tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-74560292312078628172024-09-08T11:41:27.454+08:00觀念為主‧技術為輔‧關鍵切入 喜歡尋找脈動‧享受和脈動一起的那刻！lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.comBlogger53125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-60137008468644623462012-01-16T11:00:00.001+08:002012-01-17T01:55:50.187+08:00<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> 距上次文章到現在<br /> 剛好又是一波上漲後的轉折<br /> 途中恰好遇到四年一次的總統大選<br /> 有心的朋友都能發現OP出現價格不合理的現象<br /> 即便不懂的人如果用心看網路上很多好手的文章<br /> 也能知道進去拼搏OP買方簡直是找死<br /> 這次吃甘嗎淨了的莊家整個肥滋滋<br /> <br /> 按照撰者的觀察<br /> 這次的結算或許就落在7000~7150之間<br /> 莊家可以吃到撐死過農曆年^^<br /> <br /> 問題是年後呢?!<br /> 依據撰者的系統觀察<br /> 在日線(含)以下的時間曾即將有一次時間共振的機會<br /> 而這次的方向很有機會是向下發展<br /> 向下的幅度應該有機會再來測試一次12/21的紅棒位置<br /> <br /> 至於怎麼操作<br /> 讀者們應該都有自己的操作模式<br /> 簡短建議<br /> 有多部位在手的.小心避險<br /> 有空部位在手的.注意位置到了的空方力道速度有無趨緩<br /> 沒部位的人.那你就先看戲吧<br /> 畢竟過好年是人人希望的也應該的啊<br /> ^^<br /> <br /> 晚點再PO圖上來<br /> 說說為啥有時間共振的產生<br /> <br /> <span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 32px; line-height: 31px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，無提供為閱讀者參考進出依據之意圖，盈虧請自行負責！】</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">&nbsp;</span> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbpB7FObplK4QaH5-wWk7Qsx9qDUROpQ79aBGsTc6TEnuEjunaqXHDHZEP6ZEszEdLUsp4PTDgTwa7ALw93VuNT0Q1xU2gD1bNeXhHBq1Hy22fcYWEwiW5jVXhvYSkPN7Pazao2bFbja6Q/s1600/20120116-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="211" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgbpB7FObplK4QaH5-wWk7Qsx9qDUROpQ79aBGsTc6TEnuEjunaqXHDHZEP6ZEszEdLUsp4PTDgTwa7ALw93VuNT0Q1xU2gD1bNeXhHBq1Hy22fcYWEwiW5jVXhvYSkPN7Pazao2bFbja6Q/s320/20120116-3.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <br /></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiFNP1Aas8vFZo9eKzfv84b-BmzZF2GUCA2q6Halo2ALXkYHNVVZGg5zpeFEGb2gQOg12HFv6WDHxCzdb7HCgqTkWsK_HQDNh0RhZfTQBkx2itFEii4XKrAevQdSpuO9GVEQFNhcqYH3eA/s1600/20120116-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="114" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiiFNP1Aas8vFZo9eKzfv84b-BmzZF2GUCA2q6Halo2ALXkYHNVVZGg5zpeFEGb2gQOg12HFv6WDHxCzdb7HCgqTkWsK_HQDNh0RhZfTQBkx2itFEii4XKrAevQdSpuO9GVEQFNhcqYH3eA/s320/20120116-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <br /></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhM57qcfA23Xj9opgrtIVNLrr9nrqdwPHaxDsgwUfUZHw8RZrbxeVEMvakaa7dZeStQwwr3N7iXM6bgXcGA75OBrsPFQM0yVCtTLgJN7diui8kM6lPiANh5d5dQta-WJgjLZgzaAolAw2zM/s1600/20120116-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="114" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhM57qcfA23Xj9opgrtIVNLrr9nrqdwPHaxDsgwUfUZHw8RZrbxeVEMvakaa7dZeStQwwr3N7iXM6bgXcGA75OBrsPFQM0yVCtTLgJN7diui8kM6lPiANh5d5dQta-WJgjLZgzaAolAw2zM/s320/20120116-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> 2012-01-16日K</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpNY7Ig3FGMy5kpI4RIWek-GnHIJUXcPL0vNya8kZat5QumVLiVpckFLSKdih9z8ZBFCoNVze4pUenbJb5x5VHz4J9eJOaxBQUxYpOO7bOfJTqHn8c32nSv8gBND18-D83gczTxO84Zzez/s1600/20120116-4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="301" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhpNY7Ig3FGMy5kpI4RIWek-GnHIJUXcPL0vNya8kZat5QumVLiVpckFLSKdih9z8ZBFCoNVze4pUenbJb5x5VHz4J9eJOaxBQUxYpOO7bOfJTqHn8c32nSv8gBND18-D83gczTxO84Zzez/s320/20120116-4.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <br /></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgByuLbemnrBDi4wAaFOxH_0exFFnQlH2ZdDS-3BkTADv8fbXCfwuUg7R1-tFTFYgPDlmMGghek69p6PXmZOWe_8Ff8ugQiSQn5lbzpYhTv8Vp_cUeI8lUxA3JP7abwzZqtLqVkf6OfLcfH/s1600/20120116-5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="182" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgByuLbemnrBDi4wAaFOxH_0exFFnQlH2ZdDS-3BkTADv8fbXCfwuUg7R1-tFTFYgPDlmMGghek69p6PXmZOWe_8Ff8ugQiSQn5lbzpYhTv8Vp_cUeI8lUxA3JP7abwzZqtLqVkf6OfLcfH/s320/20120116-5.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <br /></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMTWnohqauEtTgJQhAhal9mqUhwXgz11OdwpJX8ghSf43Vc84Ar20ctkq0KwAZ5GFvxaQufA3fDbPoSowE_7q0i3cOBKwobd3meABupz5DUEPBajaDZGNOh4IQHEL3KQm1l5bi4f07TRCu/s1600/20120116-6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="213" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiMTWnohqauEtTgJQhAhal9mqUhwXgz11OdwpJX8ghSf43Vc84Ar20ctkq0KwAZ5GFvxaQufA3fDbPoSowE_7q0i3cOBKwobd3meABupz5DUEPBajaDZGNOh4IQHEL3KQm1l5bi4f07TRCu/s320/20120116-6.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <br /></div> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-27632486029595724542012-01-01T20:22:00.000+08:002012-01-01T22:04:55.047+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> 新年快樂!!!<br /> 壬辰龍年是運勢很好的一年<br /> 希望大家都能夠掌握運勢、時來運轉<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 距離上次寫文章剛好是去年(哈)12/20<br /> (再破底的隔天即提醒盤勢的方向已經在轉變了)<br /> 而再更上一篇是12/07<br /> (提醒要注意會被測試的方向)<br /> 後續的走勢我想讀者們應該再清楚不過了<br /> 我不喜歡一直回顧寫過的東西<br /> 因為過了，時效就過了，沒必要一直說嘴<br /> 但卻可以讓操作者檢視自己對每一段盤勢的應對進退是否得宜<br /> <br /> 一段時間不寫文章<br /> 除因工作和生活的重心之外<br /> 另和這裡一些有機緣的網友分享了操作的觀念<br /> 彼此交流成長.正好讓好友們避開了再破底後和強彈的危險<br /> 撰者的操作系統除了對K棒透露的盤勢訊息作研判之外<br /> 另外再經由指標對盤勢脈動作立體的判斷<br /> 並非畫線給大盤走.而是將規劃都做出來<br /> 再靜待市場告訴我們"她"究竟想往走.我們"跟隨"就好<br /> 既然對有緣人分享了操作方式<br /> 也就盡了這一時間階段的回饋責任<br /> 所以寫文就靜待盤勢有新的意向(訊號)時再提醒大家了<br /> <br /> 如果有心的人可以好好體會一下再盤是要轉折的那天<br /> 通常在盤中都會有蛛絲馬跡讓你感受到"很不一樣"的感覺<br /> <br /> 來看看現在的盤面訊息<br /> 加權指數和期貨指數:<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUCf6Y91z-eN3Dd6IeFHS95YGKvL0HSlSv1JMSaSMD_uQc8wFee9CO3U83IG52YOmr8pTdIVC2xoTQjxxyNlivet4yARhccLSD8mFfc_9MObZBfWAQFSiUZhbX1kpnihD8oE9b98nPEc9I/s1600/20111230-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="163" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiUCf6Y91z-eN3Dd6IeFHS95YGKvL0HSlSv1JMSaSMD_uQc8wFee9CO3U83IG52YOmr8pTdIVC2xoTQjxxyNlivet4yARhccLSD8mFfc_9MObZBfWAQFSiUZhbX1kpnihD8oE9b98nPEc9I/s320/20111230-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIvCnT1EVjA0Tm_iNQwoRlD1T0A8ZVf6ZNZicTdSw0PVC8niDjEzgnt5bjozlIbGzjHgNPEl6FOYrE-guh5S79_OoKM7TpZY4WaBS8Rutf9gVG05rmqgj09lx1bqIoTZ-t3hDn7-DaUgv0/s1600/20111230-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="197" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiIvCnT1EVjA0Tm_iNQwoRlD1T0A8ZVf6ZNZicTdSw0PVC8niDjEzgnt5bjozlIbGzjHgNPEl6FOYrE-guh5S79_OoKM7TpZY4WaBS8Rutf9gVG05rmqgj09lx1bqIoTZ-t3hDn7-DaUgv0/s320/20111230-3.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> 很明顯的黃線和白線的區間形成狹幅整理<br /> 整理的同時讓KD漸漸的開始收斂發散的角度<br /> 雖然有見解認為這邊或可為"鈍化".<br /> 而鈍化通常會讓行情繼續往原方向延燒<br /> 然而如果真的有觀察過"鈍化"走勢的人<br /> 都會知道"鈍化"其實是有她一定的成立要件<br /> 偏偏這裡的指標卻不怎麼符合<br /> <br /> 周K層級的部分有人觀察到即將從底部金叉向上<br /> 問題是金叉了嗎?!怎麼樣才會金叉呢?<br /> 別忘了指標是被價格影響的.而價格的方向是可以從K棒判讀的<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgh0gO4kNM5lBG2O2bM3L1Jv_nx3fcgTf1mYnp2oWVpzHjh3L4ypL8oehfEwqY5MWj1D4fKEN7NIF4DZNJh4HwkJizvyukJSJpcVYIGop6tFhlMdrwAn1GF_dI87pi1UCU-gFhEoaMv7QmK/s1600/20111230-8.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="161" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgh0gO4kNM5lBG2O2bM3L1Jv_nx3fcgTf1mYnp2oWVpzHjh3L4ypL8oehfEwqY5MWj1D4fKEN7NIF4DZNJh4HwkJizvyukJSJpcVYIGop6tFhlMdrwAn1GF_dI87pi1UCU-gFhEoaMv7QmK/s320/20111230-8.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsZfQdCekYwsPVQC8A8ikNfAKh6LV0cTV-QF1BgVp32LuSW6eW_B-XmGTUe1-6vh8_Sspe5cD3z6KifvyFWJM039PKJ4KoRkcuIB_F0EDI2i4wLy5yXe9bhsdJ_4EWZvQTDhykJRpY_4TV/s1600/20111230-9.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="218" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsZfQdCekYwsPVQC8A8ikNfAKh6LV0cTV-QF1BgVp32LuSW6eW_B-XmGTUe1-6vh8_Sspe5cD3z6KifvyFWJM039PKJ4KoRkcuIB_F0EDI2i4wLy5yXe9bhsdJ_4EWZvQTDhykJRpY_4TV/s320/20111230-9.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 上面二圖分別是期貨和加權指數的月K圖<br /> 顯見的KD僅有K值微微趨緩.尚未有收斂的情形<br /> 此時周K的KD要能順利金叉.除非價格強攻<br /> 然而價格的部分已經在前面看過不停的在黃白線區間內震盪<br /> 平時量縮倒也還給了多方許多發球權<br /> 偏偏2011的封關日空方帶量抵擋了多方猛攻的契機<br /> 儘管在日K上這跟帶量上影黑K仍未破一個禮拜的低點<br /> 卻也衍生了多方不穩定的訊息<br /> ((我想這就是有人會說""空方抵抗""卻不講明的原因吧))<br /> <br /> 國際盤勢呢<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZ3e3jMWafsEHDcEqvJF3aPF2t8AfLYE7eIaIGurUzvJPLdqY1Dj66k_Qpx1I0Iv2HIzB4KHmVZxAQvoBn_YqFeGrGDqBPu_vzcj5WOxACDN0W3MB0dzyPGCbGtPNzXfXPcf0RmxY5ySBt/s1600/20111230-4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="143" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjZ3e3jMWafsEHDcEqvJF3aPF2t8AfLYE7eIaIGurUzvJPLdqY1Dj66k_Qpx1I0Iv2HIzB4KHmVZxAQvoBn_YqFeGrGDqBPu_vzcj5WOxACDN0W3MB0dzyPGCbGtPNzXfXPcf0RmxY5ySBt/s320/20111230-4.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkJz5KnDgMS6xH43nXUpC_3E94Hv-wzNcnOnpVkyIA6lTC68Vrvx4ynuwD0nEDWisFQvpjizJ8ONejq_7IIaCZ1jeP6lA0xRrJmIAROUeBXO89PkVU1QYw7ox-uu8IyxR9SnXC8ccY3JPF/s1600/20111230-7.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="143" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjkJz5KnDgMS6xH43nXUpC_3E94Hv-wzNcnOnpVkyIA6lTC68Vrvx4ynuwD0nEDWisFQvpjizJ8ONejq_7IIaCZ1jeP6lA0xRrJmIAROUeBXO89PkVU1QYw7ox-uu8IyxR9SnXC8ccY3JPF/s320/20111230-7.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDGk9P6doxltaNotj0L4AkLgqjadyAZjGGL0RQ_bgPTdQIINiIrjNOOQbjGItHXJGMAvWgUHDGN6YIIUQlc_rSCWYIYRWXAtkJqLfDlClU76bYvWoYNn5aaV0hSLN8O9jnL1hyphenhyphennzkupz7f/s1600/20111230-5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="143" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgDGk9P6doxltaNotj0L4AkLgqjadyAZjGGL0RQ_bgPTdQIINiIrjNOOQbjGItHXJGMAvWgUHDGN6YIIUQlc_rSCWYIYRWXAtkJqLfDlClU76bYvWoYNn5aaV0hSLN8O9jnL1hyphenhyphennzkupz7f/s320/20111230-5.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnFbJTgLdgEhIZFWxnrp78WZ_GAqGEiTnECYr7Mw8v-zNmQ39qJcPXvjRn3ChVVEG-NmMwqcquGLrl8VQv4izmQ6leou43RQiI7-kHIiAr0zwiqmXBR96qXr-q8DIQ4eZQ1f24aA94iQvl/s1600/20111230-6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="143" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnFbJTgLdgEhIZFWxnrp78WZ_GAqGEiTnECYr7Mw8v-zNmQ39qJcPXvjRn3ChVVEG-NmMwqcquGLrl8VQv4izmQ6leou43RQiI7-kHIiAr0zwiqmXBR96qXr-q8DIQ4eZQ1f24aA94iQvl/s320/20111230-6.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> 可以發現除了DJ是做上升三角契型的整理型態之外<br /> 其他的(美股中最弱的費半.德法)都是做大三角收斂<br /> 如果在放大時間來看的話就成大W底整理型態<br /> 事實上不管哪一種整理型態<br /> 在現階段的基本面陰霾之下都算震盪整理<br /> 震盪整理所為何事.只為出貨<br /> <br /> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div> &nbsp;黃金月<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKTr6Hvh1JaMuJtH4d4ESFueKK1MTMXtIfsWqXdl0yvoVnNQ0dsZUyJ18YwvXqKOdCQqrrZtMyeN2AjmfMpxnVDQ0rkpnti-Laxmhw8RRDuAZ0kzAA-XC-jqtJkNu0u_v6bJkc4wyPNNpU/s1600/20111230-10.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="139" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgKTr6Hvh1JaMuJtH4d4ESFueKK1MTMXtIfsWqXdl0yvoVnNQ0dsZUyJ18YwvXqKOdCQqrrZtMyeN2AjmfMpxnVDQ0rkpnti-Laxmhw8RRDuAZ0kzAA-XC-jqtJkNu0u_v6bJkc4wyPNNpU/s320/20111230-10.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;白銀月<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmlcNKJWKYNC7_5R21z0o_-rDDDp3FUaHDamopGWf3si_VC5GDBi6Pxo3kVN2Sxqs_OvOtXOYpqB1bvan_mJPyX2QNDz4bVL3c9g4j8OkPpnc8LmcwueARXKJM1A0WfsdrdBkVGqGKvUgD/s1600/20111230-11%25E7%2599%25BD%25E9%258A%2580.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="141" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhmlcNKJWKYNC7_5R21z0o_-rDDDp3FUaHDamopGWf3si_VC5GDBi6Pxo3kVN2Sxqs_OvOtXOYpqB1bvan_mJPyX2QNDz4bVL3c9g4j8OkPpnc8LmcwueARXKJM1A0WfsdrdBkVGqGKvUgD/s320/20111230-11%25E7%2599%25BD%25E9%258A%2580.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 白金周<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSz4OKZNUi4B0tg9BnIhdc99_eZcuOWG8hklppNBFqO96LkTwIwONYq4S7UNw4ZOJz2mPWqyEk1uryCVHqDDslfG9MLO-dvHLDJSSOtpyL9AiF-CaHsIc49pkLdz8VZeTRLfpjtJhqAAZc/s1600/20111230-12%25E7%2599%25BD%25E9%2587%2591.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgSz4OKZNUi4B0tg9BnIhdc99_eZcuOWG8hklppNBFqO96LkTwIwONYq4S7UNw4ZOJz2mPWqyEk1uryCVHqDDslfG9MLO-dvHLDJSSOtpyL9AiF-CaHsIc49pkLdz8VZeTRLfpjtJhqAAZc/s320/20111230-12%25E7%2599%25BD%25E9%2587%2591.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: left;"> 紐約輕原油 周</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgFlpypZLhoaXQyb_xGfkvbjh5w3aFDgDMa2eSHX-R5py8nMahl-sP7ZFoXOz13wQKv4T2wRckw6gm3Bvpsoq0r99oKZhV9rbg-8Z2qE5JP80cfi8peFOauzrbYj1T4FCjmIifxmxHW5U0/s1600/20111230-13%25E7%25B4%2590%25E7%25B4%2584%25E8%25BC%2595%25E5%258E%259F%25E6%25B2%25B9.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjgFlpypZLhoaXQyb_xGfkvbjh5w3aFDgDMa2eSHX-R5py8nMahl-sP7ZFoXOz13wQKv4T2wRckw6gm3Bvpsoq0r99oKZhV9rbg-8Z2qE5JP80cfi8peFOauzrbYj1T4FCjmIifxmxHW5U0/s320/20111230-13%25E7%25B4%2590%25E7%25B4%2584%25E8%25BC%2595%25E5%258E%259F%25E6%25B2%25B9.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;加權周<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkLuNnwJbhPM3bST_YirPbEa6QoHnbUZnih1cCvfEUeL6eNn1Vs9eH0BN44d3Tw9b_0OA544dk7p4Nj3hV74sK4CaaNn1kqIPN1LKTFnjOi_H4_oIjVARBonp0fA7bEyU6hZHT6kCgZSQ3/s1600/20111230-14%25E5%258A%25A0%25E6%25AC%258A%25E5%2591%25A8.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="138" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkLuNnwJbhPM3bST_YirPbEa6QoHnbUZnih1cCvfEUeL6eNn1Vs9eH0BN44d3Tw9b_0OA544dk7p4Nj3hV74sK4CaaNn1kqIPN1LKTFnjOi_H4_oIjVARBonp0fA7bEyU6hZHT6kCgZSQ3/s320/20111230-14%25E5%258A%25A0%25E6%25AC%258A%25E5%2591%25A8.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 很明顯的可以從上圖的金屬和能源走勢看出資金的移轉<br /> 網路上這方面的資訊很多.就不多贅文闡述<br /> 資金漸漸的從金屬向外移轉<br /> 而目前看起來是有朝能源移進中<br /> 究竟是吹起最後一顆泡泡.又或者是下一波主流的醞釀<br /> 這還可以觀察<br /> 重點是<br /> 資金假若還在移轉的進行中.那後面或可見一段行情<br /> 上方最後兩張圖是原油和加權的對照圖<br /> 前半段的走勢幾乎如出一轍<br /> 這次原油已經反彈一段了 &nbsp; &nbsp;台股沒跟上無非是正處於尷尬期(選舉因素)<br /> 如果原油的走勢是偏向最後一顆泡泡的情況<br /> 台股有沒有可能漲勢沒跟上.選後恰好遇到原油開始修正而跟進跌勢呢<br /> <br /> 撰者認為<br /> 中長來看多方還是有機會的<br /> 只是短期上空方開始要搶回發球權了<br /> 那麼該怎麼操作就請各位按照自己的方式進出囉<br /> 而有緣交流的朋友<br /> 如有不理解或是需要進一步討論的.請繼續來信交流<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 32px; line-height: 31px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，無提供為閱讀者參考進出依據之意圖，盈虧請自行負責！】</span><span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">&nbsp;</span> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-3288199113599513842011-12-20T02:17:00.000+08:002011-12-21T02:32:29.160+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> 好一陣子沒寫文章了<br /> 一來因為晚上寫文章實在打亂作息<br /> 二來為了養足精神和有緣結識的朋友分享操作概念<br /> 所以當遇見特別的觀察時再來寫寫文章<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 剛剛看見電視正在上演【華爾街】<br /> 片中主軸圍繞了人性、貪婪、良知之間的抗拒<br /> 然而每天在股市中廝殺(進出)的您<br /> 不也是天天上演著這樣的抗拒戲碼<br /> <br /> 不曉得讀者的您是否還記得上一篇文章中<br /> 撰者提及<br /> <span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">5.外豬空單或許有避險可能性，但是此不低的空單水位仍須注意，本月開倉來的空單成本約在7350-7280左右，可以思考如果是你，想怎麼辦！</span> <br /> <span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">7.千萬要注意，真壓碰不到、實撐點不來。這個位置是哪裡被測試的最多呢？</span> <br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">有幾位用心的朋友和撰者站內信</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">撰者也告知其當下的想法和該有的動作</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">就在昨天指數又破底了，這不就是朝著測試最多的方向前進嘛！</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">指數來到現在這個位置</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">如果才要急追加入空方行列的話或稍嫌有晚、風險也大了些</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">撰者觀察現階段除了線型有出現短線的反轉意味之外</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">大有為(大無為?)的政府也開始宣示了喔</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">輔以結算在即</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">如果原先的趨勢仍未改變，外豬也認同的情況下</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">那麼空間上還是需要拉到布局的好點位</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">尷尬的是台指吃完了還要看摩台是不是也想要再吃一口</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">畢竟摩台動能還滿多的</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">簡言之</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">這個位置的價格肉已經不多了</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">另外一邊的肉反而變得肥美許多</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">思考看看該怎麼作</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">想通了才是你的</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">結算的時候除了是上下其手的好時機之外</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">更是觀察的time~</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;">有緣分享的朋友別忘了該做的動作</span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 32px; line-height: 31px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，無提供為閱讀者參考進出依據之意圖，盈虧請自行負責！】</span> <br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif;"><span style="line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-29728206649336747922011-12-07T23:30:00.000+08:002011-12-08T09:33:42.535+08:00<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <h1 class="headline" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 24px; line-height: 32px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> <a href="http://tw.news.yahoo.com/%E6%95%91%E5%B8%82-%E9%99%B3%E5%9D%90%E9%8E%AE%E5%8F%B0%E7%81%A3-%E5%8A%89%E6%86%B6%E5%A6%82%E6%97%A5%E6%8B%9B%E5%95%86-094716506.html">救市！陳坐鎮台灣 劉憶如日招商</a></h1> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">外傳金管會下指導棋，以往<b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">質押股票維持率只要低於140%就要斷頭</span></b>的規定，銀行公會決議將可以<span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">協商放寬，減緩股市賣壓</span>。行政院副院長陳冲：「我們尊重銀行公會會員他們的看法。」</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">幾點提醒如下：</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">1.目前還是在空頭架構下。切記，操作以空方原則思考。</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">2.高不過高、低會破低、量能萎縮</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">3.國際股市(歐美)空方時間還有三~四天恰好經過歐洲央行會議等大型會議日期(有沒有好事明早應該就看得出來了)</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">4.加權指數現在也面臨空方時間，偏偏今日收了個母子孕育，如果在應跌時間中卻未見跌事的話</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">撰者願意再給多方掙扎的機會。惟這次供高勢必要要過12/01的高點，否則非盤即跌</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">5.外豬空單或許有避險可能性，但是此不低的空單水位仍須注意，本月開倉來的空單成本約在7350-7280左右，可以思考如果是你，想怎麼辦！(提醒：外資也有等同於四千口大台的小台多單部位.兩者不同向.避險?!)</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">6.最後是政策現在無所不用其極的開始進行減賣壓、滅恐慌、等時間、轉移焦點，連這種手段都出來了，可見執政黨真的很想打贏選戰，但真的很拼！連上頭這種新聞都出來了，銀行承擔的風險都不知道有多大，換言之就是存戶的風險更著大，最後出事了打呆帳之後政府買單，最後還是納稅人買單！真是無遠見！</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;">7.千萬要注意，真壓碰不到、實撐點不來。這個位置是哪裡被測試的最多呢？</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; line-height: 30px;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 32px; line-height: 31px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，無提供為閱讀者參考進出依據之意圖，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-88961479493773266912011-12-04T01:44:00.000+08:002011-12-05T01:46:19.600+08:00<br /> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">周末和幾位新朋友聚聚聊聊</span><span lang="EN-US">.</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">分享彼此對操作的喜愛和經驗</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">這次大夥們聚焦在歐債歹戲拖棚和中國溫州新戲上路</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">對國內的影響究竟有多少層面？</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <a name='more'></a><br /> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">分享幾則新聞</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">國際</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US">1.<a href="http://news.cnyes.com/content/20111203/KE0WSLPZZ7K3Y.shtml"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt;"><span lang="EN-US">多國央行降息力挽經濟頹勢</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt;"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt;"><span lang="EN-US">中國貨幣政策不會輕易轉向</span></span></a></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; font-size: 9.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">升息</span><span lang="EN-US">.</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">通常是為了抑制通貨膨脹</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">降息</span><span lang="EN-US">.</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">通常是為了減輕經濟惡化衝擊</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">而在</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">連續升息的末端</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">通常會造成</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">股市下跌</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">另在</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">連續降息的末期</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">則較會使得</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">股市上漲</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US">2.</span><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif;"><a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111205/KE0X0WPCETJUQ.shtml?c=headline_channel"><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US">陶冬：央行忙救市</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US">歐債危機根源依舊</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US">就業出谷底</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US">美失業難迅速改善</span></span></a><o:p></o:p></span></b></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">簡言之，七大央行在拆借利率上的動作，雖視為利多，然而反向思考也就表示不這麼操作大動作的政策手段，惡化的速度恐無法抑制。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">小結：現在剛開始看見降息等等一連串的動作，就表示情況確實朝向不好的方向發展，接下來這周要注意的</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">歐洲財政聯盟、歐洲峰會和歐洲央行。週一，德法兩國預計推出歐洲財政公約，愛爾蘭已經表示反對</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 7.5pt;">。</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">週二澳大利央行會否降息。週三歐洲央行例會，會否降息</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: PMingliu, serif;">25</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">基點</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">國內</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US">1.<a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111201/ke0wd0avoah13.shtml"><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US">郭台銘：經濟海嘯高達10</span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US">公尺</span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US">大選若變天</span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US">將有1</span></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;微軟正黑體&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.5pt; mso-bidi-font-family: 新細明體; mso-font-kerning: 18.0pt;"><span lang="EN-US">年空窗期</span></span></b></a></span><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 微軟正黑體, sans-serif; font-size: 9.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">反之，就算沒變天</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">政黨未輪替</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">，</span><span lang="EN-US">10</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">公尺的經濟海嘯還是在，【屆時還是要面臨海嘯的考驗】</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US">2.</span><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;"><a href="http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/news_content/url/d/a/111204/1/2wlq1.html"><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US">資訊月人氣旺</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US"> </span></span><span lang="EN-US"><span lang="EN-US">廠商業績添利多</span></span></a></span></b><b><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></b></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">如果單單一個資訊展的人氣旺，能表達多少業績利多的好轉</span><span lang="EN-US">?</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">！</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">小結：</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">國內部分的新聞，在觀看的時候，發現【利多】消息多過於【利空】，而且這些利多的新聞竟然還是最多人閱讀的，可見大家有多想【看見利多】。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/news_content/url/d/a/111204/3/2wlpo.html"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 13.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial; text-decoration: none; text-underline: none;"><span lang="EN-US">《其他股》潤泰新多頭簇擁，三大法人買超</span></span></a></span><span class="t1"><span style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">（時報資訊</span><span class="t1"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt;"> 2011/12/04 16:57</span></span><span class="t1"><span style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">）</span></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/news_content/url/d/a/111204/3/2wlpf.html"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 13.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">《食品股》統一帶量上漲，重啟多頭格局</span></span></a></span><span class="t1"><span style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">（時報資訊</span><span class="t1"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt;"> 2011/12/04 16:01</span></span><span class="t1"><span style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">）</span></span></span><span class="t1"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://tw.stock.yahoo.com/news_content/url/d/a/111204/3/2wlow.html"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 13.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">《熱門族群》中概餐飲錢來也，統一超、</span></span><span style="background: white; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 13.5pt;">KY</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 13.5pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">美食<span lang="EN-US">看俏</span></span></span></a></span><span class="t1"><span style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">（時報資訊</span><span class="t1"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt;"> 2011/12/04 15:01</span></span><span class="t1"><span style="background: white; color: grey; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; font-size: 9.0pt; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">）</span></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">如果單就上面提到的電子、傳產</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">食品</span><span lang="EN-US">.</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">營建、中概</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">來看，其實這次上漲來的</span><span lang="EN-US">K</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">線品質真的很不好看，看看下圖就知一二</span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi7ZnqHfOEikDCjWbD1_58ns4Uy3k2yR6RJzNlK4GrT5IDTFsMlwgsdL4kcVX7-CLHL0ZBxq8hyphenhyphenofjQUG4J3gfiT4neWC2Jct5cR9TPx9mGfypLbFaHkad9TYJkIIvgPoQwHou_VDTHC5mD/s1600/20111204.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="315" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi7ZnqHfOEikDCjWbD1_58ns4Uy3k2yR6RJzNlK4GrT5IDTFsMlwgsdL4kcVX7-CLHL0ZBxq8hyphenhyphenofjQUG4J3gfiT4neWC2Jct5cR9TPx9mGfypLbFaHkad9TYJkIIvgPoQwHou_VDTHC5mD/s640/20111204.jpg" width="640" /></a></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"><!--[if gte vml 1]><v:shapetype id="_x0000_t75" coordsize="21600,21600" o:spt="75" o:preferrelative="t" path="m@4@5l@4@11@9@11@9@5xe" filled="f" stroked="f"> <v:stroke joinstyle="miter"/> <v:formulas> <v:f eqn="if lineDrawn pixelLineWidth 0"/> <v:f eqn="sum @0 1 0"/> <v:f eqn="sum 0 0 @1"/> <v:f eqn="prod @2 1 2"/> <v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelWidth"/> <v:f eqn="prod @3 21600 pixelHeight"/> <v:f eqn="sum @0 0 1"/> <v:f eqn="prod @6 1 2"/> <v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelWidth"/> <v:f eqn="sum @8 21600 0"/> <v:f eqn="prod @7 21600 pixelHeight"/> <v:f eqn="sum @10 21600 0"/> </v:formulas> <v:path o:extrusionok="f" gradientshapeok="t" o:connecttype="rect"/> <o:lock v:ext="edit" aspectratio="t"/> </v:shapetype><v:shape id="圖片_x0020_0" o:spid="_x0000_i1025" type="#_x0000_t75" alt="20111204.jpg" style='width:415.5pt;height:206.25pt;visibility:visible; mso-wrap-style:square'> <v:imagedata src="file:///C:\Users\User\AppData\Local\Temp\msohtmlclip1\01\clip_image001.jpg" o:title="20111204"/> </v:shape><![endif]--><!--[if !vml]--><!--[endif]--></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">最強的堪稱食品類</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">沒破前低</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">，其餘的都破底在反彈上來。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">倘若以反彈幅度來說的話，電子反彈近一半，其餘的至多</span><span lang="EN-US">0.382</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">，而營建則連</span><span lang="EN-US">0.382</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">都沒到。真不敢想像這些</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">利多</span><span lang="EN-US">”</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">是怎麼來的，又為何而來。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">前篇提到</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 10pt; letter-spacing: 0.5pt;">4.</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 10pt; letter-spacing: 0.5pt;">政府意思出來了，金融就別熄火耶！</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: 10pt; letter-spacing: 0.5pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">現在看來除了星期四金融期奮力漲停之外，隔天就面臨龐大賣壓</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">撰者認為接下來如果金融持續點火的話，和短期間國際各國接連的降息手段，或能使反彈還有機會延續；但隱憂是大人們空單部位仍高，以及國際情勢的動盪，難保不會翻臉如翻書那麼快！</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">明日剛好來到加權指數見低後上來的第八天</span><span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">期貨指數見低後上來的第七天</span><span lang="EN-US">)</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">是不是那麼剛好會發生轉折呢</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">觀察</span><span lang="EN-US">7220-7160-7050</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">另由於咱們正好面臨選舉這因素</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">周末的聚會也和幾位朋友分享撰者蒐集到的資訊</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font: minor-latin;">這次的選舉或許不會有多漂亮</span><span lang="EN-US">!!</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">第九任總統、副總統選舉</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">於</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/1996%E5%B9%B4" title="1996年"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">1996</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">年</span></span></a><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/3%E6%9C%8823%E6%97%A5" title="3月23日"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">3</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">月</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">23</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">日</span></span></a></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">舉行</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">中華民國第十任總統、副總統選舉</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">於</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/2000%E5%B9%B4" title="2000年"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">2000</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">年</span></span></a></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">（</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/%E6%B0%91%E5%9C%8B%E7%B4%80%E5%B9%B4" title="民國紀年"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">民國</span></span></a></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">89</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">年）</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/3%E6%9C%8818%E6%97%A5" title="3月18日"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">3</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">月</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">18</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">日</span></span></a></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">舉行</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Wingdings;">è</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">政黨輪替</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">中華民國第</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">11</span><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">任總統、副總統選舉</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><span style="float: none;">於</span></span></span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004%E5%B9%B4" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-origin: initial;" title="2004年"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">2004</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">年</span></span></a><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/3%E6%9C%8820%E6%97%A5" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-origin: initial;" title="3月20日"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">3</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">月</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">20</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">日</span></span></a></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><span style="float: none;">舉行</span></span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">第十二屆總統副總統選</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">於</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/2008%E5%B9%B4" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-origin: initial;" title="2008年"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">2008</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">年</span></span></a><a href="http://zh.wikipedia.org/wiki/3%E6%9C%8822%E6%97%A5" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-origin: initial;" title="3月22日"><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">3</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">月</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;;">22</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: #0645ad; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;"><span lang="EN-US">日</span></span></a></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><span style="float: none;">舉行</span></span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Wingdings;">è</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">政黨輪替</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">中華民國</span></span><span style="background: white; color: #cc3333; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">第十三</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><span style="float: none;">任</span></span></span><span style="background: white; color: #cc3333; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">總統</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><span style="float: none;">、副總統選舉，將於</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;">2012</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年（民國</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;">101</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">年）</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;">1</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">月</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;Arial&quot;,&quot;sans-serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;">14</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background: white; color: red; font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-ascii-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: 新細明體; mso-fareast-theme-font: minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family: Arial;">日</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">舉行</span></span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Wingdings;">è</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;">????</span></span><span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: Arial, sans-serif;"><br /></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 24pt;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-39459856500216058672011-12-02T02:45:00.001+08:002011-12-05T01:43:51.465+08:00<br /> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><br /></span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"></span></div> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">方向前幾天大概都提過了也真的</span><span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">走出來了</span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><span style="font-size: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><span id="iCliCK_SafeGuard" style="font-size: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><span id="word_政府" style="background-color: transparent; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 2px; color: #009900; cursor: pointer; font-size: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: underline;">政府</span></span></span>真的是滿用力的</span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">幾點觀察：</span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">1.盤後籌碼狀況OI淨多空雖空單增加.但本質是多單未平倉減少.</span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">2.跳上來直接碰前跳空缺口(整個補).那今天的缺口就不能補.多方沒守好就會歪歪了！</span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">3.<span style="font-size: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><span id="iCliCK_SafeGuard" style="font-size: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><span id="word_第一" style="background-color: transparent; border-bottom-color: rgb(0, 153, 0); border-bottom-style: dashed; border-bottom-width: 2px; color: #009900; cursor: pointer; font-size: inherit; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 1px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-decoration: underline;">第一</span></span></span>根大量的5K低點成交密集區，來挑戰要注意！</span></div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 24px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;">4.政府意思出來了，金融就別熄火耶！</span><br /> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><br /></span><br /> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><br /></span><br /> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><br /></span><br /> <span style="font-size: medium; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: �s�ө���, �з���, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif; font-size: large; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-36437359638470347322011-12-01T00:03:00.001+08:002011-12-01T01:00:27.912+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> 剛剛看了新聞發現幾則很感興趣<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> <h1 style="background-color: white; clear: both; font-family: 'Microsoft JhengHei', 微軟中黑體, 微软雅黑, 'Microsoft Yahei', 微軟正黑體, PMingliu; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28px; margin-bottom: 2px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111130/KE0H5XN6CJMM2.shtml?c=headline_sitehead">世界多國央行採取行動 減緩市場緊縮情況 全球股市大漲</a></h1> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: PMingliu; font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">各國央行在聯合聲明中說，此一行動的目的在為<b>全球金融體系提供流動性支撐</b>。</span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: PMingliu; font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></div> <div> <h1 style="background-color: white; clear: both; font-family: 'Microsoft JhengHei', 微軟中黑體, 微软雅黑, 'Microsoft Yahei', 微軟正黑體, PMingliu; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28px; margin-bottom: 2px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111130/KE0H5XESU7AVQ.shtml?c=headline_sitehead">央行非病貓 全球央行聯手提供流動性</a></h1> </div> <div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: PMingliu; font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px; margin-bottom: 12px; margin-top: 12px; text-align: justify;"> 美聯儲聯手加央行,英央行,日央行,歐央行和瑞士央行展開協調行動，將美元隔夜指數掉期利率由100個基點下調50個基點。將從<b>2011年12月5日生效</b>，互換安排到期日延長至2013年2月1日。</div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: PMingliu; font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px; margin-bottom: 12px; margin-top: 12px; text-align: justify;"> 此前，中國人民銀行決定，從2011年12月5日起，下調存款類金融機構人民幣存款準備金率0.5個百分點。</div> <div style="background-color: white; font-family: PMingliu; font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px; margin-bottom: 12px; margin-top: 12px; text-align: justify;"> 美聯儲聲明表示，此舉將緩解金融市場緊張狀況，<b>減輕家庭和企業面臨的借貸供應壓力，有助於促進經濟活動。</b></div> </div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">第一則新聞主要是宣示"流動性風險"不會產生</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">第二則新聞主要是針對美元指數的抑制.讓資金不要懼怕進入歐洲</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">會發現現在歐債的狀況其實已經大到政府間已經無法獨立應付而需要聯合起來防堵的程度了</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">而這個金融機構的危機雖然大家都知道和2008年的雷曼兄弟很像</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">不同的是那是民間機構，現在是政府、是國家級的</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">規則都是他們在定，愛怎麼玩都可以！</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">但是不管在怎麼樣的手段掩飾和度過現階段難關</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">最終的趨勢還是一樣會出現</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">適當的手段只是延緩趨勢的產生</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">不妥的手段則是增快趨勢的展開</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">今天的盤況就如昨日文章推測剛好來到轉折日</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">所以空方力道趁勢發威了</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">今天比較特別的是金融有率先破低向下.政府的意願還是不清楚</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">另外在外資空單的部分，如果有看撰者<a href="http://www.wantgoo.com/42552/36">經驗分享文</a>的</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">就不會等到盤後看到大舉回補五千多口空單</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">才擔心反向的部位怎麼辦</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">外資這動作可以解讀為聽話了也好.或是她們看見原先的趨勢要休息了也好</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">至少這個動作都說明了原先的空方力道會先暫歇了</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">再來比較有趣的是</span></span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDChzbC-F1wZQefSDKHroPpC-1tYX-Meo2zgNi7cqw9haXdGH2250Vp3J7MVQMxb4OTToUrT2zI0vcdBD6ag_BzTujdol0kq20f51T94Q653LSeme3D9DpXTs7fwJmfzP-1VvlrDpVTfuE/s1600/20111130%25E6%25AC%258A%25E5%2580%25BC%25E5%25B0%25BE%25E7%259B%25A4%25E7%258B%2580%25E6%25B3%2581.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="182" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhDChzbC-F1wZQefSDKHroPpC-1tYX-Meo2zgNi7cqw9haXdGH2250Vp3J7MVQMxb4OTToUrT2zI0vcdBD6ag_BzTujdol0kq20f51T94Q653LSeme3D9DpXTs7fwJmfzP-1VvlrDpVTfuE/s320/20111130%25E6%25AC%258A%25E5%2580%25BC%25E5%25B0%25BE%25E7%259B%25A4%25E7%258B%2580%25E6%25B3%2581.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">究竟政府有沒有用力、外資有沒有真的聽話</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">明天就知道了！</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">今日的低點有許多回補買盤,接下來就看今日低不要再破</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">甚至步要挑戰</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">反彈是會持續的</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;">要怎麼動作？！板上很多大大都有提醒了，就不多言了！</span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: PMingliu;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: 15px; line-height: 25px;"><br /></span></span></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: �s�ө���, �з���, Arial, Verdana, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-size: large;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-42357422590569649732011-11-29T17:49:00.001+08:002011-11-29T18:07:14.815+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> <br /> <h1 style="background-color: white; clear: both; font-family: 'Microsoft JhengHei', 微軟中黑體, 微软雅黑, 'Microsoft Yahei', 微軟正黑體, PMingliu; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28px; margin-bottom: 2px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111128/KE0GPKFH57FNY.shtml?c=headline_sitehead">期交所：三大法人交易數據 不宜單方面解讀</a></h1> <div> 從這則新聞更明顯的透露出政府真的很想作多</div> <div> 以往一般時期的漲跌盤也不見政府單位出來作這方面的宣導</div> <div> 現在幾近是一日一機關出來說明</div> <div> 可見其無所不用其極</div> <div> 明日就是借券第三波還券日了</div> <div> 究竟政府的動作是否會加大明天就知曉了</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 今天的盤勢在昨日站上黃色關鍵後持續向上發展</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhk3uG4xwr2vRiotrYVWrCaHuC1j1anYKFifzlAoaSzuSWzk-VC-UezdhERzBgiPE3IafSOWKVU7JM1_9InzdNGMjGtsefnSytClnFJkgzZayZ_Haxvx1R_doPqn6p-D1Fvw-xRiWtcXETC/s1600/20111129-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="138" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhk3uG4xwr2vRiotrYVWrCaHuC1j1anYKFifzlAoaSzuSWzk-VC-UezdhERzBgiPE3IafSOWKVU7JM1_9InzdNGMjGtsefnSytClnFJkgzZayZ_Haxvx1R_doPqn6p-D1Fvw-xRiWtcXETC/s320/20111129-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div> 而在多方攻擊至前方缺口時被抵擋下來</div> <div> 指標部分</div> <div> 日K的KD低檔金叉.小時K的在尾盤的攻擊下也來到高檔了</div> <div> 明天不排除空方有一搏的可能</div> <div> 當然，碰巧在明日又是政府政令下的表演高潮</div> <div> 在空方價格運動的趨勢下.反彈第三天都有機會形成一個轉折的慣性</div> <div> 明日剛好是第三天</div> <div> 時間是這樣的巧合</div> <div> 明天就看看政府的決心是不是可以打破這貫性呢</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 盤中有朋友聊到摩台結算通常會壓低結算</div> <div> 通常要認真又仔細觀察過的才會發現</div> <div> 但並非一定都會壓低結算</div> <div> 透過開倉後的方向及接近結算實的OI判斷</div> <div> 其實已經可以判斷其是否早已完成結算動作</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 另外昨提到的美元指數</div> <div> 放上來看看</div> <div> 在前高時遇壓回檔.這是多方的機會要好好把握</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFyK51_rAEhlUsWBqjYCG1GS6h-TwmCrbibK_twE0-CCf2BIrZnx5euhNYYLdQij6YKF-Qu-0r4eV2sGwJzC-vYQg1oby8_tLwdI1TgAU1Tcvb5Ui1cSMkQOGLKa9exUIJRfcpCG66ETZy/s1600/20111128-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="206" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFyK51_rAEhlUsWBqjYCG1GS6h-TwmCrbibK_twE0-CCf2BIrZnx5euhNYYLdQij6YKF-Qu-0r4eV2sGwJzC-vYQg1oby8_tLwdI1TgAU1Tcvb5Ui1cSMkQOGLKa9exUIJRfcpCG66ETZy/s320/20111128-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div> 籌碼部分</div> <div> 開盤和尾盤可見外資的動作</div> <div> 盤後狀況確實未平倉空單增加</div> <div> 然撰者提醒一點</div> <div> 外資其實是多空單都減少</div> <div> 只是多單減的多一些而已</div> <div> 或可解為趁上下震盪減少部位以降低風險</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-82558126564114011622011-11-28T23:03:00.001+08:002011-11-28T23:24:27.714+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 久違了的漲勢一掃連日下跌的詭侷氣氛<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 昨文中提及<br /> 【<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">如同撰者星期四的文章提到縱使指標在低檔</span><br /> <div class="MsoNormal" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">也只是</span><span lang="EN-US">””</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">有可能</span><span lang="EN-US">””</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">有反彈而已</span></div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">然而多方並非皆無一線生機</span>】<br /> 詳細的內容再回去看吧<br /> 今天的盤勢受到米國感恩節銷售大好的帶動下<br /> ""<a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111128/KE0GPKRQ1606E.shtml" style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: 'Microsoft JhengHei'; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 25px; margin-bottom: 0px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left; text-decoration: none;" target="_blank">美國黑色星期五銷售火紅！ 524億美元創歷史新高</a><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #cc0000; font-family: 'Microsoft JhengHei'; font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold; line-height: 25px;">""</span><br /> 直接跳空開高<br /> 在盤中不乏空方力道的偷襲反抗<br /> 難道今天政府進場拉了嗎?!<br /> 很容易觀察.看金融股就知道其實沒什麼蹤跡<br /> 所以撰者在盤中即回文表示<br /> 應該是政府有意要看外資聽不聽話<br /> 同時跌深反彈的買氣也出籠造就了今天的漲勢<br /> 昨日還比較有進場撐底的跡象呢(加權未破底)<br /> <br /> 既然這個多方生機在上禮拜就預告了<br /> 動作就在個人各自的判斷了<br /> 今天的走勢如果有看昨日文章者<br /> 很清楚的看見守在<a href="http://lukeann.blogspot.com/2011/11/20111127.html">昨日文</a>圖中所畫的關鍵位置<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiG8V5XRAG_aYxx84qD8i_8E7vzhSzhjPtNn6DNgshlJ422bDYgqcrUwRzUUNldxNkvFfUIZu1i98JKW6-3kAhZyu8RC4Xdc72DAREz_INge4u6okZ6Z3qoq2va23Mz23ES-Hub-l5EUMt5/s1600/20111128-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="145" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiG8V5XRAG_aYxx84qD8i_8E7vzhSzhjPtNn6DNgshlJ422bDYgqcrUwRzUUNldxNkvFfUIZu1i98JKW6-3kAhZyu8RC4Xdc72DAREz_INge4u6okZ6Z3qoq2va23Mz23ES-Hub-l5EUMt5/s320/20111128-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 也就是說多空力道在這個位置上產生扭轉的情況<br /> 同時簡單的指標觀察KD也在低檔<br /> 加上撰者的操盤系統也顯示多方力道續強<br /> 盤中也在<a href="http://blog.cnyes.com/My/lukeann/article583903">好友文</a>中提醒了<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div> 近期多方的消息頻傳<br /> 政府作多的意願、美傳銷售數字佳績、歐債德法推財政整合等等<br /> 都是多方可以把握的機會<br /> 問題是反彈過程中該作什麼<br /> 有個股的可以找機會減碼/出場.((當然要是覺得自己很會選超會漲也可以抱下去)<br /> 作期權的就是另一次搶行情的參與.<br /> 等反彈到末端了才是真正考驗政府作多意願的開始<br /> <br /> 籌碼部分外資減少些許空單<br /> 這個在盤中就可以觀察出來的<br /> 想了解的朋友可以到<a href="http://blog.cnyes.com/My/lukeann/article580197">此文參閱</a><br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-62611248387583831702011-11-28T02:09:00.001+08:002011-11-28T02:17:03.456+08:00<br /> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">周末撰者和幾位這裡認識的朋友聚聚</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">大略上聊些彼此操作上的經驗談和些許觀盤心法</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">主要以策略交易、風險控管判斷為主軸</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">相信不止幾位朋友有所收穫</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">也讓在下有不少斬獲！</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">回到正題</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">近日政府發布一連串法規命令的反制行動</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US">(</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">限制借券、勸說還券、基金進場護盤</span><span lang="EN-US">…etc)</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">尤以限制借券放空似乎成為其中最受到矚目的政策</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">究竟這些動作在盤勢的發展中產生了些甚麼效果呢</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">加權指數部分</span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiD48ezrsKsFgSnNnvXJ30a-gbNDHVaw4c2dBmpL7w-pbmqx-7sCXOck9c7pkF049p1TlxgxuvwqXe9Vj3IL5PhfVnGmcQ01z1_xzhTEuTgvA6rkh4j5oyFZRcSELZfB149-LBsBu8lzbnd/s1600/20111125-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="149" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiD48ezrsKsFgSnNnvXJ30a-gbNDHVaw4c2dBmpL7w-pbmqx-7sCXOck9c7pkF049p1TlxgxuvwqXe9Vj3IL5PhfVnGmcQ01z1_xzhTEuTgvA6rkh4j5oyFZRcSELZfB149-LBsBu8lzbnd/s320/20111125-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;<span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">一根高低近</span><span lang="EN-US">200</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">點的黑</span><span lang="EN-US">K</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">棒帶量</span><br /> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">顯示空方力道仍舊壓制了星期四試圖反撲的多方</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">多方唯一防守住的是昨日的低點未破</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">期貨指數部分</span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWExuj-F4Vf-6ewgFJS27hwFmvuroOPcm31hNT0KeJb0WXBVl36oOggKjPS-0f5FzmJQw2sNtVTMyUJTTXMh11-H3l3JC3EerWzJXn0DTsUeLcGeFnZBww0TXNbPuv2hfFcRzVaAg0Hqsz/s1600/20111125-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWExuj-F4Vf-6ewgFJS27hwFmvuroOPcm31hNT0KeJb0WXBVl36oOggKjPS-0f5FzmJQw2sNtVTMyUJTTXMh11-H3l3JC3EerWzJXn0DTsUeLcGeFnZBww0TXNbPuv2hfFcRzVaAg0Hqsz/s320/20111125-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">同樣的一根超過</span><span lang="EN-US">200</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">點的黑</span><span lang="EN-US">K</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">棒</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">除了有</span><span lang="EN-US">8X</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">點的上影線之外，同樣也帶量並且破昨日低</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">這裡多方沒有防守住的是昨日的低點！</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">單就技術面來說</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">這樣的盤勢發展顯示了空方力道大於多方力道的反抗</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">如同撰者星期四的文章提到縱使指標在低檔</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">也只是</span><span lang="EN-US">””</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">有可能</span><span lang="EN-US">””</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">有反彈而已</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">然而多方並非皆無一線生機</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">來看看加權和期貨的小時圖</span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiSu4gLDoRqfSHlBWcVebvLWxxeaXub4DbUAWa65MJR_iAtFWBI7Q4058-LRaT1CC8axP-DiP0g1XytfwbJ6G4a8XqsWuZgu7O1qeKflxHNbiIhPXacGaOL83tkAjCugSYOFaPKpZN0vU1a/s1600/20111125-4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="121" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiSu4gLDoRqfSHlBWcVebvLWxxeaXub4DbUAWa65MJR_iAtFWBI7Q4058-LRaT1CC8axP-DiP0g1XytfwbJ6G4a8XqsWuZgu7O1qeKflxHNbiIhPXacGaOL83tkAjCugSYOFaPKpZN0vU1a/s320/20111125-4.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <br /></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3agxukfU_CGnz541R_bQGJpCjDDTPP8BlaHgpxcJMbqYoq1DKhHGwyCQ11R8iBAqXqHgWTRqc7sHYa3o0PtLcEjChs5BePoU4O1weTEWqP5dVp2IAPRuvYC3k8N3N8fm9K8DSte4lzcY4/s1600/20111125-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="117" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh3agxukfU_CGnz541R_bQGJpCjDDTPP8BlaHgpxcJMbqYoq1DKhHGwyCQ11R8iBAqXqHgWTRqc7sHYa3o0PtLcEjChs5BePoU4O1weTEWqP5dVp2IAPRuvYC3k8N3N8fm9K8DSte4lzcY4/s320/20111125-3.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">當一個趨勢的發展和進行中時</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">價格的運行過程會很明確的朝著阻力最小的一方前進</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">直到價格的前進遇到了新的阻力</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">可以看見加權價格的向下運動遇到了阻力</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">而在期貨的部分這樣的情況並不明顯</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">雖然期貨有著價格先行的功能在</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">但不可否認的加權的線圖讓多方有反攻的機會</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">再來聊聊政策面可能會產生的實質影響</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">借券交易相關的訊息網路上找找很快能了解</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">同時版上的梵心大大也發表文章很值得一讀</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">在下找出了關於</span><span lang="EN-US">2008</span><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">年發布限制借券的相關法規命令</span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYIdg35YFSYfXwfXwH8p3AFv1eS3shgXO_at4xp7OfusglDDxGv3EoEYN4syq_ee9nXji3s2R3ZhEuavgkVCJeRZHOR1Kn5Y9G_4DHKBjJIPc3UxYyf-Uxi28XJUvlqUTtYo8tVlRVX4yG/s1600/20111125-5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="278" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhYIdg35YFSYfXwfXwH8p3AFv1eS3shgXO_at4xp7OfusglDDxGv3EoEYN4syq_ee9nXji3s2R3ZhEuavgkVCJeRZHOR1Kn5Y9G_4DHKBjJIPc3UxYyf-Uxi28XJUvlqUTtYo8tVlRVX4yG/s320/20111125-5.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US"></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">可以看見當時針對借券賣出跟融券賣出餘額<b>不得超過</b>有價證券股份的<b>【</b></span><b><span lang="EN-US">25%</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">】</span></b><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">，同時借券賣出委託數量<b>不得超過</b>總股份的<b>【</b></span><b><span lang="EN-US">3%</span></b><b><span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">】</span></b></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">而近期的限制借券的內容為</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 細明體;">《依據臺證結字第<span lang="EN-US">1000037090</span>號辦理，前揭函令將原規定每日盤中借券賣出委託數量不得超過該種有價證券上市（櫃）股份或受益權單位數之百分之三乙項，調整為<b>不得超過</b>該種有價證券<b>前三十個營業日之日平均成交量之百分之二十</b>，<b>其餘總量控管</b>規定仍維持不變。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 細明體;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 細明體;">這裡做個小結：<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 細明體;">也就是說借券的額度和融券賣出的額度加總之額度不變，變的只是每天能夠借券賣出委託的數量降低而已。簡言之，降低放空的力道，但是不能借券空還有實券賣出的賣壓力道在；這樣的作法無疑降低了避險的管道之外，可能還會略有流動性的問題。真要說起來<span lang="EN-US">”</span>逼券回補<span lang="EN-US">”</span>可能還真有些實益，但是借券的金融機構並非全是金管會可以勸說的對象，是否真能發揮實益還有待評估。<span lang="EN-US">(</span>管道部分網路上找找都有資訊<span lang="EN-US">)<o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 細明體;"><span lang="EN-US"><br /></span></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 細明體;">再來看看<span lang="EN-US">2008.7.22</span>發布令命令之後股市怎麼動作<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFBt2d6SITfuDdnU7Elr3buKz8nQOPXnNQLl_W0o0cPtLIq0nVTkfxZyrt9p36bROsF362RrgrQ61ht1pR2AyiNxU7zOBiQVl3RgN1Z_lF5ohPi8lzLsuQM2q9M69-ZCDH1QglEgxADm6T/s1600/20111125-6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="140" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgFBt2d6SITfuDdnU7Elr3buKz8nQOPXnNQLl_W0o0cPtLIq0nVTkfxZyrt9p36bROsF362RrgrQ61ht1pR2AyiNxU7zOBiQVl3RgN1Z_lF5ohPi8lzLsuQM2q9M69-ZCDH1QglEgxADm6T/s320/20111125-6.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: 細明體;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 細明體;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">當時的時空背景除了已經選完之外，國際利空頻傳、金融機構的風險大升、流動性風險等等皆相近似。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">如果說真要寄託政府的法令手腕，倒不如認真的思考當政府獨自對抗全球性系統性風險的勝算到底有多大。即便還期待著選舉行情，也可以等著真的拉上去了再來看真假也不遲，最重要的是不要受傷而無法參予下次的行情。</span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><br /></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-15518821345908073992011-11-24T14:06:00.001+08:002011-11-24T14:39:16.819+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 今天又閱讀到一篇值得省思的文章<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> <br /> <h1 style="background-color: white; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; clear: both; color: #830b0b; font-size: 20px; font: normal normal bold 20px/normal Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; margin-bottom: 12px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left; vertical-align: baseline;"> <a href="http://www.businessweekly.com.tw/webarticle2.php?id=16260">出人頭地不必在台北</a></h1> <div> 確實，很多時候人總是會盲目的帶著夢想往最多人頌讚的地方前去</div> <div> 股市步也是如此.每年總有新鮮人前仆後繼的繼續跳進來</div> <div> 股市有著人人頌讚的美名和希望</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 很特別的在昨日歐美皆收低之後</div> <div> 咱們竟然一反常態耶</div> <div> 加權指數部分開個小低</div> <div> 期貨指數部分開個小高</div> <div> 這樣的不同調加上和國際盤的不同調</div> <div> 在在說明著黑手阿伯偉哉、善哉！</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 加權收了個多頭插入線</div> <div> 期貨收了十字紅線 &nbsp; &nbsp;還很巧的上下影線都差不多70點</div> <div> 可見黑手在加權部分多奮力買進</div> <div> 在期貨部分卻是多空廝殺的激烈還未分出勝負</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 指標部分可以看見期貨小時K又開始低檔交叉向上</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-ONxYTKOkMgnwxMba_DZxgD7mCaX7TLocxy5hNJUz5-lqBjkj9VWWEctIN5FCslQsLUliL3I4gxDIrTljMCrLS3RmyBa01PMNd1Ss2-o5fvDL1TvauxQ7JIn3bYthorcwhMLYWMNAXlB5/s1600/20111124-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="137" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh-ONxYTKOkMgnwxMba_DZxgD7mCaX7TLocxy5hNJUz5-lqBjkj9VWWEctIN5FCslQsLUliL3I4gxDIrTljMCrLS3RmyBa01PMNd1Ss2-o5fvDL1TvauxQ7JIn3bYthorcwhMLYWMNAXlB5/s320/20111124-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 這只是說明 &nbsp;"有可能" &nbsp;有反彈</div> <div> 但是日K和周K的空方力道都只是剛剛開始</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXBE9fpDz-EGMI_44ZGojgIRXqqELSAeyrlKryXJHAW6QW5ccMcbvl1Ru6WkXx4n22UcTP5epgcNGLCfUyOlhO351m4n8CoXEgvuGHZvXuuKx96RVAnLUPqKu0i1mSws_Ycgy7_0fkP4j_/s1600/20111124-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiXBE9fpDz-EGMI_44ZGojgIRXqqELSAeyrlKryXJHAW6QW5ccMcbvl1Ru6WkXx4n22UcTP5epgcNGLCfUyOlhO351m4n8CoXEgvuGHZvXuuKx96RVAnLUPqKu0i1mSws_Ycgy7_0fkP4j_/s320/20111124-2.jpg" width="262" /></a></div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 縱使有反彈也別期待有多大</div> <div> 畢竟趨勢一產生不是那麼容易就扭轉的</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 籌碼部分</div> <div> 今日外豬又繼續追空了四千多口</div> <div> 整體口數已經達兩萬口了</div> <div> 還記得年初過年時的狀況嗎</div> <div> 有心的朋友可以去查查</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 明日持續觀察關鍵位置</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 交流的朋友</div> <div> 注意加碼的機會要來了<br /> <br /> 寫在文章的後頭再提醒<br /> 《別忘了和您的家人.好友道聲感恩之意》</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span></div>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-77575732495151048392011-11-23T22:59:00.001+08:002011-11-23T23:42:37.614+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 這幾天接讀者朋友的站內信接到手軟-.-<br /> 撰者會盡力的回覆但是還是希望讀者們可以用討論的心態<br /> <br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a>而非來尋求一個答案<br /> 撰者感覺得出來這裡的朋友<br /> 有些有一定的水準.有些還在摸索中<br /> 撰者希望多少可以幫到摸索中的朋友<br /> 但並不是直接給你答案<br /> 而是給你思考的想法<br /> 畢竟在市場一段時間的都知道<br /> 唯有自己腦袋裡的東西是別人搶也搶不走的<br /> 所以，是不是應該下定決心好好學習呢！<br /> <br /> 礙於法令環境<br /> 撰者選擇不賣文的形式.而給予有緣的朋友觀念和技巧<br /> 板上的高手很多都是可以學習的對象<br /> 但是<br /> <br /> <div style="background-color: white;"> 可別一個誤差就拼了命的幹蕉發文者</div> <div style="background-color: white;"> 人家可是用盡苦心.是沒有義務的！</div> <div style="background-color: white;"> 這樣真的很不好，因為你罵掉的是你自己的福報！</div> <div> <br /></div> <br /> <br /> <br /> 今天的盤勢本以為多方會力圖振作<br /> 無奈呈現在盤面上的多方訊息<br /> 在早盤就分出勝負被空方摸透之後(未向上攻過關鍵位置)<br /> 全‧面‧摜‧殺<br /> 可想見【空頭的精準度】還是很嚇人的:D<br /> 【破前波低6855】是撰者提了好幾天的事情了<br /> 還是希望有朋友避開！<br /> <br /> 破前波低後的盤呢，怎麼看<br /> 大家都期待會有反彈的逃命波的時候<br /> 盤勢，會不會就偏不給你逃命的機會呢<br /> 這已經是心理層面的判斷了喔!!!<br /> <br /> 籌碼部分雖然大家都在看外資繼續加空(14XX口~總口數17XXX口)<br /> 但是有很好玩的地方出現.有興趣的朋友可以觀察一下<br /> <br /> 明日觀察<br /> 6870站不上多方就甭玩了！<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友<br /> 層級一的訊號未扭轉<br /> 就是原趨勢繼續，續爆！<br /> <br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-50587639637117978562011-11-22T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-23T03:22:15.430+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> 這部片子表述的主軸在於儘管情況發展的多錯綜複雜<br /> 死神還是可以輕鬆又精準的掌握情況<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 撰者在想~操盤黑手阿伯應該也是如此吧 &nbsp;哈哈<br /> 是不是有什麼計謀在計畫著<br /> 咱們不得而知，所以只好依據盤面的訊息來推敲囉<br /> <br /> 今天的盤況開了小高後空方力道就出來貫壓了<br /> 昨天的規劃還真的來到<br /> 【<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">明日觀察：</span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">開高：注意空方力道的貫壓</span>】<br /> 加權指數部分：<br /> 不算小的黑K且收在昨日低點之下<br /> 圖中白圈處為空方力道貫破前方的母子變盤<br /> 意味著空方力道的增強<br /> 同時量也續增<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjS9PdDkK9HI032mB0DDMHykWzSBldwJ0tkRfaQfQ0XwwqPRzj3-Mu65dyuCWSdwrNisGrAW2LQAE3TkL4u_Ef_xpA3t7u31emYp5LNy3rJ7lVvC56ALD-wjcfXGvtuNfiNamlxV9hKqycX/s1600/20111122-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjS9PdDkK9HI032mB0DDMHykWzSBldwJ0tkRfaQfQ0XwwqPRzj3-Mu65dyuCWSdwrNisGrAW2LQAE3TkL4u_Ef_xpA3t7u31emYp5LNy3rJ7lVvC56ALD-wjcfXGvtuNfiNamlxV9hKqycX/s320/20111122-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> 期貨指數部分：<br /> 今天收在昨日低點之上.這表示多方有抵抗的意味在<br /> 同樣也量增收了黑K<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9yFe3sUvqJ5tb4HR32UMoe-DZrMsJ6yiVZp4mNv7CTOSDRnNcg86bJPTO6i2aoH_C1MJoPpgbliBZJCC289FiX74YktXtcJkZy-0vC_rJlXSP4cXXHOMawuEcb5zRsWka_akp-EIK-A3F/s1600/20111122-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="156" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEi9yFe3sUvqJ5tb4HR32UMoe-DZrMsJ6yiVZp4mNv7CTOSDRnNcg86bJPTO6i2aoH_C1MJoPpgbliBZJCC289FiX74YktXtcJkZy-0vC_rJlXSP4cXXHOMawuEcb5zRsWka_akp-EIK-A3F/s320/20111122-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 昨天有提到有一些些多方機會出現<br /> 原因在於小時K<br /> 下圖中可以發現此層級的指標已經在低檔鈍化幾天<br /> 且K線型態上帶了下影線<br /> 這表示多方抵抗的力道放大了<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_8qcEjvlkKyP78UbW4b_LUh3t5lQKvnGyAI5QoUHSGsR3weOb6JGh3ksQm1fhAlH0CTixbSjTGEXmfmfA_GTOlDzps12z4XTdYOSAJKuoAI8KGbRhq7k52Rqt5T9Y3ObP0M7_Sbol0yf4/s1600/20111122-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj_8qcEjvlkKyP78UbW4b_LUh3t5lQKvnGyAI5QoUHSGsR3weOb6JGh3ksQm1fhAlH0CTixbSjTGEXmfmfA_GTOlDzps12z4XTdYOSAJKuoAI8KGbRhq7k52Rqt5T9Y3ObP0M7_Sbol0yf4/s320/20111122-3.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 籌碼部分：<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhE5tbe2fViY8sHaXKekJfQfUm5F6bytdhHMkkROV4YdZCnyylZPSccxxvSHxyFliE5GspkviSsP-DjLJFhppoYEI6Wh6Bl_OqQjZqVEza0q2P8tSKKzATOYg2dCTo2ozbBvo9kK8BIwyhn/s1600/20111122-4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhE5tbe2fViY8sHaXKekJfQfUm5F6bytdhHMkkROV4YdZCnyylZPSccxxvSHxyFliE5GspkviSsP-DjLJFhppoYEI6Wh6Bl_OqQjZqVEza0q2P8tSKKzATOYg2dCTo2ozbBvo9kK8BIwyhn/s1600/20111122-4.jpg" /></a></div> <br /> 大人們一樣放空不手軟的樣子.真是吃相難看啊<br /> 被吃的是??<br /> <br /> 明日觀察：<br /> 開高：多方力圖攻上7100在來談後續<br /> 開低：多方一樣會力圖振作<br /> <br /> 撰者認為未過7275之前一樣不期待選舉行情<br /> 板上有很多有實力的大大可以在盤面混沌之期即看出選舉行情將來<br /> 一定有其堅強的理由.<br /> 而撰者呢，只依照盤面訊息動作！<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友<br /> 層級一的訊號來了！<br /> 後續動作就按教過的策略行動！<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span><br /> <br /> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-10730040070335836272011-11-21T21:53:00.001+08:002011-11-21T23:01:22.012+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 撰者之前的文章應該都有提醒永遠要將風險放在操作前<br /> 從6871開始提醒反彈即將開始.後續也確實有反彈出現<br /> 原本規劃會有選舉行情的來到<br /> 無奈受到國際環境影響(歐債.景氣緊縮.中國倒閉潮)<br /> 尤以歐債更為險劣<br /> 因其屬債券之金融商品通常金融機構會互相持有<br /> 隱藏的風險系統更是無法計算<br /> 也因此風吹草動隨即風聲鶴唳啊<br /> <br /> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkAml53Z5HC_xKxxBZhG1O5sWr77CvOO6MDi7ZcxhiTH9YbmL7TdVVKLzje4ys6yhOMjUtbKLviJ_65x1gVLaRoq-8pZFOXNeCMZwv7ZUMIwVgVIlvfiLDSiW41IwOWZ2u04oeXIU_OdIL/s1600/20111121-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="155" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkAml53Z5HC_xKxxBZhG1O5sWr77CvOO6MDi7ZcxhiTH9YbmL7TdVVKLzje4ys6yhOMjUtbKLviJ_65x1gVLaRoq-8pZFOXNeCMZwv7ZUMIwVgVIlvfiLDSiW41IwOWZ2u04oeXIU_OdIL/s320/20111121-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 現貨部分<br /> 一根實體黑K帶量.一點縮腳的樣子都沒有<br /> 指標也尚未落底<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLWmMcjeO0PIbJoHl0tnlg0chimJsnrApLI9Hh-EFokb64wmAgDen43yaDir44rgEZYQfJIb_FXYcqpZSMuujTcPbJ9oSPEo_YW3or7xH2WJN2kb_K-AAZe1NQ96ydy9BiTfXbc9Ub9xma/s1600/20111121-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="123" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLWmMcjeO0PIbJoHl0tnlg0chimJsnrApLI9Hh-EFokb64wmAgDen43yaDir44rgEZYQfJIb_FXYcqpZSMuujTcPbJ9oSPEo_YW3or7xH2WJN2kb_K-AAZe1NQ96ydy9BiTfXbc9Ub9xma/s320/20111121-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 期貨部分<br /> 雖然尾盤有小拉一下.但顯非多方反擊<br /> 至多為空方尾盤獲利回吐<br /> 指標開始進入低檔.但是離反彈訊號還有一段時日啊<br /> <br /> 閱者可以簡單的打開月K和周K<br />很直倖性的看見K線的運動方向是朝哪邊<br /> 除非未來的價格站上日前提到的7275<br /> 多方有本事站上才有本事繼續向上續攻<br /> 沒站上前就別想了<br /> <br /> 籌碼部分<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhkT3xqCF3yYYPcd_jI-nC0_gzpyxwjicyDEsgqrmPw1rbEk9ZdMF8ZeHwCAzqzJUroDUdF6W0OI1xG4aqht-0tIcxwsKnKZCE-IP_ij8E8wvxbdlwkKATtsN1EoHNCFlAWyRC5E7XuHN9/s1600/20111121-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjhkT3xqCF3yYYPcd_jI-nC0_gzpyxwjicyDEsgqrmPw1rbEk9ZdMF8ZeHwCAzqzJUroDUdF6W0OI1xG4aqht-0tIcxwsKnKZCE-IP_ij8E8wvxbdlwkKATtsN1EoHNCFlAWyRC5E7XuHN9/s1600/20111121-3.jpg" /></a></div> 期貨和OP部分持續大部位的加空<br /> <br /> 明日觀察：<br /> 開高：注意空方力道的貫壓<br /> 開低：今低再破即朝前低邁進<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友：<br /> 未出現反轉訊號就繼續抱著吧<br /> 現階段層級一有一點點多方機會<br /> 注意確認訊號<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span><br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-58444145406505352442011-11-19T02:27:00.001+08:002011-11-19T15:41:14.159+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <h4 style="background-color: white; border-bottom-width: 0px; border-color: initial; border-left-width: 0px; border-right-width: 0px; border-style: initial; border-top-width: 0px; font-family: Verdana, Tahoma, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font: inherit; line-height: 23px; margin-bottom: 4px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left; vertical-align: baseline;"> <a href="http://www.businessweekly.com.tw/webarticle.php?id=17058">金錢不代表全部，人生一定要過得爽！</a></h4> <div> <a name='more'></a>借用了一下商周的這期的主題之一</div> <div> 進來股戰場每人想的都一樣</div> <div> 只有少部分人不同</div> <div> 他們是熱愛交易、只想藉由交易餬口</div> <div> 所以他們時時戰戰兢兢小心翼翼</div> <div> 大部分人追求的是發財</div> <div> 賺取更多金錢的想法</div> <div> 同時也隱含了"博"在裡頭</div> <div> 有興趣的朋友可以去看看該文章</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 昨日提及</div> <div> 今天要是開低的話就會持續測試關鍵位置</div> <div> 多方在一開盤和十點多時各反抗一次</div> <div> 然而空方仍舊持續貫壓該位置</div> <div> 這也是為什麼撰者會一再提醒關鍵位置</div> <div> 因為該位置兩方人馬聚集地</div> <div> 如果陣線被破不只士氣大減之外</div> <div> 更容易引發倒戈潮!!</div> <div> <br /></div> <div> 還記得前些文章中提及的這幾條關鍵位置嗎</div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkXvtiQfihL0IxRiyJiCTXn6DxXLiJOJMQlyORpEAOwum4RBjPiAYcODiW7fuxUR4tLWT8xcm8V9NPeKa5Qr4PUtjjRZ3OnFE_FIUV9CoBR4xsK0eQy2zBUZi85wSR3p-Wy770FNitZuLD/s1600/20111118-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="112" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhkXvtiQfihL0IxRiyJiCTXn6DxXLiJOJMQlyORpEAOwum4RBjPiAYcODiW7fuxUR4tLWT8xcm8V9NPeKa5Qr4PUtjjRZ3OnFE_FIUV9CoBR4xsK0eQy2zBUZi85wSR3p-Wy770FNitZuLD/s320/20111118-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;給了多方很多時間和機會去攻擊<br /> 然而多方皆未把握住<br /> 反到是空方一步步的侵城掠地<br /> 雖然大架構仍在空方掌握之中<br /> 但是這一個多月來<br /> 多方還是很努力的殺出重圍<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4SV-F21z-WO0fadvocaA2OyQDQZrWFwhBTGDyN90aGEFcTghhTau_XsTDxoA6PNkGiU65Ug30EX4WlFfB8JHnVe1FsxEE38irD7XNM-7qB4nPYOcyE3AwRAJ_rcrTVkPt8pJ-XCb0a0pl/s1600/20111118-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="111" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4SV-F21z-WO0fadvocaA2OyQDQZrWFwhBTGDyN90aGEFcTghhTau_XsTDxoA6PNkGiU65Ug30EX4WlFfB8JHnVe1FsxEE38irD7XNM-7qB4nPYOcyE3AwRAJ_rcrTVkPt8pJ-XCb0a0pl/s320/20111118-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 可以很明顯的看見八月初殺下來時的空頭浪(一低破一低)<br /> 直到見68xx之後轉成多頭浪(一高過一高)<br /> 以致大家開始期待月線和季線會成為助長力道推多頭一把<br /> 卻被空頭看似簡單的又轉回空頭浪了<br /> 多方現在唯一的希望在於趕緊站回7500以上<br /> 才能重新接受月線和季線的助漲<br /> 指標部分<br /> 目前正在低檔.表示空方的力道趨緩<br /> 使得多方還有一點點希望<br /> <br /> 籌碼部分<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNIvjr0A_1Y3bqzermQSAFt6CBt5JZZm4kcx84bmjSrIqQW94i9U7qt7cGuhBHfhWh6rev0YRuXmaSK23bdK8mxwSNDrv_SClLjLHdsXaBvkrWsoO2D5lazDsiaYxREjcWCWeagxrI8ip_/s1600/201111118-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiNIvjr0A_1Y3bqzermQSAFt6CBt5JZZm4kcx84bmjSrIqQW94i9U7qt7cGuhBHfhWh6rev0YRuXmaSK23bdK8mxwSNDrv_SClLjLHdsXaBvkrWsoO2D5lazDsiaYxREjcWCWeagxrI8ip_/s1600/201111118-3.jpg" /></a></div> 看得出來籌碼部分又徹底的粉碎一次多方的信心<br /> 持續加空之外還大人們都同時同步喔!!!<br /> <br /> 看到這閱者們可別瘋狂追空啊<br /> 畢竟形態上多方還有一線生機<br /> 只是跌破了<a href="http://lukeann.blogspot.com/2011/11/20111116.html">日前文章</a>提到的7275<br /> 那麼在站回他並且具有持續攻擊態勢之前<br /> 撰者對於選舉行情會一反十月初以來的看法喔<br /> 因為【憑依關鍵位置】動作<br /> <br /> 短線上明天多方有機會一博<br /> 就看多方怎麼表示誠意了<br /> 周末有時間的話再來篇技術分享好了<br /> 謝謝一路支持的閱讀好友們<br /> <br /> 周末了~大家輕鬆點吧<br /> 生活才是最重要的！<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-44645022628456448502011-11-17T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-19T03:06:45.664+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 這裡的朋友們都很友善<br /> 撰者也希望在記錄自己看法的同時<br /> 多和幾位朋友交流<br /> 要周末了!!!<br /> 好好的放字幾個假吧^^<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> 撰者的觀察方向<br /> 除了K線和形態之外<br /> 會參考籌碼部分來提高確定率<br /> 畢竟越多人用的東西越好用<br /> 同時今天的盤勢也巧妙的按照昨日的觀察移動<br /> <br /> 昨文提及<br /> <br /> 【<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">明日規劃：</span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">開高：除非多方很用力.否則震盪向下</span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;">開低：測試關鍵位置】</span><br /> 確實來測試關鍵位置<br /> 這個位置不破意味著多方力圖防守<br /> 但是整個盤勢的位置還是處在風吹草動的階段<br /> 所以空方還是會試圖挑戰<br /> <br /> 看看籌碼吧<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFeaxu1UJu1-GxSrV9o_NAAEjh2MSVVD7aEnfnwB3gnGeCCUhQP7wJDmeTzgbIvyWXFtoHuEQISnbgyjsuuNtzCCOakZJfTf57rdR90VpK2TLoSzKf_2eHdvrCLYIx5UbPdsRTenrzjfKR/s1600/20111117-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiFeaxu1UJu1-GxSrV9o_NAAEjh2MSVVD7aEnfnwB3gnGeCCUhQP7wJDmeTzgbIvyWXFtoHuEQISnbgyjsuuNtzCCOakZJfTf57rdR90VpK2TLoSzKf_2eHdvrCLYIx5UbPdsRTenrzjfKR/s1600/20111117-1.jpg" /></a></div> 開倉後的第一天<br /> 空方小小縮手.多方略為出手<br /> 但還是有些蛛絲馬跡喔..<br /> 閱者們可以觀察看看<br /> <br /> 明日觀察：<br /> 開高：多方要力圖反擊<br /> 開低：持續測試關鍵位置<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友們<br /> 現象出現了就照架構走吧！<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span><br /> <br /> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-77355782455246625472011-11-16T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-17T01:59:23.236+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> 有閱者朋友詢問撰者昨日的標題是啥意思啊<br /> 呵呵其實也沒啥意思<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> 只是撰者和自己打啞謎順便提醒可能的發展<br /> 回=回測，結=結算，新=新方向<br /> 如此而已沒啥特別的<br /> 碰巧今天向下發展跌破眾人多方期待<br /> 而讓葡萄又有了倍數行情：D<br /> <br /> 目前的盤面狀況不很樂觀<br /> 因為空方再次氣焰囂長的叩關季線<br /> 反倒多方不太有抗拒的動作出現<br /> 國際盤勢歐債蹦蹦蹦的不斷冒出<br /> 能源石油價格又開始蠢蠢欲動<br /> 在這樣的盤勢中倘若台股真的能走出一片天的話<br /> 真的要給咱們的控盤伯伯掌聲<br /> <br /> 撰者一切按照關鍵位置動作<br /> <b><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;">7557站上多頭才會有新一波的攻勢</span><br style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;" /><span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;">7275如果再跌破則選舉行情的希望就很小了</span></b><br /> 抱有選舉行情的期待是無妨<br /> 但是【風險】一樣要掛在前頭<br /> 不要季線守不住了還遲遲等著護盤進場<br /> 他們也不想當最後一支老鼠<br /> <br /> 盤中有提到會分享關於星期一的文章中提到的次月籌碼<br /> 各位可以看一下<a href="http://blog.cnyes.com/My/lukeann/article567498">這文章中的敘述</a><br /> 自然會明瞭<br /> 由於此係為好友分享<br /> 所以不會開放太久.見諒哩!!<br /> <br /> 籌碼部分<br /> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEYzFlsPzBmq3OfwR-SI9iJNiC9G94fvSdzgoBS4nuEdfTAHVUXCWdp7qCYkre5YoBH8LO91uh7Z1iRfvMQl2P74mTtz6Td1I5TH0KeZe5cBApRzcfsIQNMhMGphJzPGLwi95ry38CD-gT/s1600/20111116-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhEYzFlsPzBmq3OfwR-SI9iJNiC9G94fvSdzgoBS4nuEdfTAHVUXCWdp7qCYkre5YoBH8LO91uh7Z1iRfvMQl2P74mTtz6Td1I5TH0KeZe5cBApRzcfsIQNMhMGphJzPGLwi95ry38CD-gT/s1600/20111116-1.jpg" /></a></div> 大人們空單直接出來.端倪在前頭提到的次月籌碼<br /> 早已可嗅出一些方向<br /> 接下來多方真的要用力的展現誠意<br /> 不然很不容易攻下的均線又要變成鍋蓋了<br /> <br /> 盤勢的運行多空皆行<br /> 端看閱者們怎麼掌握了<br /> <br /> 明日規劃：<br /> 開高：除非多方很用力.否則震盪向下<br /> 開低：測試關鍵位置<br /><br /> 交流的朋友們<br /> 層級三力道繼續發散<br /> 要小心帶動層級四<br /> 觀察扭轉形態<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-13174600278864013402011-11-15T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-16T03:43:12.967+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> 今日的回馬槍算小支的了<br /> 同時也測了下昨日的低點最後在收上來<br /> 看得出"這個月"多方的態度<br /> 這些昨日也提及了~<br /> 問題是下個月呢?!?!<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> <br /> 加權指數部分<br /> 收了個近似母子變盤的組合.嚴格定義卻非屬之<br /> 但咱們仍然可以略為觀察此處多方態度<br /> 期貨部分<br /> 小黑k帶上下影線.表示多空力道拉鋸<br /> 亦帶有提早結算的意味.(多空互為平倉)<br /> 明日結算在7450~7550莊家可是會吃很飽的呢<br /> <br /> 那今天意思意思碰一下7543站不上<br /> 則空方掌握向下測盤<br /> 接下來一樣看關鍵位置的狀況<br /> <br /> 昨日提及的遠月部分<br /> 有閱者朋友來信詢問<br /> 撰者認為這部分其實早非屬秘密<br /> 閱者朋友裝備自己的技術也應該先用心找尋資訊才是^^<br /> 真的不解或如何解讀再來互相交流亦不遲<br /> <br /> 明日規劃<br /> 開高.站穩關鍵始續攻.反之震盪<br /> 開低.測低展現多方實力<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span><br /> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-18820583578117556162011-11-14T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-15T01:52:30.259+08:00<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 上車<br /> <br /> 有些閱者朋友的來信交流讓撰者很欣慰<br /> 惟有藉著交流才能讓自己的武器(裝備)更精進<br /> <br /> 昨天提到在期貨部分<br /> 開高就有機會持續向上走高宰制空方<br /> 今日確實向上<br /> 重點是之後會甚麼會持續高檔呢<br /> 因為多方已經沒有退路了啊<br /> 所以多方的力道也反映在缺口上<br /> <br /> 基本上多方重掌發球權這是昨天盤面訊息即已知<br /> 現在這個時候已經上車的就穩穩的等開車<br /> 問題是還沒上車的呢?!<br /> 接下來要面臨結算了<br /> 如果看官們自己有架構有系統判斷有倍數行情<br /> 盡情無妨<br /> 如果尚不知結算詭計<br /> 何不和撰者一樣.依據關鍵價看待多空勢力拉鋸<br /> 布局次月呢！<br /> <br /> 接下來的幾天季線開始有連續幾天的翻揚力道<br /> 多方或趁此次整軍進擊<br /> 關鍵位置的部分<br /> 之前文章提過的7543~<br /> <br /> 籌碼部分<br /> 次月的籌碼很有趣.有興趣的朋友可追蹤一下<br /> <br /> 明日規劃：<br /> 開高.多方有意續攻.慎防拉回馬槍<br /> 開低.今低可測唯不可破<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友們<br /> 佈局時點顯現.將於好友文探討<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-6881739560341883192011-11-12T17:19:00.001+08:002011-11-12T18:21:59.228+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 過去這一個禮拜或許讓很多懷抱選舉行情的朋友們頓時心碎<br /> 比較好的是退場觀看.另外較不服輸的則加入空方行列<br /> 撰者要提醒的是<br /> 如果能夠只操作看得懂得盤勢.那麼已立不敗之地.又何來扼腕之詞<br /> 版上如此多位大大的分享都是各位的寶物<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> 撰者一概的觀念和操作方式<br /> 就是以主要關鍵價位為依歸判斷多空扭轉和強弱態勢<br /> 交易操作無決勝決敗<br /> 氣長的前提建立在穩健的判斷方式和縝密的操作策略<br /> 閱者們在閱讀文章時更該思考自己的系統在哪<br /> <br /> 星期三的文中提及<a href="http://lukeann.blogspot.com/2011/11/20111109.html">關鍵不過持續測低</a>在當晚已是盤後<br /> 但持續追蹤文章的閱者們應該了解<br /> 關鍵價位的站上和站不上就是撰者進出的依歸<br /> 儘管當日尾盤的急拉亦無法站上則應有所戒心<br /> 盤中時間允許.撰者都會在好友文中提醒觀察點<br /> 很巧妙的在盤後.歐美那邊就發生了義大利公債殖利率飆高的消息<br /> 此類風險撰者一再的提醒.閱者們不可不慎<br /> <br /> 星期四的盤中好友文提到<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidTNnjjuNhjhm_VX_yNnYmbcJBSmZXint4w0hGvhJkHrSREqR61uUA5cfX17xflWoLCmWHWUjl5V-m8Os9IPraZg2SjpVp2voexJQesjc7VvQRWWegDOTdElRV53D4RdzMsfV46gOK4ZoV/s1600/20111111-5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="68" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEidTNnjjuNhjhm_VX_yNnYmbcJBSmZXint4w0hGvhJkHrSREqR61uUA5cfX17xflWoLCmWHWUjl5V-m8Os9IPraZg2SjpVp2voexJQesjc7VvQRWWegDOTdElRV53D4RdzMsfV46gOK4ZoV/s320/20111111-5.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 星期五確實也來了反彈<br /> 幅度雖不大卻也足以在星期四追空的人被咬住了<br /> <br /> 那麼接下來觀察盤勢的運行<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1FVeWCKICmxF8URCUDDmb-zpaC7UhIzeDW27MVjxHeR6l3pSLsU1AxZx9yFZN4sPM3x0UbznJu1efTOgMc7PRAOi6Rsnn6QZeFqAAX0AzUaLu0l-EknUFj-tzcA9wddWCDLeTQQyZXNWE/s1600/20111111-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="117" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1FVeWCKICmxF8URCUDDmb-zpaC7UhIzeDW27MVjxHeR6l3pSLsU1AxZx9yFZN4sPM3x0UbznJu1efTOgMc7PRAOi6Rsnn6QZeFqAAX0AzUaLu0l-EknUFj-tzcA9wddWCDLeTQQyZXNWE/s320/20111111-2.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 從期貨日K可以觀察K棒組合有些許母子變盤的意味在<br /> 同時站回撰者日前文章中提及的7354關鍵位置<br /> 這個位置還是有參考價值<br /> 因為這是當時見6877時反彈上來時多方的大量防守區域<br /> 在空方貫殺的大黑K隔日即站上.就表示多方還會再抵抗<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnbjQWfUc9XhbBMcRDlVvucTJPE8ZjIpOJ8AdmTSSvhUm63jQheWCE0FcZdU4GiAm_ThNCa8QytkLCd2V9Q1mX1NzOEBKR90IlM6Ea1JiiKRW2DiyJk1r4AjNFGITZMYzkWOJczjla1LUt/s1600/20111111-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="125" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgnbjQWfUc9XhbBMcRDlVvucTJPE8ZjIpOJ8AdmTSSvhUm63jQheWCE0FcZdU4GiAm_ThNCa8QytkLCd2V9Q1mX1NzOEBKR90IlM6Ea1JiiKRW2DiyJk1r4AjNFGITZMYzkWOJczjla1LUt/s320/20111111-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 另從現貨日K觀察<br /> 收了十字線.此K棒形態則為變盤在即<br /> K棒的動向.由於低點連前日黑K的低點亦碰觸不到.<br /> 或可解讀為這個黑K低點7275有人在防守了<br /> <br /> 縱前兩點多方即有反擊的意味在<br /> 惟一不足的是大家期待的季線保衛戰<br /> 多空還沒開打就被摜破<br /> 接下來多方要試圖站回7500以上如此才能使季線順利的連續翻揚<br /> 才能使得多方有進一步的助漲力道出現<br /> <br /> 籌碼方面<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjy4njZhwPMmIxUt0BUs_Lbf4DSkN5odEcS4yYFAGjo8o2_Q8ZOvcWDTLZM0jHiWRHrQzKypX-2WbGcEkj20CH5BpP_f7J_21XyG2mFRWYTx5-bNVT2d17mUDSCMBrxOmFc5WVMuomaJZtI/s1600/20111111-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjy4njZhwPMmIxUt0BUs_Lbf4DSkN5odEcS4yYFAGjo8o2_Q8ZOvcWDTLZM0jHiWRHrQzKypX-2WbGcEkj20CH5BpP_f7J_21XyG2mFRWYTx5-bNVT2d17mUDSCMBrxOmFc5WVMuomaJZtI/s1600/20111111-3.jpg" /></a></div> 過去這一個禮拜大人們也是被耍得團團轉<br /> 除了自營商作手在選擇權持續加空到現在已經12萬口了@@<br /> 自營商的選擇權作手還是有一定水準的<br /> 那咱們是不是不就觀察大人的動向了呢<br /> 不.因為大人們的動向在必要時刻還是有所參考<br /> <br /> 謝謝過去有按大推薦的閱者們<br /> 晚點撰者和友人觀賞完音樂演唱會後<br /> 會在分享一些撰者的觀盤小技巧<br /> 感謝您們<br /> <br /> 明日盤前規劃<br /> 開高.則多方須把握機會宰制空方而續拉高<br /> 開低.則多方潰敗轉進空方.則空方銳不可檔<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友<br /> 小層級的力道開始發酵<br /> 嚴加注意由小到大<br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-30653560818807142302011-11-11T08:37:00.001+08:002011-11-12T17:16:45.022+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 盤前觀察<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 國際情勢試圖穩定之下<br /> 義大利的公債標售實際上上未飆過7%.也就無須接受援助.則毋使得國家接受援助後的運作制度<br /> 是短線上的穩定<br /> 卻也使得不安因子降低<br /> <br /> 昨日主殺金融類股<br /> 今日除了看金融止穩之外.電子也要輪流攻擊<br /> 目前日韓開高近1%<br /> <br /> 觀察<br /> 7354要盡快站上之外<br /> 往下則昨日低點要守.未守則要有恐慌出現lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-30662486555473633322011-11-09T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-10T00:26:15.274+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 昨日要事繁重不及寫文<br /> 然而依據關鍵觀察脈動即可<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> <br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg74fEHtodkL8nKCyu0pj0YEfbc_cnPLbgMxQlFce23bsd0RnoGRex7Y5TUHx5bQ2AM3xCRM6T8u48jA3B_ieYs7do-FoqfjtiB54Wp7IQI5n81nhIeo5KPdbxOmSfrzp48BTivUAEZ7PWN/s1600/20111109-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="111" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg74fEHtodkL8nKCyu0pj0YEfbc_cnPLbgMxQlFce23bsd0RnoGRex7Y5TUHx5bQ2AM3xCRM6T8u48jA3B_ieYs7do-FoqfjtiB54Wp7IQI5n81nhIeo5KPdbxOmSfrzp48BTivUAEZ7PWN/s320/20111109-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> 看日K可發現昨日和今天還是沒有站上7621這條黃線<br /> 雖然昨日開盤後就往上攻擊.卻在盤中急殺回盤下<br /> 甚至最後仍暫不回平盤<br /> 今日仍然試圖向上攻擊卻也無功而返<br /> 既然無法順利攻擊且指標仍然處在向下發散的情況<br /> 那麼在回來測試下方關鍵價的可能性就大增了<br /> <br /> 撰者提醒幾點觀察<br /> 1.<span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; line-height: 18px;">仍要小心系統性風險的到來，風吹草動盤勢都很敏感的反應，如破線切勿留戀！</span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">2.盤勢會藉著利空持續來測試多方實力</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">3.季線翻揚的力道還不夠</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">依盤勢脈動觀察其動向.即使撰者仍然有中性偏多的想法</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">然而還是風險觀念仍然刻刻謹記在心</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">閱者應該也要保持這樣的心態</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">在籌碼方面</span></span><br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhf8S6NOgA_OsYRnTrr3pjE3R1XmRHIx7ydtoscuvcb1qh7nwbCnXqDR0KOSuNk6L16pTsqiUNGqDYl39i5uPOJQPZam4an7MsKZzF6bFnKGWJgprufKZ3mvmjKvAhYc230pk1hf8cuZHJA/s1600/20111109-2.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhf8S6NOgA_OsYRnTrr3pjE3R1XmRHIx7ydtoscuvcb1qh7nwbCnXqDR0KOSuNk6L16pTsqiUNGqDYl39i5uPOJQPZam4an7MsKZzF6bFnKGWJgprufKZ3mvmjKvAhYc230pk1hf8cuZHJA/s320/20111109-2.jpg" width="212" /></a></div> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">可以看見外資雖慢慢的增加多單</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">然而多方的攻擊時間已經錯失了</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">外資的多單是真是假在幾天就看得出來了</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;"><br /></span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">交流的朋友</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">層級三的力道無法扭轉</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="line-height: 18px;">則層級四的力道即無法延續</span></span><br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: Arial, Tahoma, Helvetica, FreeSans, sans-serif; font-size: 13px; line-height: 18px;"><br /></span><br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-2799381830522924122011-11-07T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-08T09:17:11.459+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 今日忙碌<br /> 撰者就簡單提醒幾點和各位閱者們分享<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> 1.前文中所畫出的關鍵黃線站上第二條了.今日仍然努力撐在其上<br /> 2.前文中提及開低會去測試黑K系真或假.多方卻不費吹灰的守在線上.輔以現貨又量縮<br /> 3.今天連線形很醜的金融都不太願意持續測低.或有機會補量加入電子帶動向上<br /> 4.明日7777下來第八天.黑K後第三天.連著兩天多方控盤下明天有機會持續往上的關鍵價進攻<br /> 5.籌碼部分並無令人振奮的多單增量.唯這個月外資的方向明顯.<br /> 6.仍要提醒各位，仍要小心系統性風險的到來，風吹草動盤勢都很敏感的反應，如破線切勿留戀！<br /> <br /> 明日規劃<br /> 開高.多方力道或可展現至前高<br /> 開低.多方更要展現力道.否則陷入測低則繼續震盪<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友<br /> 咱們繼續守著關鍵價.和進攻的型態<br /> <br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-6047492561656700192011-11-07T21:27:00.004+08:002011-11-07T21:27:41.233+08:00<br /> <div class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; line-height: 24.75pt; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; mso-outline-level: 1; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"> <span style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;">夏普停產 面板止跌</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">工商時報【記者袁顥庭</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">╱</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">台北報導】</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 新細明體, serif;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal" style="background: white; line-height: 24.75pt; margin-bottom: 7.5pt; mso-outline-level: 1; mso-pagination: widow-orphan;"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;"></span></span></div> <a name='more'></a><br /><br /> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">由於面板庫存偏高，業界傳出日本夏普通知供應商本月擬停產<span lang="EN-US">2</span>週的時間，這也是自日本<span lang="EN-US">311</span>大地震後，夏普<span lang="EN-US">10</span>代廠第<span lang="EN-US">2</span>度停產。此外<span lang="EN-US">10</span>代線投產以來產能利用率一直偏低，夏普<span lang="EN-US">10</span>代線也傳洽談出售給大陸中電熊貓，策略性縮小面板產銷業務。</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 21.75pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt;"> 雖然面板價格止跌，但日本內需市場萎縮，再加上全球經濟動盪，今年液晶電視買氣疲弱，也重創面板廠營運。以內銷為主的夏普品牌電視影響甚鉅，今年銷售目標下修到<span lang="EN-US">1,300</span>萬台，還較去年為低，品牌電視銷售不佳，也造成面板庫存堆高，近期業界盛傳，夏普通知旗下供應商，<span lang="EN-US">10</span>代線本月將停產，為期約<span lang="EN-US">2</span>週，公司會再視面板庫存去化的情況再做產能調整。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 新細明體, serif;">日本松下亦宣布將退出大尺寸液晶面板，日本半官方的組裝產業革新機構（<span lang="EN-US">INCJ</span>）主導東芝、日立、索尼合併旗下中小面板部門所組成的<span lang="EN-US">Japan Display</span>，決定買下松下位於茂原的<span lang="EN-US">6</span>代廠。業者表示，隨著日廠逐漸淡出大尺寸面板市場，再加上台韓面板廠新廠投資喊卡，面板供給嚴重過剩的情況，明年有望緩解</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: &quot;新細明體&quot;,&quot;serif&quot;; mso-bidi-font-size: 12.0pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div class="MsoNormal"> <br /></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span lang="EN-US" style="font-size: 14.0pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt;">&nbsp;</span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt;">此則新聞雖點出世界級面板大廠紛紛關閉，致使台灣的面板相關廠商得以受到市場面板需求轉單效應的收益，而得以使訂單增加已收獲利之效；然事實上的解讀卻非如此，究其根本，夏普公司</span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;">今年在日本大震之後，夏普<span lang="EN-US">10</span>代線就因為<u>需求不佳而停產</u><span lang="EN-US">1</span>個月，如今需求不振及虧損擴大，市場也外傳，夏普有意賣出<span lang="EN-US">10</span>代線，正積極和大陸中電熊貓洽談當中。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;">另外在<span lang="EN-US">2011/9</span>的時間，也傳出</span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold;">夏普是於去年<span lang="EN-US">12</span>月發表命名為<span lang="EN-US">Galapagos</span>的<span lang="EN-US">Android</span>平板，共有<span lang="EN-US">5.5</span>吋、<span lang="EN-US">7</span>吋、以及<span lang="EN-US">10.8</span>吋三種版本。<u>決定停產的是<span lang="EN-US">5.5</span>吋和<span lang="EN-US">10.8</span>吋兩種機型</u>。<span lang="EN-US">&nbsp;</span></span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">繼惠普之後，又一家公司不敵蘋果<span lang="EN-US">iPad</span>旋風的衝擊。來自日本的夏普<span lang="EN-US">(Sharp)</span>宣佈，將於這個月停產其三款<span lang="EN-US">Galapagos</span>平板電腦中的兩款，<u>距離產品上市只有不到一年的時間</u>。或可推敲其實這些世界級的大廠早已經嗅到這個時間點在面板產業已經無利可圖，甚至進入削價戰爭，毛利下降仍要留血廝殺，不如早日退出另謀其他高毛利的產業佈局。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">再從另外角度觀之，上個月惠普才表示，由於業績不佳，將終止<span lang="EN-US">TouchPad</span>平板開發，並將原價<span lang="EN-US">499.99</span>美元的產品大降價到<span lang="EN-US">99.99</span>美元，以出清存貨。這兩家業者的舉動，突顯蘋果在平板市場強大威力。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">每年度被視為各面板大廠較勁和展現科技實力及國力的光電展或可透露出端倪，</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">2011</span></span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: white; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial initial; background-repeat: initial initial; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">年橫濱光電展十月份登場，過去吸引台、日、韓三地面板大咖盛大展出，今年不僅廠商參展家數減少，最讓人意外地就是連日本國內最大面板廠夏普都缺席。回顧今年台灣光電展友達、奇美電就已經雙雙缺席，面板景氣看不到落底的跡象；面板市況冷，各地都有感受，台灣也是如此。很多參展的零組件廠商還是為了賣產品給面板廠，對於面板廠來說，其實參展沒有實際的效益存在。(此摘自網路新聞)</span></span><span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span lang="EN-US" style="font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14pt;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">倘若如此推敲之下，那麼前述新聞未點明的則是台灣的面板雖然短期會受惠大廠關閉而受有訂單視為短多；友達</span><span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background: white; color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;">第<span lang="EN-US">3</span>季表現慘兮兮，友達單季虧損也擴大。友達單季合併營收約<span lang="EN-US">989.27</span>億元，季增約<span lang="EN-US">0.9</span>％，但因面板價格下跌，產能利用率降至<span lang="EN-US">77</span>％、<span lang="EN-US">78</span>％，影響毛利率表現，毛利率從今年<span lang="EN-US">Q1-8.27%.Q2-4.34%.Q3-10.61%</span>，目前合併毛損率擴大至<span lang="EN-US">9.2</span>％；<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span style="background: white; color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;">奇美電的毛利率今年<span lang="EN-US">Q1-7.73%.Q2-6.43%.Q3-11.42%</span>，面板雙虎皆有毛利率長期下降趨勢。<span lang="EN-US"><o:p></o:p></span></span></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span class="apple-style-span"><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;">&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </span></span><span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;">長期看來，此產業或許已進入夕陽產業而無法達到如同以往的獲利程度，而有長期走空之虞。此階段雷同之前必爾達退出<span lang="EN-US">DRAM</span>競爭，台灣廠商也認為是長多，然而卻導致<span lang="EN-US">DRAM</span>更陷入進退兩難的窘境。</span><span lang="EN-US" style="background: white; color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: Arial;"><o:p></o:p></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;"><br /></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> <span style="color: red; font-family: 標楷體; font-size: 14.0pt; mso-bidi-font-family: &quot;Times New Roman&quot;;"><br /></span></div> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> </div> <h1 class="headline" style="font-family: arial; font-size: 25px; line-height: 33px; margin-bottom: 10px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> 面板雙虎曝險 每位國民扛4500元</h1> <br /> <div style="background: white; line-height: 22.0pt; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; margin-left: 0cm; margin-right: 0cm; margin-top: 8.25pt; mso-line-height-rule: exactly;"> </div> <div style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 11px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> 根據八大公股行庫、金控年報顯示，合計對面板雙虎授信金額為二○三一億元，除了台銀、土銀為政府百分之百持有，其餘六大行庫泛公股持股比重介於二十至四十％；若按公股<span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1320611165_3">持股比例</span>計算，等於全民曝險一○五一億元，平均每位國民就要承擔四五○○元。</div> <div style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 11px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> 相對八大公股行庫對歐豬五國（<span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1320611165_4">葡萄牙</span>、<span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1320611165_5">愛爾蘭</span>、<span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1320611165_6">義大利</span>、<span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1320611165_7">希臘</span>、<span class="yshortcuts" id="lw_1320611165_8">西班牙</span>）曝險金額不到三億美元（台幣九十億元），市場估計，其對雙Ｄ（ＤＲＡＭ、面板）的面板雙虎、茂德、力晶、南科、華亞科等六大廠，授信金額合計已超過三千億元，成為最大的未爆彈。</div> <div style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 11px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> 3D1S危機恐爆金融風暴。</div> <div style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 11px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: arial;">現在最危急的茂德為例，雖然十月底銀行團通過○．一％降息案，但年底前若無法引進策略性投資人，明年仍免不了要打入逾放；由於八大公股行庫總授信金額為三九一億元，按公股持股比例計算，光一間ＤＲＡＭ廠，屆時平均每位國民就要損失九百元。</span></div> <div style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 11px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: arial;"><br /></span></div> <div style="font-family: arial, STHeiti, pmingliu, sans-serif; font-size: 16px; margin-top: 11px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px;"> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="font-family: arial;"><span class="Apple-style-span" style="color: red;">以上新聞或可推論面板的入不敷出已經漸漸發酵，屆時的面板雙虎的倒下，或將成為引動金融股的另一顆地雷，不可不慎這些問題的引動和導火線的連動影響！</span></span></div> <br />lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-7456029231207862817.post-31570329190698142082011-11-06T23:30:00.000+08:002011-11-07T00:34:34.474+08:00<br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> 撰者以這為【希臘討糖‧烏龍一場】為題<br /> 全是因為這個周末，閱讀文章的好友們交流時發現<br /> 不止這些閱者在這個時點無所適從<br /> 就連撰者身邊也都有不少朋友因為這種政治利空而受傷<br /> <br /> <a name='more'></a><br /> <br /> <br /> 其實<br /> 撰者在文章中都有提醒<br /> 這種利空要嘛出場看戲等待時機，要嘛就要看懂它們在搞啥<br /> 結果呢？！<br /> 整個結局就是烏龍一場<br /> 雖然有人猜測之後會不會再來一次這樣討糖系列的議題<br /> 然撰者認為這樣的政治性利空已經麻痺了很多投資人<br /> 使得行情在大夥不知不覺之中已經發酵了<br /> <br /> 提出幾個觀察的現象<br /> 第一個是看看加權<br /> 過去這一個禮拜中五個交易日就有三天受到國際政治利空消息的影響<br /> 日K<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjirl4bLULRrO4ebjjvr4TQ13RHxForgHGQBha_rjD2zR0uOySCRk3X_bhD8LgM5rZp8DuyBY717i6-I7JBLB95Ku4Ukk-DTvFBaFpcWqcAx-inwWI4HMp28NNsiOR8MQ1sxoB9IwiMyLMg/s1600/20111106-1.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="163" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjirl4bLULRrO4ebjjvr4TQ13RHxForgHGQBha_rjD2zR0uOySCRk3X_bhD8LgM5rZp8DuyBY717i6-I7JBLB95Ku4Ukk-DTvFBaFpcWqcAx-inwWI4HMp28NNsiOR8MQ1sxoB9IwiMyLMg/s320/20111106-1.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> <br /> &nbsp;三日K<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCSqP0evyaVQVY1Yovp2C-o-Kgjq6YePrZpkxs2veGZkDLSmq9yBni9OJ5GZBEXynpsyft3Au2K5TRfvcD1-Jb3FZvjaf-PXF64iWgE_RNUxl8xwzBJhh5-uFNzFr-PVPDywtzCpF_j3OY/s1600/20111106-4.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="135" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiCSqP0evyaVQVY1Yovp2C-o-Kgjq6YePrZpkxs2veGZkDLSmq9yBni9OJ5GZBEXynpsyft3Au2K5TRfvcD1-Jb3FZvjaf-PXF64iWgE_RNUxl8xwzBJhh5-uFNzFr-PVPDywtzCpF_j3OY/s320/20111106-4.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 會發現到如果排除政治利空不看<br /> 那天大黑K在三日K來看變成站上了那兩根帶上影線K棒的上緣<br /> 這不是讓在這幾天在場內被嚇到出場的都傻了<br /> <br /> 接下來觀察一下歐美<br /> 道瓊<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjppUHuITcAgj3uhVCbtlGW_hMtewq2qHN6xtfzETb6OOXPq5AlS_3DFog2Ed-Y0wJOM3Uzvc5Ynj_e0g63Qirw92cfrM5i2UjUkRhxzAKVHnlqP9w-BoPvx-WW4awnuozP-bLqTR7SoWzd/s1600/20111106-3.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="108" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjppUHuITcAgj3uhVCbtlGW_hMtewq2qHN6xtfzETb6OOXPq5AlS_3DFog2Ed-Y0wJOM3Uzvc5Ynj_e0g63Qirw92cfrM5i2UjUkRhxzAKVHnlqP9w-BoPvx-WW4awnuozP-bLqTR7SoWzd/s320/20111106-3.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;費半<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqpWFh343Ac11QbapLekOMMcVDYQuWYZecC_Phm6ANuFxHgw0oSk2NzrGVfcuBx6ksNrX22S-THO7K98-vsxIpM4ZNtEn49jkUnDebQyFx_Qq8lYqUC51rIn9_TgW2tIBoTesyBUmSrXk0/s1600/20111106-5.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="113" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhqpWFh343Ac11QbapLekOMMcVDYQuWYZecC_Phm6ANuFxHgw0oSk2NzrGVfcuBx6ksNrX22S-THO7K98-vsxIpM4ZNtEn49jkUnDebQyFx_Qq8lYqUC51rIn9_TgW2tIBoTesyBUmSrXk0/s320/20111106-5.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;德國<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9SUz4-CxOCF3ZFrTOB1Y57cMr2KWFcaGvPjfAoogo5AlIjAMJnC26vjov1mAXaYYYGJS6citQs5MGOEX_VROfSLOj7Qiy4JyK8EkkHNNBJrHiunRmpwLqaoJY8veyBSCoF3zbI8z7sQfA/s1600/20111106-6.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="107" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg9SUz4-CxOCF3ZFrTOB1Y57cMr2KWFcaGvPjfAoogo5AlIjAMJnC26vjov1mAXaYYYGJS6citQs5MGOEX_VROfSLOj7Qiy4JyK8EkkHNNBJrHiunRmpwLqaoJY8veyBSCoF3zbI8z7sQfA/s320/20111106-6.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> &nbsp;法國<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiN7Xg5_Kn3802w6k2EoFAcLrfPrRXw2HvPj0dPOZ0mxeWlx2KTyfS6pczGNVMTCuUfGlVSLll042SPzaNis0kk6zQmH__zbGpe-6hYrqyU6CyqlBtQvG4_8LtfVONcVt64XLsOW8cRF-Aa/s1600/20111106-7.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="108" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiN7Xg5_Kn3802w6k2EoFAcLrfPrRXw2HvPj0dPOZ0mxeWlx2KTyfS6pczGNVMTCuUfGlVSLll042SPzaNis0kk6zQmH__zbGpe-6hYrqyU6CyqlBtQvG4_8LtfVONcVt64XLsOW8cRF-Aa/s320/20111106-7.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 圖中可以看見<br /> 道瓊已經站回年線只是站回去的樣子比較吃力<br /> 之前提到最弱的費半.卻是以兩根實體紅K來繼續攻向年線<br /> 德、法則顯得弱勢.且法國更是面臨季線保衛戰<br /> 可以想見歐洲的情勢真的很窘境<br /> 但是政治性利空(吵公投)撰者推想應是不會延宕太久<br /> 畢竟這也關乎其經濟體的金融安定<br /> 放任吵鬧討糖的話.對大家都是不利的<br /> 此時要注意的風險是這時就算上去也是"反彈"而非"多頭"<br /> 這裡大家可以參酌<br /> <br /> <h1 style="background-color: white; clear: both; font-family: 'Microsoft JhengHei', 微軟中黑體, 微软雅黑, 'Microsoft Yahei', 微軟正黑體, PMingliu; font-size: 19px; line-height: 28px; margin-bottom: 2px; margin-left: 0px; margin-right: 0px; margin-top: 0px; padding-bottom: 0px; padding-left: 0px; padding-right: 0px; padding-top: 0px; text-align: left;"> <a href="http://news.cnyes.com/Content/20111107/KE0C0TMC7DFCX.shtml?c=headline_sitehead">陶冬：歐洲債務乏進展 ECB降息白搭 美國經濟現改善 不必重啟QE</a></h1> <br /> <br /> 那麼咱們呢？！<br /> 撰者前文提及多方最後防守的位置在下圖中所畫的紫線<br /> 也就是10.24的多方宣示K棒<br /> 大黑K點到收了小腳之後<br /> 星期五整個就不再去碰了<br /> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQG4C2pxI6ylozrAAYrGZu3Im2OGWQytSPikoJyDIf5zK6EMe-1q8HAf3RhGqEn3jPOPlW76gbJ0KxcRBACmlbJI8c5a_D7ifuHY_I7tjske0h6i3D6NvGotlMZnFryWy_IN7tRG7ctb7o/s1600/20111106-8.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="98" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhQG4C2pxI6ylozrAAYrGZu3Im2OGWQytSPikoJyDIf5zK6EMe-1q8HAf3RhGqEn3jPOPlW76gbJ0KxcRBACmlbJI8c5a_D7ifuHY_I7tjske0h6i3D6NvGotlMZnFryWy_IN7tRG7ctb7o/s320/20111106-8.jpg" width="320" /></a></div> 輔以撰者提及季線"確切"翻揚的推論<br /> 就快要使得季線持續向上翻升<br /> 下個禮拜等待國際情勢回穩<br /> 咱們不會缺席才是！<br /> 但撰者還是要提醒閱者們<br /> 如果季線或是10.24的紅K被跌破<br /> 不要猶豫了.這時離場一身輕！<br /> <br /> 明日規劃<br /> 開高.持續向上進攻下一道關鍵價<br /> 開低.測試黑K究竟為真或假<br /> <br /> 交流的朋友<br /> 上次提及原像力道延續但以近【竭盡中】<br /> 細緻關鍵價位就過去看吧<br /> <br /> <br /> <span class="Apple-style-span" style="background-color: white; color: #444444; font-family: 新細明體, serif; font-size: 27px; letter-spacing: 1px; line-height: 37px;">【本文為記錄個人操作邏輯，不做為閱讀者之參考進出依據，盈虧請自行負責！】</span>lukeannhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/13307734017285602514noreply@blogger.com3