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<channel>
	<title>Musings of a modern guy</title>
	
	<link>http://ashisha.com/blog</link>
	<description>Talk about issues that excite or worry me</description>
	<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 19:15:46 +0000</pubDate>
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	<language>en</language>
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		<title>India - Delhi High Court rules that gay sex is legal</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/india-delhi-high-court-rules-that-gay-sex-is-legal</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/india-delhi-high-court-rules-that-gay-sex-is-legal#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 02 Jul 2009 19:15:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Court]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Homosexual]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Equality]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Judgment]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Sex]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=347</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The world over, different countries have different concepts revolving around homosexuality. There are states in the United States that have made marriage between homosexuals as having the same legal sanctity as that between a man and a woman, there are other states where this is a matter of huge debate and controversy (with the Catholic [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The world over, different countries have different concepts revolving around homosexuality. There are states in the United States that have made marriage between homosexuals as having the same legal sanctity as that between a man and a woman, there are other states where this is a matter of huge debate and controversy (with the Catholic and Protestant churches being against it), countries in parts of Europe are liberal while those where the Church has a stronger influence are less likely, and there are the Islamic countries where the concept is abhorrent - forget marriage between homosexuals, even the concept of a relationship was unacceptable (for example, in Iraq, insurgents would target homosexuals for murder).<br />
What about the thought of homosexuality in a country such as India, which has a long history, and where there is a lot of debate even among historians about whether homosexuality was prevalent in the past. India, till today, had a law called Section 377, that made homosexuality a crime (even among consenting adults). This law meant that even among groups with a higher risk pattern for AIDS (such as gays), it was difficult to really follow anti-AIDS programs since a number of people would hide their homosexuality, or not be open about it. </p>
<p><span id="more-347"></span><br />
For the past several years, there has been a debate stoked by AIDS campaigners and gay rights groups about revoking this section of the penal code (it was introduced by the British in British ruled India in 1861, and is no longer prevalent in the Britain of today). However, attempts by the Government to do a debate on removing this section of the penal code runs aground due to opposition by religious groups (and there are enough people in each religious group to be outraged by the thought of homosexuality), so it would have seemed difficult by the Government to move fast on such a law. And then came this stunning judgment by the Delhi High Court (and interestingly, it uses the same argument as used by several US state courts, using the theory that such laws are violative of many of the equality and fundamental rights of citizens) <a href="http://www.expressindia.com/latest-news/Delhi-High-Court-legalises-gay-sex/484039/" target="_blank">(link to target)</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>
In a breakthrough judgment, the Delhi High Court on Thursday legalised gay sex among consenting adults holding that the law making it a criminal offence violates fundamental rights. &#8220;We declare section 377 of IPC in so far as it criminalises consensual sexual acts of adults in private is violative of Articles 14, 21 and 15 of the Constitution,&#8221; a Bench comprising Chief Justice A P Shah and Justice S Murlidhar said.<br />
It further said that this judgement will hold till Parliament chooses to amend the law. &#8220;In our view Indian Constitutional Law does not permit the statutory criminal law to be held captive by the popular misconception of who the LGBTs (lesbian gay bisexual transgender) are. &#8220;It cannot be forgotten that discrimination is antithesis of equality and that it is the recognition of equality which will foster dignity of every individual,&#8221; the Bench said in its 105-page judgement.
</p></blockquote>
<p>It is pretty much sure that there will be appeals to the Supreme Court by many sections of society, one only hopes that the Government will not try to get this judgment over-turned. At the same time, this is a judgment by the Delhi High Court, and is applicable in the capital city (even though it is a precedent that can be used by organizations all over the country); ultimately it is either the judgment of the Supreme Court or a law passed by Parliament that can ensure coverage across the entire country.</p>
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		<title>US troops withdraw from key Iraqi cities</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/us-troops-withdraw-from-key-iraqi-cities</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/us-troops-withdraw-from-key-iraqi-cities#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 30 Jun 2009 12:11:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Iraq]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Violence]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Army]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Occupation]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Resistance]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Withdrawal]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=345</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Most people now recognize the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 to be a mistake, given that it had negative consequences in a variety of different areas (we&#8217;ll talk about that later). The invasion led to Iraq becoming a magnet for Islamic fighters from all over, unleashed the sectarian divisions that had been brutally suppressed [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most people now recognize the US invasion of Iraq in 2003 to be a mistake, given that it had negative consequences in a variety of different areas (we&#8217;ll talk about that later). The invasion led to Iraq becoming a magnet for Islamic fighters from all over, unleashed the sectarian divisions that had been brutally suppressed by Saddam Hussein, led to horrific casualties among the population in the fighting that followed, and scared the neighboring countries (other than Iran), since it led to a Sunni ruled state becoming a Shia ruled state. It also put the United States in a position which was deemed comparable to Vietnam in the sense that mere military might did not lead to a winning position, and dealt huge blows to the armed forces of the US (to both the regular army and to the National Guard).<br />
The issue about getting the army back from Iraq played a major role in the last Presidential campaign, and there is a lot of pressure on Obama to bring back the military; with majority public support being to bring back the army. For many years, it was unclear as to what the timeline for this would be ! However, in the last year or so, the US finally managed to get the right alliances (including with the Sunni minority, elements of which would have been fighting the American forces just a few months back). It was only this reduction of violence, along with fledging steps taken by the Iraqi army and police force (another self-created problem - the initial US head of the Provisional Authority had dissolved the Iraqi army as a contaminated Baathist organization without making any contingency plans). The situation in Iraq now, although not as secure as the US would have liked to see in an ideal world, is enough that the US is able to do the major symbolic action of withdrawing its forces from 6 major Iraqi cities (<a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/8125547.stm" target="_blank">link to article</a>):</p>
<p><span id="more-345"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>
US troops are withdrawing from towns and cities in Iraq, six years after the invasion, having formally handed over security duties to new Iraqi forces. A public holiday - National Sovereignty Day - has been declared, and the capital, Baghdad, threw a giant party to mark the eve of the changeover. US-led combat operations are due to end by September 2010, with all troops gone from Iraq by the end of 2011.<br />
Some 131,000 US troops remain in Iraq, including 12 combat brigades, and the total is not expected to drop below 128,000 until after the Iraqi national election next January. The US Ambassador to Iraq, Christopher Hill, said there would be no major reduction in forces until next year but the pullback was a &#8220;milestone&#8221;.
</p></blockquote>
<p>The current Iraqi Government is treating the event as a major watershed in its regaining of the total control of Iraq, since the presence of US troops in the cities ensured that the Iraqi Government could not take many steps that they would have liked (such as when the Government wanted to apply pressure on Sunni sections in the cities, they had to face some resistance from the US army). With the general elections also due in the next few months, the Iraqi Government is sure to use the opportunity to claim this withdrawal as a victory.<br />
However, the withdrawal does not really reduce the number of troops in the country, and many of the problems that Iraq faces are still there:<br />
1. Security remains a problem<br />
2. Simmering tension between the Sunni and Shia factions remains in place, increased by the impending elections and signs of fraud<br />
3. The army and police are still not upto the required level of training, and not free from factional bias</p>
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		<title>Fined a huge amount for downloading songs</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/fined-a-huge-amount-for-downloading-songs</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/fined-a-huge-amount-for-downloading-songs#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Jun 2009 07:30:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Music]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Penalty]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Sharing]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Case]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Download]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Fine]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Song]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Swapping]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=343</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) has been fighting a battle against people indulging in music-sharing across the internet. For the past many years, the music industry has seen a reduction in the number of music sales through the physical medium (CD&#8217;s, DVD&#8217;s, etc.) and this reduction is being blamed on the amount of [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Recording Industry Association of America (RIAA) has been fighting a battle against people indulging in music-sharing across the internet. For the past many years, the music industry has seen a reduction in the number of music sales through the physical medium (CD&#8217;s, DVD&#8217;s, etc.) and this reduction is being blamed on the amount of file swapping that happens (file swapping gained prominence with Napster, and when the RIAA shut down Napster through a court case, other, more difficult to control file sharing methods such as P2P and torrents have gained prominence).<br />
The music industry and the RIAA have been fighting against these, although fighting against a much widely dispersed enemy in the form of torrent sites and servers is more difficult. The music industry also started attacking the actual users, getting their details from ISP&#8217;s, and then serving them notices with huge amounts of damages. The RIAA also had some hugely embarrassing mistakes, suffering from targeting people such as single mothers, children, and so on, all of which were huge Public Relations disasters. In some cases, they have successes, with people settling with the RIAA out of court. However, in another case, they have won huge damages <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/CRIME/06/18/minnesota.music.download.fine/index.html?iref=mpstoryview" target="_blank">(link to articles)</a>:</p>
<p><span id="more-343"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>A federal jury Thursday found a 32-year-old Minnesota woman guilty of illegally downloading music from the Internet and fined her $80,000 each &#8212; a total of $1.9 million &#8212; for 24 songs. Jammie Thomas-Rasset&#8217;s case was the first such copyright infringement case to go to trial in the United States, her attorney said. Attorney Joe Sibley said that his client was shocked at fine, noting that the price tag on the songs she downloaded was 99 cents.<br />
This was the second trial for Thomas-Rasset. The judge ordered a retrial in 2007 after there was an error in the wording of jury instructions. The fines jumped considerably from the first trial, which granted just $220,000 to the recording companies.
</p></blockquote>
<p>Not sure about whether this will be a success, given that the accused is a single mother who works for an Indian tribe. Also, the RIAA has mostly given up fighting these cases, so this would be one of the few such cases that are still existing.</p>
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		<title>Studying fish stocks from the past in order to figure out the future</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/studying-fish-stocks-from-the-past-in-order-to-figure-out-the-future</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/studying-fish-stocks-from-the-past-in-order-to-figure-out-the-future#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 04 Jun 2009 18:27:29 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Conservation]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Fish]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Food]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Ecology]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Ocean]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Regeneration]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Research]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Study]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=341</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Scientists know that fishing stocks the world over are at risk, both from changes due to global warming, and due to over-fishing (and there have been many reports and articles predicting dire forecasts for the health of the fishing stock in the world&#8217;s oceans). However, in a more detailed and back-looking approach, researchers are studying [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Scientists know that fishing stocks the world over are at risk, both from changes due to global warming, and due to over-fishing (and there have been many reports and articles predicting dire forecasts for the health of the fishing stock in the world&#8217;s oceans). However, in a more detailed and back-looking approach, researchers are studying historical records to see what fish stocks were like just hundreds of years ago, and try to use that data to correlate into estimates of what the future will hold. They are getting hold of historical tax records and logs maintained by sailors, and studying them to determine the long-term impact.<br />
The research was carried out by Members of the History of Marine Animals Project (HMAP), and they came out with results detailing the change in fish species over the past few hundred years that shocked them, and about which they believe that the level of public awareness is low (<a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/05/31/eco.historyoceans/index.html" target="_blank">link to article</a>):</p>
<p><span id="more-341"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>
 The scale of humanity&#8217;s impact has shocked them. &#8220;I was surprised by the magnitude of the depletion of species and its universality around the globe,&#8221; Dr. Andrew Rosenberg, an HMAP project leader told CNN. &#8220;The extent of it was really quite dramatic. We&#8217;ve fundamentally changed ecosystems without realizing that was possible.&#8221; HMAP research has revealed a picture of a remarkable wealth of life in the seas as recently as 200 years ago, which has now largely been lost.<br />
Before whaling began in the waters to the south of New Zealand around 1800, the population of whales was roughly 30 times higher than today. In the 17th century the waters around southwest England were home to blue whales, as well as large numbers of porpoise, dolphins, and blue and thresher sharks. Around the world the inshore regions of our seas are estimated to have on average held 10 times the amount of life two or three hundred years ago than they do today.
</p></blockquote>
<p>The oceans are a fundamental factor in the continuance of the human species, whether that be due to the effect they have on global climate, or due to the fact that many geographical concentrations of humanity are dependent on sea life as a major source of nutrition. For the fisheries around the world to have lost so much correlates with earlier research from a couple of years back that stipulated the dangerous position that many of the world&#8217;s fishing stocks are in. We already see this in the restrictions on the amount of fishing allowed in many regions around the Atlantic in order to conserve the fish population.<br />
At the same time, the research also found that there is hope. If scientifically imposed restrictions on fishing are imposed, fish stocks have bounced back, with the example of the regeneration of the North Sea (Atlantic) herring stocks. If Governments have the courage to thwart the short term interests of the commercial fishing industry, then fish stocks (and the larger species such as whales and other larger fish) can come back.</p>
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		<title>Congress the grand victor of the 2009 Indian elections</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/congress-the-grand-victor-of-the-2009-indian-elections</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/congress-the-grand-victor-of-the-2009-indian-elections#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 16 May 2009 19:30:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Democracy]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Democratic]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Election]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[India]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Parliament]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[BJP]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Congress]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Left]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Mayawati]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Ram Vilas Paswan]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=339</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[So, the bitterly contested election results of the Indian Lok Sabha (Parliamentary elections) are out, and it is the incumbent party, the Congress Party that is the decisive winner. During the course of the campaign and even during the month long multi-stage voting process, it seemed that there was a tight fight between the Congress [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>So, the bitterly contested election results of the Indian Lok Sabha (Parliamentary elections) are out, and it is the incumbent party, the Congress Party that is the decisive winner. During the course of the campaign and even during the month long multi-stage voting process, it seemed that there was a tight fight between the Congress and the BJP led camps. It was also projected that there would be an incredible fight for support from the smaller parties all over the country. This prospect saw these parties salivating over the prospect, and over the demands they would make from the major parties for this support.<br />
So there was a constant tussle about whether existing partners are viable or not, and some parties made gambles. The Biju Janta Dal gambled that it would come back to power without the support of the BJP, the Congress gambled that it would need to build long-term in Bihar and Uttar Pradesh (and in Bihar, it did not have much of a choice, since Lalu gave the party only 3 seats). The Congress gambled about going with the DMK even though Jayalalitha seemed to be the one riding the victory wagon. However, as the election result day came closer, nervousness gripped the Congress and it talked about changing partners, soliciting the support of the Left, looking to Nitish and Jayalalitha for support, and even trying to get closer to the Samajwadi Party.</p>
<p><span id="more-339"></span><br />
The exit polls that started getting published once the stay on them was removed after the 13th (the last phase of election) were again off the mark, since they all projected that the Congress will have a narrow lead over the BJP and would need support from many parties. The BJP of course refused to believe such polls and stood fast in projecting that they will be the victors.<br />
And then came the election results - and they were shocking to everyone. The Congress led poll, the UPA, is almost at the point of having half the seats, while the BJP led alliance, the NDA, is way behind. The Congress gained seats all over the country, with the party looking to reach 200 seats on its own (its best result since it started declining in the 1989 polls); it trounced the BJP in many states that the BJP should count as core constituencies such as Haryana, Rajasthan, Delhi, Uttranchal, and made gains even in states such as Madhya Pradesh and Gujrat. The Congress made real good in states such as Andhra Pradesh, with the partners, the DMK, in Tamil Nadu.<br />
However, the major surprises in this election happened in multiple states; in Uttar Pradesh, the Congress needs to get back its core constituency and it seems that the gamble it took seems to have paid off (it has got 20 seats on its own), in Maharashtra, the MNS seems to have bitten into the seats of the Shiv Sena and the BJP and led the Congress to victory. The biggest surprise has been the Left strongholds of Kerala and West Bengal. Kerala frequently changes between the Congress and the Communist, and in this election, the fight between the different factions of the Communist party propelled the Congress to victory. The biggest surprise seems to have been in West Bengal where the Congress combination with Mamta Banerjee blew away the Communist party in the state where the Communists have held sway since 1977.<br />
What are some of the conclusions from this election:<br />
- Manmohan Singh re-emerges as the Congress Prime Minister with a much stronger support and with less interference from supporting parties<br />
- The BJP leader LK Advani will slowly fade away - he is already 81 years old and unlikely to be the leader in the next election<br />
- Rahul Gandhi and Sonia Gandhi are the unquestioned leaders of the country now - even people such as me who do not believe in dynastic based leadership have to acknowledge that they have led their party to a genuine victory<br />
- Nitish Kumar and Naveen Patnaik are new emblems of victory, with strong shows of performance and low individual corruption levels<br />
- The Left, having been used to a much stronger influence in the last Parliament will be a pale self with questions about the leadership becoming much stronger<br />
- Mayawati has faced a severe setback in her quest for national leadership; the same goes for former influential leaders such as Mulayam Singh Yadav (who suffered after inducting Kalyan Singh), Lalu Prasad Yadav and Ram Vilas Paswan<br />
- Economic policies and world related policies should remain the same and in fact become more clear and without the holding back due to the Left</p>
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		<title>Climate change and impact on coral reefs and fishing</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/climate-change-and-impact-on-coral-reefs-and-fishing</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/climate-change-and-impact-on-coral-reefs-and-fishing#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 15 May 2009 02:15:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Climate]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Disaster]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Economy]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Emissions]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Global Warming]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Climate Change]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Fish]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Impact]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Livelihood]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Reef]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Weather]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=337</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Climate change, and the efforts needed to counter it, are among some of the hottest topics in the last 1-2 decades; it is also easy to see that the effort to discuss the needs for combating climate change is more than actual work being done to reduce emissions (climate change needs quick action and some [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Climate change, and the efforts needed to counter it, are among some of the hottest topics in the last 1-2 decades; it is also easy to see that the effort to discuss the needs for combating climate change is more than actual work being done to reduce emissions (climate change needs quick action and some aggressive goals of reducing emissions, and they are nowhere near happening). Nations get into political arguments when discussions start; the main major polluter (the United States) refuses to take action because of the feared effect on its economy, Europe looks to somebody for taking the lead on this, and the fast developing nations such as China, India, Brazil, etc who are still current low contributors but will have a much higher impact on emissions going forward want to get funding from the rich before taking action.<br />
And in the middle of all this, the world keeps getting hotter, and the changes that are being made due to the global warming phenomenon keeps on working to its own cycle. Global warming is supposed to affect poor nations much more than it will affect the richer nations (and it will affect nations that are more sea based much more than nations that are bigger land masses) since some of the changes being caused due to global warming are higher sea levels and changes in weather patterns that affect crop cycles. Another way in which global warming directly affects the world food economy is due to the impact on fishing, and a study points out that the rich fishing waters near Southeast Asia will get severely impacted <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/05/12/coral.triangle/index.html" target="_blank">(link to article)</a>:</p>
<p><span id="more-337"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>
Experts have warned that the richly diverse coral reefs of the Coral Triangle around southeast Asia will disappear by the end of the century if action is not taken against climate change. As well as the loss of one of the world&#8217;s most diverse underwater ecosystems, the knock on effect would be the collapse of coastal economies that supports around 100 million people, according to the WWF- commissioned study outlined at the World Ocean Conference this week.<br />
The Coral Triangle includes 30 percent of the world&#8217;s reefs, 76 percent of global reef building coral species and more than 35 percent of coral reef fish. &#8220;In this world, people see the biological treasures of the Coral Triangle destroyed over the course of the century by rapid increases in ocean temperature, acidity and sea level, while the resilience of coastal environments also deteriorates under faltering coastal management. Poverty increases, food security plummets, economies suffer, and coastal people migrate increasingly to urban areas.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
<p>The report concludes that unless we take action to rollback some of the effects of global warming, the direct impact on fishing will cause huge problems to the global fishing economy and impact people who are dependent on fishing as both livelihood and for their food needs, and yet, if one evaluates where we are with trying to roll back emission levels, it is still talk and no action. The Obama administration, for all its talk about making changes in the Bush administration policy of action on global warming, has not taken any concrete action.</p>
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		<title>Pakistan finally takes on the Taliban</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/pakistan-finally-takes-on-the-taliban</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/pakistan-finally-takes-on-the-taliban#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 09 May 2009 10:48:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Islam]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Taliban]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Violence]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Action]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Army]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pressure]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Swat]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Taleban]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=335</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For months now, people in Pakistan and the world have wondered about the inaction of Pakistan in dealing with the Taliban. The Pakistani Taliban (hard to differentiate between the Afghan and the Pakistani Taleban since they both respect Mullah Omar as the supreme leader), already present in the hard regions of Pakistan that touch Afghanistan, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For months now, people in Pakistan and the world have wondered about the inaction of Pakistan in dealing with the Taliban. The Pakistani Taliban (hard to differentiate between the Afghan and the Pakistani Taleban since they both respect Mullah Omar as the supreme leader), already present in the hard regions of Pakistan that touch Afghanistan, suddenly in the last few months attacked a beautiful tourist valley called Swat (not very far from the capital) and started a campaign of attacks, hardline Islam, and general targeting of Government institutions such as schools, police stations, etc. The Government, far from fighting this force effectively, backed down and after a sort of retreat, signed a peace treaty in which they agreed to the terms of the Taleban, with the only condition being that the Taleban will not bear arms in Swat after the deal. However, this was a compromise comparable to the buckling down to Hitler in Munich, and had effectively the same effect.<br />
The Taleban saw this buckling down of state authority as a show of its weakness in front of the Taleban (and maybe a sign that the state was having problems in getting the army to fight against an Islamic inspired force), and started expanding the campaign, thereby using the Swat valley as a base from which to overrun nearby districts. In their next target, they reached close to Islamabad, and the Government let loose a volley of talk at them, accusing the Taleban of violating the terms of the accord and hoping that the Taleban could be persuaded to back down. There was still no direct action that the militia understand.</p>
<p><span id="more-335"></span><br />
At the same time, this inaction was something that the western backers of Pakistan were not able to understand; it seemed like a vindication of the fact that the Taliban was not something that the government or the military seemed to want to tackle; and the pressure exerted was incredible. There was a huge flurry of articles and interviews about how Pakistan is on the verge of collapse, that the institutions have lost credibility and were not able to ensure social justice in the country (which encouraged the growth of a force such as the Taleban), that the nuclear arms hosted by Pakistan were in danger of being taken over by the Taleban, and so on.<br />
There is also another view that is seeming to emerge, that action taken by the Government on the urging of western Governments would turn the population further against the west and against the actions of their own Government; already there is a feeling that this is not Pakistan&#8217;s war and that forcing the Pakistani army to fight their own Muslim brothers is just not done. The view was that it needed for people to hear more about the kind of society that the Taleban is bringing on, and that as the Taleban occupied more areas of the country and that people realized that now they were in mortal danger, that this was not something that was happening far away, they would finally turn against the Taleban. This would be a time for the Government to take action.<br />
Currently, the Pakistani Government has declared that the pact in Swat is dead, and fierce military action is underway against the Taleban. There is no common thoughts on whether the Government did indeed plan it this way, or whether the action was taken because the pressure on the Pakistani Government and the army was proving impossible to face; indeed, the fact that the Pakistani military has always been a proponent of the strategic depth option in Afghanistan makes it hard to say either way. It needs to be seen whether the action will go all the way, or will end when Zardari comes back to Pakistan.</p>
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		<title>The shift by Senator Specter - and what this means for US politics</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/the-shift-by-senator-specter-and-what-this-means-for-us-politics</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/the-shift-by-senator-specter-and-what-this-means-for-us-politics#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 01 May 2009 05:10:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Democratic]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Republican]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[US]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Democratic Party]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Republican Party]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Shift of Power]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=333</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It is the wish of every US president to have a compliant Congress that will vote his way for the bills that he wants. Many Presidents have had the horror of having to veto bills that have been passed by Congress that they do not like, and also had the inverse effect of seeing their [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It is the wish of every US president to have a compliant Congress that will vote his way for the bills that he wants. Many Presidents have had the horror of having to veto bills that have been passed by Congress that they do not like, and also had the inverse effect of seeing their favorite initiatives doomed due to gridlock in Congress, and even worse, when the Congress is dominated by a party that is the opposite party of the President, every bill and initiative is an effort, with huge expenditure of political capital (Bill Clinton had to contend with a Congress that was dominated by the opposite Republican Party; and lately Bush had to content with a Democratic Majority in his last few months).<br />
Even when the Opposition Party is not the dominant party, they still have the weapon of the &#8216;filibuster&#8217; to block (or seriously delay) bills that they do not like. What is actually a dream for the President is when his party reaches the magic figure of 60 in the Senate (at which point the Opposition Party cannot even use that weapon). And this is a dream that Obama almost has in his grasp; with the announced decision of Senator Specter to cross over to the Democratic Party, and with the State Supreme Court judgment in the case of another Democratic candidate for Senatorship maybe heading towards the Democrats, the Senate may be heading towards a filibuster majority for the Democrats.</p>
<p><span id="more-333"></span><br />
This is introspection time for the Republicans; they are down and out right now - and yet, instead of trying to become more inclusive and including people in the center, a section of the Republicans seems to feel that they need to become more conservative; that they need to go back to their core statements of small Government, fiscal and moral conservatism. A lot of these were dramatically over-turned during the Bush years and the heritage of that era still causes a lot of schisms inside the party. However, unless they try to become more inclusive, it is quite likely that the Republican party will cede control of the moderate sections of the American citizenry.<br />
However, it is not that President Obama has a free run now. As the Democratic party has reached out to people in the center, there are now Senators who have opinions on subjects such as gun control, abortion, fiscal responsibility, etc which are closer to what the traditional views of the Republican Party had, and different from what the Democrats used to believe. As a result, if President Obama wanted to get a bill passed on abortion rights, or on gun control, or on climate change, a lot more opposition will now come from within the Democratic Party rather than outside, as was the case in the past.</p>
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		<title>Why the Taliban seems to be rolling through the countryside</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/why-the-taliban-seems-to-be-rolling-through-the-countryside</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/why-the-taliban-seems-to-be-rolling-through-the-countryside#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2009 09:39:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Development]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Islam]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Taliban]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Terrorism]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Army]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Corruption]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Governance]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=331</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[It has always puzzled a large number of people as to why the Taliban seem to be generating a lot of support in the Pakistani countryside. After all, a group that believes in a harsh interpretation of Islamic jurisprudence and acts to implement their beliefs should not be succeeding at this rate. Even in a [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It has always puzzled a large number of people as to why the Taliban seem to be generating a lot of support in the Pakistani countryside. After all, a group that believes in a harsh interpretation of Islamic jurisprudence and acts to implement their beliefs should not be succeeding at this rate. Even in a society where women are not supposed to have equal rights, are not supposed to show their faces (or their bodies) to strangers, or come out in the open, the customs imposed by the Taliban are draconian. Women cannot come out of their homes unless escorted by a male relative (even if it is an emergency), cannot study in schools, and numerous other such practices are enforced by the Taliban in the area that they control. However, even men are not left untouched - music is deemed un-Islamic unless it is music in praise of Allah, men are forbidden to shave and should have turbans, no watching movies, be sure to follow the calls to prayer during the day, and so on. Recently, they killed both the man and woman who had eloped and whose families had reported them.<br />
So, a bit of research, and one started reading a lot more about the society where the Taliban thrive. The rural areas of Pakistan are societies that are extremely backward; there is little economic development, feudalism and the power of the moneyed and the landlords is immense, the instruments of the state (bureaucracy, police, judicial, etc) are not of much help to the common man and corruption is immense. In such areas, the promise of bringing in Islamic law (sharia) that does not distinguish between the rich and the poor can attract a huge number of people, can make them converts. As a bonus, the people who make up the Taliban are people who resemble the poor rural folks a lot; they are less educated, poor; the difference is, they are part of a movement that can look the moneylender / police man / feudal lord in the eye and not have to back down. Here is an article that explains the Robin Hood type of image <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/WORLD/asiapcf/04/26/pakistan.taliban.message/" target="_blank">(link to article)</a>: </p>
<p><span id="more-331"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>
 In radio broadcasts and sermons, Taliban militants have been promoting themselves as Islamic Robin Hoods, defending Pakistan&#8217;s rural poor from a ruling elite that they describe as corrupt and oppressive. That message has been resonating throughout the Pakistani countryside, where the culture is deeply conservative and the people are desperately poor. &#8220;Justice [in Pakistan] is only for people who have money,&#8221; Daoud said, while slicing through handfuls of grass with a small scythe. &#8220;We are illiterate,&#8221; he added, &#8220;but we are hoping that with Islamic sharia law, our lives will get better.&#8221;<br />
Enforcement of sharia law is the platform the Taliban have been using to justify recent land-grabs, such as last week&#8217;s armed occupation of the district of Buner, some 60 miles from the Pakistani capital.  Militants have slowly taken over territory in northwestern Pakistan by first targeting unpopular landlords and bureaucrats, according to Amnesty International, the human rights watchdog. &#8220;Its systematic. The Taliban move into an area, they use local existing resentments. They often go in with the guise of being Robin Hoods,&#8221; said Amnesty International representative Sam Zarifi. &#8220;They scare away some local thieves, they impose very, very quick justice, very harsh justice, and initially in some places they are even welcomed.&#8221;
</p></blockquote>
<p>And how are the Taliban fought ? Attempts to reform society to make it more even and less corrupt do not go anywhere (or are not even made); the military has fought the Taliban in parts, but the battle is a battle in which innocents are affected and make them resentment of the efforts of the military; the presence of the US drones that make frequent bombing runs of villages in order to eliminate terrorists are seen as invasions of Pakistani sovereignty, and killing of innocents only serves to inflame the population even more.<br />
What can be done ? The effort has to be bring down the Robin Hood image of the Taliban by reducing corruption levels, by making more development in these regions, and at the same time, confronting them militarily. One wonders whether Pakistan can do all this ?</p>
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		<title>Swine flu getting serious</title>
		<link>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/swine-flu-getting-serious</link>
		<comments>http://ashisha.com/blog/archives/swine-flu-getting-serious#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Apr 2009 09:07:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>ashish</dc:creator>
		
		<category><![CDATA[Disease]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Health]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[CDC]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Illness]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Mexico]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Precautions]]></category>

		<category><![CDATA[Swine Flu]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://ashisha.com/blog/?p=329</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[For many years now, doctors and health specialists around the globe have been warning of a mass pandemic that could sweep the globe, involving the movement of bird flu to humans in a form that modern medicines cannot control and which become a huge health disaster over the world. From time to time, bird flu [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For many years now, doctors and health specialists around the globe have been warning of a mass pandemic that could sweep the globe, involving the movement of bird flu to humans in a form that modern medicines cannot control and which become a huge health disaster over the world. From time to time, bird flu raises its head among poultry, mass culling happens, and the danger is declared over; as a result, the world has stopped responding to such kind of threats about future problems related to bird flu. Too much talk about it put out the feelings that this is another doomsday disaster, and if it has not happened till now, maybe it will never happen.<br />
However, in the last couple of days, the world is starting to get a rude wake-up call from another disease that originates in animals and jumps to humans. In this modern inter-connected world. all such health disasters can spread quickly from region to region, country to country, and continent to continent. This is a disease called swine flu, that causes sickness in pigs, and has also spread to humans, causing a large number of deaths in Mexico, and illness in many other countries <a href="http://edition.cnn.com/2009/HEALTH/04/27/swine.flu/?iref=hpmostpop" target="_blank">(link to article)</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>
Health officials around the world worked to contain what appears to be a spreading swine flu outbreak early Monday, while one out of every five residents of Mexico&#8217;s most populous city wore masks to protect themselves against the virus. Mexico seems to be the epicenter of the outbreak, where as many as 103 deaths are thought to have been caused by swine flu, the country&#8217;s health minister said. An additional 1,614 reported cases have been reported in the country.<br />
The WHO has called the outbreak a &#8220;public health emergency of international concern.&#8221; Researchers are trying to determine how easily it can jump from person to person. And Keiji Fukuda, WHO&#8217;s assistant director-general, said it was too early to predict whether there will be a mild or serious pandemic. The H1N1 strain of swine flu is usually associated with pigs. When the flu spreads person-to-person, instead of from animals to humans, it can continue to mutate, making it harder to treat or fight off. Symptoms of swine flu include fever, lethargy, lack of appetite, coughing, runny nose, sore throat, nausea, vomiting and diarrhea, the CDC said.
</p></blockquote>
<p>The problems with such a disease are manifold:<br />
- Many of them start in areas where health services are not available at the desired levels, and growth in the disease can happen quickly before detection happens<br />
- Countries tend to repress such diseases for fear of inflaming citizens or investors or tourists (such as China with-holding information about SARS and bird flu earlier)<br />
- Drugs are not available, since the disease mutates fast and there has not been much research by drug companies in this area<br />
- People are hesitant to take the measures that are required to bring such diseases under control (such as culling stock, and taking the extensive health measures and ceasing contact with other people)</p>
<p>The swine flu is not yet an epidemic (or a pandemic), but is bothering health authorities and Governments enough that they are taking the necessary precautions such as ordering closure of cinema halls in Mexico, quarantining people in other countries who have recently visited Mexico and who show signs of flu-like conditions, and so on. If the disease does turn out to be serious enough, Governments all over the world will have to get more active, and take the necessary steps to enhance their health facilities.</p>
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