Pete's Picks

8/13/15 Picks

2015-08-12T19:23:00.000-07:00

Oak/Tor Under 8 This is the only game I like today in baseball. I will add football later. I went 3-2 yesterday bringing my running total to 7-3 since the reboot. Today $ we are up $750 bringing the total to $3,650. Gray is a scratch today, so this game is off. Football Dallas SD/ Under 38 NE -3

8/12

2015-08-11T19:17:00.001-07:00

Picks made with last nights numbers Mets/Col Under 6.5 Dodgers/Wash Under 6.5 Houston/SF Under 7 Angels ML -125 Yanks +130 Went 4-1 yesterday. If I bet $1000 a game I would be up $2,900.

8/11/2015

2015-08-10T19:10:00.000-07:00

Todays Picks for tracking Houston SF Under 6 KC -145 Col/Mets Under 7 Phl/Ariz Over 9 Ws/Angels Over 8.5 These are last nights lines, so numbers may change.

I am coming back!

2015-08-10T09:42:00.000-07:00

For the last year or so, I've been working hard on handicapping. I am looking to build a team. I have a lot of knowledge and I am willing to share. I am finding it tough to do on my own. I can handle the majors, but when it comes to College, I just don't have the time. It would be great to create a team where we focus on a certain area. It also helps to get together to talk about what games we like and why. There is usually something that we might be missing. So please e-mail me if you are interested. Even if you feel that you might not know a lot. There is a lot of data out there, and I can always use someone to get that and report back. For example, in college, follow players and coaches on twitter. Let me know what your hearing. Stuff like that. So again, let me know if you are interested. I know I have a couple of guys that followed me in the past and you saw what I can do. I get better every year, and I want to take this to the next level. My e-mail is SMD163@yahoo.com. Shoot me an email. For today, I don't have my notes in front of me, but I do remember that the Angels look like a live dog today.

Week in Vegas

2014-05-03T07:47:00.002-07:00

Sorry I haven't posted, but I am in Las Vegas and loving it here. I was suppose to fly home today, but I am extending my stay as I am seriously considering moving here to see if I can do this full time. I have so much going on that I do not have time to post on here. I wish everyone luck

April 28 2014

2014-04-28T08:10:00.002-07:00

A great day yesterday, thank you Portland for coming back. I had a perfect day yesterday, and I just love those days. Which they would come more often. I have gotten a couple of e-mails, and I always welcome that as well as comments on here. For baseball I will continue to concentrate just on totals. I will have a couple sides here and there, but honestly I am 78% so for on totals, and that seems to be my bread and butter. I will have a side here and there, but still getting a feel on certain teams. Won the only total game yesterday and since I re-started this, I am 3-1. I do not have any games today. This early in the season, there are some pitchers that I do not have enough data on. My data on the weather is inconsistent, so I will still track that, but still will not place anything on that. It might be something that I need years of data on, but so far temps under 60 are like 40% for unders. Now that I am not selling picks, I can feel comfortable with no picks for a day. If something comes up, I will add it to this, but for now going to enjoy a day off. Check back tomorrow. Good luck

April 27 2014

2014-04-27T09:38:00.003-07:00

A split yesterday bringing baseball to 2-1 for the year. Today I like under 7 for Miami Mets game. My leans are Boston/ Toronto over 8.5 and Cubs/Brewers over 7.5. Brewers finally had an over game at home. There are only leans, as I am still testing them out and do not personally bet them. I have a lot of NBA games today that I like. So I am going to share them here. Washington -1.5 Goldenstate +2 Portland -2.5 Goodluck

4/26/2014

2014-04-26T07:20:00.002-07:00

It is always great to start with a win. 1-0 and I have two games today. The Brewers got another under at home. I thought the streak would end but the scoring stopped and the game went under. I am taking the over on Colorado/Dodgers again which I got at 7 I also like the over for Pitt/Stl at 7.5 I have a strong lean on Boston/Toronto Over today. I mentioned earlier that Boston is a strong under on the road, so I am going to stay away. Good luck

April 25 2014

2014-04-25T05:41:00.000-07:00

Todays Free pick. Colorado Dodgers Over 7.5. This pick is more like a lean, but Colorado is a big over team and the Dodgers at home have also been over a lot. The weather is a little cold, which is a slight concern, but I still like it. I am betting this with 2% of my personal bankroll. Would not go more than 5%. I thought about blindly taking the Brewers under. At home I don't think they have had an over game yet. I look for opportunity, and not sure it is here today. Note about weather. I started tracking weather a couple weeks ago. So far blindly taking cold weather unders would not work very well. I started to dig deeper and saw that divisional games were going over and the conference games were under 68% when the weather is under 60. Hence why I am still on the over on the Colorado game. I will still track this, since I truly do not have enough data yet. I just wanted to share some of the stuff that I do. I welcome any comments. Good luck

Weather part 2

2014-04-24T07:21:00.000-07:00

I have had the most success on Baseball with over/unders. I find that sometimes the ML can get you killed when the bullpen blows it for a starter. I found this interesting trend in a handicapping article. If you bet $500 a game blindly betting the under when the temp was under 60, you would made more than $27,000. Makes sense since the ball travels 20 more feet at 90 than it does at 45. I don't recomend blindly betting it, but good to keep in mind. So if I like an over, I will check the temp. Maybe I will still bet it, but not as much. This year I am at 80% so far on baseball. I don't expect to be that high, and I will soon share my picks. I am starting to feel comfortable with it now. I had the over in Colorado yesterday and the under on the Brewer game, which won by half a point, but a win is a win. I didn't see much value today with over unders, so I will probably stay away. I also wanted to share a loss I took yesterday. I took Miami as a favorite yesterday. Trends are never 100%, and you really want to find ones that are 60% or better. Keep an eye on pitchers who pitched gems the prior game. I looked for Harang to have a poor outing, and he didn't. Maybe Atlanta was smart and took him out early with his new hitter. Miami was in it, and could have won, but this is an example of a trend that has been very sucessful for years. Another trend with pitching is looking for pitchers who just pitched against a team and is facing them again a week or two later. There is usually an adjustment made by the pitcher or the hitters. So if a pitcher pitches a great game, I will go the other way. As well if the pitcher got killed. Once again nothing is 100%, remember its always about the long term. Once more thing before I go for the day. The importance once again of multiple sports books. The other day I took Toronto -4.5 in the NBA. Two of the three books I use had Toronto -5 and Toronto won by 5. If I didn't have the choice, I could have pushed. Instead I won, and this honestly happens like 10 to 20 times a year. There is a very thin line between being profitable and losing. You want an edge in any way you can find it. Good luck

An early thought

2014-04-14T11:36:00.002-07:00

Historically Unders have always been more profitable than overs. Vegas knows that, because who wants to root for a low scoring game. So an under trend can make one a lot of money. Keep in mind things change and nothing will last forever. So use proper bank management and keep an eye when the trend startes to fade. My early thought today is on Boston Redsox. Look at them for unders. Especially on the road.

Importance of Multiple Sportbooks

2014-04-10T10:34:00.000-07:00

I get asked a lot of questions on what sportsbook I use. I personally use 3 sportsbooks. If you do research you can find ones that you can trust, but it is important to have at least two to compare lines. So if you like a certain team, you can see if there is a difference which can give you an a bit of an advantage or at least better juice. 5dimes has a reduced juice line that I normally end up using becuase of the reduced juice, so instead of -110 its -104 or lower. Every dime counts. I should be coming up with some picks shortly. I've started to notice lots of trends, so it will be testing them in the coming weeks. I notice some tired arms out there, well at least they seem tired. Noticed some pitchers with less speed on the ball.

Food for thought

2014-04-01T09:07:00.002-07:00

Thanks to those who sent me an e-mail, and I will try to get to your questions when I can. I want to share something I learned last year from a profesional. It is the importance of weather and wind. It is always important to look at wind. There are certain stadiums where you will will see the wind blowing out, and can easily take advantage of the over. Last year I made a killing on the overs in Boston and Chicago by researching the weather. So what I am doing this year is documenting the weather for the stadium and pitcher. Tonights game the wind can be a factor on the Yanks Houston game and Atlanta Brewers. The wind is actually looking to blow in for the Rangers game. I will keep a close eye on these games, and will check the weather again closer to game time. I am not going to blindly bet yet. Stadiums are unique and pithers can too. If a pitcher is on, the wind wont make a difference if the hitter can't get a good swing. One example last year was when the Cubs were playing the Brewers, and the o/u line was at 14 or 15. Sure enough the wind was blowing out, and there were two pitchers with very poor eras. I think there was like 21 runs scored. If you are betting an over and under, it is always a good idea to look at the weather. Hope this helps everyone and good luck! Ok as a pick, I like The Brewers tonight.

Coming back with picks shortly

2014-03-31T08:39:00.003-07:00

Baseball has started, today being opening day. As a handicapper, anyone who knows me knows that I live and die with data. I never start off well trying to use data from last year, so I usually don't post picks till May. I want to get a good feel for teams. I find that some bats take longer to warm up as do some pitchers, so I do not feel I have an advantage at this time. I will be no longert associated with any groups selling picks, so I am free to post as I wish. I hope to get some chatter going on. I feel that we can all learn from each other and become better. So I invite anyone to add comments to this blog and reach out to me personally. I can't discuss Basketball or Hockey at this time, but I all aboard for baseball. About me for anyone who cares- I've been handicapping games for probably 10 years now. I love numbers, so I keep spreadsheets on all sports to see where I have an edge. I spend hours working on becoming better and eventually doing this full time. I recently signed to sell my picks to a group I cannot name, and I hated it. I felt that they were never being honest with their clients, and I didn't want to be associated. I was trying to make some extra cash, but it never worked out for me. For one, if I didn't like any games they pretty much forced me to pick one. There was also times where they would have us push a game just so they can try and get the line to move and middle it. I signed an agreement, and was stuck. It was not worth it for me. I use to be the guy who would pay someone for their picks. I have never done well with anyone else long term. You can't really trust the guys out there. So I am back on my own, and I truly want to help others. I am not here trying to make an extra buck. I want to create a forum of guys like me, trying to do it on their own. So please add comments and talk about games you like and why. I am curious on how some people can see an edge when the season starts. I hope to make you guys better handicappers and hopefully some money as well.

I am coming back soon

2014-02-10T12:51:00.000-08:00

I plan on coming back to post picks. What I want to create is something for everyone to use. I want people to be able to post questions or post thoughts on a game. I want to create something to make everyone a better handicapper. I don't know if a blog is the best place to use, so I am open to suggestions. Anyone who is good at that, please let me know. My e-mail is smd163@yahoo.com Oh and for a pick, I like Houston/Minn Over 208 today. I plan to have a good article on hockey. Hockey is a tad differen't after the break, so there are some very interesting trends that I want to share. Last olympic break I was 70% up to the playoffs.

Dec 17

2013-12-17T14:16:00.002-08:00

Hi guys. I don't see much value for today, and I am now a more disciplined better and only play when I feel strongly.

I will include small leans for anyone that wants to follow me on something. These are picks that I give out to paying clients on the phone service I work with.
Wake Forest -5.5
Witichita St -2

I am back

2013-12-17T07:51:00.001-08:00

I am back. I was working for a sports handicapping group trying to make some extra money, and I felt that they were taking advantage of me. They had dropping sales since their other handicappers sucked. So I was making less even though I was around 60%. So I finally left them so I can post my picks here. I need to show what I can do and maybe go on my own.

I will post less picks, since I am only going to post picks that I myself bet on. There may be days that there are no picks, so please check back everyday.

I will also post picks later in the day. My friend brought to my attention a website that posts bets made by sharp players, so I can see where the wise money is going. This has helped my handicapping go to the next level. I wish it wasn't so expensive, but it is well worth it.

I am looking forward to college bowl season and NFL playoffs as well as hockey, which is my best sport. This year I am over 70% in hockey.

I always accept donations, since I put in hours of work everyday.

Check back later after 5pm for my picks M-F and 10 AM on weekends.
And I really enjoy hearing from you guys, so please add comments or send me an e-mail at smd163@yahoo.com

May 7 2013

2013-05-07T12:32:00.002-07:00

MLB 1-1 yesterday
26-26-1
Todays Games
Oak/Clev Over 8.5
Seattle/Pitt Over 8

NHL 1-1 yesterday
Todays game
Mont/Ottowa Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday
Todays Game
Boston/Knicks Under 183

BBlog lost $60
Value $1,105

May 6 2013

2013-05-06T11:23:00.002-07:00

MLB 3-0 yesterday
Season 25-25-1
Todays games
Oakland/Clev Over 9
San Fran ML

NHL 0-1
91-66-11
Rangers ML
Stl/Kings Under 4.5

NBA 0-1
90-78-1
Todays Game
Heat -12

Blog value $1,165
Good luck

May 5 2013

2013-05-05T09:57:00.002-07:00

MLB 1-0 yesterday
22-25-1
Todays games
Mets/Atl Over 7
Seattle/Tor over 8.5
Reds ML

NHL
91-65-11
Todays game
Mont/Ottowas Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday
90-77-1
Todays game
Okla city -3

Good luck

May 4 2013

2013-05-04T12:32:00.003-07:00

MLB 0-4 yesterday
21-25-1
Todays game
San Fran ML -138

NHL No games
91-65-11

NBA 1-0 yesterday
90-76-1
Todays game
Nets -7

Good luck

Blog value $1,125

May 3 2013

2013-05-03T11:27:00.001-07:00

MLB 0-2 yesterday
21-21-1
Todays games
Oakland/Yanks Over 8
Miami/Philly Over 7.5
Cards/Brewers Over 7.5
Det/Houst Over 8

NHL 1-1 yesterday
91-65-11
No games today

NBA 0-1 yesterday
89-76-1
Todays game
Memphis -6

Blog value lost $165, value today $1,275

May 2 2013

2013-05-02T11:17:00.001-07:00

MBL 1-1 yesterday
21-19-1 Season
Todays Games
Whitesox/Rangers Over 8
Cards/Brewers Under 9

NHL 1-0 yesterday
90-64-11
Ottowa/Montreal Under 5
Rangers/Washington Under 5

NBA No games
89-75-1
Todays game
Denver/Golden St Over 211

May 1 2013

2013-05-01T12:21:00.001-07:00

MLB 2-1 yesterday
21-18-1

Todays games
San Fran/Ariz Under 9

NHL 1-0 yesterday
89-64-11
Todays game
San Jose/Van Under 5

NBA 0-1 yesterday
89-75-1
No games today

Blog earned $40 to bring balance to $1,440

Good luck

April 30 2013

2013-04-30T12:27:00.002-07:00

MLB 0-2 yesterday
Season 19-71-1

Todays games
Yanks/Houst Over 8
SD/Cubs Over 10
TB/KC Under 7.5

NHL
Season 88-64-11
Todays Game
Minn/Chicago Under 5

NBA 1-0 yesterday
Season 89-74-1
Todays game
Denver -8

Blog lost $60 yesterday. Balance is $1,400