Would it help you to follow the industries that I see that are starting to bottom long-term, or that are about to make a large move up or down?

Would it help if I identified stocks that were about to move higher, AND that had earnings that supported higher prices?

And would it help if I showed you why and where I am entering a stock, and why/where I am exiting, offering target prices as well?

I will be e-mailing a newsletter 2x/month, with occasional intra-day alerts, and the service will cost $19/month.

If you have $25,000 to trade, and have a brokerage account open at Ditto Trade, you will also be able to follow my trades live, opt in and out of specific trades, or even go to work/golf and let the dittotrade system automatically ditto my trades and get the same execution prices that I will be getting.

More details will follow this coming weekend, Feb 3.

Stop on AEM is 31.94

Year to Date Numbers

14.3 % gain, based on allocating 10k per trade.

Win: Loss ratio:  1 : 1   (47 wins, 47 losses)

average loss  = .5%  = ($248)

maximum trade loss =  1.8% = ($891)

average win = .8% ($400)

maximum win = 7% ($3520)

average hold time = approximately 3 days

Other Notes:

My long trades have been more profitable gaining 21%, while my short trades have cost me 6.7% in losses (makes sense in strong uptrend).

The 10k/trade idea has been the best way to maximize performance. 

When I base the number of shares I trade on Reward-Risk ratio (maximum projected upside divided by the distance to my stop loss), the gain is significantly lower.

However, I have been taking into account the Reward-Risk ratio when selecting stocks to enter.

A lot to cover…..topics : 1) metals, 2) graphene stocks, 3) IPO stocks, 4) trading portfolio: I am going to get more aggressive 5) Mar 28 buys

5) I held off buying a lot today (Mar 27) because I saw weakness coming…..but I plan to buy as long as the Fed prints; commodities are looking better, rare earths like MCP, Application software, and some biotechs (especially those involved in nanotechnology) are my main focus right now

4) When this next pullback occurs, and I think it is happening now, I will go in more aggressive and include some IPO stocks

3) Some IPO stocks that I like: TEAR, HLSS, YELP, BV, TRIP, AVG, NLST, EPAM, UBNT, WIFI, FFN, ANGI, MX, SVVC

2) Graphene Stocks – there is a lot of buzz going on with this new discovery, and I don’t think this will be going away. I am very tempted to spread risk money among several graphene players…..most of the small stocks are Pink Sheet or Canadian stocks…..some bigger players include IBM, SNDK, and INTC. The small ones that interest me most are: CHGI, FMS, NGPHF, and SGH.

1) metals

How to Fish

How to find growth stocks before everyone else.

I could just “give you the fish and feed you a day, or teach you to fish and feed you a lifetime.”

Today I will teach you to see the water ripple created by the fish swimming, then you will know where to cast your net.

While the Federal Private Reserve Banking Cartel pumps trillions of printed dollars into the stock market to prop up underfunded Pension funds, it’s easy to make money in this market if you are a rookie – just buy AAPL or PCLN and go back to sleep. I proposed a “Too Big to Fail” model portfolio of stocks on my website February 15, and by the close yesterday it had gained 10.2% (120% annualized). The Banks (and Obama’s Administration) are going to do all in their power to support the markets through the November elections.

One day, maybe a 100 years from now, we might see a stock market that is less manipulated. When that time comes, you will need to know how to find fish for yourself. I use a few searches to find my fish, and these searches work even today. The reason I like to find stocks few people know about is because they are much less manipulated by market makers and computers, and these stocks can make large gains before institutions enter them. Often times it is institutional buying that my searches find, which means I can usually get the stock early in a run.

Ready for it?

“Volume footprint” – I started using this phrase about 15 years ago and I don’t recall seeing anyone else using it – so here’s my definition. A volume footprint is a period of 3-7 days of higher than average trading volume in a stock, while the stock is in a basing pattern, or just leaving a basing pattern.

I simply have a search I use that finds these little footprints for me, and I watch the price and action of the stock price as the volume increases.

Here’s some examples from today’s search…..

‘Lots to talk about.

But right now, notice that my Too Big To Fail (TBTF) Buy and Hold Portfolio is now beating my Trading Portfolio 10.3% to 8.8% gain for the year. It’s even worse than that if you take into account commissions. AND I just started my TBTF portfolio on Feb 15 – just 1 month gains thanks to the Banksters propping up the Casino.

More later….

The markets continue a huge run as the Federal Reserve pumps 3.5 Trillion into stocks….after Tuesday’s strong move, I am not worried about more than a rest unless the DJIA breaks below 12953. Until then I will be buying weakness.

Today at 820am eastern, the markets are poised for another higher open. So I will limit buying on the long side.

I will not be buying these 3 below if they gap higher at the open.

TCX (1.04): I will buy weakness and set the stop at .93; I let this one go too soon

UNG (18.10): I will buy with limit 18.10, and set my stop at 17.52; still expecting nat-gas to do well over next 3 years

TBT (20.94):  let this one go too soon, should have let stops work; buying half a position below 20.6 and setting stop at 19.43

Other strong candidates:

EXM, IPAS, AGRO, JVA, SWHC, YOKU, MDVN, RTK, AMED, IMOS, SCOK, ACTV, SVVC, EGT, XLS, HSTM, TSLA, MGAM, MCP, BONE, NQ, LNKD, EGY, AOB, NLST, AGYS, OMER, VELT, TISA, ALLT

The markets are resting right now but they will try to rally back towards new highs.

But I am not sure how far they will rally short-term.

I am still expecting a larger rest at some point per earlier charts.

JIVE (23.01): buying below 22.65; using a sell stop 21.18; higher risk

SMN (15.46): buying with limit order 15.29; using sell stop 14.92

Stockwatch Longs: BONE, DDD, TGE, CTFO, STX, BAL, CKSW, XLS, EGHT, NQ, LNKD, SLW, GRVY, FIRE, AMED, MOVE, PDFS, LRE, BVSN, TSLA, HSTM, BCRX, IBM

One bad day does not make a market. The end day chart patterns indicate a rest is imminent – but so did the last 5 chart patterns when the markets had 1 bad day. So I want to see follow-thru to the downside otherwise it is buy on the dip to infinity.

Why should I expect more than a 3-5% rest? (see this post for March expectations, or this link). The market leaders, or rather, the stocks that the Banks are pushing to hold up the Indices (AAPL, MSFT, IBM, PCLN, etc) are all doing well on a long-term chart perspective. So until I see a the Federal Reserve push the stop button on their money printers, I do not expect the markets to fall very far. Now, will the Bankers allow the markets to swoosh down so they can “formally” (key word there) ask for QE3++?  Maybe. But by re-election time, unless something crazy happens like tomorrow’s press conference with Sheriff Joe Arpaio tomorrow, I expect a large dip will be a buying opportunity for another rally.

I do not expect new stock markets highs. Since Oct 2000 when I warned of a major Bear Market at the AIQ Conference in Tahoe, I have expected this below….which is more of a large trading range (with large ups and downs) and I expect this to last through the 2018-2020 timeframe. But no new highs we can hang our hat on….any President – new or old, will be stuck in this Cyclical Bear Market.

General Observations

Oil looks like it will rest short-term, but I will be looking for a buy point because I believe Israel will attack Iran at some point….which will cause a spike

As for precious metals……

Stocks I am watching on the long side:

DUG, TBT, UNG, CYBX, OSIS, IMOS, LRE, ORIG, DAG, BGZ, ZSL, SVVC, USHS, BVSN, CKSW, LEDS

Short watch:

GDI, BBBY, TIF