Market Flavor Blog

Stock Prediction for July 10th

Thu, 09 Jul 2009 18:49:40 -0800

Sorry for the late post. The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

Stock prediction for July 9th

Wed, 08 Jul 2009 11:55:10 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow remains up.

Stock Prediction for July 8th

Tue, 07 Jul 2009 11:37:13 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow is up.

Correction on Performance from April 22nd through July 2nd
S&P 500 return - 7.59%
Prediction Model - 5.29%

Stock Prediction for July 7th

Mon, 06 Jul 2009 12:25:42 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow is up.

Prediction Performance from April 22nd through July 2nd
S&P 500 return - 7.59%
Prediction Model - 6.98%

Directional Accuracy - 58.97%

The model has been fairly disconnected for the past couple weeks and I'm eager to see if it stays disconnected or moves closer to where the S&P 500 is trading. So far the model has been fairly accurate but is yielding slightly lower then the S&P 500.

Stock Prediction for July 6th

Thu, 02 Jul 2009 12:23:05 -0800

The prediction for Monday is up.

Stock Prediction for July 2nd.

Wed, 01 Jul 2009 11:28:17 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

Stock Prediction for July 1st

Tue, 30 Jun 2009 11:22:51 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow is again UP.

Correction: The title for the last two days were July 30th and July 29th. That was a typo and has been corrected to June 30th and June 29th.

Stock Prediction for June 30th

Mon, 29 Jun 2009 10:25:50 -0800

The predictions model was running pretty high above the SPY but is staring to come back in line. Unless we get a huge jump in the market it looks like we'll be long through the week. The prediction for tomorrow is again UP.

Stock Prediction for June 29th

Fri, 26 Jun 2009 11:16:54 -0800

The prediction for Monday remains UP.

Stock Prediction for June 26th

Thu, 25 Jun 2009 11:57:51 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

Stock Prediction for June 25th

Wed, 24 Jun 2009 12:04:32 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

Stock Prediction for June 24th

Tue, 23 Jun 2009 11:31:53 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

Stock Prediction for June 23rd

Mon, 22 Jun 2009 12:00:11 -0800

The prediction for tomorrow remains UP.

Results While I Was Gone

Sun, 21 Jun 2009 22:36:37 -0800

I was slightly disappointed with the results of the forecasting while I was gone but at least I wasn't invest during this time.



	SPY	Forecast	Action	Results
6/19/09	92.04	99.700	Long	$(0.18)
6/18/09	92.22	99.470	Long	$0.67
6/17/09	91.55	99.613	Long	$(0.09)
6/16/09	91.64	99.442	Long	$(1.26)
6/15/09	92.9	99.498	Long	$(2.18)
6/12/09	95.08	92.140	Long	$0.26
6/11/09	94.82	91.737	Long	$0.42
6/10/09	94.4	90.904	Long	$(0.24)
6/9/09	94.64	90.420	Short	$(0.48)
6/8/09	94.16	90.212	Short	$0.39
6/5/09	94.55	89.042	Short	$(0.02)

As I mentioned I'm not going to include these results in the analysis of the forecasting model but I'm expecting great results after the performance while I was gone. The performance while I was gone was a loss of $2.71 per share of the SPY ETF.

The prediction for tomorrow is UP with a target of 100.94.

Stock Prediction for June 5th

Thu, 04 Jun 2009 11:40:15 -0800

The prediction for the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) remains DOWN.

The model is still off from the recent gain in the market but I think that will correct itself soon with a decline in the stock market.

Tomorrow I am leaving on vacation out of the country and won't be back until the 21st of June. Most likely I will not be posting predictions while I'm gone. I will take the days I'm gone out of the model accuracy and return since the model results won't be posted until after I return.

Before I leave I'm going to sell out of my short SPY position so that I don't have to worry about monitoring it while on vacation.

Happy trading!