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U.S. crude ends 4-day skid amid weaker dollar, but ends July down 13%

2016-07-29T22:33:00.003-07:00

Crude futures inched up on Friday after hitting a $40 handle for the first time since April, ending the month sharply lower one day after entering a bear market due to renewed concerns of global oversupply.

Oil futures bounced off three-month lows on Friday, as the U.S. Dollar fell sharply amid weak GDP data and a soaring Yen. It came after the Bank of Japan rattled markets by approving only modest easing measures at a highly-anticipated meeting in Tokyo. Heading into the monetary policy meeting, the BOJ was widely expected to cut interest rates and expand Quantitative Easing in an effort to boost persistently sluggish inflation. The BOJ also ignored calls from the Japanese government to use all the tools necessary to lower the Yen in order to jumpstart soft exports. As a result, the Dollar plunged more than 2.5% against the Yen to an intraday-low of 102.12, its lowest level in nearly three weeks.

The U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the strength of the greenback versus a basket of six other major currencies, fell more than 1% on Friday to an intraday low of 95.67. The index is on pace for its fifth straight losing session after hitting four-month highs at 97.62 on Monday. Dollar-denominated commodities such as Crude become more expensive for foreign purchasers when the dollar appreciates.

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ICICI Bank net falls 25%, asset quality worries continue

2016-07-29T22:17:00.002-07:00

ICICI Bank, India’s largest private sector lender, reported a 25 per cent fall in its net profit at Rs 2,232 crore in the June quarter, compared with Rs 2,976 crore in the same period a year ago.

The profit was almost in line with Bloomberg estimates of Rs 2,207 crore. Net interest income, the difference between interest earned and interest expended, remained flat at Rs 5,159 crore, compared with Rs 5,115 crore. Other income, mainly led by retail fees and treasury income, increased 15 per cent to Rs 3,429 crore.

Asset quality pressure continues to persist and gross non-performing assets (NPA) as a percentage of total advances jumped to 5.87 per cent in the quarter under review from 3.68 per cent a year ago. In absolute terms, gross NPAs rose to Rs 27,194 crore, compared with Rs 15,138 crore in the first quarter of the previous financial year.

In the quarter-ended June, net NPAs increased to 3.35 per cent from 1.58 per cent. Total provisions also increased as bad loans piled up to Rs 2,515 crore in the quarter-ended June, compared with Rs 956 crore in the year-ago period.

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CS ROCKING PERFORMANCE OF THE DAY-29 JULY 2016

2016-07-29T04:23:00.004-07:00

STOCK FUTURES:

FUTURES INTRADAY:
AJANTAPHARMA FUTURES BUY CALL 3 TG
HAVELLS FUTURES BUY CALL 2 TG

OPTION:
APOLLOTYRE 165 CALL BUY CALL 1 TG
RELIANCE INFRA 600 CALL BUY CALL

OPTION PREMIUM:
ACC 1700 PUT BUY CALL HOLD FOR TOMORROW

STOCK CASH

STOCK CASH INTRADAY:
DWARKESH BUY CALL3 TG
SRTRANSFIN BUY CALL 3 TG
WOCKPHARMA BUY CALL 2 TG
PGEL BUY CALL 1 TG
SRF BUY CALL EXIT AT 1467.35-1472.40
DCMSHRIRAM BUY CALL HOLD FOR TOMORROW
BAJAJ FINANCE BUY CALL FULL BOOED AT 10478 (YESTERDAY CALL )

STOCK CASH PREMIUM:
PGEL BUY CALL 3 TG ( BOOKED AT 189.95)
SRTRANSFIN BUY CALL 1 TG
SRTRANSFIN 27TH JULY BUY CALL 3 TG ( BOOKED AT 1322)
EICHER MOT BUY CALL 3 TG ( BOOKED AT 22520)

STOCK SUPER PREMIUM
BUY ASIAN PAINTS IN CASH HOLD FOR TOMORROW( YESTERDAY CALL)
BUY EICHER MOTORS IN CASH HOLD FOR TOMORROW
BUY SHALIMAR PAINTS IN CASH HOLD FOR TOMORROW

EQUITY KING CALL
BUY MARUTI AUG. FUTURES FINAL TG (BOOKED AT 4839.80)
BUY UJJIVAN FINANCIAL IN CASH BOOKED AT 540.85 HOLD FOR TOMORROW
BUY RELIANCE INFRA FUTURES HOLD FOR TOMORROW
SELL BHARTI AIRTEL FUTURES HOLD FOR TOMORROW

OPTION STRATEGY
BUY YES BANK 1260 AUG. CALL HOLD FOR TOMORROW ( YESTERDAY CALL)

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET WRAP UP-29 JULY 2016

2016-07-29T04:18:00.001-07:00

INDIAN BENCHMARKS: SENSEX ENDS 157 POINTS LOWER, NIFTY 50 BELOW 8650

Cautious investors dumped equities ahead of key June quarter earnings on Friday after the Bank of Japan (BoJ) disappointed the market with less-than-expected monetary easing.

The S&P BSE Sensex and NSE's Nifty50 opened flat as the August series of futures and options contracts kicked off. Trading turned choppy with the Sensex heading towards the negative zone even as the broader Nifty50 shot into the green at least once.

The 30-share Sensex closed at 28,051.86, down 156.76 points or 0.56 per cent, while the 50-share Nifty50 settled at 8,638.50, down 27.80 points or 0.32 per cent.

HEADLINES OF THE DAY

Pidilite Q1: Net Profit +16.1% at Rs272 Cr Vs Rs234.3 Cr (YoY)

Karnataka Bank Q1 net profit up 11% (YoY)

Vedanta Q1: Cons Net Profit -30.4% at Rs615 Cr Vs Rs884 Cr (YoY)

Kesoram plans Rs600 crore capex for tyre, cement divisions

The crucial resistance for Nifty spot is now seen at 8788 and above this 8843. Support for the immediate term is now placed at 8540 and next support will be 8485.

UPCOMING RESULTS: TATACOMM, TECHM, INDIGO, MANGALAM, VRLLOG, DELTACORP

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TOP CORPORATE NEWS-29 JULY 2016

2016-07-29T04:10:00.003-07:00

Vedanta Q1: Cons Net Profit -30.4% at Rs615 Cr Vs Rs884 Cr (YoY)

Vedanta Q1: Cons Net Profit -30.4% at Rs615 Cr Vs Rs884 Cr (YoY)

Cons Total Income -15.1% at Rs14, 437 Cr Vs Rs17, 009 Cr (YoY)

Cons EBITDA -15.8% at Rs3, 439.6 Cr Vs Rs4, 087.2 Cr (YoY).

Pidilite Q1: Net Profit +16.1% at Rs272 Cr Vs Rs234.3 Cr (YoY)

Pidilite Q1: Net Profit +16.1% at Rs272 Cr Vs Rs234.3 Cr (YoY)

Total Income +8.6% at Rs1, 692 Cr Vs Rs1, 557.4 Cr (YoY)

Other Income at Rs24.1 Cr Vs Rs13.9 Cr (YoY)

EBITDA +15.2% at Rs394.4 Cr Vs Rs342.3 Cr (YoY)

EBITDA Margin at 23.3% Vs 22% (YoY)

Alembic Pharma Q1 consolidated net profit up 45% (YoY)

Alembic Pharmaceuticals has announced the following Q1 results for the quarter ended June 30, 2016:

Standalone

Net Profit rose by 53.21% to Rs119.74 crore Vs Rs78.15 crore (YoY).

Total Income increased by 20.01% to Rs688.98 crore Vs Rs574.10 (YoY).

Karnataka Bank Q1 net profit up 11% (YoY)

Karnataka Bank Ltd has announced the following Unaudited Standalone results for the quarter ended June 30, 2016:

Net Profit rose by 11.15% to Rs121.54 crore Vs Rs109.34 crore (YoY).

Total Income increased by 6.43% to Rs1434.96 crore Vs Rs1348.17 crore (YoY).

Kesoram plans Rs600 crore capex for tyre, cement divisions

Kesoram Industries is planning to spend around Rs600 crore on capital expenditure in FY2017.

The company has lined up an investments of Rs350 crore for strengthening its tyre business while about Rs250 crore will be pumped in for its cement division.

The Rs600 crore capex would be over and above the Rs500 crore that was already booked for work-in-progress.

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CS CLOSING BELL-29 JULY 2016

2016-07-29T03:43:00.002-07:00

CS CLOSING BELL:
NIFTY SPOT DOWN 27@ 8637
SENSEX DOWN 157@ 28052
BANK NIFTY FUTURES DOWN 100@19057
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Gold Up Ahead Of Helicopter Money Announcement

2016-07-29T00:29:00.004-07:00

Bank of Japan rate and stimulus decision due in just a few hours. Ahead of Fridays BoJ decision gold is up just about $5 at 1346.05 bit unable to touch its high on Thursday.

Bank of Japan meeting that began Thursday and ends Friday. It is expected the BOJ will announce some sort of a new monetary policy stimulus package.

Oil Prices Continue To Bottom Out

There are several other factors that could push oil back down to $35 per barrel or lower. They include a return of production from Libya or Nigeria (unlikely, but not impossible), a global slowdown in demand, or China’s move to slow its stockpiling of crude for its strategic petroleum reserve.

ALUMINIUM

China Aluminum International Trading Co. (Chalco Trading) raised aluminum prices markedly in major markets today, it said on its WeChat.

Aluminum stocks in China’s five major markets are still on the decline even after touching 7-year low, SMM data showed.

BANK OF JAPAN

The 28 trillion yen ($265 billion) fiscal injection, estimated at 6 percent of Japan's economy, surprised markets on Wednesday as many anticipated a fiscal package only sometime next week.

The Japanese yen surged over 200 points on the news and is trading at 103 against the US dollar, which will likely upset the economic situation worse.

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Daily Commodity Market News & Levels-29 July 2016

2016-07-29T00:24:00.003-07:00

Highlights:

Gold prices edge up as Bank of Japan notes downside risks to economy.

Brent, NYMEX weaker as Bank of Japan shows caution on easing.

LME Copper to Set for Gains.

PRECIOUS METALS:

Gold rose in Asia on Friday as the Bank of Japan moved cautiously in its latest policy review, but signaled that it might act in the future if warranted.

On the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange, gold for December delivery rose 0.45% to $1,347.25 a troy ounce. Silver futures for September delivery gained 0.57% to $20.307 a troy ounce.

Investors were on the lookout for slight easing measures. While Japan prime minister Shinzo Abe unveiled a broad ¥28 trillion stimulus plan on Wednesday.

BASE METALS:

LME copper will rise to USD 4,870-4,920/mt during Asian trading hours Friday. The Bank of Japan will announce its interest rate decision today. Base metal volatility will rise today.

Germany’s flash July CPI improved noticeably, with growth the most significant over the past month. But eurozone July expected inflation slid from June, while expected PPI also fell.

Eurozone annualized Q2 GDP will be affected by UK’s vote to leave the EU, and this is expected to trigger additional stimulus measures by the European Central Bank.

Japanese Prime Minister announced they will push JPY 2.8 trillion stimulus program this week, growing market expectations that the Bank of Japan will release easy monetary measures in the near term.

ENERGIES:

Crude fell in Asia on Friday after a closely-watched review of policy and interest rate decision by the Bank of Japan showed caution on further easing as markets see continued weak global economic growth hitting demand prospects.

Market players await Friday's weekly U.S. rig count from Baker Hughes for further signals on drilling activity nationwide. Overnight, U.S. crude futures fell sharply on Thursday, officially entering bear market territory, as further signals of global oversupply dragged oil prices to levels not seen since a failed Doha summit in mid-April.

On Thursday, oil prices showed little signs of reversing an extended downturn after recent data provided indications of rising stockpiles, swelling rig counts and a spike in production.

PRECIOUS LEVELS

CS GOLD (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BULLISH

RESIST 2: 31600

RESIST 1: 31300

SUP 1: 31000

SUP 2: 30800

CS SILVER (SEPTEMBER) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BULLISH

RESIST 2: 48600

RESIST 1: 48150

SUP1: 47120

SUP2: 46650

BASEMETAL LEVELS

CS COPPER (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BEARISH

RESIST 2:334

RESIST 1:332

SUP1:327

SUP2:325

CS NICKEL (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BULLISH

RESIST 2:734

RESIST 1:725

SUP1:704

SUP2:695

CS ZINC ( AUGUST ) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BEARISH

RESIST 2:150.50

RESIST 1:149.20

SUP1:146.50

SUP2:145.20

CS LEAD ( AUGUST ) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BEARISH

RESIST 2:123.30

RESIST 1:122.00

SUP1:120.00

SUP2:119.00

CS ALUMINIUM ( AUGUST ) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BEARISH

RESIST 2:109.50

RESIST 1:108.50

SUP1:107.50

SUP2:106.00

ENERGY LEVELS

CS CRUDE OIL (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:

TREND :BEARISH

RESIST 2:2850

RESIST 1:2820

SUP1:2720

SUP2:2680

CS NATURAL GAS (AUGUST) OVERVIEW:

TREND : BULLISH

RESIST 2:199

RESIST 1:197

SUP1:181

SUP2:176

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Daily Commodity Market Strategy-29 July 2016

2016-07-28T23:52:00.000-07:00

BULLION

Platinum October future has advanced around a percent at $ 1,146.60.

Silver September delivery has gained 0.5 percent at $ 20.293.

Gold December contract is up 0.3 percent at $ 1,345.35 an ounce.

ENERGY

Brent Oil October and Crude Oil September series are down 0.2-0.3 percent each at $ 43.15 and $ 41.01 per barrel, respectively.

Natural Gas September expiry is unchanged at $ 2.857.

BASE METAL

Copper September delivery has shed nearly a percent at $ 2.200.

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INDIAN EQUITY MARKET OUTLOOK-29 JULY 2016

2016-07-28T22:18:00.001-07:00

August series to open lower on weak global cues

Indian Indices:

Indian markets are likely to witness a gap down opening on Friday tracking a sell-off across markets in Asia as traders stayed jittery ahead of the Bank of Japan policy review, souring risk taking appetite. SGX Nifty is trading at 2.00 points down.

Shares of ICICI Bank, Larsen & Toubro and Nestle India will be in focus today amidst their April-June quarter earnings announcements.

On Thursday (July 28, 2016), the BSE SENSEX closed at 28208.62, up by 184.29 points or by 0.66%, and then NSE Nifty ended at 8666.30, up by 50.50 points or by 0.59%.

Global Market:

Asian shares touched a one-year peak on Friday, while the yen hit a two-week high in nervous trade as investors waited to see if the Bank of Japan will come up with stimulus that would meet markets' expectations.

Wall Street edged higher on Thursday as investors looked beyond disappointing earnings from Ford and bought shares in Apple, while Alphabet surged after the bell following its quarterly report.

European shares fell on Thursday with Lloyds leading a weaker financial sector lower and disappointing earning updates from firms including oil major Royal Dutch Shell also weighing.

Major Headlines of the day:

•Eicher Q1 net shoots up 69%

•Hexaware Tech PAT up 1.1% to Rs99.9 cr in June quarter

•Visa Steel resumes SMS, rolling mill at Kalinganagar

UPCOMING RESULTS:

L&T,PIDILITEIND,PVR,UPL,VEDL,APLLTD,ASTRAMICRO,GODREJCP,ICICIBANK,KTKBANK,LALAPATHLAB,SPARC,UJJIVAN.

Trend in FII flows: The FIIs were net buyers of Rs 1767.06 Cr in the cash segment on Thursday while the DIIs were net sellers of Rs -1074.47 Cr, as per the provisional figures.

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