterns it will be on 8th of June.
Before that all that happens is merely spikes and some over sold market reaction. Buyers coming in big numbers may not be likely but slowly the momentum will be built up and next week should see some new moves.

Frankly I am keeping a watch on daily and micro intra day moves but now I am focusing on an intermediate 2/3 months term view because real gains are only possible if we know the wider frame. Thinking of very long term like years in current environment is only good for larger hedge and secure funds.

If you are an independent trader or smaller fund manager, the best is to focus on a period of 3/4 months for maximum.

I am sorry I could not post my blog earlier on 31st but 1st June had a huge slide simply for the negative energy of 31st and also a long holiday weekend.

This week:

This is a rather unpredictable week but just seeing the energy today 2nd June should prove to be positive after all.

3rd could either be very steep fall or a big spike but frankly it is negative and 4th appears as very volatile day. These are ideal days for day traders.

4th could be an interesting day to hunt for bargains on some of sectors and stocks that you understand.
I will post later a few sectors I am studying that I think will have major move from this week on.

TODAY 2nd JUNE Day Trading Key hours

11.30 am EST / 10.30 am CST
1.00 pm est / 12.00 CST

2.45 pm est / 1.45 pm cst CAUTION
3.40 pm est / 2.40 pm cst interesting

+ If you want I can provide a view on any sector, commodity or stock for a swing trade.

Please be specific and give me your brief analysis or understanding and I will give you a view. If we plan properly we can win. Please do not ever forget that in the markets technical indicators are not always the best way to enter even though they are useful. The real factor is proper timing. If you time improperly chances to win are lesser.

+ Notice a few sectors that were oversold are bouncing back.

Will June be a reversal of May?

noreply@blogger.com (prognosis) — Tue, 01 Jun 2010 14:20:00 +0000

Finally a new month starts with hope even though on a negative note.
June may not reverse all losses of May but it will be a much better month or rather could have a few good trading weeks despite many sharp conflicts causing spikes and slides.

This current week the markets will be up and down and 2 days would be very interesting and 2 very down days.

It would be better to cover any longs on 2nd somewhere.
You could explore Fri perhaps for view to 2nd week.

Today after 1030 AM EST or 930 am CST market may do some reversal.
Be careful at 1.30 PM EST or 12.30 PM CST.

CRITICAL TIME
+ Between 3rd and 7th there could be some military maneouver somewhere and or some sort of conflict which could cause everything to be in critical situation so be careful.