Phantasmix Stock Market Blog http://phantasmix.com Trading stocks and options -- contact @ phantasmix.com Tue, 17 Apr 2012 03:29:59 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.3.1 ReMoneyhttp://feedburner.google.com S&P Futures Chart $$ $SPY $SPX http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/vdWTY6CzPjU/sp-futures-chart-spy-spx.html http://phantasmix.com/sp-futures-chart-spy-spx.html#comments Tue, 17 Apr 2012 03:29:59 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5087 This is a daily chart of the S&P 500 Futures.

Look at the lower boxes. In the lowest one it’s obvious that the small traders are unafraid! A potential contrary indicator right there.

Obviously, not something to base a decision on by itself, but combined with whatever else you’re tracking, might be helpful.

Click to enlarge

I’ve got some skin in the game, and want a bearish move in the short term, a bullish scenario – long-term.

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/sp-futures-chart-spy-spx.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/sp-futures-chart-spy-spx.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=sp-futures-chart-spy-spx Pyramid of Capitalism http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/iEqyIqWLkdA/pyramid-of-capitalism.html http://phantasmix.com/pyramid-of-capitalism.html#comments Sat, 31 Mar 2012 05:52:50 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5082 Poster by “The Industrial Worker”, 1911

Click to enlarge

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/pyramid-of-capitalism.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/pyramid-of-capitalism.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=pyramid-of-capitalism “Lazy Canadian ETF” Portfolio Update – 5 Years Later $$ http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/8k4r4BQbEmY/lazy-canadian-etf-portfolio-update-5-years-later.html http://phantasmix.com/lazy-canadian-etf-portfolio-update-5-years-later.html#comments Sun, 18 Mar 2012 00:18:15 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5076 More on this portfolio here.

Not doing so well!

  • I chose not to re-invest the distributions*
  • Profit/loss includes paid out distributions

* Distributions = dividends

Click to enlarge

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/lazy-canadian-etf-portfolio-update-5-years-later.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/lazy-canadian-etf-portfolio-update-5-years-later.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=lazy-canadian-etf-portfolio-update-5-years-later The Lesser of Two Evils: $SPY vs Individual Stocks $$ http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/6EApyT5L6lc/the-lesser-of-two-evils-spy-vs-individual-stocks.html http://phantasmix.com/the-lesser-of-two-evils-spy-vs-individual-stocks.html#comments Sat, 17 Mar 2012 18:39:39 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5073

January 1990 through December 2009 (a period of 20 years) a total of 1,003 unique companies have been constituent members of the S&P 500.

Isn’t that crazy? This basically convinces me that owning individual stocks is very risky.

Dissolution of S&P500 is a lot less likely than bankruptcy of any given stock, and you’re at least guaranteed the dividend. Plus the options (for call writing) are very liquid and fairly priced.

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/the-lesser-of-two-evils-spy-vs-individual-stocks.html/feed 3 http://phantasmix.com/the-lesser-of-two-evils-spy-vs-individual-stocks.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=the-lesser-of-two-evils-spy-vs-individual-stocks Daily Insider Buy/Sell vs $SPY, Charts http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/O8kE-lEWiWI/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts-2.html http://phantasmix.com/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts-2.html#comments Fri, 09 Mar 2012 02:56:05 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5063 Latest insider buy/sell stats, as of March 8th.
In addition to this, there’s been some selling on strength of SPY, not super significant but around $150MM yesterday.

And here’s the SPX chart with all the indicators.
Short-term, somewhere half-way between oversold/overbought, but longer term (top stochastics) shows that the index may drop further.

End of transmission :)

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts-2.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts-2.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts-2 Daily Insider Buy/Sell vs $SPY, Charts http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/LdjTANgGKc4/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts.html http://phantasmix.com/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts.html#comments Mon, 20 Feb 2012 04:54:29 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5055 Insiders aren’t shopping much lately:

Click to enlarge

And for comparison, here’s the $SPX Chart for the same period

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts.html/feed 2 http://phantasmix.com/daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=daily-insider-buysell-vs-spy-charts The World Center for Cycles Research: Economic and Other Cycles http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/o3d4iTrjSPw/economic-and-other-cycles.html http://phantasmix.com/economic-and-other-cycles.html#comments Mon, 20 Feb 2012 04:31:23 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5042 Link of interest:
FOUNDATION FOR THE STUDY OF CYCLES, INC.
The World Center for Cycles Research

Their predictions made in 2009.

Established in 1941 by a Harvard economist who had identified a number of cycles in the U.S. economy.

The foundation endeavours to:

  • Discover the causes and conditions for already observed and cataloged cyclic and rhythmic behaviors.
  • Classify discovered causes and conditions with the physical sciences.
  • Incorporate these causes and conditions into the mainstream of modern scientific theory and knowledge.

PS They have a “free e-books” section which unfortunately is missing.
PSS Hmm, pretty much everything is broken at that website (except for this), looks like it hasn’t been updated in awhile.

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/economic-and-other-cycles.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/economic-and-other-cycles.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=economic-and-other-cycles S&P 500 vs TSX http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/NLe3H_1CizY/sp-500-vs-tsx.html http://phantasmix.com/sp-500-vs-tsx.html#comments Tue, 14 Feb 2012 16:34:14 +0000 Phantasmix http://phantasmix.com/?p=5033 S&P500 vs TSX Composite charts. Particularly interesting is the 5-year chart.

There have to be some people who have been waiting for the last 4 years to break even. Wonder if they’ll leave the market once they get there, or will they decide that “markets always go up over time, might as well stay in”? Anyway, looks like that point is relatively close.

Click charts to enlarge

1-Year Chart

5-Year Chart

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/sp-500-vs-tsx.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/sp-500-vs-tsx.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=sp-500-vs-tsx People’s Choice: Gold vs. Silver $GLD $SLV http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/wMWVT0kUYMc/peoples-choice-gold-vs-silver-gld-slv.html http://phantasmix.com/peoples-choice-gold-vs-silver-gld-slv.html#comments Mon, 30 Jan 2012 15:25:51 +0000 Phantasmix http://www.phantasmix.com/?p=4998 I haven’t looked at this in awhile: search term popularity according to Google.

Of course, a lot of the searches are for meDals, not meTals, especially during the Olympics. Still, gold is more popular lately, by about 20%:

Gold

Silver

Gold vs Silver Price Chart

Silver is the lagging black line with the price scale on the left.

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]]> http://phantasmix.com/peoples-choice-gold-vs-silver-gld-slv.html/feed 0 http://phantasmix.com/peoples-choice-gold-vs-silver-gld-slv.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=peoples-choice-gold-vs-silver-gld-slv $SLW Another Year, Another Covered Call, Plus a 3-Year Chart http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/ReMoney/~3/hZXczXv0HvY/slw-another-year-another-covered-call-plus-a-3-year-chart.html http://phantasmix.com/slw-another-year-another-covered-call-plus-a-3-year-chart.html#comments Mon, 23 Jan 2012 20:52:35 +0000 Phantasmix http://www.phantasmix.com/?p=4974 In July 2011 I wrote an in-the-money call against (SLW: 29.65 -4.85%) and it expired worthless last Friday. Hooray for me.

Time to write another one. Based on the chart below, I’m thinking of writing one that’s, again, in the money and maybe a year or two out. I think the stock price will be lower than today at some point which should give me a chance to buy the call back lower. And that kinda sucks ’cause I still have some free-floating, unprotected stock. Oh well.

Trying out a new chart style, monochrome. Red lines are the negatives, green – obviously – the positives.

And here’s a page from a 1934 catalog. I’m calling it “The Joys of Inflation, or See It and Weep”.

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