Picks from KLS Betting

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 24 Aug 2012 17:14:30 +0100

25th 26th August 2012
Last weekend was a disaster for the typical punter. Some strange results in there. Who would have thought that Arsenal would have struggled at home to a poor looking Sunderland side, or that QPR would lose at home to Swansea?

Looking at the fixtures this week, its pretty brutal. Even the shorted price on the coupon Manchester United to beat Fulham at 1.33 looks dodgy. Fulham knocked 5 past Norwich whereas Manchester United were fortunate to get away with a 1-0 loss at Everton.

Other strong favourites don't look that appealing either. Spurs don't have the strike force they had last year and West Brom looked good against Liverpool so an upset wouldn't be out of the question.

Chelsea needed an offside goal to come from behind to beat Reading 4-2 at home. I can see Newcastle maybe getting something here too. Its just a bit early in the season to pick out value and at the moment its more like gambling.

Check back in a few weeks for normal service.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 23:06:27 +0100

18th - 20th August 2012
Welcome back. The Premiership starts again this weekend. Very much looking forward to it.

No tips this week as its too early to find the value. Its only after a few weeks that you can get an idea for how a team is playing and whether the odds are right.

So for this week, I recommend taking advantage of some of the bookmaker offers.

Firstly, Ladbrokes are offering a free bet for every hattrick your player scores if you back him on the 'top goal scorer marker'. Not a bad deal if you were going to have that bet anyway.

"Place a £10+ Top Premier League Goalscorer bet and receive a free bet to the same stake each time your selected player scores a Premier League hat-trick* during the 2012/13 season."

Papiss Cisse at 16/1 looks decent. The obvious ones are far too short for my liking. Van Persie at 6/1 is no value at all. I can see him getting a hattrick in the season though so you'll quite likely get your money back.

Secondly from Ladbrokes, this time on mobile only, are offering money back on league winners bet. Place a treble on the league winners and if only one lets you down then you get your money back as a free bet. Only on mobile though.

You can get some seriously good odds on trebles in the league. For example, Manchester United, Cardiff and MK Dons to win their leagues pays out 263/1. Obviously winning is easier said than done but with the money back offer, it adds a bit of value.

"Place a win treble via Ladbrokes Mobile on 3 of the 4 English League winners and if one team fails to win their league, we'll refund your stake as a free bet (Max stake £25)."

Those two Ladbrokes offers are on top of the £50 free bet for new users. Use the bonus code FB50 to get a free £50 matched bet. Sign up here

Thirdly, BetVictor are giving away a free treble. Place a treble this weekend and they will give you a free bet to the same value (up to £50) the weekend after. I've gone for an obvious one of Manchester City, Manchester United and Chelsea. This currently pays 3.64 which good anyway but with the free bet its a steal. You can also get a £25 sign up bonus when you join VCbet.

Champions League Final

Fri, 18 May 2012 15:40:01 +0100

Bayern Munich (1.83) Draw (4) Chelsea (4.6)
Probably not the final that everyone was expecting. Well, maybe Bayern but no one really gave Chelsea a chance of getting past Barcelona.

Some good fortune for Bayern. They are playing at home. In European Competitions this is a major advantage and is why I think away goals count twice as much in the knockout stages. They have been solid at home in the Champions League this year winning all their home games including beating Manchester City and Real Madrid. With Gomez, Ribery and Robben up front they have one of the most devastating front lines around. The only worry for me is that in the last game they lost the Cup final 5-2. Some shocking defending to allow 5 goals in. I expect they'll tighten up.

Chelsea surprised everyone with getting this far. Since Villas Boas was sacked the fortunes of Chelsea have turned around. Not only have they got this far but also won the FA Cup. League form has been a bit disappointing but somethings got to give if you are battling on so many fronts. For Chelsea, the big danger is in defence. With Terry and Ivanovic out there is a big gap in defence to fill. Cahill is back but after being out injured he won't be totally fit. Luiz could also feature but I think he could be a liability rather than an asset depending on the game he has. Ramires and Meireles are also both suspended so further weakening their side. It was Ramires who scored the first Chelsea goal at the Nou Camp which effectively knocked Barcelona out.

I am looking at a Bayern Munich win here. I think they are the better team and home advantage is so important here. 1.83 isn't a bad price at all. Imagine if this was Real Madrid at home to Chelsea, 1.5 tops. I've gone for a straight win and home correct scores. Paddy Power have an amazing offer where they will refund all losing correct scores, first goal scorers and score casts if Chelsea lifts the cup.

As I think Bayern will win this, I've gone for mainly Bayern results. 1-1, 3-1, 3-0, 2-1 and 2-0. Maybe I should have gone 1-0 too but as I am watching it, I'm not betting on 1-0. If Chelsea lift the Cup then Paddypower will refund all those. If Bayern win then those scores are as likely as any. If you think Chelsea you can bet on some correct Chelsea winning scores. The bonus with that is that if they do win, all your losing scores will be refunding. I am not a fan of first goal scorer betting but it can be fun for small stakes. Drogba is 10.0 to score first with money back if Chelsea lift the cup.

The straight Bayern win is 1.83 at Paddypower too which I also worth having.

Click here to bet. New customers get £50 free bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sun, 13 May 2012 03:34:11 +0100

13th May 2012
Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.5) Blackburn (11)

The defeat at Liverpool on Tuesday ended Chelseais slim hopes of finishing in the top 4. They have to win the Champions League to be in it next year. I guess Di Matteo will have more of an eye on that. The players that will be suspended for the Champions League final will definitely be playing but who knows who else will be rested. Blackburn were officially relegated by Wigan last round. Thatis 7 defeats in their last 8 games. I guess Blackburn will be even less motivated now that they know whatever happens theyill be playing Championship Football next season. They have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 games so I think that a Chelsea to win to nil is a decent shout. Its 2.5 at Skybet. Get £10 totally free with no deposit when you open an account.

Everton (2.25) Draw (3.7) Newcastle (3.4)

This is pretty much a nothingness match for Everton. True, a win would guarantee them a place above Liverpool but thatis about it. Last round they couldnit score past a relegated Wovles side so I am not too convinced theyill be trying that hard this game. Newcastle were undone last weekend by the Champions elect. Nothing wrong with the Newcastle performance, its just that City are just a better side. Newcastle can finish as high as 3rd still with a win here and if other results go their way. Theyill certainly be the more motivated side and have a better strike force than Everton. Newcastle win for me. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

Manchester City (1.14) Draw (10.5) QPR (21)

I think these are the shortest odds Iive ever seen in the Premiership for a game. City are going to win this and the league. Its inconceivable that a side with a 17-1-0 record at home this season are not going to win this final game. QPR have been pretty consistent recently. Theyive been winning their home games and losing their away games. Thatis happened for the last 10 games. A point would see them safe but I donit see them getting that. They need Bolton to not beat Stoke and theyill stay up. As City are playing like they did early in the season, I expect them to win this comfortably. 1.14 probably isnit worth backing straight but PaddyPower have City to win both halves at 2.0 and Totesport have 4 or more goals at 1.91.

Norwich (2.25) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (3.5)

With Grant Holt back in the side last weekend, Norwich gave Arsenal a game at the Emirates. 3-3 it finished with Steve Morison getting the Norwich equaliser late on. I think they Norwich players will be up for this game. Not only is it the last game of the season but some of them may be in line for England positions. Villa managed to get the point they needed to guarantee survival. They were pretty fortunate that Spurs had to play most of the second half with 10 men. Looks like Gabby Agbonlahor and Emile Heskey could be out, meaning that they have no fit experienced strikers. With no win in their last 9 I canit see them getting anything here. Norwich are 2.25 at Ladbrokes.

Stoke (2.45) Draw (3.6) Bolton (2.9)

Depending on how you look at things, you could think that Stoke were well out of form. Only 1 win in 10 and that was against Wolves at home. Its only when you look at how they have lost to Chelsea, Wigan, Newcastle and QPR away, its not actually that bad. At home theyive got good draws against City, Everton and Arsenal. Saying that, it has been a long season for them and I bet theyire all looking forward to the summer holidays. Its do or die for Bolton. As QPR are going to get nothing from City, its pretty much in their own hands whether they survive. If they beat Stoke, then theyill be safe else theyill go down. Theyill be hoping that they can do what Wigan did last season here which is win and stay up. Bolton are 2.9 at Bet Victor.

Sunderland (7.5) Draw (4.8) Manchester United (1.5)

Can Sunderland get some of the OiNeil factor back for this game? Theyill need it to get anything from this United side. With the regular strikers Stephane Sessegnon and Nicklas Bendtner not scoring many its hard to see how they can score here. They managed to score in the last 2 games but previously, they went 4 games firing blanks. For United, to have any chance of winning the title they must win here and hope QPR can do them a favour. I can see them doing their bit of the bargain and winning here but no chance on the QPR getting anything from City. I think Manchester United to win to nil at 2.5 at bet365 looks tasty. I canit see the inept Sunderland strike force scoring.

Swansea (3.6) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (2.15)

Swansea were beaten at Old Trafford last round. United were just a superior side. It should have been more than 2-0 but United wasted so many chances. More worryingly is that last home game, they let a 3-0 lead slip against Wolves. The game finished 4-4. Maybe some of the players are thinking about the holidays rather than the football. Liverpool had mixed week. They lost the FA Cup final to Chelsea last Saturday but then beat them 4-1 in the league on Tuesday night. Andy Carroll is hitting form and could make it in to the Euro 2012 squad. Liverpool have actually won more games away from home this season than they have at home. I think they can make this away win number 9 of the season. Swansea have had a great season and have nothing left to prove. Liverpool are 2.15 at William Hill.

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5) Fulham (9)

Spurs played most of the second half against Villa last round with 10 men. They drew the game 1-1 and put 3rd place back in the hands of Arsenal. They need a win here to guarantee them 4th place or better. They have been playing better of late but their last 2 wins were against Blackburn and Bolton, who are at the foot of the table. Fulham are a good solid mid-table side who have won 5 of their last 7. Thereis also the fact that this is the first time Martin Jol has been back to White Hart Lane since he was sacked. Heill want to win here. No Clint Dempsey for this game though. Heis been instrumental in the good run of form with 23 goals. Odds on Spurs are a little too low for me. I think that Fulham can get something here and the draw or away win are much more appealing. Fulham draw no bet is 7.0 at bluesquare.

West Brom (5.5) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.7)

West Brom proved they are still playing football despite having nothing to aim for now. They could have easily settled for a 2-0 defeat at Bolton last weekend but they fought on and got a 2-2 draw. Peter Odemwingie is doubtful for this game. Arsenal drew 3-3 last weekend at home to Norwich. The only good thing is that Van Persie was back in his scoring ways getting two goals. Thatis no win in 4 for them now. Arsenal were lucky that Spurs blew their chance to go third with a victory over Villa. Looks like Theo Walcott could be back which I think is key to whether they win this. Its 1.7 at PaddyPower. I guess if Walcott isnit playing itis a bet I am going to skip.

Wigan (1.62) Draw (4.2) Wolverhampton (6)

Wigan have pulled off the great escape. With 6 wins in their last 8 they have pulled themselves off the bottom of the table and are safe. Against Blackburn, they should have beat them by more than the single goal. Victor Moses was wasteful in front of goal The question is whether they will be motivated for this game now they donit need to win it? I think so. Last game of the season at home. Wolves have had a couple of draws since their relegation was confirmed. They came back from 3-0 down at Swansea to get a 4-4 draw and kept Everton out at home to get a 0-0. I donit see them getting anything here though. Wigan are the form side at the moment and I think Iid be backing them against anyone in the league at the moment apart from City. Wigan are 1.62 at Bet Victor.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 05 May 2012 02:12:32 +0100

5th - 7th May 2012

5th May 2012

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (7) Norwich (15)

A crucial game for Arsenal with Spurs and Newcastle breathing down their necks for that 3rd place. Just 3 weeks ago the looked well clear for that 3rd place and guaranteed Champions League football next season but a shock home loss to Wigan and successive draws against Chelsea and Stoke put them just 1 point clear. No Walcott, Arteta or Wilshere for this game. Van Persie was back to his scoring ways last weekend after going through a bit of a goal drought. Norwich were woeful against Liverpool. It look like that 2-1 win over Spurs last month was an anomaly in the general drop off in form. Only 2 wins in the last 11 league games. Arsenal should win this quite comfortably but I am not betting on Arsenal at 1.25. Lots of upsets this season and it wouldn't be that much of a surprise if Norwich did nick this one. I am just leaving this game alone.

6th May 2012

Newcastle (5) Draw (4.2) Manchester City (1.75)

Newcastle are the in form team at the moment. They had a blip at Wigan last weekend ago but made up for it with a stunning win against Chelsea midweek. Papiss Cisse scored 2 fantastic goals. Chelsea did rotate the squad a little but still had a strong side out. With Cisse, Ba and Ben Arfa upfront they are possibly the best offence in the Premiership. Its either them or Tevez and Aguero at Manchester City who are their opponents this weekend. City can pretty much win the title with a win here. They'll thrash QPR on the last day of the season so the task is simple, win here and win the league, anything else and you are relying on Manchester United slipping up. I am not convinced they will win this game though. City didn't look too good against Wolves a couple of weeks ago and even though they beat Manchester United 1-0, I'd have expected them to work David De Gea a bit more. I think the safer bet for City backers would be over 2.5 goals. I cannot see them keeping Newcastle out so they'll need to score 2 to win this. Overs is 1.73 at Bet Victor or City win is 1.75.

Aston Villa (4.5) Draw (3.8) Tottenham (1.91)

Villa got a vital point away at West Brom last weekend. That's probably just enough to keep them up on goal difference. Still not a good performance though and that makes it just 1 win in 13. You could have blamed some of this on injuries but they only have Petrov and Bent out now. It looks like Villa are going to need rebuilding this summer. There was some night club incident midweek too which can't be good for the team morale. Spurs seem to have found their form again now that all this Harry for England business has gone away. Either that or they have played 2 relegation threatened teams and won. I think they will make it three wins in a row though as Villa are playing like a team that are going to get relegated. They are just extremely lucky they picked up points at the start of the season. I am going to go for Spurs at 1.91 at Ladbrokes.

Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.75) West Brom (3.75)

A must win game for Bolton if they are going to stay up. Against Spurs midweek, they looked good when they were at 1-1. I thought they looked most likely to score next but then Spurs hit them with 2 goals in quick succession which deflated them. West Brom's manager will be going to manage the England national side from June. I think West Brom may just be a bit more motivated than normal for this game. Ordinarily, I'd say back the more desperate team but I think that Hodgson will want a win here so the press don't get on his back. Odemwingie and Long should be able to hit Bolton on the counter attack just like Spurs did. West Brom are 3.75 to win at most Bookmakers.

Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (4.5)

Excellent win for Fulham midweek against a weakened Liverpool side. At home, they recently beat Wigan who are one of the Premierships form sides and overall they have 4 wins in their last 6. It's a bit worrying how they haven't scored in their last 2 games but they have been tough places to go. (They beat Liverpool 1-0 with an own goal and lost 4-0 to Everton). Pogrebnyak or Dempsey have generally been playing well together and I expect them to score a couple at least. Sunderlands form was bound to drop off. They are 0-5-1 in their last 6 games. They managed to score a couple last weekend which were their first in 5 games. Bendtner was on the scoresheet but Sessegnon has gone off the boil a bit. I think Sunderland will be saving themselves for next weekends game against Manchester United. That game will matter to them whereas this one is a nothingness game. It's a Fulham win for me. Its 1.91 at PaddyPower.

QPR (1.91) Draw (3.75) Stoke (4.5)

QPR are hoping that their recent pattern of wining the home games and losing the away games continue. They've managed to beat Liverpool, Arsenal, Swansea and Spurs in that run. Last weekend they were all over the place defensively and even Torres managed to score a hat trick against them. Hughes will be expecting better. Realistically, these are the last points they're going to pick up this season. They'll get nothing from City next weekend. What extra motivation do they need. Stoke have made themselves a hard team to beat recently. In form Newcastle and Wigan have managed it but they have been getting a fair number of draws. Five, 1-1 draws in the last 8 games. I think this looks like it could be another draw. I like the odds a lot better for the draw than for the home win. I don't like backing a relegation threatened team at odds on against anyone. The draw is 3.75 at bet365.

Wolverhampton (5) Draw (4) Everton (1.75)

With no pressure on Wolves, they played a good game against Swansea. They were 3-0 down after 15 minutes and you would have expected them to give up but they fought on and got a 4-4 draw out of it. This is their last game at home before they go down to the Championship. Maybe one last good performance for the fans? Everton are unbeaten in 7. They have also been scoring a lot with Jelavic looking like an excellent signing. They do have little to play for now though and I wonder how motivated they will be. Looking at the odds and how many goals have been scored recently, I am tempted to go overs rather than pick a winner. Over 2.5 goals is 1.7 at Bluesquare whereas the Everton win is 1.75 at Bet Victor.

Manchester United (1.2) Draw (7.5) Swansea (19)

Manchester United looked poor for most of the game against City on Monday. Apart from the first 5 minutes or so, it was all City. United looked inept. Their midfield would have been great 5 years ago but Giggs, Scholes, Park and Carrick against City was asking to get beat. I think Fergie was playing for the draw which he almost got. Despite not playing very well, De Gea didn't have many saves to make at all. Swansea let a 3-0 lead slip and managed to draw 4-4 with a relegated Wolves side at home. Swansea haven't really been getting the results recently. Maybe it's the end of season or teams have figured out how to play against them. I should imagine that United will press them hard but as Swansea play a possession game, they might not get that much of the ball. When Swansea went to White Hart Lane, they had more possession than Spurs did. Should be a routine United win but I am not interested in backing it at 1.2.

7th May 2012

Blackburn (2.5) Draw (3.6) Wigan (2.9)

Blackburn played a stinker of game against Spurs last round. Not a single shot on goal they had. The only surprising thing is that they only lost 2-0. On recent form, they'll be going down for sure. They have scored more goals than all the teams around them but have also let a lot more in. 75 goals conceded is only beaten by Wolves with 79. Wigan look home and dry now with that 4-0 win over Newcastle. They beat Arsenal away last month and Manchester United at home too. They are playing some excellent football against top teams and getting results. I cannot see why they are not favourites here. I expect by kick off they will be. Wigan are currently 2.9 at Bet Victor for the straight win or for the safer bet, they are 2.1 at PaddyPower on the draw no bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 27 Apr 2012 17:16:09 +0100

28th - 30th April 2012

28th April 2012
Everton FC (1.87) Draw (3.6) Fulham (5)

Excellent result for Everton last weekend. They were 4-2 down and looking out of it at Old Trafford, they came back to 4-4. That's 5 unbeaten now with 3 wins in there. There still is a chance they can get in to a Europa League spot for next season so there is something to play for. Fulham are finishing the season strongly too. 3 wins out of 4 and the a draw against Chelsea isn't bad at all. They even managed to beta Bolton 3-0 away from home earlier this month. Dembele and Dempsey have been playing superbly. I think Everton are the better bet here though. Maybe a little on the short side but I think they will win it. After that come back against United last weekend, I can't see how they can come home and then not win. Everton are 1.87 at Boylesports.

Stoke (4.5) Draw (3.7) Arsenal (1.91)

No chance for Stoke at high flying Newcastle last weekend. Stoke have put up some decent performances this season but the Britannia is no fortress and Stoke have been hit and miss all season. At first it was down to the European commitments but now they are out of Europe they come up with some stinking performances. Arsenal should get top 4 but Newcastle are breathing down their necks for that 3rd place. No goal in open play for Van Persie is hurting them. Usually, he'd pop up and score the winner but nothing. I guess on the likes of Ronaldo and Messi is Spain can score consistently all season. Stoke have been Arsenal's bogie team in recent seasons. Last year they won 3-1. I can see this going either way. I think the over 2.5 goals is the way to play it. Stoke 7 of the last 10 of the encounters between these sides have been overs. I can see this being a 2-1 either way. Over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365.

Sunderland (2.05) Draw (3.6) Bolton (4)

The Sunderland bubble looks like its burst. No more O'Neil factor in play. They haven't scored in the last 4 games but amazingly they have only lost 1 of those (3, 0-0 draws). I guess there is only so much a new manager can do and it'll be next year when O'Neil brings in his own players that they can start pushing up the league. Bolton scored 2 quick fire goals midweek to give them a chance at staying up. A win here and they could leapfrog both Wigan and QPR. Villa have been extremely poor though and Sunderland are probably slightly better at the moment. I think they can get something here. Well, if Sunderland can't score then Bolton can't lose. A draw probably won't do Bolton much good so they have to go for the win. Bolton are 4.0 at bluesquare.

Swansea (1.57) Draw (4.3) Wolverhampton (6.5)

Swansea got a draw at Bolton last round. They should have got more as they were much the better side. I am still in 2 minds about Swansea's brand of football. Is it boring or exciting? I suppose it depends on whether they win. Pretty much a nothingness game this for Swansea. Wolves were relegated officially last weekend with the defeat at the hands of City. It was actually pretty close for a long period of the game but City just have better strikers. Sometimes teams after the pressure is off, teams perform better. I don't see it this time though. Swansea all day long for me. They are 1.57 at Bet Victor.

West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.7)

West Brom rode their luck last weekend at Liverpool and managed to sneak it 1-0 with Odemwingie bagging the winner. West Brom are in no mans land in the league and have little to play for now. The thing about this fixture is that they'd love for Villa to go down such is the rivalry between the 2 sides. Villa are in danger of going down but do just need a point to survive I think. 37 points with their goal difference should be enough to keep them up. Midweek, they took the lead against Bolton but 2 minutes later they were 2-1 down and looked out of it. I think McLeish will get his point from somewhere but not from here. West Brom at 2.15 for me at Betfred.

Wigan (2.9) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (2.6)

Wigan's mini-run came to an end last weekend with a 2-1 defeat at Fulham. Their position is looking precarious again due to wins by those around them. Still nothing wrong with the Wigan side and they are playing better than their league position suggests. Its just a shame they are facing the in form side. Newcastle have won their last 6 games. With their strikeforce, you can't see them not scoring. If Newcastle, were called Manchester United instead of Newcastle United, they'd be 1.5 tops for this game not 2.6. I think you got to keep backing Newcastle until they stop winning. They are 2.6 at William Hill.

Norwich (4) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (2.05)

Maybe its season over or maybe Blackburn just wanted it more but Norwich lost the last game 2-0. They can go level on points here with a win. Norwich have had a cracking season and this would be the icing on the cake for them. Liverpool lost at home to West Brom last weekend. They must have smashed a load of mirrors or done something to get so much bad luck. 27 total shots vs 8, 13 on target vs 4, 62% possession vs 38% and they lost. Too many of those unlucky games for Liverpool this season though. I don't know whether Liverpool are still bothered about the league. They have Chelsea next weekend in the FA Cup final. A win or loss here wouldn't really make any difference to their shocking season. Looking at the odds, I suppose the only bet to have is Norwich. Its 4.0 at Bet Victor.

29th April 2012

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (5) QPR (9.5)

Fantastic performance by Chelsea midweek. Even though I backed Barcelona I couldn't help being happy for Chelsea and Torres. I can't see them after the highs of midweek not coming back here and beating QPR. They do have a bit of an injury crisis in defence though. With Cahill and Luiz out, Terry is the only fit centre back. QPR kept up their recent pattern of losing their away games and winning their home games. That run of form has pulled them out of the relegation zone. I can see that pattern continuing here with a loss. If it was a nothingness game for Chelsea, maybe something on QPR but as Chelsea still need to finish in 4th I can see them going for this one. Chelsea are 1.44 at Bet Victor.

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5.25) Blackburn (9.5)

Where did it all go wrong for Spurs? Since beating Newcastle 5-0 back at the start of February, they have only won 1 game out the next 9. Players such as Parker, Van der Vaart and Adebayor aren't playing as well as they were. King who was once excellent, is now a liability. With the fixtures the way they are, they are still more favoured than Chelsea or Newcastle to get in to the top 4 but they need to start winning again. Blackburn gave themselves a lifeline last weekend with a 2-0 win over Norwich. Its as if it only just clicked that they needed to win to stay up. I've thought it all along that they have the players to stay up but just too many bad performances. I can't see them getting anything here though. Spurs need the points a lot more than Blackburn do. Its pretty much win this or say goodbye to Champions League football next year. Spurs are 1.4 at Ladbrokes.

30th April 2012

Manchester City (2.25) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (3.5)

Potentially the title decider. Well, its almost certain if City don't win then United will win the league but even if City win, they still might not win it due to the tricky away fixture at Newcastle. City were given a lifeline with Everton getting a draw at Old Trafford. City beat Wolves 2-0 afterwards to close the gap to 3 points but the performance was far from convincing. There has been a revival at City but who have they played? West Brom, Norwich and Wolves. No exactly top class teams. I think that Aguero and Tezez make a great partnership though, much better than Dzeko or Balotelli. Balotelli could return for this which I think will be a bad thing for City. United come in to this game, knowing a draw would be great. A lot depends on how Fergusson approaches this. He could pack the midfield and put Rooney up front by himself. A 0-0 would be an excellent result. Tricky one to bet on but I am going for City. On paper they are a better side. They are 2.1 at bet365 which isn't the greatest price but they are giving away a free in running bet up to the value of a bet placed beforehand. See site for details but its one of the best free offers for the game.
Get a free bet too when you sign up.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 21 Apr 2012 03:24:47 +0100

21st - 22nd April 2012
21st April 2012

Arsenal (2.1) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (4)

Poor showing from Arsenal on Monday to lose 2-1 at home to Wigan. I think they missed Arteta in midfield and he will be out for the season. To some, the loss wouldn't have been much of a surprise. After all, Wigan had just beaten Manchester United and would have beaten Chelsea if it wasn't for the referee. Also, some of Arsenals wins have just been lucky. Chelsea played a stunning game against Barcelona on Wednesday. With only 28% of the possession and 1 shot on target, they managed to beat Barcelona 1-0. Unbelievable. Drogba won't be playing in this game due to an injury and Di Matteo is going to be rotating his squad due to them having to face Barcelona in the second leg on Tuesday. Chelsea were great against Spurs in the FA Cup last weekend too. If he puts out a half decent side I think they can win this. 4.0 is a massive price at Bet Victor
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Aston Villa (2.4) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.4)

It is a good job that Villa picked up points early in the season because their squad is down to the bare bones and they aren't getting the results. Only the 1 win in 11. Last round they were thrashed 4-0 by an average Manchester United side. They'll stay up though as there are 3 teams below them that won't be able to catch them. Sunderland have gone off the boil recently. No goal in their last 3 games. Against Spurs and Everton that's understandable but against bottom of the table Wolves, that's shocking. O'Neil will try getting them fired up for this game against his former team but I do sometimes feel that he inherited a limited squad that has over performed. I think this could end in a draw. It's a result both sides would be happy with I think. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.7) Norwich (3.8)

5 losses in a row now for Blackburn. It was looking so good for them a month ago but its all gone wrong. Good news is that Yakubu and Hoilett should be fit for this game. With the way they played last weekend against Swansea though, its unlikely they'll be able to get anything from anyone in this league and deserve to go down. On paper, Norwich were thrashed 6-1 by City last round. 4 of those goals were in the last 20 minutes though and before then at 2-1 it was nervy for City. The previous game they beat Spurs 2-1 at White Hart Lane which they were the better team. If they can beat Spurs I can see them beating this poor Blackburn side. I'll play it safe though with draw no bet at 2.75 at bluesquare. I just can't see how Blackburn can win this but they may be able to get a draw.

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Swansea (3.6)

With 2 games in hand and only 2 points behind QPR, Bolton are odds against to stay up. Recent performances suggest they can do. They were unlucky to lose 2-0 to Newcastle last round. They were playing well and it was only a late wonder goal by Ben Arfa than un did them. Cisse scored one as well to make the victory look comfortable for Newcastle but Bolton did play really well and probably deserved something out of it. Swansea stopped their run of 4 straight losses last round with a 3-0 beating of Blackburn. Blackburn have been extremely poor though and I am not convinced that their brand of football can work. Too much passing around the back so they possession stats look good but if teams push them up the pitch they are easily beaten. I think Bolton can do it. Bolton are 2.3 at Bet Victor.

Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.7) Wigan (4.33)

Fulham have found some good form recently. Last round I thought they were well worth their point against Chelsea. They had the better chances. Clint Dempsey is in fine scoring form for them. Their form is topped by Wigan's though. 4 wins in the last 5 including Manchester United, Liverpool and Arsenal. You could say they are the Premiership's in form team. It'd be 5/5 if the referee wouldn't have given the offside goals against them at Stanford Bridge where Chelsea beat them 2-1. The odds on for Fulham are not tempting at all. They are against a team that have just beat 1st and 3rd in the league. Wigan +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap is 2.02 at bet365.

Newcastle (1.7) Draw (3.8) Stoke (5.8)

Fantastic form for Newcastle. Ba and Cisse make up a great strike partnership and Ben Arfa is class too. Tiote, Guthrie and Obertan could be back in the side after injury. Newcastle have won their last 5 game and the last 4 by 2 clear goals. Stoke's form has been pretty indifferent. Some good draws I suppose but they haven't got anything to play for now. They've never been the best travelling side anyway. I am going to go for Newcastle here. They are playing like a top 4 team and aren't priced right IMO. I think Spurs were only about 1.4 when Stoke went to the Lane last month. Newcastle at 1.7 is a great bet at PaddyPower.

QPR (4) Draw (3.75) Tottenham (2)

QPR lost their last game 1-0 away to West Brom. Nothing wrong with their performance and their away form has been much poorer than their home form. In the last 3 home games, they have managed to beat Liverpool, Arsenal and Swansea. Not easy fixtures to win. Cisse will be available for this game after returning from suspension. Its not known whether he'll play though as he hasn't exactly shined since his move to QPR. Spurs bad run of form continues. Only 1 win in the last 8 in the Premier League and then last weekend, they lost 5-1 in the FA Cup to Spurs. I can't understand the reason for the dip in form. It coincided with Harry being in the frame for the England job but that can't have caused such a change in fortunes. At 4.0 QPR is the only bet to have here. Spurs haven't even scored away from home in the last 3. QPR are 4.0 at bet365.

22nd April 2012

Manchester United (1.36) Draw (5.5) Everton FC (11)

Routine home win for Manchester United last weekend. Villa aren't the strongest of opponents though and the weaknesses that Wigan exploited the game before are probably still there, namely a poor midfield. Rooney has been off form and been subbed twice in the last 2 games. Everton were disappointing the FA Cup semi final against Liverpool. They took the lead but some poor defending let Liverpool win the game 2-1. The outcome of this game depends on how Everton respond to that defeat. Is that season over now for them? Possibly, they still could easily finish above Liverpool though which they will want to aim for. The 11.0 does look like it has some value. I am going to go for United to win to nil though. Its one of those bets that has paid out the last 4 home games. Its 2.2 at Skybet. New customers get £10 no deposit when they sign up. Bet with their money.

Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.75) West Brom (8)

Great cup form for Liverpool. They came back from 1-0 down to beat Everton 2-1. Andy Carroll scoring the winner again after breaking Blackburn hearts with a late winner the Premiership game before. The fans will expect the cup form to spill over in to the league where its not been so great. They are currently in 8th which is the lowest I've seen them with just 5 games to go. West Brom are a team that are blowing hot and cold. Any performance is possible. I suppose Hodgson would love to get a result here from his former club. I am never comfortable backing Liverpool at home to anyone due to the amount of draws they had at home. I think the 4.75 at Boylesports is the best value here.

Wolverhampton (13) Draw (6.5) Manchester City (1.25)

Wolves stopped their losing streak with a 0-0 at Sunderland. Its not enough to keep them up though. They down. City look stunning now with Aguero and Tevez up front. This is the shortest away price in the Premiership I have ever seen. Even Manchester United at home this weekend pays out more. I think its bet on the handicap or win to nil. City -2 on the Asian Handicap is 2.2 at PaddyPower. I think they should clear that easily. If you think 1-0 or 2-0 are likely then the win to nil bet is probably better. It's 2.1 at Skybet. I prefer the handicap though as Wolves may get a lucky goal but I don't think they'll be able to stop City scoring 3-4 goals.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 14 Apr 2012 01:33:55 +0100

14th - 16th April 2012
14th April 2012

Norwich (7) Draw (4.3) Manchester City (1.57)

Fantastic result for Norwich against Spurs last round. I was surprised as anyone as Spurs are fighting for that 4th spot and Norwich's season is pretty much over in terms of what they can achieve. The 2-1 win at the Lane wasn't a smash and grab either. It was as likely to finish 3-1 as 2-2. City's title hopes are not quite over. The defeat of Manchester United at Wigan give them a glimmer of hope. City thrashed West Brom 4-0 last game. They were the City we saw at the beginning of the season. With Aguero and Tevez upfront they are a force to be reckoned with and Silva looked back in form too. Its as if City have been gifted a second shot at the title by the footballing gods. I think they will take the chance. It's 1.57 at Bet Victor.

Sunderland (1.55) Draw (4.5) Wolverhampton (7)

Sunderland were thrashed 4-0 by Everton their bogie team last round. They were dominated and didn't even have a single shot on target. O'Neil will want something from his players this game to make up. Nicklas Bendtner may return which will give them some more firepower. John O'Shea and Fraizer Campbell could also be back. Wolves had no chance against Arsenal last round. They were 1-0 down and down to 10 men with 10 minutes. They did well to finish the game with the score only at 3-0. Nothing has gone right for them since sacking McCarthy. I can't see them getting anything here. Maybe if Sunderland would have got something from Everton I might be tempted to put something on Wolves but O'Neil will get a performance from them this week. I'm going to go for Sunderland -1 on the Asian Handicap. It's 1.86 at Ladbrokes. I can see them winning this by a couple of goals.

Swansea (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4)

Swansea's brand of football may have been found out. They have plenty of possession but the passing is always backwards or sideways and very rarely forward. They have now lost 4 games in a row. Teams are pressing them high up the pitch and getting results. Blackburn are going though another slump. 3 weeks ago, it looked like they were going to pull out of the relegation battle but 4 defeats in a row and unexpected turnarounds at Wigan and QPR put them right back in it. They had a bit of good fortune against Liverpool last round and were looking the more likely to win. Only a stoppage time Liverpool goal denied them a point. With both sides in terrible form and not scoring it made me think that under 2.5 goals might be a decent shout here but I am going to go with Blackburn +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap. It's 1.95 at bet365. That covers the draw and the Blackburn win. None of the 3 results would surprise me so may as well put a bet on that covers 2 of the outcomes.

West Brom (2.2) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.7)

West Brom were thrashed midweek by a resurgent Manchester City side. Hodgson did rest a few players though knowing that it was going to be a tough game. They should be back to full strength this game. Their home form is steadily improving. They have actually won 3 of their last 4 games at home to nil. Their lost was against Newcastle. QPR have surprised many. A month ago, they were looking doomed but 3 home wins out of 3 have pulled them out of the relegation zone. These haven't been teams around them either, its been Liverpool, Arsenal and Swansea. The last away game was at Old Trafford which despite playing with 10 men for most of the game, they only lost 2-0. I am going to go with West Brom here. Players will be a lot fresher and they have home advantage. They are 2.2 at Bet Victor.
15th April 2012

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Aston Villa (15)

Poor performance midweek from United. They deserved to lose to Wigan and probably by more than the 1 goal. Paul Scholes was rested so maybe that has something to do with it. It must broke a lot of peoples' accumulators that loss. It certainly killed a big one of mine. Some people say it has been coming though. United haven't been playing well at all and someone was going to suss them out sooner or later. Poor form from Villa puts them at risk of being sucked in to the relegation zone. They have only won 1 in the last 10 which was a late win against Fulham at home. This looks like a home win. United can't play as poorly as they did against Wigan. As usual, I will go for United to win to nil. Its 2.0 at PaddyPower.

16th April 2012

Arsenal (1.29) Draw (6) Wigan (12)

Arsenal are the in form team at the moment. I watched with amazement they was they battered Manchester City who are arguably the best team in the league on paper. They have won 9 out of their last 10 games. Last round they played Wolves which was over as a contest after 11 minutes. Arsenal were 2-0 up and Wolves down to 10 men. Wigan need a relegation battle before they get going. They have won 3 of the last 4 games and were unlucky to lose against Chelsea. They could have won that on another day. The best result I suppose was the victory over Manchester United last round though. They fully deserved the victory and has a perfectly good goal disallowed in the first half too. From a betting perspective, this is tricky. Arsenal are far too short against a team that has just beaten the league leaders and Liverpool at Anfield in the last month. If Arsenal are going to win, they'll have to score 2 goals at least because I can see Wigan scoring. I suppose the logical bet is over 2.5 goals. Its currently 1.57 at Coral. Not great either but I prefer it to the Arsenal straight win.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 06 Apr 2012 19:55:58 +0100

7th - 8th April 2012
7th April 2012

Sunderland (3.4) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.3)

Sunderland nearly pulled off upset of the season last week by defeating Manchester City at the Etihad. They were deservedly 3-1 up with 5 minutes to go. City scored 2 late goals to salvage a point though. Bendtner's not looking too bad nowadays. I did think that it was season over for Sunderland after getting knocked out of the cup but they are still playing strong. Spurs got their first league win in 6 against Swansea last weekend. I think it has something to do with Lennon being back in the side. They seem to get better results when him and Bale are playing on the wings. I think Spurs can nick with one. Sunderland have go to come down at some point and Spurs have the quality to beat them. Spurs are 2.3 at PaddyPower.

Bolton (2.63) Draw (3.5) Fulham (2.8)

The momentum is definitely with Bolton. The Muamba incident seems to have galvanised the team. They are looking for win number 4 on the bounce. Last weekend they beat Wolves 3-2 after going a goal down and previously beaten Blackburn and QPR at home. Fulham beat Norwich last weekend 2-1. They always play their best football at home though and on the road they aren't the same team. Saying that, I was really impressed with them at Manchester United a couple of weeks ago. They should have had a late penalty and would have got a point if that would have gone in. I don't think Bolton will lose this game but I am not convinced they are the type of team to be able to win 4 in a row. Draw for me. Its 3.5 at Boylesports.

Chelsea (1.3) Draw (6) Wigan (13)

Chelsea struggled against Benfica in the Champions League midweek. They were playing against 10 men for most of the game and it only was a stoppage time breakaway goal that gave them the win. I was embarrassed for English football. (As a side tip, Barcelona at 1.8 on the 18th to beat Chelsea is almost like buying money). Coach Di Matteo will be able to rotate his squad though and bring out a stronger team maybe. They really have to get 4th place to get in to next years Champions League. Wigan keep on surprising. Its as if they need a relegation battle to get going. That 1-1 draw against Norwich was the turning point for them. Since then they have beaten Stoke and Liverpool as well as got a draw against West Brom. I wouldn't put it past them to get something here either. 1.3 on the home win to too risky for me considering how poor Chelsea have been this season. The draw at 6.0 at bet365 is the best value of the 3 possible outcomes I think.

Liverpool (1.45) Draw (4.6) Aston Villa (9)

Another week, another loss for Liverpool. They are the bookies best friend. I can't believe they were favourite going in to the Newcastle game last weekend. They lost 2-0 and were out played. Their midfield is just not good enough. Who are Spearing and Shelvey? Reina is also suspended due to the red card last weekend. Villa lost again last weekend but there were some signs for hope. They were 2-0 down and got it back to 2-2 before losing 4-2. Captain, Petrov is out and they are missing Darren Bent. N Zogbia might be back though so that will boost them. Looking at the odds, there is no way I can be backing Liverpool at 1.45. They have relegation type form. I think its worth taking a punt on the away win here. Villa are a massive 9.0 at Boylesports.

Norwich (3) Draw (3.4) Everton FC (2.6)

Norwich lost 2-1 to Fulham last weekend. No shame in that. They have gone off the boil a bit but I suppose they have nothing to play for now. Holt is back in the squad after serving a suspension and Pilkington could return following a hamstring injury. That'll boost their goal scoring capabilities. Everton still have a lot to play for. Next weekend they have Liverpool in the FA Cup and if they want to finish above them too in the league. I think some of the players will be playing for a place in that cup side so I expect them to be well motivated for this game. Saying that, it's a tricky game to call. I probably wouldn't have Everton as favourites here. Norwich aren't a bad side and with Holt and Pilkington in the side, they certainly have the potential to score goals. It's the draw for me. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

West Brom (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.2)

Since that win against Chelsea on the 3rd March, West Brom have lost 3 and drawn 1 against Wigan which they should have lost too. They have just gone off the boil a little bit. Blackburn were a little unlucky to go down 2-0 to Manchester United on Monday. It was even for most of the game and it looked like they could hold out for a 0-0 but United being United won it late. Any side with Yakubu and Hoilett in is more than capable of winning a fixture like this. With West Brom there seems to have been no home advantage for them. They play better away from home than they do at home. I am going to go for a Blackburn win here. 4.2 at Boylesports is a big price.

Stoke (1.67) Draw (4) Wolverhampton (6.5)

No win in 4 for Stoke. Last game they lost 2-0 at Wigan. I guess its season over for them. They did pull out a decent performance the weekend before though with a 1-1 draw against City and Crouch scoring what could be goal of the season. Wolves are gone now. They have only took 1 point from the last 21 available. The board must be regretting sacking McCarthy. I don't see any way out for them. With Stoke being traditionally a strong home side, I can see them winning this comfortably. Stoke are 1.67 at Betfred.

8th April 2012

Manchester United (1.2) Draw (8) QPR (17)

Manchester United are looking great for retaining their title. It was a lot tougher game at Blackburn than the 2-0 scoreline suggests. They just know how to grind out the results. QPR have taken a couple of big scalps at home and with a little help from Manchester United have pulled out of the relegation zone. The maybe were lucky against Liverpool but where good value for their win against Arsenal. The away form leaves something to be desired though and I think it would be too much to ask for them to get something from Old Trafford. I am going for my current favourite bet with United which is them to win to nil. It's 1.91 at PaddyPower.

Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (3)

Arsenal's luck ran out at QPR last weekend. They were well beaten 2-1 at QPR. The Van Persie goals are drying up. They have other goal scorers but he's been the main driver. After last weekend's 3-3 draw at home to Sunderland and Manchester United's win over Blackburn, its pretty much win here or concede the title for City. Aguero is back so maybe they can win it. They have lacked the width to their game but with Aguero's quality they'll be able to score down the middle. I can't see them losing this. I've gone City draw no bet at 2.1 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 30 Mar 2012 22:49:01 +0100

31st March - 2nd April 2012
31st March 2012

Aston Villa (5) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (1.85)

Villa were well and truly beaten by Arsenal last round 3-0. If they weren't already on 33 points I'd be worried about them. Its just good fortune for them that there are 3 worse teams below them in the league. The bad news for them is that captain Stiliyan Petrov is out after being diagnosed with acute leukaemia. Chelsea managed a win in the Champions League with several of the first team rested. I guess Di Matteo was playing for the draw in that and got lucky with the win. I expect the first teamers to return for this game fresh. The Champions League probably isn't winnable this year as they'll have to get past Barcelona in the next round so qualifying for next year's competition is probably more urgent. For me, it's a Chelsea win all day long. It's 1.85 at PaddyPower.

Everton FC (1.87) Draw (3.6) West Brom (4.75)

Two great results for Everton away from home at places where you think they wouldn't get anything. First of all, they managed an upset at Swansea beating them 2-0 and then winning by the same score line at Sunderland in the FA Cup. That's pretty much their season now. They can't really get anywhere in the league. Well, they can over take Liverpool with a win here but I think Moyes is putting everything in to the FA Cup. West Brom were thrashed 3-1 at home by Newcastle last round. Hodgson will want a strong response from them. Strangely, their best results have been away from home this season. Looking at the odds, I think West Brom have to be backed. Its pretty much a nothingness game for both teams but 4.75 is much better than 1.87 so I'm going with West Brom at PaddyPower.

Fulham (1.73) Draw (3.9) Norwich (5.5)

Fulham maybe should have got a point last round against Manchester United. They were denied a late penalty which surely would have made it 1-1. They haven't scored in their last 3 games and Pavel Pogrebnyak isn't looking as good as when he first debuted. Norwich stopped their slide with a 2-1 win over Wolves. As I thought though, any team can beat Wolves in the state they are in. It cost them their captain though. Grant Holt was sent off and will miss this game. I really can't understand the odds here. Norwich are 3 points ahead of Fulham but are a massive 5.5. I know there's home advantage but 1.73 for a team that has lost it's last 3 games to nil? Norwich for me, it's 5.5 at William Hill.

Manchester City (1.25) Draw (6.5) Sunderland (15)

City slipped up last weekend at Stoke. It was a pretty obvious that without Aguero and Kompany, City might struggle at Stoke. 1-1 was probably a fair result. Kompany will be back this weekend but Aguero is out injured. I am not a fan of Dzeko or Balotelli so I am hoping that Tevez will start or come on and play a big part in this game. Sunderland crashed out of the FA Cup with a 2-0 home loss to Everton. I guess that is season over for them now. Since O'Neil has took over, I think they have over performed. I can't see them getting anything here at all. City have so much to play for whereas Sunderland are looking forward to next season. Top price of 1.25 is not that appealing but fair. I am going for City to win to nil at 2.0 at Ladbrokes.

QPR (6) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.62)

It's looking grim for QPR. It was the perfect time to play Sunderland and pick up some vital points away from home but discipline has cost them again. 11 vs 11 was going to be tough but when D Cisse was sent off after 55 minutes it was game over. He'll be suspended for 4 games now. That 3-2 win over Liverpool looks even more freakish now. Arsenal are firing on all cylinders. They have had their share of luck but are also joint top of the current form table with 6 wins out of 6. In their 3-0 win over Villa they had 3 different goal scorers which didn't include Van Persie. Odds on Arsenal might not be great but I suppose that's all you can expect on current form. I can see this being another win for Arsenal. I think if they turn on the style they could win this 4 or 5 nil but with some of Arsenal's performances a 1-0 ground out victory wouldn't be surprising either. It'll just stick with the straight win at 1.62 at Bet Victor.

Wigan (2.7) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.88)

Wigan continue to surprise. Just when you think they are down and out, they go pull off a shock win at Liverpool. Its as if Wigan only perform when the pressure is on. Every season they are facing relegation and every season they manage to stay up. Still no Rodallega to get the goals. As with all teams facing relegation, it's the shortage of goals that's causing the problem. Stoke managed to get a point of City last weekend, which will have give Manchester United a boost in the title race. Crouch probably got goal of the season with that fantastic strike. This game is a tricky one as the odds suggest. I will go with the home win though as Wigan need it more than Stoke do. The Stoke players will be taking their feet off the peddle sooner or later. Wigan are 2.7 at Boylesports.

Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.5) Bolton (3.1)

Wolves must be kicking themselves for sacking Mick McCarthy. Since that date, they have drawn 1 and lost 4 with no end in sight. The only glimmer of hope is that Wolves managed to score a goal last game. I think they are down now. Maybe the board knew that when they sacked McCarthy and its just a case of rebuilding next season. Bolton managed to beat Blackburn last weekend. With hindsight it was obvious. With Muamba in hospital, the team played for him. That win has pulled them out of the relegation zone. I think they can build on that. I still think Wolves are doomed and it should be profitable to back against them every week. Bolton are 3.1 at bet365.

1st April 2012

Newcastle (3.1) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2.5)

Excellent win last weekend for Newcastle last weekend beating West Brom 3-1. It puts them 8 points clear of Liverpool. Papiss Cisse has been a great signing. With him and Demba Ba they have goals in them. For Liverpool, they had a terrible weekend. Not many would have tipped them to lose to relegation candidates, Wigan at home. If it was an isolated incident, you could put it down to one of those days but they have lost 5 of the last 6 league games. The only win was against Everton who played a weakened team. I don't know why they are favourites for this game. Newcastle are in much better form and are at home. Odds should be the other way round at best. I think Newcastle on the Asian Handicap at Bet Victor is the way to play this one. It's 2.29. Its safer than the 3.1 for the straight win which is also great value. Something is wrong with that Liverpool side at the moment and its been a gold mine backing against them these past few weeks.

Tottenham (1.44) Draw (4.8) Swansea (9.5)

Spurs seemed to have shook off that bad spell they went through. Not only did they come through the FA Cup tie, convincing 3-1 winners over Bolton. There were signs last weekend against Chelsea that they were bouncing back. The game finished 0-0 but Spurs finished the stronger side and should have really won that. Lennon is back for Spurs too. I think they are always better when he is in the squad. All was going so well for Swansea but then they lose at home to Everton. Maybe that's season over for Swansea. They've done great this season and are 10th with 39 points, they'll not go down. I suppose I could make a case for there being some value in the 9.5 on the away win. Previously, they did go to Fulham and win 3-0 there. I wouldn't put any one off backing Swansea at 9.5 but I just think that Spurs have turned the corner and with Chelsea hot on their heels for 4th place, they'll want to win this more than Swansea. Spurs are 1.44 at PaddyPower.

2nd April 2012

Blackburn (9) Draw (5) Manchester United (1.4)

Blackburn's mini-resurgence came to an end with the lost to Bolton last weekend. With all the emotions over Fabrice Muamba, that was understandable. Manchester United were very lucky to get the 1-0 win over Fulham last Monday. Fulham were denied a stonewalled penalty, late on. For the rest of the game though, United did dominate and they really should have had the game in the bag before the end. Can Blackburn do what they did to United back at the end of December by beating them? They have goals in them and United have looked shaky at times. I will take a chance on Blackburn here. Its 9.0 at Bet Victor. It'll probably lose but there is more than a 11% chance of Blackburn causing an upset here. I've seen United play badly on more than 1 occasion this season and sooner or later they will get punished for it.