<?xml version='1.0' encoding='UTF-8'?><?xml-stylesheet href="http://www.blogger.com/styles/atom.css" type="text/css"?><feed xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom' xmlns:openSearch='http://a9.com/-/spec/opensearchrss/1.0/' xmlns:blogger='http://schemas.google.com/blogger/2008' xmlns:georss='http://www.georss.org/georss' xmlns:gd="http://schemas.google.com/g/2005" xmlns:thr='http://purl.org/syndication/thread/1.0'><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940</id><updated>2024-11-25T07:23:25.181+00:00</updated><category term="Russia"/><category term="Moldova"/><category term="Uzbekistan"/><category term="Молдова"/><category term="Fotos"/><category term="Putin"/><category term="US-Russia"/><category term="bol&#39;shaia politika"/><category term="media"/><category term="Moscow"/><category term="Georgia"/><category term="blogs"/><category term="Abkhazia"/><category term="Transdniester"/><category term="Transnistria"/><category term="Грузия"/><category term="Приднестровье"/><category term="2008 question"/><category term="translation"/><category term="Абхазия"/><category term="Chisinau"/><category term="Grape Revolution"/><category term="medvedev"/><category term="Sovok"/><category term="fluff"/><category term="Caucasus"/><category term="PM-for-life"/><category term="Maps"/><category term="South Ossetia"/><category term="video"/><category term="SPB"/><category term="Ukraine"/><category term="Nashi"/><category term="Putvedev"/><category term="TV"/><category term="history"/><category term="humor"/><category term="London"/><category term="Romania"/><category term="US-Russia Obama"/><category term="higher education"/><category term="Admin"/><category term="Belarus"/><category term="Conflict Cables"/><category term="Crisis"/><category term="ads"/><category term="corruption"/><category term="graffiti"/><category term="legalese"/><category term="Azerbaijan"/><category term="Biznes"/><category term="Kyrgyzstan"/><category term="central asia"/><category term="culture"/><category term="migration"/><category term="oligarchs"/><category term="polls"/><category term="90s"/><category term="Chechnya"/><category term="Duma elections"/><category term="Kosovo"/><category term="Oil"/><category term="Sochi Olympics"/><category term="USSR"/><category term="passportization"/><category term="pobeda"/><category term="паспортизация"/><category term="таможня"/><category term="BG"/><category term="DC"/><category term="EU"/><category term="Estonia"/><category term="Metro"/><category term="Soft Power"/><category term="armenia"/><category term="economy"/><category term="ivanov"/><category term="zubkov"/><category term="коррупция"/><category term="Gas"/><category term="Gazprom"/><category term="Georgetown"/><category term="Kaluga"/><category term="Mongolia"/><category term="Obama"/><category term="Pushkin"/><category term="Serbia"/><category term="customs"/><category term="democracy promotion"/><category term="fradkov"/><category term="language"/><category term="polonium"/><category term="religion"/><category term="youth"/><category term="Baltics"/><category term="FOIA"/><category term="France"/><category term="GUAM"/><category term="Hong Kong"/><category term="Karabakh"/><category term="Khodor"/><category term="MGER"/><category term="MGU"/><category term="New-START"/><category term="Spymania"/><category term="WTO"/><category term="politkovskaya"/><title type='text'>Scraps of Moscow</title><subtitle type='html'>Following the post-Soviet world.</subtitle><link rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#feed' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/posts/default'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default?alt=atom'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/'/><link rel='next' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default?alt=atom&amp;start-index=26&amp;max-results=25'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><generator version='7.00' uri='http://www.blogger.com'>Blogger</generator><openSearch:totalResults>853</openSearch:totalResults><openSearch:startIndex>1</openSearch:startIndex><openSearch:itemsPerPage>25</openSearch:itemsPerPage><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-6836539310703131778</id><published>2011-07-21T18:55:00.003+01:00</published><updated>2011-07-21T23:54:40.892+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="armenia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Azerbaijan"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Baltics"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Belarus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Caucasus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="central asia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Kyrgyzstan"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Sovok"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Ukraine"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="USSR"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Uzbekistan"/><title type='text'>The Parable of the Isms - a guest post by Matthew Rojansky</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;398&quot; closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;230&quot;&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;399&quot;&gt;﻿﻿ &lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpCbLxz5NXrIDzOsC7HHsD1KqMHce69j6vZzyJ1HfxmfIBTitO0pLv0Z6Wlewm0tlFzqp_eI1_YzmY0eWbFhPp9f7GTDHjbw314Do0VEYpPBU7hvv9MhaF7zewR7JoPPlBx7Jqig/s1600/cow_border.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;321&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpCbLxz5NXrIDzOsC7HHsD1KqMHce69j6vZzyJ1HfxmfIBTitO0pLv0Z6Wlewm0tlFzqp_eI1_YzmY0eWbFhPp9f7GTDHjbw314Do0VEYpPBU7hvv9MhaF7zewR7JoPPlBx7Jqig/s400/cow_border.jpg&quot; t$=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;478&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: xx-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://opera78.livejournal.com/361513.html&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: xx-small;&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: xx-small;&quot;&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;﻿﻿&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;237&quot; closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;230&quot;&gt;&lt;strong closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;229&quot; closure_uid_qt0jyw=&quot;224&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: large;&quot;&gt;The Parable of the Isms, as Applied to the Former Soviet Union&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong closure_uid_qt0jyw=&quot;224&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: large;&quot;&gt;Guest post by &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.carnegieendowment.org/experts/index.cfm?fa=expert_view&amp;amp;expert_id=487&quot;&gt;&lt;strong&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: large;&quot;&gt;Matthew Rojansky&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;416&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;269&quot;&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;245&quot;&gt;My colleague Karim Sadjadpour recently published a satirical analysis of Middle East politics, &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/06/15/the_cynical_dairy_farmer_s_guide_to_the_new_middle_east&quot;&gt;The Cynical Dairy Farmer&#39;s Guide to the New Middle East&lt;/a&gt;,&quot; riffing on a famous Cold War joke about communism and capitalism, known as &quot;the parable of the isms.&quot;&amp;nbsp; As Karim noted,&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;269&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;No one really knows how the two-cow joke known as &quot;Parable of the Isms&quot; came about, but most&lt;b&gt; &lt;/b&gt;students of Political Science 101 have likely come across some variation of the following definitions:&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;269&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;269&quot;&gt;Socialism: You have two cows. The government takes one of them and gives it to your neighbor.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;210&quot;&gt;Communism: You have two cows. The government takes them both and provides you with milk.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Nazism: You have two cows. The government shoots you and takes the cows.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;246&quot;&gt;Capitalism: You have two cows. You sell one and buy a bull. &lt;/div&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;311&quot;&gt;Satire it may be, but the essential truth of the &quot;cow jokes&quot; is what makes them funny. &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2011/06/15/the_cynical_dairy_farmer_s_guide_to_the_new_middle_east&quot;&gt;Karim&#39;s thirteen terse metaphors for Middle Eastern regimes&lt;/a&gt; cut to the heart of a complex region in which increasing American interest has followed increasing investments of blood and treasure, with very little added understanding of what&#39;s really going on.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div closure_uid_w47l7v=&quot;345&quot;&gt;The Soviet Union suffered no dearth of American attention over nearly half a century after World War II. Yet even the keenest observers, like Kennan and Kissinger, were focused almost entirely on Moscow, and within it mostly on the Kremlin. During the Cold War, that made good sense - after all, no one in Kiev or Almaty, let alone in Chisinau or Ashgabat, was making particularly important decisions for US foreign policy and global security.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
But twenty years after the collapse of Communism and the dissolution of the Soviet Union, things work a bit differently in Eurasia. To understand why drugs flow so readily from Afghanistan through Central Asia and into Russia and Western Europe requires some sense of what&#39;s going on - and what&#39;s not - in places like Dushanbe and Astana. To see why a NATO-Russia impasse over missile defense is so serious requires an understanding of how the people, and the governments, in Kyiv and Tbilisi relate to their massive neighbor.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The former Soviet republics are no longer defined so much by being formerly Soviet, as by what they have become after twenty years of independence. Yet the old categories - socialist, communist, capitalist, fascist - don&#39;t easily work to describe a region where political cultures draw on everything from Rome and Byzantium to Baghdad and Beijing. Let&#39;s see how the &quot;parable of the isms&quot; might offer a convenient shorthand guide to the fifteen states that once made up the USSR.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Russia&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have six cows and four bulls. Two of the bulls die from alcoholism, and the remaining two form a &quot;tandem&quot; to take the cows&#39; milk and sell it to Germany and China.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Ukraine&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have four of the most productive cows on the farm, two of which allow themselves to be milked by Russia, which upsets the other two so much their milk goes sour.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Georgia&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have two cows and one prize-winning bull. The bull is so distracted winning prizes that Russia runs away with both cows.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Belarus&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have one cow which you savagely beat until it produces milk. The milk dries up after your last savage beating, so now you must sell the cow to Russia.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Moldova&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have two cows and a calf, but the cows live in Italy and Russia and send milk home by Western Union. You ferment the milk into wine, and launch a frenzied campaign to join the EU. Meanwhile, the calf is stolen and sold by rustlers.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Armenia&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have four cows, but three of them live in Los Angeles and think they are horses. They send money for you to build stables.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Azerbaijan&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have one cow that produces lots of excellent milk. You sell the milk to Farmer Browne and buy cattle prods from Israel and Turkey.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Turkmenistan&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You had one cow but you sold it to buy a golden statue of a cow that rotates with the sun.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Kazakhstan&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have two cows that produce vast quantities of milk. You sell the milk, buy each cow a gold-plated cow bell, and declare yourself bull for life.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Kyrgyzstan&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have two cows: one Kyrgyz and one Uzbek; they hate each other and refuse to be milked. Instead of hay, feed them tulips. Then sell one each to Russia and the United States. After six months sell them again.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Tajikistan&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have three cows: one Tajik, one Uzbek, and one Russian. You beat the Russian cow until it runs away, and use your misfortune to plead for international aid. Meanwhile Iran milks your remaining cows.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;Uzbekistan&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
You have four cows. You let them drink all the water in the neighborhood swimming pool. Now no one can go swimming. You blame this on &quot;corrupt and lawless elements,&quot; and volunteer to remain in power until the problem is solved.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;strong&gt;The Baltic States&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div closure_uid_imbhdr=&quot;210&quot;&gt;You have lost half your cows, for which you blame Russia and demand an apology. As consolation, the EU gives you a sleek Scandinavian-designed barn and NATO farmers teach you advanced milking techniques.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_imbhdr=&quot;210&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmQaiYCLaU3dA9SgRjDgf7ErovokDIOqHqjpbYzHQ2y8JhpJGH51KG_RwIFggblhesOfG6nrIiqpu9CIQ2KrWLhb9QAXNXOGNnrjKUs9srCMoxjb4ftMWhHIelFKIws72uG4Gu6w/s1600/41.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;640&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjmQaiYCLaU3dA9SgRjDgf7ErovokDIOqHqjpbYzHQ2y8JhpJGH51KG_RwIFggblhesOfG6nrIiqpu9CIQ2KrWLhb9QAXNXOGNnrjKUs9srCMoxjb4ftMWhHIelFKIws72uG4Gu6w/s640/41.jpg&quot; t$=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;411&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;393&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: xx-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://savok.name/uploads/sovart/41.jpg&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: xx-small;&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: xx-small;&quot;&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div closure_uid_12tk6b=&quot;295&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/6836539310703131778/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/6836539310703131778?isPopup=true' title='8 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/6836539310703131778'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/6836539310703131778'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/07/parable-of-isms-guest-post-by-matthew.html' title='The Parable of the Isms - a guest post by Matthew Rojansky'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgpCbLxz5NXrIDzOsC7HHsD1KqMHce69j6vZzyJ1HfxmfIBTitO0pLv0Z6Wlewm0tlFzqp_eI1_YzmY0eWbFhPp9f7GTDHjbw314Do0VEYpPBU7hvv9MhaF7zewR7JoPPlBx7Jqig/s72-c/cow_border.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>8</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-6539932852304401499</id><published>2011-06-18T13:37:00.037+01:00</published><updated>2011-06-18T18:59:34.471+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="2008 question"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="bol&#39;shaia politika"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="democracy promotion"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Duma elections"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="PM-for-life"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="polls"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Молдова"/><title type='text'>Orientalizing post-Soviet politics?</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTcL1AhJ0Rk-H-7btXCE-wYNw70eSU0DF_7QY0mURS5wp8kGOtQcM90XkVi6SaQulMnOHEGkpW65-Rwrx6ssF81r2-UhemeKEKHqmEOJgt26tRS9RBaACXFoElxy6oHWCBUJpw2A/s1600/PolitTekh.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;270&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTcL1AhJ0Rk-H-7btXCE-wYNw70eSU0DF_7QY0mURS5wp8kGOtQcM90XkVi6SaQulMnOHEGkpW65-Rwrx6ssF81r2-UhemeKEKHqmEOJgt26tRS9RBaACXFoElxy6oHWCBUJpw2A/s400/PolitTekh.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.stihi.ru/pics/2007/11/23/2923.jpg&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;Andrew Wilson has &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.opendemocracy.net/andrew-wilson/political-technology-why-is-it-alive-and-flourishing-in-former-ussr&quot;&gt;an article out on openDemocracy&lt;/a&gt; that provides a taxonomy of post-Soviet political systems and where they stand in terms of their employment of &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2008/04/political-technologist-from-left-and.html&quot;&gt;political technology&lt;/a&gt;.&quot;&amp;nbsp; The piece is interesting for its anecdotes, and I&#39;ve always been a big fan of Andrew Wilson&#39;s work introducing Westerners to the concept of &quot;political technology.&quot;&amp;nbsp; Some of the main ideas from his seminal 2005 book, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.amazon.com/Virtual-Politics-Faking-Democracy-Post-Soviet/dp/0300095457/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&amp;amp;qid=1308417621&amp;amp;sr=8-1&quot;&gt;Virtual Politics&lt;/a&gt;, are &lt;a href=&quot;http://ukraineanalysis.wordpress.com/2007/03/09/after-the-orange-revolution-an-article-by-andrew-wilson/&quot;&gt;outlined in a shorter format in these remarks of his from a few years ago&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The questions that Wilson really seems to be asking with this new  article - why do governments of states like Russia and Kazakhstan bother  orchestrating falsely competitive elections? what is it about the  political culture of certain post-Soviet states that has allowed them to  more or less leave the pervasive use of &quot;political technology&quot; behind?  are some of these countries destined to remain in some sort of political  purgatory, having left behind the &quot;hell&quot; of an authoritarian one-party  state but never reaching the &quot;heaven&quot; of the (ultimately unattainable)  idealized, squeaky-clean, competitive political system extolled by classic democracy promoters? - are  very good ones and have concrete policy applications in addressing  Western approaches to other political systems now in transition in the  Arab world and elsewhere, not to mention American budgets for the variety of activities that fall under the umbrella of &quot;democracy promotion.&quot; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The clarity of the current article&#39;s thesis, though, suffers a bit from the author&#39;s implication that political dark arts and even practices as benign as the manufacturing of artificial campaign narratives are somehow unique to the post-Soviet space and are something that should be &quot;gotten rid of&quot; as these countries move toward some democratic ideal.&amp;nbsp;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Is it possible that Wilson believes what he calls the &quot;highly developed industry of political manipulation&quot; that exists in Russia and elsewhere in the region is not in many respects an imitation of our own political system with many more rough edges (and a much smaller price tag, at least when compared to American electoral politics)?&amp;nbsp; The ghost of &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lee_Atwater&quot;&gt;Lee Atwater&lt;/a&gt;, along with &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.lineofdeparture.com/2011/01/16/a-half-century-of-political-dirty-tricks/&quot;&gt;generations&lt;/a&gt; of &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dirty_tricks&quot;&gt;dirty tricksters&lt;/a&gt; (from &lt;a href=&quot;http://sroblog.com/2010/10/07/democrat-dirty-tricks-a-primer-on-stealing-elections-american-thinker/&quot;&gt;both of America&#39;s&lt;/a&gt; august &lt;a href=&quot;http://thisandthatandmoreofthesame.blogspot.com/2011/04/dirty-tricks-and-political-espionage.html&quot;&gt;major political parties&lt;/a&gt;) - not to mention a fella named &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Andrew_Breitbart&quot;&gt;Breitbart&lt;/a&gt; - would beg to differ.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsuYVGMl6V4fIbsLrLaolo_7sydoirKYe9cSFIDx7yr-i8xXY-VLdcsHN-z8J_OTj-s6VbX-I4FS-49w_xQQNcCQaUqIEODVHMwbPK96o2mjDGoozG0Uru4T4aTzJlvVV7OitnkA/s1600/AnythingVote_Cover_72dpi.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgsuYVGMl6V4fIbsLrLaolo_7sydoirKYe9cSFIDx7yr-i8xXY-VLdcsHN-z8J_OTj-s6VbX-I4FS-49w_xQQNcCQaUqIEODVHMwbPK96o2mjDGoozG0Uru4T4aTzJlvVV7OitnkA/s400/AnythingVote_Cover_72dpi.jpg&quot; width=&quot;261&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.quirkbooks.com/book/anything-vote&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt; - &quot;history reveals that smear campaigns are as American as apple pie&quot;]&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
I&#39;m not proposing throwing in the towel and allowing moral relativist &quot;whataboutism&quot; to triumph by making us all shrug and say our systems are no better - because that&#39;s not the case.&amp;nbsp; However, I&#39;m not sure how much we do for the cause of &quot;democracy,&quot; however one defines it, by lumping in things like politicized judges, politicians advancing the causes of favored business interests, and advanced political campaigning - which has become a career track and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.bestcollegesonline.com/masters-degree-guide/arts-humanities/master-of-applied-politics/&quot;&gt;educational specialty&lt;/a&gt; in its own right in the U.S. in recent years and includes what Americans call &quot;dirty tricks&quot; and Russians call &quot;black PR&quot; - with factors more uniquely present (one hopes) in the transitional, soft- or hard-authoritarian political systems that Wilson writes about - actual ballot-rigging, the use of law enforcement to muzzle political opponents and domination of the media space by the government.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
I also take issue with Wilson&#39;s assessment that Moldova became one of the post-Soviet world&#39;s &quot;serious potential democracies&quot; only in 2009, but that&#39;s another story...&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/6539932852304401499/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/6539932852304401499?isPopup=true' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/6539932852304401499'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/6539932852304401499'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/06/orientalizing-post-soviet-politics.html' title='Orientalizing post-Soviet politics?'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjTcL1AhJ0Rk-H-7btXCE-wYNw70eSU0DF_7QY0mURS5wp8kGOtQcM90XkVi6SaQulMnOHEGkpW65-Rwrx6ssF81r2-UhemeKEKHqmEOJgt26tRS9RBaACXFoElxy6oHWCBUJpw2A/s72-c/PolitTekh.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-4545081413798029674</id><published>2011-05-07T14:20:00.005+01:00</published><updated>2011-05-07T19:25:39.500+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Abkhazia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="armenia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Azerbaijan"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Caucasus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Conflict Cables"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Karabakh"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="South Ossetia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="USSR"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Абхазия"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Грузия"/><title type='text'>Conflict Cables: Georgia, and the acceleration of the breakup, 1989-1990</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;Thanks to the August 2008 war, the conflicts over South Ossetia and Abkhazia have come to be perhaps the best known of the post-Soviet conflicts in the West.&amp;nbsp; The roots of these conflicts, according to some accounts, go back centuries, but the immediate triggers as the Soviet Union collapsed included missteps by Moscow, rhetorical overreach by a Georgian leader on the verge of independence, and unease over how inter-ethnic deals which had been enforced by Moscow would fare in the post-Soviet reality.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
This batch of cables tracks the beginning of the downward spiral into armed ethnic conflict.&amp;nbsp; The first of them are post-mortems on the violent dispersal of a public protest in Tbilisi in 1989 that came to be known as the &quot;April 9 events.&quot;&amp;nbsp; &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2011/02/conflict-cables-series-abkhazia-and.html&quot;&gt;Six cables describing those events and their immediate aftermath were summarized in an earlier post&lt;/a&gt; in this series (read more about the &quot;Conflict Cables&quot; series &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2011/01/conflict-cables-series-inaugural-post.html&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A May 5, 1989, cable titled &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/full/48252559?access_key=key-2k11gfnmiqf3wksackk3&quot;&gt;Georgian Activist on Events in Tbilisi&lt;/a&gt;&quot; recounts a US Embassy official&#39;s conversation with &quot;a prominent Georgian activist...in the &#39;moderate&#39; Chavchavadze society,&quot; in which the anonymous Georgian source suggested a tangled web of motivations which allegedly led to the authorization for the use of force against non-violent protesters.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Embassy officials&#39; response to their Georgian source&#39;s conspiracy theory shows a charming naivete about the capability of Eduard &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.google.com/#hl=en&amp;amp;sugexp=ldymls&amp;amp;xhr=t&amp;amp;q=%22silver+fox%22+shevardnadze&amp;amp;cp=1&amp;amp;qe=InNpbHZlciBmb3giIHNoZXZhcmRuYWR6ZQ&amp;amp;qesig=SYfqP9bi8cxl2aFBs283Sg&amp;amp;pkc=AFgZ2tnmr1gzVTovtwg7MjveidEV7HzO43Nxa1b_hggCzSz7yv0uL61IvVAO_FGq9253erKLHI13CWNiiSyq7eUAFpMc63lPBw&amp;amp;pq=silver%20fox%20shevardnadze&amp;amp;pf=p&amp;amp;sclient=psy&amp;amp;source=hp&amp;amp;aq=f&amp;amp;aqi=&amp;amp;aql=&amp;amp;oq=%22silver+fox%22+shevardnadze&amp;amp;pbx=1&amp;amp;bav=on.2,or.r_gc.r_pw.&amp;amp;fp=44b3839bd44fe786&quot;&gt;Silver Fox&lt;/a&gt;&quot; Shevardnadze to engage in such machinations for his personal benefit - or perhaps faith in Shevy, who was at the time involved in negotiations with the U.S. on a much bigger stage: &quot;We doubt that Shevardnadze would have put Perestroyka at risk by allowing or even quietly encouraging an ally to destabilize the situation in Georgia in order to bring down a political foe.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A May 6 cable - &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48252562/More-on-Tbilisi-Demonstrations-May-6-1989&quot;&gt;More on Tbilisi Demonstrations&lt;/a&gt;&quot; - gives a blow-by-blow account of the protesters&#39; tactics and of their demands, which originally focused on Abkhazia but which progressed, in part due to friction between different dissident groups, to demands for independence.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On June 5, a cable went out describing a May 27 &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48252563/Conversation-with-Georgian-Dissident-June-5-1989&quot;&gt;Conversation with [a] Georgian Dissident&lt;/a&gt;&quot; - Zviad Gamsakhurdia - declassified here for the first time, as far as I know, which shows Gamsakhurdia&#39;s penchant for wild accusations and inflammatory rhetoric. Gamsakhurdia &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.voanews.com/russian/news/Georgia-Gamsakhurdia-2011-02-23-116711369.html&quot;&gt;remains controversial to this day&lt;/a&gt; in Georgia.  In mid-1989, he began by &quot;ACCUS[ING] THE SOVIET GOVERNMENT OF WAGING &quot;GENOCIDE&quot; AGAINST THE GEORGIAN PEOPLE, THROUGH THE USE OF CHEMICAL POISONS AND &quot;ECOLOGICAL WARFARE&quot;. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Later in the conversation, he discussed Abkhazia and South Ossetia:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
IN DISCUSSING INTER-ETHNIC RELATIONS WITHIN GEORGIA, GAMSAKHURDIA SHOWED LITTLE TOLERANCE FOR THE REPUBLIC&#39;S INDIGENOUS MINORITIES AND WARNED OF KARABAKH-LIKE SITUATIONS DEVELOPING IN THE ABKHAZIA AUTONOMOUS SSR AS WELL AS THE SOUTHERN OSETIAN AUTONOMOUS OBLAST&#39;. HE DESCRIBED THE ABKHAZIANS AS &quot;THE TRAITORS OF THE CAUCASUS&quot; AND AS &quot;CORRUPTED PEOPLE&quot; WHO &quot;WANT TO RUSSIFY THEMSELVES&quot;, CLAIMING THAT THE ABKHAZIAN NATIONAL MOVEMENT IS ACTUALLY PROVOKED BY MOSCOW AND LED BY &quot;TURKISH MOSLEMS&quot; AS A TYPE OF GEORGIAN &quot;INTERFRONT&quot;. HE INITIALLY CHARACTERIZED THE POLITICAL POSITION OF ABKHAZIAN AUTHOR FAZIL ISKANDER AS &quot;NEUTRAL&quot; BUT NEVERTHELESS FELT IT NECESSARY TO POINT OUT THAT ISKANDER IS AN ETHNIC PERSIAN AND A &quot;GREAT LIAR&quot;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
ACCORDING TO THE GEORGIAN NATIONALIST, A SECOND GEORGIAN &quot;INTERFRONT&quot; -- A REFERENCE TO THE PRO-RUSSIAN GROUPS WHICH HAVE EMERGED IN THE BALTICS -- WAS BEING EXPLOITED BY MOSCOW AMONG THE 60,000 OSETIANS IN SOUTHERN OSETIA. GAMSAKHURDIA CLAIMED THAT HE HAD JUST RECEIVED REPORTS OF GEORGIANS BEING BEATEN IN SEVERAL OSETIAN VILLAGES, CLAIMING THAT THE OSETIAN POPULATION IS &quot;VERY AGGRESSIVE&quot;. GEORGIANS ARE BEING OPPRESSED ON THEIR OWN LAND IN ABKHAZIA AND OSETIA, ACCORDING TO GAMSAKHURDIA, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE VIOLENT CONFLICTS. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Interestingly, this cable was apparently written by (or at least signed by) &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Richard_Miles_%28diplomat%29&quot;&gt;Richard Miles&lt;/a&gt;, later U.S. Ambassador to Georgia during the Rose Revolution.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
During an August 1989 visit to Tbilisi, US Embassy officials spoke with a number of &quot;Georgian intellectuals&quot; (at a time when intellectuals still mattered politically), all of whom had &quot;Abkhazia on their minds.&quot;&amp;nbsp;  Their comments were summed up in an August 23 cable titled &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48252564/Georgian-Political-Affairs-Aug-23-1989&quot;&gt;Georgian Political Affairs&lt;/a&gt;.&quot;  The Georgians were troubled by their portrayal in the Western press as &quot;oppressors&quot; of their national minorities.&amp;nbsp; One source saw the interethnic strife as &quot;the work of a local Abkhazian mafia struggling to maintain its privileges in the face of a growing democratic movement throughout Georgia,&quot; which would leave the Abkhazians stripped of privileges as a result of being outnumbered&amp;nbsp; in their own autonomy.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Other interlocutors pointed suspicious fingers at Moscow, Turkey and Central Asia in explaining the unrest in Abkhazia.&amp;nbsp; None of the Americans&#39; contacts was willing to entertain the possibility of satisfying the Abkhaz demands to elevate the Abkhazian ASSR to union republic status - &quot;there were simply too few Abkhazians for that.&quot;&amp;nbsp; Georgians were already speaking about increased sovereignty and independence, though not necessarily of full-fledged secession from the USSR.&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The next few cables are roundups of &quot;USSR domestic developments&quot; and focus on other issues in addition to Georgia and other hot spots around the Soviet Union, which was by this point coming apart, though no one realized it at the time.&amp;nbsp; The &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48293543/USSR-Domestic-Developments-November-9-Nov-9-1989&quot;&gt;first of these cables, dated November 9, 1989,&lt;/a&gt; includes a summary of a conversation with &quot;noted Soviet pollster&quot; Yuri Levada (paragraphs 15-16) as well as a synopsis of a familiar-sounding interaction with an opinionated taxi driver (para. 22), and quotes the &quot;KGB press service&quot; (para. 18) as stating that the &quot;&#39;present generation&#39; of security officers dissociates itself from the Stalinist NKVD and condemns the arbitrariness of that period&quot; (there appears to have been some regression in that regard since 1989).&amp;nbsp; Updates on South Ossetia (para. 27) and disruptions of Revolution Day celebrations in &quot;Kishinev, Moldavia&quot; (para. 31) and Tbilisi (para. 32), and the formal establishment of the &quot;Soviet Interfront of Georgia,&quot; which swiftly demanded official status for the Russian language (para. 33).&amp;nbsp; There is also an interesting discussion of Soviet lawmaking (para. 34).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48293545/USSR-Domestic-Developments-November-17-Nov-18-1989&quot;&gt;November 17, 1989 &quot;USSR Domestic Developments&quot; cable&lt;/a&gt; melds old-school Sovietology (an extensive discussion of who stood on &quot;the mausoleum&quot; during the November 7 parade) with earnest discussions of the Soviet legislative calendar and priorities and comments from people like Anatoly Sobchak, and speculation like &quot;Yel&#39;tsin on the decline?&quot; (para. 17).&amp;nbsp; Also interesting in light of current events are discussions of various &lt;a href=&quot;http://english.ruvr.ru/2011/05/07/49982403.html&quot;&gt;popular front&lt;/a&gt; initiatives (paras. 20-21) and comments from &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.rferl.org/content/In_The_Heart_Of_New_York_Russias_Soft_Power_Arm_Gaining_Momentum/1493429.html&quot;&gt;Andranik Migranyan&lt;/a&gt; (para. 22) about domestic politics.&amp;nbsp; There is also a discussion of the &quot;deteriorating&quot; situation in Karabakh (para. 28) and of demands by Gamsakhurdia, whose organization is now referred to as &quot;radical,&quot; that &quot;Ossetians either support Georgian calls for independence from the Soviet Union or leave Georgia,&quot; and his forays into South Ossetia with busloads of armed men (para. 30).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The final roundup cable in this batch is &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48293546/USSR-Domestic-Developments-December-1-Dec-3-1989&quot;&gt;USSR Domestic Developments: December 1&lt;/a&gt;.&quot;&amp;nbsp; This one contains extensive discussion of Soviet domestic political developments, including some portions that apparently still merit classification and were redacted before the cable was released to me.&amp;nbsp; Not redacted, though, are some interesting points about the Karabakh conflict as it stood toward the end of 1989 (paras. 25-28), including some interesting comments by Yevgeny Primakov:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
DURING A SPASO HOUSE DINNER NOVEMBER 29, YEVGENIY PRIMAKOV (PROTECT), A CANDIDATE POLITBURO MEMBER AND THE CHAIRMAN OF THE SUPREME SOVIET&#39;S COUNCIL OF THE UNION, SAID, &quot;THE ARMENIANS WILL SIMPLY HAVE TO COME TO TERMS WITH THE PRESENT SITUATION.&quot; HE IMPLIED THERE WAS NO HOPE NAGORNO-KARABAKH WOULD EVER BE UNITED WITH ARMENIA. ACCORDING TO PRIMAKOV, THERE IS NO SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEM AND EMOTIONS ARE RUNNING TOO HIGH FOR ARMENIANS AND AZERBAYDZHANIS TO REACH A COMPROMISE. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
GEORGIY TARAZEVICH (PROTECT), CHAIRMAN OF THE SUPREME SOVIET COMMISSION ON NAGORNO-KARABAKH, WHO VISITED THE AREA EARLY IN NOVEMBER, TOLD EMBOFF NOVEMBER 16 THAT HE BELIEVED THE SITUATION HAS DEADLOCKED.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
This cable also has a brief update on continuing tension in South Ossetia (para. 29) and some thoughts from an unnamed Moldovan economist about new First Secretary Petr Luchinsky, and about leadership in the republic in general:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
THE ECONOMIST SAID MOLDAVIA&#39;S LEADERS WERE GENERALLY INCOMPETENT BECAUSE, UNLIKE IN THE BALTIC REPUBLICS, THE BEST LEADERS IN MOLDAVIA ALWAYS MOVED ON TO MOSCOW.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The next cable in this batch is titled &quot;Tension Mounts in Georgia as Nationalism Grows,&quot; and is dated February 13, 1990.  Embassy officials visiting Tbilisi &quot;found the sense of fear palpable,&quot; and one source told them that the situation was &quot;like a volcano ready to erupt any time.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In the midst of an extensive discussion of Georgian domestic issues, upcoming elections and emerging political groups is this instructive summary of Georgian Popular Front (PFG) Deputy Chairman Avtandil Imnadze&#39;s view of minority rights in a Georgia that was lurching toward independence:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
THE PFG&#39;S NATIONALIST VIEWS LEAVE FEW RIGHTS TO OTHER REPUBLIC ETHNIC GROUPS. WHILE IMNADZE TOLD EMBOFF THAT &quot;WE WILL NOT VIOLATE THE RIGHTS OF OTHER ETHNIC GROUPS,&quot; HIS UNDERSTANDING OF THOSE RIGHTS IS VERY LIMITED AND GIVES NON-GEORGIANS VIRTUALLY NO POLITICAL POWER. &quot;AFTER ALL,&quot; IMNADZE SAID, &quot;THEY DO NOT BELONG HERE. THEY ARE ONLY OUR GUESTS.&quot; SEVERAL OTHER GEORGIANS WHO WERE NOT PFG MEMBERS ALSO EXPRESSED THIS SENTIMENT.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There is also discussion toward the end of the cable of the Georgian response to the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_January&quot;&gt;deployment of Soviet troops in Baku in January 1990&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A cable from November 2, 1990 titled &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48252566/Georgian-Elections-Opposition-Round-Table-Defeats-Communists-Nov-2-1990&quot;&gt;Georgian Elections - Opposition Round Table Defeats Communists&lt;/a&gt;&quot; summarized the implications of the elections won by Zviad Gamsakhurdia&#39;s Round Table - Free Georgia group.  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
GAMSAKHURDIA&#39;S BLOC ADVOCATED INDEPENDENCE FROM MOSCOW, MAINTAINING GEORGIAN TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY IN THE FACE OF MINORITY GROUP DEMANDS FOR AUTONOMY OR UNION WITH THE RSFSR.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There is also discussion of the way the election observation was conducted and the presence of foreign observers, noting some procedural flaws which did not in the estimation of the Embassy officials detract from the fairness of the elections.  However:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
MORE SERIOUS, PERHAPS, THAN THESE PROCEDURAL INCONSISTENCIES BEFORE AND DURING THE ELECTION WAS THE DECISION BY ABKHAZIA AND OSSETIAN NATIONAL GROUPS TO BOYCOTT THE ELECTIONS. INDEED, IN DISTRICTS WITHIN THE OSSETIAN CAPITAL OF TKHSINVALI LESS THAN TEN PERCENT OF THE REGISTERED VOTERS CAST BALLOTS. IN TWO DISTRICTS IN ABKHAZIA ELECTORAL COMMISSIONS DISINTEGRATED AND ELECTIONS WERE NOT HELD AT ALL.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The position of the election&#39;s victor on the Abkhazians and Ossetians also did not bode well for inter-ethnic harmony in Georgia:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
GAMSAKHURDIA ALSO SAID HE BELIEVES IN RESPECT FOR THE POLITICAL, CULTURAL, AND RELIGIOUS RIGHTS OF THE MINORITIES LIVING IN THE REPUBLIC, BUT NOT THEIR INDEPENDENCE OR SEPARATION FROM THE GEORGIAN REPUBLIC. ANY SOLUTION TO THE MINORITY PROBLEM, HE STRESSED, MUST PRESERVE THE TERRITORIAL INTEGRITY OF GEORGIA AND TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE RIGHTS OF THE MAJORITY. [...]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
GAMSAKHURDIA&#39;S VICTORY COULD FURTHER FUEL ETHNIC TENSIONS AND CONFLICTS IN THE REGION. HE IS VIEWED BY SOME OF THE MINORITY GROUPS, PARTICULARLY THE ABKHAZIANS AND OSSETIANS, AS A GEORGIAN NATIONALIST AT BEST AND A CHAUVINIST AT WORST. HIS UNCOMPROMISING POSITION WITH RESPECT TO THE SOUTHERN OSSETIANS, WHOM HE HAS CALLED A MINORITY WITHOUT RIGHTS TO THE LANDS THEY OCCUPY, HAS BEEN ESPECIALLY TROUBLING EVEN TO OTHER MEMBERS OF THE GEORGIAN DEMOCRATIC OPPOSITION.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The cable&#39;s author(s) reached this unfortunately prescient conclusion:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
THE RESISTANCE OF COMMUNIST PARTY APPARATCHIKI, AND THE RESENTMENT AND FEAR EXPRESSED BY MINORITY GROUPS IN ABKHAZIA AND SOUTHERN OSSETIA MAKE FOR A VOLATILE MIX: WITHOUT RESOLUTION OF THE PERSONAL ANIMOSITIES AMONG THE FORMER OPPOSITION LEADERS AND THE CONSENT OF THE ENTRENCHED COMMUNIST BUREAUCRATS, GEORGIA WILL, AT BEST, REMAIN CRITICALLY DIVIDED AT A TIME OF GREAT POLITICAL AND ECONOMIC INSTABILITY, AND, AT WORST, MAY SLIDE INTO FACTIONAL FIGHTING AND CIVIL WAR.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The final cable in this batch, from December 18, 1990, is titled &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48293549/Union-Treaty-Negotiations-The-Caucasus-Moldova-and-the-Baltics-Dec-18-1990&quot;&gt;Union Treaty Negotiations: The Caucasus, Moldova, and the Baltics&lt;/a&gt;.&quot;  This one is worth embedding in full, as it is laden with interesting observations about the internal situations in the republics of the Caucasus and Moldova, e.g. &quot;INTERESTINGLY, FORMER COMMUNIST PARTY LEADER GElDER ALIYEV, FAMOUS FOR HIS CORRUPT POLITICAL PRACTICES, HAS MADE A POLITICAL COMEBACK AS A REBORN NATIONALIST.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a title=&quot;View Union Treaty Negotiations: The Caucasus, Moldova, and the Baltics (Dec. 18, 1990) on Scribd&quot; href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48293549/Union-Treaty-Negotiations-The-Caucasus-Moldova-and-the-Baltics-Dec-18-1990&quot; style=&quot;margin: 12px auto 6px auto; font-family: Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; font-size: 14px; line-height: normal; font-size-adjust: none; font-stretch: normal; -x-system-font: none; display: block; text-decoration: underline;&quot;&gt;Union Treaty Negotiations: The Caucasus, Moldova, and the Baltics (Dec. 18, 1990)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;iframe class=&quot;scribd_iframe_embed&quot; src=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/embeds/48293549/content?start_page=1&amp;view_mode=list&amp;access_key=key-1l3rc93f1gr2lu99jlay&quot; data-auto-height=&quot;true&quot; data-aspect-ratio=&quot;0.772875816993464&quot; scrolling=&quot;no&quot; id=&quot;doc_59738&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; height=&quot;600&quot; frameborder=&quot;0&quot;&gt;&lt;/iframe&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/4545081413798029674/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/4545081413798029674?isPopup=true' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/4545081413798029674'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/4545081413798029674'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/05/conflict-cables-georgia-and.html' title='Conflict Cables: Georgia, and the acceleration of the breakup, 1989-1990'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-5713086008590333773</id><published>2011-02-07T23:14:00.002+00:00</published><updated>2011-02-08T04:18:31.370+00:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Conflict Cables"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transnistria"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Молдова"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Приднестровье"/><title type='text'>Opening the U.S. Embassy in Chisinau, April 1992</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhBX2d69SDf7cEIRNtfv5wUutv5xB4Em2Dj_EqHjU1fsjlonmOScTP4ZhbajbL1Rlb0zHoyn-XrzRihXTfsiLxQtbf3QodDyeCd2OUbn9q3iqn83pMPkQHELqNZpKcD5oLK8JQb-Q/s1600/USEmbChisinau.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;505&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhBX2d69SDf7cEIRNtfv5wUutv5xB4Em2Dj_EqHjU1fsjlonmOScTP4ZhbajbL1Rlb0zHoyn-XrzRihXTfsiLxQtbf3QodDyeCd2OUbn9q3iqn83pMPkQHELqNZpKcD5oLK8JQb-Q/s640/USEmbChisinau.jpg&quot; width=&quot;640&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;The &lt;a href=&quot;http://moldova.usembassy.gov/&quot;&gt;U.S. Embassy in Moldova&lt;/a&gt;, located in a &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.monument.sit.md/alexei-mateevici/103/&quot;&gt;historic building&lt;/a&gt; at 103 Mateevici St. in Chisinau &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.monument.sit.md/alexei-mateevici/103/&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Some of the cables that I received in response to my FOIA request for &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/search/label/Conflict%20Cables&quot;&gt;cables dealing with the post-Soviet conflicts&lt;/a&gt; highlight other interesting events from the time of the Soviet breakup.&amp;nbsp; This was a time when the U.S. had to open a whole bunch of new embassies, including one in the newly independent Republic of Moldova.&amp;nbsp; The report on the opening of the Embassy in Chisinau included a discussion of the situation in Transdniester and its impact on the Moldovan government:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;The deterioration of the situation in the Trans-Dniester is occupying almost all the time of this very small, neophyte government.&amp;nbsp; While Moldovan officials have the understandable tendency to inflate the importance of their own republic, Embassy Chisinau finds many of their concerns well-founded.&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48298452/Embassy-Chisinau-Opens-Moldovan-Officials-Discuss-Trans-Dniester-Crisis-March-26-1992&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Embassy Chisinau Opens: Moldovan Officials Discuss Trans-Dniester Crisis (March 26, 1992) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Embassy Chisinau Opens: Moldovan Officials Discuss Trans-Dniester Crisis (March 26, 1992)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_50667&quot; name=&quot;doc_50667&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=48298452&amp;access_key=key-ed1upybd1iaw6e0mwqb&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_50667&quot; name=&quot;doc_50667&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=48298452&amp;access_key=key-ed1upybd1iaw6e0mwqb&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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And what sort of environment would U.S. diplomats posted to Chisinau find in the capital of newly independent Moldova?  This &quot;Preliminary Post Report&quot; from April 13 details a bygone era of wine for 80 rubles a bottle (at an exchange rate of 125 rubles to the dollar) and when travelers using Air Moldova had to be reassured that the airline &quot;to date has a worse reputation than it actually deserves.  The stories of standing passengers, four-legged passengers and other non-FAA approved behavior have so far not been witnessed on Air Moldova.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48254468/Preliminary-Post-Report-for-Chisinau-April-13-1992?secret_password=137q5qyk5zt3xhlovd11&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Preliminary Post Report for Chisinau (April 13, 1992) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Preliminary Post Report for Chisinau (April 13, 1992)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_18012&quot; name=&quot;doc_18012&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=48254468&amp;access_key=key-1sjd4orwlgznzghdgrtp&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_18012&quot; name=&quot;doc_18012&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=48254468&amp;access_key=key-1sjd4orwlgznzghdgrtp&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/5713086008590333773/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/5713086008590333773?isPopup=true' title='5 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/5713086008590333773'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/5713086008590333773'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/02/opening-us-embassy-in-chisinau-april.html' title='Opening the U.S. Embassy in Chisinau, April 1992'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhBX2d69SDf7cEIRNtfv5wUutv5xB4Em2Dj_EqHjU1fsjlonmOScTP4ZhbajbL1Rlb0zHoyn-XrzRihXTfsiLxQtbf3QodDyeCd2OUbn9q3iqn83pMPkQHELqNZpKcD5oLK8JQb-Q/s72-c/USEmbChisinau.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>5</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-5521844531111263153</id><published>2011-02-06T00:45:00.002+00:00</published><updated>2011-02-08T04:19:19.462+00:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Conflict Cables"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transnistria"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="USSR"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Молдова"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Приднестровье"/><title type='text'>Conflict Cables: Moldova-Transdniester Nov-Dec 1991</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaqFeYrQ39z8wUNyYZ6xQqwB_A5JlN2CBMibCF3LJZZXOH77XKElhR3fBYGljvXByxfrOPDOTTfr_LoY3aNkdcKXv06J0_zHzTeujYLSKD_BlXGhZAFIfll0lSXRqLq9nhkUK32w/s1600/425228.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;263&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaqFeYrQ39z8wUNyYZ6xQqwB_A5JlN2CBMibCF3LJZZXOH77XKElhR3fBYGljvXByxfrOPDOTTfr_LoY3aNkdcKXv06J0_zHzTeujYLSKD_BlXGhZAFIfll0lSXRqLq9nhkUK32w/s400/425228.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://visualrian.com/images/item/425228&quot;&gt;Mircea Snegur votes for himself - Dec. 8, 1991&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;As the Soviet Union &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belavezha_Accords&quot;&gt;formally fell apart&lt;/a&gt;, Moldovan President Mircea Snegur had his leadership validated an uncontested election in December 1991.&amp;nbsp; It was an eventful month, with the election preceded by independence referendums in Transdniester and Gagauzia on December 1 and followed by renewed violence in Transdniester and then Moldova&#39;s signing of the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikisource.org/wiki/Declaration_of_Alma-Ata&quot;&gt;Alma-Ata Protocols&lt;/a&gt; under which it joined the &lt;a href=&quot;http://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/%D0%A1%D0%BE%D0%B4%D1%80%D1%83%D0%B6%D0%B5%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2%D0%BE_%D0%9D%D0%B5%D0%B7%D0%B0%D0%B2%D0%B8%D1%81%D0%B8%D0%BC%D1%8B%D1%85_%D0%93%D0%BE%D1%81%D1%83%D0%B4%D0%B0%D1%80%D1%81%D1%82%D0%B2&quot;&gt;Commonwealth of Independent States&lt;/a&gt;.&amp;nbsp; This post summarizes seven newly State Department cables newly declassified and released through the FOIA process, which I have made available on &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/lyndon_allin&quot;&gt;Scribd&lt;/a&gt; - read more about the Conflict Cables series &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2011/01/conflict-cables-series-inaugural-post.html&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;br /&gt;
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The stage is set by a November 5 cable from U.S. Embassy Moscow assessing the &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/full/47967155?access_key=key-1kpffje1m4x92ofkq8f1&quot;&gt;Moldovan Political Scene as Foreign Minister Tiu Visits U.S.&lt;/a&gt;,&quot; in which the &quot;principal political issue in Moldova&quot; was described as &quot;whether to unify with Romania or set out on the path of full independence.&quot;&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
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On December 8th, as three men signed away the USSR in a forest outside of Minsk, Moldova held elections.&amp;nbsp; Embassy Moscow had sent officials to observe, and they sent &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967156/Snegur-Elected-President-in-Moldova-Harassment-Fails-to-Stop-Voters-in-the-Trans-Dniester-Region-Dec-9-1991&quot;&gt;a brief cable on the 9th reporting Snegur&#39;s unsurprising victory&lt;/a&gt; which concluded with the following comment:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;The vote appeared to be more a mandate for Moldovan independence and national unity than a reflection of support for Snegur as an individual.&amp;nbsp; While many Moldovan officials encountered had high expectations that Snegur would somehow be able to solve the separatist problem once he had a popular mandate, the task looks to be a hard one.&amp;nbsp; Trans-Dniester and Gagauz officials appear remarkably rigid, and, according to Moldovan government officials, the Trans-Dniester &quot;government&quot; is backed by Soviet military arms provided by forces based in Tiraspol.&lt;/blockquote&gt;A more detailed report on the elections, including difficulties faced by voters in Transdniester, followed several days later:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967160/Moldovan-Elections-Snegur-Wins-While-Separatist-Regions-Obstruct-Voting-Process-Dec-12-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Moldovan Elections: Snegur Wins While Separatist Regions Obstruct Voting Process (Dec. 12, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Moldovan Elections: Snegur Wins While Separatist Regions Obstruct Voting Process (Dec. 12, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_22430&quot; name=&quot;doc_22430&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47967160&amp;access_key=key-23a6ax5vc6kbkloypid9&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_22430&quot; name=&quot;doc_22430&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47967160&amp;access_key=key-23a6ax5vc6kbkloypid9&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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This cable reported on the Embassy observers&#39; visits to Comrat and to Tiraspol, where they learned about &quot;the difficulties and discrimination faced by [ethnic] Moldovans in everyday life in the Trans-Dniester,&quot; and noted the following:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;In both the Gagauz and Trans-Dniester regions, poloffs heard repeated claims of fraud during the previous week&#39;s [December 1] independence referendums and presidential elections.&amp;nbsp; There were numerous reports of attempts to force people to vote, including the use of armed militia who attempted to force villagers into mobile &quot;bus polls&quot; which went from village to village.&amp;nbsp; Some said they were threatened with loss of jobs if they did not vote.&lt;/blockquote&gt;Shortly after the elections, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967161/Moldova-Charges-Soviet-Army-Interference-in-Trans-Dniester-May-Join-Commonwealth-Dec-13-1991&quot;&gt;a December 13 cable summarized increasing Moldovan concern&lt;/a&gt; with alleged Soviet military support for the secessionists in Transdniester, including charges that Soviet troops were participating directly in the conflict, that military equipment being withdrawn from Eastern Europe was being diverted to the region, and in general that the secessionists were &quot;receiving material and political support from mainline Soviet military forces...with the knowledge and perhaps approval of military and political leaders in Moscow.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967161/Moldova-Charges-Soviet-Army-Interference-in-Trans-Dniester-May-Join-Commonwealth-Dec-13-1991&quot;&gt;The December 13 cable&lt;/a&gt; also described Moldovan allegations that Moscow was also already beginning to deploy its potent media weapon:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;Moldovan officials also claim to see a pattern of bias in official statements and media reporting from Moscow which focuses excessively on Moldovan ethnic and economic problems.&amp;nbsp; They contend this is an attempt to portray Moldova as a hotbed of ethnic strife with massive economic problems; such an image could later be used to justify interference in Moldova under the guise of protecting ethnic Russians or preventing economic chaos.&amp;nbsp; On December 2, the presidium of the Moldovan Parliament issued an official statement charging Moscow-based news organizations with a prejudiced attitude toward Moldova.&amp;nbsp; One Moldovan official cited a November 30 TASS report of electrical shortages in Moldova as an example of inaccurate reporting.&amp;nbsp; The report claimed Moldova was short of fuel for electrical generation and was therefore alloting only four hours per day of electricity to residences.&amp;nbsp; The official said this was completely false; during their December 6-9 visit poloffs observed no unusual electricity problems and heard no one mention any such problems.&lt;/blockquote&gt;A &quot;late development&quot; - renewed violence on Dec. 13 in the city of Dubossary - was described in the last paragraph of the cable, including details about Transdniestrian authorities&#39; accusations that the fighting was provoked by the Moldovan Popular Front and involved &quot;Romanian weapons.&quot;  &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A subsequent cable on December 17th went into more detail about the flare-up in Dubossary and related Chisinau&#39;s side of the story - that &quot;the fighting was an intentional provocation by the Trans-Dniester leadership designed to sabotage impending Russian recognition of Moldovan independence.&quot;  The diplomats in Moscow, however, concluded that the violence so soon after elections in both Transdniester and right-bank Moldova &quot;may also have been the result of a new assertiveness on the part of the leaderships of both areas, anxious to exercise their new mandate.&quot;  Shying away from assigning blame, the cable concludes with the possibility that this was &quot;simply a case of two increasingly assertive forces finally colliding, with both sides equally at fault.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967166/Violence-in-Trans-Dniester-Complications-for-Moldovan-Russian-Relationship-Dec-17-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Violence in Trans-Dniester: Complications for Moldovan-Russian Relationship (Dec. 17, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Violence in Trans-Dniester: Complications for Moldovan-Russian Relationship (Dec. 17, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_27243&quot; name=&quot;doc_27243&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47967166&amp;access_key=key-25h536z9v8r6av6gmtbt&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_27243&quot; name=&quot;doc_27243&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47967166&amp;access_key=key-25h536z9v8r6av6gmtbt&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Also on December 17th, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967164/Moldovan-Foreign-Minister-Requests-Urgent-Meeting-with-Secretary-in-Kiev-Dec-17-1991&quot;&gt;Moscow relayed to Washington&lt;/a&gt; that the Moldovan Foreign Minister had urgently requested a meeting to discuss the Transdniester issue with Secretary of State James Baker during the latter&#39;s scheduled visit to Kiev, and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967164/Moldovan-Foreign-Minister-Requests-Urgent-Meeting-with-Secretary-in-Kiev-Dec-17-1991&quot;&gt;again summarized Moldovan concerns&lt;/a&gt; that the situation could turn into an &quot;inter-republic&quot; confrontation with Russia.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A third December 17 cable from Moscow describes a conversation with a Moldovan official in Moscow &quot;as the Moldovan delegate to the Bilateral Relations Committee&quot; (name redacted in the version released by the State Department, but they didn&#39;t redact his position which should make him easy to identify).  This one is perhaps the most interesting of this batch as it summarizes a the candid views (in a conversation at an embassy reception) of a high-level Moldovan at the time about the country&#39;s aspirations for reunification with Romania, discussing things like potential territory swaps with Ukraine and the fact one of the factors slowing down reunification is that Snegur &quot;enjoys being &#39;President&#39; of a separate country and is not eager to give up that role.&quot;  The source also trash-talks Moldovan Foreign Minister Tiu toward the end of the cable - see for yourself:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47967163/Aide-to-Moldovan-Foreign-Minister-Describes-Moldovan-Political-Picture-Dec-17-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Aide to Moldovan Foreign Minister Describes Moldovan Political Picture (Dec. 17, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Aide to Moldovan Foreign Minister Describes Moldovan Political Picture (Dec. 17, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_62449&quot; name=&quot;doc_62449&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47967163&amp;access_key=key-1ker7awdndv06ksgncph&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_62449&quot; name=&quot;doc_62449&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47967163&amp;access_key=key-1ker7awdndv06ksgncph&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As this challenging month of a challenging year came to a close, Moldova after all signed up to join the new Commonwealth of Independent States.  The cable below is interesting because it describes Russian and Central Asian reactions to the Alma Ata agreement as well as Moldovan reactions and is worth reading in full for any student of the Soviet collapse:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/48073774/Reactions-to-Alma-Ata-Accords-Russia-Central-Asia-Moldova-Dec-26-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Reactions to Alma Ata Accords: Russia, Central Asia, Moldova (Dec. 26, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Reactions to Alma Ata Accords: Russia, Central Asia, Moldova (Dec. 26, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_30872&quot; name=&quot;doc_30872&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=48073774&amp;access_key=key-1btezha6vxgc46h7yq7q&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_30872&quot; name=&quot;doc_30872&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=48073774&amp;access_key=key-1btezha6vxgc46h7yq7q&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As a postscript, I can&#39;t resist sharing this photo from a later moment in President Snegur&#39;s career (presumably some time in 1992), mainly because I can&#39;t resist sharing something that shows our current Secretary of State in her previous life as an Arkansas political wife.&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1e8w4yKDE4Key5PNcayChaB2HbAMNvqXtn6gYDZVZ8rF0ez61F_VFvp5cVe8PI2hNUGIiTXIdjW7xGL1wrpMo7ihag37Vq3l33fSfhDEegeN19iuMeFzqVLYhxPoHkmCxZpOGLA/s1600/SnegurClintons.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;235&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1e8w4yKDE4Key5PNcayChaB2HbAMNvqXtn6gYDZVZ8rF0ez61F_VFvp5cVe8PI2hNUGIiTXIdjW7xGL1wrpMo7ihag37Vq3l33fSfhDEegeN19iuMeFzqVLYhxPoHkmCxZpOGLA/s320/SnegurClintons.jpg&quot; width=&quot;320&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.vipmagazin.md/profil/Mircea_Snegur/&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/5521844531111263153/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/5521844531111263153?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/5521844531111263153'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/5521844531111263153'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/02/conflict-cables-moldova-transdniester.html' title='Conflict Cables: Moldova-Transdniester Nov-Dec 1991'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhaqFeYrQ39z8wUNyYZ6xQqwB_A5JlN2CBMibCF3LJZZXOH77XKElhR3fBYGljvXByxfrOPDOTTfr_LoY3aNkdcKXv06J0_zHzTeujYLSKD_BlXGhZAFIfll0lSXRqLq9nhkUK32w/s72-c/425228.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-7072995205715873075</id><published>2011-02-01T06:39:00.001+00:00</published><updated>2011-02-08T04:21:05.444+00:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Abkhazia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Conflict Cables"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="USSR"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Абхазия"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Грузия"/><title type='text'>Conflict Cables Series: Abkhazia and the April 1989 Events in Tbilisi</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1bPwLjxUUZrnesOhTjhmtXU5g36U0FbLi4x2hmaFuZu-0E8dK3zrI15IIXxlwcRnx9Jb67mroGCgT8Y0ijaYkpp1Qpzo8_G3ZNC8WZTkV_hnyhbF-qlIttzTG02jvcySFn-Xjsg/s1600/meore034.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;278&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1bPwLjxUUZrnesOhTjhmtXU5g36U0FbLi4x2hmaFuZu-0E8dK3zrI15IIXxlwcRnx9Jb67mroGCgT8Y0ijaYkpp1Qpzo8_G3ZNC8WZTkV_hnyhbF-qlIttzTG02jvcySFn-Xjsg/s400/meore034.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://burusi.wordpress.com/history/9-april/&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;] &lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Unfortunately, I do not have too many cables on Abkhazia to share (read more about the &quot;conflict cables&quot; series &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2011/01/conflict-cables-series-inaugural-post.html&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt;).&amp;nbsp; I&#39;m still awaiting a response on my FOIA request covering the years of the actual conflict; therefore the Abkhazia-related material I&#39;ll be uploading for now is from 1989-90, when people were still trying to figure out what was going to happen to the USSR.&lt;br /&gt;
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One of the clarifying events - at least viewed from a distance of a couple of decades - was &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/April_9_tragedy&quot;&gt;the violence of April 9, 1989&lt;/a&gt; in Tbilisi, Georgia.&amp;nbsp; The demonstration that Soviet troops broke up by hacking their way through a crowd of protesters with sappers&#39; shovels was &lt;a href=&quot;http://poli.vub.ac.be/publi/ContBorders/eng/ch0103.htm&quot;&gt;at least in part a response to a gathering the previous month in the Abkhazian village of Lykhny&lt;/a&gt; calling for the Abkhazian ASSR no longer be a part of the Georgian SSR. This tragedy &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C7rg-a2KIc8&quot;&gt;still serves as a rallying point&lt;/a&gt; for Georgians who see the country&#39;s future free of Russian influence.&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;object height=&quot;338&quot; width=&quot;450&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;video&quot; value=&quot;http://static.video.yandex.ru/lite/dimoneremeev/6t051d45eg.2501/&quot;/&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;/&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;scale&quot; value=&quot;noscale&quot;/&gt;&lt;embed src=&quot;http://static.video.yandex.ru/lite/dimoneremeev/6t051d45eg.2501/&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;450&quot; height=&quot;338&quot; allowFullScreen=&quot;true&quot; scale=&quot;noscale&quot;&gt; &lt;/embed&gt;&lt;/object&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
In the aftermath of April 9, the Soviet government attempted to demonstrate its openness by conducting a public investigation - above is a clip from Vremya in 1989 in which a the country&#39;s deputy general prosecutor is interviewed about the progress of the investigation, and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.blogger.com/&quot;&gt;here is the final report&lt;/a&gt; of the &quot;Sobchak Commission&quot; - constituted by the Congress of People&#39;s Deputies and headed by&lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anatoly_Sobchak&quot;&gt; Anatoly Sobchak&lt;/a&gt;, who later became better known as the mayor of St. Petersburg and as a supporter of his former subordinate and protege, Vladimir Putin (Sobchak&#39;s name has lived on after his untimely death in 2000 as his daughter, TV personality and Paris-Hilton-like waste of space &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ksenia_Sobchak&quot;&gt;Ksenia Sobchak&lt;/a&gt;, has grown ever more infamous).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
But I digress.&amp;nbsp; The six cables I&#39;ve uploaded today are dated between April 6 and 13, 1989, and contain descriptions of the events in Abkhazia that motivated the Tbilisi demonstration and of the aftermath of the April 9 violence. &lt;br /&gt;
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They also show the difficulties U.S. diplomats based in Moscow faced in monitoring rapidly developing situations in far-flung republics and the degree to which they were forced to rely on potentially unreliable sources in informing Washington, as well as the surprising fact that aspirations on the part of some Georgians to join &quot;NATO&quot; were causing problems in Tbilisi&#39;s relationship with Moscow as far back as 1989.&amp;nbsp; Click on the titles below to view scans of the full cables (I decided to experiment with not embedding them from Scribd, as I think doing so may make the page load slower).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47933033/Political-Turmoil-in-Georgia-over-Abkhazia-April-6-1989&quot;&gt;Political Turmoil in Georgia over Abkhazia (April 6, 1989)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
ACADEMICIAN SAKHAROV (PROTECT) TOLD A NATO AMBASSADOR APRIL 3 THAT GEORGIAN SOURCES HE CONSIDERED RELIABLE REPORTED THAT TROOPS FROM TBILISI WERE DEPLOYED TO ABKHAZIA OVER THE APRIL 1 WEEKEND TO FORESTALL POSSIBLE ETHNIC DISTURBANCES AS A RESULT OF RISING ETHNIC TENSION THERE. GEORGIAN DISSIDENT SOURCES REPORTED THE SAME. SAKHAROV ALSO REPORTED HE HAD HEARD THERE WERE ANTI-GEORGIAN DEONSTRATIONS IN SUKHUMI MARCH 31, AND HE DREW A PARELLEL WITH THE SITUATION IN ABKHAZIA AND THAT IN NAGORNO-KARABAKH IN LATE 1987, I.E., BEFORE THE KARABAKH CRISIS BLEW UP. &lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47933034/Abkhazia-First-Secretary-Removed-Tbilisi-Demonstrations-Continue-April-10-1989&quot;&gt;Abkhazia First Secretary Removed; Tbilisi Demonstrations Continue (April 10, 1989)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
DEMONSTRATION ORGANIZERS HAVE SPLIT OVER THE RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF GEORGIAN INDEPENDENCE AND THE ABKHAZIA ISSUE. MODERATES IN THE IL&#39;YA CHAVCHAVADZE SOCIETY AND RUSTAVELLI [SIC] SOCIETY, AS WELL AS RADICALS IN THE SAINT IL&#39;YA SOCIETY, HAVE SOUGHT TO FOCUS PUBLIC ATTENTION ON ABKHAZIA. WHEREAS RADICALS IN THE NATIONAL DEMOCRATIC PARTY (NDP) AND NATIONAL INDEPENDENCE PARTY (NIM) INVOLVED IN ORGANIZING THE DEMONSTRATIONS HAVE REJECTED CALLS FOR A MASS INFLUX OF GEORGIANS TO ABKHAZIA AND HAVE EMPHASIZED THE GOAL OF GEORGIAN INDEPENDENCE FROM THE USSR. MODERATE GEORGIAN NATIONALIST ZURAB CHAVCHAVADZE, ADDRESSING DEMONSTRATORS APRIL 5, REPORTEDLY CALLED FOR ADLEYBA&#39;S REMOVAL. HUNGER STRIKERS IN FRONT OF THE GOVERNMENT HOUSE NUMBERED 170 ON THE EVENING OF APRIL 7, ACCORDING TO GEORGIAN DISSIDENT SOURCES.&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47933035/Soviet-Troops-Break-up-Tbilisi-Demonstration-at-Least-16-Dead-April-11-1989&quot;&gt;Soviet Troops Break up Tbilisi Demonstration; at Least 16 Dead (April 11, 1989)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
ACCORDING TO GEORGIAN DISSIDENT SOURCES, SPECIAL RIOT TROOPS DISPERSED WITH FORCE ABOUT 8000 DEMONSTRATORS IN FRONT OF THE TBILISI GOVERNMENT HOUSE AT 3 A.M. APRIL 9. THE TROOPS REPORTEDLY USED TEAR GAS, CLUBS AND SPADES (LOPATKY).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
ACCORDING TO AN AM[ERICAN] CIT[IZEN] (PROTECT) IN TBILISI, THE CROWD WAS DEMONSTRATING PEACEFULLY WHEN THE TROOPS MOVED IN. ONE GEORGIAN WOMAN REPORTEDLY THREW HERSELF IN FRONT OF AN APPROACHING TANK AND WAS CRUSHED. AN APRIL 9 TASS STATEMENT PUT THE DEATH TOLL AT 16 AND CLAIMED THEIR DEATHS RESULTED FROM BEING TRAMPLED BY THE CROWD WHEN SECURITY FORCES CLASHED WITH THE DEMONSTRATORS. [...]&lt;br /&gt;
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WE HOPE TO GET SEVERAL EMB[ASSY] OFF[ICIAL]S TO GEORGIA BY THE END OF THE WEEK TO TRY TO GET A CLEARER PICTURE OF WHAT APPEARS TO BE QUITE A TENSE SITUATION&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47933038/Georgian-Update-Situation-April-11-April-11-1989&quot;&gt;Georgian Update: Situation April 11 (April 11, 1989)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
SEVERAL GEORGIAN DISSIDENT SOURCES AND AM[ERICAN] CIT[IZEN] OBSERVERS HAVE SHARED WITH US THEIR VIEW THAT THE DECISION TO SEND IN TROOPS STEMMED FROM CONCERN THAT THE DEMONSTRATION, WHICH HAD BEGUN IN PROTEST AGAINST CALLS FOR ABKHAZIA&#39;S SECESSION FROM GEORGIA, HAD TAKEN AN ANTI-SOVIET AND ANTI-RUSSIAN TURN.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
DEMONSTRATION LEADERS DEMANDING GEORGIAN INDEPENDENCE AND BANNERS CALLING FOR REMOVAL OF RUSSIANS FROM GEORGIA HAD TOUCHED A RAW NERVE IN MOSCOW. IN THESE SOURCES&#39; VIEW, CALLS BY DEMONSTRATION SPEAKERS FOR AN INDEPENDENT GEORGIAN REPUBLIC&#39;S ADMISSION INTO THE &quot;UN&quot; AND &quot;NATO&quot; MUST HAVE PROVOKED THE SOVIET LEADERSHIP TO AGREE TO USE TROOPS TO DISPERSE THE DEMONSTRATORS.&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47933039/Georgia-Update-April-13-April-13-1989&quot;&gt;Georgia Update: April 13 (April 13, 1989)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
GEORGIAN INTELLECTUALS WERE CONCERNED OVER THE GROWING DISPARITY BETWEEN THE COVERAGE OF THE SOVIET CENTRAL MEDIA AND THE GEORGIAN MEDIA. FOR EXAMPLE, AN APRIL 12 ARTICLE IN &quot;KOMMUNIST&quot;, AN ORGAN OF THE GEORGIAN CC, DESCRIBED THE APRIL 9 DEMONSTRATION AS &quot;PEACEFUL AND NO THREAT TO PUBLIC SECURITY,&quot; WHILE THE CENTRAL PRESS (SEE TASS APRIL 12) ACCUSED DEMONSTRATION LEADERS OF RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE TRAGIC DEATHS, STATED OUR SOURCE. [...] &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
THE QUESTION OF INDEPENDENCE FOR NON-RUSSIAN REPUBLICS IS A SENSITIVE ONE FOR SOVIET LEADERS. GORBACHEV MADE CLEAR IN HIS APRIL 12 APPEAL TO THE GEORGIAN PEOPLE THAT HE REJECTS CALLS FOR GEORGIA INDEPENDENCE. SO FAR, HOWEVER, THE SOVIET MEDIA HAS REFRAINED FROM PUBLICLY ACCUSING WESTERN STATES OF FOMENTING NATIONALIST UNREST IN GEORGIA.&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;blockquote&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/full/47933040?access_key=key-1ahlomostzsmfvfm1iou&quot;&gt;Abkhazian Accusations Against Georgians (April 13, 1989)&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
EMBASSY HAS RECEIVED FROM A DISSIDENT SOURCE A COPY OF WHAT PURPORTS TO BE THE TEXT OF A STATEMENT NOW CIRCULATING IN ABKHAZIA ACCUSING GEORGIANS OF VIOLATING THE RIGHTS OF THE ABKHAZIAN PEOPLE. THE STATEMENT HAS REPORTEDLY BEEN SIGNED BY OVER 30,000 PERSONS, INCLUDING B.V. ADLEYBA, A DEPUTY&amp;nbsp;TO THE CONGRESS OF PEOPLE&#39;S DEPUTIES WHO WAS OUSTED AS ABKHAZIA OBKOM FIRST SECRETARY APRIL 6. [Text of statement follows].&lt;/blockquote&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/7072995205715873075/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/7072995205715873075?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7072995205715873075'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7072995205715873075'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/02/conflict-cables-series-abkhazia-and.html' title='Conflict Cables Series: Abkhazia and the April 1989 Events in Tbilisi'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj1bPwLjxUUZrnesOhTjhmtXU5g36U0FbLi4x2hmaFuZu-0E8dK3zrI15IIXxlwcRnx9Jb67mroGCgT8Y0ijaYkpp1Qpzo8_G3ZNC8WZTkV_hnyhbF-qlIttzTG02jvcySFn-Xjsg/s72-c/meore034.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-4151927826122877408</id><published>2011-01-30T23:03:00.001+00:00</published><updated>2011-02-08T04:19:41.851+00:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Conflict Cables"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transnistria"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Ukraine"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Молдова"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Приднестровье"/><title type='text'>Conflict Cables Series: Transdniester, October 1991</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;These three cables cover a fateful month in the development of the Transdniestrian conflict and Moldova&#39;s post-Soviet development in general.&amp;nbsp; This was the period when Igor Smirnov, who would go on to lead what became the secessionist Pridnestrovian Moldovan Republic for 20 years (so far), was released from the custody of Moldovan authorities and allowed to return to Tiraspol.&amp;nbsp; The first cable below goes into interesting detail about the problems presented by &quot;the Trans-Dniester&quot; and Gagauzia, as well as potential border issues with Ukraine.&lt;br /&gt;
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This was also a month when President Snegur was forced to cancel a visit to the U.S. due to unspecified domestic &quot;political problems.&quot;&amp;nbsp; As the second cable below shows, the visit was intended to familiarize U.S. business and political leaders with Moldova, something the Moldovan government is still working on today.&amp;nbsp; The second cable also contains a number of statements from official Chisinau about how Moldova saw its future status at that moment in time.&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;a (oct.=&quot;&quot; 1991)=&quot;&quot; 4,=&quot;&quot; href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47795461/Tiraspol-Blockade-Ended-Moldova-Avoiding-Confrontation-with-Secessionist-Republics-Oct-4-1991&quot; on=&quot;&quot; republics=&quot;&quot; scribd=&quot;&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Tiraspol Blockade Ended; Moldova Avoiding Confrontation with Secessionist &quot;&gt;Tiraspol Blockade Ended; Moldova Avoiding Confrontation with Secessionist &quot;Republics&quot; (Oct. 4, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_96769&quot; name=&quot;doc_96769&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47795461&amp;access_key=key-kptxdqaogvgb294hcup&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_96769&quot; name=&quot;doc_96769&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47795461&amp;access_key=key-kptxdqaogvgb294hcup&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;600&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt; &lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47795462/Moldovan-President-to-Visit-U-S-October-19-24-Oct-11-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Moldovan President to Visit U.S. October 19-24 (Oct. 11, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Moldovan President to Visit U.S. October 19-24 (Oct. 11, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_36057&quot; name=&quot;doc_36057&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47795462&amp;access_key=key-2b3rdhpb97mqeys4jm76&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_36057&quot; name=&quot;doc_36057&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47795462&amp;access_key=key-2b3rdhpb97mqeys4jm76&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47795463/Moldovan-President-Snegur-Cancels-U-S-Visit-Oct-18-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Moldovan President Snegur Cancels U.S. Visit (Oct. 18, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Moldovan President Snegur Cancels U.S. Visit (Oct. 18, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; id=&quot;doc_41603&quot; name=&quot;doc_41603&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;                &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47795463&amp;access_key=key-1ofskt0c5ils1yjw9mzv&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_41603&quot; name=&quot;doc_41603&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47795463&amp;access_key=key-1ofskt0c5ils1yjw9mzv&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;             &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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For more about the &quot;Conflict Cables&quot; series, see &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2011/01/conflict-cables-series-inaugural-post.html&quot;&gt;this post&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/4151927826122877408/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/4151927826122877408?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/4151927826122877408'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/4151927826122877408'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/01/conflict-cables-series-transdniester.html' title='Conflict Cables Series: Transdniester, October 1991'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-5875640669726593413</id><published>2011-01-29T05:59:00.002+00:00</published><updated>2011-02-08T04:20:24.425+00:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Conflict Cables"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="FOIA"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Молдова"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Приднестровье"/><title type='text'>Conflict Cables Series - Inaugural post</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;In the spring of 2008, I filed a number of requests under the Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) with the State Department, asking for cables related to the initial &quot;hot&quot; stages of the conflicts in Abkhazia, South Ossetia, Nagorno-Karabakh and Transdniester which have, over the years, come to be known first as &quot;frozen conflicts&quot; and nowadays as &quot;protracted conflicts.&quot;&amp;nbsp; The FOIA process took a couple of years, but in 2010 I finally received two large packages with documents responsive to my requests.&amp;nbsp; I am uploading them to Scribd and highlighting some of the more interesting ones on this blog.&lt;br /&gt;
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Unlike the Wikileaks cables, these documents were all obtained legally through the FOIA process, but that doesn&#39;t make them any less interesting.&amp;nbsp; Although I can&#39;t promise a juicy revelation in every one, I am pretty sure that most of them were previously classified and unreleased and therefore potentially have new information of interest to researchers interested in these conflicts.&amp;nbsp; In addition, a number of them mention one of the conflicts in the context of broader issues of the US approach to the collapse of the Soviet Union.&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUZ2zRKqFcnjz6TUIwQNszZJy7LwqELrbYOeCl9cIqPyAazqascWm1f9F09RsARr2UqYkBDanmOsLysdPY34CEqE5dVcZzUKutuFIGcct0UhmaQBP7Y_lZUe4vGVmIzjuPIfVtDA/s1600/445292.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUZ2zRKqFcnjz6TUIwQNszZJy7LwqELrbYOeCl9cIqPyAazqascWm1f9F09RsARr2UqYkBDanmOsLysdPY34CEqE5dVcZzUKutuFIGcct0UhmaQBP7Y_lZUe4vGVmIzjuPIfVtDA/s400/445292.jpg&quot; width=&quot;286&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://visualrian.com/images/item/445292&quot;&gt;image source - RIA Novosti&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Protest rally in Tiraspol, Sept. 1991; the sign reads, &quot;Ukraine and Russia, defend your citizens!&quot;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The batch of cables I am going to upload first was received in response to my request for documents related to the Transdniestria conflict.&amp;nbsp; Below are the first two cables in this batch.&amp;nbsp; In the first one, paragraph 11 describes a visit by U.S. officials to Tiraspol, where they met with Igor Smirnov, then Gorispolkom (city council) Chairman, as well as the &quot;recently named chairman of the &#39;Supreme Soviet of the Trans-Dniester Republic&#39;...and a number of other people whose functions were not entirely clear.&quot;&amp;nbsp; &quot;Smirnov treated pol[itical] off[icer]s with a degree of suspicion reminiscent of the Cold War days, asking why American diplomats were interested in coming to Tiraspol, and refusing to accept the standard replies.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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The second cable provides a brief assessment of the political situation in Moldova in the fall of 1991: &quot;The Moldovan government is steering a careful course between the Scylla of the breakaway Trans-Dnister and Gagauz &#39;republics&#39; and the Charybdis of militant pan-Romanian nationalists.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47758781/Increasing-Political-Polarization-in-Moldova-April-12-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Increasing Political Polarization in Moldova (April 12, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Increasing Political Polarization in Moldova (April 12, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;600&quot; id=&quot;doc_204917735917685&quot; name=&quot;doc_204917735917685&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;  &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47758781&amp;access_key=key-1p1ibpx52aqwt71hkrbj&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_204917735917685&quot; name=&quot;doc_204917735917685&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47758781&amp;access_key=key-1p1ibpx52aqwt71hkrbj&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;600&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;  &lt;/object&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scribd.com/doc/47758783/Moldova-A-Fragile-Stability-Endures-but-for-How-Long-Sep-28-1991&quot; style=&quot;display: block; font: 14px Helvetica,Arial,Sans-serif; margin: 12px auto 6px; text-decoration: underline;&quot; title=&quot;View Moldova: A Fragile Stability Endures, but for How Long? (Sep 28, 1991) on Scribd&quot;&gt;Moldova: A Fragile Stability Endures, but for How Long? (Sep 28, 1991)&lt;/a&gt; &lt;object data=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot; height=&quot;600&quot; id=&quot;doc_635944963956899&quot; name=&quot;doc_635944963956899&quot; style=&quot;outline: medium none;&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot;&gt;  &lt;param name=&quot;movie&quot; value=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;wmode&quot; value=&quot;opaque&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;bgcolor&quot; value=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowFullScreen&quot; value=&quot;true&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;allowScriptAccess&quot; value=&quot;always&quot;&gt;&lt;param name=&quot;FlashVars&quot; value=&quot;document_id=47758783&amp;access_key=key-258v6ugfyumarzea5u6i&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot;&gt;&lt;embed id=&quot;doc_635944963956899&quot; name=&quot;doc_635944963956899&quot; src=&quot;http://d1.scribdassets.com/ScribdViewer.swf?document_id=47758783&amp;access_key=key-258v6ugfyumarzea5u6i&amp;page=1&amp;viewMode=list&quot; type=&quot;application/x-shockwave-flash&quot; allowscriptaccess=&quot;always&quot; allowfullscreen=&quot;true&quot; height=&quot;600&quot; width=&quot;100%&quot; wmode=&quot;opaque&quot; bgcolor=&quot;#ffffff&quot;&gt;&lt;/embed&gt;  &lt;/object&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/5875640669726593413/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/5875640669726593413?isPopup=true' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/5875640669726593413'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/5875640669726593413'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/01/conflict-cables-series-inaugural-post.html' title='Conflict Cables Series - Inaugural post'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhUZ2zRKqFcnjz6TUIwQNszZJy7LwqELrbYOeCl9cIqPyAazqascWm1f9F09RsARr2UqYkBDanmOsLysdPY34CEqE5dVcZzUKutuFIGcct0UhmaQBP7Y_lZUe4vGVmIzjuPIfVtDA/s72-c/445292.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-1789351508122622469</id><published>2011-01-29T00:13:00.000+00:00</published><updated>2011-01-29T00:13:12.192+00:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Admin"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transnistria"/><title type='text'>The Return</title><content type='html'>&lt;div dir=&quot;ltr&quot; style=&quot;text-align: left;&quot; trbidi=&quot;on&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiwXQW30aI5QOoJ5ZlRTNrLHQPQzUyB0xJU5ONP_tqFy0z8FYc9fvnBj6_dy6KKJeVz5UbtHsVvhBdcZNB-bYedg3gnLIutaXC_Jy-qHc4sWll2dMlNBExgp3vzG86wT0EEgtmdrw/s1600/guess_whos_back_tshirt-p235120811346951600q6xn_400.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;320&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiwXQW30aI5QOoJ5ZlRTNrLHQPQzUyB0xJU5ONP_tqFy0z8FYc9fvnBj6_dy6KKJeVz5UbtHsVvhBdcZNB-bYedg3gnLIutaXC_Jy-qHc4sWll2dMlNBExgp3vzG86wT0EEgtmdrw/s320/guess_whos_back_tshirt-p235120811346951600q6xn_400.jpg&quot; width=&quot;320&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://thearablog.wordpress.com/2010/04/23/oh-ya/&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
It&#39;s hard to believe it&#39;s been almost four months since I posted anything here.&amp;nbsp; The fourth quarter of last year was filled with &lt;a href=&quot;http://lukoil.com/press.asp?div_id=1&amp;amp;id=3342&amp;amp;year=2010&quot;&gt;work&lt;/a&gt;, &lt;a href=&quot;http://rt.com/business/news/norimet-nornickel-stillwater-mining/&quot;&gt;work&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.thelawyer.com/cc-akin-gump-scoop-lukoil-bond-issue-as-capital-markets-improve/1006729.article&quot;&gt;work&lt;/a&gt;, but that&#39;s no excuse. Scraps of Moscow is back for 2011 and hoping to provide better content than ever with a new series of posts to be launched over the weekend.&amp;nbsp; My focus, as before, will be on the &quot;protracted conflict&quot; areas in the post-Soviet space, with other topics to be covered including the domestic politics in Moldova and Russia - both of which promise to be interesting this year.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In the meantime, I was remiss last year in not sharing any of my non-blog writing about the region, which included some thoughts on &lt;a href=&quot;http://news.az/articles/19519&quot;&gt;Karabakh&lt;/a&gt; as well as co-authored opinion pieces on &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://carnegieendowment.org/publications/index.cfm?fa=view&amp;amp;id=41467&quot;&gt;Why Moldova Matters&lt;/a&gt;&quot; (&lt;a href=&quot;http://inosmi.ru/moldova/20100902/162627167.html&quot;&gt;Russian version&lt;/a&gt;) and on &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.themoscowtimes.com/opinion/article/thawing-the-frozen-conflict-in-transdnestr/412483.html&quot;&gt;Transdniester&lt;/a&gt; (&lt;a href=&quot;http://inosmi.ru/moldova/20100824/162398616.html&quot;&gt;Russian version&lt;/a&gt;).&amp;nbsp; If you&#39;re interested in a longer read, an article I co-authored with a mouthful of a title - &quot;Acquiring Assets, Debts and Citizens: Russia and the Micro-Foundations of Transnistria&#39;s Stalemated Conflict&quot; - was published in the &lt;a href=&quot;http://heldref.metapress.com/app/home/issue.asp?referrer=parent&amp;amp;backto=journal,2,29;browsepublicationsresults,11,48;&quot;&gt;Fall 2010 issue of Demokratizatsiya&lt;/a&gt; but is unfortunately not available online.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
I&#39;m still trying to figure out how to usefully integrate some of the content from my&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.facebook.com/lyndon.allin&quot;&gt; Facebook wall&lt;/a&gt; into this space - an friend recently referred to it as my &quot;Facebook blog,&quot; which is accurate given the amount of links posted and comment discussions that erupt there.&amp;nbsp; I guess the simplest way is just to be less lazy and do a three-sentence blog post when I see an interesting article instead of a one-sentence comment with a shared link on FB.&amp;nbsp; Stay tuned...&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/1789351508122622469/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/1789351508122622469?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/1789351508122622469'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/1789351508122622469'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2011/01/return.html' title='The Return'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiwXQW30aI5QOoJ5ZlRTNrLHQPQzUyB0xJU5ONP_tqFy0z8FYc9fvnBj6_dy6KKJeVz5UbtHsVvhBdcZNB-bYedg3gnLIutaXC_Jy-qHc4sWll2dMlNBExgp3vzG86wT0EEgtmdrw/s72-c/guess_whos_back_tshirt-p235120811346951600q6xn_400.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-8027709427095751548</id><published>2010-09-03T22:16:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2010-09-04T03:20:35.820+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Abkhazia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Caucasus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="South Ossetia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Абхазия"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Грузия"/><title type='text'></title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrQ_7cvBDiLJbljJwXUO06_lrhbJ3VD7BeT0_JGrBGRmBqqKIxCy1M9bXx1z0BOWYFLDl8jNK3aMh5yZGuZxPS3_xTts9fhA-lh0SSUrXgN9Drdvk2DYsKb-BdLRsBZ08FUXbODA/s1600/269087438.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;555&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrQ_7cvBDiLJbljJwXUO06_lrhbJ3VD7BeT0_JGrBGRmBqqKIxCy1M9bXx1z0BOWYFLDl8jNK3aMh5yZGuZxPS3_xTts9fhA-lh0SSUrXgN9Drdvk2DYsKb-BdLRsBZ08FUXbODA/s640/269087438.jpg&quot; width=&quot;640&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://rian.ru/infografika/20100826/269093384.html&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/div&gt;&lt;blockquote&gt;Moskovskiy Komsomolets&lt;br /&gt;
August 25, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
Commentary by Marina Pervozkina: Thanks to Everyone, Everyone Is Free. South Ossetia and Abkhazia are gradually gaining independence from Russia. [Translation from JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
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&quot;Abkhazia is less dependent on Russia than Russia is on Abkhazia,&quot; one of the popular Abkhaz newspapers wrote recently. And the impression sometimes forms that the author was right on target. In any case, the elites of both the republics recognized by Russia often behave as if these words were inscribed on their family seal. Abkhazia and South Ossetia increasingly recall the willful beauty who condescendingly receives gifts from her long-standing, loyal suitor at the same time as her eyes are darting around looking for other interesting partners. And as always happens in such cases, the alternative is quickly found.&lt;br /&gt;
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The Quiet American&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;I think that he (Mikheil Saakashvili -- author) used the confrontation with Russia for personal goals: to muffle the voices of the discontented people in his own country. I hope that Saakashvili realized what harm he did to his own country, losing Abkhazia and South Ossetia in this way. After all, in this situation there will no longer be a road back.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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&quot;Kremlin propaganda again,&quot; some progressive reader will say involuntarily. And he will almost be right: such thoughts were heard on the official level in Russia so often that they became a kind of cliche that already seems almost improper somehow.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nonetheless, these words, spoken just before the second anniversary of the August war, were a real sensation. After all, the person acting as the mouthpiece for Kremlin propaganda on this occasion is called the &quot;shadow architect of American foreign policy&quot; by well-informed people. And some consider him one of the most authoritative representatives of the American intelligence community. And not without grounds: Paul Goble (the quotation cited above belongs to him) in fact worked for a long time in the CIA, then served as an associate of the US State Department&#39;s Bureau of Research and Intelligence and as deputy director of broadcasting for Radio Liberty/Free Europe. He is considered one of the best experts on the Caucasus and inter-ethnic conflicts in post-Soviet space. In short, the classic &quot;quiet American.&quot; Very quiet and very influential.&lt;br /&gt;
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The significance of a person is best illustrated by the legends that surround him. There is a story that circulates about Goble, that supposedly the speaker and the prime minister of Armenia, who died at the hands of terrorists in October 1999, were paid back for rejecting the so-called Goble plan to settle the Karabakh conflict. We are sure that this is malicious slander.&lt;br /&gt;
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And if such a complex person says publicly, &quot;I think that on the threshold of the conflict Saakashvili misinterpreted statements by the US president and secretary of state... He did not hear at all what we had in mind. I hope that the American authorities are aware of the harm Saakashvili caused by his actions. We did not need that war,&quot; this certainly bodes no good for Saakashvili. It may already be time for him to look for a job in a quiet provincial American university. Just in case.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
But here is the most interesting thing: &quot;I believe in the right of nations to self-determination,&quot; Mr. Goble says. &quot;And I am sure that Abkhazia has demonstrated its possibility of realizing this right in practice.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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But what will happen with the territorial integrity of Georgia, for which official Washington is constantly affirming its support? The events of recent years have shown that for the Americans the integrity of other countries is always a relative value. When a probable enemy or its ally loses integrity it is welcomed. The examples of the USSR and Yugoslavia are known to all. But while the USSR collapsed relatively peacefully (&quot;just&quot; a few tens of thousands killed in Tajikistan, Abkhazia, the Dniester region, and South Ossetia), everything was much worse in Yugoslavia. At first glance US policy toward Slobodan Milosevic looked somewhat schizophrenic: after all, in its time Yugoslavia was the most pro-Western country in the socialist camp and had difficult relations with Moscow while Milosevic himself up to a certain time seemed to be a completely loyal client of Washington. He made concessions easily, in fact surrendered Serbian Krajna, and declared an economic blockade of the Bosnian Serbs (how can we help recalling here the multi-year blockade of Abkhazia by the Russian Federation?). But here is the paradox: the more Milosevic gave away, the less the West liked him. Ultimately the Serbs even gave up Milosevic himself, but they still took Kosovo away from them. The poor devils simply did not understand that it was not a matter of Milosevic, but of themselves -- the West does not need a strong, unified Serbia, which sooner or later will return to its traditional role as Russia&#39;s outpost in the Balkans.&lt;br /&gt;
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But whereas everything is clear with Serbia, Turkey is, after all, a reliable ally and strategic partner of the Americans. And therefore the Americans&#39; support of Kurdish separatism in Iraq is, from the Turkish point of view, completely beyond good and evil. I took a look at the Kurdish website yesterday, and saw there threats to secede from Iraq with highly promising commentary: &quot;And if the Kurds slam the door, glass will fly across the whole region.&quot; In connection with which very alluring prospects could open up for Turkish Kurdistan. And how is Georgia better than Turkey?&lt;br /&gt;
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Normal Heroes Always Take the Bypass&lt;br /&gt;
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It is not only no better, but even in some respects worse: Georgia, an Orthodox country like Serbia, was a reliable supporter of the Russians during the Caucasus war and together they wiped out the mountain rebels, who are brothers in spirit and faith with the Kosovo terrorists, the United States&#39; current strategic partners. So who will sort them out, the Georgians? Where will their sun rise tomorrow? Half of the North Caucasus is related by kin to the Abkhazes.&lt;br /&gt;
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Of course, from the standpoint of America&#39;s strategic interests it would be best if a united Georgia including Abkhazia and South Ossetia joined NATO. But the West is starting to understand that it is probably impossible for Abkhazes and Georgians to live in one state. That means it is necessary to &quot;enter&quot; already independent Abkhazia maybe as a carcass, maybe as a scarecrow, maybe as an embassy if nothing else works.&lt;br /&gt;
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&quot;For Moscow the worst development of the situation in the Caucasus is if the West, and the United States in particular, decides to recognize Abkhazia and South Ossetia,&quot; Mr. Goble says. &quot;Picture 27 embassies of the NATO members in Sukhum. No doubt the Russian authorities would be horrified at that. Then after all, there are others in Russia who would like self-determination -- Dagestan, for example. I do not rule out such a development of events. I hope that we greet the 10th anniversary of the conflict between Russia and Georgia in a significantly calmer state. There will be fewer comments on Russian aggression, and more embassies of foreign states in Sukhum. I do not know if there will be an American Embassy among them. That, of course, is a very bold dream.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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Paul Goble is undoubtedly a brilliant analyst and a master strategist. He set forth a perfectly realistic plan to &quot;nullify&quot; Russia&#39;s August victory: reorient Abkhazia to the West and turn it into a Mecca for North Caucasian separatists. This is not fantasy. Suffice it to recall the Gorskaya (Mountain) Republic that was declared after the fall of the Russian Empire. It included Abkhazia, Ossetia, and five other republics of the North Caucasus. The ideas of the Gorskaya Republic were reborn after the fall of the Union. In November 1991 Sukhum was declared the capital of the Confederation of Mountain Peoples of the Caucasus. During the war with Georgia representatives of all the national movements of the North Caucasus fought on the Abkhaz side. The minister of defense of war-time Abkhazia was Sultan Sosnaliyev, a Kabardin, and Shamil Basayev was his deputy. Kabardin and Chechen battalions played a decisive part in the war. Afterw ard those same Chechens, having become battle hardened on the fronts of Abkhazia, fought against Russian troops.&lt;br /&gt;
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Highly-placed people I spoke with in Sukhum told me that even before the August events representatives of Western countries in private conversation hinted on occasion that Abkhazia&#39;s main problem was its pro-Russian orientation. &quot;If the Abkhazes turn their faces to the West, anything is possible, including international recognition&quot; -- according to my interlocutors that is how these emissaries talked.&lt;br /&gt;
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&quot;If the &#39;restoration&#39; of Georgian rule is a fantasy, accordingly it is essential to prevent Abkhazia from finally falling under Russia&#39;s power,&quot; the journalist Neal Ascherson writes in his article entitled &quot;Abkhazia and the Caucasus: the West&#39;s Choice,&quot; which was posted on the Open Democracy website. &quot;The West is facing an urgent need to arrange direct contacts with Abkhazia -- economic, social, and cultural contacts -- and to get access to Abkhaz ports. That will help Abkhazia emerge from isolation.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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News from the Field&lt;br /&gt;
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As for South Ossetia, in the opinion of Western analysts it has fewer grounds for independence. Small territory, small population. And geographic position: South Ossetia is a &quot;dagger aimed at Tbilisi,&quot; an ideal launching point for an invasion of Georgia. But the main thing is that North Ossetia is located in the Russian Federation. In this connection (I am again speaking on the basis of the words of participants in events who hold high positions in the Ossetian elite) on numerous occasions the Ossetians have been told unofficially that if North Ossetia unites with South Ossetia and withdraws from Russia, such a united Ossetia could well expect international recognition.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
This idea is not at all as utopian as it seems.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In Tskhinval today we observe a paradoxical situation. While South Ossetia, its people, and the whole elite are entirely dependent on our maintenance -- in the war-ravaged republic nothing is working, there are no domestic sources of income at all, and even its security depends entirely on Russia -- Moscow cannot resolve a single significant problem there. Not even monitor the expenditure of its own money or protect its own people. Moscow (and according to my information the Russian premier personally) was even unable to get Mr. Kokoyty to dismiss South Ossetian officials who were caught stealing and whose names were known. The story of former health minister Nuzgar Gabarayev, who distributed Russian financial aid, is illustrative. His name has already become part of the language in the republic. After Moscow protege Vadim Brovtsev sent Gabarayev into retirement, President Kokoyty appointed him his own state counselor. Evidently an indispensable personage. Even more illustrative is the story of General Barankevich, who Moscow wanted very much to appoint to be head of the MVK (interdepartmental commission on the restoration of South Ossetia), but COULD NOT. In other words, in this case terribly dependent and very proud Tskhinval, living entirely on our money, was actually able to influence our internal personnel policy. At the same time we cannot influence Tskhinval&#39;s. I would say that this is the apotheosis of impudence.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There is an analogous situation in Abkhazia, where Moscow is unsuccessfully trying to get the property rights of Russian citizens who were illegally deprived of their housing restored. In order to avoid misunderstanding, I will emphasize that we are not talking here about the property of Georgian refugees. Their problems should be the subject of bilateral talks between Georgia and Abkhazia. It is those for whom the Russian government is fighting, principally Russians, Armenians, Greeks, and the like. Many of them never left Abkhazia at all.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In these very days another scandal has flared up. Sukhum rejected a document sent to it by the MID RF (Russian Federation Ministry of Foreign Affairs) entitled &quot;Concept of the Work of the Joint Russian-Abkhaz Commission on Questions of Restorin g the Property Rights of Citizens of the Russian Federation in the Republic of Abkhazia.&quot; We will recall that the decision to form such a commission was reached in Moscow after an article published in MK (Moskovskiy Komsomolets) made the problem a matter of public record. Before this, according to our information, the MID RF and the Russian Embassy in Sukhum had sent several diplomatic notes to the Abkhaz side (dated 25 November 2008, 19 March 2009, 22 April 2009, and 31 July 2009). President Medvedev and foreign minister Lavrov discussed the problem with the president of Abkhazia. Sergey Baghapsh pointed out to the chiefs of local administrations the necessity of &quot;taking a hard line with seizures of property.&quot; However, nothing happened. Not one of the protagonists of our article has gotten his apartment back at this point.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
At the same time strange articles are appearing in the Abkhaz press in which the plans to form the commission are called &quot;anti-state and anti-Abkhaz,&quot; while giving people back property that was fraudulently taken from them is considered a threat to the Abkhaz people. The Abkhazes never tire of repeating that their foreign policy must be multi-vectored, that they are not some pathetic outpost of Russia, but a sovereign state with its own interests. Thus if there is a change in the West&#39;s position on the issue of Abkhaz independence, Moscow stands a good chance of being left empty-handed.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
And if we close our eyes to the problems that already exist in relations with our Abkhaz and Ossetian partners, it is not impossible that some day museums &quot;of the Russian occupation&quot; will open on the central squares of Sukhum and Tskhinval.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
God forbid, of course. &lt;/blockquote&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/8027709427095751548/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/8027709427095751548?isPopup=true' title='3 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8027709427095751548'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8027709427095751548'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/09/image-source-moskovskiy-komsomolets.html' title=''/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjrQ_7cvBDiLJbljJwXUO06_lrhbJ3VD7BeT0_JGrBGRmBqqKIxCy1M9bXx1z0BOWYFLDl8jNK3aMh5yZGuZxPS3_xTts9fhA-lh0SSUrXgN9Drdvk2DYsKb-BdLRsBZ08FUXbODA/s72-c/269087438.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>3</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-8718915678402959737</id><published>2010-08-11T22:36:00.011+01:00</published><updated>2010-08-12T03:47:32.122+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Abkhazia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Абхазия"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Грузия"/><title type='text'>Reacting to Medvedev&#39;s visit to Abkhazia - and to the S-300 deployment</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://cast.ru/files/The_Tanks_of_August_map_sm.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;474&quot; src=&quot;http://cast.ru/files/The_Tanks_of_August_map_sm.jpg&quot; width=&quot;640&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://cast.ru/files/The_Tanks_of_August_map_sm.jpg&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&lt;i&gt;The article below is a good read, and &lt;a href=&quot;http://rt.com/Politics/2010-08-09/roar-medvedevs-visit-abkhazia.html&quot;&gt;this RT press review of coverage of Medvedev&#39;s visit&lt;/a&gt; to Abkhazia is also worth checking out if you are interested in how this story played.&amp;nbsp; Neither takes into account today&#39;s news about Russia &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.jamestown.org/programs/edm/single/?tx_ttnews[tt_news]=36734&amp;amp;tx_ttnews[backPid]=27&amp;amp;cHash=683b662922&quot;&gt;deploying an S-300 air defense system in Abkhazia&lt;/a&gt;, which has the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.rian.ru/mlitary_news/20100811/160161949.html&quot;&gt;Georgians up in arms&lt;/a&gt; and has received &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.politico.com/blogs/bensmith/0810/All_Georgians.html&quot;&gt;more coverage&lt;/a&gt; than I think it merits - after all, the State Dept claims they&#39;ve known the Russians have had this system up and running there &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.civil.ge/eng/article.php?id=22588&quot;&gt;for the past two years&lt;/a&gt;... &lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Kommersant, August 9, 2010 [translation from JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
Report by Zaur Farniyev in Tskhinvali et al.: &quot;Two Years Later: Trans-Caucasus Mark Second Anniversary of 2008 Events&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
South Ossetia, Abkhazia, and Georgia marked the second anniversary of the August 2008 war differently. South Ossetian President Eduard Kokoyty made his fellow countrymen happy with the news that the deputies of the Latvian Seim had raised the question of recognition for South Ossetia. For the first time since its recognition by Moscow, Abkhazia had a visit from Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev. And Georgian head Mikheil Saakashvili went to distant Colombia in order to avert further recognition of Tskhinvali and Sokhumi in Latin America.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Video Conference on Recognition&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Unlike last year, South Ossetia&#39;s leadership decided to scale things down. This time, there was almost nothing in Tskhinvali to remind anyone that two years had passed since the war that brought the republic its independence.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Within the framework of memorial events, the authorities organized an excursion to the places where the greatest number of civilians, citizen soldiers, and Russian soldiers died in 2008. The departure was delayed by nearly an hour. On the square in front of the train station, located several meters from the Alan Hotel, where most of the reporters were housed, they were searching for a bomb. Apparently, at seven in the morning, an unknown woman called a Moscow police station to tell them of an imminent terrorist act in Tskhinvali.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Meanwhile sources close to the government reported that President Eduard Kokoyty would not be at the site of the first flower laying because he was &quot;holding a video conference with Latvia.&quot; The republic chief was indeed in touch with representatives of the Ossetian diaspora and deputies from the Latvian Seim by video conference. &quot;Both my fellow countrymen and the Latvian deputies expressed their condolences to the people of South Ossetia,&quot; Mr. Kokoyty later related, after which he reported the main sensation: several Seim deputies had brought up for consideration by their colleagues the issue of recognition for South Ossetia. &quot;This is a necessary step,&quot; the president commented, adding that only with the help of a few Western countries &quot;will the Saakashvili regime feel its own impunity.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
President Kokoyty and members of his government and administration laid flowers at the entrance to School No. 6, where North Ossetian native Aslan Aguzarov died. He had attempted to shield the women and children hiding in the school basement on the night of 7-8 August 2008. Aslan Aguzarov was posthumously awarded South Ossetia&#39;s highest honor, the Order of Uatsamong. Flowers were laid in several other places in Tskhinvali as well.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Later, on a bypass near the village of Khetagurovo, which suffered more than any other during the war, Eduard Kokoyty unveiled the Tree of Grief memorial, which looks like a tree a little taller than a person and instead of leaves has little bells that tinkle when the wind blows. Ten meters away from it are the frames of 20 warped automobiles. &quot;These are those who tried to leave Tskhinvali at the very beginning of the invasion,&quot; local residents explain. &quot;But they failed. Nearly all the vehicles were destroyed by Georgian tanks.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In the evening, on Tskhinvali&#39;s main square, the last memorial event was held; an academic orchestra from Moscow played a requiem.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
August Theses&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The main guest at the events in Abkhazia was Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev. He flew in yesterday to Sokhumi unexpectedly. The president&#39;s visit, his first to Abkhazia since Moscow recognized this republic&#39;s independence, was kept secret until the moment Russian flight number one landed at the Sokhumi airport. &quot;Sergey Baghapsh (Abkhazia&#39;s head -- Kommersant) has long been inviting Dmitriy Medvedev to visit the republic, and now he ha s taken him up on the invitation,&quot; Natalya Timakova, the Russian president&#39;s press secretary, explained to Kommersant.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
At the very beginning of his talks with Mr. Baghapsh, Dmitriy Medvedev emphasized the two main theses he wanted to bring out with his visit. First, the decision to bring Russian troops into South Ossetia in August 2008 and the subsequent recognition of Sokhumi and Tskhinvali &quot;was difficult and complicated but, as time has shown, correct.&quot; Second, Russia intends to continue to develop &quot;good relations with Abkhazia&quot; in the areas of economics, politics, and security. Over the course of the several hours of his stay in Abkhazia, the Russian president returned more than once to these two theses.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
At the end of the talks, Dmitriy Medvedev and Sergey Baghapsh, now without ties and jackets, headed for the U Akopa coffeehouse on the Sokhumi embankment, where there were many Russian tourists at that time. &quot;May we join you?&quot; Mr. Medvedev asked, and he immediately sat down with the vacationers. The Russian president asked how their vacation was going in Abkhazia. They started vying with each other to say how marvelous it was here, what wonderful air there was, and in general how well they were living at the Moscow Military District&#39;s Sukhum sanatorium. Sergey Baghapsh even laughed: &quot;Of course, we aren&#39;t going to hear anything bad from them now.&quot; But the tourists tried to convince the presidents that they were speaking sincerely, and at the same time they asked Mr. Medvedev about the fate of the Sukhum sanatorium.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;Let&#39;s ask the defense minister about this right now!&quot; The Russian president turned to Anatoliy Serdyukov, who had accompanied him on the trip. The head of the military department assured them that the Russian Defense Ministry sanatorium in Abkhazia would be restored and would operate as before.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Mr. Medvedev promised the coffeehouse&#39;s customers that Russia would be rendering assistance to Abkhazia in restoring the airport and air traffic, since &quot;that would be more convenient.&quot; In general, he said, Abkhazia had every opportunity to become a tourist center on the Black Sea coast and occupy &quot;its own niche&quot; here. &quot;Simply restoring Soviet service is the wrong way to go,&quot; the Russian president explained. &quot;It has to be comparable to Turkey.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Before leaving U Akopa, Dmitriy Medvedev once again repeated that Russia was not going to abandon Abkhazia, and turning to Sergey Baghapsh sitting next to him, he commented, &quot;But they themselves must try, too. Will you?&quot; The Abkhazian president seemed stung. &quot;We are.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
After the coffeehouse Dmitriy Medvedev and Sergey Baghapsh spent some time at the Abkhazian State Philharmonic and the second Russian school, which were restored with Russian investments. At the Memorial to the Glory of Those Who Died in 1992-1993 for Abkhazia&#39;s Freedom, Mr. Medvedev once again recalled his two-year-old decision. &quot;We acted correctly. We saved people and prevented a bloodbath here,&quot; he said. He repeated this same thought during his visit to the Russian military base in Gudaut. Were it not for the help of Russian military personnel, &quot;many of them (civilians -- Kommersant) would simply not be among the living,&quot; the Russian president said. &quot;Russian soldiers in Abkhazia and South Ossetia are not letting extremist forces foist their own approaches, sow enmity and hatred, and shed blood,&quot; he added.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;The Russian president&#39;s visit to Abkhazia is more a political visit than a trip filled with specific content,&quot; a source in the Kremlin explained to Kommersant. &quot;The goal of the visit is to emphasize the Russian Federation&#39;s political and military presence in the region.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Battle for America&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Tbilisi reacted harshly to the Russian president&#39;s visit to Abkhazia. &quot;They are continuing to play a lost game,&quot; Temur Ya kobashvili, Georgia&#39;s deputy prime minister and minister of reintegration, stated. &quot;These territories have been recognized as occupied, and trips like this do not change anything or add anything positive for the region.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The anniversary of the five-day war was marked in Georgia on 7 August, since it is this date that Tbilisi considers to be the beginning of military actions. &quot;On the night of 6-7 August 2008, fire from Ossetian artillery coming from Dzhava (a village not far from the Russian Federation border -- Kommersant) and from Tskhinvali almost totally destroyed the Georgian village of Avnevi,&quot; Mikhail Machavariani, deputy chair of the Georgian parliament, told Kommersant. &quot;At the same time we have received incontrovertible reports that a column of Russian troops crossed the border at the Roki tunnel on the night of 6-7 August.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It is worth noting that on 7 August of this year President Mikheil Saakashvili was in distant Colombia, where he participated in the inauguration of that country&#39;s new president, Juan Manuel Santos. &quot;The problem is that two states in Latin America, Venezuela and Nicaragua, have recognized the independence of Abkhazia and South Ossetia,&quot; political analyst David Avalishvili explained to Kommersant. &quot;Therefore the president could not let slip a chance to meet with other leaders of Latin America and convince them not to follow the example of Hugo Chavez and Daniel Ortega.&quot; Nevertheless, on the evening of 7 August, Georgian television showed Mikheil Saakashvili&#39;s speech, recorded on the backdrop of the Colombian capital, in which he promised that &quot;the battle for Georgia&#39;s deoccupation would continue to the end.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Georgian authorities organized their main memorial events in the village of Ganmukhuri, on the border with Abkhazia, and in Gori, 25 km from South Ossetia. Not far from Ganmukhuri the authorities have built the Anaklia resort, and Parliamentary Speaker David Bakradze has opened a new hotel there. Right now hundreds of teenagers are vacationing at the resort, including from Belarus, and the arrival there of young Belarussians, naturally, is at the center of attention for the Georgian media. A memorial concert was held at the new hotel, and Bolshoy Theater tenor Zurab Sotkilava sang. The honored guests included former Lithuanian President Valdas Adamkus, who actively supported Georgia in August 2008 and whose name now is on the riverside boulevard in Anaklia. This boulevard ends right at the Georgian-Abkhazian border, which since August 2008 has been guarded by Russian border guards, who have watched what was going on in Ganmukhuri through binoculars.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
While in Gori several thousand young people holding candles formed the outline of Georgia&#39;s borders. Including Abkhazia and South Ossetia, naturally.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/8718915678402959737/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/8718915678402959737?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8718915678402959737'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8718915678402959737'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/08/image-source-article-below-is-good-read.html' title='Reacting to Medvedev&#39;s visit to Abkhazia - and to the S-300 deployment'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-6861272078167495372</id><published>2010-08-11T21:32:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2010-08-12T02:59:21.328+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><title type='text'>The hardy and pernicious myth of Western designs on Russia</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://img0.liveinternet.ru/images/attach/c/1/49/78/49078450_38221.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;475&quot; src=&quot;http://img0.liveinternet.ru/images/attach/c/1/49/78/49078450_38221.jpg&quot; width=&quot;640&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Pundit Sees Attempts to Incite Anti-Western Sentiment as Threat to Russia Itself&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nezavisimaya Gazeta [translation from JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
August 4, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
Article by Georgiy Mirskiy: &quot;Patriots&#39; Fears -- West Not At All Interested in Weakening Russia&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
[Institute of World Economy and International Relations]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;People want to weaken Russia ... what do you mean weaken it - they want to crush, dismember, subordinate it...&quot; Who among us has not heard such cries? Journalists, TV and radio commentators, parliamentarians, generals, and professors compete with one another in their attempts to convince the Russian people that the West - and especially America - dreams only of causing catastrophic damage to our country, destroying it, taking things away from it. What is particularly interesting is the more our relationship with Western countries improves, the more vigorous and vociferous the counterattack becomes of those who implore: &quot;Do not believe this! It is all lies! They are undermining our vigilance, they want to trap us!&quot; And this mass brainwashing that has lasted for many years must inevitably produce results. In one opinion poll, almost a third of those who answered thought it possible that AIDS had been deliberately brought into Russia by the Americans.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In part, this has been happening since ancient times. In the century before last, when Queen Victoria ruled Britain, if Russia suffered any foreign policy failure, people usually said: &quot;The Englishwoman is playing dirty tricks on us&quot;. In the Soviet era, it was customary to use one word to explain any accident - &quot;saboteurs&quot;. Generally speaking, the attitude of Russian people to the West has always been ambivalent. Even two hundred or three hundred years ago, they knew that life in Europe was better, even much better. It was an axiom, just as people have always been convinced that customs in Russia will continue to remain as foul as they have ever been. You may recall Saltykov-Shchedrin: &quot;Everybody steals, and at the same time everyone laughs loudly and says: well, where else do you see such an outrage?&quot; But in order to compensate for this inferiority complex, it was necessary to develop the opposite complex - a superiority complex. A few years ago, viewers on one of the central TV channels were asked why it was that we had beaten Germany but the Germans lived better than us. Most of the votes, almost 40 %, went to the answer: &quot;On the other hand, we are more heartfelt&quot;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The conviction that everyone hates Russia and wants to play all kinds of dirty tricks on it is not based on any facts. The author has worked in America for nine years, has talked to the most varied of people, from former high-ranking individuals to black drivers on the Princeton University minibus. I have never heard anything bad about our country, on the contrary - there has always been only one leitmotif to their statements: &quot;How can it be that Russia, such a great country, with such a great culture, with such talented people, with such natural riches, has finally got rid of totalitarianism, obtained its freedom, but we still get bad news from there?&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Of course, there are Russophobes in the West, just as there are anti-Semites and Islamophobes. But anti-American sentiment is also widespread throughout the world, it is enough to talk to French people, Turks, or Latinos; for example, I only actually know of two nations that really have a warm attitude towards America - the Poles and the Iraqi Kurds. But the Americans do not suffer from any complex because this. And we have no reason to complain about a bad attitude by foreigners; if our people do not themselves misbehave, they have a right to expect friendliness and benevolence everywhere.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
I can foresee at least two objections: firstly, Americans and Europeans may not have anything against the Russians as a people, but they hate our regime, our state, and, secondly, even if the ordinary people there have some sympathy for us this is not of any significance - the position of politicians, capitalists, and the military is what is important. Well, what can be said in response to this.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It is true that people in America and Britain, for example, do not much like our regime. But do you think that they actually adore their own regimes? They curse them and change them every few years. And in any case, the words &quot;regime&quot; and &quot;love&quot; should not be combined at all, at least in democratic societies. It is usually only dictators and despots who are loved. Liking a ruler of one kind or another is another matter. It seems to me that of all the Russian rulers, only two were liked in the West - Catherine the Great and Mikhail Gorbachev. And the attitude there to the Russian state has since ancient times naturally been ambiguous. Russia seemed all too vast, incomprehensible, and mysterious, some latent threat seemed to emanate from it. The image of the powerful, sinister strength of this huge country has become a stereotype in the West, and when the Soviet Union became the &quot;vanguard of world revolution&quot;, and subsequently, having shown its strength in the war with Germany also turned into a nuclear superpower, this image turned into a deadly threat.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
But all this is in the past. After the collapse of the Soviet regime, the Western world sighed in relief. No one in the West now believes in Moscow&#39;s global imperial threats, or in a suicidal world nuclear war. Admittedly, people have understood there that the current Russian regime is not quite what would be desirable from the point of view of the &quot;civilized democratic world&quot;, this is unpleasant and at times extremely disturbing, but in general, it is tolerated. The most important thing is that the insurmountable ideological chasm, the threat of the expansion of &quot;world Communism&quot;, has disappeared. Many of the problems in Russia&#39;s relations with the West will not be resolved any time soon, but who says that it is impossible to live with unresolved problems?&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Things are more difficult, at first glance, with the second argument: people say that American politicians, generals, and the military are fundamentally unable to reconcile themselves to the existence of a strong independent Russia, they want a weak Russia, or even better - one that has completely collapsed. Is that the case?&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Let us imagine this scenario for a moment: everything works out for our foes, they have brought about a catastrophic weakening of Russia. But what is a weakened Russia? It is an economically degraded, impoverished, decaying country with a desperate, angry, embittered population. The question is: in which direction will the population turn, who will it heed, who will it follow? The pro-Western liberals, the democrats? There is no question of even talking about this, it is they who will be blamed for all the misfortunes, the potential support-base of Western ideological influence will be smashed to pieces. The Communists? Only partially, the baggage they carry from the Soviet era is just too unattractive. No, the people will follow the extreme nationalists, they will heed their xenophobic Nazi-tainted appeals. Hatred of the West, which &quot;destroyed the Soviet Union and is now destroying Russia&quot;, will increase one-hundred-fold. The Nazis will not be able to break through into the real leadership of the country, but their influence on the ruling elite will increase to an enormous extent. But at the same time, no matter how weakened Russia might be and whatever pieces of it might fall off, Moscow will still retain the atomic and the hydrogen bomb. So you have a pretty picture: a poor, decaying country, seething with hatred for the West and all the &quot;crappy democratic&quot; countries there - but one with nuclear weapons. What could be worse for the West than such a scenario? And surely the West understands this, does it not?&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
They understand it very well, this very idea has been touched upon in many conversations. Tom Friedman of the New York Times wrote: &quot;We do not fear a strong Russia, what is dangerous for us is a weak Russia, in which a missile could fall off the back of a truck and turn up somewhere in Iran&quot;. That is why Western diplomacy will, reluctantly and occasionally wincing, continue to do business with today&#39;s Russia, as the lesser of the possible evils. After all, is easy to imagine what horrific, truly apocalyptic consequences the disintegration of Russia could have, the emergence of new state e ntities that devour one another, the explosion of Islamist extremism in some of them, etc. The modern world, which is extremely agitated anyway, would turn into a nightmare.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;That would be good for the West,&quot; some people will say, &quot;the Americans will be fishing in troubled waters, they will get rid of Russia as a competitor, and they will lay their hands on our natural resources.&quot; Here, it has to be said that there is little that can be compared in its absurdity to the argument that is often used about Russia being a competitor that must be finished off. What kind of a competitor are we, for goodness sake, and to whom? We export oil, gas and weapons - and there is enough room on the world market for everyone here. And in the most important sphere in the modern world, high-tech and knowledge-based production - where are we, in what place? When we have created Skolkovo, we will compete on an equal footing with America - so that will be when hell freezes over. And even if Russia were a serious competitor - so what? Look at China - it really is a competitor to everyone, the entire world is piled high with Chinese goods, but no-one intends to undermine, weaken or break up China.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The trouble for our apologists of fighting the West is that they are living with yesterday&#39;s realities, if not those of the day before yesterday, they do not understand how the world has changed. They still think there is nothing more important for the imperialists than, for example, seizing our Siberian oil. But any manager of a transnational oil company would have a heart attack as soon as he really imagined that he would have to deal with producing and transporting oil in the remote expanses of Russia. And seizing territories, establishing military bridgeheads - all of this is obsolete, like airships or gramophones.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The question then arises: why are all our hate-mongers, all the political scientists, journalists, and deputies &quot;attached to the Kremlin&quot; creating such an uproar? One of the explanations is understandable: the Soviet mentality is operating with its built-in mechanism that ensures the constant maintenance of the required level of anti-Americanism. What is amusing is that this anti-Americanism is for the most part affected and hypocritical. These people are now actually travelling to the West, they are prepared to fly off to America at the first invitation, their children study at British and American colleges, many of them have a lot of money in Western banks, and even real estate somewhere there. But when they return from their latest trip, they consider it their duty to &quot;sling mud at&quot; America, those are the rules of the game. Yes, and they get signals from above - saying there is nothing more useful for mobilizing the people around the party and the government than pedalling the external threat. And nobody thinks that this kind of game might be harmful within the country, for a population which is already clearly morally degraded. Xenophobia, inciting hatred towards &quot;strangers&quot;, whether they are Caucasians or Americans, will inevitably lead to an increase in aggression and intolerance in society, which sociologists have long been sounding the alarm about. The &quot;hardening of the hearts&quot; of the younger generation is a threat not so much to the &quot;Western enemy&quot; as to Russian society itself.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/6861272078167495372/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/6861272078167495372?isPopup=true' title='10 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/6861272078167495372'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/6861272078167495372'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/08/hardy-and-pernicious-myth-of-western.html' title='The hardy and pernicious myth of Western designs on Russia'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>10</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-2344902814669935190</id><published>2010-08-08T16:03:00.002+01:00</published><updated>2010-08-08T22:20:48.570+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="bol&#39;shaia politika"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="translation"/><title type='text'>&quot;Black PR&quot; lives...</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.libex.ru/dimg/62cf.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;http://www.libex.ru/dimg/62cf.jpg&quot; width=&quot;285&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://ci-razvedka.ru/gif/Kniga_No_Black_PR.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;320&quot; src=&quot;http://ci-razvedka.ru/gif/Kniga_No_Black_PR.jpg&quot; width=&quot;223&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;The article below reminded me of how widespread the concept of &quot;black propaganda&quot; or &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.marketingpro.ru/news/russian/5561.html&quot;&gt;black PR&lt;/a&gt;&quot; is in &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.adme.ru/dolya/vlast-biznes-obschestvo-prosto-70685/&quot;&gt;Russian political life&lt;/a&gt; (and in the competitive world of business as well).&amp;nbsp; The term is sort of a catch-all for any kind of &quot;dirty&quot; campaign tactics, from &lt;a href=&quot;http://oppositionresearch.typepad.com/&quot;&gt;American&lt;/a&gt;-style &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opposition_research&quot;&gt;opposition research&lt;/a&gt;, &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2004/06/playing-dirty/2960/&quot;&gt;dirty tricks&lt;/a&gt;&quot; and &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Negative_campaigning&quot;&gt;negative campaigning&lt;/a&gt; to mud-slinging, sabotage and the dispensing of &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kompromat&quot;&gt;kompromat&lt;/a&gt;.&amp;nbsp; Anyway, I found more illustrations for a post on this topic than I expected - all of the images here are book covers, which suggest that fictional accounts of and instructions related to &quot;black PR&quot; - and how to defend yourself from it - are in demand in Russia.&amp;nbsp; As a bonus, here are &lt;a href=&quot;http://olleke-bolleke.livejournal.com/474047.html&quot;&gt;a couple of fliers&lt;/a&gt; which serve as examples of &quot;black PR&quot; in Moldova; and the second image at &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.scrapsofmoscow.org/2004/11/ukraine-campaign.html&quot;&gt;this post&lt;/a&gt; is one from the 2004 campaign in Ukraine.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.bookin.org.ru/book/303060.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;clear: right; float: right; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-left: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;320&quot; src=&quot;http://www.bookin.org.ru/book/303060.jpg&quot; width=&quot;216&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
BBC Monitoring [courtesy of JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
Woman appeals to Putin, says One Russia owes her for &#39;black propaganda&#39; - RenTV&lt;br /&gt;
August 2, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
A scandal has erupted in Suzdal, Vladimir Region over last year&#39;s mayoral elections, Russian privately-owned REN TV reported on 2 August. A young woman, Vera Nesvyashchenko, has written to Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, complaining that she has not been paid for work she carried out for the One Russia party during the election campaign, which involved destroying opponents&#39; campaign materials, and that the work she was asked to do was not entirely legal.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;The letterboxes were checked, there were some campaign materials there, we removed them; there were posters hanging on the poles, we tore them down and (it became) waste paper. All of the waste paper we brought to the headquarters, to the town library,&quot; she said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nesvyashchenko admits that she was engaged in &quot;black propaganda&quot;, the correspondent notes. She was recruited by One Russia to work on the mayoral elections in August 2009 and was promised R7,000 (235 dollars) to destroy opponents&#39; campaign materials, plus a bonus of R7,200 to compile a list of people who were intending to vote for One Russia&#39;s candidate Olga Guseva.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.char.ru/books/p79605.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;http://www.char.ru/books/p79605.jpg&quot; width=&quot;246&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Nesvyashchenko also says that she and her colleagues questioned the legality of their actions but were assured that everything was above board.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;Tatyana Aleksandrovna said that it&#39;s no problem. The period of validity for campaign posters is three hours so you can safely clean up the streets,&quot; she said. &quot;Only in court did I find out that it was illegal and hooliganism,&quot; she added.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The correspondent noted that 5,000 people (52 per cent of the overall number of voters) cast their ballots in the mayoral election in Suzdal - a record turnout.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;At the finish, the gap (between the candidates) was minimal. Olga Guseva received just 111 votes more than her opponent Oleg Grigorenko. It is not known what the state of affairs would have been, if there had not been the so-called guards (referring to Young Guard, the youth wing of the ruling One Russia party) and their mass clean-up operation.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Grigorenko unsuccessfully appealed against the election result, the correspondent noted.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The head of the regional branch of One Russia, Sergey Borodin, called Nesvyashchenko&#39;s actions &quot;provocation&quot;. However, the former mayor of Suzdal, Sergey Gadunin, who held the post from 2005-2009, defended her.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;I have read some commentaries which said that this is an attempted smear on the part of the opposition. You know, the opposition can have a rest. There is no need to do anything more. The party is discrediting itself in such a way that there are simply no further words,&quot; Gadunin said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nesvyashchenko is also preparing a lawsuit, demanding the payment of the R14,200 and a further R5,000 for moral damage.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.knigisosklada.ru/images/books/1944/big/1944240.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;http://www.knigisosklada.ru/images/books/1944/big/1944240.jpg&quot; width=&quot;251&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/2344902814669935190/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/2344902814669935190?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/2344902814669935190'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/2344902814669935190'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/08/black-pr-lives.html' title='&quot;Black PR&quot; lives...'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-9081216020881441403</id><published>2010-08-06T19:00:00.013+01:00</published><updated>2010-08-07T00:08:17.905+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="blogs"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="bol&#39;shaia politika"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="media"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="medvedev"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="translation"/><title type='text'>Twittering while Russia burns</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://7bloggers.ru/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/twi101.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;298&quot; src=&quot;http://7bloggers.ru/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/twi101.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;It was interesting to see the translated article below appear in JRL on the same day as &lt;a href=&quot;http://nationalinterest.org/Article.aspx?id=23780&quot;&gt;Svetlana Babaeva&#39;s piece&lt;/a&gt; appeared dismissing the political impact of social networking and new media in Russia (&quot;nothing more than banal social chatter&quot;; &quot;inconsequential prattle&quot;).&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;My value add in the article below is to link to the Twitterings of these government luminaries (other than Medvedev, since I can&#39;t be fussed to figure out which is the real one, and Astakhov, since I couldn&#39;t locate his using any of the obvious search terms) - and to point out that there is an aggregator-type Twitter account called &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/gosblogi&quot;&gt;gosblogi&lt;/a&gt; for Russian official Twitterers.&amp;nbsp; I would also note that the only one of these guys I really try to follow is &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/Rogozin&quot;&gt;Rogozin&lt;/a&gt; - he is a master of the form and often manages to display his sense of humor in 140 characters or less.&amp;nbsp; Though somewhat confusingly, he appears to have two accounts - the one linked in the previous sentence and &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/DRogozin&quot;&gt;this one&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;And my purpose is, in part, to plug my very own new Twitter feed (in which, of course, I will tweet a link to this post, while praying that the universe does not collapse upon itself or get stuck in some sort of infinite loop of narcissism).&amp;nbsp; You can see recent tweets in the sidebar and the whole thing here - &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/scrapsofmoscow&quot;&gt;&lt;b&gt;http://twitter.com/scrapsofmoscow&lt;/b&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Twitter Takes Off Among Russian Politicians&lt;br /&gt;
Izvestia [translation courtesy of JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
July 29, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
Report by Aleksandra Beluza: Authorities of Short Messages&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Twitter era has begun in Russian politics. In the wake of President Dmitriy Medvedev, who launched his micro blog in June, governors and other highly placed figures have arrived there. A round the clock personal broadcasting channel, which is what Twitter essentially is, can be used during elections to mobilize the population when actions are being conducted.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Thanks to Twitter (from the English &quot;to twitter&quot;) politicians all over the world are &quot;taking off their jackets&quot; and giving us the chance to see a stream of their personal news. Here is Dmitriy Medvedev writing about his visit to Belgorod Oblast: &quot;I flew in to Alekseyevka. I went to the graves of my great grandmothers and great grandfathers. I was going for the first time. For work, as always.&quot; Now Medvedev has over 50,000 regular readers on Twitter.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Medvedev himself reads the micro blogs of US President Barack Obama and Canadian Prime Minister Stephen Harper. But presidential aide Arkadiy Dvorkovich believes that it is precisely the Russian leader who has the best Twitter. &quot;None of the leaders is comparable,&quot; Dvorkovich wrote on his own Twitter. &quot;Where else will you see a photo taken by him personally (Medvedev -- Izvestiya)?&quot; A picture called &quot;view from the window of my hotel&quot; taken by Medvedev in San Francisco has already been viewed almost 233,000 times, for example. Dvorkovich himself also posts a lot of photographs on his micro blog. He also writes quite openly -- for example, that &quot;it is very hard to sleep after a week&#39;s tour in North America, but it is harder for the president.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;What does Twitter give you? Why are you ready to spend time on postings?&quot; Izvestiya asked Dvorkovich on Twitter.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;Not a great deal of time is spent, but the ability to set out thoughts and share them concisely is developed,&quot; the presidential aide responded before five minutes had passed.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There are already around 20 senior Russian politicians and hundreds of officials at the level of deputies and heads of departments, including in the regional administrations, and also mayors, on Twitter. However, it is not pleasant to read all the micro blogs. Out of 10 governors only three write really interestingly -- Nikita Belykh (Kirov Oblast), Dmitriy Zelenin (Tver Oblast), and Mikhail Men (Irkutsk Oblast). Zelenin in particular distinguished himself by simply writing the following after Medvedev&#39;s departure from the Seliger youth camp: &quot;The boss has left. The Tver forum and Seliger went well. I feel like a horse at a wedding -- with my muzzle in the flowers, and myself in a lather.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot; Twitter has become a little personal news agency for politicians,&quot; managing partner of the Sotsialniye Seti (Social Networks) agency Denis Terekhov believes. &quot;And here it is a question of information openness -- is the person ready to write quickly and without coordinating, without thinking about whether he has said it right or wrong 10 times? I think politicians who join Twitter are a priori more open than others. In this sense Twitter can be an acid test.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Essentially Twitter today is a test of a politician&#39;s openness -- is he ready to show that he is a person like everyone else? Mikhail Men admits: &quot;I listened to (singer Vladimir) Vysotskiy all day.&quot; Dmitriy Rogozin, Russia&#39;s permanent representative to NATO, writes: &quot;I have arrived in Moscow for a week&#39;s vacation; 360 degrees Centigrade (as published) is not that hot. It has been hotter at our NATO sessions.&quot; Pavel Astakhov, the ombudsman for the rights of the child in Russia, characterizes his secretariat like this: &quot;I have 12 women working for me. I call them the &#39;child&#39;s special purpose troops.&#39;&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There are only two party leaders here, Sergey Mironov, speaker of the Federation Council and the head of Just Russia, and Vladimir Zhirinovskiy, leader of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR). They both write every day, but somewhat turgidly. Denis Terekhov believes that &quot;the part ies are quite sluggish and it is hard for them to use Twitter as a real channel of communication.&quot; In the opinion of other experts, Twitter could attract them not so much as an information technology as a mobilization technology.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;Many politicians are seeking communication with their target audience here -- the middle class and young people,&quot; Dmitriy Badovskiy, the deputy director of Moscow State University&#39;s social systems scientific research institute, says. &quot;Plus Twitter gives an instant link with quite a big audience. And this makes it possible to gather supporters, coordinate observers at elections, and publish current information quickly. So I think that as the elections approach, activity and testing of Twitter as a possible environment for political mobilization will increase.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The 10 most popular Russian politicians on Twitter (by number of micro blog followers):&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Russian President Dmitriy Medvedev 52,896&lt;br /&gt;
Russian&#39;s permanent representative to NATO &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/Rogozin&quot;&gt;Dmitriy&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/DRogozin&quot;&gt;Rogozin&lt;/a&gt; 7,513 &lt;br /&gt;
State Duma Deputy &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/rykov&quot;&gt;Konstantin Rykov&lt;/a&gt; 3,769&lt;br /&gt;
Federation Council Speaker &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/serg_mir&quot;&gt;Sergey Mironov&lt;/a&gt; 2,084 [strangely seems to have protected tweets]&lt;br /&gt;
Tver Oblast Governor &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/DZelenin&quot;&gt;Dmitriy Zelenin&lt;/a&gt; 1,988&lt;br /&gt;
LDPR leader &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/V_Zhirinovsky&quot;&gt;Vladimir Zhirinovskiy&lt;/a&gt; 1,716&lt;br /&gt;
Kirov Oblast Governor &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/NikitaBelyh&quot;&gt;Nikita Belykh&lt;/a&gt; 1,489&lt;br /&gt;
Presidential aide &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/advorkovich&quot;&gt;Arkadiy Dvorkovich&lt;/a&gt; 1,309&lt;br /&gt;
Perm Kray Governor &lt;a href=&quot;http://twitter.com/chirkunov&quot;&gt;Oleg Chirkunov&lt;/a&gt; 812&lt;br /&gt;
Children&#39;s Ombudsman Pavel Astakhov 535&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.kremlin.ru/media/events/photos/big/41d30893d3d901c51795.jpeg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;266&quot; src=&quot;http://www.kremlin.ru/media/events/photos/big/41d30893d3d901c51795.jpeg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;&lt;i&gt;Perhaps tweeting is, for Russian officials in the era of Medvedev, something akin to&amp;nbsp;&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;&lt;i&gt;taking up tennis under Yeltsin or becoming a martial arts beast / skier under Putin.&lt;/i&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/9081216020881441403/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/9081216020881441403?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/9081216020881441403'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/9081216020881441403'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/08/twittering-while-russia-burns.html' title='Twittering while Russia burns'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-3379552948254572561</id><published>2010-08-04T22:32:00.004+01:00</published><updated>2010-08-05T03:33:57.604+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Abkhazia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="South Ossetia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transnistria"/><title type='text'>More on &quot;peacekeepers&quot; vs. &quot;occupiers&quot;</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://i16.photobucket.com/albums/b1/backlog/GUAM_Summit_2006.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;278&quot; src=&quot;http://i16.photobucket.com/albums/b1/backlog/GUAM_Summit_2006.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://vkhokhl.blogspot.com/2006/05/presidents-of-georgia-azerbaijan-and.html&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;GUAM appears to be DOA, of course, but the article below suggests some degree of&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;coordination between MD and GE&#39;s Russia policies.&amp;nbsp; I&#39;m not sure I buy it, particularly as&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;I think the article overstates Acting President Ghimpu&#39;s influence on MD foreign policy.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;And is wanting Russian troops to leave territory one claims as its own sufficiently strange&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;of a policy preference as to suggest that it must be the result of a coordinated campaign? &lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nezavisimaya Gazeta [translation courtesy of JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
August 2, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
KISHINEV AND TBILISI NEVER NOTICED MOSCOW&#39;S PROTESTS&lt;br /&gt;
Moldova and Georgia demand withdrawal of the Russian military from what they call their territories&lt;br /&gt;
Author: Svetlana Gamova&lt;br /&gt;
MOLDOVA AND GEORGIA COORDINATE THEIR RUSSIAN POLICIES&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Their relations with Russia already soured, Moldova and Georgia got international support. The matter concerns the report on arms control agreements the U.S. Department of State published last Wednesday. The document mentioned presence of the Russian troops on the territories of Moldova and Georgia without their consent. By and large, the thesis in question repeated what State Secretary Hillary Clinton had said about occupation of Moldovan (Trans-Dniester region) and Georgian (Abkhazia and South Ossetia) territories by the Russian military. This statement was made when acting president of Moldova Mihai Ghimpu signed a special decree calling the Russian contingent in the Trans-Dniester region &quot;occupiers&quot; and demanding its withdrawal. The Russian Foreign Ministry then reiterated Moscow&#39;s official stand on the matter and gave the floor to Gennadi Onischenko of the Rospotrebnadzor.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Onischenko&#39;s words made it plain that Kishinev&#39;s objections to the presence of the Russian military in the Trans-Dniester region might cost it dearly. Russia suspended import of Moldovan wines - just to make the point. The Moldovans arranged negotiations to discuss the matter but the effort was wasted. That was when Clinton made her statement and urged Russia to start honoring its obligations. Her words killed the last chance the Moldovans might have had then to reactivate wine export to Russia.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Russian Foreign Ministry called &quot;incorrect&quot; U.S. Department of State&#39;s speculations on the presence of the Russian military in Moldova and Georgia. &quot;There are no Russian soldiers in Georgia. As for Abkhazia and South Ossetia on whose territories Russian military bases operate with their consent, these countries are&lt;br /&gt;
neither parts or Georgia nor signatories of the Treaty on Conventional Armed forces in Europe.&quot; The Foreign Ministry reiterated that Russian peacekeepers were on the Dniester in accordance with the agreement between Russia and Moldova (July 21, 1992). The Moldovan authorities demand withdrawal of the Russian&lt;br /&gt;
military contingent and peacekeepers from the self-proclaimed Trans-Dniester Moldovan Republic in the hope to replace them with an international police force.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In any event, official Kishinev studiously ignored all objections and protests from Russia. Moreover, it chose to comment on the conclusions drawn in the U.S. Department of State&#39;s report in application to the conflict with Tiraspol. Kishinev no longer accepts the terms formulated by Moscow (conflict resolution first, evacuation of the military afterwards). Moldovan Ambassador to Romania Yuri Renice told the Romanian newspaper Adevarul, &quot;Synchronization of the Russians&#39; withdrawal with Trans-Dniester conflict resolution is a thoroughly counterproductive approach...Presence of the Russian military collides with the principle of neutrality promoted by the Constitution. Most Trans-Dniester residents stand for reintegration of the territory.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
Trans-Dniester Foreign Ministry in the meantime appealed to the UN to recognize sovereignty of the Trans-Dniester Moldovan Republic in the light of the recent ruling of the International Court of Justice regarding Kosovo. &quot;Our position is clear: the Trans-Dniester region is part of Moldova,&quot; said Renice.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Georgia took Washington&#39;s position as a clear confirmation: there are no sovereign Abkhazia and South Ossetia, there are but regions of Georgia occupied by Russia. Ghimpu said that he would pay an official visit to Tbilisi before long. It is clear that Kishinev and Tbilisi intend to coordinate their Russian policies.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/3379552948254572561/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/3379552948254572561?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/3379552948254572561'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/3379552948254572561'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/08/more-on-peacekeepers-vs-occupiers.html' title='More on &quot;peacekeepers&quot; vs. &quot;occupiers&quot;'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-2965436371369976423</id><published>2010-07-27T22:20:00.006+01:00</published><updated>2010-07-28T03:20:27.127+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="fluff"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Fotos"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Spymania"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><title type='text'>Another &quot;Sexy Russian Spy&quot;?  Exclusive photos here!</title><content type='html'>Regular readers of this blog know that I try to keep things classy here.&amp;nbsp; However, I&#39;ve seen my esteemed &lt;a href=&quot;http://seansrussiablog.org/2010/07/02/are-your-barbeques-breeding-bolsheviks/&quot;&gt;Russia&lt;/a&gt;-&lt;a href=&quot;http://agoodtreaty.wordpress.com/2010/06/30/not-quite-secret-agents/&quot;&gt;blogger&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.therussiamonitor.com/2010/06/spy-vs-spy-feds-bust-svr-deep-cover.html&quot;&gt;peers&lt;/a&gt; make hay on the Anna Chapman story and will not get scooped again!&amp;nbsp; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It seems that another young Russian lady has been detained on suspicion of espionage, and this one also seems to have enjoyed posting revealing photos of herself on the internet.&amp;nbsp; Never mind that she was &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.cnn.com/2010/US/07/27/us.latvian.arms.control/&quot;&gt;apparently&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=&quot;http://echo.msk.ru/news/698768-echo.html&quot;&gt;born in Latvia and is a U.S. citizen&lt;/a&gt;, Gawker already has the Facebook photos of our &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://gawker.com/5597664/meet-anna-fermanova-americas-sexy-new-russian-spy?skyline=true&amp;amp;s=i&quot;&gt;New Sexy Russian Spy&lt;/a&gt;,&quot; Anna Fermanova.&amp;nbsp; But Gawker must not know about &lt;a href=&quot;http://odnoklassniki.ru/&quot;&gt;Odnoklassniki&lt;/a&gt;, which has this photo of the latest innocent-until-proven-guilty victim of spymania - and more!&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvx22cN_XGAa5PGCAaKLJ8dmzmxIubSLkYQ26NJi5SLlNqMaQ6sKSBSCRlaEBXGSZWys03Q-jEAW5kFgYjk5urCPYEEtOZFM8NwlBPAwtCCPUftCK8OfCBIyIO15AgQu4D-YMFsw/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95402+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvx22cN_XGAa5PGCAaKLJ8dmzmxIubSLkYQ26NJi5SLlNqMaQ6sKSBSCRlaEBXGSZWys03Q-jEAW5kFgYjk5urCPYEEtOZFM8NwlBPAwtCCPUftCK8OfCBIyIO15AgQu4D-YMFsw/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95402+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;318&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
After the jump are some more photos of Ms. Fermanova that Gawker couldn&#39;t show you.&amp;nbsp; As of now, they appear to be available online only here.&amp;nbsp; Ah, I knew I would be proud of this blog someday...&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPlWp2bX9b11rMdpL3tTZYM4LbbkPnRTO6JmSJsL2rZaeLtJ1-6uAmkICiO9Mxtlv32jWa-4vBXID3kdaK5zPRINyZntMGQYniFaH3Ub7Caolf5A4hZNb6rO-SATUtCBJdMHOwbA/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+94843+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjPlWp2bX9b11rMdpL3tTZYM4LbbkPnRTO6JmSJsL2rZaeLtJ1-6uAmkICiO9Mxtlv32jWa-4vBXID3kdaK5zPRINyZntMGQYniFaH3Ub7Caolf5A4hZNb6rO-SATUtCBJdMHOwbA/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+94843+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;330&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;It&#39;s a well-known fact that alleged spies prefer bottle service.&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicjet9vhuJTQTYr68iA9ReI2x5kUM5AlErunLLkwP_wX91uOdzIPUKy0TkGWrv7D9Wb4aNfVFrmee8BwFtF7ssoUUW8Sa5DSx99-DJNrtg86PfsPTPHTY0achY77x84FNluPwJyg/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+94926+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEicjet9vhuJTQTYr68iA9ReI2x5kUM5AlErunLLkwP_wX91uOdzIPUKy0TkGWrv7D9Wb4aNfVFrmee8BwFtF7ssoUUW8Sa5DSx99-DJNrtg86PfsPTPHTY0achY77x84FNluPwJyg/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+94926+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;313&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Camo skirt = military background?&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWPq9invt0e6DgbbCOTceKh-jRQ8Xcb2RCayHbaaNHIR_5nBC0Vi81c6qZUIh77LcP5PAMhUrQx2-YzJiCeqV9lVJoCHUW5zykHNc09q6fs4C-xrJjUUBVo9Bh94rcWyTc9jncQw/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95003+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;330&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgWPq9invt0e6DgbbCOTceKh-jRQ8Xcb2RCayHbaaNHIR_5nBC0Vi81c6qZUIh77LcP5PAMhUrQx2-YzJiCeqV9lVJoCHUW5zykHNc09q6fs4C-xrJjUUBVo9Bh94rcWyTc9jncQw/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95003+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;A Bond-worthy getaway vehicle.&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnEkA2tKGump6eaH4h3AgTUgGIw2L333110tB_Ioi3nZxaljemuqaUZxLSRBdkyFbpio6GstXgZdVuqh-q_S805NmdJPpJPBREXyc0LCbkyWmtm7pWcb1l_x-eoS3IRG5kz4IYLA/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95036+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhnEkA2tKGump6eaH4h3AgTUgGIw2L333110tB_Ioi3nZxaljemuqaUZxLSRBdkyFbpio6GstXgZdVuqh-q_S805NmdJPpJPBREXyc0LCbkyWmtm7pWcb1l_x-eoS3IRG5kz4IYLA/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95036+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;323&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;License to kill.&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh_Nf6tAFDNmSMsXkpx7Q8jmZqfFoeZn42ALwqMZzoO8tj447Gd-FW8F0NDKq8mGgR5EcJo2-1aMQf2svDrvME77IpNsXWZQS7IpNbzbchBMBbm_1fjuFdYUwIbokGKj2VKnOwfow/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95201+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh_Nf6tAFDNmSMsXkpx7Q8jmZqfFoeZn42ALwqMZzoO8tj447Gd-FW8F0NDKq8mGgR5EcJo2-1aMQf2svDrvME77IpNsXWZQS7IpNbzbchBMBbm_1fjuFdYUwIbokGKj2VKnOwfow/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95201+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;318&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbmId5Wmu2qEb4egDImwnX6xS2nKNwjHQiLBOeNKhJA_7Tdtg60CdwBYecGah6Mn5m-hdl3LRluEASC8HMPZ_FvQL_yBJYEi9XnaNM0M_ZZWKH07YgcYA_GFvHywfIzuOZMQ3ysw/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95235+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;322&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhbmId5Wmu2qEb4egDImwnX6xS2nKNwjHQiLBOeNKhJA_7Tdtg60CdwBYecGah6Mn5m-hdl3LRluEASC8HMPZ_FvQL_yBJYEi9XnaNM0M_ZZWKH07YgcYA_GFvHywfIzuOZMQ3ysw/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95235+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;They use benches like this for dead-drops, right?&lt;/td&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYezEi-a9frGb1lE4fzDcWpWvEpjTLq_11SM1i8PeB6bocL01EpsyxV1ktEAYpMcYsUY-Q0ChcYw9zcDfI6c65pfOL4Q_qsYi_WCgDyVoGTi0ifo2q8lxDa2x8_73AExqnmHLBkg/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95631+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjYezEi-a9frGb1lE4fzDcWpWvEpjTLq_11SM1i8PeB6bocL01EpsyxV1ktEAYpMcYsUY-Q0ChcYw9zcDfI6c65pfOL4Q_qsYi_WCgDyVoGTi0ifo2q8lxDa2x8_73AExqnmHLBkg/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95631+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;317&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Red Sea?&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheT1902BctTkzinZMB39OJiw-5ZvyId157hnLbjceg7UDF8rB6hJrbB0b7lz-EmymzCHHaL22-1Q4lKb8mmzbRbfzQSlhszKsuA9n2SqYNQcyht2FD1ITVWloVeT6MIJOSo6yIiA/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95331+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;330&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEheT1902BctTkzinZMB39OJiw-5ZvyId157hnLbjceg7UDF8rB6hJrbB0b7lz-EmymzCHHaL22-1Q4lKb8mmzbRbfzQSlhszKsuA9n2SqYNQcyht2FD1ITVWloVeT6MIJOSo6yIiA/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95331+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Military training...&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span id=&quot;fullpost&quot;&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4zM8bFm0hCxX1fVF6mjqjuYU5DORkcon8zrlFLxZmVvH3SFTv8cx408F_8lhcxRit3rInyKIugihdMZzyTuZxNwxMagxwEVBUrBkhoqGdeJS6EFi_D-8JEtgIwg9OpLaRB3MzvA/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95552+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;321&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEh4zM8bFm0hCxX1fVF6mjqjuYU5DORkcon8zrlFLxZmVvH3SFTv8cx408F_8lhcxRit3rInyKIugihdMZzyTuZxNwxMagxwEVBUrBkhoqGdeJS6EFi_D-8JEtgIwg9OpLaRB3MzvA/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95552+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Preparing to visit handlers in the Kremlin?&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;table align=&quot;center&quot; cellpadding=&quot;0&quot; cellspacing=&quot;0&quot; class=&quot;tr-caption-container&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;tbody&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeI8w9ona7khH8Hdr6DWLUyDNk-BGFmDq94zF7F_RtrUgw5FaldXn3kPqrVDn1NdAKELlRHzIevPe2d0EkdisLtJMlCL5ekEI_d3dMlLzIfkIHYpdfVShHwcQEmCMS_R9HnxqaHw/s1600/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95514+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjeI8w9ona7khH8Hdr6DWLUyDNk-BGFmDq94zF7F_RtrUgw5FaldXn3kPqrVDn1NdAKELlRHzIevPe2d0EkdisLtJMlCL5ekEI_d3dMlLzIfkIHYpdfVShHwcQEmCMS_R9HnxqaHw/s400/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95514+PM.bmp.jpg&quot; width=&quot;318&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;tr&gt;&lt;td class=&quot;tr-caption&quot; style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;Showing some secret agent attitude.&lt;/td&gt;&lt;/tr&gt;
&lt;/tbody&gt;&lt;/table&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;/span&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/2965436371369976423/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/2965436371369976423?isPopup=true' title='1 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/2965436371369976423'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/2965436371369976423'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/07/another-sexy-russian-spy-exclusive.html' title='Another &quot;Sexy Russian Spy&quot;?  Exclusive photos here!'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjvx22cN_XGAa5PGCAaKLJ8dmzmxIubSLkYQ26NJi5SLlNqMaQ6sKSBSCRlaEBXGSZWys03Q-jEAW5kFgYjk5urCPYEEtOZFM8NwlBPAwtCCPUftCK8OfCBIyIO15AgQu4D-YMFsw/s72-c/%D0%9E%D0%B4%D0%BD%D0%BE%D0%BA%D0%BB%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%81%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%B8.ru+-+Mozilla+Firefox+7272010+95402+PM.bmp.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>1</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-3686302343538569111</id><published>2010-07-07T18:24:00.004+01:00</published><updated>2010-07-07T18:24:00.329+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Abkhazia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="armenia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Azerbaijan"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Caucasus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia Obama"/><title type='text'>Post-gaming Hillary&#39;s visit to the Caucasus</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgnfAq5d-op9iCccl5CyG10RG0I6iUtKgznbeHIZbSqLcKfYnwZnhHKufVOt3P2ZtXR2pJEb2F0we0m2PKDji11Z03O9QCU5pL5v1tNu7ZcrYrYuBc93cboaiI-GpN-jCWu5hllw/s1600/OtstoimKavkaz.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;291&quot; rw=&quot;true&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgnfAq5d-op9iCccl5CyG10RG0I6iUtKgznbeHIZbSqLcKfYnwZnhHKufVOt3P2ZtXR2pJEb2F0we0m2PKDji11Z03O9QCU5pL5v1tNu7ZcrYrYuBc93cboaiI-GpN-jCWu5hllw/s400/OtstoimKavkaz.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://allboxing.ru/forum/index.php?topic=9940.0&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Nezavisimaya Gazeta&lt;br /&gt;
July 7, 2010 &lt;br /&gt;
RELOAD FOR SOUTH CAUCASUS [Translation courtesy of JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
Washington had better bear in mind differences in psychological makeup and mentality of the local countries&lt;br /&gt;
An update on U.S. State Secretary Hillary Clinton&#39;s tour of the Caucasus&lt;br /&gt;
Author: Alexander Karavayev&lt;br /&gt;
EVERY COUNTRY OF THE SOUTH CAUCASUS COUNTS ON WASHINGTON&#39;S ATTENTION TO ITS PROBLEMS&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
U.S. State Secretary Hillary Clinton&#39;s visit to the Caucasus was supposed to have a sedative effect on the anxious local regimes. Pointed attention from a world power is always flattering. Discounting George W. Bush&#39;s visit to Tbilisi, there have been no visits from high functionaries of American administrations to the region in a decade. Every country of the South Caucasus pins high hopes on the United States and expects from it sympathy with regard to local problems and particularly in connection with territorial issues.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On a stay in Baku, Clinton spoke of Washington&#39;s willingness and firm resolve to facilitate a peaceful resolution of the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict. When in Yerevan, she guaranteed the hosts America&#39;s support in the same process. In Tbilisi at last, Clinton assured Georgia of America&#39;s solidarity with it. Her statement there became recognition of the status quo. The United States is Georgia&#39;s ally but not even the United States can change anything in the situation at this point or help Tbilisi reintegrate Abkhazia and South Ossetia.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Putin&#39;s elite and Saakashvili&#39;s regime are diametrically polar in everything but the desire to set foreign policy for years to come. The only difference is that political life in Georgia is less rigid because the Georgian regime does permit existence of the opposition. It stands to reason to assume that Clinton brought a message to Saakashvili that Washington will welcome his efforts to normalize relations with Moscow. All things considered, however, making general statements is Tbilisi&#39;s only option. Moscow in its turn is convinced that it is better off without all and any contacts with Saakashvili.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Karabakh conflict situation is certainly different. Where this problem is concerned, Russia and the United States are more or less neutral intermediaries. A broad assortment of options is available here - positive (encouragement of the Azerbaijani-Armenian peace) and negative alike.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In fact, two momentous events preceded Clinton&#39;s visit to the region. Presidents Dmitry Medvedev, Barack Obama, and Nicolas Sarkozy made a joint statement regarding Karabakh during the G8 summit. Fighting had occurred along the line-of-contact a week before that, right when president Serj Sargsjan and Ilham Aliyev were meeting in St.Petersburg. This clash might be interpreted as a hint at probability of military escalation in case peace efforts failed.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Granted that Azerbaijan and Armenia remain obstinately deaf to most arguments, there nevertheless exist principles of conflict resolution that are quite promising. The declaration made the three presidents plainly stated the necessity of the return of occupied Azerbaijani districts around Karabakh and interim status of the enclave with adequate guarantees of security and self-government. Establishment of a corridor connecting Armenia and Karabakh and return of all refugees to their homes are other priorities. That might necessitate a humanitarian-peacekeeping mission headed by OSCE Minsk Group countries. Last but not the least, foreign intermediaries believe that the future legal status of Karabakh ought to be decided at a referendum. Official Baku took the document with barely concealed enthusiasm even though its Russian translation somehow managed to miss the term &quot;occupied&quot;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Ethnic peace is difficult to establish - but possible all the same. Karabakh peace project will become an expensive political investment for Moscow and Washington and, also importantly, a serious financial strain on Baku. Infrastructure of the districts in question will have to be rebuilt from scratch. Foreign specialists will have to be found and brought in to consult in refugee-return matters and peaceful co-existence of two ethnic communities. Problems are a legion, but they must be addressed without delay...&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Armenia fears that the suggested return of occupied territories adjacent to Karabakh will put Azerbaijan in a position to launch an outright offensive and try to reconquer Karabakh. It seems unlikely that Baku will want to disrupt peace process just when it has begun to bear results. Aliyev is not Saakashvili.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/3686302343538569111/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/3686302343538569111?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/3686302343538569111'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/3686302343538569111'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/07/post-gaming-hillarys-visit-to-caucasus.html' title='Post-gaming Hillary&#39;s visit to the Caucasus'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhgnfAq5d-op9iCccl5CyG10RG0I6iUtKgznbeHIZbSqLcKfYnwZnhHKufVOt3P2ZtXR2pJEb2F0we0m2PKDji11Z03O9QCU5pL5v1tNu7ZcrYrYuBc93cboaiI-GpN-jCWu5hllw/s72-c/OtstoimKavkaz.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-7604335979057116247</id><published>2010-07-07T18:19:00.000+01:00</published><updated>2010-07-07T18:45:04.897+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="New-START"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia Obama"/><title type='text'>An optimistic take on the fights over New START ratification breaking out in Washington &amp; Moscow</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj51KClVetuSeTfXaNqDKPApf6_947NDP4FCTu-Sj1czlSNpWb_1s6AXFwMex0bqmzbPb89wcJwtm68IKTZr5bqmoHoa-r4Dsm9hEkOVXaQ0SW6MdpmYlV1OQT8l3WSdNERh7TMJA/s1600/RIAN+Collage+START.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; rw=&quot;true&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj51KClVetuSeTfXaNqDKPApf6_947NDP4FCTu-Sj1czlSNpWb_1s6AXFwMex0bqmzbPb89wcJwtm68IKTZr5bqmoHoa-r4Dsm9hEkOVXaQ0SW6MdpmYlV1OQT8l3WSdNERh7TMJA/s320/RIAN+Collage+START.jpg&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://rian.ru/trend/snv_contract_signed_comments_08042010/&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
[See &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2010/07/06/AR2010070603942.html?hpid=opinionsbox1&quot;&gt;here&lt;/a&gt; for criticism of Romney&#39;s &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://swampland.blogs.time.com/2010/07/07/kerry-smokes-romney/&quot;&gt;aggressively chuckleheaded&lt;/a&gt;,&quot; &quot;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.slate.com/id/2259779/&quot;&gt;dumb&lt;/a&gt;&quot;&amp;nbsp;attack on the treaty - though of course &lt;a href=&quot;http://agoodtreaty.wordpress.com/2010/07/06/mitt-romney-on-new-start/&quot;&gt;AGT had the first word on this one&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;br /&gt;
Kommersant&lt;br /&gt;
July 7, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
PROOF BY OPPOSITION (translation courtesy of JRL)&lt;br /&gt;
CRITICISM OF START TREATY MIGHT FACILITATE ITS RATIFICATION&lt;br /&gt;
Author: Vladimir Soloviov&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Duma began preparations for START ratification. The same process is under way in the United States. In fact, the American legislators are making even better progress with ratification procedures than the Duma. Critics of the Russian-American treaty are having a field day, condemning the document at the earliest opportunity. Strange as it might seem, but their activeness may actually facilitate ratification. Arguments of START enemies in both countries successfully neutralize one another so that neither signatory feels to be left behind in the disarmament race.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The first START parliamentary hearing in Moscow reactivated ferocious criticism of the document. Mitt Romney, ex-governor of Massachusetts and Republican candidate for U.S. president in 2008, is the leading force behind the opposition to the document in the United States. The day the Duma launched debates over START in Moscow, The Washington Post featured a piece by Romney titled &quot;Obama&#39;s Worst Foreign Policy Mistake&quot;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Romney does not mince his words, condemning the treaty Barack Obama regards as his best accomplishment so far. What particularly disturbs Romney is that the document interferes with development of the American ballistic missile defense system, a shield from &quot;nuclear-proliferating rogue states&quot; like Iran and North Korea. He said that America all but had to go to Russia for the permission to expand its ballistic missile defense framework. Besides, the politician announced that Moscow stood to gain much more than Washington from the new START treaty. (The document does not apply to Russian mobile ICBMs and launchers, nor does it ban their launch from bombers.)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As a matter of fact, weak points of the START treaty listed by Romney are constantly elaborated on by all other enemies of the document. They appear to be particularly enraged by acknowledgement of a connection between offensive weapons and ballistic missile defense capacity which is what the Kremlin takes pride in.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Russian enemies of the treaty with America went public yesterday. Leonid Kalashnikov, Assistant Chairman of the Duma&#39;s Committee for International Affairs (CPRF faction), condemned the treaty for the failure to impose restrictions on American sea-launched long-range guided missiles.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov contributed to the criticism too and made a speech explaining to critics cross the ocean what about the START treaty placed Russia at such a disadvantage. Ryabkov admitted all of a sudden that &quot;... Moscow has never intended to use this treaty to restrict development of the American ballistic missile defense framework, global framework included.&quot; &quot;The treaty includes no such restrictions,&quot; said the senior diplomat who had recently extolled the document in question for the connection between offensive and defensive weapons.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Diplomatic sources attributed so dramatic a change to &quot;the game being played with the United States, one aiming to neutralize enemies of the ratification.&quot; &quot;We watch and listen to what they are saying on the subject, right? And so do they. There is an element of a game in all of that,&quot; said a source, a functionary who had accompanied President Dmitry Medvedev to the United States last month and participated in START ratification consultations there.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In other words, the Duma permits START enemies to speak up in the hope that they will be heard across the ocean.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The American Senate in the meantime is somewhat ahead of the Duma in Moscow in terms of ratification procedures. &quot;Yes, we know that they are making better progress,&quot; said Ryabkov. &quot;We are trying to catch up and synchronize the two processes. The sooner this phase is over, the better. It will strengthen positive trends in our relations.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Mikhail Margelov, Federation Council&#39;s Committee for International Affairs Chairman who is constantly in touch with the American colleagues, said that the document compiling positions of three senatorial committees was going to appear in the near future.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Kremlin is fairly optimistic too. &quot;Appearance of our president before the American Senate was a success. Both Republicans and Democrats demonstrated willingness to advance the bilateral relations,&quot; said Medvedev&#39;s Press Secretary Natalia Timakova.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Specialists nevertheless comment that the arrangement of forces within the U.S. Senate might generate problems yet. After all, the American legislature is not even nearly as faithful to the White House as the Duma is to the Kremlin.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/7604335979057116247/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/7604335979057116247?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7604335979057116247'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7604335979057116247'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/07/optimistic-take-on-fights-over-new.html' title='An optimistic take on the fights over New START ratification breaking out in Washington &amp; Moscow'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEj51KClVetuSeTfXaNqDKPApf6_947NDP4FCTu-Sj1czlSNpWb_1s6AXFwMex0bqmzbPb89wcJwtm68IKTZr5bqmoHoa-r4Dsm9hEkOVXaQ0SW6MdpmYlV1OQT8l3WSdNERh7TMJA/s72-c/RIAN+Collage+START.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-8941226887865014461</id><published>2010-07-06T19:15:00.014+01:00</published><updated>2010-07-06T22:38:15.581+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Caucasus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Georgia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Ukraine"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><title type='text'>Whither the &quot;Near Abroad&quot;?</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7QVrmZZUgH6M0sDhowrSizU5WqT1TpCkNFTgzH4z71iRuEabicSIQSatjzZzs3rDuxbpl-SArOYsA8uIfwn5EPtEWLIq-RJURA7x-lt4-5WJl3tbP5eAVABRUr7VlxHMra9WIWw/s1600/stephens1122.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;251&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7QVrmZZUgH6M0sDhowrSizU5WqT1TpCkNFTgzH4z71iRuEabicSIQSatjzZzs3rDuxbpl-SArOYsA8uIfwn5EPtEWLIq-RJURA7x-lt4-5WJl3tbP5eAVABRUr7VlxHMra9WIWw/s400/stephens1122.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.robertamsterdam.com/2007/11/stephens_putins_concentric_circles_of_influence.htm&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
A couple of translations from today&#39;s Johnson&#39;s Russia List:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Rossiiskaya Gazeta&lt;br /&gt;
July 6, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
FAR AWAY AND CLOSE BY&lt;br /&gt;
CIS countries hold little interest for Russia&lt;br /&gt;
Author: Leonid Radzikhovsky&lt;br /&gt;
RUSSIA: CIS COUNTRIES HAVE BEEN OFF THE PRIORITY LIST FOR A LONG TIME NOW&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
When the recent Russian-Belarussian gas war broke out, pointless but no less ferocious for that, President Dmitry Medvedev was away in California prior to attending G8 and G20 meetings.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
What is closer to Russia then - California or Belarus? And what is more important?&amp;nbsp; As a matter of fact, Russia removed CIS countries off its list of priorities long ago.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Trade with post-Soviet countries accounts for only 17% of the total volume of Russian trade with foreign countries. Major recipients of Russian export include (in the descending order) the Netherlands, Italy, Germany, Turkey, and finally Ukraine. Major suppliers to Russia are China, Germany, Japan, and finally Ukraine.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Neither does the Commonwealth offer anything sufficiently interesting to Russian investors. Economies of most post-Soviet countries are so weak and legislations so bizarre that Russian businesses know better then invest in neighbors. Ukraine is probably the only exception. Roman Abramovich and Alisher Usmanov did procure some assets in Donbass there; Ukraine&#39;s Antonov Company recently joined the Russian United Aircraft Corporation.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
As for human contacts, approximately 20 million Russians visited distant foreign countries and about 13 million chose CIS countries in 2008 (no hard data on 2009 travel yet).&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Where political relations are concerned, the overall situation is no better. Everyone remembers conflicts with Georgia (and not just verbal conflicts, unfortunately), Baltic states, Poland, Ukraine (under its previous president), and the permanent &quot;brotherly&quot; quarrel with Belarus. Compared to that, Russia&#39;s relations with major European countries, China, India, Japan, Middle East countries, African and Latin American states are but exemplary.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
So is the relationship with the United States. There are no trade, political, or even information wars between our countries any more. Attitude toward the United States in Russia is changing for the better. Forty-six percent Russians did not see the United States as an adversary a year ago. These days, they already number 59%.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Conclusions:&lt;br /&gt;
1. Russia has many more common economic interests with the European Union, China, and America than with its CIS neighbors;&lt;br /&gt;
2. conflicts with CIS countries vastly outnumber quarrels with distant foreign countries.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
What about the Commonwealth being a zone of Russia&#39;s special interests or zone of influence then? The impression is that the Kremlin means to establish Russian domination of the post-Soviet zone. Forget it. No post-Soviet country will put up with it anymore. Political establishments throughout the Commonwealth are as sensitive to Russian political dictatorship as the Russian establishment is to American or Chinese. Meaning that no dictatorship at all will be tolerated.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
And what do we have then? The Commonwealth has nothing to offer Russia in terms of modernization, particularly technological, that official Moscow is focused on, these days. The Ferghana Valley is not the Silicon Alley after all.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Security of Russia requires at least relative political stability in Central Asia. Unfortunately, the latest developments in Kyrgyzstan make it plain that Russian clout with this region, Russia&#39;s ability to exert influence with it, is quite restricted, not to say non-existent. God bless the Kremlin for having had the&lt;br /&gt;
sense not to send Russian paratroops to rioting Kyrgyzstan. And not to try to tame another regime that would have cost it dearly without giving anything worthwhile in return.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Russia lacks the resources (financial, moral, or physical) for the so called &quot;strong&quot; policy in the region. It follows that it had better abandon its penchant for shouldering all of the responsibility for Central Asia and start involving other&lt;br /&gt;
countries. After all, all of the international community ought to be interested in a stable Central Asia. Once again, the recent events in Kyrgyzstan are proof that nobody in the world is really eager to become involved.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Last but not the least, Moscow should finally do something about the endless saga of the so called Russian-Belarussian union.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Russian-Belarussian union is not a harmless myth. This concept (for lack of a better term) is a source of endless conflicts. Were it not for this myth, it would never have occurred even to Minsk to demand all these colossal preferences and unprecedented discounts from Moscow. Time to dispel this myth and shut down this stillborn project. Invented by Boris Yeltsin&#39;s PR specialists in 1996, it has made no progress at all in all these years. What it keeps fomenting are scandals and quarrels. Were it not for the myth itself, there would have been no high hopes and expectations that are so frequently frustrated. This lie about a union harms both countries. Time to say that there is no Russian-Belarussian union and there has never been any.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Labor immigration is Russia&#39;s major link with CIS countries. The need for cheap labor will keep growing, and Central Asia remains the essentially inexhaustible source of menial workers. This is what Russia ought to focus on. It ought to perfect immigration legislation and so on - but this is Russia&#39;s domestic affair that has nothing at all to do with influence with Central Asian countries.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It all comes down to a choice, really. When the concept of &quot;relations of priority&quot; with CIS countries collides with reality, something ought to be done. Either concept amended, or reality changed. What&#39;s your pleasure? &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
___________________________________________________&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Kommersant&lt;br /&gt;
July 6, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
RELOAD BYPASSING RUSSIA&lt;br /&gt;
Official Washington is rebuilding its clout with Ukraine and republics of the Caucasus&lt;br /&gt;
Author: Alexander Gabuyev, Georgy Dvali, Rafael Mustafayev, Ike Dzhanpoladjan&lt;br /&gt;
WASHINGTON DISAGREES WITH THE CONCEPT THAT REGARDS UKRAINE AND THE CAUCASUS AS A ZONE OF MOSCOW&#39;S EXCLUSIVE INTERESTS     &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
U.S. State Secretary Hillary Clinton completed her tour of Ukraine, Poland, and three countries of the Caucasus. The trip was intended to bolster America&#39;s clout with these countries and facilitate Nabucco, project of a gas pipeline to Europe bypassing Russia. Reload or no reload, Clinton&#39;s tour plainly shows that the United States denies Russia the right to regard Ukraine and republics of the Caucasus as a zone of its special, much less exclusive interests.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Clinton visited Ukraine, Poland, Azerbaijan, Armenia, and Georgia - just like Vice President Joe Biden did a year ago. Biden visited Ukraine and Georgia right in the wake of his patron Barack Obama&#39;s triumphant visit to the capital of Russia. It was Washington&#39;s way of telling Moscow that the United States stands by its allies regardless of what might be happening in and with the American-Russian relations.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It is fair to add that America&#39;s positions in the region did weaken in the last twelve months. New President of Ukraine Victor Yanukovich began his term of office with the permission to Russia to leave its Black Sea Fleet in the Crimea after 2017. Not a single senior functionary of the U.S. Administration visited Ukraine yet (before Clinton). As for Poland, it is still seething at Obama for abandonment of his predecessor&#39;s plans to develop the third position area in this country (and in the Czech Republic). Where countries of the Caucasus are concerned, it was Clinton&#39;s first visit there in the capacity of the state secretary. Moreover, the United States does not even have its ambassador in Azerbaijan. Its inability to choose an adequate candidate remains a source of quiet resentment for official Baku.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
That Clinton could not hope to solve or even address all problems in the course of so brief a visit goes without saying. Assistant Secretary Philip Gordon explained that Clinton&#39;s tour was supposed to demonstrate that the United States has no intention to abandon its own interests in the region for the sake of betterment of the relations with Moscow. In fact, Clinton&#39;s brief stay in Kiev confirmed it. She discussed with Yanukovich advancement of the relations between Ukraine and the Western community and assured him that NATO was always there, waiting for him to change his mind perhaps and apply for membership after all.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The day Clinton deplaned in Kiev, the International Monetary Fund declared readiness to loan Ukraine $14.9 billion. Foreign Minister Konstantin Grischenko in the meantime announced that Clinton and he discussed &quot;diversification of nuclear fuel suppliers&quot;. Contract with Russia&#39;s TVEL signed last month all but made the Russians monopolists in the Ukrainian market of nuclear fuel - or so the Russians thought. It seems now that Westinghouse might elbow its way in, too.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Clinton visited Azerbaijan and Armenia within a single day, Sunday. She met with presidents Ilham Aliyev and Serj Sargsjan as well as with her opposite numbers Elmar Mamedjarov and Edward Nalbandjan. The visitor spoke, choosing her words carefully, of the necessity to settle the matter of Karabakh on the basis of the&lt;br /&gt;
Madrid Principles formulated by the OSCE Minsk Group. Considering seriousness of the problem, it is unlikely that Clinton expected her brief speech to have any effect on Karabakh conflict resolution process.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In any event, she had other things to discuss with the hosts, things of more immediate interest to the United States. With Sargsjan, she discussed normalization of the relations with Turkey and called for the opening of the Turkish-Armenian border the sooner the better. In Azerbaijan, the discourse was centered around energy cooperation. Neither Clinton nor Azerbaijani functionaries offered comment afterwards, but observers assumed that they had been discussing Nabucco, the international project halted due to the discord between Baku and Ankara over gas transit. In fact, Aliyev put off his planned visit to Turkey on two occasions already.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Georgia was the last stop on Clinton&#39;s route. The visiting U.S. functionary called Abkhazia and South Ossetia &quot;occupied by Russia&quot; to President Mikhail Saakashvili&#39;s vast relief. Her meeting with Saakashvili over, Clinton met with leaders of the Christian Democrats and Free Democrats. The former are represented in the parliament of Georgia. Leader of the latter Irakly Alasania had polled almost 20% in the race for mayor of Tbilisi not long ago. Official Washington regards Alasania as a promising politician in the light of the presidential election scheduled to take place in Georgia in 2013. Also importantly, Alasania served as representative of Georgia to the UN in the past. He has extensive contacts within the American establishment.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Alasania&#39;s aide Aleksy Petriashvili said that his patron and Clinton discussed politics - presidential election, undesirability of amendment of the Constitution or transformation of Georgia into a parliamentary republic where Saakashvili will remain essentially the ruler in the premier&#39;s capacity.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/8941226887865014461/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/8941226887865014461?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8941226887865014461'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8941226887865014461'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/07/whither-near-abroad.html' title='Whither the &quot;Near Abroad&quot;?'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7QVrmZZUgH6M0sDhowrSizU5WqT1TpCkNFTgzH4z71iRuEabicSIQSatjzZzs3rDuxbpl-SArOYsA8uIfwn5EPtEWLIq-RJURA7x-lt4-5WJl3tbP5eAVABRUr7VlxHMra9WIWw/s72-c/stephens1122.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-7185257022814532255</id><published>2010-07-06T07:11:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2010-07-06T12:19:07.970+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="language"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Ukraine"/><title type='text'>Talking past each other</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://media.stratfor.com/mmf/9/9/991f4161bdc96f0c1c3d3352e840ce1c5949b1a3.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;320&quot; src=&quot;http://media.stratfor.com/mmf/9/9/991f4161bdc96f0c1c3d3352e840ce1c5949b1a3.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://media.stratfor.com/mmf/9/9/991f4161bdc96f0c1c3d3352e840ce1c5949b1a3.jpg&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Nezavisimaya Gazeta&lt;br /&gt;
July 5, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
Russian language loses its status [translation from JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
The Ukrainian leadership provoked a new wave of &quot;linguistic sovereignty&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
By Tatiana Ivzhenko (Kiev) &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Ukraine is facing another language war: recently, Leninsky District Court of Sevastopol had overturned the decision made by the Sevastopol City Council on awarding Russian a regional language status. At the same time, the resolution, adopted by the Supreme Soviet of Crimea on May 26, on implementation of constitutional guarantees on the free use of the Russian language, which implies a de facto rise of status of the Russian language in the autonomy, remains in force. All the confusion could be settled by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, although deputies note that the language politics are once again being influenced by the election campaign.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Late last week, the Ukrainian parliament had scheduled local elections for October 31. These election results will determine if the ruling Party of Regions will be able to complete the formation of a rigid vertical of power or be forced to deal with the powerful opposition, represented by regional structures. Therefore, it looks as though all pressing issues, capable of splitting the society, are being set aside until after the elections ­ one of which is the language issue.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The position to grant the Russian language a status of the second official state language was a part of the election campaign program of the Party of Regions and Viktor Yanukovich. Soon after the elections, an ally of the newly-elected president, Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration, Anna German, told Nezavisimaya Gazeta (NG) that an immediate implementation of the campaign promise should not be expected. She explained that it requires a complex and lengthy procedure of amending the Ukrainian Constitution. &quot;When supporters of the idea to raise the Russian language to the official state level have a constitutional majority of 300 votes in the Verkhovna Rada, then this issue may be resolved,&quot; said German.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
She added that Yanukovich will not wait until the number of allies in the parliament increases, and will, instead, resolve the problem by other means: &quot;We could implement the European Charter for Regional of Minority Languages in the Ukrainian legislation, which will allow giving Russian a regional status in places with Russian-speaking population&quot;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In mid-May, a corresponding bill was registered in the parliament by Party of Regions deputy Vadim Kolesnichenko. He explained that in case the document is adopted, local authorities will be able to independently make decisions on regional language or languages ­ &quot;in places where more than 10% speak the regional language&quot;. The deputy does expect the bill to be approved before the summer legislative recess, although he did caution: &quot;There is one sword of Damocles, which is also known as &#39;the approaching [local] elections&#39;&quot;. However, Kolesnichenko was talking about the elections in the context of the Party of Regions&#39; implementation of its election pledges. Meanwhile, Yanukovich&#39;s current allies in the parliamentary coalition view the problem differently.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada, Vladimir Litvin, whose faction is part of the coalition, fears that the language issue will deepen the split of Ukraine. Many experts have criticized Litvin, suspecting him in an attempt to pass between two fires by neither supporting the idea of raising the Russian language&#39;s status nor the maintenance of the linguistic status-quo.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The situation, developing around the status of the Russian language, could divide the country.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
This opinion is strongly shared by the Communist Party, which had registered its own language law much earlier than Kolesnikov had submitted his document. Its author, Deputy Leonid Grach, believes that many politicians are, once again, trying to exploit the language issue with the objective to benefit at the elections, but are not planning to change anything about the situation that has unfolded in Ukraine. He recalls that Yanukovich promised to raise the status of Russian to the level of an official state language in 2004 and in 2009, but in the end, distanced himself from the process.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Vadim Kolesnichenko agrees that &quot;Russian is the native language for 30% of the population, all other national minority languages amount to 0.4%&quot;. That is precisely why he is convinced that adoption of his draft law, will, de facto, lead to upgrading the status of Russian on most territories.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Because resolution of the question is once again being delayed and is drowning in procedural complexities, in late May, the Supreme Soviet of Crimea had adopted a decision to raise the status of Russian on the territory of the autonomy. This prompted protests from Crimea&#39;s Tatars and national-democratic forces in Kiev. Deputies of Viktor Yushchenko&#39;s party insisted that the prosecutor general initiates legal action in connection to the violation of the Constitution of Ukraine. Even Party of Regions deputies agree that their Crimean colleagues had put the cart before the horse by refusing to wait until the issue is settled at the national level. &quot;They will have Supreme Soviet elections in the fall; that is why they are in a hurry to score some points,&quot; a member of the ruling coalition ­ who agrees with the view that, in doing so, Crimea&#39;s deputies have compromised the ratings of the Party of Regions ­ told NG. Neither Ukraine&#39;s Prosecutor General&#39;s Office nor the Ministry of Justice had reacted to the situation. Meanwhile, the Odessa Oblast of Ukraine is preparing to declare &quot;Russian language sovereignty&quot;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In order to save face and keep the situation under control, central authorities are forced to act the same as Viktor Yushchenko&#39;s allies did in 2006 ­ through the courts. The former president&#39;s team managed to extinguish the &quot;language fire&quot; with harsh judicial verdicts, which accused the local authorities of exceeding their limits of authority and violation of the Constitution. The new decision of the Sevastopol District Court continues the old tradition. However, the problem cannot be resolved without it being regulated by the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine. It looks as though one document won&#39;t be enough. Even its author, Kolesnikov, admits that in the years since its independence, Ukraine has adopted &quot;more than 100 laws, which directly prohibit the use of Russian language and other national minority languages&quot;. Meanwhile, the authorities, who are busy tackling economic problems and preparing for the local elections, do not have enough time to reconcile these documents, raising the status of Russian, if not to the official state level, then at least to the level of an official language for documentation.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/7185257022814532255/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/7185257022814532255?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7185257022814532255'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7185257022814532255'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/07/talking-past-each-other.html' title='Talking past each other'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-8054108471958790008</id><published>2010-07-02T20:54:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2010-07-06T12:18:23.788+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Moldova"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Romania"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transdniester"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Transnistria"/><title type='text'>Moldova&#39;s neighborhood as seen from Moscow</title><content type='html'>Selections from the &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.rian.ru/papers/20100625/159574707.html&quot;&gt;June 25&lt;/a&gt; and &lt;a href=&quot;http://en.rian.ru/papers/20100628/159605478.html&quot;&gt;June 28&lt;/a&gt; editions of RIA Novosti&#39;s &quot;What the Russian Papers Say&quot; section:&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;Nezavisimaya Gazeta &lt;/i&gt;- Bucharest blacklists Moscow&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Romanian President Traian Basescu has submitted to the parliament a draft national defense strategy listing Russia as an external threat. The document says the deployment of Russian forces in the Republic of Moldova threatens Romania&#39;s national security.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The defense strategy mentions the deployment of foreign troops, rather than Russia&#39;s peacekeeping force, near Romanian borders. Moldovan media has promptly reported Bucharest&#39;s intention to take an active part in the region&#39;s demilitarization and the withdrawal of illegally deployed weapons systems.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The response in Transnistria, a breakaway territory located between the Dniester River, the eastern Moldovan border, and Ukraine, where the Russian task force is deployed, has been more emphatic: Bucharest must not intervene, or it will do more harm than good.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Transnistria&#39;s Foreign Minister Vladimir Yastrebchak stressed that the self-proclaimed republic&#39;s stance regarding the presence of the Russian peacekeeping force and limited troop contingent on its territory had remained unchanged since the end of the 1992 armed conflict between Chisinau and Tiraspol.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Commenting on Romania&#39;s proposal to mediate a bilateral peace settlement, Yastrebchak said Bucharest had already acted as mediator in the run-up to the 1992 war. At the time Romania supplied weapons to the Moldovan army, which had unleashed the conflict.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It may be a paradox, but Serafim Urekyan, leader of the Alliance Our Moldova, part of the Alliance for European Integration ruling coalition, supported Yastrebchak. Although Moldova and Romania are more than just neighbors, Bucharest had better mind its own business and not intervene in our affairs, Urekyan said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Moldovan politician said the conflict between Chisinau and Tiraspol should be settled in line with the Five Plus Two negotiating format involving Russia, Ukraine and the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) as guarantors and mediators, the European Union and the United States as observers, as well as Moldova and Transnistria as the parties to the conflict.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Urekyan also said the peace settlement should duly heed the relevant agreements on this issue between Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych and German Chancellor Angela Merkel.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bucharest&#39;s new draft national security strategy notes that the last barriers dividing a single nation could be eliminated by involving Romania in a common European space, Urekyan said. This implies Moldova being openly called a second Romanian state by Bucharest, which does not recognize the existence of the Moldovan nation.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Moscow and Brussels would do everything possible to resume negotiations, and that the main task was to search for a mutually acceptable resolution of this conflict through the preservation and strengthening of Moldovan sovereignty. Lavrov added that the EU may become involved in the Transnistria peacekeeping mission.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;Vzglyad &lt;/i&gt;[often-tendentious online pro-Kremlin rag] - Top Moldovan official signs controversial document&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
(Acting Moldovan president tries to add Soviet Occupation Day to national calendar)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Moldovan Parliament Speaker Mihai Gimpu, who is now acting president of Moldova, has signed a decree on marking Soviet Occupation Day every June 28. Gimpu admitted that he had issued the decree without consulting his colleagues in the Alliance for European Integration ruling coalition.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
On June 28, 1940, Soviet forces entered Bessarabia, and this became a black day in the history of Moldova, Gimpu said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Political analyst Pavel Svyatenkov at the Moscow-based Institute of National Strategy said Moldova was following in the wake of other East European states, former Warsaw Pact members.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;But Moldova was part of the Soviet Union. It has an absolutely special status because Moldovan nationalists believe that there is only one Romanian, rather than Moldovan, nation. Moldova&#39;s conversion to anti-Communism is another step in severing ties with Russia,&quot; Svyatenko told the paper.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Gennady Konenko, head of the Moldova and Transdnestr section at the Institute of CIS Studies, said the decision to institute Soviet Occupation Day was not historically or legally motivated. He said Romania had taken advantage of Soviet Russia&#39;s weaknesses in 1918 and seized the Bessarabia Gubernia (Region) which had been part of the Russian Empire since 1812.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The opposition Communist Party of Moldova thinks that Gimpu has soured relations with Russia and was whipping up an anti-Communist hysteria in order to boost his popularity ratings before presidential elections. The latest opinion polls show Gimpu is supported by only 2% of respondents. Consequently, he is in no position to assume top state positions in the future.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In his decree, Gimpu demanded that Russia, the Soviet Union&#39;s legal successor, unconditionally and promptly withdraw its forces and weapons from Moldova. A Russian troop contingent has been fulfilling a peacekeeping mission in the self-proclaimed Transdnestr Republic since 1992.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Yuri Muntyan, Executive Secretary of the Moldovan Communist Party&#39;s Central Committee, said Gimpu and other ruling coalition leaders were ready to deprive Russian of its interethnic language status, and were preparing to amend the current polyethnic national policy concept.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Muntyan said his party was preparing to oppose official repressions strictly by legal means. The Communist Party is confident that Gimpu&#39;s decisions will be abolished after it stages a political comeback. Consequently, there will probably not be enough time for June 28 to become part of Moldova&#39;s political calendar.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;i&gt;Nezavisimaya Gazeta &lt;/i&gt;- Moldova to mark Soviet Occupation Day&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
New tensions in Russian-Moldovan relations were provoked by Moldovan authorities, who declared June 28 Soviet Occupation Day. Russia is the legal successor of the Soviet Union, which collapsed in 1991, and must now withdraw its &quot;occupation troops&quot; from Transdnestr, a breakaway republic of Moldova, the Moldovan leader said in a decree.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Acting President Mihai Ghimpu has recreated the situation of 1991, when his predecessor, Mircea Snegur declared war on Russia during his speech in parliament, but took his words back almost immediately. However, Ghimpu will not rethink or reword his demand.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
He is preparing for the parliamentary and possibly presidential elections and needs to increase his extremely low rating of 2%. The popularity of his Liberal Party has fallen in the past six months, and its members are fleeing to another pro-Romanian rightwing party, the Liberal Democratic Party, whose rating has been growing.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Ghimpu has nowhere else to win votes because Moldova&#39;s rightwing electorate comprising intellectuals and students who identify themselves as Romanians is very stable, 20%, and has not been growing. That electorate is divided between the two parties, which reflect certain moods of society but not of its majority. This explains why Moldovans are divided over Ghimpu&#39;s decree.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Moldovan parliament will today hear a report on the consequences of the Communist regime in the country. The agenda includes a proposal to prohibit the use of all Soviet and Communist Party symbols in the republic.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Ghimpu is expected to submit to parliament a draft law canceling the concept of the republic&#39;s nationalities policy adopted in 2003, in which Moldova was described as a polyethnic state and Russian as the dominant spoken language. That concept provoked major protests in the republic.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Valery Klimenko, leader of the socio-political movement Equality, described the developments as a rollback to the 1990s, when the Moldovan People&#39;s (Popular) Front held the power in the republic. Ghimpu was one of its leaders.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The extreme rightwing government pursued a policy that provoked an armed conflict on the Dniester, which has not been settled to this day, Klimenko said.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Bulgars and Gagauz, small ethnic groups living in compact communities in the south of Moldova, have expressed protest against the authorities&#39; actions that are complicating relations with Russia.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The Civil Society movement said it would call people to the streets today, but the Liberals have the support of young people, who are society&#39;s most energetic part. This means that Ghimpu&#39;s decree may provoke clashes in Chisinau, the capital of Moldova.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/8054108471958790008/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/8054108471958790008?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8054108471958790008'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8054108471958790008'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/07/moldovas-neighborhood-as-seen-from.html' title='Moldova&#39;s neighborhood as seen from Moscow'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-4991612400709543932</id><published>2010-06-29T08:44:00.005+01:00</published><updated>2010-06-29T14:54:02.495+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Biznes"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="medvedev"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia Obama"/><title type='text'>The most important thing....</title><content type='html'>&lt;div align=&quot;center&quot;&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiusOy8RKaD5q2sEHypuQoQL8x7VBQn33oKbD1M801gJGgzBd85H_5hkY4W5nxudWgNWun5TZy_BijnTAKe42dEIyY3GrVQ7lW5M2TfiX9IZP30YfATokIyboux52h3F409fEsK_w/s1600/espionage.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;400&quot; ru=&quot;true&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiusOy8RKaD5q2sEHypuQoQL8x7VBQn33oKbD1M801gJGgzBd85H_5hkY4W5nxudWgNWun5TZy_BijnTAKe42dEIyY3GrVQ7lW5M2TfiX9IZP30YfATokIyboux52h3F409fEsK_w/s400/espionage.jpg&quot; width=&quot;300&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;[&lt;/span&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.wired.com/dangerroom/2008/04/espionage-no-lo/&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt; - a Wired story about how espionage just doesn&#39;t pay like it used to]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
The headline below is correct - clearly, &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.therussiamonitor.com/2010/06/spy-vs-spy-feds-bust-svr-deep-cover.html&quot;&gt;&lt;em&gt;spies&lt;/em&gt; are about to become the most important thing&lt;/a&gt;.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Vedomosti&lt;br /&gt;
June 28, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
SECURITY IS NOT THE MOST IMPORTANT THING [translation from JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
At the summit in Washington: Russia is more interested in economic and technological cooperation with the US &lt;br /&gt;
Author: Alexei Nikolsky, Natalia Kostenko&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Only four of the ten joint statements of Dmitry Medvedev and&amp;nbsp;Barack Obama released after completion of the visit of the President of Russia to the US are connected with international security. The parties confirmed the need for ratification of the treaty on reduction of strategic offensive arms (START) signed in Prague in April and agreed to continue exchange of data about missile launches and creation of a system of global monitoring of these launches in the future and spoke &quot;in favor of strengthening of the regime of control over conventional arms in Europe.&quot; The latter means solving of the problems related to the conventional forces in Europe treaty (CFE). Russia froze its participation in the CFE in 2007 after the new NATO members refused to ratify its modified version. The US and Russia also adopted a statement on combating of terrorism (it was decided to organize joint military exercises), on Afghanistan (transit there through Russia will be broadened) and on Kyrgyzstan (for the soonest stabilization and establishment of democracy). A source in the Russian delegation says that the statement on Kyrgyzstan means that both countries that have military bases in Kyrgyzstan will abstain from unilateral steps and will have consultations about the measures that should lead to destabilization of the situation.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Of the remaining six statements two have a humanitarian nature and four deal with economy and development of technologies, for example, entrance into WTO. The two agreements on Skolkovo signed during the visit of Medvedev are dedicated to the same topics. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
According to the source in the Russian delegation, the statements in the field of security were promoted by the American party more, whereas the Russian delegation put an emphasis on economic cooperation. The source added that the US persistently proposed continuation of nuclear disarmament in the form of the measures for limitation of tactical nuclear weapons, but Moscow looked at this process more cautiously and was not sure that it would receive benefits from it. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Dean of MGIMO Ivan Safranchuk says that such attitude of Moscow is quite explainable. Security topics related to nuclear weapons and third countries like Iran, North Korea and Afghanistan have dominated in the Russian-American relations for a long time. Having adopted a course at modernization, Russia saw a different benefit in relations with the US and was not enthusiastic about a return to recalculation of warheads.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/4991612400709543932/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/4991612400709543932?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/4991612400709543932'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/4991612400709543932'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/06/most-important-thing.html' title='The most important thing....'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiusOy8RKaD5q2sEHypuQoQL8x7VBQn33oKbD1M801gJGgzBd85H_5hkY4W5nxudWgNWun5TZy_BijnTAKe42dEIyY3GrVQ7lW5M2TfiX9IZP30YfATokIyboux52h3F409fEsK_w/s72-c/espionage.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-2455094037643383085</id><published>2010-06-23T09:04:00.002+01:00</published><updated>2010-06-23T16:11:32.651+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Belarus"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="EU"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Gas"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><title type='text'>The gas flap in the broader context of Belarusian-Russian relations</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlyFJsPlxiyYEZckWiArIefA47LEwJNV4Ljf5MQClNHI5NkTMCuMwbeyOmZUHoTIMybSwL70bO-VOQoIJsdXeLIrKGMgtm4DK3_70G5O50QCCj2U5q6nspYh0_P_aIUjE1BduMdQ/s1600/GAZ.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;300&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlyFJsPlxiyYEZckWiArIefA47LEwJNV4Ljf5MQClNHI5NkTMCuMwbeyOmZUHoTIMybSwL70bO-VOQoIJsdXeLIrKGMgtm4DK3_70G5O50QCCj2U5q6nspYh0_P_aIUjE1BduMdQ/s400/GAZ.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;color: #333333; font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://www.rferl.org/content/Russia_Again_Reduces_Gas_Deliveries_Belarus_Unpaid_Debt/2079041.html&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;color: #333333; font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: small;&quot;&gt;Russia-Belarus Relations at a  Political &#39;Standoff&#39;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Gazeta&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;a href=&quot;http://r20.rs6.net/tn.jsp?et=1103507510032&amp;amp;s=4747&amp;amp;e=001v5kYqs3uPiqBoOLn9xG7JqiFsMcgEFK6zqFvT9uXfGB1VnynK3oeLyJTiycDQ1jEnTu6YOom5AZ80XcXRfcOB1_xpqTFdbNvOsIDnVUzipw=&quot; shape=&quot;rect&quot; style=&quot;color: blue; text-decoration: underline;&quot; target=&quot;_blank&quot;&gt;www.gzt.ru&lt;/a&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
June 21, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
Article  by Fedor Lukyanov: &quot;Russia&#39;s Conscience&quot;&amp;nbsp;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;span style=&quot;color: #333333; font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif; font-size: small;&quot;&gt;[Translation from JRL - note: see &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.businessneweurope.eu/storyf2163/MOSCOW_BLOG_Belarus_backs_down_on_gas_bill_as_Russia_gets_its_energy_PR_right&quot;&gt;here for another comment&lt;/a&gt; on this story]&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The latest conflict  between Moscow and Minsk is no surprise to anyone, because there has  already long been no trace of the &quot;union fraternity.&quot; But the  present-day opposition does not look like the previous rounds. The  general context has changed, which has also influenced the logic of  behavior of the parties. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The difference in Russian-Belarusian  relations from Russia&#39;s relations with other neighbors consists of the  fact that they were based on an economic foundation. This may seem like a  paradox, because, since the late 1990&#39;s, Moscow and Minsk were  specifically in a political union and practically always held identical  positions on questions of foreign and domestic policy. But this alliance  was predominantly declarative in nature. However, thanks to the  presence of the Union State, political differences were formally removed  and did not require special regulation, including with the aid of  economic levers of effect (as was the case with, say, Ukraine, Moldova,  Georgia, and the Baltic countries). &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The bilateral conflicts of  the zero years, which were sometimes very acute, always had the same  essence: Attempts to convert political unions into economic dividends.  On the part of Russia, the discussion centered around acquisition of  Belarusian assets that were necessary for restoration of former Soviet  production chains. On the part of Belarus, the goal was to ensure  maximal subsidization of the national economy on the part of Moscow. And  although the outwardly transitory clashes of Russia and Belarus were  reminiscent of the similar Russian-Ukrainian scenario, they did not have  the political aftertaste that was characteristic of the latter. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Today,  relations have taken on the nature of political opposition. Aleksandr  Lukashenka openly spoke out against the Kremlin in an acute and  extremely dangerous crisis: The overthrow in Kyrgyzstan and the events  that followed it. Having supported Kurmanbek Bakiyev and given him the  tribune of the CIS (the ex-president is speaking out in the Minsk staff  headquarters of that organization), and in fact accusing Moscow of  supporting the overthrow of a legitimate head of state, the Belarusian  leader has cast doubt upon Russia&#39;s right to post-Soviet leadership.  Moreover, this is happening at a moment when objective prerequisites  have arisen for such leadership. The other subjects of big world  politics are immersed in their own problems and, in essence, do not  object to Moscow&#39;s sorting out all of the problems on the territory of  the former USSR that everyone else has grown tired of. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
In prior  years, all efforts - intellectual, political-diplomatic, economic, and  even military - were aimed at proving to foreign players in the West  that Moscow had a predominant influence in that part of the planet. The  course was crowned with success, partly because of the consequences of  the world crisis, but nevertheless... And here, it turned out that there  was no well thought-out plan for restoring leadership. And Lukashenka  himself assumed the role of a sort of &quot;conscience of Russia,&quot; constantly  pointing out to Moscow the inconsistency and contradictory nature of  its policy. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The non-recognition of Abkhazia and South Ossetia  was reminiscent of Russia&#39;s former position on Kosovo, which Moscow  rejected in the case of Georgia. Defense of Bakiyev underscored the fact  that the interim government, supported by Russia, has no legal basis,  that everything that it does is, strictly speaking, unlawful, and that  Moscow shares responsibility for the lawlessness. The refusal to join  the Customs Union is a confirmation of the unequal nature of  integration, under which the strongest partner makes too few steps  toward the weaker ones. Finally, the gas conflict exposed the double  standards of Russia: It opts for concessions to Kiev, which is not  included in any associations with Moscow, yet makes access more  difficult for Minsk, which is formally its closest ally. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Lukashenka  says all this publicly, with his inherent talent and convincingness,  and also rather willfully juggling the facts. Obviously, the President  of Belarus is not fighting for the law and justice in general - he is  building his own independent line of defense against Russian pressure by  raising the stakes in case of a &quot;big deal.&quot; &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
An independent line  is needed because he cannot count on the support of Europe, to which  Russia&#39;s opponents on the post-Soviet area usually appeal. And this is  not because Batka&#39;s (&quot;Batka&quot; is nickname for Lukashenka, meaning  &quot;Father&quot; - translator&#39;s note) authoritarian practice does not suit the  West - it would close its eyes to this. Actually, the European Union had  begun to clearly &quot;warm up&quot; to Minsk even before the Russian-Georgian  war, and the process was accelerated after August of 2008. But the  economic - and then also political - crisis of the European Union  reduced its activity on the post-Soviet area to a minimum. Brussels and  the capitals of the leading states clearly cannot be bothered with this  now. Belarus, of course, will try to revive the European phobia against  Russian energy imperialism, but the repercussions will not be comparable  to the previous &quot;gas wars.&quot; Furthermore, the volumes of transit through  Belarus are many times less than through Ukraine. It is summer now, and  what Europe wants most of all is not to be distracted from the battle  over the euro. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Minsk evidently understands this, and so it  intends to rely on its own efforts. Lukashenka is holding some trump  cards. Aside from the Customs Union, which remains a key priority for  Moscow, these now also include the CSTO. Russia needs this organization  for legitimization of possible actions in Kyrgyzstan, and Belarus is  fully capable of imposing a veto. Especially since Lukashenka&#39;s position  on Bakiyev (we cannot change the status-quo) finds if not support, then  at least the tacit understanding of his counterparts - Islam Karimov,  Emomali Rakhmon and Nursultan Nazarbayev. All of them fear to one degree  or another that, if Russia is allowed to intervene in domestic affairs,  sooner or later this will also affect them. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
For Moscow, the  conflict with Minsk this time is also primarily political. Integration  projects - the creation of the Customs Union, the strengthening of the  CSTO - are attempts by Russia to use the world situation and the absence  of interest of other players to stop the expansion of other centers of  power (EU, China, US) on the post-Soviet area. As strange as it may  seem, it is specifically Belarus that has become the main obstacle in  the path of realization of this goal, especially because Lukashenka  cannot be called either anyone&#39;s puppet, or a Russophobe dreamer. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Russia&#39;s  relations with Belarus today are at a crossroads. It is no accident  that the Russian envoy to Belarus, Ambassador Aleksandr Surikov, stated  that, if Minsk refuses to join the Customs Union, Moscow may return full  customs control to the border between the two countries. This is  logical. The project of the Union State in the form in which it was once  devised by Boris Yeltsin and Aleksandr Lukashenka has fully exhausted  itself. Now there must be a qualitative change. Either this is the  beginning of real step-by-step integration, which the Customs Union  project envisions. Or it is a return to the fully autonomous existence,  with total re-computation (deliveries, transit, duties, markets, payment  for military facilities, etc.). &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Then again, the second variant  would be a political defeat for Russia, because it would demonstrate its  inability to convince even its closest ally of the benefit of  cooperation. For Belarus, this is also fraught with difficulties:  Without preferential conditions and subsidies on the part of Moscow, the  Belarusian economy would find itself in an extremely difficult  position, and it does not have anyone in particular to count on. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The  current opposition of Moscow and Minsk is a war of nerves. Russia needs  to prove at any cost that it is capable of overcoming any opposition  and achieving its set goals. Belarus must stake out the status of a  privileged partner, with whom one must come to agreement seriously and  with full respect. And the standoff continues. &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
(Begin boxed  material) Fedor Lukyanov &lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Lukyanov&#39;s biography is an example of  how devotion to a beloved cause becomes a guarantee of success. He began  his activity in the foreign broadcast editorial office of Moscow Radio.  After that, he worked at the newspaper, Segodnya, and later assumed the  duties of deputy chief editor of the newspaper, Vremya Novostey. In  2002, Lukyanov headed up the journal, Russia in Global Politics. A year  later, he became a member of the Council on Foreign and Defense Policy.  Lukyanov has a rare hobby - political caricature of the Soviet period.  (End boxed material) &lt;/span&gt;</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/2455094037643383085/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/2455094037643383085?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/2455094037643383085'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/2455094037643383085'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/06/gas-flap-in-broader-context-of.html' title='The gas flap in the broader context of Belarusian-Russian relations'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjlyFJsPlxiyYEZckWiArIefA47LEwJNV4Ljf5MQClNHI5NkTMCuMwbeyOmZUHoTIMybSwL70bO-VOQoIJsdXeLIrKGMgtm4DK3_70G5O50QCCj2U5q6nspYh0_P_aIUjE1BduMdQ/s72-c/GAZ.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-8699442697026293200</id><published>2010-06-21T08:41:00.001+01:00</published><updated>2010-06-21T16:01:07.017+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia Obama"/><title type='text'>Resetting, Reloading and Rolling up Sleeves</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjenwRk2-ZwSWw2NBA0V5oOCo4HM1m82XibqWy5xo1pryMCzrXWqD0Ikw66fy9A3q_sB937Yy-5DkBFxQqsNCkKluHWptG-RO-fBqJsMG9Kld6a1V0cyVPgPrAVLYSh5YwBCSjSsw/s1600/whblog_0323.jpg&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;266&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjenwRk2-ZwSWw2NBA0V5oOCo4HM1m82XibqWy5xo1pryMCzrXWqD0Ikw66fy9A3q_sB937Yy-5DkBFxQqsNCkKluHWptG-RO-fBqJsMG9Kld6a1V0cyVPgPrAVLYSh5YwBCSjSsw/s400/whblog_0323.jpg&quot; width=&quot;400&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size: x-small;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://img.timeinc.net/time/daily/2009/0903/whblog_0323.jpg&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
Rossiiskaya Gazeta&lt;br /&gt;
June 21, 2010 [translation from JRL]&lt;br /&gt;
&quot;ROLLED-UP SLEEVES&quot; SUMMIT&lt;br /&gt;
An interview with Russian Ambassador to the United States Sergei Kislyak&lt;br /&gt;
Author: Andrei Shitov&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: What can you say about the forthcoming Russian-American summit? &lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: It is going to be an important visit indeed, the first official visit of our president to the United States. President Dmitry Medvedev visited the United States on many occasions already but they were not official visits.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; Agenda of the visit is known. The presidents will discuss a broad range of issues including arms control, of course. Still, there is more to the bilateral relations between Russia and the United States than arms control. There is a colossal potential for economic contacts. Russia&#39;s interest in innovations and advanced technologies is well known as well. I reckon that the presidents will discuss it all.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: The Americans sometimes call the forthcoming meeting an innovations summit...&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: Yes, this is going to be an important component of the summit. All the same, it is wrong to assume that innovations are all the presidents will be discussing.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: What will it be - a discourse over strategic cooperation or something more specific than that?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: First and foremost, we have a presidential commission. Its working groups comprising ministers and deputy ministers already discuss specific projects. I&#39;m convinced that the report on the work of the commission to be presented to the heads of states will become a solid foundation of our strategic cooperation. It is strategy that the presidents will be discussing.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: Will the report be published?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: Work on the report continues and diplomats have a rule: they never make declarations on whatever is not complete yet. In any event, a good deal of information on the progress made by the commission will be made available to general public.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: Will any economic documents be drawn along with the report?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: Some points will be made but I cannot say in what form, yet. It might be a joint statement, for example.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: What about political documents then?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: Not every summit inevitably ends in adoption of some major document, you know. The presidents seem to trust each other which is fine. It enables them to listen to each other and to pool efforts rather than work at cross purposes. It is more than an exchange of opinions. It sets the tone and atmosphere of political relations between our countries.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: Well, perhaps, you could say something more definite about the expected results of the summit?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: Lots of matters are on the agenda. Some of them will be addressed and solved, others will not. There are traditional items like nonproliferation and war on terrorism, there are others that are important too. There are no rules saying that every summit ought to end in a joint statement on every item on the agenda. What counts is that work continues. We would like to see the Americans participating in innovation programs in Russia, and I hope that the summit will encourage it.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; There are trade talks as well. It will be wrong to assume that they will be concluded in time for the summit. Work continues. In any event, it is going to be a working summit meaning that the presidents will be addressing genuine problems rather than going through the motions for the benefit of public relations.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: How would you appraise the current state of the Russian-American relations?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: I came to the United States after the Georgian aggression against South Ossetia. Relations between our countries at that time were probably the worst ever since the end of the Cold War.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; The new Administration came to the White House with its own views on international affairs and, among them, relations with Russia. The situation started changing, and changing fast. Barack Obama suggested a &quot;reload&quot; and he meant it. So did we, for that matter. It is hardly surprising of course considering common challenges Russia and the United States are facing. The &quot;reload&quot; is bearing fruit already. Our relations are more sincere now. Our counties listen to each other.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; It does not mean, of course, that we always agree with each other. We do not. What counts, however, is that we discuss whatever we disagree on in a civilized manner.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: Does the term &quot;reload&quot; really apply to what is happening in the bilateral relations?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: It was perfect once, when it was necessary to extricate our relations from the tight corner they had been in. The way I see it, the period of &quot;reload&quot; is over now. I&#39;d say that what we are doing now is establishing solid partnership.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: What changes in the American approach are particularly important to Russia?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: Signing of the START treaty was quite important an event. It is not the reduction as such that really matters. What matters is that this document demonstrates cooperation between Russia and the United States in strategic stability maintenance. It was made plain by the very nature of the talks and their atmosphere. I hope that both signatories will ratify the document soon.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; Readiness of the US Administration to take an unbiased look at the American ballistic missile defense system in Europe is also important. What Washington intends to develop in Europe causes no concerns. Military clarity and stability along our borders improved some. Anyway, the Cold War is over and I do not think that it will ever return.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: Has the Russian diplomacy responded to changes in the U.S. policy?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: But of course. We took the &quot;reload&quot; seriously and backed our resolve with specific decisions and programs. Our American colleagues were permitted to ferry their military to Afghanistan via Russia. This is something that would have appeared impossible only recently. We are thinking at this point over what else we can do to help the Americans because a lot of matters that have an effect on our security are related to Afghanistan.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; I do not think that our attitude toward America changed greatly from what we were prepared to do for it in the past. I&#39;d say that the Americans finally saw the error of their ways and began working on amelioration of our relations.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Question: Are there issues Russia and the United States prefer to stay away from?&lt;br /&gt;
Sergei Kislyak: As I said already, we do not agree on absolutely everything. South Ossetia is one such issue. Predictable security of Europe is another. The Americans like to give us chapter and verse on democracy. On the other hand, they themselves are not exactly lily-white from the standpoint of human rights.&lt;br /&gt;
&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp;&amp;nbsp; No, I do not think that there are any issues our countries are afraid to approach. There are issues that are priorities because they are important for both our countries.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/8699442697026293200/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/8699442697026293200?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8699442697026293200'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/8699442697026293200'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/06/resetting-reloading-and-rolling-up.html' title='Resetting, Reloading and Rolling up Sleeves'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjenwRk2-ZwSWw2NBA0V5oOCo4HM1m82XibqWy5xo1pryMCzrXWqD0Ikw66fy9A3q_sB937Yy-5DkBFxQqsNCkKluHWptG-RO-fBqJsMG9Kld6a1V0cyVPgPrAVLYSh5YwBCSjSsw/s72-c/whblog_0323.jpg" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry><entry><id>tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8654940.post-7654488339618585270</id><published>2010-06-03T08:02:00.002+01:00</published><updated>2010-06-03T15:12:32.734+01:00</updated><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="media"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="Russia"/><category scheme="http://www.blogger.com/atom/ns#" term="US-Russia"/><title type='text'>Suspicion of the Westward Turn</title><content type='html'>&lt;div class=&quot;separator&quot; style=&quot;clear: both; text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&lt;a href=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLukJYWXWmpUGhQF4liVNL65TOyJVw-c_SJw673YedNHfQxTu4h1uOxRxwnRG_3RqcjJGgpeWYy_VZhC8Kx1D5xl08e-CBfMZQFJbYF85COZJqAjQnCNph7OdlKe1WzdlrLyvA0g/s1600/vedomosti.png&quot; imageanchor=&quot;1&quot; style=&quot;margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;&quot;&gt;&lt;img border=&quot;0&quot; height=&quot;280&quot; src=&quot;https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLukJYWXWmpUGhQF4liVNL65TOyJVw-c_SJw673YedNHfQxTu4h1uOxRxwnRG_3RqcjJGgpeWYy_VZhC8Kx1D5xl08e-CBfMZQFJbYF85COZJqAjQnCNph7OdlKe1WzdlrLyvA0g/s640/vedomosti.png&quot; width=&quot;640&quot; /&gt;&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;&amp;nbsp;Given their partner publications, perhaps the tone of this Vedomosti editorial shouldn&#39;t be surprising.&lt;/div&gt;&lt;div style=&quot;text-align: center;&quot;&gt;[&lt;a href=&quot;http://images.yandex.ru/yandsearch?p=3&amp;amp;ed=1&amp;amp;text=vedomosti&amp;amp;spsite=www.ddosexpert.ru&amp;amp;img_url=www.tsarev.biz%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2009%2F08%2Fvedomosti.png&amp;amp;rpt=simage&quot;&gt;image source&lt;/a&gt;]&lt;/div&gt;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Website Fears Russia&#39;s &#39;Turn West&#39; Aimed at Preserving &#39;Corrupt&#39; System&lt;br /&gt;
Vedomosti&lt;br /&gt;
www.vedomosti.ru&lt;br /&gt;
May 26, 2010&lt;br /&gt;
Editorial: &quot;Turn West&quot; (Translation courtesy of JRL)&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The modernization of Russia declared by the country&#39;s first person dictates fundamental changes in foreign policy. A number of events confirm that Moscow is abandoning the fat years&#39; great power arrogance and isolationism and striving for full-fledged cooperation with the West.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It seems that Russian politicians are striving for more trusting relations and, in the future, even for integration with Europe. For example, the recent warming of relations between Moscow and Warsaw is connected not only to the personal sympathies of the premiers and the catastrophe involving Poland&#39;s aircraft No. 1 near Smolensk. The tone itself of foreign policy speeches and documents has changed. The participation in the 9 May Victory Parade in Red Square by NATO country military units and its conclusion with Beethoven&#39;s &quot;Ode to Joy&quot; -- united Europe&#39;s anthem -- are symbols confirming the trend.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
The &quot;Program for Effective Use of Foreign Policy Factors for Purposes of Russia&#39;s Long-term Development&quot; published the in the magazine Russkiy Newsweek (the document&#39;s authenticity is confirmed by experts and the lack of the MID&#39;s (Ministry of Foreign Affairs) denials) must not be considered as our response to American President Barack Obama&#39;s new international strategy. The program, however, suggests a very substantial tactical correction. The understanding that &quot;reinforcing relations of interdependence with leading world and regional powers . . . including the creation of &#39;modernization alliances&#39; with our main West European partners and with the European Union as a whole&quot; will help Russia emerge from the crisis has arrived to replace self-satisfied statements about an &quot;island of stability.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
Foreign Affairs Minister Sergey Lavrov is talking about the need for political rapprochement with advanced countries. In the article &quot;The Euro-Atlantic: Equal Security for All&quot; published the other day in the French magazine Defence Nationale, the minister emphasized that our country &quot;is an integral part of Europe&quot; and pointed out that &quot;the philosophy of joint work lies at the foundation of Russia&#39;s foreign policy.&quot; Yet another key of the article is that Russia will not get into confrontation with the West and when necessary will wait while &quot;natural processes create the conditions for convergence at the level of assessments and practical policy.&quot;&lt;br /&gt;
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Two reasons caused the changes in Russian foreign policy. Europe and the US agreed to take Russia&#39;s interests in the post-Soviet space into greater consideration. Simultaneously, they recognized in the Kremlin that they will not succeed in modernizing the Russian economy using their own efforts and resources. Adults posing as an offended adolescent -- this is not the best way to attract western investments and technologies. And this means that political trust is needed.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
It is another matter that closer relations with Europe and the US may lead to ambiguous consequences for Russia and, speaking broadly, for the post-Soviet space. The problem is in the understanding of the term &quot;convergence,&quot; meaning rapprochement of different economic and political systems, and the degree of this rapprochement. Convergence with the European Union, of which Lavrov spoke, may accelerate the creation in Russia of European institutions -- the supremacy of the law, the independence of the courts, and the inviolability of private property.&lt;br /&gt;
&lt;br /&gt;
There is, though, reason to fear that part of the Russian establishment views the future &quot;European choice&quot; exclusively as the state and major corporations&#39; free access to Western technologies and credit lines, as the possibility of one&#39;s own going about Europe without a visa, buying real estate, and maintaining high standards of consumption. Moscow probably is trying to use cooperation with Europe in order to, by attracting resources and technologies, preserve the present system: clannishness, corruption, and access to resources through the electoral system.</content><link rel='replies' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/feeds/7654488339618585270/comments/default' title='Post Comments'/><link rel='replies' type='text/html' href='http://www.blogger.com/comment/fullpage/post/8654940/7654488339618585270?isPopup=true' title='0 Comments'/><link rel='edit' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7654488339618585270'/><link rel='self' type='application/atom+xml' href='http://www.blogger.com/feeds/8654940/posts/default/7654488339618585270'/><link rel='alternate' type='text/html' href='http://scrapsofmoscow.blogspot.com/2010/06/suspicion-of-westward-turn.html' title='Suspicion of the Westward Turn'/><author><name>Scraps of Moscow</name><uri>http://www.blogger.com/profile/09154874166149426406</uri><email>noreply@blogger.com</email><gd:image rel='http://schemas.google.com/g/2005#thumbnail' width='16' height='16' src='https://img1.blogblog.com/img/b16-rounded.gif'/></author><media:thumbnail xmlns:media="http://search.yahoo.com/mrss/" url="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiLukJYWXWmpUGhQF4liVNL65TOyJVw-c_SJw673YedNHfQxTu4h1uOxRxwnRG_3RqcjJGgpeWYy_VZhC8Kx1D5xl08e-CBfMZQFJbYF85COZJqAjQnCNph7OdlKe1WzdlrLyvA0g/s72-c/vedomosti.png" height="72" width="72"/><thr:total>0</thr:total></entry></feed>