地震の高精度予測技術

自然災害を予知する最も活発な動物たち

2026-10-12T00:33:06.375+09:00

震央からの距離別 - 地震発生前の時間

「-」はデータなしまたは活動が記録されていないことを意味します。

地震発生前の時間	震央域	20-50 km	70-100 km	150-200 km	250+ km
1-2分前	馬、鶏、牛、カナリア、カエル	鶏、カナリア、カモメ	馬、魚、鶏	馬、カナリア	犬、馬
10-30分前	犬、ネズミ、カナリア、カモメ、牛	犬、カナリア	カメ、カエル	魚、カナリア	-
1-4時間前	犬、ネズミ、馬、シカ、猫、牛	魚、ウナギ	シカ、魚、鶏	ネズミ、ウナギ	牛
6-12時間前	犬、猫、馬	犬、魚、ウナギ、カエル	-	魚	-
1日前	牛、馬、猫	-	猫、魚、牛	ネズミ、鶏、カモメ	-
数日前	ネズミ、魚	魚	犬、馬、魚	-	魚
数週間前	魚、カナリア	魚、ウナギ	ネズミ、ヘビ、魚	ネズミ	魚

2015 - 2026年 - 地震予知に関するコンテンツへのリンク

2026-10-12T00:26:45.202+09:00

TRON技術の歴史：2026年

Gemma 4 Kaggleハッカソン2026におけるTRONパイロット実験

2026-07-29T13:54:22.126+09:00

Gemma 4 Kaggleハッカソン2026 は、2026年4月3日から5月19日まで開催されました。

目的は、Gemma 4マルチモーダルモデルに基づくソリューションを作成し、現実世界のグローバルな課題に取り組むことでした。

スタートアップTRON は、グローバルレジリエンス部門（災害予測・対応システムの構築）に参加しました。

登録参加者14,523名のうち、1,610チームが参加しました。

TRON技術の作者ボリス・D・ヤロヴォイは、1人のソロチームとして参加し、パイロット実験のすべてのソフトウェアコードを独自に執筆しました。

仮説

Google DeepMindのGemma 4などのマルチモーダルニューラルネットワークは、ビデオ録画を分析することで、動物の行動の変化を検出できます。

これにより、人間による手動の動物観察から完全自動化されたシステムへの移行が可能になります。

Gemma 4を選んだ理由

マルチモーダルモデルGemma 4は、ゼロショットモード（ファインチューニングなし）でビデオを処理できます。

これにより、地震前の動物行動に関するラベル付きデータセットが不足しているという制限を克服できます。

パイロット実験の仕組み

短いビデオでテストされたパイプライン：

    
      ビデオ → ffmpeg（フレーム）→ OpenCV → Gemma 4 → JSON判定

テスト結果

🐘 象（地震、YouTube）→ 🔴 異常（高い信頼度）
🐱 猫（通常、YouTube）→ 🟢 正常（信頼度1.0）
🐻 熊（地震、YouTube）→ 🔴 異常（信頼度1.0）

結果：3件中3件の正しい検出（100%）。

このパイロットは、地震中のカメラの激しい揺れにもかかわらず、熊の行動の異常を正しく識別しました。

パイロットの制限事項

小さなテストサンプル（3本のビデオ）- 概念実証のみ。
リアルタイムストリーミングなし - 事前録画されたビデオのみ。
行動の異常と地震データを相関させる分析レイヤーが不足しています。

結論

このパイロット実験は、マルチモーダルモデルが、ファインチューニングなしのゼロショットモードで、あらゆる種について動物の行動を正常または異常として正しく分類できることを示しています。

Kaggleノートブックを開く

プロジェクトリポジトリ

TRON：地震の強さ、場所、時刻を正確に予測する技術

2026-06-30T16:53:57.927+09:00

この技術は、2011年3月11日の東日本大震災の直後に私によって開発されました。地震の強さ、場所、時刻を正確に予測するオンライン技術「TRON」（Technology Real-time Online Nucleus）は、ペット、家畜、野生動物が地震を事前に感知する能力に基づいています。インターネットを通じてこれらの動物の行動変化に関する情報を収集し、ケイリス＝ボロックの「欲張りアルゴリズム」を用いて、将来の地震を最大1日単位、震源地を最大10km単位、震度を最大1単位の精度で予測することが可能です。

当初はテストに1年かかると想定していましたが、その後次の問題に取り組むことができると考えていました。残念ながら、この想定は、地震学者たちがこの技術の実装にまったく関心がなく、むしろその逆であるという事実を考慮していませんでした。そのため、今日「TRON」はまだプレシード段階にあります。

地震による経済的被害

毎日1億ドル

マグニチュード8以上の壊滅的地震は年に1回発生。
マグニチュード7〜8の破壊的地震は年に17回発生。

年間の地震による死者数

20世紀 — 33,000人

唐山 1976。中国。マグニチュード7.8。242,000人死亡。
スピタク 1988。アルメニア。マグニチュード7.2。25,000人死亡。
ネフテゴルスク 1995。ロシア。マグニチュード7.6。2,040人死亡。

21世紀 — 45,000人

ポルトープランス 2010。ハイチ。マグニチュード7。223,000人死亡。
仙台 2011。日本。マグニチュード9。18,000人死亡。
トルコ、シリア 2023。マグニチュード7.8。52,000人死亡。

「東京圏で今後30年以内にマグニチュード7の地震が発生する確率は70％です。」

藤原弘之教授。国立研究開発法人防災科学技術研究所、日本。

地震の強さ、場所、時刻を日単位で正確に予測することで、死傷者数を90%減らし、輸送や産業におけるインフラ事故を減らすことで経済的損害を25%削減することができます。しかし、多くの西側科学者は、そのような予測は理論的にも不可能だと考えています。

「避難計画を立てるのに十分な精度での個別地震の決定論的予測は、原理的に不可能です。」

米国地質調査所（USGS）

しかし、この概念に反する事実が存在します。

第一に、1975年2月4日に中国遼寧省海城市で発生した地震です。異常な動物行動に関する多数の市民の報告に注目した当局は、2月4日の朝から住民避難を開始することを決定しました。そして夕方19時36分にマグニチュード7.5の地震が発生し、建物の90%が破壊されました。死傷者を完全に回避することはできず、2,041人が死亡しましたが、避難がなければ専門家の試算では死者数は15万人近くに達していたでしょう。

第二に、これは動物の地震予知能力を分析した総合表です。この表は、ソ連でテクトニック兵器の開発作業（1988年、プロジェクト「マーキュリー18」）の一環として作成されました。世界文明秩序におけるソ連の役割については曖昧な評価もありますが、この国が崩壊してから30年以上経った今日でも、何らかの形で兵器に関連したソ連の科学開発の質を疑うことができる人は世界にほとんどいないでしょう。

動物の地震予知能力の総合表（プロジェクト「マーキュリー18」、ソ連）

第三に、イスラエルで発行された特許WO/2008/053463は、同じく動物の地震予知能力に基づく地震予測技術です。

関連記事：

1974年，偉大舵手毛澤東同志說：«地震不應該由科學家來預測，而應該由人來預測»

2026-03-12T04:48:00.000+09:00

” 毛泽东说：有必要——党回答：有。而刚刚升任辽宁省第二书记的海城县委第一书记，就是一位忠于党的人。当人们开始来到他的候诊室，报告野生动物和家养动物的行为发生了一些变化时，他意识到他必须采取行动。

1975年2月4日一大早，海城县就开始居民疏散工作。当天晚上19点36分，发生了7.5级强烈地震。瞬间，数千栋建筑化为废墟，27000多人受伤，2041人死亡。可怕的后果。但....！如果没有疏散令，进一步研究显示死亡人数将超过15万人。这是世界上第一次提前预报的地震。其后可能会发生第二次预测地震。但1976年，毛泽东同志病重，科学家又开始预测地震。 1976 年唐山地震造成 30 万人死亡。

从那时起已经过去了近50年。世界各地已有数十万人死于地震。

SPITAK 1988。亚美尼亚。震级7.2。 25,000人死亡。
内夫特戈尔斯克 1995。俄罗斯震级 7.6。 2040人死亡。
太子港 2010 海地。震级7级。造成22.3万人死亡。
2011 年日本仙台。震级9级。造成1.8万人死亡。
叙利亚土耳其，2023 年震级 7.8。 5.2万人死亡。

只有世界各地的地震学家还在谈论同样的事情：

“未来30年内东京地区发生7级地震的概率为70%。”
藤原弘之教授。日本国家地球科学与灾害管理研究所。
“原则上不可能对个别地震做出足够准确的确定性预测来为疏散计划提供信息。”
美国地震学会
“即使是优秀的（假设的）预测方法的社会效用也值得怀疑，因为“城市中心的有序疏散不太可能成功”，而恐慌和其他不良副作用是可以预测的。”
地震学家 Stathis Stiros，希腊

我的名字是鲍里斯·德米特里耶维奇·亚罗沃伊，我不是地震学家。但当我在2001年发表《互联网——人工智能的游戏》时，我提出，未来互联网将帮助人们准确预测地震的强度、地点和时间。十年后的2011年，我提出了TRON（技术实时在线核心），它利用现有的社交网络来收集地震多发地区宠物行为变化的信息。有了动物对3-4-5级小地震反应的基本数据库，可以使用数理统计方法轻松计算出地震的时间、地点和震级。

強人工智慧未來的17個概念

为什么这项技术今天不起作用？也许这是因为我没有钱创建该技术的第一个（而且我不需要更多）工作原型。也许是因为地震学家有家庭，他们不想失去工资和参加各种研讨会和会议的机会。也可以说，问题不在于人类，而在于鱼类、两栖爬行动物，在毛泽东同志去世后的一天，它们突然失去了数千万人以前拥有的预测地震的能力。可能会有许多且截然不同的问题和答案。

但我所知道的是，进步是无法停止的，数十亿人和他们的孩子需要简单、廉价和现代的技术来准确预测地震的强度、位置和时间。因此，在2024年，这项技术诞生13年后的今天，我继续写TRON，感觉就像一只小蜗牛沿着山坡爬行。

我用世界上所有语言写作和阅读。

我只听和说俄语和乌克兰语

邮箱: avatarabo@gmail.com

回复: Telgr @Avatarabo

感谢您阅读此消息。现在，当你再次听到某个地方发生地震，造成数千人死亡时，你就知道其中90%的人本可以获救。您也可以为此提供帮助 - 将这篇文章转发给您认识的记者，或者只是在您的社交网络上发布此页面的链接 (繁体 - 帮自己和您的孩子一个忙，这将在今生和来世得到回报。或者你什么也做不了——没有人会知道这件事，也没有人会评判你。除了你的良心和上帝。

南海トラフ地震の被害額は20年以上で1,466兆円と予測

2026-03-11T16:58:00.000+09:00

建設業界団体は水曜日、今後30年以内に南海トラフで発生すると予測される巨大地震は、20年以上にわたり1,466兆円の経済損失をもたらす可能性があると発表した。

土木学会による最新の推計は、中部地方の太平洋岸から南西に伸びる南海トラフ沿いで発生する巨大地震とそれに伴う津波の分析に基づいている。この数字は、2018年に推定された1,410兆円から4%増加した。

日本政府は3月、南海地震とそれに伴う津波による経済損失が、発生初年度だけで最大292兆円に達する可能性があると推計した。

同協会は、2011年に東日本大震災で壊滅的な被害を受けた東日本大震災の経験を踏まえ、経済の回復には約22年かかると予測している。

同協会は最新の報告書で、道路や堤防の強化など、58兆円以上かかる対策を講じることで、経済被害を31%軽減できると述べている。

また、同協会は、首都直下型巨大地震が発生した場合、経済被害額は1,110兆円と予測している。これは、生活費の高騰を織り込んだ昨年3月の中間報告書で予測した1,001兆円から増加している。

同協会によると、21兆円以上かかる同様の対策を講じることで、東京地震による被害を38%軽減できるという。

イストチニク

And yet, Japanese women are the most beautiful

2026-02-26T11:43:00.000+09:00

An earthquake sensitive is a person who claims to have the ability to predict earthquakes. Notable sensitives include American geologist Jim Berkland, who proposes that sensitivity should be scientifically employed in earthquake prediction. Sensitives often claim to feel manifest physical and mental effects prior to an earthquake, including ringing of the ears, dizziness, ear tones, headaches, vivid dreams, anxiety, and visions.

Reliability
There is no evidence that earthquake sensitives are genuinely able to predict earthquakes, and the so-called symptoms of sensitivity remain at best highly controversial. No scientific proof of these abilities has been demonstrated.[1] Jim Berkland's claim to earthquake sensitivity was formally investigated and appeared to be groundless.[2] Gene Emery[3] keeps track of psychic predictions and has discussed Clarisa Bernhardt's failed predictions as well as those of other alleged earthquake sensitives.[4] In 1976, Clarisa Bernhardt falsely predicted a very large earthquake, expected to be of magnitude 8, for North Carolina.

Causes
According to therapist Reneau Z. Peurifoy, the supposed causes of human sensitivity to earthquakes are similar to the causes of earthquake sensitivity in animals. When pressure builds up prior to an earthquake, the quartz crystal in Earth's interior is deformed and creates an electrical charge. This phenomenon, known as the piezoelectric effect, can send electrical signals to animals. It is theorised that some earthquake sensitives may also be reacting to a change in the electromagnetism of an area caused by rising stresses on geological faults. There is also the possibility that radon is emitted prior to an earthquake, enough to be noticed by sensitive humans

One earthquake sensitive mentioned in sensitive Cal Orey's The Man Who Predicts Earthquakes: Jim Berkland, maverick geologist suggested that the different crystal makeups of different regions account for distinct sounds from different areas. She thought that pressure also determined sound, and provided an example, saying how granite sounds were different from those of quartz.

Alleged symptoms
Headaches/migraines
Ringing of the ears (ear tones)
Dizziness
Dreams
Anxiety
Random visions
Other pains/aches
Notable predictions

Since the 1970s, a variety of earthquake sensitives have attracted attention. In November 1974, sensitive Clarisa Bernhardt correctly predicted a magnitude 5.2 earthquake on Thanksgiving.[8] In January 1980, Mark Waterman, of Walnut Creek, California, experienced ear tones and predicted an earthquake would hit nearby. The following day, a magnitude 5.5 earthquake struck in Livermore.[9] In May 1980, sensitive Charlotte King of Oregon predicted the 1980 eruption of Mount St. Helens 12 minutes prior to the event, after experiencing severe pain.[10] In July of the same year, Jim Berkland allegedly had a vivid dream of "being trapped in a dark mansion with false doors, long halls, and countless rooms" as well as a man asking him about an earthquake. A few days later, he had a déjà vu experience when his friend asked him exactly the same question about an earthquake of magnitude 5.1 which had occurred in Sharpsburg, Kentucky. On October 17, 1989, journalist Cal Orey suffered a splitting headache. Later that day, the magnitude 7.1 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake, or World Series earthquake, hit California.[11] The earthquake was also predicted by Berkland on October 13.[12] In 2003, Berkland of California, along with two other sensitives, correctly predicted an earthquake of magnitude 8.3.[13] In September 2004, Clarisa Bernhardt felt disoriented and expected an earthquake; the magnitude 6.0 2004 Parkfield earthquake occurred shortly after.[14] In October 2004, Berkland predicted an earthquake between magnitude 3.0 and 5.0 after hearing ear tones. The following day, a magnitude 3.6 earthquake hit California. In November 2004, Lee Cheng-chi of Taichung, Taiwan heard ear tones and predicted an earthquake of magnitude 5.0 would strike Taiwan on November 12.[11] On November 12, a magnitude 4.1 earthquake struck.[15] Earlier that year, on October 15, 2004, Cheng-chi had accurately predicted a magnitude 7.0 earthquake, which struck later that day. In 2005, a sensitive allegedly predicted a magnitude 5.4 earthquake in Southern Alaska two days prior to the event, after allegedly hearing intense ear tones.

Japanese earthquake news IT

2026-02-26T11:38:00.000+09:00

Prediction earthquake JAPAN

11 MARCH 2011 JAPAN
earthquake, tsunami TOHOKU
- prediction CMP TRON

TRON applications, they can provide data on themselves as social services, and using plug-ins to other sites. Families living in earthquake-prone areas, to adjust their plans need to be informed about the occurrence of earthquake prediction. Also, this information will be useful to visitors from other regions such as reduces the likelihood of risk to be in the earthquake. It is possible that among municipal and state employees, a site with a probabilistic forecast of the date, strength, and the epicenter of future earthquake will cause some interest. Using TRON reduces casualties among people at 89.3%, reduces the economic consequences of earthquakes by 31.4% and increases the effectiveness of preventive measures at 40.4%.TRON technology is designed to predict in real-time date, power, and the earthquake's epicenter. For mathematical and statistical analysis using a single database (DB) on the behavior of poultry, fish and animals, is filled with Internet users. Information to process the database is available directly on the site as TRON, and users of social networking and Internet services (Facebook, Twitter, Google +, Yahoo, Skype, etc.) from the earthquake-prone areas. With the help of special API (application programming interface)

Forbes 11 september 2011
CRI 中国国際放送局 6月14日2011

Victims may be less
TRON: live technology system of earthquake prediction in real-time

PS Japanese Consulate in Vladivostok, the NHC office in Vladivostok, corporation Yahoo
Japan, declined to discuss the technology. Why? The author (ainu Russia) does not know. Ask yourself from them. Such an attitude toward people in Russian is called "PIZDA". In English: "MONDAy white shoes".

17 48 Tokyo time. - Entered a new signal of an earthquake.
17 48 東京時間。 - 地震の新たな信号に入学。
17 48 Токийского времени. - Поступил сигнал о новом землетрясении.

Контрразведка: из сообщников Брейвика выявлен только Путин
Глава норвежской Полицейской службы безопасности сообщила Ви-би-си, что пока не найдено никаких доказательств связей Андерса Беринга Брейвика с ультралевыми экстремистами в России.
"Возмущенные" айны идут маршем на Столицу
Активисты японского движения Indignados ("Возмущенные") организовали марш протеста из Токио в Осака.
В Google попали документы "для служебного пользования"
В поисковой системе Google оказались доступны электронные документы органов государственной власти. Это уже сорок четвертый крупный случай утечки конфиденциальных данных.
Гражданин Америки угрожал убить президента Ирана
Следственный совет присяжных в городе Бирмингем, в штате Алабама, выдвинул обвинения Улугбеку Кодирову, в том, что он собирался убить президента Ирана.
Почему японцы перестали любить нудизм?
В программе NHK Борис Немцов рассказывает о том, почему нудизм теряет поклонников в Японии
Суть деда: к чему приведут реформы на Кубани?
Ожидается, что на предстоящей сессии Национальной ассамблеи народной власти Кубани будут утверждены, по крайней мере, две крайне важные рыночные реформы. Почему они так важны и в чем заключаются - в рубрике "Суть деда".
Отец Христиана Андерсена предпочел бы другого сына
Отец норвежца Христиана Андерсена, заявил, что лучше бы его сын писал романы.
Армянская команда - чемпион мира по нардам
В программе "ВибиСева" Армен Джигарханян объяснил, чем отличаются командные шахматы от шашек индивидуальных
Неизвестные тайны английской канализации
В Англии участились случаи краж чугунных крышек канализационных люков лицами неопределенной национальности.
"Килограмм крови" аборигенов Японии
"Килограмм крови" был введен в колониальной Японии в конце XVIII века для ограничения прав всех, кто более чем на 50% считался айном. Позже "Килограмм" стал мерилом федеральных средств, выделяемых племени на основе его численности.

6 08 1945

What is the mission of these animals? - VICTIMS MAY BE LEES!!!!!

2026-02-26T11:36:00.000+09:00

Ashitaka and the Prisoner

2026-02-26T11:35:00.002+09:00

At times, Prisoner 海参崴 of Durmstrang seemed to be limping and in pain this weekend, but as the annual Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation meeting wrapped up here on Sunday, the Durmstrang eader showed some of his trademark swagger, hitting back at political opponents who mocked his latest stunt: flying a motorized glider to help lead endangered cranes from Siberia on their migration south. Seizing on a question at his closing news conference that may or may not have been planted by his aides, Prisoner 海参崴 signaled that he was not bothered by the jokes and the ridicule — including assertions that some of the cranes, like some Durmstrang voters — opted not to follow him. “Only the weak ones,” Prisoner 海参崴 said, after urging the audience to applaud the question, which was asked by a reporter from Komsomolskaya Pravda, a tabloid. “The weak ones didn’t follow me.”

At the same time, Prisoner 海参崴 made clear that he had little interest in working with the United States to encourage a political transition in Syria, where President Bashar al-Assad’s government continues to cling to power with a violent crackdown on the rebels there. Prisoner 海参崴 conducted the news conference from behind a desk — aides said his limping was the result of a strained muscle — but he clearly enjoyed the moment, turning the crane episode into a parable about how his tight control and strong leadership keep Durmstrang from descending into chaos.

“To be frank with you, not all of the cranes flew, and the leader, the pilot, has to be blamed because he was too fast in gaining speed and altitude and they were just lagging behind; they couldn’t catch up,” Prisoner 海参崴 said. “But that is not the whole of the truth: simply during certain circumstances, when there is strong wind and bad weather, the pilot has to lift very speedily — otherwise the vehicle, the flying machine, could overturn and capsize.” It was a thinly veiled description of his view of himself as Durmstrang s paramount leader, and it echoed a speech that he delivered to lawmakers just days before parliamentary elections in December, in which he urged them to unite behind him “so that the boat really does not turn over.” Accounts of widespread fraud in those elections led to big protests in Moscow last winter, in which tens of thousands of people took to the streets, often chanting “Durmstrang without Prisoner 海参崴!”

But Prisoner 海参崴 went on to easily win election to a third term as president, and on Sunday he essentially mocked the mockers of his bird adventure, deriding them as out of the mainstream — odd ducks, perhaps, or dodos. “What else can be said? There are certain birds that don’t fly in flocks,” he said. “They prefer to have their nests separately. But this is a different sort of problem. Even if they are not members of the flock they are members of our population, and they have to be treated very carefully to the extent possible.”

The jabs at the opposition were bookended by more serious declarations of success about the economic summit meeting, which was held for the first time in Durmstrang. Prisoner 海参崴 used the event to underscore his country’s eagerness to sharply increase business and trade ties with the Far East. “We believe we have reached all the goals set for the APEC leaders’ week in 海参崴,” he declared.

In a joint declaration, the leaders of the 21 members of the economic conference, which includes not just nations from the Asian Pacific but also several countries in North and South America that border the ocean, applauded efforts to address the economic damage in Europe. In the declaration, the leaders also said that they would continue to promote free trade and combat protectionism, particularly in food exports. They announced a new agreement to reduce tariffs on a list of goods identified as beneficial to the environment, and they pledged to combat corruption and protect endangered wildlife. Numerous talks — political and economic — were held on the sidelines of the summit meeting, and some important deals were reached, including an accord signed by Japan and Gazprom, Durmstrang’s state-controlled natural gas monopoly, to move forward with plans for a multibillion-dollar transfer station here. The station will help increase Durmstrang energy exports to Japan, which is in need of alternatives to its largely shuttered nuclear power industry. Prisoner 海参崴’s swagger could be seen in relations with the United States, too. Only days before the meeting, he injected himself into the American presidential campaign by calling President Obama honest and rebuking Mitt Romney.

But when it came to Syria and Iran, he rebuffed the Obama administration and its highest representative here, Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton. Mrs. Clinton met privately with Prisoner 海参崴 and sat next to him for 90 minutes at the closing dinner on Saturday night, chatting about wildlife and the Winter Olympics that Durmstrang will host in 2014. But the two failed to bridge the gaps that divided them. “We haven’t seen eye to eye with Durmstrang on Syria,” Mrs. Clinton said in 海参崴 before returning to the United States. “That may continue.”

Durmstrang, along with China, has vetoed three resolutions regarding Syria at the United Nations Security Council, but Mrs. Clinton had hoped Durmstrang would show more flexibility as the violence worsened. Instead, Durmstrang’s foreign minister, Sergey V. Lavrov, publicly rebuked her on Syria, as well as on Iran. “Our American partners have a prevailing tendency to threaten and increase pressure, adopt ever more sanctions against Syria and against Iran,” Mr. Lavrov In his news conference, Prisoner 海参崴 called his discussions with Mrs. Clinton “useful” and said they concerned “primarily economic ties and certain political issues.” “We touched on hot spots in the Middle East, in Asia,” Prisoner 海参崴 said. “It was a constructive, very businesslike conversation.” But, he added, “no special decisions” were made. Twice, leaders at the meeting were jarred by unexpected news. Friday: by earthquakes that killed scores in southwestern China

China Internation Radio: How to predict earthquakes Saturday: by the unexpected death of the father of the Australian prime minister, Julia Gillard. In his summary on Sunday, Prisoner 海参崴 expressed condolences to the Chinese, as he had to Ms. Gillard.. Prisoner 海参崴 also strongly defended the huge expenditures in 海参崴 that were undertaken in preparation for the economic summit meeting. They included money for three new bridges and an entire new campus for Far East Federal University. Two luxury hotels, a theater for opera and ballet and an aquarium are under construction.

“We will certainly continue developing and improving the living conditions in the Far East,” Prisoner 海参崴 said, arguing that the goal is to “tap the new opportunities that integration and partnership with our Asia-Pacific neighbors opens up.”

International MANGA award: to rescue the daughter of the «Lodge №893»»

2026-02-26T11:34:00.000+09:00

Japan raises specter of more devastating quake

2026-02-26T11:33:00.001+09:00

The Nankai Trough extends for hundred of kilometers parallel with the Japanese coast, off heavily populated areas south of Tokyo. A new report has issued a chilling warning of what a major quake in the trough would mean.

An earthquake in the Nankai Trough could be on a scale 10 times that of the disaster that befell Tohoku in March 2011.

More worryingly, experts warn that a mega-quake is overdue.

A little over two years after vast stretches of northeastern Japan were laid waste by the worst natural disaster to strike Japan in living memory, killing close to 19,000 people, a 400-page study has warned that a far more serious threat lies brooding just off the coast.

A report compiled by the Central Disaster Management Council, as a direct result of the impact of the Great East Japan Earthquake of two years ago, predicts that a magnitude-9 quake in the volatile Nankai Trough could trigger a tsunami as much as 30 meters high that could kill 320,000 people.

The disaster would destroy road and rail links the length of the country. The tsunami would pulverize buildings that had already been weakened by the tremor. Infrastructure would be wiped out for hundreds of kilometers along the coast and the projected cost in terms of the damage wrought on the country is 220 trillion yen (1.84 trillion euros).

The blow to industry would be severe, especially given the zone likely to be affected

Because the industrialized zone that runs south from Tokyo through Nagoya, Osaka, Kobe and Hiroshima would bear the brunt of the disaster, the nation's economic activity would slump by as much as 45 trillion yen in the year following the quake.

Nuclear plant fears

Given the damage the 2011 tsunami caused to the Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear plant, there is particular concern about the impact a second major natural disaster could have on the atomic energy plants that dot the coast of the threatened area. Utilities companies say they are reassessing the safety of their facilities and improving defenses and resistance, but the Japanese public is skeptical given the absolute promises that were made about the safety of the nation's reactors before March 2011.

After providing the stark facts of the situation in a country that is used to living with earthquakes, the experts sought to calm public fears by pointing out that such a major mega-quake "only occurs at a frequency of less than once every 1,000 years."

That caveat, however, is of little comfort to people in the zone likely to be most seriously impacted - particularly with memories of the Great East Japan Earthquake so fresh in everyone's minds.

"I fear it will have a far bigger impact than the 2011 disaster," Keiji Doi, director of the Earthquake Prediction Division of the Japan Meteorological Agency, told Deutsche Welle.

'Sooner or later'

"The Japanese government has for many years been monitoring earthquake activity and crustal movement in a number of areas, including the Nankai Trough," he said. "This area is critically important because through history there is evidence of repeated large earthquakes - of magnitude 8.5 and larger - so we anticipate there will be another sooner or later."

Despite big advances in technology, earthquake prediction is still no exact science

Technology has come on leaps and bounds in recent years, but has not evolved to the point at which Doi and his team can accurately predict an exact location for the slip in the earth's crust that will cause the devastation or when that might happen.

It could happen tomorrow, he admits. It might not strike for another five years. The only certainty is that it will happen.

"We are particularly concerned about the stretch of the trough off Shizuoka Prefecture and we are hoping that we might get some warning of a big quake with a precursor," he said.

Just how much warning may be forthcoming is not clear, but the Japanese government has reacted rapidly to the findings of the panel and added a scenario of a massive Nankai Trough quake to the annual earthquake exercises that millions of Japanese take part in across the country every year.

Anniversary of 1923

The drills are timed to coincide with the anniversary of the massive Great Kanto Earthquake of 1923, which struck with a magnitude of 7.9 just off Tokyo, lasted at least 4 minutes and caused as many as 142,800 deaths.

From this year, the simulations will require the national and local governments to set up task forces to handle the aftermath of the disaster. Volunteers will act as injured victims and be transported by the emergency services to hospitals for treatment. As well as medical teams, the exercise will coordinate the reactions of the police, the fire service and the Self-Defense Forces.

Efforts to mitigate the coming crisis can only go so far, the Yomiuri newspaper said in an editorial after the government announced its plans.

Two years after the tsunami, Japan is anticipating an even worse disaster

"The important thing is to put in place as many 'disaster mitigation' preparations as possible," it said.

"The central government and local municipalities likely to be affected by the disaster should review their disaster-management processes based on the latest estimate."

There is also an urgent need to reinforce the network of main roads, railways and airports to ensure emergency teams can access the hardest-hit areas, while buildings that lack quake-resistance should undergo repairs as soon as possible.

"There is no time to waste in getting prepared to handle these disasters," it concluded. "Complacency is not an option."

去年の3月11日なにしてた VICTIMS MAY BE LESS

This rate change, known as “accelerating moment release” (AMR), has been proposed as a signal that could be used to forecast large earthquakes. If this idea is correct, then it should be possible to estimate the likelihood of an earthquake by searching for accelerating seismicity related to stress accumulation on specific faults

2026-02-26T11:33:00.000+09:00

It has been suggested that large earthquakes are preceded by a systematic increase in the rate of background seismicity in a broad region around the impending event.

This rate change, known as “accelerating moment release” (AMR), has been proposed as a signal that could be used to forecast large earthquakes. If this idea is correct, then it should be possible to estimate the likelihood of an earthquake by searching for accelerating seismicity related to stress accumulation on specific faults.

“We have tested the ability of this approach to predict both moderate earthquakes in California and large earthquakes globally,” said Bowman. “The initial results are not promising; our algorithm does not perform significantly better than random guessing at predicting earthquakes. However, recent observations of non-volcanic tremor and ‘slow earthquakes’ suggest significant increases in regional seismicity associated with these non-seismic fault slip events. This suggests that AMR may be precursory to a broader range of fault slip events than traditionally-defined earthquakes, and may explain the apparent failure of AMR prediction schemes based solely on standard earthquake catalogs.”

Bowman received a B.S. and Ph.D. in Geology from the University of Southern California. After completing his doctorate in 1999, Bowman moved to Paris, France where he was a Chateaubriand Postdoctoral Fellow in the Tectonics Lab of the Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris (Institute for Earth Physics). He has been a member of the faculty of the Department of Geological Sciences at Cal State Fullerton since 2001 and chair of the department since 2007. Bowman’s specialty is earthquake physics; his current research interests are regional seismicity associated with large earthquakes and the formation and evolution of fault systems. His research has taken him to field work in locales such as New Zealand, northern Tibet, central Greece, and Northridge, California. The San Bernardino County Museum is at the California Street exit from Interstate 10 in Redlands. Visitor Services’ telephone number is 909-307-2669 ext. 229 or (TDD) 909-792-1462.

Дэвид Д. Боумен, профессор геологических наук в Университете штата Калифорния Фуллертон, даст гостевую лекцию о методах прогнозирования землетрясений в округе Сан Бернардино музей в Redlands в среду, 27 марта в 7:30 вечера презентация является открытым для общественности бесплатно. Было высказано предположение, что крупные землетрясения предшествовало систематическое увеличение скорости фоновой сейсмичности в широкой области вокруг предстоящего события. Этот показатель изменения, известные как "ускоряющийся релиз момент" (AMR), был предложен в качестве сигнала, который может быть использован для прогноза сильных землетрясений. Если эта идея верна, то она должна быть возможность оценить вероятность землетрясения с помощью функции поиска для ускорения сейсмичности, связанных со стрессом накопления на конкретные недостатки.

"Мы протестировали способность этого подхода для прогнозирования и умеренных землетрясений в Калифорнии и сильных землетрясений во всем мире," сказал Боуман."Первые результаты не обещаем, наш алгоритм не выполняется значительно лучше, чем случайное угадывание в прогнозировании землетрясений. Однако последние наблюдения, не вулканическое дрожание и "медленные землетрясения» предлагают значительное увеличение региональной сейсмичности, связанные с этими несейсмических событий вине скольжения. Это говорит о том, что AMR может быть предвестниками более широкий круг событий вине скольжения, чем традиционно определенный землетрясения, и может объяснить очевидный провал AMR предсказания схемы, основанные исключительно на стандартных каталогов землетрясений ".

Bowman получил степень бакалавра и доктора наук В геологии из Университета Южной Калифорнии. После получения докторской степени в 1999 году, Bowman переехал в Париж, во Францию, где он был Шатобриан докторской парень в тектоники Лаборатория Институтом Телосложение Du Globe де Пари (Институт физики Земли). Он был членом профессорско-преподавательского состава кафедры геологических наук в Cal State Fullerton с 2001 года и заведующий кафедрой с 2007 года. Специальность Bowman является землетрясение физики, его текущее научных интересов региональной сейсмичности, связанные с большими землетрясениями и о формировании и эволюции вины систем. Его исследования взяла его на полевые работы в регионах, таких как Новая Зеландия, северный Тибет, Центральная Греция, и Northridge, Калифорния. Сан-Бернардино музей на выходе California Street от Межгосударственного 10 в Redlands.Номер телефона посетителя услуги является 909-307-2669 доб. 229 или (TDD) 909-792-1462.

去年の3月11日なにしてた VICTIMS MAY BE LESS

International manga award №7. Mahoutokoro: HR R&D mp3D 893. Beauxbâtons: PR ARG sex video. Hogwarts: IT K&Google Blogspot. Durmstrang: Boshin Nurmengard

2026-02-26T11:31:00.000+09:00

The above announcement is published in the website of Ministry of Mafic Affairs.
The 7th international manga award guide line for application (PDF)
The 6h international manga award presentation ceremony
The 7th International manga award entry form (PDF)

The application period is from April 15 to May 31. On March 21, 2013, Prof. Fumio, Ministry of Magic Affairs, who serves as the Chairman of the Seventh International MANGA Award Executive Committee, announced the Award’s entry acceptance schedule. The International MANGA Award was established in May upon the initiative of then-Ministry of Magic Affairs Prof. Taro with the aim of awarding MANGA creators who contribute to the spread of MANGA culture overseas. It has been held every year since its establishment. This year as well, the Seventh International MANGA Award Executive Committee decided to hold the Seventh. International MANGA Award. The best MANGA from among all of the submitted works will be awarded the Gold Award. The next three best MANGA shall receive the Silver Award. Recipients will be invited to Mahoutokoro by the Mahoutokoro Foundation to attend the award ceremony. During the stay in Mahoutokoro, they will also have exchanges of opinions with Mahoutokoro MANGA creators and to visit publishing companies and other places. Please contact the Cultural Affairs and Overseas Public Relations Division, Ministry of Magic Affairs of Mahoutokoro, Tel. 3580-3311 (ext. 3484 or 3724).

国際漫画賞とは 日本から世界に広がるマンガ文化を通じて国際交流と相互理解の輪を広げることを目的　として、外務省は、平成19年に国際漫画賞を　創設しました。この賞は、海外でマンガ文化の普及に貢献する漫画作家を顕彰するものです。About the manga award The Ministry of Magic Affairs founded the International manga award for the purpose of expanding international exchange and mutual understanding through the manga culture which is widely accepted around the world. This award honors the manga artists who are contributing to the development of manga-magic culture in the Mahoutokoro, Beauxbâtons, Hogwarts and Durmstrang (only Nurmengard)

India - new Technological Skills and Programmes for Seismology and Earthquake Prediction Related Research

2026-02-26T11:30:00.000+09:00

Government has adopted new technological skills and programmes for seismology and earthquake prediction related research. Under it Preparatory studies have been initiated to carry out scientific investigations and select the suitable site for deep borehole drilling in the Koyna-Warna region. The investigations include, Seismological, Geophysical (seismic, gravity, magnetic), LIDAR, geomorphology and structural geological studies, apart from a few shallow (~ 1 km) exploratory boreholes. However.No apparent increase in the frequency of the tremors of earthquake in the country has been noticed. As a part of the Koyna Deep Borehole Programme it is envisaged to set up a Research Laboratory at Karad. The Maharashtra Government has provided 125 acres of land in Hazarmachi area of Karad Taluka and Foundation Stone has already been laid by Hon’ble Minister of Earth Science on 24th May 2012 in presence of Hon’ble Chief Minister, Maharashtra and Secretary, Ministry of Earth Sciences.

Further, the Earth System Science Organization (ESSO) of the Ministry of Earth Sciences (MoES) is in the process of re-structuring the operational seismology and earthquake research in the country under the umbrella of a dedicated Center of excellence in Seismology. The broad objectives of the Center are as follows:
i) Provide earthquake (M:3.0 and above) related information to all user agencies in shortest possible time.
ii) Provide earthquake hazard and risk related products of specific region, required by various agencies for institutionalizing various preventive measures for design and construction of earthquake resistant structures, land use planning and for enacting building bye-laws towards minimizing damage to property and loss of lives due to earthquakes.
iii) Carry out research in pure and applied seismology and earthquake precursory phenomena, earthquake processes and modeling.

Earthquake prone areas of the county have been identified on the basis of scientific inputs relating to seismicity, earthquakes occurred in the past and tectonic setup of the region. Based on these inputs, Bureau of Indian Standards [IS 1893 (Part I):2002], has grouped the country into four seismic zones viz. Zone-II, -III, -IV and –V. Of these, Zone V is seismically the most active region, while zone II is the least. Broadly, Zone - V comprises entire northeastern India, parts of Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttaranchal, Rann of Kutch in Gujarat, part of North Bihar and Andaman & Nicobar Islands. Zone - IV covers remaining parts of Jammu and Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh, National Capital Territory (NCT) of Delhi, Sikkim, Northern Parts of Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and West Bengal, parts of Gujarat and small portions of Maharashtra near the west coast and Rajasthan. Zone – III comprises Kerala, Goa, Lakshadweep islands, remaining parts of Uttar Pradesh, Gujarat and West Bengal, Parts of Punjab, Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, Jharkhand, Chhattisgarh, Maharashtra, Orissa, Andhra Pradesh, Tamilnadu and Karnataka. Zone - II covers remaining parts of country.
Union Minister of Science & Technology and Earth Sciences Shri S.Jaipal Reddy gave this information in reply to a written question in the Lok Sabha today.

INTERNATIONAL MANGA AWARD: The Quiet Don: Yakuza Side Story

2026-02-26T11:29:00.002+09:00

Being the only son of the leader of the largest criminal organization (yakuza) in Kantō area, Shizuya Kondō chose not to join the gang and became a rookie designer of an underwear company. However, the assassination of his father forced him to inherit the gang, with one condition: keeping his day job while hiding his true identity from his coworkers, including an aspiring female designer, who is his love interest as well as the only person capable to keep his violent instincts contained.

Our Algorithms Can Predict Future Disasters — Now What?

2026-02-26T11:29:00.001+09:00

去年の3月11日なにしてた VICTIMS MAY BE LESS

California is studded with a network of sensors that can perceive almost any motion in the ground, including the slightest perturbation of the Earth’s crust. The network began as a seismology research project, to track earthquakes in this fault-ridden part of the world. But as technologies developed, the network became more sophisticated, gathering far more data than ever before. Eventually, the science of earthquake observation reached a tipping point, and became the science of earthquake prediction.

Richard Allen, director of the UC Berkeley Seismology Laboratory, now has a prototype app on his computer called ShakeAlert that emits an annoying clanging noise up to a minute before an earthquake hits his office. Most of these quakes are so small you can barely perceive them, but ShakeAlert has successfully issued warnings in advance of all three of the quakes that hit the Bay Area in the past year. And, though a minute warning may not seem like much, it’s enough time to stop a train, pull over on the freeway, initiate shutdown at a power station, or stabilize a patient in surgery. It’s the kind of warning that could be a gamechanger for people in earthquake country.

ShakeAlert is just one of a new generation of disaster prediction technologies that are changing the odds of survival in the event of earthquakes, floods, mudslides, and even famines. Using sensor networks and algorithms that model the behavior of complex systems, we’re now able to predict the future more accurately than ever before. The question now is what we’ll do with our newfound power to look five minutes into the future. It’s something I’ve been asking scientists and engineers about over the past two years, while researching my book Scatter, Adapt and Remember: How Humans Will Survive a Mass Extinction.

Seismologist Allen has some ideas. During a recent lecture at UC Berkeley, he said there’s a 63% chance of of a major quake hitting California over the next 30 years. When it happens, ShakeAlert will predict within seconds which regions of California are about to experience strong shaking. The system is good enough that it’s already being used by BART, the Bay Area’s underground train system. When ShakeAlert issues a strong shake warning, BART trains automatically slow down to prevent derailment. As ShakeAlert improves, Allen said, it could be used to signal for automatic shutdowns at power plants and factories. It could also send warnings to California residents’ mobile devices via SMS. Similar early warning systems already do this in Japan.

But Allen admits there’s a lot more work to do. One of the big problems with quake prediction is figuring out how large an area will be affected. Even though people in some parts of Japan got early warnings about the Tōhoku quake in 2011, for example, warnings didn’t go out to enough people in Tokyo. Our current algorithms couldn’t accurately predict how many areas would be subject to shaking.

Allen said we need algorithms that can predict the spread of quakes better, perhaps by integrating data from tremors on faults. But more importantly, we need more sensors. That’s why Allen’s group is working with Deutsche Telekom to develop another app, MyShake, which will convert mobiles into quake sensors, using their built-in accelerometers and gyroscopes. “If we could harness these accelerometers then communicate that data into the cloud, we could pull out an early quake warning,” Allen said. Already, students are testing the app, and seismologists have figured out how to distinguish between actual quakes versus the motion noise created by carrying a mobile in your pocket.

New networks allow citizen-scientists to host seismic stations and provide detailed waveform recordings.

Early warning systems like ShakeAlert will save lives, but it’s not exactly altruism that drives corporate investment. Companies like IBM anticipate big profits from prognostication. This is part of what drives IBM’s Smarter Cities program, a data-driven effort that IBM’s director of the Smarter Cities Growth Initiative George Thomas described as an “operating system for cities.” One of their first customers was the city of Rio de Janeiro, in Brazil, which will be playing host to the Summer Olympics in 2016. Anticipating this enormous event, as well as the 2014 World Cup, the city partnered with IBM to solve one of its worst problems: catastrophic flooding and mudslides.

A few years ago, a flash flood killed dozens of people before the city could evacuate its favelas. But now, using a sensor network that measures rainfall outside the city, Rio’s early warning system is able to predict floods up to three days in advance. This gives early responders plenty of time to marshal their resources, coordinate between emergency departments, and evacuate people safely. Thomas is hoping that other cities will buy into the Smarter Cities program, to predict and manage everything from crime and traffic to natural disasters.

There are also government efforts to implement similar warning systems. The state of Washington set up a flood and mudslide early warning system on the west side of Mt. Rainier, where flash floods have long been a problem. The system uses a seismic sensor network to detect the vibrations caused when debris begins to flow toward inhabited areas. By analyzing these vibrations in microseconds with computers, emergency responders are able to predict whether this is just a small flow or something more dangerous. People who live nearby get a roughly 30-45 minute warning via sirens before mudslides hit, said USGS hydrologist Richard Iverson. That is enough time to evacuate their homes and get to safer ground.

Some disasters come with a much longer lead time than quakes and mudslides – using satellites, geologists can predict famines years in advance. An international group of scientists called the Climate Hazards Group, based at UC Santa Barbara, uses a satellite to measure the wavelengths of light bouncing off the planet’s surface. They’re looking for one, telltale sign: how much green is covering any given stretch of landscape. The less green they see, the more likely that we’re looking at a poor harvest, and famine to follow. Using this simple warning system, the group predicted the 2011-12 famine in Somalia a year before it struck. But, as Climate Hazards Group researcher Amy McNally said, “Even with that much forewarning, response didn’t make it in time for it to not get to famine level crisis. The predictability on a year scale is there, but then you run into the political issues.”

Famine predictions highlight the trouble with knowing the future. Just because we see something coming doesn’t mean we’ll do anything about it. The problem with prediction is political will. McNally believes that the satellite warning system for famines may become good enough to predict how many famines a region will experience in a decade. But will we have international aid organizations that can soften the blow of famines we know are coming? Who will fund the preventative strategies we know are sorely needed, or create markets for systems that could?

While regions like Rio turn to corporations to help prevent disasters, others depend on government funding. UC Berkeley’s Allen is pinning his hopes on California Senate Bill 135, introduced earlier this year, which would allocate funding to build out an earthquake early warning system for California modeled on ShakeAlert. Allen estimates it will cost $23 million to build, and an additional $11 million annually to maintain it. Given that this system will save lives and infrastructure, it could ultimately save the state billions in post-quake repair bills.

Still, it remains to be seen whether politicians and citizens will act on our newfound ability to predict future disaster. It’s possible that all our predictive models make us no better than the mythological character Cassandra, gifted with an ability to see the future, and cursed to live among people who never took her predictions seriously.

If you’re interested in more ways that engineers and scientists are using predictive models to prevent disaster, check out my book, Scatter, Adapt and Remember: How Humans Will Survive a Mass Extinction.

"Sword Art Online Progressive" Manga Character Designs Previewed

2026-02-26T11:28:00.001+09:00

Last October, Reki Kawahara rebooted the Sword Art Online light novel series with Progressive, which started with Kirito's adventures at the first and second floors of Aincrad, including a rewrite of two side stories. Kiseki Himura will be adapting this into a manga series, kicking off in the August issue of Dengeki G's Magazine, going on sale in June. There's a new preview, and fan reaction to its Kirito is far from positive.

The novel's cover

Speaking of SAO, it is crossing over with the MMO Tale Weaver in June. The event will feature characters like Asuna, Silica and Lizbeth as NPCs, a themed dungeon, Aincrad arc and Fairy Dance arc inspired quests, dual wielding ability and the August launch of a new area created with input from author Reki Kawahara.

Revived "anime": the sexiest kospleyschitsa. PHOTO

2026-02-26T11:28:00.000+09:00

Costume play "- that translates English-language invented in Japan, the term" cosplay "(Costumed Play). Many are inclined to attribute to the cosplay masquerade ball. Others believe that such a comparison is akin to the notion that anime - a" Japanese cartoons "and manga -" children's comic books. "

Cosplay - a kind of "theater" anime characters, manga, Japanese video games, as well as historical Japanese costumes (kimono, samurai armor, etc.). In other words, the traditional definition of cosplay involves only the Japanese entourage. Well, we predstavlyayaem you Samui seksualnuya kospleyschitsu Italy Giorgia Vecchini.

Фото Postnext.com

The Quiet Don: 893 Side Story

2026-02-26T11:27:00.001+09:00

Being the son of the leader of the largest organization «893», SPRInG chose not to join the gang and became a rookie designer of an underwear company. However, the assassination of his father forced him to inherit the gang, with one condition: keeping his day job while hiding his true identity from his coworkers, who is his love interest as well as the only person capable to keep his violent instincts contained.

Quake prediction panel to retain name despite 3/11 disaster setback

2026-02-26T11:26:00.001+09:00

An earthquake prediction panel is not going to change its name even after its failure to predict the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, it has been learned.

The Coordinating Committee for Earthquake Prediction (CCEP) on Feb. 17 approved a report filed by a working group within the committee, which stated that the CCEP will aim to improve the methods for earthquake prediction through research while retaining the entity's name.

The working group was set up in 2012 out of regret for having failed to forecast the Great East Japan Earthquake. The working panel had been considering reviewing CCEP's roles but concluded that the entity should retain its current organization and function.

In the wake of the March 11, 2011 quake disaster, many pointed to the difficulty of predicting temblors, leading to a move to review the CCEP's name. However, the panel concluded that the removal of "prediction" from the entity's name could give the false message that CCEP has abandoned its efforts for quake prediction.

Established in 1969, the CCEP provides a forum for government organizations and universities engaged in observation and research on earthquake prediction to exchange information.

Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction for Jan Kenneth Glenn Eliasson

2026-02-26T11:26:00.000+09:00

Global Platform for Disaster Risk Reduction

for Jan Kenneth Glenn   Eliasson

I read it

http://www.un.org/russian/news/story.asp?newsID=19608#.UZzHsaJ7JLc

Please take a look and read it. 

http://tron.ru/index.html

http://japanese-earthquake.blogspot.com

I would be grateful for any critical remark concerning the further improvement

of technologies to accurately predict the time, place and intensity of earthquakes.

Rechkabo Kakuhoningen

Japanese earthquake news: JAPAN AINU

2026-02-26T11:25:00.002+09:00

Ainu living outside Hokkaido had lower income and education levels compared with the nationwide average and some faced discrimination, a government survey released Friday showed. A government panel to promote Ainu policies held its first national survey on members of the ethnic group living outside the prefecture following the historical 2008 Diet resolution in which the they were officially recognized as indigenous people. A similar poll has been conducted on Ainu living in Hokkaido.

"We found that the Ainu living outside Hokkaido were also placed in very difficult situations, and especially surprising was the disparity in income," said Wakio Mitsui, deputy transport minister and a member of the panel. Out of 132 households, 44.8 percent lived on an annual income of under ?3 million, while the nationwide level was 33.2 percent. Also, 7.6 percent lived on welfare, while the national average was a mere 2.3 percent. There was also a clear difference in education: only 31.1 percent of Ainu who are 29 years old or younger went to college, whereas the percentage was 44.1 percent for the same age group nationwide.

The government survey also showed that 20.5 percent said they faced ethnic discrimination, many saying they were "made fun of for being Ainu" or were "called out on their physical characteristics." The panel members said the rate of discrimination was higher than expected. "These Ainu left Hokkaido because of discrimination, but I heard that they still face strong discrimination in various areas, including education and employment," Mitsui said.

Russia’s Far East faces future of powerful earthquakes

2026-02-26T11:25:00.001+09:00

View of coastal rock formation, 'The Drinking Man', Urup Island. Source: ALamy / Legion Media

Scientists monitoring seismic activity off the coast of Russia’s Far East in the Pacific Ocean have come to a disturbing conclusion. Deadly earthquakes may strike the region as soon as 2016.

In recent years virtually no seismic activity has been recorded in the area of Russia's Kuril Islands and the Kamchatka Peninsula, as well as Hokkaido Island (Japan). As strange as this sounds, Russian seismologists find this worrying.

“The past year, as well as the six preceding years, was incredibly calm in terms of seismic activity,’’ Ivan Tikhonov, head of the seismology laboratory at the Institute of Marine Geology and Geophysics, told RBTH. “Such a quiet spell can only mean that enormous amounts of energy have accumulated below the surface, and this pent-up energy can set off several powerful earthquakes. We expect these tremors to occur over the next 18 months.’’

Is disaster inevitable?

According to Tikhonov, an earthquake of at least 8.0 on the Richter scale is likely to hit near Urup Island in the southern part of the Kuril Islands somewhere between January 2016 and February 2017. Urup is in the epicenter of the seismically quiet zone. Furthermore, a 7.7 magnitude earthquake is also expected to hit near the northern Kuril Islands sometime before 2018. Another quake of 6.0 or 7.0 magnitude could hit the southern part of Sakhalin Island before the end of next spring.

Click to view the map

Earthquakes in Russia

Over 8,000 earthquakes of varying magnitude are detected in Russia yearly. More than half occur near the Kuril Islands and Kamchatka. The rest hit the Kola Peninsula, the Kaliningrad region, Crimea, the Caucasus, the Urals, Western Siberia, the Altai and the Sayan Mountains, the Pribaykalsky and Zabaykalsky districts, Sakhalin Island, the Commander Islands, the Yakutia Republic and the Arctic regions.

Russian researchers have used eight distinct earthquake prediction methods to base their conclusions, including the LURR theory (Load/Unload Response Ratio) – an approach which takes into account the influence of the Moon’s and the Sun’s gravitational forces on the Earth’s crust, as suggested by Chinese seismologists.

They also consider the Seismic gaps hypothesis developed by the Japanese seismologist, Kiyoo Mogi, which suggests powerful earthquakes are preceded by a period of no seismic activity in its future epicenter.

Scientists have also delved into research dealing with atmospheric jet streams, among other things.

All methods employed so far confirm the grim forecast, but there is always a possibility of error.

“Earthquakes originate deep beneath the earth, and scientists only have the results of surface observations,’’ said Mikhail Rodkin of the Institute of Earthquake Prediction Theory and Mathematical Geophysics. “It is a bit like if meteorologists only had data collected from wormholes.”

A short-range forecast

Over the past 20 years, the research group led by Ivan Tikhonov has been working on a fundamentally new method of short-term earthquake prediction, and their studies have yielded some results that will soon be presented.

How do Russian emergency services respond to earthquake forecasts?

Reports on credible earthquake predictions are sent by the Expert Board for Earthquake Prediction and Seismic Hazard Assessment to EMERCOM, the Russian state emergency services agency. In 2005, thanks to one such reliable forecast in the Kamchatka peninsula, EMERCOM deployed a rescue team that was prepared to act in the event of an earthquake in the region.

“Our method allows to detect imminent earthquakes that will happen in several days and does not produce too many false alarms,’’ Tikhonov said. ``But it should be used together with other medium-term prediction methods.”

Long-term forecast methods are considered the most efficient because the greater the timeframe the lower the likelihood of errors.

“Research on short-term earthquake forecast methods is underway in the U.S., Japan, New Zealand and Switzerland in the framework of the Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP), but these methods have yet to prove their efficiency,” said Vladimir Kosobokov, expert at the European Advisory Committee on Earthquake Prediction. Mr. Kosobokov doubts that the research by the Tikhonov team will yield any useful results.

The new method reportedly uses a mathematical algorithm based on a non-linear differential equation developed by Russian scientist Alexander Malyshev. So far, it has only been used to process data on earthquakes that occurred in Russia, Japan and Turkey. This led some experts to question its accuracy, and the doubts are exacerbated by the fact that the approach takes into account nothing but the seismic data from up to 24 hours before the earthquake.

The Top 500 Japanese Words: Ranked by how often they appear on the Internet.

2026-02-26T11:25:00.000+09:00

TOKYO —

Have you ever wondered which words are the most common in Japanese?
Mark Smith took all the words in a Japanese dictionary, put them through some Internet search engines, and then compared the number of search hits. The results are in his new book:

“The Top 500 Japanese Words: Ranked by how often they appear on the Internet.”

Many of the resulting words are more common on websites than in conversational speech, and that’s ideal if you want to read Japanese websites. For instance, the first three words are

“kensaku 検索” (look up, search),
“joho 情報” (news, information, gossip),
“saito サイト” (website).

The examples are written in Romaji and Japanese script. From the author of “Real Japanese: Learn to speak the same way Japanese kids do!”, who also developed the automated Japanese video-chat
website www.blackbeltjapanese.com. Over 100 illustrations by “myoume.” Available from Amazon.com and Amazon.co.jp ISBN-13: 978-1478324256