Market Trend

New Update

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Mon, 09 Nov 2009 14:48:25 PST

New Update Before US open possible 2 ou 3 hours after Us Open.
SPX close above 1085 just have to follow last update and the pattern, i post that last weekend.
Today upside with very low volume.
Dow new high of the year today.
NDX break 1740-1750 I`m still waiting to short again.
Dax break some important resistances.
Impossible today put some charts.
Sorry visitors and followers good night.

SPX - Pattern. Maybe too simple

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 17:38:01 PST

Maybe too simple but this pattern have five months.
Click to zoom in.

R.S.COMPARATIVE DAX30 VS. SPX500

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 16:05:00 PST

Relative Strenght Comparatative DAX30 vs SPX500.
Below green line dax will fall must more that spx500.
The correlation still at the stage high last 10 years.
I believe that ratio tens to return to 3 again.
Click to zoom in.

DAX - Opportunity to accumulate shorts Part II

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 14:29:12 PST

Can see DAX - Just Writing Some Notes
Can see DAX - Weekly Important Signals
Below 5650 Two Targets
First - 4950
Second - 4800
First resistance range [5470,5493], 5550, 5590
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.
Abaixo de 5650 dois targets:
- 4950
- 4800
Resistências range [5470,5493], 5550, 5590.

SPX - Change trend with close below 1060

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 14:32:14 PST

Can see SPX - Re-entered again in the channel
Can see last advisor SPX500
I expect reversal and test low of last week soon, but this market have to stay below 1075 and must important below 1085.57. Break pattern last weeks if spx close daily below 1060. Next post I'll explain why.
Resistance 1075 and 1085,57.
Below 1085.57 i expect range [990-1008].
Close above 1085.57 expect visited top channel around 1120+-.
Suport 1045 and 1060
Click to zoom in.
Portuguese
Espero uma inversão da tendência dos último dias, e uma visita aos minimos da semana passada brevemente. Será pois, importante a não quebra dos 1075 e principalmente os 1085.57 em fecho.
Uma fecho abaixo dos 1060, alerta para a quebra do padrão que vem marcando este índice sempre que inicia um movimento ascendente. No próximo post darei conta desse padrão.
Resistências: 1075 e 1085,57.
Suportes: 1045 e 1060.
Sem quebra em fecho dos 1085,57 continuo defendo como target, o range [990-1008] para as próximas semanas.
Um fecho acima de 1085.57 espero uma visita ao topo do canal ascendente, a rondar neste momentos os 1120 pontos.

Russell 2000 - Double Top

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 14:34:59 PST

Russell Activated Double Top - Projection 522.
Resistance range [579,589],600,615
Expected breakout lows of last week soon.
If we close next week below 550 will actived head shoulders
projection 490 next weeks.
New update close above 600 or below 550.
Click to zoom in.
Portuguese
Russell activou na última semana um duplo topo tendo como projeção os 522.
Resistêcias range(579,589],600,615.
Espero na próxima semana um novo ataque aos minimos da última semana.
Um fecho abaixo dos 550 irá activar um head shoulders com projecção para os 490
Próximo update com fecho acima dos 600 ou abaixo dos 550.

EuroDollar Update - Daily

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 14:33:03 PST

Click to zoom in.
EURODOLLAR is losing momentum last weeks.
Expect reversal trend last year with first target 1.42 and second
target 1.38.
Resistance 1.4879, 1.5061,range [1.5250,1.53]
Suport: 1.4682,1.4520,1.4176,1.3945;
Two consecutive closes below 1.4682 expect [1.4176,14220].
Will take a short position in the coming days. Click to zoom in.
Portuguese
Eurodollar tem vindo a perder momentum nas últimas semanas.
Espero nos próximos dias uma inversão da trend ascendente, que vem marcado o comportamento deste cross no último ano.
Resistências: 1.4879, 1.5061,range [1.5250,1.53];
Suportes: 1.4682,1.4520,1.4176,1.3945;
Dois fechos consecutivos abaixo de 1.4682 espero uma visita deste cross aos 1.42 aproximadamente.
Irei assumir uma posição short neste cross nos próximos dias.

Cable - Daily Update

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 07:54:15 PST

Testing resistance short-term.Click to zoom in.

NDX - Stop Activated

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 05:24:32 PST

At close Stop Activated 1732 (25%)
Now only have this position
Short NDX - 1722 (40%) - Stop C > 1742 Target 50%: 1638 and other 50% at 1580.
I will short later

NDX - Big Resistance Short and Medium Term

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Fri, 06 Nov 2009 09:28:53 PST

Chart 4 hours ndx100.
Big resistance short and Medium term.
Bulls need to break 1750 area.Click to zoom in.

NDX - Stop activated

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 05:21:03 PST

SHort NDX - 1714 (35%) - Stop 1734 Target 50%:1580 and other 50% at 1520;
Stop activated @ 1734

NDX - Plan the trade and trade the Plan

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Fri, 06 Nov 2009 05:58:37 PST

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan 04/11

Until now Nothing new respect the plan.

SPX - Re-entered again in the channel

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Thu, 05 Nov 2009 16:47:05 PST

Can see last update SPX500 Daily 04/11
Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Can see last advisor SPX500
Re-entered again in the channel and close midpoint (short-term) between bulls / bears.
Resistance 1075 and 1085,57.
Below 1085.57 i expect range [990-1008].
Close above 1085.57 expect visited top channel around 1120+-.
Suport 1045 and 1060
Click to zoom in.

~
Portuguese
O spx acabou hoje por re-entrar novamente no canal ascendente que vem marcado a tendência dós últimos meses, acabando por fechar no ponto de equlibrio entre bulls e bears para o curto prazo.
Resistências: 1075 e 1085,57.
Suportes: 1045 e 1060.
Sem quebra em fecho dos 1085,57 continuo a ter como target, os range [990-1008] para as próximas semanas.
Um fecho acima de 1085.57 espero uma visita ao topo do canal ascendente, a rondar neste momentos os 1120 pontos.

DAX - Opportunity to accumulate shorts....

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Thu, 05 Nov 2009 12:29:21 PST

Can see DAX - Just Writing Some Notes
Can see DAX - Weekly Important Signals
Adjust the the key value for the continuation of this trend after the last correction
Below 5650 Two Targets
First - 4950
Second - 4800
First resistance range [5470,5493], 5550, 5590
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.

Ajuste do valor a considerar para a continuação do actual movimento descendente.
Abaixo de 5650 dois targets:
- 4950
- 4800
Resistências range [5470,5493], 5550, 5590.

NDX - Short Order - Activated

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 05:22:23 PST

Plan the trade and trade the Plan

NDX add short @ 1722 (40%)
I have first stop at 1734

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan the trade

NDX - Short Order - Activated

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 05:23:43 PST

Plan the trade and trade the Plan

NDX add short @ 1714(35%)

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan the trade

NDX - Short Order - Activated

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 05:23:02 PST

Plan the trade and trade the Plan

NDX add short @ 1694 (25%)

Can see last update ndx Daily and Plan the trade

SPX - Update Daily

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 16:24:16 PST

Can see last update SPX500 Daily 02/11
Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Can see last advisor SPX500
Click to zoom in. Before US Open new update.

NDX100 - Update

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 14:51:57 PST

Can see last update ndx Daily 03/11
Can see last Advisor NDX100
Resistance: 1694,1714,1722
Below 1722 two targets short-term;
- 1565
- 1490
Suport 1638 and 1667 important break this two numbers to accelerate this swing.

New venture starting 1 hour before open Nikkei today, will put some orders in the system orders negotiable CFD `s compliance with the trend and the figures:

Short NDX - 1694 (25%) - Stop C > 1724 Target 50%: 1565 and 50% at 1490;
SHort NDX - 1714 (35%) - Stop 1734 Target 50%:1580 and other 50% at 1520;
Short NDX - 1722 (40%) - Stop C > 1742 Target 50%: 1638 and other 50% at 1580.
Portuguese
Resistência:1694,1714,1722
Sem a quebra em fecho dos 1722, defendo dois target para o curto prazo:
- 1565
- 1490
Suporte 1638 e 1667
Importante por forma a ganhar momentum, a quebra dos suporte referidos, tendo como objectivo os targets avançados.

A venture que se incia a partir da 00:00 de hoje, vão ser colocadas algumas ordens no sistema, negociaveis em CFD`s respeitando a trend e os valores apresentados:

Short NDX - 1694 (25%) - Stop close > 1724 Target 50% 1565 e 50% 1490;
Short NDX - 1714 (35%) - Stop 1734 Target 50% 1580 e 50% 1520;
Short NDX - 1722 (40%) - Stop 1742 em fecho Target 50% 1638 e 50% 1580.

DAX - Two Target Short-Term II

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Thu, 05 Nov 2009 01:15:53 PST

Can see Last update Markets - Just open my notes today...
Can see Last update DAX - Update Daily 30/10

Below 5590 Two Targets
First - 5295 Projection breakout Channel
Second - 5050
First resistance range [5470,5493]
Click to zoom in. Enjoy.

Portuguese
Sem quebra em fecho dos 5590, defendo dois target para curto prazo:
- 5295
- 5050
Primeira resistência importante range [5470,5493].

NDX - Update Daily

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Tue, 03 Nov 2009 14:57:45 PST

Can see last update ndx Daily
Can see last Advisor NDX100
Resistance 1682, 1694,1714,1722
Below 1722 two targets short-term;
- 1565
- 1490
Suport 1638 and 1667 important break this two numbers to accelerate this swing.
Portuguese
Resistência 1682, 1694,1714,1722
Sem a quebra em fecho dos 1722, defendo dois target para o curto prazo:
- 1565
- 1490
Suporte 1638 e 1667
Importante por forma a ganhar momentum, a quebra dos suporte referidos, tendo como objectivo os targets avançados.

SPX - Short-term Update

noreply@blogger.com (Carlos Júlio) — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 15:18:35 PST

Can see last update SPX500 Weekly
Can see last advisor SPX500
SPX have some bullish divergences hourly, but have to close above 1051 cash. Above 1051 I will expect test [1065,1070] again.
If spx close hourly below 1035 will invalied my last view short-term and we will see more downside possible range [990,1008].
Click to zoom in.
Portuguese
SPX cash apresenta algumas divergências bullish, mas que necessitam de confirmação por parte do preço.
Um fecho horário acima de 1051 irá confirmar uma visita aos range [1065,1070].
Um fecho horário abaixo de 1035 deveremos esperar mais um selloff, tendo como target primário os [990-1008], intervalo publicado aquando da última analise semanal a este indice.

Crude Picture

noreply@blogger.com (Fox Killa) — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:32:33 PST

I have made a possible elliott count to Crude, its not easy to label the waves of crude but i made my best. looking to the big picture it looks its missing something.
Since the the highs the movement looks a bit corrective so until he brake down the 73 dollars, i will assume that he still in wave 4 and still missing one more high near 85 dollars.
Regards and good trades to all.

GbpUsd Update

noreply@blogger.com (Fox Killa) — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 11:13:55 PST

My big friend Carlos ask me if I could do a Elliott count about GbpUsd and I try do it, im going to be honest I never traded this currency and so I don’t have the appropriate sensibility, but it think its not bad at all, the bottom of line we had 5 waves down since the highs, we had a wave 2 with almost 76.4% retrace of wave 1, so if my count is correct we going to have new lows in the next fews days.
Regards.

Dollar Update

noreply@blogger.com (Fox Killa) — Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:00:33 PST

Hi traders, another update for dollar, going straight to the point the odds that dollar bottomed are very high. It break up the downtrend that came since june and now have a lot of space to go up, besides we had 5 waves up meaning its a impulsive movement.
Speaking in elliott waves i think dollar is one step ahead, dollar already finished wave 1 (spx its finishing), and i have 2 scenarios in the table, or it is in c wave of 2 , or already start wave 3 and new highs will come.
In the other picture we might have a inverted H&S, if it cames true spx can go very shorthly under 950.
Regards and good trades.