tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-60581925139755919572024-10-09T15:41:59.319-04:00If you like this blog, don't forget to "share-the-love".Unknownnoreply@blogger.comBlogger180125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-3194773819405025622015-02-28T12:54:00.001-05:002015-02-28T12:54:48.437-05:00

Below is the signal overview based on Ivy Portfolio Method. SP 500 : $SPY (Risk ON) OVERRIDE MSCI EAFE (The Most Famous International Index) : $DEM (Risk off) U.S. 10-Year Government Bonds : $TLT (Risk ON)  NAREIT (U.S. Real Estate Index) : $VNQ (Risk ON)  SP GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index) : $DBC (Risk off) / $GLD (Risk off) US Dollars: $UUP (Risk ON)   OverOverall, the

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-24109942084968820962015-01-14T15:35:00.001-05:002015-01-14T15:35:04.127-05:00

Here are couple charts on OIL and related trading products. This is /CL 4h chart from yesterday. I see a bullish cross and indicators turning bullish. This is $ERX hourly. I see MACD RSI both showing bullish divergence. I believe it is pointing 52. Below are 2 charts from fehro: $USO gaps and trend $WTIC EOD showing a hammer.

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-6296292838483802272015-01-12T13:54:00.004-05:002015-01-12T13:54:57.310-05:00

And here’s a fun fact: 2015 of course is a year that ends in a 5. For what it’s worth, going back to 1905, the stock market (as measured by the Dow until 1925, and then the S&P 500 thereafter) has never been down in a year ending in 5; with the average return a whopping 32% (and only two years without double-digit returns). http://www.schwab.com/public/schwab/nn/articles/

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-25929771649671502672015-01-08T14:20:00.004-05:002015-01-08T14:20:46.306-05:00

I see a bullish setup. I am playing for 43 then gap fill at 46.5, and I am hoping for 52.5 hit before summer. Charts from my friends: fehro: TWTR daily fwiw.. just under 50d.. possible channel resistance.. volume not huge.. yet.. BullBear52x: It's on a buy. need this breakout to fly higher.

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-54057187187844420092015-01-05T11:08:00.001-05:002015-01-05T11:10:05.108-05:00

What I have: 1. multi-test 5 level 2. series of higher lows 3. diamond breakout. What I need: 1. continue the demark count 2. get out the dark cloud 3. register a RSI buy signal either today or tomorrow 4. take out previous high at high 6s 5. take 7.25 VWAP Time frame: before March expiration Measure: 7.25/5.64 = 28%

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-65201066900783115592015-01-04T13:01:00.003-05:002015-01-04T13:01:34.910-05:00

When I search online, I found 2 more lists. Marketwatch List: It is compiled from 3 newsletters.  Buy back letter: 10.8% annualized returns since March 2000, compared to 3.8% annualized for the Wilshire 5000 Total Market Index, according to Hulbert Financial Digest. picks: YHOO, AAPL Motley Fool Insider Value: 14% annualized over the past 10 years, compared to 8.4%

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-72614539200563684872015-01-04T12:38:00.000-05:002015-01-05T10:00:58.760-05:00

Barron's posts a favorite 10 list every year. The list has a good tracking record. 2011: trailed the benchmark index, falling 7% as the S&P dropped 2%. 2012: gaining 17% against a 12.6% rise in the S&P. 2013: gaining 35.2%, nine percentage points better than the S&P 500. 2014: gaining an average of 18.1%, compared with 15.7% for the Standard & Poor’s 500 index. US Airways, now

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-11189164725049796172014-11-21T13:10:00.001-05:002014-11-21T13:10:39.265-05:00

5 must-see-chart stocks IBM LVS BLL MU AMAT I like all 5 names. I am going to post my strategies later.

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-12885341920865292062014-11-12T17:08:00.001-05:002014-11-12T17:08:43.583-05:00

In the chart below, upper part is NYA, NY exchange index. It is the index for all stocks listed on NYSE. It is still pretty far away from all time high.Lower part shows the trend of Institutional Selling. It is inversely related to the broad market index. When the trend lines are going down, like they have been, the declining selling activity allows the market to go up. When the trend lines are

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-29249862154563410452014-11-05T18:55:00.002-05:002014-11-05T18:55:51.213-05:00

Stock Picks From Robin Hood Investors Conference 2014I follow her on twitter because she is informative, and hot. https://twitter.com/SallyPancakes/David Einhorn (Greenlight Capital): long SunEdison (SUNE), Greek banks like Alpha and Piraeus (via warrants).  Short French debt.David Tepper (Appaloosa Management): short the Euro. Larry Robbins (Glenview Capital): long Community Health (

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-62253042119752183072014-11-05T18:52:00.000-05:002014-11-05T18:52:17.406-05:00

found online Sohn Conference San Francisco 2014 Notes Jeff Ubben - ValueAct Capital - LONG Agrium (AGU) Thesis:  They have a $750M stake in the company.  Generally sees opportunity in the space.  AGU has continued to invest in the business the past 7 years, thinks this investment will start to show returns.  JANA went after mgmt and lost proxy battle, but this

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-4746339485230187522014-11-05T17:22:00.002-05:002014-11-05T17:22:55.151-05:00

 Me is back. October is a month that made its spot in trading history. Sharp reversal. This October could be 1st time since March 2009 when S&P 500 fell by >7% only to end the month positive. Volatility event. VIX is the volatility index measuring the fear level of the market. VIX is a trademarked ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange Market

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-73797918604598855992014-06-06T11:37:00.003-04:002014-06-06T11:37:48.393-04:00

bullish stocks Bearish Stocks

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-64063819397455927742014-06-03T14:02:00.002-04:002014-06-03T14:02:41.667-04:00

I want to show another way of using options. Earnings release is a typical event trading topic. Every company has to release earnings 4 times in a year. At ER, company is going to summarize previous quarter and provide forward looking statement. Frequently it becomes a catalyst to stock price movement. Stock selection Graham Valuation Model Benjamin Graham is a legendary stock writer from

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-26213040581986899452014-06-02T22:33:00.002-04:002014-06-02T22:33:38.022-04:00

The 5 portfolio components signals are SP 500 (Risk ON)  MSCI EAFE (The Most Famous International Index) (Risk ON) U.S. 10-Year Government Bonds (Risk ON)  NAREIT (U.S. Real Estate Index) (Risk ON) SP GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index) (Risk ON) / GLD (Risk off) US Dollars / UUP (Risk off)   In the charts below, the lighter color Moving Average is 200 Day, which is very

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-54117757842935997122014-05-03T17:14:00.000-04:002014-05-03T17:14:14.146-04:00

AMATEURS PROFESSIONALS Have tons of ideas, are excited about all of them and see none to fruition. Have tons of ideas, pick one and do their best to make it happen. Think they can do everything. Know it’s almost impossible to achieve one thing. Think they know everything. Are always learning. Start with no preparation. Do research, they want to

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-1762109170077546052014-05-01T09:20:00.001-04:002014-05-01T09:20:16.257-04:00

forgot to post this one. ES hourly from 4/25 new look with no major change.

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-22833183298797599802014-04-23T22:44:00.001-04:002014-04-23T22:48:51.762-04:00

This is the mid-of month catch all. I will put ideas, readings and charts together here. Tape reading This is a chart I cut this morning. I read it as a bearish crab. In other words, unless we get some super power to take out the previous all-time high 1892.75, it will check the gravity. Recently with the momentum stock sell-off, new tech, bio, solar, and other hot names are all coming back

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-86302889243322179872014-04-07T22:44:00.002-04:002014-04-07T22:44:42.593-04:00

Today ES, the SP500 futures draw a quick bottom around 1833 which happened to be 3/27 low. So far I believe it is bottomed for now. IMO, it is a good quality 1on1, pointing at high 1850s. On the chart I listed couple supporting levels. The next chart is silver daily. As I mentioned last time, I am playing the Gartley reversal. My target is still 21.50

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-2272921367436144402014-04-03T00:26:00.000-04:002014-04-03T00:26:49.193-04:00

The 5 portfolio components signals are SP 500 (Risk ON)  MSCI EAFE (The Most Famous International Index) (Risk ON) U.S. 10-Year Government Bonds (Risk off)  NAREIT (U.S. Real Estate Index) (Risk ON) SP GSCI (Goldman Sachs Commodity Index) (Risk ON) / GLD (Risk off) US Dollars / UUP (Risk off)   In the charts below, the lighter color Moving Average is 200 Day, which is very close

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-31383653615638851742014-03-26T09:47:00.002-04:002014-03-26T09:47:11.472-04:00

The world is uneasy in the past couple weeks. The market is volatile. My view is "the short term market is weak but not enough to trigger mid- to long- term sell." EEM is the ETF for emerging market. After the Ukraine crisis cool off a little, it is rebounding. I see a good year for the emerging market. I expect high 41s in short term. SLV is the ETF for silver. I have been trading

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-32784006865076082302014-02-18T20:01:00.001-05:002014-02-18T20:01:45.458-05:00

V shape again. No matter how much I love it, I feel ES / SPX is getting close to a stopping point. I reduced my exposure today.  Overall my target is still 1880. I want to buy at 1815. There is chance ES break out 1850 directly w/o correction. If it happens, I will chase.

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-57473518608189255562014-02-07T09:29:00.001-05:002014-02-07T09:29:10.457-05:00

refine of my road map.

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-71260497425318606362014-02-03T17:30:00.000-05:002014-02-03T17:30:42.773-05:00

Portfolio Update Oops I guess I missed yet another update. No change in signal for Jan, even with the sell off in the new year. As i described, my style of Ivy Portfolio is to adjust at the month end only, so even with today's crash, sell is not triggered yet. Market View On Jan 29, I posted the chart above. It is Daily chart of ES, which is the futures of S&P 500 index. We got a

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-6058192513975591957.post-7994136445349494742013-12-06T10:25:00.002-05:002013-12-06T10:29:02.813-05:00

me not chasing. oops, just realized i forgot to post my last chart here. chart on 12/3, LIS 1780

Unknownnoreply@blogger.com0