Stats Chat

NRL Predictions for Round 26

David Scott — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:40:47 +0000

Team Ratings for Round 26

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Warriors	11.59	-1.18	12.80
Panthers	9.81	8.77	1.00
Sharks	7.99	7.25	0.70
Roosters	7.79	9.50	-1.70
Dolphins	5.67	1.85	3.80
Bulldogs	0.93	2.13	-1.20
Storm	0.55	6.96	-6.40
Sea Eagles	-0.33	0.21	-0.50
Rabbitohs	-0.42	-5.05	4.60
Raiders	-0.96	1.62	-2.60
Knights	-1.23	-14.06	12.80
Cowboys	-3.01	-2.69	-0.30
Eels	-5.43	-0.37	-5.10
Broncos	-5.62	7.06	-12.70
Titans	-6.55	-8.02	1.50
Dragons	-9.79	-6.72	-3.10
Wests Tigers	-10.99	-7.26	-3.70

Performance So Far

So far there have been 188 matches played, 122 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 64.9%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Storm vs. Panthers	Aug 20	14 – 22	-4.50	TRUE
2	Raiders vs. Broncos	Aug 21	30 – 34	10.80	FALSE
3	Dolphins vs. Eels	Aug 21	34 – 16	14.30	TRUE
4	Knights vs. Sea Eagles	Aug 22	24 – 44	6.70	FALSE
5	Rabbitohs vs. Warriors	Aug 22	26 – 45	-6.10	TRUE
6	Dragons vs. Bulldogs	Aug 22	14 – 44	-7.60	TRUE
7	Titans vs. Sharks	Aug 23	22 – 30	-11.30	TRUE
8	Roosters vs. Wests Tigers	Aug 23	24 – 25	26.40	FALSE

Predictions for Round 26

Here are the predictions for Round 26. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Broncos vs. Storm	Aug 27	Storm	-2.20
2	Sea Eagles vs. Dragons	Aug 28	Sea Eagles	13.50
3	Panthers vs. Bulldogs	Aug 28	Panthers	8.90
4	Titans vs. Rabbitohs	Aug 29	Rabbitohs	-2.10
5	Roosters vs. Dolphins	Aug 29	Roosters	6.10
6	Cowboys vs. Wests Tigers	Aug 29	Cowboys	12.00
7	Warriors vs. Knights	Aug 30	Warriors	16.80
8	Eels vs. Sharks	Aug 30	Sharks	-9.40

The post NRL Predictions for Round 26 first appeared on Stats Chat.

Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 5

David Scott — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:39:39 +0000

Team Ratings for Week 5

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Hawke’s Bay	9.79	5.18	4.60
Canterbury	7.54	10.29	-2.80
Bay of Plenty	7.34	9.80	-2.50
Otago	6.86	5.80	1.10
Taranaki	4.87	7.57	-2.70
Waikato	2.51	-0.83	3.30
North Harbour	1.66	-4.18	5.80
Northland	0.95	-5.96	6.90
Tasman	0.92	0.68	0.20
Auckland	-2.22	-2.64	0.40
Counties Manukau	-2.83	3.63	-6.50
Wellington	-3.27	2.70	-6.00
Southland	-12.24	-10.83	-1.40
Manawatu	-15.70	-15.05	-0.60

Performance So Far

So far there have been 28 matches played, 17 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 60.7%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Canterbury vs. Northland	Aug 20	12 – 36	14.00	FALSE
2	Hawke’s Bay vs. Manawatu	Aug 21	59 – 17	26.30	TRUE
3	Tasman vs. Southland	Aug 22	46 – 17	14.10	TRUE
4	North Harbour vs. Auckland	Aug 22	27 – 19	6.50	TRUE
5	Bay of Plenty vs. Taranaki	Aug 22	28 – 24	5.90	TRUE
6	Waikato vs. Counties Manukau	Aug 23	45 – 12	4.90	TRUE
7	Otago vs. Wellington	Aug 23	61 – 22	9.50	TRUE

Predictions for Week 5

Here are the predictions for Week 5. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Southland vs. Hawke’s Bay	Aug 27	Hawke’s Bay	-19.00
2	Auckland vs. Bay of Plenty	Aug 28	Bay of Plenty	-6.60
3	Taranaki vs. Canterbury	Aug 29	Taranaki	0.30
4	Otago vs. Waikato	Aug 29	Otago	7.30
5	Manawatu vs. North Harbour	Aug 29	North Harbour	-14.40
6	Wellington vs. Counties Manukau	Aug 30	Wellington	2.60
7	Northland vs. Tasman	Aug 30	Northland	3.00

The post Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 5 first appeared on Stats Chat.

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 7

David Scott — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:38:19 +0000

Team Ratings for Round 7

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Griquas	11.74	9.78	2.00
Lions	11.35	14.61	-3.30
Pumas	3.02	5.36	-2.30
Cheetahs	0.93	-2.42	3.40
Boland Cavaliers	-1.65	-4.25	2.60
Sharks	-4.97	-4.65	-0.30
Bulls	-5.98	-2.24	-3.70
Stormers	-8.25	-10.00	1.80

Performance So Far

So far there have been 24 matches played, 15 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 62.5%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Pumas vs. Griquas	Aug 22	14 – 38	-3.50	TRUE
2	Bulls vs. Stormers	Aug 22	26 – 50	8.50	FALSE
3	Sharks vs. Lions	Aug 22	22 – 22	-15.10	FALSE
4	Cheetahs vs. Boland Cavaliers	Aug 24	33 – 24	4.70	TRUE

Predictions for Round 7

Here are the predictions for Round 7. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Lions vs. Stormers	Aug 29	Lions	22.60
2	Sharks vs. Bulls	Aug 29	Sharks	4.00
3	Pumas vs. Cheetahs	Aug 29	Pumas	5.10
4	Boland Cavaliers vs. Griquas	Aug 31	Griquas	-10.40

The post Currie Cup Predictions for Round 7 first appeared on Stats Chat.

AFL Predictions for Finals Week 1

David Scott — Tue, 25 Aug 2026 03:36:48 +0000

Team Ratings for Finals Week 1

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Brisbane Lions	24.44	26.20	-1.80
Sydney Swans	23.04	0.56	22.50
Fremantle Dockers	22.75	6.56	16.20
Geelong Cats	22.64	26.75	-4.10
Hawthorn Hawks	16.57	22.83	-6.30
Adelaide Crows	14.94	15.32	-0.40
Melbourne Demons	10.76	1.64	9.10
Carlton Blues	7.61	-4.77	12.40
Western Bulldogs	4.92	26.06	-21.10
Collingwood	3.18	11.76	-8.60
GWS Giants	-0.48	9.54	-10.00
Gold Coast Suns	-1.87	10.24	-12.10
St Kilda Saints	-3.24	-7.63	4.40
North Melbourne	-10.83	-21.71	10.90
Port Adelaide Power	-18.07	-14.65	-3.40
West Coast Eagles	-33.36	-39.36	6.00
Richmond Tigers	-33.74	-29.44	-4.30
Essendon Bombers	-37.26	-27.89	-9.40

Performance So Far

So far there have been 207 matches played, 147 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	St Kilda Saints vs. Gold Coast Suns	Aug 20	80 – 103	15.40	FALSE
2	Collingwood vs. Brisbane Lions	Aug 21	96 – 159	-1.20	TRUE
3	Adelaide Crows vs. GWS Giants	Aug 22	157 – 101	21.20	TRUE
4	Carlton Blues vs. Fremantle Dockers	Aug 22	119 – 82	-11.30	FALSE
5	Geelong Cats vs. Richmond Tigers	Aug 22	133 – 76	69.70	TRUE
6	Melbourne Demons vs. Western Bulldogs	Aug 22	87 – 108	10.60	FALSE
7	Essendon Bombers vs. Port Adelaide Power	Aug 23	95 – 104	-8.00	TRUE
8	Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne	Aug 23	123 – 70	43.10	TRUE
9	West Coast Eagles vs. Hawthorn Hawks	Aug 23	45 – 107	-34.80	TRUE

Predictions for Finals Week 1

Here are the predictions for Finals Week 1. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Western Bulldogs vs. Collingwood	Aug 28	Western Bulldogs	1.70
2	Melbourne Demons vs. Carlton Blues	Aug 29	Melbourne Demons	3.10

The post AFL Predictions for Finals Week 1 first appeared on Stats Chat.

NRL Predictions for Round 25

David Scott — Tue, 18 Aug 2026 14:03:47 +0000

Team Ratings for Round 25

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Warriors	10.62	-1.18	11.80
Roosters	9.62	9.50	0.10
Panthers	9.43	8.77	0.70
Sharks	8.35	7.25	1.10
Dolphins	5.26	1.85	3.40
Storm	0.94	6.96	-6.00
Knights	0.56	-14.06	14.60
Rabbitohs	0.55	-5.05	5.60
Raiders	0.13	1.62	-1.50
Bulldogs	-0.62	2.13	-2.70
Sea Eagles	-2.13	0.21	-2.30
Cowboys	-3.01	-2.69	-0.30
Eels	-5.02	-0.37	-4.60
Broncos	-6.71	7.06	-13.80
Titans	-6.91	-8.02	1.10
Dragons	-8.25	-6.72	-1.50
Wests Tigers	-12.82	-7.26	-5.60

Performance So Far

So far there have been 180 matches played, 117 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Panthers vs. Roosters	Aug 13	6 – 12	5.60	FALSE
2	Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins	Aug 14	0 – 22	-0.40	TRUE
3	Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs	Aug 14	6 – 22	1.30	FALSE
4	Sharks vs. Raiders	Aug 15	20 – 24	14.90	FALSE
5	Eels vs. Cowboys	Aug 15	32 – 30	2.00	TRUE
6	Broncos vs. Warriors	Aug 15	6 – 40	-10.10	TRUE
7	Knights vs. Titans	Aug 16	36 – 26	11.90	TRUE
8	Wests Tigers vs. Dragons	Aug 16	22 – 24	-0.20	TRUE

Predictions for Round 25

Here are the predictions for Round 25. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Storm vs. Panthers	Aug 20	Panthers	-4.50
2	Raiders vs. Broncos	Aug 21	Raiders	10.80
3	Dolphins vs. Eels	Aug 21	Dolphins	14.30
4	Knights vs. Sea Eagles	Aug 22	Knights	6.70
5	Rabbitohs vs. Warriors	Aug 22	Warriors	-6.10
6	Dragons vs. Bulldogs	Aug 22	Bulldogs	-7.60
7	Titans vs. Sharks	Aug 23	Sharks	-11.30
8	Roosters vs. Wests Tigers	Aug 23	Roosters	26.40

The post NRL Predictions for Round 25 first appeared on Stats Chat.

Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 4

David Scott — Tue, 18 Aug 2026 14:02:17 +0000

Team Ratings for Week 4

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Canterbury	9.74	10.29	-0.60
Hawke’s Bay	8.70	5.18	3.50
Bay of Plenty	7.57	9.80	-2.20
Otago	5.06	5.80	-0.70
Taranaki	4.64	7.57	-2.90
North Harbour	1.49	-4.18	5.70
Waikato	0.77	-0.83	1.60
Tasman	-0.13	0.68	-0.80
Counties Manukau	-1.10	3.63	-4.70
Northland	-1.25	-5.96	4.70
Wellington	-1.47	2.70	-4.20
Auckland	-2.04	-2.64	0.60
Southland	-11.20	-10.83	-0.40
Manawatu	-14.61	-15.05	0.40

Performance So Far

So far there have been 21 matches played, 11 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 52.4%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Wellington vs. North Harbour	Aug 13	7 – 47	5.10	FALSE
2	Northland vs. Taranaki	Aug 14	42 – 0	-8.40	FALSE
3	Canterbury vs. Bay of Plenty	Aug 15	33 – 28	5.20	TRUE
4	Auckland vs. Hawke’s Bay	Aug 15	31 – 44	-6.10	TRUE
5	Manawatu vs. Otago	Aug 15	27 – 29	-19.00	TRUE
6	Southland vs. Waikato	Aug 16	32 – 31	-10.70	FALSE
7	Counties Manukau vs. Tasman	Aug 16	35 – 50	4.60	FALSE

Predictions for Week 4

Here are the predictions for Week 4. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Canterbury vs. Northland	Aug 20	Canterbury	14.00
2	Hawke’s Bay vs. Manawatu	Aug 21	Hawke’s Bay	26.30
3	Tasman vs. Southland	Aug 22	Tasman	14.10
4	North Harbour vs. Auckland	Aug 22	North Harbour	6.50
5	Bay of Plenty vs. Taranaki	Aug 22	Bay of Plenty	5.90
6	Waikato vs. Counties Manukau	Aug 23	Waikato	4.90
7	Otago vs. Wellington	Aug 23	Otago	9.50

The post Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 4 first appeared on Stats Chat.

Currie Cup Predictions for Round 6

David Scott — Tue, 18 Aug 2026 13:58:20 +0000

Team Ratings for Round 6

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Lions	12.22	14.61	-2.40
Griquas	10.62	9.78	0.80
Pumas	4.14	5.36	-1.20
Cheetahs	0.51	-2.42	2.90
Boland Cavaliers	-1.22	-4.25	3.00
Bulls	-4.36	-2.24	-2.10
Sharks	-5.84	-4.65	-1.20
Stormers	-9.87	-10.00	0.10

Performance So Far

So far there have been 20 matches played, 13 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Lions vs. Boland Cavaliers	Aug 15	29 – 38	19.30	FALSE
2	Griquas vs. Sharks	Aug 15	55 – 21	17.60	TRUE
3	Pumas vs. Stormers	Aug 16	29 – 7	16.20	TRUE
4	Bulls vs. Cheetahs	Aug 17	52 – 62	-0.70	TRUE

Predictions for Round 6

Here are the predictions for Round 6. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Pumas vs. Griquas	Aug 22	Griquas	-3.50
2	Bulls vs. Stormers	Aug 22	Bulls	8.50
3	Sharks vs. Lions	Aug 22	Lions	-15.10
4	Cheetahs vs. Boland Cavaliers	Aug 24	Cheetahs	4.70

The post Currie Cup Predictions for Round 6 first appeared on Stats Chat.

AFL Predictions for Week 25

David Scott — Tue, 18 Aug 2026 13:57:05 +0000

Team Ratings for Week 25

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Fremantle Dockers	26.33	6.56	19.80
Geelong Cats	23.78	26.75	-3.00
Sydney Swans	22.15	0.56	21.60
Brisbane Lions	19.91	26.20	-6.30
Hawthorn Hawks	14.50	22.83	-8.30
Melbourne Demons	13.15	1.64	11.50
Adelaide Crows	12.31	15.32	-3.00
Collingwood	7.70	11.76	-4.10
Carlton Blues	4.03	-4.77	8.80
Western Bulldogs	2.52	26.06	-23.50
GWS Giants	2.14	9.54	-7.40
St Kilda Saints	-0.36	-7.63	7.30
Gold Coast Suns	-4.75	10.24	-15.00
North Melbourne	-9.94	-21.71	11.80
Port Adelaide Power	-18.16	-14.65	-3.50
West Coast Eagles	-31.28	-39.36	8.10
Richmond Tigers	-34.88	-29.44	-5.40
Essendon Bombers	-37.17	-27.89	-9.30

Performance So Far

So far there have been 198 matches played, 141 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 71.2%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Fremantle Dockers vs. Adelaide Crows	Aug 14	112 – 88	25.20	TRUE
2	Brisbane Lions vs. Gold Coast Suns	Aug 15	95 – 53	27.40	TRUE
3	Hawthorn Hawks vs. Collingwood	Aug 15	92 – 92	8.30	FALSE
4	North Melbourne vs. Geelong Cats	Aug 15	110 – 125	-24.40	TRUE
5	Port Adelaide Power vs. Melbourne Demons	Aug 15	56 – 132	-10.80	TRUE
6	Richmond Tigers vs. St Kilda Saints	Aug 15	45 – 94	-31.80	TRUE
7	Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans	Aug 16	76 – 112	-50.60	TRUE
8	GWS Giants vs. West Coast Eagles	Aug 16	111 – 57	42.30	TRUE
9	Western Bulldogs vs. Carlton Blues	Aug 16	82 – 82	-1.80	FALSE

Predictions for Week 25

Here are the predictions for Week 25. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	St Kilda Saints vs. Gold Coast Suns	Aug 20	St Kilda Saints	15.40
2	Collingwood vs. Brisbane Lions	Aug 21	Brisbane Lions	-1.20
3	Adelaide Crows vs. GWS Giants	Aug 22	Adelaide Crows	21.20
4	Carlton Blues vs. Fremantle Dockers	Aug 22	Fremantle Dockers	-11.30
5	Geelong Cats vs. Richmond Tigers	Aug 22	Geelong Cats	69.70
6	Melbourne Demons vs. Western Bulldogs	Aug 22	Melbourne Demons	10.60
7	Essendon Bombers vs. Port Adelaide Power	Aug 23	Port Adelaide Power	-8.00
8	Sydney Swans vs. North Melbourne	Aug 23	Sydney Swans	43.10
9	West Coast Eagles vs. Hawthorn Hawks	Aug 23	Hawthorn Hawks	-34.80

The post AFL Predictions for Week 25 first appeared on Stats Chat.

NRL Predictions for Round 24

David Scott — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 10:44:08 +0000

Team Ratings for Round 24

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Panthers	10.31	8.77	1.50
Sharks	9.69	7.25	2.40
Warriors	8.99	-1.18	10.20
Roosters	8.74	9.50	-0.80
Dolphins	3.76	1.85	1.90
Storm	0.94	6.96	-6.00
Knights	0.77	-14.06	14.80
Bulldogs	0.63	2.13	-1.50
Sea Eagles	-0.63	0.21	-0.80
Rabbitohs	-0.70	-5.05	4.40
Raiders	-1.21	1.62	-2.80
Cowboys	-3.00	-2.69	-0.30
Eels	-5.02	-0.37	-4.60
Broncos	-5.08	7.06	-12.10
Titans	-7.11	-8.02	0.90
Dragons	-8.45	-6.72	-1.70
Wests Tigers	-12.62	-7.26	-5.40

Performance So Far

So far there have been 172 matches played, 112 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 65.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	Titans vs. Cowboys	Aug 06	8 – 30	3.30	FALSE
2	Warriors vs. Panthers	Aug 07	28 – 12	0.40	TRUE
3	Roosters vs. Bulldogs	Aug 07	20 – 18	13.90	TRUE
4	Storm vs. Sea Eagles	Aug 08	42 – 20	-1.70	FALSE
5	Dolphins vs. Broncos	Aug 08	40 – 32	9.10	TRUE
6	Rabbitohs vs. Eels	Aug 08	28 – 24	9.50	TRUE
7	Raiders vs. Knights	Aug 09	24 – 30	3.50	FALSE
8	Dragons vs. Sharks	Aug 09	24 – 16	-17.60	FALSE

Predictions for Round 24

Here are the predictions for Round 24. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Panthers vs. Roosters	Aug 13	Panthers	5.60
2	Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins	Aug 14	Dolphins	-0.40
3	Bulldogs vs. Rabbitohs	Aug 14	Bulldogs	1.30
4	Sharks vs. Raiders	Aug 15	Sharks	14.90
5	Eels vs. Cowboys	Aug 15	Eels	2.00
6	Broncos vs. Warriors	Aug 15	Warriors	-10.10
7	Knights vs. Titans	Aug 16	Knights	11.90
8	Wests Tigers vs. Dragons	Aug 16	Dragons	-0.20

The post NRL Predictions for Round 24 first appeared on Stats Chat.

Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 3

David Scott — Mon, 10 Aug 2026 10:42:56 +0000

Team Ratings for Week 3

The basic method is described on my Department home page.
Here are the team ratings prior to this week’s games, along with the ratings at the start of the season.

	Current Rating	Rating at Season Start	Difference
Canterbury	9.76	10.29	-0.50
Hawke’s Bay	7.87	5.18	2.70
Bay of Plenty	7.54	9.80	-2.30
Taranaki	7.40	7.57	-0.20
Otago	6.21	5.80	0.40
Waikato	1.63	-0.83	2.50
Wellington	1.05	2.70	-1.70
Counties Manukau	0.20	3.63	-3.40
North Harbour	-1.04	-4.18	3.10
Auckland	-1.21	-2.64	1.40
Tasman	-1.42	0.68	-2.10
Northland	-4.01	-5.96	1.90
Southland	-12.06	-10.83	-1.20
Manawatu	-15.77	-15.05	-0.70

Performance So Far

So far there have been 14 matches played, 8 of which were correctly predicted, a success rate of 57.1%.
Here are the predictions for last week’s games.

	Game	Date	Score	Prediction	Correct
1	North Harbour vs. Counties Manukau	Aug 06	59 – 19	-3.10	FALSE
2	Taranaki vs. Waikato	Aug 07	32 – 38	11.10	FALSE
3	Auckland vs. Wellington	Aug 08	34 – 31	0.00	TRUE
4	Bay of Plenty vs. Northland	Aug 08	34 – 31	16.50	TRUE
5	Hawke’s Bay vs. Tasman	Aug 08	50 – 19	9.50	TRUE
6	Otago vs. Canterbury	Aug 09	15 – 19	0.50	FALSE
7	Manawatu vs. Southland	Aug 09	36 – 35	-1.20	FALSE

Predictions for Week 3

Here are the predictions for Week 3. The prediction is my estimated expected points difference with a positive margin being a win to the home team, and a negative margin a win to the away team.

	Game	Date	Winner	Prediction
1	Wellington vs. North Harbour	Aug 13	Wellington	5.10
2	Northland vs. Taranaki	Aug 14	Taranaki	-8.40
3	Canterbury vs. Bay of Plenty	Aug 15	Canterbury	5.20
4	Auckland vs. Hawke’s Bay	Aug 15	Hawke’s Bay	-6.10
5	Manawatu vs. Otago	Aug 15	Otago	-19.00
6	Southland vs. Waikato	Aug 16	Waikato	-10.70
7	Counties Manukau vs. Tasman	Aug 16	Counties Manukau	4.60

The post Bunnings NPC Predictions for Week 3 first appeared on Stats Chat.