Comments for Idol Analytics

Comment on Closing thoughts by jessica_dennis

jessica_dennis — Sun, 19 May 2013 00:19:00 +0000

Nicki was an awesome judge! Everyone who says otherwise is wrong about that. Kelly Clarkson, eh? Hmm.

Comment on Closing thoughts by Matthew Richards

Matthew Richards — Sat, 18 May 2013 01:48:00 +0000

I’m glad someone else liked Nicki. Based on the comments I’ve read online, I thought I was crazy for liking her. I think she’s the only judge worth a damn since Simon and Kara left; she actually gave good advice and didn’t sugarcoat when people sucked. However, I’m glad they’re getting rid of her, because my opinion of her doesn’t matter, and it will get the ratings back. I hope they have Kelly Clarkson on next year as a judge.

Comment on How the model saw previous finales by Top 2 prediction (preliminary) » Idol Analytics

Top 2 prediction (preliminary) » Idol Analytics — Thu, 16 May 2013 14:56:30 +0000

[...] can see how the model rated past finale rounds to see if they match your gut about how those years ran. To me they fit pretty good. And based on [...]

Comment on A new model of American Idol by Top 2 prediction (preliminary) » Idol Analytics

Top 2 prediction (preliminary) » Idol Analytics — Thu, 16 May 2013 03:53:52 +0000

[...] methodology for the finals model is described here. The model is 87% accurate on ranking within a margin of error of +/- 3%. Probabilities being what [...]

Comment on Prediction coming soon, but Candice is already way ahead by Nostradamus2k

Nostradamus2k — Thu, 16 May 2013 03:35:00 +0000

…as well Candice deserves to be ‘way ahead’.

She, above all others this season, truly delivered nothing but excellent performances.

Comment on Liveblog: Finale by Nostradamus2k

Nostradamus2k — Thu, 16 May 2013 01:56:00 +0000

Candice… Just did exactly what she’s always done:

Performed/Sang at a level that her ‘competitor’ hadn’t one iota of the ability to match.

… and now that they’re done:

Round One: Candice … better song choice/better vocal delivery

Round Two: Candice… much better written song/better vocal

Round Three: Candice… much more of a blockbuster closing song/far better vocal performance.

What a Great Show… Now’s Time To Vote… Vote… VOTE!

Comment on Liveblog: Finale by davidbeaulieu

davidbeaulieu — Thu, 16 May 2013 00:25:00 +0000

Can someone get Debbie Gibson off the stage?

Comment on Season 12 model accuracy assessment roundup by Robert Henry Eller

Robert Henry Eller — Wed, 15 May 2013 19:36:00 +0000

Reuben, I meant to say, thank you for running this site. Being a Nate Silver fan, my enjoyment of AI was greatly enhanced by your analytics.

Looking forward to your final prediction on who wins.

Comment on Season 12 model accuracy assessment roundup by Robert Henry Eller

Robert Henry Eller — Wed, 15 May 2013 19:33:00 +0000

Reuben, you don’t say that Angie’s elimination from the top 3 was a surprise, although she was consistently the highest probability top 3 contestant, according to the model. Does that mean that Angie’s elimination was not within the model’s prediction capabilities? Were you able to measure the probability of Angie’s elimination? Was it statistically surprising?

Comment on A new model of American Idol by How the model saw previous finales » Idol Analytics

How the model saw previous finales » Idol Analytics — Wed, 15 May 2013 07:29:27 +0000

[...] to season 7 due to the categorical nature of the variables at the end (as discussed in the methodology) and the fact that the season was the same length (the model allows for Dialidol to calibrate [...]