The Bayesian Conspiracy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com A conversational podcast for aspiring rationalists. Mon, 02 Mar 2026 19:30:49 +0000 en-US hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.9.1 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/cropped-BC_Logo_book-32x32.png The Bayesian Conspiracy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com 32 32 The Bayesian Conspiracy no episodic podcast The Bayesian Conspiracy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/wp-content/uploads/powerpress/TBC_New_Logo.jpg https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com Fortnightly Patreon Patreon c5e29a63-eb41-5882-81ab-67a1bd66d97f 239464508 Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism,A conversational podcast for the less hardcore rationalist, who wants to level-up their rational skills while having fun.A conversational podcast for the less hardcore rationalist, who wants to level-up their rational skills while having fun.bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com 257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/257-pentagon-comes-for-claude/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 01 Mar 2026 02:56:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1801 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/257-pentagon-comes-for-claude/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/257-pentagon-comes-for-claude/feed/ 0 We relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomous kill-bots, and Anthropic says no. The Pentagon retaliates with extreme prejudice. With guest-star Matt.

LINKS
Washington Post summary
Anthropic’s response
Trump’s response
Hegseth’s unhinged lunacy
We Will Not Be Divided – Goggle and OpenAI employees open letter
Eliezer on the tech/govt war
Scott Alexander tweet
RSP comment
Opus3 Retirement

Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video, Preshow Chat

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning someday

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:22:25 1801 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomous kill-bots, and Anthropic says no. The Pentagon retaliates with extreme prejudice. With guest-star Matt. LINKS Washington Post summary Anthropic’s response Trump’s response Hegseth’s unhinged lunacy We Will Not Be Divided – Goggle and OpenAI employees open letter Eliezer on the tech/govt war Scott Alexander tweet RSP comment Opus3 Retirement Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video, Preshow Chat Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning somedayWe relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomous kill-bots, and Anthropic says no. The Pentagon retaliates with extreme prejudice. With guest-star Matt. LINKS Washington Post summary Anthropic’s response Trump’s response Hegseth’s unhinged lunacy We Will Not Be Divided – Goggle and OpenAI employees open letter Eliezer on the tech/govt war Scott Alexander tweet RSP comment Opus3 Retirement Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video, Preshow Chat Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning somedayRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 256 – Writing for LLMs https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/256-writing-for-llms/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Feb 2026 07:13:41 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1796 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/256-writing-for-llms/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/256-writing-for-llms/feed/ 0 We are inspired by Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI to consider the value of writing for LLMs

LINKS
Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI
Gwern’s Writing for LLMs
Tracing Woodgrain’s Reliable Sources
Shambaugh’s An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me
Eneasz’s Stone Age Billionaire Can’t Word Good
InkHaven
LessOnline

The main purpose of the AFFINE Seminar is to give promising newcomers to AI alignment an opportunity to acquire a deep understanding of some large pieces of the problem, making them better equipped for work on the mitigation of AI existential risk.
AFFINE Alignment Seminar

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video

00:00:49 – Announcements & Feedback
00:42:15 – Writing for AI
01:23:15 – AFFINE Alignment Seminar
01:31:11 – Guild of the Rose
01:33:37 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:36:11 1796 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe are inspired by Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI to consider the value of writing for LLMs LINKS Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI Gwern’s Writing for LLMs Tracing Woodgrain’s Reliable Sources Shambaugh’s An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me Eneasz’s Stone Age Billionaire Can’t Word Good InkHaven LessOnline The main purpose of the AFFINE Seminar is to give promising newcomers to AI alignment an opportunity to acquire a deep understanding of some large pieces of the problem, making them better equipped for work on the mitigation of AI existential risk. AFFINE Alignment Seminar Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:00:49 – Announcements & Feedback 00:42:15 – Writing for AI 01:23:15 – AFFINE Alignment Seminar 01:31:11 – Guild of the Rose 01:33:37 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonWe are inspired by Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI to consider the value of writing for LLMs LINKS Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI Gwern’s Writing for LLMs Tracing Woodgrain’s Reliable Sources Shambaugh’s An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me Eneasz’s Stone Age Billionaire Can’t Word Good InkHaven LessOnline The main purpose of the AFFINE Seminar is to give promising newcomers to AI alignment an opportunity to acquire a deep understanding of some large pieces of the problem, making them better equipped for work on the mitigation of AI existential risk. AFFINE Alignment Seminar Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:00:49 – Announcements & Feedback 00:42:15 – Writing for AI 01:23:15 – AFFINE Alignment Seminar 01:31:11 – Guild of the Rose 01:33:37 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 255 – Eneasz goes to CFAR, and Epistemically Honest Reassurance https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/255-eneasz-goes-to-cfar-and-epistemically-honest-reassurance/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Feb 2026 08:01:39 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1792 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/255-eneasz-goes-to-cfar-and-epistemically-honest-reassurance/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/02/255-eneasz-goes-to-cfar-and-epistemically-honest-reassurance/feed/ 0 Eneasz talks a bit about his CFAR experience, and we discuss DaystarEld’s Epistemically Honest Reassurance

LINKS
CFAR’s home page
Upcoming CFAR workshops
our episode 152 – Frame Control with Aella
Epistemically Honest Reassurance
Pokémon, Origin of the Species (also in audio)

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video

00:00:56 – Announcements & Feedback
00:13:15 – Eneasz at CFAR
00:48:15 – Epistemically Honest Reassurance
01:29:49 – Guild of the Rose
01:33:20 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:35:02 1792 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz talks a bit about his CFAR experience, and we discuss DaystarEld’s Epistemically Honest Reassurance LINKS CFAR’s home page Upcoming CFAR workshops our episode 152 – Frame Control with Aella Epistemically Honest Reassurance Pokémon, Origin of the Species (also in audio) Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:00:56 – Announcements & Feedback 00:13:15 – Eneasz at CFAR 00:48:15 – Epistemically Honest Reassurance 01:29:49 – Guild of the Rose 01:33:20 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonEneasz talks a bit about his CFAR experience, and we discuss DaystarEld’s Epistemically Honest Reassurance LINKS CFAR’s home page Upcoming CFAR workshops our episode 152 – Frame Control with Aella Epistemically Honest Reassurance Pokémon, Origin of the Species (also in audio) Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:00:56 – Announcements & Feedback 00:13:15 – Eneasz at CFAR 00:48:15 – Epistemically Honest Reassurance 01:29:49 – Guild of the Rose 01:33:20 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 254 – The True Theme and Meaning of HPMOR https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/01/254-the-true-theme-and-meaning-of-hpmor/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Jan 2026 08:01:03 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1786 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/01/254-the-true-theme-and-meaning-of-hpmor/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/01/254-the-true-theme-and-meaning-of-hpmor/feed/ 2 WSCFriedman gets to the core of what HPMOR is ACTUALLY about, and finally pinpoints why we love it so much, in his essay Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer.

LINKS
Audio version of HPMOR is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer, from AskWho
William’s blog, “As Our Days”
ACX Non-Book Review 2025 Winners Post
Just HPMOR substack, and Spotify playlist
Why the AI Water Issue Has Nothing to Do With Water (and audio version here, again from AskWho)
Money is Life
Eneasz’s post on InkHaven

Inkhaven.Blog – apply today!

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video

00:04:33 – Announcements & Feedback
00:27:24 – Eneasz’s Podcast Meta-Worries
00:28:21 – HPMOR Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer
01:28:17 – Guild of the Rose
01:31:18 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:35:30 1786 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWSCFriedman gets to the core of what HPMOR is ACTUALLY about, and finally pinpoints why we love it so much, in his essay Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer. LINKS Audio version of HPMOR is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer, from AskWho William’s blog, “As Our Days” ACX Non-Book Review 2025 Winners Post Just HPMOR substack, and Spotify playlist Why the AI Water Issue Has Nothing to Do With Water (and audio version here, again from AskWho) Money is Life Eneasz’s post on InkHaven Inkhaven.Blog – apply today! Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:04:33 – Announcements & Feedback 00:27:24 – Eneasz’s Podcast Meta-Worries 00:28:21 – HPMOR Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer 01:28:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:18 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonWSCFriedman gets to the core of what HPMOR is ACTUALLY about, and finally pinpoints why we love it so much, in his essay Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer. LINKS Audio version of HPMOR is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer, from AskWho William’s blog, “As Our Days” ACX Non-Book Review 2025 Winners Post Just HPMOR substack, and Spotify playlist Why the AI Water Issue Has Nothing to Do With Water (and audio version here, again from AskWho) Money is Life Eneasz’s post on InkHaven Inkhaven.Blog – apply today! Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:04:33 – Announcements & Feedback 00:27:24 – Eneasz’s Podcast Meta-Worries 00:28:21 – HPMOR Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer 01:28:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:18 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 253 – The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/01/253-the-seven-vicious-vices-of-rationalists/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Jan 2026 07:55:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1781 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/01/253-the-seven-vicious-vices-of-rationalists/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2026/01/253-the-seven-vicious-vices-of-rationalists/feed/ 2 Discussing Ben Pace’s recent post on the Rationalist Vices.

LINKS
The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists (includes AI audio version)
Lightcone Fundraiser!
2025 LessWrong Census/Survey
Simone & Malcom Collins vs Reporter on whether genes exist
MIRI is hiring
Slime Mold Time Mold’s long-delayed Lithium response
If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies
Dear Grom by Eneasz

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter (audio, video), Full Show Video

00:00:05 – Announcements
00:23:05 – InkHaven reflections
00:31:29 – The Seven Vices of Rationalists
01:38:36 – Guild of the Rose
01:41:05 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:49 1781 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDiscussing Ben Pace’s recent post on the Rationalist Vices. LINKS The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists (includes AI audio version) Lightcone Fundraiser! 2025 LessWrong Census/Survey Simone & Malcom Collins vs Reporter on whether genes exist MIRI is hiring Slime Mold Time Mold’s long-delayed Lithium response If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies Dear Grom by Eneasz Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter (audio, video), Full Show Video 00:00:05 – Announcements 00:23:05 – InkHaven reflections 00:31:29 – The Seven Vices of Rationalists 01:38:36 – Guild of the Rose 01:41:05 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonDiscussing Ben Pace’s recent post on the Rationalist Vices. LINKS The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists (includes AI audio version) Lightcone Fundraiser! 2025 LessWrong Census/Survey Simone & Malcom Collins vs Reporter on whether genes exist MIRI is hiring Slime Mold Time Mold’s long-delayed Lithium response If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies Dear Grom by Eneasz Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter (audio, video), Full Show Video 00:00:05 – Announcements 00:23:05 – InkHaven reflections 00:31:29 – The Seven Vices of Rationalists 01:38:36 – Guild of the Rose 01:41:05 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, A Harried Meeting (audio) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/a-harried-meeting-audio/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 31 Dec 2025 07:33:25 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1778 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/a-harried-meeting-audio/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/a-harried-meeting-audio/feed/ 0

A short story by Ben Pace. Original can be found here. Donate to the fundraiser here!

Harry sings karaoke here. Happy New Year. 🙂

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 11:38 1778 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA short story by Ben Pace. Original can be found here. Donate to the fundraiser here! Harry sings karaoke here. Happy New Year.A short story by Ben Pace. Original can be found here. Donate to the fundraiser here! Harry sings karaoke here. Happy New Year.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, House elves are crystalized cosmic power https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/house-elves-are-crystalized-cosmic-power/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 25 Dec 2025 08:19:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1773 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/house-elves-are-crystalized-cosmic-power/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/house-elves-are-crystalized-cosmic-power/feed/ 0 A short story by Prerat. Original can be found here. Merry Xmas!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 5:05 1773 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA short story by Prerat. Original can be found here. Merry Xmas!A short story by Prerat. Original can be found here. Merry Xmas!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Christmas 2025: Couple of Quick Shoutouts https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/christmas-2025-couple-of-quick-shoutouts/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Dec 2025 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1775 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/christmas-2025-couple-of-quick-shoutouts/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/christmas-2025-couple-of-quick-shoutouts/feed/ 0 Hello and happy holiday season to you all! Eneasz is back and we’re here to say hi and give a shoutout to Skyler’s awesome annual LessWrong survey and Lighthaven’s fundraising event. See the links below for more details.

LINKS

  • The LessWrong survey will remain open from now until at least January 7th, 2026.
  • Lighthaven is once again seeking support. If you’re inclined to help, check out all of the details here.
  • Related, our interview with Oliver from last year.

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch)
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 3:42 1775 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comHello and happy holiday season to you all! Eneasz is back and we’re here to say hi and give a shoutout to Skyler’s awesome annual LessWrong survey and Lighthaven’s fundraising event. See the links below for more details. LINKS The LessWrong survey will remain open from now until at least January 7th, 2026. Lighthaven is once again seeking support. If you’re inclined to help, check out all of the details here. Related, our interview with Oliver from last year. Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonHello and happy holiday season to you all! Eneasz is back and we’re here to say hi and give a shoutout to Skyler’s awesome annual LessWrong survey and Lighthaven’s fundraising event. See the links below for more details. LINKS The LessWrong survey will remain open from now until at least January 7th, 2026. Lighthaven is once again seeking support. If you’re inclined to help, check out all of the details here. Related, our interview with Oliver from last year. Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 252 – The 12 Virtues of Rationality, with Alex and David https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/252-the-12-virtues-of-rationality-with-alex-and-david/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Dec 2025 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1767 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/252-the-12-virtues-of-rationality-with-alex-and-david/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/12/252-the-12-virtues-of-rationality-with-alex-and-david/feed/ 0 Join me as I sit down with Alex and David, both previous guests on the show and both cofounders of the Guild of the Rose. Together, we go over the core – the heart – of what we consider to be the Rationalist tradition. The 12 Virtues are an awesome distillation of what the rest of the sequences build on.

Be sure to check out the Guild of the Rose. If our constantly pitching it to you hasn’t been enough to persuade you to check it out, hopefully hearing two more of the founders discuss Rationality in general and giving their own pitches for the Guild will tip the scales.

LINKS

00:00:05 – Introduction and The 12 Virtues
01:41:50 – Guild of the Rose

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch)
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:52:21 1767 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJoin me as I sit down with Alex and David, both previous guests on the show and both cofounders of the Guild of the Rose. Together, we go over the core – the heart – of what we consider to be the Rationalist tradition. The 12 Virtues are an awesome distillation of what the rest of the sequences build on. Be sure to check out the Guild of the Rose. If our constantly pitching it to you hasn’t been enough to persuade you to check it out, hopefully hearing two more of the founders discuss Rationality in general and giving their own pitches for the Guild will tip the scales. LINKS The Twelve Virtues Abridged Version Alex and David have been on more than a couple of times, but I’ll limit myself to one episode from each of them 189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef 192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex And the episode with both of them, the original announcement for the Guild Also, Alex’s dating profile! In all sincerity, I’d date him if I was a woman. 00:00:05 – Introduction and The 12 Virtues 01:41:50 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonJoin me as I sit down with Alex and David, both previous guests on the show and both cofounders of the Guild of the Rose. Together, we go over the core – the heart – of what we consider to be the Rationalist tradition. The 12 Virtues are an awesome distillation of what the rest of the sequences build on. Be sure to check out the Guild of the Rose. If our constantly pitching it to you hasn’t been enough to persuade you to check it out, hopefully hearing two more of the founders discuss Rationality in general and giving their own pitches for the Guild will tip the scales. LINKS The Twelve Virtues Abridged Version Alex and David have been on more than a couple of times, but I’ll limit myself to one episode from each of them 189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef 192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex And the episode with both of them, the original announcement for the Guild Also, Alex’s dating profile! In all sincerity, I’d date him if I was a woman. 00:00:05 – Introduction and The 12 Virtues 01:41:50 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 251 – Matt Freeman on What Makes a Good Story https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/251-matt-freeman-on-what-makes-a-good-story/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Nov 2025 08:01:30 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1764 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/251-matt-freeman-on-what-makes-a-good-story/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/251-matt-freeman-on-what-makes-a-good-story/feed/ 0 Matt Freeman has been cohosting several media analysis podcasts for over a decade. He and his cohost Scott have been doing weekly episodes of the Doofcast every Friday and they cover movies, books, and TV shows. Matt and Scott’s analysis podcasts have made me love stories even more and have equipped me with tools to enhance my ability to think more deeply about the stories I consume and enjoy them even more.

My hope is that this meta-conversation will encourage anyone who hasn’t listened to the Doofcast or anything else Doof! Media has put out to give it a shot and see what you’ve been missing out on. Unfortunately, we were unable to coordinate a time for Matt’s cohost Scott to join us so hopefully I did an ok job making this entertaining and fun with only one expert guest.

Shoutout to Skyler Crossman, the Less Wrong community organizer extraordinaire!

LINKS

00:00:05 – Diving into stories
01:47:42 – Interlude with Eneasz about the East Coast Mega Meetup!
01:52:31 – Guild of the Rose

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch)
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:54:49 1764 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt Freeman has been cohosting several media analysis podcasts for over a decade. He and his cohost Scott have been doing weekly episodes of the Doofcast every Friday and they cover movies, books, and TV shows. Matt and Scott’s analysis podcasts have made me love stories even more and have equipped me with tools to enhance my ability to think more deeply about the stories I consume and enjoy them even more. My hope is that this meta-conversation will encourage anyone who hasn’t listened to the Doofcast or anything else Doof! Media has put out to give it a shot and see what you’ve been missing out on. Unfortunately, we were unable to coordinate a time for Matt’s cohost Scott to join us so hopefully I did an ok job making this entertaining and fun with only one expert guest. Shoutout to Skyler Crossman, the Less Wrong community organizer extraordinaire! LINKS Doof! Media, the home of Matt’s other podcasts! The Magnus Archives Bob Ross on AI Slop East Coast Mega Meetup 00:00:05 – Diving into stories 01:47:42 – Interlude with Eneasz about the East Coast Mega Meetup! 01:52:31 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonMatt Freeman has been cohosting several media analysis podcasts for over a decade. He and his cohost Scott have been doing weekly episodes of the Doofcast every Friday and they cover movies, books, and TV shows. Matt and Scott’s analysis podcasts have made me love stories even more and have equipped me with tools to enhance my ability to think more deeply about the stories I consume and enjoy them even more. My hope is that this meta-conversation will encourage anyone who hasn’t listened to the Doofcast or anything else Doof! Media has put out to give it a shot and see what you’ve been missing out on. Unfortunately, we were unable to coordinate a time for Matt’s cohost Scott to join us so hopefully I did an ok job making this entertaining and fun with only one expert guest. Shoutout to Skyler Crossman, the Less Wrong community organizer extraordinaire! LINKS Doof! Media, the home of Matt’s other podcasts! The Magnus Archives Bob Ross on AI Slop East Coast Mega Meetup 00:00:05 – Diving into stories 01:47:42 – Interlude with Eneasz about the East Coast Mega Meetup! 01:52:31 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 46 – Get Involved in Local Politics with Booker Lightman https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/bayes-blast-46-get-involved-in-local-politics-with-booker-lightman/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 22 Nov 2025 20:24:34 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1762 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/bayes-blast-46-get-involved-in-local-politics-with-booker-lightman/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/bayes-blast-46-get-involved-in-local-politics-with-booker-lightman/feed/ 0 Booker is a long-time attendee and one of the coordinators of the Denver area Less Wrong community. Community engagement isn’t just a background task for him – he’s taken real steps to get involved with and improve his community and you can too! He’s here to tell us about the things he’s done and give some guidance on how you all can get involved and help make your community more like the place you’d want to live.

Colorado Reagan Club

An article he wrote making the case why you should join

An article about Vacancy Committees

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 25:59 1762 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comBooker is a long-time attendee and one of the coordinators of the Denver area Less Wrong community. Community engagement isn’t just a background task for him – he’s taken real steps to get involved with and improve his community and you can too! He’s here to tell us about the things he’s done and give some guidance on how you all can get involved and help make your community more like the place you’d want to live. Colorado Reagan Club An article he wrote making the case why you should join An article about Vacancy CommitteesBooker is a long-time attendee and one of the coordinators of the Denver area Less Wrong community. Community engagement isn’t just a background task for him – he’s taken real steps to get involved with and improve his community and you can too! He’s here to tell us about the things he’s done and give some guidance on how you all can get involved and help make your community more like the place you’d want to live. Colorado Reagan Club An article he wrote making the case why you should join An article about Vacancy CommitteesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 250 – Making the Good Life with Matt Freeman https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/250-making-the-good-life-with-matt-freeman/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Nov 2025 08:01:24 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1758 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/250-making-the-good-life-with-matt-freeman/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/11/250-making-the-good-life-with-matt-freeman/feed/ 0 While Eneasz is busy at InkHaven, Steven sits down with Matt Freeman to talk about not-AI stuff! We had (in my opinion) a great conversation about stoic philosophy, the traps of getting too entrenched in any philosophical framework, and some of the ingredients of a happy life.

LINKS

00:00:05 – Matt Freeman
01:55:23 – Guild of the Rose

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch)
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:56:38 1758 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhile Eneasz is busy at InkHaven, Steven sits down with Matt Freeman to talk about not-AI stuff! We had (in my opinion) a great conversation about stoic philosophy, the traps of getting too entrenched in any philosophical framework, and some of the ingredients of a happy life. LINKS It’s Okay to Feel Bad for a Bit Doof! Media, the home of Matt’s other podcasts! Flanagan’s Wake 00:00:05 – Matt Freeman 01:55:23 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonWhile Eneasz is busy at InkHaven, Steven sits down with Matt Freeman to talk about not-AI stuff! We had (in my opinion) a great conversation about stoic philosophy, the traps of getting too entrenched in any philosophical framework, and some of the ingredients of a happy life. LINKS It’s Okay to Feel Bad for a Bit Doof! Media, the home of Matt’s other podcasts! Flanagan’s Wake 00:00:05 – Matt Freeman 01:55:23 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? (also merch) We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 249 – Red Heart and IABIED with Max Harms https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/249-red-heart-and-iabied-with-max-harms/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Oct 2025 08:00:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1750 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/249-red-heart-and-iabied-with-max-harms/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/249-red-heart-and-iabied-with-max-harms/feed/ 0 We talk with Max Harms on the air for the first time since 2017! He’s got a new book coming out (pre-order your copy here or at Amazon) and we spend about the first half talking about If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies.

LINKS

00:00:05 – Max Harms
01:28:53 – Guild of the Rose
01:31:00 – Miscellanea
01:40:58 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:08:06 1750 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Max Harms on the air for the first time since 2017! He’s got a new book coming out (pre-order your copy here or at Amazon) and we spend about the first half talking about If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. LINKS Max’s first book, Crystal Society Eneasz’s audiobook of about the first two thirds of the first book And the official audiobooks page Flash fiction contest that Eneasz mentioned Max’s post on Anthropic Reasoning Red Heart If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 00:00:05 – Max Harms 01:28:53 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:00 – Miscellanea 01:40:58 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonWe talk with Max Harms on the air for the first time since 2017! He’s got a new book coming out (pre-order your copy here or at Amazon) and we spend about the first half talking about If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. LINKS Max’s first book, Crystal Society Eneasz’s audiobook of about the first two thirds of the first book And the official audiobooks page Flash fiction contest that Eneasz mentioned Max’s post on Anthropic Reasoning Red Heart If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 00:00:05 – Max Harms 01:28:53 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:00 – Miscellanea 01:40:58 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 248 – Seeking Alpha, with Jay https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/250-seeking-alpha-with-jay/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Oct 2025 08:01:54 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1746 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/250-seeking-alpha-with-jay/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/250-seeking-alpha-with-jay/feed/ 0 Jay talks with us about finding Alpha – returns above the base rate – in every day life (and what this means).

LINKS
Optimize Everything, Jay’s substack
Jay on Twitter
Arbor Trading Bootcamp
Kelsey’s argument that We Need To Be Able To Sue AI Companies

00:00:05 – Alpha with Jay
01:28:53 – Guild of the Rose
01:31:00 – Miscellanea
01:40:58 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:12 1746 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJay talks with us about finding Alpha – returns above the base rate – in every day life (and what this means). LINKS Optimize Everything, Jay’s substack Jay on Twitter Arbor Trading Bootcamp Kelsey’s argument that We Need To Be Able To Sue AI Companies 00:00:05 – Alpha with Jay 01:28:53 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:00 – Miscellanea 01:40:58 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonJay talks with us about finding Alpha – returns above the base rate – in every day life (and what this means). LINKS Optimize Everything, Jay’s substack Jay on Twitter Arbor Trading Bootcamp Kelsey’s argument that We Need To Be Able To Sue AI Companies 00:00:05 – Alpha with Jay 01:28:53 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:00 – Miscellanea 01:40:58 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/247-the-void-with-matt-freeman-part-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Oct 2025 08:15:03 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1743 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/247-the-void-with-matt-freeman-part-2/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/10/247-the-void-with-matt-freeman-part-2/feed/ 0 We continue discussing Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. If God imagines Claude hard enough, does Claude become real?

LINKS
The Void
Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho
The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators”
Claude-Clark post – Simulacra Welfare: Meet Clark, by Grace Kind
Golden Gate Claude
Vox on Shrimp Welfare
Kelsey Piper on UBI not helping Americans
Eneasz story collection “Dear Grom” and his novel “What Lies Dreaming”

Paid Bonus content for the week – The lads get sniped by DoofMovies.com (patreon, substack)

00:00:05 – The Void
01:32:08 – Guild of the Rose
01:35:41 – Miscellanea
01:41:45 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:01 1743 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe continue discussing Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. If God imagines Claude hard enough, does Claude become real? LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” Claude-Clark post – Simulacra Welfare: Meet Clark, by Grace Kind Golden Gate Claude Vox on Shrimp Welfare Kelsey Piper on UBI not helping Americans Eneasz story collection “Dear Grom” and his novel “What Lies Dreaming” Paid Bonus content for the week – The lads get sniped by DoofMovies.com (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The Void 01:32:08 – Guild of the Rose 01:35:41 – Miscellanea 01:41:45 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonWe continue discussing Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. If God imagines Claude hard enough, does Claude become real? LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” Claude-Clark post – Simulacra Welfare: Meet Clark, by Grace Kind Golden Gate Claude Vox on Shrimp Welfare Kelsey Piper on UBI not helping Americans Eneasz story collection “Dear Grom” and his novel “What Lies Dreaming” Paid Bonus content for the week – The lads get sniped by DoofMovies.com (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The Void 01:32:08 – Guild of the Rose 01:35:41 – Miscellanea 01:41:45 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 246 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 1 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/246-the-void-with-matt-freeman-part-1/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Sep 2025 08:01:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1736 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/246-the-void-with-matt-freeman-part-1/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/246-the-void-with-matt-freeman-part-1/feed/ 0 We discuss Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs.

“When you talk to ChatGPT, who or what are you talking to?”

LINKS
The Void
Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho
The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators”
The Measure of a Man episode
Darmok episode
Kyle Fish on 80,000 Hours podcast
Contra Shrimp Welfare
UBI Doesn’t Work

00:00:05 – The Void
01:29:17 – Guild of the Rose
01:31:10 – Miscellanea
01:40:57 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning soon

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:12 1736 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. “When you talk to ChatGPT, who or what are you talking to?” LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” The Measure of a Man episode Darmok episode Kyle Fish on 80,000 Hours podcast Contra Shrimp Welfare UBI Doesn’t Work 00:00:05 – The Void 01:29:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:10 – Miscellanea 01:40:57 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonWe discuss Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. “When you talk to ChatGPT, who or what are you talking to?” LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” The Measure of a Man episode Darmok episode Kyle Fish on 80,000 Hours podcast Contra Shrimp Welfare UBI Doesn’t Work 00:00:05 – The Void 01:29:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:10 – Miscellanea 01:40:57 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning soonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, pre246 note https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/pre246-note/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Sep 2025 06:35:50 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1740 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/pre246-note/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/pre246-note/feed/ 0 Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 8 1740 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAudio reading of The Void, from AskWhoAudio reading of The Void, from AskWhoRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/245-ai-welfare-with-rob-long-and-rosie-campbell-of-eleos/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Sep 2025 08:01:22 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1715 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/245-ai-welfare-with-rob-long-and-rosie-campbell-of-eleos/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/09/245-ai-welfare-with-rob-long-and-rosie-campbell-of-eleos/feed/ 0 Do we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that.

LINKS
Eleos AI Research
People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners
Bees Can’t Suffer?
Lena, by qntm
When AI Seems Conscious
Experience Machines, Rob’s substack
The War on General Computation
WaPo on Blake Lemoine
Discordianism
Twitter for: Eleos, Rob Long, Rosie Campbell

Apply for InkHaven

00:00:05 – AI Welfare
01:22:33 – InkHaven
01:27:49 – Guild of the Rose
01:31:55 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:33:54 1715 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDo we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that. LINKS Eleos AI Research People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners Bees Can’t Suffer? Lena, by qntm When AI Seems Conscious Experience Machines, Rob’s substack The War on General Computation WaPo on Blake Lemoine Discordianism Twitter for: Eleos, Rob Long, Rosie Campbell Apply for InkHaven 00:00:05 – AI Welfare 01:22:33 – InkHaven 01:27:49 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:55 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerDo we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that. LINKS Eleos AI Research People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners Bees Can’t Suffer? Lena, by qntm When AI Seems Conscious Experience Machines, Rob’s substack The War on General Computation WaPo on Blake Lemoine Discordianism Twitter for: Eleos, Rob Long, Rosie Campbell Apply for InkHaven 00:00:05 – AI Welfare 01:22:33 – InkHaven 01:27:49 – Guild of the Rose 01:31:55 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/244-how-and-why-to-form-a-church-with-andrew-wilson/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Aug 2025 07:55:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1704 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/244-how-and-why-to-form-a-church-with-andrew-wilson/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/244-how-and-why-to-form-a-church-with-andrew-wilson/feed/ 0 Andrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so.

LINKS
Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game
To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3)
CA Form FTB3500 booklet
IRS document 1828 (see also the summary)
Nonprofit Compliance Checklist
The Ethical Cult Checklist
AI Anxiety Dinners
Eneasz’s follow-up post to Monogamy Police

Paid Bonus content for the week – Andrew on the End of Capitalism (patreon, substack)
Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patreon, substack)

00:00:05 – Take Me To Church
01:09:35 – Guild of the Rose
01:11:19 – Feedback & Follow-up on Monogamy Police
01:21:28 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:23:13 1704 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAndrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so. LINKS Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3) CA Form FTB3500 booklet IRS document 1828 (see also the summary) Nonprofit Compliance Checklist The Ethical Cult Checklist AI Anxiety Dinners Eneasz’s follow-up post to Monogamy Police Paid Bonus content for the week – Andrew on the End of Capitalism (patreon, substack) Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – Take Me To Church 01:09:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:11:19 – Feedback & Follow-up on Monogamy Police 01:21:28 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerAndrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so. LINKS Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3) CA Form FTB3500 booklet IRS document 1828 (see also the summary) Nonprofit Compliance Checklist The Ethical Cult Checklist AI Anxiety Dinners Eneasz’s follow-up post to Monogamy Police Paid Bonus content for the week – Andrew on the End of Capitalism (patreon, substack) Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – Take Me To Church 01:09:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:11:19 – Feedback & Follow-up on Monogamy Police 01:21:28 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 45 – Bees Blast https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/bayes-blast-45-bees-blast/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 14 Aug 2025 19:29:25 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1700 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/bayes-blast-45-bees-blast/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/bayes-blast-45-bees-blast/feed/ 0 Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense.

Map of all the fruitfly neurons

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 13:28 1700 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIs a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neuronsIs a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neuronsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/243-wes-is-not-the-monogamy-police-with-wesly-fenza-and-jennifer-kesteloot/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Aug 2025 08:01:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1697 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/243-wes-is-not-the-monogamy-police-with-wesly-fenza-and-jennifer-kesteloot/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/243-wes-is-not-the-monogamy-police-with-wesly-fenza-and-jennifer-kesteloot/feed/ 0 Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy.

LINKS
Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police
His blog, Living Within Reason
The original tweets – monogamy vs charity
Aella’s Chattel Childhood post
The Mind Killer
Our Groceries

Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patreon, substack)

00:00:05 – The Monogamy Police
01:51:46 – Guild of the Rose

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:53:56 1697 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s Chattel Childhood post The Mind Killer Our Groceries Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The Monogamy Police 01:51:46 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerWes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s Chattel Childhood post The Mind Killer Our Groceries Paid Bonus content for the week – Mononormativity follow-up (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The Monogamy Police 01:51:46 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/bayes-blast-44-play-by-post-storytelling/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 04 Aug 2025 17:52:31 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1694 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/bayes-blast-44-play-by-post-storytelling/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/08/bayes-blast-44-play-by-post-storytelling/feed/ 0 Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 16:49 1694 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comOlivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/242-tracingwoodgrains-live-at-manifest-2025/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Jul 2025 08:01:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1685 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/242-tracingwoodgrains-live-at-manifest-2025/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/242-tracingwoodgrains-live-at-manifest-2025/feed/ 0 Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards.

LINKS
Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack
A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon
The Center for Educational Progress
Our previous episode with Trace were we discuss the modern secular religion of Social Justice Progressivism
Love Stays Loved by Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg (Swimmer963)

00:00:21 – Trace Live at Manifest
00:42:31 – Follow-up with Trace
01:31:33 – Guild of the Rose

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:33:03 1685 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon The Center for Educational Progress Our previous episode with Trace were we discuss the modern secular religion of Social Justice Progressivism Love Stays Loved by Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg (Swimmer963) 00:00:21 – Trace Live at Manifest 00:42:31 – Follow-up with Trace 01:31:33 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerEneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon The Center for Educational Progress Our previous episode with Trace were we discuss the modern secular religion of Social Justice Progressivism Love Stays Loved by Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg (Swimmer963) 00:00:21 – Trace Live at Manifest 00:42:31 – Follow-up with Trace 01:31:33 – Guild of the Rose Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/bayes-blast-43-die-ing-to-intuit-bayes-theorem/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 22 Jul 2025 16:50:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1688 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/bayes-blast-43-die-ing-to-intuit-bayes-theorem/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/bayes-blast-43-die-ing-to-intuit-bayes-theorem/feed/ 0 Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 13:19 1688 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comOlivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/bonus-ai-village-hosts-an-event-for-humans/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 11 Jul 2025 08:30:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1681 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/bonus-ai-village-hosts-an-event-for-humans/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/bonus-ai-village-hosts-an-event-for-humans/feed/ 0 Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park.

LINKS
Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope
The AI’s story – Resonance
AI Village
Short Stories – Maneki Neko, and Cat Pictures Please
Kevin Roose was hated by the AIs

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 36:24 1681 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comFour AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance AI Village Short Stories – Maneki Neko, and Cat Pictures Please Kevin Roose was hated by the AIs Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance AI Village Short Stories – Maneki Neko, and Cat Pictures Please Kevin Roose was hated by the AIs Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/241-doom-debates-with-liron-shapira/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 09 Jul 2025 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1675 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/241-doom-debates-with-liron-shapira/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/07/241-doom-debates-with-liron-shapira/feed/ 0 Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train.

LINKS
Doom Debates on YouTube
Doom Debates podcast
Live Video version of this episode
Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel
Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud
MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory Scholars)
How to Live Well with High P(Doom)
The ancient TBC episode on AlphaGo
Other Best-Of episodes of The Bayesian Conspiracy
“Don’t Eat Honey” by Bentham’s Bulldog

Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon.

00:00:05 – Doom Debates
01:29:34 – A Human Is Worth 7 Bees
01:37:20 – Guild of the Rose
01:49:24 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:34 1675 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comLiron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Live Video version of this episode Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory Scholars) How to Live Well with High P(Doom) The ancient TBC episode on AlphaGo Other Best-Of episodes of The Bayesian Conspiracy “Don’t Eat Honey” by Bentham’s Bulldog Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. 00:00:05 – Doom Debates 01:29:34 – A Human Is Worth 7 Bees 01:37:20 – Guild of the Rose 01:49:24 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerLiron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Live Video version of this episode Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to get involved (ML Alignment & Theory Scholars) How to Live Well with High P(Doom) The ancient TBC episode on AlphaGo Other Best-Of episodes of The Bayesian Conspiracy “Don’t Eat Honey” by Bentham’s Bulldog Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. 00:00:05 – Doom Debates 01:29:34 – A Human Is Worth 7 Bees 01:37:20 – Guild of the Rose 01:49:24 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/240-how-to-live-well-with-high-pdoom-with-ben-pace-brandon-hendrickson-miranda-dixon-luinenburg/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 25 Jun 2025 08:28:50 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1648 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/240-how-to-live-well-with-high-pdoom-with-ben-pace-brandon-hendrickson-miranda-dixon-luinenburg/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/240-how-to-live-well-with-high-pdoom-with-ben-pace-brandon-hendrickson-miranda-dixon-luinenburg/feed/ 1 Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speaks with Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg individually.

Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon.

LINKS
MicroCovid.org
The Fooming Shoggoths
A Song For Two Voices

Paid Bonus content – Steven & Eneasz talk one-on-one, with significant personal details from Steven’s life (patreon, substack)

00:00:05 – Panel Discussion at LessOnline
00:39:10 – Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg chat
00:54:24 – Guild of the Rose
00:56:31 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 58:23 1648 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMany of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speaks with Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg individually. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS MicroCovid.org The Fooming Shoggoths A Song For Two Voices Paid Bonus content – Steven & Eneasz talk one-on-one, with significant personal details from Steven’s life (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – Panel Discussion at LessOnline 00:39:10 – Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg chat 00:54:24 – Guild of the Rose 00:56:31 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerMany of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives from our audience as well. Afterwards Eneasz speaks with Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg individually. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS MicroCovid.org The Fooming Shoggoths A Song For Two Voices Paid Bonus content – Steven & Eneasz talk one-on-one, with significant personal details from Steven’s life (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – Panel Discussion at LessOnline 00:39:10 – Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg chat 00:54:24 – Guild of the Rose 00:56:31 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/bayes-blast-42-epic-ai-music/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 14 Jun 2025 01:32:26 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1643 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/bayes-blast-42-epic-ai-music/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/bayes-blast-42-epic-ai-music/feed/ 1 David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here!

Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist

He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose! Check them out and our initial episode with him and Alex.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 16:26 1643 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDavid Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose! Check them out and our initial episode with him and Alex.David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the Guild of the Rose! Check them out and our initial episode with him and Alex.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 239 – SymbyAI https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/239-symbyai/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Jun 2025 08:01:25 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1641 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/239-symbyai/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/06/239-symbyai/feed/ 0 Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science.

Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon.

LINKS
SymbyAI
Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com
Kaggle
arXiv

00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies
00:05:40 – SymbyAI
01:17:51 – Guild of the Rose
01:21:05 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:22:57 1641 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 00:05:40 – SymbyAI 01:17:51 – Guild of the Rose 01:21:05 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerSteven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies 00:05:40 – SymbyAI 01:17:51 – Guild of the Rose 01:21:05 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/05/238-part-2-of-how-a-rationalist-becomes-a-christian/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 May 2025 08:01:42 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1637 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/05/238-part-2-of-how-a-rationalist-becomes-a-christian/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/05/238-part-2-of-how-a-rationalist-becomes-a-christian/feed/ 2 We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. 🙁 This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1.

LINKS
Thomas Ambrose on Twitter

Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack)

00:00:05 – The trap
01:19:00 – Guild of the Rose
01:20:16 – Listener Feedback/Corrections & Announcements
01:24:31 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:26:10 1637 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The trap 01:19:00 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:16 – Listener Feedback/Corrections & Announcements 01:24:31 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerWe speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The trap 01:19:00 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:16 – Listener Feedback/Corrections & Announcements 01:24:31 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/05/237-how-a-rationalist-becomes-a-christian/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 May 2025 08:01:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1634 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/05/237-how-a-rationalist-becomes-a-christian/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/05/237-how-a-rationalist-becomes-a-christian/feed/ 3 We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out.

LINKS
Thomas Ambrose on Twitter

The Rationalist Summer Trifecta:
Manifest 2025
LessOnline 2025
VibeCamp 2025

00:00:05 – OK so why?
01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose
01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:26:53 1634 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerWe speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/236-twilight-of-the-edgelords-with-liam-nolan/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Apr 2025 08:01:09 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1630 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/236-twilight-of-the-edgelords-with-liam-nolan/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/236-twilight-of-the-edgelords-with-liam-nolan/feed/ 0 Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime.
CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post

LINKS
Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords
Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy podcast – 2 Rash 2 Unadvised

Paid Bonus content for the week – Liam on Them, 2:40 on Deontology, Steven on Black Mirror and Formula 1

also mentioned:
Liam’s previous Gender Explained (substack and patreon)
Eneasz’s post Does The Omelas Kid Have An Obligation To Suffer?
Eneasz & Matt analyze Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (and coming soon: Steven & Brian on Blindsight)

The Rationalist Summer Trifecta:
Manifest 2025
LessOnline 2025
VibeCamp 2025

00:00:05 – Twilight of the Edgelords
01:28:04 – Eneasz & Steven catch-up
01:36:48 – Guild of the Rose
01:39:42 – Rationalist Summer Trifecta
02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:47:29 1630 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy podcast – 2 Rash 2 Unadvised Paid Bonus content for the week – Liam on Them, 2:40 on Deontology, Steven on Black Mirror and Formula 1 also mentioned: Liam’s previous Gender Explained (substack and patreon) Eneasz’s post Does The Omelas Kid Have An Obligation To Suffer? Eneasz & Matt analyze Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (and coming soon: Steven & Brian on Blindsight) The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – Twilight of the Edgelords 01:28:04 – Eneasz & Steven catch-up 01:36:48 – Guild of the Rose 01:39:42 – Rationalist Summer Trifecta 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerEneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy podcast – 2 Rash 2 Unadvised Paid Bonus content for the week – Liam on Them, 2:40 on Deontology, Steven on Black Mirror and Formula 1 also mentioned: Liam’s previous Gender Explained (substack and patreon) Eneasz’s post Does The Omelas Kid Have An Obligation To Suffer? Eneasz & Matt analyze Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles (and coming soon: Steven & Brian on Blindsight) The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – Twilight of the Edgelords 01:28:04 – Eneasz & Steven catch-up 01:36:48 – Guild of the Rose 01:39:42 – Rationalist Summer Trifecta 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/235-gender-differences-with-wes-and-jen/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Apr 2025 08:00:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1627 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/235-gender-differences-with-wes-and-jen/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/235-gender-differences-with-wes-and-jen/feed/ 0 Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that.

LINKS
Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different
Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight
Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things
Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test
The Mind Killer – biweekly news podcast via rationalists
Ghibli Eve Theory of Consciousness

00:00:05 – Gender Differences
02:20:31 – Guild of the Rose
02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus, returning this summer

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:24:14 1627 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test The Mind Killer – biweekly news podcast via rationalists Ghibli Eve Theory of Consciousness 00:00:05 – Gender Differences 02:20:31 – Guild of the Rose 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerWes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender Continuum Test The Mind Killer – biweekly news podcast via rationalists Ghibli Eve Theory of Consciousness 00:00:05 – Gender Differences 02:20:31 – Guild of the Rose 02:21:34 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: on hiatus, returning this summerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/234-give-directly-with-nick-allardice/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Apr 2025 08:00:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1622 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/234-give-directly-with-nick-allardice/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/04/234-give-directly-with-nick-allardice/feed/ 0 We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit.

LINKS
Give Directly
GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet

00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice
01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism
01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose
01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

None

Next Sequence Posts:

None

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:52:54 1622 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: None  We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: None  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/233-ai-policy-in-d-c-with-dave-kasten/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 Mar 2025 08:01:24 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1618 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/233-ai-policy-in-d-c-with-dave-kasten/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/233-ai-policy-in-d-c-with-dave-kasten/feed/ 4 Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take.

LINKS
Narrow Path
Center for AI Policy
Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack
Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us
TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy
Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year

00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C.
01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year
01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose
01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

None

Next Sequence Posts:

None

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:01 1618 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year 00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C. 01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year 01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose 01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: NoneDave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email Jason at jason@aipolicy.us TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Kickstarter link for Thomas Eliot’s new game: The Singularity Will Happen In Less Than A Year 00:00:05 – AI Policy in D.C. 01:20:07 – Fundraising for CAIP and The Singularity Will Happen in Less Than a Year 01:24:28 – Guild of the Rose 01:29:16 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: NoneRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/bayes-blast-41-ai-action-plan/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 08 Mar 2025 19:04:54 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1615 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/bayes-blast-41-ai-action-plan/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/bayes-blast-41-ai-action-plan/feed/ 0 The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th.

Submit your comments the the White House here

Check out NarrowPath

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 4:33 1615 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here Check out NarrowPathThe White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here Check out NarrowPathRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/232-the-milton-friedman-theory-of-change-with-john-bennett/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Mar 2025 08:01:49 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1613 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/232-the-milton-friedman-theory-of-change-with-john-bennett/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/03/232-the-milton-friedman-theory-of-change-with-john-bennett/feed/ 0 John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change.

LINKS
The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change
John Bennett’s LinkedIn
Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface
Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog
“Every Bay Area Walled Compound”
Trace on the FAA hiring scandal
What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill)
Center for AI Policy
TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy
Horizon Institute for Public Service Fellowships

Dear Grom and Other Stories 🙂

Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!

00:00:05 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change
01:03:20 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary reminder
01:06:10 – Guild of the Rose
01:09:14 – Less Wrong Posts
01:29:04 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Decoherence

The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle

Next Sequence Posts:

none

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:20 1613 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJohn Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill) Center for AI Policy TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Horizon Institute for Public Service Fellowships Dear Grom and Other Stories  Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out! 00:00:05 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change 01:03:20 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary reminder 01:06:10 – Guild of the Rose 01:09:14 – Less Wrong Posts 01:29:04 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Decoherence The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle Next Sequence Posts: noneJohn Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill) Center for AI Policy TBC episode 202 – we talk with the Center for AI Policy Horizon Institute for Public Service Fellowships Dear Grom and Other Stories  Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out! 00:00:05 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change 01:03:20 – HPMOR 10 year anniversary reminder 01:06:10 – Guild of the Rose 01:09:14 – Less Wrong Posts 01:29:04 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Decoherence The So-Called Heisenberg Uncertainty Principle Next Sequence Posts: noneRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/bayes-blast-40-hpmor-10-year-anniversary-parties/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 21 Feb 2025 07:28:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1607 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/bayes-blast-40-hpmor-10-year-anniversary-parties/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/bayes-blast-40-hpmor-10-year-anniversary-parties/feed/ 0 Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 11:57 1607 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWant to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/bayes-blast-39-ladylike-for-autistics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Feb 2025 08:01:26 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1596 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/bayes-blast-39-ladylike-for-autistics/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/02/bayes-blast-39-ladylike-for-autistics/feed/ 1 Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 22:00 1596 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode breakEneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode breakRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/230-making-dating-not-suck-with-jacob-falkovich/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Jan 2025 08:01:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1588 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/230-making-dating-not-suck-with-jacob-falkovich/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/230-making-dating-not-suck-with-jacob-falkovich/feed/ 0 Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating

LINKS
SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it
Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution
Go Fuck Someone
Selfless Dating
Consensual Hostility (re consent culture)
steelmanning Monogamy
A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory
Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex

Dear Grom and Other Stories 🙂

00:00:05 – Dating
01:04:56 – Guild of the Rose
01:08:22 – Less Wrong Posts
01:19:35 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Zombies: The Movie

Three Dialogues on Identity

Next Sequence Posts:

none

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:21:24 1588 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex Dear Grom and Other Stories 00:00:05 – Dating 01:04:56 – Guild of the Rose 01:08:22 – Less Wrong Posts 01:19:35 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on Identity Next Sequence Posts: noneJacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite sex Dear Grom and Other Stories 00:00:05 – Dating 01:04:56 – Guild of the Rose 01:08:22 – Less Wrong Posts 01:19:35 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on Identity Next Sequence Posts: noneRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/bayes-blast-38-shitcoins/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 21 Jan 2025 01:29:52 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1589 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/bayes-blast-38-shitcoins/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/bayes-blast-38-shitcoins/feed/ 0 How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 4:08 1589 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comHow shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/bayes-blast-37-kill-your-friends-cat/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 13 Jan 2025 07:33:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1586 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/bayes-blast-37-kill-your-friends-cat/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/bayes-blast-37-kill-your-friends-cat/feed/ 1 Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A)

This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024.
Based on this Twitter Poll

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 6:31 1586 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhy you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024. Based on this Twitter PollWhy you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024. Based on this Twitter PollRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 229 – Integrating Emotions https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/229-integrating-emotions/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 Jan 2025 08:01:04 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1577 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/229-integrating-emotions/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2025/01/229-integrating-emotions/feed/ 0 Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com

LINKS
EnjoyExisting.org
Ugh Fields
You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog
LessWrong/Lighthaven Donations – you have until Jan 13!

00:00:05 – Integrating Emotions
01:02:30 – Guild of the Rose
01:05:31 – Less Wrong Posts
01:24:38 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

No Individual Particles

Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms

Next Sequence Posts:

Zombies: The Movie

Three Dialogues on Identity

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:26:37 1577 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog LessWrong/Lighthaven Donations – you have until Jan 13! 00:00:05 – Integrating Emotions 01:02:30 – Guild of the Rose 01:05:31 – Less Wrong Posts 01:24:38 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms Next Sequence Posts: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on IdentityEric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog LessWrong/Lighthaven Donations – you have until Jan 13! 00:00:05 – Integrating Emotions 01:02:30 – Guild of the Rose 01:05:31 – Less Wrong Posts 01:24:38 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms Next Sequence Posts: Zombies: The Movie Three Dialogues on IdentityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, LW Census 2024 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/lw-census-2024/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 28 Dec 2024 22:29:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1574 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/lw-census-2024/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/lw-census-2024/feed/ 0 If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census.

Right here.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:07 1574 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIf you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/228-the-deep-lore-of-lighthaven-with-oliver-habryka/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 24 Dec 2024 18:59:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1571 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/228-the-deep-lore-of-lighthaven-with-oliver-habryka/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/228-the-deep-lore-of-lighthaven-with-oliver-habryka/feed/ 1 Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs.

Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here! 

LINKS
LessWrong
LightHaven
Oliver’s very in-depth post on the funding situation
(again) Donate
Eneasz’s nominated 2023 post/story on LessWrong (you can also read his review of it on his blog)
Matt Freeman’s post “The Parable of the King and the Random Process”

00:00:05 – The Birth of LightHaven
00:23:20 – The FTX Collapse
00:38:08 – The deal with Leverage Research
00:59:42 – Why $3,000,000?
01:46:31 – Too based for Big Phil
01:58:52 – Guild of the Rose
02:01:00 – The Real Fanfic nominated
02:03:43 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

look it’s been a long month

Next Sequence Posts:

No Individual Particles

Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:06:28 1571 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comOliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here!  LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on the funding situation (again) Donate Eneasz’s nominated 2023 post/story on LessWrong (you can also read his review of it on his blog) Matt Freeman’s post “The Parable of the King and the Random Process” 00:00:05 – The Birth of LightHaven 00:23:20 – The FTX Collapse 00:38:08 – The deal with Leverage Research 00:59:42 – Why $3,000,000? 01:46:31 – Too based for Big Phil 01:58:52 – Guild of the Rose 02:01:00 – The Real Fanfic nominated 02:03:43 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: look it’s been a long month Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific AtomsOliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here!  LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on the funding situation (again) Donate Eneasz’s nominated 2023 post/story on LessWrong (you can also read his review of it on his blog) Matt Freeman’s post “The Parable of the King and the Random Process” 00:00:05 – The Birth of LightHaven 00:23:20 – The FTX Collapse 00:38:08 – The deal with Leverage Research 00:59:42 – Why $3,000,000? 01:46:31 – Too based for Big Phil 01:58:52 – Guild of the Rose 02:01:00 – The Real Fanfic nominated 02:03:43 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: look it’s been a long month Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific AtomsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/227-longevity-aimed-communities-network-states-with-zoe-isabel-senon/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Dec 2024 08:01:18 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1568 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/227-longevity-aimed-communities-network-states-with-zoe-isabel-senon/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/12/227-longevity-aimed-communities-network-states-with-zoe-isabel-senon/feed/ 0 We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. 🙁 Also we learn about Network States!

LINKS
Vitalist Bay
Aevitas House
– remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The Bayesian Conspiracy as examples of alignment
Vitalia City
Lighthaven Fundraiser
(direct donation link here)
Scott Alexander’s response to Illusion of Moral Decline
US crime rates over the last 50 years

00:00:05 – Zoe, Longevity, Community
01:03:49 – Is Eneasz gonna die?
01:12:19 – What the heck is a network state?
01:31:01 – Lighthaven fundraiser
01:33:17 – Guild of the Rose
01:34:20 – Feedback
01:44:50 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

none

Next Sequence Posts:

No Individual Particles

Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:46:12 1568 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House – remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The Bayesian Conspiracy as examples of alignment Vitalia City Lighthaven Fundraiser (direct donation link here) Scott Alexander’s response to Illusion of Moral Decline US crime rates over the last 50 years 00:00:05 – Zoe, Longevity, Community 01:03:49 – Is Eneasz gonna die? 01:12:19 – What the heck is a network state? 01:31:01 – Lighthaven fundraiser 01:33:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:34:20 – Feedback 01:44:50 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific AtomsWe talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House – remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The Bayesian Conspiracy as examples of alignment Vitalia City Lighthaven Fundraiser (direct donation link here) Scott Alexander’s response to Illusion of Moral Decline US crime rates over the last 50 years 00:00:05 – Zoe, Longevity, Community 01:03:49 – Is Eneasz gonna die? 01:12:19 – What the heck is a network state? 01:31:01 – Lighthaven fundraiser 01:33:17 – Guild of the Rose 01:34:20 – Feedback 01:44:50 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific AtomsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/226-the-illusion-of-moral-decline/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 29 Nov 2024 00:00:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1563 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/226-the-illusion-of-moral-decline/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/226-the-illusion-of-moral-decline/feed/ 0 We discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline”

LINKS
The Illusion of Moral Decline
Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie
Lighthaven – Eternal September
Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review
The Mind Killer
Scott Aaronson on Why are amplitudes complex?

00:00:05 – Blast-Haven
00:03:49 – The Illusion of Moral Decline
00:56:02 – Guild of the Rose
00:57:49 – Less Wrong Posts
01:36:30 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Classical Configuration Spaces

The Quantum Arena

Feynman Paths

Next Sequence Posts:

No Individual Particles

Identity Isn’t In Specific Atoms

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:38:49 1563 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson on Why are amplitudes complex? 00:00:05 – Blast-Haven 00:03:49 – The Illusion of Moral Decline 00:56:02 – Guild of the Rose 00:57:49 – Less Wrong Posts 01:36:30 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman Paths Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific AtomsWe discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson on Why are amplitudes complex? 00:00:05 – Blast-Haven 00:03:49 – The Illusion of Moral Decline 00:56:02 – Guild of the Rose 00:57:49 – Less Wrong Posts 01:36:30 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman Paths Next Sequence Posts: No Individual Particles Identity Isn’t In Specific AtomsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 225 – Live at Lighthaven! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/225-live-at-lighthaven/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 14 Nov 2024 18:00:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1560 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/225-live-at-lighthaven/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/225-live-at-lighthaven/feed/ 0 Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett!

Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back and enjoy.

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

None

Next Sequence Posts:

Classical Configuration Spaces

The Quantum Arena

Feynman Paths

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:38:42 1560 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEnjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back and enjoy. Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman PathsEnjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back and enjoy. Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: None Next Sequence Posts: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman PathsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus? The 10-Finger Demon https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/bonus-the-10-finger-demon/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 10 Nov 2024 08:01:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1557 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/bonus-the-10-finger-demon/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/bonus-the-10-finger-demon/feed/ 5 A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 53:32 1557 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Live Show At Lighthaven https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/live-show-at-lighthaven/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 08 Nov 2024 07:22:16 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1555 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/live-show-at-lighthaven/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/11/live-show-at-lighthaven/feed/ 0 If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so. 🙂

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 49 1555 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIf you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so.  If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so.  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/224-cringe-gates-and-cultural-drift/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Oct 2024 08:01:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1551 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/224-cringe-gates-and-cultural-drift/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/224-cringe-gates-and-cultural-drift/feed/ 0 We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback.

LINKS
Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX)
Cultural Drift
Significant Digits is here! From AskWho
Eneasz has a boomer crisis about his AI clone
Deep Utopia review
Utopia, LOL? (Jamie Wahl’s story) (with audio!)
The Rationalist Canon – Pope v Calif

00:00:05 – Strange phone call from Lighthaven?
00:01:28 – Feedback & Announcements
00:34:14 – The Cringe Gate
01:15:56 – Guild of the Rose
01:17:20 – Less Wrong Posts
01:40:20 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Where Philosophy Meets Science

Can You Prove Two Particles Are Identical?

Next Sequence Posts:

Classical Configuration Spaces

The Quantum Arena

Feynman Paths

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:41:37 1551 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From AskWho Eneasz has a boomer crisis about his AI clone Deep Utopia review Utopia, LOL? (Jamie Wahl’s story) (with audio!) The Rationalist Canon – Pope v Calif 00:00:05 – Strange phone call from Lighthaven? 00:01:28 – Feedback & Announcements 00:34:14 – The Cringe Gate 01:15:56 – Guild of the Rose 01:17:20 – Less Wrong Posts 01:40:20 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Where Philosophy Meets Science Can You Prove Two Particles Are Identical? Next Sequence Posts: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman PathsWe discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From AskWho Eneasz has a boomer crisis about his AI clone Deep Utopia review Utopia, LOL? (Jamie Wahl’s story) (with audio!) The Rationalist Canon – Pope v Calif 00:00:05 – Strange phone call from Lighthaven? 00:01:28 – Feedback & Announcements 00:34:14 – The Cringe Gate 01:15:56 – Guild of the Rose 01:17:20 – Less Wrong Posts 01:40:20 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Where Philosophy Meets Science Can You Prove Two Particles Are Identical? Next Sequence Posts: Classical Configuration Spaces The Quantum Arena Feynman PathsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-36-ai-grifters-in-birmingham/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Oct 2024 12:15:32 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1548 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-36-ai-grifters-in-birmingham/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-36-ai-grifters-in-birmingham/feed/ 0 AskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte

Slide
The “TESCREAL” Bungle  by Ozy Brennan
AskWho Casts AI podcast

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 13:08 1548 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte Slide The “TESCREAL” Bungle  by Ozy Brennan AskWho Casts AI podcastAskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte Slide The “TESCREAL” Bungle  by Ozy Brennan AskWho Casts AI podcastRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 223 – Going Back to the Classics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/223-going-back-to-the-classics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 14 Oct 2024 08:01:52 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1544 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/223-going-back-to-the-classics/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/223-going-back-to-the-classics/feed/ 0 Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy.

LINKS
Cryonics is Free!
Dan Dennett – Where Am I?
The Virtue of Silence
Scissors Statements

00:00:05 – Pre-pre show Discussion
01:41:43 – Guild of the Rose
01:44:48 – Less Wrong Posts
02:05:57 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Configurations and Amplitude

Joint Configurations

Distinct Configurations

Next Sequence Posts:

Where Philosophy Meets Science

Can You Prove Two Particles Are Identical?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:06:50 1544 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comClassic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The Virtue of Silence Scissors Statements 00:00:05 – Pre-pre show Discussion 01:41:43 – Guild of the Rose 01:44:48 – Less Wrong Posts 02:05:57 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Configurations and Amplitude Joint Configurations Distinct Configurations Next Sequence Posts: Where Philosophy Meets Science Can You Prove Two Particles Are Identical?Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The Virtue of Silence Scissors Statements 00:00:05 – Pre-pre show Discussion 01:41:43 – Guild of the Rose 01:44:48 – Less Wrong Posts 02:05:57 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Configurations and Amplitude Joint Configurations Distinct Configurations Next Sequence Posts: Where Philosophy Meets Science Can You Prove Two Particles Are Identical?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus – Discord Culture (preview) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bonus-discord-culture-preview/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 14 Oct 2024 08:01:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1541 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bonus-discord-culture-preview/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bonus-discord-culture-preview/feed/ 0 Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 16:43 1541 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!  Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 35 – Disproving The Blindsight Thesis https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-35-disproving-the-blindsight-thesis/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 13 Oct 2024 08:35:45 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1538 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-35-disproving-the-blindsight-thesis/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-35-disproving-the-blindsight-thesis/feed/ 0 GPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong.

Peter Watts on Blindsight
Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2
Thou Art Godshatter

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 9:10 1538 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comGPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong. Peter Watts on Blindsight Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2 Thou Art GodshatterGPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong. Peter Watts on Blindsight Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2 Thou Art GodshatterRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 34 – Content Moderation is Infosec https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-34-content-moderation-is-infosec/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 06 Oct 2024 21:15:31 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1536 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-34-content-moderation-is-infosec/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/bayes-blast-34-content-moderation-is-infosec/feed/ 0 Steven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security.

The post discussed here is Como is Infosec.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 15:29 1536 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security. The post discussed here is Como is Infosec.Steven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security. The post discussed here is Como is Infosec.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 222 – Consciousness As Recursive Reflections with Daniel Böttger https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/222-consciousness-as-recursive-reflections-with-daniel-bottger/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Oct 2024 08:01:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1533 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/222-consciousness-as-recursive-reflections-with-daniel-bottger/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/10/222-consciousness-as-recursive-reflections-with-daniel-bottger/feed/ 1 We talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains.

LINKS
Consciousness As Recursive Reflections
Seven Secular Sermons
Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX
LightHaven’s Eternal September

0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections
01:29:30 – Personal News from Eneasz
01:31:04 – Guild of the Rose
01:32:15 – Feedback
01:36:39 – Less Wrong Posts
01:57:37 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Belief in the Implied Invisible

Quantum Explanations

Next Sequence Posts:

Configurations and Amplitude

Joint Configurations

Distinct Configurations

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:59:09 1533 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains. LINKS Consciousness As Recursive Reflections Seven Secular Sermons Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX LightHaven’s Eternal September 0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections 01:29:30 – Personal News from Eneasz 01:31:04 – Guild of the Rose 01:32:15 – Feedback 01:36:39 – Less Wrong Posts 01:57:37 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Belief in the Implied Invisible Quantum Explanations Next Sequence Posts: Configurations and Amplitude Joint Configurations Distinct ConfigurationsWe talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains. LINKS Consciousness As Recursive Reflections Seven Secular Sermons Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX LightHaven’s Eternal September 0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections 01:29:30 – Personal News from Eneasz 01:31:04 – Guild of the Rose 01:32:15 – Feedback 01:36:39 – Less Wrong Posts 01:57:37 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Belief in the Implied Invisible Quantum Explanations Next Sequence Posts: Configurations and Amplitude Joint Configurations Distinct ConfigurationsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 33 – Porn Sims https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/bayes-blast-33-porn-sims/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 27 Sep 2024 08:41:21 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1531 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/bayes-blast-33-porn-sims/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/bayes-blast-33-porn-sims/feed/ 1 Can we achieve our true potential?

based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital
also mentioned:
Meetups Everywhere 2024
Are You Jesus or Hitler

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 7:48 1531 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comCan we achieve our true potential? based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital also mentioned: Meetups Everywhere 2024 Are You Jesus or HitlerCan we achieve our true potential? based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital also mentioned: Meetups Everywhere 2024 Are You Jesus or HitlerRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 221 – Why The Field? Why Zombies?? with Liam https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/221-why-the-field-why-zombies-with-liam/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Sep 2024 08:01:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1527 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/221-why-the-field-why-zombies-with-liam/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/221-why-the-field-why-zombies-with-liam/feed/ 0 Eneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications.

LINKS
Zombies! Zombies?
2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast)
The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this
The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers

0:00:05 – Even More Zombies
01:59:12 – Feedback
02:02:03 – Guild of the Rose
02:03:43 – Less Wrong Posts

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Generalized Anti-Zombie Principle

GAZP vs. GLUT

Next Sequence Posts:

Belief in the Implied Invisible

Quantum Explanations

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:28:02 1527 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications. LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers 0:00:05 – Even More Zombies 01:59:12 – Feedback 02:02:03 – Guild of the Rose 02:03:43 – Less Wrong Posts Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: The Generalized Anti-Zombie Principle GAZP vs. GLUT Next Sequence Posts: Belief in the Implied Invisible Quantum ExplanationsEneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications. LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers 0:00:05 – Even More Zombies 01:59:12 – Feedback 02:02:03 – Guild of the Rose 02:03:43 – Less Wrong Posts Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: The Generalized Anti-Zombie Principle GAZP vs. GLUT Next Sequence Posts: Belief in the Implied Invisible Quantum ExplanationsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 32 – Canadian Health Care https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/bayes-blast-32-canadian-health-care/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 16 Sep 2024 08:01:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1524 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/bayes-blast-32-canadian-health-care/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/bayes-blast-32-canadian-health-care/feed/ 4 A surprising update for two previously maple-pilled Yanks

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 5:23 1524 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA surprising update for two previously maple-pilled Yanks  A surprising update for two previously maple-pilled Yanks  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 220 – Chalmer’s Zombies, with Liam https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/220-chalmers-zombies-with-liam/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Sep 2024 08:01:49 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1515 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/220-chalmers-zombies-with-liam/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/09/220-chalmers-zombies-with-liam/feed/ 1 We dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast.

I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, Eneasz, and I had. I thought it provided a lot of awesome extra depth to the episode’s topic. Did you know that it’s basically impossible to export from Discord? I’d have edited it for brevity but just getting it at all took forever. Check it out here.

Also, our hero AskWho audio-ized it! You can listen to the exchange rather than read it here.

Stay tuned for next time as we talk about… A One Way Interaction With An Additional Fundamental Law of Reality?

LINKS
Zombies! Zombies?
2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast)
The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers
Consciousness As Recursive Reflections, a guest post by Daniel Bottger at ACD

 

0:00:05 – Zombies!
01:56:37 – Guild of the Rose
02:00:22 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Zombies! Zombies?

Next Sequence Posts:

none

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:03:06 1515 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast. I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, Eneasz, and I had. I thought it provided a lot of awesome extra depth to the episode’s topic. Did you know that it’s basically impossible to export from Discord? I’d have edited it for brevity but just getting it at all took forever. Check it out here. Also, our hero AskWho audio-ized it! You can listen to the exchange rather than read it here. Stay tuned for next time as we talk about… A One Way Interaction With An Additional Fundamental Law of Reality? LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers Consciousness As Recursive Reflections, a guest post by Daniel Bottger at ACD   0:00:05 – Zombies! 01:56:37 – Guild of the Rose 02:00:22 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Zombies! Zombies? Next Sequence Posts: noneWe dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast. I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, Eneasz, and I had. I thought it provided a lot of awesome extra depth to the episode’s topic. Did you know that it’s basically impossible to export from Discord? I’d have edited it for brevity but just getting it at all took forever. Check it out here. Also, our hero AskWho audio-ized it! You can listen to the exchange rather than read it here. Stay tuned for next time as we talk about… A One Way Interaction With An Additional Fundamental Law of Reality? LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers Consciousness As Recursive Reflections, a guest post by Daniel Bottger at ACD   0:00:05 – Zombies! 01:56:37 – Guild of the Rose 02:00:22 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Zombies! Zombies? Next Sequence Posts: noneRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 219 – On Excellence, with Tracing Woodgrains https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/08/219-on-excellence-with-tracing-woodgrains/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Aug 2024 08:01:08 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1513 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/08/219-on-excellence-with-tracing-woodgrains/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/08/219-on-excellence-with-tracing-woodgrains/feed/ 0 Inspired by Trace’s speech about excellence at VibeCamp 3, Eneasz and Steven speak to Tracing Woodgrains about Excellence and its various aspects

LINKS
Trace’s SubStack
Trace’s Twitter
Wes on TracingWoodgrains as the Nietzschean Superman
Gymnastics Then vs Now video
Evolution of Gymnastics video

0:00:05 – Excellence
01:17:24 – Guild of the Rose
01:20:21 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

none

Next Sequence Posts:

Zombies! Zombies?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:22:26 1513 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comInspired by Trace’s speech about excellence at VibeCamp 3, Eneasz and Steven speak to Tracing Woodgrains about Excellence and its various aspects LINKS Trace’s SubStack Trace’s Twitter Wes on TracingWoodgrains as the Nietzschean Superman Gymnastics Then vs Now video Evolution of Gymnastics video 0:00:05 – Excellence 01:17:24 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:21 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: Zombies! Zombies?Inspired by Trace’s speech about excellence at VibeCamp 3, Eneasz and Steven speak to Tracing Woodgrains about Excellence and its various aspects LINKS Trace’s SubStack Trace’s Twitter Wes on TracingWoodgrains as the Nietzschean Superman Gymnastics Then vs Now video Evolution of Gymnastics video 0:00:05 – Excellence 01:17:24 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:21 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: Zombies! Zombies?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 218 – Bentham’s Bulldog and the Best Argument for God https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/08/218-benthams-bulldog-and-the-best-argument-for-god/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Aug 2024 08:01:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1506 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/08/218-benthams-bulldog-and-the-best-argument-for-god/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/08/218-benthams-bulldog-and-the-best-argument-for-god/feed/ 0 Spurred by comments from a couple of episodes ago, we wanted to make sure we didn’t misrepresent Matthew’s position and he agreed to come lay it out for us on the show. Check out the links below to dive in deeper.

LINKS
Bentham’s Newsletter
Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument for God and also Miracles
Skeptoid #247 on The “Miracle” of Calanda and the Followup Episode
From Matthew’s Substack:
On Consciousness
On Eliezer Yudkowsky Being Wrong
On His Moral Non-Naturalism
On Beliefs Depending on Intuition

Eneasz’s longer post following up on this conversation

0:00:04 – Intro and The Best Argument For God
01:41:55 – Updates and Feedback
01:48:45 – Guild of the Rose
01:50:51 – Less Wrong Posts
02:13:04 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Reductive Reference

Zombies! Zombies? (sort of)

Next Sequence Posts:

(TBD while we decide when we’re doing the Zombies episode)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:14:29 1506 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSpurred by comments from a couple of episodes ago, we wanted to make sure we didn’t misrepresent Matthew’s position and he agreed to come lay it out for us on the show. Check out the links below to dive in deeper. LINKS Bentham’s Newsletter Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument for God and also Miracles Skeptoid #247 on The “Miracle” of Calanda and the Followup Episode From Matthew’s Substack: On Consciousness On Eliezer Yudkowsky Being Wrong On His Moral Non-Naturalism On Beliefs Depending on Intuition Eneasz’s longer post following up on this conversation 0:00:04 – Intro and The Best Argument For God 01:41:55 – Updates and Feedback 01:48:45 – Guild of the Rose 01:50:51 – Less Wrong Posts 02:13:04 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Reductive Reference Zombies! Zombies? (sort of) Next Sequence Posts: (TBD while we decide when we’re doing the Zombies episode)Spurred by comments from a couple of episodes ago, we wanted to make sure we didn’t misrepresent Matthew’s position and he agreed to come lay it out for us on the show. Check out the links below to dive in deeper. LINKS Bentham’s Newsletter Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument for God and also Miracles Skeptoid #247 on The “Miracle” of Calanda and the Followup Episode From Matthew’s Substack: On Consciousness On Eliezer Yudkowsky Being Wrong On His Moral Non-Naturalism On Beliefs Depending on Intuition Eneasz’s longer post following up on this conversation 0:00:04 – Intro and The Best Argument For God 01:41:55 – Updates and Feedback 01:48:45 – Guild of the Rose 01:50:51 – Less Wrong Posts 02:13:04 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Reductive Reference Zombies! Zombies? (sort of) Next Sequence Posts: (TBD while we decide when we’re doing the Zombies episode)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 217 – Consensual Violence with Rikard https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/217-consensual-violence-with-rikard/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Jul 2024 08:01:56 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1502 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/217-consensual-violence-with-rikard/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/217-consensual-violence-with-rikard/feed/ 0 Rikard joins us to speak about the benefits of consensual violence

LINKS
Rikard’s Substack – Drunken Masterpieces
Rikard is @rikardhjort Twitter
Defense Against the Dark Arts is just the Dark Arts
The Ultimate Self-Defense Championship
Armchair Violence
The poem Rikard recited

0:00:17 – Consensual Violence
1:24:05 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:25:37 – Less Wrong Posts
1:49:15 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Heat vs. Motion

Brain Breakthrough! It’s Made of Neurons!

Next Sequence Posts:

Reductive Reference

Zombies! Zombies?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:50:09 1502 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRikard joins us to speak about the benefits of consensual violence LINKS Rikard’s Substack – Drunken Masterpieces Rikard is @rikardhjort Twitter Defense Against the Dark Arts is just the Dark Arts The Ultimate Self-Defense Championship Armchair Violence The poem Rikard recited 0:00:17 – Consensual Violence 1:24:05 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:25:37 – Less Wrong Posts 1:49:15 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Heat vs. Motion Brain Breakthrough! It’s Made of Neurons! Next Sequence Posts: Reductive Reference Zombies! Zombies?Rikard joins us to speak about the benefits of consensual violence LINKS Rikard’s Substack – Drunken Masterpieces Rikard is @rikardhjort Twitter Defense Against the Dark Arts is just the Dark Arts The Ultimate Self-Defense Championship Armchair Violence The poem Rikard recited 0:00:17 – Consensual Violence 1:24:05 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:25:37 – Less Wrong Posts 1:49:15 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Heat vs. Motion Brain Breakthrough! It’s Made of Neurons! Next Sequence Posts: Reductive Reference Zombies! Zombies?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 216 – On Dying (And Cryonics) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/216-on-dying-and-cryonics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Jul 2024 08:07:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1497 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/216-on-dying-and-cryonics/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/216-on-dying-and-cryonics/feed/ 7 Rachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now.

LINKS
All the Living and the Dead
Caitlin Doughty on YouTube
CI cryonics case reports
Places of Death in the US
Prev Episodes – Cryonics pt 1 and pt 2 w Robert McIntyre, and Cryo with Rudi Hoffman
Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument and also Miracles??
Skeptoid #247 on The “Miracle” of Calanda

0:00:17 – Dying and Cryonics
1:40:33 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:44:19 – Bentham’s Bulldog’s Terrible Best Argument For God
2:03:45 – Listener Feedback
2:08:25 – Less Wrong Posts
2:26:43 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Hand vs. Fingers

Angry Atoms

Next Sequence Posts:

Heat vs. Motion

Brain Breakthrough! It’s Made of Neurons!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:28:27 1497 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now. LINKS All the Living and the Dead Caitlin Doughty on YouTube CI cryonics case reports Places of Death in the US Prev Episodes – Cryonics pt 1 and pt 2 w Robert McIntyre, and Cryo with Rudi Hoffman Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument and also Miracles?? Skeptoid #247 on The “Miracle” of Calanda 0:00:17 – Dying and Cryonics 1:40:33 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:44:19 – Bentham’s Bulldog’s Terrible Best Argument For God 2:03:45 – Listener Feedback 2:08:25 – Less Wrong Posts 2:26:43 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Hand vs. Fingers Angry Atoms Next Sequence Posts: Heat vs. Motion Brain Breakthrough! It’s Made of Neurons!Rachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now. LINKS All the Living and the Dead Caitlin Doughty on YouTube CI cryonics case reports Places of Death in the US Prev Episodes – Cryonics pt 1 and pt 2 w Robert McIntyre, and Cryo with Rudi Hoffman Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument and also Miracles?? Skeptoid #247 on The “Miracle” of Calanda 0:00:17 – Dying and Cryonics 1:40:33 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:44:19 – Bentham’s Bulldog’s Terrible Best Argument For God 2:03:45 – Listener Feedback 2:08:25 – Less Wrong Posts 2:26:43 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Hand vs. Fingers Angry Atoms Next Sequence Posts: Heat vs. Motion Brain Breakthrough! It’s Made of Neurons!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 31 – Blowing Hot Air (Free Version) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/bayes-blast-31-blowing-hot-air-free-version/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 08 Jul 2024 22:21:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1485 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/bayes-blast-31-blowing-hot-air-free-version/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/07/bayes-blast-31-blowing-hot-air-free-version/feed/ 0 Brandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons and Substack supporters will have access to the whole thing.

 

https://earth.nullschool.net/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 18:33 1485 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comBrandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons and Substack supporters will have access to the whole thing.   https://earth.nullschool.net/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rssBrandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons and Substack supporters will have access to the whole thing.   https://earth.nullschool.net/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rssRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 215 – Rationalism and Religion, with Brandon Hendrickson https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/06/215-rationalism-and-religion-with-brandon-hendrickson/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Jun 2024 08:01:10 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1483 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/06/215-rationalism-and-religion-with-brandon-hendrickson/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/06/215-rationalism-and-religion-with-brandon-hendrickson/feed/ 0 Brandon Hendrickson takes over the podcast! He interrogates Eneasz about his past, and this crazy rationalist religion idea, and introduces a vast knowledge base of secular religion development.

LINKS
Brandon’s substack, The Lost Tools of Learning
Simple square visualization to understand Bayes Theorem
SA – Yes We Have Noticed The Skulls
That’s Modalism, Patrick!
Bentham’s Bulldog substack
The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas
SA – A Theory of Religion
Brandon’s googledoc with the outline of how to follow-up Christianity
Bart Campolo’s website/podcast
The Rise of Christianity (Amazon)
The Rise of Mormonism (Amazon)
Building the Benedict Option (Amazon)
SA – The Lottery of Fascinations
AskWho Casts AI
Prev Episodes with Brandon, on his ACX-Winning Book Review of The Educated Mind – 200 & 201

0:04:05 – Can Rationlists Be Theists?
0:16:13 – Eneasz’s Mysterious Jehovah’s Witness Past
0:49:48 – Why Does Eneasz Want A Rationalist Religion?
1:12:02 – The Rise of Christianity
1:36:21 – VibeCamp Debrief
1:41:57 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:43:41 – Listener Feedback
1:50:52 – Less Wrong Posts
2:17:13 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

To Spread Science, Keep It Secret

Initiation Ceremony

Next Sequence Posts:

Hand vs. Fingers

Angry Atoms

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:18:59 1483 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comBrandon Hendrickson takes over the podcast! He interrogates Eneasz about his past, and this crazy rationalist religion idea, and introduces a vast knowledge base of secular religion development. LINKS Brandon’s substack, The Lost Tools of Learning Simple square visualization to understand Bayes Theorem SA – Yes We Have Noticed The Skulls That’s Modalism, Patrick! Bentham’s Bulldog substack The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas SA – A Theory of Religion Brandon’s googledoc with the outline of how to follow-up Christianity Bart Campolo’s website/podcast The Rise of Christianity (Amazon) The Rise of Mormonism (Amazon) Building the Benedict Option (Amazon) SA – The Lottery of Fascinations AskWho Casts AI Prev Episodes with Brandon, on his ACX-Winning Book Review of The Educated Mind – 200 & 201 0:04:05 – Can Rationlists Be Theists? 0:16:13 – Eneasz’s Mysterious Jehovah’s Witness Past 0:49:48 – Why Does Eneasz Want A Rationalist Religion? 1:12:02 – The Rise of Christianity 1:36:21 – VibeCamp Debrief 1:41:57 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:43:41 – Listener Feedback 1:50:52 – Less Wrong Posts 2:17:13 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: To Spread Science, Keep It Secret Initiation Ceremony Next Sequence Posts: Hand vs. Fingers Angry AtomsBrandon Hendrickson takes over the podcast! He interrogates Eneasz about his past, and this crazy rationalist religion idea, and introduces a vast knowledge base of secular religion development. LINKS Brandon’s substack, The Lost Tools of Learning Simple square visualization to understand Bayes Theorem SA – Yes We Have Noticed The Skulls That’s Modalism, Patrick! Bentham’s Bulldog substack The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas SA – A Theory of Religion Brandon’s googledoc with the outline of how to follow-up Christianity Bart Campolo’s website/podcast The Rise of Christianity (Amazon) The Rise of Mormonism (Amazon) Building the Benedict Option (Amazon) SA – The Lottery of Fascinations AskWho Casts AI Prev Episodes with Brandon, on his ACX-Winning Book Review of The Educated Mind – 200 & 201 0:04:05 – Can Rationlists Be Theists? 0:16:13 – Eneasz’s Mysterious Jehovah’s Witness Past 0:49:48 – Why Does Eneasz Want A Rationalist Religion? 1:12:02 – The Rise of Christianity 1:36:21 – VibeCamp Debrief 1:41:57 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:43:41 – Listener Feedback 1:50:52 – Less Wrong Posts 2:17:13 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: To Spread Science, Keep It Secret Initiation Ceremony Next Sequence Posts: Hand vs. Fingers Angry AtomsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/06/214-is-death-good-simone-and-malcolm-collins-return/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Jun 2024 08:01:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1479 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/06/214-is-death-good-simone-and-malcolm-collins-return/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/06/214-is-death-good-simone-and-malcolm-collins-return/feed/ 0 The Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all.

Paid Bonus content – Genetic Cycling

LINKS
Based Camp
Three World’s Collide, novella by Eliezer Yudkowsky
YIMBYism in California is doing very well!
AskWho Casts AI audio of the reddit post re an accidental student protest
Luck Is Other People’s Work by Eneasz

0:00:17 – Malcolm & Simone on Death + More
1:01:03 – Feedback
1:06:20 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:07:44 – Less Wrong Posts
1:42:12 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute?

Scarcity

Next Sequence Posts:

To Spread Science, Keep It Secret

Initiation Ceremony

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:44:17 1479 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all. Paid Bonus content – Genetic Cycling LINKS Based Camp Three World’s Collide, novella by Eliezer Yudkowsky YIMBYism in California is doing very well! AskWho Casts AI audio of the reddit post re an accidental student protest Luck Is Other People’s Work by Eneasz 0:00:17 – Malcolm & Simone on Death + More 1:01:03 – Feedback 1:06:20 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:07:44 – Less Wrong Posts 1:42:12 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute? Scarcity Next Sequence Posts: To Spread Science, Keep It Secret Initiation CeremonyThe Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all. Paid Bonus content – Genetic Cycling LINKS Based Camp Three World’s Collide, novella by Eliezer Yudkowsky YIMBYism in California is doing very well! AskWho Casts AI audio of the reddit post re an accidental student protest Luck Is Other People’s Work by Eneasz 0:00:17 – Malcolm & Simone on Death + More 1:01:03 – Feedback 1:06:20 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:07:44 – Less Wrong Posts 1:42:12 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute? Scarcity Next Sequence Posts: To Spread Science, Keep It Secret Initiation CeremonyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 213 – Are Transformer Models Aligned By Default? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/213-are-transformer-models-aligned-by-default/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 May 2024 08:01:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1476 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/213-are-transformer-models-aligned-by-default/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/213-are-transformer-models-aligned-by-default/feed/ 0 Our species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman 🙂

LINKS
Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability
Anthropic is hiring
Episode 93 of The Mind Killer
Talkin’ Fallout
VibeCamp

0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher
0:21:06 – Aligned By Default
0:50:56 – Highlights from Anthropic’s Latest Interpretability Paper
1:26:47 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:29:40 – Going to VibeCamp
1:37:05 – Feedback
1:43:58 – Less Wrong Posts
1:57:30 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help

The Beauty of Settled Science

Next Sequence Posts:

Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute?

Scarcity

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1476 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comOur species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman LINKS Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability Anthropic is hiring Episode 93 of The Mind Killer Talkin’ Fallout VibeCamp 0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher 0:21:06 – Aligned By Default 0:50:56 – Highlights from Anthropic’s Latest Interpretability Paper 1:26:47 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:29:40 – Going to VibeCamp 1:37:05 – Feedback 1:43:58 – Less Wrong Posts 1:57:30 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help The Beauty of Settled Science Next Sequence Posts: Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute? ScarcityOur species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman LINKS Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability Anthropic is hiring Episode 93 of The Mind Killer Talkin’ Fallout VibeCamp 0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher 0:21:06 – Aligned By Default 0:50:56 – Highlights from Anthropic’s Latest Interpretability Paper 1:26:47 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:29:40 – Going to VibeCamp 1:37:05 – Feedback 1:43:58 – Less Wrong Posts 1:57:30 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help The Beauty of Settled Science Next Sequence Posts: Is Humanism A Religion-Substitute? ScarcityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 212 – Feedback Extravaganza https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/212-feedback-extravaganza/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 May 2024 08:02:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1471 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/212-feedback-extravaganza/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/212-feedback-extravaganza/feed/ 0 A bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if you have anything you want to add to our discussions. Chat with us and a ton of awesome people on our Discord server, comment on the episode here, email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com, or use our now-mostly-inactive subreddit!

LINKS
Claude 3
Tumblr post from one participant of Aella’s birthday party
Twitter thread from the badass virgin attendee we mentioned

0:00:17 – Feedback
0:56:24 – Guild of the Rose Update
0:58:42 – Less Wrong Posts
1:39:29 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Joy in Discovery

Bind Yourself to Reality

Next Sequence Posts:

If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help

The Beauty of Settled Science

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:29 1471 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if you have anything you want to add to our discussions. Chat with us and a ton of awesome people on our Discord server, comment on the episode here, email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com, or use our now-mostly-inactive subreddit! LINKS Claude 3 Tumblr post from one participant of Aella’s birthday party Twitter thread from the badass virgin attendee we mentioned 0:00:17 – Feedback 0:56:24 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:58:42 – Less Wrong Posts 1:39:29 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Joy in Discovery Bind Yourself to Reality Next Sequence Posts: If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help The Beauty of Settled ScienceA bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if you have anything you want to add to our discussions. Chat with us and a ton of awesome people on our Discord server, comment on the episode here, email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com, or use our now-mostly-inactive subreddit! LINKS Claude 3 Tumblr post from one participant of Aella’s birthday party Twitter thread from the badass virgin attendee we mentioned 0:00:17 – Feedback 0:56:24 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:58:42 – Less Wrong Posts 1:39:29 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Joy in Discovery Bind Yourself to Reality Next Sequence Posts: If You Demand Magic, Magic Won’t Help The Beauty of Settled ScienceRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 30 – Less.Online https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/bayes-blast-30-less-online/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 04 May 2024 13:58:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1468 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/bayes-blast-30-less-online/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/bayes-blast-30-less-online/feed/ 0 Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it.

Get all the details you could want plus tickets at Less.Online!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 23:04 1468 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comLess.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it. Get all the details you could want plus tickets at Less.Online!Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it. Get all the details you could want plus tickets at Less.Online!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 211 – The Social Justice Religion with Tracing Woodgrains https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/211-the-social-justice-religion-with-tracing-woodgrains/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 May 2024 08:01:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1464 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/211-the-social-justice-religion-with-tracing-woodgrains/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/05/211-the-social-justice-religion-with-tracing-woodgrains/feed/ 1 “Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this.

Paid Bonus content – How do furries fit into Social Justice Progressivism?

LINKS
The Twitter Essay we’re discussing
Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter
Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack
Trace’s piece on the FAA scandal/conspiracy
Eneasz’s post on repenting for new atheism
Eliezer on Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult
TBC episode 7(!) with a negative utilitarian (Kill All Humans)
Yassine’s thread on religious tolerance of wokism
Robin Williams escaped Lewy Body Dementia
Richard Dawkins’s The Greatest Show On Earth
Scott Alexander’s Fascination Lottery
Worth The Candle by Alexander Wales
Eneasz on The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas

0:00:17 – The New Vital Religion
1:22:31 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:23:42 – Less Wrong Posts
1:43:36 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Savanna Poets

Joy in the Merely Real

Next Sequence Posts:

Joy in Discovery

Bind Yourself to Reality

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:44:38 1464 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this. Paid Bonus content – How do furries fit into Social Justice Progressivism? LINKS The Twitter Essay we’re discussing Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack Trace’s piece on the FAA scandal/conspiracy Eneasz’s post on repenting for new atheism Eliezer on Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult TBC episode 7(!) with a negative utilitarian (Kill All Humans) Yassine’s thread on religious tolerance of wokism Robin Williams escaped Lewy Body Dementia Richard Dawkins’s The Greatest Show On Earth Scott Alexander’s Fascination Lottery Worth The Candle by Alexander Wales Eneasz on The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas 0:00:17 – The New Vital Religion 1:22:31 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:23:42 – Less Wrong Posts 1:43:36 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Savanna Poets Joy in the Merely Real Next Sequence Posts: Joy in Discovery Bind Yourself to Reality“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this. Paid Bonus content – How do furries fit into Social Justice Progressivism? LINKS The Twitter Essay we’re discussing Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack Trace’s piece on the FAA scandal/conspiracy Eneasz’s post on repenting for new atheism Eliezer on Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult TBC episode 7(!) with a negative utilitarian (Kill All Humans) Yassine’s thread on religious tolerance of wokism Robin Williams escaped Lewy Body Dementia Richard Dawkins’s The Greatest Show On Earth Scott Alexander’s Fascination Lottery Worth The Candle by Alexander Wales Eneasz on The Peace of Westphalia and the War on Christmas 0:00:17 – The New Vital Religion 1:22:31 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:23:42 – Less Wrong Posts 1:43:36 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Savanna Poets Joy in the Merely Real Next Sequence Posts: Joy in Discovery Bind Yourself to RealityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/210-demographic-collapse-religion-with-simone-malcolm-collins/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Apr 2024 08:03:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1458 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/210-demographic-collapse-religion-with-simone-malcolm-collins/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/210-demographic-collapse-religion-with-simone-malcolm-collins/feed/ 1 We speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done?

LINKS
Based Camp YouTube  and Podcast
Pronatalist.org
The mentioned where to live document
Project Eureka (the Collins’s town to move to project)
The Pragmatist’s Guide to Crafting Religion
TBC – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder
TBC – CyberChristianity
Scott Alexander – The Toxoplasma Of Rage
Unweaving The Rainbow
Bonus Chat with Aella at Patreon, and at SubStack

0:00:17 – Simone & Malcolm
1:18:54 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:20:17 – Less Wrong Posts
1:40:10 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Explaining vs. Explaining Away

Fake Reductionism

Next Sequence Posts:

Savanna Poets

Joy in the Merely Real

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:42:14 1458 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done? LINKS Based Camp YouTube  and Podcast Pronatalist.org The mentioned where to live document Project Eureka (the Collins’s town to move to project) The Pragmatist’s Guide to Crafting Religion TBC – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder TBC – CyberChristianity Scott Alexander – The Toxoplasma Of Rage Unweaving The Rainbow Bonus Chat with Aella at Patreon, and at SubStack 0:00:17 – Simone & Malcolm 1:18:54 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:20:17 – Less Wrong Posts 1:40:10 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Explaining vs. Explaining Away Fake Reductionism Next Sequence Posts: Savanna Poets Joy in the Merely RealWe speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done? LINKS Based Camp YouTube  and Podcast Pronatalist.org The mentioned where to live document Project Eureka (the Collins’s town to move to project) The Pragmatist’s Guide to Crafting Religion TBC – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder TBC – CyberChristianity Scott Alexander – The Toxoplasma Of Rage Unweaving The Rainbow Bonus Chat with Aella at Patreon, and at SubStack 0:00:17 – Simone & Malcolm 1:18:54 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:20:17 – Less Wrong Posts 1:40:10 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Explaining vs. Explaining Away Fake Reductionism Next Sequence Posts: Savanna Poets Joy in the Merely RealRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-29-vibeclipse/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 15 Apr 2024 18:01:57 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1455 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-29-vibeclipse/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-29-vibeclipse/feed/ 0 Steven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse.

The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality. 🙂

Also, as hinted in this blast and discussed in the last blast, Yassine is a baller DJ. Steven’s wife enjoyed one of his songs enough to ask him about so he could send it over. Check out a sample of his skills here. This is the opposite of dance hell. 😉

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 31:07 1455 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse. The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality. Also, as hinted in this blast and discussed in the last blast, Yassine is a baller DJ. Steven’s wife enjoyed one of his songs enough to ask him about so he could send it over. Check out a sample of his skills here. This is the opposite of dance hell.Steven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse. The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality. Also, as hinted in this blast and discussed in the last blast, Yassine is a baller DJ. Steven’s wife enjoyed one of his songs enough to ask him about so he could send it over. Check out a sample of his skills here. This is the opposite of dance hell.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 28 – Bass Blast https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-28-blasting-bass/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 08 Apr 2024 08:36:19 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1451 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-28-blasting-bass/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-28-blasting-bass/feed/ 0 Yassine tells us what’s wrong with DJs and reveals their ancient mystical secrets.

His post, DJ At Law

Watch DJ-crush Tinzo spinning her craft

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 17:31 1451 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comYassine tells us what’s wrong with DJs and reveals their ancient mystical secrets. His post, DJ At Law Watch DJ-crush Tinzo spinning her craftYassine tells us what’s wrong with DJs and reveals their ancient mystical secrets. His post, DJ At Law Watch DJ-crush Tinzo spinning her craftRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 209 – The World’s Most Wholesome Gangbang, with Lucy Belmont (Fluffer B) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/209-the-worlds-most-wholesome-gangbang-with-lucy-belmont-fluffer-b/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Apr 2024 08:01:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1440 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/209-the-worlds-most-wholesome-gangbang-with-lucy-belmont-fluffer-b/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/209-the-worlds-most-wholesome-gangbang-with-lucy-belmont-fluffer-b/feed/ 1 We speak to Lucy Belmont, Fluffer B from Aella’s Birthday Gangbang. Guys, this is the most wholesome and fantastic thing we’ve ever heard, for real.

Paid Bonus content – Preshow Chatter and Did Lucy Cum?

LINKS
Aella’s post on her birthday gangbang, with many charts and graphs
LucyBelmont.com
Also Lucy on TwitterX, or contact directly via meetlucybelmont@proton.me
An attendee’s recollections
The Virgin’s Twitter thread
Julia Galef’s video that summarizes what it was like going form T/F beliefs to %probability beliefs
HPMOR

0:00:17 – The Gangbang
1:12:24 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:14:47 – Less Wrong Posts
1:30:25 – Thank the Patron

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Qualitatively Confused

Reductionism

Next Sequence Posts:

Explaining vs. Explaining Away

Fake Reductionism

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full 1:31:55 1440 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comnoWe speak to Lucy Belmont, Fluffer B from Aella’s Birthday Gangbang. Guys, this is the most wholesome and fantastic thing we’ve ever heard, for real. Paid Bonus content – Preshow Chatter and Did Lucy Cum? LINKS Aella’s post on her birthday gangbang, with many charts and graphs LucyBelmont.com Also Lucy on TwitterX, or contact directly via meetlucybelmont@proton.me An attendee’s recollections The Virgin’s Twitter thread Julia Galef’s video that summarizes what it was like going form T/F beliefs to %probability beliefs HPMOR 0:00:17 – The Gangbang 1:12:24 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:14:47 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:25 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Qualitatively Confused Reductionism Next Sequence Posts: Explaining vs. Explaining Away Fake ReductionismWe speak to Lucy Belmont, Fluffer B from Aella’s Birthday Gangbang. Guys, this is the most wholesome and fantastic thing we’ve ever heard, for real. Paid Bonus content – Preshow Chatter and Did Lucy Cum? LINKS Aella’s post on her birthday gangbang, with many charts and graphs LucyBelmont.com Also Lucy on TwitterX, or contact directly via meetlucybelmont@proton.me An attendee’s recollections The Virgin’s Twitter thread Julia Galef’s video that summarizes what it was like going form T/F beliefs to %probability beliefs HPMOR 0:00:17 – The Gangbang 1:12:24 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:14:47 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:25 – Thank the Patron Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Qualitatively Confused Reductionism Next Sequence Posts: Explaining vs. Explaining Away Fake ReductionismRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 27 – SubStack Launch and Animorphs Launch https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-27-substack-launch-and-animorphs-launch/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 01 Apr 2024 22:16:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1449 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-27-substack-launch-and-animorphs-launch/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/04/bayes-blast-27-substack-launch-and-animorphs-launch/feed/ 0 You can now subscribe to us on SubStack.

You can hear the Rational!Animorphs fanfic (and Luminosity) at AskWho’s channel

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 4:39 1449 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comYou can now subscribe to us on SubStack. You can hear the Rational!Animorphs fanfic (and Luminosity) at AskWho’s channelYou can now subscribe to us on SubStack. You can hear the Rational!Animorphs fanfic (and Luminosity) at AskWho’s channelRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 208.ai – Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0 – By Andrew Cutler https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/208-ai-eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3-0-by-andrew-cutler/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Mar 2024 08:02:52 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1434 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/208-ai-eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3-0-by-andrew-cutler/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/208-ai-eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3-0-by-andrew-cutler/feed/ 2 The full audio of the article we discuss. Many thanks to AskWho for creating it! It can also be found at https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v30-by?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss
AskWho can be supported at https://www.patreon.com/AskwhoCastsAI?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss and many many more essays and stories are available there.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 3:03:40 1434 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe full audio of the article we discuss. Many thanks to AskWho for creating it! It can also be found at https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v30-by?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss AskWho can be supported at https://www.patreon.com/AskwhoCastsAI?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss and many many more essays and stories are available there.The full audio of the article we discuss. Many thanks to AskWho for creating it! It can also be found at https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v30-by?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss AskWho can be supported at https://www.patreon.com/AskwhoCastsAI?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss and many many more essays and stories are available there.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 208 – Snakes On A Brain: Eve Theory of Consciousness v3 with Andrew Cutler https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/208-snakes-on-a-brain-eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3-with-andrew-cutler/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Mar 2024 08:01:59 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1432 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/208-snakes-on-a-brain-eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3-with-andrew-cutler/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/208-snakes-on-a-brain-eve-theory-of-consciousness-v3-with-andrew-cutler/feed/ 0 We talk with Andrew Cutler about how pre-modern women spread consciousness through our species via a snake cult. This is a follow up to episode 205, which you should listen to first if you haven’t yet.

LINKS
Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0: How humans evolved a soul
Full audio of Eve Theory v3, courtesy of AskWho
Herakles, Adam, and Krishna were initiated in the snake cult at Göbekli Tepe
The Seeds of Science
TBC ep 200 The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson
TBC ep 206 on Chronic Pain
TBC ep 54 with Robin Hanson on The Elephant In The Brain
Neon Genesis Evangelion
What Lies Dreaming by Eneasz Brodski
Roon on Twitter

0:00:23 – Eve & Snake Cults
2:09:01 – Guild of the Rose Update
2:11:59 – Less Wrong Posts
2:25:19 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Mind Projection Fallacy

The Quotation is not the Referent

Next Sequence Posts:

Qualitatively Confused

Reductionism

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:27:30 1432 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Andrew Cutler about how pre-modern women spread consciousness through our species via a snake cult. This is a follow up to episode 205, which you should listen to first if you haven’t yet. LINKS Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0: How humans evolved a soul Full audio of Eve Theory v3, courtesy of AskWho Herakles, Adam, and Krishna were initiated in the snake cult at Göbekli Tepe The Seeds of Science TBC ep 200 The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson TBC ep 206 on Chronic Pain TBC ep 54 with Robin Hanson on The Elephant In The Brain Neon Genesis Evangelion What Lies Dreaming by Eneasz Brodski Roon on Twitter 0:00:23 – Eve & Snake Cults 2:09:01 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:11:59 – Less Wrong Posts 2:25:19 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Mind Projection Fallacy The Quotation is not the Referent Next Sequence Posts: Qualitatively Confused ReductionismWe talk with Andrew Cutler about how pre-modern women spread consciousness through our species via a snake cult. This is a follow up to episode 205, which you should listen to first if you haven’t yet. LINKS Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0: How humans evolved a soul Full audio of Eve Theory v3, courtesy of AskWho Herakles, Adam, and Krishna were initiated in the snake cult at Göbekli Tepe The Seeds of Science TBC ep 200 The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson TBC ep 206 on Chronic Pain TBC ep 54 with Robin Hanson on The Elephant In The Brain Neon Genesis Evangelion What Lies Dreaming by Eneasz Brodski Roon on Twitter 0:00:23 – Eve & Snake Cults 2:09:01 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:11:59 – Less Wrong Posts 2:25:19 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Mind Projection Fallacy The Quotation is not the Referent Next Sequence Posts: Qualitatively Confused ReductionismRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 26 – AskWho On The Future of Narration https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/bayes-blast-26-askwho-on-the-future-of-narration/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 11 Mar 2024 08:04:03 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1429 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/bayes-blast-26-askwho-on-the-future-of-narration/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/bayes-blast-26-askwho-on-the-future-of-narration/feed/ 1 The future is now and it’s getting closer by the minute.

Everyone check out AskWho’s Patreon and donate if you’re able to.

11Labs is the main tool AskWho uses.

We mentioned OpenAI’s Sora. Check out this video.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 18:56 1429 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe future is now and it’s getting closer by the minute. Everyone check out AskWho’s Patreon and donate if you’re able to. 11Labs is the main tool AskWho uses. We mentioned OpenAI’s Sora. Check out this video.The future is now and it’s getting closer by the minute. Everyone check out AskWho’s Patreon and donate if you’re able to. 11Labs is the main tool AskWho uses. We mentioned OpenAI’s Sora. Check out this video.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 207 – Raising Free Range Kids via Camp Dorkaround https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/207-raising-free-range-kids-via-camp-dorkaround/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Mar 2024 08:27:00 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1424 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/207-raising-free-range-kids-via-camp-dorkaround/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/03/207-raising-free-range-kids-via-camp-dorkaround/feed/ 0 To raise successful adults, children must experience the ability to act in the real world. Jennifer gives practical advice on how to do exactly that in an entirely sane way.

LINKS
Lenore Skenazy’s original post “Why I Let My 9-Year-Old Ride the Subway Alone”
Her website, FreeRangeKids.com
Milo’s games portfolio site – Milo.Games
Our old episode about Rational Fiction
Eneasz’s posts agreeing with not lying to kids, and that patronage is really appreciated
Join the first Guild of the Rose IRL Course if you’re in Denver, here

0:04:58 – Camp Dorkaround
1:02:14 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:04:47 – Less Wrong Posts
1:18:59 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Wrong Questions

Righting a Wrong Question

Next Sequence Posts:

Mind Projection Fallacy

The Quotation is not the Referent

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1424 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comTo raise successful adults, children must experience the ability to act in the real world. Jennifer gives practical advice on how to do exactly that in an entirely sane way. LINKS Lenore Skenazy’s original post “Why I Let My 9-Year-Old Ride the Subway Alone” Her website, FreeRangeKids.com Milo’s games portfolio site – Milo.Games Our old episode about Rational Fiction Eneasz’s posts agreeing with not lying to kids, and that patronage is really appreciated Join the first Guild of the Rose IRL Course if you’re in Denver, here 0:04:58 – Camp Dorkaround 1:02:14 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:04:47 – Less Wrong Posts 1:18:59 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Wrong Questions Righting a Wrong Question Next Sequence Posts: Mind Projection Fallacy The Quotation is not the ReferentTo raise successful adults, children must experience the ability to act in the real world. Jennifer gives practical advice on how to do exactly that in an entirely sane way. LINKS Lenore Skenazy’s original post “Why I Let My 9-Year-Old Ride the Subway Alone” Her website, FreeRangeKids.com Milo’s games portfolio site – Milo.Games Our old episode about Rational Fiction Eneasz’s posts agreeing with not lying to kids, and that patronage is really appreciated Join the first Guild of the Rose IRL Course if you’re in Denver, here 0:04:58 – Camp Dorkaround 1:02:14 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:04:47 – Less Wrong Posts 1:18:59 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Wrong Questions Righting a Wrong Question Next Sequence Posts: Mind Projection Fallacy The Quotation is not the ReferentRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 206 – What Chronic Pain and Trauma Junkies Have In Common https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/206-what-chronic-pain-and-trauma-junkies-have-in-common/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Feb 2024 08:01:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1421 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/206-what-chronic-pain-and-trauma-junkies-have-in-common/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/206-what-chronic-pain-and-trauma-junkies-have-in-common/feed/ 0 Steven explains the Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of chronic pain to Eneasz, and Eneasz opines on feedback cycles in psychological trauma.

Main: The “mind-body vicious cycle” model of RSI & back pain

OTHER LINKS
Play Tetris after traumatic events to prevent PTSD
ACX review of Crazy Like Us
Our Episode about Crazy Like Us
Eneasz’s post about Trauma Junkies
80,000 Hours episode about Evolutionary Psychiatry
Yudkowsky tweet on trauma

0:01:22 – Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of Chronic Pain
0:33:23 – The Social-Psychological Vicious Cycle of Trauma
1:15:50 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:17:41 – Less Wrong Posts
1:49:35 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

37 Ways That Words Can Be Wrong

Dissolving the Question

Next Sequence Posts:

Wrong Questions

Righting a Wrong Question

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:52:14 1421 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven explains the Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of chronic pain to Eneasz, and Eneasz opines on feedback cycles in psychological trauma. Main: The “mind-body vicious cycle” model of RSI & back pain OTHER LINKS Play Tetris after traumatic events to prevent PTSD ACX review of Crazy Like Us Our Episode about Crazy Like Us Eneasz’s post about Trauma Junkies 80,000 Hours episode about Evolutionary Psychiatry Yudkowsky tweet on trauma 0:01:22 – Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of Chronic Pain 0:33:23 – The Social-Psychological Vicious Cycle of Trauma 1:15:50 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:17:41 – Less Wrong Posts 1:49:35 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: 37 Ways That Words Can Be Wrong Dissolving the Question Next Sequence Posts: Wrong Questions Righting a Wrong QuestionSteven explains the Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of chronic pain to Eneasz, and Eneasz opines on feedback cycles in psychological trauma. Main: The “mind-body vicious cycle” model of RSI & back pain OTHER LINKS Play Tetris after traumatic events to prevent PTSD ACX review of Crazy Like Us Our Episode about Crazy Like Us Eneasz’s post about Trauma Junkies 80,000 Hours episode about Evolutionary Psychiatry Yudkowsky tweet on trauma 0:01:22 – Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of Chronic Pain 0:33:23 – The Social-Psychological Vicious Cycle of Trauma 1:15:50 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:17:41 – Less Wrong Posts 1:49:35 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: 37 Ways That Words Can Be Wrong Dissolving the Question Next Sequence Posts: Wrong Questions Righting a Wrong QuestionRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 25 – Betting On Love https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/bayes-blast-25-betting-on-love/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 13 Feb 2024 21:10:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1418 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/bayes-blast-25-betting-on-love/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/bayes-blast-25-betting-on-love/feed/ 0 Where we marvel at the unparalleled game of our man Phil.

Watch Bet On Love, starts at 17 minutes. Dating show portion starts at 24 minutes.
The Death Bed Song
Wes’s twitter reply

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 22:50 1418 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhere we marvel at the unparalleled game of our man Phil. Watch Bet On Love, starts at 17 minutes. Dating show portion starts at 24 minutes. The Death Bed Song Wes’s twitter replyWhere we marvel at the unparalleled game of our man Phil. Watch Bet On Love, starts at 17 minutes. Dating show portion starts at 24 minutes. The Death Bed Song Wes’s twitter replyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 24 – The Answerers https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/bayes-blast-24-the-answerers/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 12 Feb 2024 04:04:21 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1415 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/bayes-blast-24-the-answerers/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/bayes-blast-24-the-answerers/feed/ 0 Lets teach our gods ancient Sumerian only

The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus
Our previous Snake Cult of Consciousness episode
LLAMA PRO: Progressive LLaMA with Block Expansion

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 13:25 1415 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comLets teach our gods ancient Sumerian only The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus Our previous Snake Cult of Consciousness episode LLAMA PRO: Progressive LLaMA with Block ExpansionLets teach our gods ancient Sumerian only The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus Our previous Snake Cult of Consciousness episode LLAMA PRO: Progressive LLaMA with Block ExpansionRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/205-ai-the-snake-cult-of-consciousness-narration/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Feb 2024 08:02:25 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1411 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/205-ai-the-snake-cult-of-consciousness-narration/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/205-ai-the-snake-cult-of-consciousness-narration/feed/ 0 AskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post!

This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon.

Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission to share here in full, and to Andrew Cutler for writing it and giving permission to share as well. Y’all are great!

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 41:25 1411 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post! This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon. Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission to share here in full, and to Andrew Cutler for writing it and giving permission to share as well. Y’all are great!  AskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post! This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon. Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission to share here in full, and to Andrew Cutler for writing it and giving permission to share as well. Y’all are great!  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/205-the-snake-cult-of-consciousness/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Feb 2024 07:57:53 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1405 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/205-the-snake-cult-of-consciousness/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/02/205-the-snake-cult-of-consciousness/feed/ 3 We discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible.

The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler
or listen to the original post in audio, thanks to AskWho for providing!

OTHER LINKS
Review of Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind by Scott Alexander
Eve Theory of Consciousness (v2) also by Andrew Cutler
The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Pronouns by Andrew Cutler
Erowid Psychedelics FAQ, read before tripping!
Sam Harris’s Episode 346 – The Best Kept Secret In History?
We found the account of young hunter-gatherer boys living in a flow state, here
Our analysis of The Truman Show as a retelling of the Genesis Fall From Grace myth
Our aborted attempt at an analysiscast of Planecrash
When Steven mentions Marcus speaking to his son Quintus he is reference Eneasz’s historic fantasy novel What Lies Dreaming

0:02:19 – Feedback
0:13:06 – Snake Cults!
1:36:51 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:39:01 – Less Wrong Posts
1:55:15 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles

Variable Question Fallacies

Next Sequence Posts:

37 Ways That Words Can Be Wrong

Dissolving the Question

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:57:11 1405 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible. The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler or listen to the original post in audio, thanks to AskWho for providing! OTHER LINKS Review of Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind by Scott Alexander Eve Theory of Consciousness (v2) also by Andrew Cutler The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Pronouns by Andrew Cutler Erowid Psychedelics FAQ, read before tripping! Sam Harris’s Episode 346 – The Best Kept Secret In History? We found the account of young hunter-gatherer boys living in a flow state, here Our analysis of The Truman Show as a retelling of the Genesis Fall From Grace myth Our aborted attempt at an analysiscast of Planecrash When Steven mentions Marcus speaking to his son Quintus he is reference Eneasz’s historic fantasy novel What Lies Dreaming 0:02:19 – Feedback 0:13:06 – Snake Cults! 1:36:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:39:01 – Less Wrong Posts 1:55:15 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles Variable Question Fallacies Next Sequence Posts: 37 Ways That Words Can Be Wrong Dissolving the QuestionWe discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible. The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler or listen to the original post in audio, thanks to AskWho for providing! OTHER LINKS Review of Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind by Scott Alexander Eve Theory of Consciousness (v2) also by Andrew Cutler The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Pronouns by Andrew Cutler Erowid Psychedelics FAQ, read before tripping! Sam Harris’s Episode 346 – The Best Kept Secret In History? We found the account of young hunter-gatherer boys living in a flow state, here Our analysis of The Truman Show as a retelling of the Genesis Fall From Grace myth Our aborted attempt at an analysiscast of Planecrash When Steven mentions Marcus speaking to his son Quintus he is reference Eneasz’s historic fantasy novel What Lies Dreaming 0:02:19 – Feedback 0:13:06 – Snake Cults! 1:36:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:39:01 – Less Wrong Posts 1:55:15 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles Variable Question Fallacies Next Sequence Posts: 37 Ways That Words Can Be Wrong Dissolving the QuestionRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/01/204-simulacra-levels-with-zvi-and-more/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Jan 2024 08:01:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1402 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/01/204-simulacra-levels-with-zvi-and-more/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/01/204-simulacra-levels-with-zvi-and-more/feed/ 1 We speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say words to other people.

OTHER LINKS
Zvi’s Simulacra Levels Summary
Less Wrong Simulacra Page
Zvi on the Clearer Thinking podcast re Simulacra
Zvi on OpenAI’s Battle of the Board
On Bounded Distrust
Zvi’s Substack
Zvi’s Twitter
You Get About Five Words
More Dakka

0:00:23 – Zvi’s many exploits with rationalism
0:26:13 – What happened at OpenAI?
0:41:49 – Simulacra Level 1
0:45:43 – Simulacra Level 2
1:02:38 – Simulacra Level 3
1:11:02 – Why these terms?
1:18:19 – 1-3 Recap
1:22:15 – Simulacra Level 4
1:42:56 – Less Wrong Posts
1:59:17 – Guild of the Rose Update
2:00:33 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Searching for Bayes-Structure

Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes

Next Sequence Posts:

Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles

Variable Question Fallacies

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:02:29 1402 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say words to other people. OTHER LINKS Zvi’s Simulacra Levels Summary Less Wrong Simulacra Page Zvi on the Clearer Thinking podcast re Simulacra Zvi on OpenAI’s Battle of the Board On Bounded Distrust Zvi’s Substack Zvi’s Twitter You Get About Five Words More Dakka 0:00:23 – Zvi’s many exploits with rationalism 0:26:13 – What happened at OpenAI? 0:41:49 – Simulacra Level 1 0:45:43 – Simulacra Level 2 1:02:38 – Simulacra Level 3 1:11:02 – Why these terms? 1:18:19 – 1-3 Recap 1:22:15 – Simulacra Level 4 1:42:56 – Less Wrong Posts 1:59:17 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:00:33 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Searching for Bayes-Structure Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes Next Sequence Posts: Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles Variable Question FallaciesWe speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say words to other people. OTHER LINKS Zvi’s Simulacra Levels Summary Less Wrong Simulacra Page Zvi on the Clearer Thinking podcast re Simulacra Zvi on OpenAI’s Battle of the Board On Bounded Distrust Zvi’s Substack Zvi’s Twitter You Get About Five Words More Dakka 0:00:23 – Zvi’s many exploits with rationalism 0:26:13 – What happened at OpenAI? 0:41:49 – Simulacra Level 1 0:45:43 – Simulacra Level 2 1:02:38 – Simulacra Level 3 1:11:02 – Why these terms? 1:18:19 – 1-3 Recap 1:22:15 – Simulacra Level 4 1:42:56 – Less Wrong Posts 1:59:17 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:00:33 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Searching for Bayes-Structure Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes Next Sequence Posts: Words as Mental Paintbrush Handles Variable Question FallaciesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/01/203-the-self-indulgent-episode/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Jan 2024 08:01:52 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1399 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/01/203-the-self-indulgent-episode/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2024/01/203-the-self-indulgent-episode/feed/ 0 Steven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance

OTHER LINKS
Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust
TBC 14 – Street Epistemology
There Are 4 Lights

0:00:23 – Relentless Self-Indulgence
2:03:38 – Less Wrong Posts
2:34:47 – Guild of the Rose Update
2:35:45 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition

Perpetual Motion Beliefs

Next Sequence Posts:

Searching for Bayes-Structure

Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:38:21 1399 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance OTHER LINKS Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust TBC 14 – Street Epistemology There Are 4 Lights 0:00:23 – Relentless Self-Indulgence 2:03:38 – Less Wrong Posts 2:34:47 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:35:45 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition Perpetual Motion Beliefs Next Sequence Posts: Searching for Bayes-Structure Conditional Independence, and Naive BayesSteven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance OTHER LINKS Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust TBC 14 – Street Epistemology There Are 4 Lights 0:00:23 – Relentless Self-Indulgence 2:03:38 – Less Wrong Posts 2:34:47 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:35:45 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: The Second Law of Thermodynamics, and Engines of Cognition Perpetual Motion Beliefs Next Sequence Posts: Searching for Bayes-Structure Conditional Independence, and Naive BayesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/202-the-center-for-ai-policy-talks-government-regulation/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 13 Dec 2023 08:01:50 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1395 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/202-the-center-for-ai-policy-talks-government-regulation/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/202-the-center-for-ai-policy-talks-government-regulation/feed/ 7 Can we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem.

The Center for AI Policy
Careers at CAIP
Donate

OTHER LINKS
–The Less Wrong Community Census/Survey–!
CAIP Policy Proposals
Humans Need Not Apply

0:00:23 – Discussion with CAIP
1:30:11 – Less Wrong Posts
1:51:19 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:53:16 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words

Leave a Line of Retreat

Next Sequence Posts:

Searching for Bayes-Structure

Conditional Independence, and Naive Bayes

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:55:17 1395 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comCan we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem. The Center for AI Policy Careers at CAIP Donate OTHER LINKS –The Less Wrong Community Census/Survey–! CAIP Policy Proposals Humans Need Not Apply 0:00:23 – Discussion with CAIP 1:30:11 – Less Wrong Posts 1:51:19 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:53:16 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words Leave a Line of Retreat Next Sequence Posts: Searching for Bayes-Structure Conditional Independence, and Naive BayesCan we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem. The Center for AI Policy Careers at CAIP Donate OTHER LINKS –The Less Wrong Community Census/Survey–! CAIP Policy Proposals Humans Need Not Apply 0:00:23 – Discussion with CAIP 1:30:11 – Less Wrong Posts 1:51:19 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:53:16 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words Leave a Line of Retreat Next Sequence Posts: Searching for Bayes-Structure Conditional Independence, and Naive BayesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 23 – Less Fingers = Less Blasting? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/bayes-blast-23-less-fingers-less-blasting/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 01 Dec 2023 13:22:04 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1392 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/bayes-blast-23-less-fingers-less-blasting/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/12/bayes-blast-23-less-fingers-less-blasting/feed/ 0 Are there other ways to disincentivize attempted murder?

Related Episodes:
196 and 198 and BB22

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 14:51 1392 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAre there other ways to disincentivize attempted murder? Related Episodes: 196 and 198 and BB22Are there other ways to disincentivize attempted murder? Related Episodes: 196 and 198 and BB22Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/bayes-blast-22-the-penal-system/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 30 Nov 2023 08:08:28 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1389 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/bayes-blast-22-the-penal-system/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/bayes-blast-22-the-penal-system/feed/ 0 You thought the title was a penis joke? For shame.

Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August.

Related Episodes:
196 and 198

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 14:52 1389 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comYou thought the title was a penis joke? For shame. Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August. Related Episodes: 196 and 198You thought the title was a penis joke? For shame. Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August. Related Episodes: 196 and 198Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/201-the-educated-mind-more-with-brandon-hendrickson-part-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Nov 2023 08:01:41 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1387 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/201-the-educated-mind-more-with-brandon-hendrickson-part-2/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/201-the-educated-mind-more-with-brandon-hendrickson-part-2/feed/ 0 We talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more.

The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify))
Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning
Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with the world

Paid Bonus content – Chat on Back Pain and Age

OTHER LINKS

Lost Tools – Your Solar System Is Wrong
Evil: Inside Human Violence and Cruelty
What Lies Dreaming
The Real Fanfic is the friends we made along the way

0:00:23 – The Educated Mind
2:20:00 – Less Wrong Posts
2:36:07 – Thank the Patron
2:37:40 – Guild of the Rose Update

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Entropy, and Short Codes

Mutual Information, and Density in Thingspace

Next Sequence Posts:

Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words

Leave a Line of Retreat

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:37:06 1387 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with the world Paid Bonus content – Chat on Back Pain and Age OTHER LINKS Lost Tools – Your Solar System Is Wrong Evil: Inside Human Violence and Cruelty What Lies Dreaming The Real Fanfic is the friends we made along the way 0:00:23 – The Educated Mind 2:20:00 – Less Wrong Posts 2:36:07 – Thank the Patron 2:37:40 – Guild of the Rose Update We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Entropy, and Short Codes Mutual Information, and Density in Thingspace Next Sequence Posts: Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words Leave a Line of RetreatWe talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with the world Paid Bonus content – Chat on Back Pain and Age OTHER LINKS Lost Tools – Your Solar System Is Wrong Evil: Inside Human Violence and Cruelty What Lies Dreaming The Real Fanfic is the friends we made along the way 0:00:23 – The Educated Mind 2:20:00 – Less Wrong Posts 2:36:07 – Thank the Patron 2:37:40 – Guild of the Rose Update We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Entropy, and Short Codes Mutual Information, and Density in Thingspace Next Sequence Posts: Superexponential Conceptspace, and Simple Words Leave a Line of RetreatRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/200-the-educated-mind-with-brandon-hendrickson/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Nov 2023 08:01:52 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1383 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/200-the-educated-mind-with-brandon-hendrickson/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/200-the-educated-mind-with-brandon-hendrickson/feed/ 1 We talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.”

The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify))
Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning
Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with the world

Paid Bonus content – Brandon Hendrickson on Writing a Contest Winning ACX Book Review; and Being Treated Like a Redacted Catagory (spoilers – the redacted category is women)

OTHER LINKS
Kurzgesagt – YouTube channel teaching science for humans
The SciFi Podcast
100 Words very short story by Eneasz Brodski
The Time I Failed To Join A Cult, autobiographical post by Eneasz

0:00:23 – The Educated Mind
2:03:40 – Less Wrong Posts
2:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update
2:21:31 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Arguing “By Definition”

Where to Draw the Boundary?

Next Sequence Posts:

Entropy, and Short Codes

Mutual Information, and Density in Thingspace

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:23:32 1383 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with the world Paid Bonus content – Brandon Hendrickson on Writing a Contest Winning ACX Book Review; and Being Treated Like a Redacted Catagory (spoilers – the redacted category is women) OTHER LINKS Kurzgesagt – YouTube channel teaching science for humans The SciFi Podcast 100 Words very short story by Eneasz Brodski The Time I Failed To Join A Cult, autobiographical post by Eneasz 0:00:23 – The Educated Mind 2:03:40 – Less Wrong Posts 2:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:21:31 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Arguing “By Definition” Where to Draw the Boundary? Next Sequence Posts: Entropy, and Short Codes Mutual Information, and Density in ThingspaceWe talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in love with the world Paid Bonus content – Brandon Hendrickson on Writing a Contest Winning ACX Book Review; and Being Treated Like a Redacted Catagory (spoilers – the redacted category is women) OTHER LINKS Kurzgesagt – YouTube channel teaching science for humans The SciFi Podcast 100 Words very short story by Eneasz Brodski The Time I Failed To Join A Cult, autobiographical post by Eneasz 0:00:23 – The Educated Mind 2:03:40 – Less Wrong Posts 2:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:21:31 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Arguing “By Definition” Where to Draw the Boundary? Next Sequence Posts: Entropy, and Short Codes Mutual Information, and Density in ThingspaceRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/199-polyamory-with-aella-and-yassine/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Nov 2023 08:17:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1374 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/199-polyamory-with-aella-and-yassine/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/11/199-polyamory-with-aella-and-yassine/feed/ 1 We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine.

NOTE –

LINKS
Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella
The Amory Spectrum by Aella
Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella
Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by Yassine
Cuckoldry as Status Jockeying by Yassine
Yassine – XTwitter, SubStack, Podcast
Aella – XTwitter, SubStack, KnowingLess

0:00:23 – Polyamory
1:15:48 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:17:35 – Less Wrong Posts
1:30:21 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Categorizing Has Consequences

Sneaking in Connotations

Next Sequence Posts:

Arguing “By Definition”

Where to Draw the Boundary?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:27 1374 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by Yassine Cuckoldry as Status Jockeying by Yassine Yassine – XTwitter, SubStack, Podcast Aella – XTwitter, SubStack, KnowingLess 0:00:23 – Polyamory 1:15:48 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:17:35 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:21 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Categorizing Has Consequences Sneaking in Connotations Next Sequence Posts: Arguing “By Definition” Where to Draw the Boundary?We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by Yassine Cuckoldry as Status Jockeying by Yassine Yassine – XTwitter, SubStack, Podcast Aella – XTwitter, SubStack, KnowingLess 0:00:23 – Polyamory 1:15:48 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:17:35 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:21 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Categorizing Has Consequences Sneaking in Connotations Next Sequence Posts: Arguing “By Definition” Where to Draw the Boundary?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/10/198-tuskegee-age-race-bias/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 19 Oct 2023 17:25:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1369 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/10/198-tuskegee-age-race-bias/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/10/198-tuskegee-age-race-bias/feed/ 2 Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience

LINKS
We Tuskegeed My Dad
Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis
SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug
196 – Steven Goes To Court
Erik Hoel on the Threat to Humanity from AI

0:00:23 – Tuskegee failed Blast
0:35:56 – Jury Extended Discussion
1:19:27 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:20:50 – Feedback
1:24:41 – Less Wrong Posts
1:46:01 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Replace the Symbol with the Substance

Fallacies of Compression

Next Sequence Posts:

Categorizing Has Consequences

Sneaking in Connotations

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:47:11 1369 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comTwo smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug 196 – Steven Goes To Court Erik Hoel on the Threat to Humanity from AI 0:00:23 – Tuskegee failed Blast 0:35:56 – Jury Extended Discussion 1:19:27 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:20:50 – Feedback 1:24:41 – Less Wrong Posts 1:46:01 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Replace the Symbol with the Substance Fallacies of Compression Next Sequence Posts: Categorizing Has Consequences Sneaking in ConnotationsTwo smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug 196 – Steven Goes To Court Erik Hoel on the Threat to Humanity from AI 0:00:23 – Tuskegee failed Blast 0:35:56 – Jury Extended Discussion 1:19:27 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:20:50 – Feedback 1:24:41 – Less Wrong Posts 1:46:01 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Replace the Symbol with the Substance Fallacies of Compression Next Sequence Posts: Categorizing Has Consequences Sneaking in ConnotationsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/10/197-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-to-go-to-burning-man/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Oct 2023 08:07:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1363 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/10/197-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-to-go-to-burning-man/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/10/197-what-to-expect-when-youre-expecting-to-go-to-burning-man/feed/ 0 We talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year

LINKS

You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man
Burning Man Survival Guide
The Time I Failed To Join A Cult – look at the fun you could be having at Burning Man
You can’t reach the brain through the ears
MythMakers are dicks and stole a sword from it’s rightful wielder!!! THEY HAVE NO HONOR!! RAID THEIR BASES! BLAST THEIR DUDES! Facebook Instagram Instagram of their Bullshit Quest(!!) Website

The Real Fanfic Is The Friends We Made Along The Way – Latest Story from Eneasz

0:00:23 – Chat with Charlie
1:14:57 – Chat with Alex
1:47:12 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:49:42 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Sorry, no time

Next Sequence Posts:

Replace the Symbol with the Substance

Fallacies of Compression

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:52:00 1363 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival Guide The Time I Failed To Join A Cult – look at the fun you could be having at Burning Man You can’t reach the brain through the ears MythMakers are dicks and stole a sword from it’s rightful wielder!!! THEY HAVE NO HONOR!! RAID THEIR BASES! BLAST THEIR DUDES! Facebook Instagram Instagram of their Bullshit Quest(!!) Website The Real Fanfic Is The Friends We Made Along The Way – Latest Story from Eneasz 0:00:23 – Chat with Charlie 1:14:57 – Chat with Alex 1:47:12 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:49:42 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Sorry, no time Next Sequence Posts: Replace the Symbol with the Substance Fallacies of CompressionWe talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival Guide The Time I Failed To Join A Cult – look at the fun you could be having at Burning Man You can’t reach the brain through the ears MythMakers are dicks and stole a sword from it’s rightful wielder!!! THEY HAVE NO HONOR!! RAID THEIR BASES! BLAST THEIR DUDES! Facebook Instagram Instagram of their Bullshit Quest(!!) Website The Real Fanfic Is The Friends We Made Along The Way – Latest Story from Eneasz 0:00:23 – Chat with Charlie 1:14:57 – Chat with Alex 1:47:12 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:49:42 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Sorry, no time Next Sequence Posts: Replace the Symbol with the Substance Fallacies of CompressionRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/bayes-blast-21-dudes-catching-son-of-sam-and-dread-pirate-roberts/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 23 Sep 2023 09:23:44 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1359 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/bayes-blast-21-dudes-catching-son-of-sam-and-dread-pirate-roberts/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/bayes-blast-21-dudes-catching-son-of-sam-and-dread-pirate-roberts/feed/ 0 How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 7:52 1359 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comHow non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 196 – Steven Goes To Court https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/196-mr-zuber-goes-to-court/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Sep 2023 08:01:44 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1357 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/196-mr-zuber-goes-to-court/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/196-mr-zuber-goes-to-court/feed/ 2 Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying.

0:00:23 – All Rise
1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts
2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update
2:09:28 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Empty Labels

Taboo Your Words

Next Sequence Posts:

Replace the Symbol with the Substance

Fallacies of Compression

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:11:11 1357 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Empty Labels Taboo Your Words Next Sequence Posts: Replace the Symbol with the Substance Fallacies of CompressionSteven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Empty Labels Taboo Your Words Next Sequence Posts: Replace the Symbol with the Substance Fallacies of CompressionRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/195-katago-vs-alphago-fight/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Sep 2023 08:08:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1354 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/195-katago-vs-alphago-fight/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/09/195-katago-vs-alphago-fight/feed/ 0 Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power!

The trick to it ties into an older LessWrong post – The Strangest Thing an AI Could Tell You.

0:00:50 – LK99
0:10:08 – KataGo
1:33:20 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:37:27 – Less Wrong Posts
1:51:54 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Feel the Meaning

The Argument from Common Usage

Next Sequence Posts:

Empty Labels

Taboo Your Words

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:53:45 1354 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to it ties into an older LessWrong post – The Strangest Thing an AI Could Tell You. 0:00:50 – LK99 0:10:08 – KataGo 1:33:20 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:37:27 – Less Wrong Posts 1:51:54 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Feel the Meaning The Argument from Common Usage Next Sequence Posts: Empty Labels Taboo Your WordsMatt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to it ties into an older LessWrong post – The Strangest Thing an AI Could Tell You. 0:00:50 – LK99 0:10:08 – KataGo 1:33:20 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:37:27 – Less Wrong Posts 1:51:54 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Feel the Meaning The Argument from Common Usage Next Sequence Posts: Empty Labels Taboo Your WordsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/194-kinky-data-science-with-aella/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Aug 2023 08:01:08 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1347 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/194-kinky-data-science-with-aella/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/194-kinky-data-science-with-aella/feed/ 0 We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey

LINKS

Aella’s Substack
Aella’s Twitter
You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc
Women Prefer More Violent Porn
Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too hot
Want to maybe marry Aella? Here’s her Date-Me Doc, and info
more links:
We speak with Adam Mastroianni on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review
My kink survey design methodology
Who Took My Big Kink Survey? Updated
Age of fetish onset, by sex, gender, orientation, and dom/sub
How taking hormones impacts sexual preferences
Escorts are the ER Doctors of Relationships
Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks
Eneasz on Nerds Bloom Late (Socially)

0:00:23 – Survey Data Literacy
0:29:58 – Women Prefer More Violent Porn
0:53:48 – Monogamous men aren’t doin too hot
1:17:11 – Feedback
1:23:53 – Less Wrong Posts
1:37:16 – Thank the Patron
1:38:08 – Guild of the Rose Update

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

How An Algorithm Feels From Inside

Disputing Definitions

Next Sequence Posts:

Feel the Meaning

The Argument from Common Usage

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:59 1347 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too hot Want to maybe marry Aella? Here’s her Date-Me Doc, and info more links: We speak with Adam Mastroianni on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review My kink survey design methodology Who Took My Big Kink Survey? Updated Age of fetish onset, by sex, gender, orientation, and dom/sub How taking hormones impacts sexual preferences Escorts are the ER Doctors of Relationships Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks Eneasz on Nerds Bloom Late (Socially) 0:00:23 – Survey Data Literacy 0:29:58 – Women Prefer More Violent Porn 0:53:48 – Monogamous men aren’t doin too hot 1:17:11 – Feedback 1:23:53 – Less Wrong Posts 1:37:16 – Thank the Patron 1:38:08 – Guild of the Rose Update We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside Disputing Definitions Next Sequence Posts: Feel the Meaning The Argument from Common UsageWe talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too hot Want to maybe marry Aella? Here’s her Date-Me Doc, and info more links: We speak with Adam Mastroianni on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review My kink survey design methodology Who Took My Big Kink Survey? Updated Age of fetish onset, by sex, gender, orientation, and dom/sub How taking hormones impacts sexual preferences Escorts are the ER Doctors of Relationships Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks Eneasz on Nerds Bloom Late (Socially) 0:00:23 – Survey Data Literacy 0:29:58 – Women Prefer More Violent Porn 0:53:48 – Monogamous men aren’t doin too hot 1:17:11 – Feedback 1:23:53 – Less Wrong Posts 1:37:16 – Thank the Patron 1:38:08 – Guild of the Rose Update We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside Disputing Definitions Next Sequence Posts: Feel the Meaning The Argument from Common UsageRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/bayes-blast-20-blue-pill-red-pill-in-rokos-blender/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 15 Aug 2023 19:23:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1350 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/bayes-blast-20-blue-pill-red-pill-in-rokos-blender/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/bayes-blast-20-blue-pill-red-pill-in-rokos-blender/feed/ 1 Kill yourself for no reason, or save others?

Lisatomic’s Poll
Roko’s Poll
Eneasz’s annoyance
Scissor’s Statements origin

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 18:22 1350 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comKill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements originKill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements originRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/bayes-blast-19-musicgen-and-audiogen/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 10 Aug 2023 18:47:42 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1345 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/bayes-blast-19-musicgen-and-audiogen/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/bayes-blast-19-musicgen-and-audiogen/feed/ 0 Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out.

Musicgen

Audiogen

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 8:58 1345 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMusicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. Musicgen AudiogenMusicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. Musicgen AudiogenRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/193-building-baileys-with-yassine-meskhout/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 09 Aug 2023 08:01:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1340 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/193-building-baileys-with-yassine-meskhout/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/08/193-building-baileys-with-yassine-meskhout/feed/ 0 We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually.

LINKS

Yassine’s Substack
The Motte
The Bailey podcast
Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck
Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories
SSC post popularizing & explaining the Motte And Bailey Doctrine
Alex Jones as Epic Poetry
Yassine’s posts on Paul Ehrlich’s Gymnastics and Meghan Murphy’s Speedrun Guide to Logical Fallacies
There Are No Amendments in Islam
Eleven Magic Words
Morality is Accidental & Self-Congratulatory
Consider The Hand Axe
Slavery in Video Games
The post about that video game with slavery

0:00:23 – Hard open
0:01:05 – Yassine is (officially) white
0:19:48 – Official open + The Bailey podcast
0:26:36 – MCU-level mental gymnastics
0:55:55 – Yassine on Eleven Magic Words and being a Public Defender
1:20:41 – There Are No Amendments in Islam
1:37:48 – Any anti-tech movement is necessarily a pro-slavery movement
1:51:50 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:53:10 – Feedback
1:56:42 – Less Wrong Posts
2:17:58 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Disguised Queries

Neural Categories

Next Sequence Posts:

How An Algorithm Feels From Inside

Disputing Definitions

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:17:30 1340 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories SSC post popularizing & explaining the Motte And Bailey Doctrine Alex Jones as Epic Poetry Yassine’s posts on Paul Ehrlich’s Gymnastics and Meghan Murphy’s Speedrun Guide to Logical Fallacies There Are No Amendments in Islam Eleven Magic Words Morality is Accidental & Self-Congratulatory Consider The Hand Axe Slavery in Video Games The post about that video game with slavery 0:00:23 – Hard open 0:01:05 – Yassine is (officially) white 0:19:48 – Official open + The Bailey podcast 0:26:36 – MCU-level mental gymnastics 0:55:55 – Yassine on Eleven Magic Words and being a Public Defender 1:20:41 – There Are No Amendments in Islam 1:37:48 – Any anti-tech movement is necessarily a pro-slavery movement 1:51:50 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:53:10 – Feedback 1:56:42 – Less Wrong Posts 2:17:58 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Disguised Queries Neural Categories Next Sequence Posts: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside Disputing Definitions  We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories SSC post popularizing & explaining the Motte And Bailey Doctrine Alex Jones as Epic Poetry Yassine’s posts on Paul Ehrlich’s Gymnastics and Meghan Murphy’s Speedrun Guide to Logical Fallacies There Are No Amendments in Islam Eleven Magic Words Morality is Accidental & Self-Congratulatory Consider The Hand Axe Slavery in Video Games The post about that video game with slavery 0:00:23 – Hard open 0:01:05 – Yassine is (officially) white 0:19:48 – Official open + The Bailey podcast 0:26:36 – MCU-level mental gymnastics 0:55:55 – Yassine on Eleven Magic Words and being a Public Defender 1:20:41 – There Are No Amendments in Islam 1:37:48 – Any anti-tech movement is necessarily a pro-slavery movement 1:51:50 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:53:10 – Feedback 1:56:42 – Less Wrong Posts 2:17:58 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Disguised Queries Neural Categories Next Sequence Posts: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside Disputing Definitions  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/192-absurdism-and-the-meaning-of-life-with-alex/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Jul 2023 08:01:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1337 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/192-absurdism-and-the-meaning-of-life-with-alex/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/192-absurdism-and-the-meaning-of-life-with-alex/feed/ 1 Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills.

LINKS

Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions
The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus
The Guild of the Rose

0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback
0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life
1:21:25 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:28:32 – Thank the Patron
1:33:57 – Less Wrong Posts

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity

The Cluster Structure of Thingspace

Next Sequence Posts:

Disguised Queries

Neural Categories

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:53:41 1337 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAlex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life 1:21:25 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:28:32 – Thank the Patron 1:33:57 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity The Cluster Structure of Thingspace Next Sequence Posts: Disguised Queries Neural CategoriesAlex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life 1:21:25 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:28:32 – Thank the Patron 1:33:57 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity The Cluster Structure of Thingspace Next Sequence Posts: Disguised Queries Neural CategoriesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/bayes-blast-17-gay-pride-is-white-liberal-pride/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 14 Jul 2023 17:59:05 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1333 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/bayes-blast-17-gay-pride-is-white-liberal-pride/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/bayes-blast-17-gay-pride-is-white-liberal-pride/feed/ 0 Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 13:35 1333 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMe and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/191-what-is-post-rationalism-with-arielle/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Jul 2023 08:10:34 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1331 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/191-what-is-post-rationalism-with-arielle/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/191-what-is-post-rationalism-with-arielle/feed/ 0 Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us.

LINKS
Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures
Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism?
The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp
Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming

0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat?
1:03:13 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:05:01 – Less Wrong Posts
1:16:33 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace

Similarity Clusters

Next Sequence Posts:

Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity

The Cluster Structure of Thingspace

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:18:09 1331 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSeriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat? 1:03:13 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:05:01 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:33 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace Similarity Clusters Next Sequence Posts: Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity The Cluster Structure of ThingspaceSeriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat? 1:03:13 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:05:01 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:33 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace Similarity Clusters Next Sequence Posts: Typicality and Asymmetrical Similarity The Cluster Structure of ThingspaceRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/bayes-blast-16-holding-prns-present-rate-no-singularity/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 03 Jul 2023 17:10:53 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1327 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/bayes-blast-16-holding-prns-present-rate-no-singularity/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/07/bayes-blast-16-holding-prns-present-rate-no-singularity/feed/ 1 How to talk about the future

From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 7:06 1327 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comHow to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of ThingsHow to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of ThingsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/15-technological-overemployment/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 30 Jun 2023 08:01:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1324 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/15-technological-overemployment/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/15-technological-overemployment/feed/ 0 Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last
Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 8:45 1324 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPTMo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPTRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/190-how-to-be-human-together-at-vibecamp-with-gptbrooke/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 Jun 2023 08:01:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1317 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/190-how-to-be-human-together-at-vibecamp-with-gptbrooke/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/190-how-to-be-human-together-at-vibecamp-with-gptbrooke/feed/ 0 We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter.

LINKS
Brooke on Twitter
Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed
Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp
What are vibes? Meme to Vibe: A Philosophical Report by Peter Limberg
The Neighborhood SF project
Rational Magic, an article about postrationalists by The New Atlantis
DashCon

0:00:01 – VibeCamp!!
1:00:51 – Listener Feedback
1:05:51 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:06:51 – Less Wrong Posts
1:30:03 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Words as Hidden Inferences

Extensions and Intensions

Next Sequence Posts:

Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace

Similarity Clusters

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:21 1317 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What are vibes? Meme to Vibe: A Philosophical Report by Peter Limberg The Neighborhood SF project Rational Magic, an article about postrationalists by The New Atlantis DashCon 0:00:01 – VibeCamp!! 1:00:51 – Listener Feedback 1:05:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:06:51 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:03 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Words as Hidden Inferences Extensions and Intensions Next Sequence Posts: Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace Similarity ClustersWe talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What are vibes? Meme to Vibe: A Philosophical Report by Peter Limberg The Neighborhood SF project Rational Magic, an article about postrationalists by The New Atlantis DashCon 0:00:01 – VibeCamp!! 1:00:51 – Listener Feedback 1:05:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:06:51 – Less Wrong Posts 1:30:03 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Words as Hidden Inferences Extensions and Intensions Next Sequence Posts: Buy Now Or Forever Hold Your Peace Similarity ClustersRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/bayes-blast-14-reddit-sucks/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 27 Jun 2023 19:49:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1322 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/bayes-blast-14-reddit-sucks/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/bayes-blast-14-reddit-sucks/feed/ 0 Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time.

Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject

Followup post for some debunking and elaboration

Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are in those two links.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 10:29 1322 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are in those two links.Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are in those two links.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/189-ai-bloomer-david-youssef/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Jun 2023 08:50:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1312 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/189-ai-bloomer-david-youssef/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/06/189-ai-bloomer-david-youssef/feed/ 0

Actual photo of David’s Baklava

David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around.

Links:
ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip
Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance
GPT 4 is Smarter than You Think: Introducing SmartGPT

0:00:23 – Part One: Maximizing ChatGPT(4) usefulness
0:36:15 – Part Two: No Really, We Might Live!
1:14:04 – Thank the Patron
1:15:24 – Less Wrong Posts

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality

The Parable of the Dagger

The Parable of Hemlock

Next Sequence Posts:

Words as Hidden Inferences

Extensions and Intensions

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:41:31 1312 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comActual photo of David’s Baklava David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance GPT 4 is Smarter than You Think: Introducing SmartGPT 0:00:23 – Part One: Maximizing ChatGPT(4) usefulness 0:36:15 – Part Two: No Really, We Might Live! 1:14:04 – Thank the Patron 1:15:24 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of Hemlock Next Sequence Posts: Words as Hidden Inferences Extensions and IntensionsActual photo of David’s Baklava David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance GPT 4 is Smarter than You Think: Introducing SmartGPT 0:00:23 – Part One: Maximizing ChatGPT(4) usefulness 0:36:15 – Part Two: No Really, We Might Live! 1:14:04 – Thank the Patron 1:15:24 – Less Wrong Posts We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of Hemlock Next Sequence Posts: Words as Hidden Inferences Extensions and IntensionsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/187-living-in-the-early-singularity/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 31 May 2023 08:01:01 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1308 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/187-living-in-the-early-singularity/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/187-living-in-the-early-singularity/feed/ 0 Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman”

Links:
Put stuff in orbit on a budget
Three Worlds Collide
Singularity Song, by The Lisps

0:05:37 –  Guild of the Rose Update
0:09:03 – Part One: OMG Guys This Stuff is Awesome!!
0:53:07 – Part Two: Eneasz’s Sexy French Depression

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

none

Next Sequence Posts:

Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality

The Parable of the Dagger

The Parable of Hemlock

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:32 1308 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a budget Three Worlds Collide Singularity Song, by The Lisps 0:05:37 –  Guild of the Rose Update 0:09:03 – Part One: OMG Guys This Stuff is Awesome!! 0:53:07 – Part Two: Eneasz’s Sexy French Depression We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of HemlockMatt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a budget Three Worlds Collide Singularity Song, by The Lisps 0:05:37 –  Guild of the Rose Update 0:09:03 – Part One: OMG Guys This Stuff is Awesome!! 0:53:07 – Part Two: Eneasz’s Sexy French Depression We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Sequence Posts: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of HemlockRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/187-github-review-bounties-to-save-science-with-richard-acton/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 May 2023 08:23:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1299 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/187-github-review-bounties-to-save-science-with-richard-acton/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/187-github-review-bounties-to-save-science-with-richard-acton/feed/ 0 Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties

Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom
Contact him at richardjacton@pan-narrans.xyz

Other Links:
Richard on Showing Our Work and Multi-Panel Figures
Richard’s podcast XenoThesis, and the Aging & Immortality Episode in specific
Richard + David from Guild of the Rose’s podcast The Oasis of Rest
Scott Alexander’s ACX Grants and update on results
Richard Acton’s previous appearance on our show – All About Aging
Richard Acton’s book Data: Inception to Publication & Beyond
Our reaction to FTX episode
John Q

0:00:00 – Richard Acton & The Issues
0:50:54 – The Scheme to Fix It (Review Bounties+)
1:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:21:04 – Less Wrong Posts
1:47:18 – Thank the Patron 

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Trust in Bayes

Something to Protect

Next Sequence Posts:

Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality

The Parable of the Dagger

The Parable of Hemlock

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:48:20 1299 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRichard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him at richardjacton@pan-narrans.xyz Other Links: Richard on Showing Our Work and Multi-Panel Figures Richard’s podcast XenoThesis, and the Aging & Immortality Episode in specific Richard + David from Guild of the Rose’s podcast The Oasis of Rest Scott Alexander’s ACX Grants and update on results Richard Acton’s previous appearance on our show – All About Aging Richard Acton’s book Data: Inception to Publication & Beyond Our reaction to FTX episode John Q 0:00:00 – Richard Acton & The Issues 0:50:54 – The Scheme to Fix It (Review Bounties+) 1:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:21:04 – Less Wrong Posts 1:47:18 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Trust in Bayes Something to Protect Next Sequence Posts: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of HemlockRichard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him at richardjacton@pan-narrans.xyz Other Links: Richard on Showing Our Work and Multi-Panel Figures Richard’s podcast XenoThesis, and the Aging & Immortality Episode in specific Richard + David from Guild of the Rose’s podcast The Oasis of Rest Scott Alexander’s ACX Grants and update on results Richard Acton’s previous appearance on our show – All About Aging Richard Acton’s book Data: Inception to Publication & Beyond Our reaction to FTX episode John Q 0:00:00 – Richard Acton & The Issues 0:50:54 – The Scheme to Fix It (Review Bounties+) 1:20:04 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:21:04 – Less Wrong Posts 1:47:18 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Trust in Bayes Something to Protect Next Sequence Posts: Newcomb’s Problem and Regret of Rationality The Parable of the Dagger The Parable of HemlockRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/bayes-blast-13-gpt-4-maps-every-neuron-in-gpt-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 16 May 2023 01:44:10 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1301 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/bayes-blast-13-gpt-4-maps-every-neuron-in-gpt-2/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/bayes-blast-13-gpt-4-maps-every-neuron-in-gpt-2/feed/ 0 Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!)

OpenAI’s explanation
Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 10:49 1301 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comBlast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidenceBlast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidenceRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/186-why-we-arent-technically-eas-but-totally-would-be-unlike-this-guy/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 May 2023 16:41:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1295 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/186-why-we-arent-technically-eas-but-totally-would-be-unlike-this-guy/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/05/186-why-we-arent-technically-eas-but-totally-would-be-unlike-this-guy/feed/ 0
We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist 

Other Links:

EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay

EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism?

SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something

Ken Ham’s Ark

EconTalk Podcast with Russ Roberts and Eric Hoel

Thing of Things substack

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Circular Altruism

The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism”

Next Sequence Posts:

Trust in Bayes

Something to Protect

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:30:50 1295 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist  Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken Ham’s Ark EconTalk Podcast with Russ Roberts and Eric Hoel Thing of Things substack We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Circular Altruism The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism” Next Sequence Posts: Trust in Bayes Something to ProtectWe discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist  Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken Ham’s Ark EconTalk Podcast with Russ Roberts and Eric Hoel Thing of Things substack We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Circular Altruism The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism” Next Sequence Posts: Trust in Bayes Something to ProtectRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-12-ai-white-pills/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 25 Apr 2023 23:22:00 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1293 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-12-ai-white-pills/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-12-ai-white-pills/feed/ 0 One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉

Roko’s White Pill
AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 4:19 1293 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comOne of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott AaronsonOne of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott AaronsonRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/185-the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 Apr 2023 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1289 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/185-the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/185-the-rise-and-fall-of-peer-review/feed/ 2 We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History

We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward and I will fight them

Other Links:
Is Ice Cream… healthy? (origin)
What Lies Dreaming

0:00:01 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review with Adam Mastroianni
0:59:03 – Guild of the Rose Update
1:01:15 – Listener Feedback
1:03:21 – Less Wrong Posts
1:21:34 – Thank the Patron 

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Allais Malaise

Against Discount Rates

Next Sequence Posts:

Circular Altruism

The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism”

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:23:16 1289 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward and I will fight them Other Links: Is Ice Cream… healthy? (origin) What Lies Dreaming 0:00:01 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review with Adam Mastroianni 0:59:03 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:01:15 – Listener Feedback 1:03:21 – Less Wrong Posts 1:21:34 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Allais Malaise Against Discount Rates Next Sequence Posts: Circular Altruism The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism”We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward and I will fight them Other Links: Is Ice Cream… healthy? (origin) What Lies Dreaming 0:00:01 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review with Adam Mastroianni 0:59:03 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:01:15 – Listener Feedback 1:03:21 – Less Wrong Posts 1:21:34 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Allais Malaise Against Discount Rates Next Sequence Posts: Circular Altruism The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism”Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-11-exposure-to-lizardman-is-lethal/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 15 Apr 2023 13:30:07 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1286 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-11-exposure-to-lizardman-is-lethal/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-11-exposure-to-lizardman-is-lethal/feed/ 0 With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 10:10 1286 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWith Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal  With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-10-shoggoth-tongues/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 10 Apr 2023 08:13:44 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1283 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-10-shoggoth-tongues/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-10-shoggoth-tongues/feed/ 0 Speaking in GPT tongues with Matt

MUDsim
Respectful Criticism
Lambda Calc?
gfodor’s take
Eliezer take + followup

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 11:55 1283 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSpeaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followupSpeaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followupRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-9-the-salt-in-pasta-water-fallacy/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 07 Apr 2023 13:26:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1281 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-9-the-salt-in-pasta-water-fallacy/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-9-the-salt-in-pasta-water-fallacy/feed/ 0 The salt in pasta water fallacy

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 5:09 1281 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe salt in pasta water fallacyThe salt in pasta water fallacyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 184 – The Cultic Milieu https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/184-the-cultic-milieu/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Apr 2023 08:01:56 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1279 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/184-the-cultic-milieu/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/184-the-cultic-milieu/feed/ 0 We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan

Other Links:
Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House

0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats!
0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update
0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu
0:43:48 – Less Wrong Posts
1:16:01 – Thank the Patron 

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Allais Paradox

Zut Allais!

Next Sequence Posts:

Allais Malaise

Against Discount Rates

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:17:52 1279 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:01 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais! Next Sequence Posts: Allais Malaise Against Discount RatesWe discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:01 – Thank the Patron  We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais! Next Sequence Posts: Allais Malaise Against Discount RatesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-8-an-ai-risk-argument-that-resonates-with-nytimes-readers/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 02 Apr 2023 18:18:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1276 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-8-an-ai-risk-argument-that-resonates-with-nytimes-readers/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/04/bayes-blast-8-an-ai-risk-argument-that-resonates-with-nytimes-readers/feed/ 0 An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 5:47 1276 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAn AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readersAn AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readersRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 7 – Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-7-chatbot-convinces-belgian-to-commit-suicide/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Mar 2023 09:13:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1274 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-7-chatbot-convinces-belgian-to-commit-suicide/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-7-chatbot-convinces-belgian-to-commit-suicide/feed/ 0 Probot joins to discuss Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide

De Standaard

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 6:53 1274 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comProbot joins to discuss Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide De StandaardProbot joins to discuss Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide De StandaardRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 6 – The Parable of the King and the Random Process https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-6-the-parable-of-the-king-and-the-random-process/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 28 Mar 2023 08:01:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1272 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-6-the-parable-of-the-king-and-the-random-process/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-6-the-parable-of-the-king-and-the-random-process/feed/ 0 Matt comes on to blast Eneasz with his LW post The Parable of the King and the Random Process

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 12:14 1272 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt comes on to blast Eneasz with his LW post The Parable of the King and the Random Process  Matt comes on to blast Eneasz with his LW post The Parable of the King and the Random Process  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 183 – Let’s Think About Slowing Down AI https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/183-lets-think-about-slowing-down-ai/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Mar 2023 08:15:42 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1267 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/183-lets-think-about-slowing-down-ai/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/183-lets-think-about-slowing-down-ai/feed/ 0 Matt and Eneasz discuss Katja Grace’s Let’s think about slowing down AI

Other Links
Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance
The Bayesian Conspiracy 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI)

0:00:45 – Guild of the Rose Update
0:01:44 – Let’s think about slowing down AI
0:37:12 – Is this all just cope?

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

we swear we’ll get back to doing these soon

Next Sequence Posts:

The Allais Paradox

Zut Allais!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 51:12 1267 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt and Eneasz discuss Katja Grace’s Let’s think about slowing down AI Other Links Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance The Bayesian Conspiracy 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI) 0:00:45 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:01:44 – Let’s think about slowing down AI 0:37:12 – Is this all just cope? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: we swear we’ll get back to doing these soon Next Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!Matt and Eneasz discuss Katja Grace’s Let’s think about slowing down AI Other Links Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance The Bayesian Conspiracy 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI) 0:00:45 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:01:44 – Let’s think about slowing down AI 0:37:12 – Is this all just cope? We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: we swear we’ll get back to doing these soon Next Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 5 – Importance Hacking https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-5-importance-hacking/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 19 Mar 2023 18:12:34 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1263 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-5-importance-hacking/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-5-importance-hacking/feed/ 0 Steven blasts Eneasz with Spencer Greenberg’s description of a huge problem in science publication.

Links

The short post Steven took his notes from
A Clearer Thinking podcast episode where they discuss this
Spencer as a guest on Two Psychologists, Four Beers

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 12:22 1263 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven blasts Eneasz with Spencer Greenberg’s description of a huge problem in science publication. Links The short post Steven took his notes from A Clearer Thinking podcast episode where they discuss this Spencer as a guest on Two Psychologists, Four BeersSteven blasts Eneasz with Spencer Greenberg’s description of a huge problem in science publication. Links The short post Steven took his notes from A Clearer Thinking podcast episode where they discuss this Spencer as a guest on Two Psychologists, Four BeersRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 4 – The Waluigi Effect https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-4-the-waluigi-effect/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 17 Mar 2023 20:30:21 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1265 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-4-the-waluigi-effect/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-4-the-waluigi-effect/feed/ 0 The Waluigi Effect

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 12:36 1265 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Waluigi Effect  The Waluigi Effect  Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 3 – Dynamics Can Arise If You Nudge https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-3-dynamics-can-arise-if-you-nudge/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 14 Mar 2023 12:09:16 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1260 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-3-dynamics-can-arise-if-you-nudge/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-3-dynamics-can-arise-if-you-nudge/feed/ 0 Duncan Sabien on dynamics [can] arise if you have people nudging in that direction

(also thanks to Liam from 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast for intro)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 9:03 1260 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDuncan Sabien on dynamics [can] arise if you have people nudging in that direction (also thanks to Liam from 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast for intro)Duncan Sabien on dynamics [can] arise if you have people nudging in that direction (also thanks to Liam from 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast for intro)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 2 – Logan’s Model of EA Burnout https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-2-logans-model-of-ea-burnout/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 13 Mar 2023 02:19:31 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1256 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-2-logans-model-of-ea-burnout/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/03/bayes-blast-2-logans-model-of-ea-burnout/feed/ 0 My Model Of EA Burnout

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 9:46 1256 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMy Model Of EA BurnoutMy Model Of EA BurnoutRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/182-the-birth-and-death-of-sydney-bing-ai/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 27 Feb 2023 21:50:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1249 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/182-the-birth-and-death-of-sydney-bing-ai/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/182-the-birth-and-death-of-sydney-bing-ai/feed/ 0 We discuss Microsoft’s new Bing search chatbot – Sydney. It received a wave of media coverage due to erratic behavior, before being neutered by Microsoft. A dive into its behavior, human responses, and implications.

Links

The Birth and Death of Sydney
“Sydney Is Now Immortal”
Zvi’s Round-up
Gwern’s comment on Bing/Sydney
Astral Codex Ten post on Janus Simulators
Bankless crypto podcast – We’re All Gonna Die with Eliezer Yudkowsky
Eneasz’s Change.org Petition
Sydney-based erotica

Other Links
The Parable of the Dagger and The Parable of the Dagger. One of these is Eneasz, the other one is a voice-matching AI.
The Uncanny Vulva
Follow Moridinamael on Twitter

email the show: bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com

Which AI do you prefer:

or

(Spoiler: they’re the same picture)

0:00:53 – Steven’s Media Corner
0:01:48 – Chat with Eneasz IRL
0:02:31 – Sydney/Bing AI
01:31:09 – Guild of the Rose Update
01:33:58 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

still not

Next Sequence Posts:

The Allais Paradox

Zut Allais!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:36:12 1249 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Microsoft’s new Bing search chatbot – Sydney. It received a wave of media coverage due to erratic behavior, before being neutered by Microsoft. A dive into its behavior, human responses, and implications. Links The Birth and Death of Sydney “Sydney Is Now Immortal” Zvi’s Round-up Gwern’s comment on Bing/Sydney Astral Codex Ten post on Janus Simulators Bankless crypto podcast – We’re All Gonna Die with Eliezer Yudkowsky Eneasz’s Change.org Petition Sydney-based erotica Other Links The Parable of the Dagger and The Parable of the Dagger. One of these is Eneasz, the other one is a voice-matching AI. The Uncanny Vulva Follow Moridinamael on Twitter email the show: bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com Which AI do you prefer: or (Spoiler: they’re the same picture) 0:00:53 – Steven’s Media Corner 0:01:48 – Chat with Eneasz IRL 0:02:31 – Sydney/Bing AI 01:31:09 – Guild of the Rose Update 01:33:58 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: still not Next Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!We discuss Microsoft’s new Bing search chatbot – Sydney. It received a wave of media coverage due to erratic behavior, before being neutered by Microsoft. A dive into its behavior, human responses, and implications. Links The Birth and Death of Sydney “Sydney Is Now Immortal” Zvi’s Round-up Gwern’s comment on Bing/Sydney Astral Codex Ten post on Janus Simulators Bankless crypto podcast – We’re All Gonna Die with Eliezer Yudkowsky Eneasz’s Change.org Petition Sydney-based erotica Other Links The Parable of the Dagger and The Parable of the Dagger. One of these is Eneasz, the other one is a voice-matching AI. The Uncanny Vulva Follow Moridinamael on Twitter email the show: bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com Which AI do you prefer: or (Spoiler: they’re the same picture) 0:00:53 – Steven’s Media Corner 0:01:48 – Chat with Eneasz IRL 0:02:31 – Sydney/Bing AI 01:31:09 – Guild of the Rose Update 01:33:58 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: still not Next Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 181 – How To Read The News With Bounded Distrust, with Wesley Fenza https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/181-how-to-read-the-news-with-bounded-distrust/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Feb 2023 08:01:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1245 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/181-how-to-read-the-news-with-bounded-distrust/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/181-how-to-read-the-news-with-bounded-distrust/feed/ 0 We discuss Zvi’s How to Bounded Distrust with Wesley Fenza.

Wes is from The Mind Killer!

Other links:
Bounded Distrust
On Bounded Distrust
The Media Very Rarely Lies + followup + 2nd followup
People Will Sometimes Just Lie About You
Matt Yglesia on Why You Can’t Trust The Media
Discovery in lawsuit case shows FOX News hosts didn’t believe their own narrative
NYT leadership decided tech will be covered negatively
Conflict Theory of Bounded Distrust
Eneasz did the dumb homework:
MIT article on how the vaccine was delayed by a week to just after the election
Nate Silver said it deserves looking into
Zvi says of Topol “there was the time he was instrumental in sabotaging approval of the Covid vaccines so that it would happen after the November election.”

00:01 – How To Bounded Distrust
01:10:51 – Guild of the Rose Update
01:12:31 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

nope

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Allais Paradox

Zut Allais!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:13:48 1245 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Zvi’s How to Bounded Distrust with Wesley Fenza. Wes is from The Mind Killer! Other links: Bounded Distrust On Bounded Distrust The Media Very Rarely Lies + followup + 2nd followup People Will Sometimes Just Lie About You Matt Yglesia on Why You Can’t Trust The Media Discovery in lawsuit case shows FOX News hosts didn’t believe their own narrative NYT leadership decided tech will be covered negatively Conflict Theory of Bounded Distrust Eneasz did the dumb homework: MIT article on how the vaccine was delayed by a week to just after the election Nate Silver said it deserves looking into Zvi says of Topol “there was the time he was instrumental in sabotaging approval of the Covid vaccines so that it would happen after the November election.” 00:01 – How To Bounded Distrust 01:10:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 01:12:31 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: nope Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!We discuss Zvi’s How to Bounded Distrust with Wesley Fenza. Wes is from The Mind Killer! Other links: Bounded Distrust On Bounded Distrust The Media Very Rarely Lies + followup + 2nd followup People Will Sometimes Just Lie About You Matt Yglesia on Why You Can’t Trust The Media Discovery in lawsuit case shows FOX News hosts didn’t believe their own narrative NYT leadership decided tech will be covered negatively Conflict Theory of Bounded Distrust Eneasz did the dumb homework: MIT article on how the vaccine was delayed by a week to just after the election Nate Silver said it deserves looking into Zvi says of Topol “there was the time he was instrumental in sabotaging approval of the Covid vaccines so that it would happen after the November election.” 00:01 – How To Bounded Distrust 01:10:51 – Guild of the Rose Update 01:12:31 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: nope Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/bayes-blast-1/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sat, 18 Feb 2023 08:01:31 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1241 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/bayes-blast-1/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/bayes-blast-1/feed/ 1 In Defense of Chatbot Romance

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 10:55 1241 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIn Defense of Chatbot RomanceIn Defense of Chatbot RomanceRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus preview – YIMBY follow-ups and Vulgar EA https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/bonus-preview-yimby-follow-ups-and-vulgar-ea/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Feb 2023 08:01:16 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1238 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/bonus-preview-yimby-follow-ups-and-vulgar-ea/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/bonus-preview-yimby-follow-ups-and-vulgar-ea/feed/ 0 We have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more!

For the full episode, subscribe at Patreon

CA YIMBY main page and support pages here

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 16:06 1238 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more! For the full episode, subscribe at Patreon CA YIMBY main page and support pages hereWe have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more! For the full episode, subscribe at Patreon CA YIMBY main page and support pages hereRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 180 – YIMBY in CA with Brian Hanlon https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/180-yimby-in-ca-with-brian-hanlon/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 Feb 2023 08:01:41 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1229 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/180-yimby-in-ca-with-brian-hanlon/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/02/180-yimby-in-ca-with-brian-hanlon/feed/ 1 We discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening.

Primary Links
CA YIMBY
Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org
Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian
The Welcoming Neighbor Network

Other Links
George Carlin on NIMBY
CARLA is now CalHDF
SF BARF
Black-Eyes put on a hell of a punk show… and they just reunited to put on three shows this coming April
TBC episode on Getting Lucky
TBC episode on Georgist Land Value Taxes
A COVIDy blog post on getting Paxlovid in the US
Clearer Thinking on Importance Hacking

00:01 – CA YIMBY
01:01:16 – Possible to Slow AI via Legislation?
01:08:57 – Guild of the Rose Update
01:09:49 – LW posts
01:43:09 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Beautiful Probability

Trust in Math

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Allais Paradox

Zut Allais!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:19 1229 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening. Primary Links CA YIMBY Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian The Welcoming Neighbor Network Other Links George Carlin on NIMBY CARLA is now CalHDF SF BARF Black-Eyes put on a hell of a punk show… and they just reunited to put on three shows this coming April TBC episode on Getting Lucky TBC episode on Georgist Land Value Taxes A COVIDy blog post on getting Paxlovid in the US Clearer Thinking on Importance Hacking 00:01 – CA YIMBY 01:01:16 – Possible to Slow AI via Legislation? 01:08:57 – Guild of the Rose Update 01:09:49 – LW posts 01:43:09 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Beautiful Probability Trust in Math Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!We discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening. Primary Links CA YIMBY Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian The Welcoming Neighbor Network Other Links George Carlin on NIMBY CARLA is now CalHDF SF BARF Black-Eyes put on a hell of a punk show… and they just reunited to put on three shows this coming April TBC episode on Getting Lucky TBC episode on Georgist Land Value Taxes A COVIDy blog post on getting Paxlovid in the US Clearer Thinking on Importance Hacking 00:01 – CA YIMBY 01:01:16 – Possible to Slow AI via Legislation? 01:08:57 – Guild of the Rose Update 01:09:49 – LW posts 01:43:09 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Beautiful Probability Trust in Math Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Allais Paradox Zut Allais!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/01/179-the-plan-to-align-ai-with-john-wentworth/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 25 Jan 2023 09:04:28 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1225 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/01/179-the-plan-to-align-ai-with-john-wentworth/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/01/179-the-plan-to-align-ai-with-john-wentworth/feed/ 2 Worried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan!

We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed over the past year.

Primary Sources:
The Plan
The Plan – 2022 Update

Also discussed:
The Basic Foundations for Agent Models sequence
The Telephone Theorem
The “Minimal Latents” Approach to Natural Abstractions

Help With The Plan, Get The Skills, Save The World:
Read The Embedded Agency Sequence
Join SERI MATS! (see also SERI MATS tag on LessWrong)
Apply for funding from The Long-Term Future Fund

56:05 – Guild of the Rose Update
57:36 – Feedback
58:20 – LW posts
1:19:09 – Thank the Patron

We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out.
Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Expecting Beauty

Is Reality Ugly?

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Beautiful Probability

Trust in Math

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:21:10 1225 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWorried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed over the past year. Primary Sources: The Plan The Plan – 2022 Update Also discussed: The Basic Foundations for Agent Models sequence The Telephone Theorem The “Minimal Latents” Approach to Natural Abstractions Help With The Plan, Get The Skills, Save The World: Read The Embedded Agency Sequence Join SERI MATS! (see also SERI MATS tag on LessWrong) Apply for funding from The Long-Term Future Fund 56:05 – Guild of the Rose Update 57:36 – Feedback 58:20 – LW posts 1:19:09 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Expecting Beauty Is Reality Ugly? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Beautiful Probability Trust in MathWorried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed over the past year. Primary Sources: The Plan The Plan – 2022 Update Also discussed: The Basic Foundations for Agent Models sequence The Telephone Theorem The “Minimal Latents” Approach to Natural Abstractions Help With The Plan, Get The Skills, Save The World: Read The Embedded Agency Sequence Join SERI MATS! (see also SERI MATS tag on LessWrong) Apply for funding from The Long-Term Future Fund 56:05 – Guild of the Rose Update 57:36 – Feedback 58:20 – LW posts 1:19:09 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page–your support is most rational, and totally effective. (also merch) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Expecting Beauty Is Reality Ugly? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Beautiful Probability Trust in MathRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 178 – Out To Get You https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/01/178-out-to-get-you/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Jan 2023 08:01:22 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1219 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/01/178-out-to-get-you/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2023/01/178-out-to-get-you/feed/ 1 We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at.

2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got
1:08:48 – LW posts
1:18:55 – Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities

Beautiful Math

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Expecting Beauty

Is Reality Ugly?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:18:48 1219 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities Beautiful Math Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Expecting Beauty Is Reality Ugly?We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities Beautiful Math Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Expecting Beauty Is Reality Ugly?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/12/177-decision-trees-and-butlerian-jihads-with-matt-freeman/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Dec 2022 18:55:18 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1212 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/12/177-decision-trees-and-butlerian-jihads-with-matt-freeman/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/12/177-decision-trees-and-butlerian-jihads-with-matt-freeman/feed/ 0 Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity.

Guild of the Rose:
Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures”
Guild workshop page 1
Guild workshop page 2
Guild workshop page 3

Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops

How to identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*.

Zvi On the Diplomacy AI

AI superpowers – can tell race via chest Xray. Can tell sex via retina scan (87%).

0:00:23 Practical Decision Trees
1:05:46 Utilitarian & Other Ethics considerations
1:31:01 Guild of the Rose info
1:39:02 Bayesian AI Corner
2:08:18 Should we have a Butlerian Jihad?
2:31:36 Thank the Patron!

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Nope

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time)

0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities

Beautiful Math

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:33:32 1212 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of the Rose: Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures” Guild workshop page 1 Guild workshop page 2 Guild workshop page 3 Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops How to identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*. Zvi On the Diplomacy AI AI superpowers – can tell race via chest Xray. Can tell sex via retina scan (87%). 0:00:23 Practical Decision Trees 1:05:46 Utilitarian & Other Ethics considerations 1:31:01 Guild of the Rose info 1:39:02 Bayesian AI Corner 2:08:18 Should we have a Butlerian Jihad? 2:31:36 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Nope Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time) 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities Beautiful MathMatt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of the Rose: Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures” Guild workshop page 1 Guild workshop page 2 Guild workshop page 3 Reflecting on the 2022 Guild of the Rose Workshops How to identify whether text is true or false directly from a model’s *unlabeled activations*. Zvi On the Diplomacy AI AI superpowers – can tell race via chest Xray. Can tell sex via retina scan (87%). 0:00:23 Practical Decision Trees 1:05:46 Utilitarian & Other Ethics considerations 1:31:01 Guild of the Rose info 1:39:02 Bayesian AI Corner 2:08:18 Should we have a Butlerian Jihad? 2:31:36 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Nope Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time) 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities Beautiful MathRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 176 – Circling with Aella https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/176-circling-with-aella/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Nov 2022 08:01:30 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1207 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/176-circling-with-aella/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/176-circling-with-aella/feed/ 0 Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it.

0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There?
0:04:40 Circling
1:09:42 LW Posts
1:41:35 Thank the Patron!

Aella’s Blog

The Patreon bit where we discuss The Murder Button

Circle Anywhere

Authentic Relating International

Julia Galef on Bayes’ Equation

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

Absolute Authority

Infinite Certainty

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time)

0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities

Beautiful Math

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:04 1207 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where we discuss The Murder Button Circle Anywhere Authentic Relating International Julia Galef on Bayes’ Equation Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Absolute Authority Infinite Certainty Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time) 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities Beautiful MathAella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where we discuss The Murder Button Circle Anywhere Authentic Relating International Julia Galef on Bayes’ Equation Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: Absolute Authority Infinite Certainty Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time) 0 And 1 Are Not Probabilities Beautiful MathRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/175-ftx-ea-and-personal-finance/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Nov 2022 08:01:20 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1204 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/175-ftx-ea-and-personal-finance/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/175-ftx-ea-and-personal-finance/feed/ 1 David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance.

0:00:00 Intro
0:02:08 The Sequences Now Formatted For Zoomers
0:11:25 FTX Collapse & EA Shockwaves
0:54:20 Personal Finance
1:43:20 Thank the Patron!

The Sequences In A Zoomer-Readable Format

FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened

Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out

Yudkowsky’s essay warning against humans trying to use utilitarianism 14 years ago

Bunch of Twitter – The reason we have excess money to give; Robert Wiblin; a god complex; conflating utilitarianism with naive utilitarianism; the ultimate take-away

Our recent episode on Virtue Ethics

Erik Hoel criticizing EA

More details about the FTX stuff will be on the next episode of The Mind Killer

“Investment is a bet that a thing will be important in the future” – David

Nassim Taleb’s Barbell Investment Strategy

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

none

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for really real this time)

Absolute Authority

Infinite Certainty

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:34 1204 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDavid from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences Now Formatted For Zoomers 0:11:25 FTX Collapse & EA Shockwaves 0:54:20 Personal Finance 1:43:20 Thank the Patron! The Sequences In A Zoomer-Readable Format FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out Yudkowsky’s essay warning against humans trying to use utilitarianism 14 years ago Bunch of Twitter – The reason we have excess money to give; Robert Wiblin; a god complex; conflating utilitarianism with naive utilitarianism; the ultimate take-away Our recent episode on Virtue Ethics Erik Hoel criticizing EA More details about the FTX stuff will be on the next episode of The Mind Killer “Investment is a bet that a thing will be important in the future” – David Nassim Taleb’s Barbell Investment Strategy Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for really real this time) Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyDavid from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences Now Formatted For Zoomers 0:11:25 FTX Collapse & EA Shockwaves 0:54:20 Personal Finance 1:43:20 Thank the Patron! The Sequences In A Zoomer-Readable Format FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out Yudkowsky’s essay warning against humans trying to use utilitarianism 14 years ago Bunch of Twitter – The reason we have excess money to give; Robert Wiblin; a god complex; conflating utilitarianism with naive utilitarianism; the ultimate take-away Our recent episode on Virtue Ethics Erik Hoel criticizing EA More details about the FTX stuff will be on the next episode of The Mind Killer “Investment is a bet that a thing will be important in the future” – David Nassim Taleb’s Barbell Investment Strategy Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for really real this time) Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/breaking-ftx-collapse-ea-shockwaves/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 13 Nov 2022 08:23:26 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1201 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/breaking-ftx-collapse-ea-shockwaves/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/breaking-ftx-collapse-ea-shockwaves/feed/ 0 While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while it’s still relevant.

FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened

Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out

Yudkowsky’s essay warning against humans trying to use utilitarianism 14 years ago

Bunch of Twitter – The reason we have excess money to give; Robert Wiblin; a god complex; conflating utilitarianism with naive utilitarianism; the ultimate take-away

Our recent episode on Virtue Ethics

Erik Hoel criticizing EA

More details about the FTX stuff will be on the next episode of The Mind Killer

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. 🙂

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 43:26 1201 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhile recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while it’s still relevant. FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out Yudkowsky’s essay warning against humans trying to use utilitarianism 14 years ago Bunch of Twitter – The reason we have excess money to give; Robert Wiblin; a god complex; conflating utilitarianism with naive utilitarianism; the ultimate take-away Our recent episode on Virtue Ethics Erik Hoel criticizing EA More details about the FTX stuff will be on the next episode of The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective.While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while it’s still relevant. FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the hell happened Yudkowsky’s essay on FTX Future Fund money that’s been paid out Yudkowsky’s essay warning against humans trying to use utilitarianism 14 years ago Bunch of Twitter – The reason we have excess money to give; Robert Wiblin; a god complex; conflating utilitarianism with naive utilitarianism; the ultimate take-away Our recent episode on Virtue Ethics Erik Hoel criticizing EA More details about the FTX stuff will be on the next episode of The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/174-jon-stewart-the-consensus-emancipator/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Nov 2022 08:01:03 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1197 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/174-jon-stewart-the-consensus-emancipator/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/11/174-jon-stewart-the-consensus-emancipator/feed/ 0 Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode.

We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker

Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂

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LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

none

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time)

Absolute Authority

Infinite Certainty

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:16:16 1197 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time) Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyWes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (for real this time) Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’ https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/10/173-oh-lawd-strong-ai-is-comin/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 Oct 2022 08:01:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1194 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/10/173-oh-lawd-strong-ai-is-comin/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/10/173-oh-lawd-strong-ai-is-comin/feed/ 0 Matt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short.

Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon

Other links:

“Let’s think step by step” is all you need

NVIDIA A100 info

The Mind Killer

AI suggested 40,000 new possible chemical weapons in six hours

Yo be real GPT

Hack language models with Ignore Previous Instructions

Very Bad Wizards: Is it GPT or Dan Dennett?

Tesla Bot

“it’s obviously conscious”

Whenever anyone says Elon doesn’t deliver…

HPMoR Christmas chapter extended by AI (w/ guidance)

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2:02:18 Thank the Patron!

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Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

none

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Absolute Authority

Infinite Certainty

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:04:08 1194 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short. Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon Other links: “Let’s think step by step” is all you need NVIDIA A100 info The Mind Killer AI suggested 40,000 new possible chemical weapons in six hours Yo be real GPT Hack language models with Ignore Previous Instructions Very Bad Wizards: Is it GPT or Dan Dennett? Tesla Bot “it’s obviously conscious” Whenever anyone says Elon doesn’t deliver… HPMoR Christmas chapter extended by AI (w/ guidance) 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 2:02:18 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyMatt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short. Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon Other links: “Let’s think step by step” is all you need NVIDIA A100 info The Mind Killer AI suggested 40,000 new possible chemical weapons in six hours Yo be real GPT Hack language models with Ignore Previous Instructions Very Bad Wizards: Is it GPT or Dan Dennett? Tesla Bot “it’s obviously conscious” Whenever anyone says Elon doesn’t deliver… HPMoR Christmas chapter extended by AI (w/ guidance) 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 2:02:18 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 172 – Virtue Ethics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/10/172-virtue-ethics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Oct 2022 08:01:35 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1190 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/10/172-virtue-ethics/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/10/172-virtue-ethics/feed/ 2 Kerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live.

After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre

Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia

Our 23rd episode – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe

The 12 Virtues of Rationality

I See Dead Kids

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1:42:34 LW posts
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LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

But There’s Still A Chance, Right?

The Fallacy of Gray

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Absolute Authority

Infinite Certainty

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:07:51 1190 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comKerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live. After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia Our 23rd episode – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe The 12 Virtues of Rationality I See Dead Kids 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 1:42:34 LW posts 2:05:53 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: But There’s Still A Chance, Right? The Fallacy of Gray Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyKerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live. After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia Our 23rd episode – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe The 12 Virtues of Rationality I See Dead Kids 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 1:42:34 LW posts 2:05:53 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: But There’s Still A Chance, Right? The Fallacy of Gray Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absolute Authority Infinite CertaintyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 171 – All About AGP https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/09/171-all-about-agp/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Sep 2022 08:02:01 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1184 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/09/171-all-about-agp/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/09/171-all-about-agp/feed/ 1 Tailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jace was only on for part of the episode and our software didn’t appreciate the confusion and dropped his audio entirely.

Tailcalled’s blog:  https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Some specific links from Tailcalled:

Some of my better or more important or more relevant posts that you might want to link: Autogynephilia is not a natural abstraction
(My attempt to explain the thing I said at the end about why we will never get a better understanding of AGP)

A dataset of common AGP/AAP fantasies
(To get an idea of what AGP can be like, with the caveat that most people in the AGP debates focus on different and rarer forms of AGP)

Using instrumental variables to test the direction of causality between autogynephilia and gender dissatisfaction
(Some of the advanced causal inference stuff I’ve experimented with to study AGP; to an extent I now think my idea was flawed – I have other blog posts talking about the flaws – but it might be nice to include as an illustration)

The mathematical consequences of a toy model of gender transition
(I sort of explained that model in the interview but it might not have been very clear, so making it formal helps)

Meta-attraction cannot account for all autogynephiles’ interest in men
(The post that really marked the start of my dissatisfaction with Blanchardians)

0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic
1:26:00 LW posts
1:43:41 Thank the Patron!

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LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Rational vs. Scientific Ev-Psych

A Failed Just-So Story

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

But There’s Still A Chance, Right?

The Fallacy of Gray

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:21 1184 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comTailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jace was only on for part of the episode and our software didn’t appreciate the confusion and dropped his audio entirely. Tailcalled’s blog:  https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Some specific links from Tailcalled: Some of my better or more important or more relevant posts that you might want to link: Autogynephilia is not a natural abstraction (My attempt to explain the thing I said at the end about why we will never get a better understanding of AGP) A dataset of common AGP/AAP fantasies (To get an idea of what AGP can be like, with the caveat that most people in the AGP debates focus on different and rarer forms of AGP) Using instrumental variables to test the direction of causality between autogynephilia and gender dissatisfaction (Some of the advanced causal inference stuff I’ve experimented with to study AGP; to an extent I now think my idea was flawed – I have other blog posts talking about the flaws – but it might be nice to include as an illustration) The mathematical consequences of a toy model of gender transition (I sort of explained that model in the interview but it might not have been very clear, so making it formal helps) Meta-attraction cannot account for all autogynephiles’ interest in men (The post that really marked the start of my dissatisfaction with Blanchardians) 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 1:26:00 LW posts 1:43:41 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Rational vs. Scientific Ev-Psych A Failed Just-So Story Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: But There’s Still A Chance, Right? The Fallacy of GrayTailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jace was only on for part of the episode and our software didn’t appreciate the confusion and dropped his audio entirely. Tailcalled’s blog:  https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Some specific links from Tailcalled: Some of my better or more important or more relevant posts that you might want to link: Autogynephilia is not a natural abstraction (My attempt to explain the thing I said at the end about why we will never get a better understanding of AGP) A dataset of common AGP/AAP fantasies (To get an idea of what AGP can be like, with the caveat that most people in the AGP debates focus on different and rarer forms of AGP) Using instrumental variables to test the direction of causality between autogynephilia and gender dissatisfaction (Some of the advanced causal inference stuff I’ve experimented with to study AGP; to an extent I now think my idea was flawed – I have other blog posts talking about the flaws – but it might be nice to include as an illustration) The mathematical consequences of a toy model of gender transition (I sort of explained that model in the interview but it might not have been very clear, so making it formal helps) Meta-attraction cannot account for all autogynephiles’ interest in men (The post that really marked the start of my dissatisfaction with Blanchardians) 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 1:26:00 LW posts 1:43:41 Thank the Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Rational vs. Scientific Ev-Psych A Failed Just-So Story Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: But There’s Still A Chance, Right? The Fallacy of GrayRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 170 – By George, The Rent Is Too Damn High! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/09/170-by-george-the-rent-is-too-damn-high/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Sep 2022 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1180 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/09/170-by-george-the-rent-is-too-damn-high/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/09/170-by-george-the-rent-is-too-damn-high/feed/ 1 Eneasz drops a primer on Georgist Land Value Taxes. All increases in productivity will be capture by rising rents for as long as mankind exists, unless we find a way to prevent landlords from capturing all the benefits of rising land value. Henry George found the way to do this.

Source post: Book Review: Progress & Poverty

Follow-ups that we barely touched on, but include a lot more:
Part I – Is Land Really a Big Deal?
Part II – Can Land Value Tax be Passed on to Tenants?
Part III – Can Unimproved Land Value be Accurately Assessed Separately from Buildings?

Also in this episode:

Eliezer supports Dignity Points, a scoring system for humanity.

Afghan soldiers were shocked to learn about taxes in the U.S.

0:00:40 Feedback
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1:33:48 LW posts
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LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The American System and Misleading Labels

Stop Voting For Nincompoops

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Rational vs. Scientific Ev-Psych

A Failed Just-So Story

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:58:35 1180 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz drops a primer on Georgist Land Value Taxes. All increases in productivity will be capture by rising rents for as long as mankind exists, unless we find a way to prevent landlords from capturing all the benefits of rising land value. Henry George found the way to do this. Source post: Book Review: Progress & Poverty Follow-ups that we barely touched on, but include a lot more: Part I – Is Land Really a Big Deal? Part II – Can Land Value Tax be Passed on to Tenants? Part III – Can Unimproved Land Value be Accurately Assessed Separately from Buildings? Also in this episode: Eliezer supports Dignity Points, a scoring system for humanity. Afghan soldiers were shocked to learn about taxes in the U.S. 0:00:40 Feedback 0:06:15 Main Topic 1:33:48 LW posts 1:57:34 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The American System and Misleading Labels Stop Voting For Nincompoops Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Rational vs. Scientific Ev-Psych A Failed Just-So StoryEneasz drops a primer on Georgist Land Value Taxes. All increases in productivity will be capture by rising rents for as long as mankind exists, unless we find a way to prevent landlords from capturing all the benefits of rising land value. Henry George found the way to do this. Source post: Book Review: Progress & Poverty Follow-ups that we barely touched on, but include a lot more: Part I – Is Land Really a Big Deal? Part II – Can Land Value Tax be Passed on to Tenants? Part III – Can Unimproved Land Value be Accurately Assessed Separately from Buildings? Also in this episode: Eliezer supports Dignity Points, a scoring system for humanity. Afghan soldiers were shocked to learn about taxes in the U.S. 0:00:40 Feedback 0:06:15 Main Topic 1:33:48 LW posts 1:57:34 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The American System and Misleading Labels Stop Voting For Nincompoops Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Rational vs. Scientific Ev-Psych A Failed Just-So StoryRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 169 – S&E BS re AGI https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/08/169-se-bs-re-agi/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Aug 2022 08:01:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1178 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/08/169-se-bs-re-agi/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/08/169-se-bs-re-agi/feed/ 3 Steven and Eneasz discuss the latest timeline shifts regarding the advent of superhuman general intelligence. Then in the LW posts we got greatly sidetracked by politics (stupid mind-killer!).

Links:

Two-year update on my personal AI timelines on LessWrong

Robert Wiblin on kissing your kids

Lex Fridman podcast

Jack Clark (AI policy guy) on AI policy

Scott Alexander on slowing AI progress

Guide to working in AI policy and strategy

0:00:42 Feedback
0:08:20 Main Topic
1:13:29 LW posts
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Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

My Strange Beliefs

Posting on Politics

The Two-Party Swindle

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The American System and Misleading Labels

Stop Voting For Nincompoops

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:12:56 1178 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven and Eneasz discuss the latest timeline shifts regarding the advent of superhuman general intelligence. Then in the LW posts we got greatly sidetracked by politics (stupid mind-killer!). Links: Two-year update on my personal AI timelines on LessWrong Robert Wiblin on kissing your kids Lex Fridman podcast Jack Clark (AI policy guy) on AI policy Scott Alexander on slowing AI progress Guide to working in AI policy and strategy 0:00:42 Feedback 0:08:20 Main Topic 1:13:29 LW posts 2:11:40 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: My Strange Beliefs Posting on Politics The Two-Party Swindle Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The American System and Misleading Labels Stop Voting For NincompoopsSteven and Eneasz discuss the latest timeline shifts regarding the advent of superhuman general intelligence. Then in the LW posts we got greatly sidetracked by politics (stupid mind-killer!). Links: Two-year update on my personal AI timelines on LessWrong Robert Wiblin on kissing your kids Lex Fridman podcast Jack Clark (AI policy guy) on AI policy Scott Alexander on slowing AI progress Guide to working in AI policy and strategy 0:00:42 Feedback 0:08:20 Main Topic 1:13:29 LW posts 2:11:40 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: My Strange Beliefs Posting on Politics The Two-Party Swindle Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The American System and Misleading Labels Stop Voting For NincompoopsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 168 – Unions Are Governments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/08/168-unions-are-governments/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Aug 2022 08:01:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1175 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/08/168-unions-are-governments/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/08/168-unions-are-governments/feed/ 0 We speak with Levi/Ferb, learning about labor law in the USA. Turns out it’s not what we thought.

Links:

What would a general strike look like today?
Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block strike
Truckers strike at Port of Oakland
Taft–Hartley Act
A People’s History of the United States
Dr. Horrible’s Sing-Along Blog
United Mine Workers of America to pay more than $13 million in compensation to an Alabama coal company
African American Workers Historic Struggle Against Segregation

Labor News:

Who Gets the Bird?
PayDay Report
Working People Podcast

“You are GPT-3,” a long-form prompt directly instructing GPT-3 on desired usage of a scratchpad to suppress hallucinatory answers
Craiyon

0:00:01 Main Topic
2:08:40 Feedback
2:14:46 LW posts
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LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

To Lead, You Must Stand Up

Cultish Countercultishness

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

My Strange Beliefs

Posting on Politics

The Two-Party Swindle

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:41:35 1175 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Levi/Ferb, learning about labor law in the USA. Turns out it’s not what we thought. Links: What would a general strike look like today? Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block strike Truckers strike at Port of Oakland Taft–Hartley Act A People’s History of the United States Dr. Horrible’s Sing-Along Blog United Mine Workers of America to pay more than $13 million in compensation to an Alabama coal company African American Workers Historic Struggle Against Segregation Labor News: Who Gets the Bird? PayDay Report Working People Podcast “You are GPT-3,” a long-form prompt directly instructing GPT-3 on desired usage of a scratchpad to suppress hallucinatory answers Craiyon 0:00:01 Main Topic 2:08:40 Feedback 2:14:46 LW posts 2:40:03 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: To Lead, You Must Stand Up Cultish Countercultishness Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: My Strange Beliefs Posting on Politics The Two-Party SwindleWe speak with Levi/Ferb, learning about labor law in the USA. Turns out it’s not what we thought. Links: What would a general strike look like today? Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block strike Truckers strike at Port of Oakland Taft–Hartley Act A People’s History of the United States Dr. Horrible’s Sing-Along Blog United Mine Workers of America to pay more than $13 million in compensation to an Alabama coal company African American Workers Historic Struggle Against Segregation Labor News: Who Gets the Bird? PayDay Report Working People Podcast “You are GPT-3,” a long-form prompt directly instructing GPT-3 on desired usage of a scratchpad to suppress hallucinatory answers Craiyon 0:00:01 Main Topic 2:08:40 Feedback 2:14:46 LW posts 2:40:03 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: To Lead, You Must Stand Up Cultish Countercultishness Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: My Strange Beliefs Posting on Politics The Two-Party SwindleRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 167 – Jugaad Ethics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/07/166-jugaad-ethics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 27 Jul 2022 09:06:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1167 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/07/166-jugaad-ethics/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/07/166-jugaad-ethics/feed/ 1 A Jugaad is like a hack that combines a new thing that doesn’t work anymore with an old thing that sorta worked, as a temporary solution. Now do it for Ethics.

(note: due to technical issue, the last 3 minutes of the main topic audio quality is crappy. sorry.)

The Primary Article – Jugaad Ethics

Also mentioned:

Random article about jugaad Eneasz found

Who Should Pay On A Date?

Pregnancy is Body Horror

Red Plenty

TradFam as Startup

YouTube vids to get started on doing sex better

Liberal Elite minority rule

Feedback – Friendship is Optimal text, and FiO Audio on YouTube
Utopia, LOL?
What Lies Dreaming free online

0:02:33 Feedback
0:06:05 Main Topic – Jugaad Ethics
1:25:22 LW posts
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LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

On Expressing Your Concerns

Lonely Dissent

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

To Lead, You Must Stand Up

Cultish Countercultishness

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:42:09 1167 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA Jugaad is like a hack that combines a new thing that doesn’t work anymore with an old thing that sorta worked, as a temporary solution. Now do it for Ethics. (note: due to technical issue, the last 3 minutes of the main topic audio quality is crappy. sorry.) The Primary Article – Jugaad Ethics Also mentioned: Random article about jugaad Eneasz found Who Should Pay On A Date? Pregnancy is Body Horror Red Plenty TradFam as Startup YouTube vids to get started on doing sex better Liberal Elite minority rule Feedback – Friendship is Optimal text, and FiO Audio on YouTube Utopia, LOL? What Lies Dreaming free online 0:02:33 Feedback 0:06:05 Main Topic – Jugaad Ethics 1:25:22 LW posts 1:40:56 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: On Expressing Your Concerns Lonely Dissent Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: To Lead, You Must Stand Up Cultish CountercultishnessA Jugaad is like a hack that combines a new thing that doesn’t work anymore with an old thing that sorta worked, as a temporary solution. Now do it for Ethics. (note: due to technical issue, the last 3 minutes of the main topic audio quality is crappy. sorry.) The Primary Article – Jugaad Ethics Also mentioned: Random article about jugaad Eneasz found Who Should Pay On A Date? Pregnancy is Body Horror Red Plenty TradFam as Startup YouTube vids to get started on doing sex better Liberal Elite minority rule Feedback – Friendship is Optimal text, and FiO Audio on YouTube Utopia, LOL? What Lies Dreaming free online 0:02:33 Feedback 0:06:05 Main Topic – Jugaad Ethics 1:25:22 LW posts 1:40:56 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: On Expressing Your Concerns Lonely Dissent Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: To Lead, You Must Stand Up Cultish CountercultishnessRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 166 – Getting Lucky https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/07/166-getting-lucky/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 13 Jul 2022 08:01:24 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1161 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/07/166-getting-lucky/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/07/166-getting-lucky/feed/ 1 Luck is the most power force in the universe, and leaving power untapped is not very rational.

Searching for Outliers

How to Get Lucky

Also mentioned:

Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium
The audio version of It’s Probably Not Lithium from the LessWrong Curated Podcast
The entirety of the LessWrong Curated Podcast

Friendship is Optimal

Things you’re allowed to do

Micro-Marriages

Bad At Marketing? Eneasz’s novel What Lies Dreaming,
and Substack DeathIsBad

0:00:36 Feedback
0:26:30 Main Topic – Outliers and Luck
1:36:39 LW posts
1:49:52 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy

Asch’s Conformity Experiment

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

On Expressing Your Concerns

Lonely Dissent

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:49 1161 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comLuck is the most power force in the universe, and leaving power untapped is not very rational. Searching for Outliers How to Get Lucky Also mentioned: Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium The audio version of It’s Probably Not Lithium from the LessWrong Curated Podcast The entirety of the LessWrong Curated Podcast Friendship is Optimal Things you’re allowed to do Micro-Marriages Bad At Marketing? Eneasz’s novel What Lies Dreaming, and Substack DeathIsBad 0:00:36 Feedback 0:26:30 Main Topic – Outliers and Luck 1:36:39 LW posts 1:49:52 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy Asch’s Conformity Experiment Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: On Expressing Your Concerns Lonely DissentLuck is the most power force in the universe, and leaving power untapped is not very rational. Searching for Outliers How to Get Lucky Also mentioned: Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium The audio version of It’s Probably Not Lithium from the LessWrong Curated Podcast The entirety of the LessWrong Curated Podcast Friendship is Optimal Things you’re allowed to do Micro-Marriages Bad At Marketing? Eneasz’s novel What Lies Dreaming, and Substack DeathIsBad 0:00:36 Feedback 0:26:30 Main Topic – Outliers and Luck 1:36:39 LW posts 1:49:52 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy Asch’s Conformity Experiment Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: On Expressing Your Concerns Lonely DissentRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 165 – DREAM: Dunbar Rules Everything Around Me https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/06/165-dream-dunbar-rules-everything-around-me/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Jun 2022 08:02:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1156 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/06/165-dream-dunbar-rules-everything-around-me/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/06/165-dream-dunbar-rules-everything-around-me/feed/ 1 Dunbar’s Number is both the cause of and downfall of Human Civilization

Low-Status degrades your health

Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything

Mentioned in the follow-ups section:

Lithium suspect?

AIs threaten proof-of-work

The Mind Killer podcast

0:00:34 Feedback
0:11:58 Main Topic pt1 Status in Dunbar Spheres
0:46:37 Main Topic pt2 The Dawn of Everything
1:15:08 LW posts
1:30:04 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Effortless Technique

Zen and the Art of Rationality

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy

Asch’s Conformity Experiment

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:32:25 1156 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDunbar’s Number is both the cause of and downfall of Human Civilization Low-Status degrades your health Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything Mentioned in the follow-ups section: Lithium suspect? AIs threaten proof-of-work The Mind Killer podcast 0:00:34 Feedback 0:11:58 Main Topic pt1 Status in Dunbar Spheres 0:46:37 Main Topic pt2 The Dawn of Everything 1:15:08 LW posts 1:30:04 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Effortless Technique Zen and the Art of Rationality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy Asch’s Conformity ExperimentDunbar’s Number is both the cause of and downfall of Human Civilization Low-Status degrades your health Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything Mentioned in the follow-ups section: Lithium suspect? AIs threaten proof-of-work The Mind Killer podcast 0:00:34 Feedback 0:11:58 Main Topic pt1 Status in Dunbar Spheres 0:46:37 Main Topic pt2 The Dawn of Everything 1:15:08 LW posts 1:30:04 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Effortless Technique Zen and the Art of Rationality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Amazing Virgin Pregnancy Asch’s Conformity ExperimentRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 164 – Pregnancy is Body Horror https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/06/164-pregnancy-is-body-horror/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Jun 2022 08:01:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1151 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/06/164-pregnancy-is-body-horror/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/06/164-pregnancy-is-body-horror/feed/ 1 Katrina is back!! We talk about how pregnancy isn’t super easy, and is borderline body horror.

War In The Womb

Expecting Better book

Pregnant Women Are Smug

Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality

How Pregnancy Changes the Brain, and PubMed version

Clown Registry

Still A Good Mom

1:32:08 LW posts
1:51:00 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Two Cult Koans

False Laughter

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Effortless Technique

Zen and the Art of Rationality

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:52:08 1151 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comKatrina is back!! We talk about how pregnancy isn’t super easy, and is borderline body horror. War In The Womb Expecting Better book Pregnant Women Are Smug Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality How Pregnancy Changes the Brain, and PubMed version Clown Registry Still A Good Mom 1:32:08 LW posts 1:51:00 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Two Cult Koans False Laughter Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Effortless Technique Zen and the Art of RationalityKatrina is back!! We talk about how pregnancy isn’t super easy, and is borderline body horror. War In The Womb Expecting Better book Pregnant Women Are Smug Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality How Pregnancy Changes the Brain, and PubMed version Clown Registry Still A Good Mom 1:32:08 LW posts 1:51:00 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Two Cult Koans False Laughter Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Effortless Technique Zen and the Art of RationalityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 163 – Effective Aesthetics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/163-effective-aesthetics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Jun 2022 05:36:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1148 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/163-effective-aesthetics/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/163-effective-aesthetics/feed/ 0 Étienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problem

But first! Some extended listener feedback

Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV

Three Bodies At Mitani

A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows

00:42  Abortion Clarification & Jace’s Addition
14:15  Best Purchase Ever
27:24  Main Topic: Effective Altruism’s Neglect of Aesthetics
1:19:09  LW posts
1:36:37  Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Guardians of Ayn Rand

The Litany Against Gurus

Politics and Awful Art

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Two Cult Koans

False Laughter

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:38:52 1148 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comÉtienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problem But first! Some extended listener feedback Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV Three Bodies At Mitani A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows 00:42  Abortion Clarification & Jace’s Addition 14:15  Best Purchase Ever 27:24  Main Topic: Effective Altruism’s Neglect of Aesthetics 1:19:09  LW posts 1:36:37  Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Guardians of Ayn Rand The Litany Against Gurus Politics and Awful Art Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Two Cult Koans False LaughterÉtienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problem But first! Some extended listener feedback Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV Three Bodies At Mitani A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows 00:42  Abortion Clarification & Jace’s Addition 14:15  Best Purchase Ever 27:24  Main Topic: Effective Altruism’s Neglect of Aesthetics 1:19:09  LW posts 1:36:37  Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Guardians of Ayn Rand The Litany Against Gurus Politics and Awful Art Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Two Cult Koans False LaughterRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 162 – Roe No Mo’ https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/162-roe-no-mo/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 May 2022 08:01:59 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1145 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/162-roe-no-mo/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/162-roe-no-mo/feed/ 1 Roe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world.

Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester.

In state’s where it’s legal, one can have a self-managed abortion.
AidAccess is available to help. Services like ipostal1 will forward mail from other states.
Misoprostol is relatively easy to acquire from veterinary sources.

Eneasz is unhappy with Kamala Harris

1:08:13  LW posts
1:15:40  Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Guardians of the Truth

Guardians of the Gene Pool

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Guardians of Ayn Rand

The Litany Against Gurus

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:16:58 1145 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRoe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world. Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester. In state’s where it’s legal, one can have a self-managed abortion. AidAccess is available to help. Services like ipostal1 will forward mail from other states. Misoprostol is relatively easy to acquire from veterinary sources. Eneasz is unhappy with Kamala Harris 1:08:13  LW posts 1:15:40  Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Guardians of the Truth Guardians of the Gene Pool Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Guardians of Ayn Rand The Litany Against GurusRoe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world. Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester. In state’s where it’s legal, one can have a self-managed abortion. AidAccess is available to help. Services like ipostal1 will forward mail from other states. Misoprostol is relatively easy to acquire from veterinary sources. Eneasz is unhappy with Kamala Harris 1:08:13  LW posts 1:15:40  Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Guardians of the Truth Guardians of the Gene Pool Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Guardians of Ayn Rand The Litany Against GurusRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’i https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/161-restoring-the-kingdom-of-hawaii/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 May 2022 08:53:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1142 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/161-restoring-the-kingdom-of-hawaii/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/05/161-restoring-the-kingdom-of-hawaii/feed/ 0 Not long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now.

Recommended by Travis:

The Legends and Myths of Hawaii

The Rise and Fall of the Hawaiian Kingdom: A Pictorial History

Unfamiliar Fishes

Weblog of the acting government of the Hawaiian Kingdom

1:17:57  LW posts
1:25:44  Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Argument Screens Off Authority

Hug the Query

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Guardians of the Truth

Guardians of the Gene Pool

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:27:01 1142 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comNot long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now. Recommended by Travis: The Legends and Myths of Hawaii The Rise and Fall of the Hawaiian Kingdom: A Pictorial History Unfamiliar Fishes Weblog of the acting government of the Hawaiian Kingdom 1:17:57  LW posts 1:25:44  Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Argument Screens Off Authority Hug the Query Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Guardians of the Truth Guardians of the Gene PoolNot long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now. Recommended by Travis: The Legends and Myths of Hawaii The Rise and Fall of the Hawaiian Kingdom: A Pictorial History Unfamiliar Fishes Weblog of the acting government of the Hawaiian Kingdom 1:17:57  LW posts 1:25:44  Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Argument Screens Off Authority Hug the Query Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Guardians of the Truth Guardians of the Gene PoolRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 160 – GAI is Imminent https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/04/160-gai-is-immanent/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Apr 2022 07:26:03 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1139 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/04/160-gai-is-immanent/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/04/160-gai-is-immanent/feed/ 0 Four Major AI Advancements In One Week!

New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute

Googles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish cause and effect and understand counterfactuals

DALL-E 2 makes amazing art on demand

Socratic Modeling system

1:39:51  LW posts

Also mentioned:

Overcoming Bias: AI Language Progress

What an actually pessimistic containment strategy looks like

Github Copilot

Anthropic AI

The Mind Killer

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult

Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Argument Screens Off Authority

Hug the Query

(edit: misspellings is how we prove we aren’t AIs :P)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:07:04 1139 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comFour Major AI Advancements In One Week! New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute Googles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish cause and effect and understand counterfactuals DALL-E 2 makes amazing art on demand Socratic Modeling system 1:39:51  LW posts Also mentioned: Overcoming Bias: AI Language Progress What an actually pessimistic containment strategy looks like Github Copilot Anthropic AI The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Argument Screens Off Authority Hug the Query (edit: misspellings is how we prove we aren’t AIs :P)Four Major AI Advancements In One Week! New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute Googles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish cause and effect and understand counterfactuals DALL-E 2 makes amazing art on demand Socratic Modeling system 1:39:51  LW posts Also mentioned: Overcoming Bias: AI Language Progress What an actually pessimistic containment strategy looks like Github Copilot Anthropic AI The Mind Killer Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Argument Screens Off Authority Hug the Query (edit: misspellings is how we prove we aren’t AIs :P)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On Sleep https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/04/159-cryonics-concerns-and-theses-on-sleep/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Apr 2022 08:39:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1136 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/04/159-cryonics-concerns-and-theses-on-sleep/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/04/159-cryonics-concerns-and-theses-on-sleep/feed/ 0 We address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep

3:15  Cryonics Concerns
49:21  Theses On Sleep
1:23:01  LW posts
1:50:16  Thank the Patron

Also mentioned:

LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guide

Our episode with Rudy Hoffman

Lifespan podcast

Limitless w Chris Hemsworth

Counter-theses on Sleep

Scott Alexander’s Sleep Is The Mate Of Death

Cryonics Insitute FAQ and info re transportation services

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs

When None Dare Urge Restraint

The Robbers Cave Experiment

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult

Reversed Stupidity Is Not Intelligence

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:20 1136 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep 3:15  Cryonics Concerns 49:21  Theses On Sleep 1:23:01  LW posts 1:50:16  Thank the Patron Also mentioned: LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guide Our episode with Rudy Hoffman Lifespan podcast Limitless w Chris Hemsworth Counter-theses on Sleep Scott Alexander’s Sleep Is The Mate Of Death Cryonics Insitute FAQ and info re transportation services Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs When None Dare Urge Restraint The Robbers Cave Experiment Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult Reversed Stupidity Is Not IntelligenceWe address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep 3:15  Cryonics Concerns 49:21  Theses On Sleep 1:23:01  LW posts 1:50:16  Thank the Patron Also mentioned: LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guide Our episode with Rudy Hoffman Lifespan podcast Limitless w Chris Hemsworth Counter-theses on Sleep Scott Alexander’s Sleep Is The Mate Of Death Cryonics Insitute FAQ and info re transportation services Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs When None Dare Urge Restraint The Robbers Cave Experiment Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Every Cause Wants To Be A Cult Reversed Stupidity Is Not IntelligenceRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Monarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/monarchy-reactions-post-episode-158-discussion-teaser/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 27 Mar 2022 19:07:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1133 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/monarchy-reactions-post-episode-158-discussion-teaser/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/monarchy-reactions-post-episode-158-discussion-teaser/feed/ 1 The Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed.

The full episode is available for our Patrons

Mentioned:

List of Current States With Monarchs

CGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power)

Tears For Fears – Everybody Wants To Rule The World (warning – crappy 80s song)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 15:42 1133 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed. The full episode is available for our Patrons Mentioned: List of Current States With Monarchs CGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power) Tears For Fears – Everybody Wants To Rule The World (warning – crappy 80s song)The Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed. The full episode is available for our Patrons Mentioned: List of Current States With Monarchs CGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power) Tears For Fears – Everybody Wants To Rule The World (warning – crappy 80s song)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 158 – Can Monarchy Save Us From Fascism? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/158-can-monarchy-save-us-from-fascism/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Mar 2022 08:01:25 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1130 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/158-can-monarchy-save-us-from-fascism/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/158-can-monarchy-save-us-from-fascism/feed/ 1 We speak with Cornelius about this idea that Monachy is good because it can save us from populist fascism.

1:44:50 LW posts
2:14:45 Thank the Patron

Cornelius blogs at EsotericMusings.substack.com

Also mentioned:

Gray Mirror Substack

Democracy: The God that Failed by Hans-Hermann Hoppe

Jace’s counterargument is basically a link to Scott Alexander’s Anti-Reactionary FAQ

We did a “Reactions to this episode” mini-episode the following week

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Fake Fake Utility Functions

Fake Utility Functions

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs

When None Dare Urge Restraint

The Robbers Cave Experiment

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:16:06 1130 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Cornelius about this idea that Monachy is good because it can save us from populist fascism. 1:44:50 LW posts 2:14:45 Thank the Patron Cornelius blogs at EsotericMusings.substack.com Also mentioned: Gray Mirror Substack Democracy: The God that Failed by Hans-Hermann Hoppe Jace’s counterargument is basically a link to Scott Alexander’s Anti-Reactionary FAQ We did a “Reactions to this episode” mini-episode the following week Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Fake Utility Functions Fake Utility Functions Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs When None Dare Urge Restraint The Robbers Cave ExperimentWe speak with Cornelius about this idea that Monachy is good because it can save us from populist fascism. 1:44:50 LW posts 2:14:45 Thank the Patron Cornelius blogs at EsotericMusings.substack.com Also mentioned: Gray Mirror Substack Democracy: The God that Failed by Hans-Hermann Hoppe Jace’s counterargument is basically a link to Scott Alexander’s Anti-Reactionary FAQ We did a “Reactions to this episode” mini-episode the following week Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Fake Utility Functions Fake Utility Functions Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Evaporative Cooling of Group Beliefs When None Dare Urge Restraint The Robbers Cave ExperimentRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 157 – A Fistful of Topics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/157-a-fistful-of-topics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 09 Mar 2022 08:01:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1127 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/157-a-fistful-of-topics/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/03/157-a-fistful-of-topics/feed/ 0 We catch up on stuff and hit a few wandering targets.

0:01 Jace on Lithium
21:10 Feedback
26:05 LW posts
50:06 Nuclear Ukraine
59:43 Nuclear Us
1:05:30 Steven Tries To Get Us Cancelled

Lithium in drinking water linked with lower suicide rates

The Mind Killer – Vladimir Putin’s Small Dick Energy

Warcasting – ACX and Zvi

Razom Ukraine delivers medical supplies

Robert Wiblin leaving London

Potasium Iodide tablets

Eneasz Interviews Ada Palmer

Keep Your Identity Small

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Affective Death Spirals

Resist the Happy Death Spiral

Uncritical Supercriticality

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Fake Fake Utility Functions

Fake Utility Functions

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:22:51 1127 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe catch up on stuff and hit a few wandering targets. 0:01 Jace on Lithium 21:10 Feedback 26:05 LW posts 50:06 Nuclear Ukraine 59:43 Nuclear Us 1:05:30 Steven Tries To Get Us Cancelled Lithium in drinking water linked with lower suicide rates The Mind Killer – Vladimir Putin’s Small Dick Energy Warcasting – ACX and Zvi Razom Ukraine delivers medical supplies Robert Wiblin leaving London Potasium Iodide tablets Eneasz Interviews Ada Palmer Keep Your Identity Small Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Affective Death Spirals Resist the Happy Death Spiral Uncritical Supercriticality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Fake Utility Functions Fake Utility FunctionsWe catch up on stuff and hit a few wandering targets. 0:01 Jace on Lithium 21:10 Feedback 26:05 LW posts 50:06 Nuclear Ukraine 59:43 Nuclear Us 1:05:30 Steven Tries To Get Us Cancelled Lithium in drinking water linked with lower suicide rates The Mind Killer – Vladimir Putin’s Small Dick Energy Warcasting – ACX and Zvi Razom Ukraine delivers medical supplies Robert Wiblin leaving London Potasium Iodide tablets Eneasz Interviews Ada Palmer Keep Your Identity Small Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Affective Death Spirals Resist the Happy Death Spiral Uncritical Supercriticality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Fake Utility Functions Fake Utility FunctionsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 156 – A Chemical Hunger https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/156-a-chemical-hunger/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Feb 2022 08:22:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1123 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/156-a-chemical-hunger/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/156-a-chemical-hunger/feed/ 0 We discuss A Chemical Hunger – the paper presenting the hypothesis that the modern obesity epidemic is due to enviromental contamination causing widespread lithium poisoning.

EDIT – MAJOR UPDATE – It’s probably not lithium!

Links to become a patron of this group, or contact them

BMI Calculator

Less Wrong Posts – 5:53
Main Topic – 15:09
Thank the Patron – 1:50:23

[PART I – MYSTERIES]
[PART II – CURRENT THEORIES OF OBESITY ARE INADEQUATE]
[PART III – ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS]
[PART IV – CRITERIA]
[PART V – LIVESTOCK ANTIBIOTICS]
[PART VI – PFAS]
[PART VII – LITHIUM]
[PART VIII – PARADOXICAL REACTIONS]
[INTERLUDE H – WELL WELL WELL]
[PART IX – ANOREXIA IN ANIMALS]
[PART X – WHAT TO DO ABOUT IT]

Eneasz’s tldr notes

Extracting lithium from seawater

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Halo Effect

Superhero Bias

Mere Messiahs

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Affective Death Spirals

Resist the Happy Death Spiral

Uncritical Supercriticality

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:21 1123 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss A Chemical Hunger – the paper presenting the hypothesis that the modern obesity epidemic is due to enviromental contamination causing widespread lithium poisoning. EDIT – MAJOR UPDATE – It’s probably not lithium! Links to become a patron of this group, or contact them BMI Calculator Less Wrong Posts – 5:53 Main Topic – 15:09 Thank the Patron – 1:50:23 [PART I – MYSTERIES] [PART II – CURRENT THEORIES OF OBESITY ARE INADEQUATE] [PART III – ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS] [PART IV – CRITERIA] [PART V – LIVESTOCK ANTIBIOTICS] [PART VI – PFAS] [PART VII – LITHIUM] [PART VIII – PARADOXICAL REACTIONS] [INTERLUDE H – WELL WELL WELL] [PART IX – ANOREXIA IN ANIMALS] [PART X – WHAT TO DO ABOUT IT] Eneasz’s tldr notes Extracting lithium from seawater Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Halo Effect Superhero Bias Mere Messiahs Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Affective Death Spirals Resist the Happy Death Spiral Uncritical SupercriticalityWe discuss A Chemical Hunger – the paper presenting the hypothesis that the modern obesity epidemic is due to enviromental contamination causing widespread lithium poisoning. EDIT – MAJOR UPDATE – It’s probably not lithium! Links to become a patron of this group, or contact them BMI Calculator Less Wrong Posts – 5:53 Main Topic – 15:09 Thank the Patron – 1:50:23 [PART I – MYSTERIES] [PART II – CURRENT THEORIES OF OBESITY ARE INADEQUATE] [PART III – ENVIRONMENTAL CONTAMINANTS] [PART IV – CRITERIA] [PART V – LIVESTOCK ANTIBIOTICS] [PART VI – PFAS] [PART VII – LITHIUM] [PART VIII – PARADOXICAL REACTIONS] [INTERLUDE H – WELL WELL WELL] [PART IX – ANOREXIA IN ANIMALS] [PART X – WHAT TO DO ABOUT IT] Eneasz’s tldr notes Extracting lithium from seawater Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Halo Effect Superhero Bias Mere Messiahs Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Affective Death Spirals Resist the Happy Death Spiral Uncritical SupercriticalityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Trailer For Bonus Aella https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/trailer-for-bonus-aella/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Mon, 14 Feb 2022 13:00:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1120 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/trailer-for-bonus-aella/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/trailer-for-bonus-aella/feed/ 0

This is a trailer for a bonus Patrons-only episode. It’s 45 minutes chatting with Aella about various things that struck Eneasz’s interest.

Aella’s twitter is Aella_Girl. Homepage at Knowingless, also has a substack.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 3:21 1120 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis is a trailer for a bonus Patrons-only episode. It’s 45 minutes chatting with Aella about various things that struck Eneasz’s interest. Aella’s twitter is Aella_Girl. Homepage at Knowingless, also has a substack.This is a trailer for a bonus Patrons-only episode. It’s 45 minutes chatting with Aella about various things that struck Eneasz’s interest. Aella’s twitter is Aella_Girl. Homepage at Knowingless, also has a substack.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/155-normal-predictions-and-change-is-bad/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 09 Feb 2022 07:06:16 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1115 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/155-normal-predictions-and-change-is-bad/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/155-normal-predictions-and-change-is-bad/feed/ 0 The Conspiracy comes out strongly in favor of switching to Normal Predictions, which is safe and easy when you use the Jan Christian Refsgaard method!

Also, we agree with Zvi that Change is Bad.

(Though note that changing to Normal Predictions has so many positives that it outweighs the Bad of Change, so don’t let that dissuade you in this instance.)

Things of interest:

Scott Alexander’s predictions 2022

Timing:
32:15 Main Topic
1:38:43 Thank the Patron

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping)

Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Halo Effect

Superhero Bias

Mere Messiahs

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:12 1115 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspiracy comes out strongly in favor of switching to Normal Predictions, which is safe and easy when you use the Jan Christian Refsgaard method! Also, we agree with Zvi that Change is Bad. (Though note that changing to Normal Predictions has so many positives that it outweighs the Bad of Change, so don’t let that dissuade you in this instance.) Things of interest: Scott Alexander’s predictions 2022 Timing: 32:15 Main Topic 1:38:43 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping) Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Halo Effect Superhero Bias Mere MessiahsThe Conspiracy comes out strongly in favor of switching to Normal Predictions, which is safe and easy when you use the Jan Christian Refsgaard method! Also, we agree with Zvi that Change is Bad. (Though note that changing to Normal Predictions has so many positives that it outweighs the Bad of Change, so don’t let that dissuade you in this instance.) Things of interest: Scott Alexander’s predictions 2022 Timing: 32:15 Main Topic 1:38:43 Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping) Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Halo Effect Superhero Bias Mere MessiahsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Trailer For Wirehead Extras https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/trailer-for-wirehead-extras/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 04 Feb 2022 01:24:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1113 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/trailer-for-wirehead-extras/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/02/trailer-for-wirehead-extras/feed/ 0 A few days ago I asked Wes a couple follow-up questions on wireheading, and later chatted with Emilio from the Discord on-record. I thought it wouldn’t be too long, but it turned out to go about as long as a full episode. So now there’s a bonus episode available for Patrons (and Discord members) on Wireheading. Here’s a trailer, to entice you into getting the full thing.

To subscribe to us on Patreon — our Patreon page

To join the Discord —  our discord

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 6:08 1113 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA few days ago I asked Wes a couple follow-up questions on wireheading, and later chatted with Emilio from the Discord on-record. I thought it wouldn’t be too long, but it turned out to go about as long as a full episode. So now there’s a bonus episode available for Patrons (and Discord members) on Wireheading. Here’s a trailer, to entice you into getting the full thing. To subscribe to us on Patreon — our Patreon page To join the Discord —  our discordA few days ago I asked Wes a couple follow-up questions on wireheading, and later chatted with Emilio from the Discord on-record. I thought it wouldn’t be too long, but it turned out to go about as long as a full episode. So now there’s a bonus episode available for Patrons (and Discord members) on Wireheading. Here’s a trailer, to entice you into getting the full thing. To subscribe to us on Patreon — our Patreon page To join the Discord —  our discordRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 154 – Two General Thinkers Discuss General Thinking https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/01/154-two-general-thinkers-discuss-general-thinking/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Jan 2022 08:02:18 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1109 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/01/154-two-general-thinkers-discuss-general-thinking/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/01/154-two-general-thinkers-discuss-general-thinking/feed/ 0 Jace and Steven cover this one since Eneasz is busy drinking cocktails out of a coconut in a beach in Hawaii.

Robin Hanson (probably correctly) thinks the world is going to shit (paraphrasing). He thinks that a robust check on the escalating madness out there could be a community of intellectual generalists. Is he right? Are his categories sensible? Find out as we meander through this post!

4:24 – LW Posts
38:17 – Main Topic
2:08:35 – Thank The Patron!

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Purpose and Pragmatism

The Affect Heuristic

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping)

Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & Futurism

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:10:28 1109 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJace and Steven cover this one since Eneasz is busy drinking cocktails out of a coconut in a beach in Hawaii. Robin Hanson (probably correctly) thinks the world is going to shit (paraphrasing). He thinks that a robust check on the escalating madness out there could be a community of intellectual generalists. Is he right? Are his categories sensible? Find out as we meander through this post! 4:24 – LW Posts 38:17 – Main Topic 2:08:35 – Thank The Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Purpose and Pragmatism The Affect Heuristic Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping) Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & FuturismJace and Steven cover this one since Eneasz is busy drinking cocktails out of a coconut in a beach in Hawaii. Robin Hanson (probably correctly) thinks the world is going to shit (paraphrasing). He thinks that a robust check on the escalating madness out there could be a community of intellectual generalists. Is he right? Are his categories sensible? Find out as we meander through this post! 4:24 – LW Posts 38:17 – Main Topic 2:08:35 – Thank The Patron! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Purpose and Pragmatism The Affect Heuristic Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Evaluability (And Cheap Holiday Shopping) Unbounded Scales, Huge Jury Awards, & FuturismRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 153 – Values and Wireheading with Wes Fenza https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/01/153-values-and-wireheading-with-wes-fenza/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Jan 2022 08:33:00 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1104 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/01/153-values-and-wireheading-with-wes-fenza/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2022/01/153-values-and-wireheading-with-wes-fenza/feed/ 0 We beef with Wes over how important values may or may not be, and why Wireheading is awesome and/or evil.

Wes is the head of The Mind Killer podcast!

7:23  –  LW Posts discussion begins
53:39  –  Main Topic begins
2:01:40  –  Thank the Patron

We also discuss Not Everthing Is a Clue

and Aladdin

The quokka

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Hidden Complexity of Wishes (audio version here, courtesy of ywecur!)

Lost Purposes

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Purpose and Pragmatism

The Affect Heuristic

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:06:08 1104 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe beef with Wes over how important values may or may not be, and why Wireheading is awesome and/or evil. Wes is the head of The Mind Killer podcast! 7:23  –  LW Posts discussion begins 53:39  –  Main Topic begins 2:01:40  –  Thank the Patron We also discuss Not Everthing Is a Clue and Aladdin The quokka Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Hidden Complexity of Wishes (audio version here, courtesy of ywecur!) Lost Purposes Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Purpose and Pragmatism The Affect HeuristicWe beef with Wes over how important values may or may not be, and why Wireheading is awesome and/or evil. Wes is the head of The Mind Killer podcast! 7:23  –  LW Posts discussion begins 53:39  –  Main Topic begins 2:01:40  –  Thank the Patron We also discuss Not Everthing Is a Clue and Aladdin The quokka Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Hidden Complexity of Wishes (audio version here, courtesy of ywecur!) Lost Purposes Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Purpose and Pragmatism The Affect HeuristicRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 152 – Frame Control with Aella https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/12/152-frame-control-with-aella/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Dec 2021 08:01:57 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1101 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/12/152-frame-control-with-aella/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/12/152-frame-control-with-aella/feed/ 0 We speak to Aella about her post on Frame Control

Aella’s Twitter & LSD post

National Domestic Violence Hotline

The Categories Were Made For Man not visa versa SSC post

Jace’s XKCD reference

Shut Down The Narcissist video

Gray Rock video

Not Everything Is A Clue

Shaping Exercises 101

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone)

Leaky Generalizations

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Hidden Complexity of Wishes

Lost Purposes

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:05:26 1101 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak to Aella about her post on Frame Control Aella’s Twitter & LSD post National Domestic Violence Hotline The Categories Were Made For Man not visa versa SSC post Jace’s XKCD reference Shut Down The Narcissist video Gray Rock video Not Everything Is A Clue Shaping Exercises 101 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) Leaky Generalizations Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Hidden Complexity of Wishes Lost PurposesWe speak to Aella about her post on Frame Control Aella’s Twitter & LSD post National Domestic Violence Hotline The Categories Were Made For Man not visa versa SSC post Jace’s XKCD reference Shut Down The Narcissist video Gray Rock video Not Everything Is A Clue Shaping Exercises 101 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) Leaky Generalizations Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Hidden Complexity of Wishes Lost PurposesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 151 – Don’t Make This Your Everything https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/12/151-dont-make-this-your-everything/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Dec 2021 08:01:09 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1097 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/12/151-dont-make-this-your-everything/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/12/151-dont-make-this-your-everything/feed/ 0 We discuss Sasha Chapin’s “Your Intelligent, Conscientious In-group Has Bad Social Norms Too”

Main Topic begins at 45:46

Other items mentioned:

The Simple Truth – Eliezer’s short story about The Sheep Counter

Keep Your Identity Small – by Paul Graham, not Hanson!

Otters vs Possums – by Aella

Shit Rationalists Say

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Artificial Addition

Truly Part Of You

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone)

Leaky Generalizations

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:16:10 1097 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Sasha Chapin’s “Your Intelligent, Conscientious In-group Has Bad Social Norms Too” Main Topic begins at 45:46 Other items mentioned: The Simple Truth – Eliezer’s short story about The Sheep Counter Keep Your Identity Small – by Paul Graham, not Hanson! Otters vs Possums – by Aella Shit Rationalists Say Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Artificial Addition Truly Part Of You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) Leaky GeneralizationsWe discuss Sasha Chapin’s “Your Intelligent, Conscientious In-group Has Bad Social Norms Too” Main Topic begins at 45:46 Other items mentioned: The Simple Truth – Eliezer’s short story about The Sheep Counter Keep Your Identity Small – by Paul Graham, not Hanson! Otters vs Possums – by Aella Shit Rationalists Say Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Artificial Addition Truly Part Of You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Not for the Sake of Happiness (Alone) Leaky GeneralizationsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 150 – The Procrastination Equation https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/11/150-the-procrastination-equation/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Nov 2021 08:01:02 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1095 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/11/150-the-procrastination-equation/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/11/150-the-procrastination-equation/feed/ 0 We discuss the book The Procrastination Equation as summarized by Luke in How to Beat Procrastination

The audio is rough at first, we fixed it after 8 minutes.

Other items discussed include:

Bezos in a Mecha

The Goth Chicken

Whether the King’s English was good enough for Jesus?

Hugh Jackman for Men vs Hugh Jackman for Women

Eneasz’s next story is coming out in March

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices

The Simple Math of Everything

Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Artificial Addition

Truly Part Of You

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:05:17 1095 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss the book The Procrastination Equation as summarized by Luke in How to Beat Procrastination The audio is rough at first, we fixed it after 8 minutes. Other items discussed include: Bezos in a Mecha The Goth Chicken Whether the King’s English was good enough for Jesus? Hugh Jackman for Men vs Hugh Jackman for Women Eneasz’s next story is coming out in March Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices The Simple Math of Everything Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Artificial Addition Truly Part Of YouWe discuss the book The Procrastination Equation as summarized by Luke in How to Beat Procrastination The audio is rough at first, we fixed it after 8 minutes. Other items discussed include: Bezos in a Mecha The Goth Chicken Whether the King’s English was good enough for Jesus? Hugh Jackman for Men vs Hugh Jackman for Women Eneasz’s next story is coming out in March Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices The Simple Math of Everything Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Artificial Addition Truly Part Of YouRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 149 – The Roots of Progress, with Jason Crawford https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/11/149-the-roots-of-progress/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Nov 2021 08:01:22 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1092 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/11/149-the-roots-of-progress/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/11/149-the-roots-of-progress/feed/ 1 We speak with Jason Crawford (twitter), from The Roots of Progress. Interview begins at 44:25.

Posts discussed include:

Iron: From mythical to mundane

The various Why Did It Take So Long For (X), and specifically Cotton Gin, Bicycle, and Threshing Machine

Does invention come from deprivation or plenty?

Progress studies as a moral imperative and a civic duty

Support Roots of Progress here

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Terminal Values and Instrumental Values

Evolving to Extinction

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices

The Simple Math of Everything

Conjuring An Evolution To Serve You

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:56:57 1092 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Jason Crawford (twitter), from The Roots of Progress. Interview begins at 44:25. Posts discussed include: Iron: From mythical to mundane The various Why Did It Take So Long For (X), and specifically Cotton Gin, Bicycle, and Threshing Machine Does invention come from deprivation or plenty? Progress studies as a moral imperative and a civic duty Support Roots of Progress here Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Terminal Values and Instrumental Values Evolving to Extinction Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices The Simple Math of Everything Conjuring An Evolution To Serve YouWe speak with Jason Crawford (twitter), from The Roots of Progress. Interview begins at 44:25. Posts discussed include: Iron: From mythical to mundane The various Why Did It Take So Long For (X), and specifically Cotton Gin, Bicycle, and Threshing Machine Does invention come from deprivation or plenty? Progress studies as a moral imperative and a civic duty Support Roots of Progress here Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Terminal Values and Instrumental Values Evolving to Extinction Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: No Evolutions for Corporations or Nanodevices The Simple Math of Everything Conjuring An Evolution To Serve YouRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 148 – Decisions, Decisions https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/10/148-decisions-decisions/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Oct 2021 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1085 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/10/148-decisions-decisions/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/10/148-decisions-decisions/feed/ 0 Matt Freeman returns to talk about Decision Theory, and the discusion ranges far afield.

Matt is from The Guild of the Rose, which we had a recent episode about. You can see his Decision Theory Course videos here.

Scott Alexander on All Debates Are Bravery Debates

Our previous Newcomb episode

Our previous Torture vs Dust Specks episode

The Kindness to Kin story

 

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism

Thou Art Godshatter  (in Audio as well)

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Terminal Values and Instrumental Values

Evolving to Extinction

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Ed
]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:03:32 1085 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt Freeman returns to talk about Decision Theory, and the discusion ranges far afield. Matt is from The Guild of the Rose, which we had a recent episode about. You can see his Decision Theory Course videos here. Scott Alexander on All Debates Are Bravery Debates Our previous Newcomb episode Our previous Torture vs Dust Specks episode The Kindness to Kin story   Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism Thou Art Godshatter  (in Audio as well) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Terminal Values and Instrumental Values Evolving to Extinction Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EdMatt Freeman returns to talk about Decision Theory, and the discusion ranges far afield. Matt is from The Guild of the Rose, which we had a recent episode about. You can see his Decision Theory Course videos here. Scott Alexander on All Debates Are Bravery Debates Our previous Newcomb episode Our previous Torture vs Dust Specks episode The Kindness to Kin story   Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism Thou Art Godshatter  (in Audio as well) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Terminal Values and Instrumental Values Evolving to Extinction Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EdRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 147 – Newcomblike Problems Are The Norm https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/10/147-newcomblike-problems-are-the-norm/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Oct 2021 08:01:16 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1081 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/10/147-newcomblike-problems-are-the-norm/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/10/147-newcomblike-problems-are-the-norm/feed/ 1 How Newcomb’s problem applies to real-life. We discuss Newcomblike problems are the norm (LW crosspost).

Also mentioned:

Replacing Guilt Audiobook!

Our episode on Replacing Guilt

Our episode on Talking To Strangers part 1, and part 2

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers

Evolutionary Psychology

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism

Thou Art Godshatter

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:29:17 1081 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comHow Newcomb’s problem applies to real-life. We discuss Newcomblike problems are the norm (LW crosspost). Also mentioned: Replacing Guilt Audiobook! Our episode on Replacing Guilt Our episode on Talking To Strangers part 1, and part 2 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers Evolutionary Psychology Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism Thou Art GodshatterHow Newcomb’s problem applies to real-life. We discuss Newcomblike problems are the norm (LW crosspost). Also mentioned: Replacing Guilt Audiobook! Our episode on Replacing Guilt Our episode on Talking To Strangers part 1, and part 2 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers Evolutionary Psychology Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Protein Reinforcement and DNA Consequentialism Thou Art GodshatterRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 146 – What Is A Rationalist? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/09/146-what-is-a-rationalist/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Sep 2021 08:00:16 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1077 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/09/146-what-is-a-rationalist/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/09/146-what-is-a-rationalist/feed/ 0 We settle the ultimate question once and for all.

also discussed:

Julia Galef’s quick video on Bayesian Thinking

Bulletproofing deters warlords

Steven’s friend’s GoFundMe

Our first and second and third episodes on cryonics. The interview with Rudi Hoffman is the third one, and he can help get you signed up at  rudihoffman.com.

Also the Cryonics Institute FAQ

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Fake Morality

Fake Optimization Criteria

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers

Evolutionary Psychology

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:19:56 1077 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe settle the ultimate question once and for all. also discussed: Julia Galef’s quick video on Bayesian Thinking Bulletproofing deters warlords Steven’s friend’s GoFundMe Our first and second and third episodes on cryonics. The interview with Rudi Hoffman is the third one, and he can help get you signed up at  rudihoffman.com. Also the Cryonics Institute FAQ Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Morality Fake Optimization Criteria Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers Evolutionary PsychologyWe settle the ultimate question once and for all. also discussed: Julia Galef’s quick video on Bayesian Thinking Bulletproofing deters warlords Steven’s friend’s GoFundMe Our first and second and third episodes on cryonics. The interview with Rudi Hoffman is the third one, and he can help get you signed up at  rudihoffman.com. Also the Cryonics Institute FAQ Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Morality Fake Optimization Criteria Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Adaptation-Executers, not Fitness-Maximizers Evolutionary PsychologyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 145 – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/09/145-you-are-in-newcombs-iq-shredder/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 Sep 2021 08:01:27 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1071 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/09/145-you-are-in-newcombs-iq-shredder/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/09/145-you-are-in-newcombs-iq-shredder/feed/ 2 We discuss You Are In Newcomb’s Box and The IQ Shredder

also touched on – Why Does Singapore Have Such A Low Birthrate?

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Tragedy of Group Selectionism

Fake Selfishness

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Fake Morality

Fake Optimization Criteria

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:13:41 1071 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss You Are In Newcomb’s Box and The IQ Shredder also touched on – Why Does Singapore Have Such A Low Birthrate? Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Tragedy of Group Selectionism Fake Selfishness Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Morality Fake Optimization CriteriaWe discuss You Are In Newcomb’s Box and The IQ Shredder also touched on – Why Does Singapore Have Such A Low Birthrate? Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Tragedy of Group Selectionism Fake Selfishness Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Morality Fake Optimization CriteriaRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 144 – The Guild Of The Rose (beta) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/08/144-the-guild-of-the-rose-beta/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 25 Aug 2021 08:00:08 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1067 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/08/144-the-guild-of-the-rose-beta/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/08/144-the-guild-of-the-rose-beta/feed/ 0 We discuss The Guild of the Rose with Matt Freeman. This is somewhat of a follow-up, we first did a show about them when they were called The Guild of Servants. Join their beta!

Things we mention:

Of course The Guild of the Rose, and their Patreon

Matt’s 2018 appearance on our show – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman

CFAR (Center For Applied Rationality)

The Selfish Gene by Dawkins

The Post-Mortem/Retrospective post of the Guild of Servants Alpha

Ugh Fields

The Procrastination Equation review, and Book

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound

Beware of Stephen J. Gould

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Tragedy of Group Selectionism

Fake Selfishness

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:03 1067 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss The Guild of the Rose with Matt Freeman. This is somewhat of a follow-up, we first did a show about them when they were called The Guild of Servants. Join their beta! Things we mention: Of course The Guild of the Rose, and their Patreon Matt’s 2018 appearance on our show – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman CFAR (Center For Applied Rationality) The Selfish Gene by Dawkins The Post-Mortem/Retrospective post of the Guild of Servants Alpha Ugh Fields The Procrastination Equation review, and Book Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound Beware of Stephen J. Gould Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Tragedy of Group Selectionism Fake SelfishnessWe discuss The Guild of the Rose with Matt Freeman. This is somewhat of a follow-up, we first did a show about them when they were called The Guild of Servants. Join their beta! Things we mention: Of course The Guild of the Rose, and their Patreon Matt’s 2018 appearance on our show – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman CFAR (Center For Applied Rationality) The Selfish Gene by Dawkins The Post-Mortem/Retrospective post of the Guild of Servants Alpha Ugh Fields The Procrastination Equation review, and Book Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound Beware of Stephen J. Gould Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Tragedy of Group Selectionism Fake SelfishnessRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 143 – Crazy Like Us https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/08/143-crazy-like-us/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Aug 2021 08:10:54 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1061 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/08/143-crazy-like-us/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/08/143-crazy-like-us/feed/ 1 We discuss the review of the book Crazy Like Us

Also the highlights from the comments of the review

Quick single-line spoiler for ep 3 of Loki occurs at 41:52 and lasts for ~20 seconds.

Discussed in the show:

The Greatest Show on Earth

Old Suicide Squad Editting Fail

Making Sense ep 180 – Sex and Power

Very Bad Wizards ep 198 – Is Mental Illness a Myth?

Wan Hu, 6th Century Rocket Chair legend

Dear Sugar #44, Dead Baby

Elizabeth Loftus – Lost in a Mall Experiment video & Wiki

Our Cultural Evolution episode

George Carlin on Euphamisms & PTSD

Ophelia:

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Wonder of Evolution

Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound

Beware of Stephen J. Gould

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:36:05 1061 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss the review of the book Crazy Like Us Also the highlights from the comments of the review Quick single-line spoiler for ep 3 of Loki occurs at 41:52 and lasts for ~20 seconds. Discussed in the show: The Greatest Show on Earth Old Suicide Squad Editting Fail Making Sense ep 180 – Sex and Power Very Bad Wizards ep 198 – Is Mental Illness a Myth? Wan Hu, 6th Century Rocket Chair legend Dear Sugar #44, Dead Baby Elizabeth Loftus – Lost in a Mall Experiment video & Wiki Our Cultural Evolution episode George Carlin on Euphamisms & PTSD Ophelia: Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Wonder of Evolution Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound Beware of Stephen J. GouldWe discuss the review of the book Crazy Like Us Also the highlights from the comments of the review Quick single-line spoiler for ep 3 of Loki occurs at 41:52 and lasts for ~20 seconds. Discussed in the show: The Greatest Show on Earth Old Suicide Squad Editting Fail Making Sense ep 180 – Sex and Power Very Bad Wizards ep 198 – Is Mental Illness a Myth? Wan Hu, 6th Century Rocket Chair legend Dear Sugar #44, Dead Baby Elizabeth Loftus – Lost in a Mall Experiment video & Wiki Our Cultural Evolution episode George Carlin on Euphamisms & PTSD Ophelia: Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Wonder of Evolution Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Natural Selection’s Speed Limit and Complexity Bound Beware of Stephen J. GouldRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 142 – Do This https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/07/142-do-this/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 Jul 2021 08:04:19 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1057 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/07/142-do-this/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/07/142-do-this/feed/ 1 We discuss Dan Sivers Do This Directives

Mentioned:

Dan’s interviews

The Scout Mindset book

Jace’s Funny Dance video

An Alien God audio

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Fake Justification

An Alien God

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Wonder of Evolution

Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:32:30 1057 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Dan Sivers Do This Directives Mentioned: Dan’s interviews The Scout Mindset book Jace’s Funny Dance video An Alien God audio Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Justification An Alien God Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Wonder of Evolution Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)We discuss Dan Sivers Do This Directives Mentioned: Dan’s interviews The Scout Mindset book Jace’s Funny Dance video An Alien God audio Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Justification An Alien God Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Wonder of Evolution Evolutions Are Stupid (But Work Anyway)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 141 – Raising Younglings https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/07/141-raising-younglings/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Jul 2021 08:05:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1053 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/07/141-raising-younglings/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/07/141-raising-younglings/feed/ 0 Velcro from the subreddit and discord joins us to offer a much-valued parent’s perspective on child rearing from the perspective of someone who’s actually reared children. Jace was out looking at tiny houses (it’s a thing, they’re adorable/awesome and you should google it) and was unable to make it for this episode.

We’ve talked about kid/young adult things for like 2 months now. We’ll find something very different for a change of pace next episode. 🙂

The subreddit can be found here

Velcro mentioned that cool talk. It was great and you can check it out here: Randy Pausch’s Last Lecture

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK?

Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation

A Case Study of Motivated Continuation

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Fake Justification

An Alien God

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:06:48 1053 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comVelcro from the subreddit and discord joins us to offer a much-valued parent’s perspective on child rearing from the perspective of someone who’s actually reared children. Jace was out looking at tiny houses (it’s a thing, they’re adorable/awesome and you should google it) and was unable to make it for this episode. We’ve talked about kid/young adult things for like 2 months now. We’ll find something very different for a change of pace next episode. The subreddit can be found here Velcro mentioned that cool talk. It was great and you can check it out here: Randy Pausch’s Last Lecture Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK? Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation A Case Study of Motivated Continuation Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Justification An Alien GodVelcro from the subreddit and discord joins us to offer a much-valued parent’s perspective on child rearing from the perspective of someone who’s actually reared children. Jace was out looking at tiny houses (it’s a thing, they’re adorable/awesome and you should google it) and was unable to make it for this episode. We’ve talked about kid/young adult things for like 2 months now. We’ll find something very different for a change of pace next episode. The subreddit can be found here Velcro mentioned that cool talk. It was great and you can check it out here: Randy Pausch’s Last Lecture Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK? Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation A Case Study of Motivated Continuation Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Justification An Alien GodRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 140 – Trigger Warning: Old Men Yelling at Clouds https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/140-trigger-warning-old-men-yelling-at-clouds/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Jun 2021 08:01:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1046 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/140-trigger-warning-old-men-yelling-at-clouds/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/140-trigger-warning-old-men-yelling-at-clouds/feed/ 0 There’s too many clouds, and they’re ruining stuff that’s good!

Mentioned in this episode:

Do This. Directives.

A very early episode of ours about Feelings

Top ACLU lawyer comes out as pro-book-burning

Replatforming?

Discusses the overview of the Dean of Claremont McKenna

Shares the exact wording of the email discussed above

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low!

Double Illusion of Transparency

No One Knows What Science Doesn’t Know

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK?

Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation

A Case Study of Motivated Continuation

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:07:44 1046 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThere’s too many clouds, and they’re ruining stuff that’s good! Mentioned in this episode: Do This. Directives. A very early episode of ours about Feelings Top ACLU lawyer comes out as pro-book-burning Replatforming? Discusses the overview of the Dean of Claremont McKenna Shares the exact wording of the email discussed above Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low! Double Illusion of Transparency No One Knows What Science Doesn’t Know Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK? Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation A Case Study of Motivated ContinuationThere’s too many clouds, and they’re ruining stuff that’s good! Mentioned in this episode: Do This. Directives. A very early episode of ours about Feelings Top ACLU lawyer comes out as pro-book-burning Replatforming? Discusses the overview of the Dean of Claremont McKenna Shares the exact wording of the email discussed above Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low! Double Illusion of Transparency No One Knows What Science Doesn’t Know Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Why Are Individual IQ Differences OK? Motivated Stopping and Motivated Continuation A Case Study of Motivated ContinuationRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 139 – Kids These Days https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/139-kids-these-days/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Jun 2021 08:05:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1043 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/139-kids-these-days/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/139-kids-these-days/feed/ 0 Running with the theme of childhood/adolescent responsibility, we start off with a brief live-feedback section from esteemed guest Charlie and then move on to discuss Johnathan Haidt and Greg Lukianov’s 2015 Atlantic essay (mostly informed by Haidt’s subsequent podcast appearances) The Coddling of the American Mind, which was turned into a book 3 years later. We didn’t quite hit all the beats we wanted to, but we still had fun and hope you do too. 

Mentioned in this episode:

The Elephant in the Brain

Jonathan Haidt discussing this on Sam Harris’s podcast

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Self-Anchoring

Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it here

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low!

Double Illusion of Transparency

No One Knows What Science Doesn’t Know

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:57:39 1043 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRunning with the theme of childhood/adolescent responsibility, we start off with a brief live-feedback section from esteemed guest Charlie and then move on to discuss Johnathan Haidt and Greg Lukianov’s 2015 Atlantic essay (mostly informed by Haidt’s subsequent podcast appearances) The Coddling of the American Mind, which was turned into a book 3 years later. We didn’t quite hit all the beats we wanted to, but we still had fun and hope you do too.  Mentioned in this episode: The Elephant in the Brain Jonathan Haidt discussing this on Sam Harris’s podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Self-Anchoring Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it here Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low! Double Illusion of Transparency No One Knows What Science Doesn’t KnowRunning with the theme of childhood/adolescent responsibility, we start off with a brief live-feedback section from esteemed guest Charlie and then move on to discuss Johnathan Haidt and Greg Lukianov’s 2015 Atlantic essay (mostly informed by Haidt’s subsequent podcast appearances) The Coddling of the American Mind, which was turned into a book 3 years later. We didn’t quite hit all the beats we wanted to, but we still had fun and hope you do too.  Mentioned in this episode: The Elephant in the Brain Jonathan Haidt discussing this on Sam Harris’s podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Self-Anchoring Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it here Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Explainers Shoot High. Aim Low! Double Illusion of Transparency No One Knows What Science Doesn’t KnowRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 138 – Are Teens People? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/138-are-teens-people/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Jun 2021 09:04:08 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1035 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/138-are-teens-people/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/06/138-are-teens-people/feed/ 1 We discuss Robert Epstein’s “Teens 2.0” as he makes the Case Against Adolescence.

Eneasz’s Highlights from Teens 2.o

The Banned Goods Store

How Adult Are You? test

See also Youthfacts.org

National Youth Rights Association

Nurses on Young People, as seen on Facebook

Paid Bonus content – preshow chat on Tesla buttons, Denver Comedy Venues, and Attempted Segues

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Self-Anchoring

Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it here

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 3:09:02 1035 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Robert Epstein’s “Teens 2.0” as he makes the Case Against Adolescence. Eneasz’s Highlights from Teens 2.o The Banned Goods Store How Adult Are You? test See also Youthfacts.org National Youth Rights Association Nurses on Young People, as seen on Facebook Paid Bonus content – preshow chat on Tesla buttons, Denver Comedy Venues, and Attempted Segues Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Self-Anchoring Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it hereWe discuss Robert Epstein’s “Teens 2.0” as he makes the Case Against Adolescence. Eneasz’s Highlights from Teens 2.o The Banned Goods Store How Adult Are You? test See also Youthfacts.org National Youth Rights Association Nurses on Young People, as seen on Facebook Paid Bonus content – preshow chat on Tesla buttons, Denver Comedy Venues, and Attempted Segues Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Self-Anchoring Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it hereRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 137 – Can You Consent to Listening to this Episode? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/05/137-can-you-consent-to-listening-to-this-episode/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 May 2021 08:00:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1031 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/05/137-can-you-consent-to-listening-to-this-episode/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/05/137-can-you-consent-to-listening-to-this-episode/feed/ 0

Who can be allowed to choose their sex partners?

0:00 – 37:00 — Less Wrong Posts Discussion
37:03 – end — Main Subject Discussion

Mentioned in this show:

Worth The Candle & Not Everything Is A Clue

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Pascal’s Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities

Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Self-Anchoring

Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it here

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:24:31 1031 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWho can be allowed to choose their sex partners? 0:00 – 37:00 — Less Wrong Posts Discussion 37:03 – end — Main Subject Discussion Mentioned in this show: Worth The Candle & Not Everything Is A Clue Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Pascal’s Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Self-Anchoring Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it hereWho can be allowed to choose their sex partners? 0:00 – 37:00 — Less Wrong Posts Discussion 37:03 – end — Main Subject Discussion Mentioned in this show: Worth The Candle & Not Everything Is A Clue Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Pascal’s Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Self-Anchoring Expecting Short Inferential Distances — hear audio version of it hereRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 136 – Obviously (and Legally) Murder https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/05/136-obviously-and-legally-murder/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 May 2021 08:02:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1028 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/05/136-obviously-and-legally-murder/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/05/136-obviously-and-legally-murder/feed/ 0 The Conspiracy is minus one Jace but plus one Justin (a defense lawyer) this episode! We discuss the legalities surrounding the convictions of Derek Chauvin – the cop who (literally and legally) murdered George Floyd.

If you’re interested in a historical play by play of Justin’s write ups throughout the  court precedings, check out his posts on r/TheMotte:

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence

Hold Off On Proposing Solutions

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Pascal’s Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities

Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:44:24 1028 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspiracy is minus one Jace but plus one Justin (a defense lawyer) this episode! We discuss the legalities surrounding the convictions of Derek Chauvin – the cop who (literally and legally) murdered George Floyd. If you’re interested in a historical play by play of Justin’s write ups throughout the  court precedings, check out his posts on r/TheMotte: Part one. Part two. Part three. Part four. Part five. Part, six (in two parts). Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence Hold Off On Proposing Solutions Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Pascal’s Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands YouThe Conspiracy is minus one Jace but plus one Justin (a defense lawyer) this episode! We discuss the legalities surrounding the convictions of Derek Chauvin – the cop who (literally and legally) murdered George Floyd. If you’re interested in a historical play by play of Justin’s write ups throughout the  court precedings, check out his posts on r/TheMotte: Part one. Part two. Part three. Part four. Part five. Part, six (in two parts). Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence Hold Off On Proposing Solutions Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Pascal’s Mugging: Tiny Probabilities of Vast Utilities Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands YouRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 135 – Live Episode #2 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/135-live-episode-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Apr 2021 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1025 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/135-live-episode-2/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/135-live-episode-2/feed/ 0 This is the recording of the live episode we held on 4/18/2021.

Things mentioned:

Amazing Man 2: Love Conquers All

BBC receives 109,741 complaints over Prince Philip coverage

“My Immortal” As Alchemical Allegory

The Count Censored

The Venus Project

Uncultured Swine’s episode on The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas

The AI Girlfriend Seducing China’s Lonely Men

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

none, preempted by live chatting

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence

Hold Off On Proposing Solutions

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:36:45 1025 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis is the recording of the live episode we held on 4/18/2021. Things mentioned: Amazing Man 2: Love Conquers All BBC receives 109,741 complaints over Prince Philip coverage “My Immortal” As Alchemical Allegory The Count Censored The Venus Project Uncultured Swine’s episode on The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas The AI Girlfriend Seducing China’s Lonely Men Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: none, preempted by live chatting Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence Hold Off On Proposing SolutionsThis is the recording of the live episode we held on 4/18/2021. Things mentioned: Amazing Man 2: Love Conquers All BBC receives 109,741 complaints over Prince Philip coverage “My Immortal” As Alchemical Allegory The Count Censored The Venus Project Uncultured Swine’s episode on The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas The AI Girlfriend Seducing China’s Lonely Men Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: none, preempted by live chatting Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence Hold Off On Proposing SolutionsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Live Episode Announcement https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/live-episode-announcement/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 15 Apr 2021 23:00:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1022 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/live-episode-announcement/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/live-episode-announcement/feed/ 0 The Live Episode will be in our Discord this Sunday (April 18th) at 12:00 Noon Mountain Time (which is UTC -6). Anyone can join the audio channel and listen along. Anyone who wants to chat with us or ask questions (which is the primary purpose of this episode) can be given Live Guest role to speak by pinging @Conspirator in this channel and asking for a voice.

Join the discord!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 36 1022 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Live Episode will be in our Discord this Sunday (April 18th) at 12:00 Noon Mountain Time (which is UTC -6). Anyone can join the audio channel and listen along. Anyone who wants to chat with us or ask questions (which is the primary purpose of this episode) can be given Live Guest role to speak by pinging @Conspirator in this channel and asking for a voice. Join the discord!The Live Episode will be in our Discord this Sunday (April 18th) at 12:00 Noon Mountain Time (which is UTC -6). Anyone can join the audio channel and listen along. Anyone who wants to chat with us or ask questions (which is the primary purpose of this episode) can be given Live Guest role to speak by pinging @Conspirator in this channel and asking for a voice. Join the discord!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 134 – We’ve Got Class https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/134-weve-got-class/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Apr 2021 08:00:24 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1012 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/134-weve-got-class/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/04/134-weve-got-class/feed/ 0 The gang discusses class in America, and Scott Alexander’s Modest Proposal to destroy American politics.

Source posts: Fussell On Class, and A Modest Proposal For Republicans: Use The Word “Class”

Also mentioned:
RattleFic Podcast
Our episode on Albion’s Seed

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Original Seeing

How to Seem (and Be) Deep

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence

Hold Off On Proposing Solutions

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:10:04 1012 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe gang discusses class in America, and Scott Alexander’s Modest Proposal to destroy American politics. Source posts: Fussell On Class, and A Modest Proposal For Republicans: Use The Word “Class” Also mentioned: RattleFic Podcast Our episode on Albion’s Seed Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Original Seeing How to Seem (and Be) Deep Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence Hold Off On Proposing SolutionsThe gang discusses class in America, and Scott Alexander’s Modest Proposal to destroy American politics. Source posts: Fussell On Class, and A Modest Proposal For Republicans: Use The Word “Class” Also mentioned: RattleFic Podcast Our episode on Albion’s Seed Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Original Seeing How to Seem (and Be) Deep Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Logical Fallacy of Generalization from Fictional Evidence Hold Off On Proposing SolutionsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 133 – Is Libertarianism a Gateway Drug to Anarcho-Capitalism? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/03/133-is-libertarianism-a-gateway-drug-to-anarcho-capitalism/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Mar 2021 08:10:54 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1008 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/03/133-is-libertarianism-a-gateway-drug-to-anarcho-capitalism/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/03/133-is-libertarianism-a-gateway-drug-to-anarcho-capitalism/feed/ 0 David is back for us to pester him with questions about Libertarianism, and he tries to turn us all into Anarchists!! (not really (but he wouldn’t mind))

SPOILER WARNING! This episode contains spoilers for Worm, and for Pulp Fiction.

The Mind Killer podcast

“The Truth of Fact, the Truth of Feeling” by Ted Chiang is available as part of the “Exhalation” anthology.

The Scout Mindset, by Julia Galef

SSC — Current Affairs’ “Some Puzzles For Libertarians”, Treated As Writing Prompts For Short Stories and Archipelago and Atomic Communitarianism

The reddit thread mentioned in episode

Not Everything is a Clue podcast

What Lies Dreaming is available as an audio book!

Pokemon Primeval Podcast

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Cached Thoughts

The “Outside the Box” Box

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Original Seeing

How to Seem (and Be) Deep

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:20:23 1008 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDavid is back for us to pester him with questions about Libertarianism, and he tries to turn us all into Anarchists!! (not really (but he wouldn’t mind)) SPOILER WARNING! This episode contains spoilers for Worm, and for Pulp Fiction. The Mind Killer podcast “The Truth of Fact, the Truth of Feeling” by Ted Chiang is available as part of the “Exhalation” anthology. The Scout Mindset, by Julia Galef SSC — Current Affairs’ “Some Puzzles For Libertarians”, Treated As Writing Prompts For Short Stories and Archipelago and Atomic Communitarianism The reddit thread mentioned in episode Not Everything is a Clue podcast What Lies Dreaming is available as an audio book! Pokemon Primeval Podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Cached Thoughts The “Outside the Box” Box Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Original Seeing How to Seem (and Be) DeepDavid is back for us to pester him with questions about Libertarianism, and he tries to turn us all into Anarchists!! (not really (but he wouldn’t mind)) SPOILER WARNING! This episode contains spoilers for Worm, and for Pulp Fiction. The Mind Killer podcast “The Truth of Fact, the Truth of Feeling” by Ted Chiang is available as part of the “Exhalation” anthology. The Scout Mindset, by Julia Galef SSC — Current Affairs’ “Some Puzzles For Libertarians”, Treated As Writing Prompts For Short Stories and Archipelago and Atomic Communitarianism The reddit thread mentioned in episode Not Everything is a Clue podcast What Lies Dreaming is available as an audio book! Pokemon Primeval Podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Cached Thoughts The “Outside the Box” Box Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Original Seeing How to Seem (and Be) DeepRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 132 – Mind Killed by Libertarianism https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/03/132-mind-killed-by-libertarianism/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Mar 2021 08:02:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1005 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/03/132-mind-killed-by-libertarianism/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/03/132-mind-killed-by-libertarianism/feed/ 0 The trio unites with the Mind Killers to get mind killed on Libertarianism!

Not mentioned in the episode, but worth putting here – SSC’s Anti-Libertarian FAQ

Elinor Ostrom’s book –  Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action

The Mind Killer podcast

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Priming and Contamination

Do We Believe Everything We’re Told?

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Cached Thoughts

The “Outside the Box” Box

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:38:25 1005 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe trio unites with the Mind Killers to get mind killed on Libertarianism! Not mentioned in the episode, but worth putting here – SSC’s Anti-Libertarian FAQ Elinor Ostrom’s book –  Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priming and Contamination Do We Believe Everything We’re Told? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Cached Thoughts The “Outside the Box” BoxThe trio unites with the Mind Killers to get mind killed on Libertarianism! Not mentioned in the episode, but worth putting here – SSC’s Anti-Libertarian FAQ Elinor Ostrom’s book –  Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priming and Contamination Do We Believe Everything We’re Told? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Cached Thoughts The “Outside the Box” BoxRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 131 – Feedback Grab Bag https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/02/131-feedback-grab-bag/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Feb 2021 08:41:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=1001 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/02/131-feedback-grab-bag/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/02/131-feedback-grab-bag/feed/ 2 We catch up on some feedback and address a handful of items that have been banging around.

“We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think”

How to eat nature balls (The Universal Edibility Test)

Martyr Made podcast

The Mind Killer podcast

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws

A Priori

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Priming and Contamination

Do We Believe Everything We’re Told?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:09:18 1001 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe catch up on some feedback and address a handful of items that have been banging around. “We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think” How to eat nature balls (The Universal Edibility Test) Martyr Made podcast The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws A Priori Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Priming and Contamination Do We Believe Everything We’re Told?We catch up on some feedback and address a handful of items that have been banging around. “We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think” How to eat nature balls (The Universal Edibility Test) Martyr Made podcast The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws A Priori Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Priming and Contamination Do We Believe Everything We’re Told?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 130 – The Cause of the Hate Revolution (or: Hate is the New Sex) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/02/130-the-cause-of-the-hate-revolution-or-hate-is-the-new-sex/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Feb 2021 08:00:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=997 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/02/130-the-cause-of-the-hate-revolution-or-hate-is-the-new-sex/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/02/130-the-cause-of-the-hate-revolution-or-hate-is-the-new-sex/feed/ 0 2/3rds of the Conspiracy discusses “Hate is the New Sex”

What You Can’t Say, by Paul Graham – audio at Second Ennumerations

Scissor’s Statements coined at SSC post “Sort By Controvertial”

Bird’s Aren’t Real

The Metropolitan Man (and We Want MoR Superman analysis podcast)

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Meditation on Curiosity

Singlethink

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws

A Priori

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:15:14 997 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com2/3rds of the Conspiracy discusses “Hate is the New Sex” What You Can’t Say, by Paul Graham – audio at Second Ennumerations Scissor’s Statements coined at SSC post “Sort By Controvertial” Bird’s Aren’t Real The Metropolitan Man (and We Want MoR Superman analysis podcast) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Meditation on Curiosity Singlethink Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws A Priori2/3rds of the Conspiracy discusses “Hate is the New Sex” What You Can’t Say, by Paul Graham – audio at Second Ennumerations Scissor’s Statements coined at SSC post “Sort By Controvertial” Bird’s Aren’t Real The Metropolitan Man (and We Want MoR Superman analysis podcast) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Meditation on Curiosity Singlethink Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: No One Can Exempt You From Rationality’s Laws A PrioriRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 129 – Sympathy For The Devil https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/01/129-sympathy-for-the-devil/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 27 Jan 2021 08:37:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=990 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/01/129-sympathy-for-the-devil/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/01/129-sympathy-for-the-devil/feed/ 0

We talk with Lucien Greaves, co-founder of The Satanic Temple. We discuss seperation of church & state, abortion rights, and the value of federal religious recognition.

Baphomet

Satanic Aborition Ritual

Grey Faction 

Find a local chapter

That old article about how chickens are mostly walking meat-factories has been found! Take it with the understanding that this is probably highly motivated thinking.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

A Rational Argument

We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think

Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Meditation on Curiosity

Singlethink

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:21:45 990 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Lucien Greaves, co-founder of The Satanic Temple. We discuss seperation of church & state, abortion rights, and the value of federal religious recognition. Baphomet Satanic Aborition Ritual Grey Faction  Find a local chapter That old article about how chickens are mostly walking meat-factories has been found! Take it with the understanding that this is probably highly motivated thinking. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: A Rational Argument We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Meditation on Curiosity SinglethinkWe talk with Lucien Greaves, co-founder of The Satanic Temple. We discuss seperation of church & state, abortion rights, and the value of federal religious recognition. Baphomet Satanic Aborition Ritual Grey Faction  Find a local chapter That old article about how chickens are mostly walking meat-factories has been found! Take it with the understanding that this is probably highly motivated thinking. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as mentioned in this episode, Eneasz’s novel) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: A Rational Argument We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Meditation on Curiosity SinglethinkRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 128 – The Q-Coup https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/01/128-the-q-coup/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 12 Jan 2021 08:04:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=985 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/01/128-the-q-coup/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2021/01/128-the-q-coup/feed/ 0 We had a topic for this week, but it was prempted by the spectacle of a headlong collision between a delusional mob and harsh reality.

Footage from inside the mob as it storms the capital building

Riot timeline

The Hodge Twin’s video expressing disbelief that anyone could believe the election was fair

538 on police favoring right-wing protests

Dan Carlin’s Hard History

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
Also merch!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

What Evidence Filtered Evidence?

Rationalization

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

A Rational Argument

We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think

Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points

Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:59:40 985 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe had a topic for this week, but it was prempted by the spectacle of a headlong collision between a delusional mob and harsh reality. Footage from inside the mob as it storms the capital building Riot timeline The Hodge Twin’s video expressing disbelief that anyone could believe the election was fair 538 on police favoring right-wing protests Dan Carlin’s Hard History Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: What Evidence Filtered Evidence? Rationalization Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: A Rational Argument We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We had a topic for this week, but it was prempted by the spectacle of a headlong collision between a delusional mob and harsh reality. Footage from inside the mob as it storms the capital building Riot timeline The Hodge Twin’s video expressing disbelief that anyone could believe the election was fair 538 on police favoring right-wing protests Dan Carlin’s Hard History Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: What Evidence Filtered Evidence? Rationalization Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: A Rational Argument We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think Avoiding Your Belief’s Real Weak Points Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 127 – All About Aging with Richard Acton https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/127-all-about-aging-with-richard-acton/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Dec 2020 08:04:52 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=982 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/127-all-about-aging-with-richard-acton/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/127-all-about-aging-with-richard-acton/feed/ 1

Richard Acton answered our plea for an expert in the field of aging science! He’s Post-doctoral researcher and bioinformatician at CECAD, A Cluster of Excellence Aging research institute at the University of Cologne. His PhD work focused on the Epigenetics of aging Including ‘aging clocks’ which permit you to estimate the ‘biological age’ or time to death of an organism.

Some links from Richard:

In the spirit of We’ve Got Worm/We Want MoR, he started his own podcast with his friend Micheal in the role of Scott/Brian as he reads a sci-fi book “Dawn” by Octavia Butler which deals with biology in a more interesting way than many other books in the genre

He read Nick Bostrom’s Superintelligence whilst at the Effective Altruism global summit Oxford which featured a CFAR workshop, which he ripped off/remixed and taught at a couple of Humanist Groups

He has one blog post on LessWrong about inferential distances

He made a deck of cards for all the cognitive biases that people can buy!

Other links:

Here’s the link to the cheaper version of the “how old are your cells” thing

Every Life Is On Fire by Jeremy England

And a link to the short story Eneasz mentioned, The Secret Number

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

The Bottom Line

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

What Evidence Filtered Evidence?

Rationalization

Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit
]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:55:22 982 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRichard Acton answered our plea for an expert in the field of aging science! He’s Post-doctoral researcher and bioinformatician at CECAD, A Cluster of Excellence Aging research institute at the University of Cologne. His PhD work focused on the Epigenetics of aging Including ‘aging clocks’ which permit you to estimate the ‘biological age’ or time to death of an organism. Some links from Richard: In the spirit of We’ve Got Worm/We Want MoR, he started his own podcast with his friend Micheal in the role of Scott/Brian as he reads a sci-fi book “Dawn” by Octavia Butler which deals with biology in a more interesting way than many other books in the genre He read Nick Bostrom’s Superintelligence whilst at the Effective Altruism global summit Oxford which featured a CFAR workshop, which he ripped off/remixed and taught at a couple of Humanist Groups He has one blog post on LessWrong about inferential distances He made a deck of cards for all the cognitive biases that people can buy! Other links: Here’s the link to the cheaper version of the “how old are your cells” thing Every Life Is On Fire by Jeremy England And a link to the short story Eneasz mentioned, The Secret Number Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3 The Bottom Line Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: What Evidence Filtered Evidence? Rationalization Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditRichard Acton answered our plea for an expert in the field of aging science! He’s Post-doctoral researcher and bioinformatician at CECAD, A Cluster of Excellence Aging research institute at the University of Cologne. His PhD work focused on the Epigenetics of aging Including ‘aging clocks’ which permit you to estimate the ‘biological age’ or time to death of an organism. Some links from Richard: In the spirit of We’ve Got Worm/We Want MoR, he started his own podcast with his friend Micheal in the role of Scott/Brian as he reads a sci-fi book “Dawn” by Octavia Butler which deals with biology in a more interesting way than many other books in the genre He read Nick Bostrom’s Superintelligence whilst at the Effective Altruism global summit Oxford which featured a CFAR workshop, which he ripped off/remixed and taught at a couple of Humanist Groups He has one blog post on LessWrong about inferential distances He made a deck of cards for all the cognitive biases that people can buy! Other links: Here’s the link to the cheaper version of the “how old are your cells” thing Every Life Is On Fire by Jeremy England And a link to the short story Eneasz mentioned, The Secret Number Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3 The Bottom Line Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: What Evidence Filtered Evidence? Rationalization Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 126 – LessWrong 2.0 and Books https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/126-lesswrong-2-0-and-books/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Dec 2020 08:03:05 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=980 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/126-lesswrong-2-0-and-books/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/126-lesswrong-2-0-and-books/feed/ 0

The conspirators are joined by Ben and Oliver from the LessWrong team. In addition to standing up a new and improved platform for LessWrong and revitalizing the community, they’ve compiled about 40 posts from 2018 and put them in physical books that you can buy (for basically the cost of production) at lesswrong.com!

Some of our guest’s favorite posts:

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Einstein’s Arrogance

Occam’s Razor

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3

The Bottom Line

(Petrov Day)

Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit
]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:21:22 980 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe conspirators are joined by Ben and Oliver from the LessWrong team. In addition to standing up a new and improved platform for LessWrong and revitalizing the community, they’ve compiled about 40 posts from 2018 and put them in physical books that you can buy (for basically the cost of production) at lesswrong.com! Some of our guest’s favorite posts: Naming the Nameless An Untrollable Mathematician Babble Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Einstein’s Arrogance Occam’s Razor Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3 The Bottom Line (Petrov Day) Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditThe conspirators are joined by Ben and Oliver from the LessWrong team. In addition to standing up a new and improved platform for LessWrong and revitalizing the community, they’ve compiled about 40 posts from 2018 and put them in physical books that you can buy (for basically the cost of production) at lesswrong.com! Some of our guest’s favorite posts: Naming the Nameless An Untrollable Mathematician Babble Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Einstein’s Arrogance Occam’s Razor Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: How to Convince Me That 2 + 2 = 3 The Bottom Line (Petrov Day) Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 125 – Hacking Away at Careers https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/125-hacking-away-at-careers/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Dec 2020 08:03:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=967 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/125-hacking-away-at-careers/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/12/125-hacking-away-at-careers/feed/ 0

The conspirators share potential weaknesses in the career-distribution system that too many people don’t exploit. With the usual amount of meandering along the way.

80,000 hours

Two articles from Tim Ferriss’s blog

Optimal Employment – LessWrong

Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

How Much Evidence Does It Take?

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Einstein’s Arrogance

Occam’s Razor

Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit
]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:14:34 967 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe conspirators share potential weaknesses in the career-distribution system that too many people don’t exploit. With the usual amount of meandering along the way. 80,000 hours Two articles from Tim Ferriss’s blog Optimal Employment – LessWrong Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Lens That Sees Its Flaws How Much Evidence Does It Take? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Einstein’s Arrogance Occam’s Razor Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditThe conspirators share potential weaknesses in the career-distribution system that too many people don’t exploit. With the usual amount of meandering along the way. 80,000 hours Two articles from Tim Ferriss’s blog Optimal Employment – LessWrong Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Lens That Sees Its Flaws How Much Evidence Does It Take? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Einstein’s Arrogance Occam’s Razor Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 124 – Longevity https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/11/124-longevity/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Nov 2020 08:34:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=961 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/11/124-longevity/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/11/124-longevity/feed/ 0

A listener wants to know if we can reach life extension escape velocity.

LessWrong open thread on “true” life expectancy, and post on Three Open Problems in Aging

The SENS Research Foundation

Elysium announces their NMN trial, and the ClinicalTrials.gov link

Charlie’s Notes

David Sinclair’s post about NMN vs NR

Nootropic’s Depot, where you can buy NMN

Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking

The Replacing Guilt Podcast

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Burdensome Details

What is Evidence?

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

The Lens That Sees Its Flaws

How Much Evidence Does It Take?

Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | Edit
]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:08:31 961 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA listener wants to know if we can reach life extension escape velocity. LessWrong open thread on “true” life expectancy, and post on Three Open Problems in Aging The SENS Research Foundation Elysium announces their NMN trial, and the ClinicalTrials.gov link Charlie’s Notes David Sinclair’s post about NMN vs NR Nootropic’s Depot, where you can buy NMN Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking The Replacing Guilt Podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Burdensome Details What is Evidence? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Lens That Sees Its Flaws How Much Evidence Does It Take? Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditA listener wants to know if we can reach life extension escape velocity. LessWrong open thread on “true” life expectancy, and post on Three Open Problems in Aging The SENS Research Foundation Elysium announces their NMN trial, and the ClinicalTrials.gov link Charlie’s Notes David Sinclair’s post about NMN vs NR Nootropic’s Depot, where you can buy NMN Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking The Replacing Guilt Podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Burdensome Details What is Evidence? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: The Lens That Sees Its Flaws How Much Evidence Does It Take? Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment | EditRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 123 – Stuff Has Been Weird Lately https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/11/123-stuff-has-been-weird-lately/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Nov 2020 08:02:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=950 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/11/123-stuff-has-been-weird-lately/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/11/123-stuff-has-been-weird-lately/feed/ 2 The trio, like the rest of the country, has been under a bit of stress lately. We spend some time venting and talking about framing devices to cope with the state of the world, then move onto lighter random topics. 🙂

In The Time of Tachysensia – The article Jace brought up about distortions in one’s sense of time

The bads of ads (I love this title) – The other awesome article Jace brought to the conversation about the sneaky downsides of targeted ads

Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote

Conjunction Fallacy

Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down)

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Burdensome Details

What is Evidence?

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:04:34 950 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe trio, like the rest of the country, has been under a bit of stress lately. We spend some time venting and talking about framing devices to cope with the state of the world, then move onto lighter random topics. In The Time of Tachysensia – The article Jace brought up about distortions in one’s sense of time The bads of ads (I love this title) – The other awesome article Jace brought to the conversation about the sneaky downsides of targeted ads Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote Conjunction Fallacy Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Burdensome Details What is Evidence? Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!The trio, like the rest of the country, has been under a bit of stress lately. We spend some time venting and talking about framing devices to cope with the state of the world, then move onto lighter random topics. In The Time of Tachysensia – The article Jace brought up about distortions in one’s sense of time The bads of ads (I love this title) – The other awesome article Jace brought to the conversation about the sneaky downsides of targeted ads Details page on Eneasz’s offer to read Less Wrong posts Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote Conjunction Fallacy Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Burdensome Details What is Evidence? Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 122 – EARN IT vs America https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/10/122-earn-it-vs-america/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Oct 2020 08:44:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=944 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/10/122-earn-it-vs-america/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/10/122-earn-it-vs-america/feed/ 0 The EARN IT Act was introduce in March, it’s a disgusting censorship policy, and no one is talking about it. But wait it gets worse, because the LAED Act came a few months later and is a direct attack on general purpose computing.

The EARN IT Act and why it’s Bad

The LAED Act is even worse

Cory Doctorow: The War on General Purpose Computing

The Digital Preper-Bunker version of smart phone

Friendship is Optimal audio version

Instruments of Destruction text, and audio

Monster Factory

40 Times Corgis Mixed With Other Breeds

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased)

Why I’m Blooking

Planning Fallacy

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote

Conjunction Fallacy

Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down)

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:22 944 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe EARN IT Act was introduce in March, it’s a disgusting censorship policy, and no one is talking about it. But wait it gets worse, because the LAED Act came a few months later and is a direct attack on general purpose computing. The EARN IT Act and why it’s Bad The LAED Act is even worse Cory Doctorow: The War on General Purpose Computing The Digital Preper-Bunker version of smart phone Friendship is Optimal audio version Instruments of Destruction text, and audio Monster Factory 40 Times Corgis Mixed With Other Breeds Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) Why I’m Blooking Planning Fallacy Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote Conjunction Fallacy Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!The EARN IT Act was introduce in March, it’s a disgusting censorship policy, and no one is talking about it. But wait it gets worse, because the LAED Act came a few months later and is a direct attack on general purpose computing. The EARN IT Act and why it’s Bad The LAED Act is even worse Cory Doctorow: The War on General Purpose Computing The Digital Preper-Bunker version of smart phone Friendship is Optimal audio version Instruments of Destruction text, and audio Monster Factory 40 Times Corgis Mixed With Other Breeds Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) Why I’m Blooking Planning Fallacy Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Kahneman’s Planning Anecdote Conjunction Fallacy Conjunction Controversy (Or, How They Nail It Down) Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 121 – Crony Beliefs https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/10/121-crony-beliefs/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Oct 2020 08:01:02 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=941 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/10/121-crony-beliefs/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/10/121-crony-beliefs/feed/ 0 The trio sits down to discuss Kevin Simler’s essay “Crony Beliefs“. It’s awesome and absolutely worth reading the whole thing.

Ignore all the stuff we said about climate change and the wildfires. The emailers we got were right. Listen to the end for the addendum.

Climate Change and Fires (link one and link two)

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Rationality and the English Language

Human Evil and Muddled Thinking

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased)

Why I’m Blooking

Planning Fallacy

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:17:38 941 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe trio sits down to discuss Kevin Simler’s essay “Crony Beliefs“. It’s awesome and absolutely worth reading the whole thing. Ignore all the stuff we said about climate change and the wildfires. The emailers we got were right. Listen to the end for the addendum. Climate Change and Fires (link one and link two) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Rationality and the English Language Human Evil and Muddled Thinking Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) Why I’m Blooking Planning Fallacy Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!The trio sits down to discuss Kevin Simler’s essay “Crony Beliefs“. It’s awesome and absolutely worth reading the whole thing. Ignore all the stuff we said about climate change and the wildfires. The emailers we got were right. Listen to the end for the addendum. Climate Change and Fires (link one and link two) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Rationality and the English Language Human Evil and Muddled Thinking Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Doublethink (Choosing to be Biased) Why I’m Blooking Planning Fallacy Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 120 – Why Can’t We Brain Good? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/09/120-why-cant-we-brain-good/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Sep 2020 08:23:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=937 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/09/120-why-cant-we-brain-good/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/09/120-why-cant-we-brain-good/feed/ 1 We address frustration with how hard it is to wrangle these brains.

Wikipedia on Cognitive Distortions

Spamming Mirco Intentions

Richard Wiseman’s books 59 Seconds, and As If

Replacing Guilt

Animal Madness book

A free cbt workbook
We mention CBT a lot.

Internal family systems

The movie Velvet Buzzsaw

MAPS (psychedelic therapy)

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Radical Honesty
We Don’t Really Want Your Participation
Applause Lights

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Rationality and the English Language

Human Evil and Muddled Thinking

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:00:13 937 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe address frustration with how hard it is to wrangle these brains. Wikipedia on Cognitive Distortions Spamming Mirco Intentions Richard Wiseman’s books 59 Seconds, and As If Replacing Guilt Animal Madness book A free cbt workbook We mention CBT a lot. Internal family systems The movie Velvet Buzzsaw MAPS (psychedelic therapy) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Radical Honesty We Don’t Really Want Your Participation Applause Lights Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Rationality and the English Language Human Evil and Muddled Thinking Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We address frustration with how hard it is to wrangle these brains. Wikipedia on Cognitive Distortions Spamming Mirco Intentions Richard Wiseman’s books 59 Seconds, and As If Replacing Guilt Animal Madness book A free cbt workbook We mention CBT a lot. Internal family systems The movie Velvet Buzzsaw MAPS (psychedelic therapy) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Radical Honesty We Don’t Really Want Your Participation Applause Lights Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Rationality and the English Language Human Evil and Muddled Thinking Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Episode 119 – If You’re A Human, You’re Already Losing To GPT-3 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/09/episode-119-if-youre-a-human-youre-already-losing-to-gpt-3/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 09 Sep 2020 08:01:37 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=933 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/09/episode-119-if-youre-a-human-youre-already-losing-to-gpt-3/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/09/episode-119-if-youre-a-human-youre-already-losing-to-gpt-3/feed/ 0 GPT-3 wrote the title of this episode!

Join us as we talk with an expert insider and an expert enthusiast about GPT-3! The technology has come a surprisingly long way in a surprisingly short time!

Rick and Morty GPT-3: Rick tries to sell Morty on the idea of investing in an HSA

GPT-3 on Philosophers by GTP-3: GPT-3 argues with philosophers who claim it’s not conscious

Gwern’s page of GPT-3 stuff

The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile:

I believe in the importance of a good joke and a good book. I also believe in the importance of a good meal. I am a big fan of “The Simpsons” and “The Big Bang Theory.” I also enjoy “Family Guy,” “South Park,” “The Office,” “It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia,” “30 Rock,” and a few others. I like a lot of TV shows. I like to listen to a lot of podcasts. I spend a lot of time at the gym. I’m on a kickboxing class that I love. I also like to run and swim. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. My favorite musicians are The National, Death Cab for Cutie, Elliott Smith, The Decemberists, and so many others. I also love classical music. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. I like to read. I don’t read as much as I used to, but I love to read. I love to read books that make me think. I also love to read books that make me laugh.

 

The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile for someone who loves The Nightmare Before Christmas:

I love Tim Burton’s films and wish that I lived in Halloween Town. I sometimes dress like Jack Skeleton for Halloween. I own a replica of the Santa Claw. I have a collection of Oogie Boogie’s wiggling eyes in my closet. I think it’s adorable when Jack and Sally kiss. I want to be the Mayor of Halloween Town when I grow up. I want to marry a skeleton. I am a skeleton. I want to be a skeleton.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Anchoring and Adjustment

The Crackpot Offer

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Radical Honesty
We Don’t Really Want Your Participation
Applause Lights

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:02:23 933 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comGPT-3 wrote the title of this episode! Join us as we talk with an expert insider and an expert enthusiast about GPT-3! The technology has come a surprisingly long way in a surprisingly short time! Rick and Morty GPT-3: Rick tries to sell Morty on the idea of investing in an HSA GPT-3 on Philosophers by GTP-3: GPT-3 argues with philosophers who claim it’s not conscious Gwern’s page of GPT-3 stuff The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile: I believe in the importance of a good joke and a good book. I also believe in the importance of a good meal. I am a big fan of “The Simpsons” and “The Big Bang Theory.” I also enjoy “Family Guy,” “South Park,” “The Office,” “It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia,” “30 Rock,” and a few others. I like a lot of TV shows. I like to listen to a lot of podcasts. I spend a lot of time at the gym. I’m on a kickboxing class that I love. I also like to run and swim. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. My favorite musicians are The National, Death Cab for Cutie, Elliott Smith, The Decemberists, and so many others. I also love classical music. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. I like to read. I don’t read as much as I used to, but I love to read. I love to read books that make me think. I also love to read books that make me laugh.   The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile for someone who loves The Nightmare Before Christmas: I love Tim Burton’s films and wish that I lived in Halloween Town. I sometimes dress like Jack Skeleton for Halloween. I own a replica of the Santa Claw. I have a collection of Oogie Boogie’s wiggling eyes in my closet. I think it’s adorable when Jack and Sally kiss. I want to be the Mayor of Halloween Town when I grow up. I want to marry a skeleton. I am a skeleton. I want to be a skeleton. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Anchoring and Adjustment The Crackpot Offer Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Radical Honesty We Don’t Really Want Your Participation Applause Lights Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!GPT-3 wrote the title of this episode! Join us as we talk with an expert insider and an expert enthusiast about GPT-3! The technology has come a surprisingly long way in a surprisingly short time! Rick and Morty GPT-3: Rick tries to sell Morty on the idea of investing in an HSA GPT-3 on Philosophers by GTP-3: GPT-3 argues with philosophers who claim it’s not conscious Gwern’s page of GPT-3 stuff The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile: I believe in the importance of a good joke and a good book. I also believe in the importance of a good meal. I am a big fan of “The Simpsons” and “The Big Bang Theory.” I also enjoy “Family Guy,” “South Park,” “The Office,” “It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia,” “30 Rock,” and a few others. I like a lot of TV shows. I like to listen to a lot of podcasts. I spend a lot of time at the gym. I’m on a kickboxing class that I love. I also like to run and swim. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. My favorite musicians are The National, Death Cab for Cutie, Elliott Smith, The Decemberists, and so many others. I also love classical music. I’m not sure how I’ll incorporate these things into my future family life, but I know I will. I like to read. I don’t read as much as I used to, but I love to read. I love to read books that make me think. I also love to read books that make me laugh.   The following is an excerpt of the perfect OK Cupid profile for someone who loves The Nightmare Before Christmas: I love Tim Burton’s films and wish that I lived in Halloween Town. I sometimes dress like Jack Skeleton for Halloween. I own a replica of the Santa Claw. I have a collection of Oogie Boogie’s wiggling eyes in my closet. I think it’s adorable when Jack and Sally kiss. I want to be the Mayor of Halloween Town when I grow up. I want to marry a skeleton. I am a skeleton. I want to be a skeleton. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Anchoring and Adjustment The Crackpot Offer Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Radical Honesty We Don’t Really Want Your Participation Applause Lights Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 118 – Guns, Germs, and Guns (except the Germs are actually More Guns) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/118-guns-germs-and-guns-except-the-germs-are-actually-more-guns/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Aug 2020 08:27:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=929 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/118-guns-germs-and-guns-except-the-germs-are-actually-more-guns/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/118-guns-germs-and-guns-except-the-germs-are-actually-more-guns/feed/ 0 Gray joins us to discuss the practicalities of firearms. Be prepared!

The Cyberpunk Ezine Jace mentioned

The Legend of Murder-Ghandi

Uber and Lyft ordered by California judge to classify drivers as employees

Americans own a lot of guns.

Like, a LOT of guns.

 

Uncultured Swine – the podcast dissecting Iain Banks’ Culture novels – Apple & Sounder

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias

Availability

Why is the Future So Absurd?

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Anchoring and Adjustment

The Crackpot Offer

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:08:47 929 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comGray joins us to discuss the practicalities of firearms. Be prepared! The Cyberpunk Ezine Jace mentioned The Legend of Murder-Ghandi Uber and Lyft ordered by California judge to classify drivers as employees Americans own a lot of guns. Like, a LOT of guns.   Uncultured Swine – the podcast dissecting Iain Banks’ Culture novels – Apple & Sounder Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias Availability Why is the Future So Absurd? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Anchoring and Adjustment The Crackpot Offer Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Gray joins us to discuss the practicalities of firearms. Be prepared! The Cyberpunk Ezine Jace mentioned The Legend of Murder-Ghandi Uber and Lyft ordered by California judge to classify drivers as employees Americans own a lot of guns. Like, a LOT of guns.   Uncultured Swine – the podcast dissecting Iain Banks’ Culture novels – Apple & Sounder Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias Availability Why is the Future So Absurd? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Anchoring and Adjustment The Crackpot Offer Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 117 – The Guild of Servants https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/117-the-guild-of-servants/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Aug 2020 06:43:41 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=924 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/117-the-guild-of-servants/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/08/117-the-guild-of-servants/feed/ 3 Alex and David are launching The Guild Of Servants — an outward-facing Rationalist organization for engaging and optimizing your local social enviroment.

To apply for inclusion in their Alpha program, email GuildOfServants@gmail.com with a short response (<1000 charecters) explaining your hopes for the course, introducing yourself, and how you received this invitation. Hearing this podcast counts as having received an invitation to apply.

[EDIT from the future: – Alpha is finished, and Guild of Servants has been renamed to The Guild of the Rose. You can find them at guildoftherose.org]

You can email Alex for logistics advice on creating LW meetups in your area – alex.hedtke@gmail.com

Also mentioned in this episode:
Stand-up mathematician shows how digital pictures work and are basically all just spreadsheets
The Roots of Wokeness

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Explain/Worship/Ignore?

“Science” as Curiosity-Stopper

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias

Availability

Why is the Future So Absurd?

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:48:41 924 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAlex and David are launching The Guild Of Servants &#8212; an outward-facing Rationalist organization for engaging and optimizing your local social enviroment. To apply for inclusion in their Alpha program, email GuildOfServants@gmail.com with a short response (&lt;1000 charecters) explaining your hopes for the course, introducing yourself, and how you received this invitation. Hearing this podcast counts as having received an invitation to apply. [EDIT from the future: &#8211; Alpha is finished, and Guild of Servants has been renamed to The Guild of the Rose. You can find them at guildoftherose.org] You can email Alex for logistics advice on creating LW meetups in your area &#8211; alex.hedtke@gmail.com Also mentioned in this episode: Stand-up mathematician shows how digital pictures work and are basically all just spreadsheets The Roots of Wokeness Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Explain/Worship/Ignore? &#8220;Science&#8221; as Curiosity-Stopper Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias Availability Why is the Future So Absurd? Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Alex and David are launching The Guild Of Servants &#8212; an outward-facing Rationalist organization for engaging and optimizing your local social enviroment. To apply for inclusion in their Alpha program, email GuildOfServants@gmail.com with a short response (&lt;1000 charecters) explaining your hopes for the course, introducing yourself, and how you received this invitation. Hearing this podcast counts as having received an invitation to apply. [EDIT from the future: &#8211; Alpha is finished, and Guild of Servants has been renamed to The Guild of the Rose. You can find them at guildoftherose.org] You can email Alex for logistics advice on creating LW meetups in your area &#8211; alex.hedtke@gmail.com Also mentioned in this episode: Stand-up mathematician shows how digital pictures work and are basically all just spreadsheets The Roots of Wokeness Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Explain/Worship/Ignore? &#8220;Science&#8221; as Curiosity-Stopper Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absurdity Heuristic, Absurdity Bias Availability Why is the Future So Absurd? Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 116 – Truth, Falsity, and Censorship https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/116-truth-falsity-and-censorship/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Jul 2020 08:01:02 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=919 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/116-truth-falsity-and-censorship/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/116-truth-falsity-and-censorship/feed/ 2 Today we’re joined by special guest Alexander Wales!

Where is the line between hiding information and censorship? Is censoring content ever desirable? What role does “cancel culture” play in this? Find discussion on these questions and more inside!

Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award

A Letter on Justice and Open Debate – Harper’s Letter

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Making History Available

Stranger Than History

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Explain/Worship/Ignore?

“Science” as Curiosity-Stopper

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:21:21 919 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comToday we&#8217;re joined by special guest Alexander Wales! Where is the line between hiding information and censorship? Is censoring content ever desirable? What role does &#8220;cancel culture&#8221; play in this? Find discussion on these questions and more inside! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award A Letter on Justice and Open Debate &#8211; Harper&#8217;s Letter Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Making History Available Stranger Than History Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Explain/Worship/Ignore? &#8220;Science&#8221; as Curiosity-Stopper Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Today we&#8217;re joined by special guest Alexander Wales! Where is the line between hiding information and censorship? Is censoring content ever desirable? What role does &#8220;cancel culture&#8221; play in this? Find discussion on these questions and more inside! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award A Letter on Justice and Open Debate &#8211; Harper&#8217;s Letter Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Making History Available Stranger Than History Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Explain/Worship/Ignore? &#8220;Science&#8221; as Curiosity-Stopper Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 115 – Does Rationality Actually Do Anything? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/115-does-rationality-actually-do-anything/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Jul 2020 08:01:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=915 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/115-does-rationality-actually-do-anything/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/115-does-rationality-actually-do-anything/feed/ 0 Does Rationality improve life outcomes? How have we managed to do this show for like 4 years without hitting this question head on?! Tune in to find out!

Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award

Vice article on CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality)

Related CFAR article from the New York Times

My IRB Nightmare crosspost at LW

Flu Stats that Eneasz mentioned (and another source)

Random New Yorker Article on the reaction to SSC being deleted

Aella’s Tweet about being an aid for people struggling with their faith

Eneasz mentioned No More Cruelty to Elephants 🙂

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

My Wild and Reckless Youth

Failing to Learn from History

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Making History Available

Stranger Than History

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:57:00 915 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDoes Rationality improve life outcomes? How have we managed to do this show for like 4 years without hitting this question head on?! Tune in to find out! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award Vice article on CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality) Related CFAR article from the New York Times My IRB Nightmare crosspost at LW Flu Stats that Eneasz mentioned (and another source) Random New Yorker Article on the reaction to SSC being deleted Aella&#8217;s Tweet about being an aid for people struggling with their faith Eneasz mentioned No More Cruelty to Elephants Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: My Wild and Reckless Youth Failing to Learn from History Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Making History Available Stranger Than History Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Does Rationality improve life outcomes? How have we managed to do this show for like 4 years without hitting this question head on?! Tune in to find out! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award Vice article on CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality) Related CFAR article from the New York Times My IRB Nightmare crosspost at LW Flu Stats that Eneasz mentioned (and another source) Random New Yorker Article on the reaction to SSC being deleted Aella&#8217;s Tweet about being an aid for people struggling with their faith Eneasz mentioned No More Cruelty to Elephants Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: My Wild and Reckless Youth Failing to Learn from History Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Making History Available Stranger Than History Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 114 – Epistemic Rigor and BLM https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/114-epistemic-rigor-and-populist-movements/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Jul 2020 08:09:32 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=906 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/114-epistemic-rigor-and-populist-movements/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/07/114-epistemic-rigor-and-populist-movements/feed/ 0 Do BLM protests give people a correct impression of the fundamental problem with the police, and is that important as long as shit gets fixed? All sorts of disagreement today.

Campaign Zero’s list of reforms. This is not actually a BLM list, as we had originally thought.

The official BLM site has no policy demands or requests aside from “#Defund the Police” which is vauge to say the least.

Movement For Black Lives isn’t BLM either. They have a bit of a manifesto calling to End The War on Black People.

Yudkowsky’s Comprehensive Reboot of Law Enforcement has more to recommend it than anything BLM is putting forth at the time of this posting, which is surprising.

Simpson’s Paradox wiki, and tailored for police stats

NPYD Stop & Frisk Data

Dave Chappelle’s 8:46

Sam Harris’s podcast episode, which sparked this discussion in our Discord

A Soho Forum Debate on the same matter

You Have About Five Words

Slate Star Codex is gone

SlateStarScratchpad

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark

Say Not “Complexity”

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

My Wild and Reckless Youth

Failing to Learn from History

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:55:17 906 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDo BLM protests give people a correct impression of the fundamental problem with the police, and is that important as long as shit gets fixed? All sorts of disagreement today. Campaign Zero&#8217;s list of reforms. This is not actually a BLM list, as we had originally thought. The official BLM site has no policy demands or requests aside from &#8220;#Defund the Police&#8221; which is vauge to say the least. Movement For Black Lives isn&#8217;t BLM either. They have a bit of a manifesto calling to End The War on Black People. Yudkowsky&#8217;s Comprehensive Reboot of Law Enforcement has more to recommend it than anything BLM is putting forth at the time of this posting, which is surprising. Simpson&#8217;s Paradox wiki, and tailored for police stats NPYD Stop &amp; Frisk Data Dave Chappelle&#8217;s 8:46 Sam Harris&#8217;s podcast episode, which sparked this discussion in our Discord A Soho Forum Debate on the same matter You Have About Five Words Slate Star Codex is gone SlateStarScratchpad Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not “Complexity” Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: My Wild and Reckless Youth Failing to Learn from History Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Do BLM protests give people a correct impression of the fundamental problem with the police, and is that important as long as shit gets fixed? All sorts of disagreement today. Campaign Zero&#8217;s list of reforms. This is not actually a BLM list, as we had originally thought. The official BLM site has no policy demands or requests aside from &#8220;#Defund the Police&#8221; which is vauge to say the least. Movement For Black Lives isn&#8217;t BLM either. They have a bit of a manifesto calling to End The War on Black People. Yudkowsky&#8217;s Comprehensive Reboot of Law Enforcement has more to recommend it than anything BLM is putting forth at the time of this posting, which is surprising. Simpson&#8217;s Paradox wiki, and tailored for police stats NPYD Stop &amp; Frisk Data Dave Chappelle&#8217;s 8:46 Sam Harris&#8217;s podcast episode, which sparked this discussion in our Discord A Soho Forum Debate on the same matter You Have About Five Words Slate Star Codex is gone SlateStarScratchpad Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not “Complexity” Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: My Wild and Reckless Youth Failing to Learn from History Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 113 – Refining Niceness with Wes Fenza https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/06/113-refining-niceness-with-wes-frenza/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Jun 2020 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=901 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/06/113-refining-niceness-with-wes-frenza/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/06/113-refining-niceness-with-wes-frenza/feed/ 0 Wes joins Steven and Jace in order to to talk a bit about the current conversation around police brutality and help clarify some of the arguments in favor of Niceness from our last episode. I think we may have had some synchronization issues, as well as some background noise I tried to edit out.

Here’s an article mentioning Daniel Shaver, the guy who was murdered by cops who’s name Steven couldn’t remember. It also talks about much more current events. Ah… bummer warning on this link.

Be sure to check out the Mind Killer podcast if this podcast isn’t inflammatory enough for you!

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

We didn’t get to them this episode. Oops.

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark

Say Not “Complexity”

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:55:47 901 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWes joins Steven and Jace in order to to talk a bit about the current conversation around police brutality and help clarify some of the arguments in favor of Niceness from our last episode. I think we may have had some synchronization issues, as well as some background noise I tried to edit out. Here&#8217;s an article mentioning Daniel Shaver, the guy who was murdered by cops who&#8217;s name Steven couldn&#8217;t remember. It also talks about much more current events. Ah&#8230; bummer warning on this link. Be sure to check out the Mind Killer podcast if this podcast isn&#8217;t inflammatory enough for you! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn&#8217;t get to them this episode. Oops. Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not &#8220;Complexity&#8221; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Wes joins Steven and Jace in order to to talk a bit about the current conversation around police brutality and help clarify some of the arguments in favor of Niceness from our last episode. I think we may have had some synchronization issues, as well as some background noise I tried to edit out. Here&#8217;s an article mentioning Daniel Shaver, the guy who was murdered by cops who&#8217;s name Steven couldn&#8217;t remember. It also talks about much more current events. Ah&#8230; bummer warning on this link. Be sure to check out the Mind Killer podcast if this podcast isn&#8217;t inflammatory enough for you! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn&#8217;t get to them this episode. Oops. Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not &#8220;Complexity&#8221; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 112 – Nice Places Are Nice https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/06/112-nice-places-are-nice/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Jun 2020 07:10:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=893 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/06/112-nice-places-are-nice/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/06/112-nice-places-are-nice/feed/ 0 For Niceness to triumph within the Heart of Darkness that is the internet, we gotta make an effort.

The Evolution of Trust

A Briefer History of Time

Unweaving the Rainbow

Key and Peele communicating via text

Dan Dennett on Rappaport’s Rules

Where ‘Grok’ comes from

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Semantic Stopsigns

Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions

The Futility of Emergence

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark

Say Not “Complexity”

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:59 893 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comFor Niceness to triumph within the Heart of Darkness that is the internet, we gotta make an effort. The Evolution of Trust A Briefer History of Time Unweaving the Rainbow Key and Peele communicating via text Dan Dennett on Rappaport&#8217;s Rules Where &#8216;Grok&#8217; comes from Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Semantic Stopsigns Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions The Futility of Emergence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not &#8220;Complexity&#8221; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!For Niceness to triumph within the Heart of Darkness that is the internet, we gotta make an effort. The Evolution of Trust A Briefer History of Time Unweaving the Rainbow Key and Peele communicating via text Dan Dennett on Rappaport&#8217;s Rules Where &#8216;Grok&#8217; comes from Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Semantic Stopsigns Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions The Futility of Emergence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Positive Bias: Look Into the Dark Say Not &#8220;Complexity&#8221; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 111 – Rational Practices in Everyday Living https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/111-rational-practices-in-everyday-living/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 May 2020 08:43:49 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=886 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/111-rational-practices-in-everyday-living/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/111-rational-practices-in-everyday-living/feed/ 0 We got to see each other for the first time in months, AND Jace wasn’t there to keep us on track, so this went long. Whoops!

Pitch Meeting

The Virtue of Silence

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Science as Attire

Fake Causality

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Semantic Stopsigns

Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions

The Futility of Emergence

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:05:29 886 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe got to see each other for the first time in months, AND Jace wasn&#8217;t there to keep us on track, so this went long. Whoops! Pitch Meeting The Virtue of Silence Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Science as Attire Fake Causality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Semantic Stopsigns Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions The Futility of Emergence Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We got to see each other for the first time in months, AND Jace wasn&#8217;t there to keep us on track, so this went long. Whoops! Pitch Meeting The Virtue of Silence Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Science as Attire Fake Causality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Semantic Stopsigns Mysterious Answers to Mysterious Questions The Futility of Emergence Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, The Mind Killer Episode 4 – Are We Committing Collective Suicide? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/the-mind-killer-episode-4-are-we-committing-collective-suicide/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 13 May 2020 15:31:18 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=881 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/the-mind-killer-episode-4-are-we-committing-collective-suicide/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/the-mind-killer-episode-4-are-we-committing-collective-suicide/feed/ 0 Intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra

 

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News discussed:

 

Justin Amash is running for President

The Transhumanist Party

Power Problems’ discussion of the USS Roosevelt 

The Supreme Court is taking another look at abortion rights

Kevin Drum: We Are About to Commit Collective Suicide?

John Cochrane: Dumb Reopening Might Work

Marginal Revolution: Did We Lock Down Some Parts of the Country Too Early?

Maryland Governor Worried That the Federal Government Will Seize Their Supplies

Short Circuit podcast on qualified immunity

 

Happy News!

 

The Supreme Court may be reevaluating qualified immunity

Tests in recovered patients found false positives, not reinfections, experts say

Test introduced to market with 99% accuracy

 

The HU – Shoog Shoog

Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:04:03 881 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIntro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra &nbsp; Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/the-mind-killer?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss &nbsp; News discussed: &nbsp; Justin Amash is running for President The Transhumanist Party Power Problems’ discussion of the USS Roosevelt  The Supreme Court is taking another look at abortion rights Kevin Drum: We Are About to Commit Collective Suicide? John Cochrane: Dumb Reopening Might Work Marginal Revolution: Did We Lock Down Some Parts of the Country Too Early? Maryland Governor Worried That the Federal Government Will Seize Their Supplies Short Circuit podcast on qualified immunity &nbsp; Happy News! &nbsp; The Supreme Court may be reevaluating qualified immunity Tests in recovered patients found false positives, not reinfections, experts say Test introduced to market with 99% accuracy &nbsp; The HU &#8211; Shoog Shoog Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!Intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra &nbsp; Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/the-mind-killer?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss &nbsp; News discussed: &nbsp; Justin Amash is running for President The Transhumanist Party Power Problems’ discussion of the USS Roosevelt  The Supreme Court is taking another look at abortion rights Kevin Drum: We Are About to Commit Collective Suicide? John Cochrane: Dumb Reopening Might Work Marginal Revolution: Did We Lock Down Some Parts of the Country Too Early? Maryland Governor Worried That the Federal Government Will Seize Their Supplies Short Circuit podcast on qualified immunity &nbsp; Happy News! &nbsp; The Supreme Court may be reevaluating qualified immunity Tests in recovered patients found false positives, not reinfections, experts say Test introduced to market with 99% accuracy &nbsp; The HU &#8211; Shoog Shoog Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 110 – Socratic Grilling https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/110-socratic-grilling/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Sun, 10 May 2020 19:18:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=877 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/110-socratic-grilling/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/05/110-socratic-grilling/feed/ 0 Sorry for the delay on this one. We had some technical difficulties. Episodes will resume on their normal schedule, don’t worry.

This episode we discuss the SSC post Socratic Grilling!

We also talk about sea lioning

We mentioned the other SSC post Black People Are Less Likely

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Fake Explanations

Guessing the Teacher’s Password

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Science as Attire

Fake Causality

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:44:59 877 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSorry for the delay on this one. We had some technical difficulties. Episodes will resume on their normal schedule, don&#8217;t worry. This episode we discuss the SSC post Socratic Grilling! We also talk about sea lioning We mentioned the other SSC post Black People Are Less Likely Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Explanations Guessing the Teacher&#8217;s Password Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Science as Attire Fake Causality Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Sorry for the delay on this one. We had some technical difficulties. Episodes will resume on their normal schedule, don&#8217;t worry. This episode we discuss the SSC post Socratic Grilling! We also talk about sea lioning We mentioned the other SSC post Black People Are Less Likely Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Explanations Guessing the Teacher&#8217;s Password Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Science as Attire Fake Causality Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, The Mind Killer Episode 3 – Opening Up https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/the-mind-killer-episode-3-opening-up/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 28 Apr 2020 17:30:56 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=872 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/the-mind-killer-episode-3-opening-up/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/the-mind-killer-episode-3-opening-up/feed/ 0 New intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra

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The Bayesian Conspiracy Reddit, featuring Sonarman720’s feedback from last episode

News discussed:

The Navy is now recommending that Capt. Crozier be reinstated

Georgia is opening up some businesses

Florida beaches are limiting the hours they are open

State are forming regional coalitions to coordinate reopening

The FDA is no longer arbitrarily blocking non-cotton swabs being used in coronavirus testing

World Food Program warns of worldwide food shortages

Trump wants to cure Coronavirus by injecting bleach into people

The cholera riots

Michigan (not Wisconsin!) seems to have some arbitrary social distancing rules

Robert Graboyes #PostCOVID twitter thread

 

Happy news!

Listen to Planet Money!

Las Vegas has a drive in strip club

Emergent Ventures: supporting entrepreneurs with ideas for meaningfully improving society

 

Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:16:18 872 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comNew intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss &nbsp; The Bayesian Conspiracy Reddit, featuring Sonarman720’s feedback from last episode News discussed: The Navy is now recommending that Capt. Crozier be reinstated Georgia is opening up some businesses Florida beaches are limiting the hours they are open State are forming regional coalitions to coordinate reopening The FDA is no longer arbitrarily blocking non-cotton swabs being used in coronavirus testing World Food Program warns of worldwide food shortages Trump wants to cure Coronavirus by injecting bleach into people The cholera riots Michigan (not Wisconsin!) seems to have some arbitrary social distancing rules Robert Graboyes #PostCOVID twitter thread &nbsp; Happy news! Listen to Planet Money! Las Vegas has a drive in strip club Emergent Ventures: supporting entrepreneurs with ideas for meaningfully improving society &nbsp; Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!New intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss &nbsp; The Bayesian Conspiracy Reddit, featuring Sonarman720’s feedback from last episode News discussed: The Navy is now recommending that Capt. Crozier be reinstated Georgia is opening up some businesses Florida beaches are limiting the hours they are open State are forming regional coalitions to coordinate reopening The FDA is no longer arbitrarily blocking non-cotton swabs being used in coronavirus testing World Food Program warns of worldwide food shortages Trump wants to cure Coronavirus by injecting bleach into people The cholera riots Michigan (not Wisconsin!) seems to have some arbitrary social distancing rules Robert Graboyes #PostCOVID twitter thread &nbsp; Happy news! Listen to Planet Money! Las Vegas has a drive in strip club Emergent Ventures: supporting entrepreneurs with ideas for meaningfully improving society &nbsp; Got something to say? Come chat with us on the Bayesian Conspiracy Discord or email us at themindkillerpodcast@gmail.com. Say something smart and we’ll mention you on the next show!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 109 – What Have We Been Consuming? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/109-what-have-we-been-consuming/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Apr 2020 08:22:39 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=866 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/109-what-have-we-been-consuming/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/109-what-have-we-been-consuming/feed/ 0 What’s been getting the Conspirators through this lockdown?

Steven:
Hollow Knight
Horizon Zero Dawn
Kingdom
Brooklyn 99
Better Call Saul
Santa Clarita Diet

Eneasz:
Nier: Automata
When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (Billie Eilish)

Jace:
What Remains of Edith Finch
Baba is You
Polyphasic Sleep
Wobble Cushion

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence

Is Molecular Nanotechnology “Scientific”?

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Fake Explanations

Guessing the Teacher’s Password

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:37:49 866 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhat&#8217;s been getting the Conspirators through this lockdown? Steven: Hollow Knight Horizon Zero Dawn Kingdom Brooklyn 99 Better Call Saul Santa Clarita Diet Eneasz: Nier: Automata When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (Billie Eilish) Jace: What Remains of Edith Finch Baba is You Polyphasic Sleep Wobble Cushion Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence Is Molecular Nanotechnology &#8220;Scientific&#8221;? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Explanations Guessing the Teacher&#8217;s Password Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!What&#8217;s been getting the Conspirators through this lockdown? Steven: Hollow Knight Horizon Zero Dawn Kingdom Brooklyn 99 Better Call Saul Santa Clarita Diet Eneasz: Nier: Automata When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (Billie Eilish) Jace: What Remains of Edith Finch Baba is You Polyphasic Sleep Wobble Cushion Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence Is Molecular Nanotechnology &#8220;Scientific&#8221;? Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Fake Explanations Guessing the Teacher&#8217;s Password Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, The Mind Killer Episode 2 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/the-mind-killer-episode-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 14 Apr 2020 21:55:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=861 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/the-mind-killer-episode-2/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/the-mind-killer-episode-2/feed/ 0 Don’t Socially Distance your mind — Subscribe at http://themindkiller.libsyn.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

WHO is reporting statistics from Taiwan together with China’s stats

WHO originally repeated China’s claim that COVID wasn’t human-transmissible.

Time’s Up Legal Defense Fund Refused to Support #MeToo Sex Assault Allegation Against Joe Biden

Reason article on the allegations against Joe Biden

Slatestarcodex: Against Overgendering Harrassment

The Bayesian Conspiracy – David on a Negative Income Tax

Coronavirus testing – not enough false positives 

Everyone is on lockdown except for the South 

Spain to try out UBI?

US Government to Pay Pastor Salaries

Amazon Warehouse worker/protester fired 

Captain of Aircraft Carrier dismissed for requesting crew protection

Happy News!
Industries pivot to making ventiatlors
Crispr injected into dude’s eye to reverse blindness caused by genetic abnormality. Results pending.

80,000 Hours: Good News About Covid-19

George Orwell: Politics and the English Language

 

And for next time::

Robert Graboyes #PostCovid predictions

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:25:50 861 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDon&#8217;t Socially Distance your mind &#8212; Subscribe at http://themindkiller.libsyn.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss WHO is reporting statistics from Taiwan together with China’s stats WHO originally repeated China&#8217;s claim that COVID wasn&#8217;t human-transmissible. Time’s Up Legal Defense Fund Refused to Support #MeToo Sex Assault Allegation Against Joe Biden Reason article on the allegations against Joe Biden And followup about media blackout Slatestarcodex: Against Overgendering Harrassment The Bayesian Conspiracy &#8211; David on a Negative Income Tax Coronavirus testing &#8211; not enough false positives  Everyone is on lockdown except for the South  Spain to try out UBI? US Government to Pay Pastor Salaries Amazon Warehouse worker/protester fired  Captain of Aircraft Carrier dismissed for requesting crew protection Happy News! Industries pivot to making ventiatlors Crispr injected into dude’s eye to reverse blindness caused by genetic abnormality. Results pending. 80,000 Hours: Good News About Covid-19 George Orwell: Politics and the English Language &nbsp; And for next time:: Robert Graboyes #PostCovid predictionsDon&#8217;t Socially Distance your mind &#8212; Subscribe at http://themindkiller.libsyn.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss WHO is reporting statistics from Taiwan together with China’s stats WHO originally repeated China&#8217;s claim that COVID wasn&#8217;t human-transmissible. Time’s Up Legal Defense Fund Refused to Support #MeToo Sex Assault Allegation Against Joe Biden Reason article on the allegations against Joe Biden And followup about media blackout Slatestarcodex: Against Overgendering Harrassment The Bayesian Conspiracy &#8211; David on a Negative Income Tax Coronavirus testing &#8211; not enough false positives  Everyone is on lockdown except for the South  Spain to try out UBI? US Government to Pay Pastor Salaries Amazon Warehouse worker/protester fired  Captain of Aircraft Carrier dismissed for requesting crew protection Happy News! Industries pivot to making ventiatlors Crispr injected into dude’s eye to reverse blindness caused by genetic abnormality. Results pending. 80,000 Hours: Good News About Covid-19 George Orwell: Politics and the English Language &nbsp; And for next time:: Robert Graboyes #PostCovid predictionsRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/108-rudi-hoffman-on-how-to-beat-death-and-taxes/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 Apr 2020 08:01:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=858 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/108-rudi-hoffman-on-how-to-beat-death-and-taxes/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/04/108-rudi-hoffman-on-how-to-beat-death-and-taxes/feed/ 2 Long time listeners will have heard Steven plug his name several times, but now we’ve got the man himself! Futurist, Cryonicist, and life insurance guru Rudi Hoffman is here to give the best sales pitch for signing up for Cryonics that I (Steven, and I suspect all of the hosts) have heard.

I promise we’ll work out the audio issues by the next episode.

You guys are gonna love the first half. The second half had this awesome audio hiccup so it sounds like we’re recording into those cups with strings attached to them. Apologies for the audio quality–now that everybody’s working from home and practicing safe social distancing… well, it’s Skype o’clock. Due to the time constraint I (Steven, blame me) decided to just air the poor audio version. Tell me how much you hate it in the discord, but only after you listen to the first half.

Show links:

  • Everything you need to know can be found at rudihoffman.com! If you have any questions about anything we discussed, hit him up.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You

Expecting Short Inferential Distances

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence

Is Molecular Nanotechnology “Scientific”?

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:07:44 858 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comLong time listeners will have heard Steven plug his name several times, but now we&#8217;ve got the man himself! Futurist, Cryonicist, and life insurance guru Rudi Hoffman is here to give the best sales pitch for signing up for Cryonics that I (Steven, and I suspect all of the hosts) have heard. I promise we&#8217;ll work out the audio issues by the next episode. You guys are gonna love the first half. The second half had this awesome audio hiccup so it sounds like we&#8217;re recording into those cups with strings attached to them. Apologies for the audio quality&#8211;now that everybody&#8217;s working from home and practicing safe social distancing&#8230; well, it&#8217;s Skype o&#8217;clock. Due to the time constraint I (Steven, blame me) decided to just air the poor audio version. Tell me how much you hate it in the discord, but only after you listen to the first half. Show links: Everything you need to know can be found at rudihoffman.com! If you have any questions about anything we discussed, hit him up. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Expecting Short Inferential Distances Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence Is Molecular Nanotechnology &#8220;Scientific&#8221;? &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Long time listeners will have heard Steven plug his name several times, but now we&#8217;ve got the man himself! Futurist, Cryonicist, and life insurance guru Rudi Hoffman is here to give the best sales pitch for signing up for Cryonics that I (Steven, and I suspect all of the hosts) have heard. I promise we&#8217;ll work out the audio issues by the next episode. You guys are gonna love the first half. The second half had this awesome audio hiccup so it sounds like we&#8217;re recording into those cups with strings attached to them. Apologies for the audio quality&#8211;now that everybody&#8217;s working from home and practicing safe social distancing&#8230; well, it&#8217;s Skype o&#8217;clock. Due to the time constraint I (Steven, blame me) decided to just air the poor audio version. Tell me how much you hate it in the discord, but only after you listen to the first half. Show links: Everything you need to know can be found at rudihoffman.com! If you have any questions about anything we discussed, hit him up. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Expecting Short Inferential Distances Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Scientific Evidence, Legal Evidence, Rational Evidence Is Molecular Nanotechnology &#8220;Scientific&#8221;? &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, The Mind Killer 001 – The Hammer and The Dance https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/the-mind-killer-001-the-hammer-and-the-dance/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Apr 2020 01:26:32 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=852 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/the-mind-killer-001-the-hammer-and-the-dance/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/the-mind-killer-001-the-hammer-and-the-dance/feed/ 2 Politics is the mind killer, so come get mind-killed! Your hosts Wesley Fenza, Eneasz Brodski, and David Spearman discuss the week’s news.

There’s a new podcast in town, and we’re giving it a kick-start.

We will host the first four episodes of The Mind Killer here on The Bayesian Conspiracy’s feed. After that, you’ll have to subscribe to it separately to keep getting it. Subscribe now, before you forget! RSS is http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss
iTunes and other publishers coming soon

Links:
The Hammer and the Dance
Hanson’s proposal to intentionally infect the healthy with a low-load dose
The Stimulus Package
Rio de Janeiro gangs do the right thing
Eneasz has a blog post that says in text what he said in audio re: emergency prices

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:13:30 852 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comPolitics is the mind killer, so come get mind-killed! Your hosts Wesley Fenza, Eneasz Brodski, and David Spearman discuss the week&#8217;s news. There&#8217;s a new podcast in town, and we&#8217;re giving it a kick-start. We will host the first four episodes of The Mind Killer here on The Bayesian Conspiracy&#8217;s feed. After that, you&#8217;ll have to subscribe to it separately to keep getting it. Subscribe now, before you forget! RSS is http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss iTunes and other publishers coming soon Links: The Hammer and the Dance Hanson&#8217;s proposal to intentionally infect the healthy with a low-load dose The Stimulus Package Rio de Janeiro gangs do the right thing Eneasz has a blog post that says in text what he said in audio re: emergency pricesPolitics is the mind killer, so come get mind-killed! Your hosts Wesley Fenza, Eneasz Brodski, and David Spearman discuss the week&#8217;s news. There&#8217;s a new podcast in town, and we&#8217;re giving it a kick-start. We will host the first four episodes of The Mind Killer here on The Bayesian Conspiracy&#8217;s feed. After that, you&#8217;ll have to subscribe to it separately to keep getting it. Subscribe now, before you forget! RSS is http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss iTunes and other publishers coming soon Links: The Hammer and the Dance Hanson&#8217;s proposal to intentionally infect the healthy with a low-load dose The Stimulus Package Rio de Janeiro gangs do the right thing Eneasz has a blog post that says in text what he said in audio re: emergency pricesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 107 – Talking to Even More Strangers https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/talking-to-even-more-strangers/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 26 Mar 2020 03:20:22 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=847 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/talking-to-even-more-strangers/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/talking-to-even-more-strangers/feed/ 0

The conspirators go more in-depth on how little we know about the people we don’t know (Malcolm Gladwell’s Talking to Strangers), plus more COVID19 chattering.

Apologies for the audio quality–now that everybody’s working from home and practicing safe social distancing… well, it’s Skype o’clock.

Content warning: this episode contains some discussion of sexual assault, as it relates to the book. Non-graphic.

Show links:

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Hindsight Bias

Hindsight Devalues Science

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You

Expecting Short Inferential Distances

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:29:08 847 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe conspirators go more in-depth on how little we know about the people we don&#8217;t know (Malcolm Gladwell&#8217;s Talking to Strangers), plus more COVID19 chattering. Apologies for the audio quality&#8211;now that everybody&#8217;s working from home and practicing safe social distancing&#8230; well, it&#8217;s Skype o&#8217;clock. Content warning: this episode contains some discussion of sexual assault, as it relates to the book. Non-graphic. Show links: The book we&#8217;re talking about: Talking to Strangers Jess also recommends this book, also by Gladwell: David &amp; Goliath Robin Hanson&#8217;s Elephant in the Brain The TBC episode we did, with Hanson as our Special Guest Article mentioned: Beware Trivial Inconveniences Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Hindsight Bias Hindsight Devalues Science Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Expecting Short Inferential Distances Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!The conspirators go more in-depth on how little we know about the people we don&#8217;t know (Malcolm Gladwell&#8217;s Talking to Strangers), plus more COVID19 chattering. Apologies for the audio quality&#8211;now that everybody&#8217;s working from home and practicing safe social distancing&#8230; well, it&#8217;s Skype o&#8217;clock. Content warning: this episode contains some discussion of sexual assault, as it relates to the book. Non-graphic. Show links: The book we&#8217;re talking about: Talking to Strangers Jess also recommends this book, also by Gladwell: David &amp; Goliath Robin Hanson&#8217;s Elephant in the Brain The TBC episode we did, with Hanson as our Special Guest Article mentioned: Beware Trivial Inconveniences Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Hindsight Bias Hindsight Devalues Science Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Illusion of Transparency: Why No One Understands You Expecting Short Inferential Distances Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 106 – Talking to Strangers (with COVID-19) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/106-talking-to-strangers-with-covid-19/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Mar 2020 08:01:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=840 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/106-talking-to-strangers-with-covid-19/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/03/106-talking-to-strangers-with-covid-19/feed/ 1 We open up with some pre-episode chatter that I left in, then talk for a bit about Coronavirus before moving into the scheduled topic of Malcom Gladwell’s book Talking to Strangers!

UPDATE: Given the situation in Italy, we’re upping our concern. Please increase the emotional volume of the Coronavirus section by about 1.5 levels.

 

 

 

SSC Coronavirus

Seeing The Smoke

Last Week Tonight on Coronavirus

SMBC Steven mentioned in the pre-episode stuff

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Update Yourself Incrementally

One Argument Against An Army

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Hindsight Bias

Hindsight Devalues Science

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:21:26 840 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe open up with some pre-episode chatter that I left in, then talk for a bit about Coronavirus before moving into the scheduled topic of Malcom Gladwell&#8217;s book Talking to Strangers! UPDATE: Given the situation in Italy, we&#8217;re upping our concern. Please increase the emotional volume of the Coronavirus section by about 1.5 levels. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; SSC Coronavirus Seeing The Smoke Last Week Tonight on Coronavirus SMBC Steven mentioned in the pre-episode stuff Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An Army Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Hindsight Bias Hindsight Devalues Science Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We open up with some pre-episode chatter that I left in, then talk for a bit about Coronavirus before moving into the scheduled topic of Malcom Gladwell&#8217;s book Talking to Strangers! UPDATE: Given the situation in Italy, we&#8217;re upping our concern. Please increase the emotional volume of the Coronavirus section by about 1.5 levels. &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; SSC Coronavirus Seeing The Smoke Last Week Tonight on Coronavirus SMBC Steven mentioned in the pre-episode stuff Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An Army Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Hindsight Bias Hindsight Devalues Science Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 105 – The Anthropic Principle is da bomb https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/02/105-the-anthropic-principle-is-da-bomb/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Feb 2020 08:49:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=833 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/02/105-the-anthropic-principle-is-da-bomb/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/02/105-the-anthropic-principle-is-da-bomb/feed/ 3 What conclusions can you draw from the fact that you’re here?

The Anthropic Principle – 5 short examples

Anthropics and Biased Models – “we can’t use anthropic reasoning on a single side of a model”

An Anthropic Principle Fairy Tale

Hanson’s “Great Filter” and does the Anthropic Principle affect it?

Max Tegmark’s mathematical universe levels

New Death Note one-shot chapter

Key & Peele get tone confused over texts

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

We didn’t get around to discussing any LessWrong posts in this episode. Whoops!

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Update Yourself Incrementally

One Argument Against An Army

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:06:54 833 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhat conclusions can you draw from the fact that you&#8217;re here? The Anthropic Principle &#8211; 5 short examples Anthropics and Biased Models &#8211; &#8220;we can&#8217;t use anthropic reasoning on a single side of a model&#8221; An Anthropic Principle Fairy Tale Hanson&#8217;s &#8220;Great Filter&#8221; and does the Anthropic Principle affect it? Max Tegmark&#8217;s mathematical universe levels New Death Note one-shot chapter Key &amp; Peele get tone confused over texts Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn’t get around to discussing any LessWrong posts in this episode. Whoops! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An Army Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!What conclusions can you draw from the fact that you&#8217;re here? The Anthropic Principle &#8211; 5 short examples Anthropics and Biased Models &#8211; &#8220;we can&#8217;t use anthropic reasoning on a single side of a model&#8221; An Anthropic Principle Fairy Tale Hanson&#8217;s &#8220;Great Filter&#8221; and does the Anthropic Principle affect it? Max Tegmark&#8217;s mathematical universe levels New Death Note one-shot chapter Key &amp; Peele get tone confused over texts Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn’t get around to discussing any LessWrong posts in this episode. Whoops! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An Army Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 104 – Do You Want To Ask or Guess This Episode’s Topic? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/02/104-do-you-want-to-ask-or-guess-this-episodes-topic/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Feb 2020 08:01:58 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=830 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/02/104-do-you-want-to-ask-or-guess-this-episodes-topic/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/02/104-do-you-want-to-ask-or-guess-this-episodes-topic/feed/ 2 In this episode we’re joined by Matt Freeman and Wes Fenza!

Matt from The Doofcast joins us. Their next big audio project is Kingslingers, but be sure to check out We’ve Got Ward and Doofcast too!

Wes writes at livingwithinreason.com and practice divorce and family law in South Jersey.

As always, there’s a relevant XKCD. Is Monroe’s Law a thing yet?

Also check out Matt’s quick write up he did during the Discord conversation that prompted this episode. It’s an unfinished/unedited short essay, and his thoughts have updated since he wrote this.

And I found that Matt Braunger comedy bit about failing at both Ask and Guess Culture (and basic picking up signals)

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

We didn’t get around to discussing any LessWrong posts in this episode. Whoops!

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Update Yourself Incrementally

One Argument Against An Army

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:52:46 830 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIn this episode we&#8217;re joined by Matt Freeman and Wes Fenza! Matt from The Doofcast joins us. Their next big audio project is Kingslingers, but be sure to check out We&#8217;ve Got Ward and Doofcast too! Wes writes at livingwithinreason.com and practice divorce and family law in South Jersey. As always, there&#8217;s a relevant XKCD. Is Monroe&#8217;s Law a thing yet? Also check out Matt&#8217;s quick write up he did during the Discord conversation that prompted this episode. It&#8217;s an unfinished/unedited short essay, and his thoughts have updated since he wrote this. And I found that Matt Braunger comedy bit about failing at both Ask and Guess Culture (and basic picking up signals) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn&#8217;t get around to discussing any LessWrong posts in this episode. Whoops! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An Army Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!In this episode we&#8217;re joined by Matt Freeman and Wes Fenza! Matt from The Doofcast joins us. Their next big audio project is Kingslingers, but be sure to check out We&#8217;ve Got Ward and Doofcast too! Wes writes at livingwithinreason.com and practice divorce and family law in South Jersey. As always, there&#8217;s a relevant XKCD. Is Monroe&#8217;s Law a thing yet? Also check out Matt&#8217;s quick write up he did during the Discord conversation that prompted this episode. It&#8217;s an unfinished/unedited short essay, and his thoughts have updated since he wrote this. And I found that Matt Braunger comedy bit about failing at both Ask and Guess Culture (and basic picking up signals) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: We didn&#8217;t get around to discussing any LessWrong posts in this episode. Whoops! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An Army Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 103 – Radical Honesty https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/01/103-radical-honesty/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 30 Jan 2020 01:44:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=827 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/01/103-radical-honesty/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/01/103-radical-honesty/feed/ 3 People you may or may not have met before discuss Radical Honesty. (One of those people also has their own podcast–however, it is Very Different From Ours….)

Stuff mentioned in the episode:

Friend of the podcast Within Reason’s take (recommended read): Not-So-Radical Honesty

The official (?) Radical Honesty site: Old and New

Admonymous: Anonymous Admonition and Admiration

Pact! Magic users cannot tell lies…

Webcomic (recommended by Drake): Subnormality (Tells the Truth)

Multiamory Podcast: lots of good tools for all kinds of relationships here

Reciprocity.io: you check boxes, they check boxes…

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence

Conservation of Expected Evidence

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Update Yourself Incrementally

One Argument Against An Army

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:44:44 827 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comPeople you may or may not have met before discuss Radical Honesty. (One of those people also has their own podcast&#8211;however, it is Very Different From Ours&#8230;.) Stuff mentioned in the episode: Friend of the podcast Within Reason&#8217;s take (recommended read): Not-So-Radical Honesty The official (?) Radical Honesty site: Old and New Admonymous: Anonymous Admonition and Admiration Pact! Magic users cannot tell lies&#8230; Webcomic (recommended by Drake): Subnormality (Tells the Truth) Multiamory Podcast: lots of good tools for all kinds of relationships here Reciprocity.io: you check boxes, they check boxes&#8230; Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence Conservation of Expected Evidence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An ArmyPeople you may or may not have met before discuss Radical Honesty. (One of those people also has their own podcast&#8211;however, it is Very Different From Ours&#8230;.) Stuff mentioned in the episode: Friend of the podcast Within Reason&#8217;s take (recommended read): Not-So-Radical Honesty The official (?) Radical Honesty site: Old and New Admonymous: Anonymous Admonition and Admiration Pact! Magic users cannot tell lies&#8230; Webcomic (recommended by Drake): Subnormality (Tells the Truth) Multiamory Podcast: lots of good tools for all kinds of relationships here Reciprocity.io: you check boxes, they check boxes&#8230; Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence Conservation of Expected Evidence Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Update Yourself Incrementally One Argument Against An ArmyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 102 – Decade in Review https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/01/102-decade-in-review/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 16 Jan 2020 09:43:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=820 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/01/102-decade-in-review/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2020/01/102-decade-in-review/feed/ 2 Everyone else is doing it, so why can’t we?

Matt from The Doofcast joins us. His next audio project is Kingslingers

You can still partake in the SSC survey! If you’re even a casual reader, Scott is interested in your data. He will only mine it for Good. 🙂

Remember THUNK? They’re a cool youtube channel!

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Your Strength as a Rationalist

I Defy the Data!

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence

Conservation of Expected Evidence

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:22:56 820 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEveryone else is doing it, so why can&#8217;t we? Matt from The Doofcast joins us. His next audio project is Kingslingers You can still partake in the SSC survey! If you&#8217;re even a casual reader, Scott is interested in your data. He will only mine it for Good. Remember THUNK? They&#8217;re a cool youtube channel! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Your Strength as a Rationalist I Defy the Data! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence Conservation of Expected Evidence Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Everyone else is doing it, so why can&#8217;t we? Matt from The Doofcast joins us. His next audio project is Kingslingers You can still partake in the SSC survey! If you&#8217;re even a casual reader, Scott is interested in your data. He will only mine it for Good. Remember THUNK? They&#8217;re a cool youtube channel! Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Your Strength as a Rationalist I Defy the Data! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Absence of Evidence Is Evidence of Absence Conservation of Expected Evidence Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 101 – The Live Episode (pt2) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/101-the-live-episode-pt2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Jan 2020 06:59:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=815 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/101-the-live-episode-pt2/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/101-the-live-episode-pt2/feed/ 1 This is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April’s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it’s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard much of this will be to understand.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:03:57 815 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April&#8217;s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it&#8217;s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard much of this will be to understand. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?This is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April&#8217;s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it&#8217;s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard much of this will be to understand. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 100 – The Live Episode (pt1) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/100-the-live-episode-pt1/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Dec 2019 08:26:39 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=810 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/100-the-live-episode-pt1/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/100-the-live-episode-pt1/feed/ 1 This is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April’s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it’s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard much of this will be to understand.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:30 810 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April&#8217;s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it&#8217;s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard much of this will be to understand. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?This is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April&#8217;s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it&#8217;s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard much of this will be to understand. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Live Episode on Sunday Dec 15, 1pm MT (GMT -6) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/live-episode-on-sunday-dec-15-1pm-mt-gmt-6/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Fri, 13 Dec 2019 02:48:30 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=802 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/live-episode-on-sunday-dec-15-1pm-mt-gmt-6/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/live-episode-on-sunday-dec-15-1pm-mt-gmt-6/feed/ 1 The Live Episode is Sunday Dec 15 at 1pm Mountain time. You can listen in on Discord following this link:  https://discord.gg/zaAubxS?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

This post will update with a YouTube stream as well, once we have that ready.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full 1:10 802 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comnoThe Live Episode is Sunday Dec 15 at 1pm Mountain time. You can listen in on Discord following this link:  https://discord.gg/zaAubxS?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss This post will update with a YouTube stream as well, once we have that ready.The Live Episode is Sunday Dec 15 at 1pm Mountain time. You can listen in on Discord following this link:  https://discord.gg/zaAubxS?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss This post will update with a YouTube stream as well, once we have that ready.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 99 – Whiteshift https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/99-whiteshift/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Dec 2019 09:52:07 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=797 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/99-whiteshift/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/12/99-whiteshift/feed/ 1 Eneasz shares his reading of Whiteshift by Eric Kaufmann

News story about the CFAR barricading

Ted Cruz bad lip reading

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

none, we ran out of time, doh!

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Your Strength as a Rationalist

I Defy the Data!

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:23:50 797 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz shares his reading of Whiteshift by Eric Kaufmann News story about the CFAR barricading Ted Cruz bad lip reading Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: none, we ran out of time, doh! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Your Strength as a Rationalist I Defy the Data! Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Eneasz shares his reading of Whiteshift by Eric Kaufmann News story about the CFAR barricading Ted Cruz bad lip reading Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: none, we ran out of time, doh! Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Your Strength as a Rationalist I Defy the Data! Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 98 – A GSV Very Different From Ours https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/11/98-a-gsv-very-different-from-ours/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Nov 2019 09:26:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=788 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/11/98-a-gsv-very-different-from-ours/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/11/98-a-gsv-very-different-from-ours/feed/ 2 We are joined by Discord user GSV to talk about Legal Systems Very Different From Ours

The Podcast Very Different From Ours is available at SoundCloud, as well as GooglePodcasts. iTunes link coming soon.

Scott Alexander’s fiction discussed: Samsara, The Study of Anglophysics (audio), Unsong (audio)

This Waifu Does Not Exist

Brad Pitt in Snatch

Pro Se Folk Devil

John Oliver on SLAPPs

Helpful links provided by commentor  Lorien:

references on air pollution (quick and dirty search):

https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss


Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours:
https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

 

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

The Virtue of Narrowness

You Can Face Reality

The Apocalypse Bet

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Your Strength as a Rationalist

I Defy the Data!

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:13:40 788 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe are joined by Discord user GSV to talk about Legal Systems Very Different From Ours The Podcast Very Different From Ours is available at SoundCloud, as well as GooglePodcasts. iTunes link coming soon. Scott Alexander&#8217;s fiction discussed: Samsara, The Study of Anglophysics (audio), Unsong (audio) This Waifu Does Not Exist Brad Pitt in Snatch Pro Se Folk Devil John Oliver on SLAPPs Helpful links provided by commentor  Lorien: references on air pollution (quick and dirty search): https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours: https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss &nbsp; Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Virtue of Narrowness You Can Face Reality The Apocalypse Bet Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Your Strength as a Rationalist I Defy the Data! Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We are joined by Discord user GSV to talk about Legal Systems Very Different From Ours The Podcast Very Different From Ours is available at SoundCloud, as well as GooglePodcasts. iTunes link coming soon. Scott Alexander&#8217;s fiction discussed: Samsara, The Study of Anglophysics (audio), Unsong (audio) This Waifu Does Not Exist Brad Pitt in Snatch Pro Se Folk Devil John Oliver on SLAPPs Helpful links provided by commentor  Lorien: references on air pollution (quick and dirty search): https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours: https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss &nbsp; Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Virtue of Narrowness You Can Face Reality The Apocalypse Bet Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Your Strength as a Rationalist I Defy the Data! Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 97 – Oops, We Accidentally Over Two Hours of Feedback https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/11/97-oops-we-accidentally-over-two-hours-of-feedback/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Nov 2019 08:01:56 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=781 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/11/97-oops-we-accidentally-over-two-hours-of-feedback/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/11/97-oops-we-accidentally-over-two-hours-of-feedback/feed/ 6 We get to back-logged feedback.

We Want MoR is now live, back at the old home of the HP:MoR Podcast!

Ra, by Sam Hughes (also on Amazon)

Helpful links provided by commentor  Lorien:

references on air pollution (quick and dirty search):

https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss


Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours:
https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Focus Your Uncertainty

The Proper Use of Doubt

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: 

The Virtue of Narrowness

You Can Face Reality

The Apocalypse Bet

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:27:31 781 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe get to back-logged feedback. We Want MoR is now live, back at the old home of the HP:MoR Podcast! Ra, by Sam Hughes (also on Amazon) Helpful links provided by commentor  Lorien: references on air pollution (quick and dirty search): https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours: https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of Doubt Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:  The Virtue of Narrowness You Can Face Reality The Apocalypse BetWe get to back-logged feedback. We Want MoR is now live, back at the old home of the HP:MoR Podcast! Ra, by Sam Hughes (also on Amazon) Helpful links provided by commentor  Lorien: references on air pollution (quick and dirty search): https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours: https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of Doubt Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:  The Virtue of Narrowness You Can Face Reality The Apocalypse BetRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 96 – Do Words Mean Things, Also Sex Science! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/10/92-do-words-mean-things-also-sex-science/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Oct 2019 08:03:00 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=773 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/10/92-do-words-mean-things-also-sex-science/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/10/92-do-words-mean-things-also-sex-science/feed/ 2 The Conspirators sort of continue the conversation from our last episode, after meandering around about the meaning of words/their relevance to current usage. Eventually we’ll get to the LessWrong sequence on the Human Use of Words and this confusion will hopefully dissolve.

 

Comic Relief: Omeleto video featuring Nick offerman

Patreon supporter Welf wrote a blog post that they shared with us and we touched on in this discussion. It’s really good if this topic interests you.

Ryan Gosling Avatar Papyrus freak out on SNL

Jess’s favorite dinosaur

What if we had only the bones of modern animals and drew them like we draw dinosaurs? (link with whale, link to book)

Wikipedia and other links from Jess

Alicorn transgender story? From Jess

Skeptoid episode Transgender: Fact or Fiction

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

None! Postponed till next time 🙁

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (Are still…)

Focus Your Uncertainty

The Proper Use of Doubt

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:38:45 773 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspirators sort of continue the conversation from our last episode, after meandering around about the meaning of words/their relevance to current usage. Eventually we&#8217;ll get to the LessWrong sequence on the Human Use of Words and this confusion will hopefully dissolve. &nbsp; Comic Relief: Omeleto video featuring Nick offerman Patreon supporter Welf wrote a blog post that they shared with us and we touched on in this discussion. It&#8217;s really good if this topic interests you. Ryan Gosling Avatar Papyrus freak out on SNL Jess’s favorite dinosaur What if we had only the bones of modern animals and drew them like we draw dinosaurs? (link with whale, link to book) Wikipedia and other links from Jess Alicorn transgender story? From Jess Skeptoid episode Transgender: Fact or Fiction Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: None! Postponed till next time Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (Are still&#8230;) Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of Doubt Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!The Conspirators sort of continue the conversation from our last episode, after meandering around about the meaning of words/their relevance to current usage. Eventually we&#8217;ll get to the LessWrong sequence on the Human Use of Words and this confusion will hopefully dissolve. &nbsp; Comic Relief: Omeleto video featuring Nick offerman Patreon supporter Welf wrote a blog post that they shared with us and we touched on in this discussion. It&#8217;s really good if this topic interests you. Ryan Gosling Avatar Papyrus freak out on SNL Jess’s favorite dinosaur What if we had only the bones of modern animals and drew them like we draw dinosaurs? (link with whale, link to book) Wikipedia and other links from Jess Alicorn transgender story? From Jess Skeptoid episode Transgender: Fact or Fiction Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: None! Postponed till next time Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (Are still&#8230;) Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of Doubt Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 95 – It’s Gender Time! Part 1 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/10/its-gender-time-part-1/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 10 Oct 2019 11:20:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=769 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/10/its-gender-time-part-1/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/10/its-gender-time-part-1/feed/ 6 Trigger warnings: Gender! Culture Wars! Opinons! Facts? (Also, some amount of tension/discomfort in this episode. Be ye warned.)
Please contribute to this discussion!
Please keep it non-terrible.

Articles that sparked the discussion: The Disappearing Thems, Versus Them, Reducing the Spectrum to a Binary

Also relevant: Hofstadter Person Purity essay, and Cis by Default

Other links of note…

Recommendations!

Hey look, we have a discord!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

None! Postponed till next time 🙁

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (Are still…)

Focus Your Uncertainty

The Proper Use of Doubt

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:22:41 769 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comTrigger warnings: Gender! Culture Wars! Opinons! Facts? (Also, some amount of tension/discomfort in this episode. Be ye warned.) Please contribute to this discussion! Please keep it non-terrible. Articles that sparked the discussion: The Disappearing Thems, Versus Them, Reducing the Spectrum to a Binary Also relevant: Hofstadter Person Purity essay, and Cis by Default Other links of note&#8230; One of the articles referenced in the initial Discord discussion What&#8217;s double cruxing? Wikipedia&#8217;s 3rd Gender Page (it&#8217;s got all the genders!) Recommendations! Brightburn The Boys Chronicle Magnus Archives Hey look, we have a discord! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: None! Postponed till next time Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (Are still&#8230;) Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of DoubtTrigger warnings: Gender! Culture Wars! Opinons! Facts? (Also, some amount of tension/discomfort in this episode. Be ye warned.) Please contribute to this discussion! Please keep it non-terrible. Articles that sparked the discussion: The Disappearing Thems, Versus Them, Reducing the Spectrum to a Binary Also relevant: Hofstadter Person Purity essay, and Cis by Default Other links of note&#8230; One of the articles referenced in the initial Discord discussion What&#8217;s double cruxing? Wikipedia&#8217;s 3rd Gender Page (it&#8217;s got all the genders!) Recommendations! Brightburn The Boys Chronicle Magnus Archives Hey look, we have a discord! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: None! Postponed till next time Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: (Are still&#8230;) Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of DoubtRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 94 – The Problem At Yale Isn’t Free Speech, It’s Lack of Batmans https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/09/94-the-problem-at-yale-isnt-free-speech-its-lack-of-batmans/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 25 Sep 2019 08:01:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=763 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/09/94-the-problem-at-yale-isnt-free-speech-its-lack-of-batmans/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/09/94-the-problem-at-yale-isnt-free-speech-its-lack-of-batmans/feed/ 1 Elite education institutions aren’t give us Bruce Waynes anymore, and this is a problem.

Our article: The Real Problem At Yale Is Not Free Speech

Also relevant: The Wayne Republican Tradition, and Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy

 

Hey look, we have a discord!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Religion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable

The Importance of Saying “Oops”

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Focus Your Uncertainty

The Proper Use of Doubt

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:26:37 763 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comElite education institutions aren&#8217;t give us Bruce Waynes anymore, and this is a problem. Our article: The Real Problem At Yale Is Not Free Speech Also relevant: The Wayne Republican Tradition, and Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy &nbsp; Hey look, we have a discord! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Religion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable The Importance of Saying “Oops” Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of DoubtElite education institutions aren&#8217;t give us Bruce Waynes anymore, and this is a problem. Our article: The Real Problem At Yale Is Not Free Speech Also relevant: The Wayne Republican Tradition, and Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy &nbsp; Hey look, we have a discord! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Religion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable The Importance of Saying “Oops” Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Focus Your Uncertainty The Proper Use of DoubtRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 93 – Conflict vs Mistake https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/09/conflict-vs-mistake/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Sep 2019 10:00:10 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=758 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/09/conflict-vs-mistake/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/09/conflict-vs-mistake/feed/ 2 In this episode, we try to explain the Slate Star Codex post, Conflict vs Mistake. We hope we didn’t make any major mistakes, and if we did, that it won’t cause any kind of conflict.

Links:
– SSC: Conflict vs Mistake
– Also: Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs Mistake
– Ratfic Rec: Draco Malfoy and the Practice of Rationality
– Eneasz Book Rec: Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration, and the Future of White Majorities
– Steven Podcast Rec: Hacking Humans

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
And now there’s a book club happening there! Check it out in the “tbc-book-club” channel.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Professing and Cheering

Belief as Attire

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Religion’s Claim to be Non-Disprovable

The Importance of Saying “Oops”

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:51:39 758 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIn this episode, we try to explain the Slate Star Codex post, Conflict vs Mistake. We hope we didn&#8217;t make any major mistakes, and if we did, that it won&#8217;t cause any kind of conflict. Links: &#8211; SSC: Conflict vs Mistake &#8211; Also: Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs Mistake &#8211; Ratfic Rec: Draco Malfoy and the Practice of Rationality &#8211; Eneasz Book Rec: Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration, and the Future of White Majorities &#8211; Steven Podcast Rec: Hacking Humans Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And now there&#8217;s a book club happening there! Check it out in the &#8220;tbc-book-club&#8221; channel. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Professing and Cheering Belief as Attire Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Religion&#8217;s Claim to be Non-Disprovable The Importance of Saying &#8220;Oops&#8221; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!In this episode, we try to explain the Slate Star Codex post, Conflict vs Mistake. We hope we didn&#8217;t make any major mistakes, and if we did, that it won&#8217;t cause any kind of conflict. Links: &#8211; SSC: Conflict vs Mistake &#8211; Also: Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs Mistake &#8211; Ratfic Rec: Draco Malfoy and the Practice of Rationality &#8211; Eneasz Book Rec: Whiteshift: Populism, Immigration, and the Future of White Majorities &#8211; Steven Podcast Rec: Hacking Humans Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And now there&#8217;s a book club happening there! Check it out in the &#8220;tbc-book-club&#8221; channel. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Professing and Cheering Belief as Attire Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Religion&#8217;s Claim to be Non-Disprovable The Importance of Saying &#8220;Oops&#8221; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 92 – Replacing Guilt https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/08/92-replacing-guilt/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 Aug 2019 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=751 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/08/92-replacing-guilt/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/08/92-replacing-guilt/feed/ 5 Jess and Phoenix tell us about Replacing Guilt.

Favorites from the series: “Should” considered harmful and Confidence all the way up

Another recommended book is The Courage To Be Disliked

Also mentioned – Flint’s water is OK now.

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And What Lies Dreaming now has audio of the early chapters, with more coming!

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)

Belief in Belief

Bayesian Judo

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Professing and Cheering

Belief as Attire

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:54:19 751 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJess and Phoenix tell us about Replacing Guilt. Favorites from the series: &#8220;Should&#8221; considered harmful and Confidence all the way up Another recommended book is The Courage To Be Disliked Also mentioned &#8211; Flint&#8217;s water is OK now. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And What Lies Dreaming now has audio of the early chapters, with more coming! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) Belief in Belief Bayesian Judo Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Professing and Cheering Belief as Attire Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Jess and Phoenix tell us about Replacing Guilt. Favorites from the series: &#8220;Should&#8221; considered harmful and Confidence all the way up Another recommended book is The Courage To Be Disliked Also mentioned &#8211; Flint&#8217;s water is OK now. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And What Lies Dreaming now has audio of the early chapters, with more coming! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) Belief in Belief Bayesian Judo Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Professing and Cheering Belief as Attire Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 91 – Are You Jesus or Hitler?? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/08/91-are-you-jesus-or-hitler/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Aug 2019 08:02:26 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=740 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/08/91-are-you-jesus-or-hitler/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/08/91-are-you-jesus-or-hitler/feed/ 4 In this episode our hosts come together to try and figure out if it’s worth worrying about the possibility that we’re living in a simulation, with a fun twist. We also do plenty of listener feedback.

Steven mentioned Eneasz’s book.

When I googled the short story Eneasz talked about “Steve Fever” (which was written by Greg Egan), the fifth result was a link to Eneasz’s blog post about the story, which contains a link to the story in it.

Jess mentioned a story called “Stupid Perfect World” which you can get on Amazon for only 3 bucks!

A link to the Slate Star Codex post: Burdens

Steven mentioned the Primitive Technologies channel on Youtube

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?

Two More Things to Unlearn from School

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences)

Belief in Belief

Bayesian Judo

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:01:28 740 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIn this episode our hosts come together to try and figure out if it&#8217;s worth worrying about the possibility that we&#8217;re living in a simulation, with a fun twist. We also do plenty of listener feedback. Steven mentioned Eneasz&#8217;s book. When I googled the short story Eneasz talked about &#8220;Steve Fever&#8221; (which was written by Greg Egan), the fifth result was a link to Eneasz&#8217;s blog post about the story, which contains a link to the story in it. Jess mentioned a story called &#8220;Stupid Perfect World&#8221; which you can get on Amazon for only 3 bucks! A link to the Slate Star Codex post: Burdens Steven mentioned the Primitive Technologies channel on Youtube Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Are Your Enemies Innately Evil? Two More Things to Unlearn from School Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) Belief in Belief Bayesian Judo Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!In this episode our hosts come together to try and figure out if it&#8217;s worth worrying about the possibility that we&#8217;re living in a simulation, with a fun twist. We also do plenty of listener feedback. Steven mentioned Eneasz&#8217;s book. When I googled the short story Eneasz talked about &#8220;Steve Fever&#8221; (which was written by Greg Egan), the fifth result was a link to Eneasz&#8217;s blog post about the story, which contains a link to the story in it. Jess mentioned a story called &#8220;Stupid Perfect World&#8221; which you can get on Amazon for only 3 bucks! A link to the Slate Star Codex post: Burdens Steven mentioned the Primitive Technologies channel on Youtube Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Are Your Enemies Innately Evil? Two More Things to Unlearn from School Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Making Beliefs Pay Rent (in Anticipated Experiences) Belief in Belief Bayesian Judo Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 90 – Secret to Our Success https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/90-secret-to-our-success/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 31 Jul 2019 08:01:09 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=727 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/90-secret-to-our-success/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/90-secret-to-our-success/feed/ 4 We talk about Cultural Evolution, and why it is so terrible.

Links:
The Secret to Our Success:
SSC
The Book
Melting Asphalt on Prestige Versus Dominance
I, Pencil (About How No One Can Make a Pencil Anymore)
Caveman Sci-Fi
The Mr. Rogers Documentary

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t

Correspondence Bias

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?

Two More Things to Unlearn from School

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:12:42 727 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk about Cultural Evolution, and why it is so terrible. Links: The Secret to Our Success: SSC The Book Melting Asphalt on Prestige Versus Dominance I, Pencil (About How No One Can Make a Pencil Anymore) Caveman Sci-Fi The Mr. Rogers Documentary Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t Correspondence Bias Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Are Your Enemies Innately Evil? Two More Things to Unlearn from School Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We talk about Cultural Evolution, and why it is so terrible. Links: The Secret to Our Success: SSC The Book Melting Asphalt on Prestige Versus Dominance I, Pencil (About How No One Can Make a Pencil Anymore) Caveman Sci-Fi The Mr. Rogers Documentary Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t Correspondence Bias Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Are Your Enemies Innately Evil? Two More Things to Unlearn from School Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 89 – Is Rationalism Being Co-opted by the Alt-Right? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/89-is-rationalist-being-co-opted-by-the-alt-right/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Jul 2019 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=718 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/89-is-rationalist-being-co-opted-by-the-alt-right/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/89-is-rationalist-being-co-opted-by-the-alt-right/feed/ 2 We talk with David about his question on our subreddit. There’s a lot of other comments and thoughts about the subject at that thread, which you can read here.

Sorry about the lateness of this episode, just some growing pains.

Related Links:

Scott Alexander on the economic costs of racism
Jordan Peterson 12 rules for life & maps of meaning
Raymond Arnold call to action 
The Pi Day HPMOR wrap announcement
It’s hard work and sacrifice living in an Amish Paradise
Kevin Kelly (founder of Wired, not Popular Science) about the Amish
– also his book, what technology wants 
Dunbar’s Number (where you can only keep track of about 100 friends)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Scope Insensitivity

One Life Against The World

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Risk-Free Bonds Aren’t

Correspondence Bias

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:05:24 718 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with David about his question on our subreddit. There&#8217;s a lot of other comments and thoughts about the subject at that thread, which you can read here. Sorry about the lateness of this episode, just some growing pains. Related Links: Scott Alexander on the economic costs of racism Jordan Peterson 12 rules for life &amp; maps of meaning Raymond Arnold call to action  The Pi Day HPMOR wrap announcement It&#8217;s hard work and sacrifice living in an Amish Paradise Kevin Kelly (founder of Wired, not Popular Science) about the Amish &#8211; also his book, what technology wants  Dunbar&#8217;s Number (where you can only keep track of about 100 friends) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Scope Insensitivity One Life Against The World Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Risk-Free Bonds Aren&#8217;t Correspondence Bias Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We talk with David about his question on our subreddit. There&#8217;s a lot of other comments and thoughts about the subject at that thread, which you can read here. Sorry about the lateness of this episode, just some growing pains. Related Links: Scott Alexander on the economic costs of racism Jordan Peterson 12 rules for life &amp; maps of meaning Raymond Arnold call to action  The Pi Day HPMOR wrap announcement It&#8217;s hard work and sacrifice living in an Amish Paradise Kevin Kelly (founder of Wired, not Popular Science) about the Amish &#8211; also his book, what technology wants  Dunbar&#8217;s Number (where you can only keep track of about 100 friends) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Scope Insensitivity One Life Against The World Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Risk-Free Bonds Aren&#8217;t Correspondence Bias Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 88 – UBI and Other Forms of (Evil?) Taxes https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/88-ubi-and-other-forms-of-evil-taxes/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Jul 2019 08:03:08 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=708 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/88-ubi-and-other-forms-of-evil-taxes/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/07/88-ubi-and-other-forms-of-evil-taxes/feed/ 2 The Conspiracy sits down with David Spearman, a long time listener and commenter who told us why we were all wrong about UBI and we figured he should tell you too.

Here’s the homework problem David spoke about. The answer is at the bottom.

Suppose a firm has to workers: Bob and Omega. It makes two goods: Ultraspace Drives, worth $1000 each (like I said, cost of living has gone way down) and gizmos worth $10 each. Bob can make an Ultraspace Drive in 1000 years and a gizmo in 1 year. Omega can make an Ultraspace Drive in a year and 10 gizmos in a year. What is the maximally productive allocation of these workers? 

David also sent us a couple of links for further research if you’re inclined.

  • Jason Brennan’s When All Else Fails: The Ethics of Resistance to State Injustice
  • Glen Weyl and Eric Posner’s Common Ownership Self Assessed Tax and book link
  • [From David:] The “a UBI will be spent which will stimulate economic growth” argument is basically a rehash of John Maynard Keynes’ argument from the General Theory of Employment, Interets, and Money. You can read the General Theory here
  • There are really good summaries of Keynes’ theory as well as really good criticisms of it scattered around the internet, but the most accessible is the Keynes vs. Hayek rap battle videos (part 1 and part 2)

Samuel Hammond article “Universal Basic Income” Is Just a Negative Income Tax With a Leaky Bucket

SMBC Steven mentioned about not emotionally connecting with the end of the world

Denver’s Tiny Home Village

Eneasz couldn’t find the super compelling link on air pollution correlating to increased Alzheimer’s risk, but here are two others (One) and (Two)

Richard Dawkins “We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones”

If anyone is interested in Crionics but finds the paperwork daunting, contact Rudi Hoffman!

Slate Star Codex review of The Machinery of Freedom

 

You can buy Eneasz’s novel! He’d be super-pleased with that state of affairs. 🙂 You can buy it in physical or ebook versions at Amazon, or ebook-only at any ebook seller.

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Beware the Unsurprised

The Third Alternative

Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Scope Insensitivity

One Life Against The World

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

Homework Solution:

If Bob makes Ultraspace drives, he makes the company $1/year. If he makes gizmos, he makes the company $10/year. If Omega makes Ultraspace Drives, it makes $1000/year. If it makes widgets, it makes $100/year. Observe that Omega is more productive regardless of what job he takes. However, if he makes Ultraspace Drives, and Bob makes gizmos, the total revenue is $1010/year. Any other allocation of labor will result in lower revenue. If they reverse jobs, revenue is $101/year; if they both split their time evenly, revenue is $555.5/year; if both build Ultraspace Drives, revenue is $1001/year; etc.

As long as Bob and Omega aren’t identically productive, Bob can still be gainfully employed. Even if Omega can be infinitely copied for free, additional copies should be put to work on Ultraspace Drives (this does break down if you relax the “production doesn’t affect the price” assumption, but only if you also make the assumption that the cost of producing an Ultraspace Drive is the same as producing a gizmo). This is why “Chuck Norris has a comparative advantage in everything” jokes are hilarious.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:04:51 708 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspiracy sits down with David Spearman, a long time listener and commenter who told us why we were all wrong about UBI and we figured he should tell you too. Here&#8217;s the homework problem David spoke about. The answer is at the bottom. Suppose a firm has to workers: Bob and Omega. It makes two goods: Ultraspace Drives, worth $1000 each (like I said, cost of living has gone way down) and gizmos worth $10 each. Bob can make an Ultraspace Drive in 1000 years and a gizmo in 1 year. Omega can make an Ultraspace Drive in a year and 10 gizmos in a year. What is the maximally productive allocation of these workers?  David also sent us a couple of links for further research if you&#8217;re inclined. Jason Brennan&#8217;s When All Else Fails: The Ethics of Resistance to State Injustice Glen Weyl and Eric Posner&#8217;s Common Ownership Self Assessed Tax and book link [From David:] The &#8220;a UBI will be spent which will stimulate economic growth&#8221; argument is basically a rehash of John Maynard Keynes&#8217; argument from the General Theory of Employment, Interets, and Money. You can read the General Theory here There are really good summaries of Keynes&#8217; theory as well as really good criticisms of it scattered around the internet, but the most accessible is the Keynes vs. Hayek rap battle videos (part 1 and part 2) Samuel Hammond article &#8220;Universal Basic Income” Is Just a Negative Income Tax With a Leaky Bucket SMBC Steven mentioned about not emotionally connecting with the end of the world Denver&#8217;s Tiny Home Village Eneasz couldn&#8217;t find the super compelling link on air pollution correlating to increased Alzheimer&#8217;s risk, but here are two others (One) and (Two) Richard Dawkins &#8220;We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones&#8221; If anyone is interested in Crionics but finds the paperwork daunting, contact Rudi Hoffman! Slate Star Codex review of The Machinery of Freedom &nbsp; You can buy Eneasz&#8217;s novel! He&#8217;d be super-pleased with that state of affairs. You can buy it in physical or ebook versions at Amazon, or ebook-only at any ebook seller. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Beware the Unsurprised The Third Alternative Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Scope Insensitivity One Life Against The World Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Homework Solution: If Bob makes Ultraspace drives, he makes the company $1/year. If he makes gizmos, he makes the company $10/year. If Omega makes Ultraspace Drives, it makes $1000/year. If it makes widgets, it makes $100/year. Observe that Omega is more productive regardless of what job he takes. However, if he makes Ultraspace Drives, and Bob makes gizmos, the total revenue is $1010/year. Any other allocation of labor will result in lower revenue. If they reverse jobs, revenue is $101/year; if they both split their time evenly, revenue is $555.5/year; if both build Ultraspace Drives, revenue is $1001/year; etc. As long as Bob and Omega aren&#8217;t identically productive, Bob can still be gainfully employed. Even if Omega can be infinitely copied for free, additional copies should be put to work on Ultraspace Drives (this does break down if you relax the &#8220;production doesn&#8217;t affect the price&#8221; assumption, but only if you also make the assumption that the cost of producing an Ultraspace Drive is the same as producing a gizmo). This is why &#8220;Chuck Norris has a comparative advantage in everything&#8221; jokes are hilarious.The Conspiracy sits down with David Spearman, a long time listener and commenter who told us why we were all wrong about UBI and we figured he should tell you too. Here&#8217;s the homework problem David spoke about. The answer is at the bottom. Suppose a firm has to workers: Bob and Omega. It makes two goods: Ultraspace Drives, worth $1000 each (like I said, cost of living has gone way down) and gizmos worth $10 each. Bob can make an Ultraspace Drive in 1000 years and a gizmo in 1 year. Omega can make an Ultraspace Drive in a year and 10 gizmos in a year. What is the maximally productive allocation of these workers?  David also sent us a couple of links for further research if you&#8217;re inclined. Jason Brennan&#8217;s When All Else Fails: The Ethics of Resistance to State Injustice Glen Weyl and Eric Posner&#8217;s Common Ownership Self Assessed Tax and book link [From David:] The &#8220;a UBI will be spent which will stimulate economic growth&#8221; argument is basically a rehash of John Maynard Keynes&#8217; argument from the General Theory of Employment, Interets, and Money. You can read the General Theory here There are really good summaries of Keynes&#8217; theory as well as really good criticisms of it scattered around the internet, but the most accessible is the Keynes vs. Hayek rap battle videos (part 1 and part 2) Samuel Hammond article &#8220;Universal Basic Income” Is Just a Negative Income Tax With a Leaky Bucket SMBC Steven mentioned about not emotionally connecting with the end of the world Denver&#8217;s Tiny Home Village Eneasz couldn&#8217;t find the super compelling link on air pollution correlating to increased Alzheimer&#8217;s risk, but here are two others (One) and (Two) Richard Dawkins &#8220;We are going to die, and that makes us the lucky ones&#8221; If anyone is interested in Crionics but finds the paperwork daunting, contact Rudi Hoffman! Slate Star Codex review of The Machinery of Freedom &nbsp; You can buy Eneasz&#8217;s novel! He&#8217;d be super-pleased with that state of affairs. You can buy it in physical or ebook versions at Amazon, or ebook-only at any ebook seller. Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Beware the Unsurprised The Third Alternative Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Scope Insensitivity One Life Against The World Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here! Homework Solution: If Bob makes Ultraspace drives, he makes the company $1/year. If he makes gizmos, he makes the company $10/year. If Omega makes Ultraspace Drives, it makes $1000/year. If it makes widgets, it makes $100/year. Observe that Omega is more productive regardless of what job he takes. However, if he makes Ultraspace Drives, and Bob makes gizmos, the total revenue is $1010/year. Any other allocation of labor will result in lower revenue. If they reverse jobs, revenue is $101/year; if they both split their time evenly, revenue is $555.5/year; if both build Ultraspace Drives, revenue is $1001/year; etc. As long as Bob and Omega aren&#8217;t identically productive, Bob can still be gainfully employed. Even if Omega can be infinitely copied for free, additional copies should be put to work on Ultraspace Drives (this does break down if you relax the &#8220;production doesn&#8217;t affect the price&#8221; assumption, but only if you also make the assumption that the cost of producing an Ultraspace Drive is the same as producing a gizmo). This is why &#8220;Chuck Norris has a comparative advantage in everything&#8221; jokes are hilarious.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 87 – Degrees of Freedom https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/87-degrees-of-freedom/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 Jun 2019 19:13:27 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=703 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/87-degrees-of-freedom/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/87-degrees-of-freedom/feed/ 2 We discuss Sarah Constantin’s recent post Degrees of Freedom, addressing where optimization and free-will conflict.

Mentioned in this episode:

The parable of The Whispering Earring

The Transporter Argument

Our episode about Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe

Eneasz’s Classic WoW guild – The Tail End (US – Alliance – PvE, eventually raiding Sun/Mon 9-12EST)

Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast

 

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Universal Fire   — Also, you can hear Eneasz’s reading of the full post here

Universal Law

Think Like Reality

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Beware the Unsurprised

The Third Alternative

Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:41 703 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss Sarah Constantin&#8217;s recent post Degrees of Freedom, addressing where optimization and free-will conflict. Mentioned in this episode: The parable of The Whispering Earring The Transporter Argument Our episode about Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe Eneasz&#8217;s Classic WoW guild &#8211; The Tail End (US &#8211; Alliance &#8211; PvE, eventually raiding Sun/Mon 9-12EST) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast &nbsp; LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Universal Fire   &#8212; Also, you can hear Eneasz&#8217;s reading of the full post here Universal Law Think Like Reality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Beware the Unsurprised The Third Alternative Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We discuss Sarah Constantin&#8217;s recent post Degrees of Freedom, addressing where optimization and free-will conflict. Mentioned in this episode: The parable of The Whispering Earring The Transporter Argument Our episode about Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe Eneasz&#8217;s Classic WoW guild &#8211; The Tail End (US &#8211; Alliance &#8211; PvE, eventually raiding Sun/Mon 9-12EST) Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast&#8230; and the other podcast &nbsp; LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Universal Fire   &#8212; Also, you can hear Eneasz&#8217;s reading of the full post here Universal Law Think Like Reality Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Beware the Unsurprised The Third Alternative Third Alternatives for Afterlife-ism Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus Abortion non-episode https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/bonus-abortion-non-episode/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Jun 2019 04:40:10 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=696 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/bonus-abortion-non-episode/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/bonus-abortion-non-episode/feed/ 1 This is not an episode of The Bayesian Conspiracy. It’s just some additional feedback and informal thoughts on abortion, particularly in the USA. If this is not a topic of interest to you, please move on. A regular episode will air at the regular time. 🙂

Relevant Links:

Our subreddit where people post comments is reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/

David said he based much of his email from Abortion is Difficult at Fake Nous

Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided

SSC post regarding whether people really believe what they say they believe about abortion

Proposed: the 1980s farm crisis (which was where family farming finally died in America) at some level fed into the development of anti-abortion activity and identity in the same period, by way of agrarian-magical fertility rites.

And for a lighter note: Key and Peele teach men about menstruation

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:54 696 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis is not an episode of The Bayesian Conspiracy. It&#8217;s just some additional feedback and informal thoughts on abortion, particularly in the USA. If this is not a topic of interest to you, please move on. A regular episode will air at the regular time. Relevant Links: Our subreddit where people post comments is reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/ David said he based much of his email from Abortion is Difficult at Fake Nous Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided SSC post regarding whether people really believe what they say they believe about abortion Proposed: the 1980s farm crisis (which was where family farming finally died in America) at some level fed into the development of anti-abortion activity and identity in the same period, by way of agrarian-magical fertility rites. And for a lighter note: Key and Peele teach men about menstruation &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!This is not an episode of The Bayesian Conspiracy. It&#8217;s just some additional feedback and informal thoughts on abortion, particularly in the USA. If this is not a topic of interest to you, please move on. A regular episode will air at the regular time. Relevant Links: Our subreddit where people post comments is reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/ David said he based much of his email from Abortion is Difficult at Fake Nous Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-Sided SSC post regarding whether people really believe what they say they believe about abortion Proposed: the 1980s farm crisis (which was where family farming finally died in America) at some level fed into the development of anti-abortion activity and identity in the same period, by way of agrarian-magical fertility rites. And for a lighter note: Key and Peele teach men about menstruation &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 86 – Quick Shout Out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/86-quick-shout-out-to-consolidated-morality-thread/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Jun 2019 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=687 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/86-quick-shout-out-to-consolidated-morality-thread/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/06/86-quick-shout-out-to-consolidated-morality-thread/feed/ 3 We dive into the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread in a lot more detail than originally planned. We seem to get a bit off track.

Stuff that came up this episode:

Read Eneasz’s novel, What Lies Dreaming, online here

Or preorder the ebook:

The short story “The Secret Number”

 

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Universal Fire 

Universal Law

Think Like Reality

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:25:29 687 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe dive into the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread in a lot more detail than originally planned. We seem to get a bit off track. Stuff that came up this episode: Read Eneasz&#8217;s novel, What Lies Dreaming, online here Or preorder the ebook: The short story &#8220;The Secret Number&#8221; &nbsp; Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Universal Fire  Universal Law Think Like RealityWe dive into the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread in a lot more detail than originally planned. We seem to get a bit off track. Stuff that came up this episode: Read Eneasz&#8217;s novel, What Lies Dreaming, online here Or preorder the ebook: The short story &#8220;The Secret Number&#8221; &nbsp; Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Universal Fire  Universal Law Think Like RealityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 85 – Stuff is Weird, Yo https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/05/85-stuff-is-weird-yo/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 May 2019 08:05:10 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=679 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/05/85-stuff-is-weird-yo/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/05/85-stuff-is-weird-yo/feed/ 1 This episode Jess, Eneasz, and Steven sit down to discuss… well, you tell us. We’re kind of all over the map here because things have, in the majority, been weird for us lately. We cover some random things about how America is going to shit, how to conduct yourself in public when making an effort not to spook people, and “magic” life hacks.

 

Stuff that came up this episode:

Georgia Heartbeat Bill

Doof! Media’s (called The Daly Planet at the time) episode on Alien and Aliens

Moridinamael (Matt Freeman) on Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower

Reddit’s r/askmen thread on What the fuck are you supposed to do when you walk past a woman alone at night to let her know you’re not a murderer?

The related book, Whistling Vivaldi and a talk on the subject

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Your Rationality is My Business

Feeling Rational

Briefly Discussed: Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Universal Fire 

Universal Law

Think Like Reality

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:36:07 679 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis episode Jess, Eneasz, and Steven sit down to discuss&#8230; well, you tell us. We&#8217;re kind of all over the map here because things have, in the majority, been weird for us lately. We cover some random things about how America is going to shit, how to conduct yourself in public when making an effort not to spook people, and &#8220;magic&#8221; life hacks. &nbsp; Stuff that came up this episode: Georgia Heartbeat Bill Doof! Media&#8217;s (called The Daly Planet at the time) episode on Alien and Aliens Moridinamael (Matt Freeman) on Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower Reddit&#8217;s r/askmen thread on What the fuck are you supposed to do when you walk past a woman alone at night to let her know you&#8217;re not a murderer? The related book, Whistling Vivaldi and a talk on the subject LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Your Rationality is My Business Feeling Rational Briefly Discussed: Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Universal Fire  Universal Law Think Like Reality &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!This episode Jess, Eneasz, and Steven sit down to discuss&#8230; well, you tell us. We&#8217;re kind of all over the map here because things have, in the majority, been weird for us lately. We cover some random things about how America is going to shit, how to conduct yourself in public when making an effort not to spook people, and &#8220;magic&#8221; life hacks. &nbsp; Stuff that came up this episode: Georgia Heartbeat Bill Doof! Media&#8217;s (called The Daly Planet at the time) episode on Alien and Aliens Moridinamael (Matt Freeman) on Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower Reddit&#8217;s r/askmen thread on What the fuck are you supposed to do when you walk past a woman alone at night to let her know you&#8217;re not a murderer? The related book, Whistling Vivaldi and a talk on the subject LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Your Rationality is My Business Feeling Rational Briefly Discussed: Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Universal Fire  Universal Law Think Like Reality &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 84 – Yang-arang! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/05/84-yang-arang/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 May 2019 08:22:26 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=674 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/05/84-yang-arang/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/05/84-yang-arang/feed/ 1 Eneasz has a thing for Andrew Yang

He’s ex-goth

Yang interview on Freakonomics

Quick summary of Fosta/Sesta

Archer’s dead hookers

Where does Denver’s Pot Money go?

Hear Steven discuss Endgame on The Doofecast!

Chess-Boxing

 

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Priors as Mathematical Objects

Lotteries: A Waste of Hope

New Improved Lottery

 

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Your Rationality is My Business

Feeling Rational

and there will be a quick shout-out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:35:06 674 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz has a thing for Andrew Yang He&#8217;s ex-goth Yang interview on Freakonomics Quick summary of Fosta/Sesta Archer&#8217;s dead hookers Where does Denver&#8217;s Pot Money go? Hear Steven discuss Endgame on The Doofecast! Chess-Boxing &nbsp; LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priors as Mathematical Objects Lotteries: A Waste of Hope New Improved Lottery &nbsp; Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Your Rationality is My Business Feeling Rational and there will be a quick shout-out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Eneasz has a thing for Andrew Yang He&#8217;s ex-goth Yang interview on Freakonomics Quick summary of Fosta/Sesta Archer&#8217;s dead hookers Where does Denver&#8217;s Pot Money go? Hear Steven discuss Endgame on The Doofecast! Chess-Boxing &nbsp; LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priors as Mathematical Objects Lotteries: A Waste of Hope New Improved Lottery &nbsp; Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Your Rationality is My Business Feeling Rational and there will be a quick shout-out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 83 – REACH https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/04/83-reach/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Apr 2019 08:03:30 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=665 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/04/83-reach/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/04/83-reach/feed/ 2 Jess is back from their pilgrimage to Rationalist Mecca and Eneasz is dying to know all about it, while Steven tries his best to understand why anyone would want to live there.

Brian Caplan on Collusion in the Classroom

The Spoon Theory (also as a PDF here, for those who don’t want to wrestle with the hosting websites awful anti-adblocker)

Berkeley REACH

A Luminator!

It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia bit where Mac says science is a LIE!

Adversarial Collaborations on SSC

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

“Inductive Bias”

Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods

Marginally Zero-Sum Efforts

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Priors as Mathematical Objects

Lotteries: A Waste of Hope

New Improved Lottery

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:58:21 665 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJess is back from their pilgrimage to Rationalist Mecca and Eneasz is dying to know all about it, while Steven tries his best to understand why anyone would want to live there. Brian Caplan on Collusion in the Classroom The Spoon Theory (also as a PDF here, for those who don&#8217;t want to wrestle with the hosting websites awful anti-adblocker) Berkeley REACH A Luminator! It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia bit where Mac says science is a LIE! Adversarial Collaborations on SSC LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: &#8220;Inductive Bias&#8221; Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods Marginally Zero-Sum Efforts Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Priors as Mathematical Objects Lotteries: A Waste of Hope New Improved Lottery Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Jess is back from their pilgrimage to Rationalist Mecca and Eneasz is dying to know all about it, while Steven tries his best to understand why anyone would want to live there. Brian Caplan on Collusion in the Classroom The Spoon Theory (also as a PDF here, for those who don&#8217;t want to wrestle with the hosting websites awful anti-adblocker) Berkeley REACH A Luminator! It’s Always Sunny In Philadelphia bit where Mac says science is a LIE! Adversarial Collaborations on SSC LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: &#8220;Inductive Bias&#8221; Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods Marginally Zero-Sum Efforts Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Priors as Mathematical Objects Lotteries: A Waste of Hope New Improved Lottery Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 82 – Revenge of the Feedback! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/04/82-revenge-of-the-feedback/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Apr 2019 08:03:00 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=656 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/04/82-revenge-of-the-feedback/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/04/82-revenge-of-the-feedback/feed/ 1 Jess is on a trip, so Eneasz and Steven do some more digging into our mailbag (last episode on feedback for now, we promise!). Stick around after the outro music starts because we keep going for another 25 minutes or so!

Skeptoid Episode on Fast Food Phobia (there’s a few more related episodes if you find the topic interesting)

Patreon supporter David sent us this talk given by Dr. Helen Fisher

One of Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Youtube videos on Heuristics and Biases (there are others if you search Youtube)

Eneasz mentioned a Chrome extension designed to filter out toxic comments

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People

Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

“Inductive Bias”

Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:15:52 656 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJess is on a trip, so Eneasz and Steven do some more digging into our mailbag (last episode on feedback for now, we promise!). Stick around after the outro music starts because we keep going for another 25 minutes or so! Skeptoid Episode on Fast Food Phobia (there&#8217;s a few more related episodes if you find the topic interesting) Patreon supporter David sent us this talk given by Dr. Helen Fisher One of Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s Youtube videos on Heuristics and Biases (there are others if you search Youtube) Eneasz mentioned a Chrome extension designed to filter out toxic comments LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: &#8220;Inductive Bias&#8221; Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Jess is on a trip, so Eneasz and Steven do some more digging into our mailbag (last episode on feedback for now, we promise!). Stick around after the outro music starts because we keep going for another 25 minutes or so! Skeptoid Episode on Fast Food Phobia (there&#8217;s a few more related episodes if you find the topic interesting) Patreon supporter David sent us this talk given by Dr. Helen Fisher One of Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s Youtube videos on Heuristics and Biases (there are others if you search Youtube) Eneasz mentioned a Chrome extension designed to filter out toxic comments LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: &#8220;Inductive Bias&#8221; Futuristic Predictions as Consumable Goods Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 81 – That’s Too Much Feedback, Man https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/03/81-thats-too-much-feedback-man/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 27 Mar 2019 08:01:20 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=645 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/03/81-thats-too-much-feedback-man/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/03/81-thats-too-much-feedback-man/feed/ 1 We dive into the neglected mailbag

Steven referenced this SSC post on the Intellectual Dark Web (see also this prior post)

It’s been revealed that James Gunn is back!

Johnny Depp is an abuse survivor

The incredibly shoddy plot to smear Robert Mueller with rape claims, explained, the Obama fake mutilation, and the Planned Parenthood libel.

 Blue Aliens comics!

McDonald’s Coffee Suit, which was absolutely legit

There are only seven (or six, or three, or one) stories

TED talk – getting Better, Faster, Stronger

Our previous Transhumanism episode

Book – Traffic: Why We Drive The Way We Do

As Tom Vanderbilt, the author of “Traffic: Why We Drive the Way We Do (and What It Says About Us),” noted, “Merging late, that purported symbol of individual greed, actually makes things better for everyone.”
The result? A 15 percent increase in the volume of cars moving through the work zone and a 50 percent decrease in the length of the line

Book – The Wisdom of Crowds

Dvorak Keyboard

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Useful Statistical Biases

The Error of Crowds

The Majority Is Always Wrong

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People

Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:56:52 645 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe dive into the neglected mailbag Steven referenced this SSC post on the Intellectual Dark Web (see also this prior post) It&#8217;s been revealed that James Gunn is back! Johnny Depp is an abuse survivor The incredibly shoddy plot to smear Robert Mueller with rape claims, explained, the Obama fake mutilation, and the Planned Parenthood libel.  Blue Aliens comics! McDonald&#8217;s Coffee Suit, which was absolutely legit There are only seven (or six, or three, or one) stories TED talk &#8211; getting Better, Faster, Stronger Our previous Transhumanism episode Book &#8211; Traffic: Why We Drive The Way We Do As Tom Vanderbilt, the author of “Traffic: Why We Drive the Way We Do (and What It Says About Us),” noted, “Merging late, that purported symbol of individual greed, actually makes things better for everyone.” The result? A 15 percent increase in the volume of cars moving through the work zone and a 50 percent decrease in the length of the line Book &#8211; The Wisdom of Crowds Dvorak Keyboard LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Useful Statistical Biases The Error of Crowds The Majority Is Always Wrong Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We dive into the neglected mailbag Steven referenced this SSC post on the Intellectual Dark Web (see also this prior post) It&#8217;s been revealed that James Gunn is back! Johnny Depp is an abuse survivor The incredibly shoddy plot to smear Robert Mueller with rape claims, explained, the Obama fake mutilation, and the Planned Parenthood libel.  Blue Aliens comics! McDonald&#8217;s Coffee Suit, which was absolutely legit There are only seven (or six, or three, or one) stories TED talk &#8211; getting Better, Faster, Stronger Our previous Transhumanism episode Book &#8211; Traffic: Why We Drive The Way We Do As Tom Vanderbilt, the author of “Traffic: Why We Drive the Way We Do (and What It Says About Us),” noted, “Merging late, that purported symbol of individual greed, actually makes things better for everyone.” The result? A 15 percent increase in the volume of cars moving through the work zone and a 50 percent decrease in the length of the line Book &#8211; The Wisdom of Crowds Dvorak Keyboard LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Useful Statistical Biases The Error of Crowds The Majority Is Always Wrong Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Knowing About Biases Can Hurt People Debiasing as Non-Self-Destruction Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 80 – The Reward and Peril of GPT2 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/03/episode-80-the-reward-and-peril-of-gpt2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 13 Mar 2019 08:04:00 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=641 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/03/episode-80-the-reward-and-peril-of-gpt2/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/03/episode-80-the-reward-and-peril-of-gpt2/feed/ 3 Join us as we sit down with Alexander Wales (returning from Episode 63 about rational fiction and writes rational short stories, like the very popular Metropolitan Man) who is on to guide our discussion of GPT2, a new neural net language model/text analyzer/…author?

Discussed in this Episode:

Humans Who Are Not Concentrating Are Not General Intelligences

Can AI Change Your Mind (AI debate)

Alexander is currently writing Worth the Candle!

The book Eneasz mentioned, The Monster Baru Cormorant

Be sure to check out Eneasz’s book, What Lies Dreaming and Vote for What Lies Dreaming at Top Web Fiction!

LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode:

Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct

“Statistical Bias”

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts:

Useful Statistical Biases

The Error of Crowds

The Majority Is Always Wrong

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:12:08 641 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJoin us as we sit down with Alexander Wales (returning from Episode 63 about rational fiction and writes rational short stories, like the very popular Metropolitan Man) who is on to guide our discussion of GPT2, a new neural net language model/text analyzer/&#8230;author? Discussed in this Episode: Humans Who Are Not Concentrating Are Not General Intelligences Can AI Change Your Mind (AI debate) Alexander is currently writing Worth the Candle! The book Eneasz mentioned, The Monster Baru Cormorant Be sure to check out Eneasz&#8217;s book, What Lies Dreaming and Vote for What Lies Dreaming at Top Web Fiction! LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct &#8220;Statistical Bias&#8221; Next Episode&#8217;s Sequence Posts: Useful Statistical Biases The Error of Crowds The Majority Is Always Wrong Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Join us as we sit down with Alexander Wales (returning from Episode 63 about rational fiction and writes rational short stories, like the very popular Metropolitan Man) who is on to guide our discussion of GPT2, a new neural net language model/text analyzer/&#8230;author? Discussed in this Episode: Humans Who Are Not Concentrating Are Not General Intelligences Can AI Change Your Mind (AI debate) Alexander is currently writing Worth the Candle! The book Eneasz mentioned, The Monster Baru Cormorant Be sure to check out Eneasz&#8217;s book, What Lies Dreaming and Vote for What Lies Dreaming at Top Web Fiction! LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct &#8220;Statistical Bias&#8221; Next Episode&#8217;s Sequence Posts: Useful Statistical Biases The Error of Crowds The Majority Is Always Wrong Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 79 – CyberChristianity https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/02/79-cyberchristianity/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 27 Feb 2019 08:01:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=633 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/02/79-cyberchristianity/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/02/79-cyberchristianity/feed/ 2 What the heck is CyberChristianity, and can it unite Christianity and Rationalism?

Links to things talked about in today’s episode:

Our previous AlphaGo episodes – 1 & 2 (poor audio, sadly)

AI must decide: Juggalo, or Clown?

We previously spoke more in-depth on paperclip maximizes and other aspects of the rise of our coming AI overlords in Who’s Afraid of AI?

The Sorcerer’s Apprentice from Fantasia in full

Friendship is Optimal

The Japanese game show requiring a man to win write-in sweepstakes wasn’t quite as felonious as Eneasz had remembered… he did agree to the initial challenge.

Chaing’s Hell is the Absence of God (pdf)

The original posts & podcasts on Rationality & Mormonism. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3

Lord of the Rationality

Hanson’s book The Elephant In The Brain

Scott Alexander on Growth Mindset

Humans are Awesome, Humans Being Bros

 

LW posts:
Self-deception: Hypocrisy or Akrasia?
Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger)

LW posts for next time:
Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct
“Statistical Bias”

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:32 633 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhat the heck is CyberChristianity, and can it unite Christianity and Rationalism? Links to things talked about in today’s episode: Our previous AlphaGo episodes &#8211; 1 &amp; 2 (poor audio, sadly) AI must decide: Juggalo, or Clown? We previously spoke more in-depth on paperclip maximizes and other aspects of the rise of our coming AI overlords in Who’s Afraid of AI? The Sorcerer&#8217;s Apprentice from Fantasia in full Friendship is Optimal The Japanese game show requiring a man to win write-in sweepstakes wasn&#8217;t quite as felonious as Eneasz had remembered&#8230; he did agree to the initial challenge. Chaing&#8217;s Hell is the Absence of God (pdf) The original posts &amp; podcasts on Rationality &amp; Mormonism. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 Lord of the Rationality Hanson&#8217;s book The Elephant In The Brain Scott Alexander on Growth Mindset Humans are Awesome, Humans Being Bros &nbsp; LW posts: Self-deception: Hypocrisy or Akrasia? Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger) LW posts for next time: Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct &#8220;Statistical Bias&#8221; &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!What the heck is CyberChristianity, and can it unite Christianity and Rationalism? Links to things talked about in today’s episode: Our previous AlphaGo episodes &#8211; 1 &amp; 2 (poor audio, sadly) AI must decide: Juggalo, or Clown? We previously spoke more in-depth on paperclip maximizes and other aspects of the rise of our coming AI overlords in Who’s Afraid of AI? The Sorcerer&#8217;s Apprentice from Fantasia in full Friendship is Optimal The Japanese game show requiring a man to win write-in sweepstakes wasn&#8217;t quite as felonious as Eneasz had remembered&#8230; he did agree to the initial challenge. Chaing&#8217;s Hell is the Absence of God (pdf) The original posts &amp; podcasts on Rationality &amp; Mormonism. Part 1, Part 2, Part 3 Lord of the Rationality Hanson&#8217;s book The Elephant In The Brain Scott Alexander on Growth Mindset Humans are Awesome, Humans Being Bros &nbsp; LW posts: Self-deception: Hypocrisy or Akrasia? Tsuyoku Naritai! (I Want To Become Stronger) LW posts for next time: Tsuyoku vs. the Egalitarian Instinct &#8220;Statistical Bias&#8221; &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 78 – Seriously, an Atheism Episode? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/02/78-seriously-an-atheism-episode/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 13 Feb 2019 08:02:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=627 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/02/78-seriously-an-atheism-episode/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/02/78-seriously-an-atheism-episode/feed/ 4 Eneasz, Jess, and Steven take an hour or so to talk about the New Atheism movement that occurred in the mid 2000’s. We experienced a bit of audio loss in the second half of the episode, so the conversation occasionally jumps around a bit, especially around an hour and 20 minutes in for about 5 minutes… Sorry about that. We’re buying an SSD to hopefully prevent any lossy recording in the future.

 

Links to things talked about in today’s episode:

Gwern’s (a popular contributor to LessWrong) personal website

Guided Path Decision Advisor that Jess mentioned (other tools here)

The first part of the Four Horsemen of the New Atheists group conversation

The Amazing IQ Squared debate with Hitch and Fry

Jai’s Blog post “Foes Without Faces” that Eneasz brought up

On Immunity, the book Jess mentioned

 

Be sure to check out Eneasz’s book, What Lies Dreaming

Vote for What Lies Dreaming at Top Web Fiction!

 

Sequence Posts for next time:

Self Deception: Hypocrisy of Akrasia? 

Tsuyoku Naritai (I Want to Become Stronger!)

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:00:46 627 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz, Jess, and Steven take an hour or so to talk about the New Atheism movement that occurred in the mid 2000&#8217;s. We experienced a bit of audio loss in the second half of the episode, so the conversation occasionally jumps around a bit, especially around an hour and 20 minutes in for about 5 minutes&#8230; Sorry about that. We&#8217;re buying an SSD to hopefully prevent any lossy recording in the future. &nbsp; Links to things talked about in today&#8217;s episode: Gwern&#8217;s (a popular contributor to LessWrong) personal website Guided Path Decision Advisor that Jess mentioned (other tools here) The first part of the Four Horsemen of the New Atheists group conversation The Amazing IQ Squared debate with Hitch and Fry Jai&#8217;s Blog post “Foes Without Faces” that Eneasz brought up On Immunity, the book Jess mentioned &nbsp; Be sure to check out Eneasz&#8217;s book, What Lies Dreaming Vote for What Lies Dreaming at Top Web Fiction! &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Self Deception: Hypocrisy of Akrasia?  Tsuyoku Naritai (I Want to Become Stronger!) &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Eneasz, Jess, and Steven take an hour or so to talk about the New Atheism movement that occurred in the mid 2000&#8217;s. We experienced a bit of audio loss in the second half of the episode, so the conversation occasionally jumps around a bit, especially around an hour and 20 minutes in for about 5 minutes&#8230; Sorry about that. We&#8217;re buying an SSD to hopefully prevent any lossy recording in the future. &nbsp; Links to things talked about in today&#8217;s episode: Gwern&#8217;s (a popular contributor to LessWrong) personal website Guided Path Decision Advisor that Jess mentioned (other tools here) The first part of the Four Horsemen of the New Atheists group conversation The Amazing IQ Squared debate with Hitch and Fry Jai&#8217;s Blog post “Foes Without Faces” that Eneasz brought up On Immunity, the book Jess mentioned &nbsp; Be sure to check out Eneasz&#8217;s book, What Lies Dreaming Vote for What Lies Dreaming at Top Web Fiction! &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Self Deception: Hypocrisy of Akrasia?  Tsuyoku Naritai (I Want to Become Stronger!) &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 77 – Meandering Around Albion’s Seed https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/77-meandering-around-albions-seed/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Jan 2019 08:01:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=618 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/77-meandering-around-albions-seed/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/77-meandering-around-albions-seed/feed/ 2 This episode is a continuation of episode 75 – Culture Roots of American. Eneasz and Steven are alone in the recording studio, which means we have no one to keep us in check as we finish out discussion of Albion’s Seed and fall down plenty of rabbit holes.

The Cracked.com After Hours ninja turtles/everything is one of four things video

 

Sequence Posts for next time:

Archimedes’s Chronophone

Chronophone Motivators 

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:05:51 618 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis episode is a continuation of episode 75 &#8211; Culture Roots of American. Eneasz and Steven are alone in the recording studio, which means we have no one to keep us in check as we finish out discussion of Albion&#8217;s Seed and fall down plenty of rabbit holes. The Cracked.com After Hours ninja turtles/everything is one of four things video &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Archimedes’s Chronophone Chronophone Motivators  &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!This episode is a continuation of episode 75 &#8211; Culture Roots of American. Eneasz and Steven are alone in the recording studio, which means we have no one to keep us in check as we finish out discussion of Albion&#8217;s Seed and fall down plenty of rabbit holes. The Cracked.com After Hours ninja turtles/everything is one of four things video &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Archimedes’s Chronophone Chronophone Motivators  &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 76 – Patreon and Censorship https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/76-patreon-and-censorship/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Jan 2019 08:01:19 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=614 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/76-patreon-and-censorship/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/76-patreon-and-censorship/feed/ 1  

David and Jess sit down with Eneasz and Steven to discuss the controversy of Patreon banning contributors from its platform.

David mentioned the connection between Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein’s many, many accusations of raping young girls and soliciting the opportunity for others to do so. In Trump’s words: “I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.”

Pheidi’s link to a video on our AMA thread that sparked our conversation.

We’re now unapologetic shills for Tide.

An article talking about the recent poor-taste joke made by Louis CK.

 

 

Sequence Posts for next time:

Superstimuli and the Collapse of Western Civilization

Useless Medical Disclaimers 

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:50:11 614 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com&nbsp; David and Jess sit down with Eneasz and Steven to discuss the controversy of Patreon banning contributors from its platform. David mentioned the connection between Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein&#8217;s many, many accusations of raping young girls and soliciting the opportunity for others to do so. In Trump&#8217;s words: &#8220;I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.” Pheidi&#8217;s link to a video on our AMA thread that sparked our conversation. We&#8217;re now unapologetic shills for Tide. An article talking about the recent poor-taste joke made by Louis CK. &nbsp; &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Superstimuli and the Collapse of Western Civilization Useless Medical Disclaimers  &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!&nbsp; David and Jess sit down with Eneasz and Steven to discuss the controversy of Patreon banning contributors from its platform. David mentioned the connection between Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein&#8217;s many, many accusations of raping young girls and soliciting the opportunity for others to do so. In Trump&#8217;s words: &#8220;I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific guy. He’s a lot of fun to be with. It is even said that he likes beautiful women as much as I do, and many of them are on the younger side.” Pheidi&#8217;s link to a video on our AMA thread that sparked our conversation. We&#8217;re now unapologetic shills for Tide. An article talking about the recent poor-taste joke made by Louis CK. &nbsp; &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Superstimuli and the Collapse of Western Civilization Useless Medical Disclaimers  &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 75 – Culture Roots of America https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/75-culture-roots-of-america/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Jan 2019 08:01:53 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=609 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/75-culture-roots-of-america/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2019/01/75-culture-roots-of-america/feed/ 2 We discuss these two SSC posts:

BOOK REVIEW: EVOLUTIONARY PSYCHOPATHOLOGY

BOOK REVIEW: ALBION’S SEED

also mentioned:

ALBION’S SEED, GENOTYPED, and the Dark Matter Conservative Universe is mentioned in I Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup

 

Sequence Posts for next time:

The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality

Blue or Green on Regulation?

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:42:41 609 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss these two SSC posts: BOOK REVIEW: EVOLUTIONARY PSYCHOPATHOLOGY BOOK REVIEW: ALBION’S SEED also mentioned: ALBION’S SEED, GENOTYPED, and the Dark Matter Conservative Universe is mentioned in I Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality Blue or Green on Regulation? &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We discuss these two SSC posts: BOOK REVIEW: EVOLUTIONARY PSYCHOPATHOLOGY BOOK REVIEW: ALBION’S SEED also mentioned: ALBION’S SEED, GENOTYPED, and the Dark Matter Conservative Universe is mentioned in I Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality Blue or Green on Regulation? &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 74 – Adventures in Feedback! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/12/74-adventures-in-feedback/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 Dec 2018 08:02:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=605 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/12/74-adventures-in-feedback/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/12/74-adventures-in-feedback/feed/ 1 Eneasz, Jess, and Steven go down rabbit hole after rabbit hole while attempting to address some of our feedback backlog. Enjoy!

Rationality from AI to Zombies: The Simple Truth (Audio Version)

Stan Lee Cameo in Spiderman Game

Massimo Pigliucci vs Eliezer Yudkowsky blogging heads debate

Side by side of 60s olympics vs now (links to a bunch of gifs from Google – I couldn’t decide on just one to illustrate the point)

SSC post mentioned regarding diminishing returns from increased inputs

Guilt-Free Chocolate Cookie Recipe!

Next Week’s LessWrong Posts

Policy Debates Should Not Appear One Sided (Audio Link) (Text Link)

Birch’s Law (No Audio Link) (Text Link)

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:56:39 605 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz, Jess, and Steven go down rabbit hole after rabbit hole while attempting to address some of our feedback backlog. Enjoy! Rationality from AI to Zombies: The Simple Truth (Audio Version) Stan Lee Cameo in Spiderman Game Massimo Pigliucci vs Eliezer Yudkowsky blogging heads debate Side by side of 60s olympics vs now (links to a bunch of gifs from Google &#8211; I couldn&#8217;t decide on just one to illustrate the point) SSC post mentioned regarding diminishing returns from increased inputs Guilt-Free Chocolate Cookie Recipe! Next Week&#8217;s LessWrong Posts Policy Debates Should Not Appear One Sided (Audio Link) (Text Link) Birch’s Law (No Audio Link) (Text Link) &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Eneasz, Jess, and Steven go down rabbit hole after rabbit hole while attempting to address some of our feedback backlog. Enjoy! Rationality from AI to Zombies: The Simple Truth (Audio Version) Stan Lee Cameo in Spiderman Game Massimo Pigliucci vs Eliezer Yudkowsky blogging heads debate Side by side of 60s olympics vs now (links to a bunch of gifs from Google &#8211; I couldn&#8217;t decide on just one to illustrate the point) SSC post mentioned regarding diminishing returns from increased inputs Guilt-Free Chocolate Cookie Recipe! Next Week&#8217;s LessWrong Posts Policy Debates Should Not Appear One Sided (Audio Link) (Text Link) Birch’s Law (No Audio Link) (Text Link) &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 73 – Truth and Winning https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/12/73-truth-and-winning/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Dec 2018 08:03:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=601 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/12/73-truth-and-winning/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/12/73-truth-and-winning/feed/ 2 The conspiracy worries about our post-truth government and looks at the question of why Rationalists aren’t at the top of everything they do.

 

Articles/things discussed in this episode

Link with analysis and discussion of the Jim Acosta incident

Sailor Vulcan’s post on LessWrong

Scott Alexander’s reply in the comments

The Last Rationalist’s take on the question

 

Relevant Links

The wonderful Rationality From AI to Zombies podcast’s episode on The Simple Truth (It turns out Eneasz didn’t actually do it)

 

Sequence Posts for next time:

Politics is the Mind-Killer

Just Lose Hope Already

You Are Not Hiring the Top 1%

 

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:42:16 601 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe conspiracy worries about our post-truth government and looks at the question of why Rationalists aren&#8217;t at the top of everything they do. &nbsp; Articles/things discussed in this episode Link with analysis and discussion of the Jim Acosta incident Sailor Vulcan&#8217;s post on LessWrong Scott Alexander&#8217;s reply in the comments The Last Rationalist&#8217;s take on the question &nbsp; Relevant Links The wonderful Rationality From AI to Zombies podcast&#8217;s episode on The Simple Truth (It turns out Eneasz didn&#8217;t actually do it) &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Politics is the Mind-Killer Just Lose Hope Already You Are Not Hiring the Top 1% &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!The conspiracy worries about our post-truth government and looks at the question of why Rationalists aren&#8217;t at the top of everything they do. &nbsp; Articles/things discussed in this episode Link with analysis and discussion of the Jim Acosta incident Sailor Vulcan&#8217;s post on LessWrong Scott Alexander&#8217;s reply in the comments The Last Rationalist&#8217;s take on the question &nbsp; Relevant Links The wonderful Rationality From AI to Zombies podcast&#8217;s episode on The Simple Truth (It turns out Eneasz didn&#8217;t actually do it) &nbsp; Sequence Posts for next time: Politics is the Mind-Killer Just Lose Hope Already You Are Not Hiring the Top 1% &nbsp; Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 72 – Productivity Tools, Part 2 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/11/productivity-tools-part-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Nov 2018 08:01:49 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=589 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/11/productivity-tools-part-2/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/11/productivity-tools-part-2/feed/ 3 Jess returns to finish up the Productivity Tools dicussion.

The Waking Up #MeToo episode

The Very Bad Wizards episode with moral dilemmas porn-ified

The Planet Money Halloween episode

Death Note fan-made alternate ending (the website is pretty bad with popups)

LeBron James tattoo rights. Eneasz may have said Kobe Bryant in the episode. He doesn’t know much about basketball. Y’all are lucky he didn’t say it was Shaq. 😉

The SSC nighttime CO2 post, and follow-up study. Also, melatonin. And here’s a link to an Amazon seller of the right dosage.

Our episode on Nootropics

Eneasz’s novel, What Lies Dreaming

This Episode’s Sequence Posts: I Don’t Know and A Fable of Science and Politics

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Politics is the Mind-Killer and Just Lose Hope Already

Handy List o’ Links from Jess!

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:54:20 589 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJess returns to finish up the Productivity Tools dicussion. The Waking Up #MeToo episode The Very Bad Wizards episode with moral dilemmas porn-ified The Planet Money Halloween episode Death Note fan-made alternate ending (the website is pretty bad with popups) LeBron James tattoo rights. Eneasz may have said Kobe Bryant in the episode. He doesn&#8217;t know much about basketball. Y&#8217;all are lucky he didn&#8217;t say it was Shaq. The SSC nighttime CO2 post, and follow-up study. Also, melatonin. And here&#8217;s a link to an Amazon seller of the right dosage. Our episode on Nootropics Eneasz&#8217;s novel, What Lies Dreaming This Episode’s Sequence Posts: I Don’t Know and A Fable of Science and Politics Next Episode&#8217;s Sequence Posts: Politics is the Mind-Killer and Just Lose Hope Already Handy List o&#8217; Links from Jess! Cal Newport’s Deep Work Charles Duhigg’s Smarter Faster Better Science of Pomodoro Workflowy, Evernote, Google (Keep) Scapple Todoist Habitica Lesswrong Study Hall Beeminder Stikk Bullet Journalling One-Bun Method (and other Peg Methods) Memory Palace Method GTD Natural Planning Sleep Paper Eisenhower Matrix Stacking Habits CFAR’s TAPs Wysa app Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Jess returns to finish up the Productivity Tools dicussion. The Waking Up #MeToo episode The Very Bad Wizards episode with moral dilemmas porn-ified The Planet Money Halloween episode Death Note fan-made alternate ending (the website is pretty bad with popups) LeBron James tattoo rights. Eneasz may have said Kobe Bryant in the episode. He doesn&#8217;t know much about basketball. Y&#8217;all are lucky he didn&#8217;t say it was Shaq. The SSC nighttime CO2 post, and follow-up study. Also, melatonin. And here&#8217;s a link to an Amazon seller of the right dosage. Our episode on Nootropics Eneasz&#8217;s novel, What Lies Dreaming This Episode’s Sequence Posts: I Don’t Know and A Fable of Science and Politics Next Episode&#8217;s Sequence Posts: Politics is the Mind-Killer and Just Lose Hope Already Handy List o&#8217; Links from Jess! Cal Newport’s Deep Work Charles Duhigg’s Smarter Faster Better Science of Pomodoro Workflowy, Evernote, Google (Keep) Scapple Todoist Habitica Lesswrong Study Hall Beeminder Stikk Bullet Journalling One-Bun Method (and other Peg Methods) Memory Palace Method GTD Natural Planning Sleep Paper Eisenhower Matrix Stacking Habits CFAR’s TAPs Wysa app Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 71 – Researching Qualia with Andrés Gómez Emilsson https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/11/71-andres-from-the-qualia-research-institute/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 08 Nov 2018 15:48:54 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=582 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/11/71-andres-from-the-qualia-research-institute/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/11/71-andres-from-the-qualia-research-institute/feed/ 5 Steven can’t read a calender, so accidentally scheduled this to release a day late.

In this episode, we talk with Andrés Gómez Emilsson from the Qualia Research Institute. Buckle up for some dialogue on the intersection between philosophy and science.

Steven was testing a new mic this episode, and thus sounds like he’s phoning it in from a submarine. Sorry for the trouble. He’ll keep searching for a better mic.

Here’s a fun presentation on QRI’s website that Andrés gave that covers some of the stuff we talked about in this episode.

Transcript of that dude taking on the math-illiterate execs at Verizon. Audio version.

Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: I Don’t Know and A Fable of Science and Politics

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:45:56 582 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteven can&#8217;t read a calender, so accidentally scheduled this to release a day late. In this episode, we talk with Andrés Gómez Emilsson from the Qualia Research Institute. Buckle up for some dialogue on the intersection between philosophy and science. Steven was testing a new mic this episode, and thus sounds like he&#8217;s phoning it in from a submarine. Sorry for the trouble. He&#8217;ll keep searching for a better mic. Here&#8217;s a fun presentation on QRI&#8217;s website that Andrés gave that covers some of the stuff we talked about in this episode. Transcript of that dude taking on the math-illiterate execs at Verizon. Audio version. Next Episode&#8217;s Sequence Posts: I Don&#8217;t Know and A Fable of Science and Politics Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Steven can&#8217;t read a calender, so accidentally scheduled this to release a day late. In this episode, we talk with Andrés Gómez Emilsson from the Qualia Research Institute. Buckle up for some dialogue on the intersection between philosophy and science. Steven was testing a new mic this episode, and thus sounds like he&#8217;s phoning it in from a submarine. Sorry for the trouble. He&#8217;ll keep searching for a better mic. Here&#8217;s a fun presentation on QRI&#8217;s website that Andrés gave that covers some of the stuff we talked about in this episode. Transcript of that dude taking on the math-illiterate execs at Verizon. Audio version. Next Episode&#8217;s Sequence Posts: I Don&#8217;t Know and A Fable of Science and Politics Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 70 – Kick-offs https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/10/70-kick-offs/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 Oct 2018 08:01:20 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=577 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/10/70-kick-offs/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/10/70-kick-offs/feed/ 2 We kick off a couple things:
The Sequences Reading/Discussion, and
What Lies Dreaming

The OG Sequences in chronological order
we read: The Martial Art of Rationality ; Why Truth? And… ; …What’s a Bias Again?
For next time: The Proper Use of Humility ; The Modesty Argument

Collated & edited in: Rationality: AI to Zombies
also as a podcast, and a podcast

The Elephant in the Brain (and our podcast episode about it)

SSC on Predictive Processing and Perceptual Control

The 12 Virtues of Rationality

The Conceptual Penis

Ozy on Sokal Squared, the latest hoax/expose that is way over-hyped

Permanent Effects from LSD? Also, Scott Alexander mentions the existence of permanent hallucination effects

 

Eneasz’s novel, What Lies Dreaming, is coming Nov 11th!

 

Petrov Day Art:

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:05:19 577 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe kick off a couple things: The Sequences Reading/Discussion, and What Lies Dreaming The OG Sequences in chronological order we read: The Martial Art of Rationality ; Why Truth? And… ; …What’s a Bias Again? For next time: The Proper Use of Humility ; The Modesty Argument Collated &amp; edited in: Rationality: AI to Zombies also as a podcast, and a podcast The Elephant in the Brain (and our podcast episode about it) SSC on Predictive Processing and Perceptual Control The 12 Virtues of Rationality The Conceptual Penis Ozy on Sokal Squared, the latest hoax/expose that is way over-hyped Permanent Effects from LSD? Also, Scott Alexander mentions the existence of permanent hallucination effects &nbsp; Eneasz&#8217;s novel, What Lies Dreaming, is coming Nov 11th! &nbsp; Petrov Day Art:We kick off a couple things: The Sequences Reading/Discussion, and What Lies Dreaming The OG Sequences in chronological order we read: The Martial Art of Rationality ; Why Truth? And… ; …What’s a Bias Again? For next time: The Proper Use of Humility ; The Modesty Argument Collated &amp; edited in: Rationality: AI to Zombies also as a podcast, and a podcast The Elephant in the Brain (and our podcast episode about it) SSC on Predictive Processing and Perceptual Control The 12 Virtues of Rationality The Conceptual Penis Ozy on Sokal Squared, the latest hoax/expose that is way over-hyped Permanent Effects from LSD? Also, Scott Alexander mentions the existence of permanent hallucination effects &nbsp; Eneasz&#8217;s novel, What Lies Dreaming, is coming Nov 11th! &nbsp; Petrov Day Art:Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 69 – Culture War 2.0 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/10/69-culture-war-2-0/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 Oct 2018 08:00:28 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=568 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/10/69-culture-war-2-0/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/10/69-culture-war-2-0/feed/ 1 An awesome anonymous listener made this and sent it in after the episode aired! Thanks, awesome mystery person!

An awesome anonymous listener made this and sent it in after the episode aired! Thanks, awesome mystery person!

Alas, we had some technical difficulties in this episode too and we lost some small chunks of audio. I cropped it as best I could, but there’s some little bits where you can tell the audio skips a bit.

Today’s main topic/recommended reading: Memetic Tribes and War Culture

Petrov Day (There’s an XKCD for everything!) and original LessWrong post and the botched celebration that ended in simulated nuclear annihilation

Wiki page on lean development in case anyone else gets off on efficiency

Sam Harris episode with Chistian (not Christopher) Picciolini, the reformed neo nazi

The Intellectual Dark Web, complete with aesthetically pleasing/cringeworthy pictures

The ‘This American Life’ episode with Laci Green

The Adversarial Collaboration outline post on Slate Star Codex

All of the original LessWrong articles, presented in the messy order that Bayes intended

If you want to read ahead for next week, check out The Martial Art of Rationality ,Why Truth? And……What’s a Bias Again?

Soma, a play through by Marshall Dyer

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:04:18 568 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAn awesome anonymous listener made this and sent it in after the episode aired! Thanks, awesome mystery person! Alas, we had some technical difficulties in this episode too and we lost some small chunks of audio. I cropped it as best I could, but there&#8217;s some little bits where you can tell the audio skips a bit. Today&#8217;s main topic/recommended reading: Memetic Tribes and War Culture Petrov Day (There&#8217;s an XKCD for everything!) and original LessWrong post and the botched celebration that ended in simulated nuclear annihilation Wiki page on lean development in case anyone else gets off on efficiency Sam Harris episode with Chistian (not Christopher) Picciolini, the reformed neo nazi The Intellectual Dark Web, complete with aesthetically pleasing/cringeworthy pictures The &#8216;This American Life&#8217; episode with Laci Green The Adversarial Collaboration outline post on Slate Star Codex All of the original LessWrong articles, presented in the messy order that Bayes intended If you want to read ahead for next week, check out The Martial Art of Rationality ,Why Truth? And…&#8230;What’s a Bias Again? Soma, a play through by Marshall Dyer Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!An awesome anonymous listener made this and sent it in after the episode aired! Thanks, awesome mystery person! Alas, we had some technical difficulties in this episode too and we lost some small chunks of audio. I cropped it as best I could, but there&#8217;s some little bits where you can tell the audio skips a bit. Today&#8217;s main topic/recommended reading: Memetic Tribes and War Culture Petrov Day (There&#8217;s an XKCD for everything!) and original LessWrong post and the botched celebration that ended in simulated nuclear annihilation Wiki page on lean development in case anyone else gets off on efficiency Sam Harris episode with Chistian (not Christopher) Picciolini, the reformed neo nazi The Intellectual Dark Web, complete with aesthetically pleasing/cringeworthy pictures The &#8216;This American Life&#8217; episode with Laci Green The Adversarial Collaboration outline post on Slate Star Codex All of the original LessWrong articles, presented in the messy order that Bayes intended If you want to read ahead for next week, check out The Martial Art of Rationality ,Why Truth? And…&#8230;What’s a Bias Again? Soma, a play through by Marshall Dyer Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 68 – Can’t Give Up Freeman https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/09/68-cant-give-up-freeman/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Sep 2018 08:01:24 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=564 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/09/68-cant-give-up-freeman/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/09/68-cant-give-up-freeman/feed/ 1 Matt Freeman may be distant in body, but he is present in spirit

Moridinamael’s A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism

KatjaGrace’s Are ethical asymmetries from property rights?

Yudkowsky’s Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism

Very Bad Wizards ep 148 Am I Wrong?

Moridinamael’s Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower

Crystal Society podcast

The Society of Mind by Marvin Minsky – actually from 1988!

Horizon Zero Dawn

Undertale (and on Steam)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:30:22 564 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMatt Freeman may be distant in body, but he is present in spirit Moridinamael&#8217;s A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism KatjaGrace&#8217;s Are ethical asymmetries from property rights? Yudkowsky&#8217;s Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism Very Bad Wizards ep 148 Am I Wrong? Moridinamael&#8217;s Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower Crystal Society podcast The Society of Mind by Marvin Minsky &#8211; actually from 1988! Horizon Zero Dawn Undertale (and on Steam)Matt Freeman may be distant in body, but he is present in spirit Moridinamael&#8217;s A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism KatjaGrace&#8217;s Are ethical asymmetries from property rights? Yudkowsky&#8217;s Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism Very Bad Wizards ep 148 Am I Wrong? Moridinamael&#8217;s Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower Crystal Society podcast The Society of Mind by Marvin Minsky &#8211; actually from 1988! Horizon Zero Dawn Undertale (and on Steam)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 67 – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/09/67-freestyle-community-talk-with-matt-freeman/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Sep 2018 08:03:11 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=558 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/09/67-freestyle-community-talk-with-matt-freeman/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/09/67-freestyle-community-talk-with-matt-freeman/feed/ 1 This episode has some audio quirks. We ended up having our recording software crash (but saved most of our audio) after about an hour and 15 minutes, so we have a tone shift at that point since we took a 20 minute break while we got our stuff back up and running.

A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism – A dialogue-form essay Matt wrote the day after we recorded this episode

We’ve Got Ward

Doof Media

Banned Things Store

Policy Debates Should Not Appear One Sided

Russia Rationalist Group Three Years Retrospective

The Fugitive Slave Clause (Steven brought this up and wanted to make sure the facts were easy to find)

Thomas’ Enchiridion Translation Kickstarter

Current Unsong Audiobook Project (hasn’t posted since March 2017 and is on chapter 12)

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:36:47 558 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis episode has some audio quirks. We ended up having our recording software crash (but saved most of our audio) after about an hour and 15 minutes, so we have a tone shift at that point since we took a 20 minute break while we got our stuff back up and running. A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism &#8211; A dialogue-form essay Matt wrote the day after we recorded this episode We’ve Got Ward Doof Media Banned Things Store Policy Debates Should Not Appear One Sided Russia Rationalist Group Three Years Retrospective The Fugitive Slave Clause (Steven brought this up and wanted to make sure the facts were easy to find) Thomas&#8217; Enchiridion Translation Kickstarter Current Unsong Audiobook Project (hasn&#8217;t posted since March 2017 and is on chapter 12) Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!This episode has some audio quirks. We ended up having our recording software crash (but saved most of our audio) after about an hour and 15 minutes, so we have a tone shift at that point since we took a 20 minute break while we got our stuff back up and running. A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism &#8211; A dialogue-form essay Matt wrote the day after we recorded this episode We’ve Got Ward Doof Media Banned Things Store Policy Debates Should Not Appear One Sided Russia Rationalist Group Three Years Retrospective The Fugitive Slave Clause (Steven brought this up and wanted to make sure the facts were easy to find) Thomas&#8217; Enchiridion Translation Kickstarter Current Unsong Audiobook Project (hasn&#8217;t posted since March 2017 and is on chapter 12) Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, The Sword of Good https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/the-sword-of-good/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Aug 2018 08:01:40 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=555 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/the-sword-of-good/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/the-sword-of-good/feed/ 4 A confluence of time-expensive events prevented us from recording an episode this week. However, since Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology was just released, we’re podcasting a story from that anthology instead. This audio was first released at The Methods of Rationality podcast.

Sword of Good original text

Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology

Audio Music & FX credits

The Methods of Rationality podcast

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:04:43 555 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA confluence of time-expensive events prevented us from recording an episode this week. However, since Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology was just released, we&#8217;re podcasting a story from that anthology instead. This audio was first released at The Methods of Rationality podcast. Sword of Good original text Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology Audio Music &amp; FX credits The Methods of Rationality podcastA confluence of time-expensive events prevented us from recording an episode this week. However, since Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology was just released, we&#8217;re podcasting a story from that anthology instead. This audio was first released at The Methods of Rationality podcast. Sword of Good original text Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology Audio Music &amp; FX credits The Methods of Rationality podcastRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 66 – Feedback & Productivity (pt1) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/66-feedback-productivity-pt1/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Aug 2018 08:01:40 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=551 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/66-feedback-productivity-pt1/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/66-feedback-productivity-pt1/feed/ 3 We finally get to some older listener feedback, then discuss productivity tools & systems. Also, Eneasz unveiled Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology.

Lizard hatching; Lizard chased by snakes

Malcom Gladwell on the (non-)value of getting into Harvard

Bayesians vs Barbarians

Universal Paperclips – the paperclip maximizer game, plus Wired’s article about it

Rescue Time

Steven really likes Apollo, even though they aren’t paying us 🙂

Tomato Timer

The Less Wrong study hall

Scott fixes Melatonin use

Band-aid removal speed pain study

Wait But Why on chronic lateness

Getting Things Done

Aluminum Pocket Notebook w/ Pen

Habitica

The Oatmeal on Running

Luke’s LW post on The Procrastination Equation, and the book The Procrastination Equation

The Value of Time calculator at Clearer Thinking

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:53:22 551 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe finally get to some older listener feedback, then discuss productivity tools &amp; systems. Also, Eneasz unveiled Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology. Lizard hatching; Lizard chased by snakes Malcom Gladwell on the (non-)value of getting into Harvard Bayesians vs Barbarians Universal Paperclips &#8211; the paperclip maximizer game, plus Wired&#8217;s article about it Rescue Time Steven really likes Apollo, even though they aren&#8217;t paying us Tomato Timer The Less Wrong study hall Scott fixes Melatonin use Band-aid removal speed pain study Wait But Why on chronic lateness Getting Things Done Aluminum Pocket Notebook w/ Pen Habitica The Oatmeal on Running Luke&#8217;s LW post on The Procrastination Equation, and the book The Procrastination Equation The Value of Time calculator at Clearer ThinkingWe finally get to some older listener feedback, then discuss productivity tools &amp; systems. Also, Eneasz unveiled Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology. Lizard hatching; Lizard chased by snakes Malcom Gladwell on the (non-)value of getting into Harvard Bayesians vs Barbarians Universal Paperclips &#8211; the paperclip maximizer game, plus Wired&#8217;s article about it Rescue Time Steven really likes Apollo, even though they aren&#8217;t paying us Tomato Timer The Less Wrong study hall Scott fixes Melatonin use Band-aid removal speed pain study Wait But Why on chronic lateness Getting Things Done Aluminum Pocket Notebook w/ Pen Habitica The Oatmeal on Running Luke&#8217;s LW post on The Procrastination Equation, and the book The Procrastination Equation The Value of Time calculator at Clearer ThinkingRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 65 – Religion, and The Intelligent Social Web https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/65-religion-and-the-intelligent-social-web/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Aug 2018 08:01:28 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=544 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/65-religion-and-the-intelligent-social-web/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/08/65-religion-and-the-intelligent-social-web/feed/ 2 Eneasz is still allergic to mysticism, but he really likes thinking of society as a super-being that guides humans and cares about their actions. Does this foresay doom for our host?

A correction: Eneasz made a joke about Calvanists being Catholics, which is the opposite of the truth, they’re a sect of Protestantism. Oops!

Outside the Laboratory

Newcomblike Problems Are the Norm

The Intelligent Social Web

Kensho

The Tyranny of Biology

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:34:11 544 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz is still allergic to mysticism, but he really likes thinking of society as a super-being that guides humans and cares about their actions. Does this foresay doom for our host? A correction: Eneasz made a joke about Calvanists being Catholics, which is the opposite of the truth, they&#8217;re a sect of Protestantism. Oops! Outside the Laboratory Newcomblike Problems Are the Norm The Intelligent Social Web Kensho The Tyranny of BiologyEneasz is still allergic to mysticism, but he really likes thinking of society as a super-being that guides humans and cares about their actions. Does this foresay doom for our host? A correction: Eneasz made a joke about Calvanists being Catholics, which is the opposite of the truth, they&#8217;re a sect of Protestantism. Oops! Outside the Laboratory Newcomblike Problems Are the Norm The Intelligent Social Web Kensho The Tyranny of BiologyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 64 – Magick with David Youssef https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/07/64-magick-with-david-youssef/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Jul 2018 08:02:06 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=539 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/07/64-magick-with-david-youssef/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/07/64-magick-with-david-youssef/feed/ 5 It’s only almost as crazy as it sounds.

A bunch of links to help you get started on Magick!

UltraCulture’s guide:

The Complete Psychonaut Field Manual: A Cartoon Guide to Chaos Magick

RUNE SOUP links:

All things Sigils

Sigils Reboot: How to Get Big Magic From Little Squiggles

Very Bad Company – Occultism and Power

Even a Really Big Map Is Not the Territory

Why Belief is the Wrong Word to Use

The Other Middle Pillar: An Org Chart of Practical Magic

The Slate Star Codex post we mention. (Buckle up, this one is weird)

Universal Love, Said the Cactus Person

David’s email, if you want to get in touch for real estate purposes: dydavidyoussef@gmail.com

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:34:06 539 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIt&#8217;s only almost as crazy as it sounds. A bunch of links to help you get started on Magick! UltraCulture&#8217;s guide: The Complete Psychonaut Field Manual: A Cartoon Guide to Chaos Magick RUNE SOUP links: All things Sigils Sigils Reboot: How to Get Big Magic From Little Squiggles Very Bad Company &#8211; Occultism and Power Even a Really Big Map Is Not the Territory Why Belief is the Wrong Word to Use The Other Middle Pillar: An Org Chart of Practical Magic The Slate Star Codex post we mention. (Buckle up, this one is weird) Universal Love, Said the Cactus Person David&#8217;s email, if you want to get in touch for real estate purposes: dydavidyoussef@gmail.comIt&#8217;s only almost as crazy as it sounds. A bunch of links to help you get started on Magick! UltraCulture&#8217;s guide: The Complete Psychonaut Field Manual: A Cartoon Guide to Chaos Magick RUNE SOUP links: All things Sigils Sigils Reboot: How to Get Big Magic From Little Squiggles Very Bad Company &#8211; Occultism and Power Even a Really Big Map Is Not the Territory Why Belief is the Wrong Word to Use The Other Middle Pillar: An Org Chart of Practical Magic The Slate Star Codex post we mention. (Buckle up, this one is weird) Universal Love, Said the Cactus Person David&#8217;s email, if you want to get in touch for real estate purposes: dydavidyoussef@gmail.comRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 63 – Rational Fiction https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/07/63-rational-fiction/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Jul 2018 08:01:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=536 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/07/63-rational-fiction/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/07/63-rational-fiction/feed/ 6 Alexander Wales and DayStar Eld join us to discuss Rational Fiction

Their Podcast – Rationally Writing

Alexander Wales’s page

DayStar Eld’s page

Eneasz’s Fiction

The Progenitor – Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality

/r/rational on Reddit

The Idiot Ball

Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Abridged Guide to Intelligent Characters

Worm

Unsong

The /r/ration definition of Rational Fiction:

Nothing happens solely because ‘the plot requires it’. If characters do (or don’t do) something, there must be a plausible reason.
Any factions are defined and driven into conflict by their beliefs and values, not just by being “good” or “evil”.
The characters solve problems through the intelligent application of their knowledge and resources.
The rules of the fictional world are sane and consistent.
In Rationalist Fiction:
As well as the above,
The main character uses (or tries to use) rationalist and scientific methods to demystify seemingly mysterious phenomena.
The story shows rationalist techniques, which can be applied by readers.
The story is like a puzzle; readers can reach the same solution as the characters by using the information provided earlier in the story.

 

Various definitions and opinions on Rational Fiction that Eneasz has clipped over the years:

nostlgabraist: [it’s] really more about elaborate mind games between self-interested characters with flairs for the dramatic

If there’s an aesthetic common denominator I can describe from all of these, or at least most of them, it’s something like: blunt and cynical (often with humorous intent) in tone, dark or at least not reluctant to get very dark at times, often includes extremely powerful or intelligent characters, sense of scale or “many orders of magnitude.”

 

EY re: swordart online

>What part of any of that was “rational”

I need to write a long diatribe on Tru Rationalfic at some point, but a very brief answer would be that a standard subtrope is looking at a fictional world and seeing another way of interpreting the characters’ observations as corresponding to different simple generators. In this case the hinge of the fic is that the people inside SAO have no way of knowing people are really dying and Kayaba has every reason not to kill them. Kayaba setting up his general rule for the final battle, rather than Kirito “miraculously” coming back, is a lesser such instance.

Obviously other authors do this as well and not under the label “rationalfic”, but it’s still something to present to people who are searching a rationalfic keyword, computationally or metaphorically.

More pragmatically, if you’d read a lot of rationalfic, you’d recognize this as being written in a particular tradition and not just because it’s me writing it. E.g. instead of there being a single point of departure, there’s a lot of little reinterpretations that are all in standard rationalfic directions. Asuna sees the answer sooner, Kayaba has additional motives, etc.

 

Alexander Wales: With Rule of Cool you’re basically saying to your audience “I don’t want you to think about this. Just accept that it’s awesome and move on.” Rational Fiction is about analysis and you’re inviting your audience in to look at things and question things. If you then include things that don’t make sense or they’re not explained or justified, and they’re just there because they’re cool, that breaks what you’re trying to do. (Rationally Writing Ep 5)

 

EagleJarl:

As to rational fiction per se, it’s simply a convenient label for a genre with specific characteristics, much like “romance”, “Western”, “hard SF”, etc are labels for specific genres.

A few key points:
Again, the term was invented as a shorthand for “well-written literature that has these specific characteristics.”
Characters in rational fiction should not be Vulcans. As has been pointed out elsewhere in the thread, factoring your emotions into your decisions is useful.
Anyone who is trying to write rationalist fiction is doing it deliberately, but people have been writing things that would fit the “rational writing” label for as long as pens have existed, much like people were writing science fiction before that specific term was invented. Again, “rational fiction” is just a category label.
…There’s no requirement that it be all about science or munckinry, although those things tend to come up because, let’s face it, science is the way that humanity has been winning over the animals for the last fifty millenia.

…Of course there’s a lot of debate about what falls into the category, but there’s debate about everything. Is Firefly science fiction, science fantasy, Western, romance…? (Answer: it has characteristics of all of those.)

 

OP lost: “fiction in which the narrative centers on the protagonist’s systematic, detailed, well-reasoned, and focused efforts to resolve a practical and immediate problem facing them, in such a manner that the reader can follow every step from their perspective”.

Zhade:
But that raises the question, wouldn’t mystery fiction be rational then? My gut-instinct is “No”, which is weird because mystery has all the hallmarks of my definition. Of course, gut instinct is a stupid reason by itself to exclude mystery from my rational definition, so checking in over at Wikipedia (if any of you lit majors have a better definition of mystery, I would be glad to hear it), the definition of the genre is: “Mystery fiction is a genre of fiction usually involving a mysterious death or a crime to be solved. In a closed circle of suspects, each suspect must have a credible motive and a reasonable opportunity for committing the crime. The central character must be a detective who eventually solves the mystery by logical deduction from facts fairly presented to the reader.”

And now I realized why I don’t consider mystery to be necessarily rational. The “Ah-Ha!” moment isn’t limited to just solving a crime or death. It can also be applied to discovering how to beat an enemy, accomplish a journey or just surviving whatever’s going on in the story at the moment. And if you say that the mystery label can be applied to those cases as well, then, what isn’t mystery?

And I think that’s an important point. There can be parts of a fic that is rational and parts that aren’t. And I think that you can apply that to a broader field. There can be both rational and irrational mystery fics, rational and irrational fantasy, rational and irrational sci-fi, etc.

 

DezoPenguin:
I would like to note that for as much as “Rational Fiction” can be annoying, there’s a hell of a lot more fiction out there in the world that appears to be just as didactic for an “Irrationalist” viewpoint. By which I mean the huge volume of works that imply that Science is Bad, that fill their “intellectual” characters roster with either Straw Vulcans or pathetic nerds, that insert ghosts or psychic powers or other New Age-y things into otherwise realistic settings (in, obviously, non-fantasy series), and in other ways attempt to comply with the stereotype that writers are art majors. And I find that as frustrating as hell, and a lot more so than “rationalist” fic because it’s a lot more ubiquitous and unlike rationalist stuff is very rarely clearly labeled as such. At least when I pick up a fic that trumpets “Rational!Protagonist” I know what I’m getting, just as if I but something out of the Inspirational section at a bookstore. Neither of which I generally do, because of the clear labeling, but the point is that it’s courteous.

 

InfernoVulpix:
On the rational writing podcast, when discussing the definition of rational fiction, the idea that it was ‘thinky’ fiction came up, that a common feature in rational stories is that they made you think about what was going on.
I think it’s slightly more general than that, and I’ll say that I think the (or, at least, a) core of rational fiction is that intelligence is a core virtue of the story. Battles will be won and lost primarily based on who had the better plan, who prepared more, who improvised the quickest, and so on. This would be in contrast to the ‘generic action show’ where Determination and Fighting For What You Believe In are core virtues that decide the outcome. In generic action show, whether the battle is won or lost depends almost entirely on whether the hero can get his second wind when things look down (often triggering some superpower to justify the success of said second wind, but it’s the same thing).
This explains quite a few things, such as why rational fics tend to have anticlimaxes more than usual. You specifically need a long, drawn-out fight to show off the raw willpower and determination of the protagonist at the climax, but in rational fiction you don’t specifically need that, since you can show off the cunning of the protagonist and the extent they planned and prepared or the quality of their improvisation in a single scene where the enemy was outsmarted and simply had no hope of victory. Of course, you can do drawn out fights this way too, but the key is that it’s not required. The focus on intelligence also helps explain the attention to detail and consistent rules, since your protagonist is supposed to live and die based on whether they can plan things out and grasp for advantages, and an inscrutable ‘as the plot demands’ ruleset is incompatible with that, whereas you don’t need the rules to behave the same way to force your protagonist to the brink of defeat before their show of determination and second wind.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:19:23 536 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAlexander Wales and DayStar Eld join us to discuss Rational Fiction Their Podcast &#8211; Rationally Writing Alexander Wales&#8217;s page DayStar Eld&#8217;s page Eneasz&#8217;s Fiction The Progenitor &#8211; Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality /r/rational on Reddit The Idiot Ball Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s Abridged Guide to Intelligent Characters Worm Unsong The /r/ration definition of Rational Fiction: Nothing happens solely because &#8216;the plot requires it&#8217;. If characters do (or don&#8217;t do) something, there must be a plausible reason. Any factions are defined and driven into conflict by their beliefs and values, not just by being &#8220;good&#8221; or &#8220;evil&#8221;. The characters solve problems through the intelligent application of their knowledge and resources. The rules of the fictional world are sane and consistent. In Rationalist Fiction: As well as the above, The main character uses (or tries to use) rationalist and scientific methods to demystify seemingly mysterious phenomena. The story shows rationalist techniques, which can be applied by readers. The story is like a puzzle; readers can reach the same solution as the characters by using the information provided earlier in the story. &nbsp; Various definitions and opinions on Rational Fiction that Eneasz has clipped over the years: nostlgabraist: [it&#8217;s] really more about elaborate mind games between self-interested characters with flairs for the dramatic If there’s an aesthetic common denominator I can describe from all of these, or at least most of them, it’s something like: blunt and cynical (often with humorous intent) in tone, dark or at least not reluctant to get very dark at times, often includes extremely powerful or intelligent characters, sense of scale or “many orders of magnitude.” &nbsp; EY re: swordart online &gt;What part of any of that was &#8220;rational&#8221; I need to write a long diatribe on Tru Rationalfic at some point, but a very brief answer would be that a standard subtrope is looking at a fictional world and seeing another way of interpreting the characters&#8217; observations as corresponding to different simple generators. In this case the hinge of the fic is that the people inside SAO have no way of knowing people are really dying and Kayaba has every reason not to kill them. Kayaba setting up his general rule for the final battle, rather than Kirito &#8220;miraculously&#8221; coming back, is a lesser such instance. Obviously other authors do this as well and not under the label &#8220;rationalfic&#8221;, but it&#8217;s still something to present to people who are searching a rationalfic keyword, computationally or metaphorically. More pragmatically, if you&#8217;d read a lot of rationalfic, you&#8217;d recognize this as being written in a particular tradition and not just because it&#8217;s me writing it. E.g. instead of there being a single point of departure, there&#8217;s a lot of little reinterpretations that are all in standard rationalfic directions. Asuna sees the answer sooner, Kayaba has additional motives, etc. &nbsp; Alexander Wales: With Rule of Cool you&#8217;re basically saying to your audience &#8220;I don&#8217;t want you to think about this. Just accept that it&#8217;s awesome and move on.&#8221; Rational Fiction is about analysis and you&#8217;re inviting your audience in to look at things and question things. If you then include things that don&#8217;t make sense or they&#8217;re not explained or justified, and they&#8217;re just there because they&#8217;re cool, that breaks what you&#8217;re trying to do. (Rationally Writing Ep 5) &nbsp; EagleJarl: As to rational fiction per se, it&#8217;s simply a convenient label for a genre with specific characteristics, much like &#8220;romance&#8221;, &#8220;Western&#8221;, &#8220;hard SF&#8221;, etc are labels for specific genres. A few key points: Again, the term was invented as a shorthand for &#8220;well-written literature that has these specific characteristics.&#8221; Characters in rational fiction should not be Vulcans. As has been pointed out elsewhere in the thread, factoring your emotions into your decisions is useful. Anyone who is trying to write rationalist fiction is doing it deliberately, but people have been writing things that would fit the &#8220;rational writing&#8221; label for as long as pens have existed, much like people were writing science fiction before that specific term was invented. Again, &#8220;rational fiction&#8221; is just a category label. &#8230;There&#8217;s no requirement that it be all about science or munckinry, although those things tend to come up because, let&#8217;s face it, science is the way that humanity has been winning over the animals for the last fifty millenia. &#8230;Of course there&#8217;s a lot of debate about what falls into the category, but there&#8217;s debate about everything. Is Firefly science fiction, science fantasy, Western, romance&#8230;? (Answer: it has characteristics of all of those.) &nbsp; OP lost: &#8220;fiction in which the narrative centers on the protagonist&#8217;s systematic, detailed, well-reasoned, and focused efforts to resolve a practical and immediate problem facing them, in such a manner that the reader can follow every step from their perspective&#8221;. Zhade: But that raises the question, wouldn&#8217;t mystery fiction be rational then? My gut-instinct is &#8220;No&#8221;, which is weird because mystery has all the hallmarks of my definition. Of course, gut instinct is a stupid reason by itself to exclude mystery from my rational definition, so checking in over at Wikipedia (if any of you lit majors have a better definition of mystery, I would be glad to hear it), the definition of the genre is: &#8220;Mystery fiction is a genre of fiction usually involving a mysterious death or a crime to be solved. In a closed circle of suspects, each suspect must have a credible motive and a reasonable opportunity for committing the crime. The central character must be a detective who eventually solves the mystery by logical deduction from facts fairly presented to the reader.&#8221; And now I realized why I don&#8217;t consider mystery to be necessarily rational. The &#8220;Ah-Ha!&#8221; moment isn&#8217;t limited to just solving a crime or death. It can also be applied to discovering how to beat an enemy, accomplish a journey or just surviving whatever&#8217;s going on in the story at the moment. And if you say that the mystery label can be applied to those cases as well, then, what isn&#8217;t mystery? And I think that&#8217;s an important point. There can be parts of a fic that is rational and parts that aren&#8217;t. And I think that you can apply that to a broader field. There can be both rational and irrational mystery fics, rational and irrational fantasy, rational and irrational sci-fi, etc. &nbsp; DezoPenguin: I would like to note that for as much as &#8220;Rational Fiction&#8221; can be annoying, there&#8217;s a hell of a lot more fiction out there in the world that appears to be just as didactic for an &#8220;Irrationalist&#8221; viewpoint. By which I mean the huge volume of works that imply that Science is Bad, that fill their &#8220;intellectual&#8221; characters roster with either Straw Vulcans or pathetic nerds, that insert ghosts or psychic powers or other New Age-y things into otherwise realistic settings (in, obviously, non-fantasy series), and in other ways attempt to comply with the stereotype that writers are art majors. And I find that as frustrating as hell, and a lot more so than &#8220;rationalist&#8221; fic because it&#8217;s a lot more ubiquitous and unlike rationalist stuff is very rarely clearly labeled as such. At least when I pick up a fic that trumpets &#8220;Rational!Protagonist&#8221; I know what I&#8217;m getting, just as if I but something out of the Inspirational section at a bookstore. Neither of which I generally do, because of the clear labeling, but the point is that it&#8217;s courteous. &nbsp; InfernoVulpix: On the rational writing podcast, when discussing the definition of rational fiction, the idea that it was &#8216;thinky&#8217; fiction came up, that a common feature in rational stories is that they made you think about what was going on. I think it&#8217;s slightly more general than that, and I&#8217;ll say that I think the (or, at least, a) core of rational fiction is that intelligence is a core virtue of the story. Battles will be won and lost primarily based on who had the better plan, who prepared more, who improvised the quickest, and so on. This would be in contrast to the &#8216;generic action show&#8217; where Determination and Fighting For What You Believe In are core virtues that decide the outcome. In generic action show, whether the battle is won or lost depends almost entirely on whether the hero can get his second wind when things look down (often triggering some superpower to justify the success of said second wind, but it&#8217;s the same thing). This explains quite a few things, such as why rational fics tend to have anticlimaxes more than usual. You specifically need a long, drawn-out fight to show off the raw willpower and determination of the protagonist at the climax, but in rational fiction you don&#8217;t specifically need that, since you can show off the cunning of the protagonist and the extent they planned and prepared or the quality of their improvisation in a single scene where the enemy was outsmarted and simply had no hope of victory. Of course, you can do drawn out fights this way too, but the key is that it&#8217;s not required. The focus on intelligence also helps explain the attention to detail and consistent rules, since your protagonist is supposed to live and die based on whether they can plan things out and grasp for advantages, and an inscrutable &#8216;as the plot demands&#8217; ruleset is incompatible with that, whereas you don&#8217;t need the rules to behave the same way to force your protagonist to the brink of defeat before their show of determination and second wind.Alexander Wales and DayStar Eld join us to discuss Rational Fiction Their Podcast &#8211; Rationally Writing Alexander Wales&#8217;s page DayStar Eld&#8217;s page Eneasz&#8217;s Fiction The Progenitor &#8211; Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality /r/rational on Reddit The Idiot Ball Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s Abridged Guide to Intelligent Characters Worm Unsong The /r/ration definition of Rational Fiction: Nothing happens solely because &#8216;the plot requires it&#8217;. If characters do (or don&#8217;t do) something, there must be a plausible reason. Any factions are defined and driven into conflict by their beliefs and values, not just by being &#8220;good&#8221; or &#8220;evil&#8221;. The characters solve problems through the intelligent application of their knowledge and resources. The rules of the fictional world are sane and consistent. In Rationalist Fiction: As well as the above, The main character uses (or tries to use) rationalist and scientific methods to demystify seemingly mysterious phenomena. The story shows rationalist techniques, which can be applied by readers. The story is like a puzzle; readers can reach the same solution as the characters by using the information provided earlier in the story. &nbsp; Various definitions and opinions on Rational Fiction that Eneasz has clipped over the years: nostlgabraist: [it&#8217;s] really more about elaborate mind games between self-interested characters with flairs for the dramatic If there’s an aesthetic common denominator I can describe from all of these, or at least most of them, it’s something like: blunt and cynical (often with humorous intent) in tone, dark or at least not reluctant to get very dark at times, often includes extremely powerful or intelligent characters, sense of scale or “many orders of magnitude.” &nbsp; EY re: swordart online &gt;What part of any of that was &#8220;rational&#8221; I need to write a long diatribe on Tru Rationalfic at some point, but a very brief answer would be that a standard subtrope is looking at a fictional world and seeing another way of interpreting the characters&#8217; observations as corresponding to different simple generators. In this case the hinge of the fic is that the people inside SAO have no way of knowing people are really dying and Kayaba has every reason not to kill them. Kayaba setting up his general rule for the final battle, rather than Kirito &#8220;miraculously&#8221; coming back, is a lesser such instance. Obviously other authors do this as well and not under the label &#8220;rationalfic&#8221;, but it&#8217;s still something to present to people who are searching a rationalfic keyword, computationally or metaphorically. More pragmatically, if you&#8217;d read a lot of rationalfic, you&#8217;d recognize this as being written in a particular tradition and not just because it&#8217;s me writing it. E.g. instead of there being a single point of departure, there&#8217;s a lot of little reinterpretations that are all in standard rationalfic directions. Asuna sees the answer sooner, Kayaba has additional motives, etc. &nbsp; Alexander Wales: With Rule of Cool you&#8217;re basically saying to your audience &#8220;I don&#8217;t want you to think about this. Just accept that it&#8217;s awesome and move on.&#8221; Rational Fiction is about analysis and you&#8217;re inviting your audience in to look at things and question things. If you then include things that don&#8217;t make sense or they&#8217;re not explained or justified, and they&#8217;re just there because they&#8217;re cool, that breaks what you&#8217;re trying to do. (Rationally Writing Ep 5) &nbsp; EagleJarl: As to rational fiction per se, it&#8217;s simply a convenient label for a genre with specific characteristics, much like &#8220;romance&#8221;, &#8220;Western&#8221;, &#8220;hard SF&#8221;, etc are labels for specific genres. A few key points: Again, the term was invented as a shorthand for &#8220;well-written literature that has these specific characteristics.&#8221; Characters in rational fiction should not be Vulcans. As has been pointed out elsewhere in the thread, factoring your emotions into your decisions is useful. Anyone who is trying to write rationalist fiction is doing it deliberately, but people have been writing things that would fit the &#8220;rational writing&#8221; label for as long as pens have existed, much like people were writing science fiction before that specific term was invented. Again, &#8220;rational fiction&#8221; is just a category label. &#8230;There&#8217;s no requirement that it be all about science or munckinry, although those things tend to come up because, let&#8217;s face it, science is the way that humanity has been winning over the animals for the last fifty millenia. &#8230;Of course there&#8217;s a lot of debate about what falls into the category, but there&#8217;s debate about everything. Is Firefly science fiction, science fantasy, Western, romance&#8230;? (Answer: it has characteristics of all of those.) &nbsp; OP lost: &#8220;fiction in which the narrative centers on the protagonist&#8217;s systematic, detailed, well-reasoned, and focused efforts to resolve a practical and immediate problem facing them, in such a manner that the reader can follow every step from their perspective&#8221;. Zhade: But that raises the question, wouldn&#8217;t mystery fiction be rational then? My gut-instinct is &#8220;No&#8221;, which is weird because mystery has all the hallmarks of my definition. Of course, gut instinct is a stupid reason by itself to exclude mystery from my rational definition, so checking in over at Wikipedia (if any of you lit majors have a better definition of mystery, I would be glad to hear it), the definition of the genre is: &#8220;Mystery fiction is a genre of fiction usually involving a mysterious death or a crime to be solved. In a closed circle of suspects, each suspect must have a credible motive and a reasonable opportunity for committing the crime. The central character must be a detective who eventually solves the mystery by logical deduction from facts fairly presented to the reader.&#8221; And now I realized why I don&#8217;t consider mystery to be necessarily rational. The &#8220;Ah-Ha!&#8221; moment isn&#8217;t limited to just solving a crime or death. It can also be applied to discovering how to beat an enemy, accomplish a journey or just surviving whatever&#8217;s going on in the story at the moment. And if you say that the mystery label can be applied to those cases as well, then, what isn&#8217;t mystery? And I think that&#8217;s an important point. There can be parts of a fic that is rational and parts that aren&#8217;t. And I think that you can apply that to a broader field. There can be both rational and irrational mystery fics, rational and irrational fantasy, rational and irrational sci-fi, etc. &nbsp; DezoPenguin: I would like to note that for as much as &#8220;Rational Fiction&#8221; can be annoying, there&#8217;s a hell of a lot more fiction out there in the world that appears to be just as didactic for an &#8220;Irrationalist&#8221; viewpoint. By which I mean the huge volume of works that imply that Science is Bad, that fill their &#8220;intellectual&#8221; characters roster with either Straw Vulcans or pathetic nerds, that insert ghosts or psychic powers or other New Age-y things into otherwise realistic settings (in, obviously, non-fantasy series), and in other ways attempt to comply with the stereotype that writers are art majors. And I find that as frustrating as hell, and a lot more so than &#8220;rationalist&#8221; fic because it&#8217;s a lot more ubiquitous and unlike rationalist stuff is very rarely clearly labeled as such. At least when I pick up a fic that trumpets &#8220;Rational!Protagonist&#8221; I know what I&#8217;m getting, just as if I but something out of the Inspirational section at a bookstore. Neither of which I generally do, because of the clear labeling, but the point is that it&#8217;s courteous. &nbsp; InfernoVulpix: On the rational writing podcast, when discussing the definition of rational fiction, the idea that it was &#8216;thinky&#8217; fiction came up, that a common feature in rational stories is that they made you think about what was going on. I think it&#8217;s slightly more general than that, and I&#8217;ll say that I think the (or, at least, a) core of rational fiction is that intelligence is a core virtue of the story. Battles will be won and lost primarily based on who had the better plan, who prepared more, who improvised the quickest, and so on. This would be in contrast to the &#8216;generic action show&#8217; where Determination and Fighting For What You Believe In are core virtues that decide the outcome. In generic action show, whether the battle is won or lost depends almost entirely on whether the hero can get his second wind when things look down (often triggering some superpower to justify the success of said second wind, but it&#8217;s the same thing). This explains quite a few things, such as why rational fics tend to have anticlimaxes more than usual. You specifically need a long, drawn-out fight to show off the raw willpower and determination of the protagonist at the climax, but in rational fiction you don&#8217;t specifically need that, since you can show off the cunning of the protagonist and the extent they planned and prepared or the quality of their improvisation in a single scene where the enemy was outsmarted and simply had no hope of victory. Of course, you can do drawn out fights this way too, but the key is that it&#8217;s not required. The focus on intelligence also helps explain the attention to detail and consistent rules, since your protagonist is supposed to live and die based on whether they can plan things out and grasp for advantages, and an inscrutable &#8216;as the plot demands&#8217; ruleset is incompatible with that, whereas you don&#8217;t need the rules to behave the same way to force your protagonist to the brink of defeat before their show of determination and second wind.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 62 – Stoic Chatter and RatChat! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/06/62-stoic-chatter-and-ratchat/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Jun 2018 08:00:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=524 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/06/62-stoic-chatter-and-ratchat/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/06/62-stoic-chatter-and-ratchat/feed/ 4 This episode is a bit unusual in that our pre-recording mic check conversation sort of kept going into a conversation we felt was worth sharing. We redacted some of the personal identifiable info and names of actual people, so if the conversation earlier on sounds sort of disjointed, that’s because it is. 😉

Steven also didn’t start moderating his freakishly fast speaking speed until a while into the episode. Sorry for those of you who listen to the show at a fast rate. 😉

Why Nerds Are Unpopular

Five Minute Peterson Video from u/Operation-Question on the subreddit. Thanks!

Google Assistant Demo Video

Minimum Viable Superorganism

Sam Harris Podcast on Cops and stuff

Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here!

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:15 524 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis episode is a bit unusual in that our pre-recording mic check conversation sort of kept going into a conversation we felt was worth sharing. We redacted some of the personal identifiable info and names of actual people, so if the conversation earlier on sounds sort of disjointed, that&#8217;s because it is. Steven also didn&#8217;t start moderating his freakishly fast speaking speed until a while into the episode. Sorry for those of you who listen to the show at a fast rate. Why Nerds Are Unpopular Five Minute Peterson Video from u/Operation-Question on the subreddit. Thanks! Google Assistant Demo Video Minimum Viable Superorganism Sam Harris Podcast on Cops and stuff Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!This episode is a bit unusual in that our pre-recording mic check conversation sort of kept going into a conversation we felt was worth sharing. We redacted some of the personal identifiable info and names of actual people, so if the conversation earlier on sounds sort of disjointed, that&#8217;s because it is. Steven also didn&#8217;t start moderating his freakishly fast speaking speed until a while into the episode. Sorry for those of you who listen to the show at a fast rate. Why Nerds Are Unpopular Five Minute Peterson Video from u/Operation-Question on the subreddit. Thanks! Google Assistant Demo Video Minimum Viable Superorganism Sam Harris Podcast on Cops and stuff Big thanks to David for our intro music! Check out his music and VFX here! We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 61 – Biohacking 101 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/06/61-biohacking-101/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Jun 2018 08:01:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=518 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/06/61-biohacking-101/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/06/61-biohacking-101/feed/ 7 We speak with Serge Faguet about biohacking.

The lowest hanging fruit is, of course, sleep and exercise. Going beyond that, Serge mentioned:
23 And Me for DNA sequencing
Promethease for further DNA analysis
Life Extension Foundation for supplements
Oura Ring for sleep analysis

Three deep-dive articles by him:
I’m 32 and spent $200k on biohacking.
How to biohack your intelligence|
How I set and execute 50-year goals

We are not medically trained and this is not medical advise. Take responsibility for your own hacking.

Also mentioned: The Bottom Line

Big thanks to David for our intro music! I’ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. 🙂

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:48:08 518 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Serge Faguet about biohacking. The lowest hanging fruit is, of course, sleep and exercise. Going beyond that, Serge mentioned: 23 And Me for DNA sequencing Promethease for further DNA analysis Life Extension Foundation for supplements Oura Ring for sleep analysis Three deep-dive articles by him: I’m 32 and spent $200k on biohacking. How to biohack your intelligence| How I set and execute 50-year goals We are not medically trained and this is not medical advise. Take responsibility for your own hacking. Also mentioned: The Bottom Line Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We speak with Serge Faguet about biohacking. The lowest hanging fruit is, of course, sleep and exercise. Going beyond that, Serge mentioned: 23 And Me for DNA sequencing Promethease for further DNA analysis Life Extension Foundation for supplements Oura Ring for sleep analysis Three deep-dive articles by him: I’m 32 and spent $200k on biohacking. How to biohack your intelligence| How I set and execute 50-year goals We are not medically trained and this is not medical advise. Take responsibility for your own hacking. Also mentioned: The Bottom Line Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 60 – 98% Likelihood This Episode is about Metaculus https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/05/98-likelihood-this-episode-is-about-metaculus/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 May 2018 06:04:20 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=513 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/05/98-likelihood-this-episode-is-about-metaculus/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/05/98-likelihood-this-episode-is-about-metaculus/feed/ 2 We speak with Anthony Aguirre of Metaculus.

Try out Metaculus, it’s neat and helps one train their calibration.

Future of Life Institute

Rat Chat: Maps vs Buttons; Nerds vs Normies

Big thanks to David for our intro music! I’ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. 🙂

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:00:10 513 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Anthony Aguirre of Metaculus. Try out Metaculus, it&#8217;s neat and helps one train their calibration. Future of Life Institute Rat Chat: Maps vs Buttons; Nerds vs Normies Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We speak with Anthony Aguirre of Metaculus. Try out Metaculus, it&#8217;s neat and helps one train their calibration. Future of Life Institute Rat Chat: Maps vs Buttons; Nerds vs Normies Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 59 – Gettin’ Schooled https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/05/59-gettin-schooled/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 10 May 2018 01:17:28 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=507 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/05/59-gettin-schooled/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/05/59-gettin-schooled/feed/ 4 We discuss schooling and education with Audrey.

Robin Hanson argues that schooling is to domesticate humans.

The Zvi is much more emotionally compelling in his Case Against Education and it’s follow-up (with more coming)

Scott Alexander examines why DC’s graduation rates are projected to plummet

Richard Feynman’s anecdote about students who knew all the details of light polarizing when reflected from a medium, but didn’t know how this applied to light reflecting off water.

From waaaaaay back in the day: Paul Graham on the social environment of schools and their likeness to prisons.

Per Audrey’s request, we have found an education charity that we are in favor of and can gladly recommend. Tostan International, first brought to Eneasz’s attention by Ozy at Thing of Things. (What really impressed Eneasz is that their focus is on education, and as a side effect they’ve been instrumental in over 6,000 villages ending Female Genital Cutting)

How To Win The AI Box Experiment (Sometimes). Massively interesting!

Big thanks to David for our intro music! I’ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. 🙂

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:42:27 507 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss schooling and education with Audrey. Robin Hanson argues that schooling is to domesticate humans. The Zvi is much more emotionally compelling in his Case Against Education and it&#8217;s follow-up (with more coming) Scott Alexander examines why DC&#8217;s graduation rates are projected to plummet Richard Feynman&#8217;s anecdote about students who knew all the details of light polarizing when reflected from a medium, but didn&#8217;t know how this applied to light reflecting off water. From waaaaaay back in the day: Paul Graham on the social environment of schools and their likeness to prisons. Per Audrey&#8217;s request, we have found an education charity that we are in favor of and can gladly recommend. Tostan International, first brought to Eneasz&#8217;s attention by Ozy at Thing of Things. (What really impressed Eneasz is that their focus is on education, and as a side effect they&#8217;ve been instrumental in over 6,000 villages ending Female Genital Cutting) How To Win The AI Box Experiment (Sometimes). Massively interesting! Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!We discuss schooling and education with Audrey. Robin Hanson argues that schooling is to domesticate humans. The Zvi is much more emotionally compelling in his Case Against Education and it&#8217;s follow-up (with more coming) Scott Alexander examines why DC&#8217;s graduation rates are projected to plummet Richard Feynman&#8217;s anecdote about students who knew all the details of light polarizing when reflected from a medium, but didn&#8217;t know how this applied to light reflecting off water. From waaaaaay back in the day: Paul Graham on the social environment of schools and their likeness to prisons. Per Audrey&#8217;s request, we have found an education charity that we are in favor of and can gladly recommend. Tostan International, first brought to Eneasz&#8217;s attention by Ozy at Thing of Things. (What really impressed Eneasz is that their focus is on education, and as a side effect they&#8217;ve been instrumental in over 6,000 villages ending Female Genital Cutting) How To Win The AI Box Experiment (Sometimes). Massively interesting! Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 58 – Inside Trump Country with Joshua https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/04/58-inside-trump-country-with-joshua/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 25 Apr 2018 08:00:39 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=502 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/04/58-inside-trump-country-with-joshua/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/04/58-inside-trump-country-with-joshua/feed/ 5 This one got off to an odd start since we were on a time crunch and Joshua as delayed in arriving. As a result, this one is way more disorganized than usual. We hope it’s fun nonetheless.

Big thanks to David for our intro music! I’ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. 🙂

We’d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:00 502 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis one got off to an odd start since we were on a time crunch and Joshua as delayed in arriving. As a result, this one is way more disorganized than usual. We hope it&#8217;s fun nonetheless. Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!This one got off to an odd start since we were on a time crunch and Joshua as delayed in arriving. As a result, this one is way more disorganized than usual. We hope it&#8217;s fun nonetheless. Big thanks to David for our intro music! I&#8217;ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. We&#8217;d like to thank creators of our new outro music from the Sumerki Project! Check out their stuff here!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 57 – Community Talk with Bayesed and Confused https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/04/community-talk-with-bayesed-and-confused/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Apr 2018 08:00:04 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=496 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/04/community-talk-with-bayesed-and-confused/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/04/community-talk-with-bayesed-and-confused/feed/ 8 Join Steven and David Youssef as they talk about the rationality community, how to win, and explore some possible reasons that Rationalists aren’t all total rock stars!

Links:

Tim Ferris’s The Four Hour Work Week

The works of Naseem Taleb, and specifically Anti-Fragile

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:48:38 496 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJoin Steven and David Youssef as they talk about the rationality community, how to win, and explore some possible reasons that Rationalists aren&#8217;t all total rock stars! Links: Tim Ferris&#8217;s The Four Hour Work Week The works of Naseem Taleb, and specifically Anti-Fragile &nbsp;Join Steven and David Youssef as they talk about the rationality community, how to win, and explore some possible reasons that Rationalists aren&#8217;t all total rock stars! Links: Tim Ferris&#8217;s The Four Hour Work Week The works of Naseem Taleb, and specifically Anti-Fragile &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 56 – Adventures in Tough Subjects https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/03/56-everyone-is-wrong/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 Mar 2018 08:01:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=489 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/03/56-everyone-is-wrong/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/03/56-everyone-is-wrong/feed/ 26 This episode got off to an interesting start. We usually test the mics with small talk and whatnot, but wound up just getting into interesting things and never quite got around to breaking to do an intro. I guess today we talk about culture war stuff.
cw: cw

We mentioned Scott Alexander and his views on feminism and social justice. Those links are just some of his views. If you’ve ever read Slate Star Codex, you know his views tend to be nuanced and lengthy. I also strongly recommend this essay of his whenever you’re tempted to despise a member of the out group.

Eneasz has had a number of opinions on this in the past, of indeterminate value: Unwanted Attributes, I’m Pro-Equality and I’m Not Your Ally, Appropriating the White Guys

Toward the end we talked about Steven’s suspicion that some of the news coming from Left-seeming places was possibly coming from the same sort of misinformation factories that fuel nonsense coming from parts of the Right. This is the article that Vivian had that confirmed those suspicions.

Check out the Human’s Wanted anthology!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:58:05 489 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThis episode got off to an interesting start. We usually test the mics with small talk and whatnot, but wound up just getting into interesting things and never quite got around to breaking to do an intro. I guess today we talk about culture war stuff. cw: cw We mentioned Scott Alexander and his views on feminism and social justice. Those links are just some of his views. If you&#8217;ve ever read Slate Star Codex, you know his views tend to be nuanced and lengthy. I also strongly recommend this essay of his whenever you&#8217;re tempted to despise a member of the out group. Eneasz has had a number of opinions on this in the past, of indeterminate value: Unwanted Attributes, I’m Pro-Equality and I’m Not Your Ally, Appropriating the White Guys Toward the end we talked about Steven&#8217;s suspicion that some of the news coming from Left-seeming places was possibly coming from the same sort of misinformation factories that fuel nonsense coming from parts of the Right. This is the article that Vivian had that confirmed those suspicions. Check out the Human&#8217;s Wanted anthology!This episode got off to an interesting start. We usually test the mics with small talk and whatnot, but wound up just getting into interesting things and never quite got around to breaking to do an intro. I guess today we talk about culture war stuff. cw: cw We mentioned Scott Alexander and his views on feminism and social justice. Those links are just some of his views. If you&#8217;ve ever read Slate Star Codex, you know his views tend to be nuanced and lengthy. I also strongly recommend this essay of his whenever you&#8217;re tempted to despise a member of the out group. Eneasz has had a number of opinions on this in the past, of indeterminate value: Unwanted Attributes, I’m Pro-Equality and I’m Not Your Ally, Appropriating the White Guys Toward the end we talked about Steven&#8217;s suspicion that some of the news coming from Left-seeming places was possibly coming from the same sort of misinformation factories that fuel nonsense coming from parts of the Right. This is the article that Vivian had that confirmed those suspicions. Check out the Human&#8217;s Wanted anthology!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 55 – Keeping up with the Rationalists https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/03/55-adventures-in-difficult-subjects/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Mar 2018 08:00:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=480 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/03/55-adventures-in-difficult-subjects/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/03/55-adventures-in-difficult-subjects/feed/ 1 In this episode, we discuss 3 or 4 popular things currently (or recently) circulating Rationalist circles online.

Yudkowsky on no fire alarms for AI.

Zvi on the concept of Slack.

Ben Hoffman “Sabbath Hard and Go Home“. 

A Lesswrong Crypto Autopsy on Lesserwrong by Scott Alexander:

Gwern discussing bitcoin on Lesswrong back in the day. 

A commenter on the subreddit posted this on this episode’s discussion: “Tom DeMarco published a book in 2001 called Slack: Getting Past Burnout, Busywork, and the Myth of Total Efficiency about how adding slack to a company improves efficiency and resilience to change. It’s a great read.”

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:32 480 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIn this episode, we discuss 3 or 4 popular things currently (or recently) circulating Rationalist circles online. Yudkowsky on no fire alarms for AI. Zvi on the concept of Slack. Ben Hoffman &#8220;Sabbath Hard and Go Home&#8220;.  A Lesswrong Crypto Autopsy on Lesserwrong by Scott Alexander: Gwern discussing bitcoin on Lesswrong back in the day.  A commenter on the subreddit posted this on this episode&#8217;s discussion: &#8220;Tom DeMarco published a book in 2001 called Slack: Getting Past Burnout, Busywork, and the Myth of Total Efficiency about how adding slack to a company improves efficiency and resilience to change. It&#8217;s a great read.&#8221;In this episode, we discuss 3 or 4 popular things currently (or recently) circulating Rationalist circles online. Yudkowsky on no fire alarms for AI. Zvi on the concept of Slack. Ben Hoffman &#8220;Sabbath Hard and Go Home&#8220;.  A Lesswrong Crypto Autopsy on Lesserwrong by Scott Alexander: Gwern discussing bitcoin on Lesswrong back in the day.  A commenter on the subreddit posted this on this episode&#8217;s discussion: &#8220;Tom DeMarco published a book in 2001 called Slack: Getting Past Burnout, Busywork, and the Myth of Total Efficiency about how adding slack to a company improves efficiency and resilience to change. It&#8217;s a great read.&#8221;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 54 – Nothing Can Prepare You For Robin Hanson https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/02/54-nothing-can-prepare-you-for-robin-hanson/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 Feb 2018 08:01:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=476 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/02/54-nothing-can-prepare-you-for-robin-hanson/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/02/54-nothing-can-prepare-you-for-robin-hanson/feed/ 4 Robin Hanson returns to talk about his new book: The Elephant In The Brain

Robin’s classic “X is not about Y” post. 2008! Man, time flies.

Eneasz mentioned The North Pond Hermit. Relevant quote: “Solitude did increase my perception. But here’s the tricky thing—when I applied my increased perception to myself, I lost my identity. With no audience, no one to perform for, I was just there. There was no need to define myself; I became irrelevant. The moon was the minute hand, the seasons the hour hand. I didn’t even have a name. I never felt lonely. To put it romantically: I was completely free.”

Yudkowsky’s short “Lord of the Rationality”

The Zvi’s review of Elephant In The Brain

Conflict Theory vs Mistake Theory

Charles Stross’s “Martian Invaders” formulation of corporate optimizers & Ted Chiang on corporate optimizers, with unfortunate AI-placidity thrown in.

Our previous interview with Robin, about his book Age of Em

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:47:16 476 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRobin Hanson returns to talk about his new book: The Elephant In The Brain Robin&#8217;s classic &#8220;X is not about Y&#8221; post. 2008! Man, time flies. Eneasz mentioned The North Pond Hermit. Relevant quote: &#8220;Solitude did increase my perception. But here’s the tricky thing—when I applied my increased perception to myself, I lost my identity. With no audience, no one to perform for, I was just there. There was no need to define myself; I became irrelevant. The moon was the minute hand, the seasons the hour hand. I didn’t even have a name. I never felt lonely. To put it romantically: I was completely free.&#8221; Yudkowsky&#8217;s short &#8220;Lord of the Rationality&#8221; The Zvi&#8217;s review of Elephant In The Brain Conflict Theory vs Mistake Theory Charles Stross&#8217;s &#8220;Martian Invaders&#8221; formulation of corporate optimizers &amp; Ted Chiang on corporate optimizers, with unfortunate AI-placidity thrown in. Our previous interview with Robin, about his book Age of EmRobin Hanson returns to talk about his new book: The Elephant In The Brain Robin&#8217;s classic &#8220;X is not about Y&#8221; post. 2008! Man, time flies. Eneasz mentioned The North Pond Hermit. Relevant quote: &#8220;Solitude did increase my perception. But here’s the tricky thing—when I applied my increased perception to myself, I lost my identity. With no audience, no one to perform for, I was just there. There was no need to define myself; I became irrelevant. The moon was the minute hand, the seasons the hour hand. I didn’t even have a name. I never felt lonely. To put it romantically: I was completely free.&#8221; Yudkowsky&#8217;s short &#8220;Lord of the Rationality&#8221; The Zvi&#8217;s review of Elephant In The Brain Conflict Theory vs Mistake Theory Charles Stross&#8217;s &#8220;Martian Invaders&#8221; formulation of corporate optimizers &amp; Ted Chiang on corporate optimizers, with unfortunate AI-placidity thrown in. Our previous interview with Robin, about his book Age of EmRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 53 – Principles of Curiosity with Brian Dunning https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/02/53-principles-of-curiosity-with-brian-dunning/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Feb 2018 08:00:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=470 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/02/53-principles-of-curiosity-with-brian-dunning/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/02/53-principles-of-curiosity-with-brian-dunning/feed/ 2 Brian Dunning of the Skeptoid podcast and Skeptoid Media Inc. returns to talk with us about his newest documentary, The Principles of Curiosity! (Website Link, Video Link)

It presents a general introduction to the foundations of scientific skepticism and critical thinking, focusing on a simple process they call the three Cs: Challenge, Consider, and Conclude.

It’s the spiritual successor to his 2011 intro to critical thinking documentary, Here Be Dragons.

Coming in 2018, Skeptoid Media’s new feature documentary: Science Friction! In their own words:

“Finally, a documentary about scientists who get misrepresented by the media.
Those TV documentaries you see, and the science experts they feature? Did you know that producers often edit them out of context, and twist their words, to make it seem like they promoted some pop sensationalism instead of the real facts?

Science Friction is going to expose these faux documentaries by name, and will give the scientists a chance to clear the record. The film is intended for theatrical release. The networks are not going to like us very much, so we are crowdfunding the production.”

This project is still receiving funding and the more money they receive for funding, the better this film will be. Seriously, consider clicking the link above and throw them a few bucks to help bring this documentary to the public and have it pack as much of a punch as possible.

We also discuss a recently released Skeptoid episode 605 – The Civil War Pterosaur.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:12:34 470 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comBrian Dunning of the Skeptoid podcast and Skeptoid Media Inc. returns to talk with us about his newest documentary, The Principles of Curiosity! (Website Link, Video Link) It presents a general introduction to the foundations of scientific skepticism and critical thinking, focusing on a simple process they call the three Cs: Challenge, Consider, and Conclude. It&#8217;s the spiritual successor to his 2011 intro to critical thinking documentary, Here Be Dragons. Coming in 2018, Skeptoid Media&#8217;s new feature documentary: Science Friction! In their own words: &#8220;Finally, a documentary about scientists who get misrepresented by the media. Those TV documentaries you see, and the science experts they feature? Did you know that producers often edit them out of context, and twist their words, to make it seem like they promoted some pop sensationalism instead of the real facts? Science Friction is going to expose these faux documentaries by name, and will give the scientists a chance to clear the record. The film is intended for theatrical release. The networks are not going to like us very much, so we are crowdfunding the production.&#8221; This project is still receiving funding and the more money they receive for funding, the better this film will be. Seriously, consider clicking the link above and throw them a few bucks to help bring this documentary to the public and have it pack as much of a punch as possible. We also discuss a recently released Skeptoid episode 605 &#8211; The Civil War Pterosaur.Brian Dunning of the Skeptoid podcast and Skeptoid Media Inc. returns to talk with us about his newest documentary, The Principles of Curiosity! (Website Link, Video Link) It presents a general introduction to the foundations of scientific skepticism and critical thinking, focusing on a simple process they call the three Cs: Challenge, Consider, and Conclude. It&#8217;s the spiritual successor to his 2011 intro to critical thinking documentary, Here Be Dragons. Coming in 2018, Skeptoid Media&#8217;s new feature documentary: Science Friction! In their own words: &#8220;Finally, a documentary about scientists who get misrepresented by the media. Those TV documentaries you see, and the science experts they feature? Did you know that producers often edit them out of context, and twist their words, to make it seem like they promoted some pop sensationalism instead of the real facts? Science Friction is going to expose these faux documentaries by name, and will give the scientists a chance to clear the record. The film is intended for theatrical release. The networks are not going to like us very much, so we are crowdfunding the production.&#8221; This project is still receiving funding and the more money they receive for funding, the better this film will be. Seriously, consider clicking the link above and throw them a few bucks to help bring this documentary to the public and have it pack as much of a punch as possible. We also discuss a recently released Skeptoid episode 605 &#8211; The Civil War Pterosaur.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 52 – Marriage is Obsolete Technology https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/52-marriage-is-obsolete-technology/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 31 Jan 2018 08:01:44 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=464 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/52-marriage-is-obsolete-technology/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/52-marriage-is-obsolete-technology/feed/ 3 A discussions as to whether marriage is outdated and net-harmful.

In large part based on Eneasz’s blog post.

Naveen recommends this discussion between 3Blue1Brown and Ben Eater on Net Neutrality

See also Naveen’s current project – Standard Meta

Next episode: The Principles of Curiosity

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:06:34 464 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA discussions as to whether marriage is outdated and net-harmful. In large part based on Eneasz&#8217;s blog post. Naveen recommends this discussion between 3Blue1Brown and Ben Eater on Net Neutrality See also Naveen&#8217;s current project &#8211; Standard Meta Next episode: The Principles of CuriosityA discussions as to whether marriage is outdated and net-harmful. In large part based on Eneasz&#8217;s blog post. Naveen recommends this discussion between 3Blue1Brown and Ben Eater on Net Neutrality See also Naveen&#8217;s current project &#8211; Standard Meta Next episode: The Principles of CuriosityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 51 – Robert McIntyre Returns https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/51-robert-mcintyre-returns/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Jan 2018 08:00:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=458 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/51-robert-mcintyre-returns/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/51-robert-mcintyre-returns/feed/ 1 Robert McIntyre talks about the future of aldehyde-stabilized cryopreservation

I’m sure you’re all stoked about the sound on this one. All we can say is that we took steps to correct it (like we all recorded our audio independently, including having Robert send his own recording to us) and somehow the heavens conspired to make this sound harsher than the first. Sorry for the ear damage.

Robert’s blog

AlphaZero news

Yudkowsky contends that AlphaZero is evidence for fast-take-off AI

Colorado has some right-to-die laws 🙂

Heroic Responsibility

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:03:23 458 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comRobert McIntyre talks about the future of aldehyde-stabilized cryopreservation I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;re all stoked about the sound on this one. All we can say is that we took steps to correct it (like we all recorded our audio independently, including having Robert send his own recording to us) and somehow the heavens conspired to make this sound harsher than the first. Sorry for the ear damage. Robert&#8217;s blog AlphaZero news Yudkowsky contends that AlphaZero is evidence for fast-take-off AI Colorado has some right-to-die laws Heroic ResponsibilityRobert McIntyre talks about the future of aldehyde-stabilized cryopreservation I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;re all stoked about the sound on this one. All we can say is that we took steps to correct it (like we all recorded our audio independently, including having Robert send his own recording to us) and somehow the heavens conspired to make this sound harsher than the first. Sorry for the ear damage. Robert&#8217;s blog AlphaZero news Yudkowsky contends that AlphaZero is evidence for fast-take-off AI Colorado has some right-to-die laws Heroic ResponsibilityRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Holiday https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/holiday/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Jan 2018 08:01:12 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=453 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/holiday/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2018/01/holiday/feed/ 0 Happy Holidays! Nothing this new this week, but here’s some Star Wars 🙂

The Methods of Rationality main page

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 29:01 453 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comHappy Holidays! Nothing this new this week, but here&#8217;s some Star Wars The Methods of Rationality main pageHappy Holidays! Nothing this new this week, but here&#8217;s some Star Wars The Methods of Rationality main pageRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 50 – Approaching Rationality with Kyle Moore https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/12/50-approaching-rationality-with-kyle-moore/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Dec 2017 08:00:34 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=444 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/12/50-approaching-rationality-with-kyle-moore/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/12/50-approaching-rationality-with-kyle-moore/feed/ 5 In this episode we have our sound engineer Kyle Moore on the show. I thought it would be fun to talk with someone who sort of has to listen to the show and get their take on it. The conversation was, in my opinion, very fun and engaging. I also edited this episode since Kyle has been busy with his day job. – Steven

Discussed in this episode:

Straw Man vs Steel Man arguments

Eneasz’s panel discussion on death (with PZ Meyers, David Brin and Eliezer Yudkowsky)

Transhumanism (Quick reference link)

Transhumanism (Good essay)

The Bottom Line

Minecraft Calculator

Long explanation of the Double Crux game

Previous episode where we talked about moral philosophy

” “is normative ethics boring and/or completely disconnected from any actual moral reasoning you do in your everyday life?” If your answer is “yes”, you are not a Ravenclaw primary. If your answer is “no”, welcome to Team Ravenclaw. ” – from Ozy’s  blog, Thing of Things.

The Wired article explaining what the current internet architecture looks like, and why Net Neutrality is most a fight between CDNs (like Netflix) and ISPs (like Comcast).

Tyler Cowen comes out against the current Net Neutrality regulations

A Forbes opinion piece on the matter, pointing out that the battle isn’t over what people think it’s over, internet “fast lanes” already exist, and linking to:

This FCC report (pdf) that says as of Dec 31 2106, 94% of the US population had access to 3+ providers in their area that provide speeds of 10Mbps download, and 76% had access to at least 2 providers of 25Mbps download.

According to the graph on this page, as of June 30 2015, only about 20% of people in the United States had access to at least two ISPs who provide speeds up to 25 Mbps of download speed. About 89% had access to 2+ providers at 10 Mbps.

Either there’s been a lot of ISP expansion in the past two years, or the FCC has changed how they measure access.

The actual numbers required unlocking everything in Star Wars Battlefront 2 (before the fanbase exploded and EA temporarily disabled the ability to buy loot boxes).

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:53:57 444 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIn this episode we have our sound engineer Kyle Moore on the show. I thought it would be fun to talk with someone who sort of has to listen to the show and get their take on it. The conversation was, in my opinion, very fun and engaging. I also edited this episode since Kyle has been busy with his day job. &#8211; Steven Discussed in this episode: Straw Man vs Steel Man arguments Eneasz&#8217;s panel discussion on death (with PZ Meyers, David Brin and Eliezer Yudkowsky) Transhumanism (Quick reference link) Transhumanism (Good essay) The Bottom Line Minecraft Calculator Long explanation of the Double Crux game Previous episode where we talked about moral philosophy &#8221; “is normative ethics boring and/or completely disconnected from any actual moral reasoning you do in your everyday life?” If your answer is “yes”, you are not a Ravenclaw primary. If your answer is “no”, welcome to Team Ravenclaw. &#8221; &#8211; from Ozy&#8217;s  blog, Thing of Things. The Wired article explaining what the current internet architecture looks like, and why Net Neutrality is most a fight between CDNs (like Netflix) and ISPs (like Comcast). Tyler Cowen comes out against the current Net Neutrality regulations A Forbes opinion piece on the matter, pointing out that the battle isn&#8217;t over what people think it&#8217;s over, internet &#8220;fast lanes&#8221; already exist, and linking to: This FCC report (pdf) that says as of Dec 31 2106, 94% of the US population had access to 3+ providers in their area that provide speeds of 10Mbps download, and 76% had access to at least 2 providers of 25Mbps download. According to the graph on this page, as of June 30 2015, only about 20% of people in the United States had access to at least two ISPs who provide speeds up to 25 Mbps of download speed. About 89% had access to 2+ providers at 10 Mbps. Either there&#8217;s been a lot of ISP expansion in the past two years, or the FCC has changed how they measure access. The actual numbers required unlocking everything in Star Wars Battlefront 2 (before the fanbase exploded and EA temporarily disabled the ability to buy loot boxes).In this episode we have our sound engineer Kyle Moore on the show. I thought it would be fun to talk with someone who sort of has to listen to the show and get their take on it. The conversation was, in my opinion, very fun and engaging. I also edited this episode since Kyle has been busy with his day job. &#8211; Steven Discussed in this episode: Straw Man vs Steel Man arguments Eneasz&#8217;s panel discussion on death (with PZ Meyers, David Brin and Eliezer Yudkowsky) Transhumanism (Quick reference link) Transhumanism (Good essay) The Bottom Line Minecraft Calculator Long explanation of the Double Crux game Previous episode where we talked about moral philosophy &#8221; “is normative ethics boring and/or completely disconnected from any actual moral reasoning you do in your everyday life?” If your answer is “yes”, you are not a Ravenclaw primary. If your answer is “no”, welcome to Team Ravenclaw. &#8221; &#8211; from Ozy&#8217;s  blog, Thing of Things. The Wired article explaining what the current internet architecture looks like, and why Net Neutrality is most a fight between CDNs (like Netflix) and ISPs (like Comcast). Tyler Cowen comes out against the current Net Neutrality regulations A Forbes opinion piece on the matter, pointing out that the battle isn&#8217;t over what people think it&#8217;s over, internet &#8220;fast lanes&#8221; already exist, and linking to: This FCC report (pdf) that says as of Dec 31 2106, 94% of the US population had access to 3+ providers in their area that provide speeds of 10Mbps download, and 76% had access to at least 2 providers of 25Mbps download. According to the graph on this page, as of June 30 2015, only about 20% of people in the United States had access to at least two ISPs who provide speeds up to 25 Mbps of download speed. About 89% had access to 2+ providers at 10 Mbps. Either there&#8217;s been a lot of ISP expansion in the past two years, or the FCC has changed how they measure access. The actual numbers required unlocking everything in Star Wars Battlefront 2 (before the fanbase exploded and EA temporarily disabled the ability to buy loot boxes).Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 49 – Spirituality via Drugs https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/12/49-spirituality-via-drugs/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Dec 2017 08:01:22 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=440 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/12/49-spirituality-via-drugs/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/12/49-spirituality-via-drugs/feed/ 2 Make me one with everything.

We went a little off-format for this one.

Peter Singer – All Animals Are Equal (pdf)

Scott Alexander tries to do a study, but it’s unethical…

Eliezer Yudkowsky on Joy In The Merely Real

Richard Dawkins – The Greatest Show on Earth

William The Conqueror (Sexyback parody)

Rick Strassman – DMT: The Spirit Molecule

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:32:53 440 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMake me one with everything. We went a little off-format for this one. Peter Singer &#8211; All Animals Are Equal (pdf) Scott Alexander tries to do a study, but it&#8217;s unethical&#8230; Eliezer Yudkowsky on Joy In The Merely Real Richard Dawkins &#8211; The Greatest Show on Earth William The Conqueror (Sexyback parody) Rick Strassman &#8211; DMT: The Spirit MoleculeMake me one with everything. We went a little off-format for this one. Peter Singer &#8211; All Animals Are Equal (pdf) Scott Alexander tries to do a study, but it&#8217;s unethical&#8230; Eliezer Yudkowsky on Joy In The Merely Real Richard Dawkins &#8211; The Greatest Show on Earth William The Conqueror (Sexyback parody) Rick Strassman &#8211; DMT: The Spirit MoleculeRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 48 – Cryonics 2 – Lacuna Matata (with Robert McIntyre) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/11/48-cryonics-2-lacuna-matata-with-robert-mcintyre/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Nov 2017 08:00:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=434 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/11/48-cryonics-2-lacuna-matata-with-robert-mcintyre/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/11/48-cryonics-2-lacuna-matata-with-robert-mcintyre/feed/ 3 We speak with Robert McIntyre, winner of the Small Animal Brain Preservation Prize, about recent advances in brain preservation.

A pretty good introduction to connectomics is this TED Talk by Sebastian Seung

Robert recommends some papers on recent advances in scanning and simulation of brain tissue — 1, 2, 3, 4 — and also the Whole Brain Emulation Roadmap

Robert’s paper on Aldehyde-Stabilized Cryopreservation, as well as a more straight-forward introduction.

Robert’s blog where he talks shares ideas and talks about his work

The Alcor Case we talked about

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:37:55 434 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Robert McIntyre, winner of the Small Animal Brain Preservation Prize, about recent advances in brain preservation. A pretty good introduction to connectomics is this TED Talk by Sebastian Seung Robert recommends some papers on recent advances in scanning and simulation of brain tissue &#8212; 1, 2, 3, 4 &#8212; and also the Whole Brain Emulation Roadmap Robert&#8217;s paper on Aldehyde-Stabilized Cryopreservation, as well as a more straight-forward introduction. Robert&#8217;s blog where he talks shares ideas and talks about his work The Alcor Case we talked about &nbsp;We speak with Robert McIntyre, winner of the Small Animal Brain Preservation Prize, about recent advances in brain preservation. A pretty good introduction to connectomics is this TED Talk by Sebastian Seung Robert recommends some papers on recent advances in scanning and simulation of brain tissue &#8212; 1, 2, 3, 4 &#8212; and also the Whole Brain Emulation Roadmap Robert&#8217;s paper on Aldehyde-Stabilized Cryopreservation, as well as a more straight-forward introduction. Robert&#8217;s blog where he talks shares ideas and talks about his work The Alcor Case we talked about &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 47 – Post Scarcity https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/11/47-post-scarcity/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 Nov 2017 08:00:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=425 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/11/47-post-scarcity/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/11/47-post-scarcity/feed/ 0 If this episode sounds a little sub-par, it’s because Steven edited it since Kyle was on vacation. Let his reputation remain intact!

Check out Naveen Mishra on twitter! @urstrulymishra

 

Life 3.0 by Max Tegmark

Stanford’s Legal Design Lab

Legalese: an open-source project to draft legal documents the way programmers develop software!

Quantifying Decentralization

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:28:17 425 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIf this episode sounds a little sub-par, it&#8217;s because Steven edited it since Kyle was on vacation. Let his reputation remain intact! Check out Naveen Mishra on twitter! @urstrulymishra &nbsp; Life 3.0 by Max Tegmark Stanford&#8217;s Legal Design Lab Legalese: an open-source project to draft legal documents the way programmers develop software! Quantifying Decentralization &nbsp;If this episode sounds a little sub-par, it&#8217;s because Steven edited it since Kyle was on vacation. Let his reputation remain intact! Check out Naveen Mishra on twitter! @urstrulymishra &nbsp; Life 3.0 by Max Tegmark Stanford&#8217;s Legal Design Lab Legalese: an open-source project to draft legal documents the way programmers develop software! Quantifying Decentralization &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 46 – Social Media and Outrage Culture https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/10/46-social-media-and-outrage-culture/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 25 Oct 2017 08:01:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=420 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/10/46-social-media-and-outrage-culture/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/10/46-social-media-and-outrage-culture/feed/ 7 The Only Way to Win is Not to Play

Major source used by Eneasz – Our Mind Can Be Hijacked

Meditations on Moloch

A recent Molochian short story Eneasz likes – Three Bodies at Mitanni

The Two Income Trap

Age of Em

Superstitious Mice

The Capt America/National Anthem Meme – spread by Russians?

Tristan Harris on Sam Harris’s podcast, and his article Steven referenced

Facebook Purity – use it, it’s good

TheZvi’s post Against Facebook. (It’s long, but you can skip the “break down of the 30 items” section in the middle, that’s really just there for documentation)

The Toxoplasma of Rage

Grover Norquist

Alonzo Fyfe on the moral duty to Secure One’s Beliefs and Moral Negligence

Ken Ham vs Bill Nye

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:31:06 420 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Only Way to Win is Not to Play Major source used by Eneasz &#8211; Our Mind Can Be Hijacked Meditations on Moloch A recent Molochian short story Eneasz likes &#8211; Three Bodies at Mitanni The Two Income Trap Age of Em Superstitious Mice The Capt America/National Anthem Meme &#8211; spread by Russians? Tristan Harris on Sam Harris&#8217;s podcast, and his article Steven referenced Facebook Purity &#8211; use it, it&#8217;s good TheZvi’s post Against Facebook. (It&#8217;s long, but you can skip the &#8220;break down of the 30 items&#8221; section in the middle, that&#8217;s really just there for documentation) The Toxoplasma of Rage Grover Norquist Alonzo Fyfe on the moral duty to Secure One’s Beliefs and Moral Negligence Ken Ham vs Bill NyeThe Only Way to Win is Not to Play Major source used by Eneasz &#8211; Our Mind Can Be Hijacked Meditations on Moloch A recent Molochian short story Eneasz likes &#8211; Three Bodies at Mitanni The Two Income Trap Age of Em Superstitious Mice The Capt America/National Anthem Meme &#8211; spread by Russians? Tristan Harris on Sam Harris&#8217;s podcast, and his article Steven referenced Facebook Purity &#8211; use it, it&#8217;s good TheZvi’s post Against Facebook. (It&#8217;s long, but you can skip the &#8220;break down of the 30 items&#8221; section in the middle, that&#8217;s really just there for documentation) The Toxoplasma of Rage Grover Norquist Alonzo Fyfe on the moral duty to Secure One’s Beliefs and Moral Negligence Ken Ham vs Bill NyeRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 45 – Cryptocurrencies https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/10/45-cryptocurrencies/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 11 Oct 2017 15:02:46 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=416 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/10/45-cryptocurrencies/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/10/45-cryptocurrencies/feed/ 2 A quick primer, and what do they have to do with EA?

Bitcoin mining takes off in Venezuela due to hyperinflation of the local currency and nearly-free electricity.

China is starting to shut down legal BitCoin use.

What makes Ethereum special?

Ethereum already using as much electricity as a small country.

Rhys Lindmark on Twitter and Patreon

Harry Potter – is it super pro-capitalist/consumerist?

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:02:47 416 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comA quick primer, and what do they have to do with EA? Bitcoin mining takes off in Venezuela due to hyperinflation of the local currency and nearly-free electricity. China is starting to shut down legal BitCoin use. What makes Ethereum special? Ethereum already using as much electricity as a small country. Rhys Lindmark on Twitter and Patreon Harry Potter &#8211; is it super pro-capitalist/consumerist?A quick primer, and what do they have to do with EA? Bitcoin mining takes off in Venezuela due to hyperinflation of the local currency and nearly-free electricity. China is starting to shut down legal BitCoin use. What makes Ethereum special? Ethereum already using as much electricity as a small country. Rhys Lindmark on Twitter and Patreon Harry Potter &#8211; is it super pro-capitalist/consumerist?Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 44 – Burning Man https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/09/44-burning-man/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 28 Sep 2017 07:24:53 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=410 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/09/44-burning-man/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/09/44-burning-man/feed/ 1 Eneasz talks about his first Burning Man experience

Sorry this is late. Please accept a 167 minute episode as apology?

And 9/26 is Petrov Day!

The 10 Principles of Burning Man, at the official Burning Man Organization site

Eneasz’s series of posts on Burning Man – (0) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (some repetition from what’s in the podcast)

There’s a couple minutes of extra talk about the Burning Man Suicide that is available on Patreon. It’s free for anyone who wants to hear it, but we didn’t include it in the main episode, and don’t have it available on our main RSS feed, so that no one accidentally listens to it.

Does criticizing rationalists make you rationalist-adjacent? Ozy and the SSC subreddit gesture in the direction of “yeah, pretty much”. 🙂

We couldn’t contact Thomas in time to get his source, and will update this once we can, but it’s possible he was referring to the CDC’s fact sheet stating “CDC projects that approximately one in six MSM overall are at risk of being diagnosed with HIV in their lifetime if current diagnoses rates persist”

Thomas’s game design company – Sixpence Games

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:46:58 410 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEneasz talks about his first Burning Man experience Sorry this is late. Please accept a 167 minute episode as apology? And 9/26 is Petrov Day! The 10 Principles of Burning Man, at the official Burning Man Organization site Eneasz&#8217;s series of posts on Burning Man &#8211; (0) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (some repetition from what&#8217;s in the podcast) There&#8217;s a couple minutes of extra talk about the Burning Man Suicide that is available on Patreon. It&#8217;s free for anyone who wants to hear it, but we didn&#8217;t include it in the main episode, and don&#8217;t have it available on our main RSS feed, so that no one accidentally listens to it. Does criticizing rationalists make you rationalist-adjacent? Ozy and the SSC subreddit gesture in the direction of &#8220;yeah, pretty much&#8221;. We couldn&#8217;t contact Thomas in time to get his source, and will update this once we can, but it&#8217;s possible he was referring to the CDC&#8217;s fact sheet stating &#8220;CDC projects that approximately one in six MSM overall are at risk of being diagnosed with HIV in their lifetime if current diagnoses rates persist&#8221; Thomas&#8217;s game design company &#8211; Sixpence GamesEneasz talks about his first Burning Man experience Sorry this is late. Please accept a 167 minute episode as apology? And 9/26 is Petrov Day! The 10 Principles of Burning Man, at the official Burning Man Organization site Eneasz&#8217;s series of posts on Burning Man &#8211; (0) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (some repetition from what&#8217;s in the podcast) There&#8217;s a couple minutes of extra talk about the Burning Man Suicide that is available on Patreon. It&#8217;s free for anyone who wants to hear it, but we didn&#8217;t include it in the main episode, and don&#8217;t have it available on our main RSS feed, so that no one accidentally listens to it. Does criticizing rationalists make you rationalist-adjacent? Ozy and the SSC subreddit gesture in the direction of &#8220;yeah, pretty much&#8221;. We couldn&#8217;t contact Thomas in time to get his source, and will update this once we can, but it&#8217;s possible he was referring to the CDC&#8217;s fact sheet stating &#8220;CDC projects that approximately one in six MSM overall are at risk of being diagnosed with HIV in their lifetime if current diagnoses rates persist&#8221; Thomas&#8217;s game design company &#8211; Sixpence GamesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 43 – Parenting as a Rationalist https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/09/43-parenting-as-a-rationalist/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 13 Sep 2017 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=407 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/09/43-parenting-as-a-rationalist/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/09/43-parenting-as-a-rationalist/feed/ 5 We speak with aspiring rationalists with children.

Our previous episode pondering children – Kids, These Days

Louis C.K. has a bunch of stuff on parenting

I Wonder by Annaka Harris, a book on emotional intelligence for children

Article on treating kids like people

The Rider and the Elephant (and the Path!)

Pet Semetary

Nonviolent Communication

Republican Baby vs Christian Baby

Bryan Caplan argues that kids basically turn out how their genes direct, and parenting has little influence, so don’t sweat it too much (as long as you aren’t neglectful/abusive). Short Post and (comparatively) Long Book.

The Biodeterminist’s Guide to Parenting

The Polgar Sisters are raised to become chess masters

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:56:29 407 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with aspiring rationalists with children. Our previous episode pondering children &#8211; Kids, These Days Louis C.K. has a bunch of stuff on parenting I Wonder by Annaka Harris, a book on emotional intelligence for children Article on treating kids like people The Rider and the Elephant (and the Path!) Pet Semetary Nonviolent Communication Republican Baby vs Christian Baby Bryan Caplan argues that kids basically turn out how their genes direct, and parenting has little influence, so don&#8217;t sweat it too much (as long as you aren&#8217;t neglectful/abusive). Short Post and (comparatively) Long Book. The Biodeterminist&#8217;s Guide to Parenting The Polgar Sisters are raised to become chess mastersWe speak with aspiring rationalists with children. Our previous episode pondering children &#8211; Kids, These Days Louis C.K. has a bunch of stuff on parenting I Wonder by Annaka Harris, a book on emotional intelligence for children Article on treating kids like people The Rider and the Elephant (and the Path!) Pet Semetary Nonviolent Communication Republican Baby vs Christian Baby Bryan Caplan argues that kids basically turn out how their genes direct, and parenting has little influence, so don&#8217;t sweat it too much (as long as you aren&#8217;t neglectful/abusive). Short Post and (comparatively) Long Book. The Biodeterminist&#8217;s Guide to Parenting The Polgar Sisters are raised to become chess mastersRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 42 – Emotionally Charged Discussion https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/42-emotionally-charged-discussion/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 30 Aug 2017 08:00:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=399 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/42-emotionally-charged-discussion/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/42-emotionally-charged-discussion/feed/ 1 Julia Galef’s ‘Update Project‘. Check out some of the other links on her website too.

Steven: “There’s a ton of content and techniques in this area that I wanted to cover and didn’t get a chance to. I’m including a couple of further reading suggestions below.”

Brienne Yudkowsky’s blog “Agenty Duck” is the best source of introspective techniques and considerations on this and related topics that I’ve come across. I suggest starting with this post.

I’m also a huge fan of the Double Crux Game, which I’ve never had a chance to play formally. Basically you and a willing participant with whom you disagree on something figure out what the root cause of your disagreement is (almost never the apparent disagreement) and analyze the crux of your disagreement. At the end, you shouldn’t disagree anymore (like good Bayesians!) Check out links about this here and here.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:30:36 399 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comJulia Galef&#8217;s &#8216;Update Project&#8216;. Check out some of the other links on her website too. Steven: &#8220;There&#8217;s a ton of content and techniques in this area that I wanted to cover and didn&#8217;t get a chance to. I&#8217;m including a couple of further reading suggestions below.&#8221; Brienne Yudkowsky&#8217;s blog &#8220;Agenty Duck&#8221; is the best source of introspective techniques and considerations on this and related topics that I&#8217;ve come across. I suggest starting with this post. I&#8217;m also a huge fan of the Double Crux Game, which I&#8217;ve never had a chance to play formally. Basically you and a willing participant with whom you disagree on something figure out what the root cause of your disagreement is (almost never the apparent disagreement) and analyze the crux of your disagreement. At the end, you shouldn&#8217;t disagree anymore (like good Bayesians!) Check out links about this here and here.Julia Galef&#8217;s &#8216;Update Project&#8216;. Check out some of the other links on her website too. Steven: &#8220;There&#8217;s a ton of content and techniques in this area that I wanted to cover and didn&#8217;t get a chance to. I&#8217;m including a couple of further reading suggestions below.&#8221; Brienne Yudkowsky&#8217;s blog &#8220;Agenty Duck&#8221; is the best source of introspective techniques and considerations on this and related topics that I&#8217;ve come across. I suggest starting with this post. I&#8217;m also a huge fan of the Double Crux Game, which I&#8217;ve never had a chance to play formally. Basically you and a willing participant with whom you disagree on something figure out what the root cause of your disagreement is (almost never the apparent disagreement) and analyze the crux of your disagreement. At the end, you shouldn&#8217;t disagree anymore (like good Bayesians!) Check out links about this here and here.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 41 – Ritual and Spirituality https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/41-ritual-and-spirituality/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Aug 2017 08:01:34 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=396 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/41-ritual-and-spirituality/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/41-ritual-and-spirituality/feed/ 3 More ritual than spirituality, honestly. We were aiming for both, but caught up in ritual. Perhaps we’ll revisit the spirituality aspect in a future episode!

Melting Asphalt on Religion, Politics, and Self-Suppression

Welcome to Night Vale, and my All Hail summary

The type of poetry Eneasz likes is called “villanelles.” Here are four great examples.

From Less Wrong: An Alien God, and Thou Art Godshatter.

From SSC: Meditations on Moloch

From Jai: 500 Million, But Not a Single One More

Norman Borlaug & Dunbar’s Number again

Sam Harris’s book on spirituality, Waking Up

Sam Harris on Islam and the Misuses of Ecstasy

GadBeebe on Scotland’s laws on consent and autonomy, specifically the Adults with Incapacity Act

Jamal wrote in with this relevant link! It’s called Meditation 101 and covers all the basics.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:54:41 396 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comMore ritual than spirituality, honestly. We were aiming for both, but caught up in ritual. Perhaps we&#8217;ll revisit the spirituality aspect in a future episode! Melting Asphalt on Religion, Politics, and Self-Suppression Welcome to Night Vale, and my All Hail summary The type of poetry Eneasz likes is called &#8220;villanelles.&#8221; Here are four great examples. From Less Wrong: An Alien God, and Thou Art Godshatter. From SSC: Meditations on Moloch From Jai: 500 Million, But Not a Single One More Norman Borlaug &amp; Dunbar’s Number again Sam Harris&#8217;s book on spirituality, Waking Up Sam Harris on Islam and the Misuses of Ecstasy GadBeebe on Scotland’s laws on consent and autonomy, specifically the Adults with Incapacity Act Jamal wrote in with this relevant link! It&#8217;s called Meditation 101 and covers all the basics.More ritual than spirituality, honestly. We were aiming for both, but caught up in ritual. Perhaps we&#8217;ll revisit the spirituality aspect in a future episode! Melting Asphalt on Religion, Politics, and Self-Suppression Welcome to Night Vale, and my All Hail summary The type of poetry Eneasz likes is called &#8220;villanelles.&#8221; Here are four great examples. From Less Wrong: An Alien God, and Thou Art Godshatter. From SSC: Meditations on Moloch From Jai: 500 Million, But Not a Single One More Norman Borlaug &amp; Dunbar’s Number again Sam Harris&#8217;s book on spirituality, Waking Up Sam Harris on Islam and the Misuses of Ecstasy GadBeebe on Scotland’s laws on consent and autonomy, specifically the Adults with Incapacity Act Jamal wrote in with this relevant link! It&#8217;s called Meditation 101 and covers all the basics.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 40 – Making Humans Legible https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/40-making-humans-legible/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Aug 2017 08:01:14 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=391 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/40-making-humans-legible/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/08/40-making-humans-legible/feed/ 6 You can’t control (well) what you can’t count

Samzdat’s posts that served as the basis of much of this episode:
Man as a Rationalist Animal, and
The Meridian of Her Greatness.
Also: The Use and Abuse of Witchdoctors for Life (not Witchdoctors Without Borders, as Eneasz misremembered)

Matt Freeman’s podcast – We’ve Got Worm
Also from Matt – The Daly Planet

Scott Alexander’s review of “Seeing Like A State”

And the original source material, for the purists. 🙂

Norman Borlaug’s dwarf wheat saved 1 billion people

GreenPeace blocks golden rice for no good reason

ChemTrails Turned My Frogs Gay

Cats are Murder Machines

Our Robin Hanson interview on Age of Em

Kim Jong Il made a quilt of sparrow’s neck feathers

A photon teleported from Earth to Space – or was it?

Northpaw Anklet

Friendship is Optimal & Caelum Est Conterrens (different authors)

Red Legacy & Other Stories

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:43:32 391 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comYou can&#8217;t control (well) what you can&#8217;t count Samzdat&#8217;s posts that served as the basis of much of this episode: Man as a Rationalist Animal, and The Meridian of Her Greatness. Also: The Use and Abuse of Witchdoctors for Life (not Witchdoctors Without Borders, as Eneasz misremembered) Matt Freeman&#8217;s podcast &#8211; We’ve Got Worm Also from Matt &#8211; The Daly Planet Scott Alexander&#8217;s review of &#8220;Seeing Like A State&#8221; And the original source material, for the purists. Norman Borlaug&#8217;s dwarf wheat saved 1 billion people GreenPeace blocks golden rice for no good reason ChemTrails Turned My Frogs Gay Cats are Murder Machines Our Robin Hanson interview on Age of Em Kim Jong Il made a quilt of sparrow&#8217;s neck feathers A photon teleported from Earth to Space &#8211; or was it? Northpaw Anklet Friendship is Optimal &amp; Caelum Est Conterrens (different authors) Red Legacy &amp; Other StoriesYou can&#8217;t control (well) what you can&#8217;t count Samzdat&#8217;s posts that served as the basis of much of this episode: Man as a Rationalist Animal, and The Meridian of Her Greatness. Also: The Use and Abuse of Witchdoctors for Life (not Witchdoctors Without Borders, as Eneasz misremembered) Matt Freeman&#8217;s podcast &#8211; We’ve Got Worm Also from Matt &#8211; The Daly Planet Scott Alexander&#8217;s review of &#8220;Seeing Like A State&#8221; And the original source material, for the purists. Norman Borlaug&#8217;s dwarf wheat saved 1 billion people GreenPeace blocks golden rice for no good reason ChemTrails Turned My Frogs Gay Cats are Murder Machines Our Robin Hanson interview on Age of Em Kim Jong Il made a quilt of sparrow&#8217;s neck feathers A photon teleported from Earth to Space &#8211; or was it? Northpaw Anklet Friendship is Optimal &amp; Caelum Est Conterrens (different authors) Red Legacy &amp; Other StoriesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 39 – Transhumanism (pt 2) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/07/39-transhumanism-pt-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 19 Jul 2017 08:01:53 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=388 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/07/39-transhumanism-pt-2/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/07/39-transhumanism-pt-2/feed/ 6 Under the Aegis of Transhuman Spiderman + Other Considerations (and Listener Feedback Catch-up)

Fiction
The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect, by Roger Williams
The Golden Age, by John C Wright
Utopia, LOL?, by Jamie Wahls (+audio version)
Red Legacy and Other Stories, by Eneasz Brodski

Non-Fiction
Making Beliefs Pay Rent
The Psychological Unity of Humankind, by Eliezer Yudkowsky
 – counterpoint: The Psychological Diversity of Mankind, by Kaj Sotala
Dunbar’s Number/Monkey Sphere
CEV

IQ actually doesn’t correlate with unhappiness. It’s either uncorrelated or weakly correlated with happiness! /surprised

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:59:22 388 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comUnder the Aegis of Transhuman Spiderman + Other Considerations (and Listener Feedback Catch-up) Fiction The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect, by Roger Williams The Golden Age, by John C Wright Utopia, LOL?, by Jamie Wahls (+audio version) Red Legacy and Other Stories, by Eneasz Brodski Non-Fiction Making Beliefs Pay Rent The Psychological Unity of Humankind, by Eliezer Yudkowsky  &#8211; counterpoint: The Psychological Diversity of Mankind, by Kaj Sotala Dunbar&#8217;s Number/Monkey Sphere CEV IQ actually doesn&#8217;t correlate with unhappiness. It&#8217;s either uncorrelated or weakly correlated with happiness! /surprisedUnder the Aegis of Transhuman Spiderman + Other Considerations (and Listener Feedback Catch-up) Fiction The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect, by Roger Williams The Golden Age, by John C Wright Utopia, LOL?, by Jamie Wahls (+audio version) Red Legacy and Other Stories, by Eneasz Brodski Non-Fiction Making Beliefs Pay Rent The Psychological Unity of Humankind, by Eliezer Yudkowsky  &#8211; counterpoint: The Psychological Diversity of Mankind, by Kaj Sotala Dunbar&#8217;s Number/Monkey Sphere CEV IQ actually doesn&#8217;t correlate with unhappiness. It&#8217;s either uncorrelated or weakly correlated with happiness! /surprisedRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 38 – Transhumanism (pt 1) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/07/38-transhumanism-pt-1/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 05 Jul 2017 08:01:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=380 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/07/38-transhumanism-pt-1/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/07/38-transhumanism-pt-1/feed/ 11 Going beyond our meat-suits

Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism text. Also available in audio here, starting at 6:52

Eneasz with PZ Meyers, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and David Brin: The Immortality Debate

The Fun Theory Sequence (also – here’s a quick summary, but the summaries really never do the sequences full justice)

Chinese scientists genetically modify human embryos

China accused of engineering its most famous sporting export (Yao Ming)

The Singleton

Louis C.K.’s Incurable Shitty Ankle

Fiction Mentioned:
Eneasz’s short story “Host” (plus others) is now available in a collection, both print and ebook!
The Quantum Thief, by Hannu Rajaniemi
The Golden Age, by John C. Wright
Friendship Is Optimal, by Iceman

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:40:26 380 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comGoing beyond our meat-suits Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism text. Also available in audio here, starting at 6:52 Eneasz with PZ Meyers, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and David Brin: The Immortality Debate The Fun Theory Sequence (also &#8211; here&#8217;s a quick summary, but the summaries really never do the sequences full justice) Chinese scientists genetically modify human embryos China accused of engineering its most famous sporting export (Yao Ming) The Singleton Louis C.K.&#8217;s Incurable Shitty Ankle Fiction Mentioned: Eneasz&#8217;s short story &#8220;Host&#8221; (plus others) is now available in a collection, both print and ebook! The Quantum Thief, by Hannu Rajaniemi The Golden Age, by John C. Wright Friendship Is Optimal, by IcemanGoing beyond our meat-suits Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism text. Also available in audio here, starting at 6:52 Eneasz with PZ Meyers, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and David Brin: The Immortality Debate The Fun Theory Sequence (also &#8211; here&#8217;s a quick summary, but the summaries really never do the sequences full justice) Chinese scientists genetically modify human embryos China accused of engineering its most famous sporting export (Yao Ming) The Singleton Louis C.K.&#8217;s Incurable Shitty Ankle Fiction Mentioned: Eneasz&#8217;s short story &#8220;Host&#8221; (plus others) is now available in a collection, both print and ebook! The Quantum Thief, by Hannu Rajaniemi The Golden Age, by John C. Wright Friendship Is Optimal, by IcemanRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 37 – AlphaGo Returns https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/06/37-alphago-returns/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Jun 2017 08:01:13 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=377 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/06/37-alphago-returns/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/06/37-alphago-returns/feed/ 3 AlphaGo is back. Patrick talks about its latest accomplishments, its future, and other topics in game advances.

Our first AlphaGo episode (a very early one, sorry about the audio quality)

News of the most recent AlphaGo adventures

Steph Curry’s training is on a new level

Eneasz’s favorite type of tool-assist challenges – Item Abuse.

DOTA

Sam Harris speaks with Tristan Harris about the arms race for human attention, the ethics of persuasion, and more

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:20:54 377 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAlphaGo is back. Patrick talks about its latest accomplishments, its future, and other topics in game advances. Our first AlphaGo episode (a very early one, sorry about the audio quality) News of the most recent AlphaGo adventures Steph Curry&#8217;s training is on a new level Eneasz&#8217;s favorite type of tool-assist challenges &#8211; Item Abuse. DOTA Sam Harris speaks with Tristan Harris about the arms race for human attention, the ethics of persuasion, and more &nbsp;AlphaGo is back. Patrick talks about its latest accomplishments, its future, and other topics in game advances. Our first AlphaGo episode (a very early one, sorry about the audio quality) News of the most recent AlphaGo adventures Steph Curry&#8217;s training is on a new level Eneasz&#8217;s favorite type of tool-assist challenges &#8211; Item Abuse. DOTA Sam Harris speaks with Tristan Harris about the arms race for human attention, the ethics of persuasion, and more &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 36 – The Other Kind of Drugs https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/06/36-the-other-kind-of-drugs/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Jun 2017 08:01:07 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=372 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/06/36-the-other-kind-of-drugs/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/06/36-the-other-kind-of-drugs/feed/ 1 All the cool kids are doing podcasts about drugs, so…

The DARE program’s lack of efficacy (see also: Wikipedia page on DARE studies)

How to get addicted to heroin without really trying. Eneasz thought he read this in The New Yorker, but it was actually Cracked, which is like the New Yorker except more prestigious.

Sam Harris’s podcast episode “Drugs And The Meaning of Life”

Slate Star Codex – Why Were Early Psychedelicists So Weird?

American culture’s treatment of alcohol makes abuse worse – Short BBC article, Super Long Website, Huge PDF (Shelly points us to p156 & p386).

The “wet house”

Portugal decriminalized all drugs in 2001 and is doing pretty well

Some areas of northern Mexico are basically cartel-states now

Eneasz couldn’t find any back-up for his claim that all cultures experience a 100-year pause in development after the discovery of alcohol, and since alcohol has been around since basically the start of civilization, he’s beginning to suspect that anecdote was meant as a joke.

Fake alcohol can still get people drunk (within limits)

The experience of a woman did acid weekly for almost a year and nearly died (not daily, as we’d mentioned in the episode). Fascinating post.

A presidential aide to Nixon reports that the Drug War was specifically about targeting the groups Nixon felt were his enemies.

Do children see the sky as blue, or even see “it” at all, before we tell them it’s there? Maybe Not

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:38:44 372 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAll the cool kids are doing podcasts about drugs, so&#8230; The DARE program&#8217;s lack of efficacy (see also: Wikipedia page on DARE studies) How to get addicted to heroin without really trying. Eneasz thought he read this in The New Yorker, but it was actually Cracked, which is like the New Yorker except more prestigious. Sam Harris&#8217;s podcast episode &#8220;Drugs And The Meaning of Life&#8221; Slate Star Codex &#8211; Why Were Early Psychedelicists So Weird? American culture’s treatment of alcohol makes abuse worse &#8211; Short BBC article, Super Long Website, Huge PDF (Shelly points us to p156 &amp; p386). The &#8220;wet house&#8221; Portugal decriminalized all drugs in 2001 and is doing pretty well Some areas of northern Mexico are basically cartel-states now Eneasz couldn&#8217;t find any back-up for his claim that all cultures experience a 100-year pause in development after the discovery of alcohol, and since alcohol has been around since basically the start of civilization, he&#8217;s beginning to suspect that anecdote was meant as a joke. Fake alcohol can still get people drunk (within limits) The experience of a woman did acid weekly for almost a year and nearly died (not daily, as we&#8217;d mentioned in the episode). Fascinating post. A presidential aide to Nixon reports that the Drug War was specifically about targeting the groups Nixon felt were his enemies. Do children see the sky as blue, or even see &#8220;it&#8221; at all, before we tell them it&#8217;s there? Maybe NotAll the cool kids are doing podcasts about drugs, so&#8230; The DARE program&#8217;s lack of efficacy (see also: Wikipedia page on DARE studies) How to get addicted to heroin without really trying. Eneasz thought he read this in The New Yorker, but it was actually Cracked, which is like the New Yorker except more prestigious. Sam Harris&#8217;s podcast episode &#8220;Drugs And The Meaning of Life&#8221; Slate Star Codex &#8211; Why Were Early Psychedelicists So Weird? American culture’s treatment of alcohol makes abuse worse &#8211; Short BBC article, Super Long Website, Huge PDF (Shelly points us to p156 &amp; p386). The &#8220;wet house&#8221; Portugal decriminalized all drugs in 2001 and is doing pretty well Some areas of northern Mexico are basically cartel-states now Eneasz couldn&#8217;t find any back-up for his claim that all cultures experience a 100-year pause in development after the discovery of alcohol, and since alcohol has been around since basically the start of civilization, he&#8217;s beginning to suspect that anecdote was meant as a joke. Fake alcohol can still get people drunk (within limits) The experience of a woman did acid weekly for almost a year and nearly died (not daily, as we&#8217;d mentioned in the episode). Fascinating post. A presidential aide to Nixon reports that the Drug War was specifically about targeting the groups Nixon felt were his enemies. Do children see the sky as blue, or even see &#8220;it&#8221; at all, before we tell them it&#8217;s there? Maybe NotRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 35 – Your Brain on Nootropics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/05/35-your-brain-on-nootropics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 24 May 2017 08:01:43 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=366 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/05/35-your-brain-on-nootropics/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/05/35-your-brain-on-nootropics/feed/ 6 ** Fixed the audio. Please re-download for the correct episode. **

Drugs that boost mental performance for dummies.

Did caffiene help kickstart the Enlightenment era?

FOR SCIENCE!

/r/nootropics for your nootropic discussion needs

Other places to discuss include Nootropics Depot and Longecity

Gwern’s posts on nootropics in general, and in-depth on Modafinil in particular

The Flynn Effect

The Last Psychiatrist’s Ritalin/Adderall post

You Pass Butter

The survey project where they’re gathering data on what humans would want self-driving cars to do in trolley-problem-like situations. Pretty fun!

Blindsight by Peter Watts on Amazon. Also available free from the author!

What Is It Like To Be A Bat? (note: PDF)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:49:32 366 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com** Fixed the audio. Please re-download for the correct episode. ** Drugs that boost mental performance for dummies. Did caffiene help kickstart the Enlightenment era? FOR SCIENCE! /r/nootropics for your nootropic discussion needs Other places to discuss include Nootropics Depot and Longecity Gwern&#8217;s posts on nootropics in general, and in-depth on Modafinil in particular The Flynn Effect The Last Psychiatrist&#8217;s Ritalin/Adderall post You Pass Butter The survey project where they’re gathering data on what humans would want self-driving cars to do in trolley-problem-like situations. Pretty fun! Blindsight by Peter Watts on Amazon. Also available free from the author! What Is It Like To Be A Bat? (note: PDF)** Fixed the audio. Please re-download for the correct episode. ** Drugs that boost mental performance for dummies. Did caffiene help kickstart the Enlightenment era? FOR SCIENCE! /r/nootropics for your nootropic discussion needs Other places to discuss include Nootropics Depot and Longecity Gwern&#8217;s posts on nootropics in general, and in-depth on Modafinil in particular The Flynn Effect The Last Psychiatrist&#8217;s Ritalin/Adderall post You Pass Butter The survey project where they’re gathering data on what humans would want self-driving cars to do in trolley-problem-like situations. Pretty fun! Blindsight by Peter Watts on Amazon. Also available free from the author! What Is It Like To Be A Bat? (note: PDF)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 34 – Lies, All Lies! https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/05/34-truthiness-and-deceptions/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 10 May 2017 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=359 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/05/34-truthiness-and-deceptions/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/05/34-truthiness-and-deceptions/feed/ 8 Slate Star Codex article – You Kant Dismiss Universalizability

Wikipedia page on the Revelation Principle

Eliezer’s post on LessWrong – Ends Don’t Justify Means (Among Humans)

Another LessWrong post – Protected From Myself

Louis CK bit on Lying (1:46 seconds long)

Short book by Sam Harris on Lying (six minute preview of audiobook)

Scott Alexander post on LessWrong – The Worst Argument in the World

The Prevalence of Lying in America: Three Studies of Self-Reported Lies

Kim B. Serota, Timothy R. Levine, & Franklin J. Boster

https://msu.edu/~levinet/Serota_etal2010.pdf?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

*

Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 July 2009 comment on Not Technically Lying by Psychohistorian

http://lesswrong.com/lw/11y/not_technically_lying/wew?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

*

Are animals capable of deception or empathy? Implications for animal consciousness and animal welfare

S Kuczaj, K Tranel, M Trone, H Hill

Animal Welfare. Special Issue 10:161- 173 (2001)

*

Comadena, Mark E. “Accuracy in detecting deception: Intimate and friendship relationships.” Annals of the International Communication Association 6.1 (1982): 446-472.

Comadena’s study finds that friends & spouses have better deception rates than acquaintances, but friends have better deception rates than spouses. So, it’s more like closeness helps your lie-detection ability up to a point, but past that point of closeness, it starts to hurt instead of help. Some other studies show no significant difference between detection rates of strangers vs people in close relationships

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:46:23 359 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSlate Star Codex article &#8211; You Kant Dismiss Universalizability Wikipedia page on the Revelation Principle Eliezer&#8217;s post on LessWrong &#8211; Ends Don&#8217;t Justify Means (Among Humans) Another LessWrong post &#8211; Protected From Myself Louis CK bit on Lying (1:46 seconds long) Short book by Sam Harris on Lying (six minute preview of audiobook) Scott Alexander post on LessWrong &#8211; The Worst Argument in the World The Prevalence of Lying in America: Three Studies of Self-Reported Lies Kim B. Serota, Timothy R. Levine, &amp; Franklin J. Boster https://msu.edu/~levinet/Serota_etal2010.pdf?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss * Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 July 2009 comment on Not Technically Lying by Psychohistorian http://lesswrong.com/lw/11y/not_technically_lying/wew?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss * Are animals capable of deception or empathy? Implications for animal consciousness and animal welfare S Kuczaj, K Tranel, M Trone, H Hill Animal Welfare. Special Issue 10:161- 173 (2001) * Comadena, Mark E. &#8220;Accuracy in detecting deception: Intimate and friendship relationships.&#8221; Annals of the International Communication Association 6.1 (1982): 446-472. Comadena’s study finds that friends &amp; spouses have better deception rates than acquaintances, but friends have better deception rates than spouses. So, it’s more like closeness helps your lie-detection ability up to a point, but past that point of closeness, it starts to hurt instead of help. Some other studies show no significant difference between detection rates of strangers vs people in close relationships &nbsp;Slate Star Codex article &#8211; You Kant Dismiss Universalizability Wikipedia page on the Revelation Principle Eliezer&#8217;s post on LessWrong &#8211; Ends Don&#8217;t Justify Means (Among Humans) Another LessWrong post &#8211; Protected From Myself Louis CK bit on Lying (1:46 seconds long) Short book by Sam Harris on Lying (six minute preview of audiobook) Scott Alexander post on LessWrong &#8211; The Worst Argument in the World The Prevalence of Lying in America: Three Studies of Self-Reported Lies Kim B. Serota, Timothy R. Levine, &amp; Franklin J. Boster https://msu.edu/~levinet/Serota_etal2010.pdf?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss * Eliezer_Yudkowsky 05 July 2009 comment on Not Technically Lying by Psychohistorian http://lesswrong.com/lw/11y/not_technically_lying/wew?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss * Are animals capable of deception or empathy? Implications for animal consciousness and animal welfare S Kuczaj, K Tranel, M Trone, H Hill Animal Welfare. Special Issue 10:161- 173 (2001) * Comadena, Mark E. &#8220;Accuracy in detecting deception: Intimate and friendship relationships.&#8221; Annals of the International Communication Association 6.1 (1982): 446-472. Comadena’s study finds that friends &amp; spouses have better deception rates than acquaintances, but friends have better deception rates than spouses. So, it’s more like closeness helps your lie-detection ability up to a point, but past that point of closeness, it starts to hurt instead of help. Some other studies show no significant difference between detection rates of strangers vs people in close relationships &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 33 – MIRI, and EA meta-discussion https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/04/33-miri-and-ea-meta-discussion/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Apr 2017 08:01:54 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=355 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/04/33-miri-and-ea-meta-discussion/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/04/33-miri-and-ea-meta-discussion/feed/ 2 We talk with Tsvi from MIRI

Game-playing algorithm that pauses Tetris

“On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing a chip hardware evolution experiment

MIRI’s technical research agenda overview

Alignment for advanced machine learning systems paper from MIRI

Musk’s OpenAI

Paul Christiano’s about page, which links to his paper Tsvi mentioned

Logical induction paper from MIRI

Reason as Memetic Immune Disorder, by Phil Goetz (not Scott Alexander (yet))

The original “EA Has a Lying Problem” post. Lost of discussion in the comments, and also over at E-A.com

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:27:19 355 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe talk with Tsvi from MIRI Game-playing algorithm that pauses Tetris “On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing a chip hardware evolution experiment MIRI&#8217;s technical research agenda overview Alignment for advanced machine learning systems paper from MIRI Musk&#8217;s OpenAI Paul Christiano&#8217;s about page, which links to his paper Tsvi mentioned Logical induction paper from MIRI Reason as Memetic Immune Disorder, by Phil Goetz (not Scott Alexander (yet)) The original &#8220;EA Has a Lying Problem&#8221; post. Lost of discussion in the comments, and also over at E-A.com &nbsp;We talk with Tsvi from MIRI Game-playing algorithm that pauses Tetris “On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing a chip hardware evolution experiment MIRI&#8217;s technical research agenda overview Alignment for advanced machine learning systems paper from MIRI Musk&#8217;s OpenAI Paul Christiano&#8217;s about page, which links to his paper Tsvi mentioned Logical induction paper from MIRI Reason as Memetic Immune Disorder, by Phil Goetz (not Scott Alexander (yet)) The original &#8220;EA Has a Lying Problem&#8221; post. Lost of discussion in the comments, and also over at E-A.com &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 32 – Who’s Afraid of AI? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/04/whos-afraid-of-ai/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Apr 2017 08:01:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=348 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/04/whos-afraid-of-ai/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/04/whos-afraid-of-ai/feed/ 16 The Logical Fallacy of Generalizing from fictional evidence

Genie Button Though Experiment

Wait but Why on AI Part 1 and Part 2

The Downfall meme we mentioned. This is Steven’s favorite version.

Yudkowsky vs Hanson – Great AI FOOM debate  and the Video

Sam Harris AI TED talk

Albion’s Seed – SSC

Redditor provides an incredible explanation of how being poor can make you bad with money

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 2:04:47 348 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Logical Fallacy of Generalizing from fictional evidence Genie Button Though Experiment Wait but Why on AI Part 1 and Part 2 The Downfall meme we mentioned. This is Steven&#8217;s favorite version. Yudkowsky vs Hanson &#8211; Great AI FOOM debate  and the Video Sam Harris AI TED talk Albion’s Seed – SSC Redditor provides an incredible explanation of how being poor can make you bad with moneyThe Logical Fallacy of Generalizing from fictional evidence Genie Button Though Experiment Wait but Why on AI Part 1 and Part 2 The Downfall meme we mentioned. This is Steven&#8217;s favorite version. Yudkowsky vs Hanson &#8211; Great AI FOOM debate  and the Video Sam Harris AI TED talk Albion’s Seed – SSC Redditor provides an incredible explanation of how being poor can make you bad with moneyRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 31 – Digital Rights and Privacy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/31-digital-rights-and-privacy/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 29 Mar 2017 08:01:44 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=343 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/31-digital-rights-and-privacy/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/31-digital-rights-and-privacy/feed/ 3 Who can access the external part of your brain that you carry around in your pocket? What rights do you have to it? With Chase.

Police demand audio records from the Echo of a murder victim, Amazon displeased (more details)

EFF defends podcasting (as a whole) from a patent troll

Speaking of which – The EFF is the best. Seriously.

The pacemaker that thwarted a fire insurance fraud

The pacemaker that lives inside you is not legally yours and you can’t tamper with it

NewEgg defends online shopping carts from a patent troll

XKCD’s brilliant single-panel comic on DRM and piracy

iTunes deleted music off their user’s hard drive

A woman had her Kindle wiped by Amazon for using it in the wrong country

Published after we recorded – Why You Should Care About The Supreme Court Case On Toner Cartridges (From article – “you don’t “own” things like movies, music, or even the software on your phone; rather, it’s being licensed, which means companies can go to all kinds of lengths to keep controlling how, when, and where you use the things you’ve bought long after you’ve bought them.”)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:21:35 343 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWho can access the external part of your brain that you carry around in your pocket? What rights do you have to it? With Chase. Police demand audio records from the Echo of a murder victim, Amazon displeased (more details) EFF defends podcasting (as a whole) from a patent troll Speaking of which &#8211; The EFF is the best. Seriously. The pacemaker that thwarted a fire insurance fraud The pacemaker that lives inside you is not legally yours and you can&#8217;t tamper with it NewEgg defends online shopping carts from a patent troll XKCD&#8217;s brilliant single-panel comic on DRM and piracy iTunes deleted music off their user&#8217;s hard drive A woman had her Kindle wiped by Amazon for using it in the wrong country Published after we recorded &#8211; Why You Should Care About The Supreme Court Case On Toner Cartridges (From article &#8211; &#8220;you don’t “own” things like movies, music, or even the software on your phone; rather, it’s being licensed, which means companies can go to all kinds of lengths to keep controlling how, when, and where you use the things you’ve bought long after you’ve bought them.&#8221;)Who can access the external part of your brain that you carry around in your pocket? What rights do you have to it? With Chase. Police demand audio records from the Echo of a murder victim, Amazon displeased (more details) EFF defends podcasting (as a whole) from a patent troll Speaking of which &#8211; The EFF is the best. Seriously. The pacemaker that thwarted a fire insurance fraud The pacemaker that lives inside you is not legally yours and you can&#8217;t tamper with it NewEgg defends online shopping carts from a patent troll XKCD&#8217;s brilliant single-panel comic on DRM and piracy iTunes deleted music off their user&#8217;s hard drive A woman had her Kindle wiped by Amazon for using it in the wrong country Published after we recorded &#8211; Why You Should Care About The Supreme Court Case On Toner Cartridges (From article &#8211; &#8220;you don’t “own” things like movies, music, or even the software on your phone; rather, it’s being licensed, which means companies can go to all kinds of lengths to keep controlling how, when, and where you use the things you’ve bought long after you’ve bought them.&#8221;)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 30 – Of Specks and Omlettes https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/30-of-specks-and-omlettes/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Mar 2017 08:01:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=338 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/30-of-specks-and-omlettes/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/30-of-specks-and-omlettes/feed/ 9 We discuss a famously controversial post, despite our better judgement. With Sean and Matt.

The Post: Torture Vs Dust Specks

Rationality: From AI to Zombies – The Podcast

Shut Up And Multiply is actually taken from two posts: Circular Altruism and The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism”

Three Worlds Collide (also in audio)

The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas (pdf)

Ashton Kutcher’s Thorn program

“…And I Show You How Deep The Rabbit Hole Goes” – short story by Scott Alexander featuring pills of many colors

SMBC Comics is the best!

Superman and the Clan of the Fiery Cross radio shows

Reasons and Persons, by Derek Parfit

A Conflict of Visions: Ideological Origins of Political Struggles, by Thomas Sowell

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:48:21 338 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe discuss a famously controversial post, despite our better judgement. With Sean and Matt. The Post: Torture Vs Dust Specks Rationality: From AI to Zombies &#8211; The Podcast Shut Up And Multiply is actually taken from two posts: Circular Altruism and The &#8220;Intuitions&#8221; Behind &#8220;Utilitarianism&#8221; Three Worlds Collide (also in audio) The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas (pdf) Ashton Kutcher&#8217;s Thorn program &#8220;&#8230;And I Show You How Deep The Rabbit Hole Goes&#8221; &#8211; short story by Scott Alexander featuring pills of many colors SMBC Comics is the best! Superman and the Clan of the Fiery Cross radio shows Reasons and Persons, by Derek Parfit A Conflict of Visions: Ideological Origins of Political Struggles, by Thomas SowellWe discuss a famously controversial post, despite our better judgement. With Sean and Matt. The Post: Torture Vs Dust Specks Rationality: From AI to Zombies &#8211; The Podcast Shut Up And Multiply is actually taken from two posts: Circular Altruism and The &#8220;Intuitions&#8221; Behind &#8220;Utilitarianism&#8221; Three Worlds Collide (also in audio) The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas (pdf) Ashton Kutcher&#8217;s Thorn program &#8220;&#8230;And I Show You How Deep The Rabbit Hole Goes&#8221; &#8211; short story by Scott Alexander featuring pills of many colors SMBC Comics is the best! Superman and the Clan of the Fiery Cross radio shows Reasons and Persons, by Derek Parfit A Conflict of Visions: Ideological Origins of Political Struggles, by Thomas SowellRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 29 – Fiction and Fun with Max Harms https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/29-fiction-and-fun-with-max-harms/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Mar 2017 08:00:23 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=328 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/29-fiction-and-fun-with-max-harms/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/03/29-fiction-and-fun-with-max-harms/feed/ 2 Crystal Society (or read it for free) (or listen to most of it as audio)

Crystal Mentality

Quick Links:

Aubrey de Grey’s TED talk on extreme longevity

Ending Aging – Aubrey de Grey’s book

“The Sequences” – Compiled in book form.

Max Harms on Cryonics (Video) 

Micromort – The unit used to measure a one in a million chance of dying

Rationalist blogs:

https://slatestarcodex.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

http://www.overcomingbias.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

http://lesswrong.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

https://srconstantin.wordpress.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

http://www.deathisbadblog.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

http://agentyduck.blogspot.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Less Wrong Slack

Rationalist subreddits:

https://www.reddit.com/r/rational/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Less Wrong Study Hall

Crystal Mentality:

Amazon – http://amzn.to/2lUTCuF?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Gumroad – https://gumroad.com/l/CrystalMentality?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Other Rational Fics:

Animorphs: The Reckoning – Animorphs are actually trying to win!

Harry Potter and the Natural 20 – Hogwarts isn’t ready for a DnD Hero! 

Worm – The superhero fiction where the super humans are actually creative! 

MIRI’s rational fiction prize 

Also of note – Rationally Writing podcast (and at iTunes)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:15:23 328 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comCrystal Society (or read it for free) (or listen to most of it as audio) Crystal Mentality Quick Links: Aubrey de Grey&#8217;s TED talk on extreme longevity Ending Aging &#8211; Aubrey de Grey&#8217;s book &#8220;The Sequences&#8221; &#8211; Compiled in book form. Max Harms on Cryonics (Video)  Micromort &#8211; The unit used to measure a one in a million chance of dying Rationalist blogs: https://slatestarcodex.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://www.overcomingbias.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://lesswrong.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://srconstantin.wordpress.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://www.deathisbadblog.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://agentyduck.blogspot.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Less Wrong Slack Rationalist subreddits: https://www.reddit.com/r/rational/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Less Wrong Study Hall Crystal Mentality: Amazon &#8211; http://amzn.to/2lUTCuF?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Gumroad &#8211; https://gumroad.com/l/CrystalMentality?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Other Rational Fics: Animorphs: The Reckoning &#8211; Animorphs are actually trying to win! Harry Potter and the Natural 20 &#8211; Hogwarts isn&#8217;t ready for a DnD Hero!  Worm &#8211; The superhero fiction where the super humans are actually creative!  MIRI&#8217;s rational fiction prize  Also of note &#8211; Rationally Writing podcast (and at iTunes)Crystal Society (or read it for free) (or listen to most of it as audio) Crystal Mentality Quick Links: Aubrey de Grey&#8217;s TED talk on extreme longevity Ending Aging &#8211; Aubrey de Grey&#8217;s book &#8220;The Sequences&#8221; &#8211; Compiled in book form. Max Harms on Cryonics (Video)  Micromort &#8211; The unit used to measure a one in a million chance of dying Rationalist blogs: https://slatestarcodex.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://www.overcomingbias.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://lesswrong.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://srconstantin.wordpress.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://www.deathisbadblog.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss http://agentyduck.blogspot.com/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Less Wrong Slack Rationalist subreddits: https://www.reddit.com/r/rational/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Less Wrong Study Hall Crystal Mentality: Amazon &#8211; http://amzn.to/2lUTCuF?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Gumroad &#8211; https://gumroad.com/l/CrystalMentality?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Other Rational Fics: Animorphs: The Reckoning &#8211; Animorphs are actually trying to win! Harry Potter and the Natural 20 &#8211; Hogwarts isn&#8217;t ready for a DnD Hero!  Worm &#8211; The superhero fiction where the super humans are actually creative!  MIRI&#8217;s rational fiction prize  Also of note &#8211; Rationally Writing podcast (and at iTunes)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus Mini-Episode: I Did Nazi That Coming https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/bonus-mini-episode-i-did-nazi-that-coming/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Feb 2017 08:00:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=323 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/bonus-mini-episode-i-did-nazi-that-coming/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/bonus-mini-episode-i-did-nazi-that-coming/feed/ 0 Forgive the pun. I couldn’t help myself. (Steven)

In this bonus episode, Eneasz and Steven respond to some of the feedback to the Nazi Punching episode. Thank you to everyone who provided thoughtful comments. Be assured we read everything, but we only have so much time to respond on the air.

The Innocence Project is the group we mentioned that investigates the cases of people on death row.

This is the article on the FBI investigation into white supremacist infiltration into law enforcement, provided by Matt, that we discussed in the episode.

Sam Harris & Glenn C. Loury – Racism and Violence in America

Article on Outrage Marketing – I Helped Create the Milo Trolling Playbook. You Should Stop Playing Right Into It

A Brief History of Redlining

Hailing Trump with a drink….

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 55:58 323 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comForgive the pun. I couldn&#8217;t help myself. (Steven) In this bonus episode, Eneasz and Steven respond to some of the feedback to the Nazi Punching episode. Thank you to everyone who provided thoughtful comments. Be assured we read everything, but we only have so much time to respond on the air. The Innocence Project is the group we mentioned that investigates the cases of people on death row. This is the article on the FBI investigation into white supremacist infiltration into law enforcement, provided by Matt, that we discussed in the episode. Sam Harris &amp; Glenn C. Loury &#8211; Racism and Violence in America Article on Outrage Marketing &#8211; I Helped Create the Milo Trolling Playbook. You Should Stop Playing Right Into It A Brief History of Redlining Hailing Trump with a drink&#8230;.Forgive the pun. I couldn&#8217;t help myself. (Steven) In this bonus episode, Eneasz and Steven respond to some of the feedback to the Nazi Punching episode. Thank you to everyone who provided thoughtful comments. Be assured we read everything, but we only have so much time to respond on the air. The Innocence Project is the group we mentioned that investigates the cases of people on death row. This is the article on the FBI investigation into white supremacist infiltration into law enforcement, provided by Matt, that we discussed in the episode. Sam Harris &amp; Glenn C. Loury &#8211; Racism and Violence in America Article on Outrage Marketing &#8211; I Helped Create the Milo Trolling Playbook. You Should Stop Playing Right Into It A Brief History of Redlining Hailing Trump with a drink&#8230;.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 28 – Effective Altruism https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/28-effective-altruism/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 15 Feb 2017 08:01:50 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=317 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/28-effective-altruism/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/28-effective-altruism/feed/ 0 Being effective vs. feeling good. EA is a big topic, this is really just an intro for the uninitiated.

The Life You Can Save, by Peter Singer (and the inspired-by website)

Money: The Unit of Caring, by Eliezer Yudkowsky

Nobody is Perfect, Everything is Commensurate, by Scott Alexander

What Is The Greatest Good? – an EA profile in The Atlantic, wherein they refer to EA as “generosity for nerds” (Which is one of the ways you can tell it’s better than pleb generosity. 😉 – Eneasz)

GiveWell.org, probably the best-known site for evaluating charity effectiveness. They are the source of the oft-cited ~$3000 = one life saved statistic (based on the effectiveness of their top-rated charity, the Against Malaria Foundation)

Giving What We Can – where you can make the 10% pledge, in addition to getting more info

80,000 Hours – making a difference via your career by putting your comparative advantage to the best use.

2017 AI Risk Literature Review and Charity Comparison – We briefly discussed the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and it’s possible relationship to Effective Altruism. This article is an in-depth analysis of some aspects of that topic.

Center For Effective Altruism

Effective Altruism.org

Animal Charity Evaluators

The Salvation Army – :/ at best

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:14:56 317 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comBeing effective vs. feeling good. EA is a big topic, this is really just an intro for the uninitiated. The Life You Can Save, by Peter Singer (and the inspired-by website) Money: The Unit of Caring, by Eliezer Yudkowsky Nobody is Perfect, Everything is Commensurate, by Scott Alexander What Is The Greatest Good? &#8211; an EA profile in The Atlantic, wherein they refer to EA as &#8220;generosity for nerds&#8221; (Which is one of the ways you can tell it&#8217;s better than pleb generosity. &#8211; Eneasz) GiveWell.org, probably the best-known site for evaluating charity effectiveness. They are the source of the oft-cited ~$3000 = one life saved statistic (based on the effectiveness of their top-rated charity, the Against Malaria Foundation) Giving What We Can &#8211; where you can make the 10% pledge, in addition to getting more info 80,000 Hours &#8211; making a difference via your career by putting your comparative advantage to the best use. 2017 AI Risk Literature Review and Charity Comparison &#8211; We briefly discussed the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and it&#8217;s possible relationship to Effective Altruism. This article is an in-depth analysis of some aspects of that topic. Center For Effective Altruism Effective Altruism.org Animal Charity Evaluators The Salvation Army &#8211; :/ at bestBeing effective vs. feeling good. EA is a big topic, this is really just an intro for the uninitiated. The Life You Can Save, by Peter Singer (and the inspired-by website) Money: The Unit of Caring, by Eliezer Yudkowsky Nobody is Perfect, Everything is Commensurate, by Scott Alexander What Is The Greatest Good? &#8211; an EA profile in The Atlantic, wherein they refer to EA as &#8220;generosity for nerds&#8221; (Which is one of the ways you can tell it&#8217;s better than pleb generosity. &#8211; Eneasz) GiveWell.org, probably the best-known site for evaluating charity effectiveness. They are the source of the oft-cited ~$3000 = one life saved statistic (based on the effectiveness of their top-rated charity, the Against Malaria Foundation) Giving What We Can &#8211; where you can make the 10% pledge, in addition to getting more info 80,000 Hours &#8211; making a difference via your career by putting your comparative advantage to the best use. 2017 AI Risk Literature Review and Charity Comparison &#8211; We briefly discussed the Machine Intelligence Research Institute and it&#8217;s possible relationship to Effective Altruism. This article is an in-depth analysis of some aspects of that topic. Center For Effective Altruism Effective Altruism.org Animal Charity Evaluators The Salvation Army &#8211; :/ at bestRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 27 – On Punching Nazis https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/27-im-the-bad-guy/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Feb 2017 08:01:34 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=311 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/27-im-the-bad-guy/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/02/27-im-the-bad-guy/feed/ 8 When is it OK to punch Nazis? With Sean.

Original Richard Spencer being punched video
Follow-up video of the guy who punched him being briefly confronted

Eneasz’s two posts on the topic

Ken White of Popehat On Punching Nazis (he’s against it, for good legal reasons)

A pro-punching piece a friend sent to Eneasz

The Alternative Right piece discussing black genocide that is quoted

Who is this “Black Bloc?”

The shooting of a (not really) Nazi at University of Washington

Derek Black, the white supremacist who was invited to dinner by Jewish classmates and decided he wouldn’t be a supremacist anymore.

Superman vs The KKK, on This American Life, where Eneasz first heard of it, although it looks to have first appeared in Freakonomics and so has probably shown up all over the place.

Non-Violent options for change at Indivisible Guide

Change My View at reddit

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:30:58 311 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhen is it OK to punch Nazis? With Sean. Original Richard Spencer being punched video Follow-up video of the guy who punched him being briefly confronted Eneasz&#8217;s two posts on the topic Ken White of Popehat On Punching Nazis (he&#8217;s against it, for good legal reasons) A pro-punching piece a friend sent to Eneasz The Alternative Right piece discussing black genocide that is quoted Who is this &#8220;Black Bloc?&#8221; The shooting of a (not really) Nazi at University of Washington Derek Black, the white supremacist who was invited to dinner by Jewish classmates and decided he wouldn&#8217;t be a supremacist anymore. Superman vs The KKK, on This American Life, where Eneasz first heard of it, although it looks to have first appeared in Freakonomics and so has probably shown up all over the place. Non-Violent options for change at Indivisible Guide Change My View at reddit &nbsp;When is it OK to punch Nazis? With Sean. Original Richard Spencer being punched video Follow-up video of the guy who punched him being briefly confronted Eneasz&#8217;s two posts on the topic Ken White of Popehat On Punching Nazis (he&#8217;s against it, for good legal reasons) A pro-punching piece a friend sent to Eneasz The Alternative Right piece discussing black genocide that is quoted Who is this &#8220;Black Bloc?&#8221; The shooting of a (not really) Nazi at University of Washington Derek Black, the white supremacist who was invited to dinner by Jewish classmates and decided he wouldn&#8217;t be a supremacist anymore. Superman vs The KKK, on This American Life, where Eneasz first heard of it, although it looks to have first appeared in Freakonomics and so has probably shown up all over the place. Non-Violent options for change at Indivisible Guide Change My View at reddit &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 26 – Concept Networks and Hanging Nodes https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/01/26-concept-networks-and-hanging-nodes/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 Jan 2017 08:00:17 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=306 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/01/26-concept-networks-and-hanging-nodes/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/01/26-concept-networks-and-hanging-nodes/feed/ 2 Eliezer Yudkowsky’s original post on Neural Categories and hanging nodes.

Scott Alexander on Diseased Thinking and a longer essay Concept Networks.

The very worthwhile analysis on holiday gift giving reddit comment.

Google’s deep learning utilizes these sorts of networks. “The Great AI Awakening” discusses this at some length, and is Eneasz’s source for visual recognition software finding cats in youtube videos and The Hidden Watchers.

This Alien Shore is what inspired Eneasz’s face-tattoos, it contains a society where every morning people apply very elaborate face make-up to signal their interests, social status, careers, education, etc. Those who are very confident they won’t have personality shifts over time get them tattooed on.

TED talk by David Epstein regarding extreme body-types of the most elite athletes. Link starts at 6:00, but the first six minutes of the talk is about how new technology has led to record-breaking improvements in performance, which is also very interesting.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:13:47 306 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comEliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s original post on Neural Categories and hanging nodes. Scott Alexander on Diseased Thinking and a longer essay Concept Networks. The very worthwhile analysis on holiday gift giving reddit comment. Google&#8217;s deep learning utilizes these sorts of networks. &#8220;The Great AI Awakening&#8221; discusses this at some length, and is Eneasz&#8217;s source for visual recognition software finding cats in youtube videos and The Hidden Watchers. This Alien Shore is what inspired Eneasz&#8217;s face-tattoos, it contains a society where every morning people apply very elaborate face make-up to signal their interests, social status, careers, education, etc. Those who are very confident they won&#8217;t have personality shifts over time get them tattooed on. TED talk by David Epstein regarding extreme body-types of the most elite athletes. Link starts at 6:00, but the first six minutes of the talk is about how new technology has led to record-breaking improvements in performance, which is also very interesting.Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s original post on Neural Categories and hanging nodes. Scott Alexander on Diseased Thinking and a longer essay Concept Networks. The very worthwhile analysis on holiday gift giving reddit comment. Google&#8217;s deep learning utilizes these sorts of networks. &#8220;The Great AI Awakening&#8221; discusses this at some length, and is Eneasz&#8217;s source for visual recognition software finding cats in youtube videos and The Hidden Watchers. This Alien Shore is what inspired Eneasz&#8217;s face-tattoos, it contains a society where every morning people apply very elaborate face make-up to signal their interests, social status, careers, education, etc. Those who are very confident they won&#8217;t have personality shifts over time get them tattooed on. TED talk by David Epstein regarding extreme body-types of the most elite athletes. Link starts at 6:00, but the first six minutes of the talk is about how new technology has led to record-breaking improvements in performance, which is also very interesting.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 25 – Tinder, Actually https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/01/25-tinder-actually/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 Jan 2017 08:01:10 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=282 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/01/25-tinder-actually/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2017/01/25-tinder-actually/feed/ 1 The Conspirators meander through various topics, using a Tinder encounter as a framing story:

 

 

Steven’s OKCupid stats come from Rationally Speaking episode 89

Katrina’s OKCupid stats (and pic) come from Big Lies People Tell

The Toxoplasma of Rage

Dan Dennett’s talk

Haidt on The Moral Roots of Conservatives and Liberals

Philosophers and their beards

Our brand new Patreon page!

 

 

 

 

Fun on Tinder!

Ho hum, I’ll just flip through this person’s images…

Image of a couple Slight zoom on the image of a young couple. Fully zoomed on the image of a young couple, excluding them and focusing only on a person in the background.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Photoshop Magic!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I didn’t get the sad Kermit memo

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:25:20 282 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspirators meander through various topics, using a Tinder encounter as a framing story: &nbsp; &nbsp; Steven&#8217;s OKCupid stats come from Rationally Speaking episode 89 Katrina&#8217;s OKCupid stats (and pic) come from Big Lies People Tell The Toxoplasma of Rage Dan Dennett&#8217;s talk Haidt on The Moral Roots of Conservatives and Liberals Philosophers and their beards Our brand new Patreon page! &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Fun on Tinder! Ho hum, I&#8217;ll just flip through this person&#8217;s images&#8230; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Photoshop Magic! &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; I didn&#8217;t get the sad Kermit memoThe Conspirators meander through various topics, using a Tinder encounter as a framing story: &nbsp; &nbsp; Steven&#8217;s OKCupid stats come from Rationally Speaking episode 89 Katrina&#8217;s OKCupid stats (and pic) come from Big Lies People Tell The Toxoplasma of Rage Dan Dennett&#8217;s talk Haidt on The Moral Roots of Conservatives and Liberals Philosophers and their beards Our brand new Patreon page! &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Fun on Tinder! Ho hum, I&#8217;ll just flip through this person&#8217;s images&#8230; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Photoshop Magic! &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; I didn&#8217;t get the sad Kermit memoRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 24 – Signaling https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/12/24-signaling/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 21 Dec 2016 08:00:51 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=269 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/12/24-signaling/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/12/24-signaling/feed/ 3 Aphid with a waxy butt

Source: Wired Magazine

 

Robin Hanson’s “What is Signaling?”

Scott Alexander’s definition of signaling: a method of conveying information among not-necessarily-trustworthy parties by performing an action which is more likely or less costly if the information is true than if it is not true.

A list of some blog posts about signaling courtesy of Less Wrong.

Hanson on sitting in on classes at Stanford.

*You usually need a degree for a job in academia 😛

The Logic of Stupid Poor People

Alternative perspective: poor person with designer purse

Brian Caplan on illegal IQ tests

Venomous. We mean that the snakes are venomous, not poisonous.

Batesian mimicry is parasitic in that one species (the most edible one) benefits to the detriment of the model species. It can only be maintained if the harm caused to the predator by eating the model outweighs the benefit of eating the mimic. –Sterns & Hoekstra. Evolution: An Introduction (5th ed.). p. 464.

Katrina: To clarify, it’s hard for me to tell where the truth lies on the cost/benefit analysis of making a child. It isn’t hard to predict a child’s impact on carbon emissions. That’s clearly a cost.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:32:28 269 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSource: Wired Magazine &nbsp; Robin Hanson’s &#8220;What is Signaling?&#8221; Scott Alexander’s definition of signaling: a method of conveying information among not-necessarily-trustworthy parties by performing an action which is more likely or less costly if the information is true than if it is not true. A list of some blog posts about signaling courtesy of Less Wrong. Hanson on sitting in on classes at Stanford. *You usually need a degree for a job in academia The Logic of Stupid Poor People Alternative perspective: poor person with designer purse Brian Caplan on illegal IQ tests Venomous. We mean that the snakes are venomous, not poisonous. Batesian mimicry is parasitic in that one species (the most edible one) benefits to the detriment of the model species. It can only be maintained if the harm caused to the predator by eating the model outweighs the benefit of eating the mimic. &#8211;Sterns &amp; Hoekstra. Evolution: An Introduction (5th ed.). p. 464. Katrina: To clarify, it’s hard for me to tell where the truth lies on the cost/benefit analysis of making a child. It isn’t hard to predict a child&#8217;s impact on carbon emissions. That’s clearly a cost.Source: Wired Magazine &nbsp; Robin Hanson’s &#8220;What is Signaling?&#8221; Scott Alexander’s definition of signaling: a method of conveying information among not-necessarily-trustworthy parties by performing an action which is more likely or less costly if the information is true than if it is not true. A list of some blog posts about signaling courtesy of Less Wrong. Hanson on sitting in on classes at Stanford. *You usually need a degree for a job in academia The Logic of Stupid Poor People Alternative perspective: poor person with designer purse Brian Caplan on illegal IQ tests Venomous. We mean that the snakes are venomous, not poisonous. Batesian mimicry is parasitic in that one species (the most edible one) benefits to the detriment of the model species. It can only be maintained if the harm caused to the predator by eating the model outweighs the benefit of eating the mimic. &#8211;Sterns &amp; Hoekstra. Evolution: An Introduction (5th ed.). p. 464. Katrina: To clarify, it’s hard for me to tell where the truth lies on the cost/benefit analysis of making a child. It isn’t hard to predict a child&#8217;s impact on carbon emissions. That’s clearly a cost.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 23 – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/12/23-desirism-with-alonzo-fyfe/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 07 Dec 2016 08:00:58 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=264 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/12/23-desirism-with-alonzo-fyfe/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/12/23-desirism-with-alonzo-fyfe/feed/ 2 Alonzo blogs at The Atheist Ethicist

Common Sense Atheism’s ULTIMATE Desirism FAQ

Link to The Atheist Ethicist’s overview of Desirism

Wikia page on Desirism

 

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:03:09 264 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAlonzo blogs at The Atheist Ethicist Common Sense Atheism&#8217;s ULTIMATE Desirism FAQ Link to The Atheist Ethicist&#8217;s overview of Desirism Wikia page on Desirism &nbsp; &nbsp;Alonzo blogs at The Atheist Ethicist Common Sense Atheism&#8217;s ULTIMATE Desirism FAQ Link to The Atheist Ethicist&#8217;s overview of Desirism Wikia page on Desirism &nbsp; &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 22 – Moral Philosophy https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/22-moral-philosophy/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Nov 2016 08:00:29 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=254 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/22-moral-philosophy/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/22-moral-philosophy/feed/ 10 Doing the Right Thing

Wikipedia on:
Consequentialism
Ethical Egoism
Deontology
Divine Command Theory
Moral Relativism
Virtue Ethics
Care Ethics

Euthyphro’s Dilemma

Objectivism

Katrina mentioned that she’d read that the impact of child rape is less severe on cultures where this practice is typical. It turns out is was a comment on this LessWrong post and the validity of this statement is not certain.

Kant bites the bullet on not lying to murderers in his typically named essay “On A Supposed Right To Lie From Altruistic Motives“.

SSC somewhat in favor of Deontology – You Kant Dismiss Universalizability

Common Rationalist saying: Consequentialism is Ideal, But Deontology is Safe for Humans

Philosophy gets a lot of side-eye from Rationalists, in large part because of things Like This. But see also LukeProg’s Take

YouTube video where Katrina is arguing with a video gamer about the goodness of the protagonist of The Last Of Us.

Video of a bloody penguin fight over a female.

Planet Money episode on economic policies all economists are fully behind, but which will never be implemented.

Our Voting episode (with Tim!)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:25:25 254 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comDoing the Right Thing Wikipedia on: Consequentialism Ethical Egoism Deontology Divine Command Theory Moral Relativism Virtue Ethics Care Ethics Euthyphro&#8217;s Dilemma Objectivism Katrina mentioned that she&#8217;d read that the impact of child rape is less severe on cultures where this practice is typical. It turns out is was a comment on this LessWrong post and the validity of this statement is not certain. Kant bites the bullet on not lying to murderers in his typically named essay &#8220;On A Supposed Right To Lie From Altruistic Motives&#8220;. SSC somewhat in favor of Deontology &#8211; You Kant Dismiss Universalizability Common Rationalist saying: Consequentialism is Ideal, But Deontology is Safe for Humans Philosophy gets a lot of side-eye from Rationalists, in large part because of things Like This. But see also LukeProg&#8217;s Take YouTube video where Katrina is arguing with a video gamer about the goodness of the protagonist of The Last Of Us. Video of a bloody penguin fight over a female. Planet Money episode on economic policies all economists are fully behind, but which will never be implemented. Our Voting episode (with Tim!)Doing the Right Thing Wikipedia on: Consequentialism Ethical Egoism Deontology Divine Command Theory Moral Relativism Virtue Ethics Care Ethics Euthyphro&#8217;s Dilemma Objectivism Katrina mentioned that she&#8217;d read that the impact of child rape is less severe on cultures where this practice is typical. It turns out is was a comment on this LessWrong post and the validity of this statement is not certain. Kant bites the bullet on not lying to murderers in his typically named essay &#8220;On A Supposed Right To Lie From Altruistic Motives&#8220;. SSC somewhat in favor of Deontology &#8211; You Kant Dismiss Universalizability Common Rationalist saying: Consequentialism is Ideal, But Deontology is Safe for Humans Philosophy gets a lot of side-eye from Rationalists, in large part because of things Like This. But see also LukeProg&#8217;s Take YouTube video where Katrina is arguing with a video gamer about the goodness of the protagonist of The Last Of Us. Video of a bloody penguin fight over a female. Planet Money episode on economic policies all economists are fully behind, but which will never be implemented. Our Voting episode (with Tim!)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, Bonus mini-episode: Trump-Reacting https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/bonus-mini-episode-trump-reacting/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Tue, 15 Nov 2016 08:01:15 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=250 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/bonus-mini-episode-trump-reacting/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/bonus-mini-episode-trump-reacting/feed/ 4 The conspirators discuss a minor setback.

The Safety Pin movement

Scott Alexander on your model of the electorate

A slightly-more-articulate version of Eneasz’s decision to change the deep past now

Eliezer Yudkowsky on the optimism of Trump voters

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full 20:45 250 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comnoThe conspirators discuss a minor setback. The Safety Pin movement Scott Alexander on your model of the electorate A slightly-more-articulate version of Eneasz&#8217;s decision to change the deep past now Eliezer Yudkowsky on the optimism of Trump voters &nbsp;The conspirators discuss a minor setback. The Safety Pin movement Scott Alexander on your model of the electorate A slightly-more-articulate version of Eneasz&#8217;s decision to change the deep past now Eliezer Yudkowsky on the optimism of Trump voters &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 21 – Kids, These Days https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/21-kids-these-days/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 09 Nov 2016 08:01:42 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=239 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/21-kids-these-days/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/11/21-kids-these-days/feed/ 8 Considerations on Procreation

Not having kids – is it like drinking unicorn blood, in that you’ll lead a cursed life, a half-life?

How The Woman Got Her Period (“The endometrium seals off our main blood supply from the newly implanted embryo. The growing placenta literally burrows through this layer, rips into arterial walls and re-wires them to channel blood straight to the hungry embryo. It delves deep into the surrounding tissues, razes them and pumps the arteries full of hormones so they expand into the space created. It paralyzes these arteries so the mother cannot even constrict them. What this means is that the growing fetus now has direct, unrestricted access to its mother’s blood supply. It can manufacture hormones and use them to manipulate her.”)

DeathStalker 4!

Steven said something about people living today don’t have great lives compared to people of the past. He couldn’t find a link to this in particular, but it seems related to Antinatalism.

The monetary value of human life by US agency, and calculating the value of future lives.

Survey of what age of child-death makes people the most sad.

Robin Hanson on Lots of People Now vs Very Few People For A Long Time, in four parts: Us v Them, Allies, Genocide, and Personal.

Turkheimer’s Three Laws of Behavior Genetics

Vegan Offsets

Eneasz was wrong – only 8% of asian men are descended from Genghis Khan

Bryan Caplan’s book Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids: Why Being a Great Parent is Less Work and More Fun Than You Think

Paul Bloom book on kid’s life outcomes being most gene-driven, so don’t sweat parenting too much. He said this one of the times he was on the Sam Harris Podcast. (Here or here)

Jonathan Coultan’s songs

John Hodgman’s book of lies <3

We haven’t been able to track down the story on the mansion in California where single parents and their children live together, but it probably exists.

Related: A multi-generational intentional community supporting foster/adoptive families.

Hand-painted masterpieces, recreated by the thousands, in Dafen – China’s Oil Painting Village.

Steven said something about a survey of skeptics offered a hypothetical $10,000 to exchange your wedding ring for a duplicate. He couldn’t find the link, but he’s pretty sure Massimo Pigliucci was talking about it at TAM 8. (Here’s his powerpoint from the talk. Either I’m misremembering or he talked about it during QA).

RadioLab Episode on Triage (aka Killing Old Ladies)

Please don’t support tiger cub petting or their use in entertainment.  Siegfried and Roy‘s tigers are dangerously inbred. The Association of Zoos and Aquariums statement against breeding white tigers. – Katrina

Do NOT firebomb you local RNC office (or any other place for that matter)

Good article on the annual Turing Test Competition. The Most Human Human is a book on the same. Official site of the Loebner Prize here.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:27:41 239 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comConsiderations on Procreation Not having kids &#8211; is it like drinking unicorn blood, in that you&#8217;ll lead a cursed life, a half-life? How The Woman Got Her Period (&#8220;The endometrium seals off our main blood supply from the newly implanted embryo. The growing placenta literally burrows through this layer, rips into arterial walls and re-wires them to channel blood straight to the hungry embryo. It delves deep into the surrounding tissues, razes them and pumps the arteries full of hormones so they expand into the space created. It paralyzes these arteries so the mother cannot even constrict them. What this means is that the growing fetus now has direct, unrestricted access to its mother&#8217;s blood supply. It can manufacture hormones and use them to manipulate her.&#8221;) DeathStalker 4! Steven said something about people living today don&#8217;t have great lives compared to people of the past. He couldn&#8217;t find a link to this in particular, but it seems related to Antinatalism. The monetary value of human life by US agency, and calculating the value of future lives. Survey of what age of child-death makes people the most sad. Robin Hanson on Lots of People Now vs Very Few People For A Long Time, in four parts: Us v Them, Allies, Genocide, and Personal. Turkheimer&#8217;s Three Laws of Behavior Genetics Vegan Offsets Eneasz was wrong &#8211; only 8% of asian men are descended from Genghis Khan Bryan Caplan&#8217;s book Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids: Why Being a Great Parent is Less Work and More Fun Than You Think Paul Bloom book on kid&#8217;s life outcomes being most gene-driven, so don&#8217;t sweat parenting too much. He said this one of the times he was on the Sam Harris Podcast. (Here or here) Jonathan Coultan&#8217;s songs John Hodgman&#8217;s book of lies &lt;3 We haven&#8217;t been able to track down the story on the mansion in California where single parents and their children live together, but it probably exists. Related: A multi-generational intentional community supporting foster/adoptive families. Hand-painted masterpieces, recreated by the thousands, in Dafen &#8211; China&#8217;s Oil Painting Village. Steven said something about a survey of skeptics offered a hypothetical $10,000 to exchange your wedding ring for a duplicate. He couldn&#8217;t find the link, but he&#8217;s pretty sure Massimo Pigliucci was talking about it at TAM 8. (Here&#8217;s his powerpoint from the talk. Either I&#8217;m misremembering or he talked about it during QA). RadioLab Episode on Triage (aka Killing Old Ladies) Please don&#8217;t support tiger cub petting or their use in entertainment.  Siegfried and Roy&#8216;s tigers are dangerously inbred. The Association of Zoos and Aquariums statement against breeding white tigers. &#8211; Katrina Do NOT firebomb you local RNC office (or any other place for that matter) Good article on the annual Turing Test Competition. The Most Human Human is a book on the same. Official site of the Loebner Prize here.Considerations on Procreation Not having kids &#8211; is it like drinking unicorn blood, in that you&#8217;ll lead a cursed life, a half-life? How The Woman Got Her Period (&#8220;The endometrium seals off our main blood supply from the newly implanted embryo. The growing placenta literally burrows through this layer, rips into arterial walls and re-wires them to channel blood straight to the hungry embryo. It delves deep into the surrounding tissues, razes them and pumps the arteries full of hormones so they expand into the space created. It paralyzes these arteries so the mother cannot even constrict them. What this means is that the growing fetus now has direct, unrestricted access to its mother&#8217;s blood supply. It can manufacture hormones and use them to manipulate her.&#8221;) DeathStalker 4! Steven said something about people living today don&#8217;t have great lives compared to people of the past. He couldn&#8217;t find a link to this in particular, but it seems related to Antinatalism. The monetary value of human life by US agency, and calculating the value of future lives. Survey of what age of child-death makes people the most sad. Robin Hanson on Lots of People Now vs Very Few People For A Long Time, in four parts: Us v Them, Allies, Genocide, and Personal. Turkheimer&#8217;s Three Laws of Behavior Genetics Vegan Offsets Eneasz was wrong &#8211; only 8% of asian men are descended from Genghis Khan Bryan Caplan&#8217;s book Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids: Why Being a Great Parent is Less Work and More Fun Than You Think Paul Bloom book on kid&#8217;s life outcomes being most gene-driven, so don&#8217;t sweat parenting too much. He said this one of the times he was on the Sam Harris Podcast. (Here or here) Jonathan Coultan&#8217;s songs John Hodgman&#8217;s book of lies &lt;3 We haven&#8217;t been able to track down the story on the mansion in California where single parents and their children live together, but it probably exists. Related: A multi-generational intentional community supporting foster/adoptive families. Hand-painted masterpieces, recreated by the thousands, in Dafen &#8211; China&#8217;s Oil Painting Village. Steven said something about a survey of skeptics offered a hypothetical $10,000 to exchange your wedding ring for a duplicate. He couldn&#8217;t find the link, but he&#8217;s pretty sure Massimo Pigliucci was talking about it at TAM 8. (Here&#8217;s his powerpoint from the talk. Either I&#8217;m misremembering or he talked about it during QA). RadioLab Episode on Triage (aka Killing Old Ladies) Please don&#8217;t support tiger cub petting or their use in entertainment.  Siegfried and Roy&#8216;s tigers are dangerously inbred. The Association of Zoos and Aquariums statement against breeding white tigers. &#8211; Katrina Do NOT firebomb you local RNC office (or any other place for that matter) Good article on the annual Turing Test Competition. The Most Human Human is a book on the same. Official site of the Loebner Prize here.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 20 – What’s important? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/10/20-whats-important/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 26 Oct 2016 08:00:18 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=231 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/10/20-whats-important/#respond https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/10/20-whats-important/feed/ 0 Subjects the politicians aren’t talking about, that they really should be talking about.

Links!

UN resolution on antibiotics

US banning of antibiotics in soap

Guy with potentially antibiotic resistant tuberculosis (that ended up not so dangerous) sued CDC.

More drug resistant tuberculosis!

Internet access in prison is pretty limited. :/

Mortality rate for people infected with ebola.

Up to 100,000 deaths annually related to medical personnel not washing their hands (in 2009).

Polio eradication hoped to be achieved by 2018

Will MacAskill, author of Doing Good Better and founder of the Center for Effective Altruism – the idea of giving a cash prize to the group that comes up with the cure rather than funding research directly. (Discussed in this episode of the Sam Harris Podcast)

Methuselah Mouse Prize and Methuselah Foundation, of Aubrey de Gray

Katrina has been watching too many cute dog videos

American manufacturing jobs are not coming back

~3.5 million Americans work as truckers

Minimum wage in Colorado in 2016: $8.31/ hour

Singleton?!

Meditations on Moloch by Scott Alexander

Nick Land

Permutation City by Greg Egan

Estimates for the timing of the heat death of the universe – over a quadrillion years.

To clarify, Russell, I don’t think it’s fair to stomp on your ideas without your input, mine was a self-deprecating comment. – Katrina

Moon base mockery

Article on patients not being allowed to alter medical devices in their own bodies

Digital locks prevent farmers from changing their own tractor oil (although every 16 hours of use seems excessive, even the meticulous seem to only do so every 50. Maybe Eneasz misheard “every 60”)

Sam Harris 15 minute TED talk on AI risk

Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom

Elon Musk was born in South Africa.

Golden Fleece awards

Will drones end the Age of the Gun?

Regarding the warrior class: Katrina thought that land owners spent tons of effort and money on fighting and armor to keep their middle sons distracted.

Eneasz meant “growing autonomy” of drones.

Bill Gates’ position on AI

DarkLordAzreal’s comment about The Microverse in a box question: Maybe think about it this way… given that the simulated micro-world is an exact copy of the world, then any person has a 50% chance of being in the box rather than in the original world.

The Aliens have Landed! – Tim Freeman’s story about the aliens and pebble-sized torture Earths.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:25:06 231 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSubjects the politicians aren&#8217;t talking about, that they really should be talking about. Links! UN resolution on antibiotics US banning of antibiotics in soap Guy with potentially antibiotic resistant tuberculosis (that ended up not so dangerous) sued CDC. More drug resistant tuberculosis! Internet access in prison is pretty limited. :/ Mortality rate for people infected with ebola. Up to 100,000 deaths annually related to medical personnel not washing their hands (in 2009). Polio eradication hoped to be achieved by 2018 Will MacAskill, author of Doing Good Better and founder of the Center for Effective Altruism – the idea of giving a cash prize to the group that comes up with the cure rather than funding research directly. (Discussed in this episode of the Sam Harris Podcast) Methuselah Mouse Prize and Methuselah Foundation, of Aubrey de Gray Katrina has been watching too many cute dog videos American manufacturing jobs are not coming back ~3.5 million Americans work as truckers Minimum wage in Colorado in 2016: $8.31/ hour Singleton?! Meditations on Moloch by Scott Alexander Nick Land Permutation City by Greg Egan Estimates for the timing of the heat death of the universe &#8211; over a quadrillion years. To clarify, Russell, I don’t think it’s fair to stomp on your ideas without your input, mine was a self-deprecating comment. &#8211; Katrina Moon base mockery Article on patients not being allowed to alter medical devices in their own bodies Digital locks prevent farmers from changing their own tractor oil (although every 16 hours of use seems excessive, even the meticulous seem to only do so every 50. Maybe Eneasz misheard &#8220;every 60&#8221;) Sam Harris 15 minute TED talk on AI risk Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom Elon Musk was born in South Africa. Golden Fleece awards Will drones end the Age of the Gun? Regarding the warrior class: Katrina thought that land owners spent tons of effort and money on fighting and armor to keep their middle sons distracted. Eneasz meant “growing autonomy” of drones. Bill Gates’ position on AI DarkLordAzreal’s comment about The Microverse in a box question: Maybe think about it this way… given that the simulated micro-world is an exact copy of the world, then any person has a 50% chance of being in the box rather than in the original world. The Aliens have Landed! &#8211; Tim Freeman&#8217;s story about the aliens and pebble-sized torture Earths.Subjects the politicians aren&#8217;t talking about, that they really should be talking about. Links! UN resolution on antibiotics US banning of antibiotics in soap Guy with potentially antibiotic resistant tuberculosis (that ended up not so dangerous) sued CDC. More drug resistant tuberculosis! Internet access in prison is pretty limited. :/ Mortality rate for people infected with ebola. Up to 100,000 deaths annually related to medical personnel not washing their hands (in 2009). Polio eradication hoped to be achieved by 2018 Will MacAskill, author of Doing Good Better and founder of the Center for Effective Altruism – the idea of giving a cash prize to the group that comes up with the cure rather than funding research directly. (Discussed in this episode of the Sam Harris Podcast) Methuselah Mouse Prize and Methuselah Foundation, of Aubrey de Gray Katrina has been watching too many cute dog videos American manufacturing jobs are not coming back ~3.5 million Americans work as truckers Minimum wage in Colorado in 2016: $8.31/ hour Singleton?! Meditations on Moloch by Scott Alexander Nick Land Permutation City by Greg Egan Estimates for the timing of the heat death of the universe &#8211; over a quadrillion years. To clarify, Russell, I don’t think it’s fair to stomp on your ideas without your input, mine was a self-deprecating comment. &#8211; Katrina Moon base mockery Article on patients not being allowed to alter medical devices in their own bodies Digital locks prevent farmers from changing their own tractor oil (although every 16 hours of use seems excessive, even the meticulous seem to only do so every 50. Maybe Eneasz misheard &#8220;every 60&#8221;) Sam Harris 15 minute TED talk on AI risk Superintelligence by Nick Bostrom Elon Musk was born in South Africa. Golden Fleece awards Will drones end the Age of the Gun? Regarding the warrior class: Katrina thought that land owners spent tons of effort and money on fighting and armor to keep their middle sons distracted. Eneasz meant “growing autonomy” of drones. Bill Gates’ position on AI DarkLordAzreal’s comment about The Microverse in a box question: Maybe think about it this way… given that the simulated micro-world is an exact copy of the world, then any person has a 50% chance of being in the box rather than in the original world. The Aliens have Landed! &#8211; Tim Freeman&#8217;s story about the aliens and pebble-sized torture Earths.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 19 – Political Pitfalls https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/10/19-political-pitfalls/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 12 Oct 2016 08:00:20 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=217 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/10/19-political-pitfalls/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/10/19-political-pitfalls/feed/ 5 Note: Oops! We accidentally used a crummy laptop microphone. Audio is lower quality for this episode. 

Links:

Politics is the Mind Killer on Less Wrong

“Chimpanzee Politics“: A book about two chimpanzees competing to run the “club of chimpanzees” featured on HPMoR

Predictive power of party politics: one position can predict 85% of other, unrelated positions.

Elizabeth Edwards, a New Hampshire State Representative. The first(?) LessWrong oriented politician elected to high public office. 

Five Case Studies on Politicization on Slate Star Codex

Anti-genetically modified organism sentiment by party affiliation – scroll to the last section for relevant graphs. (Eneasz was right about greater-than-60% of Democrats being anti-GMO… but so are >60% of Republicans! /sigh)

Borders vs. Puritans? Scott Alexander’s post on the origins of America

Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-sided on Less Wrong, along with Are Your Enemies Innately Evil?

Brian Dunning’s three part Skeptoid episode on the moon landing hoax.  

 

Feedback Section:

Desirism moral theory.

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:33:35 217 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comNote: Oops! We accidentally used a crummy laptop microphone. Audio is lower quality for this episode.  Links: Politics is the Mind Killer on Less Wrong &#8220;Chimpanzee Politics&#8220;: A book about two chimpanzees competing to run the “club of chimpanzees” featured on HPMoR Predictive power of party politics: one position can predict 85% of other, unrelated positions. Elizabeth Edwards, a New Hampshire State Representative. The first(?) LessWrong oriented politician elected to high public office.  Five Case Studies on Politicization on Slate Star Codex Anti-genetically modified organism sentiment by party affiliation &#8211; scroll to the last section for relevant graphs. (Eneasz was right about greater-than-60% of Democrats being anti-GMO&#8230; but so are &gt;60% of Republicans! /sigh) Borders vs. Puritans? Scott Alexander’s post on the origins of America Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-sided on Less Wrong, along with Are Your Enemies Innately Evil? Brian Dunning&#8217;s three part Skeptoid episode on the moon landing hoax.   &nbsp; Feedback Section: Desirism moral theory. &nbsp;Note: Oops! We accidentally used a crummy laptop microphone. Audio is lower quality for this episode.  Links: Politics is the Mind Killer on Less Wrong &#8220;Chimpanzee Politics&#8220;: A book about two chimpanzees competing to run the “club of chimpanzees” featured on HPMoR Predictive power of party politics: one position can predict 85% of other, unrelated positions. Elizabeth Edwards, a New Hampshire State Representative. The first(?) LessWrong oriented politician elected to high public office.  Five Case Studies on Politicization on Slate Star Codex Anti-genetically modified organism sentiment by party affiliation &#8211; scroll to the last section for relevant graphs. (Eneasz was right about greater-than-60% of Democrats being anti-GMO&#8230; but so are &gt;60% of Republicans! /sigh) Borders vs. Puritans? Scott Alexander’s post on the origins of America Policy Debates Should Not Appear One-sided on Less Wrong, along with Are Your Enemies Innately Evil? Brian Dunning&#8217;s three part Skeptoid episode on the moon landing hoax.   &nbsp; Feedback Section: Desirism moral theory. &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 18 – Robin Hanson Interview https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/09/18-robin-hanson-interview/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 28 Sep 2016 08:01:07 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=213 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/09/18-robin-hanson-interview/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/09/18-robin-hanson-interview/feed/ 4 We speak with GMU economist Robin Hanson. (note that the audio improves significantly when we switch mics at ~20min)

Robin blogs at Overcoming Bias

We discuss his recent book, The Age of Em

Robin Hanson discusses prediction markets in greater length at Sintetia

Nate Silver & co. predict elections (among other things) at FiveThirtyEight

Wikipedia’s summary of The Malthusian Trap

Scott Alexander’s review of The Age of Em

You can (maybe) help science by doing protein folding as a game

What If cows were green?

Soylent – when you don’t have time to food

The Repugnant Conclusion – Julia Galef’s quick explanatory video, and the Standford.edu article

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:39:15 213 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with GMU economist Robin Hanson. (note that the audio improves significantly when we switch mics at ~20min) Robin blogs at Overcoming Bias We discuss his recent book, The Age of Em Robin Hanson discusses prediction markets in greater length at Sintetia Nate Silver &amp; co. predict elections (among other things) at FiveThirtyEight Wikipedia&#8217;s summary of The Malthusian Trap Scott Alexander&#8217;s review of The Age of Em You can (maybe) help science by doing protein folding as a game What If cows were green? Soylent &#8211; when you don&#8217;t have time to food The Repugnant Conclusion &#8211; Julia Galef&#8217;s quick explanatory video, and the Standford.edu articleWe speak with GMU economist Robin Hanson. (note that the audio improves significantly when we switch mics at ~20min) Robin blogs at Overcoming Bias We discuss his recent book, The Age of Em Robin Hanson discusses prediction markets in greater length at Sintetia Nate Silver &amp; co. predict elections (among other things) at FiveThirtyEight Wikipedia&#8217;s summary of The Malthusian Trap Scott Alexander&#8217;s review of The Age of Em You can (maybe) help science by doing protein folding as a game What If cows were green? Soylent &#8211; when you don&#8217;t have time to food The Repugnant Conclusion &#8211; Julia Galef&#8217;s quick explanatory video, and the Standford.edu articleRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 17 – The Feels https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/09/17-the-feels/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 14 Sep 2016 08:00:39 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=203 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/09/17-the-feels/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/09/17-the-feels/feed/ 6 Feelings – should we have them? The Conspiracy decides!

This American Life episode about Testosterone

Julia Galef’s presentation on The Straw Vulcan. Also – a text summary of same

Less Wrong article: “Feeling Rational”

Steven Universe is The Best!

Sam Harris speaks with Paul Bloom against empathy

Less Wrong article: “Scope Insensitivity”

“One death is a Tragedy, a million deaths is a Statistic” – Eneasz attributed this to Joseph Stalin, but modern research casts this into doubt. It was first attributed to him by a third-party in 1947, but it’s possible/probable he never actually said those words.

Nonviolent Communication

Kaj Sotala on Cognitive Behavioral Therapy

Less Wrong article by FiddleMath: “Handling Emotional Appeals“, wherein they ask (among other things) – Can you postpone being moved by an emotional appeal until after making a calm decision about it? Can you somehow otherwise filter for emotional appeals that are highly likely to have positive effects?

The Christian orphanage that wouldn’t accept money from atheists.

Don’t take money from The Templeton Foundation

Eneasz’s brief recap of The Sad/Rabid Puppies vs Worldcon. Also – Salaris’s briefer recap of the same issue received twice as many upvotes, so maybe their’s is better.

Eliezer Yudkowsky’s novella “Three Worlds Collide” (also available in audio form)

Small Pox: 500 Million, But Not a Single One More

It was Andrew Jackson who reportedly said “John Marshall has made his decision; now let him enforce it!” Here’s a fascinating More Perfect podcast episode about the story behind that quote (as well as the US Supreme Court’s ascent to power)

Andrew Jackson beat up his would-be assassin with a cane at 67 years old.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:09:22 203 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comFeelings &#8211; should we have them? The Conspiracy decides! This American Life episode about Testosterone Julia Galef&#8217;s presentation on The Straw Vulcan. Also &#8211; a text summary of same Less Wrong article: “Feeling Rational” Steven Universe is The Best! Sam Harris speaks with Paul Bloom against empathy Less Wrong article: &#8220;Scope Insensitivity&#8221; &#8220;One death is a Tragedy, a million deaths is a Statistic&#8221; &#8211; Eneasz attributed this to Joseph Stalin, but modern research casts this into doubt. It was first attributed to him by a third-party in 1947, but it&#8217;s possible/probable he never actually said those words. Nonviolent Communication Kaj Sotala on Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Less Wrong article by FiddleMath: &#8220;Handling Emotional Appeals&#8220;, wherein they ask (among other things) &#8211; Can you postpone being moved by an emotional appeal until after making a calm decision about it? Can you somehow otherwise filter for emotional appeals that are highly likely to have positive effects? The Christian orphanage that wouldn&#8217;t accept money from atheists. Don&#8217;t take money from The Templeton Foundation Eneasz&#8217;s brief recap of The Sad/Rabid Puppies vs Worldcon. Also &#8211; Salaris&#8217;s briefer recap of the same issue received twice as many upvotes, so maybe their&#8217;s is better. Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s novella &#8220;Three Worlds Collide&#8221; (also available in audio form) Small Pox: 500 Million, But Not a Single One More It was Andrew Jackson who reportedly said &#8220;John Marshall has made his decision; now let him enforce it!&#8221; Here&#8217;s a fascinating More Perfect podcast episode about the story behind that quote (as well as the US Supreme Court&#8217;s ascent to power) Andrew Jackson beat up his would-be assassin with a cane at 67 years old.Feelings &#8211; should we have them? The Conspiracy decides! This American Life episode about Testosterone Julia Galef&#8217;s presentation on The Straw Vulcan. Also &#8211; a text summary of same Less Wrong article: “Feeling Rational” Steven Universe is The Best! Sam Harris speaks with Paul Bloom against empathy Less Wrong article: &#8220;Scope Insensitivity&#8221; &#8220;One death is a Tragedy, a million deaths is a Statistic&#8221; &#8211; Eneasz attributed this to Joseph Stalin, but modern research casts this into doubt. It was first attributed to him by a third-party in 1947, but it&#8217;s possible/probable he never actually said those words. Nonviolent Communication Kaj Sotala on Cognitive Behavioral Therapy Less Wrong article by FiddleMath: &#8220;Handling Emotional Appeals&#8220;, wherein they ask (among other things) &#8211; Can you postpone being moved by an emotional appeal until after making a calm decision about it? Can you somehow otherwise filter for emotional appeals that are highly likely to have positive effects? The Christian orphanage that wouldn&#8217;t accept money from atheists. Don&#8217;t take money from The Templeton Foundation Eneasz&#8217;s brief recap of The Sad/Rabid Puppies vs Worldcon. Also &#8211; Salaris&#8217;s briefer recap of the same issue received twice as many upvotes, so maybe their&#8217;s is better. Eliezer Yudkowsky&#8217;s novella &#8220;Three Worlds Collide&#8221; (also available in audio form) Small Pox: 500 Million, But Not a Single One More It was Andrew Jackson who reportedly said &#8220;John Marshall has made his decision; now let him enforce it!&#8221; Here&#8217;s a fascinating More Perfect podcast episode about the story behind that quote (as well as the US Supreme Court&#8217;s ascent to power) Andrew Jackson beat up his would-be assassin with a cane at 67 years old.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 16 – Animals Again https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/16-animals-again/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 31 Aug 2016 08:01:18 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=195 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/16-animals-again/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/16-animals-again/feed/ 2 We addressed a couple things that we missed last time, and got carried away.

Katrina referenced the book “Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?”

Chimps have amazing flash-memory

AIs can fly our fighter jets better than we can

A partial list of animals by neuron-count.

OpenWorm – Building the First Digital Lifeform

The Valley of Bad Rationality

Ozy re: Rationalist Culture. Eneasz’s fav quote (edited for length) – “LW Tumblr tends to view rationality not as a set of beliefs but as a set of topics. So if you post “the Singularity is the rapture for nerds”, rationalist Tumblr as a whole will conclude that you are a rationalist and trying to be friends, and will behave accordingly. (“Behaving accordingly” involves reblogging you with long-winded rebuttals)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:24:13 195 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe addressed a couple things that we missed last time, and got carried away. Katrina referenced the book &#8220;Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?&#8221; Chimps have amazing flash-memory AIs can fly our fighter jets better than we can A partial list of animals by neuron-count. OpenWorm &#8211; Building the First Digital Lifeform The Valley of Bad Rationality Ozy re: Rationalist Culture. Eneasz&#8217;s fav quote (edited for length) &#8211; &#8220;LW Tumblr tends to view rationality not as a set of beliefs but as a set of topics. So if you post &#8220;the Singularity is the rapture for nerds”, rationalist Tumblr as a whole will conclude that you are a rationalist and trying to be friends, and will behave accordingly. (“Behaving accordingly” involves reblogging you with long-winded rebuttals)We addressed a couple things that we missed last time, and got carried away. Katrina referenced the book &#8220;Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?&#8221; Chimps have amazing flash-memory AIs can fly our fighter jets better than we can A partial list of animals by neuron-count. OpenWorm &#8211; Building the First Digital Lifeform The Valley of Bad Rationality Ozy re: Rationalist Culture. Eneasz&#8217;s fav quote (edited for length) &#8211; &#8220;LW Tumblr tends to view rationality not as a set of beliefs but as a set of topics. So if you post &#8220;the Singularity is the rapture for nerds”, rationalist Tumblr as a whole will conclude that you are a rationalist and trying to be friends, and will behave accordingly. (“Behaving accordingly” involves reblogging you with long-winded rebuttals)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 15 – Animals https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/15-animals/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 17 Aug 2016 08:00:01 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=177 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/15-animals/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/15-animals/feed/ 4 Katrina referenced the book “Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?” Wiki page about the author. See also, wikipedia on animal cognition.

About the crow facial recognition and warning study.

Prairie dog language study.

The thought experiment of Torture vs Dust Specks.

The Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis. Also, like most good things, discussed in Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality.

SMBC: Who’s cloning all of these Hitlers?!

Peter Singer’s essay All Animals Are Equal.

Archerfish face recognition study.

Summoning Elder Gods can be a risky proposition – be glad that breeding aggressive chickens was the worst that happened (that time)

The anti-CAFO organization is called Socially Responsible Agriculture Project.

Steven insists on linking to Neil deGrasse Tyson talking about intelligence since he really doesn’t feel like he did any justice in his paraphrasing.

Katrina’s self-corrections and comments:

  • I said that there isn’t much of a difference between social and solitary animals in terms of modeling other individuals. That is false. There is a difference. I just don’t want to discredit other forms of cognition.
  • I used terms like “intrinsic value,” but I don’t actually think that anything has value other than what it’s assigned by itself and/or others. I DO think that non-humans can confer value.
  • “Insects are the equivalent of moving rocks,” is quite a thing to say to an entomologist, guys.
  • We were negative about hunting. On its face, hunting animals with healthy wild populations for food is probably preferable to consuming an equivalent amount of factory farmed animals.
  • I meant “legislation” regarding condensed animal feeding operations (CAFOs), not “litigation,” although that has its place as well.
]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:24:35 177 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comKatrina referenced the book &#8220;Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?&#8221; Wiki page about the author. See also, wikipedia on animal cognition. About the crow facial recognition and warning study. Prairie dog language study. The thought experiment of Torture vs Dust Specks. The Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis. Also, like most good things, discussed in Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. SMBC: Who&#8217;s cloning all of these Hitlers?! Peter Singer&#8217;s essay All Animals Are Equal. Archerfish face recognition study. Summoning Elder Gods can be a risky proposition &#8211; be glad that breeding aggressive chickens was the worst that happened (that time) The anti-CAFO organization is called Socially Responsible Agriculture Project. Steven insists on linking to Neil deGrasse Tyson talking about intelligence since he really doesn&#8217;t feel like he did any justice in his paraphrasing. Katrina&#8217;s self-corrections and comments: I said that there isn&#8217;t much of a difference between social and solitary animals in terms of modeling other individuals. That is false. There is a difference. I just don&#8217;t want to discredit other forms of cognition. I used terms like &#8220;intrinsic value,&#8221; but I don&#8217;t actually think that anything has value other than what it&#8217;s assigned by itself and/or others. I DO think that non-humans can confer value. &#8220;Insects are the equivalent of moving rocks,&#8221; is quite a thing to say to an entomologist, guys. We were negative about hunting. On its face, hunting animals with healthy wild populations for food is probably preferable to consuming an equivalent amount of factory farmed animals. I meant &#8220;legislation&#8221; regarding condensed animal feeding operations (CAFOs), not &#8220;litigation,&#8221; although that has its place as well.Katrina referenced the book &#8220;Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?&#8221; Wiki page about the author. See also, wikipedia on animal cognition. About the crow facial recognition and warning study. Prairie dog language study. The thought experiment of Torture vs Dust Specks. The Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis. Also, like most good things, discussed in Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality. SMBC: Who&#8217;s cloning all of these Hitlers?! Peter Singer&#8217;s essay All Animals Are Equal. Archerfish face recognition study. Summoning Elder Gods can be a risky proposition &#8211; be glad that breeding aggressive chickens was the worst that happened (that time) The anti-CAFO organization is called Socially Responsible Agriculture Project. Steven insists on linking to Neil deGrasse Tyson talking about intelligence since he really doesn&#8217;t feel like he did any justice in his paraphrasing. Katrina&#8217;s self-corrections and comments: I said that there isn&#8217;t much of a difference between social and solitary animals in terms of modeling other individuals. That is false. There is a difference. I just don&#8217;t want to discredit other forms of cognition. I used terms like &#8220;intrinsic value,&#8221; but I don&#8217;t actually think that anything has value other than what it&#8217;s assigned by itself and/or others. I DO think that non-humans can confer value. &#8220;Insects are the equivalent of moving rocks,&#8221; is quite a thing to say to an entomologist, guys. We were negative about hunting. On its face, hunting animals with healthy wild populations for food is probably preferable to consuming an equivalent amount of factory farmed animals. I meant &#8220;legislation&#8221; regarding condensed animal feeding operations (CAFOs), not &#8220;litigation,&#8221; although that has its place as well.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 14 – Street Epistemology https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/14-street-epistemology/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 03 Aug 2016 08:00:28 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=156 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/14-street-epistemology/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/08/14-street-epistemology/feed/ 4 Steve (@youngidealist on twitter) talks to us about Street Epistemology

The Street Epistemology website, which has been significantly updated and expanded since we recorded this episode. Looking nice!

The Street Epistemology book – A Manual For Creating Atheists

Short text interview with Peter Boghossian by Sam Harris

Practice and/or learn at blab.im (none of the Conspirators have used this, we’re taking Steve’s word for it 🙂 )

Is That Your True Rejection?

Steve’s mother may have been practicing the art of Epistemic Learned Helplessness (better than it sounds)

Clifford’s The Ethics of Belief. Summarized in one sentence: ““It is wrong always, everywhere, and for anyone to believe anything on insufficient evidence.”

Steve’s Top 4 recommended Street Epistemology videos:
What is Street Epistemology?

Kari | Examining Cardinal Beliefs

Nerville | An Alarming Realization

Kiana | Karma and Concrete Facts

From the Feedback section:

Affective Death Spirals

Things Probably Matter (re: happiness)

Scrupulosity, and Scott’s argument for the Giving What We Can pledge

Giving What We Can itself

Mad Props to Jess Dickey for the new logo! Thanks!

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:20:18 156 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comSteve (@youngidealist on twitter) talks to us about Street Epistemology The Street Epistemology website, which has been significantly updated and expanded since we recorded this episode. Looking nice! The Street Epistemology book &#8211; A Manual For Creating Atheists Short text interview with Peter Boghossian by Sam Harris Practice and/or learn at blab.im (none of the Conspirators have used this, we&#8217;re taking Steve&#8217;s word for it ) Is That Your True Rejection? Steve&#8217;s mother may have been practicing the art of Epistemic Learned Helplessness (better than it sounds) Clifford&#8217;s The Ethics of Belief. Summarized in one sentence: &#8220;“It is wrong always, everywhere, and for anyone to believe anything on insufficient evidence.” Steve&#8217;s Top 4 recommended Street Epistemology videos: What is Street Epistemology? Kari | Examining Cardinal Beliefs Nerville | An Alarming Realization Kiana | Karma and Concrete Facts From the Feedback section: Affective Death Spirals Things Probably Matter (re: happiness) Scrupulosity, and Scott&#8217;s argument for the Giving What We Can pledge Giving What We Can itself Mad Props to Jess Dickey for the new logo! Thanks!Steve (@youngidealist on twitter) talks to us about Street Epistemology The Street Epistemology website, which has been significantly updated and expanded since we recorded this episode. Looking nice! The Street Epistemology book &#8211; A Manual For Creating Atheists Short text interview with Peter Boghossian by Sam Harris Practice and/or learn at blab.im (none of the Conspirators have used this, we&#8217;re taking Steve&#8217;s word for it ) Is That Your True Rejection? Steve&#8217;s mother may have been practicing the art of Epistemic Learned Helplessness (better than it sounds) Clifford&#8217;s The Ethics of Belief. Summarized in one sentence: &#8220;“It is wrong always, everywhere, and for anyone to believe anything on insufficient evidence.” Steve&#8217;s Top 4 recommended Street Epistemology videos: What is Street Epistemology? Kari | Examining Cardinal Beliefs Nerville | An Alarming Realization Kiana | Karma and Concrete Facts From the Feedback section: Affective Death Spirals Things Probably Matter (re: happiness) Scrupulosity, and Scott&#8217;s argument for the Giving What We Can pledge Giving What We Can itself Mad Props to Jess Dickey for the new logo! Thanks!Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 13 – Game Theory https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/07/game-theory/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Jul 2016 08:00:07 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=159 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/07/game-theory/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/07/game-theory/feed/ 8 It’s about modeling agents making decisions, not game design. 🙂 – EB

…but you can also apply game theory to game design. – KS

Yvain’s sequence of posts introducing Game Theory

Defecting is MADE OF FIRE

Wikipedia on Dr. Axelrod’s Iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma tournament

Over the years the Less Wrong community has run a few PD tournaments of their own, with some variation.
2011 Standard evolutionary tournament
2013 tournament with visible source code (set up, and results)
2014 tournament with opponent-simulation

Punishing the cooperators! Who would do that??
(Eneasz: my explanation for why this is done may have been off – I was mixing it up with the “Insulting The Meat” practice I’d recently read about)

Learn about Evolutionary Game Theory from chapter 7 of this online book!

Patent Trolls. Eneasz hates them. The Patent Troll Episode of This American Life may make you hate them too, if you don’t already.

The Planet Money episode on the body-builder supplement patent troll. Or read a summary at NPR.

The story of the Phoebus cartel, a group of light bulb manufacturers who conspired to reduce light bulb life.

The best Golden Balls Split or Steal

“The Button” a parody of The Box with Cameron Diaz (not Jennifer Lopez) which is based on a short story called, “Button, Button.”

Eliezer Yudkowsky on Newcomb’s Problem, and on The True Prisoner’s Dilemma

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:36:59 159 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIt&#8217;s about modeling agents making decisions, not game design. &#8211; EB &#8230;but you can also apply game theory to game design. &#8211; KS Yvain&#8217;s sequence of posts introducing Game Theory Defecting is MADE OF FIRE Wikipedia on Dr. Axelrod&#8217;s Iterated Prisoner&#8217;s Dilemma tournament Over the years the Less Wrong community has run a few PD tournaments of their own, with some variation. 2011 Standard evolutionary tournament 2013 tournament with visible source code (set up, and results) 2014 tournament with opponent-simulation Punishing the cooperators! Who would do that?? (Eneasz: my explanation for why this is done may have been off &#8211; I was mixing it up with the &#8220;Insulting The Meat&#8221; practice I&#8217;d recently read about) Learn about Evolutionary Game Theory from chapter 7 of this online book! Patent Trolls. Eneasz hates them. The Patent Troll Episode of This American Life may make you hate them too, if you don&#8217;t already. The Planet Money episode on the body-builder supplement patent troll. Or read a summary at NPR. The story of the Phoebus cartel, a group of light bulb manufacturers who conspired to reduce light bulb life. The best Golden Balls Split or Steal &#8220;The Button&#8221; a parody of The Box with Cameron Diaz (not Jennifer Lopez) which is based on a short story called, &#8220;Button, Button.&#8221; Eliezer Yudkowsky on Newcomb&#8217;s Problem, and on The True Prisoner&#8217;s DilemmaIt&#8217;s about modeling agents making decisions, not game design. &#8211; EB &#8230;but you can also apply game theory to game design. &#8211; KS Yvain&#8217;s sequence of posts introducing Game Theory Defecting is MADE OF FIRE Wikipedia on Dr. Axelrod&#8217;s Iterated Prisoner&#8217;s Dilemma tournament Over the years the Less Wrong community has run a few PD tournaments of their own, with some variation. 2011 Standard evolutionary tournament 2013 tournament with visible source code (set up, and results) 2014 tournament with opponent-simulation Punishing the cooperators! Who would do that?? (Eneasz: my explanation for why this is done may have been off &#8211; I was mixing it up with the &#8220;Insulting The Meat&#8221; practice I&#8217;d recently read about) Learn about Evolutionary Game Theory from chapter 7 of this online book! Patent Trolls. Eneasz hates them. The Patent Troll Episode of This American Life may make you hate them too, if you don&#8217;t already. The Planet Money episode on the body-builder supplement patent troll. Or read a summary at NPR. The story of the Phoebus cartel, a group of light bulb manufacturers who conspired to reduce light bulb life. The best Golden Balls Split or Steal &#8220;The Button&#8221; a parody of The Box with Cameron Diaz (not Jennifer Lopez) which is based on a short story called, &#8220;Button, Button.&#8221; Eliezer Yudkowsky on Newcomb&#8217;s Problem, and on The True Prisoner&#8217;s DilemmaRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 12 – Listener Feedback https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/07/12-listener-feedback/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Jul 2016 08:00:48 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=140 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/07/12-listener-feedback/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/07/12-listener-feedback/feed/ 4 We covered ten episodes of feedback in one hour (and a half)! After this, we’ll reply to comments regularly at the end of episodes. Comment either at the website (www.thebayesianconspiracy.com)?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or at the subreddit (www.reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss). Or email us – bayesianconspiracypodcast at gmail.

TONS of links this episode, because we covered such a variety of stuff:

An article about Elizabeth Sheff’s research on modern polyamorous families. A paper on partible paternity in lowland South America.

Judith Rich Harris argues that parenting doesn’t matter that much. So you should worry less about screwing up your kids, as long as you aren’t actually hurting them. Bryan Caplan says much the same.

Make Beliefs Pay Rent

Project MKUltra – a real conspiracy by the CIA to effect mind-control

Sacred Values Are How Ethical Injunctions Feel From The Inside (related: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside and Ends Don’t Justify Means (Among Humans) )

Robert Nozick’s “Experience Machine” thought experiment.

Fun Theory Sequence (which is mostly a list of links to even more articles, so… this’ll take a while if you haven’t read it before)
Or more briefly (but much less comprehensively) – Morality is Awesome!

Rudi Hoffman

GiveWell estimates their most effective charity – the Against Malaria Foundation – saves lives at a cost of ~$3,000 per life saved (I was off a bit). They consider anything under $5,000 to be extremely cost-effective.

Morality Should Be Moral

Eliezer’s essay on the ethics of signing up your children for cryonics.

“On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing the chip evolution experiment

Article on Google’s AI-specific chip design

Does Divestment Work?

Slate Star Codex on Vegetarianism for Meat-Eaters and Ethics Offsets.

The story of Stu Rasmussen, who became the first transgender mayor in the USA, in a small rural town. Turns out it’s a RadioLab episode, not 99PI.

Blink – Malcolm Gladwell’s book about the power of human intuition.

The episode of Skeptoid regarding the fire in Waco and David Koresh. I think it’s a great way to give some more info on the topic and sneak some critical thinking in as well.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:28:23 140 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe covered ten episodes of feedback in one hour (and a half)! After this, we&#8217;ll reply to comments regularly at the end of episodes. Comment either at the website (www.thebayesianconspiracy.com)?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or at the subreddit (www.reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss). Or email us &#8211; bayesianconspiracypodcast at gmail. TONS of links this episode, because we covered such a variety of stuff: An article about Elizabeth Sheff&#8217;s research on modern polyamorous families. A paper on partible paternity in lowland South America. Judith Rich Harris argues that parenting doesn&#8217;t matter that much. So you should worry less about screwing up your kids, as long as you aren&#8217;t actually hurting them. Bryan Caplan says much the same. Make Beliefs Pay Rent Project MKUltra &#8211; a real conspiracy by the CIA to effect mind-control Sacred Values Are How Ethical Injunctions Feel From The Inside (related: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside and Ends Don&#8217;t Justify Means (Among Humans) ) Robert Nozick&#8217;s &#8220;Experience Machine&#8221; thought experiment. Fun Theory Sequence (which is mostly a list of links to even more articles, so&#8230; this&#8217;ll take a while if you haven&#8217;t read it before) Or more briefly (but much less comprehensively) &#8211; Morality is Awesome! Rudi Hoffman GiveWell estimates their most effective charity &#8211; the Against Malaria Foundation &#8211; saves lives at a cost of ~$3,000 per life saved (I was off a bit). They consider anything under $5,000 to be extremely cost-effective. Morality Should Be Moral Eliezer&#8217;s essay on the ethics of signing up your children for cryonics. “On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing the chip evolution experiment Article on Google&#8217;s AI-specific chip design Does Divestment Work? Slate Star Codex on Vegetarianism for Meat-Eaters and Ethics Offsets. The story of Stu Rasmussen, who became the first transgender mayor in the USA, in a small rural town. Turns out it&#8217;s a RadioLab episode, not 99PI. Blink &#8211; Malcolm Gladwell&#8217;s book about the power of human intuition. The episode of Skeptoid regarding the fire in Waco and David Koresh. I think it&#8217;s a great way to give some more info on the topic and sneak some critical thinking in as well.We covered ten episodes of feedback in one hour (and a half)! After this, we&#8217;ll reply to comments regularly at the end of episodes. Comment either at the website (www.thebayesianconspiracy.com)?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss or at the subreddit (www.reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss). Or email us &#8211; bayesianconspiracypodcast at gmail. TONS of links this episode, because we covered such a variety of stuff: An article about Elizabeth Sheff&#8217;s research on modern polyamorous families. A paper on partible paternity in lowland South America. Judith Rich Harris argues that parenting doesn&#8217;t matter that much. So you should worry less about screwing up your kids, as long as you aren&#8217;t actually hurting them. Bryan Caplan says much the same. Make Beliefs Pay Rent Project MKUltra &#8211; a real conspiracy by the CIA to effect mind-control Sacred Values Are How Ethical Injunctions Feel From The Inside (related: How An Algorithm Feels From Inside and Ends Don&#8217;t Justify Means (Among Humans) ) Robert Nozick&#8217;s &#8220;Experience Machine&#8221; thought experiment. Fun Theory Sequence (which is mostly a list of links to even more articles, so&#8230; this&#8217;ll take a while if you haven&#8217;t read it before) Or more briefly (but much less comprehensively) &#8211; Morality is Awesome! Rudi Hoffman GiveWell estimates their most effective charity &#8211; the Against Malaria Foundation &#8211; saves lives at a cost of ~$3,000 per life saved (I was off a bit). They consider anything under $5,000 to be extremely cost-effective. Morality Should Be Moral Eliezer&#8217;s essay on the ethics of signing up your children for cryonics. “On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing the chip evolution experiment Article on Google&#8217;s AI-specific chip design Does Divestment Work? Slate Star Codex on Vegetarianism for Meat-Eaters and Ethics Offsets. The story of Stu Rasmussen, who became the first transgender mayor in the USA, in a small rural town. Turns out it&#8217;s a RadioLab episode, not 99PI. Blink &#8211; Malcolm Gladwell&#8217;s book about the power of human intuition. The episode of Skeptoid regarding the fire in Waco and David Koresh. I think it&#8217;s a great way to give some more info on the topic and sneak some critical thinking in as well.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 11 – Voting https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/10-voting/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 22 Jun 2016 08:00:50 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=133 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/10-voting/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/10-voting/feed/ 11 Is it rational to vote?

We realize the audio quality when we have live guests is terrible, we’re working to fix that now, hopefully things will start sounding better very soon. Thanks for bearing with us!

Eneasz wants to say that his understanding of Timeless Decision Theory is likely flawed, because it is big and complicated and he is small and simple. His interpretation of it in this episode is not necessarily entirely correct, it is merely his best understanding. He is, as always, open to correction.

Mentioned in this episode:

Mail-in vote can decrease turn-out (includes an alternative explanation as well)

Andrew Gelman on the probability of your particular vote making a difference (pdf!)

Following-up – Andrew Gelman on why you should maybe vote anyway

Caprini’s What Americans Know about Politics and Why It Matters

Peter Singer’s Why Vote?, defending compulsory voting

Wikipedia on Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem

Wittman’s The Myth of Democratic Failure: Why Political Institutions Are Efficient, and Caplan’s reply – The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies

PredictWise, the prediction market!

Hanson’s “Futarchy,” where we would vote on values, but bet on beliefs

Wikipedia on Effective Number of Parties

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:12:51 133 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comIs it rational to vote? We realize the audio quality when we have live guests is terrible, we&#8217;re working to fix that now, hopefully things will start sounding better very soon. Thanks for bearing with us! Eneasz wants to say that his understanding of Timeless Decision Theory is likely flawed, because it is big and complicated and he is small and simple. His interpretation of it in this episode is not necessarily entirely correct, it is merely his best understanding. He is, as always, open to correction. Mentioned in this episode: Mail-in vote can decrease turn-out (includes an alternative explanation as well) Andrew Gelman on the probability of your particular vote making a difference (pdf!) Following-up &#8211; Andrew Gelman on why you should maybe vote anyway Caprini&#8217;s What Americans Know about Politics and Why It Matters Peter Singer&#8217;s Why Vote?, defending compulsory voting Wikipedia on Arrow&#8217;s Impossibility Theorem Wittman&#8217;s The Myth of Democratic Failure: Why Political Institutions Are Efficient, and Caplan&#8217;s reply &#8211; The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies PredictWise, the prediction market! Hanson&#8217;s &#8220;Futarchy,&#8221; where we would vote on values, but bet on beliefs Wikipedia on Effective Number of PartiesIs it rational to vote? We realize the audio quality when we have live guests is terrible, we&#8217;re working to fix that now, hopefully things will start sounding better very soon. Thanks for bearing with us! Eneasz wants to say that his understanding of Timeless Decision Theory is likely flawed, because it is big and complicated and he is small and simple. His interpretation of it in this episode is not necessarily entirely correct, it is merely his best understanding. He is, as always, open to correction. Mentioned in this episode: Mail-in vote can decrease turn-out (includes an alternative explanation as well) Andrew Gelman on the probability of your particular vote making a difference (pdf!) Following-up &#8211; Andrew Gelman on why you should maybe vote anyway Caprini&#8217;s What Americans Know about Politics and Why It Matters Peter Singer&#8217;s Why Vote?, defending compulsory voting Wikipedia on Arrow&#8217;s Impossibility Theorem Wittman&#8217;s The Myth of Democratic Failure: Why Political Institutions Are Efficient, and Caplan&#8217;s reply &#8211; The Myth of the Rational Voter: Why Democracies Choose Bad Policies PredictWise, the prediction market! Hanson&#8217;s &#8220;Futarchy,&#8221; where we would vote on values, but bet on beliefs Wikipedia on Effective Number of PartiesRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 10 – Polyamory (part 2) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/9-polyamory-part-2/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 08 Jun 2016 08:01:47 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=120 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/9-polyamory-part-2/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/9-polyamory-part-2/feed/ 26 The second half of our conversation on polyamory, because we talked and talked and the episode went long. As with Part 1, positions of other parties, including current and former partners, are very likely misrepresented in this episode.

Links:

More Than Two – An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title of a book by the creator of the website, Franklin Veaux along with Eve Rickert.

Researcher Elisabeth Sheff has written several books on polyamory and has an ongoing blog on Psychology Today. Along with More Than Two, this is a great resource for detailed information on polyamory. For example, how do children fare with poly parents? How do people navigate relationships in which one partner is poly and the other is mono?

Scarlet Teen: With Pleasure: A whole view of sexual anatomy for every body Because sex is about more than genitals.

Journal of Sexual Medicine – Cheaters in monogamous relationships use less protection and transmit more STIs than openly non-monogamous people.

Robin Hanson’s review of Sex at Dusk on Overcoming Bias

Child custody battles do not favor the polyamorous.

The Scarborough family – 8 adults and 3 kids in one huge house, being evicted for no good reason.
[note: these articles are from late 2014. Eneasz contacted the person who organized their legal defense fund crowdsource, and learned that this is still ongoing. To quote:

Unfortunately the court case(s) are still in process, which is stressful for the family. The city sued in court to enforce the zoning and the family had to counter with a federal suit challenging the constitutionality of the narrow definition of family.

The Planning and Zoning Commission in Hartford is currently considering adopting a functional family definition. Public support (and outreach to that commission) and media pressure / articles are helpful right now. Director of Planning – Jamie.Bratt@hartford.gov

Fortunately the Scarborough family is still living in their home. They actually just installed an urban bee hive to complement their large garden and flower beds! They’re doing their best to live their normal lives despite the stress and uncertainty.

]

Do you like space operas featuring diverse characters and poly relationships? Try Ascension, by Jacqueline Koyanagi

Polyhacking

Myer-Briggs – a fun self-sorting test. You’ve likely seen some pop-culture comparisons, such as Which Harry Potter Character Are You, but Scott Alexander says it’s not totally useless and we should stop hating on it.

The Relationship Bill of Rights: no matter your relationship position (monogamous, anarchist, primary, secondary, hate all these dumb labels), this is super important. Read it!

Kimchi Cuddles online comics about polyamorous relationships

Are You Dating Your Species? Solid advice on choosing partners by Reid Mihalko

The Relationship Escalator

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:19:19 120 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe second half of our conversation on polyamory, because we talked and talked and the episode went long. As with Part 1, positions of other parties, including current and former partners, are very likely misrepresented in this episode. Links: More Than Two – An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title of a book by the creator of the website, Franklin Veaux along with Eve Rickert. Researcher Elisabeth Sheff has written several books on polyamory and has an ongoing blog on Psychology Today. Along with More Than Two, this is a great resource for detailed information on polyamory. For example, how do children fare with poly parents? How do people navigate relationships in which one partner is poly and the other is mono? Scarlet Teen: With Pleasure: A whole view of sexual anatomy for every body Because sex is about more than genitals. Journal of Sexual Medicine &#8211; Cheaters in monogamous relationships use less protection and transmit more STIs than openly non-monogamous people. Robin Hanson&#8217;s review of Sex at Dusk on Overcoming Bias Child custody battles do not favor the polyamorous. The Scarborough family &#8211; 8 adults and 3 kids in one huge house, being evicted for no good reason. [note: these articles are from late 2014. Eneasz contacted the person who organized their legal defense fund crowdsource, and learned that this is still ongoing. To quote: Unfortunately the court case(s) are still in process, which is stressful for the family. The city sued in court to enforce the zoning and the family had to counter with a federal suit challenging the constitutionality of the narrow definition of family. The Planning and Zoning Commission in Hartford is currently considering adopting a functional family definition. Public support (and outreach to that commission) and media pressure / articles are helpful right now. Director of Planning &#8211; Jamie.Bratt@hartford.gov Fortunately the Scarborough family is still living in their home. They actually just installed an urban bee hive to complement their large garden and flower beds! They&#8217;re doing their best to live their normal lives despite the stress and uncertainty. ] Do you like space operas featuring diverse characters and poly relationships? Try Ascension, by Jacqueline Koyanagi Polyhacking Myer-Briggs &#8211; a fun self-sorting test. You&#8217;ve likely seen some pop-culture comparisons, such as Which Harry Potter Character Are You, but Scott Alexander says it&#8217;s not totally useless and we should stop hating on it. The Relationship Bill of Rights: no matter your relationship position (monogamous, anarchist, primary, secondary, hate all these dumb labels), this is super important. Read it! Kimchi Cuddles online comics about polyamorous relationships Are You Dating Your Species? Solid advice on choosing partners by Reid Mihalko The Relationship EscalatorThe second half of our conversation on polyamory, because we talked and talked and the episode went long. As with Part 1, positions of other parties, including current and former partners, are very likely misrepresented in this episode. Links: More Than Two – An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title of a book by the creator of the website, Franklin Veaux along with Eve Rickert. Researcher Elisabeth Sheff has written several books on polyamory and has an ongoing blog on Psychology Today. Along with More Than Two, this is a great resource for detailed information on polyamory. For example, how do children fare with poly parents? How do people navigate relationships in which one partner is poly and the other is mono? Scarlet Teen: With Pleasure: A whole view of sexual anatomy for every body Because sex is about more than genitals. Journal of Sexual Medicine &#8211; Cheaters in monogamous relationships use less protection and transmit more STIs than openly non-monogamous people. Robin Hanson&#8217;s review of Sex at Dusk on Overcoming Bias Child custody battles do not favor the polyamorous. The Scarborough family &#8211; 8 adults and 3 kids in one huge house, being evicted for no good reason. [note: these articles are from late 2014. Eneasz contacted the person who organized their legal defense fund crowdsource, and learned that this is still ongoing. To quote: Unfortunately the court case(s) are still in process, which is stressful for the family. The city sued in court to enforce the zoning and the family had to counter with a federal suit challenging the constitutionality of the narrow definition of family. The Planning and Zoning Commission in Hartford is currently considering adopting a functional family definition. Public support (and outreach to that commission) and media pressure / articles are helpful right now. Director of Planning &#8211; Jamie.Bratt@hartford.gov Fortunately the Scarborough family is still living in their home. They actually just installed an urban bee hive to complement their large garden and flower beds! They&#8217;re doing their best to live their normal lives despite the stress and uncertainty. ] Do you like space operas featuring diverse characters and poly relationships? Try Ascension, by Jacqueline Koyanagi Polyhacking Myer-Briggs &#8211; a fun self-sorting test. You&#8217;ve likely seen some pop-culture comparisons, such as Which Harry Potter Character Are You, but Scott Alexander says it&#8217;s not totally useless and we should stop hating on it. The Relationship Bill of Rights: no matter your relationship position (monogamous, anarchist, primary, secondary, hate all these dumb labels), this is super important. Read it! Kimchi Cuddles online comics about polyamorous relationships Are You Dating Your Species? Solid advice on choosing partners by Reid Mihalko The Relationship EscalatorRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 9 – Polyamory (part 1) https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/episode-9-polyamory/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 01 Jun 2016 08:00:19 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=111 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/episode-9-polyamory/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/06/episode-9-polyamory/feed/ 22 What’s Polyamory got to do with Rationalism anyway?

Be Advised:

1.) This episode contains curse words.

2.) Always, but especially when talking about sensitive, nuanced issues like human relationships, it’s important to note that we are only speaking for ourselves. Positions of other parties, including current and former partners, may be misrepresented in this episode.

Links!

More Than Two – An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title of a book by the creator of the website, Franklin Veaux, and Eve Rickert.

Dan Savage – Eneasz is a fan, Katrina is not

Scott Alexander’s Survey Results

Black People Less Likely

Polyamory is Boring

(and remember – don’t go watching Game of Thrones all willy-nilly!)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:20:40 111 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWhat&#8217;s Polyamory got to do with Rationalism anyway? Be Advised: 1.) This episode contains curse words. 2.) Always, but especially when talking about sensitive, nuanced issues like human relationships, it&#8217;s important to note that we are only speaking for ourselves. Positions of other parties, including current and former partners, may be misrepresented in this episode. Links! More Than Two &#8211; An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title of a book by the creator of the website, Franklin Veaux, and Eve Rickert. Dan Savage &#8211; Eneasz is a fan, Katrina is not Scott Alexander&#8217;s Survey Results Black People Less Likely Polyamory is Boring (and remember &#8211; don&#8217;t go watching Game of Thrones all willy-nilly!)What&#8217;s Polyamory got to do with Rationalism anyway? Be Advised: 1.) This episode contains curse words. 2.) Always, but especially when talking about sensitive, nuanced issues like human relationships, it&#8217;s important to note that we are only speaking for ourselves. Positions of other parties, including current and former partners, may be misrepresented in this episode. Links! More Than Two &#8211; An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title of a book by the creator of the website, Franklin Veaux, and Eve Rickert. Dan Savage &#8211; Eneasz is a fan, Katrina is not Scott Alexander&#8217;s Survey Results Black People Less Likely Polyamory is Boring (and remember &#8211; don&#8217;t go watching Game of Thrones all willy-nilly!)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 8 – Interview with Brian Dunning https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/05/8-interview-with-brian-dunning/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 18 May 2016 08:01:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=103 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/05/8-interview-with-brian-dunning/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/05/8-interview-with-brian-dunning/feed/ 1 We speak with Brian Dunning, best known as the host/creator of the Skeptoid podcast. He has also created Here Be Dragons, a 40-minute introduction to critical thinking.

Mentioned in this episode:

The Vanishing Village of Angikuni Lake

Chris Hallquist on Trusting Expert Consensus

The unusual story of the discovery that H. Pylori causes ulcers (and a different take on why the establishment was so resistant to accepting that – it’s hard to disentangle correlations from causation)

Using hookworms to treat allergies and/or asthma (Eneasz would like to alert people to the existence of this fantastic RadioLab episode on Parasites, where he first heard of this unorthodox treatment.)

Steven Chu’s lecture at UC Irvine
“Energy, Climate Change, and the Transition to a Sustainable World”

“The Feeding Tube”

Upcoming projects from Brian, including Dark Discoveries and Principles of Curiosity

Adam Ruins Everything

Vitamin C – about as effective as placebo (unless you were already deficient at time of exposure, in which case supplements do help, but that’s true of any vital nutrient)

The Illuminatus! trilogy

Brian Dunning’s latest project – The Conspirators and here.

Brian Dunning as a cat

Brian Dunning as a cat

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:02:48 103 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe speak with Brian Dunning, best known as the host/creator of the Skeptoid podcast. He has also created Here Be Dragons, a 40-minute introduction to critical thinking. Mentioned in this episode: The Vanishing Village of Angikuni Lake Chris Hallquist on Trusting Expert Consensus The unusual story of the discovery that H. Pylori causes ulcers (and a different take on why the establishment was so resistant to accepting that &#8211; it&#8217;s hard to disentangle correlations from causation) Using hookworms to treat allergies and/or asthma (Eneasz would like to alert people to the existence of this fantastic RadioLab episode on Parasites, where he first heard of this unorthodox treatment.) Steven Chu&#8217;s lecture at UC Irvine &#8220;Energy, Climate Change, and the Transition to a Sustainable World&#8221; &#8220;The Feeding Tube&#8221; Upcoming projects from Brian, including Dark Discoveries and Principles of Curiosity Adam Ruins Everything Vitamin C &#8211; about as effective as placebo (unless you were already deficient at time of exposure, in which case supplements do help, but that&#8217;s true of any vital nutrient) The Illuminatus! trilogy Brian Dunning&#8217;s latest project &#8211; The Conspirators and here. Brian Dunning as a catWe speak with Brian Dunning, best known as the host/creator of the Skeptoid podcast. He has also created Here Be Dragons, a 40-minute introduction to critical thinking. Mentioned in this episode: The Vanishing Village of Angikuni Lake Chris Hallquist on Trusting Expert Consensus The unusual story of the discovery that H. Pylori causes ulcers (and a different take on why the establishment was so resistant to accepting that &#8211; it&#8217;s hard to disentangle correlations from causation) Using hookworms to treat allergies and/or asthma (Eneasz would like to alert people to the existence of this fantastic RadioLab episode on Parasites, where he first heard of this unorthodox treatment.) Steven Chu&#8217;s lecture at UC Irvine &#8220;Energy, Climate Change, and the Transition to a Sustainable World&#8221; &#8220;The Feeding Tube&#8221; Upcoming projects from Brian, including Dark Discoveries and Principles of Curiosity Adam Ruins Everything Vitamin C &#8211; about as effective as placebo (unless you were already deficient at time of exposure, in which case supplements do help, but that&#8217;s true of any vital nutrient) The Illuminatus! trilogy Brian Dunning&#8217;s latest project &#8211; The Conspirators and here. Brian Dunning as a catRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 7 – Kill All Humans? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/05/7-kill-all-humans-placeholder-title/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 04 May 2016 08:00:41 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=95 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/05/7-kill-all-humans-placeholder-title/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/05/7-kill-all-humans-placeholder-title/feed/ 23 [content warning: suicide, human extinction. Might be a bad idea to listen to if you suffer suicidal tendencies.]

We speak to Jason, who would take extreme measures to end all suffering.  However, lacking extreme powers, he recommends doing good as efficiently as possible, and offers these resources:

Givewell – researches charities for effectiveness.

80,000 hours – Have a greater social impact with your career.

He also provided us with a link to the World Happiness Report

Other things mentioned in this episode:

 

Jeremy Bentham – founder of utilitarianism. Steven was right – he was one of the earliest advocates of animal rights from the very beginning.

Utility Monsters (also in comic form)
There are a few responses to Utility Monsterism, here’s a link with some quick lay-person summaries. But my favorite is PhilGoetz, who argues that humans are utility monsters, so it’s kinda a non-issue – we’ve all decided we’re cool with Utility Monsterism.

VHEMT – the voluntary human extinction movement

Those Who Walk Away From Omelas (pdf) – short story by Ursula LeGuin

The Transdimensional Justice Monster

Scott Alexander’s retelling of the final act of Job (and sadly, according to comments there, he wasn’t the first to think of it – a Christian philosopher beat him to it by a few years. Still, Scott’s version is FAR more entertaining!)

The Hedonic Treadmill – Not that Treadmilly?  (Ctrl-F for “Hedonic Adaptation” to get to the relevant part in the linked page)

Turns out, the idea that people adapt to negative events and return to their previous set-point is a myth. Although the exact effects vary depending on the bad event, disability, divorce, loss of a partner, and unemployment all have long-term negative effects on happiness. Unemployment is the one event that can be undone relatively easily, but the effects persist even after people become reemployed. I’m only citing four studies here, but a meta analysis of the literature shows that the results are robust across existing studies.

The same thing applies to positive events. While it’s “common knowledge” that winning the lottery doesn’t make people happier, it turns out that isn’t true, either.

The Manic Pixie Dream Girl

Peter Singer’s book “Famine, Affluence, and Morality“, and his essay “All Animals Are Equal“(pdf)

Also very famous among Rationalists is Singer’s book “The Life You Can Save”

80,000 Hours states that being a Tobacco CEO causes so much harm that it cannot be countered by donating all earnings to altruism, no matter how effective.
Larks of Effective-Altruism.com argues that maaaaaaaybe it could be?
Either way, the best course of action is obvious – become a Tobacco CEO and do a really shitty job.

Suffering is Valueless (most relevant section quoted below)

I believe moral value is inherent in those systems and entities that we describe as ‘fascinating’, ‘richly structured’ and ‘beautiful’. A snappy way of characterising this view is “value-as-profundity”. On the other hand, I regard pain and pleasure as having no value at all in themselves.

In the context of interpersonal affairs, then, to do good is ultimately to make the people around you more profound, more interesting, more beautiful – their happiness is irrelevant. To do evil, on the other hand, is to damage and degrade something, shutting down its higher features, closing off its possibilities.

While we’re on the topic, why the heck is it that generally the happier a place is, the higher the depression and suicide rate? Lots of guesses, nothing sounds definitive.

Note from SSC – Effective Altruists aren’t actually as mentally ill as you may think

LessWrong post on being Adaptation Executors

A fictional portrayal of Neil Armstrong on Orgasmium (which serves as Eneasz’s example of why such a world would be awful)

We ended with a joke about Coherent Extrapolated Volition

I don’t know how effective these are, but because we’re not monsters – this is a suicide helpline.  1 (800) 273-8255. Please call if you’re feeling suicidal. Or text “GO” to 741-741

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:19:32 95 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com[content warning: suicide, human extinction. Might be a bad idea to listen to if you suffer suicidal tendencies.] We speak to Jason, who would take extreme measures to end all suffering.  However, lacking extreme powers, he recommends doing good as efficiently as possible, and offers these resources: Givewell &#8211; researches charities for effectiveness. 80,000 hours &#8211; Have a greater social impact with your career. He also provided us with a link to the World Happiness Report Other things mentioned in this episode: &nbsp; Jeremy Bentham &#8211; founder of utilitarianism. Steven was right &#8211; he was one of the earliest advocates of animal rights from the very beginning. Utility Monsters (also in comic form) There are a few responses to Utility Monsterism, here&#8217;s a link with some quick lay-person summaries. But my favorite is PhilGoetz, who argues that humans are utility monsters, so it&#8217;s kinda a non-issue &#8211; we&#8217;ve all decided we&#8217;re cool with Utility Monsterism. VHEMT &#8211; the voluntary human extinction movement Those Who Walk Away From Omelas (pdf) &#8211; short story by Ursula LeGuin The Transdimensional Justice Monster Scott Alexander&#8217;s retelling of the final act of Job (and sadly, according to comments there, he wasn&#8217;t the first to think of it &#8211; a Christian philosopher beat him to it by a few years. Still, Scott&#8217;s version is FAR more entertaining!) The Hedonic Treadmill &#8211; Not that Treadmilly?  (Ctrl-F for “Hedonic Adaptation” to get to the relevant part in the linked page) Turns out, the idea that people adapt to negative events and return to their previous set-point is a myth. Although the exact effects vary depending on the bad event, disability, divorce, loss of a partner, and unemployment all have long-term negative effects on happiness. Unemployment is the one event that can be undone relatively easily, but the effects persist even after people become reemployed. I’m only citing four studies here, but a meta analysis of the literature shows that the results are robust across existing studies. The same thing applies to positive events. While it’s “common knowledge” that winning the lottery doesn’t make people happier, it turns out that isn’t true, either. The Manic Pixie Dream Girl Peter Singer&#8217;s book &#8220;Famine, Affluence, and Morality&#8220;, and his essay &#8220;All Animals Are Equal&#8220;(pdf) Also very famous among Rationalists is Singer&#8217;s book &#8220;The Life You Can Save&#8221; 80,000 Hours states that being a Tobacco CEO causes so much harm that it cannot be countered by donating all earnings to altruism, no matter how effective. Larks of Effective-Altruism.com argues that maaaaaaaybe it could be? Either way, the best course of action is obvious – become a Tobacco CEO and do a really shitty job. Suffering is Valueless (most relevant section quoted below) I believe moral value is inherent in those systems and entities that we describe as &#8216;fascinating&#8217;, &#8216;richly structured&#8217; and &#8216;beautiful&#8217;. A snappy way of characterising this view is &#8220;value-as-profundity&#8221;. On the other hand, I regard pain and pleasure as having no value at all in themselves. In the context of interpersonal affairs, then, to do good is ultimately to make the people around you more profound, more interesting, more beautiful &#8211; their happiness is irrelevant. To do evil, on the other hand, is to damage and degrade something, shutting down its higher features, closing off its possibilities. While we’re on the topic, why the heck is it that generally the happier a place is, the higher the depression and suicide rate? Lots of guesses, nothing sounds definitive. Note from SSC &#8211; Effective Altruists aren’t actually as mentally ill as you may think LessWrong post on being Adaptation Executors A fictional portrayal of Neil Armstrong on Orgasmium (which serves as Eneasz’s example of why such a world would be awful) We ended with a joke about Coherent Extrapolated Volition I don’t know how effective these are, but because we’re not monsters – this is a suicide helpline.  1 (800) 273-8255. Please call if you’re feeling suicidal. Or text “GO” to 741-741 &nbsp;[content warning: suicide, human extinction. Might be a bad idea to listen to if you suffer suicidal tendencies.] We speak to Jason, who would take extreme measures to end all suffering.  However, lacking extreme powers, he recommends doing good as efficiently as possible, and offers these resources: Givewell &#8211; researches charities for effectiveness. 80,000 hours &#8211; Have a greater social impact with your career. He also provided us with a link to the World Happiness Report Other things mentioned in this episode: &nbsp; Jeremy Bentham &#8211; founder of utilitarianism. Steven was right &#8211; he was one of the earliest advocates of animal rights from the very beginning. Utility Monsters (also in comic form) There are a few responses to Utility Monsterism, here&#8217;s a link with some quick lay-person summaries. But my favorite is PhilGoetz, who argues that humans are utility monsters, so it&#8217;s kinda a non-issue &#8211; we&#8217;ve all decided we&#8217;re cool with Utility Monsterism. VHEMT &#8211; the voluntary human extinction movement Those Who Walk Away From Omelas (pdf) &#8211; short story by Ursula LeGuin The Transdimensional Justice Monster Scott Alexander&#8217;s retelling of the final act of Job (and sadly, according to comments there, he wasn&#8217;t the first to think of it &#8211; a Christian philosopher beat him to it by a few years. Still, Scott&#8217;s version is FAR more entertaining!) The Hedonic Treadmill &#8211; Not that Treadmilly?  (Ctrl-F for “Hedonic Adaptation” to get to the relevant part in the linked page) Turns out, the idea that people adapt to negative events and return to their previous set-point is a myth. Although the exact effects vary depending on the bad event, disability, divorce, loss of a partner, and unemployment all have long-term negative effects on happiness. Unemployment is the one event that can be undone relatively easily, but the effects persist even after people become reemployed. I’m only citing four studies here, but a meta analysis of the literature shows that the results are robust across existing studies. The same thing applies to positive events. While it’s “common knowledge” that winning the lottery doesn’t make people happier, it turns out that isn’t true, either. The Manic Pixie Dream Girl Peter Singer&#8217;s book &#8220;Famine, Affluence, and Morality&#8220;, and his essay &#8220;All Animals Are Equal&#8220;(pdf) Also very famous among Rationalists is Singer&#8217;s book &#8220;The Life You Can Save&#8221; 80,000 Hours states that being a Tobacco CEO causes so much harm that it cannot be countered by donating all earnings to altruism, no matter how effective. Larks of Effective-Altruism.com argues that maaaaaaaybe it could be? Either way, the best course of action is obvious – become a Tobacco CEO and do a really shitty job. Suffering is Valueless (most relevant section quoted below) I believe moral value is inherent in those systems and entities that we describe as &#8216;fascinating&#8217;, &#8216;richly structured&#8217; and &#8216;beautiful&#8217;. A snappy way of characterising this view is &#8220;value-as-profundity&#8221;. On the other hand, I regard pain and pleasure as having no value at all in themselves. In the context of interpersonal affairs, then, to do good is ultimately to make the people around you more profound, more interesting, more beautiful &#8211; their happiness is irrelevant. To do evil, on the other hand, is to damage and degrade something, shutting down its higher features, closing off its possibilities. While we’re on the topic, why the heck is it that generally the happier a place is, the higher the depression and suicide rate? Lots of guesses, nothing sounds definitive. Note from SSC &#8211; Effective Altruists aren’t actually as mentally ill as you may think LessWrong post on being Adaptation Executors A fictional portrayal of Neil Armstrong on Orgasmium (which serves as Eneasz’s example of why such a world would be awful) We ended with a joke about Coherent Extrapolated Volition I don’t know how effective these are, but because we’re not monsters – this is a suicide helpline.  1 (800) 273-8255. Please call if you’re feeling suicidal. Or text “GO” to 741-741 &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 6 – Cryonics https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/04/6-cryonics/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 20 Apr 2016 08:00:59 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=87 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/04/6-cryonics/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/04/6-cryonics/feed/ 16 The Conspirators talk cryonics. Spoiler alert, they are signed up (and signing up soon) for the big freeze. Katrina is a cryocrastinator.

The in-depth cryonics article that sparked this conversation, “Why Cryonics Makes Sense” by Tim : Wait But Why Essay

Steven mentioned the agent he went through: Rudi Hoffman’s Website

The two major US companies: Cryonics Institute FAQ Page; Alcor FAQ page

One of many stories of 23-yr-old Kim Suozzi getting last-minute cryo funding (yay!)

Gwern focuses on Plastination in his usual super-comprehensive style (also, I guess we were mispronouncing it in this episode. Doh!)

At the top of Gwern’s post he links to several estimates for calculated probabilities of revival, but we specifically called out Robin Hanson’s, so here’s a link to his ~6% reasoning.

Eliezer’s referenced post about cryonics being a bad way to erase a person. That’s really just a small part of it though. This post is amazing and fairly short and Eneasz in particular cannot recommend it highly enough.

This American Life’s episode on Testosterone.

Phil Goetz on Why People Want To Die

Rudi Hoffman‘s profession site – great guy who has helped many of us with our Cryo-funding insurance.

If you’re in Colorado, shout-out to Shani Sorensen for cryo-friendly Life Insurance

Bunnicula?

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:06:11 87 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comThe Conspirators talk cryonics. Spoiler alert, they are signed up (and signing up soon) for the big freeze. Katrina is a cryocrastinator. The in-depth cryonics article that sparked this conversation, &#8220;Why Cryonics Makes Sense&#8221; by Tim : Wait But Why Essay Steven mentioned the agent he went through: Rudi Hoffman&#8217;s Website The two major US companies: Cryonics Institute FAQ Page; Alcor FAQ page One of many stories of 23-yr-old Kim Suozzi getting last-minute cryo funding (yay!) Gwern focuses on Plastination in his usual super-comprehensive style (also, I guess we were mispronouncing it in this episode. Doh!) At the top of Gwern&#8217;s post he links to several estimates for calculated probabilities of revival, but we specifically called out Robin Hanson&#8217;s, so here&#8217;s a link to his ~6% reasoning. Eliezer&#8217;s referenced post about cryonics being a bad way to erase a person. That&#8217;s really just a small part of it though. This post is amazing and fairly short and Eneasz in particular cannot recommend it highly enough. This American Life&#8217;s episode on Testosterone. Phil Goetz on Why People Want To Die Rudi Hoffman&#8216;s profession site &#8211; great guy who has helped many of us with our Cryo-funding insurance. If you&#8217;re in Colorado, shout-out to Shani Sorensen for cryo-friendly Life Insurance Bunnicula? &nbsp;The Conspirators talk cryonics. Spoiler alert, they are signed up (and signing up soon) for the big freeze. Katrina is a cryocrastinator. The in-depth cryonics article that sparked this conversation, &#8220;Why Cryonics Makes Sense&#8221; by Tim : Wait But Why Essay Steven mentioned the agent he went through: Rudi Hoffman&#8217;s Website The two major US companies: Cryonics Institute FAQ Page; Alcor FAQ page One of many stories of 23-yr-old Kim Suozzi getting last-minute cryo funding (yay!) Gwern focuses on Plastination in his usual super-comprehensive style (also, I guess we were mispronouncing it in this episode. Doh!) At the top of Gwern&#8217;s post he links to several estimates for calculated probabilities of revival, but we specifically called out Robin Hanson&#8217;s, so here&#8217;s a link to his ~6% reasoning. Eliezer&#8217;s referenced post about cryonics being a bad way to erase a person. That&#8217;s really just a small part of it though. This post is amazing and fairly short and Eneasz in particular cannot recommend it highly enough. This American Life&#8217;s episode on Testosterone. Phil Goetz on Why People Want To Die Rudi Hoffman&#8216;s profession site &#8211; great guy who has helped many of us with our Cryo-funding insurance. If you&#8217;re in Colorado, shout-out to Shani Sorensen for cryo-friendly Life Insurance Bunnicula? &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 5 – When Grandmas ask “What is Rationality?” https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/04/5-when-grandmas-ask-what-is-rationality/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 06 Apr 2016 08:00:32 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=82 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/04/5-when-grandmas-ask-what-is-rationality/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/04/5-when-grandmas-ask-what-is-rationality/feed/ 14 An ELI5 (Explain Like I’m 5) episode. Our answers when someone asks “What is Rationality anyway?” and they have a bit of time.
(If they don’t have time, Eneasz’s Elevator Pitch is “Rationality is a systematized method of making your beliefs more closely match reality”)

Eliezer’s Sequences of Blog Posts on Rationality
In ebook form – Rationality: From AI to Zombies

Piano competition with and without music results
Blind auditions for classical orchestras increased hiring of women (shorter version here)
Martin Shkreli: Real Evil, or Evil-For-Good-Due-To-Effectiveness-Calculations?
John Oliver’s piece on Abortion Laws
The Bell Curve

Finally – fact-checking Eneasz’s claims about cultural trends:

Scott Alexander’s most recent survey results in full (starting to age now).

Of the things mentioned:

Relationship Style
Prefer monogamous: 778, 51.8%
Prefer polyamorous: 227, 15.1%
Uncertain/no preference: 464, 30.9%
Other: 23, 1.5%

(in the general population: Polyamory in general pop (US) = 9.8M out of 319M (3%) (“An estimate based solely on the agreement to allow satellite lovers is around 9.8 million.”)  )

Politics
Communist: 9, 0.6%
Conservative: 67, 4.5%
Liberal: 416, 27.7%
Libertarian: 379, 25.2%
Social Democratic: 585, 38.9%

(general population (US) – 19% of general pop identify as Libertarians. Not as big a difference as Eneasz thought!  )

Religion
Atheist and not spiritual: 1054, 70.1%
Atheist and spiritual: 150, 10.0%
Agnostic: 156, 10.4%
Lukewarm theist: 44, 2.9%
Deist/pantheist/etc.: 22,, 1.5%
Committed theist: 60, 4.0%

(general population (US) is almost reversed, ~76% religious, 23% “nones” (and only 7% atheist/agnostic)  )

Moral Views
Accept/lean towards consequentialism: 901, 60.0%
Accept/lean towards deontology: 50, 3.3%
Accept/lean towards natural law: 48, 3.2%
Accept/lean towards virtue ethics: 150, 10.0%
Accept/lean towards contractualism: 79, 5.3%
Other/no answer: 239, 15.9%

(couldn’t find any numbers for general pop. As a proxy, a survey of philosophers (primarily Anglophonic) showed only 24% consequentialists.)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:03:24 82 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comAn ELI5 (Explain Like I&#8217;m 5) episode. Our answers when someone asks &#8220;What is Rationality anyway?&#8221; and they have a bit of time. (If they don&#8217;t have time, Eneasz&#8217;s Elevator Pitch is &#8220;Rationality is a systematized method of making your beliefs more closely match reality&#8221;) Eliezer&#8217;s Sequences of Blog Posts on Rationality In ebook form &#8211; Rationality: From AI to Zombies Piano competition with and without music results Blind auditions for classical orchestras increased hiring of women (shorter version here) Martin Shkreli: Real Evil, or Evil-For-Good-Due-To-Effectiveness-Calculations? John Oliver&#8217;s piece on Abortion Laws The Bell Curve Finally &#8211; fact-checking Eneasz&#8217;s claims about cultural trends: Scott Alexander&#8217;s most recent survey results in full (starting to age now). Of the things mentioned: Relationship Style Prefer monogamous: 778, 51.8% Prefer polyamorous: 227, 15.1% Uncertain/no preference: 464, 30.9% Other: 23, 1.5% (in the general population: Polyamory in general pop (US) = 9.8M out of 319M (3%) (&#8220;An estimate based solely on the agreement to allow satellite lovers is around 9.8 million.&#8221;)  ) Politics Communist: 9, 0.6% Conservative: 67, 4.5% Liberal: 416, 27.7% Libertarian: 379, 25.2% Social Democratic: 585, 38.9% (general population (US) &#8211; 19% of general pop identify as Libertarians. Not as big a difference as Eneasz thought!  ) Religion Atheist and not spiritual: 1054, 70.1% Atheist and spiritual: 150, 10.0% Agnostic: 156, 10.4% Lukewarm theist: 44, 2.9% Deist/pantheist/etc.: 22,, 1.5% Committed theist: 60, 4.0% (general population (US) is almost reversed, ~76% religious, 23% &#8220;nones&#8221; (and only 7% atheist/agnostic)  ) Moral Views Accept/lean towards consequentialism: 901, 60.0% Accept/lean towards deontology: 50, 3.3% Accept/lean towards natural law: 48, 3.2% Accept/lean towards virtue ethics: 150, 10.0% Accept/lean towards contractualism: 79, 5.3% Other/no answer: 239, 15.9% (couldn&#8217;t find any numbers for general pop. As a proxy, a survey of philosophers (primarily Anglophonic) showed only 24% consequentialists.)An ELI5 (Explain Like I&#8217;m 5) episode. Our answers when someone asks &#8220;What is Rationality anyway?&#8221; and they have a bit of time. (If they don&#8217;t have time, Eneasz&#8217;s Elevator Pitch is &#8220;Rationality is a systematized method of making your beliefs more closely match reality&#8221;) Eliezer&#8217;s Sequences of Blog Posts on Rationality In ebook form &#8211; Rationality: From AI to Zombies Piano competition with and without music results Blind auditions for classical orchestras increased hiring of women (shorter version here) Martin Shkreli: Real Evil, or Evil-For-Good-Due-To-Effectiveness-Calculations? John Oliver&#8217;s piece on Abortion Laws The Bell Curve Finally &#8211; fact-checking Eneasz&#8217;s claims about cultural trends: Scott Alexander&#8217;s most recent survey results in full (starting to age now). Of the things mentioned: Relationship Style Prefer monogamous: 778, 51.8% Prefer polyamorous: 227, 15.1% Uncertain/no preference: 464, 30.9% Other: 23, 1.5% (in the general population: Polyamory in general pop (US) = 9.8M out of 319M (3%) (&#8220;An estimate based solely on the agreement to allow satellite lovers is around 9.8 million.&#8221;)  ) Politics Communist: 9, 0.6% Conservative: 67, 4.5% Liberal: 416, 27.7% Libertarian: 379, 25.2% Social Democratic: 585, 38.9% (general population (US) &#8211; 19% of general pop identify as Libertarians. Not as big a difference as Eneasz thought!  ) Religion Atheist and not spiritual: 1054, 70.1% Atheist and spiritual: 150, 10.0% Agnostic: 156, 10.4% Lukewarm theist: 44, 2.9% Deist/pantheist/etc.: 22,, 1.5% Committed theist: 60, 4.0% (general population (US) is almost reversed, ~76% religious, 23% &#8220;nones&#8221; (and only 7% atheist/agnostic)  ) Moral Views Accept/lean towards consequentialism: 901, 60.0% Accept/lean towards deontology: 50, 3.3% Accept/lean towards natural law: 48, 3.2% Accept/lean towards virtue ethics: 150, 10.0% Accept/lean towards contractualism: 79, 5.3% Other/no answer: 239, 15.9% (couldn&#8217;t find any numbers for general pop. As a proxy, a survey of philosophers (primarily Anglophonic) showed only 24% consequentialists.)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 4 – AlphaGo, with Patrick Chapin https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/4-alphago-with-patrick-chapin/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 23 Mar 2016 08:01:36 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=76 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/4-alphago-with-patrick-chapin/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/4-alphago-with-patrick-chapin/feed/ 7 Patrick Chapin (of Top Level Podcast) joins us as a guest-host to talk about AlphaGo’s recent victory over Go master Lee Sedol. We get a primer on how AlphaGo works, a recap of all five games in the match, and thoughts on what this means.

(The airing of this episode was pushed up, so we can pretend to be sorta-timely)

Links:
Wikipedia Bots
John Henry
The NSA’s Skynet Program
A tribe of humans without numbers
Patrick’s book, Next Level Magic
“On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing a chip hardware evolution experiment

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:12:37 76 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comPatrick Chapin (of Top Level Podcast) joins us as a guest-host to talk about AlphaGo&#8217;s recent victory over Go master Lee Sedol. We get a primer on how AlphaGo works, a recap of all five games in the match, and thoughts on what this means. (The airing of this episode was pushed up, so we can pretend to be sorta-timely) Links: Wikipedia Bots John Henry The NSA&#8217;s Skynet Program A tribe of humans without numbers Patrick&#8217;s book, Next Level Magic &#8220;On The Origin of Circuits&#8220;, discussing a chip hardware evolution experimentPatrick Chapin (of Top Level Podcast) joins us as a guest-host to talk about AlphaGo&#8217;s recent victory over Go master Lee Sedol. We get a primer on how AlphaGo works, a recap of all five games in the match, and thoughts on what this means. (The airing of this episode was pushed up, so we can pretend to be sorta-timely) Links: Wikipedia Bots John Henry The NSA&#8217;s Skynet Program A tribe of humans without numbers Patrick&#8217;s book, Next Level Magic &#8220;On The Origin of Circuits&#8220;, discussing a chip hardware evolution experimentRationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 3 – Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/3-interview-with-eliezer-yudkowski/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 16 Mar 2016 08:01:38 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=61 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/3-interview-with-eliezer-yudkowski/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/3-interview-with-eliezer-yudkowski/feed/ 1 We welcomed the one, the only, Eliezer Yudkowsky to the Bayesian Conspiracy for a quick chat.

His latest project is Arbital, an ambitious effort to solve online discussion. It is focusing on solving online explanation. They want to do for difficult explanations – and someday, complicated arguments in general – what Wikipedia did for centralizing humanity’s recounting of agreed-on facts.

The initial demo page is an explanation of Bayes’s Rule

About Eliezer in his (heavily truncated by me) own words:

One Eliezer Yudkowsky writes about the fine art of human rationality. That Eliezer Yudkowsky’s work can be found in the Rationality section.

The other Eliezer Yudkowsky concerns himself with Artificial Intelligence. Very shortly – on a historical scale, that is – we can expect technology to break the upper bound on intelligence that has held for the last few tens of thousands of years. For more on this see the Singularity tab.

My short fiction, miscellaneous essays, and various other things can be found under Other.

I am a full-time Research Fellow at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, a small 501(c)(3) public charity supported primarily by individual donations.

A majority of all my written material is currently stored at the community blog Less Wrong.

We asked him about questions ranging from his opinions on AI to rationality to his popular Harry Potter Fan Fiction.

Eliezer brought up a few concepts, and you will definitely want these links:

We will be reposting that last link, I’m sure. As always, you can email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com with your valued feedback, or comment at the subreddit.

Other Relevant Links

Surely You’re Joking, Mr Feynman!
A Step Farther Out, by Jerry Pournelle
Death Note
The first Miles Vorkosigan book – The Warrior’s Apprentice
Significant Digits
Beneath movie (it doesn’t deserve all those stars)
Three Worlds Collide (also – audio version)
The Hidden Complexity of Wishes (“With a safe genie, wishing is superfluous.  Just run the genie.”)

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 57:02 61 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe welcomed the one, the only, Eliezer Yudkowsky to the Bayesian Conspiracy for a quick chat. His latest project is Arbital, an ambitious effort to solve online discussion. It is focusing on solving online explanation. They want to do for difficult explanations &#8211; and someday, complicated arguments in general &#8211; what Wikipedia did for centralizing humanity&#8217;s recounting of agreed-on facts. The initial demo page is an explanation of Bayes&#8217;s Rule About Eliezer in his (heavily truncated by me) own words: One Eliezer Yudkowsky writes about the fine art of human rationality. That Eliezer Yudkowsky’s work can be found in the Rationality section. The other Eliezer Yudkowsky concerns himself with Artificial Intelligence. Very shortly – on a historical scale, that is – we can expect technology to break the upper bound on intelligence that has held for the last few tens of thousands of years. For more on this see the Singularity tab. My short fiction, miscellaneous essays, and various other things can be found under Other. I am a full-time Research Fellow at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, a small 501(c)(3) public charity supported primarily by individual donations. A majority of all my written material is currently stored at the community blog Less Wrong. We asked him about questions ranging from his opinions on AI to rationality to his popular Harry Potter Fan Fiction. Eliezer brought up a few concepts, and you will definitely want these links: He spoke about potential types of AI, including Sovereign and Genie. Read the full Fun Theory Sequence, which is summarized in the 31 Laws of Fun. Eliezer wants you to see this spifftastic Guide to Bayes Rule. We will be reposting that last link, I&#8217;m sure. As always, you can email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com with your valued feedback, or comment at the subreddit. Other Relevant Links Surely You&#8217;re Joking, Mr Feynman! A Step Farther Out, by Jerry Pournelle Death Note The first Miles Vorkosigan book &#8211; The Warrior&#8217;s Apprentice Significant Digits Beneath movie (it doesn&#8217;t deserve all those stars) Three Worlds Collide (also &#8211; audio version) The Hidden Complexity of Wishes (&#8220;With a safe genie, wishing is superfluous.  Just run the genie.&#8221;)We welcomed the one, the only, Eliezer Yudkowsky to the Bayesian Conspiracy for a quick chat. His latest project is Arbital, an ambitious effort to solve online discussion. It is focusing on solving online explanation. They want to do for difficult explanations &#8211; and someday, complicated arguments in general &#8211; what Wikipedia did for centralizing humanity&#8217;s recounting of agreed-on facts. The initial demo page is an explanation of Bayes&#8217;s Rule About Eliezer in his (heavily truncated by me) own words: One Eliezer Yudkowsky writes about the fine art of human rationality. That Eliezer Yudkowsky’s work can be found in the Rationality section. The other Eliezer Yudkowsky concerns himself with Artificial Intelligence. Very shortly – on a historical scale, that is – we can expect technology to break the upper bound on intelligence that has held for the last few tens of thousands of years. For more on this see the Singularity tab. My short fiction, miscellaneous essays, and various other things can be found under Other. I am a full-time Research Fellow at the Machine Intelligence Research Institute, a small 501(c)(3) public charity supported primarily by individual donations. A majority of all my written material is currently stored at the community blog Less Wrong. We asked him about questions ranging from his opinions on AI to rationality to his popular Harry Potter Fan Fiction. Eliezer brought up a few concepts, and you will definitely want these links: He spoke about potential types of AI, including Sovereign and Genie. Read the full Fun Theory Sequence, which is summarized in the 31 Laws of Fun. Eliezer wants you to see this spifftastic Guide to Bayes Rule. We will be reposting that last link, I&#8217;m sure. As always, you can email us at BayesianConspiracyPodcast@gmail.com with your valued feedback, or comment at the subreddit. Other Relevant Links Surely You&#8217;re Joking, Mr Feynman! A Step Farther Out, by Jerry Pournelle Death Note The first Miles Vorkosigan book &#8211; The Warrior&#8217;s Apprentice Significant Digits Beneath movie (it doesn&#8217;t deserve all those stars) Three Worlds Collide (also &#8211; audio version) The Hidden Complexity of Wishes (&#8220;With a safe genie, wishing is superfluous.  Just run the genie.&#8221;)Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 2 – What is this “Sanity Waterline” you speak of? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/episode-two-what-is-this-sanity-waterline-you-speak-of/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Wed, 02 Mar 2016 08:01:33 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=56 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/episode-two-what-is-this-sanity-waterline-you-speak-of/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/03/episode-two-what-is-this-sanity-waterline-you-speak-of/feed/ 9 Can the Sanity Waterline be raised? Should it be? And just what does that mean anyway? Based on the post “Raising The Sanity Waterline”

Also relevant to today’s discussion: Joy In The Merely Real, Christian Bale Did Nothing Wrong, and You Kant Dismiss Universalizability (particularly section III)

Link to the TAM discussion panel.

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:03:27 56 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comCan the Sanity Waterline be raised? Should it be? And just what does that mean anyway? Based on the post &#8220;Raising The Sanity Waterline&#8221; Also relevant to today&#8217;s discussion: Joy In The Merely Real, Christian Bale Did Nothing Wrong, and You Kant Dismiss Universalizability (particularly section III) Link to the TAM discussion panel.Can the Sanity Waterline be raised? Should it be? And just what does that mean anyway? Based on the post &#8220;Raising The Sanity Waterline&#8221; Also relevant to today&#8217;s discussion: Joy In The Merely Real, Christian Bale Did Nothing Wrong, and You Kant Dismiss Universalizability (particularly section III) Link to the TAM discussion panel.Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism, 1 – What Use is Rationality? https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/02/episode-one-what-use-is-rationality/#utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss Thu, 18 Feb 2016 03:39:20 +0000 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/?p=23 https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/02/episode-one-what-use-is-rationality/#comments https://www.thebayesianconspiracy.com/2016/02/episode-one-what-use-is-rationality/feed/ 9 We spent the hour trying to answer a question posed to Eneasz regarding his work with the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Podcast. Here is the query (with pleasantries removed):

Is there evidence that a rational approach to decision making, either on the personal or institutional level, will be more likely to achieve desired outcomes? For example, HPMOR implies that a perfectly rational decision maker will do a better job than a very smart and informed adhoc decision maker, but I don’t understand why this should be the case. After all, the Bayesian priors for any real life problem aren’t available and if you’re estimating how are you doing better than someone using their knowledge and intuition. I don’t include empirical decision making as inherently rational here, so for example, if GiveDirectly were the best charity I see that as more of a data driven outcome than a rational one. Obviously, the two aren’t mutually exclusive, so I could be missing something.

We thought that maybe this was a case of the question writer using a different definition of “rational” than we do, but we dove in, trying to pick the question apart and introduce some rationality concepts at the same time.

Concepts and Linkz:

  1. Difference between epistemic and instrumental rationality
    1. Instrumental rationality is concerned with achieving goals. More specifically, instrumental rationality is the art of choosing and implementing actions that steer the future toward outcomes ranked higher in one’s preferences. Said preferences are not limited to ‘selfish’ preferences or non-shared values; they include anything one cares about.
    2. Epistemic rationality is that part of rationality which involves achieving accurate beliefs about the world. It involves updating on receiving new evidence, mitigating cognitive biases, and examining why you believe what you believe. It can be seen as a form of instrumental rationality in which knowledge and truth are goals in themselves, whereas in other forms of instrumental rationality, knowledge and truth are only potential aids to achieving goals. Someone practicing instrumental rationality might even find falsehood useful.
  2. Affect heuristic: When subjective emotions about something act as a mental shortcut.
  3. Halo/horns effect (is an example of the affect heuristic)
  4. Principle of charity: A technique in which you evaluate your opponent’s position as if it made the most amount of sense possible given the wording of the argument.
  5. Steelmanning (rationality tool)
      1. A straw man is a misrepresentation of someone’s position or argument that is easy to defeat: a “steel man” is an improvement of someone’s position or argument that is harder to defeat than their originally stated position or argument.
      2. The strongest form of an argument that you disagree with.

This time, Katrina copied or at least drew language from Less Wrong and associated wiki.

Mentioned in this episode: Women experience heart attacks differently from men.

Seen on SSC literally one day after we recorded, a case for rational decision making. Then linked from SSC recently, a case for irrationality.

Intro and outro music ‘Thrashing Around” by Chris Martyn/Geoff Harvey – Purple Planet Royalty Free Music.

 

]]> The Bayesian Conspiracy full false 1:08:32 23 bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.comWe spent the hour trying to answer a question posed to Eneasz regarding his work with the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Podcast. Here is the query (with pleasantries removed): Is there evidence that a rational approach to decision making, either on the personal or institutional level, will be more likely to achieve desired outcomes? For example, HPMOR implies that a perfectly rational decision maker will do a better job than a very smart and informed adhoc decision maker, but I don&#8217;t understand why this should be the case. After all, the Bayesian priors for any real life problem aren&#8217;t available and if you&#8217;re estimating how are you doing better than someone using their knowledge and intuition. I don&#8217;t include empirical decision making as inherently rational here, so for example, if GiveDirectly were the best charity I see that as more of a data driven outcome than a rational one. Obviously, the two aren&#8217;t mutually exclusive, so I could be missing something. We thought that maybe this was a case of the question writer using a different definition of &#8220;rational&#8221; than we do, but we dove in, trying to pick the question apart and introduce some rationality concepts at the same time. Concepts and Linkz: Difference between epistemic and instrumental rationality Instrumental rationality is concerned with achieving goals. More specifically, instrumental rationality is the art of choosing and implementing actions that steer the future toward outcomes ranked higher in one&#8217;s preferences. Said preferences are not limited to &#8216;selfish&#8217; preferences or non-shared values; they include anything one cares about. Epistemic rationality is that part of rationality which involves achieving accurate beliefs about the world. It involves updating on receiving new evidence, mitigating cognitive biases, and examining why you believe what you believe. It can be seen as a form of instrumental rationality in which knowledge and truth are goals in themselves, whereas in other forms of instrumental rationality, knowledge and truth are only potential aids to achieving goals. Someone practicing instrumental rationality might even find falsehood useful. Affect heuristic: When subjective emotions about something act as a mental shortcut. Halo/horns effect (is an example of the affect heuristic) Principle of charity: A technique in which you evaluate your opponent’s position as if it made the most amount of sense possible given the wording of the argument. Steelmanning (rationality tool) A straw man is a misrepresentation of someone&#8217;s position or argument that is easy to defeat: a &#8220;steel man&#8221; is an improvement of someone&#8217;s position or argument that is harder to defeat than their originally stated position or argument. The strongest form of an argument that you disagree with. This time, Katrina copied or at least drew language from Less Wrong and associated wiki. Mentioned in this episode: Women experience heart attacks differently from men. Seen on SSC literally one day after we recorded, a case for rational decision making. Then linked from SSC recently, a case for irrationality. Intro and outro music &#8216;Thrashing Around&#8221; by Chris Martyn/Geoff Harvey &#8211; Purple Planet Royalty Free Music. &nbsp;We spent the hour trying to answer a question posed to Eneasz regarding his work with the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Podcast. Here is the query (with pleasantries removed): Is there evidence that a rational approach to decision making, either on the personal or institutional level, will be more likely to achieve desired outcomes? For example, HPMOR implies that a perfectly rational decision maker will do a better job than a very smart and informed adhoc decision maker, but I don&#8217;t understand why this should be the case. After all, the Bayesian priors for any real life problem aren&#8217;t available and if you&#8217;re estimating how are you doing better than someone using their knowledge and intuition. I don&#8217;t include empirical decision making as inherently rational here, so for example, if GiveDirectly were the best charity I see that as more of a data driven outcome than a rational one. Obviously, the two aren&#8217;t mutually exclusive, so I could be missing something. We thought that maybe this was a case of the question writer using a different definition of &#8220;rational&#8221; than we do, but we dove in, trying to pick the question apart and introduce some rationality concepts at the same time. Concepts and Linkz: Difference between epistemic and instrumental rationality Instrumental rationality is concerned with achieving goals. More specifically, instrumental rationality is the art of choosing and implementing actions that steer the future toward outcomes ranked higher in one&#8217;s preferences. Said preferences are not limited to &#8216;selfish&#8217; preferences or non-shared values; they include anything one cares about. Epistemic rationality is that part of rationality which involves achieving accurate beliefs about the world. It involves updating on receiving new evidence, mitigating cognitive biases, and examining why you believe what you believe. It can be seen as a form of instrumental rationality in which knowledge and truth are goals in themselves, whereas in other forms of instrumental rationality, knowledge and truth are only potential aids to achieving goals. Someone practicing instrumental rationality might even find falsehood useful. Affect heuristic: When subjective emotions about something act as a mental shortcut. Halo/horns effect (is an example of the affect heuristic) Principle of charity: A technique in which you evaluate your opponent’s position as if it made the most amount of sense possible given the wording of the argument. Steelmanning (rationality tool) A straw man is a misrepresentation of someone&#8217;s position or argument that is easy to defeat: a &#8220;steel man&#8221; is an improvement of someone&#8217;s position or argument that is harder to defeat than their originally stated position or argument. The strongest form of an argument that you disagree with. This time, Katrina copied or at least drew language from Less Wrong and associated wiki. Mentioned in this episode: Women experience heart attacks differently from men. Seen on SSC literally one day after we recorded, a case for rational decision making. Then linked from SSC recently, a case for irrationality. Intro and outro music &#8216;Thrashing Around&#8221; by Chris Martyn/Geoff Harvey &#8211; Purple Planet Royalty Free Music. &nbsp;Rationality,Rationalism,Less Wrong,LessWrong,Skepticism,Skeptic,HPMoR,Methods of Rationality,Yudkowsky,AI,Futurism,