http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/ en-us Copyright 2009 Fri, 20 Nov 2009 13:02:47 -0600 http://www.sixapart.com/movabletype/?v=3.2 http://blogs.law.harvard.edu/tech/rss The media is stirring up drama regarding tomorrow's vote - namely, they are speculating whether Landrieu and Lincoln will vote with Reid to start debate. Of course they will. Three big reasons: (a) "Keep the Ball Rolling". Tomorrow's vote -... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/tomorrows_anticlimax.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/tomorrows_anticlimax.html Congress Fri, 20 Nov 2009 13:02:47 -0600 With the introduction of Harry Reid's health care bill - talk will inevitably focus on whether the public option or the Stupak amendment will undermine the legislation. Yet, if the bill dies, I do not think either of these will... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/have_democratic_leaders_gone_m.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/have_democratic_leaders_gone_m.html Presidency Fri, 20 Nov 2009 00:00:27 -0600 If you are looking for a good snapshot of where President Obama's job approval is right now, you cannot do better than the RealClearPolitics average. It's intuitive, straightforward, and indispensable. Another way to look at Obama's job approval is to... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/another_look_at_obamas_job_app.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/another_look_at_obamas_job_app.html Polling/Public Opinion Tue, 17 Nov 2009 10:35:39 -0600 This weekend my wife and I went to my in-laws to play pinochle. I play on my mother-in-law's team, and after she pulled double aces, we decided to call it a night. As it usually does, the conversation turned to... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/pinochle_and_the_politics_of_h_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/pinochle_and_the_politics_of_h_1.html Congress Mon, 16 Nov 2009 11:44:18 -0600 So, you've decided to become the leader of a big political party. Only one problem: it's too big! What to do? Well, you've come to the right place. Here at the Horse Race Blog, we've developed a three-step guide to... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/how_to_divide_a_party_in_three_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/how_to_divide_a_party_in_three_1.html Presidency Mon, 09 Nov 2009 00:00:01 -0600 There are a lot of absurd post-election memes floating around out there. For instance, I've seen people suggest that NY-23 has national implications, but the GOP takeover of the NJ governor's race and its running of the tables in VA... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/my_favorite_postelection_meme.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/my_favorite_postelection_meme.html Congress Wed, 04 Nov 2009 20:59:56 -0600 The following points are what we know for certain: 1. The voters of Virginia declared a preference for Bob McDonnell over Creigh Deeds. 2. The voters of New Jersey declared a preference for Chris Christie over Jon Corzine. 3. The... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/what_the_voters_told_us_last_n.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/what_the_voters_told_us_last_n.html Voters/Electorate Wed, 04 Nov 2009 11:41:45 -0600 Wow. The pundit class is in full swing, interpreting the meaning of NY-23. "What's it say about Obama's administration?" "What's it say about the state of the Republican Party?" "What's it say for the upcoming health care debate?" So many... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/five_reasons_ny23_doesnt_tell.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/five_reasons_ny23_doesnt_tell.html 2010 Congressional Election - The House Tue, 03 Nov 2009 09:05:07 -0600 With all the twists and turns in the race for New York's 23rd Congressional District, it seems like it should mean something, right? You don't have all this drama without some higher purpose, or so the thinking goes. Predictably, pundits... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/the_lesson_of_ny23.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/11/the_lesson_of_ny23.html Party System Mon, 02 Nov 2009 00:00:01 -0600 Last week I argued that question wording might be influencing polling outcomes on the public option - generally skewing the results closer to the Democratic side of the ledger because of contested buzzwords like "choice," "competition," and "option." I noted... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/the_public_option_in_the_nbc_n.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/the_public_option_in_the_nbc_n.html Polling/Public Opinion Wed, 28 Oct 2009 12:57:05 -0600 Howard Fineman is perplexed: [T]the pursuit of Snowe is pretty close to obsessive, which is not a good thing either for Democrats or for the prospects of health-care reform worthy of the name. First, Snowe's exaggerated prominence is both the... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/why_is_the_white_house_courtin.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/why_is_the_white_house_courtin.html Congress Mon, 26 Oct 2009 11:26:42 -0600 A few weeks ago, I made this point about understanding what's really happening in the health care debate: One of the problems with writing about Congressional policymaking as it happens is that a lot of the real meaty stuff happens... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/the_problem_with_the_health_ca.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/the_problem_with_the_health_ca.html Congress Fri, 23 Oct 2009 11:58:28 -0600 Progressives in the blogosphere and the halls of Congress are pushing for the so-called "public option." One of their major arguments is that the public wants it. But does it? From a certain perspective, the public option polls very well.... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/does_the_public_want_a_public_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/does_the_public_want_a_public_1.html Polling/Public Opinion Thu, 22 Oct 2009 00:00:01 -0600 Ezra Klein had an interesting read on the health care negotiations taking place in the Senate. Noting that Olympia Snowe is now one of the few participants in the high-level talks, Klein hypothesizes: Democrats really want this bill to be... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/who_is_the_60th_senator_1.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/who_is_the_60th_senator_1.html Congress Fri, 16 Oct 2009 00:00:01 -0600 One of the features of contemporary American politics that I find really interesting is that voters see themselves as ideologues rather than partisans. "I'm a conservative first and a Republican second." Or, "I'm a progressive who happens to affiliate with... http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/republicans_should_be_concerne.html http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2009/10/republicans_should_be_concerne.html Party System Wed, 14 Oct 2009 14:21:12 -0600