Pre-Match Trading Betting Without Risk at the exchanges as betfair and hedge the green

BARCELONA VS MANCHESTER UNITED - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FINAL

2011-05-28T14:20:00.012+01:00

BARCELONA VS MANCHESTER UNITED - CHAMPIONS LEAGUE FINAL

During the last couple of hours a serious odds movement has taken place in BARCELONA VS MANCHESTER UNITED match. Barcelona's odds went from 2,10 to 2,00 (back) and Manchester's odds from 4,1 to 4,5 (back). The draw just stayed at the same odds at 3,55.

I will keep an eye on the market till the kick off because I believe that even if some huge amounts of money are placed in the market some volatility of the odds probably could happen.

Since I did not get in the market during the big drift of odds, I will keep on watching the odds, seeking for some new signs of movement in order to enter into Barcelona's market (backing or laying).

Amazon.com Widgets

UPDATE 1: Lol only 20 minutes after my post, Barcelona's odds are going up... 2,04 already (back odds).
UPDATE 2: The trend is going down now..
Final UPDATE: NOTHING, the odds did not get anywhere...I have missed the chance to enter in the market early in the evening and from then the odds did not drift dramatically. There was not a clear trend, so my second update was wrong. 15 minutes before the kick off, I will stay disciplined and I am not going to enter into a market.
So now after all, I will close my PC and enjoy the match without risking my money :)

Let the best team win!!

Blackburn vs Manchester City

2011-04-25T15:40:00.011+01:00

BLACKBURN ROVERS VS MANCHESTER CITY

Nice movements are seen already on today's match between Blackburn Rovers and Manchester City.
Manchester's odds are already going up from 2,00 to 2,10. The market has great liquidity and we will be able to make some moves without getting trapped into the back or lay market.

Given Blackburn's poor form, I am waiting that several hours before the kick off Manchester's odds will go down. So I 'll wait for now. I will enter into the back Manchester market as soon as there are the appropriate signals from my statistics.

Update 1: I 've got in already at 2.08 (Back)
Update 2: Already out at 2:00. Probably it will go further down but I don' want to be greedy. Not bad

Adefemi Olubayo Died in a Car Accident in Greece

2011-04-19T06:54:00.005+01:00

Adefemi Olubayo Died in a Car Accident in Greece

Adefemi Olubayo, Nigeria's national team center back, had a car accident in Greece. This incident happened on Monday, 17 April 2011 and caused his death.

Olubayo was at northern Greece, traveling from Xanthi to Salonika. As he was driving on the Egnatia freeway he lost control of his vehicle causing the lethal accident. Adefemi's automobile slipped off the route crashing into a barrier. His death was instant.

Greek Police stated that the accident was caused due to the unusual weather conditions that took place in Greece the former three days. Highways in Greece were slippery. Especially at the north was snowing heavily.

Adefemi Olubayo was 25 years old and was playing for Skoda Xanthi for the last season. He was one of the best team players and a great person. In the last days he was preparing to visit Nigeria in order to organize his marriage ceremony

Adefemi's team-mates were in great shock when they read the news of his friend's lost. They just couldn’t believe it.

He was a great man, he enjoyed to laugh and make jokes. Everybody loved that guy.

His team will arrange a friendly game in the memory of Adefemi. The money from this friendly match will be given to his family.

Adefemi Olubayo Carrier

Adefemi Olubayo was playing in Skoda for the last Greek football season and made 24 appearances in the league, scoring 2 beautiful goals for his team which helped his team to stay in the first league. Xanthi's player was also an international footballer as he played 5 times for Nigeria national team.

Adefemi Olubayo played for Nigeria at the 2008 Olympic Games. He was the teams defender during the games and has scored a tremendous goal in a semi final match versus Belgium. He was a player of the Under 20 team that came second at those series at the World Youth Championship in the Netherlands. Adefemi played five matches at those series and marked one goal at the semi final versus Morocco.
Adefemi Olubayo first appearance in Nigeria’s National Men’s team was made versus Ireland on 05/29/09.

Mike Bibby Buyout one Week After his Trade from Atlanta

2011-02-28T20:45:00.000Z

Mike Bibby Buyout one Week After his Trade from Atlanta

Mike Bibby and his new (already got old) team, Washington Wizards, came out with a new surprising new deal: a buyout!

In a surprising decision the Wizards one week after getting him from Atlanta, took the big decision to leave him giving up his entire salary for next season. If someone take in consideration that Bibby for the next year should get $6.2 million then the deal does not sound too bizarre. Washington got a great relieve on salary cap because they have saved a great deal of money.

Mike Bibby now has the chance to make his dream come true as he has the opportunity to sign with a title-contending team. Teams as Miami and Boston sound as a big challenge for him. It is obvious that these teams will fight for his signature.

If one of these teams signs up with Mike Bibby then the championship’s doors are opening widely for them.
Let’s see what happens

ASHLEY COLE SHOOTS STUDENT WITH A RIFLE

2011-02-27T09:52:00.007Z

ASHLEY COLE SHOOTS STUDENT WITH A RIFLE

Ashley Cole shoots student with a rifle? Oh man I can't believe it!
This one will have a tremendous influence in Chelsea’s odds at the match against Manchester United at Tuesday.

I just can't understand how he got a rifle at his club's Cobham training ground.

Ashley Cole just for fun had taken with him to training previous Sunday a .22 air rifle which probably is one of the most dangerous rifles obtainable without the need of a licence inside the United Kingdom.

Ashley Cole was playing with the gun within team's change room when he accidentally shot a student who was in the building.

Ashley Cole obviously was not aware that the rifle was loaded so he shooted without knowing that there was a student in front of him.

Hopefully the student now is ok as the team’s doctor took care of him immediately. The student was provided a couple of days off.

Now that the incident is widely known by the press, maybe it could influence Chelsea at the big derby against Manchester United at Tuesday

Manchester City vs Foulham

2011-02-27T08:43:00.008Z

Manchester City vs Foulham

Great movement at Manchester City's odds. The odds are going up, no time to lose so I am going to catch the trend from 1,54(lay).

Liquidity is really excellent so it wont be difficult to get matched.

My eyes will be on final news concerning the formation of both team. Manchester has a superb attack so any news related to Manchester's front line will be able to influence odds movement.

Update: Yeah!!

This is what I call betting (or better trading) without risk!! Profit without sweating!
I am closing my position here.

INTER MILAN vs BAYERN MUNICH

2011-02-23T06:47:00.005Z

INTER MILAN vs BAYERN MUNICH

Great movement of Inter's odds.
Diego Milito and Walter Samuel are off from today's match, so the latest news from Inter's team are pushing the odds up. The rally is beginning from 2,26 (lay) and I wait a big upwards movement.
It is a great opportunity for pre-match trading here...

Liquidity is great and bets are getting matched easily.

As we will get closer to the kick off watch out for other punters closing their position as this could make the odds go to the opposite side. Therefore set your goal going for fixed ticks and do not leave your position open.

UPDATE 1: Now its up on 2,50. This was an exellent drift.

Update 2: 2 hours before kick off, look where the odds have gone!!!

Pre Match Trading | Kerkyra - Panathinaikos

2010-11-28T09:17:00.004Z

Great opportunity after yesterdays Olympiakos defeat for Panathinaikos fans. Psychology of the fans is a great factor for pre match trading so we must take advantage of it! Panathinaikos odds against Kerkyra where last night at 1,74 (Back). After last night's Olympiakos defeat from AEK, the greatest rival for the Greek Superleague (Panathinaikos) has the biggest opportunity to win Kerkyra and to go straight into the first place of the greek classification.This is why the odds are droping! Panathinaikos already has a new coach at his bench and this has changed many things in this team.

So I will follow the trend backing Panathinaikos at 1,70.

Update 1 Odds keep falling...

Martingale's betting technique - Danger!

2010-10-03T19:42:00.006+01:00

Martingale's betting technique - May I ?

Every betting system will boost your earnings if used in combination with a staking plan. I'm certain right now there are punters around who will say that they came up with a reliable method that one could wager always the same amount with the same profit every time, however you'll find hardly anyone to generate income using this method. Without doubt punters will experience several losing bets or trades and any revenue could easily fly away. This scenario it could be more painful if a punter is following a 'laying' system where he is taking action as being the bookie and provide odds on a final result that is not possible to happen.
Certainly the most awful staking plan according to my opinion is the well known Martingale betting technique! According to the myth, Mr Martingale appeared to be a gambler who came out with an "always winning" staking plan to always make profit at roulette. The pattern was going like this: Mr Martingale was betting €5 on red to win. If the ball stopped on black loosing the bet, he doubled his bet to €10 and then €20 and so on. By this pattern the gambler has to carry on doubling his bet till he make a winner and this only for winning his initial bet of €5. For people who do not know anything about roulette it would sound a foolproof system!! And even a bank saving technique! Ok all this until you loose everything! After some winning runs of winning €5 the loosing strikes will come over and gamblers will ruin the entire bank. The martingale betting technique could make a gambler to bet unbelievable numbers as €640, €1280 to win just €5. Why? It is simple, because a roulette hasn't got a memory! Practically the same colour can come over and over again even 13,14,15,16 (and even more) times in a raw... Without an endless bank (hey is that possible?) Mr Martingale should, without a doubt, lose everything!
Defending your betting bank is the essential factor of success and every staking plan requires to take under consideration many strategical parameters. The consistency of winning results is a major issue here. The size of a punters bank in conjunction with a bad attitude to risk, could cause the end of a gambler’s carrier. When bets get up to a big percentage of the bank who is going to have the nerve to carry on?
Stay away from Mr Martingale's betting roulette tactic...

Is trading a sport event odds the same as gambling on a roulette...? Could a trader use the martingale staking plan to profit...? Could we implement an exit strategy from Martingale’s betting technique adopted in trading....? Stay tuned ;)

Deportivo vs Zaragoza

2010-05-01T16:30:00.007+01:00

Huge fall of Zaragoza's odds from 3:00 (back) to 2,70 (lay). There is plenty of space for the odds to go further down..

Update 1 It is a bit tricky 30 min before the kick off, watch out for traders closing their position, it could make the odds to go up (because they will lay Zaragoza).
Set a 3 tick stop loss

Update 2

Update 3 It went down to 2,58 (lay)

Atletico Madrid vs Tenerife

2010-04-25T15:06:00.010+01:00

Huge movement at Atletico' s match today for the primera division!!! Backing Atletico went from 1,80 to 2,00!!! I see further higher movement here. Good opportunity! Good liquidity!!

Update WOWWWWWWWWWW Now went at 2,14, not much time to wait here!!! I am out of thisssssss. I don't want to be greedy!!

This is a fantastic rally. This trend is straight forward no surprises for the pre match trader.

UDINESE VS BOLOGNA

2010-04-18T10:06:00.003+01:00

Huge movement concerning Udinese's odds!!! From 2,25 they have fallen to 2,02!!! Damn sleep!! I have missed this one.
I will try to find out if there is any other further space for the odds to go down.
Liquidity is good.
I will back Udinese setting my stop loss at 3 ticks.

Update1: It is going downnnnnnnn yeahhh, now at 1,99 (Lay).
Due to family obligations, I am closing the trade here with a 15 euros green in all incomes.
Have a nice trading day!

ONLINE BETTING ON SOCCER

2010-04-17T10:29:00.004+01:00

If you are a football trader or a punter who is getting involved with online betting on soccer, then you already have expirience of how discouraging can be to place in a big deal of money on a certain team and not winning anything. That is why it is very importand to learn and implement even just a couple of strategy tips about the way to get some profit in football trading or betting. It is not very smart to invest on an event without making any money, so you better find out some football betting or trading strategies before you risk all your income on a certain team.

If you wish to find out the way to make some profit in online betting on soccer, it is essential to discover how to handle your money in a proper way. At the time that you will be capable to develop a money management system, it would be less complicated for you to analyze and handle risks, making it easier for you to earn money. Many punters are not able to realize that to gain money in football trading means learning the way to figure how much profit they can gain by knowing the risks and rewards that comes with a certain match up.

Usually, punters lose their bankroll in football trading / betting because they are risking all their bank on a single game event. It is pure maddness to bet the whole bank on a single team or on a single game event.

Some other way to win in soccer betting is observing and being well-informed. Getting in touch with important team information will make you able you to formulate smart predictions on what an football event can end up with. So learn the variety of the different conditions that can affect on a football match so you can better evaluate whether or not a team has a big potential for winning a certain football event.

Online betting on soccer can assist you win money and it can be as well a great way to lose the whole or a small part of your bank. If you desire to learn the way to win in football trading, then begin to educate yourself today.

BLACKPOOL VS NOTTINGHAM FOREST

2010-04-17T07:42:00.005+01:00

Very interesting movement at Blackpool's odds as over night they have fallen from 2,20 (lay) to 2,14 (back). I will follow the trend entering in the market backing Blackpool at 2,14. The only problem here is the liquidity that is medium but it is obvious that the market is going to get money during Saturday.

Update 1 Yeahhhhhhhhh!!! I ve closed the trade at 2,04!!!! That was GOOOD!!

TOTTENHAM VS CHELSEA

2010-04-16T08:59:00.009+01:00

I see interesting movement at Saturdays game between Tottenham and Chelsea. I will follow Chelsea's odds as the odds were moving from 2.1 to 1.93. I see potential here and the odds are going to move up and down during the next hours till the match.

I will open my position laying Chelsea at 1,93.

Excellent liquidity

I will have an eye on both teams news

Update1: Already Chelsea can be backed at 1,96. I am not planning to close the trade yet.

Update2: Now it can be backed at 1,97.

I am out for a small profit of 20 euros. Not bad for doing and risking nothing.

Voila

I AM ABROAD

2010-02-24T20:51:00.000Z

Since I am abroad for working reasons, I will update next week as soon as I return back home.

Take care!

Pre Match Trading - Saturday's Selection

2010-02-20T08:45:00.002Z

Today I will focus in one match as I see some potential for pre match trading.

The game is Everton vs Man Utd. There is already some movement with Man Utds odds going up and down. I am going to do some scalping here given that there is not yet a clear trend in the market.

Everton lost Tim Cahill by an injury Marouane Fellaini is out for the rest of the seasion due to an ankle injury. Man Utd will be without suspended duo Rio Ferdinand and Nani.
Nemanja Vidic is back in the team and could play for the first time this year after been hit by a nerve problem in his leg.

Other matches that I will have an eye at:

1) Mainz vs Bochum

2) Ancona vs Padova

3) Ergotelis vs Olympiacos

Pre-Match Trading - The return!!!

2010-02-19T06:56:00.004Z

After a very hard week at work that forced me to stay away from writing to my blog, I return hungry for new trading adventures!!!

Lets see what we have for today...

1) Hoffenheim vs Mgladbach. The home team odds are going up!!!Yesterday they were at 1,84 and today morning they went up to 1,90. Medium liquidity. I would follow the trend even if I wont be able to match a big stake here (due to the medium liquidity)

2) Bielefeld vs Duisburg. The home teams odds are falling. They were up to 2,00 and today morning have fallen to 1,94.Poor Liquidity. Small stake also here.

3) Brescia vs Ascoli. By now the market hasn't got much money to get matched so I am going to wait a little more. I think that there will be some movement here. Brescia at the last 6 home games has only one (1) draw and five (5) wins. This is going to affect the odds. I will wait to hear both teams news for injuries.

I will set my stop loss at 3 ticks.

Update: 4 ticks profit from Hoffenheim and 3 from Bielefeld. Great Return!!!! I did not open position at Brescia's match because of the low liquidity of the market.

Nothing for Today

2010-02-15T10:04:00.003Z

Nothing interesting for today...

Yesterday's profit from pre match trading

2010-02-15T08:41:00.001Z

Yesterday our profit:

Ok I know, I did not get rich :)

Sunday's Selection

2010-02-14T09:18:00.002Z

After some very hard times at work, today I ve managed to get back home in order to rest a bit with my family. After the previous week, I need to perform a brain format.
Today there are plenty of matches to choose from but I will focus only on one match:

Bolton vs Tottenham fo the FA Cup. Tottenhams odds are falling from 2,14 (back). Liquidity is great!!
Bolton faces injury problems as Gary Cahill, Ivan Klasnic, Sean Davis and Gavinm Mc Cann are out from today's match.
For Totenham Luka Modric is a doubt so if later news about Mondric change, surely this will affect the odds.

Update: Nice profit, I dont want to get greedy so I am closing my position here at 2,08 (Lay)

TOO MUCH WORK

2010-02-10T16:05:00.001Z

Today as I am having too much work at my office, I wont be able to study the odds.
Its a pitty because at my lunch break hour, I saw some nice movements at Arsenal's, Man Utd's and Tottenham's odds.

DISCIPLINE KEEPS THE BANK SAFE

2010-02-09T21:35:00.011Z

People who are reading my blog from the start, know by now that one of my bigger concerns is to keep safe my bank.

Keeping the bank safe is helping the trader to avoid anxiety and depression of losing his capital. Ok I know nobody wants or like to lose but the fact is that the plurality (more than 95%) of punters all over the world are losing money every day, more and more till they end consuming their whole bank.

Trading before the start of a match is not a practice that can make the trader wealthy in a week or in a month or in a year but surely under the condition that the trader is following with discipline some "safe" rules, can help keep and why not build up his bankroll. Some punters believe that is easier to generate steady and significant daily income from a big bank than from a small bank.

In my opinion, if a trader is not disciplined, then pre-match trading is needless and can as well as other betting strategies lead him to bankruptcy.

so...:

...test your strategy. Testing will lead you to...
...set clear rules on your strategy ( for example set your stop loss to some specific ticks, find the factors you can rely before opening your position, set a percentage of your bank that you are going to trade with e.t.c.) and...
...keep yourself disciplined following your rules.

"self-discipline"

Remember you cannot win every day and is inevitable to lose...so try when you lose not to destroy your bank...and something else also important...

...don't try to catch your losses, stop, reconsider, study what went wrong and trade again the next day.

BETFAIR IS DOWN

2010-02-09T12:58:00.000Z

No news till Betfair is up again

BETTING SECRETS

2010-02-08T14:17:00.002Z

Some of the first betting secrets i have ever learn' t (the bad way) is that I must never bet or trade if:
1) I am not in the mood
2) if the markets have nothing interesting for betting or trading.

Today there is nothing interesting for me in the football markets so I will not trade at all.

But I will make some comments for today's matches:

At Galipoli's match probably is going to change the favorite as Grosseto's odds are going down. Nope, I wont touch it.
1860 Munich's odds were going down. Nooope I am not interested.

I am going to hold my horses