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<channel>
	<title>Likelihood of Success</title>
	
	<link>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com</link>
	<description>Ron Coleman’s pretty good blog</description>
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		<title>But do they have rhythm?</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/S1Lp-IBgphM/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/02/08/but-do-they-have-rhythm/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Feb 2010 07:29:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oppression]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3729</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[New York Times:
Until last week, paleontologists could offer no clear-cut evidence for the color of dinosaurs.
Write your own punchline, okay?  And leave me out of it.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/05/science/05dino.html" target="_blank">New York <em>Times</em></a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Until last week, paleontologists could offer no clear-cut evidence for the color of dinosaurs.</p></blockquote>
<p>Write your own punchline, okay?  And leave me out of it.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>A new generation of barbarians</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/ONAGHR_YQHM/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/02/03/a-new-generation-of-barbarians/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Feb 2010 01:40:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Edumacallit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Heart and spirit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sisyphus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3726</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[And I&#8217;m not talking about the left, people.
Sadly, not.
I wonder if perhaps William F. Buckley did die in vain.
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And I&#8217;m not talking about the left, people.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.popehat.com/2010/01/29/you-know-who-else-disapproved-of-anne-franks-vagina-hitler/" target="_blank">Sadly, not.</a></p>
<p>I wonder if perhaps William F. Buckley did die in vain.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>And still no one’s doing anything about it!</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/CemQtXaGeCs/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/02/01/and-still-no-ones-doing-anything-about-it/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 01 Feb 2010 20:22:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Scientificus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3721</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[ 
Insty:
WALTER RUSSELL MEAD: The Death Of Global Warming. “The movement died from two causes: bad science and bad politics.”
No, there&#8217;s a third cause:  Good weather!
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p style="text-align: center;"><a title="After the deluge by Ron Coleman, on Flickr" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/roncoleman/3682344855/"><img class="aligncenter" src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2554/3682344855_3ea23a2cfc_m.jpg" alt="After the deluge" width="240" height="180" /></a> <a href="http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/92952/" target="_blank"></a></p>
<p><a href="http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/92952/" target="_blank">Insty</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>WALTER RUSSELL MEAD: <a href="http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2010/02/01/the-death-of-global-warming/">The Death Of Global Warming.</a> “The movement died from two causes: bad science and bad politics.”</p></blockquote>
<p>No, there&#8217;s a third cause:  Good weather!</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Singing for our suffer</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/nW7DH-aUF6w/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/26/singing-for-our-suffer/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jan 2010 13:30:26 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ars Longa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gelt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jocularity]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3719</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[And they call economics the &#8220;dismal science&#8220;!
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>And they call economics the &#8220;<a href="http://americandigest.org/mt-archives/critical_mass/something_wonderful_hey_p.php" target="_blank">dismal science</a>&#8220;!</p>
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		<item>
		<title>A little perspective</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/e5KChlI4rLU/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/25/a-little-perspective/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jan 2010 17:00:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Oppression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Orient]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3717</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[John Burgess:
While most Saudi students are apparently taking the TSA’s revised security screening in stride, not all of them are. Saudi Gazette/Okaz report that some are very offended and that the National Society of Human Rights [NSHR] thinks them offensive to the dignity of Saudis. . . .
[A]nyone entering the US—of American or other nationality—can have his [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://xrdarabia.org/2010/01/25/9594/" target="_blank">John Burgess</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>While most Saudi students are apparently taking the TSA’s revised security screening <a href="http://xrdarabia.org/2010/01/23/us-security-inconveniences-minor-for-saudi-students/">in stride</a>, not all of them are. <em>Saudi Gazette/Okaz</em> report that some are very offended and that the National Society of Human Rights [NSHR] thinks them offensive to the dignity of Saudis. . . .</p>
<p>[A]nyone entering the US—of American or other nationality—can have his computer files checked. It’s not just terroristic materials that are the subject of searches; Child porn and other illicit materials are frequently caught. US courts have determined that the 4th Amendment, which protects against unreasonable searches without probable cause, does not extend beyond the borders of the US. For travelers, the border starts inside the Immigration and Customs desks.</p>
<p>As for the NSHR, well… I do believe there are human rights violations taking place within the Kingdom which might more usefully take the focus of the organization.</p></blockquote>
<p>John, is this the first time you&#8217;ve found selective outrage among in Arabia regarding &#8220;human rights&#8221;? <img src='http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<item>
		<title>Lighten up</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/U5jp9Eq5mms/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/22/lighten-up/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Jan 2010 21:24:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Ars Longa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Heart and spirit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jocularity]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[
]]></description>
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		<title>Demogoguing disaster</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/NXyxmKeyz7k/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/21/demogoging-disaster/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jan 2010 22:07:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Heart and spirit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medialites]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[O Mores!]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3713</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[From Michael Shaw:
This is a message to Anderson Cooper and CNN&#8230;
As American citizens concerned about the humanity of the Haitian people, the sensationalist and self-promoting tendencies of American media and the power of pictures, we urge you to: Please stop.
Read the whole thing!
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>From <a href="http://www.bagnewsnotes.com/2010/01/stop-anderson-cnn-just-stop.html" target="_blank">Michael Shaw</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>This is a message to Anderson Cooper and CNN&#8230;</p>
<p>As American citizens concerned about the humanity of the Haitian people, the sensationalist and self-promoting tendencies of American media <em>and</em> the power of pictures, we urge you to: <em><strong>Please stop.</strong></em></p></blockquote>
<p>Read the <a href="http://www.bagnewsnotes.com/2010/01/stop-anderson-cnn-just-stop.html" target="_blank">whole thing</a>!</p>
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		<title>The wrong message</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/vWwuK3GavVQ/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/20/the-wrong-message/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Jan 2010 16:07:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Politics and Poker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Stragety]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3707</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[One of the things I found so frustrating about &#8220;hanging out&#8221; online with conservatives is that so many of them didn&#8217;t realize that whatever it is that&#8217;s going to happen next that&#8217;s good for conservatives has little or nothing to do with the GOP leadership.  Conservatives and even old and discarded Republicans such as myself [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One of the things I found so frustrating about &#8220;hanging out&#8221; online with conservatives is that so many of them didn&#8217;t realize that whatever it is that&#8217;s going to happen next that&#8217;s good for conservatives has little or nothing to do with the GOP leadership.  Conservatives and even old and discarded Republicans such as myself have and had every reason in the world to be pretty much disgusted with the political and ethical ineptitude of the party over the last ten years.</p>
<p>Unsurprisingly, given his &#8220;Army of Davids&#8221; theme, <a href="http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/92168/">Glenn Reynolds gets this exactly right</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p><a href="http://pajamasmedia.com/instapundit/92168/"></a>[W]hat the GOP apparat does is less important nowadays than it was. As I noted before, there’s a whole lot of disintermediation going on here — Scott Brown got money and volunteers via the Internet and the Tea Party movement, to a much greater degree than he got them from the RNC. Smart candidates will realize that, too.</p></blockquote>
<p>As will the entrenched Republican leaders.  They will make every attempt to co-op this energy and this source of hope (not that I don&#8217;t remain skeptical about <a href="http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2009/02/28/tea-for-you/" target="_blank">&#8220;tea party&#8221; meetups</a> per se), and ultimately they will succeed on one level or another.  The question is, will independent, principled conservatives at least extract an appropriate price &#8212; not platform planks or sops, but fundamental change in how the party works on an ongoing basis?</p>
<p>It&#8217;s hard to be hopeful.  <a href="http://www.likelihoodofconfusion.com/?p=4870" target="_blank">John McCain was so wrong</a> in how he went about trying to unhinge money and politics, but he was so right about the scope and profundity of the problem.  Here Brown won in no small measure because he took everyone, including the GOP leadership, by surprise, and he may have a bit of fun for a while because he owes them very little (did you see the musical &#8220;Fiorello&#8221;?).</p>
<p>In the long run, history has never shown such a dynamic to be sustainable.  And yet, while we may dispair of completing the work, we are not free to abstain from it, either.  So let&#8217;s roll!</p>
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		<title>Scared of the truth</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/-B4iMMd6oVE/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/17/scared-of-the-truth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Jan 2010 00:47:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Medialites]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oppression]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3700</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Did you hear about this travesty in Haiti?
Earthquake victims, writhing in pain and grasping at life, watched doctors and nurses walk away from a field hospital Friday night after a Belgian medical team evacuated the area, saying it was concerned about security.
The decision left CNN Chief Medical Correspondent Sanjay Gupta as the only doctor at [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Did you hear about <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/americas/01/16/haiti.abandoned.patients/index.html" target="_blank">this travesty</a> in Haiti?</p>
<blockquote><p>Earthquake victims, writhing in pain and grasping at life, watched doctors and nurses walk away from a field hospital Friday night after a Belgian medical team evacuated the area, saying it was concerned about security.</p>
<p>The decision left CNN Chief Medical Correspondent Sanjay Gupta as the only doctor at the hospital to get the patients through the night.</p></blockquote>
<p>Truly awful.  But check out this subtle spin in an excerpt from that CNN article quoted by <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2010/WORLD/americas/01/16/haiti.abandoned.patients/index.html" target="_blank">Instapundit</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Retired Army Lt. Gen. Russel Honoré, who led relief efforts for Hurricane Katrina in 2005, said the evacuation of the clinic&#8217;s medical staff was unforgivable.</p>
<p>&#8220;Search and rescue must trump security,&#8221; Honoré said. &#8220;I&#8217;ve never seen anything like this before in my life. They need to man up and get back in there.&#8221;</p>
<p>Honoré drew parallels between the tragedy in New Orleans, Louisiana, and in Port-au-Prince. But even in the chaos of Katrina, he said, he had never seen medical staff walk away.</p>
<p>&#8220;I find this astonishing these doctors left,&#8221; he said. &#8220;People are scared of the poor.&#8221;</p></blockquote>
<p>&#8220;Scared of the poor?&#8221;  General, they aren&#8217;t scared &#8220;of the poor&#8221; &#8212; at least not because they&#8217;re <strong>poor</strong>!</p>
<p><a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/34874587/ns/world_news-haiti_earthquake/?ns=world_news-haiti_earthquake" target="_blank">MSNBC</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The early reports of looting came as United Nations peacekeepers patrolling the capital said people&#8217;s anger is rising that aid hasn&#8217;t been distributed quickly, and the Brazilian military warned aid convoys to add security to guard against looting.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://www.torontosun.com/news/haiti/2010/01/17/12502131-qmi.html" target="_blank">Toronto <em>Sun</em></a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Next to burning corpses, young men fight over the goods they&#8217;ve looted from the crushed shops in the city&#8217;s downtown core.</p>
<p>They lit the bodies on fire, one man explains, to avoid spreading diseases. Thick smoke and dust hangs like a dense cloud.</p>
<p>The men hit each other violently as they fight over aluminum bowls and computer bags.</p>
<p>Riots erupt. The stores are ravaged.</p></blockquote>
<p><a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7331921.stm" target="_blank">BBC</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Reports say scores of people went on the rampage in the town of Les Cayes, blocking roads, looting shops and shooting at UN peacekeepers.</p>
<p>The UN said its personnel had opened fire at some of the armed protesters.</p>
<p>For two days running, parts of Haiti have been erupting into violence triggered by the soaring cost of food.</p></blockquote>
<p>Those doctors may not have done the right thing that night.  Or maybe they did.  Can we say, perhaps, that he who heals and runs away may leave to heal another day?  We weren&#8217;t there, and neither was General Honoré.  But he&#8217;s a military man.  I&#8217;m not one.  Doctors and nurses aren&#8217;t, either &#8212; they&#8217;re doctors and nurses.  They didn&#8217;t volunteer for martyrdom.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s nothing unique to a brick or shard of metal between your eyes that gets there via a poor man, as opposed to anyone else.  These medical people may or not be guilty of cowardice.  But as they surveyed the simmering crowd they decided to escape, it seems hardly unlikely that they were adding up the net worth of its desperate, madding members.</p>
<p><em>Cross-posted on <a href="http://rightwingnews.com/">Right Wing News</a>.</em></p>
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		<title>Verizon agonistes</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/LikelihoodOfSuccess/~3/mPlJHk2DzWk/</link>
		<comments>http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/2010/01/11/verizon-agonistes/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jan 2010 15:26:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron Coleman</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Nuvo-Techno]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sisyphus]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/?p=3691</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I have this new Verizon FIOS service at home.  (I replaced our old proprietary &#8212; and incredibly costly &#8212; Internet filtering with free service from OpenDNS.)  After it was installed &#8212; well, after it was re-installed, the first installation having been done wrong &#8212; I have really enjoyed having that sort of broadband speed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I have this new Verizon FIOS service at home.  (I replaced our old proprietary &#8212; and incredibly costly &#8212; Internet filtering with free service from <a href="http://www.opendns.com/">OpenDNS</a>.)  After it was installed &#8212; well, after it was re-installed, the first installation having been done wrong &#8212; I have really enjoyed having that sort of broadband speed at home.</p>
<p>We&#8217;re not media downloading people, we Colemans, so it&#8217;s not that.  It&#8217;s just the browsing experience, and, for me, I can really experience true virtual commuting; using LogMeIn I can work at my office desktop from home with almost no perceptible lag.   I also really appreciate being able to upload big files fast, something I sometimes have to do when filing legal papers online by a deadline that is all of a sudden bearing down fast.  Not only this, but the pricing is great; with all that bandwidth I was able to completely drop my extra landline, which despite the best efforts at phone service discounting was so laden with taxes (&#8220;fees&#8221;) that it was an utterly unjustifiable luxury just for dedicated faxes to home.</p>
<p>If only Verizon didn&#8217;t so absolutely stink!  <a href="http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Verizon-Logo.png"><img class="alignleft size-medium wp-image-3692" style="margin-left: 4px; margin-right: 4px; border: 1px solid black;" title="Verizon Logo" src="http://www.likelihoodofsuccess.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/Verizon-Logo-300x300.jpg" alt="" width="210" height="210" /></a></p>
<p>These guys are constantly, constantly pushing you to their incredibly powerful-looking customer-interfacing website for customer service.  Seeing as how you have to fence on the phone with a talking computer anyway, you give it a try.  And look at all the buttons to click!  It&#8217;s true one-stop shopping!  Here&#8217;s the warning sign:  It only &#8220;really&#8221; works with Microsoft Internet Explorer.  Short of requiring you to get access to it via AOL, that&#8217;s about as grim a warning sign as you can get.</p>
<p>And so it goes.</p>
<p>Nothing &#8212; nothing &#8212; works on the Verizon site.  And when I say nothing, I mean of course pretty much nothing, or a majority of things you want to do once you get there.  THIS is not available &#8220;at this time.&#8221;  THAT is not available &#8220;at this time.&#8221;  THE OTHER just hangs up.  Please come back later.  Please try again another time.  Please call customer service.  Only not now, ok?  And so on.  And so on.  And so on.</p>
<p>I knew this already.  I knew it years ago.  I just kept hoping against hope that this offspring of the great Bell trust had really begun to understand how to serve customers, and that one of the main things you do to serve them is not make promises you can&#8217;t keep &#8212; including promises of things websites can do but which they really can&#8217;t.  And that one of the corollaries of that is not to push your customers to that resource when it is not even remotely up to the job.</p>
<p>Nope.</p>
<p>Verizon is fast, all right.  But it seems that once a monopoly, always a monopoly.</p>
<p>Verizon is <a href="http://blog.timesunion.com/kristi/17777/how-to-break-up-with-verizon/" target="_blank">still just the phone company</a>.</p>
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