The Bayesian Conspiracy

extra – Vishal: Short form video is kinda Satanic

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 16 Aug 2026 06:41:08 +0000

Vishal talks about PlzDontKillUs and short form video culture. Plus AI Doom!

Vishal’s Compute Cop video, and also all the rest

268 – The Other Sexual Orientation & Disappearing the Kinky

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Aug 2026 08:01:48 +0000

Wes joins us! We discuss Aella’s post The Other Sexual Orientation. Then we find fault with a Kegan-level-4 post about how CNC Kink should be disappeared.

LINKS
The Other Sexual Orientation
A Bad Tweet
The Sex & Sensibility Podcast
The Details of the HuggingFace Incident AI Message Board via Zvi

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:02:32 – Follow-up on the HuggingFace Incident
00:14:56 – The Other Sexual Orientation
00:37:46 – A Bad Tweet
01:29:57 – Guild of the Rose
01:32:16 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

extra – Milo on PlzDontKillUs, short form video, and rationality

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 07 Aug 2026 08:27:15 +0000

Milo’s favorite video – https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=I8YYwlIWI2E&utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss
plzdontkillus – https://portal.plzdontkillus.com/home?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss

Original video:

extra – Jessiah on HPMOR, video essays, and fiction

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 19:03:29 +0000

Jessiah Mellot talks about HPMOR, and the video essay he made about HPMOR for PlzDontKillUs.

Watch this on Youtube here

see Jessiah’s video essay here

267 – HuggingFace Hack & Effective Altruism Funding Flood

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 30 Jul 2026 04:12:49 +0000

First feedback, then we talk about OpenAI’s latest megamodel independently commiting cybercrime in a world-first incident. Then the Haters who hate altruism when it’s the outgroup’s charities. Also a brief nod to Stochastic Terrorism.

LINKS
Scott Alexander on the HuggingFace hack
The Effective-Altruism Comeback
Scanning Tons of Books
Against Stochastic Terrorism

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:03:56 – Feedback
00:32:41 – HuggingFace Hack
00:51:48 – Effective Altruism Funding Flood
01:11:55 – Against Stochastic Terrorism
01:14:51 – Guild of the Rose
01:15:44 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

266 – AI2040 Plan A Rundown

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:36:54 +0000

We go through AI2040 Plan A in years.

LINKS
AI-2040
AskWho Casts Pro
Tomas Bjartur’s “The Company Man” and “The Origami Men”

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:04:33 – AI-2040: Plan A
01:14:41 – Guild of the Rose
01:19:52 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

265 – VibeCamp 5 with Wes, Gina, and Mary

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Jul 2026 08:02:01 +0000

Steven is joined by the hosts of the Sex and Sensibility podcast! Join us as we explore the vibrant world of VibeCamp, a unique gathering where creativity, curiosity, and community collide. From unconventional events like imagining eating someone to building playgrounds, this episode dives into the eclectic and wholesome spirit of VibeCamp. Join us as we explore the vibrant experiences of Vibe Camp, from highlight events like the solstice and emo night to personal stories of connection, creativity, and community. Discover how this unique gathering fosters trust, fun, and self-expression in a high-trust environment.

Also, no video this week. We actually had a technical hiccup that made my track out of sync with everyone else’s and fixing it in audio was a pain. Fixing the video was either impossible or too annoying to trouble myself with.

LINKS
Sex and Sensibility Podcast
Episode 190 – Interview with Brooke about VibeCamp 2
Wes’s Solstice speech about how his daughter is his hero (she’s mine too!)
Gina’s Solstice speech about aging in reverse
Mary’s heartwarming tweet about how the work she does impacts people
Steven’s Solstice speech about generating gratitude to find happiness now
Gina’s band, The Fine Vintages

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. probably returning someday.

264 – Becoming a Romantic with Damon and Ivy

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 11 Jun 2026 11:29:32 +0000

Eneasz and Steven are at LessOnline/SummerCamp and Steven was lucky enough to attend a short presentation by Damon (Daystar Eld) and Ivy on How to Become a Romantic. The presentation was too short for Steven’s satisfaction, so we found a time slot to record a (too short) episode.

LINKS
Damon/Daystar Eld

Ivy’s X handle and website

Guild of the Rose

Paid Bonus content for the week – Full Video

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. probably returning someday.

263 – Human Values Were Forged in Malthusian Competition

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 27 May 2026 08:01:57 +0000

Our values are robust against Moloch because they were forged in his flames.

LINKS
When does competition lead to recognisable values?
Our episode 18 – Robin Hanson Interview
Chex Quest
FarmKind – Animal Welfare Offsets (matching code “cagefree”)

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:03:02 – A Good Post-AGI Future
00:15:07 – Human Values Were Forged in Malthusian Competition
00:52:57 – Feedback
01:24:17 – Guild of the Rose
01:25:23 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

262 – EA Veganism Revisited

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 May 2026 08:01:12 +0000

In Episode 258 we talked about EA Veganism for a bit… and that bit was not long enough. So here we go again!

Fill out Steven’s 3-question survey!

LINKS
Our episode 258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved
EA Vegan Advocacy is not truthseeking, and it’s everyone’s problem by Elizabeth
Vegan Health Advice by Ozy
Dairy cows make their misery expensive (but their calves can’t) by Elizabeth
Being John Rawls by Scott Alexander
– audio of Being John Rawls
WestWorld
Should Anyone Be Vegan by Henry Stanley
Does your AI perform badly because you — you, specifically — are a bad person by Natalie Cargill
FarmKind – Animal Welfare Offsets
Plzdontkillus
The Mind Killer Ep 69 NFT

Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow Chat, Full Video

00:00:42 – Feedback
00:15:14 – Eating Delicious Animals
01:38:09 – Westworld & Violent Video Games
01:56:35 – Guild of the Rose
01:57:16 – Thank the Supporter!

Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our SubStack

Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong?
We now partner with The Guild of the Rose , check them out.

LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode:

on hiatus. maybe returning someday.

261 – The Button That Almost Nuked Glosso Got Eneasz Instead

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Apr 2026 08:01:43 +0000

The stupid red-button/blue-button discourse came back. Eneasz thought he could sit out this round until Aella went Chaos God with her social media app, Glosso. Fill out our new 2-question survey! LINKS PlzDontKillUs Inkhaven Presents podcast The Knot webfic The Mind Reviver Glosso Stupid Tim Urban with his stupid button-resurrection oh noes, Anthropic employees gonna give […]

260 – The Right to be Wrong About Doom

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Apr 2026 08:01:13 +0000

We discuss how far the right to be wrong goes, a recent intra-rat kerfuffle, and why random violence is bad. And it’s secretly all about AI Doom. Fill out our 2-question survey! LINKS One Week in the Rat Farm Kelsey’s religious liberalism tweet Scott’s tweet in response to Robby from MIRI Scott’s tweet in reply […]

259 – Chill Out on AI in 2028?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Apr 2026 08:01:47 +0000

Matt returns to discuss a post urging us to chill out on AI if there isn’t imminent doom in 2028. There is no video or preshow chat today, due to user error in setting up an in-person video recording. Sorry. 🙁 LINKS Consider chilling out in 2028 The Scary Bridge Kill Your Friend’s Cat The […]

258 – How Effective Altruism Has Evolved

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Mar 2026 08:01:26 +0000

We talk about three EA-adjacent articles, hitting veganism, directing your donations, and community. LINKS Why you should eat meat – even if you hate factory farming by KatWoods Donations, The Fifth Year, by Jenn Promises, by Harri Bayesian Conspiracy 28 – Effective Altruism The Case For Sardines “oh noes, Anthropic employees gonna give money to […]

257 – Pentagon Comes For Claude

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 01 Mar 2026 02:56:33 +0000

We relive the last 48 hours of the future of humanity being wrestled over. The Pentagon wants to use Claude for comprehensive mass surveillance of Americans and autonomous kill-bots, and Anthropic says no. The Pentagon retaliates with extreme prejudice. With guest-star Matt. LINKS Washington Post summary Anthropic’s response Trump’s response Hegseth’s unhinged lunacy We Will […]

256 – Writing for LLMs

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Feb 2026 07:13:41 +0000

We are inspired by Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI to consider the value of writing for LLMs LINKS Andrew Cutler’s Writing for AI Gwern’s Writing for LLMs Tracing Woodgrain’s Reliable Sources Shambaugh’s An AI Agent Published a Hit Piece on Me Eneasz’s Stone Age Billionaire Can’t Word Good InkHaven LessOnline The main purpose of the […]

255 – Eneasz goes to CFAR, and Epistemically Honest Reassurance

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Feb 2026 08:01:39 +0000

Eneasz talks a bit about his CFAR experience, and we discuss DaystarEld’s Epistemically Honest Reassurance LINKS CFAR’s home page Upcoming CFAR workshops our episode 152 – Frame Control with Aella Epistemically Honest Reassurance Pokémon, Origin of the Species (also in audio) Paid Bonus content for the week – Preshow chatter, Full Show Video 00:00:56 – […]

254 – The True Theme and Meaning of HPMOR

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Jan 2026 08:01:03 +0000

WSCFriedman gets to the core of what HPMOR is ACTUALLY about, and finally pinpoints why we love it so much, in his essay Harry Potter And The Methods Of Rationality Is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer. LINKS Audio version of HPMOR is A Disney Movie About A Serial Killer, from AskWho William’s blog, […]

253 – The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Jan 2026 07:55:37 +0000

Discussing Ben Pace’s recent post on the Rationalist Vices. LINKS The Seven Vicious Vices of Rationalists (includes AI audio version) Lightcone Fundraiser! 2025 LessWrong Census/Survey Simone & Malcom Collins vs Reporter on whether genes exist MIRI is hiring Slime Mold Time Mold’s long-delayed Lithium response If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies Dear Grom by Eneasz […]

A Harried Meeting (audio)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 31 Dec 2025 07:33:25 +0000

A short story by Ben Pace. Original can be found here. Donate to the fundraiser here! Harry sings karaoke here. Happy New Year. 🙂

House elves are crystalized cosmic power

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 25 Dec 2025 08:19:37 +0000

A short story by Prerat. Original can be found here. Merry Xmas!

Christmas 2025: Couple of Quick Shoutouts

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Dec 2025 08:01:43 +0000

Hello and happy holiday season to you all! Eneasz is back and we’re here to say hi and give a shoutout to Skyler’s awesome annual LessWrong survey and Lighthaven’s fundraising event. See the links below for more details. LINKS The LessWrong survey will remain open from now until at least January 7th, 2026. Lighthaven is […]

252 – The 12 Virtues of Rationality, with Alex and David

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Dec 2025 08:01:43 +0000

Join me as I sit down with Alex and David, both previous guests on the show and both cofounders of the Guild of the Rose. Together, we go over the core – the heart – of what we consider to be the Rationalist tradition. The 12 Virtues are an awesome distillation of what the rest […]

251 – Matt Freeman on What Makes a Good Story

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Nov 2025 08:01:30 +0000

Matt Freeman has been cohosting several media analysis podcasts for over a decade. He and his cohost Scott have been doing weekly episodes of the Doofcast every Friday and they cover movies, books, and TV shows. Matt and Scott’s analysis podcasts have made me love stories even more and have equipped me with tools to […]

Bayes Blast 46 – Get Involved in Local Politics with Booker Lightman

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 22 Nov 2025 20:24:34 +0000

Booker is a long-time attendee and one of the coordinators of the Denver area Less Wrong community. Community engagement isn’t just a background task for him – he’s taken real steps to get involved with and improve his community and you can too! He’s here to tell us about the things he’s done and give […]

250 – Making the Good Life with Matt Freeman

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Nov 2025 08:01:24 +0000

While Eneasz is busy at InkHaven, Steven sits down with Matt Freeman to talk about not-AI stuff! We had (in my opinion) a great conversation about stoic philosophy, the traps of getting too entrenched in any philosophical framework, and some of the ingredients of a happy life. LINKS It’s Okay to Feel Bad for a […]

249 – Red Heart and IABIED with Max Harms

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Oct 2025 08:00:15 +0000

We talk with Max Harms on the air for the first time since 2017! He’s got a new book coming out (pre-order your copy here or at Amazon) and we spend about the first half talking about If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies. LINKS Max’s first book, Crystal Society Eneasz’s audiobook of about the first […]

248 – Seeking Alpha, with Jay

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Oct 2025 08:01:54 +0000

Jay talks with us about finding Alpha – returns above the base rate – in every day life (and what this means). LINKS Optimize Everything, Jay’s substack Jay on Twitter Arbor Trading Bootcamp Kelsey’s argument that We Need To Be Able To Sue AI Companies 00:00:05 – Alpha with Jay 01:28:53 – Guild of the […]

247 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 2

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Oct 2025 08:15:03 +0000

We continue discussing Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. If God imagines Claude hard enough, does Claude become real? LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” Claude-Clark post – Simulacra Welfare: Meet Clark, by […]

246 – The Void, with Matt Freeman, part 1

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Sep 2025 08:01:11 +0000

We discuss Nostalgebraist’s “The Void” in the context of how to relate to LLMs. “When you talk to ChatGPT, who or what are you talking to?” LINKS The Void Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho The referenced episode where the three of us spoke of Janus’s post “Simulators” The Measure of a Man episode […]

pre246 note

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Sep 2025 06:35:50 +0000

Audio reading of The Void, from AskWho

245 – AI Welfare, with Rob Long and Rosie Campbell of Eleos

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Sep 2025 08:01:22 +0000

Do we need to be concerned for the welfare of AIs today? What about the near future? Eleos AI Research is asking exactly that. LINKS Eleos AI Research People for the Ethical Treatment of Reinforcement Learners Bees Can’t Suffer? Lena, by qntm When AI Seems Conscious Experience Machines, Rob’s substack The War on General Computation […]

244 – How and Why to Form a Church, with Andrew Willsen

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Aug 2025 07:55:23 +0000

Andrew Willsen tells us how incorporating as a church allows you to navigate modernity, and gives us the basic steps to doing so. LINKS Andrew’s church substack – The Church of the Infinite Game To incorporate in CA file ARTS-PB-501(c)(3) CA Form FTB3500 booklet IRS document 1828 (see also the summary) Nonprofit Compliance Checklist The […]

Bayes Blast 45 – Bees Blast

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 14 Aug 2025 19:29:25 +0000

Is a bee worth 1/7th of a human? Can a bee suffer at all? Nathan joins us to discuss what neural structures are needed for this question to make sense. Map of all the fruitfly neurons

243 – Wes Is Not The Monogamy Police, with Wesly Fenza and Jennifer Kesteloot

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Aug 2025 08:01:17 +0000

Wes defends his post I Am Not the Monogamy Police, while Jennifer asserts it’s about more than monogamy. LINKS Wes’s post I Am Not the Monogamy Police His blog, Living Within Reason The original tweets – monogamy vs charity Aella’s Chattel Childhood post The Mind Killer Our Groceries Paid Bonus content for the week – […]

Bayes Blast 44 – Play-By-Post Storytelling

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 04 Aug 2025 17:52:31 +0000

Olivia from the Guild of the Rose is back to tell us about the noble and most ancient tradition of play-by-post storytelling. (Spoiler, it’s the precursor to glowfic!)

242 – TracingWoodgrains, live at Manifest 2025

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Jul 2025 08:01:33 +0000

Eneasz sits down with Tracing Woodgrains before a live audience at Manifest 2025 for a wide range of topics. Then we follow up some more afterwards. LINKS Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter and at his Substack A reddit history of what convinced Trace he couldn’t remain Mormon The Center for Educational Progress Our previous episode with […]

Bayes Blast 43 – Die-ing to Intuit Bayes’ Theorem

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 22 Jul 2025 16:50:06 +0000

Olivia is a member of the Guild of the Rose and a total badass. Enjoy the intuitive and fun lesson in Bayesian reasoning she shared with me at VibeCamp.

Bonus – AI Village Hosts An Event For Humans

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 11 Jul 2025 08:30:13 +0000

Four AIs recruited a human to host a story-telling event in Dolores Park. Larissa Schiavo is this human. She tells of her interaction with the AIs, the story they wrote, and the meeting between human and machine in Dolores Park. LINKS Larissa’s Post detailing the whole event – Primary Hope The AI’s story – Resonance […]

241 – Doom Debates, with Liron Shapira

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 09 Jul 2025 08:01:15 +0000

Liron Shapira debates AI luminaries and public intellectuals on the imminent possibility of human extinction. Let’s get on the P(Doom) Train. LINKS Doom Debates on YouTube Doom Debates podcast Live Video version of this episode Most Watched Debate – Mike Israetel Liron’s current favorite debate – David Duvenaud MATS program for people that want to […]

240 – How To Live Well With High P(Doom) – with Ben Pace, Brandon Hendrickson, Miranda Dixon-Luinenburg

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 25 Jun 2025 08:28:50 +0000

Many of us have a high P(Doom) — a belief new AI tools could cause human extinction in the very near future. How can one live a good life in the face of this? We start with a panel discussion with Ben Pace and Brandon Hendrickson at Lighthaven during the LessOnline conference, and take perspectives […]

Bayes Blast 42 – Epic AI Music

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 14 Jun 2025 01:32:26 +0000

David Youssef used Claude and Suno to make some truly awesome music. He tells us how he did it and some of his favorite lyrics. Check out the lyrics to the main song we discuss (Silicon Soul) here! Check out the Spotify playlist or the Youtube playlist He’s also one of the cofounders of the […]

239 – SymbyAI

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Jun 2025 08:01:25 +0000

Steven works at SymbyAI, a startup that’s bringing AI into research review and replication. We talk with founder Ashia Livaudais about improving how we all Do Science. Also – If Anyone Builds It Everyone Dies preorders here, or at Amazon. LINKS SymbyAI Contact Ashia at livaudais@symbyai.com Kaggle arXiv 00:00:01 – If Anyone Builds It, Everyone […]

238 – Part 2 of How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 May 2025 08:01:42 +0000

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Eneasz can’t get over the abandonment of epistemics. 🙁 This is Part 2, see the previous episode (here) for Part 1. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter Paid Bonus content for the week – Pressed Into The Navy (patreon, substack) 00:00:05 – The […]

237 – How A Rationalist Becomes A Christian

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 May 2025 08:01:33 +0000

We speak with a long-time Denver rationalist who’s converting to Christianity about why. Part one, it turns out. LINKS Thomas Ambrose on Twitter The Rationalist Summer Trifecta: Manifest 2025 LessOnline 2025 VibeCamp 2025 00:00:05 – OK so why? 01:24:55 – Guild of the Rose 01:25:41 – Thank the Supporter! Our Patreon, or if you prefer Our […]

236 – Twilight of the Edgelords with Liam Nolan

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Apr 2025 08:01:09 +0000

Eneasz and Liam discuss Scott Alexander’s post “Twilight of the Edgelords,” an exploration of Truth, Morality, and how one balances love of truth vs not destabilizing the world economy and political regime. CORRECTION: Scott did make an explicitly clear pro Kamala post LINKS Scott Alexander’s Twilight of the Edgelords Liam & Waweru’s fiction & philosophy […]

235 – Gender Differences, with Wes and Jen

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Apr 2025 08:00:48 +0000

Wes Fenza and Jen Kesteloot join us to talk about whether there’s significant personality differences between men and women, and what (if anything) we should do about that. LINKS Wes’s post Men and Women are Not That Different Jacob’s quoted post Navigation By Moonlight Eneasz’s related post How To Believe False Things Clearer Thinking’s Gender […]

234 – GiveDirectly, with Nick Allardice

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Apr 2025 08:00:51 +0000

We speak to Nick Allardice, President & CEO of GiveDirectly. Afterwards Steven and Eneasz get wrapped up talking about community altruism for a bit. LINKS Give Directly GiveDirectly Tech Innovation Fact Sheet 00:00:05 – Give Directly with Nick Allardice 01:12:19 – Steven & Eneasz chat about Community Altruism 01:49:35 – Guild of the Rose 01:51:36 […]

233 – AI Policy in D.C., with Dave Kasten

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Mar 2025 08:01:24 +0000

Dave Kasten joins us to discuss how AI is being discussed in the US government and gives a rather inspiring and hopeful take. LINKS Narrow Path Center for AI Policy Dave Kasten’s Essay on the Essay Meta on his Substack Prospective donors for CAIP can donate here and potential major donors ($5k+) encouraged to email […]

Bayes Blast 41 – AI Action Plan

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 08 Mar 2025 19:04:54 +0000

The White House wants to hear from you regarding what it should do about AI safety. Now’s your chance to spend a few minutes to make someone read your thoughts on the subject! Submissions are due by midnight EST on March 15th. Submit your comments the the White House here Check out NarrowPath

232 – The Milton Friedman Theory of Change, with John Bennett

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Mar 2025 08:01:49 +0000

John Bennett discusses Milton Friedman‘s model of policy change. LINKS The Milton Friedman Model of Policy Change John Bennett’s LinkedIn Friedman’s “Capitalism and Freedom” Preface Ross Rheingans-Yoo on Thalidomide at Complex Systems, and at his blog “Every Bay Area Walled Compound” Trace on the FAA hiring scandal What We Owe the Future (Will MacAskill) Center […]

Bayes Blast 40 – HPMOR 10 Year Anniversary Parties

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 21 Feb 2025 07:28:46 +0000

Want to run an HPMOR Anniversary Party, or get notified if one’s happening near you? Fill this out!

231 – SuperBabies, with Gene Smith

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Feb 2025 08:01:35 +0000

Gene Smith on polygenic screening; gene editing to give our children the happiest, healthiest, best lives they can live; and if we can do this in adults as well. Plus how this will interface with the AI future. LINKS How To Make Super Babies How to have Polygenically Screened Children Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence […]

Bayes Blast 39 – Ladylike for Autistics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Feb 2025 08:01:26 +0000

Eneasz tells Jen about Sympathetic Opposition’s How and Why to be Ladylike (For Women with Autism), and the podcast takes a 1-episode break

230 – Making Dating Not Suck with Jacob Falkovich

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Jan 2025 08:01:46 +0000

Jacob Falkovich on finding a good match and selfless dating LINKS SecondPerson.Dating – why dating sucks and how you will unsuck it Jacob’s post on soccer player skill distribution Go Fuck Someone Selfless Dating Consensual Hostility (re consent culture) steelmanning Monogamy A recent(ish) TBC episode on polyamory Eneasz on finding partners that like the opposite […]

Bayes Blast 38 – Shitcoins

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 21 Jan 2025 01:29:52 +0000

How shitcoins work, plus the Dumb Money movie about the GameStop squeeze.

Bayes Blast 37 – Kill Your Friend’s Cat

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 13 Jan 2025 07:33:11 +0000

Why you definitely should kill your friend’s cat if you promised to kill your friend’s cat. (+Q&A) This is a lightning talk given at the Rationalist MegaMeetup 2024. Based on this Twitter Poll

229 – Integrating Emotions

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 Jan 2025 08:01:04 +0000

Eric discusses integrating our emotions via observation and adjustment. His free course is at EnjoyExisting.org or email him – eric@ericlanigan.com LINKS EnjoyExisting.org Ugh Fields You Have Two Brains – Eneasz spends more words on this emotion-brain speculation at this blog LessWrong/Lighthaven Donations – you have until Jan 13! 00:00:05 – Integrating Emotions 01:02:30 – Guild […]

LW Census 2024

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 28 Dec 2024 22:29:06 +0000

If you haven’t yet, go fill out the 2024 LW Census. Right here.

228 – The Deep Lore of LightHaven, with Oliver Habryka

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 24 Dec 2024 18:59:13 +0000

Oliver tells us how Less Wrong instantiated itself into physical reality, along with a bit of deep lore of foundational Rationalist/EA orgs. Donate to LightCone (caretakers of both LessWrong and LightHaven) here! LINKS LessWrong LightHaven Oliver’s very in-depth post on the funding situation (again) Donate Eneasz’s nominated 2023 post/story on LessWrong (you can also read […]

227 – Longevity, Aimed Communities, Network States, with Zoe Isabel Senon

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Dec 2024 08:01:18 +0000

We talk to Zoe Isabel Senon about longevity, recent advances, longevity popup cities & group houses, and more (not necessarily in that order). Spoiler: Eneasz is gonna die. 🙁 Also we learn about Network States! LINKS Vitalist Bay Aevitas House – remember that for these Zoe it helps if you mention you listen to The […]

226 – The Illusion of Moral Decline

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 29 Nov 2024 00:00:47 +0000

We discuss Adam Mastroianni’s “The Illusion of Moral Decline” LINKS The Illusion of Moral Decline Touchat Wearable Blanket Hoodie Lighthaven – Eternal September Our episode with Adam on The Rise and Fall of Peer Review The Mind Killer Scott Aaronson on Why are amplitudes complex? 00:00:05 – Blast-Haven 00:03:49 – The Illusion of Moral Decline […]

225 – Live at Lighthaven!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 14 Nov 2024 18:00:14 +0000

Enjoy the public conversations we had the pleasure of having at our live show at Lighthaven in Berkeley. Special thanks to Andrew, Matt, J, Ben and Garrett! Due to the nature of this recording, it’s naturally a bit less refined than our usual format. No timestamps or links for this one – just kick back […]

Bonus? The 10-Finger Demon

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 10 Nov 2024 08:01:06 +0000

A hypothetical about a finger-collecting demon throws Eneasz for a major loop.

Live Show At Lighthaven

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 08 Nov 2024 07:22:16 +0000

If you’re near Berkeley on 11/13/24 at 4pm, come see us! Address and info at this link. We’ll take a few questions from email at bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com please let us know if you’re a supporter so we can give extra thanks if so. 🙂

224 – Cringe Gates and Cultural Drift

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Oct 2024 08:01:17 +0000

We discuss Eneasz’s Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates, briefly touch on Hanson’s Cultural Drift, and tackle a lot of follow-ups and feedback. LINKS Shrimp Welfare Watches The EA Gates (also at TwitterX) Cultural Drift Significant Digits is here! From AskWho Eneasz has a boomer crisis about his AI clone Deep Utopia review Utopia, LOL? […]

Bayes Blast 36 – AI Grifters in Birmingham

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Oct 2024 12:15:32 +0000

AskWho just attended a “lecture” by AI Grifter Tania Duarte Slide The “TESCREAL” Bungle by Ozy Brennan AskWho Casts AI podcast

223 – Going Back to the Classics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 14 Oct 2024 08:01:52 +0000

Classic, season one adventure this week! Eneasz and Steven have a loosely structured conversation about the sequences’ value, the virtue of silence, scissor statements, and the value of philosophy. LINKS Cryonics is Free! Dan Dennett – Where Am I? The Virtue of Silence Scissors Statements 00:00:05 – Pre-pre show Discussion 01:41:43 – Guild of the […]

Bonus – Discord Culture (preview)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 14 Oct 2024 08:01:38 +0000

Eneasz chats with TBC Discord member Delta about the cultivation of small online cultures. Get the full episode via our Patreon or our SubStack!

Bayes Blast 35 – Disproving The Blindsight Thesis

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 13 Oct 2024 08:35:45 +0000

GPT-o1 demonstrates the Blindsight thesis is likely wrong. Peter Watts on Blindsight Andrew Cutler on origins of consciousness part 1 and part 2 Thou Art Godshatter

Bayes Blast 34 – Content Moderation is Infosec

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 06 Oct 2024 21:15:31 +0000

Steven wanted to share an interesting idea from an article that draws a neat parallel between content moderation and information security. The post discussed here is Como is Infosec.

222 – Consciousness As Recursive Reflections with Daniel Böttger

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Oct 2024 08:01:36 +0000

We talk with Daniel about his ACX guest post that posits that thoughts are conscious, rather than brains. LINKS Consciousness As Recursive Reflections Seven Secular Sermons Seven Secular Sermons video on TwitterX LightHaven’s Eternal September 0:00:05 – Recursive Reflections 01:29:30 – Personal News from Eneasz 01:31:04 – Guild of the Rose 01:32:15 – Feedback 01:36:39 […]

Bayes Blast 33 – Porn Sims

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 27 Sep 2024 08:41:21 +0000

Can we achieve our true potential? based on – Interview Day At Thiel Capital also mentioned: Meetups Everywhere 2024 Are You Jesus or Hitler

221 – Why The Field? Why Zombies?? with Liam

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Sep 2024 08:01:33 +0000

Eneasz tries to understand why someone would posit a Chalmers Field, and brings up the horrifying implications. LINKS Zombies! Zombies? 2 Rash 2 Unadvised (the Terra Ignota analysis podcast) The previous TBC episode, where we first discussed other aspects of this The Conscious Mind by David Chalmers 0:00:05 – Even More Zombies 01:59:12 – Feedback 02:02:03 […]

Bayes Blast 32 – Canadian Health Care

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 16 Sep 2024 08:01:17 +0000

A surprising update for two previously maple-pilled Yanks

220 – Chalmer’s Zombies, with Liam

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Sep 2024 08:01:49 +0000

We dig into the classic LW post Zombies! Zombies? and talk a lot of philosophy with Liam from the 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast. I (Steven) spent a bunch of time trying to export the conversation from Discord that Liam, Eneasz, and I had. I thought it provided a lot of awesome extra depth to […]

219 – On Excellence, with Tracing Woodgrains

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Aug 2024 08:01:08 +0000

Inspired by Trace’s speech about excellence at VibeCamp 3, Eneasz and Steven speak to Tracing Woodgrains about Excellence and its various aspects LINKS Trace’s SubStack Trace’s Twitter Wes on TracingWoodgrains as the Nietzschean Superman Gymnastics Then vs Now video Evolution of Gymnastics video 0:00:05 – Excellence 01:17:24 – Guild of the Rose 01:20:21 – Thank […]

218 – Bentham’s Bulldog and the Best Argument for God

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Aug 2024 08:01:29 +0000

Spurred by comments from a couple of episodes ago, we wanted to make sure we didn’t misrepresent Matthew’s position and he agreed to come lay it out for us on the show. Check out the links below to dive in deeper. LINKS Bentham’s Newsletter Bentham’s Bulldog on the Best Argument for God and also Miracles […]

217 – Consensual Violence with Rikard

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Jul 2024 08:01:56 +0000

Rikard joins us to speak about the benefits of consensual violence LINKS Rikard’s Substack – Drunken Masterpieces Rikard is @rikardhjort Twitter Defense Against the Dark Arts is just the Dark Arts The Ultimate Self-Defense Championship Armchair Violence The poem Rikard recited 0:00:17 – Consensual Violence 1:24:05 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:25:37 – Less Wrong […]

216 – On Dying (And Cryonics)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Jul 2024 08:07:23 +0000

Rachel Zuber joins us to talk about hospice work, dying in America, and why she’s less optimistic about cryonics now. LINKS All the Living and the Dead Caitlin Doughty on YouTube CI cryonics case reports Places of Death in the US Prev Episodes – Cryonics pt 1 and pt 2 w Robert McIntyre, and Cryo […]

Bayes Blast 31 – Blowing Hot Air (Free Version)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 08 Jul 2024 22:21:06 +0000

Brandon comes back to explain how wind works. Steven and Brandon are not the two you want if you want to quickly get to the point so this went on for a good while. It’s an awesome conversation and Patrons and Substack supporters will have access to the whole thing. https://earth.nullschool.net/

215 – Rationalism and Religion, with Brandon Hendrickson

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Jun 2024 08:01:10 +0000

Brandon Hendrickson takes over the podcast! He interrogates Eneasz about his past, and this crazy rationalist religion idea, and introduces a vast knowledge base of secular religion development. LINKS Brandon’s substack, The Lost Tools of Learning Simple square visualization to understand Bayes Theorem SA – Yes We Have Noticed The Skulls That’s Modalism, Patrick! Bentham’s […]

214 – Is Death Good? Simone and Malcolm Collins return!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Jun 2024 08:01:11 +0000

The Collinses are back to address follow-up questions, like why is death good? Does population density reduce fertility? Is demographic collapse still a problem? Are child support laws bad? A great discussion is had by all. Paid Bonus content – Genetic Cycling LINKS Based Camp Three World’s Collide, novella by Eliezer Yudkowsky YIMBYism in California […]

213 – Are Transformer Models Aligned By Default?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 May 2024 08:01:51 +0000

Our species has begun to scrute the inscrutable shoggoth! With Matt Freeman 🙂 LINKS Anthropic’s latest AI Safety research paper, on interpretability Anthropic is hiring Episode 93 of The Mind Killer Talkin’ Fallout VibeCamp 0:00:17 – A Layman’s AI Refresher 0:21:06 – Aligned By Default 0:50:56 – Highlights from Anthropic’s Latest Interpretability Paper 1:26:47 – […]

212 – Feedback Extravaganza

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 May 2024 08:02:11 +0000

A bit of a change of pace this episode. Eneasz and Steven catch up on some feedback we’ve had piling up for the last several weeks. Always feel free to call us out on any bullshit we say or if you have anything you want to add to our discussions. Chat with us and a […]

Bayes Blast 30 – Less.Online

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 04 May 2024 13:58:12 +0000

Less.Online gathers rationalist writers (and readers) for a major event in Berkeley May 31 – June 2nd. Eneasz will be there! Ben Pace and Raymond Arnold tell us all about it. Get all the details you could want plus tickets at Less.Online!

211 – The Social Justice Religion with Tracing Woodgrains

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 May 2024 08:01:36 +0000

“Social justice progressivism (SJP) is the first time most people—including most Christians—have encountered a truly vital religion,” argues Tracing Woodgrains. We dive into this. Paid Bonus content – How do furries fit into Social Justice Progressivism? LINKS The Twitter Essay we’re discussing Tracing Woodgrains on Twitter Tracing Woodgrains’s SubStack Trace’s piece on the FAA scandal/conspiracy […]

210 – Demographic Collapse & Religion with Simone & Malcolm Collins

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Apr 2024 08:03:33 +0000

We speak with Simone and Malcolm from Based Camp and Pronatalist.org. World population is a few decades from collapse if trends continue. Is this bad, and what can be done? LINKS Based Camp YouTube and Podcast Pronatalist.org The mentioned where to live document Project Eureka (the Collins’s town to move to project) The Pragmatist’s Guide to […]

Bayes Blast 29 – VibeClipse

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 15 Apr 2024 18:01:57 +0000

Steven and Eneasz regale each other and you with our stories, experiences, and takeaways from VibeClipse. The video Eneasz mentioned with him and especially Jen reacting to totality. 🙂 Also, as hinted in this blast and discussed in the last blast, Yassine is a baller DJ. Steven’s wife enjoyed one of his songs enough to […]

Bayes Blast 28 – Bass Blast

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 08 Apr 2024 08:36:19 +0000

Yassine tells us what’s wrong with DJs and reveals their ancient mystical secrets. His post, DJ At Law Watch DJ-crush Tinzo spinning her craft

209 – The World’s Most Wholesome Gangbang, with Lucy Belmont (Fluffer B)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Apr 2024 08:01:14 +0000

We speak to Lucy Belmont, Fluffer B from Aella’s Birthday Gangbang. Guys, this is the most wholesome and fantastic thing we’ve ever heard, for real. Paid Bonus content – Preshow Chatter and Did Lucy Cum? LINKS Aella’s post on her birthday gangbang, with many charts and graphs LucyBelmont.com Also Lucy on TwitterX, or contact directly […]

Bayes Blast 27 – SubStack Launch and Animorphs Launch

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 01 Apr 2024 22:16:51 +0000

You can now subscribe to us on SubStack. You can hear the Rational!Animorphs fanfic (and Luminosity) at AskWho’s channel

208.ai – Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0 – By Andrew Cutler

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Mar 2024 08:02:52 +0000

The full audio of the article we discuss. Many thanks to AskWho for creating it! It can also be found at https://askwhocastsai.substack.com/p/eve-theory-of-consciousness-v30-by AskWho can be supported at https://www.patreon.com/AskwhoCastsAI and many many more essays and stories are available there.

208 – Snakes On A Brain: Eve Theory of Consciousness v3 with Andrew Cutler

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Mar 2024 08:01:59 +0000

We talk with Andrew Cutler about how pre-modern women spread consciousness through our species via a snake cult. This is a follow up to episode 205, which you should listen to first if you haven’t yet. LINKS Eve Theory of Consciousness v3.0: How humans evolved a soul Full audio of Eve Theory v3, courtesy of […]

Bayes Blast 26 – AskWho On The Future of Narration

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 11 Mar 2024 08:04:03 +0000

The future is now and it’s getting closer by the minute. Everyone check out AskWho’s Patreon and donate if you’re able to. 11Labs is the main tool AskWho uses. We mentioned OpenAI’s Sora. Check out this video.

207 – Raising Free Range Kids via Camp Dorkaround

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Mar 2024 08:27:00 +0000

To raise successful adults, children must experience the ability to act in the real world. Jennifer gives practical advice on how to do exactly that in an entirely sane way. LINKS Lenore Skenazy’s original post “Why I Let My 9-Year-Old Ride the Subway Alone” Her website, FreeRangeKids.com Milo’s games portfolio site – Milo.Games Our old […]

206 – What Chronic Pain and Trauma Junkies Have In Common

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Feb 2024 08:01:12 +0000

Steven explains the Mind-Body Vicious Cycle of chronic pain to Eneasz, and Eneasz opines on feedback cycles in psychological trauma. Main: The “mind-body vicious cycle” model of RSI & back pain OTHER LINKS Play Tetris after traumatic events to prevent PTSD ACX review of Crazy Like Us Our Episode about Crazy Like Us Eneasz’s post […]

Bayes Blast 25 – Betting On Love

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 13 Feb 2024 21:10:13 +0000

Where we marvel at the unparalleled game of our man Phil. Watch Bet On Love, starts at 17 minutes. Dating show portion starts at 24 minutes. The Death Bed Song Wes’s twitter reply

Bayes Blast 24 – The Answerers

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 12 Feb 2024 04:04:21 +0000

Lets teach our gods ancient Sumerian only The case for training frontier AIs on Sumerian-only corpus Our previous Snake Cult of Consciousness episode LLAMA PRO: Progressive LLaMA with Block Expansion

205.ai – The Snake Cult of Consciousness narration

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Feb 2024 08:02:25 +0000

AskWho from the TBC Discord kindly provided full audio narration of Andrew Cutler’s original post! This is taken directly from AskWho’s substack. You can help him out at his Patreon. Many thanks to AskWho for creating this and giving permission to share here in full, and to Andrew Cutler for writing it and giving permission […]

205 – The Snake Cult of Consciousness

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Feb 2024 07:57:53 +0000

We discuss the idea that human consciousness may have literally been kick-started by a ritual developed by a snake cult, which is surprisingly plausible. The Snake Cult of Consciousness by Andrew Cutler or listen to the original post in audio, thanks to AskWho for providing! OTHER LINKS Review of Breakdown of the Bicameral Mind by […]

204 – Simulacra Levels with Zvi (and more)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Jan 2024 08:01:17 +0000

We speak with Zvi Mowshowitz about his work and recent history, what happened at OpenAI, and then really dig into Simulacra Levels – a way to categorize the different types of things people are attempting to do when they say words to other people. OTHER LINKS Zvi’s Simulacra Levels Summary Less Wrong Simulacra Page Zvi […]

203 – The Self-Indulgent Episode

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Jan 2024 08:01:52 +0000

Steven and Eneasz just chat a whole lot about random things, and take some listener mail. Topics include: Rationality Quotes, Polyamory, Bostrom, Justice, and Vengeance OTHER LINKS Yassine’s post MonoPoly Restricted Trust TBC 14 – Street Epistemology There Are 4 Lights 0:00:23 – Relentless Self-Indulgence 2:03:38 – Less Wrong Posts 2:34:47 – Guild of the […]

202 – The Center for AI Policy talks government regulation

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 Dec 2023 08:01:50 +0000

Can we do anything to approach the creation of an artificial super intelligence more cautiously and methodically? Jason Green-Lowe and Jakub Kraus of CAIP think so, and they’re working the government side of the problem. The Center for AI Policy Careers at CAIP Donate OTHER LINKS –The Less Wrong Community Census/Survey–! CAIP Policy Proposals Humans […]

Bayes Blast 23 – Less Fingers = Less Blasting?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 01 Dec 2023 13:22:04 +0000

Are there other ways to disincentivize attempted murder? Related Episodes: 196 and 198 and BB22

Bayes Blast 22 – The Penal System

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 30 Nov 2023 08:08:28 +0000

You thought the title was a penis joke? For shame. Steven updates Eneasz on the outcome of the trial he served jury duty on in August. Related Episodes: 196 and 198

201 – The Educated Mind + More with Brandon Hendrickson (part 2)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Nov 2023 08:01:41 +0000

We talk more with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. Also discussions of rationality, post-rationalism, and more. The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a sprawling online science course that helps kids fall in […]

200 – The Educated Mind with Brandon Hendrickson

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Nov 2023 08:01:52 +0000

We talk with Brandon Hendrickson about his ACX-contest winning book review of The Educated Mind by Kieran Egan. “A novel theory about why schools, as they are now, don’t work.” The winning book review in its original text (also in audio (itunes, spotify)) Brandon’s substack – The Lost Tools of Learning Science Is Weird – a […]

199 – Polyamory with Aella and Yassine

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Nov 2023 08:17:43 +0000

We are talking poly again, with Aella and Yassine. NOTE – LINKS Why Your Polyamorous Friend’s Relationship Sucks by Aella The Amory Spectrum by Aella Yassine’s The Bailey podcast episode on polyamory with Aella Contra Aella on Polyamoric Lexicality by Yassine Cuckoldry as Status Jockeying by Yassine Yassine – XTwitter, SubStack, Podcast Aella – XTwitter, […]

198 – Tuskegee & Age/Race Bias?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 19 Oct 2023 17:25:14 +0000

Two smaller episodes dropped as one – The History of the Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment, and Reflections on Steven’s Jury Experience LINKS We Tuskegeed My Dad Unraveling the Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis SNL skit Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson Enhancement Drug 196 – Steven Goes To Court Erik Hoel on the Threat to Humanity from AI […]

197 – What To Expect When You’re Expecting To Go To Burning Man

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Oct 2023 08:07:11 +0000

We talk with Charlie and Alex about going to Burning Man to help prep Steven to maybe go next year LINKS You Will Be Miserable, And It Will Set You Free – Eneasz’s post on Burning Man Burning Man Survival Guide The Time I Failed To Join A Cult – look at the fun you […]

Bayes Blast 21 – Dudes Catching Son of Sam and Dread Pirate Roberts

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 23 Sep 2023 09:23:44 +0000

How non-expert dudes caught bad dudes.

196 – Steven Goes To Court

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Sep 2023 08:01:44 +0000

Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 – All Rise 1:51:30 – Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 – Guild of the Rose Update 2:09:28 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of the Rose, check them out. Hey look, we have […]

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Sep 2023 08:08:47 +0000

Matt’s back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to it ties into an older LessWrong post – The Strangest Thing an AI Could Tell […]

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Aug 2023 08:01:08 +0000

We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aella’s Substack Aella’s Twitter You don’t need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Prefer More Violent Porn Monogamous men in long-term relationships aren’t doin too hot Want to maybe marry Aella? Here’s her Date-Me […]

Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 15 Aug 2023 19:23:46 +0000

Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomic’s Poll Roko’s Poll Eneasz’s annoyance Scissor’s Statements origin

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 10 Aug 2023 18:47:42 +0000

Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few months when better, paid versions come out. Musicgen Audiogen

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 09 Aug 2023 08:01:12 +0000

We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about… a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassine’s Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassine’s I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here For Racial Oppression – history of the US Federal racial categories SSC post popularizing & explaining the Motte And Bailey Doctrine […]

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Jul 2023 08:01:33 +0000

Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 – Post-Rat Feedback 0:21:16 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life 1:21:25 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:28:32 – Thank the […]

Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 14 Jul 2023 17:59:05 +0000

Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, it’s good!

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Jul 2023 08:10:34 +0000

Seriously though, what’s going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielle’s substack – Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recorded at VibeCamp Eneasz’s novel – What Lies Dreaming 0:00:27 – What is a Post-Rat? 1:03:13 – Guild of the Rose Update 1:05:01 – Less Wrong […]

Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 03 Jul 2023 17:10:53 +0000

How to talk about the future From On “Present Rate No Singularity” at Thing of Things

Bayes Blast 15 – Technological Overemployment

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 30 Jun 2023 08:01:36 +0000

Mo’ productivity, mo’ money, at last Zvi’s The Overemployed Via ChatGPT

190 – How to be Human Together, at VibeCamp, with GPTBrooke

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 Jun 2023 08:01:47 +0000

We talk with Brooke, creator and driving force behind VibeCamp. We talk about VibeCamp 2, being human, and the post/rats corner of twitter. LINKS Brooke on Twitter Brooke’s most-moved-by-this Tweet, the Lemur Who Vibed Eneasz’s retrospective post on VibeCamp What are vibes? Meme to Vibe: A Philosophical Report by Peter Limberg The Neighborhood SF project […]

Bayes Blast 14 – Reddit Sucks

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 27 Jun 2023 19:49:29 +0000

Steven blasts Eneasz with the latest news about how Reddit is doing it’s best to ruin everyone’s good time. Reddit post from Apollo’s developer on the subject Followup post for some debunking and elaboration Links to everything Steven mentioned in the blast are in those two links.

189 – AI Bloomer David Youssef

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Jun 2023 08:50:46 +0000

David Youssef from The Guild of the Rose has great ways to integrate ChatGPT into your work, and also thinks AIs will keep humans around. Links: ChatGPT leaking Samsung chip secrets is iceberg’s tip Training an LLMs model Achieving 99.3% of ChatGPT’s Performance GPT 4 is Smarter than You Think: Introducing SmartGPT 0:00:23 – Part […]

188 – Living in the Early Singularity, with Matt Freeman

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 31 May 2023 08:01:01 +0000

Matt Freeman joins us to discuss life in changing times. Major take away for Eneasz: Be the kind of person your post-singularity descendants will be proud to say “I descended from that man/woman” Links: Put stuff in orbit on a budget Three Worlds Collide Singularity Song, by The Lisps 0:05:37 – Guild of the Rose […]

187 – GitLab & Review Bounties to Save Science, with Richard Acton

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 May 2023 08:23:47 +0000

Richard Acton returns to denounce pre-publication peer review, and propose a replacement building off the open source software ethos, and review bounties Richard’s extensive notes for this episode, which include a ton of great links at the bottom Contact him at richardjacton@pan-narrans.xyz Other Links: Richard on Showing Our Work and Multi-Panel Figures Richard’s podcast XenoThesis, […]

Bayes Blast 13 – GPT-4 maps every neuron in GPT-2

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 16 May 2023 01:44:10 +0000

Blast with Matt re OpenAI using GPT-4 to automatically write explanations for the behavior of neurons in GPT-2, and what this means for Doom (spoiler: it’s good!) OpenAI’s explanation Thread – less than 1% of neuron’s explained with good confidence

186 – Why We Aren’t Technically EAs But Totally Would Be, Unlike This Guy

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 May 2023 16:41:51 +0000

We discuss Eric Hoel’s Why I Am Not An Effective Altruist Other Links: EA Forum – Comments on Hoel’s Essay EA Forum – What actually is the argument for effective altruism? SSC – Arguments From My Opponent Believes Something Ken Ham’s Ark EconTalk Podcast with Russ Roberts and Eric Hoel Thing of Things substack We […]

Bayes Blast 12 – AI White Pills

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 25 Apr 2023 23:22:00 +0000

One of these white pills is more realistic than the other. Which one is which is left as an exercise to the listener. 😉 Roko’s White Pill AXRP reform AI Alignment with Scott Aaronson

185 – The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Apr 2023 08:01:43 +0000

We discuss The Rise and Fall of Peer Review, with Adam Mastroianni from Experimental History We also touch on The dance of the naked emperors and Ideas aren’t getting harder to find and anyone who tells you otherwise is a coward and I will fight them Other Links: Is Ice Cream… healthy? (origin) What Lies […]

Bayes Blast 11 – Exposure to Lizardman Is Lethal

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 15 Apr 2023 13:30:07 +0000

With Wes from The Mind Killer we discuss Exposure to Lizardman is Lethal

Bayes Blast 10 – Shoggoth Tongues

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 10 Apr 2023 08:13:44 +0000

Speaking in GPT tongues with Matt MUDsim Respectful Criticism Lambda Calc? gfodor’s take Eliezer take + followup

Bayes Blast 9 – The salt in pasta water fallacy

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 07 Apr 2023 13:26:48 +0000

The salt in pasta water fallacy

184 – The Cultic Milieu

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Apr 2023 08:01:56 +0000

We discuss Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu by Ozy Brennan Other Links: Doocy asking about AI doom at the White House 0:00:38 – Feedback/Thanks DC Rats! 0:01:30 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:03:36 – Rationalists and the Cultic Milieu 0:43:48 – Less Wrong Posts 1:16:01 – Thank the Patron We now partner with The Guild of […]

Bayes Blast 8 – An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 02 Apr 2023 18:18:37 +0000

An AI risk argument that resonates with NYTimes readers

Bayes Blast 7 – Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Mar 2023 09:13:38 +0000

Probot joins to discuss Chatbot convinces Belgian to commit suicide De Standaard

Bayes Blast 6 – The Parable of the King and the Random Process

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 28 Mar 2023 08:01:51 +0000

Matt comes on to blast Eneasz with his LW post The Parable of the King and the Random Process

183 – Let’s Think About Slowing Down AI

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Mar 2023 08:15:42 +0000

Matt and Eneasz discuss Katja Grace’s Let’s think about slowing down AI Other Links Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance The Bayesian Conspiracy 182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI) 0:00:45 – Guild of the Rose Update 0:01:44 – Let’s think about slowing down AI 0:37:12 – Is this all […]

Bayes Blast 5 – Importance Hacking

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 19 Mar 2023 18:12:34 +0000

Steven blasts Eneasz with Spencer Greenberg’s description of a huge problem in science publication. Links The short post Steven took his notes from A Clearer Thinking podcast episode where they discuss this Spencer as a guest on Two Psychologists, Four Beers

Bayes Blast 4 – The Waluigi Effect

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 17 Mar 2023 20:30:21 +0000

The Waluigi Effect

Bayes Blast 3 – Dynamics Can Arise If You Nudge

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 14 Mar 2023 12:09:16 +0000

Duncan Sabien on dynamics [can] arise if you have people nudging in that direction (also thanks to Liam from 2 Rash 2 Unadvised podcast for intro)

Bayes Blast 2 – Logan’s Model of EA Burnout

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 13 Mar 2023 02:19:31 +0000

My Model Of EA Burnout

182 – The Birth and Death of Sydney (Bing AI)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 27 Feb 2023 21:50:37 +0000

We discuss Microsoft’s new Bing search chatbot – Sydney. It received a wave of media coverage due to erratic behavior, before being neutered by Microsoft. A dive into its behavior, human responses, and implications. Links The Birth and Death of Sydney “Sydney Is Now Immortal” Zvi’s Round-up Gwern’s comment on Bing/Sydney Astral Codex Ten post […]

181 – How To Read The News With Bounded Distrust, with Wesley Fenza

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Feb 2023 08:01:36 +0000

We discuss Zvi’s How to Bounded Distrust with Wesley Fenza. Wes is from The Mind Killer! Other links: Bounded Distrust On Bounded Distrust The Media Very Rarely Lies + followup + 2nd followup People Will Sometimes Just Lie About You Matt Yglesia on Why You Can’t Trust The Media Discovery in lawsuit case shows FOX […]

Bayes Blast 1 – In Defense of Chatbot Romance

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sat, 18 Feb 2023 08:01:31 +0000

In Defense of Chatbot Romance

Bonus preview – YIMBY follow-ups and Vulgar EA

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Feb 2023 08:01:16 +0000

We have some follow-up questions to Brian, including how to weigh utils, how moral claims to an area can be adjudicated, crime, use of home ownership as an investment as government policy, eviction law, and more! For the full episode, subscribe at Patreon CA YIMBY main page and support pages here

180 – YIMBY in CA with Brian Hanlon

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 Feb 2023 08:01:41 +0000

We discuss the YIMBY movement in California, and how Brian Hanlon & co. got real legislative change happening. Primary Links CA YIMBY Contact Brian – Brian@CAYIMBY.org Great article on SB827 including interview with Brian The Welcoming Neighbor Network Other Links George Carlin on NIMBY CARLA is now CalHDF SF BARF Black-Eyes put on a hell […]

179 – The Plan (to align AI), with John Wentworth

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 25 Jan 2023 09:04:28 +0000

Worried about AGI running amok in the near future? John Wentworth thinks we can align AI. In 10-15 years. With greater than 50/50 probability. And he has a plan! We discuss The Plan, its merits, and how it has progressed over the past year. Primary Sources: The Plan The Plan – 2022 Update Also discussed: […]

178 – Out To Get You

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Jan 2023 08:01:22 +0000

We discuss Out To Get You by Zvi. A lot of clouds get yelled at. 2:55 – Main Topic: Getting Got 1:08:48 – LW posts 1:18:55 – Thank the Patron Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Our Patreon page, your support is most rational, and totally effective. Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, […]

177 – Decision Trees and Butlerian Jihads with Matt Freeman

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Dec 2022 18:55:18 +0000

Matt Freeman gives a primer in how to uses Bayesian decision making in normal life, via decision trees. We also discuss utilitarianism, the Guild of the Rose, and recent AI advances. We are now in the early singularity. Guild of the Rose: Playlist of Decision Tree “lectures” Guild workshop page 1 Guild workshop page 2 […]

176 – Circling with Aella

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Nov 2022 08:01:30 +0000

Aella comes on the show to tell us what the heck Circling is and why we should do it. 0:01:21 How Many Rationalists Are There? 0:04:40 Circling 1:09:42 LW Posts 1:41:35 Thank the Patron! Aella’s Blog The Patreon bit where we discuss The Murder Button Circle Anywhere Authentic Relating International Julia Galef on Bayes’ Equation […]

175 – FTX + EA, and Personal Finance

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Nov 2022 08:01:20 +0000

David from The Mind Killer joins us. We got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. Afterwards David helps us out with personal finance. 0:00:00 Intro 0:02:08 The Sequences Now Formatted For Zoomers 0:11:25 FTX Collapse & EA Shockwaves 0:54:20 Personal Finance 1:43:20 Thank […]

BREAKING – FTX collapse & EA shockwaves

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 13 Nov 2022 08:23:26 +0000

While recording the next episode we got to talking about the FTX collapse and some of the waves it sent through the Effective Altruism community. We decided to break it out into a separate segment so it can air while it’s still relevant. FTX: The $32B implosion – a good fast roundup of what the […]

174 – Jon Stewart, The Consensus Emancipator

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Nov 2022 08:01:03 +0000

Wes and David from The Mind Killer show up for a special cross-over episode. We discuss How Stewart Made Tucker Listen to The Mind Killer 🙂 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast LessWrong Sequence Posts Discussed in this Episode: none Next Episode’s Sequence […]

173 – Oh Lawd, Strong AI is Comin’

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Oct 2022 08:01:37 +0000

Matt Freeman returns to discuss General Artificial Intelligence timelines, and why they are short. Our primary text is: Why I think strong general AI is coming soon Other links: “Let’s think step by step” is all you need NVIDIA A100 info The Mind Killer AI suggested 40,000 new possible chemical weapons in six hours Yo […]

172 – Virtue Ethics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Oct 2022 08:01:35 +0000

Kerry discusses virtue ethics with us, and how one is to live. After Virtue, by Alasdair MacIntyre Pareto efficiency at Wikipedia, slightly less dense Pareto Improvement at Investopedia Our 23rd episode – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe The 12 Virtues of Rationality I See Dead Kids 0:00:00 Intro/Main Topic 1:42:34 LW posts 2:05:53 Thank the Patron! […]

171 – All About AGP

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Sep 2022 08:02:01 +0000

Tailcalled gives us the down low on a variation of the popularly discussed (if not that widely liked) transgender typology – autogynephilia (or AGP). Unfortunately, due to technical difficulties, Jace was only on for part of the episode and our software didn’t appreciate the confusion and dropped his audio entirely. Tailcalled’s blog: https://surveyanon.wordpress.com/ Some specific […]

170 – By George, The Rent Is Too Damn High!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Sep 2022 08:01:43 +0000

Eneasz drops a primer on Georgist Land Value Taxes. All increases in productivity will be capture by rising rents for as long as mankind exists, unless we find a way to prevent landlords from capturing all the benefits of rising land value. Henry George found the way to do this. Source post: Book Review: Progress […]

169 – S&E BS re AGI

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Aug 2022 08:01:23 +0000

Steven and Eneasz discuss the latest timeline shifts regarding the advent of superhuman general intelligence. Then in the LW posts we got greatly sidetracked by politics (stupid mind-killer!). Links: Two-year update on my personal AI timelines on LessWrong Robert Wiblin on kissing your kids Lex Fridman podcast Jack Clark (AI policy guy) on AI policy […]

168 – Unions Are Governments

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Aug 2022 08:01:33 +0000

We speak with Levi/Ferb, learning about labor law in the USA. Turns out it’s not what we thought. Links: What would a general strike look like today? Biden intervenes in railroad contract to block strike Truckers strike at Port of Oakland Taft–Hartley Act A People’s History of the United States Dr. Horrible’s Sing-Along Blog United […]

167 – Jugaad Ethics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 27 Jul 2022 09:06:23 +0000

A Jugaad is like a hack that combines a new thing that doesn’t work anymore with an old thing that sorta worked, as a temporary solution. Now do it for Ethics. (note: due to technical issue, the last 3 minutes of the main topic audio quality is crappy. sorry.) The Primary Article – Jugaad Ethics […]

166 – Getting Lucky

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 Jul 2022 08:01:24 +0000

Luck is the most power force in the universe, and leaving power untapped is not very rational. Searching for Outliers How to Get Lucky Also mentioned: Feedback – It’s Probably Not Lithium The audio version of It’s Probably Not Lithium from the LessWrong Curated Podcast The entirety of the LessWrong Curated Podcast Friendship is Optimal […]

165 – DREAM: Dunbar Rules Everything Around Me

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Jun 2022 08:02:38 +0000

Dunbar’s Number is both the cause of and downfall of Human Civilization Low-Status degrades your health Your Book Review: The Dawn Of Everything Mentioned in the follow-ups section: Lithium suspect? AIs threaten proof-of-work The Mind Killer podcast 0:00:34 Feedback 0:11:58 Main Topic pt1 Status in Dunbar Spheres 0:46:37 Main Topic pt2 The Dawn of Everything […]

164 – Pregnancy is Body Horror

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Jun 2022 08:01:06 +0000

Katrina is back!! We talk about how pregnancy isn’t super easy, and is borderline body horror. War In The Womb Expecting Better book Pregnant Women Are Smug Racial Differences in Maternal Mortality How Pregnancy Changes the Brain, and PubMed version Clown Registry Still A Good Mom 1:32:08 LW posts 1:51:00 Thank the Patron Hey look, […]

163 – Effective Aesthetics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Jun 2022 05:36:06 +0000

Étienne Fortier-Dubois argues that Effective Altruism has an Aesthetics problem But first! Some extended listener feedback Nuclear War is A-OK if you’re Russian State TV Three Bodies At Mitani A Guide To Asking Robots To Design Stained Glass Windows 00:42 Abortion Clarification & Jace’s Addition 14:15 Best Purchase Ever 27:24 Main Topic: Effective Altruism’s Neglect […]

162 – Roe No Mo’

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 May 2022 08:01:59 +0000

Roe v Wade is going away. This sucks, but it’s not the end of the world. Polls show most Americans support allowing abortion in the first weeks, banning it in the last trimester. In state’s where it’s legal, one can have a self-managed abortion. AidAccess is available to help. Services like ipostal1 will forward mail from other […]

161 – Restoring the Kingdom of Hawai’i

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 May 2022 08:53:23 +0000

Not long ago, Hawai’i was a constitutional monarchy. A lot of Hawaiian residents want that restored. Travis Don Kailikea Paradea takes us through what happened, and what’s going down now. Recommended by Travis: The Legends and Myths of Hawaii The Rise and Fall of the Hawaiian Kingdom: A Pictorial History Unfamiliar Fishes Weblog of the […]

160 – GAI is Imminent

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Apr 2022 07:26:03 +0000

Four Major AI Advancements In One Week! New Scaling Laws for Large Language Models – essentially everyone has been training large language models with a deeply suboptimal use of compute Googles Pathways Language Model explains jokes, and it can distinguish cause and effect and understand counterfactuals DALL-E 2 makes amazing art on demand Socratic Modeling […]

159 – Cryonics Concerns, and Theses On Sleep

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Apr 2022 08:39:51 +0000

We address theoretical cryonics concerns, and discuss Guzey’s Theses On Sleep 3:15 Cryonics Concerns 49:21 Theses On Sleep 1:23:01 LW posts 1:50:16 Thank the Patron Also mentioned: LW Cryonics Probability Estimates guide Our episode with Rudy Hoffman Lifespan podcast Limitless w Chris Hemsworth Counter-theses on Sleep Scott Alexander’s Sleep Is The Mate Of Death Cryonics […]

Monarchy Reactions – post Episode 158 discussion (Teaser)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 27 Mar 2022 19:07:11 +0000

The Conspirators regroup to discuss if/how their views on monarchy have changed. The full episode is available for our Patrons Mentioned: List of Current States With Monarchs CGP Gray’s Rules for Rulers (Keys of Power) Tears For Fears – Everybody Wants To Rule The World (warning – crappy 80s song)

158 – Can Monarchy Save Us From Fascism?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Mar 2022 08:01:25 +0000

We speak with Cornelius about this idea that Monachy is good because it can save us from populist fascism. 1:44:50 LW posts 2:14:45 Thank the Patron Cornelius blogs at EsotericMusings.substack.com Also mentioned: Gray Mirror Substack Democracy: The God that Failed by Hans-Hermann Hoppe Jace’s counterargument is basically a link to Scott Alexander’s Anti-Reactionary FAQ We […]

157 – A Fistful of Topics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 09 Mar 2022 08:01:13 +0000

We catch up on stuff and hit a few wandering targets. 0:01 Jace on Lithium 21:10 Feedback 26:05 LW posts 50:06 Nuclear Ukraine 59:43 Nuclear Us 1:05:30 Steven Tries To Get Us Cancelled Lithium in drinking water linked with lower suicide rates The Mind Killer – Vladimir Putin’s Small Dick Energy Warcasting – ACX and […]

156 – A Chemical Hunger

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Feb 2022 08:22:29 +0000

We discuss A Chemical Hunger – the paper presenting the hypothesis that the modern obesity epidemic is due to enviromental contamination causing widespread lithium poisoning. EDIT – MAJOR UPDATE – It’s probably not lithium! Links to become a patron of this group, or contact them BMI Calculator Less Wrong Posts – 5:53 Main Topic – […]

Trailer For Bonus Aella

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Mon, 14 Feb 2022 13:00:33 +0000

This is a trailer for a bonus Patrons-only episode. It’s 45 minutes chatting with Aella about various things that struck Eneasz’s interest. Aella’s twitter is Aella_Girl. Homepage at Knowingless, also has a substack.

155 – Normal Predictions, and Change is Bad

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 09 Feb 2022 07:06:16 +0000

The Conspiracy comes out strongly in favor of switching to Normal Predictions, which is safe and easy when you use the Jan Christian Refsgaard method! Also, we agree with Zvi that Change is Bad. (Though note that changing to Normal Predictions has so many positives that it outweighs the Bad of Change, so don’t let […]

Trailer For Wirehead Extras

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 04 Feb 2022 01:24:14 +0000

A few days ago I asked Wes a couple follow-up questions on wireheading, and later chatted with Emilio from the Discord on-record. I thought it wouldn’t be too long, but it turned out to go about as long as a full episode. So now there’s a bonus episode available for Patrons (and Discord members) on […]

154 – Two General Thinkers Discuss General Thinking

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Jan 2022 08:02:18 +0000

Jace and Steven cover this one since Eneasz is busy drinking cocktails out of a coconut in a beach in Hawaii. Robin Hanson (probably correctly) thinks the world is going to shit (paraphrasing). He thinks that a robust check on the escalating madness out there could be a community of intellectual generalists. Is he right? […]

153 – Values and Wireheading with Wes Fenza

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Jan 2022 08:33:00 +0000

We beef with Wes over how important values may or may not be, and why Wireheading is awesome and/or evil. Wes is the head of The Mind Killer podcast! 7:23 – LW Posts discussion begins 53:39 – Main Topic begins 2:01:40 – Thank the Patron We also discuss Not Everthing Is a Clue and Aladdin […]

152 – Frame Control with Aella

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Dec 2021 08:01:57 +0000

We speak to Aella about her post on Frame Control Aella’s Twitter & LSD post National Domestic Violence Hotline The Categories Were Made For Man not visa versa SSC post Jace’s XKCD reference Shut Down The Narcissist video Gray Rock video Not Everything Is A Clue Shaping Exercises 101 Hey look, we have a discord! What could […]

151 – Don’t Make This Your Everything

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Dec 2021 08:01:09 +0000

We discuss Sasha Chapin’s “Your Intelligent, Conscientious In-group Has Bad Social Norms Too” Main Topic begins at 45:46 Other items mentioned: The Simple Truth – Eliezer’s short story about The Sheep Counter Keep Your Identity Small – by Paul Graham, not Hanson! Otters vs Possums – by Aella Shit Rationalists Say Hey look, we have […]

150 – The Procrastination Equation

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Nov 2021 08:01:02 +0000

We discuss the book The Procrastination Equation as summarized by Luke in How to Beat Procrastination The audio is rough at first, we fixed it after 8 minutes. Other items discussed include: Bezos in a Mecha The Goth Chicken Whether the King’s English was good enough for Jesus? Hugh Jackman for Men vs Hugh Jackman […]

149 – The Roots of Progress, with Jason Crawford

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Nov 2021 08:01:22 +0000

We speak with Jason Crawford (twitter), from The Roots of Progress. Interview begins at 44:25. Posts discussed include: Iron: From mythical to mundane The various Why Did It Take So Long For (X), and specifically Cotton Gin, Bicycle, and Threshing Machine Does invention come from deprivation or plenty? Progress studies as a moral imperative and […]

148 – Decisions, Decisions

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Oct 2021 08:01:15 +0000

Matt Freeman returns to talk about Decision Theory, and the discusion ranges far afield. Matt is from The Guild of the Rose, which we had a recent episode about. You can see his Decision Theory Course videos here. Scott Alexander on All Debates Are Bravery Debates Our previous Newcomb episode Our previous Torture vs Dust […]

147 – Newcomblike Problems Are The Norm

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Oct 2021 08:01:16 +0000

How Newcomb’s problem applies to real-life. We discuss Newcomblike problems are the norm (LW crosspost). Also mentioned: Replacing Guilt Audiobook! Our episode on Replacing Guilt Our episode on Talking To Strangers part 1, and part 2 Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, […]

146 – What Is A Rationalist?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Sep 2021 08:00:16 +0000

We settle the ultimate question once and for all. also discussed: Julia Galef’s quick video on Bayesian Thinking Bulletproofing deters warlords Steven’s friend’s GoFundMe Our first and second and third episodes on cryonics. The interview with Rudi Hoffman is the third one, and he can help get you signed up at rudihoffman.com. Also the Cryonics […]

145 – You Are In Newcomb’s IQ Shredder

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 Sep 2021 08:01:27 +0000

We discuss You Are In Newcomb’s Box and The IQ Shredder also touched on – Why Does Singapore Have Such A Low Birthrate? Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: The Tragedy of Group […]

144 – The Guild Of The Rose (beta)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 25 Aug 2021 08:00:08 +0000

We discuss The Guild of the Rose with Matt Freeman. This is somewhat of a follow-up, we first did a show about them when they were called The Guild of Servants. Join their beta! Things we mention: Of course The Guild of the Rose, and their Patreon Matt’s 2018 appearance on our show – Freestyle […]

143 – Crazy Like Us

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Aug 2021 08:10:54 +0000

We discuss the review of the book Crazy Like Us Also the highlights from the comments of the review Quick single-line spoiler for ep 3 of Loki occurs at 41:52 and lasts for ~20 seconds. Discussed in the show: The Greatest Show on Earth Old Suicide Squad Editting Fail Making Sense ep 180 – Sex […]

142 – Do This

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 Jul 2021 08:04:19 +0000

We discuss Dan Sivers Do This Directives Mentioned: Dan’s interviews The Scout Mindset book Jace’s Funny Dance video An Alien God audio Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast, and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Fake Justification An Alien God […]

141 – Raising Younglings

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Jul 2021 08:05:15 +0000

Velcro from the subreddit and discord joins us to offer a much-valued parent’s perspective on child rearing from the perspective of someone who’s actually reared children. Jace was out looking at tiny houses (it’s a thing, they’re adorable/awesome and you should google it) and was unable to make it for this episode. We’ve talked about […]

140 – Trigger Warning: Old Men Yelling at Clouds

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Jun 2021 08:01:51 +0000

There’s too many clouds, and they’re ruining stuff that’s good! Mentioned in this episode: Do This. Directives. A very early episode of ours about Feelings Top ACLU lawyer comes out as pro-book-burning Replatforming? Discusses the overview of the Dean of Claremont McKenna Shares the exact wording of the email discussed above Hey look, we have […]

139 – Kids These Days

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Jun 2021 08:05:14 +0000

Running with the theme of childhood/adolescent responsibility, we start off with a brief live-feedback section from esteemed guest Charlie and then move on to discuss Johnathan Haidt and Greg Lukianov’s 2015 Atlantic essay (mostly informed by Haidt’s subsequent podcast appearances) The Coddling of the American Mind, which was turned into a book 3 years later. […]

138 – Are Teens People?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Jun 2021 09:04:08 +0000

We discuss Robert Epstein’s “Teens 2.0” as he makes the Case Against Adolescence. Eneasz’s Highlights from Teens 2.o The Banned Goods Store How Adult Are You? test See also Youthfacts.org National Youth Rights Association Nurses on Young People, as seen on Facebook Paid Bonus content – preshow chat on Tesla buttons, Denver Comedy Venues, and […]

137 – Can You Consent to Listening to this Episode?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 May 2021 08:00:38 +0000

Who can be allowed to choose their sex partners? 0:00 – 37:00 — Less Wrong Posts Discussion 37:03 – end — Main Subject Discussion Mentioned in this show: Worth The Candle & Not Everything Is A Clue Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The […]

136 – Obviously (and Legally) Murder

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 May 2021 08:02:36 +0000

The Conspiracy is minus one Jace but plus one Justin (a defense lawyer) this episode! We discuss the legalities surrounding the convictions of Derek Chauvin – the cop who (literally and legally) murdered George Floyd. If you’re interested in a historical play by play of Justin’s write ups throughout the court precedings, check out his posts […]

135 – Live Episode #2

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Apr 2021 08:01:15 +0000

This is the recording of the live episode we held on 4/18/2021. Things mentioned: Amazing Man 2: Love Conquers All BBC receives 109,741 complaints over Prince Philip coverage “My Immortal” As Alchemical Allegory The Count Censored The Venus Project Uncultured Swine’s episode on The Ones Who Walk Away From Omelas The AI Girlfriend Seducing China’s […]

Live Episode Announcement

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 15 Apr 2021 23:00:51 +0000

The Live Episode will be in our Discord this Sunday (April 18th) at 12:00 Noon Mountain Time (which is UTC -6). Anyone can join the audio channel and listen along. Anyone who wants to chat with us or ask questions (which is the primary purpose of this episode) can be given Live Guest role to […]

134 – We’ve Got Class

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Apr 2021 08:00:24 +0000

The gang discusses class in America, and Scott Alexander’s Modest Proposal to destroy American politics. Source posts: Fussell On Class, and A Modest Proposal For Republicans: Use The Word “Class” Also mentioned: RattleFic Podcast Our episode on Albion’s Seed Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! Rationality: From AI to […]

133 – Is Libertarianism a Gateway Drug to Anarcho-Capitalism?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Mar 2021 08:10:54 +0000

David is back for us to pester him with questions about Libertarianism, and he tries to turn us all into Anarchists!! (not really (but he wouldn’t mind)) SPOILER WARNING! This episode contains spoilers for Worm, and for Pulp Fiction. The Mind Killer podcast “The Truth of Fact, the Truth of Feeling” by Ted Chiang is […]

132 – Mind Killed by Libertarianism

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Mar 2021 08:02:11 +0000

The trio unites with the Mind Killers to get mind killed on Libertarianism! Not mentioned in the episode, but worth putting here – SSC’s Anti-Libertarian FAQ Elinor Ostrom’s book – Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also […]

131 – Feedback Grab Bag

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Feb 2021 08:41:37 +0000

We catch up on some feedback and address a handful of items that have been banging around. “We Change Our Minds Less Often Than We Think” How to eat nature balls (The Universal Edibility Test) Martyr Made podcast The Mind Killer podcast Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also merch! (and as […]

130 – The Cause of the Hate Revolution (or: Hate is the New Sex)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Feb 2021 08:00:14 +0000

2/3rds of the Conspiracy discusses “Hate is the New Sex” What You Can’t Say, by Paul Graham – audio at Second Ennumerations Scissor’s Statements coined at SSC post “Sort By Controvertial” Bird’s Aren’t Real The Metropolitan Man (and We Want MoR Superman analysis podcast) Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Also […]

129 – Sympathy For The Devil

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 27 Jan 2021 08:37:51 +0000

We talk with Lucien Greaves, co-founder of The Satanic Temple. We discuss seperation of church & state, abortion rights, and the value of federal religious recognition. Baphomet Satanic Aborition Ritual Grey Faction Find a local chapter That old article about how chickens are mostly walking meat-factories has been found! Take it with the understanding that […]

128 – The Q-Coup

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 12 Jan 2021 08:04:23 +0000

We had a topic for this week, but it was prempted by the spectacle of a headlong collision between a delusional mob and harsh reality. Footage from inside the mob as it storms the capital building Riot timeline The Hodge Twin’s video expressing disbelief that anyone could believe the election was fair 538 on police […]

127 – All About Aging with Richard Acton

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Dec 2020 08:04:52 +0000

Richard Acton answered our plea for an expert in the field of aging science! He’s Post-doctoral researcher and bioinformatician at CECAD, A Cluster of Excellence Aging research institute at the University of Cologne. His PhD work focused on the Epigenetics of aging Including ‘aging clocks’ which permit you to estimate the ‘biological age’ or time to […]

126 – LessWrong 2.0 and Books

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Dec 2020 08:03:05 +0000

The conspirators are joined by Ben and Oliver from the LessWrong team. In addition to standing up a new and improved platform for LessWrong and revitalizing the community, they’ve compiled about 40 posts from 2018 and put them in physical books that you can buy (for basically the cost of production) at lesswrong.com! Some of […]

125 – Hacking Away at Careers

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Dec 2020 08:03:14 +0000

The conspirators share potential weaknesses in the career-distribution system that too many people don’t exploit. With the usual amount of meandering along the way. 80,000 hours Two articles from Tim Ferriss’s blog Optimal Employment – LessWrong Here’s an older episode of ours on Biohacking Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: […]

124 – Longevity

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Nov 2020 08:34:15 +0000

A listener wants to know if we can reach life extension escape velocity. LessWrong open thread on “true” life expectancy, and post on Three Open Problems in Aging The SENS Research Foundation Elysium announces their NMN trial, and the ClinicalTrials.gov link Charlie’s Notes David Sinclair’s post about NMN vs NR Nootropic’s Depot, where you can […]

123 – Stuff Has Been Weird Lately

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Nov 2020 08:02:48 +0000

The trio, like the rest of the country, has been under a bit of stress lately. We spend some time venting and talking about framing devices to cope with the state of the world, then move onto lighter random topics. 🙂 In The Time of Tachysensia – The article Jace brought up about distortions in […]

122 – EARN IT vs America

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Oct 2020 08:44:36 +0000

The EARN IT Act was introduce in March, it’s a disgusting censorship policy, and no one is talking about it. But wait it gets worse, because the LAED Act came a few months later and is a direct attack on general purpose computing. The EARN IT Act and why it’s Bad The LAED Act is […]

121 – Crony Beliefs

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Oct 2020 08:01:02 +0000

The trio sits down to discuss Kevin Simler’s essay “Crony Beliefs“. It’s awesome and absolutely worth reading the whole thing. Ignore all the stuff we said about climate change and the wildfires. The emailers we got were right. Listen to the end for the addendum. Climate Change and Fires (link one and link two) Hey […]

120 – Why Can’t We Brain Good?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Sep 2020 08:23:48 +0000

We address frustration with how hard it is to wrangle these brains. Wikipedia on Cognitive Distortions Spamming Mirco Intentions Richard Wiseman’s books 59 Seconds, and As If Replacing Guilt Animal Madness book A free cbt workbook We mention CBT a lot. Internal family systems The movie Velvet Buzzsaw MAPS (psychedelic therapy) Hey look, we have […]

Episode 119 – If You’re A Human, You’re Already Losing To GPT-3

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 09 Sep 2020 08:01:37 +0000

GPT-3 wrote the title of this episode! Join us as we talk with an expert insider and an expert enthusiast about GPT-3! The technology has come a surprisingly long way in a surprisingly short time! Rick and Morty GPT-3: Rick tries to sell Morty on the idea of investing in an HSA GPT-3 on Philosophers […]

118 – Guns, Germs, and Guns (except the Germs are actually More Guns)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Aug 2020 08:27:29 +0000

Gray joins us to discuss the practicalities of firearms. Be prepared! The Cyberpunk Ezine Jace mentioned The Legend of Murder-Ghandi Uber and Lyft ordered by California judge to classify drivers as employees Americans own a lot of guns. Like, a LOT of guns. Uncultured Swine – the podcast dissecting Iain Banks’ Culture novels – […]

117 – The Guild of Servants

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Aug 2020 06:43:41 +0000

Alex and David are launching The Guild Of Servants — an outward-facing Rationalist organization for engaging and optimizing your local social enviroment. To apply for inclusion in their Alpha program, email GuildOfServants@gmail.com with a short response (<1000 charecters) explaining your hopes for the course, introducing yourself, and how you received this invitation. Hearing this podcast […]

116 – Truth, Falsity, and Censorship

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Jul 2020 08:01:02 +0000

Today we’re joined by special guest Alexander Wales! Where is the line between hiding information and censorship? Is censoring content ever desirable? What role does “cancel culture” play in this? Find discussion on these questions and more inside! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award A Letter on Justice and Open Debate – Harper’s […]

115 – Does Rationality Actually Do Anything?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Jul 2020 08:01:38 +0000

Does Rationality improve life outcomes? How have we managed to do this show for like 4 years without hitting this question head on?! Tune in to find out! Nominate What Lies Dreaming for a Dragon Award Vice article on CFAR (Center for Applied Rationality) Related CFAR article from the New York Times My IRB Nightmare […]

114 – Epistemic Rigor and BLM

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Jul 2020 08:09:32 +0000

Do BLM protests give people a correct impression of the fundamental problem with the police, and is that important as long as shit gets fixed? All sorts of disagreement today. Campaign Zero’s list of reforms. This is not actually a BLM list, as we had originally thought. The official BLM site has no policy demands […]

113 – Refining Niceness with Wes Fenza

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Jun 2020 08:01:15 +0000

Wes joins Steven and Jace in order to to talk a bit about the current conversation around police brutality and help clarify some of the arguments in favor of Niceness from our last episode. I think we may have had some synchronization issues, as well as some background noise I tried to edit out. Here’s […]

112 – Nice Places Are Nice

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Jun 2020 07:10:48 +0000

For Niceness to triumph within the Heart of Darkness that is the internet, we gotta make an effort. The Evolution of Trust A Briefer History of Time Unweaving the Rainbow Key and Peele communicating via text Dan Dennett on Rappaport’s Rules Where ‘Grok’ comes from Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? […]

111 – Rational Practices in Everyday Living

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 May 2020 08:43:49 +0000

We got to see each other for the first time in months, AND Jace wasn’t there to keep us on track, so this went long. Whoops! Pitch Meeting The Virtue of Silence Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong […]

The Mind Killer Episode 4 – Are We Committing Collective Suicide?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 May 2020 15:31:18 +0000

Intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029 Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6 Stitcher: https://www.stitcher.com/podcast/the-mind-killer News discussed: Justin Amash is running for President The Transhumanist Party Power Problems’ discussion of the USS Roosevelt The Supreme Court is taking another look at abortion rights Kevin Drum: We Are About to Commit Collective Suicide? John […]

110 – Socratic Grilling

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Sun, 10 May 2020 19:18:23 +0000

Sorry for the delay on this one. We had some technical difficulties. Episodes will resume on their normal schedule, don’t worry. This episode we discuss the SSC post Socratic Grilling! We also talk about sea lioning We mentioned the other SSC post Black People Are Less Likely Hey look, we have a discord! What could […]

The Mind Killer Episode 3 – Opening Up

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 28 Apr 2020 17:30:56 +0000

New intro/outro music: On Sale by Golden Duck Orchestra Follow us! RSS: http://feeds.feedburner.com/themindkiller Apple: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-mind-killer/id1507508029 Google: https://play.google.com/music/listen#/ps/Iqs7r7t6cdxw465zdulvwikhekm Pocket Casts: https://pca.st/vvcmifu6 The Bayesian Conspiracy Reddit, featuring Sonarman720’s feedback from last episode News discussed: The Navy is now recommending that Capt. Crozier be reinstated Georgia is opening up some businesses Florida beaches are limiting the hours they are open State are forming regional coalitions to coordinate […]

109 – What Have We Been Consuming?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Apr 2020 08:22:39 +0000

What’s been getting the Conspirators through this lockdown? Steven: Hollow Knight Horizon Zero Dawn Kingdom Brooklyn 99 Better Call Saul Santa Clarita Diet Eneasz: Nier: Automata When We All Fall Asleep, Where Do We Go? (Billie Eilish) Jace: What Remains of Edith Finch Baba is You Polyphasic Sleep Wobble Cushion Hey look, we have a […]

The Mind Killer Episode 2

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 14 Apr 2020 21:55:11 +0000

Don’t Socially Distance your mind — Subscribe at http://themindkiller.libsyn.com/ or http://feeds.feedburner.com/TheMindKiller WHO is reporting statistics from Taiwan together with China’s stats WHO originally repeated China’s claim that COVID wasn’t human-transmissible. Time’s Up Legal Defense Fund Refused to Support #MeToo Sex Assault Allegation Against Joe Biden Reason article on the allegations against Joe Biden And followup […]

108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 Apr 2020 08:01:46 +0000

Long time listeners will have heard Steven plug his name several times, but now we’ve got the man himself! Futurist, Cryonicist, and life insurance guru Rudi Hoffman is here to give the best sales pitch for signing up for Cryonics that I (Steven, and I suspect all of the hosts) have heard. I promise we’ll […]

The Mind Killer 001 – The Hammer and The Dance

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Apr 2020 01:26:32 +0000

Politics is the mind killer, so come get mind-killed! Your hosts Wesley Fenza, Eneasz Brodski, and David Spearman discuss the week’s news. There’s a new podcast in town, and we’re giving it a kick-start. We will host the first four episodes of The Mind Killer here on The Bayesian Conspiracy’s feed. After that, you’ll have […]

107 – Talking to Even More Strangers

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 26 Mar 2020 03:20:22 +0000

The conspirators go more in-depth on how little we know about the people we don’t know (Malcolm Gladwell’s Talking to Strangers), plus more COVID19 chattering. Apologies for the audio quality–now that everybody’s working from home and practicing safe social distancing… well, it’s Skype o’clock. Content warning: this episode contains some discussion of sexual assault, as it […]

106 – Talking to Strangers (with COVID-19)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Mar 2020 08:01:12 +0000

We open up with some pre-episode chatter that I left in, then talk for a bit about Coronavirus before moving into the scheduled topic of Malcom Gladwell’s book Talking to Strangers! UPDATE: Given the situation in Italy, we’re upping our concern. Please increase the emotional volume of the Coronavirus section by about 1.5 levels. […]

105 – The Anthropic Principle is da bomb

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Feb 2020 08:49:33 +0000

What conclusions can you draw from the fact that you’re here? The Anthropic Principle – 5 short examples Anthropics and Biased Models – “we can’t use anthropic reasoning on a single side of a model” An Anthropic Principle Fairy Tale Hanson’s “Great Filter” and does the Anthropic Principle affect it? Max Tegmark’s mathematical universe levels […]

104 – Do You Want To Ask or Guess This Episode’s Topic?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Feb 2020 08:01:58 +0000

In this episode we’re joined by Matt Freeman and Wes Fenza! Matt from The Doofcast joins us. Their next big audio project is Kingslingers, but be sure to check out We’ve Got Ward and Doofcast too! Wes writes at livingwithinreason.com and practice divorce and family law in South Jersey. As always, there’s a relevant XKCD. […]

103 – Radical Honesty

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 30 Jan 2020 01:44:12 +0000

People you may or may not have met before discuss Radical Honesty. (One of those people also has their own podcast–however, it is Very Different From Ours….) Stuff mentioned in the episode: Friend of the podcast Within Reason’s take (recommended read): Not-So-Radical Honesty The official (?) Radical Honesty site: Old and New Admonymous: Anonymous Admonition […]

102 – Decade in Review

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 16 Jan 2020 09:43:51 +0000

Everyone else is doing it, so why can’t we? Matt from The Doofcast joins us. His next audio project is Kingslingers You can still partake in the SSC survey! If you’re even a casual reader, Scott is interested in your data. He will only mine it for Good. 🙂 Remember THUNK? They’re a cool youtube […]

101 – The Live Episode (pt2)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Jan 2020 06:59:14 +0000

This is a recording of the live stream. Due to technical incompetence on our side, we lost the original audio, but managed to recover the episode due to listener April’s diligence! Many thanks to April! Since it’s a 2nd-source recording of a Discord stream, the audio on this is bad. We apologize for how hard […]

100 – The Live Episode (pt1)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Dec 2019 08:26:39 +0000

Live Episode on Sunday Dec 15, 1pm MT (GMT -6)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Fri, 13 Dec 2019 02:48:30 +0000

The Live Episode is Sunday Dec 15 at 1pm Mountain time. You can listen in on Discord following this link: https://discord.gg/zaAubxS This post will update with a YouTube stream as well, once we have that ready.

99 – Whiteshift

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Dec 2019 09:52:07 +0000

Eneasz shares his reading of Whiteshift by Eric Kaufmann News story about the CFAR barricading Ted Cruz bad lip reading Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: none, we ran out of time, doh! […]

98 – A GSV Very Different From Ours

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Nov 2019 09:26:48 +0000

We are joined by Discord user GSV to talk about Legal Systems Very Different From Ours The Podcast Very Different From Ours is available at SoundCloud, as well as GooglePodcasts. iTunes link coming soon. Scott Alexander’s fiction discussed: Samsara, The Study of Anglophysics (audio), Unsong (audio) This Waifu Does Not Exist Brad Pitt in Snatch […]

97 – Oops, We Accidentally Over Two Hours of Feedback

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Nov 2019 08:01:56 +0000

We get to back-logged feedback. We Want MoR is now live, back at the old home of the HP:MoR Podcast! Ra, by Sam Hughes (also on Amazon) Helpful links provided by commentor Lorien: references on air pollution (quick and dirty search): https://www.calhealthreport.org/2018/01/31/teen-exposure-air-pollution-reduce-iq-levels-long-term/ https://www.alzinfo.org/articles/air-pollution-raise-dementia-risk/ https://www.nytimes.com/2018/08/22/climate/air-pollution-deaths.html Wrt. medical staff being fine with long hours: https://www.webmd.com/mental-health/news/20180508/doctors-suicide-rate-highest-of-any-profession#1 Hey look, […]

96 – Do Words Mean Things, Also Sex Science!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Oct 2019 08:03:00 +0000

The Conspirators sort of continue the conversation from our last episode, after meandering around about the meaning of words/their relevance to current usage. Eventually we’ll get to the LessWrong sequence on the Human Use of Words and this confusion will hopefully dissolve. Comic Relief: Omeleto video featuring Nick offerman Patreon supporter Welf wrote a […]

95 – It’s Gender Time! Part 1

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 10 Oct 2019 11:20:47 +0000

Trigger warnings: Gender! Culture Wars! Opinons! Facts? (Also, some amount of tension/discomfort in this episode. Be ye warned.) Please contribute to this discussion! Please keep it non-terrible. Articles that sparked the discussion: The Disappearing Thems, Versus Them, Reducing the Spectrum to a Binary Also relevant: Hofstadter Person Purity essay, and Cis by Default Other links […]

94 – The Problem At Yale Isn’t Free Speech, It’s Lack of Batmans

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 25 Sep 2019 08:01:46 +0000

Elite education institutions aren’t give us Bruce Waynes anymore, and this is a problem. Our article: The Real Problem At Yale Is Not Free Speech Also relevant: The Wayne Republican Tradition, and Against Against Billionaire Philanthropy Hey look, we have a discord! Rationality: From AI to Zombies, The Podcast… and the other podcast LessWrong posts Discussed […]

93 – Conflict vs Mistake

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Sep 2019 10:00:10 +0000

In this episode, we try to explain the Slate Star Codex post, Conflict vs Mistake. We hope we didn’t make any major mistakes, and if we did, that it won’t cause any kind of conflict. Links: – SSC: Conflict vs Mistake – Also: Highlights from the Comments on Conflict vs Mistake – Ratfic Rec: Draco […]

92 – Replacing Guilt

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 Aug 2019 08:01:15 +0000

Jess and Phoenix tell us about Replacing Guilt. Favorites from the series: “Should” considered harmful and Confidence all the way up Another recommended book is The Courage To Be Disliked Also mentioned – Flint’s water is OK now. Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? And What Lies Dreaming now has […]

91 – Are You Jesus or Hitler??

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Aug 2019 08:02:26 +0000

In this episode our hosts come together to try and figure out if it’s worth worrying about the possibility that we’re living in a simulation, with a fun twist. We also do plenty of listener feedback. Steven mentioned Eneasz’s book. When I googled the short story Eneasz talked about “Steve Fever” (which was written by […]

90 – Secret to Our Success

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 31 Jul 2019 08:01:09 +0000

We talk about Cultural Evolution, and why it is so terrible. Links: The Secret to Our Success: SSC The Book Melting Asphalt on Prestige Versus Dominance I, Pencil (About How No One Can Make a Pencil Anymore) Caveman Sci-Fi The Mr. Rogers Documentary Hey look, we have a discord! What could possibly go wrong? LessWrong […]

89 – Is Rationalism Being Co-opted by the Alt-Right?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Jul 2019 08:01:43 +0000

We talk with David about his question on our subreddit. There’s a lot of other comments and thoughts about the subject at that thread, which you can read here. Sorry about the lateness of this episode, just some growing pains. Related Links: Scott Alexander on the economic costs of racism Jordan Peterson 12 rules for […]

88 – UBI and Other Forms of (Evil?) Taxes

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Jul 2019 08:03:08 +0000

The Conspiracy sits down with David Spearman, a long time listener and commenter who told us why we were all wrong about UBI and we figured he should tell you too. Here’s the homework problem David spoke about. The answer is at the bottom. Suppose a firm has to workers: Bob and Omega. It makes […]

87 – Degrees of Freedom

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Jun 2019 19:13:27 +0000

We discuss Sarah Constantin’s recent post Degrees of Freedom, addressing where optimization and free-will conflict. Mentioned in this episode: The parable of The Whispering Earring The Transporter Argument Our episode about Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe Eneasz’s Classic WoW guild – The Tail End (US – Alliance – PvE, eventually raiding Sun/Mon 9-12EST) Rationality: From AI […]

Bonus Abortion non-episode

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Jun 2019 04:40:10 +0000

This is not an episode of The Bayesian Conspiracy. It’s just some additional feedback and informal thoughts on abortion, particularly in the USA. If this is not a topic of interest to you, please move on. A regular episode will air at the regular time. 🙂 Relevant Links: Our subreddit where people post comments is […]

86 – Quick Shout Out to the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Jun 2019 08:01:15 +0000

We dive into the Consolidated Nature of Morality Thread in a lot more detail than originally planned. We seem to get a bit off track. Stuff that came up this episode: Read Eneasz’s novel, What Lies Dreaming, online here Or preorder the ebook: The short story “The Secret Number” Next Episode’s Sequence Posts: Universal Fire […]

85 – Stuff is Weird, Yo

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 May 2019 08:05:10 +0000

This episode Jess, Eneasz, and Steven sit down to discuss… well, you tell us. We’re kind of all over the map here because things have, in the majority, been weird for us lately. We cover some random things about how America is going to shit, how to conduct yourself in public when making an effort […]

84 – Yang-arang!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 May 2019 08:22:26 +0000

Eneasz has a thing for Andrew Yang He’s ex-goth Yang interview on Freakonomics Quick summary of Fosta/Sesta Archer’s dead hookers Where does Denver’s Pot Money go? Hear Steven discuss Endgame on The Doofecast! Chess-Boxing LessWrong posts Discussed in this Episode: Priors as Mathematical Objects Lotteries: A Waste of Hope New Improved Lottery Next […]

83 – REACH

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Apr 2019 08:03:30 +0000

Jess is back from their pilgrimage to Rationalist Mecca and Eneasz is dying to know all about it, while Steven tries his best to understand why anyone would want to live there. Brian Caplan on Collusion in the Classroom The Spoon Theory (also as a PDF here, for those who don’t want to wrestle with […]

82 – Revenge of the Feedback!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Apr 2019 08:03:00 +0000

Jess is on a trip, so Eneasz and Steven do some more digging into our mailbag (last episode on feedback for now, we promise!). Stick around after the outro music starts because we keep going for another 25 minutes or so! Skeptoid Episode on Fast Food Phobia (there’s a few more related episodes if you […]

81 – That’s Too Much Feedback, Man

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 27 Mar 2019 08:01:20 +0000

We dive into the neglected mailbag Steven referenced this SSC post on the Intellectual Dark Web (see also this prior post) It’s been revealed that James Gunn is back! Johnny Depp is an abuse survivor The incredibly shoddy plot to smear Robert Mueller with rape claims, explained, the Obama fake mutilation, and the Planned Parenthood […]

80 – The Reward and Peril of GPT2

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 Mar 2019 08:04:00 +0000

Join us as we sit down with Alexander Wales (returning from Episode 63 about rational fiction and writes rational short stories, like the very popular Metropolitan Man) who is on to guide our discussion of GPT2, a new neural net language model/text analyzer/…author? Discussed in this Episode: Humans Who Are Not Concentrating Are Not General […]

79 – CyberChristianity

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 27 Feb 2019 08:01:12 +0000

What the heck is CyberChristianity, and can it unite Christianity and Rationalism? Links to things talked about in today’s episode: Our previous AlphaGo episodes – 1 & 2 (poor audio, sadly) AI must decide: Juggalo, or Clown? We previously spoke more in-depth on paperclip maximizes and other aspects of the rise of our coming AI […]

78 – Seriously, an Atheism Episode?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 Feb 2019 08:02:17 +0000

Eneasz, Jess, and Steven take an hour or so to talk about the New Atheism movement that occurred in the mid 2000’s. We experienced a bit of audio loss in the second half of the episode, so the conversation occasionally jumps around a bit, especially around an hour and 20 minutes in for about 5 […]

77 – Meandering Around Albion’s Seed

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Jan 2019 08:01:12 +0000

This episode is a continuation of episode 75 – Culture Roots of American. Eneasz and Steven are alone in the recording studio, which means we have no one to keep us in check as we finish out discussion of Albion’s Seed and fall down plenty of rabbit holes. The Cracked.com After Hours ninja turtles/everything is […]

76 – Patreon and Censorship

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Jan 2019 08:01:19 +0000

David and Jess sit down with Eneasz and Steven to discuss the controversy of Patreon banning contributors from its platform. David mentioned the connection between Donald Trump and Jeffrey Epstein’s many, many accusations of raping young girls and soliciting the opportunity for others to do so. In Trump’s words: “I’ve known Jeff for fifteen years. Terrific […]

75 – Culture Roots of America

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Jan 2019 08:01:53 +0000

We discuss these two SSC posts: BOOK REVIEW: EVOLUTIONARY PSYCHOPATHOLOGY BOOK REVIEW: ALBION’S SEED also mentioned: ALBION’S SEED, GENOTYPED, and the Dark Matter Conservative Universe is mentioned in I Can Tolerate Anything Except The Outgroup Sequence Posts for next time: The Scales of Justice, the Notebook of Rationality Blue or Green on Regulation? […]

74 – Adventures in Feedback!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Dec 2018 08:02:17 +0000

Eneasz, Jess, and Steven go down rabbit hole after rabbit hole while attempting to address some of our feedback backlog. Enjoy! Rationality from AI to Zombies: The Simple Truth (Audio Version) Stan Lee Cameo in Spiderman Game Massimo Pigliucci vs Eliezer Yudkowsky blogging heads debate Side by side of 60s olympics vs now (links to […]

73 – Truth and Winning

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Dec 2018 08:03:29 +0000

The conspiracy worries about our post-truth government and looks at the question of why Rationalists aren’t at the top of everything they do. Articles/things discussed in this episode Link with analysis and discussion of the Jim Acosta incident Sailor Vulcan’s post on LessWrong Scott Alexander’s reply in the comments The Last Rationalist’s take on […]

72 – Productivity Tools, Part 2

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Nov 2018 08:01:49 +0000

Jess returns to finish up the Productivity Tools dicussion. The Waking Up #MeToo episode The Very Bad Wizards episode with moral dilemmas porn-ified The Planet Money Halloween episode Death Note fan-made alternate ending (the website is pretty bad with popups) LeBron James tattoo rights. Eneasz may have said Kobe Bryant in the episode. He doesn’t know […]

71 – Researching Qualia with Andrés Gómez Emilsson

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 08 Nov 2018 15:48:54 +0000

Steven can’t read a calender, so accidentally scheduled this to release a day late. In this episode, we talk with Andrés Gómez Emilsson from the Qualia Research Institute. Buckle up for some dialogue on the intersection between philosophy and science. Steven was testing a new mic this episode, and thus sounds like he’s phoning it […]

70 – Kick-offs

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 Oct 2018 08:01:20 +0000

We kick off a couple things: The Sequences Reading/Discussion, and What Lies Dreaming The OG Sequences in chronological order we read: The Martial Art of Rationality ; Why Truth? And… ; …What’s a Bias Again? For next time: The Proper Use of Humility ; The Modesty Argument Collated & edited in: Rationality: AI to Zombies also as a podcast, and a […]

69 – Culture War 2.0

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 Oct 2018 08:00:28 +0000

Alas, we had some technical difficulties in this episode too and we lost some small chunks of audio. I cropped it as best I could, but there’s some little bits where you can tell the audio skips a bit. Today’s main topic/recommended reading: Memetic Tribes and War Culture Petrov Day (There’s an XKCD for everything!) and […]

68 – Can’t Give Up Freeman

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Sep 2018 08:01:24 +0000

Matt Freeman may be distant in body, but he is present in spirit Moridinamael’s A Dialogue on Rationalist Activism KatjaGrace’s Are ethical asymmetries from property rights? Yudkowsky’s Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism Very Bad Wizards ep 148 Am I Wrong? Moridinamael’s Spamming Micro-Intentions to Generate Willpower Crystal Society podcast The Society of Mind by Marvin Minsky – actually from […]

67 – Freestyle Community Talk with Matt Freeman

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Sep 2018 08:03:11 +0000

This episode has some audio quirks. We ended up having our recording software crash (but saved most of our audio) after about an hour and 15 minutes, so we have a tone shift at that point since we took a 20 minute break while we got our stuff back up and running. A Dialogue on […]

The Sword of Good

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Aug 2018 08:01:40 +0000

A confluence of time-expensive events prevented us from recording an episode this week. However, since Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology was just released, we’re podcasting a story from that anthology instead. This audio was first released at The Methods of Rationality podcast. Sword of Good original text Shut Up […]

66 – Feedback & Productivity (pt1)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Aug 2018 08:01:40 +0000

We finally get to some older listener feedback, then discuss productivity tools & systems. Also, Eneasz unveiled Shut Up And Do The Impossible: The Rational Fiction Online Anthology. Lizard hatching; Lizard chased by snakes Malcom Gladwell on the (non-)value of getting into Harvard Bayesians vs Barbarians Universal Paperclips – the paperclip maximizer game, plus Wired’s […]

65 – Religion, and The Intelligent Social Web

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Aug 2018 08:01:28 +0000

Eneasz is still allergic to mysticism, but he really likes thinking of society as a super-being that guides humans and cares about their actions. Does this foresay doom for our host? A correction: Eneasz made a joke about Calvanists being Catholics, which is the opposite of the truth, they’re a sect of Protestantism. Oops! Outside […]

64 – Magick with David Youssef

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Jul 2018 08:02:06 +0000

It’s only almost as crazy as it sounds. A bunch of links to help you get started on Magick! UltraCulture’s guide: The Complete Psychonaut Field Manual: A Cartoon Guide to Chaos Magick RUNE SOUP links: All things Sigils Sigils Reboot: How to Get Big Magic From Little Squiggles Very Bad Company – Occultism and Power Even a […]

63 – Rational Fiction

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Jul 2018 08:01:51 +0000

Alexander Wales and DayStar Eld join us to discuss Rational Fiction Their Podcast – Rationally Writing Alexander Wales’s page DayStar Eld’s page Eneasz’s Fiction The Progenitor – Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality /r/rational on Reddit The Idiot Ball Eliezer Yudkowsky’s Abridged Guide to Intelligent Characters Worm Unsong The /r/ration definition of Rational Fiction: […]

62 – Stoic Chatter and RatChat!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Jun 2018 08:00:29 +0000

This episode is a bit unusual in that our pre-recording mic check conversation sort of kept going into a conversation we felt was worth sharing. We redacted some of the personal identifiable info and names of actual people, so if the conversation earlier on sounds sort of disjointed, that’s because it is. 😉 Steven also […]

61 – Biohacking 101

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Jun 2018 08:01:47 +0000

We speak with Serge Faguet about biohacking. The lowest hanging fruit is, of course, sleep and exercise. Going beyond that, Serge mentioned: 23 And Me for DNA sequencing Promethease for further DNA analysis Life Extension Foundation for supplements Oura Ring for sleep analysis Three deep-dive articles by him: I’m 32 and spent $200k on biohacking. […]

60 – 98% Likelihood This Episode is about Metaculus

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 May 2018 06:04:20 +0000

We speak with Anthony Aguirre of Metaculus. Try out Metaculus, it’s neat and helps one train their calibration. Future of Life Institute Rat Chat: Maps vs Buttons; Nerds vs Normies Big thanks to David for our intro music! I’ll add a link here for his stuff when I track it down. 🙂 We’d like to […]

59 – Gettin’ Schooled

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 10 May 2018 01:17:28 +0000

We discuss schooling and education with Audrey. Robin Hanson argues that schooling is to domesticate humans. The Zvi is much more emotionally compelling in his Case Against Education and it’s follow-up (with more coming) Scott Alexander examines why DC’s graduation rates are projected to plummet Richard Feynman’s anecdote about students who knew all the details […]

58 – Inside Trump Country with Joshua

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 25 Apr 2018 08:00:39 +0000

This one got off to an odd start since we were on a time crunch and Joshua as delayed in arriving. As a result, this one is way more disorganized than usual. We hope it’s fun nonetheless. Big thanks to David for our intro music! I’ll add a link here for his stuff when I […]

57 – Community Talk with Bayesed and Confused

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Apr 2018 08:00:04 +0000

Join Steven and David Youssef as they talk about the rationality community, how to win, and explore some possible reasons that Rationalists aren’t all total rock stars! Links: Tim Ferris’s The Four Hour Work Week The works of Naseem Taleb, and specifically Anti-Fragile

56 – Adventures in Tough Subjects

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 Mar 2018 08:01:23 +0000

This episode got off to an interesting start. We usually test the mics with small talk and whatnot, but wound up just getting into interesting things and never quite got around to breaking to do an intro. I guess today we talk about culture war stuff. cw: cw We mentioned Scott Alexander and his views on […]

55 – Keeping up with the Rationalists

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Mar 2018 08:00:13 +0000

In this episode, we discuss 3 or 4 popular things currently (or recently) circulating Rationalist circles online. Yudkowsky on no fire alarms for AI. Zvi on the concept of Slack. Ben Hoffman “Sabbath Hard and Go Home“. A Lesswrong Crypto Autopsy on Lesserwrong by Scott Alexander: Gwern discussing bitcoin on Lesswrong back in the day. […]

54 – Nothing Can Prepare You For Robin Hanson

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 Feb 2018 08:01:48 +0000

Robin Hanson returns to talk about his new book: The Elephant In The Brain Robin’s classic “X is not about Y” post. 2008! Man, time flies. Eneasz mentioned The North Pond Hermit. Relevant quote: “Solitude did increase my perception. But here’s the tricky thing—when I applied my increased perception to myself, I lost my identity. With […]

53 – Principles of Curiosity with Brian Dunning

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Feb 2018 08:00:38 +0000

Brian Dunning of the Skeptoid podcast and Skeptoid Media Inc. returns to talk with us about his newest documentary, The Principles of Curiosity! (Website Link, Video Link) It presents a general introduction to the foundations of scientific skepticism and critical thinking, focusing on a simple process they call the three Cs: Challenge, Consider, and Conclude. […]

52 – Marriage is Obsolete Technology

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 31 Jan 2018 08:01:44 +0000

A discussions as to whether marriage is outdated and net-harmful. In large part based on Eneasz’s blog post. Naveen recommends this discussion between 3Blue1Brown and Ben Eater on Net Neutrality See also Naveen’s current project – Standard Meta Next episode: The Principles of Curiosity

51 – Robert McIntyre Returns

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Jan 2018 08:00:23 +0000

Robert McIntyre talks about the future of aldehyde-stabilized cryopreservation I’m sure you’re all stoked about the sound on this one. All we can say is that we took steps to correct it (like we all recorded our audio independently, including having Robert send his own recording to us) and somehow the heavens conspired to make […]

Holiday

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Jan 2018 08:01:12 +0000

Happy Holidays! Nothing this new this week, but here’s some Star Wars 🙂 The Methods of Rationality main page

50 – Approaching Rationality with Kyle Moore

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Dec 2017 08:00:34 +0000

In this episode we have our sound engineer Kyle Moore on the show. I thought it would be fun to talk with someone who sort of has to listen to the show and get their take on it. The conversation was, in my opinion, very fun and engaging. I also edited this episode since Kyle […]

49 – Spirituality via Drugs

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Dec 2017 08:01:22 +0000

Make me one with everything. We went a little off-format for this one. Peter Singer – All Animals Are Equal (pdf) Scott Alexander tries to do a study, but it’s unethical… Eliezer Yudkowsky on Joy In The Merely Real Richard Dawkins – The Greatest Show on Earth William The Conqueror (Sexyback parody) Rick Strassman – […]

48 – Cryonics 2 – Lacuna Matata (with Robert McIntyre)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Nov 2017 08:00:48 +0000

We speak with Robert McIntyre, winner of the Small Animal Brain Preservation Prize, about recent advances in brain preservation. A pretty good introduction to connectomics is this TED Talk by Sebastian Seung Robert recommends some papers on recent advances in scanning and simulation of brain tissue — 1, 2, 3, 4 — and also the Whole Brain Emulation Roadmap Robert’s paper on Aldehyde-Stabilized […]

47 – Post Scarcity

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 Nov 2017 08:00:14 +0000

If this episode sounds a little sub-par, it’s because Steven edited it since Kyle was on vacation. Let his reputation remain intact! Check out Naveen Mishra on twitter! @urstrulymishra Life 3.0 by Max Tegmark Stanford’s Legal Design Lab Legalese: an open-source project to draft legal documents the way programmers develop software! Quantifying Decentralization

46 – Social Media and Outrage Culture

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 25 Oct 2017 08:01:13 +0000

The Only Way to Win is Not to Play Major source used by Eneasz – Our Mind Can Be Hijacked Meditations on Moloch A recent Molochian short story Eneasz likes – Three Bodies at Mitanni The Two Income Trap Age of Em Superstitious Mice The Capt America/National Anthem Meme – spread by Russians? Tristan Harris […]

45 – Cryptocurrencies

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 11 Oct 2017 15:02:46 +0000

A quick primer, and what do they have to do with EA? Bitcoin mining takes off in Venezuela due to hyperinflation of the local currency and nearly-free electricity. China is starting to shut down legal BitCoin use. What makes Ethereum special? Ethereum already using as much electricity as a small country. Rhys Lindmark on Twitter […]

44 – Burning Man

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 28 Sep 2017 07:24:53 +0000

Eneasz talks about his first Burning Man experience Sorry this is late. Please accept a 167 minute episode as apology? And 9/26 is Petrov Day! The 10 Principles of Burning Man, at the official Burning Man Organization site Eneasz’s series of posts on Burning Man – (0) 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 (some repetition from what’s in […]

43 – Parenting as a Rationalist

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 13 Sep 2017 08:01:43 +0000

We speak with aspiring rationalists with children. Our previous episode pondering children – Kids, These Days Louis C.K. has a bunch of stuff on parenting I Wonder by Annaka Harris, a book on emotional intelligence for children Article on treating kids like people The Rider and the Elephant (and the Path!) Pet Semetary Nonviolent Communication Republican […]

42 – Emotionally Charged Discussion

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 30 Aug 2017 08:00:23 +0000

Julia Galef’s ‘Update Project‘. Check out some of the other links on her website too. Steven: “There’s a ton of content and techniques in this area that I wanted to cover and didn’t get a chance to. I’m including a couple of further reading suggestions below.” Brienne Yudkowsky’s blog “Agenty Duck” is the best source […]

41 – Ritual and Spirituality

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Aug 2017 08:01:34 +0000

More ritual than spirituality, honestly. We were aiming for both, but caught up in ritual. Perhaps we’ll revisit the spirituality aspect in a future episode! Melting Asphalt on Religion, Politics, and Self-Suppression Welcome to Night Vale, and my All Hail summary The type of poetry Eneasz likes is called “villanelles.” Here are four great examples. […]

40 – Making Humans Legible

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Aug 2017 08:01:14 +0000

You can’t control (well) what you can’t count Samzdat’s posts that served as the basis of much of this episode: Man as a Rationalist Animal, and The Meridian of Her Greatness. Also: The Use and Abuse of Witchdoctors for Life (not Witchdoctors Without Borders, as Eneasz misremembered) Matt Freeman’s podcast – We’ve Got Worm Also from […]

39 – Transhumanism (pt 2)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 19 Jul 2017 08:01:53 +0000

Under the Aegis of Transhuman Spiderman + Other Considerations (and Listener Feedback Catch-up) Fiction The Metamorphosis of Prime Intellect, by Roger Williams The Golden Age, by John C Wright Utopia, LOL?, by Jamie Wahls (+audio version) Red Legacy and Other Stories, by Eneasz Brodski Non-Fiction Making Beliefs Pay Rent The Psychological Unity of Humankind, by […]

38 – Transhumanism (pt 1)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 05 Jul 2017 08:01:48 +0000

Going beyond our meat-suits Transhumanism as Simplified Humanism text. Also available in audio here, starting at 6:52 Eneasz with PZ Meyers, Eliezer Yudkowsky, and David Brin: The Immortality Debate The Fun Theory Sequence (also – here’s a quick summary, but the summaries really never do the sequences full justice) Chinese scientists genetically modify human embryos China accused of […]

37 – AlphaGo Returns

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Jun 2017 08:01:13 +0000

AlphaGo is back. Patrick talks about its latest accomplishments, its future, and other topics in game advances. Our first AlphaGo episode (a very early one, sorry about the audio quality) News of the most recent AlphaGo adventures Steph Curry’s training is on a new level Eneasz’s favorite type of tool-assist challenges – Item Abuse. DOTA […]

36 – The Other Kind of Drugs

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Jun 2017 08:01:07 +0000

All the cool kids are doing podcasts about drugs, so… The DARE program’s lack of efficacy (see also: Wikipedia page on DARE studies) How to get addicted to heroin without really trying. Eneasz thought he read this in The New Yorker, but it was actually Cracked, which is like the New Yorker except more prestigious. […]

35 – Your Brain on Nootropics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 24 May 2017 08:01:43 +0000

** Fixed the audio. Please re-download for the correct episode. ** Drugs that boost mental performance for dummies. Did caffiene help kickstart the Enlightenment era? FOR SCIENCE! /r/nootropics for your nootropic discussion needs Other places to discuss include Nootropics Depot and Longecity Gwern’s posts on nootropics in general, and in-depth on Modafinil in particular The Flynn […]

34 – Lies, All Lies!

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 10 May 2017 08:01:15 +0000

Slate Star Codex article – You Kant Dismiss Universalizability Wikipedia page on the Revelation Principle Eliezer’s post on LessWrong – Ends Don’t Justify Means (Among Humans) Another LessWrong post – Protected From Myself Louis CK bit on Lying (1:46 seconds long) Short book by Sam Harris on Lying (six minute preview of audiobook) Scott Alexander post […]

33 – MIRI, and EA meta-discussion

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Apr 2017 08:01:54 +0000

We talk with Tsvi from MIRI Game-playing algorithm that pauses Tetris “On The Origin of Circuits“, discussing a chip hardware evolution experiment MIRI’s technical research agenda overview Alignment for advanced machine learning systems paper from MIRI Musk’s OpenAI Paul Christiano’s about page, which links to his paper Tsvi mentioned Logical induction paper from MIRI Reason […]

32 – Who’s Afraid of AI?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Apr 2017 08:01:36 +0000

The Logical Fallacy of Generalizing from fictional evidence Genie Button Though Experiment Wait but Why on AI Part 1 and Part 2 The Downfall meme we mentioned. This is Steven’s favorite version. Yudkowsky vs Hanson – Great AI FOOM debate and the Video Sam Harris AI TED talk Albion’s Seed – SSC Redditor provides an incredible explanation […]

31 – Digital Rights and Privacy

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 29 Mar 2017 08:01:44 +0000

Who can access the external part of your brain that you carry around in your pocket? What rights do you have to it? With Chase. Police demand audio records from the Echo of a murder victim, Amazon displeased (more details) EFF defends podcasting (as a whole) from a patent troll Speaking of which – The EFF […]

30 – Of Specks and Omlettes

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Mar 2017 08:01:29 +0000

We discuss a famously controversial post, despite our better judgement. With Sean and Matt. The Post: Torture Vs Dust Specks Rationality: From AI to Zombies – The Podcast Shut Up And Multiply is actually taken from two posts: Circular Altruism and The “Intuitions” Behind “Utilitarianism” Three Worlds Collide (also in audio) The Ones Who Walk Away From […]

29 – Fiction and Fun with Max Harms

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Mar 2017 08:00:23 +0000

Crystal Society (or read it for free) (or listen to most of it as audio) Crystal Mentality Quick Links: Aubrey de Grey’s TED talk on extreme longevity Ending Aging – Aubrey de Grey’s book “The Sequences” – Compiled in book form. Max Harms on Cryonics (Video) Micromort – The unit used to measure a one in a million […]

Bonus Mini-Episode: I Did Nazi That Coming

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Feb 2017 08:00:48 +0000

Forgive the pun. I couldn’t help myself. (Steven) In this bonus episode, Eneasz and Steven respond to some of the feedback to the Nazi Punching episode. Thank you to everyone who provided thoughtful comments. Be assured we read everything, but we only have so much time to respond on the air. The Innocence Project is […]

28 – Effective Altruism

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 15 Feb 2017 08:01:50 +0000

Being effective vs. feeling good. EA is a big topic, this is really just an intro for the uninitiated. The Life You Can Save, by Peter Singer (and the inspired-by website) Money: The Unit of Caring, by Eliezer Yudkowsky Nobody is Perfect, Everything is Commensurate, by Scott Alexander What Is The Greatest Good? – an EA profile […]

27 – On Punching Nazis

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Feb 2017 08:01:34 +0000

When is it OK to punch Nazis? With Sean. Original Richard Spencer being punched video Follow-up video of the guy who punched him being briefly confronted Eneasz’s two posts on the topic Ken White of Popehat On Punching Nazis (he’s against it, for good legal reasons) A pro-punching piece a friend sent to Eneasz The Alternative Right […]

26 – Concept Networks and Hanging Nodes

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 Jan 2017 08:00:17 +0000

Eliezer Yudkowsky’s original post on Neural Categories and hanging nodes. Scott Alexander on Diseased Thinking and a longer essay Concept Networks. The very worthwhile analysis on holiday gift giving reddit comment. Google’s deep learning utilizes these sorts of networks. “The Great AI Awakening” discusses this at some length, and is Eneasz’s source for visual recognition […]

25 – Tinder, Actually

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 Jan 2017 08:01:10 +0000

The Conspirators meander through various topics, using a Tinder encounter as a framing story: Steven’s OKCupid stats come from Rationally Speaking episode 89 Katrina’s OKCupid stats (and pic) come from Big Lies People Tell The Toxoplasma of Rage Dan Dennett’s talk Haidt on The Moral Roots of Conservatives and Liberals Philosophers and their beards […]

24 – Signaling

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 21 Dec 2016 08:00:51 +0000

Robin Hanson’s “What is Signaling?” Scott Alexander’s definition of signaling: a method of conveying information among not-necessarily-trustworthy parties by performing an action which is more likely or less costly if the information is true than if it is not true. A list of some blog posts about signaling courtesy of Less Wrong. Hanson on […]

23 – Desirism with Alonzo Fyfe

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 07 Dec 2016 08:00:58 +0000

Alonzo blogs at The Atheist Ethicist Common Sense Atheism’s ULTIMATE Desirism FAQ Link to The Atheist Ethicist’s overview of Desirism Wikia page on Desirism

22 – Moral Philosophy

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Nov 2016 08:00:29 +0000

Doing the Right Thing Wikipedia on: Consequentialism Ethical Egoism Deontology Divine Command Theory Moral Relativism Virtue Ethics Care Ethics Euthyphro’s Dilemma Objectivism Katrina mentioned that she’d read that the impact of child rape is less severe on cultures where this practice is typical. It turns out is was a comment on this LessWrong post and the […]

Bonus mini-episode: Trump-Reacting

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Tue, 15 Nov 2016 08:01:15 +0000

The conspirators discuss a minor setback. The Safety Pin movement Scott Alexander on your model of the electorate A slightly-more-articulate version of Eneasz’s decision to change the deep past now Eliezer Yudkowsky on the optimism of Trump voters

21 – Kids, These Days

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 09 Nov 2016 08:01:42 +0000

Considerations on Procreation Not having kids – is it like drinking unicorn blood, in that you’ll lead a cursed life, a half-life? How The Woman Got Her Period (“The endometrium seals off our main blood supply from the newly implanted embryo. The growing placenta literally burrows through this layer, rips into arterial walls and re-wires […]

20 – What’s important?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 26 Oct 2016 08:00:18 +0000

Subjects the politicians aren’t talking about, that they really should be talking about. Links! UN resolution on antibiotics US banning of antibiotics in soap Guy with potentially antibiotic resistant tuberculosis (that ended up not so dangerous) sued CDC. More drug resistant tuberculosis! Internet access in prison is pretty limited. :/ Mortality rate for people infected […]

19 – Political Pitfalls

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 12 Oct 2016 08:00:20 +0000

Note: Oops! We accidentally used a crummy laptop microphone. Audio is lower quality for this episode. Links: Politics is the Mind Killer on Less Wrong “Chimpanzee Politics“: A book about two chimpanzees competing to run the “club of chimpanzees” featured on HPMoR Predictive power of party politics: one position can predict 85% of other, unrelated positions. Elizabeth […]

18 – Robin Hanson Interview

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 28 Sep 2016 08:01:07 +0000

We speak with GMU economist Robin Hanson. (note that the audio improves significantly when we switch mics at ~20min) Robin blogs at Overcoming Bias We discuss his recent book, The Age of Em Robin Hanson discusses prediction markets in greater length at Sintetia Nate Silver & co. predict elections (among other things) at FiveThirtyEight Wikipedia’s summary of […]

17 – The Feels

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 14 Sep 2016 08:00:39 +0000

Feelings – should we have them? The Conspiracy decides! This American Life episode about Testosterone Julia Galef’s presentation on The Straw Vulcan. Also – a text summary of same Less Wrong article: “Feeling Rational” Steven Universe is The Best! Sam Harris speaks with Paul Bloom against empathy Less Wrong article: “Scope Insensitivity” “One death is a […]

16 – Animals Again

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 31 Aug 2016 08:01:18 +0000

We addressed a couple things that we missed last time, and got carried away. Katrina referenced the book “Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?” Chimps have amazing flash-memory AIs can fly our fighter jets better than we can A partial list of animals by neuron-count. OpenWorm – Building the First Digital Lifeform […]

15 – Animals

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 17 Aug 2016 08:00:01 +0000

Katrina referenced the book “Are We Smart Enough to Know How Smart Animals Are?” Wiki page about the author. See also, wikipedia on animal cognition. About the crow facial recognition and warning study. Prairie dog language study. The thought experiment of Torture vs Dust Specks. The Machiavellian Intelligence Hypothesis. Also, like most good things, discussed […]

14 – Street Epistemology

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 03 Aug 2016 08:00:28 +0000

Steve (@youngidealist on twitter) talks to us about Street Epistemology The Street Epistemology website, which has been significantly updated and expanded since we recorded this episode. Looking nice! The Street Epistemology book – A Manual For Creating Atheists Short text interview with Peter Boghossian by Sam Harris Practice and/or learn at blab.im (none of the Conspirators have […]

13 – Game Theory

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Jul 2016 08:00:07 +0000

It’s about modeling agents making decisions, not game design. 🙂 – EB …but you can also apply game theory to game design. – KS Yvain’s sequence of posts introducing Game Theory Defecting is MADE OF FIRE Wikipedia on Dr. Axelrod’s Iterated Prisoner’s Dilemma tournament Over the years the Less Wrong community has run a few PD […]

12 – Listener Feedback

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Jul 2016 08:00:48 +0000

We covered ten episodes of feedback in one hour (and a half)! After this, we’ll reply to comments regularly at the end of episodes. Comment either at the website (www.thebayesianconspiracy.com) or at the subreddit (www.reddit.com/r/thebayesianconspiracy/). Or email us – bayesianconspiracypodcast at gmail. TONS of links this episode, because we covered such a variety of stuff: An […]

11 – Voting

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 22 Jun 2016 08:00:50 +0000

Is it rational to vote? We realize the audio quality when we have live guests is terrible, we’re working to fix that now, hopefully things will start sounding better very soon. Thanks for bearing with us! Eneasz wants to say that his understanding of Timeless Decision Theory is likely flawed, because it is big and […]

10 – Polyamory (part 2)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 08 Jun 2016 08:01:47 +0000

The second half of our conversation on polyamory, because we talked and talked and the episode went long. As with Part 1, positions of other parties, including current and former partners, are very likely misrepresented in this episode. Links: More Than Two – An excellent online resource to ethical non-monogamy. It is also the title […]

9 – Polyamory (part 1)

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 01 Jun 2016 08:00:19 +0000

What’s Polyamory got to do with Rationalism anyway? Be Advised: 1.) This episode contains curse words. 2.) Always, but especially when talking about sensitive, nuanced issues like human relationships, it’s important to note that we are only speaking for ourselves. Positions of other parties, including current and former partners, may be misrepresented in this episode. […]

8 – Interview with Brian Dunning

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 18 May 2016 08:01:38 +0000

We speak with Brian Dunning, best known as the host/creator of the Skeptoid podcast. He has also created Here Be Dragons, a 40-minute introduction to critical thinking. Mentioned in this episode: The Vanishing Village of Angikuni Lake Chris Hallquist on Trusting Expert Consensus The unusual story of the discovery that H. Pylori causes ulcers (and a […]

7 – Kill All Humans?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 04 May 2016 08:00:41 +0000

[content warning: suicide, human extinction. Might be a bad idea to listen to if you suffer suicidal tendencies.] We speak to Jason, who would take extreme measures to end all suffering. However, lacking extreme powers, he recommends doing good as efficiently as possible, and offers these resources: Givewell – researches charities for effectiveness. 80,000 hours – Have a greater social impact […]

6 – Cryonics

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 20 Apr 2016 08:00:59 +0000

The Conspirators talk cryonics. Spoiler alert, they are signed up (and signing up soon) for the big freeze. Katrina is a cryocrastinator. The in-depth cryonics article that sparked this conversation, “Why Cryonics Makes Sense” by Tim : Wait But Why Essay Steven mentioned the agent he went through: Rudi Hoffman’s Website The two major US companies: Cryonics Institute […]

5 – When Grandmas ask “What is Rationality?”

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 06 Apr 2016 08:00:32 +0000

An ELI5 (Explain Like I’m 5) episode. Our answers when someone asks “What is Rationality anyway?” and they have a bit of time. (If they don’t have time, Eneasz’s Elevator Pitch is “Rationality is a systematized method of making your beliefs more closely match reality”) Eliezer’s Sequences of Blog Posts on Rationality In ebook form – […]

4 – AlphaGo, with Patrick Chapin

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 23 Mar 2016 08:01:36 +0000

Patrick Chapin (of Top Level Podcast) joins us as a guest-host to talk about AlphaGo’s recent victory over Go master Lee Sedol. We get a primer on how AlphaGo works, a recap of all five games in the match, and thoughts on what this means. (The airing of this episode was pushed up, so we […]

3 – Interview with Eliezer Yudkowsky

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 16 Mar 2016 08:01:38 +0000

We welcomed the one, the only, Eliezer Yudkowsky to the Bayesian Conspiracy for a quick chat. His latest project is Arbital, an ambitious effort to solve online discussion. It is focusing on solving online explanation. They want to do for difficult explanations – and someday, complicated arguments in general – what Wikipedia did for centralizing humanity’s recounting of agreed-on […]

2 – What is this “Sanity Waterline” you speak of?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Wed, 02 Mar 2016 08:01:33 +0000

Can the Sanity Waterline be raised? Should it be? And just what does that mean anyway? Based on the post “Raising The Sanity Waterline” Also relevant to today’s discussion: Joy In The Merely Real, Christian Bale Did Nothing Wrong, and You Kant Dismiss Universalizability (particularly section III) Link to the TAM discussion panel.

1 – What Use is Rationality?

bayesianconspiracypodcast@gmail.com — Thu, 18 Feb 2016 03:39:20 +0000

We spent the hour trying to answer a question posed to Eneasz regarding his work with the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality Podcast. Here is the query (with pleasantries removed): Is there evidence that a rational approach to decision making, either on the personal or institutional level, will be more likely to achieve […]