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<link>https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/1467-8268.70082?af=R</link>
<title>Exports, Export Composition, and Youth Unemployment in Sub&#8208;Saharan Africa: Panel Evidence on Conditional Employment Effects</title>  <source url="https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/loi/14678268?af=R">Wiley: African Development Review: Table of Contents</source>
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<![CDATA[ABSTRACT Youth unemployment in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) remains high despite sustained export expansion, yet youth-specific evidence on the export&#8211;employment nexus is scarce. This study uses a balanced panel of 46 SSA countries over 2000&#8211;2023 to examine whether export intensity (exports as a share of gross domestic product) and export composition (manufactured goods as a share of exports) affect youth unemployment, and whether human capital conditions these effects. System generalised method of moments (GMM) is the primary estimator; fixed-effects, instrumental-variable and difference-in-differences estimates serve as robustness and identification checks. Export intensity has no statistically significant effect. Export composition has a strong negative effect: in the dynamic model, a 10-percentage-point rise in the manufactured-export share is associated with a 1.5-percentage-point fall in youth unemployment, against a sample mean of 17.6%. The employment payoff to exports emerges only above an intermediate level of human capital and is stronger in manufacturing-intensive economies. Commodity-dependent economies also experienced larger rises in youth unemployment after the 2014&#8211;2016 price collapse. Export structure and skills, rather than export volume, therefore determine youth employment, and the paper outlines a sequenced policy agenda. The results remain conditional on observational-data identifying assumptions.]]>
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<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 11:53:58 +01:00</pubDate>
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<link>https://www.ajol.info/index.php/ajer/article/view/339609</link>
<title>Infrastructure Development and Intra-East African Community Trade: A Panel ARDL Analysis</title>  <source url="https://www.ajol.info/index.php/ajer">African Journal of Economic Review</source>
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<![CDATA[This study examines the effect of infrastructure development on intra-East African Community trade performance using balanced panel data for Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda, Tanzania, and Uganda over 2010-2024. The analysis focuses on paved-road infrastructure, logistics infrastructure quality, maritime connectivity, economic size, and inflation. The study employs a panel ARDL framework estimated using the pooled mean group estimator and mean group model used for robustness. The results provide evidence of a long-run relationship between infrastructure and intra-EAC trade. Paved-road infrastructure and logistics infrastructure quality exhibit positive long-run effects, while maritime connectivity is statistically insignificant. Economic size contributes positively to trade, whereas inflation has a negative association. The significant error-correction coefficient confirms adjustment toward long-run equilibrium. The findings suggest that infrastructure investment should be complemented by efficient logistics, border management, and trade-facilitation measures to translate regional connectivity into sustained growth in intra-EAC trade. The study recommends EAC countries to adopt a coordinated regional strategy that prioritises cross-border integration of transport corridors, strengthens trade facilitation and addresses country-specific institutional and macroeconomic challenges to reduce trade costs, increase intra-African trade, and enhance participation in regional value chains.]]>
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<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 11:58:32 +01:00</pubDate>
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