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    <title>The India Investment Post</title>
    <link>http://india.advantages.us</link>
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      <pubDate>Thu, 23 Feb 2012 01:20:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Happy Thursdays! Spectrum and the return of the good expiry day</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/KIwuYkXdOZg/happy-thursdays-spectrum-and-the-return-of-th</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Lots of consolidation since market open at 9:15 am and never below 5485. Recovery was absolute after the 2:30 pass on applicable expiry prices..&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Also shows, the bullish orb does not really want a battle at 5600-5620-5650, fairly ready to leave with or without rollovers but likely no one can yet see a reason to support shorts, just correction sin ssome like banks and aviation companies along with Maruti, Bajaj and Hero , none able to shouldlder the burden of INR 2 - 3 Tln in daily trading exposure or India's $2 tln capitalisation markets singly. Imagine one Tata Motors or one Kingfisher taking the pressure for being the spearhea dof this big a market, I can already collect the powdered remains from the market weight ride these have had.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;More seriously, no nothing in lending has changed to show banks going past here. and that once decided makes it hard for the others to rise.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;In non market Economic terms, a 5.5% fisc and a $155 bln ( as opposed to a $160 bln estimate till last week) is still a fait accompli as is a basic minimum 7% growth&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;From here, if there is anything more than Lifestyle consumption and the wait for lending , I can't see it despite having played with the crystal ball a gazillion Saturday nights! Good they decided to sell the spectrum at higher reserve prices. I hope they at least get half the 3G rate at Rs 7000 crores per MHz or INR 70 bln ..i.e. INR 350 bln for a basic 5MHz pack for maybe 10 circles and a yearly subscriber based charge on that..&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Wed, 22 Feb 2012 00:25:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The Fidelity MF Non sale</title>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;First the fund managers were never available to the buyer for the INR 90 bln fund (AUM) trying to attract bids , and even at INR 3.6 bln looking overpriced coming as it is without management staff and despite existing houses having already employed sales &amp;amp; marketing , having to absorb the national sales and marketing infra with people in to the existing superstructure put away most investors from bigger fund houses.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Though the fund could have wanted to sell for INR 6 bln, it apparently did not get offers. Also the Fidelity MF may well have to listen to the fund management staff id dinot wan t to farm , as they want to use the current rally to buy back profitability into the Mutual Fund&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 23:48:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The MCX IPO</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/72HswFh1rWw/the-mcx-ipo</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Definitely worth investing. The exchange has created and grown new product categories in the market. Though one would rather discredit them than belive their 2000 members / 100k TWS claims if one were to count only liquid/ regularly used terminals/memberships, the exchange will be able to absorb all new capital in retail and quasi institutional demand FTIL thankfully will not be subscribing the exchange share again having lived with 80% of the stake and so many unfortunate warrants issued to hoodwink regulatory limits of 5% per promoter should all be extinuguished as well.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;It has more than 85% of the Indian commodity market share with only a few contracts traded on NCDEX. Most commodities are completely split to one exchange and both Gold and Oil and for some time even the currencies business were exclusively liquid on MCX&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;6.427 mln shares are bing issued at the top end leaving 2.2 mln reytail and 3 mln QIP investors locked in for the ride unless there is a day 1 pop over the intimidating top end of the range at 1,032&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Though some mandatory innovation mayb e forced on to MCX by market forces, it is unlikely to make further Technology infrastructure investments till our markets get the depth needed to bid up business volumes beyond the Cash derivatives markets with Nifty and Sensex holding most of the volumes, restricting traading in individual stocks ( except for futures that are the FOTD)&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Also , including verbatim, their own comment on regulation&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote class="posterous_medium_quote"&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;&lt;p&gt;Failure to amend the The Forward Contracts Regulation, Act 1952 (FCRA) in a timely&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;manner may have adverse affect on its operation: The proposed amendments to the&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;FCRA have been made to strengthen the powers of FMC, permit trading in options and&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;derivatives, demutualization of existing bourses and setting up of a separate clearing&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;corporation. If such measures are not brought into force in a timely manner, and its&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;inability to introduce new products on the Exchange and failure to implement its growth&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;strategy could adversely affect the result of the company.&lt;/p&gt;

&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The struggle continues, and it is no longer even admissible to work in the vast sector of investment banking and capital markets with the current defocus in world markets and ht to Financial business ROE , the advantages in India Isle, remaining temorary mounds till a faster depreciation of the curency wipes off the effort.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;2011 first half volume of 127 mln contracts despite the 40% growth over the year is already behind Shanghai and ICE and CME (352 mln contracts) have a much better range, depth and liquidity&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;PAT of 2.2 bln in INR 4 bln of income.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The retail float post issue is still just 13% and corp governance issues are likely to return. &amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 23:40:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The PMEAC cut Pt. III</title>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;C Rangarajan did point out to the lower revenues and the fisc thus a cause for grave concern, requeting a target of returning to pre crisis Tax GDP ratio levels&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Need to keep the CAD 2-2.25% in the medium term and target improving revenues would thus be a good target for the Budget, which s likely to have to insure all expense head sof welfare incl the Food Security, Oil Bill and Fertiliser and Diesel subsidies which should have been reduced 3 years ago.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 23:26:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The PMEAC cut: Pt II</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/k9vhAiXh-wQ/the-pmeac-cut-pt-ii</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/the-pmeac-cut-pt-ii</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Of course I just realised, no one is even talking about further investment except the bears right now and still equity indiceds have not given away much today or yesterday. Good guys with excellent public record in the last few months take turns to place the Indian infra sector on permanent sell instead, Banks look overbought and tired but a day's reaction may be enough for them right now..and two more days like this and it will break down finally from the 5620 levels only , and not any new 5900 levels yet, though that is just cheap open interest out of the money for quick ly reaping volatility&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Economically we are just fighting the deficit ars right now byut we have to show investment in this economy, which does not allow free convertibility before wwe can see substantial $10 blna month run rate for FDI.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Oil is going to touch $150 too, and mostly, banking and consumer markets are seemingly saturated instead of growing reach and markets on a daily basis with such a large underbanked population and only 3% invested in the stock markets.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The Twelfth plan&amp;nbsp; action starts a little after the Budget speech hoopla dies out, and hopefully that is not already factored into this rally of the markets. If someone can help me specify, I'd like to benchmark the progress made on the count of Power in the last few discussions apart from the CIL PPA with private producers including Jindal and Reliance(Anil).&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;BTW, kudos to catching on the straddles ( ETNOW F&amp;amp;O strategy,) very useful instead of married puts and long and short strangles given the cost of money in India, The Short straddle is a great idea right now.&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 22:59:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The PMEAC cut</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/wbHLKK_dtJs/the-pmeac-cut</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/the-pmeac-cut</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;India is firmly in charge of policy even as growth and recesssion both seem out of its policy purview, busy with inflation control and now interest rates rising to usurius levels.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The PMEAC outlook though led to rest many phantoms of policy and regulation affecting us including the Diesel Price deregulation / correction will be tables and did not specify the lcliffs like real Food Security spend which it can be used as a Policy tool to specify. ONGC does give the government some leeway with INR 1020 bln baclk added to our new 5.5% fisc and reduce the pain. DTC commission was the real farcical component of the parliamentary democracy not having reached the level of cacophony and attention Senate Committee's get.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Interventionist policies are finally the say for everyone in Financial policy , the roadmap belied and lost by one oil price we could not control and small hangovers of the state here and there. Old or new , each government will bring a one year licence to add to the reform agenda but no fiscal leeway and no growth rate targets in the double digits, though it is reassuring to get a target of 8 and 9% for 2013 and 2014&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The current year target is 7.1% and that for FY 13 between 7.5% and 8%&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The PMEAC and C Rangarajan expect inflation to dip to 6.5% in March and 5% on the lower side by March 2014&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The PMEAC GDP growth number of course nullifies the CSO drive to reality based on December inflation data to 6.9%&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 19:53:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Did the Citi read it right?</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/P0oK1kkxGSs/did-the-citi-read-it-right</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/did-the-citi-read-it-right</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Citi just highlighted that the upbeat market conditions could also bide well for the Primary market i.e. IPOs and the secondary market sale on the exchanges for the ONGC FPO to boot. Ideally, the IPO market should never have lost the sentiment. &lt;strong&gt;But the sentiment going away and remaining only for speculative scam 3.0 means the advanced ilk , able to see through and advocate IPO scams to the others is unlikely to be out of interest and disenfranchised in this market. Unlikely therefore that the era of retail investing will ever return to IPOs&lt;/strong&gt;. I do hope we discover more than one scam in two years or one big scam in four years as the markets try another edge of the precipice proposition and drown out the sane.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Secondary market trends are pretty sane of course. It is probably just the way back office armies have been raised to belive in scams and doing right as Baddshah even in small towns of today, the educational system taking the fall for chiropractors not getting the tools of the trade in an erstwhile biggest market of Asia. Not that we are in competition with the kind of FDI attention other markets get some time. Only 10% of the investment in Asia is bonafide and luckily our currency is insulated from most of the arbitrageurs and two bit speculators populating liquidity in Indonesia, Vietnam, Thailand and Malaysia not to forget even Philipines, Bangladesh and Pakistan&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 08:48:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Patni-Mahindra-Softbank axis of India ICT revival</title>
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      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/patni-mahindra-softbank-axis-of-india-ict-rev</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;As the HCL Tech CEO (Vineet Nayar) mentioned elsewhere in today's media round ups, people are living in the past in response to a request for comment on the state of Indian IT..the era of app dev will not be back , cloud and mobile don't look like revenue revolutions, the last one surely a paraphrasing forced on me by being in payless social media's top of the world look at brands and the weather in politics, economics and much more&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However, down to the brass tacks, that does not mean, and everyone at HCL knows, that any HCLT endeavour has an iota better chance the the Patney's and the iGates, the M&amp;amp;M's and the Satyam's of the Indian ICT or the mind and mins conglomerates of also ran in the industry as mid cap. Hexaware was the original mid cap and it is in more Fortune 100 accounts with consulting fellas across the hall than Vineet probably cares for..It ain't gonna happen. So my two bits of advice for the rest of the ever failing to try middle management at India's banking and ICT management..stop &lt;strong&gt;&lt;em&gt;not trying&lt;/em&gt;&lt;/strong&gt; and quit that useless job. Esp if you are planning to join the "visonaries" at indian arms of McKensie, BCG and the Sofbank venture capital balls in the court of Patni and Mahindras for $50 in ICT investment globally.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Hand it over to Lakshmi Narayana and Francisco D souza. And there's never going to be anyone to do your work for you anymore, and like you did in government school 20 years ago, you'll just pick up the microphone and MC it..&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Tue, 21 Feb 2012 01:49:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The first Consumer Price index reports in new series</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/Ha6x8BcrZlw/the-first-consumer-price-index-reports-in-new</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/the-first-consumer-price-index-reports-in-new</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;As expected, the CPI index for 12 months till january 2012 came to a respectable 7.654% as the survey ncludes 200 towns and over a 1000 villages, it is envisioned as replacing the current WPI series that does not include the impact of most services.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;CP-U (Urban ) was higher at 8.2% instead of the rural data of 7.38%. F&amp;amp;B is a sub index at 4.15%, so are fuel and Primary Articles ( clothing, bedding and footwear) at&amp;nbsp;13.13% and 12.43% respectively, the last figure beig something not apparent in the dragging of the WPI Primary Articles over a n extended comparison with companies not passing on costs to consumers in many categories, and the CPI data showing something radically away from that consensus opinion as expected by the Governor who rode over contrary opinion in the last two meetings to keep rates steady.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2012 22:27:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The Kingfisher diaries..</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/Zj8d5WK7Q9o/the-kingfisher-diaries</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Vijay Mallya's run of bad luck continues as the Airlines lost more than dozen aircraft on lease due to lease default . Th eproblem at kolkata Airport was triggered by its frreezing of Accounts by the It department for non payment of dues. While more than 80 have quit the airline, newspaper reports suggest that lack of TDS payments for employees have kept those that joined Indigo etc alli in the bad books of ITO, looking to recover back taxes as well.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The company would have been haemmorhaging aircraft on lease to the leasing company since the last two months even as the other half of its 64 plane fleet is stuck due to non availability of spares. The CEO Sanjay Aggarwal meets DGCA Chief EK Bharat Bhushan today&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;25 flights were canceled yesterday from Delhi Mumbai and Kolkata bringing matters to a head including three on India's most revenue accretive Delhi Mumbai route. 34 plots quit yesterday (TOI)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Mon, 20 Feb 2012 21:54:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>The Vodafone IPO canceled</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/ii4EUZCWzfA/the-vodafone-ipo-canceled</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;The news of the day is stil ingfisher Airlines of course, but those interested in followon of Priamal Healthcare, their purchase of the residual essar stake sold on call to Vodafone is now complete and IPO plans shelved that puts paid to those who thought Piramal would be able oto churn the investment in an IPO&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Piramal has used INR 59.5 bln for purchase of 11% of Vodafone at an average Vodafone valuation of INR 537 bln or $10 blnfor India operations which provide upto 1/3 the global gross profit for Vodafone. Vodafone does no tplan for a follow on IPO as clarified by Analjit Singh also a long term holder in the company. Essar had put options with vodafone ROFR for 33% of Vodafone India stake. India does have a couple of Skyscraper projects and lot of comml and residential projects aligned to new Metro construction in Mumbai and outside incl Delhi, Bangalore and Hyderabad which could have interested Piramal earlier, hile the other high margins could be in services, education or healthcare itself.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Ajay Piramal was of the opinion he wll be exitng after a 17-20% annual return in an IPO in mid 2013.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 23:52:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>And that Solar mission?</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/OUM3WqGkwW8/and-that-solar-mission</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/and-that-solar-mission</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Renewable energy projects in Solar Power sanctioned by NTPC (which itself runs 60 GW of Coal based generating capacity, 75% of India's total coal generating capacity) had to be penalised with invocation of bank guarantees of INR 20 mln each in 14 cases. 4 of which had EPC contracts and equity with Lanco.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The JN National Solar Mission plans 20 GW in Solar Capacity by 2013. the 12th plan also cut down Coal based genrating capacity targets with Coal India first signing distribution eagreements with existing projects incl the ADA group Reliance Power. A single bidder was maximum eligible for 105 MW including 5 MW PVC capacity and 100 solar thermal, 166 GW out of India's 186 GW generating capacity 60% of which is operative currently is fron non renewable sources.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 23:11:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Private Equity costs soar for indian start ups</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/IZs1UFu8ymY/private-equity-costs-soar-for-indian-start-up</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/private-equity-costs-soar-for-indian-start-up</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Costs of indenminifying the PE promoters in the VCC ircle round up in mint highlight the indeminity clause which demands buyback by the promoters after 5 years ar a deal that fialed because of an ant bribery clause even as exits come closer to the price of investing itself globally and the political risk counted among the world's banana republics for much in demand Indian cart start ups and others in power and infrastructure. while global finance is primarily required thru debt and venture in PIPE or plain vanilla infrastructure deals, too, start ups are increasingly signing traps for themselves in contracts with their PE promoters.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Indeminty covering losses and liabilities had been enoughtfor the regulators to shy away from counting PE inputs as equity, preference being classic debt in indian law, the demands for interest and "clawback" for graft, canceling of licences, withholding of taxes and all litigation costs being excluded from the computation oft he VC/Pe's profit, making it more and more ike a bonded warehouse, to woot yet without any effective revenues or payback for the VC involved and adding costs in the name of safeguarding the quasi promoters' interests.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Nominee/ Executive Directors on board the investment also have to be indeminified, PE initiated Environmental clauses and checks on ERP&amp;nbsp; and monthly reports a part of the process. Bank guarantees for a startup to complete the requirements of indemnification are due discouragement from lying about one's prospeects and though mint mentions a ine year deal closure period, it looks like a prospective play has to be around for 3-4 years just to sort out its investors plus the 5 year it has to put in as operational performance, with competing investments willing to pay 100% indeminification than part indemnity as earlier.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 23:03:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Kingfisher cancels on customers, BCCI to be bailed out?, SEBs INR 1.77 tln bill</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/xFcDwXZzTQ8/kingfisher-cancels-on-customers-bcci-to-be-ba</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;The airline is running 24 out of its fleet of 64 planes, 200 schedules from 600 and have closed down kolkata operations without paying salaries for more than 2 months. They have IT demand notices pending as do BCCI who have not paid since 2009 to the IRS here due to pay INR 15-16 bln for three completed AYs&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;To top it all, Olympics will see just shooting stars for Indian prospects, close to call with qualifiers barely begun and more to come as airlines shut down operationa from losses&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;State Electricty Boards owe INR 1.77 tln to banks, Distribution companies another INR 750 bln becoming a priority for funding in the coming budget. The budget will make provision for a new National Electricity Fundthat will give th SEBs a 3-5% interest subsidy on loans it cannot afford to repay based on efficient performance in transmission and distribution. The Distcos are likely headed to a INR 1.16 Tln loss by 2014-15 according to a study conducted for the 13th Finance commission.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 22:39:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Fixed Income Report: Bond yields scarily poised</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/UTZKzcCAfUM/fixed-income-report-bond-yields-scarily-poise</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/fixed-income-report-bond-yields-scarily-poise</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Inflation data from the CPI index considered more carefully in global monetary policy is ready&amp;nbsp; with the CSO declaring data from tomorrow ( see last paragraph)&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;However as we pointed out in a post minutes ago, the Fixed income yields are almost tentatively poised at 8.2% with the markets a primary reason for the tentativeness as the urge to speculate comes to town on Indianomics. India's OMOs last week of INR 120 bln and the CRR chop to be worth INR 360 bln has not materialised, the inflation at a comfortable below 7% figure may rear its head again soon as manufactured goods indices are not dipping that well, staying nearly 8%&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The 10 year at 8.2 % ansd the 12 and 15&amp;nbsp; year at 8.52% and 8.55% show the yield curve having steepened bu twith no CDS and swaps market with spread unnecessarily compensating to junk levels without liquidity for the market makers to fine tune the action, FIIs are unlikely to come bareback into a new Asian market. Even new bond issue bankers are getting a quarter of the fee last year.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;According to Arjun P in the DNA analysis&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Liquidity tightened by &lt;span style="font-family: Rupee Foradian;"&gt;`&lt;/span&gt;56,000 crore last week with the system borrowing &lt;span style="font-family: Rupee Foradian;"&gt;`&lt;/span&gt;167,000 crore from RBI on a daily average basis. The rising liquidity pressure led to the RBI buying government bonds in OMOs.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;/blockquote&gt;
&lt;p&gt;That's INR 560 bln out of the window even as banks move rates down and RBI borrowing now all corrected to 9.5% the designated MSF by RBI getting higher than India's high trade deficit and nearer 5 times banks could have released from their Central Bank acocunt after the CRR cut, almost all of it could easily be explained as amounts banks have in excess deposits with the RBI. Banks are moving to cut loan rates, having made affirmative stateements and SBI having seen as reducing Edu loan rates in the press.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The point is that the rates are precipitously poised on yield as rate cuts are months away and moves down could hit growth badly while yields moving up back to 8.5% ont he 10 year bond will necessitate the overtly stretched government finances to arrannge for another OMO &amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Last but not the least Oil has moved up to $120 levels one spike to $150 likely and 12% of our supply in Iranian oil in as mucha&amp;nbsp; threat as also half our rice exports and many in tea and fruita and vegetables to Iran. The Afghanistani Oil we have planned for also travels thru Iranian ports huh! wow.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Inflation data on the CPI series is in for the first time as a yearly series becomes available from Tomorrow, and likely coming in near 8% ( watch the lovely rural vs urban vs composite chart at livemint.com) , instead of the feared 10% unless there is another spike in January data. As of December the rural indices have moved to 115 and the composite 113.9 data available from January 2011 when rural was 107 and composite 106. The urban sub index started from 104 in Jan 2011 and ended last year at 112.4&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 22:25:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Delhi mumbai Infrastructure Corridor investment update</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/3EhBgDiSb-k/delhi-mumbai-infrastructure-corridor-investme</link>
      <guid isPermaLink="false">http://india.advantages.us/delhi-mumbai-infrastructure-corridor-investme</guid>
      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;The $100 bln Delhi Mumbai Infra corridor passes thru 6 states and most projects are on PPP basis inviting private participation most find unlikely. the initial public stake owners n the project IDFC and IL&amp;amp;FS have handed over their stakes to state LIC and the almost defunct India Infrastructure Finance Corpn limited. IL&amp;amp;FS owned 41% of the corridor's DMIC Development Corp and IDFC 10%&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The self sustaining smart cities probably don't count starting and end points Dadri and JNPT in ANvi Mumbai even as manesar and Dholera ar e the only other active sites with Manesar already an urban industrial centre and Dholera waiting for some enterprising indeminfied promoters taking the bait to build a city on virgin land&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The stakes will thus be transferred at facev alue no assets belonging to the DMIC deve,opment corp that need to be valuated, nor any cahs flows except the equity and limited operational expenses. In the approved model, somehow the gains of Private Public enterprise are to be retained by the Development Corp with one apex and six state authorities. A separate DMIC fund will evaluate and invest in each SPV set up by the apex or state level authority to encapsulate the Private investment and channelise state paticipation. upto INR 175 bln in funding and INR 10 bln in ancilliary projects has been approved for the fund corpus and the state dMIC fund will receive Jpanese develpopment contribution from JBIC as promised.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;A final 26% of the DMIC DC itself will likely be approved by the state for JBIC ownership. Maharashtra and Gujarat state committees are in a seeming race to set up and execute the first SPVs on ground&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 22:25:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>ONGC Divestment is a welcome move, but not all is fizzy pop</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/nEHPrVHtdXs/ongc-divestment-is-a-welcome-move-but-not-all</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;The INR 120 bln or $2.4 bln to be added to the government account will leave it with 69% stake in the Oil major, though the subsidy bill is likely to increase further this year beyond the budgeted as the new biudget plans INR 5.5 tln in subsidies and thus adds only for the extra food subsidy bill in the new FSA likely. That oil is above $120 a barrel affects ONGC adversely as it foots more subsidy bills, but it has a pipeline of investors from the uwait and Abu Dhabi SWFs reported in the ET as well as CalPERS It seems Kotak has the elusive mandate of course pro bono / gratis without any revenue adds.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;More importantly the SBI results added a new lot of NPAs and I could not get to the Results season analysis with so many virtual noises keeping me to strictly channeled lines for unemployed welfare withouting commiting anyone to donatons or funding these blogs. So, there it is that is all we could do on investments insurance and divestments on the stock exchanges as well. Also FIIs will be directly buying and selling equities and corporate bonds on the bourses as long as they can digest the seemingly lengthy KYC procedures.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;RIL continues to lose margins in Natural Gas even as shale prices firm up globally and global inventories keeep reducing, Indian yelds are scarily poised at 8.2% any step down or back up meaning instability, the equities have taken off heading to new exotic ranges of vanilla Nifty calls&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;The UP elections have been welcome for the ruling party and thus the markets as well. It would be good to see stability in the large state.&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Wed, 15 Feb 2012 20:26:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>Happy Thursdays! Guru Ravidas, Maha Shivratri and the sun and sand for the markets</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/LGOX-aJSX9g/happy-thursdays-guru-ravidas-maha-shivratri-a</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Forced by focussed inspiration to stay on the boring subject, the markets have chosen a unique way to grow the index as each rise is followed by a forced chop off adnd 2 day consolidation, leaving a crop of inexperienced clueless on why $ 4 bln of portfolio FDI is enough. Banks have reached their true price potential however, and midcaps have not responded, so the anarchical rise will stay biut not for long&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;the ONGC FPO has again become a crucial test, and staying away an unwitting option. One wonders what the IPO market is headed for in institutional climes. Asia is a good retirement destination, people here should not try enterprise..seems to be the over bearing conclusion important to drive home, i doubt it is per chance&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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    <item>
      <pubDate>Wed, 15 Feb 2012 00:24:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>A time to sell..ONGC too</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/-Rc3iK9lqck/a-time-to-sellongc-too</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;Bank nifty and the Nifty 50, bang on 5550, not here but near somewhere..with ONGC directly sold on the exchanges in a week, TCS is a good short, the sector near burn, and the Bank Nifty could yet burn someone trying to short but just right to consider. ICICI Bank 960, HDFC Bank 528, and maybe not to hurry it intoa fall till mid afternoon tomorrow? Beleve me that i sall I can think about right now..&lt;/p&gt;
	
&lt;/p&gt;

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      <pubDate>Tue, 14 Feb 2012 22:51:00 -0800</pubDate>
      <title>OOh A Voltas A/c for the House and a Videocon CTV with DTH!!!</title>
      <link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/indiadotin/~3/sRnRDOqGTJ8/ooh-a-voltas-ac-for-the-house-and-a-videocon-72483</link>
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      <description>&lt;p&gt;
	&lt;p&gt;A Catch up plateau by &amp;nbsp;samsung and LG combined with a year of slow growth in durables means the twins Samsung and LG have been separated in most categories to at least one #3 positionas Voltas and Videocoan have finally caught up with the latest mass technologies. S o till LED Displays become mandatory in the next 2-3 years don;t be surprised at people adding Videocon CTVs and Voltas A/cs.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;DTH subscribers are up to 45 mln, Dish TV having sold 20 mln of those ( and I have two wasted boxes lyng in the penthouse storage somewhere, so you now the counting) Tata Sky with 9 mln and Airtel 8.5 mln no doubt caught up by the big bang in CBS viewership and 18 prime (CNBC).&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
&lt;p&gt;Somehow, I am wondering why this population is not going to be 90 mln when there is more people with TV knowledge than the number of mobiles floating around! Anyone get there yet? This year will be more marketing start ups with image bazaar watermarked images as that is yet an untapped market, but aren;'t one of those handhelds or tv remoters spiked . Maybe you could spike teenagers sunglasses to recover the rest what market research cannot fnd in urban or rural fand from someone who actually wins more than a mirror in popularity contests.&amp;nbsp;&lt;/p&gt;
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