“We expect Democrats to handily win control of the House, with the most likely outcome being that they flip between 15-25 seats. The lower end of that range would result in a thirteen seat Democratic majority, but the higher end would see Democrats with their largest majority since 2009.”

“And Democrats could win back control of the Senate if they flip at least two seats that President Donald Trump carried by double digits. The fact that our Toss Up column features five Republican-held Senate seats that Trump carried by more than 10 points is extraordinary. No election in at least the last 16 years has seen the party in the White House lose more than one Senate seat that the president had carried by such a large margin.”

“This refusal to acknowledge the fact that Mr. Trump lost, a go-to tactic for nominees seeking to avoid contradicting the president, has become so commonplace it no longer warrants much attention. Yet it reflects the enduring legacy of a polarizing election whose reverberations are still being felt, perhaps most consequentially in the department’s presumption that voter fraud is so rampant that it requires a forceful federal response.”

“Many voters this year have been re-evaluating their allegiance to either political party, creating more fluidity in the electorate. Voters have elevated a new generation of political leaders who have the potential to reshape the parties. And voter dissatisfaction has produced surprising areas of agreement across party lines on how government can help people handle the cost of living.”

“All three open the possibility that the parties have incentives to find new ways to become more responsive to voters. Tuesday’s elections will offer clues to just how much change can come from a new Congress and what likely will be the most wide-open presidential primary elections in years.”

“But our decision to move this race was in the making before the endorsement fracas, and it did not change our view. We are basing our final ratings change on new public and private polling, including a New York Times/Siena poll over the weekend that put the race at an 11-point spread for El-Sayed. Operatives on both sides don’t expect the race to be a double-digit blowout, but the Times survey notably also showed that El-Sayed has shored.”

New York Times: Trump delivers a closing midterm message. Mostly about landscaping.

Financial Times: Trump talks algae and grass in final midterm push.

“Without any noted dissents, the justices on Monday refused to intervene in a clash over the administration’s claim to have identified 20,000 ‘likely’ noncitizens on California’s voter rolls.”

“The rejection, along with a string of losses the Justice Department has been handed in courts across the country in recent weeks, demonstrates the department’s harried push to prove President Trump’s unsubstantiated claims of rampant voter fraud.”

Said Hamilton: “I’ll just say, it doesn’t bother me. I feel like that says more about him than it says about me.”

“Under the proposal, known as the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact, member states agree to assign their electoral votes to the presidential candidate who wins the most votes nationwide.”

“With Clinton’s election eve endorsement, Bottoms has achieved a trifecta of sorts: All three living former Democratic presidents have now cut ads for her.”