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    <title>Iran Affairs</title>
    
    
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    <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:weblog-217919</id>
    <updated>2012-06-02T08:53:01-04:00</updated>
    <subtitle>Iranian foreign policy and international affairs. </subtitle>
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        <title>Stephen Walt doesn't get it on Iran</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef01676702a499970b</id>
        <published>2012-06-02T08:53:01-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-06-02T08:53:01-04:00</updated>
        <summary>Stephen Walt writes: For the past decade, the US and its allies have been insisting that Iran suspend enrichment. Back when we started making that demand (in 2001 or so), Iran had no centrifuges in operation. We’ve continued to issue these ultimatums for more than a decade, and Iran now...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
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<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>Stephen Walt <a href="http://walt.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2012/05/25/the_arrogance_of_power" target="_self">writes</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>For the past decade, the US and its allies have been insisting that Iran</em><br /><em> suspend enrichment. Back when we started making that demand (in 2001 or</em><br /><em> so), Iran had no centrifuges in operation. We’ve continued to issue these</em><br /><em> ultimatums for more than a decade, and Iran now has thousands of</em><br /><em> centrifuges in operation and a stockpile of enriched uranium that we’re</em><br /><em> now trying to get them to give up. In short, our take-it-or-leave-it</em><br /><em> approach to this problem has been a complete failure, and you’d think</em><br /><em> those in charge of U.S. policy would have recognized this by now.</em></p>
<p>Well, gee whiz Walt, maybe those in charge of US policy <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><em>do</em></span> recognize this? Maybe this isn't attributable to an "arrogance of power" but is in fact part of a deliberate policy? Like I've been saying for years, the total "suspension" (permanent elimination) of enrichment really isn't the goal, but is actually just a <em>pretext</em> for another policy: of regime change. I mean, seriously folks! When are we going to acknowledge this? The demand that Iran give up enrichment is and always was a "poison pill" inserted into the talks and intended to <em>prevent</em> a peaceful resolution of the nuclear issue through negotiations.</p>
<p>Look, the US intelligence agencies themselves say that there is no sign of a nuclear weapons program in Iran, nor any actual proof that Iran seeks nuclear weapons. And yet the scaremongering about Iran's nuclear program continues unabated in the media and through "leaks".</p>
<p>I wonder: how many more times do we have to see this demand for ending enrichment in Iran killing off any negotiations, before we acknowledge the US simply has no desire for this standoff to the resolved whilst the regime in Iran is still there? No, just about the LAST THING the US wants is for the negotiations to be successful with the IRI left in charge.</p>
<p>And once we accept that fact, which is self-evident by now, we have to accept the corollary: no amount of Iranian compromises -- not even if Iran totally gives up its nuclear prorgram -- will end the standoff. The US goal is regime change, not simply ensuring that Iran's nuclear program doesn't result in weapons.</p></div>
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    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>What I'm reading on Iran...</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016305f4a24b970d</id>
        <published>2012-05-29T09:51:49-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-06-03T19:28:03-04:00</updated>
        <summary>I am reading three articles that may interest you: A view from the booming, modern city of Tehran MoonofAlabama's take on what "officials say" according to Joby Warrick's WaPo article on how Iranians are out to assassinate Americans. Yousaf Butt's article on how the US is using the nuclear issue...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
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<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>I am reading three articles that may interest you:</p>
<p>A view from the <a href="http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/a-view-from-the-booming-modern-streets-of-tehran/article4210031/" target="_self">booming, modern city of Tehran</a></p>
<p>MoonofAlabama's take on what "<a href="http://www.moonofalabama.org/2012/05/reporting-the-washington-post-style.html" target="_self">officials say</a>" according to Joby Warrick's WaPo article on how Iranians are out to assassinate Americans.</p>
<p>Yousaf Butt's article on how the US is <a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/Commentary/Opinion/2012/0525/By-not-lifting-sanctions-West-and-Obama-are-helping-Iran-enrich-uranium" target="_self">using the nuclear issue as a pretext for regime change</a>.</p>
<p>Daniel Joyner on the <a href="http://jurist.org/forum/2012/05/daniel-joyner-iran-sanctions.php" target="_self">effects of the Iran sanctions</a>:</p>
<p><span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: x-small;"><span style="font-family: Verdana; font-size: xx-small;"> </span></span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em><span style="font-size: 11pt;">To  put it simply, the West's sanctions program is the reason that Iran  pulled back from the negotiating table in the first place.</span></em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em><span style="font-size: 11pt;">To now claim that Western sanctions have had the successful effect of  bringing Iran back to the negotiating table is to ignore this broader  view of the history of the crisis over Iran's nuclear program, and the  material role that Western sanctions have played in actually creating  and intensifying the crisis.</span></em></p>
<p> </p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"> </p></div>
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    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Iran builds helicopters that can't match the latest US technology.</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016305e1c692970d</id>
        <published>2012-05-27T11:46:50-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-27T11:53:35-04:00</updated>
        <summary>First: So the progress of talks thus far? Well, there was a lot of trumped-up "optimism", then there was a repeat performance of the Paris Agreement negotiations of years ago, with the US deliberately demanding things it knows Iran would not agree to, then ramping up the scaremongering (this time,...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
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<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>First: So the progress of talks thus far? Well, there was a lot of trumped-up "optimism", then there was a repeat performance of the Paris Agreement negotiations of years ago, with the US deliberately demanding things it knows Iran would not agree to, then ramping up the scaremongering (this time, about 27% enrichment, and "plans already prepared" for bombing Iran...as if the Pentagon doesn't keep such plans on file on a regular basis anyway.)</p>
<p><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef0168ebd716e6970c-pi" style="float: left;"><img alt="Haha" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef0168ebd716e6970c" src="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef0168ebd716e6970c-320wi" style="margin: 0px 5px 5px 0px;" title="Haha" /></a>So apart from that, I am amused by the hyper-arrogant portrayal of Iran's announcement that it is making helicopters. You can practically hear the reporters from the US pointing a finger and saying "<a href="http://gizmodo.com/5913432/iran-is-building-new-helicopters-based-around-50+year+old-american-technology" target="_self">HA HA!</a>" and then holding their stomachs as they theatrically laugh and slap their knee. <em>Oh those silly Iranians making helicopters that aren't as good as ours!</em></p>
<p>A <em>good</em> reporter would have pointed out that whilst it is perfectly true that American military technology is probably far ahead of Iran's, lets not forget the tiny little fact  that Iran historically <a href="1.9%" target="_self">spends</a> a fraction of its GDP on its military, quite <a href="http://www.google.com/publicdata/explore?ds=d5bncppjof8f9_&amp;ctype=l&amp;strail=false&amp;bcs=d&amp;nselm=h&amp;met_y=ms_mil_xpnd_gd_zs&amp;scale_y=lin&amp;ind_y=false&amp;rdim=region&amp;idim=country:USA&amp;ifdim=region&amp;tstart=-302900400000&amp;tend=1306472400000&amp;hl=en&amp;dl=en&amp;ind=false&amp;q=military+spending" target="_self">unlike</a> in  the US, and instead Iran has been spending on improving the lives of  its people -- whose live have in fact significantly improved since the  1979 Revolution. (This is a statement of <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaeb83d970c-popup" target="_self">objective fact</a>, based on Iran's  Human Development Index compiled by the UN.) This, at at time that Americans are getting <a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/05/25/average-ceo-pay-2011_n_1545225.html" target="_self">screwed</a>.</p></div>
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    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>"Hopes fade" for Iran nuclear talks -- like that's a surprise?</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016305c6fdf6970d</id>
        <published>2012-05-23T20:11:13-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-23T21:50:02-04:00</updated>
        <summary>Scott Petersen of the Christian Science Monitor reports that "Hopes fade for progress at Iran nuclear talks in Baghdad": Hope for swift progress on a nuclear deal with Tehran faded dramatically today, as world powers presented Iran with a list of stringent demands to curb its uranium enrichment but offered...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
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<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>Scott Petersen of the Christian Science Monitor reports that "<a href="http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle-East/2012/0523/Hopes-fade-for-progress-at-Iran-nuclear-talks-in-Baghdad" target="_self">Hopes fade for progress at Iran nuclear talks in Baghdad</a>":</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>Hope for swift progress on a nuclear deal with Tehran faded dramatically today, as world powers presented Iran with a list of stringent demands to curb its uranium enrichment but offered little sanctions relief in return.</em></p>
<p>Gee, when has that <a href="http://www.basicint.org/publications/paul-ingram/2005/preliminary-analysis-e3eu-proposal-iran" target="_self">happened before</a>?</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>In general this document [the EU offer belatedly made to Iran pursuant to the Paris Agreement deal of 2003] is vague on incentives and heavy on demands. It proposes</em><br /><em>new processes of further dialogue with the potential for cooperation in a number of</em><br /><em>areas, but few concrete offers. The demands upon Iran in contrast are specific and</em><br /><em>uncompromising.</em></p>
<p>Well, I hate to say it, but<a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/pessimism-for-upcoming-us-iran-nuclear-negotiations.html" target="_self"> I told you so</a>.</p>
<p>This is particularly sad:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>"This is what we were afraid of," says the Iranian diplomat. "No one is  going to accept these things this way. The 20 percent and shutting down  Fordow, in return for nothing? Nothing?"</em></p>
<p>Yes, nothing. Just like before. You know, they say the definition of insanity is doing things over and over, and each time expecting a different result. Sheesh! How many times do we have to watch this same movie again?</p>
<p>Now, some optimists will say that this is only the begining, perhaps even these talks were <em>intended</em> to end badly so that each side can mark out their initial starting points whilst protecting their backs and flanks from charges of giving in too easily, etc...but wishful thinking, hopes and desires are no substitute for objective observation of a long pattern of similar incidents through out the history of this standoff, in which a lot of hope was invested into a process that the US side killed, torpedoed and undermined, starting from the Paris Agreement deal to the Turkish-Brazilian uranium swap deal. I just don't see this process ever panning out. The pundits can write out long articles giving advice about how everyone just has to get along, and how they have to<a href="http://www.huffingtonpost.com/reza-marashi/iran-talks-us_b_1538120.html" target="_self"> break the rules</a>, etc. etc. but let me remind everyone that the nuclear issue was never really the problem <em>anyway</em>. That was merely a pretext and cover for a deeper policy, namely, of imposing regime-change on Iran. So there's no point in discussing <em>how to get to yes with Iran</em> if one side has no intention or desire to get to yes but in fact specifically wants to <em>not</em> get to a yes. There are just too many fundamental, <em>structural</em> problems to these talks which haven't been overcome, namely, that the US side has still basically not given up the plan to regime-change Iran.</p></div>
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    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>De Bellaigue on Iran nuclear negotiations</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016766b637e0970b</id>
        <published>2012-05-23T08:50:10-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-23T08:50:10-04:00</updated>
        <summary>I recommend Christopher De Bellaigue's article in the Atlantic entitled "The Politics of Dignity: Why Nuclear negotiations with Iran keep failing". Over and above any strategic value in having an ambiguous nuclear capability, Iranians tend to regard the ability to make decisions on their own soil and regarding their own...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
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<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>I recommend Christopher De Bellaigue's article in the Atlantic entitled "<a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2012/05/the-politics-of-dignity-why-nuclear-negotiations-with-iran-keep-failing/257547/" target="_self">The Politics of Dignity: Why Nuclear negotiations with Iran keep failing</a>".</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>Over and above any strategic value in having an ambiguous nuclear capability, Iranians tend to regard the ability to make decisions on their own soil and regarding their own resources as coterminous with national dignity. Mossadegh referred to the "moral" aspect of oil nationalisation; Tehran's rhetoric on the nuclear issue aims for a similar, high tone. There is broad agreement among ordinary people, whatever their feelings for the Islamic Republic, that the right to enrich uranium is not the West's to confer or withhold. The summer of 2009 saw huge protests against the Islamic Republic, but a <a href="http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR910.html">Rand survey</a> from 2010 found that 87 percent of Iranians support the civilian nuclear program, with 97 percent calling it a "national right."    The West's rhetoric, as heard in Iran, has barely advanced from the old British contempt for Mossadegh. American and European officials reveal more than they intend when they speak of using "carrots and sticks" to change Iran's "behaviour" -- as if the countrywere a hormonal teenager.</em></p>
<p>I've written before about how this charade led by the US has actually tapped into a very strong Iranian national narrative of resistance to foreign domination. This of course should not be viewed as limited to Iran. Suppose the tables were turned, and the Iranians were the ones demanding that the US give up a sovereign right or else get bombed to heck. What would the reaction of an American be in that hypothetical case? Why assume that Iranians react any differently?<em><br /></em></p></div>
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    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Entekhabifard's "Good old days of the Shah" nostaglia of Iran</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/entekhabifards-good-old-days-of-the-shah-nostaglia-of-iran.html" />
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016766ad2d44970b</id>
        <published>2012-05-22T09:16:51-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-22T11:21:22-04:00</updated>
        <summary>I often hear exiles reminesce about the "good old days" of the Shah, a pathological condition I've witnessed in many exiles from many lands. Camilia Entekhabifard has an op-ed in today's NY Times engaging in some of the same sort of exilitis about pre-revolutionary Iran, when Iran was ruled by...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
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<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>I often hear exiles reminesce about the "good old days" of the Shah, a pathological condition I've witnessed in many exiles from many lands. Camilia Entekhabifard has <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/23/opinion/iranians-taking-solace-in-the-past.html" target="_self">an op-ed</a> in today's NY Times engaging in some of the same sort of exilitis about pre-revolutionary Iran, when Iran was ruled by the Shah. Oh, we were really respected in those days, weren't we? Oh, the economy was so much better then days, wasn't it? Oh life was so much better then wasn't it? Well, I guess you can't expect a NY Times reporter to actually check her figures before saying stuff like this.</p>
<p>In fact the majority of Iranians prior to the revolution were illiterate and poor, and despite the fancy photo shown on the NY Times page of the Shah and his wife in a mink coat, Tehran had a massive slum in the south known as "Halabi-abad" ("Tin City" -- the houses were made with discarded tin cans)</p>
<p>So for a bit of objectivity, I recommend Wolfram Alpha's elegant charts of UN data. The fact is that life for Iranians has significantly improved SINCE the revolution, despite the war and sanctions:</p>
<p><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaeb83d970c-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;"><img alt="Iran-hdi" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaeb83d970c" src="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaeb83d970c-320wi" title="Iran-hdi" /></a></p>
<p><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/files/iran-gdp.png"><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016305b91357970d" /></a><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016766ad1b7c970b-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;"><img alt="Iran-gdp" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016766ad1b7c970b" src="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016766ad1b7c970b-320wi" title="Iran-gdp" /></a></p>
<p><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016305b91357970d"><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016305b915a8970d-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;"><img alt="Iran-health" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016305b915a8970d" src="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016305b915a8970d-320wi" title="Iran-health" /></a><br /><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016766ad1d84970b-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;" /><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/files/iran-education.png" /></span></p>
<p><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016305b91357970d"><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaec273970c"><a class="asset-img-link" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016766ad2ae3970b-popup" onclick="window.open( this.href, '_blank', 'width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0' ); return false" style="display: inline;"><img alt="Iran-education" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016766ad2ae3970b" src="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef016766ad2ae3970b-320wi" title="Iran-education" /></a><br /></span></span></p>
<p><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016305b91357970d"><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaec273970c"> </span></span></p>
<p><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef016305b91357970d"><span class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83420523653ef0168ebaec273970c">Oh, and from the <a href="http://hdrstats.undp.org/images/explanations/IRN.pdf" target="_self">UNDP's Human Development Report 2011</a>:</span></span></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Islamic Republic of Iran’s HDI value for 2011 is 0.707—in the high human development category—positioning the country at 88 out of 187 countries and territories. Between 1980 and 2011, Islamic Republic of Iran’s HDI value increased from 0.437 to 0.707, an increase of 62.0 per cent ...</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;"><em>Between 1980 and 2011, Islamic Republic of Iran’s life expectancy at birth increased by 21.9 years, mean years of schooling increased by 5.2 years and expected years of schooling increased by 4.3 years. Islamic Republic of Iran’s GNI [Gross National Income] per capita increased by about 43.0 per cent between 1980 and 2011.</em></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Reuters misrepresents Iran's nuclear status</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/reuters-misrepresents-irans-nuclear-status.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/reuters-misrepresents-irans-nuclear-status.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0168ebab1273970c</id>
        <published>2012-05-21T20:46:44-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-21T21:00:20-04:00</updated>
        <summary>I thought my readers would be amused by this graphic displayed by Thomson Reuters which characterizes Iran as an "undeclared" nuclear-armed state on par with Israel, despite the fact that even US and Israeli intelligence agencies have admitted there is no actual weapons program in Iran nor evidence that Iran...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p><a href="http://blog.thomsonreuters.com/index.php/world-nuclear-weapon-states-graphic-of-the-day/"><img alt="" src="http://blog.thomsonreuters.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/nuclear-weapons.jpg" style="float: left; width: 100px; margin-right: 5 px;" /></a></p>
<p>I thought my readers would be amused by this graphic <a href="http://blog.thomsonreuters.com/index.php/world-nuclear-weapon-states-graphic-of-the-day/" target="_self">displayed by Thomson Reuters</a> which characterizes Iran as an "undeclared" nuclear-armed state on par with Israel, despite the fact that even US and Israeli intelligence agencies have admitted there is no actual weapons program in Iran nor evidence that Iran actually seeks nuclear weapons.</p>
<p>As I've written <a href="http://www.worlddialogue.org/content.php?id=368" target="_self">before</a>, the media have a tendency to treat the existence of a nuclear weapons program as a foregone conclusion and already-established fact, despite the contradictory evidence (even the conclusions of America's own intelligence agency consensus.)</p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>US to delist MEK/MKO? Who cares.</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/us-to-delist-mekmko-who-cares.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/us-to-delist-mekmko-who-cares.html" thr:count="2" thr:updated="2012-05-20T02:08:45-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0168eb8e3c6c970c</id>
        <published>2012-05-16T20:23:34-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-16T20:28:17-04:00</updated>
        <summary>So the Wall St Journal shook up some people with a report that the US will soon delist the MEK as a terrorist organization. Question: so what? I mean, apart from the fact that the listing was never really enforced anyway, what with MEK members still strutting around in the...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>So the Wall St Journal shook up some people with<a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702303505504577404473860446952.html?mod=wsj_share_tweet" target="_self"> a report</a> that the US will soon delist the MEK as a terrorist organization.</p>
<p>Question: so what? I mean, apart from the fact that the listing was never really enforced anyway, what with MEK members still strutting around in the halls of Congress and paying large sums of money to various officials to campaign for them, nevermind the MEK spokesmen who show up on Fox and HuffingtonPost to peddle their propaganda... apart from all that, the fact is that no one in Iran really gives a damn what the US State Department's opinion on the matter is anyway. Iranians hate the MEK not because it is on the State Department's terrorist list but because of the historical actions and agenda of the MEK, which isn't going to change no matter how many times it gets added or removed from any lists.</p>
<p>Anyway, Laura Rozen <a href="http://backchannel.al-monitor.com/?p=294" target="_self">reports</a> that the Wall St Journal article about delisting the MEK "blindsided" the Iran experts in Washington. I think the true explanation is this: Lets not forget that the the Wall St Journal is part of the far-right (just read their editorial pages) in the US that doesn't want to see a peaceful resolution of the US-Iran standoff, and like other far-right anti-Iran organizations, it has been trying to do its part to scuttle the Iran nuclear talks.</p>
<p>Secretly, I suspect that the regime in Iran is quite happy to see the US remove the MEK from the terrorist list. After all, the MEK is the best opposition that the IRI could hope for. I mean, if you're going to have activists opposing you, what better that these discredited, hated, and cultlike activists can you find?</p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Update on Parchin and "explosive test chambers" in Iran.</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/update-on-parchin-and-explosive-test-chambers-in-iran.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/update-on-parchin-and-explosive-test-chambers-in-iran.html" thr:count="1" thr:updated="2012-05-15T13:08:14-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0167667c20b9970b</id>
        <published>2012-05-14T08:37:38-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-14T10:46:07-04:00</updated>
        <summary>(UPDATE: I recommend reading Nima Shirazi's blog) I'm sure you've seen this story about a drawing of a "nuclear test chamber" in the media today (typically, the story is posted in the "blog" section of major newspaper sites since the "news" standards for the "blog" sections are lower) so I...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>(UPDATE: I recommend reading <a href="http://www.wideasleepinamerica.com/2012/05/this-weekends-extravaganza-of.html" target="_self">Nima Shirazi's blog</a>)</p>
<p>I'm sure you've seen <a href="http://rendezvous.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/05/14/timing-of-nuclear-claim-puts-tehran-on-the-spot/#comments" target="_self">this story</a> about a drawing of a "nuclear test chamber" in the media today (typically, the story is posted in the "blog" section of major newspaper sites since the "news" standards for the  "blog" sections are lower) so I thought it would be a good time to repeat what's actually known about Parchin and this "nuclear test chamber":</p>
<p>1- Parchin is a non-nuclear site, and as such it falls outside of the IAEA's legal authority which is limited to nuclear sites. However the site at Parchin was already visited by IAEA experts TWICE in 2005, because Iran voluntarily opened it to inspections. The inspectors were allowed to pick any 5 buildings and go visit them, and environmental samples were taken. IAEA reports specifically thank Iran for allowing the inspections and say nothing out of the ordinary was found there...twice.<br /><br />2- This story about an explosion chamber was <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2011/11/warrick-albright-danilenko.html" target="_self">debunked</a> when it first came out and when the media had named a "Soviet nuclear scientists" Vyacheslav Danilenko as aiding Iran's nuclear program. <a href="http://www.moonofalabama.org/2011/11/my-nanodiamonds-analysis-starts-to-kill-the-iaeas-case.html" target="_self">Turned out</a> Danilenko's specialty was actually in making nanodiamonds using similiar explosive chambers (which can be <a href="http://www.bluechipintl.com/products/Product_Sub_Detail.asp?catid=128&amp;PDid=1309" target="_self">cylindrical</a> or <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/.a/6a00d83420523653ef0162fc658905970d-popup" target="_self">hemispherical</a>), and nanodiamonds are regularly used for civilian industrial purposes. More <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2011/11/joby-warricks-damage-control-on-the-soviet-weapons-scientist-fraud.html" target="_self">here</a>.<br /><br />3-  Iran has not refused a third visit but has asked for a "modalities agreement" from the IAEA, just as which existed prior to the other two IAEA visits there. This is because legally, Iran doesn't have to allow any inspections of a non-nuclear site such as Parchin at all. The job of the IAEA, according to Iran's safeguards agreement, is "exclusively" limited to measure Iran's fissile material to ensure non-diversion for weapons uses (and every IAEA report has certified that Iran is in full compliance with this ACTUAL requirement of the NPT.) If the IAEA suspects that Parchin is an undeclared nuclear site, all it has to do is present the evidence to the IAEA Board of Governors and get a 'special inspection' permit that Iran would be obliged to allow (this has happened in the past with Romania and North Korea.) However  despite all the hype, the IAEA has never presented its evidence for suspicion to the Board and has not tried to obtain this special inspection permit.</p>
<p>4- Iran's nuclear program is entirely legal, according to even several <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2011/jun/09/iran-nuclear-power-un-threat-peace" target="_self">former European ambassadors</a> to Iran. The <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hpiOh8HRiFE6Sa_idQiCow5EBu1A" target="_self">IAEA took pains</a> to point out that were was never any evidence of any nuclear weapons program in Iran, either now <em>or in the past</em>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 30px;">The UN atomic watchdog said Thursday it has no concrete proof that there is <strong>or has been</strong> a nuclear weapons programme in Iran. (empasis mine)</p>
<p><br /><br /><br /></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Rub-a-dub at Parchin in Iran? </title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/rub-a-dub-at-parchin-in-iran-.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/rub-a-dub-at-parchin-in-iran-.html" thr:count="1" thr:updated="2012-05-10T17:37:12-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016766608efa970b</id>
        <published>2012-05-10T00:56:33-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-10T01:03:28-04:00</updated>
        <summary>[Update: if you need to be reminded what the big fuss with Parchin and the supposed "explosives testing chamber" there is all about, read this.] The New York Times has a typically one-sided and frantic report about how Iran is supposedly decontaminating Parchin military base with water, according to ISIS...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>[Update: if you need to be reminded what the big fuss with Parchin and the supposed "explosives testing chamber" there is all about, <a href="http://www.moonofalabama.org/2011/11/on-nuclear-iran-allegations-nanodiamonds-aint-nuclear-bombs.html" target="_self">read this</a>.]</p>
<p>The New York Times has a typically one-sided and frantic report about how Iran is supposedly decontaminating Parchin military base with water, according to ISIS and David Albright.</p>
<p>Now, I'm no nukular expert or nuthin' but seems to me that you can't just wash away the evidence of nuclear weapons tests, especially if they supposedly involved neutron initiators, as claimed. And, <a href="http://presstv.com/detail/240370.html" target="_self">this</a> suggests the Iranians are aware of the physics well enough to know they can't simply wash it away:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokesman Ramin Mehmanparast says  claims of a US security institute about Tehran trying to clean up the  Parchin site resemble a “joke.”</p>
<p>“This institute is a bit inexperienced. If it had more experience it  would have known nuclear activities, the way they claim, could not be  cleaned and they are joking with our nation,” Mehmanparast said  Wednesday.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>But aside from all that, I've written about how David Albright has been pushing Parchin as a nuclear weapons site for a while. Remember, the only real reason Albright could use to support his suspicions about Parchin is that it simply appears like a "logical candidate" for a secret nuclear site  (Just read <a href="http://www.isis-online.org/publications/iran/parchin.html">this</a> and count the number of "may be" and "could be" statements.)</p>
<p>I won't comment too much about how the NY Times seems to be OK with violating some basic rules of reporting when it comes to Iran -- like the idea that you need to get an alternate view from someone <em>other</em> than the person whose views you're too busy parroting. You know, like maybe an independent expert at satellite photo analysis, or someone who knows about all the construction that's constantly done at Parchin, or rainfall, etc. But apart from that, the New York Times leaves the key fact -- that Parchin was already visited by IAEA officials in the past --  for a single, short sentence all the way at the end of the article. And even then, the NY Times still manages to lie about that fact:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>Iran allowed inspectors to visit Parchin in 2005. But that visit was  heavily chaperoned and did not include a tour of the suspected testing  chamber cited in the agency’s November report.</em></p>
<p>The implication, of course, is that we should overlook the fact that the IAEA did not find anything untoward back then in 2005, since these visits were "highly chaperoned" (why would this have prevented them from doing their job, exactly? Does being chaperoned prevent them from taking their tests and measurements?) and did not include the particular site. Ah, but this narrative of the former IAEA visit to Parchin is totally false and misleading because it leaves out some pertinent facts:</p>
<p>First of all, Iran allowed <em>two</em> separate visits by the IAEA to Parchin in 2005, not just one visit as the NY Times says. This is because the first visit turned up exactly nothing, so David Albright went on a crusade and insisted that the IAEA should go back again. They did. Again, nothing was found. Whether they were chaperoned or not is irrelevant, of course, since chaperones don't prohibit the inspectors from doing their jobs in anyway. The tiny atoms of fissile material that the inspectors were looking for don't suddenly run away at the sight of an approaching chaperone.</p>
<p>Secondly, whether the particular building was visited or not, Iran did not limit the IAEA's ability to visit the facilities in Parchin. Specifically, Iran allowed the IAEA visitors to pick any 5 buildings of their own choice, and to obtain environmental samples. So, if Iran was hiding a secret explosive chamber used for nuclear weapons work, it was taking a rather large risk to allow the IAEA to go snooping around like that.</p>
<p>Finally, though the NY Times suggests that the IAEA visitors to Parchin were somehow too restricted to do their jobs right, lets remember that the IAEA itself did not complain about anything at the time, and even officially welcomed and appreciated the access provided by Iran to the site in the following IAEA statements:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>GOV/2005/67, dated 2 September 2005, paragraph 41, “As described by  the DDG-SG in his 1 March 2005 statement to the Board, in January 2005,  Iran agreed, as a transparency measure, to permit the Agency to visit a  site located at Parchin in order to provide assurance regarding the  absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities at that site. Out  of the four areas identified by the Agency to be of potential interest,  the Agency was permitted to select any one area. The Agency was  requested to minimize the number of buildings to be visited in that  area, and selected five buildings. The Agency was given free access to  those buildings and their surroundings and was allowed to take  environmental samples, the results of which did not indicate the  presence of nuclear material, nor did the Agency see any relevant dual  use equipment or materials in the locations visited.”</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>GOV/2005/67, dated 2 September 2005, paragraph 49, “Iran has  permitted the Agency, as a measure of transparency, to visit defence  related sites at Kolahdouz, Lavisan and Parchin. the Agency found no  nuclear related activities at Kolahdouz.”</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>GOV/2005/87, dated 18 November 2005, paragraph 16, “On 1 November  2005, following a meeting held on 30 October 2005 between Mr. Larijani,  the Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, and the  Deputy Director General for Safeguards (DDG-SG), the Agency was given  access to the buildings requested within the area of interest at Parchin  (see para. 41 of GOV/2005/67), in the course of which environmental  samples were taken. The Agency did not observe any unusual activities in  the buildings visited. Its final assessment is pending the results of  the environmental sample analysis.”</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>GOV/2005/87, dated 18 November 2005, paragraph 21, “The Agency welcomes the access provided to the Parchin site.”</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>GOV/2006/15 dated 27 February 2006 paragraph 32, “On 1 November 2005,  the Agency was given access to a military site at Parchin where several  environmental samples were taken. The Agency did not observe any  unusual activities in the buildings visited, and the results of the  analysis of environmental samples did not indicate the presence of  nuclear material at those locations.”</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>GOV/2006/15 dated 27 February 2006 paragraph 52. In this regard, Iran  has permitted the Agency to visit defense related sites at Kolahdouz,  Lavisan and Parchin. The Agency did not observe any unusual activities  in the buildings visited at Kolahdouz and Parchin, and the results of  environmental sampling did not indicate the presence of nuclear material  at those locations.</em></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Update on the Iran nuclear talks</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/update-on-the-iran-nuclear-talks.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/update-on-the-iran-nuclear-talks.html" thr:count="1" thr:updated="2012-05-07T20:47:41-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0163052df06b970d</id>
        <published>2012-05-04T16:36:54-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-04T16:36:54-04:00</updated>
        <summary>There's nothing to update, of course, since the Baghdad meeting hasn't happened yet but naturally there's a lot of speculation in the media about what sort of deal may happen. Bottom line is despite all the "optimism" that is being expressed, I don't think that the US will (nor can)...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>There's nothing to update, of course, since the Baghdad meeting hasn't happened yet but naturally there's a lot of speculation in the media about what sort of deal may happen.</p>
<p>Bottom line is despite all the "optimism" that is being expressed, I don't think that the US will (nor can) remove the sanctions, and so any real breakthrough is unlikely.</p>
<p>In fact, I suspect that the American side is pretending to be optimistic because they want to temporarily reduce oil prices, thus helping cement an Obama election victory -- and once the elections are over, it will be back to the same old, same old war mongering on Iran.</p>
<p>Oh <a href="http://www.fairplay.co.uk/login.aspx?reason=denied_empty&amp;script_name=/secure/display.aspx&amp;path_info=/secure/display.aspx&amp;articlename=dn0020120504000018" target="_self">and fyi</a>:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>CHINESE shipping groups were reported today to be greatly profiting from transporting Iranian crude with little competition because of sanctions...</em></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Juan Cole on Al Qaeda and Iran</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/juan-cole-on-al-qaeda-and-iran.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/juan-cole-on-al-qaeda-and-iran.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0168eb1f196c970c</id>
        <published>2012-05-04T09:06:04-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-04T09:08:28-04:00</updated>
        <summary>I highly recommend today's entry in Juan Cole's blog on the alleged Al Qaeda-Iran connection. But what's really interesting is his broader observation of how the US foreign policy system works: If unreliable intelligence personnel with an axe to grind can leak enough to the newspapers, and if the latter...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>I highly recommend today's entry in Juan Cole's blog on the alleged <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2012/05/no-virginia-iran-isnt-in-bed-with-al-qaeda-abbotabad-trove.html" target="_self">Al Qaeda-Iran connection</a>. But what's really interesting is his broader observation of how the US foreign policy system works:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>If unreliable intelligence personnel with an axe to grind can leak  enough to the newspapers, and if the latter prove gullible, then a  public record can be created for a false idea, which in turn can be  quoted by Congressmen and -women and cabinet officials, and ultimately  can become the basis for military action.  That the US intelligence and  security apparatuses have been infiltrated in recent decades by persons  with such axes to grind, whether on behalf of the military industrial  complex or on behalf of supposed foreign allies, seems an inescapable  conclusion if we consider the record over the past decade or a little  more of how disinformation has been successfully  made the basis of US  policy and war-making.</em></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Why is the EU sanctioning Iran?</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/why-i.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/05/why-i.html" thr:count="1" thr:updated="2012-05-10T12:14:22-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0163050b1e63970d</id>
        <published>2012-05-01T22:49:06-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-05-01T22:49:06-04:00</updated>
        <summary>"The reason why the Europeans and other countries are coming aboard (on sanctions) is not their concern about the Iranian nuclear program, but their concern that Israel might do something about that program. Europe works to thwart military action, not to promote it," a senior Israeli official said. Snicker. So,...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>"The reason why the Europeans and other  countries are coming aboard (on sanctions) is not their concern about  the Iranian nuclear program, but their concern that Israel might do  something about that program. Europe works to thwart military action,  not to promote it," a senior Israeli official said.</em></p>
<p><a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/29/us-israel-idUSBRE83S06M20120429" target="_self">Snicker</a>.</p>
<p>So, based on this, what country is actual the "threat" to the world?</p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Charles Taylor convicted, but international humanitarian law proven false yet again.</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/charles-taylor-convicted-but-international-humanitarian-law-proven-false-yet-again.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/charles-taylor-convicted-but-international-humanitarian-law-proven-false-yet-again.html" thr:count="1" thr:updated="2012-06-03T13:04:50-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016765c5cf7f970b</id>
        <published>2012-04-26T23:03:59-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-26T23:03:59-04:00</updated>
        <summary>So we're all supposed to take heart that former Liberian Charles Taylor has been found guilty of war crimes. We're even told that this constitutes a "message that tyrants worldwide will be tracked down and brought to justice." But oh, nevermind the fact that Bush, Rumsfeld and Cheney have thus...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>So we're all supposed to take heart that former Liberian Charles Taylor has been <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/world/2012/04/26/charles-taylor-conviction-sends-warning-to-tyrants/" target="_self">found guilty</a> of war crimes. We're even told that this constitutes a "message that tyrants worldwide will be tracked down and brought to justice."</p>
<p>But oh, nevermind the fact that Bush, Rumsfeld and Cheney have thus far escaped prosecution for war crimes -- because amongst other things the legal officials in France proclaimed that these people enjoy "<a href="http://ccrjustice.org/newsroom/press-releases/france-violation-law-grants-donald-rumsfeld-immunity,-dismisses-torture-comp" target="_self">official immunity</a>" from war crimes prosecutions, even after they leave office.</p>
<p>And then take a look at this photo posted by Phillip Weiss of two Israeli Knesset members making themselves comfortable on the couch which used to belong to an ethnically-cleansed Palestinian family, and grinning ear-to-ear. Remember, these are the same "victims" who fear "being wiped out" and who are quick to yell "Never Again."</p>
<p>Now tell me again about that message to tyrants.</p>
<p>There are monsters in the world.</p>
<p> </p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Feel my pain, Juan Cole.</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/feel-my-pain-juan-cole.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/feel-my-pain-juan-cole.html" thr:count="2" thr:updated="2012-04-28T13:28:45-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef016304cc64a1970d</id>
        <published>2012-04-26T10:47:41-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-26T10:47:41-04:00</updated>
        <summary>Juan Cole feels my pain when he points out that he's been vindicated in what he's been saying for a while now about Ahmadinejad's supposed threat to "wipe out" Israel: I made the same point in 2005 and was raked over the coals by the late Christopher Hitchens and his...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>Juan Cole feels my pain when he points out that he's been vindicated in what he's been saying for a while now about Ahmadinejad's supposed threat to "wipe out" Israel:</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>I <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2006/05/hitchens-hacker-and-hitchens.html">made the same point in 2005</a> and was raked over the coals by the late Christopher Hitchens and his Neoconservative friends, and by Likudniks ... and Israel’s military chief of staff, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2012/04/25/world/meast/israel-iran/">Gen. Benny Gantz, came out and said that Iranian leaders are rational actors and that they have no current nuclear weapons program</a>, not having decided to go for warheads.</em></p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>And, of course, I’ve been <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2007/12/did-iranian-spy-clear-tehran-of-nuclear.html">saying these things for years</a> and vilified for it, but this is the Israeli Army chief of staff speaking now.</em></p>
<p>Now if only Juan Cole also conceeds that there was no evidence of election fraud -- as I and some <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/files/iranian-election.pdf" target="_self">others</a> like <a href="http://brillwebsite.com/writings/iran2009election.html" target="_self">Eric Brill</a> have also been saying for years - even though he <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2009/06/chatham-house-study-definitively-shows.html" target="_self">was promoting that view </a>without any evidence (or, the evidence <a href="http://www.juancole.com/2009/06/stealing-iranian-election.html" target="_self">he cited</a> was <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2009/06/iran-elections-claims-and-counterclaims-analyzed.html" target="_self">debunked</a>) and he has yet to retract it (specifically, the Chatham House study he cites as "definitive" was faulty because it was an apples-and-oranges comparison, as the Leveretts <a href="http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=0EB1A844-18FE-70B2-A863CA2A46BF24AA" target="_self">pointed out</a>.) So, how about feeling some more of <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2010/06/the-dabate-over-the-iran-elections.html" target="_self">my pain</a>?</p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Repeated falsehoods on Iran's population growth</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/repeated-falsehoods-on-irans-population-growth.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/repeated-falsehoods-on-irans-population-growth.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0168eab8fe87970c</id>
        <published>2012-04-25T19:10:01-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-25T19:10:01-04:00</updated>
        <summary>There are many "facts" about Iran that have acheived fact-status merely through repetition. One of them is the claim that Iran experienced a population boom during the Iran-Iraq war due to Ayatullah Khomeini's edict calling for people to have more babies so as to defend Iran. The fact, however, is...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>There are many "facts" about Iran that have acheived fact-status merely through repetition. One of them is the claim that Iran experienced a population boom during the Iran-Iraq war due to Ayatullah Khomeini's edict calling for people to have more babies so as to defend Iran. The fact, however, is that<a href="http://i.imgur.com/RpSXy.jpg" target="_self"> Iran's population boom started before the Islamic Revolution</a>, and was halfway to its maximum growth rate by 1980 when the Iran-Iraq war had started.</p>
<p>But I'm sure the facts won't make a difference and everyone will continue saying that the population boom was simply due to Khomeini's edict.</p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Stratfor: Iran tricked the US into invading Iraq</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/stratfor-iran-tricked-the-us-into-invading-iraq.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/stratfor-iran-tricked-the-us-into-invading-iraq.html" thr:count="2" thr:updated="2012-04-21T22:50:25-04:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0168ea7c0950970c</id>
        <published>2012-04-21T00:22:25-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-22T15:23:37-04:00</updated>
        <summary>So just guess who's fault it was that the US invaded Iraq, at least according to George Friedman over at "Stratfor". (you know, the Stratfor that everyone just got done laughing at for the low-quality "intelligence" they were selling.) Give up? The Islamic republic proved more successful than the shah....</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>So just guess who's fault it was that the US invaded Iraq, at least <a href="http://rightbias.com/Commentary_2.aspx" target="_self">according to George Friedman over at "Stratfor"</a>. (you know, the Stratfor that everyone just got done <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/cifamerica/2012/feb/28/wikileaks-intelligence-industrial-complex" target="_self">laughing at <span style="text-decoration: underline;">for the low-quality "intelligence" they were selling</span></a>.)</p>
<p>Give up?</p>
<p style="padding-left: 60px;"><em>The Islamic republic proved more successful than the shah. It  conducted a sophisticated disinformation campaign prior to the 2003 Iraq  war to convince the United States that invading Iraq would be  militarily easy and that Iraqis would welcome the Americans with open  arms. This fed the existing U.S. desire to invade Iraq, becoming one  factor among many that made the invasion seem doable.</em></p>
<p>Yes, it was<em> the Iranians </em>who went around saying that invading US forces would be welcomed with flowers, right? And if <a href="http://politicalhumor.about.com/library/images/blpic-cheneyflowers.htm" target="_self">Cheney said that</a>, it was merely because he was a simple-minded innocent who was <em>duped</em> by the Iranians into thinking that, right?</p>
<p>In accusing Iran of tricking the US into invading Iraq like this, Friedman is promoting one of the three "It was Iran's fault" stories that were floated to justify the invasion in the absence of any of those much-touted "WMDs in Iraq".  <a href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2009/12/blaming-iran-for-the-us-invasion-of-iraq.html" target="_self">I described these three "blame Iran" theories before</a>. But now that I read that old post, I guess I left out a fourth way that Iran was blamed for the missing Iraqi WMDs: according to the fourth theory: Saddam actually DID have WMDs but quitely <a href="http://pjmedia.com/blog/satellite-photos-support-testimony-that-iraqi-wmd-went-to-syria/" target="_self">moved them to Iran (or Syria, or both)</a> in order to hide them. .. and that's why no one was ever able to find the WMDs despite years of minute and careful investigation.<em><br /></em></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Amb. Brad Gordon at Fifth Avenue Synagogue</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/amb-brad-gordon-at-fifth-avenue-synagogue.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/amb-brad-gordon-at-fifth-avenue-synagogue.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef01676556034b970b</id>
        <published>2012-04-18T20:14:05-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-18T20:50:25-04:00</updated>
        <summary>So next week "Ambassador" Brad Gordon will be delivering an AIPAC-sponsored speech at the 5th Avenue Synagogue. And predictably, the theme of the speech will be to equate Iran with the rise of Nazi Germany in the 1930s, complete witth the "Never Again" sloganeering. And if you're curious who Ambassador...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>So next week "Ambassador" Brad Gordon will be delivering an AIPAC-sponsored speech at the <a href="http://www.5as.org/" target="_self">5th Avenue Synagogue</a>. And predictably, the theme of the speech will be to equate Iran with the rise of Nazi Germany in the 1930s, complete witth the "Never Again" sloganeering. And if you're curious who Ambassador Gordon is, here's a profile from <a href="http://www.jewishboston.com/events/5043-ambassador-brad-gordon-speaking-in-natick" target="_self">another event</a>.</p>
<p>In other words, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/04/18/us-israel-iran-netanyahu-idUSBRE83H1EF20120418" target="_self">same old same old</a>. Scaring Jews with made-up Nazis is <a href="http://www.thejewishweek.com/news/national/jews_brace_next_phase_iran_battle" target="_self">good for fundraising</a> since:</p>
<blockquote dir="ltr">
<p>"[I]n a fiercely competitive fundraising environment... fear is always the best inducement to giving"</p>
</blockquote>
<p> </p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Report: News Misrepresents Intelligence On Iran Nuclear Issues</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/report-news-misrepresents-intelligence-on-iran-nuclear-issues.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/report-news-misrepresents-intelligence-on-iran-nuclear-issues.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0163045fe2ab970d</id>
        <published>2012-04-18T17:57:47-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-18T17:57:47-04:00</updated>
        <summary>A new report from Media Matters released today finds that the broadcast news networks — NBC Nightly News, ABC’s World News and CBS’s Evening News — “frequently” distort or exaggerate key information regarding Iran’s nuclear program. “Two egregious misrepresentations in particular repeatedly came up,” the report says, reports “suggesting that...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>A <a href="http://mediamatters.org/blog/201204170020" target="_self">new report</a> from Media Matters released today finds that the broadcast news networks — NBC Nightly News, ABC’s World News and CBS’s Evening News — “frequently” distort or exaggerate key information regarding Iran’s nuclear program. “Two egregious misrepresentations in particular repeatedly came up,” the report says, reports “suggesting that Iran will imminently obtain the bomb and suggesting Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has major influence over the country’s nuclear program.”</p>
<p><a href="http://thinkprogress.org/security/2012/04/18/466471/report-finds-network-news-misrepresents-intelligence-on-iran-nuclear-issues/" target="_self">More...</a></p></div>
</content>



    </entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Iran Review update</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/iran-review-update.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/2012/04/iran-review-update.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a00d83420523653ef0163044c5eb2970d</id>
        <published>2012-04-17T10:35:10-04:00</published>
        <updated>2012-04-17T10:35:10-04:00</updated>
        <summary>New in Iran Review Website: March &amp; April 2012* *Analyses: 1- The Reasons for the Necessity of US Interaction with Iran By: Hossein Talebi http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Reasons_for_the_Necessity_of_US_Interaction_with_Iran.htm 2- Legal Dimensions of Iran’s Sovereignty over the Three Islands By: Pirouz Mojtahedzadeh http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Legal_Dimensions_of_Iran’s_Sovereignty_over_the_Three_Islands.htm 3- Three Points Assisting a Successful Negotiation in April 2012 By:...</summary>
        <author>
            <name>Iran Affairs</name>
        </author>
        
        
<content type="xhtml" xml:lang="en-US" xml:base="http://www.iranaffairs.com/iran_affairs/">
<div xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml"><p>New in <a href="http://www.iranreview.org" target="_self">Iran Review Website</a>: March &amp; April 2012*<br /><br /><br /><br />*Analyses:<br /><br /><br />1- The Reasons for the Necessity of US Interaction with Iran By: Hossein<br />Talebi<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Reasons_for_the_Necessity_of_US_Interaction_with_Iran.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Reasons_for_the_Necessity_of_US_Interaction_with_Iran.htm</a><br /><br />2- Legal Dimensions of Iran’s Sovereignty over the Three Islands By:<br />Pirouz Mojtahedzadeh<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Legal_Dimensions_of_Iran’s_Sovereignty_over_the_Three_Islands.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Legal_Dimensions_of_Iran’s_Sovereignty_over_the_Three_Islands.htm</a><br /><br />3- Three Points Assisting a Successful Negotiation in April 2012 By:<br />Mahmoud Reza Golshanpazhooh<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Three_Points_Assisting_a_Successful_Negotiation_in_April_2012.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Three_Points_Assisting_a_Successful_Negotiation_in_April_2012.htm</a><br /><br />4- Collapse or Reforms? By: Abolqasem Qasemzadeh<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Collapse_or_Reforms_.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Collapse_or_Reforms_.htm</a><br /><br />5- Arab World from March 2011 to March 2012 By: Mohammad Farazmand<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Arab_World_from_March_2011_to_March_2012.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Arab_World_from_March_2011_to_March_2012.htm</a><br /><br />6- Zilch: The Result of Istanbul Meeting on Syria By: Alireza Rezakhah<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Zilch_The_Result_of_Istanbul_Meeting_on_Syria.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Zilch_The_Result_of_Istanbul_Meeting_on_Syria.htm</a><br /><br />5- Major Concerns in Iran-Egypt Relations By: Davoud Ahmadzadeh<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Major_Concerns_in_Iran_Egypt_Relations.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Major_Concerns_in_Iran_Egypt_Relations.htm</a><br /><br /><br /><br />**Articles:<br /><br /><br />1- Iran and US: A Pathological Approach to Ruined Relations By: Nabi Sonboli<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_and_US_A_Pathological_Approach_to_Ruined_Relations.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_and_US_A_Pathological_Approach_to_Ruined_Relations.htm</a><br /><br />2- Transcending the Secularism-Fundamentalism Binary Opposition By:<br />Gholamali Khoshroo<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Arab_Spring_or_Islamic_Awakening_Transcending_the_Secularism_Fundamentalism_Binary_Opposition.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Arab_Spring_or_Islamic_Awakening_Transcending_the_Secularism_Fundamentalism_Binary_Opposition.htm</a><br /><br />3- Iran within the Political Dynamics of the Middle East By: Farhad Atai<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_within_the_Political_Dynamics_of_the_Middle_East.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_within_the_Political_Dynamics_of_the_Middle_East.htm</a><br /><br /><br /><br />***Interviews:<br /><br /><br />1- Success of Iran-P5+1 Talks Hinges on Realism and Change in Attitude By:<br />Mohammad Farhad Koleini<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Success_of_Iran_P5_1_Talks_Hinges_on_Realism_and_Change_in_Attitude.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Success_of_Iran_P5_1_Talks_Hinges_on_Realism_and_Change_in_Attitude.htm</a><br /><br />2- Iran-Europe Relations By: Hossein Salimi<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_Europe_Relations.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_Europe_Relations.htm</a><br /><br /><br /><br />****Other Views:<br /><br /><br />1- Iran-P5+1 Nuclear Talks: Istanbul By: Richard Dalton<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_P5_1_Nuclear_Talks_Istanbul.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_P5_1_Nuclear_Talks_Istanbul.htm</a><br /><br />2- Outlook of Iran-P5+1 Talks, Positive By: Hassan Beheshtipour<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Outlook_of_Iran_P5_1_talks_Positive.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Outlook_of_Iran_P5_1_talks_Positive.htm</a><br /><br />3- Backed Into a Corner By: Hossein Mousavian<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Backed_Into_a_Corner.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Backed_Into_a_Corner.htm</a><br /><br />4- Are We Serious about Talking with Tehran? By: Stephen M. Walt<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Are_We_Serious_about_Talking_with_Tehran_.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Are_We_Serious_about_Talking_with_Tehran_.htm</a><br /><br />5- Hostages in Iran By: Paul R. Pillar<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Hostages_in_Iran.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Hostages_in_Iran.htm</a><br /><br />6- Focusing on Regional Issues Can Break the Nuclear Impasse By: Kayhan<br />Barzegar<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Focusing_on_Regional_Issues_Can_Break_the_Nuclear_Impasse.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Focusing_on_Regional_Issues_Can_Break_the_Nuclear_Impasse.htm</a><br /><br />7- Iran-P5+1 Talks in Istanbul: Perspectives &amp; Expectations By: Peter Jenkins<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_P5_1_Talks_in_Istanbul_Perspectives_Expectations.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iran_P5_1_Talks_in_Istanbul_Perspectives_Expectations.htm</a><br /><br />8- Obama’s Ultimatum to Iran: ‘Last Chance’ to Obey Orders from Washington<br />By: Jeremy R. Hammond<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Obama’s_Ultimatum_to_Iran_‘Last_Chance’_to_Obey_Orders_from_Washington.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Obama’s_Ultimatum_to_Iran_‘Last_Chance’_to_Obey_Orders_from_Washington.htm</a><br /><br />9- Real Solutions to Nuclear Deadlock with Iran By: Hossein Mousavian<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Real_Solutions_to_Nuclear_Deadlock_with_Iran.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Real_Solutions_to_Nuclear_Deadlock_with_Iran.htm</a><br /><br />10- The Irrational US-Iran-Israel Dynamic By: Rami G. Khouri<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Irrational_US_Iran_Israel_Dynamic.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Irrational_US_Iran_Israel_Dynamic.htm</a><br /><br />11- Hillary’s Middle East Scare Campaign By: Patrick Seale<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Hillary%E2%80%99s_Middle_East_Scare_Campaign.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Hillary%E2%80%99s_Middle_East_Scare_Campaign.htm</a><br /><br />12- Andrew Bacevich on Changing Our Military Mindset By: Andrew Bacevich<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Andrew_Bacevich_on_Changing_Our_Military_Mindset.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Andrew_Bacevich_on_Changing_Our_Military_Mindset.htm</a><br /><br /><br /><br />*****Iranians' Achievements:<br /><br /><br />1- Iranians’ New Cultural Achievements By: Firouzeh Mirrazavi<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iranians’_New_Cultural_Achievements_3.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/Iranians’_New_Cultural_Achievements_3.htm</a><br /><br /><br /><br />*******Book Review:<br /><br /><br />1- The Foreign Policies of Great Powers By: Bahareh Sazmand<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Foreign_Policies_of_Great_Powers.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Foreign_Policies_of_Great_Powers.htm</a><br /><br />2- The Short American Century: A Postmortem By: Andrew J. Bacevich<br /><a href="http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Short_American_Century_A_Postmortem.htm" target="_blank">http://www.iranreview.org/content/Documents/The_Short_American_Century_A_Postmortem.htm</a><br /><br /><br /><br />With Best Regards<br />Firouzeh Mirrazavi<br />Deputy Editor<br />Iran Review</p></div>
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