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   <title type="html">Curse of the '4'?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/curse_of_the_4.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=396090" title="Curse of the '4'?" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.396090</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-23T01:20:54Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-23T12:32:33Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Big-name Republicans are not coming out of the woodwork yet to challenge Al Franken in Minnesota's 2014 U.S. Senate race, and there is not much chatter of the GOP picking off one of the five DFL-held U.S. House seats either....</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Political Crumbs" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Big-name Republicans are not coming out of the woodwork yet to challenge Al Franken in Minnesota's 2014 U.S. Senate race, and there is not much chatter of the GOP picking off one of the five DFL-held U.S. House seats either. Over the last century, Minnesota Republican U.S. House candidates have not fared all that well in cycles ending in '4' - losing seats in five of these cycles (1914, 1924, 1944, 1954, 1974), holding serve in four others (1964, 1984, 1994, 2004), and gaining seats just one time (1934, after redistricting had been delayed one cycle with all nine seats voted at-large in 1932). Perhaps the Republican Party's best chance for a pick up in the Gopher State in 2014 is if 12-term Democrat Collin Peterson retires after nearly a quarter century on Capitol Hill. The 7th CD has the second largest GOP lean in the state.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Will Pat O'Brien Enter South Dakota's US Senate Race?</title>
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    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=396029" title="Will Pat O'Brien Enter South Dakota's US Senate Race?" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.396029</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-22T05:00:28Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-22T04:13:52Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Ten years after flirting with a gubernatorial run, the sports and entertainment newsman drops a hint of his future plans on the Adam Carolla Show podcast.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="South Dakota" />
    
        <category term="U.S. Senate" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Ten years after flirting with a gubernatorial run, the sports and entertainment newsman drops a hint of his future plans on the Adam Carolla Show podcast</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/patobrien10.jpg"><img alt="patobrien10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/05/patobrien10-thumb-195x244-154859.jpg" width="195" height="244" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Long-time television sports and entertainment anchor Pat O'Brien was a guest in a pre-taped 40-minute appearance on the popular <em>Adam Carolla Show</em> podcast Tuesday and spoke long form about a variety of his life experiences such as his humble upbringing, secretly dating the senior prom queen as a 10th grader, becoming a one-hit wonder at age 17, his brief stint in the military, his early days working for David Brinkley at NBC, and his fight with alcoholism.</p>

<p>O'Brien, who now co-hosts the weekday radio program FOX Sports PrimeTime, had a long career at CBS Sports before delving into entertainment programs such as <em>Access Hollywood </em>and <em>The Insider</em> in the late 1990s and 2000s.</p>

<p>Now 65 years old, O'Brien grew up in Sioux Falls and attended the University of South Dakota where famed political science professor Dr. William Farber served as his mentor.</p>

<p>Farber picked out young Pat as one of his "Farber boys" - students the professor thought showed great promise that he would take under his wing (a fraternity which includes political luminaries such as U.S. Senators Tim Johnson and Larry Pressler and media giants like Tom Brokaw and USA Today founder Al Neuharth).</p>

<p>O'Brien, who has previously identified himself as a "George McGovern Democrat," evidently still has politics in his blood.</p>

<p>Approximately one-third of the way through the Carolla interview, O'Brien recalled his relationship with Doc Farber and then, unsolicited, added:</p>

<blockquote>"(Farber) always wanted me to run for office in South Dakota - which I still may do."</blockquote>

<p>Carolla did not offer any follow-up question, but O'Brien has flirted with politics before, making headlines in October 2003 when he revealed to GQ magazine his ambition to return to the Mount Rushmore State and potentially challenge then Republican Governor Mike Rounds in 2006. </p>

<p>At that time the 55 year-old O'Brien told the <em>Sioux Falls Argus Leader </em> he would like to run for some office in South Dakota: "I have always said I would like to come back and run for something there, participate in government."</p>

<p>And now O'Brien - seemingly with the 10-year itch once again - has restated his interest in a political run from South Dakota. </p>

<p>Could that run be for the state's 2014 U.S. Senate contest? </p>

<p>If so, that would give O'Brien a shot at Mike Rounds after all (Rounds currently has the inside track for the GOP nomination).</p>

<p>The battle to find a candidate to challenge Rounds has been <a href="http://www.politico.com/story/2013/05/harry-reid-tom-daschle-south-dakota-senate-91646.html?hp=l22" target="new">brutal for the Democrats</a> thus far, with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid attempting (and failing) to recruit former U.S. Representative Stephanie Herseth Sandlin and former South Dakota Senator and Majority Leader Tom Daschle nudging his friend Rick Weiland into the race.</p>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
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<entry>
   <title type="html">Love vs Matheson's 2014 Rematch: Advantage Matheson?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/love_vs_mathesons_2014_rematch.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395923" title="Love vs Matheson's 2014 Rematch: Advantage Matheson?" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395923</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-21T05:00:30Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-21T03:04:32Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Nearly 1 in 10 U.S. House races in Utah history involved rematches but only three such challengers were successful - all by Republicans during GOP wave cycles.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
        <category term="Utah" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Nearly 1 in 10 U.S. House races in Utah history involved rematches but only three such challengers were successful - all by Republicans during GOP wave cycles</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/jimmatheson10.jpg"><img alt="jimmatheson10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/05/jimmatheson10-thumb-195x288-154690.jpg" width="195" height="288" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>The announcement by Republican Sarasota Springs Mayor Mia Love that she would challenge Democratic seven-term U.S. Representative Jim Matheson in the 2014 cycle sets up a rematch that will be one of the most closely-watched contests next year.</p>

<p>Love - a frequently described "rising star" who would be the first black Republican woman in the U.S. House - spoke at the 2012 National Republican Convention and at CPAC this year while in between lost to Matheson in one of the most competitive races in the nation last cycle.</p>

<p>So will Love fare any better in a rematch in 2014?</p>

<p>Love is getting an earlier start at fundraising this cycle and will almost assuredly win her party's nomination, but challengers seeking rematches have not fared too well in Utah over the decades.</p>

<p><em><strong>A Smart Politics review of Utah U.S. House election results finds that only three of 12 major party challengers have won rematches in races for the nation's lower legislative chamber in state history.</strong></em></p>

<p>Matheson - the only Democrat elected to Utah's U.S. House delegation over the last nine cycles dating back to 1996 - surprised many prognosticators last November when he defeated Love in a district Mitt Romney carried by 37 points. </p>

<p>The Blue Dog Democrat's 0.31-point victory over Love (768 votes) was the sixth closest race among the 130 U.S. House contests that have been conducted in state history and one of just nine decided by less than one point.</p>

<p>Matheson was aided by Libertarian Jim Vein winning 2.6 percent of the vote.</p>

<p>The closest ever U.S. House race in the Beehive State occurred in 1960 when Democrat Morris Peterson defeated Republican A. Walter Stevenson by 0.06 points (68 votes). </p>

<p>Peterson would serve just one term in the chamber, losing the next cycle to GOPer Laurence Burton.</p>

<p>Matheson was also involved in the eighth closest House contest in Utah history when he won his first reelection bid and second term in 2002. </p>

<p>The Democrat beat Republican John Swallow by 0.74 points (1,641 votes) that cycle.</p>

<p><big><strong>Top 9 Closest U.S. House Races in Utah History</strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="600">
  <tr>
    <td width="40" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Rank</strong></div></td>
    <td width="40" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Year</strong></div></td>
    <td width="50" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>District</strong></div></td>
    <td width="110" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Winner</strong></div></td>
    <td width="42" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="116" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Winner</strong></div></td>
    <td width="42" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="40" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>MoV</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1960</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Morris Peterson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">A. Walter Stevenson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.06</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1940</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Walter Granger</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">David Wilson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.12</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1974</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">David Monson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Frances Farley</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.24</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1900</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">George Sutherland</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">William King</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.26</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1914</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">James Mayes</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Elmer Leatherwood</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.29</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>6</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>2012</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>4</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Jim Matheson</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Dem</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Mia Love</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Rep</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right"><strong>0.31</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">7</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1942</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Walter Granger</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">J. Bracken Lee</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.38</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">8</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2002</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Jim Matheson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Swallow</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.74</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1928</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Elmer Leatherwood</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Joshua Paul</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0.91</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
</table>
<small>Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>And now, buoyed by her strong (although disappointing) second place finish in 2012 - Mayor Love is seeking a rematch against Matheson.</p>

<p>Such a rematch is not without precedent in the Beehive State, with nearly <em>10 percent</em> of its U.S. House races involving major party candidates getting a second chance against the winning incumbent (12 of 130 races, 9.2 percent).</p>

<p>However, Matheson does have experience in fending off pesky challengers the second time around.</p>

<p>After defeating State Representative (and current Utah Attorney General) John Swallow by 0.7 points in 2002, Swallow returned to the scene in 2004 for another crack at the son of the state's former governor.</p>

<p>Matheson ended up defeating Swallow by double digits (11.4 points) despite a popular president in the state at the top of the ticket (George W. Bush).</p>

<p>The most recent Utah U.S. House rematch came in 2010 when Democrat Morgan Bowen challenged Rob Bishop in back-to-back cycles in the 1st CD - getting trounced by 34.4 points in 2008 and 45.7 points during the GOP tsunami two years later.</p>

<p>The first challenger to win a rematch contest in the state was Republican William Dawson in 1952.</p>

<p>Dawson had served one term after winning the 1946 election in the 2nd CD, but was defeated handily in 1948 by Democrat Reva Bosone by 14.9 points.</p>

<p>Four years later Dawson got a rematch against Bosone and defeated her by 5.1 points during a cycle in which the GOP netted 22 House seats across the country.</p>

<p>Bosone then attempted a rematch against Dawson in 1954, but fell short by 14.3 points.</p>

<p>Dawson would serve two more terms before losing to Democrat David King in 1958.</p>

<p>King would find himself in a rematch eight years later courtesy of Republican Sherman Lloyd.</p>

<p>King defeated the State Senator Lloyd by just 1.1 points in 1960 to win his second term in the nation's lower legislative chamber. </p>

<p>In 1962, King's seat was open due to his unsuccessful U.S. Senate bid, and Lloyd won the 2nd CD race that cycle.</p>

<p>Lloyd's seat was open in 1964 when <em>he</em> ran for the U.S. Senate (and lost) and King won back his old seat.</p>

<p>That set up a Lloyd vs. King rematch in 1966 where the challenger Lloyd knocked off King by a whopping 22.5 points in a cycle in which Republicans picked up 47 seats nationwide.</p>

<p>Lloyd would serve two more terms before losing to Democrat Wayne Owens after redistricting in 1972.</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/enidgreene1.jpg" width="165" height="202" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />The third and final challenger to win a rematch in a Utah U.S. House race came during the Republican Revolution of 1994. </p>

<p>One-term Democrat Karen Shepherd from the 2nd CD defeated Enid Greene by 3.7 points in 1992.</p>

<p>Changing her name to Enid Greene Waldholtz (in a soon to be scandal-filled marriage), Greene Waldholtz defeated Shepherd by 10.0 points two years later netting one of the 54 seats for the GOP that cycle in one of the most expensive House races in the country.</p>

<p>Greene Waldholtz would not run for reelection in 1996 due to election law violations during her victorious 1994 campaign after her husband deposited more than $1 million of her father's money into her campaign account.</p>

<p>All told, the three times in which U.S. House challengers defeated Utah incumbents in rematch contests involved Republicans winning during cycles in which the GOP won a cumulative 123 seats nationwide.</p>

<p>Matheson has continued to find ways to win in his reddish district, and Love may need the winds of another Republican tsunami at her back if she is going to knock off Utah Democrats' last best hope in 2014.</p>

<p><big><strong>Utah U.S. House Rematch Elections Since Statehood</strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="600">
  <tr>
    <td width="45" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Year</strong></div></td>
    <td width="45" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>District</strong></div></td>
    <td width="100" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Incumbent</strong></div></td>
    <td width="50" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="100" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Challenger</strong></div></td>
    <td width="50" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="80" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Winner</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1906</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Joseph Howell</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Orlando Powers</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1914</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Joseph Howell</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Lewis Larson*</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1934</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">J. Will Robinson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Frederick Loufbourow</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1948</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Walter Granger</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">David Wilson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1952</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Reva Bosone</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">William Dawson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Challenger</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1954</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">William Dawson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Reva Bosone</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1966</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">David King</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Sherman Lloyd</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Challenger</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1986</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">James Hansen</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">K. Gunn McKay</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1994</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Karen Shepherd</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Enid Greene Waldholtz</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Challenger</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2004</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Jim Matheson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Swallow</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rob Bishop</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rep</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Morgan Bowen</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Dem</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Incumbent</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
</table>
<small>* Lewis Larson ran as a Progressive in the state's election for two at-large seats in 1912. Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Weiner Has Political Pedigree for NYC Mayoral Run (But So Did Hearst)</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/weiner_has_political_pedigree.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395872" title="Weiner Has Political Pedigree for NYC Mayoral Run (But So Did Hearst)" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395872</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-20T05:00:02Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-20T12:05:23Z</updated>
    
    <summary>The former congressman once again seeks to become the 12th ex- or sitting member of the U.S. House or U.S. Senate to subsequently serve as mayor of New York City.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="New York" />
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
        <category term="U.S. Senate" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The former congressman once again seeks to become the 12th ex- or sitting member of the U.S. House or U.S. Senate to subsequently serve as mayor of New York City</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/anthonyweiner02.jpg"><img alt="anthonyweiner02.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2011/06/anthonyweiner02-thumb-195x238-84915.jpg" width="195" height="238" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Former U.S. Representative Anthony Weiner is expected to officially announce his candidacy for New York City's mayoral race as early as this week.</p>

<p>This will be the former (and recently disgraced) seven-term Congressman's second attempt to land the most high profile local governmental office in the nation, having previously come in second place in the Democratic primary for the office back in 2005.</p>

<p>Republican-turned-independent mayor Michael Bloomberg is term-limited as he completes his 12th year in office and several Democrats are vying for their party's nomination.</p>

<p>While resigning from Capitol Hill in June 2011 after an embarrassing twitter photo scandal may not have been Weiner's preferred pathway to this cycle's mayoral race, history has shown many members of New York's congressional delegation certainly do not view the position as a demotion from their post in D.C. with nearly two-dozen appointed to or campaigning for the office while serving in or shortly after leaving Capitol Hill.</p>

<p><em><strong>A Smart Politics review of the Biographical Directory of the United States Congress identifies 11 ex- or sitting U.S. Representatives and Senators who were appointed or elected mayor of New York and a dozen who failed in their mayoral bids since popular vote contests began in the 1830s.</strong></em></p>

<p>New York has had over 100 mayors dating back to the 17th Century - 48 of these were popularly elected and 18 were elected since consolidation at the end of the 19th Century.</p>

<p>The first U.S. House member to become mayor of New York was Edward Livingston, who served three terms before his appointment to the office in 1801. </p>

<p>(Note: James Duane, a <em>delegate</em> to the Continental Congress from 1774-1783 served as the city's mayor from 1784 to 1789).</p>

<p>Livingston served two years as mayor, and later moved to Louisiana where he was again elected to the U.S. House (1823-1829) and Senate (1829-1831) before becoming President Andrew Jackson's Secretary of State.</p>

<p>Of the 11 members of Congress who subsequently became mayor of New York, only one served as long as Anthony Weiner on Capitol Hill.</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/fiorellolaguardia1.jpg" width="165" height="211" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />Weiner lasted 12 years, 5 months, and 18 days and was shy of a quarter of the way through his seventh term before his resignation nearly two years ago.</p>

<p>That is just over four months shorter than the tenure of famed New York politician Fiorello La Guardia.</p>

<p>La Guardia served seven interrupted terms totaling 12 years, 9 months, and 27 days from 1917-1919 and 1923-1933.</p>

<p>The remaining ex- or sitting U.S. Representatives and Senators to later be appointed or elected mayor of New York are:</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> Jeffersonian Republican DeWitt Clinton: served less than two years in the U.S. Senate (1802-1803); appointed mayor and served three interrupted terms beginning in 1803.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>Jeffersonian Republican William Paulding: served one term in the U.S. House (1811-1813); appointed mayor in 1824.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> Jacksonian Cornelius Lawrence: served one term in the House (1833-1834); the first elected mayor of New York (1834-1837).</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> Democrat Fernando Wood: served one term in the House (1841-1843); mayor 1855-1858 and 1861-1862. Wood later served eight more terms in the House (1863-1865; 1867-1881) and lost mayoral campaigns in 1850 and 1867.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>Democrat Smith Ely: served two interrupted terms in the House (1871-1873; 1875-1876); mayor 1877-1878.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>Democrat Abram Hewitt: served five interrupted terms in the House (1875-1879; 1881-1886); mayor 1887-1888.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>Democrat George McClellan: served five terms in the House (1895-1903); mayor 1903-1910.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> Republican-turned-Democrat John Lindsay: served four terms in the House (1959-1965); mayor 1966-1973.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> Democrat-Liberal Ed Koch: served five terms in the House (1969-1977); mayor 1978-1989.</p>

<p>Since popular vote mayoral elections for New York were introduced in the 1830s, a dozen ex- or sitting members of Congress lost in their campaigns for the office.</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/williamrandolphhearst1.jpg" width="165" height="215" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />The most notable of these is publisher William Randolph Hearst, who served two terms in the House from 1903-1907. </p>

<p>Hearst launched failed mayoral bids in 1905 and 1909 as an independent - losing narrowly in his first attempt and handily in his second. </p>

<p>(Hearst also failed in campaigns for the presidency, governor, and lieutenant governor during this decade).</p>

<p>Other U.S. Representatives to run losing New York City mayoral campaigns include Jacksonian Gulian Verplanck (1834), Democrat Fernando Wood (1850, 1867), Republican William Darling (1866), Republican Frederick Conkling (1868), Democrat John Kelly (1868), Republican Edwin Einstein (1892), American-Laborite Vito Marcantonio (1949), Democrat Herman Badillo (1973, 1977, 1993), and Weiner (2005).</p>

<p>Democratic U.S. Senators John Dix (1876) and Royal Copeland (1937) also failed in their New York mayoral bids.</p>

<p>Note: Two New York mayors in the 19th Century first headed to Congress <em>after</em> serving the city: Federalist Cadwallader Colden and Jacksonian Gideon Lee.  </p>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Tired of 'Scandals?' Try These Words On for Size</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/tired_of_scandal_try_these_wor.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395767" title="Tired of 'Scandals?' Try These Words On for Size" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395767</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-17T05:00:23Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-17T04:08:19Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Some broadcast reporters and commentators have departed from the standard nomenclature and opened a thesaurus to give viewers a break from the Obama 'scandals.'</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Media" />
    
        <category term="National Politics" />
    
        <category term="Presidency" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Some broadcast reporters and commentators have departed from the standard nomenclature and opened a thesaurus to give viewers a break from the Obama 'scandals'</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/barackobama10.jpg"><img alt="barackobama10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/03/barackobama10-thumb-195x243-148352.jpg" width="195" height="243" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>The trifecta of bad news that hit the Obama administration last week in the form of revelations of the IRS targeting of Tea Party groups seeking tax-exempt status, the seizure of telephone records of Associated Press reporters, and more hearings on Bengazi has nearly everyone in the news media uttering their favorite seven-letter word: S-C-A-N-D-A-L. </p>

<p>The word is inescapable - gracing headlines, appearing on captions and crawls, and delivered by hosts, reporters, and commentators as the go-to word to describe the burgeoning political problems facing the president.</p>

<p>But for those who are tired of the word - or who deem it either premature to call all these latest developments 'scandals' or that 'scandal' does not sufficiently capture the magnitude of the events - below are a few alternative words and phrases some in the broadcast media have chosen in place of the "S" word:</p>

<p><strong>"Embarrassment"</strong></p>

<blockquote>"It's a benefit to the republicans because they can keep him on the defensive. It also helps republican office holders bond again with the Tea Party without difficulty doing that. But, I think in the overall picture, what we have right now is an <strong>embarrassment</strong> for President Obama and a warning to him, if you will." - Dan Rather, Rachel Maddow Show, MSNBC, May 14, 2013</blockquote><p>

<blockquote>"Also tonight, the Internal Revenue Service issued a highly unusual and troubling confession and apology that is not only a further <strong>embarrassment</strong> to this White House, it will also likely result in more congressional investigations of the Obama administration's conduct and politicization the government." - Lou Dobbs, FOX Business, May 10, 2013</blockquote>

<p><strong>"Misconduct"</strong></p>

<blockquote>"On Sunday, Republican Senator Susan Collins of Maine told CNN that she doubts the <strong>misconduct</strong> was limited to low-level IRS staffers." - Judy Woodruff, PBS, May 13, 2013 </blockquote>

<blockquote>"Lawmakers are also conducting their own investigations. Many are furious that acting IRS Commissioner Steven Miller failed to reveal the <strong>misconduct </strong>on several occasions." - Susan McGinnis, CBS Morning News, May 15, 2013 </blockquote><p>

<blockquote>"It was the next blow in a cascade of stories, including IRS <strong>misconduct </strong>and a muddy Benghazi explanation people have been talking about all along." - Chris Matthews, MSNBC, May 14, 2013</blockquote><p>

<p><strong>"Wrongdoing"</strong></p>

<blockquote>"Just four months after inauguration, President Obama fending off questions about alleged <strong>wrongdoing</strong> in his administration on two fronts, first, charges that IRS staff targeted conservative groups before the last election." - Jessica Yellin, CNN, May 13, 2013 </blockquote><p>
 
<blockquote>"And, Friday, we first started getting reports of alleged <strong>wrong doing </strong>of the IRS, specifically <strong>wrong doing </strong>when it came to how agents at the IRS were evaluating different groups that were applying for tax exempt status." - Rachel Maddow, MSNBC, May 14, 2013 </blockquote><p>

<blockquote>"And it's really because the White House clearly got that there was so much outrage, so many unsatisfied Republicans and Democrats with the inspector general for not assigning blame, despite clear <strong>wrongdoing</strong> at the IRS." - Dana Bash, CNN, May 15, 2013 </blockquote><p>

<blockquote>"Now, whether that amounts to a crime or a simple <strong>wrong doing </strong>is the question we're going to have to look at." Jonathan Turley, CNN, May 15, 2013</blockquote>

<p><strong>"Disgrace"</strong></p>

<blockquote>"But to tap reportedly 20 lines involving 100 reporters and God knows what else that they were doing with the A.P., it's a <strong>disgrace</strong> and Eric Holder had to have known about it and had to have approved it." - Mark Levin, FOX, May 13, 2013 </blockquote><p>

<blockquote>"I think it's a total <strong>disgrace</strong>." (RE: AP) - Piers Morgan, CNN, May 13, 2013 </blockquote>

<p><strong>"Blot"</strong></p>

<blockquote>"Hillary Clinton's stint as secretary of state, she'll be like a pitcher who had 20 wins and 2 losses during her stint as secretary of state. You know, if this is a <strong>blot</strong> on her record, her record was almost perfect in the eyes of the American people, and this won't have any long- lasting effect." (RE: Benghazi) - Ed Rendell, MSNBC, May 10, 2013 </blockquote>

<p><strong>"Crime" and "Criminal activity"</strong></p>

<blockquote>"And the perverse result of all of this may be that the real and the needed investigation into some of these tax exempt groups, which are not supposed to practice politics, which do practice politics, is going to be put on the back burner because of some ham- handed, over jealous and possibly <strong>criminal activity</strong> over at the IRS." - Gloria Borger, CNN, May 16, 2003</blockquote><p>

<blockquote>"Tonight, a criminal investigation of the IRS. Was IRS targeting of political groups a <strong>crime</strong>? The Justice Department opens the case." - Scott Pelley, CBS Evening News, May 14, 2013</blockquote>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Are Eric Holder's Days Numbered?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/are_eric_holders_days_numbered.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395674" title="Are Eric Holder's Days Numbered?" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395674</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-16T12:03:43Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-16T12:17:31Z</updated>
    
    <summary>The 82nd Attorney General already has the ninth longest tenure of any AG in U.S. history.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="National Politics" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The 82nd Attorney General already has the ninth longest tenure of any AG in U.S. history</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/ericholder10.jpg"><img alt="ericholder10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/05/ericholder10-thumb-195x243-154362.jpg" width="195" height="243" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Eric Holder has endured his fair share of critics throughout his tenure as the 82nd Attorney General of the United States, but had to face another high-profile round of grilling Wednesday before the House Judiciary Committee to discuss a variety of issues including the latest scandal related to the subpoena of Associated Press phone records.</p>

<p>Although some Republicans, such as RNC Chair Reince Priebus, have called for Holder's resignation, there is no sign yet that the current situation has risen to the level of President Obama calling on Holder to resign.</p>

<p>The turnover of Obama's cabinet, while <a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2012/06/obama_cabinet_turnover_rate_re.php">historically low during his first term</a>, has accelerated in recent months with Hillary Clinton, Tim Geithner, Leon Panetta, Ken Salazar, Hilda Solis, and Steven Chu all departing their posts this year. </p>

<p>In addition to Holder, original cabinet secretaries Tom Vilsack (Agriculture), Kathleen Sebelius (Health and Human Services), Arne Duncan (Education), Shaun Donovan (Housing and Urban Development), Ray LaHood (Transportation), Eric Shinseki (Veterans' Affairs), and Janet Napolitano (Homeland Security) still remain in office.</p>

<p>Will Holder be the next to leave?</p>

<p>Through Thursday, Holder has now been in office 1,564 days (4 years, 3 months, 14 days) which is historically a very long time for the nation's Attorney General.</p>

<p><em><strong>Holder currently claims the ninth longest tenure among the 82 individuals to hold the post in the nation's history and the fifth longest since the turn of the 20th Century.</strong></em></p>

<p>William Wirt holds a record that will likely never be broken at 11 years, 3 months, and 17 days - spanning most of the James Monroe administration as well as the entirety of John Quincy Adams'. </p>

<p>Wirt was later the presidential nominee of the Anti-Masonic Party in 1832 and won 7.8 percent of the vote and carried the State of Vermont. </p>

<p>Janet Reno - the only woman to hold the post - has the second longest service record at 7 years, 10 months, and 9 days during the Clinton administration.</p>

<p>Reno followed that up with a failed Florida gubernatorial Democratic primary bid in 2002.</p>

<p>Wirt and Reno are the only two Attorney Generals to serve at least six years in office, a feat Holder would accomplish on February 2, 2015 should he last that long.</p>

<p>If Holder remains in office until the end of the year, he would climb into fifth place all-time, behind only FDR's first AG, Homer Cummings (5 years, 9 months, 30 days) and the nation's 3rd AG Charles Lee (5 years, 2 months, 23 days).</p>

<p>Along the way Holder would pass Wilson AG Thomas Gregory (4 years, 3 months, 14 days), Jackson/Van Buren AG Benjamin Butler (4 years, 9 months, 14 days), Eisenhower AG Herbert Brownell (4 years, 9 months, 19 days), and Jefferson/Madison AG Caesar Rodney (4 years, 10 months, 16 days) .</p>

<p>Holder will next pass Gregory for 8th place on August 5, 2013.</p>

<p><big><strong>Top 10 Longest Serving U.S. Attorney Generals </strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="550">
  <tr>
    <td width="38" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Rank</strong></div></td>
    <td width="37" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>#</strong></div></td>
    <td width="120" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Attorney General</strong></div></td>
    <td width="130" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Presidency</strong></div></td>
    <td width="40" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Years</strong></div></td>
    <td width="43" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Months</strong></div></td>
    <td width="40" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Days</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">William Wirt</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Monroe, J.Q. Adams</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">11</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">17</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">78</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Janet Reno</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Clinton</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">7</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">10</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">55</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Homer Cummings</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">F.D. Roosevelt</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">30</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Charles Lee</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Washington, J. Adams</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">23</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Caesar Rodney</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Jefferson, Madison</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">10</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">16</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">62</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Herbert Brownell</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Eisenhower</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">19</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">7</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">12</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Benjamin Butler</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Jackson, Van Buren</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">14</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">8</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">49</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Thomas Gregory</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Wilson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">82</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Eric Holder*</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Obama</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">14</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">10</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">74</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">William F. Smith</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Reagan</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
</table>
<small>* Through May 16, 2013. Excludes service as Acting Attorney General. Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Sestak Seeks First US Senate Rematch in Pennsylvania History</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/sestak_seeks_first_us_senate_r.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395590" title="Sestak Seeks First US Senate Rematch in Pennsylvania History" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395590</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-15T05:00:24Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-15T04:38:55Z</updated>
    
    <summary>If Sestak wins the 2016 Democratic nomination he will be the first major party candidate to secure a rematch in a Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race in the popular vote era.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Pennsylvania" />
    
        <category term="U.S. Senate" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>If Sestak wins the 2016 Democratic nomination he will be the first major party candidate to secure a rematch in a Pennsylvania U.S. Senate race in the popular vote era </strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/joesestak10.jpg"><img alt="joesestak10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/05/joesestak10-thumb-195x273-154299.jpg" width="195" height="273" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>When former Pennsylvania U.S. Representative and 2010 U.S. Senate candidate Joe Sestak raised a surprising $460K in receipts for the first quarter of 2013, it didn't take much imagination to suspect his political aspirations were still alive and well.</p>

<p>Sestak, who Republican Pat Toomey defeated by 2.0 points during the GOP wave that cycle, announced today that he is preparing to run again the next time the state holds a Senate contest - in a rematch against Toomey in November 2016.</p>

<p>By staking his claim this early, the former Congressman and Navy Admiral may have just cleared the Democratic field 3.5 years out from Election Day and can now simply focus on the general election. </p>

<p>(In 2010, Sestak had to first defeat Republican-turned-Democratic incumbent Arlen Specter in a closely fought primary campaign decided by 7.8 points).</p>

<p>A Sestak vs. Toomey rematch would be a rarity in Pennsylvania politics.</p>

<p>In fact, there has never been a rematch in a Senate race in the Keystone State.</p>

<p><em><strong>A Smart Politics review of Pennsylvania U.S. Senate elections finds that if Joe Sestak wins the 2016 Democratic nomination, his rematch against incumbent Pat Toomey will be the first among major party candidates in the history of the state in the direct election era.</strong></em></p>

<p>Pennsylvania has held 38 U.S. Senate special and general elections since its first popular vote contest for the office in 1914.</p>

<p>Not once has a defeated major party candidate sought and earned a general election rematch against the victor across these last 100 years.</p>

<p>Prior to Sestak's announcement most of the early 2016 chatter in Washington has been about the <em>presidential </em>race.</p>

<p>Sestak has demonstrated he is capable of raising plenty of money and probably expects the 2016 cycle won't be as GOP-friendly as the last go-around when he lost by just two points to Toomey.</p>

<p>It should be noted a handful of minor third party candidates have run in multiple elections against the same opponent, though they are not top-billed 'rematches' per se:</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>In 1922 and 1928 Socialist William Van Essen ran against Republican David Reed, winning 5.6 and 0.8 percent respectively.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> In 1930 (special election) and 1932, Van Essen won 1.3 percent and 3.3 percent against Republican James Davis.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> In 1944 and 1950, Socialist Labor candidate Frank Knotek won 0.05 percent and 0.04 percent of the vote against Democrat Francis Myers (who lost his '50 reelection bid to Republican Jim Duff).</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>In 1946, Knotek won 0.4 percent as a Socialist Laborite in a race won by Republican Edward Martin and then won 0.04 percent against Martin in 1952 under the Industrial Government banner.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> In 1958, Socialist Labor candidate George Taylor carried 0.3 percent of the vote as Republican Hugh Scott won his first of three terms. Taylor won 0.1 percent six years later against Scott in 1964.</p>

<p>As of the end of March, Senator Toomey had nearly $2.4 million cash on hand for his Senate campaign.</p>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>. </p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Herseth Sandlin and the US House to Senate Pathway </title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/herseth_sandlin_and_the_us_hou.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395530" title="Herseth Sandlin and the US House to Senate Pathway " />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395530</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-14T13:58:57Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-19T17:27:55Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Just 10 of the 44 female U.S. Senators in history first served in the House of Representatives and three of the last 13 since 2002.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Gender" />
    
        <category term="South Dakota" />
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
        <category term="U.S. Senate" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Just 10 of the 44 female U.S. Senators in history first served in the House of Representatives and three of the last 13 since 2002</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/stephaniehersethsandlin10.jpg"><img alt="stephaniehersethsandlin10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/05/stephaniehersethsandlin10-thumb-195x293-154267.jpg" width="195" height="293" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Stephanie Herseth Sandlin's decision Monday not to enter the 2014 South Dakota U.S. Senate race means the Democratic Party has probably lost its best chance to keep the seat held by retiring three-term Senator Tim Johnson.</p>

<p>The former Democratic U.S. Representative stated she wished to spend more time with her family and at her new position as general counsel at Raven Industries.</p>

<p>Herseth Sandlin was considered to be the strongest Democrat to run for the seat, although her chances were probably shy of 50/50 in the deep red state despite already being elected in a statewide race four times from 2004 through 2008.</p>

<p>While the former at-large U.S. Representative stated that she had confidence she could win the race, through the decades the U.S. House has not been a surefire pathway for women to land Senate seats.</p>

<p><strong><em>Overall, twice as many ex- or sitting female U.S. Representatives have lost Senate bids (20) than have won them (10).</em></strong></p>

<p>And, despite a boost in victorious female U.S. Senate candidates over the last decade leading to a record number of women currently serving in the chamber, very few of these came from the House of Representatives. </p>

<p>Of the last 13 women to serve in the U.S. Senate over the last five election cycles dating back to 2002, just three had previously served in the House of Representatives - Democrats Mazie Hirono of Hawaii, Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin, and Kirsten Gillibrand of New York, who was first appointed to her Senate seat in 2009 and then won a special election in 2010.</p>

<p>Four sitting or former female U.S. Representatives lost bids for Senate seats during that 10-year span: Georgia Democrat Denise Majette in 2004, Florida Republican Katherine Harris in 2006, New Mexico Republican Heather Wilson in 2008 and 2012, and Nevada Democrat Shelley Berkley in 2012.</p>

<p>Overall, just 10 of the 44 female U.S. Senators in history had previously served in the House.</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/margaretchasesmith1.jpg" width="170" height="210" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />Republican Margaret Chase Smith of Maine was the first - as well as the first to be <em>elected</em> to the Senate (the previous six had been appointed).</p>

<p>Smith served five terms in the House before winning her first of four Senate contests in 1948 in an open seat race.</p>

<p>The next woman from the House of Representatives to win a Senate seat was Maryland's Barbara Mikulski some 38 years and eight female Senators later.</p>

<p>Since 1986, just nine of the 29 female Senators (including Mikulski) had served as lawmakers in the nation's lower legislative chamber, while ex- or sitting female U.S. Representatives launched another 14 failed Senate campaigns, for a 39.1 percent victory rate.</p>

<p>In addition to Smith and Mikulski, the remaining eight Senators are: </p>

<p><em><strong>· </strong></em>California Democrat Barbara Boxer (five U.S. House terms, elected 1992).<br />
<big><strong>· </strong></big>Maine Republican Olympia Snowe (eight, 1992).<br />
<big><strong>· </strong></big>Arkansas Democrat Blanche Lincoln (one, 1998).<br />
<big><strong>·</strong></big> Michigan Democrat Debbie Stabenow (two, 2000).<br />
<big><strong>·</strong></big> Washington Democrat Maria Cantwell (one, 2000).<br />
<big><strong>· </strong></big>New York Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand (two, 2009).<br />
<big><strong>·</strong></big> Hawaii Democrat Mazie Hirono (three, 2012).<br />
<big><strong>·</strong></big> Wisconsin Democrat Tammy Baldwin (seven, 2012).</p>

<p>Seven of these 10 women won open seats (Smith, Mikulski, Boxer, Snowe, Lincoln, Hirono, Baldwin), two defeated incumbents (Stabenow, Cantwell), and one was appointed (Gillibrand).</p>

<p>Eight were elected (or appointed) to the Senate as sitting House members, while two had a gap in service: Lincoln (two years) and Cantwell (six years).</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/jeanetterankin1.jpg" width="165" height="207" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />Interestingly, the first woman to serve in the U.S. House was also the first female House member to run for the Senate - Montana Republican Jeannette Rankin in 1918.</p>

<p>Rankin first lost the Republican nomination that cycle to Oscar Lanstrum and then ran as an independent and finished in third place winning 23.1 percent of the vote.</p>

<p>In Illinois' 1930 U.S. Senate, one-term at-large Illinois U.S. Representative Ruth McCormick won the GOP nomination but was trounced by 33 points by Democrat James Lewis in the general election.</p>

<p>Other ex- or sitting U.S. Representatives who ran and failed to win U.S. Senate seats include California Democrat Helen Douglas (1950), Idaho Democrat Gracie Pfost (1963), Hawaii Democrat Patsy Mink (1976), New York Democrat Bella Abzug (1976), New York Democrat Elizabeth Holtzman (1980, 1992), New Jersey Republican Millicent Fenwick (1982), Indiana Democrat Jill Long (1986), Hawaii Republican Patricia Saiki (1990), Illinois Republican Lynn Martin (1990), Rhode Island Republican Claudine Schnieder (1990), New York Democrat Geraldine Ferraro (1992, 1998), Virginia Democrat Leslie Byrne (1996), Washington Republican Linda Smith (1998), Georgia Democrat Denise Majette (2004), Florida Republican Katherine Harris (2006), Nevada Democrat Shelley Berkley (2012), and New Mexico Republican Heather Wilson (2008, 2012). </p>

<p>Overall 226 of the 258 women who have served in the House never subsequently attempted a Senate run, or 87.6 percent. </p>

<p>One female U.S. Representative is already running for the U.S. Senate in the 2014 cycle: West Virginia Republican Shelley Moore Capito.</p>

<p>Seven of the 20 current women serving in the U.S. Senate previously served in the House of Representatives (35 percent) compared to 45 of the 80 men (56 percent).</p>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">A Presidential Mother's Day Word Cloud</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/a_presidential_mothers_day_wor.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395450" title="A Presidential Mother's Day Word Cloud" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395450</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-13T12:09:24Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-13T17:57:57Z</updated>
    
    <summary>What words do presidents use as they honor women each year in presidential proclamations? </summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Gender" />
    
        <category term="Presidency" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>What words do presidents use as they honor women each year in presidential proclamations? </strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/barackobama10.jpg"><img alt="barackobama10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/03/barackobama10-thumb-195x243-148352.jpg" width="195" height="243" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Congress approved the second Sunday in May as Mother's Day by a joint resolution 99 years ago, but it wasn't until the mid-1970s that presidents consistently issued proclamations on the occasion, such as Barack Obama yesterday.</p>

<p>In addition to celebrating the work mother's do, Obama discussed the continuing problems mothers and women face such as workplace inflexibility and wage inequality. </p>

<p>Over 50 such proclamations have been made by presidents, including one each year since Gerald Ford in 1975.</p>

<p>At 39 consecutive years and counting, presidential proclamations on Mother's Day have now become a tradition that seems unlikely to end, with the commander in chief honoring the work mothers do inside and outside of the home and the sacrifices they have made.</p>

<p>Below is a word cloud displaying how presidents have talked about mothers in over four-dozen such proclamations during the last century...</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/mothersdaywordcloud1.png" width="600" height="352" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" /></p>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>. </p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Would Scott Walker Resign During a 2nd Gubernatorial Term?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/would_scott_walker_resign_duri.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395331" title="Would Scott Walker Resign During a 2nd Gubernatorial Term?" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395331</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-10T05:00:23Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-10T00:59:28Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Of the 71 gubernatorial election winners before Walker in Wisconsin history, only three failed to complete their term by resigning from office.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Governorships" />
    
        <category term="Wisconsin" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Of the 71 gubernatorial election winners before Walker in Wisconsin history, only three failed to complete their term by resigning from office</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/scottwalker10.JPG"><img alt="scottwalker10.JPG" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2012/01/scottwalker10-thumb-195x210-108137.jpg" width="195" height="210" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>For the last few months, Wisconsin Republican Governor Scott Walker has been coy about whether he would serve a full term if reelected in November 2014. </p>

<p>Walker is one of at least a dozen names currently being floated as potential Republican presidential candidates for the 2016 cycle.</p>

<p>While that cycle would land right in the middle of Walker's (possible) second term, he would of course need to take steps toward a serious presidential bid much earlier than that - probably shortly after the 2014 election.</p>

<p>Walker is also technically being coy about his 2014 plans, as he has not announced his candidacy as of yet, though all signs suggest he will run.</p>

<p>The governor told the <a href="http://www.jsonline.com/news/statepolitics/scott-walker-says-presidential-talk-wont-distract-him-from-reelection-bid-pd9qjsu-205996041.html" target="new">Milwaukee Journal Sentinel</a> this week that he will not divulge his intentions on whether he would pledge to serve a full term until he is officially a candidate.</p>

<p>Walker would not be the first elected governor to fail to complete a term in the Badger State, but the examples are few and far between.</p>

<p>Wisconsin held 71 gubernatorial elections prior to the election of Scott Walker in 2010 (and his recall election victory in 2012).</p>

<p>Three of these winners did not complete their term due to death: </p>

<p>Republican <strong>Louis Harvey</strong> (elected 1861) died less than four months into office in April 1862 on a relief expedition he led to assist Wisconsin units in the Civil War after the Battle of Shiloh. Harvey fell into the Tennessee River and drowned.</p>

<p>Progressive <strong>Orland Loomis </strong>(elected 1942) died from a heart attack in December after decisively defeating two-term Republican incumbent Julius Heil in the previous month by 13.2 points in a six-candidate race. Republican Lieutentant Governor Walter Goodland, who was reelected on a separate ballot line that cycle, subsequently ascended to the governorship in January 1943.</p>

<p><strong>Walter Goodland</strong> was then elected governor in 1944 and 1946 but became the next and last Wisconsin chief executive to die in office. Goodland died after serving two months into his third term in March 1947.</p>

<p><em><strong>Of the remaining 68 winners of gubernatorial elections in the Badger State before Walker, 65 served out their full term, or 95.6 percent.</strong></em></p>

<p>(Note: Not included in the tally below is Democrat William Barstow. As a one-term incumbent Barstow initially appeared to win reelection in the Election of 1855, but resigned from office after a few months in 1856 after Republican Coles Bashford was ultimately deemed the winner because Barstow's winning vote count had been fraudulently gained. As such Barstow is not counted as the elected winner of the 1855 race).</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/robertlafollette2.jpg" width="165" height="222" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />The first elected Wisconsin governor to resign his seat in the middle of a term was the state's most famous politician, <strong>Robert La Follette, Sr.</strong> </p>

<p>La Follette served two complete terms after being elected as a Republican in 1900 and 1902.</p>

<p>Almost immediately after being elected to a third straight term by double-digit margins in 1904, La Follette was elected to the U.S. Senate by the Wisconsin legislature in January 1905.</p>

<p>La Follette served another year before resigning with one year left in his governorship in January 1906. "Fighting Bob" would go on to win reelection to the Senate in 1911, 1916, and 1922. </p>

<p>The second elected governor from Wisconsin to fail to complete his term other than by dying was Democrat <strong>Patrick Lucey </strong>in 1977. Lucey was first elected in 1970 and then reelected by 11 points in 1974. </p>

<p>After the election of Jimmy Carter to the White House, Lucey was asked to serve as the U.S. Ambassador to Mexico and resigned from the governor's office in July 1977.</p>

<p>The most recent Wisconsin governor to resign from office was <strong>Tommy Thompson</strong> in 2001.</p>

<p>Thompson, elected to four four-year terms in 1986, 1990, 1994, and 1998, served longer than any Wisconsin governor in history and boasts the <a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/04/the_top_50_longest_serving_gov.php">10th longest tenure</a> of any state governor in U.S. history at 14 years and 28 days. </p>

<p>George W. Bush selected Thompson to be his Secretary of Health and Human Services. After a quick Senate confirmation, Thompson's last day as Governor was February 1st of 2001 with 23 months remaining in his fourth term.</p>

<p>So what do La Follette, Lucey, and Thompson (and possibly Walker) all have in common?</p>

<p>All left their job at the highest level of state government for a federal office or post.</p>

<p>And all three also later sought an even higher political office. </p>

<p>La Follette sought but failed to win the Republican presidential nomination in 1912 and 1916. In 1924, he won the Progressive Party nomination, recorded 16.6 percent of the nationwide general election vote, and carried his home state of Wisconsin and its 13 Electoral College votes.</p>

<p>Lucey, meanwhile, ended up running against the Carter-Mondale ticket as the vice-presidential running mate of John Anderson. Anderson, a Republican U.S. Representative, and Lucey, a former Democratic governor, ran as independents and won 6.6 percent of the vote. </p>

<p>Thompson launched a presidential campaign for the Republican nomination in 2008. That campaign, however, was short-lived and ended after the Iowa Straw Poll in August 2007.</p>

<p>As for Walker, the only scenarios in which he would likely resign his governorship if reelected in 2014 are a) if he sought the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, or b) he was asked to be the Republican nominee's VP running mate. </p>

<p>Almost getting lost in this speculation of Walker's 2016 plans is the 2014 Wisconsin gubernatorial race itself. </p>

<p>However, with no big-name Democrats yet putting their hat in the ring, it is perhaps assumed that the office is Walker's for the taking in what would be his third election to the governorship in four years.</p>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>. </p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Democrats Hit the Wall Again in South Carolina Special Election</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/democrats_hit_the_wall_again_i.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395146" title="Democrats Hit the Wall Again in South Carolina Special Election" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395146</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-08T05:42:31Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-17T15:25:02Z</updated>
    
    <summary>The Democratic Party's longest U.S. House pick-up drought in the nation extended to 48 consecutive losses in South Carolina Tuesday, where the party has failed to gain a seat for a quarter-century.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Gender" />
    
        <category term="South Carolina" />
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>The Democratic Party's longest U.S. House pick-up drought in the nation extended to 48 consecutive losses in South Carolina Tuesday, where the party has failed to gain a seat for a quarter-century</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/marksanford11.jpg"><img alt="marksanford11.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/05/marksanford11-thumb-195x292-153780.jpg" width="195" height="292" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>A number of media reports downplayed the significance of the South Carolina 1st CD special election in the waning days of the campaign (e.g. a <a href="http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/05/07/18103612-first-thoughts-the-seinfeld-special-election?lite" target="new">"Seinfeld" election about nothing</a>).</p>

<p>And while it is true the race may not have been a barometer for the 2014 midterms, there are nonetheless several interesting historical nuggets that emerged from the contest, in which Republican and ex-Governor Mark Sanford defeated Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch by 9.1 points.</p>

<p>Despite being dealt as good a hand as they could expect with a flawed Republican opponent, the Democratic Party saw its U.S. House seat pick-up drought extend to 48 consecutive races in South Carolina - the party's <a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/04/can_colbert_busch_end_the_nati.php">longest such streak in the nation</a>.</p>

<p>The last Democrat to pick up a GOP-held seat in South Carolina was Liz Patterson in 1986, winning by 4.1 points over Bill Workman in a district previously represented by Republican Carroll Campbell.</p>

<p><em><strong>Over the next 25 years through Tuesday's special election, the Democratic Party has lost all 48 South Carolina U.S. House races in districts held by the GOP.</strong></em></p>

<p>The Democratic Party's next biggest drought is in Missouri - failing to pick-up a seat in 46 straight U.S. House contests. (Missouri will host a special election next month in the GOP-friendly 8th CD that will assuredly extend the streak to 47).</p>

<p>Pat Danner's 1992 upset win over nine-term incumbent Earl Thomas Coleman in the  6th CD was the last Democratic pick-up in the Show-Me State.</p>

<p>Rounding out the Top 5 states for Democratic futility is Nebraska at 33 consecutive races, Georgia at 30, and Oklahoma at 25.</p>

<p>The Democrats have not only failed to pick up seats in these 48 straight South Carolina contests, but they have rarely come anywhere close to victory - losing by single digits in just five of these races:</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> SC-02 (1988): Jim Leventis lost by 6.1 points to nine-term GOP incumbent Floyd Spence.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>SC-01 (2008): Linda Ketner lost by 4.0 points to four-term incumbent Henry Brown.</p>

<p><big><strong>·</strong></big> SC-02 (2008): Rob Miller lost by 7.6 points to four-term incumbent Joe Wilson.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>SC-02 (2010): Miller lost by 9.7 points in a rematch against Wilson, then a five-term incumbent.</p>

<p><big><strong>· </strong></big>SC-01 (2013): Colbert Busch lost by 8.9 points to Sanford.</p>

<p>As for the race itself, many were expecting a much closer outcome Tuesday.</p>

<p>The Cook Political Report predicted a <a href="https://twitter.com/CookPolitical/status/331485682558201856" target="new">"photo finish"</a> and the final survey released a few days ago by Public Policy Polling showed a statistically insignificant one-point differential between the major party candidates.</p>

<p>Even still, the race was competitive - at least by <em>South Carolina</em> standards. </p>

<p><em><strong>Sanford's 8.9-point victory ranks as the 23rd closest U.S. House election in the state out of the 377 general and special contests that have been conducted since 1900.</strong></em></p>

<p>Only 11 races have been decided by 5 points or less during this 113-year span with just 26 decided by single digits.</p>

<p>The closest election since the turn of the 20th Century occurred in 1992 when Republican Bob Inglis defeated the aforementioned three-term incumbent Liz Patterson in the 4th CD by 2.9 points.</p>

<p>With Colbert Busch's defeat, Patterson remains the last woman to win a U.S. House seat in South Carolina and the fifth overall in state history.</p>

<p>Colbert Busch was attempting to become the first woman to win a U.S. House seat in the state without any <a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/colbert_busch_making_history_i.php">political ties by marriage or birth</a>.</p>

<p>Patterson, who won elections 1986, 1988, and 1990, was the daughter of Olin Johnston, a former South Carolina governor (1935-1939) and U.S. Senator (1945-1965).</p>

<p>Each of the other four women elected to the U.S. House won special elections to fill seats left vacant by their deceased husbands: Democrats Elizabeth Hawley Gasque (1938, 6th CD), Clara McMillan (1939, 1st CD), Willa Fulmer (1944, 2nd CD), and Corinne Boyd Riley (1962, 2nd CD). None of these female U.S. Representatives were candidates for the subsequent full term.</p>

<p><em><strong>With his victory, Sanford becomes the sixth ex-governor of the Palmetto State to be elected to the U.S. House in South Carolina history, and the <a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/01/sanford_seeks_1st_us_house_sea.php">first since the 1850s</a>.</strong></em></p>

<p>Sanford joins Federalist Thomas Pinckney (1797-1801), Democratic-Republican Henry Middleton (1815-1819), Democratic-Republican Charles Pinckney (1819-1821), Jacksonian Richard Manning (1834-1836), and Democrat William Aiken (1851-1857) to join the nation's lower legislative chamber after serving as South Carolina governor. </p>

<p>Sanford is the first South Carolinian to get elected to the U.S. House, then serve as governor, and then get elected back to the House once again.</p>

<p><big><strong>Closest South Carolina U.S. House Elections Since 1900</strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="600">
  <tr>
    <td width="37" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Year</strong></div></td>
    <td width="58" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>District</strong></div></td>
    <td width="122" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Winner</strong></div></td>
    <td width="81" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="138" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Loser</strong></div></td>
    <td width="77" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="43" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>MoV</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1992</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Bob Inglis</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Liz Patterson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2.9</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1976</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Kenneth Holland</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Bobby Richardson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3.1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1980</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Tommy Hartnett</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Charles Ravenel</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3.3</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1980</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Napier</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Jenrette</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3.6</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1974</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Jenrette</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Edward Young</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3.9</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2008</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Harry Brown</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Linda Ketner</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1986</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Liz Patterson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Bill Workman</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1986</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Arthur Ravenel</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Jimmy Stuckey</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1994</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Spratt</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Larry Bigham</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.3</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1988</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Liz Patterson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Knox White</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.3</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1982</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Robin Tallon</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Napier</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5.0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1962</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Albert Watson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Floyd Spence</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5.7</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1988</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Floyd Spence</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Jim Leventis</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">6.1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1978</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Carroll Campbell</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Max Heller</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">6.2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1970</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Floyd Spence</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Heyward McDonald</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">6.7</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1971*</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Mendel Davis</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">James Edwards</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">6.9</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1986</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Floyd Spence</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Fred Zeigler</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">7.2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1953*</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Robert Ashmore</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Charles Moore</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">7.2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2008</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Joe Wilson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rob Miller</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">7.5</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1988</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Butler Derrick</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Henry Jordan</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">8.1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1972</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Edward Young</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Jenrette</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">8.7</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1996</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">John Spratt</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Larry Bigham</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">8.8</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>2013*</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>1</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Mark Sanford</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Republican</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Elizabeth Colbert Busch</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Democrat</strong></div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right"><strong>8.9</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1972</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Mendel Davis</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">J. Sidi Limehouse</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9.0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1982</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Tommy Hartnett</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Walton McLeod</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9.4</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Joe Wilson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Republican</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rob Miller</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9.7</div></td>
  </tr>
</table>
<small>* Denotes special election. Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">We Are Family? Colbert Busch vs Sanford Campaign Website Biographies</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/we_are_family_colbert_busch_vs.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=395049" title="We Are Family? Colbert Busch vs Sanford Campaign Website Biographies" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.395049</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-07T05:09:36Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-07T11:39:11Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Elizabeth Colbert Busch discusses her family in 34 percent of her campaign website bio compared to just 8 percent for Mark Sanford; Sanford devotes 81 percent to career accomplishments.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="South Carolina" />
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Elizabeth Colbert Busch discusses her family in 34 percent of her campaign website bio compared to just 8 percent for Mark Sanford; Sanford devotes 81 percent to career accomplishments</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/marksanford10.jpg"><img alt="marksanford10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/01/marksanford10-thumb-195x243-144389.jpg" width="195" height="243" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Reading the campaign website biographies of the two major party candidates in Tuesday's South Carolina 1st Congressional District special election reveals not only individuals with different personal and professional backgrounds, but also stark differences in what they choose to emphasize about their lives.</p>

<p>Both candidates are divorced, but only one shies away from discussing family. </p>

<p>Mark Sanford, of course, has been famously dogged by his high-profile affair while governor with a woman (Maria Chapur) who is now his fiancée, as well as recent charges of trespassing at his ex-wife's house.</p>

<p>Not surprisingly, Sanford overwhelming highlights his professional career and downplays his family life in the 527-word biography on his <a href="http://www.marksanford.com/about/" target="new"> Congressional campaign web site</a>.</p>

<p>Overall, 81.8 percent of Sanford's bio discusses his past experiences and accomplishments as Governor of the Palmetto State, as a former U.S. Representative from the 1st CD, and through his post-officeholder career as a political commentator and board member.</p>

<p>Sanford focuses in particular on his eight years as governor, highlighting the work he did on cutting taxes, stopping wasteful spending, and refusing to accept stimulus spending from the federal government.</p>

<p>By contrast, just 46 words, or 8.7 percent of the biography, addresses Sanford's personal or family life, including one sentence near the beginning:</p>

<blockquote>Mark first learned the themes of hard work and frugality growing up with two brothers and a sister on their family farm near Beaufort, SC.</blockquote>

<p>And two short sentences at the very end:</p>

<blockquote>Mark has four sons, Marshall, Landon, Bolton and Blake, and is engaged to Maria Belen Chapur. He currently lives in Charleston.</blockquote>

<p>Sanford devotes another 4.7 percent of his web site bio each to his educational background and to his general policy goals in Congress (tackling "runaway government spending").</p>

<p>Meanwhile, more than one-third of Elizabeth Colbert Busch's <a href="http://colbertbuschforcongress.com/meet-elizabeth/" target="new">campaign website bio</a> discusses her family life and background (282 of 819 words, 34.4 percent). </p>

<p>That is four times the rate of Sanford and more than six times the total number of words Sanford used to discuss his family life.</p>

<p>Colbert Busch leads with the family in four of the first six paragraphs of her biography discussing her life growing up, the tragedy she experienced as a young adult when three members of her family were killed in a plane crash, and life as a single, divorced mother of three.</p>

<p>Even when discussing her career accomplishments, the Democratic nominee gives a shout out to her folks: </p>

<blockquote>Inspired by her parents' commitment to education, Elizabeth proudly serves as an advisor to the Science, Technology, Engineering and Mathematics Coalition.. </blockquote>

<p>She ends her bio mentioning the "love of her life," husband Claus Busch, plus her children and grandchildren.</p>

<p>Colbert Busch still uses the plurality of her biography to discuss her professional career in the maritime and energy industries (386 words, 47.1 percent) including a list of some of the accolades she has received and the boards on which she sits. </p>

<p>A total of 5.6 percent of Colbert Busch's bio discusses her education with another 12.8 percent on her general outlook on Congress and goals moving forward.</p>

<p>Two candidates. Two different narratives. </p>

<p>Which one will prevail on Tuesday?  </p>

<p><big><strong>Subject Matter of Colbert Bush and Sanford Campaign Website Biographies by Percent </strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="400">
  <tr>
    <td width="150" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Subject</strong></div></td>
    <td width="100" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Colbert Busch</strong></div></td>
    <td width="100" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Sanford</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Professional career</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">47.1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">81.8</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Family</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">34.4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">8.7</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Goals / issues</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">12.8</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.7</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Education background</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5.6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4.7</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
</table>
<small>Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">States with the Longest US House Special Election Droughts</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/states_with_the_longest_us_hou.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=394925" title="States with the Longest US House Special Election Droughts" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.394925</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-06T05:24:26Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-06T10:51:37Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Idaho has not hosted a special election to the House in its 122 years since statehood; Delaware last held one during the McKinley administration with Utah and New Hampshire during the Hoover years.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Delaware" />
    
        <category term="Idaho" />
    
        <category term="Iowa" />
    
        <category term="South Carolina" />
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
        <category term="Utah" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Idaho has not hosted a special election to the House in its 122 years since statehood; Delaware last held one during the McKinley administration with Utah and New Hampshire during the Hoover years</strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/ushouseseal10.png"><img alt="ushouseseal10.png" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2012/03/ushouseseal10-thumb-220x219-115974.png" width="220" height="219" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>Special elections to the House of Representatives often seem quite special because they can help feed the ever-growing appetite of the media and political junkies during those many months between general election cycles when there is little else taking place at the ballot box.</p>

<p>Special elections are frequently cast by the media as barometers for the next cycle or as a referendum on the presidential administration - even, at times, when the seats are not particularly competitive. </p>

<p>Special elections are conducted for a variety of reasons - the death of the representative (Donald Payne, NJ-10, 2012), a resignation due to scandal (Anthony Weiner, NY-09, 2011), or resigning to take a different position in (Dean Heller, NV-02, 2011) or out (Jane Harman, CA-36, 2011) of elected office.</p>

<p>In the spotlight this week is the special election to South Carolina's 1st CD seat on Tuesday between Democrat Elizabeth Colbert Busch, Republican Mark Sanford, and the Green Party's Eugene Platt.</p>

<p>This marks the first such contest in 11+ years in the Palmetto State.</p>

<p>And while that may not seem like a long time, 25 other states have had at least one special election since the last time South Carolina hosted such a race (a 2nd CD contest on December 18, 2001 won by GOP Representative Joe Wilson).</p>

<p>But the waiting period in South Carolina has not been nearly as long as in some states.</p>

<p>Eight states have not had the special election spotlight shined on them in contests for the nation's lower legislative chamber in at least 50 years.</p>

<p>And one state has yet to conduct a special election in its history.</p>

<p><em><strong>A Smart Politics analysis finds that Idaho has compiled the longest period in the nation without hosting a special election to the House of Representatives at 122 years since statehood and counting.</strong></em></p>

<p>Idaho's first U.S. Representative elected after achieving statehood in July 1890 was Republican Willis Sweet who served the at-large district until March 1895. </p>

<p>For the next 122 years since Sweet's first electoral victory, the Gem State has yet to conduct a special election for this office both through its varying periods of one at-large seat (1890-1913), two at-large seats (1913-1919), and its current configuration of two congressional districts (1919-present).</p>

<p>Even on the rare occasions when Idaho has suffered a death or resignation in its U.S. House delegation, there has been no special election to fill the seat.</p>

<p>For example, in June 1934 Democratic Thomas Coffin died during his first term in the chamber. </p>

<p>Despite nearly seven months remaining in the 73rd Congress, Coffin's seat remained vacant for the rest of the unexpired term.</p>

<p><img src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/davidworthclark1.jpg" width="165" height="206" border="1" hspace="8" vspace="5" align="right" />Coffin's successor, future Democratic U.S. Senator David Worth Clark, was elected that November to the full term beginning January 1935, but no special election was held in the interim while the seat was vacant. </p>

<p>A decade later, four-term Republican U.S. Representative Henry Dworshak resigned his House seat on November 5, 1946, having just been elected to the Senate (in a special election to <em>that</em> seat).</p>

<p>With less than two months remaining of his unexpired House term, no special election was held and the seat stayed vacant throughout the remainder of the 79th Congress.</p>

<p>Idaho's string of 122+ years without a special election eclipses the second longest current stretch in the nation by more than a decade: Delaware's last such contest took place 112 years ago in November 1900 after the death of one-term Republican Rep. John Hoffecker.</p>

<p>Hoffecker's son, Walter, won the special election to Delaware's at-large seat and served out the remaining four months of his father's unexpired term.</p>

<p>Idaho's neighbor to the south Utah ranks third on the list with its last special election to the House coming on November 4, 1930, or 82+ years ago.</p>

<p>Five-term Republican Elmer Leatherwood died in office in December 1929 and the seat remained vacant for nearly a year before a special election was held in November 1930.</p>

<p>GOPer Frederick Loofbourow won that race as well as the race for the full term beginning March 1931. He took Leatherwood's vacant seat on December 1, 1930.</p>

<p>New Hampshire ranks a close fourth behind Utah with its last special election conducted 81 years ago on January 5, 1932. </p>

<p>Kansas (#5, 1950), Maine (#6, 1951), Nebraska (#7, 1951), and Iowa (#8, 1959) are the remaining four states to have last hosted a special election to the U.S. House more than 50 years ago.</p>

<p>(Note: When Kansas U.S. Representative Sam Brownback won a special election to Bob Dole's U.S. Senate seat in November 1996, Republican Jim Ryun was elected simultaneously to the unexpired term to Brownback's U.S. House seat as well as for the election for the regular term. As per Kansas Stat 25-3503 [d] a separate special election was not conducted for this unexpired seat). </p>

<p>Rounding out the Top 10 are North Dakota (1963) and Rhode Island (1967).</p>

<p>Although Idaho has gone the most <em>years</em> without a special election, it actually ranks #4 in terms of the largest number of consecutive U.S. House races without one.</p>

<p><em><strong>Iowa is tops on this list, coming in at 157 straight U.S. House contests since its last special election was held. </strong></em></p>

<p>The last time the Hawkeye State held a special election to the nation's lower legislative chamber was 53+ years ago when John Kyl won Iowa's 4th CD race. (Kyl is the father of former Arizona U.S. Representative and Senator Jon Kyl).</p>

<p>The race was held to fill the vacancy caused by the death of one-term Democrat Steven V. Carter one month prior. </p>

<p>Kansas has the second longest streak at 149 consecutive races without a special election followed by Minnesota at #3 with 144, Idaho in fourth at 120, and Tennessee at #5 with 108.</p>

<p>Rounding out the Top 10 are Texas at #6 (100 consecutive races), Utah at #7 (99), Nebraska at #8 (98), Colorado at #9 (96), and Alabama and Wisconsin tied at #10 (84 each).</p>

<p><big><strong>Longest Period Since Last U.S. House Special Election by State</strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="569">
  <tr>
    <td width="51" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Rank</strong></div></td>
    <td width="135" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>State</strong></div></td>
    <td width="145" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Date</strong></div></td>
    <td width="70" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>District</strong></div></td>
    <td width="65" height="10"><div align="right"><strong># Races</strong></div></td>
    <td width="65" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Years</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Idaho</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">(none)</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">N/A</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">120</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">122</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Delaware</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 6, 1900</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">56</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">112</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Utah</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 4, 1930</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">99</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">82</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">New Hampshire</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">January 5, 1932</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">82</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">81</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Kansas</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 7, 1950</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">149</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">62</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Maine</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">October 22, 1951</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">67</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">61</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">7</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Nebraska</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">December 4, 1951</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">98</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">61</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">8</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Iowa</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">December 15, 1959</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">157</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">53</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">North Dakota</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">October 22, 1963</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">29</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">49</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">10</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Rhode Island</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">March 28, 1967</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">46</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">46</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">11</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Montana</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 24, 1969</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">33</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">43</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">12</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Vermont</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">January 7, 1972</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">21</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">41</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">13</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Alaska</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">March 6, 1973</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">20</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">40</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">14</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Minnesota</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">February 22, 1977</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">7</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">144</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">36</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">15</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">West Virginia</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 3, 1980</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">57</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">32</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">16</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Colorado</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">March 29, 1983</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">96</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">30</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">17</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Connecticut</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">August 18, 1987</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">72</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">25</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">18</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Tennessee</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 8, 1988</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">108</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">24</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">19</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Alabama</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">April 4, 1989</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">84</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">24</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">20</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Wyoming</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">April 26, 1989</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">12</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">24</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">21</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Wisconsin</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">May 4, 1993</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">84</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">20</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">22</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Missouri*</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 5, 1996</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">8</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">71</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">16</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">23</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">New Mexico</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 23, 1998</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">24</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">14</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">24</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Arkansas</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">January 20, 2001</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">24</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">12</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">25</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">South Carolina**</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">December 18, 2001</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">37</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">11</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">26</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Oklahoma</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">January 8, 2002</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">30</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">11</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">27</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">South Dakota</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 1, 2004</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">AL</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">8</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">28</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">North Carolina</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">July 20, 2004</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">65</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">8</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">29</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Texas</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 7, 2006</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">22</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">100</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">6</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">30</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Massachusetts</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">October 16, 2007</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">29</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">31</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Virginia</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">December 11, 2007</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">33</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">32</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Louisiana</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">May 3, 2008</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1, 6</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">20</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">33</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Mississippi</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">May 13, 2008</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">12</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">34</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Maryland</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 17, 2008</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">24</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">35</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Ohio</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 18, 2008</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">11</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">34</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">36</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Florida</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">April 13, 2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">19</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">52</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">3</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">37</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Pennsylvania</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">May 18, 2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">12</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">37</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">38</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Hawaii</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">May 22, 2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">39</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Georgia</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 8, 2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">27</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">40</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Indiana</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 2, 2010</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">3</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">41</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">California</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">July 12, 2011</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">36</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">53</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">42</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Nevada</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">September 13, 2011</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">42</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">New York</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">September 13, 2011</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">27</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">44</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Oregon</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">January 31, 2012</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">5</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">1</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">45</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Arizona</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">June 12, 2012</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">8</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">9</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">46</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Kentucky</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 6, 2012</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">4</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">46</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Michigan</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 6, 2012</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">11</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">46</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">New Jersey</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 6, 2012</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">10</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">46</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Washington</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">November 6, 2012</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">50</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Illinois</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">April 9, 2013</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">2</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">0</div></td>
  </tr>
</table>
<small>* Special election in South Carolina to be conducted on May 7, 2013 for the 1st CD. ** Special election in Missouri to be conducted on June 4, 2013 for the 8th CD. Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>. </p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Seasoned Senators in Wisconsin</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/seasoned_senators_in_wisconsin.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=394703" title="Seasoned Senators in Wisconsin" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.394703</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-02T23:55:17Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-02T23:59:09Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Of the 15 men and women that have served in the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin since popular vote elections were introduced a century ago, Ron Johnson and Tammy Baldwin rank among the oldest upon first entering the chamber. Johnson began...</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Political Crumbs" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p>Of the 15 men and women that have served in the U.S. Senate from Wisconsin since popular vote elections were introduced a century ago, Ron Johnson and Tammy Baldwin rank among the oldest upon first entering the chamber. Johnson began his tenure at the age of 55 years, 8 months, and 26 days in January 2011, which is the oldest of any elected Wisconsin Senator during this popular vote era. The next oldest, Alexander Wiley, was more than one year younger when he took his seat in 1939 (54 years, 7 months, 8 days). Tammy Baldwin comes in at #6 being 50 years, 10 months, and 23 days when she took office in January of this year. The youngest elected Senator from the Badger State was Robert La Follette, Jr. at 30 years, 7 months, and 24 days (1925) when he took the seat of his legendary deceased father.</p>]]>
        
    </content>
</entry>



<entry>
   <title type="html">Colbert Busch: Making History in South Carolina?</title>
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/2013/05/colbert_busch_making_history_i.php" />
    <link rel="service.edit" type="application/atom+xml" href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cgi-bin/mt-atom.cgi/weblog/blog_id=8305/entry_id=394513" title="Colbert Busch: Making History in South Carolina?" />
    <id>tag:blog.lib.umn.edu,2013:/cspg/smartpolitics//8305.394513</id>
    
    <published>2013-05-02T05:54:42Z</published>
    <updated>2013-05-03T00:25:57Z</updated>
    
    <summary>Colbert Busch could become the sixth woman elected to Congress from South Carolina - but the first without political ties by marriage or birth.</summary>
    <author>
        <name>Eric Ostermeier</name>
        <uri />
    </author>
    
        <category term="Gender" />
    
        <category term="South Carolina" />
    
        <category term="U.S. House" />
    
    <content type="html" xml:lang="en" xml:base="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/">
        <![CDATA[<p><strong>Colbert Busch could become the sixth woman elected to Congress from South Carolina - but the first without political ties by marriage or birth </strong></p>

<p><a href="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/images/elizabethcolbertbusch10.jpg"><img alt="elizabethcolbertbusch10.jpg" src="http://blog.lib.umn.edu/cspg/smartpolitics/assets_c/2013/04/elizabethcolbertbusch10-thumb-195x243-151572.jpg" width="195" height="243" class="mt-image-right" style="float: right; margin: 0 0 20px 20px;" /></a>If Elizabeth Colbert Busch defeats Mark Sanford in South Carolina's 1st CD special election next Tuesday, she will become the sixth woman in history to win a U.S. House seat from the Palmetto State - and the first in more than two decades. </p>

<p>These previous five South Carolinians won a total of seven House elections in the state across more than 300 such contests that have been conducted since the first woman was elected to the House in 1916 (Jeannette Rankin of Montana).</p>

<p>But although a Colbert Busch victory would be similar to many of her predecessors in that four of them also won <em>special</em> elections, her win would be particularly notable because it would make her the first woman from South Carolina to win a seat in Congress without any political ties by marriage or birth.</p>

<p>Each of the first four South Carolina women to win U.S. House seats did so in special elections to fill the vacancies created by the deaths of their husbands.</p>

<p>None served more than 14 months and none was a candidate for the full term at the time of the next general election.</p>

<p><strong>Elizabeth Hawley Gasque</strong> was elected in a September 1938 special election to the 6th Congressional District after the death of her husband, eight-term Democratic Representative Allard Gasque. </p>

<p>Hawley Gasque served approximately three and one-half months until the end of the term on January 3, 1939.</p>

<p>In November 1939, <strong>Clara McMillan</strong> was elected in a 1st CD special election to fill the vacancy after the death of her husband, Democrat Thomas McMillan, who was in his eighth term at the time of his passing. Clara McMillian served nearly 14 months until the end of the term in January 1941.</p>

<p><strong>Willa Fulmer</strong> served less than two months in Congress (November 7, 1944 to January 3, 1945) after a special election victory in the state's 2nd CD to finish the term opened up after the death of her husband earlier that year. </p>

<p>Democrat Hampton Fulmer had served 12 terms in the House.</p>

<p>In April 1962, <strong>Corinne Boyd Riley</strong> won a special election in the 2nd CD to fill the vacancy after the death of her husband, eight-term Democrat John Riley.</p>

<p>Boyd Riley served until the end of the term on January 3, 1963.</p>

<p>The fifth and most recent woman to be elected to the U.S. House from South Carolina was Democrat <strong>Liz Patterson</strong>. </p>

<p>Patterson won the state's open 4th CD race in 1986 previously held by Republican Carroll Campbell.</p>

<p>Patterson narrowly won by 4.1 points over Bill Workman and carried the district two more times in 1988 and 1990 before losing by 2.9 points to Bob Inglis after redistricting in 1992.</p>

<p>Patterson, unlike Hawley Gasque, McMillan, Fulmer, and Boyd Riley, was not married to a U.S. Representative, although her father was Olin Johnston. </p>

<p>Johnston was governor of South Carolina from 1935-1939 and was elected four times to the U.S. Senate in 1944, 1950, 1956, and 1962 before dying in office in 1965. </p>

<p>South Carolina currently ranks tied for #37 in the country with an average of 2.3 percent of its U.S. House seats held by women since 1916.</p>

<p>The state made history in 2010 when it elected Republican Nikki Haley as its first female governor.</p>

<p><big><strong>Women Elected to Congress from South Carolina </strong></big></p>

<table align="top" border="1" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="2" width="480">
  <tr>
    <td width="105" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Elected</strong></div></td>
    <td width="150" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Congresswoman</strong></div></td>
    <td width="80" height="10"><div align="left"><strong>Party</strong></div></td>
    <td width="85" height="10"><div align="right"><strong>Days served</strong></div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1938 (s)</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Elizabeth Hawley Gasque</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">113</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1939 (s)</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Clara McMillan</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">424</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1944 (s)</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Willa Fulmer</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">58</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1962 (s)</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Corinne Boyd Riley</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">269</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">1986, 1988, 1990</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Liz Patterson</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="left">Democrat</div></td>
    <td height="10"><div align="right">2,193</div></td>
  </tr>
  <tr>
</table>
<small>Table compiled by Smart Politics.</small>

<p>Follow <strong>Smart Politics</strong> on <a href="http://twitter.com/SmartPolitics" target="new">Twitter</a>. </p>]]>
        
    </content>
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