Picks from KLS Betting

Long Term market

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

top goal scorer
I placed a bet on Liverpool's Djibril Cisse to be top goal scorer. I managed to get 26.0 at Bet365 The price has dropped to 23.0 now but thats still good value. I had my bet each way so I still win even if he gets 2nd, 3rd or 4th.

He's surely going to be the regular striker for Liverpool (along with Morientes). Baros looks like he's leaving and Crouch will probably be used as a substitute striker rather than a starting striker.

He scored 26 goals in 38 league matches in the French First Division in 2003/04. If it wasn't for that tragic day in Blackburn I am sure he'd have given Henry a run for his money last year.

Here's another take on the top goal scorer market from Nigel Ridgway of Bet365.

DROGBA FOR FLYING START
***********************
We're now betting on who will be the top scorer in the Premiership next season. Topping the list is last year's top scorer Thierry Henry at 9/4, followed by Ruud van Nistlerooy at 9/2, although neither price is much to get excited about. Further down the list we come to Didier Drogba at 12/1, and that looks more of a value price. It's not uncommon for foreign imports to struggle in their first season, only to come alive in their second season once acclimatized to the pace of the English game. Plus, with Chelsea beginning their campaign away at Wigan, home to Arsenal and West Brom, followed by Spurs away, there should be plenty of early goalscoring opportunities, by which time you'll be in a position to cover your bet.

Top Premiership Goalscorer 2005/6: Didier Drogba @ 12/1

I'm not going to bother with that bet though. I do not rate Drogba at all. Cisse all the way for me.

Wigan vs Chelsea

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Wigan (9.1) Draw (4.3) Chelsea (1.53)
I see this match as a foregone conclusion. Wigan's Ellington and Roberts may have terrorised the Championship defences last season but this is the Premiership.

Chelsea have been signed Shaun Wright Philips and have Crespo back from AC Milan. Thats going to strenthen the already mightly Chelsea. They looked fairly average against Benfica the other night but I think thats just Chelsea's style of play. They just always manage to win.

The values dropped out of this market (if there was ever any, 1.53 for an away win??). The best odds you can get now is 1.44 which is available at a number of bookies. Expect this price to drop even further.

7 May-17:15 Man Utd v West Brom 1.30 5.00 9.00

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

Need I say anything about this fixture? Not really, home win for sure. I'll avoid the handicap (-1.5) though as I am still not convinced that Man U can consistently score. It could be a thrashing or it could be a 1-0/ 2-1. Its too hard to tell.

I do feel sorry for West Brom. They played well against Arsenal. It took Arsenal 66 minutes to break them down but at the end of the day the best team won. That was surely the nail in the coffin for them.

I am going to leave this one alone betting wise and just enjoy the game.

Bolton v Chelsea - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Chelsea (2.05), Draw (3.4), Bolton (4)
Chelsea could be crowned champions if they get all three points today. A draw would give Arsenal a theoretical chance of still winning the title but realistically Chelsea are going to be champions.

Also I think Chelsea would rather win the title next week at home to Charlton. With this in mind I can see Jose Mourinho resting a few players in preparation for Tuesdays encounter with Liverpool.

I think Bolton can get something from this encounter. They managed to beat Arsenal here in the league, and only lost 1-0 with 10 men to them in the cup. Its going to be a draw or a home win, so backing Bolton +0.5 at 1.75 is my bet.

West Ham vs Blackburn

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

West Ham (2.5) Draw (3.25) Blackburn (3.2)

7 May-15:00 Portsmouth v Bolton 2.75 3.40 2.40

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

I think this will be an away win. Portsmouth are guaranteed safety now and have very little to play for. They played dreadfully against Man City the first half which saw them lose 2-0.

Bolton on the other hand have everything to play for. Just a couple of weeks ago, a Champions League spot was with in their reach. However, 2 draws and a loss have made this almost impossible now. They played well against Chelsea first half but Chelsea being Chelsea ended up winning 2-0.

I'll go Bolton -0.25 on the handicap. The price is 1.95.

Southampton v Norwich - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Southampton (2.15), Draw (3.5), Norwich (3.75)
This is a tough one to call. Last week, Southampton played a really shocking game and were 4-1 down after 30 minutes. They may also be with out Peter Crouch and Henri Camera, which will be a big blow for their goal scoring potential.

Norwich haven't won away from home all season. Their recent form has been excellent though. Three weeks ago you'd have bet your house on them going down. They've got a fair chance of staying up now, if their form continues.

I think overs is a good bet. I can see there being plenty of goals. The price is evens. Dean Ashton has found premiership form and I expect him to score at least one.

Sunderland vs Charlton

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Sunderland (2.5) Draw (3.25) Charlton (3.1)

7 May-15:00 Norwich v Birmingham 1.90 3.50 3.75

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

Norwich are still in deep trouble. Last week they came back from 3-1 down to make it 3-3 before losing to a late Southampton goal. A win today is absolutely imperative. Their recent home form is impressive, winning 3 out of 3.

Birmingham beat Blackburn from behind last weekend. That makes in one win in 6, 4 draws and 1 loss. Birmingham haven't travelled well this year. They haven't won away from home since beating Fulham back in Decemeber.

I'll go for a Norwich win. Failure to do so, could see them relegated today. If they win other results go their way, they could go into next weeks final game being in control of their own destiny. The price is 1.95 on the handicap.

Newcastle v Crystal Palace - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Newcastle (1.91), Draw (3.5), Crystal Palace (4.5)
Newcastle's terrible run has got to end soon. They coudl have snatched all three points against Middlesbrough were it not for a fantastic save from Brad Jones. I think this is going to be the day.

Palace aren't a good team. The win against Liverpool was due to Liverpool being distracted by the clash with Chelsea and Liverpool's poor away form. True, they are fighting for Premiership survival and that may give them the extra motivation.

However, just as good runs must come to an end, so must bad runs. I'm going for Newcastle +0.5 at 1.95.

Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough

Wed, 28 Sep 2005 22:28:23 +0000

Aston Villa (2.25) Draw (3.25) Middlesbrough (3.5)
This is the only match I am going for today. I don't really like any of the other matches. There are some really tricky calls.

Middlesbrough are inconsistent so far this season. Last week, they were unlucky to lose to Sunderland. I was watching this in the pub and every time I looked up it was Middlesbrough attacking. The stats for the shots on target was 11-2 in favour of Middlesbrough. There is one interesting stat I read today from SportingLife "Boro have not won one of the eight Barclays Premiership games they have played in the immediate aftermath of a Thursday night UEFA Cup outing during the past two seasons." Doesn't look good for Middlesbrough.

Villa were spanked a couple of weeks ago 4-0 by West Ham. They have improved since then though. They should have beat Tottenham and are the first team to score against Chelsea this year. They do have a few injury problems but striker Milan Baros is back.

I am going for Villa on the Asian Handicap which is -0.25. The odds are 1.901 (strange accuracy on the site) at Canbet Villa haven't lost at home this season yet and I don't see Middlesbrough changing that.

Portsmouth vs Tottenham

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Portsmouth (2.75) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.85)

7 May-15:00 Middlesbrough v Tottenham 2.25 3.20 3.10

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

This clash will decide who will go into the UEFA cup. Other teams could get into Europe but I see it as a 2 horse now. Tottenham currently occupy that 7th spot on goal difference. A win for either side could propel them into 6th place if Bolton lose.

Middlebrough managed a hard fought 1-1 draw with Liverpool last week. That makes it 3 draw and a win from the last 4. Not bad but not good either.

Tottenham come here on the back of a 5-1 thrashing of Villa. I think they can beat Middlesbrough today. They deserve a UEFA cup spot, if only for that disallowed goal which would have given them an extra 2 points against Man U. I'll go for Tottenham +0.25 on the handicap, the price is 1.85.

Man City v Portsmouth - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Man City (1.83), Draw (3.4), Portsmouth (5)
Man City are on a good run at the moment. Unbeaten in 5 with wins over Liverpool and Birmingham. Portsmouth had managed an excellent 4-1 win over local rivals Southampton. That's put them well clear of the relegation battle.

I think this will be a home win. Portsmouth don't travel very well, having only won 2 away matches this season. So home win at 1.83 (AH odds are 1.8).

SPECIAL EURO 2008 OFFER

Wed, 28 May 2008 22:45:01 +0000

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Premiership preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 18 Apr 2007 23:14:23 +0000

Alex Ferguson famously described the tensions of the end-of-season run-in as 'squeaky bum time'! We are certainly entering the SBT phase now, as Chelsea and United have just five Premiership games left including the all important head-to-head in May. Whether the league trophy ends up in London or Lancashire won't matter to serious soccer punters, who are only interested in value. Invariably that is found at www.pinnaclesports.com offering up to 60% better Asian Handicap odds on all of Europe's five major leagues.

Blues Refuse to Give Up on Title
Chelsea continued their dogged pursuit of a hat-trick of Premiership titles, once again reducing the gap between themselves and Manchester United to three points, by easily beating West Ham at Upton Park. The Londoners have a much longer journey to make on Sunday in their quest for glory, visiting Newcastle's St.James' Park. Though Michael Owen and Shola Amoebi have resumed light training, they are a long way from full fitness, and now coach, Glen Roeder, is without another key attacking player, Damien Duff. The Magpies are unbeaten in three games, having picked themselves up after the disappointment of exit from the UEFA Cup, but the sides have met twice this season with both games ending 1-0 in the favour of Mourinho's men. www.pinnaclesports.com set their Asian Handicap at one goal, pricing Newcastle 1.820 (+1) with Chelsea 2.120 (-1).

United Just Five Games from Premiership Glory
Despite fielding a patched up defence, further weakened after 21 minutes by injury to Patrice Evra, Manchester United were still too strong for Sheffield United on Tuesday, temporarily restoring their six point lead at the top of the Premiership. They play Boro on Saturday evening aiming to take another step closer to the title, but with one eye on the first leg of their Champions League tie against AC Milan. The Teessiders have nothing left to play for but will be motivated by revenge for their FA Cup quarter-final defeat at the Theatre of Dreams, and the chance of putting a spanner in United's title charge. Interestingly, Boro are unbeaten in the last three Premiership visits to Old Trafford, though the Red Devils' motivation on Saturday will be infinitely greater than on any of those occasions. www.pinnaclesports.com favour United 2.18 (-1.5 & -2.0) with Boro 1.781 (+1.5 & +2.0).

Walls Falling Down Around Cottagers
Blackburn dispelled any lingering doubts that they were suffering a hangover from their FA Cup semi-final defeat by thrashing Watford 3-1 at Ewood Park on Wednesday night. That result has kept them in with a shout of a UEFA Cup slot, providing plenty of motivation for Saturday's trip to Craven Cottage. Fulham are in disarray following the shock sacking of manager, Chris Coleman. His successor, Lawrie Sanchez, inherits the unenviable task of ensuring the club's safety. The Cottagers are just three points above the drop, without a win in nine games. With Arsenal and Liverpool following this fixture, they must get a result against Rovers or lose control of their Premiership destiny. www.pinnaclesports.com actually favour Fulham 2.05 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Blackburn 1.877 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Spurs Seek Consolation in Derby Success
After promising so much, Spurs' season will end without silverware. The Lilywhites came closest to glory in the Carling Cup where bitter North London rivals, Arsenal, beat them in the last four. Manager, Martin Jol feels that gaining revenge over the Gunners in Saturday's meeting at White Hart Lane would at least end the campaign on a positive note and keep hopes of a UEFA Cup place alive. Wenger will be keen to extend a 17 game unbeaten run against Tottenham, where six of the last seven visits to the Lane have ended in draws. However, despite winning their last two games to almost guarantee Champions League football next season, the club has been rocked by the departure of vice-chairman, David Dein, after a boardroom row. www.pinnaclesports.com still have Arsenal as marginal favourites 2.230 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Spurs 1.752 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Blades & Addicks in Six-Pointer at the Valley
Though Alan Pardew has galvanised Charlton in their struggle against relegation, losing just one of their last seven games, the club are still in the relegation zone. That could all change after Saturday's six-point home game against Sheffield United. The Blades are just two points better off, so a victory for either club will be hugely significant. The Addicks could leap-frog their rivals out of trouble, or the Yorkshire club could put more distance between themselves and the Championship. Neil Warnock turned out a weakened side at Old Trafford in midweek, targeting this much more winnable game, though www.pinnaclesports.com favour Charlton 2.05 (-0.5) pricing Sheffield United 1.877 (+0.5).

Liverpool vs Chelsea

Wed, 28 Sep 2005 22:28:23 +0000

Liverpool (3.6) Draw (3.2) Chelsea (2.33)
This is a really tough one to call. Everytime I think about it, I come out with a different result.

I've decided to go with Nigels view.

"It's a busy week at Anfield, with Chelsea visiting in the week and again in the Premiership on Sunday. Both games are likely to be tense affairs, however, based on previous encounters, goals are likely to be at a premium. The pair met five times last season, and every game was close ending either in a draw or with a single goal deciding the outcome. Only the League Cup Final produced more than one goal, so the main bet has to be 'under' 2.5 goals at 4/7. Given the current points standings between the two teams, Liverpool might have the greater need to win the game and, with Chelsea finally conceding last weekend, the Reds are fancied to nick this 1-0 at 7/1"

Betdirect. are offering money back for all losing bets on the game if it ends 0-0. It's a decent offer considering the lack of goals when these two teams meet. I've gone for Liverpool 1-0 @ 8/1, Draw 1-1 @ 11/2. Chelsea can't win every game this season 1-0.

Northern Ireland vs Azerbaijan

Wed, 31 Aug 2005 00:27:50 +0000

Northern Ireland (1.73) Draw (3.61) Azerbaijan (6)
Not much to say about this match. Two teams that have no hope in qualifying play at 3pm today on BBC1.

Northern Ireland have had problems on and off the pitch. On the pitch they struggle to score. They've only scored in 2 of the 6 qualifiers. They've lost to nil 3 times and drew 0-0 with Azerbaijan. Off the pitch they had to send home Cardiff City midfielders Philip Mulryne and Jeff Whitley for breaking a curfew.

Azerbaijan aren't doing too well either. They lie bottom of the group scoring a grand total of 1 goal. That was against Wales this time last year. Since then they have been thrashed by Poland 8-0 and 3-0. England only managed 1-0 and 2-0 victories though.

I can imagine this match will be very tedious so I am going for under 2.5 goals at 1.73 at SportingOdds. Neither team score much so 1-0 either way looks the most likely scorelines.

Middlesbrough vs Liverpool

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Middlesbrough (2.9) Draw (3.25) Liverpool (2.6)
I am liking the look of Liverpool for this one. I have been impressed by the Liverpool's pre-seasons matches. They demolished a weakened Bayer Leverkusen 3-0. I don't think the keeper had to make a save that match. They have just beat Olympiacos 4-3. They were cruising 4-1 up at one point but 2 late sloppy goals made the scoreline look respectable.

I've not heard much about Middlesbrough apart from they sold Zenden (one of their best players) to Liverpool.

At a price of 2.6 at totalbet.com with a Free £25 Bet! this seems like a bargain bet to me.

7 May-15:00 Everton v Newcastle 1.8 3.40 4.5

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

Before Wednesday's match with Fulham, I'd have been certain that Newcastle would lose this one. I'm not too sure now. Newcastle scored three which is more than they scored in the previous 6. This could well be a turning point.

Everton really need the 3 points here. Liverpool are hot on their heels. They need 4 points for the last 3 games to guarantee 4th place. With their next two fixtures being tricky away ties with Arsenal and Bolton, they know that their best hope of getting 3 points is from Newcastle.

I will go for Everton here. I like the Asian Handicap (-0.5) price of 1.95.

Liverpool v Middlesbrough - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Liverpool (1.73), Draw (3.5), Middlesbrough (5.5)
Both these teams have been inconsistence to say the least. Liverpool lost to Palace last week then held Chelsea to a 0-0 draw. Middlesbrough beat West Brom 4-0 and the drew 0-0 with Newcastle.

Liverpool have a very good home record but its been fairly average after Champions League matches. I can see them being distracted by the return leg next week. I think a draw is the most likely outcome. I'll go for Middlesbrough +0.75 on the Asian Handicap, odds are 1.8.

Everton v Man Utd

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:39:26 +0000

Man Utd (2), Draw (3.4), Everton (4)
Manchester United lost their last league game to Norwich 2-0. I think that was because the real Manchester United didn't turn up until it was too late. Ferguson must be kicking himself for resting all his star players. The full strength Man U went on to thrash Newcastle 4-1 in the FA Cup semi-final. I can see Man U putting out their full team out as they can go level on points with second place Arsenal (if Arsenal lose to Chelsea). Everton have been struggling recently, 3 losses and a win in the last 4 matches. I think they have run out of steam. I am sure last weeks 4-0 win over Palace was due to the poor quality of Palace rather than any skill on Everton's part.

Euro 2008 Betting - Tournament Top Goal Scorer Odds

Wed, 28 May 2008 22:45:01 +0000

The top goal scorer betting market at Euro 2008 provides an interesting alternative for those bettors unable to reach a conclusion about who will win the event. Leading online bookmaker PinnacleSports.com have added a unique spin to the standard top scorer market by offering a number of head-to-head Euro 2008 goal scoring markets priced to less than 102%.

Bayern Munich Stars Battle for Goal-Scoring Supremacy

Miroslav Klose has grabbed the Golden Boot at the last two World Cups, and Germany head the outright winners market at PinnacleSports.com priced 2.300*, in their Euro 2008 head-to-head goal scoring matchup - priced to less than 102%.

Torres or Ronaldo - Who'll Score More At Euro 2008?

PinnacleSports.com also put Portugal's Cristiano Ronaldo up against Spain's Fernando Torres in an Iberian Euro 2008 top scorer head-to-head. Ronaldo enjoyed a record-breaking season scoring 42 goals from midfield, including in the Champions League final, while Torres notched 33 in his first Premiership season. Both Portugal and Spain are expected to prosper at Euro 2008, but despite missing some important penalties, Ronaldo is expected to continue his purple patch, priced 2.090*.

How Many Goals Will the Big Names Score?

As well as a host of further top scorer head-to-head options, PinnacleSports.com are offering two-way Euro 2008 betting odds for the number of goals Klose, Ronaldo, Torres and Toni will score. Klose is 1.862* to score less than 2.5 goals.

Premiership Betting - Week 6 Preview

Wed, 19 Sep 2007 22:53:30 +0000

Chelsea visit Old Trafford on Sunday for the first major showdown of the Premiership season, without Jose Mourinho, who walked out on the club. The Special One dropped the bomb-shell in the early hours of Thursday, sending shock waves around the world of football, and putting Premiership betting in a spin. He will be replaced by little known Israeli, Avram Grant, who's presence as Director of Football on Roman Abramovich's recommendation, seems to have been a factor in Mourinho's decision. This incident underlines that nothing can be taken for granted in football, though bettors can always rely on PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better odds on Premiership betting.

Embattled Chelsea Start Life After Jose

Even before Jose Mourinho - the architect of the club's recent success - had walked out on the club, Chelsea were in bad shape to visit the Theatre of Dreams. The Londoners have taken just one point from their last two league games, without even finding the net and face mounting injury problems, such as the absence of Didier Drogba. The Blues also need to put behind them the demoralising midweek draw with Norwegian minnows Rosenborg, in front of a half-empty Stamford Bridge.

Though they pale into insignificance compared to their rivals, the reigning Premiership Champions have some issues of their own. The Red Devils haven't scored more than a single goal in any game this season, suffering from the absence of attacking players, though Rooney and Ronaldo are reunited. Games between these clubs are always tense, but this match will have an added edge given the turmoil at Chelsea. The last four meetings in all competitions have ended drawn, and produced an average just one goal. Everything points to a similar scenario on Sunday, and PinnacleSports.com price UNDER 2 & 2.5 goals total at 1.769, while on Asian Handicap United have hardened as favourites on the back of Mourinho's exit, priced 1.746 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Chelsea 2.24 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Goal Rush Anticipated as Rams Visit the Emirates

Premiership newcomers, Derby, have already conceded 11 goals from three early adventures on the road, without reply. Six of those came at Anfield where they were given a lesson in the harsh realities of life in the Premier League. Though the Rams will be boosted by gaining their first victory, at home to Newcastle, manager, Billy Davies, still has a huge task to avert another heavy defeat visiting the Emirates Stadium.

Arsene Wenger's young and ambitious squad, are starting to deliver on their undoubted potential much earlier than anticipated. On the back of some outstanding performances by Cesc Fabregas, the unbeaten Gunners top the league, having shown a fluidity of play in last week's North London derby, and midweek against Sevilla, that should will inspire plenty of bettors to take advantage of PinnacleSports.com's Asian Handicap 1.952 (-1.5 & -2).

Kop Expecting Another Goalfest at Anfield

Having witnessed the six goal demolition of Derby in the last league fixture at Anfield, the Kop will be expecting another half dozen against fellow league newcomers, Birmingham on Saturday. Fernando Torres began to pay back the club record fee Rafa Benitez paid for his compatriot, scoring twice against the Rams, taking his tally for the season to three. Benitez rested him last weekend for most of the draw at Pompey, where the Pool were fortunate to remain unbeaten.

Birmingham boss, Steve Bruce, managed to contrive two draws against Liverpool in their last Premiership season, but the 7-0 FA Cup thrashing by the Reds at St.Andrews sticks in the memory. That day Jermaine Pennant played in blue, but his transfer was a consequence of demotion. Though Bruce's rebuilt team fought their way out of the Championship, he has had limited resources to build a side capable of visiting venues like Anfield - where Liverpool have lost just two league games in two seasons - with any real confidence.

Premiership preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 25 Apr 2007 20:50:23 +0000

The 2007 Premiership title race might now be remembered for a penalty incident. Referee Peter Walton waved away strong claims for a Boro spot kick at Old Trafford last Saturday, after United's John O'Shea felled Dong Gook Lee late in the game. The Red Devils hung on for a point leading Jose Mourinho to claim a conspiracy. His anger intensified as he watched his team fail to beat Newcastle the following day, leaving them three points and 14 goals adrift. Luck is certainly an important part of winning titles but not successful gambling. The first rule of successful punting is to always get best price, and it is hard to beat the Premiership odds offered by www.pinnaclesports.com , up to 60% better than traditional bookmakers.

GBP30million Game at the JJB Stadium
In the starkest terms Saturday's Premiership game between Wigan and West Ham could end up costing the loser around GPB30million. That is the value placed on avoiding relegation in the season before Premiership TV revenues increase dramatically. The Hammers looked dead and buried after defeats away to Sheffield United then at home to Chelsea, but kept their slim hopes of survival alive with a win against Everton at Upton Park last weekend. The problem facing Alan Curbishley is that the Irons have been unable to transfer the intensity of performances in front of their own fans to crucial games at fellow relegation strugglers. West Ham lost 4-0 at the Valley, and 3-0 at Bramall Lane; a similar defeat against Wigan will surely send them down with only games against Bolton and Manchester United remaining.

Wigan have endured a terrible second half of the season, but have doggedly avoided being dragged into the relegation places, despite failing to win any of their last six games. Though Paul Jewell will want the security of a win, he knows that the onus is on the visitors. The Londoners are three points below them with the worst goal difference of the five sides battling to avoid the two remaining relegation spots. It will however, worry Jewell that Wigan have conceded more goals at home than any Premiership side. Both sides are at almost full strength, so the time for excuses has gone, and it comes down to who performs better over 90 minutes. www.pinnaclesports.com have Wigan slight favourites 1.935 (0/scratch & -0.5) with West Ham 1.990 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Grudge Match at Goodison Park
Everton's home game against Premiership leaders, Manchester United, is a true grudge match for reasons on and off the pitch. The Toffees currently occupy fifth place in the table, bringing with it a UEFA Cup spot, but they have a number of clubs snapping at their heels. United's motivation is obvious - if they win their remaining four fixtures they win the title. The added spice comes from Wayne Rooney's relationship with his former club. Many Evertonians see Rooney as a traitor and his popularity has plummeted to new depths after Everton coach, David Moyes, took out a libel action against the player as a result of claims in his biography.

Goodison Park is a hard place to get a result at the best of times, but with all these added under-currents, it is likely to be a Cup final atmosphere. The Red Devils are struggling with injury problems for a game that will present a huge physical test. Everton have lost just three times at home this season, but have won just one of their last ten league games against Manchester United at Goodison Park. They also have their own injury problems, missing two of their most important players, Tim Cahill and Andy Johnson. www.pinnaclesports.com price Man Utd as favourites on their Asian Handicap 2.520 (-1) with Everton 1.617 (+1).

Bolton Will Test Chelsea's Resolve at the Bridge
Following United's home draw with Boro, Chelsea had a golden opportunity to put the destiny of the Premiership title in their own hands. The chance slipped through their fingers as they were held at St James' Park to a goalless draw, so they must now hope the Red Devils slip up again, while winning all their own remaining games. Chelsea play Bolton at the same time as the game at Goodison, looking to maintain their exceptional 60 game unbeaten home league record. That sequence includes a 5-1 thrashing of the Trotters last term at the Bridge, though this game is likely to be a little closer.

With this game sandwiched between two Champions League semi-finals Jose Mourinho will be juggling resources, while his opposite number, Sam Allardyce, can focus solely on this fixture. Bolton are in line for UEFA Cup qualification, but that spot isn't booked yet, so Wanderers cannot afford to drop any points, while it would be a major coup to end Chelsea's unbeaten record. Having recently been beaten at both the Emirates and Old Trafford stadiums, www.pinnaclesports.com envisage a further defeat for Bolton at Stamford Bridge pricing Chelsea 2.130 (-1.5) with Bolton 1.813 (+1.5).

Serie A preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 18 Apr 2007 23:14:23 +0000

It may have taken thirty two games, but Inter Milan's unbeaten run in Serie A has finally been ended. Roma's victory 3-1 at the San Siro on Wednesday afternoon was an important milestone, but it makes no material difference to the title race. Inter still lead by 13 points and almost all bookmakers have stopped taking bets on them lifting the Scudetto. www.pinnaclesports.com however, will continue to offer up to 60% better Asian Handicap odds on the remaining Serie 'A' matches.

Invincible Inter Brought Back Down to Earth
Inter Milan finally lost a league game in midweek, but it shouldn't have come as a huge surprise. The Nerazzurri have looked jaded in recent weeks drawing their two previous games, in the absence of several key players. It is inconceivable that they would actually fail to fall over the line in their six remaining games, but coach, Roberto Mancini, will want to tie things up as soon as possible, starting at Siena on Sunday.

In his first season in charge of the Bianconeri, Mario Beretta's only realistic target has been survival, to which end Siena are almost safe. However, Beretta will be worried about the lack of fire-power, failing to score in five of their last nine games. He will also be bracing himself for a backlash from Inter following their defeat by Roma. www.pinnaclesports.com price the Champions in waiting 2.06 (-0.5 & -1) with Siena 1.87 (+0.5 & +1)

Udinese & Reggina Fight Out Contrasting Agendas
Udinese got a taste of Champions League football last season for the first time in the club's history. It is extremely unlikely that the Zebrette (Little Zebras) will return to that competition next term, but they have realistic ambitions of gaining a UEFA Cup place. On Saturday they travel to Reggina's Oreste Granillo Stadium, searching for the three points that could take them into seventh and make that a reality.

Reggina's motivation is to avoid relegation, but their form this season is almost identical to Udinese. If you discount the Calabrians 11 point deduction from the match-fixing scandal, then they would be just a single point behind the visitors. Reggina recorded their first home win from seven attempts in a crucial midweek relegation scrap against Messina, and coach, Walter Mazzarri will be looking for a similar performance here. His side are unbeaten in their last five meetings of the sides and www.pinnaclesports.com rate Reggina 2.07 (-0.5) with Udinese 1.862 (+0.5).

It must hurt Fiorentina fans to know that without the 15 handicap from Calciopoli, their results would have been enough to see them third in Serie A. On Sunday they visit the side that actually occupy that position, and who will be playing in the Champions League instead. Lazio have benefited from the upheaval in the Italian top flight, but have also been playing attractive football. The Eagles are unbeaten in fifteen games, but have drawn their last two, including an ill-tempered game in Roma against Chievo on Wednesday, when they ended the goalless draw with just nine men.

This home game against La Viola is likely to be another feisty affair, though the away side have the greatest need of the points. Fiorentina are currently in seventh position, bringing with it the reward of UEFA Cup football. They have already beaten Lazio this season, but there are plenty of sides ready to capitalize on any slip ups. www.pinnaclesports.com price Lazio 2.19 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Fiorentina 1.775 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Premiership preview from PinnacleSports.com

Thu, 12 Apr 2007 21:52:44 +0000

This week has shown that the Premiership is without doubt the strongest league in Europe if not the world. Three English clubs have progressed to the semi-finals of the Champions League, but for Manchester United and Chelsea, that competition is just one of many fronts on which they are fighting. This weekend they must regroup for the FA Cup, while the remainder of the Premiership are fighting out for European places and league relegation. www.pinnaclesports.com will be pricing up the entire action offering up to 60% better odds on Asian Handicaps.

Battling Chelsea Keep the Quad Alive
Michael Essien's last minute goal at the Mestalla gives Chelsea the chance of making history by winning four major competitions in one season. The Carling Cup is already in the trophy cabinet, and the Blues can take a big step toward adding the FA Cup when they take on Blackburn at Old Trafford on Sunday. The FA Cup is the only domestic trophy Jose Mourinho is yet to win, and his side showed their desire to win the competition by battling back from 3-1 down against Spurs in the previous round, while the Special One will be at his boastful best after success against Valencia in midweek.

A Man Utd legend as a player, Mark Hughes will be no stranger to Old Trafford. He leads his side out to take on Chelsea, looking to go one better than in 2005 when Rovers where beaten at this stage by the Arsenal. It was the Gunners who Blackburn put out in the previous round, giving them the belief that they can mix it with the 'Big Four', though they appear distracted losing their last three Premiership games, conceding eight goals. Not the best form to take into a game against a side they have already lost three times to this season without even scoring. www.pinnaclesports.com make Chelsea 1.813 (-0.5 & -1) and Blackburn 2.130 (+0.5 & +1).

What Next from United After the Magnificent Seven?
Anyone who witnessed Manchester United's seven-goal Champions League demolition of Roma in midweek would rightly assume that their FA Cup semi-final against Watford at Villa Park will be a foregone conclusion. Aside from that master-class of attacking football, United are the Premiership leaders boasting the league's best scoring record. Watford in contrast have occupied bottom spot in the table for virtually the entire season, scoring just 24 times in 33 games. The sides have already met twice in the league and United won both fixtures.

But what of the magic of the Cup? Watford have reached the last four courtesy of away wins in the previous rounds, and they showed how resilient they can be when holding Chelsea until the 93rd minute of their recent league meeting. The Hornets are as good as relegated so their hope for this season now rest on the ninety minutes of this game. The Red Devils recently came undone at Fratton Park, losing 2-1 to Portsmouth, suggesting that a well organised Premiership side does stand some chance, though in the case of Watford it is a very slim one. www.pinnaclesports.com set the bar at two goals pricing Manchester United 1.826 (-1.5) with Watford 2.110 (+1.5).

Will Blades Fall on Their Swords?
Three successive Premiership defeats have sucked Sheffield United right into the relegation quagmire. The Blades have six remaining fixtures, all but one of which are against sides either fighting for their own survival or in the case of Manchester United, challenging for the title. On Saturday they host West Ham at Bramall Lane in the first of those all important encounters. While Neil Warnock's side are struggling for form, the Hammers have won three games on the trot and could leap-frog Sheffield United and get themselves out of trouble with a win. The East Londoners certainly rode their luck last Saturday as they became the first side to win at the Emirates Stadium, which will have understandably given them a tremendous boost ahead of this key fixture.

Gunners Scrambling to Save their Season
The loss of Arsenal's unbeaten record at the Emirates Stadium was the latest setback in what is becoming a deepening end-of-season slump for the Gunners. Arsene Wenger's side have now won just one of their last six fixtures, and are in danger of losing out on the only remaining target for this term - Champions League qualification. Arsenal are currently in fourth position in the league just one place and two points above Bolton who they host on Saturday. The two sides have met six times since last season (including twice in the FA Cup), and on both occasions that Arsenal have had home advantage the game ended 1-1. Having tasted European football in last season's UEFA Cup, the Trotters are desperate to go one better by qualifying for the main event. Wanderers are unbeaten in their last three games but haven't exactly been in sparkling form, losing 4-1 at both White Hart Lane and Old Trafford in February and March respectively, though they have benefited from the return of Kevin Davies.

Premiership preview from PinnacleSports.com

Fri, 06 Apr 2007 15:15:15 +0000

Will Hammers' Bubble Burst at Emirates Stadium?
Carlos Tevez is rapidly becoming a legend at Upton Park. Scoring in three consecutive games the Argentine has spearheaded the Hammers' recent revival. Back-to-back wins have given the Irons some positive momentum, and a glimmer of hope for survival. Very much in the mould of Paolo Di Canio, another firm favourite with the West Ham faithful, Tevez has injected some much needed passion into the club, but recent results will count for nothing if West Ham fail to get something out of Saturday's London Derby at the Emirates Stadium.

Arsenal have not lost at their new home, but have shown vulnerability, drawing five times and having to come from behind on eleven occasions to maintain their unbeaten run. The Gunners were comfortably beaten 4-1 at Anfield on the weekend, betraying the absence of several key players, Thierry Henry, Robin Van Persie and Gilberto Silva, who remain unavailable. That defeat allowed Liverpool to climb above them into 3rd place in the Premiership, which brings with it automatic qualification into next season's Champions League. www.pinnaclesports.com expect a backlash on Saturday pricing Arsenal favourites 1.758 (-1) with resurgent West Ham 2.22 (+1) looking to emulate last season's shock 3-2 win at Highbury.

Chelsea & Spurs Meet for Fourth Time This Season
Chelsea and Tottenham have already shared three pulsating games this term. In November Spurs recorded their first win over Chelsea since 1990, with the help of home advantage, but Chelsea took revenge in the FA Cup, though they needed a replay to progress. The two quarter-finals produced nine goals, with the first game at Stamford Bridge ending 3-3, despite Spurs leading 3-1 at the break. Crucially Chelsea's captain, John Terry, was absent that day, but is now firmly back in charge of Chelsea's back-line. In the Premiership the Champions have been rock solid. Though Chelsea looked jaded in their 1-0 victory at Vicarage Road last weekend, it was their seventh consecutive league win without conceding.

Both clubs are suffering from fixture congestion, though Spurs' has eased after their FA Cup exit at Chelsea's hands. Their season is now focused on the UEFA Cup, the first leg of which will take place in Spain on Thursday, just over 40 hours before this game, so Martin Jol might be expected to give some of his key players a rest in this game, with the return leg taking place at White Hart Lane on Thursday. www.pinnaclesports.com price Chelsea one goal better than their visitors 1.820 (-1) with Tottenham 2.12 (+1).

United Unlikely to Have Easy Day-out on South Coast
Manchester United maintained their six point lead at the top of the Premiership with a 4-1 home win over Bolton last weekend, showing just how powerful they are at Old Trafford. If the Red Devils are going to relinquish their advantage, the slip up is likely to come on the road. Four of Manchester United's seven remaining fixtures are away from home, the first of the sequence coming at Fratton Park on Saturday evening.

Other than Chelsea, Portsmouth are the only side to have been on top of the Premiership table this season, thanks to their blistering start to the campaign. Their time at the summit didn't last long, and they are now sat in mid-table mediocrity, having won just one of their last nine league outings. With nothing to play for Harry Redknapp may be finding it difficult motivating his players, but he should have no problems motivating them for the visit of United, the team everyone is out to beat. United's record on the South Coast may give Chelsea fans some hope, Ferguson's side have lost on two of their three Premiership visits, nevertheless www.pinnaclesports.com make United favourites on their Asian Handicap 2.10 (-1) with Portsmouth 1.833 (+1).

Everton vs Chelsea

Wed, 19 Oct 2005 21:41:17 +0000

Everton (11) Draw (4.6) Chelsea (1.4)
Chelsea's dominance of this league is well reported. The last 2 fixtures were potentially tricky ones for the reigning champions. They duly thrashed Liverpool 4-1 and then Bolton 5-1. With the 4-0 demolition of Real Betis midweek, it makes it 13 goals in the last 3 games. I agree with Paddypower that the Premiership race is over.

Everton are looking like getting relegated this year. Injuries and bad luck leave them bottom of the table with just the single win. That's pretty good going considering they've only scored 1 all season. I don't fancy their chances of scoring against the tightest defence in the league. They have no pace up front. Beatie has been disappointing, Bents's pretty average and big Duncan Fergusson is getting old.

There is a serious mis-match. Its almost certainly going to be a Chelsea win. I've gone for that on the 1X2 at 1.44 at bet365. That price has long gone. I think the Asian Handicap offers much better value anyway. 2.1 for Chelsea -1.25 at bet365 is a bargain. The Asian bookies are probably looking at last years results and setting the line accordingly. (both games ended 1-0 to Chelsea). Personally I see this being a thrashing. Recall the 7-0 beating that Arsenal dished out to Everton last year? It wouldn't surprise me if this ended up with a similar score line.

I do like the price of 2.2 for Crespo to score anytime at bluesquare. With Drogba out it looks like Crespo will be starting. The price just looks a bit high considering everyone else has him at odds on. I'll check the confirmed starting line up before I put that one on though.

Denmark vs Greece

Sun, 02 Oct 2005 17:26:54 +0000

Denmark (2) Draw (3.5) Greece (4)
Ukraine have already qualified from this group. This leaves 3 teams fighting it out for second place. This match is extremely important for both sides. A draw will practically hand Turkey second place.

Recent performances and home advantage give Denmark the edge here. Any team that can beat England 4-1 deserves respect. Greece have been so mediorce since winning Euro2004.

Denmark was on my list of potential bets for this weekend. Its the good price which has finally tempted me. The odds are currently 2.00 at totesport. I can't see this lasting much longer. They are on the wrong side of an arbitrage opportunity. You can get Greece +0.5 at 2.05 at bet365.

Portsmouth vs Newcastle

Wed, 28 Sep 2005 22:28:23 +0000

Portsmouth (3.05) Draw (3.25) Newcastle (2.5)
Portsmouth are struggling this season. With only the one win all season against Everton (who are rock bottom), things aren't looking good. In their last 2 home games, they played against opponents with a man sent off and still only managed draws. With Lua Lua out and Robert not able to play they are looking weak up front.

Newcastle have found some form recently. Two wins in their last 2 games. The signing of Owen has been a real boost to their squad. Its taken the pressure off Old Man Shearer to score. That was their problem early in the first few matches, they just weren't scoring. Injury to key players have also taken their toll.

I've had Newcastle draw no bet at bet365 at 1.8. However, having just read that Owen is 50/50 to start this, I'd be tempted to actually leave this one alone until its confirmed that he's playing. Without him, I can't see where they are going to get the goals from. Odds have dropped to 1.73 for the draw no bet so it's not the good bet it was at 1.8.

*I've reduced my stakes on this one by hedging on Portsmouth. I am not as confident about this one as I was on Thursday when I put the original bet on. See my Record for details.

Wales vs England, Rooney vs Hartson.

Wed, 31 Aug 2005 00:27:50 +0000

Goalscorer Match Bet
Blue Square are doing this special market on Rooney vs Hartson.

I really think they've made an error of judgement here. They are offering 2.75 for Rooney to outscore Hartson. I don't think Hartson will score so really this bet is on whether Rooney will score or not. Given that Rooney is at best 2.1 to score anytime, 2.75 is a bargain price.

I've already tipped Rooney to score in this match. Even before Sven decided to change formation, I thought that Rooney to score anytime was a good bet. He's going to be upfront by himself now thus increasing his chances of scoring.

Rooney is such a skilful player. If you watch his goals against Newcastle and Everton you'll see they were minor errors by the defence that gave him the chance to score. Sometimes defences get away with little errors but with Rooney around, they get punished. Wales are bound to let their defences down at some point in the 90 minutes allowing Rooney to pounce.

Blue Square get a free £25 bet too if you haven't already got an account.

Newcastle vs Manchester United

Wed, 24 Aug 2005 23:28:33 +0000

Newcastle (6.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester United (1.67)
Newcastle are a team in that have started really badly. Two games this season, a 0-0 home draw to West Ham and a 2-0 away defeat to Bolton. Things are looking up for this home fixture though. They've just signed Albert Luque from Deportivo. Personally, I've never heard of him before but from what I've read he's world class.

Also Dyer and Emre are back from injury. Newcastle haven't got such a bad record at home. They've managed to keep 4 clean sheets in their last 6 home games. They kept Arsenal out for about 80 minutes at Highbury and most of that time was with 10 men. They knocked Chelsea out of the FA Cup last year with a home win.

Man U have started the season well with 2 victories and 2 clean sheets. They cruised through their Champions League Qualifier with a 6-0 aggregate win over Debrecen. That's 4 clean sheets out of 4 for Van der Saar. Looking at the teams that they've played, you'd expect that. Everton and Villa aren't known for their good strikers and Debrecen, who are they? On paper they have an excellent strike force but there were many occasions last season when they didn't deliver. With all the shots that Man U had against Villa you'd have expected them to score more than the 1 goal.

I got 1.8 for Man U earlier in the week. With a new striker and players back from injury for Newcastle that price doesn't seem the bargain it was. The price has since dropped, allowing me to sell my bet at a small profit.

I am going to go for Newcastle Odds are 7.4 on Betfair which translate to 7.08 after commission is taken off. It's a big price for a home win - big enough for me to take a chance on it. I just hope this Luque lives up to his hype and ends the goal drought for Newcastle.

Newcastle vs West Ham, Saturday 20th August

Thu, 18 Aug 2005 22:45:33 +0000

Newcastle (1.7) Draw (3.6) West Ham (6.1)
Newcastle were dealt a bit of a blow last week when they had Jenas sent off. That more or less sealed their fate. They did well to keep Arsenal out for as long as they did. Most teams with 11 players struggle to contain Arsenal at Highbury. For this match, Ameobi and Chopra are both out, leaving just Shearer as the sole fit striker. He's just turned 35 and isn't as lively as he used to be. With Emre and Dyer injured, I can see why Souness is complaining about these meaningless friendlies.

West Ham are top of the league. Who'd have thought that? They did well to come back from behind to beat Blackburn last week. Sheringham is still an excellent player at 38 or 39 and managed to turn the game around. Crespo's goal grabbed the headlines but if you look at Reo-Coker's goal that was on par if not better. Early days yet but a real promising start to the season.

I'm going to go for West Ham on the Asian Handicap. Its +0.75 priced at 2.00 at Premierbet. Newcastle need a new striker and until then I can't see them scoring very many. Also from BBC news "They've been slow starters of late in the Premiership, taking four matches before victory last season, and six matches in the previous campaign." I can see West Ham getting a draw here if not a win. Newcastle won't be scoring more than one so the worse case would be 1-0 and then I'd lose half.

Man City vs West Brom

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Man City (1.8) Draw (3.6) West Brom (5.2)

7 May-15:00 Crystal Palace v Southampton 2.20 3.40 3.00

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

This is probably the most crucial match of the day. The loser will surely be playing Championship football next season. Depending on the other results the winner could guarantee their survival with a win.

There isn't much between these two teams. Both are on 31 points, with Southampton just in the clear on goal difference. Palace managed to get a point from Saint James Park last week. Southampton managed to beat Norwich 4-3 with a late goal.

I'll go for overs in this match at 1.9. I can't decide which way this fixture is going to go and I think that plenty of goals.

Fulham v Everton - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Everton (2.63), Fulham (2.88), Draw (3.4)
I think Everton will win this one. A win here would cement their 4th place in the Premiership. A loss or a draw would give Liverpool (or even Bolton) a ray of hope.

Fulham are unbeaten at Craven Cottage this calendar year. Their last home defeat was 28th December when they went down 3-2 to Birmingham. If you look at the sides they've play though, none of them were in the top half of the Premiership.

You can Everton +0 on the Asian Handicap, the price is 1.95. I am also tempted by Everton to win by exactly 1 goal at 4.3.

Portsmouth v Liverpool

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:39:26 +0000

Liverpool (2.2), Portsmouth (3.3), Draw (3.4)
The award for inconsistency this season has to go for Liverpool. How can a team that one week beats Juventus and then fail to beat the likes of Tottenham and Man City? To be fair, Gerrard did miss a penalty which would have given them all three points against Tottenham at the weekend. Liverpool have been shocking away from home. Its only their home record which is keeping them in contention for that Champions League spot. Portsmouth seem to have recovered from their bad patch which at one stage looked like pushing them into the relegation battle. This seasons reverse fixture ended 1-1. I think that another 1-1 draw is on the cards. So I'll have a bet on Portsmouth +0.25 on the Asian Handicap.

Celtic v Manchester United, Wednesday, Sky Sports 2, 7:45pm

Tue, 04 Nov 2008 16:53:51 +0000

Manchester United travel to Celtic Park knowing a point will probably be good enough to take them through, following their 3-0 victory over the Scots at Old Trafford. Dimitar Berbatov scored a brace that night as United ran out comfortable winners, and it will be interesting to see whether Sir Alex Ferguson sticks with the successful Berbatov-Rooney combination, or rests one of them to give Carlos Tevez a chance to re-establish himself.

Celtic are the 4/1 underdogs at BGbet, as PageBet make United the favourites at 8/13.

If Nani scores at anytime during Celtic v Manchester United, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

If Celtic v Manchester United finishes 0-0 BGbet will refund all losing correct score bets on that game.

Not convinced that 8/13 is worth betting on. 2 of Man U's goals in the first leg were off side. This offer is tempting though.

PageBet will refund all losing correct score and first goalscorer bets in the Manchester United v Celtic game if Manchester United fail to win the game.

You could try a striker to score first

Ronaldo, C 4/1
Rooney, W 9/2
Berbatov, D 9/2

Or better still take advantage of their offer.

Manchester United 1-0 11/2 £26.15
Manchester United 2-0 6/1 £24.28
Manchester United 2-1 7/1 £21.25
Manchester United 3-0 11/1 £14.16
Manchester United 3-1 11/1 £14.16

Total stake £100, any win and you make £69.96 profit. If its a draw or Celtic win you get your money back. Only way you can lose is if, Man U score 4 or more goals or its 3-2. Sign up with Pagebet here

Looks too good to be true to be honest but occasionally you do get a bookie that hasn't thought out their special offers.

Belarus v England, Wednesday, Setanta Sports 1, 6:30pm

Tue, 14 Oct 2008 23:59:58 +0000

England sit atop Group 6 after victory over Kazakhstan at the weekend, although the 5-1 final score line did not look likely when both sides entered their dressing rooms at half time. Fabio Cappello introduced Shaun Wrights Phillips at half time to inject some spark into the England attack, and that change struck almost immediate benefits. Rio Ferdinand rose above the Kazakh defence to head home a corner won seconds earlier by Wright Phillips, and from that point England should have been comfortable. However, despite an own goal from Kuchma 13 minutes later, England were once again left with frayed nerves when Kukeyev took advantage of a loose Ashley Cole pass to make it 2-1. A tense 8 minutes passed before Wayne Rooney finally put the game beyond doubt as he struck twice in ten minutes to open up a three goal advantage, before Jermain Defoe came off the bench to put an extra gloss on the score line as he struck in the final minute to make it five for England.

Belarus are 9/1 with Centrebet to shock the holders, while England are 3/10 with PageBet to strengthen their position at the top of the group.
If Theo Walcott scores at anytime during Belarus v England, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.
If Emile Heskey scores at anytime in the England match against Belarus, PageBet will double the odds on all correct score and 1st goal scorer bets.2
If Belarus v England finishes 0-0 BGbet will refund all losing correct score bets on that game.

You can watch the game on Setanta Sports.

5-1 was flattering for the English the other day. Plenty of people sweating their Asian Handicap bet at the end. I guess a 1-0, 2-0 win.

Euro 2008 Betting Preview - Group A Betting Preview

Wed, 11 Jun 2008 03:08:51 +0000

The betting for Euro 2008 Group A is little changed after the first round of fixtures followed form. Portugal were pre-tournament favourites with PinnacleSports.com to top Group A, and are now 2.840* second favourites with PinnacleSports.com to top the section.

Sign-Up Now & Get 60% Better Euro 2008 Group A Betting Odds

Portugal & Czech Republic Clash for Group Supremacy

Portugal and the Czech Republic meet on Wednesday night in Geneva for a game that could decide the winner of Group A. Both teams already have three points, and one foot in the knock-out stages, but the Portuguese were the more impressive of the sides, and are favourites with PinnacleSports.com. Punters can bet the game on Asian Handicaps priced to 102%, three-way 1X2 and Over/Under total goals to 103% as well as range of interesting game markets, such as total corners, red & yellow cards and goal-scorer options.

Sign-Up Now For a Wide Range of Euro 2008 Group A Markets

Switzerland & Turkey One Defeat from Early Exit

After defeats in their opening Euro 2008 fixtures, Switzerland and Turkey are already walking a qualification tight-rope. Another loss will certainly put either them out of the tournament, so this game is likely to be cautious and hard-fought. The Swiss have lost captain and playmaker, Alexander Frei, which is a huge blow, while Turkey have to bounce back from a humbling defeat by Portugal. Check the game odds at PinnacleSports.com, which includes Asian Handicaps to 102%, three-way 1X2 and Over/Under total goals to 103% as well as range of interesting game markets, such as total corners, red & yellow cards and goal-scorer options.

Sign-Up Now For a Wide Range of Euro 2008 Group A Markets

*All odds subject change

Euro 2008 Betting Preview - Group A Opening Fixtures

Fri, 06 Jun 2008 00:16:04 +0000

The wait is almost over, and the serious business of Euro 2008 betting is about to begin. The first of 31 games in the Euro 2008 tournament kicks off on Saturday at 6pm (GMT) with the Swiss co-hosts looking to make a positive start against the Czech Republic. PinnacleSports.com are offering 1.96/1.96 Euro 2008 Asian Handicap betting and three-way (1X2) bets at 1.95/1.95 before kick-off, then live ‘in-running’ markets at 105% throughout the tournament. Punters will struggle to find that kind of Euro betting value anywhere else – 60% better than traditional bookmakers - which is why PinnacleSports.com is the smarter way to bet Euro 2008.

Swiss Should Be Lifted By Host Status

As co-hosts of Euro 2008 Switzerland should be expected to produce a better showing than their basic form suggests. The Swiss are ranked 48 on FIFA’s World table of soccer nations, below such luminaries as Mali, Moldova and Honduras, while their opening opponents – the Czech Republic – are rated by FIFA as the World’s sixth best side. That would suggest a serious mis-match in the opening game, but the Euro 2008 betting at leading online sportsbook, PinnacleSports.com, suggests otherwise.

PinnacleSports.com make the Czech’s marginal favourites 4.540* to top Euro 2008 Group A at PinnacleSports.com.

Portugal Looking to Gobble Up Turkey

Portugal are favourites on PinnacleSports.com’s Group A Euro 2008 betting market priced 8.710* in the Euro 2008 betting. The Portuguese were finalists on home turf four years ago, and though long-time totem, Luis Figo, has retired, they have a new superstar in Cristiano Ronaldo. The Manchester United scored 42 goals for his club this season, and notched eight in qualification, so will certainly carry the greatest threat.

If Turkey can neutralise Ronaldo’s threat, this could be an evenly matched game. The Turks have plenty of technically gifted players such as Newcastle’s Emre, with the potential to emulate the 2002 World Cup semi-final. However, they are equally capable of imploding, so bettors must decide which Turkey side will turn up. PinnacleSports.com make Portugal favourites for the second game of Euro 2008 2.200 (+0.5)*, with live in-running betting available throughout the game priced to just 103%.

*All odds subject change

Euro 2008 Football Betting - Group A Preview

Wed, 28 May 2008 22:45:01 +0000

Kicks Off June 7

Punters are now within touching distance of three weeks of top Euro 2008 soccer betting action. The coaches of the 16 teams qualified for the 2008 UEFA European Championships have named their final squads for the event starting June 7th, and leading online sportsbook, PinnacleSports.com, have for some time posted outright prices and odds for the winners of each Group. PinnacleSports.com are also offering a host of other Euro 2008 bets including Asian Handicap betting and total goals markets for the opening fixtures, priced to just 102% - which gives punters 60% better Euro 2008 betting odds than traditional bookmakers.

Weak Section Could Be Portugal's For the Taking

Portugal lead the Group A winner's betting market at PinnacleSports.com priced 2.350* to top the pool phase. The Portuguese possess an enviable pair of wing wizards in Manchester United's Cristiano Ronaldo and Luis Nani, but cannot match that quality in the striker department. Though the Portuguese lost just once during Group A qualification, they finished second, having drawn six of their 14 games. Ronaldo was their top-scorer with eight goals, but an unhealthy amount of expectation rests on his young shoulders, and if the opposition can neutralize his threat, coach, Felipe Scolari may struggle with a plan B.

As hosts in 2004, Portugal progressed to the final, and despite being strong favourites, lost out to a single Greek goal. The Portuguese may however, have been flattered in reaching the final, as England had a perfectly good goal ruled out against them in the semi-final. They were also left sweating on qualification for Euro 2008 right up to the final game and key playmaker Deco has had a poor season with Barcelona. Nevertheless PinnacleSports.com make Portugal one of the favourites on their Euro 2008 betting market at 8.600*.

Czech's Dealt Blow By Rosicky Injury

After topping Group D at the finals of Euro 2004, with three wins, including over Germany and Holland, the Czech Republic became many punters' favourites to go all the way. In the event they were beaten by a dogged Greek side in an extra time semi-final. Much of their success was the product of the creativity of Tomas Rosicky and Pavel Nedved, and goals of Milan Baros. However, Rosicky is out of the Euro 2008 through injury, Nedved is retired while Baros has struggled to emulate the form he showed in Portugal.

35year old striker Jan Koller is one of several Czech players reaching their sell-by date, so coach, Karel Bruckner, has tried to mix youth with experience. Euro 2008 will be the Czech Republic's fourth straight European Championship stretching back to Euro 1996 in England when they were surprise finalists, losing to Germany. They qualified this time round ahead of tournament favourites Germany who they beat 3-0 in Munich, but are nevertheless considered unlikely winners priced 3.330* to top Group A.

Turkey Seeking Stability & Composure

Turkey's third place finish at the 2002 World Cup was an immense achievement that catapulted those players involved to national heroes. Unfortunately, the story since then has failed to match that magic, with failed qualification to the 2006 World Cup marred by violent scenes against Switzerland that ended with several lengthy bans, which will make the rematch potentially fiery. Though some of that volatility remains, coach, Fatih Terim has been able to guide the national side through a tricky qualifying group to the finals in Austria and Switzerland.

A 2-1 victory in Norway was the pivotal result in their penultimate qualifier and if Turkey can show the same resolution at the Euro 2008 finals, they could easily negotiate a path out of an open group. Injury problems have abated leaving Turkey without any major obstacles in preparation. Emre hasn't had a great season at Newcastle, but the left-footed midfielder is capable of match-winning skill, playing alongside Hamit Altintop who has enjoyed a steady season at Bayern Munich while Tuncay Sanli has steadily improved at Middlesbrough. Volatility is the Turk's main weakness, part of the reason why PinnacleSports.com price them 8.440* to top Group A.

Swiss Host Hampered By Injuries

Of the two hosts of Euro 2008, the Swiss are certainly considered the likelier to make a real impact on the event. Their chances have however, been dealt a severe blow by a spate of injuries that has ruled out several key players and placed doubts of many more. Tranquillo Barnetta, Christoph Spycher and Philipp Degan all missed the 2-0 friendly win over Slovakia on May 24th, though hopes are high that they will participate in the tournament.

On the plus side, striker, Alexander Frei has returned to form after long-term injury, and much is expected over 19 year old Eren Derdiyok. The 6ft 2' striker, scored within minutes of a substitute appearance at Wembley against England, only his second appearance for the Swiss national side. In common with Austria, Switzerland have lacked competitive football, qualifying as hosts, but their showing at the 2006 World Cup, where they didn't conceded in open play in four games, shows they are defensively tough, if lacking creativity. PinnacleSports.com price Switzerland 4.780* to win Group A.

*All odds subject change

La Liga Betting - Week 4 Preview

Wed, 19 Sep 2007 22:53:30 +0000

The shock waves of Jose Mourinho's exit from Chelsea will be felt keenly in Spain. With the Special One on the market, coaches failing to deliver in La Liga will feel Mourinho's shadow on them, as the most eligible free-agent in football management. Despite some famous run-ins with Barcelona, it wouldn't be a great shock for Jose to be linked with the Catalans. Visit PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better odds on La Liga.

Rijkaard Feeling the Pressure

Barcelona coach, Frank Rijkaard, is starting to feel the backlash from the club's unsatisfactory start to the new Primera Division campaign. Two of the Catalans three league games have ended 0-0, despite the array of striking talent at the club, including £16 million signing, Thierry Henry. The club's directors and Spanish media have Rijkaard in their sites, questioning his ability to motivate his personnel, and find a formation that gets the best out of Henry, though that decision is made easier with Samuel Eto'o sidelined for several months.

In Rijkaard's defence Henry is some way off full fitness and is quoted in L'Equipe as saying "I still feel like I am playing on just one leg". Nevertheless, with the knives being sharpened, Rijkaard needs a big performance in Saturday's home game against Sevilla. The Sevillistas have no such scoring problems netting 18 goals in their last five games, including a 5-3 Spanish Super Cup win over Real Madrid. Juande Ramos's side are yet however, to play on the road in the league. Last season's away form was patchy, with only six wins, and Barca won the corresponding fixture last October 3-1. Despite the bad vibes, the strength of Barcelona at home - their last league defeat at the Nou Camp was February 2006 - have led PinnacleSports.com to price them favourites 2.11 (-0.5 & -1) with Sevilla 1.826 (+0.5 & +1).

Is Madrid's Strong Start Misleading?

Real Madrid take their 100% record on the road making the short journey North West to Valladolid's Estadio Jose Zorila. Pucela (as the team are known) spent three seasons in the Segunda Division before gaining promotion last term as Champions. They have made a reasonable start to this season's campaign, opening with a victory at Espanyol, drawing at home to Deportivo, and were only denied a point at the Mestalla last week by virtue of a 90th minute David Villa goal.

On reputation and this season's bare results, Real Madrid would start as favourites for this game. Los Blancos are reigning La Liga champions, have won all three league games, and began their Champions League campaign with a win. Scratch beneath the surface, and the Galacticos aren't as smooth as their results might suggest. Their pre-season was woeful, and they were more fortunate last week against Almeria (another newly promoted side) than the 3-1 score-line suggests. Coach, Bernd Schuster, has been cautious in his appraisals, stressing that the side is a long way from where he would like them to be. With four goals already, Wesley Sneijder could be the key man while Arjen Robben's availability adds another option. PinnacleSports.com price Real Madrid 1.962 (-0.5 & -1) with Valladolid 1.962 (+0.5 & +1).

La Liga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 25 Apr 2007 20:50:23 +0000

With just seven weeks remaining, Spain's Primera Division is set for one of the tightest finishes for some time. After last weekend's results just two points covers the top three sides, so each of that trio have a live chance of landing the La Liga title. Those sides in fourth and fifth, just six points off top spot, are not out of it either, so fans of Spanish soccer should be treated to some fiercely contested games as the season approaches its climax. www.pinnaclesports.com provide the perfect compliment to the action with up to 60% better La Liga odds than traditional bookmakers.

Can Barcelona Take the Pressure?
Barca continued their abysmal away form by losing 2-0 to Villarreal, their fourth defeat in five road trips. If their pursuit of a hat-trick of La Liga titles isn't to flounder the Catalan's poor away form mustn't transfer to the Nou Camp, where they remain unbeaten. Frank Rijkaard was disappointed with the number of wasted chances against the Yellow Submarine, particularly as his side had banged five past Getafe in a midweek Copa Del Rey semi-final on home turf. It looks like the pressure might be beginning to tell, but with both Sevilla and Real Madrid breathing down their necks, there can be no room for error on Sunday as they host struggling Levante.

The Granotes haven't won in nine league fixtures, but Abel Resino's side are capable of an upset. Levante may have only won twice away from home, but one of those victories was at the Bernabeu in February. Another reason to give Levante some respect is their determination to avoid relegation. Three points could take them out of the drop zone, and they will be encouraged by the performance Mallorca put up in Barca's most recent home league game, when the reigning champions succeeded only by virtue of a 89th minute own goal. Nevertheless, www.pinnaclesports.com have handicapped Barcelona by two goals pricing them 2.080 (-2) with Levante 1.855 (+2).

Real Madrid Making Late Charge for Title
Having been followed by a cloud of uncertainty for much of the season, Real Madrid coach, Fabio Capello, should be feeling much more relaxed. His position has been endorsed by chairman, Ramon Calderon, after Madrid's win in the table-top clash with Valencia. David Beckham provided the cross for the crucial goal, one of Capello's late tactical substitutions, proving the Englishman still has an important part to play for Real. The win against Valencia was the third straight victory at the Bernabeu, but things are not so rosy on the road, where the Galacticos have won just one of their last four.

They next travel to Athletico Bilbao who are in the midst of a relegation battle. The Lions have been boosted by two recent home wins against Espanyol and Valencia, but their defensive vulnerability - evident from 13 goals conceded in five games - should be a concern against the attacking potential that Real Madrid possess. The sides have met five times since last season (including the Copa del Rey) and Madrid have succeeded on every occasion. www.pinnaclesports.com make Real Madrid favourites 2.220 (-0.5 & -1) with Athletico Bilbao 1.758 (+0.5 & +1).

UEFA Cup Semi-Finalists Meet
UEFA Cup hopefuls, Sevilla and Espanyol have a La Liga encounter sandwiched between their respective European semi-finals. Sitting on opposite sides of the draw, the sides could also meet in the final of that competition, but this fixture is unlikely to give an accurate form guide for that prospective encounter. Floating smack-bang in the middle of the Primera Division, Espanyol have no incentive to play a full strength side in this fixture. Manager, Ernesto Valverde, is likely to rest his key players, such as top-goal-scorers Raul Tamudo and Luis Garcia.

In contrast, Sevilla are now just one point behind leaders Barcelona, so have every reason to go for the jugular, as they battle on three fronts - La Liga, UEFA and Copa del Rey. The Sevillistas bounced back from a league defeat against Valencia, by winning 3-0 at Deportivo in the Copa del Rey first leg semi-final, then following up with a 4-1 home league victory over Athletico Bilbao. Those seven goals will have cheered coach, Juande Ramos, as his side had endured something of a barren spell, particularly on the road. www.pinnaclesports.com expect the scoring to continue, pricing Sevilla 2.08 (-1 & -1.5) and Espanyol 1.855 (+1 & +1.5).

La Liga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 18 Apr 2007 23:14:23 +0000

Last weekend's Primera results moved Barcelona a step closer toward a treble of domestic titles, and the continued domination of Spanish football. The pre-season favourites with www.pinnaclesports.com will certainly have been a popular choice in the outright market, but Barca backers cannot count their chickens just yet. There is plenty of life left in La Liga and the place to find the best value is leading online sportsbook www.pinnaclesports.com , offering up to 60% better odds.

Below-par Barca Looking to Sink Yellow Submarine
Barcelona moved four points clear at the top of the Primera Division last weekend in unconvincing fashion, after their hard fought 1-0 home win over Mallorca, while nearest rival Sevilla, lost at the Mestalla. Barca increased their advantage courtesy of an 89th minute own-goal, and will need a better performance when they visit the Madrigal on Sunday. Frank Rijkaard's side might be starting to feel the tension of the end-of-season run-in, but should feel confident of beating Villarreal on recent evidence. The Catalans have won the last three meetings without conceding, including a 4-0 win earlier in the season at the Nou Camp.

The Yellow Submarine have endured a season to forget and are booked for mid-table obscurity. This lack of incentive should play into Barca's hands, though the same was said of Mallorca who the reigning champions struggled to overcome with the benefit of home advantage. Manuel Pellegrini's side have been inconsistent and are currently on a four game winless run, but Barca also have a midweek Copa Del Rey semi-final to consider. www.pinnaclesports.com still price Barcelona favourites 2.20 (-0.5 & -1.0) with Villarreal 1.769 (+0.5 & +1.0).

Valencia & Madrid Battle for Champions League Places
Having dispatched Sevilla last weekend, Valencia have the opportunity to complete an end-of-season clean sweep against their title rivals when they visit the Bernabeu on Saturday night. The Che beat Barcelona in mid-February to signal their title pretensions, but the distraction of Champions League commitments seemed to blunt their charge against less illustrious opposition. The win over Sevilla, coming so soon after defeat to Chelsea, does however suggest that Valencia are not out of the title hunt yet.

By the same token, nor are Real Madrid, who were putting together a positive surge toward the end of the season until last weekend's defeat at Racing Santander. That ended an eight game unbeaten run for Los Blancos who are five points behind Barcelona, but occupying a crucial Champions League berth, along with their opponents in fourth. This game will have a huge bearing on how the top of the table pans out, and www.pinnaclesports.com sees Real as slight favourites on their Asian Handicap, 2.13 (-0.5) with Valencia 1.813 (+0.5).

Zaragoza Chase European Dream while Celta Target Survival
Celta Vigo ended a six game winless run in La Liga on the weekend, recording only their second home win of the season at the Estadio Balaidos, beating Deportivo 1-0. The three points gained moved Celta out of the relegation zone, raising hopes that they can retain their Primera status. Coach, Hristo Stoichkov, now takes the survival battle on the road to La Romareda where Real Zaragoza are having one of their best season's in recent memory. Zaragoza are currently fifth in the table, just one place away from earning entry from the Champions League for the first time in the club's history.

The Blanquillos' success has been founded on strong home form, losing just twice at La Romareda so far this term. The 1-0 win over Barcelona in their last home game illustrates the strength of the Aragonese side, their fourth straight win, three of which were achieved by the identical score line. Diego Milito scored the winner against Barca, one of 19 goals this season, and he will be the greatest threat to Celta Vigo. www.pinnaclesports.com certainly favour Zaragoza pricing them 2.130 (-0.5 & -1.0) with Celta Vigo 1.813 (+0.5 & +1.0).

La Liga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Thu, 12 Apr 2007 21:52:44 +0000

After Valencia's exit on Tuesday from this season's Champions League, Spanish hopes in Europe's premier club tournament were extinguished. The battle to play in next season's competition, however, is providing an intriguing drama, as is the scrap for the Primera crown. Spanish football is one of the most popular markets at www.pinnaclesports.com , who offer c.102% Asian Handicap markets on Europe's five major leagues.

Table Top Clash Highlight of Spanish Weekend Schedule
Without doubt the tie of the weekend in La Liga is between Sevilla, currently in second place by just one point, and Valencia, sitting fifth and a further five points behind the top spot. The game takes place at Valencia's Mestalla Stadium, where the side has lost just twice in the league. It is difficult however, to gauge how much damage to that confidence has been inflicted by Chelsea's dramatic victory on Tuesday night, courtesy of a 90th minute goal.

Opponents Seville have even less time to prepare for Sunday's game, having competed in the UEFA Cup on Thursday at White Hart Lane. The Rojiblancos (Red & Whites) must address a woeful recent scoring record on the road, where they have failed to find the net in their last four away fixtures. Juande Ramos made seven changes for last weekend's draw at home to Racing Santander, where with the strikeforce of Kanoute and Kerzhakov on the bench, they were held to a goalless draw, matching the 0-0 at Osasuna at the beginning of the month. Seville are priced 1.789 (+0.5) by www.pinnaclesports.com with Valencia at 2.20 (-0.5).

Barca Defending Slim Lead at Top of La Liga
Reigning La Liga title holders Barcelona have what looks like a straight forward mission at home to Mallorca on Sunday. The Catalans are defending a slender lead at the top of the Primera table and remain unbeaten at the Nou Camp, while Mallorca have gained just one point from their last five games on the road, and are floating mid-table with nothing to play for. Frank Rijkaard's side also have a convincing record against the side from Palma, winning the last seven encounters by an aggregate of (20-5).

There are of course two ways of looking at the side's relative motivations. Certainly Barca will be galvanised for maximum effort, but having lost away to Real Zaragoza last weekend they will also be nervous, now leading Sevilla by only a single point. Mallorca may have little to play for, but that also means they can relax and enjoy the trip to the Nou Camp, which may allow them to produce their best football. Notwithstanding their poor away form they have taken seven points from their last three games. www.pinnaclesports.com offer Barcelona at 1.98 (-1.5 & -2) and Mallorca at 1.943 (+1.5 & +2).

Levante Looking to Deny Atletico's European Pretensions
Atletico Madrid are within touching distance of European football for the first time since the 1999/2000 season, the same campaign which saw them relegated from the Primera Division. Sitting just three points off fourth spot, the Red & Whites have a live chance of the Champions League where for the first time Madrid could be represented twice. Atletico are unbeaten in eight games at the Vicente Calderon stadium, keeping clean sheets in half that sequence. They host struggling Levante, who sit just two points above the relegation zone.

Levante have limited La Liga experience having only played four seasons in the top tier. They were promoted last season, but are in peril of dropping straight back down to the Segunda Division. The Granotes have failed to win any of their last seven games, where as with all season, they have faced goal-scoring problems, netting just three times over that sequence. The Valencian side have only won twice on the road this term but one of those victories was at the Bernabeu, and they recorded a 1-0 victory away to Atletico Madrid in the Copa Del Rey. www.pinnaclesports.com 's oddsmakers price Atletico at 1.826 (-.05 & -1) and Levante 2.11 (+0.5 & +1).

La Liga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Fri, 06 Apr 2007 15:15:15 +0000

Zaragoza Stake Their Claim for Champions League Spot
When Agapito Iglesias took sole control of Real Zaragoza in May of 2006 he promised to build one of the strongest teams in Europe. Almost one year on and the Blanquillos might not be world-beaters just yet, but they are only three points away from fourth place in the Primera Liga, and the chance of Champions League football. In that context, Saturday's home game against league leaders Barcelona should be an exciting encounter. Zaragoza are unbeaten in six games at La Romareda, which included a 2-1 win over Sevilla, currently in second place.

These sides met twice in a recent Copa Del Rey quarter-final, when both won away from home. The aggregate score finished 2-2 but Barcelona progressed thanks to their two goals at La Romareda. Zaragoza are recognised as Copa Del Rey specialists (winning in 2001 & 2004) but there is no reason that this league clash won't be as tight, though they will have to keep close tabs on Samuel Eto'o. The Cameroon striker is showing signs of returning to his best form with three goals in his last two league outings. www.pinnaclesports.com price Barcelona favourites at 2.05 (-0.5), with Real Zaragoza 1.877 (+0.5).

Sevilla Facing Crucial Stage in Season
Sevilla are approaching a crucial stage in their season with three games in seven days. The reigning UEFA Cup holders face two quarter-final games in quick succession against Tottenham Hotspur, and sandwiched between those encounters is a crucial La Liga at home to Racing Santander. Sevilla are currently second in the table, searching for their second Primera crown after a wait of 61 years.

This is an equally crucial game for Santander. Following their nine goal weekend thriller at home to Bilbao, which they won 5-4, Racing are now just one point away from a UEFA Cup place. The side from Northern Spain are arguably in better form than Sevilla, having lost just one of their last 11 fixtures (at the Nou Camp). In contrast Sevilla are struggling to score goals, drawing a blank in three of their last five games, including on the weekend when Osasuna frustrated them with a goal-less draw. Despite their fixture congestion www.pinnaclesports.com price Sevilla favourites 2.23 (-1) with Racing Santander 1.752 (+1).

Real Madrid Keeping Pressure on Top Two
Having been knocked out of the Champions League by Bayern Munich, success in La Liga is crucial for Real Madrid to avoid a fourth consecutive season without a trophy. The rumours have been flying that whatever happens, coach Fabio Capello will be leaving at the end of the season, so the Italian will want to silence his doubters with league success. Los Blancos are unbeaten in their last seven La Liga fixtures, but four of those were drawn, so it would be wrong to say that Real are firing on all cylinders, but the close nature of this year's title race leaves them with a real chance of prevailing, sitting five points behind Barca.

Madrid have home advantage in their game against Osasuna, and under normal circumstances that would be considered a big plus, but the side have actually been more effective away from the pressure on the Bernabeu. It should benefit Capello's side to face an Osasuna side distracted by the UEFA Cup. The Rojillos play their quarter-finals against Bayer Leverkusen either side of this fixture, giving them three games in seven days, and a selection head-ache for Jose Ziganda. Given the side have nothing to play for in the league, being anchored in mid-table, Ziganda could be forgiven for resting players at the Bernabeu, which will be to Madrid's distinct advantage. They have beaten Osasuna in four of the last five meetings and www.pinnaclesports.com make them favourites 2.10 (-1) with the visitors 1.833 (+1).

PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY

Thu, 29 Mar 2007 17:35:47 +0000

By Bet365
PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY - GUNNERS TO HAVE LIVERPOOL'S MEASURE AGAIN?

After a break for the Internationals, the Premiership makes a welcome return this weekend, and the obvious highlight is Arsenal's visit to Liverpool for which bet365 are betting to 107% and go 11/5 the Gunners with Liverpool at 11/10 (11/5 the draw).

This will be the fourth meeting between the two sides this season and Arsenal have won all three so far, including twice at Anfield. That record suggests that the Gunners have got Liverpool's number and, while we're unlikely to see a repeat of the cup goalfests, we'd much rather be backing them over Liverpool, and doubling up on Newcastle at 5/6 who look a shoe-in to beat Man City. City were lucky to escape with a draw against Chelsea and were then fortunate to come up against a Boro side resting key players ahead of FA Cup commitments, and they won't find Newcastle so generous. The Arsenal - Newcastle double pays £146.67 for a £25 stake at the current bet365 prices.

It's hard to see either Watford or Blackburn getting a result against Chelsea (1/3) and Man United (3/10) respectively and that's reflected in the match odds, but there's still some value to be had in bet365's double result market, where you can get odds of just over 9/4 by backing both Chelsea and United to be ahead at half time and full time - that's a nice little earner!

In other games, Charlton (11/10) can put further pressure on Sheffield United (just four points above them and with a stiff task away at Bolton on Saturday) by beating Wigan, while Fulham (6/5) are also worth backing with home advantage against a Pompey side who have been frankly rubbish in 2007. At those odds, we're also going to get a decent return on our Premiership acca (including Arsenal, Newcastle, Chelsea and Man United), especially as bet365 will boost our returns by a tidy 20% (£563.76 for a tenner!).

Tottenham play Reading on Sunday April 1^st and only a fool would be looking to back anything other than the home win at 4/6 with bet365. True, Spurs have been in-and-out at times this season, but they've found some form in recent weeks and they look a solid bet to beat a Reading side who have been shaky on the road.

Goals could be at a premium when Aston Villa play Everton on Monday night, so everything points to a bet on the 'unders' at 4/7, although bet365's 30 In-Play markets on this game looks sure to spice things up a bit.

Get lucky with your Premiership bets at bet365 this weekend!

Portsmouth vs Charlton

Wed, 19 Oct 2005 21:41:17 +0000

Portsmouth (2.75) Draw (3.25) Charlton (2.7)
Not a pick on my initial list. I decided to have Charlton. Basically the price of 1.98 at Canbet has tempted me.

Pompey are looking like being in a relegation battle this year. Their home form isn't very good. They managed a 0-0 with Newcastle last time round. Their defensive style of football. With Lualua still out I can't see where they are going to get their goals from.

Charlton haven't been able to maintain their early form. They are still a decent side though and have an excellent away record. The difference between the two sides is that one scores reguarly and the other one doesn't.

At practically evens Charlton +0 at Canbet is a bargain. Pompey have only won 1 all season and that was against Everton. (And even that needed a Duncan Fergussen own goal).

England vs Austria

Sun, 02 Oct 2005 17:26:54 +0000

England (1.22) Draw (6.9) Austria (15)
I was put off betting on England after watching their display against Wales. Joe Cole's lucky deflected goal was the only thing that separated the teams. I decided to skip the match against Northern Ireland. England were awful and deserved to be beaten.

I am skipping the 3 way and Asian Handicaps on this one too. England should bounce back but at 1.22 its of no interest to me. Even with the news that the Austrian team is in disarray after the sacking of their coach doesn't tempt me.

I am going for Michael Owen to score any time at BlueSquare. The price of 2.2 is excellent. Everywhere else he's odds on. The odds for over 2.5 goals is 1.75 suggesting that its likely to be a high scoring game. Owen's likely strike partner, Peter Crouch is tall and thats about it. He's useless as a striker so Owen will have to deliver the goals.

Charlton vs Tottenham

Wed, 28 Sep 2005 22:28:23 +0000

Charlton (2.6) Draw (3.25) Tottenham (3)
I decided to have this Monday night after listening to the Tottenham/ Fulham game. Tottenham were evenly matched and it was only Defoe's early goal that separated the two teams. After a promising start their form resembles that of some mid-table team. To be fair they have only lost 1 game this season and that was Chelsea. This does exclude the almost full strength team being beat in the Carling Cup by Grimsby. What an embarrassment.

Charlton are going really, really well this year. They too have only lost 1 but have won the rest of their matches. To me, that's an in form team. It'll be interesting to see how they fair against the top teams, as the biggest scalp they have claimed this year is Middlesbrough who have been playing poorly. Birmingham look mid-table but the others West Brom, Wigan and Sunderland look like low finishers.

For a home side on form, the prices are high for this match. The draw no bet option at Blue Square should be snapped up at 1.8. The draws a possibility but I really can't see a mediocre Tottenham team winning this. Interesting the king of the British high street bookmakers, Ladbrokes has priced this up 2.10, 3.20, 3.00, 1X2 which is more like the odds I expecting on this game.

Middlesbrough vs Sunderland

Tue, 20 Sep 2005 21:08:16 +0000

Middlesbrough (1.57) Draw (3.75) Sunderland (7.1)
This was a match I wasn't going to touch but as its the only premiership match this Sunday, I thought I'd take a look at it. I think that Sunderland +1 on the Asian Handicap is a good bet.

Sunderland has been struggling in the Premiership. Six games in to the season and they have managed 5 losses and a draw. Last weeks draw was little unlucky as West Brom scored deep in to injury time. Looking at their losses this season they haven't had any thrashings. Charlton beat them 3-1 on the opening day, Liverpool, 1-0, Man City 2-1, Wigan 1-0 and Chelsea 2-0. Given that Chelsea and Charlton are 1st and 2nd in the league, the 2 goal defeats are understandable. The other defeats were only by a single goal.

Middlesbrough have been inconsistent this season. 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. They drew 1-1 last game against Wigan. I don't think that type of form warrants a -1 Asian Handicap, even if they are at home and facing a team that hasn't won all season. There's a local derby factor which increases the chances of the draw.

Sunderland +1 Asian is 1.83 at Premierbet. Sunderland could get a point here and I think even if they do lose its unlikely to be more than by the single goal. See below for Gerry's view on this match. He thinks this has got 0-0 bore written all over it.

Wales vs England, Saturday September 3rd 2005

Wed, 31 Aug 2005 00:27:50 +0000

Wales (9) Draw (4.4) England (1.44)
England play Wales in this really pointless match. England are surely going to win this one. They need to, to top their qualifying group (plus they need to beat Poland). They'll probably qualify anyway but topping the group is so much sweeter than qualifying as best runner up.

When I fist priced this up in my head I thought it'd be something like 1.2. Seeing odds of 1.44 available is such a bonus. Its like printing money. England are going to win this no problem at all. Its at the Millennium Stadium in Wales which is practically home for England.

After England's humiliation against Denmark I can see Wales getting the backlash. As this is a proper world cup qualifier rather than just a friendly, Sven and the rest of the team will give it their best. David James not in goal so no more soft goals. That defeat in Denmark was a wake up call for several players. They'll perform to guarantee their places in the squad for the world cup.

Wales haven't done much on the international stage recently. Defeats both home and away to Austria have put them in no position to qualify. They drew 0-0 at home to Slovenia last match (friendly). They are going though a team rebuilding exercise at the moment. Read between the lines of this quote from Hartson, Wales and Celtic striker.

"We are in a rebuilding process and all we can do is turn in a better performance from last time, but we have to take into account what a good side England are."

The price of 1.44 should be snapped up. When the rest of the English betting public place their bets, surely its going to be all placed on England, thus pushing the price down. I rarely bet on the 1X2 at such short odds but this time its too good to resist. I can see the headlines on Sunday now "Wales Crushed by Rampant England Side"

I've also gone for Rooney to score anytime. Svens going to be playing a 4-5-1 with Rooney up front on his own. Most places are offering evens for this but PaddyPower are offering 2.1.

Wigan vs Sunderland

Wed, 24 Aug 2005 23:28:33 +0000

Wigan (2.2) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.5)
Last season these two teams came first and second in England's Championship League. Expectations of these two teams were low and so far they have lived up to this. Only 3 games in to the season and they are both heavily odds on to go down.

Wigan started the season brightly with a very narrow 1-0 loss to Chelsea. Even Mouriniho said that the home side deserved a point from that encounter. They played well and even had a chance to snatch all three points from Chelsea. They were, however, comprehensively beat last week by Charlton. The 1-0 scoreline there doesn't show how Charlton dominated. Wigan only had a single shot on target. They are another premiership side that lacks a decent strike force.

Sunderland's start to the season has been even worse than Wigan's. They lost their opener 3-1 to Charlton, then lost 1-0 to Liverpool and lost 2-1 to Man City mid week. They showed a much improved performance against Man City though. They battled throughout the second half and maybe should have got a point for their efforts.

I am going to go for Sunderland +0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Odds are 2.00 at Premierbet. They should be able to build on the midweek performance and get a point here at least. Last seasons corresponding fixture was won by Sunderland 1-0.

Chelsea vs Arsenal, 21st August 2005

Thu, 18 Aug 2005 22:45:33 +0000

Chelsea (2) Draw (3.3) Arsenal (4.2)
Chelsea play Arsenal in the match I am looking forward to most this weekend. Two weeks ago I said that Chelsea were going to win this one. I had them for the Charity Shield but I've changed my mind about backing them this weekend.

Chelsea were well lucky to win against Wigan. I didn't catch the first half but from what I heard, Wigan more than matched them. Wigan could have easily snatched all three points if Johansson would have scored that 92nd minute chance he got. The replay had just finished when Crespo, out of nowhere managed to knock one in. I've watched that goal several times since on soccercastle. It was absolutely fantastic (and save my betting weekend). Even Mouriniho said afterwards they didn't deserve to win that one.

Arsenal were unimpressive against Newcastle. I think Newcastle could have got a draw out of that match if it were not for Jenas being sent off for what was really a yellow card offence. Neither team really looked likely to score. It took Arsenal nearly 50 minutes to get a goal against 10 men and that was a penalty.

I think this match could go either way. Arsenal do have a good record against Chelsea in the Premier League. Chelsea haven't beaten Arsenal in the last 19 league meetings. Last seasons fixtures both ended in draws. The Asian Handicap of +0.5 at about 1.8 is too high in my opinion. I don't think I've ever seen Arsenal given a half goal start. Bluesquare's draw no bet for Arsenal at 3.00 is also a good bet. They're tempting but I'll skip those. I'm reluctant to ever bet against Roman Abramovich's superstar Chelsea team.

I am going to go for over 2.25 goals on the goal line. You can get 1.95 at Bet365 for this. Their last 20 matches have produced 61 goals, so about 3 a game. I think both teams will come out all guns blazing so hopefully this bet will be won by half time. Last weeks lacklustre performances will be distant memories.

Fulham vs Birmingham

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Fulham (2.4) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.25)

7 May-15:00 Blackburn v Fulham 2.10 3.25 3.40

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

I think this is going to be a home win. Blackburn took the lead against Birmingham last week but the went on to lose 2-1. Disappointing to say the least. They will have Robbie Savage back for this match which will be a big boost for them.

Fulham deservedly lost to Newcastle midweek. A lacklustre performance saw them being 3-0 down before Radzinski score an 86th minute consolation goal.

Odds have dropped since Thursday when I got these prices. The best price you can now is 1.95 at gamebookers.

Birmingham v Blackburn - Sat Apr 30, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Birmingham (2.2), Draw (3.25), Blackburn (3.6)
I can see this match being a dull affair. I was tempted to go for a draw in this match. The recent form of both teams suggest this is the most likely result.

Birmingham were unlucky not to get all three points at Everton. It took a late goal for Everton to salvage a point. Blackburn managed to get a point midweek at West Brom.

I think unders is the best bet for this game. I can't see this being a goal fest like when they met earlier in the season. You can get 1.85 for unders.

West Brom v Blackburn

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:49:58 +0000

West Brom (2.2), Blackburn (3.5), Draw (3.5)
West Brom's 4-0 thrashing at the weekend brought to an end their 4 match unbeaten run. Before then, it looked like they would make the great escape. A win would put them clear of the relegation zone. Blackburn managed a goalless draw against Man City. They have only lost 1 in their last 9 and that was to Arsenal. Both teams have recorded 13 draws this season and this seems like the most likely result. Blackburn +0.5 at 1.85 looks like a good bet.

Chelsea v Arsenal

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:39:26 +0000

Chelsea (2.1), Draw (3.25), Arsenal (3.75)
Chelsea all the way for me. Arsenal have been playing well recently, they've won 6 out of 7 their games since that night at Highbury when they went down 4-2 to Man U. They seem to be able to ease past the rest of the Premiership but struggle when they are playing the really good teams. Chelsea will want to nail Arsenal here and surely stub out any hope that they will be caught in the title race. They haven't played at the weekend so they will be fresher and with a more talented side I can see this being a comfortable win for Chelsea. The only downside is that Ladbrokes are offering the best odds for Chelsea on this game.

Arsenal v Fenerbahce, Wednesday, Sky Sports Xtra, 7:45pm

Tue, 04 Nov 2008 16:53:51 +0000

Arsenal v Fenerbahce, Wednesday, Sky Sports Xtra, 7:45pm

Arsenal will look to put a string of bad results behind them as they attempt to qualify for the knockout stages at the Emirates. Following the late collapse to Spurs last week, they were beaten 2-1 by an upbeat Stoke side that seemed to catch them unaware. They can draw confidence from their return fixture against the Turks though, when they demolished them 5-2 in Turkey.

Arsenal are 1/4 with PageBet to reach the knockout stages here, with Fenerbahce a massive 11/1 at Centrebet to continue Arsenals bad run with a win at the Emirates.

If Samir Nasri scores at anytime during Arsenal v Fenerbahce, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

Odds on away win are tempting here. Stoke exposed several weaknesses in the Arsenal team. 11/1 at Centrebet has got to be worth a couple of quid.

Germany v Wales, Tuesday, ITV 1, 7:45pm

Tue, 14 Oct 2008 23:59:58 +0000

Wales travel to Moenchengladbach in Germany on Wednesday as they aim to continue their decent start to their qualifying campaign. Saturday's 2-0 victory over Liechtenstein put the Welsh second in Group 4, just behind their hosts for this game. However, if they are to qualify for a major tournament for the first time in 50 years they will need to start taking points off bigger teams such as the Germans and Russians. The Germans have started in their usual confident way, swiping aside Azerbaijan 6-0 in their first game, and beating Russia 2-1 at the weekend. In between they had a surprising, but entertaining 3-3 draw with Finland, a result the Welsh would be happy to repeat against the group favourites.

Germany are big 2/11 favourites with VCbet as they look to continue their winning ways, as Wales are considered the big outsiders at 10/1 with BGbet.

If Craig Bellamy scores at anytime during Germany v Wales, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

A win for the Germans. No problem.

Fri, 19 Sep 2008 00:16:37 +0000

Following a disappointing 1-1 draw in Kiev in midweek, Arsenal will be looking to get back on the goal trail against Bolton. The Gunners will be looking to add to their goals tally as they have hit twelve in their last four games. Four of those came against Blackburn last week as Emmanuel Adebayor scored a hat trick, with England star Theo Walcott instrumental in the first goal as he slid in Robin van Persie.

Bolton have not won since their opening day win over Premiership new boys Stoke, losing three of their last four, including a 2-1 defeat to Northampton in the League Cup. They fell to a 2-1 defeat to an improving Fulham side last week with the match effectively over at half time with the Cottagers 2-0 up. Kevin Davies gave the Trotters hope in the 82nd minute as they pulled one back, but it proved to be only a consolation as Fulham held on in the last ten minutes. Wanderers will need to be sharper up front than they were in their last game at the Reebok, when they were held to a 0-0 draw against West Brom, despite Kevin Davies having two offside goals chalked off in the last five minutes.

Its going to be another Arsenal win again their bogie team. Price is 1.62 at VCBet

Champions League Mid Week tip

Mon, 15 Sep 2008 22:39:36 +0000

A good system for the early rounds of the champions league is to bet on strong doubles and trebles. In Europe the home advantage is huge. Some teams can be counted on to win all their home group matches. The odds for singles are low but in doubles and trebles the returns can be good.

ALL odds from bluesquare

Tue, 16th of Sep, 2008

19:45 Barcelona v Sporting Lisbon 3/10 15/4 9/1
19:45 Basle v Shakhtar Donetsk 13/10 9/4 2/1
19:45 Chelsea v Bordeaux 2/7 4/1 9/1
19:45 Olympique Marseille v Liverpool 2/1 11/5 13/10
19:45 PSV Eindhoven v Atletico Madrid 8/5 21/10 17/10
19:45 Panathinaikos v Inter Milan 13/5 23/10 evens
19:45 Roma v CFR Cluj 2/7 15/4 10/1
19:45 Werder Bremen v Anorthosis Famagusta 1/4 9/2 10/1

Wed, 17th of Sep, 2008

19:45 Celtic v AaB Aalborg 1/2 11/4 6/1
19:45 Dynamo Kiev v Arsenal 3/1 9/4 10/11
19:45 Juventus v Zenit St Petersburg 8/11 12/5 15/4
19:45 Lyon v Fiorentina 10/11 9/4 3/1
19:45 Manchester United v Villarreal 4/9 14/5 7/1
19:45 Porto v Fenerbahce 8/11 12/5 15/4
19:45 Real Madrid v BATE Borisov 1/9 13/2 20/1
19:45 Steaua Bucharest v Bayern Munich 10/3 23/10 5/6

For example Chelsea, Roma and Weder Bremen treble pays over even money.

The trick is to weed out poorly performing teams. For example, Barcelona are usually solid but with their poor start to the season it is best to skip them.

Bet With Bluesquare and get a free ï¿½25 bet. Check the odds below.

World Cup Qualifier Betting Odds at PinnacleSports.com

Fri, 05 Sep 2008 09:39:00 +0000

World Cup soccer betting takes centre stage this weekend as the European zone kicks off with 24 qualifiers on the weekend, the first part of a double bill of international soccer betting that concludes on Wednesday night. The rest of world started on the long road to the 2010 World Cup in South Africa some time ago, but for European nations - including holders Italy, and European Champions, Spain - the journey begins here. Get up to 60% better World Cup qualifier soccer betting odds at PinnacleSports.com, including outright World Cup betting for triumph in South Africa in 2010, with Brazil heading the betting priced 6.100*.

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England Look for Resurrection Under Capello

Fabio Capello's first competitive game as England manager, presents one of the easiest opponents in World soccer, the tiny Andorra. The minnows shouldn't present much of a problem to the mighty Three Lions, losing all twelve of their Euro 2008 qualifiers. However, under the previous incumbent, Steve McLaren, England laboured for 45 minutes away to Andorra, without finding the net, and looked unimpressive in the recent draw with the Czech Republic. Steven Gerrard is the only major absentee for the game in Barcelona for which PinnacleSports.com price England, unsurprisingly as heavy favourites on the World Cup Asian Handicaps. England 2.050 (-3.5 & -4)*, Andorra 1.877 (+3.5 & +4)*.

Capello's first big challenge will came on Wednesday night in Zagreb, when they face Croatia, who famously did the double over them during Euro 2008 qualification, ending their hopes of reaching Austria and Switzerland. Croatia haven't lost a competitive home game since 1994, and under Slavan Bilic, are becoming one of Europe's most powerful soccer, while England have gone in the other direction. It promises to be the most intriguing game in World Cup qualifier betting menu at PinnacleSports.com, offering up to 60% better odds for the game than traditional bookmakers.

Holders Face Tricky Trip to Cyprus

World Cup holders, Italy, begin the defence of the title they won in Germany two years ago, with a tricky trip to Larnaca. Cyprus are enjoying a magical spell on the domestic front, with Famagusta becoming the first Cypriot side in the Champions League, and two further representative in the UEFA Cup. During Euro 2008, Cyprus gave notice of their potential as Giant Killers, beating the Republic of Ireland 5-2, Wales 3-1, and holding the mighty Germany to a 1-1 draw. The Azzurri are now back under the stewardship of Marcello Lippi, who led them to ultimate success in 2008, and is looking to repeat that triumph, starting in Cyprus on Saturday. Italy 2.060 (-1.5), Cyprus Cyprus 1.870 (+1.5). Get 60% better World Cup qualifier betting odds at www.pinnaclesports.com

*Odds subject to change

Quarter-final 4: Italy v Spain (June 22)

Thu, 19 Jun 2008 21:06:12 +0000

Spain (2.55) Draw (3.2) Italy (3.19)
Italy have come back from the brink of elimination from Euro 2008 outright betting, rebounding from a 3-0 opening defeat to Holland, to book their place in the quarter-finals, after beating France 2-0 on Tuesday night. It was a tense night, as both the French and Italians fate was out of their hands, but Romania lost to Holland, giving Italy passage to the final eight, where they meet Spain. The Spaniards will be deserved favourites for the clash, having topped Euro 2008 Group D, but must overcome their tendency to fall short when burdened with expectation. They were able to rest players against Greece on Wednesday night, whereas Italy will be without Andrea Pirlo and Gennaro Gattuso, both suspended after yellow cards against France. Perlo's absence robs Italy of creativity in midfield, which Spain have in abundance, along with pace up front; their Achilles heel maybe in defence. PinnacleSports.com are offering 1.96/1.96 style Asian Handicaps, and live-betting for the game.

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Euro 2008 Group C betting - Concluding Fixtures (June 17)

Mon, 16 Jun 2008 22:42:16 +0000

Euro 2008 Betting Preview - Group C Reaches Dramatic Conclusion (June 17)

Holland have shot to head of the Euro 2008 outright betting at PinnacleSports.com, priced as short as Sign-up now & get a 10% bonus.

Victory Against Holland Will Send Romania Into Last Eight

If Romania can do what France and Italy failed to do - beat Holland on Tuesday night - they will book a place in Euro 2008 quarter-finals. Judged purely on performance so far that would appear unlikely, as the Dutch have slammed in seven goals, and played the most attractive football so far. However, having already qualified, Marco Van Basten's side may take their foot off the gas, and they will shed no tears if by losing they also knock out France and Italy. Adrian Mutu has more to prove than most having missed a penalty against Italy that would have sent them through. PinnacleSports.com price the Romanians favourites 2.200 (-0.5)* with Holland 1.769 (+0.5)* - a market priced to less than 102%.

World Cup Finalists' Fate Out of their Hands

The Euro 2008 fate of World Cup finalists, Italy and France, is out of their hands ahead of the final Group C fixtures. A victory for Romania will send them both out, irrespective of the result, so they must hope Holland hold form. A draw is unlikely to good enough, given both sides heavy defeat to the Dutch, so both teams must go for the win, ensuring a cracking game. Neither the French or Italians have produced their best form, and on the night it could well be the side that enjoys a bit of luck that progress, in a World Cup final re-run. PinnacleSports.com price Italy slight favourites 1.794 (0/scratch)* with France 2.160 (0/scratch)*.

Euro 2008 Group B Betting Preview - 2nd Round of Fixtures

Wed, 11 Jun 2008 03:08:51 +0000

The betting for Euro 2008 Group B is little changed after the first round of fixtures followed form. Germany were pre-tournament favourites with PinnacleSports.com to top Group B, and are now 3.700* second favourites with PinnacleSports.com to top the section.

Sign-Up Now & Get 60% Better Euro 2008 Group B Betting Odds

Germany & Croatia Clash for Group Supremacy

Germany and Croatia meet in Klagenfurt on Thursday night for a game that could decide the winner of Group B. Both teams already have three points, and one foot in the knock-out stages, but the Germans were the more impressive of the sides, and are favourites with PinnacleSports.com for this game. Punters can bet the game on Asian Handicaps priced to 102%, three-way 1X2 and Over/Under total goals to 103% as well as range of interesting game markets, such as total corners, red & yellow cards and goal-scorer options.

Sign-Up Now For a Wide Range of Euro 2008 Group B Markets

Poland & Austria One Defeat from Early Exit

After defeats in their opening Euro 2008 fixtures, co-hosts Austria and Poland are already walking a qualification tight-rope. Another loss will certainly put either them out of the tournament, so this game is likely to be cautious and hard-fought. Austria battled well but were beaten by an early penalty which was a huge blow, while Poland will have to improve on a poor defensive performance against the Germans. Check the game odds at PinnacleSports.com, which includes Asian Handicaps priced to 102%, three-way 1X2 and Over/Under total goals to 103% as well as range of interesting game markets, such as total corners, red & yellow cards and goal-scorer options.

Sign-Up Now For a Wide Range of Euro 2008 Group B Markets

*All odds subject change

Euro 2008 Betting Preview - Group B Opening Fixtures

Fri, 06 Jun 2008 00:16:04 +0000

The wait is almost over, and the serious business of Euro 2008 betting is about to begin. Co-hosts Austria kicks off their Euro 2008 on Sunday at 6pm (GMT) against Dark Horses, Croatia. PinnacleSports.com are offering 1.96/1.96 Euro 2008 Asian Handicap betting and three-way (1X2) bets at 1.95/1.95 before kick-off, then live 'in-running' markets at 105% throughout the tournament. Punters will struggle to find that kind of Euro betting value anywhere else - 60% better than traditional bookmakers - which is why PinnacleSports.com is the smarter way to bet Euro 2008.

Austrians Need Boost from Host Status

As co-hosts of Euro 2008 Austria should be expected to produce a better showing than their basic form suggests. The Austrians are ranked a lowly 101 on FIFA's World table of soccer nations, below such luminaries as Syria, Ethiopia and Bahrain, while their opening opponents - Croatia - are rated 88 places higher by FIFA as the World's 13th best side. That would suggest a serious mis-match in the opening game, but the Euro 2008 betting at leading online sportsbook, PinnacleSports.com, suggests a much closer game.

PinnacleSports.com make Croatia marginal favourites on the Euro 2008 Asian Handicap priced 18.840* in the Euro 2008 Group A betting at PinnacleSports.com.

Germans Kick-off as Tournament Favourites Against Poland

Germany carry the burden of expectation as Euro 2008 betting favourites going into their opening game of the tournament on Sunday night (8.45pm GMT) against Poland. PinnacleSports.com price the Germans 5.110* favourites in an outright market priced to less than 105%, but their first game will be a real test. The history of these neighbouring countries will forever be linked with WWII, while several of the German side are originally from Poland i.e. Miroslav Klose, Lukas Podolski, Tim Borowski and Piotr Trochowski. The sides met in the group stages of the 2006 World Cup when the German hosts left it until the 91st minute to score the only goal of the game.

Poland's eccentric goal-keeper, Artur Boruc, was almost unbeatable, and he will again be needed on his best form to keep out a German side boasting Miroslav Klose, Golden Boot winner at the last two World Cups. Poland were impressive in qualification winning their eight team section ahead of Portugal and Serbia. Since gaining their place at Euro 2008 however, Leo Beenkakker's side have produced some indifferent results. The Poles lost 3-0 at home to the USA, then drew with Macedonia and Denmark, in between beating Alabania 1-0. Performances usually change in the competitive environment of the tournament, but Poland's confidence might not be particularly high ahead of their opening game. PinnacleSports.com price Germany favourites 2.040 (+1)* - an Asian Handicap giving 60% better odds than traditional bookmakers.

*All odds subject change

Euro 2008 Bet - Group B Preview

Wed, 28 May 2008 22:45:01 +0000

Kicks Off June 8

With the all the major European domestic leagues and Cup competitions done and dusted, club football now steps out of the limelight, and the focus falls firmly on Euro 2008 betting. The final countdown to the tournament kick-off on June 7th is well underway, so now is the perfect time for punters to analyse the chances of the 16 participating teams then take advantage of up to 60% better Euro 2008 betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Germans Worthy Favourites to Top Group B

Germany are worthy favourites in the group betting markets at PinnacleSports.com to top Pool B at Euro 2008. Priced 1.690* they are the shortest team in any of the four group betting markets, reflecting the positive progress of the side from their surprise semi-final appearance in the 2006 World Cup, and the important influence of the strong support they will enjoy. The Germans were top-scorers in qualification, but haven't won a game at the European Championship finals since winning the trophy at Wembley in 1996 - losing three and drawing three.

Several of coach, Joachim Low's key players should arrive fresh for their opening game against Poland in Klagenfurt. Michael Ballack, Torsten Frings, Tim Borowski, Lukas Podolski and Christoph Metzelder have all only recently returned from long-term injury, so as long as they have recovered full fitness, should give the Germans extra vitality. It has been suggested that Greece's success in Euro 2004 was in part due to similar circumstances and PinnacleSports.com make Germany favourites 5.110*.

Avoiding Early Exit Austria's Main Ambition

Austria coach, Josef Hickersberger, has arguably the toughest job at Euro 2008. He has to mould a squad of very average players into a winning unit, that can avoid the embarrassment of an early exit despite the benefit of home support. Having both played and coached at World Cup finals, Hickersberger knows what is needed to succeed at the highest level, but his inexperienced squad face a steep learning curve. Qualifying automatically as hosts, Austria have only had friendlies to prepare, with soft opponents chosen in the hope of providing a boost to confidence.

That hasn't worked out as planned, as up to May the co-hosts had won just one of their previous 14 games, suggesting that Austria will be the whipping boys of Group B. This is reflected in the Euro 2008 Group winner betting odds at PinnacleSports.com where Austria are priced 151.00* in the outright winner's market. None of the Austrian squad are household names going into Euro 2008, but each has a golden opportunity to step forward and help their country to an unlikely success.

Croatians Likely Dark Horses to Upset Big Names

After leading Croatia to Euro 2008 as winners of qualification group E ahead of England, coach, Slaven Bilic, has been tipped by many to take charge of one of Europe's big club sides. Several of his squad are also tipped to go on to greater things, with 22 year old Luka Modric already captured by Tottenham Hotpsur for a club record £21.5 million. Modric joins 21 year old defender, Vedran Corluka in the Premiership, who joined Manchester City for an estimated £8million.

This Croatia side must deal with the legacy of the success of the national side at the 1998 World Cup (which included Bilic), who are immortalised at home. Croatia were dealt a blow when Brazilian born striker, Eduardo da Silva, suffered a horrific broken leg playing for Arsenal, ruling him out of the tournament. The Croatians are second favourites to win Euro 2008 Group B priced 14.180*.

Poland Looking to Enjoy Euro 2008 Finals Debut

Though Poland have enjoyed success at the World Cup, famously finishing third in 1982, this will be their first appearance at the European Championships. Their passage was booked on the back of nine goals from striker, Euzebiusz Smolarek, whose father Wlodzimierz played in that bronze medal winning side. Coach, Leo Beenhakker, has a wealth of experience at club and national level, which helped steer the Poles to the finals.

Their was disappointment in March with a 3-0 home defeat by the USA, but the Dutch boss insisted it was 'no reason to lose faith'. Poland aren't considered likely winners, despite the benefit of a strong travelling army of supporters. PinnacleSports.com price them as 9.430* to cause a shock and win Group B. Games against Austria and Germany will be highly charge local Derbies that should raise the level of performance of what is an ordinary looking Polish squad.

*All odds subject change

Paddy Power Bet Special

Sun, 18 May 2008 01:21:25 +0000

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Man Utd v Chelsea - Champions League Final
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Asian Handicap Preview

Wed, 07 May 2008 15:38:41 +0000

Pinacle Sports

For the first time in the 15 year history of the English Premier League, the title race goes to the final game of the season with two teams tied on points. After 37 matches Manchester United and Chelsea both have 84 points with one game to play, but crucially the Red Devils’ hugely superior goal difference puts them in poll position to retain their Premiership crown. Get up to 60% better Premiership betting odds for the final weekend of the season at PinnacleSports.com.

No Love Lost as Bruce Aims to Spoil United’s Party

Despite winning three Premier League titles as a Manchester United player, Steve Bruce will be no less determined to get a result at the JJB Stadium on Sunday as his Wigan side look to spoil the Red Devils’ party. Alex Ferguson’s team talk should be straight-forward enough, win the game and United are Champions. However, should they slip up, then Chelsea are poised to snatch the title from under their noses. Another Man United legend, Mark Hughes, put a spanner in the works as Blackburn held the league leaders to a draw in mid-April, so despite Wigan having nothing tangible to play for, this game is no gimme.

The ‘Latics are unbeaten in five games, including a 1-1 draw at Stamford Bridge, and victory last weekend at Villa Park, traditionally two very difficult venues to get a result. Steve Bruce has had a dramatic impact since taking over in November, ensuring the club’s survival, by building a tight defensive unit. Wigan have conceded just once in their last eight home games, so it will take something special from the likes of Cristiano Ronaldo to unlock their defence. Ronaldo’s double against West Ham last weekend at Old Trafford settled nerves and took his toll for the season to 40; the PFA Player of the year could be the difference again in this game and PinnacleSports.com price Man Utd 2.110 (+1.5 & 2)*.

Chelsea Must Win And Hopes for Favours from Wigan

On paper, Chelsea’s home game against Bolton Wanderers, seems a simpler task than Manchester United’s game at the JJB Stadium. However, winning isn’t enough for the Blues, they need Wigan to produce a similar result to the 1-1 draw achieved at Stamford Bridge in mid-April that has become so crucial to the title race. Avram Grant rested Frank Lampard and Joe Cole for Monday’s win at St.James’ Park, where once again, Michael Ballack became the match-winner. Cole and Lampard are expected to start on Sunday as Chelsea look to finish a third successive Premiership campaign with an unbeaten home record.

Bolton come to Stamford Bridge virtually assured of safety, only an extremely unlikely turn of events could send them down, so they may lack some of the fight, shown in recent games, which has helped them stay up. Punters should however be aware that Bolton’s physical game has caused Chelsea problems in the past. Wanderers have lost just one of their last four visits to the Bridge, so they are certainly capable of frustrating the Blues on such a key day. PinnacleSports.com price Chelsea 1.971 (+2)*.

*All odds subject to change

Premiership Betting - Matchday 31 Preview (Mar 22-23)

Thu, 20 Mar 2008 11:13:35 +0000

The Premiership title race always hots up in March, considered the most important month in the Premier League calendar. It will reach boiling point this weekend with a grand slam double bill that could have a decisive influence on the outcome on the Premiership race. On Sunday Chelsea host Arsenal for a cracking London Derby, while its an all Red affair at Old Trafford, as Man Utd take on Liverpool. Go to PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better Premiership betting odds for both key games and the rest of the weekend schedule.

Who Will Grab the Initiative in Crucial London Derby?

On Sunday, Chelsea face Arsenal in the first of two massive home games that will have a huge say in whether they can snatch the Premiership title. The other critical game is when Man Utd visit Stamford Bridge on April 26th; six points from these games would certainly hand Chelsea the initiative in the title-race. Also at stake is the Blues’ amazing unbeaten home league record which currently stretches back 77 games. The last team to win a Premiership game at the Bridge, were Sunday’s opponents, Arsenal, also the last team to beat Chelsea in the current season.

Avram Grant’s side haven’t lost since the 1-0 defeat at the Emirates Stadium, and while the Gunners last defeat was one week prior to that game, their recent form is much more of a concern. Arsene Wenger’s side have drawn four consecutive league games, looking jaded and low on confidence. In contrast Chelsea have been revitalised by the return of Frank Lampard, while Didier Drogba should lead the line up front. Wednesday’s 4-4 draw at Spurs, was certainly two points lost for Chelsea, but the Gunners recent form is worse, so the pressure is on Arsenal to pull off another historic win similar to that at the San Siro. PinnacleSports.com make Chelsea marginal favourites 1.909 (0/scratch & -0.5)* with Arsenal 2.020 (0/scratch & +0.5)* – a market priced to less than 102%.

Battle of the Reds at the Theatre of Dreams

A recent report suggested that it was no coincidence that teams that play in red tend to be successful. Two of the Premiership’s – if not the World’s – most famous ‘red’ teams will do battle at Old Trafford on Sunday, with a huge amount at stake for both clubs. It is unrealistic to suggest that Liverpool could still challenge for the title, but they still have the crucially important task of ensuring a fourth placed finish, so the Scousers have as big a motivation as the defending Champions, Man Utd.

The Red Devils’ 1-0 win over Liverpool last March was integral to their title-winning run, and Alex Ferguson will hope that three points on Sunday will provide a similar catalyst. United are without first choice keeper, Edwin Van de Sar, which will thrust either, Tomasz Kuszczak or Ben Foster into the limelight, neither with much ‘big-game’ experience, while Rio Ferdinand is also 50-50. Liverpool’s Fernando Torres will be making his debut at Old Trafford looking to enhance his growing reputation, having recently scored a match-winner at another daunting venue, the San Siro. History however, favours the home side as Liverpool haven’t even scored in the last six league meetings, losing five. PinnacleSports.com make Man Utd marginal favourites 2.080 (-0.5)* with Liverpool 1.855 (+0.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

1.96/1.96 style Asian Handicap pricing (c.102%) on the major European Football Leagues gives gamblers up to 60% better Premiership betting. PinnacleSports.com offers commission-free fixed odds betting with exchange style pricing, as well as the web’s highest guaranteed liquidity and fastest payouts.

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Champions League Betting - Inter Milan v Liverpool Champions League Last 16 Second Leg (Mar 11)

Mon, 10 Mar 2008 19:21:37 +0000

Inter Milan celebrated their 100th birthday on the weekend, with a special celebration, and the Nerazzurri will need to produce something out of the ordinary on Tuesday night to overturn to the two-goal Champions League deficit to Liverpool. The Italians will certainly have to take the game to the Premiership side, who’s resilience will be severely tested. It promises to be an engaging game, and punters can get up to 60% better Champions League betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Reputations at Stake at the San Siro

Reputations will be on the line on Tuesday night in Milan. Inter were emphatic winners of last season’s Serie A, but their achievements were questioned because of the fall-out from Calcio-Poli. This season, Roberto Mancini’s men are on course for a repeat performance, which should help silence domestic critics, but the Nerazzurri are yet to prove themselves of the European stage, and are facing another early exit, unless their star-studded team can pull out a huge performance on Tuesday night. Expectation will weigh particularly heavily on the shoulders Zlatan Ibrahimovich, who is due a big performance, having been criticised for too often goes missing in the big Champions League games.

The Swede’s opposite number, Fernando Torres, also has an opportunity to establish his growing reputation by producing a memorable performance in Europe. El Nino has scored seven goals in his last three Premiership games, including two hat-tricks, but an early strike at the San Siro could prove more priceless than all of those. It is no coincidence that the Spaniard’s sparkling form has coincided with a hot streak for captain, Steven Gerrard, so often the catalyst for Liverpool’s best performances. Vice-captain, Jamie Carragher, another true Red, will play his 100th European tie for the club, hoping to get a step closer to a third Champions League final in four years.

Mancini, Inter’s coach, has admitted ‘we are not in excellent condition’ and that his club need everything to fall right. Marco Materazzi is suspended after dismissal in the first leg, creating problems in central defence given that Walter Samuel and Ivan Cordoba remain long term absentees. Hernan Crespo is a major doubt, while Cambiasso, Stankovic and Ibrahmiovic have all just returned from injury. PinnacleSports.com make Inter Milan favourites on the night 2.200 (-0.5 & -1)* with Liverpool 1.769 (+0.5 & +1)* – a market priced to less than 102% - but the Scousers are 1.293* to progress to the last eight, with Inter 4.11* underdogs.

*All odds subject to change

Weekend Sports Betting Preview

Fri, 07 Mar 2008 06:57:36 +0000

Bet on this Weekend’s Sport

We have some fantastic sport this weekend, with the FA Cup Quarter Finals featuring Man Utd v Portsmouth and Barnsley v Chelsea and Premiership action featuring Wigan v Arsenal. We also have more Six Nations action with Scotland v England and the 2:40pm at Sandown on Saturday.

Saturday’s FA Cup Football

Man Utd v Portsmouth – Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 12:45pm

To kick off the FA Cup quarter finals, we have the only all Premiership fixture with Man Utd v Portsmouth at Old Trafford. These two sides have played each other twice this season, and both times Ronaldo has been the centre of attention; being sent off in the first meeting and scoring two fantastic goals in the second game at Old Trafford. Don’t bet against Ronaldo running this game either. United really stated their intent in this competition in the last round, where they demolished arch rivals Arsenal 4-0. The African Cup of Nations has really affected Portsmouth, as they had key squad players missing, their top 6 rivals have been able to capitalise, leading to Portsmouth dropping away from the coveted European place. Harry Redknapp will view the FA Cup as a realistic route into Europe, so you can bet that Portsmouth will go all out at Old Trafford. With United at home and in devastating form this season, bookies have priced them as favourites for this match, with Better offering 4/11 on a home win, while Portsmouth have been priced at 10/1 (VC Bet) to upset the rulebook and progress to the semis.

Man Utd to Win	3/10	VC Bet
Draw	18/5	Centrebet
Portsmouth to Win	15/2	Better

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Man Utd v Portsmouth if Nani scores at anytime in this match.*

Barnsley v Chelsea – Live on BBC 1, k/o 5:30pm

This match has a real David vs. Goliath feel to it, with Championship side Barnsley’s entire squad costing £10m less then Michael Essien alone. However, Barnsley have already defied the odds once in this competition, having beaten European champions Liverpool at Anfield, a tremendous achievement for any team. Although Chelsea are still in contention for all competitions, Avram Grant will view the FA Cup as Chelsea most ‘winnable’ trophy, especially in atoning for their Carling Cup Final defeat to Tottenham. Chelsea also come off two impressive performances, where they have score seven goals and conceded none. On paper Barnsley look to have little chance of progression, but with the magic of the FA Cup, anything can happen. Considering the gulf in class between these two teams, bookmakers have placed Chelsea as favourites, pricing them at 4/11 (Centrebet) to get the away win, while Better have priced Barnsley at 8/1 to beat the odds and pull off a tremendous victory.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Barnsley v Chelsea if Frank Lampard scores at anytime in this match.*

Sunday’s FA Cup Football

Middlesbrough v Cardiff – Live on BBC 1, k/o 2:00pm

Middlesbrough may count themselves lucky to be still involved in the FA Cup after their fortunate win against Sheffield Utd in the last round. In that match, a freak Paddy Kenny own goal deep into extra time gifted Middlesbrough the result in a drab affair. Middlesbrough have been enjoying some good form of late, having won five matches since the turn of the year. This match represents Cardiff’s first FA Cup quarter final in 81 years, and the occasion won’t be lost on them. With their domestic form deserting them and leaving them in 14th place in the Championship, the FA Cup provides a welcomed distraction. Bookmakers have placed Middlesbrough as favourites, pricing them at 4/7 (Better) to get the home win, while VC Bet have priced Cardiff at 4/1 to reinstall some pride at the Riverside Stadium.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Middlesbrough v Cardiff if Stewart Downing scores at anytime in this match.*

Bristol Rovers v West Brom – Live on BBC 1, k/o 6:00pm

This match sees a clash between two Football League teams, League One Bristol Rovers v Championship highfliers West Brom. Similar to Cardiff, Bristol Rovers have been disappointing in League One. Having been considered one of the favourites for promotion, they find themselves languishing in 14th. Having already produced one fantastic performance to knock out Fulham in the third round, the magic of the Cup and the atmosphere of their home ground could easily inspire them to reach their first FA Cup semi-final. West Brom have been one of the best performing teams in the Championship this season, as they are still realistic contenders to win the league. With players such as Championship Player of the Year Kevin Phillips and Zoltan Gera bringing Premiership experience and real quality, don’t bet against West Brom hounding the Bristol Rovers defence. Whatever the end result should be, this promises to be a fantastic game of football. West Brom have been priced as favourites at 11/10 (Centrebet), meanwhile Bristol Rovers have been priced at 12/5 by Better to claim another big team scalp.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Bristol Rovers v West Brom if Kevin Phillips scores at anytime in this match.*

Sunday’s Premiership Football

Wigan v Arsenal– Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 4:00pm

The big Premiership match this weekend sees Wigan host league leaders Arsenal at the JJB Stadium. Steve Bruce has pulled off some surprising victories since taking the helm at Wigan back in November. He has led the Latics to wins over Blackburn, Newcastle, Derby (twice) and West Ham but a win over the League leaders is another matter entirely. After all, Wigan have enjoyed no Premier League success over the Gunners in the past and the North Londoners will be buoyed by their heroics in Milan. Wenger’s young guns may have been misfiring of late but they still have lost just one Premier League match all season. They’ve gone 12 matches unbeaten since they surprisingly lost at Middlesbrough back in early December. They’ve also been boosted by the return to fitness of the Dutch maestro Robin Van Persie. The Gunners should have too much confidence and firepower for the lowly Latics. Arsenal have been priced as favourites at 8/13 (VC Bet), meanwhile Wigan have been priced at 11/2 by Centrebet to take all 3 points.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Bristol Rovers v West Brom if Kevin Phillips scores at anytime in this match.*

Rugby Six Nations Tournament

This Saturday sees the annual Calcutta Cup between Scotland and England at Murrayfield. After England’s heroics against titans France, where England ran out 13-24 winners, England have a real chance of winning the competition. All the focus will be on England to retain the Cup. England have been priced as favourites for this match, with Better offering 2/9 to capitalise on Scotland’s underwhelming form, while Scotland have been priced at 2/1 (VC Bet) to bounce back and give a solid performance.

BGbet are running a fantastic 6 Nations special - Place a bet on the first or last tryscorer for any of the following 6 Nations matches this weekend and if the player listed below scores a try at anytime in the 80 minutes BGbet will refund all losing first and last tryscorer stakes on that match.*

Ireland v Wales – R O’Gara
Scotland v England – T Flood
France v Italy – A Floch

Weekend Racing

This Saturday sees the exciting Sunderlands.co.uk Handicap Chase at Sandown, with 17 top runners in this event, you can be sure this will be a fantastic race. With the Cheltenham Festival only a few days away, this Handicap Chase is an excellent trial for those horse hopeful of making an impression at the 2008 gala.

BGbet are running a great refund offer on this race. If your horse falls during the 2.40pm at Sandown on Saturday, BGbet will refund your stakes in the form of free bets.**

With the 2008 Cheltenham Festival just days away, VC Bet are offering fantastic deals ranging from ¼ odds for places for every race at the festival, happy hour each day from 11am with enhanced odds & enhanced place terms and VC Bet’s renowned Free Fall offer. Check the VC website for some of the best Cheltenham offers online!

Better are now betting “Non Runner No Bet” on all Grade 1 races at the Cheltenham Festival – 1/4 odds 1,2,3. So if your horse doesn’t end up running in the chosen event, Better will refund your stake!***

Open an account with any of the following bookmakers and receive a free bet:

VC Bet	£100 in Free Bets	BGbet	£100 Free Bet
Betterbet	£25 Free Bet	Centrebet	£20 Free Bet

A Dodgy Ruby and a Stuffed Nan

Thu, 21 Feb 2008 18:54:38 +0000

By Gerry McDonnell
In a week where Mohammed Al Fayed has pointed an accusing finger at Tony Blair, the Nazis, Dracula and a crocodile, it seems odd that Richard Scudamore has emerged as football's leading figure of fun.

When a friend told me that Scudamore planned to play a round of matches overseas, I thought it was the worst idea I'd ever heard - and I used to work in a nursery. I say 'worked', but it went down as 'loitering' on the charge sheet.

The Chief Executive of the Premier League appears to have been influenced by Gordon Gekko's 'Greed is good' monologue from 'Wall Street'. I'd advise Scudamore against following in the footsteps of Michael Douglas, as he may have to fight off Welsh gold-diggers. Investing in the 8/11 for a Pompey win over Sunderland is a socially acceptable way of increasing your bankroll.

The idea of 10 matches being televised back-to-back genuinely worries me, as I ritualistically indulge in a couple of beers during a game. There's no way I'll be able to drink 20 pints, unless i have to spend a night with Kelly Osbourne. I will happily indulge in a celebratory couple when Middlesbrough stun Liverpool at 17/2.

Sir Alex Ferguson condemned his players for showboating in last week's FA Cup victory over Arsenal, but the unsavoury incident could have been a whole lot worse. Apparently, Wayne Rooney once kept it up with Nani for over two minutes. I'll definitely be paying for it if Manchester United fail to defeat the depleted Toon Army at 8/15.

When it comes to cool celebrity support, Everton are way behind the likes of Manchester City. The Toffeemen tried to persuade Sylvester Stallone to give soccer a try, but he couldn't pull it off, which is quite ironic. I'll happily play with the 9/4 for a draw between Manchester City and Everton.

Blackburn and Bolton have contested the mushy pea derby on 13 occasions in the Premier League, and the team playing at home has never emerged victorious. I'm going to lay Blackburn at 10/11 like it was a legless woman in a nightclub. That Heather Mills certainly knows how to celebrate.

I find the political arena almost exclusively dull, but the revelation that the Home Secretary is an avid Aston Villa supporter genuinely attracted my interest. I have nothing but admiration for the way that Jacqui Smith can juggle her secretarial work with her homemaker duties. I hope she finds the time to back the Villa against Reading at a delightful 7/5.

Playing a home match against Derby is like going on a date with Paris Hilton, you're confident that they'll roll over without much of a fight. Wigan are the fortunate beneficiaries of three easy points at 8/13.

There is a direct correlation between a club's support and the coolness of the team's nickname. Aston Villa are the evil Villans, Tottenham are the boiling Spuds and Manchester United are the Red Devils. Who in their right mind would choose to be a Cottager? Ashley Cole knows that West Ham are a great bet at 9/5 to beat Fulham.

The bigwigs at Chelsea are still understandably upset after a package containing white powder was delivered to their training ground. They've now ordered Frank Lampard to use sugar sachets like the rest of the squad.

The last time Chelsea met Tottenham in a cup match, an irate Spud attacked Frank, which is the actual definition of irony. Chelsea came out on top on that occasion and I can only see a repeat at 11/10 in the Carling Cup final.

The more i consider the potential benefits of the globalisation of the Premier League, the more appealing the idea becomes. The Chinese would be able to relegate the ping-pong ball to a late night entertainment spot, Australians could embrace a sport that doesn't involve shearing, and the Yanks would learn that real footballers refuse to wrap up like a suicide bomber in winter. I'll be going off on one if Arsenal fail to beat Birmingham at 8/15.

There is currently an incredible amount of opposition to Scudamore's thought-provoking proposal, but nothing is insurmountable; with the obvious exception of Ruby Wax. Wigan, Manchester United, Chelsea and Aston Villa form an 11/1 accer that will hopefully remove that ghastly image from my recently tortured mind's eye.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Arsenal Saturday 23rd February 12:45 Live on Sky

Birmingham 7/1
Draw 10/3
Arsenal 8/15

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Adebayor to score a hat-trick 22/1

Fulham v West Ham Saturday 23rd February 15:00

Fulham 17/10
Draw 9/4
West Ham 9/5

Get on: West Ham

Match Special:
Ljungberg to score in a 2-0 West Ham win 47/1

Liverpool v Middlesbrough Saturday 23rd February 15:00

Liverpool 4/9
Draw 7/2
Middlesbrough 17/2

Get on: Middlesbrough

Match Special:
Aliadiere to score the only goal of the game 110/1

Portsmouth v Sunderland Saturday 23rd February 15:00

Portsmouth 8/11
Draw 13/5
Sunderland 5/1

Get on: Portsmouth

Match Special:
Defoe to score two or more goals 9/1

Wigan v Derby Saturday 23rd February 15:00

Wigan 8/13
Draw 11/4
Derby 5/1

Get on: Wigan

Match Special:
Wigan to win and keep a clean sheet 7/5

Newcastle v Man Utd Saturday 23rd February 17:15 Live on Setanta

Newcastle 13/2
Draw 3/1
Man Utd 8/15

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Man Utd to score four or more goals 11/2

Reading v Aston Villa Sunday 24th February 12:30 Live on Sky

Reading 21/10
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 7/5

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Harewood to score at any time 3/1

Blackburn v Bolton Sunday 24th February 15:00

Blackburn 10/11
Draw 5/2
Bolton 4/1

Get on: Bolton

Match Special:
Nolan to score the first goal 16/1

Man City v Everton Monday 25th February 20:00 Live on Setanta

Man City 7/5
Draw 9/4
Everton 11/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 8/1

Chelsea v Tottenham Sunday 24th February 15:00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 11/10
Draw 23/10
Tottenham 14/5

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Lampard to score from outside of the penalty area 11/2

On the third day...Heroes again

Tue, 13 Nov 2007 19:20:24 +0000

by Gerry McDonnell
The wife is easily influenced by the mainstream media. Ever since the BBC first aired 'Heroes', she believes she has supernatural abilities. I've tried to explain that 'sensing' I'm not in a romantic mood does not equate to a 'power'; she's merely deduced that I haven't been drinking heavily.

I, however, have a genuine gift. I can make kitchen appliances spring to life just by talking to them. Just last night, I switched the oven on by staring it and growling, "Cook...Cook now...Cook now or else." It was a pressure cooker.

Tal Ben-Haim definitely has a unique ability, he can run in slow motion in real time. The plodding defender will become a bona fide English hero if Israel snatch a result against Russia.

The Russians have been priced up at 8/15 for the match, and that's shorter than Paul McCartney's arms. Only Croatia have won a competitive international in Israel over the last eight years; while France, England and Spain have all fell considerably short. The Israelis are a must-bet at 9/5 to avoid defeat.

If I had the choice of a new power to acquire, it would definitely be the ability to afford copious amounts of alcohol without the need for employment. Only the rich and the Scottish can currently pull this off.

The Jocks are one win away from arguably the greatest shock in international football since Ryan Giggs played two consecutive games for Wales. The Sweaties are formidable in front of their own supporters; 10/3 is verging on tempting.

Peter Reid, Terry Venables and Ron Atkinson have all been linked with the vacant managerial hotseat with the Republic of Ireland. Even after 400 years; we never tire of stitching up the Irish.

Ireland may be rudderless, but they face a Welsh team with even less direction. Wales have definitely gone backwards under John 'one good decision' Toshack; his penultimate game in charge may well end in a draw at 9/4.

Many people are under the false impression that it was the English who invented the beautiful game. It's a little known fact that it was actually an Irishman whose potato was too hot. I think we all know that Denmark are too strong for Northern Ireland at 5/4.

For a modern day footballer, a healthy diet is absolutely essential - so I'm guessing that Sir Alex Ferguson is far from happy with Ronaldo. The orange winger is quoted as saying, "I dated a girl from Manchester, and she showed me that steak pies and chips are very good." I was left flabbergasted by this revelation: Ronaldo dated a girl. Portugal are the weekend banker at 1/12 against Armenia.

The more I think about it, the most useful super-power to possess would definitely be X-ray vision. Imagine the possibilities: you could wander around the streets at night, checking for fractured metatarsals. I can see right through the 1/2 for a Czech Republic win over Slovakia.

When angry, I am blessed with super-human strength. All it would take for me to lift the wife clear up into the air is mild provocation and a forklift truck. Spain will run over Sweden at a hefty 4/5.

As much as I enjoy being able to pick up overweight women, I'd much rather be invisible; like the 1939 - 1945 chapter in a German history book. We won't be seeing 1/6 for a Germany win over Cyprus for very long.

One often underrated power is the ability to absorb the strengths of those around you. I could meet up with Arsene Wenger and ooze intelligence, chat with Jeff Stelling and become cool, or sit down with Oliver Holt and write inane drivel. I'm definitely feeling the 5/4 for Norway against the soon to be eliminated Turks.

Time travel remains the ultimate goal for all sci-fi obsessed nerds. There's no doubt that the world could potentially be changed for the better: we could eliminate the cause of wars, famine, decease and Frank Lampard. Nothing can stop Denmark, Portugal, Czech Republic, Spain, Germany and Norway from landing an 11/1 accer.

Serie Betting - Week 4 Preview

Wed, 19 Sep 2007 22:53:30 +0000

This must have been an uncomfortable week for supporters of Juventus, as the Champions League kicked-off without them. Much like Bayern Munich, absence from Europe's biggest club competition is a bitter pill to swallow, but nothing in football is forever. The Old Lady's game at Roma on Sunday, could signal a changing of the guard in Italian football. Check PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better Asian Handicap prices on the game.

Unbeaten Roma Welcome the Old Lady to the Capital

Roma are out to prove that last season's second place finish and Coppa Italia win were no fluke. They have already defeated Inter Milan in the Italian Super Cup, won their opening Champions League group game, and are the only team in Serie A with a 100% record, and no goals conceded. That position will be severely tested with the visit of Juventus on Sunday. Coach, Luciano Spalletti, fielded his strongest eleven for Roma's midweek win over Dynamo Kiev, while Juve players should be fresh having had no European commitments.

After the euphoria of the return to Serie A and two opening victories, Juve were brought down to earth last week. Claudio Ranieri's side lost at home to Udinese, a result that illustrates how far they have to go to regain their former position among Italy and Europe's elite. As if the defeat wasn't bad enough, Ranieri lost midfielder Mauro Camoranesi with a muscle problem which could sideline him for several months. The Old Lady looked far less threatening after the Italian international's exit, and will need a much improved performance at the Stadio Olimpico, still missing Zebina and Boumsong in defence. PinnacleSports.com price them underdogs 2.35 (0/scratch & +0.5) with Roma attracting strong support 1.690 (0/scratch & -0.5).

Genoese Derby Returns After Twelve Year Absence

For the first time since 1995, Genoa and Sampdoria, will meet for a Genoese Derby at the Marassi, the stadium shared by the neighbouring clubs. The fixture reappears in the Serie A calendar after Genoa gained promotion behind Juventus and Napoli. Known as the Derby Della Lanterna (Derby of the Lantern) the game is a notoriously heated affair, for which form is likely to go out the window.

Genoa would love to record their first league win of the season in this fixture, having drawn twice and lost heavily at home to AC Milan. Sampdoria lost last week in Naples, their first away fixture, and second consecutive blank. They also have a home UEFA Cup fixture on Thursday, having already played four qualifying games to get to that stage. That means they have played twice as many games as Genoa, which can be interpreted in both a negative and positive light by bettors. PinnacleSports.com make Sampdoria slight favourites 1.877 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Genoa (0/scratch & +0.5).

Bundesliga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 25 Apr 2007 20:50:23 +0000

This season could be bringing about a changing of the guard in the Bundesliga, as it looks likely that for the first time in ten years Bayern Munich will not be representing Germany in the Champions League. Though this is a disaster for the club, it maintains diversity in one of the most egalitarian European leagues. Nothing of course will be decided until the Fat Frau sings, so there is plenty of exciting action over the four remaining weekends, with www.pinnaclesports.com providing excellent Bundesliga odds, up to 60% better than the opposition.

Schalke Edging Closer to Glory
VFL Bochum are a classic elevator side, bouncing between the top two German divisions in recent seasons. Currently positioned in 11th, the packed nature of the Bundesliga means that Marcel Koeller's side could still drop into the basement, and the prospect of playing the league leaders on Friday evening adds extra tension. Whether Bochum stay up or not Theofanis Gekas - who currently heads the Bundesliga scoring charts - is moving to Leverkusen. The Greek striker has however, pledged to do everything in his power to help the cause of his current employers. Bochum's biggest issue is consistency, winning 3-0 away last weekend, but losing 3-1 at home the previous week. Their last seven games have featured four wins and three defeats, producing 23 goals.

By contrast Schalke have been much steadier, reeling off a hat-trick of wins without conceding, and thereby maintaining their lead at the top of the table. Unfortunately for the Royal Blues, their nearest rival, Werder Bremen, is matching them win-for-win, so their lead is still only two points, making the game at the Rewirpwer Stadion another crucial encounter. Schalke won with home advantage last November, the fourth straight victory against Bochum, in games that produced an average of 3.25 goals. On that evidence www.pinnaclesports.com price Schalke favourites 1.820 (-0.5) with Bochum 2.120 (+0.5).

Munich Facing Champions League Absence
Last Saturday's defeat to Stuttgart could prove financially crippling for Bayern Munich, as they are now five points adrift of third spot and Champions League qualification. To stand any chance of closing the gap, Munich must win all their remaining games and hope Stuttgart badly slip-up. That process begins on Saturday with a game at the Allianz Arena against Hamburg. Having lost just once at home, this is a game that the title-holders are favourite to win with www.pinnaclesports.com 1.952 (-1).

HSV will however, be fighting to avoid being dragged into a relegation fight, as they have just a three point cushion from the drop-zone. Despite their proximity to the bottom clubs, Huub Stevens' side actually have the best away defence, conceding just 17 goals, the same number as leaders, Schalke. Their recent record is even more impressive; Hamburg have taken ten points from their last four road-trips, without conceding a single goal. Nevertheless, www.pinnaclesports.com has them as under-dogs priced 1.971 (+1).

Time Running Out for Doomed Gladbach
If Borussia Monchengladbach are to avoid relegation the club must win all its four remaining fixtures, and hope that clubs above them suffer a collapse. The Foals' next challenge is at home to third placed Stuttgart, fresh from a confidence boosting win over Bayern Munich. Recent results do not suggest that Gladbach are capable of turning things around and confidence must be at rock-bottom, having scored just one goal in their last five games which produced only a single point. www.pinnaclesports.com have certainly priced them as under-dogs, despite home advantage and their fight for survival, 2.08 (+0.5 & +1).

As already stated, Stuttgart will be buzzing after beating Bayern Munich last weekend, in a game that could well have earned VFB Champions League football for next term. Stuttgart are enjoying one of their best season's for some time, having recently earned a place in the DFB Cup final, but their season could yet end in disappointment should they lose focus, or the goals dry up. Stuttgart have scored 12 goals over a five game winning streak, and that is enough to lead www.pinnaclesports.com to price them 1.855 (-0.5 & -1).

Bundesliga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 18 Apr 2007 23:14:23 +0000

With only five fixtures left in the German Bundesliga Schalke are clinging on to top spot, and leading online sportsbook, www.pinnaclesports.com , have clipped the Royal Blues down to 2.04 to win their first title since 1958. However, Pinnacle still feel it more likely that 04 will fail, pricing any other team for success at 1.840. If you are more interested in match-betting www.pinnaclesports.com offer up to 60% better Asian Handicap odds on all remaining fixtures.

Bayern Munich & Stuttgart Fight for Champions League Rights
Bayern Munich face what could be a critical game in the club's history on Saturday. Having been dumped out of this season's Champions League they face a battle to qualify for next season. Currently in fourth position in the Bundesliga, Munich travel to Stuttgart's Gotlieb Daimler Stadion looking to leap-frog VFB into the third Champions League spot. FCB have competed in ten successive Champions League competitions so failure to qualify for next season would signify the end of an era, and bring significant financial consequences. Pope Benedict XVI is a fan of the club, so could well be praying for a fourth straight league win.

Stuttgart have tasted Champions League football once before in 2004, and will be desperate to get back among Europe's elites. It would be even sweeter to achieve that at the expense of Germany's biggest football institution. Die Schwaben made a terrible start to the campaign losing their opening two home games, but since then have been unbeaten in front of their own fans, a 13 game sequence, which has also taken them to the semi-finals of the German Cup. Stuttgart's excellent form might help the club reverse a poor trend against Bayern Munich, having won just one of the seven previous encounters, and they will be without left back Arthur Boka, suspended for the remainder of the season. That trend may have swayed www.pinnaclesports.com to make Munich slight favourites 2.140 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Stuttgart 1.806 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Royal Blues Look to Keep Challengers at Bay
Schalke have responded well to their defeat at the Allianz Arena on the last day of March, by winning the next two Bundesliga fixtures without conceding and finding the net five times. Kevin Kuranyi and Gerald Asamoah have found the net in both games, while Brazilian midfielder, Lincoln, completed a 3-0 rout away to Mainz last weekend that maintained the Royal Blues' two point lead at the top of the league.

Mirko Slomka's side now have a home game against Energie Cottbus, who have climbed to mid-table on the back of an excellent run. Cottbus have won five of their last seven games, scoring six times in their last two outings. Sergio Radu opened the scoring in both those successes and has now scored 12 league goals. Though Energie only have an outside chance of a UEFA Cup place, in their current form they will be a handful for Schalke. Nevertheless www.pinnaclesports.com make Schalke strong favourites, 1.952 (-1.5) with Energie Cottbus 1.971 (+1.5).

Werder Expecting Battle From Struggling Aachen
Should Schalke slip up, Werder Bremen could move to top of the Bundesliga with a win at home to Alemania Aachen. It's good news for Bremen that Miroslav Klose looks to be coming into form at just the right time. Klose followed a double in the UEFA Cup by scoring his first Bundesliga goal for eight matches, in last weekend's win at Dortmund. On the down side, Tim Borowski's comeback was very short-lived, and he is joined on the injury list by defender, Patrick Owomoyela.

Bremen are favourites with www.pinnaclesports.com for Friday's game 1.870 (-1.5) with Aachen 2.06 (+1.5), but will expect a bruising. The Potato-Beetles received six yellow cards and a red in last week's 1-0 lose at Nurnberg, which might be a show of desperation as it completed a hat-trick of defeats. The side are just three points above the drop with a worse goal difference than the two sides below them.

Serie A preview from PinnacleSports.com

Thu, 12 Apr 2007 21:52:44 +0000

Roma's record Champions League defeat at the Theatre of Dreams suggests that Serie A is well below the Premiership in European soccer's pecking order. Certainly it has been a topsy-turvy season in the Italian top-flight, with Inter building a commanding lead, but there are still plenty of quality sides looking to restore Italian pride in next season's continental competitions. www.pinnaclesports.com will be offering c.102% Asian Handicap pricing for each of the remaining weeks of fixtures.

Inter Poised to Sink Palermo's Champions League Hopes
By Inter Milan's exceptionally high standards, last weekend's draw at Reggina was a disappointing result. It was the first time since last October that Roberto Mancini's side failed to score, but that failure was mitigated by absence of Patrick Vieira, Brazilian Maxwell, Dejan Stankovic and Zlatan Ibrahimovic. With the likely return of several of those stars Inter will be close to full strength for their home game against struggling Palermo on Sunday.

The Sicilians defeat at home to Cagliari extended their winless run to nine games, and brought them closer to the chasing pack, desperate to take the fourth Champions League spot. The Aquile (Eagles) were surprise Serie A leaders, but they have clearly lost the winning thread, and the San Siro is unlikely to be the place to regain it. www.pinnaclesports.com price the Nerazzurri
1.935 (-1) with Palermo 1.990 (+1).

Roma Need Positive Reaction After Record Defeat
Roma captain, Francesco Totti, summed up the disappointment of the 7-1 defeat at Old Trafford, by saying 'It was the saddest night of my career'. The question that defeat now raises is whether the Giallorossi can bounce back. With most of their key players rested, Roma recorded their first away victory in eight games at Catania's temporary venue last weekend. If those that failed against Manchester United can pick themselves up, they have an opportunity to consolidate second position in Serie A with the visit of Sampdoria this Sunday.

With Roma and Inter Milan destined to qualify automatically for the Champions League while also contesting the Coppa Italia, the seventh placed side in Serie A will gain entry into next season's UEFA Cup. Samp are currently in eighth position just two points away from that possibility, so they have every reason to try to capitalise on Roma's Champions League hang-over. Four of the last six meetings of the clubs have ended in a draw, so Sampdoria could be interesting on www.pinnaclesports.com 's Asian Handicap 1.746 (+1) with Roma favoured 2.240 (+1).

Lazio Looking to Continue Late Season Charge
Lazio's late-season charge looks to have earned them a return to the Champions League, but they can draw closer to making that a certainty by beating the division's bottom club, Ascoli. The Roman club have made light of their Calciopoli punishments, and are looking to record a ninth straight victory, and remain unbeaten in 15 Serie A fixtures. The Biancocelesti are one of Serie A's most potent attacking forces, scoring 11 goals in their last four games.

Despite benefiting from the punishments issued to four other Serie A sides, Ascoli are the side at the bottom of the stack. Two recent heavy defeats - 4-0 at Fiorentina and 4-1 at Empoli - seemed to have ended any hopes that the Woodpeckers can beat the drop. They are now five points adrift of Messina, and braced for the visit of Lazio, who have the best away record after Inter Milan. www.pinnaclesports.com price Lazio favourites 2.09 (-1 & 1.5) with Ascoli 1.847 (+1 & +1.5).

Serie A preview from PinnacleSports.com

Fri, 06 Apr 2007 15:15:15 +0000

Nerazzurri Looking to Close Out Title
Inter are not quite at the stage of making a mathematical certainty of the Serie A title, but they can take another big step toward completing the job when they visit Calabria for their game against Reggina. It has been a season of upheaval in Italian football, and while the focus has been on the punishments to the giants of Serie A, Juventus and AC Milan, they weren't the only clubs to suffer. Reggina received an 11 point handicap for their part in Calciopoli, which has left them struggling for survival. In a normal season their results would have given them 36 points, putting them in with a shout of a UEFA Cup spot, instead they are one place above relegation, facing a tough home game against the run-away leaders.

The Amaranto (Dark Reds) have only spent one season out of Italy's top division since 1999, playing Internazionale at the Stadio Oreste Granillo seven times, registering just a single win over that sequence. Reggina have actually failed to score in the last six meetings between the clubs (home & away) and last season lost this fixture 4-0. Given their perilous situation, Reggina will however, be expected to put up a fight and www.pinnaclesports.com price Inter Milan split ball favourites on the Asian Handicap 2.110 (-0.5 & -1.0) with the Calabrians 1.826 (+0.5 & +1.0).

Lazio Looking to Extend Winning Streak to Eight
Lazio were another club to be implicated in Italy's soccer scandal, but the club escaped with a relatively light punishment (deducted 3 points) but their UEFA Cup ban hit harder. The Biancocelesti are set to make up for that disappointment as they currently occupy the third Champions League spot, courtesy of a seven game winning streak, in which they have scored 18 goals. On that basis they are certainly one of Italy's form sides, and www.pinnaclesports.com make them favourites for Saturday's home game against struggling Messina.

Messina were one of the beneficiaries of the match-fixing scandal, despite being mathematically relegated last season, they retained their Serie A status for the third consecutive season. The reprieve could be short-lived as the Sicilain club have nonetheless been in turmoil, changing manager three times. The most recent sacking took place this week, after defeat to Cagliari, when Alberto Cavasin was dismissed, and Bruno Giordano - who was actually in charge at the start of the season - reappointed. Messina are without an away win all season, so unsurprisingly www.pinnaclesports.com has them as under-dogs on the Asian Handicap 2.29 (+1 & +1.5) with Lazio 1.719 (-1 & -1.5).

Milan & Empoli Fight for Champions League Rights
Empoli is a small Tuscan town with a population of just 45,000 people, so it is something of an achievement for their football team to be challenging for a Champions League place spot, which could be at the expense of AC Milan who they play on Saturday evening. Empoli are currently fifth in Serie A, with the Rossoneri in sixth trailing them by just a point. The success of Luigi Cagni's side has been built on home form, whereas on the road they are inconsistent. They have won just four away games this season, and have a bad record against Milan at the San Siro, losing on four of their five league visits.

Though qualification for next season's Champions League is crucial, AC Milan are distracted by their continued involvement in the competition this year. Though Carlo Ancelotti feels his side are capable of qualifying for next year's Champions League by winning the competition, he must ensure Milan make it by virtue of their league position. The purchase of Ronaldo in January's transfer window has added some much needed fire-power to the club. The Brazilian is ineligible for Europe, so instead he has been following a rigorous fitness programme, which is paying dividends. Milan are unbeaten in their last nine home games, and www.pinnaclesports.com make them favourites for this important clash, 1.935 (-1), with Empoli 1.990 (+1).

Pinnacle La Liga Preview

Thu, 29 Mar 2007 17:35:47 +0000

Barca Hoping to Take Advantage of Depor's Away Day Blues
Comfortable in mid-table, courtesy of reliable home form, La Coruna's season is all about their Copa del Ray semi-final against Sevilla, which should they pass could mean a final against Barcelona. The sides drew 1-1 at the Riazor earlier this season, but given that Depor have won just twice away from home all season, and Frank Rijkaard's team are unbeaten at home, the bare form suggests a Barca win. Deportivo are however, better than that away record suggests. Their two away wins both came in February, and they have lost just once in seven road trips, while keeping clean sheets in five of their last eight games (home & away).

Barcelona's exit from the Champion's League rocked the club, which was already unsteady from rumours of internal friction. Recent key La Liga results have also been disappointing, including defeats by Sevilla and Valencia, along with a crazy 3-3 draw in El Classico with Real Madrid. Rijkaard will be looking for a return to form in this home tie, but judging on recent meetings Depor are unlikely to lie-down though they are without top-scorer Javier Arizmendu, who is suspended. www.pinnaclesports.com price Barcelona 2.05 (-1.5) with Deportivo La Coruna 1.885 (+1.5) but in the last 15 meetings Deportivo have the advantage having won seven times against Barca's six. Though the Catalans have won the last two meetings with home advantage, the victories were both by a single goal, and you have to go back to 1999 for the last occasion Barcelona would have covered Pinnacle's handicap in this particular fixture.

Success or Adios for Capello
Real Madrid are currently five points behind Sevilla and Barcelona, and unless coach, Fabio Capello, can galvanise his side to overhaul that gap by the end of the season, he is unlikely to be in charge next season. There has been continued speculation surrounding the Italian's future, but that is nothing new for Real Madrid, where success is demanded not expected. This pressure may explain why Los Blancos have picked up more points on the road, and also have a better scoring record away from the expectations of the Bernabeu. Madrid have another opportunity to add to their away tally when they visit struggling Celta Vigo, who have the worst home record in La Liga.

Vigo have won just one game at home this season, and given their woeful form at the Balaidos, it is no surprise that the Celtinas are in a relegation battle, just one point above the relegation zone. Coach, Fernando Vazquez, will take some comfort from the 2-1 win in the reverse fixture, but www.pinnaclesports.com see Madrid as favourites, 2.05 (-0.5) with Celta Vigo 1.885 (+0.5).

Sevilla Have Score to Settle with Osasuna
Sevilla's season is entering a critical stage, with the club chasing realistic chances in three competitions. Coach, Juande Ramos, could be forgiven for thinking that luck is smiling on his side, after a header from goalkeeper, Andres Palop, kept alive their defence of the UEFA Cup. With such success however, comes the problems of fixture congestion, added to which Ramos will hope that his multi-national squad return safely from recent overseas duty.

Apart from the motivation of attempting to win La Liga, Sevilla have revenge on their mind. These clubs finished last season on the same number of points, but Osasuna grabbed the vital fourth place (allowing Champions League qualification) because of their head-to-head record with Sevilla. Osasuna failed to reach the group phase, but are still in the UEFA Cup, where these clubs could yet meet. In any case the game at the Sanchez Pizjuan stadium, looks likely to be a low scoring affair. Though Sevilla have an unrivalled home record, on the road they are less secure, failing to score in four of their last five away league fixtures, while Osasuna have notched up just one goal in their last four at home. In reaction to these sides' poor goal-scoring form and the expected tension, www.pinnaclesports.com have set the goals total at two, with the Over pegged at 1.769, and Under 2.20.

Bet365 Preview

Wed, 21 Mar 2007 19:25:25 +0000

ISRAEL V ENGLAND – IGNORE THE PATRIOTIC PUNT?

England are in desperate need of a win going into their Euro 2008 qualification game against Israel this weekend, but should we be having a patriotic punt on the boys at bet365's 5/6?

Well, first the good news. Wayne Rooney (9/2 first goalscorer with bet365) is fully fit and Owen Hargreaves (5/1 to score anytime) is ready for his first competitive game under the new boss. Both missed the defeat against Spain the last time England played so, with them back in the side, England certainly have the capability to take all three points.

However, given England’s poor results recently, there are surely better bets elsewhere, and their opponents should not be under-estimated. Israel impressed during World Cup qualification, in which they went unbeaten and only missed out on the finals on goal difference, and they would be on a 14-match unbeaten run but for an unfortunate 3-4 home loss to Croatia back in November. The Israeli defence looked all at sea that day, but the Croatians are full of goals - 15 in their last four games – and that certainly can’t be said of England right now. In fact, you could make a strong case for a home win at 7/2, but we’ll settle for the draw at a tasty 9/4 with bet365.

With an England win heavily favoured in the bet365 correct score market, there’s some terrific value here too. The Israelis have several attacking players in their line-up, so you can virtually count on them creating chances against England - they’ve blanked only once in their last 19 games – so the 11/2 on offer for a 1-1 stalemate represents value, but a 2-2 draw at 14/1 is no forlorn hope either.

Even better, as this game is one of bet365's ‘Big Matches’ this weekend, you could even be placing your correct score bets for free. Have a winning correct score bet in the preceding ‘Big Match’, Republic of Ireland v Wales (kick off 3.00pm), and bet365 will give you a free bet to the same stake on the England game. If this is a winner too, have another free bet, and so on. The match kicks off at 6.30pm UK time and bet365 will be betting in-play throughout on up to 30 markets.

Pinnacle Picks

Wed, 07 Feb 2007 21:56:35 +0000

Last weekend Manchester United maintained their six point lead over an improving Chelsea, with an impressive 4-0 romp at White Hart Lane. That situation is unlikely to change with the Premiership schedule handing both sides comfortable home ties on Saturday. The fixed odds for United's home game with Charlton, and Boro's visit to Stamford Bridge will be prohibitively short, but both games are perfect prospects for Asian Handicap betting, where www.pinnaclesports.com is the industry leader, offering 60% better odds than traditional bookies.

Rooney's Absence Only Ray of Hope for Struggling Charlton
Alan Pardew has been encouraged by the recent improvement in Charlton's form, and the attitude his squad have adopted in the face of the threat of relegation. The ex-Hammers' boss is up against it however, as Saturday's visit to Old Trafford follows hot on the heels of the visit of Chelsea to the Valley, which ended in defeat for Charlton.

Their were plenty of positives to take out of the narrow 1-0 loss to the Champions, but the Addicks record at the Theatre of Dreams strongly suggests that punters may only profit with the aid of an Asian Handicap. www.pinnaclesports.com are offering the Londoners 1.952 (+2) with the Premiership leaders 1.971 (-2), but bettors must bear in mind that Charlton have lost nine straight encounters with the Red Devils, conceding an average of three goals per game. The only ray of light for the visitors is the absence of Wayne Rooney through suspension.

Chelsea Must Keep Pressure on United
Chelsea's win at the Valley last Saturday was important not only for keeping the pressure on United, but for John Terry's brief involvement (from the 88th minute) and the equally significant show of solidarity between players and manager after the final whistle. Despite rumours of conflict between Mourinho and Abramovich, it appears the Special One still has the crucial support of the dressing room.

The Champions return to their home fortress this weekend as they welcome Gareth Southgate's Middlesbrough. www.pinnaclesports.com rate Boro 1.901 (+1.5) which seems generous considering the Teessiders have won the last two meetings of the clubs. However, both victories were with home advantage, and their record at Stamford Bridge is far less encouraging. Boro have failed to score in their last five visits to the Bridge, so given Chelsea's understandable motivation, www.pinnaclesports.com have the Londoners 2.03 (-1.5).

Crucial Relegation Battle at Upton Park
Saturday's clash between West Ham and Watford at Upton Park is probably the first relegation six-pointer of the season. No-one can reasonably dispute that both clubs are in peril of the drop, so with the price on survival conservatively estimated to be GBP30million, this game assumes mammoth importance. The Hammers are five points above Watford but having played a game more, that gap could quickly evaporate should the Hornets repeat the comfortable 1-0 win achieved in FA Cup dress rehearsal two weeks ago.

Since then Alan Curbishley has drafted in reinforcements, but GBP6million signing, Matthew Upson, lasted just 30 minutes of his debut, and was forced to watch as his new side failed to win for their ninth successive Premiership game. He remains crocked, but Lucas Neill, Anton Ferdinand and Carlos Tevez are all available for a game where West Ham's big players must show their desire to keep the club up. Despite their dire form www.pinnaclesports.com still has West Ham as slight favourites 1.833 (-0.5) and Watford 2.100 (+0.5).

Improving Wigan Still Not Safe
Last Saturday Wigan ended an atrocious nine game losing week by beating Portsmouth at the JJB, giving them a little breathing space from the bottom three. However, defeat at the Emirates Stadium will put the pressure back on, and Paul Jewell is well aware that Arsenal remain unbeaten at home. The 'Latics have conceded twelve goals in their last four failed away trips, so www.pinnaclesports.com have taken no chances for Sunday's game at Arsenal. The Gunners, unbeaten in nine games are favourites 1.893 (-1.5), with the struggling visitors 2.04 (+1.5). Wigan played twice away to Arsenal last season losing 4-2 in the league and 2-1 in the Carling Cup.

60% better odds at www.pinnaclesports.com !

Pinnacle Picks

Thu, 01 Feb 2007 00:18:36 +0000

With the transfer window now firmly shut, we are entering the business end of the Premiership season. Expect plenty of drama as clubs at both ends of the table start to feel the pressure, but rely on www.pinnaclesports.com to provide the best Asian Handicap prices, up to 60% better than the opposition.

Liverpool Out For Derby Revenge After Goodison Mauling
When Liverpool and Everton met earlier in the season, the Red half of Merseyside were left in mourning, as they slumped to a 3-0 defeat, their worst Derby loss in 42 years. Hopes should be higher for the Pool ahead of the 205th meeting of the clubs, who boast the best home record in the Premiership. The midweek 2-1 win over West Ham was their fifth straight league win, and ninth in ten recent games. That kind of form, and the understandable desire for revenge, have led www.pinnaclesports.com to price Liverpool favourites 1.98 (-1), with Everton 1.943 (+1).

Hopes of a Derby double for Everton - the first since 1984/85 - have been dealt a blow by the ankle injury to top-scorer, Andy Johnson. Though midfield dynamo, Tim Cahill, has returned from a long lay-off, he is probably still short of full match fitness, so the Toffees' chances may rest on the ability of midfielder, Mikel Arteta, to influence the game. The Spaniard is the club's player-of-the-season, underlined when he scored both goals in the recent 2-0 win at Wigan.

Terry Ready to Lead Chelsea into the Valley
Alan Pardew has the opportunity for revenge over his former club, if he can muster an unlikely home win over the Champions, it could take Charlton above West Ham. However, that is a tall order given the Addicks home performances against the clubs currently either side of Chelsea. Both Liverpool and Man Utd left the Valley this season with a 3-0 win, and since Mourinho has been in charge Chelsea have won this fixture with a two game aggregate of 6-0.

There have so many false dawns surrounding John Terry's return to action that reports he will start this game should be treated with caution. If his name is on the team sheet, it is a big plus for those bettors looking to take advantage of www.pinnaclesports.com 's price 1.735 (-1). However, just as one key Chelsea defender recovers, another is sidelined, with Ashley Cole now facing a long lay-off. Uncertainty also hangs over the participation of a trio of Charlton's most influential players - captain Luke Young, top-scorer Darren Bent and midfield playmaker, Andy Reid. Their participation will greatly influence the attractiveness of www.pinnaclesports.com 's Asian Handicap price for Charlton of 2.26 (+1).

Riverside Remains Tough Venue for Premiership Elite
Though only in his first season as a manager, Gareth Southgate has already experienced the highs and lows in charge of Middlesbrough. Certainly it seemed unlikely he'd make it to Christmas on the evidence of the 4-0 home defeat by Portsmouth. To his credit Southgate has turned things around, and Boro are now unbeaten in seven games, and still in the hat for the fifth round of the FA Cup. The Riverside also remains a graveyard for the big clubs, with Chelsea and Bolton leaving empty-handed this term, and Liverpool managing just a 0-0 draw.

Arsenal visit on Saturday evening hoping to improve on last season's 2-1 defeat. Though the title is probably a forlorn hope for the Gunners, they must maintain the distance between themselves and fifth place Bolton, who would be only too happy to replace them in next season's Champions League. Most of Arsenal's big-guns were spectators for the midweek Carling Cup success, so should be fresh here and www.pinnaclesports.com rate the visitors favourites 1.84 (-0.5) with Boro 2.09 (+0.5).

Spurs Must Shake Off Carling Cup Blues
Manchester United maintained their distance from Chelsea with an effortless 4-0 win at home to Watford on Wednesday night. However, Sunday's assignment at White Hart Lane is much tougher, as Spurs have lost just three times there in the league. Tottenham do have to pick themselves up having lost out to Arsenal in midweek for a Carling Cup final appearance, but at least their dream of European glory is still alive. To guarantee participation on the continent next term too, Martin Jol's side will need to improve on their current league position of 10th.

For United's Michael Carrick, returning to his former club, this game has special resonance. The Geordie won no silverware in his time at Spurs, but his chances of Premiership winners' medal will be greatly boosted by three points here. Aside from Manchester United's form this season - losing just twice on the road - they have also won on their last five visits to The Lane, so understandably www.pinnaclesports.com have them as favourites 1.877 (-0.5) with the Londoners 2.05 (+0.5).

60% better odds at www.pinnaclesports.com !

Paddy Power Tip

Wed, 27 Sep 2006 21:10:45 +0000

by Paddy Power
Tottenham v Portsmouth

As soon as it's out there in the ether there's no going back, but I'll say it anyway, Portsmouth at 10/3 to beat a badly struggling Spurs? Bet of the weekend, I'd say. Of course Sod's Law dictates it'll end up a Tottenham romp but there's nothing beyond the world of jinxes and superstitions to offer any hard evidence for this.

Spurs have scored just twice in the league, both of which were against bottom side Sheff Utd, and when you can't put the ball into an empty net from 2 yards out you're really going to struggle. The 3-0 loss to Liverpool last week somewhat flattered the Anfield outfit but the way Spurs collapsed after that crazy minute when Jenas and Bellamy engineered to miss chances you'd expect Diego Forlan to put away, before Gonzalez slotted in Bellamy's rebound, was worrying. After that Jol's men looked short of confidence and ideas. The game was over at 1-0.

Unlike Bolton, Spurs aren't the type of side who can sit back and allow the opposition to come on to them, they need to put the opposition on the back foot. Portsmouth could feel a little unlucky to have lost the game on Monday after conceding their first of the season and then laying siege to Bolton's rear guard, but the Trotters are becoming masters of getting a lead then putting ten men behind the ball and seeing what you can do. To Portsmouth's credit they continued to pummel away and forced a number of good saves from Jaaskelainen and on the evidence of the season so far they shouldn't just beat Spurs this Sunday but should also be looking down the table at them come May.

Visit for the best prices

The Pick
Well, I think Spurs will win this. Man for man Spurs are the better side. Their luck has got to change sometime. Wait until the last minute though. Many people are tipping Pompy as the value bet of the weekend so the best price is going to be just before kick off.

ARE YOU BACKING KING HENRY TO REIGN SUPREME?

Tue, 25 Jul 2006 10:02:11 +0000

by Bet365
FRENCH STRIKER 5/2 WITH BET365 FOR GOLDEN BOOT
Andriy Shevchenko has arrived at Chelsea with an impressive scoring record but bet365 make him only second favourite at 9/2 to win the Premiership Golden Boot.

The honour of favourite falls to Thierry Henry who will have his supporters at 5/2 after scoring three goals during the World Cup.

Wayne Rooney is next in the bet365 market at 8/1 to plunder the most goals with team-mate Van Nistelrooy at 10/1. Chelsea's Didier Drogba is next at 16/1, while bet365 make Peter Crouch the same price to rule the roost.

However, it could be Crouch's Liverpool team-mate Craig Bellamy who is the value bet at 20/1 with bet365. The Welshman can cause defences havoc and, providing he stays clear of injury, should be in the frame by the end of the season.

Bet365 are offering generous each-way terms of 1/4 the odds for the first 4 positions on this market.

Gerry's Picks

Tue, 11 Apr 2006 18:57:04 +0000

By Gerry McDonnell
The pair of the Drog

The press boys have had a field day reporting on Wayne Rooney's gambling losses this week, it's easy for them to pontificate about betting responsibly, but I refuse to condemn the big lad, I too have wasted money on an old dog or two.

Rooney's problems are insignificant compared to mine though, the wife is on the warpath after she overheard a private telephone conversation where I was discussing the importance of Fabregas to the future of Arsenal, she thinks i have a problem with Cesc chat lines. That's only partly true.

Jose Mourinho is also a worried man, he was right to voice his concerns about bird flu; there could well be a foul related epidemic at the Reebok. Bolton are having a disappointing end to the season; after four successive defeats, big Sam will have his boys fired up for this one. The Champions are a confident call at 4/7, an in form Drogba is worth a small tinkle at 11/2 to bag a brace.

An excellent betting opportunity has presented itself in the Blackburn v Liverpool match. The deadline has now passed for accumulated bookings to lead to a suspension; as a result, Robbie Savage's nine previous yellows can be disregarded. The blonde bombshell has been given a license to roam free in front of the TV cameras; the 7/4 on offer for a Savage booking is worth snapping up. Both Blackburn and Liverpool head into the game in great form, the draw's the call at 11/5.

When the Villa won at Birmingham earlier in the season, the home supporters were far from enamoured with David O'Leary as he ran across the pitch to gesticulate towards a pensioner. This fixture is always tasty, but with Birmingham's Premiership status and O'Leary's managerial career on the line, more fireworks are expected. The draw's a good call at 2/1, a goalless draw is a great call at 13/2, but a sending off at 5/2 is the piece de resistance.

Man City don't enjoy their trips to Upton Park, and not because of the supposed jellied eel eating, market stall trading, non washing machine owning locals that the BBC believe inhabit the area, but because they've never won there in the Premiership, and on four of the five trips, they've been absolutely shoed.

The footballer of the year awards have been dominated by the usual suspects, poor old Yossi Benayoun didn't even get a look in. The Israeli playmaker has a lot in common with Paolo Di Canio; he's not a referee pushing, scissor kicking, fascist sympathising Italian, but they can both change a game with a moment of brilliance. Yossi holds the key to a Hammers victory, get on at 11/10.

Pompey are the weekend nap at home to Middlesbrough. Their recent form has been superb and Boro have one eye on the UEFA Cup and the other on the FA Cup, the 10/11 on the table should be snapped up. The back flipping, goal scoring, non Toon performing phenomenon that is Lua Lua looks the man to do the damage; he's 5/1 to open the scoring.

The weekend specials:

"Gud, old boy" - Eidur Gudjohnsen to score at any time 7/4
"Luke warm" - Luke Moore to score two or more goals 8/1
"Good Friday" - Sunderland to score one goal or more 11/10
"Good pie day" - Wayne Rooney to score two or more goals 7/2
"The steaks are high" - Wayne Rooney to score with a header 7/2

Quote of the week:

"The only people we've not laid are Roger de Courcy and Nookie Bear, and by the time Freddie Shepherd makes up his mind we'll probably have seen some money for them too."

Ladbrokes spokesman Robin Hutchison edges out Jose Mourinho's bird flu quip.

Stat, you're a liberty:

The most successful team in the tackle this season is...Sunderland. The Mackem players have won 74% of their challenges.

Acc of the week:

If you put Fulham, Newcastle, Portsmouth and West Ham together in an accer, you end up with a Channel 4 game show; only this 15/1 appeals.

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Weekend Betting:

Man Utd v Sunderland Friday 14th April 19.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Man Utd 1/10
Draw 11/2
Sunderland 20/1

Get on: Man Utd

Man U have won their previous nine league matches; Sunderland are truly diabolical.
Match Special:
Rooney to score a hat-trick 14/1

Bolton v Chelsea Saturday 15th April 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Bolton 4/1
Draw 13/5
Chelsea 4/7

Get on: Chelsea

Bolton have lost their last four; Chelsea have earned seven points out of nine. Frank Lampard has scored four goals in his last two appearances against big Sam's battlers.
Match Special:
Lampard to score at any time 6/4

Arsenal v West Brom Saturday 15th April 15.00

Arsenal 1/5
Draw 9/2
West Brom 9/1

Get on: Arsenal

Arsenal have won their last four at Highbury; the Baggies have took 2 points out of a possible 24.
Match Special:
Arsenal to score a penalty 6/1

Everton v Tottenham Saturday 15th April 15.00

Everton 6/4
Draw 11/5
Tottenham 6/4

Get on: Draw

Everton have only lost one in six; it's three wins out of four for the Spurs.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Fulham v Charlton Saturday 15th April 15.00

Fulham 6/5
Draw 9/4
Charlton 9/5

Get on: Fulham

Fulham have won five of their last seven at the Cottage; Charlton have drew a blank in four of their last five on the road.
Match Special:
McBride to score with a header 6/1

Newcastle v Wigan Saturday 15th April 15.00

Newcastle 5/6
Draw 9/4
Wigan 11/4

Get on: Newcastle

Newcastle have won their last two; Wigan are winless in three. The Latics have beaten the Geordies twice this season, a third is unlikely.
Match Special:
Solano to score direct from a free kick 14/1

Portsmouth v Middlesbrough Saturday 15th April 15.00

Portsmouth 10/11
Draw 12/5
Middlesbrough 12/5

Get on: Portsmouth

Pompey are unbeaten in five; Boro have lost four of their last six on the road. Middlesbrough have never beaten Portsmouth in the Premiership and their focus is on the Cups. Nap bet material.
Match Special:
Portsmouth to score three or more goals 7/2

West Ham v Man City Saturday 15th April 15.00

West Ham 11/10
Draw 9/4
Man City 2/1

Get on: West Ham

The Hammers have hosted City on five previous occasions in the Premiership; they've scored 14 goals and took 13 of the 15 points. Chelsea and an on fire Pompey are the only visitors to leave Upton Park with three points this year; City have lost five on the bounce.
Match Special:
Benayoun to score at any time 3/1

Aston Villa v Birmingham Sunday 16th April 12.00 Live on Sky

Aston Villa 5/4
Draw 2/1
Birmingham 2/1

Get on: Draw

Villa have drew two of their last three matches, Birmingham have also drawn two out of three. Defeat is unacceptable for both teams; it's rare to find such an obvious contender for a goalless draw.
Match Special:
No goal scorer in the match 13/2

Blackburn v Liverpool Sunday 16th April 14.30 Live on Sky

Blackburn 13/8
Draw 11/5
Liverpool 11/8

Get on: Draw

Blackburn are unbeaten at home this year and that run includes wins against Man U and Arsenal. The Pool are also in top form, they've won their last six, impressively. There have been four goals or more in this fixture on the last four occasions that Liverpool have travelled; a high scoring draw appeals.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Grand National Special Picks

Wed, 05 Apr 2006 22:34:27 +0000

by Nigel Ridgeway
HORSE RACING
***********

GRAND NATIONAL HIGH FIVE FOR bet365
If recent money at bet365 is anything to go then the 2006 Grand National result will read, Clan Royal first, Garvivonnian second. The latter has been well-backed all week and is now 16/1 from 20/1, while Jonjo O'Neil's runner looks sure to go off favourite - currently 5/1 joint with Hedgehunter. Garvivonnian landed the Becher Chase back in November, the form of which amounts to little, but at least it shows he can handle the National fences. His latest run behind Forget The Past has been franked by the winners' run in the Gold Cup, and he must have sound each way prospects, especially as we're paying out down to five places here at bet365.

bet365 - each way ¼ odds, 1.2.3.4.5 on the Grand National!

5/1 ROYAL - THIRD TIME LUCKY ?
As for Clan Royal, it could be a case of third time lucky in the National for the eleven-year-old, but he now looks very short in the betting considering his tendency to pull hard in his races. Besides, it's debatable whether he would have beaten impressive winner Hedgehunter last year if he hadn't been carried out by a loose horse, so there has to be better value further down the bet365 betting list.

BOTTOM WEIGHTS ARE BEST
At this stage, with a maximum field of 40, there are still doubts over whether several fancied horses will get a run. Still, we can back our selections with confidence here at bet365, as we're non-runner no bet on the big race - why go anywhere else for your National bets! Although the race is attracting more quality horses these days, the race traditionally favours horses carrying less than 11 stone (bet365 go 3/1 that the winner carries 11st or above), and the two that stand out near the bottom of the weights are Direct Access (25/1) and Ross Comm (20/1).

The former was last seen when winning the Rehearsal Chase back in December (jumped well), but has a great record fresh and a Grand National winning jockey to boot in Tony Dobbin. He looks sure to run well, while the Sue Smith-trained Ross Comm must also come into the reckoning after bouncing back to form last time out over a barely adequate 2m 4f at Bangor. The gelding was also travelling sweetly when falling at the 16th in the Hennessey in November, and will have the services of the talented Dominic Elsworth in the saddle, who rode a winner for the in-form stable at Kelso on Monday.

Grand National Picks:

Garvivonnian @ 16/1
Ross Comm @ 20/1
Direct Access @ 25/1

GINGER 20/1 FOR NATIONAL GRAND FINALE
As well as offering outstanding each way terms on the big race (1/4 odds, 1.2.3.4.5, worth repeating!), bet365 have also wasted no time in pricing up a whole gamut of 'Race Specials'. They were originally 3/1 that there would be a fifth Irish-trained winner of the race in eight years, but that's been now been cut to 2/1 (still a decent shout when you consider what they've got running!), but you can still have 20/1 about the soon-to-be-retiring Aintree legend Ginger McCain training a fifth National winner. His best shot looks to be the recently acquired Inca Trail who could surprise a few people by running well at the current bet365 price of 50/1. In the same market, the seven-strong Paul Nicholls is a 4/1 shot to train the winner, while you can have 6/1 that all the runners negotiate the first fence. Good luck.

Bet with bet365

Man Utd vs Tottenham

Wed, 19 Oct 2005 21:41:17 +0000

Man Utd (1.62) Draw (3.74) Tottenham (6.5)
Manchester United are struggling with injuries ahead of this match. Rooney may be back in the squad but Giggs is out from a fractured cheekbone. With the other injuries, Ferguson has just 13 senior players, two of which are goal keepers. Ronaldo is possibly facing a rape charge so his mind may be elsewhere. I watched the other day against Lille and they were any good. Even before Scholes got sent off, it never looked like they were going to score.

Tottenham, didn't haven't any midweek football so should be fresher. They've been playing well this year. I did think they were over rated but I have changed my mind. The other week they were 2-0 down against a high flying Charlton and managed to come back to win it 3-2. Last year Tottenham should have won this fixture. Roy Carroll was caught off his line with a 45 metre lob and went in, but the ref didn't give it.

The prices on Tottenham are shortening but are all still good value. Man U are there for the taking. The best bet I have found today is Tottenham draw no bet at bluesquare at 5.0. I've personally gone for the Asian Handicap, the line has generally changed from -1 to minus 0.75. However you can still get Tottenham +1 at 1.752 at Canbet. I prefer the safety of stakes being refunded if Man U win by a single goal.

Wales vs Azerbaijan

Sun, 09 Oct 2005 00:02:12 +0000

Wales (1.4) Draw (5.5) Azerbaijan (12)
Wales did well to beat Northern Ireland. They deserved to be 2-0 at half time. Giggs is playing at his best. The win would have done their confidence no end of good. Last time they two teams met it was a dull 1-1 draw. That was last year when Welsh football was in the doldrums. The Welsh team has improved much since then.

Azerbaijan aren't the best of teams. They don't score very often. They've only scored 1 goal so far and that was against Wales.

This is match I wasn't going to bother with. However, the odds have just been put up by Ladbrokes. They seem to have Wales over priced at 1.40. Thats not really worth it still. I had a look at the HT/FT and the 1.90 for that is more like it.

Scotland vs Belarus

Sun, 02 Oct 2005 17:26:54 +0000

Scotland (1.62) Draw (3.8) Belarus (7)


1.	Italy	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
2.	Norway	8	3	3	2	10:7	12
3.	Slovenia	8	3	3	2	10:9	12
4.	Scotland	8	2	4	2	6:6	10
5.	Belarus	8	1	4	3	11:13	7
6.	Moldova	8	1	2	5	4:13	5

Having a look at the group table, Scotland still have a slim chance of qualifying for the World Cup Final. They really need Norway to slip up. A win against Belarus is essential. Kenny Miller is on top form. He scored in the 1-1 draw with Italy and scored 2 in the away win against Norway.

Belarus have no realistichance of qualifying now. They lost their last 2 matches, 2-0 against Moldova and 4-1 to Italy. There have been reports from Arsenal star Alexander Hleb, that there is unrest in the Belarus camp.

I recommend the straight win for Scotland at 1.62 at Totalbet. Asian Handicap is -0.75 at about 1.8. Its a bit too low for me to bet interested in that. Scotland will win but probably just by a goal.

*I've actually put this in an accumulator. I've added the Republic of Ireland and some other dead certs to get the odds up to just above evens. I am regretting this slightly now. Ireland may not be the cert I was thinking.

Asian Handicap Accumulator.

Wed, 28 Sep 2005 22:28:23 +0000

Better than the National Lottery
Last weeks correct score lucky 15 came in nicely. That turned my £15 in to £59 after Newcastle and Bolton both won 1-0. I'm not going to bother this week with that bet. I can see quite a few draws this weekend.

So instead I am going for a 1000/1+ Asian Handicap accumulator. My £2.50 stake will return £2561.86 if it comes in. Its highly unlikely to pay out fully but theres a chance of getting some returns. I am sure between now and the end of the season I will have a lucky day and get all 10 right.

It's a lot easier than the 1X2 accumulator that the bookies push because there are only 2 outcomes. The chances of getting 10 correct with 2 outcomes randomly is 1024 to 1 whereas with 3 outcomes is 59049 to 1. Also with Asian Handicaps, a loss doesn't necessarily end your accumulator. With stakes returned for handicap draws, its possible to get paid out at say 50/1 if a couple of bets draw and one loses half.

	Event Date	Event	Selections	Odds	E/W Terms	Result
1	01/10/2005	Blackburn v West Brom (Asian Handicap)	Blackburn -0.5	1.875	None	To Run
2	01/10/2005	Charlton v Tottenham (Asian Handicap)	Charlton 0.0, -0.5	2.175	None	To Run
3	01/10/2005	Fulham v Man Utd (Asian Handicap)	Fulham +0.5, +1.0	1.925	None	To Run
4	01/10/2005	Portsmouth v Newcastle (Asian Handicap)	Newcastle 0.0, -0.5	2.05	None	To Run
5	01/10/2005	Sunderland v West Ham (Asian Handicap)	West Ham 0.0	2.075	None	To Run
6	02/10/2005	Man City v Everton (Asian Handicap)	Everton +0.5	1.975	None	To Run
7	02/10/2005	Wigan v Bolton (Asian Handicap)	Wigan 0.0	1.95	None	To Run
8	02/10/2005	Arsenal v Birmingham (Asian Handicap)	Birmingham +1.0, +1.5	2.075	None	To Run
9	02/10/2005	Aston Villa v Middlesbrough (Asian Handicap)	Aston Villa 0.0, -0.5	1.875	None	To Run
10	02/10/2005	Liverpool v Chelsea (Asian Handicap)	Chelsea 0.0, -0.5	2.05	None	To Run

Multiples

Bet Type	No of Bets	Unit Stake	Stake	To Win	Returns
Ten-Folds at Bet365	1	2.50	2.50	2561.86

Gerry's Picks

Tue, 20 Sep 2005 21:08:16 +0000

By Gerry McDonnell
A full archive can be found at www.holteenders.co.uk

The Good Book

The Premiership is universally touted as the greatest league in the World, yet the football played this season is comparable to sex between old people; exciting for the participants, but the neutral has no real interest.

Out of 54 matches played, we've already seen 8 goalless matches. There's a couple of 'Paint dryers' on the coupon this weekend, back 'No Goalscorer' in the Everton v Wigan and Middlesbrough v Sunderland matches, you'll be getting 8/1 about a 5/1 shot. The football will be dull, but making a tidy profit, now that's entertainment.

It's been a mixed week for Wayne Rooney, he won young player of the year, but then UEFA hit him with a two match ban for giving a referee the clap; shares in McDonalds have rocketed as a result. Expect Rooney to take his anger out on Blackburn, Man U are good things at 1/4.

Peter 'Higher than Kate Moss' Crouch is set for another difficult weekend. The Liverpool hitman was on the wrong end of an earful from Rio Ferdinand last week, and the ex Villan can expect another battle when he travels to Birmingham.

Liverpool are yet to win on the road, but as Birmingham have lost every match at home, the omens point to a hard fought away win. Get on the 'Pool at Evens to win the match thanks to a 'Crouch potato'. He'll chip in with the opener.

Manchester City hit the woodwork 5 times last week in a soul destroying 1-0 defeat to Bolton. Hitting the bar, then a post is nothing new; Jermaine Pennant came up with the idea last season. Man City will have more bad luck this weekend; Get on Newcastle to continue their winning ways at 11/10.

With goals hard to come by, finding a player to be booked may be somewhat easier; the following specials are available at Super Soccer.

'Book him, Danno' - Danny Mills to be booked 7/4
'Cruel, tubby kind' - Wayne Rooney to be booked 7/4
'Johnny be good' - John Terry to be booked 9/4
'All shook Up' - Matthew Upson to be booked 5/2
'Fresh Ginger' - Scholes to be booked 11/4
'Go for a Song' - Boumsong to be booked 3/1
'De Gaulle of him' - Robert Pires to be booked 10/3
'Cross with Silva' - Gilberto Silva to be booked 10/3
'Put the card before the horse' - Van Nistelrooy to be booked 10/3
'P.C. gone mad' - Peter Crouch to be booked 7/2
'Let's get Freddie to Rumble' - Ljungberg to be booked 7/2

Quote of the week:

'That fifth goal was not deserved.'
John Gorman, after Villa destroyed Wycombe 8-3.

Stat, you're a liberty:

Aston Villa have scored five goals this season, and all have been scored before the 11th minute.

Acc of the week:

Liverpool
Newcastle
Charlton
Arsenal
Bolton

The five-fold will pay over 28/1.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Liverpool Saturday 24th September 12.45 Live on PPV

Birmingham 5/2
Draw 2/1
Liverpool Evs

Get on: Liverpool

The European Champions are struggling to score goals, but they face a Birmingham side who are yet to earn a point at home. Away win. Match Special:
Liverpool to win 1-0 6/1

Chelsea v Aston Villa Saturday 24th September 15.00

Chelsea 2/9
Draw 4/1
Aston Villa 9/1

Get on: Chelsea

Chelsea have won this fixture 1-0 for the last two seasons. Judging on recent form, it'll either be 1-0 again, or 8-3 to the Villa. I'll pick the former. Match Special:
Chelsea to win 1-0 7/1

Everton v Wigan Saturday 24th September 15.00

Everton 8/11
Draw 9/4
Wigan 10/3

Get on: Draw

Everton are the only team in the League yet to score in front of their own fans, my cash will be on that stat continuing. Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 8/1

Man Utd v Blackburn Saturday 24th September 15.00

Man Utd 1/4
Draw 7/1
Blackburn 10/1

Get on: Man Utd

Van Nistelrooy has a cracking record of scoring the first goal in this fixture; there'll be no long face as he nets the opener in a convincing United victory. Match Special:
Van Nistelrooy to score the first goal 11/4

Newcastle v Man City Saturday 24th September 15.00

Newcastle 11/10
Draw 9/4
Man City 2/1

Get on: Newcastle

The Geordies have hit goal scoring form; Shearer has a great recent record against Man City, as has Michael Owen. Home win.
Match Special:
Shearer and Owen both to score 6/1

West Brom v Charlton Saturday 24th September 15.00

West Brom 13/8
Draw 11/5
Charlton 11/8

Get on: Charlton

Charlton have won 1-0 at the Hawthorns on their last three visits, another three points awaits.
Match Special:
Charlton to win 1-0 6/1

West Ham v Arsenal Saturday 24th September 15.00

West Ham 10/3
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 8/11

Get on: Arsenal

A tough game to call, the Hammers top the League in average goals scored per game, but Arsenal are showing glimpses of their previous greatness. The Gunners have came from behind to snatch a draw on their last two trips to Upton Park, they can go one better today. Match Special:
Arsenal to win from behind 8/1

Bolton v Portsmouth Saturday 24th September 17.15 Live on PPV

Bolton 8/11
Draw 9/4
Portsmouth 10/3

Get on: Bolton

Portsmouth have lost to Bolton in five of their last six meetings. Discontent is growing amongst the Pompey faithful, another defeat lies ahead.
Match Special:
Bolton to keep a clean sheet 11/10

Middlesbrough v Sunderland Sunday 25th September 16.00 Live on Sky

Middlesbrough 8/13
Draw 12/5
Sunderland 4/1

Get on: Draw

Boro are inconsistent, Sunderland are improving; another dull nil-nil.
Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 8/1

Tottenham v Fulham Monday 26th September 20.00 Live on Sky

Tottenham 8/15
Draw 12/5
Fulham 5/1

Get on: Fulham

If Grimsby knock you out of the Cup, it's safe to say you're not playing well. Fulham have won four of the last six meetings between the two; back Fulham to be singing in the Lane. Match Special:
Fulham to win 1-0 11/1

Hartlepool vs Swansea

Tue, 13 Sep 2005 22:03:34 +0000

Hartlepool (2.4) Draw (3.4) Swansea (2.75)
Not a league that I follow but a result popped up on the live score centre that made me interest. Last week, Swansea beat Bristol City 7-1. Looking at their form before then they'd won 3-1 and 5-2.

So midweek, I had them to beat MK Dons which they did 3-1. I'm going to have them again this weekend. They are on form and have no fresh injury worries.

I had a look at Harlepool and they are having an injury crisis. All their first choice strikers are out. They won their last match but that was thanks to 2 late goals and that was only their second win of the season.

I've gone for the draw no bet option at sportingodds. Odds are 2.05. Asian Handicap is set at +0.25 but odds are only 1.75. I can't see any reason why Swansea's good form isn't going to continue for this match.

Rangers vs FC Porto

Sat, 10 Sep 2005 23:55:49 +0000

Rangers (2.5) Draw (3.25) FC Porto (3.2)
I decided to have Porto on the Asian Handicap becasue of how bad their season has started. I read this interesting piece in the telegraph about rangers

Porto must be rubbing their hands with glee. Much has been made of the Portugese side being a mere shadow of the team which savoured UEFA Cup success under Jose Mourinho two years ago. However, on this evidence, any half decent side with their hands tied behind their backs would prove too much for Rangers, and if the Scottish champions don't polish up their act for tomorrow night's Champions League tie, then Porto will rip them apart. Full article here

If they can't beat other SPL teams what chance have they got against the team thats top of the Portugese League.

Asian Odds have dropped but you can still get 3.2 for Porto at betdirect and 3.25 for the draw at premierbet and make your own +0.25 Handicap by following the by sticking 58% on the away win and 42% on the draw. This gives odds of about 1.8 which is better than you'll get betting on the Asian Handicap. Porto straight 1X2 at 3.2 is worth while but I get put off by long odds (I prefer even money bets).

ENGLAND TO SLAY THE WELSH DRAGONS

Wed, 31 Aug 2005 00:27:50 +0000

by Nigel Ridgeway
Sat Sep 3 15.00 BST (SS1)
With no Premiership or Championship matches this weekend (or Ashes cricket for that matter!), the eyes of the nation will be on the Millennium Stadium where England are confidently expected to pick up the winning thread after the disaster against Denmark. They were well beaten in Copenhagen but don't let that put you off backing them to beat Wales at 2/5. It should be remembered that England have never lost a qualifier under Sven, including the 2-1 win over Wales at Old Trafford, while Wales have yet to win a single qualifier to date (winless in their last 12 competitive games). Take them to win by the corresponding correct score and, at the same time have a bet on Rooney to score first at 7/2 (Evens anytime) - the scorecast pays out a respectable 15/1. And remember, if he scores that last goal in the game instead, we'll give you your money back! Once the game goes live, we'll have live In-Play betting on 14 markets.

West Brom vs Birmingham

Wed, 24 Aug 2005 23:28:33 +0000

West Brom (2.38) Draw (3.25) Birmingham (3)
Birmingham were dreadful time midweek. They went down 3-0 to Middlesbrough. With Heskey injured they looked very weak up front. Birmingham sit near the bottom of the table with one point gained at Fulham on the first day. Heskey may be back for the match on Saturday. That'll help upfront but they still have problems at the back. They've conceded 5 in the last 2 games. Not a good statistic for them.

West Brom were hammered by Chelsea midweek. I'll not read too much in to that. The reigning champions were due to give someone a good beating sometime. It didn't help much Bryan Robson resting some of his first team. I can see his thinking behind it. They hadn't a prayer against Chelsea so why not rest player in preparation for this match?

Prior to that they had beaten Portsmouth 2-1 and drew 0-0 at Manchester City. Their form at the end of last season was exceptional. Bryan Robson has turned this team around very well. I will go for West Brom to win this match.

I was expecting the Asian Handicap to be -0.25 with odds of around evens. However bet365 are offering them with a 0 handicap. Odds are 1,75. Payout is less on this handicap but with this one you have full draw insurance.

Villarreal vs Everton, Wednesday 24th August

Sun, 21 Aug 2005 20:58:08 +0000

Villarreal (1.62) Draw (3.75) Everton (6)
Everton were very lucky on Sunday to get all 3 points from Bolton. They managed to score with their only shot on target. They defended well and hit Bolton on the counter. Somehow I don't think this will work against Villarreal. If they do that, the likes of Forlan, Riquelme and Figueroa will demolish them.

In the first game, Everton played well and should have maybe got a point from it. A draw would have given them some hope of getting in to the group stages of the Champions League but 2-1 is too big a mountain to climb. Everton are the 1-0 specialists, which won't get them though. Bent should be fit again but as the lone striker he's not going to get the support he needs to get goals.

I can't see Everton winning here or even getting a draw. Villarreal's home record is excellent. Only Deportivo managed a win there last season, whereas Champions Barcelona were beaten 3-0.

I don't like the 1X2 odds for this game. Fair but just a bit low for my liking. I am going to go for Villarreal to win to nil at Gamebookers. The price now is 2.25. Its dropped a bit since when I put mine on but its still value. If it drops any more though just bet on 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0. You get better odds for more or less the same bet (you don't win anything if they get hammered 7-0 though).

I've also gone for Inter Milan to keep a clean sheet against Shakhtar Donetsk which is just above the Villarreal match on the coupon. Inter won the away leg in the Ukraine 2-0 and should have no problems seeing off Shakhtar. Gone for the clean sheet option because there is a chance of the 0-0 here.

Liverpool vs Sunderland, Saturday 20 August

Thu, 18 Aug 2005 22:45:33 +0000

Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5.2) Sunderland (13.4)
Sunderland look like they are going to struggle this year. After the terrible performance last weekend they are odds on favourites to go down. They really should have beat a 10 man Charlton but ended up losing 3-1. For this game their on loan striker Liverpool striker Anthony Le Tallec is banned from playing. If they are going to score they'll have to rely on ex-Sheffield United striker, Andy Gray for their goals. He scored their goal against Charlton but it was much against the run of play.

Liverpool have an unchanged side from that which drew 0-0 at Middlesbrough . Liverpool had the better of the play and maybe should have won that one. Middlesbrough we reduced to 10 in the 76th minute. Liverpool pressed but just couldn't score against a Middlesbrough team with their backs to the wall. Hopefully Cisse will start rather than Morientes. I suppose the biggest factor is whether Gerrard plays well or not. If he's up for it Sunderland are going to get a good shoe in.

I am not too happy about the odds on offer here. 1.33 is what I'd expect for one of the big three at home. Liverpool have yet to prove themselves in the league. Asian Handicap is too high (-1.5). Gamebookers are offering 2.02 for Liverpool to win to nil. That's good enough for me. The only worry is that Liverpool have let some soft goals in the Champions League against weaker sides.

Everton vs Man Utd

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000

Everton (4.3) Draw (3.5) Man Utd (2.04)
I can see there being some early value in betting on Manchester United beating Everton.

It still baffles me how Everton managed to come 4th last season. They didn't have any players that had star status. All those 1-0 wins added up and some how they managed to hang on. It looks like they are losing their captain, Alan Stubbs and midfielder, Mikel Arteta. A few new signings (Kroldrup and maybe Bellamy) will strengthen the squd but I don't think its going to be a good season for the Toffess.

Manchester United, started and finished badly in the league last season. With all the talent up front I can't see how they failed to score in so many matches. They've signed Dutch keeper Van der Saar and Korean midfielder, Park. They should keep Rooney, Ferdinand and Ronaldo who I think were the best players last season. Van Nistelrooy, Saha and Smith look like leaving but that's no great loss really.

Man U lost this fixture last season in a 1-0 shock result. I can't see that happening again this season. Pinnacle Sports are offering 2.01.

7 May-15:00 Aston Villa v Man City 2.37 3.25 2.87

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000

Man City are an in form team. Stuart Pearce is doing an excellent job at Main Road and has just been named manager of the month. Unbeaten in 6, I can't see Villa spoiling the party.

Villa were comprehensively beaten last week by Tottenham 5-1. There's still a chance for Europe for Villa but with the way the fixtures are, I put Villa in the 'nothing to play for' category.

This is looking like a draw or an away win, so I'll for Man City +0.25 on the handicap. The price is 1.75.

Tottenham v Aston Villa - Sun May 01, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000

Tottenham (2.1), Draw (3.4), Aston Villa (4)
This looks like a tight game to me. I think it'll end up 1-0 to one team, probably Tottenham with the home advantage.

Tottenham L D D W D W
Villa D D W D W L
Recent form is identical, 1 loss, 2 wins a 3 draws. There is only one point between the 2 teams; both teams are vying for UEFA cup place.

I think unders is the bet for me at 1.75. The half time draw is also a good option (price is 2.2). Tottenham usually take a while to get going.

AC Milan v PSV

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:49:58 +0000

AC Milan (1.44), Draw (4), PSV (9.5)
I think the odds say it all. PSV have won the Casino Eredivisie but that's not the Serie A. AC Milan have just got too much class. They beat Parma 3-0 at the weekend. Their record so far in Champions League has been exceptional. The only team to beat them was Barcelona in the group stages.

The best PSV can hope for is a draw. They probably will just play for this and try to win the home leg. I can't see them keeping out Shevchenko and Crespo for 90 minutes though and scoring against Milan is nigh on impossible.

Milan to win to nil is my bet.

Norwich v Newcastle

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:39:26 +0000

Norwich (2.63), Newcastle (2.7), Draw (3.5)
I'll go for Norwich not to lose this one. Norwich should have beaten Palace at the weekend. 3-1 after the 53rd minute is should have been smooth sailing. Somehow they let victory slip. Newcastle have just been thrashed 4-1 by Sporting midweek and Man U beating them by the same score on Sunday. Newcastle have many problems behind the scenes which have distracted them this season. I think Norwich on the 0 Asian Handicap is a pretty safe bet.

FA Cup Semi Final Picks

Fri, 15 Apr 2011 16:11:40 +0000

16th - 17th April 2011
16th April 2011

Manchester City (4) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.1)
City were inept against Liverpool last round. They lost their talisman, Tevez early and after that had no chance. 3-0 down at half time, the game fizzled out and they lost 3-0. Not the type of performance that you'd expect from a top 4 team. He'll be out this game too. Their expensive strike force of Dzeko and Balotelli just haven't been performing. Manchester United keep on winning. Last weekend with a weakened side, they disposed of Fulham 2-0 and then in the week, they were comfortable against Chelsea beating them 2-1 to get through to the semi final of the Champions League. Ferguson knows what team to put out to be able to do just enough to win. Rooney will not be playing but I don't think that'll be much of a loss. Berbatov and Hernandez can are in great form and can step up. I can see Manchester United winning this one. The only chance that City have to progress in my opinion is to go for the 0-0 and try get through on penalties. United are 2.1 at most Bookmakers.

17th April 2011

Bolton (2.54) v (3.4) Stoke (3)
Bolton come in to this game as slight favourites. They beat West Ham last weekend 3-0 which is surprising considering their minds would have been on this game. They've been in no mans land in the Premier League for the past few weeks. Really nothing to play for apart from this. One loan signing Sturridge is cup tied so won't be able to play. He'll be missed. Stoke aren't in as comfortable position in the league as Bolton but are more or less safe now. They managed to score 2 away at Spur last weekend but lost 3-2. In terms of betting, I agree with the bookies here. Its pretty much a coin toss type game where any of the outcomes wouldn't be surprising at all but with a slight bias towards Bolton. My bet will be on the over 2.5 goals market. This season has produced more goals that usual and as last Premiership round showed, neither team has trouble scoring. Over 2.5 goals is 2.15 at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 09 Apr 2010 13:08:11 +0000

10th April 2010
Hull (1.75) Draw (3.75) Burnley (5.3)
Its looking quite likely that Hull and West Ham will be fighting it out to avoid that last relegation spot. Hull lost away to Stoke last weekend. I expected better of them but Stoke still seem to be playing even though they have nothing to play for. Last home game, Hull beat a weakened Fulham side. Burnley more or less booked their ticket to the Championship with a 6-1 home thrashing at home to City. They haven't played well away from home all season, only gaining one point on their travels. I will go with Hull here. Opposing Burnley on the road has been a gold mine for punters this season and I can't see any reason why Hull cannot take all 3 points. PaddyPower are going 1.75 on the Hull win.

West Ham (2.1) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.8)
Good game from West Ham against Everton (2-2). Twice they were behind and twice they came back. To be fair, Everton should have been out of sight at half time but West Ham battled on. Well, Scot Parker did. The rest of the team were average but he played the game of his life. Sunderland bounced back from that dreadful performance against Liverpool with a 3-1 win over in form Spurs. They also missed 2 penalties so the score could easily have been better. I don't think I can trust West Ham at 2.1 at home. Bookies have gone a little too low with the odds I think. West Ham really need to win this but it doesn't change the fact that they are having a bad run of results. Sunderland have a terrible record on the road so I'll be in no hurry to back them. This leaves the draw at 2.4 at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips - 6th - 8th March 2010

Fri, 05 Mar 2010 00:35:32 +0000

6 March 2010

Arsenal (1.14) Draw (9) Burnley (23)
This is the most one sided games I've seen in a while. I can't remember the last time I saw a Premiership game with the home side at 1.14. Its practically stealing money from the bookies. Not much point explaining this one. Some other bets worth considering for a better price are over 2.5 goals at 1.44 at Skybet and over 3.5 at 2.1 at PaddyPower. I can see Arsenal putting 4 past a hapless Burnley side.

West Ham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Bolton (5)
West Ham come in to this off the back off two home wins and an away defeat to Manchester United. With the side more or less at full strength now, they look the strongest out of those at the bottom of the league and should be able to pull themselves out. Bolton pulled themselves out of the relegation zone with a 1-0 win over fellow strugglers Wolves last week. Bolton's troubles seem to stem from not being able to score. Only 2 goals in the last 6 games. I'll back West Ham this week. Its 1.83 at bluesquare.

Wolverhampton (11) Draw (5) Manchester United (1.33)
Wolves fielded a weaken side in the reverse fixture and were duly spanked 3-0 at Old Trafford. I can't see Mick McCarthy doing the same again. I haven't seen anything from Wolves this season that makes me think they can get anything here, strongest side or not. Manchester United have had trouble away from home this season losing 5 games. I don't see any problem for Man U here. If anything I can see Man U with the weakened side. Odds are 1.33 at William Hill. A nicer bet is the to win to nil, thats 2.2 at bluesquare. I can't see Wolves scoring.

7 March 2010

Everton (1.4) Draw (4.8) Hull (10)
Everton's good run came to an end last week with a loss to Spurs. They deserved a point but just started badly and Spurs were 2-0 up at half time. They have won the last 5 home games though and this should be number 6. Hull seemed to have picked up a bit of form but then had back to back away losses to Blackburn and West Ham. This game is not going to be any easier. Its 1.4 at PaddyPower or 2.25 on the win to nil market at bluesquare. Again, I don't see Hull scoring here so thats a good bet.

8 March 2010

Wigan (6.5) v Draw (4) Liverpool (1.62)
No win for Wigan in 10 and they are slipping closer to that relegation zone. I think Wigan will have enough to stay up but they won't get anything out of this. Liverpool can't really afford to slip up now with the race for 4th place being so tight. With the 3 key players, Gerrard, Torres and Benayuan all more or less fit and playing now, they seem to be able to nick those wins while not playing that well overall - well against Blackburn anyway. Odds are currently 1.62 at most bookies.

If, like me you think that all the games are one-sided and there will be no upsets then the 5 fold pays 6.19 at Skybet.

Premiership Tips - 29th-30th August 2009

Fri, 28 Aug 2009 01:33:16 +0000

29th August 2009

Chelsea (1.17) Draw (8) Burnley (23)
Chelsea's season could not have got of to a better start, with three wins from three Carlo Ancelotti's men will be brimming with confidence. The same could also be said for Burnley who after opening the season with a defeat at Stoke they went onto to beat Manchester United then Everton. Last year Burnley did get a draw against the Blues and beat them on penalties. Should be a home win but useless odds. It did take an injury time Drogba goal to see off Hull City. Other bets worth considering are Drogba to score anytime @1.91 at bet365. Both teams to score is 2.5 @ Sky Bet.

Prediction:Home win best odds available 1.17 (Boylesport)

Blackburn (2.25) Draw (3.3) West Ham (3.5)
The Hammers were involved in that match against Millwall which brought back many ugly memories of the 1980s. Regarding team matters, manager Gianfranco Zola has said he only has one centre forward, Carlton Cole, and that the next in line is himself. Some other player trouble behind the scene, including the stabbing of Davenport. Blackburn should have come away with a point from Sunderland at the very least, so they'll be in 'angry bear' mode. Tricky one to call this. I am leaning towards 1X and the biggest price is the draw.

Prediction:Draw best odds available 3.3 (bet365)

Bolton (7) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.57)
With five wins from the last six encounters, Liverpool have to be the favourites, although I don't expect Gary Megson's side to give them an easy game. Bolton are a well organised team and I can see them frustrating Liverpool. But in Gerrard and Torres they have the class players that can make the difference. Villa managed to contain them by putting 11 men behind the ball and cutting out the space. Bolton being the home side may be a bit more adventurous. If Liverpool are going to have any chance of winning the league they will have to bounce back from the defeat against Aston Villa, like they did after the opening day loss against Spurs. Being away from the Anfield crowd might even be better for them.

Prediction:Away win best odds available 1.57 (bluesquare)

Stoke (2.4) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.25)
Sunderland didn't appear in the first half against Blackburn, then came out and won the points. They would have lost games like that last year. Darren Bent and Kenwyne Jones seem to have made a good strike partnership. It was Stokes home record that kept them up last year. Very early in the season but I don't think Stoke have progressed much since last year and maybe are even going backwards. They needed extra time to see off Leyton Orient whereas a severely weakened Sunderland breezed passed Norwich.

Prediction: Away win best odds available 3.25 (Sky Bet)

Tottenham (1.36) Draw (4.8) Birmingham (11)
Spurs are the form side at the moment. Top of the table, after 3 games and putting 5 past Donny midweek they show they have no problems scoring. Early days but Birmingham have only scored 1 goal this season and it was their winner against Portsmouth. They also top the table for injuries, having 8 first teamers out. This has home win written all over it but 1.36 on Spurs? I think a better bet may be the overs option. 3 or more goals is 1.73 at bet365.

Prediction:Home win best odds available 1.36 (PaddyPower)

Wolverhampton (2.15) Draw (3.4) Hull (3.75)
All gold v all gold. Wolves have had an interesting start. They had a good win against Wigan and then Manchester City should have been out of sight but in fact were holding on in the end. Mick McCarthy's men will need to be winning games like this at home if they are to have any chance of survival. Hull will be buoyed by last week's win against Bolton and finally getting points on the board. With the tigers having travelled to Southend for their midweek fixture I can see them finding this game tough.

Prediction: Home win best odds available 2.15 (bluesquare)

Manchester United (2.25) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (3.6)
The first big four meeting of the season should be a good early test for both sides. I'm expecting a tight game. With van der Saar and Ferdinand both missing for United I can see Arsene Wenger's side causing United a few problems, but not enough to be victorious. Man U have started badly and I am not convinced that the 5-0 against Wigan was a fair reflection of the game. First half they were all square and Wigan just collapsed after the first goal went in. Arsenal are flying at the moment. They eased passed Celtic in the Champions League. I guess it takes a brave man to back against Man U at Old Trafford so I won't. Its the draw for me.

Prediction: Draw best odds available 3.4 (bet365)

30th August 2009

Portsmouth (7) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (1.62)
These teams have been well matched in recent seasons but, following hugely contrasting summers the form book goes out of the window. Pompey are in turmoil even with the midweek victory over Hereford they are still to pick up a point in the Premier league. City have signed a wealth of talent and I expect Adebayor, Tevez and Robinho to prove far too strong for Paul Hart's men. With all the talk of City signing too many strikers, they still haven't let a goal in. Only danger is that Hughes played the full strength side against Palace in the cup. If City are going to break in to the top 4, this is the type of game they should be winning.

Prediction:Away win best odds available 1.62 (PaddyPower)

Everton (1.8) Draw (3.75) Wigan (5.3)
Everton have made a poor start in the league and are rock bottom. Joleon Lescott's gone to Manchester City, so they can concentrate on other matters now.They have signed midfielder Diniyar Bilyaletdinov from Lokomotiv Moscow. He has some good match practice behind him because the Russian league begins earlier. Since the win against Villa, not much has gone right for Wigan. It must have been an understrength side against Blackpool on Wednesday when they were thumped 4-1. Last week's second half collapse to Man U couldn't have helped confidence at all. Odds are too low for me to want to back Everton on current form. I will go for the draw.

Prediction:Draw best odds available 3.75 ( )

Aston Villa (1.8) Draw (3.6) Fulham (5.3)
Two evenly matched sides face off at Villa Park where three of the last four meetings finished level. With Villa beating Liverpool Monday night their confidence will be up once again. Villa have been knocked on the Europa league even though they won their game. Fulham lost but went through on aggregate. Its a long trip to Russia they've had and I wonder how much its taken out of Fulham. Martin O'Neil has been complaining about the Villa fans. Maybe they'll take note and support their team properly.

Prediction:Home win best odds available 1.8 ( )

Premiership Tips - 22nd -24th August 2009

Thu, 20 Aug 2009 23:01:55 +0000

22 August 2009

Arsenal (1.2) Draw (7) Portsmouth (19)

After last weeks demolition of Everton at Goodison Park and the midweek victory over Celtic at Park Head Arsenal are flying high and brimming with confidence. Arsene Wenger will want to make it 3 out of 3 with what should be an easy home fixture against a struggling Portsmouth side. Portsmouth travel to the Emirates with no points on the board after 2 games and after the dire performance against Birmingham in midweek it's hard to see how Paul Hart's side can stop Arsenal's fluent football.

Prediction: Home Banker best available odds 1.2 (bet365)

Birmingham (2.38) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.45)

After the difficult opening game at Old Trafford Alex McLeish will be relieved to have got points on the board with the midweek win against Portsmouth at St Andrews. Stoke however took an absolute battering from Liverpool in midweek losing 4-0 at Anfield. Tony Pulis will be hoping his men can bounce back from the mauling and put in a decent performance and maybe even take all 3 points from the newly promoted side. I can see this been a really tight game with both teams wanting the points as much as each other. I can't really back Stoke away from home given their performance last season.

Prediction: Draw best available odds 3.3 (Boylesport)

Hull (2.5) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3)

After the Jermaine Defoe show on Wednesday night which saw Tottenham win 5-1 at the KC Stadium plus the unfortunate defeat to Chelsea on the opening day of the season Phil Brown will want to get points on the board at the earliest opportunity. With the only highlight of the Tigers' night been the performance of Geovanni. The Brazilian seemed to give Hull a slim chance of turning the 2-0 score line around when he was introduced after just 21 minutes. Gary Megson will also want his Bolton team to respond to the home defeat at the hands of Sunderland in last week's opener. I can also see this game being a really close and competitive affair.

Prediction: Draw best available odds 3.4 (Boylesport)

Manchester City (1.37) Draw (5) Wolverhampton (12)

Mark Hughes will have been pleased that he was the only one to have a slipped up during last weeks encounter with Blackburn at Ewood Park. Add to this Emmanuel Adebayor opening his account on his debut and the amount of class Hughes has at his disposal. Wolves would have cost punters dearly on Tuesday when they beat Wigan securing a vital away win. Even more impressive considering Wigan beat Villa on the opening day. Wigan are not pushing top 5 though and I think Mick McCarthy's Wolves will struggle to get anything from this game. City were strong at home last season. I can't see that changing. Pity the odds are so low.

Prediction: Home win best available odds 1.37 ()

Sunderland (2.1) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (4)

With Darren Bent finally rediscovering his goal scoring touch with 2 goals in as many games Steve Bruce will be hoping the Black Cats can take all 3 points from this encounter. Sunderland put up a brave fight against Chelsea in midweek but the Blues class told in the end. Sam Allardyce made another astute signing this week by capturing the signature of Michel Salgado. The 33 year old signed on a free transfer from Real Madrid after spending 10 years at the Bernabeu. Although this is a very shrewd move by big Sam I can't see Blackburn stopping the likes of Richardson, Cattermole and the in form Bent.

Prediction: Home win best available odds 2.1 (bet365)

Wigan (7) Draw (4) Manchester United (1.53)

Life without Cristiano Ronaldo is proving more difficult than first expected. After a dull 1-0 win over Birmingham and the shock midweek defeat at the hands of Burnley, Alex Ferguson will be hoping for a much improved performance from his men. With Wigan losing at home to Wolves during midweek Roberto Martinez will be hoping Manchester United's famous slow starts to recent Premier League campaigns continues a little longer. I am prepared to back the away win. Odds were 1.4 before that shock defeat so there maybe even some value in that price.

Prediction: Away win best available odds 1.53 (William Hill)

23 August 2009

West Ham (3.1) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)

Two sides who finished level on points last season go head-to-head in a spicy London derby. Tottenham seem to be full of goals lately with Jermaine Defoe netting 3 times in the midweek game at Hull. After achieving the perfect start to the season Harry Redknapp will be wanting his team to maintain the great form which has seen them climb to the top of the table. With West Ham only having Carlton Cole as their main striking option I see it being very difficult for the Irons to break down Harry's men while also stopping them from scoring

Prediction: Away win best odds available 2.5 (Betfred)

Burnley (3.5) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.25)

Burnley's second home game in the top flight will be a tough one, as David Moyes' side look to rebuild on last years solid campaign and respond to the hammering they took last week at the hands of Arsenal. I feel the experience of players such as Tim Cahill, Phil Neville and Jo will be key to achieving this. After the magnificent 3 points Burnley took of Manchester United on Wednesday night Owen Coyle's side will be on cloud 9. Add to this the very vocal support of the crowd at Turf Moor the Clarets have every chance of gaining something out of this encounter. With Everton playing a European game on Thursday night, they will be a little more tired that Burnley. I have a feeling lightening can strike twice here. Pity the books aren't offering 10/1 like they did on Wednesday against Man U.

Prediction: Home win best available odds 3.5 (PaddyPower)

Fulham (7) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.62)

Chelsea have enjoyed their trips to Craven Cottage in recent seasons, with two wins in the last three. With Fulham Starting competitive football in July I expect a close game. The key battle will be between Hangeland and Drogba and if the Fulham man can win this it limits Chelsea's scoring options. But with the class of Lampard, Ballack, Deco and Malouda in midfield I feel Chelsea will have to much for Roy Hodgson's men. Chelsea were deservedly losing at half time against Sunderland but something was said in the dressing room and they turned on the style. Even though, Fulham have been playing in Europe Thursday night, the price on the away win is a poor. Fulham aren't the mugs they were a couple of seasons ago. Still, its a Chelsea win for me.

Prediction: Away win best available odds 1.62 (Betfred)

24 August 2009

Liverpool (1.45) Draw (4.5) Aston Villa (9)

All the signs point towards a home win, with Liverpool having won five of the last six including last season's 5-0 demolition of Martin O'Neill's side. Torres will be the star again this season and, after the loss of Martin Laursen I can see the Villa defence struggling to contain the Spaniard. Liverpool finally beat Stoke on Wednesday and in style. Those 2 0-0 draws probably cost them the title last year. Villa have not had a good European night losing 1-0 in Austria. So that's no goals scored this season. Liverpool win for me at quite decent odds all things considered.

Prediction: Home win best odds available 1.45 ()

Premiership Tips - 14-15th August 2009

Thu, 13 Aug 2009 17:50:17 +0000

15 August 2009

Chelsea (1.2) Draw (6.8) Hull (21)

Carlo Ancellotti starts his first competitive fixture in charge of Chelsea with a televised home clash with Hull. The Tigers ended last season with a whimper rather than a roar narrowly avoiding relegation after a fantastic first half to the season. Chelsea will be hoping to get the season of to a bang with a comfortable 3 points. With Manchester United and Liverpool both losing key players during the summer transfer window Chelsea will feel this is a prime opportunity for them to bring back the Premier League title to SW6.

Prediction: Home win best price available 1.2 (bluesquare)

Aston Villa (1.7) Draw (3.75) Wigan (5.5)

Martin O'Neil's Villa side take on Wigan in this Premier League opener. With Villa losing Gareth Barry to Man City for £12 million Wigan may fancy there chances at Villa Park especially with the goalscoring capabilities of newly signed Jason Scotland. Scotland was a goalscoring machine in the championship and Roberto Martinez will be hoping he can carry some of last seasons form into this years campaign.

Prediction: Home win best price available 1.7 (VC Bet)

Blackburn (3.75) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.25)

With the abundance of talent that has arrived at the (middle) Eastlands during the summer months, None will be more talked about than Roque Santa Cruz. The Paraguayans transfer from Ewood Park for a reported £18million pounds will still be in the minds of the Rovers faithful. This transfer however was completed before the arrivals of Carlos Tevez and Emmanuel Adebayor, Add to that the sheer class of Robinho and Mark Hughes' fellow countryman Craig Bellamy, It leaves a lingering doubt whether or not Santa Cruz will get a start for the blue half of Manchester. With City not able to buy 3 points away from home last season (just about the only thing they couldn't) Blackburn would have been my pick, However with the array of talent at Sparky's disposal i cannot see anything other than a City win.

Prediction: Away Win best available price 2.3 ( )

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.25) Sunderland (3.4)

A lot of transfer activity for Sunderland and very little for Bolton will give Steve Bruce hope of 3points at the Reebok Stadium. With the likes of Lee Cattermole,Darren Bent and Frazier Campbell all signing for the Black Cats Sunderland look to have the nucleus to becoming an established Premier League side. Gary Megson will be hoping Bolton can keep the tough tackling, hard to beat reputation which has been built up over the past few seasons, especially at The Reebok.

Prediction: Draw best prices available 3.25 (PaddyPower)

Portsmouth (2.63) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.85)

I really fear for Pompey this season with the loss of Peter Crouch, Glen Johnson, Lauren and Djimi Traore i think they will find this season very difficult. Although Fulham have not really set the transfer market alight i feel Roy Hodgson will be aiming to improve on last years respectable finishing position of 7th, but taking into account Fulham's awful away record last season i feel this will be an extremely close match.

Prediction:Draw best price available 3.3 (PaddyPower)

Stoke (1.95) Draw (3.5) Burnley (4.3)

Burnley are another team i fear for this season. I do not think they have the class to compete with the big boys of the Premier league. If and its a big IF they are going to have a slim chance of survival they will need to pick up points while on their travellers while also making Turf Moor a fortress. This is exactly what Stoke did last year. The Britannia Stadium was a very intimidating place to come last season, add to this Stokes direct in your face football i think Stoke will again be celebrating once again in May.

Prediction:Home win best price available 1.95 (Boylesport)

Wolverhampton (2.63) Draw (3.3) West Ham (2.8)

Last years Championship winners will be relishing the challenge of rubbing shoulders with Englands finest. With the summer signings they have acquired i feel they have what it takes to avoid relegation. Gianfranco Zola had The Hammers playing some attractive football last season this reflected the very respectable finishing position of 9th.

Prediction:Away win best price available 2.8 (PaddyPower)

Everton (3.25) Draw (3.25) Arsenal (2.38)

With David Moyes' team looking like a carbon copy of last season's, he will be hoping the performances follow suit. Everton finished 5th last season and will be hoping to improve once again. Arsenal have lost two (at the time of writing) big named players in Emmanuel Adebayor and Kolo Toure. Although they have the class of Arshavin, Fabregas and Walcott i dont think Arsene Wengers men will occupy one of the top four spots at the end of the season. This is a very hard one to call as both teams have the potential to beat one-another on their day.

Prediction:Draw best prices available 3.25 (bluesquare)

16 August 2009

Manchester United (1.22) Draw (6.5) Birmingham (19)

With the departure of Cristiano Ronaldo and Carlos Tevez Sir Alex Ferguson will be looking for a comfortable win to calm the nerves. In recent years United tend to get off to a bad start and don't really start turning into the lean mean winning machine until the Christmas period. However with the array of talent that Manchester United have it is almost impossible to see anything other than 3 points for The Red Devils. If this doesn't appeal to you Michael Owen has been on fire during pre season and could be an ideal bet for 1st goalscorer(5.5). If Owen stays injury free i feel he will score a hatful during the forthcoming season, especially with the amount of service he will be receiving from the likes of Antonio Valencia,Michael Carrick.Wayne Rooney and of course Mr Manchester United Ryan Giggs.

Prediction:Home win best price available 1.22 (PaddyPower)

Tottenham (3.35) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.3)

The opening day of this season See's many of the players facing off against there former team mates. Not to be outdone Spurs could possibly field two former Liverpool players in Robbie Keane and Peter Crouch. Crouch teamed up with Harry Redknapp for the 3rd time and seems to bring out the best in the beanpole striker. Keane returned to White Hart Lane after a disastrous spell at Anfield scoring just 7 goals in 29 appearances. Rafael Benitez will have been disappointed that Liverpool could not stop Manchester United's dominance in the domestic league so will be looking for not only a convincing victory but also a convincing performance to get the season under way.

Prediction:Away win best price available 2.3 ( )

FA Cup betting tips.

Fri, 17 Apr 2009 21:29:35 +0000

18 April 2009

17:15 Arsenal (3.1) Draw (3.3) Chelsea (2.5)
The game of the weekend I think. I see Arsenal as winners here. They haven't played any good teams admittedly but they are top of the form table. Arsenal have players back now and this is their big chance of silverware this year. Terry will be back for Chelsea so they're aren't going to be letting 4 goals in again. They missed his leadership against Liverpool. Arsenal have had longer to prepare. Nice odds of 3.1 at Bet365

19 April 2009

16:00 Manchester United (1.8) Draw (3.5) Everton (5.5)
Tricky one this. Man U haven't been right recently. Its always an odd moment of brilliance from Rooney or Ronaldo. If it wasn't for Man U being able to play badly and win, I would be on Everton. Two tight games between these in the league, 1-1 and 1-0 to Man U. I can't see many goals in this one so I think the best bet would be to have a few correct scores at Bet365. Man U 1-0 is 7.0, 2-0 is 7.5 and 1-1 is 7. With Bet365 you get the money back for the 0-0. Bet here
and get £200 worth of free bets.

Roma v Chelsea, Tuesday, ITV 4, 7:45pm

Tue, 04 Nov 2008 16:53:51 +0000

Chelsea travel to Rome looking for a repeat of their 1-0 victory over the Romans two weeks ago at Stamford Bridge. Such a result would see Phil Scolari's men safely into the next round of the competition, although recent form suggests they will not just look for a 1-0 victory. Successive 5-0 wins over both Middlesbrough and Sunderland in the Premiership have raised expectations even higher in West London, as Scolari has his team playing in a manner owner Roman Abramovich has always wanted.

Roma are the 14/5 underdogs with VCbet, while Chelsea are 10/11 with BGbet.

If Joe Cole scores at anytime during Roma v Chelsea, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

I am not convinced that Chelsea odds on away from home in the Champions League is a good bet, especially against Roma. Guess this is one to skip or a bet on Roma on the Handicap.

Bet of the week.

Fri, 31 Oct 2008 00:04:38 +0000

Question, who do you bet on when you have top of the table vs bottom of the table in the Premiership? This weekend sees table topping Liverpool visit bottom of the table Spurs.

This match is interesting due to the fact that Redknap has taken over at Spurs and they've gained 4 points from the last 2 games. Hardly a run. This is still the same Spurs team which was the butt of so many cheap triangle jokes. Bolton are pretty lightweight this season and the draw with Arsenal could have been seen as more of a tactical error on Arsenal's part rather than Spurs being good.

Liverpool have been really lucky this season. Late goals have gained 3 points against Wigan, Middlesbrough and Man City looked like defeats. I saw them last week against Chelsea though and they are so well organised. I saw Reina make one save all game which to be honest I could have made. To be able to beat the champions elect is no easy feat. I still think Chelsea will win the league but Liverpool will run them close.

So when VC bet offer 2.15 on a Liverpool win, I have got take it. I am pretty sure if this was Chelsea or Man U the price would be odds against. The bookies appear to be under estimating Liverpool this season. Bet here

If you want a bigger return you could throw this bet in with the members of the Big 4 and get 4/1 for it at PageBet

Top Price for Liverpool

Thu, 23 Oct 2008 20:10:08 +0000

I still think Chelsea is the bet to have but if you do fancy Liverpool then Bet365 is the place to have it.

Liverpool 4/1 to beat Chelsea on Sunday

The Reds are 4/1 with bet365 to win at Stamford Bridge this weekend, despite an unbeaten start to the season which has seen them win three of their four away matches.

They’re certainly not without hope. However, they’ll be missing their match-winner Fernando Torres here, while Chelsea have looked in no mood to surrender their 86 match unbeaten home record in the league, and they’re sure to see plenty of support at 5/6.

However, this might be a cagey affair, especially if Liverpool’s 0-0 draw at Villa Park is anything to go by, and its 9/4 that the game finishes honours even in this top-of-the-table

Clash, while a 0-0 stalemate is 61.

Click here for more match markets, including correct score and first goalscorer.

In the event of a bore draw, bet365 will refund all losing pre-match correct score, half-time / full-time and scorecast bets on the match. Of course, if you’d rather wait until the game kicks off (1.30pm, live on Sky Sports), then bet365's live in-play console will have all the latest odds at the click of a mouse.

What’s more, register with bet365 before kick off and you could qualify for £200 free bets to place on a sporting market of your choice – the weekend game perhaps?

Click here to register with bet365.

Northern Ireland v San Marino, Wednesday, Sky Sports 3, 7:45pm

Tue, 14 Oct 2008 23:59:58 +0000

The tiny principality of San Marino visit Northern Ireland with both teams searching for their first win of the campaign. Although the Northern Irish were beaten 2-1 in Slovenia on Saturday, they have made an encouraging start to qualifying with a creditable 0-0 draw at home to the Czech Republic back in September. If they can repeat that form throughout the rest of their group games they stand a good chance of qualifying form what looks to be a tight group 3. San Marino are still looking for their first victory in a qualifying campaign following their formation 80 years ago. They will perhaps see this as an opportunity to gain a vital point, as they have often go through previous qualifying stages without picking up a single point.

Northern Ireland are massive 1/20 favourites with Centrebet to gain their first win, with San Marino as big as 2 5/1 with PageBet.
If Chris Killen scores at anytime during Villareal v Celtic, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

At 20/1 on is it worth betting on? Probably not.

International Qualifiers Betting

Thu, 09 Oct 2008 22:39:59 +0000

England (1.07) Draw (12) Kazakhstan (51)
Not much to write about a game where the home team is at 1.07 top price. This is a game to skip on the 1X2 unless you have a lot of money. If you have a few thousand to spare you could do a lot worse than 7% in 90 minutes. From a betting point of view, its got to be correct scores or scorecasts. Paddypower have a money back special which means yyou get your money back if the last goal of the game is a header. I'd go for a to-nil score, maybe 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0 dutched pays about evens at Paddypower Bet Now

If you do have a few thousand to spare, its the Irish Bookmaker Boyles Sport that are offering the 1/14 (1.07) on an England win.

Scotland (2.1) Draw (3.6) Norway (3.75)
A tricky fixture that could go either way. Value is on the away win but not too bothered about betting on this game. Maybe a small bet on John Carew to score first at 8.5 at Paddypower

Wales (1.17) Draw (7.5) Liechtenstein (26.0)
Wales should win this. You can tell that from the odds. Liechtenstein only has 35 000 people are so in it. Knock off old people, women and children and you have a very small pool of people to chose from. Maybe another correct score bet but I'll personally skip this one.

Slovenia (2.0) Draw (3.3) Northern Ireland (4.3)

Nice price on the home win here. Northern Ireland are poor away from home and have some key injuries. Price is currently evens (generally available and at
888sport) Can't see this price lasting until Saturday morning though.

Away from the home nations, I would consider Russia to beat Germany at a massive 5.3 at bet365. If the Euro 2008 performance is anything to go by I can see the Russians winning this. Germany are a poor team that manage to some how win.

UEFA Cup First Round, Second Leg

Tue, 30 Sep 2008 00:17:57 +0000

If any of the English teams are going to crash out this round then its going to be Everton. The other teams don't have to win to progress so best avoiding those bets. Guess this is a round to skip.

Vitoria Guimaraes v Portsmouth
Portsmouth will welcome their trip to Portugal after their 2-0 weekend win over Tottenham reversed their recent run of bad results. Following 4-0 and 6-0 defeats to Chelsea and Manchester City respectively, the win at Fratton Park would have been welcomed by Harry Redknapp. They bring a 2-0 lead into this game following the first leg, and an early goal for the Hampshire side would effectively end the tie. Goals either side of half time from Lassana Diarra and Jermaine Defoe set Pompey up for their first European win, and they will be confident of reaching the group stages here. Vitoria were 3-1 winners at the weekend in their domestic competition, but will need an even more convincing result against Portsmouth to avoid crashing out of the UEFA Cup at the first hurdle.

If John Utaka scores at anytime during Vitoria Guimaraes v Portsmouth, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

Standard Liege v Everton
Everton had to come from behind twice in the first leg at Goodison against Standard Liege, and face an uphill task to qualify for the next stage. Dieudonné Mbokani gave the Belgian side a shock early lead on 9 minutes, but Everton looked to have taken control of the game when Yakubu equalised 15 minutes later. However, they failed to kick on from that point, and again found themselves behind when Joseph Yobo put into his own net in the 35th minute. That goal, coming so close to half time, could have been a hammer blow to the Toffees, but Segundo Castillo capped his European debut with a fine strike to give Everton some hope going into this crucial second leg.

If Tim Cahill scores at anytime during Standard Liege v Everton, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

Wisla Krakow v Tottenham
Spurs' worst league start for 53 years continued on Sunday when they were beaten 2-0 by Portsmouth, who would have been low on confidence themselves following consecutive thumpings. That lack of confidence didn't seem to affect Pompey though, as old boy Jermaine Defoe came back to haunt them as he scored the opener from the spot. Boss Juande Ramos will be thankful for the return of European football, with his impressive record in this competition whilst at Sevilla one of the factors in his appointment in North London. Spurs bring a slim 2-1 advantage with them to Poland, although it looked to have been even less before Darren Bent popped up in the 73rd minute tow weeks ago at White Hart Lane. David Bentley had given them a 33rd minute lead that clamed nerves, but just a minute later Tomá Jirsák had equalised, and given Krakow a vital away goal. Thanks to that away goal Krakow will no doubt throw everything at Ramos' men, and the Spurs defence will have to show more fight than they have so far in the Premiership if they are to qualify for the next stage.

If David Bentley scores at anytime during Wisla Krakow v Tottenham, BGbet will refund all losing first goalscorer stakes on the match.

West Brom v Aston Villa,

Fri, 19 Sep 2008 00:16:37 +0000

Martin O'Neill will take a confident Villa side the short trip across the West Midlands to the Hawthorns when they meet local rivals West Bromwich Albion on the first of Sunday's games. Following defeat in their first two games at Arsenal and Everton, Tony Mowbray's side recorded their first win back in the top flight last week. A thrilling 3-2 win over West Ham was sealed by Chris Brunt in the 83rd minute after West Ham came from behind twice.

Villa continued their good start to the season on Monday with a 2-1 win at White Hart Lane against a beleaguered Tottenham side. They took the lead after just five minutes thanks to Nigel Reo-Cocker, and were never seriously threatened after they doubled that advantage through Ashley Young nine minutes after the break. Darren Bent scored a consolation for Spurs three minutes from the end, but Villa looked convincing in their second Premiership win of the season. However, they will be tested at The Hawthorns in front of a boisterous crowd this Sunday.

The price for a Villa win is 2.25 at VCBet

Champions League Special Bookie Offers

Mon, 15 Sep 2008 22:39:36 +0000

Paddy Power will refund all losing Win-Draw-Win bets on the Tuesday night match in which the last goal of the night is scored. Click here for more

PartyBets have 2 great offers for the Champions League

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Boylesport have a special - if any of the games in a 0-0 draw, they will refund losing single first / last / anytime goalscorer and correct goalscorer bets on that particular match. Click here for more

Betfred will refund your total stake as a free bet on any Champions League game involving a British side ifâ�¦

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Party Bets Weekend Accumulator Offer

Thu, 11 Sep 2008 22:21:22 +0000

get a refund
A lot of these refund offers are no good but this one from PartyBets falls in to the category of almost too good to be true.

Back Man Utd, Chelsea, Schalke and Bayern all to win and you'll get better odds than if you backed them in a standard combo. Currently 22/1

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Sign up to PartyBets for a free £25 bet and take part in this great offer. Average odds for the accumulator are about 20/1 elsewhere. Separately best odds for Berbatov to score 3/1. Robinho 4/1 and Podolski 5/4.

Georgia v Republic of Ireland

Fri, 05 Sep 2008 09:39:00 +0000

Boylesport Special Offer
This has the potential to cost Boylesport a lot of money. I remember the last champions league final and paddypower offered to refund all losing bets if Ronaldo scored. Ronaldo delivered and it cost PaddyPower �1.5 million.

So Boylesport are offering to refund ALL losing single bets if Robbie Keane scores a goal in this game. 33 goals in 81 matches is a good strike rate.

From what I know of Georgian football they are a strong home team but nothing special on the road. With the trouble over there this game will be played in Mainz.

Looking at the Irish team sheet its a pretty strong team. Only absentee is Duff. Republic squad: Given, Kiely, Bruce, Delaney, Dunne, Finnan, Kelly, Kilbane, O'Brien, O'Shea, McShane, Hunt, McGeady, Miller, A Reid, S Reid, Whelan, Doyle, Keane, Keogh, Long, Murphy.

The top price of 1.8 is worth a go at Boylesport, especially with the offer of bet refunds if Keane scores.

Sign up to BoyleSport and get a £50 free bet.

Likely Home Wins Coupon All English leagues

Thu, 28 Aug 2008 18:57:28 +0000

from CentreBet
Arsenal vs Newcastle 1.44
Bolton vs West Brom 1.88
Middlesbrough vs Stoke 1.88
Sheff Utd vs Cardiff City 1.77
Wolves vs Nottm Forest 1.73
Brighton vs Leyton Orient 1.67
Carlisle vs Yeovil 1.67
Leeds vs Bristol Rovers 1.61
Peterborough vs Hartlepool 1.75
Chelsea vs Tottenham 1.42

All prices from Centrebet, Sign Up for a £20 free bet.

FA Community Shield Betting Preview

Wed, 06 Aug 2008 15:00:15 +0000

With FA Community Shield betting now available at PinnacleSports.com, soccer bettors will know that the start of the English Premier season can't be far off. The Community Shield - contested by last season's FA Cup winner, Portsmouth, and Premier League Champions, Manchester United - is the traditional curtain raiser to the English season, taking place less than a week before the kick-off of matchday one Premiership betting. PinnacleSports.com have the Red Devils as favourites on their FA Community Shield betting market pricing Man Utd 2.100* (-1) with Portsmouth 1.833* (+1) - a market priced to only 102%.

The Community Shield (formerly the Charity Shield) has taken place annually since 1908, but in recent years, the exhibition match has gradually lost its relevance, though Community Shield betting remains popular. With schedules already bursting with Premiership, Champions League and other domestic Cup commitments, the Community Shield is barely more relevant than the financially lucrative pre-season global tours that precede it. Despite its diminishing significance, Wembley always provides an exciting spectacle and Community Shield betting gives soccer bettors an early opportunity for to limber up before the real business of the Premiership betting begins.

Rooney & Ronaldo Sidelined for United

Community Shield bettors won't get to see last season's top Premiership scorer, Cristiano Ronaldo, in action, not because he got his wish and transferred to Real Madrid, but because he is recovering from ankle surgery, that has put him out of action until mid August.; Wayne Rooney is also struggling for fitness and as the Premiership and European Champions are yet to dip into the transfer market, Fergie may struggle up front. Portsmouth, however, have made several high profile new signings who should be on show. The most expensive new Pompey player is Peter Crouch, signed for £11million from Liverpool. Crouch will likely form half of a little-and-large strike partnership with Jermaine Defoe, which will also be the only all English forward double act in the Premiership. Crouch scored the winner in the Community Shield in 2006 giving his former club a 2-1 win over Chelsea.

Though the trophy itself has little weight, any competitive meeting between two top Premiership sides will be a red-blooded affair, and there is always the possibility of penalties, as with last season's Community Shield which United won on spot kicks after a 1-1 draw in 90 minutes. The Red Devils also won the trophy on penalties in 2003, after an identical score in normal time against Arsenal. The last time this sides met was at Old Trafford in an FA Cup quarter-final when Portsmouth silenced the Theatre of Dreams with a shock 1-0 win, suggesting they are capable of upsetting the Community Shield odds.

*All odds subject to change

William Hill Football Betting

Fri, 04 Jul 2008 22:45:50 +0000

NEWCASTLE SALE TALK SEES KEEGAN BACKED TO GO

WITH STORIES circulating that Mike Ashley may be looking to sell Newcastle, William Hill have cut Kevin Keegan from 7/1 to 6/1 favourite to be the first Premier League manager to lose his job in the new season.'We've seen interest in Keegan to be the first boss to go over the past twenty four hours, which can only be connected with the stoires about the club being for sale' said Hill's spokesman, Graham Sharpe.

HILL'S FIRST MANAGER TO GO ODDS:
6/1 KEVIN KEEGAN ; 7/1 ALAN CURBISHLEY; 8/1 GARY MEGSON; 8/1 ROY HODGSON ; 10/1 TONY PULIS ;10/1 PHIL BROWN ;12/1 GARETH SOUTHGATE ;12/1 STEVE BRUCE; 14/1 MARK HUGHES; 16/1 TONY MOWBRAY; 16/1 ROY KEANE ;20/1 HARRY REDKNAPP ;20/1 PAUL INCE 20/1RAFA BENITEZ ; 20/1DAVID MOYES; 25/1 ALEX FERGUSON; 25/1 RAMOS; 25/1 MARTIN O'NEILL; 33/; ARSENE WENGER; 40/1 PHIL SCOLARI .

Latest Soccer Odds from William Hill

KEANE ON SUNDERLAND?

WILLIAM HILL make Sunderland 9/2 to be relegated this season; 1000/1 to win the title.They are also 9/2 to win their opening game against Liverpool with Hills who have them at 1/3 to finish in the bottom half of the table, 9/4 the top half - while they are 7/2 to finish Top North East Club, for which Newcastle are 10/11 favourites with Middlesbro 13/8. Roy Keane is 16/1 to be the first Premiership manager of the season to lose his job - and an 8/1 chance to succeed Sir Alex Ferguson as Man U boss.

BETTING WITHOUT 'OLD FIRM'

WILLIAM HILL have opened a book on the SPL - excluding the 'Big Two' of Celtic and Rangers - and they make Aberdeen and Hearts 3/1joint favourites to finish 'best of the rest' and also offer: 4/1 Dundee United; Mothwerwell; 9/2 Hibs; 20/1Kilmarnock; 25/1 Falkirk; 33/1 Inverness;66/1 Hamilton; St Mirren.

WILLIAM HILL: WHERE WILL SELECTED PLAYERS BE ON THE FIRST DAY OF PREMIER LEAGUE SEASON 2008/9?

ADEBAYOR; 4/6 Arsenal; 9/4 Barcelona; 11/2 AC Milan; 9/1 Chelsea.(others on request).

PETER CROUCH; 6/4 Portsmouth; 15/8 Liverpool; 6/1 Man City; Spurs; 8/1 Newcastle; 14/1 Arsenal. (Others on request)

FRANK LAMPARD: 8/13 Inter Milan; 6/4 Chelsea; 8/1 Barcelona.(Others on request)

RONALDO: Evens Real Madrid; 8/11 Manchester United.

QUEIROZ UNITED BOSS ODDS LENGTHEN AS HE EYES PORTUGAL JOB

WITH CARLOS QUEIROZ believed to be considering taking over as Portugal manager, William Hill have lengthened him from 4/1 second favourite to 7/1fourth favourite to be the next Manchester United boss in succession to Sir Alex Ferguson. 'The rumours seem to be growing that Queiroz is seriously considering the Portugal job, which would seem to rule him out of becoming the next United boss - unless he is testing the water to see whether United persuade him to stay' said Hill's spokesman Graham Sharpe.'The timning of Sir Alex's departure could be the crucial factor in this market.'

Hills make Mark Hughes their 3/1 favourite to succeed Sir Alex with Jose Mourinho 5/1 second favourite and Martin O'Neill at 6/1. They also offer 8/1 Roy Keane; 10/1 David Moyes; 12/1 Sven Goran Erikkson; 14/1 Steve Bruce; 16/1 Guus Hiddink; Paul Ince; 25/1 Fabio Capello; 'Big Phil' Scolari.

Hills are also betting on when Sir Alex will finally step down, and offer 10/1 2008; 11/8 2009; 2/1 2010; 3/1 20111;12/1 2012 or later.

Check the latest prices and get a £25 free bet at WIlliam Hill.
Latest Soccer Odds from William Hill

Euro 2008 Final Score Casts

Sat, 28 Jun 2008 10:14:12 +0000

A nice alternative to scorecasts.

Torres to score & Spain to win 10/3
Guiza to score & Spain to win 9/2
Silva to score & Spain to win 11/2
Garcia to score & Spain to win 13/2
Klose to score & Germany to win 13/2
Fabregas to score & Spain to win 7/1
Kuranyi to score & Germany to win 15/2
Podolski to score & Germany to win 15/2
Gomez to score & Germany to win 17/2
Iniesta to score & Spain to win 17/2
Ballack to score & Germany to win 9/1
Schweinsteiger to score & Germany to win 14/1
Neuville to score & Germany to win 14/1
Xavi to score & Spain to win 14/1
Hitzlsperger to score & Germany to win 14/1
Alonso to score & Spain to win 16/1
Ramos to score & Spain to win 18/1
Senna to score & Spain to win 18/1
Frings to score & Germany to win 22/1
Puyol to score & Spain to win 33/1
Lahm to score & Germany to win 33/1

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Semi-Final One � Germany v Turkey, June 25th

Mon, 23 Jun 2008 23:31:17 +0000

Germany (1.44) Draw (4.7) Turkey (8.9)
Turkey pulled off another Euro 2008 great escape, scoring with the final kick of extra-time against Croatia in the quarter-finals, to take the game to penalties, where they came out on top. The Turks' joy was tinged with some misgivings as they approach a Euro 2008 semi-final against Germany without four key suspended players. Goalkeeper, Volkan Demirel, Emre Asik, Arda Turan, and Tuncay Sanli - the backbone of the Turkey side - will all watch from stands at St.Jakob-Park in Basel. Turkey are the outsiders of the four Euro 2008 semi-finalists priced 15.500* at PinnacleSports.com in a yes/no market priced to less than 102%.

In stark contrast, Germany cruised passed Portugal into the last four, oozing confidence, and carry only one injury into the semi-finals. Midfielder, Torsten Frings, is a doubt with a rib injury, otherwise Joachim Low has a full squad to choose from looking to repeat the success of national side at Euro 96. Germany are now favourites in the outright Euro 2008 betting at PinnacleSports.com priced 2.500*, strongly fancied to overcome the weakened Turkish on Wednesday night. The quarter-finals did however, make a mockery of the formbook, so bettors should think twice before piling on Germans. PinnacleSports.com price Germany 1.746 (-1)* with Turkey 2.240 (+1)* - a market priced to less than 102%.

Quarter-final 3: Russia v Holland (June 21)

Thu, 19 Jun 2008 21:06:12 +0000

Netherlands (1.8) Draw (3.81) Russia (5.4)
Russia's 2-0 defeat of Sweden on Wednesday night could go down as pivotal moment in the country's renaissance on the international soccer stage. Under the guidance of coach, Guus Hiddink, Russia were positive and professional in dispatching the Swedes, growing visibly in confidence and shedding the inferiority complex that has the dogged the Russian national side for so long. They must now take that development to the next level facing tournament favourites Holland in the final Euro 2008 quarter-final. The Dutch are 4.550* on PinnacleSports.com's outright Euro 2008 betting market, whereas the Russians have been clipped in to 18.550*, but still have only Turkey below them in the Euro 2008 betting market at PinnacleSports.com. The Dutch have been hugely impressive, even beating Romania with a second string, but it remains to be seen how they deal with the burden of expectation that being Euro 2008 favourites brings. PinnacleSports.com are offering 1.96/1.96 style Asian Handicaps, and live-betting for Russia v Holland on June 22.

Sign-Up Now For a Wide Range of Euro 2008 Quarter-final Markets at www.pinnaclesports.com

SPECIAL EURO 2008 OFFER

Mon, 16 Jun 2008 22:42:16 +0000

£200 FREE BETS FOR NEW CUSTOMERS!

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Poland (2.4) Draw (3.6) Croatia (3.05)

Mon, 16 Jun 2008 08:19:28 +0000

Interesting odds for this game. If Croatia had not already qualified as group winners then I am sure they would be favourites. I am not convinced at all about the Pole's being favourites.

Poland can still qualify but they need Austria to beat Germany and then to beat Croatia by a bigger margin. Highly unlikely. Poland will still play for pride and are possibly playing against a weakened Croatian team . I just can't see them winning though. Performances so far have been average at best.

Croatia are through but I do recall a painful memory from not too long again when Croatia had already qualified for Euro 2008 and had nothing to play for. On that night they beat England 3-2 at Wembley. I think the odds setters have got this a little wrong. Croatia have just beaten the pre-tournament favourites.

Bet to consider - Croatia +0.25 at 1.83 on the Asian or 2.1 on the draw no bet at bet365

Euro 2008 Betting Preview - Group C Betting Update

Wed, 11 Jun 2008 03:08:51 +0000

Euro 2008 betting for Group C has changed dramatically after the first round of games. Italy's 3-0 defeat to Holland in the Group of Death could have proved fatal for World Champions, while France and Romania are still in the running after sharing a goalless draw. PinnacleSports.com have moved the Dutch to Sign-up now for a wide range of Euro 2008 Group C markets

Italians Have Backs Against the Wall

Italy are well known for starting tournaments slowly, but their 3-0 defeat by Holland in their opening Euro 2008 fixture has put them in immediate danger of elimination. Though the Oranje's first goal looked offside, and Italy played with some promise, that counts for nothing now, and the Azzurri must come out fighting against Romania on Friday evening. The Romanians gutsy draw with France leaves them with everything to play for, and Fiorentina striker Adrian Mutu, will be very familiar with Italian tactics. Get 102% Asian Handicaps, threeways (1X2) and live 'in-running' markets to 103%, as well as a huge range of game markets at PinnacleSports.com priced to 60% better odds than traditional bookmakers.

Sign-up now for a wide range of Euro 2008 Group C markets

Dutch On a High; France Walking Tightrope

The whole of Holland is on a high after a 3 goal hammering of the World Champions, evoking memories of great Dutch teams from the past. The Oranje are now in a very much alive in the Group of Death and heading the Euro 2008 Group C betting priced 1.500* at PinnacleSports.com. They take on France in Berne on Friday night, who have less to shout about, after a dreary 0-0 draw with Romania. If Les Bleus fail to win here, they could need to beat Italy in their final game, which would be an unhealthy position. Raymond Domenech is likely to make changes in a bid to find a cutting edge, while Marco Van Basten is likely to make no changes to his victorious side. Get 102% Asian Handicaps, threeways (1X2) and live 'in-running' markets to 103%, as well as a huge range of game markets at PinnacleSports.com priced to 60% better odds than traditional bookmakers.

Sign-Up Now for 60% Better Euro 2008 Betting Odds

*All odds subject change

Euro 2008 Betting Preview - Group C Opening Fixtures (June 9)

Fri, 06 Jun 2008 00:16:04 +0000

Having generated many column inches of Euro 2008 betting analysis the so called Group of Death finally gets underway on Monday (June 9th) as Italy, Holland, France and Romania battle for the two available qualification places. Euro 2008 Group C is without doubt the hardest to call from a betting perspective, except for where punters should place their bet. PinnacleSports.com are offering up to 60% better Euro 2008 Group betting odds than traditional bookmakers.

Cannavaro Injury a Huge Blow For Italy

World Champions and Group C favourites, Italy, got off to the worst possible start at Euro 2008. Without even starting a game, captain Fabio Cannavaro, their immensely experienced defender, capped 116 times, has been ruled out of the event after tearing ankle ligaments in training. The Azzurri have drafted in defender, Alessandro Gamberini, from Fiorentina, but will struggle to fill the void by the ever reliable Cannavaro. Italy, priced 2.670* with PinnacleSports.com to win Group C, kick off their Euro 2008 campaign against the Netherlands on Monday night (8.45pm GMT).

With an uncanny similarity to Cannavaro's bad luck, Holland's Ryan Babel has been also been ruled out of Euro 2008 after suffering an ankle injury in training. The Liverpool winger's absence won't perhaps be as big a blow to the Oranje as that suffered by Italy, but he did feature in 11 of their 12 qualifiers. The Netherlands' squad possesses undoubted talent, but coach, Marco Van Basten has the difficult task of deploying that in a winning formation, with an historical expectation for an attacking 4-3-3 system that doesn't fit well in the modern game. PinnacleSports.com price Italy 2.210 (0/scratch)* - a Euro 2008 Asian Handicap priced to less than 102%.

France Without Viera For Opener Against Romania

France's captain, Patrick Viera, is definitely out for their opening fixture against Romania on June 9th, and is touch and go to participate at all. Viera has had an injury marred season at Inter Milan, so there must be questions about his general fitness levels. The French can however cope with his absence, with a hugely talented squad that are perhaps a little under-estimated by PinnacleSports.com's priced 9.400* in a Euro 2008 betting market priced to 105%. Les Bleus begin their campaign against Romania in Zurich, looking to emulate their success in lifting the trophy in 2000.

Excitement in Romania is reaching fever pitch as the national team has qualified for the first major international football event since Euro 2000. It has taken that long for a new generation of Romanian players to step out of the shadow of the Golden Generation spear-headed by Gheorghe Hagi. Cristian Chivu and Adrian Mutu are survivors from the team that reached the knock-out stages eight years ago from a tough group, but this assignment is even harder. The Tricolorii must get something out of this opening fixture but PinnacleSports.com price France favourites 12.240* long shots to top Group C.

*All odds subject change

Euro 2008 Bets - Group C Preview

Wed, 28 May 2008 22:45:01 +0000
Kicks Off June 9
Ever since the draw was made back in December, Euro 2008's Group of Death has been the subject of lengthy debate as to who will emerge from among France, Italy, Holland and Romania. The Euro 2008 betting at PinnacleSports.com for Group C has Italy as 60% better Euro 2008 betting odds available at PinnacleSports.com, then wait for the first Group C games on June 9th.

Italy Head a Three Horse Race for Group Supremacy

World Champions Italy come into the 2008 European Championships looking to erase the memory of their dismal failure in Portugal. The Azzurri were eliminated at the Group stage after a timid showing and the team and manager were heavily criticised on their to Italy. All was forgiven after success in Germany, but expectations remain high for an improved performance on the European stage. This will be Roberto Donadoni's first major tournament as coach; the former Azzurri winger has presided over a transition phase for the national teams since winning the 2006 World Cup.

Donadoni cannot call upon Francesco Totti, who has retired from international football, but he has otherwise retained the backbone of the side that were successful two years ago in Berlin, and who guided Italy the top of qualification Group B ahead of France. The Group of Death poses a real threat to the Italians should they revert to their natural negative tactical game which was their undoing in Portugal. Donadoni should have learned enough to encourage his team to express themselves in attack as much as defence in which case they are capable of another tournament victory priced 8.360* by PinnacleSports.com.

French Possess Enviable Euro 2008 Squad

One look at the names that didn't even make Raymond Domenech's 30 man France squad for Euro 2008, tells you a lot about the strength of Les Bleus. There was no place for David Trezeguet who scored the winning goal in the Euro 2000 final, nor for Gael Clichy of Arsenal. There are several stalwarts in Claude Makele, Patrick Viera and Lilian Thuram, while the future lies in the hands of Lyon's Hatem Ben Arfa and Karim Benzema. Perhaps France's most famous player, Thierry Henry, has suffered an indifferent season with Barcelona, but the former Arsenal great will see Euro 2008 as an opportunity to re-launch his career.

France exceeded expectation in beating Brazil at the 2006 World Cup, and only failed in the final on penalty kicks. Domenech has struggled with moving side forward, and finding the right formation from such an embarrassment of riches. After such a successful season with Bayern Munich, Franck Ribery will be a pivotal figure, with a lot riding on his creative input. PinnacleSports.com price France 9.690* to win Euro 2008.

Can Young Exciting Dutch Come Of Age?

Holland captured the U21 European Championships last summer on home turf, illustrating the abundance of talent coming through the Dutch ranks. Holland have rarely been short of soccer ability, but internal strife has often been their undoing. If coach, Marco Van Basten, can maintain unity then his side have an excellent chance of emulating the success of the U21 side.

The roll call of he Dutch squad includes almost all Europe's top domestic clubs: goalkeeper, Edwin Van der Sar (Man Utd), Robin Van Persie (Arsenal), Dirk Kuyt & Ryan Babel (Liverpool), Wesley Sneijder, Arjen Robbenn & Ruud Van Nistelrooy (Real Madrid). The Oranje may however, have a weak-point in defence, with their quality concentrated in midfield and attack. In qualification they only took one point from six against Group C rivals, Romania, which they will need to improve, but if they can fulfil their undoubted potential, the Dutch could be good value priced 14.00* for overall success at PinnacleSports.com.

Under-estimate Romanians at Your Peril

Having qualified for their first major international tournament since Euro 2000 with two games to spare, Romania must be cursing to have been handed a place in the Group of Death. Their record in European Championships is poor, with one win from nine matches, but coach, Victor Piturca, has a squad capable of improving that record, despite their tough pool. Adrian Mutu was one of the best strikers in Serie A this season, while captain, Cristian Chivu, is a regular with Italian Champions, Inter Milan.

Romania showed they shouldn't be overlooked by finishing on top of qualification group G ahead of Holland, losing just one of their twelve games. The national side has struggled in recent years to emulate what is considered the Golden Era of national football in the early nineties, culminating with a quarter-final at the 1994 World Cup. Controversy and internal wrangling are never far away from the Romanian national side, but their recent 3-0 thrashing of Russia shows they are not just making up the numbers. If Piturca can keep his side under control, Romania could produce a shock similar to that of Greece four years ago. PinnacleSports.com price Romania outsiders to lift the Euro 2008 trophy at 50.00*.

*All odds subject change

Champions League Betting tips

Sun, 18 May 2008 01:21:25 +0000
by Ben
I could make the case for either side or the draw in the 1X2 market. Man U won the league on the final day of the season. Chelsea only managed a draw thus finishing 2 points behind in second.

Arguably, Chelsea finished the league the better team. Since they lost to Arsenal in December, there have been no league defeats at all. They only lost 3 League games all season. They are a hard team to beat. The only other defeats were to Barnsley (FA CUP), Fenerbahce (CL) and Spurs (Carling Cup).

Man U do play the better football and on their day are the best team in the world. Much depends on whether Ronaldo will show up. He never seems to show up for the big games.

I would have priced this game up on the Asian with a level handicap. A one off game between two evenly matched teams in a neutral venue. I think the bookies know that there are more Man U fans so have made them favourites. So if I was betting on the Asian Handicap I would bet on Chelsea +0.25 at 1.80 at Better bet or Betdirect.

I'll be skipping that though and going for the goal line. It's set at 2.0 at Canbet priced at 2.14. So if there are exactly 2 goals its a push and you get your money back. The only scores you can lose are 0-0 and 1-0 either way. Looking at the stats, the last 4 Champions League finals have produced 3 or more goals.

AC Milan 2 - 1 Liverpool
FC Barcelona 2 - 1 Arsenal
Liverpool FC 3 - 3 AC Milan
FC Porto 3 - 0 AS Monaco FC

Plus, I'll be watching the game so I'll want some goals.

Recommended bets
Chelsea +0.25 at 1.80 at Betterbet free £25 bet or Betdirect free £25 bet
Goal line over 2.0 Goals at 2.14 at Click here to Visit. Various Canbet sign up bonuses available.

Weekend Tips / A Lazy �Worst Of� Compilation

Wed, 07 May 2008 15:38:41 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Saying goodbye to the football season is very much like giving birth to a ginger child: after nine months of optimism, hope and anguish, you're left with a genuine feeling of disappointment.

The final day is often emotional. Who could forget Arsenal pipping Liverpool to the title in 1989? Well sadly, my old man. In fact, if you see a small befuddled pensioner roaming the streets, you'll be better off avoiding football trivia altogether; senility is no picnic.

I'm absolutely devastated that I have to work on Sunday as the drama unfolds. The gaffer has offered me double time and a day in lieu though, which I'm reasonably happy with; but it hasn't gone down too well with Louise.

Lou hasn't been this upset since Liverpool were beaten by Chelsea in the Champions League semi-final. Liverpool supporters are like Paul McCartney on his wedding night; they're struggling to get over a disappointing second leg.

Steven 'more dives than Glasgow' Gerrard will hope to inspire his team-mates to a win over Spurs, but I fancy the Tottenham boys at 9/5. They can be heroes, just for Juande.

Manchester United are on the verge of winning the title and I'm particularly pleased for Paul Scholes. There was a worry that Paul's career was over as a result of blurred vision, practically confirming what my mother told me. I'll have my head in my hands if Manchester United fail to beat Wigan at 1/4.

As is often the case in such a high profile match, there has been plenty of early activity in the first goal scorer market. Bookmakers have already seen a monkey on Ronaldo, a pony on Carlos Tevez and an old dog on Wayne Rooney.

A recently discovered tribe of Congolese pygmies have admitted knowing absolutely nothing of western civilisation, other than the fact that Steven Gerrard is better at football than Frank Lampard.

Frank simply isn't that great a player, most of his goals come from his close relationship with the O'Shea family, notably Rick. Frank would need 29 attempts to score on an 18-30 stone holiday.

Frank will not be happy about Chelsea finishing second best to Manchester United. I remember how upset he was when I first suggested that he had a weight problem - he sent me a text that read, 'gbvsdfabdsb'.

Ashley Cole will also be unhappy with a runners-up spot. The overrated full-back is desperate for success to cement his role as a celebrity. He's already been offered a spot on next week's Jonathan Ross show, he just needs to find three pals and a piano. Chelsea are certainties to beat Bolton, i'm all over the 1/6 like John Terry on a referee.

I'm no stranger to disappointment; I once watched all of Soccer AM. Alex McLeish can empathise, he would give his right arm for Birmingham to avoid relegation, but a trade of that magnitude has only ever come off for Heather Mills. I'm backing Blackburn to beat the Blues at 3/1, but be warned, the price is dropping quicker than Steven Gerrard in a penalty area.

Reading are a lot like Princess Diana, they used to look good, but they've hit a wall.

The wife is praying that the Royals stay up, as she's supported them ever since her English teacher wrote 'reading difficulties' on her school report.

I also hope that Reading beat Derby, as I'm not a great fan of Robbie Savage - I can't forget how he kicked me off the waltzers when I was young. I can't let my heart rule my head though, I'm going to be like Robbie and mark the coupon with an 'X' at 7/2.

Portsmouth are currently wobbling like a jelly on a drunken Sumo wrestler - they haven't won in their last handful of games. Actually, they haven't won in their last four games, so it's more of a Jeremy Beadle handful.

I'd like to see Pompey beat Fulham as I have an enormous amount of sympathy for Harry Redknapp; he's been the subject of more enquiries than the 118-118 guys.

Hollywood should make a film of Harry's life, they could call it 'The buying, the twitch and the fraud probe.'

A case can be made for backing Portsmouth at 5/2 to beat Fulham, but it has more holes than Pete Doherty. I'm going to be like David Cameron in college; and get stuck into the draw at 11/4.

Hopefully, my son will become a professional footballer. The last time we had a kick around in the back garden, he nutmegged me twice; nobody's regretted opening their legs on two separate occasions since Mrs Neville.

Phil Neville is like the sun, you should never look directly at him. The lesser of two evils is surprisingly quite bright, he can quote the old Chinese proverb: 'Give a man a fish, and he'll eat for a day; give him twelve cans of lager, and he'll think that Newcastle are worth a bet at Goodison Park.

You don't have to be Stephen Hawking to realise that Everton are nailed on at 10/11, even Mrs Hawking could work that one out; if she wasn't down the gym working the bags.

I once said that Benjani couldn't hit a cow's arse with a banjo. If we were ever to meet, he'd probably want to hit me; i'd better change my name to Annette.

On a related note, I once tried to hit a cow's arse with a banjo - at least that's what I told the police officer, although the lack of a banjo aroused some suspicion.

Middlesbrough are a riddle, wrapped up in an enigma, shrouded in mystery, situated in a hole. The 11/10 for a Boro win over Manchester City is the most enticing proposition since Ulrika Johnson offered Sven Goran Eriksson a little slice of Swedish fish pie.

Is it wrong for me to continually speak of my admiration for Cesc Fabregas? Apparently, it is during lovemaking.

Cesc is a little magician. He'll have a great future in the game as long as he avoids Debbie McGee. Arsenal are a great bet at 10/11 to beat Sunderland, it's as clear as the chin on Frank Lampard's chin.

As an Aston Villa supporter, i'm a huge fan of Randy Lerner. I'm not ashamed to say that all it took to make me happy was just one little Yank.

I did read that a healthy male averages 20 minutes when expressing his love physically; I'm assuming that includes the taxi journey and the queue for the cashpoint. I'll be throwing my cash on a West Ham win over the Villa; the 12/5 is positively pulchritudinous.

The Premier League remains my true love, but I've occasionally strayed into the arms of the football league, the SPL, the conference and the Paralympics. I'm a little bit uncomfortable about watching football at such a poor level though, but Rangers have made it into the UEFA Cup final.

I'm often asked why I appear reluctant to share my expertise on the Scottish football scene. I can assure you it's not a result of xenophobia; some of my best friends know Scottish people. I know that a Celtic win over Hibernian at 1/4 will practically wrap up the title for the Bhoys.

My computer is a lot like the wife, if the information is punched in correctly, positive results are guaranteed. My spreadsheet plays a sound if the odds offered on an accer are greater than the actual probability of success: when I placed 16/1 next to Middlesbrough, Tottenham and West Ham, it whipped out a guitar.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Blackburn Sunday 11th May 15:00 Live on Sky

Birmingham 21/20
Draw 13/5
Blackburn 3/1

Get on: Blackburn

Chelsea v Bolton Sunday 11th May 15:00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 1/6
Draw 7/1
Bolton 18/1

Get on: Chelsea

Derby v Reading Sunday 11th May 15:00

Derby 11/2
Draw 7/2
Reading 8/13

Get on: Draw

Everton v Newcastle Sunday 11th May 15:00

Everton 10/11
Draw 5/2
Newcastle 7/2

Get on: Everton

Middlesbrough v Man City Sunday 11th May 15:00

Middlesbrough 11/10
Draw 12/5
Man City 27/10

Get on: Middlesbrough

Portsmouth v Fulham Sunday 11th May 15:00 Live on Setanta

Portsmouth 5/2
Draw 11/4
Fulham 6/5

Get on: Draw

Sunderland v Arsenal Sunday 11th May 15:00

Sunderland 17/5
Draw 11/4
Arsenal 10/11

Get on: Arsenal

Tottenham v Liverpool Sunday 11th May 15:00

Tottenham 9/5
Draw 12/5
Liverpool 7/4

Get on: Tottenham

West Ham v Aston Villa Sunday 11th May 15:00

West Ham 12/5
Draw 5/2
Aston Villa 13/10

Get on: West Ham

Wigan v Man Utd Sunday 11th May 15:00 Live on Sky

Wigan 14/1
Draw 11/2
Man Utd 1/4

Get on: Man Utd

Thai Hard: With a Vengeance

Wed, 30 Apr 2008 23:42:27 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Tubby Brazilian Ronaldo may be one of the greatest players to ever grace a football pitch, but he's definitely a poor role model. The AC Milan man let himself down when he invited three members of the late-night entertainment industry back to a motel. It wasn't just the fact that they turned out to be ladyboys; he shamefully offered to pay them for doing nothing. If I pay a builder to construct a conservatory, and he brings along a few superfluous tools, I'd expect him to keep his head down and finish the job.

This sorry tale was not the only case of mistaken identity this week; Rio Ferdinand kicked a female Chelsea steward after mistaking her for a wall. It sounds like a tall story, but I once kicked the wife by accident; I thought she was her mother.

This is Rio's first high profile gaffe since that moment of madness a few years ago, when he dated Emma Bunton. I will definitely be dipping in to the 7/1 for a draw between Manchester United and West Ham.

Rio wasn't the only player involved in controversy at Stamford Bridge last week; Michael Ballack and Didier Drogba almost came to blows over a free kick; they should really have got a room with Ronaldo. I can't get my head around the 11/2 for a Newcastle win over Chelsea.

The funniest moment of the match came after the final whistle, when the Manchester United players had a Benny Hill style fight with the Chelsea groundsmen. The United boys were completely out of order; Rio Ferdinand should know by now to keep off the grass. Middlesbrough are involved in a real fight, they'll beat Portsmouth at 11/10.

Rafa Benitez's decision to wind up Didier Drogba prior to their Champion's League semi will rightfully be filed alongside Ronaldo's shemale escapades in the 'what a massive rick' category, but both are trumped by my decision to make a move on a waitress when I holidayed in Thailand. I won't bore you with all the gruesome details, but let's just say that she wasn't the only one who received a large tip. I'm far more comfortable with this tip; back Liverpool to beat the imploding Manchester City at 8/11.

Gareth Barry is considering a move to Liverpool as he wants to join a club that can match his ambition. Evidently his ambition is to perform adequately in Europe and never win the league. The Villa can overtake Everton for the UEFA cup spot by seeing off Wigan at 4/7.

Last week was disastrous for Birmingham City. As the Blues threw away a 2-0 lead at home, Fulham were performing miracles in Manchester and Bolton were holding on for a point at White Hart Lane. Maybe there is a little truth in the gypsy's curse; they should never have sold him to Blackburn. Fulham v Birmingham will be a cracker, I'll explode when Fulham take the points at 5/4.

Robbie Savage could definitely forge a career in the female impersonation industry once his best footballing days are behind him; somewhere in 1998. Blackburn are a far better team since they dropped the blonde deadwood; they'll beat Derby by two or more goals at 5/6.

If Reading v Tottenham produces as much action as the reverse fixture, it'll be quite an entertaining game. Tottenham romped to a 6-4 victory at the Lane; narrowly foiling my bet on 'no goalscorer'. Reading have deteriorated since then; they haven't scored a goal since March and only Derby have a worse goal difference. If Tottenham don't take all three points at 12/5, I'll be more hurt than when I woke up in Thailand with a worse limp than Heather Mills.

All the warning signs were there with that Thai waitress, she actually warned me that she'd be bringing some nuts up to the room. I thought she meant that I'd enjoy a late night snack - unfortunately, I was correct. I'm definitely right in taking a large slice of the 8/11 for an Arsenal win over Everton.

I'm reminded of my Thai nightmare whenever I see Roy Keane's infamous challenge on Alf-Inge Haaland; that was some tackle. Roy's boys have been priced up at 11/2 against Bolton, that's very, very big.

It was quite ironic that I ended up in a compromising position with a male who looked like a female, as my wife could easily pass for a builder. Aston Villa, Blackburn, Tottenham and Arsenal form a 10/1 accer of which there can be absolutely no ambiguity.

Weekend Football Betting:

Man Utd v West Ham Saturday 3rd May 12:45 Live on Sky

Man Utd 1/5
Draw 6/1
West Ham 16/1

Get on: Draw

Aston Villa v Wigan Saturday 3rd May 15:00

Aston Villa 4/7
Draw 14/5
Wigan 6/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Blackburn v Derby Saturday 3rd May 15:00

Blackburn 3/10
Draw 9/2
Derby 12/1

Get on: Blackburn

Fulham v Birmingham Saturday 3rd May 15:00

Fulham 5/4
Draw 12/5
Birmingham 23/10

Get on: Fulham

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Saturday 3rd May 15:00

Middlesbrough 11/10
Draw 5/2
Portsmouth 11/4

Get on: Middlesbrough

Reading v Tottenham Saturday 3rd May 15:00

Reading 5/4
Draw 12/5
Tottenham 12/5

Get on: Tottenham

Bolton v Sunderland Saturday 3rd May 17:15 Live on Setanta

Bolton 4/6
Draw 3/1
Sunderland 11/2

Get on: Sunderland

Arsenal v Everton Sunday 4th May 13:30 Live on Sky

Arsenal 8/11
Draw 11/4
Everton 9/2

Get on: Arsenal

Liverpool v Man City Sunday 4th May 16:00 Live on Sky

Liverpool 8/11
Draw 11/4
Man City 9/2

Get on: Liverpool

Newcastle v Chelsea Monday 5th May 16:00 Live on Sky

Newcastle 5/1
Draw 16/5
Chelsea 8/13

Get on: Newcastle

Asian Handicap Premiership Preview

Thu, 24 Apr 2008 09:57:59 +0000

After 35 games the destination of the Premiership title could come down to 90 minutes at Stamford Bridge on Saturday. Man Utd lead Chelsea by just three points, so a win for the Blues would draw the teams level, taking the championship race down to the wire, with only a further two games remaining. On the flip-side, a win for the Red Devils would surely give Alex Ferguson a tenth Premiership title. Get close to the action with a bet at PinnacleSports.com, offering 60% better Premiership betting odds.

Showdown at Stamford Bridge Could Decide Premiership Title

There may be ten Premiership fixtures taking place this weekend, with relegation issues and European places still to be resolved, but the focus will be firmly on Stamford Bridge at lunchtime on Saturday. Alex Ferguson takes the Premiership leaders, Manchester United, to face a showdown against second place Chelsea, that will have a massive say in who takes home the league trophy. Punters should ensure they get the best available odds for what promises to be a very close encounter. PinnacleSports.com cannot separate the sides on their Asian Handicap pricing Chelsea very marginal favourites 2.230 (0/scratch)* – a market priced to less than 102%.

Though the game is critical to the Premiership race, it cannot be billed as winner takes all, because even if United lose, allowing Chelsea to draw level on points, their superior goal difference (18 goals better) keeps them ahead of Chelsea. This represents an insurmountable deficit for Chelsea, who therefore need to win all three remaining fixtures – starting on Saturday – and then still hope that Fergie drops a point at home to West Ham, or away to Wigan on the final day of the season.

To clear the first hurdle Chelsea will need to be at the very top of their game, then hope lady luck is shining down on them. Avram Grant may well feel that fortune is on his side, as on Tuesday night Chelsea were outplayed at Anfield in their Champions League semi-final, but they clung on, and in the added time were gifted a precious away goal courtesy of Liverpool’s John Arne Riise. Buoyed by that result Chelsea will come into this game feeling that anything is possible. Chelsea haven’t lost a league game at Stamford Bridge since February 2004, but while their tremendous form at home suggests they will be hard to beat, it doesn’t follow that they can actually unlock United’s defence.

Under Avram Grant Chelsea have lacked imagination, and could be easily frustrated by a compact United who showed at the Nou Camp on Wednesday night that they can frustrate the best in Europe, closing out a 0-0 draw against Barcelona. Neither side have any fresh injury worries and the form of recent encounters is in Chelsea’s favour, as Man Utd haven’t scored in their last four Premiership visits to Stamford Bridge. However, the last two encounters should be discounted as on both occasion the Premiership title had already been decided. United won 2-0 at Old Trafford last September, but they were helped by John Mikel Obi’s sending off, and faced a severely weakened Chelsea line-up.

*All odds subject to change

There Ste Goes Again

Thu, 17 Apr 2008 18:00:51 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
As a society, we're obsessed with appearance. I blame teen magazines for perpetuating the myth that skinniness equals beauty. If I had to choose between a thin girl and a lady with a fuller figure, I'd choose the one with the better personality. Obviously, if they're equally pleasant, then fatty's out of luck.

Men are far less uptight about how they look. Petr Cech was happy to return to work when half of his face was hanging off; he wasn't concerned that he looked like Steve Bruce's better looking brother.

Cech was back between the sticks within no time, as he managed to borrow the necessary protection from Ashley Cole. Not many people own chin guards, but Cashley is always wary of bouncing balls. I'll be jumping up and down when Everton beat Chelsea at 14/5.

Juande Ramos believes that his players should take pride in their appearance, and has banned cakes and sweets from the canteen. I agree with Juande on this one; I'll only consider a muffin once a year. If Wigan get their head down against Tottenham, they can take a point at 5/2.

Gareth Southgate is far more relaxed with his players' diet. In Mido and Alves, he has the fattest pair up front since a heavily pregnant Jordan. Bolton are about as pleasing to the eye as Peter Andre's often visited partner; a relatively attractive Boro will overpower them at 11/10.

Thaksin Shinawatra is taking a real gamble in considering Phil Scolari as a future coach. Big Phil once punched an annoying player at the end of a match; there's a real chance that he might raise a fist to Ashley Cole. Pompey haven't won away at Manchester City since 1963, I'm going in deep on Sven's men at 11/8 to gain revenge for being tucked up on the Benjani deal.

Steven Gerrard has suffered panic attacks ever since a gangster threatened to break his legs; he now collapses without warning roughly every 30 minutes. The precipitating midfielder and his pals have lost on their last two trips to the Cottage; current circumstances dictate that we back Fulham at 3/1.

Arsenal's season can be compared to putting your hand up Lily Allen's blouse: it's been exciting, but the end result is a disappointment. It wouldn't surprise me if the Gunners laid a marker for next season by pounding Reading at 4/11.

Paul Jewell's move to Derby is officially the greatest mistake since I fell for the 'I'm on the pill' line. After a six goal humiliation at home to Aston Villa, the Rams travel to West Ham to face a side who beat them 5-0 at 'Pride' Park. Derby have two hopes in this one, Bob Hope and no hope; and Bob Hope's dead. The Hammers are the weekend banker at 2/5.

Many people believe that Mark Hughes will be the next manager of Manchester United. I'm not sure if Hughes is ready to succeed Sir Alex just yet, he needs to work on his referee-haranguing. I'd consider offering the position to Fergie's son; he would soon knock them into shape. United will pile in to Blackburn at 8/13.

I was shocked to receive an email suggesting that I was out of line for calling Karen Brady unattractive. I guess the old adage is true: one man's meat is another man's poison, unless you're Ashley Cole. Aston Villa are one win away from their second straight double over the Brady bunch, and they're guaranteed a goal start if Ridgewell plays. I've seen worse bets than the 5/6 for a Villa win; I tipped them up last week.

If Freddie Shepherd is to be believed, and why wouldn't he, the women of Newcastle are not the best looking breed. No wonder Jimmy Nail, Paul Gascoigne and Peter Beardsley left the area. It could get real ugly when the Toon Army host Sunderland; I'll side with Newcastle at 5/6.

If, like me, your partner is less than pleasing aesthetically, feel free to use my adage to help them feel a little bit better about themselves. 'Beauty fades, but a solid ironing technique will last forever'. I'm not sure how long the 13/1 will last about this week's accer: Arsenal, West Ham, Aston Villa, Newcastle and Manchester City are the quite stunning selections.

Weekend Betting:

Everton v Chelsea Thursday 17th April 19:45 Live on Sky

Everton 14/5
Draw 5/2
Chelsea 23/20

Get on: Everton

Arsenal v Reading Saturday 19th April 12:45 Live on Sky

Arsenal 4/11
Draw 4/1
Reading 11/1

Get on: Arsenal

Fulham v Liverpool Saturday 19th April 15:00

Fulham 3/1
Draw 5/2
Liverpool Evs

Get on: Fulham

Middlesbrough v Bolton Saturday 19th April 15:00

Middlesbrough 11/10
Draw 23/10
Bolton 11/4

Get on: Middlesbrough

West Ham v Derby Saturday 19th April 15:00

West Ham 2/5
Draw 4/1
Derby 9/1

Get on: West Ham

Wigan v Tottenham Saturday 19th April 15:00

Wigan 7/4
Draw 5/2
Tottenham 7/4

Get on: Draw

Blackburn v Man Utd Saturday 19th April 17:15 Live on Setanta

Blackburn 11/2
Draw 3/1
Man Utd 8/13

Get on: Man Utd

Aston Villa v Birmingham Sunday 20th April 12:00

Aston Villa 5/6
Draw 13/5
Birmingham 4/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Newcastle v Sunderland Sunday 20th April 13:30 Live on Sky

Newcastle 5/6
Draw 5/2
Sunderland 7/2

Get on: Newcastle

Man City v Portsmouth Sunday 20th April 16:00 Live on Sky

Man City 11/8
Draw 23/10
Portsmouth 11/5

Get on: Man City

Weekend Asian Handicap Premiership Preview

Thu, 10 Apr 2008 18:37:19 +0000

As the season builds to a climax, the online Premiership betting market is looking like a re-run of last year's campaign, when Chelsea tried in vain to chase down Man Utd. The Red Devils' draw last weekend at the Riverside certainly gives the Blues hope, and should Arsenal get a result at Old Trafford on Sunday, the Premier League online betting market could be turned on its head. Be part of the action with a bet at PinnacleSports.com offering up to 60% better Premiership betting odds.

Gunners' Visit to Old Trafford Last Chance to Catch United

Arsenal go to Old Trafford on Sunday looking to bridge the six point gap that separates them from the Premiership leaders. With only five games remaining, the Gunners simply have to win at the Theatre of Dreams to retain any realistic chance of catching Man Utd. The Londoners inflicted one of just two defeats the Red Devils experienced at home last season, courtesy of a late Emmanuel Adebayor strike, but their recent league form doesn't suggest they are capable of a similar result. Arsenal have won just one of their last seven Premier League fixtures, including five stalemates, and their heads will down after dramatic Champions League exit at Anfield on Tuesday night.

In such low spirits they are unlikely to overturn a Man Utd side who in stark contrast, are peaking at the right time, winning their last three home Premiership games by aggregate of 9-0. Cristiano Ronaldo is on fire, scoring his 27th league goal at the Riverside, and though the 2-2 draw against Boro should be considered a slip-up, they cruised through to the last four of the Champions League on Wednesday resting Ronaldo, Rooney, and Scholes leaving them fresh for this key game. PinnacleSports.com price Man Utd favourites 1.893 (-0.5)* with Arsenal 2.040 (+0.5)* - a market priced to less than 102%.

Chelsea Must Maintain Pressure on Red Devils

By the time Chelsea run out at Stamford Bridge on Monday to face Wigan, they'll know by how much they are playing catch-up to Premiership leaders, Man Utd, who entertain Arsenal on Sunday. Blues' coach, Avram Grant, will be hoping for a favour from their London rivals. Should Arsenal win at Old Trafford, then a Chelsea win over the 'Latics would bring the sides level on points, with the Red Devils still to visit the Bridge. This game is one of four home games among Chelsea's five remaining fixtures, which is certainly in their favour, given their amazing 79 game unbeaten league record at Stamford Bridge.

Wigan's record against the 'big four' underlines PinnacleSports.com's heavy favouritism toward Chelsea. In three Premiership seasons they have taken just two points from all meetings with Arsenal, Liverpool, Man Utd and Chelsea (who have a 100% record in encounters). Wigan's relegation struggle was given a huge boost last weekend with a 2-0 home win over Birmingham, but boss, Steve Bruce, may be pragmatic enough to see upcoming games against Spurs and Reading, as providing much more realistic chances for ensuring survival than here. After Chelsea's Champions League win over Fenerbahce on Tuesday night, they can fully focus on the Premiership, with their European dreams still alive. PinnacleSports.com price Chelsea favourites 1.826 (-1.5)* with Wigan 2.110 (+1.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

Asian Handicap Pinnacle Preview

Thu, 03 Apr 2008 13:03:45 +0000

There are now just six remaining Premiership fixtures before the end of the season. That may make fans of online soccer betting feel a bit sad, but on the bright side there a half a dozen opportunities for bettors to get 60% better Premiership betting odds on Asian Handicaps at PinnacleSports.com.

United Travel to Riverside in Buoyant Mood

Manchester United will approach Sunday’s Premiership fixture at the Riverside in a buoyant mood, having put themselves in a very strong position to progress to the last four of the Champions League. Alex Ferguson is now eyeing a European and domestic double, with the only blot on a fantastic week being the knee injury Nemanja Vidic sustained in Rome. John O’Shea is however, an able deputy, and should slot into the back four against Middlesbrough, as the Red Devils look to consolidate their five point lead at the top of the Premiership table.

Cristiano Ronaldo continued his unstoppable form scoring against Roma, and given the cushion of the two goal lead against the Italians, Fergie may not feel the need to rest his star striker in preparation for the return leg on the 10th. Certainly, Boro’s manager, Gareth Southgate, would be happy to see the winger on the bench. His side have little left to play for, with an eight point gap between them and relegation, but should be lifted by the visit of the Champions. The Teessiders ran Chelsea close last week at Stamford Bridge, losing by a single goal, but PinnacleSports.com make them underdogs on their Asian Handicap pricing Man Utd 2.00 (-1 & -1.5)* with Middlesbrough 1.926 (+1 & +1.5)* - a market priced to less than 102%.

Arsenal & Liverpool Meet for Part II of Trilogy

Arsenal and Liverpool meet at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday lunchtime for a repeat of Wednesday night’s Champions League quarter-final first leg which ended 1-1, handing the advantage to the Scousers. The Gunners still retain a slim hope of catching Premiership leaders, Man Utd, given they must still visit Old Trafford, but to do that they must realistically win all remaining fixtures. Last weekend’s dramatic fight-back at the Reebok was Arsenal’s first win in five league games, and though it should have restored some confidence, it isn’t enough to dispel the feeling that Arsenal are a spent force.

Liverpool’s win in the Mersey Derby has put them in pole position to finish in the crucial fourth Champions League spot, achieved against a background of boardroom chaos. With a five point cushion to Everton, in fifth, a relatively comfortable run of fixtures to the end of the season, Rafa Benitez may feel justified in shuffling his side ahead of the return Champions League fixture at Anfield on Tuesday night. The most likely candidates to be rested are Steven Gerrard and Fernando Torres, Liverpool’s proven match-winners. Premiership bettors should play close attention to team news ahead of the game then check out PinnacleSports.com’s Asian Handicap odds, offering 60% value than the traditional bookmakers. Arsenal are priced marginal favourites 1.877 (0/scratch & -0.5)* with Liverpool 2.050 (0/scratch & +0.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

Sportingbet Odds

Mon, 31 Mar 2008 15:06:11 +0000

Roma v Man Utd

The last Italian Champions League representatives take on Manchester United in the Quarter-Finals desperate to avoid a repeat of last year's hammering at the hands of the English club. After a fine 2-1 win in the Italian capital Roma went to Old Trafford confident of reaching the semi-finals but they were met with a five-star United performance as they crashed to an embarrassing 7-1 defeat. Now the sides meet again at this stage but after knocking out Spanish league leaders Real Madrid in the last round Luciano Spalletti's side will be confident of a bold showing against the English champions.

Roma 2.7 Draw 3.0 Man Utd 2.5

Schalke 04 v Barcelona

Barcelona haven't had the easiest of seasons with Real Madrid dominating La Liga and rumours of Frank Rijkaard departing the club at the end of the season. Despite this they should be good enough to reach the semi-finals as they take on German side Schalke 04. Schalke have never reached this far in Champions League history and are big underdogs to go another round further. Mirko Slomca's side managed to get past 2004 winners Porto in the Last 16 and will certainly feel no pressure taking on Barcelona.

Schalke 3.5 Draw 3.2 Barcelona 2.0

Arsenal v Liverpool

With half the remaining sides in the Champions League English it was inevitable that two of them would clash at this Quarter-Finals stage and so it turned out that way with Liverpool and Arsenal being drawn together. Either of these sides have featured in the final of this competition in the last three years so this should be a thrilling encounter. While Liverpool have struggled to get in the Premiership picture this season their European record has been as superb as ever. Arsenal, who stunned AC Milan in the previous round, have been challenging for the English title all season but have they gone off the boil?

Arsenal 2.1 Draw 3.0 Liverpool 3.4

Fenerbahce v Chelsea

As well as Schalke, Fenerbahce are also in this stage for the first time and they face a massive task against Avram Grant's Chelsea side over the two legs. The London side are pressing Manchester United for the English title but this is the competition that owner Roman Abramovich wants to win more than any other. Fenerbahce, who managed to eliminate UEFA Cup holders Sevilla in the last round, will look to their legendary manager Zico to inspire them to another unlikely win.

Fenerbahce 3.8 Draw 3.2 Chelsea 1.9

Premiership Online Betting Preview - Matchday 32 Preview (Mar 29-30)

Thu, 27 Mar 2008 11:00:56 +0000

Last weekend's Grand Slam premiership fixtures lived up to the hype, producing goals, a red card and a dramatic finish at Stamford Bridge. Chelsea and Man Utd came out on top, shaking up the odds at online Premiership betting specialists, PinnacleSports.com. The pair look set to battle it out for the Premiership title, with their meeting on April 26th a possible decider. There is of course plenty more at stake in the remaining seven matchdays including European qualification and the relegation battle, but wherever the action is, PinnacleSports.com will be offering up to 60% better Premiership betting odds.

Fergie Believes Title Race Still Alive

Man Utd coach, Alex Ferguson, was in a gracious mood following his sides emphatic 3-0 win over Liverpool at Old Trafford last Sunday. The Premiership's most experienced coach stated that 'the title race is going right to end of the season' despite his team opening a five-point gap over Chelsea, who leap-frogged Arsenal into second place. Despite his comments, Fergie must inwardly feel that the title is his to throw away, though the Red Devils still have Arsenal at home, and Chelsea away.

United have only a single name on their injury list - Louis Saha - but travel to Rome on Tuesday for the first leg of their Champions League quarter-final, which may mean Fergie shuffles the pack for Saturday's home game with Aston Villa. The Villans are one of the most improved Premiership teams of the season, but their challenge for a UEFA Cup spot has floundered in recent weeks, and they are now without a win in four league fixtures, and haven't kept a clean sheet in eighteen games, which is a real concern against the Premier League's most potent strike force. Man Utd have won the last 13 meetings of the clubs, and PinnacleSports.com make them favourites on their Asian Handicap 1.813 (-1 & -1.5)* with Aston Villa 2.130 (+1 & +1.5)* - a market priced to only 102%.

More Than Pride at Stake in Mersey Derby

There is never any love lost when Everton and Liverpool play each other. The Mersey Derby could easily claim to be one of the most famous club rivalries in world football, but Sunday's meeting at Anfield has the added spice of a battle for fourth place and Champions League qualification. Liverpool are currently two points ahead of the Toffees, having played the same number of games, with Portsmouth a further seven points adrift in sixth. This game will therefore have a crucial bearing on the battle to play on Europe's biggest stage next season.

Both clubs experienced disappointing results last weekend. Liverpool were drubbed 3-0 at Old Trafford, while Everton were held at home by West Ham. The Reds will be without Javier Mascherano after his red card at the Theatre of Dreams, while Everton are weakened by the absence of two key attacking players, Tim Cahill and Andy Johnson. This game is often - unsurprisingly - a tense affair but Liverpool hold the upper hand as David Moyes' side haven't won at Anfield in seven Premiership visits, but four of those games ended in stalemate, three without a goal. PinnacleSports.com make Liverpool favourites 2.070 (-0.5 & -1)* with Everton 1.862 (+0.5 & +1)*.

*All odds subject to change

Bet on this Week's Sport

Tue, 25 Mar 2008 12:53:33 +0000

Wednesday's International Football

France v England - Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 8:00pm

Tonight's big match sees former World Champions France host England at the Stade de France. David Beckham will win his 100th England cap and Rio Ferdinand will lead the side out as captain in Fabio Capello's second match in charge. England made a positive start to the Capello era with a 2-1 victory over Switzerland at Wembley last month and they will be keen to follow it up with another success as the long build-up to this autumn's World Cup qualifiers continues.

Beckham has once again been the centre of attention ahead of the clash at Stade de France and Capello has confirmed that he will become England's fifth centurion after Peter Shilton, Bobby Moore, Bobby Charlton and Billy Wright.

France have been priced as favourites at 11/10 (Better), meanwhile England have been priced at 19/10 by Centrebet to get the win.

France to Win 11/10 Better

Draw 21/10 Centrebet

England to Win 15/8 VC Bet

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on France v England if Peter Crouch scores at anytime in this match.*

Scotland v Croatia - Live on Sky Sports 2, k/o 8:00pm

Scotland's match against Croatia could prove pivotal to the national team's attempt to qualify for the World Cup. That is according to new manager George Burley, who believes that his side can make a good start with their preparations for their first qualifying game in September this year when they face Croatia. Burley has a number of selection headaches for his first game in charge of the national side. No less than seven members of his squad have been forced to withdraw due to injury, although this gives the opportunity for numerous fringe players to stake their claim for a regular berth.

The game is the first of three friendlies for Burley, with only two more encounters against Czech Republic and Northern Ireland to come before they begin their World Cup qualifying campaign. However, Scotland will have their work cut out against Croatia. Croatia proved themselves to be serious contenders for Euro 2008, having beaten England twice and looking excellent during the qualification stages.

Croatia have been priced as favourites at 5/4 (Centrebet), meanwhile Scotland have been priced at 7/4 by Better to make a winning start to Burley's reign.

Scotland to Win 7/4 Better

Draw 11/5 Centrebet

Croatia to Win 11/8 VC Bet

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Scotland v Croatia if Gary O'Connor scores at anytime in this match.*

Open an account with any of the following bookmakers and receive a free bet:

VC Bet £100 in Free Bets BGbet £100 Free Bet

Betterbet £25 Free Bet Centrebet £20 Free Bet

Odds subject to fluctuation - Odds taken at 9.00am 26/03/2008

* Refunds are in the form of free bets. Max stake £100

Bet On Sports this weekend

Thu, 20 Mar 2008 11:13:35 +0000

We have some fantastic sport this weekend, with Super Sunday featuring Man Utd v Liverpool and Chelsea v Arsenal. We also have the 4:00pm at Doncaster and the 4:45pm at Haydock on Saturday.

Saturday's Premiership Football

Tottenham v Portsmouth - Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 12:45pm

After the tremendous 4-4 draw against Chelsea in mid week, Tottenham will be looking to take all three points against Portsmouth. In recent weeks, Tottenham have stuttered somewhat, having lost to Birmingham and Man City, but then demolishing West Ham and matching Chelsea, so it's difficult to predict which Tottenham will turn up on Saturday. Portsmouth have been in good form of late, having won three of the last four games, which included games against Man Utd and Aston Villa. Pompey have lost three of the last nine away games (Sunderland, Everton and United), and their impressive away form this season has seen them win eight league games from 15, scoring 22 goals. With Jermaine Defoe returning to his old club, don't bet against him getting on the scoresheet. With Tottenham at home, bookies have priced them as favourites for this match, with VC Bet offering 9/10 on a home win, while Portsmouth have been priced at 2/1 (Better) to get something at White Hart Lane.
BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Tottenham v Portsmouth if Darren Bent scores at anytime in this match.*

Everton v West Ham - Live on Setanta Sports 1, k/o 5:15pm

After last weekend's surprise defeat to Fulham, Everton's grasp on fourth place has slipped somewhat and they will be desperate to get back to winning ways against West Ham. Liverpool's run of five straight wins has left the Toffees trailing, but given the Reds' next three games are against Man Utd, Everton themselves and Arsenal, the table could look very different in a couple of weeks. The Hammers' victory over Blackburn last weekend would have gone a long way to repairing the damage of three consecutive 4-0 defeats. And while a European place is surely out of their grasp, Alan Curbishley's team will be determined to finish a largely disappointing season on a high. Bookmakers have placed Everton as favourites, pricing them at 8/11 (Centrebet) to get the win, while VC Bet have priced West Ham at 23/5 to reinstall some pride at Goodison Park.
BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Everton v West Ham if Andy Johnson scores at anytime in this match.*

Sunday's Premiership Football

Man Utd v Liverpool - Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 1:30pm

The first big match this Super Sunday sees fierce rivals Man Utd take on Liverpool at Old Trafford. United are strong at home and have lost just one of their 15 fixtures at Old Trafford in the top-flight this term, conceding just five times in the process. United boast plenty of strength in depth and the likes of Anderson and Hargreaves protect the back four just as effectively as Alonso and Mascherano do for Liverpool, while United's attacking options are unrivalled in the Premiership. The Red Devils have triumphed in their last four meetings against Liverpool. However, in recent seasons the Merseyside outfit has a Better record at the Theatre of Dreams than most, having prevailed in three of their last eight league visits. Encounters between these sides are invariably tight - only one of their last seven matches has produced more than a solitary goal - and one goal may well again prove enough either way. Rafa Benitez's charges have won their seven fixtures in all competitions subsequent to the shock defeat to Barnsley and the club's most potent attacking weapons, Steven Gerrard and Fernando Torres, have been in cracking form. Indeed, the dynamic duo are responsible for eight of Liverpool's last 10 goals overall and there should be more to come. Either an uncharacteristic mistake a moment of brilliance on the part of either of these giants of the game could prove the difference. Man Utd have been priced as favourites at 5/6 (Better), meanwhile Liverpool have been priced at 11/4 by Centrebet to dent United's title challenge.

Man Utd to Win 5/6 Better

Draw 21/10 Centrebet

Liverpool to Win 33/10 VC Bet

BGbet are offering to refund all losing correct score bets on Man Utd v Liverpool match if the game finishes 0-0.*

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Man Utd v Liverpool if Michael Carrick scores at anytime in this match.*

Chelsea v Arsenal - Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 4:00pm

The second big game of Super Sunday sees Arsenal travel to Stamford Bridge aiming to do what no other team has managed in the last four years - win. The Gunners were the last team to inflict a home defeat on The Blues, and must match that feat to keep the pressure on United at the top. However, Chelsea will go all out for the win that would blow the title race wide open. Chelsea have been in Better form in the past few weeks, having won two of the last four games. Arsenal on the other hand have drawn their last four Premiership games on the trot, seeing their three point advantage turn into a three point deficit behind Man Utd. This match will be a tight and anxious affair that could go either way, Arsenal have good record of surprising when the odds are against them. Chelsea's home form has been tremendous in recent years, having remained unbeaten in four years, a statistic that they will be resolute in defending against the Gunners. With both teams title challenge on the line in this match, neither team can afford to sit back and be content with a draw. With Chelsea's home advantage, the Blues have been priced as favourites at 5/4 (VC Bet), meanwhile Arsenal have been priced at 11/5 by Better to keep the pressure on United.

Chelsea to Win 11/10 Better

Draw 11/5 Centrebet

Arsenal to Win 5/2 VC Bet

BGbet are offering to refund all losing correct score bets on Chelsea v Arsenal match if the game finishes 0-0.*

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Chelsea v Arsenal if Frank Lampard scores at anytime in this match.*

BGbet have a fantastic offering on the Premiership football this weekend. Place a Correct Score bet on any of the weekend Premiership matches and if it gets beat by an Injury time goal we will refund your losing correct score stakes on that game. *

Weekend Racing
This Saturday big race sees two fantastic races, the Lincoln at 4:00pm Doncaster and the Handicap Chase at 4:45pm Haydock. BGbet have some fantastic promotions for the weekend's racing:

BGbet will be paying ¼ odds 1-2-3-4-5 on The Lincoln at 4:00pm Doncaster.

If your horse falls during the Handicap Chase at 4:45pm Haydock, BGbet will refund your stakes in the form of free bets.**

Open an account with any of the following bookmakers and receive a free bet:

VC Bet £100 in Free Bets BGbet £100 Free Bet

Betterbet £25 Free Bet Centrebet £20 Free Bet

Odds subject to fluctuation - Odds taken at 9.00am 20/03/2008

* Refunds are in the form of free bets. Max stake £100

** T&C's
� Also applies if your horse was brought down, unseated or refused
� Min Stake £5 Max Stake £50
� Bets must be placed after 10am Saturday
� Singles only
� Win Or Each Way
� Web Customers only
� Free bets will be available from Monday 10am

Premiership Betting - Matchday 30 Preview (Mar 15-17)

Thu, 13 Mar 2008 20:19:08 +0000

After failure in both the Carling and FA Cup, the sharks are circling around Chelsea's Avram Grant, while West Ham's Alan Curbishley and Newcastle's Kevin Keegan are both in deep water following a string of heavy defeats. Its getting to crunch time in the Premiership, so all managers will fee the pressure to a certain extent, but bettors have to decide which teams will sink and which will swim, then go to PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better Premiership betting odds.

Another Uphill Struggle for Championship Bound Derby

Poor Derby are having a tough time of it in the Premier League. The Rams have won just one game all season, and with eight games remaining are a massive 16 points from safety. After Wednesday night's heavy 6-1 defeat at Stamford Bridge, the Premiership's bottom club entertain Man Utd at Pride Park on Saturday, with another uphill struggle anticipated. For most punters it is matter of not if Derby lose, but by how many. In that case it's important to note that despite their woes, Derby have only lost three home games by more than a single goal this season.

Man Utd were incensed by last weekend's exit from the FA Cup, heavily criticising the referee, and will be in the mood for revenge at Pride Park. The fate of the defending Premiership Champions is in their own hands; if they win all their remaining games, they will retain the title, and this is certainly a game they would expect to take maximum points from. Complacency is the probably the biggest threat, but Alex Ferguson is the Premier League's most experienced boss, and the home defeat by Pompey will have brought his side down to earth. PinnacleSports.com price Man Utd favourites 1.714 (-1.5 & -2)* with Derby 2.300 (+1.5 & +2)* - a market priced to less than 102%.

Gunners Need Reaction to Poor Show at JJB

Premiership leaders, Arsenal, were literally bogged down on a muddy pitch at the JJB Stadium last Sunday, sharing a disappointing goalless draw with Wigan. The result was a shock as the Gunners were riding high after the historic 2-0 win over AC Milan at the San Siro. In the title race the pendulum now swings back to Man Utd, who have a game in hand, so Arsenal can ill afford further slip-ups.

Arsenal entertain Middlesbrough at the Emirates Stadium on Saturday evening, when Robin Van Persie should start his first league game since the seventh of October. The Dutchman should add some attacking spice as the Gunners seek to end a four game run without a Premiership win. Boro will still be licking their wounds after being booed off the pitch by home fans who watched them lose to Cardiff in the FA Cup, but they held Villa to a draw on Wednesday should have lifted their spirits a little. Nevertheless, PinnacleSports.com price Arsenal favourites 1.800 (-1.5)* with Middlesbrough 2.150 (+1.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

UEFA Cup Betting Preview - Round of 16 Knockout Phase: Second Legs (Mar 12-13)

Mon, 10 Mar 2008 19:21:37 +0000

Premiership clubs made a very poor show in the first leg knockout games of the last 16 of the UEFA Cup. Spurs and Everton both lost without scoring, while Bolton were held at home. In contrast Bayern Munich cemented their position as UEFA Cup outright favourites, winning 5-0 at Anderlecht, and only a miracle can stop them progressing to the quarter-finals; but who'll be joining them? Go to PinnacleSport.com for 60% better UEFA Cup betting odds.

Can Premiership Clubs Turn the UEFA Cup Tide

Fiorentina gave Everton a harsh lesson in European football last Thursday night. La Viola were frustrated by an inspirational first half performance by Tim Howard in the Everton goal, but the Serie A side eventually found their way past the American in the second half. The Italians' 2-0 wins puts them in the driving seat for the return leg at Goodison Park this Thursday night (Mar 13). At least the Toffees should have influential midfielder, Mikel Arteta, in from the start, having recovered from injury, but it will require a tremendous effort from David Moyes' side to overcome the two goal deficit. Everton are favourites 1.943 (-0.5)* with Fiorentina 1.980 (+0.5)*.

Tottenham were equally disappointing, losing 1-0 at home to PSV Eindhoven. The Londoners paraded the Carling Cup before the game, but that decision back-fired, with the Dutch side dominating, displaying the greater experience on the European stage. It is however, just a single goal deficit, and Juande Ramos knows exactly what it takes to negotiate tricky UEFA Cup road trips, from his time with Sevilla. PinnacleSports.com make PSV slight favourites, off a level handicap, PSV Eindhoven 1.870 (0/scratch)* with Spurs 2.060 (0/scratch)*. Note the game goes ahead despite the Dutch police strike.

Elsewhere Bolton Wanderers will need to produce an even better away performance than even the previous round, when they held Atletico Madrid to a goalless draw in Spain. The Trotters must overcome the away goal advantage Sporting Lisbon gained from the 1-1 draw at the Reebok Stadium. The Portuguese side are languishing in fifth place in the Primera table, but are unbeaten at the Estádio José Alvalade. PinnacleSports.com make them favourites for the return leg on their 1.96/1.96 style Asian Handicap market.

Hairy Plotter and the Half-Blood Prince

Fri, 07 Mar 2008 06:57:36 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Like Martin Luther King and Gandhi, I'm a fan of passive resistance; but there are some things in life that we have to fight for. For me, it's a baby's smile, the love of a mute woman or more affordable prices at the petrol pump.

It's to my deep and lasting regret that a serious injury prevented me from joining the military. I've been plagued with recurring back pain since childhood - it's never easy growing up in Jersey.

Fortunately for the army, Prince Harry was able to stand up and fight for possible Grandmother and Country. His willingness to get his hands dirty shows real character; he's stuck two fingers up to those who question Germany's poor war record. Fulham's recent record is at an equally unhealthy level; they've only one won of their last eighteen battles. Blackburn will take no prisoners at 11/20.

Now that the Rambo-like tax-dodger has returned from single-handedly destroying the Taliban, he'll be looking for an alternative career. Steve Coppell is apparently showing an interest; he appreciates a useless ginger hitman. I'll fire a few rounds off if Reading sneak a win over Manchester City at 6/4.

Radio chat shows are really scraping the barrel for material. One recent topic up for debate was 'Why do West Ham fans dislike Frank Lampard'. I wasted 25 minutes trying to get through, and I only wanted to say four words. I'll be equally succinct in describing the 4/5 for a Tottenham win over West Ham: nap of the week.

Michael Owen may have been written off more than Angus Loughran's debts, but he remains a top-drawer operator. Newcastle are available at 10/1 against a Liverpool side with one eye on the Champions League; I'm ashamed to say that I'm on the verge of being priced in.

Cesc Fabregas returned to his incomparable best in midweek against Milan. I can't foresee any scenario where Wigan will be able to stop him, shy of hitting him over the head with a guitar or dropping a grand piano on him; but even then he'd remain instrumental. Arsenal just have to turn up to win at 8/13.

Tim Cahill has been castigated for using a goal celebration to show solidarity with his imprisoned brother. I find the criticism over-the-top, it's not like he bent over and touched his toes - even I would be offended by the 'Barton shuffle'. I'll hit the dancefloor when Everton beat Sunderland at 5/4.

The FA Cup reaches the quarter-final stage this weekend, allowing either West Brom or Bristol Rovers the opportunity to make an unexpected trip to Wembley. Personally, I hope it's the Albion fans who get to see the bright lights of London, as they consider a trip to Birmingham something of a cultural treat. The Baggies are a fair bet at 6/5.

I hope Sir Alex Ferguson has calmed down after Arsenal's last-gasp leveller against Aston Villa last week. "It was the 95th minute of their usual seven minutes of injury time," whined the Scot, before launching a furious tirade at the blackness of a nearby kettle. United fans will be steaming when they knock Pompey out of the Cup at 4/11.

The FA should hang their collective hands in shame after overturning Frank Lampard's red card against West Ham. I can only assume that they were frightened of Lampard demanding a personal hearing, which would have led to astronomical catering overheads. I'll happily tuck in to the 4/11 for a Chelsea win over Barnsley.

It appears that Lampard was let off on a technicality - he plays for one of the big four. Jeremie Aliadiere represents Middlesbrough, so he was given a four match ban for replicating the actions of a Liverpool player - he regularly underperformed in the league. Boro will still have enough to ease past Cardiff at 7/10.

Last week's accer never really got off the ground, but even Shakespeare made the occasional spelling mistake. I'm far more confident with this week's selections. Reading, Everton, Tottenham and Arsenal form a 14/1 accer of such noble virtue, even Prince Harry would happily go to war to protect it - if there was a camera crew in the vicinity.

Weekend Betting:

Man Utd v Portsmouth Saturday 8th March 12:45 Live on Sky

Man Utd 4/11
Draw 4/1
Portsmouth 11/1

Get on: Man Utd

Barnsley v Chelsea Saturday 8th March 17:30 Live on BBC

Barnsley 12/1
Draw 7/2
Chelsea 4/11

Get on: Chelsea

Middlesbrough v Cardiff Sunday 9th March 14:00 Live on BBC

Middlesbrough 7/10
Draw 13/5
Cardiff 5/1

Get on: Middlesbrough

Bristol Rovers v West Brom Sunday 9th March 18:00 Live on BBC

Bristol Rovers 5/2
Draw 23/10
West Brom 6/5

Get on: West Brom

Blackburn v Fulham Saturday 8th March 15:00

Blackburn 11/20
Draw 3/1
Fulham 11/2

Get on: Blackburn

Liverpool v Newcastle Saturday 8th March 15:00

Liverpool 2/5
Draw 7/2
Newcastle 9/1

Get on: Newcastle

Reading v Man City Saturday 8th March 15:00

Reading 6/4
Draw 9/4
Man City 2/1

Get on: Reading

Sunderland v Everton Sunday 9th March 15:00

Sunderland 5/2
Draw 12/5
Everton 5/4

Get on: Everton

Tottenham v West Ham Sunday 9th March 15:00

Tottenham 4/5
Draw 11/4
West Ham 7/2

Get on: Tottenham

Wigan v Arsenal Sunday 9th March 16:00 Live on Sky

Wigan 11/2
Draw 11/4
Arsenal 8/13

Get on: Arsenal

Final 16 Knock-out Phase Second Legs (Mar 4-5)

Mon, 03 Mar 2008 20:35:00 +0000

Of the four Premiership representatives looking to make it through to the quarter finals of Champions League, it is the team with the worst recent league form, that has the strongest position. Liverpool hold a two goal advantage over Inter, whereas the teams above them in the Premier League table - Chelsea, Arsenal and Man Utd - all drew their first leg ties. Find out who’s favourite to progress in the midweek return matches , at PinnacleSports.com offering up to 60% better Champions League betting odds.

Young Gunners Need Vintage Performance at San Siro

Arsene Wenger’s young Arsenal side will receive one of the greatest tests of their maturity on Tuesday night when they face AC Milan at the San Siro. The sides drew 0-0 at the Emirates Stadium a fortnight ago, in a game the Gunners really should have won. Now they must evoke the spirit of 2003, when the Londoners beat Inter 5-1 in Italy. Wenger’s side must however put recent poor performances behind them – two league draws and a 4-0 FA Cup drubbing by Man Utd - and move out of the shadow that Eduardo’s broken leg has cast.

AC Milan have problems of their own, drawing five of their last six games, and suffering a lack of incisiveness up front. A spate of injuries to key attacking players have contributed to a lack of goals, and Carlo Ancelotti is waiting on the fitness of Clarence Seedorf, while Kaka and Andrea Pirlo were rested from Sunday’s 1-1 draw at home to Lazio. Ronaldo is out for the season, while Pipo Inzaghi is also sidelined, leaving Gilardino and Pato as the only fit attacking alternatives. Milan have been far from comfortable at the San Siro this season, failing to win any of their first seven home league games. PinnacleSports.com make AC Milan favourites 2.160 (-0.5)* with Arsenal 1.794 (+0.5)* – a market priced to just 102%.

Chelsea in Pole Position to Progress Against Greeks

Chelsea are priced as short as 1.216 by PinnacleSports.com to progress to the last eight of the Champions League at the expense of Olympiakos. The Blues have an amazing record at Stamford Bridge while as with all Greek sides, Olympiakos suffer from very poor away form in Europe, appearing in the knockout phase for the first time since 1999. The Londoners were impressive on the weekend, winning 4-0 at West Ham, with Frank Lampard showing a return to form with a goal. Lamps was only used as a sub in Athens, but should start alongside in-from, Michael Ballack.

Chelsea coach, Avram Grant, has come under strong pressure following the Carling Cup defeat to Spurs. His future at the club may be tied to success in Europe, which is the stated dream of owner, Roman Abramovic. Olympiakos threw everything at Chelsea in the first leg, but the roles will be reversed here, as they will undoubtedly look to soak up pressure and try to catch Chelsea on the break. PinnacleSports.com price Chelsea strong favourites 1.917 (-1.5)* with Olympiakos 2.010 (+1.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

As One Door Shuts...A Nutter One Opens

Wed, 27 Feb 2008 20:56:35 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
For some inexplicable reason, the subject of mental illness remains taboo. I am convinced that if we debate the topic in a mature and sensitive fashion, we could raise awareness of the constant unnecessary stigmatisation of these unfortunate lunatics.

I'm not embarrassed to admit that I used to regularly suffer from panic attacks. All it would take was an unexpected knock on the door, and I'd find myself screaming like Andy Cole's wife. Luckily, the attack would subside once I realised my other half hadn't arrived home from work early.

As a result of my experience, I feel I'm in a perfect position to reflect upon Paul Gascoigne's descent into a fruitcake laden abyss. Looking back, all the clues were there: Gazza was fearful of an alien invasion, he was holding conversations with plastic parrots and he fancied Newcastle to beat Blackburn. The Rovers are the only sane betting choice at 19/10.

I can't help but feel the media attempted to sensationalise Gazza's problems. It's not unusual for a man to cry during sex; as Joey Barton can confirm. I'll be incredibly sore if Middlesbrough fail to beat Reading at 9/10.

It's been reported that Ashley Cole burst into tears when Cheryl surprisingly decided to reconcile with the incredibly wealthy reserve full-back. I'm guessing it's not the first time that a handkerchief has come in handy. I'm rubbing my hands together at the 5/2 for a draw between West Ham and Chelsea.

Robbie Keane also bawled after Tottenham lifted the Carling Cup. I find the idea of a male showing such emotion quite distasteful; although if Birmingham beat Tottenham at 3/1, I'll cry like Liz Hurley's maid on pay day.

To cap off a disgraceful week for the male race, William Gallas sobbed after kicking lumps out at an advertising hoarding. How surprising: a Frenchman and a pointless strike. Arsenal will demolish Aston Villa at 4/7.

On a brighter note for Arsenal, Eduardo may return to action in as little as nine months. I have to confess to being surprised by the quick turnaround: I've been to Selly Oak hospital, and it normally takes seven months just to make it out of the waiting room. You should seek medical attention if you pass on the 4/5 for a Manchester City win over Wigan.

It's not just the clinically insane and the cast of 'The Crying Game' who deserve our sympathy; our thoughts should also go out to players with learning disabilities. It's rumoured that Robbie Savage was the inspiration for 'Are you smarter than a 10 year old?' The genuinely bright will be taking 13/10 for a Sunderland win over Derby.

I thought Wes Brown was a level (if somewhat orange) headed footballer, but he's clearly delusional if he believes he's worth £80,000 a week. That kind of money could fund research into psychiatric disorders for a number of years, or settle Wayne Rooney's tab at KFC. The 13/5 for Fulham avoiding defeat against Manchester United is finger-licking good.

There were many people who believed that El Hadji Diouf may have had a serious mental illness, as he would often dribble more than Cristiano Ronaldo. I've been practically salivating over the 5/6 for a Liverpool win over Bolton.

History is like an Alzheimer's sufferer, it will often repeat itself. The last time Everton finished 4th in the Premiership, their neighbours lifted the Champions League trophy for the 5th time. I fancy Everton to beat Pompey at 10/11, but I hope it doesn't lead to Liverpool fans holding up six fingers; that should really be left to the citizens of Coventry.

Alzheimer's is the latest in a long list of illnesses to plague my father. I look back in fondness to the time when he was just a paranoid schizophrenic - it was nice that he has someone to talk to, even if he was out to get him. People use offensive labels such as 'nutter' to describe the mentally ill, but i refuse to pigeon-hole my old man; as he's also an agoraphobic. I'll definitely be going out when Arsenal, Middlesbrough, Sunderland and Liverpool land a healthy 10/1 accer.

Weekend Betting:

Arsenal v Aston Villa Saturday 1st March 15:00

Arsenal 4/7
Draw 3/1
Aston Villa 6/1

Get on: Arsenal

Birmingham v Tottenham Saturday 1st March 15:00

Birmingham 3/1
Draw 5/2
Tottenham 21/20

Get on: Birmingham

Derby v Sunderland Saturday 1st March 15:00

Derby 23/10
Draw 23/10
Sunderland 13/10

Get on: Sunderland

Fulham v Man Utd Saturday 1st March 15:00

Fulham 9/1
Draw 4/1
Man Utd 4/11

Get on: Draw

Middlesbrough v Reading Saturday 1st March 15:00

Middlesbrough 9/10
Draw 5/2
Reading 7/2

Get on: Middlesbrough

Newcastle v Blackburn Saturday 1st March 15:00

Newcastle 6/4
Draw 12/5
Blackburn 19/10

Get on: Blackburn

West Ham v Chelsea Saturday 1st March 15:00

West Ham 4/1
Draw 5/2
Chelsea 19/20

Get on: Draw

Man City v Wigan Saturday 1st March 17:15 Live on Setanta

Man City 4/5
Draw 13/5
Wigan 5/1

Get on: Man City

Bolton v Liverpool Sunday 2nd March 13:30 Live on Setanta

Bolton 7/2
Draw 13/5
Liverpool 5/6

Get on: Liverpool

Everton v Portsmouth Sunday 2nd March 16:00 Live on Sky

Everton 10/11
Draw 5/2
Portsmouth 7/2

Get on: Everton

Weekend Sport Betting Preview

Thu, 21 Feb 2008 18:54:38 +0000
Bet on this Weekend�s Sport

Bet on this Weekend's Sport

We have some fantastic sport this weekend, with the Carling Cup Final between Chelsea and Tottenham and Premiership action featuring Newcastle v Man Utd and Man City v Everton. We also have more Six Nations action with France v England and the Racing Post Chase at Kempton

Saturday's Premiership Football

Birmingham v Arsenal - Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 12:45pm

After last weekend's 4-0 drubbing to Man Utd in the FA Cup, Arsenal will be determined to get over that defeat straight away, and they will have their chance at St. Andrews on Saturday. The Gunners were dreadful in their FA Cup fifth round tie at Old Trafford. All of the Arsenal team were awful, with dependable players such as Fabregas and Gallas looking totally off their game. The last time Birmingham faced Arsenal, they came away from the Emirates Stadium with a very respectable point. On that occasion, some great saves from Maik Taylor combined with resolute defending from Liam Ridgewell and Co ensured Birmingham held on for a 1-1 draw. Given the Blues need points desperately to starve off the threat of relegation, a repeat of that result would be welcome. Considering Arsenal's league form this season, bookies have priced them as favourites for this match, with Better offering 8/15 on a win, while Birmingham have been priced at 6/1 (VC Bet) to upset the rulebook and get all 3 points.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Birmingham v Arsenal if Eduardo scores at anytime in this match.*

Newcastle v Man Utd - Live on Setanta Sports 1, k/o 5:15pm

After the 6-0 humiliation at the hands of United in December, Newcastle have much to prove in front of their fans. Results since Keegan took over have been disappointing, with the second-half surrender to Villa, resulting in a 4-1 defeat, only the latest in a catalogue of poor performances. Newcastle will have had two weeks to prepare for when Man Utd, and old sparring partner Sir Alex Ferguson, turn up at St James' Park. The Red Devils will, no doubt, be expected to hand out a routine thumping and the likelihood is they will, especially after trouncing Arsenal 4-0 in the FA Cup. If Newcastle can somehow engineer a win it could just rescue their season. A glance at the Magpies squad would suggest they have several players - Damien Duff, Michael Owen and Obafemi Martins - capable of troubling Ferguson's side. Unfortunately, Newcastle's defence is shambolic to say the least and with United's attacking threat, it looks like it will be too much for the Magpies to take. With Man Utd in lethal form, the bookies have priced them as firm favourites at 4/9 (VC Bet), meanwhile Newcastle have been given long odds of 11/2 by Better to get the first win of King Kev's reign.

Newcastle to Win

6/1

VC Bet

Draw

3/1

Centrebet

Man Utd to Win

1/2

Better

BGbet are offering to refund all losing correct score bets on Newcastle v Man Utd match if the game finishes 0-0.*

Sunday's Premiership Football

Reading v Aston Villa - Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 12:30pm

The big Premiership game on Sunday sees last season's wonder Reading take on this year's form team Aston Villa at the Madjeski Stadium. Reading have been fighting against the 'second season syndrome' all campaign and unfortunately it looks like they might end up on the losing side. There's something unfamiliar about Reading sitting in the bottom three, such has been the speed they've found their way there. But then that's what happens when you lose seven straight league games. Boss Steve Coppell will have spent much time soul searching over this shocking run, but he'll know that now is not the time to go over what's happened. It's time to start collecting points. Unfortunately for the Royals, Aston Villa are also on a run, but theirs is of a different kind. Martin O'Neill's team have lost just once in ten league matches and are earning rave reviews for playing exciting, expansive football. Villa are in with a real chance of finishing in the top four and will see this game against struggling Reading as a great opportunity to seal another victory. Bearing this in mind, bookmakers have placed Villa as favourites, pricing them at 7/5 (Centrebet) to get the away win, while Better have priced Reading at 7/4 to reinstall some pride at the Madjeski Stadium.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Reading v Aston Villa if Gareth Barry scores at anytime in this match.*

Sunday's Carling Cup Final

Chelsea v Tottenham- Live on Sky Sports 1, k/o 4:00pm

Sunday sees the first big final in the domestic football calendar, it's the Carling Cup Final between Chelsea and Tottenham at Wembley. Given that Spurs have only beaten Chelsea twice in the last 18 years, it's not surprising that the north London club go into their first cup final appearance since 2002 as underdogs. However, over the last few weeks Tottenham have improved markedly. January signings Jonathan Woodgate and Alan Hutton have helped make the defence less porous, while academy product Jamie O'Hara has stepped up from the reserves and impressed with a string of good performances in midfield. Ramos has masterminded impressive results against two of the big four recently - his side gave Arsenal a 5-1 mauling in the second leg of the Carling Cup semi-final, while they were unlucky not to take three points from their league game with Man Utd at the beginning of the month. But Chelsea rarely lose - in fact they're unbeaten in 15 matches in all competitions. In their league meeting in January, Avram Grant's side beat Spurs 2-0, and with Frank Lampard and John Terry now back to full fitness, it would take an outstanding performance to prevent the Blues from lifting the trophy for the second time in as many seasons. Chelsea have been priced as favourites at 21/20 (Centrebet), meanwhile Tottenham have been priced at 12/5 by VC Bet to win the Carling Cup.

Monday's Premiership Football

Man City v Everton - Live on Setanta Sports 1, k/o 8:00pm

The big match on Monday night sees a battle between the Champions League hopefuls when Man City take on Everton at the City of Manchester Stadium. If Sven-Goran Eriksson's side win at home they'll draw level with the Toffees on 47 points and, potentially, with Aston Villa and Liverpool, if both win at the weekend. Which means the race for fourth place is almost as exciting as the battle for the title. Everton go into this match on the cusp of a six match unbeaten run in the Premiership. Sven will hope his side's two-week lay off won't have put them in a holiday mood, because an Everton team hardened by two UEFA Cup matches will be quick to punish them. With Man City at home, bookies have priced them as favourites for this match, with VC Bet offering 7/5 on a win, while Everton have been priced at 2/1 (Better) take all 3 points.

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Man City v Everton if Andrew Johnson scores at anytime in this match.*

Weekend Racing

This Saturday sees the exciting Racing Post Chase at Kempton, with 15 top runners in this event, you can be sure this will be a tremendous race. With the Nicholls team having such a great National Hunt season, Gungadu will be hoping for a fine performance in preparation of the Cheltenham Festival in over 19 days time.

BGbet are running a great refund offer on this race. If your horse falls during the Racing Post Chase, BGbet will refund your stakes in the form of free bets.**

Rugby Six Nations Tournament

This Sunday sees a repeat of the Rugby World Cup Semi Final when France take on England at the Stade de France. An England win looks even more unlikely than the one in the World Cup, due to England's inability to maintain their performance for 80 minutes. If there is one side in this competition that you have to perform against, it's France. France have been priced as favourites for this match, with Better offering 2/5 to capitalise on England's inconsistent form, while England have been priced at 15/8 (VC Bet) to bounce back and give a solid performance.

BGbet are running a fantastic 6 Nations special - Place a bet on the first or last tryscorer for any of the following 6 Nations matches this weekend and if the player listed below scores a try at anytime in the 80 minutes BGbet will refund all losing first and last tryscorer stakes on that match.*

Wales v Italy - T Shanklin
Ireland v Scotland - R O'Gara
France v England - T Flood

Open an account with any of the following bookmakers and receive a free bet:

VC Bet

£100 in Free Bets

BGbet

£100 Free Bet

Betterbet

£25 Free Bet

Centrebet

£20 Free Bet

UEFA Cup Betting Preview - Round of 32 Knockout Phase: Second Legs (Feb 21)

Mon, 18 Feb 2008 16:10:20 +0000
Asian Handicap Preview and Odds
The chance of a British UEFA Cup winner, for the first time since Liverpool in 2001, remains a strong possibility with all five Scottish and English sides unbeaten after the first leg of the UEFA Cup knockout phase. All the return legs conclude this Thursday, giving punters a third day of European action, following on from the excitement of the midweek Champions League fixtures. Go to PinnacleSports.com and get up to 60% better UEFA Cup betting odds.

Scottish Sides Need Strong Away Performances

Both Aberdeen and Rangers may rue the opportunities lost in their first leg UEFA Cup home fixtures. The Dons twice led Bayern Munich at Pittodrie, but were pegged back to 2-2, and now face an uphill struggle at the Allianz Arena. Aberdeen's battling performance was against disappointing recent domestic form, which continued on Saturday with a 3-1 defeat at Hibernian. They now need to produce a real shock without several key players as coach, Jimmy Calderwood, is missing Jamie Smith, Derek Young, Jackie McNamara and Richie Byrne. In contrast Bayern Munich produced an impressive 3-0 away win at Hannover on Saturday, cementing their place at the top of the Bundesliga, with all goals from Italian international, Luca Toni. PinnacleSports.com make Bayern Munich favourites 2.010 (-2 & -2.5)* with Aberdeen 1.917 (+2 & +2.5)*.

Rangers maintained their lead at the top of the Scottish Premier League winning 2-0 at Kilmarnock on Sunday, but coach, Walter Smith, was disappointed the win wasn't more comfortable. "We need extra sharpness up front, and hopefully we can start to show more of a killer instinct in front of goal." The Gers were unable to find the net at Ibrox in the first leg of their UEFA Cup tie against, Panathinaikos, despite creating plenty of chances. At least they prevented the Greek league leaders from gaining a valuable away goal but the Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium is a tough place for any team to get a result. Their aggregate score in three home games for this UEFA Cup campaign totals 8-0, including against another SPL side, Aberdeen. PinnacleSports.com make Panathinaikos favourites 1.980 (-0.5)* with Rangers 1.943 (+0.5)*.

Three Premiership Sides Defending First Leg Leads

The Premiership's three representatives in the UEFA Cup all hold the advantage going into the second legs of the first stage of the knock-out phase on Thursday night. Bolton have the toughest task taking a slim 1-0 lead to the Vicente Calderon Stadium, where Atletico Madrid have won all five European ties this season. The Spaniards lie fourth in La Liga, but lost on Sunday at home to Atheltico Bilbao, while the Trotters had a free weekend to prepare because of the FA Cup. The Indios are handicapped by the suspension to star Argentine striker, Sergio 'Kun' Aguero, after a red card in the heated first leg at the Rebbok. There are likely to be plenty more cards in the return leg, where PinnacleSports.com make Atletico Madrid favourites 1.877 (-1)* with Bolton 2.050 (+1)*.

Everton and Tottenham should have straight forward tasks having won their first legs on the road. The Toffees hold a two goal advantage over SK Brann, and Spurs should really have beaten Slavia Prague by the same scoreline, but for a dreadful error by goalkeeper, Radek Cerny. Both Premiership sides are strong favourites with PinnacleSports.com, pricing UEFA Cup fixtures to under 102%.

*All odds subject to change

FA Cup Betting - Man Utd & Arsenal Set for Another Classic (Feb 16-18)

Thu, 14 Feb 2008 18:52:32 +0000

This weekend than main English soccer betting action is in the FA Cup, where the field has been whittled down to just sixteen teams. It is at this stage that pressure really starts to come into play as the remaining teams realise they are just three games from a Wembley FA Cup final. The Big Four are all still in the hat, but we will definitely loose Man Utd or Arsenal, as they face each other at Old Trafford, while Huddersfield and Bristol Rovers fly the flag for the lower divisions. Whatever the outcome of the fifth round fixtures, you will always get 60% better FA Cup betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Arsenal & Man Utd Set For Another FA Cup Classic

When Arsenal and Man Utd where drawn together for the fifth round of 2008 FA Cup, pundits immediately anticipated a classic encounter. Statistics show that these two teams are the most successful in the competition’s 136 year history, between them winning the FA Cup 21 times and appearing in 35 finals. They have met each other 11 times, winning five times each, though their most recent was in the final of 2005, which was an anti-climactic goalless draw which the Gunners won on penalties. Most meetings have however been hugely memorable games, none more-so than the 1999 semi-final.

That game at Villa Park featured a superb Beckham free-kick, a Schmeichel penalty save from Bergkamp, and one of the greatest FA Cup goals ever, scored by Ryan Giggs. Giggs and Paul Scholes are the only survivors of that fixture likely to play on Saturday when the Red Devils will look to bounce back from the crushing disappointment of a Derby defeat to Man City last Sunday in front of a packed and expectant home crowd. United blamed that poor show on the effect of friendly internationals, so with a week to prepare for this game, there can be no excuses. Arsenal will be boosted by their win over Blackburn, which took them five points clear of United, while Kolo Toure and Emmanuel Eboue return from the African Cup of Nations. Both managers will however, have an eye on the midweek Champions League commitments which will impact their selections. With home advantage PinnacleSports.com price Man Utd favourites 1.813 (0/scratch & -0.5)* with Arsenal 2.130 (0/scratch & +0.5)* - a market priced to just 102%.

Liverpool & Chelsea Handed Comfortable Home Draws

Both Liverpool and Chelsea are expected to come through Fifth round FA Cup ties against lower division opposition this weekend. The Reds entertain Barnsley on Saturday, which on paper is a more testing fixture than Chelsea’s game at home to Division One Huddersfield. The Tykes are mid-table just one division below Liverpool, but there is a gulf of class between the sides. Barnsley have no pedigree for Cup upsets, have overcome only mediocre FA Cup opponents en route and are without a first-team goalkeeper. Their away league form is atrocious, failing to win in twelve straight fixtures on the road, drawing a blank in eight of those. Liverpool were given an early scare by minnows in the last round, so expect a more professional performance. PinnacleSports.com price Liverpool 1.952 (-2)* with Barnsley 1.971 (+2)*.

Chelsea’s home tie with Huddersfield is a repeat of their 2005 FA Cup encounter. At that time riding high under Jose Mourinho, Chelsea were expected to sweep the Terriers aside, but the game was 1-1 until up until the 82nd minute, when Eidur Gudjohnsen settled it. That result is symptomatic of Chelsea’s cup performances at home to lower class teams, where the anticipated cricket scores rarely materialise; nevertheless Chelsea usually come out on top. Avram Grant can welcome back Drogba, Kalou, Essien and Obi Mikel from Ghana, but in company with Rafa Benitez, will be thinking ahead to next week Champions League fixtures when making his team selections. PinnacleSports.com make Chelsea 2.10 (-2 & -2.5)* with Huddersfield 1.833 (+2 & +2.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

Best FA Cup Odds at PinnacleSports.com!

Premiership Betting - Matchday 26 Preview

Thu, 07 Feb 2008 19:16:04 +0000

It has been a busy week on the international scene with a full midweek schedule of friendly fixtures, while the African Cup of Nations is reaching a climax with the final on Sunday. Premiership bettors should check to see whether players return safely from national duty, then got to PinnacleSports.com for up to 60% better Premiership betting odds.

Sunday Grand Slam Part One – Manchester Derby

Manchester United were this week fined £25,000 by the Football Association after picking up seven bookings in their 1-1 draw with Spurs last Saturday at White Hart Lane. They got out of jail in the 90th minute of a bad tempered game, and there could be plenty more cautions at Old Trafford this Sunday as they face their City rivals, in the first part of a Premiership Grand Slam. The Laser Blues shocked the Red Devils with a 1-0 win at Eastlands earlier in the season, so victory at the Theatre of Dreams would give Sven Goran Eriksson an unlikely double, in his first season in charge.

The odds are stacked against that as United are in much the better form, having won twelve successive Premiership home games, conceding just three times. City have settled into a familiar pattern of struggling on the road, winning just two away games so far this term. Key playmaker Elano – the one individual who could hurt United - has gone off the boil, Of course this isn’t just any game, and both sides will raise their performance levels, but United are at virtually full strength, and last at home in Manchester Derby back in 1974. There is the added intensity of Wednesday’s 50th anniversary of the Munich Air crash which killed eight Man Utd players, which will fire up the home crowd. On the last two meetings Alex Ferguson’s side have run out 3-1 winners, and PinnacleSports.com make them favourites 1.826 (-1.5)* with Man City 2.110 (+1.5)*.

Sunday Grand Slam Part Two – Chelsea v Liverpool

Chelsea and Liverpool have become closely acquainted over recent seasons playing each other 17 times over the last four campaigns, thanks to regular meetings in the Champions League. All games between these sides are hard fought affairs, but Liverpool must overcome Chelsea’s 78 game unbeaten run at Stamford Bridge, stretching back to 2004. The Pool’s recent form at the Bridge doesn’t suggest they are capable of that, failing to score in their last seven visits, starting at the beginning of the Jose Mourinho era. The Reds have been distracted by friction between club owners and manager, Rafa Benitez, which has unsettled players, and seen them win just one league game in 2008, dropping right off the title race.

Chelsea remain in the hunt, but have been struggling under the burden of injuries to John Terry, Frank Lampard, Ricardo Carvalho and Andriy Shevchenko, while Didier Drogba, Michael Essien, Salamon Kalou and Obi Mikel have been playing at the African Cup of Nations. All except Mikel will still be in Ghana over the weekend, so this is a good time for Liverpool to break their bad run away to Chelsea. The Scousers spirits will have been lifted by last weekend’s 2-0 win over Sunderland, but they still seem like a side low on confidence, whereas Chelsea have rediscovered the siege mentality, grinding out results with a second XI. The return of Michael Ballack has been a huge boost while Brazilian defender, Alex, looks like a quality player. PinnacleSports.com make Chelsea marginal favourites 2.110 (-0.5)* with Liverpool 1.826 (+0.5)* – a market priced to less than 102%.

*All odds subject to change

The hurly bird catches the worm

Thu, 31 Jan 2008 18:57:45 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
Call me old-fashioned, but i believe that fidelity remains the cornerstone of a successful relationship. I would never cheat on my wife, unless the opportunity arose.

I have serious doubts over my wife's respect for monogamy. The word on the street is that Ashley Cole was physically sick while performing the horizontal 64-second jig, which fits in perfectly with the wife's M.O.

I can't condemn Cole too strongly, as he's not the first man to hurl after munching on a late-night kebab. On reflection, he probably should have stuck with a sausage sandwich. A Chelsea draw against Pompey ticks all the right boxes at 5/2, and then cleans them with disinfectant.

It's been reported that Ashley refused to wrap up his little heat-seeking missile before sending him into battle. Apart from the obvious risk of pieces falling off, there is also the danger of an unwanted pregnancy. If I didn't regularly suffocate my mini whale-hunter, I could have had three children by now. Fulham are also lackadaisical in defence, they're on a 14 match winless streak. Aston Villa will take full advantage at 7/5.

Adebayor is a quality player, but you can't solve a problem by planting your nut on it; we haven't all moved to Scotland. I can't get my head around the 10/11 for an Arsenal win over Manchester City.

Liverpool need a new slogan to commemorate their status as the European Capital of Culture. I've suggested, 'Liverpool - Making fat kids cry since 2008'. I'll be inconsolable if the Reds beat Sunderland, I've been tempted by the 4/1 for a draw.

With Liverpool stuttering like Jeremy Beadle's manicurist, a 4th place finish is unexpectedly up for grabs. I expect Blackburn v Everton to be tighter than Mido's belt as the war for four intensifies. I'm sitting on the fence at 9/4.

Dave Kitson is in line for a shock call up to the England side. The Reading hitman will be overjoyed if he earns his first cap, as sunlight is a long-term foe. I've seen the light; I've backed Reading at 6/5 at home to Bolton.

Cheryl Cole has followed Danielle Lloyd's lead in refusing to dump her allegedly unfaithful partner. What is it that makes these strong women stand by their men? I'll get my hands on lots of money when Manchester United beat Tottenham at even money.

Now that Barack Obama has revealed himself to be a Hammer, Dave Whelan must be regretting his campaign to relegate West Ham towards the end of last season. Whelan may be able to fix the price of an England shirt, but he's going to lose a power battle with potentially the next leader of Iran. The Hammers have a 100% record at the JJB in the Premier League; Barack and I will be on at 9/5.

If Derby were to avoid relegation, it would be the greatest shock since i arrived home from work early to find the wife in a degrading position; she was lying on the floor watching Beadle's About. I'll be even more disappointed if Birmingham fail to beat Derby at 4/7.

It was a case of déjà vu for Kevin Keegan as Newcastle lost 3-0 to Arsenal in midweek; a few lads hit him on the head with a baseball bat. It's definitely wrong to kick someone when they're down, unless you're Alan Shearer. Newcastle isn't big enough for Keegan and Big Al, so God knows how Frank Lampard ever played there. 10/11 is plenty big enough for a Newcastle win over Middlesbrough.

Like Ashley Cole, Frank Lampard has allegedly had a wandering eye. I can see why Lampard would have suitors, who amongst us doesn't like a large pair of breasts? Arsenal, Birmingham, Manchester United and Aston Villa form an accer that stands out at a particularly pert 11/1.

Weekend Betting:

Man City v Arsenal Saturday 2nd February 12:45 Live on Sky

Man City 10/3
Draw 12/5
Arsenal 10/11

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Adebayor and Eduardo both to score 8/1

Birmingham v Derby Saturday 2nd February 15:00

Birmingham 4/7
Draw 13/5
Derby 11/2

Get on: Birmingham

Match Special:
McFadden to score at any time 8/5

Blackburn v Everton Saturday 2nd February 15:00

Blackburn 11/8
Draw 9/4
Everton 2/1

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 8/1

Portsmouth v Chelsea Saturday 2nd February 15:00

Portsmouth 4/1
Draw 5/2
Chelsea 8/11

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Baros to score in a 1-1 draw 25/1

Reading v Bolton Saturday 2nd February 15:00

Reading 6/5
Draw 9/4
Bolton 11/4

Get on: Reading

Match Special:
Kitson to score the first goal 5/1

Tottenham v Man Utd Saturday 2nd February 15:00

Tottenham 3/1
Draw 12/5
Man Utd Evs

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Ronaldo to score direct from a free kick 7/1

Wigan v West Ham Saturday 2nd February 15:00

Wigan 8/5
Draw 23/10
West Ham 9/5

Get on: West Ham

Match Special:
West Ham to score three or more goals 6/1

Liverpool v Sunderland Saturday 2nd February 17:15 Live on Setanta

Liverpool 3/10
Draw 4/1
Sunderland 10/1

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Sunderland +1.5 goals 23/20

Newcastle v Middlesbrough Sunday 3rd February 13:30 Live on Sky

Newcastle 10/11
Draw 23/10
Middlesbrough 10/3

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Duff to score the only goal of the game 45/1

Fulham v Aston Villa Sunday 3rd February 16:00 Live on Sky

Fulham 9/4
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 7/5

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Carew to score with a header 7/2

Live Premiership Preview

Mon, 28 Jan 2008 19:46:24 +0000

Bet on this Week’s Football

There is some fantastic live football this week, with Sunderland v Birmingham on Tuesday night and Man Utd v Portsmouth on Wednesday.

Tuesday’s Live Premiership Football

Sunderland v Birmingham – Live on Sky Sports 2, k/o 8:00pm

This Tuesday sees the clash between relegation contenders Sunderland and Birmingham at the Stadium of Light. With both teams on 20 points and only goal difference separating them, you can be sure that this is a game that either side dare not lose. Both teams are finding life difficult in the Premiership and a win here and three points would be a real boost for either side. Sunderland come into the game with six points from their last six games, having beaten Portsmouth and fellow strugglers Bolton. Birmingham on the other hand, have got five points from their last six games, winning one and drawing two. It looks like this game is most likely to end in a draw and this might be worth a punt for the more adventurous better.

Sunderland to Win 5/4 VCBet

Draw 9/4 Centrebet

Birmingham to Win /1 Better

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Sunderland v Birmingham if Andrew Cole scores at anytime in this match.

Wednesday’s Premiership Football

Man Utd v Portsmouth – Live on Sky Sports 2, k/o 8:00pm

League leaders Man Utd go into this match with confidence riding high after consecutively winning their last five games, scoring 14 goals and conceding one in the process. United are the in-form team at the moment, with Ronaldo and co. destroying all opposition before them and Sir Alex will be expecting to continue this winning sequence against Portsmouth. Harry Redknapp's side have surprised many this campaign; however their recent form has seen them slip down to ninth recently, a direct consequence of losing so many first team members to the African Cup of Nations. Considering United's consistency this season, bookmakers have priced them as favourites, with VC Bet offering 2/7 on another home win for the Red Devils, whereas Portsmouth have been given odds of 8/1 (Better) to produce a big shock and take all 3 points from Old Trafford.

VCBet have a fantastic midweek enhanced special; 12/1 odds if all table toppers from each English football division (Man Utd, West Brom, Swansea & MK Dons) win during midweek.

Open an account with any of the following bookmakers and receive a free bet:

VCBet £100 in Free Bets BGbet £100 Free Bet

Betterbet £25 Free Bet Centrebet £20 Free Bet

Odds subject to fluctuation - Odds taken at 9.00am 28/01/2008

Premiership Betting - Matchday 24 Preview

Thu, 24 Jan 2008 14:30:49 +0000

The FA Cup is the main focus of English soccer betting action this weekend, but as Aston Villa and Blackburn are already eliminated, they face each other in the solitary Premiership fixture on Saturday. Less however is more if you take advantage of up to 60% better Premiership betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Premiership’s Aspiring Managers Come Face-to-Face at Villa Park

Two of the Premiership’s upcoming British managers meet at Villa Park on Saturday, in the weekend’s only Premiership fixture. Martin O’Neill has performed a near revolution at Aston Villa with the side challenging for European football, and boasting some of the best young talent in the division in the shape of Ashley Young and Gabriel Agbonlahor. The pair have been integral to the team’s success, which was two minute’s away from a famous victory at Anfield on Monday night. The game ended 2-2, only the second time this season Liverpool have conceded two goals at home.

Blackburn’s Mark Hughes is seen as a likely successor to Alex Ferguson and was strongly linked with the Newcastle post. Sparky has managed Rovers since 2004, and with a combination of astute transfers and excellent motivational skills has led them to consecutive European campaigns. Hughes will have been disappointed by the recent 4-1 FA Cup home defeat by Coventry City (of the Championship) and also by the 4-0 defeat that Villa inflicted on them at Ewood Park last November. However, they have won their last two away league fixtures and victory at Villa Park could put them on level points with the Claret and Blues, which would be crucial to their continuing European aspirations. PinnacleSports.com make Aston Villa marginal favourites 2.050 (-0.5)* with Blackburn 1.877 (+0.5)*.

*All odds subject to change

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

Rings that go bump in the night

Thu, 17 Jan 2008 19:07:23 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
My heart goes out to the clinically depressed and the morbidly obese, but I have a genuine illness; I suffer from sleep deprivation. I believe my condition is a result of an incident that occurred many years ago, when I was naïve enough to believe that physical attractiveness was not an essential requirement in the process of potential mate selection.

It was a Saturday night, and I found myself frequenting a nightclub with a group of friends, such was the custom at that time. As 2am arrived and a sense of desperation filled the air, I approached a lady who I thought looked quite hot. It turned out she was just very sweaty. As she made her intentions clear, I made the cardinal error of not topping up my alcohol level before exiting the building. On the taxi ride home, sobriety kicked in like a tortured mule.

Within two minutes of entering my humble abode, she was parading shamelessly in her birthday suit. It was at this stage that I fully appreciated the gravity of the situation. Unfortunately, my plea to go directly to the cigarette fell upon deaf ears. Without going into too much detail of what followed, I can confirm that I didn't get a wink of sleep all night, and I've struggled to get my head down ever since.

As the dawn approached like a guardian angel, I plucked up the courage to ask her to leave by the back door, which was somewhat ironic. I made a conscious decision that morning to never return to the club, as the experience left me close to a breakdown. Kevin Keegan has been far less pragmatic. I do expect a significant short-term improvement for the Toon Army; I'll be getting on the Geordies at 5/6 at home to Bolton.

I was quite surprised that Steve Bruce was never approached by Mike Ashley. Bruce has been in charge of Wigan for about seven weeks, so he is definitely due a move. I expect to see a massive move on Everton to beat Wigan at an exceedingly pleasant 11/8.

Fulham FC share a trait of mine: they start off quickly, but lack stamina. The Cottagers have lost a lead in 10 of their 22 Premier League matches this season, blowing 25 points in the process. I can only put Fulham's lack or resolve down to poor conditioning; I'll buy them a case of 'Wash & Go' after Arsenal turn them over at 8/15.

Blackburn are still struggling to find a replacement for Robbie Savage. They came close last week, but Sun Hill refused to release Gillian Taylforth. I'm diving on the 4/5 for a Blackburn win over Middlesbrough.

With matches at White Hart Lane producing an average of 5.1 goals, Juande Ramos has been forced to tighten up at the back; so he's dropped Paul Robinson like an opinionated girlfriend. Spurs are on an upward curve as a result, they're a confident selection at 4/9 against Sunderland.

Manchester City are a Jekyll and Hyde club. When they play at home, they're an object of unquestionable beauty, yet when they leave Eastlands, they're as useful as a military recruitment centre in Paris. West Ham are making the now familiar trip to the City of Manchester Stadium, you have to like the even money for another home win.

I was genuinely surprised by the amount of appearances made by a relatively young Jamie Carragher. I haven't seen 500 clocked up so quickly since the wife last stood on the scales. A Liverpool win over Villa will be a weight off my mind; I'm playing heavily at 4/6.

Ronaldo is on course to be the first wide man since George Best to receive the Golden Boot. There are many similarities between the two players. Best was a Manchester United hero, as is Ronaldo. Best was a phenomenal dribbler, as is the Portuguese step-over expert. Best loved his women. I'll be trying to get on Manchester United at 4/9 to beat Reading.

John Terry has been outed as a Manchester United supporter, further perpetrating the myth that most of United's support originates in London. That's an insult to the Chinese. I'll take it as a personal insult if Chelsea slip up against Birmingham at 4/6.

After starting the season on fire, Benjani has reverted to type. If missed chances were pints of lager, he'd have a liver like George Best. I'm taking a chance on the draw between Portsmouth and Derby at 10/3.

I can't think of George Best without remembering the time that I had a badly damaged organ. That night still haunts me, and I can't sleep without the aid of sedatives. Luckily, I've been carrying them around with me for a number of years, as you never know when opportunity will knock. Chelsea, Tottenham, Newcastle, Everton and Liverpool form a fantastic 15/1 betting opportunity that only comes along once every seven days.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Chelsea Saturday 19th January 15:00

Birmingham 11/2
Draw 27/10
Chelsea 4/6

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Anelka to score the only goal of the game 22/1

Blackburn v Middlesbrough Saturday 19th January 15:00

Blackburn 4/5
Draw 13/5
Middlesbrough 4/1

Get on: Blackburn

Match Special:
Bentley to score from outside of the penalty area 13/2

Fulham v Arsenal Saturday 19th January 15:00

Fulham 7/1
Draw 3/1
Arsenal 8/15

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Eduardo and Adebayor both to score 11/2

Portsmouth v Derby Saturday 19th January 15:00

Portsmouth 4/9
Draw 10/3
Derby 8/1

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 12/1

Reading v Man Utd Saturday 19th January 15:00

Reading 8/1
Draw 7/2
Man Utd 4/9

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Ronaldo to score direct from a free kick 6/1

Tottenham v Sunderland Saturday 19th January 15:00

Tottenham 4/9
Draw 16/5
Sunderland 7/1

Get on: Tottenham
Robbie Keane to score two or more goals 5/1

Match Special:

Newcastle v Bolton Saturday 19th January 17:15 Live on Setanta

Newcastle 5/6
Draw 12/5
Bolton 10/3

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Owen to score a hat-trick 33/1

Wigan v Everton Sunday 20th January 13:30 Live on Sky

Wigan 11/5
Draw 23/10
Everton 11/8

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Arteta to score at any time 5/1

Man City v West Ham Sunday 20th January 16:00 Live on Sky

Man City Evs
Draw 12/5
West Ham 3/1

Get on: Man City

Match Special:
Petrov to score the first goal 9/1

Liverpool v Aston Villa Monday 21st January 20:00 Live on Setanta

Liverpool 4/6
Draw 14/5
Aston Villa 11/2

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Liverpool to win and keep a clean sheet 17/10

Let's all do the Bart Man

Wed, 02 Jan 2008 19:06:50 +0000
Gerry McDonnell
Ignorance is not necessarily bliss. I've recently discovered that binge drinking can lead to long-term health problems, such as crabs and Chlamydia.

The arrival of a new year offers me the opportunity to reflect upon my previous excess and resolve to make a significant change. I have made a solemn pledge to drink no more than the next man; as long as the man next to me is Joey Barton.

I hope that Joey has used his time in custody productively, and has questioned the wisdom of some of his earlier decisions. He should never have taken tips on dining etiquette from Lee Bowyer.

A source close to Sam Allardyce has told me that Nicky Butt is extremely disappointed in his teammate's behaviour, and will be having a quiet little word in his ear to remind him of his responsibilities. Just when Joey thought things couldn't get any worse, he now has a sore Butt to contend with. I'll happily pounce on the 11/8 for a Newcastle win over Stoke.

Lee Hughes can empathise with the Barton situation, as he has also returned to football after completing a stretch. "I was touching my toes every night," bragged the ginger fitness fanatic.

Many people were disappointed with Oldham's decision to employ Hughes on his release, but Andy Johnson remains fully supportive; he's even promised to make an 'A' sign if he scores a goal. Everton will run over an outclassed Oldham at 1/4.

Manchester United supporters always enjoy their trip to the midlands for their traditional FA Cup 3rd round meeting with Aston Villa. Not only have they saw their team emerge victorious on each of their last eight visits, it's also a shorter journey than they're accustomed to. I'm absolutely overjoyed with the prospect of 10/11 for another Manchester United win.

Steve Bruce compared purchasing players in January to buying puppies at Christmas, "You have to make sure it's long term and for the right reasons," lectured the pugnacious manager. I'll definitely be getting my hands on a couple of puppies if Sunderland end Wigan's campaign at 5/4.

An apoplectic Juande Ramos threatened to completely dismantle the Spurs team after they lost to Aston Villa in midweek. I fully expect to see a superhuman effort from the Tottenham players after the manager's tirade. They can be heroes, just for Juande. Tottenham will repeat last week's victory over Reading at 8/15.

Freddie Ljungberg is still suffering from migraines. My wife can totally sympathise with the Swede, she's had a recurring headache for five years. I will be getting my hands on the 6/4 for a West Ham win over Manchester City.

Mark Hughes appears to be willing to release Robbie Savage. The Blackburn manager stated that Robbie 'doesn't take not playing very well' and added that Savage was 'frustrated'. That's just a fancy way of confirming what we already suspected. I'll be furiously pounding the 2/5 for a Blackburn win over Coventry.

Coventry could do with a decent cup run, as they still face the threat of liquidation. That must be one big blender. Burnley face an absolute shoeing at the hands of Arsenal, I'm taking an involvement at 2/5.

QPR have some serious financial clout in the boardroom. Lakshmi Mittal could buy and sell Roman Abramovich like a cheap blonde, although Mark Hughes is now attempting to flood the market. Backing Chelsea to beat QPR at 1/6 will lead to small economic growth.

The 'romance of the cup' may be a cliché, but I genuinely fancy Sheffield Wednesday to pull off an upset against Derby at 7/2. In fact, it will be more of a shock if they don't.

Incredibly, I was once accused of being unromantic. This allegation is a complete fabrication. Even when drinking heavily, i'll always pay for a lady's kebab before introducing her to the little G. If Tottenham, West Ham, Arsenal and Newcastle land a 10/1 weekend accer, I'll even consider throwing in a small chips.

Premiership Betting Analysis - Matchday 20 Preview

Thu, 27 Dec 2007 13:36:54 +0000

Halfway through the packed four-game Christmas Premiership schedule, and Manchester United have got their noses in front of Arsenal, leading the table by just a point from the Gunners, now demoted to second place. Both teams are in action this weekend, and then again on New Year's Day, so everything could quickly change. One thing bettors can however, be sure of is 60% better Premiership betting odds at PinnacleSports.com, so take advantage now!!!

Can Arsenal Regain Top Spot at Fortress Goodison??

Arsene Wenger appeared outwardly unfazed after his side were held to a goalless draw at Fratton Park on Boxing Day, conceding the lead in the Premiership title race to Alex Ferguson's, Manchester United. Wenger will however, privately be concerned that the Gunners have taken just two points from their last three away games, and on Saturday face a very tough trip to in-form Everton. So far in the Christmas period the French boss has resisted the temptation to make use of Robin Van Persie, recently returned from injury, but he may feel the Dutchman can make the difference to the Londoners on the road.

Everton continued their exceptional run of form beating Bolton 2-0 at Goodison Park on Boxing Day, their sixth straight home win in all competitions. Tim Cahill was again on the score-sheet highlighting his importance to the side, while Spaniard, Mikel Arteta who had been briefly sidelined with illness, also gave another influential performance. The Toffees are maintaining their pressure on the four Champions League places, currently in sixth position. David Moyes' side have beaten Arsenal on their last two visits by an identical 1-0 score-line, a similar result would see them cover their spread as under-dogs at PinnacleSports.com who go Everton 2.020 (0/scratch & +0.5) with Arsenal 1.909 (0/scratch & -0.5) - a market priced to less than 102%.

Hammers Seeking to Repeat Festive Upset over United

West Ham United pulled off one the biggest upsets of last season's festive schedule when they beat Manchester United 1-0 at Upton Park. Later in the season the Irons performed a remarkable relegation escape act which ended with a win by the same score at Old Trafford. Though the Hammers are in much better shape this time around, they are long odds to repeat that unlikely double. Alan Curbishley's side are inconsistent at home where they are without a win in four league fixtures, drawing three by the same 1-1 scoreline, having led on each occasion.

West Ham will do well to build a lead against the Champions, who have reeled off five straight Premiership wins, including a crucial victory at Anfield, and a 4-0 stroll at Sunderland on Boxing Day. Fergie had the luxury of resting several key players in that win, including Patrice Evra, Carlos Tevez and Ryan Giggs. He may planning to utilise that trio in what could be a much harder game in East London. With Arsenal playing a tough fixture at Goodison Park, Sir Alex could see this as the perfect opportunity to build a cushion at the top of the Premiership table. PinnacleSports.com make Man Utd favourites 2.00 (-1) with West Ham 1.926 (+1).

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

Premiership Betting - Matchday 19 Preview

Mon, 24 Dec 2007 11:37:09 +0000

With so many games over such a short period of time, the Christmas period is a crucial time for Premiership sides. Some managers go as far as to say that it can make or break a season. All the top four sides won on Saturday, so nothing has changed, but as Premiership punters are now treated to three games in seven days, the festive excitement has only just begun. Make sure you treat yourself to up to 60% better Premiership betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Chelsea Dealt Goalkeeper Injury Blow

Though all the top four sides won on Saturday, there was some interesting points to be noted which will prove crucial over the action packed coming week. Chelsea looked to have been dealt another crucial injury blow, with Petr Cech’s hip problem, picked up in the 1-0 win at Blackburn. Given that his direct understudy, Carlo Cudicini, is also sidelined, third-choice goalkeeper, Hilario, could get his first Premiership start of the season on Boxing at home to Aston Villa. Chelsea are already without John Terry, Didier Drogba and Florent Malouda.

The only good news for manager, Avram Grant, is that Michael Ballack should play some part in the Christmas period, having played as substitute in the Blue’s Carling Cup win over Liverpool. PinnacleSports.com make Chelsea 2.04 (-1 & -1.5) for the visit of Aston Villa 1.893 (+1 & +1.5). However, Premiership punters should note that the Villans haven’t lost in the last four Premiership meetings, and in the last ten encounters Chelsea haven’t won by more than a single goal.

Arsenal Riding Their Luck as they Maintain Top Spot

In comparison to Chelsea, the Gunners have no injury concerns, leaving Arsene Wenger a fully fit squad to choose from. The gods are certainly smiling on Arsenal, they maintained an unbeaten record at the Emirates Stadium after beating their North London rivals, Spurs 2-1 on Saturday. However, they were fortunate to do so. They squandered a 1-0 lead, before conceding a late penalty that should have given Tottenham a rare away victory against their bitter enemies. Instead, Robbie Keane blasted his spot kick at Manuel Almunia, then barely a few minutes later Arsenal went up the other end and scored.

Arsene Wenger was open about his assessment of the performance. “We weren’t at our best” the Frenchman commented. His side will need to up their game playing a difficult away game at Fratton Park on Boxing Day. Portsmouth have lost just once at home this season, but ended a good run of form with back-to-back defeats. Coach, Harry Redknapp, will be desperate to make the most of the Christmas period, knowing that he will be losing five key players to the African Cup of Nations that begins in January. Three of Gunner’s four Premiership visits to the South Coast venue have ended in draws, but PinnacleSports.com make Arsenal 1.862 (-0.5) with Portsmouth 2.07 (+0.5).

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

Charity, Empathy and Chas to Tea

Thu, 20 Dec 2007 14:59:53 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
I remain a slave to tradition. Every year, I make a complete fool of myself at the office Christmas party, and this year was no exception. After consuming a few too many ales, I made a misguided play for the cleaner under the mistletoe. He was absolutely livid.

My luck is unlikely to improve over the holidays. The wife has invited her mother and her sister to Christmas dinner. Ho Ho Ho.

I refuse to wallow in self pity though, as there are children in this world who live in near poverty. In a completely selfless gesture on my part, I've bought myself a new pair of trainers to reward their strong work ethic.

In an uncharacteristic piece of good fortune, I've been spared the expense of weighing in for gifts for my own kids. As Blackburn fought back to 2-2 against Arsenal in midweek, the little ones overheard me say that Santa was literally on fire. I'm investing the savings on a Blackburn win over Chelsea at 7/2.

The most annoying aspect of the 'festive' period is probably the repetitive advertisements. Ian Wright looked to have won the award for the most grating commercial, until Jamie Redknapp and Tim Lovejoy formed an unstoppable axis of evil.

I've disgracefully found myself singing along to that awful ad that accuses Reo-Coker of buying knock-off DVDs. Such a practise is reprehensible: you can download movies for free off the internet. 11/10 for a Villa win over Manchester City is another spectacular giveaway.

Michael Owen must be a happy man after Manchester City declared an interest in his services. The miniscule hitman has suffered more than his fair share of injuries throughout his career, and under Sam Allardyce, a strained neck is almost inevitable. I'm hardly sticking my neck out by suggesting a Newcastle win over Derby at 2/5.

Tottenham and Arsenal do not get along. The animosity was born in 1913 when Arsenal invaded their territory, and tensions rose further when the Gunners replaced them in the top flight after a ballot in 1919. The relationship between the two clubs completely deteriorated in 2007, when Alan Davies tried to eat Chas and Dave for resembling the homeless. I'm putting my house on a draw between the fierce rivals at 3/1.

When Gary Megson arrived at Bolton, he had a 1.7% approval rate, and there was a 2% margin for error. The people of Bolton are warming to the ginger Mourinho; he can turn the screw on Birmingham at even money.

Alan Curbishley is worried that Anton Ferdinand is in danger of embracing a pop-star culture. The West Ham boss has nothing to worry about; all pop-stars are good-lookers, with the exception of Lily Allen. I'll be happy to get on the 23/10 for a draw between Middlesbrough and West Ham.

I felt sorry for Steve Bennett as he had to face Roy Keane after ruling out a legitimate Sunderland winner last week. I'd sooner go into a tunnel with Henri Paul than the volatile Irishman. I'll be absolutely smashed when Reading oblige at even money against Sunderland.

Manchester United are way too short at 4/9 for the visit of Everton. The Moyes Boys are on a 12 match unbeaten run, and they've left Old Trafford with a point on two of their last three trips. The Toffeemen are available at 9/4 to avoid defeat, which has left me as excited as Wayne Rooney on 'Gran Slam Sunday'.

These cold mornings are absolutely killing me. The wife nicked my toast this morning, which was bordering on an absolute liberty. Ronaldo can empathise with my situation, as Marcus Bent has reportedly been playing with his porridge. I've got the oats to get my cash down on a Fulham win over Wigan at 23/20.

Christmas is especially hard on little orphan children. It's perfectly understandable that the more vulnerable will struggle to adapt to a strange new home at this time of year, and some will even consider running away. I heard reports just last weekend that a young Spanish lad went missing in Liverpool. Fernando will mark his return by sleighing Pompey at 4/7.

I'm all for enjoying the excesses of the festive period, but I also take the time to contemplate the real meaning of Christmas.

To those with faith, he was a saviour; but he suffered on the cross. I just hope he lets a few more in for Pompey this weekend. Liverpool, Aston Villa, Bolton, Reading and Newcastle form a nailed-on Christmas accer at a perfectly pious 15/1.

Weekend Betting:

Arsenal v Tottenham Saturday 22nd December 12:45 Live on Sky

Arsenal 8/15
Draw 3/1
Tottenham 13/2

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
A player to be sent off in the match 3/1

Aston Villa v Man City Saturday 22nd December 15:00

Aston Villa 11/10
Draw 23/10
Man City 16/5

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Aston Villa to win and keep a clean sheet 5/2

Bolton v Birmingham Saturday 22nd December 15:00

Bolton Evs
Draw 23/10
Birmingham 10/3

Get on: Bolton

Match Special:
Anelka to score two or more goals 13/2

Fulham v Wigan Saturday 22nd December 15:00

Fulham 23/20
Draw 12/5
Wigan 14/5

Get on: Fulham

Match Special:
Fulham to be winning at half-time 9/5

Liverpool v Portsmouth Saturday 22nd December 15:00

Liverpool 4/7
Draw 3/1
Portsmouth 13/2

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Torres to score a hat-trick 25/1

Middlesbrough v West Ham Saturday 22nd December 15:00

Middlesbrough 13/10
Draw 23/10
West Ham 11/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Ashton to score in a 1-1 draw 20/1

Reading v Sunderland Saturday 22nd December 15:00

Reading Evs
Draw 23/10
Sunderland 10/3

Get on: Reading

Match Special:
Reading to score three or more goals 7/2

Man Utd v Everton Sunday 23rd December 12:00 Live on Setanta

Man Utd 4/9
Draw 3/1
Everton 17/2

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Andy Johnson to score the only goal of the game 120/1

Newcastle v Derby Sunday 23rd December 14:00 Live on Sky

Newcastle 2/5
Draw 4/1
Derby 10/1

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Joey Barton to be booked 2/1

Blackburn v Chelsea Sunday 23rd December 16:10 Live on Sky

Blackburn 7/2
Draw 5/2
Chelsea 10/11

Get on: Blackburn

Match Special:
Santa Cruz to score in a 2-0 Blackburn win 45/1

Bow Down To Happy Gilmore

Thu, 13 Dec 2007 02:17:40 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
I'm all for good-natured banter at a football match, but supporters are beginning to overstep the line. Harry Redknapp commands respect from all the major players in the game, such as Frank Lampard and Jamie Redknapp, yet the colourful manager endured a torrent of vitriolic abuse when Portsmouth travelled to Aston Villa.

As the match slipped away from the Villans, the Holte End outrageously suggested that Harry had bunged the referee. That accusation is entirely without foundation: Harry prefers goods inwards to despatch.

The Villa fans went on to intimate that Harry enjoys the occasional stroke of the pink puppy. I wouldn't criticise Redknapp even if this was true, as it's an understandable reaction after Jamie.

A minority of supporters then disgracefully claimed that Harry would soon be behind bars, partaking in certain activities in the shower area. Not only does this slur completely contradict their earlier insinuation; it's also downright offensive, and Harry will not be taking this lying down. We'll all have red cheeks if we miss the 5/2 for a Tottenham win over Pompey.

The travelling Villa supporters will hopefully show a little more restraint when around Roy Keane, as his preferred method of conflict resolution does not involve complaining to selected media outlets. I'm spreading the word that 9/4 for a draw between Sunderland and the Villa looks pretty tasty.

When it comes to speaking to the BBC, Sam Allardyce is also a total blanker. The Beeb fought back on last week's Match of the Day; they comically photoshopped a ridiculous woolly hat on his oversized head. I can't wait to get my hands on the mammoth 6/4 for a Fulham win over Newcastle.

Team news is probably the single most important factor in betting, after recent form or a nod from Kieren Fallon, so I'll wait for updates on Hleb, Flamini and Fabregas before taking an interest in the Arsenal v Chelsea match. Four of the last six Premier League meetings between the two giants have finished all square, so I'll tentatively look towards the 9/4 for a draw at this early stage.

Birmingham City will definitely have to strengthen their squad in January, and with Alex McLeish at the helm, I expect there to be a strong Scottish connection. Two names that immediately spring to mind are Miller and Becks. There is a player nicknamed 'Woodpecker' who McLeish would love to sign, but he's tied up at Chelsea. I'm definitely attached to the 5/4 for a Birmingham win over Reading.

Middlesbrough are a riddle, wrapped up in an enigma, shrouded in mystery, situated in a hole. I'm praying the Boro will produce their A-game against the outclassed Derby at a larger than expected 7/5.

Lee Bowyer is on the verge of a return to action after recovering from Gilmore's groin. It was a genuine surprise to me; I thought he just had a tear of the adductor muscles. People should be falling over themselves to get on 15/8 for an Everton win over West Ham.

Dressing-room dissent is on the rise at Wigan. One senior player is already on Steve Bruce's back, and that's not a position I would like to see anyone in. The player, who wishes to remain anonymous, has suggested that Bruce is a long-ball merchant. Paul Scharner continued, "If we don't change to playing football, then it will be very difficult." The only thing attractive at the JJB this weekend is the 11/8 for a Blackburn win.

I watched in horror last weekend as Stephen Ireland committed what can only be described as a heinous crime: he appeared to be wearing a wig. Call me old fashioned, but toupees are only acceptable for the bald and the ginger.

Let's be honest, if Ireland is using a piece, and it remains conjecture at this stage, it doesn't make him any less of a man. Only wearing a pink jumper on a night out will result in any long-term loss of man-points. Bolton have won their last three at Manchester City, winning them all 'to nil'. I refuse to cover up my interest in Megson's men at 4/1.

Life is full of little coincidences. As Steven Gerrard was throwing himself to the ground in Marseille, his wife was getting turned over at home. There was also a burglary. I'm helping myself to the 13/8 for a Liverpool win over Manchester United.

I hope Stevie can recover from the trauma, as I need the influential Scouser to win the 'battle of the inner-ear infections' against Ronaldo to land the weekend accer. Birmingham, Middlesbrough, Tottenham and Liverpool are the selections, the payout is an increasingly plummeting 45/1.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Reading Saturday 15th December 15:00

Birmingham 5/4
Draw 9/4
Reading 12/5

Get on: Birmingham

Match Special:
Jerome to score the only goal of the game 28/1

Derby v Middlesbrough Saturday 15th December 15:00

Derby 21/10
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 7/5

Get on: Middlesbrough

Match Special:
Downing to score at any time 9/2

Man City v Bolton Saturday 15th December 15:00

Man City 10/11
Draw 5/2
Bolton 4/1

Get on: Bolton

Match Special:
Bolton to win by 1 goal 6/1

Portsmouth v Tottenham Saturday 15th December 15:00

Portsmouth 6/5
Draw 9/4
Tottenham 5/2

Get on: Tottenham

Match Special:
Tottenham to score three or more goals 8/1

Sunderland v Aston Villa Saturday 15th December 15:00

Sunderland 9/4
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 6/4

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 9/1

West Ham v Everton Saturday 15th December 15:00

West Ham 6/4
Draw 9/4
Everton 15/8

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Cahill to score with a header 8/1

Wigan v Blackburn Saturday 15th December 15:00

Wigan 9/4
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 11/8

Get on: Blackburn

Match Special:
Bentley to score from outside of the penalty area 7/1

Fulham v Newcastle Saturday 15th December 17:15 Live on Setanta

Fulham 6/4
Draw 9/4
Newcastle 2/1

Get on: Fulham

Match Special:
Healy to score the last goal 7/1

Liverpool v Man Utd Sunday 16th December 13:30 Live on Sky

Liverpool 13/8
Draw 11/5
Man Utd 2/1

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Torres to score two or more goals 8/1

Arsenal v Chelsea Sunday 16th December 16:00 Live on Sky

Arsenal 6/4
Draw 9/4
Chelsea 11/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Gallas to score in a 1-1 draw 80/1

Premiership Betting - Matchday 16 Preview

Thu, 06 Dec 2007 23:53:05 +0000

This weekend’s Premiership fixture schedule presents the four main contenders with opposition that each should be expected to overcome, and the skinny three-way odds available (1,2,X) reflect this. Such situations highlight the shortcomings of traditional soccer betting options for the Premiership, but those enlightened bettors who have switched to Asian Handicaps will have no such problems. PinnacleSports.com are the world leaders in Asian Handicap soccer betting offering 1.98/1.98 style two-way betting, which gives bettors up to 60% better Premiership betting odds.

Goal Avalanche Expected at Old Trafford

The Premiership’s bottom club, Derby County, visit Old Trafford on Saturday afternoon, and the question on bettors’ minds is not if they will win, but by how many? The Rams have already conceded 34 goals, with 20 of those coming on the road, without a single reply. In his first game in charge, new manager, Paul Jewell , saw his new team lose in heart-breaking fashion at the Stadium of Light to a last minute goal. County have now played over ten hours of Premiership football without scoring, a statistic which seems unlikely to be broken at the Theatre of Dreams, where United have conceded just once all season.

The Red Devils are in ominous form, reeling off seven consecutive home league wins, with the performances of Cristiano Ronaldo going up several notches over recent games. Wayne Rooney is also available, and he will be keen to get back among the goals against a Derby side which have looked doomed for relegation long before Christmas decorations have gone up around the country. Whereas Man Utd are a best priced 1.13 in three-way markets, PinnacleSports.com have them at 1.775 (-2 & -2.5) in an Asian Handicap market priced to only under 102%, with Derby County 2.190 (+2 & +2.5).

Black Cats Will Need Nine Lives at the Bridge

Still seeking their first away win, and having lost 7-1 to Everton on the their last road trip, Sunderland appear unlikely to be the team that breaks Chelsea’s amazing unbeaten league record at Stamford Bridge. The Blues haven’t lost a home Premiership game since February 2004, and will be looking to keep the pressure on Arsenal and Manchester United, the only clubs above them in the table.

Sunderland’s problems are compounded by injuries, the latest casualty being Carlos Edwards, who only lasted three games of a comeback from long-term injury before breaking his leg in the crucial 1-0 win over Derby. Boss, Roy Keane, could be forgiven for simply attempting a damage limitation exercise on Saturday, saving his players for the more winnable games approaching in the crucial Christmas period. PinnacleSports.com price Chelsea 1.943 (-1.5 & -2) with Sunderland 1.980 (+1.5 & +2).

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

Premiership Betting Preview - Matchday 15 Preview

Thu, 29 Nov 2007 19:37:48 +0000

Two new Premiership managers were unveiled this week at Derby and Birmingham, while rumours are circulating that Rafa Benitez may have over-stepped the mark with his criticism of Liverpool’s American owners, Tom Hicks and George Gillett. These drastic moves reflect the fact that the Premiership season is reaching a tipping point for those clubs serious about making a title challenge, as well those struggling at the foot of the table. Bettors should make careful note of the managerial activity before taking advantage of up to 60% better Premier League betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Liverpool Staying Focused Despite Boardroom Battle

Following the mass show of support at Anfield on Wednesday night, Rafa Benitez will be in bullish move for the visit of Bolton Wanderers on Sunday. With better finishing from Fernando Torres, the Reds could have beaten Newcastle by far more than three goals last weekend. Ringing the changes again, Benitez gave the first league starts of the season to young Brazilian, Lucas Leiva, and injury prone, Harry Kewell. Leiva was effectively employed in front of the back four, while Kewell formed part of an attacking formation along with Dirk Kuyt and the wasteful Torres.

If the young Spaniard has his shooting boots on against the Trotters, it could be a busy day for goalkeeper, Jussi Jaaskelainen. Bolton will be boosted by last weekend’s home win over Champions, Manchester United, which lifted them out of the relegation places, but Gary Megson’s side are still searching for their first away win. They have taken just two points from six games on the road, scoring only four times, and have one less day than Liverpool to prepare after midweek European action. Bolton have lost on their last five visits to Anfield, failing to score in four of those games. PinnacleSports.com make Liverpool favourites 2.080 (-1.5) with Bolton 1.855 (+1.5).

Gunners Take Unbeaten Record to Villa Park

Unbeaten in the Premiership, Arsenal travel to Villa Park on Saturday looking to maintain their lead at the top of the Premiership table. Arsene Wenger shouldn’t be too disappointed that his young side experience their first loss of the season away to Sevilla on Wednesday. He fielded an experienced side, safe in the knowledge that they will make the knock-out stages. He used Cesc Fabregas for only 56 minutes, and given the young Spaniard missed last weekend’s win over Wigan due to suspension, he should be fresh and raring to go for the game against the Villans.

The absence of Fabregas was telling, as the Gunners struggled to break down a resolute Wigan side. His creativity is critically important to the side, and will be needed against a very well organized Aston Villa side who have recorded three straight Premiership victories, conceding just once. Martin O’Neill has John Carew fit again, and the big Norwegian provides a perfect foil for the pacey Ashley Young and Gabriel Agbonlahor. These are exciting times for the Midlands’ club, who have real European ambitions, but they still have someway to go to bridge the club with the Premiership’s elite. Aston Villa have beaten Arsenal in seventeen meetings and PinnacleSports.com price the game Arsenal 1.980 (-0.5) with Aston Villa 1.943 (+0.5) – a market priced to under 102%.

It's Wayne in Cats and Dogs

Tue, 20 Nov 2007 19:23:10 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
I've never really saw the point in children. I can appreciate their usefulness when they're big enough to nip down to the off-license, but I'm not sure if that justifies the £10 a year it costs to clothe them.

My little Goliath has been playing up recently. The wife has the cheek to say he takes after his father, although that does boil down to guesswork on her part.

I've gone out of my way to try and bond with the lad in an attempt to curb his misbehaviour. I even tried to connect with my feminine side; but I had to call it a day when my phone bill went through the roof.

I guess the problem lies in the fact that we have very little in common. The only sport that interests the little man is wrestling; as the sight of a horizontal 20 stone freak reminds him of his mother.

I just wish we had a relationship where we could share more with each other; like the Allardyces.

Big Sam must be regretting his claim that Rafa Benitez should be sacked as a result of poor Premiership form. You don't have be a whiny Canadian dwarf to appreciate the irony. The 11/10 for a Liverpool win over Newcastle is positively gargantuan.

Wayne Rooney is studying English literature in a noble attempt to further his education. I'd love to hear his thoughts on 'Where's Spot' and 'The Cat in the Hat'. Rooney's home-study may well lead to a GCSE: 'grandmothers can sleep easily'. I'm getting up early to take 1/2 for a Manchester United win over Bolton.

I was looking forward to previewing the West Ham v Tottenham match, as Lennon and McCartney may share the same stage. Unfortunately, I've received a legal document informing me that I must address them as McCartney and Lennon. The 13/8 for a Tottenham win over West Ham is out of order.

Call me a lunatic conspiracy theorist; but is it a coincidence that a week after Frank Lampard admitted to being a Tory, he helped lead England out of Europe. I don't need a referendum to accept 2/7 for a Chelsea win over Derby.

Blackburn are still embarrassed about David Bentley's name being spelt incorrectly on the back of his shirt. The kit-man must regret asking for help from Robbie Savage. 11/5 for a Fulham win over Blackburn will spell a tidy profit.

Roy Keane is a promising young manager; he's promising to knock out a number of his players if they don't show a dramatic improvement. I'm piling into the 11/4 for a Sunderland draw at Everton.

I'm a sucker for a worthy cause, so i'm determined to raise £10,000 to aid research into the negative impact of reality TV on minor celebrities. I intend to take a hands-on role in the campaign; I hope to probe Sophie Anderton. Backing Manchester City at 8/13 against Reading will undoubtedly add to the kitty.

'Mad Dave' Whelan may have made a mistake in hiring the aesthetically challenged Steve Bruce. If their style of football proves as pleasing to the eye as the new manager; the supporters are going to see more long balls than Abigail Clancy. I'm looking up to the 1/6 for an Arsenal win over Wigan.

When Birmingham first poached Steve Bruce, they agreed to a clause allowing his former employers 15% of any future sell-on fee. A windfall of £450,000 will prove invaluable to the struggling Safari Park. Portsmouth will run wild against Birmingham at 7/5.

I'm quietly confident that Aston Villa will leave Middlesbrough with their customary three points. There is a question-mark over who will score the goals for the Villans, as Liam Ridgewell is unavailable. I'll take a calculated risk at 17/10.

I've offered to take little Goliath to a Premier League match if he improves his behaviour, but the little runt has asked to watch wrestling instead. In a compromise that suits both parties, I've promised him a trip to watch England play football at Wembley; so we can both watch a group of sportsmen who aren't really trying. Arsenal, Portsmouth, Manchester City and Fulham form an 11/1 accer that can lead to a down payment on the train fare.

Weekend Betting:

Newcastle v Liverpool Saturday 24th November 12:45 Live on Sky

Newcastle 11/4
Draw 12/5
Liverpool 11/10

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Torres to score the first goal 11/2

Arsenal v Wigan Saturday 24th November 15:00

Arsenal 1/6
Draw 6/1
Wigan 22/1

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Arsenal to win and keep a clean sheet 8/11

Birmingham v Portsmouth Saturday 24th November 15:00

Birmingham 11/5
Draw 23/10
Portsmouth 7/5

Get on: Portsmouth

Match Special:
Portsmouth to score three or more goals 11/2

Bolton v Man Utd Saturday 24th November 15:00

Bolton 8/1
Draw 10/3
Man Utd 1/2

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Ronaldo to score direct from a free kick 9/1

Everton v Sunderland Saturday 24th November 15:00

Everton 4/6
Draw 11/4
Sunderland 11/2

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Kenwyne Jones to score in a 1-1 draw 20/1

Man City v Reading Saturday 24th November 15:00

Man City 8/13
Draw 11/4
Reading 11/2

Get on: Man City

Match Special:
Petrov to score the only goal of the game 33/1

Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Saturday 24th November 15:00

Middlesbrough 9/5
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 17/10

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Agbonlahor to score with a header 8/1

Derby v Chelsea Saturday 24th November 17:15 Live on Setanta

Derby 14/1
Draw 5/1
Chelsea 2/7

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Lampard to score from outside the penalty area 7/2

West Ham v Tottenham Sunday 25th November 13:30 Live on Sky

West Ham 9/5
Draw 23/10
Tottenham 13/8

Get on: Tottenham

Match Special:
Lennon to score at any time 11/2

Fulham v Blackburn Sunday 25th November 16:00 Live on Sky

Fulham 11/5
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 6/4

Get on: Fulham

Match Special:
Healy to score the last goal 7/1

Euro 2008 Betting - England Face Meaningless Waltz in Vienna

Tue, 13 Nov 2007 19:20:24 +0000

Steve McLaren has two games in the space of five days which could well be his last as manager of the national side. On Friday, England play Austria in Vienna for what should have been a dress-rehearsal for a potential fixture for the Euro 2008 finals. Instead it looks like being a useful run-out for the co-hosts, while for England a meaningless friendly, ahead of what seems the inevitable failure to qualify for next summer's main event.

Against all logic, McLaren is maintaining a positive outlook, hoping that Russia drop points against Israel or Andorra; or that Croatia lose in Macedonia. Either scenario would promote England's final group E game at home to the Croats on Wednesday to a qualification decider. The complex situation in Group E is mirrored in several of the eight qualifying sections, where the final picture will only be clear after the completion of the fixtures on both Saturday and Wednesday. It promises to be an exciting few days of international football, and PinnacleSports.com will be offering unbeatable Euro 2008 betting odds , betting many games to less than 102%, which gives bettors up to 60% better odds.

Beckham Likely to Start for Meaningless Waltz in Vienna

Steve McLaren recently flew out to the States to watch David Beckham in a charity game, giving the biggest hint that Becks is still part of his thinking, for however long Macca stays in charge of the England side. Beckham's domestic season is over, with the LA Galaxy failing to make the MLS play-offs, but McLaren has made his feelings clear that should Russia fail to beat Israel, turning England's final game against Croatia into an all-or-nothing decider, he wants 'big game' players on the team-sheet.

There are plenty of 'ifs?' and with such uncertainty clouding the situation it may be hard for England to concentrate on the game in Vienna. Ashley Cole is another player who is likely to get game time following injury, but McLaren must do without several first choice players, such as Wayne Rooney, Rio Ferdinand, John Terry, and he has given strong hints that goalkeeper, Paul Robinson, has run out of chances, and will be replaced by Aston Villa's, Scott Carson.

For Austria this is an important part of the build-up to their co-hosting of next year's event. No-one sees them as credible challengers, so to a certain extent the pressure is off coach, Josef Hickersberger, but host countries are always lifted by territorial advantage, and Austria have set themselves the goal of at least progressing to the knock-out stages. Their recent results suggest that it is a widely optimistic target, winning just one of their last ten games against what can generously be called 'mediocre' opposition.

Hickersberger has nowhere near the depth of quality available to Steve McLaren, but his side should rise to the occasion for what is an eagerly anticipated friendly given the context, while England may struggle to shake off the disappointment of the decisive recent defeat in Moscow. PinnacleSports.com make England slight favourites on their Asian Handicap, priced 1.800 (-0.5) with Austria 2.150 (+0.5).

Best Euro 2008 Odds at PinnacleSports.com!

The Wright to remain silent

Thu, 08 Nov 2007 19:54:15 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Advertisements rarely reflect real life. Take the long-running advert where an irritating couple attempt to arrange a £25,000 loan.

When the bint turns to her slow-witted spouse and asks, "How much do we want to borrow again?" midway through the negotiations, the so-called male doesn't even attempt to administer the appropriate response to her fundamental lack of preparation.

The ending is also a complete fabrication. When she says, "Josh, Dad's found your scooter," it breaks off before she can add, "He's going to need it now he has to sell his car to allow us to meet the crippling repayments that will burden us until we welcome death like a long-lost relative."

Deregulation in the betting industry has finally allowed bookmakers to lie on television. I was extremely disappointed with the one starring Ian Wright. The former Gunner plays an opinionated buffoon; which is hardly a great stretch.

I'd like to have seen Kelly Dalglish and Georgie Thompson front the campaign. Picture the scene: the girls are lying on a four-poster bed, tickling each other and discussing the weekend football. Suddenly, a slight difference of opinion develops into a full blown pillow-fight. The excited pair then realise that a small bet would settle their differences amicably. They then kiss and make up for a couple of minutes.

I have no history in the advertising sector, but I genuinely think that this ad would prove a real winner, and I've been thinking about it quite a lot. I also think Arsenal are a cracking bet at 4/7 to leave Reading with the three points.

Advertising is undoubtedly effective. When the 'Did you have an accident that wasn't your fault?' campaign first ran, they received an immediate response from a Mr. Savage. There's nothing disappointing about the 7/2 for a draw between Manchester United and Blackburn.

Bolton were in the Heather Mills position last week, they were left stunned after a stellar McCartney volley. West Ham managed to blow the lead that day, there won't be a repeat against a downtrodden Derby. The Hammers will walk it at 13/10.

Mike Ashley has been advised not to wear his replica shirt in the Stadium of Light, as there's a chance he might antagonise the home supporters. I'd have thought the fact that he was 44 would have been a more persuasive argument. Newcastle have come out on top on their last five meetings with Sunderland, I fancy a repeat at 13/8.

The press have reported the news that Wigan are considering appointing Graeme Souness as a successor to Chris Hutchings. Dave Whelan is absolutely furious with the leak, he wanted to keep the details of 'Operation Coca Cola' secret. Tottenham are my five star weekend bankers against the freefalling Wigan. I'm hitting the 4/7 hard.

Liam Ridgewell will be getting plenty of stick in the Birmingham derby. The limited defender was a definite tryer when he played for the Villa; he'd try to concede three penalties a match. Blues v Villa has 'draw' written all over it, I'll happily play at 9/4.

Gerry Sutcliffe may have an exceptionally cool name, but that does not give him the right to label John Terry's wages 'obscene'. A more acceptable target for his ire would have been the desperate Ian Wright. I'm unsure of the restitution that Wrighty receives for his multiple radio and television appearances, but even if they were all gratis; he'd still be grossly overpaid. We should all have a cheeky punt on Chelsea to beat Everton at 4/11.

Fernando Torres is now a fully fledged Liverpudlian, he's just had a week off on the sick. Liverpool are in fine fettle after an eight goal extravaganza in midweek, they'll take care of Fulham at 1/3.

According to a recent poll, Middlesbrough is the worst place to live in Britain. I can only assume that Coventry was disqualified to make it a competitive heat. The Boro are unbeaten against Bolton in their last eight meets, their star players can sneak a draw at the Reebok at 12/5, before heading home to Newcastle.

Portsmouth look a decent call at 11/10 to see off Manchester City, but I'm more interested in the 'which City player will hospitalise Pedro Mendes' market. Ben Thatcher and Joey Barton are both previous winners of this exciting new novelty bet, but I hear Dietmar Hamann has been laid out specifically for this one.

I was absolutely devastated when a freak strike from Luke Young stopped the accer from obliging last week. I was left hurt, shocked, sickened and bewildered, it was like watching Ian Wright's 'Chicken Tonight' advert all over again. Liverpool, Chelsea, Tottenham, Arsenal and a Birmingham draw form a 12/1 weekend accer that can help banish that distressing memory.

Weekend Betting:

Sunderland v Newcastle Saturday 10th November 12:45 Live on Sky

Sunderland 15/8
Draw 23/10
Newcastle 13/8

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Joey Barton to be sent off 20/1

Derby v West Ham Saturday 10th November 15:00

Derby 12/5
Draw 12/5
West Ham 13/10

Get on: West Ham

Match Special:
Solano to score direct from a free-kick 12/1

Liverpool v Fulham Saturday 10th November 17:15 Live on Setanta

Liverpool 1/3
Draw 9/2
Fulham 12/1

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Crouch to score with a header 7/2

Birmingham v Aston Villa Sunday 11th November 13:00 Live on Sky

Birmingham 7/4
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 9/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Reo-Coker to be booked 7/4

Chelsea v Everton Sunday 11th November 14:00

Chelsea 4/11
Draw 4/1
Everton 9/1

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Drogba to score two or more goals 5/1

Bolton v Middlesbrough Sunday 11th November 15:00

Bolton 6/5
Draw 12/5
Middlesbrough 11/4

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 17/2

Man Utd v Blackburn Sunday 11th November 15:00

Man Utd 4/11
Draw 7/2
Blackburn 9/1

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
McCarthy to score in a 1-1 draw 33/1

Tottenham v Wigan Sunday 11th November 15:00

Tottenham 4/7
Draw 3/1
Wigan 7/1

Get on: Tottenham

Match Special:
Tottenham to score four or more goals 11/2

Portsmouth v Man City Sunday 11th November 16:00 Live on Sky

Portsmouth 11/10
Draw 12/5
Man City 3/1

Get on: Portsmouth

Match Special:
Portsmouth to win and keep a clean sheet 12/5

Reading v Arsenal Monday 12th November 20:00 Live on Setanta

Reading 6/1
Draw 3/1
Arsenal 4/7

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Fabregas to score from outside of the penalty area 6/1

This is the ode to Hel

Thu, 01 Nov 2007 19:59:42 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
I've never been particularly lucky in love. As a result of a severe lack of confidence, I can only approach women after a skinful of lager when the beer goggles are on. Even Kermit would have turned his nose up at some of the pigs I've tried my luck with.

I raised the bar marginally higher when I emailed Helen Chamberlain to ask for a date, but she just blew me off.

I did find fleeting love with a diminutive woman called Dot. But just like the unfortunate Martin Jol, I was dumped via a text message. I'm completely over her now though; I buried her under the patio. After extensive digging I've discovered 13/8 for a Tottenham win over Middlesbrough.

Rent-a-quote WAG Cheryl Cole claimed that her 'husband' didn't enjoy his final days at Arsenal as he believed that his foreign team-mates were all 'talking about him'. I find it amazing that a talented footballer with a loving wife could end up such a paranoid wreck; and Ashley Cole is definitely a talented footballer. The 4/9 for a Chelsea win over Wigan is convenient.

Steve Bruce is definitely feeling the pressure. The potato-headed manger couldn't bear to watch as Birmingham played Wigan last week; although this is not necessarily an uncommon phenomenon amongst the regulars of St Andrews. Everton can be backed at 8/11 against Birmingham; that's unusually exhilarating.

It's no coincidence that Arsenal are producing champagne football after dropping the bitter Lehmann. I believe the morale-boosting team huddle is a major factor in the Gunners' improved form, or it may just be an opportunity to talk about Ashley Cole. Everybody should be talking about the 6/4 for an Arsenal win over Manchester United.

Sam Allardyce will go head to head with Harry Redknapp at St James' Park, in a match that the gutter press are labelling 'Panorama II'. I've been investigating the history to this fixture and I've discovered that Pompey last won in Newcastle in 1949. The Toon can continue their practical ownership at 11/10.

A member of the Royal family has allegedly been caught up in a sex scandal. I just hope it's not Charlie, as i have absolutely no interest in hippophilia. One set of Royals who won't be going down is Reading; they'll leave Fulham with a point at 9/4.

Aston Villa appear to be certainties at 1/2 against a woeful Derby County. The Villa have looked fearsome on their own patch this season, while the Rams are conceding almost three goals a game on the road. The only money going on Derby will be Freddie Flintoff's.

Phil Gartside must have had a few jars when he appointed Gary Megson. I'm all for positive discrimination, but this move reeks of desperation. Luckily for Bolton, West Ham have been decimated by injuries. Bolton can sneak a fortuitous draw at 5/2.

Like most people who enjoy a swift couple of beers, I often struggle to undress when I'm the worse for wear. I've now patented a machine that takes your shirt off for you automatically; it's provisionally called 'The Carragher'. I'm all over the 11/5 for a Blackburn win over a depleted Liverpool.

Manchester City may have started the season impressively, but Sven was on the receiving end of a real spanking at Chelsea last week. To make matters even worse, his team then lost 6-0 at Stamford Bridge. I believe that result was merely a blip; City will explode into life on bonfire night against Sunderland at 8/13.

Being a persistent soul, I've decided to ask Helen Chamberlain to accompany me to a small fireworks display. I've already bought her a Catherine wheel and a rocket; I just want a banger now. Aston Villa, Everton, Tottenham, Chelsea and Manchester City form a 13/1 weekend accer that will more than cover the expense.

Weekend Betting:

Arsenal v Man Utd Saturday 3rd November 12:45 Live on Sky

Arsenal 6/4
Draw 11/5
Man Utd 2/1

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Fabregas to score the only goal of the game 55/1

Aston Villa v Derby Saturday 3rd November 15:00

Aston Villa 1/2
Draw 10/3
Derby 8/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Aston Villa to win and keep a clean sheet 13/10

Everton v Birmingham Saturday 3rd November 15:00

Everton 8/11
Draw 12/5
Birmingham 5/1

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Yakubu to score two or more goals 13/2

Fulham v Reading Saturday 3rd November 15:00

Fulham 5/4
Draw 9/4
Reading 13/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 or 3-3 11/1

Middlesbrough v Tottenham Saturday 3rd November 15:00

Middlesbrough 15/8
Draw 23/10
Tottenham 13/8

Get on: Tottenham

Match Special:
Berbatov to score at any time 15/8

Newcastle v Portsmouth Saturday 3rd November 15:00

Newcastle 11/10
Draw 12/5
Portsmouth 13/5

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Michael Owen to score the first goal 11/2

Wigan v Chelsea Saturday 3rd November 15:00

Wigan 17/2
Draw 10/3
Chelsea 4/9

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Lampard to score from outside the penalty area 4/1

Blackburn v Liverpool Saturday 3rd November 17:15 Live on Setanta

Blackburn 11/5
Draw 23/10
Liverpool 6/4

Get on: Blackburn

Match Special:
Blackburn to score two or more goals 2/1

West Ham v Bolton Sunday 4th November 16:00 Live on Sky

West Ham Evs
Draw 5/2
Bolton 7/2

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Anelka to score in a 1-1 draw 20/1

Man City v Sunderland Monday 5th November 20:00 Live on Setanta

Man City 8/13
Draw 11/4
Sunderland 5/1

Get on: Man City

Match Special:
Elano to score direct from a free kick 7/1

Tuesday's Carling Cup Football

Tue, 30 Oct 2007 07:56:53 +0000

Tuesday night sees the opening game of the 4th Round, when Coventry City host West Ham at the Ricoh Arena (Sky Sports 2, k/o 7:45pm). Coventry City have done fantastically well getting through to the 4th Round, having beaten Man Utd 2-0. Although United fielded a team of reserve and youth players, it was a tremendous achievement for Coventry to travel to Old Trafford and secure passage to the next round.

As a result, Iain Dowie's men go into the game with West Ham full of confidence, and will fancy their chances at home, VC Bet have Coventry priced at 21/10 to record a win. West Ham, however, go into this game in indifferent form, having only won one game in their last four. Alan Curbishley realises that the Carling Cup provides West Ham with a realistic route into Europe; as such bookies believe that West Ham will go all out for the win, with Betterbet pricing West Ham as favourites at 10/11. Whoever you choose to back, this promises to be a game full of surprises

BGbet are offering to refund all losing first goalscorer bets on Coventry v West Ham if Carlton Cole scores at anytime in this match.

Premiership Betting - Matchday 11 Preview

Thu, 25 Oct 2007 18:12:58 +0000

Reigning Premiership champions, Manchester United, have an opportunity this weekend to go top of the Premier League table for the first time this season. After a poor start, the Red Devils have hauled themselves up to second in the table, and have a very winnable game at home to Middlesbrough on Saturday, while the team at the top of the pile, Arsenal, have a tough trip to Anfield. For up to 60% better Premiership betting odds on both of these key fixtures, go to PinnacleSports.com.

Rampant Red Devils Ready to Cut Down Boro

Man Utd’s season has taken off in recent weeks scoring 12 goals in three consecutive victories. The goal-rush is a welcome departure from the string of a 1-0 wins that characterised their early season form, and suggests that Tevez and Rooney are forging an understanding up front, while Ronaldo – with four goals in three games - looks back to his best. The only downer for coach, Alex Ferguson, is the addition of Paul Scholes to the midfield injury list, alongside Owen Hargreaves and Michael Carrick.

Fergie will however, be confident that his side has the strength in depth to see off struggling Boro at the Theatre of Dreams. His side have been rampant in recent Premier League fixtures and coped with those absentees in Moscow on Tuesday night, winning 4-2. In stark contrast, Boro are in freefall, having taken just one point from their last five league games. Goal-scoring has been a real problem, with the Teessiders failing to score in three of their four away defeats. The one key point in Boro’s favour is the fact that they are unbeaten in four league visits to Old Trafford. Nevertheless, PinnacleSports.com price Man Utd strong favourites at 1.901 (-1.5 & -2), with Middlesbrough 2.03 (+1.5 & +2).

Unbeaten Gunners Face First True Challenge at Anfield

Sunday’s fixture at Anfield, between Liverpool and Arsenal, the Premier League’s two remaining unbeaten sides, is the first big clash of the season, and should provide an indication of their title-credential. The Gunners are top of the Premiership table, and come into the game on the back of 12 consecutive wins in all competitions for the concession of just four goals. The most recent 7-0 Champions League win at home to Slavia Prague, equalled the record win in the competition.

Liverpool’s fortunes have been going in the opposite direction. The Reds have a mountain to climb in Europe after Wednesday night’s defeat in Turkey, and have drawn their last two home league fixtures. Last Saturday’s Derby win at Goodison Park was a welcome fillip, but, Steven Gerrard, put in another muted performance. Rafa Benitez pulled off his captain off after 71 minutes with the scores tied, a surprising move given that Gerrard is Liverpool’s proven match-winner. Fernando Torres sat out that game with a thigh injury, but should be fit by the weekend, while Arsenal will definitely be without top league scorer, Robin Van Persie.

Best Premiership Odds at PinnacleSports.com

Cole, Frank Incensed and Meh

Thu, 18 Oct 2007 22:00:09 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
I've never been a great fan of Steve McClaren, but it's wholly unfair to place the blame for the death of English football at the feet of one hapless individual. Personally, I hold Frank Lampard solely responsible.

The great and the good of the world of punditry, and David Platt, have all been quick to defend the tubby midfielder, claiming that criticism is unjustified.

These washed-up has-beens have obviously forgotten his poor recent performances, his demand for respect rather than throwing his hands up, Frank TV, protracted contract negotiations, the 9/11 bevvy-up, the 'these are my people' line, the undignified Hammer-bashing, the 'Super Goals' advert and the Jamie Redknapp connection.

The woeful national anthem is also a contributory factor to our demise. I don't really understand why we need to pay homage to Ashley Cole.

Looking forward, we should introduce a more upbeat tune that will help keep Frank Lampard's feet on the ground. 'Lip up Fatty' fits the bill perfectly. I can't keep quiet about the 11/4 for a draw between Middlesbrough and Chelsea.

After a dreadful start to the season with Bolton, little Sammy Lee is now searching for a new career. I suppose he could always become a jockey, like Ashley Cole. I'm not horsing around with the 2/9 for an Arsenal win over Bolton.

Wayne Rooney and Carlos Tevez are not a striking partnership, in more ways than one. Aston Villa are an absolute beast in front of their own supporters, they look overpriced at 4/1 to land the shock.

The Royals really enjoyed their trip to Blackburn last season; it was probably funded by the tax-payer. Rovers have definitely improved since then, while Reading have gone backwards like a drunken crab. I'll happily take 8/11 about a Blackburn side on the up.

Fulham are a lot like Princess Diana. They looked good for a while, but they've hit a wall. After six games without a win, a home match against Derby will reverse their fortunes at 3/4.

It's not been a good week for Ashley Cole. The controversial defender faces a prolonged spell out of the game, as his cushions no longer match his drapes. A defeat for Tottenham at Newcastle will spell curtains for Martin Jol; a hard earned point may be enough to prolong the agony at 23/10.

Steve Bruce has demanded face-to-face talks with Carson Yeung. The billionaire is no mug though; he's bringing a couple of paper bags with him. There's no disguising the fact that Manchester City are a lock at 3/5 at home to Birmingham.

Benjani has now added goals to his repertoire: it now consists of goals. The 8/5 for a Pompey win over Wigan is everything you ever wanted in a football bet, and a little bit more.

I'm not sure if I buy this new cuddly easy-going persona of Roy Keane. It wouldn't surprise me if the Sunderland manager was seen holding a hammer on the touchline, preferably Craig Bellamy. West Ham can send Keano closer to the edge at 10/11.

The Merseyside derby is probably the toughest nut to crack on the weekend coupon. I honestly don't know which set of supporters will be bragging at work on Monday morning; probably because the question is fundamentally flawed. I can't pick a hole in the 9/4 for a draw between Everton and Liverpool.

I only wish that footballers could follow the example of their rugby playing counterparts. Although in fairness, Ashley Cole is doing his bit. The English rugby team are shoo-ins at even money with a nine point start against South Africa in the World Cup final.

Lewis Hamilton has the world at his feet, unlike Frank Lampard, who has to rely on updates from helpful associates. The 2/5 for young Lewis clinching the drivers' championship is more than fair.

I think it's time for the Frank Lampard bashing to cease. Nobody likes to see a fat kid get continually bullied, unless it has comedy value. Arsenal, Blackburn, Fulham, Man City and West Ham form a 10/1 weekend accer whose worth is beyond question.

Weekend Betting:

Everton v Liverpool Saturday 20th October 12:45 Live on Sky

Everton 11/4
Draw 9/4
Liverpool 5/4

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
A red card to be shown in the match 11/4

Arsenal v Bolton Saturday 20th October 15:00

Arsenal 2/9
Draw 9/2
Bolton 18/1

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Adebayor to score two or more goals 6/1

Blackburn v Reading Saturday 20th October 15:00

Blackburn 8/11
Draw 5/2
Reading 5/1

Get on: Blackburn

Match Special:
Bentley to score at any time 4/1

Fulham v Derby Saturday 20th October 15:00

Fulham 3/4
Draw 13/5
Derby 9/2

Get on: Fulham

Match Special:
Fulham to win and keep a clean sheet 15/8

Man City v Birmingham Saturday 20th October 15:00

Man City 3/5
Draw 3/1
Birmingham 6/1

Get on: Man City

Match Special:
Petrov to score the first goal 8/1

Middlesbrough v Chelsea Saturday 20th October 15:00

Middlesbrough 5/1
Draw 11/4
Chelsea 7/10

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 11/1

Wigan v Portsmouth Saturday 20th October 15:00

Wigan 2/1
Draw 23/10
Portsmouth 8/5

Get on: Portsmouth

Match Special:
Benjani to score in a 2-0 Pompey win 20/1

Aston Villa v Man Utd Saturday 20th October 17:15 Live on Setanta

Aston Villa 4/1
Draw 13/5
Man Utd 4/5

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Ashley Young to score the only goal of the game 70/1

West Ham v Sunderland Sunday 21st October 16:00 Live on Sky

West Ham 10/11
Draw 12/5
Sunderland 7/2

Get on: West Ham

Match Special:
West Ham to score three or more goals 7/2

Newcastle v Tottenham Monday 22nd October 20:00 Live on Sky

Newcastle 7/5
Draw 23/10
Tottenham 11/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Owen to score in a 1-1 draw 18/1

Euro 2008 Betting - Previews of Games for Ireland & Scotland

Tue, 09 Oct 2007 18:44:51 +0000

Scottish teams recently enjoyed one of their most successful weeks in European domestic football. Celtic beat Champions League holders AC Milan at Celtic Park, Rangers recorded a dramatic 3-0 away to Lyon, while Aberdeen progressed to the group stages of the UEFA Cup. Such results have led former Italian boss, Marcello Lippi, to comment that Scotland are Europe’s up-and-coming nation. Surely the Tartan Army’s recent win in Paris was the biggest hint that Scottish football is approaching a renaissance.

A Nation Expects But Can the Scots Deliver?

The last major international tournament that Scotland qualified for was the 2000 World Cup in France won by the host nation. It could Les Bleus that loses out should Scotland qualify from Group B, but the problem with Scotland is that they can be tough opponents when given little or no chance – as in the recent game at the Parc des Princes – but often disappoint when expectation is raised. Make no mistake the whole of Scotland no expects on Saturday against the Ukraine.

It is difficult therefore, to know what to expect of Alex McLeish’s heroes at Hampden. Though they currently top the section, they still have Italy to play at home, and Georgia away, so must get something out of this game. However, they are without Paul Hartley, a pivotal figure in recent performances. Oleg Blokhin’s side have only a slim chance of qualification, and he may look to blood youngster building to the 2012 event on home soil. Andriy Shevchenko and Andriy Voronin have however, been used sparingly by their clubs so may appreciate the opportunity to play, particularly as the game requires little travel. PinnacleSports.com price Scotland favourites on their Asian Handicap betting 1.775 (0/scratch & -0.5) with the Ukraine 2.190 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Stan & Ireland at Last Chance Saloon

Republic of Ireland manager, Steve ‘Stan’ Staunton, is running out of chances to prove his worth as the national team’s manager. After a poor qualification campaign, including one point from the two recent crucial fixtures in Slovakia and the Czech Republic, fate is out of Staunton’s hands. Though mathematically Ireland can still make it to the Euro 2008 finals – they must win their remaining fixtures, and hope the Czechs lose all theirs - Saturday’s game at Croke Park against Germany is really about pride, and building for the future. The venue is normally reserved for Gaelic games but is a temporary home for football, while Landsdowne Road is being renovated. It provides a very special atmosphere and Ireland are unbeaten in two fixtures without conceding.

There is also a knock-on effect for World Cup qualification, where seeding relies on the number of wins from this campaign. Though Staunton’s contract runs until 2010, it seems unlikely that he’ll remain in charge unless Ireland start winning beginning with this game against the runaway leaders of Group D. Joachim Low’s side need only a draw in Dublin to guarantee passage to Austria and Switzerland next summer, where they are rated one of the favourites. The only real absentee for the Germans is Miroslav Klose - the Bundesliga’s joint-top goal-scorer – otherwise Low has named a strong squad recalling Werder Bremen trio Torsten Frings, Tim Borowski and Clemens Fritz, along with Stuttgart’s striker, Mario Gomez. PinnacleSports.com make Germany favourites 2.060 (-0.5) with Ireland 1.870 (+0.5).

Premiership Betting - Matchday 8 Preview

Wed, 03 Oct 2007 23:20:38 +0000

The new Premier League season continues to throw up surprises. Portsmouth scored seven goals at home to Reading last Saturday, as many as Chelsea have managed all season. Following Tottenham’s titanic 4-4 home draw with Aston Villa, White Hart Lane has now produced an average of five goals per game, whereas the mean at Old Trafford is just one. It just goes to show that there are no certainties in football, other than getting up to 60% better Premier League betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Liverpool Set to Heap More Pressure on Jol

With his side 4-1 down after 60 minutes of Monday’s home game against Aston Villa, Martin Jol must have felt that his time at White Hart Lane had run out. However, showing the unpredictable nature that has characterised their season so far, Spurs pulled themselves back from the brink with three goals to salvage a point, and Jol a stay of execution. That miracle doesn’t change the fact that, despite spending £40million Tottenham have won just once, and are stuck in the bottom three.

Sunday’s trip to Anfield comes therefore, at a bad time for the Lilywhites as they haven’t scored in four games against the Reds, and last won a league game in front of the Kop in 1993. In Spurs’ defence, Anfield is regularly a fortress for almost all comers, as Liverpool have lost only two league at home over the previous two seasons. The Reds’ early season momentum has however receded, and a run of below par performances culminated with Wednesday’s shock 1-0 Champions League home defeat to Marseille which coach, Rafa Benitez, described as possibly the worst display since he took over the club. The Spaniard has been accused of stifling progress with his rotation policy which he perservered with in midweek, but fans will expect a big reaction here on Sunday putting pressure on Benitez to field his strongest possible eleven. PinnacleSports.com have Liverpool as favourites 2.120 (-1) with Spurs 1.820 (+1).

Man Utd & Arsenal Strong Favourites for Home Wins

Both Man Utd and Arsenal have home games this Sunday that they are expected to comfortably win, boosted by midweek Champions League victories. The Gunners’ 100% home record shouldn’t be in threat from newly promoted Sunderland. The Londoners dispatched fellow Premiership newbies, Derby, 6-0 in their last game at the Emirates Stadium, so with a near full squad to choose from Wenger is holding all the aces. The Black Cats are yet to win on the road, conceding eight from four away games, and have won just one of their last eight in all competitions. Arsenal are favourites on PinnacleSports.com’s Asian Handicap 2.010 (-1.5 & -2) with Sunderland 2.02 (+1.5 & 2).

After a shaky start Manchester United supporters will be pleased to now see their team just one place off the top of the Premiership. United have hauled themselves up the table without playing particularly well; they haven’t scored more than a single goal in any game so far. However, it is the hall-mark of great side to get results despite playing below par, and it is surely only a matter of time before the floodgates open, though Michael Carrick’s broken elbow leaves Alex Ferguson short in central midfield, with Owen Hargreaves and Darren Fletcher also sidelined. Form figures certainly point to a United victory as the ‘Latics have lost every Premiership game (17 in total) against the ‘big four’ since they entered the league in September 2005, and they are blunted by the absence of England striker, Emile Heskey. PinnacleSports.com price United 1.909 (-1.5 & -2) with Wigan 2.02 (+1.5 & +2).

Premiership Betting - Matchday 7 Preview

Thu, 27 Sep 2007 06:50:50 +0000

It's been a fantastic week on all fronts for Arsenal football club. The Gunners are top of the Premiership, with a game in hand on nearest rivals Manchester United, while newly released turnover figures have led the Londoners to claim they are now the richest club in Britain. At the same time their city rivals, Chelsea, are struggling to adapt to life after Mourinho. Both clubs face local Derbies on the weekend, where PinnacleSports.com will be offering up to 60% better Premier League odds.

Gunners Continue Excellent Start to the Season

Arsenal have made their best ever start to a Premier League season, even better than their three title winning campaigns, and 2003/04 when they remained unbeaten for the entire season. Arsene Wenger's young squad are showing a flair and ambition that have caused their outright odds for the Premier League to shorten dramatically, while they also made a confident start to the Champions League. On Sunday they make the short journey to East London, looking to sustain their position as Premier League leaders at Upton Park.

Arsene Wenger has something of a selection headache for the game against the Hammers, having dropped Robin Van Persie for the 5-0 win over Derby and with William Gallas, Jens Lehmann and Emmanuel Eboue back in training. Wenger will certainly want his to turn out his best eleven as West Ham have become a bogey side for Arsenal, completing an unlikely double last season, and remaining unbeaten in the last four meetings. The Irons gave a midweek run-out to Scott Parker and Freddie Ljungberg for their Carling Cup win, so they should be pushing for a start along with Craig Bellamy. Despite their poor record in this game PinnacleSports.com making Arsenal marginal favourites 1.885 (-0.5) with West Ham 2.05 (+0.5).

Rotating Rafa Rears His Ugly Head Again

Liverpool have failed to build on the 6-0 thrashing of Derby, drawing their next three league games, and pundits have laid the blame at the feet of rotating Rafa. He has kept star-striker Fernando Torres on the bench, but his second half hat-trick in the Carling Cup on Tuesday will surely means the Pool's record signing starts here. Benitez hasn't been helped by the mute form of Steven Gerrard, but he should have a full strength squad for the trip to the JJB Stadium on Saturday. They visit a Wigan side unbeaten at home, where they have conceded just once, but missing Emile Heskey, one of their shining stars so far this term. PinnacleSports.com make Liverpool favourites, 1.800 (-0.5 & -1) with Wigan 2.150 (+0.5 & +1).

Chelsea Need Big Performance at Home to Fulham

Given the ongoing turmoil at Stamford Bridge resulting from the exit of Jose Mourinho, Chelsea badly need to close ranks and get a confidence boosting win on Saturday at home to Fulham. The 4-0 Carling Cup win at Hull will certainly have helped, and Avram Grant should have Lampard, Ballack and Drogba available but the Blues have taken just one point from their last three league home games. The Cottagers have also proved tricky customers, drawing 2-2 at the Bridge last season, and have found the net on each of their six Premiership visits, which have averaged a massive 3.83 goals. In that case PinnacleSports.com's price for OVER 2.5 & 3.0 goals looks appealing at 2.06.

Bundesliga Betting - Week 6 Preview

Wed, 19 Sep 2007 22:53:30 +0000

This week Bayern Munich found themselves in the unaccustomed position of sitting back and watching Stuttgart, Bremen and Schalke in the Champions League, having failed to qualify for the competition for the first time in ten years. Instead they play on Thursday in the UEFA Cup along with Nurnberg and Leverkusen. Bundesliga bettors should keep the demands of European football in mind when checking out up to 60% better Bundesliga betting odds at PinnacleSports.com.

Bayern Munich Running Out of Steam?

Bayern Munich flew out of the blocks at the start of the new Bundesliga season, reeling off three straight victories, with an aggregate score of 10-0. In the last few weeks they have recorded consecutive 1-1 draws, suggesting that maybe they are running out of steam, or that opponents are raising their game. The Bavarians play Portuguese side, Belenenses in the UEFA Cup on Thursday, for which Miroslav Klose is banned, and Luca Toni an injury doubt. Both should however be available for the visit to Karsruhe on Sunday.

Willy Sagnol, Jose Sosa and Philipp Lahm remain sidelined, but Mark Van Bommel, Christian Lell and Lucio have all resumed training, which isn't good news for Karlsruhe. KSC are so far, doing the best of the newly promoted sides, thanks in great part to Tamas Hajnal, with three goals and two assists. Bayern boss, Ottmar Hitzfeld, will also be wary that Karlsruhe have the most offensive defenders in the league, providing three goals. The home side should also be at an advantage due to der FCB's UEFA commitments but PinnacleSports.com price Bayern Munich favourites 1.855 (-1) with Karlsruhe 2.08 (+1).

Bremen & Stuttgart Must Re-Focus on Domestic Issues

After their midweek Champions League defeats, Werder Bremen and Stuttgart must focus their attention on this important Bundesliga clash. Both sides have seven points after moderate starts to the new campaign, though Werder boss, Thomas Schaaf, will be concerned about their leaky defence which has already conceded 10 league goals, but at least he has an extra day to prepare them.

This is an historically entertaining game, as in 41 meetings of the sides at Bremen's Weserstadion, there hasn't been a single goalless draw. Last season's meetings produced ten goals, with Stuttgart doing the double on the way to winning the title. The champions are in fact unbeaten in five games against Bremen, and four away meetings. However, so far this season they have seemed muted on the road scoring just once; only the bottom club have a worse away scoring ratio. PinnacleSports.com price Werder Bremen 2.27 (-0.5) and Stuttgart 1.73 (+0.5).

2007/08 Premiership Preview

Thu, 02 Aug 2007 23:41:44 +0000
by betfred
Last year's campaign was one of the most enthralling and competitive seasons for a few years. Man Utd eventually won the title by 6 points with Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal making up the top quartet. Will this year be as interesting? My guess is without a doubt, yes. Teams have strengthened again this year but with some real quality signings, not just cheap foreign imports but players with pedigree and potential such as Liverpool's Fernando Torres and Chelsea's Florent Malouda. This piece will run you through the major players for the coveted title (with a few surprise inclusions) and the teams who may have to fight tooth and nail to stay up.

Manchester United - 5/4
Where better to start than with last seasons Champions. Sir Alex has been relatively busy in the transfer window this year with England midfielder Owen Hargreaves being the major signing. He is a player who will do all the leg work in the team, tracking back and protecting his defenders. This will allow Scholes, Carrick and the more centrally located Giggs to maraud forward and to add to an already impressive attack. Two fairly unknown quantities are the youngsters from Sporting and Porto, Nani and Anderson. These have cost Utd a combined fee somewhere in the region of £25m-£35m, so they must have a lot of potential. Utd assistant Carlos Quiroz will have no doubt watched these players on many occasions to splash out the sorts of figures that have been banded around. They are both attacking midfielders and although they may not be an instant hit, they may warm up to the Premierships fast pace and then take the league by storm ala Cristiano Ronaldo. Overall Man Utd have a huge chance of retaining their title, providing the main two players Rooney and Ronaldo have another relatively injury free campaign. This for me is my main concern. They are by no means a one man band but lets face it, the two R's made all the difference for Utd last season.

Liverpool - 6/1
It is probably best to start with saying that Liverpool are one of my strong fancies for a good title challenge this season, although 6/1 isn't massive - it is still a bet that I will be placing. Liverpool have made plenty of signings so far and quality ones at that. We all know Torres' pedigree and is potentially a special player. He literally carried Althletico Madrid for several seasons, taking the captains armband aged just 19. Ryan Babel is another quality signing. Anyone who saw this lad in the U21's European Championship knows what he can do, we mustn't forget that he also has 14 full international caps, netting 4 times. Benayoun and Ukrainian Vornin seem to have settled in well too, especially the latter, he has been named LFC man of the match twice out of his three pre season friendly appearances scoring twice. I think what is more important than the signings is the hunger shown by all of the players. They have been quoted as saying how important the opening weeks of the season are. This is where Liverpool have slipped up recently. The Premiership cannot be won in the first 10 fixtures but it can be lost. In summary - Liverpool are a good bet at better odds than Man Utd and Chelsea, with for me - similar potential.

Chelsea - 13/8
Jose Mourinho is never one to shy away from the media spotlight, even when the team is in L.A on their pre season tour he still manages to put his two penneth in. He recently said that all of the pressure is on Man Utd and Liverpool this season as they have been the "spending clubs". While this may be true I do not whole heartedly agree. Chelsea have the reputation of being up there with the "world's elite" and rightly so - after winning back to back League titles, but last season they lost their title and got knocked out of the Champions League at the semi-final stage yet again. Make no mistake they are under pressure too. The addition of Frenchman Florent Malouda will certainly help their cause, especially if Robben does leave "the bridge". Ex Reading midfielder Steve Sidwell has also been added to the squad, although I fail to see where he will fit in with Lampard, Ballack, Essien and Makele. Chelsea will be chomping at the bit to regain their title and this is what makes them so dangerous. Obviously they too have an excellent chance of regaining it and it will be up to the rest to stop them.

Arsenal - 9/1
Not many peoples fancy this season, but this can be such a huge advantage for the Gunners. After losing Henry and Ljungberg, many people have written of their chances of winning the league - this can be dangerous. Arsenal will be playing with little pressure this season, they have been quoted as being in a "transitional period" which will only push them on to be stronger and pressure free. Croatian International new boy Da Silva may or may not work out, but one man who will step up and be counted for is Van Persie. He was missing for a lot of the season last year and will be looking to make amends. He will be first choice up front in my opinion and is one for your Fantasy Football teams. The young players at Arsenal had a good shot in the first team last year with all of the injuries - this too is an advantage for the Gunners. Whilst they do have a chance at winning the league, I feel they MAY fall short. The squad is very thin with not too many new signings, an injury to Gilberto or Fabregas could be detrimental to their challenge.

Tottenham - 100/1
Spurs will not win the Premiership this season, BUT they are a cracking bet for "without the big 4" at 11/8. They have a very youthful and skilful squad, the addition of Darren Bent and Gareth Bale will be huge. Spurs' weakest position for quite a while has been left back. Bale who has gone to Spurs with a big reputation will make this position his own and do very well. Dimitar Berbatov was awesome last year, his first season at Spurs and in the Premiership and he scored 25 goals in all competitions. That is truly outstanding, now he is in his second season you would expect him to be even better. For me, worth a good punt for 5th place betting and if they do make 4th or 3rd which is likely - you will still win.
The relegation battle is often more exciting than the actual title race, we've seen plenty of last day survival games recently. Wigan were very lucky not to be relegated to the Championship last season, instead the plucky Sheffield Utd took the drop. It may be different this year, Paul Jewell has now left the JJB and he will be missed more so than if Heskey, Baines and Scharner were all to leave. He has proven in the past he is an excellent manager and you have to wonder whether Chris Hutchings can keep them up. At 5/4 to be relegated you'd have to be mad not to back it. Derby have to be an obvious choice to go back down, I can not see them having the ability or the squad to stay up, however 1/2 is hardly a price to be jumped upon. The final relegation place isn't so simple. It would have to be a toss up between Fulham (2/1) and Birmingham (5/6), only a minor preference for the former.

Gerry's Picks

Thu, 14 Jun 2007 17:12:39 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
We have to stop the Blubber Ring

Call me a non-conforming malcontent, but I wholeheartedly disagree with the concept of marriage. When at Alton Towers, I absolutely love it on the log flume, but after a few rides, I should be free to have a go on the black hole.

It's a statistical fact that if a couple of a similar age marry, the male has the shorter life expectancy. I haven't read up on the reason behind this, but my hunch would be the 'until death do us part' line in the ceremony.

There are occasionally extenuating circumstances for staying with the same partner for a significant number of years, but there aren't that many blonde, mute, orphaned, former gymnast cleaners wandering the streets.

Steven Gerrard, Michael Carrick, John Terry and Gary Neville are all making a huge rick by taking their partners up the aisle this weekend. I don't wish to scaremonger, but if my marriage is anything to go by, the bride's libido is replaced by an appetite for cake the moment the ring makes contact with the finger.

Gary Neville would love for David Beckham to show up on his big day, but Becks will be busy training for Real Madrid's title decider. Few would argue with the fact that Beckham deserves a medal; if only for his quick thinking in getting out of the Neville do. The slow-witted bint-beaten former golden boy of English football will finally get his hands on something other than Rebecca Loos; Real Madrid are absolute bankers at 2/13 at home to Mallorca.

Steven Gerrard's marriage to orange pancake-eater Alex Curran will undoubtedly be the glitziest affair. The couple originally wanted Gary Barlow to perform at the reception, but decided to go for a more upmarket feel and order a karaoke machine instead. The 11/4 for the red-hot Villarreal to snatch a point off Seville is enough to make me burst into a quality rendition of 'the size of a cow'.

I'm really enjoying the Under-21 tournament in Holland. To be honest, after five years of marriage, I'd be interested in anything under 21 stone. Portugal are the pick of the weekend punts at 2/5 against the underwhelming Israelis.

Once again, Big Brother has managed to completely hook me in. Tracey is probably the most interesting character in the series; I'm sure the mad raver would look a picture on her wedding day; as would her lovely bride. Tracey is now second favourite behind 'any other' in the outright market, but I'd rather be on Gerry at 5/1. So to speak.

I'm like any other young male who's visited London, we've all done Charley a couple of times. It's not easy to win the title of the most annoying member of the Richardson clan, but Charley has romped home practically unchallenged. The mouthy nause is an absolute certainty to be the next housemate evicted after the maladroit Shabnam.

Is Lewis Hamilton a flash in the pan or the real deal? This may well be the easiest question to answer since 'Will John Terry have a bouncer at his wedding reception.' The even money for Hamilton to take the title is shining like a doorman's eye after a meeting with Jody Morris.

Just because I'm anti-marriage, it doesn't make me a misogynist; that's purely a coincidence. Espanyol, Valencia, Real Madrid and a Seville draw form a 14/1 weekend accer that I can really commit to.

RED DEVILS TO MAKE IT A BLUE DAY FOR CHELSEA?

Wed, 16 May 2007 22:59:32 +0000
By Bet365
The FA Cup final is back at Wembley this year and bet365 make Manchester United slight favourites in the betting at 9/5 to win in 90 minutes, with Chelsea 15/8 to do the same. The draw will be popular at 2/1 with many customers expecting the two teams to cancel one another out as they did in a recent league match.

The Red Devils got the upper hand over Chelsea in the Premiership and are 9/1 with bet365 to win the match by a correct score of 2-1. If you fancy the Blues to instead gain revenge, a bet on them winning 3-0 is 33/1.

Premiership top scorer Didier Drogba is 13/2 to score the first goal, as is United superstar Wayne Rooney. Chelsea captain John Terry likes to come forward for set pieces and is 25/1 to get his name on the scoresheet first.

Either way, it’s set to be a great spectacle and bet365 are providing a massive range of pre-match and In-Play markets for each and every customer.

Premiership preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 09 May 2007 21:57:18 +0000

As the Premiership draws to a close this weekend, clubs will be taking stock of the success of their campaigns. In the same way gamblers will sit down to work out how profitable their season has been, and without doubt those punters who have been taking advantage of www.pinnaclesports.com 's 60% Premiership odds will be in the best position. If you are not a Pinnacle account holder, make sure you improve your chances for start of the new season, by siding with the internet's leading sportsbook.

West Ham Desperate to Spoil United's Title Party
The game between Manchester United and West Ham at Old Trafford on the final day of the season, had for a long time looked like it would be critical for both participants. In the event, the Red Devils have already wrapped up the title, but the Hammers are left in the unenviable position of needing at least a draw from the newly crowned Champions to avoid relegation or hope results elsewhere go in their favour. Alan Curbishley has performed a minor miracle producing six wins from their last eight games, but it will take something special to spoil Alex Ferguson's party at the Theatre of Dreams. If Fergie turns out a similar side to that which earned a draw at Stamford Bridge, there may be hope for the Hammers.

It wouldn't be so bad for the Irons were it not for the fact that United need to maintain their focus for the FA Cup, next weekend. Many squad players will be vying for a place in the first team at the new Wembley, while Fergie won't be happy for momentum to be stalled. As much as anything else, the crowd at the Theatre of Dreams will expect a fitting finale to this glorious season. So where does that leave West Ham? Carlos Tevez has been in outstanding form but the Argentine will get close attention from the new Champions. Should the Londoners sit back and try to settle for a draw they will almost certainly be over-run, take the battle to United and they are open to the counter-attack. Curbishley could do worse than mug up on Sun Tzu's 'the Art of War'. www.pinnaclesports.com don't envisage a bloodbath pricing United 1.730 (-0.5) with West Ham 2.270 (+0.5).

Failure Not an Option For Wigan at Bramall Lane
There are three teams fighting to avoid filling the final relegation place in the Premiership table, and two of them meet at Bramall Lane on Sunday. Wigan and Sheffield United are both in danger of being consigned to the Championship, but their positions are significantly different. The Blades need only a draw to guarantee safety, whereas a win for Wigan will only be good enough if West Ham also lose at Old Trafford. Regardless of the circumstances Sheffield United should be expected to play the game to win. Too many times this season they have had to drag themselves back into games after slow starts, so Neil Warnock will be unlikely to risk a conservative approach. Warnock may also have been alarmed to see a United reserve side turn out at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday; a similarly weakened side would play into West Ham's hands and put greater pressure on Sheffield United to avoid defeat.

Wigan's fate is now out of their own hands, but they have had plenty of opportunities to avoid being in this position. The Latics are without a win in their last eight games, and haven't even scored in a hat-trick of losing Premiership fixtures going into this game. The 3-0 home defeat by relegation rivals West Ham was interpreted by many pundits as flying the white flag of surrender to relegation, and it will take a monumental effort by manager, Paul Jewell, to convince his players that their two year stay in the Premiership is not yet over. www.pinnaclesports.com can't separate the sides on their Asian Handicap pricing Sheffield United 1.746 (0/scratch) with Wigan 2.240 (0/scratch).

Pompey Still Dreaming of European Football
Harry Redknapp's Portsmouth were the only side other than Chelsea and Manchester United to top this season's Premiership table. The Southcoast side were unable to maintain that lofty position, but could still finish in a high enough position to qualify for Europe, which would be a first for a club that has experienced a rags-to-riches story. Recent home form suggests that Pompey have an excellent chance of getting the three points that would give them a chance of getting into a UEFA Cup spot. Portsmouth have lost just three times at home this season, and are looking for a fourth straight win, having recently sent Liverpool, Newcastle and Man Utd packing. They host Arsenal on Sunday, so ex-Gunners, Sol Campbell and Kanu will have a particular point to prove.

Arsenal have been far from impressive towards the tale end of the season, but they have done enough to qualify for next season's Champions League. At present they would however have to negotiate the qualifying rounds, sitting fourth behind Liverpool who have a much easier final fixture, playing already relegated Charlton at home. Wenger must however assume that his side can still over-turn the Scousers with a victory at Fratton Park, and go flat out for three points. The Gunners have an excellent record against Pompey who have never beaten them in the Premiership, a seven game sequence. www.pinnaclesports.com make Arsenal marginal favourites 1.840 (0/scratch) with Portsmouth 2.090 (0/scratch).

Serie A preview from PinnacleSports.com

Wed, 25 Apr 2007 20:50:23 +0000

Inter Milan confirmed the inevitable on the weekend when they landed the Serie A title, but there is still plenty of life left in the Italian top flight. Battles for European positions and survival from relegation maintain the intrigue in what has been one of the most remarkable seasons in Italian football history. With plenty of action remaining www.pinnaclesports.com will continue to offer unbeatable Serie A odds, up to 60% better than the opposition.

Inter Land Title But Still Have Plenty to Prove
Inter Milan celebrated on the weekend by landing the Italian Scudetto. Two goals by Marco Materazzi secured a win at Siena, while Roma were beaten at Atalanta. The Nerazzurri could be forgiven for taking their foot off the gas after a season featuring a record 17 game winning run. However, Roberto Mancini's side are still chasing a record points tally, and are motivated to stay sharp for the Coppa Italia in May against second place Roma. Nonetheless, after a week of champagne, Inter might not be at their best for the home game against fifth placed Empoli who will be eager to maintain qualification for European competition.

Luigi Cagni has worked wonders at Empoli since his appointment last January. The Blues are set for a second consecutive UEFA Cup adventure, no mean feat for perennial relegation strugglers. They come into this game in good form having strung together three clean sheets, but the side from Brescia have played Inter Milan twice already this season (league & cup) losing both games by an aggregate of 5-0. Empoli will of course look to expose any hangover that Inter may have after a week of partying but www.pinnaclesports.com still have the new champions as favourite for this game 2.260 (-1) with Empoli 1.735 (+1).

Bitter Rivals Battle in Rome Derby
Rome will be divided on Sunday afternoon as one of the most ferocious football rivalries is renewed. The Derby della Capitale is almost unrivalled for the bitterness, rivalry and sheer passion. The game was abandoned after a riot in 2004, but hopefully with the title already settled, and both teams assured of Champions League football, 90 minutes of football will be played. Roma have a comfortable eleven point lead over Lazio, but will want to maintain performance levels as they prepare for the Coppa Italia final against Inter.

The Giallorossi haven't lost the Rome Derby as the home side since 1997, and captain, Francesco Totti, will want to maintain his position as the league's top-scorer. Having strung together an eight game winning run that lifted them into third place, Lazio have now gone a further three games without victory, failing to score in the last two. In contrast Roma are scoring freely, reacting to the humiliating 7-1 defeat by Manchester United by scoring eight in three games, though the most recent ended in defeat to Atalanta. www.pinnaclesports.com have Roma as slight favourites on their Asian Handicap 1.877 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Lazio 2.050 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Reggina Close to Performing the Great Escape
Having suffered a 15-point deduction resulting from their involvement in the Italian match-fixing scandal Reggina were one of the obvious favourites for relegation. Though the Amaranto are in the basement of the table, three points covers the six teams above them in the table, so a win away to Ascoli on Sunday could change things dramatically. The Calabrians are unbeaten in their last four games, but that sequence included three draws, and another stalemate would leave them third from bottom and facing demotion to Serie B.

Their opponents, Ascoli, are in a much worse position, rooted to rock-bottom of the table and needing a miracle to survive. They have won just three times all season, their solitary home victory coming in December. Having conceded 15 times over the last four games, it is no surprise that despite being the away side. Reggina are favourites with www.pinnaclesports.com , 1.752 (-0.5) with Ascoli 2.230 (+0.5).

PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY

Wed, 18 Apr 2007 23:14:23 +0000
by Bet365
SPURS TO NICK NORTH LONDON GOAL FEST!

We're getting down to the business-end of the season, and Spurs are fancied to get the job done against Arsenal in Saturday's north London derby at generous odds of 17/10 with bet365, who are once again betting every Premiership game to 107%.

All the recent signs suggest that the two teams are closer in quality now than they have been at any time since Arsene Wenger's arrival, and the time looks right for Spurs to beat their local rivals for the first time this millennium, but have a bigger bet on the 'overs' at bet365's 4/7. Spurs have scored in every league game this year, except against Chelsea and Man United, and the three previous encounters between these two this season have all gone 'over'.

Down at the other end of the table, things are getting very interesting, although Wigan fans won't thank you for reminding them. Wigan face a nigh impossible task against the mighty reds at Anfield, with a bet on a 3-0 or 4-0 scoreline at 8/1 and 16/1 respectively a value alternative to the short match odds of 4/11. It might also be worth considering an each way first goalscorer bet on John Arne Riise at 16/1, especially as bet365 now pay unlimited places on such bets.

Elsewhere, Charlton are strongly fancied to heap more pressure on Sheffield United at the Valley. The Addicks are improving in the nick of time, while United's away form is abysmal, which makes bet365's 21/20 for the home win very tempting. There could be more bad news for the Blades if West Ham can beat Everton, and they are worth backing at 7/5 with bet365 as the Toffee's away form is nothing to get excited about.

Both Man United (1/5) and Chelsea (8/15) are unopposable at present against Middlesbrough and Newcastle respectively and they're sure to be in plenty of Premiership accumulator bets this weekend, and why not when bet365 will add up to 60% to your winnings if you click. A £25 bet on these two plus Spurs, Liverpool, Charlton and West Ham pays out at just under a grand, including a bet365 bonus of 20%!

Best of luck with your Premiership bets this weekend.

Bundesliga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Thu, 12 Apr 2007 21:52:44 +0000

It's 'as you were' in the Bundesliga title race after the top four sides all won on the weekend, while at the other end 12 teams are still threatened by relegation, with only ten points separating Borussia Monchengladbach at the foot of the table from Wolfsburg in seventh. It looks more than likely that it could all come down to the final weekend, though there are some key games on the horizon, and www.pinnaclesports.com will be offering 60% better Asian Handicap prices than traditional bookmakers.

Bayern Munich Still in the Bundesliga Hunt
Bayern Munich continue their recovery in the Bundesliga, seemingly unfazed by their Champions League campaign. However, as already mentioned, those teams above them also continue to win so Munich remain six points behind leaders Schalke 04, and the defence of their league title. Ottmar Hitzfeld's side currently lie in fourth, just two points outside of the Champions League positions, but have a home game this Sunday against Bayer Leverkusen who occupy fifth place. www.pinnaclesports.com make Munich favourites 1.926 (-1) with Leverkusen 2.00 (+1).

The Werkself will be without striker Stefan Kiesling, who saw red on the weekend, as his side crashed to a 4-1 defeat at home to Bochum. That result should have come as no surprise, following just three days after a demoralising 3-0 defeat by Osasuna at the BayArena in the UEFA Cup, effectively ending Leverkusen's aspirations in that competition. Michael Skibbe's side now have to try to lift themselves for the trip to the Allianz Arena, one of the toughest venues in the division. Bayern Munich have won on the last four occasions that these sides have met, and the last time Leverkusen won this particular fixture was way back in 1989.

Royal Blues Lead Race for the League Crown
Having twice led away to Wolfsburg last Saturday, Mainz 05 ended up losing the game 3-2, extending a losing streak to three games, in which time Jurgen Klopp's side have conceded eight goals. The 05's are now second from bottom, but all is not lost. Given the tight nature of the division, a win in their next fixture could lift out of the relegation zone. Unfortunately, the side visiting the Stadion Am Bruchweg are league leaders Schalke 04.

Mainz lost their last home game 2-1 against Leverkusen, but prior to that have gone seven unbeaten in front of their own fans. If they can regain the form that made them tough to beat at home, then they could get something out of this game, particularly as they have won both previous home games against the Royal Blues. Schalke have looked nervous leaders in recent weeks, and haven't won in three away trips, though they were clinical in beating Gladbach 2-0 on Saturday. Second half goals from German internationals, Kevin Kuranyi and Gerald Asamoah kept Schalke at the top of the table, and though the loss of Peter Lovenkrands for the remainder of the season is a blow, influential Brazilian midfielder, Lincoln, is available after a five game suspension. www.pinnaclesports.com have Schalke 1.877 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Mainz 2.05 (0/scratch & +0.5).

Doll Looking to Maintain Dortmund Revival
Thomas Doll had to wait until his third game in charge of Borussia Dortmund to see his first goal, but thankfully Christian Worns' opener against Alemania Aachen on Saturday, was swiftly followed by three more, giving Dortmund a valuable 4-1 win. Worns is one of the few survivors from the last time the Schwarzgelben were in a relegation dog-fight. Doll was drafted in to save the club from the threat of relegation, and the next challenge he faces is the visit of the second placed club, Werder Bremen. Given both clubs' powerful but differing motivations, the game at the Westfalenstadion should be a tightly contested affair.

Bremen did the double over Dortmund last season, but when the sides met last August, Dortmund ran out 3-1 winners. The away side's form has plummeted since then, hence the resignation of Jurgen Rober at the end of March. In contrast Bremen have been almost impregnable, keeping clean sheets in four of their last five league games, though they have drawn their last four on the road, and have the distraction of the UEFA Cup. www.pinnaclesports.com price Dortmund 1.813 (0/scratch & +0.5) with Bremen 2.13 (0/scratch & -0.5).

Bundesliga preview from PinnacleSports.com

Fri, 06 Apr 2007 15:15:15 +0000

Werder Face Bundesliga Draw Specialists
After flirting with relegation for so many seasons, FC Nurnberg appear to be becoming a force to be reckoned with in the Bundesliga. Consolidating on last season's eighth place finish, FCN currently sit in sixth, just one point out of a UEFA Cup berth and are in the last four of the DFB Cup. Manager, Martin Bader, has used limited resources to make some shrewd transfers, including Tomas Galasek, the vastly experienced captain of the Czech national side. On Sunday FCN face a tough away game against title chasing Werder Bremen, and will be without one of their most dependable defenders. Dominik Reinhardt had up to this point played every single minute of this campaign, but will be out for up to four weeks.

This is a crucial week for Bremen, as the table-top clash against Nurnberg is sandwiched between two UEFA Cup quarter-finals against Dutch side, AZ Alkmaar. Werder have received some good news as captain Frank Baumann, and Tim Borowski returned to full training following injury. They are unlikely to feature heavily after such a long absence, but do provide coach, Thomas Schaaf, with options in a fixture congested week. Bremen have been in excellent recent form at the Weserstadion, winning their last three games with a 7-0 aggregate. They will need another positive performance against the Bundesliga's draw specialists. Nurnberg have produced 14 stalemates, eight on the road, half of which ended goal-less. Despite this www.pinnaclesports.com price the goals total at 1.870 (over 2.5 & 3.0), and favour Bremen on the Asian Handicap 2.14 (-1) with FCN 1.806 (+1).

Top Meets Bottom at Veltins-Arena
On Saturday afternoon league leaders, Schalke, face the side propping up the Bundesliga, Borussia Monchengladbach. S04 will look to bounce back from the disappointment of losing away to Bayern Munich, eroding their lead at the top of the table, and their chances of a first title since 1958. The defeat at the Allianz Arena dealt another blow as Danish striker, Peter Lovenkrands, lasted just 35 minutes of his come-back from injury, before pulling up with another problem. Schalke coach, Mirko Slomka, is not distracted by involvement in any other competitions, but expectation of success is high, particularly after the heartbreak in 2001, when the club were cruelly robbed of the title.

With 30,000 members Gladbach might be the fourth biggest club in Germany, but they are struggling to revive the glory of the 70's when they won five titles. Even though this is one of the tightest league finishes in recent memory, BMG are five points from safety at the foot of the table, and have won just one away game all season. They have failed to score in their last three away games, which all ended in defeat, so facing the league leaders they are unsurprisingly considered under-dogs by www.pinnaclesports.com for Saturday's game. Pinny price Schalke 1.758 (-1), with Gladbach 2.220 (+1).

Bayern Making Late Charge in Title Defence
Ottmar Hitzfeld returned as manager of Bayern Munich on February 1st, with the club in a degree of disarray, but the legendary coach looks to be turning the club around. Growing confidence was evident in the German giants' win last week over league leaders, Schalke - which kept their title chances alive - and the gutsy Champions league draw at the San Siro on Wednesday night. Hitzfeld has been helped by the return of Owen Hargreaves to full fitness - following his broken leg - as the England international helps fill the vacuum left by Michael Ballack in midfield. Munich are unbeaten in eight games at the Allianz Arena, but their away form remains shaky, losing four of their last five on the road, and they are without French defender, Willy Sagnol.

They play away to Hannover 96 who beat them 1-0 in the reverse fixture. Luckily for the champions, Hannover are in the midst of a mini-slump. 96 are without a win in their last five games, registering just a single goal in that sequence. Currently in seventh place, Dieter Hecking's side are aiming for a European place, but have a poor profile playing at home, winning only three times at the AWD-Arena. However, before backing Munich at 1.943 (-0.5) on www.pinnaclesports.com 's Asian Handicap, bear in mind that Hannover remain unbeaten at home in eight games; they can backed at 1.980 (+0.5) for Saturday's game.

Pinnacle Premiership Preview

Thu, 29 Mar 2007 17:35:47 +0000

Gunners Planning Another Raid on Fortress Anfield
Though Anfield is a Premiership fortress, the Gunners recorded two humiliating Cup defeats over four days in January, with a 9-4 aggregate score, which is put in perspective by the fact that the Reds have only conceded four home league goals all season. Arsenal also dished out a humiliating 3-0 victory over the Scousers at the Emirates Stadium so Rafa Benitez will certainly be demanding retribution. His captain, Steven Gerrard, rescued England's blushes with two goals against Andorra on Wednesday, and is likely to be instrumental here.

Arsenal's season has gone downhill fast since those inspirational wins here in January. They have been knocked out of all cup competitions, including the Champions League, and must now focus on maintaining third place, for which this game will be critical. The Gunners are definitely without Thierry Henry and Theo Walcott for the remainder of the season, while Robin Van Persie is only expected to return toward the end of April. Though Arsene Wenger has plenty of talented cover, the 1-0 defeat just over the road at Goodison Park in the Londoners most recent Premiership outing, was the fourth loss in their five away games in all competitions, so heads look like they are dropping. www.pinnaclesports.com see Liverpool as favourites 2.00 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Arsenal 1.926 (0/scratch & +0.5), and the slim Asian Handicap reflects the expectation of close game despite recent form suggesting otherwise.

Red Devils Sweating on Ronaldo Fitness
Alex Ferguson has been in football management for 33 years and his experience will have taught him that to succeed you sometimes need a little piece of good fortune. United have been playing fantastic attacking football this term producing 70 goals, which is 16 more than their nearest rivals Chelsea, and losing just once at Old Trafford, but they have also be lucky to avoid significant injuries - up until now that is. Cristiano Ronaldo is favourite for the Premiership Player of the Year having scored 16 league goals from midfield, and credited with 11 assists, but a heel injury picked up on midweek international duty has made him doubtful for this game, and that could be critical for the Red Devils, starting with their home game against Blackburn on Saturday. United are already short on strikers, with Saha and Solskjaer recovering, so the absence of Ronaldo would create a real problem, particularly with the Champions League on the horizon.

Rovers are coached by United legend, Mark Hughes, whose no-nonsense managerial style is modelled on his mentor, Alex Ferguson. Hughes delights in getting one over his old boss in this Lancashire derby, as with last season when Blackburn won 2-1 at the Theatre of Dreams, which followed a draw in the fixture in 2004. Blackburn are in rude form at present losing just one of their last seven games, their last outing at home to struggling West Ham, in which they were robbed by some astonishingly bad refereeing decisions. Man Utd are favoured by www.pinnaclesports.com on their Asian Handicap 2.23 (-1.5) with Blackburn 1.752 (+1.5) but some punters will be prepared to oppose United on those terms should Ronaldo sit the game out.

Chelsea Expected to Swat Hornets
Chelsea are maintaining the pressure on United hoping that the Premiership leaders slip up soon. The current Champions have recorded six straight Premiership victories without conceding, their defensive invisibility should be helped by the return to form of John Terry and Peter Cech, while up front Andriy Shevchenko is finally finding his feet in English football opening the scoring in Chelsea's last two wins. The Blues should be expected to pick up another three points at Vicarage Road, where Watford have won just twice this season.

The Hornets are bottom of the Premiership, a position they have occupied for virtually the entire season, and were on the end of a 4-0 hammering in the reverse fixture at Stamford Bridge. Even if Frank Lampard's broken wrist keeps him out of the game, Jose Mourinho has more than enough quality in his squad to win this game, and www.pinnaclesports.com rate Chelsea 2.11 (-1.5) on their Asian Handicap, with Watford 1.826 (+1.5).

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 21 Mar 2007 19:25:25 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
He's in the Nic

The wife is a born complainer. Even this week's little snowfall failed to improve her mood; I overheard her on the phone to her mother complaining that 'it's only a couple of inches'. It kept the kids quiet though.

I try to convey a rosier outlook, but even the great Monty Panesar would struggle to put a positive spin on the shambles that is the England football team.

A recent poll showed that 67% believe that Steve McClaren is the wrong man for the job; the other 33% are either having the question reread to them or are Scottish, and there's a fair chance that it's both.

The manager's original squad selection for the match against Israel was a joke. There are only two people in this world who believe that Phil Neville is a better full-back than Gareth Barry. Steve McClaren is one; the other is hanging out with Bashful, Sneezy, Doc, Happy, Sleepy and the wife.

It's easy to blame the hapless McClaren, but it's his employers who are the real culprits. The suits at the FA are so clueless; it wouldn't surprise me if their plans for the new Wembley include appointing Freddie Flintoff as a barman and Frank Lampard as the catering manager. The situation is a shambles; back Israel to beat England at 21/5, then back them again.

A recently discovered tribe of Congolese pygmies have admitted knowing absolutely nothing of western civilisation, other than the fact you can't play Lampard and Gerrard in the same team.

In my opinion, big Frank should be the one to make way. There's no doubting the fact that he's worth his weight in gold to Chelsea, although Fort Knox would probably struggle with an order of such colossal magnitude.

A crazed supporter tried to punch a shirtless Frank Lampard earlier in the week, dispelling the myth that pot doesn't lead to violence. Backing Benayoun to net the opening goal at 16/1 will lead to an abundance of riches.

I'm all for having a good laugh; you should see the wife. But as often is the case, some people can take things too far. Some 'comedian' has hacked into a number of websites to show Scotland sitting on top of a qualifying group that includes France and Italy. The 10/3 for a draw between the Sweaties and Georgia is a genuine reason to raise a little smile.

Stan Staunton's left foot was so polished; it would often gleam like Andy Johnson's noggin. But somewhat paradoxically, a great player rarely makes a good manager. Only a last minute strike saved the Irish from ridicule against San Marino last time out, I like the look of the Welsh at 43/10.

Northern Ireland travel to Liechtenstein for their qualifier and I fancy the footballing minnows to take a pasting. Admittedly, that doesn't really narrow down the bet selection. It's Northern Ireland at 4/9.

A stunning French lady has recently moved in next door. I do think it's important to try and get on with your neighbours, so I've been trying to get on for the last few weeks. France look a sumptuous betting proposition at 1/2 against Lithuania.

Being a friendly soul, I've introduced Nicole to the local leisure centre. I'm not a great swimmer, but i try to get the occasional length in. The Greeks and the Turks do not share my literal 'love thy neighbour' philosophy; a draw between the old foes will keep everyone happy at 11/5.

The accer this week is so charming; I'm using it as a tool to woo the lovely Nicole. There are only three selections, but hopefully size isn't important. Wales, France and Israel are the picks, the payout is a magnificent 37/1.

Weekend Betting:

Rep of Ireland v Wales Saturday 24th March 15:00 Live on Sky

Rep of Ireland 4/5
Draw 12/5
Wales 43/10

Get on: Wales

Match Special:
Bale to score direct from a free kick 14/1

Scotland v Georgia Saturday 24th March 15:00 Live on Sky

Scotland 9/20
Draw 10/3
Georgia 15/2

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Arveladze to score at any time 3/1

Lithuania v France Saturday 24th March 17:00 Live on Eurosport

Lithuania 8/1
Draw 3/1
France 1/2

Get on: France

Match Special:
Cisse to score a hat-trick 16/1

Israel v England Saturday 24th March 18:30 Live on Sky

Israel 21/5
Draw 23/10
England 10/11

Get on: Israel

Match Special:
Benayoun to score two or more goals 25/1

Liechtenstein v Northern Ireland Saturday 24th March 19:15 Live on BBC Interactive

Liechtenstein 8/1
Draw 3/1
Northern Ireland 4/9

Get on: Northern Ireland

Match Special:
Northern Ireland to win and keep a clean sheet 6/5

Greece v Turkey Saturday 24th March 19:30

Greece 6/5
Draw 11/5
Turkey 5/2

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the game 13/2

Bet with bet365 | betdirect - FREE £50 bet

Pinnacle Preview

Thu, 08 Mar 2007 00:32:19 +0000

The Riverside - Graveyard of Premiership's Elite
Middlesbrough are arguably the most enigmatic side in the Premiership. The Teessiders currently float in mid-table and are set to conclude another league season of mediocrity, despite having beaten Chelsea and Bolton at the Riverside and taking a point from both Liverpool and Arsenal. It was a similar story last season, with convincing home wins over Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United, who they face in an FA Cup quarter-final on Saturday evening. The Red Devils left Teesside with their tails between their legs after a 4-1 drubbing, reinforcing the venue's reputation as the graveyard of the Premiership's elite.

United were also losers when the sides met in the FA Cup in 2002 at Boro's ground, when current coach, Gareth Southgate, captained the side. Southgate is looking to go one better than last season's FA Cup semi-final, and take advantage of treble-chasing United's congested fixture schedule. This will be Manchester United's seventh game in three weeks, and without doubt Ferguson will shuffle the pack, as he did in the previous round. Everything has been running Fergie's way so far, but football is a fickle business and he must travel to one of his bogey grounds, short of strikers; Larsson, Saha and Solskjaer are all unavailable. Nevertheless www.www.pinnaclesports.com rate the visitors marginal favourites 1.794 (+0.5) and Middlesbrough 2.16 (+0.5).

Citizens Looking for Distraction from Premiership Plummet
Man City is one of the best supported clubs in the country with a fiercely loyal fan base, but their supporters' patience has been severely tested of late. The Citizens have lost four straight Premiership fixtures and have found the net in just one of their last five. That form has seen them drawn ever closer to the relegation struggle, from which the FA Cup is a welcome distraction. City defeated Championship' sides in the previous two rounds, but now visit Ewood Park to face a Blackburn side who thrashed them 3-0 at the City of Manchester stadium toward the end of January.

In contrast to Man City's demise, Rovers are riding the crest of a mini-wave having beaten Arsenal in the previous round (on a replay), recording back-to-back league wins, and conceding just one goal in their previous five games. South African forward, Benni McCarthy, is on a roll, with three goals in two games. He will be eager for silverware in his first season in England. www.www.pinnaclesports.com rate Blackburn 1.943 (-0.5) and Manchester City 1.980 (+0.5).

Chelsea Still in the Hunt for Four Trophies
Having already bagged the League Cup with a 2-1 victory over Arsenal, another North London club stand in the way of Chelsea's bid for four pieces of silverware this weekend. The FA Cup is the only domestic competition Jose Mourinho is yet to win during his short tenure of the Blues, and the hugely competitive coach will want to rectify that soon. He will have to do without the services of battered captain, John Terry, who isn't expected to return to action until next week.

Spurs' season seemed to be going downhill after recent defeats in high-profile games against Arsenal and Man Utd suggested the club were nowhere nearer closing the gap with the country's elite. Some pundits even suggested Martin Jol might be sacked if the club failed to beat Fulham at Craven Cottage in the previous round of this competition. In the event Tottenham ran out 4-0 winners and have scored another ten goals in winning three further games, two on the road. In November at White Hart Lane Spurs recorded their first win over Chelsea since 1990. They must now attempt the near impossible and do what only Barcelona have achieved in the previous three seasons - win at Stamford Bridge. www.www.pinnaclesports.com favour the home side, with Chelsea 1.962 (-1) and Spurs 1.962 (+1).

Plymouth Flying Flag for Championship
Plymouth Argyle are the only remaining non-Premiership side in the FA Cup, but their quarter-final tie against Watford is highly likely to be a Championship fixture next season. Despite their best efforts, the Hornets are odds-on for relegation after a season struggling in the top flight. On that basis there is very little between the sides who www.www.pinnaclesports.com cannot separate offering them off a level Asian Handicap with Plymouth marginally favoured, 1.952 (0/scratch) and Watford 1.971 (0/scratch).

Argyle are managed by the eccentric Ian Holloway, who is never short of an opinion. He has wheeled and dealed on the transfer market, brining in poacher, Kevin Gallen, from his old club QPR, whilst adding Hungarian flair to the football at Home Park with three Magyars currently in the squad.

PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY

Wed, 28 Feb 2007 22:14:43 +0000
WIN MORE WITH BET365!
We are now at the business end of the season, and Man United are getting close to their first title in four years. A win at Anfield on Saturday will take them 12 points clear but the smart money has been on Liverpool at 8/5 with bet365, who are once again betting every Premiership game to 107% this weekend (17/10 Man United, 21/10 the Draw).

That's no wonder as the Reds are on a real high after their victory at the Nou Camp and a 4-0 thrashing of Sheffield United. Of course, United will provide them with a stern test but you can't pick any holes in Liverpool's home record this season (11-3-0), while they are on course to equal last season's fine record of just eight goals conceded at home (just three conceded so far). So it's quite easy to make a case for a home win that would really open up the title race, especially as Chelsea (1/2 bet365) are expected to get a win at Portsmouth.

If these two games weren't big enough, bet365 have included them as part of their 'Big Match' correct score free bet offer this weekend, which means that any customer with a winning correct score bet on the Liverpool-United game will be entitled to a free correct score bet (to the same stake) on the Portsmouth-Chelsea game. Yet another reason to place your Premiership bets with bet365.

At the other end of the table, a trio of away wins could stir things up in the relegation battle. Charlton look to have got the bit between their teeth and are still in with a shout of Premiership survival. That can't be said of their opponents Watford who look to have blown their chances after taking just one point from their winnable games against Wigan and Everton. Back the Addicks at a tasty 9/5 with bet365 and at the same time have a speculative wager on an improving Wigan at a massive 11/4. Their opponents Man City have won just one of their last six Premiership home matches and they may find themselves playing second best to a team that is fighting for Premiership survival. The trio is completed by Tottenham (6/5) who have notched ten goals and three wins against much better sides than their opponents West Ham.

At those odds it's tempting to have an accumulator on all five of our picks, especially as bet365 will top up our winnings to the tune of 10%. A tenner acca on Liverpool (8/5), Chelsea (1/2), Charlton (9/5), Wigan (11/4) and Tottenham (6/5) pays out a juicy £990.99, including the bet365 bonus (up to 60% available for the more optimistic amongst you!).
Ben Edit got to be worth a tenner at 98/1 Click Here

In other games, Arsenal look way too short at 2/5 to beat Reading (13/2). They are by far the most likely winners, but their games have been coming thick and fast, while their suspensions from the Carling Cup final won't help either. We're not saying Reading will win, but they're playing well enough to grab a draw and the odds are tempting too - 10/3 with bet365.

Pinnacle Preview

Wed, 21 Feb 2007 23:02:22 +0000

Though the 2007 League Cup final has a heavyweight line-up, the competition has struggled to gain credibility in a congested fixture schedule dominated by the much more pressing priorities of the Champions League and Premiership title race. Regardless of whether Arsenal and Chelsea field their strongest XI's, the clash still provides an interesting betting contest, and www.pinnaclesports.com - offering up to 60% better odds than traditional bookies - have posted full prices.

Going into Sunday's showpiece in Cardiff, Jose Mourinho will be the happier of the two managers. Both Arsenal and Chelsea were involved in crucial midweek Champions League clashes, and whereas the Premiership Champions are in the box seat after their 1-1 draw in Porto, Arsenal are up against it after suffering a 1-0 defeat in a lacklustre display away to PSV.

The Special One will also have been heartened by the improved contribution of Andriy Shevchenko, who scored the crucial away goal. It wasn't however all good news as captain John Terry suffered an ankle injury after just seven minutes, which will keep him out of Sunday's final and beyond. Michael Essien deputised in Portugal alongside Chelsea's only fit central defender, Ricardo Carvalho, but the pair were breached within five minutes, as Terry watched from a stretcher. Chelsea's recent defensive crisis has been well documented with Terry's absence coinciding with a real dip in form, at least goalkeeper, Petr Cech, is back to his best, pulling off several world class saves at the Dragao Stadium.

Arsene Wenger has hinted that he will involve those youngsters that have been instrumental in reaching Cardiff, but the likes of Walcott, Hoyte and Denilson, will probably be bolstered by the more experienced Rosicky, Silva and Toure, though Thierry Henry is unlikely to start. The Gunners have experienced a number of near misses in this competition last winning it in 1993, but losing in four semi-finals since, while Chelsea have won the competition as recently as 2005. This game will however be less about the League Cup competition than the rivalry between these London sides. Chelsea have certainly stolen the Gunners mantle as the capital's top side, unbeaten in the last eight meetings, and winning three of the last four. www.pinnaclesports.com have priced Chelsea slight favourites 1.971 (0/scratch & -0.5), with Arsenal 1.952 (0/scratch & +0.5).

While Chelsea prepares to emulate Manchester United's success in last season's Carling Cup, the Red Devils will be at Craven Cottage looking to take a major step toward stealing the Blues' Premiership crown. United escaped unscathed from a heated Champions League encounter in France, and must now re-focus on the title race, attempting to extend their six point lead.

The Cottagers need to pick themselves up from a 4-0 FA Cup thumping by Tottenham. Coach, Chris Coleman, will have stripped the paint off the dressing room after that defeat, and with influential midfielder, Michael Brown, back in the side, Fulham should be a tougher proposition. Only three teams have taken maximum points at Craven Cottage this season, and United have won just two of their last five away league fixtures. www.pinnaclesports.com have Fulham 2.04 (+1) on their Asian Handicap with Alex Ferguson's side 1.893 (-1).

The opportunities for Charlton and West Ham to climb out of the relegation mire are starting to run out, with the sides locked together on twenty points, six away from safety. The struggling Londoners meet for a crucial Derby at the Valley on Saturday, where respective managers will be desperate to get one over their ex-employers, adding even more spice. The Hammers are arguably in worse shape, yet to win away from home and having lost a similarly critical relegation scrap last week, squandering a penalty in the 1-0 defeat at home to Watford. Still looking vulnerable at the back, the Irons will be without expensive January signing, defender Lucas Neill, whereas the Addicks should welcome back Darren Bent and Luke Young, two of their most influential players. PinnacleSport.com make Charlton slight favourites at 1.758 off a level handicap (0/scratch), with West Ham 2.22 (0/scratch).

Pinnacle Picks

Thu, 15 Feb 2007 08:04:28 +0000

The FA Cup field has been whittled down to 16 teams, who this weekend fight it out for a quarter-final place, with the FA Cup final almost within touching distance. There will however, be no fairytales at the new Wembley, with all remaining teams drawn from the top two divisions. With such a competitive knock-out menu, including three all-Premiership ties, the advantage of up to 60% better odds at www.pinnaclesports.com could prove crucial.

Royals Bidding to Dethrone Premiership Aristocrats
Reading Football Club are this year's Premiership success story, in their first season in the top flight. Currently lying sixth in the table, with credible hopes of a UEFA Cup place, they are unbeaten in eight games, and their form since January is actually better than their opponents, Manchester United. Their last defeat was actually back here at Old Trafford, when they gave an excellent account of themselves, losing 3-2, the week after holding the Champions to a 2-2 draw at Stamford Bridge. Steve Coppell's side have scored at least two goals in nine of their last ten games, which lends weight to those punters looking to back them at 2.07 (+1 & +1.5) with www.pinnaclesports.com for a return visit to the Theatre of Dreams.

United's league form is nothing short of awesome. They have only lost once at home so far this season, and won ten straight Premiership games. However, they have struggled in the previous two FA Cup rounds, leaving it until the final minute to get past Aston Villa, then needing the brilliance of Wayne Rooney (introduced as a substitute) to see off a dogged Portsmouth 2-1. Alex Ferguson may be forced to stick with his policy of fielding a weakened side in this competition, with a crucial Champions League clash away to Lille just three days later and Rooney suspended. The Red Devils are 1.862 (-1 & -1.5) with www.pinnaclesports.com .

All London Clash at Craven Cottage
Having been knocked out of the Carling Cup at the semi-final hurdle by another London side - their hated rivals Arsenal - Spurs will be keen to make amends in the more important domestic knockout competition. The recent 4-0 home defeat by Manchester United was the club's worst performance of the season, and was followed by a 2-1 defeat at Sheffield United. Manager, Martin Jol, will look for a positive reaction from his players, though they have struggled all season on the road, winning just one of 13 Premiership road trips. www.pinnaclesports.com rate their chances 2.06 (0/scratch) off a level handicap, though they have won just one of six Premiership fixtures at Craven Cottage.

With their safety all but assured, the FA Cup is all Fulham have left to play for this season. Unbeaten in eight home games, the Cottagers must be confident of extending that run, particularly with loan signing, Vincenzo Montella, on fire. The 'Little Aeroplane' has already scored three times in the FA Cup. Chris Coleman's side are favourites 1.87 (0/scratch) with www.pinnaclesports.com .

Rovers Return to Emirates Hoping for Better Showing
Blackburn Rovers travel to the Emirates stadium for one of the toughest possible draws of the FA Cup fifth round. The Gunners are unbeaten at home, having already beaten Blackburn 6-2 at their new Ashburton home in December. In fact the Lancashire side have lost their most recent three Premiership games away to Arsenal by an aggregate of 12-2. When the pair met in the 2005 FA Cup semi-final on a neutral venue, Arsenal again ran out comfortable winners by a 3-0 scoreline. The recent injury to Morten Gamst Pedersen robs coach, Mark Hughes, of one of his most creative players, but Sparky was never shy of a battle as a player, so his side will certainly put up a fight. www.pinnaclesports.com rates Blackburn's chances 1.98 (+1).

Despite resting Thierry Henry, Cesc Fabregas and Jens Lehmann, Arsenal made it past Bolton in a midweek replay to earn this home tie against Blackburn. The Gunners needed extra-time to see off the Trotters, but should have finished them off in ninety-minutes, squandering a penalty and open goal. Arsene Wenger must now decide whether to field his strongest side, with one eye on the club's important forthcoming midweek Champions League fixture. Though progress in Europe is financially critical, Wenger has won the FA Cup four times with Arsenal and he clearly has a special affection for the competition. Wenger and all Arsenal fans of a nervous disposition will be hoping Arsenal can take the straight-forward route to victory, rather than waiting until they fall behind before turning the game around, as seen last weekend against Wigan, and on 12 other occasions this season. www.pinnaclesports.com rate Arsenal 1.943 (-1).

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Pinnacle Picks

Sun, 11 Feb 2007 19:00:07 +0000
by Pinnacle Sports
With Valentine's Day falling on Wednesday, it is fitting that's this week's soccer schedule is all about the romance of the cup. There is unfinished business in the FA Cup, with three replays concluding the line-up for the fifth round which takes place on the weekend. The UEFA Cup resumes after the winter break with 30 teams fighting over two-legs to join Tottenham in the final 16; Spurs received a bye following Feyenoord's expulsion from the competition. The busy and competitive schedule provides punters with a selection head-ache, but bettors should be in no doubt about which sportsbook to select - www.pinnaclesports.com offers c102% margins on Asian Handicaps, which is up to 60% better than the opposition.

Boro Fancied to Clip Robins' Wings
Middlesbrough face Division One opposition at the Riverside on Tuesday night, looking to maintain progress in the FA Cup and go one better than last season when they were beaten 1-0 by West Ham in the last four. Though Boro are two divisions and 35 places above Bristol City in the football league pyramid, the Robins gave a good account of themselves in the first tie at Ashton Gate. The Premiership side looked to be cruising with a two goal lead by half-time, before City completed a rousing come-back, with two goals in a six-minute spell. Unfortunately, the West Country side seem to have been distracted by their cup run, and haven't won any of their three intervening league games, www.pinnaclesports.com price them 2.09 (+1). Backed by an eleven game home run featuring just a single defeat to Manchester United, the Teesiders' are favourites with www.pinnaclesports.com , 1.84 (-1)

Valentine's Day Massacre at the Reebok?
Sitting 17 points behind United in the Premiership, the Gunners are highly unlikely to win the Premiership title, but were there an award for the most entertaining side, they would be front-runners. They fell behind on Sunday, but for the 13th time this term, they avoided defeat from that position, on this occasion completing an unlikely victory at home to Wigan with two goals in the final ten minutes.

It was a similar scenario in the first leg against Bolton, when Kevin Nolan's 50th minute goal looked to have given the Trotters victory, only for Kolo Toure to strike late on. The clubs are locked in a battle for the fourth Champions League spot, and have shared some real battles on the last few seasons, with Bolton holding the upper-hand with home advantage, recording a hat-trick of victories, including in this competition last season. Arsenal have actually won just one of their last seven visits to the Reebok, again in the FA Cup in 2005, but despite this are favourites with www.pinnaclesports.com off a split ball Asian Handicap 2.07 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Bolton 1.862 (0/scratch & -0.5). Their 3-1 victory at Anfield in the last round should however, give Arsene Wenger plenty of hope, in a competition he has won four times.

UEFA Cup Springs Back Into Life
European action resumes midweek, with Blackburn, Newcastle and Rangers looking to join Spurs in the last 16. The Blue half of Glasgow has been revitalised following the exit of Paul Le Guen and are unbeaten after the reappointment Walter Smith, who enjoyed seven successful seasons with the club in the 90's. Smith will need to call on all his experience for the trip to Hapoel Tel-Aviv, where the small Bloomfield Stadium in Jaffa, holding just 15,000 fans, will guarantee a hostile reception. www.pinnaclesports.com cannot separate the sides pricing Rangers 2.00 with Hapoel 1.926, off a level handicap.

Blackburn Rovers travel to Germany hoping to emulate Tottenham who came away from Bayer Leverkusen with a 1-0 win in the Group stages. This game has the potential for more action, as Leverkusen's last seven games have produced 25 goals, and they've managed just one clean-sheet in 15 games. Rovers chances were dealt a blow by the recent injury to Morten Gamst Pedersen, who has been on fire of late in the Premiership. www.pinnaclesports.com rate Over 2.5 goals at a generous 2.04.

Glenn Roeder has remained philosophical in the face of a horrendous injury list, and despite difficult circumstances, the club are climbing up the Premiership table, beating Liverpool at St.James' Park on the weekend. The Toon Army are certainly getting their monies worth, as Newcastle's last eleven games have all produced more than 2.5 goals. That contrasts to their form in this competition, conceding just once in seven. Given that unfancied Belgian outfit Waregem have conceded nine goals in losing their last two Group games with an aggregate of score of 9-2, the Premiership team are favourites with www.pinnaclesports.com at 1.752 (0/scratch & -0.5) with Waregem 2.23 (0/scratch & +0.5).

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Gerry's Picks

Wed, 07 Feb 2007 21:56:35 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
In Thickness and in Elf

Whenever possible, I try to accentuate the positive. Even when I caught the wife cheating on me, I remained upbeat; it was one less unpleasant job for me.

I also hold no grudge against her partner. In fact, I'm having a fiver each-way on him at Cheltenham.

As a genuinely magnanimous person, I feel I must defend Cristiano Ronaldo. If it wasn't for the Portuguese wizard, we wouldn't have the visually stunning yet ultimately useless multiple step-over manoeuvre. The lord of the wings will inspire Manchester United to an easy win over Charlton; I'm falling over myself to get on at 1/6.

The new owners of Liverpool FC have vowed to uphold the traditions of the franchise; Gillett and Hicks have already helped themselves to three sets of hubcaps. The Pool will have to settle for a point against Newcastle at 12/5.

Everton supporters are justifiably upset with Rafa Benitez for his 'small club' jibe. The Toffeemen once had a player who scored 60 goals in a season; I think it was Pixie Dean. The 6/5 for little Everton to see off Blackburn will lead to substantial financial growth.

Everton intend to strengthen their squad in the summer; David Moyes is planning a small bid for Petit. Tiny Tim Cahill is definitely due a goal, I'm goblin up the 7/1 for him to open the scoring.

Reading v Aston Villa is a 'Robbie Williams' match, it could easily go either way. Advising 'No bet' in a match is like going home from the pub after two pints; occasionally sensible, but incredibly camp. Just like with the wife's sister, I'm going to try my best to stay out of it.

Gareth Southgate is exceeding all expectations at the Riverside. Admittedly, his predecessor was Steve McClaren, so avoiding relegation without spending the equivalent of the Chinese GDP would be considered a relative success. Boro can snatch a point at Stamford Bridge at 9/2.

Robbie Savage and Ashley Cole have suffered nasty injuries in recent weeks; El Hadji Diouf must be petrified. Bolton will lambaste Fulham at 8/11.

West Ham are in a spot of bother. In fact, it's closer to a melanoma. The Hammers are now odds on for the drop and their big signings are collapsing like a Portuguese winger. West Ham can rejoin the road to safety by cutting up Watford at a raging 5/6.

Arsenal may play football beautifully, but their goal celebrations are a lot less pleasing to the eye. Henry and Adebayor are yet to learn that two men dancing together is only acceptable if the 'eight pint minimum' rule has been strictly adhered to. The Gunners will waltz past Wigan at 2/7.

I never thought I'd use the word 'International' in relation to Joey Barton, unless it was swiftly followed by the word 'fugitive'. England's new boy can ensure Man City leave Fratton Park with a point at 9/4.

Martin Jol may look like Popeye, but it's been far from plain sailing for Tottenham in recent weeks. The Spurs faithful have had all they can stand, they can't stands no more. Sheffield United can add salt at 19/10.

This weeks accer is so colossal, little Everton would need a stepladder just to reach its kneecaps. Everton, Sheffield United, West Ham and Arsenal are the selections, the payout is an ever decreasing 13/1.

Weekend Betting:

Reading v Aston Villa Saturday 10th February 12:45 Live on Premiership Plus

Reading 11/10
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 11/4

Get on: 'No bet'

Match Special:
McCann to be booked 5/2

Chelsea v Middlesbrough Saturday 10th February 15:00

Chelsea 1/4
Draw 9/2
Middlesbrough 12/1

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Middlesbrough to score the first goal 4/1

Everton v Blackburn Saturday 10th February 15:00

Everton 6/5
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 5/2

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Cahill to score with a header 11/2

Man Utd v Charlton Saturday 10th February 15:00

Man Utd 1/6
Draw 6/1
Charlton 20/1

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Ronaldo to score two or more goals 11/2

Newcastle v Liverpool Saturday 10th February 15:00

Newcastle 3/1
Draw 12/5
Liverpool 11/10

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Martins to score in a 1-1 draw 16/1

Sheff Utd v Tottenham Saturday 10th February 15:00

Sheff Utd 19/10
Draw 9/4
Tottenham 6/4

Get on: Sheff Utd

Match Special:
Rob Hulse to score the only goal of the game 45/1

West Ham v Watford Saturday 10th February 15:00

West Ham 5/6
Draw 23/10
Watford 7/2

Get on: West Ham

Match Special:
West Ham to score three or more goals 11/4

Portsmouth v Man City Saturday 10th February 17:15 Live on Premiership Plus

Portsmouth Evs
Draw 9/4
Man City 10/3

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
No goalscorer in the match 17/2

Bolton v Fulham Sunday 11th February 13:30 Live on Sky

Bolton 8/11
Draw 13/5
Fulham 4/1

Get on: Bolton

Match Special:
Bolton to win and keep a clean sheet 13/8

Arsenal v Wigan Sunday 11th February 16:00 Live on Sky

Arsenal 2/7
Draw 9/2
Wigan 12/1

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Henry to score from a Fabregas pass 5/1

Bet with bet365 | betdirect | bluesquare

Bet365 Picks

Thu, 01 Feb 2007 00:18:36 +0000

PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY - REDS TO GAIN REVENGE

The Premiership is back this weekend and there are some interesting matches for punters to get stuck into, including the Merseyside derby which gets proceedings under way on Saturday (kick off 12.45pm, live betting available). bet365 are betting to 107% as usual and make Liverpool 4/7 favourite to rain revenge over Everton (9/2, 5/2 the draw), who beat them 3-0 earlier in the season.

That result might well turn out to be the Toffees' highlight of the season as they've struggled for consistency of late and have injury problems, including to striker Andy Johnson who scored twice in the reverse fixture. By all means take the 4/7, but snap up bet365's 11/10 on 'over' 2.5 goals too. The same bet would have copped in six of the last eight meetings, while Liverpool are the third highest-scoring home side in the league this season.

Plus, any bet365 customer with a winning correct score bet on the Merseyside derby will get a free correct score bet on bet365's next 'Big Match' - Middlesbrough v Arsenal (lick off 5.15pm). If that's a winner too, have another free correct score bet on Sunday's Livingston v Celtic game.

At the bottom of the table, we're unlikely to see much movement after this weekend's results. Both West Ham and Sheffield United are unlikely to come away with anything from their trips to Aston Villa (5/6) and Blackburn (4/6), while Charlton (v Chelsea 4/11), Watford (v Bolton Evens) and Wigan (v Portsmouth 13/8) could also come unstuck at home. An accumulator on all five of the bottom clubs' opponents to win this weekend pays out a juicy £240.63 for a tenner, which is boosted by a bet365 bonus of 10% (up to 60% available this weekend).

In other games, Fulham could be set to continue their frustrating run of draws against Newcastle, while Reading are fancied to grab a point at Man City - the draw / draw double pays out £208 for a £20 stake at bet365. The draw could also be the best punting option in the Boro v Arsenal encounter at 23/10, but a safer bet is on the 'overs'. Boro's recent mini-revival has been characterised by goals at both ends of the field, while eight of Arsenals' last 11 games have been 'overs'.

In Sunday's live game, Man United (5/6) are likely to have to much class for Tottenham, but it might be worth waiting until after kick off (4.00pm) before backing them on bet365's In-Play Console. In their last game against Pompey, it took them until the 77th minute to open the scoring!

Pinnaclesports Preview

Wed, 24 Jan 2007 23:53:26 +0000
by Pinnaclesports
The FA Cup enters the fourth round this weekend, with 32 teams vying for the chance of making history, by becoming the first club to lift the famous old trophy at the new Wembley Stadium. After numerous delays, the wrapping will finally come off the venue, for the season finale on May 19th. There will be plenty of twists and turns before then and www.pinnaclesports.com has priced all 16 ties this weekend, as ever offering up to 60% better odds on Asian Handicaps.

Chelsea Facing Another Potential Cup Banana Skin
Having successfully negotiated Wycombe in the Carling Cup at Stamford Bridge midweek, Chelsea face another Cup banana skin on Sunday. The Blues can only aspire to Nottingham Forest's pedigree, the club won back-to-back European Cup's under Brian Clough from 1978-80. However, the class of 2007 is a pale shadow of that glorious side. Colin Calderwood is the 11th manager since Cloughie, and instead of European competition, the Scot faces the challenge of getting Forest out of Division One.

Though a Cup run, featuring a trip to glamorous Premiership opponents, provides a welcome financial boost, it is also a distraction from the club's priority, which remains promotion. Forest did shock Charlton in the previous round, but that was with home advantage; they have failed to score in three consecutive away league defeats around that game, and Forest certainly seem vulnerable on the road. They drew 1-1 away to Conference South minnows Salisbury in round two, so PinnacleSports.com's assessment 1.952 (+2.0), shouldn't therefore come as a surprise.

Under-fire Chelsea striker, Andriy Shevchenko, has scored goals at the highest level, but he'll be particularly pleased about the double notched against Wycombe Wanderers. Sheva is now back in Jose Mourinho's good books and has earned another start here, with Michael Essien deputising alongside Ricardo Carvalho in a makeshift defence. The Premiership Champions are a warm order priced 1.971 (-2.0) by PinnacleSports.com, but will be wary of Forest's direct approach and aerial threat.

United Looking to Bounce Back at Pompey's Expense
Manchester United were ten minutes from gaining a stranglehold on the Premiership title last weekend, before Arsenal scored twice and changed all that. Alex Ferguson's side are still six points clear of Chelsea, but the Scot will be wary of a hang-over from that dramatic capitulation. A convincing FA Cup win over Portsmouth in front of a packed Old Trafford would provide the perfect tonic, and PinnacleSports.com rate United 2.04 (-1.5).

Though the Red Devils have lost just once at home this season, they left it until the 90th minute to beat Villa in the previous round at the Theatre of Dreams, so this game is far from a foregone conclusion. Portsmouth have maintained their top six status, confounding those critics who expected them to fall into their more accustomed position in the Premiership's lower reaches. However, the South Coast side have lost on five recent visits, with an aggregate score of 15-2, including 4-1 in a previous FA Cup encounter in 2003. If that isn't enough to put you off Portsmouth, they can be backed at 1.893 (+1.5) with PinnacleSports.com.

Arsenal Gunning for Cup Revenge Over Bolton
The Gunners tremendous turn-around at home to United provoked the wildest celebrations the Emirates Stadium has seen to date, and seemed to finally blow the wrapping off the venue. The N4 faithful will be expecting revenge for three defeats in the last four meetings, including in this competition last year at the Reebok. Arsenal were already on a high following two emphatic Cup wins at Anfield, so after the heroics against United, they are understandable favourites with PinnacleSports.com 1.98 (-1).

Bolton could be vulnerable on the evidence of last week's 5-1 hammering at the Riverside, and the 3-0 defeat at Anfield on New Year's Day. The Trotters did beat Arsenal 3-1 earlier in the season with home advantage, but the Gunners' form has improved dramatically since then. To succeed at the Emirates Stadium Sam Allardyce's side will have to do what no other Premiership club has managed this season. PinnacleSports.com are offering them with a goal start, at 1.943 (+1), so if you think they are capable of avoiding a heavy defeat, they could be interesting on that Asian Handicap.

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Bet365 Picks

Thu, 18 Jan 2007 07:59:11 +0000
by Bet365
PREMIERSHIP PROPHECY

What a weekend of Premiership action! But where's your money going? At least with bet365, you're assured of getting value for money as they bet all games to 107% which, over the course of a season, can make a big difference. Let's kick off with Liverpool v Chelsea, who get things under way on Saturday (kick off 12.45pm, live betting available).

Punters may be looking to oppose Chelsea after recent performances and they may have been priced up a shade generously at 6/4 with bet365 (15/8 Liverpool, 2/1 the Draw). While it's true Liverpool have an impressive home record, their performances against the top sides doesn't stand up to scrutiny. They've already lost to Arsenal, Man United and Chelsea in the league this season - the Blues have won all five meetings in the past two and a half seasons - so expect them to confirm their superiority here.

Reading could be the pick of the 3.00pm games at bet365's 5/6 to beat Sheffield United. That price factors in the Blades good form of late, but the Madejski is a hard place to visit - just ask Bolton and Spurs. Portsmouth (4/7) should also get back to winning ways now that they are back at home against a travel-sick Charlton. We're also liking the look of Newcastle (8/11) to beat West Ham and Aston Villa (4/7) to beat Watford. An accumulator on all five picks (Chelsea, Reading, Pompey, Newcastle and Villa) pays out at just over £430 for a £20 stake, which includes a bet365 bonus of 10% - up to 60% available every weekend!

Goals could be the order of the day when Fulham play Spurs so, rather than try and pick the winner; we'll have a few quid on 'over' 2.5 goals at 11/10 with bet365. On the other hand, goals could be at a premium when Boro play Bolton. We fancy the Trotters to nick the win (6/4), but we'll also be having a bet on a 0-1 correct score at 13/2 as four of their five away wins this season have been to nil, with three 0-1 results.

We've got both Man City v Blackburn and Wigan v Everton down as draws (both 11/5) in our book (£10 double pays £102.40), and it'll be no surprise if the Arsenal v Man United game ends that way too - 21/10 with bet365 (Arsenal 6/4, Man United 9/5). But don't be afraid to back Arsenal if they go behind as they're the best second half team in the Premiership, and they'll be an attractive price on bet365's In-Play Console!

bet365 Picks

Thu, 11 Jan 2007 07:57:15 +0000
by Bet365
PREMIERSHIP VALUE SCREAMER SPECIAL!

It’s back to business in the Premiership this weekend, and anyone considering a bet would be well-advised to login to their bet365 account as they are betting all matches to 107%. That means better prices all around and, along with their Premiership Acca Bonus, ensures you’re getting some screaming value for your money. But which of the games should we be concentrating on this weekend?

There are no prizes for picking Chelsea (1/5) and Man United (1/4) to record home wins against Wigan and Aston Villa respectively, but can we trust Liverpool (8/15) to get the job done against Watford? The Reds have been thumped twice by Arsenal in the past week in Cup competitions, but a trip to the goals-shy Hornets should see them back in the winner’s enclosure. Arsenal (5/6) have a much tougher-looking game at Blackburn, but their record against Rovers is impressive (won seven of their last eight meetings) and they can double their opponents here after hammering them 6-2 at the Emirates.

It almost seems too easy, but backing the Big Four to win this weekend combines for a payout of just under 7/2, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% - up to 60% more available for the more adventurous amongst you. There’s even the chance to bag a free correct score bet on the Arsenal game thanks to bet365's ‘Big Match’ offer! Any customer with a winning correct score bet on the Watford-Liverpool game will receive a free correct score bet to the same stake (up to £50).

In other matches, Portsmouth (13/8) and Reading (12/5) are fancied to pick up wins on the road against Sheffield United and Everton. The Blades have done well recently, but Pompey have won all of their games against teams in the bottom six this season, including a comprehensive 3-1 victory when the two teams met three weeks ago. Everton beat Reading 2-0 at the Madejski before Christmas, but they have been stuck for goals since, while Reading have bounced back with excellent efforts at Old Trafford and Stamford Bridge and a thrashing of West Ham.

Backing Charlton (6/4) and West Ham (6/5) to win might seem like a quick way to the poor house, but they are tempting this weekend at the bet365 odds at home to Middlesbrough (without an away win this season) and Fulham (won just one of their last eight meetings). Also, don’t be fooled by Man City’s recent winning form, all against lesser opponents. In fact, the last team to beat them was Bolton and they look excellent value at bet365's 4/5 to do the double this weekend.

Finally, what promises to be the game of the weekend – Tottenham v Newcastle. It’s on the box of course (4.00pm, Sunday, Live on Sky Sports) so, settle down to watch the action, but keep one eye on bet365's In-Play markets, where you’re sure to find something to bet on. It’s hard to pick a winner, but we reckon goals will the order of the day, so ‘over’ 2.5 goals at 23/20 looks the best pre-match option.

Gerry's Picks

Tue, 31 Oct 2006 18:36:55 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
Razor Nigh Brow

Paul Scholes is generally admired as a footballer, but rarely receives the recognition he deserves as a role model. When Paul was a ginger schoolboy, he didn't wallow in self pity praying for baldness, he played football with the normal children until he reached a level where Manchester United were prepared to sign him.

Wayne Rooney has also struggled to overcome adversity; he was born in Liverpool. The Roonatic scored a spectacular hat-trick last weekend, which may explain why he's been walking around with the match ball tucked under his shirt, or so it would appear. United are a shoo-in at 1/3 to see off Pompey at Old Trafford.

Claude Davis allegedly threatened Ade Akinbiyi with a razor this week; how on earth did he persuade Neil Ruddock to leave the pie shop? My mother always said, "Never trust a man whose eyebrows meet in the middle;" all she missed out was the word 'tubby'. Sheff U have been tonked on their last four trips to Newcastle, back the Toon to dish out a fifth at 5/6.

Sheffield United are the only team in the Premiership to fail to score on the road; even with Titus Bramble in the team, a Newcastle win coupled with a clean sheet should be considered at 15/8.

Kieron Dyer is not a lucky man. After making his 49th comeback from injury, Dyer has been ruled out for another two weeks following a 'freak' injury, although the scale of Iain Dowie's involvement remains unclear. Rossi looks the call at 9/2 to bang in the opener.

Stewart Downing believes he's been made a scapegoat for England's poor results. That's unfair; a goat has a better first touch than the ineffectual Downing. Boro are the weekend nap at 15/8 to see off an outclassed Watford.

Jonathan Woodgate has surprisingly named 'Grease' as his favourite film. (I'm guessing Frank Lampard is also a huge fan.) For first goalscorer betting, I'm hopelessly devoted to Euell at 10/1.

Sure, Kieron Dyer is unlucky, but what about me? As a result of missing Match of the Day, I was forced to endure 'Goals on Sunday' with Beavis and Butthead. The Sky boys have an annoying habit of referring to Liverpool's Dirk Kuyt as 'Kout', which has wreaked havoc with my punning possibilities. I fancy Liverpool to see off Reading at 4/11, but I won't be tipping a first goalscorer. Thanks Beavis.

When I heard that Rafa was approaching a ton, I assumed he was tapping up Frank Lampard. After tinkering with his team for 99 consecutive games, the Liverpool manager has finally embraced stability; I'll be embracing the 11/2 about a 2-0 win to the Scousers.

Henri Camara remains steadfast in his belief that Wigan will avoid defeat at the Reebok, and the Camara never lies. Wigan were unbeaten in three games against Bolton last season, they can snatch a point at 12/5.

The Charlton board would be well advised to beg their former manager to return, there's nothing wrong with a little bit of Curb crawling. Charlton v Man City is as close as you can get to a certain draw without moving to Italy. Get on at 9/4.

Stuart Pearce wants a 'managerial sacking window'; that would be a pane. There's been 20 goals in the last 4 matches between the Addicks and City, a small dabble on a 2-2 draw makes economic sense at 14/1.

It's great to see Joe Cole back to full fitness, anything that moves Downing further from the England team can only be considered an encouraging development. Chelsea will beat up Tottenham at a ridiculous 8/11.

Jose Mourinho has accused Barcelona of promoting a diving culture; it's great that the former Porto boss and current coach of Robben and Drogba is prepared to make such an honourable stand. Chelsea are available at 7/1 to win 2-0; dive in.

Robbie Savage always receives plenty of abuse when he plays at Villa Park, which is odd, as blondes who go down easily are normally warmly received. Villa have beaten Blackburn 1-0 at home for the past two seasons, there's no reason why a hat-trick should be denied at 6/1.

Arsene Wenger believes that Theo Walcott is still two years away from being a top class striker. He resisted the temptation to add, "But he's already better than Heskey." You've got to fancy Arsenal at 8/13 to put an end to the mini Hammer revival.

The Fulham v Everton match is proving a tough nut to crack. Before last week's fixtures, I'd have put my mortgage on the Coleman taking the points, but Everton's draw at the Emirates coupled with Fulham's dismal performance against Wigan has led me to flip like Naomi Campbell. Everton are the shout at 17/10.

I've heard it said that the reason why Tim Cahill is so adept at sneaking past defences is because he's an Australian. Personally, I find that offensive. I'd like to say to all of my Aussie friends, "I'll have a pint of lager please." The magnificent Cahill is available at 45/1 to score the only goal of the game; get the drinks in.

This week's accer is so mature; Alan Pardew is considering playing it up front against Arsenal. Man Utd, Middlesbrough, Newcastle, Arsenal and Chelsea are the selections; the payout is a sweet 16/1.

Weekend Betting:

Fulham v Everton Saturday 4th November 12:45 Live on Sky

Fulham 9/5
Draw 9/4
Everton 17/10

Get on: Everton

Match Special:
Everton to win 1-0 7/1

Bolton v Wigan Saturday 4th November 15:00

Bolton 10/11
Draw 12/5
Wigan 4/1

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Camara to score at any time 5/2

Charlton v Man City Saturday 4th November 15:00

Charlton 13/10
Draw 9/4
Man City 21/10

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Barton to be booked 7/4

Liverpool v Reading Saturday 4th November 15:00

Liverpool 4/11
Draw 7/2
Reading 17/2

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Kuyt to score the first goal 9/2

Man Utd v Portsmouth Saturday 4th November 15:00

Man Utd 1/3
Draw 4/1
Portsmouth 12/1

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Rooney to score a hat-trick 16/1

Watford v Middlesbrough Saturday 4th November 15:00

Watford 8/5
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 15/8

Get on: Middlesbrough

Match Special:
Middlesbrough to win and keep a clean sheet 7/2

Newcastle v Sheff Utd Saturday 4th November 17:15 Live on Premiership Plus

Newcastle 5/6
Draw 12/5
Sheff Utd 4/1

Get on: Newcastle

Match Special:
Newcastle to win 3-0 14/1

West Ham v Arsenal Sunday 5th November 13:30 Live on Sky

West Ham 5/1
Draw 13/5
Arsenal 8/13

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Van Persie to score direct from a free kick 7/1

Aston Villa v Blackburn Sunday 5th November 14:00

Aston Villa 11/10
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 3/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Agbonlahor to score the only goal of the game 33/1

Tottenham v Chelsea Sunday 5th November 16:00 Live on Sky

Tottenham 9/2
Draw 5/2
Chelsea 8/11

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
Frank Lampard to score a deflected goal 5/1

Bet with bet365 | betdirect | bluesquare

Pinacle Picks

Wed, 25 Oct 2006 21:07:00 +0000
by Pinnacle Sports
Weekend's Premiership Schedule A Tough One For Handicappers

This weekend's Premiership schedule looks like a tough nut to crack. Leading online Sportsbook www.PinnacleSports.com has seven of the weekend's match-up's separated by a half goal handicap or less, and one of the hardest to call will be played at the Reebok Stadium.

For Manchester United to maintain their position at the top of the Premiership table, they must overcome the team snapping at their heels in third, and find a way passed one of the division's in form stoppers. The Trotters are unbeaten at home in four games this season, with a zero in the goals against column. A good deal of the credit for that statistic must go to Finnish goalkeeper, Jussi Jaaskelainen, who has been in unbeatable form, underlined by two penalty saves in three minutes, helping Wanderers to three points last Sunday at Ewood Park.

The battling win against Blackburn came at the expense of captain Kevin Nolan's red card, which rules him out for Sam Allardyce's 200th game in charge. In order for Big Sam's side to continue their best ever start to the Premiership - and record a fifth successive win - they must achieve a first ever home win against the Red Devils. Bolton might have the tightest defence, but United are the most prolific on the road, so something has got to give. www.PinnacleSports.com makes United half ball favourites, 1.952 (-0.5), with Wanderers 1.971 (+0.5). Alex Ferguson was able to rest his first time for United's midweek extra-time Carling Cup win over Crewe, whereas a near full-strength Bolton side lost to Charlton at the Valley.

Iain Dowie was pleased that the Addicks were able to record a victory, but they are far from certain to translate that into the league, where they prop up the table with one win from nine games. Charlton face a tough trip to St.James' Park against a Newcastle side, who despite a comfortable Carling Cup win, are themselves under pressure to improve their Premiership form, just three points above the South Londoners. The midweek clean-sheet against Portsmouth will have pleased boss Glen Roeder, who has watched in horror as his side have committed defensive suicide in recent games, but one swallow does not make a summer.

Given both club's poor current form www.PinnacleSports.com separates the clubs by only a half-goal handicap, with the Magpies 1.775 (-0.5) and Charlton 2.19 (+0.5), and recent meetings back-up this assessment. Four of the last six meetings have been drawn, including the last two on Tyneside.

The meeting of Portsmouth and Reading at Fratton Park brings together two teams who were both eliminated from the Carling Cup midweek, conceding three and four goals respectively. For the Royals it was the second consecutive game where they shipped that number of goals having been decisively beaten 4-0 at the Madejski by Arsenal last weekend. After an encouraging start to life in the Premiership, the questions will start to be asked about the durability of Steve Coppell's side, and their afternoon on the South Coast will be anything but a fun day-out. www.PinnacleSports.com has them as slight underdogs 1.98 (+0.5), with the home side 1.943 (-0.5).

No-one truthfully expected Pompey to maintain their blistering start to the campaign, where they went five games without conceding. Despite losing three games since that early run, Harry Redknapp's side have still conceded just one goal at home, demonstrating that they are no-pushovers at home. 'Arry probably has greater depth in his squad, with veteran striker, Andy Cole, chomping at the bit to add to his 186 Premiership goals.

Aidy Boothroyd will be getting sick of the constant reminder that Watford are still without a Premiership win. At least the Hornets got that winning feeling midweek, beating Hull 2-1 in the Carling Cup. However, on the following night, Saturday's Premiership opponents Spurs, sounded a warning by thumping five passed Milton Keynes, to progress in the League Cup.

After a shaky start to the Premiership, characterised by shyness in front of goal, Martin Jol's side have started to find the back of the net, emphasised by Wednesday night's goal-fest. The Lilywhites are now six games unbeaten in all competitions, evidence enough for www.PinnacleSports.com's quote of 2.14 (-0.5), while bettors can back the Golden Boys at 1.806 (+0.5).

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Bet365 Tips

Wed, 27 Sep 2006 21:10:45 +0000
by Bet365
Reading are a massive 3/1 with bet365 to grab all three points against a lacklustre West Ham outfit. They'll certainly be out for revenge over their former manager after he left in acrimonious circumstances.

The Hammers are 5/6 to get their season back on track, while there'll be support for the draw at 11/5. Meanwhile, bet365 make Blackburn 10/11 to continue their winning run v Wigan (13/5), while Man Utd will feature in a lot of bet365 accumulator bets at 4/11 to beat Newcastle (15/2).

In Sunday's televised clash, Spurs are 10/11 to get their season back on track, while Pompey look big at bet365's 13/5 to bounce back after Monday's home defeat to Bolton. Monday's televised clash between Watford (11/8) and Fulham (7/4) could be brilliant for In-Play betting and bet365 provides a first-class service for all customers wanting to get involved.
Bolton are 11/4 with bet365 to continue their 100% home record against Liverpool and it could be a price worth taking.

The Trotters are difficult to beat, especially at home but if you think Liverpool's mini-revival is set to continue, they can be backed at 10/11 with bet365.

There's four other Premiership matches on Saturday and bet365 will be covering every one of them "Live In-Play", so you can bet on each match as the action unfolds.

Arsenal are 4/7 to continue their winning streak at Charlton, who can be backed at 9/2 for their second win of the season. Many bet365 customers will fancy Villa at a tasty 17/2 to grab a shock win at Stamford Bridge - Chelsea are 2/7.

Meanwhile, Everton are 5/6 to take all three points at home to City (3/1), while bet365 can't split Sheff Utd and Middlesbrough - they're both 6/4 to win their match at Bramall Lane.

Gerry's Picks

Thu, 24 Aug 2006 21:47:49 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
A Ferd in the hand is worth two on the box

There's only one thing in life that's more enjoyable than an evening with the wife and kids, and that's an evening without the wife and kids. Whenever I'm lucky enough to be rid of the evil one and her two clones, I like to relax in front of the box with a couple of lagers watching quality television programming.

As the free-view doesn't kick off until 11:00pm, my programme of choice is ideally football related and entertaining, thus immediately ruling Soccer AM out of the equation. With the exception of the imperious Jeff Stelling show on a Saturday afternoon, other programmes struggle to match my demanding criteria, so you can imagine my unconfined joy when news broke that Rio Ferdinand was set to enter the world of light entertainment.

His wind-up show was a disappointment, the sketch where he 'murked' the drug testers by forgetting to turn up was left out, as was the one where he 'murked' the Man U board by refusing to sign a contract until their wage offer rose from £100,000 to £110,000 a week. I imagine the sketch where he was going to 'murk' Martin Jol by pretending to bid £18m for Michael Carrick was pulled for being too unrealistic.

Rio has been offered another bite at the TV cherry, the premise being that Ferd and his crew will 'pimp' up the pads of...fellow millionaire professional footballers. I literally can wait.

Talking of pimping, Wayne Rooney misses United's match against Watford due to the FA upholding a ridiculous ban for a red card in a friendly. Rooney's agent hit back by threatening to withhold Wayne's image rights; I can only guess that Rooney suggested 'upping the ante' and Stretford misunderstood. United have won their last six against Watford, the Mancs are the weekend nap at 2/5.

With Rooney banned, best pal Cristiano 'more dives than Glasgow' Ronaldo should be backed to net the opener. Ronnie's been priced up at 15/2, a price so big I almost fell over.

Watford were absolutely robbed by the ref at Goodison Park, they're now playing Man U, they'll be lucky if they're awarded a throw in. Watford won't score, take 21/20 about a United win coupled with a clean sheet.

Arsenal have treated Man City in recent years like Ben Thatcher treats Pedro Mendes, they've pounded on them unmercifully. (Mendes is not the first person to be unable to work thanks to Thatcher.) Arsenal have left Manchester with all three points on their last eight visits, you've got to fancy the Gunners at 8/11 to reach number nine. Someone's going to take a pommeling at the hands of the Wenger boys soon, there's a decent chance it'll be Thatcher's mob.

Blackburn players do enjoy a challenge. The wild Rovers had two players sent off on the opening day, that's virtually a friendly for Savage & co. Chelsea were turned over at Ewood Park last season, a repeat is out of the question. A wounded Chelsea are a great bet at 4/7 to make amends for their Boro bashing.

I had my fingers burnt by Liverpool last week, but the Reds can make amends at home to West Ham. Liverpool's attacking options were limited when Stevie G snatched the FA Cup from the Hammers' grasp in May, but now they have three quality marksmen and Peter Crouch competing for a start. The Pool should be backed at a healthy 1/2.

Fulham look a promising investment at home to Sheff U at 10/11. Chris Coleman's battlers won the same amount of home matches as Manchester United last season, only a disastrous campaign on the road ensured a 12th place finish. I'm a little worried about the Malbranque situation, Chris Coleman appears to be cutting off his nose to spite his face; that's only a good idea if you're Iain Dowie. If the Cottagers come anywhere near replicating last season's home form, we're venturing towards decent stake territory.

David O'Leary's lackadaisical attitude ensured the Villa team rolled over and died away at Arsenal in a 5-0 defeat just four months ago, yet under Martin O'Neill, the same group of players were able to fight like the wife 'when the decorators visit' to nick a commendable draw. The Villa are worth a bet at 7/5 at home to Newcastle, simply because of the O'Neill factor.

I'm a great believer in positive thinking. There's an old saying that I hold dear, 'If at first you don't succeed, then Paul Jewell will probably buy you'. You shouldn't kick a dead dog, but I can't help but feel that the signing of Heskey will prove disastrous for Wigan. Reading have started the season well, they're worth a second look at 3/1 to leave the JJB with three points.

The acc of the week:

The accer this week is so certain, that even under extreme torture it would refuse to budge. Liverpool, Fulham, Tottenham, Arsenal and Aston Villa are the good things, you're looking at a payout of 17/1.

The weekend specials:

"A little Camp?" - Ivan Campo to score with a header 20/1
"A professional Fowl" - Robbie Fowler to score a penalty 6/1
"Bull's high" - Jimmy Bullard to score with a header 14/1
"A very dirty Vid" - Mark Viduka to be sent off 20/1

The quote of the week:

"He's not intelligent."
Jose 'all tact' Mourinho, when asked about Michael Essien.

The lay man:

Sheff Utd are begging to be laid at 10/3 for their trip to the Cottage, this is possibly how the expression 'easy money' originated. Help yourself at Betfair, Backandlay or Betdaq.

Weekend Betting:

Liverpool v West Ham Saturday 26th August 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Liverpool 1/2
Draw 10/3
West Ham 15/2

Get on: Liverpool

Match Special:
Bellamy to score two or more goals 5/1

Charlton v Bolton Saturday 26th August 15.00

Charlton 6/4
Draw 9/4
Bolton 9/5

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Fulham v Sheff Utd Saturday 26th August 15.00

Fulham 10/11
Draw 9/4
Sheff Utd 3/1

Get on: Fulham

Match Special:
Papa Bouba Diop to score with a header 10/1

Tottenham v Everton Saturday 26th August 15.00

Tottenham 4/5
Draw 12/5
Everton 4/1

Get on: Tottenham

Match Special:
Berbatov and Keane both to score 13/2

Watford v Man Utd Saturday 26th August 15.00

Watford 15/2
Draw 10/3
Man Utd 2/5

Get on: Man Utd

Match Special:
Ronaldo to score direct from a free-kick 8/1

Wigan v Reading Saturday 26th August 15.00

Wigan Evs
Draw 9/4
Reading 3/1

Get on: Reading

Match Special:
Lita to score the only goal of the game 50/1

Man City v Arsenal Saturday 26th August 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Man City 9/2
Draw 13/5
Arsenal 8/11

Get on: Arsenal

Match Special:
Henry to score a hat-trick 25/1

Aston Villa v Newcastle Sunday 27th August 14.00 Live on Sky

Aston Villa 7/5
Draw 9/4
Newcastle 2/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Match Special:
Angel to score with a header 6/1

Blackburn v Chelsea Sunday 27th August 16.00 Live on Sky

Blackburn 6/1
Draw 11/4
Chelsea 4/7

Get on: Chelsea

Match Special:
John Terry to score at any time 5/1

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Monday 28th August 20.00 Live on Sky

Middlesbrough 5/4
Draw 5/2
Portsmouth 11/4

Get on: Draw

Match Special:
Boateng to be booked 6/4

Gerry's Picks

Fri, 18 Aug 2006 23:44:32 +0000
by Gerry McDonnell
A Drog with two ricks

Occasionally, a person can become so synonymous with a certain action that the English language will evolve as a result. For example, if the sight of anything Portuguese sends you into a psychotic rage, you're 'doing a Rooney', if your alcoholic wife beats you up due to unresolved rage issues, she's 'knocked out a Gerry', and if you pay six times over the correct market value for a mediocre footballer, you've 'pulled a Fergie'.

We've all been had in the net on the odd occasion, but Fergie has bought more turkeys than Sainsbury's in recent years. Michael Carrick is the latest addition to a list that includes Kleberson, Forlan, Veron and my personal favourite, the Djemba brothers. After blowing an incredible £18.6m on the talented but ultimately limited midfielder, Sir Alex has once again been tucked up like a sleeping baby.

Fulham can continue the theme of stitching up the purple-nosed one. Rooney's a fitness doubt for the Old Trafford opener; after reading his autobiography, it comes as no surprise that he's struggling with a groin injury. Fulham scored twice against Man U in both of their meetings last season, 12/1 about a shock is just too big.

If Martin Jol has finished laughing, he'll take his Tottenham team to a tricky match at the Reebok. Jol has bought and sold exceptionally well in the summer, with Berbatov and Zokora being standout additions to the squad. Zokora believes he can be the 'Vieira of the Lane'; expect him to be completely outplayed by Fabregas when they meet Arsenal. Tottenham are a decent team, but they always struggle against Bolton (they've lost six of their last seven league matches); I can't see past the draw at 9/4.

The Liverpool players will be pleased to hear that Neil Warnock is banned from the touchline when they visit Bramall Lane, although this may not stop Warnock from launching threatening paper aeroplanes from the stand. Liverpool's reserves saw off a full strength Chelsea last week, their first team receive the nap of the week award at a healthy 4/7.

Wigan manager Paul Jewell is a jovial character, but something tells me he won't be smiling after his team take a mullering at St James' Park. Wigan faced Newcastle on three occasions last season, the team playing at home won every match. Dull, but true. Wigan have Heskey, Newcastle have the points in the bag at 8/11.

Everton must be backed at 8/13 at home to new boys Watford. The partnership of Beattie and Johnson looks promising; Beattie can win the flick-ons to allow AJ to go down to 'earn' the penalty. Watford have visited Goodison Park on nine previous occasions, they've lost every time.

Gareth Southgate has been busy in the transfer market, the signing of Julio Arca for less than £2m looks an inspired piece of business. Reading are nicknamed the Royals, and like their German counterparts in Buckingham Palace, they'll remain pointless on Saturday night. I do like the Boro at 9/5.

The Villa fans are a lot like me, happiness can be gained from just one little Yank. The Villa have lost at Highbury for the last eight years, it's a good job this one is being played at the Emirates, they're unbeaten there. There's a momentum behind the Villa thanks to the takeover (I was a Randy Lerner once) and the arrival of Martin 'The Saviour' O'Neill; it would be folly to invest in the Gunners at 3/10. A red card in the match is on offer at 7/2; Graeme Poll is 'officiating', so you're 50% less likely to collect.

Michael Ballack was substituted after 25 minutes in the Community Shield, I know what it's like to finish prematurely, it's no picnic. Four of the previous six matches between Chelsea and Man City have finished 1-0, with Drogba almost certain to squander a couple of chances; a repeat of the 1-0 scoreline at 6/1 looks a decent wager. If Ballack and Shevchenko both start, I'd rather be on a 2-0 stroll for the Champions at a healthy 11/2.

Last week's accer hit both posts and the bar before being cleared off the line, this week's will fly straight in the top corner. Liverpool, Everton, Newcastle, Middlesbrough and Chelsea are the chosen ones, the accer will pay out at 14/1 when successful.

The weekend specials:

"Tim'll fix it" - Cahill to score with a header 11/2
"Young a tart" - Luke Young to be booked for diving 16/1
"A bitter Lehmann" - Aston Villa to score a goal Evs
"Duff'll bag" - Damien Duff to score two or more goals 9/1

The quote of the week:

"What I'm looking for is flexibility."
Steve McClaren knows the score.

The probably misheard quote of the week:

"I'm internally grateful to Steve McClaren."
Dean Ashton desperately wanted that cap.

The lay man:

You've got to love the betting exchanges. People are lining up to back Arsenal at 1/3; if you 'lay' that bet, you're effectively backing either the draw or a Villa win at 3/1. Happy, happy days.

Weekend Betting:

Sheff Utd v Liverpool Saturday 19th August 12.45 Live on Sky

Sheff Utd 6/1
Draw 14/5
Liverpool 4/7

Arsenal v Aston Villa Saturday 19th August 15.00

Arsenal 3/10
Draw 7/2
Aston Villa 12/1

Everton v Watford Saturday 19th August 15.00

Everton 8/13
Draw 5/2
Watford 5/1

Newcastle v Wigan Saturday 19th August 15.00

Newcastle 8/11
Draw 5/2
Wigan 4/1

Portsmouth v Blackburn Saturday 19th August 15.00

Portsmouth 6/4
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 21/10

Reading v Middlesbrough Saturday 19th August 15.00

Reading 6/4
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 9/5

West Ham v Charlton Saturday 19th August 15.00

West Ham 11/10
Draw 9/4
Charlton 3/1

Bolton v Tottenham Saturday 19th August 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Bolton 17/10
Draw 9/4
Tottenham 17/10

Man Utd v Fulham Sunday 20th August 13.30 Live on Premiership Plus

Man Utd 3/10
Draw 9/2
Fulham 12/1

Chelsea v Man City Sunday 20th August 16.00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 1/4
Draw 9/2
Man City 12/1

WILL RAFA'S REDS BE TOP DOGS THIS SEASON?

Tue, 25 Jul 2006 10:02:11 +0000
by Bet365
LIVERPOOL 6/1 TO WIN PREMIERSHIP
Chelsea are 4/9 with bet365 to win the Premiership for a third successive season but the signs are they may not have it all their own way during this campaign.

The Blues have won the last two titles with something to spare but there's already been support for Liverpool at 6/1 and 13/2 Arsenal with bet365. The former demonstrated their defensive capabilities last season with a string of clean sheets, while they also knocked Chelsea out of the FA Cup. They now need to find a way of scoring more goals and new signing Craig Bellamy should help their cause.

Meanwhile, Arsenal could also be interesting at bet365's 13/2 with a new stadium and, more importantly, the retention of Thierry Henry! With Fabregas, Adebayor, Van Persie and Walcott all open to improvement this term, there will be money for the Gunners.

Man Utd are 5/1 with bet365 to end the Blues dominance but the potential exits of Ronaldo and Van Nistelrooy don't bode well. The famous bookmaker make it a four-horse race with Tottenham (80/1) and Newcastle (150/1) next in the betting.

Bet now with bet365

Bat's the way I like it, Aha Aha

Thu, 01 Jun 2006 10:57:22 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
I have to feel a certain amount of sympathy for the wife. I know she doesn't enjoy me constantly discussing football, she's Scottish. Over the last few weeks I've bored her to tears with my thoughts on seven foot strikers, Wayne Rooney's foot and the merits of a fifth striker. She does occasionally take an interest though, I heard her on the phone to her mother discussing the need for a man in the hole. Luckily for my Buckfast swilling spouse, it's finally time for the talking to stop and for the action to begin.

England head in to their opener against Paraguay on the back of a superb performance against Jamaica. Admittedly, Jamaica are not Brazil, but a six goal shoeing remains a six goal shoeing. A confident England look a great bet at 4/7 to kick off their campaign with a win.

Sven looks set to play a 4-4-2, and it's that middle 4 that will win the match for England. Joe Cole, Gerrard, Lampard and Beckham all look in fine form, Becks can actually land a football on a penny from 60 yards, he's quite tight like that. Golden Balls is a tasty 10/1 shot to net the opener.

The robotic goal machine formerly known as Peter Crouch looks certain to start, and although I'm not his biggest fan, I am a supporter of the 'follow the striker in form' philosophy; the body popping beanpole is available at 6/4 to net at any time.

It's a shame that our Scottish brethren will not be participating in the finals, and to add insult to injury, UK Gold have shelved plans to show matches from their last finals appearance back in (19)'98, claiming Paramount was a more natural home, allegedly.

On a brighter note, the tartan army can get behind Trinidad & Tobago player Jason Scotland; although that too looks likely to end in tears as the Swedes are certainties to see off the Caribbean islanders on Saturday afternoon. At skinny odds of 1/4, you won't be able to buy a yacht with your winnings, unless of course, you are wagering 80% of the cost of a yacht.

Saturday's action concludes with Argentina v Ivory Coast. The Argies are my pick for the whole shooting match, so I can't see Drogba's mob causing an upset. Riquelme has been described by the country's leading betting expert as a genius and he's surrounded by players of a similar ilk. Playing on Crespo & co at 4/7 will pay for the Saturday night curry; join me in an Argy bhaji.

I always thought the 'group of death' referred to married men, but it's a sporting cliché as old as Helen Chamberlain herself. Sunday's early match will see Serbia & Montenegro and Holland fight for the honour of joining Argentina in the knockout stages. Any team that has the word beer in their name has to be respected, but I prefer orange; the Dutch should be backed at 5/6.

Sunday's action continues with Mexico v Iran, in a match that could be a play-off for the nation that dislikes America the most, with presumably the French playing the winners. The Mexicans can wave goodbye to the Iranian dream, 8/15 is on offer.

Here's a dull stat, the first player to ever score a hat-trick in the World Cup was a Yank. Here's an interesting fact, the Yanks are not the 5th Best team in the world, even though those bureaucrats at FIFA would suggest otherwise. The Czech Republic are available at 10/11 to see off the USA on Monday, jump on it like it was a bouncy castle with a lager roof.

Another excellent betting proposition presents itself on Monday, when Australia meet Japan in group F. The Aussies are available at a huge 11/8, that's enough to buy plenty of shrimp for the barbie, or a few surfboards, or cricket bats for local immigrants.

World Cup Offer

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Nigel's Picks

Wed, 10 May 2006 22:19:03 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
HAMMERS VALUE AT 9/2 TO CAUSE SHOCK
***********************************
Liverpool v West Ham - Saturday May 13th, 3.00pm ko, live on BBC1 / Sky Sports 2
Is the final piece of domestic silverware looks destined for Merseyside? Liverpool are red-hot outright favourites at 2/7 here at bet365 to lift the trophy (West Ham 5/2 outright), and those odds are not surprising considering that the Reds are on fire right now, having 11 straight wins in all competitions (their best run for 17 years!). Not forgetting that they knocked out Chelsea and Man United on their route to Cardiff, and did the double over West Ham in the league.

The evidence for backing Liverpool is compelling and I wouldn't put anyone off from taking bet365's 8/13 for them to win in 90 minutes. But if you're looking for bigger odds, then why not take a crack at their Correct Score market, where a bet on 2-0 and 2-1, at 11/2 and 7/1 respectively, could reap dividends. The bet365 First Goalscorer market is also a good source of value, as they'll give you your money back if your selected player scores the last goal in the game instead. Unsurprisingly, Liverpool players dominate this market but, as with most Liverpool games, it could pay to look beyond the strikers, and Steven Gerrard looks a decent punt at 11/2 and even better value at 6/4 to score at anytime.

However, while Liverpool are the most likely winners, whether they're entitled to win like 8/13 shots is another matter, and West Ham (9/2) must have a better chance than their current odds suggest. The Hammers are on a good run of their own having won six of their last 11 matches in all competitions and arrive here on the back of confidence boosting 2-1 win over Spurs last weekend. So, with a shock due (it's been 11 years since a clear underdog won!), the value call has to be West Ham to win in 90 minutes at a tasty bet365 price of 9/2.

Much bigger odds on West Ham can be found in bet365's Double Result market, where the Hammers can be backed at 11/1 to be drawing at half time and winning after 90 minutes, compared to 3/1 for Draw / Liverpool. As with all Cup finals, both sides will be playing with a degree of caution leading up to the interval, so (whichever side you fancy) it makes sense to include the half time draw in all such bets. For those of you who fancy the draw in 90 minutes, then bet365's quote of 13/5 is standout!

The game should be a cracker, and even better odds might be available once the match kicks off via bet365's Live In-Play Console - up to 14 dynamic markets available. For example, Middlesbrough were as big as 25/1 In-Play during each of their amazing UEFA Cup comeback wins, which just goes to show that big odds (and wins!) are available for those of you who keep the faith and choose this exciting form of betting.

Enjoy the game.

Nigel

Gerry's Picks

Thu, 27 Apr 2006 06:52:56 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Only tools and horses

Looking back on it, marriage was probably a mistake. It's not the compulsory reduction in alcohol consumption that I object to, or the fact that I have to endure television programmes with the word 'vampire' in the title, it's the awful inane football related comments that plague my very existence. "He should be wearing gloves, it looks a bit chilly," is a classic example, "Why is he getting so excited, it's only a game," is equally as annoying and the often repeated "You don't have to bet to enjoy the football," led me to invest in a shovel.

As Liverpool edged out Chelsea last week, a sense of dread enveloped me as i saw her forehead wrinkle, indicating that a comment was imminent; "The Chelsea players shouldn't be so upset, they're going to win the league," was the end result of her pondering, and incredibly, I had to concur. Jose's collection of superstars just need a point against Man U to become only the 2nd team in the history of the Premiership to retain their title, but Jose will demand all three. The 11/10 on offer about a Chelsea victory should be hoovered up; their FA Cup heartache will soon be a distant memory.

The formbook would suggest that Tottenham have the beating of Bolton on Saturday, but I'm not so sure. Bolton have had the Indian sign over Spurs in recent seasons and go in to the match on a high after destroying Charlton last weekend. Even Martin Jol can see that Bolton look a little bit of value at 5/1.

If Spurs slip up, Arsenal will take full advantage at the Stadium of Light. Sunderland have been awful on the road, and strangely, even worse in front of their own supporters. Arsene has taken a few liberties with team selection in recent weeks, but he could play the under 11's against Sunderland and still snatch a draw. Arsenal are short at 1/4, but good things come in small packages.

Like Jay Jay Okocha, Lua Lua is so good they named him twice. However, this isn't a hard and fast rule, as anyone who's seen Eric Djemba Djemba play will testify. A fit again Lua Lua holds the key to a Pompey victory at Wigan, he's 13/2 to open the scoring. Portsmouth are a confident call at 8/5 to move a step closer to safety.

As West Ham have already qualified for the UEFA Cup, there's a high probability that Alan Pardew may shuffle his pack away at West Brom; let's hope it's more pleasing to the eye than the previous Pardew shuffle, that was just wrong. There's a 75% chance that the Baggies will already be relegated before the Mayday kick-off; if already down, the Albion are worth a small nibble at 6/5; if other results go their way, take a huge bite.

Interestingly, there's never been a draw in five years of Premiership fixtures between Charlton and Blackburn; i use the word 'interestingly' in its loosest possible sense. As Charlton never win a match towards the end of a season and Blackburn are crawling to the Premiership finishing line, the long overdue draw looks a little bit big at 12/5.

Liverpool are the nap of the week at 4/9 at home to the Villa. The Pool are finishing the season like a train while Villa's derby day victory is masking the worst run since Jade Goody's marathon attempt. Peter Crouch, like me, should be ashamed of his misses over the last few months, but there is an unwritten law that ex Villa players always score against their former employers, Crouchy is 11/10 to prove the rule.

The weekend specials follow a TV theme; surprisingly, there's not one mention of Watchdog:

"Up Pompey" - Birmingham and West Brom both to lose 6/1
"Terry springer" - John Terry to score with a header 10/1
"Stalti towers" - Paul Stalteri to score with a header 40/1
"Drop the Red donkey" - Peter Crouch not to score 4/6
"Stirred ruck from the Sun" - Jihai to be sent off 25/1

Quote of the week:

"A manager picks players who he thinks are going to win the game for him, otherwise he's an idiot."
Jimmy Hill adds to the debate surrounding Mourinho's FA Cup team selection.

Stat, you're a liberty:

Chelsea, Man U and Liverpool have all been pulverised at least once this season, there are only three teams who haven't been on the end of a beating by three or more goals: Arsenal, Man City and Tottenham.

Acc of the week:

Chelsea, Liverpool, Portsmouth, Arsenal and West Brom form the weekend accer, this little corker pays out at 20/1.

Weekend Betting:

Chelsea v Man Utd Saturday 29th April 12.30 Live on Sky

Chelsea 11/10
Draw 9/4
Man Utd 2/1

Get on: Chelsea

Chelsea have won their last three in the league and are unbeaten at home under Jose Mourinho. United haven't scored at the Bridge on their last three visits and their goalless draw with Sunderland remains fresh in the memory.
Match Special:
Chelsea to score three or more goals 4/1

Birmingham v Newcastle Saturday 29th April 15.00

Birmingham 11/8
Draw 12/5
Newcastle 6/4

Get on: Draw

Birmingham have earned seven points out of a possible nine at home in recent weeks; Newcastle have won their last five and are fighting for a European spot.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 6/1

Liverpool v Aston Villa Saturday 29th April 15.00

Liverpool 4/9
Draw 13/5
Aston Villa 6/1

Get on: Liverpool

It's nine consecutive wins for Liverpool; Villa's record of one win in nine won't be giving anyone in red a sleepless night.
Match Special:
Liverpool to win and keep a clean sheet 10/11

Man City v Fulham Saturday 29th April 15.00

Man City 10/11
Draw 9/4
Fulham 5/2

Get on: Draw

Man City have only won one of their last seven; Fulham can not win away from home. Four of the last five matches between Man City and Fulham have ended up deadlocked.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Middlesbrough v Everton Saturday 29th April 15.00

Middlesbrough 6/5
Draw 9/4
Everton 9/5

Get on: Draw

This fixture has a history of being tight, there have been two goals or less in the last eight matches between them. Everton haven't scored in four, this will not be a goalfest.
Match Special:
No Goalscorer in the match 8/1

Wigan v Portsmouth Saturday 29th April 15.00

Wigan 5/4
Draw 5/2
Portsmouth 8/5

Get on: Portsmouth

Wigan have only won one of their last six; Pompey have taken all three points in five of their last eight.
Match Special:
Lua Lua to score at any time 7/4

Charlton v Blackburn Saturday 29th April 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Charlton 6/4
Draw 12/5
Blackburn 11/8

Get on: Draw

It's just one win from their last six games for the Addicks; Blackburn are winless in four.
Match Special:
Bellamy to score in a 1-1 draw 14/1

Tottenham v Bolton Sunday 30th April 16.00 Live on Sky

Tottenham 8/15
Draw 12/5
Bolton 5/1

Get on: Bolton

Spurs have dropped five points from their last two games; Bolton look to be back to their best after destroying Charlton last time out. Bolton have won their last six league meetings against Tottenham.
Match Special:
Borgetti to score at any time 5/2

Sunderland v Arsenal Monday 1st May 17.15 Live on Sky

Sunderland 8/1
Draw 4/1
Arsenal 1/4

Get on: Arsenal

No home wins all season says it all for Sunderland; Arsenal are simply in a different class. The Gunners have scored three goals or more in their last four league meetings with Sunderland.
Match Special:
Arsenal to win 3-0 13/2

West Brom v West Ham Monday 1st May 20.00 Live on Sky

West Brom 6/5
Draw 12/5
West Ham 7/4

Get on: West Brom

The FA Cup chasing Hammers have only won one of their last six in the league; the Baggies can go out with a bang.
Match Special:
Gera to score at any time 3/1

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 19 Apr 2006 22:58:11 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
She's got one hand in my pocket

Even a blind squirrel occasionally finds an acorn. I permed my five strongest fancies in doubles and upwards last week, in what proved to be the tastiest Canadian since Alanis Morissette. Speaking of the diminutive whiny artiste, she once wrote a song with the following lyrics, 'It's like 10,000 spoons when all you need is a knife, isn't it ironic? The answer is no. If you're looking for a knife, the cutlery drawer should be the first port of call, searching in some sort of spoon factory was flawed from the very beginning.

There's no doubting the irony surrounding Sunday's FA Cup semi final between Boro and West Ham; two English managers will face off in England's greatest competition, on St George's Day, fighting to reach the Cathedral of English football; the Millennium Stadium in Cardiff. Both teams have been priced up at 6/4 to win the match, after securing victory in the warm up earlier in the week, the Boro are a tentative pick.

Chelsea are a far more confident selection when they meet Liverpool in the other semi. Liverpool may have had the rub of the green in European competition against Jose's superstars, but the Champions have handed the Reds a couple of real spankings in the Premiership. At 11/10, Chelsea are a boot-filler.

Adding a virtual Champions League playoff to a North London derby is like pairing lager with a chicken madras; a mouth-watering prospect. Arsenal are finishing the season like a train; chalk up this battle to the Gunners at 4/5, as the war for four escalates.

Bolton's demise has been grossly exaggerated, only Chelsea and Man U have won at the Reebok since August. Big Sam's gang host a Charlton team that collected three points against Pompey on Monday, but the police are considering launching an investigation as it was such a blatant robbery. A home win looks attractive at 4/5.

The odds makers will occasionally price up a game where a team that needs a result will be a shorter price than their true probability should dictate. A poor West Brom side are only 3/1 to win at St James' Park against an in form Newcastle due to the 'need to win' factor, resulting in the Toon Army being available at a relatively huge 8/11. The Geordies receive the coveted 'nap of the week' award.

After drawing away at Old Trafford, Sunderland will be hoping that lightning strikes twice (that's one more than Jonathan Stead) as they travel to Fratton Park. Pompey destroyed the Mackems at the Stadium of Light when they weren't playing well, they're absolutely flying now. Portsmouth at 1/3 are the next best bet on the coupon.

Wigan's season has been nothing short of a fairytale, and they'll be hoping for a happy ending at the enchanted Cottage. As Fulham's home form has been sensational, the even money about a home win is the call. Sometimes, the bears have to eat.

The weekend specials revolve around the North London derby:

"Coming to an Ed" - Edgar Davids to score at any time 6/1
"What a Lehmann" - Arsenal to keep a clean sheet 11/8
"Imagine" - Aaron Lennon to score at any time 9/2
"RSVP" - Reyes, Silva and Van Persie all to score 100/1
"Carri OK" - Michael Carrick to score at any time 8/1

Quote of the week:

"If you have a car and you win a race, you cannot just settle for that, you must try and make the car better. We're a good car, but you always want a bigger engine."

Rafa Benitez tells a familiar tale.

Stat, you're a liberty:

There is only one team in the Premiership who have not been involved in a goalless draw this season, it's Wigan.

Acc of the week:

Chelsea, Arsenal, Newcastle, Portsmouth and Fulham are all standout wagers on their own, throw them together and you have 'super wager', an accer that pays out at a sweet 16/1.

Weekend Betting:

Arsenal v Tottenham Saturday 22nd April 12.45 Live on Sky

Arsenal 4/5
Draw 12/5
Tottenham 11/4

Get on: Arsenal

The Gunners have won their last six at home; Spurs have only won two of their last eight on the road, losing five of the other six. Spurs have lost on their last seven visits to Highbury.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score two or more goals 9/2

Bolton v Charlton Saturday 22nd April 15.00

Bolton 4/5
Draw 12/5
Charlton 11/4

Get on: Bolton

Bolton have only lost 2 of their last 15 home matches; Charlton haven't won on their travels in the league for six months.
Match Special:
Nolan to score at any time 2/1

Everton v Birmingham Saturday 22nd April 15.00

Everton 6/5
Draw 12/5
Birmingham 7/4

Get on: Everton

Tottenham are the only visitors to win at Goodison Park this year; Blues have only managed wins on the road at Sunderland and West Bromwich this season. Birmingham have not won at Goodison Park since the 50's.
Match Special:
Beattie to score the only goal of the game 25/1

Newcastle v West Brom Saturday 22nd April 15.00

Newcastle 8/11
Draw 5/2
West Brom 3/1

Get on: Newcastle

Newcastle have won their last four; the Baggies haven't won in ten. West Brom have never beaten the Geordies in the Premiership.
Match Special:
Newcastle to keep a clean sheet 6/5

Portsmouth v Sunderland Saturday 22nd April 15.00

Portsmouth 1/3
Draw 7/2
Sunderland 6/1

Get on: Portsmouth

Pompey have only lost one of their last seven, scoring 14 goals along the way. Sunderland have kept one clean sheet in their last 13 matches.
Match Special:
Mendes to score at any time 7/2

Chelsea v Liverpool FA Cup semi final Saturday 22nd April 17.15 Live on BBC

Chelsea 11/10
Draw 2/1
Liverpool 9/4

Get on: Chelsea

Liverpool have won their last seven, but have not played anyone close to Chelsea's class in that run. Chelsea have already completed a league double over the Reds, winning both games convincingly.
Match Special:
Chelsea to score three or more goals 4/1

Middlesbrough v West Ham FA Cup semi final Sunday 23rd April 16.00 Live on Sky

Middlesbrough 6/4
Draw 11/5
West Ham 6/4

Get on: Middlesbrough

With both teams resting players in the run up to this match, the value of recent form is questionable. At the available prices and with the Boro strikers looking sharp, McClaren's men receive the nod.
Match Special:
Hasselbaink to score at any time 7/4

Fulham v Wigan Monday 24th April 20.00 Live on Sky

Fulham Evs
Draw 9/4
Wigan 9/4

Get on: Fulham

Fulham have won 11 times at home this season, that's only one less than the title challenging Man U. Wigan have only won one of their last five.
Match Special:
Fulham to win and keep a clean sheet 2/1

Nigels Picks

Tue, 11 Apr 2006 18:57:04 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
FOOTBALL
********

UNITED QUICK OFF THE BLOCKS AT TASTY 2/1
Man United v Sunderland
Fr Apr 14 - 7.45pm ko (PremPlus)
Last week, we cashed in by taking the 11/10 on United to beat Arsenal, and the Red Devils can again be a route to profit when they play Sunderland on Good Friday. There is likely to be nothing 'good' for the Black Cats in this game, and a score line of 3-0 or even 4-0 (at 11/2 and 7/1
respectively) looks about right. However, a safer bet could be on United to score most of their goals in the first half at a very tasty bet365 price of 2/1. In their last four Premiership matches at home, nine of Man United's twelve goals have been scored in the first half, which underlines the fact that they are invariably quick off the blocks at the Theatre Of Dreams.

United to score most goals in first half @ 2/1

ROONEY 11/10 TO OUTSCORE OWEN IN GERMANY
In bet365's first goal scorer market on the game, Wayne Rooney is priced at 3/1 to open the scoring. Remember, bet365 will give you your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead, but there could be even better value in backing Cristiano Ronaldo at 11/2 (6/4 to score anytime), as the Portuguese playmaker's pace looks sure to exploit the Black Cats woeful defence. Looking further ahead to the World Cup and, after all that's been written over the past few days regarding a rift between Rooney and Michael Owen, bet365 make the United striker 11/10 to outscore his England strike partner in Germany.

TROTTERS CAN KEEP IT TIGHT AT 13/5
Bolton v Chelsea - Sunday April 9th, 4.00pm ko, live on Sky Sports 1. This looks a particularly tough game to call, so the value could lie with backing the draw at bet365's 13/5. It's true that the Trotters appear to be going backwards, but they're particularly hard to break down at the Reebok - just ask Arsenal, Liverpool and Spurs - while Chelsea's away form has been decidedly shaky recently. The Blues have only beaten West Brom in their last seven away matches and, while that run includes the trip to Barca, they have also drawn away to Everton, Aston Villa and Birmingham, and lost to Fulham and Middlesbrough. All in all, this match looks sure to be tight and, while Chelsea are the most likely winners, the draw is the advice. Also, don't forget to check out bet365's 14 dynamic In-Play markets on this game (kick off 12.45pm).

Bolton to draw @ 13/5

HOME FORM MAKES ROVERS THE BET AT 9/4
Blackburn v Liverpool - Sunday April 16th, 2.30pm ko, live on Sky Sports 1. In Sunday's meeting between Blackburn and Liverpool, the advice is again to oppose the visitors. Mark Hughes' side have already beaten both Arsenal and Man United at Ewood Park, and their two defeats came against mid-table Newcastle and Everton, showing that they're capable of producing their best performances against the better teams. They're worth a bet at 9/4, but have a saver on the 1-1 draw at 11/2 as, despite their impressive 11-3-2 home record, they invariably concede a goal per game.

However, the bet of the weekend has to be on Rovers getting a quarter-ball start (currently 1.925), as you'll only lose if Liverpool win the game. bet365's Asian Handicap betting consistently provides excellent value as they bet to 102%, while their Premiership Accumulator Bonus pays out up to 60% more on accas including top-flight teams. Why go anywhere else for your footy bets!

Live Game Picks:

Blackburn @ 9/4
Blackburn to Draw @ 11/2
Blackburn (+1/4) @ 1.925

Bet With bet365

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 05 Apr 2006 22:34:27 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Cesc, Drogs and Rock and Roll

Working on a Sunday is comparable to sleeping with the wife, it occurs rarely and it's never enjoyable. The gaffer is aware of my reticence, whenever circumstances demand that I appear on the Sabbath he throws me double time and a day in lieu, I'm reasonably happy with that, but Louise has just handed her notice in. As a result, I'll be spending this Sunday watching three live Premiership matches.

Chelsea v West Ham kicks off the action at midday and an early shock could be on the cards. Man United are breathing down the champion's necks and Chelsea are feeling the pressure; they're currently wobbling like a jelly on a drunken Sumo wrestler.

There's a definite cloud over the Bridge, after being booed by his own supporters, a depressed Didier Drogba is reportedly considering a move away from the club. Imagine that, Drogba, down. There's a real case for backing the Hammers at 8/1 against a choking Chelsea, but a lay of the Champions at around the 3/10 mark on the exchanges is a more practical option. It's practically in already.

Super Sunday continues when Liverpool host Bolton, and this one could be tasty. If my memory serves me correctly, Stevie Gerrard used Kevin Nolan's back as a trampoline earlier in the season; you would think he could afford his own. A sending off in the match is available at 10/3, that's definitely worth a small interest.

Robbie Fowler has had a good week, after overtaking Kenny Dalglish in Liverpool's all-time goal scorer list; Rafa has confirmed that a couple more goals could earn him a new contract at the club. The scally legend has a lot to play for, and like a dyslexic hippy; i'm a big believer in 'Fowler power'. The Pool should be backed at 1/2 to take the three points; Robbie should be backed at 11/10 to get on the scoresheet.

After a couple of tasty starters, the live action reaches a crescendo when Arsenal travel to Old Trafford. This fixture has finished goalless on the last two meetings, but that's about to change. Arsenal are currently in a purple patch, and United's patch is arguably even purpler, it's a Fergie's nose patch. There will be goals in this one, and United want it that little bit more. They're good looking bets at even money.

Van Nistelrooy started on the bench last week, came on, went to ground easily, and then banged in his 150th goal for the club, it was a typical Van the man performance. Nistelrooy and Arsenal have a little history, he's a 9/2 shot to score the last goal against his old mates. The British press have had Cesc on their brain all week, but United have a half decent youngster of their own, his name's Rooney, and he can play ball. Wayne likes the big occasion, he's a 6/4 shot to score at any time.

Martin Jol's decision to continuously play Mido ahead of Jermain Defoe leaves me perplexed. As I often reassure the wife, there's nothing wrong with having two little ones up front. Spurs play hosts to a Man City team who still have their manager's savage criticism ringing through their ears, an improved performance from City is an absolute certainty; 7/2 screams value.

The Boro v Newcastle match reminds me of the time I holidayed in the Orient, there's every chance it might end up in a tie. The last three meets between these two have finished all square, a trend that looks set to continue. 11/5 is on offer, let's rock and roll.

The weekend specials:

"I should be so lucky" - Portsmouth to keep a clean sheet 15/8
"All you need is Love" - Lovenkrands to score and Rangers to win 1-0 20/1
"Johnny be good" - John Terry to be booked 11/4
"Shay a little prayer" - Newcastle to keep a clean sheet 15/8
"Let's talk about Cesc" - Fabregas to score two or more goals 25/1

Quote of the week:

"Every time I pull on the shirt, I give 120%."
Jermain Defoe puts all other professional footballers to shame, they only put in 110%.

Stat, you're a liberty:

A quick perusal through the Premiership's top 20 goal scorers this season makes interesting reading; the most lethal striker is...Luke Moore. Aston Villa's rising star scores a goal every 1.88 shots. To put that stat in perspective, Rooney's ratio is 1 in 4.85, Lampard scores 1 in 5.80.

Acc of the week:

Man City, Fulham, Aston Villa and Liverpool are all good looking bets on their own, throw them all together, you've got a gorgeous little 32/1 accer.

Weekend Betting:

Tottenham v Man City Saturday 8th April 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Tottenham 4/6
Draw 12/5
Man City 7/2

Get on: Man City

Both teams go in to the match on the back of a disappointing defeat. Tottenham struggled to see off West Brom in their last home match, 7/2 about City stands out.
Match Special:
Man City to score two or more goals 3/1

Charlton v Everton Saturday 8th April 15.00

Charlton 5/4
Draw 9/4
Everton 7/4

Get on: Charlton

Charlton are unbeaten at home this year; Everton are winless in five on the road. The Toffeemen failed to beat Sunderland last week, at home.
Match Special:
Darren Bent to score the only goal of the game 25/1

Portsmouth v Blackburn Saturday 8th April 15.00

Portsmouth 6/4
Draw 11/5
Blackburn 6/4

Get on: Portsmouth

It's three wins out of three for Pompey; Blackburn have lost five of their last six matches away from Ewood Park.
Match Special:
Mendes to score at any time 4/1

Sunderland v Fulham Saturday 8th April 15.00

Sunderland 13/8
Draw 11/5
Fulham 11/8

Get on: Fulham

Sunderland have not won a home match all season, Fulham have failed to win away. The Mackems have only found the net in two of their previous nine home matches, Fulham have scored in five of their last six away games. An 'O' must go, it'll be Fulham's.
Match Special:
Fulham to keep a clean sheet 7/4

Wigan v Birmingham Saturday 8th April 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Wigan 5/6
Draw 5/2
Birmingham 5/2

Get on: Birmingham

Wigan have lost their last three in front of their own supporters; City have beaten Bolton and held Chelsea in their last two games.
Match Special:
Birmingham to win 1-0 8/1

Aston Villa v West Brom Sunday 9th April 12.00

Aston Villa 11/10
Draw 2/1
West Brom 9/4

Get on: Aston Villa

Villa have taken four points from their last two home matches (against fellow strugglers Pompey and Fulham). The Albion have lost their last three, and they've never beaten the Villa in the Premiership.
Match Special:
Steven Davis to score at any time 4/1

Chelsea v West Ham Sunday 9th April 12.00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 2/7
Draw 7/2
West Ham 8/1

Get on: West Ham

Four points out of nine constitutes a bad run of form for Chelsea; the Hammers have won five of their last eight away games, including a triumph at Highbury. I've seen worse 8/1 shots.
Match Special:
Harewood to score the only goal of the game 90/1

Liverpool v Bolton Sunday 9th April 14.00 Live on Sky

Liverpool 1/2
Draw 12/5
Bolton 11/2

Get on: Liverpool

Liverpool have won five on the bounce, scoring 20 goals. Bolton have lost their last three, conceding seven times. It's been over 50 years since Bolton won a league match at Anfield.
Match Special:
Liverpool to win and keep a clean sheet 11/10

Middlesbrough v Newcastle Sunday 9th April 15.00

Middlesbrough 6/4
Draw 11/5
Newcastle 6/4

Get on: Draw

There's a history of draws in this fixture, with both teams being consistently inconsistent, another tied match is the sensible conclusion.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Man Utd v Arsenal Sunday 9th April 16.00 Live on Sky

Man Utd Evs
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 9/4

Get on: Man Utd

The two hot teams in the Premiership collide, it's eight consecutive victories for Man U, while Arsenal have handed out four beatings on the bounce. Either team could win, at the available prices; the home team receives the nod.
Match Special:
Any player to be sent off 13/5

Gerry's Picks

Mon, 27 Mar 2006 18:42:19 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Dairy goes again

I often panic over nothing. When the wife trapped me into producing little gambling gurus, i did worry that they may end up with my intelligence and the wife's looks, which would have narrowed down their future career prospects to 'circus attraction'. Luckily, they've ended up with the wife's brain, and curiously, the milkman's looks. I say curious, as the wife and I are lactose intolerant; we have absolutely no time for lactose, and we're not shy in speaking of our displeasure.

I bring this to your attention because little Goliath is quite bright; he's trying to remember animals by associating them with football. Whenever Ruud Van Nistelrooy comes off the bench for Man U, he shouts 'horsey', as Peter Crouch heads wide he cries 'donkey' and when Chelsea are playing, he shakes his head and murmurs 'cheetahs'. It seems that everyone has cottoned on to Chelsea's lack of sportsmanship, referees will be next. Any Chelsea player to be booked for diving / simulation against Birmingham is an 11/2 shot.

Amongst all the theatrics, there will also be a game of football. You've got to fancy Chelsea to take three points home from St Andrew's, but 1/3 does not represent value. Playing the correct scores can solve this conundrum; Chelsea to win either 1-0, 2-0 or 3-0 is a 5/4 shot; now we're cooking.

Phil Neville scored a beauty last week, unfortunately, it was an own goal, against Liverpool. His brother must have been literally seething. Everton are the lucky beneficiaries of a home fixture against Sunderland; they're 3/10, certainties doesn't really cover it.

You can't get rich backing Everton, so taking an interest in a bookings market may prove to be a profitable play. Duncan Ferguson is a fearsome character, like Jason Donovan, he's done a little bird in the past. Big Dunc took only nine minutes to find his name in the book last week in the Merseyside derby; he's a 7/2 shot to have his name taken again.

Bolton's Reebok stadium is a genuine fortress, but Manchester United have a tasty army. Wayne Rooney missed a couple of golden chances against Birmingham last week (If they were chicken legs, he would have put them away), but remains a class act. A rested Van Nistelrooy is back in favour and the talented wobbly-legged Ronaldo has already helped himself to a pair against Bolton earlier in the season. United are available at 10/11, its time to go to war.

Unfortunately for Villa fans, Milan Baros has a get-out clause in his contract that can be triggered if a bid is received for £7 million pound or more, virtually ruling out a potential transfer. The poster declaring 'We're not fickle, we just don't like you' sums up the supporters' frustration towards O'Leary's inability to motivate; an Aston Villa divided amongst itself can not possibly survive at Highbury. Arsenal may rest a couple of players with one eye on Wednesday's 2nd leg against Juventus, but in all honesty, I'd back Arsenal's reserves at 2/7 at home to the Villa.

Jermaine Jenas didn't enjoy his time at Newcastle, he compared his time there to living in a goldfish bowl. On a related note, it's a fallacy that goldfish only have a memory span of a few seconds, Rio Ferdinand may have, but that's a different kettle of fish. JJ is set for another disappointing trip to the North East, Spurs will have to settle for a draw, an 11/5 shot.

It's been said that Middlesbrough's Emanuel Pogatetz could start a ruck in an empty room, and still finish runner up; but don't tell him who said it. The Austrian defender has either been booked or saw red in 14 matches this season, it's 6/4 that he sees another card when he faces Joey Barton and Co. Man City have been depleted by injuries and suspensions, the Boro are the weekend nap at 11/4.

The weekend specials:

"Two halves at the Rovers" - Blackburn to score in both halves 2/1
"Come in handy" - Drogba to score two or more goals 4/1
"Cruising" - Stelios to score at any time 5/2
"April, Pool's day" - Liverpool to win with a clean sheet 6/5
"April, Mule's day" - Van Nistelrooy to score two or more goals 5/1

Quote of the week:

"Sometimes I dive, sometimes I stand."
Drogba's half right.

Stat, you're a liberty:

If Bolton had held on to win all the matches where they had taken a lead, they would be 2nd in the Premiership.

Acc of the week:

Man Utd, Fulham, Liverpool and Middlesbrough tick all the right boxes, an acc on all four will pay 18/1.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Chelsea Saturday 1st April 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Birmingham 8/1
Draw 3/1
Chelsea 1/3

Get on: Chelsea

Birmingham have lost their last three without scoring; Chelsea have won their last three without conceding. Historically, Birmingham haven't beaten Chelsea since the 70's. There is no argument for a home win.
Match Special:
Chelsea to win 2-0 11/2

Arsenal v Aston Villa Saturday 1st April 15.00

Arsenal 2/7
Draw 7/2
Aston Villa 8/1

Get on: Arsenal

The Gunners have won their last three in the league; the Villa have earned one point out of 12.
Match Special:
Arsenal to win with a clean sheet 4/5

Bolton v Man Utd Saturday 1st April 15.00

Bolton 5/2
Draw 9/4
Man Utd 10/11

Get on: Man Utd

Bolton have conceded 10 goals in 5 games; United have won six on the bounce.
Match Special:
Rooney to score two or more goals 11/2

Everton v Sunderland Saturday 1st April 15.00

Everton 3/10
Draw 10/3
Sunderland 8/1

Get on: Everton

Everton have won their last four at Goodison Park; Sunderland have lost their last six away from home. Everton have beaten Sunderland on the last five occasions they have met.
Match Special:
Beattie to score with a header 7/2

Fulham v Portsmouth Saturday 1st April 15.00

Fulham 4/5
Draw 12/5
Portsmouth 11/4

Get on: Fulham

In the Premiership, Fulham have won five of their last six at home, while Portsmouth have lost five of their last six away. Pompey have lost on their last four visits to the Cottage.
Match Special:
Malbranque to score at any time 3/1

Newcastle v Tottenham Saturday 1st April 15.00

Newcastle 11/8
Draw 11/5
Tottenham 13/8

Get on: Draw

Newcastle have lost their last four, but it's two wins out of three at St James' Park. Tottenham have won three of their last four, but it's only one win in five on the road. An interesting stat, this fixture has always produced a positive result this century, the draw's due.
Match Special:
HT Newcastle FT Draw 14/1

West Brom v Liverpool Saturday 1st April 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

West Brom 9/2
Draw 5/2
Liverpool 8/15

Get on: Liverpool

It's six games without a win for the Albion; Liverpool have won their last four, scoring 18 goals. The Pool have won their last nine matches against West Brom, including two 5-0's and a 6-0. Ouch.
Match Special:
Liverpool to score four or more goals 6/1

Man City v Middlesbrough Sunday 2nd April 15.00

Man City 5/6
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 11/4

Get on: Middlesbrough

Man City have lost their last three; Boro have scored 13 goals in their last six league matches, winning four of them. City have never beaten the Boro at home in the Premiership.
Match Special:
Middlesbrough to score two or more goals 5/2

West Ham v Charlton Sunday 2nd April 16.00 Live on Sky

West Ham 10/11
Draw 9/4
Charlton 5/2

Get on: West Ham

The Hammers have scored two goals or more in their last seven matches at Upton Park; Charlton haven't won a league match on their travels since October.
Match Special:
West Ham to score three or more goals 7/2

Blackburn v Wigan Monday 3rd April 20.00 Live on Sky

Blackburn 5/6
Draw 9/4
Wigan 11/4

Get on: Blackburn

Wigan have only won 2 of their last 11 matches, and they were against Sunderland and a weakened Man City. Blackburn have won their last three, they're charging towards Europe.
Match Special:
Craig Bellamy to score at any time 5/4

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 22 Mar 2006 22:32:43 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Cruising for a Bruce-ing

Sometimes, it's not easy being a football fan. A friend of mine was recently asked which team he supported, "I've never been to a football match." he replied, "I rarely leave my house for longer than 20 minutes, as I can't use public toilets due to my minuscule equipment. I can't watch football at home either, because excessive solo lovemaking has led to serious vision problems. As a result, I have no affiliation with football, or any particular team."

He just couldn't admit to being a Birmingham City fan, it would have been too embarrassing.

After a seven goal thumping on their own patch, the Blues must be dreading a trip to Old Trafford. United are the good things of the weekend at 2/9, and the 6/1 on offer for United finding the net six times or more is worth a 2nd look.

There must be something in the water in Birmingham, Aston Villa are also going through a poor spell. Like their neighbours, Villa have been unlucky with injuries. Berger has rarely played, Mellberg has been in and out of the first 11 and perhaps most cruelly of all, Ridgewell has been continuously available for selection. No wonder O'Leary's always moaning.

It's a good job the Villa have a few points in the bag from earlier in the season, as you can't foresee a Villa win under any circumstances. Fulham have steadfastly refused to win away from home, at Villa Park, they have no choice. Fulham are a great bet at 2/1.

In a week where Robbie Savage received a 2nd yellow card and Liverpool strikers were scoring for fun, it was refreshing to see Chelsea players surround the ref in an aggressive fashion and a John Terry challenge in the penalty area go unpunished, ensuring a swift return to normality.

Man City are the next visitors to the Bridge; a bad week for Stuart Pearce is about to take a turn for the worse. The Psycho must regret resting his star players and Darius Vassell in a defeat to Wigan last week, as the Hammers knocked them out of the Cup two days later. City have two chances at Stamford Bridge, slim and none; and slim has just gone on the Atkins. Chelsea are available at 2/7, it's your duty to be on.

Blackburn are a great looking bet at 8/13 to leave the Stadium of Light with three points. Craig Bellamy has scored in his last three matches and netted twice against the Mackems in the reverse fixture earlier in the season. It's 9/2 that the Welshman bags another pair, help yourself to a double Bells.

Everton haven't enjoyed their trips across the park in recent years, they haven't won at Anfield since 1999; pop midget 'Prince' was so impressed he wrote a song about it. The Reds currently look unplayable; the 8/13 on the table is more than fair.

Liverpool scoring 15 goals in 3 games was surprising, but the fact that all four of their much maligned strikers found the net left me genuinely stunned. Move over the Beatles, Liverpool have a new 'Fab 4'. Cisse is Ringo (mediocre), Morientes is George (superfluous), Crouch is Paul (over-rated), and Fowler is John (shot). A tough but fair comparison. I'm still not convinced by Crouchy, if you're a believer, he's an 11/8 shot to find the net in the derby.

The weekend specials:

"Rovers return" - Blackburn to win from behind 7/1
"Ed first" - Edgar Davids to score the first goal 14/1
"A fair Kop" - No bookings in the Liverpool v Everton match 7/1
"Mersey Beat" - James Beattie to score two or more goals 9/1
"Duncan doughnut" - Ferguson to be sent off 40/1
"Bruce almighty" - Man U to win 7-1 80/1

Quote of the week:

"Realistically, a club like ours is not going to be able to compete for the title, so you look at the domestic cups - and they're possible. In your career, you don't get too many opportunities to have a real crack at it, and we're in the quarter-finals, at home, so why not?"

Why not, Mr Bruce

Stat, you're a liberty:

Man City are the only team in the Premiership yet to record a 1-0 victory this season. It's a dull stat, but a good stat.

Acc of the week:

Liverpool, Fulham, Blackburn, Arsenal and Middlesbrough are all worth a punt, put the five together; you've got an accer that pays out at 30/1.

Weekend Betting:

Liverpool v Everton Saturday 25th March 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Liverpool 8/13
Draw 11/5
Everton 9/2

Get on: Liverpool

Liverpool are the hottest team in the Country; it's four away matches without a win for Everton.
Match Special:
Gerrard to score at any time 7/4

Aston Villa v Fulham Saturday 25th March 15.00

Aston Villa 11/10
Draw 9/4
Fulham 2/1

Get on: Fulham

The Villa have only won one of their last seven, the last three all being defeats. Fulham are still on a high from seeing off the Champions, away all the way.
Match Special:
Fulham to keep a clean sheet 2/1

Chelsea v Man City Saturday 25th March 15.00

Chelsea 2/7
Draw 7/2
Man City 8/1

Get on: Chelsea

A surprising stat, there has been one goal or less in this fixture on the last five occasions they have met. The Champions have won 14 of their 15 home matches; City have managed only one win away from home since August.
Match Special:
HT Draw FT Chelsea 7/2

Sunderland v Blackburn Saturday 25th March 15.00

Sunderland 4/1
Draw 12/5
Blackburn 8/13

Get on: Blackburn

Sunderland have lost five on the bounce; Blackburn have won four from five.
Match Special:
Craig Bellamy to score a hat-trick 20/1

Wigan v West Ham Saturday 25th March 15.00

Wigan Evs
Draw 9/4
West Ham 9/4

Get on: West Ham

Wigan haven't won a league match at the JJB this year; the Hammers have scored 18 goals in their last nine league matches.
Match Special:
Dean Ashton to score with a header 6/1

Portsmouth v Arsenal Saturday 25th March 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Portsmouth 10/3
Draw 5/2
Arsenal 4/6

Get on: Arsenal

Pompey's win over poor travellers Man City is their only home win this year; the Gunners have won their last three in the league with breathtaking ease.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score direct from a free kick 8/1

Middlesbrough v Bolton Sunday 26th March 13.30 Live on Sky

Middlesbrough 11/8
Draw 11/5
Bolton 13/8

Get on: Middlesbrough

Boro have won their last two in front of their own fans; Bolton have lost their last three on the road.
Match Special:
Viduka to score at any time 6/4

Charlton v Newcastle Sunday 26th March 14.00

Charlton 5/4
Draw 9/4
Newcastle 7/4

Get on: Draw

Charlton have drew a blank four times in recent weeks; after successive league defeats for the Toon army, a scoreless draw will be classed as a good result. The last three matches between these two have resulted in a draw.
Match Special:
No goal scorer in the match 8/1

Man Utd v Birmingham Sunday 26th March 16.00 Live on Sky

Man Utd 2/9
Draw 4/1
Birmingham 9/1

Get on: Man Utd

Every time Birmingham have travelled to Old Trafford in the Premiership, they've been beaten by two goals or more. It's five straight league victories for United; Birmingham have only managed away day victories at Sunderland and West Brom.
Match Special:
Saha and Rooney both to score 9/2

Tottenham v West Brom Monday 27th March 20.00 Live on Sky

Tottenham 2/5
Draw 11/4
West Brom 13/2

Get on: Tottenham

It's 7 months since a visiting team left White Hart Lane with three points. As the Baggies have took 1 point out of a possible 15, that record is not in danger.
Match Special:
Aaron Lennon to score at any time 4/1

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Gerry's Picks

Wed, 15 Mar 2006 22:01:35 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
It's a war for four, send in the Gunners

A psychic once predicted that I'd marry a small, blonde, beautiful woman, which proved to be wrong, wrong, wrong and the jury's out. As a result of that experience, I'm a confirmed eyebrow raiser whenever the subject of the paranormal is raised, but even i can appreciate the sense of déjà vu emanating from the greatest competition in World football, the Premiership.

Cast your minds back a year; Chelsea had the title in the bag, the 2nd and 3rd finishing positions were pretty much sewn up, and the battle for the final Champions League spot was fought by a team flying high in the Champions League and their local rivals. Unfortunately for Tottenham, the similarity ends there. The Gunners have all the momentum in 'The War for four', and should be backed at 4/7 to finish above their North London rivals; Spurs fans and the viewers of 'most haunted' will be obliged at 5/4.
Arsenal have been linked with a summer move for David Beckham, which is surprising as Becks couldn't lace Ljungberg's boots. He's a far better player than Freddie, he just struggles with laces. Ljungberg is doubtful for the Charlton match, an Arsenal victory is not. The Gunners are nap bet material at 4/11.

Last season he was a right lemon, now the Arsenal goalkeeper is being rightly lauded by all and sundry. The Addicks have drew a blank in three of their last four games; you can foresee an Arsenal clean sheet, a pleasing 4/5 shot.

Mick McCarthy has taken a bit of stick for steering Sunderland towards the title of 'Worst Premiership football team ever', but in defence of big Mick, he managed to get this awful side promoted from the Championship last season, and with more points than Wigan and West Ham to boot, a spectacular accomplishment. Sunderland are losing at the Reebok this week, 4/11 is on the table for Bolton.

It's been reported that Tottenham have made a £7 million bid for Ruud Van Nistelrooy, although Martin Jol's unusual policy of leaving his best striker on the bench could well be a stumbling block. Steve Bruce has complained that relegation worries are affecting his sleep, he'll kip like a hedgehog in winter when Birmingham take all three points at home to Spurs. It's 9/4 that Brucey gets his eight hours on Saturday night.

West Brom host an in form Manchester United, their flirtation with the drop is about to move into Paris Hilton territory. Man U were sublime last weekend against Newcastle, a convincing win is on the cards at the Hawthorns; the 1/2 on offer should appeal.

The British press should hold it's collective head in shame. Wayne Rooney floated the ball over the Newcastle keeper's head to score a wonder goal last week, yet the headline, 'Rooney, chips a Given' was nowhere to be seen. The Roonatic was unlucky not to get a hat-trick then, one shot nearly took Gary Neville's head off; let's hope his luck improves against West Brom. It's 20/1 for the big lad to net three times.

The weekend specials raise a glass to the patron saint of Ireland.

"St Patrick's Day" - Robbie Keane and Damien Duff both to score 6/1
"Bell, fast" - Craig Bellamy to score in the first half 9/2
"Ryan, air" - Giggs to score with a header 10/1
"The wild Rover" - Robbie Savage to be booked 7/4
"Paddy long legs" - Peter Crouch to score two or more goals 8/1

Quote of the week:

"I think of myself as Germany's number one keeper and one of the best keepers in Europe, I don't want any arguments with (Oliver) Kahn, but the stats are there. In one game, he conceded four goals, and I conceded none in two matches. Little by little, things are sitting into their rightful place."

Jens Lehmann is a definite card.

Stat, you're a liberty:

West Brom have a remarkable record against teams in the top half of the table, they've won more games than Arsenal and Tottenham.

Acc of the week:

Everton, Arsenal, Bolton, Man Utd and a Newcastle draw make up the weekend accer, it's a 16/1 corker. (17.04)

Weekend Betting:

Everton v Aston Villa Saturday 18th March 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Everton 10/11
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 5/2

Get on: Everton

It's six wins and a draw from Everton's last 7 home matches; Villa have lost their last two without putting up a fight.
Match Special:
Everton to win 1-0 6/1

Arsenal v Charlton Saturday 18th March 15.00

Arsenal 4/11
Draw 3/1
Charlton 13/2

Get on: Arsenal

Arsenal's last three performances have been sublime; Charlton are struggling to find the net, an excellent combination. Thierry Henry has scored seven times in his five appearances against Charlton at Highbury, the great man will fancy adding to that stat.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score a hat-trick 14/1

Blackburn v Middlesbrough Saturday 18th March 15.00

Blackburn 4/5
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 3/1

Get on: Blackburn

Blackburn have won their last four matches at home, Boro have lost their last two away. The Rovers have already seen off Boro twice this season, they're good for a third.
Match Special:
Bellamy to score two or more goals 5/1

Bolton v Sunderland Saturday 18th March 15.00

Bolton 4/11
Draw 3/1
Sunderland 13/2

Get on: Bolton

Bolton lost their opening game of the season at the Reebok, but have not tasted defeat on their own patch since. Sunderland have lost their last four, the greatest politician in the World would struggle to make a case for the away team.
Match Special:
Nolan to score at any time 11/8

Man City v Wigan Saturday 18th March 15.00

Man City Evs
Draw 9/4
Wigan 9/4

Get on: Man City

Wigan saw off Sunderland 1-0 last week, but that's their only win in nine. City have won their last seven at home, the Psycho's done well.
Match Special:
Samaras to score two or more goals 7/1

West Brom v Man Utd Saturday 18th March 15.00

West Brom 5/1
Draw 5/2
Man Utd 1/2

Get on: Man Utd

It's four consecutive league victories for Man U, the Baggies have earned 1 point out of a possible 12.
Match Special:
Man U to win 3-0 8/1

West Ham v Portsmouth Saturday 18th March 15.00

West Ham 8/13
Draw 12/5
Portsmouth 4/1

Get on: West Ham

West Ham have won five of their last six home matches, they drew the other. It's four consecutive defeats on the road for Pompey without finding the net once. Pompey haven't won at Upton Park for 77 years, a run that looks set to continue.
Match Special:
West Ham to keep a clean sheet 11/10

Birmingham v Tottenham Saturday 18th March 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Birmingham 9/4
Draw 9/4
Tottenham Evs

Get on: Birmingham

Surprisingly, Arsenal are the only visitors to St Andrew's to leave with three points this year, while Spurs have only won two of their last nine. Tottenham have never won at St Andrew's in the Premiership.
Match Special:
Birmingham to won 1-0 or 2-1 4/1

Newcastle v Liverpool Sunday 19th March 13.30 Live on Sky

Newcastle 9/5
Draw 11/5
Liverpool 5/4

Get on: Draw

Newcastle have won five of their last seven; the European Champions have scored either 1 goal or drawn a blank in 11 of their last 12 matches. Only the brave will play at 5/4.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Fulham v Chelsea Sunday 19th March 16.00 Live on Sky

Fulham 11/2
Draw 12/5
Chelsea 1/2

Get on: Draw

Fulham's record at home is exceptional, Chelsea are more staggering than charging to the title, I see them leaving two points at the Cottage.
Match Special:
HT Draw FT Draw 9/2

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 08 Mar 2006 22:42:22 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
José, can you see? (The star-mangled spanner)

I have a confession for you all; I'm in the middle of a bad run. After narrowly losing out in the award for 'Sports journalist of the year', i was surprisingly pipped at the post for the 'Gambling personality of the year' gong. I've now discovered that i didn't even make the top three in the wife's 'Best lover of the year' category, although to be fair, I was runner up in 2003. It could be worse though, I could be José Mourinho.

Chelsea have had a week from hell; Arjen Robben has been banned for four games following a horrific attack on Jonathan Greening, where he flew through the air like a crazed ninja with legs well and truly akimbo. John Terry has been chastised by the press for consistently leading a lynch mob to surround referees, Barcelona strolled to Champions League qualification, and now FIFA have announced that two referees per match is a consideration; presumably, one to keep an eye on the always theatrical Didier Drogba. A bad run attracts an even worse run, Tottenham can snatch a draw at the Bridge, get on at 11/4.

There's an old Chinese saying, 'If the purple nosed jockey wants to win the big race, he shouldn't swap a horse for a donkey.' For some reason, this makes me think of the Van Nistelrooy / Louis Saha situation at Man Utd. If the rumour mill is correct and Ruud is on his way out of Old Trafford, the betting opportunities are almost endless. Back Newcastle today at 13/2; get on Thierry Henry to win the Golden Boot at 13/8 and pile on Liverpool to finish runners up at 2/1. Call me a mad conspiracy theorist, but I've put two and two together; i've got a tutu.

As a result of Mick McCarthy receiving his P45, Sunderland are now a viable bet to see off Wigan at the Stadium of Light. The scientifically proven phenomenon of 'replaced manager syndrome' will undoubtedly come to the fore. An improved Sunderland performance is an absolute Shay; get on at 7/4.

If / when Portsmouth are relegated, Harry Redknapp will receive the honour of being the first manager to relegate different teams from the Premiership in successive seasons. A quite remarkable achievement; who said that Harry had lost his magic? Madman Joey Barton returns for Man City, as will their form on the road; City are a confident call at 11/8.

At first glance, 'Robbie Savage's excellent record' would appear to be a contradiction in terms, much like 'Chelsea sportsmanship' or 'Soccer AM - The best bits'. But incredibly, the blonde bombshell has only been on the losing side once in 18 matches against Aston Villa. That stat's impressive, but so are Villa away from home. O'Leary has an honest bunch of lads; they should be backed at 9/4 to take a point home from Blackburn.

Jasper Carrott and Frank Skinner will be glued to Soccer Saturday when Birmingham host West Brom in an old fashioned six pointer; although there's nothing funny about relegation from the Premiership, or Frank Skinner. Birmingham are the better team, they have home advantage, even money is a little treat.

The weekend specials:

"The crying Dutchman" - Van Nistelrooy not to score 5/6
"The Beat goes on" - James Beattie to score two or more goals 5/1
"Brom disposal" - Birmingham to score three or more goals 4/1
"A high roller" - Drogba to score with a header 9/2

Quote of the week:

"I don't think so; Barcelona could not beat us 11 v 11."
The deluded José Mourinho, responding to the question, "Did the better team qualify?"

Stat, you're a liberty:

If Fulham could replicate their home form on the road, they would be Chelsea's closest challengers.

Acc of the week:

Birmingham, Everton, Man City and Arsenal form the weekend accer. It's so cute, you could take it home to meet your mother; it pays out at 17/1.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v West Brom Saturday 11th March 12.00

Birmingham Evs
Draw 9/4
West Brom 9/4

Get on: Birmingham

Blues have won every Premiership match against the Baggies at St Andrew's, and won 3-2 at the Hawthorns earlier in the season. City have won two of the last three by a goal to nil, a trend that looks set to continue against the out of form Baggies.
Match Special:
Birmingham to win 1-0 6/1

Chelsea v Tottenham Saturday 11th March 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Chelsea 4/9
Draw 11/4
Tottenham 11/2

Get on: Draw

Chelsea have only won 5 of their last 11; Tottenham are undefeated in four. This is not the formality that 4/9 would suggest.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 13/2

Bolton v West Ham Saturday 11th March 15.00

Bolton Evs
Draw 9/4
West Ham 9/4

Get on: Draw

This is the 4th instalment of a 5 match extravaganza between West Ham and Bolton this season; Big Sam's men are currently 2-1-0. It finished 0-0 in the FA Cup at the Reebok a couple of weeks back, a repeat can not be ruled out.
Match Special:
No goal scorer in the match 8/1

Everton v Fulham Saturday 11th March 15.00

Everton 8/11
Draw 9/4
Fulham 10/3

Get on: Everton

A great stat in this fixture, every time they've met in the Premiership (9 times), the home team has emerged victorious. Fulham have never won a league match at Goodison Park in 55 years (on and off) of trying. Everton have won four of the last five at Goodison 1-0, I rest my case.
Match Special:
Everton to win 1-0 6/1

Portsmouth v Man City Saturday 11th March 15.00

Portsmouth 13/8
Draw 11/5
Man City 11/8

Get on: Man City

Harry's men have only picked up 1 point out of a possible 24, they're going down. City have won their last three against Pompey, it's about to become four.
Match Special:
Man City to score three or more goals 5/1

Sunderland v Wigan Saturday 11th March 15.00

Sunderland 7/4
Draw 9/4
Wigan 5/4

Get on: Sunderland

Wigan's winless run has now reached nine games; Sunderland's caretaker manager Kevin Ball couldn't have picked a better match to open his account, apart from Portsmouth at home, or West Brom at home.
Match Special:
Sunderland to keep a clean sheet 2/1

Blackburn v Aston Villa Saturday 11th March 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Blackburn 8/11
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 10/3

Get on: Draw

It's three consecutive home wins for Blackburn; the Villa haven't tasted defeat on the road for four months. That'll be a draw then.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Man Utd v Newcastle Sunday 12th March 13.30 Live on Sky

Man Utd 2/5
Draw 11/4
Newcastle 13/2

Get on: Newcastle

Man U looked far from comfortable last time out at the JJB, a 2-1 win was daylight robbery. It's five wins out of six for the Toon Army, I've seen worse 13/2 shots.
Match Special:
Emre or Solano to score at any time 15/8

Charlton v Middlesbrough Sunday 12th March 15.00

Charlton 10/11
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 5/2

Get on: Draw

Charlton's last three games have finished goalless; Boro have either kept a clean sheet or failed to score in eight of their last nine games. 4 of the last 10 between these two have finished goalless, you can rule out a 4-4 draw.
Match Special:
No Goalscorer in the match 8/1

Arsenal v Liverpool Sunday 12th March 16.00 Live on Sky

Arsenal 6/5
Draw 11/5
Liverpool 15/8

Get on: Arsenal

Liverpool are not performing away from home, it's four defeats from their last six on the road. Arsenal have won this fixture convincingly for the last couple of seasons, 3-1 and 4-2. One goal should be enough for the Gunners to take the points in this one.
Match Special:
Arsenal to win 1-0 6/1

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Gerry's Picks

Sun, 26 Feb 2006 20:33:07 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Smudge not, lest ye be Smudged

Throughout history, if a cause is powerful enough, people will unite to make the World a better place. Thousands shared Woodstock's vision of peace and love, and even more answered a hairy Irishman's call, when he arranged for average middle of the road pop acts to perform across four continents, in a half-assed attempt to reduce global poverty. When Middlesbrough play Birmingham on Saturday 4th March, we too can make a stand against a new evil, incorrectly priced football teams. Let's come together to back the Boro at 10/11.

McClaren's men are standing strong in Europe and they've hit a purple patch in the league, while Birmingham hover just two places from the foot of the table. Admittedly it's not risk free, but you're taking a chance when you eat a late night kebab or when you sleep with loose women. Obviously I wouldn't behave in such a manner myself, I don't like chilli sauce. The Boro won 3-0 at St Andrew's when they weren't playing well, imagine what will happen at the Riverside now they are. At 10/11, this is the value bet of the season, spread the word.

Sam Allardyce asks a valid question. What does Kevin Nolan have to do to receive International recognition? Apart from growing another two and a half foot and signing for Liverpool, the answer is I just don't know. Sven is not alone in underestimating Bolton, bookmakers have been slow to appreciate that they're now a top 6 side.

A trip to St James' Park won't be easy though, Newcastle have collected 10 points out of a possible 12 recently, even the most optimistic/inebriated Geordie would have been surprised by that tally. This one has 'draw' written all over it, take advantage at 9/4.

If Liverpool had Darren Bent they'd be challenging Chelsea for the Title; they've got Peter Crouch, they're not. Bent's theatrics earned the Addicks three points against the Reds at the Valley just three weeks ago; revenge is a dish best served cold, like my dinner. The Pool will win; they're available at 4/9.

I liked Psycho's reaction to Joey Barton's red card last week, "I'll tell him that Stuart Pearce was sent off five times in 1,000 matches." Although he makes an excellent point, Gerry McDonnell is not a fan of speaking in the third person. City improved when Barton left the pitch that day, a similar performance against Sunderland will see them romp home. Football is a funny old game, although I won't be laughing if Sunderland win or draw, i'm on City at 2/5.

The Gunners form on the road is the most perplexing mystery since i found an extra large pair of boxer shorts under the bed. There's no logical reason why Arsenal can win easily at the Bernabeu, yet take a beating at Ewood Park and the Hawthorns. The Gunners have a quality squad and could well leave the Cottage with three points, but after being bitten twice, you've got to stop stroking the dog. I'm backing Fulham at 7/4.

Fergie's ruck with Van Nistelrooy has been headline news all week, but the real story to come out of United's Carling Cup stroll should be the victory t-shirts. Alan Smith has been labelled 'Smudge'; it's perhaps the worst nickname in the history of football. The FA should launch an immediate enquiry into why 'short stuff', 'nutjob' and 'meedy' were cruelly overlooked. The art of nicknaming has joined rugby in England's 'We're not good at doing it anymore' column, a crying shame. This tips for you Smudger; get on Man Utd to beat Wigan at 8/13.

The weekend specials:

"The Gud book" - Gudjohnsen to be booked 4/1
"Brown knows" - Wes Brown to score at any time 12/1
"Agger, do do do" - Daniel Agger to be booked 5/2
"You can Ron, but you can't Eid" - Ronaldo to score, Gudjohnsen not to score 10/3

Quote of the week:

"We're not going to Cardiff for a nice day out."
Paul Jewell pounded the nail on the head.

Stat, you're a liberty:

The league table would have a slightly different look if matches ended at the 45 minute mark. Man Utd would be six points clear at the top of the table, while Everton would have consolidated their Champions League position. The bottom 3 would be Sunderland, Portsmouth and Birmingham; statisticians can not perform miracles.

Acc of the week:

Aston Villa, Middlesbrough, West Ham, Liverpool and Man Utd form a delightful little weekend accer; it'll pay 14/1.

Weekend Betting:

West Brom v Chelsea Saturday 4th March 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

West Brom 11/2
Draw 3/1
Chelsea 2/5

Get on: Chelsea

The Baggies have met Chelsea on five occasions in the Premiership, Chelsea have won every time. The Albion have been walloped in their last two matches, 2/5 looks generous.
Match Special:
Chelsea to win 2-0 11/2

Aston Villa v Portsmouth Saturday 4th March 15.00

Aston Villa 8/11
Draw 9/4
Portsmouth 10/3

Get on: Aston Villa

Pompey struggle at Villa Park, they've took a beating on their last eight visits. They've also lost on their last eight road trips in the league, there's literally no hope for them.
Match Special:
Villa to keep a clean sheet 6/5

Fulham v Arsenal Saturday 4th March 15.00

Fulham 7/4
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 5/4

Get on: Fulham

Fulham have won eight of their last nine league matches at the Cottage, they drew the other. Arsenal have only won three times away from home in the league all season.
Match Special:
Fulham to win 1-0 7/1

Middlesbrough v Birmingham Saturday 4th March 15.00

Middlesbrough 10/11
Draw 9/4
Birmingham 5/2

Get on: Middlesbrough

The Boro have won five of their last six matches, while a 1-0 win over Sunderland hardly represents a return to form for Birmingham.
Match Special:
Hasselbaink and Yakubu both to score 13/2

Newcastle v Bolton Saturday 4th March 15.00

Newcastle 6/5
Draw 9/4
Bolton 9/5

Get on: Draw

It's four wins and a draw from the Toon's last five games. Bolton are a tough nut to crack though, as their 1-1 draw at Highbury underlines.
Match Special:
No goal scorer in the match 8/1

West Ham v Everton Saturday 4th March 15.00

West Ham Evs
Draw 9/4
Everton 9/4

Get on: West Ham

The Hammers have won seven of their last eight matches; the other was drawn at the Reebok. Everton have lost their last two away from home, it all adds up to a home win.
Match Special:
Ashton to score the first goal 9/2

Liverpool v Charlton Saturday 4th March 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Liverpool 4/9
Draw 13/5
Charlton 6/1

Get on: Liverpool

Liverpool have won five of their last six at Anfield by a goal to nil. It would have been six from six but for an Alonso own goal. Charlton haven't won a league match away from home since October.
Match Special:
Liverpool to win 1-0 6/1

Man City v Sunderland Sunday 5th March 13.30 Live on Sky

Man City 2/5
Draw 11/4
Sunderland 13/2

Get on: Man City

City have won their last five in front of their own fans; Sunderland are atrocious.
Match Special:
City to score four or more goals 4/1

Tottenham v Blackburn Sunday 5th March 16.00 Live on Sky

Tottenham 5/6
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 11/4

Get on: Blackburn

A surprisingly quiet fixture recently, the last five games has produced a total of three goals. Spurs are feeling the pressure recently; it's only one win in seven. Blackburn have won their last two, it could be a shock.
Match Special:
Bellamy to score the only goal of the game 50/1

Wigan v Man Utd Monday 6th March 20.00 Live on Sky

Wigan 7/2
Draw 13/5
Man Utd 8/13

Get on: Man Utd

It's now seven without a win for Wigan. United won 4-0 in the league and matched that scoreline in a one-sided Cup final. Home advantage will make all the difference for the Latics; United will only win by three.
Match Special:
Man United to win 3-0 10/1

Gerry's Picks

Thu, 23 Feb 2006 08:13:12 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
The Jewell of Denial

Here's a question for all you deep thinkers. Can a fairytale really have a happy ending?

Imagine the classics today; Cinderella could never marry the prince, the problem of female binge drinking coupled with a march towards a 24 hour boozing culture simply wouldn't allow her to leave the ball by midnight. Sleeping Beauty would be literally a 50/1 shot to get a decent kip with all the ASBO ridden teenagers roaming the streets, and if Jack is gullible enough to swap a cow for a handful of magic beans, he'd be well advised to steer clear of the betting exchanges.

I ask this question because Wigan's charge to the Cup final is nothing short of a modern day fairytale, but like the examples above, a happy ending is highly unlikely. I would love to see Wigan win it, I've always been a fan of the underdog, although the wife usually needs convincing. The head must always rule the heart when punting though; Man U demolished Wigan 4-0 in the league, a reversal is unlikely. Get on United at 8/13 to win the match in 90 minutes.

Van Nistelrooy had the cheek to berate Harry Kewell for going down easily last week; he'll be having a pop at Celine Dion next for having a long face. Van the man is a worthy favourite at 7/2 to open the scoring in the Cardiff showpiece; he's 9/2 to bag a pair.

Gary Neville's had a bad week, he's been fined £5,000 by the FA for doing the Haka in front of devastated Liverpool supporters, and news has just broke that the police are struggling to find the identity of the burger throwing scally, although they've safely ruled out Wayne Rooney. It's 12 games without a goal for Roon the loon, the big lad's due, he's available at 5/4 to score at any time.

Whatever the outcome on Sunday evening, Wigan's charge to Cardiff has brought a little romance back to the Cup, and win or lose, the great sport of football will be the winner. Or to be more factual, football and Man Utd will be the winners, Wigan will lose heavily. A 3-0 win for United is available at 10/1, give it some thought.

Back to the Premiership, before the Barcelona match, Jose Mourinho compared the Chelsea pitch to an ugly scientist. I took offence to that, my wife looks a lot like Stephen Hawking. However, I'm not one to hold a grudge, especially as Jose's boys will make me a few quid this weekend. Pompey have played Chelsea five times in the Premiership, the Champions have won either 2-0 or 3-0 every time. At 11/4 for either outcome to occur, my valueometer has just exploded.

Newcastle are like a new team since Graeme Souness left, unfortunately, still not a very good one. The stats show a dramatic improvement for the Toon since Souey was chopped, but there's a question mark over the Villa and Southampton wins. Everton are the visitors to St James' Park and their recent form is sensational; not for the first time, I'm playing away from home. Tuck in to the Toffees at 2/1.

Liverpool should be backed at 1/2 to see off Man City; as soon as Psycho handed Robbie Fowler to the Reds on a silver plate, sod's law demanded that he'd break his goal scoring duck against the team that gave him away. By the way, don't pass this on to Steve McClaren; he'll probably bid £3 million for the duck.

How quickly things change. On a cold day two weeks ago, McClaren was an awful manager who couldn't be trusted in the transfer market and a relegation battle was on the cards. Today, it's a little bit warmer. Luckily for Boro, Albion are in an even worse state, McClaren's men are the call at 7/4.

The Cup final weekend specials: (all bets are 90 minutes only)

"Filthy Rich" - Kieran Richardson to be booked 5/2
"Crazy horse" - Van Nistelrooy to be booked 10/3
"Bull fighting" - Jimmy Bullard to be booked 9/2
"Raging Bull" - Jimmy Bullard to be sent off 66/1
"Fletch lives" - Darren Fletcher to score at any time 5/1
"Flyin' Giggs" - Ryan Giggs to score in the first half 12/1
"Camma Roon" - Henri Camara and Wayne Rooney both to score 8/1

Quote of the week:

"Sometimes you see beautiful people with no brains, but you see ugly people who are intelligent scientists. Our pitch is a little bit like that."

Jose Mourinho, the King of the analogy.

Stat, you're a liberty:

Portsmouth have scored just eight goals at home this season, that's the lowest figure in the Premiership, the Football League, the Conference, and alarmingly for Pompey fans, the Scottish Leagues.

Acc of the week:

Birmingham, Arsenal, Chelsea, Man Utd and Middlesbrough form the accer this week, I can't say they'll all definitely win, even though they will.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Sunderland Saturday 25th February 15.00

Birmingham 4/7
Draw 12/5
Sunderland 9/2

Get on: Birmingham

The Blues have won four of their last five at St Andrews; Sunderland have lost their last three matches away from home.
Match Special:
Birmingham to keep a clean sheet 10/11

Blackburn v Arsenal Saturday 25th February 15.00

Blackburn 9/5
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 6/5

Get on: Arsenal

The Gunners have won their last six matches against Blackburn without conceding a goal; three of the last four have finished 3-0. Their form on the road is poor, but the Madrid result is a corner-turner.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score two or more goals 5/1

Charlton v Aston Villa Saturday 25th February 15.00

Charlton 11/10
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 2/1

Get on: Draw

The Addicks have won five of their last six home matches, and drew the other. Villa are unbeaten in seven away from home, a real toughie to call.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Chelsea v Portsmouth Saturday 25th February 15.00

Chelsea 1/7
Draw 9/2
Portsmouth 16/1

Get on: Chelsea

Pompey have lost their last seven away from home in the Premiership, six of those games by two goals or more. Chelsea are a wounded animal, Pompey must pay.
Match Special:
HT Draw FT Chelsea 9/2

Newcastle v Everton Saturday 25th February 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Newcastle 11/10
Draw 9/4
Everton 2/1

Get on: Everton

It's three wins out of four for the Toon; Everton have won four of their last five in the league. Everton's form can stand close scrutiny.
Match Special:
Everton to win 1-0 15/2

Liverpool v Man City Sunday 26th February 12.15 Live on Sky

Liverpool 1/2
Draw 12/5
Man City 11/2

Get on: Liverpool

Liverpool have beaten Arsenal and Man U in their last two home matches, City are hit and miss away from home.
Match Special:
Robbie Fowler to score at any time 11/10

Bolton v Fulham Sunday 26th February 13.00

Bolton 8/11
Draw 9/4
Fulham 10/3

Get on: Bolton

Fulham are running out of games to register a win on the road. They lost twice at the Reebok last season, a third spanking in a year is approaching.
Match Special:
Nolan and Stelios both to score 14/1

West Brom v Middlesbrough Sunday 26th February 15.00

West Brom 5/4
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 7/4

Get on: Middlesbrough

Albion are not playing well, it's four losses and a draw from their last five matches. The Boro have won their last three away from home, 7/4 tempts.
Match Special:
Yakubu to score two or more goals 7/1

Man Utd v Wigan (Carling Cup Final) Sunday 26th February 15.00 Live on Sky

Man Utd 8/13
Draw 12/5
Wigan 4/1

Get on: Man Utd

United have won six of their last eight matches; the Latics are winless in six. This is United's only hope of a trophy this season, they're the weekend nap.
Match Special:
Van Nistelrooy and Rooney both to score 11/2

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Gerry's Picks

Wed, 15 Feb 2006 21:45:37 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Give the Neville his due

Much like "Mike Riley waves away United's penalty appeal," or "Robbie Savage saved him from being booked there," the phrase "Good old Gary Neville" is rarer than a Peter Crouch screamer. But thanks to Gary's recent jig in front of the Scouse supporters, the match between Liverpool and Man U will now be tastier than a chicken madras after seven pints of lager.

Neville's lucky he's not Spanish, Barcelona fans once threw a pig's head at Luis Figo; Liverpool fans are unlikely to follow suit, Helen Chamberlain works on a Saturday morning. Will Neville react to the inevitable abuse? You can back him to receive a yellow at 12/5, a red at 33/1.

It's not just the fans that will be on Neville's back, Fowler, Carragher and Gerrard will be keeping one eye open, Stevie G is 11/4 to be booked and 16/1 to be carded for a challenge on Red Nev.

I try to avoid discussing men's hairstyles as a general rule, but I think Harry Kewell's decision to wear his hair in a bun was ill advised, Wayne Rooney will probably eat it. Rucker Rooney will be there or thereabouts if it all goes off, he's 7/4 to get his name in the book.

On a related note, there's also a game of football. Liverpool are 11/8 to follow up a convincing win over Arsenal, indulge.

All the romantics would like to see Alan Shearer bow out with a trophy at Newcastle. I am not a romantic; I did give the wife a card for Valentines Day though, a yellow. Any more liberties and she'll be elbowed quicker than a central defender in the vicinity of big Al. The Toon look to have too much for a woeful Southampton, play at 4/11.

Chelsea's 'Baldrick like' plan to play on an awful surface to stifle Barcelona is somewhat flawed. Their recent form has been poor, and a slip up against Colchester is a distinct possibility. The Champions are without Terry and Gallas, their pitch is a beach and the big Champions League match is in the back of the player's minds. Only the rich and the foolish will back Chelsea at 1/10, the draw at 5/1 is the road for the enlightened.

David O'Leary is rarely a bundle of laughs, but when the Djemba brothers refused to return from the ANC in time to face Newcastle, he was positively apoplectic. O'Leary cheered up when his Villa team went on to murder the Geordies 1-2; a Coleless Man City can expect to be pommeled in a similar fashion, only with a result that justifies the play. Villa are a 6/5 steal.

It's been a magnificent seven wins on the bounce for West Ham, but eight is a mission impossible. Stelios helped Greece to a Euro 2004 victory, he can inspire Bolton to FA Cup glory. Back Sam's men at Even money.

Fair play to the Premier League, after Tottenham failed to beat Sunderland last week, they're making them play again, as a punishment for questioning the whole competition's integrity. Spurs v Wigan is the only Premiership match this weekend, get on Tottenham at 4/6 at fortress White Hart Lane.

Drinking is not big or clever, the weekend specials are:

"JD & Coke" - Defoe and Reo-Coker both to score 16/1
"Sutton comfort" - Chris Sutton to score at any time 11/8
"Half a Murphy's" - Danny Murphy to score and Tottenham to win 2-0 25/1
"Johnny walker" - John Terry to be sent off 50/1
"Blue, none" - Chelsea not to score 8/1
"A nice Claret" - West Ham and Aston Villa both to win 13/2
"Stout" - Wayne Rooney to score two or more goals 15/2

Quote of the week:

"No player is happy after they've been left out. We haven't left him out..."
Steve Bruce after Nicky Butt made way for little Alex.

Stat, you're a liberty:

Arsenal's demise has been grossly exaggerated. The Gunners top the stats table for successful passes and shot accuracy.

Acc of the week:

Liverpool, Newcastle, Aston Villa, Tottenham and a Preston draw all look to be either in the bag or hovering close to the edge, the accer pays out at 34/1.

Weekend Betting:

Liverpool v Man Utd FA Cup Saturday 18th February 12.30 Live on BBC

Liverpool 11/8
Draw 2/1
Man Utd 7/4

Get on: Liverpool

The recent league match at Old Trafford would suggest that these two are evenly matched; home advantage will be the decisive factor. Liverpool haven't scored two goals in a home match since Boxing Day, 1-0 to the Pool.
Match Special:
Liverpool to win 1-0 6/1

Bolton v West Ham FA Cup Saturday 18th February 15.00

Bolton Evs
Draw 9/4
West Ham 9/4

Get on: Bolton

Bolton knocked the Hammers out of the League Cup this season and won their League meet at Upton Park. Big Sam has Al's number, home win.
Match Special:
Stelios to score at any time 9/4

Charlton v Brentford FA Cup Saturday 18th February 15.00

Charlton 4/11
Draw 3/1
Brentford 13/2

Get on: Charlton

They've met three times before in the FA Cup, the Addicks qualified every time. Charlton have kept a clean sheet at the Valley in their last four league games, they won't be stung by the Bees.
Match Special:
Darren Bent to score two or more goals 4/1

Newcastle v Southampton FA Cup Saturday 18th February 17.40 Live on BBC

Newcastle 4/11
Draw 3/1
Southampton 13/2

Get on: Newcastle

The Saints have earned two points from their last six league matches; the Toon army have won two on the bounce. You've got to fancy the Geordies.
Match Special:
Emre to score direct from a free kick 10/1

Preston v Middlesbrough FA Cup Sunday 19th February 14.00

Preston 13/8
Draw 2/1
Middlesbrough 6/4

Get on: Draw

The once mighty Preston have a good record against Boro in the Cup, they've won three of the five meet ups. Preston are unbeaten since September, 25 matches in all competitions. You never know what you'll get with Boro, I'm backing the draw.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Stoke v Birmingham FA Cup Sunday 19th February 14.00

Stoke 9/4
Draw 9/4
Birmingham Evs

Get on: Draw

Stoke are in awful form in the Championship, they've drawn three of their last nine matches, and lost the other six; they're the Birmingham of the Championship. The last time Blues visited the Brittania, they won the match 7-0; I can foresee seven less goals in this one.
Match Special:
No goal scorer in the match 8/1

Chelsea v Colchester FA Cup Sunday 19th February 16.00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 1/10
Draw 5/1
Colchester 25/1

Get on: Draw

Chelsea have only won two of their last six matches, Colchester have won 10 of their last 12. The Champions may well win, but you can't be on at 1/10.
Match Special:
Colchester to score one goal or more 9/4

Aston Villa v Man City FA Cup Sunday 19th February 18.30 Live on BBC

Aston Villa 6/5
Draw 11/5
Man City 15/8

Get on: Aston Villa

Villa have only lost 2 of their last 11 matches, and the Newcastle defeat can be disregarded. City have only won once on the road since August, the Villa are a 'must bet'.
Match Special:
Aston Villa to score three or more goals 9/2

Tottenham v Wigan Premiership Sunday 19th February 13.15 Live on Sky

Tottenham 4/6
Draw 12/5
Wigan 7/2

Get on: Tottenham

Tottenham have only lost once at the Lane all season, it's five without a win for the Latics. Spurs left the JJB with three points earlier this season, make mine a double.
Match Special:
Tottenham to keep a clean sheet 6/5

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Nigels Picks

Thu, 09 Feb 2006 07:43:48 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
FOOTBALL
*******

bet365

RED DEVILS 4/6 JOLLIES TO FOLLOW HOME BLUES
Liverpool have been replaced by Manchester United at the head of the bet365 Premiership 'Without Chelsea' market after losing 2-0 at Stamford Bridge last weekend. United, who are 4/6 to finish second, have spent most of the season hoping for the leaders to slip up but, with just 13 matches to go, it's only a question of time before Chelsea wrap things up mathematically, and reward those bet365 punters who backed them at 10/11!

bet365 latest 'Without Chelsea' prices ... Man Utd 4/6, Liverpool 5/4, Arsenal 12/1, Tottenham 40/1, Bolton 125/1

CHELSEA TO HAVE A FIELD DAY AT 2.10
Boro may have taken the scalps of Arsenal and Man United at the Riverside, but they have managed just one other win there this season, and have now gone six league games without victory, conceding on average more than two goals a game. Expect Chelsea to have a field day here, and they should be the cornerstone of any bet365 Premiership Accumulator this weekend. They can also be backed with confidence on our Asian Handicap, giving up a goal and a quarter start (currently 2.10). Here at bet365 we bet this market to just 102%, so it's easy to see where the value lies, compared to the fixed price of 2/5.

Asian Handicap Pick: Chelsea (-1.25 goals @ 2.10)

The anticipated loss for Boro would see them drop into the bottom three, and the 11/4 currently on offer for them to be relegated will look decent value come next week (especially if Birmingham beat West Ham on Monday night). bet365 also go 5-2 that Steve McClaren is removed from his Middlesbrough post before the season is over, following their 4-0 loss to Aston Villa at the Riverside.

bet365 Premiership Relegation prices ... Portsmouth 2/7, Birmingham 4/6, West Brom 5/4, Middlesbrough 11/4, Fulham, Charlton 12/1, others on bet365 website.

13/10 UNITED FOR THE DOUBLE
No prizes for picking Man United to beat Portsmouth this weekend at 8/15 but, bearing in mind that Pompey have conceded almost as many goals in the first half as in the second, there's grounds for taking the bet365 price of 13/10 for United to have this sewn up by half time. Man City are a much better team at home, where only one team outside the top four has beaten them, and they should be backed at 10/11 to beat Charlton on Sunday. The Addicks started the season as the Premiership's most impressive away team, but have now gone six away games without a win, and it's hard to imagine them reversing that form here.

At Craven Cottage, Fulham ought to be able to improve on their decent home record against a Baggies outfit that is poor on the road, and they complete our weekend at accumulator at bet365 odds of 5/6. A £50 four-fold on our four outright selections this weekend will return you £394.45 at the current prices, and that includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% more every weekend here at bet365).

Weekend Premiership Picks:

Man United to beat Portsmouth @ 8/15 (United / United @ 13/10) Man City to beat Charlton @ 10/11 Fulham to beat West Brom @ 5/6 4-fold on Chelsea (2/5); Man Utd; Man City; Fulham - pays £394.45 (£50
stake) bet365

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 01 Feb 2006 23:21:17 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
The Gram of God

Beating the bookies is an enjoyable pastime, but is there more to life? Recently, I've felt an urge to discover a deeper meaning to my existence, leading me to conduct a little research in the field of religion and spirituality, in search of enlightenment, in search of God.

As always, the first stop for any serious researcher is Sky Sports News. Within 15 minutes, I'd discovered that the Holy One is a Scouse scally by the name of Robbie Fowler.

In football, as in life, sometimes you have to go back to move forward, and the signing of Fowler is a step in the right direction for the Reds. The Pool's midfield is as creative as any in the league, yet a misfiring Cisse, an overrated Morientes and a game but ultimately limited Crouch have failed to take chances in the big matches. The Pool have flopped against Chelsea on three occasions this season, with God on their side, that's about to change. Kop a load of the Reds at 7/2.

I don't dislike Robbie Savage, to be honest I can take him or leave him; and I could definitely take him. Mark Hughes believes that the blonde nause is unfairly criticised at times, claiming that Robbie is more sinned against than sinner. The jury's out on that one; they're back, he's guilty.

Rob's mob are a tasty looking punt at 6/4 away at West Brom. The Baggies lack a quality striker up front; I suggest that they sign Rob Earnshaw in the summer.

It was always going to happen; after Gary Neville's crotch-shaking badge-kissing Scouse-baiting goal celebration, Man U were destined to be drawn away at Anfield in the next round of the Cup.

It's tough to pick a winner in that one, but at home to Fulham in the League, United are a confident call at 1/4. No visiting team has left Old Trafford with a clean sheet this season; the zero in Fulham's away win column can breathe easily.

Arsene Wenger has (once again) bought extremely well in the transfer window. In Diaby, they finally have a replacement for Vieira, while Walcott is a young Henry. The future's bright, the future's raspberry. Arsene sends his young guns to an improving Birmingham, 9/4 is on the table about the draw; help yourself to seconds.

Poor old Paul Scharner, he's been in the Country for nearly a month, and his team-mates haven't filled him in on 'Rule 1'; he had to learn the hard way that the laying of hands on Duncan Ferguson is strictly prohibited. Without Jason Roberts, Wigan will be taught another lesson at the Reebok. Bolton are the bet of the week at 10/11.

Joey Barton's decision to hand in a transfer request was a strange one. The City board overlooked his awful interpretation of Hamlet at a Christmas party, and were lenient after a pre-season brawl with a teenage Everton fan. Barton will start against an Everton side without madman Duncan Ferguson; be like Joey, mark the coupon with an X. The draw is available at 9/4.

The weekend specials:

"Kop idol" - Robbie Fowler to score and Liverpool to win 1-0 55/1
"Duncan disorderly" - Everton to have a player sent off 10/1
"Ash, bang wallop" - Dean Ashton to score a hat-trick 16/1
"Sutton for the weekend" - Chris Sutton to score and Birmingham to win 1-0 50/1
"Barton, think" - Joey Barton to be booked 7/4

Quote of the week:

"I feel like a kid waking up on Christmas morning."

Robbie Fowler: Racehorse owner, property magnate and excitable 30 year old.

Revelation of the week:

Robbie Savage's middle name is...Willy

Stat, you're a liberty:

It's a brave man that criticises Stuart Pearce; I am not a brave man. Man City have only won once away from home since August, it must be an anomaly.

Acc of the week:

Bolton, Blackburn, West Ham, Man Utd and Tottenham are the five good things on the coupon, the accer will pay out at 14/1.

Weekend Betting:

Birmingham v Arsenal Saturday 4th February 15.00

Birmingham 11/4
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 5/6

Get on: Draw

Liverpool and Man U had to settle for a point at St Andrews. After three consecutive 1-0 defeats on the road, the Gunners will be reasonably happy with a point.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 or 2-2 4/1

Bolton v Wigan Saturday 4th February 15.00

Bolton 10/11
Draw 9/4
Wigan 5/2

Get on: Bolton

It's been five months since a visiting team left the Reebok with three points. Wigan have only won two of their last nine matches away from home; chalk this one up to Big Sam.
Match Special:
Stelios to score at any time 2/1

Everton v Man City Saturday 4th February 15.00

Everton Evs
Draw 9/4
Man City 9/4

Get on: Draw

It's eight matches undefeated for the Toffeemen; City have only one won match on the road in five months. It's been 14 years since City left Goodison with three points, a tough match to call.
Match Special:
Match to finish 0-0 or 1-1 3/1

Middlesbrough v Aston Villa Saturday 4th February 15.00

Middlesbrough 11/8
Draw 2/1
Aston Villa 7/4

Get on: Aston Villa

Boro haven't won a league match at the Riverside since last November, the Villa are unbeaten in six on their travels.
Match Special:
Milan Baros to score two or more goals 7/1

Newcastle v Portsmouth Saturday 4th February 15.00

Newcastle 4/6
Draw 12/5
Portsmouth 7/2

Get on: Draw

Pompey have lost their last six on the road against Premiership opposition; the Geordies look an average outfit without Michael Owen. The last four matches between these two have been drawn, I spy another.
Match Special:
Alan Shearer not to score 4/6

West Brom v Blackburn Saturday 4th February 15.00

West Brom 6/4
Draw 11/5
Blackburn 6/4

Get on: Blackburn

Sunderland and Villa were the last two visitors to the Hawthorns, they both left with the points. Blackburn have won their last three on the road in the league, you can see that run continuing.
Match Special:
Pedersen to score the only goal of the game 45/1

West Ham v Sunderland Saturday 4th February 15.00

West Ham 4/7
Draw 12/5
Sunderland 9/2

Get on: West Ham

The Hammers have won five on the bounce, scoring two goals or more in each match. Sunderland are the worst team in the history of the Premiership.
Match Special:
Dean Ashton to score two or more goals 5/1

Man Utd v Fulham Saturday 4th February 17.15 Live on PPV

Man Utd 1/4
Draw 7/2
Fulham 10/1

Get on: Man Utd

Fulham will win away from home this season, but it won't be today. It's been over four months since a team left Old Trafford with more than a point, banker home win.
Match Special:
Van Nistelrooy to score a hat-trick 14/1

Tottenham v Charlton Sunday 5th February 13.30 Live on Sky

Tottenham 8/13
Draw 12/5
Charlton 4/1

Get on: Tottenham

Spurs are defending an impressive home record; the Champions are the only team to leave the Lane victorious. It's been three months since the Addicks won a league match away from home.
Match Special:
Danny Murphy to score from outside the penalty area 9/1

Chelsea v Liverpool Sunday 5th February 16.00 Live on Sky

Chelsea 8/11
Draw 11/5
Liverpool 7/2

Get on: Liverpool

It's now three matches without a win for the Champions, and six matches without a clean sheet. Seven of the last nine meetings between these two have produced one goal or less; the Pool can score, and one goal will be enough to take the points.
Match Special:
Liverpool to win 1-0 9/1

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 25 Jan 2006 22:52:16 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Whale Meat Again?

It's been a sad week for all animal lovers. When I heard that a huge mammal had to be rescued from the Thames, my initial reaction was to ring up McDonalds to check that the wife was OK. Unfortunately, the creature in question was a northern bottle-nosed whale. Bloody trouble making Northerners.

On a brighter note, there's money to be made on the weekend FA Cup football. Opposing Arsenal away from home this season has been a nice little earner; that trend looks set to continue as the Gunners visit Bolton.

The week started well for Wenger, the Arsenal board splashed out 12 million pound on an exciting teenager, that's more than Mark Oaten. The feel good factor quickly evaporated as a defeat at Goodison Park was followed by Carling Cup heartache. Arsenal were easily beaten in Bolton last month; with Wenger resting Henry, Lauren and Campbell, another Reebok shoeing awaits. Back Big Sam's men at 5/2.

Paul Scholes has been ruled out for the season due to blurred vision, maybe my mother was right.

Man U could be in a spot of bother when they travel to play a side managed by tambourine banger Glenn Hoddle. Paul Ince has no real opposition in the middle of the pitch, United are in poor form away from home and only an exceptional Reading team have left Molineux victorious since September. The ingredients are all there, let's put this bad boy in the oven. At 13/2, the Wolves are ready to pounce.

The match between West Ham and Blackburn will probably be the most exciting tie of the round. The signing of Dean Ashton was expensive business, £7m for a Canary seems high (I can get my hands on a whale for a monkey), but quality costs. These two have already met twice in the league; home advantage was the key in both games. The form of Benayoun edges me towards West Ham; the signing of Ashton clinches the deal. Pal up the Hammers at 5/4.

Stuart Pearce thinks it's stupid to suggest he should be considered a contender for the next England manager, and if Psycho says it, I wholeheartedly agree. A derby day win is a flimsy wallpaper for an out of sorts City; Wigan on the other hand are a lot like my wife, they refuse to lie down. The Latics are a confident choice at 2/1, well as confident as you can be on a match that involves Man City.

In the week that the FA confirmed that Sven will not last beyond the summer, long time talking-horse Steve McClaren looks to be on the verge of receiving his P45. The Boro team have been sent to Coventry to revive their season, it'll be an unhappy trip. Dennis Wise misses the tie due to a ban, taxi drivers throughout Coventry are appealing to the FA. Get on the draw at 9/4.

With Sven's allegations of corruption hogging the headlines, I feel obligated to confess the following; Charlton's forward line is completely Bent. Marcus is cup tied, but Darren can win the tie for the Addicks, the weekend good things at 2/7.

There's a handful of weekend specials, well a Jeremy Beadle handful.

"Back from the dead" - Wolves to win from behind 25/1
"Here O's" - Leyton Orient to score one goal or more 11/10
"Stinging the Blues" - Reading to score in both halves 11/4
"Remember the Whale" - Wayne Rooney to score a hat-trick 16/1

Quote of the week:

"There wasn't much in it, but he was clearly offside."

Trevor Francis: the reason why a mute button appears on a remote control.

Stat, you're a liberty:

The big guns are struggling. Man U haven't won any of their last five matches away from home; Arsenal have only scored one goal in five league matches on the road.

Acc of the week:

Aston Villa, Charlton, West Ham, Bolton and Liverpool are the five best bets on the coupon, the accer pays out at 18/1.

Weekend Betting:

Cheltenham v Newcastle Saturday 28th January 12.30 Live on BBC

Cheltenham 11/2
Draw 12/5
Newcastle 1/2

Get on: Draw

Newcastle's recent form: 1 point out of a possible 15. The Robins are flying high in league 2; you can't touch the Geordies at odds on.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 6/1

Aston Villa v Port Vale Saturday 28th January 15.00

Aston Villa 2/9
Draw 4/1
Port Vale 9/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Villa have drawn the Potteries side four times in the FA Cup, the Villa qualified at the first time of asking every time, scoring an impressive 18 goals. Only the Hammers have beaten the Villans since Man U left the Midlands with three points eight games ago. Banker home win.
Match Special:
Steve Davis to score at any time 5/2

Charlton v Leyton Orient Saturday 28th January 15.00

Charlton 2/7
Draw 7/2
Leyton Orient 8/1

Get on: Charlton

Charlton have scored exactly two goals in five of their last six home matches; dull, but true. The O's have scored 12 goals in their last five matches on the road; they can find the net, but it'll only be a consolation.
Match Special:
Darren Bent to score a hat-trick 12/1

Coventry v Middlesbrough Saturday 28th January 15.00

Coventry 7/4
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 5/4

Get on: Draw

Boro have conceded 12 goals in 3 games, even Nuneaton bagged a couple. Coventry put six past Derby in their last match, even at juicy odds against, you can't back the Boro.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Everton v Chelsea Saturday 28th January 15.00

Everton 11/2
Draw 11/4
Chelsea 4/9

Get on: Chelsea

The last five matches between these two have produced two goals or less. It's six consecutive wins on the road for the Champs; they couldn't win at Goodison in the league earlier in the season, they're due.
Match Special:
Chelsea to win 1-0 6/1

Man City v Wigan Saturday 28th January 15.00

Man City 11/10
Draw 9/4
Wigan 2/1

Get on: Wigan

Wigan are on a high after securing a date in Cardiff; Man City have just one win in six league matches. The Latics beat City 4-3 at the JJB last month; they're value for a repeat.
Match Special:
Jason Roberts to score two or more goals 8/1

Reading v Birmingham Saturday 28th January 15.00

Reading 6/5
Draw 9/4
Birmingham 9/5

Get on: Draw

It's now 29 matches undefeated in the league for the Royals, they're smoking. City's five goal demolition of Pompey will add a little confidence, they'll hold on for a draw.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

West Ham v Blackburn Saturday 28th January 15.00

West Ham 5/4
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 7/4

Get on: West Ham

Interestingly, West Ham have won their last three matches by a 2-1 scoreline. Blackburn lost at Upton Park earlier in the season, they're set for another Hammer blow.
Match Special:
Benayoun to score at any time 7/2

Bolton v Arsenal Saturday 28th January 17.40 Live on BBC

Bolton 5/2
Draw 9/4
Arsenal 10/11

Get on: Bolton

Bolton are unbeaten at the Reebok since August; the Gunners are struggling to find the net on the road. You've got to side with Big Sam.
Match Special:
Bolton to keep a clean sheet 9/4

Wolves v Man Utd Sunday 29th January 16.00 Live on Sky

Wolves 13/2
Draw 10/3
Man Utd 1/3

Get on: Wolves

Hoddle's men are unbeatable at home, Fergie's men are struggling to win away. A home win is the answer, with a little saver on the draw.
Match Special:
Paul Ince to score the only goal of the game 200/1

Portsmouth v Liverpool Sunday 29th January 18.00 Live on BBC

Portsmouth 9/2
Draw 12/5
Liverpool 4/7

Get on: Liverpool

Liverpool's loss at Old Trafford is there only reversal on the road for three months; and they were robbed. The stats say that Pompey have lost only one of their last five home matches, Gerry says get on the Pool.
Match Special:
Gerrard to score at any time 7/4

Gerry's Picks

Tue, 17 Jan 2006 22:33:14 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
Up a creek, without a Kanu

Here's something for all you trivia buffs; Steven Spielberg's masterpiece 'The Colour Purple' may well have been inspired by Sir Alex Ferguson. After last weeks derby shambles, Fergie's face was the brightest shade of purple since Barney overdosed on grapes and Ribena, in an unusually depressing episode of Barney & Friends. Somebody will pay for Fergie's bruised ego, that somebody is Liverpool.

The Scousers may be Champions of Europe, but they're still not amongst the domestic elite. Their recent form looks impressive at first glance, but dig a little deeper and you'll discover that their opposition were easier to beat than Joe Cole. Their record against the big 3 this season is dismal; played four, won zero. A wounded Man U are a dangerous animal and the Pool are easy prey. Get on at even money.

Bookmakers were excited to hear of the training ground spat between Van Nistelrooy and Ronaldo. One leading odds compiler immediately offered 8/13 Van Nistelrooy in the ruck; explaining that a horse should always be favoured over a one trick pony. Van the man should be backed at 5/4 to score against the Reds.

Arsenal are what is known in the betting industry as a nailed on, in the bag, raging certainty. After hitting Boro for seven, they travel to Goodison to play a side they walloped 7-0 just last year; the Gunners are the weekend nap at 8/13. Alexander Hleb broke his goal scoring duck for Arsenal last weekend, the RSPCA have been informed. Goals are like buses, the Belarusian is 9/2 to repeat the feat against the Toffeemen.

Sam Allardyce was not a happy bunny after last weeks draw with Blackburn, he whipped out a set of stats that suggested Mike Riley favoured the team playing at home. Next week; Big Sam hints that the Earth may revolve around the Sun. Here's another obvious fact, get on Bolton at 6/5 to beat Man City. Trevor Sinclair believes that scoring a goal is better than sex, he must know my wife. Trevor's boys will find goals hard to come by at the Reebok, back Bolton to keep a clean sheet at 7/4.

West Brom are odds on for relegation, their best player is away at the African Nations Cup and they blew a 2-0 lead against a Championship team before being booted out of the FA Cup in midweek. The better bettor knows the first rule in Premiership punting is to avoid Sunderland; at 4/1 against a depleted West Brom, meet the exception to the rule.

It's been a turbulent couple of weeks for Joe Cole, the future of English football. First, Jose threatened to drop him from the first team due to showboating; then a misunderstanding over a page 3 model led to Cole receiving two black eyes. Young Joe may have had his knockers, but he's worth an interest at 13/8 to score against Charlton, or at 7/1 to bag a nice pair.

A pensioner from Tyne & Wear passed on last week after Newcastle lost away at Fulham. I was shocked to hear that Graeme Souness' team selection was a factor; the police said it was an assisted Souey side. Some doubt the existence of zombies; yet Souness is undoubtedly a dead man walking. Blackburn have this Toon nailed; get on at 9/5.

The always popular weekend specials return.

"Big brother" - Gary Neville to score with a header 50/1
"Celebrity big brother" - Rio Ferdinand to score with a header 22/1
"Barry Moore" - Gareth Barry and Luke Moore both to score 20/1
"Pool Balls" - Liverpool not to score 5/4

Quote of the week:

"You f...... cheating b......, you'll need a police escort to get out of here."

Sir Alex Ferguson is quite amiable to Steve Bennett.

Gibberish of the week:

"They've got injuries to come back, which they'll obviously be looking forward to and are desperate for."

Graeme Le Saux loses the plot.

Stat, you're a liberty:

The busiest goal keeper in the Premiership is...Thomas Sorensen. The Villa keeper has made 72 saves in the Premiership, a whopping 10% clear of his nearest rival, Shay Given.

Acc of the week:

Arsenal, Birmingham, Man Utd and a Middlesbrough draw make the weekend accer; the 4 fold pays 19/1.

Weekend Betting:

Everton v Arsenal Saturday 21st January 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Everton 7/2
Draw 13/5
Arsenal 8/13

Get on: Arsenal

Arsenal have won their last four matches against the Toffees, scoring 16 goals in the process. They've warmed up nicely for this one.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score a hat-trick 14/1

Birmingham v Portsmouth Saturday 21st January 15.00

Birmingham 10/11
Draw 9/4
Portsmouth 5/2

Get on: Birmingham

Birmingham's last three matches at St Andrew's were Fulham, Wigan and Man U, the Blues earned seven points. It's five consecutive defeats away from home in the league for Pompey.
Match Special:
Birmingham to win 1-0 6/1

Bolton v Man City Saturday 21st January 15.00

Bolton 6/5
Draw 11/5
Man City 15/8

Get on: Bolton

It's two clean sheets on the bounce for Bolton; City have taken one point out of a possible nine on the road in recent weeks. A home win is the answer.
Match Special:
Stelios to score at any time 15/8

Middlesbrough v Wigan Saturday 21st January 15.00

Middlesbrough 6/5
Draw 9/4
Wigan 9/5

Get on: Draw

Boro are without a league win since November, it's three league defeats on the bounce for the Latics; a paint dryer awaits.
Match Special:
No Goalscorer in the match 8/1

Newcastle v Blackburn Saturday 21st January 15.00

Newcastle 6/5
Draw 9/4
Blackburn 9/5

Get on: Blackburn

Newcastle's recent form is dire; they've earned just 1 point out of 12. It's seven matches unbeaten in all competitions for Blackburn, you can't argue with those stats.
Match Special:
Pedersen to score at any time 2/1

Tottenham v Aston Villa Saturday 21st January 15.00

Tottenham 8/13
Draw 12/5
Aston Villa 4/1

Get on: Aston Villa

Tottenham have lost their last two matches, including a capitulation to a mediocre Leicester side. It's only one defeat in six matches for the Villa; I smell value.
Match Special:
Aston Villa to score two or more goals 10/3

West Brom v Sunderland Saturday 21st January 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

West Brom 4/7
Draw 13/5
Sunderland 4/1

Get on: Sunderland

Sunderland's recent form is better than the bare stats suggest. They've lost three of the last four, but all by a single goal. The Baggies equalised in the 90th minute at the Stadium of Light, revenge will be sweet for the Mackems.
Match Special:
Julio Arca to score at any time 9/2

Chelsea v Charlton Sunday 22nd January 13.30 Live on Sky

Chelsea 1/6
Draw 9/2
Charlton 12/1

Get on: Chelsea

It's ten consecutive league victories for Chelsea; Charlton have lost their last four matches on their travels in the league. It's definitely not brain surgery.
Match Special:
Chelsea to score a penalty 6/1

Man Utd v Liverpool Sunday 22nd January 16.00 Live on Sky

Man Utd Evs
Draw 2/1
Liverpool 5/2

Get on: Man Utd

United have won their last three league matches at Old Trafford by three or more goals. Arsenal and Chelsea have both seen great runs of form end at Old Trafford; a similar fate awaits Liverpool.
Match Special:
Van Nistelrooy to score two or more goals 11/2

West Ham v Fulham Monday 23rd January 20.00 Live on Sky

West Ham Evs
Draw 9/4
Fulham 9/4

Get on: Draw

The Hammers have won their last two on the road, but lost their last four at Upton Park. Fulham are magnificent at home but useless away. Something's gotta give.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Wed, 11 Jan 2006 18:59:58 +0000

Mark's Picks

Thu, 05 Jan 2006 00:02:02 +0000
by Mark Henderson from bet365
Take A Chance On Wild Rovers And White Hot Laners!
Those people who say anyone can win the FA Cup are, of course, correct but history tends to point to the usual suspects. The last 10 FA Cup Finals have all been won by either Man Utd (4/1 with bet365 for this year's competition), Chelsea (3/1), Arsenal (11/2) or Liverpool (9/1). In the 1980's there were 7 different winners, and 9 in the 70's. This just confirms the dominance of the 'big 4' and it's no surprise to see all four teams' head this year's betting.

It's often hard to see past the favourites, but Tottenham look a standout bet at best-priced 14/1, considering their excellent league form. Spurs have a comfortable looking tie at Leicester in the third round, (9/2 Leicester, 4/7 Spurs and 5/2 the draw - Live on BBC1), but have the makings of an excellent cup team. They're difficult to beat and will believe they have a genuine opportunity of winning this trophy. Another team who look overpriced are Blackburn at 50/1. Mark Hughes has quietly moved Rovers up to eighth in the Premiership, and have a home tie against QPR (2/5 Blackburn, 6/1 QPR and 3/1 the draw). When you consider they're double the price of Middlesbrough (25/1 - 16th) and three times bigger than Newcastle (14/1 - 11th), that has to be value, but be quick. The 50/1 is the biggest price among all UK bookmakers so it may not last!

FA Cup Picks:
Tottenham to win the FA Cup @ 14/1
Blackburn to win the FA Cup @ 50/1

Pool Of Talent Will Be Too Much For Hatters
With every Premiership team taking on lower league opposition, there's bound to be a shock or two. The key is, of course, to avoid those banana skins (Remember Exeter last year?). Man Utd take on non-league opposition again this year, but can't really be backed at 1/14 nor can they realistically be opposed. Liverpool (2/5) travel to Luton (6/1) for Saturday's live game (17.30 BBC1) and should record an easy win. After their good start to the season, Luton have nosedived, losing nine of their last 13 games. Liverpool's excellent form has been well-documented and an early goal could see the Reds win at a canter. In games where they've led at half time, Liverpool have won every time (7 out of 7) and they're 10/11 to do it again.

Live Game Pick: Half-time/Full-time - Liverpool/Liverpool @ 10/11

On Sunday, Tottenham travel to Leicester (18.30 BBC1) and the 4/7 about Spurs is giving money away. The Foxes are struggling in the Championship and have suffered home defeats to the likes of Luton, Cardiff and Burnley already this season. Leicester can be backed at 9/2 to win this game, but Craig Levein will be more concerned with maintaining Leicester's Championship status than putting together a cup run in a competition which ultimately they can't win. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out 14 exciting live 'In-Play' markets.

Live Game Pick: Double: Liverpool (2/5) & Tottenham (4/7)

FA Cup 3rd round weekend is notoriously tough. It is one of the most difficult weekends to make money because there are more short-priced teams than normal, and there's always at least one team that hangs on for an unlikely draw. Seven Premiership teams are 1/5 or shorter, and backing all seven equates to about 8/11, so we're going to have to look elsewhere for value.

Everton (4/5) look a decent price to turn Millwall over. The Lions have the worst home record in the Championship and Everton's record suggests they're better away from home. Millwall may have won their last 2, but they were against lowly Derby and Brighton and prior to that, they'd won only one of their previous 17. This game comes at a time when Everton are starting to turn the corner, with influential midfielder Tim Cahill hitting form, scoring 3 in his last 2 games.

Another standout bet is League One highfliers Brentford to beat League Two's bottom club Stockport at 10/11. Stockport have won only twice all season, and recent results include 6-0 defeats to Macclesfield and Carlisle. Brentford have suffered only one defeat in their last nine, and have been hovering near the top of League One all season. Stockport managed the shock of round 1 by beating Swansea, but it's very unlikely they could manage a repeat against Martin Allen's side.

Of course, there's always a chance one of the minnows could cling on for a draw and you'd do your cash. If you're feeling cautious there's always our 'draw no bet' coupon, or even the Asian Handicap, which is becoming more popular every week.

Our FA Cup Accumulator pays £188.94 for £25, but you can always add on the likes of Chelsea (1/20), Man Utd (1/14) and Arsenal (1/10) to boost the return, but be wary of Exeter's incredible achievement at Old Trafford last year. Surely that can't happen again. Can it?

FA Cup Accumulator: Liverpool, Tottenham, Everton and Brentford pays £188.94 (£25 Stake) at bet365

Nigels Picks

Thu, 22 Dec 2005 08:15:33 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
FOOTBALL
*********
FEAST YOUR EYES ON THIS LOT...
A buffet-style Boxing Day feast awaits us with a full league programme guaranteed to tempt even the most jaded palettes. Of course, with so many games to choose from, it would be easy to get carried way on a tide of port and brandy, so we need to be selective. And, like a box of chocolates, the Premiership has something for everyone, with several home 'bankers', and a few games that require a little more chewing over.

A lazy punt would be to combine the likes of Chelsea (1/5), Man United (2/9), Tottenham (1/2) and Arsenal (8/11) in accumulators and, with our Premiership Accumulator Bonus, you can at least be assured of getting some additional value (up to 60% more). A £50 four-fold on the big three will return you just under £200 at the current prices, and that includes a bet365 bonus of 5%. If you're happy to place singles, you might even beat those prices when the games go In-Play, especially on the likes of Chelsea, who've made a habit of winning their games late on. All but Spurs are live on TV, which means we'll be offering up to 14 Live markets.

BACK CHELSEA AT EVENS!...
However, at the short prices on offer, you're just as likely to collect by backing them to win by a couple of goals or more on our Asian Handicap. This form of betting consistently throws up some excellent value, particularly as we bet to just 102%, and you're going to get more back than by having just a straight win bet. Taking United as an example, a bet on them at 1.90 (10/11) will cop if they win the game by three goals or more. If they win by only two clear goals, you're still going to win (half your stake times the price, with the other half returned). The same applies to Chelsea (Evens), and you've got to fancy them to score well against Fulham. This might be a local derby, but the Blues are on a different planet.

Asian Handicap Picks: United (-1 ¾) @ 1.90 / Chelsea (-1 ¾) @ 2.00

LIVERPOOL V NEWCASTLE - 4/6 REDS TO SPOIL OWEN'S RETURN...
Boxing Day, 3.00 ko, live on Sky Prem Plus...
As far as entertainment goes, the game at Anfield looks the pick of the programme and, with the all the hype surrounding the return of Michael Owen, we're serving up a host of specials to mark the occasion. The Reds are favourites to win the game at 4/6, but the best bet could be on the 'Total Goals' instead. The Liverpool defence is proving to be impenetrable right now while, despite their strike force of Owen and Shearer, the Newcastle attack is producing only average results (Newcastle 9/2, Draw 12/5).

Live Game Pick: 'Under' 2.5 Goals @ 4/6 - Bet Live In-Play

CROUCH TO OUTSCORE OWEN @ 5/2...
That also makes our 5/2 on Crouch to outscore Owen look attractive, which would have been unthinkable a couple weeks ago. The pair are 5/1 and 13/2 respectively to score the first goal in the game and, remember, if they don't score first, but go on to score the last goal in the game instead, we'll give you your money back. Of course, the rumour about Owen returning to Anfield for good next summer refuses to go away and, if you believe he'll be pulling on a red shirt at the beginning of next season, you'll be accommodated at 6/1 here at bet365.

Michael Owen Specials (Must start for bets to stand):

1st goal 13/2
Score anytime 7/4
Score 2 or more 9
Hat trick 50
Booked 10
Sent off 66

Goal Match Bet

Owen 10/3
Tie 4/6
Crouch 5/2

WOLVES TO DRAW COMFORT AT 21/10...
In the Championship, the top two teams both face potentially tricky Boxing Day ties, and we can cash in by backing the draw in each instance. Reading are romping away from the pack, but they could come unstuck against draw specialists Wolves, who are a hard side to score against. Only Sheffield United have conceded fewer goals at home this season. The Blades are short of strikers due to injuries, and could be kept in check by a resurgent Norwich side who've won back-to-back games and look to be on the upgrade. A double on the two draws pays out £102.30 for a tenner.

Boxing Day Championship Picks: Wolves & Sheffield United to Draw @ 21/10 & 23/10 respectively

Nigels Picks

Wed, 14 Dec 2005 00:04:51 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
IT'S THE CHELSEA LATE SHOW...
Sunday December 18th, 4.00 ko, live on Sky Sports 1...
Arsenal will have their backers based on their 100 percent home record, but that has to be seen in the context of their previous opponents, none of whom were from the current top seven in the table. Successive away defeats (without scoring) against Bolton and Newcastle don't exactly inspire confidence either, so does that mean we should be lumping on Chelsea at 6/4. They're certainly going to be hard to beat. Their only defeat of the season came at Man United on November 6th, since when they've not even conceded a goal, let alone dropped a point.

If you are going to back them, it might be worth backing the Draw / Chelsea double result instead at 9/2. This combination has already come up trumps nine times in the Premiership, while Chelsea have yet to concede in the second half this season. However, the best bet looks to be 'under' goals at 8/11. Mourinho's main priority will be to deny Arsenal any chance to grab the points and cut into the massive Chelsea lead, which means scoring opportunities could be at a premium. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 exciting live 'In-Play' markets.

bet365 latest match prices... Arsenal 15/8, Draw 21/10, Chelsea 6/4

Arsenal v Chelsea Picks:

Draw / Chelsea @ 9/2
Under 2.5 Goals @ 8/11

TOFFEES TO NICK THE POINTS AT 2.10...
There won't be many goals in the Everton vs Bolton game either (currently 4/6 'under'). Nine of Bolton's last 11 games have been 'under', while Everton's home games average 1.33 goals, and a single goal for the home side could well be enough to nick the points. They've already beaten Bolton this season, and are playing much better now with three wins - plus a draw with Chelsea - from their last five games. They go into our Premiership acca this weekend along with Wigan, who are fancied to get back to winning ways against Charlton.

Charlton broke a losing run of their own last weekend, but that was against Sunderland and their defence still can't be trusted. Prior to last Saturday, the Addicks hadn't kept a clean sheet in 13 games, and the likes of Jason Roberts and Henri Camara should have no trouble finding a way through. Wigan certainly haven't been disgraced in their recent defeats, and this looks a great opportunity to get back to winning ways. Roberts is 11/2 to score first in the game, and that doesn't look bad value considering we'll give your money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead.

Fulham are not obvious acca material based on their lowly position in the table, but a glance at their home performances tells a different story. Chris Coleman's side have already accounted for Liverpool, Man City and Bolton at Craven Cottage this season, and Saturday's opponents, Blackburn, are no bigger threats than those teams. Besides, Blackburn's away form is one of the least impressive in the Premiership, which makes the case for including Fulham even stronger.

Remarkably, there are only two odds-on chances on the coupon this weekend. Man City (4/5) should batter a poor Birmingham side, but Man United (8/11) can't be trusted right now, and are potential 'banana skins' away at Aston Villa. Instead, we'll stick to Everton, Wigan, Fulham and Man City, safe in the knowledge that we're nicking a bit of extra value with our Premiership Accumulator Bonus (up to 60% extra every weekend). In fact, I wouldn't put anyone off backing Villa, getting a half-goal start on our Asian Handicap (currently 2.10). This form of betting consistently throws up some excellent value, particularly as we bet to just 102%.

Weekend Best Bets:

Everton to beat Bolton @ 11/10
Wigan to beat Charlton @ 5/4
Fulham to beat Blackburn @ 13/10
Aston Villa @ 2.10 (+1/2, Asian Handicap)
5-fold: Everton, Wigan, Fulham, Man City - pays out £513.49 (£25 stake), which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%

Gerry's Picks

Tue, 06 Dec 2005 19:54:12 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
The Lying, the Hitch and the Gnawed Lobe

Often in the past, I've been accused of being over careful with money. I refute this allegation, only last week I forked out more than a fiver on the wife's Christmas present. But why should I spend a fortune taking the little ones to see the new movie 'Narnia', when for no cost I can share 'The chronicles of Harry Redknapp', an epic fantasy adventure.

It's a tale so ridiculous, any movie executive worth his white powder would have laughed out loud before binning the script. Harry managed Portsmouth, walked out, joined their fierce rivals, then marched the Saints out of the Premiership. A few mistruths, a snag or two and a word in the ear from Frank Lampard Senior later, and Harry is Frattonising with Pompey once again. You couldn't make it up.

Every team in the country would fancy their chances against the Portsmouth circus this weekend, the computer has generously handed Spurs the three points. Tottenham at 4/9 are the weekend nap.

Some credit the form of Stevie Gerrard for Liverpool's excellent recent run of results; others believe Peter Crouch's battle against adversity has inspired his team-mates to greater heights. Personally, i put it down to Harry Kewell elbowing his Mrs to the other side of the World.

Liverpool's improved form can be directly linked to Harry's other half being 10,000 miles away in a rat infested hell-hole; Australia.

Kewell never saw eye to eye with antipodean compatriot Mark Viduka when both played for Leeds, possibly because of Harry's pro-podean beliefs. Harry's 5/2 to outscore Viduka on Saturday, a decent looking bet considering Liverpool's water-tight defence.

May I be one of the first to congratulate Peter Crouch on opening his goal scoring account for the Reds. Crouch's strike was welcomed by thousands of punters across the land, but it's not all good news, it means we're in for another three months of winter. Crouchy can be backed at 11/8 to score at any time against Boro, as the 8/15 Pool take all three points.

Newcastle were outplayed by an average Villa team last weekend; imagine what an on song Arsenal could do. The Gunners are a great bet at Even money, they're literally a re-mortgage job if Michael Owen is ruled out. Graeme Souness is fighting for his life as the manager of the Toon; the fat lady is clearing her throat.

Birmingham City are going to absurd lengths to try to record their first home win of the season, Emile Heskey even tried a Diego Maradona impression against the Hammers last week, or 'The hand of God-awful' as it should be christened. Fulham are the latest visitors to St Andrews who are guaranteed at least a point; back the draw at 11/5.

Put these weekend specials on your shopping list:

"Nuts" - Alan Shearer to score with a header 13/2
"Ketchup" - Man Utd to win from behind 6/1
"Crackers" - Wayne Rooney to score two or more goals 7/2
"A pear" - Thierry Henry to score two or more goals 5/1
"Te Bags" - Vaz Te to score at any time 7/4

Quote of the week:

"I've stuck by my job for five or six weeks, I've done well."

Paul Gascoigne should stay away from reporters.

Q & A of the week:

Sky Sports reporter Geoff Shreeves to Stuart Pearce:
"Danny Mills has been dropped from the squad, can you tell us why?"

Psycho:
"He's broke his leg"

Stat, you're a liberty:

Liverpool and Everton have scored a total of 25 league goals between them this season; Celtic have scored more than that away from home.

Acc of the week:

Liverpool, Sunderland, Chelsea, Arsenal and Tottenham make up the weekend accer; this cheeky little 5 fold pays out at 28/1.

Weekend Betting:

Liverpool v Middlesbrough Saturday 10th December 12.45 Live on Sky

Liverpool 8/15
Draw 12/5
Middlesbrough 5/1

Get on: Liverpool

Liverpool have kept a clean sheet in their last nine matches in all competitions. The Boro haven't won at Anfield for nigh on 30 years, it's not rocket science.
Match Special:
Peter Crouch to score the first goal 5/1

Birmingham v Fulham Saturday 10th December 15.00

Birmingham 6/5
Draw 11/5
Fulham 15/8

Get on: Draw

Fulham have a great record at St Andrew's, three wins and three draws from their last six visits. Blues can't win at home, Fulham can't win away. Draw.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Blackburn v West Ham Saturday 10th December 15.00

Blackburn 10/11
Draw 9/4
West Ham 5/2

Get on: Draw

Blackburn go goal crazy at home to the Hammers, they've scored 25 goals in the last 7 meetings. West Ham are playing well away from home, score draw.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Bolton v Aston Villa Saturday 10th December 15.00

Bolton 4/5
Draw 9/4
Aston Villa 3/1

Get on: Bolton

Bolton are practically ensured a goal start due to a Ridgewell handball, it's a home win.
Match Special:
Bolton to win 1-0 6/1

Charlton v Sunderland Saturday 10th December 15.00

Charlton 4/7
Draw 12/5
Sunderland 9/2

Get on: Sunderland
It's six defeats on the bounce for Charlton and they haven't kept a clean sheet for 13 matches. Sunderland have never lost at the Valley in the Premiership; 9/2 should tempt.
Match Special:
Sunderland to score two or more goals 10/3

Chelsea v Wigan Saturday 10th December 15.00

Chelsea 1/5
Draw 4/1
Wigan 11/1

Get on: Chelsea

Chelsea were extremely lucky to beat Wigan on the opening day, you can take fortune out of the equation here. Home banker.
Match Special:
Chelsea to win 2-0 11/2

West Brom v Man City Saturday 10th December 15.00

West Brom 7/4
Draw 9/4
Man City 5/4

Get on: Man City

The Baggies are unbeaten in three in the league, but City's demolition of Charlton makes them worthy favourites.
Match Special:
Man City to score three or more goals 9/2

Newcastle v Arsenal Saturday 10th December 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Newcastle 9/4
Draw 9/4
Arsenal Evs

Get on: Arsenal

Newcastle haven't scored against the Gunners in 6 hours and 20 minutes of football. It'll be all over Soun.
Match Special:
Arsenal to score three or more goals 7/2

Man Utd v Everton Sunday 11th December 16.00 Live on Sky

Man Utd 2/7
Draw 7/2
Everton 8/1

Get on: Draw

Everton took four points from Man U last season and can be confident of nicking another. It's four wins out of five for the Moyes Boys, United have a European hangover and Van Nistelrooy misses the match through suspension. A coupon buster is on the cards.
Match Special:
No goal scorer in the match 10/1

Tottenham v Portsmouth Monday 12th December 20.00 Live on Sky

Tottenham 4/9
Draw 13/5
Portsmouth 6/1

Get on: Tottenham

Pompey have lost their last four without finding the net and they concede 3.5 goals a game when they travel to the Lane in the Premiership. Robbie Keane is the hottest striker in the Premiership, as Edgar Davids discovered last week. Home win.
Match Special:
Robbie Keane to score two or more goals 9/2

Mark's Picks

Thu, 24 Nov 2005 00:44:14 +0000
by Mark Henderson
Nigel is on holiday this week so Mark is writing the picks from bet365
FOOTBALL
********
CHELSEA TO DISAPPEAR INTO THE BLUE YONDER @ 10/3
Sa Nov 26 - 5.15 ko (PremPlus)
Chelsea look the bankers of the weekend, as they travel to struggling Portsmouth. Even Perry Mason couldn't make a case for Pompey, who have failed to win at home so far this season. Chelsea's mini dip in form was exorcised last week when they beat Newcastle 3-0 (Joe Cole's a tasty 7/1 to score first again), but they had to wait until the second half to break down the Magpies defence. This shouldn't have come as a surprise though. In Chelsea's 11 wins so far this season, they have failed to lead at halftime on six occasions.

In contrast, Pompey tend to be stronger in the first half. Despite their poor results, they have only been behind at the break five times in thirteen games, and that includes the Sunderland match where they came back to win 4-1. I can see Portsmouth hanging on until half-time, maybe by parking the team bus in front of goal, but once their defence is breached, it could open the floodgates. Better teams than Pompey have been blown away by the Blue Machine this year, and there's an attractive 21/20 about Chelsea giving up a goal start.

Live Game Pick:
Draw Half-time / Chelsea Full-time @ 10/3
Chelsea to win 3-0 @ 8/1

BLUES TO PUNCH SUNDERLAND'S LIGHTS OUT @ 7/4
Last week was only the third occasion that the 'big three' all won on the same weekend this season, but it could be more of the same this time around. We've already outlined Chelsea's credentials, and Arsenal (4/11) look hard to resist at home to Blackburn. The Gunners have a 100% record at Highbury this season and have conceded only twice.

Blackburn (8/1) did manage the upset of the season so far, turning over Manchester United at Old Trafford in September, but it may be asking too much of them to repeat that feat. Manchester United (8/11) make up the 'big three' trio, and should have too much for inconsistent West Ham. The Hammers (4/1) have never beaten United in the Premiership at Upton Park, and this game may have just come at the wrong time for Alan Pardew's men, as United look to be running into form. They'll be disappointed with the result against Villarreal in midweek, but the Spanish came with a game plan and weren't looking for anything other than the draw. On the balance of play, United were unlucky not to get anything out of the game. It wasn't that long ago we were all wondering how long Fergie could hang on to his job for, but wins against Chelsea and Charlton have sent a clear message to the rest of the Premiership that United are back.

Birmingham can give Steve Bruce a much-needed boost by overcoming Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Both of these teams have lost five in a row, but Birmingham will be the more optimistic going into this match. The Blues possess players of genuine Premiership class, but the same can't be said for Sunderland. Relegation rivals Portsmouth and Aston Villa both visited Wearside recently, and both left with maximum points, and the 7/4 about Birmingham looks too good to miss. The Black Cats (6/4 to win on
Saturday) are without a home win all season, and there's been nothing in recent weeks to suggest a change in fortune is just around the corner. A £25 acca on our four fancied teams pays out £229.65, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% available every weekend).

Premiership Accumulator:
Chelsea, Arsenal, Man Utd & Birmingham - pays £229.65 (£25 Stake)

Bet with bet365

Man Utd v Villarreal, Anderlecht v Chelsea

Sun, 20 Nov 2005 22:56:10 +0000
Chelsea/ Man U Double.
Chelsea's away form in the Champions League is really bad. I can't off the top of my head remember the last match they won away. Against Betis, they were terrible. So why I am backing them this time? They need to win this for qualification to the knock out stages to be in their own hands. The 'need to win' arguement is used far too often. Teams, usually need to win because they are rubbish so can't perform when they 'need to win'. I don't think Chelsea has this problem though for obvious reasons. Anderlecht are 0-0-4 so far, scoring exactly zero goals in the process. They have nothing to play for. A place in the UEFA Cup is probably beyond them now. This is my strongest pick of the round.

Man U also need to win against Villarreal also. A loss could see them out of the Champions League. Last time out they lost to Lille but that was when they were going though a bad patch. The win against Chelsea and then Charlton would have done their confidence no end of good. Villarreals away form is pretty good in Europe - unbeaten in nine matches in Europe away from home. Most of these I expect were in the UEFA Cup though. Villarreal have key players out for this match, Diego Forlan, Juan Roman Riquelme and their captain Quique Alvarez. If United can beat Chelsea at Old Trafford then they should be able to see off a weaken Villarreal.

I wouldn't touch such low odds seperately but when put in to a double, the odds are quite reasonable. You can get 2.27 at bet365.

Nigels Picks

Sun, 13 Nov 2005 20:13:17 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
LAST WEEK'S PICKS - ENGLAND (7/4), SWITZERLAND (13/10) & CZECH REPUBLIC
(7/5) ALL WON!

ENGLAND NOW 7/1 FOR WORLD CUP GLORY
England staged a remarkable comeback to clinch a thrilling 3-2 victory over Argentina last weekend to earn a cut in the World Cup odds from 8/1 to 7/1. The result wasn't unexpected, and the Three Lions were well-backed (and tipped up) at 7/4, but what was more surprising was the fact that we got to see a competitive friendly and, as a result, there was plenty of betting action via bet365's live 'In-Play Console'. With only three minutes to go, England were trading at 25/1 (Argentina 1/20), while they were also a very backable 14/1 after Argentina had gone 1-0 up after 34 minutes.

However, it's easy to get carried away with this result, which means nothing in terms of the World Cup, and if a further reality check were needed, Brazil were showing why they're 3/1 favourites with an 8-0 thrashing of UAE. If England are to go all the way, they'll need the defending champions to have an off-day or two, which is always possible given the unpredictable nature of knockout football. A few more goals from Saturday's hero, Michael Owen would help too, and he's 15/8 with bet365 to be top England scorer (Rooney 4/1).

However, England and Brazil were not the only market movers at the weekend, with Italy cut into 10/1 from 11/1 after their 3-1 victory over Holland. The Dutch were missing a few players, but this was still an impressive performance from Italy's new-look forward partnership of Luca Toni and Alberto Gilardino. There were also play-off victories for Spain, who were chopped into 16/1 from 20/1, and the Czech Republic (20/1 from 33/1). However, anyone looking for a long-shot at this stage might want to consider Serbia at 66/1. The Serbs finished above Spain in qualifying, conceding just one goal in the process, and they may be able to do a Greece!

Ante Post Pick: Serbia & Montenegro @ 66/1

bet365 World Cup prices ... Brazil 3/1, Argentina, Germany, England 7/1, Holland 9/1, Italy, France 10/1, others on bet365 website.

LATICS ARE VALUE AT 10/3
Sa Nov 19 - 12.45 ko (SS1)
Back in the Premiership, Wigan's success story has been one of the stories of the season, and a very profitable one for 'in the game' readers who've latched on. However, Saturday's visit by Arsenal will be one of their toughest tests so far, and many will be expecting their golden run of six straight wins to come to an end. After a difficult start, Arsene Wenger's side are beginning to find the net regularly, winning eight of their last nine in all competitions, but they're priced accordingly at 4/5. As a consequence, Paul Jewell's side are probably a shade too big at 7/2, and are worth a small bet at that price, but more significant support getting a half-goal start on the Asian handicap (currently 2.05). Obviously, the Gunners will be a different proposition to the likes of Portsmouth and Fulham, but the Latics are on a roll and weren't disgraced against Chelsea on the opening day of the season. Three months on, they haven't lost since, having conceded just three times in the last eleven (none in the last five), and scoring at least once every time. Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 exciting live 'In-Play' markets.

Live Game Pick:Wigan @ 7/2

Whether we've got the confidence to put Wigan in our Premiership acca is another thing, the cornerstone of which has to be Chelsea at home to Newcastle. After two defeats on the bounce against Real Betis and Man Utd, Chelsea should be fired up for this, and Newcastle, who were lucky to overcome Birmingham 1-0 at St James', could be on the wrong end of a thrashing (Chelsea to win 3-0, 8/1).

Liverpool have bounced back from their Carling Cup defeat by Palace, and the 2-0 win at Aston Villa suggests that they'll have no trouble seeing off Portsmouth, who've won just four games in 20 matches under manager Alain Perrin (8/11 in our 'Sack Race' betting). With little confidence in our odds-on quotes for both Man United and Middlesbrough, our weekend acca is completed by Bolton (7/4) and Tottenham (4/6). A £25 acca on our four fancied team pays out £228.74, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5% (up to 60% available every weekend).

Suggested Premiership Acca:

Chelsea, Liverpool, Bolton, Tottenham - pays £228.74 (£25 stake) at bet365

bet365

Nigels Picks

Tue, 08 Nov 2005 08:05:47 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
LAST WEEK'S PICKS - BLACKBURN, NEWCASTLE & WEST HAM ALL WON!

ENGLAND 7/4 TO BARGE PAST ARGENTINA
Sa Nov 12 - 4.45 pm ko
There may be nothing at stake on Saturday but, given the fierce rivalry between the two teams, this match is unlikely to be played like a friendly (bet live in-Play on up to 14 markets!). And with neither side rock solid at the back, and key defenders missing, we can expect some goals ('over' 2.5 goals comes in at 8/11 here at bet365).

As regards an outright bet on the game, neither England's poor record in friendlies and Argentina's recent away form inspires much confidence but, if you must bet on the result, the value could lie with England at 7/4. England aren't the only team looking to rebuild their reputation with a win here against their old rivals. Since qualifying comfortably, the Argies have suffered three successive away defeats, the last two coming after a 3-1 win over Brazil in Buenos Aires. That inconsistency, along with the absence of some key players (Lionel Messi is suspended), makes Argentina opposable. The fixture should at least give us an indication of England's chances next summer, but even a victory against their old foes is unlikely to see a change in their current price of 8/1.

Live Game Pick: England @ 7/4

bet365 latest World Cup prices ... Brazil 3/1, Argentina, Germany 13/2, England 8/1, Italy, Holland, France 10/1, Spain 18/1, others on bet365 website.

SWISS TO ROLL TURKS OVER AT 13/10
Of course, betting in friendlies isn't everyone's cup of tea, which is why we'll be concentrating our main bets this weekend on the World Cup Play Offs. Turkey are as short as 4/7 to qualify against Switzerland (5/4), but they'll look to do their winning on home soil, so there's a good case for backing the Swiss at 13/10 on Saturday. The Swiss were sold in qualifying (no-one managed to actually beat them), and they'll have to get a result on home soil to have any chance of making it to Germany.

As with Euro 2004, the underachieving Spaniards are seeking qualification by the backdoor, and they must now unlock a stubborn defence which has kept five clean sheets in their last six games. The Slovaks will be happy to take a draw back east, and that looks the most likely result at 10/3, while they can be backed with a degree of confidence at 1.825 on the Asians getting a goal and a half start. In the other game, the Czech Republic should be too good for a Norwegian side, who were flattered to finish second to Italy in a weak group.

World Cup Play Off Picks:

Switzerland to beat Turkey @ 13/10
Slovakia to draw with Spain @ 10/3 (Asian Handicap @ 1.825) Czech Republic to beat Norway @ 7/5

Bet with bet365

Gerry's Picks

Thu, 03 Nov 2005 08:00:41 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
The bubble boy

Even a betting genius can occasionally have a bad week. After receiving an ultimatum from the wife, "It's either betting or me." I immediately had a lumpy bet on Chelsea to beat Betis. To make matters even worse, the threat turned out to be very much like the wife; idle.

Sir Alex Ferguson has also had a week he'd rather forget. On a disastrous trip to the Riverside, United found themselves 3-0 down at half-time. Fergie turned the hair-dryer up to full blast, but the players were just as wet in the 2nd half.

Two days later, a Roy Keane interview severely criticised Rio, Fletcher, Miller, O'Shea, Richardson and Alan Smith, he obviously forgot about Paul Scholes.

With team morale shattered, a midweek defeat in the Champions League was almost inevitable. The Manchester United era of domination is officially over thanks to Mr Keane's tirade, the bubble has well and truly burst, and all it took was one prick. Chelsea are a confident pick at 5/4 to add to Fergie's week of woe.

Jose Mourinho used the word 'voyeur' to describe Arsene Wenger this week, which is somewhat unfair; I don't think anybody has derived any real pleasure from watching Chelsea this season.

The smile can return to Wenger's face this weekend when they take on Sunderland; Arsenal's reserves won 3-0 at the Stadium of Light in the Carling Cup, imagine what the first-team will do at Highbury.

Charlton are the only team in England with a 100% record on the road, but that stat will come under threat at Ewood Park. Blackburn are a team in Mark Hughes' image, last week he received a red card for kicking a bag, in all fairness, we've all been there.

Craig Bellamy has scored three goals in three games since he returned from injury, the wild Rovers are extremely backable at 5/4.

Alan Shearer came off the bench to score against the Albion last time out; (He's not the first footballer to be dropped by Graeme Souness.) the Geordie legend has every chance of inching closer to Jackie Milburn's record against a woeful Birmingham.

The last four league games make depressing reading for the Blues; they've lost all four and scored in none. 8/13 is available for a Newcastle team that have won their last three games, which is practically a charitable donation.

Stuart Pearce has nicknamed Andy Cole and Darius Vassell 'Laurel and Hardy'; Chris Coleman won't be laughing as Andy Cole scores the goals that will condemn his former club to a third straight defeat.

Vassell scored twice against Aston Villa last week and Peter Crouch will try to continue the trend of ex players returning to haunt the Villans. It wouldn't be a surprise if Crouch scored, it would be a miracle. Liverpool are awful away, Villa are just plain awful. This match has draw written all over it.

Super Soccer are making a song and dance of their weekend specials:

"Frankie goes to Hollywood" - Lampard to be booked for diving 66/1
"Billy Fury" - William Gallas to be booked 7/2
"Sleighed" - Chelsea to score four or more goals 11/1
"Busted" - Diouf and Pennant both to score 16/1
"The Who?" - Khizanishvili to score at any time 12/1
"El, Ton, John" - Diouf, Rooney and Hartson all to score 14/1

Quote of the week:
"Just because you are paid £120,000 a week and play well for 20 minutes against Tottenham, you think you are a superstar."

Team builder extraordinaire Roy Keane offers his opinion on Rio Ferdinand.

Stat, you're a liberty:

Alex Ferguson has crossed swords with Jose Mourinho on six occasions, and never won.

Acc of the week:

Blackburn,Newcastle, West Ham, Middlesbrough, Chelsea.
The accer pays a juicy 36/1.

Weekend Betting:

Aston Villa v Liverpool Saturday 5th November 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus
Aston Villa 2/1 | Draw 2/1 | Liverpool 5/4
Get on: Draw
Liverpool haven't won a match away from home in the league all season; the Villa haven't beat the Reds at home this millennium. Score draw.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Arsenal v Sunderland Saturday 5th November 15.00
Arsenal 2/9 | Draw 4/1 | Sunderland 9/1
Get on: Arsenal
The Gunners have a 100% record at home in the Premiership, the Mackems have conceded 13 goals in 4 games, it's a certain home win.
Match Special:
Arsenal to win 4-0 9/1

Blackburn v Charlton Saturday 5th November 15.00
Blackburn 5/4 | Draw 9/4 | Charlton 7/4
Get on: Blackburn
Rovers and Charlton have met eight times in the Premiership and there has never been a draw. Bellamy is firing on all cylinders, get on the Rovers.
Match Special:
Bellamy to score two or more goals 13/2

Fulham v Man City Saturday 5th November 15.00
Fulham 7/5 | Draw 11/5 | Man City 8/5
Get on: Man City
The last four meets between Fulham and Man City have all ended in a draw. The on fire Man City will end that run.
Match Special:
Andy Cole and Vassell both to score 8/1

Newcastle v Birmingham Saturday 5th November 15.00
Newcastle 8/13 | Draw 12/5 | Birmingham 4/1
Get on: Newcastle
Newcastle are on a great roll, Steve Bruce is singing the Blues. Home banker.
Match Special:
Newcastle to score four or more goals 13/2

West Ham v West Brom Saturday 5th November 15.00
West Ham 8/11 | Draw 9/4 | West Brom 10/3
Get on: West Ham
The Albion are at the foot of the recent form table, the Hammers are having trouble scoring. A hard fought low scoring home win is the solution.
Match Special:
West Ham to win 1-0 6/1

Portsmouth v Wigan Saturday 5th November 17.15 Live on Sky
Portsmouth 5/4 | Draw 9/4 | Wigan 7/4
Get on: Draw
Wigan have won 7 matches on the bounce in all competitions, but Pompey without Laurent Robert are an improving animal, score draw.
Match Special:
Dario Silva to score at any time 6/4

Everton v Middlesbrough Sunday 6th November 14.00
Everton 11/8 | Draw 11/5 | Middlesbrough 13/8
Get on: Middlesbrough
Boro won at Goodison in the Carling Cup; after thrashing Man U, there is no argument against a repeat.
Match Special:
Middlesbrough to win 1-0 7/1

Man Utd v Chelsea Sunday 6th November 16.00 Live on Sky
Man Utd 9/5 | Draw 11/5 | Chelsea 5/4
Get on: Chelsea
Chelsea are the top dogs in England, United aren't even the best team in Manchester. Away win.
Match Special:
Chelsea to score three or more goals 9/2

Bolton v Tottenham Monday 7th November 20.00 Live on Sky
Bolton 11/8 | Draw 11/5 | Tottenham 13/8
Get on: Bolton
It's three clean sheets on the bounce for Bolton, Big Sam can edge the Champions League showdown.
Match Special:
Kevin Nolan to score the only goal of the game 45/1

Nigels Picks

Thu, 27 Oct 2005 00:07:14 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
BORO LONGING TO BE BACKED AT 7/2
Sa Oct 29 - 5.15 pm ko (PremPlus)
Middlesbrough are never at team you'd want to have your house on, but the temptation is so strong to oppose United right now that Steve McLaren's side are worth an interest at 7/2 in Saturday's live encounter (ko 5.15, Prem Plus). The Red Devils may have won four out of five away from home but these were against Everton, Newcastle, Fulham and Sunderland, while Spurs, Liverpool and Man City have all taken a point from them over the past few weeks, and this will be a harder game for them than the odds suggest.

Boro are hardly reliable, but the key to punting them looks to be going in when the odds are long, and to oppose them when they're short and, as they showed against Arsenal, a hard game like this looks sure to bring out the best of them. In our First Goalscorer market, prolific scorer Yakubu looks a fair bet at 8/1, especially considering our Goalscorer Cashback Offer (money back if he scores the last goal in the game instead). Once the game goes live, don't forget to check out our 14 Live In-play markets.

Live Game Picks:

Middlesbrough @ 7/2
Yakabu to score first @ 8/1

YOU CAN EARN YOUR SPURS AT 9/5
Arsenal are another team worth taking on right now, and the 9/5 available on their arch rivals Tottenham is hard to resist. That price is probably based on past form more than anything else, as it's been 12 games since Spurs beat their London rivals, and that 2-1 win was their only win in 20 attempts going back nearly ten years! However, Spurs are playing the better football this season and, with home advantage, they can nick this.

The rest of the weekend games look trappy, but Man City can be backed with confidence at 5/6 to beat Aston Villa on Monday night. Their only blip at home in the league this season was a loss to Bolton, but that was down to a last minute goal, and the Citizens have been rock solid in front of their fans. Finally, Sunderland have been playing well enough of late to warrant a bet at 5/4 to beat Portsmouth, who haven't been that impressive on the road this season.

Bet with bet365

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 19 Oct 2005 21:41:17 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
All hands to the plump.

My grandmother used to swear by the following advice, if you burn your mouth eating soup, you'll know to blow it the next time, which is unusually good advise from a clearly deranged pensioner.

After opposing Chelsea earlier in the season, i'm now flip-flopping like a fish in a Japanese restaurant. Conventional wisdom tells us that a team can not go through a Premiership season winning every match, but nothing in life is impossible, with the exception of a Peter Crouch hat-trick.

With nine wins out of nine matches under their belt, you can now back Chelsea at 40/1 to win the remainder of their Premiership matches; although the safer bet will be that Jose's men remain unbeaten for the rest of the campaign at 4/1.

Chelsea's performance against Bolton last week was sublime, but like the wife on our wedding night, I feel I have to comment on the disappointing tackle. Michael Essien's challenge on Tal Ben Haim was the only real negative in a superb display, back Chelsea at 4/11 for an easy win at Goodison Park.

The average footballer is not the smartest tool in the box, take Robbie Savage, you'll struggle to find a more average footballer than him. He's on £30,000 a week and he still can't find a hairdresser.

Robbie goes up against Birmingham City for the first time since his acrimonious departure last season. After facing taunts of 'money grabber' from City fans, and 'geographically challenged hippy' from a respected betting journalist, Savage will be more fired up than usual for this one. You can back Robbie to be sent off at 16/1.

The controversy surrounding David O'Leary's celebration at the end of the Birmingham derby last week is understandable, I haven't heard of a grown man running towards a pensioner with a big smile on his face since the Wayne Rooney story broke. Aston Villa are still on a high after their derby heroics, take the even money about back to back Villa victories.

Somewhat surprisingly, there have only been 10 goals in the last six meetings between Spurs and Man U, although it would have been 11 if it wasn't for a serious dose of oldtrafforditis from Mark Clattenburg last season. As the plump one is returning to the United starting line up, goals are guaranteed. Man U are a cracking bet at 1/2.

Middlesbrough have been rocked by the news that Abel Xavier has failed a drugs test. Having seen him play, I'm betting they were not performance enhancing. Boro have been inconsistent all season, West Ham are looking better and better, get on the Hammers at 6/5.

The following 'brace bagging' specials are available at Super Soccer.

"Bent cops" - Darren Bent to score two or more goals 6/1
"The joy of Cesc" - Fabregas to score two or more goals 16/1
"Who let the Drog out" - Didier Drogba to score two or more goals 9/2
"The Zog on the Tyne" - N'Zogbia to score two or more goals 20/1
"Rocking Horse" - Van Nistelrooy to score two or more goals 4/1
"All hands to the plump" - Wayne Rooney to score two or more goals 5/1

Quote of the week:

"Bolton fans were tucking into their pies at half time, with relish."
MOTD commentator Guy Mowbray drops a bombshell; is this how Abramovich made his money?

Stat, you're a liberty:

Every time Wayne Rooney has scored for Man U, United have gone on to win the match. (17 times)

Stat's not so surprising:

Brian McBride has scored more league goals than Cisse, Crouch and Morientes combined.

Acc of the week:

Arsenal
Aston Villa
Fulham
Man Utd
West Ham

The five fold pays out at 28/1.

Weekend Betting:

Blackburn v Birmingham Saturday 22nd October 12.45 Live on Sky

Blackburn 11/10
Draw 2/1
Birmingham 9/4

Get on: Blackburn

A high scoring match historically, there's been 19 goals in the last five meetings. Blues have not won at Ewood Park since the swinging 60's, if Savage doesn't see red, it's a home win.
Match Special:
Blackburn to win 3-1 16/1

Arsenal v Man City Saturday 22nd October 15.00

Arsenal 4/11
Draw 3/1
Man City 13/2

Get on: Arsenal

Arsenal have ruled this match in recent seasons, the last dozen meetings in the league have seen 11 wins for Arsenal and a draw. There is no argument for backing Man City.
Match Special:
Thierry Henry to score a hat-trick 12/1

Aston Villa v Wigan Saturday 22nd October 15.00

Aston Villa Evs
Draw 9/4
Wigan 9/4

Get on: Aston Villa

The Villa will still be on a high from their demolition of local neighbours Birmingham; definite home win.
Match Special:
Steven Davis to score at any time 4/1

Fulham v Liverpool Saturday 22nd October 15.00

Fulham 9/4
Draw 9/4
Liverpool Evs

Get on: Fulham

There were 10 goals scored in the 2 meetings last term, that's more than Liverpool will score away from home all season. Home win.
Match Special:
Fulham to keep a clean sheet 11/5

Man Utd v Tottenham Saturday 22nd October 15.00

Man Utd 1/2
Draw 12/5
Tottenham 11/2

Get on: Man Utd

United only have one home win in the league this season, they're about to double that figure.
Match Special:
Van Nistelrooy to score a hat-trick 14/1

Portsmouth v Charlton Saturday 22nd October 17.15 Live on Premiership Plus

Portsmouth 6/4
Draw 11/5
Charlton 6/4

Get on: Draw

Charlton have a 100% record on the road. That's right, Charlton. Score draw.
Match Special:
Match to finish 2-2 14/1

Newcastle v Sunderland Sunday 23rd October 13.30 Live on Premiership Plus

Newcastle 8/13
Draw 11/5
Sunderland 9/2

Get on: Draw

With four of the last nine derbies ending in a draw, the 11/5 on offer for another looks a value bet.
Match Special:
Stephen Elliott to score at any time 9/4

Bolton v West Brom Sunday 23rd October 15.00

Bolton 8/13
Draw 12/5
West Brom 4/1

Get on: Bolton

Bolton have never beaten the Baggies in the Premiership, until now.
Match Special:
Bolton to score in both halves 13/8

West Ham v Middlesbrough Sunday 23rd October 15.00

West Ham 6/5
Draw 9/4
Middlesbrough 9/5

Get on: West Ham

West Ham enjoy hosting the Boro, the last three matches have all been won 1-0 by the Hammers.
Match Special:
West Ham to win 1-0 6/1

Everton v Chelsea Sunday 23rd October 16.00 Live on Sky

Everton 13/2
Draw 3/1
Chelsea 4/11

Get on: Chelsea

The last four games between Everton and Chelsea have produced a total of three goals; Chelsea could hit five in this one.
Match Special:
Chelsea to score five or more goals 9/1

Bayern Munich vs Juventus

Sun, 16 Oct 2005 17:58:20 +0000
Bayern Munich (2.54) Draw (3.2) Juventus (3.1)
Bayern aren't doing too badly in the Bundesliga. The currently sit second. They had a tough away fixture to Schalke on Saturday. In the CL so far they have managed two 1-0 wins. Not as convincing as Juventus's 2-1 and 3-0 wins.

Juventus have made a fantastic start to Serie A. 7 wins out of 7 put them top of the league 5 points ahead of AC Milan. They played a weakened side at the weekend in preparation for this. Last year they won the corresponding fixture 1-0. I see that Juventus is an even stronger team this year.

I am going to go for Juventus on the draw no bet market. The odds are 2.1 at Bet365. Its going to be a tight game which could go either way. I think Juventus have the edge so 2.1 is good value.

Gerry's Picks

Wed, 12 Oct 2005 22:59:26 +0000
By Gerry McDonnell
The Moody Blues
As a child, I quickly came to terms with the concept of a caterpillar evolving into a butterfly. As an adult, I accepted the wife's monthly tendency to turn into a raging psychopath, before reverting back to the more placid psychopath she would normally be. As a betting genius, I find Everton's transformation from Champions League participants into Sunday League cloggers more difficult to comprehend.

What are the reasons behind their demise?

Two seasons ago, Everton finished 17th in the league, one spot off relegation. At the start of last season, instead of strengthening a poor team, they sold their best/plumpest player. Three consecutive 1-0 wins early in the season gave them an air of confidence, which coupled with a statistical anomaly not seen since I bet on red at roulette and black came out 37 times, landed the Evertonians a 4th place finish. To sum up, Everton are not in demise, they're still the same poor team they were two seasons ago. Get on Tottenham at 4/7.

Next week, I solve the Middle East crisis.

Thomas Sorensen is a capable goalkeeper, but he suffers from 'footballing anorexia', he freezes when he sees Emile. The Villa keeper handed the bragging rights to Birmingham in both matches last season, but the luck is about to run out for the Blues.

Birmingham are conceding two goals a game on their own patch and have had a player sent off in their last three league matches. Barring a goalkeeping error, the Villa are a cracking bet at 7/4.

While watching England beat the Poles in a local tavern, I heard a drunken young man sing the following, "If Crouch can play for England so can I." You'd think Phil Neville would spend his time more productively.

It's now 10 games without a goal for Peter Crouch and Liverpool are 13th in the table as a result. With the Reds finding goals hard to come by, back Blackburn to snatch a draw at 12/5.

Sunderland v Man U would have been the game of the week if Roy Keane wasn't out injured, although I hold out hope that Keano will offer Mick McCarthy tactical advise from the stand. The Mackems are on a four match unbeaten run in all competitions, but with Van Nistelrooy and Rooney in great form, United are the bet at 4/9.

Nothing lasts forever, with the possible exception of a conversation about cushions between the wife and her mother. Chelsea's 100% record in the league has been a fantastic effort, but Bolton are a great bet to put an end to their domination.

Big Sam has avoided defeat at the Bridge for the last two seasons, and Bolton have won six of their last eight matches in all competitions. All good things must come to an end, back Bolton to win or draw at 3/1.

The following paired Goalscorer specials are all available at Super Soccer.

"Ham, Berger" - Dietmar Hamann and Patrik Berger both to score 33/1
"Chubby, Brown" - Wayne Rooney and Michael Brown both to score 10/1
"Bent, double" - Darren Bent and Marcus Bent both to score 13/2
"Horses, Four Courses" - Van Nistelrooy and Wayne Rooney both to score 3/1
"Sun, Bern" - Sun Jihai and Olivier Bernard both to score 66/1
"My big fat Greek wedding" - Wayne Rooney and Stelios both to score 12/1
"Chris, Musampa" - Chris Sutton and Kiki Musampa both to score 12/1

Conspiracy theory of the week:
Why would Liverpool pay £7 million for Peter Crouch? Could the following have taken place?
Rupert Lowe, "Harry, now that we're relegated, sell that lanky Crouch, and try to recoup the £2 million we paid the Villa.
Harry Redknapp, "Rafa, i'm flogging Crouchy, he can't head the ball, but he's got two great feet, he's yours for a million a foot.
Rafa Benitez, "O.K. here's a cheque for £7 million.

Quote of the week:
"He's been refereeing for years and has done a good job."
Wayne Rooney applauds Kim Milton Nielson.

Most annoying sentence of the week:
Let's join our commentators, John Motson and Graeme Le Saux.

Stat, you're a liberty:
There's only one team in the Premiership that have kept all opposing forwards off the scoresheet in the league this season; it's West Ham.

Acc of the week:
Man Utd
Tottenham
Arsenal
West Ham
Charlton

The five-fold will pay over 20/1 when successful.
Weekend Betting:
Wigan v Newcastle Saturday 15th October 12.45 Live on Premiership Plus

Wigan 8/5
Draw 11/5
Newcastle 7/5

Get on: Draw

It's three wins on the bounce for Wigan and they are yet to concede two goals in a game. With Michael back for the Geordies, a draw is on the cards.
Match Special:
Match to finish 1-1 11/2

Chelsea v Bolton Saturday 15th October 15.00

Chelsea 1/5
Draw 9/2
Bolton 9/1

Get on: Draw

Bolton have reaped an impressive four points from their last two visits to the Bridge, at 1/5 for Chelsea, I'd rather be a layer than a player.
Match Special:
One goal or less in the game 11/5

Liverpool v Blackburn Saturday 15th October 15.00

Liverpool 8/15
Draw 12/5
Blackburn 5/1

Get on: Draw

Liverpool are on a four match run in the league without a win, another draw is the only option.
Match Special:
Kuqi to score at any time 5/2

Sunderland v Man Utd Saturday 15th October 15.00

Sunderland 11/2
Draw 11/4
Man Utd 4/9

Get on: Man Utd

70% of United's goals have been scored away from home this season; the omens are not good for the Mackems.
Match Special:
Man Utd to score four or more goals 5/1

Tottenham v Everton Saturday 15th October 15.00

Tottenham 4/7
Draw 12/5
Everton 9/2

Get on: Tottenham

Everton have never won at Spurs in the Premiership, even when they had a good team; home banker.
Match Special:
Tottenham to score in both halves 6/4

West Brom v Arsenal Saturday 15th October 15.00

West Brom 11/2
Draw 11/4
Arsenal 4/9

Get on: Arsenal

The Albion are currently woeful, the Gunners could run riot.
Match Special:
Arsenal to score four or more goals 5/1

Middlesbrough v Portsmouth Saturday 15th October 17.15 Live on Sky

Middlesbrough 8/11
Draw 11/5
Portsmouth 7/2

Get on: Middlesbrough

The Boro are a punters nightmare, their last two matches at home in the league have seen a win against Arsenal, followed by a defeat to Sunderland. A tentative home win.
Match Special:
Yakubu to score the first goal 4/1

Birmingham v Aston Villa Sunday 16th October 12.00

Birmingham 11/8
Draw 2/1
Aston Villa 7/4

Get on: Aston Villa

City can't win at home, Villa are playing better than their results would indicate; away win.
Match Special:
Sorensen to keep a clean sheet 9/5

Man City v West Ham Sunday 16th October 16.00 Live on Sky

Man City 5/6
Draw 9/4
West Ham 11/4

Get on: West Ham

Man City's recent win over Everton was their first victory in 5 games. The Hammers have a pearl in Benayoun, 11/4 looks tasty.
Match Special:
Benayoun to score the first goal 12/1

Charlton v Fulham Monday 17th October 20.00 Live on Sky

Charlton 8/11
Draw 9/4
Fulham 10/3

Get on: Charlton

Charlton's only defeats this season have been at home to other London clubs, Fulham aren't Tottenham or Chelsea.
Match Special:
Darren Bent to score two or more goals 9/2

France vs Cyprus

Sun, 09 Oct 2005 00:02:12 +0000
France (1.04) Draw (11) Cyprus (51)
Having said that realistically France will beat Cyprus, looking at the odds, its worth a speculative punt on Cyprus. (See my analysis of the Ireland/ Switzerland game below).

France have been very disappointing ever since Euro 2000. They've made hard work of qualifying for the world cup. Looking at their group you'd expect them to have qualified by now but they need a result from their last game to do so. A defeat will end their hopes. Home form hasn't been too good for the French though, 3, 0-0 draws and a 3-0 win over the Faeroe Islands is all they've managed to achieve.

I am going with Cyprus because the odds are fantastic. 50-1 is just way to high. Cyprus were unlucky to lose to the Republic of Ireland. They aren't the crappy team you think of when you think of the small Island. Most of their team play in the Greek National League. Even though Cyprus cannot qualify they have something to prove here. Its not like France haven't been beat by a supposedly lesser team before. Recall the world cup 2002 when they were beat by Senegal 1-0.

Would it be such a shock really if France failed to qualify for the World Cup? At 50-1 its worth a couple of quid at totesport. I am almost certainly going to back Cypriots on the Asian Handicap when that comes out.

Nigels Picks

Sun, 02 Oct 2005 17:26:54 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
ENGLAND v AUSTRIA
Sa Oct 8 - 4:00 pm ko (BBC)
With England at prohibitive odds of 2/9 for a game that they should (must) win, the correct play could be in the goals markets. In the hope that we won't see Sven experimenting this time, we can expect a few goals from the anticipated Crouch / Owen combo up front (1/2 that they play up front together), which brought Owen a hat-trick against Colombia in the summer. The Austrians are in disarray, with only Azerbaijan and Wales having failed to score against them in qualifying, while even Scotland managed to breach their defence in a recent friendly, so a bet on over 2.5 goals looks best here. At the same time, Michael Owen looks a fair bet at 7/2 to open the scoring, especially considering we'll give you your money back if he scores the last goals in the game instead. Once the game kicks off, don't forget to check out our 14 live In-Play markets via the new 'In-Play Console.'

Bet with bet365

NORTHERN IRELAND v WALES
Live betting - Sa Oct 8 - 3:00 pm ko (BBC1 - NI/ BBC2 - Wales) Wales are winless in 14 competitive games and will be desperate to get something out of their World Cup campaign. However, they may have to have to wait until their final game against Azerbaijan to restore some Welsh pride, as the Irish look well up to the task. Their recent 1-0 win over England was no fluke, while they deserved their draw in Cardiff too, and this well organised side should be backed at 8/5 to follow up. Live betting available.

Bet with bet365

SCOTLAND V BELARUS
Sa Oct 8 - 3:00 pm ko (SS1)
With four teams scrapping it out for second spot in the group, this is a must win game for both teams. It's three points or out, so we're unlikely to see a repeat of the stalemate between the sides back in June. On their recent form, Scotland are more than entitled to win this but, from a punting perspective, the odds of 8/15 are not great. Instead, we'll back the value option by playing the correct score market. Scotland's four home games so far have produced five goals, so we'll split stakes on a 1-0 or 2-0 win, at 5/1 and 11/2 respectively. Bet Live In-Play on this match.

Weekend International Picks:

England v Austria - 'Over' 2.5 goals @ 6/5 / Michael Owen to score first @ 7/2 Northern Ireland to beat Wales @ 8/5 Scotland to beat Belarus 1-0 or 2-0 @ 5/1 / 11/2

Bet with bet365

Nigel's Picks

Wed, 28 Sep 2005 22:28:23 +0000
from Bet365
LIVERPOOL V CHELSEA - REDS CAN NICK IT AT 7/1

Su Oct 2 - 4:00 pm ko - (SS1) It's a busy week at Anfield, with Chelsea visiting in the week and again in the Premiership on Sunday. Both games are likely to be tense affairs, however, based on previous encounters, goals are likely to be at a premium. The pair met five times last season, and every game was close ending either in a draw or with a single goal deciding the outcome. Only the League Cup Final produced more than one goal, so the main bet has to be 'under' 2.5 goals at 4/7. Given the current points standings between the two teams, Liverpool might have the greater need to win the game and, with Chelsea finally conceding last weekend, the Reds are fancied to nick this 1-0 at 7/1 (live 'In-Play' betting available).

TOON NAILED ON AT 7/5

In other Premiership games this weekend, Newcastle look nailed on to win at a hapless Pompey. It hasn't taken the Toon long to find their feet since the arrival of , Michael Owen, and the 7/5 just has to be taken. At the same time Owen looks a fair bet at 5/1 to open the scoring, especially considering we'll give you your money back. if he scores the last goals in the game instead.

GUNNERS 4/5 FOR DOUBLE STRIKE

Arsenal will almost certainly make it 11 home wins in a row when they face Birmingham, although the 1/3 is prohibitive. That will do for our acca, but singles backers will no doubt be more than happy to take the 4/5 on the Arsenal / Arsenal double result instead. The game is live on Sky Sports (Sunday, 1.30 ko), so we'll have plenty of 'In-Play' markets here too.

Also worth backing this weekend are Blackburn (4/5), who finally look like they're settling down after a topsy-turvy start, and should be able to see off relegation candidates West Brom, and Charlton (6/4). The Addicks kept up their brilliant start at West Brom, and look strong this season, while Spurs have lacked any potency on the road. A £25 acca on our four fancies this weekend pays out £378.00, which includes a bet365 bonus of 5%.

Weekend Premiership Picks:

Liverpool v Chelsea - 'Under' 2.5 goals @ 4/7
Liverpool to win 1-0 @ 7/1
Newcastle to beat Portsmouth @ 7/5;
Michael Owen to score first @ 5/1
Arsenal / Arsenal @ 4/5
Blackburn to beat West Brom @ 4/5
Charlton to beat Tottenham @ 6/4
4-fold on Arsenal, Newcastle, Blackburn, Charlton

All prices are from bet365

Correct Score Lucky 15

Tue, 20 Sep 2005 21:08:16 +0000
lottery type bet
With the number of goals in the Premiership down this year it makes correct scores easier to pick. Obviously with less goals the less variation there can be in the scoreline. I'm going to have a try picking 1-0 winners this week.

I've gone for a correct score lucky 15. (A lucky 15 is combination of all the bets you can make from 4 selections, so its 4 singles, 6 doubles, 4 trebles and 1 4-fold). bet365 offer trable odds for just one winner. I've done the maths and I just need one winner to make a profit.

The 4 matches I've chosen are:

1 24/09/2005 Birmingham v Liverpool
(Correct Score) Liverpool 1-0 @ 7.00
2 24/09/2005 Man Utd v Blackburn
(Correct Score) Man Utd 1-0 @ 7.00
3 24/09/2005 Newcastle v Man City
(Correct Score) Newcastle 1-0 @ 7.00
4 24/09/2005 Bolton v Portsmouth
(Correct Score) Bolton 1-0 @ 6.50

If it all comes in then it pays £3824.00 (from £1 stakes). Realistically though I expect to get 1 or 2 right and make a nice profit with the chance of hitting the jackpot. Ladbrokes do double odds for one correct result but this won't make you a profit from just 1 result. bet365 is the only firm as far as I know that pays treble for just one winner on a lucky 15.

Aston Villa vs Tottenham

Tue, 13 Sep 2005 22:03:34 +0000
Aston Villa (2.7) Draw (3.25) Tottenham (2.75)
I decided to pick Tottenham for this after Villa's terrible performance against West Ham. For some reason I thought Villa would be a good bet on the Asian Handicap. They were thrashed 4-0. Villa had a fair amount of possession but never looked like scoring. I think they only made Roy Carol make a single save all match.

Tottenham have had a disappointing run. 2 draws and a loss, scoring zero goals. There were great expectations for Spurs at the start of the season. I expect them to get something here.

I think Tottenham on the Asian Handicap is the way to go. Odds have dropped on the AH but you can still get a Tottenham draw no bet at 2.0 at Paddypower

Sheff Wednesday vs Leeds

Sat, 10 Sep 2005 23:55:49 +0000
Sheff Wed (2.8) Draw (3.25) Leeds (2.4)
Sheffield Wednesday are struggling this season. They've been hit by an injury crisis and have resigned themselves to fighting a battle to stay up this season. They sit second from the bottom of the table. Having only scored 2 in 6 league outings they are really missing McLean. I watched them play against QPR and they were absolutely awful.

Leeds maybe were a little fortunate to get a 3-3 draw at the weekend. It was a match in which they dominated but found themselves 3-2 down after 90 minutes and needed a injury time goal get the point. Previously they had a 3 win streak taking points from Norwich, Oldham and Wolves.

I can't see Wednesday scoring at all and with Leeds striker on Dave Healy on form, this could be embarrassing for the home side. I got 2.6 on the 1X2 market but that price has disappeared. I actually think any price above evens is good. For a safer bet, bet365 and bluesquare are both giving Leeds draw no bet for 1.8. I also think the 5.0 bet365 are offering on Leeds -1 (1X2 Handicap) is good too.

Man Utd vs Man City

Fri, 09 Sep 2005 00:15:28 +0000
Man Utd (1.44) Draw (4.3) Man City (10)
Both of the teams from Manchester have had an excellent start to the season. City are second with 10 points from 4 games, while United are 4th with 9 points from 3 games.

United are strong favourites for this match. They have yet to concede a goal this season. I still think this is because the have played teams that aren't going to score many this season. I wasn't too impressed with them against Newcastle. Both goals they scored were from errors from Boumsong. On another day Newcastle could have held out for a 0-0 draw. I am also thinking of the fact that most of their team have been on international duty and maybe slightly tired.

City are continuing where they left off last year. Under Stuart Pearce they are unbeaten in 12. Admittedly they haven't played any of the top teams during that period but its still a good run. Cole and Vassell have been scoring in the absence of their veteran striker, Robbie Fowler, who should be back for this game.

I've gone for City on the Asian Handicap of +1.25 at 1.88 at bet365. I think City can get a draw out of this. They managed a 0-0 last season. A home win is the most probable outcome but with the handicap I still win unless its by 2 or more goals.

UNITED DRAWN WITH A THREAT

Wed, 31 Aug 2005 00:27:50 +0000
by Nigel Ridgeway
Last week's (long-winded!) draw for the UEFA Champions League didn't throw up that many opportunities for an upset, however, Villarreal could give United a run for their money in Group D. Man Utd have no easy task to win this group and may be under priced at 8/15. United have departed from this competition at the first knock-out stage for the last two years, and will face much sterner tests than that offered by Debrecen in the qualifying round, beginning with a trip to Villarreal on 27th September. Villarreal were perhaps a little lucky to avoid extra time against Everton in the last round, but make no mistake they are a good side. With Lille starting their season poorly, and Benfica a weaker unit than the one that won the Portuguese domestic title last term, Villarreal are the value at 3/1 to win the group.

Man City vs Portsmouth.

Wed, 24 Aug 2005 23:28:33 +0000
Man City (1.67) Draw (3.6) Portsmouth (6.2)
Portsmouth haven't been playing well recently. I am not just talking about the draw against a 10 man Aston Villa, the 2-1 beating by West Brom and the 2-0 defeat to Tottenham. Towards the end of last season their form deteriorated so much that at one stage it looked like they'd be dragged in to the relegation battle. If you can't beat a 10 man mid-table side at home then you have got problems.

Manchester City have proven that they can survive with out Wright Philips now. The great form at the end of last season has continued in to this one. A home draw, then two 2-1 away wins put them briefly at the top of the table. Admittedly Sunderland and Birmingham aren't the strongest teams but winning away from home is always tough in this league. On Saturday in front of a home crowd they should win this comfortably.

I've gone for Man City -0.75 on the Asian Handicap. Odds currently 1.9 at sportingbet

Shanes extra tips

Sun, 21 Aug 2005 20:58:08 +0000
by Shane James
Arsenal - Fulham
Arsenal to win, Fulham do not have the class to out beat them at home. Arsenal will also be gunning for revenge after defeat by Chelsea at the weekend.

Birmingham - Borough
Tough game, neither team playing well should end in a draw but home advantage could be the key. If all Borough players are fit its game on, still go for 1-1 though

Portsmouth - Villa
Villa unlucky at Man United this weekend, good strong performance from them, if they play like this at Pompy should be an easy win.

Sunderland - Man City
City all the way Pearce is doing good got good fighting team spirit should be a feisty game with city on top.

Bolton - Newcastle
Bolton Bolton Bolton all the way. Newcastle don't want Graham S there and neither do the player don't expect them to play a decent game of football until he goes.

Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Saturday 20th August

Thu, 18 Aug 2005 22:45:33 +0000
Manchester Utd (1.29) Draw (5.5) Aston Villa (15)
Manchester United take on Aston Villa in another one of those Sky rip off events. By that I mean the early Saturday kick offs where they charge £6 pay per view.

Manchester United beat Everton last week 2-0. The teams were evenly matched first half until Van Nistelrooy slotted one in. It was game over after Yobo's stupid pass that gifted Rooney a goal. After that Man Utd went in to cruise mode and should have scored a couple more. Van der Saar played well and maybe the keeper that United have longed for since the departure of Peter Schmeichel five years ago. There are no fresh injury worries for United.

Villa drew 2-2 in a strange game. 4 goals in 9 minutes and that was it. Nothing for the other 81. Bolton had the better chances and should have won. They had a legitimate goal disallowed for off side. Another linesman and that would have been all three points for Bolton. Kevin Philips is out of the squad with a stomach upset so Villa could struggle to score against a very solid looking United defence.

I am going for Manchester to win to nil at gamebookers. The price is 1.85. They should beat the -1.5 Asian Handicap too but I'm not going to bother with they big handicaps until further into the season.

Denmark v England 17th August 2005

Mon, 15 Aug 2005 19:36:47 +0000
Denmark (3) Draw (3.25) England (2.4)
England play Denmark in this friendly match. I wasn't going to bet on this one at all until I saw the team sheet. Sven's picked more or less the full strength England side for this one.

I watched what was effectively the England B side beat the USA and Columbia back in May. With all the regular players back the team is significantly strengthened. There was no Rooney, Lampard, Terry or Gerrard in the USA and still they came out on top. With the important qualifiers coming up and the world cup not far away, Sven's probably going to take this friendly a little more seriously than most. The players will also want to cement their places in the starting World Cup line up.

Denmark have been placed in a tough qualifying group and probably aren't going to make it to the world cup now. It will take some turn around in their fortunes to get through. The have yet to lose at home in the campaign but draws to the Ukraine and Turkey with a couple of away losses have practically ended their hopes. There are 5 players in the Danish Squad that play in the premiership, including Everton's Per Kroldrup plus there's Real Madrid's Thomas Graveson. They don't look a bad team on paper.

I am going to back England for this one. Last time they met in a friendly, Denmark actually won 3-2 in Manchester back in November 2003. I am confident this current England team can do better. The best bet I've found is England +0 at Pinnacle for 1.83. There's a good chance of a 1-1 draw here so that would get you your money back.

I've personally gone for the England straight win on the 1X2. I got 2.5 at Bet365 but that price has gone now so the Asian Handicap is the best way to go.

Everton vs Man Utd, Saturday August 13, 2005

Thu, 11 Aug 2005 23:01:12 +0000
Everton (5) Draw (3.6) Man Utd (1.83)
Manchester United and Everton start the Premiership with the early lunch time kick off. I can't believe the cheeky people at Sky are charging extra to watch this match. I already pay my Sky Sports subscription and should get to watch this for free. I'm not paying any extra so it looks like I am listening to this one on radio 5.

Anyway... Everton look like they can something from this match. They played well against Villareal midweek and should have a point from that at least. I think Villareal scored with their first shot on target. Up to that point, Everton were the better side. I was so impressed by Everton that I laid Villareal on Betfair, at half time, to lock in my profit. They looked a totally different side to the one at the end of last season. Its not going to be easy for United to win here. They won this fixture 1-0 last season after every one had wrote them off.

United won 3-0 midweek. That was pretty much expected against the Hungarian side. Its promising how Rooney, van Nistelrooij and Ronaldo all scored. There were so many times last season when they dominated but just couldn't score. The FA Cup Final was just a joke. They tore Arsenal apart but just couldn't hit the back of the net. They should do better this season, especially with new keeper Edwin van der Sar but this away fixture is going to very tricky for them.

A few weeks ago I had a bet on United to win this one. I've changed my mind though. I got about even money so I'll be able to sell this bet at a profit on Betfair. I am now going to go for Everton on the Asian Handicap. Its +0.75 at bet365 with odds of 1.9. The odds look like they are drifting out so I'll wait until Saturday morning to put this one on. I hate betting against the "big three" but I think Everton can get a draw out of this.

CSKA Sofia vs Liverpool 10th August 2005

Sun, 07 Aug 2005 20:22:20 +0000
CSKA Sofia (6) Draw (3.7) Liverpool (1.73)
Liverpool face a much tougher test in Bulgaria when they take on CSKA Sofia. TNS and Kanaus didn't put up much of a fight. I expect Liverpool to advance but winning both legs is a different matter.

I am having trouble gauging the quality of the Bulgarian League. In the past they have produced some great teams but I don't think they've done much recently. I was looking on some fan site http://www.cska.net/?newlang=eng and 23 years ago they beat Liverpool 2-0. They beat some Albanian team (Tirana SK) 2-0 in both legs to get to the 3rd round this year.

Liverpool played poorly in the first half against Kanaus at Anfield. Qualifying was just a formality after the first leg I would have expected them to play a little better than they did though. Looking at the injuries (Jerzy Dudek, Peter Crouch, Djimi Traore, Boudewijn Zenden, Josemi, Harry Kewell, Neil Mellor and Florent Sinama-Pongolle) I think Zenden will be missed the most. He's been one of the best players from what I've seen.

I'm not too keen at backing Liverpool at the odds on offer, 1.73 is too low. Maybe if they had to win this fixture it would be a good bet but they might be content with a score draw, knowing they'll be able to beat them in the return leg. Liverpool suffered after Champions League fixtures last year and must have one eye on the tricky opening day fixture at Middlesbrough. I'll avoid the Asian Handicap too, -0.75. I think if Liverpool do win it, it'll be by a single goal and that'll only pay half.

So my bet for this match is going to be Cisse to score any time. The price is 2.5 at Ladbrokes. Cisse's a good striker and has been scoring regularly. That goal he scored against Kanaus was top quality. Morientes has been off form since he arrived so probably won't score. Crouch is injured and Baros probably won't play.

I picked up the paper coupon today from my local Ladbrokes and the price for Liverpool there is 4/5 (1.8). I suppose at that price its worth having a bet on Liverpool winning. I think they'll accept bets at that price if you walk into the shop and don't put too much on. On the website the price is 1.73.

Aston Villa vs Bolton

Sat, 23 Jul 2005 19:51:27 +0000
Aston Villa (2.4) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.3)

Benfica v Chelsea Sunday 17th July 2005

Sat, 16 Jul 2005 12:12:43 +0000
Benfica (3) Draw (3.25) Chelsea (2.1)
The second friendly match that I like the look of this weekend is the one between Chelsea and Benfica. Its rare to see Chelsea being odds against nowadays so seeing them at 2.1 caught my eye.

Jose Mourinho doesn't do friendly matches. He's one of those that wants to win every game. I don't think it would be possible for him to put out a weak team even if he wanted to. Chelsea haven't made any big signings this summer yet so they will be playing with the same players that won the Premiership last season. They will have Crespo back after a loan spell at AC Milan, so that can only boost their already mighty squad. Chelsea beat League 2 team Wycombe Wanderers on Wednesday. The score was 5-1.

Benfica are the current Portuguese champions. Mourinho used to manage these back in 2000. He says he has never lost a game at Benfica so he's happy to play there. Benfica do have the home advantage but this is Chelsea who won the English Premiership with a record points total.

I am going to go for Chelsea to win at 2.1 at Bet365. As with the Liverpool/ Leverkusen pick (which lost), only small stakes. This match is going to be shown on Chelsea TV.

Brazil vs Argentina Wednesday 29th June 2005

Mon, 27 Jun 2005 21:22:34 +0000
Odds: Brazil (2.5) Draw (3.2) Argentina (3.1)
I suppose this is the final everyone wanted. These are arguably the second and third best international teams in the world today. (Everyone knows that England is the best team in the world!!). These two teams met only 3 weeks ago when Argentina won 3-1. Revenge for Brazil perhaps.

Brazil got here by a hard fought win over Germany. The teams were pretty even and a draw would have been a fair result. Germany outplayed the Brazilians in the second half but it was Adriano's wonder goal that separated the sides. The Brazilians looked a lot better than when they played Mexico. They played like they wanted to win. I expect them to play with even more vigour when they play against their arch rivals.

Argentina beat Mexico on penalties on Sunday. It must have been the most boring televised match so far this tournament. Neither team looked like scoring and neither of them did until extra time. I have no idea how Argentina have managed to score 8 in their group matches. Maybe it's just the way the Mexicans defend but Argentina looked very average. They look like they could do with their star striker Crespo for this final.

I'm going for Brazil to lift the cup. The odds are 1.72 at bet365. The Asian Handicap is +0 priced at 1.75. That's a good price too (I would have though the handicap would have been -0.25 with odds of just over evens) but I prefer just to bet on Brazil to the lift the cup. If they don't beat Argentina in 90 minutes, they are surely going to beat them in extra time. If it does go to penalties though, I would fancy Argentina, they scored 6 almost text book penalties against the Mexicans.

William Hill are offering 2.5 for Brazil on the 1X2 market. At that price its worth a go on it. Other bookies are offering between 2.2 and 2.4, so 2.5 is a really good price. Can't see it lasting long though so get on it while you can.

Update Sportingbet are offering 1.8 on Brazil on the Asian Handicap +0. What a bargain. 23:13 GMT 28/06/2005

7 May-12:30 Chelsea v Charlton

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:57:27 +0000
Chelsea (1.28) Draw (5.00) Charlton (10.00)
I fully expect Chelsea to bounce back from their disappointing loss in the Champions league. I think they will want to give Charlton a good beating. Its going to be their first home game since winning the title last weekend. They'll want to put on some display for the fans.

Charlton are continuing their dismal end of season run. They haven't scored in 3 games, only won 1 in the last 12, and last weeks 4-0 just goes to show what happens when they go up a quality team. Incidentally, they lost to Chelsea, 4-0 this season, Man U, 2-0 and 4-0, and Arsenal 4-0 and 3-1.

I think Chelsea -1.25 on the handicap is a good bet, the price is 1.95. The worst that can happen is the Chelsea decide to go back to their 1-0 winning ways and then you'd lose half.

Charlton v Man Utd - Sun May 01, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:52:32 +0000
Man Utd (1.67), Draw (3.75), Charlton (6)
This has got to be the away banker of the weekend. Charlton can still make it into Europe if they win all 3 of their next games and other results go their way. I can't see this happening though. They've only won 1 in the last 11, so winning the next 3 is very wishful thinking.

Man U have gone through a mini slump. They drew 0-0 to Blackburn, then lost to Norwich 2-0 and Everton 1-0. Last week they beat Newcastle 2-1 and I think they're on the up again. They will be with out van Nistelrooy, but to be honest he hasn't been performing too well anyway.

Its just got to be an away win. I think I'll stick to the 3 way price on this one. The Asian Handicap is -0.75 priced at 1.8. Maybe at 1.9 I'd go with the handicap but at 1.8 it isn't worth it, if Man U only win by a goal.

Chelsea v Liverpool - Wed Apr 27, 2005

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:49:58 +0000
Chelsea (1.62), Draw (3.5), Liverpool (7)
If this was a league match, this would be an absolute home banker. Liverpool aren't the same team in Europe as they are in the league. On paper I gave them no chance against Juventus but after watching them play at Anfield I had a feeling they'd go through.

Chelsea dealt with Bayern Munich pretty easily. The 7-6 aggregate score doesn't reflect what happened on the pitch. Chelsea should have won the first leg 4-1 and were winning 2-1 in Munich before Bayern scored 2 in the dying minutes.

I'll go for overs on this match. Liverpool will be desperate to get an away goal and Chelsea will want to try and finish the tie on the night. The price is 2.3 for 3 or more goals.

Bolton vs Southampton

Sun, 12 Jun 2005 21:39:26 +0000
Bolton (1.67), Draw (3.6), Southampton (5.5)
Bolton to win this one. They have lost 2 in the last 6 matches. Both were away, one of those was Liverpool, and the other was Newcastle when they were going on their mini winning streak. Bolton have been the in form team. The win at the weekend has put them into 5th place above Liverpool. A win on Tuesday will put them in 4h place and into that last Champions league spot (possibly for just a day, Everton play Wednesday). Southampton threw away a 2 goal lead at the weekend. I think that was the beginning of the end of Southampton in the Premier League. Three defeats in a row is definite relegation form and Bolton are surely going to make it 4 in a row.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 24 Aug 2012 16:14:30 +0000
25th 26th August 2012
Last weekend was a disaster for the typical punter. Some strange results in there. Who would have thought that Arsenal would have struggled at home to a poor looking Sunderland side, or that QPR would lose at home to Swansea?

Looking at the fixtures this week, its pretty brutal. Even the shorted price on the coupon Manchester United to beat Fulham at 1.33 looks dodgy. Fulham knocked 5 past Norwich whereas Manchester United were fortunate to get away with a 1-0 loss at Everton.

Other strong favourites don't look that appealing either. Spurs don't have the strike force they had last year and West Brom looked good against Liverpool so an upset wouldn't be out of the question.

Chelsea needed an offside goal to come from behind to beat Reading 4-2 at home. I can see Newcastle maybe getting something here too. Its just a bit early in the season to pick out value and at the moment its more like gambling.

Check back in a few weeks for normal service.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Thu, 16 Aug 2012 22:06:27 +0000
18th - 20th August 2012
Welcome back. The Premiership starts again this weekend. Very much looking forward to it.

No tips this week as its too early to find the value. Its only after a few weeks that you can get an idea for how a team is playing and whether the odds are right.

So for this week, I recommend taking advantage of some of the bookmaker offers.

Firstly, Ladbrokes are offering a free bet for every hattrick your player scores if you back him on the 'top goal scorer marker'. Not a bad deal if you were going to have that bet anyway.

"Place a £10+ Top Premier League Goalscorer bet and receive a free bet to the same stake each time your selected player scores a Premier League hat-trick* during the 2012/13 season."

Papiss Cisse at 16/1 looks decent. The obvious ones are far too short for my liking. Van Persie at 6/1 is no value at all. I can see him getting a hattrick in the season though so you'll quite likely get your money back.

Secondly from Ladbrokes, this time on mobile only, are offering money back on league winners bet. Place a treble on the league winners and if only one lets you down then you get your money back as a free bet. Only on mobile though.

You can get some seriously good odds on trebles in the league. For example, Manchester United, Cardiff and MK Dons to win their leagues pays out 263/1. Obviously winning is easier said than done but with the money back offer, it adds a bit of value.

"Place a win treble via Ladbrokes Mobile on 3 of the 4 English League winners and if one team fails to win their league, we'll refund your stake as a free bet (Max stake £25)."

Those two Ladbrokes offers are on top of the £50 free bet for new users. Use the bonus code FB50 to get a free £50 matched bet. Sign up here

Thirdly, BetVictor are giving away a free treble. Place a treble this weekend and they will give you a free bet to the same value (up to £50) the weekend after. I've gone for an obvious one of Manchester City, Manchester United and Chelsea. This currently pays 3.64 which good anyway but with the free bet its a steal. You can also get a £25 sign up bonus when you join VCbet.

Champions League Final

Fri, 18 May 2012 14:40:01 +0000
Bayern Munich (1.83) Draw (4) Chelsea (4.6)
Probably not the final that everyone was expecting. Well, maybe Bayern but no one really gave Chelsea a chance of getting past Barcelona.

Some good fortune for Bayern. They are playing at home. In European Competitions this is a major advantage and is why I think away goals count twice as much in the knockout stages. They have been solid at home in the Champions League this year winning all their home games including beating Manchester City and Real Madrid. With Gomez, Ribery and Robben up front they have one of the most devastating front lines around. The only worry for me is that in the last game they lost the Cup final 5-2. Some shocking defending to allow 5 goals in. I expect they'll tighten up.

Chelsea surprised everyone with getting this far. Since Villas Boas was sacked the fortunes of Chelsea have turned around. Not only have they got this far but also won the FA Cup. League form has been a bit disappointing but somethings got to give if you are battling on so many fronts. For Chelsea, the big danger is in defence. With Terry and Ivanovic out there is a big gap in defence to fill. Cahill is back but after being out injured he won't be totally fit. Luiz could also feature but I think he could be a liability rather than an asset depending on the game he has. Ramires and Meireles are also both suspended so further weakening their side. It was Ramires who scored the first Chelsea goal at the Nou Camp which effectively knocked Barcelona out.

I am looking at a Bayern Munich win here. I think they are the better team and home advantage is so important here. 1.83 isn't a bad price at all. Imagine if this was Real Madrid at home to Chelsea, 1.5 tops. I've gone for a straight win and home correct scores. Paddy Power have an amazing offer where they will refund all losing correct scores, first goal scorers and score casts if Chelsea lifts the cup.

As I think Bayern will win this, I've gone for mainly Bayern results. 1-1, 3-1, 3-0, 2-1 and 2-0. Maybe I should have gone 1-0 too but as I am watching it, I'm not betting on 1-0. If Chelsea lift the Cup then Paddypower will refund all those. If Bayern win then those scores are as likely as any. If you think Chelsea you can bet on some correct Chelsea winning scores. The bonus with that is that if they do win, all your losing scores will be refunding. I am not a fan of first goal scorer betting but it can be fun for small stakes. Drogba is 10.0 to score first with money back if Chelsea lift the cup.

The straight Bayern win is 1.83 at Paddypower too which I also worth having.

Click here to bet. New customers get £50 free bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sun, 13 May 2012 02:34:11 +0000
13th May 2012
Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.5) Blackburn (11)

The defeat at Liverpool on Tuesday ended Chelsea's slim hopes of finishing in the top 4. They have to win the Champions League to be in it next year. I guess Di Matteo will have more of an eye on that. The players that will be suspended for the Champions League final will definitely be playing but who knows who else will be rested. Blackburn were officially relegated by Wigan last round. That's 7 defeats in their last 8 games. I guess Blackburn will be even less motivated now that they know whatever happens they'll be playing Championship Football next season. They have failed to score in 3 of their last 4 games so I think that a Chelsea to win to nil is a decent shout. Its 2.5 at Skybet. Get £10 totally free with no deposit when you open an account.

Everton (2.25) Draw (3.7) Newcastle (3.4)

This is pretty much a nothingness match for Everton. True, a win would guarantee them a place above Liverpool but that's about it. Last round they couldn't score past a relegated Wovles side so I am not too convinced they'll be trying that hard this game. Newcastle were undone last weekend by the Champions elect. Nothing wrong with the Newcastle performance, its just that City are just a better side. Newcastle can finish as high as 3rd still with a win here and if other results go their way. They'll certainly be the more motivated side and have a better strike force than Everton. Newcastle win for me. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

Manchester City (1.14) Draw (10.5) QPR (21)

I think these are the shortest odds I've ever seen in the Premiership for a game. City are going to win this and the league. Its inconceivable that a side with a 17-1-0 record at home this season are not going to win this final game. QPR have been pretty consistent recently. They've been winning their home games and losing their away games. That's happened for the last 10 games. A point would see them safe but I don't see them getting that. They need Bolton to not beat Stoke and they'll stay up. As City are playing like they did early in the season, I expect them to win this comfortably. 1.14 probably isn't worth backing straight but PaddyPower have City to win both halves at 2.0 and Totesport have 4 or more goals at 1.91.

Norwich (2.25) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (3.5)

With Grant Holt back in the side last weekend, Norwich gave Arsenal a game at the Emirates. 3-3 it finished with Steve Morison getting the Norwich equaliser late on. I think they Norwich players will be up for this game. Not only is it the last game of the season but some of them may be in line for England positions. Villa managed to get the point they needed to guarantee survival. They were pretty fortunate that Spurs had to play most of the second half with 10 men. Looks like Gabby Agbonlahor and Emile Heskey could be out, meaning that they have no fit experienced strikers. With no win in their last 9 I can't see them getting anything here. Norwich are 2.25 at Ladbrokes.

Stoke (2.45) Draw (3.6) Bolton (2.9)

Depending on how you look at things, you could think that Stoke were well out of form. Only 1 win in 10 and that was against Wolves at home. Its only when you look at how they have lost to Chelsea, Wigan, Newcastle and QPR away, its not actually that bad. At home they've got good draws against City, Everton and Arsenal. Saying that, it has been a long season for them and I bet they're all looking forward to the summer holidays. Its do or die for Bolton. As QPR are going to get nothing from City, its pretty much in their own hands whether they survive. If they beat Stoke, then they'll be safe else they'll go down. They'll be hoping that they can do what Wigan did last season here which is win and stay up. Bolton are 2.9 at Bet Victor.

Sunderland (7.5) Draw (4.8) Manchester United (1.5)

Can Sunderland get some of the O'Neil factor back for this game? They'll need it to get anything from this United side. With the regular strikers Stephane Sessegnon and Nicklas Bendtner not scoring many its hard to see how they can score here. They managed to score in the last 2 games but previously, they went 4 games firing blanks. For United, to have any chance of winning the title they must win here and hope QPR can do them a favour. I can see them doing their bit of the bargain and winning here but no chance on the QPR getting anything from City. I think Manchester United to win to nil at 2.5 at bet365 looks tasty. I can't see the inept Sunderland strike force scoring.

Swansea (3.6) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (2.15)

Swansea were beaten at Old Trafford last round. United were just a superior side. It should have been more than 2-0 but United wasted so many chances. More worryingly is that last home game, they let a 3-0 lead slip against Wolves. The game finished 4-4. Maybe some of the players are thinking about the holidays rather than the football. Liverpool had mixed week. They lost the FA Cup final to Chelsea last Saturday but then beat them 4-1 in the league on Tuesday night. Andy Carroll is hitting form and could make it in to the Euro 2012 squad. Liverpool have actually won more games away from home this season than they have at home. I think they can make this away win number 9 of the season. Swansea have had a great season and have nothing left to prove. Liverpool are 2.15 at William Hill.

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5) Fulham (9)

Spurs played most of the second half against Villa last round with 10 men. They drew the game 1-1 and put 3rd place back in the hands of Arsenal. They need a win here to guarantee them 4th place or better. They have been playing better of late but their last 2 wins were against Blackburn and Bolton, who are at the foot of the table. Fulham are a good solid mid-table side who have won 5 of their last 7. There's also the fact that this is the first time Martin Jol has been back to White Hart Lane since he was sacked. He'll want to win here. No Clint Dempsey for this game though. He's been instrumental in the good run of form with 23 goals. Odds on Spurs are a little too low for me. I think that Fulham can get something here and the draw or away win are much more appealing. Fulham draw no bet is 7.0 at bluesquare.

West Brom (5.5) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.7)

West Brom proved they are still playing football despite having nothing to aim for now. They could have easily settled for a 2-0 defeat at Bolton last weekend but they fought on and got a 2-2 draw. Peter Odemwingie is doubtful for this game. Arsenal drew 3-3 last weekend at home to Norwich. The only good thing is that Van Persie was back in his scoring ways getting two goals. That's no win in 4 for them now. Arsenal were lucky that Spurs blew their chance to go third with a victory over Villa. Looks like Theo Walcott could be back which I think is key to whether they win this. Its 1.7 at PaddyPower. I guess if Walcott isn't playing it's a bet I am going to skip.

Wigan (1.62) Draw (4.2) Wolverhampton (6)

Wigan have pulled off the great escape. With 6 wins in their last 8 they have pulled themselves off the bottom of the table and are safe. Against Blackburn, they should have beat them by more than the single goal. Victor Moses was wasteful in front of goal The question is whether they will be motivated for this game now they don't need to win it? I think so. Last game of the season at home. Wolves have had a couple of draws since their relegation was confirmed. They came back from 3-0 down at Swansea to get a 4-4 draw and kept Everton out at home to get a 0-0. I don't see them getting anything here though. Wigan are the form side at the moment and I think I'd be backing them against anyone in the league at the moment apart from City. Wigan are 1.62 at Bet Victor.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 05 May 2012 01:12:32 +0000
5th - 7th May 2012

5th May 2012

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (7) Norwich (15)

A crucial game for Arsenal with Spurs and Newcastle breathing down their necks for that 3rd place. Just 3 weeks ago the looked well clear for that 3rd place and guaranteed Champions League football next season but a shock home loss to Wigan and successive draws against Chelsea and Stoke put them just 1 point clear. No Walcott, Arteta or Wilshere for this game. Van Persie was back to his scoring ways last weekend after going through a bit of a goal drought. Norwich were woeful against Liverpool. It look like that 2-1 win over Spurs last month was an anomaly in the general drop off in form. Only 2 wins in the last 11 league games. Arsenal should win this quite comfortably but I am not betting on Arsenal at 1.25. Lots of upsets this season and it wouldn't be that much of a surprise if Norwich did nick this one. I am just leaving this game alone.

6th May 2012

Newcastle (5) Draw (4.2) Manchester City (1.75)

Newcastle are the in form team at the moment. They had a blip at Wigan last weekend ago but made up for it with a stunning win against Chelsea midweek. Papiss Cisse scored 2 fantastic goals. Chelsea did rotate the squad a little but still had a strong side out. With Cisse, Ba and Ben Arfa upfront they are possibly the best offence in the Premiership. Its either them or Tevez and Aguero at Manchester City who are their opponents this weekend. City can pretty much win the title with a win here. They'll thrash QPR on the last day of the season so the task is simple, win here and win the league, anything else and you are relying on Manchester United slipping up. I am not convinced they will win this game though. City didn't look too good against Wolves a couple of weeks ago and even though they beat Manchester United 1-0, I'd have expected them to work David De Gea a bit more. I think the safer bet for City backers would be over 2.5 goals. I cannot see them keeping Newcastle out so they'll need to score 2 to win this. Overs is 1.73 at Bet Victor or City win is 1.75.

Aston Villa (4.5) Draw (3.8) Tottenham (1.91)

Villa got a vital point away at West Brom last weekend. That's probably just enough to keep them up on goal difference. Still not a good performance though and that makes it just 1 win in 13. You could have blamed some of this on injuries but they only have Petrov and Bent out now. It looks like Villa are going to need rebuilding this summer. There was some night club incident midweek too which can't be good for the team morale. Spurs seem to have found their form again now that all this Harry for England business has gone away. Either that or they have played 2 relegation threatened teams and won. I think they will make it three wins in a row though as Villa are playing like a team that are going to get relegated. They are just extremely lucky they picked up points at the start of the season. I am going to go for Spurs at 1.91 at Ladbrokes.

Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.75) West Brom (3.75)

A must win game for Bolton if they are going to stay up. Against Spurs midweek, they looked good when they were at 1-1. I thought they looked most likely to score next but then Spurs hit them with 2 goals in quick succession which deflated them. West Brom's manager will be going to manage the England national side from June. I think West Brom may just be a bit more motivated than normal for this game. Ordinarily, I'd say back the more desperate team but I think that Hodgson will want a win here so the press don't get on his back. Odemwingie and Long should be able to hit Bolton on the counter attack just like Spurs did. West Brom are 3.75 to win at most Bookmakers.

Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (4.5)

Excellent win for Fulham midweek against a weakened Liverpool side. At home, they recently beat Wigan who are one of the Premierships form sides and overall they have 4 wins in their last 6. It's a bit worrying how they haven't scored in their last 2 games but they have been tough places to go. (They beat Liverpool 1-0 with an own goal and lost 4-0 to Everton). Pogrebnyak or Dempsey have generally been playing well together and I expect them to score a couple at least. Sunderlands form was bound to drop off. They are 0-5-1 in their last 6 games. They managed to score a couple last weekend which were their first in 5 games. Bendtner was on the scoresheet but Sessegnon has gone off the boil a bit. I think Sunderland will be saving themselves for next weekends game against Manchester United. That game will matter to them whereas this one is a nothingness game. It's a Fulham win for me. Its 1.91 at PaddyPower.

QPR (1.91) Draw (3.75) Stoke (4.5)

QPR are hoping that their recent pattern of wining the home games and losing the away games continue. They've managed to beat Liverpool, Arsenal, Swansea and Spurs in that run. Last weekend they were all over the place defensively and even Torres managed to score a hat trick against them. Hughes will be expecting better. Realistically, these are the last points they're going to pick up this season. They'll get nothing from City next weekend. What extra motivation do they need. Stoke have made themselves a hard team to beat recently. In form Newcastle and Wigan have managed it but they have been getting a fair number of draws. Five, 1-1 draws in the last 8 games. I think this looks like it could be another draw. I like the odds a lot better for the draw than for the home win. I don't like backing a relegation threatened team at odds on against anyone. The draw is 3.75 at bet365.

Wolverhampton (5) Draw (4) Everton (1.75)

With no pressure on Wolves, they played a good game against Swansea. They were 3-0 down after 15 minutes and you would have expected them to give up but they fought on and got a 4-4 draw out of it. This is their last game at home before they go down to the Championship. Maybe one last good performance for the fans? Everton are unbeaten in 7. They have also been scoring a lot with Jelavic looking like an excellent signing. They do have little to play for now though and I wonder how motivated they will be. Looking at the odds and how many goals have been scored recently, I am tempted to go overs rather than pick a winner. Over 2.5 goals is 1.7 at Bluesquare whereas the Everton win is 1.75 at Bet Victor.

Manchester United (1.2) Draw (7.5) Swansea (19)

Manchester United looked poor for most of the game against City on Monday. Apart from the first 5 minutes or so, it was all City. United looked inept. Their midfield would have been great 5 years ago but Giggs, Scholes, Park and Carrick against City was asking to get beat. I think Fergie was playing for the draw which he almost got. Despite not playing very well, De Gea didn't have many saves to make at all. Swansea let a 3-0 lead slip and managed to draw 4-4 with a relegated Wolves side at home. Swansea haven't really been getting the results recently. Maybe it's the end of season or teams have figured out how to play against them. I should imagine that United will press them hard but as Swansea play a possession game, they might not get that much of the ball. When Swansea went to White Hart Lane, they had more possession than Spurs did. Should be a routine United win but I am not interested in backing it at 1.2.

7th May 2012

Blackburn (2.5) Draw (3.6) Wigan (2.9)

Blackburn played a stinker of game against Spurs last round. Not a single shot on goal they had. The only surprising thing is that they only lost 2-0. On recent form, they'll be going down for sure. They have scored more goals than all the teams around them but have also let a lot more in. 75 goals conceded is only beaten by Wolves with 79. Wigan look home and dry now with that 4-0 win over Newcastle. They beat Arsenal away last month and Manchester United at home too. They are playing some excellent football against top teams and getting results. I cannot see why they are not favourites here. I expect by kick off they will be. Wigan are currently 2.9 at Bet Victor for the straight win or for the safer bet, they are 2.1 at PaddyPower on the draw no bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 27 Apr 2012 16:16:09 +0000
28th - 30th April 2012

28th April 2012
Everton FC (1.87) Draw (3.6) Fulham (5)

Excellent result for Everton last weekend. They were 4-2 down and looking out of it at Old Trafford, they came back to 4-4. That's 5 unbeaten now with 3 wins in there. There still is a chance they can get in to a Europa League spot for next season so there is something to play for. Fulham are finishing the season strongly too. 3 wins out of 4 and the a draw against Chelsea isn't bad at all. They even managed to beta Bolton 3-0 away from home earlier this month. Dembele and Dempsey have been playing superbly. I think Everton are the better bet here though. Maybe a little on the short side but I think they will win it. After that come back against United last weekend, I can't see how they can come home and then not win. Everton are 1.87 at Boylesports.

Stoke (4.5) Draw (3.7) Arsenal (1.91)

No chance for Stoke at high flying Newcastle last weekend. Stoke have put up some decent performances this season but the Britannia is no fortress and Stoke have been hit and miss all season. At first it was down to the European commitments but now they are out of Europe they come up with some stinking performances. Arsenal should get top 4 but Newcastle are breathing down their necks for that 3rd place. No goal in open play for Van Persie is hurting them. Usually, he'd pop up and score the winner but nothing. I guess on the likes of Ronaldo and Messi is Spain can score consistently all season. Stoke have been Arsenal's bogie team in recent seasons. Last year they won 3-1. I can see this going either way. I think the over 2.5 goals is the way to play it. Stoke 7 of the last 10 of the encounters between these sides have been overs. I can see this being a 2-1 either way. Over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365.

Sunderland (2.05) Draw (3.6) Bolton (4)

The Sunderland bubble looks like its burst. No more O'Neil factor in play. They haven't scored in the last 4 games but amazingly they have only lost 1 of those (3, 0-0 draws). I guess there is only so much a new manager can do and it'll be next year when O'Neil brings in his own players that they can start pushing up the league. Bolton scored 2 quick fire goals midweek to give them a chance at staying up. A win here and they could leapfrog both Wigan and QPR. Villa have been extremely poor though and Sunderland are probably slightly better at the moment. I think they can get something here. Well, if Sunderland can't score then Bolton can't lose. A draw probably won't do Bolton much good so they have to go for the win. Bolton are 4.0 at bluesquare.

Swansea (1.57) Draw (4.3) Wolverhampton (6.5)

Swansea got a draw at Bolton last round. They should have got more as they were much the better side. I am still in 2 minds about Swansea's brand of football. Is it boring or exciting? I suppose it depends on whether they win. Pretty much a nothingness game this for Swansea. Wolves were relegated officially last weekend with the defeat at the hands of City. It was actually pretty close for a long period of the game but City just have better strikers. Sometimes teams after the pressure is off, teams perform better. I don't see it this time though. Swansea all day long for me. They are 1.57 at Bet Victor.

West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.7)

West Brom rode their luck last weekend at Liverpool and managed to sneak it 1-0 with Odemwingie bagging the winner. West Brom are in no mans land in the league and have little to play for now. The thing about this fixture is that they'd love for Villa to go down such is the rivalry between the 2 sides. Villa are in danger of going down but do just need a point to survive I think. 37 points with their goal difference should be enough to keep them up. Midweek, they took the lead against Bolton but 2 minutes later they were 2-1 down and looked out of it. I think McLeish will get his point from somewhere but not from here. West Brom at 2.15 for me at Betfred.

Wigan (2.9) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (2.6)

Wigan's mini-run came to an end last weekend with a 2-1 defeat at Fulham. Their position is looking precarious again due to wins by those around them. Still nothing wrong with the Wigan side and they are playing better than their league position suggests. Its just a shame they are facing the in form side. Newcastle have won their last 6 games. With their strikeforce, you can't see them not scoring. If Newcastle, were called Manchester United instead of Newcastle United, they'd be 1.5 tops for this game not 2.6. I think you got to keep backing Newcastle until they stop winning. They are 2.6 at William Hill.

Norwich (4) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (2.05)

Maybe its season over or maybe Blackburn just wanted it more but Norwich lost the last game 2-0. They can go level on points here with a win. Norwich have had a cracking season and this would be the icing on the cake for them. Liverpool lost at home to West Brom last weekend. They must have smashed a load of mirrors or done something to get so much bad luck. 27 total shots vs 8, 13 on target vs 4, 62% possession vs 38% and they lost. Too many of those unlucky games for Liverpool this season though. I don't know whether Liverpool are still bothered about the league. They have Chelsea next weekend in the FA Cup final. A win or loss here wouldn't really make any difference to their shocking season. Looking at the odds, I suppose the only bet to have is Norwich. Its 4.0 at Bet Victor.

29th April 2012

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (5) QPR (9.5)

Fantastic performance by Chelsea midweek. Even though I backed Barcelona I couldn't help being happy for Chelsea and Torres. I can't see them after the highs of midweek not coming back here and beating QPR. They do have a bit of an injury crisis in defence though. With Cahill and Luiz out, Terry is the only fit centre back. QPR kept up their recent pattern of losing their away games and winning their home games. That run of form has pulled them out of the relegation zone. I can see that pattern continuing here with a loss. If it was a nothingness game for Chelsea, maybe something on QPR but as Chelsea still need to finish in 4th I can see them going for this one. Chelsea are 1.44 at Bet Victor.

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5.25) Blackburn (9.5)

Where did it all go wrong for Spurs? Since beating Newcastle 5-0 back at the start of February, they have only won 1 game out the next 9. Players such as Parker, Van der Vaart and Adebayor aren't playing as well as they were. King who was once excellent, is now a liability. With the fixtures the way they are, they are still more favoured than Chelsea or Newcastle to get in to the top 4 but they need to start winning again. Blackburn gave themselves a lifeline last weekend with a 2-0 win over Norwich. Its as if it only just clicked that they needed to win to stay up. I've thought it all along that they have the players to stay up but just too many bad performances. I can't see them getting anything here though. Spurs need the points a lot more than Blackburn do. Its pretty much win this or say goodbye to Champions League football next year. Spurs are 1.4 at Ladbrokes.

30th April 2012

Manchester City (2.25) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (3.5)

Potentially the title decider. Well, its almost certain if City don't win then United will win the league but even if City win, they still might not win it due to the tricky away fixture at Newcastle. City were given a lifeline with Everton getting a draw at Old Trafford. City beat Wolves 2-0 afterwards to close the gap to 3 points but the performance was far from convincing. There has been a revival at City but who have they played? West Brom, Norwich and Wolves. No exactly top class teams. I think that Aguero and Tezez make a great partnership though, much better than Dzeko or Balotelli. Balotelli could return for this which I think will be a bad thing for City. United come in to this game, knowing a draw would be great. A lot depends on how Fergusson approaches this. He could pack the midfield and put Rooney up front by himself. A 0-0 would be an excellent result. Tricky one to bet on but I am going for City. On paper they are a better side. They are 2.1 at bet365 which isn't the greatest price but they are giving away a free in running bet up to the value of a bet placed beforehand. See site for details but its one of the best free offers for the game.
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Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 21 Apr 2012 02:24:47 +0000
21st - 22nd April 2012
21st April 2012

Arsenal (2.1) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (4)

Poor showing from Arsenal on Monday to lose 2-1 at home to Wigan. I think they missed Arteta in midfield and he will be out for the season. To some, the loss wouldn't have been much of a surprise. After all, Wigan had just beaten Manchester United and would have beaten Chelsea if it wasn't for the referee. Also, some of Arsenals wins have just been lucky. Chelsea played a stunning game against Barcelona on Wednesday. With only 28% of the possession and 1 shot on target, they managed to beat Barcelona 1-0. Unbelievable. Drogba won't be playing in this game due to an injury and Di Matteo is going to be rotating his squad due to them having to face Barcelona in the second leg on Tuesday. Chelsea were great against Spurs in the FA Cup last weekend too. If he puts out a half decent side I think they can win this. 4.0 is a massive price at Bet Victor
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Aston Villa (2.4) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.4)

It is a good job that Villa picked up points early in the season because their squad is down to the bare bones and they aren't getting the results. Only the 1 win in 11. Last round they were thrashed 4-0 by an average Manchester United side. They'll stay up though as there are 3 teams below them that won't be able to catch them. Sunderland have gone off the boil recently. No goal in their last 3 games. Against Spurs and Everton that's understandable but against bottom of the table Wolves, that's shocking. O'Neil will try getting them fired up for this game against his former team but I do sometimes feel that he inherited a limited squad that has over performed. I think this could end in a draw. It's a result both sides would be happy with I think. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.7) Norwich (3.8)

5 losses in a row now for Blackburn. It was looking so good for them a month ago but its all gone wrong. Good news is that Yakubu and Hoilett should be fit for this game. With the way they played last weekend against Swansea though, its unlikely they'll be able to get anything from anyone in this league and deserve to go down. On paper, Norwich were thrashed 6-1 by City last round. 4 of those goals were in the last 20 minutes though and before then at 2-1 it was nervy for City. The previous game they beat Spurs 2-1 at White Hart Lane which they were the better team. If they can beat Spurs I can see them beating this poor Blackburn side. I'll play it safe though with draw no bet at 2.75 at bluesquare. I just can't see how Blackburn can win this but they may be able to get a draw.

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Swansea (3.6)

With 2 games in hand and only 2 points behind QPR, Bolton are odds against to stay up. Recent performances suggest they can do. They were unlucky to lose 2-0 to Newcastle last round. They were playing well and it was only a late wonder goal by Ben Arfa than un did them. Cisse scored one as well to make the victory look comfortable for Newcastle but Bolton did play really well and probably deserved something out of it. Swansea stopped their run of 4 straight losses last round with a 3-0 beating of Blackburn. Blackburn have been extremely poor though and I am not convinced that their brand of football can work. Too much passing around the back so they possession stats look good but if teams push them up the pitch they are easily beaten. I think Bolton can do it. Bolton are 2.3 at Bet Victor.

Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.7) Wigan (4.33)

Fulham have found some good form recently. Last round I thought they were well worth their point against Chelsea. They had the better chances. Clint Dempsey is in fine scoring form for them. Their form is topped by Wigan's though. 4 wins in the last 5 including Manchester United, Liverpool and Arsenal. You could say they are the Premiership's in form team. It'd be 5/5 if the referee wouldn't have given the offside goals against them at Stanford Bridge where Chelsea beat them 2-1. The odds on for Fulham are not tempting at all. They are against a team that have just beat 1st and 3rd in the league. Wigan +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap is 2.02 at bet365.

Newcastle (1.7) Draw (3.8) Stoke (5.8)

Fantastic form for Newcastle. Ba and Cisse make up a great strike partnership and Ben Arfa is class too. Tiote, Guthrie and Obertan could be back in the side after injury. Newcastle have won their last 5 game and the last 4 by 2 clear goals. Stoke's form has been pretty indifferent. Some good draws I suppose but they haven't got anything to play for now. They've never been the best travelling side anyway. I am going to go for Newcastle here. They are playing like a top 4 team and aren't priced right IMO. I think Spurs were only about 1.4 when Stoke went to the Lane last month. Newcastle at 1.7 is a great bet at PaddyPower.

QPR (4) Draw (3.75) Tottenham (2)

QPR lost their last game 1-0 away to West Brom. Nothing wrong with their performance and their away form has been much poorer than their home form. In the last 3 home games, they have managed to beat Liverpool, Arsenal and Swansea. Not easy fixtures to win. Cisse will be available for this game after returning from suspension. Its not known whether he'll play though as he hasn't exactly shined since his move to QPR. Spurs bad run of form continues. Only 1 win in the last 8 in the Premier League and then last weekend, they lost 5-1 in the FA Cup to Spurs. I can't understand the reason for the dip in form. It coincided with Harry being in the frame for the England job but that can't have caused such a change in fortunes. At 4.0 QPR is the only bet to have here. Spurs haven't even scored away from home in the last 3. QPR are 4.0 at bet365.

22nd April 2012

Manchester United (1.36) Draw (5.5) Everton FC (11)

Routine home win for Manchester United last weekend. Villa aren't the strongest of opponents though and the weaknesses that Wigan exploited the game before are probably still there, namely a poor midfield. Rooney has been off form and been subbed twice in the last 2 games. Everton were disappointing the FA Cup semi final against Liverpool. They took the lead but some poor defending let Liverpool win the game 2-1. The outcome of this game depends on how Everton respond to that defeat. Is that season over now for them? Possibly, they still could easily finish above Liverpool though which they will want to aim for. The 11.0 does look like it has some value. I am going to go for United to win to nil though. Its one of those bets that has paid out the last 4 home games. Its 2.2 at Skybet. New customers get £10 no deposit when they sign up. Bet with their money.

Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.75) West Brom (8)

Great cup form for Liverpool. They came back from 1-0 down to beat Everton 2-1. Andy Carroll scoring the winner again after breaking Blackburn hearts with a late winner the Premiership game before. The fans will expect the cup form to spill over in to the league where its not been so great. They are currently in 8th which is the lowest I've seen them with just 5 games to go. West Brom are a team that are blowing hot and cold. Any performance is possible. I suppose Hodgson would love to get a result here from his former club. I am never comfortable backing Liverpool at home to anyone due to the amount of draws they had at home. I think the 4.75 at Boylesports is the best value here.

Wolverhampton (13) Draw (6.5) Manchester City (1.25)

Wolves stopped their losing streak with a 0-0 at Sunderland. Its not enough to keep them up though. They down. City look stunning now with Aguero and Tevez up front. This is the shortest away price in the Premiership I have ever seen. Even Manchester United at home this weekend pays out more. I think its bet on the handicap or win to nil. City -2 on the Asian Handicap is 2.2 at PaddyPower. I think they should clear that easily. If you think 1-0 or 2-0 are likely then the win to nil bet is probably better. It's 2.1 at Skybet. I prefer the handicap though as Wolves may get a lucky goal but I don't think they'll be able to stop City scoring 3-4 goals.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 14 Apr 2012 00:33:55 +0000
14th - 16th April 2012
14th April 2012

Norwich (7) Draw (4.3) Manchester City (1.57)

Fantastic result for Norwich against Spurs last round. I was surprised as anyone as Spurs are fighting for that 4th spot and Norwich's season is pretty much over in terms of what they can achieve. The 2-1 win at the Lane wasn't a smash and grab either. It was as likely to finish 3-1 as 2-2. City's title hopes are not quite over. The defeat of Manchester United at Wigan give them a glimmer of hope. City thrashed West Brom 4-0 last game. They were the City we saw at the beginning of the season. With Aguero and Tevez upfront they are a force to be reckoned with and Silva looked back in form too. Its as if City have been gifted a second shot at the title by the footballing gods. I think they will take the chance. It's 1.57 at Bet Victor.

Sunderland (1.55) Draw (4.5) Wolverhampton (7)

Sunderland were thrashed 4-0 by Everton their bogie team last round. They were dominated and didn't even have a single shot on target. O'Neil will want something from his players this game to make up. Nicklas Bendtner may return which will give them some more firepower. John O'Shea and Fraizer Campbell could also be back. Wolves had no chance against Arsenal last round. They were 1-0 down and down to 10 men with 10 minutes. They did well to finish the game with the score only at 3-0. Nothing has gone right for them since sacking McCarthy. I can't see them getting anything here. Maybe if Sunderland would have got something from Everton I might be tempted to put something on Wolves but O'Neil will get a performance from them this week. I'm going to go for Sunderland -1 on the Asian Handicap. It's 1.86 at Ladbrokes. I can see them winning this by a couple of goals.

Swansea (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4)

Swansea's brand of football may have been found out. They have plenty of possession but the passing is always backwards or sideways and very rarely forward. They have now lost 4 games in a row. Teams are pressing them high up the pitch and getting results. Blackburn are going though another slump. 3 weeks ago, it looked like they were going to pull out of the relegation battle but 4 defeats in a row and unexpected turnarounds at Wigan and QPR put them right back in it. They had a bit of good fortune against Liverpool last round and were looking the more likely to win. Only a stoppage time Liverpool goal denied them a point. With both sides in terrible form and not scoring it made me think that under 2.5 goals might be a decent shout here but I am going to go with Blackburn +0.5 goals on the Asian Handicap. It's 1.95 at bet365. That covers the draw and the Blackburn win. None of the 3 results would surprise me so may as well put a bet on that covers 2 of the outcomes.

West Brom (2.2) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.7)

West Brom were thrashed midweek by a resurgent Manchester City side. Hodgson did rest a few players though knowing that it was going to be a tough game. They should be back to full strength this game. Their home form is steadily improving. They have actually won 3 of their last 4 games at home to nil. Their lost was against Newcastle. QPR have surprised many. A month ago, they were looking doomed but 3 home wins out of 3 have pulled them out of the relegation zone. These haven't been teams around them either, its been Liverpool, Arsenal and Swansea. The last away game was at Old Trafford which despite playing with 10 men for most of the game, they only lost 2-0. I am going to go with West Brom here. Players will be a lot fresher and they have home advantage. They are 2.2 at Bet Victor.
15th April 2012

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Aston Villa (15)

Poor performance midweek from United. They deserved to lose to Wigan and probably by more than the 1 goal. Paul Scholes was rested so maybe that has something to do with it. It must broke a lot of peoples' accumulators that loss. It certainly killed a big one of mine. Some people say it has been coming though. United haven't been playing well at all and someone was going to suss them out sooner or later. Poor form from Villa puts them at risk of being sucked in to the relegation zone. They have only won 1 in the last 10 which was a late win against Fulham at home. This looks like a home win. United can't play as poorly as they did against Wigan. As usual, I will go for United to win to nil. Its 2.0 at PaddyPower.

16th April 2012

Arsenal (1.29) Draw (6) Wigan (12)

Arsenal are the in form team at the moment. I watched with amazement they was they battered Manchester City who are arguably the best team in the league on paper. They have won 9 out of their last 10 games. Last round they played Wolves which was over as a contest after 11 minutes. Arsenal were 2-0 up and Wolves down to 10 men. Wigan need a relegation battle before they get going. They have won 3 of the last 4 games and were unlucky to lose against Chelsea. They could have won that on another day. The best result I suppose was the victory over Manchester United last round though. They fully deserved the victory and has a perfectly good goal disallowed in the first half too. From a betting perspective, this is tricky. Arsenal are far too short against a team that has just beaten the league leaders and Liverpool at Anfield in the last month. If Arsenal are going to win, they'll have to score 2 goals at least because I can see Wigan scoring. I suppose the logical bet is over 2.5 goals. Its currently 1.57 at Coral. Not great either but I prefer it to the Arsenal straight win.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 06 Apr 2012 18:55:58 +0000
7th - 8th April 2012
7th April 2012

Sunderland (3.4) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.3)

Sunderland nearly pulled off upset of the season last week by defeating Manchester City at the Etihad. They were deservedly 3-1 up with 5 minutes to go. City scored 2 late goals to salvage a point though. Bendtner's not looking too bad nowadays. I did think that it was season over for Sunderland after getting knocked out of the cup but they are still playing strong. Spurs got their first league win in 6 against Swansea last weekend. I think it has something to do with Lennon being back in the side. They seem to get better results when him and Bale are playing on the wings. I think Spurs can nick with one. Sunderland have go to come down at some point and Spurs have the quality to beat them. Spurs are 2.3 at PaddyPower.

Bolton (2.63) Draw (3.5) Fulham (2.8)

The momentum is definitely with Bolton. The Muamba incident seems to have galvanised the team. They are looking for win number 4 on the bounce. Last weekend they beat Wolves 3-2 after going a goal down and previously beaten Blackburn and QPR at home. Fulham beat Norwich last weekend 2-1. They always play their best football at home though and on the road they aren't the same team. Saying that, I was really impressed with them at Manchester United a couple of weeks ago. They should have had a late penalty and would have got a point if that would have gone in. I don't think Bolton will lose this game but I am not convinced they are the type of team to be able to win 4 in a row. Draw for me. Its 3.5 at Boylesports.

Chelsea (1.3) Draw (6) Wigan (13)

Chelsea struggled against Benfica in the Champions League midweek. They were playing against 10 men for most of the game and it only was a stoppage time breakaway goal that gave them the win. I was embarrassed for English football. (As a side tip, Barcelona at 1.8 on the 18th to beat Chelsea is almost like buying money). Coach Di Matteo will be able to rotate his squad though and bring out a stronger team maybe. They really have to get 4th place to get in to next years Champions League. Wigan keep on surprising. Its as if they need a relegation battle to get going. That 1-1 draw against Norwich was the turning point for them. Since then they have beaten Stoke and Liverpool as well as got a draw against West Brom. I wouldn't put it past them to get something here either. 1.3 on the home win to too risky for me considering how poor Chelsea have been this season. The draw at 6.0 at bet365 is the best value of the 3 possible outcomes I think.

Liverpool (1.45) Draw (4.6) Aston Villa (9)

Another week, another loss for Liverpool. They are the bookies best friend. I can't believe they were favourite going in to the Newcastle game last weekend. They lost 2-0 and were out played. Their midfield is just not good enough. Who are Spearing and Shelvey? Reina is also suspended due to the red card last weekend. Villa lost again last weekend but there were some signs for hope. They were 2-0 down and got it back to 2-2 before losing 4-2. Captain, Petrov is out and they are missing Darren Bent. N Zogbia might be back though so that will boost them. Looking at the odds, there is no way I can be backing Liverpool at 1.45. They have relegation type form. I think its worth taking a punt on the away win here. Villa are a massive 9.0 at Boylesports.

Norwich (3) Draw (3.4) Everton FC (2.6)

Norwich lost 2-1 to Fulham last weekend. No shame in that. They have gone off the boil a bit but I suppose they have nothing to play for now. Holt is back in the squad after serving a suspension and Pilkington could return following a hamstring injury. That'll boost their goal scoring capabilities. Everton still have a lot to play for. Next weekend they have Liverpool in the FA Cup and if they want to finish above them too in the league. I think some of the players will be playing for a place in that cup side so I expect them to be well motivated for this game. Saying that, it's a tricky game to call. I probably wouldn't have Everton as favourites here. Norwich aren't a bad side and with Holt and Pilkington in the side, they certainly have the potential to score goals. It's the draw for me. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

West Brom (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.2)

Since that win against Chelsea on the 3rd March, West Brom have lost 3 and drawn 1 against Wigan which they should have lost too. They have just gone off the boil a little bit. Blackburn were a little unlucky to go down 2-0 to Manchester United on Monday. It was even for most of the game and it looked like they could hold out for a 0-0 but United being United won it late. Any side with Yakubu and Hoilett in is more than capable of winning a fixture like this. With West Brom there seems to have been no home advantage for them. They play better away from home than they do at home. I am going to go for a Blackburn win here. 4.2 at Boylesports is a big price.

Stoke (1.67) Draw (4) Wolverhampton (6.5)

No win in 4 for Stoke. Last game they lost 2-0 at Wigan. I guess its season over for them. They did pull out a decent performance the weekend before though with a 1-1 draw against City and Crouch scoring what could be goal of the season. Wolves are gone now. They have only took 1 point from the last 21 available. The board must be regretting sacking McCarthy. I don't see any way out for them. With Stoke being traditionally a strong home side, I can see them winning this comfortably. Stoke are 1.67 at Betfred.

8th April 2012

Manchester United (1.2) Draw (8) QPR (17)

Manchester United are looking great for retaining their title. It was a lot tougher game at Blackburn than the 2-0 scoreline suggests. They just know how to grind out the results. QPR have taken a couple of big scalps at home and with a little help from Manchester United have pulled out of the relegation zone. The maybe were lucky against Liverpool but where good value for their win against Arsenal. The away form leaves something to be desired though and I think it would be too much to ask for them to get something from Old Trafford. I am going for my current favourite bet with United which is them to win to nil. It's 1.91 at PaddyPower.

Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (3)

Arsenal's luck ran out at QPR last weekend. They were well beaten 2-1 at QPR. The Van Persie goals are drying up. They have other goal scorers but he's been the main driver. After last weekend's 3-3 draw at home to Sunderland and Manchester United's win over Blackburn, its pretty much win here or concede the title for City. Aguero is back so maybe they can win it. They have lacked the width to their game but with Aguero's quality they'll be able to score down the middle. I can't see them losing this. I've gone City draw no bet at 2.1 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 30 Mar 2012 21:49:01 +0000
31st March - 2nd April 2012
31st March 2012

Aston Villa (5) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (1.85)

Villa were well and truly beaten by Arsenal last round 3-0. If they weren't already on 33 points I'd be worried about them. Its just good fortune for them that there are 3 worse teams below them in the league. The bad news for them is that captain Stiliyan Petrov is out after being diagnosed with acute leukaemia. Chelsea managed a win in the Champions League with several of the first team rested. I guess Di Matteo was playing for the draw in that and got lucky with the win. I expect the first teamers to return for this game fresh. The Champions League probably isn't winnable this year as they'll have to get past Barcelona in the next round so qualifying for next year's competition is probably more urgent. For me, it's a Chelsea win all day long. It's 1.85 at PaddyPower.

Everton FC (1.87) Draw (3.6) West Brom (4.75)

Two great results for Everton away from home at places where you think they wouldn't get anything. First of all, they managed an upset at Swansea beating them 2-0 and then winning by the same score line at Sunderland in the FA Cup. That's pretty much their season now. They can't really get anywhere in the league. Well, they can over take Liverpool with a win here but I think Moyes is putting everything in to the FA Cup. West Brom were thrashed 3-1 at home by Newcastle last round. Hodgson will want a strong response from them. Strangely, their best results have been away from home this season. Looking at the odds, I think West Brom have to be backed. Its pretty much a nothingness game for both teams but 4.75 is much better than 1.87 so I'm going with West Brom at PaddyPower.

Fulham (1.73) Draw (3.9) Norwich (5.5)

Fulham maybe should have got a point last round against Manchester United. They were denied a late penalty which surely would have made it 1-1. They haven't scored in their last 3 games and Pavel Pogrebnyak isn't looking as good as when he first debuted. Norwich stopped their slide with a 2-1 win over Wolves. As I thought though, any team can beat Wolves in the state they are in. It cost them their captain though. Grant Holt was sent off and will miss this game. I really can't understand the odds here. Norwich are 3 points ahead of Fulham but are a massive 5.5. I know there's home advantage but 1.73 for a team that has lost it's last 3 games to nil? Norwich for me, it's 5.5 at William Hill.

Manchester City (1.25) Draw (6.5) Sunderland (15)

City slipped up last weekend at Stoke. It was a pretty obvious that without Aguero and Kompany, City might struggle at Stoke. 1-1 was probably a fair result. Kompany will be back this weekend but Aguero is out injured. I am not a fan of Dzeko or Balotelli so I am hoping that Tevez will start or come on and play a big part in this game. Sunderland crashed out of the FA Cup with a 2-0 home loss to Everton. I guess that is season over for them now. Since O'Neil has took over, I think they have over performed. I can't see them getting anything here at all. City have so much to play for whereas Sunderland are looking forward to next season. Top price of 1.25 is not that appealing but fair. I am going for City to win to nil at 2.0 at Ladbrokes.

QPR (6) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.62)

It's looking grim for QPR. It was the perfect time to play Sunderland and pick up some vital points away from home but discipline has cost them again. 11 vs 11 was going to be tough but when D Cisse was sent off after 55 minutes it was game over. He'll be suspended for 4 games now. That 3-2 win over Liverpool looks even more freakish now. Arsenal are firing on all cylinders. They have had their share of luck but are also joint top of the current form table with 6 wins out of 6. In their 3-0 win over Villa they had 3 different goal scorers which didn't include Van Persie. Odds on Arsenal might not be great but I suppose that's all you can expect on current form. I can see this being another win for Arsenal. I think if they turn on the style they could win this 4 or 5 nil but with some of Arsenal's performances a 1-0 ground out victory wouldn't be surprising either. It'll just stick with the straight win at 1.62 at Bet Victor.

Wigan (2.7) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.88)

Wigan continue to surprise. Just when you think they are down and out, they go pull off a shock win at Liverpool. Its as if Wigan only perform when the pressure is on. Every season they are facing relegation and every season they manage to stay up. Still no Rodallega to get the goals. As with all teams facing relegation, it's the shortage of goals that's causing the problem. Stoke managed to get a point of City last weekend, which will have give Manchester United a boost in the title race. Crouch probably got goal of the season with that fantastic strike. This game is a tricky one as the odds suggest. I will go with the home win though as Wigan need it more than Stoke do. The Stoke players will be taking their feet off the peddle sooner or later. Wigan are 2.7 at Boylesports.

Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.5) Bolton (3.1)

Wolves must be kicking themselves for sacking Mick McCarthy. Since that date, they have drawn 1 and lost 4 with no end in sight. The only glimmer of hope is that Wolves managed to score a goal last game. I think they are down now. Maybe the board knew that when they sacked McCarthy and its just a case of rebuilding next season. Bolton managed to beat Blackburn last weekend. With hindsight it was obvious. With Muamba in hospital, the team played for him. That win has pulled them out of the relegation zone. I think they can build on that. I still think Wolves are doomed and it should be profitable to back against them every week. Bolton are 3.1 at bet365.

1st April 2012

Newcastle (3.1) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2.5)

Excellent win last weekend for Newcastle last weekend beating West Brom 3-1. It puts them 8 points clear of Liverpool. Papiss Cisse has been a great signing. With him and Demba Ba they have goals in them. For Liverpool, they had a terrible weekend. Not many would have tipped them to lose to relegation candidates, Wigan at home. If it was an isolated incident, you could put it down to one of those days but they have lost 5 of the last 6 league games. The only win was against Everton who played a weakened team. I don't know why they are favourites for this game. Newcastle are in much better form and are at home. Odds should be the other way round at best. I think Newcastle on the Asian Handicap at Bet Victor is the way to play this one. It's 2.29. Its safer than the 3.1 for the straight win which is also great value. Something is wrong with that Liverpool side at the moment and its been a gold mine backing against them these past few weeks.

Tottenham (1.44) Draw (4.8) Swansea (9.5)

Spurs seemed to have shook off that bad spell they went through. Not only did they come through the FA Cup tie, convincing 3-1 winners over Bolton. There were signs last weekend against Chelsea that they were bouncing back. The game finished 0-0 but Spurs finished the stronger side and should have really won that. Lennon is back for Spurs too. I think they are always better when he is in the squad. All was going so well for Swansea but then they lose at home to Everton. Maybe that's season over for Swansea. They've done great this season and are 10th with 39 points, they'll not go down. I suppose I could make a case for there being some value in the 9.5 on the away win. Previously, they did go to Fulham and win 3-0 there. I wouldn't put any one off backing Swansea at 9.5 but I just think that Spurs have turned the corner and with Chelsea hot on their heels for 4th place, they'll want to win this more than Swansea. Spurs are 1.44 at PaddyPower.

2nd April 2012

Blackburn (9) Draw (5) Manchester United (1.4)

Blackburn's mini-resurgence came to an end with the lost to Bolton last weekend. With all the emotions over Fabrice Muamba, that was understandable. Manchester United were very lucky to get the 1-0 win over Fulham last Monday. Fulham were denied a stonewalled penalty, late on. For the rest of the game though, United did dominate and they really should have had the game in the bag before the end. Can Blackburn do what they did to United back at the end of December by beating them? They have goals in them and United have looked shaky at times. I will take a chance on Blackburn here. Its 9.0 at Bet Victor. It'll probably lose but there is more than a 11% chance of Blackburn causing an upset here. I've seen United play badly on more than 1 occasion this season and sooner or later they will get punished for it.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 23 Mar 2012 19:22:20 +0000
24th - 26th March 2012
24th March 2012

Chelsea (1.91) Draw (3.7) Tottenham (4.5)

Chelsea played an OK game against City midweek and were a bit unlucky to lose. They were leading 1-0 and had City contained but it was a penalty that got City back in it. Torres playing well but still no goals for him. Terry should be back for this game which I think favours Spurs. He's slow nowadays and the Spurs front men will run circles around him. What's happened to Spurs? Could actually be nothing. The home draw against Stoke was worrying but there was no shame in losing to Arsenal and Everton away and Manchester United at home. No Aaron Lennon or Adebayor but they have players than can replace them. I am not totally convinced about Chelsea. They sacked their manager and then won against Birmingham in the cup, beat Stoke 1-0, won at home in the Champions League and then beat Leicester 5-2 in the Cup. That's not really that impressive. I still think the Chelsea side is too old and the younger Spurs side with their pace should have the edge here. I am going for Spurs on the Asian handicap. It's +0.5 at 2.02 at bet365.

Arsenal (1.36) Draw (5) Aston Villa (10)

Some cracking form for Arsenal. They have won their last 6 league games and are now in 3rd place. They had some bits of luck to get them there. A couple of last minute goals against Liverpool and Newcastle to win and Everton having a good goal ruled off side. Van Persie still in top form but as well Walcott has been playing excellently. Villa haven't played for a couple of weeks. Last game, they scored late on to beat Fulham 1-0. Its pretty much season over for Villa. Nothing really to play for now. They are on 33 points but with 10 games left, they'll pick up enough to survive. I suppose 1.36 is all you are going to get for this game with the way Arsenal are playing. I am not convinced though. Backing Arsenal at low prices is not for the feint hearted. I think this is one to back if Arsenal go behind.

Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (3)

All the talk about this game will be about how Fabrice Muamba's collapse at White Hart Lane will affect the Bolton team. The game could have been called off but Owen Colyle must believe his team are focused again on playing. Last league outing, they beat fellow strugglers QPR 2-1 which helped their cause but they still remain in the relegation zone after good results by Blackburn and QPR. Blackburn have found some form at the right time beating Wolves and Sunderland to pull themselves 5 points clear of the drop zone. Yakubu is on top form and when you have a striker like that, you are going to win games. I don't know whether they can make it 3 in a row here. Few ordinary teams can win 3 games in a row. Looking at the odds, I am going to go with a draw. Top price out of the 3 and just as likely as any of the other results. Its 3.5 at Bet Victor.

Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5.5) Wigan (13)

I have no idea what happened to Liverpool midweek. I don't think anyone does. They were 2-0 with 20 minutes to go, totally dominant and end up losing 3-2. Maybe some complacency has crept in. Some good solid performance from Liverpool of late. They did deserve that 3-0 league win over Everton and the 2-1 win over Stoke in the league. They should bounce back strong but at 1.33 its hard to make the case for backing them. Wigan have lost the one in the last 6 but have also only won 1 in the last 14. Its not good reading but there are some signs of improvement. On another day, they would have comfortably beat West Brom such as their dominance but they only managed a draw. It's hard to make a case for anyone coming to Anfield and winning. Only Arsenal have managed it and they were so lucky. A draw wouldn't be out of the question though as Liverpool are only 5-8-1 at home. I would prefer the 5.5 on the draw than 1.33 on the home win. Its 5.5 at bet365.

Norwich (1.8) Draw (3.8) Wolverhampton (5)

No win in 4 for Norwich now. They had a bad game against Wigan but apart from that have played OK. With 36 points they've been safe for a while. This slump they've had means they have dropped to 14th place but no danger in going down at all. Wolves have lost the plot I think. They've got to know they are down. 12-0 in aggregate from their last 3 games. So even though Norwich are going through this slump I'll back them. In fact, I'd back anyone in the Premiership at the moment to beat Wolves. Its 1.8 at PaddyPower.

Sunderland (2.1) Draw (3.5) QPR (4)

Sunderland are on the drift for this game. The bookies are thinking that O'Neil will have half an eye on the FA Cup replay. I suppose QPRs super comeback against Liverpool is playing a part in the drifting odds too. QPR were battered by Liverpool, 2-0 down with 20 minutes to go, they came back and won it 3-2. That's got to have given QPR a boost and some belief they can stay up. O'Neil isn't known for playing weakened sides though. You could have made a similar argument midweek when they played Blackburn. They ended up losing 2-0 but O'Neil did play as strong side and on another day could have got a draw out of that game. Stephane Sessegnon is back for this game too. I think 2.1 at Bet Victor for the home win is great.

Swansea (2.25) Draw (3.4) Everton FC (3.6)

A great run of form Swansea have been on. Wigan away, City at home and Fulham away. Not the easiest of games but all won to nil. They are only 3 points behind Liverpool and its not beyond the realms of possibility that they could catch them. Everton have been on a decent run of form but the FA Cup tie has stretched their resources. Moyes rested players for the Merseyside derby before the cup tie. They have a replay Tuesday night which is all they really have to play for this season. I can see him resting players again. This is why I think that this is a fantastic price on the home win. Maybe if both teams were at full strength and up for it, the odds would be about right but Swansea are the home side, have won their last 3 and are playing an Everton team that are more interested in a cup replay than this. Its currently 2.25 at PaddyPower for the Swansea win but I don't think that price will last. I think they should be odds on easily.

Stoke (6.25) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (1.67)

Three tough games in a row for Stoke. A loss to Chelsea and Liverpool and an unlikely point against Spurs. Even though Spurs only equalised in stoppage time, Stoke were lucky to get anything from that game. I think they put it all in for the FA Cup game against Liverpool at the weekend. Excellent comeback for City midweek. It was looking grim for them but a penalty and a great Samir Nasri goal gave them all 3 points and some much needed momentum. The loss at Swansea was devastating in terms of their title hopes. I can see them winning all their home games but they do have some tricky away fixtures including this one. The good news is that Tevez is back in the team. Mario Balotelli and Edin Dzeko are so over rated. Sergio Agüero and Carlos Tevez upfront is the dream team and probably would allow them to get back to their winning ways away from home. Captain Vincent Kompany is back too which will boost their defence. I am going for a City win. They have to win this or United may as well have the title now. City to win is 1.67 at PaddyPower.

25th March 2012

West Brom (2.38) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.3)

West Brom's mini-revival seems to have come off the rails. After that run where they beat Wolves, Sunderland and Chelsea, they lost at Old Trafford and then were very lucky to get a point from Wigan. They only had the 1 shot on target and scored it. Peter Odemwingie their top scorer should return for this game. Alan Pardew has set his sights on a Europa League place this season. Their little mini-slump where they went 4 games without a win has put them out of Champions League contention. They stopped the slide last weekend with a 1-0 win over Norwich. I am leaning more towards Newcastle with this game. West Brom have blown hot and cold this season and I think its time for them to blow cold again. You can get Newcastle on the Asian Handicap +0.25 at even money at bet365.

26th March 2012
Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6) Fulham (15)

A pretty simple game to finish off this week. United demolished Wolves last weekend 5-0 after Wolves were reduced to 10 men. United are so clinincal in front of goal that they can play badly and still win. In the Wolves game, they had 9 shots on target and scored 5 of them. Fulham were outclassed at home to Swansea. I guess if this was an ordinary fixture for them, they'd be expected to bounce back with a win but no one expects them to win at Old Trafford and they won't. 1.25 is the best you'll get on the straight win but you can get even money at Skybet for them to win to nil. United beat Wolves and West Brom to nil in their last 2 games and Fulham have lost their last 2 games to nil. Also, new user using the bonus code BET10 can get a free no deposit £10 bet at Skybet
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Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 17 Mar 2012 12:17:56 +0000
17th - 18th March 2012
17th March 2012

Fulham (1.85) Draw (3.6) Swansea (4.8)

Fulham were quite unlucky to concede in stoppage time to lose at Villa last week. No great loss though. Fulham have always been strongest at home with no loss in 5 there with some impressive hammerings of Wolves and Newcastle. Swansea were looking like they could get sucked in to the relegation battle but wins against Wigan and Manchester City put them level on points with their opponents. Nether of these teams are in danger of going down now. Odds are a little short for my liking on the home win but it will be my pick for this game. Its 1.85 at Bet Victor

Wigan (2.9) Draw (3.4) West Brom (2.7)

A strong display at Norwich last weekend gives Wigan some hope. Just as everyone writes them off they put in a performance like that and it gives them hope. The easily could have won that game and Norwich would have had no complaints. West Brom's fine run of form ended last weekend at Old Trafford. I guess there is no shame in that. Practically everyone loses at Manchester United. Peter Odemwingie looks like he's out for this game as well as Jonas Olsson being out suspended so that'll be good for Wigan. I see this as a must win game for Wigan and I am willing to back them at 2.9 at Boylesports.

18th March 2012

Wolverhampton (10) Draw (5.25) Manchester United (1.36)

Wolves new manager boost didn't last long. Since they got that unlikely draw at Newcastle they have lost 5-0 to Fulham and 2-0 at home to Blackburn. I can't see them repeating the victory they had last year when they came from a goal down to win 2-1. United went out of the Europa League on Thursday. Outclassed by the Spanish opposition, they can now concentrate on the league. Rooney didn't play well but still managed to score an excellent goal. A win here would put them 4 points clear of City. I cannot see how this limited Wolves side can stop them. Its just a case of what to be on. I don't think Wolves will be able to score. Manchester United are a massive 2.5 to win to nil at bluesquare. Much better value than the 1.36 on the straight win.

Newcastle (1.85) Draw (3.75) Norwich (4.75)

Extremely unlucky for Newcastle last round against Arsenal. They played well and it was only an unfortunate slip that let Arsenal score a 95th minute winner. That is no win in 4 now though and surely Liverpool will overtake them for that 6th spot. Norwich were fortunate to get a draw against Wigan last weekend. They were having an off day and Wigan were fighting for the lives. Still, Norwich shouldn't be underestimated where they are 4-4-6. They played fantastically at Stoke the week before an maybe should have got a draw out of it. I am not like the price on the home win here. Newcastle haven't been getting the results at home recently and I'll not be backing them at 1.85. I think the draw at 3.75 at Skybet is better value. Get a £10 no deposit bet when you sign up.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 10 Mar 2012 09:45:43 +0000
10th - 12th March 2012
10th March 2012

Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.1)

Tough times for Bolton. 4 defeats on the bounce after looking like they were going to turn the corner. You could forgive the Manchester City and Chelsea losses but losing at home to Wigan was a massive blow. Kevin Davis will be back for this game so they'll be better up front. QPR aren't doing much better than Bolton. They at least managed to get a draw against and in form Everton last weekend. Strange because on paper, you'd expect them to be flying. They have a much better team than Bolton and Hughes is supposedly a world class manager. Personally, I don't rate Hughes. He's certainly no Martin O'Neil. I am going to go with the draw here. Its an early kick off and so I think goals will be hard to come by. Draw is also the best price. Its 3.4 at Bet Victor.

Aston Villa (2.5) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)

Last time Villa won was 21st January. Since then its been 2 losses and 3 draws. No Bent but N'Zogbia is a decent enough replacement. They should stay up comfortably just on the basis that they are 8 points clear of the drop zone and there are 5 teams below them. Still not a good position considering the team they have. Fulham are on a 3 game winning streak, can they make it 4? I don't see why not. Their new signing Pavel Pogrebnyak managed a hat trick last weekend. They do save their best football for the home games but they did manage an away win at QPR a couple of weeks ago. I don't see them losing here but I also think they are more likely to draw than win. The draw is 3.3 at Skybet.

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (4.75) Stoke (10)

Fairly good start for Chelsea under new manager, Di Matteo. A 2-0 win against Birmingham in the FA Cup. Mata missed a penalty as well so it could have been better. We'll see now whether it was the manager holding Chelsea back or the players just not good enough. Torres certainly isn't good enough. Stoke are in their familiar mid table position after 2 home wins against Swansea and Norwich. They were going through a bad patch but those wins have made their position look a lot better. Betting wise, I can see a Chelsea win here. With AVB in charge, maybe I would have gone for the upset but the players have something to prove now and they have got some talent in that side. It's 1.44 at bluesquare.

Sunderland (4.1) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.05)

Sunderland were a tad unlucky not to get all 3 points at Newcastle last weekend. Newcastle equalised deep in to stoppage time. They had to play a third of the match with 10 men and then had Lee Cattermole sent off after the whistle. He'll miss this game as well as Sessegnon, who is their main goal scoring threat. Liverpool were equally unlucky not to beat Arsenal last weekend. Liverpool were much more threatening with the ball and always looked more likely to score. The post saved Arsenal on a couple of occasions and Liverpool missed a penalty too. Szczesny made some fantastic saves to keep Arsenal in it. I am actually really surprised at the odds here. No way should Liverpool be even money. Liverpool have only won 1 league game in the last 7 played and that was against a struggling Wolves side. Sunderland may have lost the O'Neil invincibility but they can still get results and they are the home side. If it weren't for the suspensions on the Sunderland side, I'd be on Sunderland strongly. I still will be but I'm not as happy as I would be if Sessengnon was up front. Sunderland win is 4.1 at Bet Victor
Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3.2)

Wolves took at a battering at the hands of Fulham last weekend. It was much different from the team that clawed their way back from 2-0 at Newcastle to draw 2-2. I personally think they are going down and they need to get ready for Championship football next season. Blackburn are level on points with Wolves at the bottom and could be joining them but I feel that they have a better squad and have a goal scorer in Yakubu. They have scored 8 more goals that Wolves this season. Usually when teams get a beating, they come back strong but I don't see anything in that Wolves side that makes me think they will this time. For me it's the draw or Blackburn. Blackburn +0.25 on the Asian Handicap is 1.85 at bet365

Everton FC (3) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.63)

Everton may have been fortunate to get a draw from QPR last weekend but that is 6 unbeaten in the league now. The last 2 home results have been exceptional with wins over Manchester City and Chelsea. It usually does take a while for Everton to get going but once they do, they are hard to beat. Spurs seems to have gone off the boil a little bit. I don't know how they lost to Manchester United last weekend though. They dominated all the statistics apart from the number of goals scored. United had 5 shots on target and scored 3 of them. Spurs had 8 shots as well 58% of the possession. They'll welcome back Parker, Bale and Van Der Vaart who were missing last weekend. Earlier on in the season making money was easy just betting on Spurs and backing against Everton. No as simple for this game though. I suppose, I am going to have to select the draw. None of the results would surprise me and the draw is the biggest price. Its 3.3 at Bet Victor.

11th March 2012
Manchester United (1.33) Draw (6) West Brom (12)

Bad times for United in Europe. Losing at home again is embarrassing not just for United but for the Premier League. Maybe United have been found out. They can play shockingly bad and win games in the Premiership. Last week against Spurs was lucky. I have no idea how at half time it was 1-0 United when Spurs dominated. West Brom have hit a bit of form. They saw off Sunderland and Chelsea in the last 2 home games. Odemwingie has found his form again. I can see an upset here. West Brom at 12.0 is a huge price. I certainly wouldn't be betting United at 1.33. West Brom are 12.0 at Betfred.

Swansea (7) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.67)

Good result for Swansea last weekend at a struggling Wigan. They usually struggle away from home but managed a good 2-0 win. At home they are tough to beat with a 5-6-2 record with defeats only to Manchester United and Norwich City by the single goal. City lost in Portugal midweek and more importantly, they may have lost Vincent Kompany due to injury. They struggled a bit when he was suspended earlier in the season. They don't have any players out at the African Cup of Nations this time though so they are still super strong. City have won their last 4 league games to nil. Its 2.6 this time at PaddyPower. I think that's a decent bet. I don't think Swansea will be able to score.

Norwich (1.91) Draw (3.7) Wigan (4.5)

Norwich have hit a small rough patch in the season for them. They have set a high standard though and this rough patch is nothing to worry about. A weakened Norwich got dumped out of the FA Cup, then a home loss to Manchester United and an away loss at Stoke. No shame in any of those losses. Their form before those games has been brilliant. Wigan won away at Bolton a month ago. Martinez was hoping that would kick start their season but its failed to. They have since drawn to Villa and lost 2-0 to Swansea. Their problem is that they don't score enough goals and they don't have anyone that looks capable of it. Players that excelled in previous seasons have either gone or just not performing. I fancy a Norwich win here. It's 1.91 at Coral.

12th March 2012

Arsenal (1.5) Draw (4.5) Newcastle (8)

Some good results of late for Arsenal but some of the performances weren't great. The results are all down to their captain Robin van Persie though. Without him, they do struggle. 3-0 at half time to Milan looked great but that was as much to do with Milan complacency as it was to do with Arsenal brilliance. Second half, Milan got it together and looked comfortable. At Liverpool, Arsenal were battered and the win was lucky. The wheels may have come off Newcastle's season. After the 5-0 defeat at Spurs, they have only managed 2 draws at home. Last round, it was a stoppage time goal against Sunderland which salvaged a point. Previously they were 2-0 up against Wolves and ended up drawing 2-2. I actually fancy Arsenal here to win by 2 clear goals. Arsenal can give out those beatings and Newcastle have suffered some bad away defeats. Arsenal -1 on the 1x2 handicap is 2.5 at bluesquare.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 03 Mar 2012 02:33:53 +0000
3rd -4th March 2012
3rd March 2012

Liverpool (2.1) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (3.9)

Liverpool will be on a high after lifting the Carling Cup. The needed extra time and penalties to do it though. I would have expected a quality Premiership side to have won it in normal time against a Championship side. Looks like Gerrard will be missing this game after coming off injured midweek in England's friendly. Its not too bad though as he hasn't been o n top form. Arsenal will have felt like they had won a cup final after beating Spurs 5-2 after being down 2-0. Just a reminder that even though it's a weak Arsenal team, they have it in them to give teams a good beating. Van Persie is a doubt which is troubling as he's Arsenal's goal machine. I can't believe the price on Liverpool here. 2.1 is a bit too short for me. I'd be wanting in the 2.3/2.4 range. At home they are 4-8-0 and have not beaten any of the top sides here. This game has the 1-1 look to it. The draw is 3.5 at Bet Victor.

Blackburn (2.4) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.2)

Blackburn were thrashed at City last weekend. Nothing really lost though, as all teams down at the bottom will get thrashed by City. The do sit in the relegation zone in goal difference but have shown that they can scrap and get some good results. David Dunn will be back for them. Villa will be without Darren Bent for the season and with Robbie Keane gone, its going to be tough for them to score goals. Gabby Agbonlahor has gone off the boil a bit. Even though there is an 8 point gap, Villa are in danger of getting pulled in to the relegation battle. With Blackburn having the home advantage and Villa having no goal threat, I'll be backing Blackburn in this game. Its 2.4 at bet365.

Manchester City (1.14) Draw (9.5) Bolton (23)

This is one of those games where if I had lots of money I could afford to lose I'd stick it on Manchester City. It's like a return over 90 minutes. I bet Greek bonds don't pay that much and City are more likely to win this than Greece to pay back its debts in full. Bet Victor caters for the high roller and is paying out 1.14 for the City win. I did see a nice bet though for your normal punter. Coral have a market called how many teams to score. Choices are 0, 1 and 2. The price for 1 is even money which is almost exactly the same bet as City to win to nil but you also get Bolton to win to nil built in. The price on City to win to nil is generally around 1.8 for this game so the 1 team to score market at even money is a steal at Coral.

QPR (3.2) Draw (3.3) Everton FC (2.4)

No Mark Hughes factor for QPR. They'd have been better sticking with Warnock. Last weekend, they managed to lose at home to Fulham 'Can't win away from home' FC. To be fair, QPR did have to play 2 thirds of the game with 10 men. Discipline has been a big problem this season for them and no doubt they'd have more points if it wasn't for players getting sent off and then being suspended. Everton are on a decent run of form now. They managed to beat City and Chelsea at home and if you count the FA Cup, there are 6 unbeaten. Everton are like that. After Christmas they tend to get their act together. I am not convinced they should be 2.4 though. They were around this price when they failed to beat Wigan. I suppose QPR are playing even worse than Wigan are at the moment. I'll give Everton another change. They can bet backed at 2.4 at PaddyPower.

Stoke (1.91) Draw (3.6) Norwich (4.5)

Stoke stopped their slide in the league with a 2-0 win over Swansea last weekend. Now they are out of the Europa League they can concentrate on the Premier League and FA Cup. Defender Robert Huth will be back thus solidifying their defence. They are 5-4-4 at home this season so not the fortress it once was. Norwich are on a fantastic run. They were unlucky to lose so late on against Manchester United last weekend. Previously, they went to Swansea and took all 3 points and that's a much harder place to win at than the Britannia. Stoke are far too short for my liking here. Odds on is a joke. Norwich at 4.5 at Bet Victor is much better value.

West Brom (4.33) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (2)

9 goals in the last 2 games for West Brom. A nice 5-1 away win at Wolves and then an even better 4-0 home win against in form Sunderland. They're playing their best football ever this season. Odemwingie is bang in form. For Chelsea, I fear that last week's 3-0 win over Bolton was just papering over the cracks. Villas Boas has lost the dressing room and with some tough fixtures coming up, I think he could be gone by the end of the season. The backbone of Cole, Lampard and Essien started against Bolton and should do so again. I am weary about backing Chelsea away from home against anyone nowadays but especially so against a team that looks like its hitting form. However, it is rare you get even money for Chelsea away from home against West Brom. It depends on whether you think Chelsea have turned the corner or not. Personally, I think goals are the way to play this one. Over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at bet365. If Chelsea do win it, they'll have to score 2 at least.

Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.3) Swansea (3.1)

Wigan are on a little mini run here. Unbeaten in 3 is the best run of form they have had all season. They are struggling to score goals though, with an average of less than 1 goal a game at home. Last weekend they drew 0-0 to Villa. There were some signs of them improving but they just couldn't put away their chances. Swansea have lost their last 2. They were out muscled at Stoke last weekend. Traditionally, they have struggled to score away from home with an average of less than a goal a game. All this points to under 2.5 goals. Its not actually too bad a price at 1.75 at Bet Victor. I was expecting around the 1.67 mark. I can't see there being many goals at all.

4th March 2012

Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)

Newcastle were cruising last week against Wolves, leading 2-0 at the break. They managed to blow it all and ended up finishing 2-2. Unusually for them at home where they are 7-4-2. When they get a lead, they keep on to it. Previously they did get a 5-0 thrashing from Spurs. Could this be the beginning of the slide for Newcastle? I've thought that a few times but they've always bounced back. The O'Neil factor seems to have worn off now. The 4-0 defeat at West Brom was their heaviest defeat of the season. I suppose it had to happen sometime. O'Neil can't change the fact he's got an average set of players. It is a derby though and I think the players will be up for it. Results wise its tricky. I am thinking the draw at 3.4 at Skybet. New customers get £10 free no deposit. Click here.

Fulham (1.62) Draw (4.1) Wolverhampton (6.5)

A couple of good wins have put Fulham in mid-table now. They even managed an away win at QPR. New signing Mahamadou Diarra from Real Madrid could start this game. That Pogrebnyak has settle in well scoring a goal in each of his 2 games. Wolves came back from 2-0 down at Newcastle to get a 2-2 draw. You could call it new manager syndrome. Sometimes teams get that bounce when a new manager takes over. Terry Connor will be hoping so anyway. In terms of betting, the odds on the home win make Fulham unbackable. No way should Fulham be 1.62 against anyone in the Premiership at home. They are 6-4-3 meaning they have been winning just under half their games. Evens would be about right for a game like this for the home win. I think asking Wolves to win here is a bit much considering only, Everton, Spurs and Manchester United have won here. The draw it is then at 4.1 at Bet Victor

Tottenham (3) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.6)

I don't know what happened to Spurs last weekend. I was thinking that Arsenal were there for the taking and it should be a formality for them to get all 3 points but they managed to go from being 2-0 up to losing 5-2. Scott Parker is suspended but van der Vaart and Walker could recover from injuries. So code Ledley King but looking at him last week, they'd be better off with him injured. United were fortunate again last week against Norwich. That's twice now Norwich could have beaten United. It needed a stoppage time Giggs goal to get all 3 points. Rooney should be back for this game though. This is another tricky game to call. I would have expected the odds to be reversed though. Spurs are the home team and just a month ago were looking like serious title contenders. United were about this price to beat Arsenal and Spurs are better than Arsenal this year. That's pretty much swayed it for me. Spurs draw no bet is 2.1 at PaddyPower. They'll want to bounce back strong after that poor performance last weekend and the weekend before that at Stevenage.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 25 Feb 2012 03:31:20 +0000
25th - 26th February 2012
25th February 2012

Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.5) Bolton (11)

Bad times for Chelsea and their manager. Villas Boas has lost control of the players and it seems that some of the senior players are revolting. The team selection for the Champions League game against Napoli was bizarre and they deservedly lost 3-1. Their last win was in the FA Cup a month ago against QPR. Bolton sit in the relegation zone. They could have clawed themselves out of it by beating bottom of the table Wigan but they managed to lose that 2-1 at home. They did manage a draw with Arsenal and beat Liverpool recently so there is some chance they could cause an upset here. I definitely wouldn't be backing Chelsea at 1.33. I do like the look of Bolton +1 on the 1X2 handicap at 3.75 at Skybet. That covers the draw and the Bolton win. With Skybet, new customers get a totally free £10 bet too. Click here to sign up.

Newcastle (1.62) Draw (4) Wolverhampton (6.5)

I for one didn't expect the collapse of Newcastle at Spurs, losing 5-0. Spurs are one of those teams that can give out those beatings and I think Newcastle played them on the wrong day. Nothing wrong with the way Newcastle are playing and they are only 1 point behind Chelsea and 3 above Liverpool. Wolves sacked Mick McCarthy after the 5-1 thrashing at the hands of West Brom. The trouble is that they have no one ready to take over. I don't think anyone wants the job. 1.62 looks really tight for Newcastle but if you look at the league positions and the teams around them, is 1.62 actually bet of the week? If this was Chelsea or Liverpool would you even get 1.4 for the home win? I doubt it. It's 1.62 at PaddyPower.

QPR (2.63) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.88)

Still no real Mark Hughes bounce for QPR. Only 1 league win for QPR under Hughes and that was to a struggling Wigan side. They did fight back from 3-0 down last round to make it 3-2. Good job for QPR they are facing a team that can't seem to win away from home. Fulham are 1-5-6 away from home and they even managed to lose 3-1 to a 10 man Blackburn side. Bookies are struggling to separate these sides. I am too. I'd go with the draw if pushed because it's the biggest price but I have not strong opinion on this game.

West Brom (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3)

West Brom have the worst home record in the league. For some strange reason their away form is much better. Its 2-2-8 vs 6-3-4. They thrashed Wolves 5-1 last round but the previous round they lost 2-1 to Swansea. Maybe this team can't handle the pressure at home. Sunderland slipped up at home to Arsenal last round, losing 2-1 but made up for that in the cup winning 2-0. I think that was partly due to Arsenal not bouncing back after being humiliated by AC Milan. Still O'Neil is working his magic and Sunderland are 3rd in the recent form table behind Everton and Man City. If there is going to be a winner in this game its going to be Sunderland. I think it's a great price 3.0 at William Hill.

Wigan (2.8) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (2.75)

Wigan gave themselves a bit of a lifeline last round with a 2-1 victory over struggling rivals Bolton. They are another side that have struggled at home this season. Only win at home and that was near the start of the season against QPR who were in disarray at that point. They did manage to hold an in form Everton team 1-1 the previous round though so there is some hope. Villa are a side that shouldn't be where they are in the league. With their team, they should be top half easily. They are 8 points clear of the bottom pack so there is breathing room there. In terms of this game, I really can't pick a winner. Any of the results wouldn't surprise me. As the draw is the best price, I'd go for that. Its 3.3 at Totesport but its probably best to skip this one.

Manchester City (1.2) Draw (8) Blackburn (19)

The Toure brothers are back from the African Cup of Nations which will boost City's already strong squad. They've found their scoring boots again too beating Porto home and away in their last 2 games. Blackburn saw off QPR last round but it was a nervy affair. Even at 3-1 up, you could see them blowing it. Captain Chris Samba won't be playing so he'll be a big miss. I can't see Blackburn getting anything here apart from a good spanking. Price for over 2.5 goals is 1.4 at Bluesqaure. Its one of the lowest I've ever seen it. That preferable to the 1.2 straight home win but I am going to go with City to win to nil at Ladbrokes. I can't see Blackburn getting enough of the ball to be able to score.

26th February 2012

Arsenal (2.6) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.9)

Just when you think Arsenal have turned the corner and would hold on to that 4th spot, they turn out two of the worst performances of the season. The 4-0 defeat in Milan was humiliating and then to follow that up with a 2-0 loss in the cup to Sunderland makes me think that Arsenal haven't got the skills to hold on to 4th spot. When Van Persie doesn't score they are in trouble. Last league game, Spurs outclassed Newcastle 5-0, really cementing that 3rd place. In the FA Cup they struggled a bit against Stevenage, probably do to the pitch and the weakened side. They'll be at full strength for this game though. There's going to be no better time for them to beat their arch rivals at the Emirates. Spurs are 2.9 at William Hill

Norwich (6.5) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.6)

Norwich have exceeded all expectations this season and are looking safe already on 35 points. Something major would have to happen for them to go down. Paul Lambert got a bit of stick for resting players in the FA Cup and going out to Leicester. No worries about them putting out their strongest side this weekend. For United, the main factor is whether Rooney plays. Without him, they look an ordinary team. They managed to scrape through to the next stage of the Europa League despite losing at home 2-1 to Ajax. That side was weakened too and I do expect Fergusson to put out a much stronger team here. I remember the reverse fixture at Old Trafford. Norwich could have easily won that game and United would have had no complaints. I don't fancy backing United at 1.6. I'd rather be on Norwich at 6.5 but to play it safe, I'll go for Norwich +1 on the Asian Handicap. It's 2.02 at bet365. I can't see United winning by more than 1 goal here and returns stakes.

Stoke (2.25) Draw (3.4) Swansea (3.6)

Bad times for Stoke. 4 losses on the bounce in the league. Their last home win was back in December against Spurs. They lost midweek to Valencia 1-0 and are out of the Europa League. They've done badly after Europa League games this season too, so the signs aren't good for this game. Swansea slipped up at home last round to Norwich. Maybe Norwich are better than I though. Swansea have started winning games away from home. A couple of months ago, that didn't seem possible but they have beat Villa and West Brom away from home. I think I will go with Swansea here but the draw is also a possibility. Swansea are 2.05 +0.25 at bet365 on the Asian Handicap. Basically, its pays out at 2.05 if Swansea win or 1.525 if it's a draw.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 10 Feb 2012 18:45:54 +0000
11th - 12th February 2012
11th February 2012

Manchester United (1.95) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (4.5)

Depending on how you look at things, you could say last week's result for United was marvellous or a disaster. 3-0 down and staring defeat in eyes, United come back to make it 3-3 with the help of 2 penalties. The disaster part is that they allowed themselves to get 3-0 down against a reasonably OK Chelsea side. They dominated for large parts of the game but still found themselves 3-0 down. Liverpool played out a 0-0 draw at Anfield. I suppose that's a reasonable result at home to Spurs but it is just too many draws at home. Suarez is back now and it'll be interesting to see how him and Evra get on. These teams met a couple of weeks ago at Anfield. Liverpool won the game 2-1 but United were without Ferdinand and Rooney. Backing United at home has been a bit of gold mine for punters this year. I can't see Liverpool getting anything from this. United are 1.95 at William Hill.

Blackburn (2.4) Draw (3.4) QPR (3.2)

I expect a strong performance here after the thumping against Arsenal. I've noticed that teams generally put in an extra performance after a thumping and 7-1 a the Emirates is a thumping. Yakubu is back after his 3 game ban. QPR were cruising against Wolves when Cisse got sent off. They were 1-0 up and dominating. Wolves made the extra man count and came to back win 2-1. They would have easily won that game if it was 11 vs 11. Cisse will be suspended for this game. Betting wise, I have no strong opinion on this. I would say home win at a push because of the home advantage, need to make up for last week and questionable QPR form. Blackburn are 2.4 at bet365.

Bolton (2.05) Draw (3.5) Wigan (3.9)

Bolton are a poor side that are struggling at the bottom. There are some signs of hope though in that they have managed 5 points from their last 3 home games, including a 3-1 win against Liverpool. They have failed to score in the last 2 games though. Wigan managed to halt with run of 4 defeats on the bounce with a 1-1 against Everton last week. Possibly a turning point but I doubt it. They just don't have the players to compete. They could get something here though as Bolton are one of the poorer sides in the league. I think the smart money is on the home win though. It's 2.05 at PaddyPower.

Everton (3.4) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.3)

Everton has slowly but surely been picking up form. The beat City at home a couple of weeks ago but only could manage a draw away to struggling Wigan. Everton have traditionally been stronger in the second half of the season after a slow start. Cahill will be back for this game. Chelsea will be scratching their heads on how they managed to be 3-0 up against Manchester United and then finish the game at 3-3. They were getting dominated and it was an own goal, a wonder goal and a set piece that saw them 3-0 up. I wasn't impressed with the team at all though. Cole will be back after suspension as well as Lampard and Obi Mikel after injuries. That will strengthen the team but I don't think enough to be able to get all 3 points here. Everton are getting to the stage in the season where they are hard to beat. This game looks like one of those nailed 1-1 draws. The draw is 3.3 at Bet Victor.

Fulham (2.05) Draw (3.5) Stoke (4)

Fulham come in to this game off a routine 3-0 defeat to Manchester City. No shame in that and Fulham have struggled away from home all season. Its at the Cottage where they traditionally pick up their points but that's not been the greatest this year going 5-4-3. Bobby Zamora replacement Pavel Pogrebnyak will probably make his debut in this game. Stoke have lost their last 3 on the bounce in the league. Last week you could say they were hard done by when Huth was harshly sent off just before half time. They must also have half an eye on the visit from Valencia on Thursday. Home win for me. Its 2.05 at PaddyPower.

Sunderland (3.6) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (2.15)

There are some signs that the O'Neil factor may be running out for Sunderland. They made hard work of defeating a weakened Leicester side in the FA Cup and needed extra time to do it. They may have beat Stoke 1-0 last weekend but that was Stoke playing the whole second half with 10 men. Arsenal taught Blackburn a lesson last weekend. They were struggling a bit but when Blackburn went down to 10 men, it was vintage Arsenal. That was Arsenal's first league win this calendar year. I think it will give them the confidence to push up the league. They are in 6th and are in serious danger of missing out on the Champions League. I am not usually a fan of backing Arsenal nowadays but I feel that Arsenal are under achieving a little and Sunderland are over achieving and something has to give. Arsenal are 2.15 at PaddyPower.

Swansea (1.91) Draw (3.5) Norwich (4.5)

Only 1 defeat in 7 for Swansea and that was to the resurgent Sunderland side. They managed to beat Arsenal and hold Chelsea and Spurs to draws. At home, only Manchester United have come away with all 3 points. Only 1 defeat in 6 for Norwich and that was to Sunderland too. Both these newly promoted teams are doing exceptionally well. In terms of the game, home advantage swings it for me. It'll be sweet revenge for the 3-1 in the reverse fixture earlier in the season. Swansea are 1.91 at Bet Victor

Tottenham (1.53) Draw (4.5) Newcastle (7.5)

Spurs could only manage a draw last game against Liverpool. All things considered that's a good result. Redknapp was still in court and Anfield isn't the easiest of places to go. Defoe and Lennon are back fit for this game. Newcastle kept up their challenge for 4th place with a good win over Villa. Ba scoring his return and Cisse getting the winner. That is a strike force any Premiership side would be proud of. I've stopped thinking that the bubble is going to burst for Newcastle. They are up in 5th place on merit and I should imagine they'll stay up there all season. I am not too keen on the odds on a Spurs win. 1.53 is a little low to me. I got burnt heavily a few weeks ago when Spurs only managed the 1-1 draw against Wolves so am not overly keen to be backing them at 1.53 against a better team. These teams drew 2-2 in the reverse fixture this season and I can see another draw here, well maybe not but a draw at 4.5 at Betfred is much more appealing that the home win at 1.53.

12th February 2012

Wolverhampton (2.6) Draw (3.3) West Brom (3.1)

Wolves were somewhat fortunate to beat QPR last round. 1-0 down and up against the ropes, they can thank Cisse for getting himself sent off for their victory. Without that, they would surely have lost. That's the story of Wolves season. Overall they are 5-6-13 with 2 of those wins in the first 2 games. West Brom are another inconsistent team that are struggling more than I thought they would. I suppose there's no shame in losing to Swansea but their home form is worryingly bad. Good job for them this is an away fixture where they do better. 5-3-4 away from home vs 2-2-8 at home. Tricky game to call but I am leaning more towards the away win. West Brom draw no bet is 2.2 at bluesquare.

Aston Villa (5.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.73)

Aston Villa lost to Newcastle last round. I suppose there is no shame in losing to Newcastle at home nowadays. On paper they have the side that could cause City some problems. They seem to be a team under achieving though. Previously, they let QPR get 2-0 up before they started playing. Agbonlahor could be back which is great as I think he's their best player at the moment. City managed a routine 3-0 win against Fulham last weekend. With Kompany expected back in the side this weekend, they are almost back up to full strength. Still the Toure brothers and Balotelli are out but they have enough replacements. Kompany in defence is the main man. I fully expect City to win this. They have struggled away from home recently but I can't see them dropping points here. City are 1.73 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 03 Feb 2012 18:05:21 +0000
4th - 6th February 2012
4th February 2012

Arsenal (1.3) Draw (6) Blackburn (13)

I don't know what has happened to Arsenal. No win in the last 4 and if it wasn't for that come back from 2-0 down against Villa in the FA Cup, I can imagine the pressure would be unbearable for Wenger. Oxlade-Chamberlain has been one of their bright sparks this season but he is a doubt. Blackburn defeated Arsenal earlier in the season 4-3 in a crazy game. No Yakubu for this game or Samba in this game. Big misses for Blackburn. Lets not forget that Blackburn went to Old Trafford on New Year's Eve and won 3-2. I think it is beyond them this game but with the way Arsenal are playing, it wouldn't surprise me to see them getting something on the handicap. Arsenal haven't got the players this season to hammer teams. Blackburn +1.5 goals are 2.08 at bet365. That pays out even if Blackburn lose by the single goal. The last league game they won by more than a goal was against Wigan on the 3rd December.

Norwich (2.1) Draw (3.6) Bolton (3.75)

Poor performance from Norwich against Sunderland last round. They were rightly beat 3-0. I put it down to one those bad days that teams outside the top 3 have every so often. Before then, they had a 0-0 at home to Chelsea and 2 good away wins. Bolton's form has been pretty impressive recently, especially given that they have got rid of Cahill, one of their best players. Bolton made a couple of late signings that could start. I never heard of them though so I haven't a clue whether they'll be any good. No doubt they do need a striker but did knock 3 past Liverpool a couple of weeks ago. Betting wise, I think Norwich or the draw. I suppose as the draw is the best price, I'll go for that. It's 3.6 at Bet Victor
.

QPR (1.95) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (4.2)

With the new signings, QPR look strong up front now. They threw away a 2-0 lead at Villa last round but playing away to Villa is different to playing at home to Wolves, who are quite possibly the worst team in the league. Wolves haven't won a game in the league since 4th December when they beat Sunderland 2-1. If they are going to turn it around, they'd do it at home but they have lost the last 3 at home on the bounce. McCarthy took the flak for that but at some point the players have to stand up. I'm backing QPR in this game. It's 1.95 at William Hill.

Stoke (2.3) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.5)

Both these teams are on equal points now but are going in different directions. Stoke are 4-4-3 at home this season which is not the fortress you'd expect at the Britannia. Out of the last 3 home games, they had against Villa, Wigan and West Brom, they have only managed 2 points. Sunderland have been boosted by the O'Neil factor. Well in the league anyway. There was that blip in the FA Cup against Leicester where they have to play a replay next week. Their league form has been exceptional, only dropping points to Chelsea recently. I am going to have to go with the form side. Its unusual for Stoke to lose 3 in a row but while Sunderland have the O'Neil factor I am going to keep tipping them. Sunderland are 3.5 at Bet Victor.

West Brom (2.2) Draw (3.3) Swansea (3.75)

A couple of good away results for West Brom in the last 2 games. A good draw at Fulham and a win at Stoke. It's at home where they have struggled this season, going 2-2-7. Poor form indeed. Swansea are the exact opposite with a poor away record 1-3-7. Swansea have been playing some great football though. They were unlucky not to take all 3 points from Chelsea last round, when an own goal in the 90th minute denied them. Tricky game to call but I think the odds on West Brom are poor. I think Swansea on the Asian Handicap looks good. They are +0.5 at 1.83 Bet Victor. Any of the 3 results wouldn't be surprising and that bet gives you a payout on 2 of them.

Wigan (3.6) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.2)

Wigan are in deep trouble. 5 points from safety and a massively inferior goal difference. Their last win was 10th December. They have had some good performances, for example against City but good performances don't equate to points. Its almost game over for them. Everton stunned me anyway by beating City last round. That was in part because City didn't take the game as seriously as they should have but to be fair to Everton they played well and City didn't look like scoring. I have not been a fan of Everton all season but I saw enough last round to make me think they will do alright now. They signed a couple of players on deadline day to strengthen their squad. I am not too happy about the price but Everton will be my bet. It's 2.2 at PaddyPower.

Manchester City (1.33) Draw (5.5) Fulham (12)

Disappointing performance against Everton for City. Watching the game, they didn't look like scoring. Plenty of possession but no end product. Still missing the Toure brothers and Balotelli but they had Kompany back. That was away from home though and at home they are 11-0-0. After the thrashing Newcastle 5-2 at home, you'd have thought that Fulham would follow it up with a win against West Brom but they only could manage a draw. Away from home, they are a different kettle of fish though and are just 1-5-5, including a 3-1 loss against a 10 man Blackburn. I really don't think they'll get anything from this. I suppose its just a question of whether to back City on the Handicap, win to nil or not to win to nil. With games like this, its always tempting to go for the to nil but looking at the odds at Coral, its 2.88 for City to win not to nil and City to win to nil at 2.1 at PaddyPower. I prefer the 2.88 as City's defence hasn't been water tight, Fulham do score in most of their away games and the price is better.

5th February 2012

Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.8)

Newcastle are still up there in 5th place. I keep thinking it can't carry on but they keep defying the odds and keep picking up points. This is without their star striker Ba, who will be back for this game. I can imagine his return and being at home will give Newcastle the confidence to win this. They are only 3 points behind a faltering Chelsea and champion's league football is not totally out of the question next season. Villa started slow against QPR last round. Before they knew it, they were 2-0 down. They fought back hard though and deserved the 2-2 draw. Villa do have a lot of scoring potential in their side and Keane is looking like his old self. With where Newcastle are in the table and their recent form, I think they are a little under-priced here. I remember the Arsenal/ Villa game in the FA Cup and Arsenal were 1.7ish. 2.2 is a good price at Bet Victor.

Chelsea (2.63) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (2.9)

With Chelsea 12 points off the top and with a much inferior goal difference to the Manchester teams, its unlikely that Chelsea will be able to win. Their priority will be Champions League qualification. They were very fortunate to draw at Swansea last round with a late own goal saving them. Cole also got sent off so he'll be suspended for this game and no Terry. Manchester United have recovered well from the 2 losses over Christmas, winning 3 games on the bounce. Their win against Stoke wasn't the most impressive but on paper it did look like a routine 2-0 win for them. Young, Rooney and Nani are all fit for this game. I can see United winning this. I don't see why Chelsea are favourites with their defence missing and with United having their best attacking players back. Safest bet would be United draw no bet at 2.05 at William Hill.

6th February 2012
Liverpool (2.15) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (3.8)

Liverpool beat Wolves 3-0 and everything is fine now. People forget that they got beat 3-1 at Bolton the round before, drew to Stoke and lost 3-0 to Manchester City. In between they have had successes in the Carling Cup and FA Cup but in the league their form is shocking with them going 4-7-0. OK, so they are unbeaten at home but too many draws against poor sides. The good news is that Suarez is back but I think that Bellemy has been playing great and if he is sacrificed then it may weaken Liverpool. Spurs great run continues. They were unlucky to have got beat at City with a last minute penalty. That put back their ambitions of winning the league this season but still, anything is possible. They are at 10 points clear of 5th place Newcastle anyway. Betting wise, the place to bet is Bet365. They are running their in play offer again. Place a bet before the game of up to £50. Then in running, place a bet on the game and if your first bet loses, Bet365 will refund it. Personally, I think Spurs are a good shout here. They are 3.75 to win. If its looking a bit shakey in running, I am going to use the free bet to hedge. If you think that Liverpool are going to win, then they are 2.1 at Bet365. With the free bet offer, it's the only place to bet on this game on Monday night. New users get a free bet basket on sign up too. Click here to sign up.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 21 Jan 2012 02:38:56 +0000
21st -22nd January 2012
21st January 2012

Norwich (6.1) Draw (4.2) Chelsea (1.62)

After beating QPR and West Brom away, can Norwich make it 3 wins in a row with a home victory over Chelsea? Holt and Morrison have goals in them so anything is possible. They have been playing well and will probably stay up. Chelsea have won their last 2 as well but haven't been convincing. Sunderland could have got at least a point last week. Torres is starting to look good though and Lampard is scoring again. From a betting point of view, there is no way I can be backing Chelsea at 1.62. Far too low for a team that is 5-3-2 away from home against Norwich who have only lost 3 at home. I am tempted with the home win at 6.1 but I fancy a 1-1 here. The draw is 4.2 at bet365.

Everton (1.62) Draw (4) Blackburn (7)

I don't understand Everton and the bookies. I just can't see how come they are such heavy favourites in any game, let alone this one. They have no reliable goal scorer and average just a goal a game. A 10 man Blackburn side managed to beat Fulham last weekend. It shows the team spirit is there and they are playing for the manager. The bad news is that Yakubu is suspended and Samba put in a transfer request. It'll be unsettling for the team. Looking at the odds, there's only one bet to have. Its got to be Blackburn at 7.0 at William Hill, either than or skip this game. Everton are not worth backing at 1.62.

Fulham (2.05) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (4.05)

I don't know what happened with Fulham last weekend at Blackburn. They were against 10 men at 0-0 and ended up losing 3-1. They must be reverting back to a Fulham of old where they just couldn't win away no matter what. At home though, they have had some solid form. I see the 5-0 loss against Manchester United as a blip. Newcastle are doing much better than expected without Ba and Tiote. You could say that they have only played Blackburn and QPR though. It would be good to see what they'd be like against stronger opposition. I guess the bookies think they'll lose this as Fulham are priced a bit short for me. It is a bit short considering the league positions but I suppose the missing players for Newcastle has brought the Fulham price down. Fulham are 2.05 at PaddyPower and that's my bet for this game.

Bolton (6.5) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.67)

Bolton won their FA Cup replay against Macclesfield town during the week. That pretty much the only good news they have. They sold their best player in Gary Cahill and desperately need to get some strikers. I don't think they'll trouble Liverpool with their current strike force. Liverpool are having a bad time of it too. They may have beat City in the Carling Cup and Oldham in the FA Cup but in the league, they are drawing far too many games. They do seem to play better away from home though as teams go to Anfield and shut up shop. I think Liverpool will have too much for Bolton here. 1.67 is poor considering how many draws Liverpool have had. I prefer the 2.75 on Liverpool to win to nil at bluesquare. I can't see that Bolton side scoring at all.

22nd January 2012

Manchester City (1.91) Draw (3.75) Tottenham (4.4)

City haven't looked as sparkling these past few games. They are missing Kompany and the Toure brothers. They looked tired against Wigan and weren't comfortable in their 1-0 win over Wigan last week. Spurs bottled it last weekend. With all the talk of them being title contenders, they managed to drop points at home to Wolves. For this game, they'll have to do without Adebayor as he's ineligible to play. That could be key as he's been key to Spur's great run. I think City all day. I could make an argument for Spurs at 4.4, it's a cracking price but City are 10-0-0 at home so I think that 1.91 is even better.

Arsenal (3) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.62)

Can Arsenal get revenge for the 8-2 defeat at Old Trafford? A few weeks ago I may have said yes but I am not convinced now. The wins they have had have been just by the odd goal and they have been dropping points, most noticeably against Fulham and Swansea. At Fulham they were a man down but at Swansea they were just outclassed. I have to say I have Rooney all wrong. When he's playing United more often than not win. The blips against Blackburn and Newcastle have been forgotten with wins over City in the FA Cup and Bolton in the league last weekend. If there is a winner, I suppose its going to be United. They do have the stronger team at the moment but they have underperformed in the big games when it matters. I will go for the draw. I don't see Arsenal losing 3 on the bounce but I don't see them winning it either and the draw is the biggest price of the 3. The draw is 3.4 at bet365.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 14 Jan 2012 01:03:11 +0000
14th - 16th January 2012
14th January 2012

Aston Villa (2.5) Draw (3.3) Everton (3.2)

I am surprised that Everton are 1 point ahead of Villa. Villa, at least on paper have the better team. On New Years Eve, they came from a goal down at Stanford Bridge to beat Chelsea 3-1. They do have pace in their side. Loan signing, Robbie Keane should play some part in this game too. Everton lost their game in hand to Spurs 2-0. They just don't have the attacking players to trouble anyone. The previous game, they lost at home to Bolton 2-1. They are averaging just a goal a game. Their loan signing Landon Donavan may get them some goals I suppose. I am still going to be backing Villa in this game though. With Villa being the home side and Everton not offering much at all, 2.5 is great price for the Villa win at Bet Victor
.

Blackburn (3) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.5)

I thought that Blackburn were excellent against Manchester United when they went to Old Trafford and won 3-2. I thought, finally, they get the result that their performance deserved. Yakubu is scoring for fun nowadays. This could be captain Chris Samba's last game. Fulham managed to get a late win against Arsenal last league game. They got their goals when Arsenal were down to 10 men but the goals were coming before then. Fulham are a different beat away from home though. They still can't win away from home. They are 1-5-4 away from the Cottage and the win was against Wigan. Too tricky to call the 1X2 market. I guess the home win is where the value is but I think there is more value on the unders/overs. Blackburn haven't kept a clean sheet all season so I expect Fulham to score. 75% of Blackburn's league games have been overs and you are getting 1.95 at bet365 for over 2.5 goals.

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (4.75) Sunderland (9)

I am still not convinced about Chelsea. They have been so inconsistent this season and uncharacteristically losing at home. Last home league game they lost to Villa 3-1 after being a goal up. Their defence is really shaky at the moment and they aren't scoring enough goals. The 4-0 against Portsmouth in the cup looks better than it was, it was 1-0 for most of the game and the last 3 goals came in the last 5 minutes putting some sparkle to the score but it was a hard fought win for them. O'Neil seems to have turned Sunderland around. They have only lost 1 of their last 6 and that was against high flying Spurs 1-0. They managed to take all 3 points off Manchester City and demolished Wigan 4-1 last away game. I don't think Chelsea are worth backing at even money never mind this 1.44. Sunderland at 9.0 at Betvictor looks tasty or slightly safer, 6.5 draw no bet at bet365.

Liverpool (1.44) Draw (4.5) Stoke (9)

Liverpool are another one of the top sides that are inconsistent. Hopefully, with Gerrard back to full fitness they can get some type of run together. They have been a punters nightmare this season. They played a tough game against City 3 days ago which will no doubt be worse than if they had the week off like Stoke have had. Stoke have been on a nice run recently. They lost 3-0 at City, when they didn't turn up but apart from that they have won 5 and drawn 2 in the last 8. Stoke are no pushovers away from home any more either, they have won 4 games away which is exactly the same number of games as they have won at the Britannia. Betting wise, this is one to skip. Liverpool have drawn at home to lesser opposition than Stoke and at 1.44 its not really worth it. I think they will win but 1.44 is not good enough for me to risk anything on it.

Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8.5) Bolton (19)

Manchester United silenced their doubters with an impressive 3-2 win over City in the FA Cup. City having to play with 10 men for most of the game and second half, they were hanging on a bit. It just shows that when Rooney is playing, United play better. Last home game, they unexpectedly lost 3-2 to Blackburn. Fergie took a gamble with the team selection and it didn't pay off. He'll make no mistake this time. Bolton have won their last 2 away games against Blackburn and Everton. I don't think they'll make it 3 in a row. Last time these met it was 5-0 at the Reebok. I think they'll be happy with a 2-0 loss here. I suppose at 1.17 its not really worth having as a single so maybe double it with something else.

Tottenham (1.3) Draw (6) Wolverhampton (13)

No surprise that Spurs are red hot favourites for this game. Level on points with Manchester United and 3 points behind City, they are real title contenders this season. They have the players that can win in style and win by grinding out the 1-0 results. Wolves are still in deep trouble. 3 losses and 3 draws in their last 6. Depending on how other results go, they could find themselves in the relegation zone after this game. I don't think they have a chance here and the 1.3 on Spurs should be snapped up.

West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.6) Norwich (3.8)

West Brom have lost 2 on the bounce now 1-0 against Everton and Spurs. They should have a few players coming back for this game though so maybe we'll see the side that drew at home 0-0 against City and beat Newcastle and Blackburn away. Its hard to tell because they have been so inconsistent. Norwich have been on a good run of late. Their only loss in the last 6 was at home to Spurs. They got respectable draws against Everton and Wolves away and also beat QPR. Looking at the odds, there is certainly more value opposing West Brom than backing them. Maybe 2 away wins on the bounce is too much for Norwich, so I chose the draw. Its 3.5 at Betfred.

15th January 2012

Newcastle (1.83) Draw (3.6) QPR (5)

Newcastle look like they have found form again after the slight blip at the end of last calendar year. It was looking like their form was going south but wins against Manchester United in the league and Blackburn in the FA Cup show that they are still a force to be reckoned with. For this game though, they are missing 2 of their best players in Demba Ba and Cheick Tiote. They'll be big misses. Its Mark Hughes first game in charge and there are high expectations. Joey Barton is out but that's not that much of a miss. He may be captain but he hasn't been particularly stunning at QPR. I am not convinced that Hughes is a top class manager. He draws too many games. I think he'll see a draw here as a good result. Its not like O'Neil where he expects his team to win. For that reason, I'll go for the draw here. Newcastle are underpriced considering their absentees. The draw is 3.6 at bet365.

Swansea (5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.83)

Swansea are a good run of form. Only 1 defeat in the last 6 and that was a 1-0 away to Everton. New Years Eve they got a deserved draw against Spurs and then followed that up with a 2-0 away win at Villa. Swansea play attractive football which may be their downfall against Arsenal. To beat Arsenal, you got to play ugly. If you try to play pretty football, they'll more than likely beat you. Saying that, this Arsenal team is nothing when Van Persie is not in goal scoring form. They may have signed Henry back on a short term loan and he score a goal. But they struggled to break down a team a division below them in the Carling Cup without van Persie. I don't see any value in the away win here. Spurs were around this price and didn't get a win. The only team that has got a win at Swansea was Manchester United and that was a 1-0. The value is with Swansea. Its 5.0 at Totesport.

16th January 2012

Wigan (10) Draw (4.75) Manchester City (1.44)

Wigan busted a few coupons before Christmas with a couple of draws at home to Chelsea and Liverpool. They were spanked last home game 4-1 by Sunderland though and then an alternative side were beaten at Swindon in the FA Cup. That just shows how precarious premiership survival is for Wigan. City have had a bit of a bad run. They lost at home to Manchester United in the FA Cup and then lost to Liverpool in the first leg of the Carling Cup. They lost to Sunderland and only managed a 0-0 draw at West Brom. Sandwiched between that was a 3-0 league win against Liverpool. Teams have learnt to just put 10 men behind the ball and City have had problems breaking teams down that play like that. They miss their captain, Kompany as well as the players off at the African Cup of nations. I really don't see them having any problems here though. Wigan are a really poor side. You can get 1.44 for City at William Hill.

FA Cup Tips

Fri, 06 Jan 2012 20:50:01 +0000

Normal tips will return next week. This weekend is the FA Cup. This competition is losing its appeal. In some ways it's a worse competition than the Carling Cup. Most managers are going to be concentrating on the league rather than trying for a good cup run.

The only game that has any appeal with any decent odds is Manchester City vs Manchester United. The home side is definitely going to be out their strongest side. They'll want to build on that 6-1 at Old Trafford. For United they have to make some tough decisions. Recent league performances have shown how poor their midfield is and how much they are missing Vidic in defence.

VC Bet have gone top price on this bet at 2.15. Free £25 bet for new users

There is probably some value in betting on multiple strong favourites at home. Everton should do Tamworth, Spurs beat Cheltenham etc. There's not caring and then losing at home. I should imagine that the home premiership sides will win no matter whether they put out a B team or not. The price on MK Don's to beat QPR is a bit of a stand out. That's probably because Warnock will be putting out a C side. He's definitely not interested in a cup run.

Whatever you have, good luck and check back next week for normal tips.

Football Betting Tips

Fri, 16 Dec 2011 18:55:53 +0000
17th - 18th December 2011
17th December 2011

Blackburn (2.4) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.2)
Blackburn were desperately unlucky to lose to Sunderland last weekend. They conceded two goals in the last 10 minutes or so. Previously they had beaten Swansea at home 4-2 with Yakubu scoring all 4. I do think Blackburn have turned the corner and will slowly get themselves out of the relegation zone. West Brom on the other hand seem to have lost all their form. A 2-1 loss against Wigan is terrible, especially when you were winning 1-0. They were lucky to get the draw at QPR the weekend before. Home win for me. It's 2.4 at VC Bet.

Everton (1.7) Draw (3.8) Norwich (6)
Everton are priced at 1.7? Why? Everton have been playing shockingly this season. Their wins have been lucky or against 10 men. They just don't score enough goals. 7 goals in 7 games at home. Cahill isn't scoring and Saha is a mere shadow of his former self. They need a goal scorer. Norwich beat Newcastle last game. Not an easy team to beat. Away from home, Norwich aren't doing too well, 1-2-4 but with the way Everton are playing. 6.0 is almost the definition of a value bet. It's 6.0 at bet365.

Fulham (1.7) Draw (3.8) Bolton (6.25)
Unlucky for Fulham midweek in the Europa League. 2-0 up and cruising. They concede 1 and then with the last kick of the game, they concede another and are out of the Europa League. It wasn't the performance which saw them beat Liverpool 1-0 last weekend. I suppose this is a great game to get back on track. It'd be a toss up between Bolton and Wolves to who I'd like to play after a set back. Bolton are now rock bottom. I can't see how they are going to get out of it. They are conceding far too many goals and there's nothing up front to get any goals. Low odds but 1.7 on Fulham is my tip at PaddyPower.

Newcastle (1.85) Draw (3.75) Swansea (5)
Has the Newcastle bubble burst? It's hard to tell because they had to play the top 3 and then lost last weekend to Norwich. They did go down to 10 men though and even with 10 men, Ba managed to score a goal. They have found a goal scorer in him and with a goal scorer you're going to win more than you lose for sure. Swansea beat Fulham 2-0 at home last weekend. Away from home they are a different beast though. They are 0-2-5. Maybe they could get a draw if they keep it tight but I think Newcastle will win this. Its 1.85 at VC Bet.

Wolverhampton (2.55) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3)
Wolves weren't expected to get anything from Old Trafford and were rightly beat 4-1. No a bad performance actually. There's not much you can do when Nani and Rooney are in top form. They'll look back at that 2-1 win over Sunderland for confidence. Stoke played a reserve side midweek in the Europa League. There will be no European hang over for them this weekend as none of the first team travelled. Last weekend, they were excellent against Spurs first half and deserved to be 2-0 up at half time. Spurs did come back strongly but Stoke held on for the win. I think there is some value in backing Stoke this weekend. They've won 3 on the bounce now against Blackburn, Everton and Spurs. I see Wolves as weaker than all of those teams. Stoke are 3.0 at VC Bet.

Wigan (9.5) Draw (4.75) Chelsea (1.4)
I had written Wigan off this season but 6 points from the last 3 games makes me think they may have enough fight in them to survive. 1-0 down away to West Brom, they managed to come back and win it 2-1. Unfortunately for them, they have a rejuvenated Chelsea side visiting. You could say the result against Valencia was a possible blip but they followed it up with a 2-1 victory over Manchester City. They had a bit of luck but stuck in there and won. I don't see them having any problems getting all 3 points here. 1.4 is all you can really expect for a game like this. Even if Torres plays, Chelsea will still win. It's 1.4 at PaddyPower.

18th December 2011
QPR (8) Draw (4.4) Manchester United (1.5)
QPR went to Liverpool last weekend, looking for a draw. They played very defensively and got beat 1-0. I think they may have a good go at United this game. A few weeks ago, the narrowly lost to City 3-2 and they could have won it with a bit more luck. If they put out a performance like that, they'll beat United. United bounced back from their disappointing run with a good 4-1 win over Wolves, with Nani and Rooney both scoring two each. I think that does paper over some cracks in their team though. Every one beats Wolves nowadays and it still doesn't change the fact they have average players (compared to United teams of the past). Betting wise, I'll not be backing United. They have been winning too many games 1-0 recently and at 1.5 its not really worth the risk. If you are going to back United I think the win to nil market is better. That's a more respectable 2.38 at PaddyPower. It's a no bet for me or something on QPR at 8.0 at Coral.

Aston Villa (4.5) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2)
Villa came good last weekend with a 2-1 win over Bolton. They were looking lacklustre in midfield and I feared they were going to slip down the table. Pity for them that Agbonlahor is suspended. He's been playing better than Bent has and I think Heskey is getting a bit old now. Liverpool ground out a 1-0 against QPR. Plenty of possession but they were lacking in front of goal. Away from home, they have been playing a lot better though. They are 4-0-3. Only in the Spurs defeat were they really outplayed and that was partly because they were down to 10 men early on and finished the game with 9 men. I'd be happier if I knew Suarez was starting but I think Carroll does OK upfront too. Liverpool for me. Its even money at VC Bet.

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5) Sunderland (10)
I don't know what happened to Spurs last weekend at Stoke. They were outplayed first half and found themselves 2-0 down. They came out strong second half and managed to get a goal back but it was too little too late. I suppose all runs must come to an end. Midweek, they were knocked out of the Europa League despite winning. Redknapp wasn't bothered about that competition though and its all about the Premier League now. Sunderland managed to win against Blackburn last weekend. The O'Neil factor looks like its kicked in. If it wasn't for that, I'd be all over Spurs. I still will back Spurs but its not going to be such a walk in the park. O'Neil can't the skill level of the players and Spurs have a much superior squad and home advantage. It's 1.4 at Ladbrokes.

Manchester City (1.75) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (5.5)
This has got to be the game of the weekend. They question everyone is asking is how will City bounce back from their defeat at Chelsea. I personally think they were robbed. At 1-0 up they were denied a blatant penalty and Chelsea would have been down to 10 men. As it happened, City got a man sent off early in the second half and went on to lose the game 2-1. I suppose, they were due a loss at some point. Arsenal ground out a 1-0 win over a poor Everton side. Van Persie scoring the only goal. I suppose this game will depend on how quiet City can keep Van Persie. Arsenal do have a lot of pace in their side and could hit City on the counter if they push up too much. I think overs is the way to play this game. Stan James are offering 1.73 for overs which is almost the same as the City win. I can see Arsenal getting at least 1 so it'll be an overs game in City win.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 10 Dec 2011 04:00:25 +0000
10th - 12th December 2011
10th December 2011

Arsenal (1.57) Draw (4.2) Everton (7)

Arsenal's first team disposed of Wigan effortlessly last weekend 4-0. Van Persie only getting one of the goals. Their alternative side played out a meaningless Champions League fixture midweek which they lost 3-1. The first team will be back for this game. A couple of weeks ago they did slip up against Fulham, only managing the 1-1 draw. Everton lost at home last round. They don't create enough going forward to be of any threat. The had most of the possession but with limited options up front, they don't do anything with it. The bookies are pricing them up as a top half of the table team but I think they risk going down this season. Its Arsenal all the way for me. To some it might seem a bit stingy but I think 1.57 is a great price at PaddyPower for the Arsenal win.

Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3)

Bolton have done themselves no favours in the last 2 games with getting men sent off early. They duly lost to Everton 2-0 and Spurs 3-0. I doubt the Spurs result would have been any different but I think they could have beat Everton. The good news for them is that Cahill will not be suspended after his red card was rescinded on appeal. The previous home game, they did beat Stoke 5-0. Villa turned in another non-performance last weekend, losing 1-0 to Manchester United. With their strike force, they should be scoring but that's 3 blanks in the last 3 games. I don't think their midfield is giving the strikers much service. I am going to go for the draw this week. Bolton haven't drawn a game this season after 14 games. It's the biggest price out of the 3 too, 3.4 at VC Bet.

Liverpool (1.36) Draw (5) QPR (12)

Liverpool could be thought of as unlucky losing to Fulham last week. They had a man harshly sent off and lost the game to a very late goal. Its just the way Liverpool's season is going now, they seem to be able to raise their game for the top teams but against the lower teams, they have struggled. Norwich and Swansea have been to Anfield and gone away with a point. QPR should have beaten West Brom last week. They were dominant and had a goal wrongly ruled out. I've been impressed with the performance of QPR. I think the odds on Liverpool are far too short for this game. Their home record is 2-5-0. I see there being much more value in the 5.0 for the draw at bet365.

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (15)

Disaster for Manchester United in Basel. They only needed a draw but managed to lose 2-1 and are out of the Champions League this year. I suppose the writing was on the wall. Since they beat Norwich 2-0 back at the start of October, they've scored exactly 1 goal in each of the 7 games after. They look a shadow of the side that beat Arsenal 8-2 earlier in the season. Their midfield just isn't strong enough and with Vidic out for the season they'll struggle at the back. Lucky for them, they have Wolves coming here. I am sure if Fergusson could have chosen any fixture to recover from the midweek defeat it would have been this one. Wolves were lucky to beat Sunderland last weekend. Sunderland missed a penalty, lost concentration for 10 minutes and found themselves behind. Odds are poor but you really have to back United at home to this Wolves side. Practically any other Premiership team, I'd be opposing them but Wolves are shocking this season. United are 1.25 at PaddyPower and the win to nil is 1.91.

Norwich (2.45) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (3)

Norwich were taught a lesson by City last weekend, going down 5-1. You can't play nice football against City and not get battered unless you are one of the top teams. Previously, when they have lost its been by just the odd goal. Newcastle lost 3-0 last weekend to Chelsea. It wasn't really a 3-0 defeat though and could have easily been 1-1 and no one would have complained. Newcastle are sitting 6th because of their strong defence and incredible hard work. They do have a few defensive worries ahead of this fixture with Williamson and Taylor definitely out and Coloccini a major doubt. I think the draw represents the value in this fixture. It's the biggest price and much will depend on how Newcastle pick themselves up from that nightmare run of fixtures (City, United and Chelsea) where they have only picked up 1 point. The draw is 3.5 at bet365

Swansea (2.7) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.88)

Swansea's season may be going south. It happens to newly promoted teams sometimes, they get off to a good start but then drop off. They haven't been scoring many goals recently and when they did score, they let 4 in. To be fair, at 3-2 against Blackburn they were pressing and maybe could have got an equaliser before Blackburn were awarded their penalty and Swansea went down to 10 men. Fulham had a great result against Liverpool last week. They were second best but managed to win 1-0. The week before, they managed to hold Arsenal at the Emirates which is no easy feat. Jol may have finally got them playing together well and ready to climb the table. I think Fulham won't lose this game. The best bet I've seen is Fulham draw not bet at 2.0 at Skybet. Get a free £10 no deposit bet if you are a new customer.

West Brom (1.73) Draw (3.8) Wigan (6)

West Brom were fortunate to get a point at QPR last weekend. They put in a decent performance but QPR goal wrongly disallowed. Hodgson decided to play just 1 striker up from the start. 15 minutes after Odemwingie came on, he helped set up the goal for S Long. Maybe Hodgson will start them both this game. Wigan got beat 4-0 by Arsenal last weekend. They started off really well but the superior finishing of Arsenal undid all their hard work. Previously, they did beat Sunderland away from home and got a draw against Blackburn but that's it. They are favourites to go down for a reason. Betting wise, West Brom are a bit short. West Brom are only 6 points ahead of Wigan and could find themselves down at the bottom come the end of the season themselves. No bet for me.

11th December 2011

Sunderland (1.95) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.5)

No O'Neil factor last weekend for Sunderland. Almost came off, they were 1-0 up, missed a penalty, then Wolves score 2 in quick succession. I've got to say that Bendtner is rubbish. He didn't do very well at Arsenal surrounded by stars and he's doing worse at Sunderland. Blackburn got only their second win of the season against Swansea last round. They needed to score 4 to get that but a win is a win. Yakubu got all 4 and looks like he'll continue to score. That would have given them the confidence to start moving up the table. I think they are in a false position with some of the performances they have put in this season so far. I am going to be backing them this week. The O'Neil factor as pushed Sunderland to a price not worth backing. He's a good manager but Sunderland aren't going to be turning it around overnight. Blackburn are 4.5 at bet365

Stoke (4) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.15)

Stoke broke their bad run of results after a Europa League game with a 1-0 win against Everton. I think that's more to do with Everton being very limited rather than Stoke doing anything great though. Only 2 shots on target in the game for them and 1 for Everton. Spurs continued their excellent run with an easy 3-0 victory over Bolton. They did have a bit of luck with Cahill getting sent off early on for Bolton but I have no doubts the result would have been the same with the quality of the Spurs team. The Britannia is no longer a fortress and even in past seasons when it was, Spurs have come here and won. Spurs have been a gold mine for punters these past couple of months. I don't see any reason to stop backing them. When Manchester United came here, they were only 1.7ish. Spurs are playing better than United so they should be at most that price. You can get 2.15 at William Hill on the Spurs win.

12th December 2011

Chelsea (2.5) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (3)

Chelsea changed their system for the Champions League and it paid off with a 3-0 victory over Valencia. I guess they'll stick with that system with Mata, Sturridge and Drogba upfront and the defence sitting deep. Chelsea have been leaking goals playing the high defensive line so playing deep will make it hard for City to score. City are out of the Champions League now and in to the Europa League. Their win against a weakened Bayern Munich side wasn't good enough to get them through. In the league, they have just been steam rolling teams again. Norwich were their latest victims, getting thrashed 5-1. If Chelsea wouldn't have changed their system, I would be all over City now. Chelsea do have the team and home advantage to beat City here. Looking at the odds overall though, I am more inclined to back City draw no bet at 2.1 at Bet365. The great thing about Bet365 on this game is that they are having an in running special offer. Place a bet before the game of up to £50. Then in running place another bet up to the value of your first stake. If the in running bet loses then you get your stake refunded. Eg, Bet £20 on City draw no bet. You see that Chelsea are playing well, back Chelsea for £20 in running. If Chelsea win, great, if not, you get your stake refunded. Also, if you sign up this weekend you get a £200 bet basket. Sign up here

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 02 Dec 2011 18:02:00 +0000
3rd - 5th December 2011
3rd December 2011

Newcastle (3.75) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (2.2)

Nice result for Newcastle last weekend against Manchester United. It was a dodgy a penalty that gifted Newcastle the equaliser. Still an incredibly hard working team though and they do sit 4th. Chelsea had an easy time with Wolves last weekend, winning 3-0. I still think there is something seriously wrong at that club though.. They lost midweek with an alternative side to Liverpool in the Carling Cup. Some players will start this game that played midweek so they won't be as fresh as Newcastle. In the last few seasons 2.2 on Chelsea would have been bet of the season but Chelsea have yet to convince. Too many holes at the back. The value has got to be with the home win or draw. I'll go with the home win, its 3.75 at Skybet. Get £10 no deposit if you are a new user.

Blackburn (2.25) Draw (3.4) Swansea City (3.5)

Steve Kean rested a few players for the midweek Carling Cup. They lost 2-0 which wasn't too bad considering the players weren't really interested. It's the Premiership which is important. They sit rock bottom with only the single win all season. Its getting to be make or break time for them already. The good news is that Samba, Olsson and Salgado are all back in defence. Swansea haven't scored in the last 3 games. I suppose with the opponents being Liverpool (0-0), Manchester United (1-0) and Villa (0-0) its not too bad. Those teams do have tight defences and you could say they have only conceded a single goal. No D Graham for this game though so its hard to see where the goals are going to come from. I will have a punt on Blackburn here. I think Swansea are due a beating at some point and they may just get it here. Blackburn are 2.25 at Ladbrokes.

Manchester City (1.2) Draw (7.5) Norwich (17)

Pretty much nailed on home win here. Hard to make a case for anything else and to find the value. They do have a big week next week where they still have a slim chance of qualifying for the knock out stages of the Champions League. I think they could just stop after getting 2 goals up. I think the value is on the win to nil market. Its even money at PaddyPower. I don't think Norwich will get enough of the ball to score a goal. Even money is 5 times better than 1,2 on the straight win. They haven't kept a clean sheet in the last 6 league games though. Coral are doing City to win not to nil at 2.5. I prefer the win to nil myself.

QPR (2.3) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.4)

QPR lost to Norwich last weekend. Its just one of those things. Previously they had played a couple of cracking games including that narrow 3-2 defeat at home to Manchester City. No Wright-Philips for this game but Barton will be back. If they play like they did against City last home game, they'll win this easily. West Brom lost to Spurs last weekend after going 1-0 up. Everyone loses to Spurs nowadays so no big deal. I'd be more concerned about the out of form strikers. I am leaning towards the home win but I think over 2.5 goals represents better value. You can get even money for over 2.5 goals at bet365. Goals have been unusually high these past couple of seasons and the bookies have caught up to that fact yet.

Tottenham (1.33) Draw (5.4) Bolton (12)

Incredible run for Spurs in the league. I think the bookies have finally caught up and are pricing them right here. They lost midweek in the Europa League but Harry's not interested in that. It's the Premier League they want to win and Champions League next season. Bolton went down to 10 men last weekend and inevitably lost to Everton (2-0). I don't see any hope for them here what so ever. Spurs are just too strong this season. I'll be backing them on the handicap. -1 on the 1X2 handicap is 1.83 at Betfred.

Wigan (6.5) Draw (4.33) Arsenal (1.62)

Wigan moved themselves off the bottom of the table with the win against Sunderland. That lead to Bruce's sacking and probably gave Martínez some more time. I still don't sell much there. In previous seasons, Wigan have given Arsenal a tough time here but this Wigan side is the poorest I've seen in the Premiership. Arsenal were disappointing in the 1-1 draw at home to Fulham. They rested several players midweek in the Carling Cup which they lost 1-0 but it was very close with City scoring a later counter attack goal. I fully expect Arsenal to win this. The price seems really low but you got to remember that Wigan are 2-3-8 this season. 1.62 at PaddyPower.

Aston Villa (5.75) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.75)

Villa played out a 0-0 at Swansea last weekend. They could have won it if they didn't play defensively. No goals in the last 2 games from the front players of Bent, Heskey and Agbonlahor. Abysmal performance midweek by United midweek, losing 2-1 in extra time to Crystal Palace. Embarrassing but I don't think any of them will start this game. Last week's 1-1 draw at home will be more worrying to United. They actually played a decent game and on most other days they'd have won that. Initial thoughts were that the value was on Villa but every year I seem to think that and every year United seem to win. Looking at the two respective sides, you got say that United have the better team. Not to crazy about the odds but I will be backing United this weekend. If they don't win this, then they can kiss the title goodbye. It's 1.75 at PaddyPower.

4th December 2011
Everton (1.75) Draw (3.6) Stoke (5.75)

Everton were fortunate to be playing a ten men Bolton last weekend. They ended up winning 2-0 but who knows what would have been the score if it was 11 vs 11 for the whole 90 minutes. I still don't see anything in that Everton team that makes me think that they should be odds on in this game. Stoke played a tough game midweek. Its well known they have struggled after the European games. That's the only way I can explain the poor price on the home win. Everton are 1.75 at PaddyPower.

Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.13)

Wolves slide continues with the 3-0 defeat to Chelsea. It's a poor Wolves side this season but at least for this game they will be back almost to full strength. Doyle, O'Hara and Hunt didn't play at Chelsea. Sunderland have sacked their manager Steve Bruce. Martin O'Neil looks like he's accepted the new job. I suppose Bruce had to go. You can't lose 2-1 at home to the Premiership's bottom team. I fully expect the Sunderland players to respond to the new manager and play like they did a few weeks ago at Bolton where their second half performance won them the game. I will it safe though and back Sunderland on the draw no bet market at bet365 at 2.2. I fully expect this to be about even money come kick off time as punters pile in on Sunderland.

5th December 2011
Fulham (3.6) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.25)

Fulham helped ruin punters last weekend with their 1-1 draw at the Emirates. They were dominated possession wise but managed to get the draw. Midweek they had a tough game in Holland against FC Twente. They played a strong team but still lost with A Johnson getting sent off late. Its well known that Stoke have struggled after European games but so have Fulham, losing 3-1 to both Everton and Spurs after European fixtures. Liverpool have had a good run of results considering they have played Chelsea twice and Manchester City in the middle. Suarez was rested for the Cup win against Chelsea but should return for this game. Liverpool have been playing better away from home this season. Maybe when they don't have the pressure of the home fans, they perform better. I don't think Liverpool will lose this game so its draw or Liverpool. Odds are much better for the draw so that will be my pick. Its 3.4 at bet365.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 25 Nov 2011 22:00:30 +0000
26th - 27th November 2011
26th November 2011

Stoke (1.85) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.75)
That's 4 losses in a row for Stoke. As I suspected the Britannia is not the fortress it once was this season. Maybe teams have got used to their one dimensional play. Some of the losses could be blamed on fatigue from Europe but last weekend there was no such excuse. Blackburn snatched a valuable point away at Wigan last weekend. Down to 10 men and 2-1 down, they came back to make it 3-3. It shows the spirit in the team. Robinson got a boot in the head for his troubles. Still no Samba for this game. They have shipped a few too many goals without him this season. No doubt he'd be useful when defending those Stoke set pieces. Looking at the odds, I see much more value in the away win. Blackburn have been a bit unlucky recently and maybe could have picked up more points. Blackburn are 4.75 at VC Bet.

Bolton (3.25) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.4)
The hope that Bolton has turned the corner with that 5-0 home win against Stoke was destroyed last weekend by the 2-1 loss at West Brom. Bolton do have a fair few injuries though and maybe will properly turn the corner when they get them back. Everton managed to beat Wolves 2-1 last weekend recording only their 4th win of the season. The bookies see something in this Everton side I don't. They work hard but its difficult to see where their goals are going to come from. Cahill hasn't been scoring like he has done in previous seasons and their strikers are limited. Looking at the odds, I'd have to say Bolton are the value bet but I will go for the draw. It's a bigger price and Bolton are due a draw at some point. They are 3-0-9 in the league. It's 3.4 at Ladbrokes.

Chelsea (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (15)
Chelsea's fortunes have taken a turn for the worse. Only 1 win in the last 4 league games. That was at Blackburn and that could have been a loss too. To top it off, they lost in stoppage time to Leverkusen midweek in the Champions League. They really need to tighten up their defence. Good news is that Cole is fit. Wolves lost 2-1 at Everton last weekend. It was a late goal that sank them but the way they set up with a 4-5-1 formation they deserved to lose. If you set up like that to frustrate the opposition then sooner or later they will break you down. O'Hara and Hunt are suspended for this game so that means big changes in the midfield for Wolves. Anyone else visiting, I'd probably skip the 1.25 on the home win but its Wolves so actually, the 1.25 isn't that bad. Chelsea have to start winning again sometime and I think its going to be this weekend. It's 1.25 at VC Bet.

Manchester United (1.4) Draw (5) Newcastle (10)
Another 1-0 win for United last weekend. That's in a row now for them. With their strike force you'd expect more than that but at least they haven't been letting goals in. They only managed a 2-2 with Benfica in the Champions League but they were missing Rooney. He'll be back for this game. Newcastle lost their first game of the season last weekend to City 3-1. They probably don't need a fixture like this one to follow. I have been impressed with Newcastle's team spirit this season and was hoping they'd get something from City. I think this will be a tight game and United will win by the odd goal. It's not going to be as comfortable as the odds suggest but United will win this. It's 1.4 at most Bookmakers. The win to nil at 2.38 at bluesquare looks good value too. With Vidic back in the side, they have really tightened up their defence and Newcastle will find it hard to score.

Norwich (2.25) Draw (3.5) QPR (3.6)
Norwich took an early lead against Arsenal last weekend but couldn't compete over the 90 minutes. They were dominated by Arsenal and 2-1 was probably a fair result. I have been impressed with the performances of Norwich but they need to tighten up at the back. The previous home game, they were very fortunate to get a 3-3 draw with Blackburn. QPR have hit some form. They played a cracker against Manchester City but got nothing but then went on to win 3-2 at Stoke. Helguson has found some scoring form and should play in this game. No Barton for this game though. I am leaning more towards QPR but the Barton missing is a big miss in my eye. I think I will play it safe and go for over 2.5 goals. Both teams have leaky defences and are capable of scoring. Its 1.83 at Skybet. A 2-1 either way wouldn't surprise me.

Sunderland (1.73) Draw (3.8) Wigan (5.5)
Sunderland played out a 0-0 last weekend to Fulham. Nowadays Fulham are a decent side away from home too so not a bad result. I do feel they will start winning soon. That second half display at Bolton makes me think that there is potential in this side and that they are in a false position. Wigan were probably unlucky to draw 3-3 in the last game. One of the goals should have been disallowed for sure. At least it stopped the losing streak. I just don't think they have the players to not lose this game though. Even though they were unlucky, they were 2-1 up with an extra man on the field. The value is probably on Wigan but I've been burnt too many times this season to be backing them. I am not too keen on the Sunderland price but I think they will win this. It's 1.73 at bet365.

West Brom (4.33) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (1.95)
West Brom's slump came to an end with a 2-1 win over fellow strugglers Bolton. Odemwingie should be back Saturday and so may partner Long up front. They should become a great strike force if they can both stay fit. West Brom are mid-table and probably will sit there all season. Spurs keep on winning. They were fantastic against Villa and could have easily won more than 2-0. At the moment, only City are ahead of them in the recent form statistics. With the way they are playing they could be City's biggest challengers for the title. I am guessing the bookies are pricing this game up as if Spurs run cannot last forever. If this was Manchester United it'd be like 1.6 tops. You are nearly getting even money. I am on the 1.95 for Spurs at Boylesports all day long.

Arsenal (1.50) Draw (4.5) Fulham (9)
Maybe I have got Arsenal wrong. Since losing to Spurs, they have won the last 5 games. It does help that Van Persie is on top form. Song and Walcott have been playing well too. They were great against Dortmund midweek in the Champions League. Maybe that could be a negative but Arsenal are a team that don't generally suffer after midweek games. Fulham played out a dull 0-0 against Sunderland last weekend. Only 2 wins this season though and they were against Wigan and QPR. They should be higher up the table too with their squad but its not happening at the moment for them. I have no doubts they will start winning games sooner or later but not at the Emirates this weekend. Usually, I'd expect Arsenal to be about 1.3ish for a game like this. PaddyPower are offering 1.5. Maybe they are not convinced by this Arsenal revival but I am.

27th November 2011

Swansea City (2.3) Draw (3.5) Aston Villa (3.4)
Swansea lost 1-0 to Manchester United last weekend. That sounds respectable but the game was played at a pedestrian pace and you always had the feeling that United could have stepped it up at any time. That was Swansea's first home loss of the season. Villa were shocking at Spurs last round. The 2-0 loss was quite flattering towards Villa. They have to step it up this game as they are entering a period of games where they won't be expected to win many games. With Bent and Heskey up front you can never write them off. Betting wise I will go for the draw. I don't see any value in the Premiership new boys. They've been playing fairly well but I do expect them to drop off at some point, so an X2 game. As the draw is the better price I will go for that. Its 3.5 at Ladbrokes.

Liverpool (2.9) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.7)
Game of the weekend. Liverpool beat Chelsea last weekend but the recent form of Chelsea takes a bit of the gloss off that win. At home this season they are 2-4-0 so nothing really that special. No Gerrard but that's about it for players missing from the Liverpool side. City have been demolishing teams as usual. 3-1 against Newcastle last weekend. They are scoring 3.5 goals on average per game. The big question is how they will react to the loss on Tuesday against Napoli. Last time they lost in Europe at Bayern they came back and won 4-0 at Blackburn. Before that loss in Italy, City were around the 2.3 mark. They've drifted up now to 2.7. I'll be backing them again. Betting on City has been a punters dream this season. They've been to Spurs and Manchester United and thrashed them, 5-1 and 6-1 respectively. Liverpool are always over rated. With the exception of maybe Suarez, none of the Liverpool side would get in to the City side. 2.7 for City at William Hill. Another good bet I think is over 2.5 goals. 100% of City's away games have been over 2.5 goals. That's 1.83 at Boylesports.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 18 Nov 2011 19:46:15 +0000
19th - 21st November 2011
19th November 2011

Norwich (5.5) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (1.73)
Norwich continue to play their attractive brand of football. They have been a bit sloppy at the back though and thus conceded 3 goals in each of their last 3 games. They have been playing really well though and have been scoring freely too. Arsenal have been on a 4 game mini-run since losing to Spurs. They have been mainly playing poor teams at home but they did manage to get that 5-3 win over Chelsea at Stamford Bridge. That was their only win away from home this season though and part of the reason they won was because Chelsea were pushing for a winner, leaving massive gaps at the back. Norwich, if they play their brand of football should lose this one. If you try play against Arsenal they will beat you. I am still not confortable backing Arsenal away from home though, especially at odds on. They may have turned the corner but that win at Chelsea could have been a blip. I think the overs betting is was to play this. It's 1.67 at Totesport which is low for overs but I can see both teams scoring here and a probable Arsenal win.

Everton (1.67) Draw (3.8) Wolverhampton (6.5)
Another week, another defeat for Everton. I can't believe that Newcastle drifted out to 2.5 before kick off. Everton are a limited side. Looking at their goal scorers they have Royston on 2 goals and Rodwell on 2. Everyone else is on 0 or 1. To be fair, they have had a tough run of fixtures, losing to City, Liverpool, Chelsea, Manchester United and Newcastle. They did manage to beat Fulham away from home but I put that down to good fortune. Wolves managed their first win in 8 against Wigan last round. Everyone beats Wigan nowadays though so no big deal. Wolves haven't been scoring much either but at least they have recognised strikers that score. Fletcher has 3, Doyle 2 and O'Hara 2. I can't be even considering Everton at 1.67. The 6.5 on the away win is much better value in my opinion. Wolve's have a fully fit squad and shouldn't be 6.5. I think 5.0 would be too generous so 6.5 is a great speculative bet at Boylesports.

Manchester City (1.33) Draw (5.75) Newcastle (11)
City made hard work of beating QPR last round 3-2. It took a late Toure goal to seal the victory. I suppose no team can keep playing at the pace they have set. It's still an amazing start to the season though. The only worry is that a lot of City stars have been away on international duty and may be a little tired. Also they have Napoli next week in a crucial Champions League game but with the depth of their squad, Mancini should be able to rotate and still play a strong team. Newcastle keep defying gravity. Every week they are expected to lose as this run can't go on forever but they still manage it. They face a big test now though, with City, then United, then Chelsea. Even the most diehard Newcastle supporter must expect them to lose at least one of those. It probably will be this one but at 5.75 for the draw its got to be worth backing that. City have been winning games by scoring late goals when the opposition gets tired. This Newcastle team is so hard working though, they may be able to hold them off. The draw is 5.75 at bluesquare.

Stoke (1.85) Draw (3.6) QPR (4.75)
There is something wrong at Stoke. Its no longer the fortress Britannia. They are 2-2-1 there. Games in Europe have taken their toll on them and they haven't been just losing games after European fixtures, they've been getting thrashed. Fortunately they've had a long international break. QPR played a great game against City last round. I thought it was the safest game on the coupon but QPR gave City a run for their money. There would have been no complaints if they would have got a point there. Previously they were outclassed first half against Spurs and came out fighting second half with a very good performance. QPR may finally be living up to their potential. Looking at the odds, I see much better value in the 4.75 on the away win that on the 1.85 home win. QPR are 4.75 at VC Bet.

Sunderland (2.38) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.3)
Overall a poor start to the season for Sunderland and Bruce is under pressure at this early stage of the season. Decent enough result last round though. They only went down 1-0 at Old Trafford. Not sure whether that was because Sunderland were great or United were just poor. A Wes Brown own goal is what sank them in a forgettable game. Fulham threw everything at Spurs last game and somehow managed to lose 3-1. I guess its just one of those things in football. They were unlucky to lose at Everton the home game before too. With the players they have, they should be higher up the league for sure. I think if there is going to be a winner its going to be Fulham but I don't there will be so I'll back the draw. Its 3.3 at Totesport.

West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4.0)
West Brom have had a couple of shocking performances. They probably would expected to lose to Liverpool and Arsenal but it's the manner in which they lost which is worrying. With no Long or Odemwingie in the side they looked toothless at Arsenal. Odemwingie may be back but no Long for this game. It was looking grim for Bolton. 5 home games and 5 defeats but then they pull out a 5-0 win over Stoke. Stoke have been getting battered after European fixtures though so it may be more to do with Stoke's ineptness than Bolton hitting form. Whatever the reason, it would have given the Bolton team a big confidence boost which they can build on. I guess the price on the away win is a bit too big for me to pass on. It's 4.0 at VC Bet.

Wigan (2.6) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3)
Terrible run of form for Wigan. Since that win against QPR its been 8 losses in a row. Sometimes when teams go on these runs you can see some green shoots of hope. A decision going against them or a tight 1-0. With Wigan though, there's nothing like that. They lost the last 2 games by 2 goals. Rodallega isn't the player he was last season and without him in form, they are struggling to score. With Blackburn, you can see the potential there. They were unlucky not to get all 3 points from Norwich and were unlucky to lose against Chelsea. Samba could be back in defence making it hard for Wigan to break through. I am going to go with Blackburn here. It's 3.0 at VC Bet.

Swansea City (8) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.53)
Swansea defied the odds and got a good point at Anfield last round. They've been playing well just like the other promoted teams. At home, they are 3-2-0 with the 2 draws early on and winning the last 3. The opposition hasn't been that spectacular though with Bolton, West Brom and Stoke being the losers. United haven't really bounced back from that 6-1 thrashing at the hands of Manchester City. They've played 2 games since then winning both 1-0 but for a title contender you'd expect a better bounce back than that. They didn't even score against Sunderland - the goal was an own goal by ex-united star, Wes Brown. Young should be back which I think will give them a much needed boost. I think they play better when he's out on the wing. Looking at the odds, I don't think I can bring myself to back United. I think Swansea +1 on the Asian Handicap is a much better bet at even money at bet365. With the exception of the 5-0 win at Bolton, United haven't won by more than 2 goals away from home. With the way United have been playing recently, it wouldn't surprise me if Swansea got a draw from this or a narrow loss.

20th November 2011

Chelsea (1.91) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (4.75)
Chelsea bounced back from the 5-3 home defeat against Arsenal with a 1-0 away win at Blackburn. It wasn't the most convincing of performances though and if Blackburn would have taken their chances, they could have easily won that game with no complaints. Drogba should be back for this game. They need him back as Torres just misses too many chances. Liverpool had a disappointing 0-0 home draw against Swansea last home game. They have got a better record away from home this season which is surprising. I'd have assumed that Anfield would be a fortress. Carroll and Suarez haven't quite clicked yet but its only a matter of time. The Bridge is a tough place to go though and with that 5-3 defeat fresh in their minds, Chelsea will be tightening it up at the back. My first instinct was that this would be an unders game. That's even money. That's pretty decent but as I'll be watching this game, I will be going for Liverpool on the +1 (1X2) handicap. That's even money at Skybet. I am not that impressed with Chelsea's performances and this game could go either way. May as well have the draw on your side. Skybet are offering a free no deposit £10 bet for new users. Click here to sign up.

21st November 2011

Tottenham (1.6) Draw (4.33) Aston Villa (7)
Spurs rode their luck a bit at Fulham. Somehow they managed to win 3-1 despite being second best. Bale on fine form again. That's 7 wins out of 8 now and Spurs are looking like City's biggest challengers on paper. They may be going off the boil a bit based on performances but if you can't argue with the results. No clean sheet in 6 either. Bent and Agbonlahor have formed a great partnership upfront for Villa. Agbonlahor may be missing though as he suffered a hamstring injury during the international break. Villa face a tough run of fixtures now, starting at Spurs. I can't see them getting anything away on a Monday night. A decent price too on Spurs. If Spurs are a top 4 team then you'd be looking at getting 1.4 tops for a game like this. Villa probably will avoid a relegation battle this year but will be mid-table at best. Spurs are 1.6 at William Hill.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 05 Nov 2011 04:32:24 +0000
5th - 6th November 2011
5th November 2011

Newcastle (2.3) Draw (3.4) Everton (3.5)
Newcastle continue their excellent start. 3-1 last week away to Stoke. I fully expected them to lose their unbeaten record but a Ba hattrick and general hard work got them through. Stoke is not an easy place to go. Everton lost their last game 1-0 at home to Manchester United. No shame in that I suppose, the were missing Neville and Cahill, who are doubts for this game too. I don't think they'll have much of a chance if they don't play. Newcastle are well priced at 2.3 here. With their form, they should easily be odds on but for some strange reason PaddyPower are offering 2.3.

Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.75) West Brom (9)
Arsenal played a decent game last weekend and deserved to beat Chelsea. 5-3 I think is a little flattering as 2 of those were in the last 5 minutes of the game. It was a bit of a mad game. Chelsea pushing for the win late on left big holes in the back which Van Persie exploited. West Brom will be playing a lot more defensively so they won't find it as easy. That is 3 wins in a row for Arsenal though and they are up to 7th. West Brom played a stinker of game last round. Liverpool managed to beat them without really even breaking a sweat. West Brom only had 1 shot on target. I don't think they'll be able to get anything here either. That 2 win streak previously was against a poor Wolves side and a 10 man Villa. I'm not overly keen on the odds for Arsenal but I think they will win this. Its 1.44 at PaddyPower.

Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.6) Norwich (4.6)
Villa drew their last game 2-2 against Sunderland, thus returning to their favourite result this season. The are 2-6-2 overall. With the squad they have they should really be winning more games. Norwich managed to score 2 late goals to salvage a point from the visit of Blackburn. They have been in fine form recently and probably do deserve to be a point ahead of Villa. Betting wise they odds on Villa are too short. The draw offers much better value in my opinion, followed by the away win. It wouldn't be too much of shock if Norwich won this but I think the draw is more likely. It's 3.6 at VC Bet.

Blackburn (7.5) Draw (4.5) Chelsea (1.53)
Blackburn played a solid game against Norwich and maybe were unlucky not to take 3 points from them. Maybe the Carling Cup win over Newcastle did mark the start of their campaign this season. Before then it was terrible with only the single win over Arsenal. Chelsea are going through a rough patch now. Arsenal managed to knock 5 past them last weekend. A good team would have used the next game to bounce back but Chelsea could only manage a draw in the Champions League against Genk. I think that Villas-Boas may be getting the tactics wrong. Their defence is vulnerable to the counter attack. Terry's lack of pace is being exploited by the opposition. No Drogba for this game either as he's suspended. Betting wise, I would not touch Chelsea at 1.53. 7.5 for Blackburn at Totesport is a much better bet. If you do think Chelsea will win then betting on the overs market at 1.57 is better. No clean sheet for Chelsea since the first day of the season so if that trend continues then it will be an overs game if Chelsea win.

Liverpool (1.36) Draw (5.5) Swansea City (11)
Liverpool comfortable beat a poor West Brom side last round, 2-0. Suarez and Carroll are making nice strike partnership up front. No Gerrard for this game though as he's out with an ankle infection. Swansea beat a 10 man Bolton side last weekend. Away from home they have struggled to pick up points. To be fair they really should have been Wolves the week before but Wolves managed to score 2 late goals from nowhere to get a point. Liverpool are 2-3-0 at home with the last 2 games being draws against Manchester United and Norwich. I don't think this will be as comfortable as the odds suggest. Swansea aren't a bad side and that Graham has started scoring regular goals. My tip is Swansea +1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap at bet365 at 1.98.

Manchester United (1.29) Draw (6.5) Sunderland (15)
United haven't been playing that well recently. They made hard work of beating Everton last week and midweek against Otelul Galati. I don't think their midfield that strong this year. Maybe that's why Fergusson experimented with sticking Rooney there in the midweek game. Sunderland couldn't follow up the win at Bolton with a home win against Villa. That's not too bad a result I suppose. Its something they can build on but I don't think they'll get anything here. You really do have be backing United at home every week, whatever the odds - well unless Manchester City come to town. 1.29 at PaddyPower.

QPR (10) Draw (5.25) Manchester City (1.38)
QPR were battered by Spurs last round. They are a poor side. They didn't look like scoring from open play and their goal came from a poorly defended corner. City had a nice trip to Spain midweek and played a leisurely 3-0 win over Villarreal without even breaking a sweat. I cannot see any other result than a City win. The only hope is that City get 2 men sent off. Even then, I think I'd still not back QPR to win. Maybe if QPR are lucky, they can get to half time at 0-0. City are sometimes slow starters. City -1.5 goals is 2.15 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. They have to win by more than 2 goals but I am confident that they will do.

6th November 2011

Wolverhampton (1.95) Draw (3.5) Wigan (4.5)
Wolves will be happy not playing Manchester this week. The last two games they played were against City and they lost them both, 5-2 and 3-1. At least they can score goals and maybe can get a win against normal opposition here. Wigan lost number 7 in a row last weekend against Fulham. Surprisingly, they can go ahead of Wolves with a 2 goal victory. Rodallega isn't scoring the goals like he did last season but is a potential match winner you can't write off. I am struggling to understand how the current Wolves team can be odds on favourite here. I know Wigan have lost 7 on the bounce but Wolves have lost 6 of the last 7. I find the 4.5 at Ladbrokes for a Wigan win much more backable than the 1.95 on Wolves.

Bolton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.2)
When will Bolton get their first win of the season? 5 games, 5 losses. Early on you could blame it on the tough opposition but they couldn't even beat Sunderland last home game (2-0 loss). Stoke had a midweek in the Europa League against Maccabi Tel Aviv. Last time they had an away game in the Europa League, Sunderland beat them 4-0 the game after. Pulis made 9 changes this time though, so the team facing Bolton should theoretically be fully rested. It was Stoke last season that beat Bolton 5-0 in the FA Cup which marked the start of Bolton's decline. It could be time for revenge or another beating. I will just skip this fixture.

Fulham (3.3) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.3)
Fulham played a strong team in the Europa League midweek and beat Wisla Krakow 4-1. They may well regret doing this though with the visit of in for Spurs who played a team of youngsters in their Europa League game. In the Premiership, Fulham did record their second win of the season against Wigan last round. With their side, they should be higher up than they are. Spurs lost their Europa League game but it was a throwaway game for them. They didn't need to win it. They are in excellent form at the moment. They could have knocked a few more past QPR last weekend. I am starting to think that they could be City's biggest challengers this year. Fulham won't lose many games at home this season but I think this will be one of them. Spurs are looking like a solid top 4 side and yet you are still getting odds against for them. Spurs at 2.3 at PaddyPower is a great bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 29 Oct 2011 02:49:35 +0000
29th - 31st October 2011
29th October 2011

Everton (5) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.83)
Some how Everton managed to win at Fulham last weekend with their limited side. It could have gone either way though and Everton only managed to get the victory in injury time with 2 late goals. For this game, Neville and Cahill are both out, arguably their best 2 players. They also had to play a long 120 minutes against Chelsea midweek. Manchester United got battered last weekend. They did have Jonny Evans sent off when it was 1-0 so that was a major factor in getting beat 6-1. They were pushing forward and it allowed City to counter with the man advantage. Midweek, they had a stroll in the park against Aldershot with a second string side. They'll be fresh and hungry to bounce straight back. Manchester United are 1.83 at PaddyPower but with the injuries to Everton's two beat players, the 120 minutes midweek and United needing to bounce back strong, I am going to go for United -1 on the 1X2 handicap. Its 3.6 at bluesquare. Its around the 3.0 mark everywhere else so there's got to be some value in that.

Chelsea (1.7) Draw (4) Arsenal (6)
Chelsea must have busted quite a few accumulators last weekend, losing 1-0 at QPR. To be fair, they outclassed QPR with just 9 men. No Drogba as he's suspended but Torres will be back. Midweek, they played a second string side at Everton so I expect little tiredness from them. Arsenal took care of Stoke 3-1 last weekend with a couple of late goals from Van Persie. They still can't seem to win away from home. A draw at Newcastle and then loses to Manchester United, Blackburn and Spurs. I can't see them getting anything here. They've won their last 2 but against Stoke and Sunderland - not exactly the top teams. All Chelsea have to do is keep Van Persie quiet and they'll win comfortably. I'll be on Chelsea at 1.7 at PaddyPower.

Manchester City (1.18) Draw (8) Wolverhampton (21)
This game was played midweek with the Manchester City B side beating Wolves 5-2. That was at Molineux too. I don't really see any other result than a City win here. Its really just a case of seeing what betting angle to go with. I think over 3.5 goals at 2.1 at Skybet is the way to play this. City could easily be 4-0 up at half time here if they decide to turn on the style. 7 out of 9 league this season have been over 3.5 goals.

Norwich (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4.2)
Norwich are playing some great football at the moment. They could have been down by more than the single goal at half time last weekend at Liverpool but went in to the break just 1-0 down. They were well worth the 1-1 draw in the second half. In the previous home games they have beaten Sunderland and Swansea. Blackburn are rock bottom and have only won 1 game so far in the league. They did manage to beat Newcastle deep in to extra time in the Carling Cup though. This could kick start their season but it also could be a distraction. Norwich didn't have to play for 120 minutes midweek. I'll stick with the team that has been winning their home game, so its Norwich then. Its 2.05 at PaddyPower.

Sunderland (2.25) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.75)
An excellent second half performance last weekend allowed Sunderland to get a 2-0 win over Bolton and ease some of the pressure on Steve Bruce. I don't think they are the type of side which can back that up with a home win though. One victory against Bolton doesn't change the fact that they have a limited strike force. Sessegnon and Bendtner may prove to be a good strike force this season but its too early to tell. I have more confidence in the Villa strike force Bent, Agbonlahor and N´Zogbia. Villa were on an unbeaten run until they met Manchester City and then lost to West Borm last weekend. They were 1-0 though when they went down to 10 men. I don't see them losing a third game in a row. I don't see them winning this game either, so it's the draw for me. It's 3.3 at Skybet.

Swansea City (2.15) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
Swansea were 2-0 up against Wolves last weekend after 35 minutes. They were cruising up until the 84th minute when they let Wolves score 2 goals in 2 minutes. Brendon Rogers was left scratching his head at how they could let that happen. After a slow start Swansea have been playing well. Graham looks like he can score in the Premiership after all. Bolton were beaten 2-0 last weekend at the Reebok. Sunderland turned on the heat and Bolton couldn't react. Still no home point at all for Bolton and just 6 points overall with wins against QPR and Wigan. They'll be down there at the bottom of the table unless something drastic happens in the transfer window. They never replaced their scorers from last season. Home win for me. Its 2.15 at William Hill.

Wigan (3) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.6)
6 straight losses for Wigan. It looks like another season fighting relegation for them. To be fair they did play a decent game against Newcastle and only lost it late on. Leading goal scorer Di Santo will be back in the side this week. Fulham, were probably a bit unlucky to lose 3-1 to Everton last weekend. They missed a late chance which would have won them the game, then Everton go up the other end and score. Fulham still haven't cracked this winning away from home thing. So far they are 0-1-3 away from home. I can't see why they are favourites here. Fulham have only won 1 and that was against QPR, just like Wigan. Looking at past results, this is a nailed on draw. The last 5 have been draws. Its 3.3 at VC Bet
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West Brom (4) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (2.1)
Back to back wins for West Brom. First was against a terrible Wolves team and then last weekend they came from behind to beat a 10 man Villa. The problem I see with West Brom is that, how often do you see teams outside the top 4 win 3 in a row? Liverpool got a disappointing home draw to Norwich last round. I do think that was because Norwich played exceptional well. Nothing wrong with the Liverpool side. Suarez still looking good and bagged another couple midweek in the Carling Cup. I do think the value is on the draw in this game. Liverpool aren't great away from home. They have beaten Everton and Arsenal but that was when their opponents were down to 10 men. I don't think that West Brom have it in them to win 3 in a row so the draw is the logical conclusion. Its 3.5 at VC Bet.

30th October 2011

Tottenham (1.4) Draw (5) QPR (9)
Fantastic run of form for Spurs. After getting smashed at the start of the season by the two Manchester Clubs they have won 5 and drawn 1. That puts them top of the current form table along with Manchester City. Adebayor and Parker have made such a difference to their side since joining. QPR were absolutely shocking against Chelsea. 11 vs 9 you'd expect them to be doing the attacking but it was Chelsea who were the more likely to score. Lucky for QPR they got an early penalty, scored it and got all 3 points. Unless Spurs get a couple of men sent off in this game, I can't see how QPR can get anything from this game. Spurs -1 on the 1X2 handicap is even money at Skybet. Get a £10 no deposit sign up bonus and use their money to have this one. Click here.

31st October 2011

Stoke (2.2) Draw (3.3) Newcastle (3.8)
Its not often you get Stoke at 2.2 against anyone outside of the traditional top 4. The Britannia is fortress. Chelsea, Liverpool and Manchester United have all come here this season and not one of them have won. They may have lost 3-1 last game but that was after a European fixture. They seem to be struggling a bit after the European games. They did have a Carling Cup fixture midweek but as this is a Monday night game, I don't see the tiredness being a factor. Newcastle's unbelievable run continues. They left it late last week to beat Wigan 1-0 but they did. Midweek, they did lose out to Blackburn in the Carling Cup in the last minute of extra time. In the league they are only one of 2 teams that are unbeaten, the other being Manchester City. They haven't had any tough away fixtures yet and this will be their biggest test of the season so far. I think they will fail it. Stoke are 2.2 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 22 Oct 2011 01:03:43 +0000
22nd - 23rd October 2011
22nd October 2011

Wolverhampton (2.05) Draw (3.4) Swansea City (4)
After a bad start, Wolves have gone on the slide. They have lost their last 5 games. Top scorer Fletcher is out but Ebanks-blake could be back to replace him. Swansea sit one point above Wolves in the league. This is on the back of their home form though. Away from home they have yet to get a point. I suppose they have played, City, Arsenal and Chelsea in that away run though. They've also been scoring which was a problem for them at the start. Graham and Sinclair may be able to get a few goals this season after all. I am going to go for Wolves here. A lot more riding on this for Wolves than Swansea. If they don't win games like this, then they'll go down. Wolves are 2.05 at Ladbrokes

Aston Villa (2.15) Draw (3.4) West Brom (4.2)
There was reality check last weekend when Villa lost their unbeaten record. They didn't look too good, losing 4-1 to Manchester City. I am not sure whether that's because Villa are poor or whether City are just a class above everyone else or Villa are poor. With Bent, Agbonlahor and Heskey up front they really should have done better. West Brom got a confidence boosting 2-0 win over Wolves last round. Odemwingie on the scoresheet after coming on a sub. Its not certain he will start this game but no doubt it will be a big boost if he does. In betting terms, its tricky to call. I am swaying towards the draw here. If this was last weekends games, then I'd say Villa all day long but after last weeks results I'd say a draw would be where the value is. After all, Villa have only beaten Blackburn and Wigan all season. The draw is 3.4 at Totesport

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.5)
Still no home win for Bolton this season but there were signs of hope last weekend when they beat Wigan 3-1. I cannot be sure whether they have turned the corner or whether they just came across a very poor Wigan side. They still haven't won at home this season, going down to some heavy defeats too. Sunderland played a decent enough game against Arsenal last weekend. If it not for the brilliance of Robin van Persie they would have probably got a draw out of it. They welcome back Bendtner up front who on his day can score those goals. N'Gog and Davis don't have that class in my opinion. In terms of betting, I don't think Sunderland will lose this. Bolton need to show some consistency before I back them. I think Sunderland +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at Ladbrokes at 2.0 is the way to go. You get paid out at 1.5 if it's a draw and 2.0 if Sunderland win.

Newcastle (1.62) Draw (4) Wigan (7)
On current form this should be the home banker of the weekend. Newcastle are playing well and deserved to be in 4th place at the moment. Ba was a great signing and is scoring goals. The whole team just works really hard. Even when Spurs were 2-1 up last weekend with 22 minutes to go, I could see that Newcastle would get back in to the game with the amount of effort they put in. What to say about Wigan? Well, it looks like they are going down. First 3 games of the season, they played the new boys and got 5 points. Since then they have lost 5 on the bounce, including that 3-1 home defeat to a poor Bolton side. I don't think I've seen Newcastle at this price before, its strange backing them at such short odds but I will be backing them at 1.62 at William Hill

Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5.5) Norwich (13)
I can see why this game is the lowest price on the coupon but I am not convinced. I maybe a biased here but watching them against Manchester United, they didn't really look like they were going to score from open play. Gerrard looked good though and scored the goal from a free kick. Norwich, even though they are one of the new boys have been playing really well. They ran Chelsea and Manchester United closer than both scorelines suggest. Liverpool aren't as good as those teams. I look at the price on Norwich and I think its too high. I don't think I am brave enough to bet on them though. Liverpool probably will win this game but at 1.33 it holds no interest for me. The 5.5 at bet365 on the draw looks the best bet with the possibility of laying some of it off later on if its tight.

22rd October 2011

Arsenal (1.58) Draw (4.33) Stoke (7)
Poor Arsenal. I think they may be battling for 6th place with Newcastle at this rate. The 2-1 win against Sunderland and 1-0 win at Marseille paper over a few cracks in their side. They look mid-table this season. If van Persie gets injured that's where they'll be. Stoke played Maccabi Tel Aviv midweek in the Europa League and won 3-0. They have been thrashed after these midweek games in the Premiership. 4-0 at Sunderland and 2-0 at Swansea. If this was the Arsenal of previous seasons, then this could easily be thrashing number 3. I am not too sure though. They played at home and didn't have to stretch themselves to beat Maccabi Tel Aviv. They are great at set pieces which Arsenal struggle to defend. I am going to take a chance on the away win here. 7.0 at Skybet is just too big. Click here for a free £10 bet No deposit

Fulham (2.4) Draw (3.3) Everton (3.3)
At the start of this month, Fulham thrashed QPR 6-0 and it looked like it would kick start their season. They went on to lose to Stoke last weekend 2-0 and then unluckily lost 1-0 in the Europa League after having a man sent off. That could give Everton the edge here as they had no midweek game to play. Everton have now lost 3 in a row but to be fair they were against, Chelsea, City and Liverpool. I still don't see much in their team apart from a lot of effort. Saha isn't the striker he once was and Cahill isn't in good form either. I don't see where their goals are going to come from. I always think that though and the hard work they put in, lets them pick up points here and there. I think they may be able to get a point here. The draw is 3.3 at Skybet

Manchester United (2.1) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (3.8)
The game of the weekend here. Its as if Ferguson has been preparing for this from last weekend where he left, Nani, Rooney and Hernandez on the bench against Liverpool. At least two of them should start this vital fixture. The team that played against Otelul Galati was stronger. I guess Fergusson knew that he needed to win that game more than the one at Liverpool. Still could be tiring for some of them coming back from Romania though. City have been steam rolling teams since that draw at Fulham in September. 2-0 vs Everton, 4-0 Blackburn and 4-1 Villa. They do have a side that can realistically beat United this season. Its actually been pretty close the last couple of seasons between these two teams. Seeing them midweek against Villarreal midweek I was not impressed though. They were seconds away from being knocked out at the group stages in the Champions League. I was originally going to go Manchester United but there is a special offer at Bet365 that has swayed me. Basically, place a bet before the game and Bet365 will refund your first losing In running bet. I have gone City at 3.8. I'll watch the game and use the free bet that Bet365 are effectively giving me to hedge. This is a great deal for existing customers. New customers also get a £200 bet basket too. Visit the site here.

Blackburn (4.33) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (1.91)
Blackburn are rock bottom at this early stage of the season. Their only win was a 4-3 win over Arsenal. That was mostly down to Arsenal not being able to defend set pieces. They did managed to keep it at 0-0 first half against City last home game before going down 4-0. Spurs were 5 minutes from making it 5 wins in 5 last weekend at Newcastle. Redknapp is kicking himself that he let Newcastle snatch a point. If they go up in this game then they'll not make that mistake again. Spurs had a midweek game in the Europa League but rested several of his stars so In don't think tiredness will be a problem. I quite like the price on the away win. 1.91 isn't bad for a probable top 4 side vs a probable relegated side. Its 1.91 at Skybet

QPR (10) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.4)
QPR must feel they are due a home win but unfortunately its not going to be this week. Their best chance was last weekend when a poor Blackburn side came to visit. They only managed a 1-1 in an even game. It was looking all so promising with the late signings but after the 6-0 thumping at Fulham, its obvious they need a bit more time to get the team playing together. Chelsea having been winning big recently. I'll not read too much in to the 5-0 win against Genk midweek as the Belgium league is quite poor but they have been beating Premiership sides pretty comfortably, scoring 12 goals in the last 3 games. No Torres but Drogba will start instead. I cannot see anything other than an away win. Sometimes the large odds on the home win are tempting but in the mood Chelsea are in and the lack of home form for QPR, the 10.0 has no appeal. Chelsea -1 on the 1X2 Handicap looks a decent bet. Its even money at PaddyPower.

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Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 14 Oct 2011 17:03:11 +0000
15th - 16th October 2011
15th October 2011

Liverpool (3.1) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (2.62)
Liverpool captain Gerrard looks like he will start this game. That will be a welcome boost for Liverpool who are looking their 3rd win on the bounce. They got a little help from the referee when Everton got a man sent off. Carroll got his first league goal and Suarez scored late on to make sure of the win. After a few games of the season I came up with a fool proof betting system - just back Manchester United every game. I am not too sure now. They were lucky to beat Norwich and before then lucky to get a point to Stoke. I don't rate Rooney as much as everyone else does. All eyes will be on him after the European antics. Its a tricky one to call this. If United play at their best, they should win but I can't be sure that they will turn up. Liverpool have been playing good football recently and do up their game when United come to town. I am thinking goals in this game. Pre-match, you can get 1.91 at bluesquare for over 2.5 goals. I think I'll have that bet in running though. After 10 minutes the price for overs is usually better than evens and the early kick offs do sometimes take a while to get going. As a fun bet, I am going to have Rooney to be sent off too at 33/1 at VC Bet.

Manchester City (1.36) Draw (5) Aston Villa (10.5)
City beat Blackburn 4-0 in the last round. Another win and another clean sheet for them. At the movement they look unstoppable. We'll have to wait until the big game next week to see if Manchester United can stop them. The only downer on City is that they had many players, playing in the European qualifiers and won't be as well rested as Villa. Amazingly, Villa are still unbeaten this season. Most of their games have ended in draws though. Only 2 wins in all that and both of those at home. They haven't played any of the big teams yet though. Agbonlahor and Bent do look like they have gelled and scored a goal each against Wigan last round. They could cause City some problems but I think they class of City will shine through eventually. 1.36 looks a bit on the low side but thats all you'd get if this was Chelsea or United so 1.36 is about fair. It's 1.36 at most Bookmakers
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Norwich (2.25) Draw (3.3) Swansea City (3.5)
Norwich were impressive at Old Trafford last round. They could have won that if they took their chances. Not many teams can say that. They were impressive in the game before that beating Sunderland 2-1 and before then beating Bolton 2-1 at the Reebok. I am not sure about this Swansea side. Dyer, Sinclair and Graham aren't strikers that would scare any defense. They have won 2 games, both at home but when the opposition wasn't in top form. Even though they are on equal points and equal goal difference I have been much more impressed with Norwich overall. I'll give them the edge here as they are the home side too. Norwich are 2.25 at Totesport.

Chelsea (1.4) Draw (5) Everton (11)
Chelsea look like they have found their scoring boots. 4-1 and 5-1 in their last 2 games. Torres is still suspended. Sturridge, Drogba and Mata are a formidable strike for though. Lampard managed to get a hattrick last game so may have rediscovered his form of 3 years ago. Everton were unlucky to get Rodwell sent off against Liverpool and went on to lose that game 2-0. That red card was rescinded so he'll be able to start this game. Cahill is a doubt. I guess if he doesn't play, then the odds for Chelsea will drop significantly. I still wonder how that Everton team pick up points. Its Chelsea all day long for me here. 1.4 at William Hill. I would also be tempted with 3 or more goals at 1.7 at bet365. Chelsea haven't kept a clean sheet since the first day of the season.

16th October 2011

Arsenal (1.5) Draw (4.5) Sunderland (8.5)
Who would have thought that Arsenal would be just 1 point ahead of their opponents at this stage of the season. They sit in 15th on 7 points. To be fair they looked pretty good against Spurs last round and it really could have gone either way. Van Persie is class player but he's been on international duty, playing twice for Holland in the last week. Maybe some tiredness there. Sunderland are club that look like they will be fighting it out at the bottom. They won't have Bendtner for this game due to not being able to play for his parent club. Sessegnon doesn't really cut it as a striker so its hard to see where Sunderland's goals are going to come from. Last season they did manage a 0-0 draw with them though. On current form, I can't be having Arsenal as such heavy favourites against anyone. They may win this but until they show some consistent form the 1.5 on the home win is a joke. Sunderland +1 on the Asian Handicap is 2.15 at VC Bet. (With the Asian Handicap +1, you get your money back if its a handicap draw, ie Arsenal win by 1 goal exactly).

Newcastle (3.1) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)
Another win for Newcastle last round. From looking like an outside relegation candidate, they are in that 4th Champions League spot. They can't possibly keep this up all season though. You can't fault their hard work or the fact they have found and goal scorer in Ba. Spurs beat arch rivals Arsenal last round. It was a pretty even game and it was a later wonder strike from Walker that settled it 2-1. You can't argue with the fact they have won their last 4 in a row though and look like strong contenders for that 4th place. For this game, Adebayor and Lennon are doubts. I am not going to be opposing Newcastle while they are on this fantastic unbeaten run. Away from home, Spurs have only beat Wigan and Wolves this season who are not exactly stellar opposition. This will be a big test for Spurs. I will opt for the draw here. It does look like one of those 1-1 games. Its 3.4 at VC Bet. Get £25 free when you sign up.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 30 Sep 2011 20:13:51 +0000
1st - 2nd October 2011
1st October 2011

Everton (3.2) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.5)
Everton held on for the first half against City last weekend but could not respond when City scored. They played very defensively with no recognised striker. Cahill is a slight doubt so maybe Moyes will play a striker instead, Saha maybe. Liverpool saw off Wolves 2-1 last weekend but it wasn't as comfortable as it should have. Gerrard will probably start on the bench again. Suarez, Carroll and Bellamy are all strong strikers for Liverpool. Thats why I give them the edge in this fixture. With the players Everton have got, I can't see them winning this but a draw wouldn't be a surprise. Liverpool draw not bet at bluesquare
at 1.8 is a safe bet.

Aston Villa (1.7) Draw (4) Wigan (6)
I can't believe that Villa are still unbeaten this season. They were pretty ordinary against QPR last weekend. To be fair it was a bit unlucky of them to only get a draw but you could say the penalty they got was lucky too. Bent and Heskey should be back for this game so maybe they'll do something in open play. No shame for Wigan losing 2-1 to Spurs last weekend. They got back in to the game at 2-1 but after they went down to 10 men, there was little chance of them getting anything. I am bit more concerned about the performance at Everton. They went ahead but collapsed soon afterwards. I'd say Villa will win this game but not at 1.7. Wigan at 6.0 is better value but I can't trust them. So they draw at 4.0 then at Stan James
. Interesting stat is that Villa have never beaten Wigan at Villa Park.

Blackburn (6.5) Draw (4.2) Manchester City (1.57)
Blackburn couldn't follow up the win against Arsenal. They lost 3-1 at Newcastle. Olsson will miss the game after being sent off. Blackburn sit in the relegation zone and look like they will be there or there abouts all season. Big drama and reality check for City midweek. Despite all the money spent, they were outclassed by Bayern Munich. Tevez refused to play and there seems to be a bit of decent amongst the players. I see think they will win this. Odds are a little on the low side but I don't see Blackburn getting anything from this at all. Its 1.57 at PaddyPower. Over 2.5 goals at 1.73 at Boylesports is a decent bet too. It didn't come in last weekend but would have come in every league game before. I just fear a 2-0 scoreline here.

Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) Norwich (21)
I thought I'd devised a perfect betting system. Betting on Manchester United every week seemed to be printing money. They let me down the last couple of games though. I am not a fan of Rooney but it appears that they aren't as good a team without him. The good news is that him and Hernandez will be back. 2 wins on the bounce for Norwich. I don't think they'll be able to make it 3 out of 3 though. Bolton and Sunderland are in shocking form so the 2-1 scored wouldn't have come as much of a surprise. Manchester United for the win but at 1.17 a different betting angle is needed. Over 3.5 goals is 1.91 at William Hill. I can actually see Norwich scoring here so a 3-1, 4-1 scoreline will payout nicely. Plus, you'll get a payout if it does end up a crazy 3-3 like against Basel.

Sunderland (2.3) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.4)
Sunderland were absolutely terrible against Norwich last week. Its like they only turned up for the last 10 minutes. They let Norwich have all the possession and didn't look like scoring at all. I can't believe they managed to beat Stoke 4-0 the week before. West Brom were out played in their 0-0 home draw to Fulham. Its a little concerning for them that in their last 4 games they only managed to score 1 goal against, Fulham, Swansea, Norwich and Stoke. Odemwingie not in form for them. Tricky game to call this as they are both shockingly bad teams. I guess the logical choice is the draw then. I don't trust any of them to win this. Its 3.4 at bet365.

Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3)
Wolves came back strong against Liverpool after going 2-0 down. It finished 2-1 which was a fair result. Its some comfort for Wolves they didn't collapse. Thats 3 defeats in a row now after a flying start. Newcastle, sit in 4th, unbeaten all season. Sooner or later I will have to give them some credit. Last weekend they beat Blackburn 3-1 win Ba scoring a hattrick. They are bound to drop at some point but I am not going to be betting against them until they start losing. I don't think Newcastle will lose this weekend. I will go for a draw here. Best price on the coupon. The draw is 3.4 at Totesport.

2nd October 2011

Bolton (7.5) Draw (4.4) Chelsea (1.55)
Tough start for the season for Bolton. Some of the fixtures have been harsh but losing to Norwich at home wasn't a tough one and they lost that. They are missing Sturridge and Elmander from last season. Chelsea were minutes away from getting a great result in Spain midweek. Torres will be suspended for this game but Drogba can easily fill in for him. Drogba loves scoring against Bolton. Last weekend they demolished Swansea 4-1 with 10 men for most of the game. Shame they let one in. Chelsea aren't a team that suffer from after Champions League games. I fully expect them to win this. They have won the last games to nil against Bolton. I am going for Chelsea to win to nil at 2.75 at bluesquare. Cech hasn't kept a clean sheet since the first game of the season so is due one for sure.

Fulham (2.05) Draw (3.5) QPR (4)
Still no win for Fulham and the pressure is on Jol to get a result. To be fair, the should have got more than a point at West Brom and drawing 2-2 at home to Manchester City is a good result. Fulham also won midweek in Europe 2-0 with Johnson scoring both goals. Could be some tiredness there coming back from Denmark. QPR were lucky to get a point last weekend to Villa. The started well but after about 30 minutes they didn't look like scoring. It was only a late own goal that allowed them to snatch a point. Traore will miss this game due to being sent off late in that game. I don't think Fulham should be almost even money favorites here. I would be all over QPR if I didn't watch them Sunday but as I did, I think the draw is the best bet. 3.5 at Skybet.

Swansea City (2.8) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.9)
Swansea matched Chelsea for possession last weekend but still went down 4-1. They just don't have the strikers that can put the ball away. Those 3 goals they scored the other week against West Brom could have been a freak. To be fair Swansea did manage to get a consolation goal. Stoke broke my accumulator last weekend by not losing to Manchester United. They looked a great side and United would have had no complaints if Stoke would have won that game. Midweek they had a Europa League game against Besiktas which they won 2-1. Thats what worries me though. Last time they had a European game, they came back and got thumped 4-0 by Sunderland. I suppose no long flight back from the Ukraine this time for them. Bookies are finding it hard to separate the two teams. I am leaning more towards Stoke than Swansea but any of the results wouldn't be a surprise. I skip this one.

Tottenham (2.2) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (3.5)
Could this be the year that Spurs over take Arsenal in the league? I think so. Spurs have been playing some great football after getting spanked by the Manchester sides. Redknapp was able to play a weakened side and still win in the Europa League. Adebayor is in great form and will enjoy playing against his old side. Arsenal had to play a strong side against Olympiakos and made hard work of it. Even at 2-0 up, they weren't convincing. The game finished 2-1 but I don't think Arsenal would have had any complaints if they had lost that. On paper, this is one of the weakest Arsenal sides in memory. The injuries don't help but I'd see a full strength Arsenal side struggling against Spurs. At 2.2 I am on Spurs. Last away game, Arsenal let in 4 against Blackburn and Spurs have much better players than Blackburn. This could be as embarrassing as the trip to Old Trafford. 2.2 at PaddyPower. Free £50 bet for new players.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 24 Sep 2011 01:00:09 +0000
24th - 26th September 2011
24th September 2011

Manchester City (1.44) Draw (4.7) Everton (9)

First points of the season dropped last weekend for City. 2-0 up and cruising but bad defending allowed Fulham to get a point. Midweek, they put out a second string side and beat Birmingham in the Carling Cup. All the big guns will be back for this game. Everton went behind to Wigan last week but came back well to win 3-1. In their midweek game Carling Cup game, they had to play a strong side to see off West Brom. It definitely gives City the fitness advantage. Looking at the Everton team, I can't see how they are 6th. Their games so far have been against poor opposition though and this will be their first big test. They have a good record at City, winning the last 4. I can't see them making it 5 though. 1.44 is generous in my opinion for this game. City need to bounce back strong after dropping point last weekend. They should really walk this game. I am going to go for over 2.5 goals again though, rather than the straight win. It's 1.7 at bluesquare. 5 out of 5 Premiership games have been overs so far and I can see this being 6 out of 6.

Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.6) Bolton (8.5)

A terrible result for Arsenal last weekend, losing 4-3 to Blackburn. They played a great first half but just fell apart in the second half. They can't defend set pieces. I think letting in 4 against Blackburn is more worrying than the 8 they let in at Old Trafford. Sagna will be back this weekend so that should help. Also Ramsey and Rosicky back but Djourou and Benayoun are both out injured. Bolton lost to Norwich last weekend. They managed to pull a goal back in the second half when down to 10 men so it wasn't all bad. I was expecting better of them after the thumpings at the hands of Liverpool and Manchester United though. I'm loath to back Arsenal against anyone this season. 1.44 is too low. You'd have got that price last season when Arsenal were winning games but this season, they've only won the one game against Swansea in the league and the bookies are only offering 1.44. I was considering the overs market but at 1.57 that's too low too. Both Arsenal's home games have been unders. I'd rather be backing the under 2.5 goals at 2.4 but I will just skip this fixture.

Chelsea (1.22) Draw (7.2) Swansea City (19.5)

Chelsea played a great game against Manchester United last weekend. They still lost 3-1 but I think that's because United are so strong this season. Some decisions went against them too. Torres scored a cracker and missed a sitter but is looking like he was in his prime at Liverpool. Swansea scored their first goals of the season as well as getting their first win of the season last weekend. They were quite fortunate to win 3-0 considering they only had 4 shots on target. Still a great confidence boosting win for them. I don't see them getting anything here at the Bridge though. 1.22 is all you can expect on the Chelsea win. What's surprising is that Chelsea have only kept one clean sheet this season. They conceded goals against West Brom, Norwich and Sunderland. I think they are due one and the 2.1 at Ladbrokes for Chelsea to win to nil is a great price.

Liverpool (1.4) Draw (5) Wolverhampton (10)

Liverpool will want to forget last week's 4-0 defeat at Spurs. Even when it was 11 vs 11 it was Spurs who were in control of the game. When Liverpool went down to 10 men it was always going to be difficult but when down to 9 men, it was just a case of how many could Spurs score. They bounced back well in the Carling Cup beating Brighton 2-1. Gerrard played a part in that game and could start here. Bellamy showed he still has the pace and can score goals. Wolves had a bad weekend too last week with a 3-0 home defeat to QPR. They were 2-0 down within 10 minutes and were never really in it. It wasn't bad luck, they just played really badly. They bounced back well in the Carling Cup, winning 5-0 against Millwall. Liverpool should win this game but I don't think that 1.4 is a good price at all. I much prefer the over 2.5 goals at 1.73 at bet365.

Newcastle (1.91) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (5)

Another great result for Newcastle last weekend at Villa. They went behind but battled on, got a point and probably deserved the win. I can't work it out. On paper, they should be relegation material but they just keep getting the results. Blackburn got the first win of the season last weekend with a 4-3 victory over Arsenal. 2 own goals helped as well as the fact that Arsenal can't defend set pieces. They followed that up with a 3-2 win over Leyton Orient in the Carling Cup. I will be backing Newcastle in this game though. They are unbeaten this season and are the home side. Its 1.91 at bet365
.

West Brom (2.40) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.35)

West Brom were poor last weekend and gave Swansea their first win of the season. 3 nil was probably a bit flattering to Swansea but still it was a loss in a winnable game for West Brom. They were quite close to knocking Everton out of the Carling Cup but a late Everton goal took it to extra time where Everton won. Hodgson is glad he's out of that competition so it was probably for the best. Fulham came back from 2-0 down to City to draw 2-2 (and probably cost punters a lot of money). Were it not for that point, they'd be bottom of the Premiership. Fulham don't win away from home so its either a home win or a draw. Maybe some gamblers fallacy here but I think West Brom are due a draw. They've played 5, lost 4 and won 1. Also, 3.3 for the draw is a better price than 2.4 for the home win. The draw is 3.3 at Ladbrokes.

Wigan (4.4) Draw (3.65) Tottenham (1.95)

I thought Wigan may have had a change at upsetting Everton last weekend. They did alright in the first half, briefly taking the lead but then feel apart the second half. Rodallega is out for this game which is a big blow for Wigan. Spurs were fantastic against Liverpool. Even before the red cards came out, Spurs were in complete control. Adebayor has fitted in perfectly, scoring a couple of quality goals. I can't believe the bookies have Liverpool as favourites over Spurs for 4th place. In fact, Spurs at 2.88 to finish in the top is a great long term bet at Bet365. I am backing Spurs this game. Its 1.95 at Paddypower. Spurs have actually kept 4 cleans sheets in their last 4 games in all competitions. They are set up not to concede. I wouldn't put anyone off having Spurs to win to nil at 3.4 at Ladbrokes.

Stoke (7) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.57)

I can't work out what happened to Stoke last weekend. They were inept and lost 4-0 at Sunderland. Maybe it was the Europa League game that made them tired. The Britannia is usually a fortress but Manchester United have taken all 3 points from them every time they have visited. Stoke did beat Liverpool here 1-0 a couple of weeks ago but it was backs against the wall stuff. United just keep on winning. The 3-1 win over Chelsea last weekend was no surprise. They outclassed Chelsea and it really should have been more. Midweek, their second stringers managed to beat Leeds 3-0 without getting out of 1st gear. Hernandez should be back in the team after recovering from injury. With Nani and Young on the wings they look unstoppable. As with the City game though, I'll go for over 2.5 goals rather than the straight win. United have had 5 games that have finished over 2.5 goals. It's 1.83 at Boylesports which I think is better than 1.57 for the United win.

25th September 2011

QPR (2.3) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.4)

QPR were due a win last weekend and got it against Wolves. With their new signings the do look like they are going to stay up. Barton looks like he's fitted in straight away. That's 2 clean sheets in a row for QPR. Villa look like they will struggle this year. A very disappointing performance by them last weekend against Newcastle. It finished 1-1 but Newcastle were looking the more likely to score. No Bent or Heskey this week. Jenas may start for the first time though. Villa played a strong team in the Carling Cup midweek and were beaten by a weakened Bolton team at home. I think they will struggle again this game. QPR for me. It's 2.3 at Betfred.

26th September 2011

Norwich (2.6) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3)

Norwich got their first win of the season last weekend against Bolton. It did help that Bolton went down to 10 men at the end of the first half but Norwich were already 2-0 up then. Sunderland dominated a tired Stoke side last weekend and won 4-0. Bendtner still not scored but did play a part in the Gardener's goal. I haven't really seen enough of these teams to decide on a winner. Draw looks a good option though, both teams on 5 points after 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses. Biggest price on the coupon too. Its 3.4 at bet365.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 16 Sep 2011 19:08:35 +0000
17th - 18th September 2011
17th September 2011

Blackburn (4.6) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (1.91)
Blackburn got their first point of the season last weekend at Fulham. Rochina scored a cracker but they were pegged back shortly after. They do look a bit light weight upfront and will struggle to score. Arsenal are struggling to score too. They've only scored 3 league goals this season too. Arsenal have the talent to get many more though. It'll just take them some time. They got a good point away in Dortmund. I thought they were outclassed and wouldn't have been able to complain if they lost. They played their strongest team so even though its early in the season, tiredness maybe a problem for them this game. I'd be weary backing Arsenal away from home any any price nowadays. They have only won 1 in their last 10 away games and that was against Blackpool last season. I can't be backing Blackburn either as they don't look like they can score. I think the bet to have is the half time draw. The early kick offs usually take a while to get going and so 2.2 at bet365 is the bet for me. Every where else its 2.0 or 2.1.

Aston Villa (2) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (4.5)
Villa drew 2-2 at Everton last weekend, maintaining their unbeaten run this season. Agbonlahor getting a late equaliser. No Heskey this game so Bannan or Albrighton will take his place along side Bent. Newcastle too remain unbeaten this season and sit 4th in the table. I cannot for the life of me work out how though. They were battered by QPR last Monday and drew 0-0. They could have actually won it at the end too. Their luck has got to run out sooner or later. Looking at the sides, Villa look a lot stronger and are the ones to end Newcastle's run. Villa to win is even money at Ladbrokes.

Bolton (1.83) Draw (3.75) Norwich (5.25)
Some pressure on Owen Coyle after than 5-0 home defeat to Manchester United. Too be fair, United looked excellent and it would have taken a stellar performance from Bolton to get anything. They let 3 goals against City and Liverpool too as well. Norwich are more ordinary opponents though and you'd expect Bolton to not get beat like they have been doing. On the opening day, they did beat QPR 4-0. Norwich are still looking for their first win of the season. They went down to an early goal last weekend against West Brom. Goals are going to be their problem. Holt, Martin and Morison don't look like they are good enough for the Premiership. In terms of betting, I can't see past a Bolton win. After 3 beatings, Bolton will be well up for this game and Norwich just don't have the forwards to cause Bolton any problems. It's 1.83 at PaddyPower.

Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Wigan (8)
Everton played a strong game against Villa and maybe should have taken all 3 points. I still think their side is pretty limited though and 1.57 is too low for Everton to beat anyone in the Premier League at the moment. A weakened Wigan side were knocked out of the Carling Cup midweek but that won't have any bearing on this game. Previously they lost 3-0 to City which is quite respectable. I can imagine City giving out 3-0 beatings to teams around the bottom of the table all season. Looking at the odds, I must have a punt on Wigan. Eveton at 1.57 is far too low. I spotted that VC Bet have Wigan draw no bet at a massive 6.0. It was only a few weeks ago that Everton lost 1-0 at home to QPR. Its 8.0 for the straight Wigan win but I'll go for the safer draw no bet at 6.0.

Swansea City (2.8) Draw (3.3) West Brom (2.8)
Poor Swansea. Still not scored a goal yet and losing to Arsenal by a freak goal. Even at this early stage its looking grim for Swansea. New striker, Graham isn't doing it up front for them up front. West Brom got their first win of the season last weekend courtesy of a goal from Odemwingie. He also missed a late penalty which would have put a better look to the scoreline. West Brom were unlucky to lose in the previous 3 games against Manchester United, Chelsea and Stoke. That win at Norwich is just the thing they needed to kick start their season. I am going to be backing them to get the win here. Currently they are 2.05 draw no bet at Coral to win this. Odds are dropping on the straight win so I don't expect that price to last.

Wolverhampton (2.00) Draw (3.5) QPR (4.2)
Wolves excellent start to the season ended last weekend with the 2-0 home defeat to Spurs. They were out played and Mick McCarthy will expect better of his team this week. Too early in the season to tell how Wolves get on. I remember thinking last season that Wolves were playing well but just unlucky. QPR's new signings have made all the difference. They played great against Newcastle and will be disappointed that they didn't get the win. Wright-Philips was excellent. Its a tricky one this. I see some value in the away win. 4.2 is a big price but I fear that QPR's new signings may just need a few more weeks to gel. There's one thing playing well but if you don't put the ball in to the back of the net, its all for nothing. If I had to bet, I'd for the draw but I don't think I'll bother with this game.

18th September 2011

Tottenham (2.7) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.83)
Spurs got their first win of the season last weekend against Wolves after getting battered by the 2 Manchester sides previously. Adebayor scored on his debut and if past form is anything to go by, he'll score a few more and then drop off. Parker also had a great game. For this fixture, Gallas, Lennon and van der Vaart could all be back from injury. Spurs did have a midweek Champions League game but made so many changes that this team effectively had the week off. Liverpool lost to Stoke last weekend, 1-0 to a contentious penalty. Stoke isn't the easiest places to go but it does raise questions about the ability of Liverpool away from home. I do have a strong fancy for Spurs here. They've won the last 3 league fixtures here all 2-1. At the moment, you can get Spurs draw no bet at 1.91 at William Hill. Decent price this as they're quite evenly matched and with Spurs having the home advantage, you'd expect a price of 2.38ish for the home win.

Fulham (6.5) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.62)
Fulham sit in the bottom 3. 2 draws and 2 losses isn't what the team was expecting. The usual fortress Craven Cottage has yielded 2 draws. They did look at bit clueless against Blackburn last weekend. City have been storming in the league with 4 wins out of 4. Midweek they got a reality check when they had to come from behind to get a 1-1 draw in the Champions League against Napoli. I'll put that down to nerves. In the league they have been nothing short of sensational. With the pace they have, they'll run circles around Fulham. 1.62 is a little short though I think. I don't understand this but William Hill have over 2.5 goals at 1.91. All City's game's have been overs so far. I can see City knocking 3 past Fulham in the first half. If some how Fulham manage to score, then its effectively the same bet as a City win (If Fulham score then City have to score 2 to win which means over 2.5 goals). Bet with William Hill.

Sunderland (2.47) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.3)
Tough times for Sunderland. Gyan off on loan to somewhere in the Middle East leaves Bendtner as the main striker. Sunderland scored a late consolation goal against Chelsea last game but never really looked in the game. Worryingly, they have only scored 2 goals all season. Stoke were just a couple minutes away from a historic win in Kiev midweek. Kiev only equalised in the 90th minute. To be fair, Pulis did rest a lot of players so it wasn't his first choice side and so hopefully won't suffer from any dip in form due to the extra midweek game. Last weekend, they managed to beat Liverpool with a disputed penalty. Liverpool had most of the possession but Stoke held strong and got the win. I don't think Stoke will lose this game. Sunderland seem to toothless to score. Price for the away win and draw are the same. I will go for the draw as Stoke may suffer some hangover from their trip to Kiev. It's 3.3 at Totesport.

Manchester United (1.85) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (4.8)
Manchester United have been nothing short of exceptional this season in the league. Top of the league after 4 games, scoring 18 and conceding 3. They tore Bolton apart 5-0. Rooney scoring back to back hat tricks. Midweek they did draw away to Benfica but that was with a much weaker United side than usual. The big guns will be back for this game for sure. Chelsea played a strong team for their Champions League game and left it late to seal the win against Leverkusen. 2-0 was a pretty flattering scoreline considering how the game went. They haven't convinced me at all this season. They are 3rd in the league but if you look at who they have played, Stoke, West Brom, Norwich and Sunderland, you'd expect them to be top if they were a serious challenger this year. I am all over United this game. With Bet365 having a special free bet, Place a pre-match bet and get a free in running bet up to the value of your original bet, up to £50. United are 1.875 to win there on the -0.5 Asian Handicap (which is the same as the home win). If, for some strange reason United aren't up to their usual standard, you can always use your free bet to back the draw or Chelsea. Click here to sign up.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 09 Sep 2011 19:09:50 +0000
10th - 12th September 2011.

10th September 2011

Arsenal (1.36) Draw (5.2) Swansea City (11)
Wenger would have been glad for the international break after the 8-2 thrashing at Old Trafford. I think everyone saw that coming. I do feel for Wenger a bit because he can't pay the wages to attract the very best players. He managed to get Arteta who I think will be great plus a few other new signings. Swansea still haven't managed a goal yet this season in the league. They do look very light weight up front. Its a bad time for them to visit Arsenal. Good teams usually bounce back well after thrashings and even though Arsenal aren't as strong as previous Arsenal sides, they should be able to beat the newly promoted side. If not, I am sure its over for them getting top 4 at this stage of the season. 1.36 isn't the greatest of prices but I am pretty sure any other season and Arsenal would have been about 1.2. 1.36 is OK considering the circumstances at bet365.

Everton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (4)
Odds are drifting out on Everton. No surprise there. They were extremely lucky to beat Blackburn 1-0 with a late penalty and Blackburn missed 2 of their own. Since then they have lost Arteta and Beckford but have signed Drenthe and Stracqualursi who I have never heard of. Villa failed to break down a stubborn Wolves side last round. Thats the second 0-0 of the season so far for them. Bent should be fit to play after missing the International games through injury. They have signed Jenas and Hutton too who could make their debuts. I am going to have to go for Villa here. Everton were poor last home game and lost 1-0 to QPR. 4.0 is a big price but I will go for the safer option of draw no bet. Its 2.75 at VC Bet.

Manchester City (1.2) Draw (8) Wigan (22)
City really showed what they can do with the 5-1 demolition of Spurs last round. Previously, you could say that Swansea and Bolton weren't really tough opposition but Spurs are decent opponents. Just looking at their side and how they are playing, you'd be hard pressed to make a case for anyone to beat them this season. Wigan are unbeaten this season but they have only played the 3 Premiership new boys. I can see this being a murdering. 1.2 at PaddyPower for the City win is printing money. I am actually going to go for City to win to nil though at Ladbrokes. Its 1.91. I can't see Wigan troubling that City defence at all.

Stoke (3.5) Draw (3.35) Liverpool (2.31)
Stoke surpised me last round in beating West Brom 1-0. That was their first win of the season too. They have since signed Crouch, Palacios and Jerome. Their side is looking strong and add to the fact that the Britannia is usually a fortress anyway, any team is going to struggle here. Chelsea only managed a 0-0 on the first day of the season. Liverpool have resigned Bellamy which will add some pace up front for them. He looks like he's be on the bench though and will come on if needed. Liverpool have looked strong this season from what I've seen of them. In terms of betting, I don't know how to call this. Would any of the results surprise me? Probably not. One to skip then. I can't see a decent betting angle.

Sunderland (5.7) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.74)
Sunderland are lacking goals. Last 2 games ended 0-0 and 1-0 loss. They have signed Arsenal's Bendtner on loan though. Bendtner scored a couple of goals midweek so should be full of confidence. Its not like he needs it though. He's all been a little full of himself. Only time will tell whether Wenger is right or wrong to loan him out this season. Chelsea were a little fortunate to beat Norwich at home. Norwich gave them a good game and it was only a sending off and a penalty that gave them the points. Thats the second fortunate win they've had this season and the other game they played was a 0-0 at Stoke. Mata and Lukaku made quite a difference to the side so maybe one of those will start in for the injured Drogba. I still have my doubts about this Chelsea side. I have doubts about the Sunderland side too though. I 'll leave this game too.

Wolverhampton (3.15) Draw (3.45) Tottenham (2.5)
Decent start to the season for Wolves. Johnson in defence is proving to be really effective. They have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 2 games. Looks like they'll keep the same side that have gotten them 7 points from 9. This will be their first big test though. Spurs have probably the worst and unluckiest start to the season possible. After their opening day fixture with Everton was called off, they have been thrashed by both Manchester sides. They are rock bottom of the league due to the -7 goal difference. Adebayor and Parker should start. Another tricky one that I wouldn't like to call.

Bolton (9) Draw (4.75) Manchester United (1.44)
Great start to the season for Bolton with the 4-0 win over QPR but since then they have had a tough time with a visit from City and an away trip to Liverpool in which they lost. Ngog and Kakuta have strengthened the strike force and Boyata the defence. Manchester United looked unstoppable last game against Arsenal. They are a bit different away from home though. I remember sweating my bet on the opening weekend of the season when United left it very late. No Wellbeck but Hernandez will be back so it of no concern. Rooney looked a bit rubbish in the midweeek international so hopefully he'll be back to top form. 1.45 for the United win is a little short but I really can't argue with that price. City and United look a class above everyone else this season so unless they do slip up, thats all you are going to get all season on United. Its 1.44 at VC Bet.

11th September 2011

Norwich (2.63) Draw (3.4) West Brom (2.95)
Norwich scuppered my Chelsea to win to nil bet last time out with the 3-1 defeat at Chelsea. They played really well and they could well have got a point from the Bridge if it were not for the late penalty and sending off. The 3-1 scoreline flattered Chelsea a little bit. West Brom played well against Stoke and were unlucky to lose. Stoke scored with their only shot on target. Thats been the story of West Brom this season though. Played well and unlucky to lose. Odemwingie should be back and if his form is anything like last season's he'll score. In terms of the 1X2 market, I don't really have any strong opinions on this one. It's one I'll skip.

Fulham (1.75) Draw (3.75) Blackburn (6)
Disappointing start to the season for Fulham. Maybe playing in the Europa League has affected them. This will only be their second game at home though were they are usually very strong. They have just signed a new £10.6m striker in Ruiz. Blackburn were really unlucky to not beat Everton last round. They missed 2 penalties and if the game would have finished 3-0 to Blackburn, Everton would not have had any complaints. Yakubu has signed for Blackburn which could end up being a good move if he returns to his form of 3 years ago. Looking at the odds, Fulham look far too short. I know there is a perception of strength at home for Fulham but they also do draw a lot too. I'd be wanting even money at least to be backing Fulham. I think the draw offers the best value at 3.75 at VC Bet.

12th September 2011

Queens Park Rangers (2.50) Draw (3.3) Newcastle (3.13)
QPR lost to Wigan 2-0 last game. They have strengthen a lot since that game though bringing in some experienced Premiership players. Barton, Wright-Philips, Young and Ferdinand are all proven Premiership players. They have a fighting chance now. Before then, I had the feeling that the squad was just a good Championship one but with the new money Warnock has signed the players that could keep QPR up. Newcastle have had a cracking start to the season and I cannot for the life of me work out how. On paper, they should be one of the relegation candidates but their record is 1 draw and 2 wins. They still lack a decent striker but still are managing to get the wins. I think their luck or whatever will run out this game though. Its QPR for me. 2.5 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 27 Aug 2011 03:29:01 +0000
27th - 28th August 2011
27th August 2011

Aston Villa (2.1) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (4)

Villa did the business last weekend beating a poor Blackburn side 3-1. Heskey and Bent both on the score sheet. They left it a bit late in the Carling Cup midweek but that was with their B side. Wolves are surprisingly joint at the top of the league with the 2 Manchester sides. Coincidently the both have played Blackburn and Fulham. Wolves have been playing some nice football and look like they could finish in the top half. Last weekend, Villa were 1.75 to beat Blackburn so 2.1 could be considered value. I don't think so though. Its not like Villa have done anything great yet so 2.1 is a bit low for me. I'm leaning more towards the draw at 3.4. As this is the early kick off though, I'm going to go for the half time draw. Its 2.25 at bet365. These early kick offs seem to produce few first half goals.

Wigan (2.4) Draw (3.3) Queens Park Rangers (3.3)

Wigan have had an easy start to the season on paper. They have played 2 of the promoted sites already and QPR are the 3rd. So far though, they have only drawn 2. Last weekend, they missed a late penalty which would have won them the game against Swansea. QPR got their first win of the season last week at Everton. I think that was down to Everton being poor rather than anything great from Everton. QPR only had one shot on target and scored it. I think there is some good value in the 2.4 on Wigan here. I can't see QPR pulling off another away win and Wigan will have to win games like this sooner or later. 2.4 at William Hill.

Blackburn (3.4) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.4)

These sides had 3-1 wins against Sheffield sides in the Carling Cup midweek. First wins of the season for both teams. Blackburn were poor against Villa last weekend and deserved to lose 3-1. Chris Samba looks like he'll be back for this game so that's help the defence but they need better strikers too. Everton seem to start slow every season now. They were beat 1-0 at home by an average QPR side. With no money to spend, its not looking like its going to be a good season for Everton. I can't actually see why they are favourites for this game. On current form, I'd expect those type of odds if Everton were the home side. I guess it's the 1X for me. Both priced about the same but as the home win is slightly better at 3.4 at VC Bet, that will be my pick.

Chelsea (1.22) Draw (7) Norwich (18.5)

Chelsea left it late to beat West Brom last weekend who did lead for most of the game. Chelsea still have a bit to go before they are challenging for the title but I think they will walk this game. Norwich will see this as a game where they will be able to relax in. They'll be no pressure as everyone expects them to lose. I like the markets at Coral
for this. They have Chelsea to win to nil at 2.0 and Chelsea not to win to nil at 2.75. I've gone to win to nil bet. I just can't see who is going to score for Norwich. Free £30 Bet for New Customers

Swansea City (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.25)

Both these teams were knocked out of the Carling Cup midweek. Its more worrying for Sunderland though as they put out a fairly strong side and failed to score. Swansea are still looking for their first Premiership goal. They lost 4-0 on the opening weekend and then drew 0-0 last weekend against Wigan. Sunderland haven't managed to score in the last 2 games. They started off well with the point at Liverpool but its gone downhill since. The loss last weekend to Newcastle was disappointing to say the least. In terms of bets, I think under 2.5 goals is the way to play it. Neither of the 1X2 results would be a surprise but a goal fest would be really surprising 1.73 at Boylesports is generous in a game like this.

Liverpool (1.44) Draw (4.6) Bolton (8.5)

Liverpool beat Arsenal 2-0 last weekend. It was looking like a 0-0 until Arsenal went down to 10 men. Suarez came off the bench and made a big difference too. He's likely to start. I can't see Daglish resting him this game. Bolton played a great game against City but the off lapse in defence allowed City to take all 3 points with a 3-2 win. Its does show that Bolton are still scoring without Elmander and Sturridge. That's 6 goals this season Bolton have scored. I'm not liking the low odds on Liverpool here. They are priced up as a top 4 team which possibly they are but too early to tell. They did only draw 1-1 with Sunderland on the opening day of the season 1-1 at home. 8.5 on the Bolton win is where the value is but I just think that Liverpool will win this game. It's 1.44 at VC Bet

28th August 2011
Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (3.75)

Newcastle somehow managed to beat Sunderland last weekend. Surprisingly, they are the only side in the Premiership to have not conceded a goal yet. A few more results like this will silence the doubters . I think they are quite a good bet for relegation this season. No Joey Barton though as he's signed for QPR. He'll be a big miss. Fulham lost midweek in the Europa League but still went through over the 2 legs. It has meant a trip to the Ukraine for them which can't be good. Last weekend, they lost 2-0 to Wolves which suggests that Martin Jol hasn't cracked winning away from home yet. No real strong opinions on this. 1X but I don't know which one so I'll skip this.

Tottenham (3) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.5)

Tough start for the season for Spurs. They were well beaten 3-0 by Manchester United last week and now have the other Manchester team who on paper are even stronger. Looking at the Spurs line up, its not as strong as in previous seasons. Up front, Defoe, Crouch and Pavlyuchenko aren't going to trouble this City side. They have just signed Adebayor on loan but he can't play in this game. City were pushed all the way by Bolton but won 3-2. New signing, Samir Nasri should start and with the rest of the players City have got, look irresistible. If Mancini plays an open game, I can see City winning this comfortably. It's just that he may think a point at Spurs is a good result and play defensively. I am going for City draw no bet at 1.8 at Boylesports. I like the money back for the draw. I think that's the least City will get.

West Brom (2.15) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.85)

Unlucky start for West Brom Two good performances but no points. Opponents were Manchester United and Chelsea. They shouldn't struggle this season based on those performances. Hodgson has transformed West Brom in to a side which looks mid-table rather than one that's going to struggle. Stoke has a midweek Europa League game. It was at home so no travelling but its an extra game they've had to play (West Brom had a Carling Cup game but made 11 changes so his side will be fresh). Last weekend Stoke salvaged a point from Norwich with a late goal but also missed a penalty. I am going to go for West Brom here. The only worry for me is the recent head to heads. West Brom haven't won in 9 against Stoke. This run has got to come to an end sometime though. West Brom are 2.15 at VC Bet.

Manchester United (1.53) Draw (4.5) Arsenal (7.5)

Manchester United looked great against Spurs. Once United went ahead, it was a stroll in the park for them. Two wins out of 2 and they look like they will be fighting it out with City for the Premiership title. Arsenal played a good game against Udinese mid week to get in to the Champions League proper. Confidence boosting but its papered over the cracks in the Arsenal side. They were actually very lucky not to be 3 down at half time and Udinese had a penalty saved at half time. Gervinho, Song and Frimpong who started that game won't be available for this game either. The only ray of hope I can see is Walcott and his pace. He reminds me of Michael Owen in his prime. United it 1.53 is the lowest I've ever seen them against Arsenal. It's a good price in my opinion on current form though. United just beat everyone that comes to Old Trafford and Arsenal have a shocking recent away record. It's 1.53 at PaddyPower.

If Arsenal win, Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles on the match.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 19 Aug 2011 19:02:45 +0000
20th - 22nd August 2011

20th August 2011

Sunderland (2.2) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.8)
Early kick off for the local derby. Sunderland played a great game against Liverpool. The thing with Sunderland these past couple of seasons is that they have started strong then gone off a cliff in terms of form. With only a few injuries they do look like they can finish top half this year. Newcastle looked pretty terrible against Arsenal. Even though Arsenal weren't taking many shots, you could see it was only a matter of time before Arsenal would score but luckily Joey Barton managed to get Gervinho sent off. That eased the pressure and got them a point. I still think Newcastle will struggle with their strike force this season. Home win for me. Its 2.2 at William Hill.

Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.25) Liverpool (2.95)

When I first saw the price, I thought Arsenal was a nailed on bet. Looking in to it a bit more I can see why the price is high. They have lost arguably their captain to Barcelona and look like losing Nasri too. Gibbs, Djourou, Rosicky Traore, Wilshere and Diaby are all out as well as Song and Gervinho who are suspended. Arsenal haven't looked good this season with the 0-0 at Newcastle and 1-0 home win against Udinese. Plenty of pretty passes but no end product. Liverpool drew 1-1 with Sunderland last weekend. Suarez missed an early penalty which would have changed the game. Lots of money spent but I am not convinced that Liverpool have had the time to gel. No doubt at the end of the season these two teams will be battling it out for 4th place. At this moment in time, I can't really split them. 1-1 draws seem to be very common when these two teams meet. I guess the draw it it then. 3.25 at PaddyPower. Free £50 bet for new punters.

Aston Villa (1.75) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (6)
Villa played a tight defensive game at Fulham last weekend and got a 0-0. They only had one shot on target. It will be different this week at home though. I expect Bent or Heskey to get on the score sheet. Blackburn looked poor last weekend in their home defeat to Wolves. They lost players from last season and Steve Kean hasn't had the funds to replace them. Ryan Nelsen and Chris Samba should be back in defence this weekend but its not going to help them upfront. Jason Roberts and David Hoilett aren't going to get many goals this season. Its Villa for me at 1.75 at Totesport.

Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Queens Park Rangers (7.6)
First game of the season for Everton after last week's game was called off. No significant new signings there but they will have more or less the same squad that finished so strongly last season. The only worry is that Everton sometimes take a while to get started. It took 7 games before a win last season. QPR got a nice welcome to the Premier League with a 4-0 thrashing at the hands of Bolton. They still look like a Championship side but with new money coming in, they should be able to strengthen. In terms of betting, I am skipping this one. Too early to see what Everton will be like and QPR may pull something out of the bag to make up for last weekend.

Swansea City (2.2) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.9)
Not a good start for Swansea. They were well and truly beat by City last weekend. It could have easily been more than 4-0. Swansea really need to sign a new striker. Daniel Graham and .Scott Sinclair aren't going to keep Swansea up. Wigan drew last weekend against Norwich. They look light weight up front too. Martinez has to decide whether to start a not fully fit Rodallega who can score goals. No real strong opinions on this game. Its tricky. I think the value is on the away win but no bet for me.

Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5.5) West Brom (12)
Chelsea looked disappointing last weekend at Stoke and had to settle for 0-0.Torres still not doing anything for them. Maybe this will be his game to shine. Chelsea knocked 4 past West Brom last season around this time. West Brom looked decent against Manchester United last weekend. They were too open to start but tightened things up. It wouldn't have surprised me if that game would have finished 1-1. If they play like that again they could get something from this game. Its yet to be seen if Stamford Bridge will be a fortress this year. I'll not be backing the 1.33 on the home win. Its quite likely but not a 1.33 at this stage of the season. 5.5 on the draw at bet365 is where the value is.

21st August 2011

Norwich (2.63) Draw (3.3) Stoke (2.92)
First home game of the season for Norwich. They did well to get a point at Wigan. Stoke are a better side than Wigan though. Stoke played a midweek game in Europe and won 1-0. Pullis is complaining about the lack of time to prepare for this fixture. Teams that aren't used to playing in Europe sometimes don't play as well at the weekend. I think that explains Norwich being slight favourites. Odds suggest the bookies can't separate them. I can't either. No result would be that much of a surprise so I'll leave this one.

Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.3)

Wolves beat Blackburn last weekend away 2-1. Kevin Doyle and Steven Fletcher played well in attack to get all 3 points from being 1-0 down. Fulham should be tougher competition than Blackburn though. Fulham had a midweek game in the Europa League beating Dnipro 3-0. Their season started a while ago and I should think this would give them an advantage over teams that only started last weekend. The problem with Fulham is that they tend not to win away from home. Maybe Jol will fix this but backing against Fulham away from home has been a punters gold mine. They do draw a lot though and that will be my pick. 3.3 at William Hill.

Bolton (5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (1.85)
Bolton thrashed QPR 4-0 in the opener and sit joint top of the league with their opponents. QPR played like a Championship side though and look like they will struggle. Bolton really don't have any strong strikers. Davis scores a few but I can't see him getting anything against this City side. Aguero was a star for City last weekend in their 4-0 demolition of Swansea. He scored twice and set up Silva's goal. The whole team perked up when he came on. If they can pair him up with Tevez then they can win the league this season. The bookies have just about priced City right. I guess if this was Manchester United it would be about 1.6. Always the risk of the draw if City play defensively but I'll be backing City at VC Bet at 1.85.

22nd August 2011

Manchester United (1.67) Draw (4) Tottenham (6)
Manchester United weren't at their best against West Brom last weekend. They made punters sweat for their payout. Goal keeper David De Gea looked to be to blame for West Brom's goal. With Spurs likely to have more shots on target, De Gea could be United's weak point. The central defence of Vidic and Ferdinand are out but I am confident that their replacements will do as well. Its the keeper that worries me. We didn't see Spurs in action last weekend due to the game being called off. They managed to thrash Hearts 5-0 in the Europa League though. Scottish football isn't very strong though so I'll not read too much in to that. Every year, you get good odds on United beating Spurs at home and every year, United win. I'll not deviate from a winning formula. 1.67 for United at bet365.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 12 Aug 2011 13:23:13 +0000
13th - 15th August 2011
13th August 2011

Blackburn (2.2) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3.75)

Blackburn secured their safety on the last day of last season by beating Wolves 3-2. Looks like this season is going to be another struggle for them. The new owners have not invested money in the team despite getting £17 million from the Phil Jones sale to Manchester United. Wolves have strengthened a bit by signing Jamie O'Hara and Roger Johnson. I thought they were very unlucky at times last season and maybe their league position didn't reflect how they played. Saying that, they'll probably struggle again this season. In terms of bets, I'm skipping this one. I think it will be 1X but can't really decide which one to go for.

Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.8)

Fulham started their season in the Europa League last month. They drew 0-0 at Rnk Split and won the home leg 2-0. They'll want to build on last season's 8th position and have the squad to do it. Andy Johnson has looked good in preseason. Martin Jol is an experienced manager and I do rate him much better than Mark Hughes. Villa have let Ashley Young and Stewart Downing go and replaced them with Charles's N'Zogbia. Darren Bent is still there and hopefully can still get the goals despite his wingers being sold. McLeish played a real defensive game at Birmingham so it'll be good to see how he manages this counter attacking Villa side. Shay Given is also a great signing. I've always rated him as a goal keeper. Both games last season ended in draws and I can see this ending up the same. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

Liverpool (1.57) Draw (4.33) Sunderland (8)

Liverpool went on a mini run at the end of last season after Dalglish took over. With Charlie Adam, Jose Enrique and Stewart Downing signed, they'll be pushing for a Champions League place this season. No Gerrard for this game but the side looks strong enough without him. Sunderland have made several new signings the best probably is Craig Gardner. They needed it after the slide they went on towards the end of last season. I expect Sunderland to start strong and go through some massive dip which Steve Bruce's sides always seem to go on. In this game though, I can see Liverpool winning comfortably. 1.55 is actually pretty good in my opinion. Liverpool should be a top 4 side this season and Sunderland may well be one of the teams fighting it out down at the bottom again. It's 1.57 at bet365.

Queens Park Rangers (2.4) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.3)

QPR breezed the Championship last season and probably are the best placed of the 3 sides that came up to stay up. They made some signings over the summer but no stars. Warnock is a good manager though and will get the best out of his players. Bolton went on a slide at the end of last season, losing the last 5 or so of their games. With Sturridge and Elmander gone they may struggle this season too. They signed Reo-Coker who will boost their side. I don't know who to pick in this game. I suppose if I had to pick I'd choose QPR because they are the home side and could have the new team bounce. The good thing about being a punter though is that you don't have to back every game.

Wigan (2.2) Draw (3.4) Norwich (3.75)

Wigan don't want a repeat of last season when they got hammered 4-0 by Blackpool. They lost their best player in Charles N'Zogbia to Villa. Inconsistency cost them lots last season. In the end, they stayed up by the skin of their teeth. I do have faith in Martinez to keep them up this season. Norwich came up as runners up in the Championship and scored the most goals in that league. They haven't made any significant signings to bolster their side so look like a Championship side. For the bet on this game, I am willing to take a chance on Norwich. Wigan have started slow in previous seasons and I think that 3.75 is a decent price at PaddyPower.

Newcastle (4) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (2.07)

Not a good summer for either side. Newcastle still haven't signed a replacement for Andy Caroll who left months ago. No significant new signing in the summer. They are actually my outside bet to go down this year. Trouble at Arsenal too. Fabregas and Nasri both are set to miss the game but Wenger denies that its because they are both leaving the club soon. They also have quite an injury list too. With Van Persie, Walcott, Diaby and Wiltshere all injured the Arsenal team that play might not be recognisable from last season. In terms of betting this is a tough one. Last season Newcastle took 4 points off Arsenal including that fabulous 4-4 draw. The sides are totally different this time round though. I'll skip this fixture or at least wait until I see the Arsenal team. If there are some familiar names in there I'll probably back Arsenal but without knowing who's playing its tough to pick a winner here.

14th August 2011

Stoke (6) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.7)

Stoke started their competitive season last month with an away game against Hajduk Split winning that 1-0 and winning the home leg 1-0 too. This might give them the fitness advantage here. Stoke have added to their squad by signing Woodgate and Upson but whether they both start is unknown. Chelsea have had a great pre-season winning all their games. Lampard is a slight doubt but Essien will definitely be out which is a massive blow. Torres looks like he's not playing due to a concussion which on his form is good for Chelsea. Drogba has excelled in previous seasons but I think he's getting old now and is past his best. Another tricky fixture to call this one. I guess that means I'll be on Stoke then. Would a cheeky 1-0 Stoke win be that much of surprise? Its 6.0 at VC Bet. Get a £25 free bet if you open an account.

West Brom (7) Draw (4.33) Manchester United (1.53)

West Brom finished the season strong last year after Roy Hodgson took over. They have strengthen their squad with Shane Long, Ben Foster and Zoltan Gera. They managed to keep hold of Odemwingie too who I do rate. If he keeps up his form from last season, they'll be pushing in to the top half of the table no problem. Manchester United looked brilliant against Manchester City last week in the Community Shield. Even at 2-0 down you sensed they were going to come back as they dominated the game. (I had a cheeky £10 at half time at 16/1). New keeper David de Gea could be a bit of a problem though. The 2 goals he let in would have probably been saved by van der sar. In terms of bets, I think the 1.53 is fair but I will go for 3 or more goals. I am expecting a 2-1, 3-1 for Manchester United. Overs is 1.73 at bet365.

15th August 2011

Manchester City (1.3) Draw (6) Swansea (13)

City played very negatively against Manchester United in the Community Shield. They were lucky to be leading 2-0 at half time. With their players they should be playing better football. This is a home game against one of the Premiership new boys. They really should be walking this game. Swansea look like they are going to struggle this season and are favourites to go down. They signed a couple of strikers in Danny Graham and Leroy Lita but I don't think they'll be able to cut it in the Premiership. If they do stay up, it'll not be by getting any points from the like of City. They'll need to beat the likes of QPR, Norwich and Wigan. I can only see one winner here. 1.3 is all you can really expect from a game like this. PaddyPower have got City to win to nil at 1.91 which will be my bet.

Euro 2012 Qualifier

Fri, 03 Jun 2011 17:05:11 +0000
England (1.36) Draw (5) Switzerland (10.5)
After last week's Champions League final, its a bit hard to get excited about some qualifiers. This game looks like a formality for England. Even with Rooney suspended and Defoe injured the England team should have enough to cruise past Switzerland. Darren Bent, who has proven his scoring abilities at Sunderland and Villa this season and will get a chance to shine. He can be backed at 2.05 to score anytime (or 4.75 to score first) at bet365 The other bet I like on this game is England to win to nil. That's 2.1 at bluesquare. I prefer those bets to the straight win at 1.36 at most places.

If you are watching the game, William Hill have a range of special bets that are interesting.

Both teams to score - 5/4 yes; 6/10 no
How many goals in game? - 10/11 2 or less; 10/11 3 or more
To win both halves - 19/10 England; 25/1 Switzerland
England to score in both halves - 5/4;
Switzerland to score in both halves - 8/1
To come from behind and win - 7/1 England; 22/1 Switzerland
To keep clean sheet - 4/7 England; 9/2 Switzerland
Goal scored in first 15 minutes - 12/5
England goal in first 15 minutes - 3/1

Man of the Match,

Jack Wilshere 9/2
Ashley Young 5/1
Darren Bent 5/1
Frank Lampard 11/2
Theo Walcott 13/2
Visit William Hill to get the rest of the bets on England vs Switzerland. New customers get a £25 free matched bet.

Champions League Final 2011

Thu, 26 May 2011 12:35:55 +0000
Barcelona (2.05) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (4)
This is the final every neutral wanted to see. The Champions of Spain vs the Champions of England. Its a rematch of the 2009 final in which Barcelona won 2-0.

Since then, Barcelona have only got stronger. Some say, they are the greatest club side of all time. On the occasions I have watched them this season they have impressed beyond belief. They never let the opponents get the ball and with Messi up front, they get the goals. It was almost embarrassing for English football watching Arsenal at the Nou Camp. Arsenal didn't have a single shot on target.

This seasons Manchester United side I don't think is as strong as the one in 2009 which had Rooney, Ronaldo and Tevez up front. That year, United won the league with 90 points as opposed to just 80 this year. I just don't think the Premier League is a strong league this year. Untied have been able to play poorly at times and still win. Only a slightly weakened United side were losing 2-1 at home to Blackpool last weekend. Can you imagine, Blackpool going to Barcelona and leading at any point?

In terms of betting, I am going for Barcelona. The final is at Wembley so maybe United have the have the home advantage here but I think Barcelona are a much superior team to United. I'll not be backing on the 1X2 markets though. Paddypower have a crazy special which I think they will regret.

For the 2008 Champions League final they offered to refund all losing bets if Ronaldo scored anytime during the game. He scored the first goal and Paddypower had to refund around a million euros worth of bets. They are not being as generous this year but its still a good offer.

If Barcelona win this match in normal time Paddy Power will refund correct score, first/last goalscorer, and scorecast singles on the match.

Terms & Conditions: Singles placed before kick-off only. Barcelona must win in 90 mins, extra time or penalties do not count. Max Refund �/£100 per customer. Paddy Power football rules apply.

I am going to go for Barcelona 1-0, 2-0 and 2-1, at 6.0, 8.5 and 8.5 respectively. That gives a nice payout if either come in but Paddypower will refund the losing bets too, making the payout even better. If you do fancy United then playing the correct scores is the prudent too as Paddy will refund those bets if Barcelona win too.

Click here to view the full, correct score markets. Paddypower are offering a free matched bet of £25 to new accounts.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 21 May 2011 00:53:33 +0000
22nd May 2011
Aston Villa (3.25) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.36)
With hindsight maybe, Villa's win over Arsenal last weekend wasn't much of a surprise. They have had a slump in form but they do have several England players including Darren Ben who scored 2. Liverpool were well beaten by Spurs last weekend. To be fair, Spurs do have a better team than Liverpool this season so maybe that shouldn't have been too much of a surprise either. Carroll started up front which may have affected their system a little. After that defeat, this became a nothing game for Liverpool as they have been leapfrogged by Spurs for that last European spot. Therefore, I cannot see why Liverpool are favourites for this. Villa for me at 3.25 at VC Bet.

Bolton (5.25) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (1.73)
Bolton have lost 4 on the bounce now. With nothing to play for after they defeated Arsenal, its not that surprising. They played OK at Blackpool and didn't just lay down, suggesting they may raise their game one last time this season for the fans at home. City leapfrogged Arsenal in midweek with a 3-0 victory over a weakened Stoke side. They beat the full strength side 1-0 in the FA Cup final last weekend though. A win here would guarantee them the 3rd automatic Champions League spot which would mean they would avoid the potentially tricky qualifiers. Will they though? City have blown hot and cold all season. At 1.73 the away win isn't even worth considering. Just a couple of weeks ago, they were playing Everton and got beat 2-1. I'll take a chance on the home win at 5.25 at VC Bet. Bolton owe the fans something and what better way that to beat City on the last day of the season.

Everton (3.2) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.41)
Everton lost away 1-0 to West Brom last week. Its not been an easy place to go since Hodgson took over so a loss wasn't the end of the world. Everton have been strong at home the latter part of the season, they are now 10 games unbeaten at home in the league. That was with an injury crisis as well. Cahill is a doubt but they have been playing well when he's not been on the pitch. Chelsea's season ended 2 weeks ago with the loss at Old Trafford. Last weekend they had to settle for the draw at home with Newcastle. If you can't win at home to Newcastle, how can you expect to go to Goodison Park and win there? Season's over and this game is meaningless to Chelsea. Everton are at home and can guarantee a 7th place finish with a point here. I will go for the Everton win though. They'll want to end the season on a high in front of their home crowd. It's 3.2 at Totesport.

Fulham (3.75) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (2.1)
Fulham made up for that humiliating 5-2 defeat by beating Birmingham 2-0 away from home. Birmingham aren't the easiest of sides to beat at home either. That's 3 wins in their last 4 games. Arsenal's collapse continues. With their 2-1 loss at home to Villa last weekend, they risk having to qualify for the Champions League next season. Only Van Persie seems interested nowadays. They are waiting on the fitness of several players, including Diaby, Clichy, Nasri, Djourou, Koscielny and Rosicky. This is another strange one with respect to the odds. Arsenal have only won 2 of their 10 games and they are just above even money. I think Fulham will win this. Its 3.75 at bluesquare

Manchester United (1.58) Draw (4.4) Blackpool (6)
Latest news is that Fergusson will field a strong side despite winning the league last weekend. I think it was quite a stupid suggestion that he could field a weakened side anyway. A weakened side for United is having £30 million Berbatov starting. With the squad they have its not possible to have a weak, weakened side. Even a weakened side is strong enough to beat Blackpool. Its almost do or die for Blackpool here but as long as they lose by less than Birmingham do, and Wigan lose they can still stay up. Its not out of the realms of possibility that Spurs could beat Birmingham by 3 goals, Wigan lose and Blackpool lose by 2 goals. That must be playing on Holloways mind. If he goes out all guns blazing, they may get spanked. Maybe playing for the draw or narrow loss will be their best bet. I see the 1.57 on United as a bit of a bonus. Under normal circumstances, you'd be looking at maybe 1.2 for this game and if you look at United's record over the season, 17 wins and 1 draw, you'd be well in to profit backing them at 1.1 every home game. I just can't see them laying down on the last day of the season in front of their fans. United win is 1.57 at bet365.

Newcastle United (2.12) Draw (3.6) West Brom (3.8)
A very good point for Newcastle last weekend at Chelsea. They managed to score 2 despite having a limited strike force. Alan Smith and Leon Best are available again for this game. West Brom beat a determined Everton side last weekend 1-0. Their mission was accomplished several weeks ago when they went on that fantastic run when Hodgson took over. They would finish as high as 9th with a win here but I am not sure how motivated they will be. They lost their last away game 3-1 to Wolves. I don't really have any opinions on this game. Would any result really be a surprise? Odds on Newcastle are a little short but if West Brom play like they did against Wolves, Newcastle should win easily. No bet for me.

Stoke (2.88) Draw (3.6) Wigan (2.6)
Stoke have lost their last games. 1-0 in the FA Cup final and 3-0 in the league both to Manchester City. They were on a 4 game unbeaten run before that though. The midweek loss was with a weakened side who really have nothing to play for. Etherington and Pennant should be back from injury and no doubt Jones will play a part in this game. He was left on the bench in the last game against City. Can Wigan manage the great escape. 2-0 down at half time last weekend, they looked down and out but 3 second half goals put safety back in to their own hands. A win here and they will be safe, a draw and they'd be needing both Blackpool and Birmingham to lose. I think the bookies have over reacted here to need to win factor. Wigan have played nice football but have generally been shocking away from home. Stoke have been strong at home and with 2 defeats on the bounce, they may up their game for the last match of the season in front of their home fans. Its another one that's too tricky to call but I do fancy an over 2.5 goals game which is 1.95 at bet365.

Tottenham (1.57) Draw (4.4) Birmingham (6.5)
Spurs surprised most people with their win at Liverpool last weekend. Considering they had injury problems too, the 2-0 win was an excellent result for them. A win here will seal some European football next year for them but they may not actually want it. Defoe has got in to trouble for suggesting that Europa League football will be a distraction in next season's race for the Champions League. Birmingham are in deep trouble. They could have secured safety last weekend with a win over Fulham but went down 2-0. That could be fatal as they are only ahead of Blackpool on goal difference. -20 vs -21. If they get beat more heavily than Blackpool, they will do down. Scoring has been a problem for Birmingham this season. They'll welcome Craig Gardener back how will have to step up as top scorer, Zigic Is out as well as Martins. I'll skip this game betting wise. Spurs have drawn too many games at recently and I am not totally convinced they'll be up for this game.

West Ham (2.05) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (4)
West Ham were officially relegated last weekend after throwing away a 2-0 lead. They sacked grant and first team coach Kevin Keen will be in charge for this game. Parker could start this game which will probably be his last for the Hammers. He'll be off in the summer. Backing against Sunderland last weekend was again profitable. Its easy to do when they have no strikers. Gyan may be back this weekend though so maybe they can spring a upset like they did against Bolton a couple of weeks ago. I will back West Ham in this final game, mainly because its against Sunderland but also because they'll want to leave the Premiership on a high. West Ham are 2.05 at PaddyPower.

Wolverhampton (2.2) Draw (3.2) Blackburn (4)
When I was looking at the results last weekend I was thinking this game could end up being an Italian style end of season draw. I worked it out though and a draw could send them both down. Only a win will guarantee that one side stays up. With the way things are though, a loss for either side wouldn't be fatal either. Wolves beat Sunderland last game 3-1 but Sunderland were injury ravaged and would have lost to any team last weekend. Blackburn lead Manchester United 1-0 for a lot of the game last weekend but after United equalised the game fizzled out. This is a tricky game to call. Blackburn are the better team but are away from home. Another no bet for me.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 13 May 2011 16:54:41 +0000
14th - 15th May 2011
14th May 2011

Blackburn (6) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (1.75)
Blackburn look safe now. The point at West Ham last weekend was much deserved. They could so with another point here though to make sure they don't get leapfrogged but their goal difference is so much better than those below them, its like having an extra point. United can clinch the title here with just a point after beating their closest rivals, Chelsea last weekend 2-1. They totally blew them off the pitch. United have been unusually poor this season away from home though, going 5-9-4. Fergusson will probably put out the team to do just enough to get what he wants. He only needs a point and may rest some of the first team. They have Barcelona in a couple of weeks and he much have one eye on that. United are perfectly capable of winning this if they needed to but the way I see it, is that a point would do both sides great and with United's indifferent form away from home this season, the draw will be my bet. Its 3.6 at VC Bet.

Blackpool (2.2) Draw (3.6) Bolton (3.5)
Pretty much last roll of the dice for Blackpool. Even if they win here, they'll still be one of the favourites to go down. They'll not getting anything at Old Trafford next week and a win here will only put them on 39 points along with Birmingham and Blackburn but with a much worse goal difference. 3 draws in their last 3 games hasn't been a bad return. They could have beat Spurs last weekend if it were not for the late Defoe goal or the missed penalty. Bolton are on their holidays. I cannot believe that they lost at home to a Sunderland B side which everyone has beat recently. I guess their season finished after the FA Cup semi final and the win against Arsenal was just to make up for getting thrashed 5-0 by Stoke. I am going to back Blackpool here. 2.2 is not a bad price for a team that were about 5 minutes away from beating Spurs at White Heart Lane last week. 2.2 at Totesport.

Sunderland (2.6) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (2.88)
Freak result for Sunderland last weekend. With no strikers, they somehow managed to beat Bolton away from home. I think its down to Bolton going away for the season rather than Sunderland with no strikers being any good. Bruce says that only 12 senior players trained this week. Wolves played great last weekend and shocked West Brom with a 3-1 win. They thoroughly deserved to win and if they play like that again, they will surely win. Kevin Doyle looks like he'll be back too to boost the away side. Odds are dropping quick on the Wolves win and I think they will start favourites for the game. If you can still get it, 2.1 at Skybet is my tip.

West Brom (2.7) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.78)
West Brom were poor against Wolves. Poor defending from set pieces were their downfall. They did improve later on but by then they were 3-0 down. Odemwingie scored again. Everton turned around a 1-0 half time to win 2-1 against City. Great performance from them. They are as high as they are going to get this season though. A respectable 7th place for them. Two in form sides but with nothing much to play for. Bookies can't separate the 2 and neither can I. Draw for me. 3.4 at Totesport.

15th May 2011

Chelsea (1.25) Draw (6.5) Newcastle United (15)
Season over for Chelsea. They blew their chance last weekend at Manchester United. To be fair, the first minute goal probably knocked all their plans out of the window. Torres will probably start as there is nothing to play for. Newcastle beat 10 man Birmingham last weekend 2-1. They have been struggling to score lately and will need to rebuild for next season. Not really much to say about this game betting wise. Chelsea do tend to win at home and 1.25 is about the type of price you generally get. I don't think its great for a team that don't need to win though. I am going to go for my favourite Chelsea to win to nil bet again, may as well be wrong at 2.1 than at 1.25. Its 2.1 at William Hill.

Arsenal (1.4) Draw (5) Aston Villa (10)
Poor performance from Arsenal last weekend and they deserved to get beat 3-1 at Stoke. Even Wenger criticised the performance which is unusual. Season practically over for them but there is a chance that Manchester City could over take them to get 3rd spot. No doubt Arsenal will still qualify for the Champions League proper but they would like to do with the headache of playing the extra games. Some indifferent form from Villa recently. I thought that now they have a fully fit squad they would climb the table but they have drawn 2 and lost 1 in the last 3. They do have the players to win this game but its hard to make a case for Villa winning anything. They don't need to win anything. A similar thing could be said of Arsenal. They can pull out some good performances if they want to but sometimes they just don't turn up. 1.4 is not a good price. I'd be much happier backing the draw at 5.0 but I will skip this game.

Birmingham (2.3) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.75)
Red cards have been costly for Birmingham. They had a red card against Wolves (1-1) and Newcastle (2-1). No doubt those results would have been different if it would have been 11 vs 11. Birmingham aren't safe yet. A point her would probably do it for them though. A couple of weeks ago, Fulham knocked 3 past a poor Sunderland side proving they can win at home. Something went wrong Monday night for them though, they were 3-0 down after 16 minutes and never looked like getting back in to the game which ended 5-2. Hughes will want a good performance from them this game to make up. I can see this game ending in a draw which will suit both sides. Its 3.3 at Boylesports.

Liverpool (1.8) Draw (3.8) Tottenham (5)
Fantastic end of season for Liverpool, especially at home. It read like this, Manchester United (3-1), Mancheser City (3-0), Birmingham (5-0) and Newcastle (3-0). To top it off Liverpool went to Craven Cottage and won 5-2. Rodriguez scored a hat trick and Suarez and Kuyt both on the score sheet too. Dalglish has just signed a 3 year deal and the place will be buzzing. Spurs lost their chance of Champions League football with the 1-0 loss against City. Too many draws for them. They struggled to get a point against Blackpool last weekend and they lost Bale to a nasty injury. I cannot see them getting anything from this game. Liverpool are on fire and Spurs recent form has been terrible. It's 1.8 at William Hill for the Liverpool win.

Wigan (2.2) Draw (3.5) West Ham (3.5)
One thing for sure is that whoever loses this will be down. I think it will be West Ham. Wigan have had a couple of good draws that have given them a little hope of escaping the drop. Everytime I see them, I think they play nice football but lack something in the final third. N'Zogbia has been scoring recently though. West Ham are probably down even if they win their next 2 games. Grant looks like a manager that has given up. With no Parker or Upson in the side, they looked poor against Blackburn last weekend. They really needed to win that to keep their chances of staying up alive but they blew it. I am backing Wigan this game. A draw is useless for both sides and West Ham have been very poor recently. Wigan are 2.2 at VC Bet.

FA Cup Final

14th May 2011

Manchester City (1.91) Draw (3.65) Stoke (4.6)
An unlikely FA Cup final. City beat Manchester United 1-0 to get here whereas Stoke thrashed Bolton 5-0. In one off games at neutral venues anything can happen. City secured Champions League football on Tuesday by beating Spurs 1-0 with a Crouch own goal. They didn't play particularly well and defended much of the second half despite being the home side. Tevez made a brief appearance so could start the game here. Stoke have gone on a good run since that 5-0 semi-final win against Bolton. They beat Arsenal 3-1 last weekend with Jones on the scoresheet yet again. City are rightly favourites but odds on? I don't think so. City have been generally poor when not at Eastlands. They played well against Manchester United in the semi-final but that was an anomaly in my opinion. Looking at the odds, I will have to back Stoke. I think 4.6 is a bit too high for a team in such good form at a neutral venue. 4.6 for Stoke at VC Bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 06 May 2011 18:28:20 +0000
7th - 9th May 2011
7th May 2011

Aston Villa (1.85) Draw (3.75) Wigan (5)
Villa lost 2-1 to a 10 man West Brom side last weekend. They dominated possession but didn't manage to score. Their goal was a own goal by West Brom. Their previous 4 run unbeaten streak has made them safe though and they only have pride to play for now. Wigan did well against Everton last weekend. They were ahead for much of the game and it was only a Leighton Baines penalty that allowed Everton to get a point. (Arteta did miss an earlier penalty though). I still think Wigan are better than their position suggests. I think they can get something from this game. Odds on Villa are pretty poor considering just last month, they were looking like getting dragged in to the relegation zone. Beating Newcastle and West Ham doesn't make you an odds on favourite. I see the most value in the draw at 3.75 at William Hill.

Bolton (1.80) Draw (3.6) Sunderland (5.25)
Bolton have lost their last 2 games, both away from home. It seems like they are thinking of their holidays now rather than wanting to win away from home. They put on a good performance against Arsenal last home game and won 2-1. I expect to see a performance more like the one against Arsenal rather than the tame ones away at Fulham and Blackburn. Sunderland are still a side on the slide. They looked like they may have stopped the bad run with a 4-2 win against Wigan but that looks like a blip. With injuries hitting Steve Bruce's side, I cannot see them getting anything here. Last week, they had to play with no first choice striker and it looks like they have to do the same this weekend. They lost that game 3-0 and I can see a similar scoreline here. Bolton are 1.8 at Boylesports.

Everton (2.88) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.75)
Everton got a point from Wigan last weekend. They missed a penalty which could have put them level much earlier on. The Everton side has pretty much recovered from their injury crisis with only Fellanini and Saha injured now. They did have ambitions of overtaking Liverpool or Spurs for that last European place but thats beyond their reach now. City looked unstoppable for the first 20 minutes or so against West Ham last weekend. They were 2-0 up after 15 minutes but after West Ham scored they looked nervous. The win pretty much guarantees them a Champions League place next year and so they can start to relax a little. They are 7 points ahead of Spurs with 4 games to go. I think they will be happy with a draw here and set up for that. A draw wouldn't be too bad a result for Everton too that have nothing to play for now. The draw is 3.3 at VC Bet.

Newcastle United (1.95) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (4.33)
Newcastle were thrashed 3-0 last weekend by Liverpool. The lack of goal scorers in their team in telling. Only 1 goal in their last 4 games and 1 win in the last 8. Injuries are taken their toll but they have enough points to be safe now. Birmingham contained Wolves pretty well last weekend when they were down to 10 men. If it was 11 vs 11, I am sure Birmingham would have won that and be looking safe on 41 points now but instead, they still have a slight danger of going down. A further blow is that top scorer Craig Gardner is suspended after getting sent off and Zigic is also still out. I don't think that Newcastle should be odds on favourite here. In the recent form table, Birmingham are ahead of Newcastle and have much more to play for. The draw looks the best option to me. Its 3.5 at Boylesports

West Ham (2.05) Draw (3.6) Blackburn (4)
West Ham looked hopeless last weekend against Manchester City for the first 20 minutes. They found themselves 2-0 down after 15 minutes. After Demba Ba scored though, they looked much better and getting a draw looked a real possibility. That would have given them hope as realistically, they have to get at least 7 points from the last 3 games to stay up (maybe even all 9). Blackburn eased their relegation worries with a 1-0 win over an indifferent Bolton side. They are still not safe yet though and probably could do with a couple more points to be sure. I don't think that Blackburn do away wins though. They are 3-2-12 away from home this season. I think that explains the price on West Ham. They have lost the last 5 on the bounce and are still more or less even money favourites. Scott Parker looks like returning too which will be a big boost. West Ham are 2.05 at VC Bet.

Tottenham (1.33) Draw (6) Blackpool (11)
Spurs were extremely unlucky at Chelsea last weekend. The 2-1 loss probably cost them a place in next year's Champions League and gives Liverpool a real chance of catching them for the Europa League place. Blackpool had a surprising 0-0 draw at home to Stoke last weekend. I didn't think I'd see a 0-0 involving Blackpool with their scoring ability and leaky defense. The last game they won was actually against Spurs, 3-1. A strange game where they had 3 chance and scored them all. Spurs had more than 10 good chances and only scored 1. I can't see them being that fortunate this time. They were sliding well before that Spurs game, with only 1 win in 15. Spurs have been drawing a few too many games but I think they will cruise this game. I am not too keen on the price though. 1.33 is just too low but it'll be my bet at PaddyPower.

8th May 2011

Wolverhampton (2.28) Draw (3.5) West Brom (3.5)
Wolves were fortunate to get a point from Birmingham last weekend. They were awarded an early penalty which was scored. Birmingham equalised midway through the first half but then Gardner was sent off. Wolves didn't manage to capitalise on the man advantage which they had for over an hour. They only had 2 shots on target in the whole game. West Brom seem to be invincible under Roy Hodgson. The only defeat they have suffered since the man took over was a 3-1 to Chelsea. The came back from a goal down to beat Villa 2-1 last weekend. Whats more remarkable is that West Brom had 10 men when they scored the winner. I can't work out the odds here. West Brom are one of the form sides whereas Wolves are totally out of form. I can't see West Brom losing this one and am confident they will have enough to get the win. Its 3.5 at VC Bet.

Stoke (5.5) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (1.73)
Stoke have the FA Cup final next weekend. I guess their minds won't be on this game at all. They are safe and are really only playing for their place in next weeks game. Last weekend, they were the more likely winners in the 0-0 draw at Blackpool. Jones missed a couple of golden chances. Arsenal showed what they were made of last weekend with a 1-0 win over Manchester United. They deserved to win in a game that has blown the title race wide open. Well, given Chelsea a chance to snatch the title anyway. Arsenal are too far behind to make a realistic challenge now. As always with Arsenal, on paper they should win this but their recent form make me weary about backing them. Stoke could just pack the defense to counter Arsenal's pretty passes. United got beat because they tried to play football against Arsenal. I am going to go for the draw. Its 3.8 at VC Bet. I can't trust Arsenal at 1.73.

Manchester United (2.4) Draw (3.3) Chelsea (3.25)
United's loss at Arsenal last weekend could have cost them the title. I was expecting them to wrap up the title in style but sub par performance at Arsenal gives Chelsea a small chance of winning the title. United will bring back the big guns for this game. A weakened side was used to dispatch Schalke midweek. Chelsea were lucky to have beaten Spurs last weekend. They should have lost if the officials got everything right. Lampard's goal never crossed the line and Kalou's goal was offside. They are on a good run now though. 8 wins out of 9. This game is a title decider. Looking at the encounters this season, United have had the better of the ties, winning both legs in the Champions League but losing at Stamford Bridge in the league. I see Old Trafford as a fortress this season though and only 1 team has managed a draw there. Everyone else has fallen. I therefore will be backing United. 2.4 is a great price for a team that is 16-1-0 at home. It's 2.4 at PaddyPower.

9th May 2011

Fulham (3) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.5)

Fulham manged to win away from home last weekend, agasint a poor Sudnerland side. Only their second away win of the season. At home though, they have not lost a game this calendar year. Their last defeat was against West Ham back on Boxing day 2010. Top scorer Clint Dempsey should be back for this game. Liverpool's great run has allowed them to overtake Spurs in the race for 5th place. Its their home form thats been excellent though rather than their away form. They managed to lose against West Ham and West Brom away from home. I am unsure about this fixture, both teams are in excellent form but I think Fulham should be slight favourites here rather than Liverpool. They are the home team afterall. Neither of the 3 results would be surprising to me though so I will skip this fixture from a betting point of view.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 29 Apr 2011 23:25:04 +0000
30th April - 1st May
30th April 2011

Blackburn (2.05) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4)
Blackburn held out for 75 minutes against City last weekend and maybe didn't deserve to lose 1-0. Still no win in 10 for them though and its put them in relegation danger. Bolton have had a good week. They made up for the FA Cup loss with a great 2-1 win over Arsenal and then lost 3-0 to Fulham. Their season is over now and they may put in the effort at home but away, they don't seem interested. With that in mind, I am going to go for Blackburn here. They are in serious danger of going down if they don't pick up all 3 points here and Kean will make sure all his players know that. Blackburn win is 2.05 at VC Bet.

Blackpool (2.75) Draw (3.5) Stoke (2.75)
Blackpool were unlucky to only get a draw at Blackpool last weekend. They should have had a penalty which would have made it 2-1. They don't seem to be getting the decisions and with Holloway complaining about it, maybe this weekend, something will go for them. Its getting desperate for them. They are above the relegation zone on goal difference only. Only 2 points from their last 7 games. Stoke have been playing really well despite their season resting on the FA Cup now. They didn't roll over at Villa and got a 1-1 draw, then they beat Wolves 3-0 to make them officially safe in the Premiership. Jones is scoring freely now for them too so I expect him to get one against a leaky Blackpool defence. I was looking at overs again but the odds are too low to justify that. I am going to go for Blackpool. It's a team that has everything to play for vs a team that has nothing to play for. Blackpool are 2.75 at PaddyPower.

Sunderland (2.7) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.94)
It was hard to work out what happened to Sunderland last weekend. They were 1-0 down with about 40 minutes left to go but ended up winning 4-2. Not only that, they had to make 3 substitutions due to injury. What a way to stop the slide. They will go in to this game with a striker crisis though. None of their regular forwards are fit so someone called Stephane Sessegnon will play the lone striker role. Fulham are back to a predictable pattern now. Win at home and draw or lose away from home. Last weekend they were behind for most of the game against Wolves but a late Andy Johnson goal gave them a point. Midweek, the demolished Bolton 3-0 (admittedly Bolton weren't interested though). This is an X2 game for me. There probably still is some value in opposing Sunderland still. I am just not sure whether Fulham can win away from home. It's the draw for me then. Its 3.3 at Totesport.

West Brom (2.4) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.25)
West Brom are on 40 points which is probably going to be enough to keep them up. After the defeat to Chelsea they came back with a good 2-2 draw at Spurs. Odemwingie on the scoresheet again. Villa are just a point above West Brom. Their relegation fears have been banished with a run of 2 draws and 2 wins. Bent scoring again too. Both teams are safe now but a point each wouldn't harm either side. It's a local Derby but there isn't as much rivalry between these sides as there are in other Birmingham derbies. I think the draw at 3.4 at bluesquare is the best bet.

Wigan (3) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.63)
Wigan were looking good for getting out of the relegation battle. 1-0 up at Sunderland then it all went wrong. By losing 4-2 they slipped back in to the relegation zone on goal difference. I'll put that down to a freak event though. Wigan have been impressing me and I think they can bounce back. Everton are currently flying. They were great at Manchester United last weekend but could not hold back the sheer weight of pressure that United piled on them. Cahill was back as a substitute and Arteta could be back for this game. Still quite a few injuries though but they seem to be doing fine with their patched up team. As I said, I think Wigan can bounce back from their defeat. They have to or they are going down. In terms of betting, I'm going for the draw. Biggest price on the coupon and I can't pick a winner here. 3.3 at bet365.

Chelsea (1.53) Draw (4.75) Tottenham (7.5)
Chelsea's revival continued last weekend with a comfortable 3-0 win over West Ham. Torres on the score sheet which could be the thing that starts his season. Also they have a fully fit squad which is crucial at this late stage. There is still a slim chance of the title for them but it would require a massive help from Arsenal. Spurs have been scoring but not winning many games. 3-3 and 22 in their last 3. 4th place looks beyond them and it looks like Liverpool could give them a run for 5th place. Still a lot to play for. I am going to go for the Chelsea win. Odds are shocking though. Maybe the Chelsea of a few seasons ago this would be OK but this Chelsea team is getting old and Spurs have the players to cause an upset. I don't think they will though so even though I don't like the price, I'll still pick Chelsea at 1.53 at PaddyPower.

1st May 2011

Birmingham (2.15) Draw (3.3) Wolverhampton (4)
Birmingham probably weren't expecting to get any points from the last 2 games. Both away at Chelsea (3-1) and Liverpool (5-0). Before then though, they were on a little mini run that has put them so close to the 40 point mark. A win here would put them on 41 and safe. Wolves played well last weekend against Fulham and led for most of the game before conceding late. Maybe that did something to their confidence because they were terrible at Stoke and rightly got thrashed 3-0. Still no Kevin Doyle who was so instrumental in their revival. I will go with Birmingham here. Wolves looked like a team that are going down midweek and I don't see them being able to raise their game here. Birmingham are 2.15 at William Hill.

Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.5) Newcastle United (8)
Liverpool's home form is excellent at the moment. I was thinking there may have been an upset last weekend but they demolished Birmingham 5-0. They are only 3 points behind Spurs with a better goal difference but have played a game more. Newcastle got a point at Blackpool last weekend but maybe should have lost. I am concerned about their lack of scoring. Teams usually put at least 2 past Blackpool but they only managed the 1. With Nolan doubtful, I doubt they'll have the strike force to penetrate Liverpool. They are safe now on 41 points. Liverpool were this price last weekend to beat Birmingham who had something to play for. Liverpool is 1.5 at Totesport.

Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (2.93)
Arsenal lost at Bolton last weekend and deserved to. They have bottled the league. It doesn't help that their style of play is too predictable. Pass it around a bit but never shoot, always trying to pass it in the goal. Teams have got wise to that and they are easy to defend against. Only 1 win in 7 league games. Manchester United did enough again to beat Everton last weekend. The sheer weight of United pressure made the goal inevitable. It was a similar story in the Champions League at Schalke. Lots of the pressure and the goal was inevitable. They won that game 2-0 so the second leg is just a formality. I can't actually see why Arsenal are favourites here at all. Maybe if United would have had a tough game midweek and the second leg was on Wednesday would have been important, I could see this as a tricky fixture but its not. United are 2.15 on the Asian Handicap +0 at bet365.

Manchester City (1.4) Draw (4.75) West Ham (10)
City banished their away form with a narrow 1-0 win against Blackburn. At home though, they've been solid with a 10-4-2 record. With Arsenal slipping up, there is a chance that they could catch them and get 3rd place. Still no Tevez but they have been able to get wins without him. West Ham have now lost 4 on the bounce, letting in 10 goals. They haven't scored in their last 3 away games. With Parker still out, I can't see them getting anything from this game. City odds look poor but they are playing the team that are rock bottom of the league. In these situations I'd recommend going for the City to win to nil bet at 2.4 rather than the straight win. City's defence is tight and most of their home wins have been to nil. It's 2.4 at bluesquare.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 22 Apr 2011 16:49:43 +0000
23th - 25th April 2011
23th April 2011

Manchester United (1.5) Draw (4.5) Everton (8.8)
A bad week for Manchester United. First they get knocked out of the FA Cup by their City rivals and then can only manage a 0-0 draw at Newcastle. The league is still safe I think with Arsenal stumbling and Chelsea just a bit too far behind to catch them now. Berbatov looks out but not too concerned as I prefer Hernandez to him anyway. Everton just keep defying my predictions. Their almost barebones side keep on getting results and can now leapfrog Liverpool with a result here. I just can't see how this run can continue, especially now they have to come to fortress Old Trafford. United are 15-1-0 at home this season with the only draw against West Brom. I do like the 1.5 at William Hill. Its not often you get prices like that for United at home and I'm going to take it.

Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.6) Stoke (4.6)
Villa were convincing winners last week against West Ham even though their goal only came in the last minute. It was a much improved performance from the week before where they beat Newcastle 1-0 but played poorly. On 40 points now so pretty safe. No injury worries at all with Bent still scoring for fun. Stoke surprised everyone last weekend with a stunning 5-0 demolition job of Bolton in the FA Cup. Stoke are pretty much safe now but still probably need a couple more points to be safe. They'll not just think that the FA Cup is all they have to play for this season. My first thought was a Villa win but the odds aren't that appealing. Stoke just won 5-0 last game and now their opponents are odds on. Doesn't make sense. I will instead go for over 2.5 goals at bet365. Its 1.95. Its been a season of goals this one. Overs has come in more often than not.

Blackpool (3) Draw (3.6) Newcastle United (2.5)
Blackpool slipped in to the relegation zone last weekend with a 3-1 home defeat to Wigan. Since beating Spurs 3-1 at home, they have played 6, drew 1 and lost the other 5. Captain Charlie Adam is a doubt but should play. Even with him though, their chances of survival are slim. Newcastle played out an entertaining 0-0 against Manchester United midweek. They worked hard to deny United all 3 points. The problem I see with Newcastle is their strike force or lack of it. No goal in the last 2 games but Kevin Nolan so maybe he'll get a goal or 2. The reverse fixture at St James park ended in a shock 2-0 win to Blackpool. In terms of predicting the result, I can see anything happening in this game. I did see what stat that makes me want to back over 2.5 goals though. 94% of Blackpool's home games have been overs. The only game that was under was a 1-1 against Villa. Over 2.5 goals is 1.67 at VC Bet.

Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.4) Birmingham (8.5)
A mad drama at the Emirates gave Liverpool a point in the 102th minute. A fair result in the end I think. Liverpool at home have really been where all the points have been picked up. No defeat in 7 there now, with excellent wins over Manchester United (3-1) and Manchester City (3-0). Birmingham met Chelsea midweek at the wrong time. They were 1-0 down after just 3 minutes and it was always going to be a struggle after that. The good thing is that they didn't roll over and managed to get a consolation goal. Even though, Liverpool's home form has been great, they may struggle here. Birmingham will come and play for the draw. The last 5 encounters between these sides have been draws. I don't really see any value in the 1.5 on the home win but 4.4 on the draw at VC Bet looks tasty.

Sunderland (2.15) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.8)
Sunderland continue their slide. They didn't actually play too badly against Liverpool but still lost 2-0. That's just 1 point from their last 9 games now. 1 more win and they should be safe but I don't know where that is coming from. Wigan pulled out of the relegation zone with a 3-1 win over Blackpool last weekend. They deserved it. I thought that Wigan could do it as they haven't been playing too badly. I think the turned it around at the start of the year but have just had a terrible run in, playing all of the top 6. I can see them going to the Stadium of Light and winning here. Sunderland are in free fall and while that's happening, just keep backing against them. Wigan are 3.8 at VC Bet.

Tottenham (1.62) Draw (4.2) West Brom (6.5)
Spurs have ended their scoring drought in the league by scoring 3 goals in both of their last 2 games. Midweek they were great against Arsenal coming from 2 goals behind to win 3-3. Van der Vaart looks like the player he was when he first signed for them. They still have the Champions League qualification to play for this season. They are 2 points behind City but with a much worse goal difference. West Brom lost their first game under Hodgson last weekend. They were 1-0 up with Odemwingie on the scoresheet again. Chelsea fought back strongly though and they lost the game 3-1. West Brom are more or less safe now. The last 4 games of the season for them are against teams, they'd expect to get at least 1 win from. In this game, I would like to back Spurs. The odds are a bit short for me though. I am going to go for over 2.5 goals at 1.73 at bluesquare. I can see both teams scoring and so Spurs win must be an overs game.

Wolverhampton (2.62) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)
Wolves were looking like they could pull themselves out of the relegation zone but with results going against them and 2 losses they find themselves rock bottom of the table. The international break did them no good at all with Kevin Doyle getting injured. He's been a great miss for them. Fulham on 38 points are safe. Their home form has made sure of that. Still, they can't win away from home though. You can pretty much mark 1 or X on your selection when Fulham are playing away from home. Tricky one to call this from a betting point of view. I think I will have to go with the draw as it's the highest price. Its more or less do or die for Wolves now but I don't think they have the strength team take all 3 points from this decent Fulham side. The draw is 3.3 at Totesport.

Chelsea (1.25) Draw (7) West Ham (16.5)
Chelsea have a small chance of winning the league with their recent upturn in form. Its still Manchester United's to lose but United still have to play Chelsea and Arsenal again this season. Looks like Chelsea play their best when Torres isn't playing so its doubtful he'll start. If you look at the teams they have played recently, Wigan, West Brom and Birmingham, you would have expected them to get all 9 points. I put that West Ham in that bracket of teams so another win here is extremely likely. West Ham were looking like they were going to pull clear of the relegation zone but 3 losses in a row could see them rock bottom by the time this game kicks off. Scott Parker is a doubt and without him, they are poor. Last weekend, they were outclassed by Villa without him, despite taking an early lead. As always with Chelsea, I am going for the Chelsea to win to nil bet. Its 2.1 at bluesquare, which is more than 4 times the price of the straight win.

24th April 2011

Bolton (5) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.8)
Huge disappointment for Bolton in the cup last weekend. They were the early favourites for that game too. Stoke outclassed them 5-0. It'd be interesting to see how they respond. It is season over for them. Nothing really to play for but I suspect they may try harder than usual to say sorry to their fans. Sturridge will be back in the side. Arsenal have bottled it once again. They have drawn far too many games to mount a serious title challenge. 3-1 up against Spurs midweek and they blew it. Nothing wrong with the performance but they can't seem to be able to hold on to leads. I will go for a draw here. I can't be backing Arsenal at 1.8 with all the draws recently and I do think Bolton will put on a performance to make up for last weekend's disappointment. The draw is 4.0 at William Hill.

25th April 2011

Blackburn (3.8) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (2.15)

Blackburn have drifted in to the danger zone now. Only 2 points ahead of the drop zone. With only 3 points in their last 6 games, they sit near the bottom of the recent form table with only Sunderland and Blackpool below them. Ewood Park used to be a fortress but their last win was against West Brom in January. Since then, Blackpool, Birmingham and Newcastle have all come to town and no win. City will be on a high from knocking out Manchester United in the FA Cup. They played great after the first 20 minutes or so and thoroughly deserved to win. City have been poor away from home and not got many points recently but when you look at the sides they were playing, its not that surprising they haven't won away from home since December. I will go with them here though. 2.15 at William Hill is a great price. I am surprised they are odds against really. City still have 4th place to play for and that win over United will surely have boosted their confidence. No Tevez but they did fine without him last weekend. 2.15 at William Hill.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 15 Apr 2011 16:11:40 +0000
16th - 17th April 2011
16th April 2011

Birmingham (2.25) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)
Birmingham are slowly pulling themselves clear of the relegation zone. They have picked up 4 points in their last 2 games. This match will be crucial as it looks like Sunderland will be one of the teams that look like they could go down. Both sides are injury ridden but important defender Roger Johnson should play as well as Zigic and Bentley. Sunderland will be without Mensah and A Ferdinand and others. Sunderland scored twice last weekend against West Brom, ending their run of 4 games without a goal. Pity for them they lost 3-2. They are a team on the slide with just one draw in the last 8 with the rest being losses. Like last weekend, I'm backing against Sunderland again. Their form must change at some point but while they are still sliding, I am going to keep backing against them. Birmingham are 2.25 at Totesport.

Blackpool (2.4) Draw (3.5) Wigan (3.1)
Blackpool sit just 1 point above the relegation zone after they lost last weekend and were fortunate that the bottom 3 also lost. They played well against Arsenal last weekend and on another day may have gotten a draw. The last points they picked up at home were against Spurs in a game where they had 3 chances and won 3-1. They'll need that type of luck if they are to stay up. Wigan lost to Chelsea last weekend 1-0 at the Bridge. Quite a respectable score. I don't think they should be rock bottom of the Premiership. They've been improving this season and if strip out the games they should have lost (those against the top 5) their record isn't too bad at all. Back on the first day of the season Blackpool went to Wigan and won 4-0. Some nice revenge in store I think. My tip is Wigan at William Hill at 3.1.

Everton (1.73) Draw (3.8) Blackburn (6)
What can I say about Everton? Their injury ridden side just stunned me last weekend. They were 3-0 against Wolves at half time with Phil Neville scoring a great goal. Looks like they'll be playing the same team as last weekend which wouldn't be such a bad thing considering the result. Blackburn have drawn their last 3 which is keeping them above the drop zone. Their away record is generally terrible but did manage a 0-0 at Arsenal a couple of weeks ago. Overall they are 3-2-11 away from home. I can see them playing for a point here. It'll be a good result for them. Everton have little to play for now but do hold some ambition of finishing above Liverpool. They are only 4 points behind, so its possible but unlikely. I'm going to go for the draw here. I think Everton will win but 1.73 is too low for a team with all their best players out. I'd be wanting even money for Everton. The draw us 3.8 at VC Bet.

West Brom (5.6) Draw (3.85) Chelsea (1.73)
West Brom are up to 10th place now after a 7 unbeaten run. Hodgson has really turned this team around. They were 2-1 down at Sunderland last weekend and turned it around to win 3-2 and the weekend before they came back from 1-0 down to beat Liverpool. Odemwingie is in great form at the moment. Chelsea were knocked out of the Champions League on Tuesday. They lost 2-1 and so went out 3-1 on aggregate to Manchester United. Apart from in the first 20 minutes or so, you could tell that Manchester United were going to win that game. Maybe the Chelsea are getting a bit old. Last weekend they only managed to beat Wigan 1-0. With that in mind, I don't see how Chelsea can be odds on favourite to win this game. Last away Premiership game they drew against Stoke 1-1. I'm not brave enough to back West Brom straight but I think the 4.0 at Bodog for the draw no bet is great. Would it be that much of an upset if Chelsea lost this game?

West Ham (2.38) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.25)
West Ham are still in the relegation zone after losing 3-0 at Bolton. It seems that just when you think they have turned they corner, they bottle it and put out a bad performance. With the players they have, they should be in the top half of the table. Villa beat a weak Newcastle side last weekend 1-0. It wasn't the greatest of performances but a win is a win I suppose. They too have a side that should be in the top half of the table, if not challenging for Europe. It's a mystery how they could have been sucked in to the relegation battle. On 37 points they still could go down but that win last weekend did relieve a lot of the pressure. In terms of betting, I am going to go for West Ham. Their best performances have come at home in their mini revival periods. They were 2-0 up against Manchester United 2 weeks ago. They are 2.38 at PaddyPower to win.

17th April 2011

Arsenal (1.75) Draw (3.8) Liverpool (5.5)
For some reason, people think the title race is back on since Arsenal managed to beat Blackpool 3-1. It still doesn't change the fact that they probably conceded the title race a few weeks ago when they drew 0-0 at home to Sunderland and then 0-0 to Blackburn. Drawing 2-2 at West Brom was another blow. I think this game is going to be harder than any of those for Arsenal. Liverpool worked extremely hard on Monday to beat City 3-0. Carroll scored twice in a game which Liverpool had won at half time. With Suarez upfront too, this Liverpool side could looks more dangerous upfront that Arsenal do. Arsenal still have that problem with pretty football but no end result. I am going to go for Liverpool on the Asian Handicap +0.75 goals. Its 1.98 at bet365. You get half your stake back if it's a 1 goal Arsenal win and paid out in full for a draw or Liverpool win.
FA Cups Games

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Fri, 08 Apr 2011 15:45:59 +0000
9th - 11th April 2011
9th April 2011

Wolverhampton (2.62) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.88)
With only 7 games left time is running out for Wolves. Last weekend they were thrashed 4-1 by Newcastle. Looks like they did miss Kevin Doyle but his replacement Sylvan Ebanks-Blake got on the scoresheet at least. Everton, were maybe a bit unfortunate to have only got a point against Villa last weekend. They had a goal disallowed and Villa went up the other end and scored. Looking at their team, I can't see where the goals are going to come from. Cahill is doubtful whereas Arteta and Saha are both out. Saying that, Everton are up to 7th now and are unbeaten in 6. I will go for a Wolves win here though. Its more or less, win or go down for Wolves and they have managed to beat both Manchester teams and Chelsea here. Wolves are 2.63 at VC Bet.

Blackburn (2.1) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (4.2)
Both these teams on 34 points but with Blackburn playing a game more, its advantage Birmingham in the fight to stay up. Blackburn got a 0-0 at Arsenal last weekend which they must consider a bonus point as no one gave them a chance at the Emirates. Recent form for Blackburn has been terrible overall though. No win since beating West Brom in January. Birmingham beat Bolton last weekend to ease their relegation worries a little but they are still in danger of going down. Tricky game to call this one. Its almost win or go down for Blackburn but just because they have to win it doesn't mean they will. I think I'll leave this game or maybe something on Birmingham.

Bolton (2.25) Draw (3.4) West Ham (3.6)
Same story for Bolton this weekend. Nothing really to play for. They have their eye on the FA Cup semi final next weekend. Owen Coyle may be tempted to rest a few players and not risk them picking up yellow cards that may rule them out of next weeks game. West Ham didn't play that great last weekend, even when they were 2-0 up. There was an inevitability that Manchester United where going to win that game. I expect them to play a lot better this weekend against an uninterested team and am willing to back them again. I think West Ham have the players to stay up and they will start picking up points again. It's 3.6 at PaddyPower.

Chelsea (1.22) Draw (6.5) Wigan (18)
Something looked wrong with Chelsea against Manchester United on Wednesday. They didn't play with any tempo even though winning the Champions League is their number one priority. £50 million Torres still yet to score and Lampard may well have not been on the pitch. This is a league game against rock bottom Wigan though. Wigan place some nice football but I doubt they'll get anything here. I'll be backing 1.91 at Skybet for Chelsea to win to nil. 1.22 on the straight Chelsea win is way too low considering how badly they played on Wednesday and how they have a make or break season game on Tuesday at Old Trafford. I wouldn't put anyone off having a speculative punt on Wigan at 18.0 either but the win to nil bet at 1.91 is my choice.

Manchester United (1.46) Draw (4.4) Fulham (8.5)
I think Manchester United won the league last weekend with that come back from 2-0 down to win 4-2. That must have really deflated Arsenal and Chelsea who both subsequently draw. Fulham are in a good run of form at home but their away record still sucks. They're up to 10th on the basis of their home form. I think that 1.44 is actually a decent price for Manchester United. Its not often you see anything more than about 1.25 for United at home for a team like Fulham. I guess the bookies have factored in that Rooney is suspended, they have a big game against Chelsea on Tuesday and they don't really need to win this game to win the title. I think they will win though. Maybe Ferguson will put out a team similar to the one that beat Arsenal in the FA Cup but I think they'll have too much for Fulham whoever plays. 1.44 at VC Bet.

Sunderland (2.3) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.6)
Sunderland continued their bad run of form last weekend with a 5-0 thrashing at Manchester City. That's 6 defeats in 7 for them. They have not scored in the last 4 games and do miss Darren Bent. They were looking pretty safe a couple of months ago but they could get sucked in to the relegation battle. West Brom did superbly last weekend, being 1-0 down to Liverpool and coming back to win 2-1. Since Hodgson became manager they are unbeaten. Quite an amazing turnaround. Odemwingie is in good form again. I am going to go with the team with momentum here. Sunderland's slide will have to stop at some point but while they continue losing games, its better to back against them. West Brom are 3.6 at Betfred.

Tottenham (1.8) Draw (3.7) Stoke (5.5)
Spurs season seems like it could be falling apart. No win in 4 in the league and then a 4-0 mauling in Madrid. The lack of goals is causing them problems. 0-0 against West Ham and Wigan in the last 2 games. On top of that, they tend to do badly after Champions League games. They also host Madrid on Tuesday and have a hopeless task of over turning a 4-0 first leg defeat. Stoke played a great game against Chelsea last weekend. It ended 1-1 but they deserved to win it more than Chelsea did. Stoke have the FA Cup semi final next weekend so will have an eye on that. With 38 points they are pretty much safe in the league. I don't really know what to make of this game. With both teams distracted by the next game anything could happen. Maybe something on unders but probably best to skip this one.

10th April 2011

Blackpool (9) Draw (5.1) Arsenal (1.41)
Blackpool are looking like dropping now. They lost 3-0 at Fulham last weekend. If results don't go their way, they would be in the relegation zone when this game kicks off. The good news is that they have striker DJ Campbell back. Maybe their top goal scorer can pull something out of the bag for them. Arsenal's form has dropped off a cliff. Last month they had some tough fixtures but last weekend, they couldn't even break down a poor Blackburn team at home. Their title hopes are in tatters. Ordinarily, I would be lumping on Arsenal but you can't be backing a team in such bad form at 1.40 away from home. Over 2.5 goals at 1.44 is better but I'm going to have a small bet on Blackpool with the intention to maybe sell some off if they get in front. Blackpool is 9.0 at Skybet.

Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.75) Newcastle United (4.6)
Villa were unlucky or lucky to get a point at Everton last weekend, depending on how you look at things. Everton had a good goal disallowed at 1-1 but then late on Everton got a soft penalty which allowed them to level the game to 2-2. At this stage of the season, they have more or a less a fully fit squad. Many managers would love to be able to say that. Somehow, Newcastle scored 4 past Wolves last weekend. It surprised me as they don't have anyone decent upfront. This weekend its worse with Leon Best out for the season and Kevin Nolan suspended. Their team is heavily depleted. I suppose that's why Villa are 1.91 to win this. Seems a bit low to me but with the home team with a fully fit side and the other patched up, I can only see a Villa win. It'll be some nice revenge for the 6-0 thrashing at St James's Park earlier in the season. It's 1.91 at Boylesports.

11th April 2011

Liverpool (2.63) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.88)
Liverpool's recent run came to an end last weekend with a 2-1 defeat at West Brom. The lost Agger and Johnson to injuries too which won't help their defence. The still have a slim chance of catching up with Spurs for 5 place but its looking doubtful now with the injuries, especially now Gerrard is out for the season. City had a fantastic 5-0 win over Sunderland last weekend. I don't know how much of that was down to Sunderland being poor but you got a glimpse of the potential in that side. They have the FA Cup semi final next weekend so the players will be out to impress to make sure they get a place in the side. I am going to go for a City win. It's 2.88 at Boylesports.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 02 Apr 2011 02:18:09 +0000
2nd - 3rd April 2011
2nd April 2011

West Ham (4.75) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.83)
West Ham pulled out of the relegation zone last round with a good 0-0 at Spurs. They have already beat a second string Manchester United this season in the Carling Cup. West Ham could do with the points here but will probably survive even with defeat here as they have a team which is too good to go down in my opinion. Striker Robbie Keane will be available for selection after scoring for Ireland. Manchester United some how managed to scrape past Bolton last game. Down to 10 men, with the clock ticking away, Berbatov scores a goal very late on to stretch their lead at the top of the table. They worrying this for Manchester United is that the injuries are stacking up and they have Chelsea midweek in the Champions League. That's got to be a massive distraction for a team that isn't playing well at all. I don't really understand why Manchester United are odds on favourites here. They have only won 4 games away from home all season. My money is on West Ham at 4.75 at VC Bet. Too big a price for the home win.

Birmingham (2.6) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3)
This is a must win game for Birmingham. They lost this fixture in the FA Cup 3 weeks ago. That was after the Carling Cup win though and Birmingham didn't put out their strongest team for that. No danger of McCleish putting out a weakened side this game. Last game, they lost to a stoppage time goal at Wigan 2-1. Bolton are in that no mans land now. Their league season is over. They only have the FA Cup to play for now. Last round they really should have gone for the win at Manchester United when United were down to ten men but they some how managed to lose it. Away form hasn't been that good all season with just 2 wins. They did managed to get some cracking away results in the FA Cup though. I will be backing Birmingham here. It's a team that must win against a team that doesn't have to. 2.6 at PaddyPoweris a great price I think.

Everton (1.89) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (4.5)
Everton have quietly been picking up points and are now up to 8th on 40 points. 10 points from the last 4 game. Top scorer Saha will be out of this game as to will be Arteta. Cahill is a doubt which if he doesn't play will be a massive blow. I can't work out why Villa are looking at relegation as a possibility. On paper, they should be above Everton but for some reason they are 1 point above the relegation zone. No team with Bent, Downing and Young should be fighting relegation. Last game they lost against Wolves 1-0 was in part due to their make shift defence. Looks like they regular defence will be back for this game. Looking at the odds, I can see backing Villa as the only option. Everton have blown hot and cold all season and really shouldn't ever be odds on. Villa at 4.5 at PaddyPower is my bet.

Newcastle United (2.08) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4)
Newcastle were thumped last round 4-0 at Stoke. The international break would have been great for them. On 36 points they are fairly safe but their form under Pardew hasn't been good at all. Selling Carroll to Liverpool might have made financial sense but it has left them looking weak upfront with Ameobi and Lovenkrands upfront. Wolves took a big step towards Premiership safety with a 1-0 win at Villa. They played well and deserved that result. That's 8 points from the last 12 they've managed. A big blow for them will be loss of top scorer Doyle though. Ebanks-Blake will start up front instead. I think this is going to be an X2 game. I don't see Newcastle winning this. I'm going to go for a draw. All previous Premiership games between these teams have ended in draws so why not another one? The draw is 3.5 at bet365

Stoke (5.8) Draw (3.8) Chelsea (1.73)
Stoke were looking like they could get sucked in to the relegation battle but a 4-0 spanking of Newcastle has put them more or less safe now. Their league season, as with Bolton, might be over. They only really have the FA Cup to play for. Saying that, there is some pride at stake here. Stoke have lost all 5 Premiership games against Chelsea. Chelsea are back in to the title contention after a run of 3 wins. They are 9 points behind Manchester United with 9 games to go but they do have a game in hand over United. I am not totally convinced though. Torres still isn't playing great and they didn't manage to beat Copenhagen in the Champions League. They didn't need to win that game but really they should have if they are challenging for the title. Then there is the question of Manchester United on Wednesday. That's where their focus will be on. I think they'd rather progress in that then put their efforts into a faint title hope. I can't be backing Chelsea at those odds. I don't think they'll lose the game though, so by elimination, its going to be the draw. Its 3.8 at VC Bet.

West Brom (3.2) Draw (3.35) Liverpool (2.4)
West Brom managed to get a 2-2 draw from Arsenal. Due to poor defending on Arsenal's side, West Brom found themselves 2-0 up. They were dominated though should consider themselves lucky to have gotten the point. That keeps their unbeaten record intact under Hodgson and more importantly keeps them a point above the relegation zone. Liverpool have been great under Daglish and 4th place is actually a possibility but more likely, they'll pip Spurs to 5th place. With Carroll and Suarez they have a strike force that is feared. Gerrard looks like he'll be back for this game too. I don't think Liverpool will gift West Brom the goals that Arsenal did and therefore will win this game. Liverpool are 2.4 at William Hill.

Wigan (3.3) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.44)
Wigan scored a late goal last round to beat Birmingham. They still sit rock bottom of the table though but are still within 2 points of safety but with their goal difference its more like 3 points. They have a fully fit side with their top scorer Rodallega back. Wigan do play some nice football but its just the last 3rd that lets them down. Spurs have stumbled a bit in the league. I don't know how that game against West Ham last round stayed 0-0. Chances at both ends but neither side could put the ball away. Bale will not be playing in this game as Redknapp has one eye on Real Madrid on Tuesday. That explains why the price is so high on Spurs. I would have expected about even money. Tricky one to call this, I am just going to leave it betting wise. If Wigan were 4.0+ I might have been tempted but at the odds available I can't really see anything worth backing.

Arsenal (1.29) Draw (6.5) Blackburn (15)
Arsenal will want to put March behind them. Practically everything that could have gone wrong did. Last round, some comical goal keeping put them 2-0 down at West Brom. They managed to pull it back to 2-2 but dropped 2 vital points in the title race. The break has done them good with Walcott, Song, Fabgregas and Diaby will all be back from injury. Blackburn came back from 2-0 down too last round. That was at home to Blackpool though so they'll see that result as 2 points dropped rather than a point earned. They are in serious danger of going down. They built their points at home but just not getting anything now. I can see this being a nightmare game for Blackburn. The last two times this fixture finished 6-2 and 4-0. I can see at least a 2 goal victory here. I'll go for Arsenal -2 on the Asian Handicap at 2.21 at VC Bet. A 3 goal victory is needed to payout and a 2 goal victory returns stakes.

3rd April 2011

Fulham (1.6) Draw (4.4) Blackpool (6)
Fulham have more or less kept themselves out of the relegation zone with their recent home form. Out of 5 games, they have picked up 13 points and only dropped points against Chelsea. A win here will put them on 38 points and safety I think. Blackpool were just minutes from taking all 3 points at Blackburn last round. That might just be down to Blackburn being in totally shocking form though. Charlie Adam's return was a big boost with him scoring both their goals. He took a knock on international duty but is back to play this game. I think Fulham will win this but the odds are extremely poor. You really don't want to be backing Fulham at 1.6 against anyone, especially Blackpool who have sprung a fair number of surprises this season away from home. I am going to go for the over 2.5 goals market. Coral have over 2.5 goals at 1.67. Blackpool can score goals but leak them even more. I'd be very surprised if this game stayed unders.

Manchester City (1.54) Draw (4.2) Sunderland (7.5)
City were disappointing against Chelsea last round. They really missed Tevez who will be back for this game. He hasn't been in great form of late but his presence will lift the whole team no doubt. City will be thankful that 4th place rivals Spurs have been slipping up so there's not as much pressure on them. Sunderland's form has dipped massively. I thought they may have turned it around last round but they were poor against Liverpool. That's 3 games now without scoring. They have only scored 33 all season which puts them in the bottom 3 on the goals scored table. City keep it tight at home so I can't see Sunderland scoring here. My bet here will be City to win to nil. Its 2.4 at Coral.

Euro 2012 Qualifier

Fri, 25 Mar 2011 13:50:40 +0000
Wales (9.0) Draw (4.75) England (1.4)
England visit the Millennium Stadium in which could have been a tricky fixture. With Spurs midfielder Gareth Bale out their chances of causing an upset are very slim. Even with Bale they'd have little chance. The gulf in class is too much.

Wales are currently ranked 115 in the world in between Iceland and Luxembourg. They are bottom of the qualifying group with 3 losses out of 3 and only scoring the single goal. It looks like they are going to be the whipping boys of this group. They have a few Premiership players but only captain A Ramsey plays for a top team. Bellamy could cause some problems with his pace but he's getting old now.

More complaints about how Capello went about selecting the captain the wrong way. I think Terry is the logical choice and will make England stronger. England are second in the group but have played a game less than the leaders, Montenegro. Capello hasn't named the team that will start yet but no doubt whoever he puts out will be able to beat Wales. Rooney will probably start up front with one of Defoe, Carroll, Bent or Crouch.

Odds for England have fallen since the withdrawal of Bale. They were 1.5 but now are only 1.4. I have gone for the win to nil at 2.2 at VC Bet though. I can't see Wales scoring and England should win. Better to be wrong on a 2.2 bet than a 1.4 bet.

Premiership Weekend 19th - 20th 2011

Fri, 18 Mar 2011 18:49:16 +0000

19th March 2011

Tottenham (1.62) Draw (4.2) West Ham (6.5)
Spurs have had a nice rest after drawing 0-0 at home to get through to the quarter finals of the Champions League. At this stage of the season they'll be loving the rest. They find themselves outsiders for qualifying for next years Champions League so they must win this to keep the pressure on Chelsea and City. West Ham were knocked out of the FA Cup last weekend by Stoke. They didn't play well at all. Their goal was helped by a blatant handball which the referee didn't see. All this talk of a resurgent West Ham looked like hot air. If you look at it, their results have come at home and away they have been poor. First half against West Brom last month, they were 3-0 down at half time. I do like the odds on the home win. I'm not going to go for that though. I think over 2.5 goals at 1.73 at bet365 is a better bet. I can see West Ham scoring so its effectively the same bet.

Aston Villa (1.91) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (4.5)
Villa have had a big break from football. Its makes Houllier's decision to rest players in the FA Cup game against City look stupid. They lost the next game to Bolton 3-2. From the match reports, it looked like Bolton only had 3 good chances and scored them all. Villa played extremely well and should have taken all 3 points. Villa do have a quality side and really should be on more than 33 points. Wolves have been on a great run of form. They still sit in the bottom 3 though and are in serious danger of going down. Their recent revival has come at home and away they are still losing. Their away record this season is 1-2-11. I think Villa will win but again I will go for over 2.5 goals instead. Its 1.83 at Betfred. Lots of overs games this season and upsets.

Blackburn (1.85) Draw (3.8) Blackpool (4.5)
Blackburn are in serious danger of going down. Only 1 point from their last 6 games. They maybe should have got a point from Fulham but still, they are showing relegation form. The owners will definitely be regretting sacking big Sam now. Blackpool are looking good for relegation too. They do have the advantage of captain Charlie Adam back for this game though. They have really missed him but leading goal scorer DJ Campbell is still suspended. Betting wise, I can't be backing Blackburm at odds on. It makes no sense. They are both on 32 points with Blackburn ahead on goal difference. Blackpool have had more success away from home than at home. I think that 4.5 is too big a price for them (last time I said that they lost 4-0 at Wolves). I'll still go with the Blackpool away win though. Its 4.5 a bluesquare.

Manchester United (1.45) Draw (4.6) Bolton (9.5)
After 2 league defeats, Manchester United will be glad to get back home in the Premier League. 13 wins and 1 draw show that Old Trafford is a fortress. They won their last 2 home games in the Champions League and FA Cup. The Champions League game was tight to say the least but they got through that. Injuries are taking its toll on the side though. The main worry is the defense where Ferdinand and Vidic are both out. Bolton are in no mans land in the league now. The won't go down and with no chance of getting in to Europe through the league. They are did manage to get past Birmingham in the FA Cup last weekend in a very close game. They have Stoke in semi-final which I can see them winning, so they just have to beat whichever Manchester team to win the FA Cup this season. I don't think they'll be too bothered about this game. Manchester United should win this comfortably. Its another game where I am going for overs rather than the home in though. With the make shift defense that Manchester United have, they look like they will concede. 3 or more goals is 1.67 at bluesquare.

Stoke (2.25) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (3.75)
Stoke got in to the semi final of the FA Cup by defeating West Ham 2-1 last weekend. This was perfect revenge for the 3-0 thrashing the week before. Stoke looked good, missed a penalty and West Ham's goal should have been disallowed. They know they are not safe yet so need a result here. Newcastle are a strange side. You look at them and you wonder where they are going to get their goals from but they still manage to score. The defeat to Everton last round was their first loss in 5. On 36 points they are probably safe now. Their fixture list is fairly easy from now on. I will put my money on Stoke then. I saw enough last weekend to believe they have the winning mentality back at the Britannia. Stoke are 2.25 at PaddyPower.

West Brom (5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.85)
Hodgson has turned around West Brom's fortune a little. On the slide when he took over, they are unbeaten under his management. 3 draws and an excellent win last round away at Birmingham. The sit just a point above the relegation zone though and still are in danger of going down. This game is all about Arsenal though. They probably have had the worst 2 weeks of the season. First they lose in the Carling Cup final. They then drop a couple of points at home to Sunderland. They go out of the Champions League at Barcelona and then go to Old Trafford to get beat 2-0 by United's B side. Do they have the character to pick themselves up and get on with winning the league? With Manchester United still playing in 3 competitions this could Arsenal's year. They are 3 points behind with a game in hand. I think the price on Arsenal has to be taken. I am pretty sure if this was earlier in the season it'd be about 1.5. Arsenal win at 1.85 at William Hill for me.

Wigan (2.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.75)
With only 9 games left, things are looking bleak for Wigan. Its win or go down I think for them. Their last 3 fixtures have been pretty tough and this one looks winnable for them. I saw their last game against City and Wigan did look good. It was only a goal keeping error that allowed City to win 1-0. Birmingham were knocked out of the FA Cup last weekend. From the reports it sounded like they wanted the win and it was only a stoppage time goal that knocked them out. Back in the league though, Birmingham haven't been playing well. They drew at Everton which I suppose its a good result but they lost at home to Newcastle and West Brom. They are games they should be winning at home. I will take a chance on Wigan here. I think if they lose they will go down so they will be much more motivated than Birmingham. Wigan win is 2.25 at PaddyPower
.

Everton (2.05) Draw (3.3) Fulham (4.33)
Everton's mini run of wins came to an end with the match against Birmingham. They were poor and were fortunate to get away with a 1-1 home draw. Bad times on the injury front for Everton. Artea and Fellaini are definitely out and Cahill and Neville are doubtful. They are probably Everton's most influential players. Fulham took all 3 points from Blackburns visit last game. It was a late and controversial goal though and a draw would have been a fairer result. Looking at their recent form, they have drawn a hell of a lot of games and only the 1 away win all season. I'll pick this bet on a process of elimination. Can't back Everton because of the injuries. Can't back Fulham because they don't win away from home. That leaves the draw at 3.3 at PaddyPower.

20th March 2011

Sunderland (2.75) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.8)
Sunderland stopped their 4 run losing streak with a 0-0 draw at Arsenal. That should have been a loss too if it were not for some bad refereeing decisions. They are missing Darren Bent's goals so much. The good news is that Cattermole is going to be back which will boost their team. Liverpool were knocked out of the Europa League Thursday after only being able to get a 0-0 draw at home to Braga. This is the team that Arsenal beat 6-0 earlier on in the season. Maybe King Kenny's bubble has burst. With no Gerrard they struggle. Carroll will take some time to fit in to the Liverpool system. This a tricky game to call. I will go with Sunderland though. They haven't played for 2 weeks and should be better prepared and fresher. Sunderland are 2.75 at VC Bet.

Chelsea (1.73) Draw (3.8) Manchester City (6)
Chelsea were the bookies friend midweek when they drew 0-0 to Copenhagen. They didn't need to win but the number of chances they missed was unbelievable. Torres and Essien didn't start and only came on as substitutes. I can see both of them starting this game with Anelka dropped up front. City were knocked out of the Europa league despite winning 1-0 at home. Balotelli was sent off in the first half which didn't help things. I think Mancini will set up not to lose this game. At bit like the 0-0 at Arsenal a few weeks ago. A draw would probably suit City too. They'd be 6 points above Spurs but with a much better goal difference. City have actually won the last 3 league encounters against Chelsea but I can't see it this time. Last time City won away from home was way back in December at Newcastle. The draw is 3.8 at VC Bet.

FA Cup weekend betting tips

Fri, 11 Mar 2011 17:28:24 +0000
12th 13th March 2011
12th March 2011

Birmingham (3) Draw (3.3) Bolton (2.6)
Birmingham have had cup success already by beating Arsenal. They still not safe in the league though. They lost 3-1 at home to West Brom the weekend after and then got a respectable midweek draw at Everton. I have read reports that McLeish isn't going to be putting out the full side for this game. They sit above the relegation zone only on goal difference and with West Ham climbing, league survival is more important than the FA Cup. Bolton on the other hand are looking at safe upper mid table. With Birmingham winning the Carling Cup 7th won't be enough to play in Europe so the FA Cup is not only silverware but also their best chance to get in to Europe next year. Bolton did go to fortress Craven Cottage in this competition and win 1-0 to get this far. I'm going for Bolton here, 2.6 at Totesport is the best price. This would be low for the league but given that Birmingham seem like they are not interested in this game, its an excellent price.

Manchester United (2) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (4)
Tough times for both these teams who sit first and second in the Premier League. Two league defeats for Manchester United at Chelsea and Liverpool have put Arsenal back in it. The performance at Liverpool was worrying because it was poor. At Chelsea, it was Chelsea's brilliance but Liverpool outclassed Manchester United. Arsenal dropped 2 points last weekend against Sunderland. Maybe some referee decisions went against them but they should be beating Sunderland at home. Midweek was a disaster for Arsenal in Barcelona. It didn't help that Van Persie was sent off softly but for 50 minutes or so it was 11 vs 11 and Arsenal didn't have a shot on goal. Their confidence must have taken a big blow. Only 19 year old Jack Wilshere shone but he's not going to be able to carry the team. No Fabregas, Walcott or song in midfield. Van Persie will be playing but I don't think that Arsenal can get anything here even with their top striker fit. Even money at bluesquare for the Manchester United win is my bet.

13th March 2011

Stoke (2.2) Draw (3.5) West Ham (3.75)
Stoke are on a bit of a slide at the moment, well away from home. They were thrashed last weekend 3-0 by West Ham. The worrying thing is the week before they were terrible against West Brom and could have easily lost it at the end. They had won the previous 3 home games though. West Ham are back in the relegation zone despite their recent run of good form. Its tight down at the bottom and Stoke only sit 3 points above West Ham despite being in 12th place. I can see West Ham getting out of the relegation battle though with their current squad. They do have some quality players and its just taken Grant longer than expected to get them playing together. With regard to this game, its tricky. If last weekends game wouldn't have happened I'd be on West Ham but I have a theory that its hard to beat the same team twice in a short period of time. Stoke will be wanting revenge and are the home side. I will skip this game betting wide. Neither of the results wouldn't be too surprising and I can't really see any value in the way the bookies have priced this one up.

Manchester City (1.4) Draw (5) Reading (9.2)
Manchester City had a tough fixture midweek in the Ukraine. They lost that 2-0. Thats a blow for their Europa League hopes but Kiev is a tough place to play in and they weren't expected to get anything from that. Whats more worrying is the recent form. Last weekend against Wigan they weren't that good even though they won 1-0. If Wigan had that bit extra in the final 3rd they could have easily won that as Wigan kept the ball really well with some slick passing. Reading knocked out a poor Everton in the last round to get here. From what I read, it was the most shocking Everton performance of the season. Reading are just outside a play off place now but may be hitting form at the right time. The thing is, there is a gulf of class between the Premiership and the upper middle of the Championship. If this was a league match against one of the bottom 10 of the Premiership, you'd expect these types of odds but as Reading are a Championship side, I like the 1.4. I'm sticking with that but also see there being a lot of value in the City winning to nil at 2.2 at bluesquare. Its paid off many times at home for Manchester City but I just a feeling that Reading may score this game.

Premiership Weekend 5th - 7th 2011

Fri, 04 Mar 2011 18:41:24 +0000

5th March 2011

Birmingham (2.40) Draw (3.3) West Brom (3.4)
Birmingham upset quite a few punters with them beating Arsenal in the Carling Cup final last weekend. It wasn't a fluke either, Birmingham thoroughly deserved to win. Arsenal should have been down to 10 men within the first few minutes. Martins looked good when he came on and should really be starting this game. West Brom also upset a few punters by getting a draw at Stoke. In a dull game, they left it late to get the equaliser and probably could have won it at the end. Looking at the odds, I find it bizarre that the Birmingham odds are so high. Maybe its because it's a derby game but I find it hard to believe that Birmingham aren't odds on here. West Brom have been terrible away from home. No win in their last 6 away games. Birmingham win is 2.5 at William Hill.

Arsenal (1.50) Draw (4.33) Sunderland (8.5)
Big setback for Arsenal last weekend losing in the Carling Cup. Arsenal didn't play too badly but were caught out at the back too often. Birmingham did play an excellent game though and their keeper got man of the match. Van Persie will be out for this game as well as Walcott and Fabragas. Big misses for them. Bendtner can step up to the mark though and Wilshere looks great in midfield. Sunderland have lost their last 4 league games. Injuries are taking their toll on the squad. They were terrible against Everton last weekend. I do like the look of Arsenal here. I know they have Barcelona midweek in the crucial game but they can win the league if they win all their remaining fixtures. They have suffered set backs too at the Emirates but I think last week's loss has made the team stronger. I just can't see them dropping points here to an out of form Sunderland side. You can get 1.5 at PaddyPower for the Arsenal win.

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (3.3)
Bolton managed a 1-1 draw at Newcastle last weekend. Loan signing Sturridge scoring the goal. Their regular strikers, Elmander and Davis aren't scoring like they used to. A win here could see Bolton leapfrog Liverpool. All the talk about Villa is about the weakened side Houiller put out against City in the FA Cup. Bent was cup tied anyway but there was no need to make that many changes. They got beat 3-0 in that game but it wasn't Villa's first team. Last weekend they beat Blackburn 4-1 with Young scoring a couple. This is one of those games that has draw written all over it. The draw is 3.4 at Totesport.

Fulham (1.75) Draw (3.8) Blackburn (5.6)
Fulham got a great point at City last weekend. Hughes has them well organised now. Only 1 defeat in 8 and that was a 1-0 defeat at Liverpool. 4 draws in that run though. They are on the up. Blackburn are on the same number of points. They did play well at Villa last weekend and only lost it in the second half. Blackburn do have a terrible away record though. Its 3-1-10 with 2 of those wins back when Big Sam was manager. I would say Fulham should win this but not betting on them at 1.75. Should be odds against. Maybe something like 2.2. They have drawn their last 3 games and are playing a team on the same number of points as them. The draw at 3.8 at VC Bet is much better value than the Fulham win.

Newcastle United (2.62) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.88)
Newcastle are doing fine since selling their leading striker to Liverpool. No defeat in the last 4, 3 draw and a win. They actually sit 3 points above Everton. Everton were knocked out of the FA Cup midweek. The played terribly against Reading, a mid table Championship side. They beat Sunderland previously though but that was probably more due to a dire performance from Sunderland than quality from Everton. They only seem to be able to raise their game against the very top teams. The odds here are puzzling. I'd have thought that Newcastle would be shorter than this. I don't see Everton doing much away from home. To be safe, I will go Newcastle draw no bet at William Hill. Its 1.91.

West Ham (2.25) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.6)
West Ham were brilliant last weekend against Liverpool. After many false dawns I really think they have turned the corner and will pull themselves out of the relegation zone. Carlton Cole came off the bench last weekend to make sure of the victory in stoppage time. Just shows how much stronger the West Ham strikers are now. Stoke played probably their worst game of the season last week against West Brom. It was a dull game but 1 nil up, they let West Brom back in with a soft goal and then could have lost it in injury time. Stoke have never been good away from home and I don't think they can get anything here. They've lost the last 5 away on the bounce and this should be number 6. West Ham for me at 2.25 at William Hill.

Manchester City (1.4) Draw (5) Wigan (10.5)
City are well out of the title race now. The defeat at Manchester United probably did it to them but last weekend's draw against Fulham made sure. They just need to concentrate on getting in the top 4 now to get in to the Champions League. Tevez didn't start against Villa in the midweek FA Cup game so should be fresh for this. Wigan were thrashed 4-0 by Manchester United last weekend. The score looks worse than it was. Wigan were playing well but once they went down they needed to chase the game and Manchester United countered well. Wigan's away form isn't that bad overall. Just too many draws. They are bottom of the league for a reason though. I can see City winning this and they usually keep it tight at the back. City to win to nil is 2.38 at bluesquare (compared with 1.8 at William Hill). This bet didn't come in last weekend but would have come in the last 4 games in all competitions. You are getting a much better price than 1.4 for the straight win. I can't see Wigan scoring.

6th March 2011

Liverpool (2.93) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (2.63)
Liverpool were terrible against West Ham last weekend. Well and truly outclassed. It shows that Dalglish has a lot of work to do. At home though, Liverpool have been a lot better. Carroll could play some part in this game as he approaches full fitness. With Gerrard not in form, they do need a goal scorer. What can I say about Manchester United against Chelsea. Manchester United played their best away from home all season and still got beat. Nothing wrong with the United performance. Chelsea just came out second half a different team, stuck in there and got a soft penalty to win the game. Influential caption Vidic will be out suspended for this game so that'll be a blow, especially as Evra and Ferdinand look out too. I do have a feeling for Liverpool here. I've been saying all season that United haven't been playing well but winning. This is a grudge match for Liverpool. It was Dalglish's first game in charge against United when they lost 1-0 in the FA Cup at Old Trafford. I'd like to keep the draw on my side though so Liverpool +0 on the Asian Handicap (money back if it's a draw) is my bet. It's 2.05 at bet365.

Wolverhampton (3.0) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.50)
Wolves seems to be getting their act together now, at home at least. Last weekend, they thrashed Blackpool 4-0. Blackpool were reduced to 10 men but the result wouldn't have been any different if it was 11 vs 11. That's 3/4 victories now at home, which include wins over Chelsea and Manchester United. Spurs haven't played for a couple of weeks after their game last weekend was postponed. The weekend before then they had that disastrous trip to Blackpool where they lost 3-1. On another day it could have been 3-6 with all the chances Spurs created but they didn't put enough of them away. They do miss Bale and Van der Vaart who probably will miss this game too. They have the return leg of their Champions League tie against AC Milan next week too. They won the first leg 1-0 so have the away goal. A win here will probably be more important than a win against Milan. Extremely tricky fixture to call as none of the results would be surprising. I will go for an over bets then. Over 2.5 goals is 2.05 at Totesport. Both team really need the win here so I expect to see goals.

7th March 2011

Blackpool (11) Draw (6) Chelsea (1.33)
Blackpool really missed Charlie Adam last weekend against Wolves. They went down 4-0 but did have a man sent off too. Unfortunately that man they had sent off was DJ Campbell who has probably been their second most influential player this season and so will be out for this game. With their two best players out for this game, I can't really see them getting anything out of this. Chelsea at 1.33 is low but when you look at their second half performance against Manchester United, you can see why. It was 4-0 at Stanford Bridge earlier in the season. I can see a similar result here. Chelsea to win to nil is 2.38 at bluesquare is my bet.

Premiership Weekend 26th - 28th February 2010

Fri, 25 Feb 2011 18:16:58 +0000

26th February 2011

Aston Villa (1.8) Draw (3.75) Blackburn (5.1)
A resurgent Villa couldn't beat Blackpool a couple of weeks ago. That result did cost me but looking at what Blackpool did to Spurs, 1-1 there might not have been a bad result. Villa could leapfrog Blackburn with a win here. Blackburn have been inconsistent this season. They aren't very good away from home though, going 3-1-9. The few draws is interesting. I am not happy with the odds on Villa here. They should not be odds on against Blackburn. They are probably a better side but Villa have only won 2 league games in their last 10. Villa win for me but I don't think the price is good enough. I would rather go for the over 2.5 goals at William Hill at 1.91. Villa have only kept 1 clean sheet in their last 17 league games so if they win, they will have to score 2 goals at least.

Everton (1.75) Draw (3.75) Sunderland (5.25)
Everton may still be on a high from the FA Cup result. They knocked out Chelsea after a penalty shootout. Thats the thing with Everton this season. You can be sure they will put up a good performance against a big team but not as sure when they play an average team. Sunderland have lost their last 3 games on the bounce. Nothing really to be ashamed of given the teams they played. It used to be that backing against Sunderland when they played away from home was a certain way to make money. Its not as easy this season though where they have gone 3-5-5 away from home. I would certainly not be backing Everton at 1.75 here. Its far too low. The safe bet would be Sunderland on the handicap. +1 on the 1X2 Handicap you can get 2.1 at Bet365 but I am going for the straight Sunderland win. Its 5.5 at VC Bet

Newcastle United (2.15) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
Tricky fixture to call this one. Both teams blow hot and cold. Just when you thought that Newcastle had no firepower they knock 4 past Arsenal, then fail to score against Blackburn but then score 2 at Birmingham. Bolton have been keeping in FA Cup action with 2 great away wins against Fulham and Wigan. In the last league game, they beat a poor Everton side 2-0. They have kept 4/5 clean sheets in all games, only conceding 2 at Spurs. I don't really know which way to call this. I think it will be low scoring though so maybe under 2.5 goals is the bet to have. It's 1.8 at bluesquare.

Wigan (7) Draw (4) Manchester United (1.6)
Wigan haven't had such a bad run of form lately. They knocked 4 past Blackburn to win 4-3 and last league game, they managed to get a point from Anfield after going a goal down fairly early. Manchester United are wobbling a bit. The first league loss of the season against Wolves was a blow but then they have had a couple of bad performances in the cup competitions too. Admittedly, they haven't been playing their strongest side every game but still, you'd expect better performances from their second side. Practically any other team and I would be backing against United here but it's Wigan. They've never managed to get even a point against Manchester United. Its as if they just roll over. I think an overs bet would be much better than a straight Manchester United win. It's 1.91 at William Hill. Overall 69% of United's games have had 3 or more goals in them so its great that you are practically getting even money for it.

Wolverhampton (1.8) Draw (3.8) Blackpool (4.75)
Could be the pivotal game in Wolves season this. Rock bottom of the table, these are the types of games they must win to be able stay up. Wolves did shock everyone with that win over Manchester United. Since then, they have had a couple of away games where they were unlucky not to get 3 points from West Brom. Just when you thought that Blackpool were on the way down, they pull a 3-1 win against Spurs. Not a clue how they did that. Spurs had more chances but none were absolute sitters. Blackpool well deserved that midweek win. They will be without their captain and best player Charlie Adam so maybe thats why the price is so high here on Blackpool. I still can't ignore the fact that you are getting 4.75 on Blackpool in this game though. Maybe Wolves will win this game but 4.75 is a price you can't ignore for a team that has a 5-2-7 away record. Time and time again, Wolves have been a let down and Blackpool have suprised. 4.75 at VC Bet.

27th February 2011

West Ham (3.6) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.27)
West Ham have scored 8 goals in the last 135 minutes of play. 5 of those were against Burnley in the FA Cup but still, it shows they have found their scoring boots. Carlton Cole is in scoring form at the moment which is what you need when you are in a relegation battle. Liverpool, have been climbing the table with their good run of form. It does seem to have slowed down a little though. Their last few performances haven't been great. 1-1 at home to Wigan, 0-0 away to Sparta Prague and then 1-0 at home to Sparta Prague. Not sure that Liverpool should be such favourites when you look at their overall form. West Ham are improving and they are the home side. 3.6 is too good a price to miss on this one. West Ham for me at bluesquare.

Manchester City (1.57) Draw (4.2) Fulham (8)
City have had a couple of phenomenal cup results, beating Notts County 5-0 and Aris Thessaloniki 3-0. League form has been a bit patchy of late though. They really could have done with beating Manchester United as United haven't been playing great and were there for the taking. Some injury concerns for Mancini but City's squad is big and should have enough quality to put out a decent side. Fulham's recent run of form has put them in a position where they are almost safe from relegation. They could have actually beat Chelsea, a fortnight again, was it not for Cech saving an injury time penalty. It was disappointing that Bolton knocked them out of the FA cup last weekend but there was nothing wrong with their performance. Was it a blip or the start of a dip in form? Hard to tell in this crazy season. City should win this. Not convinced of the odds though. Looking at the win to nil odds though, its 2.5 at bluesquare. Thats not a bad price. Hughes will go there not to lose, rather than attack, so I can see City nicking just a goal or two.

28th February 2011

Stoke (1.95) Draw (3.5) West Brom (4.5)
Stoke did really well against Arsenal midweek. They went down to an early goal but held firm and the game ended 1-0. To be fair to Arsenal, Stoke really didn't look like scoring until the end when they pushed up but still a great performance for Stoke overall in a difficult fixture. At home, Stoke are looking at their 4th home win on the bounce. They have managed to beat Everton, Bolton and Sunderland in their last 3 games. West Brom didn't get the new manager boost they wanted last weekend when they needed a late Vela goal to get a point from Wolves. I really can't see West Brom getting anything from here. 5 straight away defeats for West Brom and Hodgson isn't known for managing teams that play well away from home. Stoke all day for me. 1.95 at VC bet.

Get a £25 matched bet at VC Bet,

FA Cup picks 19th - 21st February

Fri, 18 Feb 2011 18:06:49 +0000

19th February 2011

Chelsea (1.6) Draw (4) Everton (6.5)
Bad times for Chelsea. They were lucky to have escaped from Fulham with a point after, Fulham were awarded a stoppage time penalty which Cech saved. Chelsea were all set up wrong. Torres is cup tied so it looks like Ancelotti will play the strike force that was winning them games. That might be a blessing in disguise as Torres hasn't been performing. Everton were extremely poor against Bolton last weekend. They surely must improve for this game. They do seem to like playing Chelsea at the Bridge though. 5 straight league draws there but there have been a couple of defeats in cup competitions 2-1. 1.6 isn't a price you want to be backing Chelsea at nowadays. In the past that would have been printing money but this Chelsea team might not even make top 4 this year. Everton +1 on the Asian Handicap at 1.88 looks great at Bet365. Chelsea do have the potential to win this by more than 2 goals but I think an Everton win or draw is more likely. A 1 goal win by Chelsea returns the bet.

Birmingham (1.7) Draw (3.8) Sheffield Wednesday (6.2)
I can't see why Sheffield Wednesday are given any chance here. They have been absolutely shocking this season in League 1 and have recently changed manager. It hasn't made any difference to their form though. They are still losing games in League 1. Birmingham have been inconsisent this year but so have many Premiership sides. They lost 2-0 to Newcastle midweek at home. I can't see how they can lose another game here. I am puzzled by the 1.7 at William Hill for the Birmingham win. I'd take that bet all day.

Manchester United (1.09) Draw (12) Crawley (36)
Not much to say about this game. I don't think Ferguson will play the big guns but still, there will still be a strong side. Manchester United are going to win so its just a case of looking for good bets. Manchester United to win to nil is 1.57 at Skybet or roughly the same bet is 'both teams team score', no at 1.53 at Bet365. Covers all the same scores as the win to nil bet but also gives you the 0-0, and 0-1 scores.

20th February 2011

Manchester City (1.22) Draw (7) Notts Co (15)
Another totally one sided game here. City will be taking this game a bit more seriously than they have done with the last few FA Cup games. The league is beyond them now and so the FA Cup is probably the best chance of silverware they have this season. City to win to nil is 1.91 at Bet365.

Leyton Orient (11) Draw (6) Arsenal (1.3)

The third one sided fixture of this FA Cup weekend. Arsenal will be on a high after their win over Barcelona. That could also be a disadvantage though. Will they be up for this game? I think so but its possible they won't be very committed to winning this. After all, they could just play for a draw, take them back to the Emirates and knock them out there. Arsenal to win to nil here is 2.25 at Paddypower.

21th February 2011

West Ham (2) Draw (3.75) Burnley (4.15)

West Ham were shocking last weekend against West Brom in the first half. 3-0 down, apparently a captain's talk by Parker motivated them to come out better second half and get a 3-3 draw. Burnley manager Eddie Howe has done a great job since taking over from Brian Laws. They are only 5 points above a play off position. I am very surprised at the odds here. West Ham maybe be second bottom of the Premiership but they are in a false position I feel. Given the gulf in quality between the Championship and the Premiership, I am surprised you can even money for West Ham. Grant has been doing well in these cup competitions this year and maybe their good run in the Carling Cup is all that has kept him in a job. West Ham is 2.0 at VC Bet.

Premiership Weekend 12th - 14th February 2010

Fri, 11 Feb 2011 18:22:09 +0000

12th February 2011

Manchester United (1.83) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (4.75)
Manchester United went down to a shock defeat at Wolves last weekend. You could argue that it was going to come sooner or later as they have been playing badly and winning. It was only a matter of time before someone was going to punish them. The lack of goal scoring chances and some poor defending will also be a worry. City cruised passed West Brom last weekend 3-0, with a Tevez hattrick. Still not convinced about their away form though. A few weeks ago they went to Arsenal and set up for a 0-0 draw which they got, then they lost to Villa and drew at Birmingham. On paper they are an equal strength side to United. They can close the gap here to just 2 points with a win but United will still have a game in hand. There has never been a better time for City to challenge for the title and a win here would be priceless. I fear that Mancini may opt for the safe option though and firstly make sure he doesn't lose this game. A draw would actually suit both sides I think. That will be my bet. Its 3.75 at William Hill.

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (15)
What happened to Arsenal last weekend? 4-0 up and cruising. Even down to 10 men, you'd have thought they'd hang on. Guess not, game ended 4-4. A lot of players were involved in international duty midweek too. Wenger will have half an eye on the Barcelona game next week. I expect him to make a few changes. Last year, Arsenal were embarrassed by Barcelona and its looking likely it will happen again this year so maybe Wenger will not put out his strongest side for this Wolves game. Wolves upset Manchester United last weekend. They deserved the win though. Most teams going down so early to Manchester United may have just accepted it but Wolves battled on and were rewarded by their efforts. Strange set of results for Wolves against the big sides. They have managed to beat, Manchester City, Liverpool, Chelsea and Sunderland too. Can they add Arsenal to the list? Possibly but I'll not bet on it. Arsenal odds are pretty poor too. 1.25 is not a price you want on a team that threw away a 4-0 lead. my bet will be over 2.5 goals. Its 1.57 at VC Bet. Lots of goals at the Emirates this season and its more than twice the odds of a Arsenal straight win.

Birmingham (2.6) Draw (3.25) Stoke (3.1)
I didn't think that Birmingham would get anything from West Ham last weekend but they went there and took all 3 points. Zigic with the only goal of the game. Were in not for that, Birmingham would have been in the relegation zone. Birmingham may have actually got it together this season but their run of fixtures has just been awfully hard. Stoke came back from 2-1 down with 2 late goals to win 3-2 against Sunderland. Set pieces are their specialty and if they do score here, it will be from a set piece. I see this being a low scoring game. The reverse fixture this season was 3-2 to Stoke which I think was a blip. The previous 5 results were all under 2 goals. A low scoring this game would be my bet but the bookies have priced it too low. It 1.62 for under 2.5 goals. At that price I'd be more tempted to lay it than back it. I will instead opt for the draw at 3.25 at VC Bet but to be honest this is a tricky game and maybe best avoided for betting purposes.

Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.65)
Blackburn were involved in a crazy game last weekend going down 4-3 to Wigan. The week before, they were unlucky to lose to Spurs at home. Santa Cruz will be back for this game boosting their attack. Newcastle had an unbelievable game against Arsenal last weekend. 4-0 down at half time, they were written off. But a red card for Arsenal and 2 Newcastle penalties allowed them to get a point. I still can't believe it with thier strike force. This week they will have Shefki Kuqi who they signed on loan. I can't see Newcastle doing what they did last weekend again. Its Blackburn for me. They are strong at home and will want to put the disappointment of the last 2 narrow defeats behind them with a win here. Its 2.15 at VC Bet for a Blackburn win.

Blackpool (3.4) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (2.25)
Shocking result for Blackpool last weekend. They were 3-2 up and managed to lose the game 5-3. They just can't defend. I thought it was due to the fact that they chased games and got caught late but all they had to do was hold on to a lead. Thats 7 losses in the last 8 now with the only win against Liverpool when Liverpool were going through their rough patch. This is the Hull City of 2 years ago. Villa are looking a tidy side now. Despite only getting a draw in their last 2 games, you can look at their team and see match winners. Several of their team are in the England side including the 2 goal scorers Bent and Young. They will come in to this match with much more confidence after the win in Denmark. Great price on the away win IMO, 2.25 at PaddyPower.

Liverpool (1.39) Draw (5) Wigan (10.5)
Good run of form for Liverpool are on. That win against Chelsea wasn't a classic but they did contain Chelsea really well. It did look more likely that Liverpool would score the next goal at 1-0 than Chelsea. Thats 4 wins out of 4 now with 4 clean sheets. Wigan had the crazy 4-3 win over Blackburn last weekend but still are in the relegation zone. N'Zogbia and Rodallega can alway be counted on to get a goal. Looking at the odds, I don't see much value, in 1.39 for the Liverpool win. I don't really like the look of Wigan or the draw though. I was thinking about Liverpool to win to nil at 2.2 at bluesquare but thinking about it, I can see Wigan scoring a goal here. Both teams to score is 2.25 at William Hill. Either of those bets is more appealing than any of the 1X2 bets but my bet will be both teams to score.

West Brom (2) Draw (3.75) West Ham (4)
New manager for West Brom after the 3-0 defeat at Manchester City. Caretaker coach, Michael Appleton will be in charge for this game with Roy Hodgson taking over after that. West Brom have been on a massive downward spiral. Only 1 win and 1 draw in the last 9. The win was against Blackpool. West Ham were disappointing against Birmingham against Birmingham. Just when you thought they were getting it together, they go lose. Tricky one to predict this but the odds make it easy. I can't see how West Brom are even money here. I'd be wanting 6/4 at least. You can see the potential with West Ham there but with West Brom, you can't. The only reason I'd be even thinking of West Brom is the new manager boost but its not enough for me to want to back them at evens. West Ham for me at 4.0 at VC Bet.

Sunderland (2.75) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.77)
Two losses on the bounce for Sunderland from winning positions too. It'll be a worry for Bruce how they let these leads slip and have conceded 7 goals. On the plus side they have scored 2 in each of those games, and if they kept it a little tighter at the back, they could well have taken 6 points from those games. Spurs were a little fortunate last weekend with a stoppage time winner against Bolton and the game before they were fortunate to leave Blackburn with a 1-0 win. They say its a sign of a great side that can play badly and win but I see that as a weakness. Bale and Van Der Vaart will be out which while not a massive blow, will weaken their midfield. Redknapp has half an eye on next weeks Champions League game in Milan. I will go Sunderland here. They will want to make amends for the last 2 defeats, whereas Spurs have been fortunate in their last 2 wins and have their mind on other things. Its 2.75 at bet365 for the Sunderland win.

13th February 2011

Bolton (2.76) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.75)
Bolton deserved a point against Spurs last weekend. It was only a stoppage time goal that denied them the point and if referee decisions would have gone for them, they could have won the game. Quite a bad run of form on paper for Bolton, but if you look at the sides they have been up against, its not actually that bad. Maybe the 4-0 against Chelsea was a disaster but really nothing to be too concerned about. Everton came from 3-2 down against Blackpool to beat the 5-3, with Saha scoring 4 goals in total. At last, one of their strikers is performing. The trouble is that its Blackpool this was against. Far too many false dawns for Everton this season. Just when you think they will go on a run, the draw or lose. I don't think Bolton will lose this game and the odds are good enough for me to back the home win. Its 2.75 at VC Bet.

14th February 2011

Fulham (5.3) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.8)
Fulham seem to have turned Craven Cottage back in to a fortress. Since the last West Ham defeat, they have won, 3-0, 2-0 and 1-0. They are back to where they were last season, when Hodgson was managing them. Chelsea were disappointing against Liverpool to say the least. I don't think they had a single shot on target. Maybe playing Torres, Drogba and Anelka up front wasn't the best of ideas for Ancelotti. I did think that Chelsea were back to their old selves after scoring 4 in each of the previous 2 games but I guess the ineffective Torres has disrupted their system. Hard to imagine but I can see Torres maybe not starting this game. Looking at the odds, I would have to go for a 1X result. 1.8 for this Chelsea team is too low. It wouldn't surprise me if Chelsea did win 4-0 but then again, it wouldn't be that much of a surprise if Fulham won this 1-0. Fulham +1 on the 1X2 handicap is even money at bet365. That covers the home win and the draw which will be my bet.

Premiership Weekend 5th - 6th February 2010

Fri, 04 Feb 2011 19:02:10 +0000

5th February 2011

Stoke (2.15) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (4)
Stoke to come to this off the back of 2, 2-0 away losses. Stoke have never been that good away though and Tony Pulis has Etherington and Kenwyne Jones back for this game. They were both missing from the 2-0 midweek defeat against Liverpool. Maybe he had half an eye on this game which looks a winnable. Sunderland have won their last 2 away games. One was against a 10 man Villa though and the other to Blackpool. Not stellar opponents but it shows they can win away from home. Stoke have won their previous 2 home games 2-0 and I expect them to carry this on here. 2.15 is a reasonable price at William Hill for the Stoke win.

Aston Villa (2) Draw (3.5) Fulham (4.33)
Villa are a team that look like they are in false position. They should be moving up the table soon. 1-0 down at Old Trafford they didn't give up and at one stage looked like they could take a point. With all the team back, Villa are looking strong now. Fulham, have had a busy schedule and their squad is more limited than Villa's. They had an excellent result against Spurs (4-0) but I fear tiredness may affect them more than Villa. Howe win for me. It's 2.0 at William Hill.

Everton (1.5) Draw (4.75) Blackpool (8)
Everton took an early lead against Arsenal midweek but couldn't hang on to take any points. Everton seem to be able to up their game against the bigger teams. On another day they could have held on for a shock win. The thing about Blackpool is that they are not a top team and Everton don't seem to do well against poor teams. So strange that their recent victories have been against Manchester City and Spurs. Blackpool, may end up doing a Hull city of a couple of seasons ago. Only one win in 7 and they are sliding down the table. I will take a small bet on Blackpool here though. I've been burnt so many times by Everton to lowly teams, that its more profitable opposing them this season against weak team. Blackpool is 8.0 at VC Bet.

Manchester City (1.44) Draw (4.6) West Brom (9)
Slight dip in form for City. 3 games and no win, including a FA Cup game against lowly Notts County. 4th place might not be as assured as it was with Chelsea being back in form and a possible challenge from Spurs. Nothing wrong with the City side, they just don't have the consistency to challenge for the title this season. West Brom's wretched form continues. They equalised late midweek to salvage a point from Wigan. 6 losses in the last 8 games. Good news is that Odemwingie is back for West Brom. I can't see West Brom getting anything from here but I think it will be a close game with West Brom scoring. Therefore I prefer having over 2.5 goals. Its 1.62 at PaddyPower.

Newcastle United (5.6) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.7)
Good news for Newcastle on the financial front. No way was Andy Carroll worth £35 million but when Liverpool came knocking on their door they really had to sell. This has left them short up front though. Little danger of them going down though and they will have that money to strengthen the side next season. Arsenal have kept up the pressure on Manchester United, winning their last 3 games. I really can't see this Newcastle team troubling Arsenal. Arsenal are 1.7 at PaddyPower.

Tottenham (1.62) Draw (4) Bolton (6.5)
Spurs beat Blackburn 1-0 in what could have been a tricky fixture. There were times when it looked like Blackburn may have equalised but the Spurs defence held firm. That will have boosted their confidence after a bad patch. Bolton halted their bad run of form with a very late goal against Wolves. They could have easily lost that game too though, if Wolves had taken their chances. Spurs should be too strong for Bolton. 1.62 at VC Bet is a decent price. Bolton have been on the slide and Spurs have always looked strong at home.

Wigan (2.62) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3)
Wigan were pegged back by a late goal against West Brom. They looked like they were going to take all 3 points until the 79th minute. Wigan have been quite poor of late though and do deserve to be in that bottom 3. No win in 7 for them. Blackburn may have been a bit unlucky with the loss to Spurs. Crouch scored an early goal and Spurs hung on for the 1-0 win. I can't really pick a winner here. Maybe the draw then? Its 3.4 at Skybet but I'll probably just skip this one betting wise.

Wolverhampton (8.8) Draw (4.5) Manchester United (1.45)
Bottom vs top here. Wolves went down to a stoppage time goal at Bolton. Same story with Wolves, play well but lose. They did upset Chelsea last month 1-0 but since then 3 straight losses. Contrast this with Manchester United, who haven't been playing well but winning. Even their dodgy away form seems to have disappeared with them winning those now. Rooney may have found his scoring boots too. I quite like the look of Manchester United on the 1X2 Handicap. Its 2.3 at Bet365.

6th February 2011

West Ham (2.1) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (4)
Huge result for West Ham against Blackpool. Come the end of season its possible that Blackpool could end up being one of the teams going down. Robbie Keane scored on his debut too and will be looking to build on that. He's not had a great time since leaving Spurs the first time round but he may well get his form back. Birmingham had a great second half against Manchester City and salvaged a point. They are struggling this season though with only 4 wins and 2 of them against Blackpool. They seem to be going south whereas West Ham seem to have turned the corner at long last. You could see the team spirit there. Being the home side I expect them to win this and get revenge for the Carling Cup defeat. Its 2.1 at William Hill.

Chelsea (1.62) Draw (4.2) Liverpool (6)
An interesting game for so many reasons. Both teams come in to this off the back of 3 wins. One side's record is going to end. Chelsea have their scoring boots back, scoring 10 in the last 3 games. With Torres joining the Chelsea lineup, you can only see their goal tally going up. Liverpool have won their last 3 games, all with clean sheets. Wolves, Fulham and Stoke aren't the strongest of opposition though. New signing Suarez should start but I still don't think that the Liverpool front 3 are any match for the Chelsea front 3. Liverpool beat Chelsea 2-0 earlier in the season and this should be the revenge game. Not sure of the price though. I suppose that Chelsea have been about even money in this fixture over recent years. I suppose 1.62 is low but it'll be my bet.

Premiership Weekend Betting tips

Sat, 15 Jan 2011 00:54:23 +0000
15th - 16th January 2011
15th January 2011

Chelsea (1.3) Draw (6) Blackburn (13)
Chelsea were back to their winning ways last weekend but it was against a Championship side in the FA Cup. Lampard looks back to his scoring ways though and may be the one to drag Chelsea out of this slump. Whether they can do this in the league is a different matter though. They couldn't score at Wolves and had a crazy 3-3 draw against Villa. Things still not settle at Blackburn after Allardyce's departure. Some erratic form but their last game against Liverpool was a comfortable win. That might not be saying much given Liverpool's form but still, its a win for Blackburn, who really shouldn't be 9th in the table. 1.3 is far too low a price to be backing Chelsea at. If anything there is more value on the draw or away win. However, I still think Chelsea will win this. My old favourite Chelsea to win to nil bet is 2.0 at Totesport. Much better than backing them at 1.3 just to win.

Manchester City (1.35) Draw (5) Wolverhampton (12)
City are second in the league and look like they are the only serious contender for the title. They have just splashed out on a £27m striker in Edin Dzeko who may play some part in this game. Apart from that freak Everton result, they have had a decent home form, not conceding in any of the other 6 league games at home. They kept it tight at the Emirates and got a 0-0 there. Wolves have had some fantastic results of late. A win over Liverpool and Chelsea but a defeat to West Ham sandwiched in-between them. I've always thought that Wolves were unlucky and their skill doesn't reflect their league position. I can't see them getting anything here though. Odds of 1.35 are too short again though but you can 2.1 on the win to nil market at bluesquare.

Stoke (2.2) Draw (3.3) Bolton (4)
The Britania is not the fortress it once was. Last game they were good against Everton, winning 2-0 but losses against Blackpool and Fulham makes me not automatically put this down as a home win. Bolton are going through a little bit of a slump in form, especially away from home. They have lost their last 4 away games by a single goal. It took them to the 83rd minute to break down York City in the FA Cup. From a betting point of view this looks like one of those 1-1 games. Neither side are playing badly or particular well. A bit of a cop out but its the draw for me. Its 3.3 at Totesport.

West Brom (1.83) Draw (3.85) Blackpool (4.6)
West Brom are on a 5 game losing streak. Key injuries in defence have been costly for them. Olsson is serving a 1 match ban after getting sent off at Reading. This game must be all about Blackpool though, they are the true inspirational story of the Premiership this year. No one gave them a chance but they keep picking up points and look certain to stay up now. That win against Liverpool midweek was golden. 1 goal down after a few minutes, they stuck in their and won 2-1. With Blackpool's away form, I can't see why they are 4.6. They've gone to Stoke and Sunderland and won, and Manchester City where they lost 1-0. Looks like the bookies are pricing this up as if Blackpool are a relegation side still. 4.6 for the Blackpool win at VC Bet.

Wigan (2.64) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)
Wigan are in the relegation zone now. Not much at the bottom of the table and a win will allow Wigan to leapfrog Fulham who are currently in 14th. They will be boosted by the return of N'Zogbia after a 3 match ban. Fulham have had a little mini run, winning 2/3 and only losing 1-0 away to Spurs. Things were looking bleak for them at one stage. Johnson could return to the team after injury which will be good for Fulham. Looking at the previous 4 meetings here, its gone, 1-1, 0-0. 1-1. 0-0. Its looks like a draw to me anyway and it is the highest price on the coupon. It's 3.3 at Skybet.

West Ham (7.0) Draw (4.2) Arsenal (1.57)
Contrasting fortunes for these teams in the cup competitions. Whereas West Ham have been winning, Arsenal have been struggling. If you do take in to account the cup games and that 5-0 hammering at Newcastle, you could say West Ham are on a good run. Its one defeat in 7 games. Arsenal struggled against Championship teams Leeds and Ipswich in the cup competitions. Wenger usually puts out a weakened Carling Cup side but looking at the team against Ipswich it was pretty strong. Arsenal seem to have no plan B if they can't pass the ball in to the back of the goal. If West Ham shut up shop, they should be able to get a 0-0 easily. When they played earlier on in the season, only a late goal saved Arsenal's blushes, winning 1-0 in the 88th minute. I think 1.57 is way too short for Arsenal in this form. I'd be much more inclined to back West Ham at 7.0 at VC Bet than Arsenal.

16th January 2011

Birmingham (2.40) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.2)
Birmingham looked tired when they lost to Arsenal 3-0 at home. They have bounced back well though with a win against Blackpool. They did lose to West Ham in the Carling Cup but I don't think they deserved to, given their second half performance. David Bently on loan from Spurs will make his debut in this game. Villa sit in the bottom 3 at the moment. Something has gone wrong their with the team. They managed to lose 1-0 to Sunderland last home game. Last season you'd have jumped all over 3.2 on a Villa win, given their counter attacking set up but this year, they've lost 7 away from home. No Heskey or Young for this game either. My pick will be Birmingham win at 2.4 at bet365.

Sunderland (2.1) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (4)
Revenge for Sunderland maybe. Their 5-1 thrashing earlier on in the year at the hands of Newcastle was probably their second worse result of the season. Their worse result of the season must have been last weekend when they lost 2-1 at home to Notts County who are 16th in League 1. I see that as more humiliating for Bruce. A good couple of results prior though with the away win at 10 man Villa and a 3-0 home win against Blackburn. Newcastle were also dumped out of the cup by a lower league team. League 2's Stevenage knocked them out but that was away from home so its not as bad as Sunderland. They do come in to this on the back of 2 league wins though. A 5-0 against West Ham and a 1-0 against Wigan. I have a theory that ordinary teams struggle to win 3 on the bounce. Newcastle will slip up here setting wise, I will back Sunderland. Its 2.1 at PaddyPower.

Liverpool (2.3) Draw (3.35) Everton (3.6)
Not a great start for Dalglish. The FA Cup game was over as soon as Gerrard was sent off but the game against Blackpool was a disaster. 1-0 after a few minutes all they had to do was sit back and hit on the counter. They managed to lose that 2-1 due to some dreadful defending. The new manager bounce that Dalglish and Liverpool were hoping for has not materialised. Looking at their team, you can see why. Apart from Gerrard (who's out), Torres and Reina, they have a pretty ordinary side. Everton will be looking at this as a very winnable game. They will be without Cahill, their top scorer, but they did alright without him in the 2-1 win over Spurs. I can't be backing Liverpool against anyone at the moment. Its Everton for me, They managed to beat Manchester City a few weeks ago at Eastlands. 3.6 is a good price at VC Bet. .

Tottenham (2.88) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.63)
Spurs seem to have broken their bad form against the big teams with a win over Arsenal earlier in the season. I recall backing Manchester United back in October, saying that even with all the hype, Spurs just collapsed against the big teams. I think this time it will be different though. Manchester United are there for the taking. They have been winning games but not playing well at all. I cannot believe they are top of the table. It just shows how the quality of the Premiership has dipped this year. Looks like Rooney may be back in the team for Manchester United which is a big plus for Spurs in his form. All streaks must come to an end and I think Manchester United's non-losing streak this year will end here. I'm not brave enough to go for the straight win though. Its 2.1 for Spurs draw no bet at bluesquare. Money back for the draw is great insurance. I just can't see how Manchester United with their poor performances can keep winning.

FA Cup Tips

Fri, 07 Jan 2011 22:16:50 +0000

This week sees the FA Cup. Unfortunately, this completion is going the way of the Carling Cup. There is little interest from the top teams. Its all about the league and Europe now. This makes betting on the games extremely tricky. The team names are the same but who knows what Arsenal team Wenger will put out? There is some value to be had if you read the team sheets before kick off and see whos actually playing.

Looking at the odds, you can see that the bookmakers have factored this in already to an extent. Take Blackpool with their awesome away record. No way should they be 3.6 to beat a team two divisions below them. Southampton are pushing for promotion from League one and may rest people themselves but as Ian Holloway has said he will rest his first 11, you get this high price. As I do not know what Blackpool's alternative side is like, I have no idea whether this represents value or not.

So no tips this week. Its too much of a lottery. Check back next weekend when the Premiership starts again.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 17 Dec 2010 17:49:37 +0000
18th - 20th December 2010
18th December 2010

Arsenal (1.3) Draw (5.5) Stoke (12)

Arsenal played a dull game against Manchester United Monday night. On another day that could have been 0-0. United's goal came out of nothing and nothing exciting happened in the entire game. Well, Rooney missed a penalty which would have made the scoreline more flattering to Manchester United but it was a dull Monday night game overall. Arsenal's injury worries have passed now and Wenger has more or less all his top players to pick from apart from the 1st and second choice goalkeepers are out. Stoke were humbled 1-0 against Blackpool last weekend. It should have been a routine game at the fortress Britannia but Blackpool managed to grab all 3 points. Arsenal should win this easily. It wouldn't surprise me at all if it was a 2+ goal margin. The trouble is, that West Brom, Newcastle and Spurs have all come to the Emirates this year and won. They haven't cleared their handicap in the last 6 home games either. With that in mind, I'm going to go for Stoke, +1.5 goals on the Asian Handicap. Its 1.95 at VC Bet.

Birmingham (2.4) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (3.25)

Birmingham lost their local derby to Wolves last weekend 1-0. The worrying thing will be that Birmingham didn't score against one of the leakiest defences in the league. Averaging just a goal a game, Jerome and Gardener just aren't scoring the required goals to win games. Alan Pardew had a cracking start with a 3-1 home win against Liverpool. Nolan and Carroll both on the scoresheet again. The trouble is they don't seem to be able to score these goals away from home. Birmingham will be a tough nut to crack as their points have come from strong defensive playing rather than any skills upfront. I can see this being a tight game with no side looking great value. The draw is 3.3 at VC Bet.

Blackburn (1.83) Draw (3.75) West Ham (4.8)

Blackburn sacked their manager this week, which is very surprising. After all, Allardyce saved them relegation and was in the process of building a solid Blackburn team on a solid budget. The 2-1 defeat at Bolton may have been disappointing especially, when playing against 10 men but sacking the manager was a bit harsh. Nothing wrong with the Blackburn home form at all, with only Arsenal and Chelsea taking points from there. West Ham's season is going from bad to worse. The gulf in class between them and Manchester City was evident last weekend when they lost 3-1. Grant is favourite to be the next manager out. Things are looking bleak for West Ham. Looks like a Blackburn win for me, 1.83 is a good price. I suppose the bookmakers have factored in the departure of Allardyce. I can't imagine it would be so high if he was still in charge. Still, I will go for them as all the backroom staff are the same and Blackburn are a great home side. Its 1.83 at PaddyPower.

Wigan (2.88) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (2.7)

Wigan got a good draw at Everton last weekend. They kept it tight and could have sneaked a win late on. Only 1 win in 10 for Wigan though and are in the relegation zone on goal difference. Villa looked like they were on the slide but they came good last weekend against local rivals West Brom, winning 2-1. They were actually outplayed for most the of the first half and the last few minutes of the game. West Brom scored late on a were threatening to steal a point. That gives Houllier some breathing room as well as the Villa side some more confidence. With them over their injury crisis, I expect them to start climbing the table. I'll not be backing them for the straight win though. So many false dawns for teams this season. I'll play safe and go for Villa draw no bet. Skybet have them at 1.91 which is strange considering Villa are exactly the same price as Wigan on the 1X2.

Liverpool (1.57) Draw (4) Fulham (7.5)

Liverpool have seemed to have dropped in to a nice pattern for punters. Win at home, lose or draw away from home. Last weekend they lost 3-1 away to Newcastle. Torres missed a few opportunities, including one to take the lead at 1-1. Still, its 4 wins in a row at home for Liverpool. Carragher is still out but Gerrard could return for this one. Fulham drew 0-0 last weekend in a dull game. They really are missing Zamora's goals. Hodgson should know this Fulham side pretty well, considering he managed them last year. They are still the team that can't win away from home. In fact, under Mark Hughes they can't seem to win at all. Only 2 wins all season against Wolves and Wigan. I can see this being an easy win for Liverpool and 1.57 at PaddyPower isn't a bad price at all.

19th December 2010

West Brom (1.83) Draw (3.8) Wolverhampton (4.75)

West Brom out played Villa last weekend for most of the game but still lost 2-1. The could have nicked a point at the end too. Previous, they had beat Everton 4-1 and Newcastle 3-1 though. Wolves managed to win the derby 1-0 against Birmingham. All their hard work finally paid off. Sometimes I see Wolves as a good team that has just had a mega run of bad luck. They managed to keep their first clean sheet of the season too which is something that Mick McCarthy has been wanting all season. Looking at the odds, I can't be backing West Brom at 1.83. Punters have short memories and it was only a month ago that they lost to Wigan and Stoke. I am tempted more by the Wolves odds of 4.75 but will opt for the over 2.5 goals alternative. I think West Brom will win this but pricewise, I see overs to be a better bet as neither team are good at keeping clean sheets. Over 2.5 goals is 1.85 at bet365.

Blackpool (5.5) Draw (4.2) Tottenham (1.7)

I think people will start to take Blackpool a little more seriously now they have managed to get 22 points, most of them away from home. Last weekend's win at Stoke was a great 3 points even though it was backs against the wall for most of the second half. Spurs are on a great run of form. Unbeaten in 6 now. Last weekend they had their chances to beat Chelsea but were also very lucky that Drogba missed a stoppage time penalty. Spurs haven't been consistent away from home with a 3-2-3 record. I am not sure I am willing to trust them at 1.7 against a Blackpool side that has been underrated all season by the bookies. I was going to suggest overs as 100% of Blackpool's home games have been over 2.5 goals. Spurs have traditionally been associated with high scoring games but this season they have slightly more games under than over. At 1.57 top price though, overs isn't really an option either. I am going to go for Blackpool +1 on the Asian Handicap. Spurs haven't won an away game by more than a goal and a 1 goal margin of victory for Spurs voids the bet. A draw or Blackpool win pays out. Its 1.75 at VC Bet.

Chelsea (2.25) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (3.75)

Big game of the season. Early days but if Manchester United win this, they open up a 6 point lead over Chelsea with a game in hand. Chelsea have been going through a very bad patch by anyone's standard but this is the worse run of form I have seen Chelsea in years. Only 1 win in 7. To be fair, Chelsea should have beat Spurs but Drogba missed a stoppage time penalty. Lampard should start for this game after coming on as a sub against Spurs. That'll be a big boost to them. Maybe that's all that's been missing but the bad run of form also coincided with the sacking of Howard Wilkinson. Manchester United leapfrogged Arsenal in the league with a 1-0 win over them on Monday. A pretty dull game in which no player really stood out. Rooney missed a penalty and played poorly all game. That's Manchester United this season though. Average performances but seem to win at home and draw away from home. Extremely tricky game to pick but I will go for the home win. Bad runs come to an end at some point and what better way than to beat Manchester United. Its top price at 2.25 at PaddyPower

20th December 2010

Manchester City (1.75) Draw (3.8) Everton (5.5)

Manchester City outclassed West Ham last weekend. This was without their captain and talisman, Tevez. Their unbeaten run of 7 games put them in 3rd place and 5 points above 5th place Spurs. Lots of rumours going on about Tevez requesting a transfer. Could be a distraction but Tevez is a real team player and no doubt he'll perform regardless of whether he gets transferred in January. Everton are the bookmakers friend. No win in 7 and in 4 of them they were odds on favourites. The bookies expect them to turn the corner at some point but they keep disappointing. Saha, Yakubu, Anchibe and Beckford aren't performing and they still have to rely on Cahill. Looking at the odds, I think it's a great price for Manchester City. It's a top 4 side vs a mid-table side at best and you are getting 1.75 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 10 Dec 2010 18:53:57 +0000
11th - 13th December 2010
11th December 2010

Aston Villa (2.15) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.8)

Villa are going through a real bad patch. The last time they played well was in the first half against Manchester United a month ago. They have had injuries but they have been poor non the less. The fans and the players are losing patience with Houllier. The first half against Liverpool last week was particularly poor. West Brom seem to be back on the up after their dip. Great 4-1 win away to Everton and then following it up with a 3-1 win at home to Newcastle. Brunt and Odemwingie are doubtful for this game which is a big blow They've been instrumental in the wins this season for West Brom. I can't see Villa getting anything from this game and fear that West Brom aren't the team that can win 3 in a row. It's the draw then at 3.4 at Totesport.

Everton (1.44) Draw (4.5) Wigan (9)
Everton were fantastic second half against Chelsea. They could have gone on to win that game. Their results have generally been poor recently though. The week before they were thrashed 4-1 at home by West Brom. The last game they won was back at the end of October against Stoke 1-0. Scoring goals has been a problem for them and with Arteta suspended for 2 games its not going to get any easier for them. Wigan are a poor side. A couple of weeks ago they have an important game against bottom of the league West Ham. They were thrashed 3-1 then. They did well to get a point against Stoke last weekend. Rodallega is back from suspension this game so that'll be a big boost for them. Everton home win most likely but I can't be backing them at 1.44. I'd much rather be backing Wigan at 9.0 but Wigan have been so poor this season, I'll skip this one.

Fulham (2.25) Draw (3.25) Sunderland (3.75)

Maybe a bit unlucky for Fulham last weekend. They played a good game but were playing Arsenal with Nasari in great form. Another day that could have been a morale boosting draw at the Emirates. Fulham do seem to be sliding under Mark Hughes. Only 2 wins all season at what was once fortress Craven Cottage. Sunderland looked like they found a way to win away from home with that stunning 3-0 victory over Chelsea. The subsequent loss to Wolves makes that look more like a freak result than a change in form. For some reason they just can't seem to win away from home. This game looks like a draw to me. Fulham play nice football but can't seem to win and Sunderland can't win away from home. The draw is 3.25 at bluesquare.

Stoke (1.67) Draw (4) Blackpool (6)

Stoke are pretty good form with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5. The Britannia is once again a fortress with only Spurs and Manchester United winning there this season. Blackpool had a rest last weekend when their game was called off due to a frozen pitch. They still continue to defy the odds and pick up points here and there. Only 1 defeat in 6 and that was away to Villa. They haven't played any big teams in that run though but Stoke aren't what I'd call a big team. Stoke should win this but 1.67 is really low. They managed to get wins away at Newcastle and Liverpool so the potential for a Blackpool win is there. 6.0 at VC Bet is too big a price in my opinion. I think that warrants a small bet.

West Ham (4.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (2)

West Ham won their must win game a couple of weeks ago against Wigan 3-1 and followed that up with a 4-0 win against Manchester United's B side in the Carling Cup. They were quite shocking against Sunderland though where they were fortunate to get away with a 1-0 loss. Manchester City seem to have got it together now. Unbeaten in the last 6 they are only 3 points off the top. No Tevez for this game though. I think that explains the odds. Its rock bottom of the table vs 4th. Imagine if this was a traditional top 4 team. You'd be lucky to get 1.5 never mind 2.0. I think the bookmakers have over reacted here. True when Tevez hasn't been scoring Manchester City have struggled but they still have an excellent striker in Adebayor. Its 2.0 at VC Bet for the Manchester City win.

Newcastle United (3.75) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.15)
I don't understand what has happened at Newcastle. They have been doing fairly well and have proved many pundits wrong. A win at Arsenal, a 6-0 thrashing of Villa and 5-1 of Sunderland will make this a memorable season for Newcastle no matter what happens. Sacking their manager is was a stupid decision. They were poor against West Brom but no reason to sack the manager. Liverpool possibly could have turned the corner. In the last 3 games without their big stars they've been playing the best all season. A couple of 3-0 wins against Villa and West Ham and an unlucky defeat at Spurs. Torres should be back for this game so that might upset things a bit. Looking at the odds though, I can't see why Liverpool are favourites. Their away for is terrible with only the lucky win away at Bolton this season. Newcastle may have problems with the new manager but 2.15 for the Liverpool win is far too low. 3.75 at VC Bet for the home win is a better bet. A couple of seasons ago, Liverpool won this fixture won 5-1. Time for revenge.

12th December 2010

Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (4)

Bolton have been in good form before the last 2 weeks. They were up to 4th at one point. They may be going through a little bit of a dip though. A 2-2 home draw to Blackpool and then a 1-0 away loss to Manchester City. The latter doesn't look that bad on paper but in all honesty, they should have lost that game by more. Blackburn come here off the back of a 3-0 thrashing of Wolves. History does favour Blackburn. Bolton have not beaten Blackburn since 1998. Big Sam seems to know how to beat his former teams too. It's a tricky game to call this. With no team being consistent, anything could happen here. I think I will go for the over 2.5 goals bet. Its 1.95 at bet365. Bolton have a 75% overs rate at home and Rovers a 75% overs rate away.

Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.25)

Wolves lost 3-0 against Blackburn last weekend. They had their chances but they just didn't go in. That's the story of Wolve's season. They play well but just seem to be unlucky. The week before they did manage to beat Sunderland 3-2 though and no doubt all the stuff going on at Newcastle has helped keep the pressure of Mick McCarthy. Birmingham are getting back to the type of form they had last season, ie, very difficult to beat. Only 1 defeat in the last 8 but also only 2 wins. They played Chelsea, Manchester City and Spurs in that run too. I don't think Birmingham will lose this game but as they haven't won away all season it doesn't make sense to back them. It's the draw then. 3.3 at Betfred.

Tottenham (2.9) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (2.63)

Spurs had a disappointing 1-1 draw at Birmingham last weekend. I guess they haven't mastered the away wins yet. Their home form has been very good this year though. 4-3-1 with the shock defeat to Wigan fairly early on. Van der Vaart is out but Spurs have a strong team to chose from after resting players in the midweek Champions League game. Chelsea are on the slide. No win in 4 for them with 2 defeats. Last game against Everton they could have easily lost as Everton were much the better side second half. I can't see why Chelsea are favourites here. Spurs have won the last 2 encounters here and that was when Chelsea were much stronger and Spurs weaker. 1X for me this game. bet365 have Spurs on the Asian Handicap +0 at 2.15 (same bet as draw no bet). I really can't see Chelsea getting anything from this game.

13th December 2010

Manchester United (2) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (4.2)

Manchester United aren't exactly flying but are still the only unbeaten team in the league. Last league game they thrashed Blackburn 7-1 with Berbatov getting 5. Quite an achievement. They would be top of the league if their game at Blackpool wasn't called off due to the weather. Midweek they were fairly flat against Valencia's B side. They only need the draw to the top the group though so maybe they were saving their energy for this game. Arsenal have been inconsistent at home and their away record is actually better. Last 2 games, they were unconvincing against Partizan Belgrade in the Champions League and they only beat Fulham with the brilliance of Nasri who has been one of the Premiership's star players this season. I will pick the home win here. Manchester United haven't hit top form yet and still have a 7-1-0 record at home. Maybe with Fabregas in the side I might be tempted to back Arsenal but I can see Manchester United turning up the style and winning this game. Its 2.0 at Totesport.

Premiership Weekend 4-6th December 2010

Fri, 03 Dec 2010 15:15:09 +0000

No tips this week.

The UK is covered in snow today as I write this. More snow is forecasted so its likely that many games will be called off.

Looking at this weeks fixtures list it would be tough at the best of times but with the snow and the crazy season we have had, it makes it really hard to find any value. In a season where it seems that any team can beat any team on its day the smart money is on trying to predict these. To an extent this has always been the case but in recent seasons, you would almost guarantee that a big team would win at home. Those type of upsets are much more common this season.

One trend this season that might be worth pursuing is the goals market. Last weekend, for the first time, all 20 Premiership teams scored. William Hill has a "Will both teams score coupon" which offered a massive 440/1 for all games, 'yes'. Fortunately for William Hill, no one had the full accumulator.

Bookmakers, don't allow dependent bets. For example, you can't combine, a 0-0 correct score with a draw. 0-0 automatically, means a draw and if by chance you manage to get that bet on, the bookmaker would not pay out. Similarly, bookmakers won't allow you to bet on related markets. The 'will it now in city X' market is a good example. You wouldn't be able to have a double for it to snow in Manchester and London. If it snows in Manchester, it is more likely to snow in London too.

Unders/ overs goals markets are dependent to some degree. I haven't done the analysis but it isn't too hard to imagine, that something like the weather, could have an effect on the number of goals being scored. For example, in wet weather, there are more mistakes being made leading to more goals, or in hot weather, players not wanting to run around as much leading to fewer goals. This season we have had more goals than average. Maybe its because teams are going for the win more and not settling for the draw.

William Hill offer the 'Will both teams score market' but others offer similar bets too. Most noticeably, Betfred with their 'goals galore coupon' and Bet365 with their 'goal - no goal market' offer some good bets on team scoring. Check out the links below. Normal tips will resume next week.

William Hill - Free £25 bet when you bet £25. Use code F25 when signing up. Click here
Betfred - Free £50 bet. No bonus code needed - Click here
Bet365 - Free £100 bet basket - No bonuse code need. Click here

27th - 28th November 2010

Sat, 27 Nov 2010 00:11:59 +0000

27th November 2010

Aston Villa (3.6) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (2.25)

Villa's youthful side couldn't compete with Blackburn last weekend and rightfully lost 2-0. More or the less the same inexperienced side will be there this week. Maybe they will do better against and an attacking Arsenal team. The same side did play Manchester United off the pitch for 70 minutes the week before. Arsenal have had a bad week. 2-0 up last weekend against Spurs at half time, most people thought it was over but Spurs came back to win 3-2. Nothing much wrong with the Arsenal performance, Spurs just upped their game. Then midweek a routine Champions League game ended up in a 2-0 defeat. Arsenal have been inconsistent in a very unpredictable season. I will go for them here though. They'll recall their players that were missing from midweek and bounce back. Reminds me of a couple of weeks ago when I thought Arsenal were vulnerable at Everton and they won there. The price is 2.25 at bluesquare

Bolton (1.62) Draw (4.2) Blackpool (6.5)

Bolton were as high as 4th place last weekend with a stunning 5-1 demolition of Newcastle. Davis and Elmander are making up quite a strike partnership. Bookies have caught on though and the price on Bolton looks pretty low. I can't remember they were this heavily favoured. Blackpool continue to pick up points despite on paper not being good enough for this division. Varney scored a cracker to help beat Wolves last weekend. I think this will be a home win but the odds are far too low. I prefer the overs alternative. Blackpool are involved in a high number of overs games. I guess its because they don't settle for draws. Best off going for 3 points than taking 1. Bolton have a strike force that have been scoring for fun so overs is a better option. Odds are low for this too but you can 1.62 for over 2.5 goals at Betfred. The same price as a Bolton win.

Everton (1.62) Draw (4) West Bromwich (7)
Everton fought with a late goal against Sunderland to take a point from the Stadium of Light. They could have won it if it weren't for Beckford missing a golden opportunity in stoppage time. Still there is a little consistency in form. They rely far too much on Cahill for goals. West Brom's run has well and truly come to an end now. A 3-0 home defeat last week brought them crashing down to earth. I suppose it couldn't last but during that good run where they famously beat Arsenal they were up to 4th at one point. I think Everton will win this but 1.62 is a little low. I'd much rather take a speculative punt on the 7.0 on West Brom. Everton have shown great potential but results have been lacking. In this crazy season so far, anything can happen and it wouldn't be that much of a surprise if West Brom won this. Its 7.0 at VC Bet.

Fulham (2.15) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.85)

Fulham were poor against City last weekend and got thrashed 4-1. It was over by half time (3-0). They gave City too much space. To be fair, City played an excellent game too and they do have the players to win the Premiership on their day. Still, this Fulham side look a bit toothless. Birmingham will be on a high after their 1-0 win over Chelsea. It was backs to the wall most of the game. Their defence just stood firm. That's 2 clean sheets in a row now. Last season their success was built on a very tight defence and it looks like they may have found that again. This game looks like its got draw written all over it. 8 draws for Fulham this season and 7 for Birmingham. Neither team score very much either. The draw is 3.3 at Skybet.

Manchester United (1.29) Draw (6) Blackburn (13)

Strange season for Manchester United. Still undefeated but not really hit top gear and drawing far too many games. Rooney is back and the fans gave him a warm welcome. The problem is that I think he has lost that spark that made him a world class player. He's pretty ordinary now. He scored a penalty against Ranger to win that game but so what. Anyone can score a penalty, especially as they were going through to the next round regardless of whether the penalty was scored or not. They didn't even look that good against the 9 men of Wigan. Blackburn did a good job over the young Villa side last weekend. Pederson grabbed a couple after a long drought of goals. Away from home they are a different beast though. If this was at Blackburn I'd be backing them. Manchester United should win this but 1.29 is far too low. I'd much rather be on Blackburn on the Asian Handicap. Blackburn +1.5 goals is 2.05 at VC Bet.

28th November 2010

Newcastle United (5.5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.75)

Bad weekend for Newcastle last. A 5-1 thrashing at the hands of Bolton. Things won't be good in defence this week with Coloccini and Williamson both out through suspension. Carroll is still scoring for fun. Chelsea are going through a massive dip in form. Without Terry at the back and Essien and Lampard in midfield, they look weak. 3 losses in the last 4 league games. Only one goal scored too. Chelsea did well against Birmingham last weekend and only excellent defending allowed Birmingham to win 1-0. Midweek, they struggled to beat Zilina in the Champions League but that was with a youth side. Still, I think the full side are going to struggle here. Teams usually bounce back strong after a thrashing and I expect Newcastle to do the same. 5.5 is a huge price for the home team at Boylesports.
Tottenham (2.1) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (4)

Great comeback from Spurs last week against Arsenal. I don't know what was said at half time but whatever it was, it worked. Midweek they had a midweek game in the Champions League but that ended up being a nice stroll in the park for them. Sometimes I worry about the Spurs performance after a Champions League but this is Liverpool. Liverpool eased past West Ham last weekend 3-0. I guess West Ham are worse than I thought. I didn't see much positive from the performance. Gerrard looks like he's still out. Liverpool have been shocking away from home this season, 1-2-4. I really can't see them getting anything here. 2.1 is a great price for Spurs at PaddyPower. Only danger is that Spurs dip in form after the Champions League game but as I said, its only Liverpool.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 20 Nov 2010 00:37:52 +0000
20th - 22nd November 2010
20th November 2010

Arsenal (1.67) Draw (4.2) Tottenham (5.5)
I don't know what to make of Arsenal. So up and down. Last weekend, I think it was as much to do with Everton being inept rather than Arsenal really hitting top gear. Nasari looking good nowadays but still many people out due to injury. Spurs are back on track to get back in Europe with that 4-2 win over Blackburn. Still a few important players out for Spurs too. Bale is a player that can do a lot of damage on his day so Arsenal will have to keep an eye out for him. Both teams must have one eye on next week's Champions League fixtures. Arsenal in a of a better position than Spurs with respect to the likelihood of qualifying. Odds aren't that great on Arsenal considering the strength of the Spurs team. I will go for them though as Spurs are a side that seem to collapse at the sight of a big team. Arsenal win is 1.67 at VC Bet.

Birmingham (5.5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.8)
Good point at City for Birmingham last weekend. That point wasn't enough for them not to get sucked in to the bottom 3 though. It's a really tight table though and a win here could lift them to mid table, that's how close it is. I don't see them as the team they were last year but they don't look a side that is going down. Chelsea were lucky to get away with 3-0 at home to Sunderland. I guess with the backbone of their team out, they are nothing. Sunderland attacked and got what they deserved. With Lampard, Terry, Alex and Essien all still out, its not looking good for them here either. 1.8 would be a cracking price normally for Chelsea but I can see no value in this. I would be tempted by the price on the home win but I don't think that Birmingham have got it in them to break Chelsea down. So it's the draw at 3.75 at VC Bet.

Blackpool (2.6) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3)
I was right about Blackpool last weekend. They are a poor side on paper but keep nicking the odd point here and there. The 0-0 wasn't a typical 0-0, there many chances at both ends and could have easily been a 3-3 thriller. Wolves fought back from 3-0 down to Bolton to make the score line a more respectable 3-2 last weekend. Once again, it was the story of Wolves, play well, get nothing out of the game. Wolves have lost 3 on the bounce now since beating City. Betting wise, I can't see Wolves losing another one. Blackpool's home record isn't very good at all. The draw looks the best value to me at 3.4 at PaddyPower.

Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Newcastle United (3.75)
What a turn around for Owen Coyle, last season fighting against relegation, this season sitting in 5th place and playing some attractive football. Elmander playing well now and Davis looking brilliant, they are moving away from that physical brand of football that Alladyce had them playing. Unbeaten in 3 now, winning 2 of them and scoring 8 goals. Newcastle could only go down after beating Arsenal at the Emirates. They are strange side in that their away record is better than their home one. Carrol l was playing for England midweek so he maybe a bit tired. He's been instrumental in some of their wins. Betting wise, I am going to go Bolton. They seem to really have their act together, whereas Newcastle are still too up and down for my liking. Its 2.2 at VC Bet.

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wigan (17)
Manchester United once again failed to win away from home last weekend. I could have been a whole lot worse than a draw though. 2-0 down with 10 minutes left, they manage to pull it back to 2-2. Rooney is reported to be returning for this game. They need someone like him back. Not sure how the players and fans will react to him though. Berbatov may be return to his start of season form if he's partnering Rooney again. Wigan have found a little form recently. 4 points out of 6 have pulled them out of the relegation zone just. Looks like a home win here but 1.25 is no price for this current Manchester United team against anyone. If anything I'd take a punt on Wigan but best off skipping this fixture betting wise.

West Bromwich (2.25) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.6)
I suspected that West Brom were on a little downturn last week when they played Wigan. They aren't playing like the side that beat Arsenal and drew at Manchester United any more. That loss at Blackpool looks like it was the turning point or it might have even been the week before when they narrowly beat Fulham with some help from the referee. Either way, they are heading downwards. Stoke on the hand are a team on the up. A couple of back to back wins against Birmingham and Liverpool have allowed them to climb to 10th. Still remains to be seen whether they can repeat this type of form away from home though, they are 1-0-5 on the road. I can't see Stoke winning this as its hard to win 3 on the bounce for any team outside the top 4 and West Brom are still going through a dip in form. The draw it is then. Its 3.3 at VC Bet.

Liverpool (1.53) Draw (4) West Ham (7.5)
Well after beating Chelsea 2-0 everyone thought it would kick start Liverpool's season. They were all wrong. A lucky point at Wigan and a defeat at Stoke is all they have got. Gerrard is out of the game after getting injured in the friendly game. West Ham sit bottom of the table. Last 3 games have been draws but given the opposition and 2 of the games being at home, they would have expected to pick up more points. Parker seems to be the only one that is playing well for them. Whichever manager loses this game will be in deep trouble and probably will be favourite for the next manager out. I am actually quite surprised by the odds here. I was expecting maybe 9.0 or 10.0 for West Ham. They are bottom of the table and this is Liverpool. Looks like the bookies or punters have over reacted to the news that Gerrard is out. There probably is some value in backing Liverpool then but I'll skip this game. It's 1.53 at VC Bet.

21st November 2010

Blackburn (2.38) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.3)
Blackburn's mini streak came to an end with a 4-2 defeat at Spurs. Winning 3 in a row seems to be beyond more Premiership sides. I can see Allardyce tightening up the defence after the display at Spurs and to counter the counter attacking style of Villa. Villa's injury ridden side did brilliantly against Manchester United last weekend. They could have easily won the game but let is slip in the last 10 minutes. I see this as being a much tougher test for the young Villa side though. Blackburn are hard to break down and will not be caught on the counter like Manchester United were. Home win for me. Its 2.38 at VC Bet.

Fulham (3.25) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.4)
The press will make a big deal of this game as its Mark Hughes against his former club. Fulham still seem to be playing for the draw. Their record currently reads 2-8-3. No goals in their last 2 games which is a little worrying. They have been away from home though and for some reason Fulham can't win away from home. Big pressure on Mancini after two 0-0 draws. If Tevez doesn't score it seems like no one else can. All that money they spent and still rely on 1 person for their goals. It doesn't help that they seem to play first not to lose and only secondly for the win. Looks like a draw to me this game, most likely 0-0. Its 3.3 at Totesport. Another decent bet is under 2.5 goals, that's 1.73 at Betfred.

22nd November 2010

Sunderland (2.7) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.9)
Who would have thought that away shy Sunderland would go to Stanford bridge and win 3-0? Gyan stepped up as a striker equal to the best in the Premiership and they didn't miss Darren Bent at all. They have been on great form since that thrashing at Newcastle. Everton have been a bit of a disappointment. Since beating Liverpool, they seem to have stalled. You thought they would climb the table and be in contention for Europe. It just hasn't happened for them though. They only lost the one game to Arsenal but the teams they played against you'd be expecting a team on the up to get more than draws. Big price on the home win here. I am really surprised considering the teams are going in different directions and Sunderland are 3-3-0 at home. Its 1X in my opinion. You can get 1.88 for Sunderland +0 on the Asian Handicap (same as draw no bet but better odds) at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 13 Nov 2010 01:44:48 +0000
13th - 14th November 2010
13th November 2010

Aston Villa (5.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (1.83)
Villa have many injuries ahead of this game, influential players such as Carew and Heskey. Midweek they were unconvincing in their win over Blackpool. Another draw on the road for Manchester United see the slipping further behind Chelsea. They did beta Stoke though and Manchester City is not as easy place to go. A lack of scoring is a little worrying with only Nani in good form now. Villa has traditionally done badly against Manchester United but in the last 2 seasons this fixture has been a draw. X2 for sure but which one? I prefer the draw as Manchester United haven't shown they can win against top sides away from home. Its 3.6 at VC Bet.

Manchester City (1.44) Draw (4.5) Birmingham (9)
City would have been happy with their 0-0 against Manchester United. They are still further behind Chelsea but they are more comfortable in 4th place now. Looks like Mancini will be a little more attacking minded this game after the rather defensive play last game. Birmingham fought back from 2-0 against Stoke to make it 2-2 but then lost with a late goal. Thats a never say die attitude that Birmingham have. The stats aren't kind to Birmingham on the road this year though, 0-3-3. Home win for me. Its 1.44 at VC Bet.

Newcastle United (2) Draw (3.5) Fulham (4.33)
Its almost unreal that Newcastle sit 5th. After writing them off at the start of the season, I have to change my opinion. The 1-0 win at Arsenal last week has got to be their finest moment this season for sure. Carroll is scoring for fun. Only problem is that their home form is inconsistent to say the least. Fulham are never good on the road. I can't remember the last win they had. Certainly not one this season. They do draw a lot games though. Draw at Villa last week. I am willing to bet on the home win here. Newcastle have been hammering teams when they have won (6-0 and 5-1) at home so I'll take a chance and got for Newcastle -1 on the 1X2 handicap at 3.6 at bet365. The straight win is 2.0.

Tottenham (1.67) Draw (4) Blackburn (6)
Spurs seemed to have peaked with their win at Inter. A loss at Blackburn then a draw at home to Sunderland see their chances of hitting 4th place again look slim even at this early stage of the season. Injuries to key players are costing them. Pavlyuchenko, Keanne and Defoe are all out. As for Blackburn, they have found their goal scorer in Jason Roberts. Excellent win for them at Newcastle midweek. 2 wins on the bounce for them now, both 2-1. Poor odds for Spurs considering their injuries and Blackburn's recent form. For some reason though, teams outside the top 4 seem to struggle to string a 3 wins in a row together. I am going for an overs bet. Over 2.5 is 1.88 at bet365. Blackburn can score so Spurs will have to score 2 to win.

West Ham (1.95) Draw (3.8) Blackpool (4.33)
West Ham are in deep trouble now and this could be one of the most important games of the season for them. Surely if they are fighting a relegation battle it will be against Blackpool. They seem to have problems keeping leads. Grant should really be getting them to shut up shop once they go ahead. Blackpool may have been a little unlucky against Villa midweek. Just when it looked like they scored a late goal to take a point, Villa score again. Blackpool are a strange team. On paper they should not be in the Premiership but they just keep nicking the odds point here and there. Looks like an overs game but the odds are shocking for that. I think I will go for the Blackpool win. No way is 1.95 good for a team at the bottom of the table with only 1 win all season. I'll go for them on the Asian Handicap. Its 2.05 +0.5 goals at bet365.

Wigan (2.6) Draw (3.3) West Bromwich (3)
A couple of strong performance recently for Wigan but only a single point. They'll be happy with the point against Liverpool midweek though. Its not very often Wigan have gotten anything off the big teams. West Brom got out of jail a couple of times against West Ham. Twice they were behind but twice they manged to pull it back. I sort of think that maybe West Brom's excellent run has come to an end now and the odds don't fully reflect that. I'll be backing Wigan. Its 2.6 at VC Bet.

Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.25)
Wolves have been playing well recently but against the opposition, they probably wouldn't have even expected 3 points before the run. Chelsea, City, Manchester United and Arsenal all in row is harsh for any team. They did manage to beat City and played fantastic against Arsenal and Manchester United. Bolton will should be a more winnable game. Bolton are a tough nut to crack nowadays. They were only seconds away from beating Everton midweek. They manged to knock 4 past Spurs last week too with Kevin Davis getting 2. I will back Wolves this game. If they don't win this, they look like they will be fighting it out at the end of season for relegation. Playing well and losing, unfortunately, doesn't get you any points. Wolves win is 2.4 at VC Bet.

Stoke (3.75) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.2)
Stoke won their last game against Birmingham with a late goal. Not a very convincing win but at least they managed to score 3 goals and we all know goals win games. Liverpool were excellent in their win over Chelsea. Maybe they put too much effort in to it because against Wigan they looked tired and a draw was a good result considering Wigan were the better side on the day. I am still not convince this Liverpool side is good enough to be backed away from home at 2.2 yet. Much better value on the draw I think. Its 3.4 at Totesport.

Everton (3.4) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (2.3)
Everton are still an in form team despite a week of draws. Maybe they should have won those to be considered 'in form' but Bolton are a tough team to beat and Blackpool just seem to be playing above their level every week. Just when you think Arsenal are going to make a fight for the title, they go do something stupid like lose at home to Newcastle. They badly need to shoot more. They 2-0 scoreline at Wolves was a little flattening to them and Wolves didn't really deserve to lose that game. For this, I think Everton are way over priced. I see this as an even contest so 2.5 maybe so the 3.4 at VC Bet is great. They'll also want revenge for last season's 6-1 thrashing.

Chelsea (1.25) Draw (6.5) Sunderland (17)
Chelsea seem to be stuttering their way to their now rather than cruising. A loss at Liverpool and 1-0 win at home to Fulham isn't spectacular but no one else seems to be able to capitalise on it. They will miss Essien for this game which will be a big blow. Stanford Bridge has been an absolute fortress for them this season. They have won all 7 games and conceding zero goals. That run must come to an end sometime though. Sunderland responded well to the 5-1 thrashing at Newcastle with a win at Stoke and good draw at Spurs. Their away record still sucks though. I have been profiting from betting Chelsea to win to nil at home so I am not going to change a winning system. Its going to end sometime but might as well keeping betting on it while it works. It's 1.83 at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 05 Nov 2010 16:40:42 +0000
6th - 7th November 2010
6th November 2010

Bolton (3.1) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)
Bolton were unlucky to lose to Liverpool last weekend. Liverpool were poor and managed to nick it with a late goal. That was their first home defeat of the season. Spurs are on a high at the moment after beating Inter 3-1 and Gareth Bale showing some great form. I remember the last time they were on a high after the Champions League match after thrashing Young Boys 4-0, they lost at home 1-0 to Wigan. Spurs have never beaten Bolton at home in the Premiership era. Some statistic that. I will therefore for the draw. Its 3.4 at Skybet.

Birmingham (2) Draw (3.4) West Ham (4.2)
Dull game last week against Villa for Birmingham (0-0 FT). Not enough goals being scored by Birmingham to win games. They have failed to score in 40% of games overall. West Ham gave a good fight at Arsenal before being undone by a late goal. I still think they should not be bottom of the table. Grant should be able to get them off the bottom of the table sooner or later. In terms of this game, I see no value in Birmingham at all. I see it being a tight game though with West Ham setting themselves up like they did against Arsenal. A single goal will decide it I think. Under 1.5 goals (0-0 or 1-0 either way) is 3.15 at Bodog.

Blackburn (1.87) Draw (3.6) Wigan (5)
Bad times for Blackburn. The sit in the bottom 3. Once famed for their home fame, they haven't won at home since the first game of the season. To be fair they played brilliantly against Chelsea and maybe should have got something out of it. The week before though they were shocking against Liverpool. Wigan's mini-run came to an end at Fulham last weekend. Its strange because they have been better on the road this season than at home. The odds make this quite an easy game to pick. Its got to be Wigan all the way. 5.0 is far too big for a Wigan considering they are roughly the same strength. Its 5.0 at VC Bet.

Blackpool (5) Draw (3.6) Everton (1.83)
Blackpool managed to squeeze past the 9 men of West Brom on Monday. Thats right, they were struggling to win against 9 men. They are still in 9th place though but the table is really tight. I am sure they will start sliding down the table soon. Everton have finally hit form. Unbeaten in 5 wining 3 of those, they are climbing up the table where they belong. I can see a top 7 finish for them easily. Everton win for me at 1.83 or the win to nil is 3.25 at 888sport. Everton haven't been conceding very much. 1-0 or 2-0 I think.

Fulham (2.3) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.5)
Fulham were looking like they were on the slide. That 2-0 over Wigan last weekend looks likes it steadied the ship a little. Still very early days though and a couple wins/losses can make a huge difference to league position. Villa have gone backwards under Houllier. Its not a surprise though as they have lost 2 of their best players in recent years in Milner and Barry. No Agbonlahor or Heskey for this game. In terms of betting, I have confidence in this game. I would go for the draw if you held a gun to my head but I am not going to bother tipping this game.

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (17)
This fixture was played a couple of weeks ago in the Carling Cup. United won 3-2 with a late Hernandez goal. Both teams will put out full strength this time. United are back to their winning ways after going through that draw patch. Nanni seems to be carrying them now. He seems to have stepped up his game. Wovles had a great win against City last weekend. It wasn't a fluke either, they fully deserved it. I think it would be a bridge too far to expect them to win this but I don't think it will be as easy as the odds suggest. I think a 1-0 or 2-0 so the logical bet is Manchester United to win to nil. Its 1.91 at bet365.

Sunderland (2.15) Draw (3.3) Stoke (4)
Sunderland were slaughtered 5-1 at Newcastle last weekend. Bruce would not have been pleased to that. Losing 5-1 is never good but it hurts more when its to your arch rivals. In their last home game they did managed a win against Villa. Stoke are going through a mini slump. I suppose there isn't too much shame losing to Manchester United and Everton though. With the signings they made, they may have been expected to do a little better. In terms of this game, I think its going to be 1X. Teams that get a beating usually come back strong. The draw is a better price but I will go for the home win. Stoke aren't pulling up any trees and Sunderland owe their fans a performance. Its 2.15 at 888sport.

7th November 2010

Arsenal (1.3) Draw (6) Newcastle United (13)
A weakened Arsenal team lost to Shakhtar midweek. The full time should be back for this game though. Last weekend they made hard work of beating West Ham. I get the impression that even though West Ham are bottom they aren't that weak so a narrow win isn't that bad a result. Newcastle are still buzzing from their 5-1 thrashing of arch rivals Sunderland. They managed to beat Villa 6-0 first home game of the season. There seems to be no consistency there. I think Arsenal will be able to keep Ameobi and Carroll from getting the ball enough to do any damage. I am not impressed by the 1.3 price though. I think the over 2.5 goals at bluesquare is a better bet (1.5). Last week it didn't come in but I can see this being an overs game with Arsenal scoring 3.

West Bromwich (3.75) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.15)
West Brom's good run came to an end of Monday with a 2-1 loss. It could be put down as bad luck though. They played most of the game with 9 men though and still could have nicked a point. They were playing some stunning football before then. City lost at Wolves last weekend which is unacceptable for a team that wants to challenge for the title. No Tevez last weekend and he is doubtful for this game too. There are some other problems in the dressing room with regard to Mancini losing the dressing room and players falling out. West Brom have already beaten City in the Carling Cup this season. I think I will go for West Brom here to continue their good room. It's 3.75 at VC Bet.

Liverpool (4) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.1)
Liverpool played badly against Bolton and were very lucky to win. It was nothing like the performance against Blackburn a fortnight ago. Torres and Gerrard weren't playing at their best and the Liverpool side have massive gaps in it. Chelsea are back to their winning ways in the Premiership. Not as convincing as at the start of the season but they are still winning. In previous seasons I would have been all over 4.0 for a Liverpool win but I cannot make the case for it. Drogba and co should win this fairly easily. 2.1 is a great price at William Hill.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 29 Oct 2010 17:27:27 +0000
30th October - 1st November 2010
30th October 2010

Arsenal (1.2) Draw (7.5) West Ham (19)
Some good form on paper for Arsenal since losing to Chelsea. 4 wins in all competitions. I am still not sure about them. The City game would have been all different if it was 11 vs 11. Carling Cup games aren't that a good indicator as teams generally play weaker sides. West Ham haven't turned the corner as I thought. They let a 1-0 lead slip against Newcastle and ended up losing 2-1. Midweek they beat Stoke 3-1 in extra time. The extra 30 minutes would have been tiring for them. 1.2 is a bit of a low price. I am looking at 3 or more goals for a bit of extra value. Arsenal haven't been keeping clean sheets when playing against 11 men so I expect West Ham to nick a goal. Arsenal should win so its going to be an overs game I think. 3 or more goals is 1.45 at bet365.

Blackburn (8.5) Draw (4.5) Chelsea (1.5)
Blackburn lost their last game to Liverpool. They had Samba and Nelson out so their defence wasn't 100%. Saying that though, they didn't create enough chances. Some pundits are saying that Chelsea look like running away with the league. I am not too sure. They have failed to score in their last 2 away games. 1-0 loss to City and 0-0 to Villa. It seems they struggle when they are up against decent opponents. Are Blackburn decent opponents? Probably not but 1.5 is very short for Chelsea. I will be backing Chelsea on the win to nil market. Its 2.4 at bluesquare. That bets been a goldmine so far this season. Its not paid out as well away from home but if you think Chelsea are going to win, you get almost treble for the price if you go with the win to nil rather than straight win.

Everton (1.62) Draw (4) Stoke (7)
Everton are now unbeaten in 4 since that home defeat to Newcastle. They have been playing well all season but just didn't get the early results. With Yakubu playing up front now, I am much more confident they can score. Stoke have hit a bad patch but nothing to be too concerned about. They lost to Bolton and Manchester United with late goals and then lost to West Ham in the Carling Cup in injury time. Stoke have ambitions this season and have the players to deliver. I am not going to be backing Everton at 1.62. Far too short. I quite like Stoke +1 on the Asian Handicap. Stoke have only lost 1 game by more than a single goal and that was to Chelsea. A single goal loss will return stakes and a draw or Stoke win will payout. Its 1.95 at bet365.

Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.6) Wigan (4.5)
Fulham are sliding in to losing territory. Two, 2-1 losses ended their draw streak. Questions are being asked of Mark Hughes now. I guess the loss at West Brom could be put down to a couple of bad referee decisions. If they don't win this though, the pressure will be on. Wigan have a surprisingly good record. Only 1 defeat in the last 7. They do actually have a couple of potential match winners in Rodallega and N Zogbia. To me this has a draw written all over it. I certainly won't be backing 'one win all season' Fulham at 1.91. The draw is 3.6 at VC Bet.

Wolverhampton (5.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.8)
After a promising start Wolves sit second from bottom. No win since the first game of the season. They are playing quite well but the results aren't going their way. I still think they have the quality to be in this league though. City were unlucky against Arsenal losing a man so early in the game. They were on a good run up to that point. Big news is that Tevez will not be playing. I guess thats why you are getting 1.8 on the City win. The way I see it, is that City have enough good players to cope without Tevez. Time for Adebayor to step up. Its currently 1.8 at bet365 for the City win.

Manchester United (1.62) Draw (4.2) Tottenham (6)
I am not sure whether Manchester United made a smart move by extending Rooney's contract. I guess if anything its put the issue to bed for now. Manchester United got their first win on the road last weekend against Stoke with a last goal. Hernandez has stepped up well to fill in for Rooney. Spurs could only manage a draw against Everton last weekend. van der Vaart on the score sheet again. This fixture is an interesting one from a betting point of view. Over the past few years its always looked value to back Spurs against Manchester United. However, Manchester United have won the last 6 and the last 5 by at least a 2 goal margin. I'll go Manchester United on this. Its 1.62 at Boylesports. 5/1 is a big price for Spurs but they don't seem to be able to deliver against Manchester United.

31st October 2010

Aston Villa (1.87) Draw (3.6) Birmingham (5)
Villa's new manager boost seems to have subsided now. No win in the last 3 and only scoring a single goal. I guess a 0-0 against Chelsea is a good result. Carew will be back for this game so that increases the chance of them scoring. Birmingham looked like they were sliding but a good 2-0 win against Blackpool may have stopped that. Hleb has been a great signing for Birmingham. Early game tend to start slowly. Neither side are scoring freely and have good defences. To me this looks like a draw. Its 3.6 at bet365.

Newcastle United (2.25) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.6)
Newcastle are a team that are struggle for home form. Since that 6-0 demolition of Villa they has lost 2 and only drew against Wigan due to a late goal. Last weekend there were impressive against a resurgent West Ham side. The trouble off the pitch for Carroll seems to not have affected him on the pitch. Sunderland have been playing well and were due a win. They beat Villa 1-0 courtesy of Dunne own goal. Thats 3 clean sheets in a row now for Sunderland. This game screams draw to me. Newcastle can't seem to win at home and Sunderland can't seem to win away from home so the draw is the logical pick. Its 3.3 at Totesport.

Bolton (3.4) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.3)
Bolton continued their season of draws with a 1-1 draw away to Bolton. Nothing much wrong with the football with Bolton, just getting too many draws. Liverpool were relieved to get the win last weekend against a toothless Blackburn. Liverpool dominated and Blackburn scored pretty much with their only meaningful attack of the game. A turning point maybe or just a blip for the new owners? I don't know but why are Liverpool favourites for this game? Bolton have only lost 1 game all season and that was away to Arsenal. The odds make this a 1X game for me. I will go for the Bolton win, its 3.4 at bet365.

1st November 2010

Blackpool (3) Draw (3.4) West Bromwich (2.63)
Blackpool are sliding down the table now. They haven't managed to build on that win at Liverpool, losing their last games. Too be fair they played extremely well against City in their last home game, scoring 2 goals. I still get the feeling that their squad is not good enough for the Premiership though. West Brom are on fire at the moment. Since the loss at Liverpool at the end of August, West Brom have gone on a 6 game unbeaten run winning 3, including the famous 3-2 win at Arsenal. Midweek, they changed most of the squad and still managed to demolish Leicester 4-1 in the Carling Cup. I guess I'll go with the form side and will be backing West Ham. Its 2.63 at Boylesports.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 22 Oct 2010 17:30:57 +0000
23rd - 24th October 2010
23rd October 2010

Tottenham (2.1) Draw (3.4) Everton (4)
Excellent come back from Spurs midweek in Milan. 4-0 down and with only 10 men, they managed to get it back to 4-3 with Gareth Bale scoring a hat trick. I guess this will probably be detrimental to them though. The last thing you want is coming in to a Saturday game is a gruelling midweek encounter. Everton continued their winning run with a good performance against a woeful Liverpool team. Tim Cahill once again delivered. Who needs strikers when you have him? Looking at the odds, I will have to go with the Everton win. 4.0 is a big price. They'll be fresher than Spurs who may have some tiredness problems after the midweek game. Its 4.0 at Boylesports

Birmingham (1.95) Draw (3.6) Blackpool (4.5)
Birmingham managed to take the lead against Arsenal last week before losing 2-1. They didn't create many chances and scored against the run of play with their first attack of the game. They will probably struggle to score here. Blackpool could have beaten City last week or at least got a draw. They had a goal wrongly disallowed at 0-0. They ended up losing 3-2 but it could have easily been different. Their away form has been surprisingly good, winning 3/5 and the losses being at Arsenal and Chelsea. I'm going for the away win again here. 4.5 is huge against a Birmingham side that has only won 1 game so far. Its 4.5 at Skybet

Chelsea (1.14) Draw (8.5) Wolverhampton (23)
Not much to say about this game. Its 1.14 for the home win. I guess the value bet for this game is Chelsea to win to nil. Out of 4 home games, they haven't conceded any. It's 1.8 at Ladbrokes. I see that as 5 times the price for practically the same bet.

Sunderland (2.5) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3.13)
Sunderland are competing with Fulham on who can get the most draws. 6/8 draws so far with the last 5 being draws. They should have really beaten Blackburn last Monday because Blackburn played the whole of the second half with 10 men. They had their chances but didn't put them away. Villa played out a 0-0 last week against Chelsea. Not many teams keep a clean sheet against the league leaders. I am thinking this will be a 1X game. I don't think Villa have been as dangerous on the road this season as in previous ones. I will opt of the home win. Sunderland have been playing well and they have to be due a win sometime, its 2.5 at Betfred.

West Bromwich (2.2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (3.75)
West Brom defied all the odds last weekend from 2-0 down to get a draw at Old Trafford. Currently unbeaten in 5, with games including Spurs, Arsenal and City as well. After the opening day hammering at Stamford Bridge you feared for them but now they sit 6th in the table. Fulham lost their unbeaten start to the season last weekend with a 2-1 home defeat at the hands of Spurs. It was a controversial goal that won it and really shouldn't have been given. I do think Fulham have taken a step back under Mark Hughes though so I'm ruling out backing them for this game. I think the home win is the best bet. Its 2.2 at Boylesports

Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.1)
Wigan looked like they were going to get all the points from Newcastle last weekend. They were 2-0 up inside 23 minutes with 2 goals from ex-Newcastle player, Charles Nzogbia. Last on Newcastle pulled one back and then in injury time managed to pull it back to 2-2. Bolton beat Stoke with a late injury time last weekend. It was a hard fought game and Bolton just about deserved it. They will be without their goalscorer Klasnic this game though after being sent off. I have no strong opinions about this game. The draw looks the best value here at 3.3 at Ladbrokes.

West Ham (2.4) Draw (3.4) Newcastle United (3.3)
West Ham are still bottom of the table on goal difference despite being unbeaten in 4. After the disastrous start they seems to have got it together now. They finished the stronger last week in their 1-1 draw against Wolves. No win for Newcastle in their last 3. In fact, there were 2 losses and only a very late goal salvaged point for them against Wigan. Problems off the field for Andy Carroll, means that their top goal scorer may be distracted. Its also pretty funny how he was bailed to live with his captain Kevin Nolan. I am going to go for the home win here. West Ham have turned it around and will start climbing the table for sure. Its 2.4 at William Hill.

24th October 2010

Stoke (6) Draw (3.75) Manchester United (1.73)
Stoke could have no complaints about the loss last weekend to Bolton. I guess you can't win them all. Their excellent streak had to come to an end sometime. Big trouble behind the scenes at Manchester United with Rooney now saying publically, he wants to leave. I guess that means he won't be starting but thats probably a good thing. Manchester United let a 2-0 lead slip against West Brom last week and then only defeated Bursaspor, 1-0 midweek in their Champions League game. I can't be having Manchester United at 1.73 on their current form. I think its too much to ask Stoke to be Manchester United though so I'll back the draw at 3.75 at bet365.

Liverpool (1.67) Draw (3.8) Blackburn (6)
Hodgson rested players midweek in their Europa League fixture as he knows this fixture is more important. Last weekend they were awful in the derby and rightfully lost 2-0. They don't seem to have the players that can turn a game around. They couldn't beat relegation favourites Blackpool in their last home game. Blackburn aren't pulling up any trees this season so far but Big Sam will fancy his chances here. They did well to get the 0-0 against Sunderland last weekend having played the second half with just 10 men. Betting wise this is a fixture to skip. I guess in normal times, you'd expect Liverpool to be about 1.4 in this fixture but this isn't a normal Liverpool side.

Manchester City (2.5) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (3.1)
The big game of the weekend. City are on a 4 game winning streak which has put them second in the table just above Arsenal. They aren't playing that well but seems to be doing enough to win and having Tevez on side is a big plus. He's the type of player that can just pop up and win a game. Arsenal will have Walcott and Bendtner back for this game. Arsenal have been missing some of their attacking players recently. They ended their losing streak with a 2-1 win over Birmingham but it wasn't a great performance. The 5-1 midweek win against Shaktar was impressive. They can do that against weaker teams but City are far from a weak team. Its a tricky one this. I can't really pick a winner. Any of the results wouldn't surprise me. I am going to go for over 2.5 goals. Its 2.0 at bet365. I can see both teams scoring and there being a winner so overs is the logical bet.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 15 Oct 2010 16:12:37 +0000
16th - 19th October 2010
16th October 2010

Arsenal (1.33) Draw (5.5) Birmingham (11)
Arsenal played a good game against Chelsea but suffer from that old problem of not being able to shoot enough. They still like their pretty passes. They really do need their strikers back and Fabregras. Birmingham were pretty ordinary last game and were beat 2-0 by Everton at home. They aren't the team they were last season and may well get sucked in to the relegation battle if they don't start scoring. Only 1 goal in their last 4 league games. Looking at the odds, you'd be a fool to be backing Arsenal at 1.33. I did look at the win to nil market which is 2.2 at PaddyPower but I noticed that they also do a bet that is both teams to score. Yes is 1.73 and no is 2.0. I think betting on 'no' is the way to play this. It covers all the Arsenal win to nil scores, as well as 0-0 and any Birmingham to win to nil scores.

Bolton (2.25) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.6)
Bolton have been playing some decent football but have failed to turn the good football in to wins. Only 1 win all season and that was against West Ham when they were going though their early season gelling period. Saying that, Bolton have only lost 1 too at Arsenal. Stoke, after their early season bad start have picked up, 3 wins and a draw in their last 4. Kenwyne Jones has been a great signing for them so far. This game looks like its got draw written all over it. Bolton have drawn 5 out of 7 and Stoke aren't the type of team that can win 3 in a row. The draw is 3.3 at Betfred.

Fulham (2.9) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.6)
Fulham are one of only 2 undefeated teams in the league. Its shame for them that their record is played 7, drawn 6 and won 1. I guess this may be down to Mark Hughes. Recall that when he was at City they didn't lose much but drew a hell of a lot of games. Spurs recovered fine against the defeat at West Ham with a couple of good home wins against FC Twente and Villa. Rafael van der Vaart looks like he could be signing of the season. I am still a bit weary of backing Spurs away from home though. They have only managed to beat Stoke so far and that was quite a lucky win. They also have a trip to Inter Milan next week that must be on their mind. I am going to go for the draw on this. Its the biggest price and with Fulham being the draw specialist its the most likely result. Its 3.3 at Coral.

Manchester United (1.29) Draw (6) West Bromwich (13)
Manchester United are having some serious problems away from home in the league. The pattern is win at home, draw away from home. Logically, this means that this should be a win and looking at the odds, the bookies and everyone things so too. I am not too sure, Manchester United haven't been playing well and with all the stuff about Rooney can't be helping behind the scenes. West Brom couldn't keep up their winning steak but still remain unbeaten in 4. Its no easy feat to be 3-0 at Arsenal and play them off the pitch. I guess it would be asking too much for this to happen again but I can't see them rolling over. I am going to be backing West Brom on the Asian Handicap. Its +1.5 goals at bet365 at 2.08. I can't see Manchester United walking this and a 1 goal United win will stay payout.

Newcastle United (1.9) Draw (3.6) Wigan (4.5)
Maybe the two most unpredictable teams in the league. After the 6-0 win against Villa, you were expecting that their home form would keep them up. Since then though, they have lost at home to Blackpool and Stoke. Wigan looked like they were certs to go down after a shocking start but have started picking up some good points. Those last round against Wolves may provide invaluable. I can't really see why Newcastle are odds on favourites here. They haven't delivered in the last 2 games against a similar standard of opposition. Wigan are unpredictable but given that the price is 4.5 for a Wigan win thats much better than 1.9 for the Newcastle win. Its 4.5 at most Bookmakers.

Wolverhampton (2.3) Draw (3.3) West Ham (3.4)
I may have got Wolves wrong. I thought they looked like a decent Premiership side but recent results leave them second from bottom. I thought they were unlucky but 4 losses in a row is a lot of bad luck. West Ham have picked up since Piquionne got in to the team. 2 draws and a win mean they can come off the bottom of the table with a win here. I guess I will have to go with the team with the momentum. West Ham are 3.4 at VC Bet which looks a better bet than the home win.

Aston Villa (5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.83)
Villa were looking good for the win but the brilliance of van der Vaart undid them. In this game, I expect Villa to sit back and play like an away team, which Villa are strong at. Doubts over Agbonlahor and Heskey though so their striking options may be limited. Chelsea looked on paper to come back strong from that 1-0 defeat at Manchester City. A 2-0 win against Arsenal looks good on paper but Arsenal were the dominant team. With the fixture list Chelsea have had, they would really have struggled not to be top of the league if they were serious challengers. Looking at the odds here, I would have to go Villa. 5.0 is a big price for a decent side against an Chelsea team that has had only one real test and failed. Its 5.0 at Boylesports.

17th October 2010

Everton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (3.2)
Who would have though this would be a game against 17th and 18th. Everton's season may have been kick started last game. A good 2-0 win at Birmingham will surely have raised their confidence. Liverpool's season is going from bad to worse. The 2-1 home loss will hopefully be the rock bottom point for Liverpool fans but I fear for them here. Only Reina, Gerrard and Carragher seem to be performing and I can't see anyone else that is fit that can lift Liverpool's game. First time in years I've seen Everton favourite in this derby. I'm not sure I can pick a winner here so I'll go for the draw. Good price for the home win but I am not going to be backing a team that's only won 1 game out of 7. Draw is 3.3 at Skybet.

Blackpool (6) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.62)
Blackpool are currently the bookies friend. Their victory against Liverpool must have broken so many coupons. The win was as much down to Liverpool's ineptness as Blackpool's footballing skills. Despite being in 9th place, they are still favourite to go down. The trouble is that they haven't been picking up points at home, early days as they've only played 2 home games so it may still pick up. City sneaked past Newcastle last game with a 2-1 win at home. Not really the type of performance that you'd expect potential league winners to give but they still won. I am expecting them to win here but I don't think that 1.62 is a good price. I suppose you can't argue against the fact that Blackpool is the least expensive club in the league and Manchester City is probably the most expensive. Its 1.62 at bet365.

18th October 2010

Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)
Blackburn have been very strong at home since Big Sam took over. I think its only something like 5 home defeats and they were against the big 4 teams. Its a tough place for teams to go. They get a lot of stick for being overly physical but it works. Sunderland have Darren Bent as an injury doubt. This is important as he's been their top goal scorer. I guess if he was playing, I'd take a chance of the away win. Sunderland have had a tough fixture list and come out of it with a respectable number of points, considering they have played Manchester United, Manchester City, Arsenal and Liverpool. They were the better team against Manchester United last game and should maybe have got more than a point. Away performance has been bad over the last season but they have been playing so well, that if Bent plays I'll be willing to back them at 3.75 at Boylesports.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 01 Oct 2010 15:27:47 +0000
2nd - 3rd October 2010
2nd October 2010

Wigan (2.38) Draw (3.3) Wolverhampton (3.3)
Neither of these teams have started brilliantly. They sit 17th and 18th in the league respectively. Wigan had a goalless draw last weekend at Birmingham. With no really good strikers they are struggling to score. Wolves are still underated in my opinion. They were unlucky not to get anything from Villa's visit last weekend. Looking at the odds, its got to be X2. I will go with the away win because I think Wolve's luck has to change at some point. Wigan look like a team that deserve to be at the bottom whereas Wolves have been unlucky. Its 3.3 at PaddyPower.

Birmingham (2.88) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.7)
Birmingham have drawn their last 2 home games 0-0. The don't seem to have the ability to break teams down and their early season luck has run out. Everton are rock bottom with 3 draws. Last weekend they drew to Fulham 0-0. With no strikers I can't see them scoring the goals needed to pick themselves off the bottom of the table. Cahill is a decent player but playing a lone strike role is tough for anyone. This games looks like a 0-0, or 1-0 either way. Unders for sure. Under 2.5 goals is 1.71 at Bodog but I am going to go for under 1.5 goals at 3.2 at VC Bet.

Stoke (2.3) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3.4)
Stoke battled well from a goal down to take all 3 points from an in form Newcastle. They were outclassed first half but second half they came back and deserved the win. Blackburn beat Blackpool last weekend. It probably should have ended a draw and Blackpool sealed their own downfall by going for the win instead of settling for a point. Both teams are masters of the long throws in to the box. Its hard to separate the sides. I will go for the home win though as I am still as Stoke have been good at home in recent seasons and Blackburn poor. Normality has to return to the Premiership sooner or later. Its 2.3 for the home win at 888sport.

Sunderland (5.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (1.83)
Sunderland were unlucky to only get a point from Liverpool last weekend. That first goal should never have been. I guess its payback for last seasons beach ball incident. Darren Bent seems to be on a roll with scoring, netting both Sunderland goals. Manchester United were once again disappointing away from home in the Premiership. They had to come from behind twice to get a point against Bolton. They had a better time in Spain winning 1-0 against Valencia but both teams were really set out for the 0-0 and it was a late fortunate goal which gave Manchester United the win. I am sure Manchester United will turn their away fortunes around at some point but I'm not willing to back it at 1.83 this weekend. I think over 2.5 goals is the better bet. All 6 of Manchester United's games have been over 2.5 goals. With their not so solid defense and Darren Bent free scoring they are bound to let on in, so they'll need to have an overs game to win. Its even money at bet365.

Tottenham (2) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (4)
Spurs had a good looking win on paper against FC Twente. They were 2-0 up, then conceded, had a man sent off, got a lucky penalty and scored a very late goal. It was one of those 4-1 games that could have been a 2-2. Last weekend they lost to West Ham 1-0. Gerrard Houllier has got off to the perfect start with 2 wins out of 2. Spurs will present a tougher test than Wolves or Blackburn though. I still am siding with the away win. Spurs had a game midweek and I am still not convinced that they have gotten used to playing in Europe then winning in the league. Villa win is 4.0 at most Bookmakers

West Bromwich (2.2) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
West Brom may have shock result of the season. Not only did they outplay Arsenal, winning 3-2, they were 3-0 up with 15 minutes to go. They knocked Man City out of the Carling Cup and beat Birmingham 3-1 in the previous home game. They are the in form team. Bolton played extremely well against Manchester United and fully deserved their 2-2 draw. Johan Elmander looks very threatening for Bolton at last. I will stick with the current form. I worry that some teams outside the top few haven't got 3 wins in a row in them but you can't go against a team that has just won at Arsenal 3-2. West Brom are 2.2 at PaddyPower.

West Ham (2.38) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.5)
Just when I was writing off West Ham this season they get a draw at Stoke, beat Sunderland away from home (in the Carling Cup) and then beat Spurs. Grant has got them playing as a team now. I think Fulham have take a step back under Mark Hughes. Unbeaten but they have only won 1 game, drawing the other 5. They created few chances against Everton last weekend and 0-0 was a fair result. I am going to go with West Ham to carry on their resurgence. Its 2.38 at Betfred for the West Ham win.

3rd October 2010

Manchester City (1.5) Draw (4.5) Newcastle United (8.5)
Great result for City last weekend against Chelsea. They outplayed them in a dull game and fully deserved the 1-0 win. On paper, they do have potentially a better team than Chelsea and it was just a case of whether they would gell at the right time. Newcastle were good against Stoke and going in to the break 1-0 they looked comfortable winners but Stoke came back and won 2-1. A little more consistency is needed. I probably could make the case for the Newcastle win. They did beat Chelsea's (strongish) Carling Cup side 4-3. I am going to go for the home win though and put last week's freak results behind. I think City will make top 4 this season. 1.5 is a great price for any top 4 team at home against a bottom tier team. Its 1.5 at William Hill
.

Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5) Blackpool (11)
Liverpool's season is going from bad to worse. In a game on paper, they should have won easily, they needed a referee's mistake to earn them a point. There were signs of improvement but from a very bad start. Blackpool should have really settled for the draw against Blackburn last weekend. They lost because they went for the win. I know what Ian Holloway means when he says that draws don't keep you up but better to have 1 point than 0. I really can't see Blackpool getting anything here. They have had 2 shock away wins so far but against the big teams they have got spanked pretty hard. Liverpool win but to be honest 1.33 doesn't appeal to me at all. I am still unsure whether Liverpool are a big team this year.

Chelsea (1.75) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (5.5)
Chelsea were brought crashing down to reality with the 1-0 loss at Manchester City last weekend. Many people thought they would walk the league this season (including myself) but they have shown that against strong opposition they can fail. Arsenal were humiliated last weekend by West Brom. Even Wenger, who usually defends his players or blames someone else, blamed his players. Its tough for Arsenal with all the players out though. Fabregas is very doubtful for this game and his role is vital if Arsenal are going to get anything from this. Usually, I would be saying back Arsenal at 5.5. How often does that happen? With all the injuries though, I can't see them getting anything here. Chelsea are 1.75 at Boylesports.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 24 Sep 2010 14:00:02 +0000
25th -26th September 2010
25th September 2010

Manchester City (3.6) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.2)
First proper game of the season for Chelsea. We'll see if the are really champions elect or just been lucky with some easy fixtures. Both teams were knocked out of the Carling Cup mideweek. I'll not read too much in to that as both must have had one eye on this fixture and didn't play full strength sides. City saw off Wigan last weekend 2-0 in a game. There was little between the two sides until City scored. Chelsea more or less declared last weekend against Blackpool, 4-0 up at half time they didn't push any further. City did the double over Chelsea last season. I don't think it will happen this time. I will go for Chelsea at 2.2 at Totesport. Even though they have been playing cannon fodder type teams it still takes class to fire on average 4 goals past a team.

Arsenal (1.22) Draw (6.5) West Bromwich (18)
Arsenal kids beat Spurs midweek. Its pretty much the story of Arsenal. I remember a few years ago thinking that their youth side was just as good as their senior side. Arsenal were probably a little unlucky not go get all 3 points from Sunderland last weekend. They played most of the second half with 10 men and missed a penalty. West Brom's weakened side managed to see off Manchester City's weakened side midweek. It'll be a different team this time. That team came back from 1-0 down to beat Birmingham 3-1 last week. I am still unsure about Arsenal's strength but am willing to back them this week on the handicap. When they do win against these sort of sides, they usually win big. Arsenal -1.75 is 2.05 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. Basically, 1 goal win (lose bet), 2 goal win (win half), 3+ goal win (full win).

Birmingham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Wigan (5)
Birmingham were one of the sides that did the Premiership proud in the Carling Cup, seeing off MK Dons 3-1. Last weekend they beaten 3-1 in the derby against West Brom. They were leading but some terrible mistakes allowed West Brom to take all 3 points. Wigan also saw off lower league opposition in the Carling Cup but it took 2 very late goals. Last weekend, they match City until they conceded. Sloppy defending let them down. I don't like the odds on the home win here, 1.83 is a little low for me. Birmingham aren't pulling up any trees and Wigan can turn it up on occasions, just look at Spurs a few weeks ago. I think the best bet is the draw at 3.6 at Betfred.

Blackpool (3.25) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (2.4)
Blackpool got knocked of the Carling Cup in the second round so didn't have a midweek game. Last weekend only a slow down on Chelsea's part stopped them getting totally humiliated at Stamford Bridge. This is Blackpool's second game at home this season. The first finished in a 2-2 draw against Fulham. Balckburn have had a typical mid-table looking kind of season so far. Their manager, Sam Allardyce has come under a bit of ridicule this week for suggesting he would be better at at Inter Milan or Real Madrid. In terms of betting, I see more value in the home side at 3.25 at Betfred than backing Blackburn. Blackpool have had more time to prepare and home advantage. They did look clueless against Chelsea but I think they can bounce back here with a win.

Fulham (2.75) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.8)
Fulham have had a good start to the season considering their fixtures. 1 win and 4 draws. It will take time for the new manager to get the most of his team but he's already improved on Fulham's abysmal away record in recent seasons. Everton are almost at crisis point. With no injuries at the start of the season they started off very poorly. Now with Saha and Anichebe out they only have Yakubu as a striker. They were knocked out of the Carling Cup by Brentford midweek. Looking at the team it looked more or less their full side. Usually I would be jumping all over Fulham here. I think I still may do. The odds just don't seem right to me. How can an unbeaten side, strong at home only be slight favorites for this game against a team that has only drawn 2 home games and lost the other 3? Maybe the bookies think that this is the week when Everton's season gets started.

Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.5) Sunderland (8.5)
16th place seems strange for Liverpool. I can't recall them ever been there. Only 5 points from 5 and their only win being 1-0 at home against West Brom. Getting dumped out of the Carling Cup by Northampton was a major setback too. The full strength side should be back for this game though so we should see a much better performance. Last weekend they were largely outclassed by Manchester United though and so even at full strength they are a shadow of former Liverpool teams. Sunderland hung on in the game against Arsenal last week and were rewarded with a stoppage time penalty which they scored to salvage a point. Away from home they are a different beat though and don't pull out those types of performances. The was Liverpool are playing it doesn't make sense for them to be at 1.5. It should be more profitable to oppose them most weeks at those odds unless they get their act together. Sunderland +1 goal on the Asian Handicap is 2.18 at Ladbrokes.

West Ham (3.75) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.1)
Some good news for West Ham at last. They managed to follow up their point at Stoke with a 2-1 away win against Sunderland in the Carling Cup. The turning point in their season maybe? Spurs experimental side got thrashed 4-1 in the Carling Cup but I doubt Harry Redknapp will care. Its the Champions League next week and the Premiership that matter. I am going to go Spurs on this. West Ham have shown improvement but from a dismal start. Spurs need to be winning these types of games if they are going to qualify for the Champions League again. Spurs at 2.1 is generally available.

26th September 2010

Bolton (8) Draw (4.3) Manchester United (1.53)
Bolton look likely not to be facing the relegation scrap this year. Still early days but only the single defeat at Arsenal isn't too bad a start. Last week they got a good point away at Villa. Manchester United have been struggling a bit away from home with late goals. They were winning in normal time at both Fulham and Everton but were pegged back. I guess Ferguson will have learnt his lesson. Against Liverpool last week they were clearly the better side but it took at late goal to get all 3 points. Berbatov is finally playing like the world class player he is which is fortunate as Rooney is going through a massive loss of form period. Odds of 1.53 are a bit short for Manchester United. I can't see Bolton just rolling over here. I do like the look over over 2.5 goals at bet365. All 5 Permiership games have ended up over 2.5 goals and so have 3/5 games for Bolton.

Wolverhampton (2.88) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.6)
Wolves were beating Spurs 1-0 up until the 77th minute and then 2 more very late goals put a nice look to the scoreline. Wolves battled hard and maybe deserved something from the game. Gerrard Houllier had a good start in the Carling Cup beating Blackburn 3-1. I can see this being a bit of a sterner test though. I can't decide what to go for. New managers always give teams a boost first few games but Wolves are under rated to me. I'll go for the draw then. Its 3.4 at Betfred.

Newcastle United (2) Draw (3.5) Stoke (4.2)
Stunning performance at Everton and Chelsea by Newcastle. The 2-0 home defeat at home to Blackpool has already been forgiven by most. I've changed my opinion of Newcastle. Stoke came out winners too in their Carling Cup game but that was at home to Fulham. In the league, they have been a little unlucky and I thought they had turned the corner with the win against Villa but then they go on to draw at home to a poor West Ham side. Its Newcastle all the way for me. Stoke have never been as good away from home and Newcastle would like to banish the Blackpool result with a solid win. Its 2.0 for Newcastle at Skybet.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 17 Sep 2010 16:41:55 +0000
18th -19th September 2010
18th September 2010

Stoke (1.91) Draw (3.5) West Ham (4.5)
Terrific result for Stoke Monday. 1-0 down at half time, they fought back to win 2-1 with practically the last kick of the game. Stoke should be able to build on that after some unlucky results. West Ham will be without their manager due to Yom Kippur. That may not be such a bad thing considering their results so far this season. No wins and letting in 12 goals in just 4 games, things are already looking bleak. They are a relatively new team so will take a little more time to gel. If not, it'll be Championship football next season for them. I don't really give West Ham a chance in this game. Stoke opened at 2.0 and the odds have dropped. Best price is now 1.91 at most places.

Aston Villa (1.83) Draw (3.6) Bolton (5)
Villa outplayed Stoke first half last game but Stoked raised their game and Villa ended up losing 2-1. This could be the last game in charge for caretaker manager Kevin MacDonald with Gerrard Houllier taking over next week. They seem to be doing the exact opposite of Villa of the last few years in that they are winning their home games and losing their away games. Bolton had a good game at Arsenal only trailing 2-1 when Gary Cahill got sent off. Pretty much game over after that. He will be missing for this game which will be a big miss. In terms of betting, I'll stick with form and just for a Villa home win. Its 1.83 at Boylesports.

Blackburn (2.1) Draw (3.4) Fulham (4)
Blackburn did a good job getting a point at Manchester City last week. They took an early lead and managed to hold on for the draw despite all the City pressure. Fulham scored a late goal to win against Wolves last weekend. The game was overshadowed by Booby Zamora breaking his leg. He'll be out for at least 4 months now which will be a big loss for them. Home advantage makes this pick fairly easy. Blackburn are strong at home and Fulham are poor away from home. Blackburn win is 2.1 at Skybet.

Everton (1.67) Draw (3.8) Newcastle United (6.3)
Unreal game last weekend for Everton and Manchester United. Everton were 3-1 down in stoppage time and managed to score twice to level the game 3-3. Excellent character shown by Everton there. Some of it was down to Manchester United easing off thinking they had the game in bag. Newcastle could not follow up their recent form results. They lost 2-0 at home to Blackpool last week. Looking at the odds, Everton look a bit short to me. They are second bottom of the league without a win. I know they will pick up their game sometime but at 1.67 I am not willing to risk it. I think the draw at 3.8 at PaddyPower is the value bet. I'll not trust Newcastle to get an away win here.

Tottenham (1.5) Draw (4.5) Wolverhampton (8.5)
Spurs disappointed last weekend at West Brom only managing a draw. In their midweek Champions League game they let a 2-0 lead slip and ended up with a 2-2 draw away in Bremen. Last time they had a Champions League game they came back and lost 1-0 at home to Wigan. Wolves gave it a good go at Fulham and could have won the game. In those last few minutes it could have gone either way. Wolves really are looking like a Premiership team. Last season, they did the double over Spurs. I think the bookmakers have put this in to the price. I was expecting Spurs to be shorter. Wolves still look tasty at 8.5 at Skybet.

West Bromwich (2.38) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.25)
West Brom have recovered well since the opening day thrashing at Chelsea. They were unlucky to lose at Liverpool and held Spurs 1-1 last week. Birmingham drew 0-0 last weekend against Liverpool in a game where they could easily won. This game will have a lot of interest in the Midlands but I can't see myself getting excited about it. At first glance it looks like a draw to me but I wouldn't want to put any money on this game.

Sunderland (5.5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.7)
Sunderland played most of last weeks game against Wigan with 10 men and were only denied all 3 points by a late equalizer. Arsenal come in to this game on a high after thrashing Braga 6-0. Thats what happens to you if you try to play football against Arsenal, they will hit you on the counter and run up these scores. I am sure Steve Bruce will not make that same mistake. Sunderland won this game 1-0 last season and drew 1-1 the year before. I am still not sure about Arsenal with all those players out. Sunderland at 5.5 at William Hill looks a good bet to me. Teams generally do worse after a Champions League game and Sunderland could well take advantage of that.

19th September 2010

Manchester United (1.73) Draw (3.75) Liverpool (5.5)
An extremely bad week for Manchester United, first they throw away a 3-1 lead at Everton and then they only managed a 0-0 draw against Rangers in the Champions League. To be fair I think Alex Ferguson thought he could beat Rangers with a B side. With the full side back I think they will do a lot better. Liverpool looked poor against Birmingham last weekend. Torres just looked so off the pace. In the Euopra League game they beat Steaua Bucurest 4-1. That scoreline was a bit flattering to them. Liverpool always seem to raise their game against Manchester United but this time I don't think they have the players to do it. Manchester United at 1.73 at PaddyPower for me. Odds are rising though so you'll probably get a better price closer to kick off.

Wigan (5) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.8)
Wigan only managed to draw against Sunderland last weekend despite having an extra man for most of the game. With Sunderlands general poor away record I would have expected better of them. I still think that the result against Spurs a few weeks ago was a fluke. Manchester City are lacking any form. If they were true title contenders then they really should have got all 6 points from their last 2 league games. Instead they drew 1-1 against Blackburn at home and lost away to Sunderland. They had a good result in Austria in the Europa League but that wasn't Premiership standard. I still will go for a City win though. Wigan have not convinced me they are a Premiership side and City have the players to really give them a good hiding. Its 1.8 at VC Bet.

Chelsea (1.11) Draw (10) Blackpool (29)
Can anyone stop the Chelsea juggernaut this season? Someone will but it won't be Blackpool at Stamford Bridge. 1.11 for a home side in the Premiership is the lowest I've seen. Bookies are really sure that Chelsea will win this. Hard to argue with them. Beating Newcastle and Wigan away is one thing but going to Bridge in a normal season is hard but Chelsea seem to be hammering teams like this for fun. I guess its Chelsea on the handicap then. One the Asian Handicap -2.5 its 1.82 at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips

Thu, 09 Sep 2010 17:14:52 +0000
11th -12th September 2010

11th September 2010

Everton (4.5) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (1.91)
A slow start for Everton put them in the bottom 3 after 3 games. Their only point was at home to Wolves. That was their only time they have scored in the league this season. With Fellaini not playing too well and Saha and Yajubu injured it'll be up to Cahill and Arteta to get the goals. Manchester United have no major problems coming in to this game. Well apart from maybe the stick that Rooney is going to get about his personal life. He's had a good week off on international duty though and scoring a goal against Switzerland must have done his confidence no end of good. The last couple of seasons haven't been good for Manchester United here. Last year they lost 3-1 and the year before that was 1-1 draw. I just can't see Everton scoring in this game though and if they do am sure Manchester United can score one more than them. Its Manchester United for me. Its 1.91 at 888sport.

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6) Bolton (15)
Bad times for Arsenal with the Walcott injury. He's been instrumental in them picking up points in their last 2 games. With Van Persie, Nasri and Bendtner out, it looks like they may have problems shooting. Bolton are a different team under Owen Coyle and are playing some pretty football now. This may play in to Arsenal's hands but as the old Bolton didn't have much joy against Arsenal (7 league losses in a row) it may be worth a try. Bolton have started the season fairly well and were resilient when they back against Birmingham in the last game even though they were down to 10 men. I can't be bringing myself to be backing Arsenal at such short odds especially with their injuries. The draw price looks big but I'll skip this game from a betting perspective.

Fulham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (5)
Could this be the first win for Fulham. 3 out of 3 draws so far. To be fair Fulham's strength has always been at home and their only home game so far has been against Manchester United so a point there was good and they deserved it. I am liking the look of Wolves to stay up. Mick McCarthy has them playing like a Premiership side. Saying that though, Newcastle were looking the more likely to win in their last game. I just don't think the odds here represent the probabilities. Fulham shouldn't be odds on here. Maybe something like 2.2. Wolves aren't a bad side and Fulham under Mark Hughes is still to be proven. I'll go for the draw at 3.6 at Betfred.

Manchester City (1.36) Draw (5) Blackburn (11)
Manchester City maybe are a Jekyll and Hyde, home and away side. The were very disappointing last game out and Sunderland. Maybe if Tevez didn't miss his sitter it would have been different but he did and it allowed Darren Bent to score a late penalty to snatch all 3 points. Blackburn played a good game against Arsenal last game but didn't create enough chances when they had possession. Blackburn were terrible away from home last season and I expect more of the same from them. 1.36 does seem a bit short on Man City but they are potentially a top 4 side and I did see what they did to Liverpool when they were at home. Man City -1 on the 1X2 handicap (so have to win by 2 clears goals for bet to come in) is even money at PaddyPower.

Newcastle United (1.62) Draw (4) Blackpool (6)
Maybe I did get Newcastle wrong. An inept performance against Manchester United at Old Trafford and I'd almost written them off. However they spanked Villa 6-0 and then came from 1-0 behind to Wolves to get a good draw. They looked more the likely to score too. Blackpool went on a little roller coaster ride last game with Fulham, 1-0 down, then 2-1 up and finishing 2-2. They did deserve to win that game though as they dominated for long periods. I am not convinced the odds should be so one sided here. 1.62 for a newly promoted team seems really short to me. I would much rather go for the away win at 6.0. Looks like most punters disagree with that so check closer to kick off and you'll get an even better price by the looks of things.

West Bromwich (4) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.1)
West Brom put in a good performance against Liverpool last game and maybe should have got something out of it. On another day they may well have had a penalty for a handball and the game would have ended 1-1 instead of 1-0. Nothing wrong with the way West Brom have picked themselves up after that opening day thrashing. Possibly shock of the season last round when Wigan beat Spurs 1-0. I was discussing this with a friend and he said he saw it coming. Midweek Champions League games take it out of teams and Wigan couldn't carry on getting thrashed to nil. Anyway, it will be good to see how Spurs respond to the set back. With Defoe out and possibly Crouch they could struggle to score goals. Saying that, I was expecting them to be odds on for this game, so 2.1 is a price I will take at Ladbrokes for the Spurs win.

West Ham (12) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.33)
West Ham are in for the relegation fight. I guess Averam Grant isn't really a top, top flight manager or just needs a bit more time to get his team together. Even against a sluggish looking Machester United they were beat 3-0. In fact the only team so far this season that hasn't put 3 past them is Oxford United. The Chelsea machine goes on. As I thought they couldn't carry on stream rolling teams but winning without conceding seems to be with in their comfort zone. 2-0 against Stoke was a good result. I'm just going to go for the same bet as last time, Chelsea to win to nil at 2.38 at 888sport. Seems utter madness that a team 1.33 is 2.38 to win to nil.

Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3)
First points of the season for Wigan last time out against a poor looking Spurs side. Maybe the Champions League tired Spurs out or maybe Wigan were sick of getting thrashed and wanted revenge for last seasons 9-1 humiliation. Whatever the reason, the win would have done wonders for their confidence. Sunderland rode their luck in the first half against Manchester City and got a penalty deep in to stoppage time at the end of the 90. Darren Bent scored that and they won the game. Sunderland are another one of those sides that you can't trust away from home though and I'll not be backing them. Looking at 1X but leaning more towards the draw. Wigan aren't a side I don't think that can pull out consecutive good performances and the draw is the best price on the coupon. Its 3.3 at Betfred.

12th September 2010

Birmingham (3.3) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.4)
Birmingham were the better side against Bolton last round. 2-0 up and against 10 men they will be kicking themselves for not getting all 3 points. Liverpool are in deep trouble in my opinion. Kuyt, one of their better players is out and Torres had a long trip to Argentina with Spain midweek. Even though Torres scored last round he's not been in form at all and a long trip like that won't help. Liverpool barely deserved to beat West Brom last round and this game will be a lot tougher for them. I think this game has draw written all over it. Its 3.3 at Betfred.

Euro 2012 Qualifiers

Thu, 02 Sep 2010 21:15:12 +0000

England (1.33) Draw (5.0) Bulgaria (13.0)

On paper this looks like a formality for England. I'm not too sure. Lots of changes in the England side. Its needed as they were shocking at the World Cup and in the last game only a brilliant few minutes from Gerrard saved them from embarrassment. Its pretty hard to see who Capello is going to turn this England team around. The 'golden generation' is old now and there aren't obvious successors. I still think Rooney is well over rated and its hard to see where the England goals are going to come from. Maybe Gerrard can step up again.

No Berbatov for Bulgaria and in current form that's a loss. In the past he has been a liability for them though. The didn't do too badly last World Cup qualifying campaign. They came 3rd after Italy and the Republic of Ireland. They only lost 2 game in all. It could be argued they were in a very weak group though as Italy did worse than England in the World Cup and Ireland didn't manage to beat France to get to South Africa.

The last time I bet on England they cost me quite a bit losing to Germany. Fool me once shame on you, fool me twice shame on me. I'll not be backing them this time. 1.3 is just way too short. I suppose that's all you can expect for England against a smaller European side but it doesn't appeal me to at all. The draw is probably the best option for value punters but I'll skip this game.

Slovenia (1.62) Draw (3.75) N Ireland (6.5)

We know a bit Slovenia as they were the only team England managed to beat in the World Cup. It was 1-0 and that was enough to knock Slovenia out. They played a decent enough game though. Recall, they did knock Russia out to get to the World Cup. In the last friendly game they beat Australia 2-0.

Northern Ireland are having problems scoring. No goal in the last 7 games. They are really a class below Slovenia in terms of world football. N Ireland can get results at home but away from home, like most mid-ability sides, struggle.

1.62 seems a fair price to me. I do prefer the win to nil market on this though. Its 2.4 at Totesport. More than double the payback for more or less the same bet in my opinion.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 28 Aug 2010 00:35:34 +0000
28th -29th August
28th August 2010

Blackburn (6) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.67)
Blackburn have had the start that could have easily been predicted. One win at home and one on the road. Last weekend they had a penalty saved by Ben Foster then went on to lose the game against Birmingham. A bit unlucky there I think. Arsenal thrashed 10 man Blackpool 6-0 and looked like they were potential champions. I think anyone could do that though against 10 men Blackpool though. This will be a much tougher test for Arsenal. Last year this fixture ended up 2-1 to Blackburn and ended Arsenal's faint hope of winning the league. I don't think Arsenal should be so heavy favourites here. 6.0 is a big price for the home win and I'd be more inclined to back that then the 1.67 on Arsenal. However, I am going to go for an over 2.5 goals bet. Its 1,88 at bet365. There have been goals galore in the Premiership so far and the last 4 meetings between these sides have produced over 2.5 goals.

Blackpool (3.2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.38)
Unlucky for Blackpool at Arsenal last week. 11 against 11 they may have had a chance but they had a man sent off and that was pretty much game over. First home game of the season for Blackpool so maybe they'll get more of a boost than usual for being the home side. Fulham were great against Manchester United last week and really did deserve the draw. Nani's penalty miss helped but they played well enough for a point. On the road they seem to be a different team though and I am not as convinced that they will play as well away from home. Its a tricky one but the draw seems the best bet to me. Its the biggest price on the coupon too, 3.4 at bet365. Maybe a 0-0. .

Chelsea (1.13) Draw (9) Stoke (29)
Chelsea seem to like thrashing teams 6-0 but I don't think its going to happen again this weekend. Last season it was 7-0 to Chelsea so maybe its possible but unlikely. 1.13 is about as low as I've seen a Premiership home side. Stoke are of course a better side than Wigan or West Brom so I'd want better odds than 1.13. Stoke were a bit unlucky against Spurs last weekend and should have got a point. In terms of betting I am going to stick with betting on Chelsea to win to nil. I can't believe Coral are offering 1.91 on this.

Tottenham (1.29) Draw (6) Wigan (15)
Spurs got through to the Champions League proper in Style thrashing Young Boys 4-0 on the return leg and made the aggregate score look a lot more respectable (6-3). They were a bit fortunate to beat Stoke last weekend but they did. Wigan's season could well be going from bad to worse to write off. 10 goals conceded in the first 2 games and none scored. I don't think that a 3-0 away win to Hartlepool is much of a boost to them coming in to this tough fixture. I remember last season I tipped Wigan to cause and upset here. They lost 9-1. Spurs win for sure but I think I will go on the overs market. Its 1.53 at Bodog. That basically covers every home win apart from the 1-0 and 2-0. I can see Spurs winning by a different margin to that so I think its a better bet.

Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Newcastle United (3.1)
Wolves got a good point at Everton, they rode their luck a bit in the first half but fully deserved their point. They are looking like a Premiership team now. Newcastle thrashed Villa 6-0. No one was expecting that. It could have been all so different if Carew would have scored Villa's penalty but he blazed it over the bar and 2 minutes later, Newcastle were 1 up. Villa just fell apart after that. Maybe things aren't as dire for Newcastle as I thought. I will still go with the home win here though. 2.5 is a good price I think against a Newcastle side that looked inept away from home a couple of weeks ago. Its 2.5 at VC Bet.

Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) West Ham (23)
Manchester United could have sealed victory at Fulham last weekend but Nani missed what was to be a vital penalty. To their credit Fulham never gave up and deserved the point. Manchester United cannot afford to drop points here if they are going to keep up with Chelsea. West Ham are only not rock bottom because Wigan have been so dire. Their top players really need to step up if they are going to avoid a relegation fight. A 1-0 win over Oxford United (90th minute goal) will not have done their confidence any good either. Looking around for a betting angle here, Manchester United to win to nil is 1.73 at Ladbrokes. I don't see why its more likely that Manchester United are to win to nil than Chelsea but thats what the odds say. I am expecting a goal fest here and when that happens the anytime goal scorer market looks decent. Wayne Rooney is 1.62 which is some type of bookie joke I think. Berbatov looks decent at even money at Boylesports though.

29th August 2010

Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.8)
Bolton seem to be getting back to the side they were under Sam Aladyce, ie, hard to beat. They may have been fortunate that West Ham missed a penalty but a 3-1 away win is usually the sign of a great team. Striker, Johan Elmander scored 2 goals in that victory and looks like he can cause any defence problems. Birmingham could be one of the luckier sides this year. They have 4 points but could easily had 0 points and could not complain. They have come from behind twice and were very fortunate last weekend to get all 3 points from Blackburn. I am going for a home win here. Bolton have won the last 3 games here against Birmingham and I can't see why this can't be number 4. Bolton win is 2.2 at PaddyPower.

Liverpool (1.25) Draw (6) West Bromwich (15)
Bad times for Liverpool. The first game against Arsenal provided a lot of positives but the game at City was worrying. They progressed in the Europa League without Torres or Gerrard thanks to a couple of late goals. Some comfort I suppose but its not looking good for Liverpool to regain a top 4 spot. Lucky for them they are West Brom this weekend. West Brom scored a late goal against Sunderland to win 1-0. I don't think Liverpool should be mega favourites here. I recall last year they drew some of these supposedly easy games. I won't be in a hurry to be backing West Brom at 15.0 though. If I had to bet, I suppose I'd go for the draw but I'll skip this one.

Sunderland (4.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (1.91)
Sunderland were well beaten by West Brom even though the score was 1-0. That was away from home though. At home they play a lot better. They would have beat Birmingham if they kept 10 men on the field. Manchester City put a market down last week with a 3-0 win over Liverpool. It looked like Mancini has got the players playing together. It could well be a home and away thing though. They were terrible away to Spurs the week before. I think I will go for the City win though. 1.91 is good price if you consider what an established Big 4 team would be in this fixture. Its 1.91 at Totesport.

Aston Villa (2.7) Draw (3.3) Everton (3)
I don't know what happened to Villa last weekend. All the signs pointed to an away win but they crumbled and got spanked 6-0. Just as worrying is that they were dumped out of the Europa League too with a 3-2 home loss against Rapid Wien. Everton could only manage a draw against Wolves at home but at least they made good midweek with a 5-1 thrashing of Huddersfield in the Carling Cup. They will be going into this game with a solid manager and more confidence for sure. Betting wise I can see all outcomes as not being a surprise. Times like this I usually go for the draw. 3.3 is the biggest price on the coupon so there's some value there I think. It's been a draw the last 3 games I was going to go for the both teams to score option but the odds are a bit low I think. Draw 3.3 at Betfred.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 21 Aug 2010 01:36:18 +0000
21st - 23rd August 2010
21st August 2010

Arsenal (1.18) Draw (7.5) Blackpool (19)
This should be the easiest game on the coupon this week. Can I really make a case for not backing a 1.18 bet? Well, Arsenal didn't look very good against the 10 men of Liverpool. It was only a rare error from Reina that allowed Arsenal to get a point. The still are playing straight down the middle and don't shoot enough. Blackpool currently sit second in the table. Wigan were terrible rather than Blackpool being any good. This brings back memories of Hull 2 years ago when they won 2-1. From a betting point of view I think I'll skip this game. It could easily be a 3-0 win to Arsenal but I think there will be better times to back Arsenal at such short odds.

Birmingham (2.3) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3.4)
Birmingham got a good draw at Sunderland last weekend. 2-0 down, they bought it back to 2-2 after Sunderland had a man sent off. Blackburn got a got win against Everton. That was at home though and last season Blackburn were terrible on the road. Birmingham had a terrific home record but a lot of those home points were draws. Not good for the punter. My initial thought was under 2.5 goals but looking back at the stats, both games last season ended up over and so did the 4 games before that. You can get 2.54 before commission on Betfair for there to be over 2.5 goals.

Everton (1.53) Draw (4.3) Wolverhampton (8)
Everton were beat at Blackburn last week. It wasn't only the defeat that was hard to stomach but the performance wasn't that good either. They didn't create enough chances. Wolves made some good signings this summer and it showed against Stoke. Wolves are looking more like a Premiership side now. Looking at the odds I'd have to go with Wolves. Everton can be slow starters in the league and 1.53 is way too short a price for them. Wolves are 8.0 at William Hill.

Stoke (3.3) Draw (3.3) Tottenham (2.4)
Stoke lost to Wolves 2-1 last weekend. Stoke's strength has always been at home though. Last season their home form wasn't the best but they still won more games than they lost. Spurs started off terribly against Young Boys in Switzerland. They were 3-0 down after about half an hour. They pulled it back to 3-2 though and are heavily favoured to go through to the Champions League proper. Last weekend, they should have really beaten Man City. If it wasn't for the stunning performance of Joe Hart they would have done. For this game I can see no winner. The draw is 3.3 at Coral.

West Bromwich (2.5) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3)
West Brom got a good thumping at Chelsea. Everyone was expecting them to lose but 6-0 is a pasting. Teams generally bounce back strongly after a heavy defeat. Sunderland were cruising when Cattermole got sent off and cost Sunderland the win. Away from home, Sunderland were pretty shocking last season though and I'm not willing to even consider backing them until I see some evidence they can play away from home. West Brom know that they must bounce back strong or their stay in the Premiership will be short. I'm willing to back them to bounce back here. They are 2.5 at Totesport.

West Ham (2.3) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.4)
West Ham weren't good in their 3-0 defeat at Villa last weekend. Avram Grant looks like he needs more time to get them playing together but is also resigned to the fact they are already in a relegation scrap, Bolton played well against Fulham in their 0-0 draw. Still, I think that at the end of the season Bolton may be down there with West Ham fighting it out with a handful of other clubs. In terms of betting, this game is tough. Two poor sides and where any result would not be a shocker. I'll skip this one.

Wigan (15) Draw (6) Chelsea (1.29)
Wigan were shocking against Blackpool and lost 4-0. Bad times for Martinez and his Wigan side. Chelsea set the standard by beating West Brom 6-0. The last game of the season last year was Chelsea/ Wigan at Stamford Bridge and Chelsea won 8-0. This fixture did end up 3-1 though so there is some hope. I said before that after teams get thumped they usually come back strong but when your next game is Chelsea, I'll pass on backing them. 1.29 is a low price on the away win though. I don't think I've seen that in the Premiership before. I am going to go for Chelsea to win to nil. Ladbrokes have this at even money.

22nd August 2010

Newcastle United (3.1) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.5)
Newcastle were poor against Manchester United. I didn't see anything that makes me think that they are a Premiership side. A 3-0 loss was actually pretty good as it could have been 6-0 and you'd have had no complaints. Odds on Villa drifted out last weekend when O'Neil left. From the performance they pulled out against West Ham it showed that they maybe better off without him. They have had a mid=-week game in Vienna which they drew 0-0 but I don't think they took their full side. I didn't recognise half the team so they should be fresh for this encounter. Its Villa all day long for me and 2.5 is a great price at Skybet.

Fulham (6.5) Draw (4) Manchester United (1.62)
First home game for Fulham under Mark Hughes. This fixture has been good to Fulham the last couple of years. 2 years ago Paul Scholes got sent off and Fulham won 2-0 and last year Man U had only one fit defender and lost 3-0. I get the feeling they'd be happy with a draw this season though. Man U have looked great. If only Rooney could get his scoring boots back. Berbatov has stepped up this season and is actually playing as part of the team. I don't like the 1.62 on the Man U win but I think they will win this. A bit too short considering Fulham's home record but I will still back Man U. Its 1.62 at Totesport.

23rd August 2010

Manchester City (2.4) Draw (3.25) Liverpool (3.3)
Both teams had difficult games to start off the season. Man City really should have lost at Spurs. They didn't really look like a team that has gelled yet or have got the first team sorted. Liverpool should have beaten Arsenal last weekend even though they played the second half with 10 men. Liverpool were shocking away from home last season so I am not too keen on tipping them. This looks like one of those games that is destined to end up in a 1-1 draw. The draw is 3.25 at most Bookmakers
.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 13 Aug 2010 13:07:37 +0000
14th - 16th August 2010
14th August 2010

Tottenham (2.4) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (3.1)
Its the new big 4 team vs the wannabe big for team. Harry Redknapp has more or less kept the same side whereas Manchester City have pulled out the chequebook again. This is a tricky fixture to call. Man City will have problems getting the new signings all working together. Their pre-season was pretty poor. Its going to be hard for Mancini to get them all working together on day one. After Christmas maybe when the team has gelled I could make a good case for City. This fixture has been kind for Spurs over the years. Its been 2-1 5 times in a row only to have been broken last year 3-0. I'll go for Spurs here. If they are going to build on last years achievement then this is the type of game they have to win. Its 2.4 at William Hill. Over 2.5 goals at 2.05 looks a good bet too. Its happened 6 times in a row already and I can't see why it won't happen again this season.

Aston Villa (2) Draw (3.4) West Ham (4.3)
Last week this game had a totally different dimension. With O'Neil leaving, it leaves Villa with no manager. This has pushed the odds out for Villa. They were as low as 1.62 before O'Neil's departure. Villa have made new signings to its going to be the same team that finished 6th. West Ham are in the rebuilding stage. With Avram Grant at the helm this year they probably won't be staring relegation in the face like last season. I can see why the odds have gone up on Villa but I am not sure I agree with that. Its the same team but with O'Neil. I think that Villa at even money at bet365 is a pretty good price considering.

Blackburn (3) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.5)
I think that Blackburn will struggle this season. They were fortunate to finish 10th last season and with no new significant signings it will be hard not to get pulled in to the relegation battle. Everton finished strongly last season and are expected to do better than the 8th they finished last season. If they hadn't has the slow start last season they could well have been in the Champions League. As no team has significantly changed I'll make my prediction on what would have happened if this game was played at the end of last season. I think a draw. Its also nice its the biggest price on the coupon too. 3.3 at William Hill.

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.5)
Bolton look like they are going to have a better season this year. Owen Coyle steered them away from relegation last year and has built significantly on his squad. Fulham have a new manager in Mark Hughes who must be kicking himself for taking that job now the Villa job is available. Saying that, Fulham are a decent side and have progressed much over the last 2 years. In terms of betting, this is one of the trickier fixtures to call. I am not too keen on Bolton at 2.3 at home to a decent Fulham side but then again I am not too keen on 3.5 on a Fulham side that won once away from home all season. I'll plump for the draw again at 3.3 at William Hill

Sunderland (2.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.6)
What happened to Sunderland last season was a mystery. They started strong but a bad run at the end meant they finished nearer the bottom that the top. They have sold one part of their striking partnership in Kenwyne Jones but still have Darren Bent. He was injured for the England game midweek but looks like he's going to start. Birmingham over achieved last season I think. I can't see them doing what they did last season again. Betting wise its a tricky one and any result wouldn't be too much of a surprise. I think I will go for a cheeky scorecast. Paddypower have Darren Bent to score first and Sunderland to win 1-0 at 20/1, This is a cracking price considering the same bet at Bet365 is 14/1. Paddypower are also refunding scorecast bets if the game ends 0-0 too so thats a bit of insurance for you. Sign up to PaddyPower and get a free £25 bet.

Wigan (1.83) Draw (3.6) Blackpool (5)
The first odds on game of the weekend. Who would have thought that Wigan would ever be odds on to anyone in the Premiership? Their opponents are Blackpool though that are 1.29 to get relegated. If Wigan fail to win this they will struggle this year. Blackpool have a few things on their side. They more or less have the same side which came up. Hull came up a couple of seasons ago and started off flying. If they are going to win any games away from home this season this could well be it. I still expect Wigan to win this though but not willing to back it. It'll be a cold day in hell before I back Wigan at odds on in the Premiership.

Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.3)
Wolves have strengthened their side with new signings Jelle van Damme, Steven Fletcher and Steven Mouyokolo who are all expected to start. Unknown players to me but Jelle van Damme has got to have the coolest name in the Premiership. Kenwyne Jones is Stoke's big summer signing which could be good for them. They've never had an out and out striker relying more on set pieces to get their goals. Betting wise this is another tricky call. I think under 2.5 goals is nailed on but at 1.63 best price at Bet365 it doesn't seem worth it. I think the draw at 3.3 looks the best bet. I am weary of picking too many draws though after last seasons total lack of draws early on. Its 3.3 at Totesport anyway.

Chelsea (1.18) Draw (7.5) West Brom (21)
Banker of the weekend possibly. I am not too sure myself. Chelsea will more than likely win this but at 1.18 its not a price that I'll be backing as a single. Last season they had an easy game against Hull and it took a late goal from Drogba to win it. Their pre-season hasn't been good, most noticeably losing to Manchester United in the Community Shield. If you lose at a short price its much more painful that losing at a big price. I think the Chelsea to win to nil at 1.8 at bluesquare
is a much better bet. The bookie is saying that its 4 times less likely that Chelsea win than it is for them to win to nil. That can't be right.

15th August 2010

Liverpool (2.5) Draw (3.3) Arsenal (3)
Liverpool have started their competitive season already with 2 games in the Europa League. They are looking a lot better this season and with the new signings I expect them to do a better. Arsenal have been tipped again by many to run close to winning the league. I am not too sure. They are over rated in my eyes and they showed it at the end of last season. I am looking at the odds here for a Liverpool win and I can't believe they are 2.5. Arsenal did the double over Liverpool last year so maybe that explains it but this year they have a new mananger and some great new signings. Liverpool win for me, its 2.5 at VC Bet. Another bet worth considering is both teams to score. Thats 2.0 at bluesquare. Looking at the stats, in the last 10 games, it would have come in 9 times.

16th August 2010

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6) Newcastle (15)
This looks like the banker of the weekend to me even though its on the Monday. Manchester United looked hungry to win against Chelsea last weekend. This should be a walk in the park for them. Newcastle are back in the Premiership but their stay is unlikely to last long. Looking at the Newcastle side its the worst I've seen ever. 4/1 for them to get relegated looks a decent bet. I think for this gam, Manchester United -1.5 at PaddyPower looks like the bet to have. Its 1.83.

World Cup Final Betting Tips

Sat, 10 Jul 2010 18:04:02 +0000

Netherlands (3.75) Draw (3.5) Spain (2.2)

Its been a disappointing final for me. I would have much preferred Germany in the final but I suppose Spain on paper is a much better finalist. Overall, this has been a poor quality world cup.

The Netherlands edged past Uruguay (3-2) without hitting top form. For long periods of the game its looked like it was going to end in stalemate. A few moments of brilliance surprisingly produced 5 goals. As always Robben looks most likely to score but they do have a lot of potential match winners. They are the only team that have won all their games this world cup, including their qualifiers.

On paper, Spain are a much superior team. After watching most of their games, I haven't seen one where I thought they were great. They just keep hold of the ball and rely on a mistake or a moment of brilliance from Villa. The Spain/ Germany game looked certain to be 0-0 until Puyol popped up with a header. Their last 3 games have ended up 1-0. They have shown that they are beatable, just ask Switzerland. For all Spain's possession in games they don't create may scoring chances.

With regard to betting on this one, I have no strong opinion. The Netherlands do look at bit overpriced considering they knocked out the tournament favourites but Spain are every bit as good as Brazil. When the Netherlands faced Brazil you could get 4.5 on the Netherlands so maybe not overpriced if you go by that.

If you do fancy Spain, William Hill have gone top price at 2.2 whereas VC Bet have gone top price on the most likely scoreline, 1-0 Spain at 6.5. Personally, I'll just enjoy the game and just bet on the gift from Paddypower.

World Cup Semi Final Picks

Mon, 05 Jul 2010 21:04:58 +0000

6 July 2010

Uruguay (7) Draw (3.7) Netherlands (1.67)
Uruguay are very fortunate to be here. With the clock ticking away and the penalties looming, the Ghana side have a shot cleared off the line by Suarez. Ghana miss the penalty and go on to lose in the penalty shoot out. Suarez will miss this game due to suspension. Forlan, one of the performing strikers of the tournament will have to raise his game even more. Defender Lugana came off injured and they looked a lot shakier at the back without him.

The Netherlands were looking out at half time. Brazil a goal up and in control, then a massive goal keeping error allowed them back into the game. After that, Brazil just fell apart. You could sense that the Netherlands were going to win. Credit to the Netherlands though for sticking in there. After Brazil's early goal and all the pressure, a lesser team would have collapsed.

The Netherlands are rightly strong favourites for this game. You have to have a strong team to beat Brazil. Even without all the problems with the Uruguay squad I still would be backing the Netherlands. I don't think they'll collapse like they did in Euro 2008 after a great start. Its 1.67 at VC Bet and its a bet I'd take all day long.

7 July 2010

Germany (2.9) Draw (3.3) Spain (2.7)

Germany really taught Argentina a lesson. Not many teams can beat Argentina 4-0. It makes the score against England not look as bad now. 4-1 is better than 4-0. The German side were so well organised and clinical. I had my doubts over the quality of Germany. I thought they may have looked good compared to the poor sides they have played but after watching the game Saturday I think I have seen the eventual winners. Mueller will be suspended for this game but I am sure Germany will get on fine without him.

Spain squeezed past Paraguay. It was looking like extra time until Villa scored the goal. Spain could have easily gone out if Paraguay would have scored their penalty. To be fair, Spain could have wrapped up this game earlier too but they missed their penalty. Every time I have seen Spain this tournament its been pretty passes but no end result. They'd be out now if it wasn't for the brilliance of Villa.

Straight after Spain had won, I checked the odds on the German win. Bet365 opened at 3.0. I thought that was a great price but its long gone now. 2.9 is the best at William Hill. On performance, I cannot see how Spain are favourites for this game. I can actually see Germany favourites before kick off so get on while you can.

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World Cup Quarter Final Picks

Thu, 01 Jul 2010 23:58:23 +0000

2 July 2010

Netherlands (4.5) Draw (3.4) Brazil (1.95)
This game is probably the game of the quarter finals. The number 1 ranked team in the world vs the number 4. The Netherlands come in to this game on the back of a 2-1 win over Slovakia. It was a stoppage time penalty so easily could have been 2-0. In the 4 games this world cup the Dutch haven't let a goal in from open play. The goal conceded against Cameroon was also a penalty. I was expecting a little more flair from the Dutch but they seem happy to get the win playing an average game.

Brazil beat Chile 3-0 to get here. Chile looked like they were giving as good as they got After about 20 minutes though, they seem to run out of steam and Brazil's quality came through. Its actually the first game, I have seen from them where I was impressed. That Fabiano looks like nifty and the Brazilians have a world class keeper this time round.

From a betting point of view, I suppose the value is in backing the Netherlands. 4.5 is a big price for a team that is on a 23 match unbeaten run. However, I see the Brazilians a class above anyone the Netherlands have faced recently. If Brazil play like they did against Chile and not like they did in qualifying, I can see a Brazilian win here. Its 1.95 at VC Bet

Uruguay (2.1) Draw (3.25) Ghana (4.2)

Uruguay have played a decent tournament so far, they topped their group and didn't concede a single goal. They even went out and beat Mexico 1-0 in the game where a draw would have been the most convenient result. Last game, they beat South Korea 2-1. I wouldn't say that Uruguay were much the better side, they just had a couple of match winners in Suarez and Forlan

Ghana played a great game against the USA. A goal up in 5 minutes, they could have easily been leading more by half time. They dropped off second half allowing the USA back in to it with a penalty. Then in extra time, they scored early again and held on for the victory. I say held on, it was still a game of football, not like Ghana backs against the wall.

Betting wise I am unsure about this game. Ghana are effectively the home side and have stepped in up a gear. Suarez and Forlan are dangerous but surely Ghana side will keep close tabs on them. I can't be backing Uruguay at 2.1 though and maybe its asking too much for Ghana to win. The draw it is then, its 3.25 at Skybet.

3 July 2010

Argentina (2.38) Draw (3.25) Germany (3.4)
For England fans this is a game they wish both teams can lose. Its amazing that some people still haven't forgiven Maradona for the hand of God. Rivalry between England and Germany football probably is a lot deeper not to mention that England got spanked 4-1 last round by Germany.

Argentina was my bet for winning the tournament. Their strike force is probably the best in the tournament. There were some concerns about their defence but that seems to have held up well so far only conceding a single goal against the Mexicans. With Tevez, Messi and Higuain you can be sure they'll score goals.

Germany spanked England 4-1 but I can't help but think that was just an inept England performance. Some absolutely shocking defending by the England defence made it easy for the Germany side to score. I can't see Ozil bossing the midfield again like he did against England and Argentina's defence can't be as inept as England's to allow Klose a goal straight through the middle.

I'll be backing Argentina to win this games. 2.38 at William Hill is a decent price. It opened just over even money but has drifted up to 2.38. I do like over 2.5 goals in this game too. I can see both sides scoring so thats 2 goals already. Just 1 more and the overs bets a winner. It's 2.1 at Skybet for over 2.5 goals.

Paraguay (8.5) Draw (4.1) Spain (1.5)

Paraguay knocked out Japan on penalties, after a 0-0 draw. I'll say this, if it goes to penalties, back Uruguay all day long. They scored all 5 of theirs easily. I wasn't impressed at all with the game against the Japanese, a game of few chances and you could almost sense it after the first half it was going to penalties. Paraguay haven't impressed much at all, they may have topped their group but it was possibly the poorest group with none of the 3 teams being able to beat New Zealand part timers.

Spain squeezed past Portugal 1-0. I say squeezed past because it was close. For all their possession Spain had few shots on target and it looked early on like it was going to go to extra time and penalties. Well that was until Villa scored in the 63rd minute. Torres wasn't at his best at all. Spain looked more threatening after he was subbed. Lucky for them Portugal played a defensive game and never looked like scoring. I am expecting Spain to come alive at some point as they have on paper at least the strongest overall team in the world cup.

I am going to have to back Spain here. 1.5 is generally available. Paraguay are 8.5 for a reason. I think the best they can hope for is a 0-0 and go through on penalties but I am sure Villa and co will be able to pierce their defences.

Germany (3) Draw (3.2) England (2.75)

Sun, 27 Jun 2010 00:40:09 +0000
27th June 2010 3pm KO, BBC 1.
So this is England's reward for finishing second in a soft group - an encounter with the Germany side. A game against Ghana would have been a lot easier. Fortunately this isn't the strongest German side I've seen.

England looked poor in their first 2 games of the tournament. The 3rd game against Slovenia was an improvement but just an average performance. On another day the Slovenia keeper would have saved the shot by Defoe and England would have been out. The victory would have been a massive confidence boost for England and in football confidence is a major factor. I do believe than man for man, England have a better team too.

Germany started off well winning 4-0 against the Australians but I put that down to shoddy Australian marking rather than anything great on the German side. They lost their match against Serbia and only just beat Ghana 1-0.

I don't think the German team has the experience to progress here. England's midfield is so much better and if Rooney can find his scoring boots we could be in for a 5-1 victory. Ok, maybe not that much but I can see England winning this in 90 minutes. The press have been talking up penalties but I think that England can win this in 90 minutes.

As for odds, for once I think there is some value in backing England. Usually the odds are too poor to be worth backing but this time, I think the media has overhyped the Germans that much that I like the top price of 2.75 at Skybet for the England win. A safer bet is England, draw no bet at 1.83 at VC Bet. I do quite like the England to win to nil as well, its 4.0 at Ladbrokes. England's defence has been pretty solid apart from that Green goal keeping error.

Group C games.

Fri, 18 Jun 2010 00:09:33 +0000

Slovenia (4) Draw (3.4) USA (2.15)
Slovenia were dull as expected against Algeria. Game ended 1-0 to Slovenia after Algeria were reduced to 10 men over what must be stupid yellow card of the tournament and the Algeria keeper having a nightmare. Quite frankly, if it wasn't for that goal keeping error they could still be playing now and it'd still be 0-0. The Algeria keeper must have been trying to make Rob Green feel better.

The USA did its jobs against England. A goal keeping error allowed them to equalise but overall they kept the England quiet with some good offensive play of their own. As odds on second favourite to qualify, this is a game they must be expected to win. From what I saw of Slovenia they will do or it'll be a 0-0. William Hill have gone top price on the USA win, its 2.15.

England (1.29) Draw (6) Algeria (15)

What can I say about England? They are infuriating to watch. The have some good players but as a team they don't hold on to the ball enough. They can make pretty triangle passes in their own half but then they just lump it up field. Rooney and Heskey were disappointing. I can't think of a single thing that Rooney did that was remarkable. Green got a lot of stick for letting the USA equalise via his error but what about the 1 on 1 Heskey had? I am pretty sure England are the only side that picks a striker who they don't expect to score goals. You just knew he'd miss. If it was anyone else in the team practically they'd have put that chance away and the Green blunder would have been a side show. But now its all talk of who is going to start in goal.

As I said earlier, Algeria/ Slovenia was dull. Neither team looked like scoring. I am sure that if it was 11 vs 11 that game would have been 0-0. Just looking at the stats and Algeria had 2 shots on target whereas Slovenia had 3. Barring another massive blunder I can't see Algeria scoring here.

England are just 1.29 to win this. I think they will but its not a great price. I'd much rather be going for the 1.8 at bluesquare
for England to win to nil. Almost 3 times better odds for something which I think is just as likely.

England (1.53) Draw (4.3) USA (7.5)

Fri, 11 Jun 2010 14:59:09 +0000

Arguably the toughest fixture for England in their qualifiers. Win this and they are practically though. Its not going to be as easy as the odds suggest though. 1.53 is something you'd expect for say Man U vs Spurs at Old Trafford. I see this more of a Man City vs Everton type game. So really I'd expect England to be closer to even money.

As with most England games, the bookies know that they can knock a bit off the fair price and still get punters backing them. Its one of those unfortunate things when backing England, you're unlikely to get a fair price.

England impressed in the qualifiers but looking back the quality of the opposition wasn't that great. The other two contenders for first place were Ukraine and Croatia which were once decent but over the last couple of years have fallen from grace. It wasn't too much of a surprise that England qualified comfortably.

When I saw England vs Japan, England looked poor. Maybe it was just because it was a friendly but they were extremely lucky to beat Japan 2-1. Rooney is going to be paramount to the success of England. The USA surely know this and will have a 'Rooney Plan'.

The USA are no fools on the international stage. They topped their qualifier group too (which arguably was even easier than England's qualifier group). Still, they ended Spain's 35 game unbeaten run with a 2-0 win. The friendly build ups have been sporadic but promising. The beat Australia 3-1.

Betting wise, I'd oppose England. Even PaddyPower's 1.53 top price is poor. The 7.5 for the USA is a much better value bet at William Hill. My bet will be USA +1 on the Asian Handicap though. This covers the USA win and the draw. An England win by 1 goal means money back and an England win by 2 or more goals means a loss. I can't see England scoring 2 goals never mind winning by 2 goals. USA +1 on the Asian Handicap is 2.0 at bet365
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World Cup football betting.

Thu, 03 Jun 2010 22:28:21 +0000
Group C Preview and Tips.
England are hot favourites to win this group. 1.36 at Skybet is all you are going to get for England to win the group. This is the last time the so called 'golden generation' of players will play in a world cup. Beckham not in the squad this time and it will surely be the last world cup for the likes of Ferdinand, Terry, Lampard and Gerrard. This is probably their best chance in a generation to win the Cup.

The arrival of Fabio Capello injected some new life in to the England side that failed to qualify for Euro 2008. Qualification was a lot simpler this time round. Having won all their first 8 games, their only defeat came in the Ukraine when qualification was already in the bag.

The thing that worries me about this England side is the over reliance on Rooney as the main goal scorer. Crouch, Defoe and Heskey, while decent players don't strike fear in the hearts of opponents. Rooney is good at running around but at times I see him lacking, despite being runner up in the Premiership Golden Boot. I hope for England's sake, he stays fit and hits top form. Leaving Walcott out may be something that Capello regrets too.

USA
The USA are second favourites in this group and therefore pose the greatest threat to England winning the group. Much will depend on the opening game which is against England on the 12th June.

Soccer has never taken off in the USA as it has in most of the rest of the world. Despite this, the USA usually qualify for the World Cup finals. Last time it was a little embarrassing as they didn't win a single game. Since then though, they have knocked Spain out of the Confederations Cup and were narrowly beat 3-2 in the final against Brazil (the USA were 2-0 up at half time).

Slovenia
Slovenia are potential dark horse in this group. Their appearance is actually amazing. Put in a qualifying group with Czech Republic, Poland and Slovakia, no one really expected them to have a chance. They only narrowly missed out on winning the group in the end. They knocked out Gus Hiddink's Russia in the play offs which was no easy feat either.

They qualified by having one of the meanest defences. They only let in 4 goals altogether in the group stages. This could cause problems for England. We saw them narrowly beat Japan with 2 own goals. If Slovenia shut up shop, then the game might not be as straight forward as the odds suggest.

Algeria
Algeria are outsiders. Since beating, Egypt to secure a place in the final, their form has been lacklustre. In the African Cup of Nations they started off badly but recovered reach the quarter finals and beat Ivory Coast. They were beat 4-0 by Egypt in the semi final. They have played 2 friendlies in the World Cup warm up, losing both 3-0 to Serbia and the Republic of Ireland.

Algeria had a couple of players playing at Portsmouth last season. I was impressed with Belhadj when he came on for Portsmouth in the FA Cup against Chelsea. One man doesn't make a team though and I'd struggle to identify any of the other players.

The odds on England topping the group are too short for my liking. They should do but the 1.36 at Skybet doesn't appeal. I actually prefer the forecast bet at PaddyPower for 1st and 2nd in any order. England/ USA is 1.91. England should win the group but if they don't it'll be the USA that will.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 08 May 2010 16:46:02 +0000
9th May 2010
Arsenal (1.2) Draw (8.5) Fulham (15)
Bad times for Arsenal. Once the dark horses for the title, there is a slim chance they may actually finish 4th. Highly unlikely though. If this game meant something to Fulham I would probably be backing them but as it is, Fulham aren't interested. They have a Europa League final on Wednesday. It wouldn't surprise me if the full reserve side was out. 1.2 for an Arsenal win might look short but its higher than I was expecting. It's 1.2 at William Hill
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Aston Villa (1.6) Draw (4) Blackburn (6.5)
Pretty much a meaningless game for them both. Villa's hope of 4th were ended at Man City last weekend. That was their only defeat in 6. Only thing they got to play for is finishing above Liverpool. Blackburn were excellent against Arsenal last weekend winning 2-1. They didn't look like a team that were preparing for the summer holidays. Villa/ Blackburn have played 4 times this season with Villa winning 3 and Blackburn the other. Looking at the odds it would be worth having a punt on Blackburn. They were winning that 6-4 Carling Cup semi-final at Villa until they had a man sent off. Its 6.5 for the Blackburn win at Skybet
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Bolton (2.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.4)
Bolton have survived this season. I think thats as much to do with other teams being extremely poor rather than them being any good. They played a decent game on paper last weekend but in reality it was one of those 1-0 losses on another day could have been 3/4 - 0. Birmingham look like they are going to finish 9th whatever which is their best Premiership finish ever. Their away form has been poor of late. Only 1 win in 8 and that was against Portsmouth. I don't trust Bolton at home so the logical pick would be the draw. Its 3.4 at Skybet
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Burnley (7) Draw (4.3) Tottenham (1.53)
Burnley are down and have nothing left to play for. That strong home record at the start at the season which looked like it could keep them up has evaporated. Their last home win was against West Ham on the 6th February. Spurs clinched 4th spot midweek with that win against City. Thats really season over for them. There's a small chance of 3rd spot but with Arsenal playing Fulham its unlikely. If it was a mid table team against Spurs here I'd be backing them. I can see Spurs not really pushing it here but as its Burnley I'll have still go for a Spurs win. It's 1.53 at PaddyPower

Chelsea (1.11) Draw (10) Wigan (29)
Simple task for Chelsea win and win the league, don't and hope Man U slip up too. Its a bit of gift for them playing a low team with nothing to play for. Wigan did manage to beat Chelsea earlier in the season. Its not going to happen here though. From a betting point of view it'd be better to look at other betting markets rather than the straight win-draw-lose. Chelsea to win the title is 1.1 at Bet365. Thats a slightly better bet than a straight Chelsea win. You get a small bit of hope on the slim chance that Chelsea don't win this game then. The half time - full time market looks like it has some value. Draw/ Chelsea is 5.5 at VC bet if you think that they'll take a while to break down Wigan. Personally, I think they will come out flying and be winning at half time. Its 1.4 Chelsea/ Chelsea but stangely, its also 1.4 at Skybet for Chelsea to be winning at half time. The second bet is better but exactly the same price.

Everton (1.3) Draw (6) Portsmouth (12)
Season over for Everton. They are 8th no matter what. In fairly good form but too many draws. I remember sweating a couple of weeks ago when they were at home against a weakened Fulham side. They only scored in injury time to win 2-1. Portsmouth have the FA Cup final next weekend. Already relegated, you could say that they have nothing to play for but the players may be playing for their places. They haven't actually been playing that badly recently. Only 1 loss in 5 and that was a late Villa goal. Could easily have been a draw. I can't see how I can back Everton at 1.3 with nothing to play for. I am going to have to go for the draw. Its 6.0 at VC Bet.

Hull (7) Draw (4.3) Liverpool (1.57)
Hull's two year stay in the Premiership has come to an end. It was always going to happen. There were glimmers of hope but each one ended up being a false dawn. They are simply not a Premiership team. Liverpool have had a terrible season by their standards. 11 losses overall and 8 draws mean they can finish 6th overall at best. With the financial losses this year and the amount of debt the club has, its not looking good for next season either. They should be able to beat Hull pretty easily though. I'm not too happy backing Liverpool at 1.57 given their season but I have no faith in Hull. Its 1.57 at William Hill
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Manchester United (1.13) Draw (9.5) Stoke (23)
Depending on the result at the Bridge, this could end up being meaningless. Man U have to win to have any hope of the title but realistically, Chelsea are going to beat Wigan and this is a nothingness game. They have had a bit of trouble scoring too. 0-0 at Blackburn, 1-0 at City with a really late goal, 3-1 against Spurs but 2 of those were penalties and 1-0 against Sunderland. Stoke bounced back great after that 7-0 thrashing against Chelsea. They beat a strong Fulham side 1-0 midweek. I think they could cause Man U a few problems here. 1.13 would be reasonable if Man U won the title with a win but its likely, that won't be good enough. Stoke are no pushovers. Man U more than likely are going to win but be prepared to sweat if you back them. It's 1,13 at Skybet
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West Ham (4.3) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.91)
West Ham are fortunate that Portsmouth had those points docked or they could be right in the mix for relegation. They've had a poor season and now all their team are up for transfer apart from Scot Parker. This could have been City's ticket to 4th place but they failed to beat Spurs midweek. They just weren't good enough. I am surprised by the lack of odds movement on West Ham. Odds on City have lengthened but you can still get 4.3 at Paddypower for a West Ham win. This is the same price as when City needed to win this. Now this is a nothing game for City I'd expected shorter odds. At some places it has dropped but Paddypower have kept their price. I am always one looking for a value bet, so for me its West Ham at 4.3 at PaddyPower . In a nothing game, getting 4.3 for the home side is just too tempting.

Wolverhampton (2.38) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.25)
This is certainly a nothing fixture. Its almost guaranteed to be last game on match of the day. I can't really make a strong case for either the win-draw market. Looks like a game thats going to end up 1-0 either way or 1-1. I'd be looking at the goals market then. I can't believe that its 1.87 for under 2.5 goals. 78% of Wolves home games have been under 2.5 and 61% of Sunderland's away games have been under too. Its 1.87 at Bodog. If you open a new account you can earn up to £125 in free bets. Click here or on the banner below.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 01 May 2010 02:04:14 +0000
1st May 2010
Birmingham (1.53) Draw (4.3) Burnley (7)
This is a meaningless fixture. No win in 8 for Birmingham. They have dad a few tough fixtures in that run but you'd expect them to have picked up a few more points than that. They were unlucky at Villa last week with the controversial penalty but didn't do enough to look like scoring. Burnley finally were relegated last weekend. The 4-0 loss was a bit flattering to Liverpool but they are just not a Premiership team. Now the pressure is off though, they could play better. Odds are really short for Birmingham which I don't like. Do you really want to be backing a mid table team at 1.53 in a meaningless fixture? Burnley have been poor away from home all season so I guess I will. I think I would be happier if Burnley had something to play for. Birmingham win is 1.53 at Skybet
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Manchester City (1.91) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (4.3)
This is a crucial fixture in the battle for 4th place. City have had a rollercoaster ride these past few games. They have steamrolled the lesser sides of Wigan (3-0), Burnley (6-1) and Birmingham (5-1) but against the bigger sides they have struggled to even score. Villa have gone through a min revival. Since the demolition against Chelsea they have won 4 and drawn 1. They haven't really been playing the top teams though and this will be a big test for them. They were fortunate to beat Birmingham last week. I think the draw is the best bet to have here. Neither side to me stands out to win this. Its 3.6 at bet365
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Portsmouth (2.5) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3.1)
Possibly the trickiest fixture of the weekend. Portsmouth down and out but still seem to be fighting. The only lost to Villa in the last 10 minutes and came back from 2-0 down to get a point at Bolton. It makes no sense when they only have the FA Cup to play for now. Wolves are safe now. 4 draw in their last 5 but that loss at Arsenal could easily been a draw too. I am going to go for the draw here. There is a high change of a 0-0 in this nothingness game. Draw is 3.4 at Skybet
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Stoke (3.75) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.1)
Stoke were mullered last weekend 7-0 at Chelsea. Sounds like some of the Stoke players were looking at the summer holidays and there was a bust up in the dressing room. Stoke do have nothing to play for and it had to happen sooner or later. Everton beat a weakened Fulham side last weekend with a late penalty. Pity for me, they didn't clear the handicap. From what I read, they should have won more comfortably though. Everton have a tiny chance of making 7th spot and the Europa Cup next year. I can see Everton's good form continuing. Its 2.1 at most places for an Everton win.

Tottenham (1.29) Draw (6) Bolton (13)
The easiest fixture of the weekend on a weekend of really tricky fixtures. Spurs have 4th place to lose. Bolton have nothing to play for now. I am not too happy with the odds though. Spurs do occasionally have the shocker of a result. Look at the FA Cup semi final against Portsmouth. They must have been a similar price and see what happened there. I would be really surprised if they messed this up though. Its 1.29 at Skybet
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Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 23 Apr 2010 15:48:39 +0000
24th April 2010
Manchester United (1.5) Draw (4.5) Tottenham (7.5)
Unreal results for Spurs recently. Not many people would have thought they'd beat Arsenal and Chelsea back to back. They looked even more stunning against Chelsea than they did against Arsenal. The Chelsea game could have easily ended up 4 or 5 - 1, given how dominant Spurs were. Man U's fortune changed last weekend with a stoppage time goal which kept their title chances alive. With Spurs beating Chelsea, the title race is on again. The trouble is, I can't remember the last great Man U performance. They beat City but that was a scrappy affair which could have gone either way. On current form, I do rate Spurs a better side than Man U. 7.5 at Skybet is a big price indeed. That will be my bet.

Bolton (1.57) Draw (4.1) Portsmouth (7)
Bolton snatched an unlikely victory at Stoke last weekend. Matt Taylor scoring 2 late goals to give Bolton all 3 points and practically guaranteeing safety. Before then though, they were struggling to score, going 4 games without. Portsmouth are down and out so I don't know whether they will even bother turning up in mind. Their season rests on the FA Cup final in a few weeks. They put in a good performance against Villa last week and maybe should have got a point from it. I am not too happy about the price on Bolton here. I didn't think I'd ever see Bolton at 1.57 against anyone in Premiership. Looks like a 1-0, 2-0 game this to the home side. I think the 2.62 for Bolton to win to nil is bet to have at PaddyPower. Portsmouth have only scored 1 in their last 5 so another blank scoring sheet looks on the cards.

Hull (2.5) Draw (3.5) Sunderland (3.2)
Things aren't going well for Hull City. New manager has made little difference to their form. They had a run of winnable games but only won 1 and drew 1 out of those. Against Villa, they just sat back and allowed them to attack. With the goal difference, Hull are effectively 4 points behind West Ham with 3 games to go. Sunderland are finishing the season fairly strongly. Bent is still scoring for fun. Their away record has sucked all season though and I don't see them winning here. I don't see them losing either though. Biggest price on the coupon is the draw at 3.5 at Skybet.

West Ham (1.85) Draw (3.6) Wigan (4.5)
I think West Ham are safe on the basis that Hull won't be able to make up 3 points in 3 games. A win here would surely make them safe though. West Ham were poor against Liverpool last week and duly lost 3-0. Wigan has the most amazing game last weekend against Arsenal, 2-0 down with about 10 minutes to go, they go on to score 3 and win 3-2. Its that crazy type of form that makes me loathe to tip any game involving Wigan. Saying that, 4.5 is a big enough price for me to have a punt on Wigan. I can't believe the bookies have West Ham odds on favourite for this game. Its not even a must win game for them. Lesser teams have gone to Upton Park and took all 3 points. 4.5 at Skybet is too big a price in my opinion.

Wolverhampton (2.3) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3.4)
A nothingness game if I ever saw one. Neither team has anything to play for. Wolves went on a mini run a few weeks ago and have pulled clear of relegation. In their last 4 games, they have failed to score though. Blackburn lost to Everton at home last week. Only the 3rd home defeat of the season. Away from home they are poor though, only winning 2. Hard to judge these nothingness games. I'll go for the draw as it would suit both teams and I really can't see a winner. Its 3.3 at Skybet.

Arsenal (2) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (4.2)
Arsenal's season looks like its going to end with a whimper. Just 2 weeks ago, they were being tipped as potential dark horses for the Championship but defeats at Spurs and Wigan have ended all that talk. The game at Wigan was just crazy. 10 minutes to go and 2-0 up, you'd have bet your house on Arsenal not losing that. They just switched off and bang, bang, bang, 3-2 to Wigan. City lost the Manchester Derby to an injury time Scholes goal. Man U being lucky again. City have let Spurs in to the driving seat for that 4th spot. City have shown they have the players to beat anyone if they play well. I was thinking of backing City here but I will go for Arsenal. It rare you get even money for them at the Emirates. I think theres also a bit of gamblers fallacy here too. Arsenal have lost 3 on the bounce now in all competitions so must be due a win. Even money at most bookies.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 16 Apr 2010 19:17:08 +0000
17th April 2010
Manchester City (2.8) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (2.5)
This is probably the lowest price I have ever seen Man City at home to Man U in the Premier League era. City are favourites to get that 4th spot. They seem to have found their scoring boots, knocking in 3,6 and 5 in their last 3 games. Man U have had a bad few games. Beaten by their title rivals, Chelsea, getting knocked out of the Champions League by Bayern and then a goaless draw at Blackburn. They've more or less surrendered the title to Chelsea after looking in total control. Tricky game to predict this. Without Rooney, I am favouring City. They met earlier in the season in the Carling Cup and City won 2-1. United look average without Rooney and City do have the strike force that can penetrate leaky Manchester United defence. Man City are 2.8 at bet365.

Birmingham (1.8) Draw (3.6) Hull (5.5)
Birmingham were thrashed 5-1 at City last weekend. Maybe they are getting that end of season feeling. They have also drawn their last 3 games at home but they were against Everton, Liverpool and Arsenal so no shame there. They do tend to beat the less teams that visit St Andrews and Hull are certainly a lesser team. Hull could have kept their hopes of staying up alive last week against Burnley but a 4-1 home defeat means that they are probably going down now. They are the only team that haven't won away all season. If Birmingham had something to play for, surely they'd be 1.6-1.7 but the bookies have gone 1.8 for them. Its a good price as I can't seem Birmingham taking their foot off the pedal at home to a poor Hull City side. Skybet and Ladbrokes go 1.8 on a Birmingham win.

Blackburn (2.8) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.7)
Blackburn ended Man U's title challenge last week but not letting them leave with all 3 points. Blackburn have been extremely strong at home all season with a 9-6-2 record. The two defeats were against City on the first day of the season and to Spurs. Everton still can qualify for the Europa League next season if they can overtake Villa and Chelsea win the FA Cup. Everton played really well against Villa midweek and should have really take all 3 points. Another tricky one so I think the draw is the logical option. Blackburn don't lose at home and Everton are in good form. The draw is 3.3 at most places.

Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.3) Wolverhampton (4)
Fulham got a good draw at Anfield last weekend, really ending any chance of Liverpool getting 4th place now. The thing for Fulham is that the Europa League semi final is next Thursday. I don't think their minds will be on this meaningless fixture. Their season rests on the Europa League now. It wouldn't surprise me if we saw a different Fulham side out. Wolves on 33 points are 6 ahead of Burnley and a better goal difference too. This means they are safe. I think they'd be happy with a point here just to make sure. Both teams had 0-0 draws in their last game and that score line wouldn't surprise me at all. The draw is 3.3 at Boylesport or under 1.5 goals is 3.0. Both are good bets given the circumstances.

Stoke (2.1) Draw (3.4) Bolton (4)
Stoke keep on playing despite having nothing to play for. I think I will have to change my thoughts on them. Maybe they have got some juicy final position bonus or just want to beat last years points tally. Bolton should more or less be safe now. They played a stunning game against Chelsea midweek where they lost 1-0 but could and maybe should have got all 3 points. I don't think they'll be able to put in another performance like that again for a while. Stoke for me. Its 2.1 at Bodog New players get up to £125 in free bets.

Sunderland (1.62) Draw (3.85) Burnley (6.5)
Sunderland have picked up their home form in recent weeks. Away form is still poor but at home they have done a number on a few teams that are below them. Darren Bent is on fire at the moment but the bookies have cottoned on to that and prices for him to score are shockingly low. Burnley got their first away win of the season last weekend against Hull. Those penalties they got and the fact that Hull were rubbish helped a lot. I don't think they will be getting a win here. Sunderland at 1.62 may sound poor but Burnley just don't turn up away from home. 1.62 at bet365.

Tottenham (4.3) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (1.95)
Spurs broke their duck against Arsenal midweek with a 2-1 win. This was a good reaction to the FA Cup upset. The Arsenal game would have taken it out of them. Chelsea will be watching the early game with a lot of interest. If United get beat a draw will be OK for them here. Chelsea were poor against Bolton so will surely raise their game here. Spurs do look a big price for the home team. On their day they can beat anyone. I think the draw is the best option, especially if Man U lose earlier in the day. I can't really be backing Chelsea away from home at odds on in any case. The draw is 3.6 at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 09 Apr 2010 13:08:11 +0000
11th April 2010
Wolverhampton (2.3) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.25)
Wolves were unlucky to lose to Arsenal last week. I am pretty sure if they had 11 men on the field the story would have been different. Wolves are playing the best football they have been doing all season. A win here will surely provide them with another season in the premiership. I've opposed Stoke 2 weeks in a row now and they have turned me over both times, beating West Ham and Hull. Not the most stellar of opposition but given the difference in motivation I would have expected Stoke to drop some points. Sooner or later they will realise they have nothing to play for. I am willing to oppose them again. Wolves are 2.3 at bet365

Blackburn (8) Draw (4.3) Manchester United (1.53)
Unbeaten at home in 7, Blackburn will fancy their chances here. They sit comfortably in mid table but I am sure they will be up for this game. Manchester United were knocked out of the Champions League by Bayern Munich on Wednesday. Rooney rushed back from injury took another knock and will miss this game. The odds don't make much sense here. Manchester United played a tough game midweek whereas Blackburn had a rest. Man U have already lost 5 games this season, with most of them coming after Champions League games. With Blackburn strong at home, I can't see why the odds are so big. It's 8.0 at .

Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5) Fulham (13)
Liverpool look like they are going to miss out on 4th place this year. They sit behind Spurs and Man City despite having played a game more. They had a midweek game against Benfica which they won 4-1. They may have turned the corner but its too little too late. Fulham had an impressive away win at Wolfsburg on the same night. We could end up with an all English final. Fulham look like they have given up on the league. The came back from 1-0 down to beat Wigan last weekend but something tells me their league season is over. They don't tend to play well after European games either. Bad price but I think Liverpool will win this. Its 1.33 at Ladbrokes.

Manchester City (1.44) Draw (4.5) Birmingham (9)
City demolished Burnley last weekend and are in the driving seat for that 4th spot. Lots of false dawns for City but this time they may have cracked it. Subtract that 2-0 defeat from Everton and they have been in great form. After this game, they have 4 tough fixtures so this is a must win if they are going to keep on to 4th place. Birmingham have drawn at home to Arsenal and Liverpool in the last 2 weeks. It shows they are a tough team to beat. On the road its been a different story. Since losing to Chelsea they have only won 1 game on the road and that was against Portsmouth. I will go with City here. Its 1.44 at PaddyPower.

Premiership Betting Tips

Sat, 03 Apr 2010 04:15:23 +0000
3rd April 2010
Manchester United (2.65) Draw (3.3) Chelsea (2.8)
This well could end up being the title decider. If Man U win this then they will surely win the title. The big concern for them is that Rooney is out. His form this season has been sensational. I think they are going to struggle without him. I still don't rate Berbatov. They also had a hard trip to Germany midweek. Chelsea, having been knocked out of the Champions League have had all week to prepare for this. Their form has picked up the last couple of games. The 5-0 at Portsmouth was nothing that special but beating Villa 7-1 shows they mean business. With Rooney I may have gone Man U. Odds are slightly higher than I thought the would be but without Rooney and the midweek game, I am going for Chelsea. The straight win is 2.8 at Ladbrokes and the safer bet of Chelsea draw no bet is even money.

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6.5) Wolverhampton (15)
Excellent midweek game against Barcelona for Arsenal. First half hour or so it was embarrassing and when they went 2-0 down in the second half you feared for them. They pulled it back to 2-2 with the introduction of Walcott. Last weeks draw at Birmingham have reduced the chances of Arsenal winning the league massively. I don't think there are enough games left for them to win it now. Wolves are in the best form they've been in all season. Unbeaten in 4, with 2 win and 2 draws they have pulled 5 points clear of the relegation zone. The odds suggest an easy win for Arsenal. I am not convinced. That midweek encounter would have taken it out of them. I am going with Wolves on the 1X2 handicap. SportingBet are doing Wolves +2 goals at 2.2.

Bolton (3) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (2.62)
Bolton seem to have done enough to stay up this year. They are 5 points clear of the relegation zone now despite losing their last 2 games. No real shame in any of those losses. You wouldn't really expect Bolton to get anything from Everton or Man U. Humiliation for Villa at Chelsea. 7-1 must go down as one of their heaviest defeats ever. That result leaves them 6 points behind Spurs meaning 4th place is highly unlikely now. Good teams usually bounce back after heavy defeats. What worries me is that Villa fell apart this time last season too and the 7-1 loss just highlighted that. Looking at past results from this fixture a draw seems likely, 4 draws in the last seasons. Its 3.3 at Totesport.

Portsmouth (3.6) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (2.2)
Portsmouth could be mathematically relegated this weekend. The points deduction pretty much sealed their fate. They are playing like a team with nothing to play for now. I guess they all just want the season to end. A lot of injuries too. Blackburn don't like playing away from home. Only 2 wins away from home all season. Last weeks win at Burnley was due to a dodgy penalty and it was a terrible game of football. Saying that I will be backing Blackburn this weekend. 2.2 isn't a price you'd be wanting on Blackburn away from home but when they are playing Portsmouth, its not a bad price at all. Blackburn 2.2 at Skybet.

Stoke (1.8) Draw (3.55) Hull (5)
I thought Stoke had finished for the season but they still went to West Ham and won. I think thats got something to do with West Ham being bad though rather than Stoke really being that bothered. Hull got their first win in 6 against a weakened Fulham side. With West Ham losing, they have a chance to stay up. Strange odds here in my opinion. Stoke have nothing to play for and Hull are fighting for their lives. The Britannia isn't the fortress it was last year so 1.8 doesn't make sense to me. I am going to take a chance on Hull. 5.0 at VC Bet
is a big price.

Sunderland (3.8) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.15)
Sunderland were bad against Liverpool last weekend and were thumped 3-0. They may have just been relaxing after their recent run of good form. They are on 35 points now which means they are probably safe already. They are a strong home side and have only been beat twice all season by Chelsea and Villa. Spurs run of 5 straight wins puts them in the driving seat for that 4th spot. I wasn't convinced about Spurs away ability after the defeat at Wolves but since then they have gone on to beat Wigan and Stoke away. I will go for Spurs here as I think they have more to play for and are a better team. I would have maybe expected evens for Spurs in this game so the 2.15 is a good price at William Hill.

Burnley (5.5) Draw (4) Manchester City (1.73)
Burnley were unlucky last week against Blackburn. On a different day they could have won that. That result leaves them 3 points from safety. Looking at their fixtures it looks like they are going down. Owen Coyle did well to leave when he did. City aren't playing well as a team.. Tevez is carrying them I think. He scored the hat trick that beat Wigan 3-0 but apart from him, I don't see anyone else shining. I will be going for City still. Burnley just seem to lose to everyone. Last 4 home fixtures were against Portsmouth, Stoke, Wolves and Blackburn. They only managed to get a point from that. City are a better side than any of those so I expect them to win. Its 1.73 at bluesquare

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 26 Mar 2010 02:42:19 +0000
27th March 2010
Birmingham (7) Draw (4.1) Arsenal (1.57)
Birmingham were second best midweek to Blackburn losing 2-1. They have gone off the boil in recent weeks, having exceeded all expectations. Still, they are on an unbeaten run of 11 at home. Arsenal are on a 6 game winning streak. None of the performances have been particularly impressive though and they have had more than their fair share of luck. A few weeks a ago I would have been on Birmingham but I feel that they aren't going to be as up for it as Arsenal are. Also, Birmingham played midweek, whereas Arsenal had a rest. Not too keen on the 1,57 at Betfred for Arsenal but its going to be my bet.

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (4.8) Aston Villa (9)
Chelsea have been sluggish of late. A good result (5-0) at Portsmouth doesn't hide the fact that they have let Man U take the lead in the Premiership race. They way Portsmouth were set up invited pressure and so 5-0 whilst good, wouldn't have happened against most other Premiership teams. Chelsea still win the league if they win ever game though. Villa has slipped up big time. They haven't lost but they have drawn too many of the games they should have won. At 9.0 I would have backed Villa earlier on in the season but not now. Chelsea are still extremely strong at the Bridge and should be able to build on that win at Portsmouth. Its 1.44 at Skybet
for the Chelsea win.

Hull (2.5) Draw (3.4) Fulham (3.1)
No new manager bounce for Hull last week. They were unlucky though. They twice took the lead and it was very late on when Portsmouth scored twice to take all 3 points. Its surprising for a team that are struggling at the bottom of the Premiership to be favourites. When you look at Fulham's situation you can see why though. They've just been knocked out of the FA Cup midweek, they have a more important Europa League fixture next week and their league position is midtable with nothing really to play for. With Fulham still not doing away wins, its a 1X game for me. I will go with the home win which is 2.5 at most places.

Tottenham (1.25) Draw (6) Portsmouth (17)
Great run of form for Spurs puts them favourite for that 4th spot. Midweek, they turned around a 1-0 half time deficit to beat Fulham in the FA Cup. It could have been more. Harry must have said something fantastic in the changing room at half time. Portsmouth were thrashed 5-0 at home by Chelsea midweek. They set themselves up for a 0-0 but after a David James error, they crumbled. Portsmouth are down anyway but also have to come back to White Hart Lane in the FA Cup. I am sure they are going to save their efforts for that game. Thats why Spurs are priced so low. Spurs win for me but I will bet on over 2.5 goals. Its 1.67 at Skybet
. Spurs have hit striking form again and should easily be able to put 3 past Portsmouth.

West Ham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.75)
Humilation for West Ham midweek against Wolves. Wolves outplayed West Ham in every position and the goal that West Ham scored was merely a late consolation. They were booed off the park by their own fans and even one of the co-owners posted a message on the website about how bad the players were. Stoke's season has finished. Nothing really to play for now. That explains the price on the home win, plus the fact that teams tend to bounce back after a heavy defeat. If Stoke were up for this game, I'd be tipping Stoke but its West Ham for me. Odds are 2,2 at VC Bet.

Wolverhampton (3.8) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.1)
A string of 3 good results have pulled Wolves away from the drop zone. I guess they are safe now. 7 points is a lot for the teams currently in the drop zone to make up. Whats more impressive is that the results have all been away from home. They have found their scoring boots by the looks of it. I think they could easily replicate their tactics at home and just play for the draw here. Everton are in sensational form. The win at Man City keeps their faint hope of 4th place alive. On current form they'd deserve it too. I do like the price of 2.1 on the away win but I have a feeling Wolves will play for the draw and get it. The draw is 3.4 at bet365.

Bolton (8.5) Draw (4.8) Manchester United (1.44)
Bolton have strung together a decent enough run of results recently to put them safe. They were actually doing well against in form Everton until Steinsson got sent off in the 71st minute. The extra man allowed Everton to win 2-0. Man U are looking like the Champions now. They have slipped up against some of the top sides away from home but I can't see them doing it at Bolton. Man U win is 1.44 at most places. It'll not be as comfortable as the odds suggest though,

Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 19 Mar 2010 02:04:13 +0000
20th March 2010
Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.5) Wolverhampton (9.5)
Villa come in to this game on the back of 2 good away results. A point against Stoke and all 3 against Wigan make them a realistic contender for 4th spot. They were looking a bit tired against Wigan though and recently have had trouble scoring. Wolves suprised me by scoring 2 goals and beating Burnley 2-1 last weekend. I am pretty sure that's down to bad defending from Burnley rather than Wolves suddenly finding their striking boots. Villa should win this but I am thinking 1-0, 2-0 and 1.44 isn't a good price. Looking at the unders/overs, unders is even money at Stan James. That'll be my bet. I can't see Wolves scoring or Villa scoring more than 2 goals.

Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Bolton (7)
Everton's home form recently has been nothing short of sensational. 6 wins in a row, including wins against Chelsea, Man U and Man City. There's not much to play for in terms of league position now. Everton aren't going to make Europe but some of their players might make the England team so may be more motivated than expected. A couple of strange results for Bolton. They go to Sunderland and get thrashed 4-0, then thrash Wigan 4-0 at home. 3 wins in the last 4 makes it look like they are going to pull clear of the drop zone. I just can't see them getting anything from Everton this week though. Everton win is 1.57 at Skybet.

Portsmouth (2.2) Draw (3.4) Hull (3.6)
Portsmouth are down whatever now. They only really have the FA Cup to play for now. They were shocking against Liverpool. I think they could go the rest of the season not winning a game. Hull were unlucky against Arsenal. It was an injury time goal which gave Arsenal all 3 points. Hull played the second half with only 10 men too after Boateng was sent off. Hull also have a new manager in Iain Dowie. There could be a new manager bounce here as Hull fight for survival. Hull City for me, its 3.6 at VC Bet

Stoke (3.75) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.15)
Only one loss in 10 league games for Stoke and that was an unlucky game against Arsenal. Stoke are showing they are more than a long throw in team. Spurs still sit in 4th place after a 3-1 win over Blackburn last weekend. That wasn't as comfortable as the score line suggests. Stoke beat Spurs earlier in the season 1-0 at White Heart Lane. I can see another upset here. Spurs haven't been fantastic on the road so the 2.15 does not appeal at all. I much prefer the Stoke win at 3.75 at VC Bet.

Sunderland (2.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.5)
Sunderland have got out of their downward spiral and look safe now. The win against Bolton and point against City make them more or less safe. They were beating City for most of the game and it was only a stoppage time goal that allowed City to claim a point. Birmingham came from 2-0 down last weekend to get a point at home to Everton. They've had a fantastic season and could be forgiven for not going all out in this game. I think both teams would settle for a point here. The draw is 3.4 at Skybet.

Wigan (1.8) Draw (3.6) Burnley (5)
Who would have thought that Wigan would be odds on against anyone this season? They sit 4 points above the relegation zone and there is a chance they will go down. They did get a win against a woeful Liverpool side and were unlucky to lose to Villa in the week. The reason they are odds on is that "1 point from 15 away games" Burnley are coming to town. I can't really see anything positive from Burnley away from home. Wigan win for me. Its 1.8 at Skybet.

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6) West Ham (15)
Arsenal were lucky to get all 3 points last week at Hull. Hull played the whole of the second half with 10 men and it took until stoppage time for Arsenal to break through. They are on a run of 5 league wins but have been playing pretty ordinary football. Late goals have made a couple of the results look better than they were. West Ham looked like they were pulling away from the relegation zone but a dip in form has put them right back in there. No shame in losing to Man U and Chelsea but its been the manner of the defeats that have been worrying and that 2-1 home loss to Bolton. Arsenal are 1.25 at bet365 but I will skip this game. West Ham have a decent record against Arsenal and 1.25 is far too low considering Arsenal's average performances.

Premiership Betting Tips - 13th - 15th March 2010

Fri, 12 Mar 2010 01:50:32 +0000

13th March 2010

Tottenham (1.44) Draw (4.3) Blackburn (8.5)
Spurs come in to this game off the back of two league wins and an away draw to Fulham in the cup. That 4th place is all to play for still. City are favourites but a win here will keep up the pressure. Spurs are usually strong at home but have had the odd shocking result (Wolves and Stoke both won 1-0). Blackburn can't seem to win away from home. They were good at Liverpool but still lost 2-1. Big Sam probably has this down as a game that he can't win so probably won't try too hard. Odds of 1.44 are a little short but Spurs should win this.

Birmingham (3) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.5)
Good win for Birmingham against Pompey. It was looking like they were going off the boil a bit, especially away from home but a convincing 2-1 away win makes me think they have what it takes to push further up the league. I don't really understand the odds here. Birmingham are above Everton in the league and are at home. They are unbeaten in their last 10 games but Everton are the favourites. Everton have been on a good home run but their away form has been pretty average. These teams have met twice this season already at Goodison and Birmingham have won 1 and draw one. Birmingham are 3.0 at bet365 and that will be my bet.

Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.8)
Bolton looked like they were going to pull clear from the relegation zone with 2 wins on the bounce including an impressive away win at West Ham. They then go on to get beat 4-0 at Sunderland. It was a strong reminder that there is still work to do if they are going to survive. Wigan got their first win in 8 against Liverpool on Monday. It was a shocking Liverpool team performance but Wigan still had to do the work to get the win. I don't think Wigan have any consistency though. I'll take a chance on a Bolton win. Its 2.2 at VC Bet.

Burnley (2.38) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3.3)
Two teams in serious danger of going down this season. Wolves sit above Burnley on goal difference and 3 points behind West Ham who are 16th. Burnley's strong home form has crumbled in recent times. They did well last game to come back from a goal down to get a point from a visiting Stoke side. Wolves last win was at home to Spurs a month ago. Since then they have lost 3 on the bounce, not scoring in any. You struggle to see where they are going to get their goals from. 21 league goals this season puts them bottom of the goals scored table. Burnley are 2.38 at bluesquare
.

Chelsea (1.22) Draw (6) West Ham (15)
The odds suggest this is an open and shut case. Chelsea can go top with a win. Last league game they lost 4-2 to City due to bad defending. The came back with a 2-0 win in the cup against Stoke. They do have Inter Milan next week though so may have half an eye on that. West Ham were shocking against Bolton last week and deserved to lose. They have shown signs previously that they can beat any team on their day. In the reverse fixture, they were brilliant and should have really beaten Chelsea. Only a disputed penalty allowed Chelsea to come away with a point. You have to be a brave man to back against a 1.22 shot so I won't but its a bet that I am going to steer clear of.

Stoke (3.4) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (2.3)
Stoke were knocked out of the FA Cup last week which effectively ends their season. They'll not go down and will do nothing better than mid-table. They've been on quite a good run. They were unlucky to lose against Arsenal last league game. They were the better team away at Burnley too. Villa have a realistic chance of getting 4th place. If they win their 2 games in hand they can leap frog Spurs who are currently in 4th. Whether they will or not is another matter. Stoke are not an easy team to beat at home. This game looks like a draw to me. Its 3.3 at

Hull (9) Draw (5) Arsenal (1.44)
Hull were thrashed 5-1 by Everton last game. Arsenal were magnificent against Porto midweek winning 5-0. Looks like a nailed on away win. Go back to the last run of home games for Hull and its not as certain. They managed a draw against Chelsea and a win against Man City. Porto were arguably the worst team still left in the Champions League so 5-0 isn't as good as it seems. Arsenal should win this but I will look to the overs/unders 2.5 goals market. Its 1.67 at Ladbrokes for over 2.5 goals. The last 4 games between these two teams ended up overs and I can't see why this won't be.

14th March 2010

Manchester United (1.25) Draw (6) Fulham (16)
Manchester United beat a woeful AC Milan 4-0 in the Champions League. They were fortunate to beat Wolves but that was without Rooney in the side. With Chelsea slipping up they are now favourites to win the league. Fulham were beat 3-1 by Juventus on Thursday. They have a day less rest than Man U and probably had a harder game. Looking at the odds, I could almost be tempted to go Fulham. I had them at the Cottage to beat Man U which they did 3-0. I just fear that Fulham will be looking at the FA Cup replay rather on this more or less nothing game for them. Man U to win then but at a very bad price.

Sunderland (3.75) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.2)
Sunderland were sliding with no win in 14 but then pull out a 4-0 against Bolton. That could stop the slide. Bruce has been saying that all it needed to re-ignite their season was a good win and now they have that. City took advantage of some terrible defending by Chelsea to win 4-2 at the Bridge a couple of weeks ago. They are a different team with Tevez and Bellamy in. Its a tricky one this. City have the better players but don't always turn up. I am going to opt for the draw. Its 3.4 at bet365.

15th March 2010

Liverpool (1.25) Draw (6) Portsmouth (15)
Terrible week for Liverpool. First losing 1-0 to Wigan and the losing to Lille by the same score. Benitez looks like he could be breaking his promise of delivering 4th place. This is more or less a do or die match for Liverpool. Portsmouth are down but it didn't stop them getting a result at Burnley a couple of weeks ago. They were poor against Birmingham in the week though. Maybe they have just given up. Not too keen on the odds but I can't see any other result than a Liverpool win. Its 1.25 at most places.

FA Cup Matches 6th - 7th March 2010

Fri, 05 Mar 2010 00:35:32 +0000

6 March 2010

Portsmouth (2.62) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3)
When the draw was made, you'd have thought that Birmingham would have been favourites for this game. Since then, Portsmouth have gone in to administration and really only have this to play for now. They are definitely relegated this year. Its not like they have given up in the league though with a good away win at Burnley. Birmingham's form has turned back to normality. They have the form of a mid table side now rather than a team chasing for a Champions League spot. Tricky fixture to call. Looking at 1X here. I can't decide. A draw if you held a gun to my head but not bet for me.

Fulham (3.1) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)
Fulham have picked up form. They have won their last 3 home games and drawn their last 2 away only comceeding a single goal. They'll not make Europe again this year so this is really the only thing they got to play for. Spurs have picked up recently too. On their day, they look irresistible but they do have the odd bad day. England goal scorer hero, Peter Crouch, will probably be on the bench as Pavlyuchenko is on such good form. I am leaning to 1X here. I don't see why Spurs are the favourites. I do like Fulham +0.25 on the Asian Handicap. Its 1.88 at bet365.

7 March 2010

Reading (4.5) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (1.85)
Reading's good cup run has lead them to a good league run too. 5 wins out of the last 6 have pulled them clear of the drop zone. All good things must come to an end though. I can see this is where it ends. Villa are disappointed with the Carling Cup loss which they may have won if Vidic would have been sent off. They'll be keen to get back down to Wembley. 1.85 at William Hill for the Villa win. I see this as a great Premiership side versus an average Championship side and you aren't getting much less than even money for it.

Chelsea (1.3) Draw (6) Stoke (12)
Terrible display from Chelsea last weekend. They looked like they were going to win comfortably after they scored but some terrible defending an 2 men being sent off let City win 4-2. Chelsea are just not Chelsea this season. Stoke were unlucky to lose to Arsenal. They shouldn't have had a man sent off and that second goal was not a penalty. It'd take a brave man to back against Chelsea losing twice in a row and I am not that brave. I can't be backing Chelsea at 1.3 though. Looking though the bets, one that stands out is both teams to score. Its 2.1 at Ladbrokes. With the Delap's long throws and Chelsea's suspect defending I can see Stoke nicking a goal.

Premiership Betting Tips - 27th - 28th February 2010

Fri, 26 Feb 2010 02:22:03 +0000

27 February 2010

Chelsea (1.5) Draw (4.8) Manchester City (8)
Top of the league Chelsea can go 4 points clear with a win here. Midweek, they lost to Inter Milan. They dominated but Inter scored with their only 2 meaningful attacks of the game. Chelsea have a strong home record with only 1 draw and the rest wins. City seem to have gone off the boil with no Tevez. They drew midweek with Stoke in the FA Cup replay and eventually lost 3-1 in extra time. If this game was earlier in the season I would be tempted with a Man City win. As it is, I can't see past a Chelsea win now. City beat Chelsea at Eastlands earlier in the season. Time for some revenge I think. Its 1.5 at Boylesport

Birmingham (2) Draw (3.4) Wigan (4.5)
Birmingham's European push probably ended last weekend with the defeat to Fulham. They were actually winning at half time but two second half Fulham goals meant that Birmingham have only take 4 points from their last 5 games. Recent home form is still pretty good though. Wigan are sliding fast. They were unlucky with the first goal conceded against Spurs last week. Defoe was miles offside. It was pretty even until then and the 3-0 scoreline was flattering to Spurs. Still, it doesn't change the fact that Wigan haven't won a game in 6. I back Birmingham. Its even money at Betfred

Bolton (2) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (4.3)
Only one point seperates these sides. Bolton have had a a bad time since Owen Coyle came to manage. They have played 8 and the record reads 1-2-5. Some tough fixtures in there but the overall lack of goals is worrying. Wolves are a team that once in a while throw up a surprise. They played well against Chelsea and made Cech make some fine saves. Away from home though, they have struggled. I cannot pick a winner here. My bet will be under 2.5 goals. Neither side are scoring and the odds of 1.8 at bet365 seem high.

Burnley (2.2) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3.75)
Burnley need to rediscover that early home form if they are to avoid relegation. Laws hasn't had an easy time since taking over, lots of away games which they have all lost. Last home game they did managed to beat West Ham and before that it was a late goal that allowed Chelsea to take all 3 points. Portsmouth are certain to be relegated if they go in to administration this week. There's a strong case even without the 10 point deduction. Since beating Liverpool, on 19th December, Portsmouth haven't won a league game. I'm backing Burnley to win this. Odds are 2.2 at Betfred

Stoke (5.5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.73)
Stoke don't mind playing Arsenal at home. Last season they won 2-1 and this season in the FA Cup, they won 3-1. Stoke knocked Man City out of the FA Cup this week too. Last league game, they snatched a late win despite being down to 10 men. Despite beating Liverpool and Sunderland in their last 2 league games I am not convinced that Arsenal are as strong a team as their league position suggests. They desperately need a striker. Looking at the odds, I can only go with a Stoke win. They played 120 minutes midweek but 5.5 at William Hill is a cracking price.

28 February 2010

Tottenham (2) Draw (3.4) Everton (4.2)
This is a good opportunity for Spurs to cement that 4th place. I don't think they'll do it though. Spurs seem to bottle it every time they get close. They managed to lose to Wolves a couple of weeks ago and were fortunate to get that first goal against Wigan last weekend. Everton played in Europe this week with a strong squad. Unfortunately for them, they lost 3-0 and are out of the Europa League. That's disappointing considering they went in to the game off the back of beating Chelsea and Manchester United. Tough one to call this. I would have gone Everton if it wasn't for the midweek result. Instead, I will go for the draw its 3.4 at bet365.

Liverpool (1.4) Draw (4.8) Blackburn (10)
Liverpool made heavy work of their Europa Cup tie against Unirea. They conceded an early goal but eventually won 3-1. They are currently on a 5 win streak at home. Away its been a different matter but at Anfield they are performing. Blackburn have been poor away from home this season. Big Sam targets his winnable games very well and as a result generally win the winnable games. I can't see him putting this down as one though. Liverpool win for me. Its 1.4 at Boylesport

Sunderland (2.25) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.6)
Sunderland seem to have gone in to free-fall since beating Arsenal way back in November. No win in the 13 games after that. A lot of draws in that run though, especially at home. Fulham have picked themselves up after a dreadful January. 3 wins and a draw so far in February. Plus they knocked Shakhtar out of the Europa League, its been an excellent month for Fulham. They do have problems winning away from home though. Its got to be the draw for me. Sunderland don't seem to win whereas Fulham don't seem to win away from home. Odds are 3.3 at William Hill.

Premiership Betting Tips - 20th - 21st February 2010

Fri, 19 Feb 2010 01:43:42 +0000

20 February 2010

Everton (5) Draw (3.6) Manchester United (1.83)
These two teams are top of the current form table. Everton beat Sporting 2-1 midweek. It was unlucky for Everton as they were winning 2-0 but conceded a late penalty. In the league, the 1-0 defeat at Anfield was their only defeat in 11. Man U are top of the current form table. They had a bizarre game in midweek against AC Milan. They didn't play well and could have been 4 or 5 down at half time. They managed to win 3-2 in the end. They've had a tough couple of fixtures. Last week, they had to play most of the game against Villa with 10 men. Looking at the odds, I have to go with the home win. Everton beat Chelsea last game. 5.0 is too big a price at Ladbrokes for the home win.

Arsenal (1.22) Draw (6) Sunderland (17)
Arsenal lost away to Porto 2-1. A couple of stupid goals let them down. Arsenal have shown that they can beat the cannon fodder of the Premier League but against the top teams, they struggle. On current form, I put Sunderland in the cannon fodder category. Arsenal should win this. Usually I would be looking at the win to nil market here, its 2.0 at Skybet but if that Fabianski is playing there is no chance. Looks like Almunia will be back though, even so, I will stay away and just back Arsenal at 1.22.

West Ham (1.83) Draw (3.6) Hull (5)
Great result for West Ham last game, against an in form Birmingham. Carlton Cole showed his worth by getting a goal. Still, West Ham are level on points with Hull. There are some signs that Hull are getting it together. A draw against Chelsea and a win against Man City show that they can take points from the best. I am not sure that West Ham should be odds on against anyone in the Premier League. Maybe at evens or odds against I would be tempted. Value looks like to be on the draw here. The reverse fixture ended 3-3. Its 3.6 at bet365.

Wolverhampton (12) Draw (5.5) Chelsea (1.36)
Wolves beat Spurs last game. Who'd have thought they'd do the double over Spurs this season. I heard Spurs played really poorly rather than Wolves being that good though. Chelsea lost to Everton last game. They have struggled on their travels this season, 6-3-4 isn't the away form we are used to. Terry should be back for this game. The odds suggest Chelsea should walk this game. I am not as convinced. They should win but 1.36 is no price for me. Since they beat Arsenal in November, they have played 6 away, lost 2, drawn 3 and won 1. The one win was against Burnley and that was a late goal. No bet for me.

Portsmouth (2.5) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.25)
Bad times for Portsmouth. I hear they are looking at selling players outside the transfer window to stay afloat. Last game, they scored a late goal to get a point from Sunderland. Stoke were really unlucky not to beat Man City midweek. They had to play the last half hour with 10 men and had a perfectly good stoppage time goal disallowed. Stoke are unbeaten in 6 now. This is one of those games, that you look at and think 1-1 draw. The draw is 3.4 at bluesquare.

21 February 2010

Blackburn (2) Draw (3.4) Bolton (4.3)
Blackburn seem to have rediscovered their home form, winning 3 on the bounce. They've been in Dubai this week in their training camp. This contrasts with the midweek fixture that Bolton had at Wigan, where they played out a dull 0-0. Bolton are in the relegation zone. If this wasn't a local derby, I am sure that Blackburn would not be even money. Even factoring in the local derby, I still think 2.0 is a good price for the Blackburn win at bluesquare. Its odds on everywhere else.

Aston Villa (1.4) Draw (4.8) Burnley (10)
Villa were disappointing at Palace last week to say the least. O'Neil put out a strong team and they were lucky to get a replay. Villa's form has dipped recently with just 1 win in 7 and scoring just 3 goals. Burnley don't do away games. Their form reads 0-1-12. Just 1 point away from home this season! Villa should win this. 1.4 isn't a price to get excited about though. I do like the look of under 2.5 goals at 2.05 at bet365. Villa haven't been scoring many so 1-0, 2-0 are quite likely scores and the unders covers, 0-0 and 1-1.

Fulham (2.15) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.75)
Fulham beat Shakhtar 2-1 in the Europa League. They seem to have got over their problem of not being able to win after a European night, drawing 3 and winning 2 after European fixtures. Fulham's recent form looks better than it is. They've basically played the bottom 3 clubs and come away with 2 wins and a draw. Birmingham were extremely fortunate to beat Derby in the cup. The loss to West Ham was disappointing and could be the end of their excellent run. I am thinking 1X here. The draw pays more so I'll go with that. Its 3.3 at bet365.

Manchester City (2.5) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (3)
This game is the battle for 4th place. Liverpool can leapfrog Man City with a win here. City seem to have stumbled a bit recently. They have been away performances though. Their home form is still 9-3-0. Something isn't quite right about City when Tevez and Bellamy aren't playing. They were lucky to get a point from Stoke. Liverpool won their European game against Unirea 1-0. They've seem to have turned the corner. They lost a scrappy affair with Arsenal but beat an in form Everton side with 10 men. I think I will go for a City win if Bellamy and Tevez are playing else the draw.

Wigan (3.8) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.05)
I remember the reverse fixture well, I backed Wigan and Spurs won 9-1. I am no Wigan betting fan. They are one of the most unpredictable teams around. Three draws on the bounce now. I hear the pitch has come under scrutiny now the rugby has started again. A bad pitch will favour the home side. Spurs aren't playing too well away from home. Last game, they drew at Bolton in the cup and last league game, they lost 1-0 to Wolves. I am not going to be backing Spurs on their current form. I cannot back Wigan either so that leaves the draw. Its 3.5 at bet365. .

FA Cup 5th Round Tips 13th -14th February 2010

Fri, 12 Feb 2010 02:41:48 +0000

13th February 2010

Chelsea (1.18) Draw (7.5) Cardiff (17)
Chelsea may have lost to Everton midweek but I can see no upset here. Cardiff are like most of the Championship, can be good but can also be terrible. 1.18 is probably a fair price. I can see much more value in the 1.91 at Skybet and bluesquare for Chelsea to win to nil. The odds imply about a 50% chance that Chelsea will win to nil but I think it's better than that. No John Terry but I think the Chelsea defence can keep out Cardiff.

Southampton (2.88) Draw (3.3) Portsmouth (2.63)
Not so long ago these sides were playing each other in the Premiership. Nowadays 2 divisions separate the two. Southampton sit mid-table despite having a 10 point penalty. Portsmouth have big problems off the pitch with the tax man and on the pitch being 8 points off safety. I don't think Portsmouth will lose this game. A replay would do them good financially but I think they should win this. They are 2.63 at Betfred. That's a good price considering the two league gap between the sides.

Derby (3.25) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (2.5)
Derby have been on a little mini-run, beating Forest and Newcastle and were unlucky not to have beaten Sheffield United too. Birmingham's good run had to come to an end sometime. Its was surprising they lost 2-0 at West Ham. I can see them going for this game though. They are safe in the Premier League and a good cup run will be good for them. You can get 2.5 for Birmingham at VC Bet.

Reading (2.8) Draw (3.4) West Brom (2.62)
Reading sit in the relegation zone despite winning their last 3 games. With the league so tight at the bottom, they are unlikely to go down this season. Having knocked out Liverpool and Burnley, it looks like they are up for a good cup run. West Brom sit top of the league on goal difference but have played a game more than Newcastle. I can see getting automatic promotion as being the number 1 priority for West Brom and the FA Cup being a distraction. You can get 2.8 for Reading at William Hill.

Manchester City (1.5) Draw (4.2) Stoke (8.5)
Just when you think that Man City can make a good push for a Champions League spot, they go and lose to Hull City of all people. They partially redeemed themselves by beating Bolton 2-0 but everyone seems to beat Bolton nowadays. Fortunately for City, Stoke don't travel very well. Their record reads 1-6-5. They knocked out a weakened Arsenal team last time. I think City will be at full strength so they won't get an easy time. The 1.5 on the City win seems fair enough to me.

14th February 2010

Bolton (3.75) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.2)
Bolton's fortunes haven't changed much since Owen Coyle's arrival. A record of 1-1-4. The 4 defeats were to Arsenal (twice), Man City and Liverpool though. Last round, they beat Sheffield United 2-0. Spurs stumbled against Wolves midweek. It seems like they have lost their away scoring boots. In the league they have only scored 1 in the last 4 away games. They managed to beat Leeds 3-1 in the replay but the game was a lot tighter than the scoreline suggests. I am going for a draw here. I can't really trust Spurs away from home at 2.2. The draw is 3.4 at bet365.

Fulham (1.53) Draw (4.3) Notts Co (8)
Fulham have come out of their run of 5 straight defeats with a 2 wins and a draw. They were quite fortunate in the last round to beat Accrington. It was all square until Accrington has a man sent off. Fulham went on to win 3-1. Hodgson says he's taking the FA Cup seriously and has indicated he will sacrifice Europa Leagues games rather than the FA Cup. Notts County have been doing reasonably well under a caretaker manager. I can't see a league 2 team troubling Fulham at all. Its 1.53 at Boylesport
.

Crystal Palace (5) Draw (3.6) Aston Villa (1.83)
If you have some spare money you could actually buy Crystal Palace. There was an advert in the FT advertising the club for sale. On the pitch they are on a decent run with a record that reads, 4-2-2. They are still very close to the drop zone though. Villa have gone off the boil a little. They really should have capitalised better against Manchester United. United played a lot of the game with 10 men but still left Villa Park with a point. I think O'Neil will put out a strong team here. Last season, the decline in form happened after O'Neil played a weakened cup side. He'll not make that same mistake again. Villa are 1.83 at William Hill.

Premiership Betting Tips - 30th - 31st January 2010

Fri, 29 Jan 2010 02:19:35 +0000

30th January 2010

Birmingham (3.25) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.38)
Birmingham's record run came to an end spectacularly at Stamford Bridge, losing 3-0. All good things must come to an end I guess. They still have one of the meanest defences at home though, only conceding 6. Spurs bounced back from the loss at Liverpool with a fairly comfortable 2-0 win over Fulham. The 2-2 home draw to Leeds was worrying (and costly for punters). Why they just didn't waste is just beyond me. In the last couple of away games, Spurs have failed to find the net. I am not convinced that Spurs should be favourites here. Chelsea and Man U came to St Andrews and only came away with draws. Definitely an 1X game here. I think I will go for a draw, 0-0 or 1-1. Its 3.4 at Boylesport.

Fulham (2.75) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.8)
Fulham are certainly back in the 'can't win away from home' groove. Four straight away losses now. They may well have lost to Accrington if it wasn't for Accrington getting a man sent off. Fortunately, their home form is much better, 6-2-2. There are goal scoring problems for Villa in the league. They have failed to score in their last 4 league games, though have scored a few in the cup. I will go for Fulham here as they are at home and Villa aren't scoring. Its 2.75 at bluesquare
.

Hull (2.3) Draw (3.4) Wolverhampton (3.4)
Hull are in deep trouble still. Winless in 8 now, relegation looms even at this stage in the season. To be fair, they did lose the games that they were expected to lose and picked up an unexpected point at Spurs the other week. Jimmy Bullard may well be back for this game. The underwent a mini-revival with him in the team. Wolves gained a good point from a visiting Liverpool but have failed to score in the last 4 games. Worrying times for Mick McCarthy as Wolves only sit above the relegation zone on goal difference. I'll go for the home win at 2.3 at Betfred if Bullard plays or its the draw.

Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.3) Bolton (8.5)
Liverpool look like having Gerrard back for this game. They still think they can get 4th. They'll have to raise their expectations though. Gerrard was saying how it was a good point away at Stoke. The Liverpool that nearly won the league last year would have seen that as 2 points dropped. Last game they drew 0-0 away to Wolves. Bolton have got a couple of wins under their belt now. With Owen Coyle as manager you can expect a different of game from Bolton. Tricky game to call this. Liverpool aren't really a team you want to be backing at 1.5. I can see them winning this by the odd goal but it'll be tight. For me, the better bet is Bolton +1 on the Asian Handicap. Its 2.17 at bet365. With the Asian Handicap +1, you get your money back if its a 1 goal victory for Liverpool and win if its a draw or a Bolton win. Liverpool have won this fixture in the last 5 years not conceding a single goal but this Liverpool side isn't as strong as past ones.

West Ham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3.75)
West Ham have picked up a bit of form recently. They conceded late at Portsmouth and were unlucky not to get all 3 points there. Previously, they got a good point away at Villa. Carlton Cole should be back for this game so they will have the extra fire power up front. Blackburn have won their last 2 home league games. They tend to do worse on the road though, 1-2-8. Big Sam knows these are the types of games that will keep them up this season. Still, I think West Ham will win this. Its 2.2 at bluesquare
.

Wigan (3.25) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.4)
I still can't work out Wigan. Just when I thought they were predictably bad, they go and win away at Wolves. They then lose 2-1 at Blackburn. Everton's season has turned now, they have won their last 2 league games 2-0 but did lose a cup game in-between. The injury list has gone down and they have Arteta back now too. I'm going with the team that is in form. Everton are 2.4 at PaddyPower.

Burnley (15) Draw (5.5) Chelsea (1.3)
Not really much to say about this. No win in 11 for Burnley. Chelsea are rampant and may have Drogba back for this. Chelsea to win is 1.3 at most places. The -2 on the Asian Handicap is 2.26 at bet365. I can see Chelsea winning this by at least 2 clear goals and probably a lot more.

31st January 2010

Manchester City (1.3) Draw (5.5) Portsmouth (12)
Home banker of the week this. City were undone by Man U's luck in the Carling Cup. They'll bounce back from that and the defeat at Everton a couple of weeks ago. City are unbeaten at home and have Adebayor back. Portsmouth have made 3 new signings after their transfer embargo was lifted which could make a difference. Its just not going to be straight away. Could be a good Asian Handicap play this. City are 2.61 -2 on the Asian at bet365. Its strange because the price is identical to the Chelsea game but their 2 goal handicap is priced at 2.26.

Arsenal (2.6) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (3)
Biggest game of the weekend by far. Its also one of the trickiest to call. The teams sit 2nd and 3rd but neither is playing particularly well at the moment. Arsenal drew 0-0 at Villa midweek and so missed their chance to go level at the top with Chelsea. They are very dependent on Fabregas scoring. Man U played a tough game against City. They were fortunate to score in the 2nd minute of stoppage time so as not to have played the extra 30. Man U have lost 4 away games this season already which I've never seen before. You'd expect that all season. From the betting point of view, I will have to go with Arsenal. Home advantage counts a lot and I don't see that much between these teams. 2.6 is a good price at bet365, William Hill and bluesquare

1st February 2010

Sunderland (2.15) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.8)
No win in 9 for Sunderland and 6 of those were defeats. A run of form which is worrying for Steve Bruce. They have a couple of home games where they can maybe turn their season around after such promise. Stole come on the back of beating a weakened Arsenal side 3-1 in the FA Cup and a home draw against Liverpool. Away from home though, they tend to not want to score. They are 1-4-5 and have only score 4 away goals. Sunderland are 2.15 at bluesquare and that will be my bet.

FA Cup 5th Round and Premiership Betting Tips

Fri, 22 Jan 2010 00:37:15 +0000

23rd January 2010

Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) Hull (21)
Man U lost midweek to Man City. It wasn't that big a shock considering the poor form Man U have been in. These types of games Man U should win, at 1.17, you don't need me to tell you that. Hull's keeper played the game of his life last week to deny Spur's a win. I can't see that happening again. One bet that does stand out on this game is at William Hill, 2.5 for both teams to score. Man U are certs to score, so you are practically getting, 2.5 on Hull to score. A much better bet than the 1.17 Man U win.

Preston (13) Draw (6) Chelsea (1.29)
Preston's form has been pretty indifferent this year. In previous years, they were always play off contenders but this year, they sit 17th. Only 4 wins out of 11 at home. Chelsea demolished Sunderland last weekend, 7-2. It was as much to do with a poor Sunderland side as it was to do with a good Chelsea side. On paper, Chelsea should breeze this. No doubt they will. 1.29 on the away win is a fair price I suppose. If you are little braver, the draw/Chelsea half-time/full-time result is 4.5 though. Chelsea have a habit of making hard work of these easy games.

Reading (2.63) Draw (3.4) Burnley (2.88)
Reading thoroughly deserved to get through against Liverpool last round. They outplayed Liverpool in both games. In the league, they aren't doing well and sit in the relegation zone. This will be a nice distraction for them. There are many worse teams in the Championship, so Reading should stay up. Burnley made a good start with the new manager at Old Trafford. They lost 3-0 but that score flattered Man U. I can see Burnley's priority to stay up this year so they may not try as hard as they could. Even with a full strength side it still would be tough for them as they don't win away from home very often. Reading for me. Its 2.63 at Betfred
.

Accrington (8) Draw (4.5) Fulham (1.5)
League 2 Accrington only qualified for this round on Tuesday by beating League 1 Gillingham 1-0 with a late goal. Accrington are a full 3 leagues below Fulham. From the raw stats. I cannot see another upset. Accrington are 11th in League 2, with a 5-0-5 home record, hardly sparkling. Fulham have been playing badly away from home, losing their last 3. Still, this is a team many places below them. Accrington's pitch may diminish Fulham's skill advantage but I can still see Fulham winning this. This game is priced as if an upset is on the cards. 1.5 is a great price at Skybet for Fulham.

Aston Villa (1.22) Draw (7) Brighton (15)
What a crazy game for Villa in the Carling Cup. You don't get many 6-4 games. That puts them in the Carling Cup final. Last week, they played out a 0-0 draw against West Ham. Disappointing to say the least. That's the 3rd league game where they failed to score. With Arsenal, next midweek, O'Neil may be tempted to make a few changes. Brighton sit 19th in League 1. They have actually won their last 3 away games. I can't really see them causing an upset here though. 1.22 isn't a price I'd wanting to be backing Villa at though. Its a no bet for me, or a small punt on the draw at 7.0.

Bolton (1.85) Draw (3.6) Sheffield Utd (4.5)
Tough start for Owen Coyle, having to play Arsenal twice. This will be his chance to get a first win under his belt. He should go for the win but you never know. They host Burnley on Tuesday night. Sheffield United have been in terrific form recently. After a bad patch they have climbed up to 6th place in the Championship and in to that last play off spot. Only 1 loss in 11. 4.5 is a good price for Sheffield United. It wouldn't be too much of a shock if United did win this.

Everton (1.87) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (5)
Great performance against City from Everton. If they play like that again, they'll surely end this unbeaten run of Birmingham's. It'll be pretty hard for Everton to play like that again though. Birmingham are unbeaten in 14 matches in all competitions. It has to end sometime but it could easily last another week. The way I see this game, is that no result would surprise me. I don't get why Everton are odds on. Unbeaten in 7 league games but they've only won 2 of those. I'd be much more inclined to back Birmingham on the Asian Handicap, 2.05 +0.5 at bet365.

Tottenham (1.33) Draw (6) Leeds (11)
Spurs laid down midweek and got beat by Liverpool 2-0. Last weekend, they were disappointing against Hull only getting a 0-0 draw. Good form before then though. Its that consistency that makes me think that they won't break in to the top 4 this season. Leeds had a dream at Old Trafford knocking Man U out. Since then its not been as rosy. They have drawn 1 and lost 2. Maybe their season has peaked. The result at Old Trafford will make sure that Spurs won't be complacent here. They'll put out a strong side. I can see no upset here. In fact, I'd be happy to back Spurs on the handicap here. You can get 1.91 for Spurs -1 on the 1X2 handicap at Skybet. They have to win by 2 clear goals for it to come in.

24th January 2010

Stoke (5) Draw (3.5) Arsenal (1.83)
Tricky game to call so early on. Its the FA Cup and it really does depend on the team that Wenger decides to put out. If you could be sure that a full strength Arsenal team was out, you'd not get 1.83 on them. Arsenal are currently top of the league and have Villa on Wednesday. The league is winnable for Arsenal this year and maybe Wenger will sacrifice the FA Cup chance for it. Stoke aren't a bad side at home and would be able to beat an Arsenal side with some 2nd/3rd stringers in it. Best check out the team news before betting on this game.

Scunthorpe (10) Draw (4.8) Manchester City (1.4)
This is another potentially tricky game. Scunthorpe are 20th in the Championship so on paper, Man City should win this with ease. The only spanner in the works is the game on Wednesday against Man U. Mancini will surely have that in mind considering the rivalry. A weakened side could struggle here. Best check the team news before betting on this one.

Premiership Betting Tips - 16th - 17th January 2010

Fri, 15 Jan 2010 03:08:21 +0000

16th January 2010

Stoke (4) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (2.25)
An excellent time for Stoke to be playing Liverpool. Dumped out of the cup midweek and now losing, Torres, Gerrard and Benayoun, things are looking grim. Even with those 3 players I'd have backed against Liverpool. The Britannia, isn't the fortress it once was. Last time out, they did beat an in form Fulham there 3-2 though and were leading 3-0 at half time. Stoke at 4.0 at PaddyPower is a crazy price considering the home advantage and Liverpool's dismal form.

Chelsea (1.22) Draw (6) Sunderland (15)
Chelsea will look at this as a great opportunity to extend their lead at the top of the Premiership, with both Arsenal and Man U drawing last week. Even with Drogba, Essien, Kalou and Mikel out due to the African Cup of Nations, Chelsea should be too strong for Sunderland. Sunderland are 1-2-7 away from home, so I wouldn't be backing them anywhere, let alone at the Bridge. I think the game will be tighter than the odds suggest though. Chelsea haven't cleared their handicap in the last 6 league games. They won 2 home games by a 1 goal margin, 3 draws and a loss. Not a team you really want to back at 1.22. Its a no bet for me.

Manchester United (1.17) Draw (8) Burnley (19)
Bad times for Man U. Dumped out of the FA Cup by League 1, Leeds United and needing an own goal to get a point from Birmingham, things aren't going well for Ferguson. None of his stars are performing. Burnley have problems too with their manager going to Bolton. Its Brian Laws first game in charge, so they could get the 'new manager boost' though. If it wasn't for Burnley's terrible away record, I'd be tempted to back them. Still, I am not backing Man U at 1.17. Thats a price for an in form Man U, not one that is struggling. Another no bet.

Portsmouth (2.8) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (2.7)
Lucky result for Portsmouth against Coventry in the FA Cup. They looked like they were going out but goals in the 90th and 120th minute mean they are through to the 5th round. Its not going to do their survival hopes any good though. Birmingham are on this incredible run of 14 unbeaten in all competitions, which has seen them face, Chelsea, Man U and Man City. It has to end sometime but I don't think it will here. Bookies are split on this one. Ladbrokes have Birmingham as favourites at 2.5, Portsmouth 2.8 whereas Bet365 have Portsmouth favourite at 2.63, 2.7 Birmingham. I'm with Ladbrokes here so its 2.7 for Birmingham at Bet365.

Tottenham (1.29) Draw (6) Hull (13)
Hull pulled off a shocker last season beating Spurs 1-0. I can't see that happening again. Spurs did suffer a shock defeat to Wolves a month ago but have since kept 4 clean sheets, winning 3 and drawing 1. Hull are struggling without Jimmy Bullard. He was instrumental in that little mini run they went on. Out of all the mega favourite this weekend, I am most confident about this one. A bet I do like is Spurs to win to nil at 2.1 at bluesquare. Odds on everywhere else.

Wolverhampton (2.38) Draw (3.25) Wigan (3.25)
Two teams that could find themselves playing Championship football next season. Both on 19 points which is only 1 point above the relegation zone. Wolves are probably in the better form. 3 wins and 3 defeats in their last 6 but if you look at the defeats its nothing to be ashamed of, Man U away, Liverpool away and Man City at home. Wigan were inconsistent but seem to have lost the ability to win. .Only 1 win in 9 and that was after the 9-1 drubbing by Spurs. Home win for me this. 2.38 at VC Bet.

Everton (3) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.62)
Unlucky for Everton not picking up all 3 points from Arsenal. Maybe I got it wrong about Everton. They have still got a few players out but their squad seems to be coping well. Unbeaten in 6 now but 5 of those were draws. City have gone on a little run since Mancini took over. They are now 4th and are serious title contenders again as no one else wants to win it. This will be there first big test though. Very tricky from a betting point of view. Bookies have the odds just about right I think. In circumstances like this, I prefer the draw as its the biggest price on the coupon. You can get 3.3 at most bookies.

17th January 2010

Aston Villa (1.57) Draw (4) West Ham (7.5)
Good result for Villa in the Carling Cup. They take back a 1-0 lead back to Villa Park in the second leg against Blackburn. Villa's great run in the league ended with 2 defeats against Arsenal and Liverpool. They are still up in 6th place though. West Ham are in trouble, Only above relegation on goal difference and Bolton have 2 games in hand. Home win is 1.57 at Skybet.

Blackburn (2.5) Draw (3.25) Fulham (3.3)
Some pressure on Big Sam to deliver now. Currently, 9 league games without a win and then last night's defeat to Villa in the Carling Cup. They are still in that group of teams that could go down this season. Fulham still can't seem to win away from home. Joint top scorer Bobby Zamora is out injured. I can see no winner here so its the draw at 3.25 at most places.

Bolton (7) Draw (4.1) Arsenal (1.62)
New manager for Bolton. Owen Coyle made Turf Moor for Burnley a fortress and maybe he can at the Reebok too. He'll be hoping for a bit of the new manager syndrome where the same players up their game for a new manager. Arsenal drew with Everton last weekend. I have my doubts about the strength of the Arsenal team. They were looking at being title contenders but then drop points at home. Too much fancy football and few shots are being fired goal wards. Only 5 shots on target and 1 off. I cannot be backing Arsenal at 1.62. A Bolton win is too much to ask so I think the draw offers the best value. 4.1 at Sportingbet.

Premiership Betting Tips - 9th - 11th January 2010

Fri, 08 Jan 2010 02:32:50 +0000

9th January 2010

Hull (11) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.36)
A great fixture for Chelsea. Missing their top player, Didier Drogba, this is the place they'd want to go. Not a great Christmas for Chelsea, drawing 0-0 at Birmingham and having to come from behind to narrowly defeat Fulham. Hull, more or less sealed Megson's sacking from Bolton by coming from 2-0 down to take a point from the Reebok. Should be an away win but not as comfortable as the odds suggest. 1.36 at most bookmakers. A bet that might offer a bit more value is the both teams to score at 2.2 at William Hill. Chelsea are bad at defending set pieces and Hull could easily nick one.

Arsenal (1.4) Draw (4.5) Everton (9)
Arsenal have surprised me since losing van Persie. I thought they would really struggle to score but thats not been the case. They've scored 10 in their last 3 league games. Everton are picking up form, unbeaten in 5 but 4 of those were draws and everyone beats Burnley at their home ground. I still think Everton's squad is too small. First day of the season, Arsenal thrashed Everton 6-1. I can't see that score line again but can see another win for Arsenal. 1.4 at most bookies.

Burnley (2.38) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.4)
Once upon a time I would have backed Burnley at home blindly. Not a good time for Burnley though, losing a manager is never good. 4 straight home draws at home for Burnley. Stoke looked like they could have been going on the slide but the win against Fulham was great. 3-0 up at half time they were cruising. Game ended 3-2 but Stoke played great. I will back the draw in this game. Burnley's home form has dipped and Stoke are rarely good away so the draw is the logical result. Odds are 3.3 at Totesport.

Fulham (1.67) Draw (3.75) Portsmouth (6)
After 2 away defeats Fulham will be glad to be back at home. Against Chelsea they were unlucky not to get anything from the game. They were leading up until the 73rd minute. Against Stoke, they lost that game by half time but did make a good fight of it. Portsmouth are in danger of becoming the next Leeds United. Players are being paid late and there is a real chance of administration here. A few weeks ago, I gave Portsmouth a chance but results not point to them being certain to go down. The win against Liverpool looks like a blip in a downward spiral. Fulham is a banker for me at 1.67 at bet365.

Sunderland (1.95) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4.5)
Sunderland are one of the disappointments of the season. So much promise but lately they've been poor. They have the same players but maybe just over performed at the start. Bolton have a new manager in Owen Coyle. I guess this would give them a boost. Without that, I would be all over Sunderland. The new manager factor with Bolton cannot be ignored though. My bet will be Darren Bent to score anytime. He's netted 11 times (13 goals total) in 20 Premier League games. Odds on him scoring anytime should be about evens or less now but at Boylesport they have him at 2.63. A better bet I think.

Wigan (3.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.4)
I've been avoiding tipping Wigan matches due to their unpredictability. You never know who is going to turn up. Times are changing though and I think that its time to start backing against them. Since the win against Sunderland, they have drawn 2 and lost 3. Thats relegation form to me. Just when you thought Villa might have the strength to break in to the top 4, they go lose to Arsenal and Liverpool. Worse still, they were unable to score in any of those games. Before that they were on a 5 game winning streak though. Villa were beat 2-0 on the opening day of the season by Wigan. I can see this being revenge. Villa win for me at 2.4 at William Hill.

Birmingham (6.8) Draw (3.8) Manchester United (1.62)
Quite a big price for the in form team in the Premiership. Unbeaten in 11, with 7 of them wins, this is amazing for a newly promoted team. Big shock for Man U getting dumped out of the cup by Leeds. The team was weakened but not by much. Man U still have many problems. No way should they be 1.62. For me, this is a 1X game. Similar price to the Fulham game the other week, which Fulham won 3-0. I am going to go for the draw here. Birmingham don't score that many goals. Draw pays 3.8 at William Hill

10th January 2010

West Ham (1.91) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4.8)
West Ham is a team I have changed my mind about. It was the Chelsea game that was the turning point in my eyes. Only a dodgy penalty allowed Chelsea to take a point. Against Arsenal in the cup they were great. They should have been 2-3 up by the time Arsenal equalised. Wolves haven't had a good Christmas, losing to Liverpool and Man City. Before then though, they did win 3/4 and the defeat at Old Trafford was partly down to McCarthy playing a weakened side. I have to back West Ham in this game though. The win at Spurs was Wolves only away win of the season and they don't score many. West Ham is 1.91 at bluesquare.

Liverpool (1.91) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (4.5)
Big, big fixture for Liverpool this. I can't see them making top 4 if they don't win this. Liverpool have won their last 2 but haven't played well. The win against Villa was good but it was very late in stoppage time. Gerrard and Torres haven't been performing. Spurs are in 4th and are on 4 unbeaten run winning 3 of those and all clean sheets. X2 for me. I am not brave enough to bet on the Spurs win so I'll go for the Asian Handicap +0.5 (Spurs win or draw) at even money at bet365.

11th January 2010

Manchester City (1.44) Draw (4.8) Blackburn (8.5)
3 wins out of 3 (including the FA Cup game) for City under Mancini with no goals conceded. City could we be living up to their potential now. Its not like they were bad under Mark Hughes, it was the draws that cost them (and punters). Tevez is in fine form. Blackburn are 1-2-7 away from home. No win in 8 either so chances aren't good at Eastlands. Home win is 1.44 at bet365.

Premiership Betting Tips - 19th - 21st December 2009

Fri, 18 Dec 2009 00:11:01 +0000

19 December 2009

Portsmouth (6) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.62)
Portsmouth ruined my Sunderland bet last weekend scoring in injury time. To be fair they deserved it with the amount of pressing they did. Midweek they were unlucky not to get a point at Chelsea. They played well and Chelsea were struggling to break them down. Liverpool looked the better side first half against Arsenal but second half, Arsenal came out fighting and Liverpool deservedly lost 2-1. Liverpool were much better against Wigan. A nervy last few minutes but they should have been out of sight before then. Odds aren't too good for an out of form Liverpool, last 6 read, DDWDLW. I'll certainly not be backing them at those odds. 4.0 at VC Bet for the draw looks the best bet.

Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.3) Stoke (10)
Villa are in form. Since that shock defeat at West Ham they have gone on a run which has put them second in the current form table. A couple of big scalps in there, with victories against Man U and Sunderland away. 3 clean sheets in a row too. Stoke were lucky to get a point against Wigan. Wigan missed a penalty in injury time. No midweek game for Stoke. Villa should win this, 1.44 at Totesport. You can also get 2.5 for Villa to win to nil at Totesport. Stoke have only scored 4 away goals all season. Much bigger price for something which is just as likely in my opinion.

Blackburn (3.35) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (2.25)
No win in 5 for Blackburn. They were poor against Birmingham midweek. Blackburn aren't good away though. Still only 1 defeat all season at home. Spurs are an inconsistent side. They must have broken so many accumulators last week losing 1-0 at home to Wolves. Midweek, they convincingly beat Man City 3-0. I'll not be backing them at 2.25 away from home though. Blackburn's last 3 home games have ended in draws, why not this one? Odds are 3.5 at VC Bet.

Fulham (7) Draw (4) Manchester United (1.62)
Fulham had a trip to Basel midweek, winning 3-2 securing their place in the next round of the Europa League. I am usually weary about Fulham after a European game but last time they came back and beat Sunderland 1-0 at home. Man U's luck ran out last weekend against Villa. You could see that coming, they just haven't been playing well but somehow managing to win. Wolves put out a weakened side against them midweek so I'll not read to much in to the fact that Man U won that 3-0. Looking at the odds here, the value punter really has to be looking at backing Fulham, who are 5-1-2 at home. Last season Fulham won this fixture 2-0. You can get 7.0 at Coral for the straight Fulham win or 5.0 for the draw not bet at Skybet.

Manchester City (1.57) Draw (4.2) Sunderland (8)
Bad day at the office for City mid week. Losing 3-0 is bad enough but Spurs are a top 4 rival. Previously, they only managed to salvage a draw from Bolton. The pressure is really on Mark Hughes to deliver a win here. Sunderland have gone on a dive since beating Arsenal. Unlucky last week to concede in stoppage time but still should be winning those types of games. More worrying is that they have only scored 1 goal in their last 4. They are second from bottom of the current form table, just above West Ham. Man City have cost me a lot this season but I am willing to give them one last chance here. 1.57 at VC Bet If City don't win, then at least I'll have the comfort that Mark Hughes will probably get sacked.

Arsenal (1.22) Draw (7) Hull (19)
Hull got a famous win last year against Arsenal. I don't think they'll do it again his year. 1.22 on the Arsenal win is not really a price you want to be backing though. Arsenal should win with no Van Persie. Looks like Arshavin has stepped up. Hull look like they could be going back in to free fall but I don't think they'll be too concerned if they lose this one. Arsenal win is 1.22 at Ladbrokes but not worth backing.

20 December 2009

Wolverhampton (2.1) Draw (3.5) Burnley (3.9)
Wolves got a stunning 1-0 victory against Spurs last week. They scored early and managed to nullify the Spurs attack. Midweek, McCarthy made 10 changes so 3-0 at Man U was a good result. Burnley are still managing to get those results at Turf Moor, holding Arsenal to a 1-1 draw. Still winless away from home though, 0-1-7 and the draw was against Man City when City were going through their 'draw patch'. Backing against Burnley away from home has been profitable this season so that'll be my bet. With Wolves effectively having no midweek game, they'll be that little bit fresher too. Odds are 2.1 at bet365.

Everton (1.85) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (4.8)
Everton played a midweek Europa League game, losing 1-0 to BATE at home. As Everton have already qualified though, Moyes put out a youth team. Last weekend, they got a good point against Chelsea but I think that was more to do with the fact Chelsea can't defend set pieces. Birmingham are top of the current form table. Uneaten in 8 and winning the last 5 in a row. No really big teams in the winning run though. I still can't see how Everton are odds on for this though. They haven't won at home since 20th September. I don't think Birmingham are the type of team that can win 6 games in a row either so it has to be the draw for me. You can get 3.5 at most bookies

West Ham (8.5) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.4)
West Ham are bottom of the current form table and second bottom of the over table, just 3 points above Portsmouth. A goal keeping error allowed Bolton to win and leap frog them in the table midweek. West Ham are looking like real relegation contenders now. Chelsea haven't been playing well recently. They were fortunate to beat Portsmouth with a penalty. Before that the Portsmouth defence was holding out. If it was anyone else, I'd probably be tempted to back against Chelsea but West Ham are in free fall. Odds on Chelsea are 1.4 at Totesport. £100 Free bet when you sign up.

21 December 2009

Wigan (2.1) v (3.4) Bolton (3.8)
They certainly didn't leave the best until last this weekend. Wigan are a tricky team to call. They missed a stoppage time penalty against Stoke so could have won that game. They scored late at Liverpool which set up a nervy ending but it was too little too late. Bolton beat West Ham midweek but so does everyone nowadays. They could have beat Man City, 3-2 up and City were down to 10 men but that ended 3-3. If I had to bet, I would go for the draw but I'll skip this one.

Premiership Betting Tips - 12th - 13th December 2009

Fri, 11 Dec 2009 01:19:49 +0000

12 December 2009

Stoke (2.15) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.75)
Trouble in the dressing room for Stoke. Looks like Beattie maybe leaving Stoke soon. This could have an affect on the game here. Stoke have made the Britannia a fortress again. Its hard to back against Stoke against anyone apart from the top 4/5 teams. Inconsistent Wigan lost at home last weekend. If the price was bigger I might be tempted with the away win. As it is, its Stoke for me, you can get 2.15 at Betfred.

Birmingham (2.15) Draw (3.4) West Ham (3.75)
Birmingham are looking at finishing mid table now. They are second in the current form table, WDDWWW. Birmingham are looking like a team which can pull off 4 victories in a row. West Ham are poor. No team gets hammered by Man U nowadays but some how West Ham did, 4-0. I think Birmingham should be odds on for this fixture so the 2.15 you can get for Birmingham at William Hill is a bargain.

Bolton (4.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (1.83)
Bolton are having a terrible run of form at the moment. 1 win, 4 losses and a draw put them rock bottom of the current form table. City came good against Chelsea. Its a shame I had given up on them, even though I said they had the players to win the game. As a result, I am giving them another chance. 1.83, is a fantastic price for a team with so much potential. Too many draws for City but I think last week marked a turning point. Odds are 1.83 at bluesquare.

Burnley (2.65) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.8)
Not really much to say about Burnley and Turf Moor. You got to be backing Burnley with their home record. It reads 5-1-1. Fulham are doing much better this season away from home but still are struggling to win. They pick up their points at home. I do prefer the safer option of the Asian Handicap though. You can get Burnley +0 (which mean no bet if its a draw) at 1.98 at bet365. Strange pricing as Fulham are favourites on the Asian Handicap but Burnley on the 1X2.

Chelsea (1.25) Draw (5.5) Everton (15)
Just when you thought Chelsea were going to run away with the league, they slip up again. Everton did really well to come from 2-0 down to make it 2-2 against Spurs. To be fair, Spurs should have been 5-6 up but it shows they can hang in there. Last 3 league games at the Bridge between these 2 have ended in draws. I cannot see it this time though. Everton are still more or less at the bare bones this year. Chelsea will be wanting to show the rest of the league they are really the champions elect too. A couple of decent bets I've seen at bluesquare. Chelsea -1 on the 1X2 handicap (means that a 1 goal win for Chelsea is a handicap draw and this is a loss) is 1.8 or Chelsea to win to nil at 2.0.

Hull (2.8) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (2.6)
No Bullard for Hull. He's been pivotal in their revival. They were beat 3-0 last week at Villa after Bullard went off. Could be bad times for Hull. I would be all over Blackburn if this was a home fixture but they can't seem to get anything away from home. Only 1 away win for Blackburn and was against the struggling Bolton. Extremely tricky this one. I will skip it.

Sunderland (1.83) Draw (3.5) Portsmouth (5)
Sunderland are starting to look like a Jekyll and Hyde, home and away side. 5-1-1 at home and 1-1-6 away.
After a good 1-0 home win against Arsenal they go on to lose 1-0 away from home to Wigan and Fulham. Portsmouth are still rock bottom. They were quite fortunate to beat Burnley last week. I cannot see them getting a thing from the Stadium of Light. Sunderland are 1.83 on the 1X2 coupon but at Ladbrokes you can get 1.92 for them -0.5 on the Asian Handicap. This is the same bet as a Sunderland win but pays 1.92. Crazy Ladbrokes

Tottenham (1.3) Draw (5.8) Wolverhampton (13)
Spurs were unlucky not get all 3 points from Everton last week. They should have been out of sight and then Defoe missed a last minute penalty. At home, this is the type of game they should walk. Teams like Wolves are cannon fodder. Wolves beat Bolton last weekend but everyone beats Bolton nowadays. I can only see a Spurs win. 1.3 straight win but I think the 3.1 -2 on the 1X2 handicap at Skybet is better.

Manchester United (1.5) Draw (4.3) Aston Villa (8)
Lucky Manchester United do it again in Germany. They were battered, Only 4 shots on target for Man United they scored 3 of them. Even bigger injury list for Man United now. Its hard to see how they can keep winning on luck. I think Villa have a good chance here. They have dipped a bit recently but they have a quality team that has already beat Liverpool and Chelsea this season. I will take a chance on the away win at the big price. Its 8.0 at Ladbrokes

13 December 2009

Liverpool (2.25) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (3.5)
Two teams who are going through bad patches. Liverpool lost at home in the Champions League. Even though it was meaningless, it must have knocked their confidence. Torres should be back to start this game for Liverpool. Some people say Liverpool is a 2 man team but Arsenal look like a 1 man team. No Van Persie and they struggle. A 2-0 home win against Stoke was only secured in the last 10 minutes. Interesting the last 4 league games between these two have ended in draws. That will be my pick this time. Neither side has done anything recently that makes me want to tip them as the winner. 3.4 at Ladbrokes.

Premiership Betting Tips - 5th - 6th December 2009

Fri, 04 Dec 2009 02:27:40 +0000

5 December 2009

Portsmouth (1.91) Draw (3.5) Burnley (4.5)
Portsmouth on a 4 game losing streak now if you count the Carling Cup defeat. Last week, they matched Man U first half but Man U turned on the style. This is a must win game for Portsmouth. Looking at the odds though, I don't think its possible to back a team at the foot of the table at odds on. Burnley have been poor away from home but they have been scoring. 5-0 down at West Ham, they pulled 3 back. They scored 3 at Man City and 2 at Blackburn in their previous away fixtures. I think the bet to have is over 2.5 goals then. You can get 1.91 at William Hill.

Arsenal (1.3) Draw (5.5) Stoke (13)
Arsenal are going through a bad patch which I think is down to Van Persie being out. They suffer from Arsenalitis (pretty football but few shots at goal) when he's not in the side. They've not scored in their last 2 league games. I cannot see how anyone can back them at 1.3. If Stoke were a little more ambitious away from home, I'd be putting a few quid on them. I can see them keeping it tight and settling for a 0-0. You can Stoke on the Asian Handicap +1.5 goals for 2.08 at bet365.

Aston Villa (1.5) Draw (4.3) Hull (8)
Villa won handsomely in the Carling Cup midweek but I'll not read to much in to that as it was against Portsmouth who have the Premier League to worry about. They were disappointing against Spurs, when they went 1 up, they just sat back and let Spurs back in to it. Hull have hit some form. Good point at City last week. Its like last season but in reverse. I'll wait a bit longer until I start backing them again though. Villa odds are a bit short too. Its one of those games where the both sides win odds don't appeal. Likely Villa win though so my tip is Villa at 1.5 at Skybet.

Blackburn (5.3) Draw (3.8) Liverpool (1.8)
Long game for Blackburn midweek. 120 minutes playing and penalties must have taken something out of them. Still only 1 home defeat all season for Blackburn. Liverpool were poor against Everton and were fortunate to win 2-0. A win is a win though and it could mark the turning of the corner. I am not convinced they should be odds on though. If it wasn't for the midweek game, I'd go for Blackburn to win this but I'll go for the draw instead. 3.8 at bet365.

West Ham (8) Draw (4.2) Manchester United (1.5)
West Ham were 5-0 up against Burnley but let 3 goals in, in the last 15 minutes. No Carlton Cole this week though. Man U played poorly first half against Portsmouth but then turned on the style to win 4-1. West Ham have a limited squad and look like they are going to be fighting it out at the bottom. Man U win but I prefer the overs alternative. 3 or more goals is 1.85 at bet365. All West Ham's home games have been overs this season.

Wigan (2.1) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.6)
Good win for Wigan against Sunderland last week. They bounced back as expected from their 9-1 hammering. Birmingham are continuing on their great run of form since the takeover, wining 1-0 at Wolves. Tricky one to call this. Only thing I can be sure of is that its going to be tight. Under 2.5 goals is 1.67 at Skybet. A bit short considering all the overs in the Premiership this year but I can see this being a 1-0 either way or 0-0 or 1-1 draw.

Wolverhampton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.2)
Wolves were terrible last week in the derby. Only 1 shot on target in the whole game for them. With Kightly out they look a team short on goal scoring talent. Bolton pulled out a shock draw last weekend (costing me quite a lot of money). They are second bottom of the current form table, with Wolves being bottom. Too tricky to call this one. I'll skip it.

Manchester City (4.5) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (1.91)
City keep on drawing games. Last weeks draw made it 7 in a row. Midweek, they did beat Arsenal kids in the Carling Cup 3-0. They made hard work of it though. Chelsea are a different proposition though. They did set the standard last week beating Arsenal 3-0. You can make a case for City, as they have the players to win this. 4.5 is a big price for a home team that has spent that much money. Chelsea have lost away from home this season to Wigan and Villa so they are vulnerable nad got knocked out of the Carling Cup midweek. I'll stick with backing the Chelsea machine though. Rarely do you get odds of 1.91 on Chelsea. You can actually get 1.925 on Chelsea -0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. Same bet as the Chelsea win but slightly better odds.

6 December 2009

Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.6)
Fulham were a let down last week. It was actually my bet of the week and was costly. The only reason I can think of is that they had a midweek game before too. Maybe their squad can't handle two wins in the same week. They had a Europa Cup game midweek winning 1-0. Sunderland lost at Wigan as expected. They seem to turn it on against the big teams but can't do the same against everyone else. Looks like one of those 1-1 draws this game. Draw is 3.4 at Boylesport.

Everton (3) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.5)
A tough European fixture for Everton midweek. A 1-0 away win in Greece. It might have taken them in to the next round of the Europa League but they've lost Dan Gosling, Sylvain Distin and Jo. These injuries are taking their toll in the league. If results go against them, they could find themselves in the bottom 3 at the end of this game. Spurs were great last week against Villa, a draw was a good result after Villa shut up shop. Midweek they were awful though against the Man U youth team. Spurs didn't put out the full squad so I'll ignore that. Spurs win for me. Price is 2.5 at most bookies but I'm going with Spurs draw no bet at 1.8 at bluesquare. Money back for the draw and a decent return if Spurs win.

Premiership Tips - 28th - 29th November 2009

Fri, 27 Nov 2009 01:16:44 +0000

28 November 2009

Blackburn (1.95) Draw (3.4) Stoke (4.5)
Not the greatest of fixtures to start us off. Blackburn broke their duck last week beating Bolton away but then were beat 3-0 away from home. From the match report that scored flattered Fulham a little. At home their record is totally different. Unbeaten since the first day of the season and winning their last 4. Stoke rode their luck a little last week. If Portsmouth would have scored their penalty then they maybe would have gone on and won that game but as it was, Stoke nicked a 1-0 victory. Stoke haven't has the bad away form this year, 1-3-2 with the defeats at Liverpool and Hull. I am not too happy with the price of 1.95 at Boylesport on Blackburn but it will be my bet. Can't really go against a team that have won their last 4 games.

Fulham (1.91) Draw (3.5) Bolton (4.5)
After a poor start against Blackburn, Fulham went on to win 3-0. Only 1 defeat in 7 now for Fulham who sit in 10th place. Bolton's little revival has come off the rails. They are not just getting beat, they are getting mullered by teams. 11 goals conceded in their last 3 games. Odds were 2.0 for Fulham at William Hill. They have dropped now to 1.91 but if you are a shop punter, you can always go in to a William Hill betting shop and get even money. This is a much better bet than Blackburn to beat Stoke where the odds are lower.

Manchester City (1.3) Draw (5.5) Hull (13)
Another draw for Man City, 6 in a row now. I am not going to be backing them this week at 1.3. Hull are looking like how they were at the start of last season. They were 3-0 up against Everton midweek but hanging on a little at the end. As I said, I will not be backing a team that has drawn 6 in a row at 1.3. I'll not go big on this but Hull double chance (meaning Hull or the draw) at 4.0 is a nice bet at William Hill.

Portsmouth (10) Draw (5) Manchester United (1.4)
Portsmouth have a caretaker manager for this game. Grant has wisely opted to start the week after. Many times you have seen Portsmouth just being unlucky rather than bad, like last week with the missed penalty at Stoke. Man U are a lucky side so I expect to win this. Odds are 1.4 at bluesquare.

West Ham (1.83) Draw (3.75) Burnley (4.8)
West Ham threw away a 2-0 lead at Hull last week, eventually drawing 3-3. That makes it only 2 wins in 13. Relegation form. Burnley were unlucky not to take all 3 points from Villa last weekend. Before then they picked up their first away point of the season against Man City. Looking at the form, I cannot see how West Ham are odds on. I can see Burnley getting something from this. You can get Burnley +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at 2.1 at bet365.

Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.5) Sunderland (2.9)
I couldn't have been more wrong about Wigan last weekend. Terrible game for them, losing 9-1. Some bad defending and excellent Spurs play were the cause. Sunderland upped their game and managed to take all 3 points from Arsenal. I remember when they beat Liverpool 1-0, they went on to lose the next game 2-1 to Birmingham. I think I will go to Wigan here. Teams usually bounce back from mega defeats. Odds are 2.5 at Ladbrokes

Aston Villa (2.55) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (3)
This is a very important game in the battle for 4th place. This season, Villa have been better at home than away. They were lucky to get a point at Burnley last week. Spurs come here on the back off a 9-1 crushing of Wigan. Any result wouldn't be a surprise here. I am leaning towards Spurs but I think the bet to have is Defoe to score anytime. Its 2.88 at and you get 10% cashback if the bet loses (well overall cashback if you lose in the month).

29 November 2009

Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.2)
Wolves have had a tough time, losing 4-1 and 4-0 to Arsenal and Chelsea respectively. Birmingham are on a good run. 2 wins and 2 draws, with some impressive teams in there, Man City, Liverpool, Fulham and Sunderland. I said earlier that teams tend to bounce back after heavy defeats but I don't think Wolves have the quality to do that. This local derby game is X2 for me. I'll go for the draw, Odds are 3.3 at Boylesport

Everton (3.75) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (2.25)
If it wasn't for the midweek performance, Everton would be thinking they could get something out of this. The performance at Hull was terrible, 3-0 down at half time. Hull let them back in with an own goal and a penalty but Everton still lost 3-2. Liverpool are on a bad run too. Not qualifying for the last 16 of the Champions League was a big blow for them. Torres will be an important factor in this game. I guess if he's not playing, I'll go for the draw but if he is, then the Liverpool win. I'll have to check the team sheet before placing any bet on this.

Arsenal (2.75) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.75)
Arsenal missed Van Persie last week, losing to Sunderland 1-0. He's still out this weekend. They have been in good form but they have lost their 3 biggest tests of the season so far. Ok, to be fair they did beat Spurs 3-0. Chelsea are a different proposition though. Since losing to Villa, they've gone on a 4 win streak, not conceding a single goal. Bookies cannot split the teams, Skybet and Coral have gone with Chelsea, Bet365 and William Hill have gone with Arsenal and Ladrokes and Betfred have them priced exactly the same. Personally, I cannot see past a Chelsea win here. Hills have gone even money for a draw not bet Chelsea. This is a great price with the money back if its a draw. Get a free £25 bet with William Hill

Premiership Tips - 21st - 22nd November 2009

Fri, 20 Nov 2009 21:20:32 +0000

21 November 2009

Liverpool (1.95) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (4.5)
Lucky Liverpool last time out against Birmingham. A dodgey penalty allowed Liverpool to salvage a point. City have gone on a strange long run of draws in a season that has been lacking draws. Whats shocking about that is the most of the teams they have been playing are at the foot of the table. I guess they are not top 4 material after all. Very rarely do you get odds of even money for Liverpool at home. I am willing to back them as they seem to do better when people write them off. Some injury worries but Gerrard will be back so not too concerned about Torres not playing. You can get2.0 for Liverpool -0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365 (exactly the same bet as a home win but better odds).

Birmingham (2.5) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3)
Some good form in the last 3 games for Birmingham. A win against Sunderland and draws against Man City and Liverpool. The new owners seems to have given Birmingham a new lease of life. Fulham are in good form too. Only 1 defeat in the last 6 and that was to Arsenal. Looks like Hodgson has them set up to win at home and draw away. Tricky game to call but I would say the value is on the draw. Its 3.3 at Ladbrokes

Burnley (3.4) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.25)
Burnley picked up their first away point of the season last time out against City, they were 2-0 and when it was 3-2 to City you thought they might get crushed, but the fought back and came away with a good draw. Turf Moor has been a fortress and the game against Wigan is their only blight. Villa bounced back from a disappointing run of form with a 5-1 to Bolton. Previously, though they has the 2-1 defeat to West Ham and 1-1 draws against Everton and Wolves. Their away record isn't as good as it was last year. I think the bookies are still underestimating Burnley at home. With that in mind I am going for Burnley to win, its 3.4 at bet365.

Chelsea (1.17) Draw (7) Wolverhampton (23)
This would be a nailed on home win but for the injuries to key Chelsea players. Lampard, Deco, Drogba and Ballack are out while Terry faces a late fitness test. At 1.17 its probably not worth it. You can dutch 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0 for even money. Much better than the 1.73 for Chelsea to win to nil.

Hull (2.88) Draw (3.4) West Ham (2.6)
Who'd have thought that these this game would have such a significant bearing on the relegation battle at the start of the season. Who ever loses has a good chance of going down. Hull were fortunate to get an injury time winner against Stoke but it shows that Phil Brown has got them fired up. West Ham looked like they were picking up some form after beating Villa but then losing to a depleted Everton puts doubt in my mind. Still no Carlton Cole for the hammers. I can't see why they are favourites for this game. Tricky game to price up but I'd have Hull as slight favourites so the 2.88 at bet365 is a good price.

Sunderland (6) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (1.67)
Sunderland have suffered a dip in form recently after reaching the heights of getting a point at Old Trafford and Beating Liverpool. Good performance at Spurs but a missed penalty and missed chances meant they went away with nothing. Arsenal are top of the league in the current form table. WWWDWW. That draw was away to West Ham though who everyone seems to be beating. The major thing is Van Perie being out. This will be a big test for Arsenal and the 1.57 is not good enough. I am much more comfortable backing the home win at 6.0 at Ladbrokes

Manchester United (1.4) Draw (4.5) Everton (9.5)
Man U were unlucky at Chelsea not to win. For once they actually played well. The international break has been better for Everton than Man U. I usually skip Man U games as odds are poor and you never know what type of performance they are going to put out and how much luck they are going to get. This time though, I am going to be backing Everton on the Asian Handicap at bet365. Its +1.25 priced at 1.9. (Basically, Everton win or draw and get paid out at 1.9, Man U win by 1 goal, get paid out at 1.45, Man U win by 2 goals or more, lose bet). Out of 6 home league games, they've only won 1 game but 2 or more goals and that was a 2-0 against Blackburn.

22 November 2009

Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3.5)
After a good run for Bolton they look like they have hit a brick wall. In the last 2 league games they conceded 9 and scored 1. If you throw in the Carling Cup result too it looks really bad for them (they lost 4-0) Blackburn are 0-0-5 away from home this season. I think they can get a point from here though. Its a local derby and Bolton are there for the taking. If it wasn't for the poor away form, I'd definitely be on the away win but I think they draw is the best bet at Skybet.

Tottenham (1.5) Draw (4.5) Wigan (8.0)
Spurs are not in good form. The 2-0 against Sunderland was fortunate. Wigan are this inconsistent team who can beat anyone on their day. Looking at the game with no odds, I'd go for a Spurs win but looking at the odds, you are getting 8.0 for a team that can beat anyone. Spurs recently lost to Stoke at home. You can get 8.0 at PaddyPower
for Wigan.

Stoke (2.15) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3.75)
Stoke come in to this off a loss again Hull. It was a 90th minute goal and the draw would have been a fairer result. It was away from home and the Britannia is a different place. Maybe not the fortress it was last season but still very hard to beat. Portsmouth showed home good signs recently that they shouldn't be second favourite to go down but the 3-1 loss to Blackburn has put an end to their mini revival. Its Stoke for me this game. They recently lost 4-0 to Portsmouth in the Carling Cup. Even though it was a reserve side, Stoke will want revenge for this. Odds are 2.15 at William Hill

Brazil (2.25) Draw (3.4) England (3.4)

Thu, 12 Nov 2009 21:50:45 +0000

This game is taking part on neutral territory in Doha, Qatar. The fact that this is a friendly makes this even harder to predict.

England have had a poor record in friendlies recently. The 2-1 victory against Slovenia was unconvincing. Defensive errors have proved costly in the previous two friendlies - a 2-2 draw with Holland and a defeat to Spain.

Looking at the team sheet, it looks like a lot of players are not up for this game. Ferdinand, Gerrard, A Cole, James, Theo and Heskey weren't even named in the squad due to injury. With G Johnson, Lampard, Beckham and Lennon out the England team playing will not be the strongest.

Very little information on the Brazilian team. I guess being in Doha they will call more on their European based players. Be assured though, its not going to be the full Brazilian team.

Games like this are best avoided from a betting point of view. There is no angle to take as you don't know the teams that are going to play and which team wants to win the most. One to skip I think.

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Premiership Tips - 7th -9th November 2009

Thu, 05 Nov 2009 23:56:15 +0000

7 November 2009

Aston Villa (1.8) Draw (3.75) Bolton (5.5)
Villa played midweek and lost 2-1 at West Ham. Current form isn't too good for the Villa. That West Ham result has really put me off backing Villa. They sit 16th in the current form table with 6 points from 6. Bolton come to this off two 4-0 thrashing against Chelsea. No shame in that though. Before then, they were doing alright. I really can't be backing Villa at 1.8 on their current form. For me its the draw. 8 of the 12 Premier League games between these two have ended in a draw. Odds are 3.75 at

Blackburn (2.2) Draw (3.5) Portsmouth (3.75)
Blackburn are a side that have had different fortunes home and away. They've won their last 3 at home but have been spanked away from home in their last 3. Man U didn't really have to try the last game to beat them 2-0; They sit in the relegation zone and can get leap frogged by Pompey if they lose. Pompey's season may just well have started. You can dismiss a 4-0 win against Stoke in the Carling Cup as a nothing result but to follow it up beating Wigan in the league 4-0 too, means Pompey mean business. Its an away win for me. 3.75 at Ladbrokes

Manchester City (1.37) Draw (5) Burnley (11)
Four straight draws for City. Bookies must be laughing. They were lucky to take a point at Birmingham. Burnley still haven't got a point away from home. It makes this bet easy to tip even though the price is low. Man City must win this or Mark Hughes will feel the heat. You can get 1.37 at . Time for the bookies to pay some of that money back.

Tottenham (1.57) Draw (4.2) Sunderland (7)
A couple of disappointing results for Spurs. They were terrible against Arsenal and deserve to lose 3-0. Against the top sides they have shown they can't compete. Sunderland could be a top side but I am really unsure since that 2-2 draw with West Ham last week. Darren Bent has something to prove here after the way he was treated at Spurs. Bad price on the home win. I much prefer the over 2.5 goals which pays 1.70 at bet365. Only 1 game this season unders for Spurs and that was the 1-0 defeat to Stoke.

Wolverhampton (9) Draw (4.8) Arsenal (1.4)
Wolves have drawn 3 on the bounce. Last week they did well to come back from 2-0 down at the Britannia. I don't give them much hope here though. Arsenal are the in form side at the moment. Not really much to say about a 1.4 away win. I think there will be goals in this game. Arsenal's defence isn't as tight as I thought. The over 2.5 goals option is better I think. Pays 1.67 at Paddypower. Only 1 unders game for Arsenal too this season.

8 November 2009

Hull (2.88) Draw (3.4) Stoke (2.65)
Hull are still in free fall. Unlucky last week against Burnley but they still lost. A must win game for Hull or they're going down and its only November. Stoke threw a 2-0 lead away last week against Wolves. Previous to that they did get a great result against Spurs though. Bookies have Stoke as slight favourites but not really much in the price. I'll go for the draw as its the biggest price on the coupon and four of the last five meetings between these teams have ended 1-1. Odds for the draw are 3.4 at Skybet

West Ham (2.5) Draw (3.4) Everton (3)
I think I have West Ham wrong. I thought they'd be down there but since the Arsenal game, coming back from 2-0 down seems to have boosted their confidence. They could have beat Sunderland and beat Villa midweek. Everton are really suffering from fixture congestion. They put out a strong side against Benfica tonight and still lost 2-0. They'll turn up to Upton Park tired. I think at 2.5, West Ham are good value for the home win at PaddyPower.

Wigan (2.38) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.35)
I still can't work out Wigan. So inconsistent. They have the quality but don't show it every week. Who knows which Wigan team will turn up? Usually I'd back against Fulham after a European fixture but last 2 results after European games have been 2-2. Too tricky to call this one. It really does depend on which Wigan turn up.

Chelsea (2.1) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (4)
Big game of the weekend. Possibly bet of the weekend too. The Chelsea machine is cracking on, winning games since those two away defeats. Man U have been poor but lucky. 3-1 down against CSKA and some how manage to draw level in the last 6 minutes. They were poor against Blackburn and Liverpool. Ladbrokes rarely change their prices but I can see the 2.1 getting a hammering. Every where else its evens but I suspect it will drop even further closer to kick off. Chelsea to win 2.1 at Ladbrokes

9 November 2009

Liverpool (1.36) Draw (5) Birmingham (11)
Bad results for Liverpool recently. How can you lose a 1-0 lead with 60 seconds to go in Lyon? We'll thats the Champions League gone. This could be a tricky fixture for them. Birmingham could have beat Man City last week. They beat Sunderland the week before, their season could just be clicking. Last 3 visits by Birmingham to Anfield have ended in 2 draws and a Birmingham win. I will go for a Liverpool this time though. Good teams bounce back and Liverpool are at home. Finishing top 4 is top priority and Liverpool can not lose this. Odds are 1.36 at bet365

Premiership Tips - 31st October -1st November 2009

Fri, 30 Oct 2009 01:08:48 +0000

31 October 2009

Arsenal (1.62) Draw (4) Tottenham (6.3)
Disappointing results for both teams last week, both coupon busters. I think Spurs were the bigger disappointment, losing at home to Stoke. Worst still it was 1-0. I guess without Defoe's pace, the struggled to break down Stoke. Arsenal gave up a 2-0 lead at West Ham. Thats a problem for the Gunners, closing out games. It showed in Alkmaar, where they let in a bad goal too. Arsenal should win this game but my bet will be on the over 2.5 goals. Its a similar price to the Arsenal win but covers the much more likely scores in my opinion. You can get 1.57 at Skybet.

Bolton (9) Draw (4.3) Chelsea (1.45)
These two teams played midweek and it ended up 4-0 to Chelsea at the Bridge. Confidence is back at Chelsea now after suffering 2 straight away losses to Wigan and Villa. Bolton squeezed past a tired Everton side last week. Looking at the past results it looks like Bolton are going to struggle to even score here, losing the last to nil. With that in mind, the bet to have is Chelsea to win to nil. Its currently 2.4 at Bluesquare, or else 6.5 at Totesport. The bet at Tote looks like a palpable error though so I wouldn't expect them to honour it. I think the correct price is 3.0 which is still better than every where else but best check the odds before hand. Sign up to Totesport for a £100 in free bets

Burnley (2) Draw (3.5) Hull (4.3)
The easy money backing Burnley at home ended last week. Burnley scored early but ended up being beat 3-1 by a well organised Wigan side. Hull played out a dull 0-0 against Portsmouth. A lot of problems off the pitch for Hull with Brown looking like he's going and the club in financial trouble. I guess this can work both ways, it could add to the misery or galvanise the team. I think I will give Burnley another chance though and back them at 2.0 at Boylesport. Hull are no Wigan and backing Burnley at home has been profitable so far this season.

Everton (2.62) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.90)
Fixture congestion and a small squad are hurting Everton big time. No win in 5 and 3 defeats on the bounce. Moyes, played a strong squad at Spurs in the Carling Cup. It was probably a mistake, given they lost 2-0 anyway. Villa cost me dear with their poor performance last week. Take that out though and Villa have been a really good side. I can see them beating this tired Everton side. You can get 2.9 on the straight Villa win at William Hill or 2.0 at PaddyPower for the draw no bet.

Fulham (4.5) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (1.91)
Fulham did well to come back from 2-0 down to get a draw at Man City. Craven Cottage is not an easy place to go. Chelsea and Arsenal have gone there and walked away with 3 points this season but I don't think Liverpool will. Liverpool beating Man U is just papering over the cracks. Its games like this that will decide whether Liverpool are genuine title contenders. I don't think they'll make top 4 this year. 1X for me. I can't decide so I'll go for Fulham +0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365

Portsmouth (2.5) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3)
Portsmouth have been unlucky this season. The midweek Carling Cup win 4-0 against Stoke would have done their confidence no end of good. This is the league though and its totally different. I was disappointed by them not beating Hull last week to say the least. Wigan got a good result against Burnley at fortress Turf Moor. If you remove the Hull defeat they have had a good run recently. An extremely tricky fixture to predict this one. Any of the three results wouldn't be a surprise. If I had to bet, I would go with Wigan at 3.0 at bet365 but as I don't I will skip this one.

Stoke (1.91) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4.5)
Stoke cost punters dearly last week by beating Spurs. I can't imagine anyone predicting that one. They came crashing down midweek losing to Portsmouth midweek 4-0. Its the Carling Cup though so I'll ignore that. Wolves outplayed Villa last week for long periods of the game but were fortunate to get a draw. If they play like that they could cause some problems for Stoke but I will back Stoke anyway. You can get 1.95 for Stoke -0.5 on the Asian Handicap at bet365 which is the same as the home win but a better price.

Sunderland (2) Draw (3.5) West Ham (4.3)
Sunderland were another let down last week at Birmingham. Maybe 3 good performances in a row is too much for them. Last 15 minutes they could have drawn that game. Home form is different though. They've only lost to Chelsea and won the other 4. I do not have a clue how West Ham got a draw out of Arsenal. 2-0 down and not looking like scoring and 2 goals in 6 minutes gives them a point. I don't think they'll be so fortunate this weekend though. Sunderland are 2.0 at bet365. Everywhere else they are odds on so I think this price won't last until Saturday.

Manchester United (1.18) Draw (7) Blackburn (21)
I've been saying all season that Man U have been lucky. The first week in a while I back them and they lose. Lucky for them this is quite an easy fixture. Blackburn's last 3 away games looks like this, 3-0 loss to Everton, 6-2 loss to Arsenal and 5-0 to Chelsea. Home win but the 1.18 tells you that. I can't find any good betting angle on this one so I am will skip it.

1 November 2009

Birmingham (4.5) Draw (3.6) Manchester City (1.91)
Good result for Birmingham beating an in form Sunderland 2-1. They are still an injury hit team that will be down towards the bottom of the table. 3 draw on the bounce for City. Thats not good enough for a team challenging for the title. I think they'll go all out for this one. A draw is a useless result for them. Odds on the away win are pretty high. 1.91 at bluesquare. I just look at the odds you'd get with a top 4 team. 3 draws in a row make me want to back this even more as the odds are better and the desire for City to win is more.

Premiership Tips - 24-25th October 2009

Thu, 22 Oct 2009 22:16:00 +0000

24 October 2009

Wolverhampton (3.6) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.2)
A local derby but not as much passion as in the Wolves/ West Brom or Villa/ Birmingham ones. Wolves come to this off 2 losses and last week they got a credible point against Everton. Villa look like they have found form again since losing to Blackburn. The Chelsea result last week was well deserved. They actually sit 2nd behind Man U in the current form table and 6th overall. I can't really believe the odds here. Any of the top 4 and you'd be getting maybe 1,4 but you get 2.2 at bet365 for this in form Villa side.

Birmingham (2.9) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (2.6)
Birmingham are still injury hit. Last week, they ruined my Arsenal to nil bet but still went down 3-1 in the end. Only 1 win in their last 6 and that was against Hull City. Sunderland had a bit of luck with a beach ball last weekend but out played Liverpool and deserved to win. Previously, they were minutes from beating Man U at Old Trafford. This is a strong Sunderland side in good form. Its got to be the away win again. Its 2.6 at .

Burnley (2.5) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3)
Unlucky for Burnley last week. They came back strong in the second half and maybe could have drawn if they scored their second goal with more time left on the clock. Burnley are a true Jekyll and Hyde team home and away. Their record reads home, played 4, won 4. Away, played 5, lost 5. Wigan are a hot and cold side. A nice draw against Man City last week at home but the game before that a loss to Hull away. I suppose I am going to have to go with the home win here. 2.5 is a nice price at Skybet for the Burnley win.

Hull (2.63) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (2.9)
Dire performances from Hull recently. They were rightly beat 2-0 at Fulham. I still can't for the life of me work out how Hull managed to beat Wigan. Portsmouth, didn't get anything from the Spurs visit but that was expected. Second half when Defoe was sent off they had a realistic chance of actually getting something though. Previously, they got their first win of the season against Wolves. I am going with Portsmouth here. Their team is better and if they are going to survive which I think they will, they will win games like this. Its 2,9 at Totesport

Tottenham (1.5) Draw (4.3) Stoke (8.5)
Spurs were quite lucky to hang on against Portsmouth. They did have Defoe sent off for a stupid stamp though. He will be missing this game but Spurs have enough quality strikers to fill in the gap. Stoke won last time out against West Ham. They've drawn their last 3 away games too. There could be some value in the draw but for me this is a Spurs win. Price is 1.5 at Boylesport

Chelsea (1.2) Draw (6.5) Blackburn (19)
Chelsea won 4-0 midweek against Atletico Madrid. Looks like a demolition but in reality, it was even first half and Atletico just gave up second half. I'm not totally convinced that you should be backing Chelsea at 1.2. Blackburn have been scoring recently. 3-2 against Burnley, 2-1 against Villa and losing 6-2 to Arsenal. Sportingbet have both teams to score at 2.4. Much better value than 1.2 on the home win. Chelsea look vulnerable at set pieces.

25 October 2009

Bolton (2.8) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.7)
An extremely tricky fixture this one. Bolton came back strong against Man U last week. Game before that was a good 2-2 draw against Spurs. 2 draws on the bounce for Everton in the league but a 5-0 thrashing at Benfica tonight. Good teams usually pick themselves up after a thrashing like that though. 1X for me but not one I am going to bet on.

Liverpool (3) Draw (3.3) Manchester United (2.5)
Liverpool are on a terrible run of form. Gerrard and Torres are injury doubts for this game. Last season they beat Man U without Gerrard and Torres but this team their overall team is weaker. Man U still riding their luck. Just doing just enough to win. This time the odds are good on Man U. I suppose this takes in to account they have had a long journey to Moscow. Very rare you get 3.0 for Liverpool at home but I don't see them winning. Man U for me, 2.5 generally available. Check out our Bookie Bonus page

Manchester City (1.45) Draw (4.5) Fulham (8.5)
Two draws on the bounce for City so they really need to win this. They probably would have beat Wigan if they had kept 11 men on the pitch. Fulham have had a hard European night against Roma, letting in a late goal to draw 1-1. They always seem weaker after a European game. This is an exact replay of the Carling Cup game earlier in the year when a second string Fulham team took City to extra time. A very costly night for punters. I do think this time City will win though. 1.45 at

West Ham (7) Draw (4.3) Arsenal (1.53)
Terrible run of results for West Ham. That first day of the season win seems so long ago. I really can't make a case for West Ham here. Arsenal will be too strong here. I do actually think there is some value in this 1.53 at Skybet. Opposing West Ham has been profitable this season and I can't see it changing this weekend.

Premiership Tips - 17th - 19th October 2009

Fri, 16 Oct 2009 02:58:25 +0000

17 October 2009

Aston Villa (4.6) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (1.85)
Big price on the home win here. Villa held their own against Man City last time out (1-1). It could have gone either way so the draw was a fair result. Chelsea beat Liverpool 2-0 but it wasn't a 2-0 game at all. It was very tight and on another day it could have easily been a draw or away win. I'm thinking back to the 3-1 against Wigan just 3 weeks ago. What makes me want to back Chelsea at 1.85 against a Villa team, who on their day can beat anyone? 1X for me, so I'm going with Villa on the Asian Handicap. Odds are 2.08 at Ladbrokes for +0.5 to Villa (win if its a home win or draw).

Arsenal (1.18) Draw (7.5) Birmingham (20)
A big surprise the 6-2 result for Arsenal against Blackburn. Some sloppy defending allowed Blackburn through. Birmingham are not prolific goal scorers and will struggle to get anything here. At 1.17 its obvious. Looking at some worthwhile bets, I am going with the win to nil again. Arsenal have been tight at the back and the 1.91 at bluesquare looks a big price. Hills have it at 1.4, at Bet365 its 1.53. If you have a lot of money which you can afford to lose, Birmingham are 25.0 to lay on Betfair. Thats a 4% return in less than 2 hours. Last time Birmingham beat Arsenal away from home was 1957!

Everton (1.5) Draw (4.2) Wolverhampton (8.5)
Should be a home win this. 1.5 is not a good price though. Everton aren't a team you want to back at 1.5. I said that 1.57 was too short a price last time against Stoke. Wolves are probably a worse team than Stoke, being the only team in the league to lose to Portsmouth so far but have beat Fulham and Wigan this season. Draws seem to have come back in to fashion so I am more comfortable backing that than the 1.5 home win. You can get 4.2 at bet365.

Manchester United (1.22) Draw (6.5) Bolton (15)
The luck of Man U is running out. They still have some though. Losing 2-1 to Sunderland, with 5 minutes to go, Sunderland get a man sent off, then Anton Ferdinand scores an injury time own goal. Bolton got a good draw against an in form Spurs side last time out. Bolton are unbeaten in 4. I'm going to skip this one. At 1.22 Man U should be a nailed on bet but their luck is going to run out sometime.

Portsmouth (5) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (1.83)
A good result for Portsmouth last time with their first win against Wolves. Confidence will be better now and the club finances are more or less sorted. The new money will help and Portsmouth could be a good bet to stay up. I'd wait until after this game though. Spurs were disappointing against Bolton but should win this one. They just have better players and Crouch will be pumped up after scoring 2 midweek. Spurs are 1.83 at bet365.

Stoke (2.15) Draw (3.3) West Ham (3.6)
Odds against for a team which win most of their home games. The record for Stoke isn't looking as impressive this season but we're not too far in and Man U and Chelsea have both been. West Ham are currently bottom of the form table and only 1 win Portsmouth are below them in the overall table. They couldn't even beat a 10 man Fulham side and the point they got was a late one. Stoke home win is 2.15 at William Hill.

Sunderland (4.6) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (1.91)
Sunderland were unlucky not to get a win at Old Trafford the other week. This strong Sunderland team sit in respectable 8th place only 2 points behind Liverpool. Liverpool have doubts over Gerrard and Torres and have a lot of players that have played international this last week. Liverpool should not be odds against for this fixture. Against Chelsea they were a bit shaky, especially when defending corners. I think the 4.6 far too big on the Sunderland win at William Hill.
. If you do fancy Liverpool they are currently 1.91 at bet365. but in all honesty I think they will drift by kick off.

18 October 2009

Blackburn (1.8) Draw (3.6) Burnley (5)
Even though Blackburn lost 6-2 to Arsenal last time, the whole game could have changed if a penalty was given that Blackburn deserved. Scoring 2 at the Emirates is no easy feat. Before then, they did beat an in form Villa. Burnley are 4 home wins and 4 away losses in 8 games. Only thing that is troubling me about this bet is that its a local derby but I still will back the home win. Odds are 1.8 at Ladbrokes.

Wigan (5.5) Draw (3.65) Manchester City (1.73)
To me, the upset of the last round was Hull beating Wigan. I was not happy at all about that. How can you beat Chelsea one week and lose to Hull the next? City did well to get a point out of Villa. In times gone by they would have just withered but they got back in to it and possibly could have won it. Tricky match to call from a betting point of view. Wigan on their day can beat anyone and 5.5 is a huge price for a home win usually. Then again, I think City are genuine title contenders and if it was any of the established big 4, you'd be looking at 1.5 or less. I'll skip this one as I can't decide which bet is best.

19 October 2009

Fulham (1.7) Draw (3.75) Hull (5.5)
Fulham seem to be having problems juggling the European commitments with the league. Last time out against West Ham though, they were unlucky to have a man sent off and unlucky to only get a draw. Hull seemed to have deserved the victory against Wigan. You do get crazy results occasionally. This is most likely be a home win. If Fulham don't win this, they'll be down there fighting it out for survival. Not too over the moon about the odds but its backable price against Hull. 1.7 at PaddyPower

Ukraine (2.8) Draw (3.6) England (2.5)

Fri, 09 Oct 2009 00:33:02 +0000

Strange things with the TV rights to this game. Its not available on normal broadcast TV in the UK. You can also stream it. If you have a bet365 account you can watch it free else, you can pay at the official website.

This is a tricky game from a betting point of view. Ukraine are 2 points behind Croatia but have a game in hand. The final game for Croatia is Kazakhstan so they are going to win that. Ukraine's is away to Andorra. So realistically, Ukraine need to win to get in to the second place play-offs.

England have already qualified as group winners with 2 games to spare. Winning 8/8 so far. With Belarus midweek more or less a certain win, a win in the Ukraine is going to make it 10/10. Capello has said he wants to make it 10/10 and has a full squad to pick from more or less. I have seen some poor England performances in friendlies which even though this is technically not, it's about as meaningful as one.

So can Ukraine win this? Their qualifying record isn't too bad, 4-3-1. Their only defeat was against England when John Terry scored a late goal to make it 2-1. They failed to win in Belarus last game (0-0), which isn't a good sign. If they'd have won that, they'd just a need a point here. It's also worrying that the once great, Andriy Shevchenko, is still their main striker.

I can't really recommend a bet here. It does depend on how much England are up for winning this. They can if they really want to but I can't be sure of that. Overs would usually be a good bet in England games but from I have read, the Ukraine manager is planning on shutting up shop and trying to nick a goal late on. Very good odds on the overs though and could be worth a punt over at Betfair (2.38 before commission). You might be able to get some advantage listening to the game on Radio 5 rather than watching it on the stream.

Premiership Tips - 3rd -5th October 2009

Fri, 02 Oct 2009 00:05:24 +0000

3 October 2009

Bolton (4.2) Draw (3.6) Tottenham (2)
Bolton haven't won a home game yet. Last week they won a tough fixture away at Birmingham and have a recent record of W-D-W. Good form after a dreadful start. Spurs come off a demolition of Burnley. They can really knock goals past the lesser teams in the league. On past form you got favour Bolton, Spurs have only got 1 point from Bolton from their last 5 visits. However, this Spurs team looks irresistible and Bolton aren't as strong as they have been in previous years. Even money at for the away win.

Burnley (2.3) Draw (3.3) Birmingham (3.3)
Burnley come off an away thrashing. I guess they are going to concentrate on their home form where they have beat, Man U, Everton and Sunderland. The win against Sunderland was not a 1-0 wonder either (3-1). Birmingham are down to the bare bones again. Maybe a tad unlucky to lose to Bolton but that what happens if you play only 1 striker and can't seem to score more than 1 goal a game. Given Burnley's home record, I will have to back them again this week. 2.3 at bet365 is a decent price for a team that has won all their home games this season.

Hull (2.88) Draw (3.4) Wigan (2.6)
Last season this fixture ended 5-0 to Wigan. Hull went on that fantastic run after which ultimately kept them up. They've been poor again this season coming off a 6-1 thrashing at Liverpool. Wigan would have busted many an accumulator last week by beating Chelsea. It wasn't a fluke either, they played them off the park apparently. They'll come here full of confidence. I think they away win at 2.6 at Totesport is the bet to have.

Wolverhampton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3.8)
Strange game for Wolves last Monday, 2-0 down, then to 2-2 with the game in the balance and then end up losing 5-2. With these newly promoted teams its going to be their home form which keeps them up. Last time out they beat Fulham 2-1. Portsmouth are in all sorts of trouble. Maybe unlucky to lose against Everton and some of the other games, but the fact remains they are still losing. They broke a top flight record last week of losing their first 7 games at the start of a season. I can see them breaking it again. May as well keep backing against Portsmouth until they the their £50 million transfer money and start spending it. Wolves are 2.1 to win at PaddyPower

Manchester United (1.2) Draw (7) Sunderland (15)
I can't believe how lucky Man U are. A poor performance against Wolfsburg but they still manage to come from 1-0 down and win. A similar game to the Arsenal one where they should not have won. I suppose thats why they are the Champions. Sunderland come off they back of a 5-2 but its a scoreline that flatters them. Last away game, they lost 3-1 to Burnley. At 1.2 Man U is the obvious bet but I can't there being any value in that. Their luck has got to run out at sometime. Hard to find a betting angle on this game so I think I will leave it.

4 October 2009

Arsenal (1.25) Draw (6.5) Blackburn (15)
Arsenal playing pretty football again and scoring. More importantly, they are not letting goals in. After there nightmare in Manchester they have gone 4 games without conceding in all competitions. Blackburn were impressive last week coming from 1-0 down to beat Villa (cost me a lot of money). Arsenal away are a different proposition though and I can't see them getting anything. The 1.25 doesn't appeal. Looking at some other good bets though, they are 2.0 to win to nil at bluesquare. Hills have the same bet at 1.5 and Ladbrokes 1.62. Surely some value in that.

Everton (1.57) Draw (4) Stoke (6.5)
Everton rode their luck against Portsmouth last week and were lucky to win. They've just been out to Belarus winning 2-1 after a being 1-0 down. Stoke were poor against Man U last week. A 2-0 home loss to Man U looks respectable but in reality, Man U took a while to get going so thats why it was only 2-0. I never like backing teams after a European night, especially if they have gone to far away places. The 1.57 is far too short, even if you ignore that, European fixture. Draws don't seem to be happening in the Premiership this season so I will take a chance on the away win. You can get 6.5 at Ladbrokes

West Ham (2.25) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.75)
Relegation form for West Ham. They haven't won since the start of the season and come to this off 3 straight defeats. They were lucky to have only lost 3-1 to City too. I was quite impressed by Fulham last week from Arsenal. Arsenal's stand in keeper did a great job of stopping Fulham. Another day and they could have won that. Fulham have had a European game at home to Basel which they won 1-0. Again this is a negative but I think Fulham have enough quality to beat West Ham. If it were not for the European game I would be lumping on the away win. You can get 3.75 at Totesport.

Chelsea (2.2) Draw (3.4) Liverpool (3.75)
Two teams which are both underachieving. Chelsea were poor against Wigan and rightfully lost and then they followed it up with a poor 1-0 in Cyprus. Liverpool thrashed Hull as expected but played poorly the first half against Florintina. Last season Liverpool famously ended Chelsea's unbeaten home record and did pull out the best performances for the big games. Its an extremely tricky game to call this. Any result wouldn't be a surprise. Maybe one to just watch and try some in running betting.

5 October 2009

Aston Villa (2.75) Draw (3.5) Manchester City (2.75)
Costly, poor performance from Villa last week. Could be a blip but losing to an average Blackburn isn't good. I never like backing Villa at home anyway. City are genuine title contenders this year. Odds don't seem to reflect this at all. Last Monday you could get over 1.5 for them to beat West Ham. The odds were drifting upwards for some reason. Imagine if this was any of the Big 4 coming to Villa, would you get 2.75? Not a chance but here you have it. 2.75 at Sky Bet on a City win. Adebayor is back too.

Premiership Tips - 26th-28th September 2009

Fri, 25 Sep 2009 09:10:15 +0000

26 September 2009

Portsmouth (4.3) Draw (3.5) Everton (2)
Portsmouth set a new Premier League record last week by losing their 6 first games in a row. They picked up their first win midweek against Carlisle. That win, while not against stellar opposition may give them the confidence they need to start picking up points. Its a pity that its an in form Everton that are coming. Everton's season finally got going last week with an impressive 3-0 win over Blackburn. I'll not read too much in to the 4-0 thrashing of Hull midweek but it does show that they can score goals. I don't like the odds here but I think this will be an away win. You can get even money at Totesport

Birmingham (2.25) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.75)
Tricky fixture this one. Birmingham still have many players out but still managed to win last week against Hull. This week, being the home side, they got to have a better chance of winning despite the injuries. Bolton are a pretty poor side this year. Amazingly, they managed to lose away to Hull City which not many teams manage. It took a late goal to salvage a point from Stoke's visit and a late goal against West Ham in the cup to take the game to extra time. If Birmingham were at full strength I would have no hesitation with backing Birmingham but I see more value in the draw here. It pays 3.3 at William Hill.

Blackburn (3.1) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.5)
Blackburn let me down last week getting beat 3-0 at Everton. Its making me think that Blackburn are a very ordinary side this year. They will struggle in the league. Villa have picked up since the opening day defeat and have won 4 on the bounce. Villa are a team I prefer to back away from home because they play better and the odds are amazing. I can see them winning this comfortably. The 2.5 at Sky Betwon't last until Saturday kick off.

Liverpool (1.17) Draw (7.5) Hull (26)
Not much to say on a team that is 1.17 to win. Liverpool drew this fixture last year 2-2. That was when they were drawing the easy games which ultimately cost them the title. They'll make no mistake this time. 1.17 is a low price but it will come in. Another bet on this game, worth considering though is the player to score/ win market. bluesquare have Gerrard to score and Liverpool to win at 2.4. Pretty good considering he is only 2.0 to score at anytime.

Stoke (10) Draw (4.5) Manchester United (1.44)
This could be a banana skin for the Champions. Last year Man U won 1-0 with a late Tevez goal after Stoke were reduced to 10 men. Stole also ran Chelsea very close only losing in stoppage time. Man U seem to be able to win however they play. Just as you thought they were going to draw the game against City, Owen pops up with a goal. I don't think this will be as easy as the odds suggest for Man U. Looking at the odds, you have to say that Stoke are a good price at 10.0 at Ladbrokes. Burnley were similar odds and managed to win and I rate Stoke as a better team than Burnley.

Tottenham (1.36) Draw (5) Burnley (10)
Burnley are the same price as Stoke but I can't see them winning this. Burnley did field a weaker side midweek so maybe a bit fresher but don't travel well and will get spanked here. They are completely different sides home and away. Spurs have shown they can't match the big teams in form but these lesser teams they can beat and beat easily. 1.36 at is low but should come in. Defoe is 2.2 to score at anytime at whereas he is odds on practically everywhere else.

Wigan (12) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.35)
I can't make the case for anything other than an away win. Wigan seem to lose before they even kick off against the Big 4. They've only managed 1 draw against the big 4. Chelsea showed last week that they can beat the better teams in the league too. I wasn't that impressed with the list of wins but now they have taken Spur's scalp they have my respect. Its 1.35 at VC Bet
for a Chelsea win.

Fulham (7.5) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.57)
Fulham don't seem to be the force they were last season. I was severely disappointed with their loss at Wolves. The second stringers lost in extra time midweek to Man City. I am not too concerned about the 120 minutes played as it was a totally changed side. Wenger's kids did well again in the cup. They seem to have recovered well from their two nightmare trips to Manchester, coming from 2-0 down in Belgian to win and then beating Wigan 4-0. Last season Fulham won this game but I don't think they can again. Away win for me. Price is 1.57 generally available.

27 September 2009

Sunderland (1.8) Draw (3.75) Wolverhampton (5)
Home win for me. If Sunderland are going to make the impact they want to make this year, they will need to win home games like this one. I can see them doing this comfortably. Wolves fielded a fairly strong side again Man U's youth side in the cup. Man U had a man sent off and still won 1-0. I can see this Sunderland side with the Bent/ Kenwyne Jones partnership winning this one comfortably. Odds are 1.8 at Boylesport but don't expect that stand out price to last.

28 September 2009

Manchester City (1.45) Draw (4.5) West Ham (8.5)
Man City were cruelly beat last week at Man U. I see a real title contender in them. The Carling Cup result cost me but they managed to win in the end. West Ham are a poor team this year. The 3-2 loss against Liverpool flattered them. At 1.45 at , this is a nailed on bet.

Carling Cup 3rd Round

Mon, 21 Sep 2009 22:47:09 +0000

22 September 2009
Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.5) West Brom (8)
Wenger is famous for putting the youth side out in this competition. They always seem to do well but if you look at it, they are usually knocked out by the first half decent side they meet. West Brom are a decent side. The beat a strong Boro side 5-0 at the weekend and I think a full strength side will be able to beat an Arsenal youth side. There are no guarantees that West Brom will put out their full strength side though. If they do the 8.0 at Betfred will look like bet of the year.

Barnsley (3.1) Draw (3.4) Burnley (2.38)
Last year Burnley did really well in the Carling Cup, giving Spurs a good run and beating Chelsea. This year could be different though. It depends whether Owen Coyle puts out the full strength side like he did last year. Barnsley are a low level Championship side They did get a 2-1 away result against Reading last round so maybe taking this competition a bit more seriously than most. A tricky one best left until the teams are announced.

Carlisle (4.3) Draw (3.6) Portsmouth (1.91)
Portsmouth have had the worst start to the Premier League ever. To me, its inconceivable that they will go to League 1 Carlisle and not win. If Portsmouth would have won 1 and drawn a couple in the league I think they may have gone there with a weakened side but as it is they will want a win under the belt to boost morale. I think the 1.91 at is a decent price at bet365. Carlisle are 17th in League 1.

Leeds (5) Draw (3.75) Liverpool (1.8)
Leeds are flying high in League 1. Only 1 draw and the rest wins. They have something like 15 league home wins a row beating a club record. I think they will be well up for this fixture. Benetiz has never taken this cup seriously. We won't be seeing Gerrard or Torres for sure. Even though the team Liverpool will put out is capable of winning this, I don't think the commitment will be there. Home win is 5.0 at bluesquare

Sunderland (1.83) Draw (3.5) Birmingham (5)
Odds for Sunderland are dropping fast. I guess its because Sunderland are the home side, Steve Bruce and Birmingham don't get on, Sunderland played a strong side last round and Birmingham have a sort of injury crisis. I'll follow the money and back Sunderland at 1.83 at Sky Bet.

Premiership Tips - 19th-20th September 2009

Fri, 18 Sep 2009 00:47:37 +0000

19 September 2009

Burnley (2.9) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (2.6)
Who'd have thought Burnley would have 6 points considering the nightmare fixture list they had? After the Man U win, the Everton win wasn't too much of a shock. Maybe Burnley are going to do a Stoke and stay up with an amazing home record. I'll not read too much in to the away losses as not many teams gets anything from Stoke, Chelsea or Liverpool. Great expectations for Sunderland. They lived up to it last week with a nice 4-1 win over Hull. I think this game is going to be tougher and I am going to go for the home win, 2.9 at bluesquare
and why not the 1-0 correct score? (8.5 at bluesquare)

Arsenal (1.29) Draw (6.5) Wigan (15)
Arsenal met their match last week at Eastlands, losing 4-2. It could have been all so different if Adebayor would have been sent off for stamping on Van Persie rather than going on to score the 3rd goal. Anyway, Wigan are no Man City and I can't see them troubling Arsenal. The 1.29 best odds at bluesquare
make it fairly obvious. Nothing more to say on this game.

Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.5) Portsmouth (10)
I had my doubts about Villa after last season's end of season dip and losing to Wigan on the opening day. 3 wins later though and they look like they will be up there challenging for Europe again. Portsmouth are rock bottom with 0 wins in 5. I can't see them getting anything Villa Park. They just haven't got the players to compete in the Premiership. Home win pays 1.44 at bluesquare

Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.75)
Bolton scored late to get their first 3 points at Fratton Park last week. The game before they were unlucky to lose to Liverpool being twice in front. Stoke were incredibly unlucky not to take a point from Chelsea last week. Malouda scored 4 minutes in to stoppage time. The thing is that Stoke don't travel too well. 1X for me but I will go for the bigger priced draw, 3.3 at Boylesport

Hull (2.4) Draw (3.4) Birmingham (3.25)
These teams look like they could be fighting it out come the end of the season to stay in the Premiership. Hulls, 4-1 defeat at Sunderland wasn't the beating it looks like on paper. First half they matched Sunderland all the way. Its just worrying for Hull they have a -7 goal difference. Fortunately for them, Birmingham have only scored 2 goals and with their injury list, they're unlikely to score one here. I can see a 1-0 or 0-0. I can't see how to play the 1X2 but Hull clean sheet at PaddyPower at 2.88 has a lot of appeal.

West Ham (6.5) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.57)
I think the bookies must be having a laugh here to see who is mad enough to bet on Liverpool at 1.57. Maybe if they made a convincing start but they've been shocking. They beat some nobody team 1-0 in the Champions league on Wednesday. They were 1.10 to win that game. It was a close game too, some 1-0 should be something like 6-0 but this 1-0 was deserved. West Ham are no world beaters but can put up a decent fight. 6.5 is a big price at bet365 for West Ham at home to a Liverpool side that look distinctly average so far.

20 September 2009

Manchester United (1.62) Draw (4) Manchester City (6)
I don't understand Man U at all. You think they are struggling and they pull off performance of the year and beat Spurs. Even with 10 men they managed to score. They followed the script in the Champions League, doing just enough to win. They had 1 eye on this fixture I guess. A big blow for City having Adebayor out. This leaves them short of strikers as only Bellemy is definitely fit. I would have gone for the upset but maybe if City had Adebayor. 6.0 is tempting for a side which is looking to break in to the top 4. Would you get that price against any of the other established Big 4 teams? As it is, I am going to go for the home win, pays 1.62 at PaddyPower

Wolverhampton (2.6) Draw (3.3) Fulham (2.9)
Wolves were hammered last week 3-1. It could have been more. To be fair they have had some injury problems so they're not nailed on certs for relegation. Fulham B side drew 1-1 in Sofia on Thursday. They'll play their proper side that beat Everton last week this time round. Fulham good determination and skill to come from behind and win. I am hoping that Fulham are banished their away demons and will win this as they are a better team. Price is 2.9 at Totesport.

Everton (1.83) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (5)
Early days but Everton sit second from bottom. Very similar to last season when they had a slow start. A good result in Europe beating AEK Athens 4-0 but Moyes has had to play more or less his first team. Teams playing European fixtures tend to do worse in the league, I guess due to fatigue and fresher opponents. Blackburn got their first win last week against a struggling Wolves. This could be a turning point for them this season. This fixture last season ended up 3-2 to Blackburn and I can't see why they can't win it again. Away win pays 5.0 at PaddyPower

Chelsea (1.53) Draw (4.3) Tottenham (8)
Chelsea got lucky last week against Stoke. A couple of Stoke injuries took the game in to 8 minutes of injury time in which Chelsea scored. The midweek encounter with Porto sounded like a non-event. A 1-0 win for Chelsea in a dull game. Spurs failed spectacularly in their first big test of the season. 1 up after 1 minute, they still go on to lose 3-1. Man U played their best all season but I would have expected Spurs to put up a bit more of a fight. Some teams bounce back after a beating like that. Last year Spurs did managed to take 4 points in total from Chelsea. Tricky one to call this. I don't think 1.53 is good enough. Looking at some of the other markets, Chelsea to win from behind is 9.5 at PaddyPower. Its happened 3 times already this season. I suppose overs is another bet worth considering, both teams can score freely and if Spurs do get an early goal, its highly likely to be overs. Best price is 1.88 on the Goal line, over 2.5 at Ladbrokes

Midweek Champions League betting tips

Tue, 15 Sep 2009 15:14:00 +0000

15 September 2009

Besiktas (7.5) Draw (4.2) Manchester United (1.53)
Great performance from Man U at the weekend from Man U. Even with 10 men they still outclassed against Spurs. Rooney is on fire. With Vidic and Ferdinand back in defence, its going to be hard to break down the defence. 1X2 odds are a little low. After a midweek international, a battle at Spurs, a trip to Turkey maybe a bit much for the United players. A 0-0 is a possibility. Personally, I am looking at the goal scorers. Rooney is 2.25 to score any time at . Another more attractive option is the Man U clean sheet. Currently pays 1.91 at bet365.

Chelsea (1.44) Draw (4.5) FC Porto (10)
Chelsea have an amazing record at Stanford Bridge in the Champions League. A big worry is that they won't be without Drogba due to last seasons antics at the end of the Barcelona game. Porto have a wealth of experience in the Champions League, going to Old Trafford last season and getting a 2-2 draw. Domestically, they have won 3 and drawn 1. I think Chelsea will win this one though. There is a world of difference between the leagues and home advantage is so great in the Champions League. Chelsea are 1.44 at bet365.

16 September 2009

Liverpool (1.13) Draw (9) Debrecen (29)
Not much to say about this game. Not many 1.13 games lose this early on in the group stages. You don't really get those odds in the Champions League very often. Not one to put a single on unless you are really going to lump on it. Odds are 1.13 at Boylesport. As this game is so one sided there probably some value in the goal scorers. Stevie G is even money at Skybet. Torres is a bit short at 1.67 at ..

St Liege (7.5) Draw (4.1) Arsenal (1.57)
Maybe the Arsenal bubble has burst. They did deserve to get something at Old Trafford but the trip to City was a hammering. They did manage to go to Celtic and get a result there but that was earlier on in the season. I am not too happy with the price here. Arsenal are a team that can dominate a game, but still lose. Arsenal will get through but I don't fancy backing them at 1.57 when they don't need to win away from home. No bet for me.

Premiership Tips - 12th-13th September 2009

Fri, 11 Sep 2009 00:24:46 +0000

12 September 2009

Blackburn (1.85) Draw (3.5) Wolverhampton (4.5)
Winless Blackburn look to start their season against new boys Wolves. With just 1 point from a possible 9, they are in the bottom 3. Wolves are playing a bit better than expected. Impressive performances, got them all 3 points at Wigan and they should have really got something from Man City. Looking at the odds, you got to go with the away win. I don't think Blackburn should be odds on here, and 4.5 at for Wolves it too big a price at bet365

Liverpool (1.2) Draw (6.6) Burnley (18)
Lucky Liverpool snatched victory from defeat last time out against Bolton. I still don't think things are right and they may struggle to make top 4. Liverpool had many players on international duty so are going to be more tired than the Burnley men. I can't really see Burnley getting anything out of this though but the price on the home win is too low. It wouldn't come as such a shock if we saw a below par Liverpool performance. 1.2 at is not worth it.

Manchester City (3.0) Draw (3.3) Arsenal (2.55)
This will be Man City's first big test. Arsenal had theirs last time out and they failed 2-1 at Old Trafford. They were quite unlucky with the result though and did dominate long periods of that game. Adebayor's been free scoring at City. Players always seem to score against their former clubs. Adebayor to score anytime is 3.0 at bet365. On the 1X2, I will go for the home win. City still haven't let a goal in and they have the strike force to score against Arsenal. Odds are 3.0 at Ladbrokes

Portsmouth (2.62) Draw (3.3) Bolton (2.9)
Tricky game this as its early in the season and both teams have 0 points. Portsmouth are odds on favourites for relegation now, so that explains the high looking odds on the home win. They are yet to score at home too, losing both games 1-0. Bolton really should have beat Liverpool last round. They were 2-1 up when they had a man sent off. I think the draw would be the best bet here, biggest price on the coupon and just as likely in my opinion to happen. Odds are at 3.3 at

Stoke (9) Draw (4.6) Chelsea (1.44)
Stoke's home record is the thing that kept them up last year and looks like its going to do the same this season. Chelsea managed to get 3 points from the Britannia last year. I think they can do again. Chelsea have a lot of players coming back from international duty which is could be a problem. Chelsea managed to beat Sunderland and Fulham by 2 clear goals in away fixtures. Away win pays 1.44 at Sky Bet

Sunderland (1.83) Draw (3.5) Hull (5.5)
Two clubs with different ambitions here. Sunderland are looking at mid table whereas Hull will be happy with 40 points I feel. Hull have managed to get 4 points from their last games. The win against Bolton was their first league win for months. Sunderland were poor against Stoke and deserved to lose. I think they will bounce back with the home advantage and greater ambitions. Odds are 1.83 at Boylesport which is slight worry as they have connections with Sunderland but then again they maybe just hedging their bets.

Wigan (2.3) Draw (3.25) West Ham (3.25)
After a very promising start, beating Villa 2-0, things have gone badly for Wigan. They were unlucky to concede a stoppage time penalty against Everton but were outplayed for long periods of the game. West Ham are still struggling on the striker front with Carlton Cole playing the lone striker. Looking at the odds on the unders/overs, unders is 1.67 top price. Bookies are looking at a low scoring game here. I can't disagree with that and a possible 0-0. The draw pays 3.25 at bet365

Tottenham (3.3) Draw (3.4) Manchester United (2.3)
The late kick off is a chance to see what Spurs are made of. Sitting second in the league on goal difference, they have a perfect record so far. A well deserved one too. I think Man U are there for the taking. I wasn't impressed with their performance against Arsenal. Last 2 meetings to Spurs have been draws. I think Spurs can do one better this time and get a win. Odds are 3.3 at

13 September 2009

Birmingham (3.4) Draw (3.25) Aston Villa (2.3)
A fierce derby game here. Birmingham were unlucky to lose against Spurs. They conceded in the 94th minute. They were outplayed but to lose so late in stoppage time is unlucky. Villa seem to have rediscovered that form that got them to 6th place last year. Impressive wins against Liverpool and Fulham in their last 2 outings. Being a derby though and Birmingham being the home team, I will go for the draw here. Odds are 3.25 at Sky Bet

Fulham (2.7) Draw (3.3) Everton (2.8)
Not the most exciting fixture of the week. Two teams looking to finish in European spots again this year. Both teams 1 win and 2 losses which means they'll be looking to kick start their season. An interesting stat about this fixture is that there hasn't been a draw in the last 10 Premiership encounters. Apart from last seasons it always been the home team too. Given that, and 2 fairly evenly matched teams I will have to go for the home win. Odds are 2.7 at Sky Bet

England vs Croatia

Tue, 08 Sep 2009 22:02:47 +0000
England (1.62) Draw (3.75) Croatia (6.5)
England were not that impressive against Slovenia. A dive penalty and moment of brilliance from Defoe is all I saw. The test against Croatia will be a lot tougher. An important game for both as a home win will surely send England to the final, a draw will leave them in a comfortable pole position whereas a loss puts them in pole but looking over their shoulders.

Croatia will be wanting revenge for the 4-1 defeat last year when Walcott scored a hat trick against them. No Walcott this time though and the defence looking a bit shaky with Ferdinand. Croatia also have Eduardo back so Croatia will be stronger.

Looking at the odds and the way England played against Slovenia, I can't really be backing England at 1.62. They had to draw against Croatia last time (to qualify for Euro 2008) and they lost 3-2. Bookies must have cracked open the champagne that night. I think the draw at 3.75 has more appeal. That'd be a good result for both teams. Ukraine still aren't out the running for the runner up spot so I think Croatia will be looking for a point. The draw pays 3.75 at Totesport

For a bit of extra betting Hills have opened a book on whether selected England players will start the World Cup qualifier against Croatia:

Heskey 1/2 No (6/4 yes)
Beckham 1/2 No (6/4 yes)
Defoe 8/15 No (11/8 yes)
Rooney 4/11 Yes (2/1 no)
Gerrard 1/4 Yes (11/4 no)

Looks like the Hills are not impressed with Defoes goal and prefer Heskey to start. Could be a smart bookie trick as a lot of people will see the odds against for Defoe starting and lump on it. Check the William Hill site for current prices. Personally I think Defoe should start but I am not Capello and bookies rarely get these things wrong.

England vs Slovenia Friendly.

Fri, 04 Sep 2009 10:55:05 +0000
England (1.17) Draw (7.5) Slovenia (17)
The odds say it all in this match. Ordinarily, 1.17 on a friendly is a fast way to the poor house. In the past, England managers, most noticeably, Sven, didn't take these seriously. Under Capello, though, these games are as important as the qualifiers. See how England came back from 2-0 down in Holland. Would that have happened under another manger? I doubt it. Players, such as Defoe will be playing for their places in the world cup next year.

As for Slovenia, they don't take these friendlies too seriously. They've lost their last 4, which include the mighty Belgians as opponents. They currently site in 3rd in their qualifying group behind Northern Ireland and Slovakia.

The 1.17 is generally available the bookies which is as much as a cert as you'll get in a friendly. Other bets worth considering, England to win to nil, 1.67 at Sky Bet. Draw/ England is 5.0 at VC Bet

English Championship Football Betting Tips

Fri, 28 Aug 2009 01:33:16 +0000

29th August 2009

Plymouth (2.6) Draw (3.4) Sheffield W (2.88)
Plymouth find themselves hovering precariously above the relegation zone after only picking up 2 points from 4 games. Add to this 2 consecutive defeats at the hands of Cardiff City and Derby County and Paul Sturrock will soon start feeling the pressure if results do not start picking up soon. Wednesday have gone from cloud 9 to the depths of despair all in the space of a few days. Having thumped Scunthorpe 4-0 last week they then went onto lose 2-0 away at Port Vale, a game in which Francis Jeffers saw red for a Headbutt on Vale's Tommy Fraser. Owl's boss Brian Law's then studied video replay's of the incident and fined Jeffers two weeks wages and placed him on the transfer list.

Prediction: Draw best odds available 3.4 (skybet)

Sheffield Utd (2.5) Draw (3.3) West Brom (3)
With the Blades earning themselves a fantastic 3-1 win away at Reading and also having a rest in midweek they will really fancy the 3 points from this fixture. They have also shown they can score from anywhere on the pitch with 3 different scorers netting for Kevin Blackwell's men. West Brom have taken 10 points from a possible 12 this term and confidence will be high. After showing grit and determination to overcome Rotherham in midweek the Baggies will be hoping to get at least a point from this encounter. As a Blade though, I will go for the home win.

Prediction: Home win best odds available 2.5 (bet365)

Midweek football bets.

Mon, 24 Aug 2009 21:16:04 +0000

This week there are the Carling Cup fixtures as well as some European Action. The Carling Cup is not a good competition to bet on. Too many teams not taking it seriously. Looking at the odds, there are some nice prices on some of the Premiership teams. I would have no qualms about backing any of them if there were obliged to play full strength teams. Who knows, what teams will be put out though.

Fortunately, there are a couple of betting opportunities. First, there is Spurs away to Doncaster. Spurs like this cup and Redknapp will not want to be knocked out early. Maybe the full strength side won't be played but Spurs will have too much for Doncaster. Odds are 1.5 at William Hill

Second bet is Man City away to Palace. City have spent their money and have plenty of fire power on the bench. They should be able to put out a decent strength side, even if its not full of their stars. Added to that, Neil Warnock doesn't like Cup competitions. He'll put out the reserves. Cup competitions are a distraction. Warnock wants promotion, not a good cup run. Odds on the City win are 1.5 at William Hill

The Double pays 2.25 at William Hill. Use code F100 to get a free £100 bet.

Arsenal should really beat Celtic on Wednesday. They are 2 up after the first leg and I think Celtic are resigned to not being in this years Champions League proper. Home win is but not really a price you want to back. Arsenal can get through with a 0-0 so may not try that hard. Arsenal win is 1.33 at William Hill.

Villa against Rapid Vienna should be a home win. They are 1-0 down after the first leg so need to win. Confidence should be high after the victory at Anfield. If it wasn't for that, I would probably be tempted to bet on the away win but Villa have shown tonight they still have some class in them. Odds are 1.33 at
bet365

English Carling Cup, Full William Hill Odds.

25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Gillingham v Blackburn 3.50 3.40 1.83 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Hartlepool v Burnley 3.50 3.40 1.83 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Hull v Southend 1.53 3.60 5.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Leeds v Watford 2.00 3.40 3.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Nottingham Forest v Middlesbrough 2.50 3.30 2.37 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Peterborough v Ipswich 2.00 3.40 3.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Portsmouth v Hereford 1.36 4.20 6.50 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Port Vale v Sheff Wed 3.25 3.40 1.91 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Preston v Leicester 2.10 3.20 3.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 QPR v Accrington 1.33 4.33 7.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Southampton v Birmingham 3.00 3.40 2.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Swansea v Scunthorpe 1.70 3.50 4.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Tranmere v Bolton 3.25 3.40 1.91 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 West Ham v Millwall 1.40 3.75 7.00 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 19:45 Wolves v Swindon 1.50 3.60 5.50 Bet with William Hill
25 Aug 09 - 20:00 Reading v Barnsley 1.61 3.50 4.50 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 Blackpool v Wigan 3.50 3.40 1.83 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 Bristol City v Carlisle 1.57 3.60 4.80 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 Cardiff v Bristol Rovers 1.50 3.60 5.50 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 Doncaster v Tottenham 5.50 3.60 1.50 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 Leyton Orient v Stoke 3.00 3.40 2.00 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 Newcastle v Huddersfield 1.57 3.60 4.80 Bet with William Hill
26 Aug 09 - 19:45 West Brom v Rotherham 1.44 3.75 6.00 Bet with William Hill
27 Aug 09 - 20:00 Crystal Palace v Man City 5.50 3.60 1.50 Bet with William Hill

Bet with Bet with William Hill and get a free bet.

English Championship Football Betting Tips

Thu, 20 Aug 2009 23:01:55 +0000

22 August 2009

Sheffield W (1.91) Draw (3.5) Scunthorpe (4.5)

With Scunthorpe travelling to Hillsborough Brian Laws will be hoping he can get one over his former employers. At Scunthorpe Laws achieved promotion twice, in 1999 and 2005 respectively. He was sacked by the club in March 2004 but was reinstated three weeks later, leading them to promotion the following season. With the likes of Jermaine Johnson, Marcus Tudgay and Etienne Esajas I feel the Owls will have too much class for the Lincolnshire club.

Prediction: Home win best available odds 1.91 (bet365)

Reading (2.5) Draw (3.4) Sheffield Utd (3)

Sheffield United have to be one of, if not the most unpredictable teams in the Championship. After tearing apart Watford last weekend and gaining 3 points the Blades should really have taken another 3 points of newly promoted Leicester City on Tuesday night. But as it turned out they can consider themselves lucky to have got anything from the game after a dire performance. Reading seem to be struggling this season after picking up 2 points from their opening 3 games. This result really does depend on which Sheffield United team turn up on the day which is why I'm going for the biggest price on the coupon.

Prediction: Draw best odds available 3.4 (Betfred)

Tuesday 18th August 2009 Betting tips

Tue, 18 Aug 2009 09:43:25 +0000

Sunderland (7.5) Draw (4) Chelsea (1.57)
Both teams won their opening game last weekend. Sunderland's £10 million striker Darren Bent scored the winner just 5 minutes in to the game. With Bruce as manager and their new signings they could cause trouble this season. Chelsea were very fortunate to beat Hull. They needed an injury time winner to see off Hull City. Its too early to tell whether Ancelotti can turn this ageing team in to a winning team. Its probably not wise to bet on Chelsea away from home at 1.57 at this stage of the season. If I had to pick it a winner it would be Chelsea but from a punting point of view, the money has to be on Sunderland. You can get 1.95 for Sunderland +1 on the Asian Handicap at bet365. If Chelsea win it will probably be by the single goal but I sense a possible upset here.

Wigan (1.75) Draw (3.6) Wolverhampton (5.5)

Wigan got off to a flier beating Villa 2-0 away, whereas Wolves lost their opener 2-0 at home. The Wigan game could have easily ended up 6-1 or something like that. Martinez is getting Wigan to play some attractive football. Wolves did hold their own against, West Ham but in front of goal they failed to take their chances. PaddyPower have gone 1.75 on the home win which will be my pick.

Sheffield Utd (1.85) Draw (3.5) Leicester (4.5)
Sheffield United seem to have picked up where they left off last season. A stunning late run took them to the verge of promotion. Sheffield United played exceptional against Watford apparently (I heard this off a blades fan). For the last couple of years, Sheff Utd have been the bookies friend, not winning the matches on paper they should do. However, I see them winning this match. Odds are 1.85 at
William Hill

Celtic (4.2) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (2)
Arsenal totally outclassed Everton at the weekend. Not many teams go to Goodison and put 6 past the Toffees. If Arsenal can keep all their players fit, then they could be serious title contenders this year. Thats a big if though and they are still only 4th favourite to win the league. Celtic generally do well in their home Champions League fixtures. Even though Arsenal have been poor in relation to the other Big 4 teams, they still have done exceptionally well in Europe these past few years. It shows the gulf in class between leagues. Only danger is that Arsenal don't actually have to win this game and may settle for a score draw. Initially I thought away win but I am leaning towards Celtic or the draw now. So maybe best to skip this fixture betting wise and enjoy them game. Its on Sky Sports 2 tonight.

Champiobship Picks 15th August

Thu, 13 Aug 2009 17:50:17 +0000

Sheffield Utd (1.73) Draw (3.6) Watford (5.5)

Kevin Blackwell will be hoping for 3 points from this fixture after the embarrassing loss to Port Vale in the Carling Cup fixture during midweek. After an ugly but gritty draw away to Middlesbrough last Friday The Blades will be looking to make Bramall Lane a fortress. I feel Watford could really struggle this season, since there relegation from the Premier League (05-06) they have continually slipped down the Championship.

Prediction: Home win best price available 1.73 (Betfred)

Peterborough (2.25) Draw (3.3) Sheffield W (3.6)

Newly promoted Peterborough will need to win a good proportion of their home games in order to have a chance of survival. This could possibly be one of the occasions were they don't get what they want. Sheffield Wednesday have a fine balance between youth and experience. With the pacey wingers Jermaine Johnson and Etienne Esajas they are extremely fast on the break but are also vulnerable to the counter attack themselves.

Prediction:Draw best price available 3.3 (Betfred)

English Championship Football Betting Tips

Thu, 06 Aug 2009 15:46:38 +0000

7 August 2009

20:00 Middlesbrough (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sheffield Utd (3.75)

Kevin Blackwell's Sheffield United travel to the Riverside for the opening game of this seasons Coca Cola Championship campaign. Failure to secure promotion at last seasons play off final has cost the Blades. Losing arguably 2 of the greatest talents to come out of the academy in Kyle Naughton & Kyle Walker, both to spurs for a fee believed to be around £10million for the pair. Relegation has also taken its toll on Middlesbrough after losing Stuart Downing to Aston Villa for a fee which is officially undisclosed but is believed to be around the £12million mark (£12million for a player who is not going to return from injury until October at the earliest, I think I'd want it to be undisclosed as well). Leroy Lita is an excellent signing for Gareth Southgate and nobody knows this more than Kevin Blackwell who first made a move for Lita back in January only for Lita to turn the move down. Again the same scenario occurred just days before Boro finally got there man. The Blades have also completed some shrewd business by capturing 20 year old Welsh international Ched Evans, Along with Lee Williamson from Watford (undisclosed) and Glenn little from Portsmouth (free transfer).
I feel a close game is on the cards as United tend to play 4-5-1 away from home (as much as Blackwell tries to disguise it as a 4-3-3).
Prediction 1-1 best odds available 7.0 (Boylesport or 3.4 Draw )

8 August 2009

15:00 Cardiff (1.73) Draw (3.6) Scunthorpe (6)

Cardiff will start the season with their first competitive game at The Cardiff City Stadium(It does exactly what it says on the tin springs to mind) . They will welcome a newly promoted Scunthorpe side who defeated Millwall in last years play off final thanks to an 85th minute goal from Martyn Woolford. Cardiff will be hoping for a victory in order to start the process of making their new home a fortress. Scunthorpe will want points on the board at the earliest opportunity as they know they have a long hard season ahead of them. I can see this game starting off close but the class will tell in the end with Cardiff going onto a comfortable victory.

Should be a home win. Price is 1.73 at Boylesport

15:00 Crystal Palace (1.91) Draw (3.4) Plymouth (4.4)

Neil Warnock's men will be wanting to put last years disappointing season behind them. With Warnock's track record of promotion the Eagles will have been hoping for a better finish than the 15th spot they achieved last season. However with the signings of Stern John (free transfer) and Freddie Sears (season long loan from West Ham) Warnock may have just found the key to the top 6, especially if he can keep hold of the highly rated Victor Moses. With Julian Speroni between the sticks and Nick Carle hoping to return to the form that persuaded Warnock to sign the Australian from Bristol City last summer, I see no reason why Palace should not be pushing for a play off spot come the end of the season.The Pilgrims have had a relatively busy period during the transfer window bringing in a decent mix of young and old, These include Bradley Wright-Phillips (free transfer from Southampton),Carl Fletcher and Kari Arnason (both free transfers). At the time of writing a fee has believed to have been agreed for Rangers Alan Gow.

Home win (1.91 general) for this writer with correct score of 1-0 at

15:00 Derby (2) Draw (3.4) Peterboro (4.2)

The two sons of two iconic names in football go head to head at Pride Park.Nigel Clough's Derby take on Championship new boys Peterborough managed by Darren Ferguson.Derby haven't really set the transfer market alight this year with 5 of the 6 players purchased coming from lower league teams, including Saul Deeny and Jake Buxton coming from Clough's former employers Burton Albion. Add to this the Achilles injury sustained by one of the Rams key players Giles Barnes this could be a difficult couple of months for the boys in white. Peterborough's main objective this season will obviously be consolidation but without a few additions to the squad I can really see them struggling come the end of the season. They definitely need to pick the odd point up away from home and I feel this maybe one of the occasions they do just that.

Prediction 1-1 best available price 7.0 at Boylesport. Straight draw is 3.4

15:00 Leicester (2.25) Draw (3.25) Swansea (3.3)
With the Foxes bouncing back up at the first time of asking confidence will be high but Nigel Pearson will recognise the task ahead. Which makes sense to bring in quality which can do the job required at this standard. This is exactly what Pearson has done with Richie Wellens arriving from Doncaster(£1.2million) and Danny N'Guessan, a speedy winger who likes to get forward and chip in with the odd goal. After losing Robert Martinez (manager) and Jordi Lopez (key midfielder) this summer I cannot see the Swans improving on last years incredible position of 8th. This was a fantastic achievement considering it was there first season in the Championships. Martinez had Swansea playing fantastic football last year and without his guidance I think they will lose this side of their game.
Prediction No First Goal scorer best available price 10.0 (Sky Bet)

15:00 Preston (2.1) Draw (3.4) Bristol C (4)

After losing in last years play off semi finals to Sheffield United its obvious the financial strain is taking its toll at Deepdale. With 4 players leaving and only 1 arriving it is clear plan A is to minimise the wage bill. After seeing Preston with my own eyes 3 times last season I was very impressed with Sean St Ledger and at 24 Preston will/should do whatever it takes to keep the versatile defender. Gary Johnson will be disappointed at losing Michael McIndoe to Coventry City (amount unconfirmed at time of writing). Although with Paul Hartley coming in from Celtic on a free transfer the Robins boss will be hoping Hartley's experienced head can help settle the ship.
Prediction home win. Odds are 2.1 at William Hill

15:00 Queens P R (1.73) Draw (3.5) Blackpool (5)

QPR flexed their wealthy muscles only once during the summer months. Their new prized asset at Loftus road is 22 Argentinian midfielder Alejandro Faurlin,who was bought for £3.5million from Manchester United. Blackpool however have spent a total of £500k on 3 signings in the summer including the free transfer of Jason Euell. Euell will score some very important goals for the Seasiders which could decide their fate come the end of the season.
Prediction Another home win. Odds are 1.73 at bet365

15:00 Reading (1.95) Draw (3.5) Nottingham F (4.5)

Reading are another club that are having to tighten the purse strings in order to maintain a healthy financial situation. Of the 7 outgoing players 4 are on a free transfer basis, these include Leroy Lita,Marcus Hahnemann and Michael Duberry. Forest on the other hand have had 9 players incoming since the transfer window opened. These include Dele Adebola,Dexter Blackstock,Lee Camp,Paul Mckenna and Chris Gunter the £1.75million buy from Tottenham. Taking these additions into consideration I don't see why Forest should have anything to worry about for the coming season.
Prediction I'll take a punt on the away win. 4.5 at bet365

15:00 Sheffield W (2) Draw (3.4) Barnsley (4.3)

The opening game of the campaign at Hillsborough kicks off with a South Yorkshire derby. With the Tykes beating Wednesday home and away last year the Owls will be out for revenge. The Owls have brought in 3 experienced players those being Darren Potter,Tommy Miller and Darren Purse with no first team players leaving Hillsborough. Barnsley on the other hand have lost possibly the best shot stopper in the league after Heinz Muller's £600k transfer to FSV Mainz 05. This should be a close contest but with the ever improving squad of Brian Laws' men I can only see one outcome.
Home win is even money at Sky Bet

15:00 Watford (2.1) Draw (3.4) Doncaster (4)

These two teams finished on the same points total last season, with Watford finishing 1 place above due to goal difference. This is a fantastic achievement for the South Yorkshire club considering this was there first season competing in the Coca Cola Championship. Although they have lost Richie Wellens, one of the key players from last season, they have replaced him with ex Manchester United star Quinton Fortune on a free transfer. For Watford however, it is a totally different story.After losing the battle against relegation from the premiership in the 06/07 season they have been slowly slipping down the league table.

Big price on the away win here at Sky Bet 4.0

17:30 West Brom (2.3) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.4)

West Brom will be challenging for a top 6 spot,there's no doubt about that. The squad they have is more than capable and has experience in this type of challenge. Newcastle on the other hand I really do fear for. This is a club in turmoil,it is not possible for a club in the Championship to have a wage bill the size of Newcastle's (Just ask Leeds United). With the football players the manager (rumoured to be Joe Kinnear) has at his disposal they really should be challenging for a top 6 spot. But you can not play your way out of this league, some games are going to be scrappy. Its games like Blackpool away on a cold Tuesday night for example that I cant see the Magpies getting anything from. They are going to be the team to beat next year and I don't think they are quite up to the challenge just yet.

I can see this being a high scoring draw. Draw odds are 3.4 at Boylesport. 2-2 correct score is 17.0 at Sky Bet

9 August 2009

12:45 Coventry (2.63) Draw (3.4) Ipswich (2.75)

Coventry may have lost Daniel Fox to Celtic(£1.5million) but they have one of, if not the best goalkeeper in the Coca Cola Championship. Kieran Westwood performs week in week out and I am very surprised he hasn't attracted more attention from the premiership vultures. Add to that the newly signed Michael McIndoe n Chris Coleman has the nucleus for a top 8 team. The Tractor boys have 3 new additions to their squad Lee Martin,Damien Delaney and Colin Healy but they also have the Keane factor. Nobody else showed the hunger for success when playing. Although he may have mellowed out while on the touch line, you can guarantee if things are not going his way he will get his message across one way or the other.

Bookies can't really seem to predict a winner here and neither can I. Draw is 3.4 at Betfred.

No Betting tips

Sun, 14 Jun 2009 09:06:24 +0000

With no major football tournament this year, there are no betting tips until the FA Community Shield.

With the summer transfers next season's Premiership will be more exciting. Without Ronaldo, Man U look at a lot weaker and am tempted to stick some money on Liverpool at 4.2 at bet365. They were arguably the best team this year but lost too many 'easy' games.

In the meantime, the Blog will still get updated with the latest betting news.

Thanks for reading and come back in August.

World Cup Qualifiers

Sat, 06 Jun 2009 11:43:06 +0000

6 June 2009

16:00 Kazakhstan (26) Draw (7.5) England (1.17)
I don't know much about Kazakhstan football. They are 1-0-4 in the qualifiers with the only win against Andorra. Not very often you get an away win at 1.17 at International Level. Even factoring in the patriotism bias, this looks like a nailed on away win. Price is 1.17 at Sky Bet for a straight win. Maybe draw/ England is 5.5 at Betfred If Kazakhstan put 11 men behind the ball it could be hard for England to break them down. England to win to nil is 1.73 at bluesquare which would be work a bet too.

18:30 Bulgaria (2.1) Draw (3.3) Rep of Ireland (4)
I think this will be a home win. Bulgaria have important players back, Berbatov, S Petrov and M Petrov. Not too bothered about Berbatov being back as I think he's idle. I am guessing that someone I've never heard of will pop up and score. These teams played in Ireland in March and drew 1-1. Ireland can go top with a win here. Looking at their side though, I can't see them reaching the final. For me, this is a home win. Price is 2.1 at Boylesport

16:00 Azerbaijan (3.5) Draw (3.3) Wales (2.25)
Wales can't qualify, maybe mathematically but its not going to happen. The injury list for Wales is huge. 11 or so players are out. I have to go with the home win if I had to bet. Its a nothing game so I won't bother. For sure I wouldn't back Wales at 2.25.

Chelsea Vs Everton Betting 30th May 2009

Fri, 29 May 2009 08:37:48 +0000

Everton continue to suprise. You'd think they would have taken their foot the pedal but they still have been winning despite having little to play for. Moyes put out the full strength side last week and beat Fulham 2-0 away. Once upon a time, that would have been no big deal but this year Fulham have been playing well. Everton have done without their top goal scorers Yakubu and Arteta.

Chelsea really have something to prove this year. Despite all the praise for Hiddink, Chelsea have still won nothing and have finished 3rd in the league. Avram Grant did better. Last week they beat a rubbish Sunderland team 3-2. Its worrying that the once solid Petr Cech has made some howlers recently. I can see this being a tight game and a single goal may well decide this.

Looking at the odds, I can see the value opposing the favourites.

1.75 Chelsea 888sport
3.6 Draw bet365
5.5 Everton William Hill

I don't think any team should be odds on in a 1 off game at a neutral venue. I think my bet will be the draw with Chelsea winning in the end. Not many goals are expected in this game. Odds for under 2.5 is 1.57 at most places. Low price but I can't argue with that.

For you favourite backers, Chelsea are top price at 1.44 at Jenningsbet to lift the Cup.

In terms of Bookie offers, if DIDIER DROGBA scores in normal time, VCBet will refund all losing Correct Score, First Goalscorer, Double Result (HT-FT) bets as a free bet!

Irish Bookmaker PaddyPower have this offer. If the game finishes 0-0 in normal time Paddy Power will refund all losing 1st/last goalscorer, correct score & scorecast singles. Could be nice insurance as there is a strong chance of 0-0 here.

Last Day of the Season 24th May 2009

Thu, 21 May 2009 22:13:37 +0000
Premiership tips
16:00 Arsenal (1.36) Draw (5.3) Stoke (10)
Should be a home win this. I think after last week, Stoke will be thinking about their summer holidays. No need for them to try. With all the stick that Wenger has had this week, his team need to put out a big performance. Its the shortest price on the coupon for a reason. Sky Bet are offering 1.36 on an Arsenal win.

16:00 Aston Villa (2.4) Draw (3.5) Newcastle (3.2)
Strange odds here. If this wasn't the last game of the season and Newcastle didn't need to a result to stay up, Villa would be odds on. I think Newcastle blew it last week. As I said, just because they need to win, their team isn't going to magically get some quality in their side. Villa are in bad form but I think they can raise their game to beat Newcastle. Price is 2.4 at bet365

16:00 Blackburn (1.85) Draw (3.5) West Brom (4.5)
Nothing to play for in this game. West Brom are down, even though they have been playing better recently. I would normally pick a home win here but something tells me that West Brom will want to go out with a bang. Blackburn have nothing to play for. Price is 4.5 for West Brom at PaddyPower - Sign up for a free £25 bet

16:00 Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Everton (3.75)
Should be a home win this. Fulham have won this fixture 1-0 3 times in the last 3 years. Everton have 1 eye on the cup I guess or the price would be better for Fulham. Price is 2.2 at VC Bet. Correct score of 1-0 Fulham is 8.0 at Ladbrokes

16:00 Hull (3.16) Draw (3.6) Man Utd (2.4)
These prices are absolutely last day of the season. Man U on any other day would be heavily odds on. Man U have won the league and have a small Spanish side to play on Wednesday so maybe won't try very hard. Hull have survival in their own hands. A win would send Newcastle down. I'll go with the conspiracy theorist and back Hull. Price is 3.16 at Pinnacle Sports

16:00 Liverpool (1.57) Draw (4) Tottenham (7)
To be fair to Liverpool they have been the best team in the league this year. Who else can even dream of doing the double over Man U and Chelsea, let alone accomplish it. Small chance of Spurs getting in to Europe but that would mean they would have to do the double over Liverpool. I cannot see that. Liverpool win price is 1.57 at VC Bet

16:00 Man City (1.75) Draw (3.6) Bolton (5)
Another meaningless game. I think City will win this on their home form though. Not much to say about Bolton. They avoided relegation. Price for a City win is 1.75 at William Hill

16:00 Sunderland (4) Draw (3.6) Chelsea (2)
What a price this is. Sunderland have been playing badly for weeks and Chelsea are on top form. The only reason I can see that Chelsea are even money is that, Sunderland need to win to guarantee safety and Chelsea have the FA Cup next week. Bookies have over reacted in my opinion. Price is 2.0 at PaddyPower

16:00 West Ham (2.38) Draw (3.5) Middlesbrough (3)
Boro can mathematically can stay up but highly unlikely to. West Ham were beating Everton until they had a man sent off and then Everton went on to win 3-1. Boro aren't good enough for the Premiership. Good price on the home win here too. 2.38 at Ladbrokes

16:00 Wigan (2.25) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3.5)
Wigan are bottom of the current form table. 0-1-5 they are with a goal difference of -10. Portsmouth did well last Monday coming from behind to beat Sunderland 3-1. I don't think Portsmouth will lose this one. Portsmouth +0.25 is 2.03 at VC Bet

Premiership Tips 16th May 19th May

Fri, 15 May 2009 16:00:39 +0000

16 May 2009

12:45 Man Utd (1.70) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (6.5)
Some of the best odds I've seen ever in this fixture for Arsenal. I can't remember a time when Man U were so odds on. I suppose this reflects the difference in class now. Still, Man U only need a point to clinch the title. I lost a lot of money when Arsenal went to Liverpool and drew 4-4. I think that was an exception. I think Man U will ease this game. Asian Handicap is -0.75 at 1.93 at VCBet. If you want the straight win on Man U, you can get 1.7 at Jenningbet

15:00 Bolton (2.25) Draw (3.4) Hull (3.4)
Bolton are playing a bit rubbish at the moment. Only 1 win in 9 for them. They should have really beat Sunderland. Hull disappointed last week with a home loss to Stoke. I will give them one last chance and back them again. They have pulled out their best performances away from home this year. Price is 3.4 at bet365.

15:00 Everton (1.8) Draw (3.6) West Ham (5)
Everton have nothing to play for now on paper but I think they will be wanting to secure that 5th place for pride. Big price on away win here but West Ham have nothing to play for at all now either. I'd be happier if this was about even money but Everton win at 1.8 at 888sport will be my bet.

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.63) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.88)
Villa seem to have gone on their summer holidays. Boro are terrible but are the home side and have to win for any hope to stay up. Tricky this because Villa are a better team and can hit teams on the counter. I will chicken out of this one and not have a bet. I suppose the value is on Boro at 2.63 at Boylesport as Ladbrokes have Boro at 2.25 but no bet for me.

15:00 Newcastle (1.95) Draw (3.6) Fulham (4.2)
Momentum with the home team here. A win will probably mean safety. Fulham are no pushovers and want to get in to Europe. I still can't back Newcastle at odds on given that only thing they've done is beat Boro on Monday in the last 2 months. I much prefer the away win. Price is 4.2 at Jenningbet

15:00 Stoke (2.25) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.6)
Stoke guaranteed safety at Hull last weekend. Maybe time to relax. Wigan are the worst team in the league on current form 0-1-5. They were up for Man U on the TV but this fixture I can't be sure. Tricky bet but I will go for the home win. Price is 2.25 at 888sport

15:00 Tottenham (1.91) Draw (3.6) Man City (4.5)
Man City were disappointing against Man U. If they weren't up for Man U then they aren't going to be up for this. Spurs are chasing a Europe place and I think they want it more than Man City do. Boylesport have Spurs at 1.91.

17 May 2009

13:30 West Brom (8) Draw (5) Liverpool (1.42)
If Man U get a point then this is a meaningless game for Liverpool. West Brom could still survive but this is a big ask to beat Liverpool. Stranger things have happened and 8.0 is a big price for a home win. Paddypower are offering 1.67 or 3 or more goals. The last time Liverpool didn't score 3 goals in a game was 8 games ago which finished 1-0. I prefer that to the away win because its a bigger price and covers the upset of 2-1 to West Brom and high scoring draws.

16:00 Chelsea (1.35) Draw (5.5) Blackburn (12)
No question about how picked themselves up better after the Champions League disappointments. Convincing 4-1 win against the gunners at the Emirates. Blackburn are safe and probably won't even try. Best 1,35 I've seen in a while. Jenningsbet offer 1.35 on Chelsea.

18 May 2009

20:00 Portsmouth (2.2) Draw (3.25) Sunderland (3.75)
Too early to pick this one. It all depends on what happens elsewhere over the weekend. Looks like an unders game but best looking at how the table looks after Sundays games.

Premiership Tips 9-11th May 2009

Sat, 09 May 2009 09:27:45 +0000

9th May 2009

15:00 Blackburn (2.1) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (4.3)
I think Portsmouth will come here for a 0-0. They don't score very much. I don't think Blackburn with Samba up front will be able to break them down. A draw will suit both sides as it virtually guarantees safety. Odds are 3.4 at Ladbrokes

15:00 Bolton (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.75)
Sunderland seem to have stopped playing football and I would be worried if I was a Sunderland fan. Bolton are fading away, no win in 4 for them. Bolton should win this but they do have nothing to play for and could be ready for their summer holidays. Still, my bet will be Bolton, price is 2.2 at WIlliam Hill

15:00 Everton (2.3) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (3.3)
Everton are a strange case. They should be taking it easy as they are in Europe and have the FA Cup at the end of the month. I guess they really want that 5th place. Spurs are in good form but I don't think they want 7th place as much as Everton want 5th. Odds on home win is 2.3 at William Hill

15:00 Fulham (2.63) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.9)
Villa has their first win in 13 last week. Maybe they have turned the corner now. I guess Craven Cottage isn't the best place to come though. Fulham have always been strong at home. I guess a draw is the best bet as they it would suit both sides. Odds are 3.4 at Betfred

15:00 Hull (2.2) Draw (3.4) Stoke (3.75)
I think a win here will put Hull safe. They may get something at Bolton but last day of the season is Man U. Good performance from Hull against the Villa. Stoke are safe now. They have never been good away from home. Home win for me, odds are 2.2 at WIlliam Hill

15:00 West Brom (2.4) Draw (3.4) Wigan (3.1)
West Brom have a slim chance of surviving. They are playing better now they have been written off. Wigan's season has fizzled in to nothingness. My bet is West Brom, odds are 2.4 at Jenningbet

17:30 West Ham (7) Draw (4) Liverpool (1.57)
Terrible news for West Ham's owner. £300 million in debt! West Ham have done well this season. I will be backing Liverpool here as they are great form. Price is a little low but you can't not back a team which has scored 18 goals in the last 5 games. Price is 1.57 at Boylesport

10 May 2009

13:30 Man Utd (1.4) Draw (4.8) Man City (10)
Man U totally outclassed Arsenal midweek. No many people go to the Emirates and win 3-1. Should have been more. I have thought sometimes Man U have played badly but still manage to win. Teams don't have the desire to take advantage of dips in form. City do have the player to take advantage of a slack Man U side. City's mediocre season will be forgotten if they can win this. Big price on the away win at William Hill, 10.0

16:00 Arsenal (2.63) Draw (3.3) Chelsea (2.88)
Chelsea were robbed by Barcelona. Arsenal deserved to go out but Chelsea should have gone through. Too many variables here for me to select a winner. It depends on how the players pick themselves up after defeat. This is a game I think you should just enjoy and maybe a cheeky bet on Arshavin to score anytime at 4.3 at WIlliam Hill

11 May 2009

20:00 Newcastle (2.1) Draw (3.6) Middlesbrough (3.85)
One or both of these teams are going down. I guess it'll be the team that does not win that'l be playing in the Championship next season. You cannot back Newcastle at 2.1 against anyone nowadays. A draw will do neither any good. This leaves the away win which is 3.85 at Jenningbet.

Premiership Tips 2-5th May 2009

Thu, 30 Apr 2009 20:18:41 +0000

2 May 2009

12:45 Middlesbrough (7.5) Draw (4.2) Man Utd (1.57)
A win here could lift Boro out of the relegation zone. Considering the opposition, its highly unlikely. The only hope is that Manchester United are distracted with next week's champions league fixture next week. Price is 1.57 at bet365. Odds are drifting though so many punters are going for Boro. It would be wise to check the team news before placing a bet. Fergie disappointed a lot of punters by putting out a B team against Everton in the FA CUP.

15:00 Chelsea (1.53) Draw (4) Fulham (8)
Another team with Champions League distractions. That explains the 1.53 on the Chelsea home win. Chelsea have nothing in the league to play for. It could well be a half hearted effort. Fulham aren't a bad side. They could easily get a 0-0 here. My tip is under 2.5 goals at VCBet. Price is 1.9.

15:00 Man City (2) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (4.3)
Two Premiership wins on the bounce for City including an impressive win against Everton last time out. Blackburn beat Wigan last game. With the state of the teams below them, they may be safe with 37 points this year. Even if they don't get points they still have Portsmouth and West Brom at home. I can't see them going all out here. Price for City is even money at bet365

15:00 Portsmouth (3.6) Draw (3.4) Arsenal (2.3)
This all depends on the team Wenger puts out. Without the Champions League distraction, Arsenal would be odds on. I guess the bookies are thinking that Wenger will put out a kids team and save the big guns for Tuesday. A point would suit Portsmouth fine here but I think they will go to the win and get safety this weekend. I will take a chance of Portsmouth, price is 3.6 at William Hill

15:00 Stoke (2.4) Draw (3.4) West Ham (3.25)
West Ham missed a penalty against Chelsea and maybe should have got a draw. At the end of the day they are a team that has nothing to play for anymore. Stoke at home has been a gold mine for punters this year. 9-5-3 at home. I guess 2.4 is good value considering. Price is 2.4 at William Hill

15:00 Tottenham (1.53) Draw (4.3) West Brom (7.5)
Spurs must be kicking themselves. 2-0 up at half time and then go on and lose 5-2. It was a dodgy penalty that changed the game but still, they just crumbled. West Brom surprised me last week thumping Sunderland 3-0. There still is an outside chance they could stay up. I wouldn't usually back Spurs at these odds but I think they will need to put in a good performance to make up for last week's beating. Price is 1.53 at Betfred

15:00 Wigan (2.2) Draw (3.3) Bolton (3.75)
Two teams with nothing to play for now. Even though Bolton are on 38 points, that should be enough this year. Wigan have lost 3 on the bounce now, scoring 1 and conceding 10. I think the draw is the best bet here. Price is 3.3 at Boylesport

3 May 2009

13:30 Liverpool (1.3) Draw (5.5) Newcastle (15)
Bet of the week I think. I really cannot see Newcastle getting anything here. They were extremely disappointing against Portsmouth. Even playing 3 strikers, they still could not score. Liverpool are 1.3 at Jenningbet

16:00 Sunderland (2.63) Draw (3.4) Everton (3)
Not many teams go to West Brom and lose 3-0. Sunderland managed it last week. It shows the quality of their side. I don't know what happened to Everton last week. Not many teams lose to Man City when at home. Everton has bounced back strongly after every game they've lost recently. I expect them to bounce back again. Price is 3.00 at

4 May 2009

20:00 Aston Villa (1.62) Draw (4) Hull (7)

Villa are on a 9 match winless run in the Premiership. Last 3 have been score draws though so there is some sign of improvement. If they can't beat Hull on Monday they'll not win another game this season. Hull have been in freefall. Price on the Villa win is 1.62 at Sky Bet

Premiership Tips 25th - 27th April

Thu, 23 Apr 2009 21:50:58 +0000

25 April 2009

15:00 Bolton (3.1) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.55)
About 3 months ago I would have thought this was a gift, Villa away from home at odds on. Villa let me down last week. I thought they were over their slump but guess not. Looking at the current form table, they are actually bottom. 2 draws and 4 losses. Bolton aren't doing much better but they are the home team. Price is 3.1 at bet365

15:00 Everton (1.91) Draw (3.5) Man City (4.8)
I cannot work out the odds here. Everton are still playing good football despite having only the FA Cup to play for now. Man City have been terrible away from home all season. Backing against City away from home has been a gold mine all season. Price is 1.91 at VCBet

15:00 Fulham (1.8) Draw (3.55) Stoke (5.3)
Should be a home win. Stoke on 39 are safe now and have never been any good away from home. Only 1 win away from home and that was against West Brom. Fulham are strong at home and I expect them to beat Stoke. Price is 1.85 at Jenningbet

15:00 Hull (11) Draw (4.5) Liverpool (1.4)
Hull are in free fall. I can't see where their next points are coming from. I can't believe they will get anything here. Liverpool let me down heavily against Arsenal. They should bounce back here with a comfortable win though. Torres to score anytime is even money at bluesquare which I think is as likely as a Liverpool win.

15:00 West Brom (2.5) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3)
Good result for Sunderland last weekend beating Hull 1-0. This could be their turning point. West Brom are down and out now. Tricky game to call but I would not be backing a West Brom win here. The draw is the biggest price on the coupon so I will go for that. Price is 3.4 at Sky Bet.

15:00 West Ham (5) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (1.8)
Odds are going up on Chelsea. Guess drawing to Everton has put the title out of reach and so all attention to the Champions League. They face Barcelona next week. I think a draw would suit both sides here. Price is 3.5 at Boylesport

17:30 Man Utd (1.47) Draw (4.5) Tottenham (9.5)
Man U were pretty ordinary against Portsmouth. They still managed to win it 2-0 though. Spurs are in good form again and I can see Redknapp having the tactical nouse to get something here. Mr Betfred has stuck his neck out and gone 9.5 on a Spurs win. That will be my bet.

26 April 2009

13:30 Arsenal (1.53) Draw (4.3) Middlesbrough (8)
The Champions League explains this price. I guess the bookies think that Arsenal will be thinking ahead to Man U. They showed against Liverpool that they can still score goals without Adebayor and Van Persie. Boro are struggling and couldn't break down Fulham last week. I don't think Southgate has put this down as a must win game. I'd expect this to be 1.3 tops ordinarily so the 1.53 at Boylesport is a steal.

16:00 Blackburn (2) Draw (3.45) Wigan (4.3)
Blackburn are in a relegation battle. Losing to Stoke was very costly and now they sit only 3 points above the drop zone with a similar goal difference to Boro. Wigan have been on the end of a couple of thrashing recently, letting in 8 goals. I can see them bouncing back here against a Blackburn team that are lacking quality. Price is 4.3 at bluesquare.

27 April 2009

20:00 Newcastle (2.1) Draw (3.55) Portsmouth (3.8)
Newcastle are in trouble now. Not even Shearer coming back has made a difference to their fortunes. I put this one down as a winnable game for them. Last home game was against an in form Chelsea. Shearer to get his first win here. Price is currently 2.1 at Boylesport. I can't see that lasting until Monday.

Premiership Tips 18th - 19th April

Fri, 17 Apr 2009 21:29:35 +0000

18 April 2009

15:00 Aston Villa (1.73) Draw (3.65) West Ham (6)
Should be a home win. No win from 10 in all competitions but last 2 games have shown real promise. West ham are injury ridden and mid table. Nothing for them to play for. Top price is 1.73 for Villa at 1.73 at .

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.25) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.5)
This is do or die for Boro. Good result for them last week against Hull. Fulham are safe now. I will not read too much in to the away win for Fulham last week. Boro the home team and more motivated. Boro win is 2.25 at Ladbrokes

15:00 Portsmouth (2.1) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.9)
I can't back Portsmouth here as Bolton are a much tougher proposition that West Brom were. Good come back from Bolton last week, 4-0 down and came back to 4-3 against Chelsea. I can see both teams being happy here with the draw. Price is 3.4 at Bet365

15:00 Stoke (2.4) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3.25)
Blackburn can leapfrog Stoke here with a win. I don't think it will happen. Blackburn are missing players up front here. They were useless against Liverpool. Stoke have an excellent home record. 3 points here will put Stoke on 39 which will more or less make them safe. Price is 2.4 at Bet365

15:00 Sunderland (1.91) Draw (3.5) Hull (4.5)
Two teams in bad form. I can't see where Hull will get their next win from. Sunderland have got 1 point from the last 6 games which puts them rock bottom of the form table. I cannot recommend backing a team with that form at odds on. Bigger price on the draw. Price is 3.5 at bluesquare

19 April 2009

13:30 Tottenham (1.73) Draw (3.8) Newcastle (6)
Tricky one this. On form, its a nailed on home win but you got to look at the motivation now for each team. Spurs have nothing to play for. Newcastle may have turned the corner. Quite lucky to get the draw Stoke but it could be a turning point for Shearer's Newcastle. Looking at the Asian Handicap, you can get Newcastle at 2.05 +0.75 at VCBet

15:00 Man City (1.67) Draw (3.75) West Brom (6)
West Brom are hopeless and down. City are out of the UEFA Cup. Guess the cup can explain last week's loss to Fulham. City really need to win this to show their rich owners they haven't wasted their money. Low price of 1.67 on a city win but it will be my bet at Bet365

Premiership Tips 11 - 12th April 2009

Thu, 09 Apr 2009 21:53:05 +0000

11 April 2009

12:45 Liverpool (1.33) Draw (5.5) Blackburn (13)
Liverpool left it late last week to beat Fulham. Very disappointed with the result against Chelsea. That's them out of the Champions League now. Should be an easy home win this. Liverpool must win the rest of the games this season to have a chance of winning the title. The handicap is set at -1.25 which I think they can clear. Price is 1.96 at Ladbrokes. Blackburn are pretty much safe and there are more important matches for them coming up.

15:00 Chelsea (1.3) Draw (5.5) Bolton (15)
Excellent display against Liverpool on Wednesday. Not many people win 3-1 at Anfield. Likely home win but I just remember the last day of the season last year where Chelsea needed to win to have a chance of winning the title. The ended up drawing 1-1 with Bolton. Then again, can I see any team beating Liverpool at Anfield and then 4 days later not beat Bolton at home. Top price is 1.3 at Ladbrokes. Blackburn are pretty much safe and there are more important matches for them coming up.

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.2) Draw (3.4) Hull (3.8)
Two teams in dire straits here. I was hoping for a bigger performance last week from Boro. They got spanked 4-1 by Bolton. I can't be backing a team 2nd from bottom at 2.2. X2 for me. A win here will almost guarantee safety for Hull. Price is 3.8 for the Hull win at bluesquare

15:00 Portsmouth (1.8) Draw (3.75) West Brom (5.5)
West Brom are down now and should start preparing for life in the Championship. A win for Portsmouth would be a big step forward for Portsmouth. Last home game they beat Everton 2-1 and I think they should be able to beat a very poor West Brom team. Price is 1.8 at Jenningbet

15:00 Sunderland (8.5) Draw (4.2) Man Utd (1.5)
A tiring Man U could struggle here. If it wasn't Sunderland I would be opposing them. No win in 6 for Sunderland with 4 losses. I do worry about the tiredness of Man U though. They were terrible against Porto. I will go for the away win at 1.5 at Jenningbet but value all things considered is on the draw which is 4.2 at bluesquare

15:00 Tottenham (1.8) Draw (3.55) West Ham (5.5)
Unlucky for Spurs last week. They were winning but then had a man sent off and Blackburn came back to win 2-1. Looking at the league position I was surprised to see that West Ham are 7th. They are without their top goal scorer C Cole though. Spurs should have too much for West Ham who haven't much to play for now. Price is 1.8 at Jenningbet

15:00 Wigan (5.5) Draw (3.6) Arsenal (1.75)
I was wrong about the potential banana skin last week with Arsenal vs Man City. Arsenal do seem to have got it together now. Wigan were thumped 4-0 by Everton last game. I see Arsenal having better players and more desire to win this. Price is 1.75 at VCBet

17:30 Stoke (2.5) Draw (3.25) Newcastle (3.1)
The Shearer factor couldn't stop Newcastle losing to Chelsea 2-0. If there was no Shearer I would go for a certain home win here. Stoke have a fantastic home record, going 8-4-3. Any of the 3 results wouldn't surprise me. Biggest price on the coupon is the draw, so if I was to have a bet on it, I would have to go for the draw but no bet for me.

12 April 2009

14:00 Aston Villa (2.25) Draw (3.4) Everton (3.50)
A chance for Everton to leap frog Villa here. Villa are on a 4 game losing streak. Villa's form has dropped off a cliff. I much prefer the away win. Everton are on the up and a 4-0 win over Wigan would have boosted their confidence no end. Everton are 3.5 at bet365

16:10 Man City (1.91) Draw (3.5) Fulham (5)
Nice odds on the home here. I guess its because of the European fixture. City lost 3-1 in Hamburg. I'm not too bothered about the tiredness. I am concerned that City may save their energy for the UEFA Cup next week. I still will go with the home win though as Fulham don't do away wins. Price is 1.91 for Man City at bet365

Premiership Tips 4 - 5th April 2009

Fri, 03 Apr 2009 12:19:02 +0000

4 April 2009

12:45 Blackburn (2.75) Draw (3.25) Tottenham (2.85)
Blackburn have the home advantage here and the advantage that less of their players than Spurs were on international duty. Home form hasn't been sparkling, 2 draws against West Ham and Everton. I can't see them beating Spurs here. Spurs have Keanne who scored a last minute goal against Italy. His season is really just beginning. X2 for me but as the price is biggest on the draw that will be my pick. Price is 3.25 at bet365

15:00 Arsenal (1.57) Draw (4) Manchester City (7.5)
Tricky fixture this. Arsenal have improved lately with some good results. Looking at the teams they have beat though and its not that impressive. Newcastle, Blackburn and West Brom. City are dire away from home but they do have players to cause an upset here. Not very confident but my pick is Man City at 7.5 at bluesquare

15:00 Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Middlesbrough (4)
Bolton and Boro are teams that are inconsistent. Bolton have got 1 point from the last 3 against West Brom, Fulham and Stoke. Boro look likely to go down now. Boro have shown some signs that they can survive. The result against Liverpool was decent. I think the 4.0 for Boro at Boylesport is worth taking.

15:00 Hull (2.7) Draw (3.3) Portsmouth (2.8)
I am going to have to oppose Hull here. Portsmouth have improved a lot since the departure of Tony Adams. A nice win for them last time out against Everton. I don't think Hull have the players to put out a home performance to win. They tend to play better away from home. Price for Portmouth win is 2.8 at Boylesport

15:00 Newcastle (5.5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.73)
Great news for Newcastle. Shearer getting the managers job may just save them from relegation. New manager syndrome can never be underestimated. Chelsea have practically all their squad coming back from international duty. I see the value on the home win here. Price is 5.5 at VCBet

15:00 West Bromwich (2.25) Draw (3.3) Stoke (3.6)
West Brom can't defend set plays. Stoke love their set plays. West Brom are down. I think Stoke can get their first win of the season here. Stoke +0.25 is 2.08 at Ladbrokes

15:00 West Ham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (4)
Looking at this fixture, all prices look poor. Impossible I know but nothing really sticks out. West Ham were terrible last time out against West Brom. If I had to choose it would be the draw but this is a game I will skip betting wise.

17:30 Fulham (6.3) Draw (3.75) Liverpool (1.67)
Liverpool can go top with a win here. Looking at the goals from the midweek internationals, Liverpool players had a great time. I don't think Fulham can pull off another performance like they did against Man U. Price is 1.67 at Betfred

5 April 2009

15:00 Everton (1.75) Draw (3.55) Wigan (5.5)
6th vs 7th here. I am confident that Everton can bounce back with a win here after losing 2-1 to Portmouth. Wigan have won their last 2 against Hull and Sunderland. I don't think Wigan are the type of team that can win 3 on the bounce. Price is 1.75 for Everton at .Jenningbet

16:00 Manchester United (1.42) Draw (4.5) Aston Villa (10)
I think Man U have had the most miles flown by their players. Several South Americans in their squad. Two losses in a row for Man U. 1 point in the last 5 games for Villa. Only West Brom have a worse record. Looking at the prices, I can see some value 10.0 at Boylesport. Villa were doing well against Liverpool until the second goal went in and they ended up losing 5-0.

Internation Games

Fri, 27 Mar 2009 11:22:36 +0000

17:15 England (1.3) Draw (5.4) Slovakia (12)

This is a friendly game. I never like betting on friendly games as there is no pressure on the teams to win. I guess that England under Capello will be after the win but would a draw be that bad a result? Slovakia are top of their qualifying group. I don't think they should be 11/1 to win this.

Both teams probably have an eye on Wednesday's fixtures. England have the Ukraine which looks a safer bet than this. Slovakia have an important game versus their rivals Czech Republic.

I would say England but 1.3 in a friendly? I am sure that bookies have under priced this knowing that punters will back England whatever the price.

The most tempting bet for me is over 2.5 goals at 1.83 at Sky Bet. Thats only because I will be watching the game on Setanta and its always nicer to have bets on overs rather than unders. Small bet only.

19:45 Netherlands (1.33) Draw (5) Scotland (13)

Netherlands all the way for me on this one. Scotland have a lot of injuries while Holland have a full strength side. I would be much more confident back this 1.33 than the 1.3 for England. With all the attacking players Holland have I can image this will be a stroll in the park for them.

I would go for Holland -1 on the 1X2 Handicap at Sportingbet pays evens.

Premiership Tips - 20-21 March 2009

Fri, 20 Mar 2009 11:58:35 +0000

21 March 2009

12:45 Portsmouth (2.9) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.7)
I was going to suggest the away win but having looked at the stats, they haven't won away from home since Boxing day. Last 2 games have been 0-0 away from home. Portsmouth would be happy with the draw this time with their current form. Price is 3.4 at Sky Bet

15:00 Blackburn (2) Draw (3.4) West Ham (4.4)
Have West Ham got the determination to grind out a result here? Last week there were shocking against Stoke. Blackburn need the points and the 4-0 at Arsenal didn't reflect the game. Home win for me. Price is evens at most bookies.

15:00 Fulham (8.5) Draw (4.2) Manchester United (1.5)
Its very rare for a side to beat another 3 times in a season. Man U have demolished Fulham twice this season. Man U took a battering from Liverpool. I can see this two ways, either Man U come out all guns blazing or come out shaky lacking confidence. The price for the former is 1.5 but if Man U come out shaky, the draw pays 4.2 at bet365 which is my choice.

15:00 Stoke (2.38) Draw (3.5) Middlesbrough (3.3)
Boro have lost last 7 away on the bounce. Stoke have lost 3 games at home all season. Better teams have come to Stoke and lost. Stoke win for me. Price is 2.38 at PaddyPower.

15:00 Tottenham (4.5) Draw (3.5) Chelsea (1.95)
Tottenham are pretty much safe now. Great performance at the Villa last week. This isn't a must win for them. Chelsea have to win every game to have any chance. Trouble is, they are only grinding out results against lesser teams. Another draw I think. 3.5 at bet365.

15:00 West Brom (2.5) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.1)
Must win game here for West Brom. If they don't win they are down. Bolton gifted Fulham their first away win of the season last week. I'll go with the home win here, this is definitely a game which West Brom are targeting for 3 points. Price is 2.5bluesquare

17:30 Newcastle (5.5) Draw (3.75) Arsenal (1.73)
Not a great price for Arsenal. I will still pick them though. Walcott back for Arsenal now. Newcastle are prtty ordinary. Price is 1.73 at Jenningbet

22 March 2009

13:30 Wigan (1.8) Draw (3.6) Hull (5.0)
Good performance from Hull at Arsenal for Hull. I would have gone home win but the price is very poor. I don't think the teams are that different in terms of quality. Good result for Wigan against Sunderland but before then, relegation form. I am going with the big price here and backing Hull to win. Price is 5.0 at William Hill

15:00 Manchester City (1.67) Draw (3.75) Sunderland (6.5)
Long game last night for City. Playing 120 minutes plus penalties takes its out of most teams. Always dodgy backing teams after a European night. Great home record for city. Would it be such a shock if Sunderland got a result here? Draw no bet for Sunderland is 4.5 at PaddyPower

16:00 Liverpool (1.5) Draw (4.2) Aston Villa (8)
Two world class performances from Liverpool. I can't really see past the home win here. A month ago this would have been a possible away win. Villa's form has dropped off a cliff though. Price is 1.5 at bluesquare

Premiership Tips - 14-16th March 2009

Fri, 13 Mar 2009 00:27:51 +0000

14 March 2009

12:45 Manchester United (2.00) Draw (3.3) Liverpool (4.8)
I think this is going to be a home win. I saw Liverpool play Real Madrid off the pitch on Tuesday but thats the Champions League and Benitez seems to be able to pick better teams. Man U are peaking at the right time. My favourite win to nil bet for Man U pays 2.9 at Ladbrokes but I will go for the straight win at Jenningbet at 2.00

15:00 Arsenal (1.5) Draw (4.3) Blackburn (9)
Last Champions League round all teams struggled with their handicaps. Arsenal have drawn the last 3 home games 0-0. With the players coming back though, I can see them winning this. Blackburn played midweek so won't have any advantage of freshness. Price is 1.5 at bluesquare.

15:00 Bolton (2.15) Draw (3.3) Fulham (3.75)
Fulham never win away from home so its going to be 1X. Bolton have won their last 2 games before losing away to Stoke. I just don't think Bolton are the team that can do consistent results. Fulham are 0-7-7 away from home. A draw I predict. Price is 3.3 at Jenningbet

15:00 Everton (1.5) Draw (4.1) Stoke (8.5)
I fancied Stoke to get something from Villa 2 weeks ago. I can't really make any argument this week though. Everton are just a better team and should win. Only thing is that, should you ever back Everton at 1.5? Probably not. Jenningbet offer that price if you fancy it though.

15:00 Hull (2.63) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (2.88)
Just heard on the radio that Owen is back for this game. Newcastle did pretty well against Man U (only losing 2-1). Hull have been in freefall. It was practically the last kick of the ball that Hull beat Fulham with. Hull are slight favourites today but come kick off I can see Newcastle being favourites. Price is currently 2.03 for Newcastle +0 on the Asian Handicap (same as draw no bet) at VC Bet.

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.2) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3.6)
Hard to imagine that both of these two teams are in the relegation zone. Boro pull off a 2-0 win against Liverpool but then get thrashed 4-0 by Spurs. Portsmouth were a little unlucky to lose to Chelsea last time out. Both teams need to win this so no draw, I will go for Boro with the home advantage. Price is 2.2 at most Bookies

15:00 Sunderland (2.25) Draw (3.3) Wigan (3.6)
Tricky one this. Neither team are in sparkling form. Sunderland maybe should have beaten Spurs. Wigan have been drawing a lot of games. I think this will be another. Price is 3.3 at Jenningbet

15 March 2009

13:30 Chelsea (1.45) Draw (4.5) Manchester City (9)
I am quite surprised by the prices here. Man City are 8th but thats all on the home form. 9-0-5 vs 1-5-8 away. Chelsea are back to winning ways I think. Its unthinkable that they'll drop any more points at home now. Price is 1.45 at Jenningbet

16:00 Aston Villa (2.1) Draw (3.5) Tottenham (4)
Villa have suffered a dip in form. I don't think they'll have the legs to keep in 4th place. They do actually play better away from home. Spurs have the players to nick this one. One danger is that they throw this to screw Arsenal over but I don't think they've got to points to be doing that! I'll go for a draw at 3.5 at Boylesport

16 March 2009

20:00 West Ham (1.73) Draw (3.75) West Brom (6)
West Brom are hopeless. I actually like this price on the home win. I am much more comfortable backing this that backing Everton to beat Stoke. Price is 1.73 at bluesquare but I don't think it will last.

FA Cup betting tips.

Thu, 05 Mar 2009 21:36:09 +0000

7 March 2009

Premiership betting

15:00 Sunderland (2.8) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.63)

The contrasting midweek results make this pick relatively straight forward. Spurs win 4-0 and Sunderland lose 2-0. Sunderland have an excellent record against Spurs. Been many false sawns for Spurs this season but I think they will win this. Away win is 2.63 at Coral.

FA Cup Betting

12:30 Coventry (7.5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.57)
Chelsea have been playing like under Mourinho. Grinding out those 1 goal results. Last week was well lucky with Lampard scoring in the 90th for a 2-1 win. I see them grinding out another result here. Price is 1.57 at bet365

17:15 Fulham (5) Draw (3.5) Manchester United (1.95)
Surprisingly good odds on the away win here. Ferguson may well rest some players here. Fulham should put up more of fight this time round, they didn't turn up at the meeting at Old Trafford the other week. 3-0 that time. I don't expect the same score line but Man U should win this. Price is 1.95 at Jenningbet.

8 March 2009

13:30 Arsenal (1.50) Draw (4.3) Burnley (8)
Arsenal should have some players coming back for this game. Burnley are just outside the play offs. Its the FA Cup and all that but I can see Arsenal walking this one. Very rare I tip Arsenal nowadays but the price seems about right. Price is 1.5 at William Hill

16:00 Everton (1.75) Draw (3.6) Middlesbrough (5.5)

Boro are the team that can pull out a performance, just ask Liverpool. I think this could be a good distraction from their league problems. Everton are on a good run of form. My initial thought was the home win but the odds make me pick the draw. Price is 3.6 at bet365

Premiership Tips - 28 February 2009

Fri, 27 Feb 2009 13:03:07 +0000

28 February 2009

12:45 Everton (1.5) Draw (4.2) West Brom (8)
Everton played poorly last weekend and have injuries. If it was anyone else, I would be opposing them. West Brom are truly shocking though. They could have lost 5-0 or 6-0 last week. Price for Everton is 1.5 at most bookies

15:00 Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.3) Fulham (9.5)
As, I've been saying these past few weeks, Arsenal are not a team to back at odds on. They haven't been scoring very much. I can't see Fulham winning this and with the position Fulham are in the league there is a danger that they will not try. Looking at all the betting markets, the half time draw at 2.5 at Bet365 seems a good bet. Good chance of a 0-0 FT here.

15:00 Chelsea (1.33) Draw (5) Wigan (13)
Hiddink has changed things. Don't know why, but new manager seems to have turned things around. Even though, they have only won their games 1-0, the opponents have been strong. 1.33 for the home win at most bookies is really the only bet I can recommend though. Asian Handicap of -1.5 should be cleared but I can see this being another 1-0 too.

15:00 Middlesbrough (6) Draw (3.5) Liverpool (1.8)
Liverpool let me down last week. I am willing to back them again though. Boro are in shocking form and should not trouble a Liverpool side without Torres and Gerrard. Odds are rising so best to wait before KO before betting. Price is currently 1.8 at Bet365

1 March 2009

12:30 Hull (2.88) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (2.60)
A real relegation battle this one. I guess if Hull manage to win this, they will be safe. I don't think they will though. Blackburn weren't far off getting a result from Man U. Blackburn are 2.6 at Jenningbet

12:30 West Ham (2.62) Draw (3.3) Manchester City (2.9)
City did look a lot better against Liverpool. It looks like an end of season contest to me. 9th vs 10th. Neither side realistically are going to get relegated, neither side can realistically get in to Europe. The biggest price is for the draw and that will be my pick. Price is 3.3 at William Hill

13:00 Bolton (2.1) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (4)
Newcastle did really well to hang on with 10 men. I have been slating Newcastle but Everton are an in form team. Bolton yo-yo with their results. I don't think they can manage 2 wins in a row. Big price on the away win, 4.0 at Boylesport

15:00 Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.6) Stoke (10)
This is a going to be brave bet here. I can see an upset. Villa have hit a run of bad form and 1.44 is not the price you want to be backing them at. I would actually be happier if this was away for the Villa. Stoke have Beattie now, so do have a goal threat. Draw not bet for Stoke is 7.5 or Stoke win is 10.0 at Bet365. Stoke were 5 minutes away from beat Chelsea.

Premiership Tips - 21 February 2009

Fri, 20 Feb 2009 01:04:48 +0000

21 February 2009

12:45 Aston Villa (3.4) Draw (3.4) Chelsea (2.38)
Big price on the home win here. Could be a top 4 decider. Villa have been playing well in the league. When these met earlier in the season Villa were totally outclassed. How times have changed. I really think that Chelsea will struggle with 4th. They have a new manager but when I look at their team sheet it does not strike me as anything remarkable. I am willing to back Villa to win this at 3.4 at 888sport

15:00 Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.3) Sunderland (9)
My initial thought was to back Arsenal. With Eduardo back they should be shorter than this. However, just checking the news and he's out. They should have enough in the tank to beat Sunderland but I am loathe back Arsenal odds on. No Bet.

15:00 Bolton (2.4) Draw (3.4) West Ham (3.1)
A tricky fixture here. Odds suggest this could go any way. I have no strong opinion here. I would back the draw at 3.4 at Boylesport

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.4) Draw (3.3) Wigan (3)
I used to describe Boro as unpredictable. Nowadays, they look like they are just going to lose or at least not win. I was very surprised by the draw against West Ham but that was in the cup. My bet will be a draw. Price is 3.3 at 888sport

15:00 Stoke (2.6) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (3)
I have to go with the home win here. Portsmouth have been poor and I am not going to be fooled by the 2-0 home win against Man City. Stoke managed a 1-0 win against Man City with 10 men. Price is 2.6 at 888sport

17:30 Manchester United (1.25) Draw (5.5) Blackburn (17)
I was going to have my usual wager on Man U to win to nil. Guess the bookies have cottoned on to this now as the price is only 1.67. Dutching, 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 at Bet365 pays 2.3. Rough stakes on a £100 is, £38 1-0, £33, 2-0 and £29, 3-0. As its bet365 you get your money back for the 0-0 too. Bet365

22 February 2009

13:30 Fulham (1.83) Draw (3.6) West Brom (5.5)
Fulham have a good home record. 7-3-1. As usual West Brom pick their games where they think they can get something. I am not comfortable backing Fulham at 1.83. Looking at the prices the draw at 3.6 at Boylesport

15:00 Liverpool (1.62) Draw (3.75) Manchester City (7)
This is a crazy price for the home win. Either Victor Chandler know something or they are going to get hammered here. The only thing I can think of is that Chandler believe Liverpool with have 1 eye on the Champions League. Still, Man City are shocking away from home and have had to play a game tonight. I can't see the 1.62 at VC Bet lasting.

16:00 Newcastle (3) Draw (3.4) Everton (2.6)
An easy away win there I think. I still don't rate Newcastle. Everton are on good form and actually have a better away record. The draw no bet is 1.8 at 888sport. The should win but this gives the safety of the money back for the draw.

23 February 2009

20:00 Hull (3.2) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.4)

Tricky fixture this. Hull are on the slide. Looks like they got to 25 points or so and thought they were safe. Spurs aren't doing that well though. I can see why they are favourites but I don't think the price is right. I would be more inclined to back the draw at 3.4 at Boylesport

FA Cup betting tips.

Thu, 12 Feb 2009 22:28:28 +0000

14 February 2009

12:45 Swansea (2.63) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.88)
Too close to call this one. No bet.

15:00 Blackburn (1.67) Draw (3.8) Coventry (6)
Blackburn have relegation worries, will they try? No Bet

15:00 Sheffield Utd (2.63) Draw (3.4) Hull (2.88)
Sheffield United want to get in to the play offs, Hull are struggling. Will any team want to win this? No Bet.

15:00 West Ham (1.83) Draw (3.5) Middlesbrough (5)
West Ham are safe now. Zola looks like he has got it together. Europe is a possibility but the FA Cup is definitely winnable this year for West Ham. I tipped Boro last time out in the cup due to the fact Southgate needed a win to secure his job and Wolves were concentrating on promotion. This time round though I will go with West Ham. Price is 1.83 at Boylesport

17:30 Watford (11) Draw (5) Chelsea (1.4)
Should be an away banker this. New manager and all for Chelsea. I can't bring myself to recommend this bet though as there is something wrong with Chelsea and Hiddink may not have had enough time to change things. No Bet.

15 February 2009

14:30 Everton (2.4) Draw (3.3) Aston Villa (3)
This would be a hard game in the league to call. On current form I would actually go for Villa but as this is the cup, I will skip this one.

16:30 Derby (11) Draw (4.5) Manchester United (1.4)
Will history repeat? Derby beat Man U in the league cup. That was over 2 legs though. This is a straight knockout. Man U will win this. Price is the same as for Chelsea but I have much more confidence in this one. Best price, 1.4, is at William Hill

16 February 2009

19:45 Arsenal (1.44) Draw (4.3) Cardiff (10)
I don't like backing Arsenal at odds on in the league. They should win but who knows what's going on in Wenger's mind. No Bet.

Premiership Tips

Fri, 06 Feb 2009 02:14:08 +0000

7 February 2009

12:45 Manchester City (1.62) Draw (3.8) Middlesbrough (6)
I am going to have to go for a home win here. Price is poor but Middlesbrough have been on the slide recently and are only off the bottom of the table on goal difference. Nothing fancy just a straight home win. 1,62 at most bookmakers.

15:00 Blackburn (3) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.62)
Villa are still the form team regardless of last weekend's 0-0, they should have hammered Wigan. Villa away from home is always a good bet. Blackburn had to play extra time midweek, whereas Villa rested players. 2.62 at 888sport is a gift. Imagine if this was Arsenal coming? Evens? For a safer bet 1.8 at VCBet for the draw no bet.

15:00 Chelsea (1.22) Draw (6) Hull (19)
Chelsea should be able to win this comfortably. Its amazing that Hull are still 11th despite their shocking run. 1.22 doesn't appeal for the straight home win. Draw/ Chelsea at William Hill at 5.0 is a better bet. Chelsea can make hard work of teams they should demolish.

15:00 Everton (1.73) Draw (3.6) Bolton (5.5)
After 120 minutes of football against Liverpool I think Everton will struggle here. 1.73 would be a bad price under normal circumstances. I think the value here is on Bolton. 1.9 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 at 1.90 at VCBet is the bet to have. Can't see Everton winning by 2 clear goals so the worst case I think is a half loss.

15:00 Sunderland (1.83) Draw (3.5) Stoke (5)
I will back Sunderland to get a home win here. Stoke are very poor away from home. No doubt that beating Man City last week with 10 men will have boosted their confidence but I think that Sunderland will win this. Price is 1.85 on the Asian handicap -0.5 at bet365

15:00 West Brom (2.3) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.4)
Still backing against the worst team in the league. West Brom have never beaten Newcastle in the Premier League. I think this will be the first time. Ladbrokes have gone top price at 2.3.

15:00 Wigan (2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (4.2)
Wigan are running on luck at the moment. I can see Fulham getting something here. Maybe not the win but I think they are worth a draw. Price is 3.4 at bet365

17:30 Portsmouth (5.5) Draw (3.6) Liverpool (1.8)
Nice price on the away win here. Must be the news that Gerrard is out and the 120 minutes midweek. I still think they have enough to be able to win without their captain. Price is 1.8 and rising so best to wait until before kick off for the best price. Currenly 1.8 at bet365

8 February 2009

13:30 Tottenham (3) Draw (3.3) Arsenal (2.5)
I wouldn't like to call the result here. 1X is my initial thought but Spurs have their prodigal son back from Liverpool. I think 3.4 for Keane to score anytime at bet365 is the bet to have.

16:00 West Ham (6.5) Draw (3.75) Manchester United (1.62)
West Ham are in good form and have a good record in the last 2 seasons against Man U. Still backing Man U to win to nil. Seems to be a bet that pays off more often than not. Price is 2.75 at Ladbrokes

Premiership Tips

Fri, 30 Jan 2009 13:04:28 +0000

31 January 2009

12:45 Stoke (3.3) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.3)
Stoke have lost 7 all season. 4 unbeaten for Man City. 1X for me this one. Stoke +0.25 on the Asian Handicap is 1.96 at Ladbrokes

15:00 Arsenal (1.5) Draw (4.3) West Ham (8.0)
Arsenal were lucky to get a draw at Everton. Van Perise scored with practically the last kick of the game. West Ham are in good form and have beat Arsenal 2 of the last 3 visits at home. Price for West Ham win is 8.0 at William Hill.

15:00 Aston Villa (1.67) Draw (3.75) Wigan (6)
4 straight wins for Villa in the league. 4th place is theirs to lose. 3rd is a strong possibility too. Away from home you get good odds. Not too happy about backing Villa at home. Guess how you look at this. If Villa are a top 4 side then 1.67 is an excellent price. Guess I will have to go with the form. Home win at 1.67 at VCBet

15:00 Bolton (2.8) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (2.8)
Spurs have the better side on paper but have been playing poorly. I discount the Stoke victory as everyone beats Stoke when at home. Bookies can't separate these. Ladbrokes have Spurs as favourites, going 2.8 for Bolton. Boylesport have Spurs at 2.8. I can't separate these either. Biggest price is on the draw at
Boylesport which is my choice.

15:00 Fulham (2.05) Draw (3.4) Portsmouth (4.1)
Fulham still have a good home record. Portsmouth are still not getting results. Home win for me. Price is 2.05 at 888sport Sign up for a free bet.

15:00 Hull (2.25) Draw (3.4) West Brom (3.75)
Hull are on the slide. They aren't playing too badly - just losing many games. Big price on the away win. They let in 5 against Man U but West Brom pick the games when they go all out. Ladbrokes are sticking their neck out and have gone top price at 3.75

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.5) Draw (3.4) Blackburn (3.1)
No win in 11 for Boro. Great come back from Blackburn the other day. 2-0 down, came back to 2-2 and could have won it. Blackburn is 3.1 at Boylesport

17:30 Manchester United (1.4) Draw (4.5) Everton (10)
A bit of a no brainer this. 11 clean sheets in a row Man U. While they are not letting anything in the bet to have is Man U to win to nil. Price is 2.1 at Ladbrokes

1 February 2009

13:30 Newcastle (2.6) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (3.0)
Worst team in the league at the moment is Newcastle. I'd gladly back against them every week. Sunderland is 3.0 at William Hill

16:00 Liverpool (2.5) Draw (3.25) Chelsea (3.1)
With the amount of games Liverpool are drawing, this has got draw written all over it. Price is 3.25 at Boylesport

FA Cup betting tips.

Thu, 22 Jan 2009 23:36:11 +0000

24 January 2009

12:40 Hartlepool (4.5) Draw (3.5) West Ham (1.85)
Hartlepool knocked out Stoke last round. I don't think they'll be able manage it again. West Ham turned the corner. Away win at 1.85 at VCBet

15:00 Chelsea (1.2) Draw (7) Ipswich (17)
Should be a home win. Odds are pretty good considering 1.2 is what you get in the premiership against some teams. Going to skip this one though. I have seen much better five to one on bets.

15:00 Doncaster (6.5) Draw (3.8) Aston Villa (1.67)
I think this will be an away win. Villa play better away from home. O'Neil could be targeting the cup this year. Going well in the league. Price is 1.67 at Betfred I am more confident about this than the Chelsea home win.

15:00 Hull (1.62) Draw (3.8) Millwall (6.5)
The odds are a little short here for the home win. Hull are getting dragged in to the relegation battle now. I don't think Hull will put out a full strength team. Last round they knocked out Newcastle with a weakened side. No bet.

15:00 Kettering (10) Draw (4.5) Fulham (1.4)
92 places between these teams. That explains the price. Fulham haven't got a good away record but last time out they did beat Sheffield Wednesday. Price is Fulham at bluesquare

15:00 Portsmouth (1.85) Draw (3.5) Swansea (4.5)
Swansea are the draw specialist of the Championship. Portsmouth even though are the holders may think that premiership survival is more important than the FA Cup. I think this one could end up a draw. Price is 3.5 at Paddypower

15:00 Sunderland (2.38) Draw (3.3) Blackburn (3.3)
Tricky one this. Depends on the team sheets. Both teams could realistically get relegated and this could prove a distraction. I'll leave judgement on this one until I see the team sheet.

15:00 West Brom (1.8) Draw (3.6) Burnley (4.8)
Another tricky one. Burnley were unlucky against Spurs but surely tired after their heroics. West Brom might not turn up. If they do, 1.8 is a steal. Can get 1.8 at Bet365

15:00 Wolverhampton (2.5) Draw (3.4) Middlesbrough (3)
Nice price on the away win here. Wolves can win the Championship this year and do they really want a cup run? Southgate under a lot of pressure and a game like this could ease some of the pressure if Boro win. Price for the Asian Handicap is 2.2 for Boro at +0 (ie, draw no bet) at Paddypower

17:15 Manchester United (1.36) Draw (5.5) Tottenham (10)
Lambs to the slaughter here. I usually say Man U are 1-0 wonders but I think this time they might run riot. Something seriously wrong with Spurs. While United are not conceding the logical bet is Man U to win to nil. Price is 2.25 at Ladbrokes

25 January 2009

13:30 Cardiff (6.5) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.67)
I need to check the team sheet but if Wenger puts the strongest team out this should be an away win. The FA Cup is the only thing Arsenal can win this season so Wenger should go for this. Price is a bit low but it is still my choice. 1.67 at VCBet

16:00 Liverpool (1.7) Draw (3.5) Everton (6.5)
Liverpool have two big games next week in the league. The big game for them was last Monday when they drew 1-1. I can see the same result again. Liverpool won't be as interested in this game but Everton don't have the strike force to win at Anfield though. Price for the draw is 3.5 at Paddypower

Premiership Tips

Fri, 16 Jan 2009 00:14:36 +0000

17 January 2009

15:00 Blackburn (2.15) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (3.8)
Home win here. I can't believe that they are odds against. Newcastle are in disarray and this is the perfect time for Big Sam to pick up a vital win. Price is currently 2.15 at 888sport and bluesquare. Price is dropping though and I expect them to be odds on come Saturday's kick off.

15:00 Bolton (10) Draw (4) Manchester United (1.5)
Man U go top with a win. 9 games without conceding. I still think they are 1-0 wonders though. Last week's 3-0 win against Chelsea was a shock. 1-0 against Wigan midweek. Price favours the home win. Got to go with the form though. Away win. Can't see Bolton scoring so Man U to win to nil is the best bet. Price is 2.25 at Paddypower

15:00 Chelsea (1.25) Draw (6.5) Stoke (17)
Can Chelsea be trusted. Too many 1-1 draws when they should be battering teams. This is Stoke City though. Too risky for that price. Stoke managed 0-0 draws with Liverpool and could possibly manage another one. Likely home win but not one to bet on.

15:00 Manchester City (2.05) Draw (3.6) Wigan (4.0)
7th Place Wigan take on Man City. All this talk of Kaka coming to Eastlands has got to be distracting. 4 straight wins for Wigan before the defeat against Man U. Great price of 4.0 at William Hill for Wigan.

15:00 Sunderland (3.3) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.3)
Villa have a better away record than at home. They have been riding their luck a little though. Sunderland are a decent side. Villa's run must come to an end sometime but while they are winning I will continue to back them. Price is 2.3 at 888sport

15:00 West Brom (2.4) Draw (3.4) Middlesbrough (3.1)
West Brom seem to target games where they think they can win and don't bother trying in others. This has got to be one that is down as winnable. If they don't win this one then they will be going down. Boro are inconsistent. Home win at 2.4 at bluesquare.

17:30 Hull (6) Draw (4) Arsenal (1.73)
Hull are on the slide now. I think they will end up in the relegation battle. Revenge for Arsenal? I think so but price of 1.73 is very low. A better bet would be Van Persie to score anytime. He's in form at the moment and the price of 2.38 at Boylesport for him to score anytime is a better bet.

18 January 2009

13:30 West Ham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Fulham (3.6)
I can see this being low scoring. Fulham are content with 0-0 draws away from home. Price of 1.75 is OK but I like the draw at Boylesport at 3.4.

16:00 Tottenham (1.73) Draw (3.75) Portsmouth (5.5)
Harry against him former team. Form has dropped recently for them. I don't like the price on Spurs 1.73 is far too low. Portsmouth will be up for this one. I prefer the price for Portsmouth. Even money for Portsmouth on the Asian Handicap +0.75 at bet365

19 January 2009

20:00 Liverpool (1.67) Draw (3.75) Everton (6.5)
Will Liverpool lose their bottle. With Alonso and Torres back they will be better than last week against Stoke. Everton are still grinding out results without strikers. I can't see many goals in this game. 0-0 or 1-0 either way I think. Price for under 1.5 goals is 3.4 at Sportingbet.

Premiership Picks

Fri, 09 Jan 2009 02:56:54 +0000

10 January 2009

12:45 Aston Villa (1.44) Draw (4.3) West Brom (10)
Home win here. Villa are the in form team and I wouldn't rule them out of passing Chelsea this year. West Brom are hopeless. Only hope is that it's a derby game. Villa -1.25 at Ladbrokes is 1.92 on the Asian Handicap.

15:00 Arsenal (1.4) Draw (4.5) Bolton (11)
Can't go with the odds here. I am more inclined to bet on the away win. I'll not do that though. I will back Bolton on the Asian +1 goal though. Price is 2.47 at Canbet

15:00 Everton (1.67) Draw (3.9) Hull (6)
Hull's form has dropped off a cliff. Somehow, Everton have been getting results with no strikers. I expect them to continue here. Home win 1.67 at Paddypower

15:00 Fulham (2.1) Draw (3.5) Blackburn (3.9)
I think the price is on the home win is good here. They should really be odds on. Big Sam may have come in but Blackburn are not a good side. Price is 2.1 at bet365

15:00 Middlesbrough (2.25) Draw (3.3) Sunderland (3.5)
All the talk of Downing leaving is disrupting the Boro team. Apart from the hammering at Everton, Sunderland have been on a nice run. I will back them to win at 3.5 at Paddypower

15:00 Newcastle (2.2) Draw (3.4) West Ham (3.5)
I have to re-evaluate my opinion of West Ham. 3 wins on the bounce. Newcastle were battered last premiership game. Morale is low. Going with the away win here. Price is 3.5 at Paddypower

15:00 Portsmouth (2.8) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.7)
I can't have City favourites having lost 3-0 at home in the cup to forest. Pompey have lost Defoe. Reverse fixture was 6-0. Two bad teams. Best to skip I think.

17:30 Stoke (10) Draw (4.5) Liverpool (1.44)
The reverse fixture was 0-0 and cost me. I don't think Liverpool will make any mistake here. Away win. Keep it simple, 1.44 at Boylesport

11 January 2009

13:30 Wigan (2.5) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (3)
Cup fixture midweek for Spurs. Last week Wigan cost me by not putting out the strongest team. I will be back them again though. Wigan are on a good run in the league and are up in 7th. Price is 2.5 at bet365

16:00 Manchester United (2.3) Draw (3.2) Chelsea (3.75)
I think Man U are there for the taking. I am not bitter at all about Man U losing to Derby but if you look at their last 4 results, 3, 1-0 and a 0-0. Not sparkling opponents either. Pity Chelsea are in bad form. Going for Chelsea on the Asian Handicap, price is 2.02 at bet365. That way, you still win if its a draw.

FA Cup betting.

Fri, 02 Jan 2009 00:37:07 +0000

2 January 2009

20:00 Tottenham (1.83) Draw (3.5) Wigan (4.5)
The honeymoon period for Spurs is over. Can't see Spurs are odds on for this. Spurs are still in a relegation battle. Wigan are a decent side (no Heskey though) and have won their last 3 games. I think Bruce will be well up for this. Looking at the price, I have to back Wigan. Price is 4.5 at Paddypower.

3 January 2009

13:00 Hartlepool (4.3) Draw (3.5) Stoke (2)
Only 1 away win this season for Stoke. That was in the Carling Cup against Cheltenham. Going to back them for a win though. They are the type of premiership team that won't be phased by the lower division Hartlepool side. Best price is even money at bet365 who own Stoke. I guess they'll be gutted if this comes in from a betting perspective but their team will be through to the next round.

15:00 Arsenal (1.22) Draw (7) Plymouth (17)
Arsenal should walk this but can't back them 1.22. Too many let downs this season. No Bet.

15:00 Chelsea (1.11) Draw (9) Southend (29)
I cannot set an upset here. Odds are very low though. Maybe one for the combos. Can't bet at 1.11. Win to nil odds is 1.53 at Paddypower.

15:00 Hull (2.4) Draw (3.4) Newcastle (2.9)
Heart ache for Hull the other day against Villa. So unlucky to concede in the 88th minute. Newcastle got battered by Liverpool last time out. No strong opinion on this one but looking at the prices, the draw is the best price and just as likely a home or away win. Price is 3.4 at bet365

15:00 Macclesfield (11) Draw (5.5) Everton (1.36)
Away banker. Macclesfield are a mid table league 2 side. Price is low but I think I have found value bet of the weekend. Everton have kept 5 clean sheets out of 6 in their last premiership games. So when I checked the prices for win to nil, I am was surprised that bluesquare are offering 2.2 for Everton to win to nil. I was expecting something more like the 1.73 offered by Skybet.

15:00 Manchester City (1.36) Draw (5) Nottingham F (10)
Home win. Only danger is that Forest have a new manager. Can't see them troubling Man City though. Price is 1.36 at Paddypower. If he plays Robinho will surely get a goal. Price is evens at for him to score anytime.

15:00 Middlesbrough (1.2) Draw (8.5) Barrow (17)
Unpredictable Boro. Cannot back them at 1.2. I prefer backing them at big odds. No bet.

15:00 Portsmouth (1.73) Draw (3.75) Bristol C (6.5)
Potential upset here. With the transfer window open I can see a few Pompey players not wanting to be cup tied and getting injured before kick off. City have been on a little run beating Watford and Palace. Big price (6.5) for Bristol City at Paddypower.

15:00 Sheffield W (3.5) Draw (3.4) Fulham (2.25)
4, 0-0 draw on the road for Fulham. Wednesday don't concede very much at home. A highly speculative bet but I think no goal scorer at 10.0 at Sportingbet is worth a go.

15:00 Sunderland (2.3) Draw (3.4) Bolton (3.25)
Tricky one this. In the league, this fixture ended 1-4. Sunderland have improved and Bolton have come off the boil a bit. No bet.

15:00 West Brom (1.62) Draw (3.8) Peterborough (7)
Another upset maybe. West Brom are in a relegation battle. Maybe they don't want a cup run. are offering 7.0 on the away win.

15:00 West Ham (1.53) Draw (4) Barnsley (8)
Barnsley were last years hero (or villains depending on how you look at things). Maybe another upset here.
William Hill are offering 8.0 for Barnsley. West Ham look like selling players soon and don't want cup tied players. Their form has picked up in the Premiership but 8.0 for Barnsley is just too big a price in my opinion so I have to take it.

17:25 Preston (8) Draw (4.5) Liverpool (1.53)
Liverpool should win this on paper. Can't trust Benitez though. They have a good chance of winning the league this year and going out of the cup may be a blessing. Preston are no mugs and could well make it in to the Premiership next season.
Price is 8.0 at Ladbrokes for Preston.

4 January 2009

13:30 Gillingham (9.0) Draw (4.5) Aston Villa (1.4)
Villa have bad form in the FA Cup due to the fact that they always seem to get Man U. Villa were lucky to beat Hull the other day. I think their priority is the league. A big price on the home win here. Really need to see the team sheet but at the moment 9.0 at Ladbrokes for the home win is tempting.

16:00 Southampton (13) Draw (5.5) Manchester United (1.3)
Southampton look like they are going down this year. Man U should win comfortably. Saying that, they should have beat Stoke and Boro comfortably. The win to nil odds is 1.91 at Paddypower.

5 January 2009

20:00 Blyth Spartans (15) Draw (8) Blackburn (1.23)
Away win but have no interest at these prices. One for the combos.

Weekend Premiership Tips

Thu, 18 Dec 2008 21:44:29 +0000

20 December 2008

15:00 Blackburn (1.91) Draw (3.6) Stoke (4.5)
With Big Sam coming in, I am going for the home win. Before then, I would have took a chance on the away win. Stoke no away wins could have got something here against Ince's Blackburn but with the new manager I think Blackburn can get a home win. Price is 1.91 at Paddypower Get a Free £25 bet.

15:00 Bolton (2.3) Draw (3.3) Portsmouth (3.5)
Bolton are a tricky team to call. There were on a good run until they hit Chelsea and Villa. Good win for Portsmouth midweek. 1X I think but I will go for the draw as the odds are better. Price is 3.3 at Boylesport

15:00 Fulham (2.2) Draw (3.4) Middlesbrough (3.75)
Middlesbrough are probably the trickiest team to call. Fulham have had 4 straight draws. I can't recommend a 1X2 bet here. Maybe unders at Bet365 but the price is only 1.7. Best of skipping this game.

15:00 Hull (2.1) Draw (3.4) Sunderland (4)
Hull did well at Anfield last week. The went out and attacked like I thought they would. They seem to play better away from home. Sunderland seem to be better with Keanne gone. 4-0 against West Brom last week was a brilliant result. Looking at the odds, I am going for the away win. You can get 4.0 at bluesquare

17:30 West Ham (3.2) Draw (3.4) Aston Villa (2.38)
Villa rested several regulars midweek and were duly thrashed in Europe. I can see them taking this more seriously as 4th place is achievable. West Ham cost me a lot last week with the 0-0 at Chelsea. If there are goals in this game, then its an away win but if West Ham shut up shop, then a home win or a draw is possible. I am going for the away win though. Villa are the in form team at the moment. Price is 2.38 at most bookies

21 December 2008

13:30 West Brom (3.3) Draw (3.4) Manchester City (2.38)
This is a clash of two terrible teams 20th vs 17th. Man City keep disappointing. West Brom look terrible week in week out. As I can't see either side winning, the draw is the bet to have I think. Price is 3.4 at bluesquare

15:00 Newcastle (2.63) Draw (3.4) Tottenham (3)
Last weekend would have boosted Newcastle's confidence. Owen is scoring again, Martins is out though so a big blow. Spurs reserves drew 2-2 tonight. Tricky fixture to predict but I think Spurs have the slight edge. Price is a big 3.0 at
888sport.

16:00 Arsenal (2.4) Draw (3.25) Liverpool (3.2)
This has got 1-1 draw written all over it. Liverpool have the better squad this year but Arsenal have the home advantage. Draw is 3.25 at most bookmakers. Price is 6.5 at Bet365 with money back for the 0-0.

22 December 2008

20:00 Everton (5.5) Draw (3.75) Chelsea (1.75)
Even though Chelsea cost me a lot last week, I will back them again this week. Everton still have no strikers. Chelsea have won 8 out of 8 away games this season. Price is 1.75 at bluesquare

Newcastle to Win	6/1	VC Bet
Draw	3/1	Centrebet
Man Utd to Win	1/2	Better