Matt's College Sports Media Blog

The TV worth of a CUSA/MWC merged conference

2012-01-15T14:24:00.000-05:00

CBSSports.com's Dennis Dodd has been on the MWCUSA beat lately, noting that the two conferences would have administrators meeting on Sunday 1/15 and the possibility exists that a merged conference could jump ahead of the Big East when it comes to negotiating with television partners.

My expectation is that any form of merged conference would not take place until 2013, but if they were to agree to dissolve both conferences, they would be able to take themselves to the open market immediately. It is my understanding that for the combination of schools to be able to take themselves on the open market, they cannot simply merge under one conference's banner or the other as they would likely have to stay with existing TV partners. I do not know if FOX, CBS Sports Network or Comcast/NBC have any provisions with their contracts if they have the ability to exclusively negotiate with any of these parties if either conference dissolves.

So what value is out there for a merged MWCUSA? They can boast, like the Big East did after inviting five new football members, that they have the ability for television to air games in virtually any timeslot. The television value of these members themselves is debatable and the same goes for the Big East. Does that value include weeknight games? Neither C-USA nor MWC wanted to play on Tuesdays, Wednesdays or most Fridays when they left ESPN. Does that change to get ESPN involved in the bidding? It may be the only way they get involved.

These two conferences make up the bulk of CBS Sports Network's college football and basketball coverage, so I would be surprised if they weren't actively involved in any potential bidding. I'm sure that NBC Sports Network and FOX Sports want to maintain their existing relationships, but the question will be whether the conference and either of these potential TV partners demand some form on "primary cable" exclusivity (ie. NBCSN or FOX is the primary partner, CBSSN the secondary partner). NBCSN might be more aggressive since they have no other major college football, save for the Ivy League, while FOX has the Big 12 to occupy slots on FSN.

Last question becomes what to do with regional TV coverage. Comcast has it with the MWC via the mtn. and does have an agreement with CBSSN to carry some C-USA games on CSS. FOX has the regional infrastructure, but with a common footprint with the Big 12, what ability do they have to pick up those games?

I don't know that using the Big 8-SWC merger into the Big 12 will be able to set any precedents. Both conferences were part of the CFA group contract and went out on their own, where these two schools were already negotiating independently.

Will be interesting to see how this shakes out. Stay tuned.

2012 Pac-12 Schedule Analysis For TV

2012-01-06T13:42:00.001-05:00

The 2012 Pac-12 Schedule came out this week and it gave us a small glimpse of the future of Pac-12 football schedules. Cal and Stanford were the most perturbed parties as their rivalry game ended up being moved to October.

As we know, FOX and ESPN are now shared rightsholders of the Pac-12 for 44 football games with the Pac-12 Networks picking up the remainder of the games. The Pac-12 Networks have maintained that they will have premium football content some weeks during the season and pick ahead of FOX and ESPN.

To me, I would want my top ten football games to remain on over the air television. We know that FOX will have eight football games and ABC will have two. I think most of those ten games will be picked on a weekly basis. I believe the networks will look to pick the following games before the season starts:

10/6 Washington at Oregon
10/13 USC at Washington
11/3 Oregon at USC
11/24 Notre Dame at USC

Of those I could see USC-Washington ending up on ESPN in the early evening. The other three I could see on FOX. I would have put USC-Washington on ABC, but the network has the NASCAR Sprint Car race from Charlotte that evening. The goal of the new Pac-12 contract is to get games shown nationally and placing that game on ABC at 3:30 PM ET with at least a Big Ten game and possibly an ACC and/or Big 12 game doesn't reach the national distribution that the conference wants.

Eight primetime regular season games have also been set aside. I believe nearly all will air on ESPN or ESPN2, at least all of the Thursday games plus the November 2nd Friday game. The number of games that could air on ESPN Networks on Black Friday depend on their college basketball workload as the networks air games from the tournaments they own in Orlando & Anaheim plus the NIT Tip-Off. It also depends on whether they elect to televise any NBA games that day. The eight games set aside are

Thursday 9/27 Stanford at Washington
Thursday 10/4 USC at Utah
Thursday 10/11 Arizona St. at Colorado
Thursday 10/18 Oregon at Arizona St.
Friday 11/2 Washington at California
Friday 11/23 Arizona St. at Arizona
Friday 11/23 Washington at Washington St.
Friday 11/23 Utah at Colorado

Let's say that the Pac-12 Networks pick up the Apple Cup and that the other two Black Friday games are on ESPN or ESPN2. Couple that with the USC at Washington game, ESPN would have 14 remaining selections for Saturdays. A few could air on ESPNU (up to four) with the other ESPN/ESPN2 eight likely in the late evening (~10 PM ET). I could see the early season OOC games being heavily weighted into the Pac-12 Networks list of games.

Note that there are some new parameters around the Pac-12 television selection order too.

Year end marker

2011-12-30T16:13:00.002-05:00

Its the end of 2011. As you saw in the year end piece, the year saw a lot of changes in college sports coverage. Some positive, some negative. 2012, hopefully, will be a quieter year. Yes there will be some alterations to the SEC contract and those probably will come out in the spring. Big East negotiations will start towards the end of the year and who knows what type of market they'll find out there for their rights. Whatever formation MWCUSA takes. To AQ or not to AQ. That is the question.

I am very appreciative of those who emailed or commented re: the site. I am trying to find a happy medium with the TV site & blog going forward. Have not yet found it. Haven't started programming towards an updated site and don't intend to for a few weeks. Suppose I'm thankful that most conferences haven't figured out how to schedule themselves for 2012. Heck, West Virginia's home for 2012-13 will likely be decided in the court system and one of those cases won't be heard until near the end of the athletic calendar year in June.

I do software development for eight hours a day. To come home and do more doesn't strike me as something I desire to do right now. To be quite honest with you: I would not expect a football schedule listing at my site for 2012 until at least April. I will keep track of it as much as possible, but I make no guarantees beyond that. The twitter and facebook pages remain active, but I've turned off being notified when a post/comment hits the account, so unless I'm looking at the site, don't expect a quick answer.

I'm going to go spin a few records now. Vinyl has made a comeback, after cassette, 8 track, CD, DVD-Audio, SACD, DualDisc, digital download and others tried to make it irrelevant. Sound quality still matters, and so does being unable to skip a track.

Thanks. Happy New Year.

2011: Year In Review

2011-12-16T13:34:00.000-05:00

Plenty of changes in sports television and coverage of colleges in 2011. Got started fairly quickly too.

1/5/11 - Conference USA and FOX Sports announce a new media rights deal. After months of negotiating a new deal with ESPN, C-USA elected to move on and signed a deal with FOX for double the money, double the number of football games, plus ten men's basketball games and eight women's basketball games.

Analysis: I think it worked out well for the conference. With any deal on FSN, there were clearance/pre-emptions for local coverage of other sports, but the conference had more opportunities to be seen. I would be curious to know if teams saw attendance increases since the number of weeknight games decreased.

1/6/11 - FOX acquires rights to the inaugural Pac-12 football championship game.

Analysis: FOX also purchased an additional six college football games and ten men's basketball games for its FSN package. Coupled with the C-USA rights, ongoing negotiations with the Big 12 and Pac-12 plus the purchase of the first six Big Ten football championships, FOX clearly established itself as a player in college sports.

1/18/11 - The FCC makes Comcast's purchase of NBC official.

Analysis: More later, but the beginning of a competitor in the college rights / broadcasting area.

1/19/11 - ESPN announces a channel dedicated to the University of Texas

Analysis: ESPN makes a big play after FOX appeared to be the leader of the channel, paying close to five times more than what FOX intended to pay. Created a chasm within the conference membership that would widen later in the year.

3/15/11 - The new format of broadcasting the NCAA men's basketball tournament begins as TruTV broadcasts the first of the two "First Four" doubleheaders

Analysis: I didn't catch much of the opening weekend (I attended games in Cleveland), what I saw I was impressed with. CBS and Turner followed through on their promise of noting when close & interesting games were going on and where to find those games. Every game was televised nationally. Some may complain that the games weren't on CBS or that they had trouble finding TruTV right away. My take is that it was known in advance where to find the games. Not to mention that Turner improved on the online March Madness package.

3/28/11 - FOX announces that F/X will get into the college football business, carrying a game of the week starting in 2011.

Analysis: F/X began broadcasting sports events a month later with matches from the UEFA Champions League semifinals and this announcement formally re-entered the channel into the college sports broadcasting business after a decade out of the game. The deal with Conference USA allowed for some games to air on FOX and F/X, and the Big 12 & Pac-12 agreed to allow some of their games from FSN to move over to F/X. Initially F/X intended to air its games at 8pm ET, but over half the package aired at 12pm ET and in mid-afternoon.

3/30/11 - ESPN sues Conference USA over the manner in which C-USA signed their rights agreement with FOX.

Analysis: In some ways, it felt like ESPN was using C-USA as a example for those leaving ESPN (ie. don't cross us). In other ways, it made sense as ESPN did has rights to negotiate with C-USA before the rights could go on the open market. ESPN felt that C-USA did not properly provide a formal counter offer during a critical point in the negotiation, where C-USA disagrees.

4/14/11 - The Big 12 and FOX Sports announce a new 13 year television contract for broadcast of football on cable along with other Big 12 sports. Men's basketball was not included as it is part of ESPN's deal for football games on ABC.

Analysis: FOX paid for 40 football games and the ability to license games to other cable networks, such as the existing deal with ESPN. The money being paid to the conference was though to be a pacifier when it came to the Longhorn Network and the conference voted to share more of its ESPN & FOX TV revenue equally. Instead loopholes within the contract, specifically regarding institutionally controlled games, ended up being a catalyst for further changes in the landscape.

5/3/11 - After months of major negotiations and open bidding, ESPN and FOX sign agreements with the Pac-12.

Analysis: Larry Scott became the model for a new style of conference commissioner. One with an open mind. After Comcast got involved and was set to sign the conference for all rights, they engaged ESPN and FOX to join together into a single bid for various pieces of rights. ESPN became the primary rightsholder in men's basketball, while FOX gained football games for their over-the-air network. The conference also noted that they held back a fair number of events and intended to create their own television network.

Late May - The Big East, after agreeing to basic terms of a contract extension with ESPN, elects to back away from the deal after the announcements of the Big 12 and Pac-12 rights deals

Analysis: The rumored terms were close to on par with the ACC's deal for around $13 million per team, per year for all sports members. The initial analysis felt like this was in the Big East's best interest and suitors from Comcast were extremely interested in bidding on the conference's rights. This move, along with other changes in the national landscape, turned out to be costly for the conference.

7/5/11 - The Longhorn Network elects to pick up Texas's football game vs. Rice. It also announces that it intends to air a 2nd football game involving Texas and one of its Big 12 conference games.

Analysis: ESPN was able to work with FOX to get a second game for Longhorn Network (eventually selecting the 10/29 game vs. Kansas) and the rumor is that FOX was granted the ability to air a Big 12 game or two on its over-the-air network within the coming years. Coupled with concerns regarding broadcasting of high school football on the network, this became the breaking point for Texas A&M and Missouri with the Big 12.

7/27/11 - The Pac-12, in conjunction with inDemand, announces that they will create Pac-12 Networks. One national network and six regional networks based on the conferences' natural rivalry areas (Washington, Oregon, Arizona, NorCal, SoCal & Rocky Mountain).

Analysis: The second game changer the Pac-12 pulled off. By engaging inDemand as a partner, the conference essentially has agreements in place with Time Warner, Comcast, Cox and Bright House. All rights not granted to ESPN and FOX go to Pac-12 Networks. The "TV Everywhere" concept is also included in this agreement and those cable networks will be able to show the networks' events via the internet in an authenticated manner.

8/16/11 - ESPN, C-USA resolve lawsuit. FOX granted ESPN the rights to the C-USA football championship game for the length of the contract between the conference and FOX.

Analysis: In June, the court set the schedule for the trial between ESPN and C-USA. The schedule meant that FOX would at least get to air all their intended games during the 2011 football season. At that point, ESPN & FOX worked together to resolve the suit with C-USA. Note that FOX was not a party to the suit, but wanted to help the conference resolve the suit so that all parties could move on.

Late summer & through the fall, part I - Several conferences (America East, Atlantic Sun, MAAC, MVC, SoCon, Sun Belt, WCC) sign new deals with ESPN. Major parts of several of those deals involve exclusive packages of games on ESPN3.

Analysis: In some cases, the move to ESPN3 pays off because those conferences did not have many, if any, regular season games on ESPN's television networks. In other cases, the ESPN3 packages came at the expense of cancelling the regional syndication package of games.

Late summer & through the fall, part II - A&M. Syracuse & Pitt. Missouri. WVU. TCU. MWCUSA. The Big East & West. Exploring options. Pac-??.

Analysis: The whole thing drives me batshit. Equal parts ego bruising and conference mismanagement. Rumors of ESPN spearheading some of these moves, thanks to the Boston College athletic director. All in the name of chasing the almighty dollar because someone has more than someone else.

10/24/11 - CBS and ESPN are able to negotiate to allow CBS to air the LSU-Alabama game in primetime after CBS already has exhausted its single SEC primetime window earlier in the year.

Analysis: The negotiation wasn't acrimonious by any means. CBS did guarantee that the 2012 Alabama-LSU game would air in primetime on their network. ESPN in turn gained some form of "scheduling considerations" in 2012 from CBS. One rumor is that ESPN would be allowed to earmark a few marquee SEC games and hold them from CBS. As for the game, 9-6 LSU in OT and CBS earned an excellent 11.5 national rating.

Here's the deal

2011-11-28T11:58:00.001-05:00

I apologize. I thought I had mentioned before that I was considering stepping back from the site. Here's the deal.

1) My workload at my day job, which is not this site, has increased exponentially. Granted in football season the updates come once a week, maybe twice, but I like to have the info on site as soon as it gets released. Don't always have the ability to do so. I get cranky about that, and sometimes you guys do to. That I can understand. Its why you've also seen less weekly blog articles.

2) I'm enjoying it less and less. Probably watched less CFB this year than any other year. Realignment and other legal crap has kinda sucked the enjoyment right out of it. I'm not naive to the fact that college athletics has become a business, but at least it didn't feel as blatant as it was this past year. That doesn't include some of the seedy stuff that has been off-field related.

3) Never been about money either. Hosting is cheap.

4) The site over the past couple years has been more about me staying current in my profession (computer programming). I know, if you look at the site, you might not think that. Extremely plain. My plan was a rewrite of the site for the 2012 football season to take advantage of new skills learned (MVC, google it, its not a college sports conference). I'm not sure of my direction on it or if I want to spend the time, or if I can even keep the site in roughly the same format.

5) I do enjoy conversing with just about everyone, but I get the feeling that I'm "on demand" with some items. I realize that sounds extremely whiny. This past year, I've done site updates from Siesta Key (early season CFB selections) and Las Vegas (week 2 of CFB) while on vacation. Via a smartphone and SQL updates to the database. It was not fun.

The domain name will be paid for on 1/1 for the entire year of 2012. MBK season goes on as planned. This batteries should recharge. But that's where my head is at. Sorry for the alarm.

Bowl me over with projections

2011-11-21T20:30:00.001-05:00

Bowl eligibility and game list

Keeping it short and sweet. Here's the list of bowl eligible teams as of tonight. Based on records & remaining games, I also am assuming that NC State, Pittsburgh, Purdue, UTEP, Marshall, Air Force, Mississippi St., Tennessee and Utah St. will be bowl eligible.

Conference champion assumptions made:

Oklahoma St. = Big 12
West Virginia = Big East
Clemson = ACC
Wisconsin = Big Ten
LSU = SEC
Oregon = Pac-12
Houston will be a non-AQ top 12 team

After the slots filled by conference champs lost to the bowl games, the selection order is Fiesta, Sugar, Orange

BCS Championship: Alabama vs. LSU
Rose: Wisconsin vs. Oregon
Fiesta: Oklahoma St. vs. Stanford
Orange: Clemson vs. West Virginia
Sugar: Michigan St. vs. Houston

Now the rest:

New Mexico: San Diego St. vs. Ohio
Idaho: Temple vs. Utah St.
New Orleans: UL-Lafayette (confirmed) vs. UTEP
St. Petersburg: Pittsburgh vs. Marshall
Poinsettia: Boise St. vs. Louisiana Tech
Las Vegas: TCU vs. UCLA
Hawai'i: Tulsa vs. Nevada
Independence: NC State vs. Wyoming
Little Caesar's: Illinois vs. Toledo
Belk: North Carolina vs. Cincinnati
Military: Wake Forest vs. Iowa St.
Holiday: Texas A&M vs. Utah
Champs Sports: Virginia vs. Notre Dame
Alamo: Baylor vs. Washington
Armed Forces: BYU (confirmed) vs. SMU
Pinstripe: Missouri vs. Rutgers
Music City: Georgia Tech vs. Mississippi St.
Insight: Kansas St. vs. Ohio St.
Texas: Texas vs. Northwestern
Sun: Florida St. vs. Arizona St.
Liberty: Louisville vs. Tennessee
Kraft: California vs. Purdue
Chick-Fil-A: Virginia Tech vs. Auburn
Ticket City: Penn St. vs. Air Force
Outback: South Carolina vs. Michigan
Capital One: Nebraska vs. Georgia
Gator: Iowa vs. Florida
Cotton: Oklahoma vs. Arkansas
BBVA Compass: Southern Miss vs. FIU
GoDaddy.com: Arkansas St. (confirmed) vs. Northern Illinois

Notes

The Champs Sports Bowl will exercise its 1-in-4 option with Notre Dame.
The Liberty Bowl will exercise its 1-in-4 option to choose a Big East team to assure the Big East an SEC opponent in a bowl game
New Mexico will fill its Pac-12 slot with a MAC team
BBVA Compass will fill its matchup as Sun Belt vs. C-USA
Kraft Fights Hunger fills its WAC slot with an at-large team (Purdue)
Ticket City fills its C-USA slot with an at-large team (Air Force)

As football season winds down...

2011-11-14T08:07:00.001-05:00

Normally I would start compiling things for the 2012 football season, but that is virtually impossible to do at this point. Several conferences who normally have their schedules firmed up are reconfiguring due to impending changes in membership, whether they occur in July or another year. Lawsuits being fired back and forth will also set the official announcements back. That also doesn't take into account schools having to cancel/move non-conference games as they move.
Sent an email to Duane Lindberg of the Pac-12 with some questions regarding the new contracts the conference will begin with FOX and ESPN starting next year. What I learned:

In football, FOX will have some exclusivity in their time slot. There will be some overlap, presumably during the 2nd half of games where ESPN and Pac-12 Network can kick off their games.
Some early football selections will continue to be locked in by all TV partners, but games will continue to be determined on a twelve and six day basis during the year.
A team can appear no more than nine times combined in the FOX and ABC/ESPN football packages. So those entities could pick a team's entire conference schedule, but by doing that they might lose out on a decent home non-conference game. To me, this protects the Pac-12 Network, specifically for USC in the years they host Notre Dame, to make sure that USC (and Stanford too) wouldn't be shut out of appearing on the network.
Of the 22 football games that ABC/ESPN has, I didn't realize that ESPNU will have the ability to show Pac-12 games, but it will be up to four of 22 games.

Curious to know what C-USA fans thought of the change from ESPN to FSN. I'm sure there was some grumbling because some regions did opt out of games at times, including one bad moment early in the season where SportSouth dumped the UCLA-Houston game late to start a Braves telecast on time.

But the FOX deal showed more C-USA football than any other season and the schools were able to move away from nights like Tuesdays and Wednesdays that they considered undesirable. Let me know.
The Pac-12 will complete their final season of games on FSN on 11/26 with the UCLA-USC game. The conference had 14 games on FSN this year. Expect some of those slots to be picked up by the Big 12 and C-USA, presumably in better timeslots for both conferences. Could see a return to games starting at 12:30pm ET in the Big 12 and C-USA, who prefer night games, to stay out of the 12pm slot when possible. All depends on what these conferences look like.
Don't expect any games from the MWC side of the CUSA-MWC football partnership on FOX networks. Those will remain with CBS Sports Network and NBC Sports Network, unless plans change with the ownership of the mtn. by Comcast (Don't see that happening right now).

Rest of regular season CFB selections

2011-11-13T08:23:00.001-05:00

The Pac-12 and Big 12 are finished with their selection process for the season, plus CBS has already made its SEC selection, so it leaves very little to predict for both 11/26 and 12/3.

11/25
11am ESPN2 - Louisville at USF
11am ESPNU - Toledo at Ball St.
2pm ESPN3 - Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois
7pm ESPN - Pittsburgh at West Virginia

11/26

UCLA at USC will be the last national Pac-12 telecast on FSN as the new contract that takes effect next year has all FOX Sports games on either local FOX stations or F/X.
FOX made some adjustments to their schedule (surprise, surprise), moving the F/X game to 12pm and shifting the other Big 12 games back a time slot. Should free up Rice-SMU to be shown nationally on FSN.
I think there's a chance, if Virginia Tech-Virginia ends up deciding the ACC Coastal that the game, along with Virginia Tech-Virginia, could be reverse mirrored on ABC and ESPN2.
Thought about the SEC slate after the Iron Bowl and the Palmetto State game, and its a dog. Figured I'd put two games on ESPNU instead of a 2nd night game on ESPN2.
There's a chance that an FCS playoff game could go into one of the ESPNU slots.

CBS
Alabama at Auburn, 3:30pm (confirmed)

ABC
Ohio St. at Michigan, 12pm
Oregon St. at Oregon, 3:30pm (confirmed)
Michigan St. at Northwestern, 3:30pm
Notre Dame at Stanford, 8pm (confirmed)

ESPN
Cincinnati at Syracuse, 12pm
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Clemson at South Carolina, 7:45pm

ESPN2
Penn St. at Wisconsin, 12pm
Georgia at Georgia Tech, 3:30pm
Virginia Tech at Virginia, 7:45pm

ESPNU
Tennessee at Kentucky, 12pm
Maryland at NC State, 3:30pm
Florida St. at Florida, 7pm

FOX Sports
Iowa St. at Oklahoma, 12pm F/X (confirmed)
Rice at SMU, 12pm FSN (semi-confirmed)
Kansas vs. Missouri, 3:30pm FSN (confirmed)
Vanderbilt at Wake Forest, 3:30pm ACC RSNs
Texas Tech vs. Baylor, 7pm FSN (confirmed)
UCLA at USC, 10pm FSN (confirmed)

Versus
Washington St. at Washington, 7:30pm (confirmed)

BTN
Purdue at Indiana, 12pm
Illinois at Minnesota, 3:30pm

Regional and Syndication
Ole Miss at Mississippi St., 12pm SEC Network
Rutgers at Connecticut, 12pm Big East Network
Duke at North Carolina, 12:30pm ACC Network
UL-Lafayette at Arizona, 7pm ArizonaWildcats.com
FIU at Middle Tennessee, 7:30pm Sun Belt Network

12/3

I'll be honest: the Big East slate that day is not worth it, unless Cincy has to win to close out a BCS berth, which is entirely possible. But, if Southern Miss-Houston ends up being the C-USA title game and Houston remains undefeated, it deserves ABC treatment over either of those two games. Even though ESPN put out a press release saying the C-USA title game would be on ESPN2 at 12pm, plans change and this is worth it.

ABC 12pm - Conference USA Championship
ESPN 12pm - Connecticut at Cincinnati
ESPN2 12pm - Syracuse at Pittsburgh
ABC 3:30pm - Texas at Baylor
CBS 4pm - SEC Championship (confirmed)
Sun Belt 4:30pm - Troy at Arkansas St.
ESPN2 7:30pm - BYU at Hawai'i (confirmed)
ABC 8pm - Oklahoma at Oklahoma St.
FOX 8pm - Big Ten Championship (confirmed)
ESPN 8pm - ACC Championship: TBA vs. Clemson (confirmed)

11/19 12 Day Selection Guesses

2011-11-06T12:37:00.001-05:00

~~Note that ESPNU will not have a mid-afternoon game as they'll be televising college basketball instead.~~

11/19 will be the final week of selections for the Big 12. 11/26 and 12/3 had their television selections completed before the season started.

I'm assuming that Longhorn Network games count towards the ABC selection count for the Big 12. That's why Kansas St.-Texas ends up on F/X.

There could be some six day picks for this week too. Possibly w/Cincy-Rutgers.

CBS
LSU at Ole Miss, 3:30pm

ABC
Nebraska at Michigan, 3:30pm (RM)
Clemson at NC State, 3:30pm
Texas Tech at Missouri, 3:30pm
California at Stanford, 3:30pm (RM)
Oklahoma at Baylor, 8pm
USC at Oregon, 8pm (confirmed)

ESPN
Penn St. at Ohio St., 12pm
ESPN Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Mississippi St. at Arkansas, 7pm

ESPN2
Wisconsin at Illinois, 12pm
Virginia at Florida St., 7:30pm

ESPNU
Cincinnati at Rutgers, 12pm
Miami (FL) at USF, 3:30pm
Kentucky at Georgia, 7pm

FOX Sports
Kansas St. at Texas, 12pm F/X
Kansas at Texas A&M, 12pm FSN
Maryland at Wake Forest, 3pm ACC RSNs
SMU at Houston, 3:30pm FSN
UCF at East Carolina, 7pm FSN

Versus
Washington at Oregon St., 7:30pm

BTN
Iowa at Purdue, 12pm
Indiana at Michigan St., 12pm
Minnesota at Northwestern, 3:30pm

Regional, Internet and Syndication
Tennessee at Vanderbilt, 12pm SEC Network
Louisville at Connecticut, 12pm Big East Network
The Citadel at South Carolina, 12pm Gamecocks PPV (confirmed)
Georgia Tech at Duke, 12:30pm ACC Network
Furman at Florida, 1pm Sun Sports PPV (confirmed)
Samford at Auburn, 1pm CSS PPV (confirmed)
Georgia Southern at Alabama, 2pm Crimson Tide PPV (confirmed)
Arizona at Arizona St., 7pm FSAZ
Colorado at UCLA, 7pm Prime/FCS
Utah at Washington St., 7pm ROOT NW/KJZZ
Western Kentucky at North Texas, 7:30pm Sun Belt Network

Changes in College Basketball TV for 2011-12

2011-11-04T09:46:00.001-04:00

The season starts Monday. Not as many changes when compared to prior years. Here's what has changed

ACC: Everywhere - As part of the ACC's new deal with ESPN, many more ACC telecasts will appear on ESPN and the Full Court package. ESPNU will now air Sunday night basketball games, a slot that FSN previously carried. The regional cable package of games that aired on NESN, FOX and Comcast RSNs will continue to do so, but now air in the ESPN Full Court package as well. Also, a large number of non-conference games will air exclusively through ESPN3.

Besides FSN (nationally), the only other place you won't see ACC games is CBS. ESPN as the rightsholder no longer has to sublicense games and elected not to sell any to CBS.

C-USA on FSN - By leaving ESPN, C-USA earned a small increase in telecasts on FSN. The games will typically air on Saturday afternoons as a lead in to Pac-12 games. FOX also owns the rights to the conference championship and will continue to license it to CBS.

Pac-12 on Sundays - FSN gained 10 games for this year as part of the Pac-12 football championship game deal with FOX for 2011. 14 Pac-12 games will air on Sundays this season, a temporary replacement for the loss of the ACC package.

New deals - The MAAC, MVC, Patriot League and WCC completed new deals with their rightsholders. The WCC will see an increase in appears on ESPN, mostly in non-conference play and a couple extra games in the conference tournament. The MVC won't see an increase on ESPN, but the regional package that has aired on FOX Sports Midwest and CSN Chicago will reappear in the FOX College Sports suite of channels and air as part as ESPN Full Court. The MVC final has been retained by ESPN as well, but will continue to be licensed to CBS.

The MAAC's new deal retains the existing ESPN television numbers, but the regional game of the week package that aired on MSG, including most of the conference tournament, will now air exclusively on ESPN3. The Patriot League's deal in basketball doesn't look much different that prior years, but the championship game is now part of the deal. It will air on CBS Sports Network and move to a Wednesday evening.

Minor changes with the Big Ten - With the addition of Nebraska, the Big Ten worked out changes to the Big Ten Network (BTN) and how it coexists with other TV partners. In football we've seen where ABC and BTN can show games at the same time. In football, we'll see ESPN and BTN overlap in games. ESPNU will also carry a small number of conference games, where it previously only carried non-conference games.

Big East, Incoming Members and TV

2011-11-04T08:52:00.000-04:00

With the Big East in flux and an upcoming football TV negotiation, let's assume they bring in all six members they intend to (Air Force, Boise St., Houston, Navy, SMU, UCF) for football. Some of negotiating points for contracts that would start with the 2014 season are:

1) Membership size - Pittsburgh, Syracuse and West Virginia would be out, but the new configuration would be eleven members. Not enough for a football championship game. Someone else needs to be added to do one. Could be BYU, Temple, Army or someone not mentioned or stay at eleven and maximize the number of weeks and games they can schedule for television.

2) Possible partners - ESPN might be more favorable to the new members. All of these new members have had games with CBS Sports Network which has only about 60% of the draw of ESPNU, its direct competitor. Boise St. made a name for itself on Friday nights on ESPN and ESPN2. Pockets of UCF fans along with existing members don't seem to mind either and a 2nd AQ conference, the Pac-12, will be a regular fixture on Friday nights on ESPN/ESPN2 as their new contract starts. Further, possible 12th football member BYU had a very public spat with Comcast over the MWC television contract and was an catalyst for their move to football independence and the WCC. The flexibility of their ESPN deal, particularly the replay rights and BYUtv, might easily be folded into a new Big East football TV deal.

On the other hand, Army & Navy have preferences for Saturday afternoon kickoffs and joining the Big East could mean losing those television opportunities. Comcast is the cable provider in several areas where the Big East football and all sports membership call home and may sway some members.

I wouldn't expect FOX to be anywhere near this. Turner could be a dark horse.

3) Notre Dame - No, this isn't about whether they need to be a football member of this conference. They don't. They never will. Don't even bother.

But they know NBC. May not know everyone in place now that Comcast is running much of the ship over at NBC Sports, but they did make a deal to have their home hockey games on NBC Sports Network as they move to Hockey East. They'll likely have a football game each season on NBCSN through the end of their TV deal. They might speak on behalf of Comcast for others who have doubts.

11/12 12 Day CFB Selection Guesses

2011-10-30T11:30:00.000-04:00

CBS is scheduled to have two SEC games, one at 12pm and one at 3:30pm. When CBS has a doubleheader involving a 12pm, they do not have the 1st two choices, but the 1st and the 4th choice.

ABC will also have a 12pm game. No guarantee that it must be national.

ESPN2 has a 10:15pm window. With Hawai'i-Nevada scheduled for ESPNU late, ESPN2 seems to be a likely landing spot for the Idaho-BYU game.

BTN will be able to fill all scheduling obligations provided the Wisconsin-Minnesota game is chosen by them. The Badgers are the only Big Ten team to not appear on the network in a conference game.

The Washington-USC game is USC's homecoming and was guaranteed a 3:30pm ET kickoff. If ABC passed on their game, and I expect that to be the case, the ABC window would move to 8pm ET and FOX Sports would assume the Washington-USC game.

My feeling is that the 8pm window will be the Oregon-Stanford game and will be national and ABC will use the 12pm window as a regional window. Before the season started when ABC added this window, I thought the 12pm game could be Miami (FL)-Florida St., but with those teams falling short of expectations, they'll show other games.

Versus has a 10:30pm Pac-12 window. I think that could change if the Arizona St.-Washington St. game is chosen. Washington St. really dislikes late season night games because its very cold out for night games in Pullman. With Colorado and Utah being MST teams, I don't think they'll want to start a game at 8:30pm local time either. Oregon St.-California isn't ideal either, but its likely to be the only other choice if Versus isn't able to change their time slot.

CBS
Tennessee at Arkansas, 12pm
Auburn at Georgia, 3:30pm

ABC
Cincinnati at West Virginia, 12pm
Oklahoma St. at Texas Tech, 12pm
Wake Forest at Clemson, 3:30pm
Nebraska at Penn St., 3:30pm
Texas A&M at Kansas St., 3:30pm
Oregon at Stanford, 8pm

ESPN
Michigan at Illinois, 12pm
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Alabama at Mississippi St., 7:30pm

ESPN2
Michigan St. at Iowa, 12pm
Florida at South Carolina, 7pm
Idaho at BYU, 10:15pm

FOX Sports
Marshall at Tulsa, 12pm FSN
Baylor at Kansas, 12:30pm FOX College
NC State at Boston College, ACC RSNs
Washington at USC, 3:30pm F/X
Navy at SMU, 3:30pm FSN
Texas at Missouri, 7pm FSN

ESPNU
Ohio St. at Purdue, 12pm
Miami (FL) at Florida St., 3:30pm
Western Kentucky at LSU, 7pm
Hawai'i at Nevada, 10:15pm (confirmed)

Versus
Arizona St. at Washington St., 10:30pm

BTN
Rice at Northwestern, 12pm
Wisconsin at Minnesota, 3:30pm

Regional, Syndication and Web Exclusives
Kentucky at Vanderbilt, 12pm SEC Network
Pittsburgh at Louisville, 12pm Big East Network
Duke at Virginia, 12:30pm ACC Network
UL-Lafayette at Arkansas St., 1pm Sun Belt Network (confirmed)

Arizona at Colorado, 3:30pm FCS/FSAZ

Oregon St. at California, 3:30pm ROOT NW/CSNCA
UCLA at Utah, 3:30pm Prime Ticket/KJZZ
Louisiana Tech at Ole Miss, 7:30pm CSS

11/5 12 Day Selection Guesses

2011-10-23T09:15:00.000-04:00

Obviously there is the story out there regarding moving LSU-Alabama to primetime. That would have to be negotiated between CBS, ESPN and the SEC. For now, I'm going to assume the timeslot for the game remains at 3:30pm ET.

Other notes:

The Breeders Cup is on ESPN from 3:30pm to 7:15pm. That is why ESPN cannot show a game during that time slot.
This is also the final week that FSN will carry an SEC game regionally in 2011.
CSS also has two SEC selections, one at 12:30pm and again at 7:30pm.
Advance listings at FXNetworks.com, coupled with Zap2It.com, show FX with a 4pm and 8pm window, and FSN with only 12pm and 3:30pm national games. This differs from FOX's original release. With that said, FOX hasn't exactly been sticking to the release.
Since FOX has been showing their Big 12 FX games at 12pm lately, possibly to give the ABC or ESPN games their own slot, would not surprise me to see this become a 12pm-4pm FX doubleheader
Because of the 4pm FX game, plus because ABC currently has a 3:30pm Pac-12 window, I think the Pac-12 will have an 8pm ABC window instead.
Versus is listed with a Pac-12 window at 10:30pm
Having all Big East teams play each other makes a slight mess of things. Could see a game on ABC at 3:30pm instead of a12pm ESPN/ESPN2 game, which would give the Big Ten a slot back.
Oregon-Washington may match the two best records in the Pac-12 that day, but Oregon has four games part of the ABC/ESPN package and there's a max of six appearances in that package. I'm assuming ABC will want both the Civil War and the Oregon-Stanford game, so F/X has one fall in its lap
Why so many games on BTN? Ohio St., Wisconsin and Nebraska have yet to appear in a conference game on BTN. Michigan St. has not yet either, but has a game with Indiana upcoming. Wisconsin does as well and they could end up moving back to 12pm on ESPN/ESPN2 with a Big East game at 3:30pm on ABC instead of 12pm on ESPN2.

Would not be stunned if several time slots/games are held for six day picks. Its a mess.

CBS
LSU at Alabama, 3:30pm

ABC
Michigan at Iowa, 3:30pm (RM)
Texas A&M at Oklahoma, 3:30pm (RM)
Stanford at Oregon St., 8pm
Kansas St. at Oklahoma St., 8pm

ESPN
Minnesota at Michigan St., 12pm
South Carolina at Arkansas, 7:45pm

ESPN2
Syracuse at Connecticut, 12pm
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Notre Dame at Wake Forest, 7:45pm

Versus
Arizona St. at UCLA, 10:30pm

ESPNU
Louisville at West Virginia, 12pm
USF at Rutgers, 3:30pm
Vanderbilt at Florida, 7pm
Louisiana Tech at Fresno St., 10:15pm (confirmed)

FOX Sports
Missouri at Baylor, 12pm FSN
Kansas at Iowa St., 12:30pm FOX College Sports
NC State at North Carolina, 3pm ACC RSNs
UTEP at Rice, 3:30pm FSN
Oregon at Washington, 4pm F/X
New Mexico St. at Georgia, 7pm SEC RSNs
Texas Tech at Texas, 8pm F/X

BTN
Indiana at Ohio St., 12pm
Purdue at Wisconsin, 3:30pm
Northwestern at Nebraska, 3:30pm

Regional, Web Exclusive & Syndication
Ole Miss at Kentucky, 12pm SEC Network
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh, 12pm Big East Network
Virginia at Maryland, 12:30pm ACC Network
Middle Tennessee at Tennessee, 12:30pm CSS
Duke at Miami (FL), 1pm ESPN3.com
Washington St. at California, 7pm ROOT NW/CSNCA
Utah at Arizona, 7pm FSAZ/KJZZ
UT-Martin at Mississippi St., 7:30pm CSS

TV implications of the new CFA (aka MWC-CUSA-Big East-WAC)

2011-10-22T18:24:00.002-04:00

A week ago the MWC and Conference USA announced that they would be combining forces in football for a super conference of sorts. And I tweeted the following

I had no idea John Marinatto would take it to heart.

Now the Boston Globe is reporting that a scenario being considered is that the Big East and part of the WAC could join up with the MWC/C-USA partnership to create a single conference/alliance with the Big East's automatic BCS berth.

To me, its not a far fetched idea. Right now, the plan assumes that West Virginia would replace Missouri in the Big 12. Of course, Louisville could be substituted in. The plan assumes that the Big 12 would be a ten team conference. It also appears to assume that BYU will remain an independent.

Right now, there's a mishmash of TV rights involving all of the potential parties involved. ESPN has the WAC rights for a few more years, C-USA has deals with FOX Sports and CBS Sports Network, the MWC with CBS Sports Network and Comcast/NBC and the Big East with ESPN.

To me, it looks like a slimmed down version of the CFA, the negotiating body for several conferences' TV rights from the mid-80s through the mid-90s. Another coincidence: Chuck Neinas, who ran the Big 8 as commissioner along with the CFA, happens to have been the point person for the C-USA/MWC merger.

Questions come up with how a merger of this size goes about divvying up their TV rights and other money:

Single group or by division?
How many layers/entities will be involved (network, cable, syndication, conference-run TV)?
TV rights money: appearance based or shared equally?
Bowl games: do they get negotiated by division or within the group as a whole, and how does that money get split?

I'm sure there are other considerations too. What are your thoughts about this setup? How would you set this conglomeration up?

Breakdown of ESPN Networks' MBK Coverage

2011-10-22T15:28:00.000-04:00

With the release of ESPN Networks' men's basketball coverage for the 2011-12 season, I wanted to take a look and see what the breakdown was for all conferences that ESPN will air games for. Networks that were part of the count were ESPN, ESPN2, ESPNU, ESPN/ESPN2 flex games and ESPN3.com exclusives. Games that are part of a conference's championship tournament are included in the count. Rights belong to the "home" team when it comes to non-conference games in the count.

NOTE: All games that are part of an exempt tournament/event, even if played on a team's home court, have been excluded from these counts.

Breakdown

* The Big East and ACC are the clear leaders when it comes to the bulk of college basketball that ESPN Networks carry with nearly 40% of MBK games where ESPN holds conference-level rights as part of these two conference's packages. There's a few reasons why the number is so high.

1. ESPN took all ACC rights over from Raycom and has increased the number of ESPNU and ESPN3 exclusives, particularly for non-conference games where those games were often retained by the school and licensed to various regional networks.

2. ESPN is limited in the contracts of the Big 12, Big Ten and SEC on how many games they can take. In the case of the Big Ten, BTN picks up the majority of the games, particularly in the non-conference portion of the schedule. With the Big 12 and SEC, schools can create their own rights packages after a specific number of non-conference games are selected.

* The five "Power" conferences that ESPN has contracts with make up 2/3rd of all games ESPN has for conference rights. The percentage remains consistent when removing ESPN3 games from the equation.

* Three conferences have only their conference championship on ESPN Networks and no other regular season games: Atlantic Sun, Big Sky & Southland.

* The non "Power" conference with the most games on ESPN Networks is the Metro Atlantic, but 2/3rd of those games are ESPN3.com exclusives. The non "Power" conference with the most televised games is the WCC. The WCC is also the non "Power" conference with the most games on ESPN & ESPN2.

* Six conferences will have at least one regular season game on ESPNU and/or ESPN3.com, but their lone ESPN/ESPN2 appearance will be the conference championship: America East, Big South, MEAC, NEC, OVC & Summit.

* Two conferences will have all their televised games on ESPNU: the Ivy League and the SWAC. The SWAC will have their conference championship on ESPNU, the Ivies are the lone holdout when it comes to a conference championship tournament.

* An additional 143 games are part of exempt & neutral site events and ESPN Bracketbusters.

Quick Take on LSU-Alabama for Primetime

2011-10-22T13:06:00.000-04:00

CollegeFootballTalk @ NBCSports.com brought to light a report that the CBS really wants the LSU-Alabama game, and wants to move its 3:30pm window to primetime. As the article notes, CBS currently gets only one primetime window a year. When CBS does a game in primetime, it is an exclusive window and ESPN moves its SEC selections to the early afternoon timeslot (ie. 12pm ET).

It seems like a novel idea, but I'm of the opinion that its not going to be feasible. I posted this on the message board at the506.com/smf, so if this response looks familiar, you don't need to read any further.

Honestly, if I'm ESPN, I play a little hardball here. I control the nighttime selection. I tell the schools that if you want a nighttime kick, its ESPN, not CBS.

ESPN doesn't have a lot to work with because of the Breeders Cup and the existing glut of games on 11/5. They don't have a standalone 3:30pm slot they could fit a game into.

The only remaining standalone 3:30pm slot for ESPN/ESPN2 is on 11/26. Tell CBS they can do a double header, that LSU-Alabama will be coexist because ESPN can't give up the slot and the rest of the conference shouldn't go without TV, and that CBS won't have a game on 11/26. That would be my offer to make sure all "considerations" are handled in 2011.

CBS has risk because if LSU loses to 'Bama and both teams win out through the final weekend, the game that matters on 11/26 would be the Iron Bowl and ESPN would have it. CBS is hedging that LSU wins and the Arkansas game decides the SEC West.

Of course, none of this matters if either team loses this weekend.

10/29 12 Day Picks

2011-10-16T08:40:00.000-04:00

10/29 has a Big 12 evening sublicense window on ESPN/ESPN2, which kinda makes a mess of things when you add in confirmed evening games for both the Big Ten and Pac-12. Makes the 3:30pm ABC window look really stacked.

Also a possibility of a lot of six day picks.

CBS
Georgia vs. Florida, 3:30pm (confirmed)

ABC
Michigan St. at Nebraska, 3:30pm (RM)
Clemson at Georgia Tech, 3:30pm (RM)
Oklahoma at Kansas St., 3:30pm
Stanford at USC, 8pm (confirmed)
Wisconsin at Ohio St., 8pm (time confirmed)

ESPN
Purdue at Michigan, 12pm (time confirmed)
Illinois at Penn St., 3:30pm
Missouri at Texas A&M, 7:45pm

ESPN2
Wake Forest at North Carolina, 12pm
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Arkansas at Vanderbilt, 7pm

ESPNU
NC State at Florida St., 12pm
West Virginia at Rutgers, 3:30pm
South Carolina at Tennessee, 7pm

FOX Sports
Baylor at Oklahoma St., 12pm FSN
Boston College at Maryland, 3pm ACC RSNs
Washington St. at Oregon, 3:30pm F/X
SMU at Tulsa, 3:30pm FSN (confirmed)
Iowa St. at Texas Tech, 7pm FSN
Ole Miss at Auburn, 7pm SEC RSNs
Arizona at Washington, 10:30pm FSN

BTN
Northwestern at Indiana, 12pm (time confirmed)
Iowa at Minnesota, 3:30pm

Regional & Syndication
Mississippi St. at Kentucky, 12pm SEC Network
Syracuse at Louisville, 12pm Big East Network
Virginia Tech at Duke, 12:30pm ACC Network
Oregon St. at Utah, 3:30pm ROOT Sports NW/KJZZ
California at UCLA, 4pm Prime Ticket
Colorado at Arizona St., 7pm FCS/FSAZ
Kansas at Texas, 7pm Longhorn Network/Jayhawk Network 7pm (confirmed)

Football on TV Scheduling Notes

2011-10-14T20:06:00.001-04:00

Virtually every conference's television contract has some sort of provision to make sure that a particular team doesn't appear in the top package too many times or that the conference's syndication/regional package gets a game involving every team. Since we're over halfway through the year in terms of TV selections, let's take a look at a few of those items.

Big Ten
The key portion of their TV deals revolves around making sure every team appears twice on BTN, with one of those appears as a conference game. Eight of the twelve teams have already met that requirement, with Michigan St., Nebraska, Ohio St. and Wisconsin not yet on the network as part of a conference game. As we get to November, most weeks have all Big 12 teams playing. Since the conference doesn't schedule night games in November, expect multiple BTN games/windows each week, so it may not take long for those teams to appear on BTN.

Big 12
The understanding is that the Longhorn Network games count as part of ABC's television agreement with the conference. With that said, according to the Big 12's television agreement with ABC, no team can appear more than six times on ABC. Texas-Texas A&M, whether the game appears on ABC or ESPN, counts as part of the ABC agreement.

If the Longhorn Network games indeed count towards those six appearances on ABC, then Texas is officially maxed out. ABC did claim the Baylor game at the end of the season, but the Texas Tech (11/5), Missouri (11/12) and Kansas St. (11/19) games would be FSN or F/X selections. Oklahoma & Oklahoma St. have had three of their games selected by ABC and don't appear to be in danger of hitting the appearance maximum. Oklahoma also had their game vs. Iowa St. selected by F/X, so they are in good shape.

Pac-12
The Pac-12 also has an appearance maximum with ABC/ESPN of six. USC has five appearances on ABC/ESPN currently scheduled. Stanford, Oregon & Arizona St. each have four scheduled appearances on ABC/ESPN as of today.

November 12th could be when USC hits the max at home vs. Washington, but that same date is Oregon-Stanford. The TV schedule notes that the UW-USC will take place at 3:30pm whether ABC or FSN/FX picks it. I expect it to be left to FOX, so that ABC can do UO-Stanford in primetime. The question then becomes whether ABC would avoid Oregon-Washington on 11/5 so that they could do the Stanford & Oregon St. games to finish the year.

SEC
With the LSU-Alabama game expected to be televised on CBS on 11/5, LSU fans are very upset that they will not have any conference home games kick off at night. From research on Twitter, this will be the 1st year since 1936 that LSU will not host an SEC opponent at night.

LSU is the only SEC team that has had four scheduled for CBS and the CBS maximum for a school is six games per season, with one exception per school where they can pick up seven games (the conference championship isn't used as part of the count). If the Alabama game will be on the network, the remainder of the Tigers' schedule that CBS can pick up (11/12 vs.Western Kentucky, 11/19 vs. Ole Miss) doesn't make it likely that CBS will have to concern them hitting the max on LSU nor using the exception.

College Basketball on non-ESPN Networks

2011-10-09T19:39:00.002-04:00

Schedule

ESPN covers the majority of college basketball on television during the regular season, but not every conference places its games on their networks. Because ESPN puts out a stellar press release for their offerings, we'll give a plug to the others who bring you your hoops fix, particularly CBS who brings you the NCAA tournament along with Turner Sports.

CBS will continue to span the college basketball globe, if you will, with 42 games and the majority from SEC, Big East and Big Ten arenas. One change from prior seasons is that CBS will not have any regular season games from ACC arenas due to ESPN owning all rights to the conference and electing not to sublicense any games. CBS will have have five conference championship games (Atlantic 10, Big Ten, Conference USA, Missouri Valley and Pac-12), though this will be the final season they will carry the Pac-12 final as that will rotate rightsholders between ESPN and FOX Sports.

Note that the C-USA final is now a FOX property that will continue to be sublicensed. The MVC and Atlantic 10 finals are also sublicenses, but from ESPN.

CBS Sports Network will carry 75 games from the Atlantic 10, Conference USA, Mountain West and Patriot League plus three neutral site events. The network will carry its first conference championship game as it now has the rights to the Patriot League championship.

FOX Sports Networks has at least 68 games on its docket. 56 games from the Pac-12, including the majority of the Pac-12 tournament, 10 games from Conference USA as part of their new TV contract and at least one neutral site event. The Pac-12 will see an increased presence on Sundays in '11-'12 as they appear to have replaced the ACC Sunday Night Hoops package. Not listed, yet, in the FSN schedule is the Paradise Jam event from the Virgin Islands which they've televised in previous years. That one I expect to add to the schedule.

NBC Sports Network will have eight MWC games, one each Saturday at 4pm ET starting on January 14th with the exception of January 21st when CBS has a MWC game. NBCSN will again carry the MWC final.

Addendum to College Realignment Post - Rivalries

2011-10-09T14:39:00.002-04:00

Think about this for a few moments. One of the rivalries that you hear that people would bring back on a regular basis is Pitt-Penn State (yes, they are playing in a few years a home-home).

Realize that with the realignment of the past month, there's a real chance these series will no longer happen. Number of meetings between the schools, including any games in 2011, in parenthesis.

Data courtesy CFBDataWarehouse.com. Settling bar bets since 2000.

Texas-Texas A&M (118) - Not much more to be said there.
Baylor-Texas A&M (108) - From SWC to the Big 12. After Texas, A&M has played Baylor more than any other school
Texas Tech-Texas A&M (70) - Meeting number 70, particularly with the treatment the A&M bus received, most certainly means this one isn't happening going forward.
Pittsburgh-West Virginia (105) - With the loss in regularity of Pitt-Penn St., these two schools are each others most played opponent and the proximity of the schools just adds to the hatred. Consider too that the majority of Backyard Brawls were played while the schools were independent. They didn't have to play each other.
Syracuse-West Virginia (59) - Game is played for the Ben Schwartzwalder Trophy, former WVU football player and longtime head coach at Syracuse, including the 1959 national championship team.

This doesn't include the longtime series that Nebraska and Colorado set aside leaving the Big 12, the rivalries that Utah & BYU let go, not to mention that the BYU series (88 meetings including 2012's) could end next year after not being renewed. The news today that Air Force is possibly leaving the MWC to move to the Big East (assuming that the other two service academies or at least Navy follows them) is an even move for them, not counting the extra revenue the BCS brings. They'll toss aside Colorado St. & Wyoming (50 games each, more meetings than with Army & Navy), but gain some scheduling flexibility now that those academy meetings are part of a conference.

This also doesn't include rivalries in sports like men's basketball, where Syracuse is letting go the guarantee of playing Georgetown, Villanova & Connecticut on a yearly basis. Providence will also miss Syracuse.

The one school where realignment brings things together is for TCU, where yearly meetings with Baylor (107), Texas Tech (54) and Texas (82) will resume, along with a yearly meeting with SMU (101) that I assume will continue to occur. Couple that with the Oklahoma schools in conference, its the one place where realignment makes sense economically and geographically.

The point is that rivalries are the fabric of college football. The quilt is being patched together with dollar bills.

Trying to tie realignment back to TV

2011-10-09T11:51:00.004-04:00

Now that realignment is starting to slow...alright, it isn't.

* The ACC and ESPN are going back to the negotiating table now that the additions of Pittsburgh and Syracuse are on the way. At worse, $25-$27 million gets added to the total rights deal of the conference to account for those schools being added so that the other schools don't receive diluted shares of TV revenue. With the addition of at least 12 football games and around 30 games in the TV rights package, it will be interesting to see how they add those games to the TV schedule. Maybe an additional Thursday night game or two and a few more games for ESPN3.com seem to be where football will go, but basketball will definitely see more games. That's where the additions have value.

* TCU is doing the right thing by negotiating with the Big 12. Its the geographical fit for them and, theoretically, travel will be less expensive for them. They're in process of upgrading Amon Carter Stadium and they'll get back to playing several opponents on a yearly basis who they shared longtime rivalries with them. Not to mention that they'll be receiving a windfall in television revenue when compared to what they would have made in the Big East television contract and more appearances nationally as part of the Big 12 contract.

* The Big 12 is still the conference with the tipping point for additional realignment. After TCU, Missouri's decision on a conference home must be made. The Big Ten has informally turned them down and the school's rather public courting of a new home may have turned off other conferences. If Missouri stays, the membership has to determine whether they want to return to a 12 member conference and if they want to play a conference championship game.

* Back when the Pac-12 made their decision to go with FOX and ESPN as television partners, it was though that the two entities teamed up to keep NBC/Comcast out of the major conference college sports business. Fast forward to Big East football media day, where NBC Sports president Mark Lazarus talked about being interested in bidding on the conference's rights when they came to the open market. Now that the conference has lost two members and an incoming member, you get the feeling that ESPN and FOX, indirectly, are working again to keep NBC/Comcast out of the market by reshuffling the deck of available conferences and schools, stripping the Big East for parts and damaging a conference before it hits the open market. Almost daring NBC/Comcast to bid on it, in a way telling them they can come in to the market, but the product they plan on bidding on might not have the cache that it could have had.

Your thoughts? Click on the comment link below this entry.

12 Day TV Guesses for 10/21 & 10/22

2011-10-09T10:42:00.000-04:00

Friday (8pm for both games)
West Virginia at Syracuse, ESPN
Rutgers at Louisville, ESPN2

Saturday

ABC
Nebraska at Minnesota, 3:30pm (confirmed, RM)
Texas Tech at Oklahoma, 3:30pm (RM)
Washington at Stanford, 8pm (time confirmed)
Oklahoma St. at Missouri, 8pm

CBS
Auburn at LSU, 3:30pm

ESPN
Illinois at Purdue, 12pm
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Wisconsin at Michigan St., 8pm (time confirmed)

ESPN2
Georgia Tech at Miami (FL), 12pm
North Carolina at Clemson, 3:30pm
Tennessee at Alabama, 7:45pm

ESPNU
Maryland at Florida St. 12pm
Boston College at Virginia Tech, 3:30pm
Army at Vanderbilt, 7pm

FOX Sports
Kansas St. at Kansas, 12pm FSN
NC State at Virginia, 3pm ACC RSNs
Oregon at Colorado, 3:30pm F/X
Tulsa at Rice, 3:30pm FSN
Oregon St. vs. Washington St., 3:30pm FOX College Sports/Root Sports NW
Texas A&M at Iowa St., 7pm FSN
Utah at California, 10:30pm FSN

BTN
Indiana at Iowa, 12pm (time confirmed)
Penn St. at Northwestern, 7pm (confirmed)

Regional Syndication
Arkansas at Ole Miss, 12pm SEC Network
Cincinnati at USF, 12pm Big East Network (confirmed)
Wake Forest at Duke, 12:30pm ACC Network
Jacksonville St. at Kentucky, 1pm Big Blue PPV

Guesses for 10/15 12 Day Selections

2011-10-02T11:29:00.001-04:00

Note that ESPN is likely to choose a Big 12 game on ESPN/ESPN2 in primetime and that ABC does not have an 8pm slot due to NASCAR.

CBS

LSU at Tennessee, 3:30pm

ABC (both at 3:30pm)

Michigan at Michigan St. (RM)
Clemson at Maryland (RM)
Kansas St. at Texas Tech

ESPN

Indiana at Wisconsin, 12pm (time confirmed)
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm

Oklahoma St. at Texas, 7pm
Arizona St. at Oregon, 10:15pm

ESPN2

Louisville at Cincinnati, 12pm
Georgia Tech at Virginia, 6pm
Florida at Auburn, 9:15pm

ESPNU

Virginia Tech at Wake Forest, 12pm
Utah at Pittsburgh, 3:30pm
Alabama at Ole Miss, 7pm

FOX Sports

Oklahoma at Kansas, 12pm FSN
Florida St. at Duke, 3pm ACC RSNs
UCF at SMU, 3:30pm FSN
UTEP at Tulane, 3:30pm FOX College Sports (confirmed)
Baylor at Texas A&M, 7pm F/X
Iowa St. at Missouri, 7pm FOX College Sports
Georgia at Vanderbilt, 7pm SEC RSNs

Versus

Stanford at Washington St, 7:30pm

BTN

Purdue at Penn St., 12pm (time confirmed)
Ohio St. at Illinois, 3:30pm
Northwestern at Iowa, 7pm (confirmed)

Regional Syndication

South Carolina at Mississippi St., 12pm SEC Network
USF at Connecticut, 12pm Big East Network
Miami (FL) at North Carolina, 12:30pm ACC Network
Colorado at Washington, 3:30pm ROOT Sports RSNs
Navy at Rutgers, 3:30pm SNY/Big East Local
BYU at Oregon St., 7pm ROOT Sports RSNs

Guesses for 10/8 12 day selections

2011-09-25T08:06:00.000-04:00

What is somewhat tricky is the Louisville-UNC game. When the game was put together to allow Georgia to play in the Chick-Fil-A Kickoff Classic, it was to be played opening weekend and guaranteed ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 coverage. When UNC couldn't move or get out of the James Madison game, they had to find another date, but I think the promise of ABC/ESPN/ESPN2 coverage remains.

F/X is confirmed to have a Big 12 game as both Pac-12 selections for FOX have been set for FSN. Versus has its first Pac-12 in-season pick.

CBS
Florida at LSU, 3:30pm

ABC
Oklahoma vs. Texas, 12pm (confirmed)
Texas A&M at Texas Tech, 3:30pm (RM)
Iowa at Penn St., 3:30pm (RM)
Miami (FL) at Virginia Tech, 8pm
Ohio St. at Nebraska, 8pm

ESPN
Illinois at Indiana, 12pm
ABC Reverse Mirror, 3:30pm
Vanderbilt at Alabama, 7:45pm

ESPN2
Louisville at North Carolina, 12pm
Auburn at Arkansas, 7pm

ESPNU
Florida St. at Wake Forest, 12pm
Pittsburgh at Rutgers, 3:30pm
Georgia at Tennessee, 7pm
San Jose St. at BYU, 10:15pm

FOX Sports
Mississippi St. at UAB, 12pm FSN (confirmed)
Arizona St. at Utah, 3:30pm FSN
Boston College at Clemson, 3:30pm ACC RSNs
Iowa St. at Baylor, 7pm FSN
Missouri at Kansas St., 7pm FOX College
Kansas at Oklahoma St, 8pm F/X
Washington St. at UCLA, 10:30pm FSN

Versus
Colorado at Stanford, 7:30pm

BTN
Minnesota at Purdue, 12pm

Syndication/Regional
Connecticut at West Virginia, 12pm Big East (confirmed)
Kentucky at South Carolina, 12pm SEC
Maryland at Georgia Tech, 12:30pm ACC
Arizona at Oregon St., 7pm FSAZ/ROOT NW

ESPN3
Central Michigan at NC State, 6pm

Thoughts on the off-field crap...

2011-09-18T20:01:00.001-04:00

I'm not thrilled with the decision for Syracuse and Pittsburgh to bolt for the ACC. But I get it. It's not about the cash. The ACC will be behind the SEC, Big Ten and Pac-1? in that regard. It's about stability in a conference when you look at the ACC increasing its exit fee to $20 million. They made a commitment to each other, compared to the Big East's $5 million exit fee which neither school will have much trouble paying out.

It is an indictment on the leadership of John Marinatto. I admit that I was willing to give John a chance and the move to invite TCU (which I wasn't in favor of, but accepted) and the feeling that they could do better than the ESPN offer the conference rejected in April, an offer that had a decent increase in rights fee but was dwarfed by both the Big 12's contract from FOX (who knows what is going on there) and the Pac-12's split deals with FOX and ESPN. You had a feeling that Marinatto wasn't going to be blind to the football side of the house. And with some of the fracturing going on, you had to wonder if the Big East could be considered in a position of strength. They had possible flexibility with a free agent like Texas, maybe a travel buddy for TCU, allowing them to keep their Longhorn Network and be a bell cow for the football side. Something beyond enticing the remnants of a broken conference.

Something happened. Maybe spurning the ESPN deal neutered that flexibility, where ESPN could have said their offer no longer was in play. Maybe Marinatto, serving 16 masters today but of different agendas athletically, was pressured to continue to push Villanova as a viable option as a football playing member. There could have been internal conflict about who he wanted to contact about conference membership and the type of membership (full member, football only, everything but football, financial incentives, etc.) but couldn't get any consensus on what to do. Maybe the appeal of the left behind members of the Big 12 didn't appeal to everyone where it might have appealed to Marinatto, or vice-versa.

He didn't hitch his wagon to Texas like Big 12 commissioner Dan Beebe did, and it appears that Beebe could end up managing a conference where the member with the most stature is Missouri. Sorry Kansas, football will matter and I saw what Georgia Tech did to you guys, and Louisville might have more overall health as an athletic department than anyone who might remain from the Big 12. The inability to build consensus and relationships between himself and among other members kept an uneasy alliance...uneasy, and now irreparably broken.

John wasn't given the power that Larry Scott was given by the Pac-10 presidents, to go out and do things for the conference, within committed parameters of revenue sharing. He could wine and dine Texas & Oklahoma, and while it sounded like he only hit a double with the additions of Colorado & Utah, he used his media connections and savvy to get a massive television rights contract for his members and a very out-of-the-box approach to a conference network. His lessons learned appears that it will allow him to make another run at Texas & Oklahoma and friends, with parameters that appear to be the consensus of the school presidents.

We know how powerful Jim Delany is and how committed the Big Ten members are to each other, a common agenda in education and athletics. And we now see that John Swofford was able to maintain a united front in the ACC, one that appealed to two Big East schools and possibly two more in the near future.

Fact is, the appointed leader is only as good as the backing of his constituents, managing those egos and expectations. In the cases of John Marinatto and Dan Beebe, that backing was missing, their faith was misplaced, vision was shortsighted. But those same school presidents need to look at what they could have done. The Big East, as Rick Pitino once said, was a corporation and not a conference. A governing body not unlike the old ECAC, where many of those founding Big East members came from. The Big 12 was an uneasy partnership from day one, forged in the purpose of making money from television rights. Kevin Weiberg knew he couldn't build that consensus while leading the Big 12 and bolted for greener pastures, first at the Big Ten Network and now in the Pac-1? office.

The school presidents' failure to get a strong leader doomed them, but these men were their spokesman, the presenter of their agendas and that speaks volumes about the backbone of many of those presidents. And that includes Nancy Cantor and Mark Nordenberg. Their decision to bolt makes sense, but they also need to be accountable for the failure of the Big East to move forward.