MTEF is The Bayesian Heresy

Good Text Book on Public Policy

2011-12-05T09:49:00.001-08:00

Section I: What Is Public Policy?

Chapter 1: Public Decision Making

Chapter 2: Why Is It So Hard to Make the World a Better Place?

Section II: Why We Do What We Do

Chapter 3: Understanding Individual Behavior: Rational Man and Woman

Chapter 4: Understanding Group Behavior: Collective Action

Chapter 5: Evaluating Social Welfare

Section III: Markets and Government

Chapter 6: The Political Process

Chapter 7: The Market System

Chapter 8: The Role of Government

Section IV: Tools for Analysis

Chapter 9: Gathering and Measuring Information

Chapter 10: Basic Data Analysis

Chapter 11: Introduction to Regression Analysis

Chapter 12: Benefit-Cost Analysis

Chapter 13: Program Evaluation

Section V: Making Policy

Chapter 14: The Role of Institutions

Chapter 15: Policy Design

Introduction to Public Policy by Charles Wheelan

India Education Fact of the Day

2011-11-13T10:29:00.001-08:00

World Bank asks 'Did you know that 98% of children in India now have a school within 1 km walking distance?

You call this education? A government school in Lucknow

Bribery for Grade in Eastern Europe

2011-11-13T10:20:00.001-08:00

a recent survey of university students in several ECA countries found that more than 60 percent of respondents knew other students who had purchased either entrance to the university or a specific grade

Source: Skills, Not Just Diplomas-Managing Education for Results in Eastern Europe and Central Asia [October 2011]

System of Health Accounts

2011-10-15T07:02:00.000-07:00

The Oxford Handbook of Health Economics

2011-09-29T23:05:00.000-07:00

1. Overview , Peter Smith and Sherry Glied

The Organization of Health Care Systems

2. Health Systems in Industrialized Countries , Bianca K. Frogner, Peter S. Hussey, and Gerard F. Anderson

3. Health Systems in Low and Middle Income Countries , Anne Mills

4. The Political Economy of Health Care , Carolyn Tuohy and Sherry Glied

5. The Promise of Health: Evidence of the Impact of Health on Income and Well-Being , William Jack

Determinants of Health

6. Health Production , Kristian Bolin

7. Socioeconomic Status and Health: Dimensions and Mechanisms , David M. Cutler, Adriana Lleras-Muney, and Tom Vogl

8. Determinants of Health in Childhood , Michael Baker and Mark Stabile

9. Economics of Infectious Diseases , Ramanan Laxminarayan and Anup Malani

10. Economics of Health Behaviours and Addictions: Contemporary Issues and Policy Implications , Donald S. Kenkel and Jody Sindelar

11. Economic and Mental Health: An International Perspective , Richard G. Frank

Institutions of Health Care Finance

12. Public Sector Health Care Financing , Ake Blomqvist

13. Voluntary Private Health Insurance , Peter Zweifel

14. Health Care Cost Growth , Michael E. Chernew and Dustin May

15. User Charges , Erik Schokkaert and Carine Van de Voorde

Economic Problems of Health Care Finance

16. Insurance and the Demand for Medical Care , Mark V. Pauly

17. Guaranteed Access to Affordable Coverage in Individual Health Insurance Markets , Wynand P.M.M. van de Ven and Frederik T. Schut

18. Managed Care , Laurence Baker

The Institutions of Health Care Supply

19. Hospitals: Teaming Up , Pedro Pita Barros and Pau Olivella

20. Primary Care , Anthony Scott and Stephen Jan

21. The Global Health Workforce , Till Barnighausen and David E. Bloom

22. The Economics of the Biopharmaceutical Industry , Patricia M. Danzon

23. Disease Prevention, Health Care and Economics , Jane Hall

24. Long-Term Care , Jose-Luis Fernandez, Julien Forder and Martin Knapp

Economic Problems of Health Care Supply

25. Physician Agency and Payment for Primary Medical Care , Thomas G. McGuire

26. Provider Payment and Incentives , Jon B. Christianson and Douglas Conrad

27. Non-Price Rationing and Waiting Times , Tor Iversen and Luigi Siciliani

28. Increasing Competition between Providers in Health Care Markets: The Economic Evidence , Carol Propper and George Leckie

Assessing Performance

29. Measuring Organisational Performance , Jim Burgess and Andrew Street

30. Health System Productivity , Jack E. Triplett

31. The Methods of Cost-Effectiveness Analysis to Inform Decisions about the Use of Health Care Interventions and Programmes , Simon Walker, Mark Sculpher and Mike Drummond

32. Analysing Uncertainty in Cost-effectiveness for Decision Making , Susan Griffin and Karl Claxton

33. Health Utility Measurement , Donna Rowen and John Brazier

Economic Perspectives on Fairness

34. Concepts of Equity and Fairness in Health and Health Care , Jan Abel Olsen

35. Measuring Inequality and Inequity in Health and Health Care , Eddy van Doorslaer and Tom Van Ourti

36. Intergenerational Aspects of Health Care , Louise Sheiner

Economic Methodology and Health Policy

37. Econometric Evaluation of Health Policies , Andrew M. Jones and Nigel Rice

38. Health Economics and Policy: The Challenges of Proselytising , Alan K. Maynard and Karen Bloor

Healthcare Reform

2011-09-29T22:49:00.000-07:00

For Discussion: From where do we start reforming health sector in poor countries? What would be entry points? What countries can be considered best practice- Thailand, Estonia, Rwanda? What lessons can be drawn from OECD countries?

Assorted on Open Government

2011-09-26T11:25:00.000-07:00

International Open Government Partnership to Include at Least 22 Countries at Launch Historic global

Open Government Partnership

Jobs in PFM

2011-09-26T11:20:00.001-07:00

Research Fellow/Manager - Budget Strengthening Initiative - Fixed Term Contract until March 2015

Deputy Director – Budget Strengthening Initiative - Fixed Term Contract until March 2015

Performance Auditing Best Practice

2011-09-26T11:14:00.000-07:00

Climate Engineering: Technical Status, Future Directions, and Potential Responses;

Climate engineering technologies do not now offer a viable response to global climate change. Experts advocating research to develop and evaluate the technologies believe that research on these technologies is urgently needed or would provide an insurance policy against worst case climate scenarios--but caution that the misuse of research could bring new risks. Government reports and the literature suggest that research progress will require not only technology studies but also efforts to improve climate models and data. The technologies being proposed have been categorized as carbon dioxide removal (CDR) and solar radiation management (SRM). CDR would reduce the atmospheric concentration of CO2, allowing more heat to escape and thus cooling the Earth. For example, proposed CDR technologies include enhancing the uptake of CO2 in oceans and forests and capturing CO2 from air chemically for storage underground. SRM technologies would place reflective material in space or in Earth's atmosphere to scatter or reflect sunlight (for example, by injecting sulfate aerosols into the stratosphere to scatter incoming solar radiation or brightening clouds) or would increase the planet's reflectivity (for example, by painting roofs and pavements in light colors). GAO found these technologies currently immature, many with potentially negative consequences. Some studies say, for example, that stratospheric aerosols might greatly reduce summer precipitation in places such as India and northern China. Many experts advocated research because of its potential benefits but also recognized its risks. For example, a country might unilaterally deploy a technology with a transboundary effect. Research advocates emphasized the need for risk management, envisioning a federal research effort that would (1) focus internationally on transparency and cooperation, given transboundary effects; (2) enable the public and national leaders to consider issues before they become crises; and (3) anticipate opportunities and risks. A small number of those we consulted opposed research; they anticipated major technology risks or limited future climate change. Based on GAO's survey, a majority of U.S. adults are not familiar with climate engineering. When given information on the technologies, they tend to be open to research but concerned about safety.

Wholeheartedly agree with Matt Andrews

2011-09-22T23:41:00.000-07:00

If only all development organizations were required to provide background stories like these for the innovations they so easily reproduce everywhere. One wonders if ministers of finance in French speaking African countries would so willingly agree to Medium Term Expenditure Framework reforms if they knew where these ideas came from (select advanced Anglophone countries like Australia), what kind of process MTEFs emerged from in these settings, what kind of political context they demand, what capacities they require etc. Ditto for just about every good, better or best practice one can think of. We need more of what ISS is providing: materials to help theorize what makes a best or innovative practice best or innovative and to assist us in thinking about whether these practices fit into new contexts...or what will be required to facilitate the fit. Visit their web site at http://www.princeton.edu/successfulsocieties/

New PFM Blogger

2011-09-18T10:43:00.000-07:00

Matt Andrews

Carlo Cottarelli on Bloomberg

2011-09-18T10:30:00.000-07:00

Head of Fiscal Affairs Department of the IMF;“IMF’s Cottarelli Urges ‘Targeted’ Cuts of U.S. Budget”

Irish Fiscal Advisory Council

2011-09-08T04:57:00.001-07:00

The government announced the establishment of the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council (IFAC) on July 7, 2011. The IFAC is mandated to provide an assessment of:
(i) the soundness of official macro-fiscal forecasts;

(ii) the appropriateness of the fiscal stance (including the government’s stated medium-term budgetary objective); and
(iii) the consistency between budgetary plans and fiscal rules (the latter are to be specified in a Fiscal Responsibility Bill by year-end).

The IFAC will submit, at least three times a year, written reports to the Minister for Finance, which will automatically be communicated to the Oireachtas within 24 hours. This effectively means that the IFAC’s reports are published with the Minister having advance notice of their content. There are no restrictions, otherwise, on the Council’s communication with the public.

The IFAC comprises five members, appointed by the Minister for Finance for initial tenures of two to four years. The members will serve in a voluntary capacity, assisted by a small secretariat including full-time economist staff. The Council has been allocated initial funding for the remainder of 2011.

Among the range of fiscal councils in Europe, the IFAC appears most similar to the Swedish Fiscal Policy Council, both in terms of mandate and funding. For instance, the IFAC is charged with assessing, rather than producing, the official macro-fiscal forecasts, which explains its relatively modest resources compared with say, the U.K.’s Office for Budget Responsibility

-Ireland: Third Review Under the Extended Arrangement - Staff Report

A mathematician on Capital Budgeting

2011-09-06T08:25:00.000-07:00

Priority-setting and capital budgeting. Allocating a budget often involves the comparisons of diverse projects whose benefits are difficult to directly estimate and then compare. Organizations also often confuse budget items defined by accounting conditions with actionable projects. A good budgeting process is built by creating useful "decision units," robust measurement criteria and a group process for obtaining inputs and finally ranking projects. Such budgeting processes are equally useful in private corporations and governmental organizations. I have developed such ranking processes for Los Alamos National Laboratory, Sandia National Laboratory, ChevronTexaco. Included in the projects are rankings to allocate yearly budgets for contaminated site cleanups, repair priorities for oil pipelines and capital project rankings for electric utilities.

From John Kadvany

Risk: A Very Short Introduction

2011-09-06T03:15:00.000-07:00

Table of Contents
1. Risk decisions
2. Defining risks
3. Analyzing risks
4. Risk perceptions
5. Risk communication
6. Reconciling risks
7. Risk, culture and society

Authors: Baruch Fischhoff and John Kadvany

Artists sentenced by Tax Authorities

2011-09-02T08:36:00.000-07:00

Norwegian officials have sentenced the painter Odd Nerdrum to two years in prison on charges that he evaded paying the full amount of taxes on $2.6 million that he made selling artwork between 1998 and 2002.

Mauritius PEFA update

2011-08-31T12:10:00.000-07:00

Mauritius appears to have done an update of its PEFA;

Mauritius continues to perform well against the PEFA benchmarks. The scores show progress compared to the 2007 PEFA assessment, with 27 out of the 31 reported ratings higher or equal to those obtained in 2007...

Comprehensiveness and transparency have improved since the last PEFA
assessment. The budget classification system adopted for the 2008-09 budget, which incorporates a program budget approach for the first time, is based on the IMF Government Finance Statistics Manual (GFSM) 2001. Budget documentation is relatively comprehensive, meeting seven out of nine of the required benchmarks. However, the analysis and discussion of macro-fiscal projections and fiscal outputs are limited, and transactions between the central government and extra-budgetary units are not fully reported

The monitoring of fiscal risks has been progressively strengthened over the
reporting period, though gaps still remain. Monitoring and reporting of fiscal risks is not always systematic and coverage remains incomplete―financial institutions and extra-budgetary units are not monitored. Budget integrity is in general sound, with some remaining issues in the monitoring and publication of contract awards and the tracking of flows of funds to primary service delivery units.

A clear annual budget calendar exists and is largely adhered to. The budget
circular provides the guidance necessary for line ministries to prepare a complete and detailed budget submission. However, strategic planning capacity in government remains limited and the links between macroeconomic projections, fiscal strategy, ministry-level strategic plans, and the budget process require strengthening. In particular, insufficient time is available at the early stages of the budget process for discussions between line ministries and the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development (MoFED) to determine strategic priorities within the fiscal framework. This is particularly apparent on the capital side of the budget, where significant capacity constraints result in substantial underspending.

Quote of the Day

2011-08-08T00:45:00.000-07:00

Steven VanRoekel is the new CIO.

He brought a .com mentality to the FCC, including a perspective that “everything should be an API” that caught some tech observers’ eye. He worked with an innovative new media team that established a voice for social media for the @FCC on social media where that had been none and a FCC.gov/live livestream that automatically detected what device you’d used to access it.

Happy Birthday GAO

2011-08-07T04:06:00.000-07:00

Accountability Is Their Middle Name

Some recent reports from GAO:
Economic Development: Efficiency and Effectiveness of Fragmented Programs Are Unclear

Climate Change Adaptation: Aligning Funding with Strategic Priorities

Financial Education and Counseling Pilot Program

Value-Added Taxes: Potential Lessons for the United States from Other Countries' Experiences

Data Center Consolidation: Agencies Need to Complete Inventories and Plans to Achieve Expected Savings

Millennium Challenge Corporation: Compacts in Cape Verde and Honduras Achieved Reduced Targets

Information Sharing Environment: Better Road Map Needed to Guide Implementation and Investments

Pakistan Assistance: Relatively Little of the $3 Billion in Requested Assistance Is Subject to State's Certification of Pakistan's Progress on Nonproliferation and Counterterrorism Issues

Drinking Water: Unreliable State Data Limit EPA's Ability to Target Enforcement Priorities and Communicate Water Systems' Performance

Information Technology: Continued Attention Needed to Accurately Report Federal Spending and Improve Management

Cost and Legal Authority for Selected Financial Literacy Programs and Activities

Domestic Violence, Sexual Assault, Dating Violence, and Stalking: National Data Collection Efforts Underway to Address Some Information Gaps

The Democratic Republic of the Congo: Information on the Rate of Sexual Violence in War-Torn Eastern DRC and Adjoining Countries

Child Fatalities from Maltreatment: National Data Could Be Strengthened

NASA Needs to Better Assess Contract Termination Liability Risks and Ensure Consistency in Its Practices

Child Maltreatment: Strengthening National Data on Child Fatalities Could Aid in Prevention

Combating Terrorism: Additional Steps Needed to Enhance Foreign Partners' Capacity to Prevent Terrorist Travel

Antibiotic Resistance: Data Gaps Will Remain Despite HHS Taking Steps to Improve Monitoring

Tax Gap: Complexity and Taxpayer Compliance

Influenza Pandemic: Lessons from the H1N1 Pandemic Should Be Incorporated into Future Planning

American Samoa and Commonwealth of the Northern Mariana Islands: Employment, Earnings, and Status of Key Industries Since Minimum Wage Increases Began

Tax Administration: Information on Selected Foreign Practices That May Provide Useful Insights

On Fiscal Rules

2011-08-05T14:03:00.000-07:00

How Intelligent Budget Rules Help Chile Prosper: Lessons for the US

How Smart Fiscal Rules Keep Sweden’s Budget in Balance

Assorted

2011-08-05T12:20:00.000-07:00

How Teacher Turnover Harms Student Achievement

The Economics of Crime: Lessons for and from Latin America

Andrew Leigh's blog

Dashboards are only tools: effectiveness depends on their use

2011-08-04T13:49:00.000-07:00

A new report for the IBM Center by Dr. Sukumar Ganapati, “Using Dashboards in Government” provides a snapshot into the internal and external uses of dashboards as ways of monitoring performance and providing accountability and transparency in large organizations. Ganapati says: “Dashboards summarize key performance metrics of organzations. They typically integrate data from different sources and display performance measures through informative graphics. The visualization allows readers to understand complex data in less time than it would take to read similar material ocated in the text of a full report.

He says there are different types of dashboards: operational (for monitoring in real time such as call centers or air traffic control); tactical (for analysis and benchmarking such as welfare caseload processing); and strategic (such as balanced scorecards of agency performance).

Source: Using Dashboards in Government

Public Finance and Society

2011-07-26T06:11:00.000-07:00

Quote of the day;

“… public finances are one of the best starting points for an investigation of society. The spirit of a people, its cultural level, its social structure, the deeds its policy may prepare — and this and more is written in its fiscal history.” He cites Goldscheid. 1917. Staatsozialismus order Staatskapitalismus. “the budget is the skeleton of the state stripped of all misleading ideologies.”

Tongo Medium Term Budget Framework

2011-05-21T14:13:00.000-07:00

Tongo- Budget Process

Apps for Development Competition winners announced

2011-04-16T07:03:00.000-07:00

StatPlanet World Bank

Development Timelines

Development beyond GDP

See the full sets of Apps