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		<title>Low Inventory Trend Continues in Bay Area Real Estate Market</title>
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		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/05/21/low-inventory-trend-continues-in-bay-area-real-estate-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 21 May 2012 17:04:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=289</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Facebook Comes to Market with Record-Breaking IPO: The Bay Area Housing Market continues its own record-breaking lack of inventory trend. The much-anticipated Facebook initial public offering took place on Friday morning, raising as much as $18.4 billion – the biggest Internet IPO in U.S. history and the third largest IPO of any kind.  The $38 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p align="center"><strong>Facebook Comes to Market with Record-Breaking IPO: </strong></p>
<p align="center">The Bay Area Housing Market continues its own record-breaking lack of inventory trend.</p>
<p>The much-anticipated Facebook initial public offering took place on Friday morning, raising as much as $18.4 billion – the biggest Internet IPO in U.S. history and the third largest IPO of any kind.  The $38 per share IPO opened their premier NASDAQ day of trading at $42.05, valuing the company at more than $100 billion. It jumped up to $45 on early trading, eased back to about $41, and as more steam escaped, closed the first day of trading just a mere 0.61% above the IPO opening value, at $38.23.</p>
<p>Analysts are saying that a few factors contributed to the lackluster close not being near the conservatively anticipated 10% to 20% gain on opening day (some had predicted as great as 50% &#8211; recall that LinkedIn doubled on their opening day of trading).  Among the factors causing a disappointing close – the move by investment bankers to increase the offering price to $38 a share, and to expand the size of the offering by 25%, just a day before the IPO.  It also did not help that General Motors had stated just days earlier that it plans to stop advertising with Facebook Inc. after deciding that paid ads on the site have little impact on consumers&#8217; car purchases, according to a GM official.  And what about the reported NASDAQ glitches in Friday’s trading?  It’s said that system failures wreaked some havoc on the debut day for Facebook.</p>
<p>Facebook stories are headlines in many publications this weekend, ranging from Zuckerberg changing his FB status to “Married”, to predictions that this coming week could see Facebook share values lower than the $38 IPO price. Global companies, similarly located in our backyard, LinkedIn and Zynga both saw declines on Friday after the meager FB debut.  That said, the month of May has not been kind to NASDAQ overall.</p>
<p>SO- what does all this say about the &#8220;Facebook effect&#8221; on Bay Area real estate? It&#8217;s hard not to believe that the IPO will ultimately have some ripple effect in nearby housing markets. We’re fairly certain we’ve been experiencing the FB effect in the weeks and months preceding the IPO.  Low inventory and multiple offers seemed to originate in Palo Alto and Menlo Park months earlier and quickly spread across the Bay Area.  Now that the IPO is official, there will be hundreds and hundreds of newly minted millionaires – and a handful of new billionaires – as a result.  It&#8217;s not unreasonable to assume some or even many of them will take part of their newfound wealth and invest in a home. A number already have in anticipation of the newfound wealth.</p>
<p>While some of the FB folks may choose to buy in Menlo Park, Palo Alto, or other posh suburbs near the company&#8217;s headquarters, it&#8217;s likely many younger employees (is that redundant at Facebook?) will end up living in some of the hip San Francisco neighborhoods where they can enjoy the vibe and energy of City life.  We&#8217;ve heard from our offices and agents in both regions who are working with Facebook people.</p>
<p>In Menlo Park, our office manager says non-Facebook buyers are very anxious to snap up a home quickly because they&#8217;re fearful of an upcoming &#8220;tsunami&#8221; of FB buyers inflating prices once employees are allowed to sell their shares later this year. Traditionally, companies have a so-called lock-up period of about six months. But Facebook said this week that it has altered the lock-up expirations on some of the shares, freeing up a higher number of shares three months from now.</p>
<p>Facebook is also having an effect on sellers. Many who were planning to list their homes are waiting in anticipation of higher prices later this year when FB millionaires are freed up to cash in their shares. One word of caution about this strategy: Waiting for three to six months or longer in anticipation of FB buyers driving prices higher is no less of a gamble than guessing what will happen to the company&#8217;s stock three or six months from now.  Add to that the additional Sellers coming to market with the same strategy, and you’ve got more competition as a Seller.</p>
<p>Agents are counseling buyers about the market NOW versus what may or may not happen in the future. Right now, there is a tremendous shortage of homes for sale, especially on the Peninsula and in San Francisco. Sellers are routinely getting multiple offers – some as many as 10 or 15 – and their homes are often going for considerably more than the asking price.</p>
<p>There&#8217;s no telling what the economy might be like in six months. There are certainly a lot of questions out there that could impact the housing market. The economy is improving, but very slowly. The job market is still struggling to gain real traction. The geo-political issues in Europe are seriously impacting the stock market right here at home. And the uncertainty of the presidential election in the fall and its impact on tax policy and other issues make the outlook even murkier.</p>
<p>So while Facebook undoubtedly will have an impact on our local real estate market, just when, where and how much remains to be seen. Stay tuned</p>
<p>Below is a market-by-market report from our local offices:</p>
<p><strong>North Bay</strong> – Northern Marin County&#8217;s housing market is desperate for listings in all price ranges right now.  Buyers are snapping up properties, and virtually every home under $500K is receiving multiple offers.  An agent in our office received 10 offers on a non fixer-upper in Novato, and another received 7 offers for a home that she thought she had priced at market.  There is a great deal of pent-up demand out there right now.  The Northern Marin Previews high-end market is starting to heat up, due to the general lack of inventory that has spread to the upper end of properties.  After months of having about 20 properties over $1 million in Novato, there now are four active properties, ranging from $1.2 million to $1.355 million. Our Santa Rosa manager says all of his office&#8217;s listings have had multiple offers in these last two weeks. In Sebastopol, one agent reported more than 100 visitors to an open house on Sunday. The home was in contract by Monday. If it is priced right, looks right and feels right, mark it sold, the local manager notes.</p>
<p><strong>San Francisco</strong> – The feeding frenzy continues, our Lombard office manager reports. Offers on certain San Francisco homes are 30, 40 and even 50 percent over, with one home going 60% over asking. Pre-emptive offers and homes on the market for just one or two days are common. Agents are facing a huge inventory challenge. Our Sunset manager notes that single-family home inventory in San Francisco is about 50 percent less than the same time last year.  The overall price is about 10 percent higher than the same time last year in most areas of the city.  It&#8217;s a very active buyer’s market, he said, but no inventory to sell.  San Francisco Market Street agents have risen to the challenge to identify potential Sellers at their Open Houses.  The agents are becoming successful in getting the facts to neighboring homeowners. Not every homeowner visiting local Open Homes is aware of the severe shortage of inventory.  Like the other City offices, multiple offers are the norm for SF Market Street.</p>
<p><strong>SF Peninsula</strong> — The central Peninsula is finally getting some more inventory in the highly sought after $800,000 to $1.5 million price range, our Burlingame manager reports. There are multiple offers, well-prepared and ready buyers for most every listing with sales happening within 7-10 days of coming on the market. Many buyers with cash are coming out this spring, making multiple bids difficult for young and well-qualified buyers with conventional financing. Agents are surprised by homes selling for generous prices. Open homes still getting record numbers of visitors. There are currently 53 active and 17 pending listings in Hillsborough. Sales activity has picked up, but over $5 million is proving to be a tough price point. This softness is providing a wonderful opportunity for negotiation. We have finally seen some higher priced properties move in Woodside – all three in the $5 million dollar range.  One even had two offers.  All three were local buyers. The Palo Alto market is on a seven-day cycle.  Inventory rises and falls.  Sales price exceeding the list price by 30% or more on transactions with multiple offers.  A property priced at $849,000 has 22 disclosure packets out. Some good upper end sales in the Woodside-Portola Valley area &#8211; three sales in the $5 million range (Coldwell Banker had 4 of the 6 sides). Hopefully these will &#8216;prime&#8217; the pump.  The buyers are out there but are very conservative with their money after Woodside prices got so incredibly frothy in year 2000.  Portola Valley is definitely seeing some good action.  More listings are popping up everywhere. Lack of inventory is still causing frustration with the buyers, our Redwood City manager says. Prices are being driven up because of multiple offers.</p>
<p><strong>East Bay</strong> – Berkeley agents are writing offers 24/7, our local manager says.  Buyers are able, ready and finally willing to compete.  It may take two or three disappointments for the lesson to be learned, and some buyers back off at that point, but others do what it takes for a happy ending.  We still need more inventory, which is the sad song being played across the Bay Area. In the Danville and the I-680 corridor area, sales are definitely being held back by lack of inventory.  Just about every offer our Oakland-Piedmont office is involved in is being made in competition.  Sometimes there are 10 or more offers on properties, and even though buyers go $80,000 or more over asking, they do not get the house in some cases. There are still mostly multiple offers in the mix. Open houses were heavily attended the last couple of weekends. For the properties that do not have offer dates, offers are being dropped off during the open house or broker’s tour trying to get the inside track. Properties in all price points continue to go over asking, sometimes significantly.  The Lamorinda market continues to be hot. The majority of sales are multiple offers and many sales are over asking price.  Inventory is slowly but steadily increasing and open homes are heavily attended. Listing inventory is still very low, according to our Walnut Creek office, but there are quite a few buyers and agents selling all types of listings. New home sales have shown a noticeable increase as well.  Still seeing multiple offers on most, if not all, properties.</p>
<p><strong>Silicon Valley</strong> – In Cupertino, lots of offers are being written – far more than we have transactions. Inventory continues to be paltry and buyers and their agents are frustrated. The local market is continuing to stay active with a lot of interest from the buyers, our Los Altos manager reports. Sales activity in the Los Gatos area is increasing, but the lack of inventory continues to be the dominating factor in this market. Sales activity seems to be gradually picking up in the San Jose area, our local offices report. The overall market in the Saratoga area is still very strong. Saratoga is performing at a much higher rate for sales than projected for this time period. In fact new sales for April were over 140% of the same time period for last year. New listings are not coming in at the same high rate, indicating that the overall market is tight for listings.</p>
<p>&nbsp;</p>
<p><em>Source: Coldwell Banker&#8217;s Market Watch as of May 21, 2012</em></p>
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		<title>Calling All Marin Sellers!</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/1MtzrG_KAvY/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/05/16/calling-all-marin-sellers/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 May 2012 23:24:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=285</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[How low is the Marin real estate market currently? LOW! Check out these stats below: Marin County Active Inventory April 2010                   1,606 April 2011                   1,396 April 2012                      624 Between 2012 vs. 2010 &#8211; 61% decrease Between 2012 vs. 2011 &#8211; 53% decrease (Average Sales Price is +3.2% vs. year ago, -7.4% vs. 2010) If [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How low is the Marin real estate market currently? LOW!</p>
<p>Check out these stats below:</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Marin County Active Inventory</strong></span></p>
<p>April 2010                   1,606</p>
<p>April 2011                   1,396</p>
<p>April 2012                      624</p>
<p>Between 2012 vs. 2010 &#8211; 61% decrease</p>
<p>Between 2012 vs. 2011 &#8211; 53% decrease</p>
<p>(Average Sales Price is +3.2% vs. year ago, -7.4% vs. 2010)</p>
<p>If you are thinking of putting your house on the market, now is a great time! Please call me for a free home valuation.</p>
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		<title>What’s Happening in the Bay Area Real Estate Market?</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/jt0M-skLepo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/05/07/whats-happening-in-the-bay-area-real-estate-market/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 07 May 2012 22:27:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=282</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Bay Area Real Estate Market Turns in Strong Performance in March From entry-level homes to the luxury estates, the Bay Area&#8217;s housing market gained more momentum in March, according to a number of recently released industry reports. March home sales in the region were at their highest level for that month in five years, the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><strong>Bay Area Real Estate Market Turns in Strong Performance in March</strong></p>
<p>From entry-level homes to the luxury estates, the Bay Area&#8217;s housing market gained more momentum in March, according to a number of recently released industry reports.</p>
<p>March home sales in the region were at their highest level for that month in five years, the result of lower prices, low interest rates and an improving economy, according to DataQuick, the La Jolla-based real estate research firm.</p>
<p>Some 7,694 new and existing houses and condos sold in the nine-county Bay Area in March, up 34.9 percent from February and 9.1 percent from March 2011, DataQuick reported. Last month’s sales total was the highest for the month of March since 8,317 homes were sold in 2007.</p>
<p>The strongest sales gains were in Solano, Sonoma, San Mateo and San Francisco counties with 13.2 percent, 12.1 percent, 11.4 percent and 11.3 percent increases, respectively, from March 2011.</p>
<p>“This is the time of year when buying patterns usually start to normalize,&#8221; said John Walsh, president of the research firm. &#8220;And while the changes we’re seeing are incremental, they’re incremental in a positive direction.&#8221;</p>
<p>Having said that, DataQuick cautioned that there continue to be potential bumps along the road to a normalized market. Walsh said he&#8217;s watching closely the number of distressed properties coming onto the market, as well as the ready availability of mortgage financing &#8211; or a lack thereof.</p>
<p>The median price paid for all new and resale houses and condos sold in the Bay Area last month was $358,000, according to DataQuick. That&#8217;s up 10.2 percent from February, and down fractionally from $360,000 in March 2011. The decline on a year over year basis was the smallest since October 2010.</p>
<p>The luxury end of the market also turned in a strong performance in March:</p>
<ul>
<li>In Marin County, both sales and the median sale price of million-dollar homes rose. A total of 48 high-end properties changed hands, up from 44 in February and 33 in January. The median sale price of a luxury home also soared 15.3 percent from the previous month to $1,525,000.</li>
<li>In Silicon Valley, 110 homes sold for more than $1.5 million in March, nearly double the 58 transactions in February and up from 86 in March 2011.  Of the total sales, there were 50 multi-million-dollar transactions compared to 36 sales over $2 million during the same period a year ago.</li>
<li>In the East Bay, luxury sales soared 23 percent from a year ago and more than doubled February&#8217;s totals. Some 111 million-dollar properties changed hands, up from 49 in February and 90 in March 2011.</li>
<li>And in San Francisco, a total of 55 homes sold for more than $2 million during the first quarter of 2012 compared to 50 sales during the same period a year ago. At the same time, the median sale price rose 2.7 percent from last year to $2.8 million.</li>
</ul>
<p>The market will continue to face some headwinds in terms of the economy, distressed properties and even mortgage financing.  And it&#8217;s likely that the economies of Europe and China will continue to factor in to our recovery.  But it’s clear that locally, we are headed in the right direction regarding housing. Our biggest challenge isn&#8217;t a lack of demand; it&#8217;s not enough homes to sell. So if you&#8217;ve been thinking about listing your home, there couldn&#8217;t be a better time than now.</p>
<p><em>Source: Coldwell Banker&#8217;s MarketWatch</em></p>
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		<title>Springtime Housing Market Starting to Bloom</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/9rqIAO5tQZo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/04/17/springtime-housing-market-starting-to-bloom/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 17 Apr 2012 16:41:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=278</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In the Bay Area we&#8217;ve seen a recovery in the housing market for some time now. Things began to turn around in earnest last year and really have gained traction in 2012. But now as spring is in full bloom, it seems that other parts of the state and nation are getting in on the [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In the Bay Area we&#8217;ve seen a recovery in the housing market for some time now. Things began to turn around in earnest last year and really have gained traction in 2012. But now as spring is in full bloom, it seems that other parts of the state and nation are getting in on the act. &#8220;Green shoots&#8221; are evident in cities that previously were showing little signs of life, creating optimism among many industry observers.</p>
<p>In a recent news report on NPR, reporter Yuki Noguchi said the mild spring has brought buyers out earlier than usual, and real estate agents are busy around the country. Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, told NPR that he is much more encouraged than he was one or two years ago. &#8220;The recovery seems much more broad-based,&#8221; he said. &#8220;Whether one goes East Coast — Boston, [or] to the West Coast — Seattle, sales activity is solidly higher.&#8221; And smaller markets like Peoria, Ill., Greenville, S.C., and Chattanooga, Tenn., are also doing better, Yun said.</p>
<p>But the single most telling number on the health of the market, according to Yun, is housing inventory. Home listings are down 26 percent from last year at this time, which the economist said is close to healthy market levels. While some market followers worry that we could see another wave of foreclosures, depressing home prices, Yun says that so-called shadow inventory of homes in serious delinquency or in the foreclosure process is also down. &#8220;So all three buckets of inventory &#8230; are falling, which is implying that this is a genuine reduction in inventory across the board,&#8221; he told NPR.</p>
<p>Here in the Bay Area we&#8217;re experiencing an even sharper decline in housing inventory. From Marin County, San Francisco and the Peninsula down to San Jose and out to parts of the East Bay, the number of homes for sale is down as much as 50 percent. This at a time when the number of well-qualified buyers eager to purchase appears to be higher than it has been in years.</p>
<p>While this rebalancing of supply and demand is good for the overall recovery of the housing market and firming up soft home prices, it is understandably frustrating buyers who are competing for the relatively few good, well-priced homes on the market today.  The strong demand is leading to multiple offers on many if not most homes in certain communities with prices going for much more than the asking price in many cases.</p>
<p>With our local economy continuing to bloom, especially in Silicon Valley, there is no end in sight to strong buyer demand. In fact, the latest UCLA Anderson economic forecast noted that growth in the San Francisco Bay Area region continues to outpace the nation, led by the technology sector.  Add to that the recent IPOs and upcoming Facebook offering and you can see where demand is heading.</p>
<p>I think word is gradually starting to get out to sellers that the financial crisis and corresponding housing downturn are finally over and it&#8217;s time to jump back into the market. We&#8217;re slowing seeing more listings starting to come into our local offices. My hope is that even more savvy homeowners will decide to sell as the spring housing market comes into full bloom. If so, it could turn out to be a beautiful season for the Bay Area market.</p>
<p><em>Source: MarketWatch, Coldwell Banker</em></p>
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		<title>Buffet’s Real Estate Advice</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/4f70PyHfwlo/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/03/20/buffets-real-estate-advice/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Mar 2012 14:56:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=273</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When billionaire Warren Buffett talks, people listen. And lately the Oracle of Omaha has been talking a lot about real estate and why now is the right time to be investing in housing. In fact, Buffett went so far in an interview on CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Squawk Box&#8221; as to say that he&#8217;d &#8220;buy up a couple [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When billionaire Warren Buffett talks, people listen. And lately the Oracle of Omaha has been talking a lot about real estate and why now is the right time to be investing in housing. In fact, Buffett went so far in an interview on CNBC&#8217;s &#8220;Squawk Box&#8221; as to say that he&#8217;d &#8220;buy up a couple hundred thousand&#8221; single-family homes if it was practical for him to do so.</p>
<p>Buffett said he believes purchasing a home with today&#8217;s historically low mortgage interest rates and holding it for the long-term has actually become a better investment than stocks right now. This is from someone who has always put stocks above all other investments! In his annual letter to shareowners, Buffett wrote, &#8220;Housing will come back, you can be sure of that.&#8221;</p>
<p>In explaining his investment picks and pans, Buffett said he would shy away from gold and treasuries, the latter of which he said will not keep up with inflation, particularly after taxes. Instead he said he prefers to put his money into investments that he considered to be &#8220;productive assets.&#8221; Within this category are stocks and real estate.</p>
<p>According to the Buffett, real estate and stocks not only boast the greatest upside potential, but also are safer investments in the long run than treasuries and gold.</p>
<p>In a recent interview with the International Business Times, Buffett forecasted an increase in household formations as the economy continues to recover. He believes that more people who moved in with their parents or in-laws during the recession will soon look to move out and get their own home soon.</p>
<p>According to the International Business Times, the annual pace of housing starts in the U.S. last year was just 609,000 – far less than the household formation of 1.14 million. Eventually, this imbalance will absorb the oversupply in the housing market, Buffett said, although how long this process takes could vary widely among various local U.S. housing markets. &#8220;Demographics and our market system will restore the needed balance &#8211; probably before long,&#8221; he said.  No one knows for sure what the future holds, but I agree wholeheartedly that if you&#8217;re looking to invest in a home for the long term you couldn&#8217;t find a better time.</p>
<p>On a related note, sales of existing single-family homes in the Bay Area increased by 10.7% in February compared with a year ago, according to a report released Friday by DataQuick, the La Jolla-based real estate information firm.</p>
<p>This marked the biggest increase for February in five years, according to DataQuick, and the eighth straight month of year-over-year sales increases for the Bay Area.</p>
<p>One last item of interest:  Remember just a year and a half ago when consumption and spending seemed to be at an all-time low?  There were articles appearing about a possible trend in renting versus buying.  Just two weeks ago, The San Francisco Business Times took a poll, asking readers if &#8220;renting is the new American Dream.&#8221; Despite the challenging housing market in recent years, homeownership still won by a wide margin. Some things never change!</p>
<p><em>Source: Rick Turley&#8217;s Market Watch, Coldwell Banker</em></p>
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		<title>Strong Indications of a Market Recovery</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/qPwx8hnO0js/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/02/25/strong-indications-of-a-market-recovery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 25 Feb 2012 15:56:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=269</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[With 2012 well underway, there are very encouraging signs that the nation’s economy and job market are finally starting to gain momentum. If this trend continues in the months ahead, it bodes well for the recovery in housing – both here in Northern California and around the country. The U.S. economy grew at a 2.8 [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>With 2012 well underway, there are very encouraging signs that the nation’s economy and job market are finally starting to gain momentum. If this trend continues in the months ahead, it bodes well for the recovery in housing – both here in Northern California and around the country.</p>
<p>The U.S. economy grew at a 2.8 percent annual rate in the final quarter of last year, according to figures released by the federal government this month. This level was a sharp increase from the third quarter’s 1.8 percent rate. And there are indications that the latest GDP figure could actually be revised higher due to wholesale inventories rising in December.</p>
<p>Even more encouraging for real estate is the fact that the labor market is steadily improving. Most analysts agree that in order to have a self-sustaining recovery in the housing market we must first have a significant turnaround in the job market. There are indications that could be happening at long last.</p>
<p>Initial weekly unemployment claims fell 15,000 to 358,000 in a new report by the Labor Department. An even better trend gauge — the four-week average — fell to its lowest level since April 2008, the period before the financial crisis. And the unemployment rate has fallen to a three-year low of 8.3 percent.</p>
<p>One other bullish indicator for the housing market is solid gains in the stock market, especially in the housing sector. The S&amp;P index is up more than 7 percent so far this year (as of February 10) and up more than 16 percent since late November.</p>
<p>No one can predict, of course, where stocks go from here and it’s not unreasonable to assume they could continue to bounce around given the sovereign debt crisis in Europe. But the stock market gains certainly are helping all of our 401k portfolios and perhaps bolstering the confidence of potential homebuyers.</p>
<p>The housing industry has fared better than many stocks on Wall Street. While housing starts are expected to climb 15-20 percent this year, the stock prices for homebuilders themselves have spiked from 20 percent to as much as 134 percent since August, according to a recent story in <em>USA Today</em>.</p>
<p>“Talk is turning from when housing will hit bottom to whether it’s time to buy housing stocks and count on the sector to propel the economy again,” the <em>USA Today</em> said in its February 9 article <em>Home builders and investors</em> both see signs of a turn.</p>
<p>To be sure, the nation’s housing market is still facing a number of challenges from tight credit to glut of bank owned properties in many markets. And the recent $25 billion settlement by the nation’s biggest mortgage banks could spur more foreclosures in the near term.</p>
<p>In a speech before the National Association of Home Builders, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke cautioned that, “We need to continue to develop and implement policies that will help the housing sector get back on its feet.”</p>
<p>Bernanke argued that overly tight credit in mortgage markets could be holding back a strong rebound in the real estate sector. He called on lenders and regulators to look at rules and practices that may hold back the origination of sound mortgages. He also has championed a plan to convert foreclosed homes into rentals.</p>
<p>But despite the challenges, there is good reason to believe the housing market is gradually turning the corner in many areas.</p>
<p>For most of the country, the inventory of homes for sale actually is falling while sales volumes have been picking up since last year. And affordability levels for homeownership have never been better, thanks to historically low interest rates and attractive home pricing.</p>
<p>We’ve seen the improvement right here in Northern California. According to a new report by the California Association of Realtors, January home sales rose 4.4 percent in the Bay Area when compared with the figures from last year. There was a 10.6 percent increase in Santa Cruz County, a 4 percent increase in Sacramento County and a 3.5 percent increase in Placer County. Prices did ease 8.2 percent in Monterey County.</p>
<p>We continue to see growing demand by very serious buyers looking to purchase homes. And while some are scouring the landscape for bargain basement distressed properties, many are seeking good homes at fair prices. And there continues to be a very strong demand for properties in the middle and upper ends of the market, too.</p>
<p>The real problem we’re facing here in the Northern California isn’t a lack of buyers; it’s not enough sellers.</p>
<p>Many homeowners who would like to sell their homes have been sitting on the sidelines, still wrongly believing that the market is in the depths of a recession. They still fear that they will have to take drastic price cuts in order to sell. I’m afraid that the news hasn’t gotten out to them that things have changed for the better over the past year or two.</p>
<p>Sellers no longer must sell their properties at fire-sale prices to get buyers’ attention. In fact, fairly priced homes that are staged well and located in desirable neighborhoods are not only being sold relatively quickly these days, but in some cases with multiple offers.</p>
<p>So if you’ve been thinking about buying or selling a home, there may not be a better time than right now. For buyers, mortgage interest rates are still below 4 percent for many 30-year fixed-rate loans and pricing is attractive in many neighborhoods. For sellers, there are scores of well-qualified buyers ready to purchase your home at reasonable prices.</p>
<p>No one knows what the future holds, but as the economy and the job market continue to gain momentum, there’s every reason to believe that the housing market will follow suit as well. Please contact me if you are thinking of buying or selling real estate.</p>
<p><em>Source: Coldwell Banker&#8217;s Reality Check</em></p>
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		<title>Marin Market Update</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/dkiGJCpohUs/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/02/19/brief-marin-market-update/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 19 Feb 2012 23:58:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Update]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=262</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What&#8217;s going on with the market these days? A February 16 article from DataQuick, the San Diego, CA-based real estate information service states: &#8220;The median price for a (Bay Area) home fell year-over-year for the 16th consecutive month, as &#8220;distressed&#8221; sales rose to the highest level since early last year&#8212;&#8221;.   Statistics in the article show [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What&#8217;s going on with the market these days?</p>
<p>A February 16 article from DataQuick, the San Diego, CA-based real estate information service states: &#8220;The median price for a (Bay Area) home fell year-over-year for the 16th consecutive month, as &#8220;distressed&#8221; sales rose to the highest level since early last year&#8212;&#8221;.   Statistics in the article show that Marin County bucked this trend, with a 4.6% increase in prices over last January&#8217;s results, and sales unit volume up 9.8%.</p>
<p>However, Marin&#8217;s own MLS year-to-date (YTD) statistics show these figures may be a bit deceiving. YTD single family residence (SFR) average sold prices are up  from last year&#8217;s YTD $848,172, to $960,535 as of February 14, while unit sales increased about 27%, from 132 to 168. Condominium sales, on the other hand, are down from 2011&#8242;s YTD figure of 63 units, to only 52 as of 2/14, off about 17%. This number actually represents a slight improvement  from our last report , when condo unit sales were off 20%. Condo year-over-year prices also down, with average sold price at $320,237 vs. 2011&#8242;s average YTD sales price of $349,992.</p>
<p>Regarding the current statistics, article quotes DataQuick President, John Walsh as saying &#8220;This is also the time of year we caution people not to try to read too much into the statistics. The winter numbers are based on a smaller pool of buyers and they haven&#8217;t proved very predictive.&#8221; That may be, but the reality is that right now, Marin County SFR prices and sales are up, and condo sales and prices are down&#8212; an important distinction and essential information for buyers and sellers. Current Marin County housing inventory continues to be extremely low. Percentage in contract on under-$1million SFR&#8217;s and condo&#8217;s is nearing 50%. Good, turn-key new listings are frequently going into contract quickly, often in their 1st week on the market and, not infrequently, for over asking price. Lots of all-cash deals are making it tougher for buyers who need loans, especially FHA or VA buyers, to land the properties they want.</p>
<p>Days on Market (DOM) for SFR&#8217;s down from last February&#8217;s 142 days to 133, while condo&#8217;s about the same as last year at this time at 153 days vs. last year&#8217;s 154. Sellers take note: Stale, overpriced properties that sit on the market while fresh, new, well-price listings zoom out the door skew these numbers to the high side.</p>
<p>Activity in local real estate offices is brisk and agents more optimistic than in quite some time, many thinking that 2012 will be the year the market starts to emerge from its slump. Time will tell!</p>
<p>Advice of an experienced local REALTOR who knows your neighborhood is invaluable in this market. Please call me if you are thinking of buying or selling!</p>
<p><em>Source: Fred Anlyn, The Anyln Report, Coldwell Banker, 2/17/2012</em></p>
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		<title>Easy Way to Create an Energy Efficient House and Save Money</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/o4ZlpmPhHEg/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/02/07/easy-way-to-create-an-energy-efficient-house-and-save-money/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 07 Feb 2012 21:14:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Green]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=258</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[When we celebrated the first Earth Day more than four decades ago, environmentally friendly “green” homes were considered the kind of thing that people who would buy hybrid or electric cars one day might own. But we’ve come a long way since then. Like hybrid cars, recycling and energy efficient appliances, eco-friendly homes are rapidly [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When we celebrated the  first Earth Day more than four decades ago, environmentally friendly  “green” homes were considered the kind of thing that people who would buy hybrid or electric cars one day might own. But we’ve come a long way since then. Like  hybrid cars, recycling and energy efficient appliances, eco-friendly  homes are rapidly gaining in popularity.</p>
<p>More and more people are building green homes from the  ground up. And those with existing homes are retrofitting them to make  the property more environmentally friendly and energy efficient.  Homeowners understand that making a home greener not only saves limited  natural resources, but also saves them money in the long run and has  proven to be healthier as well.</p>
<p>There are so many new products on the market that it has  become very simple to increase the energy efficiency of your home –  everything from compact fluorescent bulbs to low flow shower heads and a  programmable thermostat. Most of these products can be installed in  less than an hour, but their benefits can last for years.              To get you started, here are a handful of tips to easily  and affordably make your home greener and save you a lot of “green” in  the process:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong> Start by assessing your energy usage.</strong> Getting a handle on your home’s energy use is an important first step  to improving efficiency. You can do a simple assessment using the online  tools at ENERGY STAR, the organization run by the EPA and the U.S.  Department of Energy. <strong>Go to <a href="http://www.energystar.go">www.energystar.gov</a></strong>. It will take just five  minutes and you will need your last 12 months of utility bills. The site  will provide guidance on home improvement projects to enhance energy  efficiency, and even provide information on rebates and government tax  credits</li>
<li><strong> Seal and insulate.</strong> Sealing and  insulating the “envelope” or “shell” of your home — its outer walls,  ceiling, windows, doors, and floors — is often the most cost effective  way to improve energy efficiency and comfort. ENERGY STAR estimates that  a knowledgeable homeowner or skilled contractor can save up to 20  percent on heating and cooling costs (or up to 10% on their total annual  energy bill) by sealing and insulating</li>
<li><strong> Make your HVAC system more energy efficient.</strong> As much as half of the energy used in your home goes to heating and  cooling. So making smart decisions about your home’s heating,  ventilating, and air conditioning (HVAC) system can have a big effect on  your utility bills. Change your air filter regularly. Tune up your HVAC  equipment yearly. Install a programmable thermostat. Seal your heating  and cooling ducts. Consider installing ENERGY STAR qualified heating and  cooling equipment</li>
<li><strong>Install low-flow showerheads and toilets.</strong> Older toilets waste large amounts of water. More than 30 percent of  indoor residential water comes from toilets. New, low-flow models now  use less than a gallon of water per flush vs. five gallons on older  models. You can also save water and money, and still have ample water  pressure, with a low-flow showerhead, which can slash bathing-water  consumption 50 to 70 percent.</li>
<li><strong> Use energy efficient lighting.</strong> Compact Fluorescent Light bulbs (CFLs) use 66% less energy than a  standard incandescent bulb and last up to 10 times longer. Replacing a  100-watt incandescent bulb with a 32-watt CFL can save $30 in energy  costs over the life of the bulb.</li>
<li><strong> Consider solar water heaters.</strong> A  solar water-heating system can reduce the fossil fuel you’ll need for  showering and washing clothes, and lower your utility bills in the  process. But before installing one, determine whether you have a sunny  enough location to recoup the up-front costs, which CNN Money says can  range from $3,000 to $8,000.</li>
<li><strong> Choose healthier paints.</strong> Having a  greener home is more than just saving energy. It’s also about the  health of the home and protecting the environment. Conventional paints  contain solvents, toxic metals and volatile organic compounds that can  cause smog, ozone pollution and indoor air quality problems. These  unhealthy ingredients are released into the air while you’re painting  and even after the paints are completely dry. Opt instead for zero- or  low-VOC paint, made by most major paint companies.</li>
<li><strong> Reuse and remodel.</strong> As CNN Money  said in a recent article, “the house that you fix up will probably be  much greener than anything you build in its place, no matter how cutting  edge the new design or how much recycled material you use.” With a  total tear down, everything that went into building the old house goes to  waste. Construction material is one of the largest contributors to  landfills. So reusing and remodeling is a good way to limit your impact  on the environment.</li>
</ul>
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		<title>Rent Vs. Buy</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/mvJzkEZ5vxE/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2012/01/23/rent-vs-buy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Jan 2012 19:47:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Process]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=252</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is the million dollar question! There are lots of reasons to own versus rent a house, but it depends on a variety of factors. To begin the thought process, I recommend that potential buyers consult with a mortgage broker to see how monthly rates offered by different loan programs compare to monthly rents. Currently, [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This is the million dollar question!</p>
<p>There are lots of reasons to own versus rent a house, but it depends on a variety of factors. To begin the thought process, I recommend that potential buyers consult with a mortgage broker to see how monthly rates offered by different loan programs compare to monthly rents. Currently, historically low mortgage rates and affordable housing prices make right now an opportune time to buy.</p>
<p>Buying a home largely depends on your lifestyle and current income. Qualifying for a loan and the down payment are oftentimes the two biggest hurdles that buyers face. The next question to ask is how long do you plan to live in the house? Given the difficult economic times, I recommend to buy and own a home for at least a 3-5 year period of time. The forecast is that the next few years will see slow growth. Transactional costs are expensive, real estate is not a liquid asset, and prices may appreciate or depreciate. Buying a home requires thoughtful contemplation.</p>
<p>Overall though home ownership&#8217;s benefits typically outweigh the option to rent:</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Tax      Deductibility</strong>—You      can deduct the cost of your mortgage loan interest from your state and      federal income taxes. Since interest generally will account for most of your      payment during the first half of your mortgage, the savings can be      significant. Some of your costs at the time of closing (including prepaid      mortgage interest) can be taken as deductions on that year’s income tax      return, and points paid up front at the time of closing represent      additional mortgage interest and may be taken as a deduction.</li>
<li><strong>Tax      Deductibility of Property Taxes</strong>—You can deduct all of the property taxes you pay.</li>
<li><strong>Appreciation      Potential</strong>—Real      estate is considered a strong long-term investment because it usually      appreciates in value. The effects of borrowing potential can increase as      the value of the home appreciates.</li>
<li><strong>Capital      Gains Exclusion</strong>—When      it’s time to sell your home the amount of capital gains you have to pay is      reduced. A homeowner can exclude up to $500,000 per couple if married and      filing jointly, or $250,000 if single or filing separately for homes that      have been the taxpayer’s principal residence for the previous two years.</li>
<li><strong>Capital      Gain Treatment</strong>—Congress      allows preferential tax treatment on gains from capital assets held for      more than one year. This would be important for a homeowner who has gains      in excess of the allowable exclusion.</li>
<li><strong>Principal      Accumulation</strong>—Mortgages      are designed to pay the interest for the time that the money has been      used, as well as to retire the principal debt over a period of time. This      payment plan means that part of the payment each month is for principal      accumulation.</li>
<li><strong>Personal      Enjoyment</strong>—Pride      of ownership is a valid reason for wanting to own a home. You can      personalize your home while enjoying the financial benefits. Usually a      home provides a larger living indoor and outdoor space than renting with a      limited use of space.</li>
</ul>
<p>If you are thinking of buying a house this year, please contact me to discuss your options. I can also provide the name of a few mortgage brokers to you as well. Good luck and happy house hunting!</p>
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		<title>Economic Growth Forecast for 2012</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/PremierMarinHomes/~3/JDmyi2ySx3A/</link>
		<comments>http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/2011/10/20/economic-growth-forecast-for-2012/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Oct 2011 15:34:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>amyhyde</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Real Estate Process]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.premiermarinhomesblog.com/?p=247</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The California Association of Realtor recently announced this forecast as of 10/20/2011: Economic growth is expected to be no greater than 2 percent through the end of 2012 – a growth rate that makes the economy very vulnerable to any external shock that could trigger a downturn, according to Fannie Mae’s Economics &#38; Mortgage Market [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The California Association of Realtor recently announced this forecast as of 10/20/2011:</p>
<p><strong>Economic growth is expected to be no greater than 2 percent through the end of 2012 </strong>– a growth rate that makes the economy very vulnerable to any external shock that could trigger a downturn, according to Fannie Mae’s Economics &amp; Mortgage Market Analysis Group.</p>
<p>External factors, coupled with uncertainty surrounding the degree of domestic fiscal austerity, including the scheduled expiration of various tax cuts and unemployment benefits, and the impact of forthcoming regulations, will determine how fast the economy will grow.</p>
<p>“There’s been a little seasonal cyclical pickup in housing activity recently, as spring and summer sales are generally stronger than fall and winter, but leading indicators point to housing sales bouncing near the bottom at least through the end of 2012,” said Fannie Mae Chief Economist Doug Duncan.</p>
<p>“Home prices are a key factor for any positive movement in the housing market, and the large inventory of distressed homes working their way through the market is putting downward pressure on prices. Now that we are entering a traditionally weak seasonal sales period, we expect home prices to show renewed declines after firming for several months,” Duncan stated.</p>
<p>For more information, <a href="http://www.fanniemae.com/portal/about-us/media/financial-news/2011/5527.html">click here.</a></p>
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