<?xml version="1.0" encoding="utf-8" standalone="no"?><rss xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" version="2.0"><channel><title>Fractals of Change</title><description>nothing great has ever been accomplished without irrational exuberance</description><managingEditor>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</managingEditor><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jun 2025 21:31:34 -0400</pubDate><generator>TypePad http://www.typepad.com/</generator><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/</link><language>en-us</language><item><title>Eliminating Iranian Nuclear Sites is Right for America and Peace</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2025/06/eliminating-iranian-nuclear-sites-is-right-for-america-and-peace.html</link><category>Current Affairs</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Sat, 21 Jun 2025 21:31:34 -0400</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202e861042106200d</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">"Death to America" has been Iran's refrain since the Mullah's took power and seized Americans hostages two generations ago. We should not and hopefully did not leave them with the means to make good on that threat. Unlike the situation in Iraq, there is no doubt that Iran has been working towards nuclear weapons. We (and the UN) knew both where and how that development was happening. Those sites have now been severely damaged (at least) and hopefully destroyed.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Trump was right to  attack when diplomacy failed. I disagree with him on other issues; that doesn't maker him wrong or unworthy of support on Iran.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">There is legitimate fear of Iranian retaliation. Think how much more we would have to fear if we waited until they had a deliverable nuclear weapon (or if we were still dependent on middle eastern oil). Now was the right time.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Israel, for its own very good reasons, cleared the Iranian skies for the American attack. Our attack, of course, helped protect Israel. But destroying Iran's nuclear capability and responding to whatever retaliation Iran attempts puts America first.</p>]]></content:encoded><description>"Death to America" has been Iran's refrain since the Mullah's took power and seized Americans hostages two generations ago. We should not and hopefully did not leave them with the means to make good on that threat. Unlike the situation in Iraq, there is no doubt that Iran has been working towards nuclear weapons. We (and the UN) knew both...</description></item><item><title>Summaries of Vermont Legislative and Floor Sessions Added to GoldenDomeVT.com</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2025/03/summaries-of-vermont-legislative-and-floor-sessions-added-to-goldendomevtcom.html</link><category>goldendomevt</category><category>Vermont</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Thu, 20 Mar 2025 14:53:49 -0400</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202e860e594b8200b</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<h2 xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><span style="font-size: 13pt; color: #0080ff;">All 2,600 meetings from 2025 session now available as both summaries and SmartTranscripts</span></h2>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860fc9513200d-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;"> </a><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860e594c0200b-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false"><img alt="Screenshot 2025-03-20 145017" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451cce569e202e860e594c0200b img-responsive" src="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860e594c0200b-500wi" style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" title="Screenshot 2025-03-20 145017"/></a><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860fc9513200d-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;"><br/></a><br/>Since January an increasing number of reporters, advocates, bloggers and interested citizens have been visiting <a href="https://goldendomevt.com">https://goldendomevt.com</a> for <strong>SmartTranscripts</strong> of the 2,600 committee and floor meetings of the Vermont legislature which have occurred so far this year. SmartTranscripts combine the searchability and skimmability of text with the depth of video and audio.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">However, with more than 50 new meetings posted each legislative day, even skimming through transcripts can take too long – especially for those who want to engage with committees in time to influence legislation. By the time a bill leaves committee, the range of possible solutions to the issue it addresses has usually been drastically narrowed.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Smarter Search, Faster Insights</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">The most requested features from <strong>GoldenDomeVT</strong> users were:</p>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Concise summaries</strong> of each meeting.</li>
<li><strong>A way to search the entire archive</strong> of SmartTranscripts, now housing 2,600 (and counting) documents.</li>
</ol>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Now, both <strong>SmartSearch</strong> and <strong>AI-generated summaries</strong> are available on the site. GoldenDomeVT is free, non-commercial, and non-partisan—it does not require registration or collect personal data.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">In just a few days since launching the summaries, site traffic from Vermont has increased by nearly 25%.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>User comments on summaries:</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“This is so helpful! Thanks for doing this.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">”Woot woot!!!!!!”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“How great, thank you for letting me know.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“What an Elegant and fine feature. Thank you so much. “</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“This is super helpful! I’ll take it for a spin. A year from now we’ll wonder how we got along without a tool like this.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“FANNNNTASTIC!!!! Thank you, Tom!” </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“Wow! This is incredible and I bet there is a great deal of positive feedback.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>An abundance of information</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Since Covid, all Vermont legislative meetings have been available as YouTube videos. These recordings are valuable for reviewing what actually happened and why. However, finding the right meeting or learning in time that something significant has happened to a bill has been nearly impossible.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I initially developed SmartTranscripts to help our Vermont’s very small press corps  better cover the all-important committee meetings. But the user base has grown far beyond the formal press corps, and users told me that even having textual transcripts to skim and search individually didn’t let them find what they needed quickly enough.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> So, with the able assistance of ChatGPT, which did most of the new coding, I added SmartSearch and summaries to make the growing collection of data more accessible.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Results:</p>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li>Summaries are now more popular than full SmartTranscripts.</li>
<li>Summaries often get more views than the official YouTube recordings they’re based on.</li>
<li>Total hits on SmartTranscripts have also increased—people can now quickly find the meetings they need to examine in detail.</li>
</ul>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>But what about hallucination?</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Both SmartTranscripts and the summaries are generated by AI. Neither are checked by humans. SmartTranscripts are only slightly more accurate than closed captioning and speaker identification is sometimes incorrect. However since SmartTranscripts link directly to clips in the official video, anything important can and should be checked. Hallucination, the tendency of large language models (LLMs) like ChatGPT to make stuff up, is not a significant problem with summaries so long as the LLM is instructed properly to make the summary only from the data in the transcript and not from what it thinks it knows about the world beyond.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>See also:</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KS17MKD4T68&amp;t=36s">2/26/2025 Beyond the Web: Tom Evslin</a> </strong>(a talk I gave at Indiana State University on GoldenDomeVT and the technology behind it)</p>]]></content:encoded><description>All 2,600 meetings from 2025 session now available as both summaries and SmartTranscripts Since January an increasing number of reporters, advocates, bloggers and interested citizens have been visiting https://goldendomevt.com for SmartTranscripts of the 2,600 committee and floor meetings of the Vermont legislature which have occurred so far this year. SmartTranscripts combine the searchability and skimmability of text with the depth...</description></item><item><title>The 2025 Vermont Legislative Session is Being SmartTranscribed</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2025/01/the-2025-vermont-legislative-session-is-being-smarttranscribed.html</link><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Sat, 11 Jan 2025 11:59:51 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202e860df7dc6200b</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><span style="font-size: 13pt; color: #0080ff;">The first three days of 2025 legislature are now history – and SmartTranscripts for committee and floor discussions are all on <a href="https://goldendomevt.com">https://goldendomevt.com. </a></span></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Unlike video, SmartTranscripts enable keyword and speaker-specific searches, allowing users to quickly find relevant content. By highlighting text in a transcript, users can instantly view the corresponding video clip. This combination of text and video ensures accuracy and adds valuable context through body language and facial expressions.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Early users include reporters pleased to find an immediate transcript of Governor Scott’s inaugural address, bloggers watching the newly reconstituted committees closely, and state employees tracking the committees whose actions affect them.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860f69346200d-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false"><img alt="Screenshot 2025-01-11 115120" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451cce569e202e860f69346200d img-responsive" src="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860f69346200d-320wi" style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" title="Screenshot 2025-01-11 115120"/></a></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">See also:</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a href="https://www.wcax.com/2024/12/17/new-website-promises-inside-look-vermont-legislature/">WCAX coverage</a></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a href="https://www.wamc.org/news/2025-01-02/new-website-aims-to-increase-transparency-and-access-to-all-vermont-legislative-committee-meetings">WAMC coverage</a></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Here's the press release:</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>For Immediate Release</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Contact:</strong> Tom Evslin</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Phone:</strong> (802) 798 8069</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Email:</strong> <a href="mailto:tom@goldendomevt.com">tom@goldendomevt.com</a></p>
<h2 xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>GoldenDomeVT.com Launches with SmartTranscripts for 2025 Vermont Legislature Meetings</strong></h2>
<h2 xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Unique SmartTranscripts Empower Vermonters to Affect Legislative Action at the Committee Level</h2>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Stowe, VT – January 9, 2025</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">GoldenDomeVT.com introduces a groundbreaking way for Vermonters to engage with their legislature. For the first time, anyone can access free, searchable SmartTranscripts of House and Senate floor meetings and committee sessions, transforming how citizens, reporters, and officials stay informed and involved.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">The first SmartTranscripts for this year were posted yesterday following floor meetings of the House and Senate.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Unlike video, SmartTranscripts enable keyword and speaker-specific searches, allowing users to quickly find relevant content. By highlighting text in a transcript, users can instantly view the corresponding video clip. This combination of text and video ensures accuracy and adds valuable context through body language and facial expressions.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">The website<a href="https://goldendomevt.com"> https://www.goldendomevt.com</a> is now in open Beta mode with SmartTranscripts of meetings from the first three days of the current legislative session, as well as a selection of SmartTranscripts from the end of the 2024 session. New meetings are added as soon as their videos are posted—usually immediately after the meetings end.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">User feedback during this Beta phase will help refine the platform and make it more useful. Feedback, including bug reports and suggestions for improvement, can be sent to contact@goldendomevt.com.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">GoldenDomeVT.com is a free service requiring no registration, is free of advertising, and does not request or collect personal information. The code used to create SmartTranscripts and the website will be released as shareware on GitHub, enabling others to build on the platform or adapt it for their local use.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Technical Details</strong></p>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li>The website is hosted on AWS (Amazon Web Services).</li>
<li>SmartTranscripts are created using Deepgram's machine-learning transcription technology.</li>
<li>Speaker identification leverages OpenAI's ChatGPT.</li>
<li>Meeting videos, hosted on the Vermont Legislature's YouTube channel, are linked to but not modified.</li>
</ul>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>About Tom Evslin</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a href="https://blog.tomevslin.com/about-tom-evslin.html">Tom Evslin</a> is a retired high-tech entrepreneur,  former Board Member of both the Vermont Jornalism Trust (VTDigger) and Vermont Public as well as a former Vermont Secretary of Transportation and stimulus czar. He currently develops shareware to aid in local news reporting.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">###</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> </p>]]></content:encoded><description>The first three days of 2025 legislature are now history – and SmartTranscripts for committee and floor discussions are all on https://goldendomevt.com. Unlike video, SmartTranscripts enable keyword and speaker-specific searches, allowing users to quickly find relevant content. By highlighting text in a transcript, users can instantly view the corresponding video clip. This combination of text and video ensures accuracy and...</description></item><item><title>WCAX Coverage of GoldenDomeVT.com Website</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/12/wcax-coverage-of-goldendomevtcom-website.html</link><category>Vermont</category><category>Web/Tech</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Thu, 19 Dec 2024 18:11:58 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202e860dd87e8200b</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860dd87c2200b-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="float: left;"><img alt="Screenshot 2024-12-19 175515" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451cce569e202e860dd87c2200b img-responsive" src="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202e860dd87c2200b-320wi" style="margin: 0px 5px 5px 0px;" title="Screenshot 2024-12-19 175515"/></a>Click <a href="https://www.wcax.com/2024/12/17/new-website-promises-inside-look-vermont-legislature/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a> to watch the video.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Click <a href="https://www.goldendomevt.com/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a> to visit GoldenDomeVT.com and see SmartTranscripts of Vermont legislative committee meetings (just a sample for 2024 now. 2025 meetings will be posted once they start happening.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Click <a href="https://www.goldendomevt.com/about.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a> for more detail on GoldenDomeVT.com and SmartTranscripts.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">and <a href="https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/12/my-new-gig-smarttrancripts-of-vt-legislative-committee-meetings.html">here</a> for the press release,</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I'm hoping it'll be useful in press coverage and more transparency in general for what happens (or doesn't happen) in the 25 cstanding committees during the upcoming crucial legislative session. So far there has been a lot of traffic to the site checking it out and already good suggestions for enhancements.</p>]]></content:encoded><description>Click here to watch the video. Click here to visit GoldenDomeVT.com and see SmartTranscripts of Vermont legislative committee meetings (just a sample for 2024 now. 2025 meetings will be posted once they start happening. Click here for more detail on GoldenDomeVT.com and SmartTranscripts. and here for the press release, I'm hoping it'll be useful in press coverage and more transparency...</description></item><item><title>My new gig - SmartTrancripts of VT legislative committee meetings</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/12/my-new-gig-smarttrancripts-of-vt-legislative-committee-meetings.html</link><category>AI</category><category>Vermont</category><category>Web/Tech</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Mon, 16 Dec 2024 14:36:41 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202e860dd29a8200b</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<h1 xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a href="https://www.goldendomevt.com/">GoldenDomeVT.com</a> Website To Offer Free SmartTranscripts of 2025 Legislative Committee Meetings</h1>
<h2 xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Searchable SmartTranscripts Help Reporters and Citizens Track Actions in 25 Standing Committees</h2>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Stowe, VT – December 16, 2024</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">For the first time, reporters, state and local officials, bloggers, lobbyists, and others can access free, searchable SmartTranscripts of legislative committee meetings immediately after videos are posted. SmartTranscripts provide text extracted from committee meeting videos, linked directly to the relevant video clips.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Unlike video, SmartTranscripts enable keyword and speaker-specific searches and allow users to skim content quickly. By highlighting text in the transcript, users can instantly view and hear the corresponding video clip, which adds context through body language and facial expressions while assuring the accuracy of quotes.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Anne Galloway, founder of <em>VTDigger</em>, calls GoldenDomeVT.com “a great service to reporters and people who follow the legislature.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“There are far fewer reporters covering the State House than there used to be,” said Tom Evslin, developer of GoldenDomeVT.com. “Yet the 2025 session will be crucial for Vermont’s future. Reporters have told me they often don’t know until after the fact which committee meetings will feature key testimony or amendments. GoldenDomeVT is a tool designed to make legislative proceedings accessible in time for informed citizens to have the opportunity to influence their legislators.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">The website  <a href="https://www.goldendomevt.com/">https://www.goldendomevt.com</a> is currently in alpha mode with a selection of SmartTranscripts from the end of the 2024 legislative session. The plan is to add committee meetings from the upcoming 2025 session as soon as the videos are posted – usually just hours after the meetings end. Feedback including bug reports and suggestions for improvement can be sent to <a href="mailto:contact@vtgoldendomvt.com">contact@vtgoldendomvt.com</a>.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">GoldenDomeVT.com is a free service requiring no registration, free of advertising, and does not request or collect personal information. The code used to create SmartTranscripts and the website will be released as shareware on <a href="https://github.com/tevslin">GitHub</a>, enabling others to build on the platform or adapt it for their local use.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Technical Details</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">The site is hosted on AWS (Amazon). Transcribing is done by the commercial service Deepgram using machine-learning technology. Speaker identification is done using OpenAI's ChatGPT. Videos clips are displayed with YouTube's viewer. The videos of the meetings are posted on YouTube by the legislature. They are linked to by SmartTranscripts but not copied or modified in any way.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>About Tom Evslin</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a href="https://blog.tomevslin.com/about-tom-evslin.html">Tom Evslin</a> is a retired high-tech entrepreneur,  former Board Member of both the Vermont Jornalism Trust (VTDigger) and Vermont Public as well as a former Vermont Secretary of Transportation and stimulus czar. He currently develops shareware to aid in local news reporting.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">###</p>]]></content:encoded><description>GoldenDomeVT.com Website To Offer Free SmartTranscripts of 2025 Legislative Committee Meetings Searchable SmartTranscripts Help Reporters and Citizens Track Actions in 25 Standing Committees Stowe, VT – December 16, 2024 For the first time, reporters, state and local officials, bloggers, lobbyists, and others can access free, searchable SmartTranscripts of legislative committee meetings immediately after videos are posted. SmartTranscripts provide text extracted...</description></item><item><title>Love and Omerta in Sicily</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/11/love-and-omerta-in-sicily.html</link><category>Travel</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Sat, 16 Nov 2024 13:04:53 -0500</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202e860f16829200d</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3c3c06b200c-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false"><img alt="20241115_213111 (002)" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3c3c06b200c img-responsive" src="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3c3c06b200c-320wi" style="display: block; margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;" title="20241115_213111 (002)"/></a></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“The Turks had conquered Sicily,” our waitress says. We’re in the vaulted crypt of a church in Noto, Sicily at a table next to the wine cellar. There’s a mustachioed head on our table which Mary has asked about.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“One of the Turkish soldiers fell in love with a beautiful Sicilian girl whose husband had recently died (the story or at least the waitress doesn’t say how). The time had come for the Turk to leave; she thought she would go home with him. But she learned that he had a wife and children back in Turkey.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“However, they spent a wonderful night together,” our waitress continues. “In the morning, she reached back to her shoulder, pulled out a…” the waitress pauses for effect and to find the right English word.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“Dagger,” I supply.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“Yes, a dagger.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“And stabs him?” asks Mary,</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“Cuts off his head. In the morning people see the bloody head on the balcony of their room. She put it there as a warning that no man should ever do anything like that again to a Sicilian woman.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“That’s quite a story,” I say. “What was her name?”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“My name is xxxxx,” the waitress says,</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“No, her name.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“I don’t know… I’ll ask my colleague who knows much about stories.” After a few minutes she comes back. “No one knows her name.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Of course not.</p>]]></content:encoded><description>“The Turks had conquered Sicily,” our waitress says. We’re in the vaulted crypt of a church in Noto, Sicily at a table next to the wine cellar. There’s a mustachioed head on our table which Mary has asked about. “One of the Turkish soldiers fell in love with a beautiful Sicilian girl whose husband had recently died (the story or...</description></item><item><title>Vermonters Should Vote for John Rodgers for Lieutenant Governor</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/10/vermonters-should-vote-for-john-rodgers-for-lieutenant-governor.html</link><category>Vermont</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Thu, 10 Oct 2024 13:59:32 -0400</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bfd7ae200c</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><span style="font-size: 13pt; color: #0080ff;">For many of us, the Lieutenant Governor race is the only place our vote will make a difference this Fall. </span>Unfortunately, it is our only seriously contested statewide race; we know who is going to get Vermont’s three presidential electoral votes; and, in too many districts there aren’t even local contests (although the contested districts certainly deserve voter scrutiny).</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Like Phil Scott, John Rodgers is a reasonable moderate Republican. Unlike Phil, John was a Democrat when he was in the Vermont legislature. “The Democratic Party, when I first entered politics in 2003, looked after working class and poor people,” Rodgers <a href="https://vtdigger.org/2024/07/26/vermonts-republican-lieutenant-governor-primary-puts-party-affiliation-to-the-test/">said</a>. “And they don’t do that anymore.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Many of us who usually vote Republican feel that our national party has also moved away from us, especially at the Presidential level. In the Republican primary this summer Rogers ran against Gregory Thayer, who, <a href="https://vtdigger.org/2024/07/26/vermonts-republican-lieutenant-governor-primary-puts-party-affiliation-to-the-test/">according to VTDigger</a>, said “…that he was ‘proud’ to have <a href="https://vtdigger.org/2022/02/13/a-couple-of-bad-eggs-a-candidate-for-lieutenant-governor-of-vermont-was-present-for-jan-6-and-doesnt-regret-it/">attended the Stop the Steal rally</a> in Washington, D.C., that preceded the storming of the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021. He has maintained that he did not, however, enter the capitol building during the riot”.  Rodgers said: “I would never vote for Trump.” Rogers won the Republican primary and helped set the future of both parties in Vermont with 56% of the vote.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Did people who usually vote in the Democratic primary crossover and vote for Rodgers? Almost certainly. Is that a bad thing? Hell, no! I hope those crossovers will stay Republican and, along with Scott and Rogers, help rebuild a two-party system in Vermont. Notably, although more moderate people ran in some of the local Democratic primaries, they did not succeed in unseating even the most extreme progressives. Hopefully their supporters will vote for Rodgers and for moderate candidates in those local races which are contested.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Rodgers’ <a href="https://www.rodgersforvt.com/">website</a> says: “John will strongly advocate for policies that will stem unsustainable government spending and fight against the unnecessary increases in property taxes, home heating costs, electricity rates, transportation fees, and health insurance premiums. </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“John is deeply committed to the working Vermonters who work too hard for too little in a state that costs too much to live in. Vermonters deserve to be able to afford to live in Vermont and Governor Scott needs an ally in Montpelier….</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“Rodgers believes strongly in an individual’s bodily autonomy and personal and property rights for all Vermonters.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">A vote for Rodgers is not only a vote for some sanity in Montpelier; it is also a vote against the extreme partisans on both sides of the aisle who serve us so poorly.</p>]]></content:encoded><description>For many of us, the Lieutenant Governor race is the only place our vote will make a difference this Fall. Unfortunately, it is our only seriously contested statewide race; we know who is going to get Vermont’s three presidential electoral votes; and, in too many districts there aren’t even local contests (although the contested districts certainly deserve voter scrutiny). Like...</description></item><item><title>I Was a Haley Co-Chair in Vermont. A Strong Foreign Policy Would Clinch My Vote for Harris.</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/09/i-was-a-haley-co-chair-in-vermont-a-strong-foreign-policy-would-clinch-my-vote-for-harris-1.html</link><category>Current Affairs</category><category>Vermont</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Tue, 24 Sep 2024 12:53:45 -0400</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bdac89200c</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I was a Co-Chair of the <a href="https://mailchi.mp/nikkihaley/nikki-haley-announces-vermont-state-leadership-team">Haley Vermont State Leadership Team</a>. Haley’s only victory over Trump was here in the Green Mountain State.   </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I am often a Republican but always an American. I voted for Trump in 2016 to a large degree because he wasn’t Hillary Clinton and voted for Biden in 2020 because he wasn’t Trump. Although I disagree with her on many domestic issues, I will be happy to vote FOR Harris if she consistently articulates a strong foreign policy.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I appreciated Kamala Harris’s foreign policy speech at the Democratic National Convention supporting the United States world-leadership role.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">But she can do more — specifically on Iran. Vice President Harris can help both the world at large and her own electoral chances by announcing that Iran’s worldwide war by proxy will no longer be tolerated. Here are a few of my recommendations for what she could propose:</p>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li>Iranian ships will not be allowed in international waters so long as the Iranian-backed Houthis are attacking shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. The same goes for shipping to and from Iran.</li>
<li>Iranian targets, starting with its offshore oil rigs, will be destroyed whenever there is an attack on U.S. forces or U.S. allies by Iranian-backed militias or with Iranian-supplied weapons.</li>
<li>Iran’s nuclear facilities will be destroyed if there are any significant attacks by Iran on the U.S. or its allies or further progress towards building a nuclear weapon or if Iran does not immediately cooperate with UN weapons inspectors.</li>
<li>The United States will stop funding any UN human rights organization which has Iran as a member state until Iran’s treatment of its own women substantially improves.</li>
<li>The United States will do everything possible in accord with international law to help suppressed and oppressed groups in Iran including both women and Kurds.</li>
</ol>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Iran is the head of the snake whose venom poisons much of the world. Both Gazans and Israelis are suffering because Iran trained, supplied, and encouraged Hamas. Both Lebanese and Israelis are suffering because Iran supplies and supports Hezbollah. Syrians have Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia to thank for the continued bloodthirsty reign of Bashar al-Assad. </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Ukrainians are being attacked by Russia with Iranian weapons. Yemenis, world trade, and the environment are all suffering from Iranian support of the Houthis. Iran’s own citizens are victims of its government, especially women. Punishing the proxies like Hamas, the Houthis, and Hezbollah helps Iran because it further incites hatred. It’s time to cut off the head of the snake.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Vice President Harris has the benefit of knowing that the Biden administration’s well-intended policy towards Iran didn’t work. Learning from experience and changing policy as necessary are both qualities the next president should have. It will help, not hurt Harris if she sees the world as it is and is willing to pivot to meet a real and present danger.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Harris is a strong supporter of a woman’s right to control what happens to her body and has campaigned effectively as a champion of women. It is just past the two-year anniversary of the murder of Mahsa Amimi by the Iranian morality police because some of her hair was showing. It is absolutely consistent with Harris’ principles to show support for women like her who fall vulnerable to evil, authoritarian regimes. Standing for women’s rights around the world would speak volumes to persuadable Republicans stateside.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">My ballot won’t change Vermont’s three electoral votes, but many of the Haley voters I speak to in swing states feel the same way. As a member of the Haley Voters Working Group, I <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/07/11/biden-nikki-haley-voters-presidential-debate">directly</a> told the Biden campaign that after seeing January 6th, I couldn’t vote for President Trump again and that, after seeing the debate on June 27th, I couldn’t vote for President Biden either. </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">American elections aren’t usually decided based on foreign policy. However, this year the election may well be decided by independents and former Haley supporters. Many of us supported Haley because of her experienced tough foreign policy. Many of us would like to cast a positive vote for Harris. A strong specific foreign policy statement will go a long way to winning our vote.</p>]]></content:encoded><description>I was a Co-Chair of the Haley Vermont State Leadership Team. Haley’s only victory over Trump was here in the Green Mountain State. I am often a Republican but always an American. I voted for Trump in 2016 to a large degree because he wasn’t Hillary Clinton and voted for Biden in 2020 because he wasn’t Trump. Although I disagree...</description></item><item><title>I Was a Haley Co-Chair in Vermont. A Strong Foreign Policy Would Clinch My Vote for Harris.</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/09/i-was-a-haley-co-chair-in-vermont-a-strong-foreign-policy-would-clinch-my-vote-for-harris.html</link><category>Current Affairs</category><category>Vermont</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Tue, 24 Sep 2024 12:44:06 -0400</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bdabdb200c</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I was a Co-Chair of the <a href="https://mailchi.mp/nikkihaley/nikki-haley-announces-vermont-state-leadership-team">Haley Vermont State Leadership Team</a>. Haley’s only victory over Trump was here in the Green Mountain State.   </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I am often a Republican but always an American. I voted for Trump in 2016 to a large degree because he wasn’t Hillary Clinton and voted for Biden in 2020 because he wasn’t Trump. Although I disagree with her on many domestic issues, I will be happy to vote FOR Harris if she consistently articulates a strong foreign policy.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I appreciated Kamala Harris’s foreign policy speech at the Democratic National Convention supporting the United States world-leadership role.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">But she can do more — specifically on Iran. Vice President Harris can help both the world at large and her own electoral chances by announcing that Iran’s worldwide war by proxy will no longer be tolerated. Here are a few of my recommendations for what she could propose:</p>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li>Iranian ships will not be allowed in international waters so long as the Iranian-backed Houthis are attacking shipping in the Red Sea and Gulf of Aden. The same goes for shipping to and from Iran.</li>
<li>Iranian targets, starting with its offshore oil rigs, will be destroyed whenever there is an attack on U.S. forces or U.S. allies by Iranian-backed militias or with Iranian-supplied weapons.</li>
<li>Iran’s nuclear facilities will be destroyed if there are any significant attacks by Iran on the U.S. or its allies or further progress towards building a nuclear weapon or if Iran does not immediately cooperate with UN weapons inspectors.</li>
<li>The United States will stop funding any UN human rights organization which has Iran as a member state until Iran’s treatment of its own women substantially improves.</li>
<li>The United States will do everything possible in accord with international law to help suppressed and oppressed groups in Iran including both women and Kurds.</li>
</ol>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Iran is the head of the snake whose venom poisons much of the world. Both Gazans and Israelis are suffering because Iran trained, supplied, and encouraged Hamas. Both Lebanese and Israelis are suffering because Iran supplies and supports Hezbollah. Syrians have Iran, Hezbollah, and Russia to thank for the continued bloodthirsty reign of Bashar al-Assad. </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Ukrainians are being attacked by Russia with Iranian weapons. Yemenis, world trade, and the environment are all suffering from Iranian support of the Houthis. Iran’s own citizens are victims of its government, especially women. Punishing the proxies like Hamas, the Houthis, and Hezbollah helps Iran because it further incites hatred. It’s time to cut off the head of the snake.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Vice President Harris has the benefit of knowing that the Biden administration’s well-intended policy towards Iran didn’t work. Learning from experience and changing policy as necessary are both qualities the next president should have. It will help, not hurt Harris if she sees the world as it is and is willing to pivot to meet a real and present danger.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Harris is a strong supporter of a woman’s right to control what happens to her body and has campaigned effectively as a champion of women. It is just past the two-year anniversary of the murder of Mahsa Amimi by the Iranian morality police because some of her hair was showing. It is absolutely consistent with Harris’ principles to show support for women like her who fall vulnerable to evil, authoritarian regimes. Standing for women’s rights around the world would speak volumes to persuadable Republicans stateside.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">My ballot won’t change Vermont’s three electoral votes, but many of the Haley voters I speak to in swing states feel the same way. As a member of the Haley Voters Working Group, I <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/07/11/biden-nikki-haley-voters-presidential-debate">directly</a> told the Biden campaign that after seeing January 6th, I couldn’t vote for President Trump again and that, after seeing the debate on June 27th, I couldn’t vote for President Biden either. </p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">American elections aren’t usually decided based on foreign policy. However, this year the election may well be decided by independents and former Haley supporters. Many of us supported Haley because of her experienced tough foreign policy. Many of us would like to cast a positive vote for Harris. A strong specific foreign policy statement will go a long way to winning our vote.</p>]]></content:encoded><description>I was a Co-Chair of the Haley Vermont State Leadership Team. Haley’s only victory over Trump was here in the Green Mountain State. I am often a Republican but always an American. I voted for Trump in 2016 to a large degree because he wasn’t Hillary Clinton and voted for Biden in 2020 because he wasn’t Trump. Although I disagree...</description></item><item><title>Artificial Intelligence and Real Information</title><link>https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/09/artificial-intelligence-and-real-information.html</link><category>AI</category><author>noemail@noemail.org (Tom Evslin)</author><pubDate>Sun, 8 Sep 2024 20:05:52 -0400</pubDate><guid isPermaLink="false">tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bba9b3200c</guid><content:encoded xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"><![CDATA[<h1 xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Example 3: Logic Checking</h1>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bba9ae200c-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="float: left;"><img alt="Screenshot 2024-09-08 200321" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bba9ae200c img-responsive" src="https://exceo.typepad.com/.a/6a00d83451cce569e202c8d3bba9ae200c-320wi" style="margin: 0px 5px 5px 0px;" title="Screenshot 2024-09-08 200321"/></a>Can AI be used to increase the amount of false and misleading information? Of course. Will it be used that way? Already is. More interesting and more important, can AI be used to improve the quality of information? Absolutely, so long as we know how to use it that way.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">There was an <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/05/climate/bats-pesticides-infant-mortality.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Ik4.V-UY.CgKuzQ8riBWK&amp;smid=url-share">article</a> in <em>The</em> <em>New York Times</em> headlined <strong>Surprising New Research Links Infant Mortality to Crashing Bat Populations</strong>. “Bats eat insects. When a fatal disease hit bats, farmers used more pesticides to protect crops. And that, according to a new study, led to an increase in infant mortality.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Whether and to what extent various agricultural chemicals affect human health is an important and debated question. The answer is obviously of much more than academic interest, but most experiments to rigorously test these effects would be ethically unacceptable. The <em>Times </em>article says that the article from <em>Science </em>it describes drew its conclusions from a rigorous study of an unintentional experiment staged by nature, the decline in bat populations due to white-nose syndrome, a fungus. Less bats mean more bugs. More bugs mean farmers use more insecticides. In the places where the bat die-off is significant, there is also an increase in infant mortality due to causes other than accidents or murders. According to<em> The Times</em> “The new study tested various alternatives to see if something else could have driven the increase: Unemployment or drug overdoses, for example. Nothing else was found to cause it.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">We all know better than to put much faith in a reporter’s interpretation of a scientific paper, but the article does link to the actual study: “<strong><a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg0344">The economic impacts of ecosystem disruptions: Costs from substituting biological pest control</a>”. </strong>Because I would like to know what the health effects of various insecticides are, I read the original article. Although I didn’t find any errors in the math nor the general methodology (both of which are well-presented in the article), the article doesn’t present any direct cause and effect relationship between the use of insecticides and infant mortality but rather relies on the assertion that there doesn’t seem to be any other credible explanation. “I demonstrate how declines in insect-eating bat population levels induce farmers to substitute with insecticides, <em>consequently</em> [emphasis mine] resulting in a negative health shock to infant mortality,” the author asserts.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">But are there other credible explanations which should be explored? I asked ChatGPT: “<a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg0344">https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg0344</a> the linked-to article hypothesizes that increased insecticide use due to an increase in insects due to a decline in the bat population because of white-nose disease is the cause of increased infant mortality in the areas where white-nose disease is prevalent. Accepting as fact that there are increased insect populations where white-nose disease is prevalent and that there is also an increase in infant mortality in those areas, what could be causes of the increase in infant mortality other than or in addition to the insecticide use.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">ChatGPT’s conclusion (full answer below): <strong>“</strong>Increased insecticide use might be a contributing factor to the rise in infant mortality in areas affected by white-nose syndrome in bats, but it is likely not the only cause. Other factors, such as disease transmission from insects, environmental degradation, crop damage, malnutrition, and healthcare access, could all play a role in the observed increase in infant mortality. These factors may interact in complex ways, making it necessary to consider a broad range of potential causes when examining changes in infant health outcomes.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I then asked: “does the referenced article consider that these other factors may be leading to increased infant mortality?”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">ChatGPT: “The article in question, which explores the connection between bat population decline due to white-nose syndrome (WNS), increased insecticide use, and a rise in infant mortality, primarily focuses on the hypothesis that increased pesticide usage is the key factor driving higher infant mortality in affected areas. The researchers argue that the collapse of bat populations, which naturally control insect populations, led to a surge in insecticide use by farmers. This increased use of chemicals is linked to a significant rise in infant deaths, particularly in rural areas where bats previously played a crucial role in pest management.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“However, the study does not deeply explore alternative factors that might also contribute to the increased infant mortality, such as the potential for higher disease transmission from the increased insect populations or environmental factors like water contamination. The authors focus mainly on the economic and health costs of increased insecticide usage, but the broader ecological disruptions caused by declining bat populations, including impacts on food security or increased exposure to vector-borne diseases, are not central in the discussion​( <a href="https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2024/09/240905143612.htm">ScienceDaily</a>, <a href="https://phys.org/news/2024-09-population-collapse-linked-pesticide-infant.html">Phys.org</a>).</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">“Thus, while the study strongly emphasizes the pesticide-infant mortality link, other factors like food security, disease transmission, and environmental degradation could also contribute to increased infant mortality in these areas and merit further investigation.”</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Why does this matter?</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">If we uncritically accept the results of the study, we might reasonably lower the use of insecticides even at the cost of decreased food production. But what if the insects and not the insecticides are mainly to blame for the increase in infant mortality. Less insecticides then might lead to even more infant mortality, hardly a desirable outcome. Back in plague days some experts convinced people in some towns that cats caused the plague. They killed the cats. The rats, which carry the fleas which transmit the disease, multiplied. Whoops.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">None of this proves that insecticides are not the cause of excess deaths. The article makes a convincing case that there are many bad consequences from the bat die-off including health effects. The statistics do show that the health effects of insecticides need further study; insecticides are not convicted, but they’re not exonerated either.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">I know next to nothing about the health effects of insecticides, a highly debated and important subject. I do know that AI can help us lay people evaluate evidence on which we have to make decisions. AI can help us know what we know... and what we don’t know. AI, properly used (and, in this case, easily), will help us make better decisions. Education for us adults and out children must include how to use AI to improve the quality of information.</p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"> <strong>See also:</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Example #2: <a href="https://blog.tomevslin.com/2023/11/ai-can-help-deal-with-misinformation.html">Fact or Fiction, the GPT.</a></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">Example #1: <strong><a href="https://blog.tomevslin.com/2024/02/how-to-get-useful-answers-with-chatgpt-plus.html">How To Get Useful Answers with ChatGPT Plus</a></strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Full text of AI “thoughts” on possible cause of infant mortality related to bat die-off (tl;dr)</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong><a href="https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg0344">Q: https://www.science.org/doi/10.1126/science.adg0344</a>the linked-to article hypothesizes that increased insecticide use due to an increase in insects due to a decline in the bat population because of white-nose disease is the cause of increased infant mortality in the areas where white-nose disease is prevalent. Accepting as fact that there are increased insect populations where white-nose disease is prevalent and that there is also an increase in infant mortality in those areas, what could be causes of the increase in infant mortality other than or in addition to the insecticide use.</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong> A:</strong></p>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong> If we accept that both increased insect populations and increased infant mortality are observed in areas affected by white-nose syndrome (WNS) in bats, there are several potential causes of the rise in infant mortality beyond or in addition to increased insecticide use. These potential factors could be environmental, ecological, or public health-related, and might interact in complex ways with the decline in bat populations and the subsequent insect surges.</strong></li>
<li><strong> Increased Disease Transmission from Insects:</strong><strong>Vector-borne diseases: An increase in insect populations, particularly mosquitoes, could lead to a rise in diseases transmitted by insects, such as malaria, dengue fever, or West Nile virus. Insect-borne diseases can affect infants directly, contributing to higher mortality rates, especially in areas with poor healthcare infrastructure.</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Pathogen amplification: Insects can carry and transmit various pathogens, including bacteria, viruses, and parasites. With increased insect populations, the transmission rates of these pathogens might rise, affecting vulnerable populations like infants. T</strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="2">
<li><strong> Nutritional Impacts:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Crop damage due to increased insects: With the decline in insect-eating bats, there could be more crop damage from insects like locusts or beetles. This might result in reduced agricultural yields, leading to food shortages or reduced food quality, which in turn could affect infant nutrition, leading to malnutrition or food insecurity.</strong></li>
</ul>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Increased reliance on processed foods: If local crops are more prone to insect damage, communities may turn to cheaper, processed foods with lower nutritional value, further impacting infant health and development. </strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="3">
<li><strong> Environmental Degradation:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Water contamination: Increased insecticide use or environmental runoff from farmlands due to higher insect populations could contaminate local water sources. Contaminated water can lead to waterborne diseases such as diarrhea, cholera, and other infections that are particularly dangerous for infants.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Air pollution: Spraying insecticides could also increase air pollution, particularly if chemicals are aerosolized. Poor air quality may exacerbate respiratory issues in infants, who are more vulnerable to air pollutants. These are both due to pesticides</strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="4">
<li><strong> Immune System Impacts:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Immune stress from environmental toxins: Insecticides, even in low concentrations, may cause stress to the immune systems of infants, either directly or through the mother's exposure during pregnancy. This immune stress could make infants more susceptible to infections or other health complications.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Endocrine disruption: Many pesticides are known to be endocrine disruptors, which can affect infant development and overall health, potentially contributing to conditions such as developmental delays or birth defects. These are all due to pesticides and the evidence is rapidly accumulating Due to pesticides</strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="5">
<li><strong> Socioeconomic Factors:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Increased healthcare burden: Areas dealing with both ecological changes (increased insects) and increased pesticide use may also face economic strain, reducing the capacity of public health systems to adequately care for infants. This can lead to poorer healthcare access, delayed treatment, or inadequate maternal and infant care.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Economic disruption: Increases in insecticide use and crop damage could lead to economic downturns in agricultural areas, reducing household incomes. This can affect access to healthcare, clean water, and nutritious food, all of which are crucial for infant survival. There is little doubt that the cause is complicated and multifactorial</strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="6">
<li><strong> Displacement of Predator Species:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Imbalance in the ecosystem: The loss of bats could lead to broader ecological imbalances. Other insect predators, such as birds, frogs, or small mammals, may also be affected by declining insect prey or habitat changes, leading to more drastic fluctuations in the insect population. This broader ecological disruption could have indirect consequences on food security, disease ecology, or water contamination, all of which may affect infant mortality rates. <br/></strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="7">
<li><strong> Secondary Effects of Bat Population Decline:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Altered ecological services: Bats play a critical role in pollination and seed dispersal in some ecosystems. Their decline could affect local flora and agricultural ecosystems, possibly reducing biodiversity or changing the availability of certain crops that support community nutrition.</strong></li>
<li><strong>Impact on zoonotic diseases: The decline of bat populations might disrupt ecological checks on certain pathogens. Bats play a role in managing insect populations that may carry zoonotic diseases, and their absence could lead to increased transmission of diseases that indirectly affect infant health.</strong></li>
</ul>
<ol xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml" start="8">
<li><strong> Climate Change or Environmental Stressors:</strong></li>
</ol>
<ul xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
<li><strong>Amplifying effects of climate change: If climate change is contributing to the increase in insects, either through warmer temperatures or altered precipitation patterns, it could create a feedback loop that worsens infant mortality. Climate change may also exacerbate other stressors, such as food security or disease transmission.</strong></li>
</ul>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Conclusion:</strong></p>
<p xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><strong>Increased insecticide use might be a contributing factor to the rise in infant mortality in areas affected by white-nose syndrome in bats, but it is likely not the only cause. Other factors, such as disease transmission from insects, environmental degradation, crop damage, malnutrition, and healthcare access, could all play a role in the observed increase in infant mortality. These factors may interact in complex ways, making it necessary to consider a broad range of potential causes when examining changes in infant health outcomes.</strong></p>]]></content:encoded><description>Example 3: Logic Checking Can AI be used to increase the amount of false and misleading information? Of course. Will it be used that way? Already is. More interesting and more important, can AI be used to improve the quality of information? Absolutely, so long as we know how to use it that way. There was an article in The...</description></item></channel></rss><!-- ph=1 -->