https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/ en https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/21/03/2025/whither-middle-east-trumps-tripolar-world Donald Trump’s dismantling of the US-led international order in favour of ‘great power’ spheres of influence has profound implications for the Middle East; but, even if it materialises, it may not… 21 March 2025 7767 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/12/03/2025/trump-ism-and-east-asia Alastair Newton argues that Donald Trump’s abandonment of the US-led international order and efforts to reshape global trade and finance do not bode well for economies in East Asia which may… 12 March 2025 7755 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/30/01/2024/war-2024 Investors have, overall, learned to live with the Russia/Ukraine war and the current crisis in the Middle East, as well as China/Taiwan tensions. However, they still need to beware of less high… 30 January 2024 Alastair Newton 7244 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/13/09/2023/chinaus-chip-old-block Contrary to much of the media coverage, the launch of Huawei’s Mate 60 Pro likely does not mark a major SMIC breakthrough in chip manufacturing and is almost certainly geopolitically, not… 13 September 2023 Alastair Newton 7101 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/11/09/2023/chinaus-tit-tat-part-2 Recent words and deeds confirm Beijing’s readiness to retaliate against sanctions imposed by the US and its allies. However, its current dominance of the global strategic metals market is not as… 11 September 2023 Alastair Newton 7099 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/30/08/2023/chinaus-tit-tat-part-1 Washington’s latest move to hobble China’s economy through technology-related sanctions is undoubtedly an escalation. But it is unlikely to have more than marginal practical impact and will certainly… 30 August 2023 7091 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/06/04/2022/its-politics-stupid Russia’s invasion of Ukraine may go down in history as the moment in the current geopolitical cycle when politics took over from economics as the main decision-making driver. The next manifestation… 06 April 2022 6528 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/15/09/2021/campbells-are-coming Three ‘events’ in the coming weeks stand to have a significant impact on the timing of peak oil, with profound implications for Saudi Arabia in particular. “Gradually and then suddenly”. So spake… 15 September 2021 6317 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/11/08/2020/joe-biden-and-middle-east A change in the Oval Office next year may presage a change in America’s approach to the Middle East; but it would not necessarily make the challenges there any less intractable. Whatever the polls… 11 August 2020 5819 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/01/07/2020/us-election-and-middle-east President Trump’s fight for a second term may spill over into US policy in the Middle East between now and 3 November. Donald Trump is suffering a significant slump in his approval ratings, as is… 01 July 2020 5765 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/17/04/2020/oil-brokered-or-broken Last weekend’s agreement notwithstanding, international cooperation over oil output stands to be short-lived as the short- and medium-term battles for market share intensify. Over the course of the… 17 April 2020 Alastair Newton 5641 https://www.globalpolicyjournal.com/blog/07/04/2020/chain-reaction Alastair Newton argues that despite its early mishandling of Covid-19, the pandemic will shift the global balance of power further in China’s favour. “The new coronavirus is shaping up to be an… 07 April 2020 Alastair Newton 5623