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		<title>FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: April 11, 2026</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-11-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-11-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Matt Martell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:00:52 +0000</pubDate>
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		<category><![CDATA[Mailbag]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487285</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[We discuss the terrible Nationals pitching staff, TTO pitching greatness, what Dodgers injuries would keep them from being World Series favorites, and more.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487298" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487298" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487298" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487298" class="wp-caption-text">Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p>I went to the Nationals-Cardinals game on Wednesday afternoon at Nats Park to check in on the two rebuilding clubs early in the season. Washington has been in a perpetual rebuild for pretty much the entirety of the 2020s, while St. Louis just tore its roster down to the studs this past offseason. And yet, with Chaim Bloom installed as the new president of baseball operations, <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/st-louis-cardinals-top-53-prospects/" target="_blank">a deep farm system</a>, and several young position players starting to come into their own, the Cardinals seem to be closer to their next winning season than the Nationals. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s certainly how things played out on Wednesday, when the Cards beat the Nats, 6-1, to take two out of three in the series. St. Louis first baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alec-burleson/27615/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alec Burleson</a>, the team’s second-longest tenured position player, went 3-for-4 and knocked in three runs, and second baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jj-wetherholt/34985/stats/batting" target="_blank">JJ Wetherholt</a> made several slick plays in the field. Wetherholt, who entered this year as the 12th-ranked prospect in baseball, has reached base in all 11 of his starts this year, and he has at least one hit in 10 of them. (He went 0-for-4 with a walk and a run on Wednesday.) The big story, though, was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jordan-walker/27475/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jordan Walker</a>, who hammered his fifth home run of the season in the fifth inning. It was the 17th time in franchise history that a player has homered five times within his first 12 games to start the season. After two below-replacement-level seasons, it seemed less likely that Walker would ever make good on his former top prospect pedigree, but now he looks like a completely different player. He seems way more confident and is making much better swing decisions; he&#8217;s lifting the ball, while walking more and striking out less. Yes, it&#8217;s only been 12 games, but the early returns are promising. He enters Friday night&#8217;s game against the Red Sox slashing .295/.367/.682 with a 192 wRC+.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll talk more about the Nationals in my answer to the first question below. We&#8217;ll also answer your questions about the World Series teams whose players accumulated the most and least WAR by the end of their careers, the potential injuries that would stop the Dodgers from being World Series favorites, and the most successful three-true-outcomes pitchers of all time. But first, I&#8217;d like to remind you that this mailbag is exclusive to FanGraphs Members. If you aren’t yet a Member and would like to keep reading, you can sign up for a Membership <a href="https://plus.fangraphs.com/product/fangraphs-membership/" target="_blank">here</a>. It’s the best way to both experience the site and support our staff, and it comes with a <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-state-of-fangraphs-2025/" target="_blank">bunch of other great benefits</a>. Also, if you’d like to ask a question for an upcoming mailbag, send me an email at <a href="mailto:mailbag@fangraphs.com" target="_blank">mailbag@fangraphs.com</a>.<span id="more-487285"></span></p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>FanGraphs,</p>
<p>You are the best!</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been watching way too many Nationals games this year. We are doing a good job hitting and scoring thus far, but our pitching is the worst I can recall. Other than <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cade-cavalli/27473/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cade Cavalli</a> and maybe <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brad-lord/31972/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Brad Lord</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/foster-griffin/16432/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Foster Griffin</a>, we just stink. Looking at non-Rockies teams, what is the worst pitching staff of the modern era? I know it&#8217;s early, but how close are we to rivaling them?</p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Nats Fan</em></p>
<p>Hi, Nats Fan! First off, thank you for your question, your kind words, and your support.</p>
<p>You&#8217;re absolutely onto something here. The 2026 Nationals just might have the worst pitching staff ever assembled through their first 12 games. I&#8217;m writing this Friday afternoon before the Nats play the Brewers in Milwaukee, so all of the statistics below are as of the end of play Thursday. Nationals pitchers have produced -1.8 WAR across their 107 innings this season. That is the worst WAR figure for any pitching staff through a team&#8217;s first 12 games since at least 1974, which is as far back as we have data tracking game-by-game team WAR. If they keep this up, they will be the first pitching staff to finish below replacement level since Allegheny City, a precursor to the Pittsburgh Pirates, produced -2.3 pitching WAR in 1890.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, historically bad pitching is all too familiar for Washington fans. The worst modern pitching staff over a full season is the 2022 Nationals, who were exactly replacement level. That group of pitchers actually got off to a solid start. The 2022 Nats played a doubleheader for their 12th and 13th games, but through their first 13 games of the season, their pitchers had amassed 1.7 WAR, the eighth most in the majors. They had by far the worst pitching staff for the rest of the season, however, combining for -1.4 WAR over their final 149 games.</p>
<p>Do I think this year&#8217;s group is going to finish below replacement level? No, probably not. Our Depth Charts project Nats starters to post 7.9 WAR for the rest of the season; their relievers, 0.3. But based on what I saw on Wednesday, and what you&#8217;ve seen watching, by your own admission, “way too many Nationals games this year,” I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s out of the question that this staff could do it. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miles-mikolas/9803/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Miles Mikolas</a>, the veteran of the staff, labored through three innings against his former team. He allowed just two runs, but the Cardinals threatened for more than that, tallying five hits and three walks. There&#8217;s a reason manager <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-butera/sa827148/stats/batting" target="_blank">Blake Butera</a> went to his abysmal bullpen so soon; Mikolas clearly didn&#8217;t have it. Through three starts, Mikolas has a ghastly 12.41 ERA and an 8.34 FIP. Lord, one of the pitchers you cited as an exception to the stinking, came on in relief and pitched well enough. The only hit he gave up in three innings was the solo shot to Walker. Things got dicey and dragged after that, though, as <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cionel-perez/19614/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cionel Pérez</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cole-henry/27570/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cole Henry</a> surrendered another three runs. The team&#8217;s final pitching line: six runs, all earned, eight hits, seven walks, one hit-by-pitch, nine strikeouts, one home run. It was the seventh straight game in which the Nationals gave up six or more runs.</p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>People like to talk about the World Series teams that had the most eventual Hall of Famers and whether they won or lost, but another perspective is WAR. Which World Series team’s players had the most (or least) cumulative WAR at the time of their World Series? Alternatively, which team’s players eventually accumulated the most (or least) WAR by the end of their respective careers?</p>
<p>TTFN,<br />
Guy Arrigoni</em></p>
<p><strong>Matt Martell and Jon Becker</strong>: We answered the first part of this question in <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-4-2026/" target="_blank">last week&#8217;s mailbag</a>, so now we&#8217;ll turn to the World Series teams whose players accumulated the most and least WAR by the end of their careers. Let&#8217;s start with the 10 pennant-winning teams with the most career WAR:</p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Most Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>2000</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>46</td>
<td>1038.5</td>
<td>22.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1996</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>48</td>
<td>951.5</td>
<td>19.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2003</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>49</td>
<td>950.7</td>
<td>19.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1997</td>
<td>Cleveland Indians</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>46</td>
<td>920.0</td>
<td>20.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1978</td>
<td>Los Angeles Dodgers</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>38</td>
<td>913.2</td>
<td>24.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1983</td>
<td>Philadelphia Phillies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>44</td>
<td>909.6</td>
<td>20.7</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2009</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>45</td>
<td>905.6</td>
<td>20.1</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1995</td>
<td>Cleveland Indians</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>41</td>
<td>903.4</td>
<td>22.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2001</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>47</td>
<td>877.9</td>
<td>18.7</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1996</td>
<td>Atlanta Braves</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>42</td>
<td>872.9</td>
<td>20.8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>It’s not surprising to see the 2000 Yankees at the top of the list, considering the core of that roster included a pair of Hall of Famers, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/derek-jeter/826/stats/batting" target="_blank">Derek Jeter</a> (73.0 WAR) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mariano-rivera/844/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mariano Rivera</a> (39.1), as well as plenty of other players whom many deem to be Hall of Fame worthy, such as <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/roger-clemens/815/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Roger Clemens</a> (134.3), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andy-pettitte/840/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Andy Pettitte</a> (67.9), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/david-cone/1680/stats/pitching" target="_blank">David Cone</a> (56.7), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jorge-posada/841/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jorge Posada</a> (40.9), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bernie-williams/857/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bernie Williams</a> (43.9), not to mention All-Stars <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-oneill/1009818/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paul O’Neill</a> (41.0), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tino-martinez/1168/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tino Martinez</a> (28.7), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chuck-knoblauch/609/stats/batting" target="_blank">Chuck Knoblauch</a> (39.8). But what puts that club over the top is the group of complementary players who weren’t there for that whole Yankees dynasty but had great careers in their own right. In addition to Jeter and Knoblauch, the 2000 Yankees featured three other former Rookie of the Year winners: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dwight-gooden/1004852/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dwight Gooden</a> (60.6), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/david-justice/923/stats/batting" target="_blank">David Justice</a> (40.4), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-canseco/1001918/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jose Canseco</a> (42.1). Oh, and a 24-year-old <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alfonso-soriano/847/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alfonso Soriano</a> also appeared in 22 games, adding his 39.0 WAR to the 2002 Yankees’ total.</p>
<p>As with part one of the question, we&#8217;re also going to sort by that last column, average career WAR. As mentioned last week, the raw total method is going to skew toward more recent teams since rosters have grown larger and more cycled-through: </p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Highest Average Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>1923</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>25</td>
<td>760.7</td>
<td>30.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1939</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>777.8</td>
<td>28.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1905</td>
<td>New York Giants</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>21</td>
<td>599.1</td>
<td>28.5</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1932</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>32</td>
<td>863.2</td>
<td>27.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1928</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>30</td>
<td>811.2</td>
<td>27.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1930</td>
<td>Philadelphia Athletics</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>30</td>
<td>809.2</td>
<td>27.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1927</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>25</td>
<td>667.7</td>
<td>26.7</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1962</td>
<td>San Francisco Giants</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>825.6</td>
<td>26.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1932</td>
<td>Chicago Cubs</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>817.2</td>
<td>26.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1911</td>
<td>New York Giants</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>28</td>
<td>728.6</td>
<td>26.0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>As expected, sorting by highest average WAR per player brings plenty of earlier teams to the forefront, starting with the 1923 Yankees. They were led, of course, by <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/babe-ruth/1011327/stats/batting" target="_blank">Babe Ruth</a> (179.4 WAR) and a rotation anchored by Hall of Famers <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/herb-pennock/1010161/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Herb Pennock</a> (47.5) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/waite-hoyt/1006115/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Waite Hoyt</a> (45.8), plus stalwarts <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-shawkey/1011825/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Bob Shawkey</a> (34.2), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-jones/1006589/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sad Sam Jones</a></a> (42.0), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carl-mays/1008313/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Carl Mays</a> (43.5). Joining Ruth in their lineup was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-meusel/1008817/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bob Meusel</a> (28.7), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wally-schang/1011521/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wally Schang</a> (41.0), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wally-pipp/1010365/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wally Pipp</a> (31.6). <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lou-gehrig/1004598/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lou Gehrig</a> would not displace Pipp as the Yankees’ starting first baseman until June 1, 1925, but a 20-year-old Iron Horse did appear in the first 13 games of his career during the 1923 season, so that year’s Yankees also get all of his 115.9 WAR.</p>
<p>It’s fitting, then, that the second team on this list was Gehrig’s final club. By the beginning of 1939, ALS was breaking down his body; he asked manager Joe McCarthy to keep him out of the lineup on May 2, ending his streak of consecutive games played at 2,130. He never played again, but because he played eight games that season, his career WAR also counts for the 1939 Yankees. That team’s average WAR is also propped up by Hall of Famers <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-dimaggio/1003311/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joe DiMaggio</a> (82.6 WAR), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-gordon/1004874/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joe Gordon</a> (60.4), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bill-dickey/1003271/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bill Dickey</a> (56.1), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/red-ruffing/1011296/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Red Ruffing</a> (68.3), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lefty-gomez/1004821/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Lefty Gomez</a> (30.0), as well as shortstop <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/frankie-crosetti/1002802/stats/batting" target="_blank">Frankie Crosetti</a> (27.8), third baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/red-rolfe/1011157/stats/batting" target="_blank">Red Rolfe</a> (26.4), and right fielder <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/charlie-keller/1006768/stats/batting" target="_blank">Charlie Keller</a> (45.7). You might recall we covered Keller’s career, which was on a Hall of Fame trajectory before injuries limited him to part-time duty after his age-29 season, in our <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-january-24-2026/" target="_blank">January 24 edition of the mailbag</a>. </p>
<p>You’ll also notice that the 1962 Giants are the only post-integration team in the top 10, and many of the players who contributed most to their placement on this list — such as Hall of Famers <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/willie-mays/1008315/stats/batting" target="_blank">Willie Mays</a> (149.8 WAR), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/willie-mccovey/1008423/stats/batting" target="_blank">Willie McCovey</a> (67.4), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/orlando-cepeda/1002103/stats/batting" target="_blank">Orlando Cepeda</a> (50.5), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-marichal/1008106/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Juan Marichal</a> (61.7), along with the Alou brothers, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/felipe-alou/1000177/stats/batting" target="_blank">Felipe</a> (38.1) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matty-alou/1000179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Matty</a> (20.4) — wouldn&#8217;t have been allowed to play in the big leagues in an earlier era. The 1962 Giants also had Hall of Very Good pitcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/billy-pierce/1010326/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Billy Pierce</a> (52.2) and a first-year right-handed pitcher named <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gaylord-perry/1010210/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gaylord Perry</a>. Perry made it into just 13 games that season, but his 97.4 career WAR total is the second highest on the team.</p>
<p>Of the 10 teams at the bottom of the list in total WAR, just three won the World Series, all three before integration:</p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Lowest Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>1914</td>
<td>Boston Braves</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>34</td>
<td>347.4</td>
<td>10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1944</td>
<td>St. Louis Browns</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>33</td>
<td>355.1</td>
<td>10.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1906</td>
<td>Chicago White Sox</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>25</td>
<td>373.7</td>
<td>14.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2014</td>
<td>Kansas City Royals</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>48</td>
<td>378.1</td>
<td>7.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1993</td>
<td>Philadelphia Phillies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>391.1</td>
<td>9.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1920</td>
<td>Brooklyn Robins</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>29</td>
<td>402.0</td>
<td>13.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1984</td>
<td>San Diego Padres</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>405.7</td>
<td>13.1</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1943</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>26</td>
<td>415.5</td>
<td>16.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1945</td>
<td>Chicago Cubs</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>37</td>
<td>429.4</td>
<td>11.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1905</td>
<td>Philadelphia Athletics</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>19</td>
<td>434.8</td>
<td>22.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>There’s an early baseball flavor to this list, too, owing to the smaller rosters, but the 2014 Royals stand out. Kansas City had several core contributors who had nice careers on that team, among them <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alex-gordon/5209/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alex Gordon</a> (31.5 WAR), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lorenzo-cain/9077/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lorenzo Cain</a> (30.6), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-shields/7059/stats/pitching" target="_blank">James Shields</a> (32.5), but that roster wasn’t as beefed up as the one from the following year. The 2015 Royals won the championship with a roster that had 85 more WAR, a lot of that coming from deadline acquisitions <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johnny-cueto/6893/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Johnny Cueto</a> (29.0) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ben-zobrist/7435/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ben Zobrist</a> (42.7). It’s also worth noting that the hallmark of those two Royals ballclubs was the bullpen, and relievers tend to be fickle, and even the great ones don’t amass as much WAR as the greatest players at other positions. </p>
<p>Another thing to consider: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/salvador-perez/7304/stats/batting" target="_blank">Salvador Perez</a> (18.9 WAR) is still active and could add to the totals for both the 2014 and 2015 Royals. Because we’re using our WAR instead of Baseball Reference’s version, which does not include catcher framing, Perez is contributing a lot less value. Perez is worth 35.1 WAR according to B-Ref, and if we use that figure for him instead, the 2014 Royals jump to 395.0 WAR. That would flip them below the 1993 Phillies, a team we’ll discuss in the next section.</p>
<p>Sorting by the lowest average gives the 2014 Royals a clean sweep of both categories, and that 2015 club pops into the top 10, too:</p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Lowest Average Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>2014</td>
<td>Kansas City Royals</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>48</td>
<td>378.1</td>
<td>7.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2007</td>
<td>Colorado Rockies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>53</td>
<td>444.8</td>
<td>8.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1993</td>
<td>Philadelphia Phillies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>391.1</td>
<td>9.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2015</td>
<td>Kansas City Royals</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>46</td>
<td>463.1</td>
<td>10.1</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1914</td>
<td>Boston Braves</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>34</td>
<td>347.4</td>
<td>10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2010</td>
<td>San Francisco Giants</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>42</td>
<td>440.2</td>
<td>10.5</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2012</td>
<td>San Francisco Giants</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>45</td>
<td>472.1</td>
<td>10.5</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2015</td>
<td>New York Mets</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>49</td>
<td>517.0</td>
<td>10.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1944</td>
<td>St. Louis Browns</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>33</td>
<td>355.1</td>
<td>10.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2013</td>
<td>St. Louis Cardinals</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>44</td>
<td>476.7</td>
<td>10.8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>Hall of Famer <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/todd-helton/432/stats/batting" target="_blank">Todd Helton</a> (54.9 WAR), All-Stars <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/troy-tulowitzki/3531/stats/batting" target="_blank">Troy Tulowitzki</a> (37.8) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matt-holliday/1873/stats/batting" target="_blank">Matt Holliday</a> (49.5), and a cameo from late-career <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steve-finley/54/stats/batting" target="_blank">Steve Finley</a> (40.4) helped to keep the 2007 Rockies out of the top spot, but that was a roster filled with pitchers who had short peaks and hitters whose WAR totals were dampened by Coors Field park factors. The only other team with less than 10 career WAR per player, the 1993 Phillies, rostered no Hall of Fame players, with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/curt-schilling/73/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Curt Schilling</a> (78.9) the closest to being enshrined in Cooperstown.</p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>My baseball-loving son asked me this question, so I&#8217;m forwarding it onto the experts: How many players being injured (let&#8217;s assume out for the year) would it take for the Dodgers to no longer be the World Series favorites? Specifically, he was wondering if the Dodgers would still be favored if they lost both <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shohei-ohtani/19755/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shohei Ohtani</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yoshinobu-yamamoto/33825/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yoshinobu Yamamoto</a>, or would it take losing some larger combination of players like Ohtani, Yamamoto, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mookie-betts/13611/stats/batting" target="_blank">Mookie Betts</a>?</p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Rob White</em></p>
<p><strong>Dan Szymborski</strong>: Hi Rob,</p>
<p>It’s always fun to play the uncaring, cruel deity of baseball, so this question is a blast to answer. As of Friday afternoon, ZiPS has the Dodgers at 22.5% odds to win the World Series, with a big drop-off before getting to the next team, the Yankees, at 12.9%. It helps the Dodgers that they’re projected as the best team and the team with the clearest path to a division title and a bye.</p>
<p>So, as you might surmise, you have to do a lot to no longer make the Dodgers the favorites to win the World Series, though I should note that even being favored still leaves nearly four out of five scenarios in which they <em>won&#8217;t</em> win the World Series. Losing Ohtani alone isn&#8217;t actually enough to cripple the Dodgers, even with how good he is, because the Ohtani-less Dodgers are still an 88- to 90-win team. That&#8217;s enough to be the strongest team in the division by the projections. The Dodgers currently lead the NL West by a couple of games, and while that cushion is not an insurmountable barrier, it still keeps them as heavy favorites to win the division and one of the two teams most likely to secure a bye.</p>
<p>Removing Ohtani <em>and</em> Yamamoto, on the other hand, is enough for the Dodgers to lose their status as World Series favorites. That&#8217;s a lot of value to lose, and it brings the Dodgers to down to a projection of about 86-87 wins; they’d still be the best in the division, but their probability to win the West would drop down to 60%. And with Los Angeles no longer a heavy favorite in the division, and actually a slight underdog for a bye, coupled with just being weaker, the team would see its World Series odds drop to 10.1%, with the Yankees up to 16.9%.</p>
<p>Because mission creep is part of life, I also checked to see how I could make the Dodgers no longer the favorites to win the NL West. To do that, I had to knock off both <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-tucker/18345/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kyle Tucker</a> and Mookie Betts. Doing so would make them slightly weaker than the non-Rockies NL West teams for the rest of the season, and thus more likely than not to lose their small cushion in the division. For this to happen, they would need a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sXIrfcMRQhs">Homer at the Bat level of misfortune</a>.</p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>Hi Matt and the mailbag team,</p>
<p>Longtime member, first-time question writer here. I am thoroughly entranced by <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-williams/30122/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gavin Williams</a>’ unusual stat line to start the 2026 season. In 17 and 2/3 innings across three starts, he has recorded 25 strikeouts while only allowing five hits. Wow! But he has also allowed 14 walks. Whoa! And two of those five hits have been home runs. This dogged commitment to the truest outcomes made me wonder how often pitchers have seasons with more walks than hits allowed, and ultimately, who is the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rob-deer/1003137/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rob Deer</a> (or <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/true-outcome-players-through-time/" target="_blank">should we say</a> <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jim-thome/409/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jim Thome</a>) of the pitching world. I&#8217;m seeing <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nolan-ryan/1011348/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Nolan Ryan</a>’s 1977 season with 341 strikeouts, 198 hits, and 204 walks over 299 innings as a pretty wild time, yet he only allowed a measly 12 home runs. Who else strolls this erratic path to TTO pitching greatness?</p>
<p>Thank you for your thorough and entertaining work,<br />
Will Spangler / ismailadieme</em></p>
<p><strong>Michael Baumann</strong>: Thanks for the question, Will. You’ve hit on two essential truths of baseball. First: Gavin Williams is a good pitcher, but he will walk you if you let him. If you ever find yourself alone in the woods with a wild Gavin Williams, just stand still and he might let you pass. Second: The back-in-my-day curmudgeons who pine for Nolan Ryan while bemoaning how TTO-y the game has become are achieving feats of cognitive dissonance you or I could hardly fathom. Sometimes when I’m in a bad mood, I think about reactivating my Facebook account and posting “Nolan Ryan was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carlos-marmol/2790/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Carlos Marmol</a> with a good PR team” just to piss people off.</p>
<p>I’d like to thank Matt for giving me your question, because I was able to answer it within two minutes, thanks to Stathead. Full seasons with more walks than hits are exceedingly rare: Only five qualified pitchers in AL/NL history have done it.</p>
<p>As you said, Ryan achieved (if that’s the right word) this feat in 1977. He never won a Cy Young Award, but two of the other four pitchers with a walks-over-hits season did at some point in their careers: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/randy-johnson/60/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Randy Johnson</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-turley/1013225/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Bob Turley</a>, who had more walks than hits in both 1954 and 1955. The other two pitchers — <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tommy-byrne/1001801/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Tommy Byrne</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-jones/1006590/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Toothpick Sam Jones</a> — were All-Stars in their own right. (Toothpick Sam Jones is, unfortunately, not the career leader in pitcher WAR among pitchers named Sam Jones; that’d be <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-jones/1006589/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sad Sam Jones</a>, mentioned earlier in this mailbag. Neither should be confused with 1960s NBA superstar Sam Jones.)</p>
<p>I guess the takeaway here is that if a major league team gives a pitcher a full season of starts even while he’s walking the whole park, said pitcher must be really talented.</p>
<p>Lowering the innings threshold to 100, this is still a pretty rare occurrence: 18 times by 13 pitchers in the past 125 years. Lowering the innings threshold further, we start to get some power relievers in the picture: With a 50-inning minimum, we have 61 pitchers going walks-over-hits a total of 81 times. Marmol (I didn’t know this when I wrote the joke in the first paragraph of this answer) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aroldis-chapman/10233/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Aroldis Chapman</a> have done it four times each. Turley, Byrne, and (turns around three times and spits) <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mitch-williams/1014025/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mitch Williams</a> got there three times apiece.</p>
<p>I don’t think it will surprise anyone to learn that we’re getting more and more of these seasons recently. For starters, with 30 teams and massive modern bullpens, there are more pitcher seasons to choose from. And strikeout rates are at historic highs, while hits per nine innings are on the low end of historical norms. (Nothing beats the second deadball era of 1968.)</p>
<p>Of the 81 50-inning walks-over-hits seasons, 39 have come since 1995, 24 have come since 2010, and a whopping 11 have come since 2021. But only one total in 2024 and 2025, so maybe the pendulum is swinging the other direction now.</p>
<p>In the interest of giving you your money’s worth for this question, I also considered the larger question of who the TTO king of pitchers is, because that’s not merely a question of walking more guys than a pitcher strikes out.</p>
<p>So I went back, back, back through baseball history, taking every season by a pitcher who qualified for the ERA title. After removing seasons from before batters faced was a stat, along with 2020, because it’s fake, we have a sample of 7,924 individual seasons. Here are the top 10 in terms of TTO%.</p>
<div class="table-container table-green" style="max-width: 500px;">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">The Top TTO Pitcher Seasons in AL/NL History</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Season</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>TTO%</th>
<th>HR%</th>
<th>BB%</th>
<th>SO%</th>
<th>TBF</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>2019</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gerrit-cole/13125/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gerrit Cole</a></td>
<td>HOU</td>
<td>49.33%</td>
<td>3.55%</td>
<td>5.88%</td>
<td>39.90%</td>
<td>817</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1998</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kerry-wood/304/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kerry Wood</a></td>
<td>CHC</td>
<td>47.50%</td>
<td>2.00%</td>
<td>12.16%</td>
<td>33.33%</td>
<td>699</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2023</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/spencer-strider/27498/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Spencer Strider</a></td>
<td>ATL</td>
<td>47.31%</td>
<td>2.88%</td>
<td>7.60%</td>
<td>36.83%</td>
<td>763</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2017</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robbie-ray/11486/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Robbie Ray</a></td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td>46.92%</td>
<td>3.46%</td>
<td>10.68%</td>
<td>32.78%</td>
<td>665</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2023</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-snell/13543/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Blake Snell</a></td>
<td>SDP</td>
<td>46.90%</td>
<td>2.02%</td>
<td>13.34%</td>
<td>31.54%</td>
<td>742</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2019</td>
<td>Robbie Ray</td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td>46.72%</td>
<td>4.02%</td>
<td>11.24%</td>
<td>31.46%</td>
<td>747</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2001</td>
<td>Randy Johnson</td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td>46.48%</td>
<td>1.91%</td>
<td>7.14%</td>
<td>37.42%</td>
<td>994</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1997</td>
<td>Randy Johnson</td>
<td>SEA</td>
<td>45.65%</td>
<td>2.35%</td>
<td>9.06%</td>
<td>34.24%</td>
<td>850</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2013</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yu-darvish/13074/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yu Darvish</a></td>
<td>TEX</td>
<td>45.54%</td>
<td>3.09%</td>
<td>9.51%</td>
<td>32.94%</td>
<td>841</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2018</td>
<td>Gerrit Cole</td>
<td>HOU</td>
<td>44.93%</td>
<td>2.38%</td>
<td>8.01%</td>
<td>34.54%</td>
<td>799</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>Again, no surprise that recent pitchers dominate this list. Wood, Ryan, and Johnson are the only 20th Century pitchers in the top 30. Modern baseball is, after all, dominated by strikeouts and home runs.</p>
<p>But TTO King feels like it should be a career achievement award. So I took the 1,063 pitchers who have thrown 1,000 or more innings in the AL and NL since 1916 (the first year batters faced appears in our database) and ranked them.</p>
<div class="table-container table-green" style="max-width: 500px;">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">The Top TTO Pitcher Careers in AL/NL History</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Name</th>
<th>TTO%</th>
<th>HR%</th>
<th>BB%</th>
<th>SO%</th>
<th>TBF</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Blake Snell</td>
<td>43.25%</td>
<td>2.32%</td>
<td>10.87%</td>
<td>30.06%</td>
<td>4791</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Robbie Ray</td>
<td>41.91%</td>
<td>3.54%</td>
<td>9.96%</td>
<td>28.41%</td>
<td>6166</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-cease/18525/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dylan Cease</a></td>
<td>41.51%</td>
<td>2.78%</td>
<td>10.00%</td>
<td>28.73%</td>
<td>4348</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Kerry Wood</td>
<td>40.87%</td>
<td>2.52%</td>
<td>11.36%</td>
<td>26.98%</td>
<td>5863</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Randy Johnson</td>
<td>39.74%</td>
<td>2.41%</td>
<td>8.77%</td>
<td>28.56%</td>
<td>17067</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Yu Darvish</td>
<td>39.27%</td>
<td>3.16%</td>
<td>7.71%</td>
<td>28.41%</td>
<td>7305</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Nolan Ryan</td>
<td>39.12%</td>
<td>1.42%</td>
<td>12.38%</td>
<td>25.31%</td>
<td>22574</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-sale/10603/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Sale</a></td>
<td>39.08%</td>
<td>2.56%</td>
<td>5.82%</td>
<td>30.70%</td>
<td>8452</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-degrom/10954/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jacob deGrom</a></td>
<td>38.77%</td>
<td>2.43%</td>
<td>5.69%</td>
<td>30.65%</td>
<td>6082</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/oliver-perez/1514/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Oliver Pérez</a></td>
<td>38.77%</td>
<td>3.06%</td>
<td>11.79%</td>
<td>23.92%</td>
<td>6464</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>Again, it skews toward the recent.</p>
<p>Snell takes the grand prize, followed by Ray and Cease. I’m sure I will one day give a less surprising answer to a mailbag question, but I don’t know how. Without going through the trouble of a quantitative era adjustment, Ryan’s place high up on the list — again, one of the most predictable findings in the history of sabermetrics — was such a historical aberration I’d feel odd giving the crown to anyone else. With respect to other trendsetting mid-century power pitchers like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sandy-koufax/1007124/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sandy Koufax</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-mcdowell/1008476/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sam McDowell</a>, no pitcher in history wasted his fielders’ time quite like Ryan did.</p>
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<p><a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-11-2026/" rel="nofollow">Source</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Effectively Wild Episode 2464: Hello, Dolly!</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2464-hello-dolly/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2464-hello-dolly/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Lindbergh]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Apr 2026 07:37:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Effectively Wild]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487317</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please visit our Patreon. Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the bad omen of a broken bat on an Ichiro Suzuki statue, whether Mason Miller is, at this moment, the best pitcher ever on a batter-per-batter basis, and how to label atypical [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img decoding="async" src="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png" alt="EWFI" width="590" height="206" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-242076" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png 590w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi-300x105.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px" /><br />
<em>This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please <a href="https://www.patreon.com/effectivelywild" target="_blank">visit our Patreon</a>.</em></p>
<p>Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the bad omen of a broken bat on an <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ichiro-suzuki/1101/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ichiro Suzuki</a> statue, whether <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Miller</a> is, at this moment, the best pitcher ever on a batter-per-batter basis, and how to label atypical pitches, then Stat Blast (30:00) about team promotional giveaways, age and debut gaps among MLB brothers, and switch-hitters who hit higher in the lineup from one side. Then (47:58) Ben talks to 88-year-old All-American Girls Professional Baseball League pitcher Dolly &#8220;Lippy&#8221; Vanderlip about growing up as the lone girl in games against boys, joining the AAGPBL at age 15, playing for manager <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jimmie-foxx/1004285/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jimmie Foxx</a>, life on and off the field, the end of the league, how <em>A League of Their Own</em> revitalized interest in the AAGPBL, the impending launch of the Women&#8217;s Pro Baseball League, and more.</p>
<p><strong>Audio&nbsp;intro</strong>: Tom Rhoads, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1K07EyCA31NglTFT3h8Rdiiu0lpDyz9u_/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<strong>Audio&nbsp;interstitial</strong>: Moon Hound, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nUFPNuHpOrpem0flIdJO-zbMml2BaR_a/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<strong>Audio&nbsp;outro</strong>: Alex Glossman and Ali Breneman, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LwE1yLYIymQe16tQBjqWkF9Tx8DNlZez/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<br />
<a href="https://x.com/RyanDivish/status/2042674134543667310" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to broken statue video</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/DKramer_/status/2042678768880488566" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to broken statue image</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/Mariners/status/2042690565746376905" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mariners joke tweet</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/NikoTamurian/status/2042676213043597447" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to statue being fixed</a><br />
<a href="https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/ichiro-delivered-perfect-joke-statue-200805882.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to statue story summary</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=&amp;age=&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sortcol=17&amp;sortdir=default&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mariners wRC+ ranking</a><br />
<a href="https://effectivelywild.fandom.com/wiki/Episode_1565:_Three_Arms,_You%E2%80%99re_Out" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to three arms episode</a><br />
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/nathanhb.bsky.social/post/3mj5zu73zjc23" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Wicker Man post</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;type=1&amp;month=0&amp;ind=1&amp;qual=50&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=&amp;enddate=&amp;season1=1998&amp;season=2026&amp;sortcol=7&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to highest K% for RP</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;type=8&amp;month=0&amp;ind=1&amp;qual=50&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=&amp;enddate=&amp;season1=1998&amp;season=2026&amp;sortcol=19&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to lowest FIP for RP</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/pitch-type-splits?position=P" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miller pitch-type splits</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;startdate=2025-08-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09&amp;team=0&amp;sortcol=18&amp;sortdir=asc&amp;qual=20" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miller&#8217;s stats as a Padre</a><br />
<a href="https://www.joesheehan.com/2026/04/newsletter-excerpt-april-6-2026-mason-k.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Sheehan on Miller</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/xander-bogaerts-hits-grand-slam-in-12th-for-padres-first-walk-off-win" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Padres-Rockies game story</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;team=0%2Css&amp;stats=sta&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB SP stats</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;team=0%2Css&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB RP stats</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09&amp;team=0%2Cts" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to team RP stats</a><br />
<a href="https://bandwagon.ghost.io/what-would-you-call-this-pitch/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Crizer on Imai</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/tatsuya-imai-wrong-way-slider-movement" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB.com on Imai</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/MLBNetwork/status/1998906576346976736" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBN on Imai</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/tatsuya-imai-837227?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb#statcast-pitch-arsenal" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Imai&#8217;s Savant arsenal</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shuuto" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to shuuto wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11oaeS97z60B21FBF1sQwYIWSLxrFzJyUQC-Bic5mzek/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 2025 promotions data</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AptGSN767znocaRAmszEeskjEaCcWJ7sZlh6-6Gd-os/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to team giveaway rates</a><br />
<a href="https://apnews.com/article/white-sox-pope-leo-hat-be997daeb1c394ede0cd9782c99a95f8" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Sox giveaway expansion</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HF7ISwD3m9yvhBfPlz9Hiwiw7cPNm6OOR-9gP1g-7mI/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB brothers data</a><br />
<a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/19569/bp-unfiltered-guerrero-brothers-and-birthdates/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ben on Guerrero birthdates</a><br />
<a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/art-fowler/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Art Fowler SABR bio</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ibKVpcpCx8AgX_YOFPBOCo4H7Yody2SMAUFofb0GL00/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to switch-hitters info</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tc1brO-rxTYbtrehiTeTb_QRtmUcFX0yoO1VRcM4CYI/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to switch-hitters data</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hello,_Dolly!_(song)" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to &#8220;Hello, Dolly!&#8221; wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dolly_Vanderlip" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dolly&#8217;s wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://www.aagpbl.org/profiles/dolly-vanderlip-ozburn-lippy/190" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dolly&#8217;s AAGPBL player page</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All-American_Girls_Professional_Baseball_League" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to AAGPBL wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Women%27s_Pro_Baseball_League" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to WPBL wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://www.narratively.com/p/the-hidden-queer-history-behind-a-league-of-their-own" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to AAGPBL queer history</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/maybelle-blair-on-coming-out-at-95-and-a-new-league-of-their-own" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Blair article 1</a><br />
<a href="https://www.outsports.com/2025/5/8/24111140/maybelle-blair-being-out-gay-womens-baseball-player/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Blair article 2</a><br />
<a href="https://andrewballnotes.substack.com/p/mlb-extensions-the-same-bet-made" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ball on extensions</a><br />
<a href="https://neilpaine.substack.com/p/the-red-sox-bet-big-on-roman-anthony" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Paine on extensions 1</a><br />
<a href="https://neilpaine.substack.com/p/how-mlbs-big-extension-bets-are-changing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Paine on extensions 2</a><br />
<a href="https://firstpitch.streamlit.app/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to First Pitch site</a><br />
<a href="https://groundscrewbaseball.com/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Grounds Crew Baseball site</a><br />
<a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/sharing/4VUYb" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mariners Stathead</a></p>
<p>
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		<title>Eric Longenhagen Prospect Chat: 4/10/2026</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/eric-longenhagen-prospect-chat-4-10-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/eric-longenhagen-prospect-chat-4-10-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Longenhagen]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 16:00:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Chat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487276</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Come chat A's, my upcoming Florida trip, and whatever else.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="chat_box">
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<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: What&#8217;s up party people? Happy Friday from my old man&#8217;s place in Catty, and thanks for being patient while I helped my grandmother with some stuff this morning. I&#8217;m gonna keep things to about 45 minutes today so I can catch my flight to Florida.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: Eric, thanks as always for your thorough work and unparalleled depth in the A&#8217;s prospect list. This is like Christmas morning for me!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Hey thanks, it was fun to sit on them for a bunch of the spring and feel good about wrapping my arms around the whole lot of these fellas. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-morris/sa3023206/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Morris</a>!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:33</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: A 45 FV is a big jump in your eval of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/junior-perez/sa3005744/stats/batting" target="_blank">Junior Perez</a>, considering he didn&#8217;t get a mention on their list last year. What changed for you? Just more confidence in the whole profile thanks to contact and defense gains?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:34</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I was too light on his CF defense last cycle and that piece is the biggest reason why Perez &gt; Bolte.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:34</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Dave T</span>: Is MIL <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jon-adams/sa3020135/stats/batting" target="_blank">Luke Adams</a>’ overly-passive hitting profile sustainable? His contact quality and approach are excellent, but he’s still not swinging the bat enough. And I’m worried about his defense.</p>
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<p><span id="more-487276"></span></p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:35</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: We have him in as a 1 WAR role player type, more the sort who is on the fringe of the roster than playing daily. Just light on power for a guy with his defensive limitations. Still a big leaguer, but of limited impact.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:36</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">JK</span>: Nice start from <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-kilen/sa3035353/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gavin Kilen</a> on the year. What would you like to see from him this year?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:38</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Saw a lot of him this spring, the bat to ball piece is there, didn&#8217;t get to see him do a ton on defense. I hope they promote him to Richmond fairly quickly, like say by the end of May? I wanna see him challenged.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:38</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">War2D2</span>: Eric! I noticed that both <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/owen-caissie/27496/stats/batting" target="_blank">Owen Caissie</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edward-cabrera/21690/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Edward Cabrera</a> are tearing up the league at present—Caissie is running up a 170+ wRC+, and Cabrera is pitching like an ace, and depending on the flavor you look at both of them have already accrued half a WAR. Crossing fingers for health of course, and taking into consideration “it’s April,” but this is looking like a case of both teams getting exactly what they wanted out of a deal. No real question, I just love it when a plan comes together.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;m with you, Cabrera always feels like a ticking time bomb for injury and if Miami got an everyday bat out of that deal, it&#8217;s a long term win for them. Conversely, Eddie has always been a &#8220;but if things clic for this guy he&#8217;s gonna have a 6 or 7 WAR season, and if the Cubbies have caught lightning in a bottle for even two of his three years just because they had an OF logjam to trade from? That&#8217;s nice.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: (Bill Walton voice) Equilibrium!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Derek</span>: Is Lagrange the Yankee&#8217;s 8th inning guy by June?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;d wanna jump through the hoops you&#8217;d have to jump through that soon. You&#8217;re stunting his development by doing it that early, and you have to make other roster moves to accommodate it&#8230; I think the time to do it would be late, late in the year. If it&#8217;s obvious he&#8217;s one of your twelve best arms in August and you&#8217;re in the thick of a playoff push, let&#8217;s roll.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: Was a bit surprised to see <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/breyson-guedez/sa3067688/stats/batting" target="_blank">Breyson Guedez</a> with only a 30 future hit tool, given his plus contact rates and your mention of his power/hit combo. I assume it&#8217;s because of the chase rate?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: That&#8217;s a typo I need to fix</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:43</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: thanks for catching it. He does need a reduction below the raw contact quality to account for the chase but not *that* much</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I can&#8217;t tweak it on The Board at the moment because Meg is editing the Rangers list, but I&#8217;ll fix it in the post itself as we go here.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: He&#8217;s good, I loved getting to watch him against older opponents this spring.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">A&#8217;s fan</span>: In the case of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenya-huggins/sa3020609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenya Huggins</a> how do you balance the results on the changeup vs the movement profile itself?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: When the sample is that small (he only threw 110 changeups all of last year) just trust your eyes</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Jim</span>: Any realistic chance that <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/thomas-white/sa3025383/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tommy White</a> can play a passable 3B defensively?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: He&#8217;s a mixed bag over there, he does some nice things (he can throw, I love his footwork and body control) and struggles at others (range, hands). I think he *has* to play there some of the time to be useful, I have a tough time seeing him hitting enough to be a 1B-only roster fit.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: But he can really pick it at first, all of his skills shine there</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Have you gotten any looks at <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/josiah-hartshorn/sa3069285/stats/batting" target="_blank">Josiah Hartshorn</a> yet?  Is he a possible dude?  Big bonus and a good start so far in a small sample.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Yo</span>: Josiah Hartshorn is off to a fantastic start &#8211; could he be a quick riser?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah, it&#8217;s going to be interesting to see how his body develops over time. It&#8217;s already a good bit different than when he was in high school. He&#8217;s a good hitter, he has real physicality, I was essentially primed for him to have a good spring and hot start by Sahadev and AZ Phil, and when I started seeing Cubs the last two weeks of ST he was indeed good. Shot to be this year&#8217;s <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edward-florentino/sa3023944/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edward Florentino</a> and reinforce so much confidence in the bat that we don&#8217;t care it&#8217;s 1B.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Porkbl</span>: Has the outlook changed on <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Luis%20Hernandez" target="_blank">Luis Hernandez</a> in extended spring training? Does he pass Level this year on the board?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: IDK, Level looks pretty good&#8230;</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Luis has been good in my looks. He&#8217;s a smaller guy but his swing is so beautiful and well-connected, he&#8217;s getting a ton out of his body even though it&#8217;s small and he&#8217;s very skilled. His numbers at Papago will be nutty if he&#8217;s there all summer.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Jim</span>: Any idea how long <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a> will be out due to injury?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Sadly no, since it&#8217;s shoulder (I was told) it could be a while.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Delvin</span>: What is Cam Schlitter&#8217;s floor at this point, assuming health? A #2?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah, #2/3 on a good team if it just looks like this in perpetuity.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Any idea when Edward Florentino will be back for game action? Last I heard, he was supposed to be back in early April, but I haven&#8217;t seen him play yet.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;ll get on that case when I&#8217;m in Florida since Pirates are part of my targets down there.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Redbeard</span>: Does Made have the footspeed to steal bases at he major league level or is he taking advantage of minor leagues where it seems anyone can steal bases if they want to.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I would take the under on what he&#8217;s done so far, his body is changing and looking more like power-hitting 2B</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Wood</span>: Do you have any info on <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/taitn-gray/sa3069266/stats/batting" target="_blank">Taitn Gray</a> from Tampa? They&#8217;re off to a strong start in A ball. Almost a $1m bonus 3rd round HS pick last draft is all I could find.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Had an insane BP at the Combine, really exciting physical projection, built in that way where if I told you he was a serious athlete in basically any sport you&#8217;d believe me. At the time we had very little idea how the hit tool and defense would translate, six games in so far so good. Really high ceiling&#8217;d kid, still a lot of risk there</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Loved the aggressive grade on <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wilder-dalis/sa3022347/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wilder Dalis</a>!  What would he need to do in the first couple months to get added to the T100?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Let&#8217;s see where the power is at in a measurable sense. Both Brendan and I thought the bat speed had ticked up this spring compared to last year, now we wanna know exactly how much.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Meredeith</span>: I&#8217;m dying for another home grown Yankees position plater star. How confident should I be in Lombard Jr.?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: *Star* is a little much for me there, more solid everyday shortstop who K&#8217;s a bunch but hits for a decent amount of pull power and plays great defense.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Porkbl</span>: How does Jackson Flora stack up to other recent top of the class college pitchers? Both in terms of present ability and future projection</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:57</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think he&#8217;s definitely behind Skenes and probably behind (or level) with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chase-burns/35333/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chase Burns</a> and what I thought about Doyle last year.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Sperts Valuez</span>: Law has Lackey at #2!! Thinking Cubs at 23….what’s Brady Neal missing?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;m on board with Lackey that high, had him sixth entering the year which was probably (I think?) highest of the peer group at the time. Neal lacks typical catcher size. I have liked him since HS tho.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Ben</span>: What your thoughts on the weight that Made put on?  Is that going to push him off of SS (maybe Pratt does that anyways)?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah, it&#8217;s scary how fast he got this big. Still has Ketel/Cano right tail outcomes, sooo much power.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Sideshow Eno</span>: I think you mentioned in the past you were hoping to see <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dorian-soto/sa3067678/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dorian Soto</a>? Has this happened? Any news?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;ll be en route to Fort Myers in 150 minutes</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:00</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: SSS but Rushing looking much more like who we thought he was coming up so far this year.  Is he really just stuck behind <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Will%20Smith" target="_blank">Will Smith</a> for the foreseeable future?  That would be so sad.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:01</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Man, I wonder what they&#8217;re gonna do. They ripped the AJ Ellis band-aid off once, right? Maybe Smith is an offseason candidate to move, I think you find ways for both of them to play a fair bit this season and it&#8217;s not a problem.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:01</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Smith&#8217;s contract only gets more team friendly as it goes, it&#8217;s just about weighing how much is left in the tank.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:02</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Sloth</span>: When you co-write a Top 100+ list—this year, or in general— which group causes more debate: the end of the 50 grades (i.e. players who just made the list) or the top of the 45s (players who just missed)?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: The just missed group and the guys toward the back of the 55 FV tier</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:03</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">MD</span>: If Benge needs to be sent down, is there any outfielder in the system who could give the Mets league average production?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think they&#8217;d just platoon Taylor and Melendez/Young. Morabito is more a Speed/D reserve guy, maybe Ronny Mo finds a way to play more often. Did I underrate how long Benge&#8217;s swing is?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:04</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Is there anyone in the Twins system that could realistically become the everyday first baseman at the big league level in say the next 2-3 seasons?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think you&#8217;re looking at the Tait timeline if it turns out he can&#8217;t catch.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:05</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Chip</span>: What do you expect Waldschmidt&#8217;s role will be in the second half?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Blerg, what is Lourdes&#8217; timeline? The snakes are soo injured again. I mean look at this: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/diamondbacks" target="_blank">2026 Arizona Diamondbacks Depth Chart | RosterResource | FanGraphs Baseball</a></p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Let&#8217;s let Waldschmidt&#8217;s hit tool stabilize some at triple-a before throwing him in there, but I have to believe he&#8217;ll be more dangerous than Tawa/Barrosa/<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alek-thomas/23792/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alek Thomas</a> right away</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Looks like the Mariners are holding Becker back for complex season?  Any insight there?  Are they working on his swing?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:08</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Just a long young guy growing into his body and I think they learned some stuff from having been overzealous with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tai-peete/sa3022966/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tai Peete</a> that they&#8217;re slow playing Becker. He might go to A ball later this year if he hits on the complex. I&#8217;m glad to get to see him when I get back to the desert later this month.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Salty</span>: Was watching McLean&#8217;s start last night after looking at FG&#8217;s new pitching tool, and the DBacks lost two ABS challenges against him.  Could level of deception be an even more important skill now to potentially cause opponents to burn challenges early in a game?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah I think we&#8217;re still learning about what might lead a player to challenge and some of these guys with crazy breaking balls are at the top of the list for who I think might benefit from the system. I think teams are over-indexed for situations right now and under-indexed for which guys actually know the zone. Aren&#8217;t the new tools cool?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Our website is pretty sweet.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Really happy to be part of it. Ten years in June.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Will</span>: Any rough ranges on where the &#8217;26 Draft guys are tracking for the hundo?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Roch probably 10-15, Emerson toward the rear of that young SS group in the high 50 FV tier, Lackey probably close to them, too. Flora right ahead of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-anderson/sa3026056/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Anderson</a>. Gracia idk if I think he&#8217;ll be a 50 by draft time because of the defense piece. Booth might sneak on toward he back.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:13</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Tyring to think about who else I might stuff, feels like I&#8217;m missing a name.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:14</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Cameron</span>: What do you feel is the next untapped inefficiency in baseball? Do you think it has to do with player development? We are so granular at this point it&#8217;s hard to think of anything that hasn&#8217;t been beaten into the ground yet.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:14</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Africa</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think over time that could be a big deal.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: And I hope MLB approaches it in a way that avoids some of the ugly ways people in latin america have been impacted by the system there.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Folks should read Alden Gonzalez&#8217;s story from this week. I know you know a lot of that stuff if you&#8217;ve been coming here and reading, but it&#8217;s good that the bigger outlets are surfacing it for your dad to read.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: BTW my dad asked me this week if you bunt at the ball and miss, is it a strike? Autodidacts ftw. Taught me how to play every guitar chord there is, sports are not his thing.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: I really appreciate that you give us hard hit rates on The Board. How rare is it for a DSL player to put up a 50%+ HH rate like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-montero/sa3024109/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Montero</a>?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: It&#8217; rare but it can also be misleading. See: Escotto, Maikel</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Scotty</span>: Happy Friday, Eric. Not your domain but <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trey-gregory-alford/sa3067313/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Trey Gregory-Alford</a> is showing as playing for Seattle&#8217;s A ball team on the fangraphs page&#8230;</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;ll alert the dev guys, thank you.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:19</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Brendan</span>: When an unranked guy like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ben-rice/29576/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ben Rice</a> takes off like this in the big leagues, what was usually missed in the prospect evaluation?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: In his case i&#8217;d say it was just: Look how big and strong that left-handed hitter is, you wanna stay on that guy. Sometimes I&#8217;m just an idiot who stays skeptical for its own sake, and I think that&#8217;s what happened there. We also had a huge run of guys crushing at Trenton/Somerset and then not doing anything (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Diego%20Castillo" target="_blank">Diego Castillo</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hoy-park/18027/stats/batting" target="_blank">Hoy Park</a>) and that put me off the scent some.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:20</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">drplantwrench</span>: can we have your 2026 city connect Official jersey rankings?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:21</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I honestly have been so offline either driving, at games, or with family since last thursday that i&#8217;ve barely seen them. Lemme peek really quick and then I need to go to the airport with my aunt&#8230;</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:23</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: 80: none<br />70: Padres<br />60: Pirates<br />55: Royals<br />50: Braves, Rangers<br />45: Reds<br />40: Orioles, Brewers</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Okay, that&#8217;s all for me. I promise when I&#8217;m back in AZ we&#8217;ll do a two-plus hour version of this. See you on the backfields in FL this week.</p>
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<p><a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/eric-longenhagen-prospect-chat-4-10-2026/" rel="nofollow">Source</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Athletics Prospect Braden Nett Has Seven Pitches and a Good Backstory</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-prospect-braden-nett-has-seven-pitches-and-a-good-backstory/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-prospect-braden-nett-has-seven-pitches-and-a-good-backstory/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Laurila]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 15:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Athletics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487261</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Currently on the shelf, the non-drafted right-hander has plus stuff when healthy.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487280" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487280" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487280" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487280" class="wp-caption-text">Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a>’s path to prospect prominence was anything but ordinary. Not only was he working at a Home Depot when he signed with the Padres in 2022 as a non-drafted free agent, but he also had barely played in college. What he lacked in conventional experience, he made up for with a promising arm. San Diego saw him pitching in the MLB Draft League, gave him a chance, and what’s transpired since is bordering on storybook. Initially from Troy, Missouri — with a short stop as a St. Charles Community College Cougar — the 23-year-old right-hander has progressed to the point where he is now ranked seventh on our newly released <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-top-36-prospects/" target="_blank">Athletics Top Prospects list</a>, with a 45 FV.</p>
<p>His change of address came at last summer’s trade deadline. Intrigued by his promising-but-unpolished toolbox, the Athletics acquired Nett as part of the <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/padres-swing-big-in-deal-for-mason-miller/" target="_blank">six-player deal</a> centered around <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Miller</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leodalis-de-vries/sa3023363/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leo De Vries</a>. On the season, Nett notched 116 strikeouts while logging a 3.75 ERA and a 3.77 FIP over 105 2/3 innings between a pair of Double-A outposts.</p>
<p>Currently sidelined with a rotator cuff issue — he’s on roster of the Triple-A Las Vegas Aviators, but has yet to appear in a game — Nett has a mid-to-upper-90s fastball when healthy. As I learned talking to him during spring training, he also has a wide-ranging arsenal.<span id="more-487261"></span></p>
<p>“As of now, I’m throwing seven pitches,” said Nett, whose repertoire comprises two- and four-seam fastballs, a cutter, a slider, a sweeper, a curveball, and a kick change. “We’ve dialed back on a couple of them usage-wise, though, prioritizing some pitches over others. But I do still have all seven.</p>
<p>“The sinker is one thing we’re dialing back on,” he added. “Last year, I was throwing quite a bit of them, and we noticed that they kind of fell into some barrels, so we’re focusing on four-seams a little more. My curveball has been really good, so the usage of that to lefties will maybe skyrocket a little bit.”</p>
<p>Asked what he considers to be his best pitch, Nett chose his sweeper, which he described as being “less depth-y and more sweep-y” with 17-18 inches of horizontal movement. He feels that his next-best offering is either the curveball or four-seamer. And while he professes to have limited knowledge of his metrics, he does know the particulars on some of his pitch characteristics. Ditto his delivery.</p>
<p>“One thing we’ve looked at is release height,” added Nett. “With my fastball, it is around 5’6”, and on my sweeper, it is around 5’4”. There has been some conversation about whether the two inches is something that hitters can recognize, but we don’t think so. It hasn’t been an issue so far.”</p>
<p>High velocity and spin are among his attributes. When I asked Eric Longenhagen for a snapshot of the young righty, our lead prospect analyst told me that Nett has sat 96-97 [mph] and touched 100, adding that all three of his breaking pitches possess plus or better raw spin, with his nastiest pitches being his best curveballs. Eric went on to say, “Nett&#8217;s terrific arm speed allows us to project that his changeup will continue to improve with reps.”</p>
<p>According to Nett, better familiarity is part of that equation.</p>
<p>“The changeup has been kind of off and on,” he explained. “It’s the only pitch I’ve kind of fiddled with. I’ve messed with some grips, and I’m on a kick change right now. I think I’m going to stick with that.”</p>
<p>Nett explained that he began “playing with” a kick change during spring training of last year, and while admittedly still a work in progress, particularly in terms of command, he is pleased with how it’s been coming along. He couldn’t tell me how much depth he’s getting — “I’m not too big on analytics” — but he’s pretty certain that it is negative vert.</p>
<p>Eric cited Nett’s improving, yet still less-than-stellar, strike-throwing ability [a 10.3% walk rate last season] in his write-up of the right-hander. To Nett’s credit, he recognizes that a pitcher needs to know where the ball is going in order to be successful.</p>
<p>“For me, it’s not how nasty my stuff is, it’s how effective I can be in-zone, command-wise,” he said. “I feel like that’s less talked about in the world of data that we live in now. Everyone is chasing movement and velocity. I think command is way more important.”</p>
<p>As for how he ended up falling below nearly every team’s radar — entering pro ball as a non-drafted free agent is obviously a big part of his story — his answer was simple and straightforward.</p>
<p>“I didn’t get into the right spots to get seen,” Nett reasoned. “I went to a JUCO for a semester and didn’t really play, so I didn’t really have eyes on me. Then, in the summer-ball circuit, I did kind of have some eyes on me. It went from there.”</p>
<p>Which isn’t to say that scouts started banging down his door. However many eyes were on him, there wasn’t any direct communication… until there was.  </p>
<p>“I never did talk to a team until I got the phone call that I was getting signed,” Nett told me. “Now, here I am.”</p>
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		<title>Five Things I Liked (Or Didn&#8217;t Like) This Week, April 10</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/five-things-i-liked-or-didnt-like-this-week-april-10/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/five-things-i-liked-or-didnt-like-this-week-april-10/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Clemens]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 14:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Five Things]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Orioles]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Crazy bounces, wild swings, and pitchers making plays highlight this week's list.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487233" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487233" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487233" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487233" class="wp-caption-text">Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p>Welcome to a new season of Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) In Baseball This Week. After a slow, veteran-who-signed-late-this-spring style warmup to the year, it’s time for another dive into the little details that catch my eye each week. It’s the perfect time of year for it. Beautiful weather, early-season optimism, overheard conversations about who should bat third and who’s a bum – it all fuses together to make this one of my favorite parts of the baseball calendar. And even though the WBC whetted my appetite for the spectacular somewhat, there’s really no replacing major league games for the sheer variety of entertainment. I’m sure that Zach Lowe of <em>The Ringer</em>, whose old NBA column format I’ve borrowed, would say the same thing about the basketball regular season. Let’s talk baseball.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">1. Ricochets</span><br />
If you share my baseball consumption habits, it might seem like every weekday offers a Royals game, a Guardians game, or a Royals-Guardians game. And I love it! I’ll take any excuse to watch <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maikel-garcia/22715/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maikel Garcia</a> continue his ascent from contact hitter to do-it-all superstar, a kind of modern-day <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-ramirez/13510/stats/batting" target="_blank">José Ramírez</a>. And I get to watch the actual José Ramírez too? And <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bobby-witt-jr/25764/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bobby Witt Jr.</a>? And <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-kwan/24610/stats/batting" target="_blank">Steven Kwan</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/vinnie-pasquantino/27676/stats/batting" target="_blank">Vinnie Pasquantino</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bo-naylor/21865/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bo Naylor</a>, and old favorite <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/michael-wacha/14078/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Michael Wacha</a>? Both of these teams are sneaky fun, and their series this week didn’t disappoint. Witt might be having a slow start on offense, but he’s still a defensive genius:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExYXBuYmVvNnJtYnY4ejcyMGJqcDYyaXQwanIwbDAzdXQzdHN0a20wbCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/ajGT9XVeSLuTKsIi0S/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Lots of shortstops – pretty much every other shortstop, even – would get only one out, somewhere, on that play. But two?! Ludicrous. When Garcia’s lunging attempt caromed toward Witt, he turned from interested observer to protagonist so smoothly that it looked like he was planning on doing it the whole time. It started with his feet. Instead of charging the ricochet, Witt timed his steps to hop to a stop and get his body in as good a throwing position as he could:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media0.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExbmd0dWI3bmRtb2RuY2dmbDVzaHFmbnlhMnlicWJ2MWJqamwwMXBqZSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/Dka6zUc7EOzywaZJv8/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /><br />
<span id="more-487220"></span></p>
<p>That’s a tough throw to make for the shortstop, running right and throwing all the way across his body toward second. Witt cut down on the difficulty with his footwork. Then he snapped off a throw from a tough angle – side-arm slot, cross-body – and hit <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jonathan-india/21523/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jonathan India</a> perfectly.</p>
<p>India read the play correctly and helped Witt out. He came toward Witt to catch the throw as early as possible and have a clean throwing lane, with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-manzardo/29794/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kyle Manzardo</a> on the outfield side of the basepath. That let him step into the throw. He had plenty of oomph to get batter <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rhys-hoskins/16472/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rhys Hoskins</a>. But he, too, needed a little help from a friend:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExejlqMHBxaml4dHduNTVrZTNibjhxcTI5eWhwdWFicTdmMW14OXB6diZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/Qhh9YLT0QyDBNolDgk/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>The entire Kansas City defense looked great on this play, but Witt stood out to me. This wasn’t Witt running faster or throwing harder than the competition. He just had a perfect map of the play in his head, the whole time, and knew exactly what to do instantly. He never hesitated. He moved smoothly from recovering a ricochet to a feed. He knew where India would be, and he scooped and fed the ball in one fluid motion. The timing of this play doesn’t sound possible. A ricochet, and then time to turn a double play? How? Bobby Witt Jr. is how.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">2. Pitchers Being Athletes</span><br />
I don’t normally use the same game twice, but this one was an exception. That’s actually due to a bylaw of the Five Things Committee (it’s just me and my dog, and she has the tie-breaking vote): When a pitcher catches a popup, I must write about it. Pitchers mostly don’t field the ball unless they have to, and pop flies are a perfect example of not having to, because on almost every popup, some other fielder has plenty of time to run to where it’s going to land. In the entire 2025 season, pitchers recorded only 22 outs this way. But this week, we got three in two days – and two in one game.</p>
<p>First, check out <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tanner-bibee/30134/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Tanner Bibee</a>, recognizing the gravity of the occasion. When <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jac-caglianone/35041/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jac Caglianone</a> hit the most textbook weak infield fly you’ll ever see, the entire Cleveland infield converged slowly. But Bibee called everyone off and snagged it:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media2.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExd2RheWNscjJ4cGF5ZDk0M2oyaG03a2Zlb3FyNDhlcWw0dzcyNnppYiZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/obshDY9jEjnabcl57w/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>That’s someone who recognizes how rarely he gets to catch a fly ball. And not to be outdone, Michael Wacha went deep into foul territory to snag one of his own only two innings later:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media0.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExeHFmZXRpYmh4am5yeHJ4OWJreXB3ZHc5ZHFsb3hqdW1uN3llZ3VweSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/hMWdOOBPAr2y5DCsTs/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>That one was borderline hard! Generally speaking, pitchers are just cleaning up the trash when they get involved defensively, but I don’t think either <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/salvador-perez/7304/stats/batting" target="_blank">Salvador Perez</a> or Garcia was going to arrive in time to make a play. Wacha picked up the flight of the ball before either of them and got there with time to spare. I also like how he no-sold it, in contrast to Bibee. At 27, you celebrate your small victories. At 34, you act like you’ve been there before. (I’m 40, but I’m Team Bibee when it comes to celebrating.)</p>
<p>As if those two instances of pitchers making plays weren’t enough, they came only a day after yet another pitcher popup grab. This one was a classic of the genre. You can almost hear the fielders shouting “where is it?” as they stare fruitlessly into the sky:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExNWNxcnowbDY2MHVzdmxwdHUybHh5eTU0dzFtN25laWE2dzk2MjJmayZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/Zm3NzPSSS7f8tkUrAA/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>The best part of this one? Catcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-quero/28022/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Quero</a> got very demonstrative in the aftermath. Not toward pitcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-murphy/26214/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Murphy</a> – I’m pretty sure I heard him saying “nice, nice” on one replay – but at his corner infielders. Quero never saw that ball, and rightly gave way to Murphy. But that’s supposed to be a first or third baseman’s ball. Good angle, no shadows, and crucially, a corner infielder is not a pitcher. But the two Sox corner infielders — <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/munetaka-murakami/37120/stats/batting" target="_blank">Munetaka Murakami</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miguel-vargas/20178/stats/batting" target="_blank">Miguel Vargas</a> — weren’t ready to make a play; Murphy was, and he reaped the rewards. He also got the save, his first of the year. What a delight.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">3. Luis Arraez, Picking Machine</span><br />
When the Giants made <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-arraez/18568/stats/batting" target="_blank">Luis Arraez</a> their starting second baseman during the offseason, baseball analysts everywhere wondered what they were thinking. Opinions vary on how valuable Arraez’s contact-hitting game is, but no one was in disagreement about his defense. He slid down the defensive spectrum from second to first a few years ago thanks to years of poor results at the keystone, and he didn’t even grade out particularly well at first base. The Giants were going to move him back up the defensive spectrum? Surely this wouldn’t end well.</p>
<p>I’m happy to inform you that so far, it has gone extremely well. Defensive metrics don’t work all that well in small samples, but Arraez is already two runs above average per Statcast. More importantly to me, given how little hard data we have at this point in the year, he looks comfortable and rangy in the field. This is no gimme:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExaWNjd3ltZWE4YmE3MXp5emJscjl6ZmxzeWRlZXByNnk0dXJrajQ1YSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/JIIhDdrgR36xsVRBVD/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>You better be fast to get <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trea-turner/16252/stats/batting" target="_blank">Trea Turner</a> on a play like this:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExMmRiY3MzdDdmeHNqajBlcjc2ajFrcnFyY2ZidW11dDg5dGQybXhwaiZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/z2QtMIJ2HKcVS7kjNV/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Here’s a nice infield-in snag to keep a runner at third:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExdW80cGhpNnA0MWNleDA5Y3hmNmI0anBmczgzc3ZvMHF4bzBseDljbCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/OvBF999DNLkI1SKDjq/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>I won&#8217;t pretend that Arraez is suddenly playing like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nico-hoerner/21479/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nico Hoerner</a>. He doesn&#8217;t have to, though. If he can be an average defender at second base, his profile changes completely. Earlier in his career, he hit like a first baseman or DH – 130 wRC+ in 2022, 131 wRC+ in 2023. But with his offensive results down in recent years, he got stuck in no man’s land – not enough offense for first, not enough defense for second. If he can credibly play second, the offensive bar is much lower. One way of thinking about that: He’d be competing with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rafael-devers/17350/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rafael Devers</a> and top prospect <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bryce-eldridge/33390/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bryce Eldridge</a> for the first base job. At second base, his biggest competition is either <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/casey-schmitt/27577/stats/batting" target="_blank">Casey Schmitt</a> or <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/christian-koss/27653/stats/batting" target="_blank">Christian Koss</a>. (Case in point: Schmitt, a middle infielder by trade, has made seven appearances in the field this season, all at first base when Devers was the DH. The Giants clearly don&#8217;t see him as an everyday player.) </p>
<p>In addition to playing a solid second base, Arraez is doing two things I absolutely love offensively. First, he’s not batting leadoff, a <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-myth-of-luis-arraez/" target="_blank">pet peeve of mine</a> when he played for the Padres. His high-average game plays better with runners on base. He’s inserting a little chaos into his offensive game, too, dropping down some bunts to keep defenses off balance. In the eighth inning of Wednesday’s 5-0 win over the Phillies, he laid down a sacrifice bunt, which turned into a run-scoring two-base error when the pitcher threw it away. Then, after the next batter struck out, he bounced off of second and scored easily on a Devers single. Arraez’s singles-only offensive profile hasn&#8217;t been enough to make him an impact player in recent years. It would be absolutely delightful if he ended up finding a home as a good-fielding, slap-hitting second baseman after years as a peerless contact hitter who didn’t have a position.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">4. Insult to Injury</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-benintendi/17901/stats/batting" target="_blank">Andrew Benintendi</a> is having a rough year. He’s striking out 44% of the time in the early going and has a 35 wRC+. A few bad defensive seasons in a row means that he’s DH’ing instead of playing the outfield. And worst of all, he got drilled in the shoulder while striking out:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media2.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExM2E1bWJnYTczZTl1eHRjM3BvbzFnZnViMmZjeGJ2emU4a2RibzBiaCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/7RKo4xCQdGRgqFrmsb/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Yeah, that’s a bad look. Now, with a shameless plug to our new <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/lab/paired-pitches" target="_blank">Paired Pitches</a> tool, you can absolutely see what he was thinking:</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1.png" alt="" width="1000" height="1308" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-487221" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1.png 1000w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-229x300.png 229w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-783x1024.png 783w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-768x1005.png 768w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-300x392.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></p>
<p>It’s tough being a hitter. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trevor-rogers/22286/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Trevor Rogers</a> gets 17 inches of arm-side movement on his sinker and 10 inches of glove-side movement on his sweeper. That’s a difference of 27 inches, and home plate is only 17 inches wide. Rogers had dotted the outside corner with a sweeper earlier in the at-bat. Benintendi was leaning out looking for it, with a classic two-strike approach: Look for a breaking ball and then adjust to a fastball if necessary.</p>
<p>When Benintendi started to swing, he was still expecting something soft, low and away. But as he picked up the ball&#8217;s spin and speed, you can tell from his face that he immediately realized his error:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExNDk1N3ZrMTJ5czR6dDl1dHppajdvbm1vZGJ1eDFmNG4zcnZyYzlseiZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/CyVHNZrGA2nzRbFQdZ/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Baseball is so hard. Benintendi is a former All-Star. He’s been paid a hundred million dollars in his career. He’s a highly trained professional athlete who has trained for tens of thousands of hours to do one specialized task. And he just tried to do that task and looked like this:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExODB1bWIwZXF6ODI2MXFndmV6ZWltN2RzOXA4cW5ra2poang2N2IzayZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/lqHaIfHz2iEpMwFv9E/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>What a laughably difficult sport. I don’t know how these guys do it.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">5. Ricochets, Part Two</span><br />
On the other hand, sometimes baseball is comically easy. The Twins were in a pickle Monday night. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kody-funderburk/24993/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kody Funderburk</a> walked the first two batters he faced on 10 pitches. Then he hummed one to the backstop, giving catcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/victor-caratini/14968/stats/batting" target="_blank">Victor Caratini</a> absolutely no chance to block it because the pitch missed above <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/zach-mckinstry/19392/stats/batting" target="_blank">Zach McKinstry</a>’s head. Then there was a glitch in the matrix:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExNzM1MGRyZXR1ZDhnbDc1YmFjb3c3bW5uNHcxZmpyZmtqOWQ0MjV0NCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/oigH5AevaFFekQCBjx/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Target Field is notable for the snug dimensions behind home plate. But even with a closer wall – roughly 45 feet behind the dish – the odds of this happening so perfectly are near-zero. Caratini barely had to move to get the rebound:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExbnNteW5zOXliMmp6Ym4zcmp0b21jd2poemJjMmJpZGM0cjlmY2UwcyZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/GTM904ljfvlSU8DKlk/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>That almost looks like a drill. Spin around backwards, get a feed from a coach, turn and fire. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/riley-greene/25976/stats/batting" target="_blank">Riley Greene</a>, the lead runner, noticed the carom and slammed on the brakes. It’s a good thing he did; he would have been out by a mile at third base, and the longer throw to second gave him time to retreat.</p>
<p>However, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/spencer-torkelson/27465/stats/batting" target="_blank">Spencer Torkelson</a>, the trail runner, got caught in between. He saw the wild pitch immediately and followed baserunning 101 by moving his eyes to Greene. When he saw Greene take off, he snuck a quick peek toward home, noticed Caratini with his back to the play, and broke for second. But his timing couldn’t have been worse. That quick peek home came <em>just</em> as Greene screeched to a stop:</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause.png" alt="" width="1136" height="620" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-487222" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause.png 1136w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause-300x164.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause-1024x559.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause-768x419.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1136px) 100vw, 1136px" /></p>
<p>And having checked off two things in his head – lead runner advancing, catcher facing the other way – Torkelson put his head down and ran. If he’d looked back at Greene, if he’d kept his eyes on Caratini slightly longer, if he’d just had a worse read and been closer to first base, everything might have been fine. Instead, he got to second around the same time as Greene. Whoops. By the time he took another look around, it was all over:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExMXB3eDd6dXNmM290ZDdhb3p5cWI5ODNiZTM3MmxjMzVxZ3dqZmE5dCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/PFmMeAr3yidTuHq0Rd/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Caratini, for his part, took all the drama out of the play. He didn’t fire wildly to second where <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brooks-lee/31595/stats/batting" target="_blank">Brooks Lee</a> was calling for the ball. He didn’t try to make a perfect throw on the run. He just jogged toward second, surveyed the field, and then made an easy, high-margin throw to <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kody-clemens/20572/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kody Clemens</a> that essentially guaranteed the out. Torkelson gamely tried to escape the rundown, but it wasn’t happening. Greene was in no position to break for third and cause confusion. The wall just won.</p>
<p>Funderburk walked McKinstry on the next pitch, but that fortunate bounce and Minnesota’s level-headed team defense had already defused the rally anyway. The Twins won the game and swept the Tigers in the series to move to 7-6 on the year, good for second place in the AL Central. It&#8217;s early in the year, and the Twins may have a long rebuild ahead of them, but no one has told the players that yet. They&#8217;re taking advantage of lucky bounces, in this case literally. Sure, it might be a long summer in Minneapolis, but if the early season is any indication, it&#8217;ll be an interesting one, too.</p>
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		<title>Athletics Top 36 Prospects</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-top-36-prospects/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-top-36-prospects/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Longenhagen]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 13:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Athletics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospect List]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects Report 2026]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487155</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This system isn't great in terms of either its overall depth or the amount of high-end talent, but it does have two things the A's badly need: a potential franchise-altering star up top and a lot of polished pitching.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487161" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487161" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28418931.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487161" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28418931.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28418931-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28418931-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28418931-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487161" class="wp-caption-text">Leo De Vries Photo: Rick Scuteri-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>

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<p>Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Athletics. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. This is the sixth year we&#8217;re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you&#8217;ll see in the &#8220;position&#8221; column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.</p>
<p>A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-new-fangraphs-scouting-primer/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a>. A much deeper overview can be found <a href="https://www.triumphbooks.com/future-value-products-9781629378800.php?page_id=21" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a>. </p>
<p>All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team&#8217;s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board" target="_blank">here</a>.<span id="more-487155"></span></p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Athletics Top Prospects</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="sortable">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Rk</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Age</th>
<th>Highest Level</th>
<th>Position</th>
<th>ETA</th>
<th>FV</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leodalis-de-vries/sa3023363/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leo De Vries</a></td>
<td>19.5</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SS</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gage-jump/sa3034986/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gage Jump</a></td>
<td>23.0</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-morris/sa3023206/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Morris</a></td>
<td>23.8</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-arnold/sa3026225/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jamie Arnold</a></td>
<td>22.1</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wei-en-lin/sa3067072/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wei-En Lin</a></td>
<td>20.4</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>6</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johenssy-colome/sa3075046/stats/batting" target="_blank">Johenssy Colome</a></td>
<td>17.5</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2032</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>7</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a></td>
<td>23.8</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>8</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/junior-perez/sa3005744/stats/batting" target="_blank">Junior Perez</a></td>
<td>24.8</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>CF</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>9</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/devin-taylor/sa3043560/stats/batting" target="_blank">Devin Taylor</a></td>
<td>22.3</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-bolte/sa3020006/stats/batting" target="_blank">Henry Bolte</a></td>
<td>22.7</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>CF</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>11</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/breyson-guedez/sa3067688/stats/batting" target="_blank">Breyson Guedez</a></td>
<td>18.5</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>12</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-echavarria/sa3023560/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Steven Echavarria</a></td>
<td>20.7</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>13</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-fien/sa3067509/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dylan Fien</a></td>
<td>20.5</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>C</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>14</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-kuroda-grauer/sa3025386/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joshua Kuroda-Grauer</a></td>
<td>23.2</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>2B</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>15</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cole-miller/sa3067552/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cole Miller</a></td>
<td>20.9</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>16</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-barnett/31741/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Barnett</a></td>
<td>25.4</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>17</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/thomas-white/sa3025383/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tommy White</a></td>
<td>23.1</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>18</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shotaro-morii/sa3067343/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shotaro Morii</a></td>
<td>19.3</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>TWP</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>19</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-montero/sa3024109/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Montero</a></td>
<td>19.4</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>20</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eduarniel-nunez/23162/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Eduarniel Núñez</a></td>
<td>26.8</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>21</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/corey-avant/sa3023137/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Corey Avant</a></td>
<td>24.4</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>22</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenya-huggins/sa3020609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenya Huggins</a></td>
<td>23.3</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>23</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yunior-tur/sa3021045/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yunior Tur</a></td>
<td>26.7</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>24</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/william-johnston/sa3022940/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Will Johnston</a></td>
<td>25.3</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>25</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chen-zhuang/sa3018174/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang</a></td>
<td>25.6</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-baez/sa3016584/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Henry Baez</a></td>
<td>23.5</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>27</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gunnar-hoglund/31318/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gunnar Hoglund</a></td>
<td>26.3</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>28</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-causey/sa3028661/stats/pitching" target="_blank">A.J. Causey</a></td>
<td>23.4</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>29</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathaniel-taylor/sa3043592/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Zane Taylor</a></td>
<td>23.9</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>30</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-parra/sa3024574/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Parra</a></td>
<td>20.3</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2029</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>31</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/stephen-emanuels/sa3014698/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Stevie Emanuels</a></td>
<td>27.2</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>32</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/isaiah-johnson/sa3011626/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jared Johnson</a></td>
<td>25.1</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>33</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-turley/sa3044148/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gavin Turley</a></td>
<td>22.4</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2029</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>34</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ricky-duran/sa3075066/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ricky Duran</a></td>
<td>17.5</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2032</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>35</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ayden-johnson/sa3067681/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ayden Johnson</a></td>
<td>18.2</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>36</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darwing-ozuna/sa3068179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Darwing Ozuna</a></td>
<td>18.0</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>RF</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot></tfoot>
</table>
</div>
</div>
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<div id="tool-caps-prospects-list" class="button-expand-is-hidden">
<h2 style="text-align: center;">60 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SS" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">1. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leodalis-de-vries/sa3023363/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leo De Vries</a>, SS</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QH-1G9NPhrw" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>S / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>45/60</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>De Vries was unanimously viewed as the best prospect in the 2024 international class, a potential do-everything, switch-hitting infielder with power from both sides of the plate. He signed for just over $4 million, which is about what you&#8217;d expect from a top-of-the-market player. Same as they have with other of their recent high-profile prospects, the Padres wasted no time in pushing De Vries&#8217; promotion pace; most players his age are in the DSL and domestic complex leagues during their first two seasons, while De Vries broke camp in 2025 at High-A Fort Wayne. He was dealt to the Athletics at last year’s deadline as part of the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Miller</a> trade and instantly became the A’s top prospect. </p>
<p>After more than holding his own as an 18-year-old in High-A, De Vries was incredible down the stretch at Double-A Midland, where he hit .281/.359/.551 with five homers in 103 plate appearances. He followed that with a .426/.460/.723 2026 Cactus League line in 50 plate appearances, and broke camp back in Midland. The pace at which De Vries has conquered the minor leagues gives him a very real shot to debut before he turns 20 in October of this year, and add another young, franchise-changing player to the A&#8217;s everyday lineup as they transition from Sacramento to Las Vegas. </p>
<p>De Vries is a switch-hitting shortstop with weaponized power from both sides of the plate. He is a plus athlete, twitchy with good body control. He has a quick bat and a lofted stroke from both sides of the plate, with perhaps a little more verve and bat control from the left side. His exit velocities are more fringy or average than above at this point, which isn’t unexpected because — it is worth periodically reiterating — he was 18 years old last season and has plenty of physical development ahead. At peak, De Vries is going to be dangerous on every swing he takes. His hands are quick enough to make contact in all parts of the zone, and he has home run power from line to line. Though his lift-heavy style of hitting will likely cap his contact rate to some extent, it won&#8217;t be to a degree that hinders his power output. </p>
<p>There are still pretty big error bars when projecting De Vries&#8217; defensive future. Though he&#8217;s a tall, bigger-framed athlete, the skinny-ankled De Vries has so far stayed lithe and agile enough to play a viable shortstop. He will contort himself to make some cool, acrobatic plays that take advantage of his plus raw arm strength, but his hands and range are merely sufficient for a shortstop, and he has had bouts of inaccuracy on deeper throws. We&#8217;re cautiously optimistic about him staying at shortstop in a vacuum, with the primary threat to that being a slippage in range caused by him trending bulky in his mid-20s. De Vries&#8217; hands should improve with reps, and his solution to throwing inaccuracy has been to play hot potato with the baseball and quickly flick two-hoppers to first base. It isn&#8217;t ideal, but it works. He looks much more comfortable airing it out as he moves from right to left across the bag. This comfort perhaps makes third base Plan B, as most plays there are made moving in that direction. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-wilson/33266/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jacob Wilson</a> is a better shortstop defender than De Vries, and that alone might be what precipitates a change, rather than De Vries&#8217; ability. Regardless, we think De Vries will contribute on both sides of the ball as a 30-homer, heart-of-the order hitter who is either a tenable shortstop or a plus third baseman.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">50 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">2. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gage-jump/sa3034986/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gage Jump</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e8V2QFtNEfQ" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2024 from LSU (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>197</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>93-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Jump was a notable high school prospect in California because of his invisiball heater, which had above-average velocity to go with plus riding life and a flat angle. Concerns that he couldn&#8217;t throw strikes pushed him to UCLA, where he struggled with walks as a freshman and missed his sophomore year recovering from TJ. After he transferred to LSU for his draft year, Jump&#8217;s command improved, and for the last two seasons, he&#8217;s thrown a starter&#8217;s rate of strikes while increasing his workload to 112.2 innings. Jump paved over High-A hitters throughout the first six weeks of the 2025 season and was promoted to Double-A Midland in mid-May. After that, the A&#8217;s started to dial down his per-outing workload, and he failed to work into the sixth inning in any start from June on. He struggled at the very end of the year and surrendered more than half the runs (27) he gave up all season (50) during its final month, but he still finished 2025 with a 3.28 ERA. He was nails during 2026 spring training, broke camp with Triple-A Las Vegas, and has tee&#8217;d himself up to make his big league debut at some point this year, especially if he avoids the late-season swoon of his prior campaign. </p>
<p>Jump&#8217;s fastball sits 93-96 mph and gets on top of hitters quickly because they don&#8217;t seem to pick up the baseball out of his hand. He&#8217;ll reach back for 97-98 when he wants it, even late in outings, but the key to its success is its uphill angle. Though he lacks expert feel for location, Jump&#8217;s super short arm action keeps his release consistent enough for him to throw a starter&#8217;s rate of strikes. He mixes in a couple of different breaking balls — gyro sliders in the 84-88 mph range and two-planed slurves in the 78-83 mph range — and a splitter that has had about 300 rpm less spin on average than the 2025 version and is the pitch Jump struggles most to control. Each of these pitches will flash plus throughout a typical start, but the slider is the one that is most consistently good and located where Jump wants. Though he might always produce elevated walk rates due to his style of attack, Jump has a plus fastball/slider combination that will miss big league bats for five innings at a time. His ceiling could look like that of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robbie-ray/11486/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Robbie Ray</a>, with whom Jump shares some mechanical effort and violence.</p>
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</div>
<h2 style="text-align: center;">45 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">3. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-morris/sa3023206/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Morris</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2023 from Nevada (NYM)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>92-94 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>A NorCal high schooler who matriculated to Nevada, Morris posted a 5.42 ERA pitching on the surface of the moon during his draft year in Reno, but was a young-for-college spinmeister with starter-caliber repertoire depth and athleticism, and became a shrewd third-round pick by the Mets. He&#8217;d pitched his way to High-A when he was acquired by the A’s in the 2024 trade deadline deal that sent <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-blackburn/14739/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Paul Blackburn</a> to New York, then the A&#8217;s accelerated his promotion pace in 2025 and he spent the majority of the year at Triple-A Las Vegas. Morris pitched 150 innings across 28 starts, and enters 2026 as one of the A&#8217;s more polished pitching prospects. </p>
<p>Morris executes a lateral sinker/slider attack with lots of tailing uphill heaters in on the hands of righties. He can locate fastballs to his glove side to set up harder sliders and true sweepers away from righties, which he routinely dots just off the corner. He&#8217;s competitive, confident, loose-armed, and athletic, and he repeats his delivery well, giving him the look of a big league starter in every way but his frame, which is slight and skinny but not without career-long starter precedent (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-bassitt/12304/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Bassitt</a> is a fair body comp). </p>
<p>Morris can manipulate his breaking stuff to include a slower curveball, which he uses to get looking strikes. He&#8217;s crafty and will mix speeds and shapes across a range of about 14 mph. This, plus his fastball&#8217;s natural sink, helps him generate a lot of groundballs. He needs to develop a changeup to guard against platoon vulnerability, as none of his breaking balls are truly geared for getting lefties out. He has some feel for creating downward sink on his current changeup, which still needs refinement. If he develops a good cambio over time, then we&#8217;re talking about a starter who you would feel comfortable giving the ball to in a playoff series. For now, Morris looks more like the sort who plays a valuable, innings-eating no. 4/5 starter role during the regular season and then shifts into relief come playoff time. He&#8217;s a good bet to debut at some point in 2026 and play a role in the A&#8217;s rotation for the next several years.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">4. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-arnold/sa3026225/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jamie Arnold</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jipx81vRy5I" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 1st Round, 2025 from Florida State (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>188</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>92-95 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Arnold entered his draft spring as a potential top-three pick, but his 2025 wasn&#8217;t as dominant as his sophomore year. His strike-throwing (especially with the fastball) backed up. College hitters were still flummoxed by his delivery and stuff, and chased at a rate that helped him keep his walk rate down at a solid 7.7%. But visually, Arnold wasn&#8217;t locating his fastball, and that was supported by the data under the hood: He posted a 45% zone rate, and a 59% strike rate with his fastball, both way below the big league average. Arnold ranked 17th on the FanGraphs Draft Board and was picked 11th overall. </p>
<p>Before the start of the 2026 regular season, Arnold was again having control issues on the backfields, but he was still given a very aggressive assignment and sent to Double-A Midland. He ends up behind in counts and has to lean on his slider to claw his way back in. That was okay against college hitters (Arnold had a 2.98 ERA as both a sophomore and junior) but might not fly against upper-level minor leaguers. Arnold&#8217;s delivery would win a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/madison-bumgarner/5524/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Madison Bumgarner</a> look-alike contest, as he has a swooping, lower-slot delivery that creates awkward uphill angle and tail on his 94-ish mph fastball (his velo slipped more into the 91-92 range late during spring training). He began incorporating more cutters as Opening Day approached, perhaps just because he was working deeper into minor league spring outings and getting to use it as he faced hitters multiple times, or perhaps because the A&#8217;s are searching for something he can throw for a strike. Arnold&#8217;s slider has more two-planed finish, while his cutter, which was often about 87 mph in my look, stays uphill, and his changeup often moves like a glorified two-seamer. </p>
<p>There are mid-rotation ingredients here. Arnold&#8217;s mechanical fluidity is appealing, his delivery&#8217;s unique elements should help his fastball play up if he ever learns to command it, his slider is really nasty, and he has the makings of a four-pitch mix. But we&#8217;re now entering a second consecutive year in which his fastball control looks a bit sketchy. Though it was reasonable to hope that Arnold would return to peak form and be set up to race through the minors this year, that&#8217;s not how he looked during 2026 camp. A <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/picks-to-click-who-we-expect-to-make-the-2027-top-100/" target="_blank">pre-season Pick to Click</a>, he is pretty clearly behind several of Pre-Vegas&#8217; other well-regarded arms on the big league depth chart right now and is treading water with his pre-draft FV grade. That said, this is still a really good pitching prospect who may just need more time than the prospect zeitgeist seems to think he will in order to reach his ceiling.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">5. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wei-en-lin/sa3067072/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wei-En Lin</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdfGIkV3cps" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Taiwan (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>179</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>90-94 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Lin signed in mid-2024 but wasn&#8217;t widely seen until he pitched for Taiwan in a February 2025 WBC qualifier, where he worked out of the bullpen. He then had a dominant first half at Low-A Stockton as a starter thanks to the riding angle of his low-90s fastball and the quality of his parachuting mid-70s changeup, which garnered plus-plus miss. He was promoted to High-A Lansing, where he worked as a long reliever — about three innings per outing for 11 outings — before a two-start shot of espresso at Double-A to end the year. Altogether, Lin worked 87 innings and had one of the best strikeout-to-walk ratios in the minors, with 33.4% strikeout rate and 6.3% walk rate. </p>
<p>After three 2026 Cactus League outings with the big league team, Lin left camp to pitch for Taiwan in the World Baseball Classic. There we saw what his arm strength looks like when the adrenaline is really flowing, as he worked in the 93-95 mph range against Korea. His fastball was back in its usual 90-94 band during Lin&#8217;s final backfield start of the spring before he broke camp at Double-A Midland. </p>
<p>Lin&#8217;s body and mechanics look like a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-quintana/11423/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Quintana</a> starter kit. He&#8217;s spindly and thin, and moves with great mechanical efficiency, though without quite the same grace and precision as Quintana. His walk rates slipped as he was promoted last year, and his full-season walk rate was likely better than his true command talent, but he has four distinct pitches and controls them enough to project as a big league starter. Lin&#8217;s fastball punches above its weight thanks to its ride and angle. It generated an elite miss rate last year, above 30%, and unlike Lin&#8217;s walk rate, that mark did not dip as he was promoted last season. Off of that pitch, he&#8217;ll bend a mid-80s slider into the zone, and this pitch tunnels well with his elevated fastballs. Lin still needs to improve his ability to locate it off the plate, but it has the movement of a big league finishing pitch if he can get there. </p>
<p>Lin&#8217;s changeup dominated A-ball hitters last year but fell by the wayside once he started facing more advanced guys. It often flutters in south of 80 mph, which might be too slow to trick big leaguers. Still, his arm action is lovely, and he should have a traditionally effective changeup in time. For a pitcher the age of a college sophomore, this is a great foundation. Lin probably doesn&#8217;t have the command profile of a Quintana or a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-ryan/21390/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Joe Ryan</a> such that he&#8217;ll truly be able to weaponize his fastball&#8217;s movement to an elite degree, but that&#8217;s going to be an impact pitch for him even if he&#8217;s only ever sitting 93, and he might yet add more velocity. He&#8217;s tracking to debut ahead of his chalk 40-man timeline and should be up by late 2028.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">6. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johenssy-colome/sa3075046/stats/batting" target="_blank">Johenssy Colome</a>, 3B</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBSsejlsuw8" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2026 from Dominican Republic (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>17.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/45</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>20/60</td>
<td>55/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Colome, who signed for $4 million in January, might have the best pure bat speed in the entire 2026 international signing class. The hip/hand separation he&#8217;s able to create at his swing&#8217;s apex is incredibly explosive, though it sometimes requires a very deep load and big effort to generate. Colome&#8217;s swing can look out of control at times, or ineffectual in the same way that <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miguel-andujar/15878/stats/batting" target="_blank">Miguel Andujar</a>&#8217;s sometimes can, but the talent to hit for that kind of power is absolutely here. Colome has worked out at both shortstop and third base on the A&#8217;s complex and has the arm to play either spot, but his hands and actions at short are more on the fringe of what&#8217;s typical at the position, and some scouts have him projected to third. Volcanic bat speed gives him a big power-hitting ceiling, while his swing mechanics and potential corner fit make Colome volatile.</p>
</div>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">7. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Undrafted Free Agent, 2022 (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>94-98 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Nett is one of the best undrafted free agent signings of the post-COVID era. He entered pro ball as a wild, arm strength developmental project with an ideal pitcher&#8217;s frame and a great looking arm action, and during the last two seasons, his strike-throwing improved. He walked 20.1% of opponents in his first full season, then 14% in 2024, and hovered around 10% at Double-A on either side of the 2025 Mason Miller trade. He was added to the 40-man roster after the 2025 season, but made just one appearance in the 2026 Cactus League and began the regular season on the IL with his second rotator cuff injury of the last few years.</p>
<p>When Nett has been healthy, he has worked in the 94-98 mph range and bumped 100, and he sat 96-97 in our lone 2026 data point before the injury. Buttressing his heater are three different breaking balls, all with plus or better raw spin but roughly average on-field performance. Nett&#8217;s cutter was his most-used secondary with San Diego, but it was de-emphasized and usurped by his slider after the A&#8217;s acquired him. The nastiest pitches he throws are his best curveballs, but his feel for locating his slider is much more consistent than that of his curve. His terrific arm speed allows us to project that his changeup will continue to improve with reps. Even if his walk rate regresses toward his career norm (based on how Nett&#8217;s feel and release consistency have looked in person, we think it will), it&#8217;s worth developing him as a starter for at least another couple of years to give that changeup reps. There&#8217;s a right tail outcome here where Nett&#8217;s command clicks and he becomes a mid-rotation starter, which might not happen until his late 20s. Until then, we expect him to be an inefficient five-and-dive type at the back of the A&#8217;s rotation. If injuries continue to limit his innings, the A&#8217;s might pull the reliever parachute at some point, but probably not until late in 2027.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">8. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/junior-perez/sa3005744/stats/batting" target="_blank">Junior Perez</a>, CF</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Dominican Republic (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/35</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Perez broke out as a complex-level Padre back in 2019, then was traded to the A&#8217;s as the PTBNL for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jorge-mateo/17273/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jorge Mateo</a> after the 2020 season. He crawled through A-ball during the next couple of years, striking out 30% of the time or more from 2021 through 2024, though he managed to hit a bunch of homers and steal a bunch of bases in each of those seasons. He cut his strikeout rate (28.6%) in a repeat season at Double-A Midland in 2025, and kept it there (26.9%) during the final two months of the season after he had been promoted to Las Vegas. It was enough of an improvement (ditto for Perez as a center field defender) for the A&#8217;s to add him to their 40-man roster, putting him in position to debut in 2026 and compete for a sustained role starting in 2027. </p>
<p>Perez has plus bat speed and good enough timing to damage pitches in the zip code of the zone&#8217;s center, which he sprays to all fields. He lacks great bat control, and swings underneath a ton of in-zone fastballs and breaking balls that find the top and bottom edges of the box, respectively. Perez&#8217;s 74% in-zone contact rate would be one of the three lowest among qualified big leaguers since 2024, and he posted that mark mostly at Double-A. This makes his hit tool feel flimsy and gives him strikeout-driven bust risk. The good news is that his selectivity at the dish means he tends to target pitches he can handle, and he does a good amount of damage when he makes contact. </p>
<p>The piece of Perez&#8217;s profile that will actually give him room to strike out at an elevated clip is his defense, which has improved across the last few seasons to the point where he can now play a passable center field. Perez is a plus runner and takes fairly efficient routes to balls hit into the gaps and over his head, and he also has a good arm. He is not nearly as good out there as <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/denzel-clarke/29858/stats/batting" target="_blank">Denzel Clarke</a>, but he&#8217;s a more consistent power threat on offense. What the A&#8217;s want out of their center fielder of the near future might depend on how the rest of the offense is performing. Perez could be a plus corner defender and occasionally spell <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tyler-soderstrom/27467/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tyler Soderstrom</a> or <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lawrence-butler/22542/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lawrence Butler</a> against lefties, who he posted a .375 xwOBA against in 2025. He&#8217;s a pretty good roster fit for them and should play a meaningful role soon, perhaps by the second half of 2026 if he continues to strikeout less than 30% of the time in Vegas.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">40+ FV Prospects</h2>
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<h3 class="header-name">9. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/devin-taylor/sa3043560/stats/batting" target="_blank">Devin Taylor</a>, LF</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2025 from Indiana (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>35/50</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>30</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>One of the most consistently productive college hitters in the 2025 draft class, Taylor finished his Indiana career with a .350/.459/.672 line and raked with wood in two years of summer ball. He has gorgeous feel for all-fields contact, and he can drive pitches on the outer third to the opposite field with power and turn on pitches on the inner half. He makes it look easy with the way he reads and reacts to pitch location and speed, as he can adjust his hands and upper body posture to put the barrel on the ball. Taylor is a lower launch guy who might not quite hit for his raw power in games, and he&#8217;s a terrible outfield defender who might just be a DH. The defensive piece is a body blow to his overall value and gives him basically zero margin for error as a hitter, but this projection is enthusiastic enough about Taylor to consider him a corner outfield platoon bat.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">10. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-bolte/sa3020006/stats/batting" target="_blank">Henry Bolte</a>, CF</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2022 from Paolo Alto HS (CA) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>80/80</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>I have been skeptical of Bolte’s baseball card stats over the last couple of years. He is a .268/.370/.434 career hitter in the minors and has enticing physical prowess and twitch, but the length of his swing undermines his impressive tools in a couple of key ways, which is why he continues to project as a souped-up fifth outfielder. Bolte is long levered and ends up underneath a ton of elevated fastballs, and the contact he does make (he posted a 67% rate last year, toward the bottom of the big league scale) tends to be on the ground and/or to the opposite field. </p>
<p>Make no mistake, Bolte will sizzle hard liners and grounders at the first and second basemen, because once his wrists get going, he strikes the baseball with impressive force. But hitters with this contact profile — both in how little contact there is and the nature of the spray when it&#8217;s made — tend to underperform from a game power standpoint. If we&#8217;re looking for recent examples of players like this who still find a way to be productive, we can look to <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/garrett-mitchell/27555/stats/batting" target="_blank">Garrett Mitchell</a>, who has been successful in a fairly small sample amid injury. </p>
<p>Bolte presents a similar dichotomy on defense, where his speed and athleticism give him impact range, but a lack of ball skills and feel cause his defense to play down. He struggles with errant reads and discomfort at the catch point, and will be a right field-only fit in the big leagues if things continue this way. Bolte&#8217;s speed gives him utility as a pinch-runner, his power makes him a threat to crush a mistake in the middle of the zone, and his speed and athleticism make it feasible that he can improve as an outfield defender over a long period of time. This is the type of athlete who teams give chance after chance to improve, and it&#8217;s plausible that Bolte will have a meaningfully good peak offensive season or two in his late 20s. That&#8217;s essentially baked into his grade here.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">11. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/breyson-guedez/sa3067688/stats/batting" target="_blank">Breyson Guedez</a>, LF</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Venezuela (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 10&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>160</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>25/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>If the A&#8217;s had a breakout prospect during 2026 camp, it was Guedez, a medium-framed outfielder with an exciting contact/power blend who is sneaky toolsy. Guedez signed for $1.5 million in 2025, then slashed .359/.395/.490 during his DSL debut, with a 6.7% walk rate and 9.5% strikeout rate. He raked in a half-dozen big league spring training games in 2026, homered in the A&#8217;s Breakout game, and looked more physical and toolsy than his amateur scouting reports suggested, though still a good bit more compact than the Leo De Vries and Edgar Montero types (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wilyer-abreu/23772/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wilyer Abreu</a> is a fair body comp). </p>
<p>Guedez has plus bat speed and impressive strength for his age. He&#8217;s muscular throughout his lower body and upper extremities, including in his hands and wrists. His swing has some natural uppercut to it, though that didn&#8217;t manifest in a ton of airborne contact during his pro debut, as he was more of a doubles machine, with 15 of them in 53 games. Even though Guedez is very likely to end up as a left field-only fit on defense and lacks big body projection, he is a rather exciting young hitting prospect with one ruby red flag in his data: his chase. Guedez chased at a 39% overall last year (the big league average is 30%) and a whopping 60% with two strikes (the big league average is 38%). Those are scary numbers for someone likely to wind up on the low end of the defensive spectrum. Guedez was given a fairly aggressive assignment to Low-A Stockton at age 18, and the way his plate discipline trends throughout the season will be the most influential variable for his overall grade during the next year. Here he&#8217;s graded like a high school prospect who&#8217;d go in the early second round.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">12. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-echavarria/sa3023560/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Steven Echavarria</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JvoIh3nqpug" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2023 from Millburn HS (NJ) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>93-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Even though aspects of his fastball&#8217;s plane and shape were suboptimal, Echavarria&#8217;s breaking ball quality and projectability made him one of the more exciting high school pitchers in the 2023 draft, and he signed for $3 million rather than go to Florida. He&#8217;s now pitched in two full seasons, with the second (2025) being a bit rocky, as Echavarria struggled when he was stretched out to work five or more innings at a time and had his per-outing innings cut mid-year. He still managed to throw 104 frames, nearly twice as many as he had the year before, but his ERA and various FIPs were all above four, and Echavarria K&#8217;d just seven per nine despite plus fastball velocity. </p>
<p>Though Echavarria&#8217;s lack of fastball movement and spotty command make that pitch more hittable than most heaters this hard, all three of his secondary pitches flash plus, albeit rarely. He has added a second, harder breaking ball since turning pro (his slider) that now serves as his primary weapon against righties, while his curveball and changeup (which he has been leaned on a bit more often early in outings so far in 2026) have the kind of movement that will be effective against lefties. Location consistency is going to be the biggest variable impacting Echavarria&#8217;s outcomes, and it&#8217;s possible a stronger lower body will help him get there. Though his stuff looks good, he has consistently under-performed as a bat-misser since signing because he so often lives in the heart of the zone when he&#8217;s throwing strikes. He&#8217;ll turn 21 this year, and it would be unreasonable to expect Echavarria to be a fully-formed pitcher at this point, but his 40-man timeline is creeping up, and during the next two years it&#8217;s going to be important for him to polish his command to avoid relief projection. This is still a high-upside FV grade for Echavarria, but one south of what is typical for someone who got a bonus as big as he did.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">13. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-fien/sa3067509/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dylan Fien</a>, C</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 7th Round, 2024 from Great Oak HS (CA) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>S / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Fien was successfully signed away from a UCLA commitment for $550,000 and slashed .241/.326/.322 in his first pro season, which isn&#8217;t a great Cal League line. Still, he&#8217;s a projectable switch-hitter who posted a 75% contact rate while learning how to catch during a fairly aggressive full season assignment. Fien has above-average left-handed bat speed and can move the barrel around the zone enough to do extra-base damage to all fields. His righty swing is not as explosive, but he&#8217;s still often on time and has pull-side doubles pop. There is an above-average hit/power combination lurking here if Fien&#8217;s 6-foot-3 frame fills out. He needs a ton of work on defense and might ultimately end up at first base, where he&#8217;s playing more often than he is catching at the start of 2026. Fien&#8217;s promotion pace has been surprisingly aggressive so far (he broke camp with Lansing), but he is going to be a slow burn as a prospect if he continues to catch even part of the time. He&#8217;s got a puncher&#8217;s chance to be an everyday player and obviously has a much better shot to do so if he can improve behind the dish.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">40 FV Prospects</h2>
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<h3 class="header-name">14. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-kuroda-grauer/sa3025386/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joshua Kuroda-Grauer</a>, 2B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2024 from Rutgers (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Kuroda-Grauer grew up in Somerset, New Jersey and stayed in state for college, going to Rutgers, where one of his mothers got her MSW and was later an advisory council member at their Graduate School of Education. JKG raked in college and had more walks than strikeouts as both a sophomore and junior en route to a third-round selection and a $1 million bonus. He slashed .296/.359/.372 in his first full pro season and reached Double-A Midland in the second half (where he hit his first two professional home runs, a mark he&#8217;s matched already in 2026) and then hit .345 in the Arizona Fall League. </p>
<p>The bedrock of Kuroda-Grauer&#8217;s profile is his exceptional hand-eye coordination and contact ability. He has been damn near impossible to strike out since high school and has posted a K% at or below 10% at basically every level since his freshman season in Piscataway. A majority of his contact is sprayed to the opposite field, with his extra-base damage typically limited to fastballs sliced straight down the right field line and the occasional hanging breaking ball yanked to left. This batted ball profile and below-average bat speed combine to ensure that JKG will slug well under .400 across a large big league sample. His chase rate splits (which explode with two strikes) indicate he may not have especially good strike zone discipline, and this is why his hit tool is projected below his pure bat control; for as much contact as he&#8217;s making, a lot of it is of suboptimal quality. </p>
<p>After the Athletics acquired Leo De Vries, Kuroda-Grauer was forced to move off of shortstop (where he took over 80% of his reps in 2025) and play more second and third base (then some outfield in the Fall League) late in the year. He had prior experience at second base and in the outfield (he got reps during college summer ball), but not at third base, and it has been a pleasant surprise how quickly he&#8217;s taken to the hot corner. He already has great chemistry with De Vries when the two are operating around second base, and while JKG is merely passable at shortstop, he projects to be a plus defender both in quality and versatility at the other positions he can play. Even though he came to 2026 camp noticeably stronger (he&#8217;s added about 25 pounds since his draft year) and it&#8217;s plausible he&#8217;ll impact the baseball a bit more now, Kuroda-Grauer is likely to be a nice role player rather than a first- or second-division regular at any one position.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">15. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cole-miller/sa3067552/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cole Miller</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 4th Round, 2023 from Newbury Park HS (CA) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 6&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>226</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>89-91 / 93</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Miller signed an over-slot $1 million deal as the A&#8217;s 2023 fourth-rounder rather than go to UCLA. He blew out and had Tommy John sometime during 2024 spring training, then returned in 2025, pitching on the complex until late June, when he was promoted to Stockton. Miller posted a 1.90 ERA across 52 combined innings and broke 2026 camp back with Stockton. </p>
<p>Miller still has starter projection because of his size and build (he&#8217;s a broad-shouldered 6-foot-6), and also the way he moves, which is loose and fluid if not always under control. He has a lower arm slot that generates a tailing low-90s fastball, but his best pitch is his changeup, which has as much tail and a good bit of sinking action. He can run both his fastball and changeup off the hips of lefty batters and back over the plate, and he can manipulate the shape of an 81-85 mph breaking ball from a curveball to a slider, depending on where he is trying to locate it. Though he lacks great arm strength right now, Miller&#8217;s age, size and flexibility make it possible that he might yet throw harder, although he was usually in the low 90s before he blew out and has basically thrown this hard for his entire time as a prospect. Even though his lower-slot delivery is atypical for a starter, there are otherwise lots of starter ingredients here. Miller will track as a backend option for as long as his fastball velocity remains in this pedestrian area.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">16. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-barnett/31741/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Barnett</a>, MIRP</h3>
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<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2022 from Auburn (KCR)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>218</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>93-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Barnett moved into Auburn&#8217;s rotation in the middle of his junior season, and his stuff peaked late in the year as the draft approached. The violence and inconsistency of his delivery caused him to project as a reliever on our draft rankings, but he&#8217;s been developed as a starter (by two orgs — he was part of the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lucas-erceg/19360/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Lucas Erceg</a> trade) and made his big league debut across five starts to end the 2025 season. Barnett struggled with command in those outings, as well as in his first Cactus League start of 2026, and he was quickly optioned to Las Vegas during the first half of spring training. </p>
<p>The barrel chested right-hander has a due north arm slot that imparts vertical ride on his fastball and depth on his breaking stuff. A long, plunging arm action and the trunk tilt required of Barnett to get to this arm slot are tough for him to repeat, and this impacts his command. He has four distinct pitches that he throws for strikes at a roughly 60% clip. It&#8217;s the bones of a starter&#8217;s mix and pitchability, but only just so. Barnett&#8217;s fastball has average velo and uphill angle when it&#8217;s located at the top of the zone, but it has a hittable line when it&#8217;s middle-down. He attacks righties with his fastball and a 83-87 mph slider (his best pitch), and goes at lefties with his fastball and a tailing changeup. He&#8217;ll try to dump in a 12-to-6 curveball early in counts to steal a strike, but he doesn&#8217;t land it consistently. Barnett should be deployed as a spot starter and swingman while he has options left, but as his roster flexibility drips away, it&#8217;s more likely that he settles into the bullpen side of the equation due to his below-average command.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">17. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/thomas-white/sa3025383/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tommy White</a>, 3B</h3>
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<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2024 from LSU (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>228</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>A barrel-chested college baseball cult hero, White was among the highest-profile transfers of the college athlete empowerment era, heading from NC State to LSU after an incredible freshman season. He slashed .355/.419/.704 throughout his college career, with 75 homers in three seasons, and signed for $3 million as the A&#8217;s second-rounder in 2024. In his first full pro season, he slashed .275/.334/.439 split between High-A Lansing and Double-A Midland, then thrived in the Fall League. </p>
<p>This projection assumes a performance dip is coming for White, who has a pretty extreme inside-out contact profile (he can&#8217;t pull fastballs in the air) and a penchant for chase. His operation in the box can get noisy, and he ends up tardy to the contact point. His hands aren&#8217;t especially quick, but his ability to rotate explosively through his hips provides glimpses of viable big league corner defender pop. It&#8217;s tough for hitters who are routinely late against fastballs to reliably hit for power, and White falls into this category even though his best shots are impressive. A tendency to expand the zone in any count adds further offensive volatility to a profile that was driven by his contact percentage (80% overall) in 2025. </p>
<p>A surprisingly mobile, low-to-the-ground defender for his size, White&#8217;s ability to control his body well on the run puts him in a good fielding position, which allows him to cover up for below-average hands. He&#8217;ll have to stay as lithe and quick as possible, which can be challenging for athletes built like he is (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maikel-franco/12179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maikel Franco</a> is a fair all-around comp for White), but he has a better shot to stay at the hot corner than you&#8217;d guess when he gets off the bus. White will likely play a mix of third and first base (where he looks like a future plus defender) in the big leagues as part of a lefty matchup role.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">18. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shotaro-morii/sa3067343/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shotaro Morii</a>, TWP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Japan (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>181</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>25/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>90-94 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Morii comes out of Toho High School in Tokyo and elected to skip the NPB Draft to come stateside as an amateur prospect. This is similar (but meaningfully different) than <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rintaro-sasaki/sa3060492/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rintaro Sasaki</a> skipping the NPB Draft to go to Stanford and eventually be subject to the MLB Draft. Morii came directly to the U.S. for his debut season and slashed .258/.399/.384 in the Arizona Complex League. He creates fairly exciting hip/hand separation and can punish the baseball pretty well for a hitter his age, but Morii is already rather physical and probably doesn&#8217;t have much more raw power in the tank. It will likely take improvement in his contact ability (he posted a 71% overall rate in 2025) for him to have the offensive profile of an everyday second baseman, the position at which he fits best and which he played most during my spring 2026 looks. </p>
<p>Morii did not play in a regular season game as a pitcher last year, and instead got reps during instructional league (and again this spring), where he sat in the low 90s with a blunt slider and a splitter in its nascent stages of development. Morii is balanced and controlled over his landing leg and has a short, repeatable arm action. Again, his lack of physical projection makes it tough to forecast improved velocity as he ages. He&#8217;s a fun developmental prospect without an obvious plus tool for his profile to truly hang its hat on. His best chance at being an everyday player (or the pitching equivalent) is probably to outperform this power projection and slug his way to an everyday second base role. He&#8217;s back in Arizona, where he&#8217;ll attempt to hit and pitch during extended spring training, potentially finishing the summer in Stockton if double duty goes well.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">19. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-montero/sa3024109/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Montero</a>, 3B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>220</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>20/55</td>
<td>40/30</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Montero put up video game numbers in his second DSL season. He is listed at 185 pounds and as a shortstop, but he&#8217;s at least 30 pounds heavier than that already and is very likely to move to a corner. While he wields very impressive power for a hitter his age, the cement on his frame is drier than most at this stage, and there might only be another half grade or so in the tank. His swing takes a while to get on plane, and Montero slices a lot of contact the other way, which are warning signs about his future contract ability against good velo. There are outcomes for Montero that look like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nolan-gorman/22263/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nolan Gorman</a> if he indeed ends up with 70 power. His surface stats led us to consider him for the Top 100, but we moved off him pretty quickly because of these yellow flags.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">20. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eduarniel-nunez/23162/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Eduarniel Núñez</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2016 from Dominican Republic (CHC)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>170</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>70/70</td>
<td>70/70</td>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>94-100 / 101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Núñez has been a frustrating pitcher to monitor during the last half decade because he has long had superlative stuff, but very poor control. Sort your TrackMan spreadsheet and Núñez is at or near the top in a number of categories. Nobody in the world who throws as hard as he does can spin the baseball like he does (he averaged 2,700 rpm on his four-seamer last year). But often to see Núñez actually pitch is to watch him traffic cop a rally with walks and bean balls, and he&#8217;s had long stretches in the minors where he&#8217;s either walked a batter per inning or experienced wild fluctuations in velocity. </p>
<p>Núñez was a minor league free agent in 2024, signed with the Padres, and put things together enough in 2025 that he became part of the Mason Miller trade and made his big league debut with the A&#8217;s. And so here we are nine years after Núñez signed, with him touching 101 in Triple-A games and bending in some ungodly 90 mph sliders. On some nights, it looks like he should be closing big league games, while on others he is dangerously wild, a threat to the hands and faces of every righty batter. Núñez still has two option years left, and his service clock has only just started. He&#8217;s going to be in our universe for a while. He also has a track athlete&#8217;s build and incredible arm speed, and he hasn&#8217;t yet been in an org that we know to be great at maxing out pitchers. If his control problems persist to this degree (2026 Núñez doesn&#8217;t looked like he&#8217;s suddenly found 40-grade control), he&#8217;ll remain on the Triple-A/big league fringe forever, but this is the category of player out of which pops a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/felix-bautista/20666/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Félix Bautista</a> or a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jeff-hoffman/17432/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jeff Hoffman</a> or an <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/evan-phillips/17734/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Evan Phillips</a>, the guy with freaky stuff who takes forever to put it together, and then has the athletic longevity to sustain a meaningful peak after he does. That&#8217;s in play for Núñez, and so I&#8217;m valuing him more here than is typical for an older prospect whose control grade would tend to always put him in the 35+ FV bucket.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">21. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/corey-avant/sa3023137/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Corey Avant</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 9th Round, 2023 from Wingate (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 4&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>93-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>&#8220;Cool Breeze&#8221; Corey was a reliever at Division-II Wingate who the A&#8217;s began to stretch out as a long reliever and spot starter in 2024, before more solidly committing to developing him as a starter in 2025, when he worked 123 innings (including his Fall League frames). Avant still has some reliever risk because of his below-average control — he only walked 10.5% of opponents in 2025, but his underlying strike-throwing was worse than that, and he&#8217;s tended to be in the 13% or above area dating back to college — but he is built like a starter at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-4, and he deserves a longer developmental runway since we&#8217;re talking about a small school guy who barely pitched in college because he was deployed as a reliever. </p>
<p>Avant throws hard; he was parked in the 93-97 mph range last year, though his fastball&#8217;s downhill plane sucks some of the effectiveness out of that pitch. Conversely, the higher slot helps add depth to Avant&#8217;s slider, which has great velocity for a standard gyro-style offering. Whether Avant can continue to start will depend on the development of his splitter/sinker, an 87-91 mph offering that he actually has decent feel for locating, but that lacks big movement. Automatic pitch tagging thinks a lot of his splits are two-seamers, so it&#8217;s tough to tell exactly how many of them he threw last year, but the number is something like twice what he did in 2024, though still only 200 of them across the entire season. He looks like he takes great care of himself, and he&#8217;s an engaged teammate who was often watching his fellow A&#8217;s arms with intense focus as everyone got underway this spring. It&#8217;s probably more likely that Avant is a reliever in the end, but even if that&#8217;s the case, he&#8217;ll be a draft-and-develop feather in the cap of the A&#8217;s. They should continue with the starter track for another two seasons at least, and decide more about his path when his 40-man roster deadline arrives after the 2027 season.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">22. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenya-huggins/sa3020609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenya Huggins</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 4th Round, 2022 from Chipola JC (FL) (CIN)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>230</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>92-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Huggins has a giant frame and showed upper-90s heat at the 2022 Draft Combine, where he sat 96-98 mph and absolutely dwarfed many of the pitchers from the Power Five schools. The Reds used a little more than $400,000 to sign him away from a commitment to Louisiana Tech. He blew out in late June of 2023 (his first full season), had TJ, came back late in 2024, and in 2025 broke camp back at Low-A Daytona, where he made 15 healthy starts prior to the Miguel Andujar trade. Across all of 2025, Huggins worked 78 innings of 3.81 ERA ball with a 22.7% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate. He was assigned to Double-A Midland at the start of 2026. </p>
<p>Huggins pitches heavily off a downhill, mid-90s fastball that averaged 94-95 mph even as he set a personal single-season best for innings. We&#8217;re talking 75% fastball usage after he joined the A&#8217;s org, though he was working more with his secondary stuff — an upper-80s cutter/slider and changeup — during 2026 spring training. Huggins&#8217; high arm slot creates downhill angle on all of his pitches, which is why what is more like a cutter in terms of movement often plays like a slider thanks to the extra depth created by its angle. Huggins&#8217; changeup performed well from a bat-missing standpoint in 2025, but it lacks exciting movement to the eye and was used too little to take its per-pitch performance at face value. Huggins&#8217; strike-throwing track record is pretty short, but his physical conditioning has improved since he turned pro, and he fills the zone with his fastball and slider. There isn&#8217;t a true plus pitch here and so Huggins is pretty likely to end up toward the back of a rotation or in the bullpen, but with a good 2026 season, he should contribute in this fashion starting in 2027.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">23. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yunior-tur/sa3021045/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yunior Tur</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2023 from Cuba (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 6&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/70</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>94-97 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Tur, who entered affiliated ball at age 23, has an NBA wing player&#8217;s frame at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-6 and has mostly been developed as a starter. In 2025, he worked 125.2 innings across 30 appearances (26 starts) mostly at High- and Double-A. This spring, he has thrown in relief on the backfields and to start the Triple-A regular season. </p>
<p>Though it&#8217;s possible the need for depth will force him back into the Vegas rotation at some point, Tur&#8217;s best fit on a big league staff would indeed be as a fastball-heavy reliever. He sat 94-97 as a starter last year, often with 17-20 inches of induced vertical break. Though it&#8217;s reasonable to hope Tur will rip upper-90s gas out of the bullpen, that hasn&#8217;t happened yet, and he has been in his usual range during single-inning bursts this spring. His secondary stuff — a mid-80s short action slider and a mid-80s splitter — is only fair, and it looks like he may have scrapped his cutter this year. He should still be able to pitch off his fastball in an up/down role while the big league coaching staff tries to find a plus pitch somewhere else, which would facilitate a more consistent role.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">24. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/william-johnston/sa3022940/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Will Johnston</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 13th Round, 2023 from Texas A&amp;M (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>88-92 / 95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnston moved from Texas A&amp;M&#8217;s bullpen into their rotation in the middle of his junior season, and the A&#8217;s stretched him out as a starter in pro ball until May of last year, when he returned to relief. For a minute, it looked like his strike-throwing had improved, but it regressed in 2025, as he walked five per nine across 70 innings spent at mostly Double-A Midland, where he&#8217;s back to start 2026 (and on the IL with a disc issue in his back). </p>
<p>Lefties with a breaking ball as good as Johnston&#8217;s death ball slider tend to play at least a lefty specialist role. It spins around 1,900 rpm on average, several hundred rpm slower than the average big league slider, but there&#8217;s something about his high release and his ability to hide the ball that helps this pitch play like a plus-plus offering against both left- and right-handed hitters. Johnston also has a splitter, giving him a second effective way to attack righties. Because he&#8217;s light on velo, he often tries to elevate his fastball way above the zone where it can stay out of trouble, which is part of why he doesn&#8217;t work efficiently enough to start. Johnston has had back stuff in the past, so this early-season injury is somewhat concerning, but when healthy, he looks like a pretty solid middle reliever thanks to his platoon neutralizing capabilities.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">35+ FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">25. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chen-zhuang/sa3018174/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2021 from Taiwan (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.6</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>90-93 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>&#8220;Z-man&#8221; signed in November of 2021 after he was scouted during the WBSC U-23 World Cup, debuted at Stockton as a 21-year-old the following year, then missed 2023 recovering from shoulder surgery. Over the last two years, his innings count has grown (145.2 innings last season) and he&#8217;s pitched well (1.16 career WHIP, 5% career walk rate) with only a little bit of slippage as he&#8217;s climbed to Double-A, even though Zhuang has pedestrian stuff. He touched 97 last year, but tends to sit 90-93, and sometimes his velo will slip below that. His changeup has heavy sink and is easily his best pitch, but it isn&#8217;t a dominant offering. He&#8217;ll be able to change speeds and throw strikes enough to act as a spot starter, and he&#8217;ll likely help the A&#8217;s this year, but it&#8217;s tough to project Zhuang in a long-term rotation role with stuff this light.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">26. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-baez/sa3016584/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Henry Baez</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>175</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>92-95 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Baez is a skinny, 6-foot-3 righty who the Padres added to their 40-man roster after the 2024 season and then traded to the A&#8217;s in the Mason Miller deal the following deadline. He has spent the bulk of the past 18 months at Double-A, where he&#8217;s posted a 1.08 WHIP and 2.60 ERA despite a generic 7.4 per nine across both orgs. He entered 2026, his second option year, as a likely part of the A&#8217;s spot starter contingent, but he was put on the IL with what my sources indicate is a shoulder issue when camp broke. Baez was sitting 93-95 during his pre-injury outings this spring and looked like his usual self. He has a mono-rotational delivery in which his entire torso seems to rotate at once as he completes his motion, and as unorthodox as this looks, Baez has been able to throw strikes at a high clip for his entire career. His breaking ball command helps his pedestrian stuff play up a bit, as both his slider and curveball missed bats at an above-average rate in 2025. His changeup isn&#8217;t nearly as effective. Without a plus pitch, Baez&#8217;s role will likely remain in the fifth through seventh starter area.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">27. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gunnar-hoglund/31318/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gunnar Hoglund</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 1st Round, 2021 from Ole Miss (TOR)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 4&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>220</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>91-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Hoglund was a famous high schooler who ended up at Ole Miss and was drafted in the first round by the Blue Jays before coming to Oakland in the 2022 <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matt-chapman/16505/stats/batting" target="_blank">Matt Chapman</a> trade. Injuries have prevented him from throwing more than 100 innings in all but one pro season, and he opened 2026 on the IL with knee and lumbar spine issues. Hoglund got shelled during his six-start big league debut in 2025, and his stuff (which has been better at some points than others) was average or below across the board. His sinking mid-80s changeup is now his best offering. He works with five pitches — a four-seamer, sinker, cutter, changeup and slider — that all generated below-average miss in 2025. Hoglund&#8217;s delivery appears less athletic than when he was at his prospect peak, and he hasn&#8217;t really been able to demonstrate starter&#8217;s durability as a pro. He now looks like a spot starter.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">28. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-causey/sa3028661/stats/pitching" target="_blank">A.J. Causey</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2024 from Tennessee (KCR)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>88-90 / 92</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Causey began his college career at Jacksonville State before transferring to Tennessee for his junior season, and he went in the fifth round as a quick-moving, low-slot righty reliever. He split 2025 as a multi-inning weapon at High- and Double-A in the Royals system (48 appearances, 73.1 innings, 1.72 ERA), then was traded to the A&#8217;s at the start of 2026 spring training in exchange for former Rule 5 pick <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mitch-spence/27707/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mitch Spence</a>. </p>
<p>Both Causey&#8217;s changeup and slider played like plus pitches last year, though only his changeup, which has huge tailing action and sink in the low-80s, is truly nasty. His slider lives off of deception and command rather than pure stuff, though its uphill angle is difficult for hitters to parse. There are two viable secondary pitches here, including one that can neutralize lefties, which is rare for a sidearmer. Causey&#8217;s feel for location helps keep his fastball out of trouble, and his slider command gives him a second way to get ahead of hitters. He projects as a stable middle-inning &#8220;look&#8221; reliever who is on pace to debut late in 2027.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">29. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathaniel-taylor/sa3043592/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Zane Taylor</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2025 from UNC Wilmington (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>200</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>92-95 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Taylor was a priority senior sign as a four-year starter at UNC Wilmington who sat 92-93 during the course of 2025 before his velo climbed not long before the draft, sometimes 95-97, albeit with hittable movement. His build and delivery are more evocative of a reliever, but he has never done anything but throw strikes. Taylor&#8217;s slider/cutter has inconsistent velo and shape, but it&#8217;s consistently located and generated huge miss and chase in 2025. His changeup is the opposite. It has sink/tail action, but it&#8217;s rarely used and is scattered in zone and out. There are lots of starter ingredients here, enough to merit development in that role even if Taylor doesn&#8217;t look the part from a size and mechanics perspective.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">30. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-parra/sa3024574/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Parra</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Venezuela (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 11&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>91-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Parra had a much improved second pro season in the DSL, as he K&#8217;d 10 per nine and posted a 2.64 ERA across 44.1 innings. The stout lefty was bringing big velo during the DSL A&#8217;s postseason run (frequently touching 96), and flashed a plus two-planed breaking ball in the upper 70s. Parra has a realistic lefty relief outcome but is still roughly a half decade away from the big leagues.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">31. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/stephen-emanuels/sa3014698/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Stevie Emanuels</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2020 from Washington (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>27.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 5&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>92-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Emanuels experienced a three-tick velo bump in 2023 and has mostly sustained it since then, averaging anywhere from 93-96 mph on his fastball for much of the last three seasons. He also incorporated a cutter into his repertoire, which now gives him three different breaking ball shapes to show hitters. He deploys cutters, sliders, and curveballs across a 76-90 mph range, so even though hitters can reliably look for movement to one half of the plate, they can&#8217;t anticipate speed and shape. Emanuels commands those pitches much better than he does his fastball, which had a sub-60% strike rate last year. His cutter has late, quick action that allows it to stay off barrels, but it&#8217;s his slider that misses bats at a comfortably plus rate. He walked six batters per nine at Midland in 2025 but still managed a 2.70 ERA because, collectively, his breaking pitches missed bats at a 45% clip. A lack of fastball command will likely cap Emanuels&#8217; role to up/down relief.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">32. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/isaiah-johnson/sa3011626/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jared Johnson</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 14th Round, 2019 from Smithville HS (MS) (ATL)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>93-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnson is a very physical, high-effort relief prospect who utilizes a slider-heavy approach to pitching. He was acquired from the Braves in exchange for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nick-allen/22277/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nick Allen</a> after the 2024 season, but he didn&#8217;t pitch at all in 2025 due to forearm issues. He is healthy and was assigned to Double-A Midland at the start of 2026. </p>
<p>Johnson&#8217;s slider will bend in as hard as 94 mph. He hides the ball well and throws with such violence that it often takes hitters a second to adjust to his delivery. His fastball will touch 99 but was more in the 93-96 mph range during the spring of 2026, and his very high release point creates a downhill angle that hurts the pitch&#8217;s ability to miss bats. Johnson&#8217;s stuff is pretty nasty, and while his bull-in-a-china-shop control will probably limit him to up/down duty when he debuts, he could pitch his way into a more regular middle relief role if he gains better control of his body in his mid-20s.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="LF" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">33. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-turley/sa3044148/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gavin Turley</a>, LF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 4th Round, 2025 from Oregon State (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>196</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>If you&#8217;re a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/colby-thomas/31855/stats/batting" target="_blank">Colby Thomas</a> fan, this is your guy. Turley packs a huge punch for a hitter his size, hitting 20 bombs with a 61% hard-hit rate at Oregon State in 2025. He slashed .243/.336/.430 at Stockton after the draft. Turley swings incredibly hard, but he pulls off a ton of secondary pitches. He posted a sub-60% contact rate against both sliders and changeups in college, and is a left field fit on defense. That&#8217;s a tough bar to clear with big strikeout totals looming. Taylor is a power-hitting dev project who began 2026 on the IL with a fractured thumb.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">34. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ricky-duran/sa3075066/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ricky Duran</a>, 3B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2026 from Dominican Republic (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>17.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>165</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>20/50</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Duran is a fairly typical $1 million international signee with exciting physicality and bat speed, but he likely isn&#8217;t a shortstop. His swing length creates some hit tool risk. He&#8217;ll debut in the DSL this year.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">35. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ayden-johnson/sa3067681/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ayden Johnson</a>, 3B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Bahamas (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>25/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnson was the best Bahamian prospect in the 2025 international class, a powerfully built youngster with the look of a D-I running back prospect who signed for $1.5 million. He worked out for teams at shortstop, but at his size he was a pretty good bet to move to third base, and indeed Johnson spent most of his DSL debut at the hot corner. He slashed .257/.414/.321 last year and K&#8217;d at a 27.1% clip, too much for the A&#8217;s to bring him to the States in 2026. Johnson&#8217;s bat speed and power projection are still exciting, but he needs to cut his strikeouts this season to retain prospect status for next cycle.</p>
</div>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="RF" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">36. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darwing-ozuna/sa3068179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Darwing Ozuna</a>, RF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Dominican Republic (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>40/60</td>
<td>20/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>70</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Ozuna signed for $850,000 in 2025 as one of the more projectable righty-hitting power bats in the international class. He struggled in his DSL debut, slashing .211/.301/.311 and posting a sub-70% contact rate. But Ozuna&#8217;s size — he&#8217;s 6-foot-3 and has room for big strength on his frame — and explosive swing are too exciting to move off of him entirely after a bad debut. He will repeat the DSL in 2026 and needs to improve as a contact bat to remain on the list.</p>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="h3_no-margin">Other Prospects of Note</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.</em></p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Outfield Tweeners</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathan-nankil/sa3022532/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nate Nankil</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-lasko/sa3022539/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ryan Lasko</a>, CF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cameron-leary/sa3025469/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cameron Leary</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/clark-elliott/sa3019972/stats/batting" target="_blank">Clark Elliott</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carlos-pacheco/sa3018455/stats/batting" target="_blank">Carlos Pacheco</a>, OF</p>
<p>Nankil was the A&#8217;s seventh rounder out of Cal State Fullerton in 2023. He made plus contact (but struggled to hit for power) at Lansing last year. He is back there to start 2026 after he floundered during a late-season promotion to Midland. Lasko has run sub-70% contact rates each of the past two years as he&#8217;s entered the upper levels of the minors. He can play an okay center field (and he can really, really throw), but not so good that it will carry him to a big league role with a 30-hit/45-power combo on offense. Leary and Elliott are two medium-framed, lefty-hitting outfielders who each have one average tool (for Leary, it&#8217;s his hit tool; for Elliott, it&#8217;s his pull power), while their other components are below average. Pacheco is a speedy outfielder who has struggled to translate anything close to his complex-level performance to full-season ball.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Up-The-Middle Guys</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/casey-yamauchi/sa3022528/stats/batting" target="_blank">Casey Yamauchi</a>, INF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jesus-fernandez/sa3021123/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jesus Fernandez</a>, SS<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/colton-conn/sa3029251/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cole Conn</a>, C<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/max-durrington/sa3067341/stats/batting" target="_blank">Max Durrington</a>, 2B/LF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-swift/sa3017281/stats/batting" target="_blank">Drew Swift</a>, SS</p>
<p>Yamauchi, 25, is an undersized infielder who is still in A-ball, though he posted an 88% contact rate last year. Fernandez, 20, is a well-built shortstop who has been tough to make swing and miss in the lower levels of the minors, but the quality of his contact is so lacking that he hit .178 in Arizona last year. He&#8217;s still a name scouts bring up as a deep sleeper in this system because he&#8217;s a shortstop with bat-to-ball skills, but he desperately needs to hit the ball harder. Conn, 24, is a switch-hitting catcher from Illinois-Chicago with a 50-hit/40-power/30-defense toolset. He&#8217;s at Double-A. Durrington, 19, is a versatile Aussie who played a bit in big league spring games this year. He&#8217;s yet to find his footing in games, but he&#8217;s athletic and swings hard. Swift is an important Arizona baseball figure after starring at Hamilton High School and ASU before pro ball. He&#8217;s a great defender who doesn&#8217;t hit enough to play a sustained big league role, but he should wear a major league uniform at some point.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Hard-Throwing Relievers</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jackson-finley/sa3023406/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jackson Finley</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/grant-richardson/sa3040703/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Grant Richardson</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/donny-troconis/sa3020992/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Donny Troconis</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/abel-mercedes/sa3017013/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Abel Mercedes</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-brown/sa3022939/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ryan Brown</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ricardo-osorio/sa3068460/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ricardo Osorio</a>, RHP</p>
<p>Finley missed time in college and then all of 2025 due to injury, but when he&#8217;s been healthy, he&#8217;s thrown hard. He was in the 96-99 mph range during instructs and again this spring, albeit with below-average movement and well below-average command. Richardson is a physical 6-foot-3 lefty who the A&#8217;s drafted in the sixth round last year out of Grand Canyon. His fastball sits in the 93-94 mph range with enough ride that it played like a comfortably plus pitch in college. He needs to develop a third pitch to remain a starter long-term. Troconis looked like he had added meaningful strength during the offseason and sat 96 during his first scouted outing of the year, then was sitting 92 by the end of spring training. At his best, he looks like a standard middle reliever. Mercedes was a minor league Rule 5 pick from Houston who will bump 100, but he&#8217;s walked more than a batter per inning the last three years. Brown is a 25-year-old righty who K&#8217;d 10 per nine in 2024 thanks to a plus changeup. He didn&#8217;t pitch last year due to injury and has been assigned to Lansing at the start of 2026. Osorio is a 6-foot-4, 18-year-old DSL reliever who sat 93-97 last year in limited innings.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">One Plus Pitch</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gerlin-rosario/sa3019251/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gerlin Rosario</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tucker-novotny/sa3038957/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Tucker Novotny</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/micah-dallas/sa3020391/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Micah Dallas</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-gonzalez/sa3011609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">James Gonzalez</a>, LHP</p>
<p>Rosario, who was acquired before the season in exchange for second baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cooper-bowman/sa3016966/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cooper Bowman</a>, is a 24-year-old A-ball reliever whose changeup (his third most used pitch) missed bats at an elite level last year. Novotny has one of the funkier arm strokes I&#8217;ve ever seen, as it swoops way behind his body as he squeezes his shoulder blades together behind him on disconnection. He&#8217;s 6-foot-5 and generates seven feet of extension, but doesn&#8217;t throw all that hard. He could be a fastball/changeup reliever. Dallas is a Double-A reliever with a plus slider and a great multi-year strike-throwing track record who sits about 89. Gonzalez, who pitched in the WBC for Panama, has spent most of his minor league career as a starter but has moved to the bullpen this year. His changeup has performed like a plus pitch in the past, but he&#8217;ll need a velo bump coming out of the &#8216;pen (he peaked at 93 in the WBC) to profile as a big leaguer. </p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="h3_no-margin">System Overview</span></p>
<p>This system isn&#8217;t great in terms of either its overall depth or the amount of high-end talent, but it does have two things the A&#8217;s badly need: a potential franchise-altering star up top in Leo De Vries, and a lot of polished pitching that will soon be ready to help the hitter-heavy big league roster compete for a postseason berth. I picked the A&#8217;s to win the division before the year for exactly this reason. Though it&#8217;d be foolish to assume that all of their young big league hitters will develop in a linear fashion, they have a deep, talented bunch and need pitching to complete their postseason puzzle. Healthy Braden Nett, Gage Jump, and Kade Morris look like they could each be one of the team&#8217;s best five starters by the end of the year, and if Jamie Arnold and Wei-En Lin see their command click, one of them could move quicker than I expect and also be in the mix. </p>
<p>How quickly De Vries debuts might depend as much on how some of the big league infielders perform as Leo&#8217;s own numbers. If the A&#8217;s are hanging around the top of the AL West by July, but <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/max-muncy/29779/stats/batting" target="_blank">Max Muncy</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darell-hernaiz/26224/stats/batting" target="_blank">Darell Hernaiz</a>, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andy-ibanez/18819/stats/batting" target="_blank">Andy Ibáñez</a> aren&#8217;t hitting and De Vries is, it&#8217;s going to be tempting to promote him. If another team is running away with the division, it will be less enticing. Either way, De Vries looks quite good and seems to be responding to the mounting hype and pressure with a calm beyond his years.</p>
<p>The Athletics have tended to give out some enormous individual bonuses internationally, with mixed results. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-morales/32227/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Luis Morales</a> had a fine big league introduction, while <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robert-puason/sa3014697/stats/batting" target="_blank">Robert Puason</a> is now an afterthought. Johenssy Colome is the latest spin of the wheel. Note that last year the A&#8217;s spread things out a bit more and seem to have something with Breyson Guedez, who was one of my favorite hitters to watch this spring. He needs to narrow his approach, but he has the hit/power combination to profile as an everyday guy. Physical traits like size, body composition, bat speed and projectability still seem to be the A&#8217;s north stars when scouting internationally, as is the case for many clubs. </p>
<p>In the domestic draft, it&#8217;s more of a mix. The A&#8217;s will take some players with those aforementioned traits, but they&#8217;ll also take the occasional Joshua Kuroda-Grauer or Devin Taylor who have more impressive performance track records than they do tools. There are great litmus tests in this system to see if the A&#8217;s pitching development has improved. There are pitchers who need to improve their command (Arnold, Lin, Nett, Corey Avant), as well as ones who need another pitch (Yunior Tur, Zane Taylor, Jose Parra), or who need to make good on their projection (Cole Miller, Steven Echavarria). How much and how quickly these guys develop will help us understand if there&#8217;s a proficient, sustainable way for the A&#8217;s to produce arms internally, which is always an important competency for small market teams. </p>
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		<title>Effectively Wild Episode 2463: Filled to the Brim</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2463-filled-to-the-brim/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2463-filled-to-the-brim/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Lindbergh]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 10:39:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Effectively Wild]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487249</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Jorge Soler charging the mound against Reynaldo López and whether a team could dupe an opposing ace into getting ejected, Konnor Griffin&#8217;s extension becoming official, whether Jose Altuve is benefiting from the reshaped strike zone, a wave of MLB injuries, teams whose playoff odds have changed the most [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png" alt="EWFI" width="590" height="206" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-242076" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png 590w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi-300x105.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px" /><br />
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jorge-soler/14221/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jorge Soler</a> charging the mound against <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/reynaldo-lopez/16400/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Reynaldo López</a> and whether a team could dupe an opposing ace into getting ejected, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/konnor-griffin/35376/stats/batting" target="_blank">Konnor Griffin</a>&#8217;s extension becoming official,  whether <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-altuve/5417/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jose Altuve</a> is benefiting from the reshaped strike zone, a wave of MLB injuries, teams whose playoff odds have changed the most in the first two weeks of the season, Tony Vitello&#8217;s PR performance, the debut of brimless hats, a few follow-ups, and more.</p>
<p><strong>Audio&nbsp;intro</strong>: Cory Brent, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1Pt4d-z71jiJ_H4Zb23Kos4vuP__tzf8t/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<strong>Audio&nbsp;outro</strong>: The Shirey Brothers, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1lGyXnWwEoa3G1mWIJfdeNs8HHFLR8Ml7/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<br />
<a href="https://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/TOR/TOR202604080.shtml" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Cease vs. Ohtani game</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/jorge-soler-reynaldo-lopez-involved-in-benches-clearing-brawl" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to brawl story</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/reynaldo-lopez-jorge-soler-suspended" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to suspensions story</a><br />
<a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/tiny/a68YH" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Soler vs. López stats</a><br />
<a href="https://www.patreon.com/posts/database-of-weve-142735794" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Bois database</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1c1WGP66XSXvFkFaHVJSwdRWsR8n4KGumOuBPTS09BH4/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Bois spreadsheet</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hate_(video_games)" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to &#8220;aggro&#8221; wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Armadillidiidae" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Armadillidiidae wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/konnor-griffin-will-be-a-pirate-for-a-very-long-time" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dan S. on Griffin</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/04/pirates-sign-konnor-griffin-to-nine-year-extension.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBTR on Griffin</a><br />
<a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/buccos/comments/1sas5ft/olney_konnor_griffins_deal_with_the_pirates_nine/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Olney&#8217;s deleted tweet</a><br />
<a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7181378/2026/04/08/konnor-griffin-pittsburgh-pirates-extension/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rosenthal on Griffin</a><br />
<a href="https://www.wf-lawyers.com/divorce-statistics-and-facts/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to marriage/divorce stats</a><br />
<a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/105929/this-is-not-even-the-strike-zones-final-form/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Woodrum on the strike zone</a><br />
<a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/105960/guarding-the-lines-jose-altuves-new-strike-zone-abs/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Seidler on Altuve</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=y&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;sortcol=17&amp;sortdir=default&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-08&amp;team=0" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to wRC+ leaderboard</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/abs-challenges?sort=n_challenges&amp;sortDir=desc&amp;page=0&amp;pageSize=50" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to batter challenges leaderboard</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&amp;hfAB=&amp;hfGT=R%7C&amp;hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&amp;hfZ=&amp;hfStadium=&amp;hfBBL=&amp;hfNewZones=&amp;hfPull=&amp;hfC=&amp;hfSea=2026%7C2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&amp;hfSit=&amp;player_type=batter&amp;hfOuts=&amp;home_road=&amp;pitcher_throws=&amp;batter_stands=&amp;hfSA=&amp;hfEventOuts=&amp;hfEventRuns=&amp;game_date_gt=&amp;game_date_lt=2026-04-08&amp;hfMo=&amp;hfTeam=&amp;hfOpponent=&amp;hfRO=&amp;position=&amp;hfInfield=&amp;hfOutfield=&amp;hfInn=&amp;hfBBT=&amp;batters_lookup%5B%5D=514888&amp;hfFlag=is%5C.%5C.take%7C&amp;metric_1=&amp;group_by=name-year&amp;min_pitches=0&amp;min_results=0&amp;min_pas=0&amp;sort_col=pitch_percent&amp;player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&amp;sort_order=desc&amp;chk_is..take=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Altuve called-strike rate</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&amp;hfAB=&amp;hfGT=R%7C&amp;hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&amp;hfZ=&amp;hfStadium=&amp;hfBBL=&amp;hfNewZones=&amp;hfPull=&amp;hfC=&amp;hfSea=2026%7C2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&amp;hfSit=&amp;player_type=batter&amp;hfOuts=&amp;home_road=&amp;pitcher_throws=&amp;batter_stands=&amp;hfSA=&amp;hfEventOuts=&amp;hfEventRuns=&amp;game_date_gt=&amp;game_date_lt=2026-04-08&amp;hfMo=&amp;hfTeam=&amp;hfOpponent=&amp;hfRO=&amp;position=&amp;hfInfield=&amp;hfOutfield=&amp;hfInn=&amp;hfBBT=&amp;batters_lookup%5B%5D=592450&amp;hfFlag=is%5C.%5C.take%7C&amp;metric_1=&amp;group_by=name-year&amp;min_pitches=0&amp;min_results=0&amp;min_pas=0&amp;sort_col=pitch_percent&amp;player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&amp;sort_order=desc&amp;chk_is..take=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Judge called-strike rate</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&amp;hfAB=&amp;hfGT=R%7C&amp;hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&amp;hfZ=11%7C12%7C13%7C14%7C&amp;hfStadium=&amp;hfBBL=&amp;hfNewZones=&amp;hfPull=&amp;hfC=&amp;hfSea=2026%7C2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&amp;hfSit=&amp;player_type=batter&amp;hfOuts=&amp;home_road=&amp;pitcher_throws=&amp;batter_stands=&amp;hfSA=&amp;hfEventOuts=&amp;hfEventRuns=&amp;game_date_gt=&amp;game_date_lt=2026-04-08&amp;hfMo=&amp;hfTeam=&amp;hfOpponent=&amp;hfRO=&amp;position=&amp;hfInfield=&amp;hfOutfield=&amp;hfInn=&amp;hfBBT=&amp;batters_lookup%5B%5D=514888&amp;hfFlag=is%5C.%5C.take%7C&amp;metric_1=&amp;group_by=name-year&amp;min_pitches=0&amp;min_results=0&amp;min_pas=0&amp;sort_col=pitch_percent&amp;player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&amp;sort_order=desc&amp;chk_zones=on&amp;chk_is..take=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Altuve mistake-strike rate</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&amp;hfAB=&amp;hfGT=R%7C&amp;hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&amp;hfZ=11%7C12%7C13%7C14%7C&amp;hfStadium=&amp;hfBBL=&amp;hfNewZones=&amp;hfPull=&amp;hfC=&amp;hfSea=2026%7C2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C2020%7C2019%7C2018%7C2017%7C2016%7C2015%7C2014%7C2013%7C2012%7C2011%7C2010%7C2009%7C2008%7C&amp;hfSit=&amp;player_type=batter&amp;hfOuts=&amp;home_road=&amp;pitcher_throws=&amp;batter_stands=&amp;hfSA=&amp;hfEventOuts=&amp;hfEventRuns=&amp;game_date_gt=&amp;game_date_lt=2026-04-08&amp;hfMo=&amp;hfTeam=&amp;hfOpponent=&amp;hfRO=&amp;position=&amp;hfInfield=&amp;hfOutfield=&amp;hfInn=&amp;hfBBT=&amp;batters_lookup%5B%5D=592450&amp;hfFlag=is%5C.%5C.take%7C&amp;metric_1=&amp;group_by=name-year&amp;min_pitches=0&amp;min_results=0&amp;min_pas=0&amp;sort_col=pitch_percent&amp;player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&amp;sort_order=desc&amp;chk_zones=on&amp;chk_is..take=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Judge mistake-strike rate</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&amp;hfAB=&amp;hfGT=R%7C&amp;hfPR=called%5C.%5C.strike%7C&amp;hfZ=11%7C12%7C13%7C14%7C&amp;hfStadium=&amp;hfBBL=&amp;hfNewZones=&amp;hfPull=&amp;hfC=&amp;hfSea=2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C&amp;hfSit=&amp;player_type=batter&amp;hfOuts=&amp;home_road=&amp;pitcher_throws=&amp;batter_stands=&amp;hfSA=&amp;hfEventOuts=&amp;hfEventRuns=&amp;game_date_gt=&amp;game_date_lt=&amp;hfMo=&amp;hfTeam=&amp;hfOpponent=&amp;hfRO=&amp;position=&amp;hfInfield=&amp;hfOutfield=&amp;hfInn=&amp;hfBBT=&amp;hfFlag=is%5C.%5C.take%7C&amp;metric_1=&amp;group_by=name&amp;min_pitches=1000&amp;min_results=0&amp;min_pas=0&amp;sort_col=pitch_percent&amp;player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&amp;sort_order=desc&amp;chk_zones=on&amp;chk_is..take=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to five-year out-of-zone-strike rate</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/statcast_search?hfPT=&amp;hfAB=&amp;hfGT=R%7C&amp;hfPR=ball%7C&amp;hfZ=1%7C2%7C3%7C4%7C5%7C6%7C7%7C8%7C9%7C&amp;hfStadium=&amp;hfBBL=&amp;hfNewZones=&amp;hfPull=&amp;hfC=&amp;hfSea=2025%7C2024%7C2023%7C2022%7C2021%7C&amp;hfSit=&amp;player_type=batter&amp;hfOuts=&amp;home_road=&amp;pitcher_throws=&amp;batter_stands=&amp;hfSA=&amp;hfEventOuts=&amp;hfEventRuns=&amp;game_date_gt=&amp;game_date_lt=&amp;hfMo=&amp;hfTeam=&amp;hfOpponent=&amp;hfRO=&amp;position=&amp;hfInfield=&amp;hfOutfield=&amp;hfInn=&amp;hfBBT=&amp;hfFlag=is%5C.%5C.take%7C&amp;metric_1=&amp;group_by=name&amp;min_pitches=1000&amp;min_results=0&amp;min_pas=0&amp;sort_col=pitch_percent&amp;player_event_sort=api_p_release_speed&amp;sort_order=desc&amp;chk_zones=on&amp;chk_is..take=on#results" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to five-year in-zone-ball rate</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/abs-challenge-system-statistical-breakdown-2025" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Petriello on height 1</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/abs-spring-training-2026-takeaways" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Petriello on height 2</a><br />
<a href="https://signstealingscandal.com/players/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to banging-scheme player data</a><br />
<a href="https://www.audacy.com/national/sports/book-on-astros-reveals-jose-altuve-didnt-want-the-pitches" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to report on Altuve&#8217;s sign-stealing</a><br />
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/trio-of-playoff-contenders-each-loses-superstar-to-injury/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to FG post on recent injuries</a><br />
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/yes-pennants-can-be-lost-in-april/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dan S. on slow starts</a><br />
<a href="https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/very-demure-very-mindful" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to demure/mindful meme</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/fg/mlb?date=2026-04-09&amp;dateDelta=2026-03-25" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to playoff odds changes</a><br />
<a href="https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/boston-red-sox-panic-time-start-unacceptable-play/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Red Sox panic</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/redsoxstats/status/2041337404989063583" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Breslow quote</a><br />
<a href="https://www.theringer.com/2024/02/16/mlb/baseball-general-manager-front-office-former-players-jerry-dipoto-chris-young" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ben on ex-player GMs</a><br />
<a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/sharing/JC7o4" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to most consecutive one-run losses</a><br />
<a href="https://www.theringer.com/2026/03/23/mlb/keep-mlb-front-offices-off-the-field-pitch-calling-scouting-cards" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ben on dugout game-calling</a><br />
<a href="https://defector.com/tony-vitello-might-be-too-candid-for-his-own-good" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Vitello article 1</a><br />
<a href="https://www.sfgate.com/giants/article/giants-tony-vitello-incidents-22193831.php?taid=69d58c902dba0d00016ac4aa" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Vitello article 2</a><br />
<a href="https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/giants-tony-vitello-ejection/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Vitello article 3</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mccoveychronicles.com/san-francisco-giants-news/24480949/giants-spring-training-media-scrum-tony-vitello" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Vitello article 4</a><br />
<a href="https://atozsports.com/nashville/volunteers/tennessee-vols-baseball-ken-rosenthal-rejects-tony-vitello-version-giants/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Vitello article 5</a><br />
<a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/SFGiants/comments/1s9yjpc/chapman_kindly_reminds_schmitt_to_catch_the_fuing/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Chapman/Schmitt clip</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/marlins-forfeit-lead-after-removing-sandy-alcantara-in-ninth-inning" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Alcantara/McCullough story</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/marlins-pirates-and-rockies-off-to-good-starts-in-2026" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rockies start story</a><br />
<a href="https://www.joesheehan.com/2026/04/newsletter-excerpt-april-8-2026-lineups.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Sheehan on Caissie</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/jordan-walker-having-breakout-season-for-cardinals-in-2026" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Walker&#8217;s hot start</a><br />
<a href="https://www.cbssports.com/mlb/news/city-connect-ranked-braves-orioles-padres-pirates-reds-rangers-royals-brewers/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to new City Connects</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/white-sox-giving-away-pope-leo-xiv-themed-hats" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to White Sox giveaway hat</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitre" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to mitre wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/baumann.bsky.social/post/3miz22lp37s2i" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Baumann post</a><br />
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-context-of-the-texas-ranger-statue-at-globe-life-field/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Rangers statue post</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/Jake_Mintz/status/2041600267834290321" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Jake hat photo</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/j_shusterman_/status/2041956154385760564" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Jordan hat photo</a><br />
<a href="https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/yankee-with-no-brim" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to &#8220;Yankee with no brim&#8221; clip</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/carter-jensen-celebrates-1st-mlb-rbi-at-home" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 2025 Jensen article</a><br />
<a href="https://www.facebook.com/61554693326574/posts/carter-jensen-celebration-after-his-rbi-in-yesterdays-win-/122249722268156444/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to new Jensen celly</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/gameday/824134/video/jared-koenig-in-play-run-s-to-maikel-garcia" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Jensen celly video</a><br />
<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b-EHVi5GQAA&amp;t=267s" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to May sunglasses clip</a><br />
<a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/baseball/comments/7ded7r/til_kei_igawa_wore_sunglasses_to_simulate_a_night/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Igawa post</a><br />
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/keeganmatheson.bsky.social/post/3miyqynwllc2r" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to &#8220;sled dog&#8221; post</a><br />
<a href="https://imgur.com/lOrhJmV" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Jackson photo 1</a><br />
<a href="https://imgur.com/a/C42gi9i" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Jackson photo 2</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/GaijinBaseball/status/1961365290673213516" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 2025 Jackson HR</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/04/white-sox-recall-duncan-davitt-for-mlb-debut.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBTR on Davitt</a><br />
<a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2419-tj-and-tk-in-triple-a/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Davitt on EW</a><br />
<a href="https://imgur.com/ywqUxzQ" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to date blast image 1</a><br />
<a href="https://imgur.com/eGiPL6q" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to date blast image 2</a><br />
<a href="https://imgur.com/eaEaVtK" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to date blast image 3</a><br />
<a href="https://imgur.com/WSdJbPH" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to date blast image 4</a></p>
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		<title>RosterResource Chat &#8211; 4/9/26</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/rosterresource-chat-4-9-26/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/rosterresource-chat-4-9-26/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Jason Martinez]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 17:38:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Chat]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487213</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Jason Martinez and Jon Becker answer questions related to rosters, playing time, bullpen usage, minor leaguers, payroll, and more.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span id="more-487213"></span></p>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">2:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: Welcome to the RosterResource Chat! All 4 MiLB levels are playing, which means our MiLB Power Rankings Leaderboard is starting to look interesting. MiLB levels are cleaned up, for the most part, on the RR pages. Now we get to have a fun baseball discussion here &#8230;</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">2:03</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Mike</span>: Clemens or Roden&#8230;. Who would be your first baseman until the twins actually develop one?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:04</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Unless I missed something about the Twins trying Roden back at first (I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;s played there since college) I&#8217;d have to pick Clemens by default. But it&#8217;s highly likely that their next good homegrown first baseman is someone who&#8217;s not playing first base right now. A lot of those guys get drafted as corner outfielders or third basemen and end up moving down the defensive spectrum.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:05</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: What are your thoughts on Murakami right now? He had an amazing series against the Brewers, but has a .524 OPS after.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:07</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: If it was all bad or all good, there shouldn&#8217;t have been any overreaction. But this is pretty much what would be expected throughout his rookie season, except we&#8217;re only 2 weeks in. A lot of strikeouts, walks, and homers. A lot of ups and downs. A lot of learning to do at 1B. Most important thing for him will be adjustments and if he can become more consistent as the season goes along.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:08</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: when you’re trying to sort out early season closer chaos, how much attention are you paying to reliever usage vs results vs stuff/quality?  Like, how often are you listing a committee because you can’t believe their best reliever isn’t in the mix even though the chances are going to other guys?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:10</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Most important to me is usage; a manager&#8217;s going to let you know how he views his guys regardless of performance, even if he&#8217;s not going to the media and saying &#8220;this guy&#8217;s my closer.&#8221; And a lot of time the usage lines up with stuff/results mismatch, maybe a reliever just had a bad outing or two but the stuff looks just as good. But re: your point about committees, we try not to be too overreactive to one guy getting a save or two. But to use the Rays as an example, we&#8217;re now getting past more than just one or two bad outings for Jax and Baker was the most recent closer and has pitched well, hence no committee there right now.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:12</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: Definitely a day-to-day thing with how their role is listed. And that changes a lot. But stuff matters when looking a bit down the road. FYI &#8211; Jon is close to adding a second row of stats on the Closer Depth Chart that will focus more on stuff. 1st row of stats will continue to show results &#8230; <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/closer-depth-chart" target="_blank">https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/closer-depth-chart</a></p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:12</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Dk</span>: How much more rope does Benge get?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:14</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: This is always the risk of carrying a rookie on the Opening Day roster. A lot of pressure. Slow starts will be magnified. It&#8217;s why there was a decent chance he&#8217;d start the season in AAA if Mike Tauchman hadn&#8217;t gotten hurt. But now that they made the decision to keep him, I think he&#8217;ll get a good month of at-bats to get it going. And that probably aligns with Juan Soto&#8217;s timetable. If Soto returns and Vientos is still hitting well and Jared Young remains a viable option for an occasional start, I think Benge goes back to AAA at that time if he&#8217;s still struggling.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:15</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Grandpaboy</span>: What should the Cubs do with their corner outfielders moving forward? I’d lean toward “sign Happ to a reasonable 2-3 year deal and let Suzuki walk,” but should they let <span style="font-style: italic;">Happ</span> walk and plug in Shaw instead…or do something else entirely?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:17</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: I think the devil&#8217;s in the details here, in that it matters what the numbers are for their next contracts. I tend to think Suzuki probably ages better as a hitter because Happ has a long swing and maintaining production from both sides of the plate is really hard, but Happ&#8217;s so good in the outfield and that&#8217;s also a consideration. I don&#8217;t think they need to consider Shaw too much, in that he&#8217;s got the versatility to still play plenty even with the Cubs continuing to lock guys up to long-term deals.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:17</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Michael V.</span>: Next top prospects to get the call?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:20</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: One of my favorite RosterResource tools for this particular purpose &#8230; MiLB Power Rankings Leaderboard, AAA, Last 7 or 14 days (once we&#8217;re a bit further into the season) &#8230; </p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/minor-league-power-rankings?llevel=1" target="_blank">https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/minor-league-power-rankings?&#8230;</a></p>
<p>And then, of course, there are other factors involved. But it&#8217;s a good starting point for who is forcing their way into the picture. Two of the top-ranked starters on the list, Didier Fuentes (ATL) and Miguel Ullola (HOU), have great timing because their teams have been hit hard by injuries and could be needed soon. </p>
<p>None of the hitters stand out as immediate call-ups, but some interesting names that are putting themselves in position for a call-up down the road (Tibbs, Max Clark, Antonacci)</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:21</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Frank</span>: Thanks for all the great work ya&#8217;ll do! Do you have some sort of loud phone alert/notification when a transaction happens? Do you have a schedule so one of you is awake at all the time? I swear there are times a transaction happens at like 3am and I happen to be awake, I&#8217;m on Roster Resource 5-10 mins later and you&#8217;ve already got it in there! Is it automated? If you say its magic I&#8217;ll take you at your word</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:23</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Jason being on Pacific time and me being on Central time helps a lot, so I can grab stuff early in the morning and Jason&#8217;s definitely up when I&#8217;m long asleep if something happens late at night. I don&#8217;t typically sleep straight through the night so I&#8217;ll check my phone in the middle of the night to make sure nothing big happens, but I don&#8217;t have Passan notifications blaring in my ear at 1am or anything like that (yet&#8230;).</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:23</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Phil</span>: Do the Red Sox have any decent options to improve offense in their infield, ideally before the deadline? I know they were reluctant to do drastic things over the offseason (like trade Duran for an infielder), but this is starting to look like a potential lost year and it doesn&#8217;t make sense to me to just accept that after going out and getting Gray and Suárez.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:26</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: Any sort of shake-up in the immediate future would probably be something less exciting like Nick Sogard getting everyday at-bats over Mayer or Durbin. But Mikey Romero has a chance to get the call at some point. He was overshadowed by Anthony/Mayer/Teel/Campbell but he&#8217;s been very good in the minors and already tearing up AAA at age-22. I think they&#8217;ll have Mayer and Romero at 3B/2B before the end of 2026.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:26</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Dalton Rushing looking much more like who we thought he was so far.  Is there any way he finds regular PT without an injury or trade?  Such a bummer to watch him sit on the bench.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:26</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Mr. Burrito</span>: Is there any way the Dodgers will adjust their roster (whack or trade Alex Call?) to get Rushing more ABs? Obviously, a couple of strong games doesn&#8217;t mean he deserves more PT. But his minor league pedigree &#8212; and the glimpses he&#8217;s shown in MLB &#8212; suggest the team would benefit from giving him a semi-runway that he can&#8217;t get with Call on the roster.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:27</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: I don&#8217;t think Call&#8217;s inclusion or exclusion on the roster really has anything to do with Rushing, since as of now I haven&#8217;t seen any plans to get Rushing back in the outfield or give Smith some infield time. So the only real lever Dave Roberts has with Ohtani DHing every day is how he splits up the time behind the plate, and I&#8217;m not sure he&#8217;s going to cut into Smith&#8217;s playing time. But backup catchers play more than backups at any other position (besides platoon players) so I think it&#8217;s more &#8220;good problem to have&#8221; than &#8220;issue&#8221; right now.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:28</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Johnnie Bay</span>: Any scenario that has James Tibbs in the majors any time soon?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:30</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: Barring an injury, not with the Dodgers. Between Ohtani, Tucker, Teoscar, and Pages, Tibbs is blocked for regular at-bats thru 2027. It would be crazy if a guy this talented is traded 3 times in the span of about one year, but his trade value might be peaking by mid-season.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:31</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">bkgeneral</span>: How much longer before the Reds do something with that OF?  I just can&#8217;t with Steer, Friedl, Benson, and Marte any more.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:32</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s impossible that they&#8217;re too far off from making a move. Friedl&#8217;s not going anywhere but at a certain point (May 1?) things have to get better for Benson/Marte or else one of them is in jeopardy of losing his roster spot. Bleday had a nice spring training and has started out hot in Triple-A, and I was surprised to see him not make the roster in the first place.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:33</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Tacoby Bellsbury</span>: Tyler Phillips is off to a hot start after a really good year last year. Does this performance stick?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:35</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: He&#8217;s been effective (5.2 IP, 0 ER) but he&#8217;s only had 3 appearances and I think they were all lower-leverage. And just about every other Marlins reliever has been used in higher-leverage. We&#8217;ll see if that changes after the debacle that occurred while Fairbanks was on Paternity Leave. It has been very strange. Phillips is clearly not a favorite of McCullough.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:35</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">RAGBRAI</span>: Does Del Castillo ever catch for AZ or is he strictly a DH?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:36</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Maybe if they&#8217;re up or down by a bunch or if there&#8217;s a strategic move that requires putting him back there, but I&#8217;d be surprised if he got a start. Moreno is so good back there and McCann has the whole &#8220;veteran that pitchers really like throwing to/working with&#8221; thing going on.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:36</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Ryan</span>: The top 3 players on the DBacks first base depth chart are all on the IL. I saw that Encarnacion-Strand was DFA’d recently &#8211; might that be a good risk for them? Or are they better off letting Vargas/Fernandez split time?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:38</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: They&#8217;re probably fine with Ildemaro Vargas (he&#8217;s batting .500!) and Jose Fernandez for now. I think there will be a lot of interest in CES but only to send him to AAA in the hopes that he can bounce back to what he was a few years ago.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:38</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">JJ</span>: Out of Waldron, Canning, Sears, McKenzie, who do you see getting meaningful innings for the Padres later in the year?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Assuming Canning&#8217;s Achilles rehab finishes up smoothly (and he just started his rehab assignment so he appears to be progressing nicely), definitely him. He should be a pretty important boost to that rotation with Musgrove&#8217;s timeline unclear and Buehler looking particularly shaky. At least Márquez&#8217;s second start was much better than his first.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">OW</span>: Are the Yankees already regretting not upgrading 3B or SS this offseason?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Chris</span>: Its early but Cab is kind of being exposed as an everyday SS, and considering they play their 3B at short rather than an actual SS in Rosario, Im guessing this all means Volpe is gonna have a really long leash.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:43</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: They probably regret acquiring McMahon and his contract. They would&#8217;ve aggressively pursued a 3B this offseason if they hadn&#8217;t. But with McMahon and his contract on board, they had to just hope he bounced back. </p>
<p>Caballero has a lot of value as a super-utility guy but those types of guys can often get exposed with regular playing time. I think Rosario is in the same boat. A lot of value in this particular role on a World Series contender. Just not an everyday guy. </p>
<p>They&#8217;ll see how Volpe looks when he returns and then make a decision on where they should upgrade by early July. McMahon is still owed another $16MM next season. They probably won&#8217;t cut ties yet.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">lukacs</span>: How should the Orioles and Adley approach a potential extension? Basallo committed to the team for another eight years, at least, and Adley has been subpar/maybe unwilling to extend. Do you think, a). the Orioles are hesitant to offer an extension, b). Adley is hesitant to sign an extension, or c). none of the actors have a grasp of what&#8217;s really going to play out. Basallo looks rough so far this season, but I&#8217;d imagine with him around the Orioles are exactly chomping at the bit to have two catchers locked down.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: I frankly don&#8217;t think they really ought to approach one. He&#8217;s a Boras client so the odds of an extension are incredibly slim anyway, but off of a season-and-a-half of below-average hitting I&#8217;m not really rushing to lock him up. The fielding has also backed up from great to merely above-average, and he&#8217;ll be a free agent entering his age-30 season. I&#8217;d be pretty wary of locking him up into his 30s if he&#8217;s not hitting enough to leave room for a position change down the line.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:47</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">They call me Mr Pibbs</span>: Are the Rangers the worst bullpen in the majors? I struggle to believe they&#8217;re serious about Junis closing games but they don&#8217;t really have much else to choose from&#8230;</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: Believe it or not, they have the 2nd lowest ERA in baseball (1.55). Garcia has been shaky and Martin hasn&#8217;t been good, but everyone else has been great. Of course they can&#8217;t rely on Junis to be their closer. I think Cole Winn has upside and could take the closer&#8217;s job at some point. Having those guys along with Latz, Alexander, and Beeks pitching effectively raises their floor a lot. Cody Bradford is another guy who can be good out of the &#8216;pen once he returns from the IL. They won&#8217;t be a bad team if this holds up. And they can address the closer situation down the road if necessary.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:51</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Tyler O&#8217;Neill going to be a part-time guy all year (until he hits the IL)?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Unless Beavers or Cowser fall off a cliff, probably. I guess O&#8217;Neill could hit his way into more time but even the &#8220;regular&#8221; version of O&#8217;Neill probably plays&#8230; I dunno, maybe five days a week tops? &#8230; to keep him healthy</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Alec</span>: Can one of you please reach out to AJ Hinch and let him know that replacing Colt Keith or Kerry Carpenter with Jahmai Jones in the seventh inning isn&#8217;t worth losing their at-bat in the ninth inning? Do you expect Wenceel Perez or Max Clark to make a push sooner rather than later for any combo of Jones, Meadows, or Vierling?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:57</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: As someone who is a diehard fan of a team and follows each game as close as possible, I agree that there are a lot of moves that managers make throughout a game that are head-scratchers. It&#8217;s not that we know more. We know a lot. Maybe having so much data, personal connections to players, and having the pressure in that moment makes it more difficult for a manager. It&#8217;s not an easy job, especially because it can all get magnified if it doesn&#8217;t work. </p>
<p>Meadows has been fine and probably just good enough for now. I think Wenceel would be next in line if they decide to move on from any one of those guys. But Clark is definitely putting himself in position to be on this team in 2026. Very early and small sample, but I thought there was a good chance his ETA was 2027. Mid-2026 might be more likely.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:57</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">FishFan</span>: Jacob Berry has an .864 OPS so far in AAA. Still I don’t see him fitting into the Marlins team at all. Think he’s up this year?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:59</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: You never know what&#8217;s going to happen with injuries, but he&#8217;s just never really hit in the minors and his defense has graded out poorly no matter where they&#8217;ve tried him, so I can&#8217;t imagine promoting him is a big priority, especially with all the lefty bats they&#8217;ve got.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">2:59</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Ryan</span>: How do the giants get more pt for Susac? DH or just too early to tell?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">3:02</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: He&#8217;s getting 1 start per week. Maybe that jumps to 2 in the near future. Bailey is so valuable defensively but it&#8217;s quickly turning into an Austin Hedges/Brad Ausmus (for those who remember) situation. How bad of a hitter does this guy have to be before his elite defense no longer matters enough for him to remain a starter?</p>
<p>But even if they think that Susac could be their starting catcher at some point, I&#8217;m sure they feel that him watching Bailey on a daily basis is going to help him more than anything right now. The more he plays, the more his bat could be exposed and he could lose focus on the long-term goals.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">3:02</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Wellness check?</span>: what happened to Cade Winquest? He made the roster but hasn’t appeared yet</p>
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<td class="chat_time">3:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-3924-1739550124420.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jon Becker</span>: Been a long time since the Yankees rostered a Rule 5 guy (2011), and it&#8217;s fairly rare for any contending team to do so. Unlike the Blue Jays, who&#8217;ve had all those pitching injuries and have needed to lean on their own R5 guy in Spencer Miles, the Yankees have had the fewest RP innings in the league and are playing a lot of close games. So just a matter of finding the right time for Winquest (and it probably won&#8217;t be today, currently 0-0 in the 7th inning).</p>
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<td class="chat_time">3:04</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: How long before Richard Fitts gets a rotation shot with the Cards?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">3:06</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: I&#8217;ve guessed that he&#8217;s in the rotation for good by mid-to-late May, barring an injury. No reason to change that right now. Dustin May is the only starter who has struggled but he&#8217;ll get time to try to figure things out.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">3:06</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-190-1732046050887.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Jason Martinez</span>: That will do it for today. Thanks for joining us. Enjoy your weekend!</p>
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<p><a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/rosterresource-chat-4-9-26/" rel="nofollow">Source</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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			<slash:comments>4</slash:comments>
		
		
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		<title>Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat &#8211; 4/9/26</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/dan-szymborski-fangraphs-chat-4-9-26/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/dan-szymborski-fangraphs-chat-4-9-26/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Dan Szymborski]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 15:40:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Chat]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487211</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Happy Konnor Griffin Day!]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:02</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: And awaaaay we go!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:03</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kyle Manzardo</span>: I have the largest difference between xBA and real BA among qualified batters, is there hope for me or am I broken?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:03</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I think you&#8217;ll be fine</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:03</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: &#8220;more tools than can be found at a Florida spring break kegger&#8221; just give Dan the Pulitzer now</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Pulitzer Prize for B- Snark</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:04</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: it&#8217;s April and it remains to be seen if he&#8217;s replacement level, average, or better, but is it too early to say Jordan Walker is meaningfully better than he was 2024-25?</p>
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<p><span id="more-487211"></span></p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:04</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Given how lousy he&#8217;s been, I don&#8217;t think saying he&#8217;s meaningfully better is a stretch</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:05</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: His contact rate still sucks, but he&#8217;s been legitimately better (though far from amazing) at not swinging at crap and he&#8217;s hitting stuff pretty hard</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:06</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Jake Jortles</span>: Hey Dan, do you have a player that you enjoy watching even though the numbers in front of you say they&#8217;re not that good, and that they&#8217;re never likely to be good?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Would it be trolling to say Jake Mangum? He&#8217;s fun</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I tend to like speedy, aggressive players way more than their value, and slop throwing pitchers, especially relievers.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:07</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Orioles are the Damned Yankees</span>: In this grand simulation we call life, does the Guardians&#8217; rotation  have the skills to be top 5 in the league, and please explain why their &#8216;ace&#8217; is their worst starter?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Top 5 is a real ask</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:08</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Though Gavin Williams was one of my final cuts from my booms list. I couldn&#8217;t figure out how to coherently express my feeling there</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:08</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">SCJH</span>: How do you/should we approach defensive ZiPS projections for relatively inexperienced guys that differ wildly from what Statcast is telling us about a player? Thinking about Ben Williamson here specifically (who Statcast thought was just average in his time last year) but I know it pops up in other contexts too.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:08</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Both the ZiPS and the small sample sizes should be taken with a grain of salt!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:08</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: a LTO of grains</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:08</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: LOT</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:09</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: FRV is better than the probability based ball-by-ball methodology I use for minor leaguers</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:09</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: BUT a season of the ZiPS methodology is better than small sample size FRV</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:09</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: (I&#8217;ve looked at the first three months of seasons of FRV and the ZiPS minor league one and the ZiPS minor league one was more predictive, but it&#8217;s not over full seasons)</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:10</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Mike Lommler</span>: Do you have a favorite absurd SSS stat of the season thus far?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:10</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Dillon Dingler top 5 xSLG</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:12</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Viper</span>: How often do sites update the per plate appearance portion of their projections? PA/AB can change daily changing quantities but I am referring to the skills portion of the projections showing quality.</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:12</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m not quite sure how to answer that. Projections are generally updated as a whole and every day</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:12</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Though ZiPS uses a simpler model in-season than season-to-season</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:13</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: for the simple fact that it takes more than a day to update ZiPS unless I use two computers</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:13</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Is it time to give up on Kaz Okamoto and chalk it up to a longer, tougher transition than hoped? He looks lost and I have other options (like Andres Gimenez).</p>
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<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:13</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m going to April this one</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:14</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I mean, 109 wRC+ vs. 111 depth chart preseason, 119 ZiPS is a nothing difference over a dozen games</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:14</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: That&#8217;s not even all that big a miss over a season!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:14</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Ken</span>: Hi Dan, Thanks for chatting with us. I see that Diamond-Mind is using the ZiPS for a projection season again this year. Do they receive the after spring training version with updates?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:15</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: They do not as it&#8217;s quite labor intensive to create the disk, so work has to be started on that from their end pretty early</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:15</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: I know April is usually pretty bad for hitters, but is this April worse than usual?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:16</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I don&#8217;t think so? April usually sucks, but we&#8217;re also still early April, where the best pitchers have more of an IP gap than usual. 3 times through the rotation instead of 2 is a bigger diff than 30 times through compared to 28</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:17</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: And early April is colder than late April</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Look At This Sotograph</span>: I&#8217;ve got 3 cat tattoos (&#8220;cattoos&#8221;), how many you got?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I have no tattoos</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Yu like that</span>: Whats up with Wyatt Langford is he still jealous Roman Anthony was getting all that WBC love?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Sorry, gotta April this one!</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Look At This Sotograph</span>: Don&#8217;t you hate pants?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I actually do.</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:19</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I will wear shorts until it gets down to the 50s</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:19</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: My mom saw me outside her window from across the street shoveling my sidewalk this winter in 4 degree weather in gym shorts and no jacket and called me on my cell phone to yell at me</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:20</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Any time I can wear shorts, I will.</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:20</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: And since I work from home, the most used part of my wardrobe is my 8 or 9 Champion gym shorts</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
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<td class="chat_time">12:21</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Uncle Spike</span>: What&#8217;s Esmerlyn Valdez&#8217;s ceiling?  He had a strong year last year, crushed the AZFL, crushed spring training and has a strong start to AAA as a 22 year old.  Small sample size but 25.5 BB%, 12.8 K% and has already hit 5 balls over 109 MPH.</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:21</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Pretty high ceiling, he has big power upside</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:21</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Only limit may be his contact rate (though it has improved) and the lack of defensive value</p>
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</div>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:22</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">sliptoad</span>: normally i give credit to variance but is there something going on in the astros medical staff? it seems like this team has had the most WAR lost to injury for years in a row and this season has started off poorly again</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:23</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Dunno, since medical staff is the part of a team I never talk with, and my knowledge of the human body is basically limited to &#8220;don&#8217;t drink poison&#8221; and the ability to roughly describe some of the biological process of how babies are made</p>
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</div>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:23</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: But they were tops on my value-lost-to-injury piece last year</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:23</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Dodgers/Braves where the year before IIRC</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:24</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">War2D2</span>: Dan! DAN! The pipes are calling me! From glen to glen AND down the mountainside! What do I do?!?</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:24</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Well, the summer&#8217;s gone and the flowers are dying, so seek warmer climes?</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:24</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Detroit Tigers Hitting Coach</span>: How long will it take for Kevin McGonigle to learn our process of hitting? Around here we take all pitches until we have two strikes and then assume every pitch after will be a fastball</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:24</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Shandy Koufax</span>: very Early season alarmist nonsense: Jacob Wilson spiking his K% and SwStr% and chasing a lot more looks really bad</p>
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<div class="chat_box">
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<td class="chat_time">12:25</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">big John</span>: Would you have been thrilled if the O&#8217;s locked up Jackson Holliday to this deal a couple of years ago? shows the downside</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:25</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I would have. and everything has a risk</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:25</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Cat Latos</span>: What do my cat frens do?</p>
<div></td>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:25</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Justinian is sleeping next to me on his pillow on my left desk</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:25</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: no, he&#8217;s awake, just in limbless mode</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:27</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Last I saw Constantine, he was trying to get in my amazon box that&#8217;s sitting in the entranceway at the front door, but there&#8217;s nothing in it of interest &#8211; it has my subscribe &amp; save order of dishwasher pods and a packet of Sui mi ya cai and a think of laundry detergent</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:28</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Cassie is sitting in one of the guest rooms on the bed where she usually is this time of day. She needs to have a tooth extracted, which I&#8217;m going to have done in a few weeks; I heard from the vet about 15 minutes before chat that her blood work is all good, so no anesthesia worries</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:28</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Last I saw the kittens were bopping each other in the face in their roiom</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:28</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kevin Kobel</span>: Do you think they&#8217;ll be more &#8220;okay, not great, not awful&#8221; teams this season than usual?</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:28</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: probably not</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:28</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">ed</span>: Ben Rice Top 10 wRC+ ROS by ZiPs! Thoughts?</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:28</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: It&#8217;s not that crazy</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:29</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">I am the Apple</span>: Has a player, team, or agent ever been upset with you personally about a ZiPS projection?</p>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:29</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Mostly the occasional player</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:29</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Teams/agents don&#8217;t take bad projections personally. They know how projection systems work</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:30</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m not sure how front offices 20 years ago would act, but I only talked to a few teams 20 years ago</p>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:30</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Andy</span>: What do you ends up happening with Didier Fuentes? He&#8217;s probably got 120-130ip max this season, do they use the bullets now and shelf him when Schwell and others return?</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:30</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I think they use him early</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kevin Kobel</span>: I know ZiPS isn&#8217;t so down on the Giants, but they appear to be a poorly put together Frankenteam. They&#8217;ve seemed that way for quite a few years under two different front offices. Do you still have some faith they&#8217;re at least a solid WC contender this year?</p>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I still think they&#8217;re reasonable contenders, though not first tier</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Busch League</span>: Obligatory “it’s April” aside, any thoughts on Michael Busch’s slow start? He seems to be seeing the ball very well and having some bad BABIP luck, but the bat speed and maxEV is noticeably down.</p>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Nothing all that insightful. I&#8217;m just not worried yet</p>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Who couldn&#8217;t use a change up once in a while from &#8220;A Dan, a plan&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: DANAMA! DANAMA-A-A-A-A-A</p>
<div></td>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: what does ZiPS make of Corbin Carroll&#8217;s HOF (I know) odds now vs ASB 2024?</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Don&#8217;t have ZiPS open (and I don&#8217;t really model HOF % though that&#8217;s on the faraway to do list)</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: But his outlook is about the same</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: &#8220;for the simple fact that it takes more than a day to update ZiPS unless I use two computers&#8221; what do you mean your electric costs wouldn&#8217;t justify this</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:34</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I laughed a little when I saw that me, mostly living alone, uses about twice the electricity of an average household monthly</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:35</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: and that&#8217;s WITH a high efficiency a/c that&#8217;s less than 10 years old and no electric car</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:35</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: OK, I checked, not quite double</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: <img decoding="async" src="https://i.postimg.cc/NfPcxBRZ/Untitled.png" style="display: block;" /></p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: that&#8217;s in kwh</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">I am the Apple</span>: Is there a part of ZiPS that’s limited by computer power? Besides time to complete, obviously.</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: not really at this point</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Even the 5900X can deal quite nicely with anything robust enough for my mind to be able to put it together</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">I am the Apple</span>: Has ZiPS ever had a near-death experience?</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: No, I am on obsessive backup guy</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:37</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Doug Sisk</span>: Devin Williams looks like his old self in 2026. Was last season just randomness, or was he a lesser pitcher last year for some reason?</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:38</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I hate randomness/luck as words simply because they also apply to thing we can&#8217;t possibly know. I always thought he&#8217;d be fine</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:38</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Your Name</span>: You&#8217;ve mentioned before that ZiPS is equivalent to team projections for external players, but team projections are better for their own players. What data do you think that the teams have for their own players is missing from ZiPS and will it ever be possible for you to get that data?</p>
<div></td>
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</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:39</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: It&#8217;s hard for me to say honestly, since teams are generally very protective of some of the internal things they have</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:39</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: and I speculate that&#8217;s the missing ingredient</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: because I don&#8217;t think they&#8217;d do better with their own players and not the rest of the league if it *wasn&#8217;t* proprietary stuff they were tracking</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">I am the Apple</span>: If MLB gave you full access to every piece of proprietary data they have &#8211; from internal scouting reports to clubhouse dynamics, how much better would ZiPS get? Assuming you had infinite time to figure out the right way to integrate and test it all</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Probably a little. Just how much would depend on how much my brain can get around all the new stuff I&#8217;d suddenly have</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I suspect that long-term proejctions woudl get a bigger bump than shor tterm</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Insert Witty Name Here</span>: What was that woman&#8217;s name who was hanging out with the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles?</p>
<div></td>
</tr>
</table>
</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Mona Lisa <img decoding="async" src="https://static.wikia.nocookie.net/tmnt/images/d/d3/Mona-Lisa.jpg/revision/latest?cb=20081119220151" style="display: block;" /></p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:41</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: well, you&#8217;ll ahve to google her yourself</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:41</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Your Name</span>: Local media is touting the Konnor Griffin extension as a reason to believe that Pirates&#8217; owner Bob Nutting is opening up the wallet. I think if anything it is the opposite, as Griffin arguably left a lot of money on the table. Thoughts?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:41</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I dont&#8217; think it heralds any change</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:41</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Wood</span>: Your mother did the right thing.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Oh, the snow was so powdering and delicate, it took me less than 10 minutes</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: powdery</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">War2D2</span>: I’m a “wear jeans until it’s triple digits out” guy, but my brother is very much a “shorts and t-shirt until 0°f” guy. The story of your mom yelling at you has been played out hundreds of times in his life.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">drplantwrench</span>: is this the year jo becomes the true 5 tool star that had been promised? are he and jordan walker&#8217;s fates somehow tied?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m not sure I&#8217;d go that far. The catches were cool though</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:43</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">O</span>: Hi Dan, do you think projection systems are too harsh on hitters who come up young and struggle? How could a model detect a real talent change as opposed to a small sample artifact when those players figure it out? Thinking about Jordan Walker here.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:43</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I don&#8217;t think so, simply from testing</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">old teammate</span>: Do you have any thoughts on Nate Furman in the SFG system? Unique profile imo</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I kinda wish the Giants seemed more interested in taking a look at him, I know he&#8217;s had some shoulder issues</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Without those, I&#8217;d be more grumpy about the Giants playing around with Arraez</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Hey Dan, happy Thursday. As I watch the heart of the Mariner’s order whiff around like they are trying to swat at moths around a lightbulb…I’m wondering (hoping??) that the WBC participation set the regular preparation timeline back. Maybe not being able to gear up against lower level stuff right away somehow impaired them. Do we have split stats showing how all WBC participants have failed this April vs previously? Does this theory seem viable?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:45</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Someone on Reddit actually had something on this like a week ago</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/fantasybaseball/comments/1sauuq0/wbc_players_are_underperforming_their_2025/" target="_blank">https://www.reddit.com/r/fantasybaseball/comments/1sauuq0/wbc_players_&#8230;</a></p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: iBut I haven&#8217;t really dug into it</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Wes</span>: Is there any benefit to a projection system that assumes 1.000 BABIP, or am I just reaching for an excuse for you to develop something called YiPS?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: lol</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Jeremy</span>: Following up on a question that came up in the comments on your Konnor Griffin post: do players who debut in the majors at a very young age tend to peak at a younger age than the typical player?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:47</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: They usually can</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:47</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: People who hit their peak earlier are naturally going to be called up earlier</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:47</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Griffin&#8217;s ascent won&#8217;t be as even as ZiPS; it&#8217;s just that ZiPS is confident he&#8217;ll break out, but not postiive WHEN</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:47</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Insert Witty Name Here</span>: I&#8217;m morbidly interested in knowing how Dan describes the biological processes of how babies are made and ZiPS projection of successfully creating said baby.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: heh, gotta save that chat for OnlyDans</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Like everything else, my parents/grandparents gave me adult reading material at 4/5 for any question I asked</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:49</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m likely one of the few little kids who asked &#8220;What happens when you die?&#8221; to be given reading material on the physical process of putrefaction</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:49</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I was an utterly voracious reader (and still am)</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I was also already a bit of a troll as a little kid too</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: When my kindergarten teacher, Ms. Waller, made flash cards of words that kids would pick, she grumbled when the word I wanted her to pick was &#8220;Czechoslovakia&#8221;</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m still a giant ass at heart, but I&#8217;m more able to discipline myself interacting with others than when I was five.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">RetireNutting</span>: Griffin&#8217;s deal shaped so the Pirates don&#8217;t have to pay him much at all if they end up rebuilding again: </p>
<p>Year 1 2026: $1M salary/$5M signing<br />Year 2 2027: $2M salary/$3.5M signing<br />Year 3 2028: $4M salary<br />Year 4 2029: $6M salary<br />Year 5 2030: $12.5M salary<br />Year 6 2031: $21M salary<br />Year 7 2032: $26.5M salary<br />Year 8 2033: $27M salary<br />Year 9 2034: $27M salary</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kevin</span>: What, if anything, are MLB teams or you doing with AI tools to improve the effectiveness or usefulness of projection models?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m not sure specifically of anyone using AI for *this* but then again, I don&#8217;t</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: know everything</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Fin</span>: The Red Sox are 4-8. The Mariners are 4-9. The Blue Jays are 5-7 and are running out Lauer, Corbin, and Scherzer this weekend. Which of these AL contenders are you most worried about?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Probably Red Sox because this is a really bad division to spot a few extra games</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:53</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I was actually banging the drum for the Jays to sign another pitcher this ofsfeason</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:53</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Your Name</span>: The Fangraphs team should buy you a used super computer from a university or national lab or something.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:53</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I don&#8217;t know if I&#8217;m smart enough to take advantage of that level of power</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:53</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">kittens?</span>: am I out of the loop?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Mercutio passed away last year from very sudden acute kidney failure caused by pancreatitis and I adopted two kittens in Feburary</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: I used to run computational fluid dynamic models out of my apartment and I feel your pain. It also put my computer out of commission for days</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Denji</span>: How many new FanGraphs membership sign-ups would it take for Appleman to let you expense a supercomputer that could do a full fat overnight ZiPS run?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I know it&#8217;s a joke, but I&#8217;m sure it wouldn&#8217;t be a good use of money. Full-fat daily ZiPS isn&#8217;t going to bring in as many new subscribers as adding even more writing talent or new features</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Karl Hungus</span>: Does ZiPS use data on individual pitches? If yes, do you ever see the effect of throwing a particular pitch more/less over a season?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: It does not, but I&#8217;m working on things for a future miodel</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: the current ZiPS is always a few years behind the one with the most bells and whistles that&#8217;s still being put together</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:56</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Wrights_Back</span>: Regarding your &#8216;randomness&#8217; comment (&#8220;I hate randomness/luck as words simply because they also apply to things we can&#8217;t possible know&#8221;) &#8211; and ignoring the plagiarist Donald Rumsfeld &#8211; you should read up on Frank Knight, and &#8220;Knightian uncertainty.&#8217;  <br />Basically, there are things you CAN know and things you CANNOT know.  Identifying these as separate categories is the key to eternal prediction happiness.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:56</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Karl Hungus</span>: Does it bother you that Ray Liotta hits right/throws left in Field of Dreams when Joe Jackson was the opposite?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:57</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: A bit</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:57</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m not as bothered by this kind of thing as others</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:57</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Your Name</span>: <a href="https://gsaauctions.gov/auctions/preview/282996" target="_blank">https://gsaauctions.gov/auctions/preview/282996</a></p>
<p>This bad boy is a measly $500k</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:57</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: If I had an extra 500K just come in, I&#8217;d have a new Bösendorfer piano and 350K added to my portfolio!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Tom Rinaldi</span>: What ever happened to Carter Capps?  How come no one else has adopted the jump-off-the-rubber strategy?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Didn&#8217;t his elbow evaporate?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Does ZiPS include any extra allowance for off-season adjustment, or is data from September weighted roughly the same as data from the following March/April?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: there&#8217;s a significant dropoff in weight</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Your Name</span>: Is there value in stacking different styles of pitchers to keep hitters from gaining familiarity either within a game or a series?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I think so, but I can&#8217;t prove it</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">junk hearts fg</span>: Junk doing a mlb article that says fangraphs help made him better this year&#8230;.. how many recruiting calls does the fg team get from mlb teams every year?</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I dunno, I haven&#8217;t really asked that</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:01</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;m pretty adamant that I&#8217;ll sell you data for the same price I sell it to everyone else or you can ask me for free talking shop over a beer, but that I&#8217;m really far better suited for the job I have now than working for you</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:01</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Perry Como</span>: Has tunnelling always been a thought process for pitchers, and when did the name get so popular?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:02</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: As far as I&#8217;m aware, the basic concept has always existed, but it was more foggy and instinctual and wasn&#8217;t really put into words that much until recently</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:02</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Insert Witty Name Here</span>: OnlyDans&#8230;Rather, Lieutenant, Szym, Marino.  Unsubscribe.</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:02</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Your Name</span>: How many 100 win teams would exist in your ideal league distribution?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Four.</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: One of my fanciful musings is that not have a set season length. Just throw everyone in one big division in each league and the first six teams to win 100 games in each league make the playoffs</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:04</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I have a lot of impractical musings</p>
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<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:04</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Like opening day shoudl be a 24 hour thing, with a game starting every 90 minutes around the clock</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:04</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: or that the distance from home plate to first base should be shorter, like 86 or 88 feet</p>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I also want to see an independent league experiment with runners with two outs scoring as long as the runner beats the batter running to first base, to encourage some weird, aggressive third base/two out strategies</p>
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</div>
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<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Arathorn</span>: How often do you fully rerun ZIPS, taking into account season-so-far? When do the in-season stats seem to start actually mattering?</p>
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</div>
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<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: The minimum is six additional times, right aruond thet 15th each month</p>
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</div>
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<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: in practic, probably a dozen times</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: If cats were baseball players, what type of player would they typically be? I&#8217;m thinking so-so hitters who steal lots of bases à la Vince Coleman</p>
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<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: That&#8217;s probably accurate</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">1:06</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: no plate discipline</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: even my big fat cat constantine becomes an olympic sprinter when he hears the dinner song</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
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<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Jose Caballero is highly cat coded</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">The Brice is Right</span>: Zips liked Brice Matthews over the “experts” &#8211; what does it think of his start to 2026?</p>
<div></td>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: It&#8217;s not ecstatic, but it hasn&#8217;t been much playing time</p>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">1:08</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Insert Witty Name Here</span>: The cats have a dinner song?</p>
<div></td>
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</div>
<div class="chat_box">
<table style="background-color: #fff; font-family: arial; font-size: 12pt; line-height:15pt;">
<tr>
<td class="chat_time">1:09</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: Yeah, I&#8217;m not sure how it happened, but I can summon all the cats instantly if I sing &#8220;Who is the hungriest cat, the hungriest cat, the hungriest cat? Who is, the hungriest cat in the whole wide world&#8221; to a tune I&#8217;m not sure the name of</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Menthol</span>: Caballero is horse coded.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Onion</span>: Were you a part of this press conference?<br /> <a href="https://theonion.com/nation-s-big-guys-in-shorts-announce-they-run-hot-1850942623/" target="_blank">https://theonion.com/nation-s-big-guys-in-shorts-announce-they-run-hot&#8230;</a></p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: heh</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I knew the article without clicking on it</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">guessed</span>: Is there anything real to that old superstition that players who hit HR for their first MLB hit don&#8217;t usually wind up being good major leaguers? Asking re: Carson Benge and if hexes are real when they happen to the Mets</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: never tested it, but probably no!</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Pennsylvania Fats</span>: speaking of songs What was that link to the fangraphs villain song again?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: I&#8217;ve tinkered with the instruments a little to add more brass.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: <a href="https://suno.com/s/bseCYKKtEOGuFago" target="_blank">https://suno.com/s/bseCYKKtEOGuFago</a></p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: And on that note, it&#8217;s time for me to head out for another week</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author"><img decoding="async" src="https://images.jotcast.com/avatars/avatar-29-1635561675565.png" alt="Avatar" style="width: 40px; height: 40px; border-radius: 50%;" /> Dan Szymborski</span>: See you all next time! or some of you since I doubt I get 100% attendance</p>
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		<title>Jeremiah Estrada Doesn&#8217;t Need To Be Mad at the Cubs Anymore</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/jeremiah-estrada-doesnt-need-to-be-mad-at-the-cubs-anymore/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/jeremiah-estrada-doesnt-need-to-be-mad-at-the-cubs-anymore/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Laurila]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 09 Apr 2026 15:00:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Cubs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Padres]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Q&As]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487171</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The San Diego Padres reliever found success once he was allowed to be himself.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487182" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487182" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28665462.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487182" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28665462.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28665462-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28665462-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28665462-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487182" class="wp-caption-text">Eric Canha-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jeremiah-estrada/22210/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jeremiah Estrada</a>’s path to big league success was bumpy. Drafted out of Palm Desert High School in California in 2017, the now-27-year-old right-hander battled multiple injuries, including one that required Tommy John surgery in 2019. There was non-health-related adversity as well. Estrada spent his first seven professional seasons in the Chicago Cubs organization, and he didn’t always see eye to eye with the club’s pitching coordinators and coaches. They were occasionally at cross purposes when it came to optimizing his repertoire.</p>
<p>Estrada reached the big leagues with Chicago in 2022, although it wasn’t until two years later that he found much success. Cast aside by the Cubs, with whom he’d thrown just 16 1/3 big league innings over parts of two seasons, he has thrived since being claimed off waivers by the San Diego Padres prior to the 2024 campaign. Over 145 appearances, Estrada has logged a 3.35 ERA, a 2.85 FIP, and a 36.1% strikeout rate over 139 2/3 frames. His Friars ledger also includes four saves and an 11-9 won-lost record.</p>
<p>Estrada discussed his nonlinear, and often frustrating, path to big league success over a pair of conversations. The first came in early March at the Padres&#8217; spring training complex, while the second was conducted at Fenway Park this past weekend.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>David Laurila:</strong> How much have you changed since coming to pro ball? </p>
<p><strong>Jeremiah Estrada:</strong> “I’d say a lot, and not just what happens on the field. With the baseball side, you learn what’s important and what’s not important, but that’s pretty much like life. Right? Life starts to kick in. Even though many of our lives are different, we worry about the same things.<span id="more-487171"></span></p>
<p>“Sometimes I actually get in arguments with people about whether this should be considered a job or not. A lot of people don’t understand what goes into it. This is a job — a blessing, but also a job. That’s something I’d like kids to understand, even adults to understand. You have to put in the work.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> What about purely from a pitching standpoint? There have been some changes along the way&#8230;</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “Yes, as a pitcher, I have changed a lot. In my crazy mind, back then — back when I first got [to pro ball] — I thought that I was able to just do what I do. I was kind of… not really a know-it-all, but I felt that what I was doing was good enough. Just throw it by people. But I hopped right in, and they were already talking to me about making adjustments. It was, ‘Hey, we’re going to get rid of this pitch or that pitch.’ I was like, ‘Damn, okay.’ Any kid who wants to be in the big leagues is going to be like, ‘Yes sir, no sir.’</p>
<p>“I had to learn how to trust myself more. I went all those years paying attention to the guidance I’m supposed to be listening to, the organizations and the ideas. I thought that whatever advice I was given was going to take me to the big leagues. Over time, I got to the point where&#8230; I started to do much better when I was paying attention to myself and leaving it all in God’s hands instead of putting it in other people’s hands. I made so much progress by doing that. Of course, I’ve accepted some guidance — I’ve accepted some words, some wisdom — but it’s mainly been trusting in myself.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> I want to hear about your split-change, but first we should talk about your fastball. Have you always gotten a lot of vertical ride with it?</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “In high school, my fastball used to cut. I also had a normal changeup back then. My arm slot was about the same, but maybe a degree towards… it was slightly lower. Once it got a little higher, and I got heavier — whatever it was — it started to carry more. Carry and cut. But the carry was kind of always there. Even some of the colleges I talked to were like, ‘That fastball’s got life.’ That’s what they said. I didn’t know anything about it. To this day, I don’t even know how to read some of the numbers on TrackMan.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> I was aware of the carry, but not the cut.</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “At times, I get cut. What’s funny is that when it cuts, it’s not bad… but it’s also kind of bad. I’m losing a little bit of velo, a little bit of vert. It can be effective at times, though. It can work for me. I’ll be leaving a fastball down the middle to a lefty and it ends up being a cutter by accident.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> What causes that to happen?</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “Mechanically, I’m getting on my toes instead of staying back on my hip and pushing off the mound. It’s a balance situation because of mechanics. On the way down from my leg kick, trying to be aggressive, trying to throw hard, trying to place the ball, I’ll kind of leap into it instead of staying on my right hip — kind of like you’re sitting on a chair — and working toward the plate. When I have proper mechanics, I’m keeping my whole foot flat.</p>
<p>“You can throw a baseball as hard as you can, or as soft as you can — as anything as you can — but doing things right mechanically is the most important thing. You have to find for yourself what works mechanically. You have to understand yourself. People worry so much about what they hear, yet if you hear some of the wrong things… you have to listen to yourself, hear your body. At the end of the day, it’s not their arm, it’s your arm. If your arm breaks, it’s not their career that ends. It’s your career.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> Your career took off after you started throwing the split-change. Did you learn it after coming to the Padres?</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “No, I was still with the Cubs. But I learned it on my own. They had tried to teach me a forkball, or a normal splitter, and I told them no. I had a good changeup. It was a circle changeup, kind of like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/pedro-martinez/200/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Pedro Martinez</a>’s. I kind of copied his, and along with my fastball, it was the pitch that got me drafted. I don’t need to be mad about it anymore, but in their own world, they thought they should mess with something that wasn’t a problem.</p>
<p>“I mean, right from the start… after my first two days [in the organization] they were telling me, ‘Hey, we’re going to get rid of your curveball.’ They jumped the gate on me, trying to turn me into something they wanted, instead of letting me be the way I need to be, or that I want to be.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> I recall reading that you had a good changeup. Why did they want you learn a splitter?</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “You would have to ask them. For awhile they wanted me to just throw fastballs and sliders — that&#8217;s what I was mostly throwing when I got to the majors — but then they wanted me to… I mean, as soon as they started teaching me a forkball, things just went [in the wrong direction]. I stuck with it for months, until I was completely tired of it. This was in 2023. They were trying to send me to Double-A, because I wasn’t figuring it out in Triple-A, and I told them, ‘I’m not going.’ I told them that I’d rather go to Arizona [to the team’s complex] and get blasted on social media, saying that I fell apart. I wanted to go there and figure things out, rather than let something else take over my life. You have to find the darkest moments to find the light.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> You then learned the split-change on your own?</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “Yes. I was in my hotel room, just tossing up a ball. I was trying to figure out the Vulcan, trying to figure out any other kind of… I even tried <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kevin-gausman/14107/stats/pitching" target="_blank">[Kevin] Gausman</a>’s. It wasn’t working. Like I was saying, you have to understand yourself. I’m more over the top, and trying to get down [action] on it, I would press more on top [of the baseball]. Every time I would try throwing a Vulcan or a splitter, I was getting that fastball carry. I came to the realization that what I needed to do was get my index and middle fingers out of the way, because those were the fingers for my power, for my fastball. That’s what I did. I grabbed a baseball that way, and with that mindset, and it felt good. I stuck a baseball in my hand that way for the entire next day. I told them, ‘This might look goofy, but I want to throw it this way.’”</p>
<p>“When I got traded over here, I showed it to [Padres pitching coach] Ruben [Niebla]. He saw me throw, and said, ‘That looks good. I like it. Whatever it is, whatever you call it, it’s working.’ He was fine with me being who I am.”</p>
<p><strong>Laurila:</strong> What did you call it?</p>
<p><strong>Estrada:</strong> “The only reason I called it ‘the chitter’ is because it sounded funny. Split change, change splitter. When a Mexican says the bad word — I don’t like to swear — that’s what it sounds like. I was just having fun. It’s important to have fun.”</p>
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